Chloe26的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Chloe26

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2022-02-20

Ok

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2022-02-17

Meta

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2022-02-15

Sea

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2022-02-13

Roblox

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2022-02-12

Inflation

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2022-02-11

Ok

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2022-02-11

Ok

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2022-02-10

Inflation

Inflation Rises 7.5% over the past Year, the Highest since 1982<blockquote>过去一年通货膨胀率上升7.5%，为1982年以来最高</blockquote>

2022-02-09

Zoom

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2022-02-06

Ok

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2022-02-05

Pltr

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2022-02-04

Meta

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2022-02-01

Pltr

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2022-01-29

Ok

Goldman Sachs Predicts Fed Will Raise Rates Five Times This Year<blockquote>高盛预测美联储今年将加息五次</blockquote>

2022-01-26

Noted

These five signals will tell you when the Wall Street correction is over, says veteran strategist<blockquote>资深策略师表示，这五个信号将告诉你华尔街调整何时结束</blockquote>

2022-01-25

Noted

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2022-01-24

[Smile]

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2022-01-20

Ok

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2022-01-14

Great

3 Meme Stocks That Are Actually Solid Long-Term Picks<blockquote>3只实际上是可靠的长期选择的模因股票</blockquote>

2022-01-12

Palantir

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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1644499821,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1173531022?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-10 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation Rises 7.5% over the past Year, the Highest since 1982<blockquote>过去一年通货膨胀率上升7.5%，为1982年以来最高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173531022","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Consumer prices in January surged more than expected over the past 12 months, indicating a worsening","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Consumer prices in January surged more than expected over the past 12 months, indicating a worsening outlook for inflation and cementing the likelihood of substantial interest rate hikes this year.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>过去12个月，1月份消费者价格飙升超过预期，表明通胀前景恶化，并巩固了今年大幅加息的可能性。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>The consumer price index, which measures the costs of dozens of everyday consumer goods, rose 7.5% compared to a year ago, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，衡量数十种日常消费品成本的消费者价格指数较去年同期上涨7.5%。</blockquote></p><p>That compared to Dow Jones estimates of 7.2% for the closely watched inflation gauge. It was the highest reading since February 1982.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，道琼斯对备受关注的通胀指标的估计为7.2%。这是自1982年2月以来的最高读数。</blockquote></p><p>Stripping out volatile gas and grocery costs, the CPI increased 6%, compared to the estimate of 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote>剔除挥发性天然气和食品杂货成本，CPI上涨6%，而预期为5.9%。</blockquote></p><p>The monthly rates also came in hotter than expected, with headline and core CPI both rising 0.6%, compared to the estimates for a 0.4% increase on both measures.</p><p><blockquote>月度利率也高于预期，总体CPI和核心CPI均上涨0.6%，而这两项指标的预期均上涨0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>Core inflation rose at its fastest level since August 1982.</p><p><blockquote>核心通胀升至1982年8月以来最快水平。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation Rises 7.5% over the past Year, the Highest since 1982<blockquote>过去一年通货膨胀率上升7.5%，为1982年以来最高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation Rises 7.5% over the past Year, the Highest since 1982<blockquote>过去一年通货膨胀率上升7.5%，为1982年以来最高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-02-10 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Consumer prices in January surged more than expected over the past 12 months, indicating a worsening outlook for inflation and cementing the likelihood of substantial interest rate hikes this year.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>过去12个月，1月份消费者价格飙升超过预期，表明通胀前景恶化，并巩固了今年大幅加息的可能性。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>The consumer price index, which measures the costs of dozens of everyday consumer goods, rose 7.5% compared to a year ago, the Labor Department reported Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四报告称，衡量数十种日常消费品成本的消费者价格指数较去年同期上涨7.5%。</blockquote></p><p>That compared to Dow Jones estimates of 7.2% for the closely watched inflation gauge. It was the highest reading since February 1982.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，道琼斯对备受关注的通胀指标的估计为7.2%。这是自1982年2月以来的最高读数。</blockquote></p><p>Stripping out volatile gas and grocery costs, the CPI increased 6%, compared to the estimate of 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote>剔除挥发性天然气和食品杂货成本，CPI上涨6%，而预期为5.9%。</blockquote></p><p>The monthly rates also came in hotter than expected, with headline and core CPI both rising 0.6%, compared to the estimates for a 0.4% increase on both measures.</p><p><blockquote>月度利率也高于预期，总体CPI和核心CPI均上涨0.6%，而这两项指标的预期均上涨0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>Core inflation rose at its fastest level since August 1982.</p><p><blockquote>核心通胀升至1982年8月以来最快水平。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173531022","content_text":"Consumer prices in January surged more than expected over the past 12 months, indicating a worsening outlook for inflation and cementing the likelihood of substantial interest rate hikes this year.The consumer price index, which measures the costs of dozens of everyday consumer goods, rose 7.5% compared to a year ago, the Labor Department reported Thursday.That compared to Dow Jones estimates of 7.2% for the closely watched inflation gauge. It was the highest reading since February 1982.Stripping out volatile gas and grocery costs, the CPI increased 6%, compared to the estimate of 5.9%.The monthly rates also came in hotter than expected, with headline and core CPI both rising 0.6%, compared to the estimates for a 0.4% increase on both measures.Core inflation rose at its fastest level since August 1982.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"YMmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633746630,"gmtCreate":1644363144623,"gmtModify":1644363144805,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Zoom","listText":"Zoom","text":"Zoom","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633746630","repostId":"2209583985","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3082,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633289792,"gmtCreate":1644125903943,"gmtModify":1644125904110,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633289792","repostId":"1105432695","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633201726,"gmtCreate":1644064783506,"gmtModify":1644064783607,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pltr","listText":"Pltr","text":"Pltr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633201726","repostId":"1196927717","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1296,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633844071,"gmtCreate":1643965234750,"gmtModify":1643965234860,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Meta","listText":"Meta","text":"Meta","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633844071","repostId":"1180306841","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1042,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633972114,"gmtCreate":1643721274143,"gmtModify":1643721314882,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pltr","listText":"Pltr","text":"Pltr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633972114","repostId":"1196808170","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639720150,"gmtCreate":1643465654826,"gmtModify":1643465654972,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639720150","repostId":"1157223555","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157223555","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1643443466,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1157223555?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-29 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs Predicts Fed Will Raise Rates Five Times This Year<blockquote>高盛预测美联储今年将加息五次</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157223555","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s economists joined Wall Street peers in forecasting the Federal Reserve wi","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s economists joined Wall Street peers in forecasting the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates more aggressively than they previously expected.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>高盛集团（Goldman Sachs Group Inc.）的经济学家与华尔街同行一起预测，美联储将比他们之前预期的更激进地加息。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Economists led by Jan Hatzius now predict the Fed will lift its near zero benchmark by 25 basis points five times this year rather than on four occasions. That would take the benchmark to 1.25%-1.5% by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>以Jan Hatzius为首的经济学家现在预测，美联储今年将五次将其近零基准上调25个基点，而不是四次。到今年年底，该基准利率将升至1.25%-1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Shifts are now seen by Goldman Sachs in March, May, July, September and December. They also expect officials to announce the start of a balance sheet reduction in June.</p><p><blockquote>高盛现在在3月、5月、7月、9月和12月看到了转变。他们还预计官员们将在6月份宣布开始缩减资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p>The switch came days after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said officials were ready to raise rates in March and left the door open to moving at every meeting if needed to curb the fastest inflation in 40 years. A government report on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index rose 4% in the year through December, the most in two decades.</p><p><blockquote>几天前，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示，官员们已准备好在3月份加息，并在每次会议上为遏制40年来最快的通胀敞开了大门。周五的一份政府报告显示，截至12月的一年中，就业成本指数上涨了4%，为二十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>Fed Kicks Off Most Aggressive Global Tightening in Decades</p><p><blockquote>美联储启动数十年来最激进的全球紧缩政策</blockquote></p><p>“The evidence that wage growth is running above levels consistent with the Fed’s inflation target has strengthened, and we have revised up our inflation path,” the Goldman Sachs economists said in a report to clients. “In addition, Chair Powell’s comments earlier this week made it clear that the Fed leadership is open to a more aggressive pace of tightening.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在给客户的一份报告中表示：“工资增长高于美联储通胀目标水平的证据已经加强，我们已经上调了通胀路径。”“此外，鲍威尔主席本周早些时候的言论明确表示，美联储领导层对更激进的紧缩步伐持开放态度。”</blockquote></p><p>The Fed could still switch gears if market conditions change or the economy decelerates much faster than projected, or tighten monetary policy even more than forecast if inflation remains high enough, they said.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，如果市场状况发生变化或经济减速比预期快得多，美联储仍可能改变策略，或者如果通胀仍然足够高，美联储收紧货币政策的幅度甚至超过预期。</blockquote></p><p>Even as they agreed the Fed will do more than they previously bet, banks were divided this week over how aggressive policy makers would be.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们一致认为美联储将采取比之前押注更多的行动，但银行本周在政策制定者的激进程度上存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p>Bank of America Corp. now predicts seven rate hikes in 2022 and BNP Paribas SA forecasts six, while JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and Deutsche Bank AG see five.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行目前预测2022年加息七次，法国巴黎银行预测加息六次，摩根大通和德意志银行预计加息五次。</blockquote></p><p>Nomura Holdings Inc. even reckons the central bank will deliver a 50 basis points increase in March, which would be the biggest move since 2000.</p><p><blockquote>野村控股公司甚至预计央行将在3月份加息50个基点，这将是自2000年以来的最大举措。</blockquote></p><p>Bloomberg Economics is sticking with the projection of five hikes it made earlier this month, though Chief Economist Anna Wong said this week there is a risk of six increases.</p><p><blockquote>彭博经济研究所坚持本月早些时候做出的五次加息的预测，尽管首席经济学家Anna Wong本周表示有六次加息的风险。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs Predicts Fed Will Raise Rates Five Times This Year<blockquote>高盛预测美联储今年将加息五次</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs Predicts Fed Will Raise Rates Five Times This Year<blockquote>高盛预测美联储今年将加息五次</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-29 16:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s economists joined Wall Street peers in forecasting the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates more aggressively than they previously expected.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>高盛集团（Goldman Sachs Group Inc.）的经济学家与华尔街同行一起预测，美联储将比他们之前预期的更激进地加息。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Economists led by Jan Hatzius now predict the Fed will lift its near zero benchmark by 25 basis points five times this year rather than on four occasions. That would take the benchmark to 1.25%-1.5% by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>以Jan Hatzius为首的经济学家现在预测，美联储今年将五次将其近零基准上调25个基点，而不是四次。到今年年底，该基准利率将升至1.25%-1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Shifts are now seen by Goldman Sachs in March, May, July, September and December. They also expect officials to announce the start of a balance sheet reduction in June.</p><p><blockquote>高盛现在在3月、5月、7月、9月和12月看到了转变。他们还预计官员们将在6月份宣布开始缩减资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p>The switch came days after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said officials were ready to raise rates in March and left the door open to moving at every meeting if needed to curb the fastest inflation in 40 years. A government report on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index rose 4% in the year through December, the most in two decades.</p><p><blockquote>几天前，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示，官员们已准备好在3月份加息，并在每次会议上为遏制40年来最快的通胀敞开了大门。周五的一份政府报告显示，截至12月的一年中，就业成本指数上涨了4%，为二十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>Fed Kicks Off Most Aggressive Global Tightening in Decades</p><p><blockquote>美联储启动数十年来最激进的全球紧缩政策</blockquote></p><p>“The evidence that wage growth is running above levels consistent with the Fed’s inflation target has strengthened, and we have revised up our inflation path,” the Goldman Sachs economists said in a report to clients. “In addition, Chair Powell’s comments earlier this week made it clear that the Fed leadership is open to a more aggressive pace of tightening.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在给客户的一份报告中表示：“工资增长高于美联储通胀目标水平的证据已经加强，我们已经上调了通胀路径。”“此外，鲍威尔主席本周早些时候的言论明确表示，美联储领导层对更激进的紧缩步伐持开放态度。”</blockquote></p><p>The Fed could still switch gears if market conditions change or the economy decelerates much faster than projected, or tighten monetary policy even more than forecast if inflation remains high enough, they said.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，如果市场状况发生变化或经济减速比预期快得多，美联储仍可能改变策略，或者如果通胀仍然足够高，美联储收紧货币政策的幅度甚至超过预期。</blockquote></p><p>Even as they agreed the Fed will do more than they previously bet, banks were divided this week over how aggressive policy makers would be.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们一致认为美联储将采取比之前押注更多的行动，但银行本周在政策制定者的激进程度上存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p>Bank of America Corp. now predicts seven rate hikes in 2022 and BNP Paribas SA forecasts six, while JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and Deutsche Bank AG see five.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行目前预测2022年加息七次，法国巴黎银行预测加息六次，摩根大通和德意志银行预计加息五次。</blockquote></p><p>Nomura Holdings Inc. even reckons the central bank will deliver a 50 basis points increase in March, which would be the biggest move since 2000.</p><p><blockquote>野村控股公司甚至预计央行将在3月份加息50个基点，这将是自2000年以来的最大举措。</blockquote></p><p>Bloomberg Economics is sticking with the projection of five hikes it made earlier this month, though Chief Economist Anna Wong said this week there is a risk of six increases.</p><p><blockquote>彭博经济研究所坚持本月早些时候做出的五次加息的预测，尽管首席经济学家Anna Wong本周表示有六次加息的风险。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sachs-predicts-fed-raise-071350897.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sachs-predicts-fed-raise-071350897.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157223555","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s economists joined Wall Street peers in forecasting the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates more aggressively than they previously expected.Economists led by Jan Hatzius now predict the Fed will lift its near zero benchmark by 25 basis points five times this year rather than on four occasions. That would take the benchmark to 1.25%-1.5% by the end of the year.Shifts are now seen by Goldman Sachs in March, May, July, September and December. They also expect officials to announce the start of a balance sheet reduction in June.The switch came days after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said officials were ready to raise rates in March and left the door open to moving at every meeting if needed to curb the fastest inflation in 40 years. A government report on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index rose 4% in the year through December, the most in two decades.Fed Kicks Off Most Aggressive Global Tightening in Decades“The evidence that wage growth is running above levels consistent with the Fed’s inflation target has strengthened, and we have revised up our inflation path,” the Goldman Sachs economists said in a report to clients. “In addition, Chair Powell’s comments earlier this week made it clear that the Fed leadership is open to a more aggressive pace of tightening.”The Fed could still switch gears if market conditions change or the economy decelerates much faster than projected, or tighten monetary policy even more than forecast if inflation remains high enough, they said.Even as they agreed the Fed will do more than they previously bet, banks were divided this week over how aggressive policy makers would be.Bank of America Corp. now predicts seven rate hikes in 2022 and BNP Paribas SA forecasts six, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Deutsche Bank AG see five.Nomura Holdings Inc. even reckons the central bank will deliver a 50 basis points increase in March, which would be the biggest move since 2000.Bloomberg Economics is sticking with the projection of five hikes it made earlier this month, though Chief Economist Anna Wong said this week there is a risk of six increases.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639133016,"gmtCreate":1643191926915,"gmtModify":1643191976590,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639133016","repostId":"2206839931","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2206839931","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1643159234,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2206839931?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-26 09:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"These five signals will tell you when the Wall Street correction is over, says veteran strategist<blockquote>资深策略师表示，这五个信号将告诉你华尔街调整何时结束</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2206839931","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Market volatility looks set to stick around, with stock futures dropping after a wild Wall Street se","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Market volatility looks set to stick around, with stock futures dropping after a wild Wall Street session that harked back to 2008, as the S&amp;P 500  and Nasdaq  dug out of deep losses to close higher.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>市场波动似乎将持续下去，股票期货在经历了可追溯到2008年的疯狂华尔街交易后下跌，标普500和纳斯达克摆脱了深度跌幅，收盘走高。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6299898c03b6402dcbb113b2e0d5d500\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"674\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>&#34;At one point Monday it felt like we were in a full-blown crisis let alone a recession,&#34; noted Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid and his team. As JPMorgan reports, some individual investors threw in the towel on Monday, and ahead of a huge newsy week.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行策略师吉姆·里德和他的团队指出：“周一，我们一度感觉自己陷入了全面危机，更不用说衰退了。”据摩根大通报道，一些个人投资者在周一认输了，这是一个巨大的新闻周。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;The next three days have the potential to make or break the U.S. equity market,&#34; Michael O&#39;Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, told clients. &#34;Tuesday, Microsoft reports earnings after the close. Wednesday is the FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] decision, or more precisely nondecision day, and on Thursday, Apple reports earnings.&#34;</p><p><blockquote>JonesTrading首席市场策略师Michael O'Rourke对客户表示：“未来三天有可能决定美国股市的成败。”“周二，微软在收盘后公布财报。周三是FOMC（联邦公开市场委员会）做出决定，或者更准确地说是无决定日，周四，苹果公布财报。”</blockquote></p><p>And don&#39;t forget the brewing geopolitical troubles between the West and Russia over Ukraine.</p><p><blockquote>别忘了西方和俄罗斯在乌克兰问题上酝酿的地缘政治麻烦。</blockquote></p><p>With few expecting any move from the Federal Reserve this week, investors could face &#34;six weeks of investor limbo as they await the policy tightening cycle to commence,&#34; said O&#39;Rourke. Still, by late Thursday, they may at least have more Fed and earnings clarity.</p><p><blockquote>奥罗克表示，由于很少有人预计美联储本周会采取任何行动，投资者可能会面临“六周的投资者困境，等待政策紧缩周期的开始”。尽管如此，到周四晚些时候，他们至少可能会对美联储和盈利有更多的了解。</blockquote></p><p>Our call of the day comes from a team of strategists led by Barry Bannister at Stifel. The strategists are calling Monday&#39;s late rally a &#34;head fake,&#34; saying investors need five things to happen for stocks to bottom (they don&#39;t see this happening before late first quarter 2022) and the bull market to resume, and none of them look viable right now.</p><p><blockquote>我们今天的看涨期权来自Stifel的Barry Bannister领导的策略师团队。策略师称周一尾盘的反弹是“假的”，称投资者需要发生五件事才能让股市触底（他们认为这种情况在2022年第一季度末之前不会发生）并恢复牛市，但没有一件事现在看起来可行。</blockquote></p><p>One. A more dovish Fed, which would likely lower the 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security real yield that has been pressuring growth stock price/earnings ratios. That&#39;s unlikely before the markets get the first rate increase, says Stifel.</p><p><blockquote>一。美联储更加鸽派，这可能会降低10年期国债通胀保值证券的实际收益率，该收益率一直在给成长型股票的市盈率带来压力。斯蒂菲尔表示，在市场首次加息之前，这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83b52eb7aa303fdbbe10ddaa0eb2f313\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"935\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Two. The U.S. purchasing managers index for manufacturing index must bottom, which Stifel doesn&#39;t see happening before April. Often, the annual PMI index change correlates with or leads year-to-year S&amp;P 500 price, earnings per share and industrial production, they note.</p><p><blockquote>两个。美国制造业采购经理人指数必须触底，Stifel认为这种情况在4月份之前不会发生。他们指出，通常情况下，年度PMI指数变化与同比标普500价格、每股收益和工业生产相关或领先。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06249e70d9dfd4fbfcca05669cd55d2a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Three. Global M2 money supply -- that&#39;s money held by the public -- must bottom, and again this is unlikely until China&#39;s currency weakens.</p><p><blockquote>三个。全球M2货币供应量（即公众持有的货币）必须触底，而且在人民币贬值之前，这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;China is 37% of global money supply in dollar terms and a weaker Chinese yuan would send the dollar up and growth in global money supply in dollar terms down, tightening U.S. financial conditions and lower the P/E ratio for the S&amp;P 500,&#34; says Bannister and the team. So the next &#34;shoe to drop&#34; is a weaker yuan.</p><p><blockquote>“以美元计算，中国占全球货币供应量的37%，人民币走软将导致美元升值，而以美元计算的全球货币供应量增长下降，从而收紧美国金融状况并降低标普500的市盈率，”班尼斯特和他的团队说道。因此，下一个“要掉的鞋”是人民币走软。</blockquote></p><p>Four. S&amp;P 500 quarterly EPS &#34;beats&#34; minus &#34;misses,&#34; which have weakened since the second half of 2021 and have been pressuring stocks, need to calm down.</p><p><blockquote>四个。标普500季度每股收益“好于”减去“未达”，自2021年下半年以来一直疲软，并给股市带来压力，需要冷静下来。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;When EPS beats minus misses are under pressure, in this case falling below the long-term trend (blue line), investors in the S&amp;P 500 must learn to live with diminished policy support while also being subject to a lessening of the year/year change in S&amp;P 500 price,&#34; says Bannister and the team.</p><p><blockquote>“当每股收益超出预期面临压力时，在这种情况下低于长期趋势（蓝线），标普500的投资者必须学会接受政策支持的减少，同时也要受到年度/年度减少的影响标普500价格的变化，”班尼斯特和他的团队说。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28adcdc4b43adb4a23dd1150473e5c7b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Five. That geopolitical mess to the East must be settled without hurting U.S. consumers.</p><p><blockquote>五个。东方的地缘政治混乱必须在不伤害美国消费者的情况下得到解决。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;Ukraine events will matter: the West retaliating against a major global energy producer like Russia over possible Ukraine events may lead to a sharp decline in U.S. after-tax income after deducting household food &amp; energy costs,&#34; as shown in the below chart, says Bannister and the team.</p><p><blockquote>“乌克兰事件将很重要：西方因可能发生的乌克兰事件对俄罗斯等全球主要能源生产国进行报复，可能会导致美国扣除家庭食品和能源成本后的税后收入大幅下降，”如下图所示，班尼斯特和他的团队说道。</blockquote></p><p>And when that happens, the Senate and U.S. House of Representatives are usually lost for the party in power,&#34; they add.</p><p><blockquote>当这种情况发生时，参议院和美国众议院通常会输给执政党，”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3b450edd41ba498e1ae8b2e1e3124c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"429\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Russia has designs on eastern Ukraine only, and has the &#34;nondollar reserves, power over EU energy flows, popular support in Russia and firepower to accomplish their goal of a USSR-style buffer zone separating them from the West,&#34; adds Bannister.</p><p><blockquote>班尼斯特补充道，俄罗斯只对乌克兰东部有计划，并且拥有“非美元储备、对欧盟能源流动的权力、俄罗斯的民众支持以及实现建立苏联式缓冲区将其与西方隔开的目标的火力”。</blockquote></p><p>Note, while Stifel have admitted it messed up with a summer 2021 correction call, in December it forecast the S&amp;P 500 would hit 4,200 by the first quarter, recommending investors take shelter in defensives and clear out of cyclicals. It also warned that the Fed losing its nerve on rate increases could lead to &#34;the third bubble in 100 years.&#34; </p><p><blockquote>请注意，虽然Stifel承认它搞砸了2021年夏季的回调看涨期权，但它在12月份预测标普500将在第一季度触及4,200点，建议投资者采取防御性措施并摆脱周期性股票。它还警告称，美联储对加息失去勇气可能会导致“100年来的第三次泡沫”。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>These five signals will tell you when the Wall Street correction is over, says veteran strategist<blockquote>资深策略师表示，这五个信号将告诉你华尔街调整何时结束</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThese five signals will tell you when the Wall Street correction is over, says veteran strategist<blockquote>资深策略师表示，这五个信号将告诉你华尔街调整何时结束</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-26 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Market volatility looks set to stick around, with stock futures dropping after a wild Wall Street session that harked back to 2008, as the S&amp;P 500  and Nasdaq  dug out of deep losses to close higher.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>市场波动似乎将持续下去，股票期货在经历了可追溯到2008年的疯狂华尔街交易后下跌，标普500和纳斯达克摆脱了深度跌幅，收盘走高。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6299898c03b6402dcbb113b2e0d5d500\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"674\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>&#34;At one point Monday it felt like we were in a full-blown crisis let alone a recession,&#34; noted Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid and his team. As JPMorgan reports, some individual investors threw in the towel on Monday, and ahead of a huge newsy week.</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行策略师吉姆·里德和他的团队指出：“周一，我们一度感觉自己陷入了全面危机，更不用说衰退了。”据摩根大通报道，一些个人投资者在周一认输了，这是一个巨大的新闻周。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;The next three days have the potential to make or break the U.S. equity market,&#34; Michael O&#39;Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, told clients. &#34;Tuesday, Microsoft reports earnings after the close. Wednesday is the FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] decision, or more precisely nondecision day, and on Thursday, Apple reports earnings.&#34;</p><p><blockquote>JonesTrading首席市场策略师Michael O'Rourke对客户表示：“未来三天有可能决定美国股市的成败。”“周二，微软在收盘后公布财报。周三是FOMC（联邦公开市场委员会）做出决定，或者更准确地说是无决定日，周四，苹果公布财报。”</blockquote></p><p>And don&#39;t forget the brewing geopolitical troubles between the West and Russia over Ukraine.</p><p><blockquote>别忘了西方和俄罗斯在乌克兰问题上酝酿的地缘政治麻烦。</blockquote></p><p>With few expecting any move from the Federal Reserve this week, investors could face &#34;six weeks of investor limbo as they await the policy tightening cycle to commence,&#34; said O&#39;Rourke. Still, by late Thursday, they may at least have more Fed and earnings clarity.</p><p><blockquote>奥罗克表示，由于很少有人预计美联储本周会采取任何行动，投资者可能会面临“六周的投资者困境，等待政策紧缩周期的开始”。尽管如此，到周四晚些时候，他们至少可能会对美联储和盈利有更多的了解。</blockquote></p><p>Our call of the day comes from a team of strategists led by Barry Bannister at Stifel. The strategists are calling Monday&#39;s late rally a &#34;head fake,&#34; saying investors need five things to happen for stocks to bottom (they don&#39;t see this happening before late first quarter 2022) and the bull market to resume, and none of them look viable right now.</p><p><blockquote>我们今天的看涨期权来自Stifel的Barry Bannister领导的策略师团队。策略师称周一尾盘的反弹是“假的”，称投资者需要发生五件事才能让股市触底（他们认为这种情况在2022年第一季度末之前不会发生）并恢复牛市，但没有一件事现在看起来可行。</blockquote></p><p>One. A more dovish Fed, which would likely lower the 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security real yield that has been pressuring growth stock price/earnings ratios. That&#39;s unlikely before the markets get the first rate increase, says Stifel.</p><p><blockquote>一。美联储更加鸽派，这可能会降低10年期国债通胀保值证券的实际收益率，该收益率一直在给成长型股票的市盈率带来压力。斯蒂菲尔表示，在市场首次加息之前，这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83b52eb7aa303fdbbe10ddaa0eb2f313\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"935\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Two. The U.S. purchasing managers index for manufacturing index must bottom, which Stifel doesn&#39;t see happening before April. Often, the annual PMI index change correlates with or leads year-to-year S&amp;P 500 price, earnings per share and industrial production, they note.</p><p><blockquote>两个。美国制造业采购经理人指数必须触底，Stifel认为这种情况在4月份之前不会发生。他们指出，通常情况下，年度PMI指数变化与同比标普500价格、每股收益和工业生产相关或领先。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06249e70d9dfd4fbfcca05669cd55d2a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"457\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Three. Global M2 money supply -- that&#39;s money held by the public -- must bottom, and again this is unlikely until China&#39;s currency weakens.</p><p><blockquote>三个。全球M2货币供应量（即公众持有的货币）必须触底，而且在人民币贬值之前，这种情况不太可能发生。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;China is 37% of global money supply in dollar terms and a weaker Chinese yuan would send the dollar up and growth in global money supply in dollar terms down, tightening U.S. financial conditions and lower the P/E ratio for the S&amp;P 500,&#34; says Bannister and the team. So the next &#34;shoe to drop&#34; is a weaker yuan.</p><p><blockquote>“以美元计算，中国占全球货币供应量的37%，人民币走软将导致美元升值，而以美元计算的全球货币供应量增长下降，从而收紧美国金融状况并降低标普500的市盈率，”班尼斯特和他的团队说道。因此，下一个“要掉的鞋”是人民币走软。</blockquote></p><p>Four. S&amp;P 500 quarterly EPS &#34;beats&#34; minus &#34;misses,&#34; which have weakened since the second half of 2021 and have been pressuring stocks, need to calm down.</p><p><blockquote>四个。标普500季度每股收益“好于”减去“未达”，自2021年下半年以来一直疲软，并给股市带来压力，需要冷静下来。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;When EPS beats minus misses are under pressure, in this case falling below the long-term trend (blue line), investors in the S&amp;P 500 must learn to live with diminished policy support while also being subject to a lessening of the year/year change in S&amp;P 500 price,&#34; says Bannister and the team.</p><p><blockquote>“当每股收益超出预期面临压力时，在这种情况下低于长期趋势（蓝线），标普500的投资者必须学会接受政策支持的减少，同时也要受到年度/年度减少的影响标普500价格的变化，”班尼斯特和他的团队说。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28adcdc4b43adb4a23dd1150473e5c7b\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Five. That geopolitical mess to the East must be settled without hurting U.S. consumers.</p><p><blockquote>五个。东方的地缘政治混乱必须在不伤害美国消费者的情况下得到解决。</blockquote></p><p>&#34;Ukraine events will matter: the West retaliating against a major global energy producer like Russia over possible Ukraine events may lead to a sharp decline in U.S. after-tax income after deducting household food &amp; energy costs,&#34; as shown in the below chart, says Bannister and the team.</p><p><blockquote>“乌克兰事件将很重要：西方因可能发生的乌克兰事件对俄罗斯等全球主要能源生产国进行报复，可能会导致美国扣除家庭食品和能源成本后的税后收入大幅下降，”如下图所示，班尼斯特和他的团队说道。</blockquote></p><p>And when that happens, the Senate and U.S. House of Representatives are usually lost for the party in power,&#34; they add.</p><p><blockquote>当这种情况发生时，参议院和美国众议院通常会输给执政党，”他们补充道。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb3b450edd41ba498e1ae8b2e1e3124c\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"429\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Russia has designs on eastern Ukraine only, and has the &#34;nondollar reserves, power over EU energy flows, popular support in Russia and firepower to accomplish their goal of a USSR-style buffer zone separating them from the West,&#34; adds Bannister.</p><p><blockquote>班尼斯特补充道，俄罗斯只对乌克兰东部有计划，并且拥有“非美元储备、对欧盟能源流动的权力、俄罗斯的民众支持以及实现建立苏联式缓冲区将其与西方隔开的目标的火力”。</blockquote></p><p>Note, while Stifel have admitted it messed up with a summer 2021 correction call, in December it forecast the S&amp;P 500 would hit 4,200 by the first quarter, recommending investors take shelter in defensives and clear out of cyclicals. It also warned that the Fed losing its nerve on rate increases could lead to &#34;the third bubble in 100 years.&#34; </p><p><blockquote>请注意，虽然Stifel承认它搞砸了2021年夏季的回调看涨期权，但它在12月份预测标普500将在第一季度触及4,200点，建议投资者采取防御性措施并摆脱周期性股票。它还警告称，美联储对加息失去勇气可能会导致“100年来的第三次泡沫”。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-five-signals-will-tell-you-when-the-wall-street-correction-is-over-says-veteran-strategist-11643113067?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4568":"美国抗疫概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","AXP":"美国运通","XRX":"施乐","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","MSFT":"微软","BK4134":"信息科技咨询与其它服务","BK4007":"制药","BK4525":"远程办公概念","JNJ":"强生","BK4097":"系统软件","MMM":"3M","BK4564":"太空概念","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4187":"航天航空与国防","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4527":"明星科技股",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4115":"综合电信业务",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","IBM":"IBM","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4516":"特朗普概念","BK4538":"云计算","LMT":"洛克希德马丁","BK4206":"工业集团企业","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","SPOT":"Spotify Technology S.A.","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","VZ":"Verizon Comms","BK4166":"消费信贷"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-five-signals-will-tell-you-when-the-wall-street-correction-is-over-says-veteran-strategist-11643113067?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2206839931","content_text":"Market volatility looks set to stick around, with stock futures dropping after a wild Wall Street session that harked back to 2008, as the S&P 500  and Nasdaq  dug out of deep losses to close higher.\"At one point Monday it felt like we were in a full-blown crisis let alone a recession,\" noted Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid and his team. As JPMorgan reports, some individual investors threw in the towel on Monday, and ahead of a huge newsy week.\"The next three days have the potential to make or break the U.S. equity market,\" Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, told clients. \"Tuesday, Microsoft reports earnings after the close. Wednesday is the FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] decision, or more precisely nondecision day, and on Thursday, Apple reports earnings.\"And don't forget the brewing geopolitical troubles between the West and Russia over Ukraine.With few expecting any move from the Federal Reserve this week, investors could face \"six weeks of investor limbo as they await the policy tightening cycle to commence,\" said O'Rourke. Still, by late Thursday, they may at least have more Fed and earnings clarity.Our call of the day comes from a team of strategists led by Barry Bannister at Stifel. The strategists are calling Monday's late rally a \"head fake,\" saying investors need five things to happen for stocks to bottom (they don't see this happening before late first quarter 2022) and the bull market to resume, and none of them look viable right now.One. A more dovish Fed, which would likely lower the 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security real yield that has been pressuring growth stock price/earnings ratios. That's unlikely before the markets get the first rate increase, says Stifel.Two. The U.S. purchasing managers index for manufacturing index must bottom, which Stifel doesn't see happening before April. Often, the annual PMI index change correlates with or leads year-to-year S&P 500 price, earnings per share and industrial production, they note.Three. Global M2 money supply -- that's money held by the public -- must bottom, and again this is unlikely until China's currency weakens.\"China is 37% of global money supply in dollar terms and a weaker Chinese yuan would send the dollar up and growth in global money supply in dollar terms down, tightening U.S. financial conditions and lower the P/E ratio for the S&P 500,\" says Bannister and the team. So the next \"shoe to drop\" is a weaker yuan.Four. S&P 500 quarterly EPS \"beats\" minus \"misses,\" which have weakened since the second half of 2021 and have been pressuring stocks, need to calm down.\"When EPS beats minus misses are under pressure, in this case falling below the long-term trend (blue line), investors in the S&P 500 must learn to live with diminished policy support while also being subject to a lessening of the year/year change in S&P 500 price,\" says Bannister and the team.Five. That geopolitical mess to the East must be settled without hurting U.S. consumers.\"Ukraine events will matter: the West retaliating against a major global energy producer like Russia over possible Ukraine events may lead to a sharp decline in U.S. after-tax income after deducting household food & energy costs,\" as shown in the below chart, says Bannister and the team.And when that happens, the Senate and U.S. House of Representatives are usually lost for the party in power,\" they add.Russia has designs on eastern Ukraine only, and has the \"nondollar reserves, power over EU energy flows, popular support in Russia and firepower to accomplish their goal of a USSR-style buffer zone separating them from the West,\" adds Bannister.Note, while Stifel have admitted it messed up with a summer 2021 correction call, in December it forecast the S&P 500 would hit 4,200 by the first quarter, recommending investors take shelter in defensives and clear out of cyclicals. It also warned that the Fed losing its nerve on rate increases could lead to \"the third bubble in 100 years.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"IBM":1,"SPY":0.6,"XRX":1,"SPOT":1,"MSFT":0.74,"MMM":1,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"VZ":1,"AXP":1,"JNJ":1,"LMT":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1319,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630749732,"gmtCreate":1643066215028,"gmtModify":1643066215119,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630749732","repostId":"1135838595","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630425851,"gmtCreate":1643026865792,"gmtModify":1643026865919,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630425851","repostId":"2205802723","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":630306729,"gmtCreate":1642686633475,"gmtModify":1642686642539,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/630306729","repostId":"2204058661","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":979,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697065156,"gmtCreate":1642167767437,"gmtModify":1642167794785,"author":{"id":"3572841098185467","authorId":"3572841098185467","name":"Chloe26","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572841098185467","authorIdStr":"3572841098185467"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697065156","repostId":"1144666508","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144666508","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642160056,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144666508?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-14 19:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Meme Stocks That Are Actually Solid Long-Term Picks<blockquote>3只实际上是可靠的长期选择的模因股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144666508","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The meme stock craze of 2021 was certainly a historically unique market environment. Many stocks, so","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The meme stock craze of 2021 was certainly a historically unique market environment. Many stocks, some heavily shorted and some just interesting speculative growth plays, rocketed sharply higher -- often doubling, tripling, or more in a very short time. And many took investors on quite a roller coaster ride for months.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>2021年的模因股票热潮无疑是一个历史上独特的市场环境。许多股票，有些被严重做空，有些只是有趣的投机性增长股票，大幅上涨——通常在很短的时间内翻倍、三倍或更多。许多人让投资者经历了数月的过山车之旅。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>To be sure, most meme stocks aren&#39;t worth buying as long-term investments. For example, it&#39;s tough to make a long-term investment case for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>.</b> On the other hand, there are some stocks that got caught up in the meme stock trade that looks like solid long-term investments. And this is especially true now that there&#39;s been a massive correction in many high-growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，大多数模因股票不值得作为长期投资购买。例如，很难为<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>.</b>另一方面，有一些股票陷入了看起来像是可靠的长期投资的模因股票交易。尤其是在许多高增长股票出现大幅调整的情况下。</blockquote></p><p><b>A massive opportunity and a great strategy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巨大的机遇和伟大的战略</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Offerpad</b>(NYSE:OPAD) is a real estate company that is a so-called iBuyer, or instant buyer, of homes. Offerpad&#39;s core business involves buying homes directly from sellers, doing cosmetic repairs, and then selling them directly to buyers, hopefully earning a profit in the process.</p><p><blockquote><b>优惠垫</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：OPAD）是一家房地产公司，是所谓的房屋iBuyer或即时买家。Offerpad的核心业务包括直接从卖家那里购买房屋，进行表面维修，然后直接出售给买家，希望在此过程中赚取利润。</blockquote></p><p>However, there are a couple of things that set Offerpad apart from its peer group (which really only consists of two other companies). For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> thing, Offerpad is the only iBuyer that is more focused on efficiency than all-out growth. Its unit economics have been better than those of its peers, and while it won&#39;t be consistently profitable for some time, it isn&#39;t that far from it right now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，有几件事使Offerpad有别于其同行集团（实际上只由另外两家公司组成）。为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>事实上，Offerpad是唯一一家更注重效率而不是全面增长的iBuyer。它的单位经济效益一直好于同行，虽然在一段时间内不会持续盈利，但现在离盈利也不远了。</blockquote></p><p>Second, Offerpad isn&#39;t necessarily trying to completely replace open-market home sales. Its Offerpad Flex product encourages customers to list their home on the open market (with an Offerpad partner agent) and gives them a cash offer to keep in their back pocket in the event they get tired of the traditional sale process.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Offerpad并不一定试图完全取代公开市场房屋销售。其Offerpad Flex产品鼓励客户在公开市场上列出他们的房屋（通过Offerpad合作伙伴代理），并为他们提供现金报价，以便在他们厌倦传统销售流程时放在口袋里。</blockquote></p><p>Offerpad went a bit meme-stockish after its late 2021 special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger was completed, at one point rocketing to nearly $21 from its $10 pre-SPAC valuation. Now that the SPAC boom has cooled, Offerpad has plunged to less than $6, in line with many other recent SPAC targets. But make no mistake -- this is a real business with a huge market opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>在2021年底完成与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)的合并后，Offerpad变得有点疯狂，一度从SPAC之前的10美元估值飙升至近21美元。现在SPAC热潮已经降温，Offerpad已暴跌至6美元以下，与许多其他最近的SPAC目标一致。但毫无疑问，这是一个真正的行业，有着巨大的市场机会。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tons of disruptive potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巨大的颠覆性潜力</b></blockquote></p><p>One of the most discussed stocks in some of the most popular trader chat rooms in 2021, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\"><b>SoFi</b></a>, went public through a Chamath Palihapitiya-backed SPAC last year (this was &#34;IPOE&#34; for those who follow Palihapitiya). It started out as a private student loan company but has since evolved into a financial ecosystem, complete with a full lineup of lending products, a credit card, a bank account, a brokerage account, and more. The company also owns the Galileo financial services API and payments platform, which provides functionality for 89 million financial accounts operated by partners.</p><p><blockquote>2021年一些最受欢迎的交易者聊天室中讨论最多的股票之一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\"><b>索菲</b></a>，去年通过Chamath Palihapitiya支持的SPAC上市（对于那些关注Palihapitiya的人来说，这是“IPOE”）。它最初是一家私人学生贷款公司，但后来发展成为一个金融生态系统，拥有全套贷款产品、信用卡、银行账户、经纪账户等。该公司还拥有伽利略金融服务API和支付平台，为合作伙伴运营的8900万个金融账户提供功能。</blockquote></p><p>To say SoFi&#39;s growth has been phenomenal would be an understatement. Thefintech&#39;suser base has nearly doubled over the past year to more than 2.9 million members, and these users account for roughly 4.3 million different financial products. And it&#39;s on the non-lending side of the business where the growth has been especially impressive, with a 179% year-over-year increase in products as of the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>说SoFi的增长惊人是一种保守的说法。Thefintech的用户群在过去一年中几乎翻了一番，超过290万会员，这些用户约占430万种不同的金融产品。非贷款业务的增长尤其令人印象深刻，截至2021年第三季度，产品同比增长179%。</blockquote></p><p>SoFi has the capability to be a true disruptor of the traditional bank model and is making all the right moves to scale its business in a sustainable way. With shares down 36% in the last two months, now could be a great time to add it at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>SoFi有能力成为传统银行模式的真正颠覆者，并且正在采取所有正确的举措以可持续的方式扩大其业务规模。过去两个月股价下跌了36%，现在可能是打折增持的好时机。</blockquote></p><p><b>The most exciting growth is yet to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最激动人心的增长还在后头</b></blockquote></p><p>Last but certainly not least, insurance disruptor <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\"><b>Lemonade</b></a> has been a big victim of the recent growth stock headwinds, with shares down by about 35% in the past couple of months and a total of 80% off their all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>最后但并非最不重要的是，保险颠覆者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\"><b>柠檬汽水</b></a>成为近期成长型股票逆风的一大受害者，过去几个月股价下跌约35%，较历史高点累计下跌80%。</blockquote></p><p>Lemonade is aninsurance technology company, aiming to provide a better way to get insurance quotes, buy policies, and submit claims. In the company&#39;s core business of renters and homeowners insurance, customer feedback has been incredibly strong.</p><p><blockquote>Lemonade是一家保险技术公司，旨在提供更好的方式来获取保险报价、购买保单和提交索赔。在该公司的租房者和房主保险核心业务中，客户反馈非常强烈。</blockquote></p><p>However, it&#39;s the rollout of Lemonade Car, the company&#39;s much-anticipated auto insurance product -- along with the pending acquisition of <b>Metromile</b>(NASDAQ:MILE)-- where Lemonade could accelerate the availability of the product and rapidly scale the business. If the company can replicate its early insurance success in the auto space, and can keep loss ratios in check, Lemonade could be a big winner for patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司备受期待的汽车保险产品Lemonade Car的推出，以及即将收购的<b>地铁里程</b>（纳斯达克：英里）-柠檬水可以加速产品的上市并迅速扩大业务规模。如果该公司能够复制其早期在汽车领域的保险成功，并能够控制损失率，那么Lemonade可能会成为耐心投资者的大赢家。</blockquote></p><p>Remember what you&#39;re buying</p><p><blockquote>记住你买的是什么</blockquote></p><p></p><p>To be sure, these three stocks are real businesses with great long-term growth opportunities. However, it&#39;s important to keep in mind that while the &#34;meme stock&#34; craze has died down, that doesn&#39;t mean it has permanently gone away. And if it comes back, all three of these stocks are likely to experience quite a roller coaster ride. Before you add any of these to your portfolio, it&#39;s important to be prepared for that possibility.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，这三只股票都是真正的企业，具有巨大的长期增长机会。然而，重要的是要记住，虽然“模因股票”热潮已经消退，但这并不意味着它已经永久消失。如果它卷土重来，这三只股票都可能经历一场过山车般的行情。在您将这些添加到您的投资组合之前，为这种可能性做好准备非常重要。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Meme Stocks That Are Actually Solid Long-Term Picks<blockquote>3只实际上是可靠的长期选择的模因股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Meme Stocks That Are Actually Solid Long-Term Picks<blockquote>3只实际上是可靠的长期选择的模因股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-14 19:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The meme stock craze of 2021 was certainly a historically unique market environment. Many stocks, some heavily shorted and some just interesting speculative growth plays, rocketed sharply higher -- often doubling, tripling, or more in a very short time. And many took investors on quite a roller coaster ride for months.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>2021年的模因股票热潮无疑是一个历史上独特的市场环境。许多股票，有些被严重做空，有些只是有趣的投机性增长股票，大幅上涨——通常在很短的时间内翻倍、三倍或更多。许多人让投资者经历了数月的过山车之旅。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>To be sure, most meme stocks aren&#39;t worth buying as long-term investments. For example, it&#39;s tough to make a long-term investment case for <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>.</b> On the other hand, there are some stocks that got caught up in the meme stock trade that looks like solid long-term investments. And this is especially true now that there&#39;s been a massive correction in many high-growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，大多数模因股票不值得作为长期投资购买。例如，很难为<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>.</b>另一方面，有一些股票陷入了看起来像是可靠的长期投资的模因股票交易。尤其是在许多高增长股票出现大幅调整的情况下。</blockquote></p><p><b>A massive opportunity and a great strategy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巨大的机遇和伟大的战略</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Offerpad</b>(NYSE:OPAD) is a real estate company that is a so-called iBuyer, or instant buyer, of homes. Offerpad&#39;s core business involves buying homes directly from sellers, doing cosmetic repairs, and then selling them directly to buyers, hopefully earning a profit in the process.</p><p><blockquote><b>优惠垫</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：OPAD）是一家房地产公司，是所谓的房屋iBuyer或即时买家。Offerpad的核心业务包括直接从卖家那里购买房屋，进行表面维修，然后直接出售给买家，希望在此过程中赚取利润。</blockquote></p><p>However, there are a couple of things that set Offerpad apart from its peer group (which really only consists of two other companies). For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> thing, Offerpad is the only iBuyer that is more focused on efficiency than all-out growth. Its unit economics have been better than those of its peers, and while it won&#39;t be consistently profitable for some time, it isn&#39;t that far from it right now.</p><p><blockquote>然而，有几件事使Offerpad有别于其同行集团（实际上只由另外两家公司组成）。为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>事实上，Offerpad是唯一一家更注重效率而不是全面增长的iBuyer。它的单位经济效益一直好于同行，虽然在一段时间内不会持续盈利，但现在离盈利也不远了。</blockquote></p><p>Second, Offerpad isn&#39;t necessarily trying to completely replace open-market home sales. Its Offerpad Flex product encourages customers to list their home on the open market (with an Offerpad partner agent) and gives them a cash offer to keep in their back pocket in the event they get tired of the traditional sale process.</p><p><blockquote>其次，Offerpad并不一定试图完全取代公开市场房屋销售。其Offerpad Flex产品鼓励客户在公开市场上列出他们的房屋（通过Offerpad合作伙伴代理），并为他们提供现金报价，以便在他们厌倦传统销售流程时放在口袋里。</blockquote></p><p>Offerpad went a bit meme-stockish after its late 2021 special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger was completed, at one point rocketing to nearly $21 from its $10 pre-SPAC valuation. Now that the SPAC boom has cooled, Offerpad has plunged to less than $6, in line with many other recent SPAC targets. But make no mistake -- this is a real business with a huge market opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>在2021年底完成与特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)的合并后，Offerpad变得有点疯狂，一度从SPAC之前的10美元估值飙升至近21美元。现在SPAC热潮已经降温，Offerpad已暴跌至6美元以下，与许多其他最近的SPAC目标一致。但毫无疑问，这是一个真正的行业，有着巨大的市场机会。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tons of disruptive potential</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巨大的颠覆性潜力</b></blockquote></p><p>One of the most discussed stocks in some of the most popular trader chat rooms in 2021, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\"><b>SoFi</b></a>, went public through a Chamath Palihapitiya-backed SPAC last year (this was &#34;IPOE&#34; for those who follow Palihapitiya). It started out as a private student loan company but has since evolved into a financial ecosystem, complete with a full lineup of lending products, a credit card, a bank account, a brokerage account, and more. The company also owns the Galileo financial services API and payments platform, which provides functionality for 89 million financial accounts operated by partners.</p><p><blockquote>2021年一些最受欢迎的交易者聊天室中讨论最多的股票之一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOFI\"><b>索菲</b></a>，去年通过Chamath Palihapitiya支持的SPAC上市（对于那些关注Palihapitiya的人来说，这是“IPOE”）。它最初是一家私人学生贷款公司，但后来发展成为一个金融生态系统，拥有全套贷款产品、信用卡、银行账户、经纪账户等。该公司还拥有伽利略金融服务API和支付平台，为合作伙伴运营的8900万个金融账户提供功能。</blockquote></p><p>To say SoFi&#39;s growth has been phenomenal would be an understatement. Thefintech&#39;suser base has nearly doubled over the past year to more than 2.9 million members, and these users account for roughly 4.3 million different financial products. And it&#39;s on the non-lending side of the business where the growth has been especially impressive, with a 179% year-over-year increase in products as of the third quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>说SoFi的增长惊人是一种保守的说法。Thefintech的用户群在过去一年中几乎翻了一番，超过290万会员，这些用户约占430万种不同的金融产品。非贷款业务的增长尤其令人印象深刻，截至2021年第三季度，产品同比增长179%。</blockquote></p><p>SoFi has the capability to be a true disruptor of the traditional bank model and is making all the right moves to scale its business in a sustainable way. With shares down 36% in the last two months, now could be a great time to add it at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>SoFi有能力成为传统银行模式的真正颠覆者，并且正在采取所有正确的举措以可持续的方式扩大其业务规模。过去两个月股价下跌了36%，现在可能是打折增持的好时机。</blockquote></p><p><b>The most exciting growth is yet to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最激动人心的增长还在后头</b></blockquote></p><p>Last but certainly not least, insurance disruptor <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\"><b>Lemonade</b></a> has been a big victim of the recent growth stock headwinds, with shares down by about 35% in the past couple of months and a total of 80% off their all-time high.</p><p><blockquote>最后但并非最不重要的是，保险颠覆者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LMND\"><b>柠檬汽水</b></a>成为近期成长型股票逆风的一大受害者，过去几个月股价下跌约35%，较历史高点累计下跌80%。</blockquote></p><p>Lemonade is aninsurance technology company, aiming to provide a better way to get insurance quotes, buy policies, and submit claims. In the company&#39;s core business of renters and homeowners insurance, customer feedback has been incredibly strong.</p><p><blockquote>Lemonade是一家保险技术公司，旨在提供更好的方式来获取保险报价、购买保单和提交索赔。在该公司的租房者和房主保险核心业务中，客户反馈非常强烈。</blockquote></p><p>However, it&#39;s the rollout of Lemonade Car, the company&#39;s much-anticipated auto insurance product -- along with the pending acquisition of <b>Metromile</b>(NASDAQ:MILE)-- where Lemonade could accelerate the availability of the product and rapidly scale the business. If the company can replicate its early insurance success in the auto space, and can keep loss ratios in check, Lemonade could be a big winner for patient investors.</p><p><blockquote>然而，该公司备受期待的汽车保险产品Lemonade Car的推出，以及即将收购的<b>地铁里程</b>（纳斯达克：英里）-柠檬水可以加速产品的上市并迅速扩大业务规模。如果该公司能够复制其早期在汽车领域的保险成功，并能够控制损失率，那么Lemonade可能会成为耐心投资者的大赢家。</blockquote></p><p>Remember what you&#39;re buying</p><p><blockquote>记住你买的是什么</blockquote></p><p></p><p>To be sure, these three stocks are real businesses with great long-term growth opportunities. However, it&#39;s important to keep in mind that while the &#34;meme stock&#34; craze has died down, that doesn&#39;t mean it has permanently gone away. And if it comes back, all three of these stocks are likely to experience quite a roller coaster ride. Before you add any of these to your portfolio, it&#39;s important to be prepared for that possibility.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，这三只股票都是真正的企业，具有巨大的长期增长机会。然而，重要的是要记住，虽然“模因股票”热潮已经消退，但这并不意味着它已经永久消失。如果它卷土重来，这三只股票都可能经历一场过山车般的行情。在您将这些添加到您的投资组合之前，为这种可能性做好准备非常重要。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/3-meme-stocks-that-are-actually-solid-long-term-pi/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SOFI":"SoFi Technologies Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","LMND":"Lemonade, Inc.","OPAD":"Offerpad Solutions"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/14/3-meme-stocks-that-are-actually-solid-long-term-pi/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144666508","content_text":"The meme stock craze of 2021 was certainly a historically unique market environment. Many stocks, some heavily shorted and some just interesting speculative growth plays, rocketed sharply higher -- often doubling, tripling, or more in a very short time. And many took investors on quite a roller coaster ride for months.To be sure, most meme stocks aren't worth buying as long-term investments. For example, it's tough to make a long-term investment case for AMC Entertainment. On the other hand, there are some stocks that got caught up in the meme stock trade that looks like solid long-term investments. And this is especially true now that there's been a massive correction in many high-growth stocks.A massive opportunity and a great strategyOfferpad(NYSE:OPAD) is a real estate company that is a so-called iBuyer, or instant buyer, of homes. Offerpad's core business involves buying homes directly from sellers, doing cosmetic repairs, and then selling them directly to buyers, hopefully earning a profit in the process.However, there are a couple of things that set Offerpad apart from its peer group (which really only consists of two other companies). For one thing, Offerpad is the only iBuyer that is more focused on efficiency than all-out growth. Its unit economics have been better than those of its peers, and while it won't be consistently profitable for some time, it isn't that far from it right now.Second, Offerpad isn't necessarily trying to completely replace open-market home sales. Its Offerpad Flex product encourages customers to list their home on the open market (with an Offerpad partner agent) and gives them a cash offer to keep in their back pocket in the event they get tired of the traditional sale process.Offerpad went a bit meme-stockish after its late 2021 special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger was completed, at one point rocketing to nearly $21 from its $10 pre-SPAC valuation. Now that the SPAC boom has cooled, Offerpad has plunged to less than $6, in line with many other recent SPAC targets. But make no mistake -- this is a real business with a huge market opportunity.Tons of disruptive potentialOne of the most discussed stocks in some of the most popular trader chat rooms in 2021, SoFi, went public through a Chamath Palihapitiya-backed SPAC last year (this was \"IPOE\" for those who follow Palihapitiya). It started out as a private student loan company but has since evolved into a financial ecosystem, complete with a full lineup of lending products, a credit card, a bank account, a brokerage account, and more. The company also owns the Galileo financial services API and payments platform, which provides functionality for 89 million financial accounts operated by partners.To say SoFi's growth has been phenomenal would be an understatement. Thefintech'suser base has nearly doubled over the past year to more than 2.9 million members, and these users account for roughly 4.3 million different financial products. And it's on the non-lending side of the business where the growth has been especially impressive, with a 179% year-over-year increase in products as of the third quarter of 2021.SoFi has the capability to be a true disruptor of the traditional bank model and is making all the right moves to scale its business in a sustainable way. With shares down 36% in the last two months, now could be a great time to add it at a discount.The most exciting growth is yet to comeLast but certainly not least, insurance disruptor Lemonade has been a big victim of the recent growth stock headwinds, with shares down by about 35% in the past couple of months and a total of 80% off their all-time high.Lemonade is aninsurance technology company, aiming to provide a better way to get insurance quotes, buy policies, and submit claims. In the company's core business of renters and homeowners insurance, customer feedback has been incredibly strong.However, it's the rollout of Lemonade Car, the company's much-anticipated auto insurance product -- along with the pending acquisition of Metromile(NASDAQ:MILE)-- where Lemonade could accelerate the availability of the product and rapidly scale the business. If the company can replicate its early insurance success in the auto space, and can keep loss ratios in check, Lemonade could be a big winner for patient investors.Remember what you're buyingTo be sure, these three stocks are real businesses with great long-term growth opportunities. However, it's important to keep in mind that while the \"meme stock\" craze has died down, that doesn't mean it has permanently gone away. And if it comes back, all three of these stocks are likely to experience quite a roller coaster ride. Before you add any of these to your portfolio, it's important to be prepared for that 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16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs Predicts Fed Will Raise Rates Five Times This Year<blockquote>高盛预测美联储今年将加息五次</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157223555","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s economists joined Wall Street peers in forecasting the Federal Reserve wi","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s economists joined Wall Street peers in forecasting the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates more aggressively than they previously expected.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>高盛集团（Goldman Sachs Group Inc.）的经济学家与华尔街同行一起预测，美联储将比他们之前预期的更激进地加息。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Economists led by Jan Hatzius now predict the Fed will lift its near zero benchmark by 25 basis points five times this year rather than on four occasions. That would take the benchmark to 1.25%-1.5% by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>以Jan Hatzius为首的经济学家现在预测，美联储今年将五次将其近零基准上调25个基点，而不是四次。到今年年底，该基准利率将升至1.25%-1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Shifts are now seen by Goldman Sachs in March, May, July, September and December. They also expect officials to announce the start of a balance sheet reduction in June.</p><p><blockquote>高盛现在在3月、5月、7月、9月和12月看到了转变。他们还预计官员们将在6月份宣布开始缩减资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p>The switch came days after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said officials were ready to raise rates in March and left the door open to moving at every meeting if needed to curb the fastest inflation in 40 years. A government report on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index rose 4% in the year through December, the most in two decades.</p><p><blockquote>几天前，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示，官员们已准备好在3月份加息，并在每次会议上为遏制40年来最快的通胀敞开了大门。周五的一份政府报告显示，截至12月的一年中，就业成本指数上涨了4%，为二十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>Fed Kicks Off Most Aggressive Global Tightening in Decades</p><p><blockquote>美联储启动数十年来最激进的全球紧缩政策</blockquote></p><p>“The evidence that wage growth is running above levels consistent with the Fed’s inflation target has strengthened, and we have revised up our inflation path,” the Goldman Sachs economists said in a report to clients. “In addition, Chair Powell’s comments earlier this week made it clear that the Fed leadership is open to a more aggressive pace of tightening.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在给客户的一份报告中表示：“工资增长高于美联储通胀目标水平的证据已经加强，我们已经上调了通胀路径。”“此外，鲍威尔主席本周早些时候的言论明确表示，美联储领导层对更激进的紧缩步伐持开放态度。”</blockquote></p><p>The Fed could still switch gears if market conditions change or the economy decelerates much faster than projected, or tighten monetary policy even more than forecast if inflation remains high enough, they said.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，如果市场状况发生变化或经济减速比预期快得多，美联储仍可能改变策略，或者如果通胀仍然足够高，美联储收紧货币政策的幅度甚至超过预期。</blockquote></p><p>Even as they agreed the Fed will do more than they previously bet, banks were divided this week over how aggressive policy makers would be.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们一致认为美联储将采取比之前押注更多的行动，但银行本周在政策制定者的激进程度上存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p>Bank of America Corp. now predicts seven rate hikes in 2022 and BNP Paribas SA forecasts six, while JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and Deutsche Bank AG see five.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行目前预测2022年加息七次，法国巴黎银行预测加息六次，摩根大通和德意志银行预计加息五次。</blockquote></p><p>Nomura Holdings Inc. even reckons the central bank will deliver a 50 basis points increase in March, which would be the biggest move since 2000.</p><p><blockquote>野村控股公司甚至预计央行将在3月份加息50个基点，这将是自2000年以来的最大举措。</blockquote></p><p>Bloomberg Economics is sticking with the projection of five hikes it made earlier this month, though Chief Economist Anna Wong said this week there is a risk of six increases.</p><p><blockquote>彭博经济研究所坚持本月早些时候做出的五次加息的预测，尽管首席经济学家Anna Wong本周表示有六次加息的风险。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs Predicts Fed Will Raise Rates Five Times This Year<blockquote>高盛预测美联储今年将加息五次</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs Predicts Fed Will Raise Rates Five Times This Year<blockquote>高盛预测美联储今年将加息五次</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-29 16:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s economists joined Wall Street peers in forecasting the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates more aggressively than they previously expected.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>高盛集团（Goldman Sachs Group Inc.）的经济学家与华尔街同行一起预测，美联储将比他们之前预期的更激进地加息。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>Economists led by Jan Hatzius now predict the Fed will lift its near zero benchmark by 25 basis points five times this year rather than on four occasions. That would take the benchmark to 1.25%-1.5% by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>以Jan Hatzius为首的经济学家现在预测，美联储今年将五次将其近零基准上调25个基点，而不是四次。到今年年底，该基准利率将升至1.25%-1.5%。</blockquote></p><p>Shifts are now seen by Goldman Sachs in March, May, July, September and December. They also expect officials to announce the start of a balance sheet reduction in June.</p><p><blockquote>高盛现在在3月、5月、7月、9月和12月看到了转变。他们还预计官员们将在6月份宣布开始缩减资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p>The switch came days after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said officials were ready to raise rates in March and left the door open to moving at every meeting if needed to curb the fastest inflation in 40 years. A government report on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index rose 4% in the year through December, the most in two decades.</p><p><blockquote>几天前，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示，官员们已准备好在3月份加息，并在每次会议上为遏制40年来最快的通胀敞开了大门。周五的一份政府报告显示，截至12月的一年中，就业成本指数上涨了4%，为二十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p>Fed Kicks Off Most Aggressive Global Tightening in Decades</p><p><blockquote>美联储启动数十年来最激进的全球紧缩政策</blockquote></p><p>“The evidence that wage growth is running above levels consistent with the Fed’s inflation target has strengthened, and we have revised up our inflation path,” the Goldman Sachs economists said in a report to clients. “In addition, Chair Powell’s comments earlier this week made it clear that the Fed leadership is open to a more aggressive pace of tightening.”</p><p><blockquote>高盛经济学家在给客户的一份报告中表示：“工资增长高于美联储通胀目标水平的证据已经加强，我们已经上调了通胀路径。”“此外，鲍威尔主席本周早些时候的言论明确表示，美联储领导层对更激进的紧缩步伐持开放态度。”</blockquote></p><p>The Fed could still switch gears if market conditions change or the economy decelerates much faster than projected, or tighten monetary policy even more than forecast if inflation remains high enough, they said.</p><p><blockquote>他们表示，如果市场状况发生变化或经济减速比预期快得多，美联储仍可能改变策略，或者如果通胀仍然足够高，美联储收紧货币政策的幅度甚至超过预期。</blockquote></p><p>Even as they agreed the Fed will do more than they previously bet, banks were divided this week over how aggressive policy makers would be.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们一致认为美联储将采取比之前押注更多的行动，但银行本周在政策制定者的激进程度上存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p>Bank of America Corp. now predicts seven rate hikes in 2022 and BNP Paribas SA forecasts six, while JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. and Deutsche Bank AG see five.</p><p><blockquote>美国银行目前预测2022年加息七次，法国巴黎银行预测加息六次，摩根大通和德意志银行预计加息五次。</blockquote></p><p>Nomura Holdings Inc. even reckons the central bank will deliver a 50 basis points increase in March, which would be the biggest move since 2000.</p><p><blockquote>野村控股公司甚至预计央行将在3月份加息50个基点，这将是自2000年以来的最大举措。</blockquote></p><p>Bloomberg Economics is sticking with the projection of five hikes it made earlier this month, though Chief Economist Anna Wong said this week there is a risk of six increases.</p><p><blockquote>彭博经济研究所坚持本月早些时候做出的五次加息的预测，尽管首席经济学家Anna Wong本周表示有六次加息的风险。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sachs-predicts-fed-raise-071350897.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sachs-predicts-fed-raise-071350897.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157223555","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s economists joined Wall Street peers in forecasting the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates more aggressively than they previously expected.Economists led by Jan Hatzius now predict the Fed will lift its near zero benchmark by 25 basis points five times this year rather than on four occasions. That would take the benchmark to 1.25%-1.5% by the end of the year.Shifts are now seen by Goldman Sachs in March, May, July, September and December. They also expect officials to announce the start of a balance sheet reduction in June.The switch came days after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said officials were ready to raise rates in March and left the door open to moving at every meeting if needed to curb the fastest inflation in 40 years. A government report on Friday showed the Employment Cost Index rose 4% in the year through December, the most in two decades.Fed Kicks Off Most Aggressive Global Tightening in Decades“The evidence that wage growth is running above levels consistent with the Fed’s inflation target has strengthened, and we have revised up our inflation path,” the Goldman Sachs economists said in a report to clients. “In addition, Chair Powell’s comments earlier this week made it clear that the Fed leadership is open to a more aggressive pace of tightening.”The Fed could still switch gears if market conditions change or the economy decelerates much faster than projected, or tighten monetary policy even more than forecast if inflation remains high enough, they said.Even as they agreed the Fed will do more than they previously bet, banks were divided this week over how aggressive policy makers would be.Bank of America Corp. now predicts seven rate hikes in 2022 and BNP Paribas SA forecasts six, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Deutsche Bank AG see five.Nomura Holdings Inc. even reckons the central bank will deliver a 50 basis points increase in March, which would be the biggest move since 2000.Bloomberg Economics is sticking with the projection of five hikes it made earlier this month, though Chief Economist Anna Wong said this week there is a risk of six increases.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":968,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}