绿豆汤的个人主页 - 老虎社区

绿豆汤

绿豆汤

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2021-07-06

$每日优鲜(MF)$每日一骂

2022-06-15

$小米集团-W(01810)$啥时候起飞

2021-06-26

$每日优鲜(MF)$真恶心，还充值送股，听到了卡卡的镰刀声

2021-07-12

$每日优鲜(MF)$垃圾

2021-06-24

$满帮(YMM)$又没卖出

2021-02-02

这股怎么样呀？

2021-07-15

$每日优鲜(MF)$每日一骂

2021-07-16

$小米集团-W(01810)$晒晒

2021-07-01

$每日优鲜(MF)$垃圾中的垃圾

2021-10-19

$小米集团-W(01810)$good

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一、一进股市就赚到钱并不是一件好事&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;我自己就是一个鲜活的例子，从图上可以清楚的看到，我一进股市是赚钱了吧，明显的不但够快，而且够多，尤其对于我这样一个真正的新手来说，只一波自信心直接起飞，我现在都还记得我当时有多膨胀，感觉每见到一个人，都有一种想要告诉他我赚了多少钱的欲望，感觉随便怎么操作都能赚钱（？），股市就是lz（**）的ATM（并不是），亏钱的都是zz（我），然后一波终极回撤，回到解放前，虽然后来又赚了一波但是始终保持一种亏损的状态，但是我的心态离那种能赚钱的心态早已相去十万八千里，甚至都不是正常的心态了，频繁带杠杆交易，全仓期权是直接爆炸的根本原因，我现在还有点小佩服，好想跟当时的自己说一句：你怎么敢的？拿全部的钱全仓期权？（这里顺便提一句当时的这些钱包括我的学费和家里几乎所有的现金，是真正的辛苦钱，但是我确实不懂，还是年轻了）二、不要把你所有的钱都放到股市，那样即使全部亏损也不会影响你的正常生活。&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;是的，已经影响了，后来就毕业了，打工还是要打工的，要不这念了一辈子书，先亏掉父母一辈子的积蓄，想想就刺激，当初有多想给别人说，现在就有多怕被人问，太讽刺了，然后着急的就找了个私企的工作，工资很低而且要上六天班，但现在想想居然当时的工作还不错？可见银行柜员确实不是人干的活（已经辞职了，准备考公后兼职炒股）。还有就是拿着自己的钱炒股还是比较合适，这样压","listText":"从开始投资美股到现在已经四年了，因为刚开始投资的年轻和膨胀付出了惨痛的代价，名字也改成了“不回血就不说话了”，一方面时刻提醒自己之前犯得错误不要再犯，另一方面感觉亏成这样非常的尴尬，再就是来美股投资是来赚钱的，如果连钱都赚不到，说别的任何东西都没有意义。不过现在好的一点就是不但回本了还赚了一些，虽然来得有点晚，但是感觉很开心，因此分享一些经验和教训。先上个图 一、一进股市就赚到钱并不是一件好事&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;我自己就是一个鲜活的例子，从图上可以清楚的看到，我一进股市是赚钱了吧，明显的不但够快，而且够多，尤其对于我这样一个真正的新手来说，只一波自信心直接起飞，我现在都还记得我当时有多膨胀，感觉每见到一个人，都有一种想要告诉他我赚了多少钱的欲望，感觉随便怎么操作都能赚钱（？），股市就是lz（**）的ATM（并不是），亏钱的都是zz（我），然后一波终极回撤，回到解放前，虽然后来又赚了一波但是始终保持一种亏损的状态，但是我的心态离那种能赚钱的心态早已相去十万八千里，甚至都不是正常的心态了，频繁带杠杆交易，全仓期权是直接爆炸的根本原因，我现在还有点小佩服，好想跟当时的自己说一句：你怎么敢的？拿全部的钱全仓期权？（这里顺便提一句当时的这些钱包括我的学费和家里几乎所有的现金，是真正的辛苦钱，但是我确实不懂，还是年轻了）二、不要把你所有的钱都放到股市，那样即使全部亏损也不会影响你的正常生活。&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;是的，已经影响了，后来就毕业了，打工还是要打工的，要不这念了一辈子书，先亏掉父母一辈子的积蓄，想想就刺激，当初有多想给别人说，现在就有多怕被人问，太讽刺了，然后着急的就找了个私企的工作，工资很低而且要上六天班，但现在想想居然当时的工作还不错？可见银行柜员确实不是人干的活（已经辞职了，准备考公后兼职炒股）。还有就是拿着自己的钱炒股还是比较合适，这样压","text":"从开始投资美股到现在已经四年了，因为刚开始投资的年轻和膨胀付出了惨痛的代价，名字也改成了“不回血就不说话了”，一方面时刻提醒自己之前犯得错误不要再犯，另一方面感觉亏成这样非常的尴尬，再就是来美股投资是来赚钱的，如果连钱都赚不到，说别的任何东西都没有意义。不过现在好的一点就是不但回本了还赚了一些，虽然来得有点晚，但是感觉很开心，因此分享一些经验和教训。先上个图 一、一进股市就赚到钱并不是一件好事 我自己就是一个鲜活的例子，从图上可以清楚的看到，我一进股市是赚钱了吧，明显的不但够快，而且够多，尤其对于我这样一个真正的新手来说，只一波自信心直接起飞，我现在都还记得我当时有多膨胀，感觉每见到一个人，都有一种想要告诉他我赚了多少钱的欲望，感觉随便怎么操作都能赚钱（？），股市就是lz（**）的ATM（并不是），亏钱的都是zz（我），然后一波终极回撤，回到解放前，虽然后来又赚了一波但是始终保持一种亏损的状态，但是我的心态离那种能赚钱的心态早已相去十万八千里，甚至都不是正常的心态了，频繁带杠杆交易，全仓期权是直接爆炸的根本原因，我现在还有点小佩服，好想跟当时的自己说一句：你怎么敢的？拿全部的钱全仓期权？（这里顺便提一句当时的这些钱包括我的学费和家里几乎所有的现金，是真正的辛苦钱，但是我确实不懂，还是年轻了）二、不要把你所有的钱都放到股市，那样即使全部亏损也不会影响你的正常生活。 是的，已经影响了，后来就毕业了，打工还是要打工的，要不这念了一辈子书，先亏掉父母一辈子的积蓄，想想就刺激，当初有多想给别人说，现在就有多怕被人问，太讽刺了，然后着急的就找了个私企的工作，工资很低而且要上六天班，但现在想想居然当时的工作还不错？可见银行柜员确实不是人干的活（已经辞职了，准备考公后兼职炒股）。还有就是拿着自己的钱炒股还是比较合适，这样压","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a571573cfeb7abe66809339c0ae39913"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159695415","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149817651,"gmtCreate":1625714304773,"gmtModify":1625714304773,"author":{"id":"3574993283429653","authorId":"3574993283429653","name":"绿豆汤","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38338a010b3e42f8133ab470383218d8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574993283429653","idStr":"3574993283429653"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149817651","repostId":"150632848","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":150632848,"gmtCreate":1624895555884,"gmtModify":1624919104911,"author":{"id":"3571026833038682","authorId":"3571026833038682","name":"思辨财经","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d4903b31d0aa5c76f99c3e1519f081","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3571026833038682","idStr":"3571026833038682"},"themes":[],"title":"每日优鲜和叮咚买菜谁更值得持有","htmlText":"每日优鲜和叮咚买菜两家同赛道公司几乎同时宣布赴美上市，且在业务模式，目标用户以及业务实现路径等方面均有着极为接近的一面，当每日优鲜上市首日大跌之后，市场相当观点认为这将影响叮咚买菜接下来的表现。我们有必要对两家公司业务进行一次梳理，以对自营式生鲜到家行业有比较清晰的认识，以客观求得行业的投资机会。2019年每日优鲜总营收尚领先于叮咚买菜，但在2020年Q1之后双方局面开始出现逆转，其后差距逐渐放大，2021年Q1叮咚买菜总营收已经是每日优鲜的2倍有余。对于企业的研究，我们固然在意的是数字对比后的结果，但仍然要考虑原因，那就是究竟是什么让每日优鲜在营收方面被对手反超。对于互联网公司或者志在向零售业渗透的科技企业，市场费用都是业内分析的重要维度，我们也不能错过。2019年每日优鲜市场费用支出是叮咚买卖同期的3倍多，但其后开始逐渐削减开支，在上图中可以看到，2020下半年每日优鲜市场费用支出已经被叮咚买菜超越，当年两家公司在此方面几乎打了平手。在我们惯常的思维中，当行业尚未有绝对头部企业胜出时，竞争理应在白热化阶段，此时削减市场费用确实有悖常理。我们注意到2019年末，叮咚买菜尚有9.4亿元的现金及现金等价物，同期每日优鲜仅有5.5亿元，在业务端自然有市场费用“烧钱”的道理，但在现金保有量方面，对企业却有不少的束缚。对于全面竞争期的企业，能支撑“烧钱”的主要筹码乃是融资能力，于是我们根据招股书整理两家企业不同周期的融资情况，见下图创业至IPO，每日优鲜融资到了F轮，叮咚买菜到D轮，在上图中我们又明显发现，由于融资前置，2019年后每日优鲜从融资中获得的现金就不如叮咚买菜，加之彼时美团为代表的巨头企业开始杀入买菜业务，推出美团买菜，对企业在一级市场也会产生较大的扰动，影响一级市场定价，出现融资后劲不足，影响了烧钱的能量。受此影响，2019年每日优鲜经营性现金流净流出了19.7亿元，","listText":"每日优鲜和叮咚买菜两家同赛道公司几乎同时宣布赴美上市，且在业务模式，目标用户以及业务实现路径等方面均有着极为接近的一面，当每日优鲜上市首日大跌之后，市场相当观点认为这将影响叮咚买菜接下来的表现。我们有必要对两家公司业务进行一次梳理，以对自营式生鲜到家行业有比较清晰的认识，以客观求得行业的投资机会。2019年每日优鲜总营收尚领先于叮咚买菜，但在2020年Q1之后双方局面开始出现逆转，其后差距逐渐放大，2021年Q1叮咚买菜总营收已经是每日优鲜的2倍有余。对于企业的研究，我们固然在意的是数字对比后的结果，但仍然要考虑原因，那就是究竟是什么让每日优鲜在营收方面被对手反超。对于互联网公司或者志在向零售业渗透的科技企业，市场费用都是业内分析的重要维度，我们也不能错过。2019年每日优鲜市场费用支出是叮咚买卖同期的3倍多，但其后开始逐渐削减开支，在上图中可以看到，2020下半年每日优鲜市场费用支出已经被叮咚买菜超越，当年两家公司在此方面几乎打了平手。在我们惯常的思维中，当行业尚未有绝对头部企业胜出时，竞争理应在白热化阶段，此时削减市场费用确实有悖常理。我们注意到2019年末，叮咚买菜尚有9.4亿元的现金及现金等价物，同期每日优鲜仅有5.5亿元，在业务端自然有市场费用“烧钱”的道理，但在现金保有量方面，对企业却有不少的束缚。对于全面竞争期的企业，能支撑“烧钱”的主要筹码乃是融资能力，于是我们根据招股书整理两家企业不同周期的融资情况，见下图创业至IPO，每日优鲜融资到了F轮，叮咚买菜到D轮，在上图中我们又明显发现，由于融资前置，2019年后每日优鲜从融资中获得的现金就不如叮咚买菜，加之彼时美团为代表的巨头企业开始杀入买菜业务，推出美团买菜，对企业在一级市场也会产生较大的扰动，影响一级市场定价，出现融资后劲不足，影响了烧钱的能量。受此影响，2019年每日优鲜经营性现金流净流出了19.7亿元，","text":"每日优鲜和叮咚买菜两家同赛道公司几乎同时宣布赴美上市，且在业务模式，目标用户以及业务实现路径等方面均有着极为接近的一面，当每日优鲜上市首日大跌之后，市场相当观点认为这将影响叮咚买菜接下来的表现。我们有必要对两家公司业务进行一次梳理，以对自营式生鲜到家行业有比较清晰的认识，以客观求得行业的投资机会。2019年每日优鲜总营收尚领先于叮咚买菜，但在2020年Q1之后双方局面开始出现逆转，其后差距逐渐放大，2021年Q1叮咚买菜总营收已经是每日优鲜的2倍有余。对于企业的研究，我们固然在意的是数字对比后的结果，但仍然要考虑原因，那就是究竟是什么让每日优鲜在营收方面被对手反超。对于互联网公司或者志在向零售业渗透的科技企业，市场费用都是业内分析的重要维度，我们也不能错过。2019年每日优鲜市场费用支出是叮咚买卖同期的3倍多，但其后开始逐渐削减开支，在上图中可以看到，2020下半年每日优鲜市场费用支出已经被叮咚买菜超越，当年两家公司在此方面几乎打了平手。在我们惯常的思维中，当行业尚未有绝对头部企业胜出时，竞争理应在白热化阶段，此时削减市场费用确实有悖常理。我们注意到2019年末，叮咚买菜尚有9.4亿元的现金及现金等价物，同期每日优鲜仅有5.5亿元，在业务端自然有市场费用“烧钱”的道理，但在现金保有量方面，对企业却有不少的束缚。对于全面竞争期的企业，能支撑“烧钱”的主要筹码乃是融资能力，于是我们根据招股书整理两家企业不同周期的融资情况，见下图创业至IPO，每日优鲜融资到了F轮，叮咚买菜到D轮，在上图中我们又明显发现，由于融资前置，2019年后每日优鲜从融资中获得的现金就不如叮咚买菜，加之彼时美团为代表的巨头企业开始杀入买菜业务，推出美团买菜，对企业在一级市场也会产生较大的扰动，影响一级市场定价，出现融资后劲不足，影响了烧钱的能量。受此影响，2019年每日优鲜经营性现金流净流出了19.7亿元，","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1bdb7c9b4f14e1fe5218152dd248153a","width":"550","height":"366"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b3a1bcaf8879268eae256f9b9d4957b","width":"754","height":"454"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb376dff201dda032ac5809731845088","width":"1080","height":"435"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150632848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149817344,"gmtCreate":1625714286188,"gmtModify":1625714286188,"author":{"id":"3574993283429653","authorId":"3574993283429653","name":"绿豆汤","avatar":"https://s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受这个启发，我画了一张新鲜出炉的图，是从2010年到现在为止，各行业市值在A股总市值中占比的变迁。 看图之前先插个小科普，说下行业是怎么分类的。 目前最主流的行业分类方法，叫做“全球行业分类系统（GICS）”，是标普和MSCI在1998年推出的。咱们国内使用最普遍的中证行业指数、wind行业指数，都是按这个框架来的。 按这个体系，所有公司都被分入10个一级行业中，能源、材料、工业、可选消费、日常消费、医疗保健、信息技术、公用事业、金融地产。 有些机构会把金融和地产单独分出来，那就总共11个一级行业，这些行业下面还可以再分二级、三级、四级子行业。 最经常产生误解的，是大家容易把行业分类和概念分类混淆。比如新能车，它就是个概念，而不是一个行业，这个概念里面的成分股，既包括材料行业中的锂矿，像赣锋锂业，也包括工业-电气设备行业中的电池，比如宁德时代，还包括可选消费-汽车行业中的整车，如比亚迪。 所以不要在行业图里去找概念板块，比如你想问新能车在图里的哪部分，它哪部分也不在，它是分散在图里的各个行业中的。 理解这个之后咱们就可以看图了，我后面会再继续说这个图怎么看： 横坐标是时间，纵坐标是市值占比的百分比。在某个时间点，一个行业的色块越宽，就说明该行业在A股中的市值占比越高。 当然啦，市值占比的变化，并不完全是由于股票涨跌带来的，还有个重要影响因素，就是新股的上市。但无论是该行业上涨，还是该行业上市的新股多，都说明该行业在经济活动中占的权重越来越高，肯定是个繁荣成长的行业。 这图一眼看上去，行业可以分为三类。 第一类是行业市值占比总体稳定的，代表是公用事业、可选消费、工业、材料。这些行业和大盘的成长速度差不多，可以认为它们贡献了beta收益。 第二类是行业市值占比越来越高的，代表是日常消费、医疗保健、信息技术，比大盘成长的快，就","listText":"宁德时代市值创了新高，超过五粮液，登顶深市市值榜首。 受这个启发，我画了一张新鲜出炉的图，是从2010年到现在为止，各行业市值在A股总市值中占比的变迁。 看图之前先插个小科普，说下行业是怎么分类的。 目前最主流的行业分类方法，叫做“全球行业分类系统（GICS）”，是标普和MSCI在1998年推出的。咱们国内使用最普遍的中证行业指数、wind行业指数，都是按这个框架来的。 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