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PoPi
2021-10-14
Like!
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PoPi
2021-10-08
Like!
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PoPi
2021-09-28
Ok
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PoPi
2021-09-23
Like!
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PoPi
2021-10-09
Like!
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PoPi
2021-10-07
Like!
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PoPi
2021-08-26
Like!
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PoPi
2021-08-09
Banks are doing well.
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PoPi
2021-06-22
Still bullish
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PoPi
2021-09-01
Ok
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去老虎APP查看更多动态
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能源危机这个名词最早是从欧洲传出来的，相比美国而言，欧洲诸国在今冬的能源危机程度要远远大于美国。原因我在上个帖子里也有提到： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/886408786\" target=\"_blank\">回顾：关注天然气暴涨行情了吗？破5后的上涨空间可能仍然很大</a> 美国还有大量的油气储备可以依赖。但欧洲的能源消费则很大程度上依赖进口。由于资本在传统能源上长期支出不足，遇上疫情后的产能缺口出现时，又很难在短时间内恢复能源的生产，结果就是今年欧盟和英国的储气库目前的储气量罕见的低于 76%，而十年的季节性平均值接近 90%。 最可怕的是冬季来临后，消费量急剧上升，按照惯例，未来几个月，库存会被迅速消耗探底，这意味着部分欧洲地区的天然气会出现枯竭，现在很多供热公司已经转向煤炭能源。但煤炭的供应量也难以保证冬天的取暖需求。 从库存上看，欧洲地区储气量虽然有所回升，但这很难缓解未来的供气担忧， 目前唯一能缓解担忧的事件，就是Nord Stream（北溪） 2号管线供气的提前开通，但这几乎是不可能的，最可能的结果是欧盟在明年初对俄罗斯管道进行认证。这个项目牵涉的，是美国，俄罗斯和欧洲诸国三个团体的利益，桌面下的政治博弈会有","text":"能源危机和美国政府的债务上限问题是最近困扰欧美市场最突出的两个问题，由此产生了一系列的预期和交易机会。这两个问题的走向，也决定了很多大类资产价格的走势，我们来简单梳理一下。 首先能源危机 最近的欧洲天然气价格开启了“暴走”模式，荷兰和英国的天然气期货在短短两天内上涨了 60%，随着电价飙升，欧洲气价创下了历史新高。 眼看冬天就要到来，消费量增加的预期，加上供应无法保证以及库存的持续探底，让欧洲的天然气基准价格刷出了创纪录的 125.96欧元/兆瓦时，这个数字是去年的十倍。而这个价格在很多市场分析人士看来，很可能并不是顶点。 能源危机这个名词最早是从欧洲传出来的，相比美国而言，欧洲诸国在今冬的能源危机程度要远远大于美国。原因我在上个帖子里也有提到： 回顾：关注天然气暴涨行情了吗？破5后的上涨空间可能仍然很大 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