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Marcus1993

Marcus1993

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2021-05-26

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2021-04-29

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NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来2021年第一季度收益报告预览：寻找什么</blockquote>

2021-04-24

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2021-05-28

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2021-05-24

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2021-05-14

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2021-04-23

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2021-06-12

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Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>

2021-05-15

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2021-05-13

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11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118102755","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank ","content":"<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什(Michael Brush)就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被对十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足以撼动股市的高位，可能导致高达15%的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并让美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都会扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的正好相反。在我们讨论这个问题之前，我们先来看看从今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，当10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.452%升至1.7%左右时，股市是如何恐慌的吗？好吧，期待重演。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)经济学家弗兰齐斯卡·帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)以劳动力市场紧张和工资增长为由表示：“我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。”她的研究小组预计今年年底10年期国债收益率为2.25%，2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>与目前1.5%的水平相比，这将是一个很大的变化。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储缩减规模</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了央行缩减购债规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。FOMC是美联储制定货币政策的分支机构。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>《预测市场》一书的作者兼亚德尼研究主管埃德·亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)表示：“在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得‘实质性的进一步进展’。”鲍威尔多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得“实质性的进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼预测：“鉴于经济表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。”</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。Tapering是指美联储缩减购债规模。这收紧了货币供应，抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会导致股市出现“缩减恐慌”，这意味着标普500 SPX指数+0.19%、道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+0.04%和纳斯达克综合指数+0.35%等指数大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>在考虑如何为债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩政策可能引发的抛售做好准备时，要记住的关键事情是为什么会发生这些事情，以及历史告诉我们股票的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减购债规模和债券收益率上升会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但这实际上不是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌——或者充其量是横盘震荡。但随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了这一局面并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩的发生是有帮助企业的充分理由的——强劲的经济增长。这大幅推高了盈利，从而将估值重置为较低——回落到投资者感到满意的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold市场策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。”“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，允许市场走高。这是一种健康的发展。”</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场亮点，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将推动标普500的盈利在年底前达到220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，这将使该指数的市盈率(P/E)降至18-19——接近或低于1990年以来的平均水平。“这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要去“防御性”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的“稳定性”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取防御措施，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性名称需要支付收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也会受到利率上升的打击，利率上升会使股息以及支付股息的股票和债券贬值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最佳方式是将您的投资组合与过热的经济挂钩。这是最佳利润增长和利润杠杆的地方，”保尔森说。“防御性药物是不会有这种感觉的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.与受益于增长的公司同行</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于快速的经济增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着周期性股票，如工业股、基础材料消费股、小盘股和国际股票。保尔森表示：“消费必需品和公用事业增长放缓将无法跟上市场增长领域的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17%和Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在2020年9月和2019年11月重温股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。尽管它们的股价分别上涨了48%和157%，即标普500的两到四倍，但我仍然喜欢并拥有这两家公司。最近的内部买入证实了他们在当前水平附近买入并持有。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。Lindblad提供专门的异国情调的邮轮冒险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、不脱销库存</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购股票可能很诱人。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握好时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须做出两个明智的决定，”亚德尼说。“你必须在修正之前退出，然后你必须决定何时重新加入。我不知道有多少人能始终如一地做到这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器通常会退出，不会再回来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“试图避免调整可能会给自己带来麻烦，”保尔森说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到2%或更高。因此，不要持有债券，当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌——除非您只是计划持有至到期以收取收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.选择财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济体通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着10年期国债的长期利率上升速度远快于短期利率。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年8月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什(Michael Brush)就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被对十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足以撼动股市的高位，可能导致高达15%的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并让美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都会扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的正好相反。在我们讨论这个问题之前，我们先来看看从今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，当10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.452%升至1.7%左右时，股市是如何恐慌的吗？好吧，期待重演。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)经济学家弗兰齐斯卡·帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)以劳动力市场紧张和工资增长为由表示：“我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。”她的研究小组预计今年年底10年期国债收益率为2.25%，2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>与目前1.5%的水平相比，这将是一个很大的变化。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储缩减规模</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了央行缩减购债规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。FOMC是美联储制定货币政策的分支机构。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>《预测市场》一书的作者兼亚德尼研究主管埃德·亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)表示：“在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得‘实质性的进一步进展’。”鲍威尔多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得“实质性的进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼预测：“鉴于经济表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。”</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。Tapering是指美联储缩减购债规模。这收紧了货币供应，抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会导致股市出现“缩减恐慌”，这意味着标普500 SPX指数+0.19%、道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+0.04%和纳斯达克综合指数+0.35%等指数大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>在考虑如何为债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩政策可能引发的抛售做好准备时，要记住的关键事情是为什么会发生这些事情，以及历史告诉我们股票的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减购债规模和债券收益率上升会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但这实际上不是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌——或者充其量是横盘震荡。但随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了这一局面并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩的发生是有帮助企业的充分理由的——强劲的经济增长。这大幅推高了盈利，从而将估值重置为较低——回落到投资者感到满意的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold市场策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。”“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，允许市场走高。这是一种健康的发展。”</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场亮点，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将推动标普500的盈利在年底前达到220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，这将使该指数的市盈率(P/E)降至18-19——接近或低于1990年以来的平均水平。“这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要去“防御性”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的“稳定性”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取防御措施，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性名称需要支付收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也会受到利率上升的打击，利率上升会使股息以及支付股息的股票和债券贬值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最佳方式是将您的投资组合与过热的经济挂钩。这是最佳利润增长和利润杠杆的地方，”保尔森说。“防御性药物是不会有这种感觉的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.与受益于增长的公司同行</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于快速的经济增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着周期性股票，如工业股、基础材料消费股、小盘股和国际股票。保尔森表示：“消费必需品和公用事业增长放缓将无法跟上市场增长领域的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17%和Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在2020年9月和2019年11月重温股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。尽管它们的股价分别上涨了48%和157%，即标普500的两到四倍，但我仍然喜欢并拥有这两家公司。最近的内部买入证实了他们在当前水平附近买入并持有。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。Lindblad提供专门的异国情调的邮轮冒险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、不脱销库存</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购股票可能很诱人。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握好时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须做出两个明智的决定，”亚德尼说。“你必须在修正之前退出，然后你必须决定何时重新加入。我不知道有多少人能始终如一地做到这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器通常会退出，不会再回来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“试图避免调整可能会给自己带来麻烦，”保尔森说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到2%或更高。因此，不要持有债券，当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌——除非您只是计划持有至到期以收取收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.选择财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济体通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着10年期国债的长期利率上升速度远快于短期利率。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年8月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118102755","content_text":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.\nThe reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.\nThe government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nWhat should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.\nRising yields\nRemember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.\n“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.\nThat’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.\nFed tapering\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.\n“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.\n“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.\nHe thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.\nAs we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.\nHow to prepare\nWhen considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.\nThe consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.\nYes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.\n“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”\nLooking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.\nYour five-point game plan\n1. Do not go to “defensives”\nWhen people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.\n“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”\n2. Go with companies that benefit from growth\nSince rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.\nI first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.\n3. Do not get out of stocks\nIf you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.\n“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”\nMarket timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.\n4. Do not own bonds\nBond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.\n5. Go with financials\nStrong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.\nThe strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135774748,"gmtCreate":1622189571284,"gmtModify":1634183008463,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135774748","repostId":"2138105564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135056363,"gmtCreate":1622123597752,"gmtModify":1634183654882,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135056363","repostId":"2138120575","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2047,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136907205,"gmtCreate":1621988647907,"gmtModify":1634184984249,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136907205","repostId":"2138196118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138196113,"gmtCreate":1621915698632,"gmtModify":1634185518970,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138196113","repostId":"2137130270","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131963878,"gmtCreate":1621821944094,"gmtModify":1634186347650,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131963878","repostId":"2137827351","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":133332880,"gmtCreate":1621696243140,"gmtModify":1634187098818,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/133332880","repostId":"1111747453","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111747453","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621609858,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1111747453?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-21 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla’s New Plaid Model Is Ready. That Should Help the Stock.<blockquote>特斯拉的新格子模型准备好了。这应该会对股票有所帮助。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111747453","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s updated Model S sedan is ready.CEO Elon Musk tweeted out Thursday that his company will host a delivery event for the Plaid model of its Model S electric car on June 3. That is a milestone investors who are bullish on Tesla stock have been waiting for, but it isn’t the most important one.Tesla stock rose 4.1% amid a broad market rally Thursday, but the gain still left shares down for the week. Tesla stock was up another 0.8% in Friday trading, a touch better than the 0.7% gain in the Dow","content":"<p>Tesla’s updated Model S sedan is ready.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉更新的Model S轿车已准备就绪。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Elon Musk tweeted out Thursday that his company will host a delivery event for the Plaid model of its Model S electric car on June 3. That is a milestone investors who are bullish on Tesla stock have been waiting for, but it isn’t the most important one.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)周四在推特上表示，他的公司将于6月3日举办Model S电动汽车格子模型的交付活动。这是看好特斯拉股票的投资者一直在等待的一个里程碑，但这并不是最重要的一个。</blockquote></p><p> Beginning deliveries should help the stock—-a little.</p><p><blockquote>开始交付应该会对库存有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla(ticker: TSLA) stock rose 4.1% amid a broad market rally Thursday, but the gain still left shares down for the week. Tesla stock was up another 0.8% in Friday trading, a touch better than the 0.7% gain in the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average.The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;was up 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股价周四在大盘上涨中上涨4.1%，但这一涨幅仍导致股价本周下跌。特斯拉股价在周五交易中又上涨了0.8%，略好于道琼斯工业平均指数0.7%的涨幅。标准普尔500指数上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73c480440da121bd6da538ca389d0ef\" tg-width=\"834\" tg-height=\"414\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Plaid is billed by Tesla as the fastest production car ever, going zero to 60 in under 2 seconds. A&nbsp;Bugatti Chiron, which costs about $2.3 million and is equipped with a 16-cylinder, four-turbocharger engine, can go zero to 60 in about 2.3 seconds.</p><p><blockquote>Plaid被特斯拉宣传为有史以来最快的量产车，从零加速到60英里只需不到2秒。布加迪Chiron售价约230万美元，配备16缸四涡轮增压发动机，可在约2.3秒内从零加速到60英里。</blockquote></p><p> Electric motors have better torque at zero revolutions a minute, giving drivers an incredible jolt from their initial acceleration.</p><p><blockquote>电动机在每分钟零转时具有更好的扭矩，让驾驶员在初始加速时感到难以置信的震动。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Plaid edition&nbsp;of the Model S won’t cost anywhere near as much as a Chiron, but it will still run buyers $120,000 or more. Prices like that mean the car won’t sell in the high volumes seen from the Tesla Model 3 or Model Y. Those cars can be had for what a nicely equipped sedan from&nbsp;BMW&nbsp;(BMW.Germany) or evenToyota Motor&nbsp;(TM) or&nbsp;Honda&nbsp;(HMC) can cost.</p><p><blockquote>格子版Model S的价格远不及Chiron，但买家仍需花费12万美元或更多。这样的价格意味着该车的销量不会像特斯拉Model 3或Model Y那样高。这些汽车的价格相当于宝马（BMW.Germany）或丰田汽车（TM）或本田（HMC）装备精良的轿车的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the launch highlights Tesla’s ability to update its designs. The first Model S went into production almost a decade ago. Its performance shows Tesla is improving on its technologies for battery management and electric motors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，此次发布凸显了特斯拉更新设计的能力。第一辆Model S大约十年前投入生产。其表现表明特斯拉正在改进其电池管理和电动机技术。</blockquote></p><p> All that is important for perceptions about Tesla, but there are bigger things on investors’ minds. Tesla is building new capacity in Austin, Texas, andBerlin. Investors want to see both plants on line by the end of the year, giving Tesla the output capacity needed to increase sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些对于人们对特斯拉的看法都很重要，但投资者还有更重要的事情要考虑。特斯拉正在奥斯丁、德克萨斯和柏林建设新产能。投资者希望看到这两家工厂在今年年底前上线，为特斯拉提供增加销售额所需的产能。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also want updates about the company’s autonomous driving programs. Musk has boasted the company is close to&nbsp;achieving fully autonomous cars&nbsp;with newer versions of its self-driving software. The new versions probably won’t mean drivers can actually leave the driver seat, but better driver-assistance functions are a competitive advantage for auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还希望了解该公司自动驾驶项目的最新情况。马斯克夸口说，该公司即将通过更新版本的自动驾驶软件实现全自动驾驶汽车。新版本可能并不意味着驾驶员实际上可以离开驾驶座，但更好的驾驶辅助功能是汽车制造商的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> The next version of the Tesla software is due to roll out in coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉软件的下一个版本将在未来几周内推出。</blockquote></p><p> Capacity and autonomous driving have the potential to lift the stock in coming years. The Model S Plaid can help it in coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>产能和自动驾驶有可能在未来几年提振该股。Model S Plaid可以在未来几个季度为其提供帮助。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is in need of a lift. Shares are down about 35% from their 52-week high of more than $900, reached in January.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票需要提振。股价较1月份触及的超过900美元的52周高点下跌了约35%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla’s New Plaid Model Is Ready. That Should Help the Stock.<blockquote>特斯拉的新格子模型准备好了。这应该会对股票有所帮助。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla’s New Plaid Model Is Ready. That Should Help the Stock.<blockquote>特斯拉的新格子模型准备好了。这应该会对股票有所帮助。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-21 23:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla’s updated Model S sedan is ready.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉更新的Model S轿车已准备就绪。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Elon Musk tweeted out Thursday that his company will host a delivery event for the Plaid model of its Model S electric car on June 3. That is a milestone investors who are bullish on Tesla stock have been waiting for, but it isn’t the most important one.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)周四在推特上表示，他的公司将于6月3日举办Model S电动汽车格子模型的交付活动。这是看好特斯拉股票的投资者一直在等待的一个里程碑，但这并不是最重要的一个。</blockquote></p><p> Beginning deliveries should help the stock—-a little.</p><p><blockquote>开始交付应该会对库存有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla(ticker: TSLA) stock rose 4.1% amid a broad market rally Thursday, but the gain still left shares down for the week. Tesla stock was up another 0.8% in Friday trading, a touch better than the 0.7% gain in the&nbsp;Dow Jones Industrial Average.The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;was up 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）股价周四在大盘上涨中上涨4.1%，但这一涨幅仍导致股价本周下跌。特斯拉股价在周五交易中又上涨了0.8%，略好于道琼斯工业平均指数0.7%的涨幅。标准普尔500指数上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b73c480440da121bd6da538ca389d0ef\" tg-width=\"834\" tg-height=\"414\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The Plaid is billed by Tesla as the fastest production car ever, going zero to 60 in under 2 seconds. A&nbsp;Bugatti Chiron, which costs about $2.3 million and is equipped with a 16-cylinder, four-turbocharger engine, can go zero to 60 in about 2.3 seconds.</p><p><blockquote>Plaid被特斯拉宣传为有史以来最快的量产车，从零加速到60英里只需不到2秒。布加迪Chiron售价约230万美元，配备16缸四涡轮增压发动机，可在约2.3秒内从零加速到60英里。</blockquote></p><p> Electric motors have better torque at zero revolutions a minute, giving drivers an incredible jolt from their initial acceleration.</p><p><blockquote>电动机在每分钟零转时具有更好的扭矩，让驾驶员在初始加速时感到难以置信的震动。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;Plaid edition&nbsp;of the Model S won’t cost anywhere near as much as a Chiron, but it will still run buyers $120,000 or more. Prices like that mean the car won’t sell in the high volumes seen from the Tesla Model 3 or Model Y. Those cars can be had for what a nicely equipped sedan from&nbsp;BMW&nbsp;(BMW.Germany) or evenToyota Motor&nbsp;(TM) or&nbsp;Honda&nbsp;(HMC) can cost.</p><p><blockquote>格子版Model S的价格远不及Chiron，但买家仍需花费12万美元或更多。这样的价格意味着该车的销量不会像特斯拉Model 3或Model Y那样高。这些汽车的价格相当于宝马（BMW.Germany）或丰田汽车（TM）或本田（HMC）装备精良的轿车的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the launch highlights Tesla’s ability to update its designs. The first Model S went into production almost a decade ago. Its performance shows Tesla is improving on its technologies for battery management and electric motors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，此次发布凸显了特斯拉更新设计的能力。第一辆Model S大约十年前投入生产。其表现表明特斯拉正在改进其电池管理和电动机技术。</blockquote></p><p> All that is important for perceptions about Tesla, but there are bigger things on investors’ minds. Tesla is building new capacity in Austin, Texas, andBerlin. Investors want to see both plants on line by the end of the year, giving Tesla the output capacity needed to increase sales.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些对于人们对特斯拉的看法都很重要，但投资者还有更重要的事情要考虑。特斯拉正在奥斯丁、德克萨斯和柏林建设新产能。投资者希望看到这两家工厂在今年年底前上线，为特斯拉提供增加销售额所需的产能。</blockquote></p><p> Investors also want updates about the company’s autonomous driving programs. Musk has boasted the company is close to&nbsp;achieving fully autonomous cars&nbsp;with newer versions of its self-driving software. The new versions probably won’t mean drivers can actually leave the driver seat, but better driver-assistance functions are a competitive advantage for auto makers.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还希望了解该公司自动驾驶项目的最新情况。马斯克夸口说，该公司即将通过更新版本的自动驾驶软件实现全自动驾驶汽车。新版本可能并不意味着驾驶员实际上可以离开驾驶座，但更好的驾驶辅助功能是汽车制造商的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> The next version of the Tesla software is due to roll out in coming weeks.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉软件的下一个版本将在未来几周内推出。</blockquote></p><p> Capacity and autonomous driving have the potential to lift the stock in coming years. The Model S Plaid can help it in coming quarters.</p><p><blockquote>产能和自动驾驶有可能在未来几年提振该股。Model S Plaid可以在未来几个季度为其提供帮助。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is in need of a lift. Shares are down about 35% from their 52-week high of more than $900, reached in January.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票需要提振。股价较1月份触及的超过900美元的52周高点下跌了约35%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-model-s-new-plaid-model-ready-51621608150?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-model-s-new-plaid-model-ready-51621608150?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111747453","content_text":"Tesla’s updated Model S sedan is ready.\nCEO Elon Musk tweeted out Thursday that his company will host a delivery event for the Plaid model of its Model S electric car on June 3. That is a milestone investors who are bullish on Tesla stock have been waiting for, but it isn’t the most important one.\nBeginning deliveries should help the stock—-a little.\nTesla(ticker: TSLA) stock rose 4.1% amid a broad market rally Thursday, but the gain still left shares down for the week. Tesla stock was up another 0.8% in Friday trading, a touch better than the 0.7% gain in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.The S&P 500 was up 0.5%.\n\nThe Plaid is billed by Tesla as the fastest production car ever, going zero to 60 in under 2 seconds. A Bugatti Chiron, which costs about $2.3 million and is equipped with a 16-cylinder, four-turbocharger engine, can go zero to 60 in about 2.3 seconds.\nElectric motors have better torque at zero revolutions a minute, giving drivers an incredible jolt from their initial acceleration.\nThe Plaid edition of the Model S won’t cost anywhere near as much as a Chiron, but it will still run buyers $120,000 or more. Prices like that mean the car won’t sell in the high volumes seen from the Tesla Model 3 or Model Y. Those cars can be had for what a nicely equipped sedan from BMW (BMW.Germany) or evenToyota Motor (TM) or Honda (HMC) can cost.\nStill, the launch highlights Tesla’s ability to update its designs. The first Model S went into production almost a decade ago. Its performance shows Tesla is improving on its technologies for battery management and electric motors.\nAll that is important for perceptions about Tesla, but there are bigger things on investors’ minds. Tesla is building new capacity in Austin, Texas, andBerlin. Investors want to see both plants on line by the end of the year, giving Tesla the output capacity needed to increase sales.\nInvestors also want updates about the company’s autonomous driving programs. Musk has boasted the company is close to achieving fully autonomous cars with newer versions of its self-driving software. The new versions probably won’t mean drivers can actually leave the driver seat, but better driver-assistance functions are a competitive advantage for auto makers.\nThe next version of the Tesla software is due to roll out in coming weeks.\nCapacity and autonomous driving have the potential to lift the stock in coming years. The Model S Plaid can help it in coming quarters.\nTesla stock is in need of a lift. Shares are down about 35% from their 52-week high of more than $900, reached in January.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2999,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130427096,"gmtCreate":1621562206915,"gmtModify":1634188075604,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130427096","repostId":"1117803311","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197726274,"gmtCreate":1621487656198,"gmtModify":1634188718614,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197726274","repostId":"2136947682","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195731387,"gmtCreate":1621314059749,"gmtModify":1634192507766,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195731387","repostId":"2136190968","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195390681,"gmtCreate":1621255626643,"gmtModify":1634193018884,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195390681","repostId":"2136993456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196138374,"gmtCreate":1621035266398,"gmtModify":1634194478072,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196138374","repostId":"1103478451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198703193,"gmtCreate":1620986963112,"gmtModify":1634194767984,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198703193","repostId":"2135945620","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191436413,"gmtCreate":1620897209332,"gmtModify":1634195475628,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1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11:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 States Likely to Legalize Marijuana Next<blockquote>接下来3个州可能将大麻合法化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156200747","media":"fool","summary":"Following years of debate, the green rush is fully under way in America. More than two-thirds of all","content":"<p>Following years of debate, the green rush is fully under way in America. More than two-thirds of all states have given the green light to medical marijuana, with 18 of these states having existing or pending legislation in place that allows for recreational cannabis to be consumed and/or sold.</p><p><blockquote>经过多年的争论，绿色热潮正在美国全面展开。超过三分之二的州已经为医用大麻开了绿灯，其中18个州已经有或即将出台的立法允许消费和/或销售娱乐性大麻。</blockquote></p><p>Support for nationwide legalization has also never been higher. Gallup's national poll on marijuana sentiment, which dates back 50 years, showed that arecord-high 68% of respondentswant pot legal, as of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>对全国合法化的支持也从未如此之高。盖洛普50年前的全国大麻情绪民意调查显示，截至2020年，创纪录的68%的受访者希望大麻合法。</blockquote></p><p><b>The U.S. is going green: Which states are next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国正在走向绿色：哪些州是下一个？</b></blockquote></p><p>Some folks believe that, with President Biden in the White House and Democrats narrowly retaking control of the Senate, cannabis reform legislation has a shot to pass at the federal level. However, President Biden has never been a fan of marijuana and specifically outlined baby steps toward decriminalization and rescheduling during his campaign. While certain reforms are possible (e.g., banking reform), legalization at the federal level likely isn't on the table.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为，随着拜登总统入主白宫，民主党以微弱优势重新控制参议院，大麻改革立法有机会在联邦层面获得通过。然而，拜登总统从来都不是大麻的粉丝，并在竞选期间特别概述了合法化和重新安排的小步。虽然某些改革是可能的（例如，银行改革），但联邦层面的合法化可能不会摆在桌面上。</blockquote></p><p>What is expected, though, is that we'll see additional states waving the green flag on marijuana. In November, wewitnessed a green sweep, with New Jersey, Arizona, Montana, South Dakota, and even deep-red state Mississippi, voting in favor of their respective cannabis ballot measures. Since then,New York, New Mexico, and Virginia have all signed adult-use initiatives into law, with varied implementation dates.</p><p><blockquote>然而，预计我们会看到更多的州在大麻问题上挥舞绿旗。11月，我们见证了一场绿色大扫除，新泽西州、亚利桑那州、蒙大拿州、南达科他州，甚至深红色的密西西比州都投票支持各自的大麻投票措施。从那以后，纽约州、新墨西哥州和弗吉尼亚州都签署了成人使用倡议成为法律，实施日期各不相同。</blockquote></p><p><b>The big question is: Which states are next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最大的问题是：下一个是哪些州？</b></blockquote></p><p>Had this question been posed a month ago, I'd have put the Sunshine State of Florida at or near the top of the list. It's no secret that legalization support groups have been focusing on Florida for the 2022 ballot. Unfortunately, the Florida Supreme Courtstruck down a proposed ballot initiativein a 5-2 vote on April 22 due to the phrasing that would be used on the ballot. This might kick the can(nabis) further down the road for one of the biggest moneymaker states for the pot industry.</p><p><blockquote>如果这个问题在一个月前提出，我会把阳光之州佛罗里达放在或接近列表的首位。众所周知，合法化支持团体一直在关注佛罗里达州的2022年投票。不幸的是，由于选票上使用的措辞，佛罗里达州最高法院在4月22日以5比2的投票结果否决了一项拟议的投票倡议。对于大麻行业最大的赚钱州之一来说，这可能会让罐头(nabis)走得更远。</blockquote></p><p>In my opinion, the three states likeliest to legalize recreational weed next are as follows.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，接下来最有可能将娱乐性大麻合法化的三个州如下。</blockquote></p><p><b>Connecticut</b></p><p><blockquote><b>康涅狄格州</b></blockquote></p><p>The only state left with areally good shot at legalizing adult-use cannabis in 2021is Connecticut. The Constitution State is in close proximity to a bunch of states that have already chosen to legalize recreational pot. In order to avoid losing tax revenue to these surrounding states, it only makes sense to advance a legalization bill.</p><p><blockquote>康涅狄格州是唯一一个很有可能在2021年将成人使用大麻合法化的州。宪法州与许多已经选择将娱乐大麻合法化的州非常接近。为了避免税收流失到这些周边州，只有推进合法化法案才有意义。</blockquote></p><p>Connecticut Gov. Ned Lamont, a Democrat, has been advocating for legalization for months. The good news is that Lamont is working with a state legislature that's overwhelmingly controlled by Democrats. Surveys, such as Gallup's, have consistently shown that people identifying as Democrats have a considerably more favorable view of cannabis than those who identity as Republican.</p><p><blockquote>康涅狄格州州长、民主党人内德·拉蒙特几个月来一直倡导合法化。好消息是拉蒙特正在与一个由民主党压倒性控制的州立法机构合作。盖洛普等调查一直显示，民主党人比共和党人对大麻的看法要好得多。</blockquote></p><p>One month ago, Connecticut's legislative Judiciary Committee approved Lamont's bill, albeit there is another bill also working its way through the legislative process. Lamont's bill would legalize recreational weed for those aged 21 and over, allow for the possession of up to 1.5 ounces of pot, and lets medical cannabis patients grow up to six plants for personal use.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，康涅狄格州立法司法委员会批准了拉蒙特的法案，尽管还有另一项法案也在立法程序中。拉蒙特的法案将使21岁及以上人群的娱乐性大麻合法化，允许拥有最多1.5盎司的大麻，并允许医用大麻患者种植最多6株供个人使用。</blockquote></p><p>If lawmakers can work out their differences, which primarily hinge around social equity factors included in the bill, Connecticut's legalization bill could be signed into law by or before July 2021. If not, it'll likely wind up on the 2022 ballot for the state's residents to decide.</p><p><blockquote>如果立法者能够解决他们的分歧，这主要取决于法案中包含的社会公平因素，康涅狄格州的合法化法案可能会在2021年7月或之前签署成为法律。如果没有，它可能会在2022年的投票中由该州居民决定。</blockquote></p><p><b>Minnesota</b></p><p><blockquote><b>明尼苏达州</b></blockquote></p><p>Next on the list is the Gopher State, Minnesota.</p><p><blockquote>名单上的下一个是地鼠州明尼苏达州。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike Connecticut, which has one party controlling its state's legislature, friction between Democrats and Republicans in Minnesota's legislature likely means a 2022 ballot initiative is what'll lead to legalization.</p><p><blockquote>与一党控制该州立法机构的康涅狄格州不同，明尼苏达州立法机构中民主党人和共和党人之间的摩擦可能意味着2022年的投票倡议将导致合法化。</blockquote></p><p>The core bill being considered in the state is officially known asHF600. It was introduced at the beginning of February and aims to legalize recreational marijuana. It allows adults aged 21 and up to possess up to 1.5 ounces of flower, and would also expunge low-level criminal offenses involving cannabis. To date, HF600 has passed not one, not two, but<i>nine</i>separate committee votes in the state's legislature.</p><p><blockquote>该州正在考虑的核心法案正式名称为asHF600。它于二月初推出，旨在使娱乐性大麻合法化。它允许21岁及以上的成年人拥有最多1.5盎司的鲜花，还将消除涉及大麻的低级刑事犯罪。迄今为止，HF600已经通过了不是一个，不是两个，而是<i>九</i>州立法机构的单独委员会投票。</blockquote></p><p>The next step for HF600 looks to be a vote in Minnesota's House, where Democrats hold a majority. However, virtually all progressive legislation is stymied by the Republican-led state Senate. History has shown that party-line votes are common in Minnesota, which makes it unlikely that we see the Gopher State's legislature green-light recreational weed in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>HF600的下一步看起来是在民主党占多数的明尼苏达州众议院进行投票。然而，几乎所有进步的立法都受到共和党领导的州参议院的阻挠。历史表明，党派投票在明尼苏达州很常见，这使得我们不太可能在2021年看到地鼠州的立法机构为休闲杂草开绿灯。</blockquote></p><p>Democrat Gov. Tim Waltz has made clear his support for legalizing cannabis. If the legislature doesn't do so, it's very likely that we'll see some form of ballot initiative brought in front of the people during the November 2022 midterms.</p><p><blockquote>民主党州长蒂姆·沃尔兹明确表示支持大麻合法化。如果立法机构不这样做，我们很可能会在2022年11月的中期选举中看到某种形式的投票倡议摆在人民面前。</blockquote></p><p><b>Hawaii</b></p><p><blockquote><b>夏威夷</b></blockquote></p><p>Lastly, the Aloha State looks to have a real shot at legalizing recreational marijuana -- but there is a catch.</p><p><blockquote>最后，阿罗哈州看起来很有可能将娱乐性大麻合法化，但有一个问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Hawaii's legislature has been predominantly packed with Democrats for years. Since Democrats have a very favorable view of weed, they've, on multiple occasions, passed legislation designed to legalize adult-use marijuana and expunge low-level convictions.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，夏威夷的立法机构一直主要由民主党人组成。由于民主党人对大麻有非常有利的看法，他们在多个场合通过了旨在使成人使用大麻合法化并删除低级别定罪的立法。</blockquote></p><p>So, why isn't it legal? Democrat Gov. David Ige is the answer.</p><p><blockquote>那么，为什么不合法呢？民主党州长大卫·伊格尔就是答案。</blockquote></p><p>In 2019, Ige vetoed two of three cannabis reform bills from his state's legislature -- he OK'd decriminalization for persons possessing up to three grams of flower -- and he's expressed serious concern about a pair of bills the state's legislature has been working on in 2021 concerning adult-use legalization and low-level expungement. Though Ige hasn't specifically said he'd veto cannabis legislation, the thinking is he will, especially given his previous vetoes and his views of cannabis as a Schedule I (i.e., illicit) substance at the federal level.</p><p><blockquote>2019年，Ige否决了该州立法机构的三项大麻改革法案中的两项——他同意将拥有最多三克大麻的人合法化——他对该州立法机构一直在努力的两项法案表示严重关切。2021年关于成人使用合法化和低级别驱逐。虽然Ige没有明确表示他会否决大麻立法，但人们认为他会的，特别是考虑到他以前的否决以及他对大麻在联邦层面作为附表一（即非法）物质的看法。</blockquote></p><p>The solution? Wait out Ige. Governors in Hawaii are limited to two terms, and Ige's is up on Dec. 5, 2022. The election of a new governor in November 2022 that would support adult-use cannabis could clear a quick path to legalization shortly after the midterm elections.</p><p><blockquote>解决办法？等等，伊格。夏威夷州州长任期仅限于两届，Ige的任期将于2022年12月5日届满。2022年11月选举支持成人使用大麻的新州长可能会在中期选举后不久为合法化扫清道路。</blockquote></p><p><b>U.S. multistate operators are going to shine</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国多州运营商将大放异彩</b></blockquote></p><p>No matter what happens at the federal level, it's plainly evident that the U.S. is wheremarijuana stockinvestors are going to want to put their money to work over the next five to 10 years. If New Frontier Data is correct, annualized growth will average 21% through 2025, pushing sales of legal weed in the U.S. to north of $41 billion. That's a lot of green for U.S. multistate operators to gobble up.</p><p><blockquote>无论联邦层面发生什么，很明显，美国是大麻股票投资者希望在未来五到十年内投入资金的地方。如果New Frontier的数据正确，到2025年，年平均增长率将达到21%，使美国合法大麻的销售额超过410亿美元。对于美国多州运营商来说，这是一个巨大的绿色空间。</blockquote></p><p>For example,<b>Green Thumb Industries</b>(OTC:GTBIF)would be uncorking the champagne if Connecticut were to legalize recreational pot. Green Thumb acquired its way into Connecticut and should, with its brand-name appeal, be an instant winner in the Constitution State. Green Thumb has 56 operating dispensaries at the moment, butholds licenses to open as many as 97 storesin a dozen states.</p><p><blockquote>例如，<b>绿拇指工业</b>如果康涅狄格州将休闲大麻合法化，（场外交易代码：GTBIF）将会打开香槟。Green Thumb进入了康涅狄格州，凭借其品牌吸引力，应该会在这个宪法州立即成为赢家。Green Thumb目前拥有56家运营药房，但持有在十几个州开设多达97家商店的许可证。</blockquote></p><p><b>Curaleaf</b>(OTC:CURLF)would be an expected beneficiary, too. Curaleafholds more than 130 retail licenses in the U.S.(including in Connecticut) and has been hell-bent on planting its proverbial flag in as many legalized markets as possible. With its well-known name and exceptionally popular brands in its back pocket (e.g., Select), Curaleaf likely wouldn't hesitate to acquire licenses in a market like Minnesota.</p><p><blockquote><b>库拉利夫</b>（场外交易代码：CURLF）也将是预期的受益者。Curaleafe在美国（包括康涅狄格州）拥有130多个零售许可证，并一直不顾一切地在尽可能多的合法市场插上自己的旗帜。凭借其众所周知的名字和非常受欢迎的品牌（例如Select），Curaleaf可能会毫不犹豫地在明尼苏达州这样的市场获得许可证。</blockquote></p><p>The point is this: As the green rush takes shape in the U.S., investors should be looking to put their money to work in high-quality multistate operators.</p><p><blockquote>关键是：随着绿色热潮在美国形成，投资者应该寻求将资金投入到高质量的多州运营商中。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 States Likely to Legalize Marijuana Next<blockquote>接下来3个州可能将大麻合法化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 States Likely to Legalize Marijuana Next<blockquote>接下来3个州可能将大麻合法化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-10 11:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Following years of debate, the green rush is fully under way in America. More than two-thirds of all states have given the green light to medical marijuana, with 18 of these states having existing or pending legislation in place that allows for recreational cannabis to be consumed and/or sold.</p><p><blockquote>经过多年的争论，绿色热潮正在美国全面展开。超过三分之二的州已经为医用大麻开了绿灯，其中18个州已经有或即将出台的立法允许消费和/或销售娱乐性大麻。</blockquote></p><p>Support for nationwide legalization has also never been higher. Gallup's national poll on marijuana sentiment, which dates back 50 years, showed that arecord-high 68% of respondentswant pot legal, as of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>对全国合法化的支持也从未如此之高。盖洛普50年前的全国大麻情绪民意调查显示，截至2020年，创纪录的68%的受访者希望大麻合法。</blockquote></p><p><b>The U.S. is going green: Which states are next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国正在走向绿色：哪些州是下一个？</b></blockquote></p><p>Some folks believe that, with President Biden in the White House and Democrats narrowly retaking control of the Senate, cannabis reform legislation has a shot to pass at the federal level. However, President Biden has never been a fan of marijuana and specifically outlined baby steps toward decriminalization and rescheduling during his campaign. While certain reforms are possible (e.g., banking reform), legalization at the federal level likely isn't on the table.</p><p><blockquote>一些人认为，随着拜登总统入主白宫，民主党以微弱优势重新控制参议院，大麻改革立法有机会在联邦层面获得通过。然而，拜登总统从来都不是大麻的粉丝，并在竞选期间特别概述了合法化和重新安排的小步。虽然某些改革是可能的（例如，银行改革），但联邦层面的合法化可能不会摆在桌面上。</blockquote></p><p>What is expected, though, is that we'll see additional states waving the green flag on marijuana. In November, wewitnessed a green sweep, with New Jersey, Arizona, Montana, South Dakota, and even deep-red state Mississippi, voting in favor of their respective cannabis ballot measures. Since then,New York, New Mexico, and Virginia have all signed adult-use initiatives into law, with varied implementation dates.</p><p><blockquote>然而，预计我们会看到更多的州在大麻问题上挥舞绿旗。11月，我们见证了一场绿色大扫除，新泽西州、亚利桑那州、蒙大拿州、南达科他州，甚至深红色的密西西比州都投票支持各自的大麻投票措施。从那以后，纽约州、新墨西哥州和弗吉尼亚州都签署了成人使用倡议成为法律，实施日期各不相同。</blockquote></p><p><b>The big question is: Which states are next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最大的问题是：下一个是哪些州？</b></blockquote></p><p>Had this question been posed a month ago, I'd have put the Sunshine State of Florida at or near the top of the list. It's no secret that legalization support groups have been focusing on Florida for the 2022 ballot. Unfortunately, the Florida Supreme Courtstruck down a proposed ballot initiativein a 5-2 vote on April 22 due to the phrasing that would be used on the ballot. This might kick the can(nabis) further down the road for one of the biggest moneymaker states for the pot industry.</p><p><blockquote>如果这个问题在一个月前提出，我会把阳光之州佛罗里达放在或接近列表的首位。众所周知，合法化支持团体一直在关注佛罗里达州的2022年投票。不幸的是，由于选票上使用的措辞，佛罗里达州最高法院在4月22日以5比2的投票结果否决了一项拟议的投票倡议。对于大麻行业最大的赚钱州之一来说，这可能会让罐头(nabis)走得更远。</blockquote></p><p>In my opinion, the three states likeliest to legalize recreational weed next are as follows.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，接下来最有可能将娱乐性大麻合法化的三个州如下。</blockquote></p><p><b>Connecticut</b></p><p><blockquote><b>康涅狄格州</b></blockquote></p><p>The only state left with areally good shot at legalizing adult-use cannabis in 2021is Connecticut. The Constitution State is in close proximity to a bunch of states that have already chosen to legalize recreational pot. In order to avoid losing tax revenue to these surrounding states, it only makes sense to advance a legalization bill.</p><p><blockquote>康涅狄格州是唯一一个很有可能在2021年将成人使用大麻合法化的州。宪法州与许多已经选择将娱乐大麻合法化的州非常接近。为了避免税收流失到这些周边州，只有推进合法化法案才有意义。</blockquote></p><p>Connecticut Gov. Ned Lamont, a Democrat, has been advocating for legalization for months. The good news is that Lamont is working with a state legislature that's overwhelmingly controlled by Democrats. Surveys, such as Gallup's, have consistently shown that people identifying as Democrats have a considerably more favorable view of cannabis than those who identity as Republican.</p><p><blockquote>康涅狄格州州长、民主党人内德·拉蒙特几个月来一直倡导合法化。好消息是拉蒙特正在与一个由民主党压倒性控制的州立法机构合作。盖洛普等调查一直显示，民主党人比共和党人对大麻的看法要好得多。</blockquote></p><p>One month ago, Connecticut's legislative Judiciary Committee approved Lamont's bill, albeit there is another bill also working its way through the legislative process. Lamont's bill would legalize recreational weed for those aged 21 and over, allow for the possession of up to 1.5 ounces of pot, and lets medical cannabis patients grow up to six plants for personal use.</p><p><blockquote>一个月前，康涅狄格州立法司法委员会批准了拉蒙特的法案，尽管还有另一项法案也在立法程序中。拉蒙特的法案将使21岁及以上人群的娱乐性大麻合法化，允许拥有最多1.5盎司的大麻，并允许医用大麻患者种植最多6株供个人使用。</blockquote></p><p>If lawmakers can work out their differences, which primarily hinge around social equity factors included in the bill, Connecticut's legalization bill could be signed into law by or before July 2021. If not, it'll likely wind up on the 2022 ballot for the state's residents to decide.</p><p><blockquote>如果立法者能够解决他们的分歧，这主要取决于法案中包含的社会公平因素，康涅狄格州的合法化法案可能会在2021年7月或之前签署成为法律。如果没有，它可能会在2022年的投票中由该州居民决定。</blockquote></p><p><b>Minnesota</b></p><p><blockquote><b>明尼苏达州</b></blockquote></p><p>Next on the list is the Gopher State, Minnesota.</p><p><blockquote>名单上的下一个是地鼠州明尼苏达州。</blockquote></p><p>Unlike Connecticut, which has one party controlling its state's legislature, friction between Democrats and Republicans in Minnesota's legislature likely means a 2022 ballot initiative is what'll lead to legalization.</p><p><blockquote>与一党控制该州立法机构的康涅狄格州不同，明尼苏达州立法机构中民主党人和共和党人之间的摩擦可能意味着2022年的投票倡议将导致合法化。</blockquote></p><p>The core bill being considered in the state is officially known asHF600. It was introduced at the beginning of February and aims to legalize recreational marijuana. It allows adults aged 21 and up to possess up to 1.5 ounces of flower, and would also expunge low-level criminal offenses involving cannabis. To date, HF600 has passed not one, not two, but<i>nine</i>separate committee votes in the state's legislature.</p><p><blockquote>该州正在考虑的核心法案正式名称为asHF600。它于二月初推出，旨在使娱乐性大麻合法化。它允许21岁及以上的成年人拥有最多1.5盎司的鲜花，还将消除涉及大麻的低级刑事犯罪。迄今为止，HF600已经通过了不是一个，不是两个，而是<i>九</i>州立法机构的单独委员会投票。</blockquote></p><p>The next step for HF600 looks to be a vote in Minnesota's House, where Democrats hold a majority. However, virtually all progressive legislation is stymied by the Republican-led state Senate. History has shown that party-line votes are common in Minnesota, which makes it unlikely that we see the Gopher State's legislature green-light recreational weed in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>HF600的下一步看起来是在民主党占多数的明尼苏达州众议院进行投票。然而，几乎所有进步的立法都受到共和党领导的州参议院的阻挠。历史表明，党派投票在明尼苏达州很常见，这使得我们不太可能在2021年看到地鼠州的立法机构为休闲杂草开绿灯。</blockquote></p><p>Democrat Gov. Tim Waltz has made clear his support for legalizing cannabis. If the legislature doesn't do so, it's very likely that we'll see some form of ballot initiative brought in front of the people during the November 2022 midterms.</p><p><blockquote>民主党州长蒂姆·沃尔兹明确表示支持大麻合法化。如果立法机构不这样做，我们很可能会在2022年11月的中期选举中看到某种形式的投票倡议摆在人民面前。</blockquote></p><p><b>Hawaii</b></p><p><blockquote><b>夏威夷</b></blockquote></p><p>Lastly, the Aloha State looks to have a real shot at legalizing recreational marijuana -- but there is a catch.</p><p><blockquote>最后，阿罗哈州看起来很有可能将娱乐性大麻合法化，但有一个问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Hawaii's legislature has been predominantly packed with Democrats for years. Since Democrats have a very favorable view of weed, they've, on multiple occasions, passed legislation designed to legalize adult-use marijuana and expunge low-level convictions.</p><p><blockquote>多年来，夏威夷的立法机构一直主要由民主党人组成。由于民主党人对大麻有非常有利的看法，他们在多个场合通过了旨在使成人使用大麻合法化并删除低级别定罪的立法。</blockquote></p><p>So, why isn't it legal? Democrat Gov. David Ige is the answer.</p><p><blockquote>那么，为什么不合法呢？民主党州长大卫·伊格尔就是答案。</blockquote></p><p>In 2019, Ige vetoed two of three cannabis reform bills from his state's legislature -- he OK'd decriminalization for persons possessing up to three grams of flower -- and he's expressed serious concern about a pair of bills the state's legislature has been working on in 2021 concerning adult-use legalization and low-level expungement. Though Ige hasn't specifically said he'd veto cannabis legislation, the thinking is he will, especially given his previous vetoes and his views of cannabis as a Schedule I (i.e., illicit) substance at the federal level.</p><p><blockquote>2019年，Ige否决了该州立法机构的三项大麻改革法案中的两项——他同意将拥有最多三克大麻的人合法化——他对该州立法机构一直在努力的两项法案表示严重关切。2021年关于成人使用合法化和低级别驱逐。虽然Ige没有明确表示他会否决大麻立法，但人们认为他会的，特别是考虑到他以前的否决以及他对大麻在联邦层面作为附表一（即非法）物质的看法。</blockquote></p><p>The solution? Wait out Ige. Governors in Hawaii are limited to two terms, and Ige's is up on Dec. 5, 2022. The election of a new governor in November 2022 that would support adult-use cannabis could clear a quick path to legalization shortly after the midterm elections.</p><p><blockquote>解决办法？等等，伊格。夏威夷州州长任期仅限于两届，Ige的任期将于2022年12月5日届满。2022年11月选举支持成人使用大麻的新州长可能会在中期选举后不久为合法化扫清道路。</blockquote></p><p><b>U.S. multistate operators are going to shine</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国多州运营商将大放异彩</b></blockquote></p><p>No matter what happens at the federal level, it's plainly evident that the U.S. is wheremarijuana stockinvestors are going to want to put their money to work over the next five to 10 years. If New Frontier Data is correct, annualized growth will average 21% through 2025, pushing sales of legal weed in the U.S. to north of $41 billion. That's a lot of green for U.S. multistate operators to gobble up.</p><p><blockquote>无论联邦层面发生什么，很明显，美国是大麻股票投资者希望在未来五到十年内投入资金的地方。如果New Frontier的数据正确，到2025年，年平均增长率将达到21%，使美国合法大麻的销售额超过410亿美元。对于美国多州运营商来说，这是一个巨大的绿色空间。</blockquote></p><p>For example,<b>Green Thumb Industries</b>(OTC:GTBIF)would be uncorking the champagne if Connecticut were to legalize recreational pot. Green Thumb acquired its way into Connecticut and should, with its brand-name appeal, be an instant winner in the Constitution State. Green Thumb has 56 operating dispensaries at the moment, butholds licenses to open as many as 97 storesin a dozen states.</p><p><blockquote>例如，<b>绿拇指工业</b>如果康涅狄格州将休闲大麻合法化，（场外交易代码：GTBIF）将会打开香槟。Green Thumb进入了康涅狄格州，凭借其品牌吸引力，应该会在这个宪法州立即成为赢家。Green Thumb目前拥有56家运营药房，但持有在十几个州开设多达97家商店的许可证。</blockquote></p><p><b>Curaleaf</b>(OTC:CURLF)would be an expected beneficiary, too. Curaleafholds more than 130 retail licenses in the U.S.(including in Connecticut) and has been hell-bent on planting its proverbial flag in as many legalized markets as possible. With its well-known name and exceptionally popular brands in its back pocket (e.g., Select), Curaleaf likely wouldn't hesitate to acquire licenses in a market like Minnesota.</p><p><blockquote><b>库拉利夫</b>（场外交易代码：CURLF）也将是预期的受益者。Curaleafe在美国（包括康涅狄格州）拥有130多个零售许可证，并一直不顾一切地在尽可能多的合法市场插上自己的旗帜。凭借其众所周知的名字和非常受欢迎的品牌（例如Select），Curaleaf可能会毫不犹豫地在明尼苏达州这样的市场获得许可证。</blockquote></p><p>The point is this: As the green rush takes shape in the U.S., investors should be looking to put their money to work in high-quality multistate operators.</p><p><blockquote>关键是：随着绿色热潮在美国形成，投资者应该寻求将资金投入到高质量的多州运营商中。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/09/3-states-likely-to-legalize-marijuana-next/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CURLF":"Curaleaf Holdings, Inc.","GTBIF":"Green Thumb Industries Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/09/3-states-likely-to-legalize-marijuana-next/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1156200747","content_text":"Following years of debate, the green rush is fully under way in America. More than two-thirds of all states have given the green light to medical marijuana, with 18 of these states having existing or pending legislation in place that allows for recreational cannabis to be consumed and/or sold.Support for nationwide legalization has also never been higher. Gallup's national poll on marijuana sentiment, which dates back 50 years, showed that arecord-high 68% of respondentswant pot legal, as of 2020.The U.S. is going green: Which states are next?Some folks believe that, with President Biden in the White House and Democrats narrowly retaking control of the Senate, cannabis reform legislation has a shot to pass at the federal level. However, President Biden has never been a fan of marijuana and specifically outlined baby steps toward decriminalization and rescheduling during his campaign. While certain reforms are possible (e.g., banking reform), legalization at the federal level likely isn't on the table.What is expected, though, is that we'll see additional states waving the green flag on marijuana. In November, wewitnessed a green sweep, with New Jersey, Arizona, Montana, South Dakota, and even deep-red state Mississippi, voting in favor of their respective cannabis ballot measures. Since then,New York, New Mexico, and Virginia have all signed adult-use initiatives into law, with varied implementation dates.The big question is: Which states are next?Had this question been posed a month ago, I'd have put the Sunshine State of Florida at or near the top of the list. It's no secret that legalization support groups have been focusing on Florida for the 2022 ballot. Unfortunately, the Florida Supreme Courtstruck down a proposed ballot initiativein a 5-2 vote on April 22 due to the phrasing that would be used on the ballot. This might kick the can(nabis) further down the road for one of the biggest moneymaker states for the pot industry.In my opinion, the three states likeliest to legalize recreational weed next are as follows.ConnecticutThe only state left with areally good shot at legalizing adult-use cannabis in 2021is Connecticut. The Constitution State is in close proximity to a bunch of states that have already chosen to legalize recreational pot. In order to avoid losing tax revenue to these surrounding states, it only makes sense to advance a legalization bill.Connecticut Gov. Ned Lamont, a Democrat, has been advocating for legalization for months. The good news is that Lamont is working with a state legislature that's overwhelmingly controlled by Democrats. Surveys, such as Gallup's, have consistently shown that people identifying as Democrats have a considerably more favorable view of cannabis than those who identity as Republican.One month ago, Connecticut's legislative Judiciary Committee approved Lamont's bill, albeit there is another bill also working its way through the legislative process. Lamont's bill would legalize recreational weed for those aged 21 and over, allow for the possession of up to 1.5 ounces of pot, and lets medical cannabis patients grow up to six plants for personal use.If lawmakers can work out their differences, which primarily hinge around social equity factors included in the bill, Connecticut's legalization bill could be signed into law by or before July 2021. If not, it'll likely wind up on the 2022 ballot for the state's residents to decide.MinnesotaNext on the list is the Gopher State, Minnesota.Unlike Connecticut, which has one party controlling its state's legislature, friction between Democrats and Republicans in Minnesota's legislature likely means a 2022 ballot initiative is what'll lead to legalization.The core bill being considered in the state is officially known asHF600. It was introduced at the beginning of February and aims to legalize recreational marijuana. It allows adults aged 21 and up to possess up to 1.5 ounces of flower, and would also expunge low-level criminal offenses involving cannabis. To date, HF600 has passed not one, not two, butnineseparate committee votes in the state's legislature.The next step for HF600 looks to be a vote in Minnesota's House, where Democrats hold a majority. However, virtually all progressive legislation is stymied by the Republican-led state Senate. History has shown that party-line votes are common in Minnesota, which makes it unlikely that we see the Gopher State's legislature green-light recreational weed in 2021.Democrat Gov. Tim Waltz has made clear his support for legalizing cannabis. If the legislature doesn't do so, it's very likely that we'll see some form of ballot initiative brought in front of the people during the November 2022 midterms.HawaiiLastly, the Aloha State looks to have a real shot at legalizing recreational marijuana -- but there is a catch.Hawaii's legislature has been predominantly packed with Democrats for years. Since Democrats have a very favorable view of weed, they've, on multiple occasions, passed legislation designed to legalize adult-use marijuana and expunge low-level convictions.So, why isn't it legal? Democrat Gov. David Ige is the answer.In 2019, Ige vetoed two of three cannabis reform bills from his state's legislature -- he OK'd decriminalization for persons possessing up to three grams of flower -- and he's expressed serious concern about a pair of bills the state's legislature has been working on in 2021 concerning adult-use legalization and low-level expungement. Though Ige hasn't specifically said he'd veto cannabis legislation, the thinking is he will, especially given his previous vetoes and his views of cannabis as a Schedule I (i.e., illicit) substance at the federal level.The solution? Wait out Ige. Governors in Hawaii are limited to two terms, and Ige's is up on Dec. 5, 2022. The election of a new governor in November 2022 that would support adult-use cannabis could clear a quick path to legalization shortly after the midterm elections.U.S. multistate operators are going to shineNo matter what happens at the federal level, it's plainly evident that the U.S. is wheremarijuana stockinvestors are going to want to put their money to work over the next five to 10 years. If New Frontier Data is correct, annualized growth will average 21% through 2025, pushing sales of legal weed in the U.S. to north of $41 billion. That's a lot of green for U.S. multistate operators to gobble up.For example,Green Thumb Industries(OTC:GTBIF)would be uncorking the champagne if Connecticut were to legalize recreational pot. Green Thumb acquired its way into Connecticut and should, with its brand-name appeal, be an instant winner in the Constitution State. Green Thumb has 56 operating dispensaries at the moment, butholds licenses to open as many as 97 storesin a dozen states.Curaleaf(OTC:CURLF)would be an expected beneficiary, too. Curaleafholds more than 130 retail licenses in the U.S.(including in Connecticut) and has been hell-bent on planting its proverbial flag in as many legalized markets as possible. With its well-known name and exceptionally popular brands in its back pocket (e.g., Select), Curaleaf likely wouldn't hesitate to acquire licenses in a market like Minnesota.The point is this: As the green rush takes shape in the U.S., investors should be looking to put their money to work in high-quality multistate operators.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CURLF":0.9,"GTBIF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":293,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107010685,"gmtCreate":1620432860347,"gmtModify":1634198868791,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107010685","repostId":"1192861382","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104015745,"gmtCreate":1620345258487,"gmtModify":1634205967164,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104015745","repostId":"1170281328","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170281328","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1620344531,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170281328?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 07:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Roku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%<blockquote>Roku第一季度活跃账户增长放缓，收入猛增79%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170281328","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Roku gained 2.4 million new active accounts for the first quarter of 2021, showing that the pandemic","content":"<p>Roku&nbsp;gained 2.4 million new active accounts for the first quarter of 2021, showing that the pandemic-driven streaming momentum that buoyed its results in 2020 has slowed down. Meanwhile, the company smashed analyst expectations for Q1, including posting an unexpected profit.</p><p><blockquote>Roku在2021年第一季度新增了240万个活跃账户，这表明2020年提振其业绩的大流行驱动的流媒体势头已经放缓。与此同时，该公司打破了分析师对第一季度的预期，包括意外盈利。</blockquote></p><p>The streaming platform reported revenue of $574.2 million, up 79% year over year, and net income of $76.3 million (or 54 cents per diluted share) — after previously telling investors it was expecting a loss for Q1.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7210e5bfa6af28628b2748cc0bf002ce\" tg-width=\"734\" tg-height=\"652\">With the pickup of new active accounts, Roku in Q1 2021 had 53.6 million total, up 35% year over year but a slower pace than its quarterly growth rates last year (37%-43%).</p><p><blockquote>该流媒体平台报告收入为5.742亿美元，同比增长79%，净利润为7630万美元（或稀释后每股54美分）——此前该平台曾告诉投资者预计第一季度将出现亏损。随着新活跃账户的增加，Roku 2021年第一季度的活跃账户总数为5360万，同比增长35%，但增速低于去年的季度增长率（37%-43%）。</blockquote></p><p>Wall Street analysts on average expected Roku to report Q1 revenue of $490.6 million and a loss of 13 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师平均预期Roku Q1营收4.906亿美元，每股亏损13美分。</blockquote></p><p>“Though there will be difficult COVID-19-related comparisons in 2021, we believe that the shift to streaming is inevitable,” CEO Anthony Wood and CFO Steve Louden wrote in a letter to shareholders. “It will be global and will transform the way content is distributed and monetized.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官安东尼·伍德(Anthony Wood)和首席财务官史蒂夫·劳登(Steve Louden)在致股东的信中写道：“尽管2021年与COVID-19相关的比较将很困难，但我们相信向流媒体的转变是不可避免的。”“它将是全球性的，并将改变内容分发和货币化的方式。”</blockquote></p><p>Roku’s Platform segment revenue — comprising ad sales and revenue-sharing deals with content partners — doubled in Q1, to $466.5 million. The company said streaming hours consumed on Roku devices increased by 1.4 billion hours over last quarter to 18.3 billion. In addition, Roku reported average revenue per user (ARPU) on a trailing 12-month basis hit $32.14 in Q1, up 32% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Roku的平台部门收入（包括广告销售和与内容合作伙伴的收入共享协议）在第一季度翻了一番，达到4.665亿美元。该公司表示，Roku设备上的流媒体时长比上季度增加了14亿小时，达到183亿小时。此外，Roku报告称，第一季度过去12个月的平均每用户收入(ARPU)达到32.14美元，同比增长32%。</blockquote></p><p>Roku’s Q1 earnings report comes after a public escalation in its fight with Google.Roku pulled YouTube TV from its channel store on April 30, alleging that Google was making anticompetitive demands for Roku to continue distribution of the core YouTube app. Google denied it was seeking any preferential treatment and claimed it was Roku that tied discussions over YouTube TV distribution with the deal to carry YouTube.</p><p><blockquote>Roku发布第一季度收益报告之前，其与谷歌的斗争公开升级。Roku于4月30日从其频道商店下架了YouTube TV，声称谷歌向Roku提出反竞争要求，要求其继续分发核心YouTube应用程序。谷歌否认寻求任何优惠待遇，并声称是Roku将YouTube电视发行的讨论与运营YouTube的交易联系在一起。</blockquote></p><p>Roku’s stock price dropped more than 20% following the YouTube TV removal. In after-hours trading Thursday, shares were up as much as 8.9% on the strong Q1 earnings.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d683dc6f07f82fc22e9381de1fa1dce\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"520\">For the second quarter, Roku issued guidance of net revenue between $610 million and $620 million</p><p><blockquote>YouTube TV下架后，Roku股价下跌超过20%。在周四盘后交易中，由于强劲的第一季度盈利，该股上涨了8.9%。对于第二季度，Roku发布的净收入指引为6.1亿美元至6.2亿美元</blockquote></p><p>and net income of $10 million-$20 million.</p><p><blockquote>净利润为1000万至2000万美元。</blockquote></p><p>The Roku Channel, the company’s free, ad-supported service that also provides access to live TV and SVOD channels, had another quarter of record growth, reaching U.S. households with an estimated 70 million people, more than doubling from Q1 2020. Another key stat: According to Roku, in the first three months of 2021, more than 85% of adults 18-49 who watched The Roku Channel were unduplicated with traditional TV.</p><p><blockquote>Roku频道是该公司的免费广告支持服务，还提供直播电视和SVOD频道，又一个季度实现了创纪录的增长，覆盖了约7000万美国家庭，比2020年第一季度增加了一倍多。另一个关键统计数据：根据Roku的数据，在2021年前三个月，超过85%观看Roku频道的18-49岁成年人与传统电视没有重复。</blockquote></p><p>To boost The Roku Channel’s momentum, the company has embarked on a strategy of acquiring and producing original content.</p><p><blockquote>为了推动Roku频道的发展势头，该公司已开始实施收购和制作原创内容的战略。</blockquote></p><p>The companybought the now-defunct Quibicontent library in January — encompassing more than 75 original shows — which it isrebranding as “Roku Originals”and release them on its free-to-watch AVOD service soon. Roku Originals also will be the brand name for future original programming on The Roku Channel. And last month,Roku acquired This Old House&nbsp;Ventures, producer of “This Old House” and “Ask This Old House” TV shows, in a deal that included a library of more than 1,500 episodes.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在1月份收购了现已解散的Quibicontent图书馆，其中包含超过75个原创节目，并将其更名为“Roku原创”，并很快在其免费观看的AVOD服务上发布。Roku原创也将成为Roku频道未来原创节目的品牌名称。上个月，Roku收购了《This Old House》和《Ask This Old House》电视节目的制作人This Old House Ventures，这笔交易包括一个超过1500集的图书馆。</blockquote></p><p>“[W]e expect that our content investment will continue to be commensurate with the scale and growth trajectory of The Roku Channel,” Wood and Louden wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德和劳登写道：“我们预计我们的内容投资将继续与Roku渠道的规模和增长轨迹相称。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Roku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%<blockquote>Roku第一季度活跃账户增长放缓，收入猛增79%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRoku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%<blockquote>Roku第一季度活跃账户增长放缓，收入猛增79%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-07 07:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Roku&nbsp;gained 2.4 million new active accounts for the first quarter of 2021, showing that the pandemic-driven streaming momentum that buoyed its results in 2020 has slowed down. Meanwhile, the company smashed analyst expectations for Q1, including posting an unexpected profit.</p><p><blockquote>Roku在2021年第一季度新增了240万个活跃账户，这表明2020年提振其业绩的大流行驱动的流媒体势头已经放缓。与此同时，该公司打破了分析师对第一季度的预期，包括意外盈利。</blockquote></p><p>The streaming platform reported revenue of $574.2 million, up 79% year over year, and net income of $76.3 million (or 54 cents per diluted share) — after previously telling investors it was expecting a loss for Q1.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7210e5bfa6af28628b2748cc0bf002ce\" tg-width=\"734\" tg-height=\"652\">With the pickup of new active accounts, Roku in Q1 2021 had 53.6 million total, up 35% year over year but a slower pace than its quarterly growth rates last year (37%-43%).</p><p><blockquote>该流媒体平台报告收入为5.742亿美元，同比增长79%，净利润为7630万美元（或稀释后每股54美分）——此前该平台曾告诉投资者预计第一季度将出现亏损。随着新活跃账户的增加，Roku 2021年第一季度的活跃账户总数为5360万，同比增长35%，但增速低于去年的季度增长率（37%-43%）。</blockquote></p><p>Wall Street analysts on average expected Roku to report Q1 revenue of $490.6 million and a loss of 13 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街分析师平均预期Roku Q1营收4.906亿美元，每股亏损13美分。</blockquote></p><p>“Though there will be difficult COVID-19-related comparisons in 2021, we believe that the shift to streaming is inevitable,” CEO Anthony Wood and CFO Steve Louden wrote in a letter to shareholders. “It will be global and will transform the way content is distributed and monetized.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官安东尼·伍德(Anthony Wood)和首席财务官史蒂夫·劳登(Steve Louden)在致股东的信中写道：“尽管2021年与COVID-19相关的比较将很困难，但我们相信向流媒体的转变是不可避免的。”“它将是全球性的，并将改变内容分发和货币化的方式。”</blockquote></p><p>Roku’s Platform segment revenue — comprising ad sales and revenue-sharing deals with content partners — doubled in Q1, to $466.5 million. The company said streaming hours consumed on Roku devices increased by 1.4 billion hours over last quarter to 18.3 billion. In addition, Roku reported average revenue per user (ARPU) on a trailing 12-month basis hit $32.14 in Q1, up 32% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Roku的平台部门收入（包括广告销售和与内容合作伙伴的收入共享协议）在第一季度翻了一番，达到4.665亿美元。该公司表示，Roku设备上的流媒体时长比上季度增加了14亿小时，达到183亿小时。此外，Roku报告称，第一季度过去12个月的平均每用户收入(ARPU)达到32.14美元，同比增长32%。</blockquote></p><p>Roku’s Q1 earnings report comes after a public escalation in its fight with Google.Roku pulled YouTube TV from its channel store on April 30, alleging that Google was making anticompetitive demands for Roku to continue distribution of the core YouTube app. Google denied it was seeking any preferential treatment and claimed it was Roku that tied discussions over YouTube TV distribution with the deal to carry YouTube.</p><p><blockquote>Roku发布第一季度收益报告之前，其与谷歌的斗争公开升级。Roku于4月30日从其频道商店下架了YouTube TV，声称谷歌向Roku提出反竞争要求，要求其继续分发核心YouTube应用程序。谷歌否认寻求任何优惠待遇，并声称是Roku将YouTube电视发行的讨论与运营YouTube的交易联系在一起。</blockquote></p><p>Roku’s stock price dropped more than 20% following the YouTube TV removal. In after-hours trading Thursday, shares were up as much as 8.9% on the strong Q1 earnings.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d683dc6f07f82fc22e9381de1fa1dce\" tg-width=\"704\" tg-height=\"520\">For the second quarter, Roku issued guidance of net revenue between $610 million and $620 million</p><p><blockquote>YouTube TV下架后，Roku股价下跌超过20%。在周四盘后交易中，由于强劲的第一季度盈利，该股上涨了8.9%。对于第二季度，Roku发布的净收入指引为6.1亿美元至6.2亿美元</blockquote></p><p>and net income of $10 million-$20 million.</p><p><blockquote>净利润为1000万至2000万美元。</blockquote></p><p>The Roku Channel, the company’s free, ad-supported service that also provides access to live TV and SVOD channels, had another quarter of record growth, reaching U.S. households with an estimated 70 million people, more than doubling from Q1 2020. Another key stat: According to Roku, in the first three months of 2021, more than 85% of adults 18-49 who watched The Roku Channel were unduplicated with traditional TV.</p><p><blockquote>Roku频道是该公司的免费广告支持服务，还提供直播电视和SVOD频道，又一个季度实现了创纪录的增长，覆盖了约7000万美国家庭，比2020年第一季度增加了一倍多。另一个关键统计数据：根据Roku的数据，在2021年前三个月，超过85%观看Roku频道的18-49岁成年人与传统电视没有重复。</blockquote></p><p>To boost The Roku Channel’s momentum, the company has embarked on a strategy of acquiring and producing original content.</p><p><blockquote>为了推动Roku频道的发展势头，该公司已开始实施收购和制作原创内容的战略。</blockquote></p><p>The companybought the now-defunct Quibicontent library in January — encompassing more than 75 original shows — which it isrebranding as “Roku Originals”and release them on its free-to-watch AVOD service soon. Roku Originals also will be the brand name for future original programming on The Roku Channel. And last month,Roku acquired This Old House&nbsp;Ventures, producer of “This Old House” and “Ask This Old House” TV shows, in a deal that included a library of more than 1,500 episodes.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在1月份收购了现已解散的Quibicontent图书馆，其中包含超过75个原创节目，并将其更名为“Roku原创”，并很快在其免费观看的AVOD服务上发布。Roku原创也将成为Roku频道未来原创节目的品牌名称。上个月，Roku收购了《This Old House》和《Ask This Old House》电视节目的制作人This Old House Ventures，这笔交易包括一个超过1500集的图书馆。</blockquote></p><p>“[W]e expect that our content investment will continue to be commensurate with the scale and growth trajectory of The Roku Channel,” Wood and Louden wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德和劳登写道：“我们预计我们的内容投资将继续与Roku渠道的规模和增长轨迹相称。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170281328","content_text":"Roku gained 2.4 million new active accounts for the first quarter of 2021, showing that the pandemic-driven streaming momentum that buoyed its results in 2020 has slowed down. Meanwhile, the company smashed analyst expectations for Q1, including posting an unexpected profit.The streaming platform reported revenue of $574.2 million, up 79% year over year, and net income of $76.3 million (or 54 cents per diluted share) — after previously telling investors it was expecting a loss for Q1.With the pickup of new active accounts, Roku in Q1 2021 had 53.6 million total, up 35% year over year but a slower pace than its quarterly growth rates last year (37%-43%).Wall Street analysts on average expected Roku to report Q1 revenue of $490.6 million and a loss of 13 cents per share.“Though there will be difficult COVID-19-related comparisons in 2021, we believe that the shift to streaming is inevitable,” CEO Anthony Wood and CFO Steve Louden wrote in a letter to shareholders. “It will be global and will transform the way content is distributed and monetized.”Roku’s Platform segment revenue — comprising ad sales and revenue-sharing deals with content partners — doubled in Q1, to $466.5 million. The company said streaming hours consumed on Roku devices increased by 1.4 billion hours over last quarter to 18.3 billion. In addition, Roku reported average revenue per user (ARPU) on a trailing 12-month basis hit $32.14 in Q1, up 32% year over year.Roku’s Q1 earnings report comes after a public escalation in its fight with Google.Roku pulled YouTube TV from its channel store on April 30, alleging that Google was making anticompetitive demands for Roku to continue distribution of the core YouTube app. Google denied it was seeking any preferential treatment and claimed it was Roku that tied discussions over YouTube TV distribution with the deal to carry YouTube.Roku’s stock price dropped more than 20% following the YouTube TV removal. In after-hours trading Thursday, shares were up as much as 8.9% on the strong Q1 earnings.For the second quarter, Roku issued guidance of net revenue between $610 million and $620 millionand net income of $10 million-$20 million.The Roku Channel, the company’s free, ad-supported service that also provides access to live TV and SVOD channels, had another quarter of record growth, reaching U.S. households with an estimated 70 million people, more than doubling from Q1 2020. Another key stat: According to Roku, in the first three months of 2021, more than 85% of adults 18-49 who watched The Roku Channel were unduplicated with traditional TV.To boost The Roku Channel’s momentum, the company has embarked on a strategy of acquiring and producing original content.The companybought the now-defunct Quibicontent library in January — encompassing more than 75 original shows — which it isrebranding as “Roku Originals”and release them on its free-to-watch AVOD service soon. Roku Originals also will be the brand name for future original programming on The Roku Channel. And last month,Roku acquired This Old House Ventures, producer of “This Old House” and “Ask This Old House” TV shows, in a deal that included a library of more than 1,500 episodes.“[W]e expect that our content investment will continue to be commensurate with the scale and growth trajectory of The Roku Channel,” Wood and Louden wrote.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ROKU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108679478,"gmtCreate":1620024031394,"gmtModify":1634208432357,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575673928225023","authorIdStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108679478","repostId":"1135819410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135819410","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619999342,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135819410?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-03 07:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、ViacomCBS、General Motors等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135819410","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their fi","content":"<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p><blockquote>又是财报密集的一周，130家标普500公司即将发布第一季度业绩。雅诗兰黛是周一的亮点之一，周二情况有所好转：动视暴雪、CVS Health、杜邦、辉瑞和T-Mobile US均报告。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、General Motors、PayPal控股和Uber Technologies将发布财报。百威英博、Moderna、再生元制药、Square和ViacomCBS将于周四发布。最后，Cigna将于周五结束这一周。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在本周的经济日历上，主要事件将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计将报告4月份非农就业人数增加97.5万人，失业率为5.8%，低于一个月前的6%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的4月份制造业采购经理人指数和周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。</blockquote></p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业产品合作伙伴和雅诗兰黛发布收益。</blockquote></p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>默克和Public Storage举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告三月份建筑支出数据。市场普遍预计建筑支出环比增长0.6%，经季节调整后的年率为1.53万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布四月份制造业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测为65，与3月份的数据大致持平。3月份的读数是该指数自1983年12月以来的最高值。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二5/4</b></blockquote></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪、康菲石油公司、康明斯、CVS Health、Dominion Energy、杜邦、伊顿、辉瑞、Sysco和T-Mobile US报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司召开电话会议讨论其可持续发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三5/5</b></blockquote></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、BorgWarner、Emerson Electric、General Motors、Hilton Worldwide Holdings、Novo Nordisk、PayPal控股和Uber Technologies发布财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>四月份全国就业报告。继3月份增加517,000个工作岗位后，预计私营部门就业岗位将增加762,500个。</blockquote></p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM版本</b>4月份服务业PMI。普遍的看涨期权为64.6，比3月份的数据高出一个百分点。3月份的读数是该指数的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四5/6</b></blockquote></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>百威英博、Becton Dickinson、Expedia Group、富达国家信息服务公司、家乐氏、林德、大都会人寿、Moderna、再生元制药、Square、ViacomCBS和Zoetishold在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至5月1日当周首次申请失业救济人数。4月份平均每周初请失业金人数为611,750人，处于去年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了第一季度的劳动力成本和生产率。预计经季节调整后的生产率年增长率为2.2%，而2020年第四季度为下降4.2%。单位劳动力成本在此前上涨6%后预计将下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五5/7</b></blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布四月份就业报告。经济学家预测非农就业人数将增加975,000人。失业率预计将从6%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>信诺和<b>自由媒体</b>报告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、ViacomCBS、General Motors等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、ViacomCBS、General Motors等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-03 07:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p><blockquote>又是财报密集的一周，130家标普500公司即将发布第一季度业绩。雅诗兰黛是周一的亮点之一，周二情况有所好转：动视暴雪、CVS Health、杜邦、辉瑞和T-Mobile US均报告。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、General Motors、PayPal控股和Uber Technologies将发布财报。百威英博、Moderna、再生元制药、Square和ViacomCBS将于周四发布。最后，Cigna将于周五结束这一周。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在本周的经济日历上，主要事件将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计将报告4月份非农就业人数增加97.5万人，失业率为5.8%，低于一个月前的6%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的4月份制造业采购经理人指数和周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。</blockquote></p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业产品合作伙伴和雅诗兰黛发布收益。</blockquote></p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>默克和Public Storage举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告三月份建筑支出数据。市场普遍预计建筑支出环比增长0.6%，经季节调整后的年率为1.53万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布四月份制造业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测为65，与3月份的数据大致持平。3月份的读数是该指数自1983年12月以来的最高值。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二5/4</b></blockquote></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪、康菲石油公司、康明斯、CVS Health、Dominion Energy、杜邦、伊顿、辉瑞、Sysco和T-Mobile US报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司召开电话会议讨论其可持续发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三5/5</b></blockquote></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、BorgWarner、Emerson Electric、General Motors、Hilton Worldwide Holdings、Novo Nordisk、PayPal控股和Uber Technologies发布财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>四月份全国就业报告。继3月份增加517,000个工作岗位后，预计私营部门就业岗位将增加762,500个。</blockquote></p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM版本</b>4月份服务业PMI。普遍的看涨期权为64.6，比3月份的数据高出一个百分点。3月份的读数是该指数的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四5/6</b></blockquote></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>百威英博、Becton Dickinson、Expedia Group、富达国家信息服务公司、家乐氏、林德、大都会人寿、Moderna、再生元制药、Square、ViacomCBS和Zoetishold在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至5月1日当周首次申请失业救济人数。4月份平均每周初请失业金人数为611,750人，处于去年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了第一季度的劳动力成本和生产率。预计经季节调整后的生产率年增长率为2.2%，而2020年第四季度为下降4.2%。单位劳动力成本在此前上涨6%后预计将下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五5/7</b></blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布四月份就业报告。经济学家预测非农就业人数将增加975,000人。失业率预计将从6%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>信诺和<b>自由媒体</b>报告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","PFE":"辉瑞",".DJI":"道琼斯","GM":"通用汽车","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc","UBER":"优步",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135819410","content_text":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.On Wednesday, Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings. Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on Friday.On the economic calendar this week, the main event will jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its Services equivalent on Wednesday.Enterprise Products Partners and Estée Lauder release earnings.Merck and Public Storage hold virtual investor days.The Census Bureau reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.Tuesday 5/4Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.Eli Lilly holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.Union Pacific holds its 2021 virtual investor day.Wednesday 5/5Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.ADP releases its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.ISM releases its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.Thursday 5/6Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.Friday 5/7The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.Cigna and Liberty Media report earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GM":0.9,"PYPL":0.9,"TMUS":0.9,"UBER":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"VIACP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":136907205,"gmtCreate":1621988647907,"gmtModify":1634184984249,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136907205","repostId":"2138196118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109854349,"gmtCreate":1619685257581,"gmtModify":1634210734640,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109854349","repostId":"1183966356","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183966356","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619665696,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183966356?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 11:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来2021年第一季度收益报告预览：寻找什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183966356","media":"InvestoPedia","summary":"Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.NIO Inc. , like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles . NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record ve","content":"<p>Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries</p><p><blockquote>聚焦蔚来汽车交付</blockquote></p><p> <b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Vehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.</li> </ul> NIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计2020财年第一季度每股美国存托凭证收益为-0.72元，而2020财年第一季度为-1.66元。</li><li>已经宣布的车辆交付量同比大幅增长。</li><li>随着汽车销量的扩大，收入预计将飙升。</li></ul>蔚来（蔚来）和许多其他汽车制造商一样，由于全球半导体短缺，今年被迫停产。广泛用于智能手机、计算机和其他电子设备的半导体芯片对于高端电动汽车(EV)制造商蔚来尤为重要。蔚来3月下旬的停产对该公司第一季度创纪录的汽车交付量影响不大，但可能会影响未来的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.</p><p><blockquote>当蔚来于2021年4月29日公布2021财年第一季度收益时，投资者将关注这些力量如何影响该公司的近期业绩及其财务前景。分析师预计该公司每股美国存托股(ADS)亏损将随着收入快速扩张而显着收窄。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.</p><p><blockquote>车辆交付量是投资者关注的另一个关键指标，以衡量公司的生产能力。蔚来本月早些时候已经公布了第一季度的汽车交付量，尽管总交付量略低于预期，但仍创下了新的季度纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&amp;P 500's total return of 45.5%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，蔚来的股价大幅跑赢大盘。但在今年早些时候达到历史高点后，该股大幅下跌，自3月初以来一直横盘整理。过去一年，蔚来的股票为投资者带来了1,171.9%的天文数字总回报率，远高于标普500 45.5%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e1a915810ccbc7f07ec2adf16865b\" tg-width=\"3004\" tg-height=\"1798\"><span>Source: TradingView.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Earnings History</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来盈利历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's&nbsp;Q4 FY 2020 earnings&nbsp;report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its&nbsp;gross margin&nbsp;rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该股在2月中旬左右见顶后一直在积聚下行动力，在蔚来3月初发布2020财年第四季度收益报告后暴跌。该公司报告的每股美国存托凭证亏损远高于分析师预期，收入也低于预期。不过，蔚来的亏损较去年同期大幅收窄，营收仍增长133.2%。该公司对其业绩持乐观态度，指出其毛利率升至17.2%，而去年同期为负8.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第三季度，蔚来每ADS亏损0.98元人民币（按2021年4月27日人民币/美元汇率计算为0.15美元）。这是至少11个季度以来的最小亏损。收入增长146.4%，保持了第二季度的增长速度。蔚来表示，其交付的车辆数量创历史新高，平均售价也有所提高。该公司还表示，这是连续第二个季度经营活动现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计蔚来2021财年第一季度的财务业绩将持续改善。虽然蔚来预计仍将再次出现每股美国存托凭证亏损，但估计将是至少14个季度以来的最低水平。该季度收入预计将增长446.1%，这将是自2019财年第二季度以来的最快增速。对于2021财年全年，分析师目前预计蔚来将实现每股ADS亏损2.72元，这将是至少五年来的最小亏损。收入预计将增长109.7%，增速快于过去两年的每年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d412a9c0aea28621f713f5afbfba444c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：可见阿尔法；蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者也在关注蔚来每个季度交付的汽车数量。蔚来从其提供的各种服务中获得一些收入，但大部分收入来自汽车销售。目前，该公司交付三种类型的车辆：ES8，该公司的6座和7座旗舰高端智能电动SUV；该公司的5座高性能高级智能电动SUV ES6；以及该公司的5座高级电动轿跑车SUV EC6。汽车交付数量表明了对蔚来汽车的需求以及该公司扩大生产的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在过去几年中大幅提高了产量。该公司在2018财年交付了11,350辆汽车。2020财年，这一数字几乎翻了两番，交付了43,730辆汽车。尽管2020财年第一季度因COVID-19大流行而放缓，但蔚来很快弥补了第一季度交付量的下降，2020财年第二季度同比增长190.8%。第三季度车辆交付总量增速放缓至154.3%，第四季度放缓至111.0%。然而，如上所述，2021财年第一季度的车辆交付量增长了423.0%，创下了新的季度纪录。对于2021财年全年，分析师预测蔚来将交付88,280辆汽车，这将是去年总交付量的两倍多。然而，蔚来在3月初警告投资者，全球芯片短缺很可能会削减其产能，至少在第二季度是这样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606203311635","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来2021年第一季度收益报告预览：寻找什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO Q1 2021 Earnings Report Preview: What to Look For<blockquote>蔚来2021年第一季度收益报告预览：寻找什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestoPedia</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-29 11:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries</p><p><blockquote>聚焦蔚来汽车交付</blockquote></p><p> <b>KEY TAKEAWAYS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Analysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.</li>  <li>Vehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.</li>  <li>Revenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.</li> </ul> NIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>分析师预计2020财年第一季度每股美国存托凭证收益为-0.72元，而2020财年第一季度为-1.66元。</li><li>已经宣布的车辆交付量同比大幅增长。</li><li>随着汽车销量的扩大，收入预计将飙升。</li></ul>蔚来（蔚来）和许多其他汽车制造商一样，由于全球半导体短缺，今年被迫停产。广泛用于智能手机、计算机和其他电子设备的半导体芯片对于高端电动汽车(EV)制造商蔚来尤为重要。蔚来3月下旬的停产对该公司第一季度创纪录的汽车交付量影响不大，但可能会影响未来的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Investors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.</p><p><blockquote>当蔚来于2021年4月29日公布2021财年第一季度收益时，投资者将关注这些力量如何影响该公司的近期业绩及其财务前景。分析师预计该公司每股美国存托股(ADS)亏损将随着收入快速扩张而显着收窄。</blockquote></p><p> Vehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.</p><p><blockquote>车辆交付量是投资者关注的另一个关键指标，以衡量公司的生产能力。蔚来本月早些时候已经公布了第一季度的汽车交付量，尽管总交付量略低于预期，但仍创下了新的季度纪录。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&amp;P 500's total return of 45.5%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，蔚来的股价大幅跑赢大盘。但在今年早些时候达到历史高点后，该股大幅下跌，自3月初以来一直横盘整理。过去一年，蔚来的股票为投资者带来了1,171.9%的天文数字总回报率，远高于标普500 45.5%的总回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11e1a915810ccbc7f07ec2adf16865b\" tg-width=\"3004\" tg-height=\"1798\"><span>Source: TradingView.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO Earnings History</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来盈利历史</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's&nbsp;Q4 FY 2020 earnings&nbsp;report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its&nbsp;gross margin&nbsp;rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该股在2月中旬左右见顶后一直在积聚下行动力，在蔚来3月初发布2020财年第四季度收益报告后暴跌。该公司报告的每股美国存托凭证亏损远高于分析师预期，收入也低于预期。不过，蔚来的亏损较去年同期大幅收窄，营收仍增长133.2%。该公司对其业绩持乐观态度，指出其毛利率升至17.2%，而去年同期为负8.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.</p><p><blockquote>2020财年第三季度，蔚来每ADS亏损0.98元人民币（按2021年4月27日人民币/美元汇率计算为0.15美元）。这是至少11个季度以来的最小亏损。收入增长146.4%，保持了第二季度的增长速度。蔚来表示，其交付的车辆数量创历史新高，平均售价也有所提高。该公司还表示，这是连续第二个季度经营活动现金流为正。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计蔚来2021财年第一季度的财务业绩将持续改善。虽然蔚来预计仍将再次出现每股美国存托凭证亏损，但估计将是至少14个季度以来的最低水平。该季度收入预计将增长446.1%，这将是自2019财年第二季度以来的最快增速。对于2021财年全年，分析师目前预计蔚来将实现每股ADS亏损2.72元，这将是至少五年来的最小亏损。收入预计将增长109.7%，增速快于过去两年的每年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d412a9c0aea28621f713f5afbfba444c\" tg-width=\"885\" tg-height=\"352\"><span>Source: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：可见阿尔法；蔚来</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Key Metric</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键指标</b></blockquote></p><p> As mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.</p><p><blockquote>如上所述，投资者也在关注蔚来每个季度交付的汽车数量。蔚来从其提供的各种服务中获得一些收入，但大部分收入来自汽车销售。目前，该公司交付三种类型的车辆：ES8，该公司的6座和7座旗舰高端智能电动SUV；该公司的5座高性能高级智能电动SUV ES6；以及该公司的5座高级电动轿跑车SUV EC6。汽车交付数量表明了对蔚来汽车的需求以及该公司扩大生产的能力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来在过去几年中大幅提高了产量。该公司在2018财年交付了11,350辆汽车。2020财年，这一数字几乎翻了两番，交付了43,730辆汽车。尽管2020财年第一季度因COVID-19大流行而放缓，但蔚来很快弥补了第一季度交付量的下降，2020财年第二季度同比增长190.8%。第三季度车辆交付总量增速放缓至154.3%，第四季度放缓至111.0%。然而，如上所述，2021财年第一季度的车辆交付量增长了423.0%，创下了新的季度纪录。对于2021财年全年，分析师预测蔚来将交付88,280辆汽车，这将是去年总交付量的两倍多。然而，蔚来在3月初警告投资者，全球芯片短缺很可能会削减其产能，至少在第二季度是这样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investopedia.com/nio-q1-2021-earnings-report-preview-5180991\">InvestoPedia</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.investopedia.com/nio-q1-2021-earnings-report-preview-5180991","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183966356","content_text":"Focus on NIO vehicle deliveries\nKEY TAKEAWAYS\n\nAnalysts estimate earnings per ADS of -0.72 yuan vs. -1.66 yuan in Q1 FY 2020.\nVehicle deliveries, already announced, rose dramatically YOY.\nRevenue is expected to soar on expanding vehicle sales.\n\nNIO Inc. (NIO), like many other automakers, was forced to halt production this year due to the global semiconductor shortage. Semiconductor chips, widely used in smartphones, computers, and other electronic devices, are especially important to NIO, a maker of premium electric vehicles (EVs). NIO's production stoppage in late March had little impact on the company's record vehicle deliveries in Q1, but it could affect future production numbers.\nInvestors will focus on how these forces affect NIO's immediate results, as well as its financial outlook, when the company reports earnings on April 29, 2021 for Q1 FY 2021.Analysts are expecting the company's loss per American depositary share (ADS) to narrow significantly as revenue expands at a rapid pace.\nVehicle deliveries are another key metric investors watch in order to gauge the company's productive capacity. NIO already reported vehicle deliveries for the first quarter earlier this month, achieving a new quarterly record despite total deliveries coming in slightly below expectations.\nShares of NIO have dramatically outperformed the broader market over the past year. But after reaching all-time highs earlier this year, the stock has fallen considerably and has been trading mostly sideways since early March. NIO's shares have provided investors with an astronomic total return of 1,171.9% over the past year, well above the S&P 500's total return of 45.5%.\nSource: TradingView.\nNIO Earnings History\nThe stock, which had been gathering downward momentum after peaking around mid-February, plunged following NIO's Q4 FY 2020 earnings report released at the beginning of March. The company reported a much larger loss per ADS than analysts expected and revenue also missed estimates. However, NIO's loss narrowed considerably compared to the year-ago quarter and revenue was still up 133.2%.The company was optimistic about its performance, noting that its gross margin rose to 17.2% compared to negative 8.9% in the year-ago quarter.\nIn Q3 FY 2020, NIO posted a loss per ADS of 0.98 yuan ($0.15 as of the CNY/USD exchange rate on April 27, 2021).It was the smallest loss in at least 11 quarters. Revenue rose 146.4%, maintaining the pace of growth achieved in the second quarter.NIO said it delivered a record number of vehicles and saw improvements in its average selling price. The company also said that it was the second straight quarter of positive cash flow from operating activities.\nAnalysts expect continued improvement in NIO's financial results in Q1 FY 2021. While NIO is still expected to post another loss per ADS, it is estimated to be the lowest in at least 14 quarters. Revenue for the quarter is forecast to rise 446.1%, which would be the fastest pace since Q2 FY 2019. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are currently expecting NIO to achieve a loss of 2.72 yuan per ADS, which would be the smallest loss in at least five years. Revenue is expected to rise 109.7%, a faster pace than in each of the last two years.\nSource: Visible Alpha; NIO Inc.\nThe Key Metric\nAs mentioned above, investors are also watching the number of vehicles NIO delivers each quarter. NIO generates some revenue from various services it provides, but the majority of revenue is derived from vehicle sales.Currently, the company makes deliveries of three types of vehicles: the ES8, the company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV; the ES6, the company’s 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV; and the EC6, the company’s 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV.The number of vehicle deliveries provides an indication of the demand for NIO's vehicles as well as the company's ability to scale production.\nNIO has significantly ramped up its production over the past few years. The company delivered 11,350 vehicles in FY 2018. In FY 2020, it had nearly quadrupled that figure, delivering 43,730 vehicles. Despite a slowdown in Q1 FY 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, NIO quickly made up for the Q1 drop in deliveries with a 190.8% year-over-year increase in Q2 FY 2020. Total vehicle delivery growth decelerated to 154.3% in Q3 and then to 111.0% in Q4. However, vehicle deliveries rose 423.0% in Q1 FY 2021, hitting a new quarterly record, as mentioned above. For full-year FY 2021, analysts are forecasting NIO to deliver 88,280 vehicles, which would be more than double last year's total deliveries. However, NIO warned investors in early March that the global chip shortage is likely to cut its production capacity, at least in the second quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372725898,"gmtCreate":1619246137114,"gmtModify":1634287453249,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372725898","repostId":"1166519043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135774748,"gmtCreate":1622189571284,"gmtModify":1634183008463,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135774748","repostId":"2138105564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131963878,"gmtCreate":1621821944094,"gmtModify":1634186347650,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131963878","repostId":"2137827351","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198703193,"gmtCreate":1620986963112,"gmtModify":1634194767984,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198703193","repostId":"2135945620","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376445503,"gmtCreate":1619145019502,"gmtModify":1634288211931,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376445503","repostId":"2129336573","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186269493,"gmtCreate":1623502189612,"gmtModify":1634032313360,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186269493","repostId":"1118102755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118102755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623469189,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118102755?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118102755","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank ","content":"<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什(Michael Brush)就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被对十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足以撼动股市的高位，可能导致高达15%的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并让美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都会扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的正好相反。在我们讨论这个问题之前，我们先来看看从今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，当10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.452%升至1.7%左右时，股市是如何恐慌的吗？好吧，期待重演。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)经济学家弗兰齐斯卡·帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)以劳动力市场紧张和工资增长为由表示：“我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。”她的研究小组预计今年年底10年期国债收益率为2.25%，2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>与目前1.5%的水平相比，这将是一个很大的变化。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储缩减规模</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了央行缩减购债规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。FOMC是美联储制定货币政策的分支机构。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>《预测市场》一书的作者兼亚德尼研究主管埃德·亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)表示：“在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得‘实质性的进一步进展’。”鲍威尔多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得“实质性的进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼预测：“鉴于经济表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。”</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。Tapering是指美联储缩减购债规模。这收紧了货币供应，抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会导致股市出现“缩减恐慌”，这意味着标普500 SPX指数+0.19%、道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+0.04%和纳斯达克综合指数+0.35%等指数大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>在考虑如何为债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩政策可能引发的抛售做好准备时，要记住的关键事情是为什么会发生这些事情，以及历史告诉我们股票的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减购债规模和债券收益率上升会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但这实际上不是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌——或者充其量是横盘震荡。但随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了这一局面并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩的发生是有帮助企业的充分理由的——强劲的经济增长。这大幅推高了盈利，从而将估值重置为较低——回落到投资者感到满意的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold市场策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。”“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，允许市场走高。这是一种健康的发展。”</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场亮点，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将推动标普500的盈利在年底前达到220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，这将使该指数的市盈率(P/E)降至18-19——接近或低于1990年以来的平均水平。“这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要去“防御性”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的“稳定性”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取防御措施，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性名称需要支付收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也会受到利率上升的打击，利率上升会使股息以及支付股息的股票和债券贬值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最佳方式是将您的投资组合与过热的经济挂钩。这是最佳利润增长和利润杠杆的地方，”保尔森说。“防御性药物是不会有这种感觉的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.与受益于增长的公司同行</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于快速的经济增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着周期性股票，如工业股、基础材料消费股、小盘股和国际股票。保尔森表示：“消费必需品和公用事业增长放缓将无法跟上市场增长领域的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17%和Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在2020年9月和2019年11月重温股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。尽管它们的股价分别上涨了48%和157%，即标普500的两到四倍，但我仍然喜欢并拥有这两家公司。最近的内部买入证实了他们在当前水平附近买入并持有。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。Lindblad提供专门的异国情调的邮轮冒险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、不脱销库存</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购股票可能很诱人。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握好时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须做出两个明智的决定，”亚德尼说。“你必须在修正之前退出，然后你必须决定何时重新加入。我不知道有多少人能始终如一地做到这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器通常会退出，不会再回来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“试图避免调整可能会给自己带来麻烦，”保尔森说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到2%或更高。因此，不要持有债券，当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌——除非您只是计划持有至到期以收取收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.选择财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济体通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着10年期国债的长期利率上升速度远快于短期利率。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年8月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Don’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDon’t be fooled — inflation is a big risk for stock market investors. Here’s how to prepare<blockquote>不要被愚弄了——通货膨胀对股市投资者来说是一个很大的风险。以下是如何准备</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.</b>  Don’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.</p><p><blockquote><b>迈克尔·布拉什(Michael Brush)就如何在债券收益率上升和央行减少刺激措施时避免犯错误提出了建议。</b>不要被对十多年来最高通胀率的平静反应所迷惑。通胀将保持在足以撼动股市的高位，可能导致高达15%的抛售。你现在需要准备。</blockquote></p><p> The reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.</p><p><blockquote>原因是：持续的高通胀将使10年期国债收益率升至2%，并让美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激措施。两者都会扰乱股市。</blockquote></p><p> The government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p><p><blockquote>政府6月10日表示，5月份生活成本飙升，推动通胀率升至5%的13年高点。</blockquote></p><p> What should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>你该怎么办？可能和你想的正好相反。在我们讨论这个问题之前，我们先来看看从今天到年底之间股市的两个关键事件——债券市场和美联储。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising yields</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收益率上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Remember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452%&nbsp;moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.</p><p><blockquote>还记得今年早些时候，当10年期国债收益率TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.452%升至1.7%左右时，股市是如何恐慌的吗？好吧，期待重演。只会更糟。</blockquote></p><p> “We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)经济学家弗兰齐斯卡·帕尔马斯(Franziska Palmas)以劳动力市场紧张和工资增长为由表示：“我们怀疑美国的通胀将比投资者目前预期的更加持久。”她的研究小组预计今年年底10年期国债收益率为2.25%，2022年底为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> That’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.</p><p><blockquote>与目前1.5%的水平相比，这将是一个很大的变化。当利率大幅上升时，股票投资者往往会感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed tapering</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储缩减规模</b></blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee&nbsp;(FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席鲍威尔淡化了央行缩减购债规模以保持低收益率的必要性。但联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）12名成员中有一半最近表示，他们准备开始讨论缩减规模。FOMC是美联储制定货币政策的分支机构。</blockquote></p><p> “It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote>《预测市场》一书的作者兼亚德尼研究主管埃德·亚德尼(Ed Yardeni)表示：“在美联储开始谈论缩减规模之前，鲍威尔越来越难以声称经济需要在实现最大就业方面取得‘实质性的进一步进展’。”鲍威尔多次表示，美联储正在等待经济取得“实质性的进一步进展”，然后再终止刺激措施。</blockquote></p><p> “Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼预测：“鉴于经济表现，有理由预计他们将在年底前开始缩减规模，几个月后他们将开始提高联邦基金利率。”</blockquote></p><p> He thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.</p><p><blockquote>他认为美联储将在7月会议上宣布开始缩减规模的决定。Tapering是指美联储缩减购债规模。这收紧了货币供应，抑制了经济增长。一旦购买量降至零，美联储就会继续降息。</blockquote></p><p> As we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&amp;P 500 SPX,+0.19%,&nbsp;the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04%&nbsp;and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，缩减规模会导致股市出现“缩减恐慌”，这意味着标普500 SPX指数+0.19%、道琼斯工业平均指数道琼斯指数+0.04%和纳斯达克综合指数+0.35%等指数大幅抛售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to prepare</b></p><p><blockquote><b>如何准备</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.</p><p><blockquote>在考虑如何为债券收益率上升和美联储紧缩政策可能引发的抛售做好准备时，要记住的关键事情是为什么会发生这些事情，以及历史告诉我们股票的表现。</blockquote></p><p> The consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.</p><p><blockquote>人们普遍认为，缩减购债规模和债券收益率上升会扼杀经济增长和股市牛市。但这实际上不是真的。</blockquote></p><p> Yes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.</p><p><blockquote>是的，最初，紧缩可能会导致股市下跌——或者充其量是横盘震荡。但随着牛市的持续，股市摆脱了这一局面并走高。这是有道理的，因为紧缩的发生是有帮助企业的充分理由的——强劲的经济增长。这大幅推高了盈利，从而将估值重置为较低——回落到投资者感到满意的水平。</blockquote></p><p> “Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold市场策略师吉姆·保尔森(Jim Paulsen)表示：“缩减规模是复苏的重要组成部分。”“这是对成功政策和经济反弹的回应。这是牛市的自然组成部分，允许市场走高。这是一种健康的发展。”</blockquote></p><p> Looking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&amp;P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&amp;P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>纵观未来可能出现的所有市场亮点，保尔森认为潜在的经济增长将推动标普500的盈利在年底前达到220美元。假设标普500处于当前水平或略低，这将使该指数的市盈率(P/E)降至18-19——接近或低于1990年以来的平均水平。“这为牛市的下一阶段奠定了基础，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Your five-point game plan</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你的五点游戏计划</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Do not go to “defensives”</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.不要去“防御性”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> When people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.</p><p><blockquote>当人们看到股市动荡时，下意识的反应是追求公用事业和必需消费品等防御性股票的“稳定性”。但那将是一个错误。当经济放缓或收缩时，你想采取防御措施，而不是当经济强劲时。另一个问题是防御性名称需要支付收益。因此，与债券一样，它们也会受到利率上升的打击，利率上升会使股息以及支付股息的股票和债券贬值。</blockquote></p><p> “The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>“保护自己的最佳方式是将您的投资组合与过热的经济挂钩。这是最佳利润增长和利润杠杆的地方，”保尔森说。“防御性药物是不会有这种感觉的。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Go with companies that benefit from growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.与受益于增长的公司同行</b></blockquote></p><p> Since rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>由于快速的经济增长正在导致缩减规模——而且增长通常不会被紧缩扼杀——与增长相关的股票通常是最好的选择。这意味着周期性股票，如工业股、基础材料消费股、小盘股和国际股票。保尔森表示：“消费必需品和公用事业增长放缓将无法跟上市场增长领域的步伐。”</blockquote></p><p> I first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17%&nbsp;and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54%&nbsp;and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&amp;P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.</p><p><blockquote>我首先建议Lindblad Expeditions LIND，+0.17%和Cardlytics CDLX，+4.54%，并在我的股票信中，在2020年9月和2019年11月重温股票（我网站的链接在下面的简历中）。尽管它们的股价分别上涨了48%和157%，即标普500的两到四倍，但我仍然喜欢并拥有这两家公司。最近的内部买入证实了他们在当前水平附近买入并持有。另外，两者都是循环名称。Cardlytics帮助信用卡公司出于营销目的了解客户购买模式。Lindblad提供专门的异国情调的邮轮冒险。两者都受益于推动更多消费者支出的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Do not get out of stocks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、不脱销库存</b></blockquote></p><p> If you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.</p><p><blockquote>如果您认为抛售即将到来，那么在此之前尝试卖出股票，并在疲软发生后回购股票可能很诱人。但这比你想象的要困难得多。市场资深人士表示，事实上，几乎不可能把握好时机。</blockquote></p><p> “You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”</p><p><blockquote>“你必须做出两个明智的决定，”亚德尼说。“你必须在修正之前退出，然后你必须决定何时重新加入。我不知道有多少人能始终如一地做到这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Market timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.</p><p><blockquote>市场计时器通常会退出，不会再回来，他们会错过下一轮上涨。“试图避免调整可能会给自己带来麻烦，”保尔森说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Do not own bonds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.不持有债券</b></blockquote></p><p> Bond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.</p><p><blockquote>到年底，债券收益率将达到2%或更高。因此，不要持有债券，当收益率上升时，债券的价格就会下跌——除非您只是计划持有至到期以收取收入。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Go with financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.选择财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Strong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的经济体通常会使收益率曲线更加向上倾斜，这意味着10年期国债的长期利率上升速度远快于短期利率。由于银行在短端借款，在长端放贷，陡峭的收益率曲线对它们有帮助。</blockquote></p><p> The strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07%&nbsp;and Bank of America BAC,+0.41%&nbsp;are up over twice as much as the S&amp;P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.</p><p><blockquote>亚德尼指出，强劲的经济还将帮助银行释放准备金并降低贷款损失准备金，这两者都可以提高收益。自从我去年8月在股票信中提出建议以来，摩根大通JPM(-0.07%)和美国银行BAC(+0.41%)的涨幅都是标普500的两倍多。但它们看起来仍然很有吸引力。小型银行中聪明的内部人士最近的买入模式证实，尽管过去几个季度表现强劲，但该行业仍然值得持有。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dont-be-fooled-inflation-is-a-big-risk-for-stock-market-investors-heres-how-to-prepare-11623421036?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118102755","content_text":"Michael Brush advises on how you can avoid making mistakes as bond yields rise and the central bank reduces its stimulus.\n\nDon’t be fooled by the placid response to the highest inflation rate in over a decade. Inflation will remain elevated enough to shake up the stock market, possibly causing a selloff as much as 15%. You need to prepare now.\nThe reason: Persistently high inflation will move the 10-year Treasury yield to 2% and get the Federal Reserve to start tapering its stimulus by the end of the year. Both will rattle the stock market.\nThe government said June 10 that the cost of living surged in May and drove the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nWhat should you do? Probably the opposite of what you are thinking. Before we get to that, here is a look at the two key events for stocks — in the bond market and at the Fed — between today and the end of the year.\nRising yields\nRemember how the stock market freaked out earlier this year when the 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y,1.452% moved up to around 1.7%? Well, expect a repeat. Only worse.\n“We suspect that inflation in the U.S. will prove more persistent than investors currently appear to anticipate,” says Capital Economics economist Franziska Palmas, citing the tight labor market and wage growth. Her research group puts the 10-year yield at 2.25% by the end of this year, and 2.5% by the end of 2022.\nThat’ll be a big move from the current level of 1.5%. Stock investors tend to panic when interest rates rise a lot.\nFed tapering\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has downplayed the need for tapering the central bank’s bond purchases to keep yields low. But half of the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have recently said they’re ready to start talking about tapering. The FOMC is the Fed branch that sets monetary policy.\n“It will be increasingly hard for Powell to claim the economy needs to make ‘substantial further progress’ toward achieving maximum employment before the Fed starts talking about talking about tapering,” says Ed Yardeni, author of Predicting the Markets and head of Yardeni Research. Powell has repeatedly said the Fed is awaiting “substantial further progress” in the economy before terminating its stimulus.\n“Given the performance of the economy, it is reasonable to expect they will start to taper before end of year, and a few months later they will start to raise the federal funds rate,” predicts Yardeni.\nHe thinks the Fed will announce a decision to start tapering in its July meeting. Tapering refers to a reduction in bond purchases by the Fed. This tightens the money supply to put the brakes on growth. Once purchases go to zero, the Fed moves on to cutting rates.\nAs we know, tapering causes a “taper tantrum” in the stock market, meaning a sharp selloff in indices like the S&P 500 SPX,+0.19%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA,+0.04% and Nasdaq COMP,+0.35%.\nHow to prepare\nWhen considering how to position for the probable selloff caused by rising bond yields and Fed tightening, the key things to remember is why these things are happening in the first place, and what history tells us about how stocks behave.\nThe consensus view is that tapering and rising bond yields kill off economic growth and the bull market in stocks. But this isn’t actually true.\nYes, initially, tightening can make stocks fall — or churn sideways, at best. But then stocks shake it off and move higher as the bull market continues. This makes sense, because the tightening is happening for good reasons that help companies — strong economic growth. This pushes earnings a lot higher, which resets valuations lower — back down to levels investors feel comfortable with.\n“Tapering is part and parcel of a recovery,” says Leuthold market strategist Jim Paulsen. “It is a response to successful policy and a rebound in the economy. It is a natural part of the bull market that allows the market to go higher. It’s a healthy development.”\nLooking through all the market fireworks that may lie ahead, Paulsen thinks underlying economic growth will push S&P 500 earnings up to $220 by the end of the year. Assuming the S&P 500 is at current levels or a little bit lower, that would bring the index’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 18-19 — which is near or below the average since 1990. “That sets up the next leg of the bull market,” he says.\nYour five-point game plan\n1. Do not go to “defensives”\nWhen people see stock market turbulence, the knee-jerk reaction is to go for the “stability” of defensive names like utilities and consumer staples. But that would be a mistake. You want to go to defensives when the economy is slowing or contracting, not when it is strong. Another problem is that defensive names pay yield. So, like bonds, they get hit by rising interest rates, which devalue dividends — and dividend-paying stocks and bonds.\n“The best way to protect yourself is to tie your portfolio to the overheated economy. That is where the best profit growth and profit leverage is,” says Paulsen. “You do not get that with defensives.”\n2. Go with companies that benefit from growth\nSince rapid economic growth is causing the tapering — and the growth is usually not killed off by tightening — stocks linked to growth typically are the best place to be. This means cyclicals like industrials, basic materials consumer names, small-caps and international stocks. “Slower growth consumer staples and utilities won’t keep up with growth areas of the market,” says Paulsen.\nI first suggested Lindblad Expeditions LIND,+0.17% and Cardlytics CDLX,+4.54% and in my stock letter, Brush Up on Stocks (the link to my site is in the bio, below) in September 2020 and November 2019. I still like and own both even though they are up 48% and 157% — or two to four times the S&P 500. Recent insider buying confirms they are buys and holds around current levels. Plus, both are cyclical names. Cardlytics helps credit card companies understand customer buying patterns for marketing purposes. Lindblad offers specialized cruise adventures to exotic locales. Both benefit from economic growth that powers more consumer spending.\n3. Do not get out of stocks\nIf you think a selloff is coming, it might be tempting to try to get out of stocks right before that, to buy back after the weakness happens. But this is a lot harder than you think. In fact, it is almost impossible to get the timing right, say market veterans.\n“You have to make two smart decisions,” says Yardeni. “You have to get out just before the correction and then you have to decide when to get back in. I don’t know of too many people that can do that consistently.”\nMarket timers often get out and don’t get back in, and they miss the next leg up. “You can get yourself into trouble trying to avoid the correction,” says Paulsen.\n4. Do not own bonds\nBond yields will be 2% or higher by the end of year. So don’t own bonds, whose prices fall when yields rise — unless you simply plan to hold to maturity to collect the income.\n5. Go with financials\nStrong economies typically make the yield curve more upward sloping, meaning that long-term interest rates on 10-year Treasuries rise a lot faster than short-term interest rates. Since banks borrow at the short end and lend at the long end, steepening yield curves help them.\nThe strong economy will also help banks release reserves and lower provisions for loan losses, both of which can boost earnings, points out Yardeni. Both JPMorgan Chase JPM,-0.07% and Bank of America BAC,+0.41% are up over twice as much as the S&P 500 since I suggested them in my stock letter last August. But they still look attractive. Recent pattern buying by smart insiders among smaller banks confirms the sector is still one to own, despite the strength over the past few quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":196138374,"gmtCreate":1621035266398,"gmtModify":1634194478072,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196138374","repostId":"1103478451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191436413,"gmtCreate":1620897209332,"gmtModify":1634195475628,"author":{"id":"3575673928225023","authorId":"3575673928225023","name":"Marcus1993","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b835437b2dfaf620c28adecbcb202d6","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575673928225023","idStr":"3575673928225023"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191436413","repostId":"1184813521","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":518,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}