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783e34dc

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2021-05-31

Alright mate

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2021-05-24

Ok

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2021-05-02

Good

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2021-05-10

Like & comments please!

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2021-04-08

Please comment thank you !

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2021-05-29

Still going up up ⬆️ 🆙 !$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

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2021-04-10

Expensive haha

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2021-04-02

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$up up and away

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2021-04-28

Cool

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2021-06-03

Nice

AMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.<blockquote>AMC股价再次飙升。如何理解这一举动。</blockquote>

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18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 18:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129783239,"gmtCreate":1624396331521,"gmtModify":1631889359712,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573201524091165","authorIdStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129783239","repostId":"1118580429","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3010,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129868502,"gmtCreate":1624369136206,"gmtModify":1631889359715,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573201524091165","authorIdStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bts","listText":"Bts","text":"Bts","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129868502","repostId":"1163964594","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165847056,"gmtCreate":1624119724575,"gmtModify":1631889359718,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573201524091165","authorIdStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool 😎&nbsp;","listText":"Cool 😎&nbsp;","text":"Cool 😎","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165847056","repostId":"2144218770","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161538797,"gmtCreate":1623933913119,"gmtModify":1631889359718,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573201524091165","authorIdStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>What should we bet today? Confused 🤔&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>What should we bet today? Confused 🤔&nbsp;","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$What should we bet today? Confused 🤔","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d02b172ae6b218309c8fe8d9a23de24f","width":"1170","height":"2532"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161538797","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161530396,"gmtCreate":1623933667815,"gmtModify":1631889359724,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573201524091165","authorIdStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Seems like will go down today for sure ! Please like comment!","listText":"Seems like will go down today for sure ! Please like comment!","text":"Seems like will go down today for sure ! Please like comment!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161530396","repostId":"1185082331","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185082331","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623931553,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185082331?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 20:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185082331","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Technology stocks were set to lead Wall Street lower on Thursday after the Federal Reserve signaled ","content":"<p>Technology stocks were set to lead Wall Street lower on Thursday after the Federal Reserve signaled it could start tapering its massive stimulus earlier than expected, piling pressure on a sector that is seen as vulnerable to higher interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储暗示可能比预期更早开始缩减大规模刺激计划后，科技股周四将引领华尔街走低，这给被视为容易受到利率上升影响的行业带来了压力。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 61 points, or 0.18%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down 9.5 points, or 0.23% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis fell 52.75 points, or 0.38%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:05，道指E-minis下跌61点，跌幅0.18%，标普500 E-minis下跌9.5点，跌幅0.23%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌52.75点，跌幅0.38%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c87220b14c23fa1ef2d424bd7883caf\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"215\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:05</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Powell said progress toward the Fed's dual employment and inflation goals were happening somewhat faster than expected. Central bankers raised their GDP expectations for this year to 7% from 6.5% previously. </p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，美联储实现就业和通胀双重目标的进展速度略快于预期。各国央行行长将今年GDP预期从此前的6.5%上调至7%。</blockquote></p><p> Their unemployment rate estimate remained unchanged at 4.5%. In further evidence that the resumption of business activity has helped get people back to work, the government's latest initial jobless claims total is expected to drop to a new pandemic low of 360,000 for last week. </p><p><blockquote>他们的失业率估计维持在4.5%不变。政府最新的首次申请失业救济人数预计将降至上周36万人的疫情新低，这进一步证明商业活动的恢复有助于人们重返工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p> The report is issued at 8:30 a.m. ET Thursday. Two weeks ago, new filings for unemployment benefits went below 400,000 for the first time since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该报告于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布。两周前，新申请失业救济人数自2020年3月以来首次低于40万人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>CureVac(CVAC)</b> – CureVac shares plunged 46.2% in the premarket after the German drugmaker reported disappointing results from a study of its experimental Covid-19 vaccine. The treatment was 47% effective in a clinical trial, compared to more than 90% for other mRNA-based vaccines fromModerna(MRNA) andPfizer(PFE).</p><p><blockquote><b>CureVac(CVAC)</b>–德国制药商CureVac公布其实验性Covid-19疫苗研究结果令人失望后，该公司股价在盘前暴跌46.2%。该治疗在临床试验中的有效率为47%，而Moderna(mRNA)和辉瑞(PFE)的其他基于mRNA的疫苗的有效率超过90%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Novavax(NVAX),BioNTech(BNTX)</b> – On the heels of the CureVac news, Novavax added 3.4% in the premarket while BioNTech rose 2.6%. BioNTech's Covid vaccine – developed in partnership with Pfizer – is already approved for use in the US, while Novavax reported 90% efficacy for its vaccine in a recent study.</p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax(NVAX)、BioNTech(BNTX)</b>–CureVac消息传出后，Novavax盘前上涨3.4%，BioNTech上涨2.6%。BioNTech与辉瑞合作开发的新冠疫苗已被批准在美国使用，而Novavax在最近的一项研究中报告其疫苗的有效性为90%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Honest Company(HNST)</b> – The household products maker reported a wider-than-expected loss in its first quarter as a public company, although revenue was better than analysts had anticipated. Sales got a boost from pandemic-induced demand for sanitizing products. The stock tumbled 8.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>诚实公司(HNST)</b>-这家家居用品制造商报告称，作为一家上市公司，第一季度的亏损超出了预期，尽管收入好于分析师的预期。大流行引发的对消毒产品的需求提振了销售额。该股在盘前交易中下跌8.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tenet Healthcare(THC)</b> – The hospital operator's shares jumped 3.5% in the premarket, after it announced the sale of five hospitals and associated physician practices in Florida to Steward Health Care for about $1.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>特尼特医疗保健(THC)</b>–该医院运营商宣布以约11亿美元的价格将佛罗里达州的五家医院和相关医生诊所出售给Steward Health Care后，其股价在盘前上涨3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lennar(LEN)</b> – Lennar earned $2.65 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $2.36 a share consensus estimate. Revenue topped forecasts as well. The home builder is dealing with higher input costs and a labor shortage, but the lack of homes for sale in the U.S. helped push prices higher and expand Lennar's profit margins significantly over a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>Lennar(LEN)</b>-Lennar最近一个季度的每股收益为2.65美元，超过了每股2.36美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了预期。该房屋建筑商正在应对更高的投入成本和劳动力短缺的问题，但美国待售房屋的缺乏帮助推高了价格，并比一年前大幅扩大了Lennar的利润率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dell Technologies(DELL)</b> – Dell was chosen byDish Network(DISH) to build key parts of the 5G network the satellite TV operator is building in the United States. Dish will launch 5G service in Las Vegas later this year and plans to cover 70% of the U.S. with its network by mid-2023.</p><p><blockquote><b>戴尔科技(DELL)</b>-戴尔被Dish Network(DISH)选中，为这家卫星电视运营商正在美国建设的5G网络构建关键部分。Dish将于今年晚些时候在拉斯维加斯推出5G服务，并计划到2023年中期其网络覆盖美国70%的地区。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fisker(FSR)</b> – Fisker shares added 2.8% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker signed a long-term manufacturing agreement withMagna International(MGA). Magna will build the Fisker Ocean electric SUV starting in November 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>菲斯克(FSR)</b>–电动汽车制造商菲斯克(Fisker)与麦格纳国际(MGA)签署长期制造协议后，该公司股价在盘前上涨2.8%。麦格纳将于2022年11月开始生产Fisker Ocean电动SUV。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Aon(AON)</b>,Willis Towers Watson(WLTW) – The U.S. Justice Department sued to block insurance company Aon's deal to buy consulting firm Willis Towers Watson for $35 billion. The department said the combinationcould eliminate competitionin several different markets. Aon and Willis Towers said the move showed a lack of understanding of their businesses, clients and the markets in which they operate.</p><p><blockquote><b>怡安(AON)</b>威利斯韬睿惠悦(WLTW)——美国司法部提起诉讼，阻止保险公司怡安以350亿美元收购咨询公司威利斯韬睿惠悦的交易。该部门表示，此次合并可能会消除几个不同市场的竞争。怡安和威利斯大厦表示，此举表明他们对自己的业务、客户和经营所在的市场缺乏了解。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Akamai Technologies(AKAM)</b> – A variety of financial institutions, governments and airlines experienced brief website outages early Thursday. Some of the outages were linked to a failure at web services company Akamai Technologies, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. Akamai said it was aware of the issue and was working to restore service as soon as possible. Shares fell 1.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Akamai技术(AKAM)</b>-周四早些时候，多家金融机构、政府和航空公司经历了短暂的网站中断。据接受彭博采访的知情人士透露，一些中断与网络服务公司Akamai Technologies的故障有关。Akamai表示，它已经意识到了这个问题，并正在努力尽快恢复服务。股价在盘前交易中下跌1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>O'Reilly Automotive(ORLY)</b> – The auto parts retailer struck a new $1.8 billion revolving credit agreement with a group of banks led byJPMorgan Chase(JPM).</p><p><blockquote><b>奥莱利汽车公司(ORLY)</b>-这家汽车零部件零售商与以摩根大通(JPM)为首的一批银行达成了一项新的18亿美元循环信贷协议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jack In The Box(JACK)</b> – The restaurant chain was rated \"outperform\" in new coverage at RBC Capital, which noted the stock's discounted valuation compared to its peers as well as upbeat prospects for new restaurant growth.</p><p><blockquote><b>盒子里的杰克（杰克）</b>-加拿大皇家银行资本(RBC Capital)在新的报道中将该连锁餐厅评级为“跑赢大盘”，该公司指出该股的估值较同行有所折扣，并且新餐厅增长前景乐观。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Thursday<blockquote>周四美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-17 20:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Technology stocks were set to lead Wall Street lower on Thursday after the Federal Reserve signaled it could start tapering its massive stimulus earlier than expected, piling pressure on a sector that is seen as vulnerable to higher interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储暗示可能比预期更早开始缩减大规模刺激计划后，科技股周四将引领华尔街走低，这给被视为容易受到利率上升影响的行业带来了压力。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 61 points, or 0.18%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis were down 9.5 points, or 0.23% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis fell 52.75 points, or 0.38%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:05，道指E-minis下跌61点，跌幅0.18%，标普500 E-minis下跌9.5点，跌幅0.23%，纳斯达克100 E-minis下跌52.75点，跌幅0.38%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c87220b14c23fa1ef2d424bd7883caf\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"215\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade，美国东部时间08:05</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Powell said progress toward the Fed's dual employment and inflation goals were happening somewhat faster than expected. Central bankers raised their GDP expectations for this year to 7% from 6.5% previously. </p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔表示，美联储实现就业和通胀双重目标的进展速度略快于预期。各国央行行长将今年GDP预期从此前的6.5%上调至7%。</blockquote></p><p> Their unemployment rate estimate remained unchanged at 4.5%. In further evidence that the resumption of business activity has helped get people back to work, the government's latest initial jobless claims total is expected to drop to a new pandemic low of 360,000 for last week. </p><p><blockquote>他们的失业率估计维持在4.5%不变。政府最新的首次申请失业救济人数预计将降至上周36万人的疫情新低，这进一步证明商业活动的恢复有助于人们重返工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p> The report is issued at 8:30 a.m. ET Thursday. Two weeks ago, new filings for unemployment benefits went below 400,000 for the first time since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该报告于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布。两周前，新申请失业救济人数自2020年3月以来首次低于40万人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>CureVac(CVAC)</b> – CureVac shares plunged 46.2% in the premarket after the German drugmaker reported disappointing results from a study of its experimental Covid-19 vaccine. The treatment was 47% effective in a clinical trial, compared to more than 90% for other mRNA-based vaccines fromModerna(MRNA) andPfizer(PFE).</p><p><blockquote><b>CureVac(CVAC)</b>–德国制药商CureVac公布其实验性Covid-19疫苗研究结果令人失望后，该公司股价在盘前暴跌46.2%。该治疗在临床试验中的有效率为47%，而Moderna(mRNA)和辉瑞(PFE)的其他基于mRNA的疫苗的有效率超过90%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Novavax(NVAX),BioNTech(BNTX)</b> – On the heels of the CureVac news, Novavax added 3.4% in the premarket while BioNTech rose 2.6%. BioNTech's Covid vaccine – developed in partnership with Pfizer – is already approved for use in the US, while Novavax reported 90% efficacy for its vaccine in a recent study.</p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax(NVAX)、BioNTech(BNTX)</b>–CureVac消息传出后，Novavax盘前上涨3.4%，BioNTech上涨2.6%。BioNTech与辉瑞合作开发的新冠疫苗已被批准在美国使用，而Novavax在最近的一项研究中报告其疫苗的有效性为90%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Honest Company(HNST)</b> – The household products maker reported a wider-than-expected loss in its first quarter as a public company, although revenue was better than analysts had anticipated. Sales got a boost from pandemic-induced demand for sanitizing products. The stock tumbled 8.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>诚实公司(HNST)</b>-这家家居用品制造商报告称，作为一家上市公司，第一季度的亏损超出了预期，尽管收入好于分析师的预期。大流行引发的对消毒产品的需求提振了销售额。该股在盘前交易中下跌8.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tenet Healthcare(THC)</b> – The hospital operator's shares jumped 3.5% in the premarket, after it announced the sale of five hospitals and associated physician practices in Florida to Steward Health Care for about $1.1 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>特尼特医疗保健(THC)</b>–该医院运营商宣布以约11亿美元的价格将佛罗里达州的五家医院和相关医生诊所出售给Steward Health Care后，其股价在盘前上涨3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lennar(LEN)</b> – Lennar earned $2.65 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $2.36 a share consensus estimate. Revenue topped forecasts as well. The home builder is dealing with higher input costs and a labor shortage, but the lack of homes for sale in the U.S. helped push prices higher and expand Lennar's profit margins significantly over a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote><b>Lennar(LEN)</b>-Lennar最近一个季度的每股收益为2.65美元，超过了每股2.36美元的普遍预期。收入也超出了预期。该房屋建筑商正在应对更高的投入成本和劳动力短缺的问题，但美国待售房屋的缺乏帮助推高了价格，并比一年前大幅扩大了Lennar的利润率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Dell Technologies(DELL)</b> – Dell was chosen byDish Network(DISH) to build key parts of the 5G network the satellite TV operator is building in the United States. Dish will launch 5G service in Las Vegas later this year and plans to cover 70% of the U.S. with its network by mid-2023.</p><p><blockquote><b>戴尔科技(DELL)</b>-戴尔被Dish Network(DISH)选中，为这家卫星电视运营商正在美国建设的5G网络构建关键部分。Dish将于今年晚些时候在拉斯维加斯推出5G服务，并计划到2023年中期其网络覆盖美国70%的地区。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fisker(FSR)</b> – Fisker shares added 2.8% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker signed a long-term manufacturing agreement withMagna International(MGA). Magna will build the Fisker Ocean electric SUV starting in November 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>菲斯克(FSR)</b>–电动汽车制造商菲斯克(Fisker)与麦格纳国际(MGA)签署长期制造协议后，该公司股价在盘前上涨2.8%。麦格纳将于2022年11月开始生产Fisker Ocean电动SUV。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Aon(AON)</b>,Willis Towers Watson(WLTW) – The U.S. Justice Department sued to block insurance company Aon's deal to buy consulting firm Willis Towers Watson for $35 billion. The department said the combinationcould eliminate competitionin several different markets. Aon and Willis Towers said the move showed a lack of understanding of their businesses, clients and the markets in which they operate.</p><p><blockquote><b>怡安(AON)</b>威利斯韬睿惠悦(WLTW)——美国司法部提起诉讼，阻止保险公司怡安以350亿美元收购咨询公司威利斯韬睿惠悦的交易。该部门表示，此次合并可能会消除几个不同市场的竞争。怡安和威利斯大厦表示，此举表明他们对自己的业务、客户和经营所在的市场缺乏了解。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Akamai Technologies(AKAM)</b> – A variety of financial institutions, governments and airlines experienced brief website outages early Thursday. Some of the outages were linked to a failure at web services company Akamai Technologies, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. Akamai said it was aware of the issue and was working to restore service as soon as possible. Shares fell 1.5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>Akamai技术(AKAM)</b>-周四早些时候，多家金融机构、政府和航空公司经历了短暂的网站中断。据接受彭博采访的知情人士透露，一些中断与网络服务公司Akamai Technologies的故障有关。Akamai表示，它已经意识到了这个问题，并正在努力尽快恢复服务。股价在盘前交易中下跌1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>O'Reilly Automotive(ORLY)</b> – The auto parts retailer struck a new $1.8 billion revolving credit agreement with a group of banks led byJPMorgan Chase(JPM).</p><p><blockquote><b>奥莱利汽车公司(ORLY)</b>-这家汽车零部件零售商与以摩根大通(JPM)为首的一批银行达成了一项新的18亿美元循环信贷协议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Jack In The Box(JACK)</b> – The restaurant chain was rated \"outperform\" in new coverage at RBC Capital, which noted the stock's discounted valuation compared to its peers as well as upbeat prospects for new restaurant growth.</p><p><blockquote><b>盒子里的杰克（杰克）</b>-加拿大皇家银行资本(RBC Capital)在新的报道中将该连锁餐厅评级为“跑赢大盘”，该公司指出该股的估值较同行有所折扣，并且新餐厅增长前景乐观。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185082331","content_text":"Technology stocks were set to lead Wall Street lower on Thursday after the Federal Reserve signaled it could start tapering its massive stimulus earlier than expected, piling pressure on a sector that is seen as vulnerable to higher interest rates.\nAt 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 61 points, or 0.18%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 9.5 points, or 0.23% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis fell 52.75 points, or 0.38%.\n*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05\nPowell said progress toward the Fed's dual employment and inflation goals were happening somewhat faster than expected. Central bankers raised their GDP expectations for this year to 7% from 6.5% previously. \nTheir unemployment rate estimate remained unchanged at 4.5%. In further evidence that the resumption of business activity has helped get people back to work, the government's latest initial jobless claims total is expected to drop to a new pandemic low of 360,000 for last week. \nThe report is issued at 8:30 a.m. ET Thursday. Two weeks ago, new filings for unemployment benefits went below 400,000 for the first time since March 2020.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nCureVac(CVAC) – CureVac shares plunged 46.2% in the premarket after the German drugmaker reported disappointing results from a study of its experimental Covid-19 vaccine. The treatment was 47% effective in a clinical trial, compared to more than 90% for other mRNA-based vaccines fromModerna(MRNA) andPfizer(PFE).\nNovavax(NVAX),BioNTech(BNTX) – On the heels of the CureVac news, Novavax added 3.4% in the premarket while BioNTech rose 2.6%. BioNTech's Covid vaccine – developed in partnership with Pfizer – is already approved for use in the US, while Novavax reported 90% efficacy for its vaccine in a recent study.\nThe Honest Company(HNST) – The household products maker reported a wider-than-expected loss in its first quarter as a public company, although revenue was better than analysts had anticipated. Sales got a boost from pandemic-induced demand for sanitizing products. The stock tumbled 8.3% in premarket trading.\nTenet Healthcare(THC) – The hospital operator's shares jumped 3.5% in the premarket, after it announced the sale of five hospitals and associated physician practices in Florida to Steward Health Care for about $1.1 billion.\nLennar(LEN) – Lennar earned $2.65 per share for its latest quarter, beating the $2.36 a share consensus estimate. Revenue topped forecasts as well. The home builder is dealing with higher input costs and a labor shortage, but the lack of homes for sale in the U.S. helped push prices higher and expand Lennar's profit margins significantly over a year earlier.\nDell Technologies(DELL) – Dell was chosen byDish Network(DISH) to build key parts of the 5G network the satellite TV operator is building in the United States. Dish will launch 5G service in Las Vegas later this year and plans to cover 70% of the U.S. with its network by mid-2023.\nFisker(FSR) – Fisker shares added 2.8% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker signed a long-term manufacturing agreement withMagna International(MGA). Magna will build the Fisker Ocean electric SUV starting in November 2022.\nAon(AON),Willis Towers Watson(WLTW) – The U.S. Justice Department sued to block insurance company Aon's deal to buy consulting firm Willis Towers Watson for $35 billion. The department said the combinationcould eliminate competitionin several different markets. Aon and Willis Towers said the move showed a lack of understanding of their businesses, clients and the markets in which they operate.\nAkamai Technologies(AKAM) – A variety of financial institutions, governments and airlines experienced brief website outages early Thursday. Some of the outages were linked to a failure at web services company Akamai Technologies, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. Akamai said it was aware of the issue and was working to restore service as soon as possible. Shares fell 1.5% in premarket trading.\nO'Reilly Automotive(ORLY) – The auto parts retailer struck a new $1.8 billion revolving credit agreement with a group of banks led byJPMorgan Chase(JPM).\nJack In The Box(JACK) – The restaurant chain was rated \"outperform\" in new coverage at RBC Capital, which noted the stock's discounted valuation compared to its peers as well as upbeat prospects for new restaurant 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Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1623400948,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2142272911?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-11 16:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks To Watch For June 11, 2021<blockquote>2021年6月11日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142272911","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:","content":"<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><p><blockquote>今天可能引起投资者关注的一些股票包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Dave &amp; Buster's Entertainment Inc</b> (NASDAQ:PLAY) reported better-than-expected results for its first quarter and issued strong sales guidance for the current quarter. Dave &amp; Buster's shares climbed 4% to $45.82 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>SIGNA Sports United will go public via a merger with SPAC <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YAC\">Yucaipa Acquisition Corp</a></b> (NYSE:YAC). The deal values the company at an enterprise value of $3.2 billion. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YAC.U\">Yucaipa Acquisition</a> shares closed at $9.84 on Thursday.</li>  <li><b>Cheetah Mobile Inc</b> (NYSE:CMCM) is projected to report earnings for its first quarter before the opening bell. Cheetah Mobile shares slipped 0.4% to $2.75 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>Agree Realty Corporation</b> (NYSE:ADC) reported a 4 million share common stock offering. Agree Realty shares dropped 3.2% to $71.38 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li><b>Zedge Inc</b> (NYSE:ZDGE) posted upbeat results for its third quarter and boosted its FY21 sales growth guidance. Zedge shares surged 5.9% to $16.25 in the after-hours trading session.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>戴夫和巴斯特娱乐公司</b>（纳斯达克：PLAY）公布了好于预期的第一季度业绩，并发布了强劲的本季度销售指引。Dave&amp;Buster的股价在盘后交易时段上涨4%，至45.82美元。</li><li>SIGNA Sports United将通过与SPAC合并上市<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YAC\">尤卡伊帕收购公司</a></b>（纽约证券交易所代码：YAC）。该交易对该公司的企业价值为32亿美元。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YAC.U\">Yucaipa收购</a>周四股价收于9.84美元。</li><li><b>猎豹移动公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CMCM）预计将在开盘前公布第一季度收益。猎豹移动股价在盘后交易中下跌0.4%至2.75美元。</li></ul><ul><li><b>同意房地产公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ADC）报告发行400万股普通股。Agree Realty股价在盘后交易中下跌3.2%，至71.38美元。</li><li><b>泽奇公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ZDGE）公布了乐观的第三季度业绩，并上调了2021财年销售增长指引。Zedge股价在盘后交易时段飙升5.9%至16.25美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks To Watch For June 11, 2021<blockquote>2021年6月11日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks To Watch For June 11, 2021<blockquote>2021年6月11日值得关注的5只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-11 16:42</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:</p><p><blockquote>今天可能引起投资者关注的一些股票包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Dave &amp; Buster's Entertainment Inc</b> (NASDAQ:PLAY) reported better-than-expected results for its first quarter and issued strong sales guidance for the current quarter. Dave &amp; Buster's shares climbed 4% to $45.82 in the after-hours trading session.</li>  <li>SIGNA Sports United will go public via a merger with SPAC <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YAC\">Yucaipa Acquisition Corp</a></b> (NYSE:YAC). The deal values the company at an enterprise value of $3.2 billion. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YAC.U\">Yucaipa Acquisition</a> shares closed at $9.84 on Thursday.</li>  <li><b>Cheetah Mobile Inc</b> (NYSE:CMCM) is projected to report earnings for its first quarter before the opening bell. Cheetah Mobile shares slipped 0.4% to $2.75 in after-hours trading.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>Agree Realty Corporation</b> (NYSE:ADC) reported a 4 million share common stock offering. Agree Realty shares dropped 3.2% to $71.38 in after-hours trading.</li>  <li><b>Zedge Inc</b> (NYSE:ZDGE) posted upbeat results for its third quarter and boosted its FY21 sales growth guidance. Zedge shares surged 5.9% to $16.25 in the after-hours trading session.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>戴夫和巴斯特娱乐公司</b>（纳斯达克：PLAY）公布了好于预期的第一季度业绩，并发布了强劲的本季度销售指引。Dave&amp;Buster的股价在盘后交易时段上涨4%，至45.82美元。</li><li>SIGNA Sports United将通过与SPAC合并上市<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YAC\">尤卡伊帕收购公司</a></b>（纽约证券交易所代码：YAC）。该交易对该公司的企业价值为32亿美元。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YAC.U\">Yucaipa收购</a>周四股价收于9.84美元。</li><li><b>猎豹移动公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CMCM）预计将在开盘前公布第一季度收益。猎豹移动股价在盘后交易中下跌0.4%至2.75美元。</li></ul><ul><li><b>同意房地产公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ADC）报告发行400万股普通股。Agree Realty股价在盘后交易中下跌3.2%，至71.38美元。</li><li><b>泽奇公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ZDGE）公布了乐观的第三季度业绩，并上调了2021财年销售增长指引。Zedge股价在盘后交易时段飙升5.9%至16.25美元。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CMCM":"猎豹移动","ZDGE":"Zedge, Inc. Class B","PLAY":"Dave & Buster","ADC":"艾格里房产"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142272911","content_text":"Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:\n\nDave & Buster's Entertainment Inc (NASDAQ:PLAY) reported better-than-expected results for its first quarter and issued strong sales guidance for the current quarter. Dave & Buster's shares climbed 4% to $45.82 in the after-hours trading session.\nSIGNA Sports United will go public via a merger with SPAC Yucaipa Acquisition Corp (NYSE:YAC). The deal values the company at an enterprise value of $3.2 billion. Yucaipa Acquisition shares closed at $9.84 on Thursday.\nCheetah Mobile Inc (NYSE:CMCM) is projected to report earnings for its first quarter before the opening bell. Cheetah Mobile shares slipped 0.4% to $2.75 in after-hours trading.\n\n\nAgree Realty Corporation (NYSE:ADC) reported a 4 million share common stock offering. Agree Realty shares dropped 3.2% to $71.38 in after-hours trading.\nZedge Inc (NYSE:ZDGE) posted upbeat results for its third quarter and boosted its FY21 sales growth guidance. Zedge shares surged 5.9% to $16.25 in the after-hours trading 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!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341671591","repostId":"2125728739","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134620920,"gmtCreate":1622223944960,"gmtModify":1634182661382,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573201524091165","idStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still going up up ⬆️&nbsp;🆙 !<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"Still going up up ⬆️&nbsp;🆙 !<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>","text":"Still going up up ⬆️ 🆙 !$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134620920","repostId":"2138765488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":977,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346518705,"gmtCreate":1618067486207,"gmtModify":1634295006972,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573201524091165","idStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Expensive haha","listText":"Expensive haha","text":"Expensive haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346518705","repostId":"2126315033","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340807297,"gmtCreate":1617367532619,"gmtModify":1634521225595,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573201524091165","idStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>up up and away&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>up up and away&nbsp;","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$up up and away","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/340807297","repostId":"2124875875","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100808076,"gmtCreate":1619596437195,"gmtModify":1634211469091,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573201524091165","idStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100808076","repostId":"1124091974","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111150467,"gmtCreate":1622668460059,"gmtModify":1631893188977,"author":{"id":"3573201524091165","authorId":"3573201524091165","name":"783e34dc","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3573201524091165","idStr":"3573201524091165"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111150467","repostId":"1188552613","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188552613","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622627641,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188552613?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-02 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.<blockquote>AMC股价再次飙升。如何理解这一举动。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188552613","media":"Barrons","summary":"AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, th","content":"<p>AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, that social media-fueled investor frenzy that has launched the likes of&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;and&nbsp;BlackBerry&nbsp;into speculative territory.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线股价飙升很容易被视为迷因交易疯狂，社交媒体推动的投资者狂热将游戏驿站和黑莓等公司带入了投机领域。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s possible that traditional investors have missed a fundamental change in the movie theater business—and it wouldn’t be the first time.</p><p><blockquote>但传统投资者可能错过了电影院业务的根本性变化——而且这已经不是第一次了。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of AMC (ticker: AMC) surged 23% on Tuesday, closing at $32.04—just off an all-time high of $36.72 set in late May. That puts the movie-theater chain’s market capitalization at roughly $16 billion, more than 15 times what it was in 2018, a record-breaking year at the box office.&nbsp;Shares were up another 34%, to $42.92, in premarket trading Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>AMC（股票代码：AMC）股价周二飙升23%，收于32.04美元，略低于5月底创下的36.72美元的历史高点。这使得这家连锁影院的市值约为160亿美元，是2018年票房破纪录的一年的15倍多。周三盘前交易中，该公司股价又上涨34%，至42.92美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even if investors missed an inflection point, though, the math doesn’t add up. The reason might be that market cap isn’t the right measure. Maybe it’s enterprise value, which is essentially market cap and debt. AMC’s enterprise value is about $26 billion, compared with $6.2 billion or so at the end of 2018.</p><p><blockquote>不过，即使投资者错过了拐点，数学也不成立。原因可能是市值不是正确的衡量标准。也许是企业价值，本质上是市值和债务。AMC的企业价值约为260亿美元，而2018年底为62亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> AMC added debt during the pandemic as theaters in the country’s biggest cities were dark for months. And the numbers make it easy to understand why: The U.S. box office in 2020 generated about $2.1 billion in ticket sales, down 81% from the 2018 record of $11.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在疫情期间增加了债务，因为该国最大城市的影院连续几个月处于黑暗之中。这些数字很容易理解原因：2020年美国票房收入约为21亿美元，比2018年创纪录的119亿美元下降了81%。</blockquote></p><p> So, it seems investors have been vexed by movie theater economics. But it wouldn’t be the first time. The industry essentially went belly up at the turn of the millennium. Regal Cinemas, for instance, declared bankruptcy in 2001.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者似乎对电影院经济感到恼火。但这不是第一次了。这个行业在世纪之交基本上破产了。例如，富豪影院于2001年宣布破产。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the industry had plenty of capacity because of a new theater design—stadium seating that gave a better view of the screen. That shift meant movie theater chains had to renovate or risk losing all their patrons to movie theaters that offered the better view. In the end, too many seats and not enough patrons meant the return on the stadium-seating investments never materialized.</p><p><blockquote>当时，该行业有足够的容量，因为一种新的剧院设计——体育场座位可以更好地观看屏幕。这种转变意味着连锁电影院必须进行翻新，否则就有可能将所有顾客流失到视野更好的电影院。最终，太多的座位和不够的顾客意味着体育场座位投资的回报从未实现。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot was consolidation. With fewer operators, the number of screens stabilized. Between 2002 and 2007, Regal Cinemas became a cash-generating machine because the stock was mispriced. The stock returned 21% a year on average. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both returned less than 9% a year on average over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>结果是整合。随着操作员的减少，屏幕数量稳定下来。2002年至2007年间，Regal Cinemas因股票定价错误而成为现金产生机器。该股平均每年回报率为21%。同期，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的平均年回报率均低于9%。</blockquote></p><p> In those days, Regal Cinema’s enterprise value about $5 billion, or about 50% of total U.S. box office sales. That’s far short of AMC today. Something new has to be different for AMC to be worth it.</p><p><blockquote>当年，富豪影院的企业价值约为50亿美元，约占美国票房总收入的50%。这与今天的AMC相去甚远。新的东西必须与众不同，AMC才值得。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe the movie theater business is going to go through another period of consolidation, which can usher in another golden age of returns. AMC’s Tuesday gains, in fact, were catalyzed by new capital raised so the company could go on the offensive, acquiring defunct chains. Monopolies, after all, can be good for stock returns.</p><p><blockquote>也许电影院业务又要经历一段盘整期，可以迎来又一个回报的黄金时代。事实上，AMC周二的上涨是由筹集的新资本推动的，因此该公司可以继续进攻，收购已倒闭的连锁店。毕竟，垄断有利于股票回报。</blockquote></p><p> If AMC can increase market share and the U.S. box office sales can return to 2018 levels in a few years, total sales at might be $9 billion—$6 billion from tickets and $3 billion from concessions. Sales in 2018 amounted to $5.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果AMC能够增加市场份额，并且美国票房销售额能够在几年内恢复到2018年的水平，那么总销售额可能会达到90亿美元——60亿美元来自门票，30亿美元来自特许经营。2018年销售额达55亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Then, with better gross profit margins derived from larger scale, AMC might be able to generate $600 million in free cash flow annually, which puts the stock at about a 4% free cash flow yield. The S&amp;P 500 trades for about a 3% free cash flow yield. The numbers can work—if they’re stretched.</p><p><blockquote>然后，随着规模的扩大带来更好的毛利率，AMC每年可能能够产生6亿美元的自由现金流，这使得该股的自由现金流收益率约为4%。标普500的自由现金流收益率约为3%。这些数字可以发挥作用——如果它们被拉伸的话。</blockquote></p><p> There are problems with this scenario, though. There are lots of ifs and mights—and AMC has never generated cash flow like that in the past. Arriving at $600 million in free cash flow is more about justifying current valuations than predicting what is likely.</p><p><blockquote>不过，这种情况存在问题。有很多如果和可能——AMC过去从未产生过这样的现金流。达到6亿美元的自由现金流更多的是为了证明当前估值的合理性，而不是预测可能发生的情况。</blockquote></p><p> Also, with mergers and acquisitions, AMC market shares might rise, but there are still competitors. Regal Cinemas is still out there, owned by Cineworld Holdings (CINE. London). So is Cinemark (CNK). There’s not a true monopoly.</p><p><blockquote>此外，通过并购，AMC的市场份额可能会上升，但仍然存在竞争对手。富豪影院仍然存在，归电影世界控股公司所有。伦敦）。喜满客（CNK）也是如此。没有真正的垄断。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and its peers have to deal with streaming, too. Windows for exclusive theater showings are shrinking. The pandemic has accelerated that. And if AMC gets too large and demanding for movie makers, the talent can always go to streaming faster, hurting box office sales.</p><p><blockquote>AMC及其同行也必须应对流媒体问题。独家影院放映的窗口正在缩小。疫情加速了这一点。如果AMC变得太大，对电影制作人的要求太高，人才总是可以更快地转向流媒体，从而损害票房销售。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the problem of the peer stocks. They aren’t trading like this is a brave new world for theaters. Cineworld stock is up 484% from its 52-week low, but shares are still off 72% from all-time highs. Cinemark shares are up 222% from their 52-week low. They are down 47% from their all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>还有同行股票的问题。他们并不认为这是剧院的一个勇敢的新世界。Cineworld股价较52周低点上涨484%，但仍较历史高点下跌72%。喜满客股价较52周低点上涨222%。它们比历史高点下跌了47%。</blockquote></p><p> AMC stock, again, is up almost 1,600% from its 52-week low and is down just 13% from its May all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价再次较52周低点上涨近1,600%，较5月份历史高点仅下跌13%。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street just doesn’t see the potential either. Nine analysts cover the stock. The average analyst price target is about $5. Before the pandemic, the average analyst price target was $15. But there were fewer shares back then. The old target enterprise value was roughly $7 billion. It’s tough to get from $7 billion to $26 billion predicting better margins.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也没有看到潜力。九名分析师关注该股。分析师平均目标价约为5美元。在疫情爆发之前，分析师的平均目标价为15美元。但当时股票较少。旧的目标企业价值约为70亿美元。很难从70亿美元增加到260亿美元来预测更好的利润率。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Analysts do have positive free cash flow modeled, though–$13 million in 2022 and $90 million in 2023. That’s a long way from $600 million.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师确实模拟了正自由现金流——2022年为1300万美元，2023年为9000万美元。这距离6亿美元还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just another way of saying that AMC bulls are a long way from making the math work.</p><p><blockquote>这只是AMC多头距离实现数学计算还有很长的路要走的另一种说法。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.<blockquote>AMC股价再次飙升。如何理解这一举动。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock Is Surging Again. How to Make Sense of the Move.<blockquote>AMC股价再次飙升。如何理解这一举动。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-02 17:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, that social media-fueled investor frenzy that has launched the likes of&nbsp;GameStop&nbsp;and&nbsp;BlackBerry&nbsp;into speculative territory.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线股价飙升很容易被视为迷因交易疯狂，社交媒体推动的投资者狂热将游戏驿站和黑莓等公司带入了投机领域。</blockquote></p><p> But it’s possible that traditional investors have missed a fundamental change in the movie theater business—and it wouldn’t be the first time.</p><p><blockquote>但传统投资者可能错过了电影院业务的根本性变化——而且这已经不是第一次了。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of AMC (ticker: AMC) surged 23% on Tuesday, closing at $32.04—just off an all-time high of $36.72 set in late May. That puts the movie-theater chain’s market capitalization at roughly $16 billion, more than 15 times what it was in 2018, a record-breaking year at the box office.&nbsp;Shares were up another 34%, to $42.92, in premarket trading Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>AMC（股票代码：AMC）股价周二飙升23%，收于32.04美元，略低于5月底创下的36.72美元的历史高点。这使得这家连锁影院的市值约为160亿美元，是2018年票房破纪录的一年的15倍多。周三盘前交易中，该公司股价又上涨34%，至42.92美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even if investors missed an inflection point, though, the math doesn’t add up. The reason might be that market cap isn’t the right measure. Maybe it’s enterprise value, which is essentially market cap and debt. AMC’s enterprise value is about $26 billion, compared with $6.2 billion or so at the end of 2018.</p><p><blockquote>不过，即使投资者错过了拐点，数学也不成立。原因可能是市值不是正确的衡量标准。也许是企业价值，本质上是市值和债务。AMC的企业价值约为260亿美元，而2018年底为62亿美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> AMC added debt during the pandemic as theaters in the country’s biggest cities were dark for months. And the numbers make it easy to understand why: The U.S. box office in 2020 generated about $2.1 billion in ticket sales, down 81% from the 2018 record of $11.9 billion.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在疫情期间增加了债务，因为该国最大城市的影院连续几个月处于黑暗之中。这些数字很容易理解原因：2020年美国票房收入约为21亿美元，比2018年创纪录的119亿美元下降了81%。</blockquote></p><p> So, it seems investors have been vexed by movie theater economics. But it wouldn’t be the first time. The industry essentially went belly up at the turn of the millennium. Regal Cinemas, for instance, declared bankruptcy in 2001.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者似乎对电影院经济感到恼火。但这不是第一次了。这个行业在世纪之交基本上破产了。例如，富豪影院于2001年宣布破产。</blockquote></p><p> Back then, the industry had plenty of capacity because of a new theater design—stadium seating that gave a better view of the screen. That shift meant movie theater chains had to renovate or risk losing all their patrons to movie theaters that offered the better view. In the end, too many seats and not enough patrons meant the return on the stadium-seating investments never materialized.</p><p><blockquote>当时，该行业有足够的容量，因为一种新的剧院设计——体育场座位可以更好地观看屏幕。这种转变意味着连锁电影院必须进行翻新，否则就有可能将所有顾客流失到视野更好的电影院。最终，太多的座位和不够的顾客意味着体育场座位投资的回报从未实现。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot was consolidation. With fewer operators, the number of screens stabilized. Between 2002 and 2007, Regal Cinemas became a cash-generating machine because the stock was mispriced. The stock returned 21% a year on average. The S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both returned less than 9% a year on average over the same period.</p><p><blockquote>结果是整合。随着操作员的减少，屏幕数量稳定下来。2002年至2007年间，Regal Cinemas因股票定价错误而成为现金产生机器。该股平均每年回报率为21%。同期，标普500和道琼斯工业平均指数的平均年回报率均低于9%。</blockquote></p><p> In those days, Regal Cinema’s enterprise value about $5 billion, or about 50% of total U.S. box office sales. That’s far short of AMC today. Something new has to be different for AMC to be worth it.</p><p><blockquote>当年，富豪影院的企业价值约为50亿美元，约占美国票房总收入的50%。这与今天的AMC相去甚远。新的东西必须与众不同，AMC才值得。</blockquote></p><p> Maybe the movie theater business is going to go through another period of consolidation, which can usher in another golden age of returns. AMC’s Tuesday gains, in fact, were catalyzed by new capital raised so the company could go on the offensive, acquiring defunct chains. Monopolies, after all, can be good for stock returns.</p><p><blockquote>也许电影院业务又要经历一段盘整期，可以迎来又一个回报的黄金时代。事实上，AMC周二的上涨是由筹集的新资本推动的，因此该公司可以继续进攻，收购已倒闭的连锁店。毕竟，垄断有利于股票回报。</blockquote></p><p> If AMC can increase market share and the U.S. box office sales can return to 2018 levels in a few years, total sales at might be $9 billion—$6 billion from tickets and $3 billion from concessions. Sales in 2018 amounted to $5.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>如果AMC能够增加市场份额，并且美国票房销售额能够在几年内恢复到2018年的水平，那么总销售额可能会达到90亿美元——60亿美元来自门票，30亿美元来自特许经营。2018年销售额达55亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Then, with better gross profit margins derived from larger scale, AMC might be able to generate $600 million in free cash flow annually, which puts the stock at about a 4% free cash flow yield. The S&amp;P 500 trades for about a 3% free cash flow yield. The numbers can work—if they’re stretched.</p><p><blockquote>然后，随着规模的扩大带来更好的毛利率，AMC每年可能能够产生6亿美元的自由现金流，这使得该股的自由现金流收益率约为4%。标普500的自由现金流收益率约为3%。这些数字可以发挥作用——如果它们被拉伸的话。</blockquote></p><p> There are problems with this scenario, though. There are lots of ifs and mights—and AMC has never generated cash flow like that in the past. Arriving at $600 million in free cash flow is more about justifying current valuations than predicting what is likely.</p><p><blockquote>不过，这种情况存在问题。有很多如果和可能——AMC过去从未产生过这样的现金流。达到6亿美元的自由现金流更多的是为了证明当前估值的合理性，而不是预测可能发生的情况。</blockquote></p><p> Also, with mergers and acquisitions, AMC market shares might rise, but there are still competitors. Regal Cinemas is still out there, owned by Cineworld Holdings (CINE. London). So is Cinemark (CNK). There’s not a true monopoly.</p><p><blockquote>此外，通过并购，AMC的市场份额可能会上升，但仍然存在竞争对手。富豪影院仍然存在，归电影世界控股公司所有。伦敦）。喜满客（CNK）也是如此。没有真正的垄断。</blockquote></p><p> AMC and its peers have to deal with streaming, too. Windows for exclusive theater showings are shrinking. The pandemic has accelerated that. And if AMC gets too large and demanding for movie makers, the talent can always go to streaming faster, hurting box office sales.</p><p><blockquote>AMC及其同行也必须应对流媒体问题。独家影院放映的窗口正在缩小。疫情加速了这一点。如果AMC变得太大，对电影制作人的要求太高，人才总是可以更快地转向流媒体，从而损害票房销售。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the problem of the peer stocks. They aren’t trading like this is a brave new world for theaters. Cineworld stock is up 484% from its 52-week low, but shares are still off 72% from all-time highs. Cinemark shares are up 222% from their 52-week low. They are down 47% from their all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>还有同行股票的问题。他们并不认为这是剧院的一个勇敢的新世界。Cineworld股价较52周低点上涨484%，但仍较历史高点下跌72%。喜满客股价较52周低点上涨222%。它们比历史高点下跌了47%。</blockquote></p><p> AMC stock, again, is up almost 1,600% from its 52-week low and is down just 13% from its May all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价再次较52周低点上涨近1,600%，较5月份历史高点仅下跌13%。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street just doesn’t see the potential either. Nine analysts cover the stock. The average analyst price target is about $5. Before the pandemic, the average analyst price target was $15. But there were fewer shares back then. The old target enterprise value was roughly $7 billion. It’s tough to get from $7 billion to $26 billion predicting better margins.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街也没有看到潜力。九名分析师关注该股。分析师平均目标价约为5美元。在疫情爆发之前，分析师的平均目标价为15美元。但当时股票较少。旧的目标企业价值约为70亿美元。很难从70亿美元增加到260亿美元来预测更好的利润率。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Analysts do have positive free cash flow modeled, though–$13 million in 2022 and $90 million in 2023. That’s a long way from $600 million.</p><p><blockquote>不过，分析师确实模拟了正自由现金流——2022年为1300万美元，2023年为9000万美元。这距离6亿美元还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> And that’s just another way of saying that AMC bulls are a long way from making the math work.</p><p><blockquote>这只是AMC多头距离实现数学计算还有很长的路要走的另一种说法。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amc-rockets-higher-is-it-worth-it-maybe-51622594691?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amc-rockets-higher-is-it-worth-it-maybe-51622594691?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188552613","content_text":"AMC Entertainment‘s skyrocketing stock price would be easy to dismiss as just meme-trade madness, that social media-fueled investor frenzy that has launched the likes of GameStop and BlackBerry into speculative territory.\nBut it’s possible that traditional investors have missed a fundamental change in the movie theater business—and it wouldn’t be the first time.\nShares of AMC (ticker: AMC) surged 23% on Tuesday, closing at $32.04—just off an all-time high of $36.72 set in late May. That puts the movie-theater chain’s market capitalization at roughly $16 billion, more than 15 times what it was in 2018, a record-breaking year at the box office. Shares were up another 34%, to $42.92, in premarket trading Wednesday.\nEven if investors missed an inflection point, though, the math doesn’t add up. The reason might be that market cap isn’t the right measure. Maybe it’s enterprise value, which is essentially market cap and debt. AMC’s enterprise value is about $26 billion, compared with $6.2 billion or so at the end of 2018.\nAMC added debt during the pandemic as theaters in the country’s biggest cities were dark for months. And the numbers make it easy to understand why: The U.S. box office in 2020 generated about $2.1 billion in ticket sales, down 81% from the 2018 record of $11.9 billion.\nSo, it seems investors have been vexed by movie theater economics. But it wouldn’t be the first time. The industry essentially went belly up at the turn of the millennium. Regal Cinemas, for instance, declared bankruptcy in 2001.\nBack then, the industry had plenty of capacity because of a new theater design—stadium seating that gave a better view of the screen. That shift meant movie theater chains had to renovate or risk losing all their patrons to movie theaters that offered the better view. In the end, too many seats and not enough patrons meant the return on the stadium-seating investments never materialized.\nThe upshot was consolidation. With fewer operators, the number of screens stabilized. Between 2002 and 2007, Regal Cinemas became a cash-generating machine because the stock was mispriced. The stock returned 21% a year on average. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both returned less than 9% a year on average over the same period.\nIn those days, Regal Cinema’s enterprise value about $5 billion, or about 50% of total U.S. box office sales. That’s far short of AMC today. Something new has to be different for AMC to be worth it.\nMaybe the movie theater business is going to go through another period of consolidation, which can usher in another golden age of returns. AMC’s Tuesday gains, in fact, were catalyzed by new capital raised so the company could go on the offensive, acquiring defunct chains. Monopolies, after all, can be good for stock returns.\nIf AMC can increase market share and the U.S. box office sales can return to 2018 levels in a few years, total sales at might be $9 billion—$6 billion from tickets and $3 billion from concessions. Sales in 2018 amounted to $5.5 billion.\nThen, with better gross profit margins derived from larger scale, AMC might be able to generate $600 million in free cash flow annually, which puts the stock at about a 4% free cash flow yield. The S&P 500 trades for about a 3% free cash flow yield. The numbers can work—if they’re stretched.\nThere are problems with this scenario, though. There are lots of ifs and mights—and AMC has never generated cash flow like that in the past. Arriving at $600 million in free cash flow is more about justifying current valuations than predicting what is likely.\nAlso, with mergers and acquisitions, AMC market shares might rise, but there are still competitors. Regal Cinemas is still out there, owned by Cineworld Holdings (CINE. London). So is Cinemark (CNK). There’s not a true monopoly.\nAMC and its peers have to deal with streaming, too. Windows for exclusive theater showings are shrinking. The pandemic has accelerated that. And if AMC gets too large and demanding for movie makers, the talent can always go to streaming faster, hurting box office sales.\nThere is also the problem of the peer stocks. They aren’t trading like this is a brave new world for theaters. Cineworld stock is up 484% from its 52-week low, but shares are still off 72% from all-time highs. Cinemark shares are up 222% from their 52-week low. They are down 47% from their all-time high.\nAMC stock, again, is up almost 1,600% from its 52-week low and is down just 13% from its May all-time high.\nWall Street just doesn’t see the potential either. Nine analysts cover the stock. The average analyst price target is about $5. Before the pandemic, the average analyst price target was $15. But there were fewer shares back then. The old target enterprise value was roughly $7 billion. It’s tough to get from $7 billion to $26 billion predicting better margins.\nAnalysts do have positive free cash flow modeled, though–$13 million in 2022 and $90 million in 2023. That’s a long way from $600 million.\nAnd that’s just another way of saying that AMC bulls are a long way from making the math work.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":304,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}