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2021-12-13

$Angi Inc(ANGI)$Really regret not selling when it rebounded to $14 😭

2021-12-10

After Fed meeting go up again

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-30

Traditional technology vs mRNA by AI. What do you think?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-11-23

Roller coaster

XPeng shares rose nearly 12% in early trading<blockquote>小鹏汽车股价早盘涨近12%</blockquote>

2021-11-06

Good. Indices continue to 🚀 🚀 🚀

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2021-11-04

Powell cannot let the market crash when he is still in office or else he cannot get reappointment

Fed Chair Powell: 'We understand the difficulties' of rising inflation<blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔：“我们理解通胀上升的困难”</blockquote>

2021-11-03

$600??

@village5576:Once we get Approvals for🇪🇺🇬🇧🇮🇳 EU UK & IndiaWe’ll see a 50B market Cap.That’s +600 share price.$Novavax(NVAX)$

2021-11-03

Please fly pass 300… and to the 🌙

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2021-11-03

Hopefully it will break $30 soon

Palantir: What Growth Could Mean For Price In 2025 And Beyond<blockquote>Palantir：2025年及以后的增长对价格意味着什么</blockquote>

2021-10-28

Sure. At highest point of $65. The current price level seems like a good deal.

Nio Stock Dropped Wednesday: Is This an Opportunity?<blockquote>蔚来股价周三下跌：这是一个机会吗？</blockquote>

2021-10-26

So cheap? Only $1k??

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-26

Effects from TSLA?

EV stocks open higher sharply in Hong Kong<blockquote>香港电动汽车股大幅高开</blockquote>

2021-10-24

$Enphase Energy(ENPH)$Looks like clean energy play is back

2021-10-22

Waiting for NVAX to rebound and 🚀

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-22

Please buy more

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-21

Is this consider a piece of good news for NVAX?

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2021-10-21

Please rocket past $88 which is the long time resistance

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-15

Will it sustain?

S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升，盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>

2021-10-14

$CureVac B.V.(CVAC)$No news? Short squeeze??

2021-10-14

Trade with caution

S&P 500, Nasdaq rise with growth stocks; JPMorgan a drag<blockquote>标普500、纳斯达克随成长股上涨；摩根大通拖累</blockquote>

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Excluding nonrecurring items, the adjusted loss per ADS came to RMB1.77, compared with the FactSet consensus of RMB1.30.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车股价早盘上涨近12%，此前这家中国电动汽车制造商公布第三季度亏损超出预期，但营收远高于预期，并提供了乐观的第四季度前景。净亏损从一年前的亏损11.5亿元人民币扩大至15.9亿元人民币（2.497亿美元），即每股美国存托股票(ADS)1.89元人民币。不包括非经常性项目，调整后每股美国存托凭证亏损为人民币1.77元，而FactSet共识为人民币1.30元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue jumps 187.4% to RMB5.72 billion ($895.5 million) to beat the FactSet consensus of RMB5.03 billion, as deliveries rose 199.2% to a record 25,666 vehicles, including 217.7% growth in P7 model deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长187.4%，达到人民币57.2亿元（8.955亿美元），超过FactSet预期的人民币50.3亿元，交付量增长199.2%，达到创纪录的25,666辆，其中P7车型交付量增长217.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Gross margin improved to 14.4% from 4.6%. Looking ahead, the company expects fourth-quarter deliveries of between 34,500 and 36,500 vehicles, representing growth of 166.1% to 181.5%, and revenue between RMB7.1 billion and RMB7.5 billion, compared with the FactSet consensus of RMB6.09 billion.</p><p><blockquote>毛利率从4.6%提高至14.4%。展望未来，该公司预计第四季度交付量将在34,500辆至36,500辆之间，增长166.1%至181.5%，收入将在人民币71亿元至人民币75亿元之间，而FactSet共识为人民币60.9亿元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>XPeng shares rose nearly 12% in early trading<blockquote>小鹏汽车股价早盘涨近12%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nXPeng shares rose nearly 12% in early trading<blockquote>小鹏汽车股价早盘涨近12%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-23 23:24</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>XPeng&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;12%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading&nbsp;after the China-based electric vehicle maker reported a wider-than-expected third-quarter loss but revenue that rose well above forecasts and provided an upbeat fourth-quarter outlook.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a8d43127b29dfc54fadaa9e23939d911\" tg-width=\"878\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The net loss widened to RMB1.59 bln ($249.7 million), or RMB1.89 per American depositary share (ADS), from a loss of RMB1.15 billion a year ago. Excluding nonrecurring items, the adjusted loss per ADS came to RMB1.77, compared with the FactSet consensus of RMB1.30.</p><p><blockquote>小鹏汽车股价早盘上涨近12%，此前这家中国电动汽车制造商公布第三季度亏损超出预期，但营收远高于预期，并提供了乐观的第四季度前景。净亏损从一年前的亏损11.5亿元人民币扩大至15.9亿元人民币（2.497亿美元），即每股美国存托股票(ADS)1.89元人民币。不包括非经常性项目，调整后每股美国存托凭证亏损为人民币1.77元，而FactSet共识为人民币1.30元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue jumps 187.4% to RMB5.72 billion ($895.5 million) to beat the FactSet consensus of RMB5.03 billion, as deliveries rose 199.2% to a record 25,666 vehicles, including 217.7% growth in P7 model deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长187.4%，达到人民币57.2亿元（8.955亿美元），超过FactSet预期的人民币50.3亿元，交付量增长199.2%，达到创纪录的25,666辆，其中P7车型交付量增长217.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Gross margin improved to 14.4% from 4.6%. Looking ahead, the company expects fourth-quarter deliveries of between 34,500 and 36,500 vehicles, representing growth of 166.1% to 181.5%, and revenue between RMB7.1 billion and RMB7.5 billion, compared with the FactSet consensus of RMB6.09 billion.</p><p><blockquote>毛利率从4.6%提高至14.4%。展望未来，该公司预计第四季度交付量将在34,500辆至36,500辆之间，增长166.1%至181.5%，收入将在人民币71亿元至人民币75亿元之间，而FactSet共识为人民币60.9亿元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09868":"小鹏汽车-W","XPEV":"小鹏汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117658681","content_text":"XPeng shares rose nearly 12% in early trading after the China-based electric vehicle maker reported a wider-than-expected third-quarter loss but revenue that rose well above forecasts and provided an upbeat fourth-quarter outlook.The net loss widened to RMB1.59 bln ($249.7 million), or RMB1.89 per American depositary share (ADS), from a loss of RMB1.15 billion a year ago. Excluding nonrecurring items, the adjusted loss per ADS came to RMB1.77, compared with the FactSet consensus of RMB1.30.\nRevenue jumps 187.4% to RMB5.72 billion ($895.5 million) to beat the FactSet consensus of RMB5.03 billion, as deliveries rose 199.2% to a record 25,666 vehicles, including 217.7% growth in P7 model deliveries.\nGross margin improved to 14.4% from 4.6%. Looking ahead, the company expects fourth-quarter deliveries of between 34,500 and 36,500 vehicles, representing growth of 166.1% to 181.5%, and revenue between RMB7.1 billion and RMB7.5 billion, compared with the FactSet consensus of RMB6.09 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"09868":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":842677226,"gmtCreate":1636176160830,"gmtModify":1636176747060,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good. Indices continue to 🚀 🚀&nbsp;🚀&nbsp;","listText":"Good. Indices continue to 🚀 🚀&nbsp;🚀&nbsp;","text":"Good. Indices continue to 🚀 🚀 🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/842677226","repostId":"2181742831","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2744,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848695633,"gmtCreate":1635992922900,"gmtModify":1635992923702,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Powell cannot let the market crash when he is still in office or else he cannot get reappointment&nbsp;","listText":"Powell cannot let the market crash when he is still in office or else he cannot get reappointment&nbsp;","text":"Powell cannot let the market crash when he is still in office or else he cannot get reappointment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848695633","repostId":"1179826318","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179826318","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635990031,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179826318?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-04 09:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Chair Powell: 'We understand the difficulties' of rising inflation<blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔：“我们理解通胀上升的困难”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179826318","media":"Yahoo","summary":"The nation’s top economic policymaker acknowledged that inflationary pressures are impacting everyda","content":"<p>The nation’s top economic policymaker acknowledged that inflationary pressures are impacting everyday Americans, but doubled down on his view that the hot pace of price increases should abate in time.</p><p><blockquote>美国最高经济政策制定者承认，通胀压力正在影响美国人的日常生活，但他更加强调了他的观点，即物价上涨的火热步伐应该及时减弱。</blockquote></p><p> \"We understand the difficulties that high inflation poses for individuals and families, particularly those with limited means to absorb higher prices for essentials such as food and transportation,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said in a press conference Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三的新闻发布会上表示：“我们理解高通胀给个人和家庭带来的困难，特别是那些无力吸收食品和交通等必需品价格上涨的人。”</blockquote></p><p> Americans have been feeling the impact of rising prices as of late. The Consumer Price Index showed pricesrising 5.4% on a year-over-year basisin September (the fastest reading since 2008).</p><p><blockquote>美国人最近已经感受到了物价上涨的影响。消费者价格指数显示，9月份物价同比上涨5.4%（为2008年以来的最快涨幅）。</blockquote></p><p> But Powell leaned again on the explanation of these pressures as “transitory,” pointing to pandemic-induced materials and labor shortages that have constrained supply chains globally.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔再次将这些压力解释为“暂时的”，指出大流行引发的材料和劳动力短缺限制了全球供应链。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chief said those bottlenecks should persist into next year, stressing that if it appears that inflation will persist even after those COVID-related factors fade, the central bank can raise interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席表示，这些瓶颈应该会持续到明年，并强调，如果即使在这些与新冠病毒相关的因素消退后，通胀似乎仍将持续，央行可以加息。</blockquote></p><p> Compared to messaging in the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting in September, the policy-setting arm of the central bank appears to be taking seriously the risk of persistent inflation. It tweaked its language in its policy statement to note that inflationary pressures are not “transitory” but “expected to be transitory.”</p><p><blockquote>与9月份上次联邦公开市场委员会会议上传达的信息相比，央行的政策制定部门似乎正在认真对待持续通胀的风险。它调整了政策声明中的措辞，指出通胀压力不是“暂时的”，而是“预计将是暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> Powell said the change was made “to show uncertainty around that.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，做出这一改变是“为了显示这方面的不确定性”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Interest rates near zero</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率接近于零</b></blockquote></p><p> In its policy announcement Wednesday, the FOMC unanimously voted to hold interest rates at near zero butbegin the process of tapering its asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>在周三的政策公告中，联邦公开市场委员会一致投票决定将利率维持在接近零的水平，但开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Since the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been buying about $120 billion per month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities to signal its support of the economy. But starting this month, the Fed will slow those aggregate purchases by $15 billion per month.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情最严重以来，美联储每月购买约1200亿美元的美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券，以表明其对经济的支持。但从本月开始，美联储将每月将这些总购买量放缓150亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are prepared to speed up or slow down the pace of reductions in asset purchases, if it's warranted by changes in the economic outlook,” Powell told the press.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔对媒体表示：“如果经济前景发生变化，我们准备加快或放慢减少资产购买的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> But the tapering program, which marks the first major step in the Fed unwinding its pandemic-era easy money policies, has revved up chatter about when the central bank could eventually tap into its primary tool of levering short-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>但缩减计划标志着美联储解除大流行时期宽松货币政策的第一个重要步骤，引发了人们关于美联储何时最终可能利用其杠杆短期利率的主要工具的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> Powell made it clear that while it could deploy a rate hike to quell inflation, his focus will be on letting the labor market heal.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔明确表示，虽然可能会加息来平息通胀，但他的重点将是让劳动力市场痊愈。</blockquote></p><p> There are still over 5 million workers out of the labor force compared to pre-pandemic levels, which Powell remained optimistic about fixing. The challenge: jobs data as of latehave missed expectationsfor a more vigorous labor market recovery.</p><p><blockquote>与大流行前的水平相比，仍有超过500万工人退出劳动力市场，鲍威尔对解决这一问题仍持乐观态度。挑战：最新的就业数据未能达到劳动力市场更强劲复苏的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Powell suggested his deference is to give workers and hiring firms more time to plug the shortfall.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，他的尊重是为了给工人和招聘公司更多时间来填补缺口。</blockquote></p><p> \"Ideally we would see further development of the labor market in a context where there isn't another COVID spike, and then we would be able to see how does participation react in that post-COVID world,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔说：“理想情况下，我们将在新冠疫情不再激增的情况下看到劳动力市场的进一步发展，然后我们将能够看到参与在后新冠疫情世界中的反应。”</blockquote></p><p> The next jobs report, covering the month of October, is due on Friday. The central bank’s next policy-setting announcement is scheduled to take place on Dec. 14 and 15.</p><p><blockquote>下一份涵盖10月份的就业报告将于周五发布。央行的下一次政策公告定于12月14日至15日发布。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Chair Powell: 'We understand the difficulties' of rising inflation<blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔：“我们理解通胀上升的困难”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Chair Powell: 'We understand the difficulties' of rising inflation<blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔：“我们理解通胀上升的困难”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-04 09:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The nation’s top economic policymaker acknowledged that inflationary pressures are impacting everyday Americans, but doubled down on his view that the hot pace of price increases should abate in time.</p><p><blockquote>美国最高经济政策制定者承认，通胀压力正在影响美国人的日常生活，但他更加强调了他的观点，即物价上涨的火热步伐应该及时减弱。</blockquote></p><p> \"We understand the difficulties that high inflation poses for individuals and families, particularly those with limited means to absorb higher prices for essentials such as food and transportation,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said in a press conference Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三的新闻发布会上表示：“我们理解高通胀给个人和家庭带来的困难，特别是那些无力吸收食品和交通等必需品价格上涨的人。”</blockquote></p><p> Americans have been feeling the impact of rising prices as of late. The Consumer Price Index showed pricesrising 5.4% on a year-over-year basisin September (the fastest reading since 2008).</p><p><blockquote>美国人最近已经感受到了物价上涨的影响。消费者价格指数显示，9月份物价同比上涨5.4%（为2008年以来的最快涨幅）。</blockquote></p><p> But Powell leaned again on the explanation of these pressures as “transitory,” pointing to pandemic-induced materials and labor shortages that have constrained supply chains globally.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔再次将这些压力解释为“暂时的”，指出大流行引发的材料和劳动力短缺限制了全球供应链。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chief said those bottlenecks should persist into next year, stressing that if it appears that inflation will persist even after those COVID-related factors fade, the central bank can raise interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席表示，这些瓶颈应该会持续到明年，并强调，如果即使在这些与新冠病毒相关的因素消退后，通胀似乎仍将持续，央行可以加息。</blockquote></p><p> Compared to messaging in the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting in September, the policy-setting arm of the central bank appears to be taking seriously the risk of persistent inflation. It tweaked its language in its policy statement to note that inflationary pressures are not “transitory” but “expected to be transitory.”</p><p><blockquote>与9月份上次联邦公开市场委员会会议上传达的信息相比，央行的政策制定部门似乎正在认真对待持续通胀的风险。它调整了政策声明中的措辞，指出通胀压力不是“暂时的”，而是“预计将是暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> Powell said the change was made “to show uncertainty around that.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，做出这一改变是“为了显示这方面的不确定性”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Interest rates near zero</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率接近于零</b></blockquote></p><p> In its policy announcement Wednesday, the FOMC unanimously voted to hold interest rates at near zero butbegin the process of tapering its asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>在周三的政策公告中，联邦公开市场委员会一致投票决定将利率维持在接近零的水平，但开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Since the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been buying about $120 billion per month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities to signal its support of the economy. But starting this month, the Fed will slow those aggregate purchases by $15 billion per month.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情最严重以来，美联储每月购买约1200亿美元的美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券，以表明其对经济的支持。但从本月开始，美联储将每月将这些总购买量放缓150亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are prepared to speed up or slow down the pace of reductions in asset purchases, if it's warranted by changes in the economic outlook,” Powell told the press.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔对媒体表示：“如果经济前景发生变化，我们准备加快或放慢减少资产购买的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> But the tapering program, which marks the first major step in the Fed unwinding its pandemic-era easy money policies, has revved up chatter about when the central bank could eventually tap into its primary tool of levering short-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>但缩减计划标志着美联储解除大流行时期宽松货币政策的第一个重要步骤，引发了人们关于美联储何时最终可能利用其杠杆短期利率的主要工具的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> Powell made it clear that while it could deploy a rate hike to quell inflation, his focus will be on letting the labor market heal.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔明确表示，虽然可能会加息来平息通胀，但他的重点将是让劳动力市场痊愈。</blockquote></p><p> There are still over 5 million workers out of the labor force compared to pre-pandemic levels, which Powell remained optimistic about fixing. The challenge: jobs data as of latehave missed expectationsfor a more vigorous labor market recovery.</p><p><blockquote>与大流行前的水平相比，仍有超过500万工人退出劳动力市场，鲍威尔对解决这一问题仍持乐观态度。挑战：最新的就业数据未能达到劳动力市场更强劲复苏的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Powell suggested his deference is to give workers and hiring firms more time to plug the shortfall.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，他的尊重是为了给工人和招聘公司更多时间来填补缺口。</blockquote></p><p> \"Ideally we would see further development of the labor market in a context where there isn't another COVID spike, and then we would be able to see how does participation react in that post-COVID world,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔说：“理想情况下，我们将在新冠疫情不再激增的情况下看到劳动力市场的进一步发展，然后我们将能够看到参与在后新冠疫情世界中的反应。”</blockquote></p><p> The next jobs report, covering the month of October, is due on Friday. The central bank’s next policy-setting announcement is scheduled to take place on Dec. 14 and 15.</p><p><blockquote>下一份涵盖10月份的就业报告将于周五发布。央行的下一次政策公告定于12月14日至15日发布。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-chair-powell-we-understand-the-difficulties-of-rising-inflation-212410432.html\">Yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-chair-powell-we-understand-the-difficulties-of-rising-inflation-212410432.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179826318","content_text":"The nation’s top economic policymaker acknowledged that inflationary pressures are impacting everyday Americans, but doubled down on his view that the hot pace of price increases should abate in time.\n\"We understand the difficulties that high inflation poses for individuals and families, particularly those with limited means to absorb higher prices for essentials such as food and transportation,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said in a press conference Wednesday.\nAmericans have been feeling the impact of rising prices as of late. The Consumer Price Index showed pricesrising 5.4% on a year-over-year basisin September (the fastest reading since 2008).\nBut Powell leaned again on the explanation of these pressures as “transitory,” pointing to pandemic-induced materials and labor shortages that have constrained supply chains globally.\nThe Fed chief said those bottlenecks should persist into next year, stressing that if it appears that inflation will persist even after those COVID-related factors fade, the central bank can raise interest rates.\nCompared to messaging in the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting in September, the policy-setting arm of the central bank appears to be taking seriously the risk of persistent inflation. It tweaked its language in its policy statement to note that inflationary pressures are not “transitory” but “expected to be transitory.”\nPowell said the change was made “to show uncertainty around that.”\nInterest rates near zero\nIn its policy announcement Wednesday, the FOMC unanimously voted to hold interest rates at near zero butbegin the process of tapering its asset purchases.\nSince the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been buying about $120 billion per month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities to signal its support of the economy. But starting this month, the Fed will slow those aggregate purchases by $15 billion per month.\n\"We are prepared to speed up or slow down the pace of reductions in asset purchases, if it's warranted by changes in the economic outlook,” Powell told the press.\nBut the tapering program, which marks the first major step in the Fed unwinding its pandemic-era easy money policies, has revved up chatter about when the central bank could eventually tap into its primary tool of levering short-term interest rates.\nPowell made it clear that while it could deploy a rate hike to quell inflation, his focus will be on letting the labor market heal.\nThere are still over 5 million workers out of the labor force compared to pre-pandemic levels, which Powell remained optimistic about fixing. The challenge: jobs data as of latehave missed expectationsfor a more vigorous labor market recovery.\nPowell suggested his deference is to give workers and hiring firms more time to plug the shortfall.\n\"Ideally we would see further development of the labor market in a context where there isn't another COVID spike, and then we would be able to see how does participation react in that post-COVID world,” Powell said.\nThe next jobs report, covering the month of October, is due on Friday. The central bank’s next policy-setting announcement is scheduled to take place on Dec. 14 and 15.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841451477,"gmtCreate":1635937214500,"gmtModify":1635937215158,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$600??","listText":"$600??","text":"$600??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841451477","repostId":"841413939","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":841413939,"gmtCreate":1635933103818,"gmtModify":1635933103818,"author":{"id":"3479274775671087","authorId":"3479274775671087","name":"village5576","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/picture105","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3479274775671087","idStr":"3479274775671087"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Once we get Approvals for🇪🇺🇬🇧🇮🇳 EU UK &amp; IndiaWe’ll see a 50B market Cap.That’s +600 share price.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">$Novavax(NVAX)$</a>","listText":"Once we get Approvals for🇪🇺🇬🇧🇮🇳 EU UK &amp; IndiaWe’ll see a 50B market Cap.That’s +600 share price.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">$Novavax(NVAX)$</a>","text":"Once we get Approvals for🇪🇺🇬🇧🇮🇳 EU UK & IndiaWe’ll see a 50B market Cap.That’s +600 share price.$Novavax(NVAX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841413939","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841555254,"gmtCreate":1635928156527,"gmtModify":1635928646469,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please fly pass 300… and to the 🌙&nbsp;","listText":"Please fly pass 300… and to the 🌙&nbsp;","text":"Please fly pass 300… and to the 🌙","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841555254","repostId":"1146546859","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841342772,"gmtCreate":1635893178627,"gmtModify":1635893178837,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hopefully it will break $30 soon","listText":"Hopefully it will break $30 soon","text":"Hopefully it will break $30 soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841342772","repostId":"1117726029","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117726029","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635862053,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1117726029?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 22:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: What Growth Could Mean For Price In 2025 And Beyond<blockquote>Palantir：2025年及以后的增长对价格意味着什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117726029","media":"SeekingAlpha","summary":"Summary\n\nFirst, I look at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today.\nSecond, I review PLTR's g","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, I look at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today.</li>  <li>Second, I review PLTR's growth assumptions once again showing how 30% growth per year is probably too modest.</li>  <li>Third, I show how leverage on PLTR using long-dated options probably isn't going to greatly accelerate investor gains over the next 2-3 years.</li>  <li>Fourth, I explain how many shares are needed right now to reach $1 million in PLTR stock by the end of 2025, given rational growth models.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/914f43b37e64c3a5067eb0b621b8686c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>KevinHyde/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，我看看PLTR从10美元到今天25美元左右的早期增长。</li><li>其次，我再次回顾了PLTR的增长假设，表明每年30%的增长可能过于温和。</li><li>第三，我展示了使用长期期权的PLTR杠杆可能不会在未来2-3年内大大加速投资者的收益。</li><li>第四，我解释了根据理性增长模型，到2025年底PLTR股票达到100万美元需要多少股。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>KevinHyde/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> It's very simple really. What's growth really mean for Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)investors in 2022, 2023, 2024 and beyond? This is more difficult to answer than it might appear on the surface but all will be revealed.</p><p><blockquote>真的很简单。2022年、2023年、2024年及以后的增长对Palantir(NYSE：PLTR)投资者真正意味着什么？这比表面上看起来更难回答，但一切都将被揭示。</blockquote></p><p> Here's how the article will play out.</p><p><blockquote>这篇文章将如何展开。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, I look at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today. I don't expect the same year-over-year growth, but PLTR investors today could still do very well.</li>  <li>Second, I review PLTR's growth assumptions once again showing how 30% growth per year is too probably too modest. I still believe PLTR is sandbagging.</li>  <li>Third, I show how leverage on PLTR using long-dated options probably isn't going to greatly accelerate investor gains over the next 2-3 years. That's not to say options are bad, but LEAPS don't look sexy here.</li>  <li>Lastly, I explain how many shares are needed right now to reach $1 million in PLTR stock by the end of 2025, given rational growth models. This is not \"get rich quick\" at all, but instead it's meant to be an intriguing way to frame future growth for any investor.</li> </ul> <b>Past Performance Won't Get You There</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，我看看PLTR从10美元到今天25美元左右的早期增长。我预计不会出现同样的同比增长，但PLTR投资者今天仍然可以做得很好。</li><li>其次，我再次回顾了PLTR的增长假设，表明每年30%的增长可能过于温和。我仍然相信PLTR是沙袋。</li><li>第三，我展示了使用长期期权的PLTR杠杆可能不会在未来2-3年内大大加速投资者的收益。这并不是说选项不好，但跳跃在这里看起来并不性感。</li><li>最后，我解释了根据理性增长模型，到2025年底PLTR股票达到100万美元需要多少股。这根本不是“快速致富”，而是对任何投资者来说都是一种构建未来增长的有趣方式。</li></ul><b>过去的表现不会让你达到目标</b></blockquote></p><p> Let's start with a basic approach. Here's how PLTR looks thus far:</p><p><blockquote>让我们从一个基本方法开始。以下是PLTR迄今为止的样子：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae3bb5915890ce620bdb3015a49df9b2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In one year, PLTR has gone up 155% going from $10 on September 30th, 2020 through $25.88 on October 29th, 2021. (I'm seeing $26.47 right now.)</p><p><blockquote>一年内，PLTR从2020年9月30日的10美元上涨至2021年10月29日的25.88美元，上涨了155%。（我现在看到的是26.47美元。）</blockquote></p><p> Although I don't expect similar results going forward, we can roughly estimate how things would look. It's been about 400 days since PLTR's DPO. Therefore, very grossly speaking, PLTR is gaining about 0.23% per day compounded. I did that fast, and very back-of-napkin, but it's still fun and interesting, if not ridiculous. Here's how things would look now if you bought at the DPO:</p><p><blockquote>虽然我预计未来不会出现类似的结果，但我们可以粗略估计事情会是什么样子。距离PLTR的DPO已经过去了大约400天。因此，粗略地说，PLTR每天的复合涨幅约为0.23%。我做得很快，非常像餐巾纸，但它仍然很有趣，如果不是荒谬的话。如果您在DPO购买，现在的情况如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>10 shares at DPO for $100 = $250</li>  <li>100 shares at DPO for $1,000 = $2,500</li>  <li>1,000 shares at DPO for $10,000 = $25,000</li>  <li>10,000 shares at DPO for $100,000 = $250,000</li> </ul> In other words, even with $100K invested you would not yet be a PLTR millionaire. How many more days at 0.23% would it take to reach $1 million in PLTR stock in this case? Here's the math:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>DPO 10股，价格为100美元=250美元</li><li>DPO 100股，价格为1,000美元=2,500美元</li><li>DPO 1,000股，售价10,000美元=25,000美元</li><li>DPO 10,000股，售价100,000美元=250,000美元</li></ul>换句话说，即使投资了10万美元，你也不会成为PLTR百万富翁。在这种情况下，以0.23%的价格，PLTR股票还需要多少天才能达到100万美元？下面是数学：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>10 shares at DPO = 4,000 days (about 11 years)</li>  <li>100 shares at DPO = 3,000 days (about 8 years)</li>  <li>1,000 shares at DPO = 2,000 days (about 5.5 years)</li>  <li>10,000 shares at DPO = 1,000 days (about 2.5 years)</li> </ul> Of course, this is mostly absurd. Getting 150% returns per year is outlandish and it would have required buying right at the DPO for $10 per share. Plus, you'd need to keep getting 150% per year. Also, it would require zero selling. And, much more. Although this is all fun, it's unrealistic for most investors.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>10股DPO=4,000天（约11年）</li><li>100股DPO=3,000天（约8年）</li><li>1,000股DPO=2,000天（约5.5年）</li><li>10,000股DPO=1,000天（约2.5年）</li></ul>当然，这大多是荒谬的。每年获得150%的回报是很奇怪的，而且需要在DPO以每股10美元的价格购买。另外，你需要保持每年150%的收益。此外，它需要零销售。而且，还有更多。虽然这一切都很有趣，但对大多数投资者来说却是不现实的。</blockquote></p><p> So, the first big point is that even starting with a lot of money and lot of shares,<i>very few investors are hitting $1 million with PLTR right now</i>. And, even with robust assumptions, it'll take many more years to hit the big goal. Therefore, patience is required. There's no way around the math.</p><p><blockquote>所以，第一个重要的一点是，即使一开始有很多钱和很多股票，<i>目前很少有投资者通过PLTR达到100万美元</i>而且，即使有稳健的假设，也需要很多年才能实现这个大目标。因此，需要耐心。没有办法绕过数学。</blockquote></p><p> <b>More Reasonable Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>更合理的假设</b></blockquote></p><p> For a moment, let's review one basic ratio.</p><p><blockquote>一会儿，让我们回顾一下一个基本比率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03d62686c7b3057066e9993cc4c676c3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Squinting a bit, you can see that PLTR's average price-to-sales ratio is about 28. Next, here are several more mature software companies, plus PayPal(NASDAQ:PYPL), CrowdStrike(NASDAQ:CRWD)and Snowflake(NYSE:SNOW)for a bit of fun, and added perspective.</p><p><blockquote>稍微眯一下眼睛，可以看到PLTR的平均市销率约为28。接下来，这里有几家更成熟的软件公司，加上PayPal（纳斯达克股票代码：PYPL）、CrowdStrike（纳斯达克股票代码：CRWD）和Snowflake（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SNOW），以获得一点乐趣，并增加视角。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b5712325a7823b3bfb18b559201dbcc\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"535\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, SNOW still has a much higher P/S ratio than PLTR. That's been the case for a while. And, CRWD is quite a bit higher. Then, naturally, all the older and bigger software companies I've shown here have significantly lower P/S ratios.<i>Maturity acts like gravity, pulling P/S down.</i></p><p><blockquote>毫不奇怪，SNOW的市盈率仍然远高于PLTR。这种情况已经有一段时间了。而且，CRWD要高得多。当然，我在这里展示的所有历史悠久、规模较大的软件公司的市盈率都明显较低。<i>成熟度就像重力一样，拉低市盈率。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, with PLTR, I could easily see the P/S hold around 28 for the next several years as long as strong growth is maintained. In fact, we could see the P/S grow upwards to 40-50, or perhaps higher. On the other hand, it could drop down into the 18-22 range. Of course, anything is possible but I'm trying to establish some guardrails.</p><p><blockquote>然而，通过PLTR，我可以很容易地看到，只要保持强劲增长，未来几年市盈率将保持在28左右。事实上，我们可以看到市盈率增长到40-50，甚至更高。另一方面，它可能会下降到18-22的范围。当然，一切皆有可能，但我正在努力建立一些护栏。</blockquote></p><p> Here's why this matters:</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么这很重要：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c1c90ea898fbbebcb6c5d7e728153db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: PLTR Q2 Earnings Slides</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PLTR第二季度收益幻灯片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If revenue growth holds at 30% and price holds with respect to those sales, as the ratios indicate at this point, then we can do a bit of extrapolation. In other words, assuming 30% share price increases year over year isn't too crazy. Here's how that looks, assuming we start with a price of $25 right now:</p><p><blockquote>如果收入增长保持在30%，价格相对于这些销售额保持不变，如此时的比率所示，那么我们可以做一些外推。换句话说，假设股价同比上涨30%并不算太疯狂。假设我们现在的起价为25美元，情况如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>2022 = $32.50</li>  <li>2023 = $42.25</li>  <li>2024 = $54.93</li>  <li>2025 = $71.40</li> </ul> But, here's the rub. I think that maybe PLTR is sandbagging. I wrote an article all about this with a&nbsp;ton of interesting proof.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2022=$32.50</li><li>2023=$42.25</li><li>2024=$54.93</li><li>2025=$71.40</li></ul>但是，问题来了。我认为PLTR可能是沙袋。我写了一篇关于这个的文章，有很多有趣的证据。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, 40% growth might also be too conservative, and according to my projections, PLTR is actually quite capable of 50% CAGR through 2025. For reference:Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，40%的增长也可能过于保守，根据我的预测，PLTR实际上有能力在2025年实现50%的复合年增长率。供参考：Palantir正在对增长预测进行沙袋。</blockquote></p><p> Now, stick with me. Because at this point, we're moving from 30%, to a much higher set of numbers.</p><p><blockquote>现在，跟着我。因为在这一点上，我们正在从30%上升到一组更高的数字。</blockquote></p><p> Follow The Math</p><p><blockquote>遵循数学</blockquote></p><p> I ran some numbers back in that article back in June 2021 when PLTR was trading a little bit lower, at $24. Here are those projections:</p><p><blockquote>我在2021年6月的那篇文章中计算了一些数字，当时PLTR的交易价格略低，为24美元。以下是这些预测：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>2022 = $34 (40% growth)</li>  <li>2023 = $47 (40% growth)</li>  <li>2024 = $66 (40% growth)</li>  <li>2025 = $92 (40% growth)</li> </ul> Then...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2022年=34美元（增长40%）</li><li>2023年=47美元（增长40%）</li><li>2024年=66美元（增长40%）</li><li>2025年=92美元（增长40%）</li></ul>然后...</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>2022 = $36 (50% growth)</li>  <li>2023 = $54 (50% growth)</li>  <li>2024 = $81 (50% growth)</li>  <li>2025 = $122 (50% growth)</li> </ul> Again, for reference:Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections. The math tells us that if PLTR is expecting $4 billion in revenue by 2025, then it's got to grow way above 30%. So,<i>going way above $100 is perfectly rational.</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2022年=36美元（增长50%）</li><li>2023年=54美元（增长50%）</li><li>2024年=81美元（增长50%）</li><li>2025年=122美元（增长50%）</li></ul>再次供参考：Palantir正在对增长预测进行沙袋。数学告诉我们，如果PLTR预计到2025年收入将达到40亿美元，那么它的增长速度必须远远超过30%。所以，<i>远高于100美元是完全合理的。</i></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, in 2025, being a PLTR millionaire would require just under 11,000 shares assuming 40% growth and hitting $92. Being a PLTR millionaire would require about 8,200 shares assuming 50% growth and hitting $122 per share.</p><p><blockquote>因此，假设增长40%并达到92美元，到2025年，成为PLTR百万富翁需要持有近11,000股股票。假设增长率为50%并达到每股122美元，成为PLTR百万富翁需要持有约8,200股。</blockquote></p><p> Getting your hands on 11,000 shares right now at $26 would set you back $286K and 8,200 shares would cost you about $213K. Roughly speaking, you'd need $200-300K of PLTR, depending on your assumptions, and then how things actually work out.</p><p><blockquote>现在以26美元的价格购买11,000股股票将花费您28.6万美元，而8,200股将花费您约21.3万美元。粗略地说，您需要20-30万美元的PLTR，具体取决于您的假设以及实际情况。</blockquote></p><p> Obviously, you can run your own numbers for your own portfolio from this point. The frameworks are simple, but clear. While I don't expect any kind of smooth growth from here, I do expect tremendous and growing strength over the coming 3-5 years, let alone the next 8-10 years.</p><p><blockquote>显然，从这一点开始，您可以为自己的投资组合运行自己的数字。框架很简单，但很清晰。虽然我不指望这里会有任何平稳的增长，但我确实预计未来3-5年会有巨大的增长力量，更不用说未来8-10年了。</blockquote></p><p> With a substantial \"down payment\" becoming a PLTR millionaire isn't impossible, but that's not exact the point. Instead, it's to consider the tremendous growth in PLTR itself, but also the share price along the way. Even a modest amount of PLTR could turn into a handsome pile; thank you, growth.</p><p><blockquote>有了可观的“首付”，成为PLTR百万富翁并非不可能，但这并不是重点。相反，要考虑PLTR本身的巨大增长，还要考虑一路走来的股价。即使是适量的PLTR也可能变成一大堆；谢谢你，成长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Leverage Worth It?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>杠杆值得吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Maybe we could use options to&nbsp;exploit leverage:</p><p><blockquote>也许我们可以使用期权来利用杠杆：</blockquote></p><p>   Options can provide leverage. This means an option buyer can pay a relatively small premium for market exposure in relation to the contract value (usually 100 shares of the underlying stock). An investor can see large percentage gains from comparatively small, favorable percentage moves in the underlying product.  Just remember the key risk if you're buying options:</p><p><blockquote>期权可以提供杠杆作用。这意味着期权买方可以为与合约价值（通常是100股标的股票）相关的市场敞口支付相对较小的溢价。投资者可以从基础产品相对较小、有利的百分比变动中看到较大的百分比收益。如果您购买期权，请记住主要风险：</blockquote></p><p>   Leverage also has downside implications. If the underlying stock price does not rise or fall as anticipated during the lifetime of the option, leverage could magnify the investment's percentage loss. Options offer their owners a predetermined, set risk.  <b>However, if the owner's options expire with no value, this loss can be the entire amount of the premium paid for the option</b>. [Emphasis: Author's]  And, depending on your belief or \"faith\" in PLTR's growth, you could use long dated options or \"LEAPS\" to become wealthy with PLTR.</p><p><blockquote>杠杆也有负面影响。如果标的股票价格在期权有效期内没有按预期上涨或下跌，杠杆可能会放大投资的百分比损失。期权为其所有者提供了预定的、设定的风险。<b>但是，如果所有者的期权到期时没有价值，则该损失可以是为期权支付的溢价的全部金额</b>.[强调：作者的]而且，根据您对PLTR增长的信念或“信念”，您可以使用长期期权或“飞跃”通过PLTR致富。</blockquote></p><p> For example, we can easily go out all the way to early 2024:</p><p><blockquote>例如，我们可以轻松地一路走到2024年初：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fd29dee567adf170dd52396e1525bf0\" tg-width=\"397\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TD Ameritrade</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：德美利证券</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Assuming you could buy PLTR LEAPs for $4.75 with a strike price of $40, then you could potentially do quite well if PLTR's growth numbers play out.</p><p><blockquote>假设您可以以4.75美元的价格购买PLTR LEAPs，执行价为40美元，那么如果PLTR的增长数据出现，您可能会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> With 40% share price growth, PLTR would hit $47 by the end of 2023. And, with 50% growth, PLTR would hit $54 by the end of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>随着股价增长40%，PLTR到2023年底将达到47美元。而且，随着50%的增长，PLTR到2023年底将达到54美元。</blockquote></p><p> At a glance that sounds good,<i>but it's not fantastic</i>. I don't even really have to run the numbers because at a glance you can see that you'd maybe 2x to 3x your money invested right now using PLTR LEAPS with a $40 strike.</p><p><blockquote>听起来不错的一瞥，<i>但这并不美妙</i>.我什至不需要计算这些数字，因为一眼就可以看出，使用PLTR LEAPS和40美元的罢工，您现在可能会投资2到3倍的资金。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Instead, maybe we'd want to look more closely at the $27 strike, for example:</p><p><blockquote>相反，也许我们需要更仔细地研究27美元的罢工，例如：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca9ccabc791d1c116f6cda58e4dcf606\" tg-width=\"397\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TD Ameritrade</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：德美利证券</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At this point, assuming $8 for each PLTR Jan 2024 LEAP with a $27 strike, we're looking at $12 assuming gains per LEAP with 40% growth. Furthermore, we're look at about $19 gains per LEAP with 50% growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，假设PLTR 2024年1月每次飞跃8美元，执行价格为27美元，假设每次飞跃的收益增长40%，我们预计价格为12美元。此外，我们预计每次飞跃将获得约19美元的收益，增长率为50%。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear, what I'm doing is adding the $8 LEAP cost and the $27 strike price. That's $35. Then, I'm taking $47 which assumes 40% growth, and subtracting to get the difference, which is $12. And, I'm taking the $54 which assumes 50% growth, and subtracting the same way to get $19. Nothing too fancy here, and no complicated math. Either way,<i>it falls short again</i>.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，我所做的是添加8美元的跳跃成本和27美元的执行价格。那是35美元。然后，我取47美元，假设增长40%，减去得到差额，即12美元。我取假设增长50%的54美元，用同样的方法减去得到19美元。这里没有太花哨的东西，也没有复杂的数学。不管怎样，<i>又功亏一篑</i>.</blockquote></p><p> Putting $8 in maybe gets us 1.5x to 2.5x returns in about 2 years. Of course, it could be more like 3x, or even maybe a bit higher. However, buying and holding is likely to generate similar gains,<i>with less risk</i>.</p><p><blockquote>投入8美元可能会在大约2年内获得1.5倍到2.5倍的回报。当然，它可能更像是3倍，甚至可能更高一点。然而，买入并持有可能会产生类似的收益，<i>风险较小</i>.</blockquote></p><p> The message is this. The options market is smart, and forward looking. And, in this case, it's basically letting us know that PLTR's growth is likely to be in the 40-50% range, as I've explained above. The deeper lesson is to have patience with PLTR common equity. The growth is there and leverage won't accelerate gains without adding too much risk.</p><p><blockquote>信息是这样的。期权市场是聪明的，也是前瞻性的。而且，在这种情况下，它基本上让我们知道PLTR的增长可能在40-50%的范围内，正如我上面解释的那样。更深刻的教训是对PLTR普通股要有耐心。增长是存在的，杠杆不会在不增加太多风险的情况下加速收益。</blockquote></p><p> At this point in time, I'm not investing in PLTR LEAPS. Buying and holding, with strong growth tailwinds is plenty good enough for most investors. Or, at a minimum, buying PLTR and holding is good enough for my portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我不会投资PLTR LEAPS。对于大多数投资者来说，在强劲增长的推动下买入并持有已经足够好了。或者，至少，购买PLTR并持有对我的投资组合来说已经足够好了。</blockquote></p><p> Wrap Up</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> First, I looked at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today. I'm not expecting 150% gains every year, however. That's far too greedy and besides, the uncertainty around PLTR is slowly fading, thereby stabilizing things quite a bit. In part, this is what's holding PLTR in the $22 to $28 range, I believe. The burn off of uncertainty has built a floor, or trading zone. I'm confident this floor will move upwards in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我看了PLTR早期从10美元增长到今天的25美元左右。然而，我预计每年不会有150%的收益。这太贪婪了，此外，围绕PLTR的不确定性正在慢慢消退，从而稳定了局势。我相信，在某种程度上，这就是PLTR保持在22美元至28美元范围内的原因。不确定性的消失建立了一个地板或交易区。我相信这一层会在2022年向上移动。</blockquote></p><p> Second, I reviewed PLTR's growth assumptions once again, showing how 30% growth per year is too probably too modest. Instead, it's looking like we'll see more like 40-50% per year for the next 3-5 years. Furthermore, assuming there's not a collapse in the P/S ratio, investors could enjoy 40-50% capital gains per year, although it might be quite lumpy along the way. If this is true, then hitting $90 to $120 in 2025 is rational.</p><p><blockquote>其次，我再次回顾了PLTR的增长假设，表明每年30%的增长可能过于温和。相反，看起来未来3-5年我们每年会看到40-50%的增长。此外，假设市盈率没有崩溃，投资者每年可以享受40-50%的资本收益，尽管在此过程中可能会相当不稳定。如果这是真的，那么2025年触及90美元至120美元是理性的。</blockquote></p><p> As a quick sidebar, I can see PLTR hitting somewhere between $65 to $85 by the end of 2023, along the way. If PLTR can show concrete growth, and if they can taper&nbsp;stock-based compensation, this seems quite plausible.</p><p><blockquote>作为一个快速边栏，我可以看到PLTR到2023年底将达到65美元至85美元之间。如果PLTR能够显示出具体的增长，并且如果他们能够减少基于股票的薪酬，这似乎是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Third, I've used long-dated options and some rough math to show that using leverage on PLTR in the market probably isn't going to greatly accelerate gains over 2-3 years. However, even it does work out, the risk to capital goes up. While there are some times where options work well, e.g.,selling PLTR puts, using LEAPS right now doesn't look favorable enough. Better to buy and hold, in most cases.</p><p><blockquote>第三，我使用长期期权和一些粗略的数学计算表明，在市场上对PLTR使用杠杆可能不会在2-3年内大幅加速收益。然而，即使成功了，资本风险也会上升。虽然有些时候期权效果很好，例如出售PLTR看跌期权，但现在使用LEAPS看起来还不够有利。在大多数情况下，最好买入并持有。</blockquote></p><p> As another sidebar, I enjoyed looking at PLTR LEAPS, which gives investors some added confidence in PLTR's growth over the next 2-3 years. The options market is rather intelligent as a wisdom of the crowds prediction model. I'm seeing an optimistic \"thumbs up\" right now.<i>Growth Stock Renegade</i>subscribers got an extra special view of this phenomenon, I might add.</p><p><blockquote>作为另一个侧边栏，我喜欢关注PLTR的飞跃，这让投资者对PLTR未来2-3年的增长更有信心。期权市场作为人群预测模型的智慧相当聪明。我现在看到了乐观的“竖起大拇指”。<i>成长股叛徒</i>我可以补充一点，订户对这种现象有一个额外的特殊看法。</blockquote></p><p> And lastly, as a fun exercise, I've shown that you'd likely need 8,000 to 12,000 shares, and 40-50% CAGR on those shares, to reach $1 million. That would require setting aside $200-300K, and waiting patiently until 2025. Maybe that's acceptable, and maybe not, but at least you have a framework now to understand the potential. That's the real point.</p><p><blockquote>最后，作为一个有趣的练习，我已经证明了你可能需要8,000到12,000股，以及这些股票40-50%的复合年增长率，才能达到100万美元。这需要留出20-30万美元，并耐心等待到2025年。也许这是可以接受的，也许不是，但至少你现在有一个框架来理解潜力。这才是真正的重点。</blockquote></p><p> Obviously, you can take all of this data plus the growth rates and come to your own conclusions. What I know is that my confidence in PLTR is still quite high and I continue to maintain my bullish position.</p><p><blockquote>显然，你可以把所有这些数据加上增长率，得出自己的结论。我所知道的是，我对PLTR的信心仍然相当高，我继续维持我的看涨立场。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: What Growth Could Mean For Price In 2025 And Beyond<blockquote>Palantir：2025年及以后的增长对价格意味着什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: What Growth Could Mean For Price In 2025 And Beyond<blockquote>Palantir：2025年及以后的增长对价格意味着什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">SeekingAlpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-02 22:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, I look at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today.</li>  <li>Second, I review PLTR's growth assumptions once again showing how 30% growth per year is probably too modest.</li>  <li>Third, I show how leverage on PLTR using long-dated options probably isn't going to greatly accelerate investor gains over the next 2-3 years.</li>  <li>Fourth, I explain how many shares are needed right now to reach $1 million in PLTR stock by the end of 2025, given rational growth models.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/914f43b37e64c3a5067eb0b621b8686c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>KevinHyde/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，我看看PLTR从10美元到今天25美元左右的早期增长。</li><li>其次，我再次回顾了PLTR的增长假设，表明每年30%的增长可能过于温和。</li><li>第三，我展示了使用长期期权的PLTR杠杆可能不会在未来2-3年内大大加速投资者的收益。</li><li>第四，我解释了根据理性增长模型，到2025年底PLTR股票达到100万美元需要多少股。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>KevinHyde/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> It's very simple really. What's growth really mean for Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)investors in 2022, 2023, 2024 and beyond? This is more difficult to answer than it might appear on the surface but all will be revealed.</p><p><blockquote>真的很简单。2022年、2023年、2024年及以后的增长对Palantir(NYSE：PLTR)投资者真正意味着什么？这比表面上看起来更难回答，但一切都将被揭示。</blockquote></p><p> Here's how the article will play out.</p><p><blockquote>这篇文章将如何展开。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, I look at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today. I don't expect the same year-over-year growth, but PLTR investors today could still do very well.</li>  <li>Second, I review PLTR's growth assumptions once again showing how 30% growth per year is too probably too modest. I still believe PLTR is sandbagging.</li>  <li>Third, I show how leverage on PLTR using long-dated options probably isn't going to greatly accelerate investor gains over the next 2-3 years. That's not to say options are bad, but LEAPS don't look sexy here.</li>  <li>Lastly, I explain how many shares are needed right now to reach $1 million in PLTR stock by the end of 2025, given rational growth models. This is not \"get rich quick\" at all, but instead it's meant to be an intriguing way to frame future growth for any investor.</li> </ul> <b>Past Performance Won't Get You There</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，我看看PLTR从10美元到今天25美元左右的早期增长。我预计不会出现同样的同比增长，但PLTR投资者今天仍然可以做得很好。</li><li>其次，我再次回顾了PLTR的增长假设，表明每年30%的增长可能过于温和。我仍然相信PLTR是沙袋。</li><li>第三，我展示了使用长期期权的PLTR杠杆可能不会在未来2-3年内大大加速投资者的收益。这并不是说选项不好，但跳跃在这里看起来并不性感。</li><li>最后，我解释了根据理性增长模型，到2025年底PLTR股票达到100万美元需要多少股。这根本不是“快速致富”，而是对任何投资者来说都是一种构建未来增长的有趣方式。</li></ul><b>过去的表现不会让你达到目标</b></blockquote></p><p> Let's start with a basic approach. Here's how PLTR looks thus far:</p><p><blockquote>让我们从一个基本方法开始。以下是PLTR迄今为止的样子：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae3bb5915890ce620bdb3015a49df9b2\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In one year, PLTR has gone up 155% going from $10 on September 30th, 2020 through $25.88 on October 29th, 2021. (I'm seeing $26.47 right now.)</p><p><blockquote>一年内，PLTR从2020年9月30日的10美元上涨至2021年10月29日的25.88美元，上涨了155%。（我现在看到的是26.47美元。）</blockquote></p><p> Although I don't expect similar results going forward, we can roughly estimate how things would look. It's been about 400 days since PLTR's DPO. Therefore, very grossly speaking, PLTR is gaining about 0.23% per day compounded. I did that fast, and very back-of-napkin, but it's still fun and interesting, if not ridiculous. Here's how things would look now if you bought at the DPO:</p><p><blockquote>虽然我预计未来不会出现类似的结果，但我们可以粗略估计事情会是什么样子。距离PLTR的DPO已经过去了大约400天。因此，粗略地说，PLTR每天的复合涨幅约为0.23%。我做得很快，非常像餐巾纸，但它仍然很有趣，如果不是荒谬的话。如果您在DPO购买，现在的情况如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>10 shares at DPO for $100 = $250</li>  <li>100 shares at DPO for $1,000 = $2,500</li>  <li>1,000 shares at DPO for $10,000 = $25,000</li>  <li>10,000 shares at DPO for $100,000 = $250,000</li> </ul> In other words, even with $100K invested you would not yet be a PLTR millionaire. How many more days at 0.23% would it take to reach $1 million in PLTR stock in this case? Here's the math:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>DPO 10股，价格为100美元=250美元</li><li>DPO 100股，价格为1,000美元=2,500美元</li><li>DPO 1,000股，售价10,000美元=25,000美元</li><li>DPO 10,000股，售价100,000美元=250,000美元</li></ul>换句话说，即使投资了10万美元，你也不会成为PLTR百万富翁。在这种情况下，以0.23%的价格，PLTR股票还需要多少天才能达到100万美元？下面是数学：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>10 shares at DPO = 4,000 days (about 11 years)</li>  <li>100 shares at DPO = 3,000 days (about 8 years)</li>  <li>1,000 shares at DPO = 2,000 days (about 5.5 years)</li>  <li>10,000 shares at DPO = 1,000 days (about 2.5 years)</li> </ul> Of course, this is mostly absurd. Getting 150% returns per year is outlandish and it would have required buying right at the DPO for $10 per share. Plus, you'd need to keep getting 150% per year. Also, it would require zero selling. And, much more. Although this is all fun, it's unrealistic for most investors.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>10股DPO=4,000天（约11年）</li><li>100股DPO=3,000天（约8年）</li><li>1,000股DPO=2,000天（约5.5年）</li><li>10,000股DPO=1,000天（约2.5年）</li></ul>当然，这大多是荒谬的。每年获得150%的回报是很奇怪的，而且需要在DPO以每股10美元的价格购买。另外，你需要保持每年150%的收益。此外，它需要零销售。而且，还有更多。虽然这一切都很有趣，但对大多数投资者来说却是不现实的。</blockquote></p><p> So, the first big point is that even starting with a lot of money and lot of shares,<i>very few investors are hitting $1 million with PLTR right now</i>. And, even with robust assumptions, it'll take many more years to hit the big goal. Therefore, patience is required. There's no way around the math.</p><p><blockquote>所以，第一个重要的一点是，即使一开始有很多钱和很多股票，<i>目前很少有投资者通过PLTR达到100万美元</i>而且，即使有稳健的假设，也需要很多年才能实现这个大目标。因此，需要耐心。没有办法绕过数学。</blockquote></p><p> <b>More Reasonable Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>更合理的假设</b></blockquote></p><p> For a moment, let's review one basic ratio.</p><p><blockquote>一会儿，让我们回顾一下一个基本比率。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03d62686c7b3057066e9993cc4c676c3\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Squinting a bit, you can see that PLTR's average price-to-sales ratio is about 28. Next, here are several more mature software companies, plus PayPal(NASDAQ:PYPL), CrowdStrike(NASDAQ:CRWD)and Snowflake(NYSE:SNOW)for a bit of fun, and added perspective.</p><p><blockquote>稍微眯一下眼睛，可以看到PLTR的平均市销率约为28。接下来，这里有几家更成熟的软件公司，加上PayPal（纳斯达克股票代码：PYPL）、CrowdStrike（纳斯达克股票代码：CRWD）和Snowflake（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SNOW），以获得一点乐趣，并增加视角。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b5712325a7823b3bfb18b559201dbcc\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"535\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, SNOW still has a much higher P/S ratio than PLTR. That's been the case for a while. And, CRWD is quite a bit higher. Then, naturally, all the older and bigger software companies I've shown here have significantly lower P/S ratios.<i>Maturity acts like gravity, pulling P/S down.</i></p><p><blockquote>毫不奇怪，SNOW的市盈率仍然远高于PLTR。这种情况已经有一段时间了。而且，CRWD要高得多。当然，我在这里展示的所有历史悠久、规模较大的软件公司的市盈率都明显较低。<i>成熟度就像重力一样，拉低市盈率。</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> However, with PLTR, I could easily see the P/S hold around 28 for the next several years as long as strong growth is maintained. In fact, we could see the P/S grow upwards to 40-50, or perhaps higher. On the other hand, it could drop down into the 18-22 range. Of course, anything is possible but I'm trying to establish some guardrails.</p><p><blockquote>然而，通过PLTR，我可以很容易地看到，只要保持强劲增长，未来几年市盈率将保持在28左右。事实上，我们可以看到市盈率增长到40-50，甚至更高。另一方面，它可能会下降到18-22的范围。当然，一切皆有可能，但我正在努力建立一些护栏。</blockquote></p><p> Here's why this matters:</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么这很重要：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c1c90ea898fbbebcb6c5d7e728153db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"357\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: PLTR Q2 Earnings Slides</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：PLTR第二季度收益幻灯片</span></p></blockquote></p><p> If revenue growth holds at 30% and price holds with respect to those sales, as the ratios indicate at this point, then we can do a bit of extrapolation. In other words, assuming 30% share price increases year over year isn't too crazy. Here's how that looks, assuming we start with a price of $25 right now:</p><p><blockquote>如果收入增长保持在30%，价格相对于这些销售额保持不变，如此时的比率所示，那么我们可以做一些外推。换句话说，假设股价同比上涨30%并不算太疯狂。假设我们现在的起价为25美元，情况如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>2022 = $32.50</li>  <li>2023 = $42.25</li>  <li>2024 = $54.93</li>  <li>2025 = $71.40</li> </ul> But, here's the rub. I think that maybe PLTR is sandbagging. I wrote an article all about this with a&nbsp;ton of interesting proof.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2022=$32.50</li><li>2023=$42.25</li><li>2024=$54.93</li><li>2025=$71.40</li></ul>但是，问题来了。我认为PLTR可能是沙袋。我写了一篇关于这个的文章，有很多有趣的证据。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, 40% growth might also be too conservative, and according to my projections, PLTR is actually quite capable of 50% CAGR through 2025. For reference:Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，40%的增长也可能过于保守，根据我的预测，PLTR实际上有能力在2025年实现50%的复合年增长率。供参考：Palantir正在对增长预测进行沙袋。</blockquote></p><p> Now, stick with me. Because at this point, we're moving from 30%, to a much higher set of numbers.</p><p><blockquote>现在，跟着我。因为在这一点上，我们正在从30%上升到一组更高的数字。</blockquote></p><p> Follow The Math</p><p><blockquote>遵循数学</blockquote></p><p> I ran some numbers back in that article back in June 2021 when PLTR was trading a little bit lower, at $24. Here are those projections:</p><p><blockquote>我在2021年6月的那篇文章中计算了一些数字，当时PLTR的交易价格略低，为24美元。以下是这些预测：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>2022 = $34 (40% growth)</li>  <li>2023 = $47 (40% growth)</li>  <li>2024 = $66 (40% growth)</li>  <li>2025 = $92 (40% growth)</li> </ul> Then...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2022年=34美元（增长40%）</li><li>2023年=47美元（增长40%）</li><li>2024年=66美元（增长40%）</li><li>2025年=92美元（增长40%）</li></ul>然后...</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>2022 = $36 (50% growth)</li>  <li>2023 = $54 (50% growth)</li>  <li>2024 = $81 (50% growth)</li>  <li>2025 = $122 (50% growth)</li> </ul> Again, for reference:Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections. The math tells us that if PLTR is expecting $4 billion in revenue by 2025, then it's got to grow way above 30%. So,<i>going way above $100 is perfectly rational.</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>2022年=36美元（增长50%）</li><li>2023年=54美元（增长50%）</li><li>2024年=81美元（增长50%）</li><li>2025年=122美元（增长50%）</li></ul>再次供参考：Palantir正在对增长预测进行沙袋。数学告诉我们，如果PLTR预计到2025年收入将达到40亿美元，那么它的增长速度必须远远超过30%。所以，<i>远高于100美元是完全合理的。</i></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, in 2025, being a PLTR millionaire would require just under 11,000 shares assuming 40% growth and hitting $92. Being a PLTR millionaire would require about 8,200 shares assuming 50% growth and hitting $122 per share.</p><p><blockquote>因此，假设增长40%并达到92美元，到2025年，成为PLTR百万富翁需要持有近11,000股股票。假设增长率为50%并达到每股122美元，成为PLTR百万富翁需要持有约8,200股。</blockquote></p><p> Getting your hands on 11,000 shares right now at $26 would set you back $286K and 8,200 shares would cost you about $213K. Roughly speaking, you'd need $200-300K of PLTR, depending on your assumptions, and then how things actually work out.</p><p><blockquote>现在以26美元的价格购买11,000股股票将花费您28.6万美元，而8,200股将花费您约21.3万美元。粗略地说，您需要20-30万美元的PLTR，具体取决于您的假设以及实际情况。</blockquote></p><p> Obviously, you can run your own numbers for your own portfolio from this point. The frameworks are simple, but clear. While I don't expect any kind of smooth growth from here, I do expect tremendous and growing strength over the coming 3-5 years, let alone the next 8-10 years.</p><p><blockquote>显然，从这一点开始，您可以为自己的投资组合运行自己的数字。框架很简单，但很清晰。虽然我不指望这里会有任何平稳的增长，但我确实预计未来3-5年会有巨大的增长力量，更不用说未来8-10年了。</blockquote></p><p> With a substantial \"down payment\" becoming a PLTR millionaire isn't impossible, but that's not exact the point. Instead, it's to consider the tremendous growth in PLTR itself, but also the share price along the way. Even a modest amount of PLTR could turn into a handsome pile; thank you, growth.</p><p><blockquote>有了可观的“首付”，成为PLTR百万富翁并非不可能，但这并不是重点。相反，要考虑PLTR本身的巨大增长，还要考虑一路走来的股价。即使是适量的PLTR也可能变成一大堆；谢谢你，成长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is Leverage Worth It?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>杠杆值得吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Maybe we could use options to&nbsp;exploit leverage:</p><p><blockquote>也许我们可以使用期权来利用杠杆：</blockquote></p><p>   Options can provide leverage. This means an option buyer can pay a relatively small premium for market exposure in relation to the contract value (usually 100 shares of the underlying stock). An investor can see large percentage gains from comparatively small, favorable percentage moves in the underlying product.  Just remember the key risk if you're buying options:</p><p><blockquote>期权可以提供杠杆作用。这意味着期权买方可以为与合约价值（通常是100股标的股票）相关的市场敞口支付相对较小的溢价。投资者可以从基础产品相对较小、有利的百分比变动中看到较大的百分比收益。如果您购买期权，请记住主要风险：</blockquote></p><p>   Leverage also has downside implications. If the underlying stock price does not rise or fall as anticipated during the lifetime of the option, leverage could magnify the investment's percentage loss. Options offer their owners a predetermined, set risk.  <b>However, if the owner's options expire with no value, this loss can be the entire amount of the premium paid for the option</b>. [Emphasis: Author's]  And, depending on your belief or \"faith\" in PLTR's growth, you could use long dated options or \"LEAPS\" to become wealthy with PLTR.</p><p><blockquote>杠杆也有负面影响。如果标的股票价格在期权有效期内没有按预期上涨或下跌，杠杆可能会放大投资的百分比损失。期权为其所有者提供了预定的、设定的风险。<b>但是，如果所有者的期权到期时没有价值，则该损失可以是为期权支付的溢价的全部金额</b>.[强调：作者的]而且，根据您对PLTR增长的信念或“信念”，您可以使用长期期权或“飞跃”通过PLTR致富。</blockquote></p><p> For example, we can easily go out all the way to early 2024:</p><p><blockquote>例如，我们可以轻松地一路走到2024年初：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1fd29dee567adf170dd52396e1525bf0\" tg-width=\"397\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TD Ameritrade</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：德美利证券</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Assuming you could buy PLTR LEAPs for $4.75 with a strike price of $40, then you could potentially do quite well if PLTR's growth numbers play out.</p><p><blockquote>假设您可以以4.75美元的价格购买PLTR LEAPs，执行价为40美元，那么如果PLTR的增长数据出现，您可能会做得很好。</blockquote></p><p> With 40% share price growth, PLTR would hit $47 by the end of 2023. And, with 50% growth, PLTR would hit $54 by the end of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>随着股价增长40%，PLTR到2023年底将达到47美元。而且，随着50%的增长，PLTR到2023年底将达到54美元。</blockquote></p><p> At a glance that sounds good,<i>but it's not fantastic</i>. I don't even really have to run the numbers because at a glance you can see that you'd maybe 2x to 3x your money invested right now using PLTR LEAPS with a $40 strike.</p><p><blockquote>听起来不错的一瞥，<i>但这并不美妙</i>.我什至不需要计算这些数字，因为一眼就可以看出，使用PLTR LEAPS和40美元的罢工，您现在可能会投资2到3倍的资金。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Instead, maybe we'd want to look more closely at the $27 strike, for example:</p><p><blockquote>相反，也许我们需要更仔细地研究27美元的罢工，例如：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca9ccabc791d1c116f6cda58e4dcf606\" tg-width=\"397\" tg-height=\"384\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TD Ameritrade</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：德美利证券</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At this point, assuming $8 for each PLTR Jan 2024 LEAP with a $27 strike, we're looking at $12 assuming gains per LEAP with 40% growth. Furthermore, we're look at about $19 gains per LEAP with 50% growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，假设PLTR 2024年1月每次飞跃8美元，执行价格为27美元，假设每次飞跃的收益增长40%，我们预计价格为12美元。此外，我们预计每次飞跃将获得约19美元的收益，增长率为50%。</blockquote></p><p> To be clear, what I'm doing is adding the $8 LEAP cost and the $27 strike price. That's $35. Then, I'm taking $47 which assumes 40% growth, and subtracting to get the difference, which is $12. And, I'm taking the $54 which assumes 50% growth, and subtracting the same way to get $19. Nothing too fancy here, and no complicated math. Either way,<i>it falls short again</i>.</p><p><blockquote>需要明确的是，我所做的是添加8美元的跳跃成本和27美元的执行价格。那是35美元。然后，我取47美元，假设增长40%，减去得到差额，即12美元。我取假设增长50%的54美元，用同样的方法减去得到19美元。这里没有太花哨的东西，也没有复杂的数学。不管怎样，<i>又功亏一篑</i>.</blockquote></p><p> Putting $8 in maybe gets us 1.5x to 2.5x returns in about 2 years. Of course, it could be more like 3x, or even maybe a bit higher. However, buying and holding is likely to generate similar gains,<i>with less risk</i>.</p><p><blockquote>投入8美元可能会在大约2年内获得1.5倍到2.5倍的回报。当然，它可能更像是3倍，甚至可能更高一点。然而，买入并持有可能会产生类似的收益，<i>风险较小</i>.</blockquote></p><p> The message is this. The options market is smart, and forward looking. And, in this case, it's basically letting us know that PLTR's growth is likely to be in the 40-50% range, as I've explained above. The deeper lesson is to have patience with PLTR common equity. The growth is there and leverage won't accelerate gains without adding too much risk.</p><p><blockquote>信息是这样的。期权市场是聪明的，也是前瞻性的。而且，在这种情况下，它基本上让我们知道PLTR的增长可能在40-50%的范围内，正如我上面解释的那样。更深刻的教训是对PLTR普通股要有耐心。增长是存在的，杠杆不会在不增加太多风险的情况下加速收益。</blockquote></p><p> At this point in time, I'm not investing in PLTR LEAPS. Buying and holding, with strong growth tailwinds is plenty good enough for most investors. Or, at a minimum, buying PLTR and holding is good enough for my portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我不会投资PLTR LEAPS。对于大多数投资者来说，在强劲增长的推动下买入并持有已经足够好了。或者，至少，购买PLTR并持有对我的投资组合来说已经足够好了。</blockquote></p><p> Wrap Up</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> First, I looked at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today. I'm not expecting 150% gains every year, however. That's far too greedy and besides, the uncertainty around PLTR is slowly fading, thereby stabilizing things quite a bit. In part, this is what's holding PLTR in the $22 to $28 range, I believe. The burn off of uncertainty has built a floor, or trading zone. I'm confident this floor will move upwards in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我看了PLTR早期从10美元增长到今天的25美元左右。然而，我预计每年不会有150%的收益。这太贪婪了，此外，围绕PLTR的不确定性正在慢慢消退，从而稳定了局势。我相信，在某种程度上，这就是PLTR保持在22美元至28美元范围内的原因。不确定性的消失建立了一个地板或交易区。我相信这一层会在2022年向上移动。</blockquote></p><p> Second, I reviewed PLTR's growth assumptions once again, showing how 30% growth per year is too probably too modest. Instead, it's looking like we'll see more like 40-50% per year for the next 3-5 years. Furthermore, assuming there's not a collapse in the P/S ratio, investors could enjoy 40-50% capital gains per year, although it might be quite lumpy along the way. If this is true, then hitting $90 to $120 in 2025 is rational.</p><p><blockquote>其次，我再次回顾了PLTR的增长假设，表明每年30%的增长可能过于温和。相反，看起来未来3-5年我们每年会看到40-50%的增长。此外，假设市盈率没有崩溃，投资者每年可以享受40-50%的资本收益，尽管在此过程中可能会相当不稳定。如果这是真的，那么2025年触及90美元至120美元是理性的。</blockquote></p><p> As a quick sidebar, I can see PLTR hitting somewhere between $65 to $85 by the end of 2023, along the way. If PLTR can show concrete growth, and if they can taper&nbsp;stock-based compensation, this seems quite plausible.</p><p><blockquote>作为一个快速边栏，我可以看到PLTR到2023年底将达到65美元至85美元之间。如果PLTR能够显示出具体的增长，并且如果他们能够减少基于股票的薪酬，这似乎是相当合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Third, I've used long-dated options and some rough math to show that using leverage on PLTR in the market probably isn't going to greatly accelerate gains over 2-3 years. However, even it does work out, the risk to capital goes up. While there are some times where options work well, e.g.,selling PLTR puts, using LEAPS right now doesn't look favorable enough. Better to buy and hold, in most cases.</p><p><blockquote>第三，我使用长期期权和一些粗略的数学计算表明，在市场上对PLTR使用杠杆可能不会在2-3年内大幅加速收益。然而，即使成功了，资本风险也会上升。虽然有些时候期权效果很好，例如出售PLTR看跌期权，但现在使用LEAPS看起来还不够有利。在大多数情况下，最好买入并持有。</blockquote></p><p> As another sidebar, I enjoyed looking at PLTR LEAPS, which gives investors some added confidence in PLTR's growth over the next 2-3 years. The options market is rather intelligent as a wisdom of the crowds prediction model. I'm seeing an optimistic \"thumbs up\" right now.<i>Growth Stock Renegade</i>subscribers got an extra special view of this phenomenon, I might add.</p><p><blockquote>作为另一个侧边栏，我喜欢关注PLTR的飞跃，这让投资者对PLTR未来2-3年的增长更有信心。期权市场作为人群预测模型的智慧相当聪明。我现在看到了乐观的“竖起大拇指”。<i>成长股叛徒</i>我可以补充一点，订户对这种现象有一个额外的特殊看法。</blockquote></p><p> And lastly, as a fun exercise, I've shown that you'd likely need 8,000 to 12,000 shares, and 40-50% CAGR on those shares, to reach $1 million. That would require setting aside $200-300K, and waiting patiently until 2025. Maybe that's acceptable, and maybe not, but at least you have a framework now to understand the potential. That's the real point.</p><p><blockquote>最后，作为一个有趣的练习，我已经证明了你可能需要8,000到12,000股，以及这些股票40-50%的复合年增长率，才能达到100万美元。这需要留出20-30万美元，并耐心等待到2025年。也许这是可以接受的，也许不是，但至少你现在有一个框架来理解潜力。这才是真正的重点。</blockquote></p><p> Obviously, you can take all of this data plus the growth rates and come to your own conclusions. What I know is that my confidence in PLTR is still quite high and I continue to maintain my bullish position.</p><p><blockquote>显然，你可以把所有这些数据加上增长率，得出自己的结论。我所知道的是，我对PLTR的信心仍然相当高，我继续维持我的看涨立场。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4464239-palantir-what-growth-could-mean-for-price-in-2025-and-beyond\">SeekingAlpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4464239-palantir-what-growth-could-mean-for-price-in-2025-and-beyond","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117726029","content_text":"Summary\n\nFirst, I look at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today.\nSecond, I review PLTR's growth assumptions once again showing how 30% growth per year is probably too modest.\nThird, I show how leverage on PLTR using long-dated options probably isn't going to greatly accelerate investor gains over the next 2-3 years.\nFourth, I explain how many shares are needed right now to reach $1 million in PLTR stock by the end of 2025, given rational growth models.\n\nKevinHyde/iStock via Getty Images\nBackground\nIt's very simple really. What's growth really mean for Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)investors in 2022, 2023, 2024 and beyond? This is more difficult to answer than it might appear on the surface but all will be revealed.\nHere's how the article will play out.\n\nFirst, I look at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today. I don't expect the same year-over-year growth, but PLTR investors today could still do very well.\nSecond, I review PLTR's growth assumptions once again showing how 30% growth per year is too probably too modest. I still believe PLTR is sandbagging.\nThird, I show how leverage on PLTR using long-dated options probably isn't going to greatly accelerate investor gains over the next 2-3 years. That's not to say options are bad, but LEAPS don't look sexy here.\nLastly, I explain how many shares are needed right now to reach $1 million in PLTR stock by the end of 2025, given rational growth models. This is not \"get rich quick\" at all, but instead it's meant to be an intriguing way to frame future growth for any investor.\n\nPast Performance Won't Get You There\nLet's start with a basic approach. Here's how PLTR looks thus far:\n\nIn one year, PLTR has gone up 155% going from $10 on September 30th, 2020 through $25.88 on October 29th, 2021. (I'm seeing $26.47 right now.)\nAlthough I don't expect similar results going forward, we can roughly estimate how things would look. It's been about 400 days since PLTR's DPO. Therefore, very grossly speaking, PLTR is gaining about 0.23% per day compounded. I did that fast, and very back-of-napkin, but it's still fun and interesting, if not ridiculous. Here's how things would look now if you bought at the DPO:\n\n10 shares at DPO for $100 = $250\n100 shares at DPO for $1,000 = $2,500\n1,000 shares at DPO for $10,000 = $25,000\n10,000 shares at DPO for $100,000 = $250,000\n\nIn other words, even with $100K invested you would not yet be a PLTR millionaire. How many more days at 0.23% would it take to reach $1 million in PLTR stock in this case? Here's the math:\n\n10 shares at DPO = 4,000 days (about 11 years)\n100 shares at DPO = 3,000 days (about 8 years)\n1,000 shares at DPO = 2,000 days (about 5.5 years)\n10,000 shares at DPO = 1,000 days (about 2.5 years)\n\nOf course, this is mostly absurd. Getting 150% returns per year is outlandish and it would have required buying right at the DPO for $10 per share. Plus, you'd need to keep getting 150% per year. Also, it would require zero selling. And, much more. Although this is all fun, it's unrealistic for most investors.\nSo, the first big point is that even starting with a lot of money and lot of shares,very few investors are hitting $1 million with PLTR right now. And, even with robust assumptions, it'll take many more years to hit the big goal. Therefore, patience is required. There's no way around the math.\nMore Reasonable Assumptions\nFor a moment, let's review one basic ratio.\n\nSquinting a bit, you can see that PLTR's average price-to-sales ratio is about 28. Next, here are several more mature software companies, plus PayPal(NASDAQ:PYPL), CrowdStrike(NASDAQ:CRWD)and Snowflake(NYSE:SNOW)for a bit of fun, and added perspective.\n\nNot surprisingly, SNOW still has a much higher P/S ratio than PLTR. That's been the case for a while. And, CRWD is quite a bit higher. Then, naturally, all the older and bigger software companies I've shown here have significantly lower P/S ratios.Maturity acts like gravity, pulling P/S down.\nHowever, with PLTR, I could easily see the P/S hold around 28 for the next several years as long as strong growth is maintained. In fact, we could see the P/S grow upwards to 40-50, or perhaps higher. On the other hand, it could drop down into the 18-22 range. Of course, anything is possible but I'm trying to establish some guardrails.\nHere's why this matters:\nSource: PLTR Q2 Earnings Slides\nIf revenue growth holds at 30% and price holds with respect to those sales, as the ratios indicate at this point, then we can do a bit of extrapolation. In other words, assuming 30% share price increases year over year isn't too crazy. Here's how that looks, assuming we start with a price of $25 right now:\n\n2022 = $32.50\n2023 = $42.25\n2024 = $54.93\n2025 = $71.40\n\nBut, here's the rub. I think that maybe PLTR is sandbagging. I wrote an article all about this with a ton of interesting proof.\nIn fact, 40% growth might also be too conservative, and according to my projections, PLTR is actually quite capable of 50% CAGR through 2025. For reference:Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections.\nNow, stick with me. Because at this point, we're moving from 30%, to a much higher set of numbers.\nFollow The Math\nI ran some numbers back in that article back in June 2021 when PLTR was trading a little bit lower, at $24. Here are those projections:\n\n2022 = $34 (40% growth)\n2023 = $47 (40% growth)\n2024 = $66 (40% growth)\n2025 = $92 (40% growth)\n\nThen...\n\n2022 = $36 (50% growth)\n2023 = $54 (50% growth)\n2024 = $81 (50% growth)\n2025 = $122 (50% growth)\n\nAgain, for reference:Palantir Is Sandbagging Growth Projections. The math tells us that if PLTR is expecting $4 billion in revenue by 2025, then it's got to grow way above 30%. So,going way above $100 is perfectly rational.\nTherefore, in 2025, being a PLTR millionaire would require just under 11,000 shares assuming 40% growth and hitting $92. Being a PLTR millionaire would require about 8,200 shares assuming 50% growth and hitting $122 per share.\nGetting your hands on 11,000 shares right now at $26 would set you back $286K and 8,200 shares would cost you about $213K. Roughly speaking, you'd need $200-300K of PLTR, depending on your assumptions, and then how things actually work out.\nObviously, you can run your own numbers for your own portfolio from this point. The frameworks are simple, but clear. While I don't expect any kind of smooth growth from here, I do expect tremendous and growing strength over the coming 3-5 years, let alone the next 8-10 years.\nWith a substantial \"down payment\" becoming a PLTR millionaire isn't impossible, but that's not exact the point. Instead, it's to consider the tremendous growth in PLTR itself, but also the share price along the way. Even a modest amount of PLTR could turn into a handsome pile; thank you, growth.\nIs Leverage Worth It?\nMaybe we could use options to exploit leverage:\n\n Options can provide leverage. This means an option buyer can pay a relatively small premium for market exposure in relation to the contract value (usually 100 shares of the underlying stock). An investor can see large percentage gains from comparatively small, favorable percentage moves in the underlying product.\n\nJust remember the key risk if you're buying options:\n\n Leverage also has downside implications. If the underlying stock price does not rise or fall as anticipated during the lifetime of the option, leverage could magnify the investment's percentage loss. Options offer their owners a predetermined, set risk.\n However, if the owner's options expire with no value, this loss can be the entire amount of the premium paid for the option. [Emphasis: Author's]\n\nAnd, depending on your belief or \"faith\" in PLTR's growth, you could use long dated options or \"LEAPS\" to become wealthy with PLTR.\nFor example, we can easily go out all the way to early 2024:\nSource: TD Ameritrade\nAssuming you could buy PLTR LEAPs for $4.75 with a strike price of $40, then you could potentially do quite well if PLTR's growth numbers play out.\nWith 40% share price growth, PLTR would hit $47 by the end of 2023. And, with 50% growth, PLTR would hit $54 by the end of 2023.\nAt a glance that sounds good,but it's not fantastic. I don't even really have to run the numbers because at a glance you can see that you'd maybe 2x to 3x your money invested right now using PLTR LEAPS with a $40 strike.\nInstead, maybe we'd want to look more closely at the $27 strike, for example:\nSource: TD Ameritrade\nAt this point, assuming $8 for each PLTR Jan 2024 LEAP with a $27 strike, we're looking at $12 assuming gains per LEAP with 40% growth. Furthermore, we're look at about $19 gains per LEAP with 50% growth.\nTo be clear, what I'm doing is adding the $8 LEAP cost and the $27 strike price. That's $35. Then, I'm taking $47 which assumes 40% growth, and subtracting to get the difference, which is $12. And, I'm taking the $54 which assumes 50% growth, and subtracting the same way to get $19. Nothing too fancy here, and no complicated math. Either way,it falls short again.\nPutting $8 in maybe gets us 1.5x to 2.5x returns in about 2 years. Of course, it could be more like 3x, or even maybe a bit higher. However, buying and holding is likely to generate similar gains,with less risk.\nThe message is this. The options market is smart, and forward looking. And, in this case, it's basically letting us know that PLTR's growth is likely to be in the 40-50% range, as I've explained above. The deeper lesson is to have patience with PLTR common equity. The growth is there and leverage won't accelerate gains without adding too much risk.\nAt this point in time, I'm not investing in PLTR LEAPS. Buying and holding, with strong growth tailwinds is plenty good enough for most investors. Or, at a minimum, buying PLTR and holding is good enough for my portfolio.\nWrap Up\nFirst, I looked at PLTR's early growth from $10 to $25 or so today. I'm not expecting 150% gains every year, however. That's far too greedy and besides, the uncertainty around PLTR is slowly fading, thereby stabilizing things quite a bit. In part, this is what's holding PLTR in the $22 to $28 range, I believe. The burn off of uncertainty has built a floor, or trading zone. I'm confident this floor will move upwards in 2022.\nSecond, I reviewed PLTR's growth assumptions once again, showing how 30% growth per year is too probably too modest. Instead, it's looking like we'll see more like 40-50% per year for the next 3-5 years. Furthermore, assuming there's not a collapse in the P/S ratio, investors could enjoy 40-50% capital gains per year, although it might be quite lumpy along the way. If this is true, then hitting $90 to $120 in 2025 is rational.\nAs a quick sidebar, I can see PLTR hitting somewhere between $65 to $85 by the end of 2023, along the way. If PLTR can show concrete growth, and if they can taper stock-based compensation, this seems quite plausible.\nThird, I've used long-dated options and some rough math to show that using leverage on PLTR in the market probably isn't going to greatly accelerate gains over 2-3 years. However, even it does work out, the risk to capital goes up. While there are some times where options work well, e.g.,selling PLTR puts, using LEAPS right now doesn't look favorable enough. Better to buy and hold, in most cases.\nAs another sidebar, I enjoyed looking at PLTR LEAPS, which gives investors some added confidence in PLTR's growth over the next 2-3 years. The options market is rather intelligent as a wisdom of the crowds prediction model. I'm seeing an optimistic \"thumbs up\" right now.Growth Stock Renegadesubscribers got an extra special view of this phenomenon, I might add.\nAnd lastly, as a fun exercise, I've shown that you'd likely need 8,000 to 12,000 shares, and 40-50% CAGR on those shares, to reach $1 million. That would require setting aside $200-300K, and waiting patiently until 2025. Maybe that's acceptable, and maybe not, but at least you have a framework now to understand the potential. That's the real point.\nObviously, you can take all of this data plus the growth rates and come to your own conclusions. What I know is that my confidence in PLTR is still quite high and I continue to maintain my bullish position.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855711873,"gmtCreate":1635400914281,"gmtModify":1635400914493,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure. At highest point of $65. The current price level seems like a good deal.&nbsp;","listText":"Sure. At highest point of $65. The current price level seems like a good deal.&nbsp;","text":"Sure. At highest point of $65. The current price level seems like a good deal.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855711873","repostId":"1132883630","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132883630","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635399451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132883630?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-28 13:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Stock Dropped Wednesday: Is This an Opportunity?<blockquote>蔚来股价周三下跌：这是一个机会吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132883630","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investors are getting uncomfortable with the level of competition in the electric vehicle space.","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> After kicking off Wednesday on a positive note and popping by 2% in early morning trading,electric vehicle stock&nbsp;<b>Nio</b>(NYSE:NIO)&nbsp;shed all of those gains and then some. At the close of the session, Nio shares were down by 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周三开盘上涨并在早盘交易中上涨2%后<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）放弃了所有这些涨幅，甚至一些涨幅。截至收盘，蔚来股价下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are weighing the impact of rising competition on the Chinese automaker's prospects and finding it worrisome.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎正在权衡竞争加剧对这家中国汽车制造商前景的影响，并发现这令人担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Nio's chief rival&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)is firing on all cylinders. After Tesla bagged an order for 100,000 electric vehicles from rental company&nbsp;<b>Hertz</b>&nbsp;earlier this week,it was back in the news again Wednesday&nbsp;after Hertz&nbsp;struck a deal with&nbsp;<b>Uber Technologies</b>&nbsp;to rent it 50,000 Tesla EVs. Although that development built on Hertz's previous order, it reflects the massive potential of the EV industry and the unmistakable traction that Tesla has already gained within it. It's also racing ahead in Nio's core market of China.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的主要竞争对手<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）正在全力以赴。特斯拉从租赁公司获得10万辆电动汽车订单后<b>赫兹</b>本周早些时候，在赫兹与<b>优步科技</b>向其租赁50,000辆特斯拉电动汽车。尽管这一发展建立在赫兹之前的订单之上，但它反映了电动汽车行业的巨大潜力以及特斯拉已经在其中获得的明显吸引力。它在蔚来的核心市场中国也遥遥领先。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d13f2a97da1133832ade5c930059cf8\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday morning,<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:GM)&nbsp;CEO Mary Barra told CNBC that the auto giant could \"absolutely\" catch up with Tesla on EV sales by 2025. In June, GM announced an ambitious goal of selling more than 1 million EVs worldwide by 2025, backed by investments worth $35 billion in EVs and autonomous vehicles over that period.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午，<b>通用汽车</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GM）首席执行官Mary Barra告诉CNBC，到2025年，这家汽车巨头在电动汽车销量方面“绝对”可以赶上特斯拉。6月，通用汽车宣布了一个雄心勃勃的目标，即到2025年在全球销售超过100万辆电动汽车，并在此期间对电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车进行了价值350亿美元的投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> EVs are a hot market right now, and this is just the start. It's therefore unsurprising to see competition intensifying as nearly every automaker strives to get a piece of a market segment with exponential growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车目前是一个热门市场，而这仅仅是个开始。因此，竞争加剧也就不足为奇了，因为几乎每家汽车制造商都在努力在具有指数增长潜力的细分市场中分得一杯羹。</blockquote></p><p> Does that mean Nio will be edged out? I don't think so.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着蔚来将被淘汰？我不这么认为。</blockquote></p><p> In a short span of time, Nio has established itself as one of the top luxury car makers in China. It delivered more vehicles last quarter than it ever had before, recently began selling in Europe, and is set to launch its&nbsp;first electric luxury sedan, the ET7, in China as well as Norway in 2022 even as it prepares a blueprint for low-priced models to target the mass market in China. Nio's battery-as-a-service program also gives it an edge over rivals, especially among cost-conscious consumers.</p><p><blockquote>在很短的时间内，蔚来已经成为国内顶级豪华汽车制造商之一。该公司上季度交付的汽车数量比以往任何时候都多，最近开始在欧洲销售，并计划于2022年在中国和挪威推出首款电动豪华轿车ET7，同时正在为低价车型制定蓝图。瞄准中国大众市场的车型。蔚来的电池即服务计划也使其比竞争对手更具优势，尤其是在注重成本的消费者中。</blockquote></p><p> So while Tesla's wins may rattle Nio investors momentarily, the Chinese automaker is a long-term growth story and looks like one of the&nbsp;most promising EV stocks right now to buy on a dip.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然特斯拉的胜利可能会暂时让蔚来投资者感到不安，但这家中国汽车制造商是一个长期增长的故事，看起来是目前最有前途的逢低买入电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Stock Dropped Wednesday: Is This an Opportunity?<blockquote>蔚来股价周三下跌：这是一个机会吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Stock Dropped Wednesday: Is This an Opportunity?<blockquote>蔚来股价周三下跌：这是一个机会吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-28 13:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> After kicking off Wednesday on a positive note and popping by 2% in early morning trading,electric vehicle stock&nbsp;<b>Nio</b>(NYSE:NIO)&nbsp;shed all of those gains and then some. At the close of the session, Nio shares were down by 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周三开盘上涨并在早盘交易中上涨2%后<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）放弃了所有这些涨幅，甚至一些涨幅。截至收盘，蔚来股价下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are weighing the impact of rising competition on the Chinese automaker's prospects and finding it worrisome.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎正在权衡竞争加剧对这家中国汽车制造商前景的影响，并发现这令人担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Nio's chief rival&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)is firing on all cylinders. After Tesla bagged an order for 100,000 electric vehicles from rental company&nbsp;<b>Hertz</b>&nbsp;earlier this week,it was back in the news again Wednesday&nbsp;after Hertz&nbsp;struck a deal with&nbsp;<b>Uber Technologies</b>&nbsp;to rent it 50,000 Tesla EVs. Although that development built on Hertz's previous order, it reflects the massive potential of the EV industry and the unmistakable traction that Tesla has already gained within it. It's also racing ahead in Nio's core market of China.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的主要竞争对手<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）正在全力以赴。特斯拉从租赁公司获得10万辆电动汽车订单后<b>赫兹</b>本周早些时候，在赫兹与<b>优步科技</b>向其租赁50,000辆特斯拉电动汽车。尽管这一发展建立在赫兹之前的订单之上，但它反映了电动汽车行业的巨大潜力以及特斯拉已经在其中获得的明显吸引力。它在蔚来的核心市场中国也遥遥领先。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d13f2a97da1133832ade5c930059cf8\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday morning,<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:GM)&nbsp;CEO Mary Barra told CNBC that the auto giant could \"absolutely\" catch up with Tesla on EV sales by 2025. In June, GM announced an ambitious goal of selling more than 1 million EVs worldwide by 2025, backed by investments worth $35 billion in EVs and autonomous vehicles over that period.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午，<b>通用汽车</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GM）首席执行官Mary Barra告诉CNBC，到2025年，这家汽车巨头在电动汽车销量方面“绝对”可以赶上特斯拉。6月，通用汽车宣布了一个雄心勃勃的目标，即到2025年在全球销售超过100万辆电动汽车，并在此期间对电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车进行了价值350亿美元的投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> EVs are a hot market right now, and this is just the start. It's therefore unsurprising to see competition intensifying as nearly every automaker strives to get a piece of a market segment with exponential growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车目前是一个热门市场，而这仅仅是个开始。因此，竞争加剧也就不足为奇了，因为几乎每家汽车制造商都在努力在具有指数增长潜力的细分市场中分得一杯羹。</blockquote></p><p> Does that mean Nio will be edged out? I don't think so.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着蔚来将被淘汰？我不这么认为。</blockquote></p><p> In a short span of time, Nio has established itself as one of the top luxury car makers in China. It delivered more vehicles last quarter than it ever had before, recently began selling in Europe, and is set to launch its&nbsp;first electric luxury sedan, the ET7, in China as well as Norway in 2022 even as it prepares a blueprint for low-priced models to target the mass market in China. Nio's battery-as-a-service program also gives it an edge over rivals, especially among cost-conscious consumers.</p><p><blockquote>在很短的时间内，蔚来已经成为国内顶级豪华汽车制造商之一。该公司上季度交付的汽车数量比以往任何时候都多，最近开始在欧洲销售，并计划于2022年在中国和挪威推出首款电动豪华轿车ET7，同时正在为低价车型制定蓝图。瞄准中国大众市场的车型。蔚来的电池即服务计划也使其比竞争对手更具优势，尤其是在注重成本的消费者中。</blockquote></p><p> So while Tesla's wins may rattle Nio investors momentarily, the Chinese automaker is a long-term growth story and looks like one of the&nbsp;most promising EV stocks right now to buy on a dip.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然特斯拉的胜利可能会暂时让蔚来投资者感到不安，但这家中国汽车制造商是一个长期增长的故事，看起来是目前最有前途的逢低买入电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/27/nio-stock-dropped-wednesday-is-this-an-opportunity/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/27/nio-stock-dropped-wednesday-is-this-an-opportunity/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132883630","content_text":"What happened\nAfter kicking off Wednesday on a positive note and popping by 2% in early morning trading,electric vehicle stock Nio(NYSE:NIO) shed all of those gains and then some. At the close of the session, Nio shares were down by 2.9%.\nIt seems investors are weighing the impact of rising competition on the Chinese automaker's prospects and finding it worrisome.\nSo what\nNio's chief rival Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)is firing on all cylinders. After Tesla bagged an order for 100,000 electric vehicles from rental company Hertz earlier this week,it was back in the news again Wednesday after Hertz struck a deal with Uber Technologies to rent it 50,000 Tesla EVs. Although that development built on Hertz's previous order, it reflects the massive potential of the EV industry and the unmistakable traction that Tesla has already gained within it. It's also racing ahead in Nio's core market of China.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nOn Wednesday morning,General Motors(NYSE:GM) CEO Mary Barra told CNBC that the auto giant could \"absolutely\" catch up with Tesla on EV sales by 2025. In June, GM announced an ambitious goal of selling more than 1 million EVs worldwide by 2025, backed by investments worth $35 billion in EVs and autonomous vehicles over that period.\nNow what\nEVs are a hot market right now, and this is just the start. It's therefore unsurprising to see competition intensifying as nearly every automaker strives to get a piece of a market segment with exponential growth potential.\nDoes that mean Nio will be edged out? I don't think so.\nIn a short span of time, Nio has established itself as one of the top luxury car makers in China. It delivered more vehicles last quarter than it ever had before, recently began selling in Europe, and is set to launch its first electric luxury sedan, the ET7, in China as well as Norway in 2022 even as it prepares a blueprint for low-priced models to target the mass market in China. Nio's battery-as-a-service program also gives it an edge over rivals, especially among cost-conscious consumers.\nSo while Tesla's wins may rattle Nio investors momentarily, the Chinese automaker is a long-term growth story and looks like one of the most promising EV stocks right now to buy on a dip.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852054413,"gmtCreate":1635227096726,"gmtModify":1635227097356,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So cheap? Only $1k??","listText":"So cheap? Only $1k??","text":"So cheap? Only $1k??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852054413","repostId":"2178471618","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852086795,"gmtCreate":1635223057942,"gmtModify":1635223106898,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Effects from TSLA?","listText":"Effects from TSLA?","text":"Effects from TSLA?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852086795","repostId":"1112296785","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112296785","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635211413,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112296785?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-26 09:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks open higher sharply in Hong Kong<blockquote>香港电动汽车股大幅高开</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112296785","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV stocks open higher sharply in Hong Kong.Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,BYD&nbsp;and&nbsp;Geely&nbsp;climb between 2% and 7%.","content":"<p>EV stocks open higher sharply in Hong Kong.Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,BYD&nbsp;and&nbsp;Geely&nbsp;climb between 2% and 7%.</p><p><blockquote>香港电动汽车股大幅高开。小鹏汽车、理想汽车、比亚迪和吉利上涨2%至7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a43cdb6f33e27a9371be6158ac005d\" tg-width=\"406\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks open higher sharply in Hong Kong<blockquote>香港电动汽车股大幅高开</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks open higher sharply in Hong Kong<blockquote>香港电动汽车股大幅高开</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-26 09:23</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV stocks open higher sharply in Hong Kong.Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,BYD&nbsp;and&nbsp;Geely&nbsp;climb between 2% and 7%.</p><p><blockquote>香港电动汽车股大幅高开。小鹏汽车、理想汽车、比亚迪和吉利上涨2%至7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/43a43cdb6f33e27a9371be6158ac005d\" tg-width=\"406\" tg-height=\"241\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"02015":"理想汽车-W","09868":"小鹏汽车-W","00175":"吉利汽车","01211":"比亚迪股份"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112296785","content_text":"EV stocks open higher sharply in Hong Kong.Xpeng Motors,Li Auto,BYD and Geely climb between 2% and 7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00175":0.9,"01211":0.9,"09868":0.9,"02015":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1019,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858297912,"gmtCreate":1635054176695,"gmtModify":1635054177346,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ENPH\">$Enphase Energy(ENPH)$</a>Looks like clean energy play is back","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ENPH\">$Enphase Energy(ENPH)$</a>Looks like clean energy play is back","text":"$Enphase Energy(ENPH)$Looks like clean energy play is back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858297912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":837,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851612745,"gmtCreate":1634902561362,"gmtModify":1634902561919,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Waiting for NVAX to rebound and 🚀&nbsp;","listText":"Waiting for NVAX to rebound and 🚀&nbsp;","text":"Waiting for NVAX to rebound and 🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851612745","repostId":"2177978504","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":815,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851612833,"gmtCreate":1634902454777,"gmtModify":1634902480740,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please buy more&nbsp;","listText":"Please buy more&nbsp;","text":"Please buy more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851612833","repostId":"2177663497","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853501532,"gmtCreate":1634821600479,"gmtModify":1634821601059,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is this consider a piece of good news for NVAX?&nbsp;","listText":"Is this consider a piece of good news for NVAX?&nbsp;","text":"Is this consider a piece of good news for NVAX?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853501532","repostId":"2177046847","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":685,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853286198,"gmtCreate":1634814614834,"gmtModify":1634814615395,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please rocket past $88 which is the long time resistance&nbsp;","listText":"Please rocket past $88 which is the long time resistance&nbsp;","text":"Please rocket past $88 which is the long time resistance","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853286198","repostId":"2177943408","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1070,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824300772,"gmtCreate":1634275419832,"gmtModify":1634275420026,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will it sustain?","listText":"Will it sustain?","text":"Will it sustain?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824300772","repostId":"1129314610","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129314610","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634253682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129314610?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 07:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升，盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129314610","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since earl","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-标普500周四跳涨，创3月初以来最大单日百分比涨幅，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>在强劲的业绩后攀升，而劳动力市场和通胀数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&amp;P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%，给标普500带来最大提振，股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&amp;P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金，而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%，此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩，并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点，另一份报告显示，9月份生产者价格有所放缓，这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明，新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此，美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示：“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情，就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言，可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了，但至少在暂时的范围内，你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&amp;P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点，涨幅1.56%，至34,912.56点；标普500上涨74.46点，涨幅1.71%，至4,438.26点；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点，或1.73%，至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅，但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅，道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&amp;P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛，除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示，Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%，此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期，并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长，但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1；在纳斯达克，1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升，盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升，盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 07:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-标普500周四跳涨，创3月初以来最大单日百分比涨幅，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>在强劲的业绩后攀升，而劳动力市场和通胀数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&amp;P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%，给标普500带来最大提振，股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&amp;P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金，而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%，此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩，并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点，另一份报告显示，9月份生产者价格有所放缓，这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明，新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此，美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示：“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情，就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言，可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了，但至少在暂时的范围内，你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&amp;P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点，涨幅1.56%，至34,912.56点；标普500上涨74.46点，涨幅1.71%，至4,438.26点；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点，或1.73%，至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅，但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅，道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&amp;P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛，除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示，Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%，此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期，并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长，但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1；在纳斯达克，1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129314610","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including Morgan Stanley and UnitedHealth climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.\nThe technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of Microsoft Corp and Apple Inc rising.\nShares of Citigroup, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and Morgan Stanley also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.\nAlso, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.\nAdding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.\nData from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.\n“Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.\n“Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the Nasdaq Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.\nWhile the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.\nGains were broad-based, with all but one S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.\nShares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.\nU.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPXU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825213954,"gmtCreate":1634226850802,"gmtModify":1634226851001,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVAC\">$CureVac B.V.(CVAC)$</a>No news?&nbsp;Short squeeze??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVAC\">$CureVac B.V.(CVAC)$</a>No news?&nbsp;Short squeeze??","text":"$CureVac B.V.(CVAC)$No news? Short squeeze??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825213954","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":768,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822786411,"gmtCreate":1634171656978,"gmtModify":1634171657125,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Trade with caution&nbsp;","listText":"Trade with caution&nbsp;","text":"Trade with caution","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822786411","repostId":"2175164396","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2175164396","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634166327,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2175164396?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 07:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq rise with growth stocks; JPMorgan a drag<blockquote>标普500、纳斯达克随成长股上涨；摩根大通拖累</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2175164396","media":"The Straits Times","summary":"NEW YORK (REUTERS) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday (Oct 13), led by gains in shar","content":"<p><div> NEW YORK (REUTERS) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday (Oct 13), led by gains in shares of big growth names like Amazon.com and Microsoft, but JPMorgan shares fell along with other bank...</p><p><blockquote><div>纽约（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周三（10月13日）收高，亚马逊和微软等大型成长型公司股价上涨，但摩根大通股价与其他银行一起下跌...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"straits_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq rise with growth stocks; JPMorgan a drag<blockquote>标普500、纳斯达克随成长股上涨；摩根大通拖累</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq rise with growth stocks; JPMorgan a drag<blockquote>标普500、纳斯达克随成长股上涨；摩根大通拖累</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Straits Times</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-14 07:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> NEW YORK (REUTERS) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday (Oct 13), led by gains in shares of big growth names like Amazon.com and Microsoft, but JPMorgan shares fell along with other bank...</p><p><blockquote><div>纽约（路透社）-标普500和纳斯达克周三（10月13日）收高，亚马逊和微软等大型成长型公司股价上涨，但摩根大通股价与其他银行一起下跌...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag\">The Straits Times</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","JPM":"摩根大通","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sp-500-nasdaq-rise-with-growth-stocks-jpmorgan-a-drag","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2175164396","content_text":"NEW YORK (REUTERS) - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday (Oct 13), led by gains in shares of big growth names like Amazon.com and Microsoft, but JPMorgan shares fell along with other bank shares and weighed on the market.\nThe S&P 500 briefly added to gains following the release of minutes from the September Federal Reserve policy meeting.\nUS central bankers signalled they could start reducing crisis-era support for the economy in mid-November, though they remained divided over how much of a threat high inflation poses and how soon they may need to raise interest rates, the minutes showed.\nEarlier, a Labour Department report showed consumer prices increased solidly in September, further strengthening the case for a Fed interest-rate hike.\nShares of JPMorgan Chase & Co fell 2.6% even though JPMorgan's third-quarter earnings beat expectations, helped by global dealmaking boom and release of more loan loss reserves.\nThe stock declined along with the other bank shares and was among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Dow, which ended flat.\nThe S&P 500 bank index was down 1.3%, with longer-dated Treasury yields down on the day. The day's corporate results kicked off third-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies.\n\"My hope is that as we work our way through earnings season, that the forward-looking guidance will be good enough that we'll close the year higher. But right now the market is in a show-me phase,\" said Jim Awad, senior managing director at Clearstead Advisors LLC in New York.\nMega-caps growth names including Amazon.com Inc, Google-parent Alphabet and Microsoft Corp all rose.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.53 points to 34,377.81, the S&P 500 gained 13.15 points, or 0.30%, to 4,363.8 and the Nasdaq Composite added 105.71 points, or 0.73%, to 14,571.64.\nBlackRock Inc gained 3.8% after the world's largest money manager beat quarterly profit estimates as an improving economy helped boost its assets under management, driving up fee income.\nAlso in earnings, Delta Air Lines fell 5.8% after the company reported its first quarterly profit without federal aid since the coronavirus pandemic, but warned of a pre-tax loss for the fourth quarter due to a sharp rise in fuel prices.\nAnalysts expect corporate America to report strong profit growth in the third quarter but investor worries have been mounting over how supply chain problems, labour shortages and higher energy prices might affect businesses emerging from the pandemic.\nBank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley will report results on Thursday, while Goldman Sachs is due to report on Friday.\nAmong other movers, Apple Inc dipped 0.4% after a report said the iPhone marker was planning to cut production of its iPhone 13.0 trading days.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.73-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.39-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 8 new 52-week highs and 9 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 47 new highs and 56 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.31 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SH":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"OEF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":894111854,"gmtCreate":1628811189878,"gmtModify":1633689369320,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Everyday I’m asking myself, how high can it continue?","listText":"Everyday I’m asking myself, how high can it continue?","text":"Everyday I’m asking myself, how high can it continue?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894111854","repostId":"1180393666","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836408337,"gmtCreate":1629511539629,"gmtModify":1631892522233,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It tells historians that bulls can run very longdistance.&nbsp;","listText":"It tells historians that bulls can run very longdistance.&nbsp;","text":"It tells historians that bulls can run very longdistance.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/836408337","repostId":"2161745814","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801259590,"gmtCreate":1627519917810,"gmtModify":1633764215232,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I am sure the “dip buying army” already&nbsp;see this coming a few months back. Plan the trade and execute as planned.&nbsp;","listText":"I am sure the “dip buying army” already&nbsp;see this coming a few months back. Plan the trade and execute as planned.&nbsp;","text":"I am sure the “dip buying army” already see this coming a few months back. Plan the trade and execute as planned.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801259590","repostId":"2155027927","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881864638,"gmtCreate":1631324635524,"gmtModify":1631890832909,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Beaten down and hopefully can get up soon…","listText":"Beaten down and hopefully can get up soon…","text":"Beaten down and hopefully can get up soon…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881864638","repostId":"2166375838","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802544066,"gmtCreate":1627791203255,"gmtModify":1633756337159,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How about the Chinese stocks that were already&nbsp;hammered? They were&nbsp;hammered in July. Does this mean they will continue to get hammered more in August?&nbsp;","listText":"How about the Chinese stocks that were already&nbsp;hammered? They were&nbsp;hammered in July. Does this mean they will continue to get hammered more in August?&nbsp;","text":"How about the Chinese stocks that were already hammered? They were hammered in July. Does this mean they will continue to get hammered more in August?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802544066","repostId":"1142925544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142925544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627787240,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142925544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-01 11:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142925544","media":"Barron's","summary":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970","content":"<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors, Beware! Stocks Are Entering the Most Dangerous Stretch of the Year<blockquote>投资者当心！股市正在进入今年最危险的时期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-01 11:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.</p><p><blockquote>“是的，现在是夏天，我一年中的这个时候，”乐队唱着20世纪70年代的金色老歌《夏天》，回忆着在海滩或烧烤时的愉快时光。没有必要提醒当时的任何人干旱、野火或新冠肺炎激增，这些都是今年潮湿季节的不幸特征。</blockquote></p><p> But the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&amp;P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.</p><p><blockquote>但根据美国银行分析师斯蒂芬·萨特迈尔(Stephen Suttmeier)汇编的1928年以来的数据，8月的到来也意味着股市将进入历史上一年中最危险的时期。他发现标准普尔500指数在8月、9月和10月的平均回报率为0.03%，这是大盘股基准今年最糟糕的三个月。事实上，它们构成了唯一平均亏损的三个月期间。</blockquote></p><p> August actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&amp;P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.</p><p><blockquote>他在一份研究报告中补充道，八月实际上是一年中最好和最差的月份。7月份标普500的平均回报率为1.58%，其中59.1%的时间为正，而9月份的平均回报率为负1.03%，只有不到一半的时间（即45%）出现在正栏中。</blockquote></p><p> This July did even better than the norm, with the S&amp;P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.</p><p><blockquote>今年7月的表现甚至好于正常水平，标普500上涨了2.27%。根据道琼斯统计专家的数据，这也是该指数连续第六个月上涨，这是自2018年9月以来最长的连续上涨。在此期间，其累计预付款为18.34%。</blockquote></p><p> August’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&amp;P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”</p><p><blockquote>8月份的记录介于两者之间，平均标普500回报率为0.70%，58.1%的时间为积极结果，标志着从“夏季暴跌”到“秋季暴跌”的转变。</blockquote></p><p> Not surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.</p><p><blockquote>Suttmeier发现，毫不奇怪，8月至10月期间的落后回报伴随着波动性的上升。根据1992年以来的记录，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数(VIX)在4月至7月期间波动性相对较低后，在这几个月经常出现飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Past isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.</p><p><blockquote>过去不一定是序幕，但如果是，如果股市确实经历了典型的季节性艰难时期，Robinhood Markets（股票代码：HOOD）首次公开募股的时机可能会被证明是有利的。这家在线经纪商的假定使命是向据称被老牌机构忽视的新手开放投资，周四以38美元的价格出售了5500万股股票。在这个过程中，它为所有参与IPO的人提供了宝贵的一课：低买高卖。</blockquote></p><p> The company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司显然满足了后一项要求，高价出售其股票，尽管它们的定价处于预期38美元至42美元范围的低端。尽管周五有所回升，但其价格在首日交易中下跌了8.4%。截至本周末，持有Robinhood IPO的买家数量下降了7.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Among those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.</p><p><blockquote>卖出高价的人包括该公司的联合创始人、首席执行官弗拉基米尔·特涅夫(Vladimir Tenev)和首席创意官白菊·巴特(Baiju Bhatt)，他们在IPO中每人抛售了125万股。正如我杰出的前任艾伦·阿贝尔森（Alan Abelson）喜欢观察的那样，卖出股票有很多好的理由，但期望它上涨并不是其中之一。考虑到富有的所有者有能力通过廉价借贷将其资产货币化，并且无需缴纳资本利得税，这一点从未像现在这样真实。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，特涅夫和巴特仍然在罗宾汉拥有大量股份。正如我们的同事Avi Salzman报道的那样，按首次发行价计算，这些股票价值25亿美元，Tenev和Bhatt保留了投票权。如果股价达到300美元，或者接近众所周知的十倍，两人还可以获得Tenev价值高达67亿美元的股票奖励，Bhatt价值40亿美元的股票奖励。</blockquote></p><p> But in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”</p><p><blockquote>但为了打击收入不平等，这对潜在的亿万富翁夫妇象征性地减薪至34,248美元，这是美国工人的平均年薪。正如喜剧演员雅科夫·斯米尔诺夫喜欢说的：“多好的国家啊！”</blockquote></p><p> How those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.</p><p><blockquote>这些工人的状况将成为定于本周五发布的月度就业报告的主题。</blockquote></p><p> Economists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>经济学家对非农就业人数的预测约为90万人。杰富瑞(Jefferies)经济学家Aneta Markowska和Thomas Simons估计，增幅可能会突破期待已久的100万大关；他们预测有120万。</blockquote></p><p> Markowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)</p><p><blockquote>Markowska和Simons认为，一些州补充失业救济金的到期将增加劳动力供应，尽管这是一个有重大争议的问题。（有关就业市场的更多信息，请参阅本周的封面故事。）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-news-robinhood-sp500-51627692215?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142925544","content_text":"“Yes, it’s summer, my time of year,”as the group War sangin that golden oldie “Summer” from the 1970s, recalling pleasant times at the beach or by the barbecue. No need to remind anyone back then of droughts, wildfires, or Covid-19 surges that are unfortunate features of the steamy season this year.\nBut the coming of August also means entering what historically has been the most treacherous stretch of the year for stocks, according to data going back to 1928 compiled by Bank of America analyst Stephen Suttmeier. He finds that theS&P 500index had a negative return averaging 0.03% in August, September, and October—the worst three-month span of the year for the big-cap benchmark. In fact, they constitute the only three-month period that averages in the red.\nAugust actually is bracketed by the best and worst months of the year, he adds in a research note. July averages a 1.58% return on the S&P 500, with positive results 59.1% of the time, while September averages a negative 1.03%, ending in the plus column less than half of the time, or 45%.\nThis July did even better than the norm, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.27%. It also was the sixth consecutive up month for the index—the longest positive streak since September 2018, according to Dow Jones’ statistical mavens. During that period, its cumulative advance was 18.34%.\nAugust’s record is in between, with an average 0.70% S&P 500 return and positive results 58.1% of the time, marking a transition from the “summer rip” to the “fall dip.”\nNot surprisingly, the laggard returns of the August-October period are accompanied by an uptick in volatility, Suttmeier finds. Based on records going back to 1992, theCboe Volatility Index,or VIX, has often seen spikes during those months, following relatively subdued volatility in the April-July period.\nPast isn’t necessarily prologue, but if it is, the timing of the initial public offering byRobinhood Markets(ticker: HOOD) might prove propitious, if the stock market does have its typical seasonal rough patch. The online broker, whose putative mission is to open investing to novices supposedly ignored by established outfits, sold 55 million shares at $38 on Thursday. In the process, it provided a valuable lesson to all those who got in on the IPO: Buy low and sell high.\nThe company evidently fulfilled the latter imperative, selling its shares high, even though they were priced at the low end of the expected $38-$42 range. Their price sank 8.4% on their first day of trading, although they recouped a bit on Friday. By week’s end, buyers of Robinhood’s IPO who held were down 7.5%.\nAmong those who sold high were the company’s co-founders, CEO Vladimir Tenev and Chief Creative Officer Baiju Bhatt, who each offloaded 1.25 million shares in the IPO. As my illustrious predecessor, Alan Abelson, liked to observe, there are many good reasons to sell a stock, but expecting it to go up isn’t one of them. That has never been more true, given the ability of rich owners to monetize their assets by borrowing against them cheaply, and without incurring capital-gains taxes.\nTo be sure, Tenev and Bhatt still have significant stakes in Robinhood. Asour colleague Avi Salzman reported, these were worth $2.5 billion at the initial offering price, and Tenev and Bhatt retain voting control. The two also could receive awards of shares worth as much as $6.7 billion for Tenev and $4 billion for Bhatt, if the stock hits $300, or nearly the proverbial ten-bagger from here.\nBut in a blow against income inequality, the potential billionaire pair took symbolic pay cuts, to $34,248, the average annual wage of American workers. As the comedian Yakov Smirnoff likes to say, “What a country!”\nHow those workers are faring will be a subject of the monthly employment report slated for release this coming Friday.\nEconomists’ forecasts for nonfarm payrolls center around a gain of 900,000. Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons estimate that the increase could top the long-anticipated one million mark; they forecast 1.2 million.\nMarkowska and Simons think the expiration of supplemental unemployment benefits in some states will boost the labor supply, although that is a matter of significant debate. (For more on the jobs market, seethis week’s cover story.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177587621,"gmtCreate":1627252772263,"gmtModify":1633766970211,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Honestly,&nbsp;I doubt so.&nbsp;","listText":"Honestly,&nbsp;I doubt so.&nbsp;","text":"Honestly, I doubt so.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177587621","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":867694752,"gmtCreate":1633247790553,"gmtModify":1633247791078,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"In a&nbsp;few months time,&nbsp;rotation will be back to tech stocks&nbsp;again.&nbsp;This is how the game is played. Techs are part of our lives and no way it is going away.&nbsp;","listText":"In a&nbsp;few months time,&nbsp;rotation will be back to tech stocks&nbsp;again.&nbsp;This is how the game is played. Techs are part of our lives and no way it is going away.&nbsp;","text":"In a few months time, rotation will be back to tech stocks again. This is how the game is played. Techs are part of our lives and no way it is going away.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867694752","repostId":"2172964606","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":838492292,"gmtCreate":1629422852016,"gmtModify":1631892522235,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"That’s explain why she continued to buy millions of PLTR shares.&nbsp;","listText":"That’s explain why she continued to buy millions of PLTR shares.&nbsp;","text":"That’s explain why she continued to buy millions of PLTR shares.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838492292","repostId":"2160848793","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2160848793","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1629420499,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2160848793?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-20 08:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Ark's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2160848793","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Wood says she's emboldened by bad news\nCathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment off","content":"<p>Wood says she's emboldened by bad news</p><p><blockquote>伍德说她被坏消息鼓舞了</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b1e646cb0a6ddf4ac942ed5c913a4e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Cathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Cathie Wood，方舟投资管理公司首席执行官兼首席投资官</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There'a growing sense of unease emanating from equity markets in recent trade, despite, and perhaps because, of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 index trading near record heights.</p><p><blockquote>尽管道琼斯工业平均指数（Dow Jones Industrial Average）和标普500指数（Bank of America Index）接近历史新高，但在最近的交易中，人们越来越感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> However, star investor Cathie Wood, who runs a suite of popular ETFs in Ark Investment Management, says that there's no reason to fear that the market is becoming too bubblicious.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在Ark Investment Management经营一系列受欢迎的ETF的明星投资者凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，没有理由担心市场变得过于泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> As the Ark founder puts it: \"I don't think we're in a bubble which is what I think many bears think we are,\" during a Thursday interview with CNBC near midday .</p><p><blockquote>正如方舟创始人在周四中午接受CNBC采访时所说：“我不认为我们处于泡沫之中，我认为许多空头认为我们处于泡沫之中。”</blockquote></p><p> Her comments coming amid intensifying worries about a possible slowdown in economic growth as the delta variant of COVID-19 gathers momentum, creating headwinds for a fuller recovery from the pandemic that has gripped the globe for well over a year.</p><p><blockquote>她发表此番言论之际，人们越来越担心随着COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株势头增强，经济增长可能放缓，这给从席卷全球一年多的大流行中全面复苏带来了阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also have been wringing their hands over the prospects of the Federal Reserve scaling back easy-money policies, notably the monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortage-backed securities, as anxieties grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着焦虑情绪的加剧，投资者也一直在担心美联储缩减宽松货币政策的前景，特别是每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's investment funds, highlighted by the flagship Ark Innovation, have been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> area that has been cited as possibly overvalued and vulnerable to a dramatic swing lower if the market starts to deflate considerably from its current levels.</p><p><blockquote>伍德的投资基金，以旗舰Ark Innovation为重点，已<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>该区域被认为可能被高估，如果市场开始从当前水平大幅萎缩，则容易大幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> Ark Innovation ETF is down 5.2% so far this week and has lost 8.6% in the year to date, badly underperforming the broader market and coming after the fund rang up one-year return of 149%, FactSet data show.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，Ark Innovation ETF本周迄今已下跌5.2%，今年迄今已下跌8.6%，表现严重逊于大盘，此前该基金的一年回报率达到149%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cca916bae90134d64f9ba249031e782\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By comparison , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1.8% this week but up 14% this year, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index is off 1.9% on the week but has risen over 12.8% so far in 2021, and the broad-market S&amp;P 500 index is off 1.4% in the week to date but boasts a nearly 17.3% gain for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，道琼斯工业平均指数本周下跌1.8%，但今年上涨14%，而科技含量较高的纳斯达克综合指数本周下跌1.9%，但2021年迄今已上涨超过12.8%，大盘标普500指数本周迄今下跌1.4%，但2021年上涨近17.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's view on the market, however, is that investors are acting much more sedately and prudently, compared with the euphoria that was characteristic of the late 1990s and early 2000s dot-com boom.</p><p><blockquote>然而，伍德对市场的看法是，与20世纪90年代末和21世纪初互联网繁荣时期特有的兴奋相比，投资者的行为更加冷静和谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a bubble...and I remember the late '90s...our strategies would have been cheered on,\" she told the business network. \"You remember the leapfrogging of analysts making estimates one higher than the other, price targets one higher than the other,\" she said on \"Tech Check.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在泡沫中……我记得90年代末……我们的战略会受到欢呼，”她告诉商业网。她在“Tech Check”节目中表示：“你还记得分析师的预测一个比另一个高，价格目标一个比另一个高。”</blockquote></p><p> She also noted that negative sentiment in the market as a contra-indication, suggesting that growing pessimism may actually fuel further gains rather than inflating a bubble.</p><p><blockquote>她还指出，市场的负面情绪是一个禁忌症，这表明日益增长的悲观情绪实际上可能会推动进一步上涨，而不是吹大泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> \"I like bad news,\" she said.</p><p><blockquote>“我喜欢坏消息，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> \"When I see such negative sentiment out there, especially when it comes to valuation and longer time horizons, investment time horizons, I actually feel a little more comfortable,\" Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>伍德说：“当我看到这种负面情绪时，尤其是在估值和更长的时间范围、投资时间范围方面，我实际上感觉更舒服一些。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Ark's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nArk's Cathie Wood says stock market 'couldn't be further away from a bubble.' Here's why.<blockquote>Ark的凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，股市“离泡沫再远不过了”。原因如下。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-20 08:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Wood says she's emboldened by bad news</p><p><blockquote>伍德说她被坏消息鼓舞了</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b1e646cb0a6ddf4ac942ed5c913a4e4\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Cathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Cathie Wood，方舟投资管理公司首席执行官兼首席投资官</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There'a growing sense of unease emanating from equity markets in recent trade, despite, and perhaps because, of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 index trading near record heights.</p><p><blockquote>尽管道琼斯工业平均指数（Dow Jones Industrial Average）和标普500指数（Bank of America Index）接近历史新高，但在最近的交易中，人们越来越感到不安。</blockquote></p><p> However, star investor Cathie Wood, who runs a suite of popular ETFs in Ark Investment Management, says that there's no reason to fear that the market is becoming too bubblicious.</p><p><blockquote>然而，在Ark Investment Management经营一系列受欢迎的ETF的明星投资者凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)表示，没有理由担心市场变得过于泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> As the Ark founder puts it: \"I don't think we're in a bubble which is what I think many bears think we are,\" during a Thursday interview with CNBC near midday .</p><p><blockquote>正如方舟创始人在周四中午接受CNBC采访时所说：“我不认为我们处于泡沫之中，我认为许多空头认为我们处于泡沫之中。”</blockquote></p><p> Her comments coming amid intensifying worries about a possible slowdown in economic growth as the delta variant of COVID-19 gathers momentum, creating headwinds for a fuller recovery from the pandemic that has gripped the globe for well over a year.</p><p><blockquote>她发表此番言论之际，人们越来越担心随着COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株势头增强，经济增长可能放缓，这给从席卷全球一年多的大流行中全面复苏带来了阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also have been wringing their hands over the prospects of the Federal Reserve scaling back easy-money policies, notably the monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortage-backed securities, as anxieties grow.</p><p><blockquote>随着焦虑情绪的加剧，投资者也一直在担心美联储缩减宽松货币政策的前景，特别是每月购买1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's investment funds, highlighted by the flagship Ark Innovation, have been <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> area that has been cited as possibly overvalued and vulnerable to a dramatic swing lower if the market starts to deflate considerably from its current levels.</p><p><blockquote>伍德的投资基金，以旗舰Ark Innovation为重点，已<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>该区域被认为可能被高估，如果市场开始从当前水平大幅萎缩，则容易大幅走低。</blockquote></p><p> Ark Innovation ETF is down 5.2% so far this week and has lost 8.6% in the year to date, badly underperforming the broader market and coming after the fund rang up one-year return of 149%, FactSet data show.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet数据显示，Ark Innovation ETF本周迄今已下跌5.2%，今年迄今已下跌8.6%，表现严重逊于大盘，此前该基金的一年回报率达到149%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5cca916bae90134d64f9ba249031e782\" tg-width=\"949\" tg-height=\"666\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> By comparison , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1.8% this week but up 14% this year, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index is off 1.9% on the week but has risen over 12.8% so far in 2021, and the broad-market S&amp;P 500 index is off 1.4% in the week to date but boasts a nearly 17.3% gain for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，道琼斯工业平均指数本周下跌1.8%，但今年上涨14%，而科技含量较高的纳斯达克综合指数本周下跌1.9%，但2021年迄今已上涨超过12.8%，大盘标普500指数本周迄今下跌1.4%，但2021年上涨近17.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Wood's view on the market, however, is that investors are acting much more sedately and prudently, compared with the euphoria that was characteristic of the late 1990s and early 2000s dot-com boom.</p><p><blockquote>然而，伍德对市场的看法是，与20世纪90年代末和21世纪初互联网繁荣时期特有的兴奋相比，投资者的行为更加冷静和谨慎。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a bubble...and I remember the late '90s...our strategies would have been cheered on,\" she told the business network. \"You remember the leapfrogging of analysts making estimates one higher than the other, price targets one higher than the other,\" she said on \"Tech Check.\"</p><p><blockquote>“在泡沫中……我记得90年代末……我们的战略会受到欢呼，”她告诉商业网。她在“Tech Check”节目中表示：“你还记得分析师的预测一个比另一个高，价格目标一个比另一个高。”</blockquote></p><p> She also noted that negative sentiment in the market as a contra-indication, suggesting that growing pessimism may actually fuel further gains rather than inflating a bubble.</p><p><blockquote>她还指出，市场的负面情绪是一个禁忌症，这表明日益增长的悲观情绪实际上可能会推动进一步上涨，而不是吹大泡沫。</blockquote></p><p> \"I like bad news,\" she said.</p><p><blockquote>“我喜欢坏消息，”她说。</blockquote></p><p> \"When I see such negative sentiment out there, especially when it comes to valuation and longer time horizons, investment time horizons, I actually feel a little more comfortable,\" Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>伍德说：“当我看到这种负面情绪时，尤其是在估值和更长的时间范围、投资时间范围方面，我实际上感觉更舒服一些。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/arks-cathie-wood-says-stock-market-couldnt-be-further-away-from-a-bubble-heres-why-11629393761?adobe_mc=MCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1629420103\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/arks-cathie-wood-says-stock-market-couldnt-be-further-away-from-a-bubble-heres-why-11629393761?adobe_mc=MCORGID%3DCB68E4BA55144CAA0A4C98A5%2540AdobeOrg%7CTS%3D1629420103","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2160848793","content_text":"Wood says she's emboldened by bad news\nCathie Wood, chief executive officer and chief investment officer of ARK Investment Management\nThere'a growing sense of unease emanating from equity markets in recent trade, despite, and perhaps because, of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index trading near record heights.\nHowever, star investor Cathie Wood, who runs a suite of popular ETFs in Ark Investment Management, says that there's no reason to fear that the market is becoming too bubblicious.\nAs the Ark founder puts it: \"I don't think we're in a bubble which is what I think many bears think we are,\" during a Thursday interview with CNBC near midday .\nHer comments coming amid intensifying worries about a possible slowdown in economic growth as the delta variant of COVID-19 gathers momentum, creating headwinds for a fuller recovery from the pandemic that has gripped the globe for well over a year.\nInvestors also have been wringing their hands over the prospects of the Federal Reserve scaling back easy-money policies, notably the monthly purchases of $120 billion in Treasurys and mortage-backed securities, as anxieties grow.\nWood's investment funds, highlighted by the flagship Ark Innovation, have been one area that has been cited as possibly overvalued and vulnerable to a dramatic swing lower if the market starts to deflate considerably from its current levels.\nArk Innovation ETF is down 5.2% so far this week and has lost 8.6% in the year to date, badly underperforming the broader market and coming after the fund rang up one-year return of 149%, FactSet data show.\n\nBy comparison , the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 1.8% this week but up 14% this year, while the technology-laden Nasdaq Composite Index is off 1.9% on the week but has risen over 12.8% so far in 2021, and the broad-market S&P 500 index is off 1.4% in the week to date but boasts a nearly 17.3% gain for 2021.\nWood's view on the market, however, is that investors are acting much more sedately and prudently, compared with the euphoria that was characteristic of the late 1990s and early 2000s dot-com boom.\n\"In a bubble...and I remember the late '90s...our strategies would have been cheered on,\" she told the business network. \"You remember the leapfrogging of analysts making estimates one higher than the other, price targets one higher than the other,\" she said on \"Tech Check.\"\nShe also noted that negative sentiment in the market as a contra-indication, suggesting that growing pessimism may actually fuel further gains rather than inflating a bubble.\n\"I like bad news,\" she said.\n\"When I see such negative sentiment out there, especially when it comes to valuation and longer time horizons, investment time horizons, I actually feel a little more comfortable,\" Wood said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ARKIU":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898303709,"gmtCreate":1628471700601,"gmtModify":1633746969475,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"BNTX had gone up a lot. I think the earningsare already priced into the share price. Well,let’s see.&nbsp;","listText":"BNTX had gone up a lot. I think the earningsare already priced into the share price. Well,let’s see.&nbsp;","text":"BNTX had gone up a lot. I think the earningsare already priced into the share price. Well,let’s see.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898303709","repostId":"1162909436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162909436","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628463995,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162909436?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162909436","media":"Barron's","summary":"The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports re","content":"<p>The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror,&nbsp;but several notable reports remain.&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings,&nbsp;BioNTech, and&nbsp;Dish Network&nbsp;will be Monday’s highlights.&nbsp;Coinbase&nbsp;Global and&nbsp;Syscogo on Tuesday. On Wednesday,&nbsp;eBay&nbsp;will report, followed by Walt&nbsp;Disney,&nbsp;Airbnb,&nbsp;DoorDash,&nbsp;and&nbsp;Broadridge Financial Solutionson Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度财报季的大部分内容已经成为过去，但几份值得注意的报告仍然存在。AMC院线控股、BioNTech和Dish Network将是周一的亮点。比特币基地全球和Syscogo周二。周三，eBay将发布报告，随后华特迪士尼、爱彼迎、DoorDash和Broadridge Financial Solutions将于周四发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> The week’s economic calendar will include a pair of updates each on consumer and business inflation and sentiment. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will&nbsp;report&nbsp;the consumer price index for July, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. Those are expected to have increased by 5.3% and 7.3%, respectively, year over year.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济日历将包括两个关于消费者和企业通胀和情绪的更新。周三，美国劳工统计局将公布7月份消费者价格指数，周四将公布生产者价格指数。预计同比分别增长5.3%和7.3%。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for July. And on Friday, the University of Michigan reports its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Both are forecast to hold roughly even with the prior months’ figures.</p><p><blockquote>周二，全国独立企业联合会将发布7月份小企业乐观指数。周五，密歇根大学公布了8月份的消费者信心指数。预计两者都将与前几个月的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Monday 8/9</b></h3> Air Products and Chemicals,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>,&nbsp;Barrick Gold,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">DISH Network</a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a>&nbsp;report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期一8/9</b></h3>空气产品和化学品公司，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>、巴里克黄金、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">碟形网络</a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics</b>&nbsp;reports the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for June. Economists forecast 9.1 million openings on the last business day of June, slightly less than the May figure. Job openings stand at record levels as employers struggle to fill vacant positions.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局</b>报告六月份的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测6月份最后一个工作日将有910万个职位空缺，略低于5月份的数字。由于雇主难以填补空缺职位，职位空缺达到创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Tuesday 8/10</b></h3> <b>The National Federation of Independent Business</b>&nbsp;reports its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 102.8 reading, roughly even with the June data, which was the highest since October.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期二8/10</b></h3><b>全国独立企业联合会</b>报告7月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为102.8，与6月份的数据大致持平，后者是10月份以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>公布收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports unit labor</b>&nbsp;costs and nonfarm productivity for the second quarter. Expectations are for a rise of 0.9% in labor costs and 3.4% for productivity. This compares with increases of 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively, in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告单位劳动力</b>第二季度成本和非农生产率。预计劳动力成本将上升0.9%，生产率将上升3.4%。相比之下，第一季度分别增长1.7%和5.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Wednesday 8/11</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo Co PLC</a> release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期三8/11</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">佩里戈公司</a>发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the consumer</b>&nbsp;price index for July. Economists forecast a 5.3% increase year over year, after a gain of 5.4% in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.3%, compared with 4.5% previously. Inflation, and whether it is transitory, has generated much discussion on Wall Street this year, with the June CPI showing the fastest pace of growth since July 2008 and core CPI rising at the swiftest clip in nearly 30 years.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告消费者</b>7月份价格指数。继6月份增长5.4%后，经济学家预测同比增长5.3%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计上涨4.3%，前值为4.5%。通货膨胀以及它是否是暂时的，今年在华尔街引起了很多讨论，6月份CPI显示出自2008年7月以来最快的增长速度，核心CPI以近30年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Treasury Department</b>&nbsp;releases the monthly budget statement for July. The estimated deficit is $267 billion for the month, and $3 trillion for fiscal 2021, which ends in September. The $3 trillion would be just shy of fiscal 2020’s $3.1 trillion deficit, a record.</p><p><blockquote><b>财政部</b>发布7月份的月度预算报表。预计本月赤字为2670亿美元，截至9月的2021财年赤字为3万亿美元。这3万亿美元将略低于2020财年创纪录的3.1万亿美元赤字。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Thursday 8/12</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">Airbnb, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">Broadridge Financial Solutions</a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">Brookfield Asset Management</a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash, Inc.</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期四8/12</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">爱彼迎公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">布罗德里奇金融解决方案</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">布鲁克菲尔德资产管理公司</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash公司。</a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>召开会议评级讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p> Idexx Laboratorieshosts its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>IDEXX Laboratories举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the</b>&nbsp;producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 0.4% month-over-month rise. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to increase 0.5%. The PPI and core PPI, both jumped 1% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告说</b>7月份生产者价格指数。普遍估计环比增长0.4%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心PPI预计将上涨0.5%。6月份PPI和核心PPI均上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the weekend ending on Aug. 7. In July, claims averaged 392,000 a week, slightly less than the June data. Jobless claims have trended down since peaking in the spring of 2020 but remain elevated compared with prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至8月7日的周末首次申请失业救济人数。7月份，平均每周申请失业救济人数为39.2万人，略低于6月份的数据。自2020年春季达到峰值以来，申请失业救济人数呈下降趋势，但与大流行前的水平相比仍处于较高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Friday 8/13</b></h3> <b>The University of Michigan</b>&nbsp;releases its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Expectations are for an 81.1 reading, roughly even with the July figure.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期五8/13</b></h3><b>密歇根大学</b>发布8月份消费者信心指数。预期为81.1，与7月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 07:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror,&nbsp;but several notable reports remain.&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings,&nbsp;BioNTech, and&nbsp;Dish Network&nbsp;will be Monday’s highlights.&nbsp;Coinbase&nbsp;Global and&nbsp;Syscogo on Tuesday. On Wednesday,&nbsp;eBay&nbsp;will report, followed by Walt&nbsp;Disney,&nbsp;Airbnb,&nbsp;DoorDash,&nbsp;and&nbsp;Broadridge Financial Solutionson Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度财报季的大部分内容已经成为过去，但几份值得注意的报告仍然存在。AMC院线控股、BioNTech和Dish Network将是周一的亮点。比特币基地全球和Syscogo周二。周三，eBay将发布报告，随后华特迪士尼、爱彼迎、DoorDash和Broadridge Financial Solutions将于周四发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> The week’s economic calendar will include a pair of updates each on consumer and business inflation and sentiment. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will&nbsp;report&nbsp;the consumer price index for July, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. Those are expected to have increased by 5.3% and 7.3%, respectively, year over year.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济日历将包括两个关于消费者和企业通胀和情绪的更新。周三，美国劳工统计局将公布7月份消费者价格指数，周四将公布生产者价格指数。预计同比分别增长5.3%和7.3%。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for July. And on Friday, the University of Michigan reports its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Both are forecast to hold roughly even with the prior months’ figures.</p><p><blockquote>周二，全国独立企业联合会将发布7月份小企业乐观指数。周五，密歇根大学公布了8月份的消费者信心指数。预计两者都将与前几个月的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Monday 8/9</b></h3> Air Products and Chemicals,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>,&nbsp;Barrick Gold,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">DISH Network</a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a>&nbsp;report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期一8/9</b></h3>空气产品和化学品公司，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>、巴里克黄金、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">碟形网络</a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics</b>&nbsp;reports the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for June. Economists forecast 9.1 million openings on the last business day of June, slightly less than the May figure. Job openings stand at record levels as employers struggle to fill vacant positions.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局</b>报告六月份的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测6月份最后一个工作日将有910万个职位空缺，略低于5月份的数字。由于雇主难以填补空缺职位，职位空缺达到创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Tuesday 8/10</b></h3> <b>The National Federation of Independent Business</b>&nbsp;reports its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 102.8 reading, roughly even with the June data, which was the highest since October.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期二8/10</b></h3><b>全国独立企业联合会</b>报告7月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为102.8，与6月份的数据大致持平，后者是10月份以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>公布收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports unit labor</b>&nbsp;costs and nonfarm productivity for the second quarter. Expectations are for a rise of 0.9% in labor costs and 3.4% for productivity. This compares with increases of 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively, in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告单位劳动力</b>第二季度成本和非农生产率。预计劳动力成本将上升0.9%，生产率将上升3.4%。相比之下，第一季度分别增长1.7%和5.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Wednesday 8/11</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo Co PLC</a> release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期三8/11</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">佩里戈公司</a>发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the consumer</b>&nbsp;price index for July. Economists forecast a 5.3% increase year over year, after a gain of 5.4% in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.3%, compared with 4.5% previously. Inflation, and whether it is transitory, has generated much discussion on Wall Street this year, with the June CPI showing the fastest pace of growth since July 2008 and core CPI rising at the swiftest clip in nearly 30 years.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告消费者</b>7月份价格指数。继6月份增长5.4%后，经济学家预测同比增长5.3%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计上涨4.3%，前值为4.5%。通货膨胀以及它是否是暂时的，今年在华尔街引起了很多讨论，6月份CPI显示出自2008年7月以来最快的增长速度，核心CPI以近30年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Treasury Department</b>&nbsp;releases the monthly budget statement for July. The estimated deficit is $267 billion for the month, and $3 trillion for fiscal 2021, which ends in September. The $3 trillion would be just shy of fiscal 2020’s $3.1 trillion deficit, a record.</p><p><blockquote><b>财政部</b>发布7月份的月度预算报表。预计本月赤字为2670亿美元，截至9月的2021财年赤字为3万亿美元。这3万亿美元将略低于2020财年创纪录的3.1万亿美元赤字。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Thursday 8/12</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">Airbnb, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">Broadridge Financial Solutions</a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">Brookfield Asset Management</a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash, Inc.</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期四8/12</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">爱彼迎公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">布罗德里奇金融解决方案</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">布鲁克菲尔德资产管理公司</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash公司。</a>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>召开会议评级讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p> Idexx Laboratorieshosts its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>IDEXX Laboratories举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the</b>&nbsp;producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 0.4% month-over-month rise. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to increase 0.5%. The PPI and core PPI, both jumped 1% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告说</b>7月份生产者价格指数。普遍估计环比增长0.4%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心PPI预计将上涨0.5%。6月份PPI和核心PPI均上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the weekend ending on Aug. 7. In July, claims averaged 392,000 a week, slightly less than the June data. Jobless claims have trended down since peaking in the spring of 2020 but remain elevated compared with prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至8月7日的周末首次申请失业救济人数。7月份，平均每周申请失业救济人数为39.2万人，略低于6月份的数据。自2020年春季达到峰值以来，申请失业救济人数呈下降趋势，但与大流行前的水平相比仍处于较高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Friday 8/13</b></h3> <b>The University of Michigan</b>&nbsp;releases its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Expectations are for an 81.1 reading, roughly even with the July figure.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期五8/13</b></h3><b>密歇根大学</b>发布8月份消费者信心指数。预期为81.1，与7月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-amc-coinbase-airbnb-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51628449233?mod=hp_LEAD_4?mod=article_signInButton\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PRGO":"百利高","AMC":"AMC院线","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","ABNB":"爱彼迎","TDG":"TransDigm","BAM":"布鲁克菲尔德资产管理","DIS":"迪士尼","BR":"Broadridge金融解决方案","EBAY":"eBay",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-amc-coinbase-airbnb-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51628449233?mod=hp_LEAD_4?mod=article_signInButton","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162909436","content_text":"The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports remain. AMC Entertainment Holdings, BioNTech, and Dish Network will be Monday’s highlights. Coinbase Global and Syscogo on Tuesday. On Wednesday, eBay will report, followed by Walt Disney, Airbnb, DoorDash, and Broadridge Financial Solutionson Thursday.\nThe week’s economic calendar will include a pair of updates each on consumer and business inflation and sentiment. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for July, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. Those are expected to have increased by 5.3% and 7.3%, respectively, year over year.\nOn Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for July. And on Friday, the University of Michigan reports its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Both are forecast to hold roughly even with the prior months’ figures.\nMonday 8/9\nAir Products and Chemicals, AMC Entertainment, Barrick Gold, BioNTech SE, DISH Network, and Tyson report quarterly results.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for June. Economists forecast 9.1 million openings on the last business day of June, slightly less than the May figure. Job openings stand at record levels as employers struggle to fill vacant positions.\nTuesday 8/10\nThe National Federation of Independent Business reports its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 102.8 reading, roughly even with the June data, which was the highest since October.\nCoinbase Global, Inc., Sysco, and TransDigm announce earnings.\nThe BLS reports unit labor costs and nonfarm productivity for the second quarter. Expectations are for a rise of 0.9% in labor costs and 3.4% for productivity. This compares with increases of 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively, in the first quarter.\nWednesday 8/11\neBay and Perrigo Co PLC release quarterly results.\nThe BLS reports the consumer price index for July. Economists forecast a 5.3% increase year over year, after a gain of 5.4% in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.3%, compared with 4.5% previously. Inflation, and whether it is transitory, has generated much discussion on Wall Street this year, with the June CPI showing the fastest pace of growth since July 2008 and core CPI rising at the swiftest clip in nearly 30 years.\nThe Treasury Department releases the monthly budget statement for July. The estimated deficit is $267 billion for the month, and $3 trillion for fiscal 2021, which ends in September. The $3 trillion would be just shy of fiscal 2020’s $3.1 trillion deficit, a record.\nThursday 8/12\nAirbnb, Inc., Broadridge Financial Solutions, Brookfield Asset Management, DoorDash, Inc., and Walt Disney hold conference calls to discuss earnings.\nIdexx Laboratorieshosts its 2021 virtual investor day.\nThe BLS reports the producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 0.4% month-over-month rise. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to increase 0.5%. The PPI and core PPI, both jumped 1% in June.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the weekend ending on Aug. 7. In July, claims averaged 392,000 a week, slightly less than the June data. Jobless claims have trended down since peaking in the spring of 2020 but remain elevated compared with prepandemic levels.\nFriday 8/13\nThe University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Expectations are for an 81.1 reading, roughly even with the July figure.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BR":0.9,"PRGO":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"AMC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"TDG":0.9,"BAM":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"DIS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"ABNB":0.9,"EBAY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177361410,"gmtCreate":1627181308630,"gmtModify":1631883896147,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tesla is definitely the bigger one right now. But NIO in my opinion has more growth potential&nbsp;","listText":"Tesla is definitely the bigger one right now. But NIO in my opinion has more growth potential&nbsp;","text":"Tesla is definitely the bigger one right now. But NIO in my opinion has more growth potential","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177361410","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171559899,"gmtCreate":1626751828011,"gmtModify":1633771365822,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This explains why the vaccine stocks are 🚀🚀🚀","listText":"This explains why the vaccine stocks are 🚀🚀🚀","text":"This explains why the vaccine stocks are 🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171559899","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146378974,"gmtCreate":1626056080198,"gmtModify":1633930577275,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146378974","repostId":"1114863871","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":824300772,"gmtCreate":1634275419832,"gmtModify":1634275420026,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will it sustain?","listText":"Will it sustain?","text":"Will it sustain?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824300772","repostId":"1129314610","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129314610","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634253682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129314610?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 07:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升，盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129314610","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since earl","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-标普500周四跳涨，创3月初以来最大单日百分比涨幅，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>在强劲的业绩后攀升，而劳动力市场和通胀数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&amp;P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%，给标普500带来最大提振，股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&amp;P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金，而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%，此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩，并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点，另一份报告显示，9月份生产者价格有所放缓，这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明，新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此，美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示：“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情，就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言，可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了，但至少在暂时的范围内，你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&amp;P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点，涨幅1.56%，至34,912.56点；标普500上涨74.46点，涨幅1.71%，至4,438.26点；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点，或1.73%，至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅，但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅，道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&amp;P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛，除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示，Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%，此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期，并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长，但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1；在纳斯达克，1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升，盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 surges, biggest daily percentage rise since March on earnings, data<blockquote>标普500股价飙升，盈利和数据创3月份以来最大单日百分比涨幅</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 07:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">UnitedHealth</a> climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（路透社）-标普500周四跳涨，创3月初以来最大单日百分比涨幅，包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNH\">联合健康</a>在强劲的业绩后攀升，而劳动力市场和通胀数据缓解了对加息前景的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&amp;P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc rising.</p><p><blockquote>科技板块上涨2.3%，给标普500带来最大提振，股价为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>公司崛起。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&amp;P bank index jumped 1.5%.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>,$美国银行(BAC-N)$和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>在超出季度盈利预期后也有所上涨。经济的反弹使他们能够释放更多为疫情损失预留的现金，而火热的交易、股权融资和交易增加了利润。标准普尔银行指数上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.</p><p><blockquote>此外，联合健康集团(UnitedHealth Group Inc)股价上涨4.2%，此前该健康保险公司公布了业绩，并因其管理药品福利的Optum部门的实力而上调了全年调整后利润预测。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.</p><p><blockquote>数据显示，上周美国新申请失业救济人数降至接近19个月低点，另一份报告显示，9月份生产者价格有所放缓，这增加了乐观情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Data from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.</p><p><blockquote>最近通胀报告的数据表明，新冠疫情推动的价格上涨可能已经见顶。尽管如此，美联储政策制定者在通胀以及如何应对通胀问题上仍存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> “Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc.总裁Alan Lancz表示：“9月份甚至上周令市场担忧的一些事情，就通胀、利率上升和德尔塔变异毒株而言，可能已经有所缓解。”</blockquote></p><p> “Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”</p><p><blockquote>“并不是说一切都结束了，但至少在暂时的范围内，你可以证明它正朝着正确的方向发展。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&amp;P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨534.75点，涨幅1.56%，至34,912.56点；标普500上涨74.46点，涨幅1.71%，至4,438.26点；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>综合指数上涨251.8点，或1.73%，至14,823.43点。</blockquote></p><p> While the S&amp;P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.</p><p><blockquote>虽然标普500创下3月5日以来最大单日百分比涨幅，但纳斯达克创下5月20日以来最大涨幅，道琼斯指数创下7月20日以来最大涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> Gains were broad-based, with all but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> S&amp;P 500 sector rising more than 1%.</p><p><blockquote>收益基础广泛，除了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>标普500板块涨超1%。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.</p><p><blockquote>美国专家顾问小组表示，Moderna Inc.的股价最终上涨3.2%。美国食品药品监督管理局投票建议为65岁及以上的美国人和患有严重疾病的高风险人群注射新冠肺炎疫苗。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a> Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>Inc股价上涨7.4%，此前这家连锁药店公布第四季度营收和调整后利润高于预期，并预测长期增长率为11%至13%。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.</p><p><blockquote>预计美国企业将公布第三季度强劲的利润增长，但投资者一直渴望听到他们对成本上升、劳动力短缺和供应问题的看法。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为3.58比1；在纳斯达克，1.97比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下32个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和46个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为108亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-surges-biggest-daily-percentage-rise-since-march-on-earnings-data-idUSL1N2RA2WC","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129314610","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 jumped on Thursday, its biggest daily percentage advance since early March, as companies including Morgan Stanley and UnitedHealth climbed following strong results, while data on the labor market and inflation soothed fears over the outlook for higher rates.\nThe technology sector jumped 2.3%, giving the S&P 500 its biggest boost, with shares of Microsoft Corp and Apple Inc rising.\nShares of Citigroup, $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$ and Morgan Stanley also gained after they topped quarterly earnings estimates. The rebounding economy allowed them to release more cash they had set aside for pandemic losses, while sizzling deals, equity financing and trading added to profits. The S&P bank index jumped 1.5%.\nAlso, UnitedHealth Group Inc climbed 4.2% after the health insurer reported results and raised its full-year adjusted profit forecast on strength from its Optum unit that manages drug benefits.\nAdding to optimism, data showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits last week fell close to a 19-month low, and a separate report showed producer prices eased in September.\nData from recent inflation reports suggested COVID-driven price increases may have peaked. Still, Federal Reserve policymakers remain divided over inflation and what to do about it.\n“Some of the things that worried the market in September, and even last week, as far as the inflation aspect and higher interest rates and the Delta variant, maybe have lessened,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc., an investment advisory firm, based in Toledo, Ohio.\n“Not that it’s all over, but on a temporary scale at least, you can make a case for it trending in the right direction.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.75 points, or 1.56%, to 34,912.56, the S&P 500 gained 74.46 points, or 1.71%, to 4,438.26 and the Nasdaq Composite added 251.8 points, or 1.73%, to 14,823.43.\nWhile the S&P 500 registered its biggest daily percentage gain since March 5, the Nasdaq notched its biggest since May 20 and the Dow its biggest since July 20.\nGains were broad-based, with all but one S&P 500 sector rising more than 1%.\nShares of Moderna Inc ended up 3.2% after a panel of expert advisers to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration voted to recommend booster shots of its COVID-19 vaccine for Americans aged 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc jumped 7.4% after the drugstore chain reported fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted profit above estimates and forecast growth of 11% to 13% in the long term.\nU.S. companies are expected to report strong profit growth for the third quarter, but investors have been keen to hear what they say about rising costs, labor shortages and supply problems.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.58-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.97-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 32 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 46 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.26 billion shares, compared with the 10.8 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPXU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":885656629,"gmtCreate":1631790007861,"gmtModify":1631890832899,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple. Because Micro…soft","listText":"Apple. Because Micro…soft","text":"Apple. Because Micro…soft","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885656629","repostId":"1126607843","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126607843","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631785252,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126607843?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-16 17:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Vs. Microsoft: Who Is Inclined To Fall Harder In Case Of Correction<blockquote>苹果Vs。微软：在修正的情况下，谁更容易跌倒</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126607843","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nObjectively, the likelihood of a significant correction in the stock market now deserves at","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Objectively, the likelihood of a significant correction in the stock market now deserves attention.</li>  <li>In the recent past, Apple and Microsoft have responded differently to a significant decline in the stock market.</li>  <li>Apple and&nbsp;Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.</li>  <li>In the event of a hypothetical correction, Microsoft's potential for falling is lower than Apple's.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a07b4e98bb726c0044932fc29b3089b3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>vicnt/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>客观而言，现在股市大幅回调的可能性值得关注。</li><li>最近，苹果和微软对股市大幅下跌的反应不同。</li><li>苹果和微软在未来现金流方面往往被低估，而在潜在股息方面则被高估。</li><li>在假设回调的情况下，微软下跌的可能性低于苹果。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>vicnt/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>As an introduction...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>作为介绍...</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the last major correction in the US stock market ended in March 2020, the Nasdaq index has risen nearly 170%:</p><p><blockquote>自2020年3月美股上一次大回调结束以来，纳斯达克指数累计上涨近170%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05a849f8e9ddf15f484770a5f0227fcd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For a year and a half, this is a very strong result, considering that the average annual total price return of the index over the past decade does not exceed 20%.<i>This fact alone makes us estimate the likelihood of a new significant correction in the stock market higher.</i></p><p><blockquote>对于一年半来说，考虑到该指数过去十年的年均总价格回报率不超过20%，这是一个非常强劲的结果。<i>仅这一事实就让我们估计股市有可能出现新的大幅回调。</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37eb0178d9d463c7419b99632a6ec614\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In addition, there are other factors that make us wary of the current price level of the market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，还有其他因素让我们对市场目前的价格水平保持警惕。</blockquote></p><p> First, this year there is a record inflow of liquidity to the stock market. I'm not talking about the reasons now, they are obvious. But this fact alone makes the market extremely volatile:</p><p><blockquote>首先，今年流入股市的流动性创历史新高。我现在不说原因，很明显。但仅这一事实就让市场异常波动：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10623d7cecd8dec70bb229b809458b68\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"918\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bank of America</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国银行</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Second, the relative size of the US stock market has exceeded 200% of nominal GDP. In principle, this is not a fundamental limit. But it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level. And most likely, in this context, a reversal is&nbsp;already outlined.</p><p><blockquote>第二，美国股市的相对规模已经超过名义GDP的200%。原则上，这不是一个根本性的限制。但正是超软货币政策让美国股市达到了目前的创纪录水平。最有可能的是，在这种情况下，逆转已经出现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f69cd6450737ddf3e5fcbd6406c793ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And finally the third. The macrocycle also allows us to expect the market to enter a phase of increased volatility and tightening of monetary policy:</p><p><blockquote>最后是第三个。宏观周期也让我们预计市场将进入波动加剧和货币政策收紧的阶段：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d6a6a794dde6f4e1d3e6e9149b55060\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So, objectively, the likelihood of the next correction of the stock market at least deserves attention. And in this context, I propose to answer the question:<i>in case of a correction, which company is inclined to fall harder - Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT)?</i></p><p><blockquote>所以，客观而言，股市下一次回调的可能性至少值得关注。在这种情况下，我建议回答这个问题：<i>如果出现调整，苹果（AAPL）和微软（MSFT）哪家公司的跌幅更大？</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Apple vs. Microsoft?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么是苹果对微软？</b></blockquote></p><p> The decision to compare exactly these two companies was dictated by two factors.</p><p><blockquote>准确比较这两家公司的决定由两个因素决定。</blockquote></p><p> Firstly, these are the two largest companies in the tech sector, together accounting for more than 10% of the total capitalization of the US stock market. These companies are so large that, in principle, their dynamics alone can cause a new wave of correction:</p><p><blockquote>首先，这是科技行业最大的两家公司，合计占美国股市总市值的10%以上。这些公司规模如此之大，以至于原则上，仅凭它们的动态就可以引发新一波的调整：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3ef401b67c298ecbd9d56d31fc6927\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31417d34d6eacb724c20b3a274068467\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Secondly, both companies pay dividends. In matters of fundamental valuation, this factor plays a significant role.</p><p><blockquote>其次，两家公司都支付股息。在基本面估值方面，这一因素发挥着重要作用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Some Statistics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些统计数据</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with, let's take a look at what price dynamics both companies have shown during strong market fluctuations in the recent past.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们来看看两家公司在近期市场剧烈波动期间表现出的价格动态。</blockquote></p><p> To do this, I have broken the three-year span into eight periods of market movement:</p><p><blockquote>为了做到这一点，我将三年的时间跨度分为八个市场运动时期：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edfd9dec91d94990cf5217aa649758ac\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"578\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView, Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView，作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are the results that companies have shown in each of the periods:</p><p><blockquote>以下是公司在每个时期显示的结果：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/868067f19c2251bfdb0658a251596fcc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> At first glance, the statistics are unambiguous:<i>during periods of correction, the price of Microsoft tends to decrease less than that of Apple.</i>But on the other hand, Apple has consistently performed better during periods of market growth. And in this case, the result obtained can simply be explained by the technical factors of the market behavior.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，统计数据毫不含糊：<i>在回调期间，微软价格的跌幅往往小于苹果。</i>但另一方面，苹果在市场增长时期的表现一直更好。并且在这种情况下，得到的结果可以简单地用市场行为的技术因素来解释。</blockquote></p><p> But in the current period of growth, both companies demonstrate approximately the same return. And therefore, here we do not find a clue to our question...</p><p><blockquote>但在当前的增长期，两家公司的回报大致相同。因此，在这里我们找不到问题的线索...</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本原则</b></blockquote></p><p> Exclusively in an investment context, the price of a company's share can be viewed from two points of view.</p><p><blockquote>仅在投资背景下，公司股票的价格可以从两个角度来看待。</blockquote></p><p> On the one hand, the price reflects the present value of the company's&nbsp;<b>future cash flow</b>. On the other hand, the price is the present value of the sum of&nbsp;<b>all potential dividends</b>that the company will pay in the future. Let's model these prices for Apple and Microsoft. And for this I will build, respectively, the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Dividend Discount Model.</p><p><blockquote>价格一方面反映了公司的现值<b>未来现金流量</b>另一方面，价格是以下各项之和的现值<b>所有潜在股息</b>公司未来将支付的费用。让我们对苹果和微软的价格进行建模。为此，我将分别建立贴现现金流模型和股息贴现模型。</blockquote></p><p> In order for the models to be less subjective, I will take as a basis the average expectations of analysts regarding the revenue and EPS of the companies in the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>为了使模型不那么主观，我将以分析师对公司未来十年收入和每股收益的平均预期为基础。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start with&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>. Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>让我们从<b>苹果</b>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f8fc4e5dc7025dd1227ea5279073aa5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notes:</p><p><blockquote>附注：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.33%).</li>  <li>I used the current&nbsp;value&nbsp;of the three-year beta coefficient. For a terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li>  <li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2020 divided by the average debt in 2019 and 2018.</li> </ul> Here is the DCF model:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.33%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2020年的利息支出除以2019年和2018年的平均债务。</li></ul>以下是DCF模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bfb45a9125bb1f465cd34a6a8a6d06a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The DCF-based target price for Apple's shares is about $181 (+22%).</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基于DCF的苹果股票目标价约为181美元（+22%）。</b></blockquote></p><p> In the case of Apple, when building the Dividend Discount Model it is also necessary to take into account the fact that the company continues to actively buy back:</p><p><blockquote>以苹果为例，在构建股息贴现模型时还需要考虑公司持续积极回购的事实：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d84076d0fc1bb5dbec8c1e6e19434153\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Continuing the current dynamics, the model assumes that by the terminal year the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 13.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>继续当前的动态，该模型假设到最后一年，稀释后的股票数量将减少至135亿股。</blockquote></p><p> Apple spends an average of 25% of its net income on dividends. I assume that the payout ratio will remain at this level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果平均将净利润的25%用于股息。我假设派息率将保持在这个水平。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the Dividend Discount Model itself:</p><p><blockquote>以下是股息折扣模型本身：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8990a8299cc0652d77815710f0ab427\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"292\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>The DDM-based target price for Apple's shares is $69 (-54%).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>基于DDM的苹果股票目标价为69美元（-54%）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> Now let's take a look at Microsoft.</p><p><blockquote>现在我们来看看微软。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the calculation of the WACC:</p><p><blockquote>以下是WACC的计算：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15889e90904c69497b749f28bd64190f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And here is the DCF model:</p><p><blockquote>这是DCF模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dca7339e43f534807bf043b1931e1db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"506\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The DCF-based target price for Microsoft's shares is about $353 (+18%).</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基于DCF的微软股票目标价约为353美元（+18%）。</b></blockquote></p><p> Microsoft is also actively buying back shares:</p><p><blockquote>微软也在积极回购股票：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1deec463f584b5eb7913d72938d3e1ca\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I proceed from the assumption that the dynamics of the last two years will continue, and by the terminal year, the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 7.2 billion.</p><p><blockquote>我假设过去两年的动态将持续下去，到最后一年，稀释后的股票数量将减少到72亿股。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the Dividend Discount Model:</p><p><blockquote>以下是股息折扣模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c863b92e948f78e518d5619b44647d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>The DDM-based target price for Microsoft's shares is $203 (-32%).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>基于DDM的微软股票目标价为203美元（-32%）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> Let's summarize:</p><p><blockquote>我们来总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84b527d82270843e021a89a9ecdf68e6\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"212\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that I have already been observing similar results in the case of these companies for a long time. I mean, Apple and Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，我长期以来一直在观察这些公司的类似结果。我的意思是，苹果和微软在未来现金流方面往往被低估，而在潜在股息方面则被高估。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> This suggests that during periods of market growth, investors are not particularly inclined to pay attention to dividends. Moreover, most likely dividends are perceived simply as a bonus.</p><p><blockquote>这表明，在市场增长期间，投资者并不特别倾向于关注股息。此外，最有可能的股息被简单地视为奖金。</blockquote></p><p> But during periods of market correction, the present value of potential dividends is the minimum level below which it is difficult for the price to fall. And in this context, I think Microsoft is in a better position than Apple.</p><p><blockquote>但在市场调整期间，潜在股息的现值是价格难以下跌的最低水平。在这种背景下，我认为微软比苹果处于更好的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> At the current stage of the market cycle, when the likelihood of a correction has gone beyond formal, in my opinion, investing in Microsoft is less risky compared to Apple.</p><p><blockquote>在市场周期的当前阶段，当回调的可能性已经超出形式时，在我看来，与苹果相比，投资微软的风险较小。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Vs. Microsoft: Who Is Inclined To Fall Harder In Case Of Correction<blockquote>苹果Vs。微软：在修正的情况下，谁更容易跌倒</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Vs. Microsoft: Who Is Inclined To Fall Harder In Case Of Correction<blockquote>苹果Vs。微软：在修正的情况下，谁更容易跌倒</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-16 17:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Objectively, the likelihood of a significant correction in the stock market now deserves attention.</li>  <li>In the recent past, Apple and Microsoft have responded differently to a significant decline in the stock market.</li>  <li>Apple and&nbsp;Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.</li>  <li>In the event of a hypothetical correction, Microsoft's potential for falling is lower than Apple's.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a07b4e98bb726c0044932fc29b3089b3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1208\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>vicnt/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>客观而言，现在股市大幅回调的可能性值得关注。</li><li>最近，苹果和微软对股市大幅下跌的反应不同。</li><li>苹果和微软在未来现金流方面往往被低估，而在潜在股息方面则被高估。</li><li>在假设回调的情况下，微软下跌的可能性低于苹果。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>vicnt/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>As an introduction...</b></p><p><blockquote><b>作为介绍...</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the last major correction in the US stock market ended in March 2020, the Nasdaq index has risen nearly 170%:</p><p><blockquote>自2020年3月美股上一次大回调结束以来，纳斯达克指数累计上涨近170%：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05a849f8e9ddf15f484770a5f0227fcd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For a year and a half, this is a very strong result, considering that the average annual total price return of the index over the past decade does not exceed 20%.<i>This fact alone makes us estimate the likelihood of a new significant correction in the stock market higher.</i></p><p><blockquote>对于一年半来说，考虑到该指数过去十年的年均总价格回报率不超过20%，这是一个非常强劲的结果。<i>仅这一事实就让我们估计股市有可能出现新的大幅回调。</i></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37eb0178d9d463c7419b99632a6ec614\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In addition, there are other factors that make us wary of the current price level of the market.</p><p><blockquote>此外，还有其他因素让我们对市场目前的价格水平保持警惕。</blockquote></p><p> First, this year there is a record inflow of liquidity to the stock market. I'm not talking about the reasons now, they are obvious. But this fact alone makes the market extremely volatile:</p><p><blockquote>首先，今年流入股市的流动性创历史新高。我现在不说原因，很明显。但仅这一事实就让市场异常波动：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/10623d7cecd8dec70bb229b809458b68\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"918\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bank of America</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：美国银行</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Second, the relative size of the US stock market has exceeded 200% of nominal GDP. In principle, this is not a fundamental limit. But it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level. And most likely, in this context, a reversal is&nbsp;already outlined.</p><p><blockquote>第二，美国股市的相对规模已经超过名义GDP的200%。原则上，这不是一个根本性的限制。但正是超软货币政策让美国股市达到了目前的创纪录水平。最有可能的是，在这种情况下，逆转已经出现。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f69cd6450737ddf3e5fcbd6406c793ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And finally the third. The macrocycle also allows us to expect the market to enter a phase of increased volatility and tightening of monetary policy:</p><p><blockquote>最后是第三个。宏观周期也让我们预计市场将进入波动加剧和货币政策收紧的阶段：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d6a6a794dde6f4e1d3e6e9149b55060\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So, objectively, the likelihood of the next correction of the stock market at least deserves attention. And in this context, I propose to answer the question:<i>in case of a correction, which company is inclined to fall harder - Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT)?</i></p><p><blockquote>所以，客观而言，股市下一次回调的可能性至少值得关注。在这种情况下，我建议回答这个问题：<i>如果出现调整，苹果（AAPL）和微软（MSFT）哪家公司的跌幅更大？</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Apple vs. Microsoft?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么是苹果对微软？</b></blockquote></p><p> The decision to compare exactly these two companies was dictated by two factors.</p><p><blockquote>准确比较这两家公司的决定由两个因素决定。</blockquote></p><p> Firstly, these are the two largest companies in the tech sector, together accounting for more than 10% of the total capitalization of the US stock market. These companies are so large that, in principle, their dynamics alone can cause a new wave of correction:</p><p><blockquote>首先，这是科技行业最大的两家公司，合计占美国股市总市值的10%以上。这些公司规模如此之大，以至于原则上，仅凭它们的动态就可以引发新一波的调整：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3ef401b67c298ecbd9d56d31fc6927\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31417d34d6eacb724c20b3a274068467\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: VisualizedAnalytics</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：VisualizedAnalytics</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Secondly, both companies pay dividends. In matters of fundamental valuation, this factor plays a significant role.</p><p><blockquote>其次，两家公司都支付股息。在基本面估值方面，这一因素发挥着重要作用。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Some Statistics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>一些统计数据</b></blockquote></p><p> To begin with, let's take a look at what price dynamics both companies have shown during strong market fluctuations in the recent past.</p><p><blockquote>首先，让我们来看看两家公司在近期市场剧烈波动期间表现出的价格动态。</blockquote></p><p> To do this, I have broken the three-year span into eight periods of market movement:</p><p><blockquote>为了做到这一点，我将三年的时间跨度分为八个市场运动时期：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/edfd9dec91d94990cf5217aa649758ac\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"578\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: TradingView, Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView，作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are the results that companies have shown in each of the periods:</p><p><blockquote>以下是公司在每个时期显示的结果：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/868067f19c2251bfdb0658a251596fcc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> At first glance, the statistics are unambiguous:<i>during periods of correction, the price of Microsoft tends to decrease less than that of Apple.</i>But on the other hand, Apple has consistently performed better during periods of market growth. And in this case, the result obtained can simply be explained by the technical factors of the market behavior.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，统计数据毫不含糊：<i>在回调期间，微软价格的跌幅往往小于苹果。</i>但另一方面，苹果在市场增长时期的表现一直更好。并且在这种情况下，得到的结果可以简单地用市场行为的技术因素来解释。</blockquote></p><p> But in the current period of growth, both companies demonstrate approximately the same return. And therefore, here we do not find a clue to our question...</p><p><blockquote>但在当前的增长期，两家公司的回报大致相同。因此，在这里我们找不到问题的线索...</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本原则</b></blockquote></p><p> Exclusively in an investment context, the price of a company's share can be viewed from two points of view.</p><p><blockquote>仅在投资背景下，公司股票的价格可以从两个角度来看待。</blockquote></p><p> On the one hand, the price reflects the present value of the company's&nbsp;<b>future cash flow</b>. On the other hand, the price is the present value of the sum of&nbsp;<b>all potential dividends</b>that the company will pay in the future. Let's model these prices for Apple and Microsoft. And for this I will build, respectively, the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Dividend Discount Model.</p><p><blockquote>价格一方面反映了公司的现值<b>未来现金流量</b>另一方面，价格是以下各项之和的现值<b>所有潜在股息</b>公司未来将支付的费用。让我们对苹果和微软的价格进行建模。为此，我将分别建立贴现现金流模型和股息贴现模型。</blockquote></p><p> In order for the models to be less subjective, I will take as a basis the average expectations of analysts regarding the revenue and EPS of the companies in the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>为了使模型不那么主观，我将以分析师对公司未来十年收入和每股收益的平均预期为基础。</blockquote></p><p> Let's start with&nbsp;<b>Apple</b>. Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>让我们从<b>苹果</b>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算方法：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f8fc4e5dc7025dd1227ea5279073aa5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Notes:</p><p><blockquote>附注：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.33%).</li>  <li>I used the current&nbsp;value&nbsp;of the three-year beta coefficient. For a terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li>  <li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2020 divided by the average debt in 2019 and 2018.</li> </ul> Here is the DCF model:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率，我使用了equityriskpremium（4.72%）和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率（1.33%）。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值。在最后一年，我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本，我使用了2020年的利息支出除以2019年和2018年的平均债务。</li></ul>以下是DCF模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bfb45a9125bb1f465cd34a6a8a6d06a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"520\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The DCF-based target price for Apple's shares is about $181 (+22%).</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基于DCF的苹果股票目标价约为181美元（+22%）。</b></blockquote></p><p> In the case of Apple, when building the Dividend Discount Model it is also necessary to take into account the fact that the company continues to actively buy back:</p><p><blockquote>以苹果为例，在构建股息贴现模型时还需要考虑公司持续积极回购的事实：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d84076d0fc1bb5dbec8c1e6e19434153\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Continuing the current dynamics, the model assumes that by the terminal year the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 13.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>继续当前的动态，该模型假设到最后一年，稀释后的股票数量将减少至135亿股。</blockquote></p><p> Apple spends an average of 25% of its net income on dividends. I assume that the payout ratio will remain at this level.</p><p><blockquote>苹果平均将净利润的25%用于股息。我假设派息率将保持在这个水平。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the Dividend Discount Model itself:</p><p><blockquote>以下是股息折扣模型本身：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8990a8299cc0652d77815710f0ab427\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"292\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>The DDM-based target price for Apple's shares is $69 (-54%).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>基于DDM的苹果股票目标价为69美元（-54%）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> Now let's take a look at Microsoft.</p><p><blockquote>现在我们来看看微软。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the calculation of the WACC:</p><p><blockquote>以下是WACC的计算：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15889e90904c69497b749f28bd64190f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> And here is the DCF model:</p><p><blockquote>这是DCF模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dca7339e43f534807bf043b1931e1db\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"506\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The DCF-based target price for Microsoft's shares is about $353 (+18%).</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基于DCF的微软股票目标价约为353美元（+18%）。</b></blockquote></p><p> Microsoft is also actively buying back shares:</p><p><blockquote>微软也在积极回购股票：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1deec463f584b5eb7913d72938d3e1ca\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I proceed from the assumption that the dynamics of the last two years will continue, and by the terminal year, the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 7.2 billion.</p><p><blockquote>我假设过去两年的动态将持续下去，到最后一年，稀释后的股票数量将减少到72亿股。</blockquote></p><p> Here is the Dividend Discount Model:</p><p><blockquote>以下是股息折扣模型：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18c863b92e948f78e518d5619b44647d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b><i>The DDM-based target price for Microsoft's shares is $203 (-32%).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>基于DDM的微软股票目标价为203美元（-32%）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> Let's summarize:</p><p><blockquote>我们来总结一下：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84b527d82270843e021a89a9ecdf68e6\" tg-width=\"906\" tg-height=\"212\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> It is worth noting that I have already been observing similar results in the case of these companies for a long time. I mean, Apple and Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，我长期以来一直在观察这些公司的类似结果。我的意思是，苹果和微软在未来现金流方面往往被低估，而在潜在股息方面则被高估。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> This suggests that during periods of market growth, investors are not particularly inclined to pay attention to dividends. Moreover, most likely dividends are perceived simply as a bonus.</p><p><blockquote>这表明，在市场增长期间，投资者并不特别倾向于关注股息。此外，最有可能的股息被简单地视为奖金。</blockquote></p><p> But during periods of market correction, the present value of potential dividends is the minimum level below which it is difficult for the price to fall. And in this context, I think Microsoft is in a better position than Apple.</p><p><blockquote>但在市场调整期间，潜在股息的现值是价格难以下跌的最低水平。在这种背景下，我认为微软比苹果处于更好的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> At the current stage of the market cycle, when the likelihood of a correction has gone beyond formal, in my opinion, investing in Microsoft is less risky compared to Apple.</p><p><blockquote>在市场周期的当前阶段，当回调的可能性已经超出形式时，在我看来，与苹果相比，投资微软的风险较小。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455478-apple-stock-vs-microsoft-stock-who-is-inclined-to-fall-harder-in-case-of-correction\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4455478-apple-stock-vs-microsoft-stock-who-is-inclined-to-fall-harder-in-case-of-correction","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126607843","content_text":"Summary\n\nObjectively, the likelihood of a significant correction in the stock market now deserves attention.\nIn the recent past, Apple and Microsoft have responded differently to a significant decline in the stock market.\nApple and Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.\nIn the event of a hypothetical correction, Microsoft's potential for falling is lower than Apple's.\n\nvicnt/iStock via Getty Images\nAs an introduction...\nSince the last major correction in the US stock market ended in March 2020, the Nasdaq index has risen nearly 170%:\nData by YCharts\nFor a year and a half, this is a very strong result, considering that the average annual total price return of the index over the past decade does not exceed 20%.This fact alone makes us estimate the likelihood of a new significant correction in the stock market higher.\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics\nIn addition, there are other factors that make us wary of the current price level of the market.\nFirst, this year there is a record inflow of liquidity to the stock market. I'm not talking about the reasons now, they are obvious. But this fact alone makes the market extremely volatile:\nSource: Bank of America\nSecond, the relative size of the US stock market has exceeded 200% of nominal GDP. In principle, this is not a fundamental limit. But it was the ultra-soft monetary policy that allowed the US stock market to reach its current record level. And most likely, in this context, a reversal is already outlined.\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics\nAnd finally the third. The macrocycle also allows us to expect the market to enter a phase of increased volatility and tightening of monetary policy:\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics\nSo, objectively, the likelihood of the next correction of the stock market at least deserves attention. And in this context, I propose to answer the question:in case of a correction, which company is inclined to fall harder - Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT)?\nWhy Apple vs. Microsoft?\nThe decision to compare exactly these two companies was dictated by two factors.\nFirstly, these are the two largest companies in the tech sector, together accounting for more than 10% of the total capitalization of the US stock market. These companies are so large that, in principle, their dynamics alone can cause a new wave of correction:\n\nSource: VisualizedAnalytics\nSecondly, both companies pay dividends. In matters of fundamental valuation, this factor plays a significant role.\nSome Statistics\nTo begin with, let's take a look at what price dynamics both companies have shown during strong market fluctuations in the recent past.\nTo do this, I have broken the three-year span into eight periods of market movement:\nSource: TradingView, Author\nHere are the results that companies have shown in each of the periods:\nSource: Author\nAt first glance, the statistics are unambiguous:during periods of correction, the price of Microsoft tends to decrease less than that of Apple.But on the other hand, Apple has consistently performed better during periods of market growth. And in this case, the result obtained can simply be explained by the technical factors of the market behavior.\nBut in the current period of growth, both companies demonstrate approximately the same return. And therefore, here we do not find a clue to our question...\nFundamentals\nExclusively in an investment context, the price of a company's share can be viewed from two points of view.\nOn the one hand, the price reflects the present value of the company's future cash flow. On the other hand, the price is the present value of the sum of all potential dividendsthat the company will pay in the future. Let's model these prices for Apple and Microsoft. And for this I will build, respectively, the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Dividend Discount Model.\nIn order for the models to be less subjective, I will take as a basis the average expectations of analysts regarding the revenue and EPS of the companies in the next decade.\nLet's start with Apple. Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:\nSource: Author\nNotes:\n\nIn order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.33%).\nI used the current value of the three-year beta coefficient. For a terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.\nTo calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2020 divided by the average debt in 2019 and 2018.\n\nHere is the DCF model:\nSource: Author\nThe DCF-based target price for Apple's shares is about $181 (+22%).\nIn the case of Apple, when building the Dividend Discount Model it is also necessary to take into account the fact that the company continues to actively buy back:\nData by YCharts\nContinuing the current dynamics, the model assumes that by the terminal year the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 13.5 billion.\nApple spends an average of 25% of its net income on dividends. I assume that the payout ratio will remain at this level.\nHere is the Dividend Discount Model itself:\nSource: Author\nThe DDM-based target price for Apple's shares is $69 (-54%).\nNow let's take a look at Microsoft.\nHere is the calculation of the WACC:\nSource: Author\nAnd here is the DCF model:\nSource: Author\nThe DCF-based target price for Microsoft's shares is about $353 (+18%).\nMicrosoft is also actively buying back shares:\nData by YCharts\nI proceed from the assumption that the dynamics of the last two years will continue, and by the terminal year, the number of diluted shares will be reduced to 7.2 billion.\nHere is the Dividend Discount Model:\nSource: Author\nThe DDM-based target price for Microsoft's shares is $203 (-32%).\nLet's summarize:\n\nIt is worth noting that I have already been observing similar results in the case of these companies for a long time. I mean, Apple and Microsoft tend to be undervalued in terms of future cash flow, and overvalued in terms of potential dividends.\nThis suggests that during periods of market growth, investors are not particularly inclined to pay attention to dividends. Moreover, most likely dividends are perceived simply as a bonus.\nBut during periods of market correction, the present value of potential dividends is the minimum level below which it is difficult for the price to fall. And in this context, I think Microsoft is in a better position than Apple.\nBottom line\nAt the current stage of the market cycle, when the likelihood of a correction has gone beyond formal, in my opinion, investing in Microsoft is less risky compared to Apple.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815749764,"gmtCreate":1630722201758,"gmtModify":1631890832917,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Momentum has slowed.&nbsp;It’s timely for a correction or pullback so new buyers can enter.&nbsp;","listText":"Momentum has slowed.&nbsp;It’s timely for a correction or pullback so new buyers can enter.&nbsp;","text":"Momentum has slowed. It’s timely for a correction or pullback so new buyers can enter.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815749764","repostId":"1186003479","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832552590,"gmtCreate":1629672245210,"gmtModify":1631892522226,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I’m thinking of closing my non performing stocks and adding BABA too","listText":"I’m thinking of closing my non performing stocks and adding BABA too","text":"I’m thinking of closing my non performing stocks and adding BABA too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832552590","repostId":"1133515985","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175063529,"gmtCreate":1626998908061,"gmtModify":1633768984129,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I personally think this is short term. If your time horizon is 1 to 2 years. Should buy the dip.&nbsp;","listText":"I personally think this is short term. If your time horizon is 1 to 2 years. Should buy the dip.&nbsp;","text":"I personally think this is short term. If your time horizon is 1 to 2 years. Should buy the dip.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175063529","repostId":"1139354130","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1139354130","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626962203,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1139354130?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bilibili fell over 5% in morning trading<blockquote>哔哩哔哩早盘跌超5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139354130","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 22) Bilibili Inc. fell over 5% in morning trading.","content":"<p>(July 22)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili Inc.</a> fell over 5% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（7月22日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>早盘跌超5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2f2967080636503f5d7b0d41cc6698f\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"486\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bilibili fell over 5% in morning trading<blockquote>哔哩哔哩早盘跌超5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBilibili fell over 5% in morning trading<blockquote>哔哩哔哩早盘跌超5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-22 21:56</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July 22)&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili Inc.</a> fell over 5% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（7月22日）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>早盘跌超5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2f2967080636503f5d7b0d41cc6698f\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"486\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BILI":"哔哩哔哩","09626":"哔哩哔哩-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139354130","content_text":"(July 22) Bilibili Inc. fell over 5% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BILI":0.9,"09626":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":848695633,"gmtCreate":1635992922900,"gmtModify":1635992923702,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Powell cannot let the market crash when he is still in office or else he cannot get reappointment&nbsp;","listText":"Powell cannot let the market crash when he is still in office or else he cannot get reappointment&nbsp;","text":"Powell cannot let the market crash when he is still in office or else he cannot get reappointment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848695633","repostId":"1179826318","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179826318","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635990031,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179826318?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-04 09:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Chair Powell: 'We understand the difficulties' of rising inflation<blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔：“我们理解通胀上升的困难”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179826318","media":"Yahoo","summary":"The nation’s top economic policymaker acknowledged that inflationary pressures are impacting everyda","content":"<p>The nation’s top economic policymaker acknowledged that inflationary pressures are impacting everyday Americans, but doubled down on his view that the hot pace of price increases should abate in time.</p><p><blockquote>美国最高经济政策制定者承认，通胀压力正在影响美国人的日常生活，但他更加强调了他的观点，即物价上涨的火热步伐应该及时减弱。</blockquote></p><p> \"We understand the difficulties that high inflation poses for individuals and families, particularly those with limited means to absorb higher prices for essentials such as food and transportation,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said in a press conference Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三的新闻发布会上表示：“我们理解高通胀给个人和家庭带来的困难，特别是那些无力吸收食品和交通等必需品价格上涨的人。”</blockquote></p><p> Americans have been feeling the impact of rising prices as of late. The Consumer Price Index showed pricesrising 5.4% on a year-over-year basisin September (the fastest reading since 2008).</p><p><blockquote>美国人最近已经感受到了物价上涨的影响。消费者价格指数显示，9月份物价同比上涨5.4%（为2008年以来的最快涨幅）。</blockquote></p><p> But Powell leaned again on the explanation of these pressures as “transitory,” pointing to pandemic-induced materials and labor shortages that have constrained supply chains globally.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔再次将这些压力解释为“暂时的”，指出大流行引发的材料和劳动力短缺限制了全球供应链。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chief said those bottlenecks should persist into next year, stressing that if it appears that inflation will persist even after those COVID-related factors fade, the central bank can raise interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席表示，这些瓶颈应该会持续到明年，并强调，如果即使在这些与新冠病毒相关的因素消退后，通胀似乎仍将持续，央行可以加息。</blockquote></p><p> Compared to messaging in the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting in September, the policy-setting arm of the central bank appears to be taking seriously the risk of persistent inflation. It tweaked its language in its policy statement to note that inflationary pressures are not “transitory” but “expected to be transitory.”</p><p><blockquote>与9月份上次联邦公开市场委员会会议上传达的信息相比，央行的政策制定部门似乎正在认真对待持续通胀的风险。它调整了政策声明中的措辞，指出通胀压力不是“暂时的”，而是“预计将是暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> Powell said the change was made “to show uncertainty around that.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，做出这一改变是“为了显示这方面的不确定性”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Interest rates near zero</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率接近于零</b></blockquote></p><p> In its policy announcement Wednesday, the FOMC unanimously voted to hold interest rates at near zero butbegin the process of tapering its asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>在周三的政策公告中，联邦公开市场委员会一致投票决定将利率维持在接近零的水平，但开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Since the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been buying about $120 billion per month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities to signal its support of the economy. But starting this month, the Fed will slow those aggregate purchases by $15 billion per month.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情最严重以来，美联储每月购买约1200亿美元的美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券，以表明其对经济的支持。但从本月开始，美联储将每月将这些总购买量放缓150亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are prepared to speed up or slow down the pace of reductions in asset purchases, if it's warranted by changes in the economic outlook,” Powell told the press.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔对媒体表示：“如果经济前景发生变化，我们准备加快或放慢减少资产购买的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> But the tapering program, which marks the first major step in the Fed unwinding its pandemic-era easy money policies, has revved up chatter about when the central bank could eventually tap into its primary tool of levering short-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>但缩减计划标志着美联储解除大流行时期宽松货币政策的第一个重要步骤，引发了人们关于美联储何时最终可能利用其杠杆短期利率的主要工具的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> Powell made it clear that while it could deploy a rate hike to quell inflation, his focus will be on letting the labor market heal.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔明确表示，虽然可能会加息来平息通胀，但他的重点将是让劳动力市场痊愈。</blockquote></p><p> There are still over 5 million workers out of the labor force compared to pre-pandemic levels, which Powell remained optimistic about fixing. The challenge: jobs data as of latehave missed expectationsfor a more vigorous labor market recovery.</p><p><blockquote>与大流行前的水平相比，仍有超过500万工人退出劳动力市场，鲍威尔对解决这一问题仍持乐观态度。挑战：最新的就业数据未能达到劳动力市场更强劲复苏的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Powell suggested his deference is to give workers and hiring firms more time to plug the shortfall.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，他的尊重是为了给工人和招聘公司更多时间来填补缺口。</blockquote></p><p> \"Ideally we would see further development of the labor market in a context where there isn't another COVID spike, and then we would be able to see how does participation react in that post-COVID world,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔说：“理想情况下，我们将在新冠疫情不再激增的情况下看到劳动力市场的进一步发展，然后我们将能够看到参与在后新冠疫情世界中的反应。”</blockquote></p><p> The next jobs report, covering the month of October, is due on Friday. The central bank’s next policy-setting announcement is scheduled to take place on Dec. 14 and 15.</p><p><blockquote>下一份涵盖10月份的就业报告将于周五发布。央行的下一次政策公告定于12月14日至15日发布。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Chair Powell: 'We understand the difficulties' of rising inflation<blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔：“我们理解通胀上升的困难”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Chair Powell: 'We understand the difficulties' of rising inflation<blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔：“我们理解通胀上升的困难”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-04 09:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The nation’s top economic policymaker acknowledged that inflationary pressures are impacting everyday Americans, but doubled down on his view that the hot pace of price increases should abate in time.</p><p><blockquote>美国最高经济政策制定者承认，通胀压力正在影响美国人的日常生活，但他更加强调了他的观点，即物价上涨的火热步伐应该及时减弱。</blockquote></p><p> \"We understand the difficulties that high inflation poses for individuals and families, particularly those with limited means to absorb higher prices for essentials such as food and transportation,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said in a press conference Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三的新闻发布会上表示：“我们理解高通胀给个人和家庭带来的困难，特别是那些无力吸收食品和交通等必需品价格上涨的人。”</blockquote></p><p> Americans have been feeling the impact of rising prices as of late. The Consumer Price Index showed pricesrising 5.4% on a year-over-year basisin September (the fastest reading since 2008).</p><p><blockquote>美国人最近已经感受到了物价上涨的影响。消费者价格指数显示，9月份物价同比上涨5.4%（为2008年以来的最快涨幅）。</blockquote></p><p> But Powell leaned again on the explanation of these pressures as “transitory,” pointing to pandemic-induced materials and labor shortages that have constrained supply chains globally.</p><p><blockquote>但鲍威尔再次将这些压力解释为“暂时的”，指出大流行引发的材料和劳动力短缺限制了全球供应链。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed chief said those bottlenecks should persist into next year, stressing that if it appears that inflation will persist even after those COVID-related factors fade, the central bank can raise interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席表示，这些瓶颈应该会持续到明年，并强调，如果即使在这些与新冠病毒相关的因素消退后，通胀似乎仍将持续，央行可以加息。</blockquote></p><p> Compared to messaging in the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting in September, the policy-setting arm of the central bank appears to be taking seriously the risk of persistent inflation. It tweaked its language in its policy statement to note that inflationary pressures are not “transitory” but “expected to be transitory.”</p><p><blockquote>与9月份上次联邦公开市场委员会会议上传达的信息相比，央行的政策制定部门似乎正在认真对待持续通胀的风险。它调整了政策声明中的措辞，指出通胀压力不是“暂时的”，而是“预计将是暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> Powell said the change was made “to show uncertainty around that.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，做出这一改变是“为了显示这方面的不确定性”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Interest rates near zero</b></p><p><blockquote><b>利率接近于零</b></blockquote></p><p> In its policy announcement Wednesday, the FOMC unanimously voted to hold interest rates at near zero butbegin the process of tapering its asset purchases.</p><p><blockquote>在周三的政策公告中，联邦公开市场委员会一致投票决定将利率维持在接近零的水平，但开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Since the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been buying about $120 billion per month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities to signal its support of the economy. But starting this month, the Fed will slow those aggregate purchases by $15 billion per month.</p><p><blockquote>自疫情最严重以来，美联储每月购买约1200亿美元的美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券，以表明其对经济的支持。但从本月开始，美联储将每月将这些总购买量放缓150亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are prepared to speed up or slow down the pace of reductions in asset purchases, if it's warranted by changes in the economic outlook,” Powell told the press.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔对媒体表示：“如果经济前景发生变化，我们准备加快或放慢减少资产购买的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> But the tapering program, which marks the first major step in the Fed unwinding its pandemic-era easy money policies, has revved up chatter about when the central bank could eventually tap into its primary tool of levering short-term interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>但缩减计划标志着美联储解除大流行时期宽松货币政策的第一个重要步骤，引发了人们关于美联储何时最终可能利用其杠杆短期利率的主要工具的讨论。</blockquote></p><p> Powell made it clear that while it could deploy a rate hike to quell inflation, his focus will be on letting the labor market heal.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔明确表示，虽然可能会加息来平息通胀，但他的重点将是让劳动力市场痊愈。</blockquote></p><p> There are still over 5 million workers out of the labor force compared to pre-pandemic levels, which Powell remained optimistic about fixing. The challenge: jobs data as of latehave missed expectationsfor a more vigorous labor market recovery.</p><p><blockquote>与大流行前的水平相比，仍有超过500万工人退出劳动力市场，鲍威尔对解决这一问题仍持乐观态度。挑战：最新的就业数据未能达到劳动力市场更强劲复苏的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Powell suggested his deference is to give workers and hiring firms more time to plug the shortfall.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，他的尊重是为了给工人和招聘公司更多时间来填补缺口。</blockquote></p><p> \"Ideally we would see further development of the labor market in a context where there isn't another COVID spike, and then we would be able to see how does participation react in that post-COVID world,” Powell said.</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔说：“理想情况下，我们将在新冠疫情不再激增的情况下看到劳动力市场的进一步发展，然后我们将能够看到参与在后新冠疫情世界中的反应。”</blockquote></p><p> The next jobs report, covering the month of October, is due on Friday. The central bank’s next policy-setting announcement is scheduled to take place on Dec. 14 and 15.</p><p><blockquote>下一份涵盖10月份的就业报告将于周五发布。央行的下一次政策公告定于12月14日至15日发布。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-chair-powell-we-understand-the-difficulties-of-rising-inflation-212410432.html\">Yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-chair-powell-we-understand-the-difficulties-of-rising-inflation-212410432.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179826318","content_text":"The nation’s top economic policymaker acknowledged that inflationary pressures are impacting everyday Americans, but doubled down on his view that the hot pace of price increases should abate in time.\n\"We understand the difficulties that high inflation poses for individuals and families, particularly those with limited means to absorb higher prices for essentials such as food and transportation,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said in a press conference Wednesday.\nAmericans have been feeling the impact of rising prices as of late. The Consumer Price Index showed pricesrising 5.4% on a year-over-year basisin September (the fastest reading since 2008).\nBut Powell leaned again on the explanation of these pressures as “transitory,” pointing to pandemic-induced materials and labor shortages that have constrained supply chains globally.\nThe Fed chief said those bottlenecks should persist into next year, stressing that if it appears that inflation will persist even after those COVID-related factors fade, the central bank can raise interest rates.\nCompared to messaging in the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting in September, the policy-setting arm of the central bank appears to be taking seriously the risk of persistent inflation. It tweaked its language in its policy statement to note that inflationary pressures are not “transitory” but “expected to be transitory.”\nPowell said the change was made “to show uncertainty around that.”\nInterest rates near zero\nIn its policy announcement Wednesday, the FOMC unanimously voted to hold interest rates at near zero butbegin the process of tapering its asset purchases.\nSince the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been buying about $120 billion per month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities to signal its support of the economy. But starting this month, the Fed will slow those aggregate purchases by $15 billion per month.\n\"We are prepared to speed up or slow down the pace of reductions in asset purchases, if it's warranted by changes in the economic outlook,” Powell told the press.\nBut the tapering program, which marks the first major step in the Fed unwinding its pandemic-era easy money policies, has revved up chatter about when the central bank could eventually tap into its primary tool of levering short-term interest rates.\nPowell made it clear that while it could deploy a rate hike to quell inflation, his focus will be on letting the labor market heal.\nThere are still over 5 million workers out of the labor force compared to pre-pandemic levels, which Powell remained optimistic about fixing. The challenge: jobs data as of latehave missed expectationsfor a more vigorous labor market recovery.\nPowell suggested his deference is to give workers and hiring firms more time to plug the shortfall.\n\"Ideally we would see further development of the labor market in a context where there isn't another COVID spike, and then we would be able to see how does participation react in that post-COVID world,” Powell said.\nThe next jobs report, covering the month of October, is due on Friday. The central bank’s next policy-setting announcement is scheduled to take place on Dec. 14 and 15.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":855711873,"gmtCreate":1635400914281,"gmtModify":1635400914493,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sure. At highest point of $65. The current price level seems like a good deal.&nbsp;","listText":"Sure. At highest point of $65. The current price level seems like a good deal.&nbsp;","text":"Sure. At highest point of $65. The current price level seems like a good deal.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855711873","repostId":"1132883630","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132883630","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635399451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132883630?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-28 13:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Stock Dropped Wednesday: Is This an Opportunity?<blockquote>蔚来股价周三下跌：这是一个机会吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132883630","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investors are getting uncomfortable with the level of competition in the electric vehicle space.","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> After kicking off Wednesday on a positive note and popping by 2% in early morning trading,electric vehicle stock&nbsp;<b>Nio</b>(NYSE:NIO)&nbsp;shed all of those gains and then some. At the close of the session, Nio shares were down by 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周三开盘上涨并在早盘交易中上涨2%后<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）放弃了所有这些涨幅，甚至一些涨幅。截至收盘，蔚来股价下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are weighing the impact of rising competition on the Chinese automaker's prospects and finding it worrisome.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎正在权衡竞争加剧对这家中国汽车制造商前景的影响，并发现这令人担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Nio's chief rival&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)is firing on all cylinders. After Tesla bagged an order for 100,000 electric vehicles from rental company&nbsp;<b>Hertz</b>&nbsp;earlier this week,it was back in the news again Wednesday&nbsp;after Hertz&nbsp;struck a deal with&nbsp;<b>Uber Technologies</b>&nbsp;to rent it 50,000 Tesla EVs. Although that development built on Hertz's previous order, it reflects the massive potential of the EV industry and the unmistakable traction that Tesla has already gained within it. It's also racing ahead in Nio's core market of China.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的主要竞争对手<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）正在全力以赴。特斯拉从租赁公司获得10万辆电动汽车订单后<b>赫兹</b>本周早些时候，在赫兹与<b>优步科技</b>向其租赁50,000辆特斯拉电动汽车。尽管这一发展建立在赫兹之前的订单之上，但它反映了电动汽车行业的巨大潜力以及特斯拉已经在其中获得的明显吸引力。它在蔚来的核心市场中国也遥遥领先。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d13f2a97da1133832ade5c930059cf8\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday morning,<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:GM)&nbsp;CEO Mary Barra told CNBC that the auto giant could \"absolutely\" catch up with Tesla on EV sales by 2025. In June, GM announced an ambitious goal of selling more than 1 million EVs worldwide by 2025, backed by investments worth $35 billion in EVs and autonomous vehicles over that period.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午，<b>通用汽车</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GM）首席执行官Mary Barra告诉CNBC，到2025年，这家汽车巨头在电动汽车销量方面“绝对”可以赶上特斯拉。6月，通用汽车宣布了一个雄心勃勃的目标，即到2025年在全球销售超过100万辆电动汽车，并在此期间对电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车进行了价值350亿美元的投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> EVs are a hot market right now, and this is just the start. It's therefore unsurprising to see competition intensifying as nearly every automaker strives to get a piece of a market segment with exponential growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车目前是一个热门市场，而这仅仅是个开始。因此，竞争加剧也就不足为奇了，因为几乎每家汽车制造商都在努力在具有指数增长潜力的细分市场中分得一杯羹。</blockquote></p><p> Does that mean Nio will be edged out? I don't think so.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着蔚来将被淘汰？我不这么认为。</blockquote></p><p> In a short span of time, Nio has established itself as one of the top luxury car makers in China. It delivered more vehicles last quarter than it ever had before, recently began selling in Europe, and is set to launch its&nbsp;first electric luxury sedan, the ET7, in China as well as Norway in 2022 even as it prepares a blueprint for low-priced models to target the mass market in China. Nio's battery-as-a-service program also gives it an edge over rivals, especially among cost-conscious consumers.</p><p><blockquote>在很短的时间内，蔚来已经成为国内顶级豪华汽车制造商之一。该公司上季度交付的汽车数量比以往任何时候都多，最近开始在欧洲销售，并计划于2022年在中国和挪威推出首款电动豪华轿车ET7，同时正在为低价车型制定蓝图。瞄准中国大众市场的车型。蔚来的电池即服务计划也使其比竞争对手更具优势，尤其是在注重成本的消费者中。</blockquote></p><p> So while Tesla's wins may rattle Nio investors momentarily, the Chinese automaker is a long-term growth story and looks like one of the&nbsp;most promising EV stocks right now to buy on a dip.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然特斯拉的胜利可能会暂时让蔚来投资者感到不安，但这家中国汽车制造商是一个长期增长的故事，看起来是目前最有前途的逢低买入电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Stock Dropped Wednesday: Is This an Opportunity?<blockquote>蔚来股价周三下跌：这是一个机会吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Stock Dropped Wednesday: Is This an Opportunity?<blockquote>蔚来股价周三下跌：这是一个机会吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-28 13:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> After kicking off Wednesday on a positive note and popping by 2% in early morning trading,electric vehicle stock&nbsp;<b>Nio</b>(NYSE:NIO)&nbsp;shed all of those gains and then some. At the close of the session, Nio shares were down by 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周三开盘上涨并在早盘交易中上涨2%后<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）放弃了所有这些涨幅，甚至一些涨幅。截至收盘，蔚来股价下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are weighing the impact of rising competition on the Chinese automaker's prospects and finding it worrisome.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎正在权衡竞争加剧对这家中国汽车制造商前景的影响，并发现这令人担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Nio's chief rival&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)is firing on all cylinders. After Tesla bagged an order for 100,000 electric vehicles from rental company&nbsp;<b>Hertz</b>&nbsp;earlier this week,it was back in the news again Wednesday&nbsp;after Hertz&nbsp;struck a deal with&nbsp;<b>Uber Technologies</b>&nbsp;to rent it 50,000 Tesla EVs. Although that development built on Hertz's previous order, it reflects the massive potential of the EV industry and the unmistakable traction that Tesla has already gained within it. It's also racing ahead in Nio's core market of China.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的主要竞争对手<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）正在全力以赴。特斯拉从租赁公司获得10万辆电动汽车订单后<b>赫兹</b>本周早些时候，在赫兹与<b>优步科技</b>向其租赁50,000辆特斯拉电动汽车。尽管这一发展建立在赫兹之前的订单之上，但它反映了电动汽车行业的巨大潜力以及特斯拉已经在其中获得的明显吸引力。它在蔚来的核心市场中国也遥遥领先。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d13f2a97da1133832ade5c930059cf8\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday morning,<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:GM)&nbsp;CEO Mary Barra told CNBC that the auto giant could \"absolutely\" catch up with Tesla on EV sales by 2025. In June, GM announced an ambitious goal of selling more than 1 million EVs worldwide by 2025, backed by investments worth $35 billion in EVs and autonomous vehicles over that period.</p><p><blockquote>周三上午，<b>通用汽车</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GM）首席执行官Mary Barra告诉CNBC，到2025年，这家汽车巨头在电动汽车销量方面“绝对”可以赶上特斯拉。6月，通用汽车宣布了一个雄心勃勃的目标，即到2025年在全球销售超过100万辆电动汽车，并在此期间对电动汽车和自动驾驶汽车进行了价值350亿美元的投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> EVs are a hot market right now, and this is just the start. It's therefore unsurprising to see competition intensifying as nearly every automaker strives to get a piece of a market segment with exponential growth potential.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车目前是一个热门市场，而这仅仅是个开始。因此，竞争加剧也就不足为奇了，因为几乎每家汽车制造商都在努力在具有指数增长潜力的细分市场中分得一杯羹。</blockquote></p><p> Does that mean Nio will be edged out? I don't think so.</p><p><blockquote>这是否意味着蔚来将被淘汰？我不这么认为。</blockquote></p><p> In a short span of time, Nio has established itself as one of the top luxury car makers in China. It delivered more vehicles last quarter than it ever had before, recently began selling in Europe, and is set to launch its&nbsp;first electric luxury sedan, the ET7, in China as well as Norway in 2022 even as it prepares a blueprint for low-priced models to target the mass market in China. Nio's battery-as-a-service program also gives it an edge over rivals, especially among cost-conscious consumers.</p><p><blockquote>在很短的时间内，蔚来已经成为国内顶级豪华汽车制造商之一。该公司上季度交付的汽车数量比以往任何时候都多，最近开始在欧洲销售，并计划于2022年在中国和挪威推出首款电动豪华轿车ET7，同时正在为低价车型制定蓝图。瞄准中国大众市场的车型。蔚来的电池即服务计划也使其比竞争对手更具优势，尤其是在注重成本的消费者中。</blockquote></p><p> So while Tesla's wins may rattle Nio investors momentarily, the Chinese automaker is a long-term growth story and looks like one of the&nbsp;most promising EV stocks right now to buy on a dip.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然特斯拉的胜利可能会暂时让蔚来投资者感到不安，但这家中国汽车制造商是一个长期增长的故事，看起来是目前最有前途的逢低买入电动汽车股票之一。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/27/nio-stock-dropped-wednesday-is-this-an-opportunity/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/10/27/nio-stock-dropped-wednesday-is-this-an-opportunity/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132883630","content_text":"What happened\nAfter kicking off Wednesday on a positive note and popping by 2% in early morning trading,electric vehicle stock Nio(NYSE:NIO) shed all of those gains and then some. At the close of the session, Nio shares were down by 2.9%.\nIt seems investors are weighing the impact of rising competition on the Chinese automaker's prospects and finding it worrisome.\nSo what\nNio's chief rival Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)is firing on all cylinders. After Tesla bagged an order for 100,000 electric vehicles from rental company Hertz earlier this week,it was back in the news again Wednesday after Hertz struck a deal with Uber Technologies to rent it 50,000 Tesla EVs. Although that development built on Hertz's previous order, it reflects the massive potential of the EV industry and the unmistakable traction that Tesla has already gained within it. It's also racing ahead in Nio's core market of China.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nOn Wednesday morning,General Motors(NYSE:GM) CEO Mary Barra told CNBC that the auto giant could \"absolutely\" catch up with Tesla on EV sales by 2025. In June, GM announced an ambitious goal of selling more than 1 million EVs worldwide by 2025, backed by investments worth $35 billion in EVs and autonomous vehicles over that period.\nNow what\nEVs are a hot market right now, and this is just the start. It's therefore unsurprising to see competition intensifying as nearly every automaker strives to get a piece of a market segment with exponential growth potential.\nDoes that mean Nio will be edged out? I don't think so.\nIn a short span of time, Nio has established itself as one of the top luxury car makers in China. It delivered more vehicles last quarter than it ever had before, recently began selling in Europe, and is set to launch its first electric luxury sedan, the ET7, in China as well as Norway in 2022 even as it prepares a blueprint for low-priced models to target the mass market in China. Nio's battery-as-a-service program also gives it an edge over rivals, especially among cost-conscious consumers.\nSo while Tesla's wins may rattle Nio investors momentarily, the Chinese automaker is a long-term growth story and looks like one of the most promising EV stocks right now to buy on a dip.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863781594,"gmtCreate":1632436805118,"gmtModify":1632727695237,"author":{"id":"3576444918223783","authorId":"3576444918223783","name":"bwkhoo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62d6e46769c7f3e2599cb62434f5f5c3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3576444918223783","idStr":"3576444918223783"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Luckily I’m still holding some before the jump. 😊&nbsp;","listText":"Luckily I’m still holding some before the jump. 😊&nbsp;","text":"Luckily I’m still holding some before the jump. 😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863781594","repostId":"1136461867","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}