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Why oil prices may shoot at least 15% higher: Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：为什么油价可能上涨至少15%</blockquote>

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21:09","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Why oil prices may shoot at least 15% higher: Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：为什么油价可能上涨至少15%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180733695","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"Supply constraints and a global economyrapidly reboundingfrom the debilitating COVID-19 pandemic lay","content":"<p>Supply constraints and a global economyrapidly reboundingfrom the debilitating COVID-19 pandemic lays the foundation for much higher oil prices, Goldman Sachs global head of commodities research Jeffrey Currie argues.</p><p><blockquote>高盛全球大宗商品研究主管杰弗里·柯里(Jeffrey Currie)认为，供应限制和全球经济从日益衰弱的COVID-19大流行中迅速反弹为油价大幅上涨奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> \"Near term our highest conviction long is oil where we still see brent [crude oil] averaging $80/bbl this third quarter with potential spikes well above $80/bbl. Global demand likely rose to 97.0 million barrels a day in recent days from 95.0 million barrels a day just a few weeks ago as the U.S. passes the baton to Europe and emerging markets, where even India is beginning to show improvements,\" Currie said in a new research note to clients on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>“短期内，我们对多头最有信心的是石油，我们仍然认为布伦特原油第三季度平均价格为80美元/桶，并有可能飙升至80美元/桶以上。最近几天，全球需求可能从9500万桶/桶升至9700万桶/桶。随着美国将接力棒传递给欧洲和新兴市场，甚至印度也开始出现改善，”柯里周五在给客户的一份新研究报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, oil prices have had a bullish bias of late.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，油价最近出现了看涨倾向。</blockquote></p><p> At more than$73 a barrel currently, brent crude oil prices are trading at levels not seen since the fall of 2018. The price of brent crude isup about 55% year-to-date.</p><p><blockquote>布伦特原油价格目前超过每桶73美元，处于2018年秋季以来的最高水平。今年迄今，布伦特原油价格上涨了约55%。</blockquote></p><p> Recent gains in the oil patch have been fueled by indications of strong demand meeting low levels of supply.</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明强劲的需求满足了低水平的供应，推动了石油领域最近的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported this week that U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 7.4 million barrels for the week ended June 11. Meanwhile, the National Bureau of Statistics reported that crude oil throughput in China for May rose 4.4% versus last year to hit a record high.</p><p><blockquote>美国能源信息署（EIA）本周报告称，截至6月11日当周，美国原油库存减少740万桶。与此同时，国家统计局报告称，5月份中国原油吞吐量同比增长4.4%，创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Warns Goldman's Currie, \"With such robust demand growth against an almost inelastic supply curve outside of core OPEC+ (GCC + Russia), the global oil market is facing its deepest deficits since last summer at nearly 3.0 million barrels a day. With refiners quickly responding to small improvements in margins, petroleum product supplies have broadly matched this jump in end-use demand, leaving this deficit almost entirely in crude. We expect further demand increases towards 99.0 million barrels a day by August of which half can be accounted for purely from DM seasonality alone. By then the entire global post-COVID surplus will likely have vanished, by which point we believe elevated crude oil prices could be the catalyst to refocus the market on the reflation trade.\"</p><p><blockquote>高盛的柯里警告说，“在核心欧佩克+（海湾合作委员会+俄罗斯）之外，需求增长如此强劲，而供应曲线几乎没有弹性，全球石油市场正面临自去年夏天以来最严重的赤字，接近300万桶/日。随着炼油商迅速对利润率的小幅改善做出反应，石油产品供应与最终用途需求的增长基本匹配，这一赤字几乎完全来自原油。我们预计到8月份需求将进一步增加至每天9900万桶，其中一半可以完全归因于DM季节性。到那时，整个全球新冠疫情后的盈余可能会消失，届时我们认为原油价格上涨可能会成为市场重新关注通货再膨胀交易的催化剂。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why oil prices may shoot at least 15% higher: Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：为什么油价可能上涨至少15%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy oil prices may shoot at least 15% higher: Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：为什么油价可能上涨至少15%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">finance.yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 21:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Supply constraints and a global economyrapidly reboundingfrom the debilitating COVID-19 pandemic lays the foundation for much higher oil prices, Goldman Sachs global head of commodities research Jeffrey Currie argues.</p><p><blockquote>高盛全球大宗商品研究主管杰弗里·柯里(Jeffrey Currie)认为，供应限制和全球经济从日益衰弱的COVID-19大流行中迅速反弹为油价大幅上涨奠定了基础。</blockquote></p><p> \"Near term our highest conviction long is oil where we still see brent [crude oil] averaging $80/bbl this third quarter with potential spikes well above $80/bbl. Global demand likely rose to 97.0 million barrels a day in recent days from 95.0 million barrels a day just a few weeks ago as the U.S. passes the baton to Europe and emerging markets, where even India is beginning to show improvements,\" Currie said in a new research note to clients on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>“短期内，我们对多头最有信心的是石油，我们仍然认为布伦特原油第三季度平均价格为80美元/桶，并有可能飙升至80美元/桶以上。最近几天，全球需求可能从9500万桶/桶升至9700万桶/桶。随着美国将接力棒传递给欧洲和新兴市场，甚至印度也开始出现改善，”柯里周五在给客户的一份新研究报告中表示。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, oil prices have had a bullish bias of late.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，油价最近出现了看涨倾向。</blockquote></p><p> At more than$73 a barrel currently, brent crude oil prices are trading at levels not seen since the fall of 2018. The price of brent crude isup about 55% year-to-date.</p><p><blockquote>布伦特原油价格目前超过每桶73美元，处于2018年秋季以来的最高水平。今年迄今，布伦特原油价格上涨了约55%。</blockquote></p><p> Recent gains in the oil patch have been fueled by indications of strong demand meeting low levels of supply.</p><p><blockquote>有迹象表明强劲的需求满足了低水平的供应，推动了石油领域最近的上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported this week that U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 7.4 million barrels for the week ended June 11. Meanwhile, the National Bureau of Statistics reported that crude oil throughput in China for May rose 4.4% versus last year to hit a record high.</p><p><blockquote>美国能源信息署（EIA）本周报告称，截至6月11日当周，美国原油库存减少740万桶。与此同时，国家统计局报告称，5月份中国原油吞吐量同比增长4.4%，创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Warns Goldman's Currie, \"With such robust demand growth against an almost inelastic supply curve outside of core OPEC+ (GCC + Russia), the global oil market is facing its deepest deficits since last summer at nearly 3.0 million barrels a day. With refiners quickly responding to small improvements in margins, petroleum product supplies have broadly matched this jump in end-use demand, leaving this deficit almost entirely in crude. We expect further demand increases towards 99.0 million barrels a day by August of which half can be accounted for purely from DM seasonality alone. By then the entire global post-COVID surplus will likely have vanished, by which point we believe elevated crude oil prices could be the catalyst to refocus the market on the reflation trade.\"</p><p><blockquote>高盛的柯里警告说，“在核心欧佩克+（海湾合作委员会+俄罗斯）之外，需求增长如此强劲，而供应曲线几乎没有弹性，全球石油市场正面临自去年夏天以来最严重的赤字，接近300万桶/日。随着炼油商迅速对利润率的小幅改善做出反应，石油产品供应与最终用途需求的增长基本匹配，这一赤字几乎完全来自原油。我们预计到8月份需求将进一步增加至每天9900万桶，其中一半可以完全归因于DM季节性。到那时，整个全球新冠疫情后的盈余可能会消失，届时我们认为原油价格上涨可能会成为市场重新关注通货再膨胀交易的催化剂。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-oil-prices-may-shoot-at-least-15-higher-goldman-sachs-130028408.html\">finance.yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-oil-prices-may-shoot-at-least-15-higher-goldman-sachs-130028408.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180733695","content_text":"Supply constraints and a global economyrapidly reboundingfrom the debilitating COVID-19 pandemic lays the foundation for much higher oil prices, Goldman Sachs global head of commodities research Jeffrey Currie argues.\n\"Near term our highest conviction long is oil where we still see brent [crude oil] averaging $80/bbl this third quarter with potential spikes well above $80/bbl. Global demand likely rose to 97.0 million barrels a day in recent days from 95.0 million barrels a day just a few weeks ago as the U.S. passes the baton to Europe and emerging markets, where even India is beginning to show improvements,\" Currie said in a new research note to clients on Friday.\nTo be sure, oil prices have had a bullish bias of late.\nAt more than$73 a barrel currently, brent crude oil prices are trading at levels not seen since the fall of 2018. The price of brent crude isup about 55% year-to-date.\nRecent gains in the oil patch have been fueled by indications of strong demand meeting low levels of supply.\nThe Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported this week that U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 7.4 million barrels for the week ended June 11. Meanwhile, the National Bureau of Statistics reported that crude oil throughput in China for May rose 4.4% versus last year to hit a record high.\nWarns Goldman's Currie, \"With such robust demand growth against an almost inelastic supply curve outside of core OPEC+ (GCC + Russia), the global oil market is facing its deepest deficits since last summer at nearly 3.0 million barrels a day. With refiners quickly responding to small improvements in margins, petroleum product supplies have broadly matched this jump in end-use demand, leaving this deficit almost entirely in crude. We expect further demand increases towards 99.0 million barrels a day by August of which half can be accounted for purely from DM seasonality alone. By then the entire global post-COVID surplus will likely have vanished, by which point we believe elevated crude oil prices could be the catalyst to refocus the market on the reflation trade.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":143,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166749553,"gmtCreate":1624026172672,"gmtModify":1634023902256,"author":{"id":"3575706808486631","authorId":"3575706808486631","name":"lsc72","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575706808486631","authorIdStr":"3575706808486631"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$Apple(AAPL)$</a>p","listText":"<a 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