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HengHeng70

HengHeng70

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2021-06-16

No worries... It is rotational play in the market.

3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>

2021-06-17

Chips is needed in almost anything we own.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-16

History will repeat.... Time to hedge our investment.

Michael "Big Short" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things "By Two Orders Of Magnitude"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote>

2021-06-15

Great! The bull continues.

Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

2021-06-16

Take cover for now.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-15

Where is all the monies?

'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>

2021-06-17

Children need to play.

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2021-06-16

Will oil rig builder benefit?

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2021-06-15

Gamble!

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2021-06-15

At such low interest rate environment, slight inflation is fine!

Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并没有对通胀感到恐慌。他们应该吗？</blockquote>

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fine.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161976105","repostId":"1170150919","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170150919","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623866564,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170150919?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 02:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed holds rates steady, but raises inflation expectations sharply and makes no mention of taper.<blockquote>美联储维持利率稳定，但大幅上调通胀预期，且未提及taper。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170150919","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks dropped to their session lows on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised its inflation expectations and moved up the time frame on when it will hike interest rates next.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 320 points. The S&P 500 traded 0.7% lower after hitting an all-time high in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite erased earlier gains and traded 0.5% lower.Nine out of 11 S&P 500 sectors traded in the red, led to the downside by communication services and finan","content":"<p>Fed holds rates steady, but raises inflation expectations sharply and makes no mention of taper.</p><p><blockquote>美联储维持利率稳定，但大幅上调通胀预期，且未提及taper。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. stocks dropped to their session lows on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised its inflation expectations and moved up the time frame on when it will hike interest rates next.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周三跌至盘中低点，此前美联储上调了通胀预期，并提前了下次加息的时间框架。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 320 points. The S&amp;P 500 traded 0.7% lower after hitting an all-time high in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite erased earlier gains and traded 0.5% lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌320点。标普500在前一交易日创下历史新高后下跌0.7%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数抹去了早些时候的涨幅，下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Nine out of 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors traded in the red, led to the downside by communication services and financials.</p><p><blockquote>11个标普500板块中有9个出现亏损，其中通信服务和金融板块领跌。</blockquote></p><p> Economic reopening plays provided the broader market with some support. Major airline stocks American Airlines, United and Delta all traded higher. Royal Caribbean and Carnival both climbed 2% afteran upgrade from Wolfe Research.</p><p><blockquote>经济重新开放为大盘提供了一些支撑。主要航空股美国航空、联合航空和达美航空均走高。在Wolfe Research上调评级后，皇家加勒比和嘉年华股价均上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> The policymaking Federal Open Market Committee indicated that rate hikes could come as soon as 2023, after indicating in March that it saw no increases until at least 2024.</p><p><blockquote>制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会表示，最早可能在2023年加息，此前该委员会在3月份表示至少在2024年之前不会加息。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed also raised its headline inflation expectation to 3.4%, a full percentage point higher than the March projection, the post-meeting statement continued to say that inflation pressures are \"transitory.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储还将总体通胀预期上调至3.4%，比3月份的预测高出整整一个百分点，会后声明继续称通胀压力是“暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将于下午2:30举行新闻发布会。等。</blockquote></p><p> The meeting came as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years duringMay, a report on Tuesday showed. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>周二的一份报告显示，此次会议召开之际，通胀加剧，5月份生产者价格以近11年来最快的年增长率上涨。这促使包括保罗·都铎·琼斯在内的一些人呼吁央行重新考虑其宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank has been buying $120 billion worth of bonds each month as the economy continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济继续从冠状病毒大流行中复苏，央行每月购买价值1200亿美元的债券。</blockquote></p><p> \"The drama this week will be whether the Fed sits tight or admits that inflation is rising and that the Fed needs to tighten,\" said Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network. \"Since the Fed has a dual mandate—unemployment and inflation—that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦金融网络首席信息官布拉德·麦克米兰表示：“本周的戏剧性事件将是美联储是按兵不动，还是承认通胀正在上升，美联储需要收紧政策。”“由于美联储有双重使命——失业和通胀——这表明它确实应该将重点放在失业上，而不是通胀上。”</blockquote></p><p> Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who is testifying before the Senate Finance Committee Wednesday, said higher price pressures shouldn't last over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>周三在参议院财政委员会作证的财政部长珍妮特·耶伦表示，从长远来看，更高的价格压力不应持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> \"I previously said that I see important transitory influences at work and I don't anticipate that it will be permanent,\" Yellen said. \"But we continue to monitor inflation data very carefully, and importantly for the long run inflation outlook we see inflation expectations by most measures … as being well-anchored.\"</p><p><blockquote>耶伦表示：“我之前说过，我看到了重要的暂时影响，但我预计这种影响不会是永久性的。”“但我们将继续非常仔细地监测通胀数据，对于长期通胀前景来说，重要的是，我们认为从大多数指标来看，通胀预期……都是稳固的。”</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,China said it will release industrial metalsincluding copper, aluminum and zinc from its national reserves to curb commodity prices. Copper price has fallen more than 10% from its record high, dipping into correction territory on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，中国表示将从国家储备中释放铜、铝和锌等工业金属，以抑制大宗商品价格。铜价较历史高点下跌逾10%，周二跌入回调区间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed holds rates steady, but raises inflation expectations sharply and makes no mention of taper.<blockquote>美联储维持利率稳定，但大幅上调通胀预期，且未提及taper。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed holds rates steady, but raises inflation expectations sharply and makes no mention of taper.<blockquote>美联储维持利率稳定，但大幅上调通胀预期，且未提及taper。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-17 02:02</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Fed holds rates steady, but raises inflation expectations sharply and makes no mention of taper.</p><p><blockquote>美联储维持利率稳定，但大幅上调通胀预期，且未提及taper。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. stocks dropped to their session lows on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised its inflation expectations and moved up the time frame on when it will hike interest rates next.</p><p><blockquote>美国股市周三跌至盘中低点，此前美联储上调了通胀预期，并提前了下次加息的时间框架。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 320 points. The S&amp;P 500 traded 0.7% lower after hitting an all-time high in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite erased earlier gains and traded 0.5% lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌320点。标普500在前一交易日创下历史新高后下跌0.7%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数抹去了早些时候的涨幅，下跌0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Nine out of 11 S&amp;P 500 sectors traded in the red, led to the downside by communication services and financials.</p><p><blockquote>11个标普500板块中有9个出现亏损，其中通信服务和金融板块领跌。</blockquote></p><p> Economic reopening plays provided the broader market with some support. Major airline stocks American Airlines, United and Delta all traded higher. Royal Caribbean and Carnival both climbed 2% afteran upgrade from Wolfe Research.</p><p><blockquote>经济重新开放为大盘提供了一些支撑。主要航空股美国航空、联合航空和达美航空均走高。在Wolfe Research上调评级后，皇家加勒比和嘉年华股价均上涨2%。</blockquote></p><p> The policymaking Federal Open Market Committee indicated that rate hikes could come as soon as 2023, after indicating in March that it saw no increases until at least 2024.</p><p><blockquote>制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会表示，最早可能在2023年加息，此前该委员会在3月份表示至少在2024年之前不会加息。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed also raised its headline inflation expectation to 3.4%, a full percentage point higher than the March projection, the post-meeting statement continued to say that inflation pressures are \"transitory.\"</p><p><blockquote>美联储还将总体通胀预期上调至3.4%，比3月份的预测高出整整一个百分点，会后声明继续称通胀压力是“暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET.</p><p><blockquote>主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将于下午2:30举行新闻发布会。等。</blockquote></p><p> The meeting came as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years duringMay, a report on Tuesday showed. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote>周二的一份报告显示，此次会议召开之际，通胀加剧，5月份生产者价格以近11年来最快的年增长率上涨。这促使包括保罗·都铎·琼斯在内的一些人呼吁央行重新考虑其宽松的货币政策。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank has been buying $120 billion worth of bonds each month as the economy continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济继续从冠状病毒大流行中复苏，央行每月购买价值1200亿美元的债券。</blockquote></p><p> \"The drama this week will be whether the Fed sits tight or admits that inflation is rising and that the Fed needs to tighten,\" said Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network. \"Since the Fed has a dual mandate—unemployment and inflation—that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦金融网络首席信息官布拉德·麦克米兰表示：“本周的戏剧性事件将是美联储是按兵不动，还是承认通胀正在上升，美联储需要收紧政策。”“由于美联储有双重使命——失业和通胀——这表明它确实应该将重点放在失业上，而不是通胀上。”</blockquote></p><p> Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who is testifying before the Senate Finance Committee Wednesday, said higher price pressures shouldn't last over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>周三在参议院财政委员会作证的财政部长珍妮特·耶伦表示，从长远来看，更高的价格压力不应持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> \"I previously said that I see important transitory influences at work and I don't anticipate that it will be permanent,\" Yellen said. \"But we continue to monitor inflation data very carefully, and importantly for the long run inflation outlook we see inflation expectations by most measures … as being well-anchored.\"</p><p><blockquote>耶伦表示：“我之前说过，我看到了重要的暂时影响，但我预计这种影响不会是永久性的。”“但我们将继续非常仔细地监测通胀数据，对于长期通胀前景来说，重要的是，我们认为从大多数指标来看，通胀预期……都是稳固的。”</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday,China said it will release industrial metalsincluding copper, aluminum and zinc from its national reserves to curb commodity prices. Copper price has fallen more than 10% from its record high, dipping into correction territory on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，中国表示将从国家储备中释放铜、铝和锌等工业金属，以抑制大宗商品价格。铜价较历史高点下跌逾10%，周二跌入回调区间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170150919","content_text":"Fed holds rates steady, but raises inflation expectations sharply and makes no mention of taper.\nU.S. stocks dropped to their session lows on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve raised its inflation expectations and moved up the time frame on when it will hike interest rates next.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 320 points. The S&P 500 traded 0.7% lower after hitting an all-time high in the previous session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite erased earlier gains and traded 0.5% lower.\nNine out of 11 S&P 500 sectors traded in the red, led to the downside by communication services and financials.\nEconomic reopening plays provided the broader market with some support. Major airline stocks American Airlines, United and Delta all traded higher. Royal Caribbean and Carnival both climbed 2% afteran upgrade from Wolfe Research.\nThe policymaking Federal Open Market Committee indicated that rate hikes could come as soon as 2023, after indicating in March that it saw no increases until at least 2024.\nThe Fed also raised its headline inflation expectation to 3.4%, a full percentage point higher than the March projection, the post-meeting statement continued to say that inflation pressures are \"transitory.\"\nChairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET.\nThe meeting came as inflation heats up, with producer prices rising at their fastest annual rate in nearly 11 years duringMay, a report on Tuesday showed. This has prompted some, including Paul Tudor Jones, to call for the central bank to re-think its easy monetary policy.\nThe central bank has been buying $120 billion worth of bonds each month as the economy continues to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.\n\"The drama this week will be whether the Fed sits tight or admits that inflation is rising and that the Fed needs to tighten,\" said Brad McMillan, CIO at Commonwealth Financial Network. \"Since the Fed has a dual mandate—unemployment and inflation—that suggests it should indeed keep its focus on unemployment, rather than inflation.\"\nTreasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who is testifying before the Senate Finance Committee Wednesday, said higher price pressures shouldn't last over the long run.\n\"I previously said that I see important transitory influences at work and I don't anticipate that it will be permanent,\" Yellen said. \"But we continue to monitor inflation data very carefully, and importantly for the long run inflation outlook we see inflation expectations by most measures … as being well-anchored.\"\nOn Wednesday,China said it will release industrial metalsincluding copper, aluminum and zinc from its national reserves to curb commodity prices. Copper price has fallen more than 10% from its record high, dipping into correction territory on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169688510,"gmtCreate":1623832888630,"gmtModify":1634027397410,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no.","listText":"Oh no.","text":"Oh no.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169688510","repostId":"1138070155","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138070155","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623826083,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138070155?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.K. Inflation Surges to 2.1% Unexpectedly Passing BOE Goal<blockquote>英国通胀率飙升至2.1%意外超过英国央行目标</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138070155","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"U.K. inflation surged unexpectedly past the Bank of England’s target for the first time in almost tw","content":"<p>U.K. inflation surged unexpectedly past the Bank of England’s target for the first time in almost two years, an increase that will add to speculation about when monetary policy could be tightened.Consumer prices rose 2.1% from a year earlier, the highest since July 2019, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday. Economists had expected an increase of 1.8%. Core inflation jumped to 2%, most since August 2018.The pickup reflected higher prices for fuel, restaurant meals, clothing and recreational goods as the economy took a further step out of lockdown. The central bank expects inflation to breach its 2% target temporarially this year. However, economists are increasingly concerned higher prices could prove more persistent given the rapid pace of recovery from the coronavirus recession.</p><p><blockquote>英国通胀率意外飙升，近两年来首次超过英国央行的目标，这一涨幅将加剧人们对何时收紧货币政策的猜测。英国国家统计局周三表示，消费者价格同比上涨2.1%，为2019年7月以来的最高水平。经济学家此前预计增长1.8%。核心通胀率跃升至2%，为2018年8月以来最高水平。这一回升反映了随着经济进一步走出封锁，燃料、餐厅餐饮、服装和娱乐用品价格上涨。央行预计今年通胀率将暂时突破2%的目标。然而，经济学家越来越担心，鉴于从冠状病毒衰退中快速复苏，价格上涨可能会更加持久。</blockquote></p><p> “Inflation has risen sharply in recent months and will rise further as the impact of higher commodities prices feed through the supply chain,” said Jack Leslie, senior economist at the Resolution Foundation. “But U.K. inflationary pressures are different -- and nowhere as near as large -- as those causing fierce debate in the U.S.”</p><p><blockquote>Resolution Foundation高级经济学家杰克·莱斯利(Jack Leslie)表示：“近几个月来，通胀大幅上升，随着大宗商品价格上涨的影响通过供应链传递，通胀将进一步上升。”“但英国的通胀压力与美国引起激烈争论的通胀压力不同，而且远没有那么大。”</blockquote></p><p> The pound was little changed against the dollar and the euro after the report.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布后，英镑兑美元和欧元几乎没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> Separate figures showed that pipeline price pressures continued to build in May. Producer input prices reflecting the cost to industry for fuel and raw materials rose by 10.7% over the past year, their biggest increase in a decade. That’s pushing up the price of goods leaving factory gates at the fastest pace since 2012.</p><p><blockquote>单独的数据显示，5月份管道价格压力继续加大。反映工业燃料和原材料成本的生产者投入价格在过去一年上涨了10.7%，这是十年来的最大涨幅。这以2012年以来最快的速度推高了出厂商品的价格。</blockquote></p><p> The ONS said the cost of transport equipment along with metals and non-metallic minerals provided the largest upward contributions to producer price inflation.</p><p><blockquote>英国国家统计局表示，运输设备以及金属和非金属矿物的成本对生产者价格通胀的贡献最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There is a greater level of uncertainty about prices at present, with a possibility that inflation will turn out to be higher if staff shortages persist, triggering stronger wage rises, while cost increases continue to be passed on to consumers,” Yael Selfin, Chief Economist at KPMG UK.</p><p><blockquote>首席经济学家Yael Selfin表示：“目前价格的不确定性更大，如果员工短缺持续存在，通胀可能会更高，引发更强劲的工资上涨，同时成本上涨继续转嫁给消费者。”毕马威英国经济学家。</blockquote></p><p> BOE Chief Economist Andy Haldane, who departs his post at the end of this month, said last week that pay and costs are already rising and high street inflation “can’t be far behind.”</p><p><blockquote>将于本月底离职的英国央行首席经济学家安迪·霍尔丹上周表示，薪资和成本已经在上升，商业街通胀“不会太远”。</blockquote></p><p> His colleague Gertjan Vlieghe says policy makers could raise the benchmark rate as early as next year if the labor market recovers smoothly when government job subsidies come to an end in September.</p><p><blockquote>他的同事格特简·弗利葛表示，如果政府就业补贴在9月份结束时劳动力市场顺利复苏，政策制定者最早可能在明年提高基准利率。</blockquote></p><p> Market-based inflation expectations remain close to their highest since 2008. The so-called 10-year breakeven rate -- a gauge derived from the difference between conventional gilt yields and those linked to retail-price inflation -- has risen more than 50 basis points this year.</p><p><blockquote>基于市场的通胀预期仍接近2008年以来的最高水平。所谓的10年期盈亏平衡利率（根据传统英国国债收益率与零售价格通胀挂钩的收益率之间的差异得出的指标）今年已上涨超过50个基点。</blockquote></p><p> Many economies have seen prices accelerate over recent months, though policy makers continue to play down the risk of a sustained inflation outbreak. In the U.S., headline consumer inflation jumped to 5% in May, the highest in more than a decade. Euro-area inflation is running at 2%, just above the European Central Bank goal.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，许多经济体的物价上涨速度加快，尽管政策制定者继续淡化通胀持续爆发的风险。在美国，5月份总体消费者通胀率跃升至5%，为十多年来的最高水平。欧元区通胀率为2%，略高于欧洲央行的目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.K. Inflation Surges to 2.1% Unexpectedly Passing BOE Goal<blockquote>英国通胀率飙升至2.1%意外超过英国央行目标</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.K. Inflation Surges to 2.1% Unexpectedly Passing BOE Goal<blockquote>英国通胀率飙升至2.1%意外超过英国央行目标</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.K. inflation surged unexpectedly past the Bank of England’s target for the first time in almost two years, an increase that will add to speculation about when monetary policy could be tightened.Consumer prices rose 2.1% from a year earlier, the highest since July 2019, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday. Economists had expected an increase of 1.8%. Core inflation jumped to 2%, most since August 2018.The pickup reflected higher prices for fuel, restaurant meals, clothing and recreational goods as the economy took a further step out of lockdown. The central bank expects inflation to breach its 2% target temporarially this year. However, economists are increasingly concerned higher prices could prove more persistent given the rapid pace of recovery from the coronavirus recession.</p><p><blockquote>英国通胀率意外飙升，近两年来首次超过英国央行的目标，这一涨幅将加剧人们对何时收紧货币政策的猜测。英国国家统计局周三表示，消费者价格同比上涨2.1%，为2019年7月以来的最高水平。经济学家此前预计增长1.8%。核心通胀率跃升至2%，为2018年8月以来最高水平。这一回升反映了随着经济进一步走出封锁，燃料、餐厅餐饮、服装和娱乐用品价格上涨。央行预计今年通胀率将暂时突破2%的目标。然而，经济学家越来越担心，鉴于从冠状病毒衰退中快速复苏，价格上涨可能会更加持久。</blockquote></p><p> “Inflation has risen sharply in recent months and will rise further as the impact of higher commodities prices feed through the supply chain,” said Jack Leslie, senior economist at the Resolution Foundation. “But U.K. inflationary pressures are different -- and nowhere as near as large -- as those causing fierce debate in the U.S.”</p><p><blockquote>Resolution Foundation高级经济学家杰克·莱斯利(Jack Leslie)表示：“近几个月来，通胀大幅上升，随着大宗商品价格上涨的影响通过供应链传递，通胀将进一步上升。”“但英国的通胀压力与美国引起激烈争论的通胀压力不同，而且远没有那么大。”</blockquote></p><p> The pound was little changed against the dollar and the euro after the report.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布后，英镑兑美元和欧元几乎没有变化。</blockquote></p><p> Separate figures showed that pipeline price pressures continued to build in May. Producer input prices reflecting the cost to industry for fuel and raw materials rose by 10.7% over the past year, their biggest increase in a decade. That’s pushing up the price of goods leaving factory gates at the fastest pace since 2012.</p><p><blockquote>单独的数据显示，5月份管道价格压力继续加大。反映工业燃料和原材料成本的生产者投入价格在过去一年上涨了10.7%，这是十年来的最大涨幅。这以2012年以来最快的速度推高了出厂商品的价格。</blockquote></p><p> The ONS said the cost of transport equipment along with metals and non-metallic minerals provided the largest upward contributions to producer price inflation.</p><p><blockquote>英国国家统计局表示，运输设备以及金属和非金属矿物的成本对生产者价格通胀的贡献最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There is a greater level of uncertainty about prices at present, with a possibility that inflation will turn out to be higher if staff shortages persist, triggering stronger wage rises, while cost increases continue to be passed on to consumers,” Yael Selfin, Chief Economist at KPMG UK.</p><p><blockquote>首席经济学家Yael Selfin表示：“目前价格的不确定性更大，如果员工短缺持续存在，通胀可能会更高，引发更强劲的工资上涨，同时成本上涨继续转嫁给消费者。”毕马威英国经济学家。</blockquote></p><p> BOE Chief Economist Andy Haldane, who departs his post at the end of this month, said last week that pay and costs are already rising and high street inflation “can’t be far behind.”</p><p><blockquote>将于本月底离职的英国央行首席经济学家安迪·霍尔丹上周表示，薪资和成本已经在上升，商业街通胀“不会太远”。</blockquote></p><p> His colleague Gertjan Vlieghe says policy makers could raise the benchmark rate as early as next year if the labor market recovers smoothly when government job subsidies come to an end in September.</p><p><blockquote>他的同事格特简·弗利葛表示，如果政府就业补贴在9月份结束时劳动力市场顺利复苏，政策制定者最早可能在明年提高基准利率。</blockquote></p><p> Market-based inflation expectations remain close to their highest since 2008. The so-called 10-year breakeven rate -- a gauge derived from the difference between conventional gilt yields and those linked to retail-price inflation -- has risen more than 50 basis points this year.</p><p><blockquote>基于市场的通胀预期仍接近2008年以来的最高水平。所谓的10年期盈亏平衡利率（根据传统英国国债收益率与零售价格通胀挂钩的收益率之间的差异得出的指标）今年已上涨超过50个基点。</blockquote></p><p> Many economies have seen prices accelerate over recent months, though policy makers continue to play down the risk of a sustained inflation outbreak. In the U.S., headline consumer inflation jumped to 5% in May, the highest in more than a decade. Euro-area inflation is running at 2%, just above the European Central Bank goal.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，许多经济体的物价上涨速度加快，尽管政策制定者继续淡化通胀持续爆发的风险。在美国，5月份总体消费者通胀率跃升至5%，为十多年来的最高水平。欧元区通胀率为2%，略高于欧洲央行的目标。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-k-inflation-unexpectedly-surges-060519932.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-k-inflation-unexpectedly-surges-060519932.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138070155","content_text":"U.K. inflation surged unexpectedly past the Bank of England’s target for the first time in almost two years, an increase that will add to speculation about when monetary policy could be tightened.Consumer prices rose 2.1% from a year earlier, the highest since July 2019, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday. Economists had expected an increase of 1.8%. Core inflation jumped to 2%, most since August 2018.The pickup reflected higher prices for fuel, restaurant meals, clothing and recreational goods as the economy took a further step out of lockdown. The central bank expects inflation to breach its 2% target temporarially this year. However, economists are increasingly concerned higher prices could prove more persistent given the rapid pace of recovery from the coronavirus recession.\n“Inflation has risen sharply in recent months and will rise further as the impact of higher commodities prices feed through the supply chain,” said Jack Leslie, senior economist at the Resolution Foundation. “But U.K. inflationary pressures are different -- and nowhere as near as large -- as those causing fierce debate in the U.S.”\nThe pound was little changed against the dollar and the euro after the report.\nSeparate figures showed that pipeline price pressures continued to build in May. Producer input prices reflecting the cost to industry for fuel and raw materials rose by 10.7% over the past year, their biggest increase in a decade. That’s pushing up the price of goods leaving factory gates at the fastest pace since 2012.\nThe ONS said the cost of transport equipment along with metals and non-metallic minerals provided the largest upward contributions to producer price inflation.\n“There is a greater level of uncertainty about prices at present, with a possibility that inflation will turn out to be higher if staff shortages persist, triggering stronger wage rises, while cost increases continue to be passed on to consumers,” Yael Selfin, Chief Economist at KPMG UK.\nBOE Chief Economist Andy Haldane, who departs his post at the end of this month, said last week that pay and costs are already rising and high street inflation “can’t be far behind.”\nHis colleague Gertjan Vlieghe says policy makers could raise the benchmark rate as early as next year if the labor market recovers smoothly when government job subsidies come to an end in September.\nMarket-based inflation expectations remain close to their highest since 2008. The so-called 10-year breakeven rate -- a gauge derived from the difference between conventional gilt yields and those linked to retail-price inflation -- has risen more than 50 basis points this year.\nMany economies have seen prices accelerate over recent months, though policy makers continue to play down the risk of a sustained inflation outbreak. In the U.S., headline consumer inflation jumped to 5% in May, the highest in more than a decade. Euro-area inflation is running at 2%, just above the European Central Bank goal.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169617430,"gmtCreate":1623832684820,"gmtModify":1634027401702,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"OMG.... who will be taking care of me when i am old?","listText":"OMG.... who will be taking care of me when i am old?","text":"OMG.... who will be taking care of me when i am old?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169617430","repostId":"2143897767","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169615409,"gmtCreate":1623832598801,"gmtModify":1634027403337,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Trust the Sg Minister forsight.","listText":"Trust the Sg Minister forsight.","text":"Trust the Sg Minister forsight.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169615409","repostId":"1145814445","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2043,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169616784,"gmtCreate":1623832486548,"gmtModify":1634027404877,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The risk is low.&nbsp;","listText":"The risk is low.&nbsp;","text":"The risk is low.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169616784","repostId":"2143530687","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169637141,"gmtCreate":1623832212883,"gmtModify":1634027409961,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will oil rig builder benefit?","listText":"Will oil rig builder benefit?","text":"Will oil rig builder benefit?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169637141","repostId":"2143605967","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160423378,"gmtCreate":1623804757794,"gmtModify":1634027945591,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Aviation stock.... Buy.","listText":"Aviation stock.... Buy.","text":"Aviation stock.... Buy.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160423378","repostId":"1124987614","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160489920,"gmtCreate":1623804287560,"gmtModify":1634027963741,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160489920","repostId":"2143750470","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160411113,"gmtCreate":1623804112932,"gmtModify":1634027970559,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait for now.","listText":"Wait for now.","text":"Wait for now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160411113","repostId":"1178629454","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1178629454","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623801608,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178629454?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 08:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why a Hawkish Fed Might Not Spook Emerging Markets<blockquote>为什么鹰派美联储可能不会吓到新兴市场</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178629454","media":"Barrons","summary":"Emerging markets threw a toddler-worthy tantrum in 2013 when the Federal Reserve suggested it may ta","content":"<p>Emerging markets threw a toddler-worthy tantrum in 2013 when the Federal Reserve suggested it may taper its crisis-era asset purchases. Investors are warily watching the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting this week and bracing for another painful “taper tantrum” in emerging markets that led to painful losses . But it may not be as bad this time.</p><p><blockquote>2013年，当美联储暗示可能缩减危机时期的资产购买时，新兴市场爆发了一场值得蹒跚学步的大脾气。投资者正在警惕地关注美联储本周的政策会议，并准备迎接新兴市场另一场导致痛苦损失的痛苦“缩减恐慌”。但这次可能没那么糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Fund managers cited a taper tantrum as the second-biggest risk after inflation in a recent survey by Bank of America. Emerging markets felt the brunt of the last taper tantrum, with the MSCI Emerging Markets index falling roughly 10% in four months as investors yanked money out as higher yields in the U.S. offered them alternatives in 2013. That added pressure to emerging market countries, exacerbating precarious fiscal positions in countries reliant on foreign funding.</p><p><blockquote>在美国银行最近的一项调查中，基金经理将缩减恐慌列为仅次于通胀的第二大风险。新兴市场在上一次缩减恐慌中首当其冲，摩根士丹利资本国际新兴市场指数在四个月内下跌了约10%，因为2013年美国收益率上升为他们提供了替代方案，投资者纷纷撤资。这增加了新兴市场国家的压力，加剧了依赖外国资金的国家岌岌可危的财政状况。</blockquote></p><p> Many emerging market countries have better fiscal positions and stronger reserves to deal this time to deal with the fallout from another Fed taper. Increased demand for commodities should also help insulate non-Asian markets from disruptive outflows, giving policy makers more room to maneuver, according to Gavkeal Research analysts Udith Sikand and Vincent Tsui.</p><p><blockquote>许多新兴市场国家有更好的财政状况和更强大的储备来应对这一次美联储再次缩减的影响。Gavkeal Research分析师Udith Sikand和Vincent Tsui表示，大宗商品需求的增加也应有助于使非亚洲市场免受破坏性资金外流的影响，从而为政策制定者提供更多的回旋余地。</blockquote></p><p> The duo expects a less extreme reaction in emerging markets, writing in a note this month that the Fed may also be more attuned to the fragility of the global backdrop and careful to avoid sparking a panic.</p><p><blockquote>两人预计新兴市场的反应不会那么极端，他们在本月的一份报告中写道，美联储也可能更加适应全球背景的脆弱性，并小心避免引发恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, U.S. real yields are already inching up, which could mean any further rise in yields on the back of a Fed tapering could be smaller. As a result, the analysts think several emerging markets could be less vulnerable this time around and even outperform.</p><p><blockquote>此外，美国实际收益率已经在小幅上升，这可能意味着美联储缩减规模后收益率的进一步上升可能会更小。因此，分析师认为，这一次几个新兴市场可能不那么脆弱，甚至跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, if a Fed taper triggers the type of outflows seen last time from emerging markets—roughly $30 billion—there will be few places to hide. The growth outlook for emerging markets, especially outside of India and China, is also less exciting and many countries will likely be grappling with higher levels of debt post-Covid. And the most fiscally fragile could still be vulnerable (think Turkey and South Africa).</p><p><blockquote>当然，如果美联储缩减规模引发上次新兴市场的资金外流——大约300亿美元——将无处可藏。新兴市场（尤其是印度和中国以外的市场）的增长前景也不那么令人兴奋，许多国家可能会在新冠疫情后努力应对更高水平的债务。财政最脆弱的国家可能仍然很脆弱（想想土耳其和南非）。</blockquote></p><p> But some money managers see pockets of opportunity in emerging markets. While 2013 is still fresh in the minds of emerging market investors, not all instances of Fed tightening have created such painful periods. Between 2004 to 2006, the MSCI Emerging Markets index returned more than 80% as the Federal Reserve raised the fed-funds rate by 4.25 percentage points, analysts at RockCreek wrote in a note to clients this week. A strong economic recovery led to the tightening in 2004—a period where emerging markets also saw the benefits of a strong commodities market. The RockCreek team highlighted similarities to that period: Commodities are&nbsp;booming again&nbsp;and the U.S. is in the throes of an economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>但一些基金经理在新兴市场看到了一些机会。尽管新兴市场投资者对2013年记忆犹新，但并非所有美联储紧缩政策都造成了如此痛苦的时期。RockCreek分析师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道，2004年至2006年间，随着美联储将联邦基金利率提高4.25个百分点，MSCI新兴市场指数的回报率超过80%。强劲的经济复苏导致了2004年的紧缩——在此期间，新兴市场也看到了强劲的大宗商品市场的好处。RockCreek团队强调了与那个时期的相似之处：大宗商品再次繁荣，而美国正处于经济复苏的阵痛中。</blockquote></p><p> Picking the right spots in emerging markets will be important, as some countries are better-positioned for stronger commodity demand and to withstand volatility from a Fed taper. Others, like China are still&nbsp;grappling with country-specific issues,like antimonopoly measures that loom over not just the e-commerce and internet sectors but also education.</p><p><blockquote>在新兴市场选择正确的地点非常重要，因为一些国家更有能力应对更强劲的大宗商品需求，并抵御美联储缩减规模带来的波动。其他国家，如中国，仍在努力解决特定国家的问题，如不仅笼罩着电子商务和互联网行业，还笼罩着教育领域的反垄断措施。</blockquote></p><p> Oxford Economics strategists favor commodity-oriented beneficiaries in emerging markets in Brazil, for example, where valuations are less stretched than in “new-economy” areas of the market like Chinese technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>例如，牛津经济研究院的策略师看好巴西新兴市场中以大宗商品为导向的受益者，这些市场的估值没有中国科技股等“新经济”领域那么紧张。</blockquote></p><p> Some emerging markets managers are also looking to banks in&nbsp;countries like Brazil&nbsp;as a way to benefit from the commodities boom and broader recovery. Gavekal also recommends overweight emerging-market stocks with a preference for non-Asian commodity exporters, as well as countries with weaker currencies like Brazil and&nbsp;Mexico.</p><p><blockquote>一些新兴市场经理也将目光投向巴西等国的银行，以此从大宗商品繁荣和更广泛的复苏中获益。Gavekal还推荐跑赢大盘新兴市场股票，优先考虑非亚洲大宗商品出口国，以及巴西和墨西哥等货币疲软的国家。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;iShares MSCI Brazilexchange-traded fund (EWZ) is up 26% over the last three months; the&nbsp;iShares MSCI Mexico&nbsp;ETF (EWW) is up nearly 13% while the China-heavy&nbsp;iShares MSCI Emerging Markets&nbsp;index (EEM) is up just 4% over that period.</p><p><blockquote>iShares MSCI巴西交易所交易基金(EWZ)过去三个月上涨了26%；iShares MSCI墨西哥ETF(EWW)上涨近13%，而以中国为主的iShares MSCI新兴市场指数(EEM)同期仅上涨4%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why a Hawkish Fed Might Not Spook Emerging Markets<blockquote>为什么鹰派美联储可能不会吓到新兴市场</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy a Hawkish Fed Might Not Spook Emerging Markets<blockquote>为什么鹰派美联储可能不会吓到新兴市场</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 08:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Emerging markets threw a toddler-worthy tantrum in 2013 when the Federal Reserve suggested it may taper its crisis-era asset purchases. Investors are warily watching the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting this week and bracing for another painful “taper tantrum” in emerging markets that led to painful losses . But it may not be as bad this time.</p><p><blockquote>2013年，当美联储暗示可能缩减危机时期的资产购买时，新兴市场爆发了一场值得蹒跚学步的大脾气。投资者正在警惕地关注美联储本周的政策会议，并准备迎接新兴市场另一场导致痛苦损失的痛苦“缩减恐慌”。但这次可能没那么糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Fund managers cited a taper tantrum as the second-biggest risk after inflation in a recent survey by Bank of America. Emerging markets felt the brunt of the last taper tantrum, with the MSCI Emerging Markets index falling roughly 10% in four months as investors yanked money out as higher yields in the U.S. offered them alternatives in 2013. That added pressure to emerging market countries, exacerbating precarious fiscal positions in countries reliant on foreign funding.</p><p><blockquote>在美国银行最近的一项调查中，基金经理将缩减恐慌列为仅次于通胀的第二大风险。新兴市场在上一次缩减恐慌中首当其冲，摩根士丹利资本国际新兴市场指数在四个月内下跌了约10%，因为2013年美国收益率上升为他们提供了替代方案，投资者纷纷撤资。这增加了新兴市场国家的压力，加剧了依赖外国资金的国家岌岌可危的财政状况。</blockquote></p><p> Many emerging market countries have better fiscal positions and stronger reserves to deal this time to deal with the fallout from another Fed taper. Increased demand for commodities should also help insulate non-Asian markets from disruptive outflows, giving policy makers more room to maneuver, according to Gavkeal Research analysts Udith Sikand and Vincent Tsui.</p><p><blockquote>许多新兴市场国家有更好的财政状况和更强大的储备来应对这一次美联储再次缩减的影响。Gavkeal Research分析师Udith Sikand和Vincent Tsui表示，大宗商品需求的增加也应有助于使非亚洲市场免受破坏性资金外流的影响，从而为政策制定者提供更多的回旋余地。</blockquote></p><p> The duo expects a less extreme reaction in emerging markets, writing in a note this month that the Fed may also be more attuned to the fragility of the global backdrop and careful to avoid sparking a panic.</p><p><blockquote>两人预计新兴市场的反应不会那么极端，他们在本月的一份报告中写道，美联储也可能更加适应全球背景的脆弱性，并小心避免引发恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, U.S. real yields are already inching up, which could mean any further rise in yields on the back of a Fed tapering could be smaller. As a result, the analysts think several emerging markets could be less vulnerable this time around and even outperform.</p><p><blockquote>此外，美国实际收益率已经在小幅上升，这可能意味着美联储缩减规模后收益率的进一步上升可能会更小。因此，分析师认为，这一次几个新兴市场可能不那么脆弱，甚至跑赢大盘。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, if a Fed taper triggers the type of outflows seen last time from emerging markets—roughly $30 billion—there will be few places to hide. The growth outlook for emerging markets, especially outside of India and China, is also less exciting and many countries will likely be grappling with higher levels of debt post-Covid. And the most fiscally fragile could still be vulnerable (think Turkey and South Africa).</p><p><blockquote>当然，如果美联储缩减规模引发上次新兴市场的资金外流——大约300亿美元——将无处可藏。新兴市场（尤其是印度和中国以外的市场）的增长前景也不那么令人兴奋，许多国家可能会在新冠疫情后努力应对更高水平的债务。财政最脆弱的国家可能仍然很脆弱（想想土耳其和南非）。</blockquote></p><p> But some money managers see pockets of opportunity in emerging markets. While 2013 is still fresh in the minds of emerging market investors, not all instances of Fed tightening have created such painful periods. Between 2004 to 2006, the MSCI Emerging Markets index returned more than 80% as the Federal Reserve raised the fed-funds rate by 4.25 percentage points, analysts at RockCreek wrote in a note to clients this week. A strong economic recovery led to the tightening in 2004—a period where emerging markets also saw the benefits of a strong commodities market. The RockCreek team highlighted similarities to that period: Commodities are&nbsp;booming again&nbsp;and the U.S. is in the throes of an economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>但一些基金经理在新兴市场看到了一些机会。尽管新兴市场投资者对2013年记忆犹新，但并非所有美联储紧缩政策都造成了如此痛苦的时期。RockCreek分析师本周在给客户的一份报告中写道，2004年至2006年间，随着美联储将联邦基金利率提高4.25个百分点，MSCI新兴市场指数的回报率超过80%。强劲的经济复苏导致了2004年的紧缩——在此期间，新兴市场也看到了强劲的大宗商品市场的好处。RockCreek团队强调了与那个时期的相似之处：大宗商品再次繁荣，而美国正处于经济复苏的阵痛中。</blockquote></p><p> Picking the right spots in emerging markets will be important, as some countries are better-positioned for stronger commodity demand and to withstand volatility from a Fed taper. Others, like China are still&nbsp;grappling with country-specific issues,like antimonopoly measures that loom over not just the e-commerce and internet sectors but also education.</p><p><blockquote>在新兴市场选择正确的地点非常重要，因为一些国家更有能力应对更强劲的大宗商品需求，并抵御美联储缩减规模带来的波动。其他国家，如中国，仍在努力解决特定国家的问题，如不仅笼罩着电子商务和互联网行业，还笼罩着教育领域的反垄断措施。</blockquote></p><p> Oxford Economics strategists favor commodity-oriented beneficiaries in emerging markets in Brazil, for example, where valuations are less stretched than in “new-economy” areas of the market like Chinese technology stocks.</p><p><blockquote>例如，牛津经济研究院的策略师看好巴西新兴市场中以大宗商品为导向的受益者，这些市场的估值没有中国科技股等“新经济”领域那么紧张。</blockquote></p><p> Some emerging markets managers are also looking to banks in&nbsp;countries like Brazil&nbsp;as a way to benefit from the commodities boom and broader recovery. Gavekal also recommends overweight emerging-market stocks with a preference for non-Asian commodity exporters, as well as countries with weaker currencies like Brazil and&nbsp;Mexico.</p><p><blockquote>一些新兴市场经理也将目光投向巴西等国的银行，以此从大宗商品繁荣和更广泛的复苏中获益。Gavekal还推荐跑赢大盘新兴市场股票，优先考虑非亚洲大宗商品出口国，以及巴西和墨西哥等货币疲软的国家。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;iShares MSCI Brazilexchange-traded fund (EWZ) is up 26% over the last three months; the&nbsp;iShares MSCI Mexico&nbsp;ETF (EWW) is up nearly 13% while the China-heavy&nbsp;iShares MSCI Emerging Markets&nbsp;index (EEM) is up just 4% over that period.</p><p><blockquote>iShares MSCI巴西交易所交易基金(EWZ)过去三个月上涨了26%；iShares MSCI墨西哥ETF(EWW)上涨近13%，而以中国为主的iShares MSCI新兴市场指数(EEM)同期仅上涨4%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/taper-tantrum-why-emerging-markets-may-keep-their-cool-51623796608?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/taper-tantrum-why-emerging-markets-may-keep-their-cool-51623796608?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178629454","content_text":"Emerging markets threw a toddler-worthy tantrum in 2013 when the Federal Reserve suggested it may taper its crisis-era asset purchases. Investors are warily watching the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting this week and bracing for another painful “taper tantrum” in emerging markets that led to painful losses . But it may not be as bad this time.\nFund managers cited a taper tantrum as the second-biggest risk after inflation in a recent survey by Bank of America. Emerging markets felt the brunt of the last taper tantrum, with the MSCI Emerging Markets index falling roughly 10% in four months as investors yanked money out as higher yields in the U.S. offered them alternatives in 2013. That added pressure to emerging market countries, exacerbating precarious fiscal positions in countries reliant on foreign funding.\nMany emerging market countries have better fiscal positions and stronger reserves to deal this time to deal with the fallout from another Fed taper. Increased demand for commodities should also help insulate non-Asian markets from disruptive outflows, giving policy makers more room to maneuver, according to Gavkeal Research analysts Udith Sikand and Vincent Tsui.\nThe duo expects a less extreme reaction in emerging markets, writing in a note this month that the Fed may also be more attuned to the fragility of the global backdrop and careful to avoid sparking a panic.\nPlus, U.S. real yields are already inching up, which could mean any further rise in yields on the back of a Fed tapering could be smaller. As a result, the analysts think several emerging markets could be less vulnerable this time around and even outperform.\nOf course, if a Fed taper triggers the type of outflows seen last time from emerging markets—roughly $30 billion—there will be few places to hide. The growth outlook for emerging markets, especially outside of India and China, is also less exciting and many countries will likely be grappling with higher levels of debt post-Covid. And the most fiscally fragile could still be vulnerable (think Turkey and South Africa).\nBut some money managers see pockets of opportunity in emerging markets. While 2013 is still fresh in the minds of emerging market investors, not all instances of Fed tightening have created such painful periods. Between 2004 to 2006, the MSCI Emerging Markets index returned more than 80% as the Federal Reserve raised the fed-funds rate by 4.25 percentage points, analysts at RockCreek wrote in a note to clients this week. A strong economic recovery led to the tightening in 2004—a period where emerging markets also saw the benefits of a strong commodities market. The RockCreek team highlighted similarities to that period: Commodities are booming again and the U.S. is in the throes of an economic recovery.\nPicking the right spots in emerging markets will be important, as some countries are better-positioned for stronger commodity demand and to withstand volatility from a Fed taper. Others, like China are still grappling with country-specific issues,like antimonopoly measures that loom over not just the e-commerce and internet sectors but also education.\nOxford Economics strategists favor commodity-oriented beneficiaries in emerging markets in Brazil, for example, where valuations are less stretched than in “new-economy” areas of the market like Chinese technology stocks.\nSome emerging markets managers are also looking to banks in countries like Brazil as a way to benefit from the commodities boom and broader recovery. Gavekal also recommends overweight emerging-market stocks with a preference for non-Asian commodity exporters, as well as countries with weaker currencies like Brazil and Mexico.\nThe iShares MSCI Brazilexchange-traded fund (EWZ) is up 26% over the last three months; the iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (EWW) is up nearly 13% while the China-heavy iShares MSCI Emerging Markets index (EEM) is up just 4% over that period.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160431266,"gmtCreate":1623803924055,"gmtModify":1634027979218,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No worries... It is rotational play in the market.","listText":"No worries... It is rotational play in the market.","text":"No worries... It is rotational play in the market.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160431266","repostId":"1142443814","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142443814","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623802730,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142443814?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 08:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142443814","media":"Benzinga","summary":"So far in 2021, the Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return ","content":"<p>So far in 2021, the&nbsp;<b>Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF</b>&nbsp;is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of the<b>Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，<b>先锋价值指数基金ETF</b>上涨17.4%，几乎是年初至今回报率的两倍<b>科技精选行业SPDR基金</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Over the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，科技股落后于价值股的时期是短暂而甜蜜的，但LPL Financial表示，科技股在可预见的未来可能不再引领市场走高，至少有三个原因。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.</li>  <li>Second, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.</li>  <li>Third, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.</li> </ul> “It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，许多在社交距离和远程工作时期蓬勃发展的科技股将面临极其困难的竞争，并在未来几个季度报告增长放缓。与此同时，在停工期间陷入困境的工业、材料和能源行业的价值股将受益于重新开放后被压抑的需求。</li><li>其次，与历史平均水平相比，科技行业目前25的预期市盈率相对较高。此外，罗素1000成长指数目前估值较罗素1000价值指数溢价60%，为近20年来最高溢价。</li><li>第三，从技术角度来看，科技板块似乎正在滚动。自9月初以来，该行业一直落后于标普500，表明科技股的势头已经停滞。</li></ul>LPL股票策略师杰弗里·布赫宾德(Jeffrey Buchbinder)周二表示：“鉴于许多科技公司强劲的基本面和快速的创新步伐，很难不喜欢科技。但我们预计，随着经济重新开放，金融、工业和材料等周期性价值板块将在今年剩余时间内表现更好。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>仅仅因为科技股不再引领市场走高，并不意味着投资者应该抛售所有科技股，转而购买价值股。2021年，科技行业中肯定仍会有表现出色的公司跻身市场涨幅最大的公司之列，但过去十年投资整个行业带来的轻松资金可能在未来几个季度中更难获得。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-16 08:18</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>So far in 2021, the&nbsp;<b>Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF</b>&nbsp;is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of the<b>Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，<b>先锋价值指数基金ETF</b>上涨17.4%，几乎是年初至今回报率的两倍<b>科技精选行业SPDR基金</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Over the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，科技股落后于价值股的时期是短暂而甜蜜的，但LPL Financial表示，科技股在可预见的未来可能不再引领市场走高，至少有三个原因。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.</li>  <li>Second, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.</li>  <li>Third, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.</li> </ul> “It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，许多在社交距离和远程工作时期蓬勃发展的科技股将面临极其困难的竞争，并在未来几个季度报告增长放缓。与此同时，在停工期间陷入困境的工业、材料和能源行业的价值股将受益于重新开放后被压抑的需求。</li><li>其次，与历史平均水平相比，科技行业目前25的预期市盈率相对较高。此外，罗素1000成长指数目前估值较罗素1000价值指数溢价60%，为近20年来最高溢价。</li><li>第三，从技术角度来看，科技板块似乎正在滚动。自9月初以来，该行业一直落后于标普500，表明科技股的势头已经停滞。</li></ul>LPL股票策略师杰弗里·布赫宾德(Jeffrey Buchbinder)周二表示：“鉴于许多科技公司强劲的基本面和快速的创新步伐，很难不喜欢科技。但我们预计，随着经济重新开放，金融、工业和材料等周期性价值板块将在今年剩余时间内表现更好。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>仅仅因为科技股不再引领市场走高，并不意味着投资者应该抛售所有科技股，转而购买价值股。2021年，科技行业中肯定仍会有表现出色的公司跻身市场涨幅最大的公司之列，但过去十年投资整个行业带来的轻松资金可能在未来几个季度中更难获得。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142443814","content_text":"So far in 2021, the Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of theTechnology Select Sector SPDR Fund.\nOver the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.\n\nFirst, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.\nSecond, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.\nThird, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.\n\n“It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”\nBenzinga’s Take:Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160602899,"gmtCreate":1623791001511,"gmtModify":1634028268649,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Diversification.","listText":"Diversification.","text":"Diversification.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160602899","repostId":"1150591447","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160603653,"gmtCreate":1623790092372,"gmtModify":1634028272058,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What goes up, must come down. Hope it's only true fir the oil price.[龇牙]&nbsp;","listText":"What goes up, must come down. Hope it's only true fir the oil price.[龇牙]&nbsp;","text":"What goes up, must come down. Hope it's only true fir the oil price.[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160603653","repostId":"1193362930","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":160600500,"gmtCreate":1623789669400,"gmtModify":1634028273871,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Take cover for now.","listText":"Take cover for now.","text":"Take cover for now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160600500","repostId":"1163235288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160877269,"gmtCreate":1623789531851,"gmtModify":1634028275055,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huge bet! Good luck!","listText":"Huge bet! Good luck!","text":"Huge bet! Good luck!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160877269","repostId":"1121368819","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":406,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160874579,"gmtCreate":1623789247491,"gmtModify":1631885484621,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"History will repeat.... Time to hedge our investment.","listText":"History will repeat.... Time to hedge our investment.","text":"History will repeat.... Time to hedge our investment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160874579","repostId":"1147269544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147269544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623770166,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147269544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147269544","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he p","content":"<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically its<b>hyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes next</b>in a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，“大空头”迈克尔·伯里证实了美国银行最大的担忧，因为他谈到了魏玛德国的主题，特别是其<b>恶性通货膨胀，作为下一步的蓝图</b>在一篇冗长的推特风暴中，大量抄袭了帕森的开创性工作，警告说<b>：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery</b>. Trillions more stimulus &amp; re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>“美国政府正在以其带有MMT色彩的政策引发通胀。强劲的债务/GDP、M2增加，而零售销售、PMI第五阶段复苏</b>.随着员工和供应链成本飙升，数万亿美元的刺激措施和重新开放以提振需求。”</blockquote></p><p> #ParadigmShift</p><p><blockquote>#范式转变</blockquote></p><p> \"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀在成熟阶段的生活是一个悖论，它有自己明确无误的特征。一个是巨大的财富，至少是那些受到繁荣青睐的人。许多巨大的财富在一夜之间涌现出来……城市里有一群漫无目的、肆意妄为的年轻人。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.</p><p><blockquote>“德国物价平稳，商业和股市都很繁荣。马克对美元和其他货币的汇率实际上一度上升，马克在通货膨胀前夕一时成为世界上最坚挺的货币”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“与财富并存的是贫困地区。更多的人留在轻松赚钱的外围，看进去却进不去。犯罪率飙升。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“当时的记录表明，普通人的士气逐渐低落，加上他们对无明显目的的极快节奏感到厌倦，他们害怕看到自己岌岌可危的地位下滑，而其他人却变得如此明显地富有。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“几乎任何一种企业都能赚钱。企业失败和破产的情况变得很少了。繁荣中止了正常的自然选择过程，否则不必要和无效的东西就会被剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“单是投机，虽然没有增加德国的财富，但却成了德国最大的活动之一。加入快速赚钱的热潮几乎感染了所有阶层……从电梯操作员到现在，每个人都在玩市场。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #<i>robinhooddown</i></p><p><blockquote>“柏林证券交易所的证券交易量变得如此之高，以至于金融业无法跟上文书工作的步伐……交易所不得不每周关闭几天来处理积压的交易。”#<i>罗宾汉</i></blockquote></p><p> \"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single&nbsp; newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"</p><p><blockquote>“1922年夏天世界上存在的所有马克，到1923年11月还不够买一份报纸或一张电车车票。这是崩溃的壮观之处，但货币财富的大部分真正损失在更早的时候就已经遭受了。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.<b>Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>“这些年来，这个结构一直在悄悄地为打击做好准备。<b>德国的#通货膨胀周期不是一年，而是九年，其中八年是酝酿，只有一年是崩溃。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"<b>2010-2021: Gestation</b>\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"</p><p><blockquote>他的笑点：以上是“写于1974年回复：1914-1923”，然后做出不祥的推断<b>2010-2021年：妊娠</b>“当美元可能从天而降时...管理团队变得富有创造力，最终承担更多风险..向投资者支付债务融资股息或投资高风险增长机会无疑击败了节俭心态。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c531b21050b42425510a30125935555e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"395\">And, as if reading from the same playbook,<b>Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"</b>and if Jay Powell</p><p><blockquote>而且，就像是在读同一本剧本，<b>保罗·都铎·琼斯昨天警告说，事情“太疯狂了”</b>如果杰伊·鲍威尔</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"</b></i>  All of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“对我来说，通货膨胀是暂时的……这种想法并不符合我看待世界的方式。”</b></i>所有这些导致了伯里今天早上的最新推文警告...</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.</b></i>#FlyingPigs360\"  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afafeb68134e031ca871659bd8dbc595\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"261\">In other words:<i><b>\"Brace!\"</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“人们总是问我市场上发生了什么。这很简单。有史以来最大的投机泡沫。两个数量级。</b></i>#FlyingPigs360”换句话说：<i><b>“撑住！”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> So what are you going to do about it?</p><p><blockquote>那你打算怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> Tudor Jones had some simple advice: \"<b>buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>都铎·琼斯有一些简单的建议：“<b>购买大宗商品、购买加密货币、购买黄金。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMichael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 23:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically its<b>hyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes next</b>in a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，“大空头”迈克尔·伯里证实了美国银行最大的担忧，因为他谈到了魏玛德国的主题，特别是其<b>恶性通货膨胀，作为下一步的蓝图</b>在一篇冗长的推特风暴中，大量抄袭了帕森的开创性工作，警告说<b>：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery</b>. Trillions more stimulus &amp; re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>“美国政府正在以其带有MMT色彩的政策引发通胀。强劲的债务/GDP、M2增加，而零售销售、PMI第五阶段复苏</b>.随着员工和供应链成本飙升，数万亿美元的刺激措施和重新开放以提振需求。”</blockquote></p><p> #ParadigmShift</p><p><blockquote>#范式转变</blockquote></p><p> \"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀在成熟阶段的生活是一个悖论，它有自己明确无误的特征。一个是巨大的财富，至少是那些受到繁荣青睐的人。许多巨大的财富在一夜之间涌现出来……城市里有一群漫无目的、肆意妄为的年轻人。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.</p><p><blockquote>“德国物价平稳，商业和股市都很繁荣。马克对美元和其他货币的汇率实际上一度上升，马克在通货膨胀前夕一时成为世界上最坚挺的货币”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“与财富并存的是贫困地区。更多的人留在轻松赚钱的外围，看进去却进不去。犯罪率飙升。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“当时的记录表明，普通人的士气逐渐低落，加上他们对无明显目的的极快节奏感到厌倦，他们害怕看到自己岌岌可危的地位下滑，而其他人却变得如此明显地富有。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“几乎任何一种企业都能赚钱。企业失败和破产的情况变得很少了。繁荣中止了正常的自然选择过程，否则不必要和无效的东西就会被剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“单是投机，虽然没有增加德国的财富，但却成了德国最大的活动之一。加入快速赚钱的热潮几乎感染了所有阶层……从电梯操作员到现在，每个人都在玩市场。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #<i>robinhooddown</i></p><p><blockquote>“柏林证券交易所的证券交易量变得如此之高，以至于金融业无法跟上文书工作的步伐……交易所不得不每周关闭几天来处理积压的交易。”#<i>罗宾汉</i></blockquote></p><p> \"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single&nbsp; newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"</p><p><blockquote>“1922年夏天世界上存在的所有马克，到1923年11月还不够买一份报纸或一张电车车票。这是崩溃的壮观之处，但货币财富的大部分真正损失在更早的时候就已经遭受了。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.<b>Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>“这些年来，这个结构一直在悄悄地为打击做好准备。<b>德国的#通货膨胀周期不是一年，而是九年，其中八年是酝酿，只有一年是崩溃。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"<b>2010-2021: Gestation</b>\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"</p><p><blockquote>他的笑点：以上是“写于1974年回复：1914-1923”，然后做出不祥的推断<b>2010-2021年：妊娠</b>“当美元可能从天而降时...管理团队变得富有创造力，最终承担更多风险..向投资者支付债务融资股息或投资高风险增长机会无疑击败了节俭心态。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c531b21050b42425510a30125935555e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"395\">And, as if reading from the same playbook,<b>Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"</b>and if Jay Powell</p><p><blockquote>而且，就像是在读同一本剧本，<b>保罗·都铎·琼斯昨天警告说，事情“太疯狂了”</b>如果杰伊·鲍威尔</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"</b></i>  All of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“对我来说，通货膨胀是暂时的……这种想法并不符合我看待世界的方式。”</b></i>所有这些导致了伯里今天早上的最新推文警告...</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.</b></i>#FlyingPigs360\"  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afafeb68134e031ca871659bd8dbc595\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"261\">In other words:<i><b>\"Brace!\"</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“人们总是问我市场上发生了什么。这很简单。有史以来最大的投机泡沫。两个数量级。</b></i>#FlyingPigs360”换句话说：<i><b>“撑住！”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> So what are you going to do about it?</p><p><blockquote>那你打算怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> Tudor Jones had some simple advice: \"<b>buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>都铎·琼斯有一些简单的建议：“<b>购买大宗商品、购买加密货币、购买黄金。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147269544","content_text":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically itshyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes nextin a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that:\n\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery. Trillions more stimulus & re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"\n#ParadigmShift\n\"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"\n\"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.\n\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"\n\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"\n\"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"\n\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"\n\"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #robinhooddown\n\"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single  newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"\n\"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"\nHis punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"2010-2021: Gestation\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"\nAnd, as if reading from the same playbook,Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"and if Jay Powell\n\n“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"\n\nAll of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...\n\n\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.#FlyingPigs360\"\n\nIn other words:\"Brace!\"\nSo what are you going to do about it?\nTudor Jones had some simple advice: \"buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":160431266,"gmtCreate":1623803924055,"gmtModify":1634027979218,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No worries... It is rotational play in the market.","listText":"No worries... It is rotational play in the market.","text":"No worries... It is rotational play in the market.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160431266","repostId":"1142443814","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142443814","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623802730,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142443814?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 08:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142443814","media":"Benzinga","summary":"So far in 2021, the Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return ","content":"<p>So far in 2021, the&nbsp;<b>Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF</b>&nbsp;is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of the<b>Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，<b>先锋价值指数基金ETF</b>上涨17.4%，几乎是年初至今回报率的两倍<b>科技精选行业SPDR基金</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Over the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，科技股落后于价值股的时期是短暂而甜蜜的，但LPL Financial表示，科技股在可预见的未来可能不再引领市场走高，至少有三个原因。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.</li>  <li>Second, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.</li>  <li>Third, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.</li> </ul> “It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，许多在社交距离和远程工作时期蓬勃发展的科技股将面临极其困难的竞争，并在未来几个季度报告增长放缓。与此同时，在停工期间陷入困境的工业、材料和能源行业的价值股将受益于重新开放后被压抑的需求。</li><li>其次，与历史平均水平相比，科技行业目前25的预期市盈率相对较高。此外，罗素1000成长指数目前估值较罗素1000价值指数溢价60%，为近20年来最高溢价。</li><li>第三，从技术角度来看，科技板块似乎正在滚动。自9月初以来，该行业一直落后于标普500，表明科技股的势头已经停滞。</li></ul>LPL股票策略师杰弗里·布赫宾德(Jeffrey Buchbinder)周二表示：“鉴于许多科技公司强劲的基本面和快速的创新步伐，很难不喜欢科技。但我们预计，随着经济重新开放，金融、工业和材料等周期性价值板块将在今年剩余时间内表现更好。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>仅仅因为科技股不再引领市场走高，并不意味着投资者应该抛售所有科技股，转而购买价值股。2021年，科技行业中肯定仍会有表现出色的公司跻身市场涨幅最大的公司之列，但过去十年投资整个行业带来的轻松资金可能在未来几个季度中更难获得。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Reasons Tech Stocks May Continue To Struggle<blockquote>科技股可能继续陷入困境的3个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-16 08:18</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>So far in 2021, the&nbsp;<b>Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF</b>&nbsp;is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of the<b>Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund</b>.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，<b>先锋价值指数基金ETF</b>上涨17.4%，几乎是年初至今回报率的两倍<b>科技精选行业SPDR基金</b>.</blockquote></p><p> Over the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，科技股落后于价值股的时期是短暂而甜蜜的，但LPL Financial表示，科技股在可预见的未来可能不再引领市场走高，至少有三个原因。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>First, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.</li>  <li>Second, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.</li>  <li>Third, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.</li> </ul> “It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>首先，许多在社交距离和远程工作时期蓬勃发展的科技股将面临极其困难的竞争，并在未来几个季度报告增长放缓。与此同时，在停工期间陷入困境的工业、材料和能源行业的价值股将受益于重新开放后被压抑的需求。</li><li>其次，与历史平均水平相比，科技行业目前25的预期市盈率相对较高。此外，罗素1000成长指数目前估值较罗素1000价值指数溢价60%，为近20年来最高溢价。</li><li>第三，从技术角度来看，科技板块似乎正在滚动。自9月初以来，该行业一直落后于标普500，表明科技股的势头已经停滞。</li></ul>LPL股票策略师杰弗里·布赫宾德(Jeffrey Buchbinder)周二表示：“鉴于许多科技公司强劲的基本面和快速的创新步伐，很难不喜欢科技。但我们预计，随着经济重新开放，金融、工业和材料等周期性价值板块将在今年剩余时间内表现更好。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Benzinga’s Take:</b>Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.</p><p><blockquote><b>Benzinga的看法：</b>仅仅因为科技股不再引领市场走高，并不意味着投资者应该抛售所有科技股，转而购买价值股。2021年，科技行业中肯定仍会有表现出色的公司跻身市场涨幅最大的公司之列，但过去十年投资整个行业带来的轻松资金可能在未来几个季度中更难获得。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142443814","content_text":"So far in 2021, the Vanguard Value Index Fund ETF is up 17.4% nearly double the year-to-date return of theTechnology Select Sector SPDR Fund.\nOver the past decade, periods of time in which tech stocks have lagged value stocks have been short and sweet, but LPL Financial said there are at least three reasons why tech may no longer be leading the market higher for the foreseeable future.\n\nFirst, many tech stocks that thrived during the period of social distancing and remote working will face extremely difficult comps and report growth slowdowns in the next several quarters. At the same time, value stocks in the industrials, materials and energy sectors that struggled during the shutdowns will experience the tailwinds of pent-up demand from the reopening.\nSecond, the tech sector’s current forward earnings multiple of 25 is relatively high compared to its historical average. In addition, the Russell 1,000 Growth Index is currently valued at a 60% premium to the Russell 1,000 Value Index, its highest premium in the past 20 years.\nThird, the technology sector appears to be rolling over from a technical standpoint. The sector has lagged the S&P 500 since the beginning of September, suggesting technology’s momentum has stalled out.\n\n“It’s tough not to like technology given the strong fundamentals and rapid pace of innovation from many tech companies,” LPL Equity Strategist Jeffrey Buchbindersaid Tuesday.“But we expect cyclical value sectors like financials, industrials, and materials to fare better the rest of the year as the economy gets a reopening jolt.”\nBenzinga’s Take:Just because tech stocks are no longer leading the market higher doesn’t mean investors should dump all their tech holdings for value stocks. There will still certainly be outperformers within the tech sector that are among the largest gainers in the market in 2021, but the easy money that has come from investing in the sector as a whole in the past decade may be much harder to come by in the next several quarters.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161308507,"gmtCreate":1623903427709,"gmtModify":1634026075209,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Chips is needed in almost anything we own.","listText":"Chips is needed in almost anything we own.","text":"Chips is needed in almost anything we own.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161308507","repostId":"1185234443","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160874579,"gmtCreate":1623789247491,"gmtModify":1631885484621,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"History will repeat.... Time to hedge our investment.","listText":"History will repeat.... Time to hedge our investment.","text":"History will repeat.... Time to hedge our investment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160874579","repostId":"1147269544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147269544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623770166,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147269544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147269544","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he p","content":"<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically its<b>hyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes next</b>in a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，“大空头”迈克尔·伯里证实了美国银行最大的担忧，因为他谈到了魏玛德国的主题，特别是其<b>恶性通货膨胀，作为下一步的蓝图</b>在一篇冗长的推特风暴中，大量抄袭了帕森的开创性工作，警告说<b>：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery</b>. Trillions more stimulus &amp; re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>“美国政府正在以其带有MMT色彩的政策引发通胀。强劲的债务/GDP、M2增加，而零售销售、PMI第五阶段复苏</b>.随着员工和供应链成本飙升，数万亿美元的刺激措施和重新开放以提振需求。”</blockquote></p><p> #ParadigmShift</p><p><blockquote>#范式转变</blockquote></p><p> \"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀在成熟阶段的生活是一个悖论，它有自己明确无误的特征。一个是巨大的财富，至少是那些受到繁荣青睐的人。许多巨大的财富在一夜之间涌现出来……城市里有一群漫无目的、肆意妄为的年轻人。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.</p><p><blockquote>“德国物价平稳，商业和股市都很繁荣。马克对美元和其他货币的汇率实际上一度上升，马克在通货膨胀前夕一时成为世界上最坚挺的货币”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“与财富并存的是贫困地区。更多的人留在轻松赚钱的外围，看进去却进不去。犯罪率飙升。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“当时的记录表明，普通人的士气逐渐低落，加上他们对无明显目的的极快节奏感到厌倦，他们害怕看到自己岌岌可危的地位下滑，而其他人却变得如此明显地富有。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“几乎任何一种企业都能赚钱。企业失败和破产的情况变得很少了。繁荣中止了正常的自然选择过程，否则不必要和无效的东西就会被剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“单是投机，虽然没有增加德国的财富，但却成了德国最大的活动之一。加入快速赚钱的热潮几乎感染了所有阶层……从电梯操作员到现在，每个人都在玩市场。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #<i>robinhooddown</i></p><p><blockquote>“柏林证券交易所的证券交易量变得如此之高，以至于金融业无法跟上文书工作的步伐……交易所不得不每周关闭几天来处理积压的交易。”#<i>罗宾汉</i></blockquote></p><p> \"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single&nbsp; newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"</p><p><blockquote>“1922年夏天世界上存在的所有马克，到1923年11月还不够买一份报纸或一张电车车票。这是崩溃的壮观之处，但货币财富的大部分真正损失在更早的时候就已经遭受了。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.<b>Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>“这些年来，这个结构一直在悄悄地为打击做好准备。<b>德国的#通货膨胀周期不是一年，而是九年，其中八年是酝酿，只有一年是崩溃。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"<b>2010-2021: Gestation</b>\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"</p><p><blockquote>他的笑点：以上是“写于1974年回复：1914-1923”，然后做出不祥的推断<b>2010-2021年：妊娠</b>“当美元可能从天而降时...管理团队变得富有创造力，最终承担更多风险..向投资者支付债务融资股息或投资高风险增长机会无疑击败了节俭心态。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c531b21050b42425510a30125935555e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"395\">And, as if reading from the same playbook,<b>Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"</b>and if Jay Powell</p><p><blockquote>而且，就像是在读同一本剧本，<b>保罗·都铎·琼斯昨天警告说，事情“太疯狂了”</b>如果杰伊·鲍威尔</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"</b></i>  All of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“对我来说，通货膨胀是暂时的……这种想法并不符合我看待世界的方式。”</b></i>所有这些导致了伯里今天早上的最新推文警告...</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.</b></i>#FlyingPigs360\"  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afafeb68134e031ca871659bd8dbc595\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"261\">In other words:<i><b>\"Brace!\"</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“人们总是问我市场上发生了什么。这很简单。有史以来最大的投机泡沫。两个数量级。</b></i>#FlyingPigs360”换句话说：<i><b>“撑住！”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> So what are you going to do about it?</p><p><blockquote>那你打算怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> Tudor Jones had some simple advice: \"<b>buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>都铎·琼斯有一些简单的建议：“<b>购买大宗商品、购买加密货币、购买黄金。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Michael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMichael \"Big Short\" Burry: This Is The Greatest Bubble Of All Time In All Things \"By Two Orders Of Magnitude\"<blockquote>“大空头”迈克尔·伯里：这是有史以来最大的泡沫，“高出两个数量级”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 23:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically its<b>hyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes next</b>in a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that<b>:</b></p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，“大空头”迈克尔·伯里证实了美国银行最大的担忧，因为他谈到了魏玛德国的主题，特别是其<b>恶性通货膨胀，作为下一步的蓝图</b>在一篇冗长的推特风暴中，大量抄袭了帕森的开创性工作，警告说<b>：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery</b>. Trillions more stimulus &amp; re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>“美国政府正在以其带有MMT色彩的政策引发通胀。强劲的债务/GDP、M2增加，而零售销售、PMI第五阶段复苏</b>.随着员工和供应链成本飙升，数万亿美元的刺激措施和重新开放以提振需求。”</blockquote></p><p> #ParadigmShift</p><p><blockquote>#范式转变</blockquote></p><p> \"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀在成熟阶段的生活是一个悖论，它有自己明确无误的特征。一个是巨大的财富，至少是那些受到繁荣青睐的人。许多巨大的财富在一夜之间涌现出来……城市里有一群漫无目的、肆意妄为的年轻人。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.</p><p><blockquote>“德国物价平稳，商业和股市都很繁荣。马克对美元和其他货币的汇率实际上一度上升，马克在通货膨胀前夕一时成为世界上最坚挺的货币”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“与财富并存的是贫困地区。更多的人留在轻松赚钱的外围，看进去却进不去。犯罪率飙升。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“当时的记录表明，普通人的士气逐渐低落，加上他们对无明显目的的极快节奏感到厌倦，他们害怕看到自己岌岌可危的地位下滑，而其他人却变得如此明显地富有。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"</p><p><blockquote>“几乎任何一种企业都能赚钱。企业失败和破产的情况变得很少了。繁荣中止了正常的自然选择过程，否则不必要和无效的东西就会被剔除。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“单是投机，虽然没有增加德国的财富，但却成了德国最大的活动之一。加入快速赚钱的热潮几乎感染了所有阶层……从电梯操作员到现在，每个人都在玩市场。”</b></blockquote></p><p> \"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #<i>robinhooddown</i></p><p><blockquote>“柏林证券交易所的证券交易量变得如此之高，以至于金融业无法跟上文书工作的步伐……交易所不得不每周关闭几天来处理积压的交易。”#<i>罗宾汉</i></blockquote></p><p> \"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single&nbsp; newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"</p><p><blockquote>“1922年夏天世界上存在的所有马克，到1923年11月还不够买一份报纸或一张电车车票。这是崩溃的壮观之处，但货币财富的大部分真正损失在更早的时候就已经遭受了。”</blockquote></p><p> \"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.<b>Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>“这些年来，这个结构一直在悄悄地为打击做好准备。<b>德国的#通货膨胀周期不是一年，而是九年，其中八年是酝酿，只有一年是崩溃。”</b></blockquote></p><p> His punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"<b>2010-2021: Gestation</b>\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"</p><p><blockquote>他的笑点：以上是“写于1974年回复：1914-1923”，然后做出不祥的推断<b>2010-2021年：妊娠</b>“当美元可能从天而降时...管理团队变得富有创造力，最终承担更多风险..向投资者支付债务融资股息或投资高风险增长机会无疑击败了节俭心态。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c531b21050b42425510a30125935555e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"395\">And, as if reading from the same playbook,<b>Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"</b>and if Jay Powell</p><p><blockquote>而且，就像是在读同一本剧本，<b>保罗·都铎·琼斯昨天警告说，事情“太疯狂了”</b>如果杰伊·鲍威尔</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"</b></i>  All of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“对我来说，通货膨胀是暂时的……这种想法并不符合我看待世界的方式。”</b></i>所有这些导致了伯里今天早上的最新推文警告...</blockquote></p><p>   <i><b>\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.</b></i>#FlyingPigs360\"  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afafeb68134e031ca871659bd8dbc595\" tg-width=\"512\" tg-height=\"261\">In other words:<i><b>\"Brace!\"</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>“人们总是问我市场上发生了什么。这很简单。有史以来最大的投机泡沫。两个数量级。</b></i>#FlyingPigs360”换句话说：<i><b>“撑住！”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> So what are you going to do about it?</p><p><blockquote>那你打算怎么办？</blockquote></p><p> Tudor Jones had some simple advice: \"<b>buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>都铎·琼斯有一些简单的建议：“<b>购买大宗商品、购买加密货币、购买黄金。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/michael-big-short-burry-greatest-bubble-all-time-all-things-two-orders-magnitude","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147269544","content_text":"Earlier this year, none other than Michael 'Big Short' Burry confirmedBofA's greatest fears, as he picked up on the theme of Weimar Germany and specifically itshyperinflation, as the blueprint for what comes nextin a lengthy tweetstorm cribbing generously fromParsson's seminal work, warning that:\n\"The US government is inviting inflation with its MMT-tinged policies. Brisk Debt/GDP, M2 increases while retail sales, PMI stage V recovery. Trillions more stimulus & re-opening to boost demand as employee and supply chain costs skyrocket.\"\n#ParadigmShift\n\"The life of the inflation in its ripening stage was a paradox which had its own unmistakable characteristics. One was the great wealth, at least of those favored by the boom..Many great fortunes sprang up overnight...The cities, had an aimless and wanton youth\"\n\"Prices in Germany were steady, and both business and the stock market were booming. The exchange rate of the mark against the dollar and other currencies actually rose for a time, and the mark was momentarily the strongest currency in the world\" on inflation's eve.\n\"Side by side with the wealth were the pockets of poverty. Greater numbers of people remained on the outside of the easy money, looking in but not able to enter. The crime rate soared.\"\n\"Accounts of the time tell of a progressive demoralization which crept over the common people, compounded of their weariness with the breakneck pace, to no visible purpose, and their fears from watching their own precarious positions slip while others grew so conspicuously rich.\"\n\"Almost any kind of business could make money. Business failures and bankruptcies became few. The boom suspended the normal processes of natural selection by which the nonessential and ineffective otherwise would have been culled out.\"\n\"Speculation alone, while adding nothing to Germany's wealth, became one of its largest activities. The fever to join in turning a quick mark infected nearly all classes..Everyone from the elevator operator up was playing the market.\"\n\"The volumes of turnover in securities on the Berlin Bourse became so high that the financial industry could not keep up with the paperwork...and the Bourse was obliged to close several days a week to work off the backlog\" #robinhooddown\n\"all the marks that existed in the world in the summer of 1922 were not worth enough, by November of 1923, to buy a single  newspaper or a tram ticket. That was the spectacular part of the collapse, but most of the real loss in money wealth had been suffered much earlier.\"\n\"Throughout these years the structure was quietly building itself up for the blow.Germany's #inflationcycle ran not for a year but for nine years, representing eight years of gestation and only one year of #collapse.\"\nHis punchline: the above was \"written in 1974 re: 1914-1923\" and then makes the ominous extrapolation that \"2010-2021: Gestation\" adding that \"when dollars might as well be falling from the sky...management teams get creative and ultimately take more risk.. paying out debt-financed dividends to investors or investing in risky growth opportunities has beaten a frugal mentality hands down.\"\nAnd, as if reading from the same playbook,Paul Tudor Jones warned yesterday that things are \"bat shit crazy\"and if Jay Powell\n\n“The idea that inflation is transitory, to me ... that one just doesn’t work the way I see the world.\"\n\nAll of which led to Burry's latest tweet warning this morning...\n\n\"People always ask me what is going on in the markets. It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude.#FlyingPigs360\"\n\nIn other words:\"Brace!\"\nSo what are you going to do about it?\nTudor Jones had some simple advice: \"buy commodities, buy crypto, buy gold.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187520391,"gmtCreate":1623759550213,"gmtModify":1634028865821,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great! The bull continues.","listText":"Great! The bull continues.","text":"Great! The bull continues.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187520391","repostId":"1127660571","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127660571","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623760680,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127660571?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 20:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127660571","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.\nS&P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record clo","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record close of the year, bolstered by gains in tech stocks.</li>  <li><b>Increase in in PPI over past 12 months rises to 6.6% from 6.2%.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li> </ul> (June 15)&nbsp;<b>Producer prices climb 6.6% in May on annual basis, largest 12-month increase on record.</b>&nbsp;Producer prices rose at their fastest annual clip in nearly 11 years in May as inflation continued to build in the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货在零售销售数据公布前小幅上涨。</li><li>在科技股上涨的推动下，标普500指数即将创下今年第30个收盘纪录。</li><li><b>过去12个月PPI涨幅从6.2%升至6.6%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li></ul>（6月15日）<b>5月份生产者价格按年率计算上涨6.6%，为有记录以来的12个月最大涨幅。</b>美国劳工部周二报告称，随着美国经济通胀持续加剧，5月份生产者价格涨幅创近11年来最快。</blockquote></p><p> On a monthly basis, the producer price index for final demand rose 0.8%, ahead of the Dow Jones estimate of 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>按月计算，最终需求生产者价格指数上涨0.8%，高于道琼斯预期的0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock&nbsp;Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票市场</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday ahead of fresh data that will indicate how much Americans spent in stores, at restaurants and online last month.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，新数据将显示美国人上个月在商店、餐馆和网上的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 ticked up 0.1%, indicating that the broad benchmark index is on track to notch its thirtieth record close of the year. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%, pointing togains in technology stocksafter the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500相关的期货上涨0.1%，表明该广泛的基准指数有望创下今年第三十个收盘纪录。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.2%，表明开盘后科技股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:38&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.5 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 24.75 points, or 0.18%.</p><p><blockquote>上午8点38分。ET，道指e-minis上涨18点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.5点，涨幅0.13%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨24.75点，涨幅0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86af5e5e5e4faf68b304fa020ca3a033\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"487\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Investors expect that stocks will climb through the rest of the year due to easy monetary policies. Many people are also betting thathigher inflation, due to the easing of economic restrictions and supply-chain bottlenecks, will be temporary. Signs that inflation will be elevated for a prolonged period or that theFederal Reserve may retrace its supportcould shake that confidence, money managers said.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计，由于宽松的货币政策，股市将在今年剩余时间内攀升。许多人还押注，由于经济限制和供应链瓶颈的缓解，通胀上升将是暂时的。基金经理表示，通胀将长期上升或美联储可能收回支持的迹象可能会动摇这种信心。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Vroom, Ping Identity, Sage Therapeutics &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：Vroom、Ping Identity、Sage Therapeutics等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Vroom(VRM)</b> – Vroom intends to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2026. The used-vehicle e-commerce platform provider plans to use the proceeds for a variety of corporate purposes as well as investing in or acquiring new technologies. Its shares slid 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）轰鸣（VRM）</b>-Vroom打算发行2026年到期的5亿美元可转换优先票据。这家二手车电子商务平台提供商计划将所得款项用于各种企业用途以及投资或收购新技术。其股价在盘前交易中下跌6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;Ping Identity(PING) </b>– Ping Identity announced a 6 million share common stock offering, in a sale of shares held by investment funds affiliated with Vista Equity Partners. The identity management solutions company will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock tumbled 4.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）PING身份（PING）</b>-Ping Identity宣布发行600万股普通股，出售Vista Equity Partners附属投资基金持有的股份。身份管理解决方案公司不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股在盘前下跌4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drugmaker’s shares tanked 17.5% in premarket trading following the release of study results for Sage’s experimental depression drug. The treatment resulted in a statistically significant improvement in symptoms, although it could take up to six weeks to be effective and treatment may be required for months.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>-在Sage实验性抑郁症药物的研究结果发布后，该制药商的股价在盘前交易中下跌17.5%。该治疗导致症状的统计学显著改善，尽管可能需要长达六周才能有效，并且可能需要数月的治疗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Boeing(BA) </b>– The U.S. and European Union announced aresolution of the long-standing disputeover aircraft subsidies involving Boeing and European rival Airbus. The deal suspends World Trade Organization-authorized tariffs for five years, and U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said it could serve as a model for resolving future disputes.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）波音（BA）</b>-美国和欧盟宣布解决涉及波音公司和欧洲竞争对手空中客车公司的长期飞机补贴争端。该协议将世界贸易组织授权的关税暂停五年，美国贸易代表凯瑟琳·戴表示，该协议可以作为解决未来争端的典范。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Bank of America reiterated a “buy” rating on the energy giant’s stock, predicting that Exxon Mobil would hike its dividend before the end of the year following cost-cutting measures and a rebound in oil prices.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>——美国银行重申了对这家能源巨头股票的“买入”评级，预计在成本削减措施和油价反弹后，埃克森美孚将在年底前提高股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Spirit Airlines(SAVE)</b> – Spirit Airlines said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that leisure demand has continued to improve throughout the second quarter, and that it has seen operating yields strengthen as well. Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” following that update, and shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)精神航空(SAVE)</b>-精神航空在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，整个第二季度休闲需求持续改善，营业收益率也有所增强。更新后，花旗将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，股价在盘前上涨2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Fastenal(FAST)</b> – The maker of industrial and construction supplies was downgraded to “underweight” from “equal-weight” at Morgan Stanley, which notes a lull in customer acquisition as well as a stock that is already near an all-time high. The stock slid 2.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）Fastenal（快速）</b>-摩根士丹利将这家工业和建筑用品制造商的评级从“同等权重”下调至“跑输大盘”，摩根士丹利指出客户获取陷入停滞，而且该股已接近历史高点。该股盘前下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;AstraZeneca(AZN) </b>– AstraZeneca said an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment did not meet its main goal of preventing Covid-19 in patients who had been exposed to the virus. The company also said, however, that its Covid-19 vaccine is 92% effective against the so-called “Delta” variant of the virus.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）阿斯利康（AZN）</b>-阿斯利康表示，一种实验性单克隆抗体治疗方法没有达到其在接触过该病毒的患者中预防Covid-19的主要目标。然而，该公司还表示，其Covid-19疫苗对所谓的“Delta”病毒变种的有效率为92%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Cracker Barrel(CBRL)</b> – Cracker Barrel announced a $275 million private offering of convertible senior notes due in 2026. The restaurant chain will use the proceeds to pay debt and for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）裂解桶（CBRL）</b>-Cracker Barrel宣布私募2.75亿美元2026年到期的可转换优先票据。该连锁餐厅将用所得款项偿还债务和用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Novavax(NVAX)</b> – Novavax announced positive results from its first study of its Covid-19 vaccine and a flu vaccine administered simultaneously. The study suggested that simultaneous vaccination may be a viable strategy.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)诺瓦瓦克斯(NVAX)</b>-Novavax宣布其Covid-19疫苗和流感疫苗同时接种的首次研究取得积极结果。该研究表明，同时接种疫苗可能是一种可行的策略。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Intuit(INTU)</b> – The financial software company revealed in an SEC filing that its QuickBooks online service saw new customer acquisition grow by more than 25% year-over-year for the nine months ended April 30. Intuit shares had hit an all-time high in Monday’s trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Intuit（INTU）</b>–这家金融软件公司在向SEC提交的文件中透露，截至4月30日的九个月内，其QuickBooks online服务的新客户获取量同比增长超过25%。Intuit股价在周一的交易中创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Vimeo(VMEO)</b> – Vimeo reported that total revenue in May rose 42% from a year ago, with the video services company also seeing average revenue per user up 18%.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Vimeo(VMEO)</b>-Vimeo报告称，5月份总收入同比增长42%，这家视频服务公司的每用户平均收入也增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-15 20:38</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record close of the year, bolstered by gains in tech stocks.</li>  <li><b>Increase in in PPI over past 12 months rises to 6.6% from 6.2%.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li>  <li><b>U.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.</b></li> </ul> (June 15)&nbsp;<b>Producer prices climb 6.6% in May on annual basis, largest 12-month increase on record.</b>&nbsp;Producer prices rose at their fastest annual clip in nearly 11 years in May as inflation continued to build in the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货在零售销售数据公布前小幅上涨。</li><li>在科技股上涨的推动下，标普500指数即将创下今年第30个收盘纪录。</li><li><b>过去12个月PPI涨幅从6.2%升至6.6%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li><li><b>美国5月份扣除汽油和汽车的零售额下降0.8%。</b></li></ul>（6月15日）<b>5月份生产者价格按年率计算上涨6.6%，为有记录以来的12个月最大涨幅。</b>美国劳工部周二报告称，随着美国经济通胀持续加剧，5月份生产者价格涨幅创近11年来最快。</blockquote></p><p> On a monthly basis, the producer price index for final demand rose 0.8%, ahead of the Dow Jones estimate of 0.6%.</p><p><blockquote>按月计算，最终需求生产者价格指数上涨0.8%，高于道琼斯预期的0.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock&nbsp;Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票市场</b></blockquote></p><p> U.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday ahead of fresh data that will indicate how much Americans spent in stores, at restaurants and online last month.</p><p><blockquote>美国股指期货周二小幅走高，新数据将显示美国人上个月在商店、餐馆和网上的支出。</blockquote></p><p> Futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 ticked up 0.1%, indicating that the broad benchmark index is on track to notch its thirtieth record close of the year. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%, pointing togains in technology stocksafter the opening bell.</p><p><blockquote>与标普500相关的期货上涨0.1%，表明该广泛的基准指数有望创下今年第三十个收盘纪录。纳斯达克100指数期货上涨0.2%，表明开盘后科技股上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:38&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.5 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 24.75 points, or 0.18%.</p><p><blockquote>上午8点38分。ET，道指e-minis上涨18点，涨幅0.05%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.5点，涨幅0.13%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨24.75点，涨幅0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86af5e5e5e4faf68b304fa020ca3a033\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"487\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Investors expect that stocks will climb through the rest of the year due to easy monetary policies. Many people are also betting thathigher inflation, due to the easing of economic restrictions and supply-chain bottlenecks, will be temporary. Signs that inflation will be elevated for a prolonged period or that theFederal Reserve may retrace its supportcould shake that confidence, money managers said.</p><p><blockquote>投资者预计，由于宽松的货币政策，股市将在今年剩余时间内攀升。许多人还押注，由于经济限制和供应链瓶颈的缓解，通胀上升将是暂时的。基金经理表示，通胀将长期上升或美联储可能收回支持的迹象可能会动摇这种信心。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Vroom, Ping Identity, Sage Therapeutics &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：Vroom、Ping Identity、Sage Therapeutics等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Vroom(VRM)</b> – Vroom intends to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2026. The used-vehicle e-commerce platform provider plans to use the proceeds for a variety of corporate purposes as well as investing in or acquiring new technologies. Its shares slid 6.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）轰鸣（VRM）</b>-Vroom打算发行2026年到期的5亿美元可转换优先票据。这家二手车电子商务平台提供商计划将所得款项用于各种企业用途以及投资或收购新技术。其股价在盘前交易中下跌6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;Ping Identity(PING) </b>– Ping Identity announced a 6 million share common stock offering, in a sale of shares held by investment funds affiliated with Vista Equity Partners. The identity management solutions company will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock tumbled 4.2% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）PING身份（PING）</b>-Ping Identity宣布发行600万股普通股，出售Vista Equity Partners附属投资基金持有的股份。身份管理解决方案公司不会从此次发行中获得任何收益。该股在盘前下跌4.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sage Therapeutics(SAGE)</b> – The drugmaker’s shares tanked 17.5% in premarket trading following the release of study results for Sage’s experimental depression drug. The treatment resulted in a statistically significant improvement in symptoms, although it could take up to six weeks to be effective and treatment may be required for months.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）Sage Therapeutics（SAGE）</b>-在Sage实验性抑郁症药物的研究结果发布后，该制药商的股价在盘前交易中下跌17.5%。该治疗导致症状的统计学显著改善，尽管可能需要长达六周才能有效，并且可能需要数月的治疗。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Boeing(BA) </b>– The U.S. and European Union announced aresolution of the long-standing disputeover aircraft subsidies involving Boeing and European rival Airbus. The deal suspends World Trade Organization-authorized tariffs for five years, and U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said it could serve as a model for resolving future disputes.</p><p><blockquote><b>4）波音（BA）</b>-美国和欧盟宣布解决涉及波音公司和欧洲竞争对手空中客车公司的长期飞机补贴争端。该协议将世界贸易组织授权的关税暂停五年，美国贸易代表凯瑟琳·戴表示，该协议可以作为解决未来争端的典范。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Bank of America reiterated a “buy” rating on the energy giant’s stock, predicting that Exxon Mobil would hike its dividend before the end of the year following cost-cutting measures and a rebound in oil prices.</p><p><blockquote><b>5)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>——美国银行重申了对这家能源巨头股票的“买入”评级，预计在成本削减措施和油价反弹后，埃克森美孚将在年底前提高股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Spirit Airlines(SAVE)</b> – Spirit Airlines said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that leisure demand has continued to improve throughout the second quarter, and that it has seen operating yields strengthen as well. Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” following that update, and shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)精神航空(SAVE)</b>-精神航空在向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件中表示，整个第二季度休闲需求持续改善，营业收益率也有所增强。更新后，花旗将该股评级从“中性”上调至“买入”，股价在盘前上涨2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Fastenal(FAST)</b> – The maker of industrial and construction supplies was downgraded to “underweight” from “equal-weight” at Morgan Stanley, which notes a lull in customer acquisition as well as a stock that is already near an all-time high. The stock slid 2.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）Fastenal（快速）</b>-摩根士丹利将这家工业和建筑用品制造商的评级从“同等权重”下调至“跑输大盘”，摩根士丹利指出客户获取陷入停滞，而且该股已接近历史高点。该股盘前下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;AstraZeneca(AZN) </b>– AstraZeneca said an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment did not meet its main goal of preventing Covid-19 in patients who had been exposed to the virus. The company also said, however, that its Covid-19 vaccine is 92% effective against the so-called “Delta” variant of the virus.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）阿斯利康（AZN）</b>-阿斯利康表示，一种实验性单克隆抗体治疗方法没有达到其在接触过该病毒的患者中预防Covid-19的主要目标。然而，该公司还表示，其Covid-19疫苗对所谓的“Delta”病毒变种的有效率为92%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Cracker Barrel(CBRL)</b> – Cracker Barrel announced a $275 million private offering of convertible senior notes due in 2026. The restaurant chain will use the proceeds to pay debt and for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）裂解桶（CBRL）</b>-Cracker Barrel宣布私募2.75亿美元2026年到期的可转换优先票据。该连锁餐厅将用所得款项偿还债务和用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Novavax(NVAX)</b> – Novavax announced positive results from its first study of its Covid-19 vaccine and a flu vaccine administered simultaneously. The study suggested that simultaneous vaccination may be a viable strategy.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)诺瓦瓦克斯(NVAX)</b>-Novavax宣布其Covid-19疫苗和流感疫苗同时接种的首次研究取得积极结果。该研究表明，同时接种疫苗可能是一种可行的策略。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Intuit(INTU)</b> – The financial software company revealed in an SEC filing that its QuickBooks online service saw new customer acquisition grow by more than 25% year-over-year for the nine months ended April 30. Intuit shares had hit an all-time high in Monday’s trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Intuit（INTU）</b>–这家金融软件公司在向SEC提交的文件中透露，截至4月30日的九个月内，其QuickBooks online服务的新客户获取量同比增长超过25%。Intuit股价在周一的交易中创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;Vimeo(VMEO)</b> – Vimeo reported that total revenue in May rose 42% from a year ago, with the video services company also seeing average revenue per user up 18%.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)Vimeo(VMEO)</b>-Vimeo报告称，5月份总收入同比增长42%，这家视频服务公司的每用户平均收入也增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127660571","content_text":"Stock futures edge up ahead of retail sales data.\nS&P 500 index is headed toward its 30th record close of the year, bolstered by gains in tech stocks.\nIncrease in in PPI over past 12 months rises to 6.6% from 6.2%.\nU.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.\nU.S. retail sales minus gas and autos fall 0.8% in May.\n\n(June 15) Producer prices climb 6.6% in May on annual basis, largest 12-month increase on record. Producer prices rose at their fastest annual clip in nearly 11 years in May as inflation continued to build in the U.S. economy, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.\nOn a monthly basis, the producer price index for final demand rose 0.8%, ahead of the Dow Jones estimate of 0.6%.\nStock Market\nU.S. stock futures edged higher Tuesday ahead of fresh data that will indicate how much Americans spent in stores, at restaurants and online last month.\nFutures tied to the S&P 500 ticked up 0.1%, indicating that the broad benchmark index is on track to notch its thirtieth record close of the year. Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.2%, pointing togains in technology stocksafter the opening bell.\nAt 8:38 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 18 points, or 0.05%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 5.5 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 24.75 points, or 0.18%.\n\nInvestors expect that stocks will climb through the rest of the year due to easy monetary policies. Many people are also betting thathigher inflation, due to the easing of economic restrictions and supply-chain bottlenecks, will be temporary. Signs that inflation will be elevated for a prolonged period or that theFederal Reserve may retrace its supportcould shake that confidence, money managers said.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Vroom, Ping Identity, Sage Therapeutics & more\n1) Vroom(VRM) – Vroom intends to offer $500 million in convertible senior notes due in 2026. The used-vehicle e-commerce platform provider plans to use the proceeds for a variety of corporate purposes as well as investing in or acquiring new technologies. Its shares slid 6.1% in premarket trading.\n2) Ping Identity(PING) – Ping Identity announced a 6 million share common stock offering, in a sale of shares held by investment funds affiliated with Vista Equity Partners. The identity management solutions company will not receive any proceeds from the offering. The stock tumbled 4.2% in premarket action.\n3) Sage Therapeutics(SAGE) – The drugmaker’s shares tanked 17.5% in premarket trading following the release of study results for Sage’s experimental depression drug. The treatment resulted in a statistically significant improvement in symptoms, although it could take up to six weeks to be effective and treatment may be required for months.\n4) Boeing(BA) – The U.S. and European Union announced aresolution of the long-standing disputeover aircraft subsidies involving Boeing and European rival Airbus. The deal suspends World Trade Organization-authorized tariffs for five years, and U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said it could serve as a model for resolving future disputes.\n5) Exxon Mobil(XOM) – Bank of America reiterated a “buy” rating on the energy giant’s stock, predicting that Exxon Mobil would hike its dividend before the end of the year following cost-cutting measures and a rebound in oil prices.\n6) Spirit Airlines(SAVE) – Spirit Airlines said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that leisure demand has continued to improve throughout the second quarter, and that it has seen operating yields strengthen as well. Citi upgraded the stock to “buy” from “neutral” following that update, and shares rallied 2.6% in the premarket.\n7) Fastenal(FAST) – The maker of industrial and construction supplies was downgraded to “underweight” from “equal-weight” at Morgan Stanley, which notes a lull in customer acquisition as well as a stock that is already near an all-time high. The stock slid 2.2% in the premarket.\n8) AstraZeneca(AZN) – AstraZeneca said an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment did not meet its main goal of preventing Covid-19 in patients who had been exposed to the virus. The company also said, however, that its Covid-19 vaccine is 92% effective against the so-called “Delta” variant of the virus.\n9) Cracker Barrel(CBRL) – Cracker Barrel announced a $275 million private offering of convertible senior notes due in 2026. The restaurant chain will use the proceeds to pay debt and for general corporate purposes.\n10) Novavax(NVAX) – Novavax announced positive results from its first study of its Covid-19 vaccine and a flu vaccine administered simultaneously. The study suggested that simultaneous vaccination may be a viable strategy.\n11) Intuit(INTU) – The financial software company revealed in an SEC filing that its QuickBooks online service saw new customer acquisition grow by more than 25% year-over-year for the nine months ended April 30. Intuit shares had hit an all-time high in Monday’s trading.\n12) Vimeo(VMEO) – Vimeo reported that total revenue in May rose 42% from a year ago, with the video services company also seeing average revenue per user up 18%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":425,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160600500,"gmtCreate":1623789669400,"gmtModify":1634028273871,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Take cover for now.","listText":"Take cover for now.","text":"Take cover for now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160600500","repostId":"1163235288","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187446445,"gmtCreate":1623763268887,"gmtModify":1634028757701,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Where is all the monies?","listText":"Where is all the monies?","text":"Where is all the monies?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187446445","repostId":"1175229651","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175229651","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623761854,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175229651?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 20:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175229651","media":"zerohedge","summary":"With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in ret","content":"<p>With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (<i>confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions</i>), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...</p><p><blockquote>由于缺乏刺激来维持消费梦想，分析师预计零售额环比下降0.8%（<i>证实了美国银行最近的完美预测</i>），但数据更糟糕，环比下跌1.3%...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b8615441c602f54053c2e255ce180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Given the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,<b>a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,</b>tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)</p><p><blockquote>鉴于芯片短缺对汽车的预期影响，<b>一个“更干净”的前汽车指纹也是一场灾难，</b>环比下跌0.7%（远低于预期的0.4%）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29613437d5cc305349ea8b7f9b50ab0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> BofA's forecasts nailed it again:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的预测再次证明了这一点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>BofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%</li>  <li>BofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%</li> </ul> Building Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国银行表示，零售整体为-1.4%，实际为-1.4%</li><li>美国银行表示，不包括汽车在内的零售业为-0.6%，为-0.7%</li></ul>建筑材料和机动车辆（如上所述）的跌幅最大。非商店零售商（在线）的销售额也有所下降...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d94f95a16decd0cf5893fd4408feb6c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"435\">As the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...</p><p><blockquote>随着基数效应的消退，疯狂的同比增长也会放缓……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/049936d252903cc97f3b4cd8abec9044\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Finally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们注意到，相对于零售额（需求），零售库存（供应）已达到历史新低...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70b0549aa7160c7d4b2b96a17a25d15d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> How will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?</p><p><blockquote>美联储对此将如何解读？短暂的供应困境？</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Gonna Need More Stimmies' - US Retail Sales Plunged In May<blockquote>“需要更多刺激”——美国五月份零售额暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 20:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (<i>confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions</i>), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...</p><p><blockquote>由于缺乏刺激来维持消费梦想，分析师预计零售额环比下降0.8%（<i>证实了美国银行最近的完美预测</i>），但数据更糟糕，环比下跌1.3%...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45b8615441c602f54053c2e255ce180a\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"274\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Given the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,<b>a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,</b>tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)</p><p><blockquote>鉴于芯片短缺对汽车的预期影响，<b>一个“更干净”的前汽车指纹也是一场灾难，</b>环比下跌0.7%（远低于预期的0.4%）</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/29613437d5cc305349ea8b7f9b50ab0f\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> BofA's forecasts nailed it again:</p><p><blockquote>美国银行的预测再次证明了这一点：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>BofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%</li>  <li>BofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%</li> </ul> Building Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美国银行表示，零售整体为-1.4%，实际为-1.4%</li><li>美国银行表示，不包括汽车在内的零售业为-0.6%，为-0.7%</li></ul>建筑材料和机动车辆（如上所述）的跌幅最大。非商店零售商（在线）的销售额也有所下降...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d94f95a16decd0cf5893fd4408feb6c\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"435\">As the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...</p><p><blockquote>随着基数效应的消退，疯狂的同比增长也会放缓……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/049936d252903cc97f3b4cd8abec9044\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> Finally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...</p><p><blockquote>最后，我们注意到，相对于零售额（需求），零售库存（供应）已达到历史新低...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70b0549aa7160c7d4b2b96a17a25d15d\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"271\"><i>Source: Bloomberg</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：彭博社</i></blockquote></p><p> How will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?</p><p><blockquote>美联储对此将如何解读？短暂的供应困境？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/gonna-need-more-stimmies-us-retail-sales-plunged-may\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/gonna-need-more-stimmies-us-retail-sales-plunged-may","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175229651","content_text":"With a lack of stimmies to keep the spending dream alive, analysts expected a 0.8% MoM plunge in retail sales (confirming BofA's recent perfect streak of predictions), but the data was even worse, tumbling 1.3% MoM...\nSource: Bloomberg\nGiven the expected impact of autos from the chip shortage,a \"cleaner\" number of the Ex-Autos print which was also a disaster,tumbling 0.7% MoM (much worse than the 0.4% improvement expected)\nSource: Bloomberg\nBofA's forecasts nailed it again:\n\nBofA said retail headline -1.4%, came in at -1.4%\nBofA said retail ex auto -0.6%, came in at -0.7%\n\nBuilding Materials saw the biggest drop, along with Motor Vehicles (as noted above). Nonstore retailers (online) also saw a decline in sales...\nAs the base effect wears off so the insane YoY comps ease back too...\nSource: Bloomberg\nFinally, we note that retail inventories (supply) has reached a record low relative to retail sales (demand)...\nSource: Bloomberg\nHow will The Fed interpret this? Transitory supply distress?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":417,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161972224,"gmtCreate":1623903110768,"gmtModify":1634026082279,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Children need to play.","listText":"Children need to play.","text":"Children need to play.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161972224","repostId":"2143497767","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169637141,"gmtCreate":1623832212883,"gmtModify":1634027409961,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will oil rig builder benefit?","listText":"Will oil rig builder benefit?","text":"Will oil rig builder benefit?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169637141","repostId":"2143605967","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187428914,"gmtCreate":1623762561238,"gmtModify":1634028775658,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gamble!","listText":"Gamble!","text":"Gamble!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187428914","repostId":"2143735752","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187521475,"gmtCreate":1623759691297,"gmtModify":1634028863586,"author":{"id":"3574875111869274","authorId":"3574875111869274","name":"HengHeng70","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dcfaef6a1ec90952d9ee5964e8b97937","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574875111869274","idStr":"3574875111869274"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"At such low interest rate environment, slight inflation is fine!","listText":"At such low interest rate environment, slight inflation is fine!","text":"At such low interest rate environment, slight inflation is fine!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187521475","repostId":"1145996523","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145996523","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623751116,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145996523?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-15 17:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并没有对通胀感到恐慌。他们应该吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145996523","media":"cnn","summary":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it co","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）在通货膨胀方面，大街和华尔街之间存在巨大的脱节。总得有所让步。</blockquote></p><p> The US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府上周报告称，5月份不包括食品和能源的消费者价格涨幅为1992年以来最快。宣伟(SHW)正在提高油漆价格，这是众多应对大宗商品成本上涨的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> Food prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).</p><p><blockquote>食品价格也在飙升。Chipotle(CMG)刚刚提高了价格。金宝汤（CPB）也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> And the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave &amp; Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅和街机连锁店Dave&amp;Buster's(PLAY)的首席财务官在最近与分析师举行的财报看涨期权上表示，由于鸡肉、牛肉和乳制品价格上涨，他预计2021年食品成本将上涨6%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> Wages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.</p><p><blockquote>工资也在上涨，尤其是随着经济重新开放而重返工作岗位的零售、休闲和酒店行业的工人。这增加了通胀压力，因为一些公司会选择提高价格以维持利润。</blockquote></p><p> Labor shortages aren't helping.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力短缺无济于事。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.</p><p><blockquote>在线宠物零售商Chewy(CHWY)的首席执行官在最新财报发布后致股东的一封信中写道，该公司“面临着与全国许多公司类似的劳动力短缺问题”。因此，Chewy继续“投资于更高的工资和福利”，以填补职位空缺。</blockquote></p><p> Yet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者和美联储对通胀上升不屑一顾，认为这是“暂时的”。长期债券收益率正在下降，这通常不会在通胀加剧时发生。如果债券投资者认为价格上涨将持续下去，他们就会要求更高的收益率。</blockquote></p><p> And the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储年底加息的可能性仅为3%。这低于一个月前10%的加息可能性。投资者知道加息是央行对抗通胀上升的最佳工具，当美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三的新闻发布会上发表讲话时，他们希望听到更多有关该主题的信息。</blockquote></p><p> \"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦金融公司首席执行官兰迪·沃伦表示：“债券市场仍然不担心通胀。它正在购买美联储正在出售的东西。”</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，美联储可能会等待太久才对通胀做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀是暂时的还是更具结构性的？”PineBridge Investments信贷和固定收益全球主管Steven Oh问道。“美联储将来会失去对它的控制，犯政策错误，没有能力控制它吗？”</blockquote></p><p> If the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>如果美联储和债券市场对通胀的看法是错误的，那么央行可能不得不以比其和投资者希望的更快的速度结束疫情刺激措施。这将意味着取消大规模资产购买并尽早加息。</blockquote></p><p> Oh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.</p><p><blockquote>哦，我不认为会是这样。许多其他人也同意。他们认为，投资者必须牢记经济复苏的速度有多快。</blockquote></p><p> For that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>因此，就业市场和供应链出现混乱也就不足为奇了。恢复到2019年底和2020年初新冠肺炎之前的水平需要时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"</p><p><blockquote>财富管理公司Clarus Group的负责人布莱恩·科斯洛(Bryan Koslow)表示：“关于通货膨胀有很多问题，因为你在日常生活中都会看到它。”“但我们可能已经看到了峰值，尤其是在工资增长方面。”</blockquote></p><p> Even if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.</p><p><blockquote>即使事实证明这是真的，投资者和消费者如此关注价格这一事实也值得注意。十多年来，通货膨胀基本上不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.</p><p><blockquote>SkyBridge Capital联席首席投资官兼高级投资组合经理Troy Gayeski表示：“美联储必须认真对待通胀担忧。”他补充说，他认为通胀压力有20%的可能性变得更加持久，而不是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.</p><p><blockquote>“自2008年以来，有意义的通胀风险一直不存在。直到现在，”Gayeski说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's getting more expensive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么越来越贵</b></blockquote></p><p> Food and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.</p><p><blockquote>食物和油漆并不是唯一变得更贵的东西。正如CNN商业频道的莫伊拉·里特(Moira Ritter)指出的那样，最近几乎所有东西的价格都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Lumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.</p><p><blockquote>木材价格飙升。房地产市场继续繁荣。这导致沙发和其他家居用品的价格大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Used cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>二手车也贵得多。这归因于人们重返工作岗位，以及由于芯片供应短缺损害了新车的生产，经销商处新车短缺。</blockquote></p><p> People are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.</p><p><blockquote>人们也越来越多地旅行。由于预期一些人所说的“炙手可热的疫苗之夏”，机票价格飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday: </b>US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H &amp; R Block (HRB)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期二：</b>美国零售额；美国生产者价格指数；Oracle(ORCL)和H&amp;R Block(HRB)的收益</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday: </b>Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期三：</b>美联储利率决定；美国新屋开工和建筑许可；EIA原油库存；Lennar(LEN)的收益</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Thursday: </b>US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期四：</b>美国初请失业金人数；克罗格(KR)和Adobe(ADBE)的收益</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并没有对通胀感到恐慌。他们应该吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestors and the Fed aren't freaking out about inflation. Should they?<blockquote>投资者和美联储并没有对通胀感到恐慌。他们应该吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-15 17:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN Business）在通货膨胀方面，大街和华尔街之间存在巨大的脱节。总得有所让步。</blockquote></p><p> The US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.</p><p><blockquote>美国政府上周报告称，5月份不包括食品和能源的消费者价格涨幅为1992年以来最快。宣伟(SHW)正在提高油漆价格，这是众多应对大宗商品成本上涨的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> Food prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).</p><p><blockquote>食品价格也在飙升。Chipotle(CMG)刚刚提高了价格。金宝汤（CPB）也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> And the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave &amp; Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅和街机连锁店Dave&amp;Buster's(PLAY)的首席财务官在最近与分析师举行的财报看涨期权上表示，由于鸡肉、牛肉和乳制品价格上涨，他预计2021年食品成本将上涨6%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> Wages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.</p><p><blockquote>工资也在上涨，尤其是随着经济重新开放而重返工作岗位的零售、休闲和酒店行业的工人。这增加了通胀压力，因为一些公司会选择提高价格以维持利润。</blockquote></p><p> Labor shortages aren't helping.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力短缺无济于事。</blockquote></p><p> The CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.</p><p><blockquote>在线宠物零售商Chewy(CHWY)的首席执行官在最新财报发布后致股东的一封信中写道，该公司“面临着与全国许多公司类似的劳动力短缺问题”。因此，Chewy继续“投资于更高的工资和福利”，以填补职位空缺。</blockquote></p><p> Yet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.</p><p><blockquote>然而，投资者和美联储对通胀上升不屑一顾，认为这是“暂时的”。长期债券收益率正在下降，这通常不会在通胀加剧时发生。如果债券投资者认为价格上涨将持续下去，他们就会要求更高的收益率。</blockquote></p><p> And the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>市场预计美联储年底加息的可能性仅为3%。这低于一个月前10%的加息可能性。投资者知道加息是央行对抗通胀上升的最佳工具，当美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周三的新闻发布会上发表讲话时，他们希望听到更多有关该主题的信息。</blockquote></p><p> \"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦金融公司首席执行官兰迪·沃伦表示：“债券市场仍然不担心通胀。它正在购买美联储正在出售的东西。”</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，美联储可能会等待太久才对通胀做出反应。</blockquote></p><p> \"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"</p><p><blockquote>“通货膨胀是暂时的还是更具结构性的？”PineBridge Investments信贷和固定收益全球主管Steven Oh问道。“美联储将来会失去对它的控制，犯政策错误，没有能力控制它吗？”</blockquote></p><p> If the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.</p><p><blockquote>如果美联储和债券市场对通胀的看法是错误的，那么央行可能不得不以比其和投资者希望的更快的速度结束疫情刺激措施。这将意味着取消大规模资产购买并尽早加息。</blockquote></p><p> Oh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.</p><p><blockquote>哦，我不认为会是这样。许多其他人也同意。他们认为，投资者必须牢记经济复苏的速度有多快。</blockquote></p><p> For that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.</p><p><blockquote>因此，就业市场和供应链出现混乱也就不足为奇了。恢复到2019年底和2020年初新冠肺炎之前的水平需要时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"</p><p><blockquote>财富管理公司Clarus Group的负责人布莱恩·科斯洛(Bryan Koslow)表示：“关于通货膨胀有很多问题，因为你在日常生活中都会看到它。”“但我们可能已经看到了峰值，尤其是在工资增长方面。”</blockquote></p><p> Even if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.</p><p><blockquote>即使事实证明这是真的，投资者和消费者如此关注价格这一事实也值得注意。十多年来，通货膨胀基本上不是问题。</blockquote></p><p> \"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.</p><p><blockquote>SkyBridge Capital联席首席投资官兼高级投资组合经理Troy Gayeski表示：“美联储必须认真对待通胀担忧。”他补充说，他认为通胀压力有20%的可能性变得更加持久，而不是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> \"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.</p><p><blockquote>“自2008年以来，有意义的通胀风险一直不存在。直到现在，”Gayeski说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's getting more expensive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么越来越贵</b></blockquote></p><p> Food and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.</p><p><blockquote>食物和油漆并不是唯一变得更贵的东西。正如CNN商业频道的莫伊拉·里特(Moira Ritter)指出的那样，最近几乎所有东西的价格都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Lumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.</p><p><blockquote>木材价格飙升。房地产市场继续繁荣。这导致沙发和其他家居用品的价格大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Used cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>二手车也贵得多。这归因于人们重返工作岗位，以及由于芯片供应短缺损害了新车的生产，经销商处新车短缺。</blockquote></p><p> People are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.</p><p><blockquote>人们也越来越多地旅行。由于预期一些人所说的“炙手可热的疫苗之夏”，机票价格飙升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Up next</b></p><p><blockquote><b>下一个</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday: </b>US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H &amp; R Block (HRB)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期二：</b>美国零售额；美国生产者价格指数；Oracle(ORCL)和H&amp;R Block(HRB)的收益</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday: </b>Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期三：</b>美联储利率决定；美国新屋开工和建筑许可；EIA原油库存；Lennar(LEN)的收益</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Thursday: </b>US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)</p><p><blockquote><b>星期四：</b>美国初请失业金人数；克罗格(KR)和Adobe(ADBE)的收益</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/13/investing/stocks-week-ahead/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145996523","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)There is a gigantic disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street when it comes to inflation. Something's got to give.\nThe US government reported last week that consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose at their fastest clip since 1992 in May. Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is lifting the price of paint, one of many companies that's responding to higher commodities costs.\nFood prices are also surging. Chipotle (CMG) just raised prices. So did Campbell Soup (CPB).\nAnd the chief financial officer of restaurant and arcade chain Dave & Buster's (PLAY) said during a recent earnings call with analysts that he expects a 6% to 8% increase in food costs for 2021 due to higher chicken, beef and dairy prices.\nWages are rising too, especially for workers in the retail, leisure and hospitality sectors that are returning to jobs as the economy reopens. That adds to inflationary pressures, because some companies will choose to hike prices in order to maintain profits.\nLabor shortages aren't helping.\nThe CEO of online pet retailer Chewy (CHWY) wrote in a letter to shareholders after its latest earnings report that it \"faced labor shortages in our fulfillment centers similar to those being faced by many companies nationwide.\" As a result, Chewy continues \"to invest in higher wages and benefits\" in order to fill job vacancies.\nYet investors — and the Federal Reserve — are shrugging off rising inflation as \"transitory.\" Long-term bond yields are falling, which isn't what normally happens when inflation runs hot. If bond investors believed that price hikes are here to stay, they'd be demanding higher yields.\nAnd the market is pricing in just a 3% chance of a rate hike from the Fed by the end of the year. That's down from a 10% likelihood of higher rates just a month ago. Investors know a rate hike is the central bank's best tool to fight rising inflation, and they'll want to hear more on the subject when Fed chair Jerome Powell speaks at a press conference on Wednesday.\n\"The bond market is still not concerned about inflation. It's buying what the Fed is selling,\" said Randy Warren, CEO of Warren Financial.\nThe problem is that there is a chance the Fed could wait too long to react to inflation.\n\"Is inflation transitory or something more structural?\" asked Steven Oh, global head of credit and fixed income with PineBridge Investments. \"Will the Fed lose control of it down the road and make a policy error and not have the ability to rein it in?\"\nIf the Fed and bond market are wrong about inflation, the central bank may have to wind down its pandemic stimulus much more quickly than it — and investors — would like. That would mean unwinding its big asset purchases and raising rates sooner rather than later.\nOh doesn't think that will be the case. And many others agree. They argue that investors must keep in mind how rapidly the economy has roared back.\nFor that reason, it should not be that big of a surprise that there are dislocations in the job market and supply chain. It will take time for conditions to revert to what they were like in late 2019 and early 2020 before Covid-19.\n\"There are a lot of questions about inflation because you see it in everyday life,\" said Bryan Koslow, principal of Clarus Group, a wealth management firm. \"But we may have seen the peak, especially in terms of wage growth.\"\nEven if that does turn out to be true, the mere fact that investors and consumers are so focused on prices is noteworthy. Inflation has essentially been a non-issue for more than a decade.\n\"The Fed has to take the inflation concerns seriously,\" said Troy Gayeski, co-chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at SkyBridge Capital. He added that he thinks there is a 20% chance that inflation pressures turn out to be more persistent as opposed to transitory.\n\"The risk of meaningful inflation has been non-existent since 2008. Until now,\" Gayeski said.\nWhat's getting more expensive\nFood and paint aren't the only things getting more expensive. As CNN Business' Moira Ritter points out, the prices of just about everything have gone up lately.\nLumber prices have soared. And the housing market continues to boom. That's led to a big spike in the prices of couches and other household furnishings.\nUsed cars are a lot more expensive too. Chalk that up to people returning to work and a dearth of new cars on dealership lots due to the chip supply shortage that has hurt production of new vehicles.\nPeople are traveling more as well. Airfares have shot up in anticipation of what some are dubbing the red hot vaccine summer.\nUp next\nTuesday: US retail sales; US producer price index; Earnings from Oracle (ORCL) and H & R Block (HRB)\nWednesday: Federal Reserve rate decision; US housing starts and building permits; EIA crude oil inventories; Earnings from Lennar (LEN)\nThursday: US jobless claims; Earnings from Kroger (KR) and Adobe (ADBE)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}