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2021-06-25

Good

Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

2021-06-29

Good

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2021-06-25

Nice

Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票被福特和通用汽车甩在身后</blockquote>

2021-06-16

Nice

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2021-06-27

Nice amaze on

Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>

2021-06-24

Nice

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2021-06-26

Hodl

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2021-06-18

Nice

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2021-06-28

Noice

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2021-06-29

GG market crash

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amaze on","listText":"Nice amaze on","text":"Nice amaze on","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124445932","repostId":"1184001921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184001921","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624763737,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184001921?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184001921","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce i","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。如果你仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。如果你仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184001921","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.\nUnfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.\nThis article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.\nI hope you enjoy.\n\nSundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nToday, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.\nSource: Author\nYou might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.\nIn this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.\nSomething important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.\nThis method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.\nBut after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.\n\n Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are\n margin of safety.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.\n\n\n Rule 1 Investing\n\nThis model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.\nBusiness Model\nWhere does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.\nAs a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.\nAnd later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nI projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.\nHopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.\nHere's a look at Amazon's International segment:\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nFor Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.\nAnd for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:\nSource: Author\nAWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about 17.5% CAGR until 2025.\nAdditionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.\nThese projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.\nCapital Allocation\nHow does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.\nSource: Author\nThe biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.\n\n In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.\n There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.\n\n\n Source:2020 10-K page 60,\n emphasis added\n\nBut for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.\nAmazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.\nAmazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.\nValuation\nFirst, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.\nSource: Author\nI used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.\nThis model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.\nRight now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.\nSource: Author\nDown at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.\nSource: Author\nToday, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.\nThese estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.\nDown at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.\nThe model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.\n\"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.\nBut the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.\nRecap\nToday, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.\nBut if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.\nEven if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.\nThank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124442852,"gmtCreate":1624785541376,"gmtModify":1631884665923,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hong Kong's Hang Seng index jumps more than 1%; South Korea's Kospi closes at record highAsia-Pacific stocks jumped on Friday, with shares in Hong Kong and mainland China among the region’s biggest gainers.The Kospi in South Korea rose 0.51% on Friday to a new record close of 3,302.84.","listText":"Hong Kong's Hang Seng index jumps more than 1%; South Korea's Kospi closes at record highAsia-Pacific stocks jumped on Friday, with shares in Hong Kong and mainland China among the region’s biggest gainers.The Kospi in South Korea rose 0.51% on Friday to a new record close of 3,302.84.","text":"Hong Kong's Hang Seng index jumps more than 1%; South Korea's Kospi closes at record highAsia-Pacific stocks jumped on Friday, with shares in Hong Kong and mainland China among the region’s biggest gainers.The Kospi in South Korea rose 0.51% on Friday to a new record close of 3,302.84.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124442852","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124000285,"gmtCreate":1624701559047,"gmtModify":1633949435569,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/25/europe-markets-investors-look-to-recovery-tapering-fears-seas.html","listText":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/25/europe-markets-investors-look-to-recovery-tapering-fears-seas.html","text":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/25/europe-markets-investors-look-to-recovery-tapering-fears-seas.html","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124000285","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125777523,"gmtCreate":1624701470062,"gmtModify":1633949436524,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl","listText":"Hodl","text":"Hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125777523","repostId":"1108941456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122221543,"gmtCreate":1624624183282,"gmtModify":1633950414993,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122221543","repostId":"1123235741","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123235741","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624621822,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123235741?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 19:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123235741","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)\n\nKey inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earl","content":"<p><i><b>(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间2021年6月25日上午08:33）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Key inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.</b></li>  <li>S&amp;P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.</li>  <li>Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June&nbsp;25)&nbsp;<b>The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.</b>&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>5月份关键通胀指标同比上涨3.4%，符合预期。</b></li><li>标准普尔、纳斯达克期货在关键通胀报告发布前达到峰值。</li><li>耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月25日）<b>据道琼斯调查的经济学家称，5月份核心个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨3.4%。</b> </blockquote></p><p> <i>Related:&nbsp;</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades</i></a></p><p><blockquote><i>相关：</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>关键通胀指标录得近三十年来最大同比涨幅</i></a></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps</i></a><i></i></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>随着储蓄率暴跌，美联储最喜欢的通胀指标飙升至1991年以来的最高水平</i></a><i></i></blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>标普期货交易创下历史新高，追随亚洲市场的强劲上涨，投资者在两党就基础设施支出达成初步协议后，为美联储首选的通胀数据做好准备，而美国银行在通过压力测试后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:58&nbsp;am ET S&amp;P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up&nbsp;120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%.&nbsp;<b>Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:58，标准普尔期货上涨5点或0.12%，道琼斯期货上涨120点或0.35%，纳斯达克期货上涨10.5点或+0.07%。<b>全球股市有望创下4月份以来最大单周涨幅，延续第五个月涨幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3595ef2646654cdba23a65657d7cb0d5\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. <b>And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四上午发布的每周失业救济申请报告显示，新申请失业救济人数有所下降，尽管改善幅度略弱于预期，这表明美国仍在持续复苏。<b>周五，投资者将密切关注经济分析局关于核心个人消费支出（PCE）的报告，该报告是美联储首选的通胀指标。预计5月份这一数字将比去年增长3.4%，为1992年以来的最快增幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks&nbsp;passed&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>周四，纳斯达克和标普500指数收于历史新高，而在乔·拜登接受1.2万亿美元的两党参议院支出协议后，道琼斯指数上涨近1%，数据显示劳动力市场复苏已步入正轨，尽管速度较慢。在所有华尔街银行通过美联储压力测试后，美国银行、摩根大通和花旗集团等美国主要银行在盘前交易中均走高，为超过1400亿美元的支出铺平了道路。运动鞋制造商耐克(Nike)在盘前交易中飙升12%，此前该公司预测全年销售额高于华尔街预期，促使几位分析师上调价格预测，并帮助道指期货上涨0.3%。出于同情，阿迪达斯股价上涨5.1%，至17个月高点，而电力生产商Iberdrola股价下跌2.1%，至3月初以来的最低水平。劳动力短缺的最新证据来自联邦快递公司，这家美国快递公司因招聘困难而未能达到2022年盈利预期。其股价下跌3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:</p><p><blockquote>以下是今天美国其他一些重要的盘前走势：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Blank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.</li>  <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.</li>  <li>Nokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.</li> </ul> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>空白支票公司Property Solutions Acquisition(PSAC)表示，SEC已宣布其与电动汽车制造商法拉第未来合并的注册声明生效，该公司股价上涨16%。</li><li>大麻二酚产品销售商Grove(GRVI)飙升35%，进一步高于昨天每股5美元的IPO价格。</li><li>瑞士信贷将Netflix(NFLX)股票评级上调至跑赢大盘后，该股上涨1.3%，预计2021年第四季度的用户增长将正常化。CS对美国消费者的一项调查强化了流媒体平台强大的竞争地位和高用户满意度。</li><li>高盛将这家电信设备制造商的评级从中性上调至买入并上调目标价后，诺基亚美国ADR(NOK)上涨2.9%。</li></ul><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Nike(NKE)</b> – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）耐克（NKE）</b>-耐克报告季度收益为每股93美分，远高于每股51美分的普遍预期。收入大幅超出预期，首次超过120亿美元。耐克受益于对其鞋子和服装被压抑的需求，通过其应用程序和网站的直销增长了73%。耐克股价盘前飙升12.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CarMax(KMX) </b>– CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)CarMax(KMX)</b>-汽车零售商CarMax公布最新季度的销售额和利润好于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨5.9%。CarMax每股超出市场普遍预期1美元，季度利润为2.63美元，这得益于大流行引发的对汽车而非公共交通的偏好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE) </b>– Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）维珍银河（SPCE）</b>-在美国联邦航空管理局批准维珍航空将付费客户送上太空后，维珍航空股价在盘前飙升11.5%。这是美国联邦航空局首次获得此类批准，此前维珍银河在5月份成功试飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;FedEx(FDX) </b>– FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)联邦快递(FDX)</b>-联邦快递每股收益超出预期2美分，季度收益为每股5.01美元。送货服务的收入也超出了预期。首席执行官弗雷德·史密斯(Fred Smith)表示，由于无法找到足够的工人，运营受到了限制，该公司今年将增加22%的资本支出，以应对交货延误。该股在盘前交易中下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>-据松下发言人称，日本电子巨头松下在最近一财年以约36亿美元的价格出售了其在特斯拉的全部股份。松下是特斯拉的早期投资者，也是该汽车制造商的主要电池供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Netflix(NFLX)</b> – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Netflix(NFLX)</b>–Netflix盘前上涨1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。该银行表示，预计用户增长将正常化，最近的消费者调查增强了Netflix强大的竞争地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;BlackBerry(BB) </b>– BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）黑莓（BB）</b>-黑莓公布最近一个季度亏损小于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。由于电动汽车销量的猛增提振了对黑莓QNX软件的需求，这家安全和通信软件制造商的收入也好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C)</b> – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)摩根大通(JPM)、富国银行(WFC)、美国银行(BAC)、花旗集团(C)</b>-在美联储对接受最新一轮压力测试的所有23家银行给予及格分数后，大型银行股今天受到关注。在这些结果公布后，美联储表示将取消对股息和股票回购的临时限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN)</b> – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Twilio（TWLO）、Asana（ASAN）</b>-Twilio和Asana已同意将其股票在长期证券交易所上市，这是一家总部位于硅谷的公司，旨在专注于长期投资。他们也将继续在纽约证券交易所上市。这两家云软件公司是长期交易所的早期投资者。Asana在盘前交易中上涨3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Credit Suisse(CS)</b> – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)瑞士信贷(CS)</b>-据接受路透社采访的知情人士透露，瑞士信贷正在考虑各种改革计划，包括可能与竞争对手欧洲银行（UBS）合并。瑞士信贷盘前上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Doximity(DOCS) </b>– The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Doximity（DOCS）</b>-这家医生社交网络以每股26美元的价格上市，首日收盘价为53美元，盘前股价下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-25 19:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i><b>(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间2021年6月25日上午08:33）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Key inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.</b></li>  <li>S&amp;P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.</li>  <li>Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June&nbsp;25)&nbsp;<b>The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.</b>&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>5月份关键通胀指标同比上涨3.4%，符合预期。</b></li><li>标准普尔、纳斯达克期货在关键通胀报告发布前达到峰值。</li><li>耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月25日）<b>据道琼斯调查的经济学家称，5月份核心个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨3.4%。</b> </blockquote></p><p> <i>Related:&nbsp;</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades</i></a></p><p><blockquote><i>相关：</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>关键通胀指标录得近三十年来最大同比涨幅</i></a></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps</i></a><i></i></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>随着储蓄率暴跌，美联储最喜欢的通胀指标飙升至1991年以来的最高水平</i></a><i></i></blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>标普期货交易创下历史新高，追随亚洲市场的强劲上涨，投资者在两党就基础设施支出达成初步协议后，为美联储首选的通胀数据做好准备，而美国银行在通过压力测试后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:58&nbsp;am ET S&amp;P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up&nbsp;120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%.&nbsp;<b>Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:58，标准普尔期货上涨5点或0.12%，道琼斯期货上涨120点或0.35%，纳斯达克期货上涨10.5点或+0.07%。<b>全球股市有望创下4月份以来最大单周涨幅，延续第五个月涨幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3595ef2646654cdba23a65657d7cb0d5\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. <b>And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四上午发布的每周失业救济申请报告显示，新申请失业救济人数有所下降，尽管改善幅度略弱于预期，这表明美国仍在持续复苏。<b>周五，投资者将密切关注经济分析局关于核心个人消费支出（PCE）的报告，该报告是美联储首选的通胀指标。预计5月份这一数字将比去年增长3.4%，为1992年以来的最快增幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks&nbsp;passed&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>周四，纳斯达克和标普500指数收于历史新高，而在乔·拜登接受1.2万亿美元的两党参议院支出协议后，道琼斯指数上涨近1%，数据显示劳动力市场复苏已步入正轨，尽管速度较慢。在所有华尔街银行通过美联储压力测试后，美国银行、摩根大通和花旗集团等美国主要银行在盘前交易中均走高，为超过1400亿美元的支出铺平了道路。运动鞋制造商耐克(Nike)在盘前交易中飙升12%，此前该公司预测全年销售额高于华尔街预期，促使几位分析师上调价格预测，并帮助道指期货上涨0.3%。出于同情，阿迪达斯股价上涨5.1%，至17个月高点，而电力生产商Iberdrola股价下跌2.1%，至3月初以来的最低水平。劳动力短缺的最新证据来自联邦快递公司，这家美国快递公司因招聘困难而未能达到2022年盈利预期。其股价下跌3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:</p><p><blockquote>以下是今天美国其他一些重要的盘前走势：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Blank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.</li>  <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.</li>  <li>Nokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.</li> </ul> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>空白支票公司Property Solutions Acquisition(PSAC)表示，SEC已宣布其与电动汽车制造商法拉第未来合并的注册声明生效，该公司股价上涨16%。</li><li>大麻二酚产品销售商Grove(GRVI)飙升35%，进一步高于昨天每股5美元的IPO价格。</li><li>瑞士信贷将Netflix(NFLX)股票评级上调至跑赢大盘后，该股上涨1.3%，预计2021年第四季度的用户增长将正常化。CS对美国消费者的一项调查强化了流媒体平台强大的竞争地位和高用户满意度。</li><li>高盛将这家电信设备制造商的评级从中性上调至买入并上调目标价后，诺基亚美国ADR(NOK)上涨2.9%。</li></ul><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Nike(NKE)</b> – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）耐克（NKE）</b>-耐克报告季度收益为每股93美分，远高于每股51美分的普遍预期。收入大幅超出预期，首次超过120亿美元。耐克受益于对其鞋子和服装被压抑的需求，通过其应用程序和网站的直销增长了73%。耐克股价盘前飙升12.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CarMax(KMX) </b>– CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)CarMax(KMX)</b>-汽车零售商CarMax公布最新季度的销售额和利润好于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨5.9%。CarMax每股超出市场普遍预期1美元，季度利润为2.63美元，这得益于大流行引发的对汽车而非公共交通的偏好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE) </b>– Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）维珍银河（SPCE）</b>-在美国联邦航空管理局批准维珍航空将付费客户送上太空后，维珍航空股价在盘前飙升11.5%。这是美国联邦航空局首次获得此类批准，此前维珍银河在5月份成功试飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;FedEx(FDX) </b>– FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)联邦快递(FDX)</b>-联邦快递每股收益超出预期2美分，季度收益为每股5.01美元。送货服务的收入也超出了预期。首席执行官弗雷德·史密斯(Fred Smith)表示，由于无法找到足够的工人，运营受到了限制，该公司今年将增加22%的资本支出，以应对交货延误。该股在盘前交易中下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>-据松下发言人称，日本电子巨头松下在最近一财年以约36亿美元的价格出售了其在特斯拉的全部股份。松下是特斯拉的早期投资者，也是该汽车制造商的主要电池供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Netflix(NFLX)</b> – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Netflix(NFLX)</b>–Netflix盘前上涨1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。该银行表示，预计用户增长将正常化，最近的消费者调查增强了Netflix强大的竞争地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;BlackBerry(BB) </b>– BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）黑莓（BB）</b>-黑莓公布最近一个季度亏损小于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。由于电动汽车销量的猛增提振了对黑莓QNX软件的需求，这家安全和通信软件制造商的收入也好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C)</b> – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)摩根大通(JPM)、富国银行(WFC)、美国银行(BAC)、花旗集团(C)</b>-在美联储对接受最新一轮压力测试的所有23家银行给予及格分数后，大型银行股今天受到关注。在这些结果公布后，美联储表示将取消对股息和股票回购的临时限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN)</b> – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Twilio（TWLO）、Asana（ASAN）</b>-Twilio和Asana已同意将其股票在长期证券交易所上市，这是一家总部位于硅谷的公司，旨在专注于长期投资。他们也将继续在纽约证券交易所上市。这两家云软件公司是长期交易所的早期投资者。Asana在盘前交易中上涨3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Credit Suisse(CS)</b> – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)瑞士信贷(CS)</b>-据接受路透社采访的知情人士透露，瑞士信贷正在考虑各种改革计划，包括可能与竞争对手欧洲银行（UBS）合并。瑞士信贷盘前上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Doximity(DOCS) </b>– The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Doximity（DOCS）</b>-这家医生社交网络以每股26美元的价格上市，首日收盘价为53美元，盘前股价下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123235741","content_text":"(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)\n\nKey inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.\nS&P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.\nNike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic & more made the biggest moves in the premarket.\n\n(June 25) The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones. \nRelated: Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades\nFed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps\nS&P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.\nAt 7:58 am ET S&P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up 120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%. Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.\n\nIn a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.\nOn Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks passed the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.\nHere are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:\n\nBlank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.\nCannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.\nNetflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.\nNokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic & more\n1) Nike(NKE) – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.\n2) CarMax(KMX) – CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.\n3) Virgin Galactic(SPCE) – Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.\n4) FedEx(FDX) – FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.\n5) Tesla(TSLA) – Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.\n6) Netflix(NFLX) – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.\n7) BlackBerry(BB) – BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.\n8) JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C) – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.\n9) Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN) – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.\n10) Credit Suisse(CS) – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.\n11) Doximity(DOCS) – The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122265579,"gmtCreate":1624623885291,"gmtModify":1633950420311,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/25/big-oil-rising-tide-of-climate-cases-draws-parallels-to-big-tobacco.html","listText":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/25/big-oil-rising-tide-of-climate-cases-draws-parallels-to-big-tobacco.html","text":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/25/big-oil-rising-tide-of-climate-cases-draws-parallels-to-big-tobacco.html","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122265579","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122260496,"gmtCreate":1624623517715,"gmtModify":1633950425082,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122260496","repostId":"1116076888","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116076888","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624612129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116076888?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 17:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票被福特和通用汽车甩在身后</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116076888","media":"cnn","summary":"New York Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.Tesla  shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand thei","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&amp;P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）特斯拉2020年表现出色：这家电动汽车制造商被纳入标普500，股价飙升743%。但一些投资者最近退出了该公司。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(TSLA)股价较今年早些时候创下的历史高点低近25%，2021年迄今已下跌2%——此时传统汽车制造商正在飙升，因为他们加大了电动汽车的雄心。</blockquote></p><p> Ford (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&amp;P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>福特(F)股价上涨近75%，跻身2021年标普500前十名。该公司上个月推出了电动F-150 Lightning卡车，还告诉投资者，目前预计到2030年电动汽车将占全球销量的40%。</blockquote></p><p> And GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(GM)也上涨了40%以上。这家雪佛兰、别克和凯迪拉克制造商本月表示，计划到2025年在电动汽车上投入高达350亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对这些传统的三大汽车制造商有点迷恋，因为他们希望迅速扩大电动汽车产品以赶上特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉仍在以令人难以置信的速度增长。分析师预计，今年每股收益将增长一倍以上，未来几年将以年均45%左右的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉是华尔街最两极分化的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> According to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，14名分析师将该股评级为“买入”，13名分析师评级为“持有”，10名分析师评级为“卖出”。相比之下，通用汽车有20个买入评级，2个持有评级，没有卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怀疑论者对特斯拉和马斯克有很多疑问</b></blockquote></p><p> The consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票的一致目标价为652美元，比当前价格低约6%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的批评者有一大堆担忧要指出。《大空头》中的一位著名卖空者正在做空该公司。在长期高管Jerome Guillen本月早些时候突然离职后，人们对特斯拉管理层的担忧激增——特别是因为首席执行官Elon Musk也在忙于运营SpaceX。</blockquote></p><p> And Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克对比特币和狗狗币的痴迷，以及主持周六夜现场和不断发推文等其他课外活动，可能会让一些投资者和分析师感到厌烦。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，不可否认的是，该公司拥有大量热情的粉丝，其车辆仅在本周就占据了大量正面头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Cars.com(CARS)本周早些时候宣布，特斯拉Model 3在其美国制造指数中排名第一，该指数根据国内工厂就业、制造工厂等因素衡量车辆对美国经济的贡献程度和零部件采购。</blockquote></p><p> The Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.</p><p><blockquote>Model 3力压福特野马夺得榜首，特斯拉Model Y也位列榜单第三。消息传出后，特斯拉股价周三上涨超过5%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克前一天晚上在推特上表示，如果SpaceX最终决定在几年内剥离卫星互联网服务，特斯拉投资者可能会获得购买SpaceX旗下Starlink股票的优惠待遇，该股周四进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> So even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管特斯拉的股价今年仍处于亏损状态，但在过去五天飙升超过12%后，该股已迅速收复了2021年的大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is nothing if not volatile.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是不稳定的话，特斯拉什么都不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票被福特和通用汽车甩在身后</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票被福特和通用汽车甩在身后</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-25 17:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&amp;P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）特斯拉2020年表现出色：这家电动汽车制造商被纳入标普500，股价飙升743%。但一些投资者最近退出了该公司。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(TSLA)股价较今年早些时候创下的历史高点低近25%，2021年迄今已下跌2%——此时传统汽车制造商正在飙升，因为他们加大了电动汽车的雄心。</blockquote></p><p> Ford (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&amp;P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>福特(F)股价上涨近75%，跻身2021年标普500前十名。该公司上个月推出了电动F-150 Lightning卡车，还告诉投资者，目前预计到2030年电动汽车将占全球销量的40%。</blockquote></p><p> And GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(GM)也上涨了40%以上。这家雪佛兰、别克和凯迪拉克制造商本月表示，计划到2025年在电动汽车上投入高达350亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对这些传统的三大汽车制造商有点迷恋，因为他们希望迅速扩大电动汽车产品以赶上特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉仍在以令人难以置信的速度增长。分析师预计，今年每股收益将增长一倍以上，未来几年将以年均45%左右的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉是华尔街最两极分化的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> According to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，14名分析师将该股评级为“买入”，13名分析师评级为“持有”，10名分析师评级为“卖出”。相比之下，通用汽车有20个买入评级，2个持有评级，没有卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怀疑论者对特斯拉和马斯克有很多疑问</b></blockquote></p><p> The consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票的一致目标价为652美元，比当前价格低约6%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的批评者有一大堆担忧要指出。《大空头》中的一位著名卖空者正在做空该公司。在长期高管Jerome Guillen本月早些时候突然离职后，人们对特斯拉管理层的担忧激增——特别是因为首席执行官Elon Musk也在忙于运营SpaceX。</blockquote></p><p> And Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克对比特币和狗狗币的痴迷，以及主持周六夜现场和不断发推文等其他课外活动，可能会让一些投资者和分析师感到厌烦。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，不可否认的是，该公司拥有大量热情的粉丝，其车辆仅在本周就占据了大量正面头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Cars.com(CARS)本周早些时候宣布，特斯拉Model 3在其美国制造指数中排名第一，该指数根据国内工厂就业、制造工厂等因素衡量车辆对美国经济的贡献程度和零部件采购。</blockquote></p><p> The Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.</p><p><blockquote>Model 3力压福特野马夺得榜首，特斯拉Model Y也位列榜单第三。消息传出后，特斯拉股价周三上涨超过5%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克前一天晚上在推特上表示，如果SpaceX最终决定在几年内剥离卫星互联网服务，特斯拉投资者可能会获得购买SpaceX旗下Starlink股票的优惠待遇，该股周四进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> So even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管特斯拉的股价今年仍处于亏损状态，但在过去五天飙升超过12%后，该股已迅速收复了2021年的大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is nothing if not volatile.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是不稳定的话，特斯拉什么都不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/24/investing/tesla-stock-ford-gm/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/24/investing/tesla-stock-ford-gm/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116076888","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.\nTesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.\nFord (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.\nAnd GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.\nIt seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.\nTesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.\nYet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.\nAccording to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.\nSkeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk\nThe consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.\nTesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.\nAnd Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.\nStill, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.\nFor example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.\nThe Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.\nThe stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.\nSo even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.\nTesla is nothing if not volatile.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128566858,"gmtCreate":1624524166074,"gmtModify":1634004890872,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/credit-suisse-investment-outlook-2021-global-growth.html","listText":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/credit-suisse-investment-outlook-2021-global-growth.html","text":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/24/credit-suisse-investment-outlook-2021-global-growth.html","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128566858","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":486,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128560765,"gmtCreate":1624523994157,"gmtModify":1634004893633,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128560765","repostId":"2145016687","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168491770,"gmtCreate":1623980202190,"gmtModify":1634024826992,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168491770","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169799654,"gmtCreate":1623850255378,"gmtModify":1634027125727,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573965556578671","authorIdStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169799654","repostId":"2143912677","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":122221543,"gmtCreate":1624624183282,"gmtModify":1633950414993,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122221543","repostId":"1123235741","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123235741","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624621822,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123235741?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 19:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123235741","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)\n\nKey inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earl","content":"<p><i><b>(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间2021年6月25日上午08:33）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Key inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.</b></li>  <li>S&amp;P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.</li>  <li>Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June&nbsp;25)&nbsp;<b>The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.</b>&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>5月份关键通胀指标同比上涨3.4%，符合预期。</b></li><li>标准普尔、纳斯达克期货在关键通胀报告发布前达到峰值。</li><li>耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月25日）<b>据道琼斯调查的经济学家称，5月份核心个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨3.4%。</b> </blockquote></p><p> <i>Related:&nbsp;</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades</i></a></p><p><blockquote><i>相关：</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>关键通胀指标录得近三十年来最大同比涨幅</i></a></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps</i></a><i></i></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>随着储蓄率暴跌，美联储最喜欢的通胀指标飙升至1991年以来的最高水平</i></a><i></i></blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>标普期货交易创下历史新高，追随亚洲市场的强劲上涨，投资者在两党就基础设施支出达成初步协议后，为美联储首选的通胀数据做好准备，而美国银行在通过压力测试后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:58&nbsp;am ET S&amp;P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up&nbsp;120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%.&nbsp;<b>Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:58，标准普尔期货上涨5点或0.12%，道琼斯期货上涨120点或0.35%，纳斯达克期货上涨10.5点或+0.07%。<b>全球股市有望创下4月份以来最大单周涨幅，延续第五个月涨幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3595ef2646654cdba23a65657d7cb0d5\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. <b>And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四上午发布的每周失业救济申请报告显示，新申请失业救济人数有所下降，尽管改善幅度略弱于预期，这表明美国仍在持续复苏。<b>周五，投资者将密切关注经济分析局关于核心个人消费支出（PCE）的报告，该报告是美联储首选的通胀指标。预计5月份这一数字将比去年增长3.4%，为1992年以来的最快增幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks&nbsp;passed&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>周四，纳斯达克和标普500指数收于历史新高，而在乔·拜登接受1.2万亿美元的两党参议院支出协议后，道琼斯指数上涨近1%，数据显示劳动力市场复苏已步入正轨，尽管速度较慢。在所有华尔街银行通过美联储压力测试后，美国银行、摩根大通和花旗集团等美国主要银行在盘前交易中均走高，为超过1400亿美元的支出铺平了道路。运动鞋制造商耐克(Nike)在盘前交易中飙升12%，此前该公司预测全年销售额高于华尔街预期，促使几位分析师上调价格预测，并帮助道指期货上涨0.3%。出于同情，阿迪达斯股价上涨5.1%，至17个月高点，而电力生产商Iberdrola股价下跌2.1%，至3月初以来的最低水平。劳动力短缺的最新证据来自联邦快递公司，这家美国快递公司因招聘困难而未能达到2022年盈利预期。其股价下跌3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:</p><p><blockquote>以下是今天美国其他一些重要的盘前走势：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Blank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.</li>  <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.</li>  <li>Nokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.</li> </ul> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>空白支票公司Property Solutions Acquisition(PSAC)表示，SEC已宣布其与电动汽车制造商法拉第未来合并的注册声明生效，该公司股价上涨16%。</li><li>大麻二酚产品销售商Grove(GRVI)飙升35%，进一步高于昨天每股5美元的IPO价格。</li><li>瑞士信贷将Netflix(NFLX)股票评级上调至跑赢大盘后，该股上涨1.3%，预计2021年第四季度的用户增长将正常化。CS对美国消费者的一项调查强化了流媒体平台强大的竞争地位和高用户满意度。</li><li>高盛将这家电信设备制造商的评级从中性上调至买入并上调目标价后，诺基亚美国ADR(NOK)上涨2.9%。</li></ul><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Nike(NKE)</b> – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）耐克（NKE）</b>-耐克报告季度收益为每股93美分，远高于每股51美分的普遍预期。收入大幅超出预期，首次超过120亿美元。耐克受益于对其鞋子和服装被压抑的需求，通过其应用程序和网站的直销增长了73%。耐克股价盘前飙升12.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CarMax(KMX) </b>– CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)CarMax(KMX)</b>-汽车零售商CarMax公布最新季度的销售额和利润好于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨5.9%。CarMax每股超出市场普遍预期1美元，季度利润为2.63美元，这得益于大流行引发的对汽车而非公共交通的偏好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE) </b>– Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）维珍银河（SPCE）</b>-在美国联邦航空管理局批准维珍航空将付费客户送上太空后，维珍航空股价在盘前飙升11.5%。这是美国联邦航空局首次获得此类批准，此前维珍银河在5月份成功试飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;FedEx(FDX) </b>– FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)联邦快递(FDX)</b>-联邦快递每股收益超出预期2美分，季度收益为每股5.01美元。送货服务的收入也超出了预期。首席执行官弗雷德·史密斯(Fred Smith)表示，由于无法找到足够的工人，运营受到了限制，该公司今年将增加22%的资本支出，以应对交货延误。该股在盘前交易中下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>-据松下发言人称，日本电子巨头松下在最近一财年以约36亿美元的价格出售了其在特斯拉的全部股份。松下是特斯拉的早期投资者，也是该汽车制造商的主要电池供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Netflix(NFLX)</b> – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Netflix(NFLX)</b>–Netflix盘前上涨1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。该银行表示，预计用户增长将正常化，最近的消费者调查增强了Netflix强大的竞争地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;BlackBerry(BB) </b>– BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）黑莓（BB）</b>-黑莓公布最近一个季度亏损小于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。由于电动汽车销量的猛增提振了对黑莓QNX软件的需求，这家安全和通信软件制造商的收入也好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C)</b> – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)摩根大通(JPM)、富国银行(WFC)、美国银行(BAC)、花旗集团(C)</b>-在美联储对接受最新一轮压力测试的所有23家银行给予及格分数后，大型银行股今天受到关注。在这些结果公布后，美联储表示将取消对股息和股票回购的临时限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN)</b> – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Twilio（TWLO）、Asana（ASAN）</b>-Twilio和Asana已同意将其股票在长期证券交易所上市，这是一家总部位于硅谷的公司，旨在专注于长期投资。他们也将继续在纽约证券交易所上市。这两家云软件公司是长期交易所的早期投资者。Asana在盘前交易中上涨3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Credit Suisse(CS)</b> – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)瑞士信贷(CS)</b>-据接受路透社采访的知情人士透露，瑞士信贷正在考虑各种改革计划，包括可能与竞争对手欧洲银行（UBS）合并。瑞士信贷盘前上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Doximity(DOCS) </b>– The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Doximity（DOCS）</b>-这家医生社交网络以每股26美元的价格上市，首日收盘价为53美元，盘前股价下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-25 19:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i><b>(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间2021年6月25日上午08:33）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Key inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.</b></li>  <li>S&amp;P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.</li>  <li>Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June&nbsp;25)&nbsp;<b>The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.</b>&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>5月份关键通胀指标同比上涨3.4%，符合预期。</b></li><li>标准普尔、纳斯达克期货在关键通胀报告发布前达到峰值。</li><li>耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月25日）<b>据道琼斯调查的经济学家称，5月份核心个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨3.4%。</b> </blockquote></p><p> <i>Related:&nbsp;</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades</i></a></p><p><blockquote><i>相关：</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>关键通胀指标录得近三十年来最大同比涨幅</i></a></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps</i></a><i></i></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>随着储蓄率暴跌，美联储最喜欢的通胀指标飙升至1991年以来的最高水平</i></a><i></i></blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>标普期货交易创下历史新高，追随亚洲市场的强劲上涨，投资者在两党就基础设施支出达成初步协议后，为美联储首选的通胀数据做好准备，而美国银行在通过压力测试后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:58&nbsp;am ET S&amp;P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up&nbsp;120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%.&nbsp;<b>Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:58，标准普尔期货上涨5点或0.12%，道琼斯期货上涨120点或0.35%，纳斯达克期货上涨10.5点或+0.07%。<b>全球股市有望创下4月份以来最大单周涨幅，延续第五个月涨幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3595ef2646654cdba23a65657d7cb0d5\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. <b>And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四上午发布的每周失业救济申请报告显示，新申请失业救济人数有所下降，尽管改善幅度略弱于预期，这表明美国仍在持续复苏。<b>周五，投资者将密切关注经济分析局关于核心个人消费支出（PCE）的报告，该报告是美联储首选的通胀指标。预计5月份这一数字将比去年增长3.4%，为1992年以来的最快增幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks&nbsp;passed&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>周四，纳斯达克和标普500指数收于历史新高，而在乔·拜登接受1.2万亿美元的两党参议院支出协议后，道琼斯指数上涨近1%，数据显示劳动力市场复苏已步入正轨，尽管速度较慢。在所有华尔街银行通过美联储压力测试后，美国银行、摩根大通和花旗集团等美国主要银行在盘前交易中均走高，为超过1400亿美元的支出铺平了道路。运动鞋制造商耐克(Nike)在盘前交易中飙升12%，此前该公司预测全年销售额高于华尔街预期，促使几位分析师上调价格预测，并帮助道指期货上涨0.3%。出于同情，阿迪达斯股价上涨5.1%，至17个月高点，而电力生产商Iberdrola股价下跌2.1%，至3月初以来的最低水平。劳动力短缺的最新证据来自联邦快递公司，这家美国快递公司因招聘困难而未能达到2022年盈利预期。其股价下跌3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:</p><p><blockquote>以下是今天美国其他一些重要的盘前走势：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Blank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.</li>  <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.</li>  <li>Nokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.</li> </ul> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>空白支票公司Property Solutions Acquisition(PSAC)表示，SEC已宣布其与电动汽车制造商法拉第未来合并的注册声明生效，该公司股价上涨16%。</li><li>大麻二酚产品销售商Grove(GRVI)飙升35%，进一步高于昨天每股5美元的IPO价格。</li><li>瑞士信贷将Netflix(NFLX)股票评级上调至跑赢大盘后，该股上涨1.3%，预计2021年第四季度的用户增长将正常化。CS对美国消费者的一项调查强化了流媒体平台强大的竞争地位和高用户满意度。</li><li>高盛将这家电信设备制造商的评级从中性上调至买入并上调目标价后，诺基亚美国ADR(NOK)上涨2.9%。</li></ul><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Nike(NKE)</b> – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）耐克（NKE）</b>-耐克报告季度收益为每股93美分，远高于每股51美分的普遍预期。收入大幅超出预期，首次超过120亿美元。耐克受益于对其鞋子和服装被压抑的需求，通过其应用程序和网站的直销增长了73%。耐克股价盘前飙升12.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CarMax(KMX) </b>– CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)CarMax(KMX)</b>-汽车零售商CarMax公布最新季度的销售额和利润好于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨5.9%。CarMax每股超出市场普遍预期1美元，季度利润为2.63美元，这得益于大流行引发的对汽车而非公共交通的偏好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE) </b>– Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）维珍银河（SPCE）</b>-在美国联邦航空管理局批准维珍航空将付费客户送上太空后，维珍航空股价在盘前飙升11.5%。这是美国联邦航空局首次获得此类批准，此前维珍银河在5月份成功试飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;FedEx(FDX) </b>– FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)联邦快递(FDX)</b>-联邦快递每股收益超出预期2美分，季度收益为每股5.01美元。送货服务的收入也超出了预期。首席执行官弗雷德·史密斯(Fred Smith)表示，由于无法找到足够的工人，运营受到了限制，该公司今年将增加22%的资本支出，以应对交货延误。该股在盘前交易中下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>-据松下发言人称，日本电子巨头松下在最近一财年以约36亿美元的价格出售了其在特斯拉的全部股份。松下是特斯拉的早期投资者，也是该汽车制造商的主要电池供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Netflix(NFLX)</b> – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Netflix(NFLX)</b>–Netflix盘前上涨1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。该银行表示，预计用户增长将正常化，最近的消费者调查增强了Netflix强大的竞争地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;BlackBerry(BB) </b>– BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）黑莓（BB）</b>-黑莓公布最近一个季度亏损小于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。由于电动汽车销量的猛增提振了对黑莓QNX软件的需求，这家安全和通信软件制造商的收入也好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C)</b> – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)摩根大通(JPM)、富国银行(WFC)、美国银行(BAC)、花旗集团(C)</b>-在美联储对接受最新一轮压力测试的所有23家银行给予及格分数后，大型银行股今天受到关注。在这些结果公布后，美联储表示将取消对股息和股票回购的临时限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN)</b> – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Twilio（TWLO）、Asana（ASAN）</b>-Twilio和Asana已同意将其股票在长期证券交易所上市，这是一家总部位于硅谷的公司，旨在专注于长期投资。他们也将继续在纽约证券交易所上市。这两家云软件公司是长期交易所的早期投资者。Asana在盘前交易中上涨3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Credit Suisse(CS)</b> – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)瑞士信贷(CS)</b>-据接受路透社采访的知情人士透露，瑞士信贷正在考虑各种改革计划，包括可能与竞争对手欧洲银行（UBS）合并。瑞士信贷盘前上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Doximity(DOCS) </b>– The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Doximity（DOCS）</b>-这家医生社交网络以每股26美元的价格上市，首日收盘价为53美元，盘前股价下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123235741","content_text":"(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)\n\nKey inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.\nS&P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.\nNike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic & more made the biggest moves in the premarket.\n\n(June 25) The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones. \nRelated: Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades\nFed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps\nS&P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.\nAt 7:58 am ET S&P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up 120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%. Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.\n\nIn a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.\nOn Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks passed the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.\nHere are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:\n\nBlank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.\nCannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.\nNetflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.\nNokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic & more\n1) Nike(NKE) – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.\n2) CarMax(KMX) – CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.\n3) Virgin Galactic(SPCE) – Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.\n4) FedEx(FDX) – FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.\n5) Tesla(TSLA) – Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.\n6) Netflix(NFLX) – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.\n7) BlackBerry(BB) – BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.\n8) JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C) – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.\n9) Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN) – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.\n10) Credit Suisse(CS) – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.\n11) Doximity(DOCS) – The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1007,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159721543,"gmtCreate":1624981055882,"gmtModify":1633946190110,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159721543","repostId":"1174683579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122260496,"gmtCreate":1624623517715,"gmtModify":1633950425082,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122260496","repostId":"1116076888","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116076888","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624612129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116076888?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 17:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票被福特和通用汽车甩在身后</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116076888","media":"cnn","summary":"New York Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.Tesla  shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand thei","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&amp;P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）特斯拉2020年表现出色：这家电动汽车制造商被纳入标普500，股价飙升743%。但一些投资者最近退出了该公司。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(TSLA)股价较今年早些时候创下的历史高点低近25%，2021年迄今已下跌2%——此时传统汽车制造商正在飙升，因为他们加大了电动汽车的雄心。</blockquote></p><p> Ford (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&amp;P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>福特(F)股价上涨近75%，跻身2021年标普500前十名。该公司上个月推出了电动F-150 Lightning卡车，还告诉投资者，目前预计到2030年电动汽车将占全球销量的40%。</blockquote></p><p> And GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(GM)也上涨了40%以上。这家雪佛兰、别克和凯迪拉克制造商本月表示，计划到2025年在电动汽车上投入高达350亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对这些传统的三大汽车制造商有点迷恋，因为他们希望迅速扩大电动汽车产品以赶上特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉仍在以令人难以置信的速度增长。分析师预计，今年每股收益将增长一倍以上，未来几年将以年均45%左右的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉是华尔街最两极分化的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> According to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，14名分析师将该股评级为“买入”，13名分析师评级为“持有”，10名分析师评级为“卖出”。相比之下，通用汽车有20个买入评级，2个持有评级，没有卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怀疑论者对特斯拉和马斯克有很多疑问</b></blockquote></p><p> The consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票的一致目标价为652美元，比当前价格低约6%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的批评者有一大堆担忧要指出。《大空头》中的一位著名卖空者正在做空该公司。在长期高管Jerome Guillen本月早些时候突然离职后，人们对特斯拉管理层的担忧激增——特别是因为首席执行官Elon Musk也在忙于运营SpaceX。</blockquote></p><p> And Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克对比特币和狗狗币的痴迷，以及主持周六夜现场和不断发推文等其他课外活动，可能会让一些投资者和分析师感到厌烦。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，不可否认的是，该公司拥有大量热情的粉丝，其车辆仅在本周就占据了大量正面头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Cars.com(CARS)本周早些时候宣布，特斯拉Model 3在其美国制造指数中排名第一，该指数根据国内工厂就业、制造工厂等因素衡量车辆对美国经济的贡献程度和零部件采购。</blockquote></p><p> The Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.</p><p><blockquote>Model 3力压福特野马夺得榜首，特斯拉Model Y也位列榜单第三。消息传出后，特斯拉股价周三上涨超过5%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克前一天晚上在推特上表示，如果SpaceX最终决定在几年内剥离卫星互联网服务，特斯拉投资者可能会获得购买SpaceX旗下Starlink股票的优惠待遇，该股周四进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> So even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管特斯拉的股价今年仍处于亏损状态，但在过去五天飙升超过12%后，该股已迅速收复了2021年的大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is nothing if not volatile.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是不稳定的话，特斯拉什么都不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票被福特和通用汽车甩在身后</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla stock is getting left in Ford's and GM's dust<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股票被福特和通用汽车甩在身后</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">cnn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-25 17:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&amp;P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）特斯拉2020年表现出色：这家电动汽车制造商被纳入标普500，股价飙升743%。但一些投资者最近退出了该公司。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉(TSLA)股价较今年早些时候创下的历史高点低近25%，2021年迄今已下跌2%——此时传统汽车制造商正在飙升，因为他们加大了电动汽车的雄心。</blockquote></p><p> Ford (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&amp;P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>福特(F)股价上涨近75%，跻身2021年标普500前十名。该公司上个月推出了电动F-150 Lightning卡车，还告诉投资者，目前预计到2030年电动汽车将占全球销量的40%。</blockquote></p><p> And GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车(GM)也上涨了40%以上。这家雪佛兰、别克和凯迪拉克制造商本月表示，计划到2025年在电动汽车上投入高达350亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> It seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对这些传统的三大汽车制造商有点迷恋，因为他们希望迅速扩大电动汽车产品以赶上特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉仍在以令人难以置信的速度增长。分析师预计，今年每股收益将增长一倍以上，未来几年将以年均45%左右的速度增长。</blockquote></p><p> Yet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>然而，特斯拉是华尔街最两极分化的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> According to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，14名分析师将该股评级为“买入”，13名分析师评级为“持有”，10名分析师评级为“卖出”。相比之下，通用汽车有20个买入评级，2个持有评级，没有卖出评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Skeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>怀疑论者对特斯拉和马斯克有很多疑问</b></blockquote></p><p> The consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.</p><p><blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票的一致目标价为652美元，比当前价格低约6%。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的批评者有一大堆担忧要指出。《大空头》中的一位著名卖空者正在做空该公司。在长期高管Jerome Guillen本月早些时候突然离职后，人们对特斯拉管理层的担忧激增——特别是因为首席执行官Elon Musk也在忙于运营SpaceX。</blockquote></p><p> And Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克对比特币和狗狗币的痴迷，以及主持周六夜现场和不断发推文等其他课外活动，可能会让一些投资者和分析师感到厌烦。</blockquote></p><p> Still, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，不可否认的是，该公司拥有大量热情的粉丝，其车辆仅在本周就占据了大量正面头条新闻。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.</p><p><blockquote>例如，Cars.com(CARS)本周早些时候宣布，特斯拉Model 3在其美国制造指数中排名第一，该指数根据国内工厂就业、制造工厂等因素衡量车辆对美国经济的贡献程度和零部件采购。</blockquote></p><p> The Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.</p><p><blockquote>Model 3力压福特野马夺得榜首，特斯拉Model Y也位列榜单第三。消息传出后，特斯拉股价周三上涨超过5%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克前一天晚上在推特上表示，如果SpaceX最终决定在几年内剥离卫星互联网服务，特斯拉投资者可能会获得购买SpaceX旗下Starlink股票的优惠待遇，该股周四进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> So even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.</p><p><blockquote>因此，尽管特斯拉的股价今年仍处于亏损状态，但在过去五天飙升超过12%后，该股已迅速收复了2021年的大部分跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla is nothing if not volatile.</p><p><blockquote>如果不是不稳定的话，特斯拉什么都不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/24/investing/tesla-stock-ford-gm/index.html\">cnn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/06/24/investing/tesla-stock-ford-gm/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116076888","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Tesla had a stellar 2020: The electric car maker was added to the S&P 500 and the stock surged an electrifying 743%. But some investors have pulled the plug on the company lately.\nTesla (TSLA) shares are nearly 25% below their all-time high set earlier in the year, and down 2% for 2021 to date -— a time when traditional automakers are surging as they ramp up electric vehicle ambitions.\nFord (F) stock is up nearly 75%, putting it in the top 10 of the S&P 500 in 2021. The company unveiled its electric F-150 Lightning truck last month and also told investors that it now expects electric vehicles to account for 40% of global sales by 2030.\nAnd GM (GM) is up more than 40% as well. The Chevrolet, Buick and Cadillac maker said this month that it's looking to spend a whopping $35 billion on EVs by 2025.\nIt seems investors are a bit infatuated with these legacy Big 3 automakers as they look to rapidly expand their electric car offerings to catch up with Tesla.\nTesla is still growing incredibly quickly. Analysts expect earnings per share to more than double this year and increase at an average rate of about 45% annually over the next few years.\nYet Tesla is one of the most polarizing stocks on Wall Street.\nAccording to Refinitiv, 14 analysts have the stock rated a \"buy,\" 13 a \"hold\" and 10 a \"sell.\" Contrast that with GM, which has 20 buy ratings, two holds and no sells.\nSkeptics have many questions about Tesla and Musk\nThe consensus target price for Tesla stock from analysts is $652, about 6% lower than its current price.\nTesla critics have a pile of worries to point to. A notable short seller who was featured in \"The Big Short\" is betting against the company. Concerns about Tesla's management bench sprung up after longtime executive Jerome Guillen abruptly left earlier this month — especially since CEO Elon Musk is also busy running SpaceX.\nAnd Musk's obsession with bitcoin and dogecoin, along with other extracurricular activities like hosting Saturday Night Live and constantly tweeting, might be a turnoff for some investors and analysts.\nStill, there is no denying that the company has plenty of ardent fans, and its vehicles have grabbed plenty of positive headlines this week alone.\nFor example, Cars.com (CARS) announced earlier this week that Tesla's Model 3 was ranked first in its American-Made Index, which measures how much a vehicle contributes to the US economy based on factors such as domestic factory jobs, manufacturing plants and parts sourcing.\nThe Model 3 edged out Ford's Mustang for the top spot, and Tesla's Model Y also ranked third on the list. Shares of Tesla rallied more than 5% Wednesday following the news.\nThe stock gained even more ground Thursday after Musk tweeted the night before that Tesla investors might get preferential treatment to buy shares of SpaceX-owned Starlink if SpaceX eventually decides to spin off the satellite internet service in a few years.\nSo even though Tesla's stock is still in the red this year, shares have quickly clawed back much of their 2021 losses after a more than 12% surge in the past five days.\nTesla is nothing if not volatile.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":190,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169799654,"gmtCreate":1623850255378,"gmtModify":1634027125727,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169799654","repostId":"2143912677","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":240,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124445932,"gmtCreate":1624785583826,"gmtModify":1633948630612,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice amaze on","listText":"Nice amaze on","text":"Nice amaze on","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124445932","repostId":"1184001921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184001921","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624763737,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184001921?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184001921","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce i","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。如果你仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。如果你仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184001921","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.\nUnfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.\nThis article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.\nI hope you enjoy.\n\nSundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nToday, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.\nSource: Author\nYou might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.\nIn this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.\nSomething important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.\nThis method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.\nBut after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.\n\n Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are\n margin of safety.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.\n\n\n Rule 1 Investing\n\nThis model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.\nBusiness Model\nWhere does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.\nAs a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.\nAnd later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nI projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.\nHopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.\nHere's a look at Amazon's International segment:\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nFor Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.\nAnd for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:\nSource: Author\nAWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about 17.5% CAGR until 2025.\nAdditionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.\nThese projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.\nCapital Allocation\nHow does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.\nSource: Author\nThe biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.\n\n In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.\n There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.\n\n\n Source:2020 10-K page 60,\n emphasis added\n\nBut for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.\nAmazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.\nAmazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.\nValuation\nFirst, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.\nSource: Author\nI used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.\nThis model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.\nRight now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.\nSource: Author\nDown at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.\nSource: Author\nToday, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.\nThese estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.\nDown at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.\nThe model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.\n\"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.\nBut the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.\nRecap\nToday, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.\nBut if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.\nEven if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.\nThank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128560765,"gmtCreate":1624523994157,"gmtModify":1634004893633,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128560765","repostId":"2145016687","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125777523,"gmtCreate":1624701470062,"gmtModify":1633949436524,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hodl","listText":"Hodl","text":"Hodl","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125777523","repostId":"1108941456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168491770,"gmtCreate":1623980202190,"gmtModify":1634024826992,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168491770","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":500,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150391770,"gmtCreate":1624886355390,"gmtModify":1633947523471,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noice","listText":"Noice","text":"Noice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150391770","repostId":"1155603107","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159728623,"gmtCreate":1624981075862,"gmtModify":1633946189439,"author":{"id":"3573965556578671","authorId":"3573965556578671","name":"quantManager","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573965556578671","idStr":"3573965556578671"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"GG market crash","listText":"GG market crash","text":"GG market crash","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159728623","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}