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2021-03-30

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2021-09-03

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Beyond Meat shares fell 1.26% in premarket trading<blockquote>Beyond Meat股价在盘前交易中下跌1.26%</blockquote>

2021-09-25

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Friday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote>

2021-08-08

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2021-06-11

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2021-09-16

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2021-04-07

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2021-03-28

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2021-11-02

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Warren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote>

2021-07-26

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up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692569701","repostId":"2200744536","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692569560,"gmtCreate":1641052601065,"gmtModify":1641052601677,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692569560","repostId":"2200442444","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2200442444","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1641014369,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2200442444?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-01 13:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Datadog, Applied Materials Lead Five Stocks Near Buy Points For The New Year<blockquote>Datadog、应用材料公司带领五只股票接近新年买入点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2200442444","media":"Investors","summary":"Your stocks to watch as 2022 starts include Datadog and chip Applied Materials.","content":"<p><html><body>Your stocks to watch for the week ahead are <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDOG\">Datadog</a></strong>, <strong>Endava</strong>, <strong>Harmony Biosciences</strong>, <strong>Applied Materials</strong> and <strong>Danaher</strong>.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>未来一周值得关注的股票有<strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDOG\">Datadog</a></strong>,<strong>恩达瓦</strong>,<strong>和谐生物科学</strong>,<strong>应用材料</strong>和<strong>丹纳赫</strong>.</body></html></blockquote></p><p> Those stocks are all near buy points. AMAT stock and Danaher are on SwingTrader.</p><p><blockquote>这些股票都接近买入点。AMAT股票和丹纳赫都在SwingTrader上。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Datadog Stock</h2> Shares of Datadog are in a consolidation with a 186.38 handle buy point. DDOG stock dipped 0.5% to 178.11 in the stock market on Friday.</p><p><blockquote><h2>Datadog股票</h2>Datadog股价处于盘整状态，买入点为186.38。周五股市上DDOG股价下跌0.5%，至178.11点。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog was also Friday's Stock Of The Day pick. Other stocks to watch here also recently held that distinction.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog也是周五的每日精选股票。这里值得关注的其他股票最近也保持了这一区别。</blockquote></p><p> The company's cloud-based services help developers and IT teams monitor computer infrastructure performance, and it has outperformed most software names recently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司基于云的服务帮助开发人员和IT团队监控计算机基础设施的性能，最近它的表现优于大多数软件公司。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog stock recently broke above a downward trend line. But it hit resistance a few days later. Shares have since found support at their 50-day line.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog股票最近突破了下降趋势线。但几天后就遇到了阻力。此后，股价在50日线找到支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Demand for the Datadog's products grew in 2020 as businesses, and their tech departments, tried to adapt to more remote work. More recently, they've helped some other customers deal with rising e-commerce demand and a return to sports games.</p><p><blockquote>随着企业及其技术部门试图适应更多的远程工作，对Datadog产品的需求在2020年增长。最近，他们帮助其他一些客户应对不断增长的电子商务需求和体育游戏的回归。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings and sales growth are strong, accelerating for the past two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>盈利和销售增长强劲，过去两个季度加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog stock has a 91 Composite Rating and a 66 EPS Rating.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog股票的综合评级为91，每股收益评级为66。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Endava Stock</h2> Shares of Endava, up 1.8% to 167.92 on Friday, were working on a cup base with a 172.51 entry. That base could have a handle after Monday, offering a slightly lower buy point.</p><p><blockquote><h2>恩达瓦股票</h2>Endava的股价周五上涨1.8%，至167.92点，目前正以172.51点的入场点为基础。该基础可能会在周一之后得到控制，提供略低的买入点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the stocks to watch here, the tech services company currently has the strongest ratings from IBD. The stock has a 98 Composite Rating. Its EPS Rating is 99.</p><p><blockquote>在这里值得关注的股票中，这家科技服务公司目前拥有IBD最强的评级。该股的综合评级为98。其每股收益评级为99。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Harmony Biosciences Stock</h2> Harmony Biosciences stock, down 1.55% to 42.64 on Friday, is flirting with 44.49 cup-base buy point.</p><p><blockquote><h2>和谐生物科学股票</h2>Harmony Biosciences股价周五下跌1.55%，至42.64点，接近44.49杯基买入点。</blockquote></p><p> The company's drug Wakix has been approved to treat sudden loss of muscle tone and excessive sleepiness in narcolepsy patients. The company also believes the drug could treat other ailments — excessive sleepiness associated with Prader-Willi syndrome and a muscle-weakening disorder called myotonic dystrophy, type 1 — potentially bringing in billions in extra sales.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的药物Wakix已被批准用于治疗发作性睡病患者肌肉张力突然丧失和过度嗜睡。该公司还认为，该药物可以治疗其他疾病——与普拉德-威利综合征和一种称为1型强直性肌营养不良症相关的过度嗜睡——有可能带来数十亿美元的额外销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Harmony Biosciences has a 78 Composite Rating, the lowest composite of the stocks to watch mentioned here. Its EPS Rating is 72.</p><p><blockquote>Harmony Biosciences的综合评级为78，是此处提到的值得关注的股票中最低的综合评级。其每股收益评级为72。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Applied Materials Stock</h2> Applied Materials stock was off 0.4% to 157.36 on Friday. AMAT stock is back below a 159.10 buy point of a flat base, after breaking out earlier in the week. The flat base is on top of a long consolidation.</p><p><blockquote><h2>应用材料股票</h2>应用材料公司股价周五下跌0.4%，至157.36点。AMAT股价在本周早些时候突破后，现已回到平底159.10买入点下方。平底位于长期盘整之上。</blockquote></p><p> The chip equipment supplier was a recent IBD Stock Of The Day. Cowen analyst Krish Sankar recently called the stock a \"top pick for 2022.\" Sankar said the company stands to benefit as chipmakers invest in equipment to support new factories amid an ongoing chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote>这家芯片设备供应商是最近的IBD股票。Cowen分析师Krish Sankar最近称该股为“2022年首选股”。Sankar表示，随着芯片制造商在芯片持续短缺的情况下投资设备以支持新工厂，该公司将受益。</blockquote></p><p> AMAT stock has a 97 Composite Rating, with an EPS Rating of 91.</p><p><blockquote>AMAT股票的综合评级为97，每股收益评级为91。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Danaher Stock</h2> Danaher stock was up 0.2% to 329.01 on Friday. Shares were in a cup-with-handle base with a 331.79 buy point.</p><p><blockquote><h2>丹纳赫股票</h2>丹纳赫股价周五上涨0.2%，至329.01点。该股处于带手柄的杯子底部，买入点为331.79。</blockquote></p><p> Danaher, like other names here, was also a recent Stock Of The Day. The company, whose products help with drug development and Covid testing, could see more demand as the omicron variant tears across the globe.</p><p><blockquote>丹纳赫和这里的其他名字一样，也是最近的热门股票。该公司的产品有助于药物开发和新冠病毒检测，随着奥密克戎变种在全球范围内蔓延，该公司可能会看到更多需求。</blockquote></p><p> Like the other stocks to watch here, Danaher has strong ratings from IBD. The stock has a 96 Composite Rating. Its EPS Rating is 92.</p><p><blockquote>与这里值得关注的其他股票一样，丹纳赫获得了IBD的强烈评级。该股的综合评级为96。其每股收益评级为92。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>YOU MAY ALSO LIKE:</strong></p><p><blockquote><strong>您可能还喜欢：</strong></blockquote></p><p> 2022 Stock Market Forecast Brings Unfamiliar Risks For Investors</p><p><blockquote>2022年股市预测给投资者带来陌生的风险</blockquote></p><p> Investing In Stocks: Get Ready For 2022 With This 3-Step Routine</p><p><blockquote>投资股票：通过这三步程序为2022年做好准备</blockquote></p><p> MarketSmith: Research, Charts, Data And Coaching All In One Place</p><p><blockquote>MarketSmith：研究、图表、数据和辅导集于一身</blockquote></p><p> This High Growth Stock Lights Up New Year With Massive Earnings Growth</p><p><blockquote>这只高增长股票以大幅盈利增长点亮新年</blockquote></p><p> How To Start 2022 Off Right; 3 Stocks Near Buy Points</p><p><blockquote>如何正确开始2022年；3只股票接近买入点</blockquote></p><p> </body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Datadog, Applied Materials Lead Five Stocks Near Buy Points For The New Year<blockquote>Datadog、应用材料公司带领五只股票接近新年买入点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDatadog, Applied Materials Lead Five Stocks Near Buy Points For The New Year<blockquote>Datadog、应用材料公司带领五只股票接近新年买入点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-01-01 13:19</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>Your stocks to watch for the week ahead are <strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDOG\">Datadog</a></strong>, <strong>Endava</strong>, <strong>Harmony Biosciences</strong>, <strong>Applied Materials</strong> and <strong>Danaher</strong>.</p><p><blockquote><html><body>未来一周值得关注的股票有<strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DDOG\">Datadog</a></strong>,<strong>恩达瓦</strong>,<strong>和谐生物科学</strong>,<strong>应用材料</strong>和<strong>丹纳赫</strong>.</body></html></blockquote></p><p> Those stocks are all near buy points. AMAT stock and Danaher are on SwingTrader.</p><p><blockquote>这些股票都接近买入点。AMAT股票和丹纳赫都在SwingTrader上。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Datadog Stock</h2> Shares of Datadog are in a consolidation with a 186.38 handle buy point. DDOG stock dipped 0.5% to 178.11 in the stock market on Friday.</p><p><blockquote><h2>Datadog股票</h2>Datadog股价处于盘整状态，买入点为186.38。周五股市上DDOG股价下跌0.5%，至178.11点。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog was also Friday's Stock Of The Day pick. Other stocks to watch here also recently held that distinction.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog也是周五的每日精选股票。这里值得关注的其他股票最近也保持了这一区别。</blockquote></p><p> The company's cloud-based services help developers and IT teams monitor computer infrastructure performance, and it has outperformed most software names recently.</p><p><blockquote>该公司基于云的服务帮助开发人员和IT团队监控计算机基础设施的性能，最近它的表现优于大多数软件公司。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog stock recently broke above a downward trend line. But it hit resistance a few days later. Shares have since found support at their 50-day line.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog股票最近突破了下降趋势线。但几天后就遇到了阻力。此后，股价在50日线找到支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Demand for the Datadog's products grew in 2020 as businesses, and their tech departments, tried to adapt to more remote work. More recently, they've helped some other customers deal with rising e-commerce demand and a return to sports games.</p><p><blockquote>随着企业及其技术部门试图适应更多的远程工作，对Datadog产品的需求在2020年增长。最近，他们帮助其他一些客户应对不断增长的电子商务需求和体育游戏的回归。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings and sales growth are strong, accelerating for the past two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>盈利和销售增长强劲，过去两个季度加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Datadog stock has a 91 Composite Rating and a 66 EPS Rating.</p><p><blockquote>Datadog股票的综合评级为91，每股收益评级为66。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Endava Stock</h2> Shares of Endava, up 1.8% to 167.92 on Friday, were working on a cup base with a 172.51 entry. That base could have a handle after Monday, offering a slightly lower buy point.</p><p><blockquote><h2>恩达瓦股票</h2>Endava的股价周五上涨1.8%，至167.92点，目前正以172.51点的入场点为基础。该基础可能会在周一之后得到控制，提供略低的买入点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the stocks to watch here, the tech services company currently has the strongest ratings from IBD. The stock has a 98 Composite Rating. Its EPS Rating is 99.</p><p><blockquote>在这里值得关注的股票中，这家科技服务公司目前拥有IBD最强的评级。该股的综合评级为98。其每股收益评级为99。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Harmony Biosciences Stock</h2> Harmony Biosciences stock, down 1.55% to 42.64 on Friday, is flirting with 44.49 cup-base buy point.</p><p><blockquote><h2>和谐生物科学股票</h2>Harmony Biosciences股价周五下跌1.55%，至42.64点，接近44.49杯基买入点。</blockquote></p><p> The company's drug Wakix has been approved to treat sudden loss of muscle tone and excessive sleepiness in narcolepsy patients. The company also believes the drug could treat other ailments — excessive sleepiness associated with Prader-Willi syndrome and a muscle-weakening disorder called myotonic dystrophy, type 1 — potentially bringing in billions in extra sales.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的药物Wakix已被批准用于治疗发作性睡病患者肌肉张力突然丧失和过度嗜睡。该公司还认为，该药物可以治疗其他疾病——与普拉德-威利综合征和一种称为1型强直性肌营养不良症相关的过度嗜睡——有可能带来数十亿美元的额外销售额。</blockquote></p><p> Harmony Biosciences has a 78 Composite Rating, the lowest composite of the stocks to watch mentioned here. Its EPS Rating is 72.</p><p><blockquote>Harmony Biosciences的综合评级为78，是此处提到的值得关注的股票中最低的综合评级。其每股收益评级为72。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Applied Materials Stock</h2> Applied Materials stock was off 0.4% to 157.36 on Friday. AMAT stock is back below a 159.10 buy point of a flat base, after breaking out earlier in the week. The flat base is on top of a long consolidation.</p><p><blockquote><h2>应用材料股票</h2>应用材料公司股价周五下跌0.4%，至157.36点。AMAT股价在本周早些时候突破后，现已回到平底159.10买入点下方。平底位于长期盘整之上。</blockquote></p><p> The chip equipment supplier was a recent IBD Stock Of The Day. Cowen analyst Krish Sankar recently called the stock a \"top pick for 2022.\" Sankar said the company stands to benefit as chipmakers invest in equipment to support new factories amid an ongoing chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote>这家芯片设备供应商是最近的IBD股票。Cowen分析师Krish Sankar最近称该股为“2022年首选股”。Sankar表示，随着芯片制造商在芯片持续短缺的情况下投资设备以支持新工厂，该公司将受益。</blockquote></p><p> AMAT stock has a 97 Composite Rating, with an EPS Rating of 91.</p><p><blockquote>AMAT股票的综合评级为97，每股收益评级为91。</blockquote></p><p> <h2>Danaher Stock</h2> Danaher stock was up 0.2% to 329.01 on Friday. Shares were in a cup-with-handle base with a 331.79 buy point.</p><p><blockquote><h2>丹纳赫股票</h2>丹纳赫股价周五上涨0.2%，至329.01点。该股处于带手柄的杯子底部，买入点为331.79。</blockquote></p><p> Danaher, like other names here, was also a recent Stock Of The Day. The company, whose products help with drug development and Covid testing, could see more demand as the omicron variant tears across the globe.</p><p><blockquote>丹纳赫和这里的其他名字一样，也是最近的热门股票。该公司的产品有助于药物开发和新冠病毒检测，随着奥密克戎变种在全球范围内蔓延，该公司可能会看到更多需求。</blockquote></p><p> Like the other stocks to watch here, Danaher has strong ratings from IBD. The stock has a 96 Composite Rating. Its EPS Rating is 92.</p><p><blockquote>与这里值得关注的其他股票一样，丹纳赫获得了IBD的强烈评级。该股的综合评级为96。其每股收益评级为92。</blockquote></p><p> <strong>YOU MAY ALSO LIKE:</strong></p><p><blockquote><strong>您可能还喜欢：</strong></blockquote></p><p> 2022 Stock Market Forecast Brings Unfamiliar Risks For Investors</p><p><blockquote>2022年股市预测给投资者带来陌生的风险</blockquote></p><p> Investing In Stocks: Get Ready For 2022 With This 3-Step Routine</p><p><blockquote>投资股票：通过这三步程序为2022年做好准备</blockquote></p><p> MarketSmith: Research, Charts, Data And Coaching All In One Place</p><p><blockquote>MarketSmith：研究、图表、数据和辅导集于一身</blockquote></p><p> This High Growth Stock Lights Up New Year With Massive Earnings Growth</p><p><blockquote>这只高增长股票以大幅盈利增长点亮新年</blockquote></p><p> How To Start 2022 Off Right; 3 Stocks Near Buy Points</p><p><blockquote>如何正确开始2022年；3只股票接近买入点</blockquote></p><p> </body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4519":"光伏太阳能","NGD":"New Gold","PCOM":"Points International","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4518":"OLED概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4147":"半导体设备","BK4017":"黄金","AMAT":"应用材料","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)"},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/news/datadog-applied-materials-stocks-near-buy-points-for-new-year/?src=A00519A=aflTigerBrokers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2200442444","content_text":"Your stocks to watch for the week ahead are Datadog, Endava, Harmony Biosciences, Applied Materials and Danaher.\nThose stocks are all near buy points. AMAT stock and Danaher are on SwingTrader.\nDatadog Stock\nShares of Datadog are in a consolidation with a 186.38 handle buy point. DDOG stock dipped 0.5% to 178.11 in the stock market on Friday.\nDatadog was also Friday's Stock Of The Day pick. Other stocks to watch here also recently held that distinction.\nThe company's cloud-based services help developers and IT teams monitor computer infrastructure performance, and it has outperformed most software names recently.\nDatadog stock recently broke above a downward trend line. But it hit resistance a few days later. Shares have since found support at their 50-day line.\nDemand for the Datadog's products grew in 2020 as businesses, and their tech departments, tried to adapt to more remote work. More recently, they've helped some other customers deal with rising e-commerce demand and a return to sports games.\nEarnings and sales growth are strong, accelerating for the past two quarters.\nDatadog stock has a 91 Composite Rating and a 66 EPS Rating.\nEndava Stock\nShares of Endava, up 1.8% to 167.92 on Friday, were working on a cup base with a 172.51 entry. That base could have a handle after Monday, offering a slightly lower buy point.\nOf the stocks to watch here, the tech services company currently has the strongest ratings from IBD. The stock has a 98 Composite Rating. Its EPS Rating is 99.\nHarmony Biosciences Stock\nHarmony Biosciences stock, down 1.55% to 42.64 on Friday, is flirting with 44.49 cup-base buy point.\nThe company's drug Wakix has been approved to treat sudden loss of muscle tone and excessive sleepiness in narcolepsy patients. The company also believes the drug could treat other ailments — excessive sleepiness associated with Prader-Willi syndrome and a muscle-weakening disorder called myotonic dystrophy, type 1 — potentially bringing in billions in extra sales.\nHarmony Biosciences has a 78 Composite Rating, the lowest composite of the stocks to watch mentioned here. Its EPS Rating is 72.\nApplied Materials Stock\nApplied Materials stock was off 0.4% to 157.36 on Friday. AMAT stock is back below a 159.10 buy point of a flat base, after breaking out earlier in the week. The flat base is on top of a long consolidation.\nThe chip equipment supplier was a recent IBD Stock Of The Day. Cowen analyst Krish Sankar recently called the stock a \"top pick for 2022.\" Sankar said the company stands to benefit as chipmakers invest in equipment to support new factories amid an ongoing chip shortage.\nAMAT stock has a 97 Composite Rating, with an EPS Rating of 91.\nDanaher Stock\nDanaher stock was up 0.2% to 329.01 on Friday. Shares were in a cup-with-handle base with a 331.79 buy point.\nDanaher, like other names here, was also a recent Stock Of The Day. The company, whose products help with drug development and Covid testing, could see more demand as the omicron variant tears across the globe.\nLike the other stocks to watch here, Danaher has strong ratings from IBD. The stock has a 96 Composite Rating. Its EPS Rating is 92.\nYOU MAY ALSO LIKE:\n2022 Stock Market Forecast Brings Unfamiliar Risks For Investors\nInvesting In Stocks: Get Ready For 2022 With This 3-Step Routine\nMarketSmith: Research, Charts, Data And Coaching All In One Place\nThis High Growth Stock Lights Up New Year With Massive Earnings Growth\nHow To Start 2022 Off Right; 3 Stocks Near Buy Points","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMAT":1,"NGD":1,"PCOM":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692651176,"gmtCreate":1640951425208,"gmtModify":1640951425845,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!","listText":"To the moon!","text":"To the moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692651176","repostId":"1106092668","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1106092668","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1640876653,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106092668?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-30 23:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading<blockquote>Sea Limited股价早盘上涨逾4%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106092668","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Unde","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>Sea Limited股价早盘上涨超过4%。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448dcc7d589843674730e046aa6ef96a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Also Read:</b><b>Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent Selloff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>另请阅读：</b><b>Sea Limited：深入了解最近的抛售</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Sea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.</li><li>I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.</li><li>I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5cbe0a30acc723a2c6f62300024002\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家高度多元化的企业，在世界上一些增长最快的经济体中全力以赴。</li><li>我深入研究了它的每个细分市场，以了解最近的抛售并证明当前估值的合理性。</li><li>我认为Sea是我最有信心的十项投资之一。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>kokkai/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p>A by-parts analysis of Sea Limited&#39;s (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>对Sea Limited（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SE）部门的细分分析表明，其目前的估值大致公平，但有许多长期增长动力可能会出人意料地上涨，并在未来几年推动非常强劲的回报。</blockquote></p><p><b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p>I recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I&#39;d already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇文章，重点介绍了我选择的2022年十大股票。我已经在其他Seeking Alpha文章中对我的其他九个选择进行了深入分析，所以我认为最好以一篇关于Sea的文章来结束这一年。</blockquote></p><p>Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don&#39;t speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It&#39;s one of my only losing positions that I didn&#39;t sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于过去几个月股价大幅下跌（但今年仍略有上涨），我相信这篇文章可能是及时的。我不推测短期市场走势，但我个人最近增持了Sea股票。这是我唯一没有为了收获税收损失而暂时卖出的亏损头寸之一，在本文中，我将解释为什么Sea对我来说是如此坚定的持有。</blockquote></p><p>It&#39;s also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it&#39;s the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.</p><p><blockquote>还值得注意的是，许多专业投资者似乎也认同这一观点。Sea是全球第121大公司，但在对冲基金中排名第16位。这暗示大资金是跑赢大盘海，71%的股份被机构持有。</blockquote></p><p>Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.</p><p><blockquote>由于Sea在许多不同的领域开展业务，我将对其每个运营部门进行单独分析，以证明其当前估值的合理性，并解释该估值如何在多年来推动意想不到的强劲回报。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏</b></blockquote></p><p>Sea Limited&#39;s gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的游戏部门Garena因其内部开发的移动大逃杀游戏《Free Fire》而闻名。</blockquote></p><p>The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it&#39;s particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it&#39;s been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.</p><p><blockquote>该游戏于2017年发布，此后一直非常受欢迎。它目前在全球所有安卓游戏中拥有第二大月活跃用户。这款游戏在全球范围内都有售，但在东南亚、拉美和印度等新兴市场尤其受欢迎，两年多来，它一直是这些市场票房最高的手机游戏。</blockquote></p><p>With the game having been popular for a long time already, there&#39;s some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.</p><p><blockquote>随着这款游戏已经流行了很长时间，有人担心游戏玩家会转向下一件大事。虽然有一些手机游戏比Free Fire更古老，但仍然非常受欢迎——如Roblox、Clash of Clans和Pokemon Go——但还有更多已经被遗忘。在Garena发布更多游戏并证明它也可以在这些游戏上取得成功之前，总会有人质疑它的工作室是否是一个昙花一现的奇迹。</blockquote></p><p>Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it&#39;s the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea&#39;s non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，Garena是Sea的重要组成部分，因为它是唯一盈利的细分市场，并且它是为Sea非游戏产品提供免费广告的社交平台的两倍。交叉推广是Sea的巨大竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p>Thus, one reason for Sea&#39;s recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Sea最近抛售的原因之一可能是Garena暗示的第四季度指引。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e299727cc28a887a36d88831aec8f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Earnings Call Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：看涨期权收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p>In Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.</p><p><blockquote>今年第二季度，Garena将2021年预订量的指导上调至45亿美元至47亿美元（高于43亿美元至45亿美元）。由于前三个季度的总预订量已经达到$3.5 B，这意味着第四季度的预订量将达到$1.0 B-$1.2 B，同比增长0%至20%，并且可能会环比下降。相比之下，最近一个季度的增长率为29%，全年预计增长率为44%。</blockquote></p><p>While 20% isn&#39;t a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn&#39;t spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena&#39;s growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).</p><p><blockquote>虽然20%并不是一个可怕的减速，但0%肯定是。与历史水平相比，即使是20%的增长也并不引人注目。在10%的中点，Garena的增长看起来更类似于动视暴雪（纳斯达克股票代码：ATVI）或Zynga（纳斯达克股票代码：ZNGA）等成熟公司，而不是Roblox（纽约证券交易所股票代码：RBLX）等快速增长的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Garena&#39;s implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I&#39;ll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today&#39;s market.</p><p><blockquote>Garena的隐含估值应该——也确实——因此受到影响。虽然像Roblox这样快速增长的公司可以获得两位数的高市盈率，但动视暴雪和Zynga的平均市盈率仅为4倍。Garena的利润比他们略高，而且可能有更大的上行风险，因此我将使用市盈率倍数5作为我的隐含估值。这意味着一家增长率在10%左右的企业的市盈率约为10，这在当今市场上是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p>This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management&#39;s guidance.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着根据管理层指导的高端，Garena的价值为235亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:</p><p><blockquote>我相信这个估值实际上是保守的，原因有几个：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.</li><li>The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.</li><li>Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.</li><li>Although I&#39;d obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it&#39;s still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena&#39;s revenue.</li></ul><b>E-Commerce</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>明年的竞争很艰难，增长可能会在接下来的几年甚至明年重新加速，特别是如果Garena发布一款新的热门游戏。下个季度的增长率不是基于公司的明确指导，而是基于行业预测。</li><li>我使用的同行估值来自去年交易价格也处于估值范围下限的公司。</li><li>Garena拥有良好的业绩记录，并将继续投资Free Fire。这方面的一个例子是最近发布的Free Fire MAX，它改善了高端手机用户的体验，甚至添加了一个类似元宇宙的可定制地图，称为Craftland。对我来说，这意味着Garena认为Free Fire仍处于其生命周期的早期阶段。</li><li>虽然我显然更希望Garena在内部开发更多的游戏，但与此同时，它仍然不是一匹只会一招的小马。除了Free Fire之外，Garena还发行腾讯控股(OTCMKTS：OTCPK：TCEHY)等第三方开发商的游戏。这些都是像《英雄联盟》和《使命看涨期权》这样受欢迎的游戏，它们有意义地使Garena的收入多样化。</li></ul><b>电子商务</b></blockquote></p><p>Sea&#39;s e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>Sea的电子商务平台Shopee目前是其最大的增长动力。该平台通常被认为是东南亚的亚马逊（纳斯达克：AMZN），最近它扩展到包括巴西在内的更多市场。</blockquote></p><p>There&#39;s always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don&#39;t publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn&#39;t published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>关于谁是一个地区真正的亚马逊，总是有一些争论。Shopee当然面临竞争，包括来自阿里巴巴-SW（NYSE：BABA）的Lazada、印度尼西亚的Tokopedia、巴西的MercadoLibre(MELI)，甚至Amazon本身。由于大多数竞争都是私人的或隐藏在更大的公司中，许多竞争对手不会公布确切的收入数字，这使得衡量竞争变得困难。就连Sea也没有公布巴西等一些国家的明确收入数据。</blockquote></p><p>One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.</p><p><blockquote>一个可以评估的中立来源是Alexa网站排名，顾名思义，它根据网站的受欢迎程度对网站进行排名。请记住，这些都是排名，所以分数越低越好。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180367a2b64bccebf243c5b6d8fb776a\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: The Author, compiled from Alexa</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者，编译自Alexa</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Shopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee非常专注于移动，但上表只考虑了网站。要查看购物类别的App Store应用排名，我们可以使用App Annie。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6544f014a5d70d13ee14dab0ac8b6782\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnie</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者，编译自AppAnnie</span></p></blockquote></p><p>On the mobile side, there&#39;s no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.</p><p><blockquote>在移动端，没有必要关注竞争，因为Shopee一直是每个国家排名第一的购物应用。在移动优先的世界里，这是个好兆头。即使在网络方面，Shopee也胜出，除了拉丁美洲和（勉强）印度尼西亚等少数特定地区，这些地区有更多的本地竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p>Of course, traffic doesn&#39;t always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it&#39;s a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It&#39;s Shopee&#39;s dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.</p><p><blockquote>当然，流量并不总是转化为GMV。但对于一个大多数人都会使用该应用程序购买东西的购物应用程序来说，这是一个不错的代理。第三方估计Shopee占东南亚所有电子商务的57%。正是Shopee在移动应用排名和市场份额方面的主导地位让我认为它是东南亚的亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p>So why would a company with so much potential sell off?</p><p><blockquote>那么，为什么一家潜力如此之大的公司会抛售呢？</blockquote></p><p>After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it&#39;s bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO&#39;s comments that they don&#39;t have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won&#39;t help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they&#39;re successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在最近的财报发布后，一些分析师对Shopee在当前市场验证其商业模式之前将业务扩展到波兰和墨西哥等其他国家表示担忧。在这些国家，Shopee的影响力较小；它在墨西哥应用商店购物应用的3-5位之间波动，在波兰的1-3位之间波动。尽管分析师讨厌不确定性——而且首席执行官关于他们在这些早期国家没有具体的成功衡量标准的评论对此没有帮助——但Shopee有着成功进入新国家的历史，我愿意给管理层一些时间尝试进一步扩张。毕竟，如果他们成功了，那么它可能会在未来推动更多意想不到的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it&#39;s hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.</p><p><blockquote>分析师的另一个抱怨是篮子规模（平均购买规模）呈下降趋势。虽然这也可能导致了最近的抛售，但尽管篮子规模有所下降，但当整体销售额大幅增长时，很难抱怨。</blockquote></p><p>The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That&#39;s 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon&#39;s $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it&#39;s just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA&#39;s.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在第三季度再次上调了电子商务指引，目前预计2021年电子商务收入为$5.0 B-$5.2 B。第四季度增长75%-100%，全年增长约135%。这些数字比游戏方面更令人兴奋，尽管指导仍然意味着第四季度略有减速。但与亚马逊2020年3400亿美元的电子商务销售额相比，Shopee看起来只是触及了表面。电子商务在东南亚的渗透率仅为11%，而美国为18.7%，东南亚经济体的增长速度普遍高于美国。</blockquote></p><p>Despite being in a blue skies industry, it&#39;s more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee&#39;s success is not guaranteed because it&#39;s not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.</p><p><blockquote>尽管处于蓝天行业，但对电子商务部门进行估值更加困难，因为它处于亏损状态（而游戏部门利润丰厚）。Shopee的成功并不能保证，因为目前尚不清楚该平台能否在保持市场份额的同时实现盈利。像这样的股票往往会经历更大的波动，这可以部分解释最近的抛售。</blockquote></p><p>For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it&#39;s difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it&#39;s worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea&#39;s Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies&#39;, and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).</p><p><blockquote>对于不盈利的软件公司，我喜欢用40法则来评估业务。但很难将这一规则应用于利润率自然较低、周期性较强的电子商务公司。即便如此，值得注意的是，尽管没有盈利，Sea的40分（104分）优于大多数SaaS公司，也优于电子商务同行Amazon（21分）、MercadoLibre（73分）和阿里巴巴-SW（43分）。</blockquote></p><p>To understand Shopee&#39;s terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon&#39;s high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.</p><p><blockquote>要了解Shopee盈利后的终端估值，我们可以看看行业同行。亚马逊是一家盈利且增长较慢的同行，其市盈率为4倍。AWS推高了这一数字，但亚马逊对第一方销售的高敞口抵消了这一影响。其他电子商务市场同行的估值类似：阿里巴巴-SW的市盈率为3倍，MercadoLibre的市盈率为9倍。所有这些估值基本上都是历史低点。</blockquote></p><p>If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it&#39;s easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon&#39;s P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.</p><p><blockquote>如果Shopee在未来几年内收入持续翻倍（自2016年以来每年都很容易做到），实现盈利（扩大规模往往会有所帮助），并在两年内达到亚马逊的市盈率倍数，那么今天的市盈率为16倍，它将在两年内持平。但如果它在十年等较长时间内保持比亚马逊快得多的增长速度，和/或如果整个行业市盈率扩大到更正常的历史水平，那么即使市盈率为16倍，该细分市场也有潜在的上涨空间。另一方面，如果它停止增长或永远无法盈利，那么投资者将对任何市盈率感到非常失望。</blockquote></p><p>Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee&#39;s mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment&#39;s future. I recognize that it&#39;s currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于这种广泛的结果，每个人都会有自己的方式来评估这一部分。对我来说，当我看到Shopee的移动主导地位、目前相对较小的规模、来自Garena的资金以及Amazon、阿里巴巴-SW和MercadoLibre为这种商业模式的可持续长期成功树立的先例时，我对这个细分市场的未来持乐观态度。我认识到这是一个目前无利可图且存在风险的细分市场，但我也看到了巨大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p>So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我很高兴支付16倍的市盈率，这使得电子商务部门的估值为$832亿。有些人的看涨期权太高，这些人可能永远没有机会投资这家公司，无论好坏。</blockquote></p><p>Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let&#39;s look at the other parts of Sea.</p><p><blockquote>因此，仅算上Garena和Shopee，我认为Sea的价值为$1067亿。其目前的市值为$123.1 B。为了解释这种差异，让我们看看海洋的其他部分。</blockquote></p><p><b>FinTech &amp; Investments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融科技与投资</b></blockquote></p><p>The easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea&#39;s $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won&#39;t be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.</p><p><blockquote>我计算的估值中最容易增加的是Sea的120B美元现金储备，部分被40亿美元的债务抵消。这为该公司增加了一些不错的选择，并确保尽管Shopee亏损，但它不会很快破产。加上$8B现金差异，我的计算估值为$114.7 B，仅比实际估值低$8.4 B。</blockquote></p><p>Then there is Sea&#39;s FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a &#34;take rate&#34; of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I&#39;m not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.</p><p><blockquote>然后是Sea的金融科技部门SeaMoney。这里的主要产品是移动钱包，上个季度的支付量为46亿美元（一年约为200亿美元）。该部门第三季度收入为1.32亿美元，同比增长818%。这意味着2.9%的“采用率”，甚至比Visa(V)等老牌金融科技公司还要好。由于采用率很高，我并不担心SeaMoney在扩大规模时会亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it&#39;s now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it&#39;s only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea&#39;s sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea&#39;s management - combined with Garena&#39;s ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It&#39;s certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.</p><p><blockquote>尽管SeaMoney只是一个很小的细分市场，但它现在已经达到了可以纳入估值的程度。也许它只值几十亿，但这只是一个开始。五年前，没有人会想到，一个占Sea销售额5%的电子商务平台今天的价值会超过游戏领域。但Sea的管理层——加上Garena为新细分市场提供资金并推动其病毒式采用的能力——实现了这一目标。当然，不能保证Sea在金融科技方面会取得同样的成功，但这是有先例的。</blockquote></p><p>If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre&#39;s revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa&#39;s, Mastercard&#39;s (NYSE:MA), and Affirm&#39;s (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies&#39;, but we don&#39;t even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea&#39;s current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.</p><p><blockquote>如果有一天这个细分市场的价值达到Sea的三分之一或更多（2020年，金融科技占MercadoLibre收入的36%），那么今天仅以7%的业务获得它将是非常值得的，即使这意味着今天该细分市场的市盈率为16倍。事实上，这个倍数已经低于Visa、Mastercard（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MA）和Affirm（纳斯达克股票代码：AFRM）。实际上，同比增长818%的细分市场可能应该比这些增长较慢的公司获得更高的市盈率，但我们甚至不需要猜测什么是公平市盈率，因为我们可以通过在我的模型估值中使用16倍市盈率来达到Sea当前的估值。</blockquote></p><p>One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started &#34;early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.&#34; These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>这一细分市场进一步增长的一个方法是推出除移动钱包之外的更多产品。Sea在最近的财报中指出，他们已经开始“在其他数字金融服务方面采取早期举措，例如先买后付、数字银行和保险科技”。这些人肯定知道如何抓住最新的高增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>Finally, there&#39;s the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There&#39;s strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea&#39;s investment arm is very early stage, so I don&#39;t include it in my valuation model. But it doesn&#39;t have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It&#39;s just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.</p><p><blockquote>最后是投资部门。Sea正在投资早期科技公司，尤其是在东南亚。腾讯控股（其本身就是Sea的投资者）和Shopify（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）等公司管理成功的投资组合，最终对其估值产生有意义的影响，这是有先例的。目前Sea的投资部门还处于早期阶段，因此我没有将其纳入我的估值模型中。但不一定要考虑到这一点来证明当前股价的合理性。这只是又一个有一天可能抵得上一大部分海洋的区域。</blockquote></p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p>Looking at each of Sea&#39;s segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn&#39;t account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea&#39;s business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn&#39;t take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.</p><p><blockquote>纵观Sea的每个细分市场，我的估值模型表明Sea目前的估值相当合理。然而，我的模型没有考虑到新细分市场的重要可选性。就像电子商务在过去五年中所做的那样，金融科技（和/或投资）可能会发展成为Sea业务的一个非常重要的部分。金融科技领域目前同比增长818%，不需要太多想象力就能看出这是如何发生的。只要再以接近这一速度增长一两年，投资者就无法忽视金融科技部门。</blockquote></p><p>This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven&#39;t been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today&#39;s prices. It&#39;s a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today&#39;s market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.</p><p><blockquote>这种选择性结合了每项业务的总体实力，使Sea在过去一年的平均收入增长了7%。盈利并没有那么强劲，我预计这将成为我的估值模型的主要争论点，就像大多数未盈利公司的情况一样。特别是，我预计一些读者会不同意我对电子商务领域的估值。但即使你将电子商务的市盈率一路降至5倍（这是当今增长缓慢得多的电子商务公司的市盈率），这也意味着比今天的价格下跌54%。这肯定是一个急剧的下跌，但如果使用最保守的估值标准，当今市场上的大多数公司都会看到这样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It&#39;s one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.</p><p><blockquote>只有像Sea这样快速增长的公司才能用收入增长迅速抵消这种下降。因此，最具长期潜力的企业很难以最保守的估值进行交易。Sea当然具有长期潜力。这是我拥有的少数几家高增长公司之一，我认为这些公司在这十年内市值将达到万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading<blockquote>Sea Limited股价早盘上涨逾4%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited Shares Jumped More Than 4% in Morning Trading<blockquote>Sea Limited股价早盘上涨逾4%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-30 23:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>Sea Limited股价早盘上涨超过4%。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/448dcc7d589843674730e046aa6ef96a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Also Read:</b><b>Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent Selloff</b></p><p><blockquote><b>另请阅读：</b><b>Sea Limited：深入了解最近的抛售</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Sea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.</li><li>I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.</li><li>I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa5cbe0a30acc723a2c6f62300024002\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited是一家高度多元化的企业，在世界上一些增长最快的经济体中全力以赴。</li><li>我深入研究了它的每个细分市场，以了解最近的抛售并证明当前估值的合理性。</li><li>我认为Sea是我最有信心的十项投资之一。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>kokkai/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>论文</b></blockquote></p><p>A by-parts analysis of Sea Limited&#39;s (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>对Sea Limited（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SE）部门的细分分析表明，其目前的估值大致公平，但有许多长期增长动力可能会出人意料地上涨，并在未来几年推动非常强劲的回报。</blockquote></p><p><b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p>I recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I&#39;d already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.</p><p><blockquote>我最近写了一篇文章，重点介绍了我选择的2022年十大股票。我已经在其他Seeking Alpha文章中对我的其他九个选择进行了深入分析，所以我认为最好以一篇关于Sea的文章来结束这一年。</blockquote></p><p>Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don&#39;t speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It&#39;s one of my only losing positions that I didn&#39;t sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.</p><p><blockquote>此外，由于过去几个月股价大幅下跌（但今年仍略有上涨），我相信这篇文章可能是及时的。我不推测短期市场走势，但我个人最近增持了Sea股票。这是我唯一没有为了收获税收损失而暂时卖出的亏损头寸之一，在本文中，我将解释为什么Sea对我来说是如此坚定的持有。</blockquote></p><p>It&#39;s also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it&#39;s the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.</p><p><blockquote>还值得注意的是，许多专业投资者似乎也认同这一观点。Sea是全球第121大公司，但在对冲基金中排名第16位。这暗示大资金是跑赢大盘海，71%的股份被机构持有。</blockquote></p><p>Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.</p><p><blockquote>由于Sea在许多不同的领域开展业务，我将对其每个运营部门进行单独分析，以证明其当前估值的合理性，并解释该估值如何在多年来推动意想不到的强劲回报。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏</b></blockquote></p><p>Sea Limited&#39;s gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的游戏部门Garena因其内部开发的移动大逃杀游戏《Free Fire》而闻名。</blockquote></p><p>The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it&#39;s particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it&#39;s been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.</p><p><blockquote>该游戏于2017年发布，此后一直非常受欢迎。它目前在全球所有安卓游戏中拥有第二大月活跃用户。这款游戏在全球范围内都有售，但在东南亚、拉美和印度等新兴市场尤其受欢迎，两年多来，它一直是这些市场票房最高的手机游戏。</blockquote></p><p>With the game having been popular for a long time already, there&#39;s some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.</p><p><blockquote>随着这款游戏已经流行了很长时间，有人担心游戏玩家会转向下一件大事。虽然有一些手机游戏比Free Fire更古老，但仍然非常受欢迎——如Roblox、Clash of Clans和Pokemon Go——但还有更多已经被遗忘。在Garena发布更多游戏并证明它也可以在这些游戏上取得成功之前，总会有人质疑它的工作室是否是一个昙花一现的奇迹。</blockquote></p><p>Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it&#39;s the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea&#39;s non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.</p><p><blockquote>无论如何，Garena是Sea的重要组成部分，因为它是唯一盈利的细分市场，并且它是为Sea非游戏产品提供免费广告的社交平台的两倍。交叉推广是Sea的巨大竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p>Thus, one reason for Sea&#39;s recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Sea最近抛售的原因之一可能是Garena暗示的第四季度指引。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e299727cc28a887a36d88831aec8f53\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"334\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Earnings Call Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：看涨期权收益演示</span></p></blockquote></p><p>In Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.</p><p><blockquote>今年第二季度，Garena将2021年预订量的指导上调至45亿美元至47亿美元（高于43亿美元至45亿美元）。由于前三个季度的总预订量已经达到$3.5 B，这意味着第四季度的预订量将达到$1.0 B-$1.2 B，同比增长0%至20%，并且可能会环比下降。相比之下，最近一个季度的增长率为29%，全年预计增长率为44%。</blockquote></p><p>While 20% isn&#39;t a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn&#39;t spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena&#39;s growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).</p><p><blockquote>虽然20%并不是一个可怕的减速，但0%肯定是。与历史水平相比，即使是20%的增长也并不引人注目。在10%的中点，Garena的增长看起来更类似于动视暴雪（纳斯达克股票代码：ATVI）或Zynga（纳斯达克股票代码：ZNGA）等成熟公司，而不是Roblox（纽约证券交易所股票代码：RBLX）等快速增长的公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Garena&#39;s implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I&#39;ll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today&#39;s market.</p><p><blockquote>Garena的隐含估值应该——也确实——因此受到影响。虽然像Roblox这样快速增长的公司可以获得两位数的高市盈率，但动视暴雪和Zynga的平均市盈率仅为4倍。Garena的利润比他们略高，而且可能有更大的上行风险，因此我将使用市盈率倍数5作为我的隐含估值。这意味着一家增长率在10%左右的企业的市盈率约为10，这在当今市场上是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p>This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management&#39;s guidance.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着根据管理层指导的高端，Garena的价值为235亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:</p><p><blockquote>我相信这个估值实际上是保守的，原因有几个：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.</li><li>The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.</li><li>Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.</li><li>Although I&#39;d obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it&#39;s still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena&#39;s revenue.</li></ul><b>E-Commerce</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>明年的竞争很艰难，增长可能会在接下来的几年甚至明年重新加速，特别是如果Garena发布一款新的热门游戏。下个季度的增长率不是基于公司的明确指导，而是基于行业预测。</li><li>我使用的同行估值来自去年交易价格也处于估值范围下限的公司。</li><li>Garena拥有良好的业绩记录，并将继续投资Free Fire。这方面的一个例子是最近发布的Free Fire MAX，它改善了高端手机用户的体验，甚至添加了一个类似元宇宙的可定制地图，称为Craftland。对我来说，这意味着Garena认为Free Fire仍处于其生命周期的早期阶段。</li><li>虽然我显然更希望Garena在内部开发更多的游戏，但与此同时，它仍然不是一匹只会一招的小马。除了Free Fire之外，Garena还发行腾讯控股(OTCMKTS：OTCPK：TCEHY)等第三方开发商的游戏。这些都是像《英雄联盟》和《使命看涨期权》这样受欢迎的游戏，它们有意义地使Garena的收入多样化。</li></ul><b>电子商务</b></blockquote></p><p>Sea&#39;s e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>Sea的电子商务平台Shopee目前是其最大的增长动力。该平台通常被认为是东南亚的亚马逊（纳斯达克：AMZN），最近它扩展到包括巴西在内的更多市场。</blockquote></p><p>There&#39;s always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba&#39;s (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don&#39;t publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn&#39;t published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.</p><p><blockquote>关于谁是一个地区真正的亚马逊，总是有一些争论。Shopee当然面临竞争，包括来自阿里巴巴-SW（NYSE：BABA）的Lazada、印度尼西亚的Tokopedia、巴西的MercadoLibre(MELI)，甚至Amazon本身。由于大多数竞争都是私人的或隐藏在更大的公司中，许多竞争对手不会公布确切的收入数字，这使得衡量竞争变得困难。就连Sea也没有公布巴西等一些国家的明确收入数据。</blockquote></p><p>One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.</p><p><blockquote>一个可以评估的中立来源是Alexa网站排名，顾名思义，它根据网站的受欢迎程度对网站进行排名。请记住，这些都是排名，所以分数越低越好。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/180367a2b64bccebf243c5b6d8fb776a\" tg-width=\"455\" tg-height=\"353\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: The Author, compiled from Alexa</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者，编译自Alexa</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Shopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee非常专注于移动，但上表只考虑了网站。要查看购物类别的App Store应用排名，我们可以使用App Annie。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6544f014a5d70d13ee14dab0ac8b6782\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnie</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者，编译自AppAnnie</span></p></blockquote></p><p>On the mobile side, there&#39;s no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.</p><p><blockquote>在移动端，没有必要关注竞争，因为Shopee一直是每个国家排名第一的购物应用。在移动优先的世界里，这是个好兆头。即使在网络方面，Shopee也胜出，除了拉丁美洲和（勉强）印度尼西亚等少数特定地区，这些地区有更多的本地竞争对手。</blockquote></p><p>Of course, traffic doesn&#39;t always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it&#39;s a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It&#39;s Shopee&#39;s dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.</p><p><blockquote>当然，流量并不总是转化为GMV。但对于一个大多数人都会使用该应用程序购买东西的购物应用程序来说，这是一个不错的代理。第三方估计Shopee占东南亚所有电子商务的57%。正是Shopee在移动应用排名和市场份额方面的主导地位让我认为它是东南亚的亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p>So why would a company with so much potential sell off?</p><p><blockquote>那么，为什么一家潜力如此之大的公司会抛售呢？</blockquote></p><p>After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it&#39;s bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO&#39;s comments that they don&#39;t have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won&#39;t help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they&#39;re successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在最近的财报发布后，一些分析师对Shopee在当前市场验证其商业模式之前将业务扩展到波兰和墨西哥等其他国家表示担忧。在这些国家，Shopee的影响力较小；它在墨西哥应用商店购物应用的3-5位之间波动，在波兰的1-3位之间波动。尽管分析师讨厌不确定性——而且首席执行官关于他们在这些早期国家没有具体的成功衡量标准的评论对此没有帮助——但Shopee有着成功进入新国家的历史，我愿意给管理层一些时间尝试进一步扩张。毕竟，如果他们成功了，那么它可能会在未来推动更多意想不到的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it&#39;s hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.</p><p><blockquote>分析师的另一个抱怨是篮子规模（平均购买规模）呈下降趋势。虽然这也可能导致了最近的抛售，但尽管篮子规模有所下降，但当整体销售额大幅增长时，很难抱怨。</blockquote></p><p>The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That&#39;s 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon&#39;s $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it&#39;s just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA&#39;s.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在第三季度再次上调了电子商务指引，目前预计2021年电子商务收入为$5.0 B-$5.2 B。第四季度增长75%-100%，全年增长约135%。这些数字比游戏方面更令人兴奋，尽管指导仍然意味着第四季度略有减速。但与亚马逊2020年3400亿美元的电子商务销售额相比，Shopee看起来只是触及了表面。电子商务在东南亚的渗透率仅为11%，而美国为18.7%，东南亚经济体的增长速度普遍高于美国。</blockquote></p><p>Despite being in a blue skies industry, it&#39;s more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee&#39;s success is not guaranteed because it&#39;s not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.</p><p><blockquote>尽管处于蓝天行业，但对电子商务部门进行估值更加困难，因为它处于亏损状态（而游戏部门利润丰厚）。Shopee的成功并不能保证，因为目前尚不清楚该平台能否在保持市场份额的同时实现盈利。像这样的股票往往会经历更大的波动，这可以部分解释最近的抛售。</blockquote></p><p>For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it&#39;s difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it&#39;s worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea&#39;s Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies&#39;, and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).</p><p><blockquote>对于不盈利的软件公司，我喜欢用40法则来评估业务。但很难将这一规则应用于利润率自然较低、周期性较强的电子商务公司。即便如此，值得注意的是，尽管没有盈利，Sea的40分（104分）优于大多数SaaS公司，也优于电子商务同行Amazon（21分）、MercadoLibre（73分）和阿里巴巴-SW（43分）。</blockquote></p><p>To understand Shopee&#39;s terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon&#39;s high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.</p><p><blockquote>要了解Shopee盈利后的终端估值，我们可以看看行业同行。亚马逊是一家盈利且增长较慢的同行，其市盈率为4倍。AWS推高了这一数字，但亚马逊对第一方销售的高敞口抵消了这一影响。其他电子商务市场同行的估值类似：阿里巴巴-SW的市盈率为3倍，MercadoLibre的市盈率为9倍。所有这些估值基本上都是历史低点。</blockquote></p><p>If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it&#39;s easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon&#39;s P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.</p><p><blockquote>如果Shopee在未来几年内收入持续翻倍（自2016年以来每年都很容易做到），实现盈利（扩大规模往往会有所帮助），并在两年内达到亚马逊的市盈率倍数，那么今天的市盈率为16倍，它将在两年内持平。但如果它在十年等较长时间内保持比亚马逊快得多的增长速度，和/或如果整个行业市盈率扩大到更正常的历史水平，那么即使市盈率为16倍，该细分市场也有潜在的上涨空间。另一方面，如果它停止增长或永远无法盈利，那么投资者将对任何市盈率感到非常失望。</blockquote></p><p>Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee&#39;s mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment&#39;s future. I recognize that it&#39;s currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于这种广泛的结果，每个人都会有自己的方式来评估这一部分。对我来说，当我看到Shopee的移动主导地位、目前相对较小的规模、来自Garena的资金以及Amazon、阿里巴巴-SW和MercadoLibre为这种商业模式的可持续长期成功树立的先例时，我对这个细分市场的未来持乐观态度。我认识到这是一个目前无利可图且存在风险的细分市场，但我也看到了巨大的潜力。</blockquote></p><p>So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我很高兴支付16倍的市盈率，这使得电子商务部门的估值为$832亿。有些人的看涨期权太高，这些人可能永远没有机会投资这家公司，无论好坏。</blockquote></p><p>Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let&#39;s look at the other parts of Sea.</p><p><blockquote>因此，仅算上Garena和Shopee，我认为Sea的价值为$1067亿。其目前的市值为$123.1 B。为了解释这种差异，让我们看看海洋的其他部分。</blockquote></p><p><b>FinTech &amp; Investments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>金融科技与投资</b></blockquote></p><p>The easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea&#39;s $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won&#39;t be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.</p><p><blockquote>我计算的估值中最容易增加的是Sea的120B美元现金储备，部分被40亿美元的债务抵消。这为该公司增加了一些不错的选择，并确保尽管Shopee亏损，但它不会很快破产。加上$8B现金差异，我的计算估值为$114.7 B，仅比实际估值低$8.4 B。</blockquote></p><p>Then there is Sea&#39;s FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a &#34;take rate&#34; of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I&#39;m not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.</p><p><blockquote>然后是Sea的金融科技部门SeaMoney。这里的主要产品是移动钱包，上个季度的支付量为46亿美元（一年约为200亿美元）。该部门第三季度收入为1.32亿美元，同比增长818%。这意味着2.9%的“采用率”，甚至比Visa(V)等老牌金融科技公司还要好。由于采用率很高，我并不担心SeaMoney在扩大规模时会亏损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it&#39;s now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it&#39;s only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea&#39;s sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea&#39;s management - combined with Garena&#39;s ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It&#39;s certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.</p><p><blockquote>尽管SeaMoney只是一个很小的细分市场，但它现在已经达到了可以纳入估值的程度。也许它只值几十亿，但这只是一个开始。五年前，没有人会想到，一个占Sea销售额5%的电子商务平台今天的价值会超过游戏领域。但Sea的管理层——加上Garena为新细分市场提供资金并推动其病毒式采用的能力——实现了这一目标。当然，不能保证Sea在金融科技方面会取得同样的成功，但这是有先例的。</blockquote></p><p>If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre&#39;s revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa&#39;s, Mastercard&#39;s (NYSE:MA), and Affirm&#39;s (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies&#39;, but we don&#39;t even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea&#39;s current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.</p><p><blockquote>如果有一天这个细分市场的价值达到Sea的三分之一或更多（2020年，金融科技占MercadoLibre收入的36%），那么今天仅以7%的业务获得它将是非常值得的，即使这意味着今天该细分市场的市盈率为16倍。事实上，这个倍数已经低于Visa、Mastercard（纽约证券交易所股票代码：MA）和Affirm（纳斯达克股票代码：AFRM）。实际上，同比增长818%的细分市场可能应该比这些增长较慢的公司获得更高的市盈率，但我们甚至不需要猜测什么是公平市盈率，因为我们可以通过在我的模型估值中使用16倍市盈率来达到Sea当前的估值。</blockquote></p><p>One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started &#34;early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.&#34; These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>这一细分市场进一步增长的一个方法是推出除移动钱包之外的更多产品。Sea在最近的财报中指出，他们已经开始“在其他数字金融服务方面采取早期举措，例如先买后付、数字银行和保险科技”。这些人肯定知道如何抓住最新的高增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p>Finally, there&#39;s the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There&#39;s strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea&#39;s investment arm is very early stage, so I don&#39;t include it in my valuation model. But it doesn&#39;t have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It&#39;s just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.</p><p><blockquote>最后是投资部门。Sea正在投资早期科技公司，尤其是在东南亚。腾讯控股（其本身就是Sea的投资者）和Shopify（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SHOP）等公司管理成功的投资组合，最终对其估值产生有意义的影响，这是有先例的。目前Sea的投资部门还处于早期阶段，因此我没有将其纳入我的估值模型中。但不一定要考虑到这一点来证明当前股价的合理性。这只是又一个有一天可能抵得上一大部分海洋的区域。</blockquote></p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p>Looking at each of Sea&#39;s segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn&#39;t account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea&#39;s business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn&#39;t take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.</p><p><blockquote>纵观Sea的每个细分市场，我的估值模型表明Sea目前的估值相当合理。然而，我的模型没有考虑到新细分市场的重要可选性。就像电子商务在过去五年中所做的那样，金融科技（和/或投资）可能会发展成为Sea业务的一个非常重要的部分。金融科技领域目前同比增长818%，不需要太多想象力就能看出这是如何发生的。只要再以接近这一速度增长一两年，投资者就无法忽视金融科技部门。</blockquote></p><p>This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven&#39;t been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today&#39;s prices. It&#39;s a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today&#39;s market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.</p><p><blockquote>这种选择性结合了每项业务的总体实力，使Sea在过去一年的平均收入增长了7%。盈利并没有那么强劲，我预计这将成为我的估值模型的主要争论点，就像大多数未盈利公司的情况一样。特别是，我预计一些读者会不同意我对电子商务领域的估值。但即使你将电子商务的市盈率一路降至5倍（这是当今增长缓慢得多的电子商务公司的市盈率），这也意味着比今天的价格下跌54%。这肯定是一个急剧的下跌，但如果使用最保守的估值标准，当今市场上的大多数公司都会看到这样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It&#39;s one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.</p><p><blockquote>只有像Sea这样快速增长的公司才能用收入增长迅速抵消这种下降。因此，最具长期潜力的企业很难以最保守的估值进行交易。Sea当然具有长期潜力。这是我拥有的少数几家高增长公司之一，我认为这些公司在这十年内市值将达到万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106092668","content_text":"Sea Limited shares jumped more than 4% in morning trading.Also Read:Sea Limited: A Deep Dive To Understand The Recent SelloffSummarySea Limited is a highly diversified business firing on all cylinders in some of the fastest-growing economies in the world.I dive into each of its segments to understand the recent selloff and justify the current valuation.I consider Sea one of my ten highest conviction investments.kokkai/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesThesisA by-parts analysis of Sea Limited's (NYSE:SE) segments shows that its current valuation is roughly fair, but there are many long-term growth drivers that could surprise to the upside and drive very strong returns for years to come.IntroductionI recently wrote an article highlighting my top 10 stock picks for 2022. I'd already done an in-depth analysis of my other nine picks in other Seeking Alpha articles, so I thought it would be good to close out the year with an article about Sea.Furthermore, with shares down significantly over the past couple of months (but still slightly up for the year), I believe this article may prove timely. I don't speculate on short-term market movements, but I personally added to my Sea shares recently. It's one of my only losing positions that I didn't sell out of temporarily for tax-loss harvesting, and in this article, I will explain why Sea is such a high conviction holding for me.It's also worth noting that many professional investors seem to share this opinion. Sea is the 121st largest company in the world, but it's the16thmost popular holding among hedge funds. This implies that big money is overweight Sea, with 71% of shares held by institutions.Because Sea operates in many different areas, I will do a separate analysis of each of its operating segments to justify its current valuation and explain how that valuation could drive unexpectedly strong returns for years.GamingSea Limited's gaming segment Garena is best known for Free Fire, a mobile battle royale game that was developed in-house.The game was released in 2017 and has been very popular ever since. It currently has the second most monthly active users among all Android games globally. The game is available worldwide, but it's particularly popular in emerging markets like SEA, LATAM, and India, where it's been the highest-grossing mobile game for over two years.With the game having been popular for a long time already, there's some concern that gamers will move on to the next big thing. Although there are some mobile games that are older than Free Fire and still very popular - like Roblox, Clash of Clans, and Pokemon Go - there are many more that have been forgotten. Until Garena releases more games and proves that it can be successful with them too, there will always be questions about whether its studio is a one-hit wonder.Regardless, Garena is a critical part of Sea because it's the only profitable segment and it doubles a social platform that provides free advertising for Sea's non-gaming products. Cross-promotion is a huge competitive advantage for Sea.Thus, one reason for Sea's recent selloff could be the Q4 guidance implied for Garena.Source: Earnings Call PresentationIn Q2 this year, Garena raised its guidance to $4.5B-$4.7B for 2021 bookings (up from $4.3B-$4.5B). With the first three quarters already totaling $3.5B, this implies that Q4 bookings will come in at $1.0B-$1.2B, up between 0% and 20% year over year, and likely down sequentially. This is compared to 29% growth in the most recent quarter and 44% projected growth for the full year.While 20% isn't a terrible deceleration, 0% certainly is. Even 20% growth isn't spectacular compared to the historic levels. At the 10% midpoint, Garena's growth looks more similar to that of a mature company like Activision (NASDAQ:ATVI) or Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA) than a fast-growing company like Roblox (NYSE:RBLX).Garena's implied valuation should - and did - suffer as a result. While a fast-growing company like Roblox can command a high double-digit P/S multiple, Activision and Zynga trade at an average P/S multiple of just 4. Garena is slightly more profitable than them and probably has more risk to the upside, so I'll use a P/S multiple of 5 for my implied valuation. This implies a P/E of about 10 for a business growing at around 10%, which is very reasonable in today's market.This means Garena is worth $23.5B based on the high end of management's guidance.I believe this valuation is actually conservative for a few reasons:Next year has tough comps and growth could re-accelerate in the following years or even next year, especially if Garena releases a new hit game. The growth rate past next quarter is not based on explicit guidance from the company, only industry forecasts.The peer valuations I used are from companies also trading at the lower end of their valuation range for the past year.Garena has a good track record and is continuing to invest in Free Fire. One example of this is the recently released Free Fire MAX, which improves the experience for users with higher-end phones and even adds a metaverse-like customizable map called Craftland. To me, this implies that Garena believes Free Fire is still in the earlier part of its lifecycle.Although I'd obviously prefer that Garena develops more games in house, in the meantime it's still not a one-trick pony. In addition to Free Fire, Garena distributes games from third-party developers like Tencent (OTCMKTS:OTCPK:TCEHY). These are popular titles like League of Legends and Call of Duty, which meaningfully diversify Garena's revenue.E-CommerceSea's e-commerce platform Shopee is currently its big growth driver. This platform is often considered the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) of Southeast Asia, and it recently expanded into more markets including Brazil.There's always some debate about who is really the Amazon of a region. Shopee certainly has competition, including from Alibaba's (NYSE:BABA) Lazada, Tokopedia in Indonesia, MercadoLibre (MELI) in Brazil, and even Amazon itself. With most of the competition being private or tucked away into a larger company, many of the competitors don't publish exact revenue numbers, which makes it difficult to measure the competition. Even Sea hasn't published explicit revenue numbers for some countries like Brazil.One neutral source that can be assessed is the Alexa site rank, which as its name suggests ranks sites by their popularity. Keep in mind that these are ranks, so a lower score is better.Source: The Author, compiled from AlexaShopee is very mobile-focused, but the above table only considers the website. To check App Store app ranks for the shopping category, we can use App Annie.Source: The Author, compiled from AppAnnieOn the mobile side, there's no need to look at the competition because Shopee is consistently the number one shopping app in every country listed. In a mobile-first world, this bodes very well. Even on the web side, Shopee wins out except in a few specific regions like LATAM and (barely) Indonesia, which have more local competitors.Of course, traffic doesn't always translate to GMV. But for a shopping app where most people will use the app to buy something, it's a decent proxy. A third party estimates that Shopee accounts for57%of all e-commerce in Southeast Asia. It's Shopee's dominance in the mobile app ranks and market share that make me consider it the Amazon of Southeast Asia.So why would a company with so much potential sell off?After the recent earnings report, some analysts expressed concern that Shopee is branching out into other countries like Poland and Mexico before validating its business model in the current markets. In these countries, Shopee has less of a presence; it's bounced between the 3-5 spots on the Mexico App Store for shopping apps, and between spots 1 and 3 in Poland. Although analysts hate uncertainty - and the CEO's comments that they don't have a concrete measure of success in these earlier stage countries won't help with that - Shopee has a history of entering new countries successfully and I am willing to give management some time to try expanding more. After all, if they're successful, then it could drive even more unexpected growth in the future.Another complaint from analysts was that the basket size (average purchase size) is trending down. While that could also have contributed to the recent selloff, it's hard to complain when the overall sales increased a lot despite a decrease in basket size.The company raised its guidance for e-commerce again in Q3, now guiding for $5.0B-$5.2B in 2021 e-commerce revenue. That's 75%-100% growth in Q4 and about 135% growth for the year. These are much more exciting numbers than the gaming side, although the guidance still implies a slight deceleration in Q4. But compared to Amazon's $340B in 2020 e-commerce sales, Shopee looks like it's just scratched the surface. E-commerce is at only11%penetration in Southeast Asia compared to18.7%in the USA, and Southeast Asia economies are generally growing faster than the USA's.Despite being in a blue skies industry, it's more difficult to value the e-commerce segment because it operates at a loss (whereas the gaming segment is highly profitable). Shopee's success is not guaranteed because it's not clear at this point whether the platform can become profitable while retaining its market share. Stocks like this tend to experience more volatility, which could partially explain the recent selloff.For unprofitable software companies, I like to use the Rule of 40 to assess the business. But it's difficult to apply this rule to a more cyclical e-commerce company with naturally lower margins. Even so, it's worth noting that despite being unprofitable, Sea's Rule of 40 score of 104 is better than most SaaS companies', and also better than e-commerce peers Amazon (21), MercadoLibre (73), and Alibaba (43).To understand Shopee's terminal valuation once it becomes profitable, we can look at industry peers. Amazon is one profitable and slower-growing peer, and it trades at 4x P/S. AWS pushes this number up, but Amazon's high exposure to first-party sales offsets that. Other e-commerce marketplace peers trade at similar valuations: Alibaba at 3x P/S, MercadoLibre at 9x P/S. All of these valuations are basically all-time lows.If Shopee keeps doubling revenue over the next couple of years (which it's easily done every year since 2016), becomes profitable (which scaling up tends to help with), and will have Amazon's P/S multiple in two years, then at 16 P/S today it would trade flat for two years. But if it keeps growing much faster than Amazon over a longer period like a decade, and/or if the overall industry multiples expand to more normal historical levels, then even at 16x P/S this segment has potential upside. On the other hand, if it stops growing or never becomes profitable then investors will be very disappointed at any P/S.Given this wide range of outcomes, each person is going to have their own way of valuing this segment. For me, when I look at Shopee's mobile dominance, relatively small current size, the funding coming in from Garena, and the precedent set by Amazon, Alibaba, and MercadoLibre for the sustainable long-term success of this business model, I am optimistic about this segment's future. I recognize that it's currently an unprofitable and thus risky segment, but I also see the massive potential.So I am happy paying a 16x P/S multiple, which values the e-commerce segment at $83.2B. Some people will call that way too high, and those people will probably never get a chance to invest in this company, for better or for worse.Thus, with just Garena and Shopee, I have Sea being worth $106.7B. Its current market cap is $123.1B. To account for the difference, let's look at the other parts of Sea.FinTech & InvestmentsThe easiest addition to my computed valuation is Sea's $12B cash pile, partially offset by $4B in debt. This adds some nice optionality to the company and ensures that it won't be bankrupt any time soon despite losing money with Shopee. Adding in the $8B cash difference puts my computed valuation at $114.7B, just $8.4B short of the actual valuation.Then there is Sea's FinTech arm, SeaMoney. The main product here is a mobile wallet, which was responsible for $4.6B in payment volume in the last quarter (~$20B over a year). This segment accounted for $132 million in Q3 revenue, up a whopping 818% year over year. This implies a \"take rate\" of 2.9%, which is even better than established FinTech companies like Visa (V). Because of this high take rate, I'm not worried about SeaMoney losing money while it scales.Despite SeaMoney being a small segment, it's now reaching a point where it can be factored into the valuation. Maybe it's only worth a couple of billion, but this is just the start. Five years ago, nobody would have expected that an e-commerce platform accounting for 5% of Sea's sales would today be worth more than the gaming segment. But Sea's management - combined with Garena's ability to fund new segments and drive their viral adoption - made it happen. It's certainly not guaranteed that Sea will have the same success with FinTech, but there is precedent for it.If one day this segment is worth a third or more of Sea (in 2020, FinTech accounted for 36% of MercadoLibre's revenue) then getting it for just 7% of the business today will be well worth it, even if that implies a somewhat high 16x P/S multiple for the segment today. Actually, this multiple is already lower than Visa's, Mastercard's (NYSE:MA), and Affirm's (NASDAQ:AFRM). Realistically, a segment growing at 818% year over year should probably get a higher multiple than these slower-growing companies', but we don't even need to speculate about what a fair multiple is, since we can reach Sea's current valuation by using 16x P/S in my model valuation.One way this segment could grow even more is through the introduction of more products besides the mobile wallet. Sea noted in their recent earnings that they have started \"early initiatives in other digital financial services such as buy now pay later, digital bank, and insurtech.\" These guys sure know how to hop on the latest high growth trend.Finally, there's the investments arm. Sea is investing in early-stage tech companies, especially in Southeast Asia. There's strong precedent for companies like Tencent (which is itself an investor in Sea) and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) managing successful investment portfolios that ultimately factor meaningfully into their valuation. Right now Sea's investment arm is very early stage, so I don't include it in my valuation model. But it doesn't have to be factored in to justify the current share price. It's just one more area that might be worth a large part of Sea one day.ConclusionLooking at each of Sea's segments, my valuation model indicates that Sea is fairly valued today. However, my model doesn't account for the significant optionality of the newer segments. Just like e-commerce did over the last five years, FinTech (and/or investments) could grow to become a very large part of Sea's business. With the FinTech segment currently growing at 818% year over year, it doesn't take much imagination to see how this happens. Just another year or two of growth at something close to that rate will make the FinTech arm impossible for investors to ignore.This optionality combined general strength in each business has allowed Sea to post an average revenue beat of 7% over the past year. Earnings haven't been as strong, and I expect that to be the main point of contention with my valuation model, as is the case for most unprofitable companies. In particular, I expect some readers will disagree with my valuation of the e-commerce segment. But even if you drop e-commerce all the way down to 5x P/S (a multiple seen today by much slower growing e-commerce companies) that implies 54% downside from today's prices. It's a steep drop for sure, but most companies in today's market would be looking at such a decline if one were to use the most conservative valuation standards possible.Only fast-growing companies like Sea can quickly offset such a decline with revenue growth. As a result, the businesses with the most long-term potential will hardly ever trade at the most conservative valuation possible. And Sea certainly has long-term potential. It's one of the few high-growth companies I own that I could see reaching a trillion-dollar market cap this decade.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":692653769,"gmtCreate":1640951311424,"gmtModify":1640951346970,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!!!","listText":"To the moon!!!","text":"To the moon!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692653769","repostId":"1109303330","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1109303330","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640944353,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109303330?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-31 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Will Tesla Stock Do in 2022?<blockquote>2022年特斯拉股票表现如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109303330","media":"Barrons","summary":"Tesla’s fourth-quarter delivery figures, expected shortly after the world rings in the New Year, are likely to be the first 2022 data point investors can use to assess the outlook for the stock. Peopl","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Tesla’s fourth-quarter delivery figures, expected shortly after the world rings in the New Year, are likely to be the first 2022 data point investors can use to assess the outlook for the stock. People who are bullish on the electric-vehicle maker expect a lot.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>特斯拉第四季度交付数据预计将在世界新年敲响后不久公布，这可能是投资者可以用来评估该股前景的第一个2022年数据点。看好这家电动汽车制造商的人抱有很高的期望。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Tesla (ticker: TSLA) typically discloses its delivery figures on the second day of a quarter, regardless of weekends. That means the fourth-quarter numbers are likely to land on Sunday, Jan. 2. though it is possible they could arrive Monday because of the New Year holiday.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）通常会在季度的第二天披露交付数据，无论周末如何。这意味着第四季度的数据可能会在1月2日周日公布。尽管由于新年假期，他们可能会在周一到达。</blockquote></p><p>The Wall Street consensus, according to FactSet, calls for 267,000 vehicle deliveries. That would be a record and up from the 241,300 delivered in the third quarter of 2020. The Wall Street consensus figure aggregated by Tesla itself calls for about 266,000 deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，评级交付了267,000辆汽车。这将创下纪录，高于2020年第三季度交付的241,300辆。特斯拉自己评级汇总的华尔街共识数据约为266,000次交付。</blockquote></p><p>The company will need to do better than that to keep the stock moving higher because the not-so-secret secret about Wall Street estimates is that they tend to be low. Investors, companies, and analysts all feel better when companies beat estimates.</p><p><blockquote>该公司需要做得更好才能保持股价走高，因为华尔街预估的一个不那么秘密的秘密是，它们往往很低。当公司超出预期时，投资者、公司和分析师都会感觉更好。</blockquote></p><p>The so-called whisper number for fourth-quarter Tesla deliveries is probably somewhere between 275,000 and 285,000 units. A number in that range would be a good outcome, while anything higher would be excellent.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付量的所谓耳语数量可能在275,000至285,000辆之间。在这个范围内的数字将是一个好的结果，而任何更高的数字都是极好的。</blockquote></p><p>If the numbers are strong, it typically means good things for the stock going into the release of Tesla’s earnings. Tesla shares have outperformed the S&amp;P 500 seven of the past nine times in the span between when management reports deliveries and discloses the quarterly earnings. The financial results come about three or four weeks after the delivery numbers.</p><p><blockquote>如果数据强劲，这通常意味着该股即将发布特斯拉财报。在管理层报告交付情况和披露季度收益之间的过去九次中，特斯拉股价有七次跑赢标普500。财务结果大约在交付数据公布后三到四周公布。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla needs to deliver 272,650 vehicles to hit 900,000 for all of 2021. That would be quite an accomplishment, given that Tesla delivered about 500,000 vehicles in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉需要交付272,650辆汽车，才能在2021年全年达到90万辆。考虑到特斯拉在2020年交付了约50万辆汽车，这将是一项相当大的成就。</blockquote></p><p>In 2022, Wall Street is currently projecting deliveries of about 1.42 million vehicles, including 296,000 in the first quarter. That would amount to another year of big growth. Tesla has two new manufacturing facilities, in Texas and Germany, that will be ramping up production early in 2022. The ability for Tesla to sell all that is coming out of its factories will be a big swing factor for the stock in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街目前预计2022年汽车交付量约为142万辆，其中第一季度为29.6万辆。这将意味着又一年的大幅增长。特斯拉在德克萨斯和德国拥有两个新的制造工厂，将于2022年初提高产量。特斯拉出售其工厂生产的所有产品的能力将是2022年该股的一个重要波动因素。</blockquote></p><p>The stock did just fine in 2021 after rising 743% in 2022. As of Thursday, Tesla stock was up more than 50% in 2021, far better than the comparable returns of the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>该股在2022年上涨743%后，在2021年表现良好。截至周四，特斯拉股价在2021年上涨了50%以上，远好于标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的可比回报率。</blockquote></p><p>It has been another profitable, yet wild, year for Tesla investors. Tesla stock was at $1,070.34 as of the close of trading on Thursday. The stock’s 52-week low was back in March at less than $540.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉投资者来说，这又是盈利但疯狂的一年。截至周四收盘，特斯拉股价为1,070.34美元。该股曾在3月份触及52周低点，低于540美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Will Tesla Stock Do in 2022?<blockquote>2022年特斯拉股票表现如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Will Tesla Stock Do in 2022?<blockquote>2022年特斯拉股票表现如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-31 17:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Tesla’s fourth-quarter delivery figures, expected shortly after the world rings in the New Year, are likely to be the first 2022 data point investors can use to assess the outlook for the stock. People who are bullish on the electric-vehicle maker expect a lot.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>特斯拉第四季度交付数据预计将在世界新年敲响后不久公布，这可能是投资者可以用来评估该股前景的第一个2022年数据点。看好这家电动汽车制造商的人抱有很高的期望。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Tesla (ticker: TSLA) typically discloses its delivery figures on the second day of a quarter, regardless of weekends. That means the fourth-quarter numbers are likely to land on Sunday, Jan. 2. though it is possible they could arrive Monday because of the New Year holiday.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）通常会在季度的第二天披露交付数据，无论周末如何。这意味着第四季度的数据可能会在1月2日周日公布。尽管由于新年假期，他们可能会在周一到达。</blockquote></p><p>The Wall Street consensus, according to FactSet, calls for 267,000 vehicle deliveries. That would be a record and up from the 241,300 delivered in the third quarter of 2020. The Wall Street consensus figure aggregated by Tesla itself calls for about 266,000 deliveries.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示，评级交付了267,000辆汽车。这将创下纪录，高于2020年第三季度交付的241,300辆。特斯拉自己评级汇总的华尔街共识数据约为266,000次交付。</blockquote></p><p>The company will need to do better than that to keep the stock moving higher because the not-so-secret secret about Wall Street estimates is that they tend to be low. Investors, companies, and analysts all feel better when companies beat estimates.</p><p><blockquote>该公司需要做得更好才能保持股价走高，因为华尔街预估的一个不那么秘密的秘密是，它们往往很低。当公司超出预期时，投资者、公司和分析师都会感觉更好。</blockquote></p><p>The so-called whisper number for fourth-quarter Tesla deliveries is probably somewhere between 275,000 and 285,000 units. A number in that range would be a good outcome, while anything higher would be excellent.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付量的所谓耳语数量可能在275,000至285,000辆之间。在这个范围内的数字将是一个好的结果，而任何更高的数字都是极好的。</blockquote></p><p>If the numbers are strong, it typically means good things for the stock going into the release of Tesla’s earnings. Tesla shares have outperformed the S&amp;P 500 seven of the past nine times in the span between when management reports deliveries and discloses the quarterly earnings. The financial results come about three or four weeks after the delivery numbers.</p><p><blockquote>如果数据强劲，这通常意味着该股即将发布特斯拉财报。在管理层报告交付情况和披露季度收益之间的过去九次中，特斯拉股价有七次跑赢标普500。财务结果大约在交付数据公布后三到四周公布。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla needs to deliver 272,650 vehicles to hit 900,000 for all of 2021. That would be quite an accomplishment, given that Tesla delivered about 500,000 vehicles in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉需要交付272,650辆汽车，才能在2021年全年达到90万辆。考虑到特斯拉在2020年交付了约50万辆汽车，这将是一项相当大的成就。</blockquote></p><p>In 2022, Wall Street is currently projecting deliveries of about 1.42 million vehicles, including 296,000 in the first quarter. That would amount to another year of big growth. Tesla has two new manufacturing facilities, in Texas and Germany, that will be ramping up production early in 2022. The ability for Tesla to sell all that is coming out of its factories will be a big swing factor for the stock in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街目前预计2022年汽车交付量约为142万辆，其中第一季度为29.6万辆。这将意味着又一年的大幅增长。特斯拉在德克萨斯和德国拥有两个新的制造工厂，将于2022年初提高产量。特斯拉出售其工厂生产的所有产品的能力将是2022年该股的一个重要波动因素。</blockquote></p><p>The stock did just fine in 2021 after rising 743% in 2022. As of Thursday, Tesla stock was up more than 50% in 2021, far better than the comparable returns of the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p><p><blockquote>该股在2022年上涨743%后，在2021年表现良好。截至周四，特斯拉股价在2021年上涨了50%以上，远好于标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的可比回报率。</blockquote></p><p>It has been another profitable, yet wild, year for Tesla investors. Tesla stock was at $1,070.34 as of the close of trading on Thursday. The stock’s 52-week low was back in March at less than $540.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉投资者来说，这又是盈利但疯狂的一年。截至周四收盘，特斯拉股价为1,070.34美元。该股曾在3月份触及52周低点，低于540美元。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-deliveries-outlook-2022-51640898832?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-deliveries-outlook-2022-51640898832?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109303330","content_text":"Tesla’s fourth-quarter delivery figures, expected shortly after the world rings in the New Year, are likely to be the first 2022 data point investors can use to assess the outlook for the stock. People who are bullish on the electric-vehicle maker expect a lot.Tesla (ticker: TSLA) typically discloses its delivery figures on the second day of a quarter, regardless of weekends. That means the fourth-quarter numbers are likely to land on Sunday, Jan. 2. though it is possible they could arrive Monday because of the New Year holiday.The Wall Street consensus, according to FactSet, calls for 267,000 vehicle deliveries. That would be a record and up from the 241,300 delivered in the third quarter of 2020. The Wall Street consensus figure aggregated by Tesla itself calls for about 266,000 deliveries.The company will need to do better than that to keep the stock moving higher because the not-so-secret secret about Wall Street estimates is that they tend to be low. Investors, companies, and analysts all feel better when companies beat estimates.The so-called whisper number for fourth-quarter Tesla deliveries is probably somewhere between 275,000 and 285,000 units. A number in that range would be a good outcome, while anything higher would be excellent.If the numbers are strong, it typically means good things for the stock going into the release of Tesla’s earnings. Tesla shares have outperformed the S&P 500 seven of the past nine times in the span between when management reports deliveries and discloses the quarterly earnings. The financial results come about three or four weeks after the delivery numbers.Tesla needs to deliver 272,650 vehicles to hit 900,000 for all of 2021. That would be quite an accomplishment, given that Tesla delivered about 500,000 vehicles in 2020.In 2022, Wall Street is currently projecting deliveries of about 1.42 million vehicles, including 296,000 in the first quarter. That would amount to another year of big growth. Tesla has two new manufacturing facilities, in Texas and Germany, that will be ramping up production early in 2022. The ability for Tesla to sell all that is coming out of its factories will be a big swing factor for the stock in 2022.The stock did just fine in 2021 after rising 743% in 2022. As of Thursday, Tesla stock was up more than 50% in 2021, far better than the comparable returns of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.It has been another profitable, yet wild, year for Tesla investors. Tesla stock was at $1,070.34 as of the close of trading on Thursday. The stock’s 52-week low was back in March at less than $540.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696285430,"gmtCreate":1640703584824,"gmtModify":1640703585404,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon","listText":"To the moon","text":"To the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696285430","repostId":"1121218775","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121218775","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640699058,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121218775?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-28 21:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Set to Rise for a Fifth Day — But It Still Can’t Crack $3 Trillion Market Cap<blockquote>苹果股价将连续第五天上涨，但市值仍无法突破3万亿美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121218775","media":"Barrons","summary":"Apple was on track for a fifth consecutive positive trading session on Tuesday, just a day after it ","content":"<p>Apple&nbsp;was on track for a fifth consecutive positive trading session on Tuesday, just a day after it closed at its 24th record high for the year.</p><p><blockquote>周二，苹果有望连续第五个交易日上涨，就在一天前，该股收于今年第24个历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> As the stock climbs, it edges closer to becoming the first publicly traded company with a $3 trillion valuation.</p><p><blockquote>随着股价攀升，它距离成为第一家估值达到3万亿美元的上市公司又近了一步。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have said the stock could rally even further in 2022&nbsp;as the tech giant continues to grow across all business segments and releases new products, such as a virtual/augmented reality headset.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，随着这家科技巨头在所有业务领域继续增长并发布虚拟/增强现实耳机等新产品，该股可能会在2022年进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Apple (ticker:AAPL) were up 0.4% to $181.03 in premarket trading Tuesday. The stock’s intraday high for the year is $182.13, which it reached earlier in December.</p><p><blockquote>周二盘前交易中，苹果（股票代码：AAPL）股价上涨0.4%，至181.03美元。该股今年盘中高点为182.13美元，于12月初触及。</blockquote></p><p> Investors seemed unfazed by the company’s announcement Monday afternoon to close New York City stores to shoppers following a Covid-19 spike. The stores were open for pickup only, meaning customers could buy products online and pick them up at the store, Apple told <i>Barron’s.</i></p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对该公司周一下午宣布在Covid-19激增后关闭纽约市商店的消息并不担心。苹果告诉记者，这些商店只开放提货，这意味着顾客可以在网上购买产品并在商店提货<i>巴伦周刊。</i></blockquote></p><p> Apple didn’t say when its New York stores might reopen.</p><p><blockquote>苹果没有透露其纽约商店何时可能重新开业。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained 2.3% Monday, closing at a record high, and has risen 35.9% this year. It ended the session with a market capitalization of $2.9 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>该股周一上涨2.3%，收于历史新高，今年以来已上涨35.9%。收盘时市值为2.9万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;was up 27.6% during the same time period, and the tech-heavy&nbsp;Nasdaq&nbsp;has gained 23.1%.</p><p><blockquote>同期标准普尔500指数上涨27.6%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克上涨23.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Set to Rise for a Fifth Day — But It Still Can’t Crack $3 Trillion Market Cap<blockquote>苹果股价将连续第五天上涨，但市值仍无法突破3万亿美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Set to Rise for a Fifth Day — But It Still Can’t Crack $3 Trillion Market Cap<blockquote>苹果股价将连续第五天上涨，但市值仍无法突破3万亿美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-28 21:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple&nbsp;was on track for a fifth consecutive positive trading session on Tuesday, just a day after it closed at its 24th record high for the year.</p><p><blockquote>周二，苹果有望连续第五个交易日上涨，就在一天前，该股收于今年第24个历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> As the stock climbs, it edges closer to becoming the first publicly traded company with a $3 trillion valuation.</p><p><blockquote>随着股价攀升，它距离成为第一家估值达到3万亿美元的上市公司又近了一步。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts have said the stock could rally even further in 2022&nbsp;as the tech giant continues to grow across all business segments and releases new products, such as a virtual/augmented reality headset.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，随着这家科技巨头在所有业务领域继续增长并发布虚拟/增强现实耳机等新产品，该股可能会在2022年进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Apple (ticker:AAPL) were up 0.4% to $181.03 in premarket trading Tuesday. The stock’s intraday high for the year is $182.13, which it reached earlier in December.</p><p><blockquote>周二盘前交易中，苹果（股票代码：AAPL）股价上涨0.4%，至181.03美元。该股今年盘中高点为182.13美元，于12月初触及。</blockquote></p><p> Investors seemed unfazed by the company’s announcement Monday afternoon to close New York City stores to shoppers following a Covid-19 spike. The stores were open for pickup only, meaning customers could buy products online and pick them up at the store, Apple told <i>Barron’s.</i></p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎对该公司周一下午宣布在Covid-19激增后关闭纽约市商店的消息并不担心。苹果告诉记者，这些商店只开放提货，这意味着顾客可以在网上购买产品并在商店提货<i>巴伦周刊。</i></blockquote></p><p> Apple didn’t say when its New York stores might reopen.</p><p><blockquote>苹果没有透露其纽约商店何时可能重新开业。</blockquote></p><p> The stock gained 2.3% Monday, closing at a record high, and has risen 35.9% this year. It ended the session with a market capitalization of $2.9 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>该股周一上涨2.3%，收于历史新高，今年以来已上涨35.9%。收盘时市值为2.9万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;was up 27.6% during the same time period, and the tech-heavy&nbsp;Nasdaq&nbsp;has gained 23.1%.</p><p><blockquote>同期标准普尔500指数上涨27.6%，以科技股为主的纳斯达克上涨23.1%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-market-cap-51640696713?mod=hp_LATEST&tesla=y\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/apple-stock-price-market-cap-51640696713?mod=hp_LATEST&tesla=y","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121218775","content_text":"Apple was on track for a fifth consecutive positive trading session on Tuesday, just a day after it closed at its 24th record high for the year.\nAs the stock climbs, it edges closer to becoming the first publicly traded company with a $3 trillion valuation.\nAnalysts have said the stock could rally even further in 2022 as the tech giant continues to grow across all business segments and releases new products, such as a virtual/augmented reality headset.\nShares of Apple (ticker:AAPL) were up 0.4% to $181.03 in premarket trading Tuesday. The stock’s intraday high for the year is $182.13, which it reached earlier in December.\nInvestors seemed unfazed by the company’s announcement Monday afternoon to close New York City stores to shoppers following a Covid-19 spike. The stores were open for pickup only, meaning customers could buy products online and pick them up at the store, Apple told Barron’s.\nApple didn’t say when its New York stores might reopen.\nThe stock gained 2.3% Monday, closing at a record high, and has risen 35.9% this year. It ended the session with a market capitalization of $2.9 trillion.\nThe S&P 500 was up 27.6% during the same time period, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq has gained 23.1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696943332,"gmtCreate":1640609656289,"gmtModify":1640609656931,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696943332","repostId":"2194051471","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3874,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":696943952,"gmtCreate":1640609649463,"gmtModify":1640609650111,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy","listText":"Buy","text":"Buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/696943952","repostId":"2194051471","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2796,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698700794,"gmtCreate":1640521643730,"gmtModify":1640521644364,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698700794","repostId":"2194174808","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698700436,"gmtCreate":1640521637667,"gmtModify":1640521638294,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lijed","listText":"Lijed","text":"Lijed","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698700436","repostId":"2194174808","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698700349,"gmtCreate":1640521523176,"gmtModify":1640521523832,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Liked","listText":"Liked","text":"Liked","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698700349","repostId":"1123414772","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1123414772","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640483546,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123414772?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-26 09:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why It’s Not the Time to Buy the Dip on Upstart<blockquote>为什么现在不是逢低买入Upstart的时候</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123414772","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Upstart (UPST)as a concept is extraordinary in my eyes because it assigns credit ratings with a much","content":"<p><div> Upstart (UPST)as a concept is extraordinary in my eyes because it assigns credit ratings with a much more forward-looking approach than traditional loan facilitators do. Furthermore, the AI used by ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在我看来，Upstart(UPST)作为一个概念是非同寻常的，因为它以比传统贷款服务商更具前瞻性的方法来分配信用评级。此外，使用的人工智能...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-upstart-why-its-not-the-time-to-buy-the-dip/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-upstart-why-its-not-the-time-to-buy-the-dip/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why It’s Not the Time to Buy the Dip on Upstart<blockquote>为什么现在不是逢低买入Upstart的时候</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy It’s Not the Time to Buy the Dip on Upstart<blockquote>为什么现在不是逢低买入Upstart的时候</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-26 09:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Upstart (UPST)as a concept is extraordinary in my eyes because it assigns credit ratings with a much more forward-looking approach than traditional loan facilitators do. Furthermore, the AI used by ...</p><p><blockquote><div>在我看来，Upstart(UPST)作为一个概念是非同寻常的，因为它以比传统贷款服务商更具前瞻性的方法来分配信用评级。此外，使用的人工智能...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-upstart-why-its-not-the-time-to-buy-the-dip/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-upstart-why-its-not-the-time-to-buy-the-dip/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-upstart-why-its-not-the-time-to-buy-the-dip/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-upstart-why-its-not-the-time-to-buy-the-dip/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123414772","content_text":"Upstart (UPST)as a concept is extraordinary in my eyes because it assigns credit ratings with a much more forward-looking approach than traditional loan facilitators do. Furthermore, the AI used by the firm is flawless, with speed and accuracy being the name of the game.\nHowever, as an investor, it’s critical to remind yourself that you’re investing in a stock and not only the company’s concept, which means that we need to determine whether its potential is priced-in or not.\nNext year’s market climate will be much different than it’s been the past 2-years. I, for one, expect a more price-efficient market, which means that investors will need to start distinguishing good companies from undervalued stock prices if they’re to realize gains.\nUPST stock could be a prime example of how a good company doesn’t always translate into a good stock.\nUPST stock Won’t Benefit From the Cyclical Trade\nMost of you would’ve heard about the rate hike buzz by now and how that will stimulate banking stocks. The theory behind this is that if the U.S. Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the debt market will be more lucrative to originators as the spreads they’d be able to charge on loans will increase.\nUpstart won’t necessarily benefit from this climate as it’s considered a hybrid between an advertising platform and a brokerage rather than a lender. This means that its revenue will actually decrease with higher rates because the transactional volume will likely taper off slightly as soon as rates rise.\nFurther to the above, Upstart is a growth stock rather than a value play. Rising interest rates in 2022 could be detrimental to growth stocks as it tends to flatline their exponential earnings growth curve.\nUpstart’s revenue and EBITDA surged over the past year, coming in at187.56% and 447.28%respectively; these figures will likely diminish over the coming year, and I can’t help but think that the stock’s recent drawdown has been the market’s way of pricing in the expected decline in growth for next year.\nA final matter to mention regarding cyclicality isJ.P. Morgan’s recent neutral rating on the stock, with analyst James Faucette using a similar argument to mine in claiming that the stock’s growth has been priced in for now. Faucette thinks that Upstart’s relationship with its investors has enabled it to perform well in 2021, but the current market climate won’t allow that to sustain itself.\nValuation & Momentum\nLet’s start with the latter to provide context to the valuation argument. Upstart’s relative strength index (RSI) is below30, indicating that the stock has been oversold, but this doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s a “buy the dip opportunity.”\nFor this to really be a buy low, sell high opportunity, we’d need to see an uptick in volume and a sign that the stock’s going to breach its moving averages; as of now UPST stock possesses neither of these attributes, and I believe that it’s due to a valuation issue.\nHere’s the big valuation problem; by comparing Upstart stock to its sector peers, it can be observed through price-sales and price-cash flow premiums of3.47x and 4.46xthat investors have gotten ahead of themselves. Adding to this is the argument that the stock could be the victim of a cyclical downturn, meaning that these ratios could play a key role in investor sell-offs moving forward.\nWhat now for UPST stock?\nA few investors are likely to buy into the recent dip, but I don’t think it will prevent a further downward trajectory. UPST stock has a massive valuation issue induced by over-optimism from investors during a pent-up broader market.\nFurthermore, the market’s set for a cyclical swing as monetary policy changes are en route, and Upstart stock’s characteristics mean that it could be a victim of such policies instead of being a beneficiary.\nThe bottom line is that the stock isn’t worth the risk right now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UPST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":698876409,"gmtCreate":1640354431308,"gmtModify":1640354431980,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/698876409","repostId":"1125638714","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1125638714","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640328863,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125638714?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-24 14:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla to pull plug on letting drivers play video games after federal investigation<blockquote>联邦调查后特斯拉将停止让司机玩电子游戏</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125638714","media":"CNN Business","summary":"New York (CNN Business)Tesla reversed course Thursday and will no longer allow video games to be pla","content":"<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla reversed course Thursday and will no longer allow video games to be played on its cars' touchscreens when they are in motion, bowing to an investigation of the feature by federal safety regulators.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）特斯拉周四改变了方针，将不再允许在汽车行驶时在触摸屏上玩视频游戏，屈服于联邦安全监管机构对该功能的调查。</blockquote></p><p> \"Following the opening of a preliminary evaluation of Tesla's 'Passenger Play,' Tesla informed the agency that it is changing the functionality of this feature,\" said a statement from a National Highway Traffic Safety Administration spokesperson late Thursday. \"In a new software update, 'Passenger Play' will now be locked and unusable when the vehicle is in motion.\"</p><p><blockquote>美国国家公路交通安全管理局发言人周四晚些时候发表声明称：“在对特斯拉的‘乘客游戏’进行初步评估后，特斯拉通知该机构，它正在改变该功能的功能。”“在新的软件更新中，当车辆行驶时，‘Passenger Play’现在将被锁定且无法使用。”</blockquote></p><p> The documentation for the investigation, disclosed Wednesday by the NHTSA, said the feature, known as \"Passenger Play,\" has been available to drivers since December 2020. The games appear on the large touchscreen in the center of the dashboard. While the name suggests it is intended to be played by passengers, nothing prevented drivers from playing while the car is being driven, according to the documentation associated with the investigation.</p><p><blockquote>NHTSA周三披露的调查文件称，这项名为“乘客游戏”的功能自2020年12月以来一直向司机开放。游戏出现在仪表板中央的大触摸屏上。根据与调查相关的文件，虽然这个名字表明它是供乘客玩的，但没有什么能阻止司机在汽车行驶时玩。</blockquote></p><p> Prior to December 2020, gameplay was enabled only when the vehicle was in park, the NHTSA investigation document said. Even if the game is being played by a passenger and not the driver, it \"may distract the driver and increase the risk of a crash,\" according to NHTSA.</p><p><blockquote>NHTSA的调查文件称，在2020年12月之前，只有当车辆停放时才能启用游戏。NHTSA表示，即使玩游戏的是乘客而不是司机，它“也可能会分散司机的注意力，增加撞车的风险”。</blockquote></p><p> The agency's investigation generated widespread media coverage on Thursday ahead of Tesla's agreement to change the games' settings.</p><p><blockquote>周四，在特斯拉同意改变奥运会设置之前，该机构的调查引起了媒体的广泛报道。</blockquote></p><p> \"NHTSA constantly assesses how manufacturers identify and safeguard against distraction hazards that may arise due to faults, misuse, or intended use of convenience technologies, including infotainment screens,\" the agency said.</p><p><blockquote>该机构表示：“NHTSA不断评估制造商如何识别和防范因故障、误用或故意使用便利技术（包括信息娱乐屏幕）而可能出现的分心危险。”</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has been pushing the envelope in providing driver assist features that allow its cars to slow down, speed up, and even change lanes without active participation from the driver.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉一直在挑战极限，提供驾驶员辅助功能，允许其汽车在没有驾驶员积极参与的情况下减速、加速，甚至变道。</blockquote></p><p> The company cautions that drivers using such features, known as \"Autopilot\" and \"FSD,\" for full-self driving, must stay alert and keep their hands on the wheel. But Tesla has been criticized for making it easier for drivers to not pay attention, as well as for a number of crashes involving cars in Autopilot mode.</p><p><blockquote>该公司警告说，使用这些被称为“Autopilot”和“FSD”的功能进行全自动驾驶的驾驶员必须保持警惕，并将手放在方向盘上。但特斯拉因让驾驶员更容易注意力不集中以及多起涉及自动驾驶模式下汽车的事故而受到批评。</blockquote></p><p> The NHTSA is currently investigating Tesla for at least 11 accidents involving cars using its Autopilot or other self-driving features that collided with emergency vehicles when coming upon the scene of an earlier crash. Those 11 accidents were responsible for 17 injuries and one death, according to the agency.</p><p><blockquote>NHTSA目前正在调查特斯拉至少11起事故，这些事故涉及使用Autopilot或其他自动驾驶功能的汽车在到达之前的事故现场时与紧急车辆相撞。据该机构称，这11起事故造成17人受伤、1人死亡。</blockquote></p><p> US regulators are highlighting distracted driving as a major safety hazard on American roads. NHTSA estimates that 3,142 people were killed in accidents involving distracted drivers in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>美国监管机构强调分心驾驶是美国道路上的一个主要安全隐患。NHTSA估计，2019年有3142人死于涉及分心驾驶员的事故。</blockquote></p><p> The Passenger Play probe started following a complaint filed in November by an unidentified Tesla owner. The complaint said that the feature allows video game play and web browsing while the car is being driven.</p><p><blockquote>乘客玩耍调查是在一位身份不明的特斯拉车主于11月提出投诉后开始的。投诉称，该功能允许在汽车行驶时玩视频游戏和浏览网页。</blockquote></p><p> \"The video games are allegedly restricted only to passengers. Web browsing is available to anyone at any time,\" said the complaint. \"Why is a manufacturer allowed to create an inherently distracting live video which takes over 2/3 of the screen which the driver relies on for all vehicle information? NHTSA needs to prohibit all live video in the front seat and all live interactive web browsing while the car is in motion. Creating a dangerous distraction for the driver is recklessly negligent.\"</p><p><blockquote>“据称，视频游戏仅限于乘客。任何人都可以在任何时候浏览网页，”诉状称。“为什么允许制造商创建一个本质上分散注意力的实时视频，该视频占据了驾驶员获取所有车辆信息所依赖的屏幕的2/3以上？NHTSA需要禁止前座的所有实时视频和所有实时交互式网络浏览当汽车行驶时。给司机造成危险的分心是鲁莽的疏忽。”</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA), which rarely responds to questions from the media, did not respond to a request for comment on the probe or the video game feature.</p><p><blockquote>很少回应媒体提问的特斯拉（TSLA）没有回应对调查或视频游戏功能发表评论的请求。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla to pull plug on letting drivers play video games after federal investigation<blockquote>联邦调查后特斯拉将停止让司机玩电子游戏</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla to pull plug on letting drivers play video games after federal investigation<blockquote>联邦调查后特斯拉将停止让司机玩电子游戏</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-24 14:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New York (CNN Business)Tesla reversed course Thursday and will no longer allow video games to be played on its cars' touchscreens when they are in motion, bowing to an investigation of the feature by federal safety regulators.</p><p><blockquote>纽约（CNN商业）特斯拉周四改变了方针，将不再允许在汽车行驶时在触摸屏上玩视频游戏，屈服于联邦安全监管机构对该功能的调查。</blockquote></p><p> \"Following the opening of a preliminary evaluation of Tesla's 'Passenger Play,' Tesla informed the agency that it is changing the functionality of this feature,\" said a statement from a National Highway Traffic Safety Administration spokesperson late Thursday. \"In a new software update, 'Passenger Play' will now be locked and unusable when the vehicle is in motion.\"</p><p><blockquote>美国国家公路交通安全管理局发言人周四晚些时候发表声明称：“在对特斯拉的‘乘客游戏’进行初步评估后，特斯拉通知该机构，它正在改变该功能的功能。”“在新的软件更新中，当车辆行驶时，‘Passenger Play’现在将被锁定且无法使用。”</blockquote></p><p> The documentation for the investigation, disclosed Wednesday by the NHTSA, said the feature, known as \"Passenger Play,\" has been available to drivers since December 2020. The games appear on the large touchscreen in the center of the dashboard. While the name suggests it is intended to be played by passengers, nothing prevented drivers from playing while the car is being driven, according to the documentation associated with the investigation.</p><p><blockquote>NHTSA周三披露的调查文件称，这项名为“乘客游戏”的功能自2020年12月以来一直向司机开放。游戏出现在仪表板中央的大触摸屏上。根据与调查相关的文件，虽然这个名字表明它是供乘客玩的，但没有什么能阻止司机在汽车行驶时玩。</blockquote></p><p> Prior to December 2020, gameplay was enabled only when the vehicle was in park, the NHTSA investigation document said. Even if the game is being played by a passenger and not the driver, it \"may distract the driver and increase the risk of a crash,\" according to NHTSA.</p><p><blockquote>NHTSA的调查文件称，在2020年12月之前，只有当车辆停放时才能启用游戏。NHTSA表示，即使玩游戏的是乘客而不是司机，它“也可能会分散司机的注意力，增加撞车的风险”。</blockquote></p><p> The agency's investigation generated widespread media coverage on Thursday ahead of Tesla's agreement to change the games' settings.</p><p><blockquote>周四，在特斯拉同意改变奥运会设置之前，该机构的调查引起了媒体的广泛报道。</blockquote></p><p> \"NHTSA constantly assesses how manufacturers identify and safeguard against distraction hazards that may arise due to faults, misuse, or intended use of convenience technologies, including infotainment screens,\" the agency said.</p><p><blockquote>该机构表示：“NHTSA不断评估制造商如何识别和防范因故障、误用或故意使用便利技术（包括信息娱乐屏幕）而可能出现的分心危险。”</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has been pushing the envelope in providing driver assist features that allow its cars to slow down, speed up, and even change lanes without active participation from the driver.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉一直在挑战极限，提供驾驶员辅助功能，允许其汽车在没有驾驶员积极参与的情况下减速、加速，甚至变道。</blockquote></p><p> The company cautions that drivers using such features, known as \"Autopilot\" and \"FSD,\" for full-self driving, must stay alert and keep their hands on the wheel. But Tesla has been criticized for making it easier for drivers to not pay attention, as well as for a number of crashes involving cars in Autopilot mode.</p><p><blockquote>该公司警告说，使用这些被称为“Autopilot”和“FSD”的功能进行全自动驾驶的驾驶员必须保持警惕，并将手放在方向盘上。但特斯拉因让驾驶员更容易注意力不集中以及多起涉及自动驾驶模式下汽车的事故而受到批评。</blockquote></p><p> The NHTSA is currently investigating Tesla for at least 11 accidents involving cars using its Autopilot or other self-driving features that collided with emergency vehicles when coming upon the scene of an earlier crash. Those 11 accidents were responsible for 17 injuries and one death, according to the agency.</p><p><blockquote>NHTSA目前正在调查特斯拉至少11起事故，这些事故涉及使用Autopilot或其他自动驾驶功能的汽车在到达之前的事故现场时与紧急车辆相撞。据该机构称，这11起事故造成17人受伤、1人死亡。</blockquote></p><p> US regulators are highlighting distracted driving as a major safety hazard on American roads. NHTSA estimates that 3,142 people were killed in accidents involving distracted drivers in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>美国监管机构强调分心驾驶是美国道路上的一个主要安全隐患。NHTSA估计，2019年有3142人死于涉及分心驾驶员的事故。</blockquote></p><p> The Passenger Play probe started following a complaint filed in November by an unidentified Tesla owner. The complaint said that the feature allows video game play and web browsing while the car is being driven.</p><p><blockquote>乘客玩耍调查是在一位身份不明的特斯拉车主于11月提出投诉后开始的。投诉称，该功能允许在汽车行驶时玩视频游戏和浏览网页。</blockquote></p><p> \"The video games are allegedly restricted only to passengers. Web browsing is available to anyone at any time,\" said the complaint. \"Why is a manufacturer allowed to create an inherently distracting live video which takes over 2/3 of the screen which the driver relies on for all vehicle information? NHTSA needs to prohibit all live video in the front seat and all live interactive web browsing while the car is in motion. Creating a dangerous distraction for the driver is recklessly negligent.\"</p><p><blockquote>“据称，视频游戏仅限于乘客。任何人都可以在任何时候浏览网页，”诉状称。“为什么允许制造商创建一个本质上分散注意力的实时视频，该视频占据了驾驶员获取所有车辆信息所依赖的屏幕的2/3以上？NHTSA需要禁止前座的所有实时视频和所有实时交互式网络浏览当汽车行驶时。给司机造成危险的分心是鲁莽的疏忽。”</blockquote></p><p> Tesla (TSLA), which rarely responds to questions from the media, did not respond to a request for comment on the probe or the video game feature.</p><p><blockquote>很少回应媒体提问的特斯拉（TSLA）没有回应对调查或视频游戏功能发表评论的请求。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/12/23/tech/tesla-safety-probe-drivers-play-video-games/index.html\">CNN Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/12/23/tech/tesla-safety-probe-drivers-play-video-games/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125638714","content_text":"New York (CNN Business)Tesla reversed course Thursday and will no longer allow video games to be played on its cars' touchscreens when they are in motion, bowing to an investigation of the feature by federal safety regulators.\n\"Following the opening of a preliminary evaluation of Tesla's 'Passenger Play,' Tesla informed the agency that it is changing the functionality of this feature,\" said a statement from a National Highway Traffic Safety Administration spokesperson late Thursday. \"In a new software update, 'Passenger Play' will now be locked and unusable when the vehicle is in motion.\"\nThe documentation for the investigation, disclosed Wednesday by the NHTSA, said the feature, known as \"Passenger Play,\" has been available to drivers since December 2020. The games appear on the large touchscreen in the center of the dashboard. While the name suggests it is intended to be played by passengers, nothing prevented drivers from playing while the car is being driven, according to the documentation associated with the investigation.\nPrior to December 2020, gameplay was enabled only when the vehicle was in park, the NHTSA investigation document said. Even if the game is being played by a passenger and not the driver, it \"may distract the driver and increase the risk of a crash,\" according to NHTSA.\nThe agency's investigation generated widespread media coverage on Thursday ahead of Tesla's agreement to change the games' settings.\n\"NHTSA constantly assesses how manufacturers identify and safeguard against distraction hazards that may arise due to faults, misuse, or intended use of convenience technologies, including infotainment screens,\" the agency said.\nTesla has been pushing the envelope in providing driver assist features that allow its cars to slow down, speed up, and even change lanes without active participation from the driver.\nThe company cautions that drivers using such features, known as \"Autopilot\" and \"FSD,\" for full-self driving, must stay alert and keep their hands on the wheel. But Tesla has been criticized for making it easier for drivers to not pay attention, as well as for a number of crashes involving cars in Autopilot mode.\nThe NHTSA is currently investigating Tesla for at least 11 accidents involving cars using its Autopilot or other self-driving features that collided with emergency vehicles when coming upon the scene of an earlier crash. Those 11 accidents were responsible for 17 injuries and one death, according to the agency.\nUS regulators are highlighting distracted driving as a major safety hazard on American roads. NHTSA estimates that 3,142 people were killed in accidents involving distracted drivers in 2019.\nThe Passenger Play probe started following a complaint filed in November by an unidentified Tesla owner. The complaint said that the feature allows video game play and web browsing while the car is being driven.\n\"The video games are allegedly restricted only to passengers. Web browsing is available to anyone at any time,\" said the complaint. \"Why is a manufacturer allowed to create an inherently distracting live video which takes over 2/3 of the screen which the driver relies on for all vehicle information? NHTSA needs to prohibit all live video in the front seat and all live interactive web browsing while the car is in motion. Creating a dangerous distraction for the driver is recklessly negligent.\"\nTesla (TSLA), which rarely responds to questions from the media, did not respond to a request for comment on the probe or the video game feature.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691349857,"gmtCreate":1640141043394,"gmtModify":1640141044017,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!!!","listText":"To the moon!!!","text":"To the moon!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691349857","repostId":"1122685744","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122685744","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640139942,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122685744?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-22 10:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Tesla Stock Jumped on Tuesday<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价周二上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122685744","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"What happened\nShares of Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)jumped on Tuesday, rising 4.29% today.\nThe stock's gain wa","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)jumped on Tuesday, rising 4.29% today.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）周二跳涨，今日涨4.29%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock's gain was likely primarily driven by an upbeat day in the overall market -- especially for&nbsp;growth stocks&nbsp;like Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>该股的上涨可能主要是由整体市场乐观的一天推动的，尤其是像特斯拉这样的成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> Capturing optimism in the overall market on Tuesday, the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;was up 1.78% today. The tech-heavy&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>, however, was up 2.4%. Many growth stocks like Tesla were up several percentage points or more, rebounding some from a sharp sell-off earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>抓住周二整体市场的乐观情绪，<b>标普500</b>今天上涨1.78%。科技含量高<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>然而，上涨了2.4%。特斯拉等许多成长型股票上涨了几个百分点或更多，其中一些股票从本月早些时候的大幅抛售中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock's gain today represents a bit of a rebound from a steep sell-off recently. Even including today's gain, the stock has slid 25% from a high of more than $1,243 just a few months ago.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票今天的上涨代表着从最近的大幅抛售中有所反弹。即使算上今天的涨幅，该股也已较几个月前超过1,243美元的高点下跌了25%。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> As the year wraps up, Tesla investors have the company's&nbsp;fourth-quarter vehicle deliveries&nbsp;to look forward to. While the challenging global supply chain and logistics environment that Tesla is operating in makes it difficult to forecast the quarter, analysts are expecting record deliveries during the period. But a wide range of outcomes are possible.</p><p><blockquote>随着今年的结束，特斯拉投资者对该公司第四季度的汽车交付量充满期待。尽管特斯拉运营所处的全球供应链和物流环境充满挑战，因此很难预测本季度，但分析师预计在此期间的交付量将创历史新高。但是各种各样的结果都是可能的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered 241,391 vehicles in its third quarter, representing 73% year-over-year growth. For the current quarter, analysts generally expect 260,000 or more deliveries. This would put total deliveries for the year at over 887,000 -- far higher than the 500,000 vehicles the company delivered in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第三季度交付了241,391辆汽车，同比增长73%。对于本季度，分析师普遍预计交付量为26万辆或更多。这将使今年的总交付量超过887,000辆，远高于该公司2020年交付的500,000辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> The company usually posts its quarterly deliveries within three calendar days of each quarter's end, or somewhere around Jan. 1 to Jan. 3 for Tesla's Q4.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通常在每个季度结束后的三个日历日内公布季度交付情况，或者特斯拉第四季度在1月1日至1月3日左右公布季度交付情况。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Tesla Stock Jumped on Tuesday<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价周二上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Tesla Stock Jumped on Tuesday<blockquote>为什么特斯拉股价周二上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-22 10:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)jumped on Tuesday, rising 4.29% today.</p><p><blockquote>本公司之股份<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）周二跳涨，今日涨4.29%。</blockquote></p><p> The stock's gain was likely primarily driven by an upbeat day in the overall market -- especially for&nbsp;growth stocks&nbsp;like Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>该股的上涨可能主要是由整体市场乐观的一天推动的，尤其是像特斯拉这样的成长型股票。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> Capturing optimism in the overall market on Tuesday, the&nbsp;<b>S&amp;P 500</b>&nbsp;was up 1.78% today. The tech-heavy&nbsp;<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>, however, was up 2.4%. Many growth stocks like Tesla were up several percentage points or more, rebounding some from a sharp sell-off earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>抓住周二整体市场的乐观情绪，<b>标普500</b>今天上涨1.78%。科技含量高<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>然而，上涨了2.4%。特斯拉等许多成长型股票上涨了几个百分点或更多，其中一些股票从本月早些时候的大幅抛售中反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock's gain today represents a bit of a rebound from a steep sell-off recently. Even including today's gain, the stock has slid 25% from a high of more than $1,243 just a few months ago.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股票今天的上涨代表着从最近的大幅抛售中有所反弹。即使算上今天的涨幅，该股也已较几个月前超过1,243美元的高点下跌了25%。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> As the year wraps up, Tesla investors have the company's&nbsp;fourth-quarter vehicle deliveries&nbsp;to look forward to. While the challenging global supply chain and logistics environment that Tesla is operating in makes it difficult to forecast the quarter, analysts are expecting record deliveries during the period. But a wide range of outcomes are possible.</p><p><blockquote>随着今年的结束，特斯拉投资者对该公司第四季度的汽车交付量充满期待。尽管特斯拉运营所处的全球供应链和物流环境充满挑战，因此很难预测本季度，但分析师预计在此期间的交付量将创历史新高。但是各种各样的结果都是可能的。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered 241,391 vehicles in its third quarter, representing 73% year-over-year growth. For the current quarter, analysts generally expect 260,000 or more deliveries. This would put total deliveries for the year at over 887,000 -- far higher than the 500,000 vehicles the company delivered in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第三季度交付了241,391辆汽车，同比增长73%。对于本季度，分析师普遍预计交付量为26万辆或更多。这将使今年的总交付量超过887,000辆，远高于该公司2020年交付的500,000辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> The company usually posts its quarterly deliveries within three calendar days of each quarter's end, or somewhere around Jan. 1 to Jan. 3 for Tesla's Q4.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通常在每个季度结束后的三个日历日内公布季度交付情况，或者特斯拉第四季度在1月1日至1月3日左右公布季度交付情况。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/why-tesla-stock-jumped-on-tuesday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/21/why-tesla-stock-jumped-on-tuesday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122685744","content_text":"What happened\nShares of Tesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)jumped on Tuesday, rising 4.29% today.\nThe stock's gain was likely primarily driven by an upbeat day in the overall market -- especially for growth stocks like Tesla.\nSo what\nCapturing optimism in the overall market on Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 1.78% today. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, however, was up 2.4%. Many growth stocks like Tesla were up several percentage points or more, rebounding some from a sharp sell-off earlier this month.\nTesla stock's gain today represents a bit of a rebound from a steep sell-off recently. Even including today's gain, the stock has slid 25% from a high of more than $1,243 just a few months ago.\nNow what\nAs the year wraps up, Tesla investors have the company's fourth-quarter vehicle deliveries to look forward to. While the challenging global supply chain and logistics environment that Tesla is operating in makes it difficult to forecast the quarter, analysts are expecting record deliveries during the period. But a wide range of outcomes are possible.\nTesla delivered 241,391 vehicles in its third quarter, representing 73% year-over-year growth. For the current quarter, analysts generally expect 260,000 or more deliveries. This would put total deliveries for the year at over 887,000 -- far higher than the 500,000 vehicles the company delivered in 2020.\nThe company usually posts its quarterly deliveries within three calendar days of each quarter's end, or somewhere around Jan. 1 to Jan. 3 for Tesla's Q4.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1021,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693799882,"gmtCreate":1640074186071,"gmtModify":1640074186644,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gg","listText":"Gg","text":"Gg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693799882","repostId":"1181908837","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181908837","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640063718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181908837?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 13:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited：谨防增长的幻想</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181908837","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - ","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Sea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.</li>  <li>The uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.</li>  <li>The e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.</li>  <li>The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.</li>  <li>Analysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.</li> </ul> Investment thesis</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited一直是最受欢迎的流行病剧之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是COVID-19措施的主要受益者。</li><li>SE的独特性，即利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力，吸引了投资者蜂拥而至。但这些动态已经发生了变化。</li><li>由于每笔订单的GMV趋势萎缩，该电子商务部门的EBITDA在本季度变得更加负。</li><li>Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚，“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。</li><li>分析师预计未来几个季度和几年的收入增长将持续放缓。</li></ul>投资论文</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SE）一直是最受欢迎的流行病公司之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是在家学习/工作等COVID-19措施的主要受益者。SE股票在新冠疫情爆发前就已经表现稳健，涨幅超过了中国同行腾讯控股控股(OTCPK：TCEHY)(OTCPK：TCTZF)和拉丁美洲同行MercadoLibre Inc.(MELI)。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的三年里，Sea Ltd.的股价飙升了3000%以上。经过近期下跌后，SE股价仍较2018年12月底上涨超过17倍。同期，MELI股票上涨了2.8倍，而TCEHY股票仅上涨了47%。</blockquote></p><p> Strictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.</p><p><blockquote>严格来说，Sea Limited在大型互联网公司中没有对等的公司。其游戏业务利润丰厚，使其能够为严重亏损的电子商务和金融科技部门提供资金。MercadoLibre拥有拉丁美洲最大的在线商务和支付生态系统，它不将游戏视为核心业务。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股在游戏和金融科技领域实力雄厚，但其电子商务雄心主要体现在对相关公司的投资上。阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司（BABA）在电子商务和金融科技领域规模巨大，但游戏本身并不是一个有意义的部门。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited在东南亚的同行也有着不同的背景。Grab Holdings Limited(GRAB)最初是一个叫车平台，随后涉足金融科技和包括杂货在内的按需配送领域。印度尼西亚的GoTo集团（GoTo）由该国最大的两家初创公司——网约车巨头Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Sea Limited的独特性，特别是利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力，让投资者从美国远道而来，涌向这家科技公司。然而，其游戏部门Garena（该公司将其归类为数字娱乐）的增长在2021年第三季度急剧放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Although the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.</p><p><blockquote>尽管总订单和GMV指标仍显示出健康增长，但电子商务部门的EBITDA到本季度将变得更加负值。Sea Limited的调整后EBITDA总额今年已转为负值。换句话说，盈利的游戏业务已经无法抵消电子商务和数字金融服务部门不断升级的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the&nbsp;prelude&nbsp;to its IPO.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，股份薪酬继续稳步上升。该地区的竞争也在加剧，GRAB在与SPAC合并后进入公众视野，GoTo Group渴望在IPO前奏中展示稳健的增长数据。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然我的警告迟到了，SE股票较近期峰值下跌了42%，这是自上市以来的最大跌幅，但我相信未来几个月可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.</p><p><blockquote>因此，本文的目的是更深入地研究结果演示所提供的看似不完整的情况，以了解Sea Limited电子商务业务的健康状况。我还将强调随着电子商务和数字金融服务部门规模的扩大，亏损不断扩大。</blockquote></p><p> GMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story</p><p><blockquote>GMV增长仅讲述了部分（且可能是错误的）故事</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Sea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c762afa3d2ab4131c56afe6ee34fdb07\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac28723c01b836c9673b49744926e09\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的电子商务部门Shopee已成功将其总订单量从2020年第二季度的6亿份增加到2021年第三季度的17亿份，在此期间几乎增加了两倍。Shopee的商品总值(GMV)从2020年第二季度的80亿美元增加到2021年第三季度的168亿美元，增长了一倍多。虽然增长数字看起来很棒，但我们需要了解总订单数量的增长速度快于GMV。换句话说，每笔交易的价值一直在稳步下降。每笔总订单的GMV已从2020年第三季度的13.3美元降至2021年第三季度的9.9美元。我估计，如果这一趋势持续下去，2021年最后一个季度这一数字将进一步降至9.3美元左右。每个订单的较小价值可能有助于Shopee从基于交易的费用中获利。然而，从长远来看，很难看出低价值商品的日益普及如何有助于增值服务和广告收入的货币化。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>目前，Shopee仍报告了健康的货币化，GAAP收入占GMV总额的百分比从2020年第三季度的6.7%上升至8.6%。GAAP电子商务收入较去年增长134%，达到15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> To reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>为了扭转每笔订单GMV萎缩的趋势，Shopee需要销售奢侈品等更大的商品。Shopee认识到了这一点，并于一年前推出了Shopee Premium，这是Shopee上为奢侈品领域的精选品牌合作伙伴提供的一个微妙部分。</blockquote></p><p> It remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee能否充分改善用户体验，以吸引用户在其应用程序上购买奢侈品，还有待观察。根据我的经验和我从朋友那里收集的反馈，Shopee应用程序上的导航有时会令人沮丧，产品信息页面还有很多不足之处。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们还是涌向Shopee，寻找该平台上提供的超值优惠。在“闪购”期间，有很多大幅打折的商品，这已经变得越来越普遍。当Shopee不再积极促销时，如果竞争平台开始各自的活动，用户会回到Shopee吗？</blockquote></p><p> Unless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.</p><p><blockquote>除非奢侈品大幅打折，否则我质疑为什么用户会在Shopee上购买，至少根据当前的界面。话又说回来，奢侈品牌不想在Shopee或Shopee Premium上提供高额优惠来玷污自己的形象。</blockquote></p><p> A lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到处理不断增长的订单所需的更大带宽和处理工作量，每笔交易的GMV较低也意味着Shopee的运营成本可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> Losses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising</p><p><blockquote>亏损不断膨胀，股权激励不断上涨</blockquote></p><p> GAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?</p><p><blockquote>GAAP电子商务收入增长健康，甚至超过了GMV的增长。这意味着Sea Limited的Shopee正在增加其货币化。然而，一切都好吗？</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的总收入在过去几年中迅速增长，但其亏损也在增加。仅从收入成本和总运营费用来看，这些成本都在飙升，近年来呈指数级增长。如果我们只是痴迷于不惜一切代价增加销售额，那么我们就可以忽略不断升级的损失。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef17a9a9a279c55673ba39f1dd74577\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"418\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote>然而，股东们能对未来几年的暴涨亏损感到满意吗？Sea Limited预计到2021年底的亏损将比去年更大，而去年的亏损已经大大高于2019年。造成这种情况的一个主要驱动因素是数字娱乐部门无法抵消其他两个核心业务部门——电子商务和数字金融服务——的损失。这导致2021年第三季度调整后EBITDA总额降至负1.655亿美元，而去年同期为1204亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7613c5f9692fd8549e9da2f931ab3a68\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"509\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">We often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>我们经常听到熊市的说法，如果这些大流行受益者不能利用这种巨大的顺风将其规模经济转化为盈利能力，那么他们什么时候才能实现呢？尽管收入不断增长，Sea Ltd.的营业收入和净利润一直呈下降趋势。截至2021年第三季度，Sea Ltd.过去12个月的净利润达到了惊人的19.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>多头阵营可以为Sea Limited辩护，称其仍在投资用户增长和新业务。很公平。然而，股东们是否知道华尔街分析师预计Sea Ltd.的收入增长将大幅放缓？根据共识，其2021年第四季度的收入将进一步放缓至93.5%，随后几个季度将继续减速，到2023年第四季度同比增长16.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/547ca89e5de6c8d087dfbd50dd92c0d7\" tg-width=\"593\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Looking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d4ffb56269c34a8a17dfcd097375cc\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"249\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77fd8b53015b510bb1e02139cd50a625\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"325\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88fc46a02603196127dcef0701f4529\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"186\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Sea Limited的收入同比增长预计将从2021年的114.6%萎缩至明年的50.1%，到2025年底仅为8.8%。看多者可能会辩称，Sea Limited拥有超过普遍收入预期的良好记录。在作为一家上市公司公布收益的16个季度中，它只有一次失误（Q1 2021），而且是一次非常小的失误。这表明分析师对Sea Limited的预测一直较为保守，未来几个季度还有上调空间。然而，如果Sea Limited保持其极快的收入增长，而其盈利能力在未来几年没有改善为正值，分析师和股东将很难找到令人信服的理由来保持对该公司的信心。根据普遍预测，Sea Limited在2024年之前不会实现正利润。显示每股收益趋势改善的预测令人欣慰。然而，与收入增长相反，Sea Limited长期以来在满足分析师对其盈利预期方面一直面临挑战。除了一个季度外，Sea Limited所有报告的季度每股收益都出现了负面意外。在上一季度的报告中，Sea Limited的跌幅高达37.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.</p><p><blockquote>有史以来最大的失误发生在2020年3月，当时报告的每股收益比市场预期低78.9%。这意味着上述分析师对其每股收益的预测可能是乐观的，Sea Limited即使在2024年或2025年也可能无法实现正利润。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373d1efa57c3058f0cb2d6628368087f\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Hedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its&nbsp;best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.</p><p><blockquote>Hedgeye最近将Sea Limited评为其最佳创意短片。该研究公司称Sea Limited的旗舰游戏Garena Free Fire是“性能达到顶峰的一次性奇迹”。Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚，“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。限制后两个单位的随心所欲的“支出”可能会导致增长放缓，从而推翻多头阵营的论点。</blockquote></p><p> Never mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.</p><p><blockquote>管理层可能会推理，不要介意不断扩大的亏损，股东可以等待。与此同时，Sea Limited仍然慷慨地提供基于股份的薪酬[SBC]。预计2021年最后一个季度SBC将增至1.334亿美元。这比2019年第四季度仅发放的3490万美元大幅上升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de99388fbd2c5d34db0aa558e6665dbe\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company&nbsp;made&nbsp;a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Sea Limited的流通股数量较2017年增加了一倍。9月，该公司直接公开发行了1100万股美国存托股票和0.25%的可转换高级无担保票据，本金总额为25亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited当时表示，计划“将此次发行的净收益用于业务扩张和其他一般企业用途，包括潜在的战略投资和收购。”其国际扩张努力能否支持Sea Limited延续其高增长故事？在大流行库存的清算中以成本不断上升为代价？</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited：谨防增长的幻想</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited：谨防增长的幻想</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-21 13:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Sea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.</li>  <li>The uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.</li>  <li>The e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.</li>  <li>The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.</li>  <li>Analysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.</li> </ul> Investment thesis</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited一直是最受欢迎的流行病剧之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是COVID-19措施的主要受益者。</li><li>SE的独特性，即利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力，吸引了投资者蜂拥而至。但这些动态已经发生了变化。</li><li>由于每笔订单的GMV趋势萎缩，该电子商务部门的EBITDA在本季度变得更加负。</li><li>Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚，“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。</li><li>分析师预计未来几个季度和几年的收入增长将持续放缓。</li></ul>投资论文</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SE）一直是最受欢迎的流行病公司之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是在家学习/工作等COVID-19措施的主要受益者。SE股票在新冠疫情爆发前就已经表现稳健，涨幅超过了中国同行腾讯控股控股(OTCPK：TCEHY)(OTCPK：TCTZF)和拉丁美洲同行MercadoLibre Inc.(MELI)。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的三年里，Sea Ltd.的股价飙升了3000%以上。经过近期下跌后，SE股价仍较2018年12月底上涨超过17倍。同期，MELI股票上涨了2.8倍，而TCEHY股票仅上涨了47%。</blockquote></p><p> Strictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.</p><p><blockquote>严格来说，Sea Limited在大型互联网公司中没有对等的公司。其游戏业务利润丰厚，使其能够为严重亏损的电子商务和金融科技部门提供资金。MercadoLibre拥有拉丁美洲最大的在线商务和支付生态系统，它不将游戏视为核心业务。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股在游戏和金融科技领域实力雄厚，但其电子商务雄心主要体现在对相关公司的投资上。阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司（BABA）在电子商务和金融科技领域规模巨大，但游戏本身并不是一个有意义的部门。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited在东南亚的同行也有着不同的背景。Grab Holdings Limited(GRAB)最初是一个叫车平台，随后涉足金融科技和包括杂货在内的按需配送领域。印度尼西亚的GoTo集团（GoTo）由该国最大的两家初创公司——网约车巨头Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Sea Limited的独特性，特别是利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力，让投资者从美国远道而来，涌向这家科技公司。然而，其游戏部门Garena（该公司将其归类为数字娱乐）的增长在2021年第三季度急剧放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Although the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.</p><p><blockquote>尽管总订单和GMV指标仍显示出健康增长，但电子商务部门的EBITDA到本季度将变得更加负值。Sea Limited的调整后EBITDA总额今年已转为负值。换句话说，盈利的游戏业务已经无法抵消电子商务和数字金融服务部门不断升级的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the&nbsp;prelude&nbsp;to its IPO.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，股份薪酬继续稳步上升。该地区的竞争也在加剧，GRAB在与SPAC合并后进入公众视野，GoTo Group渴望在IPO前奏中展示稳健的增长数据。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然我的警告迟到了，SE股票较近期峰值下跌了42%，这是自上市以来的最大跌幅，但我相信未来几个月可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.</p><p><blockquote>因此，本文的目的是更深入地研究结果演示所提供的看似不完整的情况，以了解Sea Limited电子商务业务的健康状况。我还将强调随着电子商务和数字金融服务部门规模的扩大，亏损不断扩大。</blockquote></p><p> GMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story</p><p><blockquote>GMV增长仅讲述了部分（且可能是错误的）故事</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Sea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c762afa3d2ab4131c56afe6ee34fdb07\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac28723c01b836c9673b49744926e09\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的电子商务部门Shopee已成功将其总订单量从2020年第二季度的6亿份增加到2021年第三季度的17亿份，在此期间几乎增加了两倍。Shopee的商品总值(GMV)从2020年第二季度的80亿美元增加到2021年第三季度的168亿美元，增长了一倍多。虽然增长数字看起来很棒，但我们需要了解总订单数量的增长速度快于GMV。换句话说，每笔交易的价值一直在稳步下降。每笔总订单的GMV已从2020年第三季度的13.3美元降至2021年第三季度的9.9美元。我估计，如果这一趋势持续下去，2021年最后一个季度这一数字将进一步降至9.3美元左右。每个订单的较小价值可能有助于Shopee从基于交易的费用中获利。然而，从长远来看，很难看出低价值商品的日益普及如何有助于增值服务和广告收入的货币化。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>目前，Shopee仍报告了健康的货币化，GAAP收入占GMV总额的百分比从2020年第三季度的6.7%上升至8.6%。GAAP电子商务收入较去年增长134%，达到15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> To reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>为了扭转每笔订单GMV萎缩的趋势，Shopee需要销售奢侈品等更大的商品。Shopee认识到了这一点，并于一年前推出了Shopee Premium，这是Shopee上为奢侈品领域的精选品牌合作伙伴提供的一个微妙部分。</blockquote></p><p> It remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee能否充分改善用户体验，以吸引用户在其应用程序上购买奢侈品，还有待观察。根据我的经验和我从朋友那里收集的反馈，Shopee应用程序上的导航有时会令人沮丧，产品信息页面还有很多不足之处。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们还是涌向Shopee，寻找该平台上提供的超值优惠。在“闪购”期间，有很多大幅打折的商品，这已经变得越来越普遍。当Shopee不再积极促销时，如果竞争平台开始各自的活动，用户会回到Shopee吗？</blockquote></p><p> Unless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.</p><p><blockquote>除非奢侈品大幅打折，否则我质疑为什么用户会在Shopee上购买，至少根据当前的界面。话又说回来，奢侈品牌不想在Shopee或Shopee Premium上提供高额优惠来玷污自己的形象。</blockquote></p><p> A lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到处理不断增长的订单所需的更大带宽和处理工作量，每笔交易的GMV较低也意味着Shopee的运营成本可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> Losses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising</p><p><blockquote>亏损不断膨胀，股权激励不断上涨</blockquote></p><p> GAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?</p><p><blockquote>GAAP电子商务收入增长健康，甚至超过了GMV的增长。这意味着Sea Limited的Shopee正在增加其货币化。然而，一切都好吗？</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的总收入在过去几年中迅速增长，但其亏损也在增加。仅从收入成本和总运营费用来看，这些成本都在飙升，近年来呈指数级增长。如果我们只是痴迷于不惜一切代价增加销售额，那么我们就可以忽略不断升级的损失。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef17a9a9a279c55673ba39f1dd74577\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"418\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote>然而，股东们能对未来几年的暴涨亏损感到满意吗？Sea Limited预计到2021年底的亏损将比去年更大，而去年的亏损已经大大高于2019年。造成这种情况的一个主要驱动因素是数字娱乐部门无法抵消其他两个核心业务部门——电子商务和数字金融服务——的损失。这导致2021年第三季度调整后EBITDA总额降至负1.655亿美元，而去年同期为1204亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7613c5f9692fd8549e9da2f931ab3a68\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"509\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">We often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>我们经常听到熊市的说法，如果这些大流行受益者不能利用这种巨大的顺风将其规模经济转化为盈利能力，那么他们什么时候才能实现呢？尽管收入不断增长，Sea Ltd.的营业收入和净利润一直呈下降趋势。截至2021年第三季度，Sea Ltd.过去12个月的净利润达到了惊人的19.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>多头阵营可以为Sea Limited辩护，称其仍在投资用户增长和新业务。很公平。然而，股东们是否知道华尔街分析师预计Sea Ltd.的收入增长将大幅放缓？根据共识，其2021年第四季度的收入将进一步放缓至93.5%，随后几个季度将继续减速，到2023年第四季度同比增长16.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/547ca89e5de6c8d087dfbd50dd92c0d7\" tg-width=\"593\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Looking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d4ffb56269c34a8a17dfcd097375cc\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"249\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77fd8b53015b510bb1e02139cd50a625\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"325\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88fc46a02603196127dcef0701f4529\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"186\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Sea Limited的收入同比增长预计将从2021年的114.6%萎缩至明年的50.1%，到2025年底仅为8.8%。看多者可能会辩称，Sea Limited拥有超过普遍收入预期的良好记录。在作为一家上市公司公布收益的16个季度中，它只有一次失误（Q1 2021），而且是一次非常小的失误。这表明分析师对Sea Limited的预测一直较为保守，未来几个季度还有上调空间。然而，如果Sea Limited保持其极快的收入增长，而其盈利能力在未来几年没有改善为正值，分析师和股东将很难找到令人信服的理由来保持对该公司的信心。根据普遍预测，Sea Limited在2024年之前不会实现正利润。显示每股收益趋势改善的预测令人欣慰。然而，与收入增长相反，Sea Limited长期以来在满足分析师对其盈利预期方面一直面临挑战。除了一个季度外，Sea Limited所有报告的季度每股收益都出现了负面意外。在上一季度的报告中，Sea Limited的跌幅高达37.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.</p><p><blockquote>有史以来最大的失误发生在2020年3月，当时报告的每股收益比市场预期低78.9%。这意味着上述分析师对其每股收益的预测可能是乐观的，Sea Limited即使在2024年或2025年也可能无法实现正利润。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373d1efa57c3058f0cb2d6628368087f\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Hedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its&nbsp;best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.</p><p><blockquote>Hedgeye最近将Sea Limited评为其最佳创意短片。该研究公司称Sea Limited的旗舰游戏Garena Free Fire是“性能达到顶峰的一次性奇迹”。Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚，“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。限制后两个单位的随心所欲的“支出”可能会导致增长放缓，从而推翻多头阵营的论点。</blockquote></p><p> Never mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.</p><p><blockquote>管理层可能会推理，不要介意不断扩大的亏损，股东可以等待。与此同时，Sea Limited仍然慷慨地提供基于股份的薪酬[SBC]。预计2021年最后一个季度SBC将增至1.334亿美元。这比2019年第四季度仅发放的3490万美元大幅上升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de99388fbd2c5d34db0aa558e6665dbe\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company&nbsp;made&nbsp;a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Sea Limited的流通股数量较2017年增加了一倍。9月，该公司直接公开发行了1100万股美国存托股票和0.25%的可转换高级无担保票据，本金总额为25亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited当时表示，计划“将此次发行的净收益用于业务扩张和其他一般企业用途，包括潜在的战略投资和收购。”其国际扩张努力能否支持Sea Limited延续其高增长故事？在大流行库存的清算中以成本不断上升为代价？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475916-sea-limited-se-stock-beware-growth-illusions\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475916-sea-limited-se-stock-beware-growth-illusions","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181908837","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.\nThe uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.\nThe e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.\nThe profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.\nAnalysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.\n\nInvestment thesis\nSea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).\nOver the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.\nStrictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.\nTencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.\nSea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.\nThus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.\nAlthough the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.\nAt the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the prelude to its IPO.\nHence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.\nThus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.\nGMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story\nSea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.\nFor now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.\nTo reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.\nIt remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.\nNonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?\nUnless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.\nA lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.\nLosses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising\nGAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?\nSea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.\nHowever, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.\nWe often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.\nThe bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.\nLooking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.\nThe largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.\nHedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.\nNever mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.\nIt may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company made a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.\nSea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1198,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693799146,"gmtCreate":1640074176362,"gmtModify":1640074176966,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693799146","repostId":"1181908837","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181908837","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640063718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181908837?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-21 13:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited：谨防增长的幻想</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181908837","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nSea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - ","content":"<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Sea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.</li>  <li>The uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.</li>  <li>The e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.</li>  <li>The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.</li>  <li>Analysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.</li> </ul> Investment thesis</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited一直是最受欢迎的流行病剧之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是COVID-19措施的主要受益者。</li><li>SE的独特性，即利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力，吸引了投资者蜂拥而至。但这些动态已经发生了变化。</li><li>由于每笔订单的GMV趋势萎缩，该电子商务部门的EBITDA在本季度变得更加负。</li><li>Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚，“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。</li><li>分析师预计未来几个季度和几年的收入增长将持续放缓。</li></ul>投资论文</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SE）一直是最受欢迎的流行病公司之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是在家学习/工作等COVID-19措施的主要受益者。SE股票在新冠疫情爆发前就已经表现稳健，涨幅超过了中国同行腾讯控股控股(OTCPK：TCEHY)(OTCPK：TCTZF)和拉丁美洲同行MercadoLibre Inc.(MELI)。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的三年里，Sea Ltd.的股价飙升了3000%以上。经过近期下跌后，SE股价仍较2018年12月底上涨超过17倍。同期，MELI股票上涨了2.8倍，而TCEHY股票仅上涨了47%。</blockquote></p><p> Strictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.</p><p><blockquote>严格来说，Sea Limited在大型互联网公司中没有对等的公司。其游戏业务利润丰厚，使其能够为严重亏损的电子商务和金融科技部门提供资金。MercadoLibre拥有拉丁美洲最大的在线商务和支付生态系统，它不将游戏视为核心业务。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股在游戏和金融科技领域实力雄厚，但其电子商务雄心主要体现在对相关公司的投资上。阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司（BABA）在电子商务和金融科技领域规模巨大，但游戏本身并不是一个有意义的部门。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited在东南亚的同行也有着不同的背景。Grab Holdings Limited(GRAB)最初是一个叫车平台，随后涉足金融科技和包括杂货在内的按需配送领域。印度尼西亚的GoTo集团（GoTo）由该国最大的两家初创公司——网约车巨头Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Sea Limited的独特性，特别是利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力，让投资者从美国远道而来，涌向这家科技公司。然而，其游戏部门Garena（该公司将其归类为数字娱乐）的增长在2021年第三季度急剧放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Although the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.</p><p><blockquote>尽管总订单和GMV指标仍显示出健康增长，但电子商务部门的EBITDA到本季度将变得更加负值。Sea Limited的调整后EBITDA总额今年已转为负值。换句话说，盈利的游戏业务已经无法抵消电子商务和数字金融服务部门不断升级的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the&nbsp;prelude&nbsp;to its IPO.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，股份薪酬继续稳步上升。该地区的竞争也在加剧，GRAB在与SPAC合并后进入公众视野，GoTo Group渴望在IPO前奏中展示稳健的增长数据。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然我的警告迟到了，SE股票较近期峰值下跌了42%，这是自上市以来的最大跌幅，但我相信未来几个月可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.</p><p><blockquote>因此，本文的目的是更深入地研究结果演示所提供的看似不完整的情况，以了解Sea Limited电子商务业务的健康状况。我还将强调随着电子商务和数字金融服务部门规模的扩大，亏损不断扩大。</blockquote></p><p> GMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story</p><p><blockquote>GMV增长仅讲述了部分（且可能是错误的）故事</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Sea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c762afa3d2ab4131c56afe6ee34fdb07\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac28723c01b836c9673b49744926e09\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的电子商务部门Shopee已成功将其总订单量从2020年第二季度的6亿份增加到2021年第三季度的17亿份，在此期间几乎增加了两倍。Shopee的商品总值(GMV)从2020年第二季度的80亿美元增加到2021年第三季度的168亿美元，增长了一倍多。虽然增长数字看起来很棒，但我们需要了解总订单数量的增长速度快于GMV。换句话说，每笔交易的价值一直在稳步下降。每笔总订单的GMV已从2020年第三季度的13.3美元降至2021年第三季度的9.9美元。我估计，如果这一趋势持续下去，2021年最后一个季度这一数字将进一步降至9.3美元左右。每个订单的较小价值可能有助于Shopee从基于交易的费用中获利。然而，从长远来看，很难看出低价值商品的日益普及如何有助于增值服务和广告收入的货币化。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>目前，Shopee仍报告了健康的货币化，GAAP收入占GMV总额的百分比从2020年第三季度的6.7%上升至8.6%。GAAP电子商务收入较去年增长134%，达到15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> To reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>为了扭转每笔订单GMV萎缩的趋势，Shopee需要销售奢侈品等更大的商品。Shopee认识到了这一点，并于一年前推出了Shopee Premium，这是Shopee上为奢侈品领域的精选品牌合作伙伴提供的一个微妙部分。</blockquote></p><p> It remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee能否充分改善用户体验，以吸引用户在其应用程序上购买奢侈品，还有待观察。根据我的经验和我从朋友那里收集的反馈，Shopee应用程序上的导航有时会令人沮丧，产品信息页面还有很多不足之处。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们还是涌向Shopee，寻找该平台上提供的超值优惠。在“闪购”期间，有很多大幅打折的商品，这已经变得越来越普遍。当Shopee不再积极促销时，如果竞争平台开始各自的活动，用户会回到Shopee吗？</blockquote></p><p> Unless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.</p><p><blockquote>除非奢侈品大幅打折，否则我质疑为什么用户会在Shopee上购买，至少根据当前的界面。话又说回来，奢侈品牌不想在Shopee或Shopee Premium上提供高额优惠来玷污自己的形象。</blockquote></p><p> A lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到处理不断增长的订单所需的更大带宽和处理工作量，每笔交易的GMV较低也意味着Shopee的运营成本可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> Losses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising</p><p><blockquote>亏损不断膨胀，股权激励不断上涨</blockquote></p><p> GAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?</p><p><blockquote>GAAP电子商务收入增长健康，甚至超过了GMV的增长。这意味着Sea Limited的Shopee正在增加其货币化。然而，一切都好吗？</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的总收入在过去几年中迅速增长，但其亏损也在增加。仅从收入成本和总运营费用来看，这些成本都在飙升，近年来呈指数级增长。如果我们只是痴迷于不惜一切代价增加销售额，那么我们就可以忽略不断升级的损失。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef17a9a9a279c55673ba39f1dd74577\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"418\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote>然而，股东们能对未来几年的暴涨亏损感到满意吗？Sea Limited预计到2021年底的亏损将比去年更大，而去年的亏损已经大大高于2019年。造成这种情况的一个主要驱动因素是数字娱乐部门无法抵消其他两个核心业务部门——电子商务和数字金融服务——的损失。这导致2021年第三季度调整后EBITDA总额降至负1.655亿美元，而去年同期为1204亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7613c5f9692fd8549e9da2f931ab3a68\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"509\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">We often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>我们经常听到熊市的说法，如果这些大流行受益者不能利用这种巨大的顺风将其规模经济转化为盈利能力，那么他们什么时候才能实现呢？尽管收入不断增长，Sea Ltd.的营业收入和净利润一直呈下降趋势。截至2021年第三季度，Sea Ltd.过去12个月的净利润达到了惊人的19.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>多头阵营可以为Sea Limited辩护，称其仍在投资用户增长和新业务。很公平。然而，股东们是否知道华尔街分析师预计Sea Ltd.的收入增长将大幅放缓？根据共识，其2021年第四季度的收入将进一步放缓至93.5%，随后几个季度将继续减速，到2023年第四季度同比增长16.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/547ca89e5de6c8d087dfbd50dd92c0d7\" tg-width=\"593\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Looking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d4ffb56269c34a8a17dfcd097375cc\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"249\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77fd8b53015b510bb1e02139cd50a625\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"325\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88fc46a02603196127dcef0701f4529\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"186\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Sea Limited的收入同比增长预计将从2021年的114.6%萎缩至明年的50.1%，到2025年底仅为8.8%。看多者可能会辩称，Sea Limited拥有超过普遍收入预期的良好记录。在作为一家上市公司公布收益的16个季度中，它只有一次失误（Q1 2021），而且是一次非常小的失误。这表明分析师对Sea Limited的预测一直较为保守，未来几个季度还有上调空间。然而，如果Sea Limited保持其极快的收入增长，而其盈利能力在未来几年没有改善为正值，分析师和股东将很难找到令人信服的理由来保持对该公司的信心。根据普遍预测，Sea Limited在2024年之前不会实现正利润。显示每股收益趋势改善的预测令人欣慰。然而，与收入增长相反，Sea Limited长期以来在满足分析师对其盈利预期方面一直面临挑战。除了一个季度外，Sea Limited所有报告的季度每股收益都出现了负面意外。在上一季度的报告中，Sea Limited的跌幅高达37.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.</p><p><blockquote>有史以来最大的失误发生在2020年3月，当时报告的每股收益比市场预期低78.9%。这意味着上述分析师对其每股收益的预测可能是乐观的，Sea Limited即使在2024年或2025年也可能无法实现正利润。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373d1efa57c3058f0cb2d6628368087f\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Hedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its&nbsp;best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.</p><p><blockquote>Hedgeye最近将Sea Limited评为其最佳创意短片。该研究公司称Sea Limited的旗舰游戏Garena Free Fire是“性能达到顶峰的一次性奇迹”。Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚，“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。限制后两个单位的随心所欲的“支出”可能会导致增长放缓，从而推翻多头阵营的论点。</blockquote></p><p> Never mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.</p><p><blockquote>管理层可能会推理，不要介意不断扩大的亏损，股东可以等待。与此同时，Sea Limited仍然慷慨地提供基于股份的薪酬[SBC]。预计2021年最后一个季度SBC将增至1.334亿美元。这比2019年第四季度仅发放的3490万美元大幅上升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de99388fbd2c5d34db0aa558e6665dbe\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company&nbsp;made&nbsp;a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Sea Limited的流通股数量较2017年增加了一倍。9月，该公司直接公开发行了1100万股美国存托股票和0.25%的可转换高级无担保票据，本金总额为25亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited当时表示，计划“将此次发行的净收益用于业务扩张和其他一般企业用途，包括潜在的战略投资和收购。”其国际扩张努力能否支持Sea Limited延续其高增长故事？在大流行库存的清算中以成本不断上升为代价？</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Sea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited：谨防增长的幻想</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Limited: Beware The Illusions Of Growth<blockquote>Sea Limited：谨防增长的幻想</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-21 13:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summary</p><p><blockquote>总结</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Sea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.</li>  <li>The uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.</li>  <li>The e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.</li>  <li>The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.</li>  <li>Analysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.</li> </ul> Investment thesis</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Sea Limited一直是最受欢迎的流行病剧之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是COVID-19措施的主要受益者。</li><li>SE的独特性，即利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力，吸引了投资者蜂拥而至。但这些动态已经发生了变化。</li><li>由于每笔订单的GMV趋势萎缩，该电子商务部门的EBITDA在本季度变得更加负。</li><li>Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚，“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。</li><li>分析师预计未来几个季度和几年的收入增长将持续放缓。</li></ul>投资论文</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SE）一直是最受欢迎的流行病公司之一。它的两个引擎——游戏和电子商务——都是在家学习/工作等COVID-19措施的主要受益者。SE股票在新冠疫情爆发前就已经表现稳健，涨幅超过了中国同行腾讯控股控股(OTCPK：TCEHY)(OTCPK：TCTZF)和拉丁美洲同行MercadoLibre Inc.(MELI)。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的三年里，Sea Ltd.的股价飙升了3000%以上。经过近期下跌后，SE股价仍较2018年12月底上涨超过17倍。同期，MELI股票上涨了2.8倍，而TCEHY股票仅上涨了47%。</blockquote></p><p> Strictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.</p><p><blockquote>严格来说，Sea Limited在大型互联网公司中没有对等的公司。其游戏业务利润丰厚，使其能够为严重亏损的电子商务和金融科技部门提供资金。MercadoLibre拥有拉丁美洲最大的在线商务和支付生态系统，它不将游戏视为核心业务。</blockquote></p><p> Tencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.</p><p><blockquote>腾讯控股在游戏和金融科技领域实力雄厚，但其电子商务雄心主要体现在对相关公司的投资上。阿里巴巴-SW集团控股公司（BABA）在电子商务和金融科技领域规模巨大，但游戏本身并不是一个有意义的部门。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited在东南亚的同行也有着不同的背景。Grab Holdings Limited(GRAB)最初是一个叫车平台，随后涉足金融科技和包括杂货在内的按需配送领域。印度尼西亚的GoTo集团（GoTo）由该国最大的两家初创公司——网约车巨头Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Sea Limited的独特性，特别是利用其摇钱树游戏部门发展新业务的能力，让投资者从美国远道而来，涌向这家科技公司。然而，其游戏部门Garena（该公司将其归类为数字娱乐）的增长在2021年第三季度急剧放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Although the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.</p><p><blockquote>尽管总订单和GMV指标仍显示出健康增长，但电子商务部门的EBITDA到本季度将变得更加负值。Sea Limited的调整后EBITDA总额今年已转为负值。换句话说，盈利的游戏业务已经无法抵消电子商务和数字金融服务部门不断升级的亏损。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the&nbsp;prelude&nbsp;to its IPO.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，股份薪酬继续稳步上升。该地区的竞争也在加剧，GRAB在与SPAC合并后进入公众视野，GoTo Group渴望在IPO前奏中展示稳健的增长数据。</blockquote></p><p> Hence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.</p><p><blockquote>因此，虽然我的警告迟到了，SE股票较近期峰值下跌了42%，这是自上市以来的最大跌幅，但我相信未来几个月可能会进一步下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Thus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.</p><p><blockquote>因此，本文的目的是更深入地研究结果演示所提供的看似不完整的情况，以了解Sea Limited电子商务业务的健康状况。我还将强调随着电子商务和数字金融服务部门规模的扩大，亏损不断扩大。</blockquote></p><p> GMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story</p><p><blockquote>GMV增长仅讲述了部分（且可能是错误的）故事</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Sea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c762afa3d2ab4131c56afe6ee34fdb07\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"328\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aac28723c01b836c9673b49744926e09\" tg-width=\"652\" tg-height=\"391\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的电子商务部门Shopee已成功将其总订单量从2020年第二季度的6亿份增加到2021年第三季度的17亿份，在此期间几乎增加了两倍。Shopee的商品总值(GMV)从2020年第二季度的80亿美元增加到2021年第三季度的168亿美元，增长了一倍多。虽然增长数字看起来很棒，但我们需要了解总订单数量的增长速度快于GMV。换句话说，每笔交易的价值一直在稳步下降。每笔总订单的GMV已从2020年第三季度的13.3美元降至2021年第三季度的9.9美元。我估计，如果这一趋势持续下去，2021年最后一个季度这一数字将进一步降至9.3美元左右。每个订单的较小价值可能有助于Shopee从基于交易的费用中获利。然而，从长远来看，很难看出低价值商品的日益普及如何有助于增值服务和广告收入的货币化。</blockquote></p><p> For now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>目前，Shopee仍报告了健康的货币化，GAAP收入占GMV总额的百分比从2020年第三季度的6.7%上升至8.6%。GAAP电子商务收入较去年增长134%，达到15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> To reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>为了扭转每笔订单GMV萎缩的趋势，Shopee需要销售奢侈品等更大的商品。Shopee认识到了这一点，并于一年前推出了Shopee Premium，这是Shopee上为奢侈品领域的精选品牌合作伙伴提供的一个微妙部分。</blockquote></p><p> It remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.</p><p><blockquote>Shopee能否充分改善用户体验，以吸引用户在其应用程序上购买奢侈品，还有待观察。根据我的经验和我从朋友那里收集的反馈，Shopee应用程序上的导航有时会令人沮丧，产品信息页面还有很多不足之处。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们还是涌向Shopee，寻找该平台上提供的超值优惠。在“闪购”期间，有很多大幅打折的商品，这已经变得越来越普遍。当Shopee不再积极促销时，如果竞争平台开始各自的活动，用户会回到Shopee吗？</blockquote></p><p> Unless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.</p><p><blockquote>除非奢侈品大幅打折，否则我质疑为什么用户会在Shopee上购买，至少根据当前的界面。话又说回来，奢侈品牌不想在Shopee或Shopee Premium上提供高额优惠来玷污自己的形象。</blockquote></p><p> A lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到处理不断增长的订单所需的更大带宽和处理工作量，每笔交易的GMV较低也意味着Shopee的运营成本可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p> Losses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising</p><p><blockquote>亏损不断膨胀，股权激励不断上涨</blockquote></p><p> GAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?</p><p><blockquote>GAAP电子商务收入增长健康，甚至超过了GMV的增长。这意味着Sea Limited的Shopee正在增加其货币化。然而，一切都好吗？</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited的总收入在过去几年中迅速增长，但其亏损也在增加。仅从收入成本和总运营费用来看，这些成本都在飙升，近年来呈指数级增长。如果我们只是痴迷于不惜一切代价增加销售额，那么我们就可以忽略不断升级的损失。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ef17a9a9a279c55673ba39f1dd74577\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"418\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote>然而，股东们能对未来几年的暴涨亏损感到满意吗？Sea Limited预计到2021年底的亏损将比去年更大，而去年的亏损已经大大高于2019年。造成这种情况的一个主要驱动因素是数字娱乐部门无法抵消其他两个核心业务部门——电子商务和数字金融服务——的损失。这导致2021年第三季度调整后EBITDA总额降至负1.655亿美元，而去年同期为1204亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7613c5f9692fd8549e9da2f931ab3a68\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"509\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">We often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>我们经常听到熊市的说法，如果这些大流行受益者不能利用这种巨大的顺风将其规模经济转化为盈利能力，那么他们什么时候才能实现呢？尽管收入不断增长，Sea Ltd.的营业收入和净利润一直呈下降趋势。截至2021年第三季度，Sea Ltd.过去12个月的净利润达到了惊人的19.5亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.</p><p><blockquote>多头阵营可以为Sea Limited辩护，称其仍在投资用户增长和新业务。很公平。然而，股东们是否知道华尔街分析师预计Sea Ltd.的收入增长将大幅放缓？根据共识，其2021年第四季度的收入将进一步放缓至93.5%，随后几个季度将继续减速，到2023年第四季度同比增长16.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/547ca89e5de6c8d087dfbd50dd92c0d7\" tg-width=\"593\" tg-height=\"371\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Looking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d4ffb56269c34a8a17dfcd097375cc\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"249\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77fd8b53015b510bb1e02139cd50a625\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"325\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f88fc46a02603196127dcef0701f4529\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"186\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，Sea Limited的收入同比增长预计将从2021年的114.6%萎缩至明年的50.1%，到2025年底仅为8.8%。看多者可能会辩称，Sea Limited拥有超过普遍收入预期的良好记录。在作为一家上市公司公布收益的16个季度中，它只有一次失误（Q1 2021），而且是一次非常小的失误。这表明分析师对Sea Limited的预测一直较为保守，未来几个季度还有上调空间。然而，如果Sea Limited保持其极快的收入增长，而其盈利能力在未来几年没有改善为正值，分析师和股东将很难找到令人信服的理由来保持对该公司的信心。根据普遍预测，Sea Limited在2024年之前不会实现正利润。显示每股收益趋势改善的预测令人欣慰。然而，与收入增长相反，Sea Limited长期以来在满足分析师对其盈利预期方面一直面临挑战。除了一个季度外，Sea Limited所有报告的季度每股收益都出现了负面意外。在上一季度的报告中，Sea Limited的跌幅高达37.4%。</blockquote></p><p> The largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.</p><p><blockquote>有史以来最大的失误发生在2020年3月，当时报告的每股收益比市场预期低78.9%。这意味着上述分析师对其每股收益的预测可能是乐观的，Sea Limited即使在2024年或2025年也可能无法实现正利润。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/373d1efa57c3058f0cb2d6628368087f\" tg-width=\"627\" tg-height=\"322\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Hedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its&nbsp;best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.</p><p><blockquote>Hedgeye最近将Sea Limited评为其最佳创意短片。该研究公司称Sea Limited的旗舰游戏Garena Free Fire是“性能达到顶峰的一次性奇迹”。Garena的利润已经无法弥补过去几个季度其他部门的损失。如果Garena步履蹒跚，“补贴”电子商务和金融科技部门的能力将进一步减弱。限制后两个单位的随心所欲的“支出”可能会导致增长放缓，从而推翻多头阵营的论点。</blockquote></p><p> Never mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.</p><p><blockquote>管理层可能会推理，不要介意不断扩大的亏损，股东可以等待。与此同时，Sea Limited仍然慷慨地提供基于股份的薪酬[SBC]。预计2021年最后一个季度SBC将增至1.334亿美元。这比2019年第四季度仅发放的3490万美元大幅上升。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/de99388fbd2c5d34db0aa558e6665dbe\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company&nbsp;made&nbsp;a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Sea Limited的流通股数量较2017年增加了一倍。9月，该公司直接公开发行了1100万股美国存托股票和0.25%的可转换高级无担保票据，本金总额为25亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Sea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?</p><p><blockquote>Sea Limited当时表示，计划“将此次发行的净收益用于业务扩张和其他一般企业用途，包括潜在的战略投资和收购。”其国际扩张努力能否支持Sea Limited延续其高增长故事？在大流行库存的清算中以成本不断上升为代价？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475916-sea-limited-se-stock-beware-growth-illusions\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4475916-sea-limited-se-stock-beware-growth-illusions","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181908837","content_text":"Summary\n\nSea Limited has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures.\nThe uniqueness of SE, the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to it. But these dynamics have changed.\nThe e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter amid a shrinking GMV per order trend.\nThe profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to \"subsidize\" the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further.\nAnalysts are projecting a persistent revenue growth slowdown in the coming quarters and years.\n\nInvestment thesis\nSea Limited(NYSE:SE)has been one of the top sought-after pandemic plays. Both of its two engines - gaming and e-commerce - are key beneficiaries of the COVID-19 measures such as study/work-from-home. SE stock was already a solid performer pre-COVID, with gains surpassing that of its Chinese peer, Tencent Holdings (OTCPK:TCEHY) (OTCPK:TCTZF), and Latin American peer, MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI).\nOver the past three years, Sea Ltd. has seen its share price soar more than 3000 percent. After recent declines, SE stock is still up over 17 times from late December 2018. In the same period MELI stock is up 2.8 times while TCEHY stock is up only 47 percent.\nStrictly speaking, Sea Limited doesn't have an equivalent among the large internet companies. Its gaming business is highly profitable, enabling it to fund its heavily loss-making e-commerce and fintech units. MercadoLibre hosts the largest online commerce and payments ecosystem in Latin America and it doesn't count gaming as a core business.\nTencent is big in gaming and fintech but its e-commerce ambitions are mostly manifested through its investments in related companies. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) is huge in e-commerce and fintech but gaming is not a meaningful division on its own.\nSea Limited's peers in Southeast Asia are also having different backgrounds. Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) started as a ride-hailing platform and subsequently branched into fintech and on-demand delivery including groceries. Indonesia's GoTo Group (GOTO) is formed from the merger of the two largest startups in the country - ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.\nThus, the uniqueness of Sea Limited, particularly the ability to leverage its cash cow gaming unit to grow new businesses, has seen investors flocking to this tech firm halfway around the globe from the U.S. However, the growth at its gaming unit, Garena, which the company categorizes as Digital Entertainment, registered a dramatic slowdown in the third quarter of 2021.\nAlthough the gross orders and GMV metrics are still showing healthy growth, the e-commerce unit's EBITDA is getting more negative by the quarter. The total adjusted EBITDA for Sea Limited has flipped to negative this year. In other words, the profitable gaming business is no longer able to offset the escalating losses from the e-commerce and digital financial services divisions.\nAt the same time, share-based compensation continues to rise steadily. Competition in the region is also heating up, with GRAB coming to public view following its merger with a SPAC, and GoTo Group eager to show solid growth figures in the prelude to its IPO.\nHence, while I'm late to the warning party, with the SE stock down 42 percent from its recent peak, the steepest fall since it became publicly traded, I believe there could be further downside over the months ahead.\nThus, the motivation of this article is to delve deeper into the seemingly incomplete picture provided by the results presentations to understand the health of Sea Limited's e-commerce business. I will also highlight the ballooning losses as the divisions named E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services scale up.\nGMV growth tells only a partial (and possibly erroneous) story\nSea Limited's e-commerce arm, Shopee, has successfully increased its gross orders from 0.6 billion in 2Q 2020 to 1.7 billion in 3Q 2021, nearly tripling during the interval. Shopee's gross merchandise value (GMV) more than doubled from US$8.0 billion in 2Q 2020 to US$16.8 billion in 3Q 2021.While the growth figures look all fantastic, we need to understand the gross order numbers have been increasing at a faster pace than the GMV. In other words, the value per transaction has been declining steadily. The GMV per gross order has fallen from $13.3 in Q3 2020 to $9.9 in Q3 2021. I estimated this to reduce further to around $9.3 for the final quarter of 2021 if the trend continues.A smaller value per order may help Shopee gain from transaction-based fees. However, it's hard to see how the rising prevalence of lower value items helps with monetizing value-added services and advertising revenue over the long run.\nFor now, Shopee is still reporting healthy monetization, with GAAP revenue as a percentage of total GMV rising to 8.6 percent from 6.7 percent in the third quarter of 2020. GAAP e-commerce revenue grew 134 percent from last year to reach $1.5 billion.\nTo reverse the shrinking GMV per order trend, Shopee would need to sell larger ticket items like luxury products. Shopee recognizes this and it launched Shopee Premium, a delicate section on Shopee for select brand partners in the luxury segment, a year ago.\nIt remains to be seen if Shopee can improve the user experience sufficiently to entice users to shop luxury items on its app. In its present form, based on my experience and the feedback I gathered from friends, navigation on the Shopee app can be frustrating at times and the product information page leaves much to be desired.\nNonetheless, we are flocking to Shopee for the great bargains offered on the platform. There are plenty of deeply discounted items during \"flash sales\" periods, which have become increasingly prevalent. Would users return to Shopee when it stops being aggressive on promotions and if competing platforms turn on their respective campaigns?\nUnless the luxury products are heavily discounted, I question why users would buy on Shopee otherwise, at least based on the current interface. Then again, luxury brands wouldn't want to sully their image with steep offers on Shopee, or Shopee Premium, for that matter.\nA lower GMV per transaction would also imply that Shopee's operating cost could be rising, considering the larger bandwidth and processing efforts required in handling the growing orders.\nLosses keep ballooning, share-based compensation keeps rising\nGAAP e-commerce revenue growth is healthy and even outpacing the GMV growth. That means Sea Limited's Shopee is increasing its monetization. However, is all well and good?\nSea Limited's total revenues have risen rapidly over the past years, but so have its losses. Just looking at the cost of revenues and total operating expenses, these have soared, growing exponentially in recent years. If we just obsess with growing sales at all costs, then we can ignore the escalating losses.\nHowever, can shareholders be comfortable with the skyrocketing losses over another few years? Sea Limited looks set to end 2021 with a larger loss than last year, which already saw a substantially higher loss than 2019. One major driver of this is the inability of the Digital Entertainment division to offset the losses from the other two core business units - E-Commerce and Digital Financial Services. This resulted in the total adjusted EBITDA sinking to a negative $165.5 million in the third quarter of 2021 compared to a $120.4 billion gain in the same period last year.\nWe often hear the bear case saying that if these pandemic beneficiaries cannot turn their economies of scale into profitability with this massive tailwind, when will they ever? Despite ever-rising revenues, Sea Ltd. has been posting a downtrend in its operating income and net income. Sea Ltd.'s net income reached a staggering $1.95 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis as of the third quarter of 2021.\nThe bull camp can defend Sea Limited saying it is still investing in user growth and new businesses. That's fair. However, are shareholders aware that Wall Street analysts have projected a significant slowdown in Sea Ltd.'s revenue growth? On a consensus basis, its Q4 2021 revenue would slow further to 93.5 percent and the subsequent quarters will continue the deceleration to post 16.1 percent year-on-year growth by the fourth quarter of 2023.\nLooking further out, Sea Limited's revenue growth on a year-on-year basis is estimated to shrink from 114.6 percent in 2021 to 50.1 percent next year and a mere 8.8 percent by the end of 2025.The bulls could argue that Sea Limited has a strong track record of surpassing the consensus revenue estimates. In the 16 quarters of posting earnings as a public company, it has only one miss (Q1 2021) and that was a very minor one. This suggests that analysts have been conservative in their forecasts on Sea Limited and there is room for upward adjustments in the coming quarters.However, if Sea Limited maintains its breakneck revenue growth while its profitability doesn't improve to a positive in the coming years, analysts and shareholders would be hard-pressed to find a convincing reason to keep their faith in the company. According to the consensus estimates, Sea Limited wouldn't see a positive profit before 2024.The projection showing an improving EPS trend is comforting. However, in contrast with its revenue beats, Sea Limited has long been challenged in meeting analysts' expectations of its earnings. Except for one lone quarter, Sea Limited has delivered negative surprises for all its reported quarterly EPS. In the last reported quarter, Sea Limited missed by a whopping 37.4 percent.\nThe largest-ever miss was in March 2020 where the reported EPS was 78.9 percent lower than the consensus. This meant that the above analyst estimates for its EPS could be optimistic and Sea Limited may not see a positive profit even in 2024 or 2025.\nHedgeye recently named Sea Limited as its best idea short. The research firm called Sea Limited's flagship game Garena Free Fire a \"one-hit wonder whose performance has peaked.\" The profit from Garena is already unable to cover the losses from the other units in the past quarters. If Garena falters, the ability to 'subsidize' the e-commerce and fintech arms would diminish further. Constraining the freewheeling 'spending' for the latter two units may result in slower growth that reverses the bull camp's thesis.\nNever mind the widening losses, shareholders can wait, the management might have reasoned. Meanwhile, Sea Limited remains generous with its share-based compensation [SBC]. The SBC is projected to rise to $133.4 million for the final quarter of 2021. This is a sharp rise from the mere $34.9 million given out in 2019 4Q.\nIt may be worthwhile to note that the outstanding shares count of Sea Limited has doubled from 2017. In September, the company made a direct public offering of 11 million American Depositary Shares and 0.25 percent convertible senior unsecured notes with an aggregate principal of US$2.5 billion.\nSea Limited said then that it planned \"to use the net proceeds from the Offerings for business expansion and other general corporate purposes, including potential strategic investments and acquisitions.\" Could its international expansion endeavors support Sea Limited in perpetuating its high-growth story? At the expense of escalating costs amid a reckoning of pandemic stocks?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693665607,"gmtCreate":1640014609543,"gmtModify":1640014610256,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Always up&nbsp;Tesla!","listText":"Always up&nbsp;Tesla!","text":"Always up Tesla!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693665607","repostId":"1149998172","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693007556,"gmtCreate":1639920440262,"gmtModify":1639920440875,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693007556","repostId":"2192890991","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699503795,"gmtCreate":1639828889351,"gmtModify":1639828889941,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy buy buy","listText":"Buy buy buy","text":"Buy buy buy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699503795","repostId":"2192754259","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1092,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699172892,"gmtCreate":1639761841837,"gmtModify":1639761842409,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699172892","repostId":"1155981470","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155981470","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639748485,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155981470?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 21:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FedEx reveals a stunning stat that shows the job market is really hot<blockquote>联邦快递公布了一项惊人的统计数据，表明就业市场非常火爆</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155981470","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"FedEx (FDX) is getting inundated with job applications in what continues to be a hot U.S. labor mark","content":"<p>FedEx (FDX) is getting inundated with job applications in what continues to be a hot U.S. labor market characterized by increased job switchers.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳动力市场持续火爆，跳槽者不断增加，联邦快递（FDX）收到了大量求职申请。</blockquote></p><p> \"Just the last week, we had 111,000 applications for FedEx. That's the highest in our history,\" said FedEx COO Raj Subramanian on an earnings call Thursday evening. \"To put that in context versus what we say in May, that was 52,000.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递首席运营官Raj Subramanian在周四晚间的财报看涨期权上表示：“就在上周，我们收到了111,000份联邦快递申请。这是我们历史上最高的。”“与我们5月份所说的相比，这一数字为52,000人。”</blockquote></p><p> The flood of applications isn't a surprise as FedEx earlier in the year lifted hourly wages for package handlers to $20 an hour. It has also doled out referral bonuses to employees who secure a new hire as the company looks to staff up to meet surging e-commerce demand during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>申请的洪流并不令人意外，因为联邦快递今年早些时候将包裹处理员的时薪提高到了每小时20美元。该公司还向获得新员工的员工发放了推荐奖金，因为该公司希望增加员工以满足疫情期间激增的电子商务需求。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the labor market remains tight as to encourage job switching.</p><p><blockquote>此外，劳动力市场仍然紧张，以鼓励跳槽。</blockquote></p><p> November non-farm payrolls increased by 210,000, the Labor Department said earlier this month. Job gains were notched in the professional and business services, transportation and warehousing, construction, and manufacturing sectors. Employment for September and October were upwardly revised by 82,000.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部本月早些时候表示，11月非农就业人数增加21万人。专业和商业服务、运输和仓储、建筑和制造业的就业机会有所增加。9月和10月的就业人数上调了82,000人。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think by the end of the year [2022] we could see the unemployment rate around 3%,\" said Michael Feroli, J.P. Morgan chief U.S. economist, onYahoo Finance Live. \"It's stunning to see how much the rate has fallen in the last five months. We expect that pace of decline to slow, but it doesn't take much to get below 4%. Even with a tick up in the labor participation rate which has been depressed over the last year and a half.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)在雅虎财经直播上表示：“我认为到2022年底，失业率可能会达到3%左右。”“过去五个月失业率下降幅度之大令人震惊。我们预计下降速度会放缓，但不需要太多时间就能降至4%以下。即使劳动参与率有所上升，过去一年半一直低迷。”</blockquote></p><p> As for FedEx, the increased pace of hiring allowed it to drive better than expected quarterly earnings.</p><p><blockquote>至于联邦快递，招聘步伐的加快使其季度收益好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> The company's second fiscal quarter earnings came in at $4.83 a share versus estimates for $4.26 a share. Revenue rose 14% from a year ago to $23.5 billion. Analysts had expected sales of $22.39 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该公司第二财季每股收益为4.83美元，而预期为每股4.26美元。收入较去年同期增长14%至235亿美元。分析师此前预计销售额为223.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For its current fiscal year, FedEx sees earnings of $20.50 to $21.50 a share compared to estimates for $19.69.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递预计本财年每股收益为20.50美元至21.50美元，而预期为19.69美元。</blockquote></p><p> Added Subramanian, \"The first and most important point is the demand for our services is very robust. The pricing environment is very robust. The labor headwinds start to recede in the second half. The investments that we have made to get more efficient as we go into the second half and the technology investments that make us more efficient as well. So, we expect in the second half, our profit and operating margins to improve year-over-year and we get double-digit [percentage].\"</p><p><blockquote>Subramanian补充道：“第一点也是最重要的一点是，对我们服务的需求非常强劲。定价环境非常强劲。劳动力阻力在下半年开始消退。随着进入下半年，我们为提高效率而进行的投资，以及使我们提高效率的技术投资。因此，我们预计下半年我们的利润和营业利润率将同比提高，并获得两位数的[百分比]。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FedEx reveals a stunning stat that shows the job market is really hot<blockquote>联邦快递公布了一项惊人的统计数据，表明就业市场非常火爆</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFedEx reveals a stunning stat that shows the job market is really hot<blockquote>联邦快递公布了一项惊人的统计数据，表明就业市场非常火爆</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo Finance</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-17 21:41</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>FedEx (FDX) is getting inundated with job applications in what continues to be a hot U.S. labor market characterized by increased job switchers.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳动力市场持续火爆，跳槽者不断增加，联邦快递（FDX）收到了大量求职申请。</blockquote></p><p> \"Just the last week, we had 111,000 applications for FedEx. That's the highest in our history,\" said FedEx COO Raj Subramanian on an earnings call Thursday evening. \"To put that in context versus what we say in May, that was 52,000.\"</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递首席运营官Raj Subramanian在周四晚间的财报看涨期权上表示：“就在上周，我们收到了111,000份联邦快递申请。这是我们历史上最高的。”“与我们5月份所说的相比，这一数字为52,000人。”</blockquote></p><p> The flood of applications isn't a surprise as FedEx earlier in the year lifted hourly wages for package handlers to $20 an hour. It has also doled out referral bonuses to employees who secure a new hire as the company looks to staff up to meet surging e-commerce demand during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>申请的洪流并不令人意外，因为联邦快递今年早些时候将包裹处理员的时薪提高到了每小时20美元。该公司还向获得新员工的员工发放了推荐奖金，因为该公司希望增加员工以满足疫情期间激增的电子商务需求。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the labor market remains tight as to encourage job switching.</p><p><blockquote>此外，劳动力市场仍然紧张，以鼓励跳槽。</blockquote></p><p> November non-farm payrolls increased by 210,000, the Labor Department said earlier this month. Job gains were notched in the professional and business services, transportation and warehousing, construction, and manufacturing sectors. Employment for September and October were upwardly revised by 82,000.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部本月早些时候表示，11月非农就业人数增加21万人。专业和商业服务、运输和仓储、建筑和制造业的就业机会有所增加。9月和10月的就业人数上调了82,000人。</blockquote></p><p> \"I think by the end of the year [2022] we could see the unemployment rate around 3%,\" said Michael Feroli, J.P. Morgan chief U.S. economist, onYahoo Finance Live. \"It's stunning to see how much the rate has fallen in the last five months. We expect that pace of decline to slow, but it doesn't take much to get below 4%. Even with a tick up in the labor participation rate which has been depressed over the last year and a half.\"</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔·费罗利(Michael Feroli)在雅虎财经直播上表示：“我认为到2022年底，失业率可能会达到3%左右。”“过去五个月失业率下降幅度之大令人震惊。我们预计下降速度会放缓，但不需要太多时间就能降至4%以下。即使劳动参与率有所上升，过去一年半一直低迷。”</blockquote></p><p> As for FedEx, the increased pace of hiring allowed it to drive better than expected quarterly earnings.</p><p><blockquote>至于联邦快递，招聘步伐的加快使其季度收益好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> The company's second fiscal quarter earnings came in at $4.83 a share versus estimates for $4.26 a share. Revenue rose 14% from a year ago to $23.5 billion. Analysts had expected sales of $22.39 billion.</p><p><blockquote>该公司第二财季每股收益为4.83美元，而预期为每股4.26美元。收入较去年同期增长14%至235亿美元。分析师此前预计销售额为223.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> For its current fiscal year, FedEx sees earnings of $20.50 to $21.50 a share compared to estimates for $19.69.</p><p><blockquote>联邦快递预计本财年每股收益为20.50美元至21.50美元，而预期为19.69美元。</blockquote></p><p> Added Subramanian, \"The first and most important point is the demand for our services is very robust. The pricing environment is very robust. The labor headwinds start to recede in the second half. The investments that we have made to get more efficient as we go into the second half and the technology investments that make us more efficient as well. So, we expect in the second half, our profit and operating margins to improve year-over-year and we get double-digit [percentage].\"</p><p><blockquote>Subramanian补充道：“第一点也是最重要的一点是，对我们服务的需求非常强劲。定价环境非常强劲。劳动力阻力在下半年开始消退。随着进入下半年，我们为提高效率而进行的投资，以及使我们提高效率的技术投资。因此，我们预计下半年我们的利润和营业利润率将同比提高，并获得两位数的[百分比]。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-ex-reveals-a-stunning-stat-that-shows-the-job-market-is-really-hot-133543640.html\">Yahoo Finance</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-ex-reveals-a-stunning-stat-that-shows-the-job-market-is-really-hot-133543640.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155981470","content_text":"FedEx (FDX) is getting inundated with job applications in what continues to be a hot U.S. labor market characterized by increased job switchers.\n\"Just the last week, we had 111,000 applications for FedEx. That's the highest in our history,\" said FedEx COO Raj Subramanian on an earnings call Thursday evening. \"To put that in context versus what we say in May, that was 52,000.\"\nThe flood of applications isn't a surprise as FedEx earlier in the year lifted hourly wages for package handlers to $20 an hour. It has also doled out referral bonuses to employees who secure a new hire as the company looks to staff up to meet surging e-commerce demand during the pandemic.\nMoreover, the labor market remains tight as to encourage job switching.\nNovember non-farm payrolls increased by 210,000, the Labor Department said earlier this month. Job gains were notched in the professional and business services, transportation and warehousing, construction, and manufacturing sectors. Employment for September and October were upwardly revised by 82,000.\n\"I think by the end of the year [2022] we could see the unemployment rate around 3%,\" said Michael Feroli, J.P. Morgan chief U.S. economist, onYahoo Finance Live. \"It's stunning to see how much the rate has fallen in the last five months. We expect that pace of decline to slow, but it doesn't take much to get below 4%. Even with a tick up in the labor participation rate which has been depressed over the last year and a half.\"\nAs for FedEx, the increased pace of hiring allowed it to drive better than expected quarterly earnings.\nThe company's second fiscal quarter earnings came in at $4.83 a share versus estimates for $4.26 a share. Revenue rose 14% from a year ago to $23.5 billion. Analysts had expected sales of $22.39 billion.\nFor its current fiscal year, FedEx sees earnings of $20.50 to $21.50 a share compared to estimates for $19.69.\nAdded Subramanian, \"The first and most important point is the demand for our services is very robust. The pricing environment is very robust. The labor headwinds start to recede in the second half. The investments that we have made to get more efficient as we go into the second half and the technology investments that make us more efficient as well. So, we expect in the second half, our profit and operating margins to improve year-over-year and we get double-digit [percentage].\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FDX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690149469,"gmtCreate":1639649293320,"gmtModify":1639649294535,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"To the moon!","listText":"To the moon!","text":"To the moon!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690149469","repostId":"1106505192","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106505192","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639645300,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106505192?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-16 17:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla rose over 2% in premarket trading as it was expected to get orders from New York police for up to 250 Model 3 vehicles<blockquote>特斯拉盘前交易涨超2%，预计将获得纽约警方最多250辆Model 3汽车的订单</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106505192","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla rose over 2% in premarket trading as it was expected to get orders from New York police for up","content":"<p>Tesla rose over 2% in premarket trading as it was expected to get orders from New York police for up to 250 Model 3 vehicles.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ee1319bd46c7e3ff97c29e98fee8dd9\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Tesla Motors not only attracted the interest of a large number of consumers, but also attracted the interest of car rental companies and relevant government agencies. Model S already existed in the motorcade of Fremont police in California.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在盘前交易中上涨超过2%，预计将获得纽约警方最多250辆Model 3汽车的订单。特斯拉不仅吸引了大量消费者的兴趣，也吸引了汽车租赁公司和相关政府机构的兴趣。Model S已经存在于加州弗里蒙特警方的车队中。</blockquote></p><p> New York police are also considering switching to electric vehicles and planning to purchase a batch of Tesla Motors Model 3.</p><p><blockquote>纽约警方也在考虑转向电动汽车，计划购买一批特斯拉Model 3。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla rose over 2% in premarket trading as it was expected to get orders from New York police for up to 250 Model 3 vehicles<blockquote>特斯拉盘前交易涨超2%，预计将获得纽约警方最多250辆Model 3汽车的订单</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla rose over 2% in premarket trading as it was expected to get orders from New York police for up to 250 Model 3 vehicles<blockquote>特斯拉盘前交易涨超2%，预计将获得纽约警方最多250辆Model 3汽车的订单</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-16 17:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla rose over 2% in premarket trading as it was expected to get orders from New York police for up to 250 Model 3 vehicles.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ee1319bd46c7e3ff97c29e98fee8dd9\" tg-width=\"771\" tg-height=\"564\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Tesla Motors not only attracted the interest of a large number of consumers, but also attracted the interest of car rental companies and relevant government agencies. Model S already existed in the motorcade of Fremont police in California.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在盘前交易中上涨超过2%，预计将获得纽约警方最多250辆Model 3汽车的订单。特斯拉不仅吸引了大量消费者的兴趣，也吸引了汽车租赁公司和相关政府机构的兴趣。Model S已经存在于加州弗里蒙特警方的车队中。</blockquote></p><p> New York police are also considering switching to electric vehicles and planning to purchase a batch of Tesla Motors Model 3.</p><p><blockquote>纽约警方也在考虑转向电动汽车，计划购买一批特斯拉Model 3。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106505192","content_text":"Tesla rose over 2% in premarket trading as it was expected to get orders from New York police for up to 250 Model 3 vehicles.Tesla Motors not only attracted the interest of a large number of consumers, but also attracted the interest of car rental companies and relevant government agencies. Model S already existed in the motorcade of Fremont police in California.\nNew York police are also considering switching to electric vehicles and planning to purchase a batch of Tesla Motors Model 3.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":856,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":355873679,"gmtCreate":1617063685791,"gmtModify":1634522880675,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and commeNt Pls","listText":"Like and commeNt Pls","text":"Like and commeNt Pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355873679","repostId":"1197127356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815185817,"gmtCreate":1630656717439,"gmtModify":1631891270579,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815185817","repostId":"1180182954","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180182954","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1630656423,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180182954?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 16:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beyond Meat shares fell 1.26% in premarket trading<blockquote>Beyond Meat股价在盘前交易中下跌1.26%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180182954","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Beyond Meat shares fell 1.26% in premarket trading.\nBeyond Meat Inc.'s chief operating officer stepp","content":"<p>Beyond&nbsp;Meat&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;1.26%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Beyond Meat股价在盘前交易中下跌1.26%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61141bf8abf34b81530d638337cc3ace\" tg-width=\"875\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Beyond Meat Inc.'s chief operating officer stepped down this week, the company announced Thursday, less than two years after his arrival.</p><p><blockquote>Beyond Meat公司周四宣布，该公司首席运营官本周辞职，距离他上任不到两年。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond Meat&nbsp;did not state a reason for the departure in a disclosure filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday afternoon, saying only that COO Sanjay Shah notified the company on Monday that he was stepping down immediately.</p><p><blockquote>Beyond Meat在周四下午向美国证券交易委员会提交的披露中没有说明离职原因，仅表示首席运营官桑杰·沙阿周一通知公司，他将立即辞职。</blockquote></p><p> Shah arrived in September 2019 from Tesla Inc., where he had been in charge of the electric-car company's solar efforts for less than two years before leaving. Before that, Shah spent more than seven years at Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> As COO of Beyond Meat, he was in charge of global operations and production, an important role for the meat-alternative company as it attempts to scale production of its food products.</p><p><blockquote>Shah于2019年9月从特斯拉公司(Tesla Inc.)抵达，在离开之前，他负责这家电动汽车公司的太阳能业务不到两年。在此之前，沙阿在亚马逊公司工作了七年多。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>作为Beyond Meat的首席运营官，他负责全球运营和生产，这对于这家肉类替代品公司来说是一个重要角色，因为它试图扩大其食品的生产规模。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beyond Meat shares fell 1.26% in premarket trading<blockquote>Beyond Meat股价在盘前交易中下跌1.26%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeyond Meat shares fell 1.26% in premarket trading<blockquote>Beyond Meat股价在盘前交易中下跌1.26%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-03 16:07</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Beyond&nbsp;Meat&nbsp;shares&nbsp;fell&nbsp;1.26%&nbsp;in&nbsp;premarket&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>Beyond Meat股价在盘前交易中下跌1.26%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61141bf8abf34b81530d638337cc3ace\" tg-width=\"875\" tg-height=\"613\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Beyond Meat Inc.'s chief operating officer stepped down this week, the company announced Thursday, less than two years after his arrival.</p><p><blockquote>Beyond Meat公司周四宣布，该公司首席运营官本周辞职，距离他上任不到两年。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond Meat&nbsp;did not state a reason for the departure in a disclosure filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday afternoon, saying only that COO Sanjay Shah notified the company on Monday that he was stepping down immediately.</p><p><blockquote>Beyond Meat在周四下午向美国证券交易委员会提交的披露中没有说明离职原因，仅表示首席运营官桑杰·沙阿周一通知公司，他将立即辞职。</blockquote></p><p> Shah arrived in September 2019 from Tesla Inc., where he had been in charge of the electric-car company's solar efforts for less than two years before leaving. Before that, Shah spent more than seven years at Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> As COO of Beyond Meat, he was in charge of global operations and production, an important role for the meat-alternative company as it attempts to scale production of its food products.</p><p><blockquote>Shah于2019年9月从特斯拉公司(Tesla Inc.)抵达，在离开之前，他负责这家电动汽车公司的太阳能业务不到两年。在此之前，沙阿在亚马逊公司工作了七年多。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a>作为Beyond Meat的首席运营官，他负责全球运营和生产，这对于这家肉类替代品公司来说是一个重要角色，因为它试图扩大其食品的生产规模。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180182954","content_text":"Beyond Meat shares fell 1.26% in premarket trading.\nBeyond Meat Inc.'s chief operating officer stepped down this week, the company announced Thursday, less than two years after his arrival.\nBeyond Meat did not state a reason for the departure in a disclosure filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Thursday afternoon, saying only that COO Sanjay Shah notified the company on Monday that he was stepping down immediately.\nShah arrived in September 2019 from Tesla Inc., where he had been in charge of the electric-car company's solar efforts for less than two years before leaving. Before that, Shah spent more than seven years at Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$ As COO of Beyond Meat, he was in charge of global operations and production, an important role for the meat-alternative company as it attempts to scale production of its food products.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BYND":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":861251629,"gmtCreate":1632501269461,"gmtModify":1632714996631,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861251629","repostId":"2169153886","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2169153886","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1632494459,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2169153886?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 22:40","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Friday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2169153886","media":"Benzinga","summary":"For many, Nike’s (NYSE: NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting.","content":"<p>  <b>Each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. Here is the Summary...</b>  For many, <b>Nike’s </b>(NYSE:NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys.</p><p><blockquote><b>每个季度的报告都带来了自己的丘陵和山谷。这是总结...</b>对许多人来说，<b>耐克的</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：NKE）季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行财报发布仅几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。</blockquote></p><p> The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well above year-ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年同期水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, but these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. The earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的幅度也要高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真正实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAANG stocks, <b>Amazon </b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) was the only company that reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on the top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大且受到密切关注的FAANG股票中，<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）是唯一一家报告收入令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上一些地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这一压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p> For many, Nike’s quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well-above year ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>对于许多人来说，耐克的季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行盈利只有几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年的水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. Earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的利润率也高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAAMG stocks, Amazon was the only company who reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大、受到密切关注的FAAMG股票中，亚马逊是唯一一家营收令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Friday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFriday's Market Minute: Takeaways From Another Volatile Earnings Season<blockquote>周五市场纪要：另一个波动的财报季的要点</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 22:40</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. Here is the Summary...</b>  For many, <b>Nike’s </b>(NYSE:NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys.</p><p><blockquote><b>每个季度的报告都带来了自己的丘陵和山谷。这是总结...</b>对许多人来说，<b>耐克的</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：NKE）季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行财报发布仅几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。</blockquote></p><p> The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well above year-ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年同期水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, but these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. The earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的幅度也要高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真正实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAANG stocks, <b>Amazon </b>(NASDAQ:AMZN) was the only company that reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on the top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大且受到密切关注的FAANG股票中，<b>亚马逊</b>（纳斯达克：AMZN）是唯一一家报告收入令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上一些地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这一压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p> For many, Nike’s quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well-above year ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.</p><p><blockquote>对于许多人来说，耐克的季度报告意味着财报季的非正式结束。虽然距离银行盈利只有几周时间，标志着第三季度报告的开始，但第二季度值得注意。自从大约一年半前疫情让大盘陷入混乱以来，每个季度的报告都带来了自己的起伏。该期间的平均盈利增长率超过93%，是自2009年第四季度以来的最高纪录。从2021年第一季度到2021年第二季度的盈利环比平均增长超过6%，远高于去年的水平（尽管与去年的经济背景相比相对容易）。收入也大幅增长，与过去九个季度相比，增幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Plus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. Earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.</p><p><blockquote>此外，不仅有创纪录数量的公司超出了盈利预期，而且与历史水平相比，这些公司超出预期的利润率也高得多。超过87%的公司在第二季度获胜，并列历史上最高的获胜百分比。2021年第一季度、2020年第四季度、2020年第三季度和2020年第二季度的盈利超出预期分别为87%、79%、84%和82%，显示了过去五个季度的真实实力。就历史背景而言，自1994年以来的平均节拍率约为66%。</blockquote></p><p> Within the heavily traded and scrutinized FAAMG stocks, Amazon was the only company who reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.</p><p><blockquote>在交易量大、受到密切关注的FAAMG股票中，亚马逊是唯一一家营收令华尔街失望的公司。这也是这家电子商务巨头自2018年第三季度以来的首次失误，该股在失误后出现了大量抛售（-7.5%）。耐克在报告盈利增长但营收未达预期后也面临一些压力。这家运动服装零售商强调了整个季度一直被提及的一个主要主题：供应链中断。耐克管理层表示，如果不是因为供应链问题，其第一财季销售额将高于报告。</blockquote></p><p> While it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.</p><p><blockquote>虽然尚不清楚如何衡量这种逆风何时会得到解决，但随着世界上几个地区继续处于产能减少或封锁状态，这种压力将延续到下个季度。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2169153886","content_text":"Each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. Here is the Summary...\n\nFor many, Nike’s (NYSE:NKE) quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third-quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys.\nThe average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well above year-ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.\nPlus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, but these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. The earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.\nWithin the heavily traded and scrutinized FAANG stocks, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) was the only company that reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on the top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.\nWhile it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.\nFor many, Nike’s quarterly report means the unofficial end to earnings season. While bank earnings are now only a few weeks away, marking the start to the third quarter reports, the second quarter was one worth noting. Since the pandemic sent the broader market into disarray roughly a year and a half ago, each quarter’s reports have brought on their own set of hills and valleys. The average earnings growth for the period was over 93%, which is the highest on record since 4Q of 2009. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, earnings grew over 6% on average from 1Q21 to 2Q21 and were well-above year ago levels (although facing relatively easy comps to last year’s economic backdrop). Revenue also grew substantially, posting the largest improvement compared to the last nine quarters.\nPlus, not only was there a record amount of companies beating earnings estimates, these companies also beat expectations by a much higher margin compared to historical levels. Over 87% of companies beat in 2Q, which tied for the highest percentage beat rate in history. Earnings beat was also 87% in 1Q21, 79% in 4Q20, 84% in 3Q20, and 82% in 2Q20 – showing the real strength of the last five quarters. For historical context, the average beat rate since 1994 stands at roughly 66%.\nWithin the heavily traded and scrutinized FAAMG stocks, Amazon was the only company who reported revenue that disappointed the Street. It was also the e-commerce giant’s first miss since 3Q of 2018, and the stock saw a good amount of selling following the miss (-7.5%). Nike also saw some pressure after reporting a bottom-line beat, but a miss on top line. The athletic apparel retailer highlighted one major theme that has been mentioned consistently throughout the quarter: supply chain disruptions. Nike’s management said its fiscal 1Q sales would have been higher than reported, if not for supply-chain issues.\nWhile it is unclear how to gauge when this headwind will be resolved, as several parts of the world continue in a reduced capacity or lockdown, this is a pressure that is extended into the upcoming quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"NKE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":891846025,"gmtCreate":1628382526267,"gmtModify":1633751393331,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891846025","repostId":"1119792130","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181944410,"gmtCreate":1623372013230,"gmtModify":1634034101154,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"help me comment and like thanks","listText":"help me comment and like thanks","text":"help me comment and like thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181944410","repostId":"1184070773","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882763399,"gmtCreate":1631721718811,"gmtModify":1631889082973,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882763399","repostId":"1125984951","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343781282,"gmtCreate":1617755585646,"gmtModify":1634296732145,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343781282","repostId":"1177263079","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352139383,"gmtCreate":1616903444342,"gmtModify":1634523589384,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please comment and like","listText":"Please comment and like","text":"Please comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352139383","repostId":"1114428323","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":841058181,"gmtCreate":1635864594448,"gmtModify":1635864594689,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841058181","repostId":"2180020937","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2180020937","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635846331,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2180020937?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 17:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2180020937","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.High inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.But fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.Buffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.In a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted tw","content":"<p>Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很高。你不妨从中获利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/143c38befb27f09743294aafaffbe94a\" tg-width=\"1800\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> High inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>该国的高通胀率已成为华尔街的严重担忧。</blockquote></p><p> But fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.</p><p><blockquote>但对于普通投资者来说幸运的是，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在应对这种环境方面拥有丰富的经验。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪70年代管理了一个股票投资组合，度过了两位数的通胀率时期，并就消费者价格飙升时持有什么股票提出了很多建议。</blockquote></p><p> In a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted two characteristics that make a business well adapted to an inflationary environment: 1) an ability to increase prices easily, and 2) an ability to take on more business without having to spend too much in order to do it.</p><p><blockquote>在1981年致伯克希尔股东的一封信中，巴菲特强调了使企业能够很好地适应通货膨胀环境的两个特征：1）能够轻松提高价格，2）能够在不花费太多的情况下承接更多业务。为了做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, aim to invest in asset-light businesses with pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，瞄准投资有定价权的轻资产业务。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s take a quick look at three companies that fit that description. One (or all) of them might be worth purchasing with your spare pennies.</p><p><blockquote>让我们快速浏览一下符合这一描述的三家公司。其中一个（或全部）可能值得用你的闲钱购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nike (NKE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐克(NKE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a24fd7cb9b4e01313c7bb848af6da9d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TY Lim/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>泰·林/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nike is a global footwear powerhouse that commands high customer loyalty.</p><p><blockquote>耐克是全球鞋类巨头，拥有很高的客户忠诚度。</blockquote></p><p> Customers are willing to pay top dollar for signature gear associated with high-profile athletes like LeBron James and Michael Jordan.</p><p><blockquote>顾客愿意花高价购买与勒布朗·詹姆斯和迈克尔·乔丹等知名运动员相关的标志性装备。</blockquote></p><p> Despite inflationary pressures, Nike continues to expand gross margins and post solid returns on equity well above 30%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临通胀压力，耐克仍继续扩大毛利率，并实现远高于30%的稳健股本回报率。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also capturing the full price of its products in an increasingly digital, direct-to-consumer business model.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还在日益数字化、直接面向消费者的商业模式中获取其产品的全价。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes digital sales could continue to grow from 20% of revenue currently to about 40% of the business by 2025. And price increases could kick in as early as next year.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，到2025年，数字销售可能会继续从目前占收入的20%增长到业务的40%左右。价格上涨最早可能在明年开始。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, profit margins may keep expanding, even as operating costs rise with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，利润率可能会继续扩大，即使运营成本随着通货膨胀而上升。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares are up about 19% so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，耐克股价已上涨约19%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果(AAPL)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22460a66469a2da0380edd32d454c84\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Vytautas Kielaitis/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>维陶塔斯·基莱蒂斯/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Global demand for Apple’s premium-priced hardware is growing, as are adoption rates for its high-margin Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>全球对苹果高端硬件的需求正在增长，其高利润苹果服务的采用率也在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Strong brand identity, user friendliness, and a wide range of fully integrated products are powerful attributes that aren’t going away any time soon.</p><p><blockquote>强大的品牌形象、用户友好性和各种完全集成的产品是不会很快消失的强大属性。</blockquote></p><p> Customers just can’t afford to live outside the Apple ecosystem. That gives the tech giant more freedom to play with pricing as inflation spikes.</p><p><blockquote>客户无法生活在苹果生态系统之外。随着通胀飙升，这让这家科技巨头在定价方面有更多的自由。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s latest M1 chips, which will gradually replace Intel’s CPUs in every single Mac, underscore its commitment to constant innovation.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最新的M1芯片将逐渐取代每台Mac中的英特尔CPU，突显了其不断创新的承诺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s ability to pass rising costs to a global consumer base without significant loss of sales volumes is undeniable.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，苹果有能力将不断上升的成本转嫁给全球消费者群体，而不会大幅损失销量。</blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett has allowed Apple to grow to 40% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investments portfolio for good reason: The business just keeps growing profits through all economic cycles.</p><p><blockquote>Warren Buffett允许苹果在Berkshire Hathaway的投资组合中增长到40%，这是有充分理由的：该业务在所有经济周期中都保持利润增长。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is up about 13% year to date and trades at nearly $150 per share. But if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of Apple just for signing up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年迄今已上涨约13%，交易价格接近每股150美元。但如果你对目前的水平犹豫不决，一些应用程序可能会给你一份免费的苹果，只是为了注册。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Levi Strauss &amp; Co. (LEVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>李维斯公司（LEVI）</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71b31165e275a966ad050139a054c73a\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> A market leader in the denim business, Levi Strauss has been firing on all cylinders of late.</p><p><blockquote>作为牛仔布行业的市场领导者，李维斯最近一直在全力以赴。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, its well-known brand and a flexible business model have enabled management to grow the top line without sacrificing pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，其知名品牌和灵活的商业模式使管理层能够在不牺牲定价权的情况下增加营收。</blockquote></p><p> In the most recent quarter, revenue increased 41% while adjusted gross margin improved 390 basis points to 57.5%.</p><p><blockquote>最近一个季度，收入增长了41%，调整后毛利率提高了390个基点，达到57.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, management proactively started adjusting its pricing for inflation back in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，管理层早在2020年就开始主动调整通胀定价。</blockquote></p><p> The company also sources raw materials from 24 different countries. And that kind of supply chain diversification provides Levi Strauss with plenty of flexibility during times of crisis.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还从24个不同的国家采购原材料。这种供应链多元化为李维斯在危机时期提供了足够的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> Levi shares are up more than 30% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Levi股价在2021年上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ultimate 'forever asset'?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终极“永久资产”？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5d520eb27cdf18f25a787cd9145eb1b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett once said that his favorite holding period is forever.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过，他最喜欢的持有期是永远。</blockquote></p><p> But forever is a long time, and since companies rise and fall, growing your wealth by never selling a share may not be the best strategy.</p><p><blockquote>但永远是一段很长的时间，由于公司兴衰，通过从不出售股票来增加财富可能不是最好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> But there might be one inflation safe haven that's worth holding forever — U.S. farmland.</p><p><blockquote>但可能有一个通胀避风港值得永远持有——美国农田。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> No matter how high or fast consumer prices climb, people still need to eat. And it just so happens that Buffett’s good friend Bill Gates is America’s largest private owner of farmland.</p><p><blockquote>无论消费价格攀升得多高或多快，人们仍然需要吃饭。而恰好巴菲特的好朋友比尔·盖茨是美国最大的农田私人所有者。</blockquote></p><p> These days, new platforms allow you to invest in U.S. farmland by taking stake in a farm of your choice.</p><p><blockquote>如今，新平台允许你通过入股你选择的农场来投资美国农田。</blockquote></p><p> You’ll earn cash income from the leasing fees and crop sales. And of course, you’ll benefit from any long-term appreciation on top of that.</p><p><blockquote>你将从租赁费和农作物销售中获得现金收入。当然，除此之外，你还会从任何长期升值中受益。</blockquote></p><p> <i>This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>本文仅提供信息，不应被解释为建议。它没有任何形式的担保。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett says this is the best type of business to own when inflation spikes — in other words, what you should buy right now<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特表示，这是通胀飙升时拥有的最佳企业类型——换句话说，你现在应该购买什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-02 17:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.</p><p><blockquote>通货膨胀很高。你不妨从中获利。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/143c38befb27f09743294aafaffbe94a\" tg-width=\"1800\" tg-height=\"800\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> High inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>该国的高通胀率已成为华尔街的严重担忧。</blockquote></p><p> But fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.</p><p><blockquote>但对于普通投资者来说幸运的是，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司首席执行官沃伦·巴菲特在应对这种环境方面拥有丰富的经验。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在20世纪70年代管理了一个股票投资组合，度过了两位数的通胀率时期，并就消费者价格飙升时持有什么股票提出了很多建议。</blockquote></p><p> In a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted two characteristics that make a business well adapted to an inflationary environment: 1) an ability to increase prices easily, and 2) an ability to take on more business without having to spend too much in order to do it.</p><p><blockquote>在1981年致伯克希尔股东的一封信中，巴菲特强调了使企业能够很好地适应通货膨胀环境的两个特征：1）能够轻松提高价格，2）能够在不花费太多的情况下承接更多业务。为了做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, aim to invest in asset-light businesses with pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，瞄准投资有定价权的轻资产业务。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s take a quick look at three companies that fit that description. One (or all) of them might be worth purchasing with your spare pennies.</p><p><blockquote>让我们快速浏览一下符合这一描述的三家公司。其中一个（或全部）可能值得用你的闲钱购买。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Nike (NKE)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐克(NKE)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a24fd7cb9b4e01313c7bb848af6da9d\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>TY Lim/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>泰·林/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Nike is a global footwear powerhouse that commands high customer loyalty.</p><p><blockquote>耐克是全球鞋类巨头，拥有很高的客户忠诚度。</blockquote></p><p> Customers are willing to pay top dollar for signature gear associated with high-profile athletes like LeBron James and Michael Jordan.</p><p><blockquote>顾客愿意花高价购买与勒布朗·詹姆斯和迈克尔·乔丹等知名运动员相关的标志性装备。</blockquote></p><p> Despite inflationary pressures, Nike continues to expand gross margins and post solid returns on equity well above 30%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临通胀压力，耐克仍继续扩大毛利率，并实现远高于30%的稳健股本回报率。</blockquote></p><p> The company is also capturing the full price of its products in an increasingly digital, direct-to-consumer business model.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还在日益数字化、直接面向消费者的商业模式中获取其产品的全价。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes digital sales could continue to grow from 20% of revenue currently to about 40% of the business by 2025. And price increases could kick in as early as next year.</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为，到2025年，数字销售可能会继续从目前占收入的20%增长到业务的40%左右。价格上涨最早可能在明年开始。</blockquote></p><p> Amazingly, profit margins may keep expanding, even as operating costs rise with inflation.</p><p><blockquote>令人惊讶的是，利润率可能会继续扩大，即使运营成本随着通货膨胀而上升。</blockquote></p><p> Nike shares are up about 19% so far in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，耐克股价已上涨约19%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple (AAPL)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果(AAPL)</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b22460a66469a2da0380edd32d454c84\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Vytautas Kielaitis/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>维陶塔斯·基莱蒂斯/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Global demand for Apple’s premium-priced hardware is growing, as are adoption rates for its high-margin Apple services.</p><p><blockquote>全球对苹果高端硬件的需求正在增长，其高利润苹果服务的采用率也在增长。</blockquote></p><p> Strong brand identity, user friendliness, and a wide range of fully integrated products are powerful attributes that aren’t going away any time soon.</p><p><blockquote>强大的品牌形象、用户友好性和各种完全集成的产品是不会很快消失的强大属性。</blockquote></p><p> Customers just can’t afford to live outside the Apple ecosystem. That gives the tech giant more freedom to play with pricing as inflation spikes.</p><p><blockquote>客户无法生活在苹果生态系统之外。随着通胀飙升，这让这家科技巨头在定价方面有更多的自由。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s latest M1 chips, which will gradually replace Intel’s CPUs in every single Mac, underscore its commitment to constant innovation.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最新的M1芯片将逐渐取代每台Mac中的英特尔CPU，突显了其不断创新的承诺。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s ability to pass rising costs to a global consumer base without significant loss of sales volumes is undeniable.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认，苹果有能力将不断上升的成本转嫁给全球消费者群体，而不会大幅损失销量。</blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett has allowed Apple to grow to 40% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investments portfolio for good reason: The business just keeps growing profits through all economic cycles.</p><p><blockquote>Warren Buffett允许苹果在Berkshire Hathaway的投资组合中增长到40%，这是有充分理由的：该业务在所有经济周期中都保持利润增长。</blockquote></p><p> Apple is up about 13% year to date and trades at nearly $150 per share. But if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of Apple just for signing up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果今年迄今已上涨约13%，交易价格接近每股150美元。但如果你对目前的水平犹豫不决，一些应用程序可能会给你一份免费的苹果，只是为了注册。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Levi Strauss &amp; Co. (LEVI)</b></p><p><blockquote><b>李维斯公司（LEVI）</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71b31165e275a966ad050139a054c73a\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>dean bertoncelj/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> A market leader in the denim business, Levi Strauss has been firing on all cylinders of late.</p><p><blockquote>作为牛仔布行业的市场领导者，李维斯最近一直在全力以赴。</blockquote></p><p> Specifically, its well-known brand and a flexible business model have enabled management to grow the top line without sacrificing pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，其知名品牌和灵活的商业模式使管理层能够在不牺牲定价权的情况下增加营收。</blockquote></p><p> In the most recent quarter, revenue increased 41% while adjusted gross margin improved 390 basis points to 57.5%.</p><p><blockquote>最近一个季度，收入增长了41%，调整后毛利率提高了390个基点，达到57.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, management proactively started adjusting its pricing for inflation back in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，管理层早在2020年就开始主动调整通胀定价。</blockquote></p><p> The company also sources raw materials from 24 different countries. And that kind of supply chain diversification provides Levi Strauss with plenty of flexibility during times of crisis.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还从24个不同的国家采购原材料。这种供应链多元化为李维斯在危机时期提供了足够的灵活性。</blockquote></p><p> Levi shares are up more than 30% in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>Levi股价在2021年上涨了30%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ultimate 'forever asset'?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终极“永久资产”？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5d520eb27cdf18f25a787cd9145eb1b\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MNStudio/Shutterstock</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett once said that his favorite holding period is forever.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过，他最喜欢的持有期是永远。</blockquote></p><p> But forever is a long time, and since companies rise and fall, growing your wealth by never selling a share may not be the best strategy.</p><p><blockquote>但永远是一段很长的时间，由于公司兴衰，通过从不出售股票来增加财富可能不是最好的策略。</blockquote></p><p> But there might be one inflation safe haven that's worth holding forever — U.S. farmland.</p><p><blockquote>但可能有一个通胀避风港值得永远持有——美国农田。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> No matter how high or fast consumer prices climb, people still need to eat. And it just so happens that Buffett’s good friend Bill Gates is America’s largest private owner of farmland.</p><p><blockquote>无论消费价格攀升得多高或多快，人们仍然需要吃饭。而恰好巴菲特的好朋友比尔·盖茨是美国最大的农田私人所有者。</blockquote></p><p> These days, new platforms allow you to invest in U.S. farmland by taking stake in a farm of your choice.</p><p><blockquote>如今，新平台允许你通过入股你选择的农场来投资美国农田。</blockquote></p><p> You’ll earn cash income from the leasing fees and crop sales. And of course, you’ll benefit from any long-term appreciation on top of that.</p><p><blockquote>你将从租赁费和农作物销售中获得现金收入。当然，除此之外，你还会从任何长期升值中受益。</blockquote></p><p> <i>This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>本文仅提供信息，不应被解释为建议。它没有任何形式的担保。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://moneywise.com/investing/stocks/warren-buffett-inflation-stocks\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔","AAPL":"苹果","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","LEVI":"李维斯","NKE":"耐克","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B"},"source_url":"https://moneywise.com/investing/stocks/warren-buffett-inflation-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2180020937","content_text":"Inflation is high. You might as well profit from it.\n\nHigh inflation rates in the country have become a serious concern on Wall Street.\nBut fortunately for everyday investors, Berkshire Hathaway chief Warren Buffett has plenty of experience in navigating such an environment.\nBuffett managed a stock portfolio through periods of double-digit inflation rates in the 1970s and has plenty of advice on what to own when consumer prices spike.\nIn a 1981 letter to Berkshire shareholders, Buffett highlighted two characteristics that make a business well adapted to an inflationary environment: 1) an ability to increase prices easily, and 2) an ability to take on more business without having to spend too much in order to do it.\nIn other words, aim to invest in asset-light businesses with pricing power.\nLet’s take a quick look at three companies that fit that description. One (or all) of them might be worth purchasing with your spare pennies.\nNike (NKE)\nTY Lim/Shutterstock\nNike is a global footwear powerhouse that commands high customer loyalty.\nCustomers are willing to pay top dollar for signature gear associated with high-profile athletes like LeBron James and Michael Jordan.\nDespite inflationary pressures, Nike continues to expand gross margins and post solid returns on equity well above 30%.\nThe company is also capturing the full price of its products in an increasingly digital, direct-to-consumer business model.\nManagement believes digital sales could continue to grow from 20% of revenue currently to about 40% of the business by 2025. And price increases could kick in as early as next year.\nAmazingly, profit margins may keep expanding, even as operating costs rise with inflation.\nNike shares are up about 19% so far in 2021.\nApple (AAPL)\nVytautas Kielaitis/Shutterstock\nGlobal demand for Apple’s premium-priced hardware is growing, as are adoption rates for its high-margin Apple services.\nStrong brand identity, user friendliness, and a wide range of fully integrated products are powerful attributes that aren’t going away any time soon.\nCustomers just can’t afford to live outside the Apple ecosystem. That gives the tech giant more freedom to play with pricing as inflation spikes.\nThe company’s latest M1 chips, which will gradually replace Intel’s CPUs in every single Mac, underscore its commitment to constant innovation.\nApple’s ability to pass rising costs to a global consumer base without significant loss of sales volumes is undeniable.\nWarren Buffett has allowed Apple to grow to 40% of Berkshire Hathaway’s investments portfolio for good reason: The business just keeps growing profits through all economic cycles.\nApple is up about 13% year to date and trades at nearly $150 per share. But if you’re on the fence about jumping in at the current level, some apps might give you a free share of Apple just for signing up.\nLevi Strauss & Co. (LEVI)\ndean bertoncelj/Shutterstock\nA market leader in the denim business, Levi Strauss has been firing on all cylinders of late.\nSpecifically, its well-known brand and a flexible business model have enabled management to grow the top line without sacrificing pricing power.\nIn the most recent quarter, revenue increased 41% while adjusted gross margin improved 390 basis points to 57.5%.\nIn fact, management proactively started adjusting its pricing for inflation back in 2020.\nThe company also sources raw materials from 24 different countries. And that kind of supply chain diversification provides Levi Strauss with plenty of flexibility during times of crisis.\nLevi shares are up more than 30% in 2021.\nThe ultimate 'forever asset'?\nMNStudio/Shutterstock\nWarren Buffett once said that his favorite holding period is forever.\nBut forever is a long time, and since companies rise and fall, growing your wealth by never selling a share may not be the best strategy.\nBut there might be one inflation safe haven that's worth holding forever — U.S. farmland.\nNo matter how high or fast consumer prices climb, people still need to eat. And it just so happens that Buffett’s good friend Bill Gates is America’s largest private owner of farmland.\nThese days, new platforms allow you to invest in U.S. farmland by taking stake in a farm of your choice.\nYou’ll earn cash income from the leasing fees and crop sales. And of course, you’ll benefit from any long-term appreciation on top of that.\nThis article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NKE":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"LEVI":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":177458815,"gmtCreate":1627258824937,"gmtModify":1633766853773,"author":{"id":"3573788625955643","authorId":"3573788625955643","name":"Alvin1975","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beba0668af2d109b87221754e75935b3","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573788625955643","authorIdStr":"3573788625955643"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls!","listText":"Like and comment pls!","text":"Like and comment pls!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177458815","repostId":"1100772026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}