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Chaishen

Chaishen

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2021-11-28

How about just 3yrs 😂

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2021-06-21

So long article talk a lot but still is contradicting conclusions

Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>

2021-11-28

5K really cannot do much given the stocks price of both, just focus on one of have to[Miser]

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2021-09-30

Go go go

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2021-09-23

Boston beer 🍺 yeah

5 Stocks to Buy in the September Sell-Off<blockquote>9月抛售中值得买入的5只股票</blockquote>

2021-09-22

Is time to sell off for me[Sly]

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2021-08-24

Okay buy to support abit

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2021-10-13

Can consider 🤔

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2021-07-09

$Asia Broadband, Inc.(AABB)$Get ready, rocket to launch soon

2021-11-12

Support BABA

Why Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买入？这3只顶级股票已下跌超过40%</blockquote>

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support 1K each&nbsp;","listText":"Ok support 1K each&nbsp;","text":"Ok support 1K each","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691149081","repostId":"1161530074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161530074","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640138921,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161530074?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 10:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Got $2,000? 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Even if you have just $2,000 to invest, let's go over why splitting that between Twilio and Roku may be the right choice right now.</p><p><blockquote>未来，您可能会在移动应用程序和流媒体视频上花费大量时间，这使得Twilio和Roku最近的抛售更加诱人。即使你只有2,000美元可以投资，让我们来看看为什么在Twilio和Roku之间分配这笔钱可能是现在的正确选择。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce6deb412b3fed5120808b8c5d1bc735\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Twilio</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Twilio</b></blockquote></p><p> Twilio shares have fallen by more than 40% since peaking in February, but it's not as if its business is suffering a similar fate. Revenue soared 65% for&nbsp;its latest quarter, and even if you factor out needle-moving acquisitions, you still have a healthy organic top-line growth rate of 38% for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>自2月份达到峰值以来，Twilio股价已下跌超过40%，但其业务似乎并没有遭受类似的命运。最近一个季度的收入飙升了65%，即使排除重大收购，该季度的有机营收增长率仍然高达38%。</blockquote></p><p> Developers lean on Twilio's platform to let users get more done without having to leave the app. From two-way communication without revealing either side's contact info -- like when you're chatting with your food-delivery driver or trying to book a holiday vacation rental home -- to simple things like resetting passwords, you're probably contributing to Twilio's growth without realizing it. There are now more than 250,000 developers as active Twilio customers, and they're spending 31% more on the platform than they were a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>开发者依靠Twilio的平台让用户在不离开应用程序的情况下完成更多工作。从不透露任何一方联系信息的双向沟通——比如当你与送餐司机聊天或试图预订度假出租屋时——到重置密码等简单的事情，你可能在不知不觉中为Twilio的增长做出了贡献。现在有超过250,000名开发者是Twilio的活跃客户，他们在该平台上的支出比一年前增加了31%。</blockquote></p><p> Red ink is a problem, and investors are concerned enough about the losses to detract from the spectacular top-line gains that Twilio is producing in a booming niche. We're only going to be spending more time on smartphone apps, and with that comes the challenge for app developers to make sure they beef up their in-app communication solutions. Twilio's future is bright, even if the stock is now 41% below the all-time high it established earlier this year.</p><p><blockquote>亏损是一个问题，投资者对亏损非常担心，以至于减损了Twilio在蓬勃发展的利基市场中产生的惊人营收收益。我们只会在智能手机应用上花费更多时间，随之而来的是应用开发者面临的挑战，即确保他们加强应用内通信解决方案。Twilio的未来是光明的，尽管该股目前比今年早些时候创下的历史高点低41%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Roku</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roku</b></blockquote></p><p> We're streaming a lot of video from the biggest screen in the house -- our smart TV -- and that's not going to change anytime soon. Roku is the top solution, available freely as the default operating system in 38% of the smart TVs sold in North America. Folks can also buy Roku dongles for as little as $20 that plug into their TVs for access to Roku's free-to-use platform.</p><p><blockquote>我们从家里最大的屏幕——我们的智能电视——播放大量视频，而且这种情况不会很快改变。Roku是顶级解决方案，在北美销售的38%的智能电视中免费作为默认操作系统。人们还可以花20美元购买Roku加密狗，将其插入电视即可访问Roku的免费平台。</blockquote></p><p> Business is strong. Platform revenue soared 82% in its latest quarter. Hardware sales haven't been as kind, and supply-chain constraints and rising costs on that front will linger into the year ahead. The audience continues to grow despite the hardware hiccups, thankfully due to its market leadership in factory-installed new TVs.</p><p><blockquote>生意兴隆。平台收入在最近一个季度飙升82%。硬件销售并不那么好，供应链限制和这方面的成本上升将持续到未来一年。尽管硬件出现问题，观众仍在继续增长，谢天谢地，这要归功于其在工厂安装的新电视方面的市场领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Roku plays nice with thousands of streaming apps. It's had a few tense negotiations with media and tech giants to keep them on its hub -- more recently with YouTube and YouTube TV -- but they have&nbsp;always been resolved&nbsp;before starting to get in the way of user growth. Advertisers and providers of streaming apps know that they have to work with Roku if they want to reach younger audiences who aren't consuming traditional marketing outposts.</p><p><blockquote>Roku在数千款流媒体应用上表现出色。它与媒体和科技巨头进行了一些紧张的谈判，以将它们留在其中心——最近是与YouTube和YouTube TV——但这些谈判总是在开始阻碍用户增长之前得到解决。广告商和流媒体应用提供商知道，如果他们想接触到不消费传统营销前哨的年轻受众，他们必须与Roku合作。</blockquote></p><p> Roku stock has fallen 54% from this year's summertime highs. This would be an alarming sight if we hadn't seen&nbsp;similar drawdowns&nbsp;before. The stock has fallen between 43% and 61% every year since going public in 2017, only to hit a fresh all-time high the following year. History tells us that buying Roku when the leader amongstreaming service stocks&nbsp;is down is a smart thing to do.</p><p><blockquote>Roku股价较今年夏季高点下跌54%。如果我们以前没有看到类似的缩水，这将是一个令人担忧的景象。自2017年上市以来，该股每年下跌43%至61%，次年才创下历史新高。历史告诉我们，当流媒体服务股票的领导者下跌时购买Roku是明智之举。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Got $2,000? 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Here Are 2 Beaten-Down Growth Stocks to Buy Right Now<blockquote>有2000美元吗？以下是目前值得买入的两只遭受重创的成长型股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-22 10:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Twilio and Roku are down more than 40% since their all-time highs.</li>  <li>Both companies are posting double-digit revenue growth.</li>  <li>Twilio and Roku are leaders in growing industries. You want to pick them -- not kick them -- when they're down.</li> </ul> A lot of stocks have been hit hard in recent months, and not all of them are going to bounce back. Some downticks have been fully earned, but that doesn't seem to be the case with&nbsp;<b>Twilio</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:TWLO)&nbsp;or&nbsp;<b>Roku</b>(NASDAQ:ROKU).</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Twilio和Roku自历史高点以来下跌了40%以上。</li><li>两家公司的收入都实现了两位数的增长。</li><li>Twilio和Roku是成长型行业的领导者。当他们倒下的时候，你想抓住他们，而不是踢他们。</li></ul>近几个月来，许多股票都受到了重创，而且并非所有股票都将反弹。有些下跌是完全应得的，但情况似乎并非如此<b>Twilio</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：TWLO）或<b>Roku</b>（纳斯达克：ROKU）。</blockquote></p><p> Twilio is the leading provider of in-app communication solutions, making your smartphone even smarter. Roku is the top dog among streaming video hubs for TVs, commanding nearly double the U.S. market share of its closest competitor.</p><p><blockquote>Twilio是应用内通信解决方案的领先提供商，让您的智能手机更加智能。Roku是电视流媒体视频中心中的佼佼者，其美国市场份额几乎是最接近竞争对手的两倍。</blockquote></p><p> You're probably going to spend a lot of time on mobile apps and streaming video in the future, making the recent sell-off in Twilio and Roku that much more appetizing. Even if you have just $2,000 to invest, let's go over why splitting that between Twilio and Roku may be the right choice right now.</p><p><blockquote>未来，您可能会在移动应用程序和流媒体视频上花费大量时间，这使得Twilio和Roku最近的抛售更加诱人。即使你只有2,000美元可以投资，让我们来看看为什么在Twilio和Roku之间分配这笔钱可能是现在的正确选择。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce6deb412b3fed5120808b8c5d1bc735\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Twilio</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Twilio</b></blockquote></p><p> Twilio shares have fallen by more than 40% since peaking in February, but it's not as if its business is suffering a similar fate. Revenue soared 65% for&nbsp;its latest quarter, and even if you factor out needle-moving acquisitions, you still have a healthy organic top-line growth rate of 38% for the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>自2月份达到峰值以来，Twilio股价已下跌超过40%，但其业务似乎并没有遭受类似的命运。最近一个季度的收入飙升了65%，即使排除重大收购，该季度的有机营收增长率仍然高达38%。</blockquote></p><p> Developers lean on Twilio's platform to let users get more done without having to leave the app. From two-way communication without revealing either side's contact info -- like when you're chatting with your food-delivery driver or trying to book a holiday vacation rental home -- to simple things like resetting passwords, you're probably contributing to Twilio's growth without realizing it. There are now more than 250,000 developers as active Twilio customers, and they're spending 31% more on the platform than they were a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>开发者依靠Twilio的平台让用户在不离开应用程序的情况下完成更多工作。从不透露任何一方联系信息的双向沟通——比如当你与送餐司机聊天或试图预订度假出租屋时——到重置密码等简单的事情，你可能在不知不觉中为Twilio的增长做出了贡献。现在有超过250,000名开发者是Twilio的活跃客户，他们在该平台上的支出比一年前增加了31%。</blockquote></p><p> Red ink is a problem, and investors are concerned enough about the losses to detract from the spectacular top-line gains that Twilio is producing in a booming niche. We're only going to be spending more time on smartphone apps, and with that comes the challenge for app developers to make sure they beef up their in-app communication solutions. Twilio's future is bright, even if the stock is now 41% below the all-time high it established earlier this year.</p><p><blockquote>亏损是一个问题，投资者对亏损非常担心，以至于减损了Twilio在蓬勃发展的利基市场中产生的惊人营收收益。我们只会在智能手机应用上花费更多时间，随之而来的是应用开发者面临的挑战，即确保他们加强应用内通信解决方案。Twilio的未来是光明的，尽管该股目前比今年早些时候创下的历史高点低41%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Roku</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roku</b></blockquote></p><p> We're streaming a lot of video from the biggest screen in the house -- our smart TV -- and that's not going to change anytime soon. Roku is the top solution, available freely as the default operating system in 38% of the smart TVs sold in North America. Folks can also buy Roku dongles for as little as $20 that plug into their TVs for access to Roku's free-to-use platform.</p><p><blockquote>我们从家里最大的屏幕——我们的智能电视——播放大量视频，而且这种情况不会很快改变。Roku是顶级解决方案，在北美销售的38%的智能电视中免费作为默认操作系统。人们还可以花20美元购买Roku加密狗，将其插入电视即可访问Roku的免费平台。</blockquote></p><p> Business is strong. Platform revenue soared 82% in its latest quarter. Hardware sales haven't been as kind, and supply-chain constraints and rising costs on that front will linger into the year ahead. The audience continues to grow despite the hardware hiccups, thankfully due to its market leadership in factory-installed new TVs.</p><p><blockquote>生意兴隆。平台收入在最近一个季度飙升82%。硬件销售并不那么好，供应链限制和这方面的成本上升将持续到未来一年。尽管硬件出现问题，观众仍在继续增长，谢天谢地，这要归功于其在工厂安装的新电视方面的市场领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Roku plays nice with thousands of streaming apps. It's had a few tense negotiations with media and tech giants to keep them on its hub -- more recently with YouTube and YouTube TV -- but they have&nbsp;always been resolved&nbsp;before starting to get in the way of user growth. Advertisers and providers of streaming apps know that they have to work with Roku if they want to reach younger audiences who aren't consuming traditional marketing outposts.</p><p><blockquote>Roku在数千款流媒体应用上表现出色。它与媒体和科技巨头进行了一些紧张的谈判，以将它们留在其中心——最近是与YouTube和YouTube TV——但这些谈判总是在开始阻碍用户增长之前得到解决。广告商和流媒体应用提供商知道，如果他们想接触到不消费传统营销前哨的年轻受众，他们必须与Roku合作。</blockquote></p><p> Roku stock has fallen 54% from this year's summertime highs. This would be an alarming sight if we hadn't seen&nbsp;similar drawdowns&nbsp;before. The stock has fallen between 43% and 61% every year since going public in 2017, only to hit a fresh all-time high the following year. History tells us that buying Roku when the leader amongstreaming service stocks&nbsp;is down is a smart thing to do.</p><p><blockquote>Roku股价较今年夏季高点下跌54%。如果我们以前没有看到类似的缩水，这将是一个令人担忧的景象。自2017年上市以来，该股每年下跌43%至61%，次年才创下历史新高。历史告诉我们，当流媒体服务股票的领导者下跌时购买Roku是明智之举。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/got-2000-here-are-2-beaten-down-growth-stocks-to-b/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ROKU":"Roku Inc","TWLO":"Twilio Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/got-2000-here-are-2-beaten-down-growth-stocks-to-b/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161530074","content_text":"Key Points\n\nTwilio and Roku are down more than 40% since their all-time highs.\nBoth companies are posting double-digit revenue growth.\nTwilio and Roku are leaders in growing industries. You want to pick them -- not kick them -- when they're down.\n\nA lot of stocks have been hit hard in recent months, and not all of them are going to bounce back. Some downticks have been fully earned, but that doesn't seem to be the case with Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) or Roku(NASDAQ:ROKU).\nTwilio is the leading provider of in-app communication solutions, making your smartphone even smarter. Roku is the top dog among streaming video hubs for TVs, commanding nearly double the U.S. market share of its closest competitor.\nYou're probably going to spend a lot of time on mobile apps and streaming video in the future, making the recent sell-off in Twilio and Roku that much more appetizing. Even if you have just $2,000 to invest, let's go over why splitting that between Twilio and Roku may be the right choice right now.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nTwilio\nTwilio shares have fallen by more than 40% since peaking in February, but it's not as if its business is suffering a similar fate. Revenue soared 65% for its latest quarter, and even if you factor out needle-moving acquisitions, you still have a healthy organic top-line growth rate of 38% for the quarter.\nDevelopers lean on Twilio's platform to let users get more done without having to leave the app. From two-way communication without revealing either side's contact info -- like when you're chatting with your food-delivery driver or trying to book a holiday vacation rental home -- to simple things like resetting passwords, you're probably contributing to Twilio's growth without realizing it. There are now more than 250,000 developers as active Twilio customers, and they're spending 31% more on the platform than they were a year ago.\nRed ink is a problem, and investors are concerned enough about the losses to detract from the spectacular top-line gains that Twilio is producing in a booming niche. We're only going to be spending more time on smartphone apps, and with that comes the challenge for app developers to make sure they beef up their in-app communication solutions. Twilio's future is bright, even if the stock is now 41% below the all-time high it established earlier this year.\nRoku\nWe're streaming a lot of video from the biggest screen in the house -- our smart TV -- and that's not going to change anytime soon. Roku is the top solution, available freely as the default operating system in 38% of the smart TVs sold in North America. Folks can also buy Roku dongles for as little as $20 that plug into their TVs for access to Roku's free-to-use platform.\nBusiness is strong. Platform revenue soared 82% in its latest quarter. Hardware sales haven't been as kind, and supply-chain constraints and rising costs on that front will linger into the year ahead. The audience continues to grow despite the hardware hiccups, thankfully due to its market leadership in factory-installed new TVs.\nRoku plays nice with thousands of streaming apps. It's had a few tense negotiations with media and tech giants to keep them on its hub -- more recently with YouTube and YouTube TV -- but they have always been resolved before starting to get in the way of user growth. Advertisers and providers of streaming apps know that they have to work with Roku if they want to reach younger audiences who aren't consuming traditional marketing outposts.\nRoku stock has fallen 54% from this year's summertime highs. This would be an alarming sight if we hadn't seen similar drawdowns before. The stock has fallen between 43% and 61% every year since going public in 2017, only to hit a fresh all-time high the following year. History tells us that buying Roku when the leader amongstreaming service stocks is down is a smart thing to do.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ROKU":0.9,"TWLO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693781870,"gmtCreate":1640080127544,"gmtModify":1640080229453,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLNW\">$Limelight Networks(LLNW)$</a>Get ready to the moon [Allin]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LLNW\">$Limelight Networks(LLNW)$</a>Get ready to the moon [Allin]&nbsp;","text":"$Limelight Networks(LLNW)$Get ready to the moon [Allin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693781870","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693837785,"gmtCreate":1639998493331,"gmtModify":1639998510432,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The sky is falling, the sky is falling [Grin]&nbsp;","listText":"The sky is falling, the sky is falling [Grin]&nbsp;","text":"The sky is falling, the sky is falling [Grin]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693837785","repostId":"1160299527","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2879,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607664818,"gmtCreate":1639534249800,"gmtModify":1639535871395,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Damn it!!Struggle for 10 mths but just need one news o&nbsp;collapse it","listText":"Damn it!!Struggle for 10 mths but just need one news o&nbsp;collapse it","text":"Damn it!!Struggle for 10 mths but just need one news o collapse it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607664818","repostId":"1170177429","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1170177429","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639533771,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170177429?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 10:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Solar Stocks Alert: Why ENPH, RUN, SPWR Stocks Are Falling<blockquote>太阳能股票警报：为什么ENPH、RUN、SPWR股票下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170177429","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"The green energy sector has drawn much attention throughout 2021 as both elected officials and busin","content":"<p><div> The green energy sector has drawn much attention throughout 2021 as both elected officials and business professionals work to confront the threats posed by climate change. The recent passing of ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着民选官员和商业专业人士努力应对气候变化带来的威胁，绿色能源行业在2021年备受关注。最近去世的...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/solar-stocks-alert-why-enph-run-spwr-stocks-are-falling-today/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/solar-stocks-alert-why-enph-run-spwr-stocks-are-falling-today/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Solar Stocks Alert: Why ENPH, RUN, SPWR Stocks Are Falling<blockquote>太阳能股票警报：为什么ENPH、RUN、SPWR股票下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSolar Stocks Alert: Why ENPH, RUN, SPWR Stocks Are Falling<blockquote>太阳能股票警报：为什么ENPH、RUN、SPWR股票下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-15 10:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> The green energy sector has drawn much attention throughout 2021 as both elected officials and business professionals work to confront the threats posed by climate change. The recent passing of ...</p><p><blockquote><div>随着民选官员和商业专业人士努力应对气候变化带来的威胁，绿色能源行业在2021年备受关注。最近去世的...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/solar-stocks-alert-why-enph-run-spwr-stocks-are-falling-today/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/solar-stocks-alert-why-enph-run-spwr-stocks-are-falling-today/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/solar-stocks-alert-why-enph-run-spwr-stocks-are-falling-today/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NEE":"新纪元能源","RUN":"Sunrun Inc.","ENPH":"Enphase Energy","SPWR":"Sunpower Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/solar-stocks-alert-why-enph-run-spwr-stocks-are-falling-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170177429","content_text":"The green energy sector has drawn much attention throughout 2021 as both elected officials and business professionals work to confront the threats posed by climate change. The recent passing of President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better package gave Wall Street reason to believe that sectors such as construction and infrastructure might see gains in 2022. However, a new report has recently pointed toward a future for certain clean energy players that is less bright, especially for the solar energy sector. The supply chain crisis is creating bigger problems for the companies producing new energy solutions than some realized. As a result, solar stocks have taken a beating today.\nReleased this morning, the report in question was compiled by the Solar Energy Industries Association and Wood Mackenzie. As CNBC reports, it forecasts that the U.S. solar energy industry will experience a growth rate less than 25%of what had been previously forecasted. This is largely due to the supply chain crisis and increasing costs of raw materials. Solar stocks were quick to fall upon the release of this news.\nUnsurprisingly, it hasn’t been a good day for the companies of the solar energy sector.Enphase Energy(NASDAQ:ENPH) is down 5.25% at market close, but for its competitors, things have been worse. SunPower(NASDAQ:SPWR) has seen shares fall by almost 10.78% as of this writing, while Sunrun’s(NASDAQ:RUN) is down 15.7% at market close. All three solar stocks had seen some slight downticks in the week leading up to this. However, nothing has been as severe as the drop-off all three have seen today.\nENPH and SPWR were recently named to a list of energy stocks to buy for the coming winter. The way it looks from here, that might be a strategy to rethink.\nWhy It Matters\nThere’s no getting around the fact that this news casts some dark clouds over an industry that looked poised for growth in 2022. At the same time, it’s hardly surprising. As the report noted, costs of materials necessary for all types of manufacturing have risen sharply throughout the year. This makes it difficult for the companies doing the building to operate and meet deadlines. Additionally, we’ve also seen trade uncertainty rise throughout 2021 as the supply chain crisis has strained areas such as international trade. We saw the solar energy sector grapple with the constraints imposed by the 2018 trade war caused when former president Donald Trump imposed tariffs on some of America’s trading partners. The sector was vulnerable then, just like it is now.\nNone of this is to say that the solar energy sector doesn’t have significant potential. It absolutely does. And the importance of its technology should not be understated, particularly as the area of energy storage emerges as a field worth watching for investors.\n“Want to still have a planet to call home in 50 years?” asksInvestorPlace’s Luke Lango in a recent analysis of the utility of energy storage. “We need solar, wind and hydrogen. It’s that simple.”\nWhat It Means\nHe’s certainly right that alternative energy solutions are becoming increasingly necessary. Naturally, the demand for the services of the companies producing them will only grow. That said, it’s clear that our government will need to find solutions to deal with the supply chain crisis.\nIt’s worth noting that it isn’t just solar stocks that are feeling the strain caused by today’s news. Some of their alternative energy peers such as NextEra Energy(NYSE:NEE) have also been falling today. At a time when we need alternative energy solutions most, external factors are threatening innovation. 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now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/872435142","repostId":"2185120826","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3259,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":872118326,"gmtCreate":1637457494160,"gmtModify":1637459389685,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Took up small position for long term growth&nbsp;","listText":"Took up small position for long term growth&nbsp;","text":"Took up small position for long term 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[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879288807","repostId":"2182094779","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879156743,"gmtCreate":1636694218794,"gmtModify":1636694472903,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Support BABA","listText":"Support BABA","text":"Support BABA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879156743","repostId":"1137718483","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1137718483","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636677707,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137718483?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 08:41","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Why Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买入？这3只顶级股票已下跌超过40%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137718483","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"$Alibaba$ Group has plummeted 49% since peaking 13 months ago.Alibaba's Singles' Day isn't what it used to be now given China's \"common prosperity\" initiative.Alibaba and two other U.S. former market darlings have a strong chance to bounce back from here.Alibaba enters Singles' Day trading 49% below the all-time high it hit late last year. Investors have steered clear of China's growth stocks in the wake of the government's crackdown on several industries, but the real bargain for Singles' Day c","content":"<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> Group has plummeted 49% since peaking 13 months ago.</li>  <li>Alibaba's Singles' Day isn't what it used to be now given China's \"common prosperity\" initiative.</li>  <li>Alibaba&nbsp;and two other U.S. former market darlings have a strong chance to bounce back from here.</li> </ul> The market's getting volatile, but it's still trading close to its recent all-time highs. Are you waiting for the market to take a big hit before putting your money on the sidelines to work? Well, a lot of last year's biggest stars have already crashed.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>自13个月前达到峰值以来，该集团股价已暴跌49%。</li><li>鉴于中国的“共同富裕”倡议，阿里巴巴-SW的光棍节今非昔比。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW和另外两家美国前市场宠儿很有可能从这里反弹。</li></ul>市场越来越不稳定，但交易价格仍接近近期历史高点。您是否正在等待市场遭受重创，然后才将资金放在场外发挥作用？嗯，很多去年最大的明星已经坠毁了。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">Alibaba</a> Group Holding</b>(NYSE:BABA),<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</b>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b></a>&nbsp;have all plummeted at least 40% since hitting all-time highs. The markdowns seem overdone. Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>集团控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA），<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>录像</b>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b></a>自触及历史高点以来，均暴跌至少40%。降价似乎有些过头了。让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Alibaba</p><p><blockquote>1.阿里巴巴-SW</blockquote></p><p> Thursday should've been a big day for China's online retailers. It's Singles' Day! Alibaba created the shopping holiday that takes place every year on Nov. 11 -- called Singles' Day because of the 11/11 date -- but it has since been widely adopted by smaller e-tailers.</p><p><blockquote>对于中国的在线零售商来说，周四应该是个大日子。今天是光棍节！阿里巴巴-SW创造了每年11月11日举行的购物假期——因为11/11日期而被称为光棍节——但此后它被较小的电子零售商广泛采用。</blockquote></p><p> Singles' Day is hitting different this year. China's government push for \"common prosperity\" finds it unfashionable to tout commerce and consumption. Alibaba is highly unlikely to match the $74 billion it rang up in sales during last year's \"Double 11\" celebration.</p><p><blockquote>今年的光棍节有所不同。中国政府推动的“共同富裕”发现吹捧商业和消费是不时髦的。阿里巴巴-SW不太可能达到去年“双11”庆祝活动期间740亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba enters Singles' Day trading 49% below the all-time high it hit late last year. Investors have steered clear of China's growth stocks in the wake of the government's crackdown on several industries, but the real bargain for Singles' Day could be shares of Alibaba itself. It has grown revenue by at least 32% every year over the past decade. Even now as Alibaba grapples with the COVID-19 crisis and the country's common prosperity objectives, trailing revenue has climbed 40%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW进入光棍节，交易价格比去年年底创下的历史高点低49%。在中国政府打击多个行业后，投资者避开了中国的成长型股票，但光棍节真正便宜的可能是阿里巴巴-SW本身的股票。过去十年，该公司的收入每年至少增长32%。即使现在阿里巴巴-SW正在努力应对COVID-19危机和该国的共同繁荣目标，追踪收入仍增长了40%。</blockquote></p><p> 2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</p><p><blockquote>2.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>录像</blockquote></p><p> The rise and fall of Zoom Video is well known. The videoconferencing platform skyrocketed in popularity during the early months of the pandemic when in-person classes, work meetings, and gatherings of friends and family weren't safe. Now that we're largely vaccinated and case counts are lower is there really a future for Zoom?</p><p><blockquote>Zoom Video的兴衰众所周知。在疫情的最初几个月，当面对面的课程、工作会议以及朋友和家人的聚会都不安全时，视频会议平台的受欢迎程度飙升。现在我们大部分人都接种了疫苗，病例数也减少了，Zoom真的有未来吗？</blockquote></p><p> The market seems to think that the future will be bleak. Like Alibaba, shares of Zoom peaked 13 months ago. Zoom stock has plummeted 57% since that high. The twist here is that Zoom is still growing. Revenue rose 54% inits latest quarter. Sure, revenue is decelerating. We're not going to return to the triple-digit top-line growth that Zoom posted in each of the five previous quarterly reports.</p><p><blockquote>市场似乎认为未来将黯淡无光。与阿里巴巴-SW一样，Zoom的股价在13个月前达到顶峰。自该高点以来，Zoom股价已暴跌57%。这里的转折是Zoom仍在增长。最近一个季度收入增长了54%。当然，收入正在减速。我们不会回到Zoom在前五份季度报告中每份报告中公布的三位数营收增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, Zoom is still growing in the recovery climate. Video meetings will continue to be a cost-effective way to gather and get things done. Zoom is fleshing out its offerings, and a recently fumbled acquisition attempt won't stop the evolutionary process. There was a crazy time last year when Zoom was trading for more than 100 times trailing revenue. The one-two punch of heady sales growth and the cascading stock price finds that multiple whittled down to just 20 right now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom仍在复苏的环境中增长。视频会议将继续是一种具有成本效益的聚集和完成工作的方式。Zoom正在充实其产品，最近一次失败的收购尝试不会阻止这一演变过程。去年有一段疯狂的时期，Zoom的交易价格是往绩收入的100多倍。令人兴奋的销售增长和股价的连击发现，目前市盈率已降至仅20倍。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Pinterest</p><p><blockquote>3.Pinterest</blockquote></p><p> A year ago we were leaning on Pinterest to get crafty. The visual discovery engine was a valuable resource for recipes, decorating tips, and daydreaming about destinations we wanted to visit once we were able to safely travel after the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一年前，我们依靠Pinterest变得狡猾。一旦我们能够在疫情之后安全旅行，视觉发现引擎是食谱、装饰技巧和关于我们想去的目的地的白日梦的宝贵资源。</blockquote></p><p> Everything was going swimmingly for Pinterest until we were cool to toss out our sourdough starter and head outside to eat someone else's bread. Pinterest has now stunned investors with back-to-back sequential declines in active users. The stock has plummeted 49% from February's peak.</p><p><blockquote>对Pinterest来说，一切都很顺利，直到我们冷静下来，扔掉我们的酸面团发酵剂，出去吃别人的面包。Pinterest现在的活跃用户连续下降令投资者震惊。该股已较2月份的峰值暴跌49%。</blockquote></p><p> Last month&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings</b>&nbsp;was reportedly negotiating to buy Pinterest in a largely stock deal that would value Pinterest at$70 a share. Pinterest investors who were cocky about holding out for more would love a chance to get back there, as the stock has fallen sharply since the proposed combination came undone. Pinterest would have to appreciate by 53% to get to $70 now.</p><p><blockquote>上个月<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>控股</b>据报道，该公司正在就收购Pinterest进行谈判，这笔交易主要是股票交易，Pinterest的估值将达到每股70美元。那些对持有更多股票感到自豪的Pinterest投资者希望有机会回到那里，因为自拟议的合并取消以来，该股已大幅下跌。Pinterest必须升值53%才能达到现在的70美元。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal stock sold off on the initial chatter, but it continues to fall even now that a deal is not on the table. It probably won't come back on bended knee now that both stocks are out of favor, but Pinterest still has a vibrant platform with improving monetization. Revenue is still growing as advertisers flock its marketing opportunities to reach the lucrative Pinterest audience.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal的股票在最初的传言中遭到抛售，但即使现在交易尚未摆在桌面上，该股仍在继续下跌。既然这两只股票都失宠了，它可能不会卷土重来，但Pinterest仍然拥有一个充满活力的平台，货币化程度不断提高。随着广告商蜂拥其营销机会以吸引利润丰厚的Pinterest受众，收入仍在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba, Zoom, and Pinterest are still thrivinggrowth stocks. The shares just happen to be trading between 49% and 57% off their all-time highs. You don't need to wait for the market crash to happen to pick up bargains. They're out there now.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Zoom和Pinterest仍然是蓬勃发展的成长型股票。该股的交易价格恰好比历史高点低了49%至57%。你不需要等到市场崩盘时再买便宜货。他们现在就在外面。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买入？这3只顶级股票已下跌超过40%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买入？这3只顶级股票已下跌超过40%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-12 08:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> Group has plummeted 49% since peaking 13 months ago.</li>  <li>Alibaba's Singles' Day isn't what it used to be now given China's \"common prosperity\" initiative.</li>  <li>Alibaba&nbsp;and two other U.S. former market darlings have a strong chance to bounce back from here.</li> </ul> The market's getting volatile, but it's still trading close to its recent all-time highs. Are you waiting for the market to take a big hit before putting your money on the sidelines to work? Well, a lot of last year's biggest stars have already crashed.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>自13个月前达到峰值以来，该集团股价已暴跌49%。</li><li>鉴于中国的“共同富裕”倡议，阿里巴巴-SW的光棍节今非昔比。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW和另外两家美国前市场宠儿很有可能从这里反弹。</li></ul>市场越来越不稳定，但交易价格仍接近近期历史高点。您是否正在等待市场遭受重创，然后才将资金放在场外发挥作用？嗯，很多去年最大的明星已经坠毁了。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">Alibaba</a> Group Holding</b>(NYSE:BABA),<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</b>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b></a>&nbsp;have all plummeted at least 40% since hitting all-time highs. The markdowns seem overdone. Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>集团控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA），<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>录像</b>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b></a>自触及历史高点以来，均暴跌至少40%。降价似乎有些过头了。让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Alibaba</p><p><blockquote>1.阿里巴巴-SW</blockquote></p><p> Thursday should've been a big day for China's online retailers. It's Singles' Day! Alibaba created the shopping holiday that takes place every year on Nov. 11 -- called Singles' Day because of the 11/11 date -- but it has since been widely adopted by smaller e-tailers.</p><p><blockquote>对于中国的在线零售商来说，周四应该是个大日子。今天是光棍节！阿里巴巴-SW创造了每年11月11日举行的购物假期——因为11/11日期而被称为光棍节——但此后它被较小的电子零售商广泛采用。</blockquote></p><p> Singles' Day is hitting different this year. China's government push for \"common prosperity\" finds it unfashionable to tout commerce and consumption. Alibaba is highly unlikely to match the $74 billion it rang up in sales during last year's \"Double 11\" celebration.</p><p><blockquote>今年的光棍节有所不同。中国政府推动的“共同富裕”发现吹捧商业和消费是不时髦的。阿里巴巴-SW不太可能达到去年“双11”庆祝活动期间740亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba enters Singles' Day trading 49% below the all-time high it hit late last year. Investors have steered clear of China's growth stocks in the wake of the government's crackdown on several industries, but the real bargain for Singles' Day could be shares of Alibaba itself. It has grown revenue by at least 32% every year over the past decade. Even now as Alibaba grapples with the COVID-19 crisis and the country's common prosperity objectives, trailing revenue has climbed 40%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW进入光棍节，交易价格比去年年底创下的历史高点低49%。在中国政府打击多个行业后，投资者避开了中国的成长型股票，但光棍节真正便宜的可能是阿里巴巴-SW本身的股票。过去十年，该公司的收入每年至少增长32%。即使现在阿里巴巴-SW正在努力应对COVID-19危机和该国的共同繁荣目标，追踪收入仍增长了40%。</blockquote></p><p> 2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</p><p><blockquote>2.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>录像</blockquote></p><p> The rise and fall of Zoom Video is well known. The videoconferencing platform skyrocketed in popularity during the early months of the pandemic when in-person classes, work meetings, and gatherings of friends and family weren't safe. Now that we're largely vaccinated and case counts are lower is there really a future for Zoom?</p><p><blockquote>Zoom Video的兴衰众所周知。在疫情的最初几个月，当面对面的课程、工作会议以及朋友和家人的聚会都不安全时，视频会议平台的受欢迎程度飙升。现在我们大部分人都接种了疫苗，病例数也减少了，Zoom真的有未来吗？</blockquote></p><p> The market seems to think that the future will be bleak. Like Alibaba, shares of Zoom peaked 13 months ago. Zoom stock has plummeted 57% since that high. The twist here is that Zoom is still growing. Revenue rose 54% inits latest quarter. Sure, revenue is decelerating. We're not going to return to the triple-digit top-line growth that Zoom posted in each of the five previous quarterly reports.</p><p><blockquote>市场似乎认为未来将黯淡无光。与阿里巴巴-SW一样，Zoom的股价在13个月前达到顶峰。自该高点以来，Zoom股价已暴跌57%。这里的转折是Zoom仍在增长。最近一个季度收入增长了54%。当然，收入正在减速。我们不会回到Zoom在前五份季度报告中每份报告中公布的三位数营收增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, Zoom is still growing in the recovery climate. Video meetings will continue to be a cost-effective way to gather and get things done. Zoom is fleshing out its offerings, and a recently fumbled acquisition attempt won't stop the evolutionary process. There was a crazy time last year when Zoom was trading for more than 100 times trailing revenue. The one-two punch of heady sales growth and the cascading stock price finds that multiple whittled down to just 20 right now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom仍在复苏的环境中增长。视频会议将继续是一种具有成本效益的聚集和完成工作的方式。Zoom正在充实其产品，最近一次失败的收购尝试不会阻止这一演变过程。去年有一段疯狂的时期，Zoom的交易价格是往绩收入的100多倍。令人兴奋的销售增长和股价的连击发现，目前市盈率已降至仅20倍。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Pinterest</p><p><blockquote>3.Pinterest</blockquote></p><p> A year ago we were leaning on Pinterest to get crafty. The visual discovery engine was a valuable resource for recipes, decorating tips, and daydreaming about destinations we wanted to visit once we were able to safely travel after the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一年前，我们依靠Pinterest变得狡猾。一旦我们能够在疫情之后安全旅行，视觉发现引擎是食谱、装饰技巧和关于我们想去的目的地的白日梦的宝贵资源。</blockquote></p><p> Everything was going swimmingly for Pinterest until we were cool to toss out our sourdough starter and head outside to eat someone else's bread. Pinterest has now stunned investors with back-to-back sequential declines in active users. The stock has plummeted 49% from February's peak.</p><p><blockquote>对Pinterest来说，一切都很顺利，直到我们冷静下来，扔掉我们的酸面团发酵剂，出去吃别人的面包。Pinterest现在的活跃用户连续下降令投资者震惊。该股已较2月份的峰值暴跌49%。</blockquote></p><p> Last month&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings</b>&nbsp;was reportedly negotiating to buy Pinterest in a largely stock deal that would value Pinterest at$70 a share. Pinterest investors who were cocky about holding out for more would love a chance to get back there, as the stock has fallen sharply since the proposed combination came undone. Pinterest would have to appreciate by 53% to get to $70 now.</p><p><blockquote>上个月<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>控股</b>据报道，该公司正在就收购Pinterest进行谈判，这笔交易主要是股票交易，Pinterest的估值将达到每股70美元。那些对持有更多股票感到自豪的Pinterest投资者希望有机会回到那里，因为自拟议的合并取消以来，该股已大幅下跌。Pinterest必须升值53%才能达到现在的70美元。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal stock sold off on the initial chatter, but it continues to fall even now that a deal is not on the table. It probably won't come back on bended knee now that both stocks are out of favor, but Pinterest still has a vibrant platform with improving monetization. Revenue is still growing as advertisers flock its marketing opportunities to reach the lucrative Pinterest audience.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal的股票在最初的传言中遭到抛售，但即使现在交易尚未摆在桌面上，该股仍在继续下跌。既然这两只股票都失宠了，它可能不会卷土重来，但Pinterest仍然拥有一个充满活力的平台，货币化程度不断提高。随着广告商蜂拥其营销机会以吸引利润丰厚的Pinterest受众，收入仍在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba, Zoom, and Pinterest are still thrivinggrowth stocks. The shares just happen to be trading between 49% and 57% off their all-time highs. You don't need to wait for the market crash to happen to pick up bargains. They're out there now.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Zoom和Pinterest仍然是蓬勃发展的成长型股票。该股的交易价格恰好比历史高点低了49%至57%。你不需要等到市场崩盘时再买便宜货。他们现在就在外面。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/11/why-wait-for-a-crash-to-buy-these-3-top-stocks-are/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom","BABA":"阿里巴巴","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/11/why-wait-for-a-crash-to-buy-these-3-top-stocks-are/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137718483","content_text":"Key Points\n\nAlibaba Group has plummeted 49% since peaking 13 months ago.\nAlibaba's Singles' Day isn't what it used to be now given China's \"common prosperity\" initiative.\nAlibaba and two other U.S. former market darlings have a strong chance to bounce back from here.\n\nThe market's getting volatile, but it's still trading close to its recent all-time highs. Are you waiting for the market to take a big hit before putting your money on the sidelines to work? Well, a lot of last year's biggest stars have already crashed.\nShares ofAlibaba Group Holding(NYSE:BABA),Zoom Video, and Pinterest have all plummeted at least 40% since hitting all-time highs. The markdowns seem overdone. Let's take a closer look.\n1. Alibaba\nThursday should've been a big day for China's online retailers. It's Singles' Day! Alibaba created the shopping holiday that takes place every year on Nov. 11 -- called Singles' Day because of the 11/11 date -- but it has since been widely adopted by smaller e-tailers.\nSingles' Day is hitting different this year. China's government push for \"common prosperity\" finds it unfashionable to tout commerce and consumption. Alibaba is highly unlikely to match the $74 billion it rang up in sales during last year's \"Double 11\" celebration.\nAlibaba enters Singles' Day trading 49% below the all-time high it hit late last year. Investors have steered clear of China's growth stocks in the wake of the government's crackdown on several industries, but the real bargain for Singles' Day could be shares of Alibaba itself. It has grown revenue by at least 32% every year over the past decade. Even now as Alibaba grapples with the COVID-19 crisis and the country's common prosperity objectives, trailing revenue has climbed 40%.\n2. Zoom Video\nThe rise and fall of Zoom Video is well known. The videoconferencing platform skyrocketed in popularity during the early months of the pandemic when in-person classes, work meetings, and gatherings of friends and family weren't safe. Now that we're largely vaccinated and case counts are lower is there really a future for Zoom?\nThe market seems to think that the future will be bleak. Like Alibaba, shares of Zoom peaked 13 months ago. Zoom stock has plummeted 57% since that high. The twist here is that Zoom is still growing. Revenue rose 54% inits latest quarter. Sure, revenue is decelerating. We're not going to return to the triple-digit top-line growth that Zoom posted in each of the five previous quarterly reports.\nHowever, Zoom is still growing in the recovery climate. Video meetings will continue to be a cost-effective way to gather and get things done. Zoom is fleshing out its offerings, and a recently fumbled acquisition attempt won't stop the evolutionary process. There was a crazy time last year when Zoom was trading for more than 100 times trailing revenue. The one-two punch of heady sales growth and the cascading stock price finds that multiple whittled down to just 20 right now.\n3. Pinterest\nA year ago we were leaning on Pinterest to get crafty. The visual discovery engine was a valuable resource for recipes, decorating tips, and daydreaming about destinations we wanted to visit once we were able to safely travel after the pandemic.\nEverything was going swimmingly for Pinterest until we were cool to toss out our sourdough starter and head outside to eat someone else's bread. Pinterest has now stunned investors with back-to-back sequential declines in active users. The stock has plummeted 49% from February's peak.\nLast month PayPal Holdings was reportedly negotiating to buy Pinterest in a largely stock deal that would value Pinterest at$70 a share. Pinterest investors who were cocky about holding out for more would love a chance to get back there, as the stock has fallen sharply since the proposed combination came undone. Pinterest would have to appreciate by 53% to get to $70 now.\nPayPal stock sold off on the initial chatter, but it continues to fall even now that a deal is not on the table. It probably won't come back on bended knee now that both stocks are out of favor, but Pinterest still has a vibrant platform with improving monetization. Revenue is still growing as advertisers flock its marketing opportunities to reach the lucrative Pinterest audience.\nAlibaba, Zoom, and Pinterest are still thrivinggrowth stocks. The shares just happen to be trading between 49% and 57% off their all-time highs. You don't need to wait for the market crash to happen to pick up bargains. They're out there now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PINS":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":885,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":847499980,"gmtCreate":1636542095796,"gmtModify":1636542096052,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Repitive article spreading fear&nbsp;","listText":"Repitive article spreading fear&nbsp;","text":"Repitive article spreading fear","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847499980","repostId":"1179287524","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844393598,"gmtCreate":1636386565307,"gmtModify":1636386623361,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JUSHF\">$Jushi Holdings Inc.(JUSHF)$</a>Go go go to the moon 🌙&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JUSHF\">$Jushi Holdings Inc.(JUSHF)$</a>Go go go to the moon 🌙&nbsp;","text":"$Jushi Holdings Inc.(JUSHF)$Go go go to the moon 🌙","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b2abb3a52ffee7a8be78602da8964e1","width":"1125","height":"2321"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844393598","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845533786,"gmtCreate":1636348900361,"gmtModify":1636350465707,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Overall getting 6% only, are you contented to that?Do day scraping can get more than that wahahah [Happy]&nbsp;","listText":"Overall getting 6% only, are you contented to that?Do day scraping can get more than that wahahah [Happy]&nbsp;","text":"Overall getting 6% only, are you contented to that?Do day scraping can get more than that wahahah [Happy]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845533786","repostId":"2181972851","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846254346,"gmtCreate":1636089279318,"gmtModify":1636089288601,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stay sideline first, thanks 😊&nbsp;","listText":"Stay sideline first, thanks 😊&nbsp;","text":"Stay sideline first, thanks 😊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846254346","repostId":"2180989791","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849539950,"gmtCreate":1635764850173,"gmtModify":1635764850294,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s just keep repeating the same article [Spurting]&nbsp;","listText":"It’s just keep repeating the same article [Spurting]&nbsp;","text":"It’s just keep repeating the same article [Spurting]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849539950","repostId":"2179806221","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856437973,"gmtCreate":1635206825534,"gmtModify":1635206825814,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CETY\">$Clean Energy Technologies, Inc.(CETY)$</a>small nibble","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CETY\">$Clean Energy Technologies, Inc.(CETY)$</a>small nibble","text":"$Clean Energy Technologies, Inc.(CETY)$small nibble","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce2f45ce19134947c2af63d872d10df2","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856437973","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":600104127,"gmtCreate":1638079360217,"gmtModify":1638079360352,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How about just 3yrs 😂&nbsp;","listText":"How about just 3yrs 😂&nbsp;","text":"How about just 3yrs 😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600104127","repostId":"2186432895","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":167197508,"gmtCreate":1624250948404,"gmtModify":1634008859911,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So long article talk a lot but still is contradicting conclusions&nbsp;","listText":"So long article talk a lot but still is contradicting conclusions&nbsp;","text":"So long article talk a lot but still is contradicting conclusions","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167197508","repostId":"1175906479","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175906479","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624242000,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175906479?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175906479","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share .In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period.</li>  <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>  <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。</li><li>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。</li><li>从技术分析角度来看，股价正遵循上升三角形形态，正向137美元/股的目标价迈进。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael M.Santiago/Getty Images新闻公司概述</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司(AAPL)股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。由基本面支持的出色回报。我特别想从后者开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的二十年里，苹果成功的主要驱动力一直是iPhone。2016年，iPhone占总销量的63%。这对苹果来说是个问题，他们知道这一点。这个问题的存在主要有两个因素：第一，智能手机业务已经成熟（增长率较低）；其次，它过去是（现在也是）一个竞争激烈的行业。然而，苹果拥有其他竞争对手所没有的东西，即庞大的iPhone用户群（例如，这允许销售更多服务）。多年来，苹果一直能够有效地实现其收入来源多元化，目前的结构如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们来看看这些部分：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. iPhone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>自2016年至2020年，iPhone分部的复合年增长率为0.20%，并由佔总销售额的63.4%（2016年）变为51%（“TTM”）。我在下面展示了iPhone细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告的数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，在具有5G功能的新iPhone12系列以及来自中国的有趣数据的推动下，iPhone细分市场的TTM增长率为18.5%。我相信向5G的过渡将是该细分市场增长的主要驱动力。我想以这种方式报告第二季度收益看涨期权的一段文字记录。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>  <b>2. iPad</b></p><p><blockquote><i>在企业市场，许多行业的客户都在加速采用iPhone 12和5G，将其作为未来业务的关键平台。例如，达美航空正在将iPhone 12和5G连接交给空乘人员，以便他们能够在航空旅行反弹时提供尽可能最好的乘客服务。英国的Openreach已开始为数万名现场工程师配备iPhone 12加快向全国家庭部署宽带服务。科罗拉多州的一家大型医疗保健提供商UCHealth能够将每位患者的疫苗接种时间从3分钟减少到30秒，这主要是通过从PC工作站转移到iPhone。这使得他们的工作人员能够快速扫描和登记新患者，并大大提高他们的日常疫苗接种能力。</i><b>2.iPad</b></blockquote></p><p> As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>与过去一样，iPad细分市场占总销售额的百分比或多或少是一个恒定的数字，2016年为9.6%，而TTM为9.1%。从2016年到2020年，iPad细分市场的CAGR增长率为3.56%（整体趋势有所改善）。我在下面展示了iPad细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p><p><blockquote>TTM数据向我们展示了一幅有趣的画面，iPad细分市场的TTM增长率为24.9%，这是由三个因素推动的：M1芯片、新的5G功能以及我们都在家的事实。我看到了很多实现新一代iPads的方法。不过，我也不得不承认，还有一个大玩家在同一个海里游泳，那就是新的2-1笔记本电脑。对于那些希望两全其美的人来说，新的2-1笔记本电脑是一个非常有趣的解决方案。在最后一种观点中，iPad细分市场占总销售额的比例可能较低，约为7.8%（目前为9.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Mac</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.三月</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>从2016年到2020年，Mac细分市场的CAGR增长率为5.81%，与iPad细分市场一样，Mac细分市场在2016年占总销售额的比例为10.6%，而TTM为10.4%。我在下面介绍了过去5年（2016-TTM）Mac细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p><p><blockquote>采用M1芯片的新一代Mac似乎受到了客户的赞赏，事实上，今年迄今为止，Mac细分市场的TTM增长率为18.4%。我亲自尝试了这款新一代MAC电脑，我不得不承认，苹果非常知道如何取悦顾客。个人电脑是一个竞争激烈的市场，即使我喜欢并使用苹果产品，我也更喜欢与联想合作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&amp;A)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.可穿戴设备、家居和配件（WH&amp;A）</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&amp;A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&amp;A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件部门包括AirPods、苹果电视、苹果手表、Beats产品、HomePod等的销售。这就是有趣的地方。从2016年到2020年，WH&amp;A分部的复合年增长率为28.78%，从2016年仅占总销售额的5.2%变为占TTM的10.8%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）WH&amp;A细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The WH&amp;A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p><p><blockquote>在苹果手表系列6和苹果手表SE的强劲表现的推动下，WH&amp;A细分市场的TTM增长率为14.7%。在苹果进入医疗保健市场的推动下，苹果观察在未来几年可能会有一个非常光明的未来。事实上，它可以用来监测人的健康状况。想象一下，你即将心脏病发作，你的苹果手表可能会看涨期权一辆救护车并挽救你的生命，不错不是吗？最后，我们不要忘记苹果电视4K和最新配件AirTag的推出（我没有看到后者的市场，但我可能是错的）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.服务</b></blockquote></p><p> Services include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>服务包括公司广告、AppleCare、数字内容和其他服务的销售。于二零一六年至二零二零年，服务分部的复合年增长率为21.9%，并由二零一六年佔总销售额的11.3%变为佔TTM的18.6%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）服务部门的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，服务部门的TTM增长率为12.3%。这一增长是由应用商店、云服务、音乐、广告和支付服务推动的。苹果TV+、苹果街机、苹果新闻+和苹果卡等新服务也开始为整体服务增长做出贡献，并继续增加用户、内容和功能。我相信，未来，服务板块将是公司的主导板块。下面我展示了我从第四季度收益看涨期权中推断出来的有趣部分。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>  <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><i>首先，我们的安装基础持续增长，并且在每个主要产品类别中都处于历史最高水平。其次，我们数字内容商店上的交易账户和付费账户数量在9月份季度均创下历史新高，每个地理区域的付费账户均以两位数增长。第三，付费订阅量环比增长超过3500万，目前我们平台上的服务付费订阅量超过5.85亿，比一年前增加了1.35亿。凭借这一势头，我们非常有信心在2020年底前达到并超过6亿付费订阅的增加目标。</i><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&amp;D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。公允价值是算法调整后的价值，考虑了不同的因素，基本面和技术面（如DCF公允价值、动量等）。），因此它考虑了市场先生的情绪。同时，我通过DCF模型获得的公允价值等于105.68美元/股。现在，在显示结果之前，用作基数的数字是过去12个月的数字。此外，我还重述了财务数据，因为我将可摊销期限为3年的研发费用资本化。我不认为就苹果而言，研发是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已被重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is very important to capitalize on R&amp;D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用非常重要，如果我们不这样做，我们只是将公司最大的资产保留在资产负债表之外。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>折现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p><p><blockquote>现在，这次我还提出了三种可能的情况以及我的估计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>  <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>  <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li> </ul> Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>基本情况</i>：上面的DCF模型代表了我的基本情况。在基本情况下，我假设增长的驱动力是：iPhone细分市场（由5G过渡驱动）、服务细分市场（由更广泛的客户群驱动）和新的M1 MAC细分市场。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为12%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为7.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为27%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为105.68美元/股。</li><li><i>最佳情况</i>：生意火爆！在最好的情况下，我再次将我在基本情况中描述的主要驱动因素视为主要驱动因素，但是，此外，我还看到中国的市场渗透率更高。在过去的5年里，我们可以观察到中国的销售额呈下降趋势，然而，今年的销售额增长了39.7%（iPhone细分市场大幅增长）。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为14%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为9.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为30%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为130.32美元/股。</li><li><i>最坏的情况</i>：嗯，这是一个我想看涨期权为“成熟公司场景”的场景。在这种情况下，我认为苹果的增长略高于经济增长率，因此，我假设Y1增长率为10%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为3.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为25%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为81.03美元/股。</li></ul>最后，对于每种情况，我都看到苹果凭借其苹果手表进入医疗保健市场。正如你可以想象的那样，我在每种情况下分配了不同的市场渗透可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>敏感性分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我还想提供基本情况的敏感性分析。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p><p><blockquote>从技术分析的角度来看，我还没有看到任何问题。股价处于看涨模式，目前处于上升三角形形态。截至目前，股价正在遵循其模式，正朝着137美元/股或D点的目标价迈进，在那里它可能会反弹并回到E点。如果这种情况发生，E点通常是股价再次反弹的点，从该点开始，股票走高（这只是一个技术分析假设，照原样）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&amp;P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家成熟的公司，能够在未来几年发现问题并解决它。通过查看在基本情况下计算的公允价值，我们可以认为该股票目前被高估，但没有高估那么多。对于什么关注风险，最好情况和最坏情况之间的差异可以用作风险的代理。考虑到这一点，我认为没有什么理由恐慌，但是，我确实看到市场即将出现调整。许多技术和基本面指标都向我表明，市场目前过于沉重（即使标准普尔500指数可能会走高，也许会在4400点区域）。总而言之，我不认为要平仓我的整个苹果头寸，但是，一旦达到我的价格目标，我会平仓其中的60%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Winter Is Coming<blockquote>苹果：冬天来了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 10:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period.</li>  <li>I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).</li>  <li>From the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4dc5052119e6bbc5b693cf7385d8738\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。</li><li>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。</li><li>从技术分析角度来看，股价正遵循上升三角形形态，正向137美元/股的目标价迈进。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael M.Santiago/Getty Images新闻公司概述</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&amp;P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司(AAPL)股价在过去五年中上涨了449%，跑赢了标普500同期102%的涨幅。由基本面支持的出色回报。我特别想从后者开始分析。</blockquote></p><p> Over the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的二十年里，苹果成功的主要驱动力一直是iPhone。2016年，iPhone占总销量的63%。这对苹果来说是个问题，他们知道这一点。这个问题的存在主要有两个因素：第一，智能手机业务已经成熟（增长率较低）；其次，它过去是（现在也是）一个竞争激烈的行业。然而，苹果拥有其他竞争对手所没有的东西，即庞大的iPhone用户群（例如，这允许销售更多服务）。多年来，苹果一直能够有效地实现其收入来源多元化，目前的结构如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4602be0c6fa92191baf04a7496c4e024\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Let's now take a look at each of these segments:</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们来看看这些部分：</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. iPhone</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.iPhone</b></blockquote></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>自2016年至2020年，iPhone分部的复合年增长率为0.20%，并由佔总销售额的63.4%（2016年）变为51%（“TTM”）。我在下面展示了iPhone细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/916b48499e3e3ed2c0c167af3ba62bdb\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告的数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> So far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>今年到目前为止，在具有5G功能的新iPhone12系列以及来自中国的有趣数据的推动下，iPhone细分市场的TTM增长率为18.5%。我相信向5G的过渡将是该细分市场增长的主要驱动力。我想以这种方式报告第二季度收益看涨期权的一段文字记录。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>In the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.</i>  <b>2. iPad</b></p><p><blockquote><i>在企业市场，许多行业的客户都在加速采用iPhone 12和5G，将其作为未来业务的关键平台。例如，达美航空正在将iPhone 12和5G连接交给空乘人员，以便他们能够在航空旅行反弹时提供尽可能最好的乘客服务。英国的Openreach已开始为数万名现场工程师配备iPhone 12加快向全国家庭部署宽带服务。科罗拉多州的一家大型医疗保健提供商UCHealth能够将每位患者的疫苗接种时间从3分钟减少到30秒，这主要是通过从PC工作站转移到iPhone。这使得他们的工作人员能够快速扫描和登记新患者，并大大提高他们的日常疫苗接种能力。</i><b>2.iPad</b></blockquote></p><p> As it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>与过去一样，iPad细分市场占总销售额的百分比或多或少是一个恒定的数字，2016年为9.6%，而TTM为9.1%。从2016年到2020年，iPad细分市场的CAGR增长率为3.56%（整体趋势有所改善）。我在下面展示了iPad细分市场在过去5年（2016-TTM）的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6faf9ddb8d29d662fcaa46bbda862f48\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"360\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).</p><p><blockquote>TTM数据向我们展示了一幅有趣的画面，iPad细分市场的TTM增长率为24.9%，这是由三个因素推动的：M1芯片、新的5G功能以及我们都在家的事实。我看到了很多实现新一代iPads的方法。不过，我也不得不承认，还有一个大玩家在同一个海里游泳，那就是新的2-1笔记本电脑。对于那些希望两全其美的人来说，新的2-1笔记本电脑是一个非常有趣的解决方案。在最后一种观点中，iPad细分市场占总销售额的比例可能较低，约为7.8%（目前为9.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Mac</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.三月</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> From 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>从2016年到2020年，Mac细分市场的CAGR增长率为5.81%，与iPad细分市场一样，Mac细分市场在2016年占总销售额的比例为10.6%，而TTM为10.4%。我在下面介绍了过去5年（2016-TTM）Mac细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2494d89c1d5cd70a4cf0c5fb31fb20a\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.</p><p><blockquote>采用M1芯片的新一代Mac似乎受到了客户的赞赏，事实上，今年迄今为止，Mac细分市场的TTM增长率为18.4%。我亲自尝试了这款新一代MAC电脑，我不得不承认，苹果非常知道如何取悦顾客。个人电脑是一个竞争激烈的市场，即使我喜欢并使用苹果产品，我也更喜欢与联想合作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&amp;A)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.可穿戴设备、家居和配件（WH&amp;A）</b></blockquote></p><p> The Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&amp;A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&amp;A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>可穿戴设备、家居和配件部门包括AirPods、苹果电视、苹果手表、Beats产品、HomePod等的销售。这就是有趣的地方。从2016年到2020年，WH&amp;A分部的复合年增长率为28.78%，从2016年仅占总销售额的5.2%变为占TTM的10.8%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）WH&amp;A细分市场的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16432a1ae66aa9dda7a4f969a9cfcdf\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"357\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The WH&amp;A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).</p><p><blockquote>在苹果手表系列6和苹果手表SE的强劲表现的推动下，WH&amp;A细分市场的TTM增长率为14.7%。在苹果进入医疗保健市场的推动下，苹果观察在未来几年可能会有一个非常光明的未来。事实上，它可以用来监测人的健康状况。想象一下，你即将心脏病发作，你的苹果手表可能会看涨期权一辆救护车并挽救你的生命，不错不是吗？最后，我们不要忘记苹果电视4K和最新配件AirTag的推出（我没有看到后者的市场，但我可能是错的）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Services</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.服务</b></blockquote></p><p> Services include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).</p><p><blockquote>服务包括公司广告、AppleCare、数字内容和其他服务的销售。于二零一六年至二零二零年，服务分部的复合年增长率为21.9%，并由二零一六年佔总销售额的11.3%变为佔TTM的18.6%。我在下面列出了过去5年（2016-TTM）服务部门的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af34eb1ba8fffd690a75318f8cf805f7\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> To date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>迄今为止，服务部门的TTM增长率为12.3%。这一增长是由应用商店、云服务、音乐、广告和支付服务推动的。苹果TV+、苹果街机、苹果新闻+和苹果卡等新服务也开始为整体服务增长做出贡献，并继续增加用户、内容和功能。我相信，未来，服务板块将是公司的主导板块。下面我展示了我从第四季度收益看涨期权中推断出来的有趣部分。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>First, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.</i>  <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><i>首先，我们的安装基础持续增长，并且在每个主要产品类别中都处于历史最高水平。其次，我们数字内容商店上的交易账户和付费账户数量在9月份季度均创下历史新高，每个地理区域的付费账户均以两位数增长。第三，付费订阅量环比增长超过3500万，目前我们平台上的服务付费订阅量超过5.85亿，比一年前增加了1.35亿。凭借这一势头，我们非常有信心在2020年底前达到并超过6亿付费订阅的增加目标。</i><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&amp;D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>我给予苹果中性评级，公允价值为111.42美元/股（当前价格为131.7美元/股）。公允价值是算法调整后的价值，考虑了不同的因素，基本面和技术面（如DCF公允价值、动量等）。），因此它考虑了市场先生的情绪。同时，我通过DCF模型获得的公允价值等于105.68美元/股。现在，在显示结果之前，用作基数的数字是过去12个月的数字。此外，我还重述了财务数据，因为我将可摊销期限为3年的研发费用资本化。我不认为就苹果而言，研发是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已被重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7a2222a8e8b9088e619b0b971193a1f\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It is very important to capitalize on R&amp;D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用非常重要，如果我们不这样做，我们只是将公司最大的资产保留在资产负债表之外。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>折现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2da633d931f51b493d897d9c87ecee5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Now, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:</p><p><blockquote>现在，这次我还提出了三种可能的情况以及我的估计：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Base Case Scenario</i>: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.</li>  <li><i>Best Case Scenario</i>: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.</li>  <li><i>Worst Case Scenario</i>: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.</li> </ul> Finally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>基本情况</i>：上面的DCF模型代表了我的基本情况。在基本情况下，我假设增长的驱动力是：iPhone细分市场（由5G过渡驱动）、服务细分市场（由更广泛的客户群驱动）和新的M1 MAC细分市场。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为12%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为7.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为27%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为105.68美元/股。</li><li><i>最佳情况</i>：生意火爆！在最好的情况下，我再次将我在基本情况中描述的主要驱动因素视为主要驱动因素，但是，此外，我还看到中国的市场渗透率更高。在过去的5年里，我们可以观察到中国的销售额呈下降趋势，然而，今年的销售额增长了39.7%（iPhone细分市场大幅增长）。在这种情况下，我假设Y1增长率为14%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为9.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为30%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为130.32美元/股。</li><li><i>最坏的情况</i>：嗯，这是一个我想看涨期权为“成熟公司场景”的场景。在这种情况下，我认为苹果的增长略高于经济增长率，因此，我假设Y1增长率为10%，Y2-Y5复合年增长率为3.1%，Y10的目标营业利润率为25%。在这种情况下，DCF公允价值为81.03美元/股。</li></ul>最后，对于每种情况，我都看到苹果凭借其苹果手表进入医疗保健市场。正如你可以想象的那样，我在每种情况下分配了不同的市场渗透可能性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sensitivity Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>敏感性分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我还想提供基本情况的敏感性分析。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95f00eba768526d07d68fd846ecf998d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术分析</b></blockquote></p><p> From the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).</p><p><blockquote>从技术分析的角度来看，我还没有看到任何问题。股价处于看涨模式，目前处于上升三角形形态。截至目前，股价正在遵循其模式，正朝着137美元/股或D点的目标价迈进，在那里它可能会反弹并回到E点。如果这种情况发生，E点通常是股价再次反弹的点，从该点开始，股票走高（这只是一个技术分析假设，照原样）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecf3e5f45dcb5e30b092c02bbf94d6f9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Source:TradingView.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：TradingView.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&amp;P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.</p><p><blockquote>苹果是一家成熟的公司，能够在未来几年发现问题并解决它。通过查看在基本情况下计算的公允价值，我们可以认为该股票目前被高估，但没有高估那么多。对于什么关注风险，最好情况和最坏情况之间的差异可以用作风险的代理。考虑到这一点，我认为没有什么理由恐慌，但是，我确实看到市场即将出现调整。许多技术和基本面指标都向我表明，市场目前过于沉重（即使标准普尔500指数可能会走高，也许会在4400点区域）。总而言之，我不认为要平仓我的整个苹果头寸，但是，一旦达到我的价格目标，我会平仓其中的60%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435760-apple-stock-aapl-winter-is-coming","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175906479","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple's stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period.\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share).\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, the stock price is following its ascending triangle pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share.\n\nMichael M. Santiago/Getty Images NewsCompany Overview\nApple Inc (AAPL) stock has rallied 449% in the last five years, outperforming the 102% rise in the S&P 500 over the same period. An outstanding return supported by underlying fundamentals. In particular, I would like to start the analysis with the latter.\nOver the last two decades, the dominant driver of Apple's success has been the iPhone. In 2016, iPhones accounted for 63% of total sales. This was a problem for Apple, and they knew it. The problem existed due to two main factors: first, the smartphone business was mature (with low growth rates); second, it was (and it is) a highly competitive business. However, Apple had something other competitors didn't have, a big iPhone owner base (which allows to sell more services for instance). Through the years Apple has been able to effectively diversify its revenue stream and it currently presents the structure represented below.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nLet's now take a look at each of these segments:\n1. iPhone\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the iPhone segment grew at a CAGR of 0.20% and it changed from representing 63.4% (2016) of total sales to 51% (\"TTM\"). I present below the growth rate for the iPhone segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest10-K report\nSo far this year the iPhone segment is showing a growth rate of 18.5% TTM, fueled by the new family of iPhone12 with 5G capabilities, and with interesting data coming from China. I believe that the transition to 5G will be the main driver of the growth in this segment. In this manner, I would like to report a piece of the transcript from theQ2 earnings call.\n\nIn the enterprise market, customers across many industries are accelerating their adoption of iPhone 12 and 5G as a key platform for the future of their business. Delta Airlines, for example, is putting iPhone 12 and 5G connectivity into the hands of flight attendants so they can provide the best passenger service possible as air travel rebounds.Openreach in the U.K. has started equipping tens of thousands of field engineers with iPhone 12 to speed up their deployment of broadband services to homes around the country. And UCHealth, a large health care provider in Colorado, was able to reduce per patient vaccination time from 3 minutes to only 30 seconds largely by moving from PC stations to iPhones. This has allowed their staff to rapidly scan and register new patients and vastly increase their daily vaccination capacity.\n\n2. iPad\nAs it was in the past, the iPad segment is more or less a constant number as a % of total sales, 9.6% in 2016 vs 9.1% TTM. From 2016 to 2020, the iPad segment grew at a CAGR of 3.56% (with an improving overall trend). I present below the growth rate for the iPad segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe TTM numbers show us an interesting picture with a growth rate of 24.9% TTM for the iPad segment which are driven by 3 factors: the M1 chip, the new 5G capabilities, and the fact that we were all at home. I see a lot of ways in which this new generation of iPads can be implemented. However, I also have to admit that there is a big player swimming in the same sea, the new 2-1 Laptops. The new 2-1 Laptops are a very interesting solution for those looking to have the best of the two worlds. In this last view, the iPad segment may represent a lower % of total sales, around 7.8% (vs current 9.1%).\n3. Mac\nFrom 2016 to 2020, the Mac segment grew at a CAGR of 5.81%, and also here, as it is for the iPad segment, the Mac segment represents a more or less constant number as % of total sales 10.6% in 2016 vs 10.4% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Mac segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe generation of new Macs powered by the M1 chip seems to be appreciated by the customers, in fact, the Mac segment presents a growth rate of 18.4% TTM so far this year. I personally tried this new generation of Macs and I have to admit, Apple knows very well how to delight its customers. Personal PCs are a highly competitive market and, even if I like and I use Apple products, I prefer to work with a Lenovo.\n4. Wearables, Home, and Accessories (WH&A)\nThe Wearables, Home, and Accessories segment includes sales of AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, etc. This is where it gets interesting. From 2016 to 2020, the WH&A segment grew at a CAGR of 28.78%, and it changed from representing only 5.2% of total sales in 2016 to represent 10.8% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the WH&A segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nThe WH&A segment is showing a growth rate of 14.7% TTM driven by a strong performance from both Apple Watch Series 6 and Apple Watch SE. Apple Watch may have a very bright future in the years ahead, driven by Apple entering into the healthcare market. In fact, it can be used to monitor the health status of the person. Imagine you being close to having a heart attack, your Apple Watch may call an ambulance and save your life, not bad no? Finally, let's don't forget also the launch of Apple TV 4K and of the newest accessory, AirTag (I don't see a market for the latter, but I may be wrong).\n5. Services\nServices include sales from the Company’s advertising, AppleCare, digital content, and other services. From 2016 to 2020, the Services segment grew at a CAGR of 21.9% and it changed from representing 11.3% of total sales in 2016 to represent 18.6% TTM. I present below the growth rate for the Services segment over the last 5 years (2016-TTM).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTo date, the Services segment is showing a growth rate of 12.3% TTM. The growth is driven by App Store, Cloud Services, Music, Advertising, and Payment Services. The new services, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, and Apple Card, are also starting to contribute to overall services growth, and continue to add users, content, and features. I believe that in the future, the Services segment will be the company's dominant segment. Below I present an interesting part I extrapolated from theQ4 earnings call.\n\nFirst, our installed base continues to grow and is at an all-time high across each major product category. Second, the number of both transacting and paid accounts on our digital content stores reached a new all-time high during the September quarter, with paid accounts increasing double digits in each of our geographic segments.Third, paid subscriptions grew more than 35 million sequentially, and we now have over 585 million paid subscriptions across the services on our platform, up 135 million from just a year ago. With this momentum, we are very confident to reach and exceed our increased target of 600 million paid subscriptions before the end of calendar 2020.\n\nCompany Analysis\nI initiate Apple with a Neutral rating and a fair value of $111.42/share (vs. the current price of $131.7/share). The fair value is an algorithm-adjusted value that accounts for different factors, fundamental and technical (e.g. DCF fair value, Momentum, etc.), and so it takes into consideration the Mr. Market mood. At the same time, the fair value which I obtained through the DCF model is equal to $105.68/share. Now before showing the results, the numbers used as the base are the trailing twelve-month numbers. Moreover, I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. I don't believe that in the case of Apple, R&D is an operating expense and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nIt is very important to capitalize on R&D expense, if we don't, we are just keeping the company's biggest asset off-balance sheet.\nDiscounted Cash Flow Model\nNow, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nNow, this time I also present along with my estimates three possible scenarios:\n\nBase Case Scenario: The above DCF model represents my base case scenario. In the base case scenario, I assume the drivers of growth to be: the iPhone segment (driven by 5G transition), the Services segment (driven by a broader customer base), and the new powered M1 Macs segment. Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 12%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 7.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 27%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $105.68/share.\nBest Case Scenario: The business is booming! In the best-case scenario, I see again as the main drivers the one which I described for the base case scenario, however, in addition, I see a greater market penetration in China. Over the last 5 years, we can observe a falling pattern for sales in China, however, this year sales jumped 39.7% (with the iPhone segment rising substantially). Under this scenario, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 14%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 9.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 30%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $130.32/share.\nWorst Case Scenario: Well, this is a scenario that I would like to call like \"mature company scenario\". Under this scenario I see Apple growing a little above the growth rate of the economy and for this reason, I assume a Y1 growth rate of 10%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 3.1%, and a target operating margin in Y10 of 25%. The DCF fair value under this scenario is $81.03/share.\n\nFinally, for each scenario, I see Apple entering into the health care market with its Apple Watch. As you can imagine, I assign a different likelihood of market penetration in each of these scenarios.\nSensitivity Analysis\nMoreover, I also would like to provide the sensitivity analysis for the base case scenario.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nTechnical Analysis\nFrom the technical analysis point of view, I don't see any problem yet. The stock price is in a bullish mode, currently within an ascending triangle pattern. As of right now, the stock price is following its pattern and it is heading to the price target of $137/share or point D, where it is likely to bounce and head back to point E. If this scenario happens, point E is usually the point where stock price bounces once again and from that point, the stock goes higher (it is just a technical analysis assumption, take it as is).\nSource:TradingView.com\nFinal Thoughts\nApple is a mature company that is able to see a problem and solve it years ahead. By looking at the fair value, computed under the base case scenario, we can argue that the stock is currently overvalued but not by that much. For what concern risks, the difference between the best-case and the worst-case scenario can be used as a proxy of risk. Taking this into consideration I don't see big reasoning to panic, however, it is also true that I see an upcoming correction for the market. Many indicators, technical and fundamental, are suggesting to me that the market is too heavy right now (even if the S&P500 may go higher, perhaps in the 4400 area). To conclude, I don't think to close out my whole Apple position, however, I will close out 60% of it once it reaches my price target.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":600972130,"gmtCreate":1638061720309,"gmtModify":1638061720402,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"5K really cannot do much given the stocks price of both, just focus on one of have to[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"5K really cannot do much given the stocks price of both, just focus on one of have to[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"5K really cannot do much given the stocks price of both, just focus on one of have to[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600972130","repostId":"2186340224","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865624564,"gmtCreate":1632978794380,"gmtModify":1632978903871,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go go go","listText":"Go go go","text":"Go go go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865624564","repostId":"2171986054","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863682115,"gmtCreate":1632386031437,"gmtModify":1632800755579,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Boston beer 🍺 yeah","listText":"Boston beer 🍺 yeah","text":"Boston beer 🍺 yeah","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863682115","repostId":"1137784790","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137784790","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632369156,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137784790?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-23 11:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks to Buy in the September Sell-Off<blockquote>9月抛售中值得买入的5只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137784790","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"History has shown that a market sell-off is a great time to add quality companies to your portfolio. Although no one can predict when that will happen, a 10% drop occurs about once every two years. That's why I'm highlighting five high-quality companies to buy if the most recent swoon persists.I can't tell you where Adobe,Markel,Take Two Interactive Software,Vertex Pharmaceuticals, and BostonBeerwill trade next week or next month. But I'm confident they will significantly outperform the market o","content":"<p>History has shown that a market sell-off is a great time to add quality companies to your portfolio. Although no one can predict when that will happen, a 10% drop occurs about once every two years. That's why I'm highlighting five high-quality companies to buy if the most recent swoon persists.</p><p><blockquote>历史表明，市场抛售是将优质公司添加到您的投资组合中的绝佳时机。虽然没有人能预测这种情况何时会发生，但10%的下降大约每两年发生一次。这就是为什么如果最近的低迷持续下去，我会重点介绍五家值得买入的优质公司。</blockquote></p><p> I&nbsp;can't&nbsp;tell&nbsp;you&nbsp;where&nbsp;<b>Adobe</b>(NASDAQ:ADBE),<b>Markel</b>(NYSE:MKL),<b>Take Two Interactive Software</b>(NASDAQ:TTWO),<b>Vertex Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:VRTX), and&nbsp;<b>BostonBeer</b>(NYSE:SAM)will trade next week or next month. But I'm confident they will significantly outperform the market over the next three-plus years. Here's why.</p><p><blockquote>我不能告诉你在哪里<b>土坯</b>（纳斯达克：ADBE），<b>马克尔</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：MKL），<b>拿两个互动软件</b>（纳斯达克：TTWO），<b>顶点制药</b>（纳斯达克：VRTX），以及<b>波士顿啤酒</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SAM）将于下周或下个月交易。但我相信它们在未来三年多的时间里将显着跑赢市场。原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Adobe</h3> At a market capitalization of $300 billion, Adobe is one of the largest software companies in the world. Its applications are the backbone of a lot of the content creative professionals produce. Through the years, it has also given them the ability to manage, measure, and monetize their output. The company breaks its results into three categories.</p><p><blockquote><h3>土坯</h3>Adobe的市值为3000亿美元，是全球最大的软件公司之一。它的应用程序是创意专业人士制作的许多内容的支柱。多年来，它还赋予了他们管理、衡量和货币化产出的能力。该公司将其业绩分为三类。</blockquote></p><p> Digital media encompasses the company's creative cloud offering. It's a subscription service that houses applications for virtually anyone creating or delivering content. The digital experience segment is a cloud platform that helps companies deliver the most engaging customer experiences. It provides everything from marketing management and automation to digital commerce and predictive analytics. Finally, its publishing and advertising division contains legacy products in addition to its advertising cloud offerings.</p><p><blockquote>数字媒体包括该公司的创意云产品。这是一种订阅服务，为几乎任何创建或交付内容的人提供应用程序。数字体验部门是一个云平台，帮助公司提供最具吸引力的客户体验。它提供从营销管理和自动化到数字商务和预测分析的一切。最后，除了广告云产品之外，其出版和广告部门还包含遗留产品。</blockquote></p><p> The business has performed amazingly well. Over the past decade, sales and free cash flow have grown 241% and 281%, respectively. Through the first nine months of its fiscal 2021, it posted revenue of $11.7 billion. That was up 24% from the same period last year and 43% over 2019. It carries little debt and its return on invested capital is 33%. That's slightly better than<b>Microsoft</b>.</p><p><blockquote>这项业务表现得非常好。过去十年，销售额和自由现金流分别增长了241%和281%。2021财年前9个月，该公司的收入为117亿美元。这比去年同期增长24%，比2019年增长43%。它几乎没有债务，投资资本回报率为33%。这比稍微好一点<b>微软</b>.</blockquote></p><p> CEO Shantanu Narayen sees strength across the business and believes the digital transformation will power the company's financial performance even while it invests in what it calls \"massive market opportunities.\" There is no question the runway is long. That's why I believe any significant sell-off is a gift to investors. Take advantage if you get it andbuy shares of Adobe.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Shantanu Narayen看到了整个业务的实力，并相信数字化转型将推动公司的财务业绩，即使公司投资于其评级的“巨大市场机会”。毫无疑问，跑道很长。这就是为什么我认为任何重大抛售都是给投资者的礼物。如果您获得它并购买Adobe股票，请充分利用它。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Markel</h3> Markel has been called the \"baby Berkshire\" for its resemblance to&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. It is also an insurance company that uses some of its float -- premiums collected on policies that haven't been paid out in claims -- to invest in stocks and buy businesses. It also manages those businesses in a similar way, treating its holding period as forever.</p><p><blockquote><h3>马克尔</h3>马克尔被称为“小伯克希尔”，因为它与<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>它也是一家保险公司，利用其部分流通量——从索赔中未支付的保单中收取的保费——投资股票和收购企业。它也以类似的方式管理这些业务，将其持有期视为永远。</blockquote></p><p> One big difference is that Markel is only a $16.5 billion company. That gives it more flexibility in what it can buy and offers the potential for decades of steady, market-beating returns for shareholders. Want proof? Would it surprise you to find out Markel's stock has outperformed Berkshire Hathaway since 1990? It has.</p><p><blockquote>一个很大的区别是Markel只是一家价值165亿美元的公司。这使其在购买商品方面具有更大的灵活性，并有可能为股东提供数十年稳定、跑赢市场的回报。想要证据吗？如果您发现马克尔的股票自1990年以来表现优于伯克希尔哈撒韦公司，您会感到惊讶吗？是的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/263e423c73746672c28109121ec6d687\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MKLDATA BYYCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MKL数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At less than 37 times the size of Warren Buffett's behemoth, Markel still has an almost limitless opportunity to employ the same model. It might not be an exciting technology stock or double your investment over a short time, but it is a proven market-beating company that can add ballast to a portfolio. If you get a chance to add shares during a sell-off, take it.</p><p><blockquote>马克尔的规模还不到沃伦·巴菲特这个庞然大物的37倍，但他仍然有几乎无限的机会采用同样的模式。它可能不是一只令人兴奋的科技股，也不是一只在短时间内让您的投资翻倍，但它是一家经过验证的跑赢市场的公司，可以为投资组合增添压舱石。如果您有机会在抛售期间增持股票，请抓住它。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Take Two Interactive</h3> Take Two has one of the most popular video game franchises of all time --<i>Grand Theft Auto</i>. As of last year, the fifth installment in the series --<i>GTA V</i>-- was the third-best-selling video game ever. It trailed only<i>Minecraft</i>and<i>Tetris</i>. Want more proof? It took<i>GTA V</i>three days to reach $1 billion in sales. That's more than five times faster than the closest video game, the best-performing<i>Harry Potter</i>movie, and<i>Avatar</i>. And the company has more in its stable.</p><p><blockquote><h3>采取两个互动</h3>Take Two拥有有史以来最受欢迎的电子游戏系列之一--<i>侠盗猎车手</i>截至去年，该系列的第五部--<i>GTA V</i>——是有史以来第三畅销的视频游戏。它只落后了<i>Minecraft</i>和<i>俄罗斯方块</i>.想要更多证据吗？它花了<i>GTA V</i>三天销售额达到10亿美元。这比最接近的、性能最好的视频游戏快五倍以上<i>哈利波特</i>电影，和<i>阿凡达</i>.而且公司还有更多。</blockquote></p><p> Another of its popular games -- the<i>NBA2K</i>series -- is also praised for both its polish and commercial success. But what excites me about Take Two is what those games have in common. They both offer an immersive experience in a virtual world where the possibilities seem endless. As talk of a metaverse becomes more mainstream, the company has already proven it can create engaging virtual worlds where users participate in crafting their own experience, as well as the experience of others. It has set the company apart financially.</p><p><blockquote>它的另一个流行游戏——the<i>NBA 2K</i>系列-也因其波兰和商业上的成功而受到称赞。但Take Two让我兴奋的是这些游戏的共同点。它们都在虚拟世界中提供了身临其境的体验，在虚拟世界中，可能性似乎是无穷无尽的。随着元宇宙的讨论变得越来越主流，该公司已经证明它可以创建引人入胜的虚拟世界，用户可以在其中参与打造自己的体验以及他人的体验。它使公司在财务上脱颖而出。</blockquote></p><p> Since 2012, sales have grown 308%. That compares favorably to<b>Activision Blizzard</b>'s 70% and<b>Electronic Arts</b>' 36%. Of course, those publishers were already more established. Still, it helps highlight why I think Take Two is the game maker to buy in a market sell-off.</p><p><blockquote>自2012年以来，销售额增长了308%。与<b>动视暴雪</b>的70%和<b>电子艺界</b>'36%.当然，那些出版商已经更加成熟了。尽管如此，这有助于强调为什么我认为Take Two是在市场抛售中值得买入的游戏制造商。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b89d7f36b549065b4545a0fa5c997d02\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>EA REVENUE (ANNUAL)DATA BYYCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EA收入（年度）数据BYYCHARTS</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <h3>Vertex Pharmaceuticals</h3> Some drugmakers have a portfolio of treatments across many disease areas. Others focus on one type of ailment and work to dominate the space. That's how Vertex has built a market capitalization of $48 billion and annual revenue of $6.7 billion. The company has four approved drugs for cystic fibrosis -- a disease that causes mucus to build up in organs -- and treats roughly half of the 83,000 patients in the U.S., Europe, Australia, and Canada.</p><p><blockquote><h3>顶点制药</h3>一些制药商拥有涵盖许多疾病领域的治疗组合。其他人专注于一种疾病，并努力主导这一领域。这就是Vertex如何建立480亿美元的市值和67亿美元的年收入。该公司拥有四种已获批准的治疗囊性纤维化（一种导致器官粘液积聚的疾病）的药物，并治疗美国、欧洲、澳大利亚和加拿大83,000名患者中的大约一半。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes it can treat an additional 30,000 of those patients by successfully commercializing drugs in markets where it recently gained approval, obtaining approval in new markets, and rolling out its newest CF drug in the U.S. and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>管理层相信，通过在最近获得批准的市场成功实现药物商业化、在新市场获得批准以及在美国和欧洲推出最新的CF药物，它可以治疗另外30,000名患者。</blockquote></p><p> It has also partnered with other biotechs to maintain its position in CF and explore new growth opportunities. It spent $900 million to purchase a controlling interest in CTX001 -- its collaboration with<b>CRISPR Therapeutics</b>-- for treating sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia. The company also has a non-opioid pain treatment, a drug targeting kidney disease, and a stem cell-derived therapy for type 1 diabetes in clinical trials. Vertex also has pre-clinical gene-based programs with<b>Moderna</b>and Arbor Biotechnologies. It's a robust pipeline with a lot of potential.</p><p><blockquote>它还与其他生物技术公司合作，以保持其在CF的地位并探索新的增长机会。它斥资9亿美元购买了CTX001的控股权——它与<b>CRISPR疗法</b>——用于治疗镰状细胞病和β地中海贫血。该公司还有一种非阿片类疼痛治疗方法、一种针对肾脏疾病的药物以及一种针对1型糖尿病的干细胞衍生疗法正在临床试验中。Vertex还拥有临床前基于基因的项目<b>现代</b>和阿伯生物技术公司。这是一个强大的管道，具有很大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Despite that, Wall Street isn't giving the company a lot of credit. Itsprice-to-sales ratiois the lowest it has been since 2012 -- the year it began selling its first CF drug. Analysts expect sales to climb this year and next, making the discount even more pronounced. With a strong foundation in CF and so much potential in the pipeline, Vertex Pharmaceuticals might already be a steal.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，华尔街并没有给予该公司太多信任。其市销率是自2012年（该公司开始销售第一种CF药物的那一年）以来的最低水平。分析师预计今明两年的销量将攀升，这使得折扣更加明显。凭借强大的CF基础和如此大的潜力，Vertex Pharmaceuticals可能已经是抢手货了。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Boston Beer</h3> Riding the trends in the alcoholic beverage industry is like being on a rollercoaster. Tastes in the U.S. have shifted over the years with wine, whiskey, hard cider, craft beers, and hard seltzer each taking a turn as the drink of choice. For the most part, Boston Beer has been able to succeed no matter what was in vogue. But it's been an up and down journey for shareholders. The stock has experienced drops of at least 60% three times in the last 20 years.</p><p><blockquote><h3>波士顿啤酒</h3>顺应酒精饮料行业的趋势就像坐过山车一样。多年来，美国人的口味发生了变化，葡萄酒、威士忌、烈性苹果酒、精酿啤酒和烈性苏打水轮流成为首选饮料。在很大程度上，无论什么流行，波士顿啤酒都能取得成功。但对于股东来说，这是一个跌宕起伏的旅程。该股在过去20年中经历了三次至少60%的下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f60342c3cab8471f9e4dbd370f401b1\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SAMDATA BYYCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SAMDATA BYYCHARTS</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It's in one of those slumps now as Truly -- its hard seltzer brand -- underperforms amid an avalanche of competition. After the decline, the stock is offering investors an opportunity they don't get very often. Analysts still expect revenue of $2.16 billion this year. That makes the projected P/S ratio of less than three close to the lowest level since the beginning of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正处于衰退之中，因为它的硬苏打水品牌在雪崩般的竞争中表现不佳。下跌后，该股为投资者提供了一个他们不常得到的机会。分析师仍预计今年营收为21.6亿美元。这使得预计市盈率低于3，接近2019年初以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it could get worse before it gets better. Management slashed its earnings forecast in July and then pulled guidance earlier this month, saying it would incur write-offs and fees associated with the product. As scary as that is, I'm betting Boston Beer will repeat its history of surviving a downturn, finding a new trend, and powering to new all-time highs in the years ahead.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟。管理层在7月份大幅下调了盈利预测，然后在本月早些时候撤回了指引，称这将产生与该产品相关的冲销和费用。尽管这很可怕，但我打赌波士顿啤酒将重复其在经济低迷时期幸存下来、找到新趋势并在未来几年创下历史新高的历史。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks to Buy in the September Sell-Off<blockquote>9月抛售中值得买入的5只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks to Buy in the September Sell-Off<blockquote>9月抛售中值得买入的5只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-23 11:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>History has shown that a market sell-off is a great time to add quality companies to your portfolio. Although no one can predict when that will happen, a 10% drop occurs about once every two years. That's why I'm highlighting five high-quality companies to buy if the most recent swoon persists.</p><p><blockquote>历史表明，市场抛售是将优质公司添加到您的投资组合中的绝佳时机。虽然没有人能预测这种情况何时会发生，但10%的下降大约每两年发生一次。这就是为什么如果最近的低迷持续下去，我会重点介绍五家值得买入的优质公司。</blockquote></p><p> I&nbsp;can't&nbsp;tell&nbsp;you&nbsp;where&nbsp;<b>Adobe</b>(NASDAQ:ADBE),<b>Markel</b>(NYSE:MKL),<b>Take Two Interactive Software</b>(NASDAQ:TTWO),<b>Vertex Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:VRTX), and&nbsp;<b>BostonBeer</b>(NYSE:SAM)will trade next week or next month. But I'm confident they will significantly outperform the market over the next three-plus years. Here's why.</p><p><blockquote>我不能告诉你在哪里<b>土坯</b>（纳斯达克：ADBE），<b>马克尔</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：MKL），<b>拿两个互动软件</b>（纳斯达克：TTWO），<b>顶点制药</b>（纳斯达克：VRTX），以及<b>波士顿啤酒</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SAM）将于下周或下个月交易。但我相信它们在未来三年多的时间里将显着跑赢市场。原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Adobe</h3> At a market capitalization of $300 billion, Adobe is one of the largest software companies in the world. Its applications are the backbone of a lot of the content creative professionals produce. Through the years, it has also given them the ability to manage, measure, and monetize their output. The company breaks its results into three categories.</p><p><blockquote><h3>土坯</h3>Adobe的市值为3000亿美元，是全球最大的软件公司之一。它的应用程序是创意专业人士制作的许多内容的支柱。多年来，它还赋予了他们管理、衡量和货币化产出的能力。该公司将其业绩分为三类。</blockquote></p><p> Digital media encompasses the company's creative cloud offering. It's a subscription service that houses applications for virtually anyone creating or delivering content. The digital experience segment is a cloud platform that helps companies deliver the most engaging customer experiences. It provides everything from marketing management and automation to digital commerce and predictive analytics. Finally, its publishing and advertising division contains legacy products in addition to its advertising cloud offerings.</p><p><blockquote>数字媒体包括该公司的创意云产品。这是一种订阅服务，为几乎任何创建或交付内容的人提供应用程序。数字体验部门是一个云平台，帮助公司提供最具吸引力的客户体验。它提供从营销管理和自动化到数字商务和预测分析的一切。最后，除了广告云产品之外，其出版和广告部门还包含遗留产品。</blockquote></p><p> The business has performed amazingly well. Over the past decade, sales and free cash flow have grown 241% and 281%, respectively. Through the first nine months of its fiscal 2021, it posted revenue of $11.7 billion. That was up 24% from the same period last year and 43% over 2019. It carries little debt and its return on invested capital is 33%. That's slightly better than<b>Microsoft</b>.</p><p><blockquote>这项业务表现得非常好。过去十年，销售额和自由现金流分别增长了241%和281%。2021财年前9个月，该公司的收入为117亿美元。这比去年同期增长24%，比2019年增长43%。它几乎没有债务，投资资本回报率为33%。这比稍微好一点<b>微软</b>.</blockquote></p><p> CEO Shantanu Narayen sees strength across the business and believes the digital transformation will power the company's financial performance even while it invests in what it calls \"massive market opportunities.\" There is no question the runway is long. That's why I believe any significant sell-off is a gift to investors. Take advantage if you get it andbuy shares of Adobe.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Shantanu Narayen看到了整个业务的实力，并相信数字化转型将推动公司的财务业绩，即使公司投资于其评级的“巨大市场机会”。毫无疑问，跑道很长。这就是为什么我认为任何重大抛售都是给投资者的礼物。如果您获得它并购买Adobe股票，请充分利用它。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Markel</h3> Markel has been called the \"baby Berkshire\" for its resemblance to&nbsp;<b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. It is also an insurance company that uses some of its float -- premiums collected on policies that haven't been paid out in claims -- to invest in stocks and buy businesses. It also manages those businesses in a similar way, treating its holding period as forever.</p><p><blockquote><h3>马克尔</h3>马克尔被称为“小伯克希尔”，因为它与<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>它也是一家保险公司，利用其部分流通量——从索赔中未支付的保单中收取的保费——投资股票和收购企业。它也以类似的方式管理这些业务，将其持有期视为永远。</blockquote></p><p> One big difference is that Markel is only a $16.5 billion company. That gives it more flexibility in what it can buy and offers the potential for decades of steady, market-beating returns for shareholders. Want proof? Would it surprise you to find out Markel's stock has outperformed Berkshire Hathaway since 1990? It has.</p><p><blockquote>一个很大的区别是Markel只是一家价值165亿美元的公司。这使其在购买商品方面具有更大的灵活性，并有可能为股东提供数十年稳定、跑赢市场的回报。想要证据吗？如果您发现马克尔的股票自1990年以来表现优于伯克希尔哈撒韦公司，您会感到惊讶吗？是的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/263e423c73746672c28109121ec6d687\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>MKLDATA BYYCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MKL数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At less than 37 times the size of Warren Buffett's behemoth, Markel still has an almost limitless opportunity to employ the same model. It might not be an exciting technology stock or double your investment over a short time, but it is a proven market-beating company that can add ballast to a portfolio. If you get a chance to add shares during a sell-off, take it.</p><p><blockquote>马克尔的规模还不到沃伦·巴菲特这个庞然大物的37倍，但他仍然有几乎无限的机会采用同样的模式。它可能不是一只令人兴奋的科技股，也不是一只在短时间内让您的投资翻倍，但它是一家经过验证的跑赢市场的公司，可以为投资组合增添压舱石。如果您有机会在抛售期间增持股票，请抓住它。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Take Two Interactive</h3> Take Two has one of the most popular video game franchises of all time --<i>Grand Theft Auto</i>. As of last year, the fifth installment in the series --<i>GTA V</i>-- was the third-best-selling video game ever. It trailed only<i>Minecraft</i>and<i>Tetris</i>. Want more proof? It took<i>GTA V</i>three days to reach $1 billion in sales. That's more than five times faster than the closest video game, the best-performing<i>Harry Potter</i>movie, and<i>Avatar</i>. And the company has more in its stable.</p><p><blockquote><h3>采取两个互动</h3>Take Two拥有有史以来最受欢迎的电子游戏系列之一--<i>侠盗猎车手</i>截至去年，该系列的第五部--<i>GTA V</i>——是有史以来第三畅销的视频游戏。它只落后了<i>Minecraft</i>和<i>俄罗斯方块</i>.想要更多证据吗？它花了<i>GTA V</i>三天销售额达到10亿美元。这比最接近的、性能最好的视频游戏快五倍以上<i>哈利波特</i>电影，和<i>阿凡达</i>.而且公司还有更多。</blockquote></p><p> Another of its popular games -- the<i>NBA2K</i>series -- is also praised for both its polish and commercial success. But what excites me about Take Two is what those games have in common. They both offer an immersive experience in a virtual world where the possibilities seem endless. As talk of a metaverse becomes more mainstream, the company has already proven it can create engaging virtual worlds where users participate in crafting their own experience, as well as the experience of others. It has set the company apart financially.</p><p><blockquote>它的另一个流行游戏——the<i>NBA 2K</i>系列-也因其波兰和商业上的成功而受到称赞。但Take Two让我兴奋的是这些游戏的共同点。它们都在虚拟世界中提供了身临其境的体验，在虚拟世界中，可能性似乎是无穷无尽的。随着元宇宙的讨论变得越来越主流，该公司已经证明它可以创建引人入胜的虚拟世界，用户可以在其中参与打造自己的体验以及他人的体验。它使公司在财务上脱颖而出。</blockquote></p><p> Since 2012, sales have grown 308%. That compares favorably to<b>Activision Blizzard</b>'s 70% and<b>Electronic Arts</b>' 36%. Of course, those publishers were already more established. Still, it helps highlight why I think Take Two is the game maker to buy in a market sell-off.</p><p><blockquote>自2012年以来，销售额增长了308%。与<b>动视暴雪</b>的70%和<b>电子艺界</b>'36%.当然，那些出版商已经更加成熟了。尽管如此，这有助于强调为什么我认为Take Two是在市场抛售中值得买入的游戏制造商。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b89d7f36b549065b4545a0fa5c997d02\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>EA REVENUE (ANNUAL)DATA BYYCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EA收入（年度）数据BYYCHARTS</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <h3>Vertex Pharmaceuticals</h3> Some drugmakers have a portfolio of treatments across many disease areas. Others focus on one type of ailment and work to dominate the space. That's how Vertex has built a market capitalization of $48 billion and annual revenue of $6.7 billion. The company has four approved drugs for cystic fibrosis -- a disease that causes mucus to build up in organs -- and treats roughly half of the 83,000 patients in the U.S., Europe, Australia, and Canada.</p><p><blockquote><h3>顶点制药</h3>一些制药商拥有涵盖许多疾病领域的治疗组合。其他人专注于一种疾病，并努力主导这一领域。这就是Vertex如何建立480亿美元的市值和67亿美元的年收入。该公司拥有四种已获批准的治疗囊性纤维化（一种导致器官粘液积聚的疾病）的药物，并治疗美国、欧洲、澳大利亚和加拿大83,000名患者中的大约一半。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes it can treat an additional 30,000 of those patients by successfully commercializing drugs in markets where it recently gained approval, obtaining approval in new markets, and rolling out its newest CF drug in the U.S. and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>管理层相信，通过在最近获得批准的市场成功实现药物商业化、在新市场获得批准以及在美国和欧洲推出最新的CF药物，它可以治疗另外30,000名患者。</blockquote></p><p> It has also partnered with other biotechs to maintain its position in CF and explore new growth opportunities. It spent $900 million to purchase a controlling interest in CTX001 -- its collaboration with<b>CRISPR Therapeutics</b>-- for treating sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia. The company also has a non-opioid pain treatment, a drug targeting kidney disease, and a stem cell-derived therapy for type 1 diabetes in clinical trials. Vertex also has pre-clinical gene-based programs with<b>Moderna</b>and Arbor Biotechnologies. It's a robust pipeline with a lot of potential.</p><p><blockquote>它还与其他生物技术公司合作，以保持其在CF的地位并探索新的增长机会。它斥资9亿美元购买了CTX001的控股权——它与<b>CRISPR疗法</b>——用于治疗镰状细胞病和β地中海贫血。该公司还有一种非阿片类疼痛治疗方法、一种针对肾脏疾病的药物以及一种针对1型糖尿病的干细胞衍生疗法正在临床试验中。Vertex还拥有临床前基于基因的项目<b>现代</b>和阿伯生物技术公司。这是一个强大的管道，具有很大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Despite that, Wall Street isn't giving the company a lot of credit. Itsprice-to-sales ratiois the lowest it has been since 2012 -- the year it began selling its first CF drug. Analysts expect sales to climb this year and next, making the discount even more pronounced. With a strong foundation in CF and so much potential in the pipeline, Vertex Pharmaceuticals might already be a steal.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，华尔街并没有给予该公司太多信任。其市销率是自2012年（该公司开始销售第一种CF药物的那一年）以来的最低水平。分析师预计今明两年的销量将攀升，这使得折扣更加明显。凭借强大的CF基础和如此大的潜力，Vertex Pharmaceuticals可能已经是抢手货了。</blockquote></p><p> <h3>Boston Beer</h3> Riding the trends in the alcoholic beverage industry is like being on a rollercoaster. Tastes in the U.S. have shifted over the years with wine, whiskey, hard cider, craft beers, and hard seltzer each taking a turn as the drink of choice. For the most part, Boston Beer has been able to succeed no matter what was in vogue. But it's been an up and down journey for shareholders. The stock has experienced drops of at least 60% three times in the last 20 years.</p><p><blockquote><h3>波士顿啤酒</h3>顺应酒精饮料行业的趋势就像坐过山车一样。多年来，美国人的口味发生了变化，葡萄酒、威士忌、烈性苹果酒、精酿啤酒和烈性苏打水轮流成为首选饮料。在很大程度上，无论什么流行，波士顿啤酒都能取得成功。但对于股东来说，这是一个跌宕起伏的旅程。该股在过去20年中经历了三次至少60%的下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f60342c3cab8471f9e4dbd370f401b1\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SAMDATA BYYCHARTS</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>SAMDATA BYYCHARTS</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It's in one of those slumps now as Truly -- its hard seltzer brand -- underperforms amid an avalanche of competition. After the decline, the stock is offering investors an opportunity they don't get very often. Analysts still expect revenue of $2.16 billion this year. That makes the projected P/S ratio of less than three close to the lowest level since the beginning of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正处于衰退之中，因为它的硬苏打水品牌在雪崩般的竞争中表现不佳。下跌后，该股为投资者提供了一个他们不常得到的机会。分析师仍预计今年营收为21.6亿美元。这使得预计市盈率低于3，接近2019年初以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it could get worse before it gets better. Management slashed its earnings forecast in July and then pulled guidance earlier this month, saying it would incur write-offs and fees associated with the product. As scary as that is, I'm betting Boston Beer will repeat its history of surviving a downturn, finding a new trend, and powering to new all-time highs in the years ahead.</p><p><blockquote>当然，在好转之前，情况可能会变得更糟。管理层在7月份大幅下调了盈利预测，然后在本月早些时候撤回了指引，称这将产生与该产品相关的冲销和费用。尽管这很可怕，但我打赌波士顿啤酒将重复其在经济低迷时期幸存下来、找到新趋势并在未来几年创下历史新高的历史。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/22/5-stocks-to-buy-in-the-september-sell-off/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MKL":"Markel Corp","TTWO":"Take-Two Interactive Software","SAM":"波斯顿啤酒","VRTX":"福泰制药","ADBE":"Adobe"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/22/5-stocks-to-buy-in-the-september-sell-off/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137784790","content_text":"History has shown that a market sell-off is a great time to add quality companies to your portfolio. Although no one can predict when that will happen, a 10% drop occurs about once every two years. That's why I'm highlighting five high-quality companies to buy if the most recent swoon persists.\nI can't tell you where Adobe(NASDAQ:ADBE),Markel(NYSE:MKL),Take Two Interactive Software(NASDAQ:TTWO),Vertex Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:VRTX), and BostonBeer(NYSE:SAM)will trade next week or next month. But I'm confident they will significantly outperform the market over the next three-plus years. Here's why.\nAdobe\nAt a market capitalization of $300 billion, Adobe is one of the largest software companies in the world. Its applications are the backbone of a lot of the content creative professionals produce. Through the years, it has also given them the ability to manage, measure, and monetize their output. The company breaks its results into three categories.\nDigital media encompasses the company's creative cloud offering. It's a subscription service that houses applications for virtually anyone creating or delivering content. The digital experience segment is a cloud platform that helps companies deliver the most engaging customer experiences. It provides everything from marketing management and automation to digital commerce and predictive analytics. Finally, its publishing and advertising division contains legacy products in addition to its advertising cloud offerings.\nThe business has performed amazingly well. Over the past decade, sales and free cash flow have grown 241% and 281%, respectively. Through the first nine months of its fiscal 2021, it posted revenue of $11.7 billion. That was up 24% from the same period last year and 43% over 2019. It carries little debt and its return on invested capital is 33%. That's slightly better thanMicrosoft.\nCEO Shantanu Narayen sees strength across the business and believes the digital transformation will power the company's financial performance even while it invests in what it calls \"massive market opportunities.\" There is no question the runway is long. That's why I believe any significant sell-off is a gift to investors. Take advantage if you get it andbuy shares of Adobe.\nMarkel\nMarkel has been called the \"baby Berkshire\" for its resemblance to Berkshire Hathaway. It is also an insurance company that uses some of its float -- premiums collected on policies that haven't been paid out in claims -- to invest in stocks and buy businesses. It also manages those businesses in a similar way, treating its holding period as forever.\nOne big difference is that Markel is only a $16.5 billion company. That gives it more flexibility in what it can buy and offers the potential for decades of steady, market-beating returns for shareholders. Want proof? Would it surprise you to find out Markel's stock has outperformed Berkshire Hathaway since 1990? It has.\nMKLDATA BYYCHARTS\nAt less than 37 times the size of Warren Buffett's behemoth, Markel still has an almost limitless opportunity to employ the same model. It might not be an exciting technology stock or double your investment over a short time, but it is a proven market-beating company that can add ballast to a portfolio. If you get a chance to add shares during a sell-off, take it.\nTake Two Interactive\nTake Two has one of the most popular video game franchises of all time --Grand Theft Auto. As of last year, the fifth installment in the series --GTA V-- was the third-best-selling video game ever. It trailed onlyMinecraftandTetris. Want more proof? It tookGTA Vthree days to reach $1 billion in sales. That's more than five times faster than the closest video game, the best-performingHarry Pottermovie, andAvatar. And the company has more in its stable.\nAnother of its popular games -- theNBA2Kseries -- is also praised for both its polish and commercial success. But what excites me about Take Two is what those games have in common. They both offer an immersive experience in a virtual world where the possibilities seem endless. As talk of a metaverse becomes more mainstream, the company has already proven it can create engaging virtual worlds where users participate in crafting their own experience, as well as the experience of others. It has set the company apart financially.\nSince 2012, sales have grown 308%. That compares favorably toActivision Blizzard's 70% andElectronic Arts' 36%. Of course, those publishers were already more established. Still, it helps highlight why I think Take Two is the game maker to buy in a market sell-off.\nEA REVENUE (ANNUAL)DATA BYYCHARTS\nVertex Pharmaceuticals\nSome drugmakers have a portfolio of treatments across many disease areas. Others focus on one type of ailment and work to dominate the space. That's how Vertex has built a market capitalization of $48 billion and annual revenue of $6.7 billion. The company has four approved drugs for cystic fibrosis -- a disease that causes mucus to build up in organs -- and treats roughly half of the 83,000 patients in the U.S., Europe, Australia, and Canada.\nManagement believes it can treat an additional 30,000 of those patients by successfully commercializing drugs in markets where it recently gained approval, obtaining approval in new markets, and rolling out its newest CF drug in the U.S. and Europe.\nIt has also partnered with other biotechs to maintain its position in CF and explore new growth opportunities. It spent $900 million to purchase a controlling interest in CTX001 -- its collaboration withCRISPR Therapeutics-- for treating sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia. The company also has a non-opioid pain treatment, a drug targeting kidney disease, and a stem cell-derived therapy for type 1 diabetes in clinical trials. Vertex also has pre-clinical gene-based programs withModernaand Arbor Biotechnologies. It's a robust pipeline with a lot of potential.\nDespite that, Wall Street isn't giving the company a lot of credit. Itsprice-to-sales ratiois the lowest it has been since 2012 -- the year it began selling its first CF drug. Analysts expect sales to climb this year and next, making the discount even more pronounced. With a strong foundation in CF and so much potential in the pipeline, Vertex Pharmaceuticals might already be a steal.\nBoston Beer\nRiding the trends in the alcoholic beverage industry is like being on a rollercoaster. Tastes in the U.S. have shifted over the years with wine, whiskey, hard cider, craft beers, and hard seltzer each taking a turn as the drink of choice. For the most part, Boston Beer has been able to succeed no matter what was in vogue. But it's been an up and down journey for shareholders. The stock has experienced drops of at least 60% three times in the last 20 years.\nSAMDATA BYYCHARTS\nIt's in one of those slumps now as Truly -- its hard seltzer brand -- underperforms amid an avalanche of competition. After the decline, the stock is offering investors an opportunity they don't get very often. Analysts still expect revenue of $2.16 billion this year. That makes the projected P/S ratio of less than three close to the lowest level since the beginning of 2019.\nOf course, it could get worse before it gets better. Management slashed its earnings forecast in July and then pulled guidance earlier this month, saying it would incur write-offs and fees associated with the product. As scary as that is, I'm betting Boston Beer will repeat its history of surviving a downturn, finding a new trend, and powering to new all-time highs in the years ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SAM":0.9,"MKL":0.9,"TTWO":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"VRTX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869293398,"gmtCreate":1632288149314,"gmtModify":1632801466405,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Is time to sell off for me[Sly]&nbsp;","listText":"Is time to sell off for me[Sly]&nbsp;","text":"Is time to sell off for me[Sly]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869293398","repostId":"2169639321","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":428,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834209613,"gmtCreate":1629803298332,"gmtModify":1631889868338,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay buy to support abit","listText":"Okay buy to support abit","text":"Okay buy to support abit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834209613","repostId":"1129329518","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":822117653,"gmtCreate":1634101064984,"gmtModify":1634101065164,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can consider 🤔&nbsp;","listText":"Can consider 🤔&nbsp;","text":"Can consider 🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822117653","repostId":"2175273130","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":141070701,"gmtCreate":1625828536003,"gmtModify":1631889816785,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AABB\">$Asia Broadband, Inc.(AABB)$</a>Get ready, rocket to launch soon","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AABB\">$Asia Broadband, Inc.(AABB)$</a>Get ready, rocket to launch soon","text":"$Asia Broadband, Inc.(AABB)$Get ready, rocket to launch soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141070701","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":640,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":879156743,"gmtCreate":1636694218794,"gmtModify":1636694472903,"author":{"id":"3575102877976288","authorId":"3575102877976288","name":"Chaishen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b8bb167c6f990b4a02d66313039eb021","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575102877976288","idStr":"3575102877976288"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Support BABA","listText":"Support BABA","text":"Support BABA","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879156743","repostId":"1137718483","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1137718483","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1636677707,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137718483?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-12 08:41","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Why Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买入？这3只顶级股票已下跌超过40%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137718483","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"$Alibaba$ Group has plummeted 49% since peaking 13 months ago.Alibaba's Singles' Day isn't what it used to be now given China's \"common prosperity\" initiative.Alibaba and two other U.S. former market darlings have a strong chance to bounce back from here.Alibaba enters Singles' Day trading 49% below the all-time high it hit late last year. Investors have steered clear of China's growth stocks in the wake of the government's crackdown on several industries, but the real bargain for Singles' Day c","content":"<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> Group has plummeted 49% since peaking 13 months ago.</li>  <li>Alibaba's Singles' Day isn't what it used to be now given China's \"common prosperity\" initiative.</li>  <li>Alibaba&nbsp;and two other U.S. former market darlings have a strong chance to bounce back from here.</li> </ul> The market's getting volatile, but it's still trading close to its recent all-time highs. Are you waiting for the market to take a big hit before putting your money on the sidelines to work? Well, a lot of last year's biggest stars have already crashed.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>自13个月前达到峰值以来，该集团股价已暴跌49%。</li><li>鉴于中国的“共同富裕”倡议，阿里巴巴-SW的光棍节今非昔比。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW和另外两家美国前市场宠儿很有可能从这里反弹。</li></ul>市场越来越不稳定，但交易价格仍接近近期历史高点。您是否正在等待市场遭受重创，然后才将资金放在场外发挥作用？嗯，很多去年最大的明星已经坠毁了。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">Alibaba</a> Group Holding</b>(NYSE:BABA),<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</b>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b></a>&nbsp;have all plummeted at least 40% since hitting all-time highs. The markdowns seem overdone. Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>集团控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA），<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>录像</b>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b></a>自触及历史高点以来，均暴跌至少40%。降价似乎有些过头了。让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Alibaba</p><p><blockquote>1.阿里巴巴-SW</blockquote></p><p> Thursday should've been a big day for China's online retailers. It's Singles' Day! Alibaba created the shopping holiday that takes place every year on Nov. 11 -- called Singles' Day because of the 11/11 date -- but it has since been widely adopted by smaller e-tailers.</p><p><blockquote>对于中国的在线零售商来说，周四应该是个大日子。今天是光棍节！阿里巴巴-SW创造了每年11月11日举行的购物假期——因为11/11日期而被称为光棍节——但此后它被较小的电子零售商广泛采用。</blockquote></p><p> Singles' Day is hitting different this year. China's government push for \"common prosperity\" finds it unfashionable to tout commerce and consumption. Alibaba is highly unlikely to match the $74 billion it rang up in sales during last year's \"Double 11\" celebration.</p><p><blockquote>今年的光棍节有所不同。中国政府推动的“共同富裕”发现吹捧商业和消费是不时髦的。阿里巴巴-SW不太可能达到去年“双11”庆祝活动期间740亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba enters Singles' Day trading 49% below the all-time high it hit late last year. Investors have steered clear of China's growth stocks in the wake of the government's crackdown on several industries, but the real bargain for Singles' Day could be shares of Alibaba itself. It has grown revenue by at least 32% every year over the past decade. Even now as Alibaba grapples with the COVID-19 crisis and the country's common prosperity objectives, trailing revenue has climbed 40%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW进入光棍节，交易价格比去年年底创下的历史高点低49%。在中国政府打击多个行业后，投资者避开了中国的成长型股票，但光棍节真正便宜的可能是阿里巴巴-SW本身的股票。过去十年，该公司的收入每年至少增长32%。即使现在阿里巴巴-SW正在努力应对COVID-19危机和该国的共同繁荣目标，追踪收入仍增长了40%。</blockquote></p><p> 2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</p><p><blockquote>2.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>录像</blockquote></p><p> The rise and fall of Zoom Video is well known. The videoconferencing platform skyrocketed in popularity during the early months of the pandemic when in-person classes, work meetings, and gatherings of friends and family weren't safe. Now that we're largely vaccinated and case counts are lower is there really a future for Zoom?</p><p><blockquote>Zoom Video的兴衰众所周知。在疫情的最初几个月，当面对面的课程、工作会议以及朋友和家人的聚会都不安全时，视频会议平台的受欢迎程度飙升。现在我们大部分人都接种了疫苗，病例数也减少了，Zoom真的有未来吗？</blockquote></p><p> The market seems to think that the future will be bleak. Like Alibaba, shares of Zoom peaked 13 months ago. Zoom stock has plummeted 57% since that high. The twist here is that Zoom is still growing. Revenue rose 54% inits latest quarter. Sure, revenue is decelerating. We're not going to return to the triple-digit top-line growth that Zoom posted in each of the five previous quarterly reports.</p><p><blockquote>市场似乎认为未来将黯淡无光。与阿里巴巴-SW一样，Zoom的股价在13个月前达到顶峰。自该高点以来，Zoom股价已暴跌57%。这里的转折是Zoom仍在增长。最近一个季度收入增长了54%。当然，收入正在减速。我们不会回到Zoom在前五份季度报告中每份报告中公布的三位数营收增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, Zoom is still growing in the recovery climate. Video meetings will continue to be a cost-effective way to gather and get things done. Zoom is fleshing out its offerings, and a recently fumbled acquisition attempt won't stop the evolutionary process. There was a crazy time last year when Zoom was trading for more than 100 times trailing revenue. The one-two punch of heady sales growth and the cascading stock price finds that multiple whittled down to just 20 right now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom仍在复苏的环境中增长。视频会议将继续是一种具有成本效益的聚集和完成工作的方式。Zoom正在充实其产品，最近一次失败的收购尝试不会阻止这一演变过程。去年有一段疯狂的时期，Zoom的交易价格是往绩收入的100多倍。令人兴奋的销售增长和股价的连击发现，目前市盈率已降至仅20倍。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Pinterest</p><p><blockquote>3.Pinterest</blockquote></p><p> A year ago we were leaning on Pinterest to get crafty. The visual discovery engine was a valuable resource for recipes, decorating tips, and daydreaming about destinations we wanted to visit once we were able to safely travel after the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一年前，我们依靠Pinterest变得狡猾。一旦我们能够在疫情之后安全旅行，视觉发现引擎是食谱、装饰技巧和关于我们想去的目的地的白日梦的宝贵资源。</blockquote></p><p> Everything was going swimmingly for Pinterest until we were cool to toss out our sourdough starter and head outside to eat someone else's bread. Pinterest has now stunned investors with back-to-back sequential declines in active users. The stock has plummeted 49% from February's peak.</p><p><blockquote>对Pinterest来说，一切都很顺利，直到我们冷静下来，扔掉我们的酸面团发酵剂，出去吃别人的面包。Pinterest现在的活跃用户连续下降令投资者震惊。该股已较2月份的峰值暴跌49%。</blockquote></p><p> Last month&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings</b>&nbsp;was reportedly negotiating to buy Pinterest in a largely stock deal that would value Pinterest at$70 a share. Pinterest investors who were cocky about holding out for more would love a chance to get back there, as the stock has fallen sharply since the proposed combination came undone. Pinterest would have to appreciate by 53% to get to $70 now.</p><p><blockquote>上个月<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>控股</b>据报道，该公司正在就收购Pinterest进行谈判，这笔交易主要是股票交易，Pinterest的估值将达到每股70美元。那些对持有更多股票感到自豪的Pinterest投资者希望有机会回到那里，因为自拟议的合并取消以来，该股已大幅下跌。Pinterest必须升值53%才能达到现在的70美元。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal stock sold off on the initial chatter, but it continues to fall even now that a deal is not on the table. It probably won't come back on bended knee now that both stocks are out of favor, but Pinterest still has a vibrant platform with improving monetization. Revenue is still growing as advertisers flock its marketing opportunities to reach the lucrative Pinterest audience.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal的股票在最初的传言中遭到抛售，但即使现在交易尚未摆在桌面上，该股仍在继续下跌。既然这两只股票都失宠了，它可能不会卷土重来，但Pinterest仍然拥有一个充满活力的平台，货币化程度不断提高。随着广告商蜂拥其营销机会以吸引利润丰厚的Pinterest受众，收入仍在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba, Zoom, and Pinterest are still thrivinggrowth stocks. The shares just happen to be trading between 49% and 57% off their all-time highs. You don't need to wait for the market crash to happen to pick up bargains. They're out there now.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Zoom和Pinterest仍然是蓬勃发展的成长型股票。该股的交易价格恰好比历史高点低了49%至57%。你不需要等到市场崩盘时再买便宜货。他们现在就在外面。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买入？这3只顶级股票已下跌超过40%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Wait for a Crash to Buy? These 3 Top Stocks Are Already Down More Than 40%<blockquote>为什么要等到崩盘才买入？这3只顶级股票已下跌超过40%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-12 08:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Key Points</p><p><blockquote>要点</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a> Group has plummeted 49% since peaking 13 months ago.</li>  <li>Alibaba's Singles' Day isn't what it used to be now given China's \"common prosperity\" initiative.</li>  <li>Alibaba&nbsp;and two other U.S. former market darlings have a strong chance to bounce back from here.</li> </ul> The market's getting volatile, but it's still trading close to its recent all-time highs. Are you waiting for the market to take a big hit before putting your money on the sidelines to work? Well, a lot of last year's biggest stars have already crashed.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>自13个月前达到峰值以来，该集团股价已暴跌49%。</li><li>鉴于中国的“共同富裕”倡议，阿里巴巴-SW的光棍节今非昔比。</li><li>阿里巴巴-SW和另外两家美国前市场宠儿很有可能从这里反弹。</li></ul>市场越来越不稳定，但交易价格仍接近近期历史高点。您是否正在等待市场遭受重创，然后才将资金放在场外发挥作用？嗯，很多去年最大的明星已经坠毁了。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">Alibaba</a> Group Holding</b>(NYSE:BABA),<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</b>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b></a>&nbsp;have all plummeted at least 40% since hitting all-time highs. The markdowns seem overdone. Let's take a closer look.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里巴巴-SW</a>集团控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BABA），<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>录像</b>，和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PINS\"><b>Pinterest</b></a>自触及历史高点以来，均暴跌至少40%。降价似乎有些过头了。让我们仔细看看。</blockquote></p><p> 1. Alibaba</p><p><blockquote>1.阿里巴巴-SW</blockquote></p><p> Thursday should've been a big day for China's online retailers. It's Singles' Day! Alibaba created the shopping holiday that takes place every year on Nov. 11 -- called Singles' Day because of the 11/11 date -- but it has since been widely adopted by smaller e-tailers.</p><p><blockquote>对于中国的在线零售商来说，周四应该是个大日子。今天是光棍节！阿里巴巴-SW创造了每年11月11日举行的购物假期——因为11/11日期而被称为光棍节——但此后它被较小的电子零售商广泛采用。</blockquote></p><p> Singles' Day is hitting different this year. China's government push for \"common prosperity\" finds it unfashionable to tout commerce and consumption. Alibaba is highly unlikely to match the $74 billion it rang up in sales during last year's \"Double 11\" celebration.</p><p><blockquote>今年的光棍节有所不同。中国政府推动的“共同富裕”发现吹捧商业和消费是不时髦的。阿里巴巴-SW不太可能达到去年“双11”庆祝活动期间740亿美元的销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba enters Singles' Day trading 49% below the all-time high it hit late last year. Investors have steered clear of China's growth stocks in the wake of the government's crackdown on several industries, but the real bargain for Singles' Day could be shares of Alibaba itself. It has grown revenue by at least 32% every year over the past decade. Even now as Alibaba grapples with the COVID-19 crisis and the country's common prosperity objectives, trailing revenue has climbed 40%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW进入光棍节，交易价格比去年年底创下的历史高点低49%。在中国政府打击多个行业后，投资者避开了中国的成长型股票，但光棍节真正便宜的可能是阿里巴巴-SW本身的股票。过去十年，该公司的收入每年至少增长32%。即使现在阿里巴巴-SW正在努力应对COVID-19危机和该国的共同繁荣目标，追踪收入仍增长了40%。</blockquote></p><p> 2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video</p><p><blockquote>2.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>录像</blockquote></p><p> The rise and fall of Zoom Video is well known. The videoconferencing platform skyrocketed in popularity during the early months of the pandemic when in-person classes, work meetings, and gatherings of friends and family weren't safe. Now that we're largely vaccinated and case counts are lower is there really a future for Zoom?</p><p><blockquote>Zoom Video的兴衰众所周知。在疫情的最初几个月，当面对面的课程、工作会议以及朋友和家人的聚会都不安全时，视频会议平台的受欢迎程度飙升。现在我们大部分人都接种了疫苗，病例数也减少了，Zoom真的有未来吗？</blockquote></p><p> The market seems to think that the future will be bleak. Like Alibaba, shares of Zoom peaked 13 months ago. Zoom stock has plummeted 57% since that high. The twist here is that Zoom is still growing. Revenue rose 54% inits latest quarter. Sure, revenue is decelerating. We're not going to return to the triple-digit top-line growth that Zoom posted in each of the five previous quarterly reports.</p><p><blockquote>市场似乎认为未来将黯淡无光。与阿里巴巴-SW一样，Zoom的股价在13个月前达到顶峰。自该高点以来，Zoom股价已暴跌57%。这里的转折是Zoom仍在增长。最近一个季度收入增长了54%。当然，收入正在减速。我们不会回到Zoom在前五份季度报告中每份报告中公布的三位数营收增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, Zoom is still growing in the recovery climate. Video meetings will continue to be a cost-effective way to gather and get things done. Zoom is fleshing out its offerings, and a recently fumbled acquisition attempt won't stop the evolutionary process. There was a crazy time last year when Zoom was trading for more than 100 times trailing revenue. The one-two punch of heady sales growth and the cascading stock price finds that multiple whittled down to just 20 right now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom仍在复苏的环境中增长。视频会议将继续是一种具有成本效益的聚集和完成工作的方式。Zoom正在充实其产品，最近一次失败的收购尝试不会阻止这一演变过程。去年有一段疯狂的时期，Zoom的交易价格是往绩收入的100多倍。令人兴奋的销售增长和股价的连击发现，目前市盈率已降至仅20倍。</blockquote></p><p> 3. Pinterest</p><p><blockquote>3.Pinterest</blockquote></p><p> A year ago we were leaning on Pinterest to get crafty. The visual discovery engine was a valuable resource for recipes, decorating tips, and daydreaming about destinations we wanted to visit once we were able to safely travel after the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>一年前，我们依靠Pinterest变得狡猾。一旦我们能够在疫情之后安全旅行，视觉发现引擎是食谱、装饰技巧和关于我们想去的目的地的白日梦的宝贵资源。</blockquote></p><p> Everything was going swimmingly for Pinterest until we were cool to toss out our sourdough starter and head outside to eat someone else's bread. Pinterest has now stunned investors with back-to-back sequential declines in active users. The stock has plummeted 49% from February's peak.</p><p><blockquote>对Pinterest来说，一切都很顺利，直到我们冷静下来，扔掉我们的酸面团发酵剂，出去吃别人的面包。Pinterest现在的活跃用户连续下降令投资者震惊。该股已较2月份的峰值暴跌49%。</blockquote></p><p> Last month&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings</b>&nbsp;was reportedly negotiating to buy Pinterest in a largely stock deal that would value Pinterest at$70 a share. Pinterest investors who were cocky about holding out for more would love a chance to get back there, as the stock has fallen sharply since the proposed combination came undone. Pinterest would have to appreciate by 53% to get to $70 now.</p><p><blockquote>上个月<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>控股</b>据报道，该公司正在就收购Pinterest进行谈判，这笔交易主要是股票交易，Pinterest的估值将达到每股70美元。那些对持有更多股票感到自豪的Pinterest投资者希望有机会回到那里，因为自拟议的合并取消以来，该股已大幅下跌。Pinterest必须升值53%才能达到现在的70美元。</blockquote></p><p> PayPal stock sold off on the initial chatter, but it continues to fall even now that a deal is not on the table. It probably won't come back on bended knee now that both stocks are out of favor, but Pinterest still has a vibrant platform with improving monetization. Revenue is still growing as advertisers flock its marketing opportunities to reach the lucrative Pinterest audience.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal的股票在最初的传言中遭到抛售，但即使现在交易尚未摆在桌面上，该股仍在继续下跌。既然这两只股票都失宠了，它可能不会卷土重来，但Pinterest仍然拥有一个充满活力的平台，货币化程度不断提高。随着广告商蜂拥其营销机会以吸引利润丰厚的Pinterest受众，收入仍在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Alibaba, Zoom, and Pinterest are still thrivinggrowth stocks. The shares just happen to be trading between 49% and 57% off their all-time highs. You don't need to wait for the market crash to happen to pick up bargains. They're out there now.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Zoom和Pinterest仍然是蓬勃发展的成长型股票。该股的交易价格恰好比历史高点低了49%至57%。你不需要等到市场崩盘时再买便宜货。他们现在就在外面。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/11/why-wait-for-a-crash-to-buy-these-3-top-stocks-are/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom","BABA":"阿里巴巴","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/11/11/why-wait-for-a-crash-to-buy-these-3-top-stocks-are/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137718483","content_text":"Key Points\n\nAlibaba Group has plummeted 49% since peaking 13 months ago.\nAlibaba's Singles' Day isn't what it used to be now given China's \"common prosperity\" initiative.\nAlibaba and two other U.S. former market darlings have a strong chance to bounce back from here.\n\nThe market's getting volatile, but it's still trading close to its recent all-time highs. Are you waiting for the market to take a big hit before putting your money on the sidelines to work? Well, a lot of last year's biggest stars have already crashed.\nShares ofAlibaba Group Holding(NYSE:BABA),Zoom Video, and Pinterest have all plummeted at least 40% since hitting all-time highs. The markdowns seem overdone. Let's take a closer look.\n1. Alibaba\nThursday should've been a big day for China's online retailers. It's Singles' Day! Alibaba created the shopping holiday that takes place every year on Nov. 11 -- called Singles' Day because of the 11/11 date -- but it has since been widely adopted by smaller e-tailers.\nSingles' Day is hitting different this year. China's government push for \"common prosperity\" finds it unfashionable to tout commerce and consumption. Alibaba is highly unlikely to match the $74 billion it rang up in sales during last year's \"Double 11\" celebration.\nAlibaba enters Singles' Day trading 49% below the all-time high it hit late last year. Investors have steered clear of China's growth stocks in the wake of the government's crackdown on several industries, but the real bargain for Singles' Day could be shares of Alibaba itself. It has grown revenue by at least 32% every year over the past decade. Even now as Alibaba grapples with the COVID-19 crisis and the country's common prosperity objectives, trailing revenue has climbed 40%.\n2. Zoom Video\nThe rise and fall of Zoom Video is well known. The videoconferencing platform skyrocketed in popularity during the early months of the pandemic when in-person classes, work meetings, and gatherings of friends and family weren't safe. Now that we're largely vaccinated and case counts are lower is there really a future for Zoom?\nThe market seems to think that the future will be bleak. Like Alibaba, shares of Zoom peaked 13 months ago. Zoom stock has plummeted 57% since that high. The twist here is that Zoom is still growing. Revenue rose 54% inits latest quarter. Sure, revenue is decelerating. We're not going to return to the triple-digit top-line growth that Zoom posted in each of the five previous quarterly reports.\nHowever, Zoom is still growing in the recovery climate. Video meetings will continue to be a cost-effective way to gather and get things done. Zoom is fleshing out its offerings, and a recently fumbled acquisition attempt won't stop the evolutionary process. There was a crazy time last year when Zoom was trading for more than 100 times trailing revenue. The one-two punch of heady sales growth and the cascading stock price finds that multiple whittled down to just 20 right now.\n3. Pinterest\nA year ago we were leaning on Pinterest to get crafty. The visual discovery engine was a valuable resource for recipes, decorating tips, and daydreaming about destinations we wanted to visit once we were able to safely travel after the pandemic.\nEverything was going swimmingly for Pinterest until we were cool to toss out our sourdough starter and head outside to eat someone else's bread. Pinterest has now stunned investors with back-to-back sequential declines in active users. The stock has plummeted 49% from February's peak.\nLast month PayPal Holdings was reportedly negotiating to buy Pinterest in a largely stock deal that would value Pinterest at$70 a share. Pinterest investors who were cocky about holding out for more would love a chance to get back there, as the stock has fallen sharply since the proposed combination came undone. Pinterest would have to appreciate by 53% to get to $70 now.\nPayPal stock sold off on the initial chatter, but it continues to fall even now that a deal is not on the table. It probably won't come back on bended knee now that both stocks are out of favor, but Pinterest still has a vibrant platform with improving monetization. Revenue is still growing as advertisers flock its marketing opportunities to reach the lucrative Pinterest audience.\nAlibaba, Zoom, and Pinterest are still thrivinggrowth stocks. The shares just happen to be trading between 49% and 57% off their all-time highs. You don't need to wait for the market crash to happen to pick up bargains. They're out there now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PINS":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":885,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}