Cheehao的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Cheehao

Cheehao

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1主题

0勋章

2022-02-25

哈哈

涉嫌内幕交易？美国证券交易委员会调查马斯克

2021-11-03

想买却不敢买没什么好后悔的[笑哭] [捂脸]

英伟达创历史新高，今年涨幅已超100%

2021-10-30

期待回头

特斯拉股价站上1100美元，总市值达1.1万亿美元

2021-09-17

$云顶新加坡(G13.SI)$100股[流泪]

2021-09-03

卖早了[捂脸]

2021-09-02

利空砸盘后狂衝

2021-08-30

还没停吗[捂脸]

2021-08-27

$莎姆达拉(S56.SI)$只有200股😂

2021-08-11

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@石头Stone:2021Q2财报 | 英特尔老了吗，股价还能翻盘吗？

2021-08-10

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$还没加仓你就上了[生气]

2021-08-02

回踩20好不好

2021-08-01

这是干什么的啊？

2021-08-01

一直等不到我想要的价位

2021-07-31

短线操作变长线

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-29

$亿仕登(I07.SI)$飞了飞了

2021-07-27

你怎么了？[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]

2021-07-14

我觉得30以下都可买入你们呢

2021-07-14

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$我又来了

2021-07-11

$亿仕登(I07.SI)$只是为了领代金劵而买

2021-07-10

收了几个月感觉20就是底线

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/9Noyf22GRi8XfqpW_-qXAQ><strong>环球网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>据英国《卫报》24日报道，据悉，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）正在调查特斯拉CEO埃隆马斯克及其兄弟金巴尔马斯克（Kimbal Musk）最近出售股票的行为是否“违反了内幕交易规则”。报道截图据报道，这项调查始于去年，当时金巴尔以1.08亿美元的价格出售了这家电动汽车制造商的股票，而就在一天后，马斯克在推特上发起了一项调查，询问他是否应该出售特斯拉10%的股份。11月16日，也就是马斯克发起网络投票...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/9Noyf22GRi8XfqpW_-qXAQ\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/215d9919178d71d98a0717585d8d5338","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/9Noyf22GRi8XfqpW_-qXAQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155160398","content_text":"据英国《卫报》24日报道，据悉，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）正在调查特斯拉CEO埃隆马斯克及其兄弟金巴尔马斯克（Kimbal Musk）最近出售股票的行为是否“违反了内幕交易规则”。报道截图据报道，这项调查始于去年，当时金巴尔以1.08亿美元的价格出售了这家电动汽车制造商的股票，而就在一天后，马斯克在推特上发起了一项调查，询问他是否应该出售特斯拉10%的股份。11月16日，也就是马斯克发起网络投票的10天后，美国证券交易委员会发出传票，要求获得与一些金融数据相关的信息。报道称，自11月8日马斯克开始出售价值数十亿美元的股票以来，该公司股价已经下跌了约33%，而就在几天前，仍有58%参与投票的网民要求他出售该公司股票。报道称，这项调查将加剧马斯克与美国监管机构的争斗，目前美监管机构正在审查他的社交媒体帖子和特斯拉对员工的待遇，包括歧视指控。上周，特斯拉和马斯克指控美国证券交易委员会因马斯克直言不讳地批评政府，而遭到了“无休止的”和“无情的”调查骚扰。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":597,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848075308,"gmtCreate":1635950803492,"gmtModify":1635950808717,"author":{"id":"3576101773347099","authorId":"3576101773347099","name":"Cheehao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1599a64cf5777703d6bc5658156b8ebe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"想买却不敢买 没什么好后悔的[笑哭]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"想买却不敢买 没什么好后悔的[笑哭]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"想买却不敢买 没什么好后悔的[笑哭] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848075308","repostId":"1115571946","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1115571946","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635866804,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1115571946?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 23:26","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"英伟达创历史新高，今年涨幅已超100%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115571946","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"Facebook等巨头对虚拟现实和元宇宙的投资将让英伟达受益，让投资人有更多想像空间。","content":"<p>周二盘中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>涨超2%，股价续刷历史新高，总市值接近6600亿美元。英伟达今年内的涨幅已超100%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11174ebec756acbaed8e3de613f95c0d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>有市场分析认为，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>等巨头对虚拟现实和元宇宙的投资将让英伟达受益，让投资人有更多想像空间。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英伟达创历史新高，今年涨幅已超100%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n英伟达创历史新高，今年涨幅已超100%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-11-02 23:26</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>周二盘中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>涨超2%，股价续刷历史新高，总市值接近6600亿美元。英伟达今年内的涨幅已超100%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11174ebec756acbaed8e3de613f95c0d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>有市场分析认为，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>等巨头对虚拟现实和元宇宙的投资将让英伟达受益，让投资人有更多想像空间。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7308276753c5ff6ceaac8e2cceebffd3","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115571946","content_text":"周二盘中，英伟达涨超2%，股价续刷历史新高，总市值接近6600亿美元。英伟达今年内的涨幅已超100%。\n\n有市场分析认为，Facebook等巨头对虚拟现实和元宇宙的投资将让英伟达受益，让投资人有更多想像空间。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":636,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840112086,"gmtCreate":1635605301581,"gmtModify":1635605301677,"author":{"id":"3576101773347099","authorId":"3576101773347099","name":"Cheehao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1599a64cf5777703d6bc5658156b8ebe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"期待回头","listText":"期待回头","text":"期待回头","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840112086","repostId":"1165498242","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165498242","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635516561,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165498242?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价站上1100美元，总市值达1.1万亿美元，现涨约2%；汽车租赁公司Hertz的临时CEO表示可能会将特斯拉电动汽车订单增加到20万辆。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/378239205db59dd5890fa2c5a8f057bf\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8350896f4f33c86bc28f200b67ab82b4","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165498242","content_text":"10月29日，特斯拉股价站上1100美元，总市值达1.1万亿美元，现涨约2%；汽车租赁公司Hertz的临时CEO表示可能会将特斯拉电动汽车订单增加到20万辆。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":594,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":884616797,"gmtCreate":1631886664419,"gmtModify":1632805573767,"author":{"id":"3576101773347099","authorId":"3576101773347099","name":"Cheehao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1599a64cf5777703d6bc5658156b8ebe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/G13.SI\">$云顶新加坡(G13.SI)$</a>100股[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>&nbsp;公司的财报解读，原因有2点；1是这是一家巨头公司，分析起来非常耗时耗精力，2是因为这种公司有不少机构或者专业投资人会进行分析并发布财报解读的，他们发布的资讯足够详细，足够说明问题。但自从英特尔在7月23日发布财报后，我发现了个问题——绝大多数的分析都在唱空英特尔，不少报告都用英特尔对比<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$AMD(AMD)$</a>&nbsp;、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a>&nbsp;、甚至<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a>&nbsp;，而且得出结论，是因为英特尔老了，没什么潜力，因此股价出现了下跌。那么真的是这样吗？还是有什么其他问题引起的因特尔股价下跌呢？在开始之前，我们简单的梳理下英特尔、英伟达、AMD和台积电这几家公司的关系。评估英特尔到底是跟其自身比较，还是要找对标公司呢？简单来说，在之前如果装一台电脑的话，CPU是英特尔，显卡是英伟达，要是预算不够多，咱们就AMD和ATI，代工就是台积电，后面随着时间演变，AMD和ATI合并成为了AMD，但是在显卡和CPU的争端上AMD也越来越中流化，这三家公司曾经三分天下，大家互为竞争，又各守一方，具体的三方大战，错综复杂，谁都想把对方弄死，但是又弄不死，三方僵持很长时间都未能一决生死。台积电呢，就在后面代工，就好像如今的某个国家，你们打你们的，你们谁要武器，我就卖给谁，故事的精彩程度不比","text":"起初我并没准备写$英特尔(INTC)$ 公司的财报解读，原因有2点；1是这是一家巨头公司，分析起来非常耗时耗精力，2是因为这种公司有不少机构或者专业投资人会进行分析并发布财报解读的，他们发布的资讯足够详细，足够说明问题。但自从英特尔在7月23日发布财报后，我发现了个问题——绝大多数的分析都在唱空英特尔，不少报告都用英特尔对比$AMD(AMD)$ 、$英伟达(NVDA)$ 、甚至$台积电(TSM)$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>股价开盘后不断走高，截至发稿涨约1.2%，续刷历史高位。总市值超2.42万亿美元。</p>\n<p>苹果公司庞大的净资产已超过意大利、巴西、加拿大和俄罗斯等国的GDP。事实上，世界上只有7个国家的GDP高于苹果公司市值，意味着这家科技巨头比世界上高达96%的国家更富有。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c337968fa44608634d4c966c83a6e14\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c79d9ba94a347164a5cd3ec1bac06488","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128349172","content_text":"周五，苹果股价开盘后不断走高，截至发稿涨约1.2%，续刷历史高位。总市值超2.42万亿美元。\n苹果公司庞大的净资产已超过意大利、巴西、加拿大和俄罗斯等国的GDP。事实上，世界上只有7个国家的GDP高于苹果公司市值，意味着这家科技巨头比世界上高达96%的国家更富有。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":204,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":384521749,"gmtCreate":1613661795581,"gmtModify":1634552723835,"author":{"id":"3576101773347099","authorId":"3576101773347099","name":"Cheehao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1599a64cf5777703d6bc5658156b8ebe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies 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23:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"【异动】WSB概念股再添新丁，Tilray涨超7%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121892129","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月28日，大麻股Tilray涨超7%，盘中一度涨超9%；在Reddit的WSB论坛上，该股已经成为十大热门股票之一。","content":"<p>5月28日，大麻股Tilray涨超7%，盘中一度涨超9%；在Reddit的WSB论坛上，该股已经成为十大热门股票之一。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f718869821fd59d0ea632e1dc2dfa48d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>【异动】WSB概念股再添新丁，Tilray涨超7%</title>\n<style 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23:20</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>5月28日，大麻股Tilray涨超7%，盘中一度涨超9%；在Reddit的WSB论坛上，该股已经成为十大热门股票之一。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f718869821fd59d0ea632e1dc2dfa48d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ec51452295ac0124dcdc8a4db5658674","relate_stocks":{"TLRY":"Tilray Inc."},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121892129","content_text":"5月28日，大麻股Tilray涨超7%，盘中一度涨超9%；在Reddit的WSB论坛上，该股已经成为十大热门股票之一。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":102773896,"gmtCreate":1620257148215,"gmtModify":1634206682004,"author":{"id":"3576101773347099","authorId":"3576101773347099","name":"Cheehao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1599a64cf5777703d6bc5658156b8ebe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>&nbsp;还扶的起来吗[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>&nbsp;还扶的起来吗[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 还扶的起来吗[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89a1eb2ab1a620069cd5fe94bb677019","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102773896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363393974,"gmtCreate":1614092888098,"gmtModify":1634551199346,"author":{"id":"3576101773347099","authorId":"3576101773347099","name":"Cheehao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1599a64cf5777703d6bc5658156b8ebe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不冷静也没办法了🤣已经没得补仓了","listText":"不冷静也没办法了🤣已经没得补仓了","text":"不冷静也没办法了🤣已经没得补仓了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363393974","repostId":"1114793986","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114793986","pubTimestamp":1614088147,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114793986?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-23 21:49","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"巴菲特、达里奥、索罗斯等大师是如何应对股市下跌的？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114793986","media":"腾讯网","summary":"巴菲特表示当股市走跌时，不要密切关注股市表现，要保持冷静，长期持有。\n格雷厄姆：第一，永远不要亏损；第二，永远不要忘记第一条。\n达里奥表示，投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定，但屈从恐惧并不","content":"<p>巴菲特表示当股市走跌时，不要密切关注股市表现，要保持冷静，长期持有。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆：第一，永远不要亏损；第二，永远不要忘记第一条。</p>\n<p>达里奥表示，投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定，但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略，因为这样做并不会取得成功，要保持镇定，反向操作。</p>\n<p>彼得林奇称暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会：巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。</p>\n<p>索罗斯：要获得财富，做法就是认清其假象，投入其中，然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。</p>\n<p>吉姆·罗杰斯：买其所值，卖其疯狂。</p>\n<p>如果股市暴跌，普通投资者应该怎么办？</p>\n<p><b>一、大师们如何应对大跌？</b></p>\n<p><b>巴菲特：保持冷静，长期持有</b></p>\n<p>在股神巴菲特看来，投资者在面对股市剧烈波动时，最好的方法应该是保持冷静，并坚守长期持有的投资原则。</p>\n<p>作为拥有长达五十多年投资生涯的股神，巴菲特曾在2016年的一次采访中告诫投资者：「当股市走跌时，不要密切关注股市表现。如果一个投资者遇到股市下跌就忧心忡忡，然后想着等股市回升时就抛掉手中的股票，那么这种投资者最终不会获得理想汽车的回报。」</p>\n<p>一直以来，巴菲特都在强调长期投资是取得理想收益的重要因素。他认为，投资股市所获得的收益来自于长期持有优质公司的股票。如果投资者购买优质公司的股票，且持有这些股票10年、20年、30年之久，那么他们最终将会取得不错的回报。</p>\n<p>巴菲特曾在致股东的年度信中解释说，市场总是处于波动之中，因此对于每个投资者来说，无论投资经验深浅，最好的选择就是保持镇定。</p>\n<p>他写道：虽然通常情况下市场是理性的，但市场偶尔也会有疯狂之举。对于投资者而言，抓住机遇并不需要太多的智慧或经济学位。</p>\n<p>投资者需要的，仅仅是无视市场恐慌或狂热的能力，并将注意力集中在基本面上即可。另外，能在相当长的时期内保持无趣、甚至是愚蠢的意愿也十分重要。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆</p>\n<p>第一，永远不要亏损；第二，永远不要忘记第一条。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆是巴菲特的导师，证券分析之父，价值投资的鼻祖。1929年9月，道琼斯指数最高涨到381点，随后开始下跌。10月29日，道琼斯指数暴跌12%，这一天被形容为纽约交易所112年历史上「最糟糕的一天」，这就是历史上最著名的「黑色星期二」。</p>\n<p>1929年11月，道琼斯指数最低跌到198点，然后企稳反弹。到1930年3月，一度涨到286点，反弹幅度高达43%。于是许多投资者认为最坏的时期已经过去了，股市将要大反转。格雷厄姆也这样认为，于是他开始进场抄底。</p>\n<p>他抄的都是从价值评估上看非常便宜的好股票，为了取得更大的收益率，他还利用保证金进行杠杆操作。但股市反弹持续到4月份后又开始暴跌，道琼斯指数在1930年下跌33%，而格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达50.5%。</p>\n<p>至1932年7月，道琼斯指数达到最低点41点，从最高点381点算起，最大跌幅高达89%，而同期格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达78%，这场超级大熊市几乎让他倾家荡产。</p>\n<p>格雷厄姆后来重新东山再起，写出投资圣经《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》，总结出一个永恒的价值投资基本原则：安全边际。</p>\n<p>安全第一，赢利第二。</p>\n<p>达里奥：保持镇定，反向操作</p>\n<p>和巴菲特一样，全球最大对冲基金桥水基金创始人达里奥也认为，投资者在面对股市下跌时不必惊慌，应该保持冷静。</p>\n<p>达里奥表示，投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定，但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略，因为这样做并不会取得成功。</p>\n<p>相反，在市场走跌时，投资者需要进行反向操作，即当你不再感到恐惧时，你可能需要卖出；当你感到恐惧时，你也许需要买进。</p>\n<p>目前，桥水基金已成为全球最大对冲基金公司，管理的资产规模高达1500亿美元。</p>\n<p>在《原则》一书中，达里奥分享了他在市场崩盘中学到的三件事情：第一，不应该离谱地过度自信，并放纵自己被情绪左右。无论我知道多少东西，无论我多么勤奋，我都不应该自信地做出绝对的断言。</p>\n<p>第二，我再次领会到研究历史的价值；第三，把握市场的时机相当困难。成为一个成功投资者的要决之一，是只对你有高度信心的投资对象进行冒险押注，并对这些对象进行充分的分散投资。</p>\n<p>明智的人在经历各种沉浮时都始终盯稳健的基本面；而轻浮的人跟着感觉走，做出情绪化的反应，对于热门的东西一拥而上，不热的时候又马上放弃。</p>\n<p>想要拥有很多优势，而又不暴露于不可接受的劣势之下，最稳妥的方式是做出一系列良好的、互不相关的押注，彼此平衡，相互补充。</p>\n<p>彼得·林奇</p>\n<p>股市波动的历史规律告诉我们，所有的大跌都会过去，股市永远会涨得更高。历史经验还表明，股市大跌其实是释放风险，创造投资的一次好机会，能以很低的价格买入那些很优秀的公司股票。但抄底并没有那么简单。与其去不断抄「底」，不断被套，不如等底部出现后再介入不迟。</p>\n<p>1987年美国股市大崩盘时，很多人由百万富翁沦为赤贫，精神崩溃甚至自杀。当时美国证券界超级巨星彼得·林奇管理着100多亿美元的麦哲伦基金，一天之内基金资产净值损失了18%，损失高达20亿美元。</p>\n<p>林奇和所有开放式基金经理一样，只有一个选择：抛售股票。为了应付非比寻常的巨额赎回，林奇不得不把股票都卖了。</p>\n<p>过了一年多，彼得·林奇回忆起来仍然感到害怕，「在那一时刻，我真的不能确定，到底是到了世界末日，还是我们即将陷入一场严重的经济大萧条，又或者是事情还没变得那么糟糕，仅仅只是华尔街即将完蛋？」</p>\n<p>之后彼得林奇继续经历过很多次股市大跌，但仍然取得了非常成功的绩效。</p>\n<p>第一，不要因恐慌而全部贱价抛出股票。如果你在股市暴跌中绝望地卖出股票，那么你的卖出价格往往会非常之低。1987年10月的行情让人感到惊恐不安，但没必要在这一天或第二天把股票抛出。</p>\n<p>当年11月份股市开始稳步上扬。到1988年6月，市场已经反弹了400多点，也就是说涨幅超过了23%。</p>\n<p>第二，对持有的好公司股票要有坚定的勇气。第三，要敢于低价买入好公司股票。暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会：巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。</p>\n<p>索罗斯</p>\n<p>世界经济史是一部基于假象和谎言的连续剧。要获得财富，做法就是认清其假象，投入其中，然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。</p>\n<p>索罗斯1987年前认为日本股市泡沫巨大，放空日本股票，结果惨败，日本股市牛到了1989年。索罗斯在华尔街评论上鼓吹美国股市会坚挺，日本股市将会崩盘，而结果正好相反：美国股市崩盘了，日本股市却坚挺。</p>\n<p>1987年9月，索罗斯把几十亿美元的投资从东京转移到了华尔街。然而，首先出现大崩溃的不是日本证券市场，而恰恰是美国的华尔街。</p>\n<p>1987年10月19日，美国纽约道琼斯平均指数狂跌508点，创当时历史记录。在接下来的一个星期里，纽约股市一路下滑。而日本股市却相对坚挺。索罗斯决定抛售手中所持有的几个大的长期股票份额。</p>\n<p>其他的交易商捕捉到有关信息后，借机猛烈向下砸被抛售的股票，使期货的现金折扣降了20%。索罗斯在这场华尔街大崩溃中，损失了大约6.5亿到8亿美元。</p>\n<p>这场大崩溃使量子基金净资产跌落26.2%，远大于17%的美国股市的跌幅，索罗斯成了这场灾难的最大失败者。</p>\n<p>索罗斯当年的惨败原因归根结底是投机心理作祟，揣摩市场时机一意孤行的走到了巨额亏损的境地。</p>\n<p>错误并不可耻，可耻的是错误已经显而易见了还不去修正。承担风险，无可指责。但同时记住千万不能孤注一掷。对错都不重要，关键是弄错的时候你损失了多少，判断正确的时候又赚了多少。</p>\n<p>吉姆·罗杰斯：买其所值，卖其疯狂</p>\n<p>华尔街投资大师吉姆·罗杰斯曾指出，应该耐心等待好时机，赚了钱获利了结，然后等待下一次机会。如此，才可以战胜别人。</p>\n<p>市场走势时常会呈现长期的低迷不振，为了避免使资金陷入一潭死水的市场中，投资者应该等待能够改变市场走势的催化因素出现。买其所值，卖其疯狂。</p>\n<p>菲利普·费雪</p>\n<p>菲利普·费雪是现代投资理论的开路先锋之一，成长股投资策略之父，教父级的投资大师，华尔街极受尊重和推崇的投资家之一。</p>\n<p>要学会花很多时间来研究，并不急于买入。在一个连续下跌的市场环境中，不要过快地买入那些不熟悉的股票。</p>\n<p>1929年美国股市处在崩溃前的疯狂牛市中，但费雪发现美国许多产业前景不稳，股市有严重泡沫。</p>\n<p>1929年8月，他向银行高级主管提交了一份「25年来最严重的大空头市场将展开。」的报告。这可以说是费雪一生中最令人赞叹的股市预测，可惜的是费雪「看空做多」。</p>\n<p>他说：「我免不了被股市的魁力所惑。于是到处寻找一些还算便宜的股票，因为它们还没涨到位。」1929年10月美股突然崩溃，费雪也没有幸免于难，在股灾中他损失惨重，费雪亦血本无归。</p>\n<p>费雪开始明白，决定股票价格的主要因素，不是当年的P/E，而是未来几年的预期P/E。他说，若能培养自己的能力，在合理的上下限内确定某只股票未来几年可能的业绩，就能找到一把钥匙，不但能避免亏损，更能赚得厚利。</p>\n<p>比尔·米勒</p>\n<p>「我经常提醒我的分析师们，你们关于公司的信息100%代表了公司的过去，而股票的估值100%取决于未来。」</p>\n<p>米勒管理的Legg Mason价值型信托基金在1991—2005年这15年当中，连续战胜标准普尔500指数，创造了有史以来最辉煌的基金经理业绩记录，被誉为这个时代最成功的基金经理。然而，在短短一年时间里，这个荣誉就被他亲手毁掉了。</p>\n<p>在次贷危机中，很多原来非常优秀的公司股票连续大幅下跌，米勒认为投资者反应过度了，于是逆市买入。他本以为那次危机是一次大好的赚钱良机，结果危机却变成大萧条之后最惨重的大熊市。</p>\n<p>虽然过去15年来他逆向操作的投资决策事后都证明是正确的，但这次却栽得很惨。米勒的股票清单就像是这次危机中的「烈士榜」：AIG、贝尔斯登、房地美、花旗、华盛顿互助银行等。</p>\n<p>2008年，已经58岁的米勒接受采访时说：「从一开始我就没能恰当地估计到这场流动性危机的严重性」。</p>\n<p>尽管米勒以前经常从市场恐慌中赚钱，但他说，这次自己没想到危机会这么严重，基本面的问题如此之深，以至于曾贵为市场领头羊的优质上市公司居然统统倒下了。</p>\n<p>「我还是缺乏经验」，米勒说，「每一个买进股票的决定都是错的，真是太可怕了。」</p>\n<p>经验教训「任何超常发挥的投资组合，在某段时间内能成功，是因为具有价格错位的保险性。市场对这个未来数的估计是错的。我们通过比较市场，对此公司的估值以及我们自己对公司的估值，用多种要素组合的方法来找出价格错位。」</p>\n<p><b>二、股市暴跌，普通投资者怎么办？</b></p>\n<p>状况一：手中股票已经跌到成本区</p>\n<p>建议：在这种状况下，谨慎的投资者应该选择离场，比较激进的也要设置止损价，然后观察一两天再作出决定。不要盲目杀跌，也不要对自己买的股票有情绪，在这个时刻，头脑一定要清醒。</p>\n<p>状况二：手中股票已经出现亏损</p>\n<p>建议：这种亏损也需要分类对待，投资者可查看相关资料，如果手中股票属于基金重仓股，那么就不要盲目斩仓，甚至在大盘快速暴跌的情况下，可分批补仓，摊低成本，和基金死磕到底。（如遇熊市下跌过程中或股灾的时候，不适合用这条建议）</p>\n<p>而如果通过查看资料发现，该股票主力主要是由个别大户操纵的，这样的股票在市场持续不佳的情况下，投资者应该坚决出局，保住现金争取更大的主动性。因为这种股票的主力在大盘真正暴跌时一般不会护盘。</p>\n<p>另外，还有一些成交比较清淡的个股，没有明显主力介入的迹象，那么一定要设立止损价位，这种股票的性质主要以跟风为主，一旦跌破长期形成的平台，一定要坚决离场。</p>\n<p>状况三：手中一半是钱一半是股票</p>\n<p>建议：如果投资者这部分股票处于盈利状态，而市场趋势始终看不明朗，那么应将股票出掉，保留现金。毕竟市场中的机会很多，保留现金才能在市场中有更大的话语权。</p>\n<p>如果是手中这部分股票已经亏损，那么投资者应该选择市场在大幅下跌之后，并出现走稳趋向的时候，迅速补充自己手中的股票。而如果补仓后，该股当天涨幅较大，可当天做变相T+0，锁定一部分利润。</p>\n<p>状况四：手中都是钱想进场</p>\n<p>建议：如果是激进型的投资者，并有一定看盘能力的，可以根据市场情况抢反弹，但应以短线思维为主。</p>","source":"lsy1571985465872","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>巴菲特、达里奥、索罗斯等大师是如何应对股市下跌的？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n巴菲特、达里奥、索罗斯等大师是如何应对股市下跌的？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-02-23 21:49 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210223A0ADX600><strong>腾讯网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>巴菲特表示当股市走跌时，不要密切关注股市表现，要保持冷静，长期持有。\n格雷厄姆：第一，永远不要亏损；第二，永远不要忘记第一条。\n达里奥表示，投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定，但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略，因为这样做并不会取得成功，要保持镇定，反向操作。\n彼得林奇称暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会：巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。\n索罗斯：要获得财富，做法就是认清其假象，投入其中，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210223A0ADX600\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9beffeecb928009bf6287e307899ffe3","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20210223A0ADX600","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114793986","content_text":"巴菲特表示当股市走跌时，不要密切关注股市表现，要保持冷静，长期持有。\n格雷厄姆：第一，永远不要亏损；第二，永远不要忘记第一条。\n达里奥表示，投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定，但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略，因为这样做并不会取得成功，要保持镇定，反向操作。\n彼得林奇称暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会：巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。\n索罗斯：要获得财富，做法就是认清其假象，投入其中，然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。\n吉姆·罗杰斯：买其所值，卖其疯狂。\n如果股市暴跌，普通投资者应该怎么办？\n一、大师们如何应对大跌？\n巴菲特：保持冷静，长期持有\n在股神巴菲特看来，投资者在面对股市剧烈波动时，最好的方法应该是保持冷静，并坚守长期持有的投资原则。\n作为拥有长达五十多年投资生涯的股神，巴菲特曾在2016年的一次采访中告诫投资者：「当股市走跌时，不要密切关注股市表现。如果一个投资者遇到股市下跌就忧心忡忡，然后想着等股市回升时就抛掉手中的股票，那么这种投资者最终不会获得理想汽车的回报。」\n一直以来，巴菲特都在强调长期投资是取得理想收益的重要因素。他认为，投资股市所获得的收益来自于长期持有优质公司的股票。如果投资者购买优质公司的股票，且持有这些股票10年、20年、30年之久，那么他们最终将会取得不错的回报。\n巴菲特曾在致股东的年度信中解释说，市场总是处于波动之中，因此对于每个投资者来说，无论投资经验深浅，最好的选择就是保持镇定。\n他写道：虽然通常情况下市场是理性的，但市场偶尔也会有疯狂之举。对于投资者而言，抓住机遇并不需要太多的智慧或经济学位。\n投资者需要的，仅仅是无视市场恐慌或狂热的能力，并将注意力集中在基本面上即可。另外，能在相当长的时期内保持无趣、甚至是愚蠢的意愿也十分重要。\n格雷厄姆\n第一，永远不要亏损；第二，永远不要忘记第一条。\n格雷厄姆是巴菲特的导师，证券分析之父，价值投资的鼻祖。1929年9月，道琼斯指数最高涨到381点，随后开始下跌。10月29日，道琼斯指数暴跌12%，这一天被形容为纽约交易所112年历史上「最糟糕的一天」，这就是历史上最著名的「黑色星期二」。\n1929年11月，道琼斯指数最低跌到198点，然后企稳反弹。到1930年3月，一度涨到286点，反弹幅度高达43%。于是许多投资者认为最坏的时期已经过去了，股市将要大反转。格雷厄姆也这样认为，于是他开始进场抄底。\n他抄的都是从价值评估上看非常便宜的好股票，为了取得更大的收益率，他还利用保证金进行杠杆操作。但股市反弹持续到4月份后又开始暴跌，道琼斯指数在1930年下跌33%，而格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达50.5%。\n至1932年7月，道琼斯指数达到最低点41点，从最高点381点算起，最大跌幅高达89%，而同期格雷厄姆管理的基金亏损高达78%，这场超级大熊市几乎让他倾家荡产。\n格雷厄姆后来重新东山再起，写出投资圣经《证券分析》和《聪明的投资者》，总结出一个永恒的价值投资基本原则：安全边际。\n安全第一，赢利第二。\n达里奥：保持镇定，反向操作\n和巴菲特一样，全球最大对冲基金桥水基金创始人达里奥也认为，投资者在面对股市下跌时不必惊慌，应该保持冷静。\n达里奥表示，投资者在市场出现下跌时总是容易做出抛售的决定，但屈从恐惧并不是个明智的策略，因为这样做并不会取得成功。\n相反，在市场走跌时，投资者需要进行反向操作，即当你不再感到恐惧时，你可能需要卖出；当你感到恐惧时，你也许需要买进。\n目前，桥水基金已成为全球最大对冲基金公司，管理的资产规模高达1500亿美元。\n在《原则》一书中，达里奥分享了他在市场崩盘中学到的三件事情：第一，不应该离谱地过度自信，并放纵自己被情绪左右。无论我知道多少东西，无论我多么勤奋，我都不应该自信地做出绝对的断言。\n第二，我再次领会到研究历史的价值；第三，把握市场的时机相当困难。成为一个成功投资者的要决之一，是只对你有高度信心的投资对象进行冒险押注，并对这些对象进行充分的分散投资。\n明智的人在经历各种沉浮时都始终盯稳健的基本面；而轻浮的人跟着感觉走，做出情绪化的反应，对于热门的东西一拥而上，不热的时候又马上放弃。\n想要拥有很多优势，而又不暴露于不可接受的劣势之下，最稳妥的方式是做出一系列良好的、互不相关的押注，彼此平衡，相互补充。\n彼得·林奇\n股市波动的历史规律告诉我们，所有的大跌都会过去，股市永远会涨得更高。历史经验还表明，股市大跌其实是释放风险，创造投资的一次好机会，能以很低的价格买入那些很优秀的公司股票。但抄底并没有那么简单。与其去不断抄「底」，不断被套，不如等底部出现后再介入不迟。\n1987年美国股市大崩盘时，很多人由百万富翁沦为赤贫，精神崩溃甚至自杀。当时美国证券界超级巨星彼得·林奇管理着100多亿美元的麦哲伦基金，一天之内基金资产净值损失了18%，损失高达20亿美元。\n林奇和所有开放式基金经理一样，只有一个选择：抛售股票。为了应付非比寻常的巨额赎回，林奇不得不把股票都卖了。\n过了一年多，彼得·林奇回忆起来仍然感到害怕，「在那一时刻，我真的不能确定，到底是到了世界末日，还是我们即将陷入一场严重的经济大萧条，又或者是事情还没变得那么糟糕，仅仅只是华尔街即将完蛋？」\n之后彼得林奇继续经历过很多次股市大跌，但仍然取得了非常成功的绩效。\n第一，不要因恐慌而全部贱价抛出股票。如果你在股市暴跌中绝望地卖出股票，那么你的卖出价格往往会非常之低。1987年10月的行情让人感到惊恐不安，但没必要在这一天或第二天把股票抛出。\n当年11月份股市开始稳步上扬。到1988年6月，市场已经反弹了400多点，也就是说涨幅超过了23%。\n第二，对持有的好公司股票要有坚定的勇气。第三，要敢于低价买入好公司股票。暴跌是赚大钱的最好机会：巨大的财富往往就是在这种股市大跌中才有机会赚到。\n索罗斯\n世界经济史是一部基于假象和谎言的连续剧。要获得财富，做法就是认清其假象，投入其中，然后在假象被公众认识之前退出游戏。\n索罗斯1987年前认为日本股市泡沫巨大，放空日本股票，结果惨败，日本股市牛到了1989年。索罗斯在华尔街评论上鼓吹美国股市会坚挺，日本股市将会崩盘，而结果正好相反：美国股市崩盘了，日本股市却坚挺。\n1987年9月，索罗斯把几十亿美元的投资从东京转移到了华尔街。然而，首先出现大崩溃的不是日本证券市场，而恰恰是美国的华尔街。\n1987年10月19日，美国纽约道琼斯平均指数狂跌508点，创当时历史记录。在接下来的一个星期里，纽约股市一路下滑。而日本股市却相对坚挺。索罗斯决定抛售手中所持有的几个大的长期股票份额。\n其他的交易商捕捉到有关信息后，借机猛烈向下砸被抛售的股票，使期货的现金折扣降了20%。索罗斯在这场华尔街大崩溃中，损失了大约6.5亿到8亿美元。\n这场大崩溃使量子基金净资产跌落26.2%，远大于17%的美国股市的跌幅，索罗斯成了这场灾难的最大失败者。\n索罗斯当年的惨败原因归根结底是投机心理作祟，揣摩市场时机一意孤行的走到了巨额亏损的境地。\n错误并不可耻，可耻的是错误已经显而易见了还不去修正。承担风险，无可指责。但同时记住千万不能孤注一掷。对错都不重要，关键是弄错的时候你损失了多少，判断正确的时候又赚了多少。\n吉姆·罗杰斯：买其所值，卖其疯狂\n华尔街投资大师吉姆·罗杰斯曾指出，应该耐心等待好时机，赚了钱获利了结，然后等待下一次机会。如此，才可以战胜别人。\n市场走势时常会呈现长期的低迷不振，为了避免使资金陷入一潭死水的市场中，投资者应该等待能够改变市场走势的催化因素出现。买其所值，卖其疯狂。\n菲利普·费雪\n菲利普·费雪是现代投资理论的开路先锋之一，成长股投资策略之父，教父级的投资大师，华尔街极受尊重和推崇的投资家之一。\n要学会花很多时间来研究，并不急于买入。在一个连续下跌的市场环境中，不要过快地买入那些不熟悉的股票。\n1929年美国股市处在崩溃前的疯狂牛市中，但费雪发现美国许多产业前景不稳，股市有严重泡沫。\n1929年8月，他向银行高级主管提交了一份「25年来最严重的大空头市场将展开。」的报告。这可以说是费雪一生中最令人赞叹的股市预测，可惜的是费雪「看空做多」。\n他说：「我免不了被股市的魁力所惑。于是到处寻找一些还算便宜的股票，因为它们还没涨到位。」1929年10月美股突然崩溃，费雪也没有幸免于难，在股灾中他损失惨重，费雪亦血本无归。\n费雪开始明白，决定股票价格的主要因素，不是当年的P/E，而是未来几年的预期P/E。他说，若能培养自己的能力，在合理的上下限内确定某只股票未来几年可能的业绩，就能找到一把钥匙，不但能避免亏损，更能赚得厚利。\n比尔·米勒\n「我经常提醒我的分析师们，你们关于公司的信息100%代表了公司的过去，而股票的估值100%取决于未来。」\n米勒管理的Legg Mason价值型信托基金在1991—2005年这15年当中，连续战胜标准普尔500指数，创造了有史以来最辉煌的基金经理业绩记录，被誉为这个时代最成功的基金经理。然而，在短短一年时间里，这个荣誉就被他亲手毁掉了。\n在次贷危机中，很多原来非常优秀的公司股票连续大幅下跌，米勒认为投资者反应过度了，于是逆市买入。他本以为那次危机是一次大好的赚钱良机，结果危机却变成大萧条之后最惨重的大熊市。\n虽然过去15年来他逆向操作的投资决策事后都证明是正确的，但这次却栽得很惨。米勒的股票清单就像是这次危机中的「烈士榜」：AIG、贝尔斯登、房地美、花旗、华盛顿互助银行等。\n2008年，已经58岁的米勒接受采访时说：「从一开始我就没能恰当地估计到这场流动性危机的严重性」。\n尽管米勒以前经常从市场恐慌中赚钱，但他说，这次自己没想到危机会这么严重，基本面的问题如此之深，以至于曾贵为市场领头羊的优质上市公司居然统统倒下了。\n「我还是缺乏经验」，米勒说，「每一个买进股票的决定都是错的，真是太可怕了。」\n经验教训「任何超常发挥的投资组合，在某段时间内能成功，是因为具有价格错位的保险性。市场对这个未来数的估计是错的。我们通过比较市场，对此公司的估值以及我们自己对公司的估值，用多种要素组合的方法来找出价格错位。」\n二、股市暴跌，普通投资者怎么办？\n状况一：手中股票已经跌到成本区\n建议：在这种状况下，谨慎的投资者应该选择离场，比较激进的也要设置止损价，然后观察一两天再作出决定。不要盲目杀跌，也不要对自己买的股票有情绪，在这个时刻，头脑一定要清醒。\n状况二：手中股票已经出现亏损\n建议：这种亏损也需要分类对待，投资者可查看相关资料，如果手中股票属于基金重仓股，那么就不要盲目斩仓，甚至在大盘快速暴跌的情况下，可分批补仓，摊低成本，和基金死磕到底。（如遇熊市下跌过程中或股灾的时候，不适合用这条建议）\n而如果通过查看资料发现，该股票主力主要是由个别大户操纵的，这样的股票在市场持续不佳的情况下，投资者应该坚决出局，保住现金争取更大的主动性。因为这种股票的主力在大盘真正暴跌时一般不会护盘。\n另外，还有一些成交比较清淡的个股，没有明显主力介入的迹象，那么一定要设立止损价位，这种股票的性质主要以跟风为主，一旦跌破长期形成的平台，一定要坚决离场。\n状况三：手中一半是钱一半是股票\n建议：如果投资者这部分股票处于盈利状态，而市场趋势始终看不明朗，那么应将股票出掉，保留现金。毕竟市场中的机会很多，保留现金才能在市场中有更大的话语权。\n如果是手中这部分股票已经亏损，那么投资者应该选择市场在大幅下跌之后，并出现走稳趋向的时候，迅速补充自己手中的股票。而如果补仓后，该股当天涨幅较大，可当天做变相T+0，锁定一部分利润。\n状况四：手中都是钱想进场\n建议：如果是激进型的投资者，并有一定看盘能力的，可以根据市场情况抢反弹，但应以短线思维为主。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":808121811,"gmtCreate":1627565968833,"gmtModify":1631888703222,"author":{"id":"3576101773347099","authorId":"3576101773347099","name":"Cheehao","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1599a64cf5777703d6bc5658156b8ebe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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