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Yyangyang

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2021-06-12

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2021-04-19

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2021-04-17

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$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>

2021-04-16

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2021-04-13

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2021-04-12

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2021-04-11

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2021-04-10

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2021-04-06

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2021-04-04

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2021-04-03

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2021-04-02

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2021-04-01

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2021-03-31

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2021-03-31

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These Are The 5 Best Stocks To Buy And Watch Now<blockquote>这是现在最值得购买和关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>

2021-03-30

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Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>

2021-03-29

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2021-03-28

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Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>

2021-03-27

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Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>

2021-03-26

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Like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Read. Like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Read. Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188408562","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379438850,"gmtCreate":1618788705170,"gmtModify":1634290989093,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.&nbsp;","listText":"Read.&nbsp;","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379438850","repostId":"2128868932","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370772019,"gmtCreate":1618632612931,"gmtModify":1634291637719,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.","listText":"Read.","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370772019","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175692875?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍（甚至三倍）魔法日，但今天有很多每周期权将到期，其中五个将毫无价值，而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，但高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期，其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期日对于持有大量现值（ATM）期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要，因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写，在重大到期日，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权（行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权，则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说，这是一种理想的情况。或者，如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩（即VIX在新低），现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下，最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生，但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX（即隐含波动率）逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位，隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确!）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此，正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论： 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始，“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外，当 IV 较低时，伽马值较高，因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move<blockquote>5440 亿美元的期权今天到期：以下是将会发生的变化</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-16 22:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><blockquote>虽然今天不是四倍（甚至三倍）魔法日，但今天有很多每周期权将到期，其中五个将毫无价值，而其他期权将为基础价格提供支撑“大头针”。这就是为什么，尽管我们正在享受一个美丽的春季周，但高盛指出，单一股票期权交易活动相对于历史水平有所上升。也就是说，4 月份每日期权交易量较 3 月 30 日年初以来 24 亿美元的低点增长了 70%。</blockquote></p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p><blockquote><b>总共有 5,440 亿美元的单只股票期权将于今天到期，其中包括 3,050 亿美元的评级。</b>因此，今天的到期日对于持有大量现值（ATM）期权未平仓合约的股票来说可能非常重要，因为做市商将积极对冲其异常庞大的期权投资组合。这种流动可能会抑制某些股票的波动性，同时加剧其他股票的股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>How to trade this?</p><p><blockquote>这个怎么交易？</blockquote></p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p><blockquote>正如高盛的 Vishal Vivek 所写，在重大到期日，期权交易者会跟踪以下情况：<b>大量未平仓合约将到期。</b>在平价行权（行权价格等于或非常接近当前股价）中有大量到期未平仓合约的情况下，三角洲对冲活动可能会影响标的股票当天的交易。如果做市商或其他对冲其头寸的期权交易者是净多头 ATM 期权，则与到期相关的流动可能会产生抑制股价变动的效果，导致股价以大量未平仓合约结算在罢工点附近。这种情况通常被称为“pin”，对于试图进入/退出股票头寸的大投资者来说，这是一种理想的情况。或者，如果delta-hedgers是净空头ATM期权（具有“负伽马”头寸），他们的对冲活动可能会加剧股价波动。</blockquote></p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着与到期相关的交易可能会导致拥有大量 ATM 未平仓合约的股票的交易活动大幅回升。</blockquote></p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>因此，为了帮助希望抓住日内交易机会的交易者，这里有一个表格，确定了今天到期的大量 ATM 未平仓合约的可能重点股票，并与标的股票的日均交易量进行了比较。正如高盛所说，“<i>如果未平仓合约在股票成交量中占很大比例，那么与到期相关的活动可能会产生更大的影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p><blockquote>最后，值得一提的是，今天早上我们在 SpotGamma 的朋友们写道，这是一个相当奇怪的运营支出周期，“持续的、近乎机械的出价推动市场走高。我们以前从未见过看涨期权墙像这样 “突破 ”过很多次，但我们在之前的笔记中提到过其他异常现象，比如净看跌期权销售。我们对此有一些理论，并将在一篇较长的文章中发布”。</blockquote></p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><blockquote>根据SG的说法，由于隐含波动性现在已经被压缩（即VIX在新低），现在有更大的潜力出现“长期”波动性。回想一下，最近市场的任何急剧、剧烈下跌是如何被如此迅速地买入的（见下图）。<b>这些突破下跌与创纪录的 VIX 峰值同时发生，但反思性的snap回购将带来与 VIX（即隐含波动率）逆转同等强度的市场复苏。</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><p><blockquote>SpotGamma 的另一个奇怪观察结果：</blockquote></p><p>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p><p><blockquote>当隐含波动性非常高时，它对市场走势非常敏感，也表明市场预计未来会有更大的波动。一旦市场暂停或触及支撑位，隐含的波动性就会迅速回落。<b>我们经常想到这个类比，如果鲨鱼停止游泳，它就会下沉（部分正确!）.如果市场停止下跌，那么隐含的波动性就会下降。</b>因此，正如我们经常谈论的那样，较低的隐含波动率（即较低的VIX）表明做市商必须回购推动反弹的空头对冲。SG 的结论： 目前较低的隐含波动率水平为市场提供了更多的下行火力。从较低的隐含波动率开始，“减缓”了这种反应灵敏的 “snap回调 ”买入机制。此外，当 IV 较低时，伽马值较高，因此伽马翻转可能会有更多的作用。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX  (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.  Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.  Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more 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10:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These Are The 5 Best Stocks To Buy And Watch Now<blockquote>这是现在最值得购买和关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182614778","media":"INVESTOR'BUSINESS DAILY","summary":"Buying a stock is easy, but buying the right stock without a time-tested strategy is incredibly hard","content":"<p>Buying a stock is easy, but buying the right stock without a time-tested strategy is incredibly hard. So what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?<b>Ford</b>(F),<b>CarMax</b>(KMX)<b>Target</b>(TGT),<b>Scotts Miracle-Gro</b>(SMG) and the SPDR S&amp;P Metals &amp; Mining ETF (XME) are prime candidates.</p><p><blockquote>购买股票很容易，但如果没有经过时间考验的策略，购买合适的股票却非常困难。那么现在购买或列入观察名单的最佳股票有哪些呢？<b>福特</b>(F)，<b>卡马克斯</b>（公里）<b>目标</b>（TGT），<b>斯科茨奇迹格罗</b>(SMG) 和 SPDR S&amp;P 金属与矿业 ETF (XME) 是主要候选者。</blockquote></p><p> and shoulderspattern uh but we'll also take a look atVolume 0%</p><p><blockquote>和肩部花纹呃，但我们也会看看体积0%</blockquote></p><p> Since the coronavirus bear market, stocks rebounded powerfully. The strong action reflects rising confidence that the economy will eventually recover from the coronavirus. The stock market has managed to get back on track after a brief correction, when all the major indexes all dipped below their50-day moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>自冠状病毒熊市以来，股市强劲反弹。这一强有力的行动反映出人们对经济最终将从冠状病毒中复苏的信心不断增强。股市在短暂调整后已成功回到正轨，所有主要股指均跌破50日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Now is a good time to get back into the market, but caution should be exercised. It is somewhat akin to a tiger's tail - enticing enough to be worth grabbing, yet dangerous to hold on to too tightly due to possibly painful repercussions.</p><p><blockquote>现在是重返市场的好时机，但应谨慎行事。它有点像老虎的尾巴——足够诱人，值得抓住，但由于可能会带来痛苦的影响，抓得太紧是危险的。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq is still acting like it's in a correction trapped below its 50-day line. The Dow Jones and S&amp;P 500 ended March 26 at record closes.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克仍然表现得好像陷入了被困在 50 日线下方的回调中。道琼斯和标普500 3月26日以创纪录的收盘价收盘。</blockquote></p><p> The coronavirus pandemic remains a concern, though new cases and deaths are well off highs while vaccinations are ramping up. President Joe Biden has signed the $1.9 trillion coronavirus stimulus bill.&nbsp;Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has saidthat the central bank is committed to an \"all-in\" approach as it tries to nurse the economy back to health.</p><p><blockquote>冠状病毒疫情仍然令人担忧，尽管新病例和死亡人数远远低于高位，而疫苗接种正在增加。乔-拜登总统签署了1.9万亿美元的冠状病毒刺激法案。美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）表示，美联储致力于采取“全力以赴”的方法，试图让经济恢复健康。</blockquote></p><p> There are concerns thataggressive fiscal and monetary policycould spur too-much inflation and hurt stock prices long-term.</p><p><blockquote>人们担心激进的财政和货币政策可能会刺激过度通胀，并从长远来看损害股价。</blockquote></p><p> So why do the stocks chosen stand out? Before turning to that question, it is important to consider how one goes about choosing a stock in the first place. Superior fundamentals and technical action, and buying at the right time, are all part of a shrewd investing formula.</p><p><blockquote>那么，为什么所选股票会脱颖而出呢？在回答这个问题之前，首先考虑如何选择股票是很重要的。优越的基本面和技术行动，以及在正确的时间买入，都是精明投资公式的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Best Stocks To Buy: The Crucial Ingredients</p><p><blockquote>最值得购买的股票：关键因素</blockquote></p><p> Remember, there are thousands of stocks trading on the NYSE and Nasdaq. But you want to find the very best stocks right now to generate massive gains.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克上有数千只股票在交易。但是你想现在就找到最好的股票来产生巨大的收益。</blockquote></p><p> TheCAN SLIM systemoffers clear guidelines on what you should be looking for. Invest in stocks with recent quarterly and annual earnings growth of at least 25%. Look for companies that have new, game-changing products and services. Also consider not-yet-profitable companies, often recent IPOs, that are generating tremendous revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>CAN SLIM系统为您应该寻找什么提供了明确的指导方针。投资近期季度和年度盈利增长至少 25% 的股票。寻找拥有改变游戏规则的新产品和服务的公司。还要考虑尚未盈利的公司，通常是最近的首次公开募股，这些公司正在产生巨大的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBD'sCAN SLIM Investing Systemhas a proven track record of significantly outperforming the S&amp;P 500. Outdoing this industry benchmark is key to generating exceptional returns over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>IBD’sCAN SLIM Investing Systems有着明显优于标普500的良好记录。超越这一行业基准是长期产生卓越回报的关键。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, keep an eye on supply and demand for the stock itself, focus on leading stocks in top industry groups, and aim for stocks with strong institutional support.</p><p><blockquote>此外，密切关注股票本身的供需情况，重点关注行业板块龙头股，瞄准机构支撑较强的个股。</blockquote></p><p> Once you have found a stock that fits the criteria, it is then time to turn to stock charts to plot agood entry point. You should wait for a stock toform a base, and then buy once it reaches abuy point, ideally in heavy volume. In many cases, a stock reaches aproper buy pointwhen it breaks above the original high on the left side of the base. More information on what a base is, and how charts can be used to&nbsp;win big on the stock market, can be found here.</p><p><blockquote>一旦你找到了符合标准的股票，就该转向股票图表来绘制一个好的切入点了。你应该等待一只股票形成基础，然后在它达到 abuy 点时买入，最好是大量买入。在许多情况下，当股票突破底部左侧的原始高点时，就达到了适当的买入点位。更多关于什么是基础，以及如何利用图表在股票市场上大获全胜的信息，可以在这里找到。</blockquote></p><p> Don't Forget The M When Buying Stocks</p><p><blockquote>买股票别忘了M</blockquote></p><p> Never forget that theM in CAN SLIM stands for market. Most stocks, even the very best, will tend to follow the market direction. Invest when the stock market is in aconfirmed uptrendand move to cash when the stock market goes into a correction.</p><p><blockquote>永远不要忘记他们在CAN SLIM代表市场。大多数股票，即使是最好的股票，也会倾向于跟随市场方向。当股市处于确认的上升趋势时进行投资，当股市进入调整时转向现金。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 rallied strongly after recent pressure. The S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones have recaptured their50-day moving averages, but are meeting resistance. The Nasdaq also briefly traded above this key benchmark, but slipped back below it. Technology and growth stocks are still showing signs of weakness.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数、纳斯达克和标普500在近期承压后强劲反弹。标普500和道琼斯指数已经收复了50天移动平均线，但遇到了阻力。纳斯达克的交易价格也短暂高于这一关键基准，但又回落至该基准之下。科技股和成长股仍显示出疲软迹象。</blockquote></p><p> It is now is a good time to get back into the market and buy fundamentally strong stocks coming out of proper chart bases. But this is no longer the powerful, growth stock rally of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>现在是重返市场并购买来自适当图表基础的基本面强劲股票的好时机。但这不再是 2020 年强劲的成长型股票反弹。</blockquote></p><p> The stocks featured below are potential candidates.</p><p><blockquote>下面介绍的股票是潜在的候选者。</blockquote></p><p> As you identify stocks, on a technical basis look for stocks with rising relative strength lines. Stocks that hold up amid tough conditions often bound to new highs once a market stabilizes.</p><p><blockquote>当您识别股票时，在技术基础上寻找相对强弱线上升的股票。一旦市场稳定，在艰难条件下坚挺的股票往往会创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Remember, things can quickly change when it comes to the stock market. Make sure you don't miss out on a rally by keeping a close eye on themarket trend page here.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，当谈到股票市场时，事情会很快发生变化。请密切关注此处的市场趋势页面，确保您不会错过反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Best Stocks To Buy Or Watch</p><p><blockquote>最值得购买或关注的股票</blockquote></p><p> Now let's look at Ford stock, CarMax stock, Target stock, Scotts Miracle-Gro stock and XME in more detail. An important consideration is that these stocks all boast impressive relative strength.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们更详细地看看福特股票、CarMax股票、Target股票、Scotts Miracle-Gro股票和XME。一个重要的考虑因素是，这些股票都拥有令人印象深刻的相对实力。</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;Stock</p><p><blockquote>福特股票</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;stock&nbsp;is just above a 12.14 buy point after previously clearing a&nbsp;three-weeks-tightpattern. It is also rebounding from its 10-week moving average, which also serves as entry.</p><p><blockquote>福特股价在此前摆脱了三周的紧张模式后，略高于 12.14 的买入点。它还从 10 周移动平均线反弹，该平均线也可作为入场点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The RS line has been falling back after a strong spike from early January until mid-March. From a longer term perspective, it has been making progress, with periodic pullbacks, since May 2020. It is now at levels last seen in early 2019.</p><p><blockquote>从一月初到三月中旬，RS系列在经历了强劲飙升后一直在回落。从长期角度来看，自2020年5月以来，它一直在取得进展，但有周期性回调。它现在处于2019年初的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;stockhas more than tripled from its 2020 lows. This improvingstockmarket performance has helped itsIBD Composite Ratingimprove to a strong, but not ideal, 87. This puts it in the top 13% of stocks tracked overall.</p><p><blockquote>福特股价较 2020 年低点上涨了两倍多。股市表现的改善帮助其 SIBD 综合评级提高到强劲但不理想的 87。这使其跻身整体跟踪股票的前 13%。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings are improving, but are lagging its price performance. This is reflected in its EPS Rating of 75.</p><p><blockquote>盈利正在改善，但落后于其价格表现。这反映在其 75 的每股收益评级上。</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;stockhas been bolstered by the firm taking a more aggressive stance on investments in electric vehicles and other technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特股价因该公司在电动汽车和其他技术投资方面采取更积极的立场而得到支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Spending in electric and autonomous vehicles will total $29 billion through 2025, more than double prior guidance of $11.5 billion. Of the $29 billion,&nbsp;Ford&nbsp;will spend $22 billion on EVs and $7 billion on autonomy.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 年，电动和自动驾驶汽车的支出总额将达到 290 亿美元，是之前指导值 115 亿美元的两倍多。在 290 亿美元中，福特将在电动汽车上花费 220 亿美元，在自动驾驶汽车上花费 70 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The bigger amount even outpaces the $27 billion commitment from rival GM, which had already hiked it from $20 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这一更大的金额甚至超过了竞争对手通用汽车270亿美元的承诺，后者已经将其从200亿美元提高到了200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are accelerating all our plans – breaking constraints, increasing battery capacity, improving costs and getting more electric vehicles into our product cycle plan,\" CEO Jim Farley said when the firm posted earnings in February.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官吉姆·法利 (Jim Farley) 在公司 2 月份发布财报时表示：“我们正在加快所有计划——打破限制、增加电池容量、提高成本并将更多电动汽车纳入我们的产品周期计划。”</blockquote></p><p> However, the company said chip shortages will hurt production and profit this year. It has had to cut production of its lucrative F-150 pickup due to chip shortages.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司表示，芯片短缺将损害今年的生产和利润。由于芯片短缺，该公司不得不削减利润丰厚的 F-150 皮卡的产量。</blockquote></p><p> The iconic auto giant is ticking boxes forCAN SLIM investors, who look out for firms bringing new products to market.</p><p><blockquote>这家标志性的汽车巨头正在为苗条的投资者打勾，他们正在寻找将新产品推向市场的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The Ford Mustang Mach-E launched at the end of 2020 and picked up steam in February. The electric crossover competes with Tesla's Model Y.</p><p><blockquote>福特野马 Mach-E 于 2020 年底推出，并于 2 月份获得动力。这款电动跨界车与特斯拉的 Model Y 竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Fordalso has launched the Mach-E in Europeand has begun production of the Mach-E in China.</p><p><blockquote>福特还在欧洲推出了 Mach-E，并已开始在中国生产 Mach-E。</blockquote></p><p> It is also&nbsp;an investor in electric truck maker Rivian, whose shares could go public&nbsp;as soon as September and set a record for the biggest EV IPO.</p><p><blockquote>它还是电动卡车制造商Rivian的投资者，该公司的股票最早可能在 9 月份上市，并创下最大电动汽车 IPO 的记录。</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;stock rose&nbsp;in February after it announced a six-year partnership with Google parent&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>&nbsp;(GOOGL) to develop more connected vehicles. The partnership will put Google apps and services into future&nbsp;Ford&nbsp;and Lincoln vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>福特宣布与谷歌母公司建立为期六年的合作伙伴关系后，其股价在二月份上涨<b>Alphabet</b>（GOOGL）开发更多互联汽车。此次合作将把谷歌的应用和服务应用到未来的福特和林肯汽车中。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax Stock</p><p><blockquote>CarMax 股票</blockquote></p><p> CarMax stock is near buy zone after breaking out of aflat base. The idealentry point is 128.68, according to&nbsp;MarketSmith analysis.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax 股票在突破平坦基础后接近买入区域。根据 MarketSmith 的分析，理想入场点是 128.68。</blockquote></p><p> The used car dealer chain rebounded strongly last week after test its 10-week line and briefly undercutting the buy point.</p><p><blockquote>这家二手车经销商连锁店在测试 10 周线并短暂跌破买入点后，上周强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p> KMX stock also has a three-weeks-tight around the top of the buy zone. That offers an alternate entry of 136.53.</p><p><blockquote>KMX 股票也在买入区顶部附近经历了三周的紧张局面。这提供了136.53的替代条目。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, therelative strength linefor CarMax stock is looking mighty. It is sitting near all-time highs on its weekly chart, and has been trending upwards since early January. The stock is up more around 44% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>此外，CarMax 股票的相对强势线看起来很强大。它在周线上处于历史高点附近，并且自一月初以来一直呈上升趋势。今年迄今为止，该股已上涨约 44%。</blockquote></p><p> KMX stock has a strong, but not ideal,&nbsp;IBD Composite Rating of 89. Earnings are the standout strength for KMX stock, with itsEPS Rating coming in at 90 out of 99.</p><p><blockquote>KMX 股票的 IBD 综合评级强劲，但并不理想，为 89。盈利是KMX股票的突出优势，其SEPS评级为90分（满分99分）。</blockquote></p><p> It has been affected by the initial coronavirus lockdowns, butEPS roared back to 37% growth&nbsp;in the most recent quarter. Earnings have accelerated for the past two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>受到最初冠状病毒封锁的影响，butEPS在最近一个季度猛增至37%。过去两个季度盈利加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see earnings falling 16% in 2021, before roaring back with growth of 27% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计 2021 年盈利将下降 16%，然后在 2022 年猛增 27%。</blockquote></p><p> Big money is piling in, with its&nbsp;Accumulation/Distribution Rating coming in at B+. This represents moderate-to-heavy buying over the past 13 weeks. In total, 57% of its stock is held by funds.</p><p><blockquote>大笔资金正在涌入，其积累/分配评级为 B+。这代表了过去 13 周的中度至重度买入。总体而言，其57%的股票由基金持有。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax operates used car stores in more than 70 metropolitan markets. It is a recentIBD Stock Of The Day.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax在70多个大都市市场经营二手车商店。这是最近的一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax's network of 220 stores nationwide sold more than 830,000 used cars in its last financial year. Overall used vehicle sales are expected to rise 2.9% in 2021 to 39.3 million, according to Cox Automotive.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax 在全国拥有 220 家商店的网络在上一财年售出了超过 83 万辆二手车。据 Cox Automotive 称，2021 年二手车整体销量预计将增长 2.9%，达到 3930 万辆。</blockquote></p><p> For Q3, it reported more than 50% of customers chose to advance their transaction online. It has expanded in home delivery and contactless curbside pickup, tapping new avenues of growth.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度，该公司报告称超过 50% 的客户选择在线进行交易。它在送货上门和非接触式路边取货领域进行了扩张，开辟了新的增长途径。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are on track for most of our customers to have the ability to buy vehicle online independently if they choose by the middle of next fiscal year,\" CEO Bill Nash said on an earnings call last December.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官比尔·纳什 (Bill Nash) 在去年 12 月的财报看涨期权上表示：“如果大多数客户愿意，我们有望在下一财年中期之前让他们能够独立在线购买汽车。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more consumers moved to the used car market during the pandemic. At the same time, used car prices rose on a combination of factors.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，在疫情期间，更多的消费者转向二手车市场。与此同时，受多种因素影响，二手车价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The pandemic strained Americans' wallets, forcing consumers to hold on to old cars longer and making fewer used cars available for sale. People also sought to avoid mass transportation. Rising new car prices, partly due to limited supply, also turned more shoppers to the used market.</p><p><blockquote>疫情让美国人的钱包捉襟见肘，迫使消费者持有旧车的时间更长，可供出售的二手车也减少了。人们也试图避开公共交通。新车价格上涨（部分原因是供应有限）也让更多购物者转向二手市场。</blockquote></p><p> Target Stock</p><p><blockquote>目标股票</blockquote></p><p> Target&nbsp;stock is in buy zone after breaking out of a new double-bottom base. The ideal buy point here is 196.35. The stock aggressively sprinted away from its 10-week line as it broke out.</p><p><blockquote>目标股票在突破新的双底基础后处于买入区域。这里理想的买点是196.35。该股在突破后积极冲刺脱离 10 周线。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In fact TGTstockhas broken clear of all its major technical benchmarks, including its21-day exponential moving average. This is a very bullish behavior.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，TGTStock 已经突破了所有主要技术基准，包括 21 天指数移动平均线。这是一种非常看涨的行为。</blockquote></p><p> The RS line offers further reasons for enthusiasm among Target investors. It is spiking higher once more, and could soon hit a new high.</p><p><blockquote>RS系列为目标投资者的热情提供了进一步的理由。它再次飙升，并可能很快创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Target stock has a good Composite Rating of 87, putting it in top 13% ofstocks tracked. Earnings in particular are a strength, with&nbsp;EPS rising by an average of 83% over the past three quarters. Earnings rose by a less impressive, but still strong, 58% in the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Target stock 的综合评级为 87 分，位列被跟踪股票的前 13%。盈利尤其具有优势，过去三个季度每股收益平均增长 83%。最近一个季度的盈利增长了 58%，虽然不那么令人印象深刻，但仍然强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional sentiment is also strong, with itsAccumulation/Distribution Ratingcoming in at B-. This reflects moderate buying among institutions. Notable holders include the Fidelity Select Retailing Portfolio Fund (FSRPX), which ranks as one of the very best funds according to IBD research.</p><p><blockquote>机构情绪也很强劲，其累积/分配评级为 B-。这反映出机构间的适度买入。著名的持有者包括富达精选零售投资组合基金（FSRPX），根据IBD research，该基金被评为最好的基金之一。</blockquote></p><p> Target recently announced it will invest$4 billion a year for several years to accelerate its shift to e-commerce</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特最近宣布将在几年内每年投资40亿美元，以加速向电子商务的转变</blockquote></p><p> During a virtual investor day, management said the massive investment campaign would include 30-40 new stores each year, new distribution centers and technology aimed at speeding up shelf restocking.</p><p><blockquote>在虚拟投资者日期间，管理层表示，大规模投资活动将包括每年 30-40 家新店、新配送中心和旨在加快货架补货的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Target will also test new package-sorting hubs and look for ways to design more efficient delivery routes.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特还将测试新的包裹分拣中心，并寻找设计更高效的递送路线的方法。</blockquote></p><p> The company's focus on revamping its stores to serve more as fulfillment centers for online orders was well under way before Covid-19 hit. It is working to regain market share lost to online retail giant<b>Amazon</b>(AMZN)<b>.</b></p><p><blockquote>在 Covid-19 袭击之前，该公司一直致力于改造其商店，以提供更多在线订单履行中心的服务。它正在努力夺回在线零售巨头失去的市场份额<b>亚马逊</b>（亚马逊）<b>.</b></blockquote></p><p> Scotts Miracle-Gro Stock</p><p><blockquote>斯科茨奇迹-Gro股票</blockquote></p><p> Scotts Miracle-Gro stock has broken out of a cup-with-handle base, clearing the 238.91 buy point on March 26. SMG stock rebounded from its 50-day line the prior day.</p><p><blockquote>Scotts Miracle-Gro 股票已突破带手柄的杯子底部，于 3 月 26 日清除了 238.91 点的买入点。SMG股价从前一天的50日线反弹。</blockquote></p><p> The relative strength line for Scotts Miracle-Gro stock has been recovering strongly from recent dip, and could soon reach new highs.</p><p><blockquote>Scotts Miracle-Gro 股票的相对强弱线已从最近的下跌中强劲复苏，并可能很快达到新高。</blockquote></p><p> So far in 2021, the stock is up more than 21%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，该股已上涨超过21%。</blockquote></p><p> SMG stock has a good balance of earnings and price performance. This has earned it a top notch Composite Rating of 97. This puts it in the top 3% of stocks tracked.</p><p><blockquote>SMG股票在盈利和价格表现之间取得了良好的平衡。这为它赢得了97的顶级综合评级。这使其跻身被跟踪股票的前 3%。</blockquote></p><p> Scotts Miracle-Gro stock is&nbsp;particularly noteworthy for marijuana enthusiasts. The lawn care specialist has been investing in R&amp;D for better plant genetics and nutrient formulations for both cannabis and hemp plants.</p><p><blockquote>对于大麻爱好者来说，Scotts Miracle-Gro股票尤其值得注意。这位草坪护理专家一直在投资R&amp;D，为大麻和大麻植物提供更好的植物遗传学和营养配方。</blockquote></p><p> SMG took part in the marijuana stock rally that followed the Jan. 5 runoff elections in Georgia, granting a de facto majority in the U.S. Senate to the Democratic Party.</p><p><blockquote>SMG参加了1月5日佐治亚州决选后的大麻股票反弹，在美国获得了事实上的多数席位。民主党参议院。</blockquote></p><p> Big money is getting behind SMG stock, with itsAccumulation/Distribution Ratingcoming in at B-. The Federated Hermes Kaufmann Fund (KAUFX), rated as one of the best funds by IBD, is a noteworthy holder. In total, 49% of its stock is held by funds.</p><p><blockquote>SMG 股票背后有大量资金，其累积/分配评级为 B-。爱马仕考夫曼联邦基金（KAUFX）被IBD评为最佳基金之一，是一个值得注意的持有者。总体而言，其49%的股票由基金持有。</blockquote></p><p> Management holds a further 27%. A large management stake in a company is often seen as a sign of strong future prospects.</p><p><blockquote>管理层还持有27%的股份。公司管理层持有大量股份通常被视为未来前景良好的标志。</blockquote></p><p> XME</p><p><blockquote>XME</blockquote></p><p> The metals and mining ETF has charged back into buy zone after a powerful rebound from its 10-week line. It comes after the stock painfully reversed after breaking out of a 38.09cup base entry.</p><p><blockquote>金属和矿业 ETF 在从 10 周线强劲反弹后重新进入买入区域。此前，该股在突破 38.09 杯基础入口后痛苦地逆转。</blockquote></p><p> The rebound is particularly impressive when one considers the RS line has taken a slight dip. Overall, the ETF'srelative strength linehas been making good progress since November.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑到 RS 线略有下跌时，这种反弹尤其令人印象深刻。总体而言，ETF的相对强弱线自11月以来一直取得良好进展。</blockquote></p><p> Investing in individual stocks can carry more volatility and risk, though the rewards can be far greater. Investing in an ETF provides a way to play an entire industry.</p><p><blockquote>投资个股可能会带来更大的波动性和风险，尽管回报可能要大得多。投资ETF提供了一种玩转整个行业的方式。</blockquote></p><p> XME offers a good opportunity for those wanting to play the macro changes in the mining environment. Nevertheless, XME has still been displaying plenty of volatility amid a seesaw market. The rewards are obvious when one considers it has gained almost 20% in 2021 however.</p><p><blockquote>XME为那些想要发挥采矿环境宏观变化的人提供了一个很好的机会。尽管如此，XME 在跷跷板市场中仍然表现出很大的波动性。然而，当人们考虑到它在2021年上涨了近20%时，回报是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> Holdings include the likes of<b>Alcoa</b>(AA) and<b>Freeport-McMoRan</b>(FCX),<b>Steel Dynamics</b>(STLD) and<b>Royal Gold</b>(RGLD).</p><p><blockquote>持股包括<b>美国铝业</b>(AA)和<b>自由港-麦克莫兰</b>（FCX），<b>Steel Dynamics</b>（STLD）和<b>皇家黄金</b>（RGLD）。</blockquote></p><p> The gains for the ETF and other mining stocks come with a broader economic rebound from the coronavirus pandemic. As the economy reopens, some investors are betting demand for metal materials, and demand for more such materials to be mined from the earth, will recover with it.</p><p><blockquote>ETF 和其他矿业股的上涨得益于冠状病毒大流行带来的更广泛的经济反弹。随着经济重新开放，一些投资者押注对金属材料的需求，以及对从地球上开采更多此类材料的需求将随之恢复。</blockquote></p><p> \"Commodity markets have strengthened as the outlook for demand is improving and supply constraints are increasing,\" Jefferies mining stocks analysts said in a research note last month.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞矿业股分析师在上个月的一份研究报告中表示：“随着需求前景改善和供应限制加剧，大宗商品市场已经走强。”</blockquote></p><p> Commodity prices for things like iron ore and nickel stood at multiyear highs earlier this year. Mining stocks have also been buoyed by prospects for more U.S. infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，铁矿石和镍等大宗商品价格处于多年高位。美国增加基础设施支出的前景也提振了矿业股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1617156785392","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These Are The 5 Best Stocks To Buy And Watch Now<blockquote>这是现在最值得购买和关注的 5 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese Are The 5 Best Stocks To Buy And Watch Now<blockquote>这是现在最值得购买和关注的 5 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">INVESTOR'BUSINESS DAILY</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-31 10:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Buying a stock is easy, but buying the right stock without a time-tested strategy is incredibly hard. So what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?<b>Ford</b>(F),<b>CarMax</b>(KMX)<b>Target</b>(TGT),<b>Scotts Miracle-Gro</b>(SMG) and the SPDR S&amp;P Metals &amp; Mining ETF (XME) are prime candidates.</p><p><blockquote>购买股票很容易，但如果没有经过时间考验的策略，购买合适的股票却非常困难。那么现在购买或列入观察名单的最佳股票有哪些呢？<b>福特</b>(F)，<b>卡马克斯</b>（公里）<b>目标</b>（TGT），<b>斯科茨奇迹格罗</b>(SMG) 和 SPDR S&amp;P 金属与矿业 ETF (XME) 是主要候选者。</blockquote></p><p> and shoulderspattern uh but we'll also take a look atVolume 0%</p><p><blockquote>和肩部花纹呃，但我们也会看看体积0%</blockquote></p><p> Since the coronavirus bear market, stocks rebounded powerfully. The strong action reflects rising confidence that the economy will eventually recover from the coronavirus. The stock market has managed to get back on track after a brief correction, when all the major indexes all dipped below their50-day moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>自冠状病毒熊市以来，股市强劲反弹。这一强有力的行动反映出人们对经济最终将从冠状病毒中复苏的信心不断增强。股市在短暂调整后已成功回到正轨，所有主要股指均跌破50日移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Now is a good time to get back into the market, but caution should be exercised. It is somewhat akin to a tiger's tail - enticing enough to be worth grabbing, yet dangerous to hold on to too tightly due to possibly painful repercussions.</p><p><blockquote>现在是重返市场的好时机，但应谨慎行事。它有点像老虎的尾巴——足够诱人，值得抓住，但由于可能会带来痛苦的影响，抓得太紧是危险的。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq is still acting like it's in a correction trapped below its 50-day line. The Dow Jones and S&amp;P 500 ended March 26 at record closes.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克仍然表现得好像陷入了被困在 50 日线下方的回调中。道琼斯和标普500 3月26日以创纪录的收盘价收盘。</blockquote></p><p> The coronavirus pandemic remains a concern, though new cases and deaths are well off highs while vaccinations are ramping up. President Joe Biden has signed the $1.9 trillion coronavirus stimulus bill.&nbsp;Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has saidthat the central bank is committed to an \"all-in\" approach as it tries to nurse the economy back to health.</p><p><blockquote>冠状病毒疫情仍然令人担忧，尽管新病例和死亡人数远远低于高位，而疫苗接种正在增加。乔-拜登总统签署了1.9万亿美元的冠状病毒刺激法案。美联储主席杰罗姆-鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）表示，美联储致力于采取“全力以赴”的方法，试图让经济恢复健康。</blockquote></p><p> There are concerns thataggressive fiscal and monetary policycould spur too-much inflation and hurt stock prices long-term.</p><p><blockquote>人们担心激进的财政和货币政策可能会刺激过度通胀，并从长远来看损害股价。</blockquote></p><p> So why do the stocks chosen stand out? Before turning to that question, it is important to consider how one goes about choosing a stock in the first place. Superior fundamentals and technical action, and buying at the right time, are all part of a shrewd investing formula.</p><p><blockquote>那么，为什么所选股票会脱颖而出呢？在回答这个问题之前，首先考虑如何选择股票是很重要的。优越的基本面和技术行动，以及在正确的时间买入，都是精明投资公式的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> Best Stocks To Buy: The Crucial Ingredients</p><p><blockquote>最值得购买的股票：关键因素</blockquote></p><p> Remember, there are thousands of stocks trading on the NYSE and Nasdaq. But you want to find the very best stocks right now to generate massive gains.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克上有数千只股票在交易。但是你想现在就找到最好的股票来产生巨大的收益。</blockquote></p><p> TheCAN SLIM systemoffers clear guidelines on what you should be looking for. Invest in stocks with recent quarterly and annual earnings growth of at least 25%. Look for companies that have new, game-changing products and services. Also consider not-yet-profitable companies, often recent IPOs, that are generating tremendous revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>CAN SLIM系统为您应该寻找什么提供了明确的指导方针。投资近期季度和年度盈利增长至少 25% 的股票。寻找拥有改变游戏规则的新产品和服务的公司。还要考虑尚未盈利的公司，通常是最近的首次公开募股，这些公司正在产生巨大的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> IBD'sCAN SLIM Investing Systemhas a proven track record of significantly outperforming the S&amp;P 500. Outdoing this industry benchmark is key to generating exceptional returns over the long term.</p><p><blockquote>IBD’sCAN SLIM Investing Systems有着明显优于标普500的良好记录。超越这一行业基准是长期产生卓越回报的关键。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, keep an eye on supply and demand for the stock itself, focus on leading stocks in top industry groups, and aim for stocks with strong institutional support.</p><p><blockquote>此外，密切关注股票本身的供需情况，重点关注行业板块龙头股，瞄准机构支撑较强的个股。</blockquote></p><p> Once you have found a stock that fits the criteria, it is then time to turn to stock charts to plot agood entry point. You should wait for a stock toform a base, and then buy once it reaches abuy point, ideally in heavy volume. In many cases, a stock reaches aproper buy pointwhen it breaks above the original high on the left side of the base. More information on what a base is, and how charts can be used to&nbsp;win big on the stock market, can be found here.</p><p><blockquote>一旦你找到了符合标准的股票，就该转向股票图表来绘制一个好的切入点了。你应该等待一只股票形成基础，然后在它达到 abuy 点时买入，最好是大量买入。在许多情况下，当股票突破底部左侧的原始高点时，就达到了适当的买入点位。更多关于什么是基础，以及如何利用图表在股票市场上大获全胜的信息，可以在这里找到。</blockquote></p><p> Don't Forget The M When Buying Stocks</p><p><blockquote>买股票别忘了M</blockquote></p><p> Never forget that theM in CAN SLIM stands for market. Most stocks, even the very best, will tend to follow the market direction. Invest when the stock market is in aconfirmed uptrendand move to cash when the stock market goes into a correction.</p><p><blockquote>永远不要忘记他们在CAN SLIM代表市场。大多数股票，即使是最好的股票，也会倾向于跟随市场方向。当股市处于确认的上升趋势时进行投资，当股市进入调整时转向现金。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 rallied strongly after recent pressure. The S&amp;P 500 and the Dow Jones have recaptured their50-day moving averages, but are meeting resistance. The Nasdaq also briefly traded above this key benchmark, but slipped back below it. Technology and growth stocks are still showing signs of weakness.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数、纳斯达克和标普500在近期承压后强劲反弹。标普500和道琼斯指数已经收复了50天移动平均线，但遇到了阻力。纳斯达克的交易价格也短暂高于这一关键基准，但又回落至该基准之下。科技股和成长股仍显示出疲软迹象。</blockquote></p><p> It is now is a good time to get back into the market and buy fundamentally strong stocks coming out of proper chart bases. But this is no longer the powerful, growth stock rally of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>现在是重返市场并购买来自适当图表基础的基本面强劲股票的好时机。但这不再是 2020 年强劲的成长型股票反弹。</blockquote></p><p> The stocks featured below are potential candidates.</p><p><blockquote>下面介绍的股票是潜在的候选者。</blockquote></p><p> As you identify stocks, on a technical basis look for stocks with rising relative strength lines. Stocks that hold up amid tough conditions often bound to new highs once a market stabilizes.</p><p><blockquote>当您识别股票时，在技术基础上寻找相对强弱线上升的股票。一旦市场稳定，在艰难条件下坚挺的股票往往会创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Remember, things can quickly change when it comes to the stock market. Make sure you don't miss out on a rally by keeping a close eye on themarket trend page here.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，当谈到股票市场时，事情会很快发生变化。请密切关注此处的市场趋势页面，确保您不会错过反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Best Stocks To Buy Or Watch</p><p><blockquote>最值得购买或关注的股票</blockquote></p><p> Now let's look at Ford stock, CarMax stock, Target stock, Scotts Miracle-Gro stock and XME in more detail. An important consideration is that these stocks all boast impressive relative strength.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们更详细地看看福特股票、CarMax股票、Target股票、Scotts Miracle-Gro股票和XME。一个重要的考虑因素是，这些股票都拥有令人印象深刻的相对实力。</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;Stock</p><p><blockquote>福特股票</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;stock&nbsp;is just above a 12.14 buy point after previously clearing a&nbsp;three-weeks-tightpattern. It is also rebounding from its 10-week moving average, which also serves as entry.</p><p><blockquote>福特股价在此前摆脱了三周的紧张模式后，略高于 12.14 的买入点。它还从 10 周移动平均线反弹，该平均线也可作为入场点。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The RS line has been falling back after a strong spike from early January until mid-March. From a longer term perspective, it has been making progress, with periodic pullbacks, since May 2020. It is now at levels last seen in early 2019.</p><p><blockquote>从一月初到三月中旬，RS系列在经历了强劲飙升后一直在回落。从长期角度来看，自2020年5月以来，它一直在取得进展，但有周期性回调。它现在处于2019年初的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;stockhas more than tripled from its 2020 lows. This improvingstockmarket performance has helped itsIBD Composite Ratingimprove to a strong, but not ideal, 87. This puts it in the top 13% of stocks tracked overall.</p><p><blockquote>福特股价较 2020 年低点上涨了两倍多。股市表现的改善帮助其 SIBD 综合评级提高到强劲但不理想的 87。这使其跻身整体跟踪股票的前 13%。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings are improving, but are lagging its price performance. This is reflected in its EPS Rating of 75.</p><p><blockquote>盈利正在改善，但落后于其价格表现。这反映在其 75 的每股收益评级上。</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;stockhas been bolstered by the firm taking a more aggressive stance on investments in electric vehicles and other technology.</p><p><blockquote>福特股价因该公司在电动汽车和其他技术投资方面采取更积极的立场而得到支撑。</blockquote></p><p> Spending in electric and autonomous vehicles will total $29 billion through 2025, more than double prior guidance of $11.5 billion. Of the $29 billion,&nbsp;Ford&nbsp;will spend $22 billion on EVs and $7 billion on autonomy.</p><p><blockquote>到 2025 年，电动和自动驾驶汽车的支出总额将达到 290 亿美元，是之前指导值 115 亿美元的两倍多。在 290 亿美元中，福特将在电动汽车上花费 220 亿美元，在自动驾驶汽车上花费 70 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The bigger amount even outpaces the $27 billion commitment from rival GM, which had already hiked it from $20 billion.</p><p><blockquote>这一更大的金额甚至超过了竞争对手通用汽车270亿美元的承诺，后者已经将其从200亿美元提高到了200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are accelerating all our plans – breaking constraints, increasing battery capacity, improving costs and getting more electric vehicles into our product cycle plan,\" CEO Jim Farley said when the firm posted earnings in February.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官吉姆·法利 (Jim Farley) 在公司 2 月份发布财报时表示：“我们正在加快所有计划——打破限制、增加电池容量、提高成本并将更多电动汽车纳入我们的产品周期计划。”</blockquote></p><p> However, the company said chip shortages will hurt production and profit this year. It has had to cut production of its lucrative F-150 pickup due to chip shortages.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司表示，芯片短缺将损害今年的生产和利润。由于芯片短缺，该公司不得不削减利润丰厚的 F-150 皮卡的产量。</blockquote></p><p> The iconic auto giant is ticking boxes forCAN SLIM investors, who look out for firms bringing new products to market.</p><p><blockquote>这家标志性的汽车巨头正在为苗条的投资者打勾，他们正在寻找将新产品推向市场的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The Ford Mustang Mach-E launched at the end of 2020 and picked up steam in February. The electric crossover competes with Tesla's Model Y.</p><p><blockquote>福特野马 Mach-E 于 2020 年底推出，并于 2 月份获得动力。这款电动跨界车与特斯拉的 Model Y 竞争。</blockquote></p><p> Fordalso has launched the Mach-E in Europeand has begun production of the Mach-E in China.</p><p><blockquote>福特还在欧洲推出了 Mach-E，并已开始在中国生产 Mach-E。</blockquote></p><p> It is also&nbsp;an investor in electric truck maker Rivian, whose shares could go public&nbsp;as soon as September and set a record for the biggest EV IPO.</p><p><blockquote>它还是电动卡车制造商Rivian的投资者，该公司的股票最早可能在 9 月份上市，并创下最大电动汽车 IPO 的记录。</blockquote></p><p> Ford&nbsp;stock rose&nbsp;in February after it announced a six-year partnership with Google parent&nbsp;<b>Alphabet</b>&nbsp;(GOOGL) to develop more connected vehicles. The partnership will put Google apps and services into future&nbsp;Ford&nbsp;and Lincoln vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>福特宣布与谷歌母公司建立为期六年的合作伙伴关系后，其股价在二月份上涨<b>Alphabet</b>（GOOGL）开发更多互联汽车。此次合作将把谷歌的应用和服务应用到未来的福特和林肯汽车中。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax Stock</p><p><blockquote>CarMax 股票</blockquote></p><p> CarMax stock is near buy zone after breaking out of aflat base. The idealentry point is 128.68, according to&nbsp;MarketSmith analysis.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax 股票在突破平坦基础后接近买入区域。根据 MarketSmith 的分析，理想入场点是 128.68。</blockquote></p><p> The used car dealer chain rebounded strongly last week after test its 10-week line and briefly undercutting the buy point.</p><p><blockquote>这家二手车经销商连锁店在测试 10 周线并短暂跌破买入点后，上周强劲反弹。</blockquote></p><p> KMX stock also has a three-weeks-tight around the top of the buy zone. That offers an alternate entry of 136.53.</p><p><blockquote>KMX 股票也在买入区顶部附近经历了三周的紧张局面。这提供了136.53的替代条目。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, therelative strength linefor CarMax stock is looking mighty. It is sitting near all-time highs on its weekly chart, and has been trending upwards since early January. The stock is up more around 44% so far this year.</p><p><blockquote>此外，CarMax 股票的相对强势线看起来很强大。它在周线上处于历史高点附近，并且自一月初以来一直呈上升趋势。今年迄今为止，该股已上涨约 44%。</blockquote></p><p> KMX stock has a strong, but not ideal,&nbsp;IBD Composite Rating of 89. Earnings are the standout strength for KMX stock, with itsEPS Rating coming in at 90 out of 99.</p><p><blockquote>KMX 股票的 IBD 综合评级强劲，但并不理想，为 89。盈利是KMX股票的突出优势，其SEPS评级为90分（满分99分）。</blockquote></p><p> It has been affected by the initial coronavirus lockdowns, butEPS roared back to 37% growth&nbsp;in the most recent quarter. Earnings have accelerated for the past two quarters.</p><p><blockquote>受到最初冠状病毒封锁的影响，butEPS在最近一个季度猛增至37%。过去两个季度盈利加速增长。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see earnings falling 16% in 2021, before roaring back with growth of 27% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计 2021 年盈利将下降 16%，然后在 2022 年猛增 27%。</blockquote></p><p> Big money is piling in, with its&nbsp;Accumulation/Distribution Rating coming in at B+. This represents moderate-to-heavy buying over the past 13 weeks. In total, 57% of its stock is held by funds.</p><p><blockquote>大笔资金正在涌入，其积累/分配评级为 B+。这代表了过去 13 周的中度至重度买入。总体而言，其57%的股票由基金持有。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax operates used car stores in more than 70 metropolitan markets. It is a recentIBD Stock Of The Day.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax在70多个大都市市场经营二手车商店。这是最近的一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax's network of 220 stores nationwide sold more than 830,000 used cars in its last financial year. Overall used vehicle sales are expected to rise 2.9% in 2021 to 39.3 million, according to Cox Automotive.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax 在全国拥有 220 家商店的网络在上一财年售出了超过 83 万辆二手车。据 Cox Automotive 称，2021 年二手车整体销量预计将增长 2.9%，达到 3930 万辆。</blockquote></p><p> For Q3, it reported more than 50% of customers chose to advance their transaction online. It has expanded in home delivery and contactless curbside pickup, tapping new avenues of growth.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度，该公司报告称超过 50% 的客户选择在线进行交易。它在送货上门和非接触式路边取货领域进行了扩张，开辟了新的增长途径。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are on track for most of our customers to have the ability to buy vehicle online independently if they choose by the middle of next fiscal year,\" CEO Bill Nash said on an earnings call last December.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官比尔·纳什 (Bill Nash) 在去年 12 月的财报看涨期权上表示：“如果大多数客户愿意，我们有望在下一财年中期之前让他们能够独立在线购买汽车。”</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, more consumers moved to the used car market during the pandemic. At the same time, used car prices rose on a combination of factors.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，在疫情期间，更多的消费者转向二手车市场。与此同时，受多种因素影响，二手车价格上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The pandemic strained Americans' wallets, forcing consumers to hold on to old cars longer and making fewer used cars available for sale. People also sought to avoid mass transportation. Rising new car prices, partly due to limited supply, also turned more shoppers to the used market.</p><p><blockquote>疫情让美国人的钱包捉襟见肘，迫使消费者持有旧车的时间更长，可供出售的二手车也减少了。人们也试图避开公共交通。新车价格上涨（部分原因是供应有限）也让更多购物者转向二手市场。</blockquote></p><p> Target Stock</p><p><blockquote>目标股票</blockquote></p><p> Target&nbsp;stock is in buy zone after breaking out of a new double-bottom base. The ideal buy point here is 196.35. The stock aggressively sprinted away from its 10-week line as it broke out.</p><p><blockquote>目标股票在突破新的双底基础后处于买入区域。这里理想的买点是196.35。该股在突破后积极冲刺脱离 10 周线。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> In fact TGTstockhas broken clear of all its major technical benchmarks, including its21-day exponential moving average. This is a very bullish behavior.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，TGTStock 已经突破了所有主要技术基准，包括 21 天指数移动平均线。这是一种非常看涨的行为。</blockquote></p><p> The RS line offers further reasons for enthusiasm among Target investors. It is spiking higher once more, and could soon hit a new high.</p><p><blockquote>RS系列为目标投资者的热情提供了进一步的理由。它再次飙升，并可能很快创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Target stock has a good Composite Rating of 87, putting it in top 13% ofstocks tracked. Earnings in particular are a strength, with&nbsp;EPS rising by an average of 83% over the past three quarters. Earnings rose by a less impressive, but still strong, 58% in the most recent quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Target stock 的综合评级为 87 分，位列被跟踪股票的前 13%。盈利尤其具有优势，过去三个季度每股收益平均增长 83%。最近一个季度的盈利增长了 58%，虽然不那么令人印象深刻，但仍然强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Institutional sentiment is also strong, with itsAccumulation/Distribution Ratingcoming in at B-. This reflects moderate buying among institutions. Notable holders include the Fidelity Select Retailing Portfolio Fund (FSRPX), which ranks as one of the very best funds according to IBD research.</p><p><blockquote>机构情绪也很强劲，其累积/分配评级为 B-。这反映出机构间的适度买入。著名的持有者包括富达精选零售投资组合基金（FSRPX），根据IBD research，该基金被评为最好的基金之一。</blockquote></p><p> Target recently announced it will invest$4 billion a year for several years to accelerate its shift to e-commerce</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特最近宣布将在几年内每年投资40亿美元，以加速向电子商务的转变</blockquote></p><p> During a virtual investor day, management said the massive investment campaign would include 30-40 new stores each year, new distribution centers and technology aimed at speeding up shelf restocking.</p><p><blockquote>在虚拟投资者日期间，管理层表示，大规模投资活动将包括每年 30-40 家新店、新配送中心和旨在加快货架补货的技术。</blockquote></p><p> Target will also test new package-sorting hubs and look for ways to design more efficient delivery routes.</p><p><blockquote>塔吉特还将测试新的包裹分拣中心，并寻找设计更高效的递送路线的方法。</blockquote></p><p> The company's focus on revamping its stores to serve more as fulfillment centers for online orders was well under way before Covid-19 hit. It is working to regain market share lost to online retail giant<b>Amazon</b>(AMZN)<b>.</b></p><p><blockquote>在 Covid-19 袭击之前，该公司一直致力于改造其商店，以提供更多在线订单履行中心的服务。它正在努力夺回在线零售巨头失去的市场份额<b>亚马逊</b>（亚马逊）<b>.</b></blockquote></p><p> Scotts Miracle-Gro Stock</p><p><blockquote>斯科茨奇迹-Gro股票</blockquote></p><p> Scotts Miracle-Gro stock has broken out of a cup-with-handle base, clearing the 238.91 buy point on March 26. SMG stock rebounded from its 50-day line the prior day.</p><p><blockquote>Scotts Miracle-Gro 股票已突破带手柄的杯子底部，于 3 月 26 日清除了 238.91 点的买入点。SMG股价从前一天的50日线反弹。</blockquote></p><p> The relative strength line for Scotts Miracle-Gro stock has been recovering strongly from recent dip, and could soon reach new highs.</p><p><blockquote>Scotts Miracle-Gro 股票的相对强弱线已从最近的下跌中强劲复苏，并可能很快达到新高。</blockquote></p><p> So far in 2021, the stock is up more than 21%.</p><p><blockquote>2021年迄今为止，该股已上涨超过21%。</blockquote></p><p> SMG stock has a good balance of earnings and price performance. This has earned it a top notch Composite Rating of 97. This puts it in the top 3% of stocks tracked.</p><p><blockquote>SMG股票在盈利和价格表现之间取得了良好的平衡。这为它赢得了97的顶级综合评级。这使其跻身被跟踪股票的前 3%。</blockquote></p><p> Scotts Miracle-Gro stock is&nbsp;particularly noteworthy for marijuana enthusiasts. The lawn care specialist has been investing in R&amp;D for better plant genetics and nutrient formulations for both cannabis and hemp plants.</p><p><blockquote>对于大麻爱好者来说，Scotts Miracle-Gro股票尤其值得注意。这位草坪护理专家一直在投资R&amp;D，为大麻和大麻植物提供更好的植物遗传学和营养配方。</blockquote></p><p> SMG took part in the marijuana stock rally that followed the Jan. 5 runoff elections in Georgia, granting a de facto majority in the U.S. Senate to the Democratic Party.</p><p><blockquote>SMG参加了1月5日佐治亚州决选后的大麻股票反弹，在美国获得了事实上的多数席位。民主党参议院。</blockquote></p><p> Big money is getting behind SMG stock, with itsAccumulation/Distribution Ratingcoming in at B-. The Federated Hermes Kaufmann Fund (KAUFX), rated as one of the best funds by IBD, is a noteworthy holder. In total, 49% of its stock is held by funds.</p><p><blockquote>SMG 股票背后有大量资金，其累积/分配评级为 B-。爱马仕考夫曼联邦基金（KAUFX）被IBD评为最佳基金之一，是一个值得注意的持有者。总体而言，其49%的股票由基金持有。</blockquote></p><p> Management holds a further 27%. A large management stake in a company is often seen as a sign of strong future prospects.</p><p><blockquote>管理层还持有27%的股份。公司管理层持有大量股份通常被视为未来前景良好的标志。</blockquote></p><p> XME</p><p><blockquote>XME</blockquote></p><p> The metals and mining ETF has charged back into buy zone after a powerful rebound from its 10-week line. It comes after the stock painfully reversed after breaking out of a 38.09cup base entry.</p><p><blockquote>金属和矿业 ETF 在从 10 周线强劲反弹后重新进入买入区域。此前，该股在突破 38.09 杯基础入口后痛苦地逆转。</blockquote></p><p> The rebound is particularly impressive when one considers the RS line has taken a slight dip. Overall, the ETF'srelative strength linehas been making good progress since November.</p><p><blockquote>当考虑到 RS 线略有下跌时，这种反弹尤其令人印象深刻。总体而言，ETF的相对强弱线自11月以来一直取得良好进展。</blockquote></p><p> Investing in individual stocks can carry more volatility and risk, though the rewards can be far greater. Investing in an ETF provides a way to play an entire industry.</p><p><blockquote>投资个股可能会带来更大的波动性和风险，尽管回报可能要大得多。投资ETF提供了一种玩转整个行业的方式。</blockquote></p><p> XME offers a good opportunity for those wanting to play the macro changes in the mining environment. Nevertheless, XME has still been displaying plenty of volatility amid a seesaw market. The rewards are obvious when one considers it has gained almost 20% in 2021 however.</p><p><blockquote>XME为那些想要发挥采矿环境宏观变化的人提供了一个很好的机会。尽管如此，XME 在跷跷板市场中仍然表现出很大的波动性。然而，当人们考虑到它在2021年上涨了近20%时，回报是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> Holdings include the likes of<b>Alcoa</b>(AA) and<b>Freeport-McMoRan</b>(FCX),<b>Steel Dynamics</b>(STLD) and<b>Royal Gold</b>(RGLD).</p><p><blockquote>持股包括<b>美国铝业</b>(AA)和<b>自由港-麦克莫兰</b>（FCX），<b>Steel Dynamics</b>（STLD）和<b>皇家黄金</b>（RGLD）。</blockquote></p><p> The gains for the ETF and other mining stocks come with a broader economic rebound from the coronavirus pandemic. As the economy reopens, some investors are betting demand for metal materials, and demand for more such materials to be mined from the earth, will recover with it.</p><p><blockquote>ETF 和其他矿业股的上涨得益于冠状病毒大流行带来的更广泛的经济反弹。随着经济重新开放，一些投资者押注对金属材料的需求，以及对从地球上开采更多此类材料的需求将随之恢复。</blockquote></p><p> \"Commodity markets have strengthened as the outlook for demand is improving and supply constraints are increasing,\" Jefferies mining stocks analysts said in a research note last month.</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞矿业股分析师在上个月的一份研究报告中表示：“随着需求前景改善和供应限制加剧，大宗商品市场已经走强。”</blockquote></p><p> Commodity prices for things like iron ore and nickel stood at multiyear highs earlier this year. Mining stocks have also been buoyed by prospects for more U.S. infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>今年早些时候，铁矿石和镍等大宗商品价格处于多年高位。美国增加基础设施支出的前景也提振了矿业股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.investors.com/research/best-stocks-to-buy-now/?src=A00220\">INVESTOR'BUSINESS DAILY</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.investors.com/research/best-stocks-to-buy-now/?src=A00220","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182614778","content_text":"Buying a stock is easy, but buying the right stock without a time-tested strategy is incredibly hard. So what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?Ford(F),CarMax(KMX)Target(TGT),Scotts Miracle-Gro(SMG) and the SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) are prime candidates.\nand shoulderspattern uh but we'll also take a look atVolume 0%\nSince the coronavirus bear market, stocks rebounded powerfully. The strong action reflects rising confidence that the economy will eventually recover from the coronavirus. The stock market has managed to get back on track after a brief correction, when all the major indexes all dipped below their50-day moving averages.\nNow is a good time to get back into the market, but caution should be exercised. It is somewhat akin to a tiger's tail - enticing enough to be worth grabbing, yet dangerous to hold on to too tightly due to possibly painful repercussions.\nThe Nasdaq is still acting like it's in a correction trapped below its 50-day line. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 ended March 26 at record closes.\nThe coronavirus pandemic remains a concern, though new cases and deaths are well off highs while vaccinations are ramping up. President Joe Biden has signed the $1.9 trillion coronavirus stimulus bill. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has saidthat the central bank is committed to an \"all-in\" approach as it tries to nurse the economy back to health.\nThere are concerns thataggressive fiscal and monetary policycould spur too-much inflation and hurt stock prices long-term.\nSo why do the stocks chosen stand out? Before turning to that question, it is important to consider how one goes about choosing a stock in the first place. Superior fundamentals and technical action, and buying at the right time, are all part of a shrewd investing formula.\nBest Stocks To Buy: The Crucial Ingredients\nRemember, there are thousands of stocks trading on the NYSE and Nasdaq. But you want to find the very best stocks right now to generate massive gains.\nTheCAN SLIM systemoffers clear guidelines on what you should be looking for. Invest in stocks with recent quarterly and annual earnings growth of at least 25%. Look for companies that have new, game-changing products and services. Also consider not-yet-profitable companies, often recent IPOs, that are generating tremendous revenue growth.\nIBD'sCAN SLIM Investing Systemhas a proven track record of significantly outperforming the S&P 500. Outdoing this industry benchmark is key to generating exceptional returns over the long term.\nIn addition, keep an eye on supply and demand for the stock itself, focus on leading stocks in top industry groups, and aim for stocks with strong institutional support.\nOnce you have found a stock that fits the criteria, it is then time to turn to stock charts to plot agood entry point. You should wait for a stock toform a base, and then buy once it reaches abuy point, ideally in heavy volume. In many cases, a stock reaches aproper buy pointwhen it breaks above the original high on the left side of the base. More information on what a base is, and how charts can be used to win big on the stock market, can be found here.\nDon't Forget The M When Buying Stocks\nNever forget that theM in CAN SLIM stands for market. Most stocks, even the very best, will tend to follow the market direction. Invest when the stock market is in aconfirmed uptrendand move to cash when the stock market goes into a correction.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq and the S&P 500 rallied strongly after recent pressure. The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones have recaptured their50-day moving averages, but are meeting resistance. The Nasdaq also briefly traded above this key benchmark, but slipped back below it. Technology and growth stocks are still showing signs of weakness.\nIt is now is a good time to get back into the market and buy fundamentally strong stocks coming out of proper chart bases. But this is no longer the powerful, growth stock rally of 2020.\nThe stocks featured below are potential candidates.\nAs you identify stocks, on a technical basis look for stocks with rising relative strength lines. Stocks that hold up amid tough conditions often bound to new highs once a market stabilizes.\nRemember, things can quickly change when it comes to the stock market. Make sure you don't miss out on a rally by keeping a close eye on themarket trend page here.\nBest Stocks To Buy Or Watch\nNow let's look at Ford stock, CarMax stock, Target stock, Scotts Miracle-Gro stock and XME in more detail. An important consideration is that these stocks all boast impressive relative strength.\nFord Stock\nFord stock is just above a 12.14 buy point after previously clearing a three-weeks-tightpattern. It is also rebounding from its 10-week moving average, which also serves as entry.\nThe RS line has been falling back after a strong spike from early January until mid-March. From a longer term perspective, it has been making progress, with periodic pullbacks, since May 2020. It is now at levels last seen in early 2019.\nFord stockhas more than tripled from its 2020 lows. This improvingstockmarket performance has helped itsIBD Composite Ratingimprove to a strong, but not ideal, 87. This puts it in the top 13% of stocks tracked overall.\nEarnings are improving, but are lagging its price performance. This is reflected in its EPS Rating of 75.\nFord stockhas been bolstered by the firm taking a more aggressive stance on investments in electric vehicles and other technology.\nSpending in electric and autonomous vehicles will total $29 billion through 2025, more than double prior guidance of $11.5 billion. Of the $29 billion, Ford will spend $22 billion on EVs and $7 billion on autonomy.\nThe bigger amount even outpaces the $27 billion commitment from rival GM, which had already hiked it from $20 billion.\n\"We are accelerating all our plans – breaking constraints, increasing battery capacity, improving costs and getting more electric vehicles into our product cycle plan,\" CEO Jim Farley said when the firm posted earnings in February.\nHowever, the company said chip shortages will hurt production and profit this year. It has had to cut production of its lucrative F-150 pickup due to chip shortages.\nThe iconic auto giant is ticking boxes forCAN SLIM investors, who look out for firms bringing new products to market.\nThe Ford Mustang Mach-E launched at the end of 2020 and picked up steam in February. The electric crossover competes with Tesla's Model Y.\nFordalso has launched the Mach-E in Europeand has begun production of the Mach-E in China.\nIt is also an investor in electric truck maker Rivian, whose shares could go public as soon as September and set a record for the biggest EV IPO.\nFord stock rose in February after it announced a six-year partnership with Google parent Alphabet (GOOGL) to develop more connected vehicles. The partnership will put Google apps and services into future Ford and Lincoln vehicles.\nCarMax Stock\nCarMax stock is near buy zone after breaking out of aflat base. The idealentry point is 128.68, according to MarketSmith analysis.\nThe used car dealer chain rebounded strongly last week after test its 10-week line and briefly undercutting the buy point.\nKMX stock also has a three-weeks-tight around the top of the buy zone. That offers an alternate entry of 136.53.\nIn addition, therelative strength linefor CarMax stock is looking mighty. It is sitting near all-time highs on its weekly chart, and has been trending upwards since early January. The stock is up more around 44% so far this year.\nKMX stock has a strong, but not ideal, IBD Composite Rating of 89. Earnings are the standout strength for KMX stock, with itsEPS Rating coming in at 90 out of 99.\nIt has been affected by the initial coronavirus lockdowns, butEPS roared back to 37% growth in the most recent quarter. Earnings have accelerated for the past two quarters.\nAnalysts see earnings falling 16% in 2021, before roaring back with growth of 27% in 2022.\nBig money is piling in, with its Accumulation/Distribution Rating coming in at B+. This represents moderate-to-heavy buying over the past 13 weeks. In total, 57% of its stock is held by funds.\nCarMax operates used car stores in more than 70 metropolitan markets. It is a recentIBD Stock Of The Day.\nCarMax's network of 220 stores nationwide sold more than 830,000 used cars in its last financial year. Overall used vehicle sales are expected to rise 2.9% in 2021 to 39.3 million, according to Cox Automotive.\nFor Q3, it reported more than 50% of customers chose to advance their transaction online. It has expanded in home delivery and contactless curbside pickup, tapping new avenues of growth.\n\"We are on track for most of our customers to have the ability to buy vehicle online independently if they choose by the middle of next fiscal year,\" CEO Bill Nash said on an earnings call last December.\nMeanwhile, more consumers moved to the used car market during the pandemic. At the same time, used car prices rose on a combination of factors.\nThe pandemic strained Americans' wallets, forcing consumers to hold on to old cars longer and making fewer used cars available for sale. People also sought to avoid mass transportation. Rising new car prices, partly due to limited supply, also turned more shoppers to the used market.\nTarget Stock\nTarget stock is in buy zone after breaking out of a new double-bottom base. The ideal buy point here is 196.35. The stock aggressively sprinted away from its 10-week line as it broke out.\nIn fact TGTstockhas broken clear of all its major technical benchmarks, including its21-day exponential moving average. This is a very bullish behavior.\nThe RS line offers further reasons for enthusiasm among Target investors. It is spiking higher once more, and could soon hit a new high.\nTarget stock has a good Composite Rating of 87, putting it in top 13% ofstocks tracked. Earnings in particular are a strength, with EPS rising by an average of 83% over the past three quarters. Earnings rose by a less impressive, but still strong, 58% in the most recent quarter.\nInstitutional sentiment is also strong, with itsAccumulation/Distribution Ratingcoming in at B-. This reflects moderate buying among institutions. Notable holders include the Fidelity Select Retailing Portfolio Fund (FSRPX), which ranks as one of the very best funds according to IBD research.\nTarget recently announced it will invest$4 billion a year for several years to accelerate its shift to e-commerce\nDuring a virtual investor day, management said the massive investment campaign would include 30-40 new stores each year, new distribution centers and technology aimed at speeding up shelf restocking.\nTarget will also test new package-sorting hubs and look for ways to design more efficient delivery routes.\nThe company's focus on revamping its stores to serve more as fulfillment centers for online orders was well under way before Covid-19 hit. It is working to regain market share lost to online retail giantAmazon(AMZN).\nScotts Miracle-Gro Stock\nScotts Miracle-Gro stock has broken out of a cup-with-handle base, clearing the 238.91 buy point on March 26. SMG stock rebounded from its 50-day line the prior day.\nThe relative strength line for Scotts Miracle-Gro stock has been recovering strongly from recent dip, and could soon reach new highs.\nSo far in 2021, the stock is up more than 21%.\nSMG stock has a good balance of earnings and price performance. This has earned it a top notch Composite Rating of 97. This puts it in the top 3% of stocks tracked.\nScotts Miracle-Gro stock is particularly noteworthy for marijuana enthusiasts. The lawn care specialist has been investing in R&D for better plant genetics and nutrient formulations for both cannabis and hemp plants.\nSMG took part in the marijuana stock rally that followed the Jan. 5 runoff elections in Georgia, granting a de facto majority in the U.S. Senate to the Democratic Party.\nBig money is getting behind SMG stock, with itsAccumulation/Distribution Ratingcoming in at B-. The Federated Hermes Kaufmann Fund (KAUFX), rated as one of the best funds by IBD, is a noteworthy holder. In total, 49% of its stock is held by funds.\nManagement holds a further 27%. A large management stake in a company is often seen as a sign of strong future prospects.\nXME\nThe metals and mining ETF has charged back into buy zone after a powerful rebound from its 10-week line. It comes after the stock painfully reversed after breaking out of a 38.09cup base entry.\nThe rebound is particularly impressive when one considers the RS line has taken a slight dip. Overall, the ETF'srelative strength linehas been making good progress since November.\nInvesting in individual stocks can carry more volatility and risk, though the rewards can be far greater. Investing in an ETF provides a way to play an entire industry.\nXME offers a good opportunity for those wanting to play the macro changes in the mining environment. Nevertheless, XME has still been displaying plenty of volatility amid a seesaw market. The rewards are obvious when one considers it has gained almost 20% in 2021 however.\nHoldings include the likes ofAlcoa(AA) andFreeport-McMoRan(FCX),Steel Dynamics(STLD) andRoyal Gold(RGLD).\nThe gains for the ETF and other mining stocks come with a broader economic rebound from the coronavirus pandemic. As the economy reopens, some investors are betting demand for metal materials, and demand for more such materials to be mined from the earth, will recover with it.\n\"Commodity markets have strengthened as the outlook for demand is improving and supply constraints are increasing,\" Jefferies mining stocks analysts said in a research note last month.\nCommodity prices for things like iron ore and nickel stood at multiyear highs earlier this year. Mining stocks have also been buoyed by prospects for more U.S. infrastructure spending.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":355838716,"gmtCreate":1617058756635,"gmtModify":1634522932900,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.","listText":"Read.","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355838716","repostId":"1111192234","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1111192234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616772179,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111192234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111192234","media":"Barrons","summary":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla. Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors and Ford Motor have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and","content":"<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等高估值、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%，此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说，华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年，分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车，同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆，同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测，特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车，在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道：”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息，看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为，由于芯片的影响，预测存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时，这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后，今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌 0.9%，至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 23:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等高估值、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%，此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说，华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年，分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车，同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆，同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测，特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车，在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道：”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息，看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为，由于芯片的影响，预测存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时，这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后，今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌 0.9%，至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111192234","content_text":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.\nNumbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors(GM) and Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.\nEveryone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.\nSo far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.\nNIO shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker reduced guidance for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.\nFor Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.\nTesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.\nRBC analyst Joe Spak is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.\nSpak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.\nIn the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.\nTesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The S&P 500is up about 0.7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352280235,"gmtCreate":1616978283527,"gmtModify":1634523366423,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.&nbsp;","listText":"Read.&nbsp;","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352280235","repostId":"2123281118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352320073,"gmtCreate":1616896159292,"gmtModify":1634523633520,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.&nbsp;","listText":"Read.&nbsp;","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352320073","repostId":"1111192234","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111192234","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616772179,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1111192234?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111192234","media":"Barrons","summary":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla. Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors and Ford Motor have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and","content":"<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等高估值、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%，此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说，华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年，分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车，同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆，同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测，特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车，在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道：”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息，看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为，由于芯片的影响，预测存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时，这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后，今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌 0.9%，至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Deliveries Are Coming. They Matter More Than Ever. Here’s What to Expect.<blockquote>特斯拉快递来了。它们比以往任何时候都更重要。以下是可以期待的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 23:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度还有几天就结束了。这意味着汽车制造商将提供更多交付数据。对于投资者来说，这些数字将比平时更高。原因很简单：全球汽车微芯片短缺正在扰乱整个汽车行业。</blockquote></p><p> Numbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as&nbsp;Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both&nbsp;General Motors(GM) and&nbsp;Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉（股票代码：TSLA）等高估值、高增长的公司来说，数字将更加重要。特斯拉投资者想要增长，而芯片形势正在挤压增长。通用汽车 (GM) 和福特汽车 (F) 最近都意外停工，并称芯片问题是 2021 年数十亿美元的利润阻力。这不是投资者想听到的。</blockquote></p><p> Everyone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都意识到这个问题。尽管如此，当第一季度数据公布时，如果业绩弱于预期，投资者必须决定是否给予特斯拉或任何其他快速增长的电动汽车制造商通行证。</blockquote></p><p> So far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止，市场并不乐观。但样本量只有一只股票。</blockquote></p><p> NIO&nbsp;shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker&nbsp;reduced guidance&nbsp;for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来（蔚来）股价在周五交易中下跌超过 6%，此前这家电动汽车制造商将第一季度交付量指引从约 20,250 辆下调至约 19,500 辆。蔚来管理层以芯片短缺为由，将从 3 月 29 日开始关闭一家制造工厂五天。</blockquote></p><p> For Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.</p><p><blockquote>对于特斯拉来说，华尔街正在寻找 3 月份交付的约 162,000 辆汽车。这低于最高估计的约 18.3 万辆汽车。分析师似乎正在减少数字，可能是因为短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the&nbsp;fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第四季度交付了约 181,000 辆汽车。对于 2021 年全年，分析师预计将交付近 80 万辆汽车，同比增长约 60%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analyst&nbsp;Joe Spak&nbsp;is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting&nbsp;Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师乔·斯帕克 (Joe Spak) 预测第一季度交付量为 170,000 辆，同比增长 90% 以上。他还预测，特斯拉本季度将在加州生产 96,000 辆汽车，在华生产 74,000 辆汽车。“Spak在周四的一份报告中写道：”共识[估计]看起来大多是合理的。“我们确实在寻找最新消息，看看半短缺对特斯拉的影响--就像对整个行业的影响一样。”他认为，由于芯片的影响，预测存在一些额外的下行风险，尤其是第二季度的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.</p><p><blockquote>Spak 将特斯拉股票评级为持有，目标股价为 725 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.</p><p><blockquote>就特斯拉股票而言，芯片短缺已经让位于利率上升。增长率上升主要有两种方式。首先，这使得增长的融资成本更高。蔚来尚未盈利。高增长公司的大部分现金流是在未来很长一段时间内产生的。相对而言，当投资者今天可以从现金中获得更高的利率时，这种现金流的价值就会降低一些。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The&nbsp;S&amp;P 500is up about 0.7%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价在 2020 年上涨超过 740% 后，今年迄今已下跌约 10%。周五早盘交易中，股价下跌 0.9%，至 634.40 美元。标准普尔500指数上涨约0.7%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-deliveries-are-coming-they-matter-more-than-ever-heres-what-to-expect-51616769819?mod=hp_DAY_Theme_1_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111192234","content_text":"The first quarter ends in just a few days. That means more delivery data from auto makers is due. For investors, the figures will be higher stakes than usual. The reason is simple: The global automotive microchip shortage is roiling the entire car business.\nNumbers will matter even more for richly valued, high-growth companies such as Tesla(ticker: TSLA). Tesla investors want growth, and the chip situation is squeezing growth. Both General Motors(GM) and Ford Motor(F) have taken unexpected plant downtime recently and have called the chip issue a billion-dollar profit headwind for 2021. That’s not what investors want to hear.\nEveryone is aware of the issue. Still, when first-quarter data is released, investors have to decide whether or not to give Tesla, or any other fast-growing EV maker, a pass if results are weaker than expected.\nSo far the market isn’t feeling charitable. But the sample size is only one stock.\nNIO shares (NIO) are down more than 6% in Friday trading after the EV maker reduced guidance for first-quarter deliveries from about 20,250 cars to about 19,500. NIO management cited the chip shortage and is shutting a manufacturing plant for five days starting March 29.\nFor Tesla, Wall Street is looking for about 162,000 vehicles delivered in March. That’s down from a peak estimate of about 183,000 vehicles. Analysts seem to be reducing numbers, possibly because of the shortage.\nTesla delivered about 181,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter. For the full year 2021, analysts are looking for almost 800,000 vehicle deliveries, up about 60% year over year.\nRBC analyst Joe Spak is forecasting 170,000 first-quarter deliveries, up more than 90% year over year. He also forecasts Tesla will make 96,000 cars in California and 74,000 cars in China during the quarter. “Consensus [estimate] looks mostly reasonable,” wrote Spak in a Thursday report. “We do look for updates to see how the semi shortage is impacting Tesla—as it has the rest of the industry.” He sees some additional downside risk to estimates, especially for second-quarter numbers, because of chips.\nSpak rates Tesla stock Hold and has a $725 price target for shares.\nIn the case of Tesla stock, the chip shortage has taken a back seat to rising interest rates. Rising rateshit growth stocksin two main ways. For starters, it makes growth more expensive to finance. NIO isn’t profitable yet. High-growth companies generate most of their cash flow far in the future. That cash flow is worth a little less, relatively speaking, when investors can earn higher interest rates on their cash today.\nTesla stock is down roughly 10% year to date after rising more than 740% in 2020. Shares are down 0.9% in early Friday trading, at $634.40. The S&P 500is up about 0.7%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356711433,"gmtCreate":1616814594222,"gmtModify":1634523856544,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.","listText":"Read.","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356711433","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358496414,"gmtCreate":1616720620838,"gmtModify":1634524382496,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.&nbsp;","listText":"Read.&nbsp;","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358496414","repostId":"2122444180","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1080,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":329674906,"gmtCreate":1615247799505,"gmtModify":1703486164793,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.","listText":"Read.","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/329674906","repostId":"1199173220","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346705315,"gmtCreate":1618109127137,"gmtModify":1634294870761,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.&nbsp;","listText":"Read.&nbsp;","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346705315","repostId":"1171250660","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340423918,"gmtCreate":1617456889234,"gmtModify":1634520886443,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.","listText":"Read.","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340423918","repostId":"2124875875","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":915,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354611330,"gmtCreate":1617165915820,"gmtModify":1634522303277,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.","listText":"Read.","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354611330","repostId":"1163996400","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":848,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327532067,"gmtCreate":1616108771059,"gmtModify":1634527237871,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.&nbsp;","listText":"Read.&nbsp;","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327532067","repostId":"2120163660","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":362290279,"gmtCreate":1614640149191,"gmtModify":1703479137941,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"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Like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Read. Like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Read. Like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188408562","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343046541,"gmtCreate":1617666448383,"gmtModify":1634297279934,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.&nbsp;","listText":"Read.&nbsp;","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343046541","repostId":"1123709980","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356711433,"gmtCreate":1616814594222,"gmtModify":1634523856544,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.","listText":"Read.","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356711433","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技首日交易下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股 8.02 美元，比公司 9.5 美元的 IPO 价格低约 15.6%。知乎的 IPO 价格处于区间的低端，公司估值约为 53 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五公布了首次公开募股的定价，为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期范围的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中提供了5500万份广告，筹集了5.225亿美元，而定价对该公司的估值约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎有一个类似于Quora的商业模式，数百万人提出问题，交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为中国最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们估计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年增加到31.5%，在2025年增加到37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率由2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率将进一步提高至2021年的57.4%和2025年的62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用及营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总营运开支占收入的百分比由二零一九年的204.4%大幅下降至二零二零年的100.6%。我们预计这一比率将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年达到69.2%，2025年达到57.2%。运营费用的大部分改善来自于未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>截至2020年底，知乎累计拥有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的主要优势之一是它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被认为提供中国最高质量的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎从百度和快手科技等领先投资者那里获得了4.34亿美元的资金，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率应用于该公司 2020 年 2.07 亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为 75 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初开发于2010年，是一个问答在线社区。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿条问答，涵盖1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。就2020年的平均移动MAU和收入而言，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周源拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>主要人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性占用户总数的56.9%。30岁以下的人占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市占总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领职场人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占该公司收入的最大部分。于二零一九年及二零二零年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%及62.4%。本公司的广告收入主要由其每月活跃用户及每月活跃用户的广告收入推动。2020年，该公司的MAU同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年推出付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，平均每月会员人数同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，该公司推出了Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了无限制访问约340万个付费内容的机会，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它展示了高质量的数据和内容如何产生大量的收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>内容商务解决方案和其他销售额在2020年也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入由2019年的人民币60万元跃升至2020年的人民币1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足他们所有的销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、将最相关的内容创作者分配给感兴趣的用户以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将是未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询，预计2019年至2025年，中国内容商务解决方案市场将实现46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指以UGC（用户生成内容）为中心的（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容）为中心的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创建者也是用户，他们在社区内积极参与。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以刺激更高水平的用户参与、更多交互式的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由二零一五年的386亿元人民币增长至二零一九年的2758亿元人民币，预计二零二五年将进一步增长至1.3万亿元人民币，二零一九年至二零二五年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场的增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电子商务、内容商务解决方案、直播中的虚拟礼物、网络游戏和在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一大积极因素是越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。2019 年至 2025 年间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量预计将以 17.1% 的复合年增长率增长，这意味着到 2025 年，在线内容社区的付费用户数量将增加 3.604 亿，达到 5.882 亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国网络内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场从2015年增长了两倍，到2019年达到1.2万亿元人民币。该市场预计将于2025年增长至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国在线内容社区市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015-2025年中国付费会员市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供集成的内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到分发给感兴趣的用户。中国内容商务解决方案市场预计将从2019年的114亿元人民币增长至2025年的1123亿元人民币，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（按收入计），2015-2025E</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1006,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369033526,"gmtCreate":1613986881465,"gmtModify":1634551655160,"author":{"id":"3573460279780916","authorId":"3573460279780916","name":"Yyangyang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03e90f03996b1e2424f9ab150e255a","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573460279780916","idStr":"3573460279780916"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Read.&nbsp;","listText":"Read.&nbsp;","text":"Read.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369033526","repostId":"1165604778","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165604778","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613976323,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1165604778?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-22 14:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should you put your hard-earned money into marijuana stocks?<blockquote>你应该把辛苦赚来的钱投入大麻股票吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165604778","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Should you put your hard-earned money into marijuana stocks? We detail the investment opportunities,","content":"<p>Should you put your hard-earned money into marijuana stocks? We detail the investment opportunities, risks, and regulations in the cannabis space.</p><p><blockquote>你应该把辛苦赚来的钱投入大麻股票吗？我们详细介绍了大麻领域的投资机会、风险和法规。</blockquote></p><p> The marijuana industry is expected to triple in the next five years -- and many investors are looking to profit.</p><p><blockquote>大麻行业预计将在未来五年内增长两倍，许多投资者都在寻求盈利。</blockquote></p><p> As states and entire countries decriminalize or legalize cannabis and/or its components, there are loads of opportunities for entrepreneurs and existing companies.</p><p><blockquote>随着各州和整个国家将大麻和/或其成分合法化或合法化，企业家和现有公司有很多机会。</blockquote></p><p> But as in any nascent industry, there are also loads of risks and bad actors. Whether you're a first-time investor or a seasoned veteran, it pays to understand all of the moving parts.</p><p><blockquote>但与任何新兴行业一样，也存在大量风险和不良行为者。无论您是首次投资者还是经验丰富的老手，了解所有移动部件都是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> This guide will get you up to speed quickly.</p><p><blockquote>这个指南会让你很快上手。</blockquote></p><p> How to Invest in Marijuana Stocks</p><p><blockquote>如何投资大麻股票</blockquote></p><p> Follow these seven steps if you're thinking about buying cannabis stocks. The following is a summary, but we encourage you to read the entire article linked below for all the details.</p><p><blockquote>如果你正在考虑购买大麻股票，请遵循这七个步骤。以下是摘要，但我们鼓励您阅读下面链接的整篇文章，了解所有细节。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>1. Understand the types of marijuana products.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>1.了解大麻制品的种类。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>There are two types of cannabis products: medical marijuana vs. recreational marijuana.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol (CBD) is a cannabinoid that is different than the psychoactive delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol (THC).</li> </ul> <b><i>2. Know the different types of marijuana stocks.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>有两种类型的大麻产品：医用大麻和娱乐用大麻。</li><li>大麻二酚（CBD）是一种大麻素，不同于精神活性δ-9四氢大麻酚（THC）。</li></ul><b><i>2.了解不同类型的大麻库存。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Marijuana growers like<b>Canopy Growth Corporation</b>(NYSE:CGC)</li>  <li>Cannabis-focused biotechs like<b>GW Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:GWPH)</li>  <li>Providers of supporting products and services like<b>Scotts Miracle-Gro</b>(NYSE:SMG)</li> </ul> <b><i>3. Understand the risks of investing in marijuana stocks.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大麻种植者喜欢<b>树冠生长公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CGC）</li><li>专注于大麻的生物技术公司，例如<b>GW制药</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：GWPH）</li><li>支持产品和服务提供商，例如<b>斯科茨奇迹格罗</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SMG）</li></ul><b><i>3.了解投资大麻股票的风险。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Legal and political risks</li>  <li>Supply/demand imbalances</li>  <li>Risk in those that are over-the-counter stocks</li> </ul> <b><i>4. Know what to look for in a marijuana stock.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>法律和政治风险</li><li>供需失衡</li><li>场外股票的风险</li></ul><b><i>4. 知道在大麻库存中要寻找什么。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Normal stock considerations, including:</li>  <li>Cannabis production costs</li>  <li>For Canadian companies, the extent of international operations and distribution</li>  <li>Dilution risks via warrants and convertible securities</li> </ul> <b><i>5. Evaluate the top marijuana stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>正常的库存考虑因素，包括：</li><li>大麻生产成本</li><li>对于加拿大公司来说，国际运营和分销的程度</li><li>认股权证及可换股证券摊薄风险</li></ul><b><i>5.评估顶级大麻股票和交易所交易基金（ETF）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Marijuana growers like Canopy Growth,<b>Aurora Cannabis</b>(NYSE:ACB),<b>Tilray</b>(NASDAQ:TLRY), and<b>Aphria</b>(NYSE:APHA)</li>  <li>Biotechs like GW Pharmaceuticals,<b>Cara Therapeutics</b>(NASDAQ:CARA), and<b>Insys Therapeutics</b>(NASDAQ:INSY)</li>  <li>Ancillary providers like Scotts Miracle-Gro</li>  <li>ETFs like<b>Horizons Marijuana Life Sciences ETF</b>(NASDAQOTH:HMLSF) and<b>ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF</b>(NYSEMKT:MJ)</li> </ul> <b><i>6. Invest carefully.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大麻种植者喜欢树冠生长，<b>奥罗拉大麻</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：ACB），<b>蒂尔雷</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：TLRY），以及<b>阿弗里亚</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：APHA）</li><li>GW Pharmaceuticals 等生物技术公司，<b>卡拉疗法</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CARA），以及<b>英赛斯治疗</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：INSY）</li><li>Scotts Miracle-Gro 等辅助提供商</li><li>ETF 喜欢<b>地平线大麻生命科学 ETF</b>（纳斯达克代码：HMLSF）和<b>ETFMG 另类收获 ETF</b>（NYSEMKT:MJ）</li></ul><b><i>6.谨慎投资。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>For many, avoiding individual investments in the marijuana space entirely is the right call.</li>  <li>For those who buy in, keeping your marijuana exposure to a small percentage of your overall portfolio limits your risk.</li>  <li>Pure plays are riskier than more diversified plays.</li> </ul> <b><i>7. Monitor changing industry dynamics closely.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>对许多人来说，完全避免个人投资大麻领域是正确的看涨期权。</li><li>对于那些买入的人来说，将你的大麻敞口保持在你整体投资组合的一小部分可以限制你的风险。</li><li>纯粹的游戏比更多元化的游戏风险更大。</li></ul><b><i>7.密切关注不断变化的行业动态。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Laws, regulations, competitive forces, and the business strategies of the companies themselves will all change rapidly over time.</li> </ul> Read more:How to Invest in Marijuana Stocks(Note: includes a list of every major marijuana stock)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着时间的推移，法律、法规、竞争力量和公司本身的商业战略都会迅速变化。</li></ul>阅读更多：如何投资大麻股票（注：包括每个主要大麻股票的列表）</blockquote></p><p> But, Really, Should I Buy Marijuana Stocks?</p><p><blockquote>但是，说真的，我应该购买大麻股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> We just went step-by-step through how to invest in cannabis, but just because there's a trendy new sector with lots of press and potential growth doesn't mean you need to put your hard-earned money in it. After all, if you buy broad index funds, you're covered no matter what sector of the stock market does well.</p><p><blockquote>我们只是一步一步地介绍了如何投资大麻，但仅仅因为有一个时尚的新行业，有很多媒体和潜在的增长，并不意味着你需要把你的血汗钱投入其中。毕竟，如果您购买广泛的指数基金，无论股市哪个板块表现良好，您都会得到保障。</blockquote></p><p> Think through the pros and cons as you read on:Should You Invest in Marijuana Stocks?</p><p><blockquote>当您继续阅读时，请思考利弊：您应该投资大麻股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> Marijuana Legalization in the U.S.: The History and the Future</p><p><blockquote>美国大麻合法化：历史与未来</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest variables in cannabis investing is to what extent marijuana will be decriminalized or legalized within the United States, both on a state-by-state basis and on a federal basis.</p><p><blockquote>大麻投资的最大变量之一是大麻在美国将在多大程度上合法化，无论是在各州还是在联邦层面。</blockquote></p><p> The link below provides a quick spin through what we've seen so far, from decriminalization efforts starting in 1973 to legalization efforts beginning in earnest in 1996 to the political signs of where we seem to be heading.</p><p><blockquote>下面的链接快速回顾了我们迄今为止所看到的情况，从1973年开始的非刑罪化努力到1996年认真开始的合法化努力，再到我们似乎正在走向的政治迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Read on:Timeline for Marijuana Legalization in the United States: How the Dominoes Are Falling</p><p><blockquote>阅读：美国大麻合法化时间表：多米诺骨牌如何倒下</blockquote></p><p> More Information on Canadian Marijuana Stocks</p><p><blockquote>有关加拿大大麻库存的更多信息</blockquote></p><p> There's been tremendous interest in Canadian cannabis stocks, because on October 17, 2018, recreational use of marijuana became legal in Canada (it had been legalized on a medical basis since 2001).</p><p><blockquote>人们对加拿大大麻股票产生了极大的兴趣，因为2018年10月17日，大麻的娱乐性使用在加拿大变得合法（自2001年以来，它已经在医疗基础上合法化）。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond consumption by Canadians, the upside thesis involves operations or distribution to other countries that have legalized or may legalize marijuana to various extents. This includes Germany and particularly the large market on Canada's southern border.</p><p><blockquote>除了加拿大人的消费，上行论点还涉及向其他已经或可能在不同程度上使大麻合法化的国家运营或分销。这包括德国，尤其是加拿大南部边境的大市场。</blockquote></p><p> Read on:Everything You Need to Know About Investing in Canadian Marijuana Stocks</p><p><blockquote>继续阅读：有关投资加拿大大麻股票您需要了解的一切</blockquote></p><p> Commonly Confused Cannabis Terms</p><p><blockquote>常见混淆的大麻术语</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the difficulties in understanding the marijuana industry is the jargon. Fortunately, it's not too complicated once you get a handle on a few main terms.</p><p><blockquote>理解大麻产业的困难之一是行话。幸运的是，一旦你掌握了几个主要术语，就不会太复杂了。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Marijuana vs. cannabis</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大麻与大麻</i></blockquote></p><p> Cannabis is the scientific name of the plant (the genus that houses three species). For an investor's purposes, marijuana is synonymous with cannabis, as are more informal nicknames like pot, weed, ganja, dope, grass, 420, sticky icky, etc.</p><p><blockquote>大麻是这种植物的学名（包含三个物种的属）。对于投资者来说，大麻是大麻的同义词，还有更非正式的昵称，如大麻、杂草、大麻、毒品、草、420、粘糊糊的等。</blockquote></p><p> <i>CBD vs. THC</i></p><p><blockquote><i>CBD 与 THC</i></blockquote></p><p> Cannabis is made up of nearly 500 chemical constituents, including many dozens of cannabinoids (substances that act on the body's cannabinoid receptors).</p><p><blockquote>大麻由近500种化学成分组成，包括几十种大麻素（作用于身体大麻素受体的物质）。</blockquote></p><p> The two most commercially relevant of these cannabinoids are delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) and cannabidiol (CBD). Only THC is psychoactive (i.e., makes you high).</p><p><blockquote>这些大麻素中两种最具商业相关性的是δ-9四氢大麻酚（THC）和大麻二酚（CBD）。只有THC有精神活性（即让你兴奋）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Hemp</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大麻</i></blockquote></p><p> Hemp is a strain of a species of cannabis with relatively low levels of THC and relatively high levels of CBD. It has many industrial uses like providing fibers to make rope and clothing.</p><p><blockquote>大麻是一种大麻，四氢大麻酚含量相对较低，CBD含量相对较高。它有许多工业用途，比如提供纤维来制造绳子和衣服。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should you put your hard-earned money into marijuana stocks?<blockquote>你应该把辛苦赚来的钱投入大麻股票吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould you put your hard-earned money into marijuana stocks?<blockquote>你应该把辛苦赚来的钱投入大麻股票吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-22 14:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Should you put your hard-earned money into marijuana stocks? We detail the investment opportunities, risks, and regulations in the cannabis space.</p><p><blockquote>你应该把辛苦赚来的钱投入大麻股票吗？我们详细介绍了大麻领域的投资机会、风险和法规。</blockquote></p><p> The marijuana industry is expected to triple in the next five years -- and many investors are looking to profit.</p><p><blockquote>大麻行业预计将在未来五年内增长两倍，许多投资者都在寻求盈利。</blockquote></p><p> As states and entire countries decriminalize or legalize cannabis and/or its components, there are loads of opportunities for entrepreneurs and existing companies.</p><p><blockquote>随着各州和整个国家将大麻和/或其成分合法化或合法化，企业家和现有公司有很多机会。</blockquote></p><p> But as in any nascent industry, there are also loads of risks and bad actors. Whether you're a first-time investor or a seasoned veteran, it pays to understand all of the moving parts.</p><p><blockquote>但与任何新兴行业一样，也存在大量风险和不良行为者。无论您是首次投资者还是经验丰富的老手，了解所有移动部件都是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> This guide will get you up to speed quickly.</p><p><blockquote>这个指南会让你很快上手。</blockquote></p><p> How to Invest in Marijuana Stocks</p><p><blockquote>如何投资大麻股票</blockquote></p><p> Follow these seven steps if you're thinking about buying cannabis stocks. The following is a summary, but we encourage you to read the entire article linked below for all the details.</p><p><blockquote>如果你正在考虑购买大麻股票，请遵循这七个步骤。以下是摘要，但我们鼓励您阅读下面链接的整篇文章，了解所有细节。</blockquote></p><p> <b><i>1. Understand the types of marijuana products.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><b><i>1.了解大麻制品的种类。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>There are two types of cannabis products: medical marijuana vs. recreational marijuana.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol (CBD) is a cannabinoid that is different than the psychoactive delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol (THC).</li> </ul> <b><i>2. Know the different types of marijuana stocks.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>有两种类型的大麻产品：医用大麻和娱乐用大麻。</li><li>大麻二酚（CBD）是一种大麻素，不同于精神活性δ-9四氢大麻酚（THC）。</li></ul><b><i>2.了解不同类型的大麻库存。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Marijuana growers like<b>Canopy Growth Corporation</b>(NYSE:CGC)</li>  <li>Cannabis-focused biotechs like<b>GW Pharmaceuticals</b>(NASDAQ:GWPH)</li>  <li>Providers of supporting products and services like<b>Scotts Miracle-Gro</b>(NYSE:SMG)</li> </ul> <b><i>3. Understand the risks of investing in marijuana stocks.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大麻种植者喜欢<b>树冠生长公司</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：CGC）</li><li>专注于大麻的生物技术公司，例如<b>GW制药</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：GWPH）</li><li>支持产品和服务提供商，例如<b>斯科茨奇迹格罗</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：SMG）</li></ul><b><i>3.了解投资大麻股票的风险。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Legal and political risks</li>  <li>Supply/demand imbalances</li>  <li>Risk in those that are over-the-counter stocks</li> </ul> <b><i>4. Know what to look for in a marijuana stock.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>法律和政治风险</li><li>供需失衡</li><li>场外股票的风险</li></ul><b><i>4. 知道在大麻库存中要寻找什么。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Normal stock considerations, including:</li>  <li>Cannabis production costs</li>  <li>For Canadian companies, the extent of international operations and distribution</li>  <li>Dilution risks via warrants and convertible securities</li> </ul> <b><i>5. Evaluate the top marijuana stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>正常的库存考虑因素，包括：</li><li>大麻生产成本</li><li>对于加拿大公司来说，国际运营和分销的程度</li><li>认股权证及可换股证券摊薄风险</li></ul><b><i>5.评估顶级大麻股票和交易所交易基金（ETF）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Marijuana growers like Canopy Growth,<b>Aurora Cannabis</b>(NYSE:ACB),<b>Tilray</b>(NASDAQ:TLRY), and<b>Aphria</b>(NYSE:APHA)</li>  <li>Biotechs like GW Pharmaceuticals,<b>Cara Therapeutics</b>(NASDAQ:CARA), and<b>Insys Therapeutics</b>(NASDAQ:INSY)</li>  <li>Ancillary providers like Scotts Miracle-Gro</li>  <li>ETFs like<b>Horizons Marijuana Life Sciences ETF</b>(NASDAQOTH:HMLSF) and<b>ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF</b>(NYSEMKT:MJ)</li> </ul> <b><i>6. Invest carefully.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>大麻种植者喜欢树冠生长，<b>奥罗拉大麻</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：ACB），<b>蒂尔雷</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：TLRY），以及<b>阿弗里亚</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：APHA）</li><li>GW Pharmaceuticals 等生物技术公司，<b>卡拉疗法</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：CARA），以及<b>英赛斯治疗</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：INSY）</li><li>Scotts Miracle-Gro 等辅助提供商</li><li>ETF 喜欢<b>地平线大麻生命科学 ETF</b>（纳斯达克代码：HMLSF）和<b>ETFMG 另类收获 ETF</b>（NYSEMKT:MJ）</li></ul><b><i>6.谨慎投资。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>For many, avoiding individual investments in the marijuana space entirely is the right call.</li>  <li>For those who buy in, keeping your marijuana exposure to a small percentage of your overall portfolio limits your risk.</li>  <li>Pure plays are riskier than more diversified plays.</li> </ul> <b><i>7. Monitor changing industry dynamics closely.</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>对许多人来说，完全避免个人投资大麻领域是正确的看涨期权。</li><li>对于那些买入的人来说，将你的大麻敞口保持在你整体投资组合的一小部分可以限制你的风险。</li><li>纯粹的游戏比更多元化的游戏风险更大。</li></ul><b><i>7.密切关注不断变化的行业动态。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Laws, regulations, competitive forces, and the business strategies of the companies themselves will all change rapidly over time.</li> </ul> Read more:How to Invest in Marijuana Stocks(Note: includes a list of every major marijuana stock)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>随着时间的推移，法律、法规、竞争力量和公司本身的商业战略都会迅速变化。</li></ul>阅读更多：如何投资大麻股票（注：包括每个主要大麻股票的列表）</blockquote></p><p> But, Really, Should I Buy Marijuana Stocks?</p><p><blockquote>但是，说真的，我应该购买大麻股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> We just went step-by-step through how to invest in cannabis, but just because there's a trendy new sector with lots of press and potential growth doesn't mean you need to put your hard-earned money in it. After all, if you buy broad index funds, you're covered no matter what sector of the stock market does well.</p><p><blockquote>我们只是一步一步地介绍了如何投资大麻，但仅仅因为有一个时尚的新行业，有很多媒体和潜在的增长，并不意味着你需要把你的血汗钱投入其中。毕竟，如果您购买广泛的指数基金，无论股市哪个板块表现良好，您都会得到保障。</blockquote></p><p> Think through the pros and cons as you read on:Should You Invest in Marijuana Stocks?</p><p><blockquote>当您继续阅读时，请思考利弊：您应该投资大麻股票吗？</blockquote></p><p> Marijuana Legalization in the U.S.: The History and the Future</p><p><blockquote>美国大麻合法化：历史与未来</blockquote></p><p> One of the biggest variables in cannabis investing is to what extent marijuana will be decriminalized or legalized within the United States, both on a state-by-state basis and on a federal basis.</p><p><blockquote>大麻投资的最大变量之一是大麻在美国将在多大程度上合法化，无论是在各州还是在联邦层面。</blockquote></p><p> The link below provides a quick spin through what we've seen so far, from decriminalization efforts starting in 1973 to legalization efforts beginning in earnest in 1996 to the political signs of where we seem to be heading.</p><p><blockquote>下面的链接快速回顾了我们迄今为止所看到的情况，从1973年开始的非刑罪化努力到1996年认真开始的合法化努力，再到我们似乎正在走向的政治迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Read on:Timeline for Marijuana Legalization in the United States: How the Dominoes Are Falling</p><p><blockquote>阅读：美国大麻合法化时间表：多米诺骨牌如何倒下</blockquote></p><p> More Information on Canadian Marijuana Stocks</p><p><blockquote>有关加拿大大麻库存的更多信息</blockquote></p><p> There's been tremendous interest in Canadian cannabis stocks, because on October 17, 2018, recreational use of marijuana became legal in Canada (it had been legalized on a medical basis since 2001).</p><p><blockquote>人们对加拿大大麻股票产生了极大的兴趣，因为2018年10月17日，大麻的娱乐性使用在加拿大变得合法（自2001年以来，它已经在医疗基础上合法化）。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond consumption by Canadians, the upside thesis involves operations or distribution to other countries that have legalized or may legalize marijuana to various extents. This includes Germany and particularly the large market on Canada's southern border.</p><p><blockquote>除了加拿大人的消费，上行论点还涉及向其他已经或可能在不同程度上使大麻合法化的国家运营或分销。这包括德国，尤其是加拿大南部边境的大市场。</blockquote></p><p> Read on:Everything You Need to Know About Investing in Canadian Marijuana Stocks</p><p><blockquote>继续阅读：有关投资加拿大大麻股票您需要了解的一切</blockquote></p><p> Commonly Confused Cannabis Terms</p><p><blockquote>常见混淆的大麻术语</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the difficulties in understanding the marijuana industry is the jargon. Fortunately, it's not too complicated once you get a handle on a few main terms.</p><p><blockquote>理解大麻产业的困难之一是行话。幸运的是，一旦你掌握了几个主要术语，就不会太复杂了。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Marijuana vs. cannabis</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大麻与大麻</i></blockquote></p><p> Cannabis is the scientific name of the plant (the genus that houses three species). For an investor's purposes, marijuana is synonymous with cannabis, as are more informal nicknames like pot, weed, ganja, dope, grass, 420, sticky icky, etc.</p><p><blockquote>大麻是这种植物的学名（包含三个物种的属）。对于投资者来说，大麻是大麻的同义词，还有更非正式的昵称，如大麻、杂草、大麻、毒品、草、420、粘糊糊的等。</blockquote></p><p> <i>CBD vs. THC</i></p><p><blockquote><i>CBD 与 THC</i></blockquote></p><p> Cannabis is made up of nearly 500 chemical constituents, including many dozens of cannabinoids (substances that act on the body's cannabinoid receptors).</p><p><blockquote>大麻由近500种化学成分组成，包括几十种大麻素（作用于身体大麻素受体的物质）。</blockquote></p><p> The two most commercially relevant of these cannabinoids are delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) and cannabidiol (CBD). Only THC is psychoactive (i.e., makes you high).</p><p><blockquote>这些大麻素中两种最具商业相关性的是δ-9四氢大麻酚（THC）和大麻二酚（CBD）。只有THC有精神活性（即让你兴奋）。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Hemp</i></p><p><blockquote><i>大麻</i></blockquote></p><p> Hemp is a strain of a species of cannabis with relatively low levels of THC and relatively high levels of CBD. It has many industrial uses like providing fibers to make rope and clothing.</p><p><blockquote>大麻是一种大麻，四氢大麻酚含量相对较低，CBD含量相对较高。它有许多工业用途，比如提供纤维来制造绳子和衣服。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/marijuana-stocks/?page=1\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MJ":"Amplify Alternative Harvest ETF","ACB":"奥罗拉大麻公司","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation","CRON":"Cronos Group Inc.","SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","APHA":"Aphria Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/marijuana-stocks/?page=1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165604778","content_text":"Should you put your hard-earned money into marijuana stocks? We detail the investment opportunities, risks, and regulations in the cannabis space.\nThe marijuana industry is expected to triple in the next five years -- and many investors are looking to profit.\nAs states and entire countries decriminalize or legalize cannabis and/or its components, there are loads of opportunities for entrepreneurs and existing companies.\nBut as in any nascent industry, there are also loads of risks and bad actors. Whether you're a first-time investor or a seasoned veteran, it pays to understand all of the moving parts.\nThis guide will get you up to speed quickly.\nHow to Invest in Marijuana Stocks\nFollow these seven steps if you're thinking about buying cannabis stocks. The following is a summary, but we encourage you to read the entire article linked below for all the details.\n1. Understand the types of marijuana products.\n\nThere are two types of cannabis products: medical marijuana vs. recreational marijuana.\nCannabidiol (CBD) is a cannabinoid that is different than the psychoactive delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol (THC).\n\n2. Know the different types of marijuana stocks.\n\nMarijuana growers likeCanopy Growth Corporation(NYSE:CGC)\nCannabis-focused biotechs likeGW Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:GWPH)\nProviders of supporting products and services likeScotts Miracle-Gro(NYSE:SMG)\n\n3. Understand the risks of investing in marijuana stocks.\n\nLegal and political risks\nSupply/demand imbalances\nRisk in those that are over-the-counter stocks\n\n4. Know what to look for in a marijuana stock.\n\nNormal stock considerations, including:\nCannabis production costs\nFor Canadian companies, the extent of international operations and distribution\nDilution risks via warrants and convertible securities\n\n5. Evaluate the top marijuana stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).\n\nMarijuana growers like Canopy Growth,Aurora Cannabis(NYSE:ACB),Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY), andAphria(NYSE:APHA)\nBiotechs like GW Pharmaceuticals,Cara Therapeutics(NASDAQ:CARA), andInsys Therapeutics(NASDAQ:INSY)\nAncillary providers like Scotts Miracle-Gro\nETFs likeHorizons Marijuana Life Sciences ETF(NASDAQOTH:HMLSF) andETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF(NYSEMKT:MJ)\n\n6. Invest carefully.\n\nFor many, avoiding individual investments in the marijuana space entirely is the right call.\nFor those who buy in, keeping your marijuana exposure to a small percentage of your overall portfolio limits your risk.\nPure plays are riskier than more diversified plays.\n\n7. Monitor changing industry dynamics closely.\n\nLaws, regulations, competitive forces, and the business strategies of the companies themselves will all change rapidly over time.\n\nRead more:How to Invest in Marijuana Stocks(Note: includes a list of every major marijuana stock)\nBut, Really, Should I Buy Marijuana Stocks?\nWe just went step-by-step through how to invest in cannabis, but just because there's a trendy new sector with lots of press and potential growth doesn't mean you need to put your hard-earned money in it. After all, if you buy broad index funds, you're covered no matter what sector of the stock market does well.\nThink through the pros and cons as you read on:Should You Invest in Marijuana Stocks?\nMarijuana Legalization in the U.S.: The History and the Future\nOne of the biggest variables in cannabis investing is to what extent marijuana will be decriminalized or legalized within the United States, both on a state-by-state basis and on a federal basis.\nThe link below provides a quick spin through what we've seen so far, from decriminalization efforts starting in 1973 to legalization efforts beginning in earnest in 1996 to the political signs of where we seem to be heading.\nRead on:Timeline for Marijuana Legalization in the United States: How the Dominoes Are Falling\nMore Information on Canadian Marijuana Stocks\nThere's been tremendous interest in Canadian cannabis stocks, because on October 17, 2018, recreational use of marijuana became legal in Canada (it had been legalized on a medical basis since 2001).\nBeyond consumption by Canadians, the upside thesis involves operations or distribution to other countries that have legalized or may legalize marijuana to various extents. This includes Germany and particularly the large market on Canada's southern border.\nRead on:Everything You Need to Know About Investing in Canadian Marijuana Stocks\nCommonly Confused Cannabis Terms\nOne of the difficulties in understanding the marijuana industry is the jargon. Fortunately, it's not too complicated once you get a handle on a few main terms.\nMarijuana vs. cannabis\nCannabis is the scientific name of the plant (the genus that houses three species). For an investor's purposes, marijuana is synonymous with cannabis, as are more informal nicknames like pot, weed, ganja, dope, grass, 420, sticky icky, etc.\nCBD vs. THC\nCannabis is made up of nearly 500 chemical constituents, including many dozens of cannabinoids (substances that act on the body's cannabinoid receptors).\nThe two most commercially relevant of these cannabinoids are delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) and cannabidiol (CBD). Only THC is psychoactive (i.e., makes you high).\nHemp\nHemp is a strain of a species of cannabis with relatively low levels of THC and relatively high levels of CBD. It has many industrial uses like providing fibers to make rope and clothing.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CRON":0.9,"MJ":0.9,"APHA":0.9,"TLRY":0.9,"ACB":0.9,"CGC":0.9,"SNDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}