Heykid的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Heykid

Heykid

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：海外

4关注

0粉丝

0主题

0勋章

01-29

别逼逼了，快做空！发财大机会！

马斯克“食言”了，亲口承认特斯拉 Optimus 机器人并未在工厂承担实际工作

01-21

还怒批，恼羞成怒了吧

抱歉，原内容已删除

01-08

“畜牧教主马斯克"，不知道做空了没有，这货做空的话虽然裤衩都没了，但还算条汉子。最贱的就是，整天唱衰，又怂又菜，做空都不敢。

特斯拉：一家或将陷入衰退的成长型企业

2025-12-18

那就做空去啊，逼逼什么呢？

机构警告：扣除自动驾驶和能源业务，特斯拉汽车业务每股价值只有30到40美元

2025-12-03

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这货靠蒙对一把金融危机，打算靠这吃一辈子了，上次他就做空过特斯拉，屁股被爆开花，这次又来了

2025-09-18

太假了！这么没节操吗？

10000台！特斯拉机器人斩获史上最大订单

2025-03-03

打什么嘴炮，干就完了。各人为自己的认知买单，又不是不能卖空。谁跟钱过不去呢，大胆作多或者大胆做空，验证你的认知！

股价“自由落体”式崩跌40%！特斯拉跌出万亿俱乐部恐怕只是开始

2024-06-19

那你就抓紧点做空啊，你的判断如此坚定有力，如何能错过这做空盛宴

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3577104682622234","uuid":"3577104682622234","gmtCreate":1614649186963,"gmtModify":1718732385041,"name":"Heykid","pinyin":"heykid","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":4,"tweetSize":8,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":0,"name":"","nameTw":"","represent":"","factor":"","iconColor":"","bgColor":""},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"5ef2535f0a4f4ae39eb66b88ba34dcbc-1","templateUuid":"5ef2535f0a4f4ae39eb66b88ba34dcbc","name":"2025元宝x7勋章","description":"2025年度投资收益达成70万美金","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b00df23aed0518d0a7b4679f7741bbad","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b00df23aed0518d0a7b4679f7741bbad","grayImgUrl":null,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.01.29","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":4001},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.04.11","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.22","exceedPercentage":"93.86%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"93.90%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":6,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"海外","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":526968661643296,"gmtCreate":1769662671885,"gmtModify":1769663296644,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577104682622234","authorIdStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"别逼逼了，快做空！发财大机会！","listText":"别逼逼了，快做空！发财大机会！","text":"别逼逼了，快做空！发财大机会！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/526968661643296","repostId":"2607775368","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2607775368","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769653235,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607775368?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-29 10:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克“食言”了，亲口承认特斯拉 Optimus 机器人并未在工厂承担实际工作","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607775368","media":"IT之家","summary":"IT之家 1 月 29 日消息，北京时间今天早间，马斯克在特斯拉 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议上承认，公司目前还没有任何 Optimus 人形机器人在工厂里真正承担有用的工作。IT之家汇总时间线如下：2024 年 6 月：特斯拉官方账号曾宣称，公司已有两台Optimus 机器人在工厂里自主执行任务。财报电话会议上，有人直接追问特斯拉到底拥有多少台 Optimus 机器人，马斯克并未正面作答。在最新的股东更新中，特斯拉仍然强调 Optimus 有所推进。","content":"<html><body><article><p>IT之家 1 月 29 日消息，北京时间今天早间，马斯克在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议上承认，公司目前<strong>还没有任何 Optimus 人形机器人</strong>在工厂里<strong>真正承担有用的工作</strong>。</p><p>值得一提的是，过去两年里，马斯克一直在公开宣称“相反”的情况。IT之家汇总时间线如下：</p><p>2024 年 6 月：特斯拉官方账号曾宣称，公司<strong>已有两台</strong>Optimus 机器人在工厂里自主执行任务。</p><p>2024 年 6 月：在特斯拉股东大会上，马斯克表示，预计到 2025 年，会有<strong>1000-2000 台机器人</strong>进厂打工。</p><p>2025 年 1 月：在特斯拉 2024 年第四季度财报电话会议上，马斯克把目标抬得更高。“内部正常计划是今年<strong>大约制造 10000 台</strong>Optimus 机器人…… 到年底，这几千台 Optimus 机器人会做一些有用的事情吗？是的，<strong>我有信心</strong>会做一些有用的事情。”</p><p>2026 年 1 月：马斯克承认，目前 Optimus 机器人<strong>并没有在特斯拉工厂里发挥实质作用</strong>。“Optimus 仍然处于非常早期的阶段，还在研发阶段。Optimus 确实做过一些基本任务，但随着新版不断迭代，旧版本会被淘汰。目前 Optimus<strong>并没有在工厂里以实质性的方式投入使用</strong>，更多是为了<strong>让机器人学习</strong>。我们预计要到今年年底，才可能出现任何显著的 Optimus 产量。”</p><img src=\"https://img.ithome.com/newsuploadfiles/2025/12/457482f7-cba5-460c-ace6-b1327e043d46.jpg?x-bce-process=image/format,f_auto/auto-orient,o_1\"/><p>财报电话会议上，有人直接追问特斯拉到底拥有多少台 Optimus 机器人，马斯克并未正面作答。</p><p>特斯拉目前公开展示的机器人，更多只是完成<strong>递水瓶之类的简单动作</strong>，而且高度依赖远程操控，并不是真正的自主运行。</p><p>在最新的股东更新中，特斯拉仍然强调 Optimus 有所推进。“我们计划在今年第一季度发布 Gen 3 版本，相比 2.5 版本将进行重大升级，包括最新的手部设计。Gen 3 是首个面向量产的设计。”</p><p>特斯拉同时称，公司正在搭建生产线，计划在 2026 年底之前启动生产，最终目标产能为每年 100 万台机器人。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克“食言”了，亲口承认特斯拉 Optimus 机器人并未在工厂承担实际工作</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克“食言”了，亲口承认特斯拉 Optimus 机器人并未在工厂承担实际工作\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-29 10:20 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129102406a4629007&s=b><strong>IT之家</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IT之家 1 月 29 日消息，北京时间今天早间，马斯克在特斯拉 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议上承认，公司目前还没有任何 Optimus 人形机器人在工厂里真正承担有用的工作。值得一提的是，过去两年里，马斯克一直在公开宣称“相反”的情况。IT之家汇总时间线如下：2024 年 6 月：特斯拉官方账号曾宣称，公司已有两台Optimus 机器人在工厂里自主执行任务。2024 年 6 月：在特斯拉...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129102406a4629007&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4555":"新能源车","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","CRSH":"做空TSLA 期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","UFO":"Procure Space ETF","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","TESL":"Simplify Volt TSLA Revolution ETF","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","TSYY":"收益增强TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","TSDD":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","07766":"南方两倍做多特斯拉","BK4612":"AI芯片","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","TSII":"REX TSLA Growth & Income ETF","TSL":"1.25倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","TSLG":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TSLI":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-ProShares","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4543":"AI","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","TSLO":"2倍上限加速TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","TSLP":"TSLA收益溢价策略ETF-Kurv","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","TSLQ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-Tradr","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4516":"特朗普概念","TSLR":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","TSLS":"1倍做空TSLA ETF-Direxion","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","TSLT":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-T-Rex","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","TSLW":"TSLA周配息ETF-Roundhill","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","TSLY":"TSLA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","TSLZ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-T-Rex","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129102406a4629007&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2607775368","content_text":"IT之家 1 月 29 日消息，北京时间今天早间，马斯克在特斯拉 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议上承认，公司目前还没有任何 Optimus 人形机器人在工厂里真正承担有用的工作。值得一提的是，过去两年里，马斯克一直在公开宣称“相反”的情况。IT之家汇总时间线如下：2024 年 6 月：特斯拉官方账号曾宣称，公司已有两台Optimus 机器人在工厂里自主执行任务。2024 年 6 月：在特斯拉股东大会上，马斯克表示，预计到 2025 年，会有1000-2000 台机器人进厂打工。2025 年 1 月：在特斯拉 2024 年第四季度财报电话会议上，马斯克把目标抬得更高。“内部正常计划是今年大约制造 10000 台Optimus 机器人…… 到年底，这几千台 Optimus 机器人会做一些有用的事情吗？是的，我有信心会做一些有用的事情。”2026 年 1 月：马斯克承认，目前 Optimus 机器人并没有在特斯拉工厂里发挥实质作用。“Optimus 仍然处于非常早期的阶段，还在研发阶段。Optimus 确实做过一些基本任务，但随着新版不断迭代，旧版本会被淘汰。目前 Optimus并没有在工厂里以实质性的方式投入使用，更多是为了让机器人学习。我们预计要到今年年底，才可能出现任何显著的 Optimus 产量。”财报电话会议上，有人直接追问特斯拉到底拥有多少台 Optimus 机器人，马斯克并未正面作答。特斯拉目前公开展示的机器人，更多只是完成递水瓶之类的简单动作，而且高度依赖远程操控，并不是真正的自主运行。在最新的股东更新中，特斯拉仍然强调 Optimus 有所推进。“我们计划在今年第一季度发布 Gen 3 版本，相比 2.5 版本将进行重大升级，包括最新的手部设计。Gen 3 是首个面向量产的设计。”特斯拉同时称，公司正在搭建生产线，计划在 2026 年底之前启动生产，最终目标产能为每年 100 万台机器人。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLS":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLA":1.98,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":524006995976824,"gmtCreate":1768958058003,"gmtModify":1768958061852,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577104682622234","authorIdStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"还怒批，恼羞成怒了吧","listText":"还怒批，恼羞成怒了吧","text":"还怒批，恼羞成怒了吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/524006995976824","repostId":"2605128028","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":519624606548216,"gmtCreate":1767843613259,"gmtModify":1767846083700,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577104682622234","authorIdStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"“畜牧教主马斯克\"，不知道做空了没有，这货做空的话虽然裤衩都没了，但还算条汉子。最贱的就是，整天唱衰，又怂又菜，做空都不敢。","listText":"“畜牧教主马斯克\"，不知道做空了没有，这货做空的话虽然裤衩都没了，但还算条汉子。最贱的就是，整天唱衰，又怂又菜，做空都不敢。","text":"“畜牧教主马斯克\"，不知道做空了没有，这货做空的话虽然裤衩都没了，但还算条汉子。最贱的就是，整天唱衰，又怂又菜，做空都不敢。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/519624606548216","repostId":"2601877535","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2601877535","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1767784565,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2601877535?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-07 19:16","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉：一家或将陷入衰退的成长型企业","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2601877535","media":"美股研究社","summary":"综上，储能业务虽是特斯拉目前唯一具备实际增长潜力的板块，但该业务正面临 “装机量增速放缓、单位营收持续下滑” 的双重压力。要知道，彼时特斯拉尚未遭遇如此严重的声誉危机与竞争压力。综合来看，特斯拉已不再是一家高速成长的企业，反而是正陷入衰退的泥潭。","content":"<html><body><article><p><strong>用户群体的疏远与核心人物风险</strong></p><p>我们不会深入探讨多头最看重的三大炒作概念 —— 完全自动驾驶（FSD）、人工智能与机器人技术。原因很简单，这三项业务至今均未产生实质性的财务收益，依旧停留在投机阶段。</p><p>即便未来其中一项或多项业务能够取得成功，也必须正视一个现实：这些领域的竞争都异常激烈，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在切入这些赛道时，已然因创始人的政治立场卷入争议，导致品牌声誉受损，暴露出显著的<strong>核心人物风险</strong>。近年来，市场上一直流传着 “过度追求政治正确，终将反噬企业经营” 的说法，而这一道理反过来同样成立。特斯拉因立场问题疏远了至少半数消费者，进而可能损害用户信任 —— 这对公司的发展而言，无疑是一剂毒药。</p><img src=\"\"/><p>【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLcrVAEs2bhwIEUP4FfvianI8UkwWsmGS8QGt9FUCfIVia1npfInK1SOWWQ/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>储能业务：</strong></p><p><strong>装机量增长放缓，单位营收持续下滑</strong></p><p>接下来聚焦特斯拉的核心实体业务 —— 汽车制造与储能系统。在所有业务指标中，储能装机量（GWh）是特斯拉唯一能拿出手的增长数据。2025 年第四季度，公司储能装机量达到 14.2 吉瓦时的历史新高；全年装机量累计达 46.7 吉瓦时，展现出强劲的扩张态势。</p><p>但光鲜数据的背后，是<strong>同比增速的快速滑落</strong>：2025 年储能装机量同比增幅为 49%，远低于 2024 年的 114% 与 2023 年的 126%。市场预测，到 2029 年，这一增速将进一步放缓至 26%，对应装机量约 141.8 吉瓦时。</p><p>与装机量增速放缓相伴而来的，是<strong>单位装机量营收的持续走低</strong>。2020 至 2021 年，特斯拉每吉瓦时储能装机量能创造近 7 亿美元的营收；而到了 2025 年第二季度，这一数值已腰斩过半，降至 2.89 亿美元；第三季度进一步下滑至 2.76 亿美元。值得注意的是，过去五个季度里，储能业务的毛利率基本稳定在 25% 至 31% 的区间。</p><p>综上，储能业务虽是特斯拉目前唯一具备实际增长潜力的板块，但该业务正面临 “装机量增速放缓、单位营收持续下滑” 的双重压力。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLczbSMU66CbrBjDq7jpr5zsiclLE4DkRGuL9TVwK0r2tbvibNaKK4AzxHw/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>汽车业务：</strong></p><p><strong>交付量下滑叠加售价走低，内外承压</strong></p><p>无论市场如何炒作新概念，汽车销售仍是特斯拉的核心支柱业务。已有大量报道指出，2025 年第四季度，特斯拉汽车交付量同比暴跌 16%；全年交付量同比下降 9%，创下公司史上最差的季度同比表现，同时也是连续第二个财年交付量下滑。</p><p>此外，根据分析师的测算，截至 2025 年第三季度，特斯拉汽车的过去十二个月（TTM）平均售价已<span>跌破</span> 4 万美元。</p><p>市场预测，到 2029 年，特斯拉汽车年交付量有望达到 300 万辆，较 2025 年的 160 万辆实现增长。但这一目标的可行性，分析师深表怀疑 —— 毕竟，特斯拉正面临日益激烈的市场竞争。即便我们姑且认可这一偏乐观的预测，其对应的 2029 年交付量同比增速也仅为 28%，与 2023 年之前的高速增长时代相去甚远。要知道，彼时特斯拉尚未遭遇如此严重的声誉危机与竞争压力。</p><p>从区域市场的表现中，我们更能直观感受到特斯拉的困境。2025 年 11 月，中国新能源汽车市场整体销量同比增长 21%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XIACY\">小米</a>等中国本土品牌的交付量更是实现翻倍，而特斯拉在华销量却陷入同比停滞。</p><p>放眼全球市场，2025 年<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">比亚迪</a>的纯电动汽车销量已大幅超越特斯拉。而在欧洲市场，马斯克的立场引发了消费者的强烈抵触：2025 年 12 月，特斯拉在瑞典、法国、西班牙、比利时、葡萄牙的新车注册量同比分别暴跌 71%、66%、44%、28% 和 13%。从欧洲主要市场的全年数据初步判断，特斯拉 2025 年的注册量同比降幅约为 25%，市场份额持续萎缩。</p><p>雪上加霜的是，受美国本土政策支持力度减弱等因素影响，2026 年全球新能源汽车销量的整体增速预计将显著放缓。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLciaWMQ0QPFPFmoNQtcVWichXhCuZB2x0BS879mNfIl6Lz8r5HIRlqLj6w/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>估值泡沫：</strong></p><p><strong>人形机器人预期已被过度透支</strong></p><p>我们不妨暂且采信马斯克的说法 —— 预计到 2026 或 2027 年，特斯拉 Optimus 人形机器人的销量将突破 100 万台，单价或达 2.25 万美元，对应潜在营收约 225 亿美元。</p><p>但从下图的市场一致预期中可以看出，这部分潜在营收早已被<strong>完全计入当前估值</strong>。在覆盖特斯拉的 34 位分析师中，最乐观的预测认为，公司 2027 年的年化营收将较 2025 年增长 720 亿美元。由此可见，市场对特斯拉的预期已然达到了 “只能成功、不能失败” 的极端程度。</p><p>即便以这份极度乐观的 2027 年营收预期为基准，特斯拉当前对应的远期市盈率仍高达 147 倍。在之前的分析中，分析师曾从多个角度拆解特斯拉的估值，结论早已不言而喻：其估值水平早已脱离基本面，荒谬至极。而时至今日，这一结论依然成立。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdKLTlW17KYicXbduwZsUSFEKA3QhDoZBDRLD4pI17USiafzA7ib7ZgicBniaIKocAFvdFCDFy7DSsRicKibw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p>数据来源：营收预期（Seeking Alpha）</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdJ3W4gruZ6lz6pj1cuQvXYHzFTgv6zBDxN3hjm1PtXPLNKCakI3eyW9mPqibvjCvXwDia0vaM9Nht8w/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>结语</strong></p><p>在竞争白热化的新能源汽车市场，特斯拉正面临交付量下滑与售价走低的双重压力；储能业务虽有增长，但增速放缓、单位营收下滑的隐忧日益凸显。人形机器人等新兴业务的潜在收益，早已被市场透支殆尽，当前估值完全建立在充满不确定性的预期之上。</p><p>更致命的是，创始人的政治立场引发的品牌声誉危机，以及由此带来的核心人物风险，正在持续损害公司的用户基础与市场竞争力。</p><p>综合来看，特斯拉已不再是一家高速成长的企业，反而是正陷入衰退的泥潭。对投资者而言，现在正是最后的离场时机。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdJlQNwm5fnHWnfblqB1P5B3gLTjg6j6dT5IyOFclcldYqPQickKMUqicdaXvibXdEb4OibV97CAwGO6TQ/640?wx_fmt=other&amp;wxfrom=5&amp;wx_lazy=1&amp;tp=webp#imgIndex=5\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdKnkt8t5QpwjNQOKyGlZz4SFiacicdM3aP4hZVCfGia7HbIYBoDxz2gubPAgoXDXhfrcLIfT2eG92icfw/640?wx_fmt=other&amp;from=appmsg&amp;wxfrom=5&amp;wx_lazy=1&amp;tp=webp#imgIndex=6\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/dR7EpbvovdLt0fplojSTcIf4vTY1fP5f5VhIsL3QI5iaHIficMHKVzpaxPOM0yB24Zgs1PJlLHXFs5UXKRic0iaTxA/640?wx_fmt=gif&amp;from=appmsg&amp;wxfrom=5&amp;wx_lazy=1&amp;tp=webp#imgIndex=7\"/></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉：一家或将陷入衰退的成长型企业</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉：一家或将陷入衰退的成长型企业\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-07 19:16 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260107192635a4a7912b&s=b><strong>美股研究社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>用户群体的疏远与核心人物风险我们不会深入探讨多头最看重的三大炒作概念 —— 完全自动驾驶（FSD）、人工智能与机器人技术。原因很简单，这三项业务至今均未产生实质性的财务收益，依旧停留在投机阶段。即便未来其中一项或多项业务能够取得成功，也必须正视一个现实：这些领域的竞争都异常激烈，而特斯拉在切入这些赛道时，已然因创始人的政治立场卷入争议，导致品牌声誉受损，暴露出显著的核心人物风险。近年来，市场上一直...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260107192635a4a7912b&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","BK4543":"AI","TSYW.SI":"TESLA 3xLongSG261006","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","BK4516":"特朗普概念","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4555":"新能源车","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4612":"AI芯片","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260107192635a4a7912b&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2601877535","content_text":"用户群体的疏远与核心人物风险我们不会深入探讨多头最看重的三大炒作概念 —— 完全自动驾驶（FSD）、人工智能与机器人技术。原因很简单，这三项业务至今均未产生实质性的财务收益，依旧停留在投机阶段。即便未来其中一项或多项业务能够取得成功，也必须正视一个现实：这些领域的竞争都异常激烈，而特斯拉在切入这些赛道时，已然因创始人的政治立场卷入争议，导致品牌声誉受损，暴露出显著的核心人物风险。近年来，市场上一直流传着 “过度追求政治正确，终将反噬企业经营” 的说法，而这一道理反过来同样成立。特斯拉因立场问题疏远了至少半数消费者，进而可能损害用户信任 —— 这对公司的发展而言，无疑是一剂毒药。【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】储能业务：装机量增长放缓，单位营收持续下滑接下来聚焦特斯拉的核心实体业务 —— 汽车制造与储能系统。在所有业务指标中，储能装机量（GWh）是特斯拉唯一能拿出手的增长数据。2025 年第四季度，公司储能装机量达到 14.2 吉瓦时的历史新高；全年装机量累计达 46.7 吉瓦时，展现出强劲的扩张态势。但光鲜数据的背后，是同比增速的快速滑落：2025 年储能装机量同比增幅为 49%，远低于 2024 年的 114% 与 2023 年的 126%。市场预测，到 2029 年，这一增速将进一步放缓至 26%，对应装机量约 141.8 吉瓦时。与装机量增速放缓相伴而来的，是单位装机量营收的持续走低。2020 至 2021 年，特斯拉每吉瓦时储能装机量能创造近 7 亿美元的营收；而到了 2025 年第二季度，这一数值已腰斩过半，降至 2.89 亿美元；第三季度进一步下滑至 2.76 亿美元。值得注意的是，过去五个季度里，储能业务的毛利率基本稳定在 25% 至 31% 的区间。综上，储能业务虽是特斯拉目前唯一具备实际增长潜力的板块，但该业务正面临 “装机量增速放缓、单位营收持续下滑” 的双重压力。汽车业务：交付量下滑叠加售价走低，内外承压无论市场如何炒作新概念，汽车销售仍是特斯拉的核心支柱业务。已有大量报道指出，2025 年第四季度，特斯拉汽车交付量同比暴跌 16%；全年交付量同比下降 9%，创下公司史上最差的季度同比表现，同时也是连续第二个财年交付量下滑。此外，根据分析师的测算，截至 2025 年第三季度，特斯拉汽车的过去十二个月（TTM）平均售价已跌破 4 万美元。市场预测，到 2029 年，特斯拉汽车年交付量有望达到 300 万辆，较 2025 年的 160 万辆实现增长。但这一目标的可行性，分析师深表怀疑 —— 毕竟，特斯拉正面临日益激烈的市场竞争。即便我们姑且认可这一偏乐观的预测，其对应的 2029 年交付量同比增速也仅为 28%，与 2023 年之前的高速增长时代相去甚远。要知道，彼时特斯拉尚未遭遇如此严重的声誉危机与竞争压力。从区域市场的表现中，我们更能直观感受到特斯拉的困境。2025 年 11 月，中国新能源汽车市场整体销量同比增长 21%，小米等中国本土品牌的交付量更是实现翻倍，而特斯拉在华销量却陷入同比停滞。放眼全球市场，2025 年比亚迪的纯电动汽车销量已大幅超越特斯拉。而在欧洲市场，马斯克的立场引发了消费者的强烈抵触：2025 年 12 月，特斯拉在瑞典、法国、西班牙、比利时、葡萄牙的新车注册量同比分别暴跌 71%、66%、44%、28% 和 13%。从欧洲主要市场的全年数据初步判断，特斯拉 2025 年的注册量同比降幅约为 25%，市场份额持续萎缩。雪上加霜的是，受美国本土政策支持力度减弱等因素影响，2026 年全球新能源汽车销量的整体增速预计将显著放缓。估值泡沫：人形机器人预期已被过度透支我们不妨暂且采信马斯克的说法 —— 预计到 2026 或 2027 年，特斯拉 Optimus 人形机器人的销量将突破 100 万台，单价或达 2.25 万美元，对应潜在营收约 225 亿美元。但从下图的市场一致预期中可以看出，这部分潜在营收早已被完全计入当前估值。在覆盖特斯拉的 34 位分析师中，最乐观的预测认为，公司 2027 年的年化营收将较 2025 年增长 720 亿美元。由此可见，市场对特斯拉的预期已然达到了 “只能成功、不能失败” 的极端程度。即便以这份极度乐观的 2027 年营收预期为基准，特斯拉当前对应的远期市盈率仍高达 147 倍。在之前的分析中，分析师曾从多个角度拆解特斯拉的估值，结论早已不言而喻：其估值水平早已脱离基本面，荒谬至极。而时至今日，这一结论依然成立。数据来源：营收预期（Seeking Alpha）结语在竞争白热化的新能源汽车市场，特斯拉正面临交付量下滑与售价走低的双重压力；储能业务虽有增长，但增速放缓、单位营收下滑的隐忧日益凸显。人形机器人等新兴业务的潜在收益，早已被市场透支殆尽，当前估值完全建立在充满不确定性的预期之上。更致命的是，创始人的政治立场引发的品牌声誉危机，以及由此带来的核心人物风险，正在持续损害公司的用户基础与市场竞争力。综合来看，特斯拉已不再是一家高速成长的企业，反而是正陷入衰退的泥潭。对投资者而言，现在正是最后的离场时机。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSYW.SI":0.6,"TSLA":1.98}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511988668543896,"gmtCreate":1766024272961,"gmtModify":1766024916854,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577104682622234","authorIdStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"那就做空去啊，逼逼什么呢？","listText":"那就做空去啊，逼逼什么呢？","text":"那就做空去啊，逼逼什么呢？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511988668543896","repostId":"2592172928","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2592172928","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1766023774,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2592172928?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-18 10:09","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"机构警告：扣除自动驾驶和能源业务，特斯拉汽车业务每股价值只有30到40美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2592172928","media":"格隆汇","summary":"William Blair能源研究主管Jed Dorsheimer表示，特斯拉汽车业务的权重其实被大幅淡化了，我们在部分加总分析中指出，汽车本业每股价值其实只有大约30到40美元。Dorsheimer","content":"<html><body><p>William Blair能源研究主管Jed Dorsheimer表示，特斯拉汽车业务的权重其实被大幅淡化了，我们在部分加总分析中指出，汽车本业每股价值其实只有大约30到40美元。Dorsheimer认为，目前股价几乎完全是对尚未完全实现的未来下注，这场“转型”其实已经完成——市场不再以电动车交付量来评价特斯拉，而是聚焦在其机器人与AI的进展。\n根据他的分析，自动驾驶如今已占特斯拉整体价值超过70%，包括长期承诺的Robotaxi平台以及人形机器人Optimus。能源业务的成长也非常明显，其价值已经与汽车业务相当，甚至可能略高。从部分加总的角度来看，若扣除市场对自动驾驶软件与能源储存事业的高度期待，剩下的电动车公司本体，相对目前股价显得大幅被高估。Dorsheimer看好特斯拉长期的能源布局，并指出能源事业是市场尚未充分重视、却极具潜力的未来获利引擎。</p></body></html>","source":"live_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>机构警告：扣除自动驾驶和能源业务，特斯拉汽车业务每股价值只有30到40美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n机构警告：扣除自动驾驶和能源业务，特斯拉汽车业务每股价值只有30到40美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-18 10:09 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>William Blair能源研究主管Jed Dorsheimer表示，特斯拉汽车业务的权重其实被大幅淡化了，我们在部分加总分析中指出，汽车本业每股价值其实只有大约30到40美元。Dorsheimer认为，目前股价几乎完全是对尚未完全实现的未来下注，这场“转型”其实已经完成——市场不再以电动车交付量来评价特斯拉，而是聚焦在其机器人与AI的进展。\n根据他的分析，自动驾驶如今已占特斯拉整体价值超过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4612":"AI芯片","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","TSYW.SI":"TESLA 3xLongSG261006","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4543":"AI","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","BK4516":"特朗普概念","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","BK4555":"新能源车","LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2592172928","content_text":"William Blair能源研究主管Jed Dorsheimer表示，特斯拉汽车业务的权重其实被大幅淡化了，我们在部分加总分析中指出，汽车本业每股价值其实只有大约30到40美元。Dorsheimer认为，目前股价几乎完全是对尚未完全实现的未来下注，这场“转型”其实已经完成——市场不再以电动车交付量来评价特斯拉，而是聚焦在其机器人与AI的进展。\n根据他的分析，自动驾驶如今已占特斯拉整体价值超过70%，包括长期承诺的Robotaxi平台以及人形机器人Optimus。能源业务的成长也非常明显，其价值已经与汽车业务相当，甚至可能略高。从部分加总的角度来看，若扣除市场对自动驾驶软件与能源储存事业的高度期待，剩下的电动车公司本体，相对目前股价显得大幅被高估。Dorsheimer看好特斯拉长期的能源布局，并指出能源事业是市场尚未充分重视、却极具潜力的未来获利引擎。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1.97,"TSYW.SI":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":506514989351944,"gmtCreate":1764691566920,"gmtModify":1764691611985,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577104682622234","authorIdStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 这货靠蒙对一把金融危机，打算靠这吃一辈子了，上次他就做空过特斯拉，屁股被爆开花，这次又来了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 这货靠蒙对一把金融危机，打算靠这吃一辈子了，上次他就做空过特斯拉，屁股被爆开花，这次又来了","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这货靠蒙对一把金融危机，打算靠这吃一辈子了，上次他就做空过特斯拉，屁股被爆开花，这次又来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/506514989351944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000618","authorId":"9000000000000618","name":"EarlBoyle","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000618","authorIdStr":"9000000000000618"},"content":"這空頭老哥真是屢敗屢戰啊[笑哭]","text":"這空頭老哥真是屢敗屢戰啊[笑哭]","html":"這空頭老哥真是屢敗屢戰啊[笑哭]"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"StewardTout","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9833086a2eb5862f61e00a211a246a76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000382","authorIdStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"空头老哥又來送人頭了[吃瓜]","text":"空头老哥又來送人頭了[吃瓜]","html":"空头老哥又來送人頭了[吃瓜]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":479773364109312,"gmtCreate":1758156529259,"gmtModify":1758160159544,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577104682622234","authorIdStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"太假了！这么没节操吗？","listText":"太假了！这么没节操吗？","text":"太假了！这么没节操吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479773364109312","repostId":"2568445968","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2568445968","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1758153958,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2568445968?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-09-18 08:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"10000台！特斯拉机器人斩获史上最大订单","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2568445968","media":"机器人领航员","summary":"马斯克的万亿薪酬赌局开始了这回真的爆了！特斯拉Optimus Gen3刚刚拿下了全球首个外部订单——整整1万台！采购方PharmAGRI制药公司计划用这些机器人实现药物生产流程的自动化，确保精准控制和高效率。而这还只是开始。马斯克自己也在疯狂加码：9月12日，他个人掏出10亿美元买入特斯拉股票，背后还绑着一个“疯狂薪酬计划”——如果他能在未来交付100万台Optimus，就能解锁价值1.2万亿美元的股票奖励。Optimus Gen3+ 有多强——它在特斯拉工厂里已经验证过，效率比人工高30%，未来成本甚至有望压到2万美元以下。也就是说，它不只“能干”，还“便宜得惊人”。","content":"<html><body><article><p>马斯克的万亿薪酬赌局开始了</p><p>这回真的爆了！<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>Optimus Gen3刚刚拿下了全球首个外部订单——整整1万台！采购方PharmAGRI制药公司计划用这些机器人实现药物生产流程的自动化，确保精准控制和高效率。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/gXwSBLiaU0hTqCdL5B5AFE6TAsUhoEzwIJnHvruYWbxeZibUGW3w9Nu68q5wQ3WSSBUKibcxlVXzsSgNMCnTxJib1w/640?wx_fmt=jpeg\"/><p>而这还只是开始。马斯克自己也在疯狂加码：9月12日，他个人掏出10亿美元买入特斯拉股票，背后还绑着一个“疯狂薪酬计划”——如果他能在未来交付100万台Optimus，就能解锁价值1.2万亿美元的股票奖励。</p><p>Optimus Gen3+ 有多强——它在特斯拉工厂里已经验证过，效率比人工高30%，未来成本甚至有望压到2万美元以下。也就是说，它不只“能干”，还“便宜得惊人”。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10000台！特斯拉机器人斩获史上最大订单</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10000台！特斯拉机器人斩获史上最大订单\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-09-18 08:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250918080353a72721ae&s=b><strong>机器人领航员</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>马斯克的万亿薪酬赌局开始了这回真的爆了！特斯拉Optimus Gen3刚刚拿下了全球首个外部订单——整整1万台！采购方PharmAGRI制药公司计划用这些机器人实现药物生产流程的自动化，确保精准控制和高效率。而这还只是开始。马斯克自己也在疯狂加码：9月12日，他个人掏出10亿美元买入特斯拉股票，背后还绑着一个“疯狂薪酬计划”——如果他能在未来交付100万台Optimus，就能解锁价值1.2万亿美元...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250918080353a72721ae&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4574":"无人驾驶","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","TSLL":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Direxion","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","TSYW.SI":"TESLA 3xLongSG261006"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250918080353a72721ae&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2568445968","content_text":"马斯克的万亿薪酬赌局开始了这回真的爆了！特斯拉Optimus Gen3刚刚拿下了全球首个外部订单——整整1万台！采购方PharmAGRI制药公司计划用这些机器人实现药物生产流程的自动化，确保精准控制和高效率。而这还只是开始。马斯克自己也在疯狂加码：9月12日，他个人掏出10亿美元买入特斯拉股票，背后还绑着一个“疯狂薪酬计划”——如果他能在未来交付100万台Optimus，就能解锁价值1.2万亿美元的股票奖励。Optimus Gen3+ 有多强——它在特斯拉工厂里已经验证过，效率比人工高30%，未来成本甚至有望压到2万美元以下。也就是说，它不只“能干”，还“便宜得惊人”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSYW.SI":0.6,"TSLA":1.5,"TSLL":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":409333746979008,"gmtCreate":1740952927562,"gmtModify":1740965332788,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577104682622234","authorIdStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"打什么嘴炮，干就完了。各人为自己的认知买单，又不是不能卖空。谁跟钱过不去呢，大胆作多或者大胆做空，验证你的认知！","listText":"打什么嘴炮，干就完了。各人为自己的认知买单，又不是不能卖空。谁跟钱过不去呢，大胆作多或者大胆做空，验证你的认知！","text":"打什么嘴炮，干就完了。各人为自己的认知买单，又不是不能卖空。谁跟钱过不去呢，大胆作多或者大胆做空，验证你的认知！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/409333746979008","repostId":"2514543325","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2514543325","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1740747550,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2514543325?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-02-28 20:59","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"股价“自由落体”式崩跌40%！特斯拉跌出万亿俱乐部恐怕只是开始","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2514543325","media":"智通财经","summary":"本周股价约17%的跌幅表明，特斯拉核心汽车业务的放缓正开始令交易员感到不安。特斯拉今年麻烦不断。分析师预计，特斯拉短期内不会对其全自动驾驶汽车计划做出有意义的更新。期权交易员为防范特斯拉股价下跌所支付的溢价达到了自去年8月市场暴跌以来的最高水平。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>随着<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价持续下挫，部分投资者正为未来更大的下跌空间做准备。</p><p>这家由马斯克领导的电动汽车公司股价已较2024年末高点下跌约40%，这一跌势在近期加速，原因是数据显示特斯拉1月在欧洲的汽车销量近乎腰斩。本周股价约17%的跌幅表明，特斯拉核心汽车业务的放缓正开始令交易员感到不安。对于一只涨跌在很大程度上取决于投资者热情而非基本面的股票来说，这并不是什么好消息。</p><p>“对于像特斯拉这样估值高昂的股票，真正的难题在于难以判断其底部，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBKR\">盈透证券</a>首席策略师Steve Sosnick表示，“由于特斯拉长期以来一直违背传统估值标准，其底部更多取决于投资者情绪，而非价值投资者可能使用的常规指标。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3351dc6eb27aa808ea4609caca3d3438\" tg-width=\"486\" tg-height=\"272\"/></p><p>特斯拉今年麻烦不断。美国总统大选后，由于投资者押注马斯克将受益于与美国总统特朗普的密切关系，其股价不断飙升。但今年1月，该公司报告了疲弱的第四季度交付数据，年度销售额出现十多年来的首次下滑，投资者信心随之减弱。随后发布的财报显示季度利润低于预期，同时公司下调了2025年的销售展望。</p><p>本周，特斯拉市值自去年11月以来首次跌破1万亿美元，使其在美国最具价值公司的排名中落后于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦(BRK.A.US)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>(AVGO.US)。其股价距离追平历史上最长的连跌纪录仅一步之遥。</p><p><strong>缺乏催化剂</strong></p><p>目前，可以推动特斯拉股价上涨的催化剂寥寥无几。分析师预计，特斯拉短期内不会对其全自动驾驶汽车计划做出有意义的更新。近日，特斯拉FSD辅助驾驶功能在中国正式上线，订阅价格为6.4万元人民币。然而，相比之下，竞争对手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>(01211)本月早些时候表示，未来几乎所有车型都将免费配备高级驾驶辅助功能。另外，马斯克对政治事务的专注也令投资者感到担忧，他们希望马斯克能花更多时间经营这家电动汽车制造商。</p><p>特斯拉的高估值是另一个需要谨慎的理由。特斯拉股票的远期市盈率为92倍，相比之下，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数为21倍，特斯拉的大型科技股同行平均为28倍。其近期股价下跌正值大盘走弱之际，标普500指数从本月创下的历史高点下跌了约5%。</p><p>上述任何一个因素都可能是部分投资者准备迎接更多动荡，而非逢低买入的原因。衡量期权头寸的一项指标——一个月期权的隐含偏斜度——在上周自去年11月以来首次转为看跌，这表明交易员正在寻求防范未来股价下跌的保护。期权交易员为防范特斯拉股价下跌所支付的溢价达到了自去年8月市场暴跌以来的最高水平。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718c445d97d3ddbd58fbd2b6e81a81b1\" tg-width=\"499\" tg-height=\"276\"/></p><p>研究图表以预测股票走势的技术策略师同样谨慎。其中一个原因是该股票当前下跌的强劲势头，以及其过往剧烈波动的历史。</p><p>Fundstrat技术策略主管Mark Newton预计，该股将从275美元的水平反弹，这一价位意味着将较周四收盘价低约2.5%。他表示，若跌破这一价位，该股可能会进一步试探260美元的支撑位，这是该股在大选前曾触及的水平。</p><p>诚然，即便是最看空特斯拉的投资者也清楚，即使基本面看起来很糟糕，这只股票的情绪也可能瞬间扭转。最近的例子出现在大选后的反弹期间，当时公司股价在短短29个交易日内几乎翻了一番。</p><p>然而，Roundhill Financial首席执行官David Mazza表示，那些指望出现转机的投资者可能会经历一段艰难时期。</p><p>他表示：“我们预计特斯拉短期内仍将继续承压，因为投资者在权衡马斯克‘第一伙伴’溢价带来的好处与电动汽车业务在战略重要市场挣扎的现实。鉴于这些相互矛盾的叙事，很难说这只股票的正确走势是什么。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>股价“自由落体”式崩跌40%！特斯拉跌出万亿俱乐部恐怕只是开始</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n股价“自由落体”式崩跌40%！特斯拉跌出万亿俱乐部恐怕只是开始\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-02-28 20:59 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1256421.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>随着特斯拉股价持续下挫，部分投资者正为未来更大的下跌空间做准备。这家由马斯克领导的电动汽车公司股价已较2024年末高点下跌约40%，这一跌势在近期加速，原因是数据显示特斯拉1月在欧洲的汽车销量近乎腰斩。本周股价约17%的跌幅表明，特斯拉核心汽车业务的放缓正开始令交易员感到不安。对于一只涨跌在很大程度上取决于投资者热情而非基本面的股票来说，这并不是什么好消息。“对于像特斯拉这样估值高昂的股票，真正的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1256421.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e0d9f23e003547a93295253f05b6a55","relate_stocks":{"LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4516":"特朗普概念","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","BK4588":"碎股","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4604":"机器人概念","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1256421.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2514543325","content_text":"随着特斯拉股价持续下挫，部分投资者正为未来更大的下跌空间做准备。这家由马斯克领导的电动汽车公司股价已较2024年末高点下跌约40%，这一跌势在近期加速，原因是数据显示特斯拉1月在欧洲的汽车销量近乎腰斩。本周股价约17%的跌幅表明，特斯拉核心汽车业务的放缓正开始令交易员感到不安。对于一只涨跌在很大程度上取决于投资者热情而非基本面的股票来说，这并不是什么好消息。“对于像特斯拉这样估值高昂的股票，真正的难题在于难以判断其底部，”盈透证券首席策略师Steve Sosnick表示，“由于特斯拉长期以来一直违背传统估值标准，其底部更多取决于投资者情绪，而非价值投资者可能使用的常规指标。”特斯拉今年麻烦不断。美国总统大选后，由于投资者押注马斯克将受益于与美国总统特朗普的密切关系，其股价不断飙升。但今年1月，该公司报告了疲弱的第四季度交付数据，年度销售额出现十多年来的首次下滑，投资者信心随之减弱。随后发布的财报显示季度利润低于预期，同时公司下调了2025年的销售展望。本周，特斯拉市值自去年11月以来首次跌破1万亿美元，使其在美国最具价值公司的排名中落后于伯克希尔哈撒韦(BRK.A.US)和博通(AVGO.US)。其股价距离追平历史上最长的连跌纪录仅一步之遥。缺乏催化剂目前，可以推动特斯拉股价上涨的催化剂寥寥无几。分析师预计，特斯拉短期内不会对其全自动驾驶汽车计划做出有意义的更新。近日，特斯拉FSD辅助驾驶功能在中国正式上线，订阅价格为6.4万元人民币。然而，相比之下，竞争对手比亚迪(01211)本月早些时候表示，未来几乎所有车型都将免费配备高级驾驶辅助功能。另外，马斯克对政治事务的专注也令投资者感到担忧，他们希望马斯克能花更多时间经营这家电动汽车制造商。特斯拉的高估值是另一个需要谨慎的理由。特斯拉股票的远期市盈率为92倍，相比之下，标普500指数为21倍，特斯拉的大型科技股同行平均为28倍。其近期股价下跌正值大盘走弱之际，标普500指数从本月创下的历史高点下跌了约5%。上述任何一个因素都可能是部分投资者准备迎接更多动荡，而非逢低买入的原因。衡量期权头寸的一项指标——一个月期权的隐含偏斜度——在上周自去年11月以来首次转为看跌，这表明交易员正在寻求防范未来股价下跌的保护。期权交易员为防范特斯拉股价下跌所支付的溢价达到了自去年8月市场暴跌以来的最高水平。研究图表以预测股票走势的技术策略师同样谨慎。其中一个原因是该股票当前下跌的强劲势头，以及其过往剧烈波动的历史。Fundstrat技术策略主管Mark Newton预计，该股将从275美元的水平反弹，这一价位意味着将较周四收盘价低约2.5%。他表示，若跌破这一价位，该股可能会进一步试探260美元的支撑位，这是该股在大选前曾触及的水平。诚然，即便是最看空特斯拉的投资者也清楚，即使基本面看起来很糟糕，这只股票的情绪也可能瞬间扭转。最近的例子出现在大选后的反弹期间，当时公司股价在短短29个交易日内几乎翻了一番。然而，Roundhill Financial首席执行官David Mazza表示，那些指望出现转机的投资者可能会经历一段艰难时期。他表示：“我们预计特斯拉短期内仍将继续承压，因为投资者在权衡马斯克‘第一伙伴’溢价带来的好处与电动汽车业务在战略重要市场挣扎的现实。鉴于这些相互矛盾的叙事，很难说这只股票的正确走势是什么。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318218558591240,"gmtCreate":1718728629625,"gmtModify":1718732439655,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577104682622234","authorIdStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"那你就抓紧点做空啊，你的判断如此坚定有力，如何能错过这做空盛宴","listText":"那你就抓紧点做空啊，你的判断如此坚定有力，如何能错过这做空盛宴","text":"那你就抓紧点做空啊，你的判断如此坚定有力，如何能错过这做空盛宴","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318218558591240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":506514989351944,"gmtCreate":1764691566920,"gmtModify":1764691611985,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577104682622234","idStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 这货靠蒙对一把金融危机，打算靠这吃一辈子了，上次他就做空过特斯拉，屁股被爆开花，这次又来了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 这货靠蒙对一把金融危机，打算靠这吃一辈子了，上次他就做空过特斯拉，屁股被爆开花，这次又来了","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这货靠蒙对一把金融危机，打算靠这吃一辈子了，上次他就做空过特斯拉，屁股被爆开花，这次又来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/506514989351944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000618","authorId":"9000000000000618","name":"EarlBoyle","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000618","idStr":"9000000000000618"},"content":"這空頭老哥真是屢敗屢戰啊[笑哭]","text":"這空頭老哥真是屢敗屢戰啊[笑哭]","html":"這空頭老哥真是屢敗屢戰啊[笑哭]"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000382","authorId":"9000000000000382","name":"StewardTout","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9833086a2eb5862f61e00a211a246a76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"9000000000000382","idStr":"9000000000000382"},"content":"空头老哥又來送人頭了[吃瓜]","text":"空头老哥又來送人頭了[吃瓜]","html":"空头老哥又來送人頭了[吃瓜]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":519624606548216,"gmtCreate":1767843613259,"gmtModify":1767846083700,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577104682622234","idStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"“畜牧教主马斯克\"，不知道做空了没有，这货做空的话虽然裤衩都没了，但还算条汉子。最贱的就是，整天唱衰，又怂又菜，做空都不敢。","listText":"“畜牧教主马斯克\"，不知道做空了没有，这货做空的话虽然裤衩都没了，但还算条汉子。最贱的就是，整天唱衰，又怂又菜，做空都不敢。","text":"“畜牧教主马斯克\"，不知道做空了没有，这货做空的话虽然裤衩都没了，但还算条汉子。最贱的就是，整天唱衰，又怂又菜，做空都不敢。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/519624606548216","repostId":"2601877535","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2601877535","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1767784565,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2601877535?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-07 19:16","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉：一家或将陷入衰退的成长型企业","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2601877535","media":"美股研究社","summary":"综上，储能业务虽是特斯拉目前唯一具备实际增长潜力的板块，但该业务正面临 “装机量增速放缓、单位营收持续下滑” 的双重压力。要知道，彼时特斯拉尚未遭遇如此严重的声誉危机与竞争压力。综合来看，特斯拉已不再是一家高速成长的企业，反而是正陷入衰退的泥潭。","content":"<html><body><article><p><strong>用户群体的疏远与核心人物风险</strong></p><p>我们不会深入探讨多头最看重的三大炒作概念 —— 完全自动驾驶（FSD）、人工智能与机器人技术。原因很简单，这三项业务至今均未产生实质性的财务收益，依旧停留在投机阶段。</p><p>即便未来其中一项或多项业务能够取得成功，也必须正视一个现实：这些领域的竞争都异常激烈，而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>在切入这些赛道时，已然因创始人的政治立场卷入争议，导致品牌声誉受损，暴露出显著的<strong>核心人物风险</strong>。近年来，市场上一直流传着 “过度追求政治正确，终将反噬企业经营” 的说法，而这一道理反过来同样成立。特斯拉因立场问题疏远了至少半数消费者，进而可能损害用户信任 —— 这对公司的发展而言，无疑是一剂毒药。</p><img src=\"\"/><p>【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLcrVAEs2bhwIEUP4FfvianI8UkwWsmGS8QGt9FUCfIVia1npfInK1SOWWQ/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>储能业务：</strong></p><p><strong>装机量增长放缓，单位营收持续下滑</strong></p><p>接下来聚焦特斯拉的核心实体业务 —— 汽车制造与储能系统。在所有业务指标中，储能装机量（GWh）是特斯拉唯一能拿出手的增长数据。2025 年第四季度，公司储能装机量达到 14.2 吉瓦时的历史新高；全年装机量累计达 46.7 吉瓦时，展现出强劲的扩张态势。</p><p>但光鲜数据的背后，是<strong>同比增速的快速滑落</strong>：2025 年储能装机量同比增幅为 49%，远低于 2024 年的 114% 与 2023 年的 126%。市场预测，到 2029 年，这一增速将进一步放缓至 26%，对应装机量约 141.8 吉瓦时。</p><p>与装机量增速放缓相伴而来的，是<strong>单位装机量营收的持续走低</strong>。2020 至 2021 年，特斯拉每吉瓦时储能装机量能创造近 7 亿美元的营收；而到了 2025 年第二季度，这一数值已腰斩过半，降至 2.89 亿美元；第三季度进一步下滑至 2.76 亿美元。值得注意的是，过去五个季度里，储能业务的毛利率基本稳定在 25% 至 31% 的区间。</p><p>综上，储能业务虽是特斯拉目前唯一具备实际增长潜力的板块，但该业务正面临 “装机量增速放缓、单位营收持续下滑” 的双重压力。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLczbSMU66CbrBjDq7jpr5zsiclLE4DkRGuL9TVwK0r2tbvibNaKK4AzxHw/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>汽车业务：</strong></p><p><strong>交付量下滑叠加售价走低，内外承压</strong></p><p>无论市场如何炒作新概念，汽车销售仍是特斯拉的核心支柱业务。已有大量报道指出，2025 年第四季度，特斯拉汽车交付量同比暴跌 16%；全年交付量同比下降 9%，创下公司史上最差的季度同比表现，同时也是连续第二个财年交付量下滑。</p><p>此外，根据分析师的测算，截至 2025 年第三季度，特斯拉汽车的过去十二个月（TTM）平均售价已<span>跌破</span> 4 万美元。</p><p>市场预测，到 2029 年，特斯拉汽车年交付量有望达到 300 万辆，较 2025 年的 160 万辆实现增长。但这一目标的可行性，分析师深表怀疑 —— 毕竟，特斯拉正面临日益激烈的市场竞争。即便我们姑且认可这一偏乐观的预测，其对应的 2029 年交付量同比增速也仅为 28%，与 2023 年之前的高速增长时代相去甚远。要知道，彼时特斯拉尚未遭遇如此严重的声誉危机与竞争压力。</p><p>从区域市场的表现中，我们更能直观感受到特斯拉的困境。2025 年 11 月，中国新能源汽车市场整体销量同比增长 21%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XIACY\">小米</a>等中国本土品牌的交付量更是实现翻倍，而特斯拉在华销量却陷入同比停滞。</p><p>放眼全球市场，2025 年<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BYDDY\">比亚迪</a>的纯电动汽车销量已大幅超越特斯拉。而在欧洲市场，马斯克的立场引发了消费者的强烈抵触：2025 年 12 月，特斯拉在瑞典、法国、西班牙、比利时、葡萄牙的新车注册量同比分别暴跌 71%、66%、44%、28% 和 13%。从欧洲主要市场的全年数据初步判断，特斯拉 2025 年的注册量同比降幅约为 25%，市场份额持续萎缩。</p><p>雪上加霜的是，受美国本土政策支持力度减弱等因素影响，2026 年全球新能源汽车销量的整体增速预计将显著放缓。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdKBibR2JMaxUNVoEYIawaicLciaWMQ0QPFPFmoNQtcVWichXhCuZB2x0BS879mNfIl6Lz8r5HIRlqLj6w/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>估值泡沫：</strong></p><p><strong>人形机器人预期已被过度透支</strong></p><p>我们不妨暂且采信马斯克的说法 —— 预计到 2026 或 2027 年，特斯拉 Optimus 人形机器人的销量将突破 100 万台，单价或达 2.25 万美元，对应潜在营收约 225 亿美元。</p><p>但从下图的市场一致预期中可以看出，这部分潜在营收早已被<strong>完全计入当前估值</strong>。在覆盖特斯拉的 34 位分析师中，最乐观的预测认为，公司 2027 年的年化营收将较 2025 年增长 720 亿美元。由此可见，市场对特斯拉的预期已然达到了 “只能成功、不能失败” 的极端程度。</p><p>即便以这份极度乐观的 2027 年营收预期为基准，特斯拉当前对应的远期市盈率仍高达 147 倍。在之前的分析中，分析师曾从多个角度拆解特斯拉的估值，结论早已不言而喻：其估值水平早已脱离基本面，荒谬至极。而时至今日，这一结论依然成立。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdKLTlW17KYicXbduwZsUSFEKA3QhDoZBDRLD4pI17USiafzA7ib7ZgicBniaIKocAFvdFCDFy7DSsRicKibw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p>数据来源：营收预期（Seeking Alpha）</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_png/dR7EpbvovdJ3W4gruZ6lz6pj1cuQvXYHzFTgv6zBDxN3hjm1PtXPLNKCakI3eyW9mPqibvjCvXwDia0vaM9Nht8w/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p><strong>结语</strong></p><p>在竞争白热化的新能源汽车市场，特斯拉正面临交付量下滑与售价走低的双重压力；储能业务虽有增长，但增速放缓、单位营收下滑的隐忧日益凸显。人形机器人等新兴业务的潜在收益，早已被市场透支殆尽，当前估值完全建立在充满不确定性的预期之上。</p><p>更致命的是，创始人的政治立场引发的品牌声誉危机，以及由此带来的核心人物风险，正在持续损害公司的用户基础与市场竞争力。</p><p>综合来看，特斯拉已不再是一家高速成长的企业，反而是正陷入衰退的泥潭。对投资者而言，现在正是最后的离场时机。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdJlQNwm5fnHWnfblqB1P5B3gLTjg6j6dT5IyOFclcldYqPQickKMUqicdaXvibXdEb4OibV97CAwGO6TQ/640?wx_fmt=other&amp;wxfrom=5&amp;wx_lazy=1&amp;tp=webp#imgIndex=5\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/dR7EpbvovdKnkt8t5QpwjNQOKyGlZz4SFiacicdM3aP4hZVCfGia7HbIYBoDxz2gubPAgoXDXhfrcLIfT2eG92icfw/640?wx_fmt=other&amp;from=appmsg&amp;wxfrom=5&amp;wx_lazy=1&amp;tp=webp#imgIndex=6\"/><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/dR7EpbvovdLt0fplojSTcIf4vTY1fP5f5VhIsL3QI5iaHIficMHKVzpaxPOM0yB24Zgs1PJlLHXFs5UXKRic0iaTxA/640?wx_fmt=gif&amp;from=appmsg&amp;wxfrom=5&amp;wx_lazy=1&amp;tp=webp#imgIndex=7\"/></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉：一家或将陷入衰退的成长型企业</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉：一家或将陷入衰退的成长型企业\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-07 19:16 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260107192635a4a7912b&s=b><strong>美股研究社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>用户群体的疏远与核心人物风险我们不会深入探讨多头最看重的三大炒作概念 —— 完全自动驾驶（FSD）、人工智能与机器人技术。原因很简单，这三项业务至今均未产生实质性的财务收益，依旧停留在投机阶段。即便未来其中一项或多项业务能够取得成功，也必须正视一个现实：这些领域的竞争都异常激烈，而特斯拉在切入这些赛道时，已然因创始人的政治立场卷入争议，导致品牌声誉受损，暴露出显著的核心人物风险。近年来，市场上一直...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260107192635a4a7912b&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","BK4543":"AI","TSYW.SI":"TESLA 3xLongSG261006","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","BK4516":"特朗普概念","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4555":"新能源车","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","BK4612":"AI芯片","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260107192635a4a7912b&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2601877535","content_text":"用户群体的疏远与核心人物风险我们不会深入探讨多头最看重的三大炒作概念 —— 完全自动驾驶（FSD）、人工智能与机器人技术。原因很简单，这三项业务至今均未产生实质性的财务收益，依旧停留在投机阶段。即便未来其中一项或多项业务能够取得成功，也必须正视一个现实：这些领域的竞争都异常激烈，而特斯拉在切入这些赛道时，已然因创始人的政治立场卷入争议，导致品牌声誉受损，暴露出显著的核心人物风险。近年来，市场上一直流传着 “过度追求政治正确，终将反噬企业经营” 的说法，而这一道理反过来同样成立。特斯拉因立场问题疏远了至少半数消费者，进而可能损害用户信任 —— 这对公司的发展而言，无疑是一剂毒药。【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】储能业务：装机量增长放缓，单位营收持续下滑接下来聚焦特斯拉的核心实体业务 —— 汽车制造与储能系统。在所有业务指标中，储能装机量（GWh）是特斯拉唯一能拿出手的增长数据。2025 年第四季度，公司储能装机量达到 14.2 吉瓦时的历史新高；全年装机量累计达 46.7 吉瓦时，展现出强劲的扩张态势。但光鲜数据的背后，是同比增速的快速滑落：2025 年储能装机量同比增幅为 49%，远低于 2024 年的 114% 与 2023 年的 126%。市场预测，到 2029 年，这一增速将进一步放缓至 26%，对应装机量约 141.8 吉瓦时。与装机量增速放缓相伴而来的，是单位装机量营收的持续走低。2020 至 2021 年，特斯拉每吉瓦时储能装机量能创造近 7 亿美元的营收；而到了 2025 年第二季度，这一数值已腰斩过半，降至 2.89 亿美元；第三季度进一步下滑至 2.76 亿美元。值得注意的是，过去五个季度里，储能业务的毛利率基本稳定在 25% 至 31% 的区间。综上，储能业务虽是特斯拉目前唯一具备实际增长潜力的板块，但该业务正面临 “装机量增速放缓、单位营收持续下滑” 的双重压力。汽车业务：交付量下滑叠加售价走低，内外承压无论市场如何炒作新概念，汽车销售仍是特斯拉的核心支柱业务。已有大量报道指出，2025 年第四季度，特斯拉汽车交付量同比暴跌 16%；全年交付量同比下降 9%，创下公司史上最差的季度同比表现，同时也是连续第二个财年交付量下滑。此外，根据分析师的测算，截至 2025 年第三季度，特斯拉汽车的过去十二个月（TTM）平均售价已跌破 4 万美元。市场预测，到 2029 年，特斯拉汽车年交付量有望达到 300 万辆，较 2025 年的 160 万辆实现增长。但这一目标的可行性，分析师深表怀疑 —— 毕竟，特斯拉正面临日益激烈的市场竞争。即便我们姑且认可这一偏乐观的预测，其对应的 2029 年交付量同比增速也仅为 28%，与 2023 年之前的高速增长时代相去甚远。要知道，彼时特斯拉尚未遭遇如此严重的声誉危机与竞争压力。从区域市场的表现中，我们更能直观感受到特斯拉的困境。2025 年 11 月，中国新能源汽车市场整体销量同比增长 21%，小米等中国本土品牌的交付量更是实现翻倍，而特斯拉在华销量却陷入同比停滞。放眼全球市场，2025 年比亚迪的纯电动汽车销量已大幅超越特斯拉。而在欧洲市场，马斯克的立场引发了消费者的强烈抵触：2025 年 12 月，特斯拉在瑞典、法国、西班牙、比利时、葡萄牙的新车注册量同比分别暴跌 71%、66%、44%、28% 和 13%。从欧洲主要市场的全年数据初步判断，特斯拉 2025 年的注册量同比降幅约为 25%，市场份额持续萎缩。雪上加霜的是，受美国本土政策支持力度减弱等因素影响，2026 年全球新能源汽车销量的整体增速预计将显著放缓。估值泡沫：人形机器人预期已被过度透支我们不妨暂且采信马斯克的说法 —— 预计到 2026 或 2027 年，特斯拉 Optimus 人形机器人的销量将突破 100 万台，单价或达 2.25 万美元，对应潜在营收约 225 亿美元。但从下图的市场一致预期中可以看出，这部分潜在营收早已被完全计入当前估值。在覆盖特斯拉的 34 位分析师中，最乐观的预测认为，公司 2027 年的年化营收将较 2025 年增长 720 亿美元。由此可见，市场对特斯拉的预期已然达到了 “只能成功、不能失败” 的极端程度。即便以这份极度乐观的 2027 年营收预期为基准，特斯拉当前对应的远期市盈率仍高达 147 倍。在之前的分析中，分析师曾从多个角度拆解特斯拉的估值，结论早已不言而喻：其估值水平早已脱离基本面，荒谬至极。而时至今日，这一结论依然成立。数据来源：营收预期（Seeking Alpha）结语在竞争白热化的新能源汽车市场，特斯拉正面临交付量下滑与售价走低的双重压力；储能业务虽有增长，但增速放缓、单位营收下滑的隐忧日益凸显。人形机器人等新兴业务的潜在收益，早已被市场透支殆尽，当前估值完全建立在充满不确定性的预期之上。更致命的是，创始人的政治立场引发的品牌声誉危机，以及由此带来的核心人物风险，正在持续损害公司的用户基础与市场竞争力。综合来看，特斯拉已不再是一家高速成长的企业，反而是正陷入衰退的泥潭。对投资者而言，现在正是最后的离场时机。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSYW.SI":0.6,"TSLA":1.98}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":526968661643296,"gmtCreate":1769662671885,"gmtModify":1769663296644,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577104682622234","idStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"别逼逼了，快做空！发财大机会！","listText":"别逼逼了，快做空！发财大机会！","text":"别逼逼了，快做空！发财大机会！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/526968661643296","repostId":"2607775368","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2607775368","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1769653235,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2607775368?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-29 10:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克“食言”了，亲口承认特斯拉 Optimus 机器人并未在工厂承担实际工作","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2607775368","media":"IT之家","summary":"IT之家 1 月 29 日消息，北京时间今天早间，马斯克在特斯拉 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议上承认，公司目前还没有任何 Optimus 人形机器人在工厂里真正承担有用的工作。IT之家汇总时间线如下：2024 年 6 月：特斯拉官方账号曾宣称，公司已有两台Optimus 机器人在工厂里自主执行任务。财报电话会议上，有人直接追问特斯拉到底拥有多少台 Optimus 机器人，马斯克并未正面作答。在最新的股东更新中，特斯拉仍然强调 Optimus 有所推进。","content":"<html><body><article><p>IT之家 1 月 29 日消息，北京时间今天早间，马斯克在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议上承认，公司目前<strong>还没有任何 Optimus 人形机器人</strong>在工厂里<strong>真正承担有用的工作</strong>。</p><p>值得一提的是，过去两年里，马斯克一直在公开宣称“相反”的情况。IT之家汇总时间线如下：</p><p>2024 年 6 月：特斯拉官方账号曾宣称，公司<strong>已有两台</strong>Optimus 机器人在工厂里自主执行任务。</p><p>2024 年 6 月：在特斯拉股东大会上，马斯克表示，预计到 2025 年，会有<strong>1000-2000 台机器人</strong>进厂打工。</p><p>2025 年 1 月：在特斯拉 2024 年第四季度财报电话会议上，马斯克把目标抬得更高。“内部正常计划是今年<strong>大约制造 10000 台</strong>Optimus 机器人…… 到年底，这几千台 Optimus 机器人会做一些有用的事情吗？是的，<strong>我有信心</strong>会做一些有用的事情。”</p><p>2026 年 1 月：马斯克承认，目前 Optimus 机器人<strong>并没有在特斯拉工厂里发挥实质作用</strong>。“Optimus 仍然处于非常早期的阶段，还在研发阶段。Optimus 确实做过一些基本任务，但随着新版不断迭代，旧版本会被淘汰。目前 Optimus<strong>并没有在工厂里以实质性的方式投入使用</strong>，更多是为了<strong>让机器人学习</strong>。我们预计要到今年年底，才可能出现任何显著的 Optimus 产量。”</p><img src=\"https://img.ithome.com/newsuploadfiles/2025/12/457482f7-cba5-460c-ace6-b1327e043d46.jpg?x-bce-process=image/format,f_auto/auto-orient,o_1\"/><p>财报电话会议上，有人直接追问特斯拉到底拥有多少台 Optimus 机器人，马斯克并未正面作答。</p><p>特斯拉目前公开展示的机器人，更多只是完成<strong>递水瓶之类的简单动作</strong>，而且高度依赖远程操控，并不是真正的自主运行。</p><p>在最新的股东更新中，特斯拉仍然强调 Optimus 有所推进。“我们计划在今年第一季度发布 Gen 3 版本，相比 2.5 版本将进行重大升级，包括最新的手部设计。Gen 3 是首个面向量产的设计。”</p><p>特斯拉同时称，公司正在搭建生产线，计划在 2026 年底之前启动生产，最终目标产能为每年 100 万台机器人。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克“食言”了，亲口承认特斯拉 Optimus 机器人并未在工厂承担实际工作</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克“食言”了，亲口承认特斯拉 Optimus 机器人并未在工厂承担实际工作\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-29 10:20 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129102406a4629007&s=b><strong>IT之家</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IT之家 1 月 29 日消息，北京时间今天早间，马斯克在特斯拉 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议上承认，公司目前还没有任何 Optimus 人形机器人在工厂里真正承担有用的工作。值得一提的是，过去两年里，马斯克一直在公开宣称“相反”的情况。IT之家汇总时间线如下：2024 年 6 月：特斯拉官方账号曾宣称，公司已有两台Optimus 机器人在工厂里自主执行任务。2024 年 6 月：在特斯拉...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129102406a4629007&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4555":"新能源车","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","CRSH":"做空TSLA 期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","UFO":"Procure Space ETF","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","TESL":"Simplify Volt TSLA Revolution ETF","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","TSYY":"收益增强TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","TSDD":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","07766":"南方两倍做多特斯拉","BK4612":"AI芯片","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","TSII":"REX TSLA Growth & Income ETF","TSL":"1.25倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","TSLG":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TSLI":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-ProShares","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4543":"AI","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","TSLO":"2倍上限加速TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","TSLP":"TSLA收益溢价策略ETF-Kurv","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","TSLQ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-Tradr","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4516":"特朗普概念","TSLR":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","TSLS":"1倍做空TSLA ETF-Direxion","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","TSLT":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-T-Rex","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","TSLW":"TSLA周配息ETF-Roundhill","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","TSLY":"TSLA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","TSLZ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-T-Rex","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260129102406a4629007&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2607775368","content_text":"IT之家 1 月 29 日消息，北京时间今天早间，马斯克在特斯拉 2025 年第四季度财报电话会议上承认，公司目前还没有任何 Optimus 人形机器人在工厂里真正承担有用的工作。值得一提的是，过去两年里，马斯克一直在公开宣称“相反”的情况。IT之家汇总时间线如下：2024 年 6 月：特斯拉官方账号曾宣称，公司已有两台Optimus 机器人在工厂里自主执行任务。2024 年 6 月：在特斯拉股东大会上，马斯克表示，预计到 2025 年，会有1000-2000 台机器人进厂打工。2025 年 1 月：在特斯拉 2024 年第四季度财报电话会议上，马斯克把目标抬得更高。“内部正常计划是今年大约制造 10000 台Optimus 机器人…… 到年底，这几千台 Optimus 机器人会做一些有用的事情吗？是的，我有信心会做一些有用的事情。”2026 年 1 月：马斯克承认，目前 Optimus 机器人并没有在特斯拉工厂里发挥实质作用。“Optimus 仍然处于非常早期的阶段，还在研发阶段。Optimus 确实做过一些基本任务，但随着新版不断迭代，旧版本会被淘汰。目前 Optimus并没有在工厂里以实质性的方式投入使用，更多是为了让机器人学习。我们预计要到今年年底，才可能出现任何显著的 Optimus 产量。”财报电话会议上，有人直接追问特斯拉到底拥有多少台 Optimus 机器人，马斯克并未正面作答。特斯拉目前公开展示的机器人，更多只是完成递水瓶之类的简单动作，而且高度依赖远程操控，并不是真正的自主运行。在最新的股东更新中，特斯拉仍然强调 Optimus 有所推进。“我们计划在今年第一季度发布 Gen 3 版本，相比 2.5 版本将进行重大升级，包括最新的手部设计。Gen 3 是首个面向量产的设计。”特斯拉同时称，公司正在搭建生产线，计划在 2026 年底之前启动生产，最终目标产能为每年 100 万台机器人。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLS":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLA":1.98,"CRSH":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSII":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"07766":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"UFO":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLO":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":524006995976824,"gmtCreate":1768958058003,"gmtModify":1768958061852,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577104682622234","idStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"还怒批，恼羞成怒了吧","listText":"还怒批，恼羞成怒了吧","text":"还怒批，恼羞成怒了吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/524006995976824","repostId":"2605128028","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2605128028","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1768954517,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2605128028?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-21 08:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Waymo创始人怒批特斯拉FSD：“严重近视”，硬件已成死胡同？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2605128028","media":"汽车产业前线观察","summary":"——这不是调侃，而是自动驾驶先驱、Waymo前CEO约翰·克拉菲克对特斯拉FSD的尖锐诊断。2025年6月，特斯拉在奥斯汀启动试点，马斯克宣称“安全员只是临时措施，几周内移除”。更残酷的是，特斯拉已明确表示不会为现有车型加装激光雷达。目前的“计分板”清晰可见：Waymo已在美国多个城市运营数千辆无安全员Robotaxi；特斯拉的FSD仍在“监督式测试”中挣扎。当第一辆无安全员的Waymo驶过街头，特斯拉的“纯视觉”神话，正在阳光下逐渐褪色。","content":"<html><body><article><p><strong>“你的车应该戴眼镜。”——这不是调侃，而是自动驾驶先驱、Waymo前CEO约翰·克拉菲克（John Krafcik）对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>FSD的尖锐诊断。</strong></p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/sz_mmbiz_png/rIT3XhF14XH7KOg7iaY4aM1GTeiccmUfIoYIM5psAAGEeL04yATnsrsNYQqNwwjZ0ZZSKGyqQY8JJDc9Ctvl6Hbw/640?wx_fmt=png&amp;from=appmsg\"/><p>在2026年CES期间接受《汽车新闻》采访时，克拉菲克毫不留情地指出：特斯拉坚持“纯视觉”路线，本质上是给AI戴上了一副高度近视的眼镜，使其在真实世界中“看不清、辨不明、反应慢”。</p><p>更令人警醒的是，这位曾准确预言特斯拉Robotaxi“只是表演”的行业元老，如今将矛头直指特斯拉的硬件哲学——并抛出一个灵魂拷问：<strong>如果“纯视觉”是一条死胡同，那数百万辆搭载HW3/HW4的特斯拉，未来还有没有可能实现真正的L4级自动驾驶？</strong></p><p>“人类开车靠的不只是眼睛，还有身体平衡感、空间直觉，甚至第六感。而特斯拉却要求一台只有‘模糊摄像头’的机器，去完成超人般的任务。”</p><p><strong>“20/70视力”：特斯拉摄像头的真实水平</strong></p><p>克拉菲克用一组数据揭开了“纯视觉神话”的面纱：</p><p>特斯拉全车配备7颗500万像素摄像头，但其中仅1颗为窄视角，其余均为广角。这种布局导致有效分辨率被严重稀释。“实际视觉能力相当于人类20/60到20/70的视力——连美国DMV（车管局）的最低驾驶视力标准（20/40）都达不到。”</p><p>更致命的是，特斯拉早在2021年就移除了毫米波雷达和超声波传感器（USS），彻底押注“摄像头+神经网络”。克拉菲克直言：“这等于主动砍掉耳朵和触觉，只靠一双近视眼在暴雨夜开车。”</p><p>而在强光、浓雾、积雪、低对比度等边缘场景中，摄像头极易失效。相比之下，激光雷达（LiDAR）可提供厘米级精度的三维点云，毫米波雷达则能穿透雨雾测速——二者构成主动感知冗余，这才是“超人级”自动驾驶的基础。</p><p><strong>物理限制 vs 软件幻想：两条技术路线的根本分歧</strong></p><p>这场争论，本质是两种哲学的对抗：</p><p>马斯克派</p><p>：相信“人类只用眼睛开车”，因此只要用<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603138\">海量数据</a>训练神经网络，摄像头就能“理解”世界；</p><p>克拉菲克派</p><p>：强调“物理定律不可绕过”，再强的AI也无法从模糊图像中凭空还原深度信息。</p><p>克拉菲克一针见血：“你无法用算力修复被阳光致盲的摄像头，也无法让泥浆覆盖的镜头看清路标。” 这不是算法问题，而是物理极限。</p><p>反观Waymo、Cruise、Zoox等公司，均采用“摄像头+激光雷达+毫米波雷达”多传感器融合方案。它们的Robotaxi已在旧金山、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600716\">凤凰</a>城等地实现无安全员运营——而特斯拉的Austin试点，至今仍依赖远程监控与车内安全员，且事故率居高不下。</p><p><strong>预言成真：Robotaxi“烟雾弹”早已被看穿</strong></p><p>克拉菲克并非空谈批评者。早在2025年初，他就公开预言：“特斯拉的Robotaxi发布会将是一场精心编排的表演，系统远未达到无人监督水平。”</p><p>结果如何？2025年6月，特斯拉在奥斯汀启动试点，马斯克宣称“安全员只是临时措施，几周内移除”。然而半年过去，安全员仍在，且车辆多次发生碰撞。内部文件显示，系统在复杂路口、施工区域频繁失效，必须人工接管。</p><p>克拉菲克的判断再次应验。这也让他的硬件批判更具分量——<strong>不是特斯拉不想做L4，而是它的硬件根本撑不起L4。</strong></p><p><strong>百万车主的隐忧：HW3/HW4会成为“技术废铁”吗？</strong></p><p>目前，全球有超400万辆特斯拉搭载HW3或HW4硬件。这些车主曾被告知：“你的车未来可通过OTA升级实现完全自动驾驶。”</p><p>但如果克拉菲克是对的——“纯视觉”无法跨越L3到L4的鸿沟——那么这些车辆将永远停留在“高级辅助驾驶”阶段。更残酷的是，特斯拉已明确表示不会为现有车型加装激光雷达。</p><p>这意味着：<strong>数百万用户支付的FSD订阅费，可能永远买不到真正的“无人驾驶”</strong>。一位长期FSD用户在Electrek评论区写道：“它每隔几周就想‘谋杀’我一次，我完全看不到L4的希望。”</p><p><strong>行业共识：多传感器融合才是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01188\">正道</a></strong></p><p>事实上，特斯拉几乎是唯一坚持“纯视觉”的主流玩家。小鹏、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想</a>、奔驰、宝马、通用Cruise……所有认真做L4的企业，无一例外采用激光雷达。</p><p>就连曾质疑激光雷达成本的马斯克，也在私下承认其价值——特斯拉Optimus人形机器人就配备了激光雷达。讽刺的是，他宁愿给机器人“好眼睛”，也不愿给汽车。</p><p>正如一位工程师所言：“如果你的目标是超越人类，为什么要用比人类更差的感官？”</p><p>“真正的自动驾驶，不是让机器模仿人类犯错，而是让它永不犯错。”</p><p><strong>尾声：赌注已下，胜负渐明</strong></p><p>马斯克把全部身家押在“纯视觉”上，试图用软件定义硬件。而克拉菲克代表的工程派，则相信安全必须建立在物理冗余之上。</p><p>目前的“计分板”清晰可见：Waymo已在美国多个城市运营数千辆无安全员Robotaxi；特斯拉的FSD仍在“监督式测试”中挣扎。</p><p>历史或许会记住：当整个行业都在构建“超人之眼”时，特斯拉却固执地给AI戴上了近视眼镜——然后告诉世界，它能看清未来。</p><p>当第一辆无安全员的Waymo驶过街头，</p><p>特斯拉的“纯视觉”神话，正在阳光下逐渐褪色。</p><p><strong>你认为，特斯拉还能靠摄像头实现L4吗？</strong></p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Waymo创始人怒批特斯拉FSD：“严重近视”，硬件已成死胡同？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWaymo创始人怒批特斯拉FSD：“严重近视”，硬件已成死胡同？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-21 08:15 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260121083759a4431349&s=b><strong>汽车产业前线观察</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>“你的车应该戴眼镜。”——这不是调侃，而是自动驾驶先驱、Waymo前CEO约翰·克拉菲克（John Krafcik）对特斯拉FSD的尖锐诊断。在2026年CES期间接受《汽车新闻》采访时，克拉菲克毫不留情地指出：特斯拉坚持“纯视觉”路线，本质上是给AI戴上了一副高度近视的眼镜，使其在真实世界中“看不清、辨不明、反应慢”。更令人警醒的是，这位曾准确预言特斯拉Robotaxi“只是表演”的行业元老，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260121083759a4431349&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","TSLG":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Leverage Shares","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","BK4543":"AI","TSLI":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-ProShares","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","TSLP":"TSLA收益溢价策略ETF-Kurv","BK4516":"特朗普概念","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","TSLQ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-Tradr","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","TSLR":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","TSLS":"1倍做空TSLA ETF-Direxion","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","CRSH":"做空TSLA 期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","TSLT":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-T-Rex","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","TSLW":"TSLA周配息ETF-Roundhill","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","TSLY":"TSLA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","TSLZ":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-T-Rex","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","BK4555":"新能源车","LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","TESL":"Simplify Volt TSLA Revolution ETF","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","TSYY":"收益增强TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","TSDD":"2倍做空TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4612":"AI芯片","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","TSL":"1.25倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260121083759a4431349&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2605128028","content_text":"“你的车应该戴眼镜。”——这不是调侃，而是自动驾驶先驱、Waymo前CEO约翰·克拉菲克（John Krafcik）对特斯拉FSD的尖锐诊断。在2026年CES期间接受《汽车新闻》采访时，克拉菲克毫不留情地指出：特斯拉坚持“纯视觉”路线，本质上是给AI戴上了一副高度近视的眼镜，使其在真实世界中“看不清、辨不明、反应慢”。更令人警醒的是，这位曾准确预言特斯拉Robotaxi“只是表演”的行业元老，如今将矛头直指特斯拉的硬件哲学——并抛出一个灵魂拷问：如果“纯视觉”是一条死胡同，那数百万辆搭载HW3/HW4的特斯拉，未来还有没有可能实现真正的L4级自动驾驶？“人类开车靠的不只是眼睛，还有身体平衡感、空间直觉，甚至第六感。而特斯拉却要求一台只有‘模糊摄像头’的机器，去完成超人般的任务。”“20/70视力”：特斯拉摄像头的真实水平克拉菲克用一组数据揭开了“纯视觉神话”的面纱：特斯拉全车配备7颗500万像素摄像头，但其中仅1颗为窄视角，其余均为广角。这种布局导致有效分辨率被严重稀释。“实际视觉能力相当于人类20/60到20/70的视力——连美国DMV（车管局）的最低驾驶视力标准（20/40）都达不到。”更致命的是，特斯拉早在2021年就移除了毫米波雷达和超声波传感器（USS），彻底押注“摄像头+神经网络”。克拉菲克直言：“这等于主动砍掉耳朵和触觉，只靠一双近视眼在暴雨夜开车。”而在强光、浓雾、积雪、低对比度等边缘场景中，摄像头极易失效。相比之下，激光雷达（LiDAR）可提供厘米级精度的三维点云，毫米波雷达则能穿透雨雾测速——二者构成主动感知冗余，这才是“超人级”自动驾驶的基础。物理限制 vs 软件幻想：两条技术路线的根本分歧这场争论，本质是两种哲学的对抗：马斯克派：相信“人类只用眼睛开车”，因此只要用海量数据训练神经网络，摄像头就能“理解”世界；克拉菲克派：强调“物理定律不可绕过”，再强的AI也无法从模糊图像中凭空还原深度信息。克拉菲克一针见血：“你无法用算力修复被阳光致盲的摄像头，也无法让泥浆覆盖的镜头看清路标。” 这不是算法问题，而是物理极限。反观Waymo、Cruise、Zoox等公司，均采用“摄像头+激光雷达+毫米波雷达”多传感器融合方案。它们的Robotaxi已在旧金山、凤凰城等地实现无安全员运营——而特斯拉的Austin试点，至今仍依赖远程监控与车内安全员，且事故率居高不下。预言成真：Robotaxi“烟雾弹”早已被看穿克拉菲克并非空谈批评者。早在2025年初，他就公开预言：“特斯拉的Robotaxi发布会将是一场精心编排的表演，系统远未达到无人监督水平。”结果如何？2025年6月，特斯拉在奥斯汀启动试点，马斯克宣称“安全员只是临时措施，几周内移除”。然而半年过去，安全员仍在，且车辆多次发生碰撞。内部文件显示，系统在复杂路口、施工区域频繁失效，必须人工接管。克拉菲克的判断再次应验。这也让他的硬件批判更具分量——不是特斯拉不想做L4，而是它的硬件根本撑不起L4。百万车主的隐忧：HW3/HW4会成为“技术废铁”吗？目前，全球有超400万辆特斯拉搭载HW3或HW4硬件。这些车主曾被告知：“你的车未来可通过OTA升级实现完全自动驾驶。”但如果克拉菲克是对的——“纯视觉”无法跨越L3到L4的鸿沟——那么这些车辆将永远停留在“高级辅助驾驶”阶段。更残酷的是，特斯拉已明确表示不会为现有车型加装激光雷达。这意味着：数百万用户支付的FSD订阅费，可能永远买不到真正的“无人驾驶”。一位长期FSD用户在Electrek评论区写道：“它每隔几周就想‘谋杀’我一次，我完全看不到L4的希望。”行业共识：多传感器融合才是正道事实上，特斯拉几乎是唯一坚持“纯视觉”的主流玩家。小鹏、蔚来、理想、奔驰、宝马、通用Cruise……所有认真做L4的企业，无一例外采用激光雷达。就连曾质疑激光雷达成本的马斯克，也在私下承认其价值——特斯拉Optimus人形机器人就配备了激光雷达。讽刺的是，他宁愿给机器人“好眼睛”，也不愿给汽车。正如一位工程师所言：“如果你的目标是超越人类，为什么要用比人类更差的感官？”“真正的自动驾驶，不是让机器模仿人类犯错，而是让它永不犯错。”尾声：赌注已下，胜负渐明马斯克把全部身家押在“纯视觉”上，试图用软件定义硬件。而克拉菲克代表的工程派，则相信安全必须建立在物理冗余之上。目前的“计分板”清晰可见：Waymo已在美国多个城市运营数千辆无安全员Robotaxi；特斯拉的FSD仍在“监督式测试”中挣扎。历史或许会记住：当整个行业都在构建“超人之眼”时，特斯拉却固执地给AI戴上了近视眼镜——然后告诉世界，它能看清未来。当第一辆无安全员的Waymo驶过街头，特斯拉的“纯视觉”神话，正在阳光下逐渐褪色。你认为，特斯拉还能靠摄像头实现L4吗？","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLY":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSLA":1.98}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":194,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511988668543896,"gmtCreate":1766024272961,"gmtModify":1766024916854,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577104682622234","idStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"那就做空去啊，逼逼什么呢？","listText":"那就做空去啊，逼逼什么呢？","text":"那就做空去啊，逼逼什么呢？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511988668543896","repostId":"2592172928","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2592172928","kind":"live","pubTimestamp":1766023774,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2592172928?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-18 10:09","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"机构警告：扣除自动驾驶和能源业务，特斯拉汽车业务每股价值只有30到40美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2592172928","media":"格隆汇","summary":"William Blair能源研究主管Jed Dorsheimer表示，特斯拉汽车业务的权重其实被大幅淡化了，我们在部分加总分析中指出，汽车本业每股价值其实只有大约30到40美元。Dorsheimer","content":"<html><body><p>William Blair能源研究主管Jed Dorsheimer表示，特斯拉汽车业务的权重其实被大幅淡化了，我们在部分加总分析中指出，汽车本业每股价值其实只有大约30到40美元。Dorsheimer认为，目前股价几乎完全是对尚未完全实现的未来下注，这场“转型”其实已经完成——市场不再以电动车交付量来评价特斯拉，而是聚焦在其机器人与AI的进展。\n根据他的分析，自动驾驶如今已占特斯拉整体价值超过70%，包括长期承诺的Robotaxi平台以及人形机器人Optimus。能源业务的成长也非常明显，其价值已经与汽车业务相当，甚至可能略高。从部分加总的角度来看，若扣除市场对自动驾驶软件与能源储存事业的高度期待，剩下的电动车公司本体，相对目前股价显得大幅被高估。Dorsheimer看好特斯拉长期的能源布局，并指出能源事业是市场尚未充分重视、却极具潜力的未来获利引擎。</p></body></html>","source":"live_gelonghui","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>机构警告：扣除自动驾驶和能源业务，特斯拉汽车业务每股价值只有30到40美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n机构警告：扣除自动驾驶和能源业务，特斯拉汽车业务每股价值只有30到40美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-18 10:09 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>William Blair能源研究主管Jed Dorsheimer表示，特斯拉汽车业务的权重其实被大幅淡化了，我们在部分加总分析中指出，汽车本业每股价值其实只有大约30到40美元。Dorsheimer认为，目前股价几乎完全是对尚未完全实现的未来下注，这场“转型”其实已经完成——市场不再以电动车交付量来评价特斯拉，而是聚焦在其机器人与AI的进展。\n根据他的分析，自动驾驶如今已占特斯拉整体价值超过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU0320765059.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念","LU1914381329.SGD":"Allianz Best Styles Global Equity Cl ET Acc H2-SGD","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0708995401.HKD":"FRANKLIN U.S. OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","IE00B19Z8X17.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH  \"AG\" (USD) ACC","LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4612":"AI芯片","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","TSYW.SI":"TESLA 3xLongSG261006","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0672654240.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin US Opportunities A Acc SGD-H1","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","BK4543":"AI","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","BK4516":"特朗普概念","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","BK4099":"汽车制造商","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","BK4555":"新能源车","LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2108987350.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV GLOBAL OPPORTUNITY SUSTAINABLE (USD) \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930730.SGD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金AS Acc SGD (CPF)","LU0109391861.USD":"富兰克林美国机遇基金A Acc","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","IE0034235303.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US RESEARCH ENHANCED CORE EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z8W00.USD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US LARGE CAP GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU0056508442.USD":"贝莱德世界科技基金A2","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2403377893.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1674673428.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AC\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2602419157.SGD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"AC\" (SGD) ACC","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2592172928","content_text":"William Blair能源研究主管Jed Dorsheimer表示，特斯拉汽车业务的权重其实被大幅淡化了，我们在部分加总分析中指出，汽车本业每股价值其实只有大约30到40美元。Dorsheimer认为，目前股价几乎完全是对尚未完全实现的未来下注，这场“转型”其实已经完成——市场不再以电动车交付量来评价特斯拉，而是聚焦在其机器人与AI的进展。\n根据他的分析，自动驾驶如今已占特斯拉整体价值超过70%，包括长期承诺的Robotaxi平台以及人形机器人Optimus。能源业务的成长也非常明显，其价值已经与汽车业务相当，甚至可能略高。从部分加总的角度来看，若扣除市场对自动驾驶软件与能源储存事业的高度期待，剩下的电动车公司本体，相对目前股价显得大幅被高估。Dorsheimer看好特斯拉长期的能源布局，并指出能源事业是市场尚未充分重视、却极具潜力的未来获利引擎。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1.97,"TSYW.SI":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":479773364109312,"gmtCreate":1758156529259,"gmtModify":1758160159544,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577104682622234","idStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"太假了！这么没节操吗？","listText":"太假了！这么没节操吗？","text":"太假了！这么没节操吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/479773364109312","repostId":"2568445968","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2568445968","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1758153958,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2568445968?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-09-18 08:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"10000台！特斯拉机器人斩获史上最大订单","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2568445968","media":"机器人领航员","summary":"马斯克的万亿薪酬赌局开始了这回真的爆了！特斯拉Optimus Gen3刚刚拿下了全球首个外部订单——整整1万台！采购方PharmAGRI制药公司计划用这些机器人实现药物生产流程的自动化，确保精准控制和高效率。而这还只是开始。马斯克自己也在疯狂加码：9月12日，他个人掏出10亿美元买入特斯拉股票，背后还绑着一个“疯狂薪酬计划”——如果他能在未来交付100万台Optimus，就能解锁价值1.2万亿美元的股票奖励。Optimus Gen3+ 有多强——它在特斯拉工厂里已经验证过，效率比人工高30%，未来成本甚至有望压到2万美元以下。也就是说，它不只“能干”，还“便宜得惊人”。","content":"<html><body><article><p>马斯克的万亿薪酬赌局开始了</p><p>这回真的爆了！<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>Optimus Gen3刚刚拿下了全球首个外部订单——整整1万台！采购方PharmAGRI制药公司计划用这些机器人实现药物生产流程的自动化，确保精准控制和高效率。</p><img src=\"https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/gXwSBLiaU0hTqCdL5B5AFE6TAsUhoEzwIJnHvruYWbxeZibUGW3w9Nu68q5wQ3WSSBUKibcxlVXzsSgNMCnTxJib1w/640?wx_fmt=jpeg\"/><p>而这还只是开始。马斯克自己也在疯狂加码：9月12日，他个人掏出10亿美元买入特斯拉股票，背后还绑着一个“疯狂薪酬计划”——如果他能在未来交付100万台Optimus，就能解锁价值1.2万亿美元的股票奖励。</p><p>Optimus Gen3+ 有多强——它在特斯拉工厂里已经验证过，效率比人工高30%，未来成本甚至有望压到2万美元以下。也就是说，它不只“能干”，还“便宜得惊人”。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10000台！特斯拉机器人斩获史上最大订单</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10000台！特斯拉机器人斩获史上最大订单\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-09-18 08:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250918080353a72721ae&s=b><strong>机器人领航员</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>马斯克的万亿薪酬赌局开始了这回真的爆了！特斯拉Optimus Gen3刚刚拿下了全球首个外部订单——整整1万台！采购方PharmAGRI制药公司计划用这些机器人实现药物生产流程的自动化，确保精准控制和高效率。而这还只是开始。马斯克自己也在疯狂加码：9月12日，他个人掏出10亿美元买入特斯拉股票，背后还绑着一个“疯狂薪酬计划”——如果他能在未来交付100万台Optimus，就能解锁价值1.2万亿美元...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250918080353a72721ae&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4574":"无人驾驶","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU0077335932.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICAN GROWTH \"A\" INC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU2756315318.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1232071149.USD":"AZ FUND 1 GLOBAL GROWTH SELECTOR \"AAZ\" (USDHDG) ACC","BK4604":"机器人概念","BK4581":"高盛持仓","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1674673691.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (USD) INC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","TSLL":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-Direxion","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","LU0466842654.USD":"HSBC ISLAMIC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A5\" (SGD) ACC","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","TSYW.SI":"TESLA 3xLongSG261006"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250918080353a72721ae&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2568445968","content_text":"马斯克的万亿薪酬赌局开始了这回真的爆了！特斯拉Optimus Gen3刚刚拿下了全球首个外部订单——整整1万台！采购方PharmAGRI制药公司计划用这些机器人实现药物生产流程的自动化，确保精准控制和高效率。而这还只是开始。马斯克自己也在疯狂加码：9月12日，他个人掏出10亿美元买入特斯拉股票，背后还绑着一个“疯狂薪酬计划”——如果他能在未来交付100万台Optimus，就能解锁价值1.2万亿美元的股票奖励。Optimus Gen3+ 有多强——它在特斯拉工厂里已经验证过，效率比人工高30%，未来成本甚至有望压到2万美元以下。也就是说，它不只“能干”，还“便宜得惊人”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSYW.SI":0.6,"TSLA":1.5,"TSLL":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":409333746979008,"gmtCreate":1740952927562,"gmtModify":1740965332788,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577104682622234","idStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"打什么嘴炮，干就完了。各人为自己的认知买单，又不是不能卖空。谁跟钱过不去呢，大胆作多或者大胆做空，验证你的认知！","listText":"打什么嘴炮，干就完了。各人为自己的认知买单，又不是不能卖空。谁跟钱过不去呢，大胆作多或者大胆做空，验证你的认知！","text":"打什么嘴炮，干就完了。各人为自己的认知买单，又不是不能卖空。谁跟钱过不去呢，大胆作多或者大胆做空，验证你的认知！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/409333746979008","repostId":"2514543325","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2514543325","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1740747550,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2514543325?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-02-28 20:59","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"股价“自由落体”式崩跌40%！特斯拉跌出万亿俱乐部恐怕只是开始","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2514543325","media":"智通财经","summary":"本周股价约17%的跌幅表明，特斯拉核心汽车业务的放缓正开始令交易员感到不安。特斯拉今年麻烦不断。分析师预计，特斯拉短期内不会对其全自动驾驶汽车计划做出有意义的更新。期权交易员为防范特斯拉股价下跌所支付的溢价达到了自去年8月市场暴跌以来的最高水平。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>随着<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价持续下挫，部分投资者正为未来更大的下跌空间做准备。</p><p>这家由马斯克领导的电动汽车公司股价已较2024年末高点下跌约40%，这一跌势在近期加速，原因是数据显示特斯拉1月在欧洲的汽车销量近乎腰斩。本周股价约17%的跌幅表明，特斯拉核心汽车业务的放缓正开始令交易员感到不安。对于一只涨跌在很大程度上取决于投资者热情而非基本面的股票来说，这并不是什么好消息。</p><p>“对于像特斯拉这样估值高昂的股票，真正的难题在于难以判断其底部，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IBKR\">盈透证券</a>首席策略师Steve Sosnick表示，“由于特斯拉长期以来一直违背传统估值标准，其底部更多取决于投资者情绪，而非价值投资者可能使用的常规指标。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3351dc6eb27aa808ea4609caca3d3438\" tg-width=\"486\" tg-height=\"272\"/></p><p>特斯拉今年麻烦不断。美国总统大选后，由于投资者押注马斯克将受益于与美国总统特朗普的密切关系，其股价不断飙升。但今年1月，该公司报告了疲弱的第四季度交付数据，年度销售额出现十多年来的首次下滑，投资者信心随之减弱。随后发布的财报显示季度利润低于预期，同时公司下调了2025年的销售展望。</p><p>本周，特斯拉市值自去年11月以来首次跌破1万亿美元，使其在美国最具价值公司的排名中落后于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>哈撒韦(BRK.A.US)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">博通</a>(AVGO.US)。其股价距离追平历史上最长的连跌纪录仅一步之遥。</p><p><strong>缺乏催化剂</strong></p><p>目前，可以推动特斯拉股价上涨的催化剂寥寥无几。分析师预计，特斯拉短期内不会对其全自动驾驶汽车计划做出有意义的更新。近日，特斯拉FSD辅助驾驶功能在中国正式上线，订阅价格为6.4万元人民币。然而，相比之下，竞争对手<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>(01211)本月早些时候表示，未来几乎所有车型都将免费配备高级驾驶辅助功能。另外，马斯克对政治事务的专注也令投资者感到担忧，他们希望马斯克能花更多时间经营这家电动汽车制造商。</p><p>特斯拉的高估值是另一个需要谨慎的理由。特斯拉股票的远期市盈率为92倍，相比之下，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数为21倍，特斯拉的大型科技股同行平均为28倍。其近期股价下跌正值大盘走弱之际，标普500指数从本月创下的历史高点下跌了约5%。</p><p>上述任何一个因素都可能是部分投资者准备迎接更多动荡，而非逢低买入的原因。衡量期权头寸的一项指标——一个月期权的隐含偏斜度——在上周自去年11月以来首次转为看跌，这表明交易员正在寻求防范未来股价下跌的保护。期权交易员为防范特斯拉股价下跌所支付的溢价达到了自去年8月市场暴跌以来的最高水平。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718c445d97d3ddbd58fbd2b6e81a81b1\" tg-width=\"499\" tg-height=\"276\"/></p><p>研究图表以预测股票走势的技术策略师同样谨慎。其中一个原因是该股票当前下跌的强劲势头，以及其过往剧烈波动的历史。</p><p>Fundstrat技术策略主管Mark Newton预计，该股将从275美元的水平反弹，这一价位意味着将较周四收盘价低约2.5%。他表示，若跌破这一价位，该股可能会进一步试探260美元的支撑位，这是该股在大选前曾触及的水平。</p><p>诚然，即便是最看空特斯拉的投资者也清楚，即使基本面看起来很糟糕，这只股票的情绪也可能瞬间扭转。最近的例子出现在大选后的反弹期间，当时公司股价在短短29个交易日内几乎翻了一番。</p><p>然而，Roundhill Financial首席执行官David Mazza表示，那些指望出现转机的投资者可能会经历一段艰难时期。</p><p>他表示：“我们预计特斯拉短期内仍将继续承压，因为投资者在权衡马斯克‘第一伙伴’溢价带来的好处与电动汽车业务在战略重要市场挣扎的现实。鉴于这些相互矛盾的叙事，很难说这只股票的正确走势是什么。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>股价“自由落体”式崩跌40%！特斯拉跌出万亿俱乐部恐怕只是开始</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n股价“自由落体”式崩跌40%！特斯拉跌出万亿俱乐部恐怕只是开始\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-02-28 20:59 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1256421.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>随着特斯拉股价持续下挫，部分投资者正为未来更大的下跌空间做准备。这家由马斯克领导的电动汽车公司股价已较2024年末高点下跌约40%，这一跌势在近期加速，原因是数据显示特斯拉1月在欧洲的汽车销量近乎腰斩。本周股价约17%的跌幅表明，特斯拉核心汽车业务的放缓正开始令交易员感到不安。对于一只涨跌在很大程度上取决于投资者热情而非基本面的股票来说，这并不是什么好消息。“对于像特斯拉这样估值高昂的股票，真正的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1256421.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e0d9f23e003547a93295253f05b6a55","relate_stocks":{"LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU1066051811.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (HKD) INC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","BK4527":"明星科技股","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","BK4516":"特朗普概念","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1778281490.HKD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) INC","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2360107168.USD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","BK4588":"碎股","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1066051225.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AC\" (USD) ACC","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1066051498.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM2\" (USD) INC","LU2290526834.HKD":"BGF NEXT GENERATION TECHNOLOGY \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1145028129.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AQ\" (USD) INC","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU1066053197.SGD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EQUITY VOLATILITY FOCUSED \"AM3\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0323591593.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL QUALITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","BK4604":"机器人概念","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1256421.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2514543325","content_text":"随着特斯拉股价持续下挫，部分投资者正为未来更大的下跌空间做准备。这家由马斯克领导的电动汽车公司股价已较2024年末高点下跌约40%，这一跌势在近期加速，原因是数据显示特斯拉1月在欧洲的汽车销量近乎腰斩。本周股价约17%的跌幅表明，特斯拉核心汽车业务的放缓正开始令交易员感到不安。对于一只涨跌在很大程度上取决于投资者热情而非基本面的股票来说，这并不是什么好消息。“对于像特斯拉这样估值高昂的股票，真正的难题在于难以判断其底部，”盈透证券首席策略师Steve Sosnick表示，“由于特斯拉长期以来一直违背传统估值标准，其底部更多取决于投资者情绪，而非价值投资者可能使用的常规指标。”特斯拉今年麻烦不断。美国总统大选后，由于投资者押注马斯克将受益于与美国总统特朗普的密切关系，其股价不断飙升。但今年1月，该公司报告了疲弱的第四季度交付数据，年度销售额出现十多年来的首次下滑，投资者信心随之减弱。随后发布的财报显示季度利润低于预期，同时公司下调了2025年的销售展望。本周，特斯拉市值自去年11月以来首次跌破1万亿美元，使其在美国最具价值公司的排名中落后于伯克希尔哈撒韦(BRK.A.US)和博通(AVGO.US)。其股价距离追平历史上最长的连跌纪录仅一步之遥。缺乏催化剂目前，可以推动特斯拉股价上涨的催化剂寥寥无几。分析师预计，特斯拉短期内不会对其全自动驾驶汽车计划做出有意义的更新。近日，特斯拉FSD辅助驾驶功能在中国正式上线，订阅价格为6.4万元人民币。然而，相比之下，竞争对手比亚迪(01211)本月早些时候表示，未来几乎所有车型都将免费配备高级驾驶辅助功能。另外，马斯克对政治事务的专注也令投资者感到担忧，他们希望马斯克能花更多时间经营这家电动汽车制造商。特斯拉的高估值是另一个需要谨慎的理由。特斯拉股票的远期市盈率为92倍，相比之下，标普500指数为21倍，特斯拉的大型科技股同行平均为28倍。其近期股价下跌正值大盘走弱之际，标普500指数从本月创下的历史高点下跌了约5%。上述任何一个因素都可能是部分投资者准备迎接更多动荡，而非逢低买入的原因。衡量期权头寸的一项指标——一个月期权的隐含偏斜度——在上周自去年11月以来首次转为看跌，这表明交易员正在寻求防范未来股价下跌的保护。期权交易员为防范特斯拉股价下跌所支付的溢价达到了自去年8月市场暴跌以来的最高水平。研究图表以预测股票走势的技术策略师同样谨慎。其中一个原因是该股票当前下跌的强劲势头，以及其过往剧烈波动的历史。Fundstrat技术策略主管Mark Newton预计，该股将从275美元的水平反弹，这一价位意味着将较周四收盘价低约2.5%。他表示，若跌破这一价位，该股可能会进一步试探260美元的支撑位，这是该股在大选前曾触及的水平。诚然，即便是最看空特斯拉的投资者也清楚，即使基本面看起来很糟糕，这只股票的情绪也可能瞬间扭转。最近的例子出现在大选后的反弹期间，当时公司股价在短短29个交易日内几乎翻了一番。然而，Roundhill Financial首席执行官David Mazza表示，那些指望出现转机的投资者可能会经历一段艰难时期。他表示：“我们预计特斯拉短期内仍将继续承压，因为投资者在权衡马斯克‘第一伙伴’溢价带来的好处与电动汽车业务在战略重要市场挣扎的现实。鉴于这些相互矛盾的叙事，很难说这只股票的正确走势是什么。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318218558591240,"gmtCreate":1718728629625,"gmtModify":1718732439655,"author":{"id":"3577104682622234","authorId":"3577104682622234","name":"Heykid","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf51fc7e80e268248e5747d923640d90","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577104682622234","idStr":"3577104682622234"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"那你就抓紧点做空啊，你的判断如此坚定有力，如何能错过这做空盛宴","listText":"那你就抓紧点做空啊，你的判断如此坚定有力，如何能错过这做空盛宴","text":"那你就抓紧点做空啊，你的判断如此坚定有力，如何能错过这做空盛宴","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318218558591240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}