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lukecyb
2021-12-23
Vommetn
New NHTSA Probe Won’t Mean ‘Game Over’ for Tesla Stock in 2022<blockquote>NHTSA的新调查并不意味着2022年特斯拉股票“游戏结束”</blockquote>
lukecyb
2021-12-23
This js awesome
抱歉,原内容已删除
lukecyb
2021-12-23
Ujyhgf
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lukecyb
2021-12-21
Ggghouogogo
China stocks listed in US gained in early trading, with BILI, XPeng, NetEase and iQiyi rising between 6% and 9%.<blockquote>在美上市的中概股早盘上涨,哔哩哔哩、小鹏汽车、网易和爱奇艺涨幅在6%至9%之间。</blockquote>
lukecyb
2021-11-11
26
@MillionaireTiger:Stock Prediction: The Share Price of Palantir📈
lukecyb
2021-10-28
$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$
iQiyi gonna fly my friends
lukecyb
2021-07-14
Comment
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lukecyb
2021-06-28
Hjj
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lukecyb
2021-06-21
Jsj
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lukecyb
2021-06-19
H
Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic<blockquote>Adobe从大流行后经济重新开放中获得提振</blockquote>
lukecyb
2021-06-14
Ok
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lukecyb
2021-06-09
Edd
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lukecyb
2021-06-02
Ok
Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
lukecyb
2021-06-01
9i
Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益:前景如何?</blockquote>
lukecyb
2021-05-29
Ok
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lukecyb
2021-05-27
Wow
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lukecyb
2021-05-26
Hihi
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lukecyb
2021-05-25
Ok
Volkswagen gets 7.5 billion euros offer for Automobili Lamborghini - Autocar<blockquote>大众汽车以75亿欧元收购兰博基尼汽车-Autocar</blockquote>
lukecyb
2021-05-21
Ij
抱歉,原内容已删除
lukecyb
2021-05-19
Pot
3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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10:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"New NHTSA Probe Won’t Mean ‘Game Over’ for Tesla Stock in 2022<blockquote>NHTSA的新调查并不意味着2022年特斯拉股票“游戏结束”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138838604","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"After spending most of the 2021 holiday season dipping into the red, Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally r","content":"<p><div> After spending most of the 2021 holiday season dipping into the red, Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally regaining the market momentum that carried it through most of the year. The electric vehicle (EV) ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在经历了2021年假期的大部分时间陷入亏损后,特斯拉(纳斯达克:TSLA)终于恢复了全年大部分时间的市场势头。电动汽车(EV)...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>New NHTSA Probe Won’t Mean ‘Game Over’ for Tesla Stock in 2022<blockquote>NHTSA的新调查并不意味着2022年特斯拉股票“游戏结束”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNew NHTSA Probe Won’t Mean ‘Game Over’ for Tesla Stock in 2022<blockquote>NHTSA的新调查并不意味着2022年特斯拉股票“游戏结束”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 10:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> After spending most of the 2021 holiday season dipping into the red, Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally regaining the market momentum that carried it through most of the year. The electric vehicle (EV) ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在经历了2021年假期的大部分时间陷入亏损后,特斯拉(纳斯达克:TSLA)终于恢复了全年大部分时间的市场势头。电动汽车(EV)...</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/new-nhtsa-probe-wont-mean-game-over-for-tesla-stock-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138838604","content_text":"After spending most of the 2021 holiday season dipping into the red, Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA) is finally regaining the market momentum that carried it through most of the year. The electric vehicle (EV) innovator recently watched CEO Elon Musk offload shares, casting doubt over the future of the company. However, Tesla stock seems to be back on track, just in time to deliver promising returns to its investors. Today brought an announcement that sounded ominous, but so far it hasn’t pushed share prices down.\nTesla Stock’s Latest Driver\nWhat was the announcement? Today it was reported that the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) is looking into a unique feature of Tesla vehicles — the ability of drivers to play video games on their dashboard touch screens. When headlines report a regulatory probe, the first instinct of many investors is to panic. Since the news broke, though, Tesla stock has only been rising. As of this writing, it is up almost 5% and isn’t showing any signs of slowing down.\nThis development truly feels unique to Tesla, the company that set the stage for EV innovations. The function in question is titled Passenger Play. As its title implies, it was originally implemented for the entertainment of passengers. Additionally, it has been included in all the Tesla models. It certainly makes sense that road safety regulators would be concerned with gameplay function being extended to a car’s driver, particularly while the car is in motion. Let’s take a look at this news in more context, though.\nThe Road Ahead\nWhy hasn’t this been bad news for Tesla stock? The way it looks from here, investors are evaluating this news from a macro perspective and coming to the quick conclusion that it isn’t all bad.\nNotably, the NHTSA probe was only prompted by concerns, not by any actual incidents on the road. Indeed, The Guardian reports that the documents released by the agency “do not list any crashes or injuries caused by the problem.” While the initial complaint was filed by a Tesla owner who was shocked by his ability to play Solitaire while his car was moving, nothing bad actually happened to him or anyone else.\nWe all know that a future with self-driving cars is coming. While it’s unlikely to be here very soon, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Tesla has made significant progress in exactly that area. Earlier this week, a woman delivered a baby in her Model 3 Tesla while her car’s autopilot feature enabled her husband to assist her. I don’t have kids, but I’d wager that experience was more distracting than playing a video game. Tesla’s hands-off driving technology clearly works. More than that, it’s clear that it will help users in a new age of driving tech. Ultimately, we’re headed toward a self-driven world that so far we’ve only been able to see on the movie screen.\nThe Bottom Line\nWhile many feel uncomfortable with vehicles that allow drivers to take their eyes off the road, such a development doesn’t have to be all bad. Bluetooth technology has allowed drivers to make calls on the road with very minimal use of their hands, thereby ensuring a safer experience for everyone. Self-driving technology can provide many similar benefits.\nThis isn’t to suggest that we should be encouraging gameplay while driving. However, we should acknowledge that this development is likely an indicator of things to come. And it doesn’t have to be bad. Tesla stock isn’t going down because investors are casting their eyes on the road ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691416418,"gmtCreate":1640227063132,"gmtModify":1640227063401,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This js awesome","listText":"This js awesome","text":"This js awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691416418","repostId":"2193113147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691413650,"gmtCreate":1640226806467,"gmtModify":1640226806738,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ujyhgf","listText":"Ujyhgf","text":"Ujyhgf","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691413650","repostId":"2193113147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691017064,"gmtCreate":1640097878466,"gmtModify":1640097878755,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ggghouogogo","listText":"Ggghouogogo","text":"Ggghouogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691017064","repostId":"1147636862","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1147636862","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640097349,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147636862?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 22:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"China stocks listed in US gained in early trading, with BILI, XPeng, NetEase and iQiyi rising between 6% and 9%.<blockquote>在美上市的中概股早盘上涨,哔哩哔哩、小鹏汽车、网易和爱奇艺涨幅在6%至9%之间。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147636862","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"China stocks listed in US gained in early trading, with BILI, XPeng, NetEase and iQiyi rising betwee","content":"<p>China stocks listed in US gained in early trading, with BILI, XPeng, NetEase and iQiyi rising between 6% and 9%.</p><p><blockquote>在美上市的中概股早盘上涨,哔哩哔哩、小鹏汽车、网易和爱奇艺涨幅在6%至9%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446e89d87476774c958537e259ba18c3\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"711\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China stocks listed in US gained in early trading, with BILI, XPeng, NetEase and iQiyi rising between 6% and 9%.<blockquote>在美上市的中概股早盘上涨,哔哩哔哩、小鹏汽车、网易和爱奇艺涨幅在6%至9%之间。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; 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Welcome you guys join our \"stock prediction\" column! ✨✨ Let's start the game! <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a> 1. Predict the closing price of <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a> on Nov 17, Wednesday. 2. Please round your answer to the whole number, for example, round $323.57 to $324. 3. Leave your answer in the comment, the first 10 correct answers share 1000 Tiger Coins! 4. Only the first comment is va","listText":"Hey! Welcome you guys join our \"stock prediction\" column! ✨✨ Let's start the game! <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a> 1. Predict the closing price of <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a> on Nov 17, Wednesday. 2. Please round your answer to the whole number, for example, round $323.57 to $324. 3. Leave your answer in the comment, the first 10 correct answers share 1000 Tiger Coins! 4. Only the first comment is va","text":"Hey! Welcome you guys join our \"stock prediction\" column! ✨✨ Let's start the game! $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 1. Predict the closing price of $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ on Nov 17, Wednesday. 2. Please round your answer to the whole number, for example, round $323.57 to $324. 3. Leave your answer in the comment, the first 10 correct answers share 1000 Tiger Coins! 4. Only the first comment is va","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37d44433e0aa3907191b7a9a3a287bac","width":"640","height":"608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870688923","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2096,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854871376,"gmtCreate":1635436496564,"gmtModify":1635436497016,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>iQiyi gonna fly my friends","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$</a>iQiyi gonna fly my friends","text":"$iQiyi Inc.(IQ)$iQiyi gonna fly my 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leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1624030096,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2144774740?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic<blockquote>Adobe从大流行后经济重新开放中获得提振</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144774740","media":"Investors","summary":"Software giant Adobe is benefiting as the economy reopens following the Covid-19 pandemic, a senior executive says.","content":"<p>Software giant <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a></b> is benefiting as the economy reopens as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes, a senior executive says. The company's beat-and-raise quarterly report provided proof of that. ADBE stock jumped on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>软件巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a></b>一位高管表示,随着Covid-19大流行消退,经济重新开放,该公司正在受益。该公司的季度报告证明了这一点。ADBE股价周五上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The maker of digital media and marketing software late Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter earnings that easily topped expectations. Adobe also guided above views for the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>这家数字媒体和营销软件制造商周四晚些时候公布的第二财季收益轻松超出预期。Adobe还指导了本季度的上述观点。</blockquote></p><p> The San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $3.03 a share on sales of $3.84 billion in the quarter ended June 4. On a year-over-year basis, Adobe earnings rose 24% while sales climbed 23%.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞的公司在截至6月4日的季度销售额为38.4亿美元,调整后每股收益为3.03美元。与去年同期相比,Adobe盈利增长24%,销售额增长23%。</blockquote></p><p> For the current quarter, Adobe expects to earn an adjusted $3 a share, up 17%, on sales of $3.88 billion, up 20%.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe预计本季度调整后每股收益为3美元,增长17%,销售额为38.8亿美元,增长20%。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>ADBE Stock Rises After Earnings Report</h2> In morning trading on the stock market today, ADBE stock advanced 2.2%, near 563.35. Earlier in the session, ADBE stock notched a record high 570.</p><p><blockquote><h2>ADBE股价在收益报告后上涨</h2>今天股市早盘交易中,ADBE股价上涨2.2%,接近563.35点。盘中早些时候,ADBE股价创下570点的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> \"All three of our businesses — Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">Experience</a> Cloud — just killed it this quarter with excellent performance,\" Chief Financial Officer John Murphy told Investor's Business Daily. \"Content creation and customer experience engagement in personalized ways are resonating across all of our businesses. And it's really driving the momentum and acceleration in the business.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的三项业务——创意云、文档云和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">经验</a>云——本季度刚刚以出色的表现击败了它,”首席财务官约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)告诉《投资者商业日报》。“以个性化方式进行内容创作和客户体验参与正在我们所有业务中引起共鸣。它确实推动了业务的发展势头和加速。”</blockquote></p><p> That momentum will continue in the company's seasonally weaker fiscal third quarter, Murphy said. The current quarter includes the summer months of June, July and August.</p><p><blockquote>墨菲表示,这种势头将在该公司季节性疲软的第三财季持续下去。本季度包括夏季的六月、七月和八月。</blockquote></p><p> \"The macroeconomic stability is giving a lot of enterprises confidence to invest again,\" Murphy said. \"Companies are prioritizing digital transformation.\"</p><p><blockquote>墨菲表示:“宏观经济稳定给了很多企业再次投资的信心。”“企业正在优先考虑数字化转型。”</blockquote></p><p> The reopening of the economy and return to offices after the pandemic should provide a tailwind for Adobe's business, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示,疫情过后经济的重新开放和重返办公室应该会为Adobe的业务提供推动力。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Analysts Raise Price Targets On Adobe Stock</h2> At least 15 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on ADBE stock after the earnings report.</p><p><blockquote><h2>分析师提高Adobe股票的目标价</h2>财报发布后,至少15名华尔街分析师上调了ADBE股票的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz reiterated his buy rating on ADBE stock and upped his price target to 640 from 600.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师Gregg Moskowitz重申了对ADBE股票的买入评级,并将目标价从600点上调至640点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Adobe's expansive portfolio of software solutions has made it the gold standard in content creation, consumption, and collaboration,\" Moskowitz said in a note to clients. \"Adobe is very well positioned to benefit from digital transformation with its comprehensive end-to-end offering that differentiates it from competitors.\"</p><p><blockquote>莫斯科维茨在给客户的一份报告中表示:“Adobe广泛的软件解决方案组合使其成为内容创建、消费和协作的黄金标准。”“Adobe凭借其全面的端到端产品使其与竞争对手区分开来,处于有利地位,可以从数字化转型中受益。”</blockquote></p><p> On June 11, ADBE stock broke out of a 40-week consolidation period at a buy point of 536.98, according to IBD MarketSmith charts.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBD MarketSmith图表,6月11日,ADBE股票突破了40周的盘整期,买入点为536.98。</blockquote></p><p> However, IBD Leaderboard analysis offered investors an earlier buy point of 525.54 from a cup base within the larger consolidation pattern.</p><p><blockquote>然而,IBD排行榜分析为投资者提供了较大盘整格局中杯基的早期买入点525.54。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic<blockquote>Adobe从大流行后经济重新开放中获得提振</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAdobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic<blockquote>Adobe从大流行后经济重新开放中获得提振</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-18 23:28</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Software giant <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a></b> is benefiting as the economy reopens as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes, a senior executive says. The company's beat-and-raise quarterly report provided proof of that. ADBE stock jumped on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>软件巨头<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a></b>一位高管表示,随着Covid-19大流行消退,经济重新开放,该公司正在受益。该公司的季度报告证明了这一点。ADBE股价周五上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The maker of digital media and marketing software late Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter earnings that easily topped expectations. Adobe also guided above views for the current quarter.</p><p><blockquote>这家数字媒体和营销软件制造商周四晚些时候公布的第二财季收益轻松超出预期。Adobe还指导了本季度的上述观点。</blockquote></p><p> The San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $3.03 a share on sales of $3.84 billion in the quarter ended June 4. On a year-over-year basis, Adobe earnings rose 24% while sales climbed 23%.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣何塞的公司在截至6月4日的季度销售额为38.4亿美元,调整后每股收益为3.03美元。与去年同期相比,Adobe盈利增长24%,销售额增长23%。</blockquote></p><p> For the current quarter, Adobe expects to earn an adjusted $3 a share, up 17%, on sales of $3.88 billion, up 20%.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe预计本季度调整后每股收益为3美元,增长17%,销售额为38.8亿美元,增长20%。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>ADBE Stock Rises After Earnings Report</h2> In morning trading on the stock market today, ADBE stock advanced 2.2%, near 563.35. Earlier in the session, ADBE stock notched a record high 570.</p><p><blockquote><h2>ADBE股价在收益报告后上涨</h2>今天股市早盘交易中,ADBE股价上涨2.2%,接近563.35点。盘中早些时候,ADBE股价创下570点的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> \"All three of our businesses — Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">Experience</a> Cloud — just killed it this quarter with excellent performance,\" Chief Financial Officer John Murphy told Investor's Business Daily. \"Content creation and customer experience engagement in personalized ways are resonating across all of our businesses. And it's really driving the momentum and acceleration in the business.\"</p><p><blockquote>“我们的三项业务——创意云、文档云和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">经验</a>云——本季度刚刚以出色的表现击败了它,”首席财务官约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)告诉《投资者商业日报》。“以个性化方式进行内容创作和客户体验参与正在我们所有业务中引起共鸣。它确实推动了业务的发展势头和加速。”</blockquote></p><p> That momentum will continue in the company's seasonally weaker fiscal third quarter, Murphy said. The current quarter includes the summer months of June, July and August.</p><p><blockquote>墨菲表示,这种势头将在该公司季节性疲软的第三财季持续下去。本季度包括夏季的六月、七月和八月。</blockquote></p><p> \"The macroeconomic stability is giving a lot of enterprises confidence to invest again,\" Murphy said. \"Companies are prioritizing digital transformation.\"</p><p><blockquote>墨菲表示:“宏观经济稳定给了很多企业再次投资的信心。”“企业正在优先考虑数字化转型。”</blockquote></p><p> The reopening of the economy and return to offices after the pandemic should provide a tailwind for Adobe's business, he said.</p><p><blockquote>他表示,疫情过后经济的重新开放和重返办公室应该会为Adobe的业务提供推动力。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Analysts Raise Price Targets On Adobe Stock</h2> At least 15 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on ADBE stock after the earnings report.</p><p><blockquote><h2>分析师提高Adobe股票的目标价</h2>财报发布后,至少15名华尔街分析师上调了ADBE股票的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz reiterated his buy rating on ADBE stock and upped his price target to 640 from 600.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗证券分析师Gregg Moskowitz重申了对ADBE股票的买入评级,并将目标价从600点上调至640点。</blockquote></p><p> \"Adobe's expansive portfolio of software solutions has made it the gold standard in content creation, consumption, and collaboration,\" Moskowitz said in a note to clients. \"Adobe is very well positioned to benefit from digital transformation with its comprehensive end-to-end offering that differentiates it from competitors.\"</p><p><blockquote>莫斯科维茨在给客户的一份报告中表示:“Adobe广泛的软件解决方案组合使其成为内容创建、消费和协作的黄金标准。”“Adobe凭借其全面的端到端产品使其与竞争对手区分开来,处于有利地位,可以从数字化转型中受益。”</blockquote></p><p> On June 11, ADBE stock broke out of a 40-week consolidation period at a buy point of 536.98, according to IBD MarketSmith charts.</p><p><blockquote>根据IBD MarketSmith图表,6月11日,ADBE股票突破了40周的盘整期,买入点为536.98。</blockquote></p><p> However, IBD Leaderboard analysis offered investors an earlier buy point of 525.54 from a cup base within the larger consolidation pattern.</p><p><blockquote>然而,IBD排行榜分析为投资者提供了较大盘整格局中杯基的早期买入点525.54。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144774740","content_text":"Software giant Adobe is benefiting as the economy reopens as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes, a senior executive says. The company's beat-and-raise quarterly report provided proof of that. ADBE stock jumped on Friday.\nThe maker of digital media and marketing software late Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter earnings that easily topped expectations. Adobe also guided above views for the current quarter.\nThe San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $3.03 a share on sales of $3.84 billion in the quarter ended June 4. On a year-over-year basis, Adobe earnings rose 24% while sales climbed 23%.\nFor the current quarter, Adobe expects to earn an adjusted $3 a share, up 17%, on sales of $3.88 billion, up 20%.\nADBE Stock Rises After Earnings Report\nIn morning trading on the stock market today, ADBE stock advanced 2.2%, near 563.35. Earlier in the session, ADBE stock notched a record high 570.\n\"All three of our businesses — Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and Experience Cloud — just killed it this quarter with excellent performance,\" Chief Financial Officer John Murphy told Investor's Business Daily. \"Content creation and customer experience engagement in personalized ways are resonating across all of our businesses. And it's really driving the momentum and acceleration in the business.\"\nThat momentum will continue in the company's seasonally weaker fiscal third quarter, Murphy said. The current quarter includes the summer months of June, July and August.\n\"The macroeconomic stability is giving a lot of enterprises confidence to invest again,\" Murphy said. \"Companies are prioritizing digital transformation.\"\nThe reopening of the economy and return to offices after the pandemic should provide a tailwind for Adobe's business, he said.\nAnalysts Raise Price Targets On Adobe Stock\nAt least 15 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on ADBE stock after the earnings report.\nMizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz reiterated his buy rating on ADBE stock and upped his price target to 640 from 600.\n\"Adobe's expansive portfolio of software solutions has made it the gold standard in content creation, consumption, and collaboration,\" Moskowitz said in a note to clients. \"Adobe is very well positioned to benefit from digital transformation with its comprehensive end-to-end offering that differentiates it from competitors.\"\nOn June 11, ADBE stock broke out of a 40-week consolidation period at a buy point of 536.98, according to IBD MarketSmith charts.\nHowever, IBD Leaderboard analysis offered investors an earlier buy point of 525.54 from a cup base within the larger consolidation pattern.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ADBE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185525056,"gmtCreate":1623661614875,"gmtModify":1631887207451,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185525056","repostId":"1146430910","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189919273,"gmtCreate":1623239025492,"gmtModify":1631887207463,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Edd","listText":"Edd","text":"Edd","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189919273","repostId":"1154263782","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113736688,"gmtCreate":1622639813144,"gmtModify":1631887207481,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113736688","repostId":"1181132025","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181132025","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622636387,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181132025?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 20:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181132025","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"S&P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reportsAMC led 'meme stocks' higher again","content":"<p><ul><li>S&P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reports</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher again</li></ul>The latest leg of a surge in so-called \"meme stocks\" stood out in early moves on Wall Street on Wednesday, while futures tracking the main stock indexes were broadly flat ahead of closely watched economic data this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>标准普尔期货持平,投资者等待关键经济报告</li></ul><ul><li>AMC再次引领“模因股”走高</li></ul>所谓“模因股票”的最新一轮飙升在周三华尔街的早盘走势中脱颖而出,而在本周备受关注的经济数据公布之前,跟踪主要股指的期货基本持平。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:10,道指e-mini上涨29点,涨幅0.08%,标普500 e-mini上涨1.25点,涨幅0.03%,纳斯达克100 e-mini下跌3.75点,涨幅0.03%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62983bd4f06e2229211aece573ee8ed9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade,美国东部时间08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc surged 23% to $40 in premarket trading, eyeing a record high with its stock trading 11 times analysts' median target price.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线控股公司在盘前交易中飙升23%至40美元,有望创下历史新高,其股价是分析师目标价中位数的11倍。</blockquote></p><p>Later in the day, investors will turn to the Fed's Beige Book report, which will give a glimpse of the state of the economy based on conversations with business contacts.</p><p><blockquote>当天晚些时候,投资者将转向美联储褐皮书报告,该报告将根据与商业联系人的对话来了解经济状况。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment (AMC)</b> – AMC surged 23.7% in premarket trading following yesterday’s 22.7% jump. That came after the movie theater operator raised more than $230 million in a share sale to hedge fund Mudrick Capital, which is said to have immediately sold those shares at a profit.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线(AMC)</b>-AMC继昨天上涨22.7%后,在盘前交易中飙升23.7%。此前,这家电影院运营商通过向对冲基金Mudrick Capital出售股票筹集了超过2.3亿美元,据说该基金立即出售了这些股票并获利。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry (BB)</b> – BlackBerry's U.S.-listed shares rose about 20% in pre-market trading, bringing their total yearly gains to more than 75%.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓(BB)</b>-黑莓在美国上市的股票在盘前交易中上涨约20%,使其年度总涨幅达到75%以上。</blockquote></p><p><b>Zoom Video (ZM)</b> – Zoom came in 33 cents a share ahead of estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share. The video communications platform company’s revenue beat analysts’ forecasts as well, and the company gave upbeat guidance even as more people return to offices. Zoom shares gained 0.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video(ZM)</b>-Zoom每股收益超出预期33美分,季度收益为每股1.33美元。这家视频通信平台公司的收入也超出了分析师的预期,即使越来越多的人返回办公室,该公司也给出了乐观的指引。Zoom股价盘前上涨0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tesla (TSLA)</b> – Tesla was reportedly told by the Securities and Exchange Commission, once in 2019 and once in 2020, that it had failed to properly approve tweets by CEO Elon Musk on two occasions. The Wall Street Journal cited documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, which point to one tweet about Tesla’s stock price and another about production levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉(TSLA)</b>-据报道,特斯拉曾在2019年和2020年被美国证券交易委员会告知,它曾两次未能正确批准首席执行官Elon Musk的推文。《华尔街日报》引用了根据《信息自由法》获得的文件,这些文件指向一条关于特斯拉股价的推文和另一条关于产量水平的推文。</blockquote></p><p><b>Etsy (ETSY) </b>– The online crafts marketplace announced a deal to buy fashion resale company Depop for $1.625 billion. London-based Depop will continue to operate as a separate marketplace after the deal is completed. Etsy rose 1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy(ETSY)</b>–在线工艺品市场宣布以16.25亿美元收购时尚转售公司Depop的交易。交易完成后,总部位于伦敦的Depop将继续作为独立市场运营。Etsy盘前上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)</b> – The chip maker has begun construction at a new chip plant in Arizona, according to Chief Executive Officer C.C. Wei. He said the planned factory remains on track to begin chip production in 2024.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电(TSM)</b>-据首席执行官C.C.称,该芯片制造商已开始在亚利桑那州建设一家新的芯片工厂。魏。他表示,计划中的工厂仍有望在2024年开始芯片生产。</blockquote></p><p><b>RLX Technology (RLX)</b> – RLX Technology reported Q1 revenues $366.1 million,up 48.2% YOY;Non-GAAP net income was $93.2 million, up 45.6% YOY.The shares surged 9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>RLX科技(RLX)</b>-RLX科技公布第一季度营收3.661亿美元,同比增长48.2%;非GAAP净利润为9320万美元,同比增长45.6%。该股在盘前交易中飙升9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna (MRNA)</b> – The drugmaker announced a partnership with life sciences company Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) to provide manufacturing and packaging services for Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine as it seeks to ramp up production.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代(MRNA)</b>–该制药商宣布与生命科学公司Thermo Fisher Scientific(TMO)建立合作伙伴关系,为Moderna的Covid-19疫苗提供制造和包装服务,以提高产量。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lands’ End (LE)</b> – The apparel retailer reported an unexpected profit of 8 cents per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a 29 cents per share quarterly loss. Revenue also exceeded estimates, helped by a jump in digital sales. Lands’ End surged 6.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Lands'End(LE)</b>-该服装零售商公布每股意外利润8美分,而市场普遍预测每股季度亏损29美分。得益于数字销售的增长,收入也超出了预期。Lands'End在盘前交易中飙升6.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ambarella (AMBA) </b>– Ambarella beat estimates by 6 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 23 cents per share. The maker of video chips and components also saw its revenue beat Street projections, boosted by strong growth in the company’s automotive business. It also gave an upbeat outlook. Ambarella rallied 4.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>安巴雷拉(AMBA)</b>-Ambarella每股收益超出预期6美分,季度利润为每股23美分。在汽车业务强劲增长的推动下,这家视频芯片和组件制造商的收入也超出了华尔街的预期。它也给出了乐观的前景。Ambarella盘前上涨4.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Advance Auto Parts (AAP)</b> – The auto parts retailer earned $3.34 per share for its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.08 a share. Revenue came in above estimates as well. Comparable-store sales increased 24.7%, slightly better than the 23% consensus estimate. Advance Auto noted sales strength from both do-it-yourself and professional customers.</p><p><blockquote><b>先进汽车零部件(AAP)</b>-这家汽车零部件零售商最近一个季度的每股收益为3.34美元,超出了每股3.08美元的普遍预期。收入也高于预期。同店销售额增长24.7%,略好于23%的普遍预期。Advance Auto注意到DIY客户和专业客户的销售实力。</blockquote></p><p><b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b> <b>(HPE)</b> – Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share, beating estimates by 4 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The enterprise computing company posted its first year-over-year revenue growth since 2018, however it also reported a sequential decline in hardware profit margins. Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>慧与</b> <b>(HPE)</b>-慧与公布季度利润为每股46美分,超出预期每股4美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。这家企业计算公司公布了自2018年以来的首次收入同比增长,但它也报告了硬件利润率的环比下降。其股价在盘前交易中下跌1.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Cinemark (CNK),IMAX (IMAX) </b>– Goldman Sachs downgraded both stocks to “sell” from “neutral,” saying an expected movie box office recovery in 2021 and 2022 is already reflected in the prices of both stocks and that there are “heightened risks” to that recovery. Cinemark lost 2.8% in premarket action, while IMAX fell 2.5%</p><p><blockquote><b>喜满客(CNK)、IMAX(IMAX)</b>-高盛将这两只股票的评级从“中性”下调至“卖出”,称2021年和2022年预期的电影票房复苏已经反映在这两只股票的价格中,这种复苏存在“更高的风险”。Cinemark盘前下跌2.8%,IMAX下跌2.5%</blockquote></p><p><b>Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG)</b> – Scotts raised its full-year financial outlook, as it expects the pandemic-related boost in sales of lawn and garden products to continue even as the pandemic recedes. Scotts now expects full-year sales growth of 17% to 19%, compared to a prior estimate of 8% to 12%. Scotts shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Scotts Miracle-Gro(SMG)</b>–Scotts上调了全年财务展望,因为预计即使疫情消退,草坪和花园产品的销售仍将继续增长。Scotts目前预计全年销售额增长17%至19%,而之前的预期为8%至12%。Scotts股价在盘前上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-02 20:19</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>S&P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reports</li></ul><ul><li>AMC led 'meme stocks' higher again</li></ul>The latest leg of a surge in so-called \"meme stocks\" stood out in early moves on Wall Street on Wednesday, while futures tracking the main stock indexes were broadly flat ahead of closely watched economic data this week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>标准普尔期货持平,投资者等待关键经济报告</li></ul><ul><li>AMC再次引领“模因股”走高</li></ul>所谓“模因股票”的最新一轮飙升在周三华尔街的早盘走势中脱颖而出,而在本周备受关注的经济数据公布之前,跟踪主要股指的期货基本持平。</blockquote></p><p>At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:10,道指e-mini上涨29点,涨幅0.08%,标普500 e-mini上涨1.25点,涨幅0.03%,纳斯达克100 e-mini下跌3.75点,涨幅0.03%。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62983bd4f06e2229211aece573ee8ed9\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade,美国东部时间08:10</span></p></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc surged 23% to $40 in premarket trading, eyeing a record high with its stock trading 11 times analysts' median target price.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线控股公司在盘前交易中飙升23%至40美元,有望创下历史新高,其股价是分析师目标价中位数的11倍。</blockquote></p><p>Later in the day, investors will turn to the Fed's Beige Book report, which will give a glimpse of the state of the economy based on conversations with business contacts.</p><p><blockquote>当天晚些时候,投资者将转向美联储褐皮书报告,该报告将根据与商业联系人的对话来了解经济状况。</blockquote></p><p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p><b>AMC Entertainment (AMC)</b> – AMC surged 23.7% in premarket trading following yesterday’s 22.7% jump. That came after the movie theater operator raised more than $230 million in a share sale to hedge fund Mudrick Capital, which is said to have immediately sold those shares at a profit.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线(AMC)</b>-AMC继昨天上涨22.7%后,在盘前交易中飙升23.7%。此前,这家电影院运营商通过向对冲基金Mudrick Capital出售股票筹集了超过2.3亿美元,据说该基金立即出售了这些股票并获利。</blockquote></p><p><b>BlackBerry (BB)</b> – BlackBerry's U.S.-listed shares rose about 20% in pre-market trading, bringing their total yearly gains to more than 75%.</p><p><blockquote><b>黑莓(BB)</b>-黑莓在美国上市的股票在盘前交易中上涨约20%,使其年度总涨幅达到75%以上。</blockquote></p><p><b>Zoom Video (ZM)</b> – Zoom came in 33 cents a share ahead of estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share. The video communications platform company’s revenue beat analysts’ forecasts as well, and the company gave upbeat guidance even as more people return to offices. Zoom shares gained 0.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video(ZM)</b>-Zoom每股收益超出预期33美分,季度收益为每股1.33美元。这家视频通信平台公司的收入也超出了分析师的预期,即使越来越多的人返回办公室,该公司也给出了乐观的指引。Zoom股价盘前上涨0.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tesla (TSLA)</b> – Tesla was reportedly told by the Securities and Exchange Commission, once in 2019 and once in 2020, that it had failed to properly approve tweets by CEO Elon Musk on two occasions. The Wall Street Journal cited documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, which point to one tweet about Tesla’s stock price and another about production levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>特斯拉(TSLA)</b>-据报道,特斯拉曾在2019年和2020年被美国证券交易委员会告知,它曾两次未能正确批准首席执行官Elon Musk的推文。《华尔街日报》引用了根据《信息自由法》获得的文件,这些文件指向一条关于特斯拉股价的推文和另一条关于产量水平的推文。</blockquote></p><p><b>Etsy (ETSY) </b>– The online crafts marketplace announced a deal to buy fashion resale company Depop for $1.625 billion. London-based Depop will continue to operate as a separate marketplace after the deal is completed. Etsy rose 1% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy(ETSY)</b>–在线工艺品市场宣布以16.25亿美元收购时尚转售公司Depop的交易。交易完成后,总部位于伦敦的Depop将继续作为独立市场运营。Etsy盘前上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)</b> – The chip maker has begun construction at a new chip plant in Arizona, according to Chief Executive Officer C.C. Wei. He said the planned factory remains on track to begin chip production in 2024.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电(TSM)</b>-据首席执行官C.C.称,该芯片制造商已开始在亚利桑那州建设一家新的芯片工厂。魏。他表示,计划中的工厂仍有望在2024年开始芯片生产。</blockquote></p><p><b>RLX Technology (RLX)</b> – RLX Technology reported Q1 revenues $366.1 million,up 48.2% YOY;Non-GAAP net income was $93.2 million, up 45.6% YOY.The shares surged 9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>RLX科技(RLX)</b>-RLX科技公布第一季度营收3.661亿美元,同比增长48.2%;非GAAP净利润为9320万美元,同比增长45.6%。该股在盘前交易中飙升9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Moderna (MRNA)</b> – The drugmaker announced a partnership with life sciences company Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) to provide manufacturing and packaging services for Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine as it seeks to ramp up production.</p><p><blockquote><b>现代(MRNA)</b>–该制药商宣布与生命科学公司Thermo Fisher Scientific(TMO)建立合作伙伴关系,为Moderna的Covid-19疫苗提供制造和包装服务,以提高产量。</blockquote></p><p><b>Lands’ End (LE)</b> – The apparel retailer reported an unexpected profit of 8 cents per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a 29 cents per share quarterly loss. Revenue also exceeded estimates, helped by a jump in digital sales. Lands’ End surged 6.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Lands'End(LE)</b>-该服装零售商公布每股意外利润8美分,而市场普遍预测每股季度亏损29美分。得益于数字销售的增长,收入也超出了预期。Lands'End在盘前交易中飙升6.6%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Ambarella (AMBA) </b>– Ambarella beat estimates by 6 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 23 cents per share. The maker of video chips and components also saw its revenue beat Street projections, boosted by strong growth in the company’s automotive business. It also gave an upbeat outlook. Ambarella rallied 4.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>安巴雷拉(AMBA)</b>-Ambarella每股收益超出预期6美分,季度利润为每股23美分。在汽车业务强劲增长的推动下,这家视频芯片和组件制造商的收入也超出了华尔街的预期。它也给出了乐观的前景。Ambarella盘前上涨4.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Advance Auto Parts (AAP)</b> – The auto parts retailer earned $3.34 per share for its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.08 a share. Revenue came in above estimates as well. Comparable-store sales increased 24.7%, slightly better than the 23% consensus estimate. Advance Auto noted sales strength from both do-it-yourself and professional customers.</p><p><blockquote><b>先进汽车零部件(AAP)</b>-这家汽车零部件零售商最近一个季度的每股收益为3.34美元,超出了每股3.08美元的普遍预期。收入也高于预期。同店销售额增长24.7%,略好于23%的普遍预期。Advance Auto注意到DIY客户和专业客户的销售实力。</blockquote></p><p><b>Hewlett Packard Enterprise</b> <b>(HPE)</b> – Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share, beating estimates by 4 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The enterprise computing company posted its first year-over-year revenue growth since 2018, however it also reported a sequential decline in hardware profit margins. Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>慧与</b> <b>(HPE)</b>-慧与公布季度利润为每股46美分,超出预期每股4美分。收入也超出了华尔街的预期。这家企业计算公司公布了自2018年以来的首次收入同比增长,但它也报告了硬件利润率的环比下降。其股价在盘前交易中下跌1.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Cinemark (CNK),IMAX (IMAX) </b>– Goldman Sachs downgraded both stocks to “sell” from “neutral,” saying an expected movie box office recovery in 2021 and 2022 is already reflected in the prices of both stocks and that there are “heightened risks” to that recovery. Cinemark lost 2.8% in premarket action, while IMAX fell 2.5%</p><p><blockquote><b>喜满客(CNK)、IMAX(IMAX)</b>-高盛将这两只股票的评级从“中性”下调至“卖出”,称2021年和2022年预期的电影票房复苏已经反映在这两只股票的价格中,这种复苏存在“更高的风险”。Cinemark盘前下跌2.8%,IMAX下跌2.5%</blockquote></p><p><b>Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG)</b> – Scotts raised its full-year financial outlook, as it expects the pandemic-related boost in sales of lawn and garden products to continue even as the pandemic recedes. Scotts now expects full-year sales growth of 17% to 19%, compared to a prior estimate of 8% to 12%. Scotts shares added 1% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>Scotts Miracle-Gro(SMG)</b>–Scotts上调了全年财务展望,因为预计即使疫情消退,草坪和花园产品的销售仍将继续增长。Scotts目前预计全年销售额增长17%至19%,而之前的预期为8%至12%。Scotts股价在盘前上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线",".DJI":"道琼斯","RLX":"雾芯科技",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TSLA":"特斯拉",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","TSM":"台积电","BB":"黑莓"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181132025","content_text":"S&P futures flat as investors bide time until key economic reportsAMC led 'meme stocks' higher againThe latest leg of a surge in so-called \"meme stocks\" stood out in early moves on Wall Street on Wednesday, while futures tracking the main stock indexes were broadly flat ahead of closely watched economic data this week.At 8:10 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 29 points, or 0.08%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 1.25 points, or 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 3.75 points, or 0.03%.*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:10AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc surged 23% to $40 in premarket trading, eyeing a record high with its stock trading 11 times analysts' median target price.Later in the day, investors will turn to the Fed's Beige Book report, which will give a glimpse of the state of the economy based on conversations with business contacts.Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:AMC Entertainment (AMC) – AMC surged 23.7% in premarket trading following yesterday’s 22.7% jump. That came after the movie theater operator raised more than $230 million in a share sale to hedge fund Mudrick Capital, which is said to have immediately sold those shares at a profit.BlackBerry (BB) – BlackBerry's U.S.-listed shares rose about 20% in pre-market trading, bringing their total yearly gains to more than 75%.Zoom Video (ZM) – Zoom came in 33 cents a share ahead of estimates, with quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share. The video communications platform company’s revenue beat analysts’ forecasts as well, and the company gave upbeat guidance even as more people return to offices. Zoom shares gained 0.6% in the premarket.Tesla (TSLA) – Tesla was reportedly told by the Securities and Exchange Commission, once in 2019 and once in 2020, that it had failed to properly approve tweets by CEO Elon Musk on two occasions. The Wall Street Journal cited documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act, which point to one tweet about Tesla’s stock price and another about production levels.Etsy (ETSY) – The online crafts marketplace announced a deal to buy fashion resale company Depop for $1.625 billion. London-based Depop will continue to operate as a separate marketplace after the deal is completed. Etsy rose 1% in the premarket.Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) – The chip maker has begun construction at a new chip plant in Arizona, according to Chief Executive Officer C.C. Wei. He said the planned factory remains on track to begin chip production in 2024.RLX Technology (RLX) – RLX Technology reported Q1 revenues $366.1 million,up 48.2% YOY;Non-GAAP net income was $93.2 million, up 45.6% YOY.The shares surged 9% in premarket trading.Moderna (MRNA) – The drugmaker announced a partnership with life sciences company Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) to provide manufacturing and packaging services for Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine as it seeks to ramp up production.Lands’ End (LE) – The apparel retailer reported an unexpected profit of 8 cents per share, compared to a consensus forecast for a 29 cents per share quarterly loss. Revenue also exceeded estimates, helped by a jump in digital sales. Lands’ End surged 6.6% in premarket trading.Ambarella (AMBA) – Ambarella beat estimates by 6 cents a share, with quarterly profit of 23 cents per share. The maker of video chips and components also saw its revenue beat Street projections, boosted by strong growth in the company’s automotive business. It also gave an upbeat outlook. Ambarella rallied 4.9% in the premarket.Advance Auto Parts (AAP) – The auto parts retailer earned $3.34 per share for its latest quarter, beating the consensus estimate of $3.08 a share. Revenue came in above estimates as well. Comparable-store sales increased 24.7%, slightly better than the 23% consensus estimate. Advance Auto noted sales strength from both do-it-yourself and professional customers.Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) – Hewlett Packard Enterprise reported a quarterly profit of 46 cents per share, beating estimates by 4 cents a share. Revenue also topped Wall Street forecasts. The enterprise computing company posted its first year-over-year revenue growth since 2018, however it also reported a sequential decline in hardware profit margins. Its shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading.Cinemark (CNK),IMAX (IMAX) – Goldman Sachs downgraded both stocks to “sell” from “neutral,” saying an expected movie box office recovery in 2021 and 2022 is already reflected in the prices of both stocks and that there are “heightened risks” to that recovery. Cinemark lost 2.8% in premarket action, while IMAX fell 2.5%Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) – Scotts raised its full-year financial outlook, as it expects the pandemic-related boost in sales of lawn and garden products to continue even as the pandemic recedes. Scotts now expects full-year sales growth of 17% to 19%, compared to a prior estimate of 8% to 12%. Scotts shares added 1% in premarket action.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"BB":0.9,"MRNA":0.9,"ETSY":0.9,"RLX":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"TSM":0.9,"AMC":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119289016,"gmtCreate":1622549110135,"gmtModify":1631887207492,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"9i","listText":"9i","text":"9i","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119289016","repostId":"2138889344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138889344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546894,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2138889344?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益:前景如何?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138889344","media":"Zacks","summary":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarte","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>视频通信</b>定于6月1日公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非GAAP每股收益在95美分至97美分之间。总收入预计在9亿美元至9.05亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去30天,Zacks对收益的一致预期保持在每股97美分。该公司报告去年同期每股收益为20美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入的共识为9.052亿美元,比去年同期报告的数字增长175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom的收益在过去四个季度都超过了Zacks的普遍预期,平均意外率为73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看这个公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>值得关注的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动,但Zoom第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,该公司的免费增值商业模式帮助其快速赢得客户,然后可以将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021财年第四季度,过去12个月的美元净增长率超过156%。预计这一势头将在即将报告的季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外,支持商务专业人士远程工作的Zoom For Home的可用性是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外,这家Zacks排名第二(购买)的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础,其中包括<b>Atlassian</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和Dropbox,预计将使该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户方面受益。你可以在这里看到今天咤克斯排名第一(强力买入)股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而,Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争<b>思科</b>、微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户的流失,从而可能会损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将报告的季度中,Zoom宣布了一项名为Zoom Apps Fund的1亿美元风险基金,旨在刺激Zoom的Zoom应用、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的增长。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外,在本季度,Zoom和一级方程式宣布,他们已在即将到来的2021年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛的多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外,在2月份,Zoom宣布推出Zoom Rooms,这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室,并维持“无处不在的员工”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益:前景如何?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益:前景如何?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 19:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>视频通信</b>定于6月1日公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非GAAP每股收益在95美分至97美分之间。总收入预计在9亿美元至9.05亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去30天,Zacks对收益的一致预期保持在每股97美分。该公司报告去年同期每股收益为20美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入的共识为9.052亿美元,比去年同期报告的数字增长175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom的收益在过去四个季度都超过了Zacks的普遍预期,平均意外率为73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看这个公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>值得关注的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动,但Zoom第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,该公司的免费增值商业模式帮助其快速赢得客户,然后可以将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021财年第四季度,过去12个月的美元净增长率超过156%。预计这一势头将在即将报告的季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外,支持商务专业人士远程工作的Zoom For Home的可用性是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外,这家Zacks排名第二(购买)的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础,其中包括<b>Atlassian</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和Dropbox,预计将使该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户方面受益。你可以在这里看到今天咤克斯排名第一(强力买入)股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而,Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争<b>思科</b>、微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户的流失,从而可能会损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将报告的季度中,Zoom宣布了一项名为Zoom Apps Fund的1亿美元风险基金,旨在刺激Zoom的Zoom应用、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的增长。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外,在本季度,Zoom和一级方程式宣布,他们已在即将到来的2021年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛的多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外,在2月份,Zoom宣布推出Zoom Rooms,这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室,并维持“无处不在的员工”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138889344","content_text":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS SurpriseZoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. QuoteZoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.Factors to WatchZoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of Atlassian, ServiceNow and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of Cisco, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.Key Q1 HighlightsDuring the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137985798,"gmtCreate":1622285380014,"gmtModify":1631887207503,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/137985798","repostId":"2138948877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132758587,"gmtCreate":1622118111649,"gmtModify":1631887207512,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132758587","repostId":"1180203767","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":696,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136542346,"gmtCreate":1622032227885,"gmtModify":1631890165822,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hihi","listText":"Hihi","text":"Hihi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136542346","repostId":"2138124311","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":270,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138447518,"gmtCreate":1621956870834,"gmtModify":1631890165840,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138447518","repostId":"1145202822","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145202822","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621955218,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145202822?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-25 23:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Volkswagen gets 7.5 billion euros offer for Automobili Lamborghini - Autocar<blockquote>大众汽车以75亿欧元收购兰博基尼汽车-Autocar</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145202822","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) -Volkswagen AG has received an offer of 7.5 billion euros ($9.19 billion) for its supercar","content":"<p>(Reuters) -Volkswagen AG has received an offer of 7.5 billion euros ($9.19 billion) for its supercar brand Lamborghini, Autocar reported on Tuesday, but owner Audi said it was not for sale.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-据Autocar周二报道,大众汽车公司已收到对其超级跑车品牌兰博基尼的75亿欧元(91.9亿美元)的报价,但所有者奥迪表示该品牌不会出售。</blockquote></p><p>The non-binding offer sets out terms for the purchase of Automobili Lamborghini by Switzerland's Quantum (NASDAQ:QMCO) Group AG, which has formed a consortium with London-based investment firm Centricus Asset Management, according to the Autocar report. (https://</p><p><blockquote>据Autocar报道,这份不具约束力的要约规定了瑞士Quantum(纳斯达克:QMCO)Group AG收购兰博基尼汽车的条款,该集团已与总部位于伦敦的投资公司Centricus Asset Management组成了一个财团。(https://</blockquote></p><p>Volkswagen (DE:VOWG_p) said in December that there was agreement in the group that Lamborghini, which has been repeatedly named as a possible divestment, will remain part of Volkswagen.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车(DE:VOWG_p)去年12月表示,集团内部已达成协议,多次被列为可能撤资的兰博基尼仍将是大众汽车的一部分。</blockquote></p><p>Asked to comment on the Autocar report, a spokesman for Volkswagen unit Audi, which manages Lamborghini, said: \"This is not the subject of any discussion within the group. No, Lamborghini is not for sale.\"</p><p><blockquote>当被要求对Autocar的报道发表评论时,管理兰博基尼的大众汽车子公司奥迪的发言人表示:“这不是集团内部任何讨论的主题。不,兰博基尼是非卖品。”</blockquote></p><p>Centricus and Quantum Group AG were not immediately available for comment.</p><p><blockquote>未能立即联系到Centricus和Quantum Group AG置评。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Volkswagen gets 7.5 billion euros offer for Automobili Lamborghini - Autocar<blockquote>大众汽车以75亿欧元收购兰博基尼汽车-Autocar</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nVolkswagen gets 7.5 billion euros offer for Automobili Lamborghini - Autocar<blockquote>大众汽车以75亿欧元收购兰博基尼汽车-Autocar</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-25 23:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) -Volkswagen AG has received an offer of 7.5 billion euros ($9.19 billion) for its supercar brand Lamborghini, Autocar reported on Tuesday, but owner Audi said it was not for sale.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-据Autocar周二报道,大众汽车公司已收到对其超级跑车品牌兰博基尼的75亿欧元(91.9亿美元)的报价,但所有者奥迪表示该品牌不会出售。</blockquote></p><p>The non-binding offer sets out terms for the purchase of Automobili Lamborghini by Switzerland's Quantum (NASDAQ:QMCO) Group AG, which has formed a consortium with London-based investment firm Centricus Asset Management, according to the Autocar report. (https://</p><p><blockquote>据Autocar报道,这份不具约束力的要约规定了瑞士Quantum(纳斯达克:QMCO)Group AG收购兰博基尼汽车的条款,该集团已与总部位于伦敦的投资公司Centricus Asset Management组成了一个财团。(https://</blockquote></p><p>Volkswagen (DE:VOWG_p) said in December that there was agreement in the group that Lamborghini, which has been repeatedly named as a possible divestment, will remain part of Volkswagen.</p><p><blockquote>大众汽车(DE:VOWG_p)去年12月表示,集团内部已达成协议,多次被列为可能撤资的兰博基尼仍将是大众汽车的一部分。</blockquote></p><p>Asked to comment on the Autocar report, a spokesman for Volkswagen unit Audi, which manages Lamborghini, said: \"This is not the subject of any discussion within the group. No, Lamborghini is not for sale.\"</p><p><blockquote>当被要求对Autocar的报道发表评论时,管理兰博基尼的大众汽车子公司奥迪的发言人表示:“这不是集团内部任何讨论的主题。不,兰博基尼是非卖品。”</blockquote></p><p>Centricus and Quantum Group AG were not immediately available for comment.</p><p><blockquote>未能立即联系到Centricus和Quantum Group AG置评。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/volkswagen-group-gets-75-billion-euros-offer-for-automobili-lamborghini--autocar-2515395\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"VLKAY":"大众汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/volkswagen-group-gets-75-billion-euros-offer-for-automobili-lamborghini--autocar-2515395","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145202822","content_text":"(Reuters) -Volkswagen AG has received an offer of 7.5 billion euros ($9.19 billion) for its supercar brand Lamborghini, Autocar reported on Tuesday, but owner Audi said it was not for sale.The non-binding offer sets out terms for the purchase of Automobili Lamborghini by Switzerland's Quantum (NASDAQ:QMCO) Group AG, which has formed a consortium with London-based investment firm Centricus Asset Management, according to the Autocar report. (https://Volkswagen (DE:VOWG_p) said in December that there was agreement in the group that Lamborghini, which has been repeatedly named as a possible divestment, will remain part of Volkswagen.Asked to comment on the Autocar report, a spokesman for Volkswagen unit Audi, which manages Lamborghini, said: \"This is not the subject of any discussion within the group. No, Lamborghini is not for sale.\"Centricus and Quantum Group AG were not immediately available for comment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VLKAY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":378,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130531109,"gmtCreate":1621556089201,"gmtModify":1631890165845,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ij","listText":"Ij","text":"Ij","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130531109","repostId":"2137763179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197172382,"gmtCreate":1621436543846,"gmtModify":1631890165852,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574850099281549","authorIdStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pot","listText":"Pot","text":"Pot","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197172382","repostId":"1103552481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103552481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621428667,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103552481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-19 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103552481","media":"Barrons","summary":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but inv","content":"<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动,但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance: A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a surprisingly weak jobs report and a stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午2点公布,美联储观察人士在解读其意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战:自4月28日至29日的会议以来,经济发生了很大变化。例如,接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April. The 10-year yield has dropped to 1.64% from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同,美国国债并没有出现引人注目的抛售来引起官员的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大,但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而,这份文件仍可能为央行的观点提供一些线索。自上次会议以来,官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是,美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话,并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是策略师对今天会议的预期,以及克拉里达对这些主题的看法:</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“适应并关注”“暂时性”通货膨胀?</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)在内的美联储官员的一个流行观点是,今年春天预计将带来通胀“暂时”上升,这主要与去年疫情导致经济活动急剧减速后美国经济重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家Steven Ricchiuto和Alex Pelle在5月18日的一份报告中写道,他们预计会议纪要中“多次提到‘暂时’价格压力”。他们还强调,4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最严重的行业,例如酒店和机票。“到目前为止,这证实了美联储的想法,”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation: That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而,在周一的会议上,克拉里达似乎在重复一种关于通胀的不同类型的保证:央行将“协调并关注”任何显示价格压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在CPI报告中,[重新开放]确实明显给价格带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是,其中大部分可能是暂时的,但我们必须适应并关注即将到来的数据,”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定,而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳定的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力,有可能推高通胀预期,我毫不怀疑我们会使用我们的工具来解决这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥形时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否就何时开始削减每月1200亿美元的债券购买量提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示,美联储希望在削减购买之前,在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得“实质性的进一步进展”,但官员们没有提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计,美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买规模的长期计划。NatWest Markets在周一的一份报告中表示,预计美联储将在9月份开始谈论缩减购债规模,并在明年实际上开始放缓购债步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能令投资者感到意外,并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳工市场展望</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储债券购买(和其他宽松政策)前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后,这一问题仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes: How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,投资者仍有可能在会议纪要中找到有关他们的一个问题的更多背景:多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策?换句话说,“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思?</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份劳动力市场令人失望的消息传出之前,华尔街大多数人预计本月将创造就业机会强劲,这是鲍威尔曾表示,在美国实现“实质性的进一步进展”之前,需要实现“一系列”强劲复苏的又一步。美联储的目标。这可能促使官员们讨论复苏需要走多远,央行才能开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“四月份就业报告告诉我的是,我们使劳动力市场,特别是服务业供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间,并且随着工人重返就业,可能会对价格产生一些上行压力,因此我们必须适应并关注数据流,”他说。“根据四月份就业报告,我们没有取得实质性的进一步进展,但随着数据的出现,我们作为一个委员会将不得不对其进行评估,并最终做出判断。”</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes: Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the economic data has been so volatile during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>最终,未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示了美联储会议纪要的更广泛结论:未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其取消市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。在重新开放期间,经济数据波动如此之大,以至于到美联储6月份再次开会时,情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不再持有一段时间才能了解央行计划何时开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO策略师Ian Lyngen写道:“我们不愿意将这种均衡视为任何形式的均衡,相反,随着宏观预期的进一步细化,它更有可能被证明是一种暂时的持有模式。”“显然,我们的问题多于答案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-19 20:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动,但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance: A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a surprisingly weak jobs report and a stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午2点公布,美联储观察人士在解读其意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战:自4月28日至29日的会议以来,经济发生了很大变化。例如,接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April. The 10-year yield has dropped to 1.64% from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同,美国国债并没有出现引人注目的抛售来引起官员的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大,但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而,这份文件仍可能为央行的观点提供一些线索。自上次会议以来,官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是,美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话,并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是策略师对今天会议的预期,以及克拉里达对这些主题的看法:</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“适应并关注”“暂时性”通货膨胀?</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)在内的美联储官员的一个流行观点是,今年春天预计将带来通胀“暂时”上升,这主要与去年疫情导致经济活动急剧减速后美国经济重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家Steven Ricchiuto和Alex Pelle在5月18日的一份报告中写道,他们预计会议纪要中“多次提到‘暂时’价格压力”。他们还强调,4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最严重的行业,例如酒店和机票。“到目前为止,这证实了美联储的想法,”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation: That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而,在周一的会议上,克拉里达似乎在重复一种关于通胀的不同类型的保证:央行将“协调并关注”任何显示价格压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在CPI报告中,[重新开放]确实明显给价格带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是,其中大部分可能是暂时的,但我们必须适应并关注即将到来的数据,”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定,而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳定的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力,有可能推高通胀预期,我毫不怀疑我们会使用我们的工具来解决这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥形时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否就何时开始削减每月1200亿美元的债券购买量提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示,美联储希望在削减购买之前,在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得“实质性的进一步进展”,但官员们没有提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计,美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买规模的长期计划。NatWest Markets在周一的一份报告中表示,预计美联储将在9月份开始谈论缩减购债规模,并在明年实际上开始放缓购债步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能令投资者感到意外,并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳工市场展望</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储债券购买(和其他宽松政策)前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后,这一问题仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes: How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,投资者仍有可能在会议纪要中找到有关他们的一个问题的更多背景:多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策?换句话说,“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思?</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份劳动力市场令人失望的消息传出之前,华尔街大多数人预计本月将创造就业机会强劲,这是鲍威尔曾表示,在美国实现“实质性的进一步进展”之前,需要实现“一系列”强劲复苏的又一步。美联储的目标。这可能促使官员们讨论复苏需要走多远,央行才能开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“四月份就业报告告诉我的是,我们使劳动力市场,特别是服务业供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间,并且随着工人重返就业,可能会对价格产生一些上行压力,因此我们必须适应并关注数据流,”他说。“根据四月份就业报告,我们没有取得实质性的进一步进展,但随着数据的出现,我们作为一个委员会将不得不对其进行评估,并最终做出判断。”</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes: Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the economic data has been so volatile during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>最终,未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示了美联储会议纪要的更广泛结论:未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其取消市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。在重新开放期间,经济数据波动如此之大,以至于到美联储6月份再次开会时,情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不再持有一段时间才能了解央行计划何时开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO策略师Ian Lyngen写道:“我们不愿意将这种均衡视为任何形式的均衡,相反,随着宏观预期的进一步细化,它更有可能被证明是一种暂时的持有模式。”“显然,我们的问题多于答案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103552481","content_text":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.\nThe minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance: A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a surprisingly weak jobs report and a stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.\nAnd unlike last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April. The 10-year yield has dropped to 1.64% from 1.74% on March 31.\nYet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.\nHere’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:\n“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?\nOne popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.\nMizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.\nYet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation: That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.\n“In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”\nTaper Timeline\nInvestors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.\nMost on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.\nSo any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.\nLabor-Market Outlook\nOne key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.\nStill, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes: How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?\nBefore the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.\nClarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.\n“What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”\nUltimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes: Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the economic data has been so volatile during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.\nThat means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.\n“We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":345989600,"gmtCreate":1618272446800,"gmtModify":1634294063381,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hello like and comment","listText":"Hello like and comment","text":"Hello like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/345989600","repostId":"1146450605","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":645,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326323985,"gmtCreate":1615596436547,"gmtModify":1703491382416,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"COMMENT ON THIS POST THANKS ","listText":"COMMENT ON THIS POST THANKS ","text":"COMMENT ON THIS POST THANKS","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326323985","repostId":"1119607279","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119607279","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1615560514,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119607279?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-12 22:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some “meme” stocks rose<blockquote>部分“模因”股票上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119607279","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Koss up more than 25%,Express up more than 14%,GameStop up more than 8%.","content":"<p>Koss up more than 25%,Express up more than 14%,GameStop up more than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>科斯涨超25%,运通涨超14%,游戏驿站涨超8%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e665baba538eac8d8d828f56455a4116\" tg-width=\"412\" tg-height=\"299\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some “meme” stocks rose<blockquote>部分“模因”股票上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome “meme” stocks rose<blockquote>部分“模因”股票上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-12 22:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Koss up more than 25%,Express up more than 14%,GameStop up more than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>科斯涨超25%,运通涨超14%,游戏驿站涨超8%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e665baba538eac8d8d828f56455a4116\" tg-width=\"412\" tg-height=\"299\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EXPR":"Express, Inc.","GME":"游戏驿站","KOSS":"高斯电子"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119607279","content_text":"Koss up more than 25%,Express up more than 14%,GameStop up more than 8%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KOSS":0.9,"EXPR":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":372,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197172382,"gmtCreate":1621436543846,"gmtModify":1631890165852,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pot","listText":"Pot","text":"Pot","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197172382","repostId":"1103552481","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103552481","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621428667,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103552481?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-19 20:51","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103552481","media":"Barrons","summary":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but inv","content":"<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动,但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance: A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a surprisingly weak jobs report and a stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午2点公布,美联储观察人士在解读其意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战:自4月28日至29日的会议以来,经济发生了很大变化。例如,接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April. The 10-year yield has dropped to 1.64% from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同,美国国债并没有出现引人注目的抛售来引起官员的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大,但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而,这份文件仍可能为央行的观点提供一些线索。自上次会议以来,官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是,美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话,并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是策略师对今天会议的预期,以及克拉里达对这些主题的看法:</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“适应并关注”“暂时性”通货膨胀?</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)在内的美联储官员的一个流行观点是,今年春天预计将带来通胀“暂时”上升,这主要与去年疫情导致经济活动急剧减速后美国经济重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家Steven Ricchiuto和Alex Pelle在5月18日的一份报告中写道,他们预计会议纪要中“多次提到‘暂时’价格压力”。他们还强调,4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最严重的行业,例如酒店和机票。“到目前为止,这证实了美联储的想法,”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation: That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而,在周一的会议上,克拉里达似乎在重复一种关于通胀的不同类型的保证:央行将“协调并关注”任何显示价格压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在CPI报告中,[重新开放]确实明显给价格带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是,其中大部分可能是暂时的,但我们必须适应并关注即将到来的数据,”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定,而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳定的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力,有可能推高通胀预期,我毫不怀疑我们会使用我们的工具来解决这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥形时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否就何时开始削减每月1200亿美元的债券购买量提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示,美联储希望在削减购买之前,在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得“实质性的进一步进展”,但官员们没有提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计,美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买规模的长期计划。NatWest Markets在周一的一份报告中表示,预计美联储将在9月份开始谈论缩减购债规模,并在明年实际上开始放缓购债步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能令投资者感到意外,并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳工市场展望</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储债券购买(和其他宽松政策)前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后,这一问题仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes: How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,投资者仍有可能在会议纪要中找到有关他们的一个问题的更多背景:多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策?换句话说,“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思?</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份劳动力市场令人失望的消息传出之前,华尔街大多数人预计本月将创造就业机会强劲,这是鲍威尔曾表示,在美国实现“实质性的进一步进展”之前,需要实现“一系列”强劲复苏的又一步。美联储的目标。这可能促使官员们讨论复苏需要走多远,央行才能开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“四月份就业报告告诉我的是,我们使劳动力市场,特别是服务业供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间,并且随着工人重返就业,可能会对价格产生一些上行压力,因此我们必须适应并关注数据流,”他说。“根据四月份就业报告,我们没有取得实质性的进一步进展,但随着数据的出现,我们作为一个委员会将不得不对其进行评估,并最终做出判断。”</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes: Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the economic data has been so volatile during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>最终,未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示了美联储会议纪要的更广泛结论:未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其取消市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。在重新开放期间,经济数据波动如此之大,以至于到美联储6月份再次开会时,情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不再持有一段时间才能了解央行计划何时开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO策略师Ian Lyngen写道:“我们不愿意将这种均衡视为任何形式的均衡,相反,随着宏观预期的进一步细化,它更有可能被证明是一种暂时的持有模式。”“显然,我们的问题多于答案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Things to Watch for in the Fed Minutes Today<blockquote>今日美联储会议纪要中值得关注的3件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-19 20:51</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.</p><p><blockquote>美联储最新的会议纪要预计今天不会引起太大轰动,但投资者仍应关注一些不同的主题。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance: A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a surprisingly weak jobs report and a stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要将于今天下午2点公布,美联储观察人士在解读其意义时可能会面临比平时更大的挑战:自4月28日至29日的会议以来,经济发生了很大变化。例如,接下来的几周带来了令人惊讶的疲软就业报告和强于预期的消费者通胀报告。</blockquote></p><p> And unlike last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April. The 10-year yield has dropped to 1.64% from 1.74% on March 31.</p><p><blockquote>与上个月的会议不同,美国国债并没有出现引人注目的抛售来引起官员的注意。尽管经济数据显示4月份价格压力更大,但收益率的急剧攀升在3月底有所减弱。10年期国债收益率已从3月31日的1.74%降至1.64%。</blockquote></p><p> Yet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.</p><p><blockquote>然而,这份文件仍可能为央行的观点提供一些线索。自上次会议以来,官员们也提供了更多关于政策的观点。值得注意的是,美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达在周一的一次会议上发表讲话,并讨论了最近的一些经济数据点。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:</p><p><blockquote>以下是策略师对今天会议的预期,以及克拉里达对这些主题的看法:</blockquote></p><p> <b>“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>“适应并关注”“暂时性”通货膨胀?</b></blockquote></p><p> One popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.</p><p><blockquote>包括美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)在内的美联储官员的一个流行观点是,今年春天预计将带来通胀“暂时”上升,这主要与去年疫情导致经济活动急剧减速后美国经济重新开放有关。</blockquote></p><p> Mizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗经济学家Steven Ricchiuto和Alex Pelle在5月18日的一份报告中写道,他们预计会议纪要中“多次提到‘暂时’价格压力”。他们还强调,4月份消费者价格涨幅最大的许多行业都是需求受疫情打击最严重的行业,例如酒店和机票。“到目前为止,这证实了美联储的想法,”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p> Yet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation: That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.</p><p><blockquote>然而,在周一的会议上,克拉里达似乎在重复一种关于通胀的不同类型的保证:央行将“协调并关注”任何显示价格压力上升的数据。</blockquote></p><p> “In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”</p><p><blockquote>“在CPI报告中,[重新开放]确实明显给价格带来了上行压力。现在我们的基线观点是,其中大部分可能是暂时的,但我们必须适应并关注即将到来的数据,”他说。“我们任务的关键要素是价格稳定,而价格稳定的一个重要组成部分是稳定的通胀预期。如果我们看到价格或通胀面临上行压力,有可能推高通胀预期,我毫不怀疑我们会使用我们的工具来解决这种情况。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taper Timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>锥形时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.</p><p><blockquote>投资者还将关注央行是否就何时开始削减每月1200亿美元的债券购买量提供任何额外指导。鲍威尔曾表示,美联储希望在削减购买之前,在实现充分就业和长期平均通胀率2%的目标方面取得“实质性的进一步进展”,但官员们没有提供太多额外指导。</blockquote></p><p> Most on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街大多数人预计,美联储将在今年夏末或秋季讨论减少或缩减购买规模的长期计划。NatWest Markets在周一的一份报告中表示,预计美联储将在9月份开始谈论缩减购债规模,并在明年实际上开始放缓购债步伐。</blockquote></p><p> So any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.</p><p><blockquote>因此,最新会议纪要中任何更详细的讨论都可能令投资者感到意外,并可能对市场产生影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Labor-Market Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><b>劳工市场展望</b></blockquote></p><p> One key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.</p><p><blockquote>决定美联储债券购买(和其他宽松政策)前景的一个关键因素是劳动力市场的复苏。在令人失望的四月份就业报告之后,这一问题仍然悬而未决。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes: How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,投资者仍有可能在会议纪要中找到有关他们的一个问题的更多背景:多少改善足以让美联储开始撤回宽松政策?换句话说,“实质性的进一步进展”是什么意思?</blockquote></p><p> Before the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>在4月份劳动力市场令人失望的消息传出之前,华尔街大多数人预计本月将创造就业机会强劲,这是鲍威尔曾表示,在美国实现“实质性的进一步进展”之前,需要实现“一系列”强劲复苏的又一步。美联储的目标。这可能促使官员们讨论复苏需要走多远,央行才能开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> Clarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.</p><p><blockquote>克拉里达周一还讨论了4月份的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”</p><p><blockquote>“四月份就业报告告诉我的是,我们使劳动力市场,特别是服务业供需平衡的方式可能需要一些时间,并且随着工人重返就业,可能会对价格产生一些上行压力,因此我们必须适应并关注数据流,”他说。“根据四月份就业报告,我们没有取得实质性的进一步进展,但随着数据的出现,我们作为一个委员会将不得不对其进行评估,并最终做出判断。”</blockquote></p><p> Ultimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes: Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the economic data has been so volatile during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.</p><p><blockquote>最终,未来劳动力市场数据的重要性暗示了美联储会议纪要的更广泛结论:未来几个月的经济数据可能是美联储行动及其取消市场和经济宽松计划的最终仲裁者。在重新开放期间,经济数据波动如此之大,以至于到美联储6月份再次开会时,情况可能会发生重大变化。</blockquote></p><p> That means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着投资者将不得不再持有一段时间才能了解央行计划何时开始退出。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”</p><p><blockquote>BMO策略师Ian Lyngen写道:“我们不愿意将这种均衡视为任何形式的均衡,相反,随着宏观预期的进一步细化,它更有可能被证明是一种暂时的持有模式。”“显然,我们的问题多于答案。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/inflation-jobs-and-more-to-watch-for-in-todays-fed-minutes-release-51621421812?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103552481","content_text":"The Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes aren’t expected to make much of a splash today, but investors should still keep an eye out for a few different themes.\nThe minutes are due out at 2 p.m. today, and Fed watchers may face a greater challenge than usual in deciphering their significance: A lot has changed in the economy since the April 28-29 meeting. The ensuing weeks have brought a surprisingly weak jobs report and a stronger-than-expected consumer inflation report, for example.\nAnd unlike last month’s meeting, there wasn’t an attention-grabbing selloff in Treasuries to command officials’ attention. The steep climb in yields abated at the end of March, even as economic data showed and stronger price pressures in April. The 10-year yield has dropped to 1.64% from 1.74% on March 31.\nYet the document may still provide some clues about the central bank’s views. And officials have provided more perspective on policy since the latest meeting as well. Notably, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida spoke at a conference on Monday and discussed some recent economic data points as well.\nHere’s what strategists expect out of the meeting today, and what Clarida said about the topics:\n“Attuned and Attentive” to “Transitory” Inflation?\nOne popular line among Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, has been the assurance that this spring is expected to bring a “transitory” rise in inflation, mostly related to the reopening of the U.S. economy after the pandemic brought a sharp deceleration in activity last year.\nMizuho economists Steven Ricchiuto and Alex Pelle wrote in a May 18 note that they expect “several mentions of ‘transitory’ price pressures” in the minutes. They also highlighted that many of the steepest increases in consumer prices in April were in sectors where demand had been hit most by the pandemic, such as hotels and airfares. “So far [that] validates the Fed’s thinking,” they added.\nYet at Monday’s conference, Clarida seemed to be repeating a different type of assurance about inflation: That the central bank would be “attuned and attentive” to any data showing higher price pressures.\n“In the CPI report, [reopening] did clearly put upward pressure on prices. Now our baseline view is that most of this is likely to be transitory, but we have to be attuned and attentive to the incoming data,” he said. “[The] key element of our mandate is price stability and an important component of price stability is well-anchored inflation expectations. If we were to see upward pressure on prices or inflation that threatened to put inflation expectations higher, I have no doubt we would use our tools to address that situation.”\nTaper Timeline\nInvestors will also be looking to see if the central bank provides any additional guidance on when it might start paring back its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases. Powell has said the Fed wants to make “substantial further progress” toward its goals of full employment and a long-term average of 2% inflation before it wants to pare down its purchases, but officials haven’t provided much additional guidance.\nMost on Wall Street expect the Fed to discuss longer-term plans to reduce, or taper, its purchases late this summer or during the fall. NatWest Markets said in a Monday note that it expects the Fed to start talking about tapering its purchases in September and actually start to reduce the pace of bond-buying next year.\nSo any more detailed discussion in the latest meeting minutes could come as a surprise to investors and potentially matter for markets.\nLabor-Market Outlook\nOne key factor that will determine the outlook for the Fed’s bond buying (and other accommodation) is the recovery in the labor market. And that remains up in the air, after the disappointing April jobs report.\nStill, there is a chance investors could find more context on one of their questions in the minutes: How much improvement will be enough for the Fed to start withdrawing accommodation? In other words, what does “substantial further progress” mean?\nBefore the disappointing news on April’s labor market, most of Wall Street expected a strong month for jobs creation, another step toward the “string” of strong months of recovery that Powell had said was needed before the U.S. achieved “substantial further progress” toward the Fed’s goals. That may have prompted officials to discuss just how far along the recovery would need to go before the central bank could start stepping back.\nClarida discussed the April employment report on Monday as well.\n“What the April employment report said to me is that the way we bring supply and demand into balance in the labor market, especially in the service sector, may take some time and may produce some upward pressure on prices as workers return to employment, so we have to be attuned and attentive to that data flow,” he said. “Per that April employment report, we have not made substantial further progress, but as the data comes in we as a committee will have to evaluate that, and ultimately make a judgment.”\nUltimately, the importance of future labor-market data hints at the broader takeaway from the Fed’s meeting minutes: Coming months’ economic data may be the final arbiter of what the Fed does, and its plans to remove accommodation from markets and the economy. And the economic data has been so volatile during the reopening that the picture could change significantly by the time the Fed meets again in June.\nThat means investors will have to hold tight for a while longer to get a sense of when the central bank plans to start stepping back.\n“We’re reluctant to call this an equilibrium of any sort – rather it’s much more likely to prove a temporary holding pattern as macro expectations are further refined,” wrote Ian Lyngen, strategist with BMO. “Clearly, we have more questions than answers.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107907121,"gmtCreate":1620437080363,"gmtModify":1631890165885,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment and like","listText":"Please comment and like","text":"Please comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107907121","repostId":"1106240370","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":342619130,"gmtCreate":1618208457120,"gmtModify":1634294415377,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and subscribe ","listText":"Please like and subscribe ","text":"Please like and subscribe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342619130","repostId":"1137529737","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137529737","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618184239,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137529737?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-12 07:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、Coinbase等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137529737","media":"Barrons","summary":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of ","content":"<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed by Bank of America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度财报季将于本周拉开帷幕,一如既往地以美国几家最大银行的业绩开始。高盛集团、摩根大通和富国银行周三发布报告,美国银行和花旗集团周四发布报告,摩根士丹利周五发布报告。</blockquote></p><p>Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial supplier Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and UnitedHealth Group publish results on Thursday. And Kansas City Southern reports on Friday. A total of 22 S&P 500 companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布报告的其他著名公司包括工业供应商Fastenalon Tuesday。达美航空、百事可乐和联合健康集团周四公布业绩。堪萨斯城南方周五发布报告。本周共有22家标准普尔500指数公司发布报告,下周将有64家公司发布报告。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac3c413681d3a9e134223c4d1a02d883\" tg-width=\"1410\" tg-height=\"586\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.</p><p><blockquote>对于经济数据来说,这也是忙碌的一周。周二,美国劳工统计局公布3月份消费者价格指数,全国独立企业联合会发布3月份小企业乐观指数。周四,人口普查局将公布3月份零售销售数据。周五,密歇根大学发布了四月份的消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p>Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的房地产市场数据包括周四公布的全国住宅建筑商协会NAHB/富国银行4月份住房市场指数和周五公布的人口普查局3月份新住宅建设数据。</blockquote></p><p><b>Monday 4/12</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一4/12</b></blockquote></p><p>Nvidia hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在GPU技术会议的同时举办了2021年投资者日。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋将发表主题演讲。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 4/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二4/13</b></blockquote></p><p>Fastenal reports quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Fastenal报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局报告了三月份的消费者价格指数。经济学家预测月度增长0.4%,与2月份数据一致。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨0.2%,2月份小幅上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业发布三月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为98,高于2月份的95.8。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 4/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三4/14</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings season begins</b> in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.</p><p><blockquote><b>财报季开始</b>一些最大的货币中心和投资银行认真报告。摩根大通、富国银行、高盛集团盘前发布一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>First Republic Bankreleases earnings.</p><p><blockquote>第一共和银行发布收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>Coinbase Global</b> is set to make its Wall Street debut on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地全球</b>该公司将于周三通过在纳斯达克直接上市的方式首次亮相华尔街。</blockquote></p><p><b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>3月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨1%,而进口价格预计上涨0.8%。相比之下,2月份分别上涨1.6%和1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年发布了八次褐皮书中的第二次。褐皮书从12个美联储区收集了有关当前经济状况的轶事信息。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 4/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四4/15</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行、贝莱德、嘉信理财、花旗集团、达美航空、百事可乐、PPG Industries、Truist Financial、美国。合众银行和联合健康集团报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了4月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测为84.5,高于3月份的数据。任何高于50的读数都表明房屋建筑商看好未来六个月的房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份零售销售数据。看涨期权普遍认为消费者支出继2月份下降3%后,环比将增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 4/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五4/16</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and State Street hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行、公民金融集团、堪萨斯南方银行、摩根士丹利、PNC金融服务集团和道富银行在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>密歇根大学</b>发布四月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为88。3月份的84.9是一年前以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测,经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161万套,环比增长13%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、Coinbase等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Chase, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Coinbase, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>摩根大通、英伟达、高盛、Coinbase等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-12 07:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed by Bank of America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度财报季将于本周拉开帷幕,一如既往地以美国几家最大银行的业绩开始。高盛集团、摩根大通和富国银行周三发布报告,美国银行和花旗集团周四发布报告,摩根士丹利周五发布报告。</blockquote></p><p>Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial supplier Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and UnitedHealth Group publish results on Thursday. And Kansas City Southern reports on Friday. A total of 22 S&P 500 companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.</p><p><blockquote>本周发布报告的其他著名公司包括工业供应商Fastenalon Tuesday。达美航空、百事可乐和联合健康集团周四公布业绩。堪萨斯城南方周五发布报告。本周共有22家标准普尔500指数公司发布报告,下周将有64家公司发布报告。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac3c413681d3a9e134223c4d1a02d883\" tg-width=\"1410\" tg-height=\"586\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.</p><p><blockquote>对于经济数据来说,这也是忙碌的一周。周二,美国劳工统计局公布3月份消费者价格指数,全国独立企业联合会发布3月份小企业乐观指数。周四,人口普查局将公布3月份零售销售数据。周五,密歇根大学发布了四月份的消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p>Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的房地产市场数据包括周四公布的全国住宅建筑商协会NAHB/富国银行4月份住房市场指数和周五公布的人口普查局3月份新住宅建设数据。</blockquote></p><p><b>Monday 4/12</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一4/12</b></blockquote></p><p>Nvidia hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在GPU技术会议的同时举办了2021年投资者日。英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋将发表主题演讲。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 4/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二4/13</b></blockquote></p><p>Fastenal reports quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Fastenal报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b> Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局报告了三月份的消费者价格指数。经济学家预测月度增长0.4%,与2月份数据一致。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨0.2%,2月份小幅上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Federation</b> of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业发布三月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为98,高于2月份的95.8。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 4/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三4/14</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings season begins</b> in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.</p><p><blockquote><b>财报季开始</b>一些最大的货币中心和投资银行认真报告。摩根大通、富国银行、高盛集团盘前发布一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>First Republic Bankreleases earnings.</p><p><blockquote>第一共和银行发布收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>Coinbase Global</b> is set to make its Wall Street debut on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote><b>比特币基地全球</b>该公司将于周三通过在纳斯达克直接上市的方式首次亮相华尔街。</blockquote></p><p><b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>3月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨1%,而进口价格预计上涨0.8%。相比之下,2月份分别上涨1.6%和1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年发布了八次褐皮书中的第二次。褐皮书从12个美联储区收集了有关当前经济状况的轶事信息。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 4/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四4/15</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行、贝莱德、嘉信理财、花旗集团、达美航空、百事可乐、PPG Industries、Truist Financial、美国。合众银行和联合健康集团报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了4月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。经济学家预测为84.5,高于3月份的数据。任何高于50的读数都表明房屋建筑商看好未来六个月的房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份零售销售数据。看涨期权普遍认为消费者支出继2月份下降3%后,环比将增长1.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 4/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五4/16</b></blockquote></p><p>Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and State Street hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纽约梅隆银行、公民金融集团、堪萨斯南方银行、摩根士丹利、PNC金融服务集团和道富银行在评级召开会议讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p><b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>密歇根大学</b>发布四月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为88。3月份的84.9是一年前以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告3月份新住宅建设数据。经济学家预测,经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为161万套,环比增长13%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","NVDA":"英伟达","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","MS":"摩根士丹利",".DJI":"道琼斯","WFC":"富国银行","GS":"高盛","JPM":"摩根大通",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/jpmorgan-chase-nvidia-goldman-sachs-delta-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51618167609?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137529737","content_text":"First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, beginning as always with results from several of the largest U.S. banks. Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report on Wednesday, followed by Bank of America and Citigroup on Thursday and Morgan Stanley on Friday.Other notable companies reporting this week include industrial supplier Fastenalon Tuesday.Delta Air Lines,PepsiCo,and UnitedHealth Group publish results on Thursday. And Kansas City Southern reports on Friday. A total of 22 S&P 500 companies report this week, followed by 64 next week.It’s also a busy week for economic data. On Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March and the National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Then on Thursday, the Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. And on Friday, the University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April.Housing-market data out this week include the National Association of Home Builders’ NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April on Thursday and the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for March on Friday.Monday 4/12Nvidia hosts its 2021 investor day in conjunction with its GPU Technology conference. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang will give the keynote address.Tuesday 4/13Fastenal reports quarterly results.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the consumer price index for March. Economists forecast a 0.4% monthly increase, matching the February data. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.2%, after edging up 0.1% in February.The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for March. Consensus estimate is for a 98 reading, higher than February’s 95.8.Wednesday 4/14Earnings season begins in earnest with some of the largest money-center and investment banks reporting. JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Goldman Sachs Group release first-quarter results before the market open.First Republic Bankreleases earnings.Coinbase Global is set to make its Wall Street debut on Wednesday through a direct listing of its shares on the Nasdaq.The BLS reports export and import price data for March. Expectations are for a 1% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.8%. This compares with gains of 1.6% and 1.3%, respectively, in February.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the second of eight times this year. The beige book gathers anecdotal information on current economic conditions from the 12 Fed districts.Thursday 4/15Bank of America,BlackRock,Charles Schwab,Citigroup, Delta Air Lines, PepsiCo,PPG Industries,Truist Financial,U.S. Bancorp,and UnitedHealth Group report quarterly results.The National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for April. Economists forecast an 84.5 reading, greater than the March data. Any reading above 50 indicates that home builders are bullish on the housing market for the next six months.The Census Bureau reports retail sales data for March. The consensus call is for consumer spending to rise 1.3% month over month, after declining 3% in February.Friday 4/16Bank of New York Mellon,Citizens Financial Group,Kansas City Southern, Morgan Stanley,PNC Financial Services Group,and State Street hold conference calls to discuss earnings.The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for April. Expectations are for an 88 reading. March’s 84.9 figure was the highest since a year earlier.The Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for March. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.61 million housing starts, a 13% month-over-month increase.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"COIN":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"GS":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"MS":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"WFC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348648618,"gmtCreate":1617928478834,"gmtModify":1634295724120,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n com","listText":"Like n com","text":"Like n com","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348648618","repostId":"2126012847","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":348179289,"gmtCreate":1617897540141,"gmtModify":1634295864716,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Com post like pls","listText":"Com post like pls","text":"Com post like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/348179289","repostId":"1112389819","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112389819","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1617854410,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112389819?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-08 12:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索ETF等中</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112389819","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were ","content":"<p>Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were bought or sold by the firm's ETFs that day. In recent months, the emails have known to cause certain stocks to see a spike in the after-hours session. Here’s a list of 35 stocks that the hedge fund bought and sold on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management每天晚上都会发送一封电子邮件,列出该公司ETF当天买入或卖出的股票。近几个月来,众所周知,这些电子邮件会导致某些股票在盘后交易中飙升。以下是该对冲基金周三买卖的35只股票的列表。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkSpace Exploration & Innovation ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ArkSpace探索与创新ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 141,100 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.2503% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%:购买了空白支票公司141,100股股票,约占ETF的0.2503%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest股价周三收盘下跌1.57%,至10.06美元,盘后交易中上涨1.89%。该股52周高点为18.60美元,低点为9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jaws Spitfire Acquisition Corp</b>SPFR 0.38%: Bought 241,618 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.4389% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>大白鲨喷火收购公司</b>SPFR 0.38%:购买了the blank check company的241,618股股票,约占ETF的0.4389%。</blockquote></p><p> Jaws stock closed 0.3% higher at $10.46 on Wednesday and rose 1.91% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $12.10 and low of $9.95.</p><p><blockquote>Jaws股价周三收盘上涨0.3%,至10.46美元,盘后上涨1.91%。52周高点为12.10美元,低点为9.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 35,963 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.2525% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%:购买35,963股mobile股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务,约占ETF的0.2525%。</blockquote></p><p> <i>See Also:The First 39 Companies In Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Space ETF</i></p><p><blockquote><i>另请参阅:Cathie Wood的Ark Invest Space ETF中的前39家公司</i></blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌2.05%,至40.07美元,盘后交易中上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为54.65美元,低点为19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Reinvent Technology Partners</b>RTP 0.2%: Bought 140,900 shares of the blank-check company, representing 0.2496% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>重塑技术合作伙伴</b>RTP 0.2%:购买了空白支票公司140,900股股票,占ETF的0.2496%。</blockquote></p><p> Reinvent shares closed 0.39% lower at $10.11 and were up 1% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $17 and low of $9.86.</p><p><blockquote>Reinvent股价收盘下跌0.39%,至10.11美元,盘后交易中上涨1%。该股52周高点为17美元,低点为9.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 11,302 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.259% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%:出售了这家设备设计和制造公司的11,302股股票,约占ETF的0.259%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌0.45%,至131.78美元。该股52周高点为147.90美元,低点为56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere & Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 7,781 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.5072% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%:出售7,781股农业、建筑和林业设备制造商股票,约占ETF的0.5072%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌0.22%,至374.79美元。该股52周高点为392.42美元,低点为117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AeroVironment Inc</b>AVAV 3.44%: Sold 5,100 shares in the California-headquartered defense contractor, representing about 0.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>航空环境公司</b>AVAV 3.44%:出售了这家总部位于加州的国防承包商的5,100股股票,约占ETF的0.10%。</blockquote></p><p> AeroVironment stock closed 3.44% lower at $113.37 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $143.72 and low of $53.15.</p><p><blockquote>AeroVironment股价周三收盘下跌3.44%,至113.37美元。52周高点为143.72美元,低点为53.15美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 28,749 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.603% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。Co</b>TSM 2.06%:出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的28,749股股票,约占ETF的0.603%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌2.08%,至119.89美元。52周高点为142.20美元,低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Fintech Innovation ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Base Inc</b>BAINF 0.97%: Bought 313,000 shares in Tokyo of the online services company that develops and builds e-commerce platforms, representing about 0.1195% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>基地公司</b>BAINF 0.97%:购买了东京一家开发和建设电子商务平台的在线服务公司的313,000股股票,约占ETF的0.1195%。</blockquote></p><p> Base OTC stock closed 0.97% higher at $15.65 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $179 and low of $14.61.</p><p><blockquote>周三,基础场外交易股票收盘上涨0.97%,至15.65美元。52周高点为179美元,低点为14.61美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yeahka Ltd</b>YHEKF: Bought 997,200 shares in Hong Kong of the payment-based technology platform, representing about 0.18% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>移卡有限公司</b>YHEKF:在香港购买了997,200股基于支付的技术平台,约占ETF的0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> Yeahka stock closed 0.64% lower at $7.75 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $15.28 and low of $4.78.</p><p><blockquote>移卡股价周三收盘下跌0.64%,至7.75美元。52周高点为15.28美元,低点为4.78美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 204,348 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0789% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingClub公司</b>LC 0.95%:购买了204,348股P2P借贷公司股票,约占ETF的0.0789%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub股价周三收盘下跌0.88%,至15.7美元。52周高点为22.68美元,低点为4.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 15,762 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0824% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingTree公司</b>TREE 5.34%:出售在线借贷市场公司15,762股股票,约占ETF的0.0824%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree股价周三收盘上涨5.34%,至229.26美元。52周高点为372.64美元,低点为175美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Genomic Revolution ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟基因组革命ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%:</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 78,908 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.1526% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%:买入基因测序生物技术公司78,908股,约占ETF的0.1526%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X股价周三收盘下跌6.03%,至185.34美元。52周高点为201.70美元,低点为58.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Signify Health Inc</b>SGFY 3.65%: Bought 182,193 shares of the healthcare tech company, representing about 0.0508% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>昕诺飞健康公司</b>SGFY 3.65%:购买了这家医疗保健科技公司的182,193股股票,约占ETF的0.0508%。</blockquote></p><p> Signify shares closed 4.08% lower at $26.35 on Wednesday and were up 0.53% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $40.79 and low of $22.13.</p><p><blockquote>Signify股价周三收盘下跌4.08%,至26.35美元,盘后上涨0.53%。52周高点为40.79美元,低点为22.13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Repare Therapeutics Inc</b>RPTX 0.78%: Bought 10,700 shares of the Canadian oncology company, representing about 0.0035% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>修复治疗公司</b>RPTX 0.78%:购买了加拿大肿瘤公司10,700股股票,约占ETF的0.0035%。</blockquote></p><p> Repare stock closed 0.78% higher at $30.96 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $46.44 and low of $21.45.</p><p><blockquote>Repare股价周三收盘上涨0.78%,至30.96美元。52周高点为46.44美元,低点为21.45美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>908 Devices Inc</b>MASS 6.18%: Bought 51,661 shares of the purpose-built handheld and devices for chemical and biomolecular analysis maker, representing about 0.0273% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>908设备公司</b>MASS 6.18%:购买了这家化学和生物分子分析专用手持设备和设备制造商的51,661股股票,约占ETF的0.0273%。</blockquote></p><p> 908 Devices stock closed 6.18% lower at $46.95 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $79.60 and low of $38.88.</p><p><blockquote>908 Devices股价周三收盘下跌6.18%,至46.95美元。52周高点为79.60美元,低点为38.88美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Pluristem Therapeutics Inc</b>PSTI 2.09%: Sold 2,220 shares of the Israel-based stemcell company, representing about 0.0001% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pluristem治疗公司</b>PSTI 2.09%:出售2,220股以色列干细胞公司股票,约占ETF的0.0001%。</blockquote></p><p> Pluristem stock closed 2.09% higher at $4.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $13.29 and low of $3.95.</p><p><blockquote>Pluristem股价周三收盘上涨2.09%,至4.89美元。52周高点为13.29美元,低点为3.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 2.03%: Bought 98,500 shares of the video calling company, representing about 0.1326% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 2.03%:购买了98,500股视频通话公司股票,约占ETF的0.1326%。</blockquote></p><p> Zoom stock closed 2.03% lower at $323.08 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $588.84 and low of $109.57.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom股价周三收盘下跌2.03%,至323.08美元。52周高点为588.84美元,低点为109.57美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 111,047 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.0865% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%:买入基因测序生物技术公司111,047股,约占ETF的0.0865%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X股价周三收盘下跌6.03%,至185.34美元。52周高点为201.70美元,低点为58.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trimble Inc</b>TRMB 3.84%: Bought 237,782 shares of the California-based hardware, software and services technology company, representing about 0.0813% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>天宝公司</b>TRMB 3.84%:购买了这家总部位于加州的硬件、软件和服务技术公司的237,782股股票,约占ETF的0.0813%。</blockquote></p><p> Trimble shares closed 3.84% lower at $79.74 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $84.86 and low of $30.87.</p><p><blockquote>Trimble股价周三收盘下跌3.84%,至79.74美元。52周高点为84.86美元,低点为30.87美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b>PLTR 1.57%: Bought 1,045,600 shares of the big data analytics company, representing about 0.1007% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir技术公司</b>PLTR 1.57%:购买了这家大数据分析公司1,045,600股股票,约占ETF的0.1007%。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir shares closed 1.59% lower at $22.90 on Wednesday and rose 1.05% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $45 and low of $8.90.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir股价周三收盘下跌1.59%,至22.90美元,盘后上涨1.05%。52周高点为45美元,低点为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Docusign Inc</b>DOCU: Bought 103,783 shares of the online signature services company, representing about 0.0891% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Docusign公司</b>DOCU:购买了在线签名服务公司103,783股,约占ETF的0.0891%。</blockquote></p><p> Docusign shares closed flat at $205.71 on Wednesday and were up 0.63% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $290.23 and low of $85.84.</p><p><blockquote>Docusign股价周三收于205.71美元,盘后交易中上涨0.63%。该股52周高点为290.23美元,低点为85.84美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Inc</b>DKNG 2.68%: Bought 610,847 shares of the daily fantasy sports company, representing about 0.1595% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings公司</b>DKNG 2.68%:购买每日幻想体育公司610,847股,约占ETF的0.1595%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings shares closed 2.68% lower at $62.09 on Wednesday and were up 0.64% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $74.38 and low of $12.68.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings股价周三收盘下跌2.68%,至62.09美元,盘后上涨0.64%。52周高点为74.38美元,低点为12.68美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades for<b>ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ):</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ARK自主技术与机器人ETF</b>(蝙蝠:ARKQ):</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 71,635 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.0214% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%:购买了71,635股空白支票公司股票,约占ETF的0.0214%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest股价周三收盘下跌1.57%,至10.06美元,盘后交易中上涨1.89%。该股52周高点为18.60美元,低点为9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet Inc</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%: Sold 16,651 Class C shares of the Google parent company, representing about 1.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet公司</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%:出售16,651股谷歌母公司C类股票,约占ETF的1.10%。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet shares closed 1.35% higher at $2239.03 on Wednesday and were up 0.40% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $2,244.50 and low of $1,177.25.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价周三收盘上涨1.35%,至2239.03美元,盘后上涨0.40%。该股52周高点为2,244.50美元,低点为1,177.25美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 59,521 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.0705% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%:购买59,521股mobile股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务,约占ETF的0.0705%。</blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌2.05%,至40.07美元,盘后交易中上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为54.65美元,低点为19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kratos Defense & Security Solutions</b>KTOS 2.34%: Bought 313,506 shares of the U.S. defense contractor and security systems integrator company, representing about 0.2583% of the company.</p><p><blockquote><b>奎托斯防御与安全解决方案</b>KTOS 2.34%:购买了这家美国国防承包商和安全系统集成商公司的313,506股股票,约占该公司的0.2583%。</blockquote></p><p> Kratos Defense shares closed 2.34% lower at $27.97 on Wednesday and were up 1.07% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $34.11 and low of $13.34.</p><p><blockquote>Kratos Defense股价周三收盘下跌2.34%,至27.97美元,盘后上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为34.11美元,低点为13.34美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 97,700 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.3467% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。Co</b>TSM 2.06%:出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的97,700股股票,约占ETF的0.3467%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌2.08%,至119.89美元。52周高点为142.20美元,低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 98,161 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.3802% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%:出售这家设备设计和制造公司的98,161股,约占ETF的0.3802%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌0.45%,至131.78美元。该股52周高点为147.90美元,低点为56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere & Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 37,795 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4162% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%:出售这家农业、建筑和林业设备制造商的37,795股股票,约占ETF的0.4162%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌0.22%,至374.79美元。该股52周高点为392.42美元,低点为117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Caterpillar Inc</b>CAT 0.11%: Sold 59,610 shares of the agriculture, construction, mining and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4051% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡特彼勒公司</b>CAT 0.11%:出售了这家农业、建筑、采矿和林业设备制造商的59,610股股票,约占ETF的0.4051%。</blockquote></p><p> Caterpillar shares closed 0.1% lower at $230.41.The stock has a 52-week high of $237.78 and low of $100.22.</p><p><blockquote>卡特彼勒股价收盘下跌0.1%,至230.41美元。该股52周高点为237.78美元,低点为100.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟下一代互联网ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trade Desk Inc</b>TTD 1.23%: Bought 23,750 shares of the technology platform for ad buyers company, representing about 0.23% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贸易台公司</b>TTD 1.23%:为广告买家公司购买了23,750股技术平台股票,约占ETF的0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> Trade Desk shares closed 1.23% higher at $677.87 on Wednesday and were up 0.31% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $972.80 and low of $190.29.</p><p><blockquote>Trade Desk股价周三收盘上涨1.23%,至677.87美元,盘后上涨0.31%。52周高点为972.80美元,低点为190.29美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 150,245 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0337% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingClub公司</b>LC 0.95%:购买了150,245股P2P借贷公司股票,约占ETF的0.0337%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub股价周三收盘下跌0.88%,至15.7美元。52周高点为22.68美元,低点为4.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Synopsys Inc</b>SNPS 0.14%: Sold 70,396 shares of the electronic design automation company, representing about 0.2588% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>新思科技公司</b>SNPS 0.14%:出售70,396股电子设计自动化公司股票,约占ETF的0.2588%。</blockquote></p><p> Synopsys shares closed 0.14% lower at $257 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $300.91 and low of $133.27.</p><p><blockquote>Synopsys股价周三收盘下跌0.14%,至257美元。52周高点为300.91美元,低点为133.27美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 12,129 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0406% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingTree公司</b>TREE 5.34%:出售在线借贷市场公司12,129股股票,约占ETF的0.0406%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree股价周三收盘上涨5.34%,至229.26美元。52周高点为372.64美元,低点为175美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索ETF等中</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Adds These Stocks To The Newly-Created Space Exploration ETF And Others<blockquote>Cathie Wood将这些股票添加到新创建的太空探索ETF等中</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-08 12:00</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were bought or sold by the firm's ETFs that day. In recent months, the emails have known to cause certain stocks to see a spike in the after-hours session. Here’s a list of 35 stocks that the hedge fund bought and sold on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>Cathie Wood的Ark Investment Management每天晚上都会发送一封电子邮件,列出该公司ETF当天买入或卖出的股票。近几个月来,众所周知,这些电子邮件会导致某些股票在盘后交易中飙升。以下是该对冲基金周三买卖的35只股票的列表。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkSpace Exploration & Innovation ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ArkSpace探索与创新ETF</b>ARKX 1.32%:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 141,100 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.2503% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%:购买了空白支票公司141,100股股票,约占ETF的0.2503%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest股价周三收盘下跌1.57%,至10.06美元,盘后交易中上涨1.89%。该股52周高点为18.60美元,低点为9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jaws Spitfire Acquisition Corp</b>SPFR 0.38%: Bought 241,618 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.4389% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>大白鲨喷火收购公司</b>SPFR 0.38%:购买了the blank check company的241,618股股票,约占ETF的0.4389%。</blockquote></p><p> Jaws stock closed 0.3% higher at $10.46 on Wednesday and rose 1.91% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $12.10 and low of $9.95.</p><p><blockquote>Jaws股价周三收盘上涨0.3%,至10.46美元,盘后上涨1.91%。52周高点为12.10美元,低点为9.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 35,963 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.2525% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%:购买35,963股mobile股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务,约占ETF的0.2525%。</blockquote></p><p> <i>See Also:The First 39 Companies In Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Space ETF</i></p><p><blockquote><i>另请参阅:Cathie Wood的Ark Invest Space ETF中的前39家公司</i></blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌2.05%,至40.07美元,盘后交易中上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为54.65美元,低点为19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Reinvent Technology Partners</b>RTP 0.2%: Bought 140,900 shares of the blank-check company, representing 0.2496% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>重塑技术合作伙伴</b>RTP 0.2%:购买了空白支票公司140,900股股票,占ETF的0.2496%。</blockquote></p><p> Reinvent shares closed 0.39% lower at $10.11 and were up 1% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $17 and low of $9.86.</p><p><blockquote>Reinvent股价收盘下跌0.39%,至10.11美元,盘后交易中上涨1%。该股52周高点为17美元,低点为9.86美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 11,302 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.259% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%:出售了这家设备设计和制造公司的11,302股股票,约占ETF的0.259%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌0.45%,至131.78美元。该股52周高点为147.90美元,低点为56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere & Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 7,781 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.5072% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%:出售7,781股农业、建筑和林业设备制造商股票,约占ETF的0.5072%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌0.22%,至374.79美元。该股52周高点为392.42美元,低点为117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AeroVironment Inc</b>AVAV 3.44%: Sold 5,100 shares in the California-headquartered defense contractor, representing about 0.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>航空环境公司</b>AVAV 3.44%:出售了这家总部位于加州的国防承包商的5,100股股票,约占ETF的0.10%。</blockquote></p><p> AeroVironment stock closed 3.44% lower at $113.37 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $143.72 and low of $53.15.</p><p><blockquote>AeroVironment股价周三收盘下跌3.44%,至113.37美元。52周高点为143.72美元,低点为53.15美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 28,749 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.603% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。Co</b>TSM 2.06%:出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的28,749股股票,约占ETF的0.603%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌2.08%,至119.89美元。52周高点为142.20美元,低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Fintech Innovation ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟金融科技创新ETF</b>ARKF 1.24%:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Base Inc</b>BAINF 0.97%: Bought 313,000 shares in Tokyo of the online services company that develops and builds e-commerce platforms, representing about 0.1195% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>基地公司</b>BAINF 0.97%:购买了东京一家开发和建设电子商务平台的在线服务公司的313,000股股票,约占ETF的0.1195%。</blockquote></p><p> Base OTC stock closed 0.97% higher at $15.65 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $179 and low of $14.61.</p><p><blockquote>周三,基础场外交易股票收盘上涨0.97%,至15.65美元。52周高点为179美元,低点为14.61美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yeahka Ltd</b>YHEKF: Bought 997,200 shares in Hong Kong of the payment-based technology platform, representing about 0.18% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>移卡有限公司</b>YHEKF:在香港购买了997,200股基于支付的技术平台,约占ETF的0.18%。</blockquote></p><p> Yeahka stock closed 0.64% lower at $7.75 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $15.28 and low of $4.78.</p><p><blockquote>移卡股价周三收盘下跌0.64%,至7.75美元。52周高点为15.28美元,低点为4.78美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 204,348 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0789% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingClub公司</b>LC 0.95%:购买了204,348股P2P借贷公司股票,约占ETF的0.0789%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub股价周三收盘下跌0.88%,至15.7美元。52周高点为22.68美元,低点为4.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 15,762 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0824% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingTree公司</b>TREE 5.34%:出售在线借贷市场公司15,762股股票,约占ETF的0.0824%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree股价周三收盘上涨5.34%,至229.26美元。52周高点为372.64美元,低点为175美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>Ark Genomic Revolution ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟基因组革命ETF</b>ARKG 3.26%:</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 78,908 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.1526% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%:买入基因测序生物技术公司78,908股,约占ETF的0.1526%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X股价周三收盘下跌6.03%,至185.34美元。52周高点为201.70美元,低点为58.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Signify Health Inc</b>SGFY 3.65%: Bought 182,193 shares of the healthcare tech company, representing about 0.0508% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>昕诺飞健康公司</b>SGFY 3.65%:购买了这家医疗保健科技公司的182,193股股票,约占ETF的0.0508%。</blockquote></p><p> Signify shares closed 4.08% lower at $26.35 on Wednesday and were up 0.53% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $40.79 and low of $22.13.</p><p><blockquote>Signify股价周三收盘下跌4.08%,至26.35美元,盘后上涨0.53%。52周高点为40.79美元,低点为22.13美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Repare Therapeutics Inc</b>RPTX 0.78%: Bought 10,700 shares of the Canadian oncology company, representing about 0.0035% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>修复治疗公司</b>RPTX 0.78%:购买了加拿大肿瘤公司10,700股股票,约占ETF的0.0035%。</blockquote></p><p> Repare stock closed 0.78% higher at $30.96 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $46.44 and low of $21.45.</p><p><blockquote>Repare股价周三收盘上涨0.78%,至30.96美元。52周高点为46.44美元,低点为21.45美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>908 Devices Inc</b>MASS 6.18%: Bought 51,661 shares of the purpose-built handheld and devices for chemical and biomolecular analysis maker, representing about 0.0273% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>908设备公司</b>MASS 6.18%:购买了这家化学和生物分子分析专用手持设备和设备制造商的51,661股股票,约占ETF的0.0273%。</blockquote></p><p> 908 Devices stock closed 6.18% lower at $46.95 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $79.60 and low of $38.88.</p><p><blockquote>908 Devices股价周三收盘下跌6.18%,至46.95美元。52周高点为79.60美元,低点为38.88美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Pluristem Therapeutics Inc</b>PSTI 2.09%: Sold 2,220 shares of the Israel-based stemcell company, representing about 0.0001% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Pluristem治疗公司</b>PSTI 2.09%:出售2,220股以色列干细胞公司股票,约占ETF的0.0001%。</blockquote></p><p> Pluristem stock closed 2.09% higher at $4.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $13.29 and low of $3.95.</p><p><blockquote>Pluristem股价周三收盘上涨2.09%,至4.89美元。52周高点为13.29美元,低点为3.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%:</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ArkInnovation ETF</b>ARKK 2.33%:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom Video Communications Inc</b>ZM 2.03%: Bought 98,500 shares of the video calling company, representing about 0.1326% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>ZM 2.03%:购买了98,500股视频通话公司股票,约占ETF的0.1326%。</blockquote></p><p> Zoom stock closed 2.03% lower at $323.08 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $588.84 and low of $109.57.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom股价周三收盘下跌2.03%,至323.08美元。52周高点为588.84美元,低点为109.57美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10X Genomics Inc</b>TXG 6.03%: Bought 111,047 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.0865% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>10X基因组学公司</b>TXG 6.03%:买入基因测序生物技术公司111,047股,约占ETF的0.0865%。</blockquote></p><p> 10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.</p><p><blockquote>10X股价周三收盘下跌6.03%,至185.34美元。52周高点为201.70美元,低点为58.11美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trimble Inc</b>TRMB 3.84%: Bought 237,782 shares of the California-based hardware, software and services technology company, representing about 0.0813% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>天宝公司</b>TRMB 3.84%:购买了这家总部位于加州的硬件、软件和服务技术公司的237,782股股票,约占ETF的0.0813%。</blockquote></p><p> Trimble shares closed 3.84% lower at $79.74 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $84.86 and low of $30.87.</p><p><blockquote>Trimble股价周三收盘下跌3.84%,至79.74美元。52周高点为84.86美元,低点为30.87美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir Technologies Inc</b>PLTR 1.57%: Bought 1,045,600 shares of the big data analytics company, representing about 0.1007% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir技术公司</b>PLTR 1.57%:购买了这家大数据分析公司1,045,600股股票,约占ETF的0.1007%。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir shares closed 1.59% lower at $22.90 on Wednesday and rose 1.05% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $45 and low of $8.90.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir股价周三收盘下跌1.59%,至22.90美元,盘后上涨1.05%。52周高点为45美元,低点为8.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Docusign Inc</b>DOCU: Bought 103,783 shares of the online signature services company, representing about 0.0891% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Docusign公司</b>DOCU:购买了在线签名服务公司103,783股,约占ETF的0.0891%。</blockquote></p><p> Docusign shares closed flat at $205.71 on Wednesday and were up 0.63% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $290.23 and low of $85.84.</p><p><blockquote>Docusign股价周三收于205.71美元,盘后交易中上涨0.63%。该股52周高点为290.23美元,低点为85.84美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>DraftKings Inc</b>DKNG 2.68%: Bought 610,847 shares of the daily fantasy sports company, representing about 0.1595% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>DraftKings公司</b>DKNG 2.68%:购买每日幻想体育公司610,847股,约占ETF的0.1595%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings shares closed 2.68% lower at $62.09 on Wednesday and were up 0.64% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $74.38 and low of $12.68.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings股价周三收盘下跌2.68%,至62.09美元,盘后上涨0.64%。52周高点为74.38美元,低点为12.68美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades for<b>ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF</b>(BATS:ARKQ):</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>ARK自主技术与机器人ETF</b>(蝙蝠:ARKQ):</blockquote></p><p> <b>Atlas Crest Investment Corp</b>ACIC 1.35%: Bought 71,635 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.0214% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>阿特拉斯克雷斯特投资公司</b>ACIC 1.35%:购买了71,635股空白支票公司股票,约占ETF的0.0214%。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas Crest股价周三收盘下跌1.57%,至10.06美元,盘后交易中上涨1.89%。该股52周高点为18.60美元,低点为9.73美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Alphabet Inc</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%: Sold 16,651 Class C shares of the Google parent company, representing about 1.10% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Alphabet公司</b>GOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%:出售16,651股谷歌母公司C类股票,约占ETF的1.10%。</blockquote></p><p> Alphabet shares closed 1.35% higher at $2239.03 on Wednesday and were up 0.40% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $2,244.50 and low of $1,177.25.</p><p><blockquote>Alphabet股价周三收盘上涨1.35%,至2239.03美元,盘后上涨0.40%。该股52周高点为2,244.50美元,低点为1,177.25美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Iridium Communications Inc</b>IRDM 2.05%: Bought 59,521 shares of the mobile<b>satellite communications</b>services, representing about 0.0705% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>铱星通信公司</b>IRDM 2.05%:购买59,521股mobile股票<b>卫星通信</b>服务,约占ETF的0.0705%。</blockquote></p><p> Iridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.</p><p><blockquote>铱星股价收盘下跌2.05%,至40.07美元,盘后交易中上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为54.65美元,低点为19.18美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Kratos Defense & Security Solutions</b>KTOS 2.34%: Bought 313,506 shares of the U.S. defense contractor and security systems integrator company, representing about 0.2583% of the company.</p><p><blockquote><b>奎托斯防御与安全解决方案</b>KTOS 2.34%:购买了这家美国国防承包商和安全系统集成商公司的313,506股股票,约占该公司的0.2583%。</blockquote></p><p> Kratos Defense shares closed 2.34% lower at $27.97 on Wednesday and were up 1.07% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $34.11 and low of $13.34.</p><p><blockquote>Kratos Defense股价周三收盘下跌2.34%,至27.97美元,盘后上涨1.07%。该股52周高点为34.11美元,低点为13.34美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co</b>TSM 2.06%: Sold 97,700 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.3467% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>台积电制造公司。Co</b>TSM 2.06%:出售这家半导体制造和设计公司的97,700股股票,约占ETF的0.3467%。</blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股价周三收盘下跌2.08%,至119.89美元。52周高点为142.20美元,低点为47.72美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Teradyne Inc</b>TER 0.45%: Sold 98,161 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.3802% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰瑞达公司</b>TER 0.45%:出售这家设备设计和制造公司的98,161股,约占ETF的0.3802%。</blockquote></p><p> Teradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.</p><p><blockquote>泰瑞达股价收盘下跌0.45%,至131.78美元。该股52周高点为147.90美元,低点为56.42美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deere & Co</b>DE 0.28%: Sold 37,795 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4162% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>Deere公司</b>DE 0.28%:出售这家农业、建筑和林业设备制造商的37,795股股票,约占ETF的0.4162%。</blockquote></p><p> Deere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.</p><p><blockquote>Deere股价收盘下跌0.22%,至374.79美元。该股52周高点为392.42美元,低点为117.85美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Caterpillar Inc</b>CAT 0.11%: Sold 59,610 shares of the agriculture, construction, mining and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4051% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>卡特彼勒公司</b>CAT 0.11%:出售了这家农业、建筑、采矿和林业设备制造商的59,610股股票,约占ETF的0.4051%。</blockquote></p><p> Caterpillar shares closed 0.1% lower at $230.41.The stock has a 52-week high of $237.78 and low of $100.22.</p><p><blockquote>卡特彼勒股价收盘下跌0.1%,至230.41美元。该股52周高点为237.78美元,低点为100.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> Trades For<b>ARK Next Generation Internet ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</p><p><blockquote>交易为<b>方舟下一代互联网ETF</b>ARKW 1.62%</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trade Desk Inc</b>TTD 1.23%: Bought 23,750 shares of the technology platform for ad buyers company, representing about 0.23% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>贸易台公司</b>TTD 1.23%:为广告买家公司购买了23,750股技术平台股票,约占ETF的0.23%。</blockquote></p><p> Trade Desk shares closed 1.23% higher at $677.87 on Wednesday and were up 0.31% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $972.80 and low of $190.29.</p><p><blockquote>Trade Desk股价周三收盘上涨1.23%,至677.87美元,盘后上涨0.31%。52周高点为972.80美元,低点为190.29美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingClub Corp</b>LC 0.95%: Bought 150,245 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0337% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingClub公司</b>LC 0.95%:购买了150,245股P2P借贷公司股票,约占ETF的0.0337%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> LendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.</p><p><blockquote>LendingClub股价周三收盘下跌0.88%,至15.7美元。52周高点为22.68美元,低点为4.32美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Synopsys Inc</b>SNPS 0.14%: Sold 70,396 shares of the electronic design automation company, representing about 0.2588% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>新思科技公司</b>SNPS 0.14%:出售70,396股电子设计自动化公司股票,约占ETF的0.2588%。</blockquote></p><p> Synopsys shares closed 0.14% lower at $257 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $300.91 and low of $133.27.</p><p><blockquote>Synopsys股价周三收盘下跌0.14%,至257美元。52周高点为300.91美元,低点为133.27美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>LendingTree Inc</b>TREE 5.34%: Sold 12,129 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0406% of the ETF.</p><p><blockquote><b>LendingTree公司</b>TREE 5.34%:出售在线借贷市场公司12,129股股票,约占ETF的0.0406%。</blockquote></p><p> LendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.</p><p><blockquote>LendingTree股价周三收盘上涨5.34%,至229.26美元。52周高点为372.64美元,低点为175美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112389819","content_text":"Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management sends out an email every night listing the stocks that were bought or sold by the firm's ETFs that day. In recent months, the emails have known to cause certain stocks to see a spike in the after-hours session. Here’s a list of 35 stocks that the hedge fund bought and sold on Wednesday.\nTrades ForArkSpace Exploration & Innovation ETFARKX 1.32%:\nAtlas Crest Investment CorpACIC 1.35%: Bought 141,100 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.2503% of the ETF.\nAtlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.\nJaws Spitfire Acquisition CorpSPFR 0.38%: Bought 241,618 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.4389% of the ETF.\nJaws stock closed 0.3% higher at $10.46 on Wednesday and rose 1.91% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $12.10 and low of $9.95.\nIridium Communications IncIRDM 2.05%: Bought 35,963 shares of the mobilesatellite communicationsservices, representing about 0.2525% of the ETF.\nSee Also:The First 39 Companies In Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Space ETF\nIridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.\nReinvent Technology PartnersRTP 0.2%: Bought 140,900 shares of the blank-check company, representing 0.2496% of the ETF.\nReinvent shares closed 0.39% lower at $10.11 and were up 1% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $17 and low of $9.86.\nTeradyne IncTER 0.45%: Sold 11,302 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.259% of the ETF.\nTeradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.\nDeere & CoDE 0.28%: Sold 7,781 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.5072% of the ETF.\nDeere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.\nAeroVironment IncAVAV 3.44%: Sold 5,100 shares in the California-headquartered defense contractor, representing about 0.10% of the ETF.\nAeroVironment stock closed 3.44% lower at $113.37 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $143.72 and low of $53.15.\nTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg. CoTSM 2.06%: Sold 28,749 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.603% of the ETF.\nTaiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.\nTrades ForArk Fintech Innovation ETFARKF 1.24%:\nBase IncBAINF 0.97%: Bought 313,000 shares in Tokyo of the online services company that develops and builds e-commerce platforms, representing about 0.1195% of the ETF.\nBase OTC stock closed 0.97% higher at $15.65 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $179 and low of $14.61.\nYeahka LtdYHEKF: Bought 997,200 shares in Hong Kong of the payment-based technology platform, representing about 0.18% of the ETF.\nYeahka stock closed 0.64% lower at $7.75 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $15.28 and low of $4.78.\nLendingClub CorpLC 0.95%: Bought 204,348 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0789% of the ETF.\nLendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.\nLendingTree IncTREE 5.34%: Sold 15,762 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0824% of the ETF.\nLendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.\nTrades ForArk Genomic Revolution ETFARKG 3.26%:\n10X Genomics IncTXG 6.03%: Bought 78,908 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.1526% of the ETF.\n10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.\nSignify Health IncSGFY 3.65%: Bought 182,193 shares of the healthcare tech company, representing about 0.0508% of the ETF.\nSignify shares closed 4.08% lower at $26.35 on Wednesday and were up 0.53% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $40.79 and low of $22.13.\nRepare Therapeutics IncRPTX 0.78%: Bought 10,700 shares of the Canadian oncology company, representing about 0.0035% of the ETF.\nRepare stock closed 0.78% higher at $30.96 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $46.44 and low of $21.45.\n908 Devices IncMASS 6.18%: Bought 51,661 shares of the purpose-built handheld and devices for chemical and biomolecular analysis maker, representing about 0.0273% of the ETF.\n908 Devices stock closed 6.18% lower at $46.95 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $79.60 and low of $38.88.\nPluristem Therapeutics IncPSTI 2.09%: Sold 2,220 shares of the Israel-based stemcell company, representing about 0.0001% of the ETF.\nPluristem stock closed 2.09% higher at $4.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $13.29 and low of $3.95.\nTrades ForArkInnovation ETFARKK 2.33%:\nZoom Video Communications IncZM 2.03%: Bought 98,500 shares of the video calling company, representing about 0.1326% of the ETF.\nZoom stock closed 2.03% lower at $323.08 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $588.84 and low of $109.57.\n10X Genomics IncTXG 6.03%: Bought 111,047 shares of the gene sequencing biotechnology company, representing about 0.0865% of the ETF.\n10X shares closed 6.03% lower at $185.34 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $201.70 and low of $58.11.\nTrimble IncTRMB 3.84%: Bought 237,782 shares of the California-based hardware, software and services technology company, representing about 0.0813% of the ETF.\nTrimble shares closed 3.84% lower at $79.74 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $84.86 and low of $30.87.\nPalantir Technologies IncPLTR 1.57%: Bought 1,045,600 shares of the big data analytics company, representing about 0.1007% of the ETF.\nPalantir shares closed 1.59% lower at $22.90 on Wednesday and rose 1.05% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $45 and low of $8.90.\nDocusign IncDOCU: Bought 103,783 shares of the online signature services company, representing about 0.0891% of the ETF.\nDocusign shares closed flat at $205.71 on Wednesday and were up 0.63% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $290.23 and low of $85.84.\nDraftKings IncDKNG 2.68%: Bought 610,847 shares of the daily fantasy sports company, representing about 0.1595% of the ETF.\nDraftKings shares closed 2.68% lower at $62.09 on Wednesday and were up 0.64% in the after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $74.38 and low of $12.68.\nTrades forARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF(BATS:ARKQ):\nAtlas Crest Investment CorpACIC 1.35%: Bought 71,635 shares of the blank check company, representing about 0.0214% of the ETF.\nAtlas Crest shares closed 1.57% lower at $10.06 on Wednesday and were up 1.89% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $18.60 and low of $9.73.\nAlphabet IncGOOGL 1.35%GOOG 1.12%: Sold 16,651 Class C shares of the Google parent company, representing about 1.10% of the ETF.\nAlphabet shares closed 1.35% higher at $2239.03 on Wednesday and were up 0.40% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $2,244.50 and low of $1,177.25.\nIridium Communications IncIRDM 2.05%: Bought 59,521 shares of the mobilesatellite communicationsservices, representing about 0.0705% of the ETF.\nIridium shares closed 2.05% lower at $40.07 and were up 1.07% in after-hours trading. The stock has a 52-week high of $54.65 and low of $19.18.\nKratos Defense & Security SolutionsKTOS 2.34%: Bought 313,506 shares of the U.S. defense contractor and security systems integrator company, representing about 0.2583% of the company.\nKratos Defense shares closed 2.34% lower at $27.97 on Wednesday and were up 1.07% in the after-hours. The stock has a 52-week high of $34.11 and low of $13.34.\nTaiwan Semiconductor Mfg. CoTSM 2.06%: Sold 97,700 shares in the semiconductor manufacturing and design company, representing about 0.3467% of the ETF.\nTaiwan Semiconductor stock closed 2.08% lower at $119.89 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $142.20 and low of $47.72.\nTeradyne IncTER 0.45%: Sold 98,161 shares of the equipment design and manufacturing company, representing about 0.3802% of the ETF.\nTeradyne shares closed 0.45% lower at $131.78. The stock has a 52-week high of $147.90 and low of $56.42.\nDeere & CoDE 0.28%: Sold 37,795 shares of the agriculture, construction and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4162% of the ETF.\nDeere shares closed 0.22% lower at $374.79.The stock has a 52-week high of $392.42 and low of $117.85.\nCaterpillar IncCAT 0.11%: Sold 59,610 shares of the agriculture, construction, mining and forestry equipment maker, representing about 0.4051% of the ETF.\nCaterpillar shares closed 0.1% lower at $230.41.The stock has a 52-week high of $237.78 and low of $100.22.\nTrades ForARK Next Generation Internet ETFARKW 1.62%\nTrade Desk IncTTD 1.23%: Bought 23,750 shares of the technology platform for ad buyers company, representing about 0.23% of the ETF.\nTrade Desk shares closed 1.23% higher at $677.87 on Wednesday and were up 0.31% in after-hours. It has a 52-week high of $972.80 and low of $190.29.\nLendingClub CorpLC 0.95%: Bought 150,245 shares of the peer-to-peer lending company, representing about 0.0337% of the ETF.\nLendingClub stock closed 0.88% lower at $15.7 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $22.68 and low of $4.32.\nSynopsys IncSNPS 0.14%: Sold 70,396 shares of the electronic design automation company, representing about 0.2588% of the ETF.\nSynopsys shares closed 0.14% lower at $257 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $300.91 and low of $133.27.\nLendingTree IncTREE 5.34%: Sold 12,129 shares of the online lending marketplace company, representing about 0.0406% of the ETF.\nLendingTree stock closed 5.34% higher at $229.26 on Wednesday. It has a 52-week high of $372.64 and low of $175.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340156247,"gmtCreate":1617361327689,"gmtModify":1634521246203,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment!","listText":"Like and comment!","text":"Like and comment!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340156247","repostId":"2124388787","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":779,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130531109,"gmtCreate":1621556089201,"gmtModify":1631890165845,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ij","listText":"Ij","text":"Ij","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130531109","repostId":"2137763179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104868874,"gmtCreate":1620375515098,"gmtModify":1631890165902,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok sure","listText":"Ok sure","text":"Ok sure","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104868874","repostId":"1157328258","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157328258","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620360165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157328258?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 12:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊:最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157328258","media":"Seeking alpha","summary":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entere","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限,甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言,AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于DCF的亚马逊股价目标显示30%的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景,而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上个季度的业绩对亚马逊(AMZN)进行了全面的分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先,我们来评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊上个季度的增长是加速还是放缓。为此,让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”部分的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下,这里观察到了接近线性的趋势。现在,它已经成为指数级增长:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”(Amazon Prime)细分市场——这里的加速仍然存在,上个季度的结果好于趋势:</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”(广告服务)部门也显示出显着的加速:</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘Amazon Web Services’的增长趋势有所放缓,但从上个季度的结果来看,有逐渐回归之前的趋势:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看,亚马逊的营收也明显好于趋势:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此,从统计上,而不是主观上,我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键细分市场</b></i><i>.在我看来,这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去10年中,亚马逊的资本化与其收入呈定性线性关系:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系,并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响,有可能建立另一个模型,使我们能够确定公司资本化的平衡水平。此外,该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本的增长。这是这个模型:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的,首先,这个模型表明公司当前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次,它假设</i><i><b>25%增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一个模块中,我根据收入对亚马逊的均衡价格进行了建模。值得注意的是,如果我们用同样的方法使用倍数对公司进行比较估值,我们就会失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数来成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整后的远期市盈率(下一财年)倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能:</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的,从这个倍数来看,亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时,我从分析师的平均预期出发:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:寻求Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时,我也从分析师对公司每股收益增长的预期出发,并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来,在终端年将营业利润率逐步提高到8%是一个非常现实的情况。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源:作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释:</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率,我使用了equityriskpremium(4.72%)和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率(1.6%)。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值(0.92)。在最后一年,我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本,我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>以下是模型本身:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>(高分辨率)</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源:作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊股票基于DCF的目标价为4,280美元,上涨空间为29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限,甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说,这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段的事实并不意味着其市值不断被低估。但在这种情况下,根据公司的资本化和收入参数之间的模式,我们可以得出结论,公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较,必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的DCF模型分析师表示低估了30%。今年年初,类似的模型显示估值被低估了20%。</li><li>当你看亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时,你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来,<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题的公司更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊:最明显被低估的公司</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: The Most Clearly Undervalued Company<blockquote>亚马逊:最明显被低估的公司</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 12:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.</li><li>In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.</li><li>DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.</li></ul>I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限,甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。</li><li>就比较估值而言,AMZN相对于市场被低估。</li><li>基于DCF的亚马逊股价目标显示30%的上涨潜力。但我认为这甚至不是一个基本的情景,而是一个悲观的情景。</li></ul>我根据上个季度的业绩对亚马逊(AMZN)进行了全面的分析。</blockquote></p><p>#1 Price vs. Growth</p><p><blockquote>#1价格与增长</blockquote></p><p>First of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.</p><p><blockquote>首先,我们来评估一下我们是否可以从统计数据上说明亚马逊上个季度的增长是加速还是放缓。为此,让我们比较一下有和没有过去四个季度业绩的公司关键部门的收入增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:</p><p><blockquote>“在线商店”部分的动态显示出质的突破。在不考虑过去四个季度的情况下,这里观察到了接近线性的趋势。现在,它已经成为指数级增长:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bac49a9df0e5b978dc15e20bedfce3da\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:</p><p><blockquote>“第三方卖家服务”细分市场——指数级增长仍在继续:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b58df42726bc01c8a5e5c2940d0476d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>“订阅服务”(Amazon Prime)细分市场——这里的加速仍然存在,上个季度的结果好于趋势:</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a58095394bdd79d561166a74942a9e55\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>“其他”(广告服务)部门也显示出显着的加速:</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>The growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:</p><p><blockquote>‘Amazon Web Services’的增长趋势有所放缓,但从上个季度的结果来看,有逐渐回归之前的趋势:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07069ccaab37c32eed56da69881e7bce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Geographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:</p><p><blockquote>从地域上看,亚马逊的营收也明显好于趋势:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1d9246e5c01aac6c62e49ad7cd73e2c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e7276161a3d2b2159ab3d727d3cb7d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>So, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growth</i><i><b>in all key segments</b></i><i>. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>因此,从统计上,而不是主观上,我们应该认识到公司增长的加速</i><i><b>在所有关键细分市场</b></i><i>.在我看来,这正是人们对亚马逊的期望。</i></blockquote></p><p>Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:</p><p><blockquote>更远地。在过去10年中,亚马逊的资本化与其收入呈定性线性关系:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f105c314902d29dae4d0f0e400aa2245\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>There is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:</p><p><blockquote>公司营收增速对其倍数也有一定影响:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8beca01b5624a15aab79465c580ded6b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p>Based on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:</p><p><blockquote>基于这两种关系,并考虑到美国货币存量增长的影响,有可能建立另一个模型,使我们能够确定公司资本化的平衡水平。此外,该模型允许根据分析师当前对公司未来四个季度收入增长的预期来模拟公司资本的增长。这是这个模型:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/083fa1dc350e5e54cc7d3145744c9e4c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d63f0cff5e0dd83343d26ee90552a033\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is already</i><i><b>below the balanced level</b></i><i>. And secondly, it assumes a</i><i><b>25% growth</b></i><i>in capitalization in the next four quarters.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的,首先,这个模型表明公司当前的价格已经</i><i><b>低于平衡水平</b></i><i>其次,它假设</i><i><b>25%增长</b></i><i>未来四个季度的资本化。</i></blockquote></p><p>#2 Comparative Valuation</p><p><blockquote>#2比较估值</blockquote></p><p>In the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:</p><p><blockquote>在上一个模块中,我根据收入对亚马逊的均衡价格进行了建模。值得注意的是,如果我们用同样的方法使用倍数对公司进行比较估值,我们就会失败。至少我还没有找到一个基于收入的倍数来成功地将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较。但根据预期每股收益年增长率调整后的远期市盈率(下一财年)倍数使得找到合适的模型成为可能:</blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97ac0310bcef622e12c8c21d46979f7e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7573ff8a7fc00719a51042f09fc989\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:VisualizedAnalytics.com</i></blockquote></p><p><i>As you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>正如你所看到的,从这个倍数来看,亚马逊被严重低估了。</i></blockquote></p><p>#3 Discounted Cash Flow Model</p><p><blockquote>#3贴现现金流模型</blockquote></p><p>When predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊未来十年的收入时,我从分析师的平均预期出发:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f41298db73dbcd92469026cc4e767c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Seeking Alpha Pro</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源:寻求Alpha Pro</i></blockquote></p><p>When predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.</p><p><blockquote>在预测亚马逊营业利润率的动态时,我也从分析师对公司每股收益增长的预期出发,并考虑到税率逐渐提高到25%。在我看来,在终端年将营业利润率逐步提高到8%是一个非常现实的情况。</blockquote></p><p>Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:</p><p><blockquote>以下是加权平均资本成本的计算:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/759163398701e54efd7cfabd11a0867d\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源:作者</i></blockquote></p><p>Some explanations:</p><p><blockquote>一些解释:</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).</li><li>I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.</li><li>To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.</li></ul>Here is the model itself:</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>为了计算市场回报率,我使用了equityriskpremium(4.72%)和UST10的当前收益率作为无风险利率(1.6%)。</li><li>我使用了三年贝塔系数的当前值(0.92)。在最后一年,我使用Beta等于1。</li><li>为了计算债务成本,我使用2019年和2020年的利息支出除以同年的债务价值。</li></ul>以下是模型本身:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df02bca01b3ef74d3b640d95eb00590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"528\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">(In high resolution)</p><p><blockquote>(高分辨率)</blockquote></p><p><i>Source: Author</i></p><p><blockquote><i>来源:作者</i></blockquote></p><p><i>The DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>亚马逊股票基于DCF的目标价为4,280美元,上涨空间为29%。</i></blockquote></p><p>Final thoughts</p><p><blockquote>最后的想法</blockquote></p><p><ol><li>Amazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.</li><li>The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company is<b>undervalued</b>.</li><li>Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company is<b>much cheaper</b>than the market.</li><li>DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.</li><li>When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,<i>it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems</i>.</li></ol></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>亚马逊是增长尚未达到极限,甚至还没有进入平台期的公司之一。从某种意义上说,这是一家拥有730亿美元现金的初创公司。</li><li>亚马逊仍处于加速阶段的事实并不意味着其市值不断被低估。但在这种情况下,根据公司的资本化和收入参数之间的模式,我们可以得出结论,公司是<b>被低估</b>.</li><li>通过预期每股收益增长的棱镜将亚马逊与其他公司进行比较,必须承认该公司是<b>便宜多了</b>比市场。</li><li>基于平均预期的DCF模型分析师表示低估了30%。今年年初,类似的模型显示估值被低估了20%。</li><li>当你看亚马逊未来十年的收入预测时,你会意识到该公司将面临增长问题。但在我看来,<i>投资一家面临增长问题的公司比投资老龄化问题的公司更好</i>.</li></ol></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company\">Seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4424794-amazon-clearly-undervalued-company","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157328258","content_text":"SummaryAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase.In terms of comparative valuation, AMZN is undervalued against the market.DCF-based Amazon stock price target suggests 30% upside potential. But I think this is not even a basic scenario, but a pessimistic scenario.I present my comprehensive Amazon (AMZN) analysis in light of the results of the last quarter.#1 Price vs. GrowthFirst of all, let's assess whether we can statistically state that Amazon's growth has accelerated or slowed down in the last quarter. To do this, let's compare the revenue growth trends of the key segments of the company with and without the results of the last four quarters.The dynamics of the 'Online Stores' segment showed a qualitative breakthrough. Without taking into account the last four quarters, a near-linear trend was observed here. Now, it has become exponential:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Third-Party Seller Services' segment - the exponential growth continues:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Subscription Services' (Amazon Prime) segment - here the acceleration remains, and the result of the last quarter was better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe 'Other' (advertising services) segment has also showed a significant acceleration:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThe growth trend of 'Amazon Web Services' has slowed down, but judging by the results of the last quarter, there is a gradual return to the previous trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comGeographically, Amazon's revenue was also significantly better than the trend:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comSo, statistically, not subjectively, we should recognize the acceleration of the company's growthin all key segments. In my opinion, this is exactly what is expected from Amazon.Further. Over the last 10 years, Amazon's capitalization has been in a qualitative linear relationship with its revenue:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comThere is also a certain influence of the company's revenue growth rate on its multiples:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comBased on these two relationships and taking into account the influence of the growth of theM2 money stockin the US, it is possible to build another model that allows us to determine the balanced level of the company's capitalization. In addition, this model allows to model the growth of the company's capitalization based on the current expectations of analysts regarding the company's revenue growth in the next four quarters. Here is this model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, firstly, this model indicates that the company's current price is alreadybelow the balanced level. And secondly, it assumes a25% growthin capitalization in the next four quarters.#2 Comparative ValuationIn the previous block, I modeled Amazon's balanced price based on revenue. What is remarkable is that if we apply the same approach to the comparative valuation of the company using multiples, we will fail. At least I have not been able to find a single revenue-based multiple that would make it possible to successfully compare Amazon to other companies. But the forward P/E (next FY) multiple adjusted by the expected EPS annual growth rate made it possible to find a suitable model:Source: VisualizedAnalytics.comAs you can see, judging by this multiple, Amazon is significantly undervalued.#3 Discounted Cash Flow ModelWhen predicting Amazon's revenue for the next decade, I proceeded from the average expectations ofanalysts:Source: Seeking Alpha ProWhen predicting the dynamics of Amazon's operating margin, I also proceeded from analysts'expectationsregarding the growth of the company's EPS, and taking into account the gradual increase in the tax rate to 25%. In my opinion, a gradual increase in the operating margin to 8% in the terminal year is a very realistic scenario.Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:Source: AuthorSome explanations:In order to calculate the market rate of return, I used values of equityriskpremium (4.72%) and the current yield of UST10 as a risk-free rate (1.6%).I used the currentvalueof the three-year beta coefficient (0.92). For the terminal year, I used Beta equal to 1.To calculate the Cost of Debt, I used the interest expense for 2019 and 2020 divided by the debt value for the same years.Here is the model itself:(In high resolution)Source: AuthorThe DCF-based target price of Amazon's shares is $4,280, offering 29% upside.Final thoughtsAmazon is one of the companies whose growth has not yet reached its limit and not even entered the plateau phase. In a sense, this is a startup with $73 billion cash.The fact that Amazon remains in the acceleration phase does not mean that its capitalization is constantly undervalued. But in this case, based on the patterns between the company's capitalization and the parameters of its revenue, we can conclude that the company isundervalued.Comparing Amazon to other companies through the prism of expected EPS growth, it must be admitted that the company ismuch cheaperthan the market.DCF model based on average expectations analysts indicate a 30% undervaluation. At the start of the year, a similarmodelindicated a 20% undervaluation.When you look at Amazon's revenue forecast for the next decade, you realize that the company will face growth problems. But in my opinion,it is better to invest in a company facing growth problems than aging problems.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":617,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356430197,"gmtCreate":1616804906119,"gmtModify":1634523934964,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Making post pls like","listText":"Making post pls like","text":"Making post pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356430197","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股8.02美元,比该公司9.5美元的IPO价格低约15.6%。知乎IPO价格处于区间低端,公司估值约为53亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五宣布其首次公开募股定价为每股美国存托股9.50美元,处于预期区间的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中发行了5500万份ADS,筹集了5.225亿美元,而该公司的定价约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎的商业模式与Quora相似,数百万人提问并交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为国内最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年内逐渐下降,因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们预计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%,在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年和2025年分别增至31.5%和37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足其所有销售和营销需求,包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下,公司毛利率从2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率在2021年和2025年进一步提高至57.4%和62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用和营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总运营费用占收入的百分比由2019年的204.4%大幅下降至2020年的100.6%。我们预计这一比例将在2021年进一步提高至79%,2022年为69.2%,2025年为57.2%。运营费用的改善大部分来自未来五年SG&A和R&D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>2020年底,知乎累计有超过4310万内容创作者,贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度,该公司平均月活跃用户为7570万,同比增长33%。该公司的关键优势之一是,它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一,并被视为提供中国最优质的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能,包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月,知乎获得了包括百度和快手科技在内的领先投资者4.34亿美元的融资,公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元,这意味着市盈率估值倍数为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率倍数应用于该公司2020年2.07亿美元的销售额,这将表明隐含估值为75亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初是在2010年作为一个问答在线社区开发的。截至2020年底,共有3.15亿次问答,跨越1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。按2020年平均移动月活跃用户数及收入计,知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周元拥有该公司8.2%的股份(但拥有46.6%的投票权)。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份,腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性用户占总用户的56.9%。30岁以下人群占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市佔总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领专业人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。该公司的广告收入主要由其月活跃用户数和每个月活跃用户数的广告收入推动。2020年,公司月活跃用户数同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务,并于2018年引入付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年,月均会员同比增长311.5%至236万,这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月,公司推出Yan Selection会员计划,使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了对约340万个付费内容的无限制访问,包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一,因为它显示了高质量的数据和内容如何能够产生大量收入,并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足其所有销售和营销需求,包括营销计划、为感兴趣的用户分配最相关的内容创作者以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将成为未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询的资料,中国内容商务解决方案市场预期于2019年至2025年将享有46.4%的强劲复合年增长率(1,123亿元人民币)。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指专注于UGC(用户生成内容)(包括PUGC(专业用户生成内容))的在线内容市场参与者,其中内容创作者也是用户,他们积极参与社区。与PGC(专业生成内容)玩家相比,内容社区通常可以激发更高水平的用户参与度、更具互动性的用户体验,并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由2015年的386亿元人民币增至2019年的2758亿元人民币,预计将进一步增至2025年的1.3万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为30.3%,高于整体在线内容市场增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道,包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电商、内容电商解决方案、直播虚拟礼品、在线游戏及在线教育服务。相比之下,美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一个主要积极因素是,越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。预计2019年至2025年期间,中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量将以17.1%的复合年增长率增长,这意味着在线内容社区的额外付费用户将增加3.604亿至2025年的5.882亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场较2015年增长两倍,2019年达到1.2万亿人民币。预计该市场将于2025年增至3.7万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国在线内容市场规模(以收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国在线内容社区的市场规模(以收益计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国付费会员市场规模(以收入计),2015年至2025年(估计)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务,在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供综合内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务,从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者,到向感兴趣的用户分发。中国内容商务解决方案市场预期将由2019年的人民币114亿元增长至2025年的人民币1123亿元,复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国内容商务解决方案市场规模(以收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股8.02美元,比该公司9.5美元的IPO价格低约15.6%。知乎IPO价格处于区间低端,公司估值约为53亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五宣布其首次公开募股定价为每股美国存托股9.50美元,处于预期区间的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中发行了5500万份ADS,筹集了5.225亿美元,而该公司的定价约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎的商业模式与Quora相似,数百万人提问并交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为国内最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年内逐渐下降,因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们预计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%,在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年和2025年分别增至31.5%和37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足其所有销售和营销需求,包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下,公司毛利率从2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率在2021年和2025年进一步提高至57.4%和62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用和营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总运营费用占收入的百分比由2019年的204.4%大幅下降至2020年的100.6%。我们预计这一比例将在2021年进一步提高至79%,2022年为69.2%,2025年为57.2%。运营费用的改善大部分来自未来五年SG&A和R&D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>2020年底,知乎累计有超过4310万内容创作者,贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度,该公司平均月活跃用户为7570万,同比增长33%。该公司的关键优势之一是,它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一,并被视为提供中国最优质的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能,包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月,知乎获得了包括百度和快手科技在内的领先投资者4.34亿美元的融资,公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元,这意味着市盈率估值倍数为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率倍数应用于该公司2020年2.07亿美元的销售额,这将表明隐含估值为75亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初是在2010年作为一个问答在线社区开发的。截至2020年底,共有3.15亿次问答,跨越1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。按2020年平均移动月活跃用户数及收入计,知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周元拥有该公司8.2%的股份(但拥有46.6%的投票权)。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份,腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性用户占总用户的56.9%。30岁以下人群占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市佔总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领专业人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年,广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。该公司的广告收入主要由其月活跃用户数和每个月活跃用户数的广告收入推动。2020年,公司月活跃用户数同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务,并于2018年引入付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%,2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年,月均会员同比增长311.5%至236万,这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月,公司推出Yan Selection会员计划,使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了对约340万个付费内容的无限制访问,包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一,因为它显示了高质量的数据和内容如何能够产生大量收入,并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初,该公司推出了内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌提供一站式服务,满足其所有销售和营销需求,包括营销计划、为感兴趣的用户分配最相关的内容创作者以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将成为未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询的资料,中国内容商务解决方案市场预期于2019年至2025年将享有46.4%的强劲复合年增长率(1,123亿元人民币)。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指专注于UGC(用户生成内容)(包括PUGC(专业用户生成内容))的在线内容市场参与者,其中内容创作者也是用户,他们积极参与社区。与PGC(专业生成内容)玩家相比,内容社区通常可以激发更高水平的用户参与度、更具互动性的用户体验,并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由2015年的386亿元人民币增至2019年的2758亿元人民币,预计将进一步增至2025年的1.3万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为30.3%,高于整体在线内容市场增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道,包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电商、内容电商解决方案、直播虚拟礼品、在线游戏及在线教育服务。相比之下,美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一个主要积极因素是,越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。预计2019年至2025年期间,中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量将以17.1%的复合年增长率增长,这意味着在线内容社区的额外付费用户将增加3.604亿至2025年的5.882亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场较2015年增长两倍,2019年达到1.2万亿人民币。预计该市场将于2025年增至3.7万亿元人民币,2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国在线内容市场规模(以收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国在线内容社区的市场规模(以收益计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国付费会员市场规模(以收入计),2015年至2025年(估计)</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务,在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供综合内容商务解决方案,为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务,从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者,到向感兴趣的用户分发。中国内容商务解决方案市场预期将由2019年的人民币114亿元增长至2025年的人民币1123亿元,复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年(估计)中国内容商务解决方案市场规模(以收入计)</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327305449,"gmtCreate":1616056437781,"gmtModify":1703496969908,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment on my comment for comment","listText":"Please comment on my comment for comment","text":"Please comment on my comment for comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327305449","repostId":"2120580281","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2120580281","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616055682,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2120580281?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-18 16:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix’s Scale Is The Key To Its Profitability<blockquote>Netflix的规模是其盈利的关键</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2120580281","media":"Simply Wall St.","summary":"• Netflix's strategy was to reach scale, then create its own content\n• Its library is shifting towar","content":"<p><h3><b>• Netflix's strategy was to reach scale, then create its own content</b></h3> <h3><b>• Its library is shifting towards original content</b></h3> <h3><b>• Net margins are expanding as scale takes effect</b></h3> On-demand streaming is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the most competitive industries in the 21st century. <b>Netflix (</b><b><u>NASDAQ:NFLX</u></b><b>)</b> was the pioneer back in 2007 with its “Watch Now” service. Since then, many players have joined the space - and you can’t blame them, the model of on-demand streaming is more streamlined (pardon-the-pun) and scalable than traditional distribution methods. It has provided those with valuable intellectual property such as movies and TV shows a new and efficient way to monetize these assets.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>•Netflix的战略是达到规模,然后创建自己的内容</b></h3><h3><b>•其图书馆正在向原创内容转变</b></h3><h3><b>•随着规模的发挥,净利润率正在扩大</b></h3>点播流媒体是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>21世纪最具竞争力的行业之一。<b>Netflix</b><b><u>纳斯达克:NFLX</u></b><b>)</b>是2007年推出“立即观看”服务的先驱。从那以后,许多玩家加入了这个领域——你不能责怪他们,点播流媒体的模式比传统的分发方式更加精简(原谅双关语)和可扩展。它为那些拥有电影和电视节目等有价值的知识产权的人提供了一种新的有效方式来将这些资产货币化。</blockquote></p><p> Some expect the on-demand streaming industry to reach 2 billion users by 2025, which would be a 65% increase from 2020 figures.</p><p><blockquote>一些人预计,到2025年,点播流媒体行业的用户将达到20亿,比2020年的数字增长65%。</blockquote></p><p> Being the first mover 14 years ago has allowed Netflix to get a headstart in acquiring users and building its market-leading user base of 204m. However, this lead will not be easy to maintain. In this piece, we want to cover Netflix’s strategies to get where it is today, how it could maintain its lead and what that will do to the business’ economics.</p><p><blockquote>作为14年前的先行者,Netflix在获取用户和建立2.04亿市场领先的用户群方面取得了领先地位。然而,这种领先优势并不容易保持。在这篇文章中,我们希望介绍Netflix实现今天的战略、如何保持领先地位以及这将对企业的经济效益产生什么影响。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Netflix’s strategy</b></h2> Netflix is a streaming service for content. Its strategy was simple: grow its subscriber base to reach scale quickly by distributing quality content through a great user experience. Then, once it reaches scale, create its own content to become less reliant on external studios and allow itself to generate higher margins through fixed production costs rather than variable licensing fees.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>奈飞的策略</b></h2>网飞是一个内容流媒体服务。它的策略很简单:通过出色的用户体验分发高质量的内容,扩大用户群以快速达到规模。然后,一旦它达到规模,创建自己的内容,减少对外部工作室的依赖,并允许自己通过固定的制作成本而不是可变的许可费产生更高的利润。</blockquote></p><p> In the early days, this content was all licensed from other studios that actually owned the rights. Netflix paid them licensing fees and, before the company had scale, it was at the mercy of these content providers. Until Netflix was to reach scale (a large enough paying user base), this model typically benefitted the content owners more than the content distributors.</p><p><blockquote>在早期,这些内容都是从其他实际拥有版权的工作室那里获得许可的。Netflix向他们支付了许可费,在公司形成规模之前,它受到了这些内容提供商的摆布。在Netflix达到规模(足够大的付费用户群)之前,这种模式通常比内容分销商更有利于内容所有者。</blockquote></p><p> That’s why in 2013, when the company reached 34m paying subscribers, it began to generate its own content. One of its first productions was the hugely successful and award-winning <i>House of Cards</i>. As the company has continued to grow its user base, it has continued to create its own content in house. By February 2021, when Netflix surpassed 204m paying subscribers, the company reportedly had around 1,500 Netflix original titles, which was roughly 10% of its total international library of 15,000 titles.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么在2013年,当该公司的付费用户达到3400万时,它开始生成自己的内容。它的第一部作品之一获得了巨大的成功并获奖<i>纸牌屋</i>随着该公司用户群的不断增长,它继续在内部创建自己的内容。据报道,到2021年2月,当Netflix的付费用户超过2.04亿时,该公司拥有约1,500部Netflix原创图书,约占其国际图书馆15,000部图书总数的10%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea2c3b3b37fcfc1064cfda24c06d0284\" tg-width=\"1122\" tg-height=\"1006\"><span>Source: Netflix</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:Netflix</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since Netflix has now reached scale and established a market leading position, it needs to continue doubling down on the second part of its strategy to maintain that lead, which is: make more of its own content.</p><p><blockquote>由于Netflix现在已经达到规模并建立了市场领先地位,它需要继续加倍努力实现其战略的第二部分以保持领先地位,即:制作更多自己的内容。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Maintaining its lead</b></h2> It’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> thing to generate a lead, but it’s another to maintain it. Since there’s plenty of streaming options out there such as Disney+, Amazon Prime, Youtube Premium, and users are spoilt for choice. However, while these consumers have a vast array of content at their fingertips, not all of it is “great” content and they only have so much spare time to consume it. That’s why Netflix’s goal is for consumers to “choose Netflix in their moments of free time”. To do this, Netflix knows it needs to provide unique content that is more appealing than others, and deliver it through a seamless user experience.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>保持领先地位</b></h2>这是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>产生销售线索是一回事,但保持销售线索是另一回事。因为有很多流媒体选项,如Disney+、Amazon Prime、Youtube Premium,用户的选择太多了。然而,虽然这些消费者手边有大量的内容,但并不是所有的内容都是“伟大的”内容,他们只有这么多的空闲时间来消费这些内容。这就是为什么Netflix的目标是让消费者“在空闲时间选择Netflix”。要做到这一点,Netflix知道它需要提供比其他内容更有吸引力的独特内容,并通过无缝的用户体验来交付。</blockquote></p><p> Since the company seems to have the user experience mostly in order, a lot of its focus has been on growing the amount of unique content it serves, especially its originals. And we can see Netflix’s shift in spending in the company's cost of revenue expense and the company’s content assets.</p><p><blockquote>由于该公司的用户体验似乎基本正常,因此它的大部分重点都放在增加其提供的独特内容的数量上,尤其是原创内容。我们可以看到Netflix在公司收入支出成本和公司内容资产方面的支出转变。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix’s cost of revenue is its primary expense and was $15.2bn for 2020 (61% of revenue). Two thirds of this ($10.8bn) is made up of the amortization of its content assets.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix的收入成本是其主要支出,2020年为152亿美元(占收入的61%)。其中三分之二(108亿美元)由其内容资产的摊销组成。</blockquote></p><p> Amortization is a method for writing off the cost of the content over its useful life, rather than incurring the cost up front. On average, over 90% of Netflix’s licensed or produced content is amortized over 4 years. So for example, on average, a $100m license fee for a TV show might be amortized at $25m per year over 4 years instead of all at once.</p><p><blockquote>摊销是一种在内容的使用寿命内冲销其成本的方法,而不是预先产生成本。平均而言,超过90%的网飞许可或制作内容在4年内摊销。例如,平均而言,一个电视节目1亿美元的许可费可能会在4年内以每年2500万美元的速度摊销,而不是一次全部摊销。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows just how much amortization of content has occurred leading up to 2019 as well as cash spend on content.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了截至2019年的内容摊销金额以及内容上的现金支出。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf9c9277c0f8a9fba4bf1fb9d9b5e3c5\" tg-width=\"1508\" tg-height=\"818\"><span>Source: Next Level Finance</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:下一级财经</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> You’ll notice the cash spend column beside the amortization column. Cash spend is recorded in the statement of cash flows and represents the money Netflix spends upfront to produce its own content. Importantly, this disparity between the two columns reflects that the company is spending more on producing its own content since cash spend is increasing at a faster rate than amortization.</p><p><blockquote>您会注意到摊销列旁边的现金支出列。现金支出记录在现金流量表中,代表Netflix为制作自己的内容而预先花费的资金。重要的是,两栏之间的差异反映出该公司在制作自己的内容上花费更多,因为现金支出的增长速度快于摊销。</blockquote></p><p> For 2020, content amortization reached $10.8bn and cash spend reduced to $12.5bn, but it was still higher than the amortization expense.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容摊销达到108亿美元,现金支出减少至125亿美元,但仍高于摊销费用。</blockquote></p><p> This transition of increasing spend on original content then shows up in the company’s content assets split too.</p><p><blockquote>这种增加原创内容支出的转变也体现在公司的内容资产分割中。</blockquote></p><p> In 2016, the company had $11bn worth of content assets, which was split between 86% licensed content, and 14% original content. However, by 2020, content assets reached $25bn and the split was now 54% licensed to 46% original. This shift is helping the company become less at risk of studios pulling their content, because it has more of its own to showcase.</p><p><blockquote>2016年,该公司拥有价值110亿美元的内容资产,其中86%为授权内容,14%为原创内容。然而,到2020年,内容资产达到250亿美元,现在54%是授权的,46%是原创的。这种转变有助于该公司降低工作室撤回其内容的风险,因为它有更多自己的内容可以展示。</blockquote></p><p> Releasing and owning unique titles such as Stranger Things, House of Cards, The Crown, The Witcher, or The Queen’s Gambit are crucial for Netflix to maintain its lead. It gives their existing users all the more reason to keep their subscriptions as new titles like these are released, and it gives prospective users all the more reason to sign up if they want to view these exclusives.</p><p><blockquote>发行和拥有独特的游戏,如《奇异事物》、《纸牌屋》、《王冠》、《巫师》或《女王的策略》,对于网飞保持领先地位至关重要。随着像这样的新游戏的发布,它给了他们现有的用户更多的理由保持他们的订阅,它给了潜在用户更多的理由注册,如果他们想查看这些独家新闻。</blockquote></p><p> This transition to original content is helping the company build its own moat by becoming less reliant on external providers. As Netflix becomes both the producer and distributor of a larger portion of its content library, this creates a lot of operating leverage and thus helps the company’s bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>这种向原创内容的过渡正在帮助该公司通过减少对外部提供商的依赖来建立自己的护城河。随着Netflix成为其大部分内容库的生产商和分销商,这创造了大量的运营杠杆,从而有助于公司的利润。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>How this impacts the economics</b></h2> The positive financial impact of reaching a huge operating scale in a business like Netflix cannot be understated. Additionally, the expansion of originals in its content library exaggerates the positive effects that scale has on the company’s bottom line. This effect can already be seen over the last five years, and analysts expect this to continue over the next five.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>这对经济有何影响</b></h2>在像网飞这样的企业中达到巨大的运营规模所带来的积极财务影响不可低估。此外,其内容库中原创作品的扩展夸大了规模对公司利润的积极影响。这种影响在过去五年中已经可以看到,分析师预计这种影响将在未来五年持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> In 2016, net profit margins were only 2.1% but reached 11% in 2020. This is thanks to the 120% increase in paying subscribers (to 204m) and the aforementioned increase in fixed cost original content. Looking forward, analysts expect further growth in revenue and earnings thanks to more subscriber growth and an increase in original content as a percentage of total titles. By 2025, the company is expected to double revenue to $51bn and increase earnings more than 4-fold to $12bn, which would result in further net margin expansion to 23.5%.</p><p><blockquote>2016年,净利润率仅为2.1%,但2020年达到11%。这要归功于付费用户增长120%(达到2.04亿)以及上述固定成本原创内容的增长。展望未来,分析师预计,由于订户数量的增加以及原创内容占总标题百分比的增加,收入和盈利将进一步增长。到2025年,该公司预计收入将翻一番,达到510亿美元,盈利将增长4倍以上,达到120亿美元,这将导致净利润率进一步扩大至23.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90dda28b7a97c864def67fed7695916e\" tg-width=\"1702\" tg-height=\"1186\"><span>Source: Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts - NASDAQ:NFLX - Simply Wall St</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:盈利和收入增长预测-纳斯达克:NFLX-Simply Wall ST</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It should be noted that while Netflix will need to continue creating its own content to remain relevant and satisfy user demand, its scale is now at a stage where this is affordable.</p><p><blockquote>应该指出的是,虽然Netflix将需要继续创建自己的内容以保持相关性并满足用户需求,但其规模现在处于可承受的阶段。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, with this leading scale, those studios that do license their content to Netflix (because they don’t have a streaming platform of their own) will either have to start one of their own from square one and find users to make it economical, or look for a better license deal from a different streaming service (which might be difficult given Netflix is the biggest and likely able to pay them the most).</p><p><blockquote>此外,凭借这种领先的规模,那些将其内容授权给网飞的工作室(因为他们没有自己的流媒体平台)要么必须从头开始创建自己的流媒体平台,并找到用户以使其经济,要么从不同的流媒体服务中寻找更好的许可协议(这可能很困难,因为网飞是最大的,可能能够向他们支付最多的费用)。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Summing it up</b></h2> Netflix’s core focus for a long time has been its subscriber growth since this is key to becoming profitable. The company’s growing investment into originals is aimed at acquiring even more users, and its vast library of titles is used to retain them. Both its scale and unique content help to solidify the company’s moat and let it generate more profit from each piece of content. Analysts expect that this trend of user growth and original content creation will continue, and as a result, growth in Netflix’s top and bottom line is expected to persist out to at least 2025.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>总结一下</b></h2>Netflix长期以来的核心关注点一直是用户增长,因为这是盈利的关键。该公司对原创作品不断增长的投资旨在获得更多用户,其庞大的图书库被用来留住他们。其规模和独特的内容都有助于巩固公司的护城河,让其从每条内容中产生更多利润。分析师预计,这种用户增长和原创内容创作的趋势将持续下去,因此,Netflix的营收和利润增长预计将至少持续到2025年。</blockquote></p><p> While all of this growth is impressive, it did come with some strings attached. Netflix levered up and by 2020 year end it had $16bn in debt. Our company report on Netflix contains a full breakdown of the company’s financial health and its ability to fund the debt.</p><p><blockquote>虽然所有这些增长令人印象深刻,但它确实伴随着一些附加条件。Netflix提高了杠杆率,到2020年底,其债务已达160亿美元。我们关于Netflix的公司报告包含了该公司财务健康状况及其为债务融资能力的完整明细。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616055508394","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix’s Scale Is The Key To Its Profitability<blockquote>Netflix的规模是其盈利的关键</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix’s Scale Is The Key To Its Profitability<blockquote>Netflix的规模是其盈利的关键</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Simply Wall St.</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-18 16:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><h3><b>• Netflix's strategy was to reach scale, then create its own content</b></h3> <h3><b>• Its library is shifting towards original content</b></h3> <h3><b>• Net margins are expanding as scale takes effect</b></h3> On-demand streaming is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the most competitive industries in the 21st century. <b>Netflix (</b><b><u>NASDAQ:NFLX</u></b><b>)</b> was the pioneer back in 2007 with its “Watch Now” service. Since then, many players have joined the space - and you can’t blame them, the model of on-demand streaming is more streamlined (pardon-the-pun) and scalable than traditional distribution methods. It has provided those with valuable intellectual property such as movies and TV shows a new and efficient way to monetize these assets.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>•Netflix的战略是达到规模,然后创建自己的内容</b></h3><h3><b>•其图书馆正在向原创内容转变</b></h3><h3><b>•随着规模的发挥,净利润率正在扩大</b></h3>点播流媒体是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>21世纪最具竞争力的行业之一。<b>Netflix</b><b><u>纳斯达克:NFLX</u></b><b>)</b>是2007年推出“立即观看”服务的先驱。从那以后,许多玩家加入了这个领域——你不能责怪他们,点播流媒体的模式比传统的分发方式更加精简(原谅双关语)和可扩展。它为那些拥有电影和电视节目等有价值的知识产权的人提供了一种新的有效方式来将这些资产货币化。</blockquote></p><p> Some expect the on-demand streaming industry to reach 2 billion users by 2025, which would be a 65% increase from 2020 figures.</p><p><blockquote>一些人预计,到2025年,点播流媒体行业的用户将达到20亿,比2020年的数字增长65%。</blockquote></p><p> Being the first mover 14 years ago has allowed Netflix to get a headstart in acquiring users and building its market-leading user base of 204m. However, this lead will not be easy to maintain. In this piece, we want to cover Netflix’s strategies to get where it is today, how it could maintain its lead and what that will do to the business’ economics.</p><p><blockquote>作为14年前的先行者,Netflix在获取用户和建立2.04亿市场领先的用户群方面取得了领先地位。然而,这种领先优势并不容易保持。在这篇文章中,我们希望介绍Netflix实现今天的战略、如何保持领先地位以及这将对企业的经济效益产生什么影响。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Netflix’s strategy</b></h2> Netflix is a streaming service for content. Its strategy was simple: grow its subscriber base to reach scale quickly by distributing quality content through a great user experience. Then, once it reaches scale, create its own content to become less reliant on external studios and allow itself to generate higher margins through fixed production costs rather than variable licensing fees.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>奈飞的策略</b></h2>网飞是一个内容流媒体服务。它的策略很简单:通过出色的用户体验分发高质量的内容,扩大用户群以快速达到规模。然后,一旦它达到规模,创建自己的内容,减少对外部工作室的依赖,并允许自己通过固定的制作成本而不是可变的许可费产生更高的利润。</blockquote></p><p> In the early days, this content was all licensed from other studios that actually owned the rights. Netflix paid them licensing fees and, before the company had scale, it was at the mercy of these content providers. Until Netflix was to reach scale (a large enough paying user base), this model typically benefitted the content owners more than the content distributors.</p><p><blockquote>在早期,这些内容都是从其他实际拥有版权的工作室那里获得许可的。Netflix向他们支付了许可费,在公司形成规模之前,它受到了这些内容提供商的摆布。在Netflix达到规模(足够大的付费用户群)之前,这种模式通常比内容分销商更有利于内容所有者。</blockquote></p><p> That’s why in 2013, when the company reached 34m paying subscribers, it began to generate its own content. One of its first productions was the hugely successful and award-winning <i>House of Cards</i>. As the company has continued to grow its user base, it has continued to create its own content in house. By February 2021, when Netflix surpassed 204m paying subscribers, the company reportedly had around 1,500 Netflix original titles, which was roughly 10% of its total international library of 15,000 titles.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么在2013年,当该公司的付费用户达到3400万时,它开始生成自己的内容。它的第一部作品之一获得了巨大的成功并获奖<i>纸牌屋</i>随着该公司用户群的不断增长,它继续在内部创建自己的内容。据报道,到2021年2月,当Netflix的付费用户超过2.04亿时,该公司拥有约1,500部Netflix原创图书,约占其国际图书馆15,000部图书总数的10%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea2c3b3b37fcfc1064cfda24c06d0284\" tg-width=\"1122\" tg-height=\"1006\"><span>Source: Netflix</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:Netflix</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Since Netflix has now reached scale and established a market leading position, it needs to continue doubling down on the second part of its strategy to maintain that lead, which is: make more of its own content.</p><p><blockquote>由于Netflix现在已经达到规模并建立了市场领先地位,它需要继续加倍努力实现其战略的第二部分以保持领先地位,即:制作更多自己的内容。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Maintaining its lead</b></h2> It’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> thing to generate a lead, but it’s another to maintain it. Since there’s plenty of streaming options out there such as Disney+, Amazon Prime, Youtube Premium, and users are spoilt for choice. However, while these consumers have a vast array of content at their fingertips, not all of it is “great” content and they only have so much spare time to consume it. That’s why Netflix’s goal is for consumers to “choose Netflix in their moments of free time”. To do this, Netflix knows it needs to provide unique content that is more appealing than others, and deliver it through a seamless user experience.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>保持领先地位</b></h2>这是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>产生销售线索是一回事,但保持销售线索是另一回事。因为有很多流媒体选项,如Disney+、Amazon Prime、Youtube Premium,用户的选择太多了。然而,虽然这些消费者手边有大量的内容,但并不是所有的内容都是“伟大的”内容,他们只有这么多的空闲时间来消费这些内容。这就是为什么Netflix的目标是让消费者“在空闲时间选择Netflix”。要做到这一点,Netflix知道它需要提供比其他内容更有吸引力的独特内容,并通过无缝的用户体验来交付。</blockquote></p><p> Since the company seems to have the user experience mostly in order, a lot of its focus has been on growing the amount of unique content it serves, especially its originals. And we can see Netflix’s shift in spending in the company's cost of revenue expense and the company’s content assets.</p><p><blockquote>由于该公司的用户体验似乎基本正常,因此它的大部分重点都放在增加其提供的独特内容的数量上,尤其是原创内容。我们可以看到Netflix在公司收入支出成本和公司内容资产方面的支出转变。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix’s cost of revenue is its primary expense and was $15.2bn for 2020 (61% of revenue). Two thirds of this ($10.8bn) is made up of the amortization of its content assets.</p><p><blockquote>Netflix的收入成本是其主要支出,2020年为152亿美元(占收入的61%)。其中三分之二(108亿美元)由其内容资产的摊销组成。</blockquote></p><p> Amortization is a method for writing off the cost of the content over its useful life, rather than incurring the cost up front. On average, over 90% of Netflix’s licensed or produced content is amortized over 4 years. So for example, on average, a $100m license fee for a TV show might be amortized at $25m per year over 4 years instead of all at once.</p><p><blockquote>摊销是一种在内容的使用寿命内冲销其成本的方法,而不是预先产生成本。平均而言,超过90%的网飞许可或制作内容在4年内摊销。例如,平均而言,一个电视节目1亿美元的许可费可能会在4年内以每年2500万美元的速度摊销,而不是一次全部摊销。</blockquote></p><p> The chart below shows just how much amortization of content has occurred leading up to 2019 as well as cash spend on content.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示了截至2019年的内容摊销金额以及内容上的现金支出。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf9c9277c0f8a9fba4bf1fb9d9b5e3c5\" tg-width=\"1508\" tg-height=\"818\"><span>Source: Next Level Finance</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:下一级财经</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> You’ll notice the cash spend column beside the amortization column. Cash spend is recorded in the statement of cash flows and represents the money Netflix spends upfront to produce its own content. Importantly, this disparity between the two columns reflects that the company is spending more on producing its own content since cash spend is increasing at a faster rate than amortization.</p><p><blockquote>您会注意到摊销列旁边的现金支出列。现金支出记录在现金流量表中,代表Netflix为制作自己的内容而预先花费的资金。重要的是,两栏之间的差异反映出该公司在制作自己的内容上花费更多,因为现金支出的增长速度快于摊销。</blockquote></p><p> For 2020, content amortization reached $10.8bn and cash spend reduced to $12.5bn, but it was still higher than the amortization expense.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,内容摊销达到108亿美元,现金支出减少至125亿美元,但仍高于摊销费用。</blockquote></p><p> This transition of increasing spend on original content then shows up in the company’s content assets split too.</p><p><blockquote>这种增加原创内容支出的转变也体现在公司的内容资产分割中。</blockquote></p><p> In 2016, the company had $11bn worth of content assets, which was split between 86% licensed content, and 14% original content. However, by 2020, content assets reached $25bn and the split was now 54% licensed to 46% original. This shift is helping the company become less at risk of studios pulling their content, because it has more of its own to showcase.</p><p><blockquote>2016年,该公司拥有价值110亿美元的内容资产,其中86%为授权内容,14%为原创内容。然而,到2020年,内容资产达到250亿美元,现在54%是授权的,46%是原创的。这种转变有助于该公司降低工作室撤回其内容的风险,因为它有更多自己的内容可以展示。</blockquote></p><p> Releasing and owning unique titles such as Stranger Things, House of Cards, The Crown, The Witcher, or The Queen’s Gambit are crucial for Netflix to maintain its lead. It gives their existing users all the more reason to keep their subscriptions as new titles like these are released, and it gives prospective users all the more reason to sign up if they want to view these exclusives.</p><p><blockquote>发行和拥有独特的游戏,如《奇异事物》、《纸牌屋》、《王冠》、《巫师》或《女王的策略》,对于网飞保持领先地位至关重要。随着像这样的新游戏的发布,它给了他们现有的用户更多的理由保持他们的订阅,它给了潜在用户更多的理由注册,如果他们想查看这些独家新闻。</blockquote></p><p> This transition to original content is helping the company build its own moat by becoming less reliant on external providers. As Netflix becomes both the producer and distributor of a larger portion of its content library, this creates a lot of operating leverage and thus helps the company’s bottom line.</p><p><blockquote>这种向原创内容的过渡正在帮助该公司通过减少对外部提供商的依赖来建立自己的护城河。随着Netflix成为其大部分内容库的生产商和分销商,这创造了大量的运营杠杆,从而有助于公司的利润。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>How this impacts the economics</b></h2> The positive financial impact of reaching a huge operating scale in a business like Netflix cannot be understated. Additionally, the expansion of originals in its content library exaggerates the positive effects that scale has on the company’s bottom line. This effect can already be seen over the last five years, and analysts expect this to continue over the next five.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>这对经济有何影响</b></h2>在像网飞这样的企业中达到巨大的运营规模所带来的积极财务影响不可低估。此外,其内容库中原创作品的扩展夸大了规模对公司利润的积极影响。这种影响在过去五年中已经可以看到,分析师预计这种影响将在未来五年持续下去。</blockquote></p><p> In 2016, net profit margins were only 2.1% but reached 11% in 2020. This is thanks to the 120% increase in paying subscribers (to 204m) and the aforementioned increase in fixed cost original content. Looking forward, analysts expect further growth in revenue and earnings thanks to more subscriber growth and an increase in original content as a percentage of total titles. By 2025, the company is expected to double revenue to $51bn and increase earnings more than 4-fold to $12bn, which would result in further net margin expansion to 23.5%.</p><p><blockquote>2016年,净利润率仅为2.1%,但2020年达到11%。这要归功于付费用户增长120%(达到2.04亿)以及上述固定成本原创内容的增长。展望未来,分析师预计,由于订户数量的增加以及原创内容占总标题百分比的增加,收入和盈利将进一步增长。到2025年,该公司预计收入将翻一番,达到510亿美元,盈利将增长4倍以上,达到120亿美元,这将导致净利润率进一步扩大至23.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90dda28b7a97c864def67fed7695916e\" tg-width=\"1702\" tg-height=\"1186\"><span>Source: Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts - NASDAQ:NFLX - Simply Wall St</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:盈利和收入增长预测-纳斯达克:NFLX-Simply Wall ST</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It should be noted that while Netflix will need to continue creating its own content to remain relevant and satisfy user demand, its scale is now at a stage where this is affordable.</p><p><blockquote>应该指出的是,虽然Netflix将需要继续创建自己的内容以保持相关性并满足用户需求,但其规模现在处于可承受的阶段。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, with this leading scale, those studios that do license their content to Netflix (because they don’t have a streaming platform of their own) will either have to start one of their own from square one and find users to make it economical, or look for a better license deal from a different streaming service (which might be difficult given Netflix is the biggest and likely able to pay them the most).</p><p><blockquote>此外,凭借这种领先的规模,那些将其内容授权给网飞的工作室(因为他们没有自己的流媒体平台)要么必须从头开始创建自己的流媒体平台,并找到用户以使其经济,要么从不同的流媒体服务中寻找更好的许可协议(这可能很困难,因为网飞是最大的,可能能够向他们支付最多的费用)。</blockquote></p><p> <h2><b>Summing it up</b></h2> Netflix’s core focus for a long time has been its subscriber growth since this is key to becoming profitable. The company’s growing investment into originals is aimed at acquiring even more users, and its vast library of titles is used to retain them. Both its scale and unique content help to solidify the company’s moat and let it generate more profit from each piece of content. Analysts expect that this trend of user growth and original content creation will continue, and as a result, growth in Netflix’s top and bottom line is expected to persist out to at least 2025.</p><p><blockquote><h2><b>总结一下</b></h2>Netflix长期以来的核心关注点一直是用户增长,因为这是盈利的关键。该公司对原创作品不断增长的投资旨在获得更多用户,其庞大的图书库被用来留住他们。其规模和独特的内容都有助于巩固公司的护城河,让其从每条内容中产生更多利润。分析师预计,这种用户增长和原创内容创作的趋势将持续下去,因此,Netflix的营收和利润增长预计将至少持续到2025年。</blockquote></p><p> While all of this growth is impressive, it did come with some strings attached. Netflix levered up and by 2020 year end it had $16bn in debt. Our company report on Netflix contains a full breakdown of the company’s financial health and its ability to fund the debt.</p><p><blockquote>虽然所有这些增长令人印象深刻,但它确实伴随着一些附加条件。Netflix提高了杠杆率,到2020年底,其债务已达160亿美元。我们关于Netflix的公司报告包含了该公司财务健康状况及其为债务融资能力的完整明细。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/media/nasdaq-nflx/netflix/news/netflixs-nasdaqnflx-scale-is-the-key-to-its-profitability\">Simply Wall St.</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NFLX":"奈飞"},"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/media/nasdaq-nflx/netflix/news/netflixs-nasdaqnflx-scale-is-the-key-to-its-profitability","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2120580281","content_text":"• Netflix's strategy was to reach scale, then create its own content\n• Its library is shifting towards original content\n• Net margins are expanding as scale takes effect\nOn-demand streaming is one of the most competitive industries in the 21st century. Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) was the pioneer back in 2007 with its “Watch Now” service. Since then, many players have joined the space - and you can’t blame them, the model of on-demand streaming is more streamlined (pardon-the-pun) and scalable than traditional distribution methods. It has provided those with valuable intellectual property such as movies and TV shows a new and efficient way to monetize these assets.\nSome expect the on-demand streaming industry to reach 2 billion users by 2025, which would be a 65% increase from 2020 figures.\nBeing the first mover 14 years ago has allowed Netflix to get a headstart in acquiring users and building its market-leading user base of 204m. However, this lead will not be easy to maintain. In this piece, we want to cover Netflix’s strategies to get where it is today, how it could maintain its lead and what that will do to the business’ economics.\nNetflix’s strategy\nNetflix is a streaming service for content. Its strategy was simple: grow its subscriber base to reach scale quickly by distributing quality content through a great user experience. Then, once it reaches scale, create its own content to become less reliant on external studios and allow itself to generate higher margins through fixed production costs rather than variable licensing fees.\nIn the early days, this content was all licensed from other studios that actually owned the rights. Netflix paid them licensing fees and, before the company had scale, it was at the mercy of these content providers. Until Netflix was to reach scale (a large enough paying user base), this model typically benefitted the content owners more than the content distributors.\nThat’s why in 2013, when the company reached 34m paying subscribers, it began to generate its own content. One of its first productions was the hugely successful and award-winning House of Cards. As the company has continued to grow its user base, it has continued to create its own content in house. By February 2021, when Netflix surpassed 204m paying subscribers, the company reportedly had around 1,500 Netflix original titles, which was roughly 10% of its total international library of 15,000 titles.\nSource: Netflix\nSince Netflix has now reached scale and established a market leading position, it needs to continue doubling down on the second part of its strategy to maintain that lead, which is: make more of its own content.\nMaintaining its lead\nIt’s one thing to generate a lead, but it’s another to maintain it. Since there’s plenty of streaming options out there such as Disney+, Amazon Prime, Youtube Premium, and users are spoilt for choice. However, while these consumers have a vast array of content at their fingertips, not all of it is “great” content and they only have so much spare time to consume it. That’s why Netflix’s goal is for consumers to “choose Netflix in their moments of free time”. To do this, Netflix knows it needs to provide unique content that is more appealing than others, and deliver it through a seamless user experience.\nSince the company seems to have the user experience mostly in order, a lot of its focus has been on growing the amount of unique content it serves, especially its originals. And we can see Netflix’s shift in spending in the company's cost of revenue expense and the company’s content assets.\nNetflix’s cost of revenue is its primary expense and was $15.2bn for 2020 (61% of revenue). Two thirds of this ($10.8bn) is made up of the amortization of its content assets.\nAmortization is a method for writing off the cost of the content over its useful life, rather than incurring the cost up front. On average, over 90% of Netflix’s licensed or produced content is amortized over 4 years. So for example, on average, a $100m license fee for a TV show might be amortized at $25m per year over 4 years instead of all at once.\nThe chart below shows just how much amortization of content has occurred leading up to 2019 as well as cash spend on content.\nSource: Next Level Finance\nYou’ll notice the cash spend column beside the amortization column. Cash spend is recorded in the statement of cash flows and represents the money Netflix spends upfront to produce its own content. Importantly, this disparity between the two columns reflects that the company is spending more on producing its own content since cash spend is increasing at a faster rate than amortization.\nFor 2020, content amortization reached $10.8bn and cash spend reduced to $12.5bn, but it was still higher than the amortization expense.\nThis transition of increasing spend on original content then shows up in the company’s content assets split too.\nIn 2016, the company had $11bn worth of content assets, which was split between 86% licensed content, and 14% original content. However, by 2020, content assets reached $25bn and the split was now 54% licensed to 46% original. This shift is helping the company become less at risk of studios pulling their content, because it has more of its own to showcase.\nReleasing and owning unique titles such as Stranger Things, House of Cards, The Crown, The Witcher, or The Queen’s Gambit are crucial for Netflix to maintain its lead. It gives their existing users all the more reason to keep their subscriptions as new titles like these are released, and it gives prospective users all the more reason to sign up if they want to view these exclusives.\nThis transition to original content is helping the company build its own moat by becoming less reliant on external providers. As Netflix becomes both the producer and distributor of a larger portion of its content library, this creates a lot of operating leverage and thus helps the company’s bottom line.\nHow this impacts the economics\nThe positive financial impact of reaching a huge operating scale in a business like Netflix cannot be understated. Additionally, the expansion of originals in its content library exaggerates the positive effects that scale has on the company’s bottom line. This effect can already be seen over the last five years, and analysts expect this to continue over the next five.\nIn 2016, net profit margins were only 2.1% but reached 11% in 2020. This is thanks to the 120% increase in paying subscribers (to 204m) and the aforementioned increase in fixed cost original content. Looking forward, analysts expect further growth in revenue and earnings thanks to more subscriber growth and an increase in original content as a percentage of total titles. By 2025, the company is expected to double revenue to $51bn and increase earnings more than 4-fold to $12bn, which would result in further net margin expansion to 23.5%.\nSource: Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts - NASDAQ:NFLX - Simply Wall St\nIt should be noted that while Netflix will need to continue creating its own content to remain relevant and satisfy user demand, its scale is now at a stage where this is affordable.\nAdditionally, with this leading scale, those studios that do license their content to Netflix (because they don’t have a streaming platform of their own) will either have to start one of their own from square one and find users to make it economical, or look for a better license deal from a different streaming service (which might be difficult given Netflix is the biggest and likely able to pay them the most).\nSumming it up\nNetflix’s core focus for a long time has been its subscriber growth since this is key to becoming profitable. The company’s growing investment into originals is aimed at acquiring even more users, and its vast library of titles is used to retain them. Both its scale and unique content help to solidify the company’s moat and let it generate more profit from each piece of content. Analysts expect that this trend of user growth and original content creation will continue, and as a result, growth in Netflix’s top and bottom line is expected to persist out to at least 2025.\nWhile all of this growth is impressive, it did come with some strings attached. Netflix levered up and by 2020 year end it had $16bn in debt. Our company report on Netflix contains a full breakdown of the company’s financial health and its ability to fund the debt.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325080226,"gmtCreate":1615851141765,"gmtModify":1703493891337,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Making a post pls like","listText":"Making a post pls like","text":"Making a post pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325080226","repostId":"1170973847","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371778123,"gmtCreate":1618975962562,"gmtModify":1634289471343,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371778123","repostId":"1121229202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121229202","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618975336,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121229202?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-21 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"\"This Is Nuts!\" - Is BofA Right About A Market Drop To 3800?<blockquote>“这太疯狂了!”-美国银行关于市场跌至3800点的说法正确吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121229202","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Recently, Bank of America’s Savita Subramanian discussed why the market could drop to 3800. She disc","content":"<p>Recently, Bank of America’s Savita Subramanian discussed why the market could drop to 3800. She discussed her thesis in her latest strategy note titled “<i>Five Reasons To Curb Your Enthusiasm.”</i></p><p><blockquote>最近,美国银行的Savita Subramanian讨论了为什么市场可能跌至3800点。她在最新的战略报告中讨论了她的论文,题为“<i>抑制你热情的五个理由。”</i></blockquote></p><p> This analysis is interesting, particularly when analysts are rushing to upgrade both economic and earnings estimates.</p><p><blockquote>这种分析很有趣,尤其是当分析师急于上调经济和盈利预期时。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d11b2d0fdfcb9b5674310e699b3219\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"137\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">More importantly, investors are incredibly long-biased in portfolios, with equity allocations reaching some of the highest levels in history.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,投资者在投资组合中非常偏向多头,股票配置达到了历史上的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/676c930e0ebb10e74c4fc3212ac06c24\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What Subramanian questions, and something we have asked previously, is all the <i>“good news”</i> already <i>“priced in?”</i></p><p><blockquote>萨勃拉曼尼亚的问题,以及我们之前问过的问题,都是<i>“好消息”</i>已经<i>“定价?”</i></blockquote></p><p> <i><b>“Amid increasingly euphoric sentiment, lofty valuations, and peak stimulus, we continue to believe the market has overly priced in the good news.</b></i> <i> We remain bullish the economy</i> <i><b>but not the S&P 500.</b></i> <i>Our technical model, 12-month Price Momentum, has recently turned bearish amid extreme returns over the past year.”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a66b7d8fcc832e44e2f5dd34bbcc7e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"150\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With investors <i>“all in,”</i> we suspect a correction is more likely than not.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“在日益乐观的情绪、高估值和刺激达到顶峰的情况下,我们仍然认为市场对好消息的定价过高。</b></i><i>我们仍然看好经济</i><i><b>但不是标普500。</b></i><i>我们的技术模型“12个月价格动量”最近在过去一年的极端回报中转为看跌。”</i>与投资者<i>“全押。”</i>我们怀疑修正的可能性更大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Deviations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术偏差</b></blockquote></p><p> While BofA only expects a 10% correction, as shown, there is a risk of a deeper reversion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然美国银行预计仅会出现10%的回调,但如图所示,存在更深逆转的风险。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c6d7d25315cada79be9b888e17a1b7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A correction back to 3800 would only revert prices to mid-2020. As shown, over the last 5-years, corrections have ranged from roughly -10% to -33%. Notably, these corrections usually have reverted the index either to the 200-dma or beyond.</p><p><blockquote>回调至3800点只会使价格恢复到2020年中期。如图所示,在过去5年中,修正幅度约为-10%至-33%。值得注意的是,这些修正通常会使指数恢复到200日均线或更高。</blockquote></p><p> Given the magnitude of the market’s current deviation from the 200-dma, a correction will likely surpass 3800. A retest of the 200-dma seems most probable.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于市场目前偏离200日均线的幅度,回调可能会超过3800点。重新测试200日均线似乎是最有可能的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/287b2f0ff889d32618aee12380da7995\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Furthermore, the entire market<i>(small, mid, and large-capitalization companies)</i> have all risen sharply in the liquidity-fueled advance from the March 2020 lows. Such provides plenty of fuel for a more significant correction if selling begins in earnest.</p><p><blockquote>再者,整个市场<i>(小型、中型和大型公司)</i>均在流动性推动下从2020年3月低点大幅上涨。如果抛售真正开始,这将为更大幅度的调整提供充足的燃料。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/374c24f63bfc459eaf1de1f53b0c1617\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The 200-dma remains the lower boundary for corrections over the past 5-years. That level helps define the parameters of a retracement.<b>As shown below, using the October lows as a starting point for the current rally, a 38.2% retracement aligns mostly with BofA’s prediction.</b></p><p><blockquote>200日均线仍然是过去5年修正的下限。该水平有助于定义回撤的参数。<b>如下图所示,以10月份低点作为当前反弹的起点,38.2%的回撤位与美国银行的预测基本一致。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cca020ac4bf69dee3737ff792d980910\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">However, a 50% retracement seems more logical as it aligns with the previous bottoms in both February and March. But a 61.8% retracement also aligns with the 200-dma. As such, we can determine that a correction could range from:</p><p><blockquote>然而,50%的回撤似乎更合乎逻辑,因为它与2月和3月的底部一致。但61.8%的回撤位也与200日均线一致。因此,我们可以确定修正范围为:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b><i>38.2% = 8.3% Decline</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><i>38.2%=8.3%下降</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b><i>50.0% = 10.89% Decline</i></b></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>50.0%=10.89%下降</i></b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b><i>61.8% = 13.46% Decline</i></b></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>61.8%=下降13.46%</i></b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> While the mainstream media loathes the discussion of a correction, corrections of this magnitude are a healthy process of reverting market excesses. Furthermore, corrections of this magnitude are well within the confines of drawdowns seen over the last 5-years of the market’s advance.</p><p><blockquote>虽然主流媒体讨厌讨论调整,但这种规模的调整是恢复市场过度行为的健康过程。此外,这种幅度的调整完全在过去5年市场上涨过程中出现的回撤范围内。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamentals Require A Lot More</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本面需要更多</b></blockquote></p><p> As discussed in <i><b>“Earnings Optimism Explodes,”</b></i> the market has run well ahead of fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>如中所讨论的<i><b>“盈利乐观情绪爆发,”</b></i>市场的运行远远领先于基本面。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Here is the problem for investors currently. Given analysts’ assumptions are always high, and markets are trading at more extreme valuations, such leaves little room for disappointment. As shown, using analyst’s price target assumptions of 4700 for 2020 and current earnings expectations, the S&P is trading 2.6x earnings growth.”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6643321eb99b8fea1646a972c728efa\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"360\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“这就是投资者目前面临的问题。鉴于分析师的假设总是很高,而且市场的估值也更极端,因此失望的空间很小。如图所示,使用分析师2020年4700点的目标价假设和当前的盈利预期,标准普尔指数的盈利增长率为2.6倍。”</i></blockquote></p><p> As BofA noted, their <i>“fair value”</i> model also suggests that prices are near a peak with a downside target of 3635. <i>(Based on BofA’s 2022 cyclically-adjusted earnings forecast of $173 and its equity risk premium (ERP) forecast of 425bp by year-end (vs. 398bp today.)</i></p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行指出的,他们的<i>“公允价值”</i>模型还表明,价格接近峰值,下行目标为3635。<i>(基于美国银行2022年经周期调整的盈利预测为173美元,以及年底股票风险溢价(ERP)预测为425个基点(目前为398个基点。)</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a7c30152b70ba65189ccb336cdd370e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"214\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Longer-term valuation metrics are all entirely distorted and suggests markets a likely close to a long-term peak than not. As <i>Michael Lebowitz noted recently</i>, the four major valuation indicators are simultaneously at levels offering near-zero returns over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>长期估值指标都完全扭曲,表明市场可能接近长期峰值。作为<i>Michael Lebowitz最近指出</i>,四大估值指标同时处于未来十年回报率接近于零的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790430d85ff1ae00ff0ff2e7fedc37b1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"315\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>This Is Nuts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这太疯狂了</b></blockquote></p><p> On many levels, the current exuberance is <i>“nutty.”</i> Our <i>“Fear/Greed Allocation”</i> gauge, which measures investor’s equity exposure, shows the same. With the index pushing 100, a historical rarity, such precedes market corrections.</p><p><blockquote>在许多层面上,当前的繁荣是<i>“疯子。”</i>我们的<i>“恐惧/贪婪分配”</i>衡量投资者股票敞口的gauge也显示了同样的情况。随着指数突破100点(历史罕见),这是市场调整之前的情况。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2786933409d10ec8401a859cc5039962\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"332\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There are few points in history where the market was this significantly deviated, extended, overbought, and overly bullish. Without exception, the market corrected. Sometimes it was just a 10-20% decline. However, sometimes it is a lot more.</p><p><blockquote>历史上很少有市场如此显著偏离、延伸、超买和过度看涨的时候。市场无一例外地回调。有时只是下降10-20%。然而,有时它要多得多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94303def553720b6876fea635f4790b4\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"451\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> While prices can certainly seem to defy the law of gravity in the short-term, the subsequent reversion from extremes <b>has repeatedly led to catastrophic losses for investors who disregard the risk.</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然价格在短期内肯定会违背万有引力定律,但随后从极端情况的回归<b>多次给无视风险的投资者带来灾难性损失。</b></blockquote></p><p> There are substantial reasons to be pessimistic about the markets longer-term. E<b>conomic growth, excessive monetary interventions, earnings, valuations, etc., all suggest that future returns will be substantially lower than those seen over the last decade.</b> Bullish exuberance has erased the memories of the previous two major bear markets and replaced it with <i>“hope”</i> that somehow, <i>“this time will be different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>有充分的理由对市场长期持悲观态度。和<b>经济增长、过度货币干预、收益、估值等。,都表明未来的回报将大大低于过去十年。</b>看涨热潮抹去了前两次大熊市的记忆,取而代之的是<i>“希望”</i>不知何故,<i>“这次会不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Maybe it will be.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>也许会的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Probably, it won’t be.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>很可能,不会。</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting To Take Profits</p><p><blockquote>开始获利了结</blockquote></p><p> The problem for the majority of investors is the inability to predict whether the subsequent correction will be just a <i>“correction”</i> within an ongoing bull market advance or something materially worse. <b>Unfortunately, by the time most investors figure it out – it is generally far too late to do anything meaningful about it.</b></p><p><blockquote>大多数投资者面临的问题是无法预测随后的调整是否只是<i>“更正”</i>在持续的牛市上涨或更糟糕的情况下。<b>不幸的是,当大多数投资者弄清楚这一点时,通常已经太晚了,无法采取任何有意义的行动。</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday, we started selling and taking profits, which provides us three benefits for the future.</p><p><blockquote>昨天,我们开始卖出并获利了结,这为我们未来提供了三个好处。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><i>Less equity risk, and higher cash levels, reduce portfolio volatility and allows us to navigate a correction while protecting investment capital.</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i>较低的股票风险和较高的现金水平降低了投资组合的波动性,使我们能够在保护投资资本的同时应对调整。</i></li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>It gives us capital to reinvest back into positions we currently own at better prices; or,</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>它让我们有资本以更好的价格再投资回我们目前持有的头寸;或者,</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>Buy new positions which have corrected in price.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>买入价格已经调整的新头寸。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> While it is entirely true that <i>“you can not time the market,”</i>you can do some analysis and make deliberate changes to avoid problems.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这是完全正确的<i>“你不能把握市场时机。”</i>你可以做一些分析,故意改变,以避免问题。</blockquote></p><p> <i><b>As discussed previously, “risk happens fast.”</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>如前所述,“风险发生得很快。”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> It is essential not to react emotionally to a sell-off. <b>Instead, fall back on your investment discipline and strategy.</b>Importantly, keep your portfolio management process as simplistic as possible.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是不要对抛售做出情绪化的反应。<b>相反,依靠你的投资纪律和策略。</b>重要的是,让你的投资组合管理过程尽可能简单。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><b><i>Trim Winning Positions</i></b><i> back to their original portfolio weightings. (ie. Take profits)</i></li> <li><b><i>Sell Those Positions That Aren’t Working.</i></b><i>If they don’t rally with the market during this recent rally, they will decline more when the market sells off again.</i></li> <li><b><i>Move Trailing Stop Losses Up</i></b><i> to new levels.</i></li> <li><b><i>Review Your Portfolio Allocation Relative To Your Risk Tolerance.</i></b><i> If you have an aggressive allocation to equities at this point of the market cycle, you may want to try and recall how you felt during 2008. Raise cash levels and increase fixed income accordingly to reduce relative market exposure.</i></li> </ol> This is just how we are approaching it.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>修剪获胜位置</i></b><i>回到他们最初的投资组合权重。(即止盈)</i></li><li><b><i>卖出那些不起作用的头寸。</i></b><i>如果他们在最近的反弹中没有与市场一起反弹,当市场再次抛售时,他们将下跌更多。</i></li><li><b><i>向上移动跟踪止损</i></b><i>达到新的水平。</i></li><li><b><i>根据您的风险承受能力审查您的投资组合分配。</i></b><i>如果您在市场周期的这个阶段对股票进行了积极的配置,您可能需要尝试回忆一下您在2008年的感受。提高现金水平,并相应增加固定收益,以减少相对市场敞口。</i></li></ol>这就是我们对待它的方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"This Is Nuts!\" - Is BofA Right About A Market Drop To 3800?<blockquote>“这太疯狂了!”-美国银行关于市场跌至3800点的说法正确吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"This Is Nuts!\" - Is BofA Right About A Market Drop To 3800?<blockquote>“这太疯狂了!”-美国银行关于市场跌至3800点的说法正确吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-21 11:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Recently, Bank of America’s Savita Subramanian discussed why the market could drop to 3800. She discussed her thesis in her latest strategy note titled “<i>Five Reasons To Curb Your Enthusiasm.”</i></p><p><blockquote>最近,美国银行的Savita Subramanian讨论了为什么市场可能跌至3800点。她在最新的战略报告中讨论了她的论文,题为“<i>抑制你热情的五个理由。”</i></blockquote></p><p> This analysis is interesting, particularly when analysts are rushing to upgrade both economic and earnings estimates.</p><p><blockquote>这种分析很有趣,尤其是当分析师急于上调经济和盈利预期时。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06d11b2d0fdfcb9b5674310e699b3219\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"137\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">More importantly, investors are incredibly long-biased in portfolios, with equity allocations reaching some of the highest levels in history.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,投资者在投资组合中非常偏向多头,股票配置达到了历史上的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/676c930e0ebb10e74c4fc3212ac06c24\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"211\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">What Subramanian questions, and something we have asked previously, is all the <i>“good news”</i> already <i>“priced in?”</i></p><p><blockquote>萨勃拉曼尼亚的问题,以及我们之前问过的问题,都是<i>“好消息”</i>已经<i>“定价?”</i></blockquote></p><p> <i><b>“Amid increasingly euphoric sentiment, lofty valuations, and peak stimulus, we continue to believe the market has overly priced in the good news.</b></i> <i> We remain bullish the economy</i> <i><b>but not the S&P 500.</b></i> <i>Our technical model, 12-month Price Momentum, has recently turned bearish amid extreme returns over the past year.”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26a66b7d8fcc832e44e2f5dd34bbcc7e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"150\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With investors <i>“all in,”</i> we suspect a correction is more likely than not.</p><p><blockquote><i><b>“在日益乐观的情绪、高估值和刺激达到顶峰的情况下,我们仍然认为市场对好消息的定价过高。</b></i><i>我们仍然看好经济</i><i><b>但不是标普500。</b></i><i>我们的技术模型“12个月价格动量”最近在过去一年的极端回报中转为看跌。”</i>与投资者<i>“全押。”</i>我们怀疑修正的可能性更大。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Technical Deviations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术偏差</b></blockquote></p><p> While BofA only expects a 10% correction, as shown, there is a risk of a deeper reversion.</p><p><blockquote>虽然美国银行预计仅会出现10%的回调,但如图所示,存在更深逆转的风险。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c8c6d7d25315cada79be9b888e17a1b7\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"346\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A correction back to 3800 would only revert prices to mid-2020. As shown, over the last 5-years, corrections have ranged from roughly -10% to -33%. Notably, these corrections usually have reverted the index either to the 200-dma or beyond.</p><p><blockquote>回调至3800点只会使价格恢复到2020年中期。如图所示,在过去5年中,修正幅度约为-10%至-33%。值得注意的是,这些修正通常会使指数恢复到200日均线或更高。</blockquote></p><p> Given the magnitude of the market’s current deviation from the 200-dma, a correction will likely surpass 3800. A retest of the 200-dma seems most probable.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于市场目前偏离200日均线的幅度,回调可能会超过3800点。重新测试200日均线似乎是最有可能的。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/287b2f0ff889d32618aee12380da7995\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Furthermore, the entire market<i>(small, mid, and large-capitalization companies)</i> have all risen sharply in the liquidity-fueled advance from the March 2020 lows. Such provides plenty of fuel for a more significant correction if selling begins in earnest.</p><p><blockquote>再者,整个市场<i>(小型、中型和大型公司)</i>均在流动性推动下从2020年3月低点大幅上涨。如果抛售真正开始,这将为更大幅度的调整提供充足的燃料。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/374c24f63bfc459eaf1de1f53b0c1617\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"347\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The 200-dma remains the lower boundary for corrections over the past 5-years. That level helps define the parameters of a retracement.<b>As shown below, using the October lows as a starting point for the current rally, a 38.2% retracement aligns mostly with BofA’s prediction.</b></p><p><blockquote>200日均线仍然是过去5年修正的下限。该水平有助于定义回撤的参数。<b>如下图所示,以10月份低点作为当前反弹的起点,38.2%的回撤位与美国银行的预测基本一致。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cca020ac4bf69dee3737ff792d980910\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">However, a 50% retracement seems more logical as it aligns with the previous bottoms in both February and March. But a 61.8% retracement also aligns with the 200-dma. As such, we can determine that a correction could range from:</p><p><blockquote>然而,50%的回撤似乎更合乎逻辑,因为它与2月和3月的底部一致。但61.8%的回撤位也与200日均线一致。因此,我们可以确定修正范围为:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b><i>38.2% = 8.3% Decline</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><i>38.2%=8.3%下降</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b><i>50.0% = 10.89% Decline</i></b></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>50.0%=10.89%下降</i></b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><b><i>61.8% = 13.46% Decline</i></b></p><p><blockquote><li><b><i>61.8%=下降13.46%</i></b></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> While the mainstream media loathes the discussion of a correction, corrections of this magnitude are a healthy process of reverting market excesses. Furthermore, corrections of this magnitude are well within the confines of drawdowns seen over the last 5-years of the market’s advance.</p><p><blockquote>虽然主流媒体讨厌讨论调整,但这种规模的调整是恢复市场过度行为的健康过程。此外,这种幅度的调整完全在过去5年市场上涨过程中出现的回撤范围内。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fundamentals Require A Lot More</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本面需要更多</b></blockquote></p><p> As discussed in <i><b>“Earnings Optimism Explodes,”</b></i> the market has run well ahead of fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>如中所讨论的<i><b>“盈利乐观情绪爆发,”</b></i>市场的运行远远领先于基本面。</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Here is the problem for investors currently. Given analysts’ assumptions are always high, and markets are trading at more extreme valuations, such leaves little room for disappointment. As shown, using analyst’s price target assumptions of 4700 for 2020 and current earnings expectations, the S&P is trading 2.6x earnings growth.”</i> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6643321eb99b8fea1646a972c728efa\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"360\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“这就是投资者目前面临的问题。鉴于分析师的假设总是很高,而且市场的估值也更极端,因此失望的空间很小。如图所示,使用分析师2020年4700点的目标价假设和当前的盈利预期,标准普尔指数的盈利增长率为2.6倍。”</i></blockquote></p><p> As BofA noted, their <i>“fair value”</i> model also suggests that prices are near a peak with a downside target of 3635. <i>(Based on BofA’s 2022 cyclically-adjusted earnings forecast of $173 and its equity risk premium (ERP) forecast of 425bp by year-end (vs. 398bp today.)</i></p><p><blockquote>正如美国银行指出的,他们的<i>“公允价值”</i>模型还表明,价格接近峰值,下行目标为3635。<i>(基于美国银行2022年经周期调整的盈利预测为173美元,以及年底股票风险溢价(ERP)预测为425个基点(目前为398个基点。)</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a7c30152b70ba65189ccb336cdd370e\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"214\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Longer-term valuation metrics are all entirely distorted and suggests markets a likely close to a long-term peak than not. As <i>Michael Lebowitz noted recently</i>, the four major valuation indicators are simultaneously at levels offering near-zero returns over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>长期估值指标都完全扭曲,表明市场可能接近长期峰值。作为<i>Michael Lebowitz最近指出</i>,四大估值指标同时处于未来十年回报率接近于零的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790430d85ff1ae00ff0ff2e7fedc37b1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"315\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>This Is Nuts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这太疯狂了</b></blockquote></p><p> On many levels, the current exuberance is <i>“nutty.”</i> Our <i>“Fear/Greed Allocation”</i> gauge, which measures investor’s equity exposure, shows the same. With the index pushing 100, a historical rarity, such precedes market corrections.</p><p><blockquote>在许多层面上,当前的繁荣是<i>“疯子。”</i>我们的<i>“恐惧/贪婪分配”</i>衡量投资者股票敞口的gauge也显示了同样的情况。随着指数突破100点(历史罕见),这是市场调整之前的情况。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2786933409d10ec8401a859cc5039962\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"332\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There are few points in history where the market was this significantly deviated, extended, overbought, and overly bullish. Without exception, the market corrected. Sometimes it was just a 10-20% decline. However, sometimes it is a lot more.</p><p><blockquote>历史上很少有市场如此显著偏离、延伸、超买和过度看涨的时候。市场无一例外地回调。有时只是下降10-20%。然而,有时它要多得多。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94303def553720b6876fea635f4790b4\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"451\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> While prices can certainly seem to defy the law of gravity in the short-term, the subsequent reversion from extremes <b>has repeatedly led to catastrophic losses for investors who disregard the risk.</b></p><p><blockquote>虽然价格在短期内肯定会违背万有引力定律,但随后从极端情况的回归<b>多次给无视风险的投资者带来灾难性损失。</b></blockquote></p><p> There are substantial reasons to be pessimistic about the markets longer-term. E<b>conomic growth, excessive monetary interventions, earnings, valuations, etc., all suggest that future returns will be substantially lower than those seen over the last decade.</b> Bullish exuberance has erased the memories of the previous two major bear markets and replaced it with <i>“hope”</i> that somehow, <i>“this time will be different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>有充分的理由对市场长期持悲观态度。和<b>经济增长、过度货币干预、收益、估值等。,都表明未来的回报将大大低于过去十年。</b>看涨热潮抹去了前两次大熊市的记忆,取而代之的是<i>“希望”</i>不知何故,<i>“这次会不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Maybe it will be.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>也许会的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Probably, it won’t be.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>很可能,不会。</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting To Take Profits</p><p><blockquote>开始获利了结</blockquote></p><p> The problem for the majority of investors is the inability to predict whether the subsequent correction will be just a <i>“correction”</i> within an ongoing bull market advance or something materially worse. <b>Unfortunately, by the time most investors figure it out – it is generally far too late to do anything meaningful about it.</b></p><p><blockquote>大多数投资者面临的问题是无法预测随后的调整是否只是<i>“更正”</i>在持续的牛市上涨或更糟糕的情况下。<b>不幸的是,当大多数投资者弄清楚这一点时,通常已经太晚了,无法采取任何有意义的行动。</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday, we started selling and taking profits, which provides us three benefits for the future.</p><p><blockquote>昨天,我们开始卖出并获利了结,这为我们未来提供了三个好处。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><i>Less equity risk, and higher cash levels, reduce portfolio volatility and allows us to navigate a correction while protecting investment capital.</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i>较低的股票风险和较高的现金水平降低了投资组合的波动性,使我们能够在保护投资资本的同时应对调整。</i></li></ol></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>It gives us capital to reinvest back into positions we currently own at better prices; or,</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>它让我们有资本以更好的价格再投资回我们目前持有的头寸;或者,</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> <li><i>Buy new positions which have corrected in price.</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>买入价格已经调整的新头寸。</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ol> While it is entirely true that <i>“you can not time the market,”</i>you can do some analysis and make deliberate changes to avoid problems.</p><p><blockquote>虽然这是完全正确的<i>“你不能把握市场时机。”</i>你可以做一些分析,故意改变,以避免问题。</blockquote></p><p> <i><b>As discussed previously, “risk happens fast.”</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>如前所述,“风险发生得很快。”</b></i></blockquote></p><p> It is essential not to react emotionally to a sell-off. <b>Instead, fall back on your investment discipline and strategy.</b>Importantly, keep your portfolio management process as simplistic as possible.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是不要对抛售做出情绪化的反应。<b>相反,依靠你的投资纪律和策略。</b>重要的是,让你的投资组合管理过程尽可能简单。</blockquote></p><p> <ol> <li><b><i>Trim Winning Positions</i></b><i> back to their original portfolio weightings. (ie. Take profits)</i></li> <li><b><i>Sell Those Positions That Aren’t Working.</i></b><i>If they don’t rally with the market during this recent rally, they will decline more when the market sells off again.</i></li> <li><b><i>Move Trailing Stop Losses Up</i></b><i> to new levels.</i></li> <li><b><i>Review Your Portfolio Allocation Relative To Your Risk Tolerance.</i></b><i> If you have an aggressive allocation to equities at this point of the market cycle, you may want to try and recall how you felt during 2008. Raise cash levels and increase fixed income accordingly to reduce relative market exposure.</i></li> </ol> This is just how we are approaching it.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>修剪获胜位置</i></b><i>回到他们最初的投资组合权重。(即止盈)</i></li><li><b><i>卖出那些不起作用的头寸。</i></b><i>如果他们在最近的反弹中没有与市场一起反弹,当市场再次抛售时,他们将下跌更多。</i></li><li><b><i>向上移动跟踪止损</i></b><i>达到新的水平。</i></li><li><b><i>根据您的风险承受能力审查您的投资组合分配。</i></b><i>如果您在市场周期的这个阶段对股票进行了积极的配置,您可能需要尝试回忆一下您在2008年的感受。提高现金水平,并相应增加固定收益,以减少相对市场敞口。</i></li></ol>这就是我们对待它的方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nuts-bofa-right-about-market-drop-3800\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nuts-bofa-right-about-market-drop-3800","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121229202","content_text":"Recently, Bank of America’s Savita Subramanian discussed why the market could drop to 3800. She discussed her thesis in her latest strategy note titled “Five Reasons To Curb Your Enthusiasm.”\nThis analysis is interesting, particularly when analysts are rushing to upgrade both economic and earnings estimates.\nMore importantly, investors are incredibly long-biased in portfolios, with equity allocations reaching some of the highest levels in history.\nWhat Subramanian questions, and something we have asked previously, is all the “good news” already “priced in?”\n\n“Amid increasingly euphoric sentiment, lofty valuations, and peak stimulus, we continue to believe the market has overly priced in the good news.\n We remain bullish the economy\nbut not the S&P 500.\nOur technical model, 12-month Price Momentum, has recently turned bearish amid extreme returns over the past year.”\n\nWith investors “all in,” we suspect a correction is more likely than not.\nTechnical Deviations\nWhile BofA only expects a 10% correction, as shown, there is a risk of a deeper reversion.\nA correction back to 3800 would only revert prices to mid-2020. As shown, over the last 5-years, corrections have ranged from roughly -10% to -33%. Notably, these corrections usually have reverted the index either to the 200-dma or beyond.\nGiven the magnitude of the market’s current deviation from the 200-dma, a correction will likely surpass 3800. A retest of the 200-dma seems most probable.\nFurthermore, the entire market(small, mid, and large-capitalization companies) have all risen sharply in the liquidity-fueled advance from the March 2020 lows. Such provides plenty of fuel for a more significant correction if selling begins in earnest.\nThe 200-dma remains the lower boundary for corrections over the past 5-years. That level helps define the parameters of a retracement.As shown below, using the October lows as a starting point for the current rally, a 38.2% retracement aligns mostly with BofA’s prediction.\nHowever, a 50% retracement seems more logical as it aligns with the previous bottoms in both February and March. But a 61.8% retracement also aligns with the 200-dma. As such, we can determine that a correction could range from:\n\n38.2% = 8.3% Decline\n50.0% = 10.89% Decline\n61.8% = 13.46% Decline\n\nWhile the mainstream media loathes the discussion of a correction, corrections of this magnitude are a healthy process of reverting market excesses. Furthermore, corrections of this magnitude are well within the confines of drawdowns seen over the last 5-years of the market’s advance.\nFundamentals Require A Lot More\nAs discussed in “Earnings Optimism Explodes,” the market has run well ahead of fundamentals.\n\n“Here is the problem for investors currently. Given analysts’ assumptions are always high, and markets are trading at more extreme valuations, such leaves little room for disappointment. As shown, using analyst’s price target assumptions of 4700 for 2020 and current earnings expectations, the S&P is trading 2.6x earnings growth.”\n\n\nAs BofA noted, their “fair value” model also suggests that prices are near a peak with a downside target of 3635. (Based on BofA’s 2022 cyclically-adjusted earnings forecast of $173 and its equity risk premium (ERP) forecast of 425bp by year-end (vs. 398bp today.)\n\nLonger-term valuation metrics are all entirely distorted and suggests markets a likely close to a long-term peak than not. As Michael Lebowitz noted recently, the four major valuation indicators are simultaneously at levels offering near-zero returns over the next decade.\n\nThis Is Nuts\nOn many levels, the current exuberance is “nutty.” Our “Fear/Greed Allocation” gauge, which measures investor’s equity exposure, shows the same. With the index pushing 100, a historical rarity, such precedes market corrections.\n\nThere are few points in history where the market was this significantly deviated, extended, overbought, and overly bullish. Without exception, the market corrected. Sometimes it was just a 10-20% decline. However, sometimes it is a lot more.\n\nWhile prices can certainly seem to defy the law of gravity in the short-term, the subsequent reversion from extremes has repeatedly led to catastrophic losses for investors who disregard the risk.\nThere are substantial reasons to be pessimistic about the markets longer-term. Economic growth, excessive monetary interventions, earnings, valuations, etc., all suggest that future returns will be substantially lower than those seen over the last decade. Bullish exuberance has erased the memories of the previous two major bear markets and replaced it with “hope” that somehow, “this time will be different.”\nMaybe it will be.\nProbably, it won’t be.\nStarting To Take Profits\nThe problem for the majority of investors is the inability to predict whether the subsequent correction will be just a “correction” within an ongoing bull market advance or something materially worse. Unfortunately, by the time most investors figure it out – it is generally far too late to do anything meaningful about it.\nYesterday, we started selling and taking profits, which provides us three benefits for the future.\n\nLess equity risk, and higher cash levels, reduce portfolio volatility and allows us to navigate a correction while protecting investment capital.\nIt gives us capital to reinvest back into positions we currently own at better prices; or,\nBuy new positions which have corrected in price.\n\nWhile it is entirely true that “you can not time the market,”you can do some analysis and make deliberate changes to avoid problems.\nAs discussed previously, “risk happens fast.”\nIt is essential not to react emotionally to a sell-off. Instead, fall back on your investment discipline and strategy.Importantly, keep your portfolio management process as simplistic as possible.\n\nTrim Winning Positions back to their original portfolio weightings. (ie. Take profits)\nSell Those Positions That Aren’t Working.If they don’t rally with the market during this recent rally, they will decline more when the market sells off again.\nMove Trailing Stop Losses Up to new levels.\nReview Your Portfolio Allocation Relative To Your Risk Tolerance. If you have an aggressive allocation to equities at this point of the market cycle, you may want to try and recall how you felt during 2008. Raise cash levels and increase fixed income accordingly to reduce relative market exposure.\n\nThis is just how we are approaching it.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":373927721,"gmtCreate":1618814646963,"gmtModify":1634290727125,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Higi","listText":"Higi","text":"Higi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/373927721","repostId":"2128525488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344381786,"gmtCreate":1618375776145,"gmtModify":1634293368083,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344381786","repostId":"2127454000","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":507,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":357388290,"gmtCreate":1617238370610,"gmtModify":1634521887223,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"LIKE COMMENT AND SUBSCRIBE ","listText":"LIKE COMMENT AND SUBSCRIBE ","text":"LIKE COMMENT AND SUBSCRIBE","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357388290","repostId":"1127322570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":351061484,"gmtCreate":1616546499548,"gmtModify":1634525283553,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Make post","listText":"Make post","text":"Make post","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/351061484","repostId":"1183411541","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":600,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350605905,"gmtCreate":1616197732407,"gmtModify":1634526804126,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Making a community post please like!","listText":"Making a community post please like!","text":"Making a community post please like!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350605905","repostId":"1199154789","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199154789","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616164372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1199154789?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-19 22:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Disappoints Market, Lets SLR Relief Expire: What Happens Next<blockquote>美联储令市场失望,让SLR救助到期:接下来会发生什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199154789","media":"zerohedge","summary":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on ","content":"<p>As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.</p><p><blockquote>正如本文所暗示和深入讨论的那样,在伊丽莎白·沃伦(Elizabeth Warren)和谢罗德·布朗(Sherrod Brown)等进步民主党人的政治压力下,美联储决定让临时补充杠杆率(SLR)豁免如期于3月31日(规则变更一周年)到期。</blockquote></p><p>The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b822960da59d651f093b5113cd0c3fd0\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"319\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –<b>suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦银行监管机构今天宣布,2020年5月15日发布的存款机构补充杠杆率(SLR)的临时变更将于2021年3月31日如期到期。鉴于新冠肺炎事件,这一临时变化是为了为存款机构向家庭和企业提供信贷提供灵活性。这一结果是前纽约联储大师Zoltan Pozsar(再次)正确预测的结果,他跟随FOMC表示,“事实上,美联储实际上是先发制人地做出了这一调整——目前没有使用o/n RRP工具,因此没有能力限制,而回购和票据收益率尚未为负——<b>暗示美联储正在为SLR豁免的结束“铺路”</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p>Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"<b>Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability</b>\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:</p><p><blockquote>美联储深知这将是市场的一个非常热门的问题,因此发表了以下声明以缓解交易员的紧张情绪,并指出,虽然SLR特殊待遇将于3月31日到期,但美联储正在“邀请公众就几项潜在的SLR修改发表评论”。此外,”<b>随着时间的推移,董事会可能需要解决SLR当前的设计和校准问题,以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力</b>”——简而言之,如果收益率飙升,美联储将立即重新引入SLR:</blockquote></p><p>The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. <b>Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布,银行控股公司补充杠杆率(SLR)的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外,董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动,确保SLR的任何变化不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解COVID-19大流行造成的国债市场压力并促进对家庭和企业的贷款,董事会去年暂时修改了SLR,将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。从那时起,国债市场已经稳定下来。<b>然而,由于最近中央银行储备供应和国债发行的增长,理事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题,以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保SLR(2014年作为额外资本要求而设立)在准备金较高的环境下保持有效,董事会将很快就几项潜在的SLR修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和评论将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来工作进行持续讨论,以确保国债市场的弹性。尽管美联储的WOD令人宽慰,<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后,美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息,股市暴跌...</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是受SLR救济影响最大的银行(正如昨天在“面对摩根大通的杠杆救济威胁”中所指出的)...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....萎靡不振。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下,以下是您应该关心SLR决定的原因:首先,对于那些错过了我们关于这个问题的入门知识的人来说,摩根大通的一些背景(具有讽刺意味的是,这是一家从美联储损失最大的银行)的决定)底线是,如果没有SLR救济,<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金(不一定是所有这些,也不是按这个顺序),就像美联储向市场注入数千亿美元一样随着财政部耗尽其TGA账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着美联储银行持有的银行准备金也同样大幅增长。<b>监管救济到期将使8个GSIB的杠杆敞口增加约2.1万亿美元。此外,TGA的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在2021年为系统再增加约2.35万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然3月31日豁免到期不会对GSIB产生直接影响,但全年杠杆资产的持续增加将增加长期债务(LTD)和优先要求。在这里,摩根大通持乐观观点,并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的发行情况也是非常可控的,LTD需要350亿美元来满足TLAC要求,优先需求为150-200亿美元,以将全行业SLR维持在5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大,其杠杆敞口增加的能力约为7,650亿美元,SLR为6.2%。”高盛的观点更令人不安:该行估计,在持续的量化宽松制度下,储备能力将出现约2万亿美元的缺口,主要是银行无法接受的存款形式,作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分(高盛对SLR困境的全面理解更是如此)。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢?</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>针对这个话题,昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm写道“<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表,但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免....以下是几种情况及其对回购市场的影响</i>:</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经完全定价了。准备金的豁免继续,但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者,因此进入市场的现金减少,回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者,波动性会增加。储备和国库的豁免均终止。同上。</b>换句话说,Skyrm持相对悲观的观点,警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者,因此进入市场的现金减少,回购利率上升。”此外,随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者,波动性可能会增加...</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了?上周,摩根大通为SLR制定了5种情景,其中两种预测SLR救济将于3月31日结束,具体如下:</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.纾困3月31日结束银行全面融资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.纾困3月31日结束,银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到Zoltan,让我们回想一下,这位回购大师还警告说,“结束准备金和国债在SLR计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金(而不是国债)的存款和准备金,为市场留出更多空间。做市活动,<b>这些资金流动将进一步增加来自TGA提款的货币基金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,Zoltan预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现广泛的混乱,相反,正如他在周二的一份报告中解释的那样,他对SLR已经产生的微不足道的影响(如果它被消除,将会产生)提供了更良性的看法。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定Zoltan的良性观点是否正确?他在报告的最后写道,“鉴于我们到6月底FRA-OIS利差为零至负的看涨期权是基于SLR延期的结束以及美联储将尝试解决数量问题的假设价格而不是数量,今天的调整意味着FRA-OIS不会一直跌至零或负值。”</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>这里的FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易紧张程度,但以远低于零利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险...虽然账单偶尔会跌入负值,但到目前为止,它们避免了全面陷入NIRP,这可能只是市场正在等待的积极信号,以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* * *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后,对于那些好奇对市场的直接影响会是什么的人来说,国民西敏寺银行策略师布莱克·格温(Blake Gwinn)写道,美联储宣布银行监管豁免将于本月底到期,“确实是穿针引线”,缓解了人们对银行监管豁免的担忧。对市场的潜在长期影响<b>SLR承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题,以防止紧张局势的发展,从而“结束了它,但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>格温说:“我从来不担心银行第一天就会吐出国债或回购提款或类似的情况。”“我担心的是,从长远来看”,随着准备金继续上升,SLR是否会“成为一个麻烦并拖累国债和利差”格温总结道,通过这份声明,美联储<b>“真正解决这些恐惧,基本上是说,‘别担心,我们正在努力’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧,随着收益率在早期四女巫交易中飙升至HOD,市场似乎确实对美联储的行动持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.</b>To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. <b>However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.</b>The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,<b>having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储周五宣布,银行控股公司补充杠杆率(SLR)的临时变化将于3月31日如期到期。<b>此外,董事会将很快就调整SLR的措施征求意见。董事会将采取适当行动,确保SLR的任何变化不会削弱银行资本要求的整体实力。</b>为了缓解COVID-19大流行造成的国债市场压力并促进对家庭和企业的贷款,董事会去年暂时修改了SLR,将美国国债和央行储备排除在外。从那时起,国债市场已经稳定下来。<b>然而,由于最近中央银行储备供应和国债发行的增长,理事会可能需要随着时间的推移解决SLR的当前设计和校准问题,以防止出现既限制经济增长又破坏金融稳定的压力。为了确保SLR(2014年作为额外资本要求而设立)在准备金较高的环境下保持有效,董事会将很快就几项潜在的SLR修改征求公众意见。</b>该提案和评论将有助于与财政部和其他监管机构就未来工作进行持续讨论,以确保国债市场的弹性。尽管美联储的WOD令人宽慰,<b>在为有利的结果做好准备后,美联储令人失望的声明几乎不是交易员所希望的消息,股市暴跌...</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c341c3843a5031cd1599c2c89e198050\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Bond yields spiked...</p><p><blockquote>债券收益率飙升...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/14173c1ce587fb45efe4c30ecc1dfbab\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")...</p><p><blockquote>...而摩根大通的股票是受SLR救济影响最大的银行(正如昨天在“面对摩根大通的杠杆救济威胁”中所指出的)...</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32811183fba3dbddf1c440836298c7f3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">.... slumped.</p><p><blockquote>....萎靡不振。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2fba41463f15e79d2b8436cdd6a526fc\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"306\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,<b>banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.</b></p><p><blockquote>如果您一直生活在岩石下,以下是您应该关心SLR决定的原因:首先,对于那些错过了我们关于这个问题的入门知识的人来说,摩根大通的一些背景(具有讽刺意味的是,这是一家从美联储损失最大的银行)的决定)底线是,如果没有SLR救济,<b>银行可能不得不去杠杆化、筹集新资本、停止回购、出售优先股、拒绝存款并普遍减少准备金(不一定是所有这些,也不是按这个顺序),就像美联储向市场注入数千亿美元一样随着财政部耗尽其TGA账户。</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. <b>The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/392342c2f3e1dd008b2276172a9b3ecf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"253\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that<b>\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.</b></p><p><blockquote>美联储资产负债表的大幅扩张意味着美联储银行持有的银行准备金也同样大幅增长。<b>监管救济到期将使8个GSIB的杠杆敞口增加约2.1万亿美元。此外,TGA的减少和持续的量化宽松可能会在2021年为系统再增加约2.35万亿美元的存款。</b>虽然3月31日豁免到期不会对GSIB产生直接影响,但全年杠杆资产的持续增加将增加长期债务(LTD)和优先要求。在这里,摩根大通持乐观观点,并写道<b>“即使是‘最坏’的发行情况也是非常可控的,LTD需要350亿美元来满足TLAC要求,优先需求为150-200亿美元,以将全行业SLR维持在5.6%。</b></blockquote></p><p>The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).</p><p><blockquote>银行实体的限制更大,其杠杆敞口增加的能力约为7,650亿美元,SLR为6.2%。”高盛的观点更令人不安:该行估计,在持续的量化宽松制度下,储备能力将出现约2万亿美元的缺口,主要是银行无法接受的存款形式,作为正在进行的量化宽松的一部分(高盛对SLR困境的全面理解更是如此)。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what happens next?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那么接下来会发生什么呢?</b></blockquote></p><p>Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"<i>the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market</i>:</p><p><blockquote>针对这个话题,昨天Curvature的Scott Skyrm写道“<i>最大的银行享有更大的资产负债表,但华盛顿有政治因素反对延长豁免....以下是几种情况及其对回购市场的影响</i>:</blockquote></p><p>The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. <b>Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.</b>In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...</p><p><blockquote>豁免延长3个月或6个月——对回购市场没有影响。它已经完全定价了。准备金的豁免继续,但国债的豁免结束。<b>由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者,因此进入市场的现金减少,回购利率上升。随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者,波动性会增加。储备和国库的豁免均终止。同上。</b>换句话说,Skyrm持相对悲观的观点,警告称“由于大型银行是回购市场上最大的现金提供者,因此进入市场的现金减少,回购利率上升。”此外,随着回购资产从最大的银行转移到其他回购市场参与者,波动性可能会增加...</blockquote></p><p>Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:</p><p><blockquote>也许有点太严厉了?上周,摩根大通为SLR制定了5种情景,其中两种预测SLR救济将于3月31日结束,具体如下:</blockquote></p><p><u><b>3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b> <u><b>4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever</b></u> <b>Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates</b>Going back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,<b>and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote><u><b>3.纾困3月31日结束银行全面融资</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b><u><b>4.纾困3月31日结束,银行增资去杠杆</b></u><b>对银行利率的影响前端利率</b>回到Zoltan,让我们回想一下,这位回购大师还警告说,“结束准备金和国债在SLR计算中的豁免可能意味着美国银行将拒绝保证金(而不是国债)的存款和准备金,为市场留出更多空间。做市活动,<b>这些资金流动将进一步增加来自TGA提款的货币基金流入。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p>More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,Zoltan预计回购或更广泛的市场不会出现广泛的混乱,相反,正如他在周二的一份报告中解释的那样,他对SLR已经产生的微不足道的影响(如果它被消除,将会产生)提供了更良性的看法。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/caeeb2b1290e084832f29d61cea6a90b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"</p><p><blockquote>如何确定Zoltan的良性观点是否正确?他在报告的最后写道,“鉴于我们到6月底FRA-OIS利差为零至负的看涨期权是基于SLR延期的结束以及美联储将尝试解决数量问题的假设价格而不是数量,今天的调整意味着FRA-OIS不会一直跌至零或负值。”</blockquote></p><p>FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.</p><p><blockquote>这里的FRA-OIS将取决于外汇掉期相对于OIS的交易紧张程度,但以远低于零利率交易的国库券不再是一种风险...虽然账单偶尔会跌入负值,但到目前为止,它们避免了全面陷入NIRP,这可能只是市场正在等待的积极信号,以缓解与SLR豁免突然且基本上出乎意料的结束相关的紧张情绪。</blockquote></p><p>* * *</p><p><blockquote>** *</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" as<b>the SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing</b>.</p><p><blockquote>最后,对于那些好奇对市场的直接影响会是什么的人来说,国民西敏寺银行策略师布莱克·格温(Blake Gwinn)写道,美联储宣布银行监管豁免将于本月底到期,“确实是穿针引线”,缓解了人们对银行监管豁免的担忧。对市场的潜在长期影响<b>SLR承诺解决补充杠杆率的当前设计和校准问题,以防止紧张局势的发展,从而“结束了它,但化解了许多下意识的市场反应”</b>.</blockquote></p><p>“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is<b>\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”</b></p><p><blockquote>格温说:“我从来不担心银行第一天就会吐出国债或回购提款或类似的情况。”“我担心的是,从长远来看”,随着准备金继续上升,SLR是否会“成为一个麻烦并拖累国债和利差”格温总结道,通过这份声明,美联储<b>“真正解决这些恐惧,基本上是说,‘别担心,我们正在努力’。”</b></blockquote></p><p>Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.</p><p><blockquote>好吧,随着收益率在早期四女巫交易中飙升至HOD,市场似乎确实对美联储的行动持怀疑态度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bopnds-tank-after-fed-lets-slr-relief-expire","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199154789","content_text":"As washinted at, and discussed in depth here,the Fed decided - under political pressure from progressive Democrats such asElizabeth Warren and Sherrod Brown- to let the temporary Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption expire as scheduled on March 31, the one year anniversary of the rule change.The federal bank regulatory agencies today announced that the temporary change to the supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for depository institutions issued on May 15, 2020, will expire as scheduled on March 31, 2021.The temporary change was made to provide flexibility for depository institutions to provide credit to households and businesses in light of the COVID-19 event.This outcome is theone (again) correctly predictedby former NY Fed guru Zoltan Pozsar who following the FOMC said that \"the fact that the Fed made this adjustment practically preemptively – the o/n RRP facility is not being used at the moment, so there are no capacity constraints yet, while repo and bill yields aren’t trading negative yet –suggests that the Fed is “foaming the runway” for the end of SLR exemption.\"Knowing well this would be a very hot button issue for the market, the Fed published thefollowing statementto ease trader nerves, noting that while the SLR special treatment will expire on March 31, the Fed is \"inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications\" and furthermore, \"Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability\" - in short, if yields spike, the Fed will re-introduce the SLR without delay:The Federal Reserve Board on Friday announced that the temporary change to its supplementary leverage ratio, or SLR, for bank holding companies will expire as scheduled on March 31. Additionally, the Board will shortly seek comment on measures to adjust the SLR. The Board will take appropriate actions to assure that any changes to the SLR do not erode the overall strength of bank capital requirements.To ease strains in the Treasury market resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and to promote lending to households and businesses, the Board temporarily modified the SLR last year to exclude U.S. Treasury securities and central bank reserves. Since that time, the Treasury market has stabilized. However, because of recent growth in the supply of central bank reserves and the issuance of Treasury securities, the Board may need to address the current design and calibration of the SLR over time to prevent strains from developing that could both constrain economic growth and undermine financial stability.To ensure that the SLR—which was established in 2014 as an additional capital requirement—remains effective in an environment of higher reserves, the Board will soon be inviting public comment on several potential SLR modifications.The proposal and comments will contribute to ongoing discussions with the Department of the Treasury and other regulators on future work to ensure the resiliency of the Treasury market.The Fed's soothing wods notwithstanding,having been primed for a favorable outcome, the Fed's disappointing announcement was hardly the news traders were hoping for and stocks tumbled...Bond yields spiked...... while the stock of JPM, which is the most exposed bank to SLR relief (as noted yesterday in \"Facing Up To JP Morgan's Leverage Relief Threats\")....... slumped.In case you've been living under a rock, here's why you should care about the SLR decision: First, for those whomissed our primer on the issue, some background from JPM (ironically the one bank that has the most to lose from the Fed's decision) the bottom line is that without SLR relief,banks may have to delever, raise new capital, halt buybacks, sell preferred stock, turn down deposits and generally push back on reserves (not necessarily all of these, and not in that order) just as the Fed is injecting hundreds of billions of reserves into the market as the Treasury depletes its TGA account.The massive expansion of the Fed’s balance that has occurred implied an equally massive growth in bank reserves held at Federal Reserve banks. The expiration of the regulatory relief would add ~$2.1tn of leverage exposure across the 8 GSIBs. As well, TGA reduction and continued QE could add another ~$2.35tn of deposits to the system during 2021.While the expiry of the carve-out on March 31 would not have an immediate impact on GSIBs, the continued increase in leverage assets throughout the course of the year would increase long-term debt (LTD) and preferred requirements. Here, JPM takes an optimistic view and writes that\"even the “worst” case issuance scenario as very manageable, with LTD needs of $35bn for TLAC requirements and preferred needs of $15-$20bn to maintain the industry-wide SLR at 5.6%.The constraint is greater at the bank entity, where the capacity to grow leverage exposure to be ~$765bn at 6.2% SLR.\"Goldman's take was more troubling: the bank estimated that under the continued QE regime, there would be a shortfall of some $2 trillion in reserve capacity, mainly in the form of deposits which the banks would be unable to accept as part of ongoing QE (much more in Goldman'sfull take of the SLR quandary).So what happens next?Addressing this topic, yesterday Curvature's Scott Skyrm wrote that \"the largest banks are enjoying much larger balance sheets, but there are political factors in Washington that are against an extension of the exemption.... Here are a couple of scenarios and their implications on the Repo market:The exemption is extended 3 months or 6 months - No impact on the Repo market. It's already fully priced-in.The exemption is continued for reserves, but ended for Treasurys. Since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise. Volatility increases as Repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants.The exemption is ended for both reserves and Treasurys. Same as above.In other words, Skyrm has a relatively downbeat view, warning that \"since large banks are the largest cash providers in the Repo market, less cash is intermediated into the market and Repo rates rise.\" Additionally, volatility is likely to increase as repo assets move from the largest banks to the other Repo market participants...Perhaps a bit too draconian? Well, last week, JPMorgan laid out 5 scenarios for SLR, of which two predicted the end of SLR relief on March 31, as follow:3. Relief ends March 31, banks fully raise capital Impact on BanksRatesFront-End Rates 4. Relief ends March 31, banks raise capital & de-lever Impact on BanksRatesFront-End RatesGoing back to Zoltan, let's recallthat the repo gurualso cautioned that \"ending the exemption of reserves and Treasuries from the calculation of the SLR may mean that U.S. banks will turn away deposits and reserves on the margin (not Treasuries) to leave more room for market-making activities,and these flows will swell further money funds’ inflows coming from TGA drawdowns.\"More importantly, Zoltan does not expect broad chaos in repo or broader markets, and instead provides a more benign view on the negligible impact the SLR has had (and will be if it is eliminated), as he explained in a note from Tuesday.How to determine if Zoltan's benign view is correct? He concluded his note by writing that \"given that our call for a zero-to-negative FRA-OIS spread by the end of June was predicated on the end of SLR extension and an assumption that the Fed will try to fix a quantity problem with prices, not quantities, today’s adjustments mean that FRA-OIS won’t trade all the way down to zero or negative territory.\"FRA-OIS from here will be a function of how tight FX swaps will trade relative to OIS, but Treasury bills trading at deeply sub-zero rates is no longer a risk...While Bills have occasionally dipped into the negative territory on occasion, so far they have avoided a fullblown plunge into NIRP, which may be just the positive sign the market is waiting for to ease the nerves associated with the sudden and largely unexpected end of the SLR exemption.* * *Finally, for those curious what the immediate market impact will be, NatWest strategist Blake Gwinn writes that the Fed announcement that they’re letting regulatory exemptions for banks expire at the end of the month \"really threads the needle and \"assuages concerns about the potential long-term impact on the markets\" asthe SLR \"ends it but defuses a lot of the knee-jerk market reaction” by pledging to address the current design and calibration of the supplementary leverage ratio to prevent strains from developing.“I was never worried about a day-one bank puke of Treasuries or drawdown in repo or anything like that on no renewal,” Gwinn said. “My concern was the longer run,” like as reserves continue to rise, would the SLR “become a nuisance and drag on Treasuries and spreads” Gwinn concludes that with the statement, the Fed is\"really speaking to those fears and basically saying, ‘don’t worry, we are on it’.”Well, with yields spiking to HOD in early quad-witch trading, the market sure seems quite skeptical that the Fed is on anything.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":365589632,"gmtCreate":1614760344226,"gmtModify":1703480728703,"author":{"id":"3574850099281549","authorId":"3574850099281549","name":"lukecyb","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/86b31ee917e065ab961b2a500b7103d6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574850099281549","idStr":"3574850099281549"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long live!","listText":"Long live!","text":"Long live!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/365589632","repostId":"1170920256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":625,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}