金豆豆518的个人主页 - 老虎社区

金豆豆518

金豆豆518

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IP属地：甘肃

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0勋章

04-03

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 本周905到期put已不对做市商构成威胁，全部平仓了。本周开仓重量级是900-875看跌价差组合，方向不甚明确但大概率在这个区间打转。另外出现了重量级卖call大单 $NVDA 20240426 950.0 CALL$ ，耐人寻味的是amd也有同样到期日的卖call大单 $AMD 20240426 185.0 CALL$ ，也就是说这个清明节假期正股可能没有什么躺平收入，芯片板块大概率集体阴跌，但英伟达比amd更具鲁棒性。从行权价可以看出nvda行权价是价外，而amd当天下单时行权价是平价。卖平价call可以说相当看跌了

2022-07-28

$中国通海金融(00952)$好👌

2022-07-27

$中国通海金融(00952)$好👌

2022-07-26

$森松国际(02155)$好👌

2022-07-22

$拼多多(PDD)$好👌

2022-07-21

$黑莓(BB)$好👌

2022-07-20

好👌

@Buy_Sell:🚀【7月13日】白宫“剧透”通胀爆表！三大指数集体收跌，今天买点啥

2022-07-20

$Cuentas Inc.(CUEN)$好👌

2022-07-19

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$好👌

2022-07-19

$京东物流(02618)$好👌

2022-07-15

$新希望服务(03658)$好👌

2022-07-14

好👌

@期权小班长:厉害了，800万买末日期权

2022-07-13

好👌

@期权小班长:厉害了，800万买末日期权

2022-07-13

$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$好👌

2022-07-12

好👌

@价值投资为王:台积电财报前瞻：经济衰退不足为虑

2022-07-12

好👌

@小虎AV:7月4日上午，网传河南省漯河市第一人民医院门口突发一起交通事故，一辆蔚来汽车疑似失控，将路边多名行人撞倒，车辆受损严重。新黄河就此事致电漯河市第一人民医院急救中心，一名工作人员表示，当时现场情况比较混乱，具体情况暂时不太清楚。随后记者致电漯河市开发区交管巡防大队，一名工作人员回应称：“目前事故正在调查处理当中，具体案情不方便透露。”$蔚来(NIO)$ $蔚来(NIO.SI)$ $蔚来-SW(09866)$

2022-07-10

$中国通海金融(00952)$哥你

2022-07-07

$森松国际(02155)$不是

2022-07-06

好👌

@捷克Jack:腾讯再被大股东甩卖，为何这次我选择清仓？

2022-07-06

$京东物流(02618)$好👌

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 涨约3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 涨1.3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> ，网易、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 小幅上涨；燃气股、光伏股、餐饮股、建材水泥股、黄金股、铜等有色金属股普跌，中医药股个别走低，中国中药发盈警大跌近15%。另一方面，保险股、手机概念股、内房股多数走强，新华保险、龙湖集团均涨超2%。今日四只新股上市，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09696\">$天齐锂业(09696)$</a> 上市首日跌超9%，名创优品跌超4%，湖州燃气跌1.64%，诺亚控股跌超2%美股市场美股三大指数集体收跌，能源板块跌幅领先。截至收盘，纳斯达克指数跌0.95%，标普500指数跌0.92%，道琼斯指数跌0.62%。大型科技股多数走低，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 涨0.68%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 跌4.10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> 跌1","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场7月13日讯，外围市场全线上涨，港股高开，恒指涨0.32%，国指涨0.44%，恒生科技指数涨0.75%。盘面上，连续下跌的大型科技股多数高开，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a> 涨约3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">$快手-W(01024)$</a> 涨1.3%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$</a> ，网易、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> 小幅上涨；燃气股、光伏股、餐饮股、建材水泥股、黄金股、铜等有色金属股普跌，中医药股个别走低，中国中药发盈警大跌近15%。另一方面，保险股、手机概念股、内房股多数走强，新华保险、龙湖集团均涨超2%。今日四只新股上市，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09696\">$天齐锂业(09696)$</a> 上市首日跌超9%，名创优品跌超4%，湖州燃气跌1.64%，诺亚控股跌超2%美股市场美股三大指数集体收跌，能源板块跌幅领先。截至收盘，纳斯达克指数跌0.95%，标普500指数跌0.92%，道琼斯指数跌0.62%。大型科技股多数走低，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 涨0.68%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 跌4.10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> 跌1","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。港股市场7月13日讯，外围市场全线上涨，港股高开，恒指涨0.32%，国指涨0.44%，恒生科技指数涨0.75%。盘面上，连续下跌的大型科技股多数高开，$京东集团-SW(09618)$ 涨约3%，$快手-W(01024)$ 涨1.3%，$腾讯控股(00700)$ ，网易、$美团-W(03690)$ 小幅上涨；燃气股、光伏股、餐饮股、建材水泥股、黄金股、铜等有色金属股普跌，中医药股个别走低，中国中药发盈警大跌近15%。另一方面，保险股、手机概念股、内房股多数走强，新华保险、龙湖集团均涨超2%。今日四只新股上市，$天齐锂业(09696)$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>好👌","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$好👌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a64b1ca4a0758242d97d36df172b2ac","width":"1125","height":"2725"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/686176298","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":686190607,"gmtCreate":1658160345514,"gmtModify":1704869106318,"author":{"id":"3576797821869898","authorId":"3576797821869898","name":"金豆豆518","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e48c19bb971a02f42d17c7edc1c14e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02618\">$京东物流(02618)$</a>好👌","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02618\">$京东物流(02618)$</a>好👌","text":"$京东物流(02618)$好👌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a03c085fff53617f60f7fbdbf0f9bca2","width":"1125","height":"2451"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/686190607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688736462,"gmtCreate":1657845553460,"gmtModify":1704868443111,"author":{"id":"3576797821869898","authorId":"3576797821869898","name":"金豆豆518","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e48c19bb971a02f42d17c7edc1c14e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03658\">$新希望服务(03658)$</a>好👌","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03658\">$新希望服务(03658)$</a>好👌","text":"$新希望服务(03658)$好👌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56a66002999ebf13e84de8620aefc1d5","width":"1125","height":"2581"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688736462","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1058,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688568480,"gmtCreate":1657747788245,"gmtModify":1704868151085,"author":{"id":"3576797821869898","authorId":"3576797821869898","name":"金豆豆518","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e48c19bb971a02f42d17c7edc1c14e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好👌","listText":"好👌","text":"好👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688568480","repostId":"688000637","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":688000637,"gmtCreate":1657201731096,"gmtModify":1704866863314,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"厉害了，800万买末日期权","htmlText":"关于奈飞和台积电财报股价预期：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a> 虽然从新剧热度来看奈飞Q2和Q3不会太过难看，但市场并没有给予特别高的预期。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020220722%20200.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20220722 200.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020220722%20205.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20220722 205.0 CALL$</a> 行权价靠的很近，是典型的熊市看涨策略，即卖出200的call&nbsp;，买入205的call。有鉴于奈飞现价185，几乎封死了上升空间。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> 财报很乐观，典型的牛市看涨策略，认为台积电会涨到80以上，90以下 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020221021%2080.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20221021 80.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020220819%2090.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20220819 90.0 CALL$</a> 再介绍两个奇葩单边大单：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSL</a>","listText":"关于奈飞和台积电财报股价预期：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a> 虽然从新剧热度来看奈飞Q2和Q3不会太过难看，但市场并没有给予特别高的预期。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020220722%20200.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20220722 200.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020220722%20205.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20220722 205.0 CALL$</a> 行权价靠的很近，是典型的熊市看涨策略，即卖出200的call&nbsp;，买入205的call。有鉴于奈飞现价185，几乎封死了上升空间。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> 财报很乐观，典型的牛市看涨策略，认为台积电会涨到80以上，90以下 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020221021%2080.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20221021 80.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020220819%2090.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20220819 90.0 CALL$</a> 再介绍两个奇葩单边大单：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSL</a>","text":"关于奈飞和台积电财报股价预期：$奈飞(NFLX)$ 虽然从新剧热度来看奈飞Q2和Q3不会太过难看，但市场并没有给予特别高的预期。 $NFLX 20220722 200.0 CALL$ $NFLX 20220722 205.0 CALL$ 行权价靠的很近，是典型的熊市看涨策略，即卖出200的call ，买入205的call。有鉴于奈飞现价185，几乎封死了上升空间。$台积电(TSM)$ 财报很乐观，典型的牛市看涨策略，认为台积电会涨到80以上，90以下 $TSM 20221021 80.0 CALL$ $TSM 20220819 90.0 CALL$ 再介绍两个奇葩单边大单：$特斯拉(TSL","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8b11a0a9ab7272b1ca6d4e298f71f16","width":"1170","height":"1966"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9be232b42f262d82643485953e403dfc","width":"1170","height":"989"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aef8734ffd8a521ef615cf8da2af3a7","width":"993","height":"871"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688000637","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688203901,"gmtCreate":1657665469207,"gmtModify":1704867891021,"author":{"id":"3576797821869898","authorId":"3576797821869898","name":"金豆豆518","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e48c19bb971a02f42d17c7edc1c14e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好👌","listText":"好👌","text":"好👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688203901","repostId":"688000637","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":688000637,"gmtCreate":1657201731096,"gmtModify":1704866863314,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"厉害了，800万买末日期权","htmlText":"关于奈飞和台积电财报股价预期：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a> 虽然从新剧热度来看奈飞Q2和Q3不会太过难看，但市场并没有给予特别高的预期。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020220722%20200.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20220722 200.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020220722%20205.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20220722 205.0 CALL$</a> 行权价靠的很近，是典型的熊市看涨策略，即卖出200的call&nbsp;，买入205的call。有鉴于奈飞现价185，几乎封死了上升空间。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> 财报很乐观，典型的牛市看涨策略，认为台积电会涨到80以上，90以下 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020221021%2080.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20221021 80.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020220819%2090.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20220819 90.0 CALL$</a> 再介绍两个奇葩单边大单：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSL</a>","listText":"关于奈飞和台积电财报股价预期：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">$奈飞(NFLX)$</a> 虽然从新剧热度来看奈飞Q2和Q3不会太过难看，但市场并没有给予特别高的预期。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020220722%20200.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20220722 200.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NFLX%2020220722%20205.0%20CALL\">$NFLX 20220722 205.0 CALL$</a> 行权价靠的很近，是典型的熊市看涨策略，即卖出200的call&nbsp;，买入205的call。有鉴于奈飞现价185，几乎封死了上升空间。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> 财报很乐观，典型的牛市看涨策略，认为台积电会涨到80以上，90以下 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020221021%2080.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20221021 80.0 CALL$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020220819%2090.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20220819 90.0 CALL$</a> 再介绍两个奇葩单边大单：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSL</a>","text":"关于奈飞和台积电财报股价预期：$奈飞(NFLX)$ 虽然从新剧热度来看奈飞Q2和Q3不会太过难看，但市场并没有给予特别高的预期。 $NFLX 20220722 200.0 CALL$ $NFLX 20220722 205.0 CALL$ 行权价靠的很近，是典型的熊市看涨策略，即卖出200的call ，买入205的call。有鉴于奈飞现价185，几乎封死了上升空间。$台积电(TSM)$ 财报很乐观，典型的牛市看涨策略，认为台积电会涨到80以上，90以下 $TSM 20221021 80.0 CALL$ $TSM 20220819 90.0 CALL$ 再介绍两个奇葩单边大单：$特斯拉(TSL","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f8b11a0a9ab7272b1ca6d4e298f71f16","width":"1170","height":"1966"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9be232b42f262d82643485953e403dfc","width":"1170","height":"989"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9aef8734ffd8a521ef615cf8da2af3a7","width":"993","height":"871"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688000637","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688209790,"gmtCreate":1657665396314,"gmtModify":1704867890680,"author":{"id":"3576797821869898","authorId":"3576797821869898","name":"金豆豆518","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e48c19bb971a02f42d17c7edc1c14e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>好👌","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNDL\">$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$</a>好👌","text":"$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$好👌","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9f30a92cf3d834ef0f3d24e55c8777e","width":"1125","height":"2644"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688209790","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":892,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688811974,"gmtCreate":1657574368103,"gmtModify":1704867602892,"author":{"id":"3576797821869898","authorId":"3576797821869898","name":"金豆豆518","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e48c19bb971a02f42d17c7edc1c14e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好👌","listText":"好👌","text":"好👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688811974","repostId":"681765890","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":681765890,"gmtCreate":1657180529919,"gmtModify":1704866789424,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"台积电财报前瞻：经济衰退不足为虑","htmlText":"最近，半导体行业坏消息不断…先是通胀高烧，美联储疯狂加息，半导体作为成长股代表，惨遭杀估值；而后，经济衰退风险持续升温，半导体作为周期性行业，再次成为风暴漩涡；最后，市场一度流传苹果、AMD、英伟达等大客户向台积电砍单！一系列负面因素，压的半导体踹不过气来，自超预期的一季报发布至今，台积电股价再跌25%！然而，市场或许过于忧虑了。首先，台积电管理层对2022年业绩一再表达强劲预期，在6月8日召开的股东大会上，台积电预计2022年的营收增速或超过30%，创近12年来的记录！与此同时，在先进工艺、产品提价加持下，台积电二季度的毛利率预计高达58%，创历史记录！同已公布的4-5月收入来看，台积电两个月的营收已经达到3582.7亿新台币，同比增长60%，只要6月份的收入能增长11.7%，就将超过公司给出的指引上限！7月7日，台积电的对手三星电子发布二季报简报，其中，营收77万亿韩元，略超分析师预测的76.8亿，引发股价大涨，进而带动台积电在台湾股市中大涨5%！可以说，台积电Q2超预期几乎铁板钉钉！虽然当季业绩强劲，但股价跌跌不休，投资者或提前对未来的业绩下滑进行计价。在6月30日，存储巨头美光发布二季报，电话会上，管理层强调手机和电脑需求不及预期，并下调了对三季度的业绩展望，印证了市场关于“砍单”的传闻！从通胀及苹果在日本提高手机售价情况来看，电子产品的需求出现下滑是大概率事件，但未必会撼动台积电的业绩。先看一季报中台积电的收入来源，除了智能手机之外，HPC（高性能计算）贡献了41%的收入，成为第一大收入来源。从增速上看，HPC和汽车季度营收增速高达26%，是推动台积电业绩增长的主要功臣。HPC相较智能手机，抗经济波动的能力更高，在人工智能时代，对计算的需求十分旺盛。如美光最新的财报中，虽然预计手机和PC需求下滑，但数据中心业务依然非常强劲！加上二季度汽车芯片依然旺盛，或助力台积电","listText":"最近，半导体行业坏消息不断…先是通胀高烧，美联储疯狂加息，半导体作为成长股代表，惨遭杀估值；而后，经济衰退风险持续升温，半导体作为周期性行业，再次成为风暴漩涡；最后，市场一度流传苹果、AMD、英伟达等大客户向台积电砍单！一系列负面因素，压的半导体踹不过气来，自超预期的一季报发布至今，台积电股价再跌25%！然而，市场或许过于忧虑了。首先，台积电管理层对2022年业绩一再表达强劲预期，在6月8日召开的股东大会上，台积电预计2022年的营收增速或超过30%，创近12年来的记录！与此同时，在先进工艺、产品提价加持下，台积电二季度的毛利率预计高达58%，创历史记录！同已公布的4-5月收入来看，台积电两个月的营收已经达到3582.7亿新台币，同比增长60%，只要6月份的收入能增长11.7%，就将超过公司给出的指引上限！7月7日，台积电的对手三星电子发布二季报简报，其中，营收77万亿韩元，略超分析师预测的76.8亿，引发股价大涨，进而带动台积电在台湾股市中大涨5%！可以说，台积电Q2超预期几乎铁板钉钉！虽然当季业绩强劲，但股价跌跌不休，投资者或提前对未来的业绩下滑进行计价。在6月30日，存储巨头美光发布二季报，电话会上，管理层强调手机和电脑需求不及预期，并下调了对三季度的业绩展望，印证了市场关于“砍单”的传闻！从通胀及苹果在日本提高手机售价情况来看，电子产品的需求出现下滑是大概率事件，但未必会撼动台积电的业绩。先看一季报中台积电的收入来源，除了智能手机之外，HPC（高性能计算）贡献了41%的收入，成为第一大收入来源。从增速上看，HPC和汽车季度营收增速高达26%，是推动台积电业绩增长的主要功臣。HPC相较智能手机，抗经济波动的能力更高，在人工智能时代，对计算的需求十分旺盛。如美光最新的财报中，虽然预计手机和PC需求下滑，但数据中心业务依然非常强劲！加上二季度汽车芯片依然旺盛，或助力台积电","text":"最近，半导体行业坏消息不断…先是通胀高烧，美联储疯狂加息，半导体作为成长股代表，惨遭杀估值；而后，经济衰退风险持续升温，半导体作为周期性行业，再次成为风暴漩涡；最后，市场一度流传苹果、AMD、英伟达等大客户向台积电砍单！一系列负面因素，压的半导体踹不过气来，自超预期的一季报发布至今，台积电股价再跌25%！然而，市场或许过于忧虑了。首先，台积电管理层对2022年业绩一再表达强劲预期，在6月8日召开的股东大会上，台积电预计2022年的营收增速或超过30%，创近12年来的记录！与此同时，在先进工艺、产品提价加持下，台积电二季度的毛利率预计高达58%，创历史记录！同已公布的4-5月收入来看，台积电两个月的营收已经达到3582.7亿新台币，同比增长60%，只要6月份的收入能增长11.7%，就将超过公司给出的指引上限！7月7日，台积电的对手三星电子发布二季报简报，其中，营收77万亿韩元，略超分析师预测的76.8亿，引发股价大涨，进而带动台积电在台湾股市中大涨5%！可以说，台积电Q2超预期几乎铁板钉钉！虽然当季业绩强劲，但股价跌跌不休，投资者或提前对未来的业绩下滑进行计价。在6月30日，存储巨头美光发布二季报，电话会上，管理层强调手机和电脑需求不及预期，并下调了对三季度的业绩展望，印证了市场关于“砍单”的传闻！从通胀及苹果在日本提高手机售价情况来看，电子产品的需求出现下滑是大概率事件，但未必会撼动台积电的业绩。先看一季报中台积电的收入来源，除了智能手机之外，HPC（高性能计算）贡献了41%的收入，成为第一大收入来源。从增速上看，HPC和汽车季度营收增速高达26%，是推动台积电业绩增长的主要功臣。HPC相较智能手机，抗经济波动的能力更高，在人工智能时代，对计算的需求十分旺盛。如美光最新的财报中，虽然预计手机和PC需求下滑，但数据中心业务依然非常强劲！加上二季度汽车芯片依然旺盛，或助力台积电","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8c9a05f5e0c99ad47bfddbbede88fab","width":"632","height":"176"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/170e5134ef877e4caf5d8b3cf0ac3c71","width":"632","height":"321"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d33d8ec6e1f5c70a1dc331c24dd0a2df","width":"632","height":"360"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681765890","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688811065,"gmtCreate":1657574351958,"gmtModify":1704867602722,"author":{"id":"3576797821869898","authorId":"3576797821869898","name":"金豆豆518","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e48c19bb971a02f42d17c7edc1c14e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"好👌","listText":"好👌","text":"好👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688811065","repostId":"681635042","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":681635042,"gmtCreate":1656933583598,"gmtModify":1704866052701,"author":{"id":"3514329116425907","authorId":"3514329116425907","name":"小虎AV","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/162e12f8dcec770ec19f66f2abb0d5db","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"警方回应蔚来失控致多人被撞 ：正在调查处理当中","htmlText":"\n \n \n  7月4日上午，网传河南省漯河市第一人民医院门口突发一起交通事故，一辆蔚来汽车疑似失控，将路边多名行人撞倒，车辆受损严重。新黄河就此事致电漯河市第一人民医院急救中心，一名工作人员表示，当时现场情况比较混乱，具体情况暂时不太清楚。随后记者致电漯河市开发区交管巡防大队，一名工作人员回应称：“目前事故正在调查处理当中，具体案情不方便透露。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO.SI\">$蔚来(NIO.SI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$</a>\n \n","listText":"7月4日上午，网传河南省漯河市第一人民医院门口突发一起交通事故，一辆蔚来汽车疑似失控，将路边多名行人撞倒，车辆受损严重。新黄河就此事致电漯河市第一人民医院急救中心，一名工作人员表示，当时现场情况比较混乱，具体情况暂时不太清楚。随后记者致电漯河市开发区交管巡防大队，一名工作人员回应称：“目前事故正在调查处理当中，具体案情不方便透露。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO.SI\">$蔚来(NIO.SI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$</a>","text":"7月4日上午，网传河南省漯河市第一人民医院门口突发一起交通事故，一辆蔚来汽车疑似失控，将路边多名行人撞倒，车辆受损严重。新黄河就此事致电漯河市第一人民医院急救中心，一名工作人员表示，当时现场情况比较混乱，具体情况暂时不太清楚。随后记者致电漯河市开发区交管巡防大队，一名工作人员回应称：“目前事故正在调查处理当中，具体案情不方便透露。”$蔚来(NIO)$ $蔚来(NIO.SI)$ 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预计每天出售的公司股份数目将占公司股份之每日平均成交量的一小部分。例如，若Naspers集团在过去三个月内在符合欧洲监管限制的前提下执行回购计划，每天出售的公司股份平均不会超过公司股份之每日平均成交量约3-5%。 但3-5%也不是个小数目。腾讯回购的时候，一般也只是当日成交量的3%左右。有回购的日子，除了场内直接起到的托价作用，还给其他抄底投资者信心。但现在反过来，没有额外买盘，还要天天忍受大股东的**，本想抄底的也要犹豫一下了。大股东自己下场砸盘，可以自由选择买卖的时间和价格，也不用大宗交易的折价了。Naspers为什么这么着急卖？腾讯目前的市值为36391亿港元（4635亿美元），大股东Naspers目前持有腾讯股份28.9%（腾讯回购前），也就是持有的腾讯就值1340亿美元。Naspers自己在南非的约翰内斯堡证券交易所的市值仅为612亿美元（但也是南非市值最大的公司）。折价，小部分因素是非洲交易所的低流动性，主因还是Naspers投资者并不看好它能套现所持的腾讯股份。毕竟，股票波动性非常大，腾讯腰斩也不是没有过。因为长期存在这样的折价，Naspers分拆了自己的子公司Prosus到流动性更好的荷兰的泛欧交易所上市，而P","listText":"腾讯被演了。明明上午涨的好好的，中午发了份公告，大股东Naspers（因为要长期它自己公司股票回购）将开始第三次减持腾讯股票。反正遇到大股东减持，没有哪个票能有正面的反应。何况Naspers的前两次减持都是在两个山峰上：第一次是2018年3月，减持完就碰上“游戏版号停滞”，腾讯股价跌了将近一半；第二次是2021年4月，腾讯股价从770的历史高点刚刚回撤，减持完就碰上“中概股史诗级大撤退”。这次减持有何不同？与前两次不一样的是，这次它不选择场外的大宗交易（批发卖给大机构），而是直接在场内竞价出售，所有的散户都可以跟机构一起被割，一视同仁。虽然公告上说： 预计每天出售的公司股份数目将占公司股份之每日平均成交量的一小部分。例如，若Naspers集团在过去三个月内在符合欧洲监管限制的前提下执行回购计划，每天出售的公司股份平均不会超过公司股份之每日平均成交量约3-5%。 但3-5%也不是个小数目。腾讯回购的时候，一般也只是当日成交量的3%左右。有回购的日子，除了场内直接起到的托价作用，还给其他抄底投资者信心。但现在反过来，没有额外买盘，还要天天忍受大股东的**，本想抄底的也要犹豫一下了。大股东自己下场砸盘，可以自由选择买卖的时间和价格，也不用大宗交易的折价了。Naspers为什么这么着急卖？腾讯目前的市值为36391亿港元（4635亿美元），大股东Naspers目前持有腾讯股份28.9%（腾讯回购前），也就是持有的腾讯就值1340亿美元。Naspers自己在南非的约翰内斯堡证券交易所的市值仅为612亿美元（但也是南非市值最大的公司）。折价，小部分因素是非洲交易所的低流动性，主因还是Naspers投资者并不看好它能套现所持的腾讯股份。毕竟，股票波动性非常大，腾讯腰斩也不是没有过。因为长期存在这样的折价，Naspers分拆了自己的子公司Prosus到流动性更好的荷兰的泛欧交易所上市，而P","text":"腾讯被演了。明明上午涨的好好的，中午发了份公告，大股东Naspers（因为要长期它自己公司股票回购）将开始第三次减持腾讯股票。反正遇到大股东减持，没有哪个票能有正面的反应。何况Naspers的前两次减持都是在两个山峰上：第一次是2018年3月，减持完就碰上“游戏版号停滞”，腾讯股价跌了将近一半；第二次是2021年4月，腾讯股价从770的历史高点刚刚回撤，减持完就碰上“中概股史诗级大撤退”。这次减持有何不同？与前两次不一样的是，这次它不选择场外的大宗交易（批发卖给大机构），而是直接在场内竞价出售，所有的散户都可以跟机构一起被割，一视同仁。虽然公告上说： 预计每天出售的公司股份数目将占公司股份之每日平均成交量的一小部分。例如，若Naspers集团在过去三个月内在符合欧洲监管限制的前提下执行回购计划，每天出售的公司股份平均不会超过公司股份之每日平均成交量约3-5%。 但3-5%也不是个小数目。腾讯回购的时候，一般也只是当日成交量的3%左右。有回购的日子，除了场内直接起到的托价作用，还给其他抄底投资者信心。但现在反过来，没有额外买盘，还要天天忍受大股东的**，本想抄底的也要犹豫一下了。大股东自己下场砸盘，可以自由选择买卖的时间和价格，也不用大宗交易的折价了。Naspers为什么这么着急卖？腾讯目前的市值为36391亿港元（4635亿美元），大股东Naspers目前持有腾讯股份28.9%（腾讯回购前），也就是持有的腾讯就值1340亿美元。Naspers自己在南非的约翰内斯堡证券交易所的市值仅为612亿美元（但也是南非市值最大的公司）。折价，小部分因素是非洲交易所的低流动性，主因还是Naspers投资者并不看好它能套现所持的腾讯股份。毕竟，股票波动性非常大，腾讯腰斩也不是没有过。因为长期存在这样的折价，Naspers分拆了自己的子公司Prosus到流动性更好的荷兰的泛欧交易所上市，而P","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46973d939ee3d154079ca79fab68ca56","width":"1080","height":"794"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ff963fe67fc6d9b0d339bb2288fd327","width":"1770","height":"739"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6faeed3a4b37f9e62e54e5450e6a875","width":"1766","height":"732"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683290998","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":177,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":681532292,"gmtCreate":1657060019121,"gmtModify":1704866393415,"author":{"id":"3576797821869898","authorId":"3576797821869898","name":"金豆豆518","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e48c19bb971a02f42d17c7edc1c14e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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