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2021-12-13

If you got into $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$, would you hold or sell to cut losses?

2021-10-25

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2021-08-18

Will it rise again?

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2021-09-17

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2021-09-02

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2021-10-06

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2021-09-23

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2021-09-20

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Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-12-23

Hmm

Singapore Stock Market May Test Resistance At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或测试3100点阻力</blockquote>

2021-11-19

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Inflation has ‘further to go:’ Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：通胀“还有更长的路要走”</blockquote>

2021-10-13

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Another Earnings Season Is Here. What to Expect This Time.<blockquote>又一个财报季到了。这次会发生什么。</blockquote>

2021-09-08

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Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>

2021-08-31

Let's go!

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2021-08-27

Hmm

T-Mobile CEO Apologizes for Data Security-Breach<blockquote>T-Mobile首席执行官为数据安全漏洞道歉</blockquote>

2021-09-28

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2021-10-09

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S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>

2021-10-05

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This veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote>

2021-09-24

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2021-09-19

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US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote>

2021-09-10

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The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,085-point plateau and it may extend its gains on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市连续两个交易日走高，上涨近15点或0.5%。海峡时报指数目前略高于3,085点的高位，周三可能会延续涨势。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian&nbsp;markets&nbsp;remains positive on easing concerns about the Omicron variant of the coronavirus, plus support from crude oil prices. The European and U.S. markets were up and the Asian bourses are tipped to open in similar fashion.</p><p><blockquote>由于对冠状病毒奥密克戎变种的担忧有所缓解，加上原油价格的支撑，全球对亚洲市场的预测仍然乐观。欧洲和美国市场上涨，亚洲股市预计也将以类似的方式开盘。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished barely higher on Wednesday following gains from the financials and a mixed picture from the industrials.</p><p><blockquote>继金融股上涨和工业股涨跌互现后，海指周三小幅收高。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index picked up 2.43 points or 0.08 percent to finish at 3,087.51 after trading between 3,078.71 and 3,098.27. Volume was 844 million shares worth 696.8 million Singapore dollars. There were 207 gainers and 205 decliners.</p><p><blockquote>当天，该指数在3,078.71点至3,098.27点之间交易后，上涨2.43点或0.08%，收于3,087.51点。成交量为8.44亿股，价值6.968亿新元。上涨207家，下跌205家。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, Ascendas REIT advanced 0.69 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust gained 0.51 percent, City Developments tanked 1.05 percent, Dairy Farm International plunged 1.47 percent, DBS Group climbed 0.75 percent, Genting Singapore skidded 0.66 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 1.92 percent, Keppel Corp retreated 0.59 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust sank 0.51 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust declined 0.54 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation increased 0.45 percent, SATS fell 0.26 percent, SembCorp Industries rose 0.50 percent, Singapore Airlines tumbled 1.02 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.66 percent, Singapore Press Holdings jumped 0.86 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering lost 0.27 percent, SingTel dropped 0.43 percent, Thai Beverage spiked 1.53 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.30 percent, Wilmar International slumped 0.99 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding rallied 0.78 percent and Comfort DelGro was unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>活跃股中，腾飞房地产投资信托上涨0.69%，凯德综合商业信托上涨0.51%，城市发展下跌1.05%，奶牛场国际下跌1.47%，星展集团上涨0.75%，云顶新加坡下跌0.66%，香港置地暴跌1.92%，吉宝企业下跌0.59%，丰树商业信托下跌0.51%，丰树物流信托下跌0.54%，华侨银行上涨0.45%，胜科工业上涨0.50%，新加坡航空下跌1.02%，新加坡交易所上涨0.66%，新加坡科技工程下跌0.27%，新加坡电信下跌0.43%，泰国饮料飙升1.53%，大华银行下跌0.30%，丰益国际下跌0.99%，扬子江造船上涨0.78%，舒适德尔高持平。</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is solid as the major averages shook off a sluggish start on Wednesday, quickly moving higher and finishing in the green.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先优势稳固，主要股指摆脱了周三的低迷开局，迅速走高并以绿色收盘。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow jumped 261.19 points or 0.74 percent to finish at 35,753.89, while the NASDAQ spiked 180.81 points or 1.18 percent and the S&amp;P 500 climbed 47.33 points or 1.02 percent to end at 4,696.56.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数上涨261.19点，涨幅0.74%，收于35,753.89点；纳斯达克上涨180.81点，涨幅1.18%；标普500上涨47.33点，涨幅1.02%，收于4,696.56点。</blockquote></p><p> The markets drew strength from easing worries about Omicron and U.S. President Joe Biden's remarks that it is still possible to reach a deal with Senator Joe Manchin to push the $2 trillion Build Back Better bill through Congress.</p><p><blockquote>市场从对奥密克戎的担忧缓解以及美国总统乔·拜登的言论中获得了力量，即仍有可能与参议员乔·曼钦达成协议，推动2万亿美元的重建更好法案在国会获得通过。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to the positive sentiment, the Conference Board reported that consumer confidence improved by much more than expected in the month of December.</p><p><blockquote>世界大型企业联合会报告称，12月份消费者信心的改善幅度远高于预期，这加剧了积极的情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil futures settled sharply higher Wednesday after data showed a larger than expected drop in U.S. crude inventories last week. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February spiked $1.64 or 2.3 percent at $72.76 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>原油期货周三大幅收高，此前数据显示上周美国原油库存降幅大于预期。2月份西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨1.64美元，或2.3%，至每桶72.76美元。</blockquote></p><p> Closer to home, Singapore will release November numbers for consumer prices later today, with forecasts suggesting an increase 0.4 percent on month and 3.4 percent on year. That follows the 0.3 percent monthly increase and the 3.2 percent yearly gain in October. Core CPI is called steady at 1.5 percent on year.</p><p><blockquote>在国内，新加坡将于今天晚些时候发布11月份消费者价格数据，预测显示环比上涨0.4%，同比上涨3.4%。此前，10月份月度涨幅为0.3%，年率涨幅为3.2%。核心CPI同比稳定在1.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Stock Market May Test Resistance At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或测试3100点阻力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Stock Market May Test Resistance At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或测试3100点阻力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">RTTNews</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 08:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has tracked higher in two straight sessions, gathering almost 15 points or 0.5 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,085-point plateau and it may extend its gains on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市连续两个交易日走高，上涨近15点或0.5%。海峡时报指数目前略高于3,085点的高位，周三可能会延续涨势。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian&nbsp;markets&nbsp;remains positive on easing concerns about the Omicron variant of the coronavirus, plus support from crude oil prices. The European and U.S. markets were up and the Asian bourses are tipped to open in similar fashion.</p><p><blockquote>由于对冠状病毒奥密克戎变种的担忧有所缓解，加上原油价格的支撑，全球对亚洲市场的预测仍然乐观。欧洲和美国市场上涨，亚洲股市预计也将以类似的方式开盘。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished barely higher on Wednesday following gains from the financials and a mixed picture from the industrials.</p><p><blockquote>继金融股上涨和工业股涨跌互现后，海指周三小幅收高。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index picked up 2.43 points or 0.08 percent to finish at 3,087.51 after trading between 3,078.71 and 3,098.27. Volume was 844 million shares worth 696.8 million Singapore dollars. There were 207 gainers and 205 decliners.</p><p><blockquote>当天，该指数在3,078.71点至3,098.27点之间交易后，上涨2.43点或0.08%，收于3,087.51点。成交量为8.44亿股，价值6.968亿新元。上涨207家，下跌205家。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, Ascendas REIT advanced 0.69 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust gained 0.51 percent, City Developments tanked 1.05 percent, Dairy Farm International plunged 1.47 percent, DBS Group climbed 0.75 percent, Genting Singapore skidded 0.66 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 1.92 percent, Keppel Corp retreated 0.59 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust sank 0.51 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust declined 0.54 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation increased 0.45 percent, SATS fell 0.26 percent, SembCorp Industries rose 0.50 percent, Singapore Airlines tumbled 1.02 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.66 percent, Singapore Press Holdings jumped 0.86 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering lost 0.27 percent, SingTel dropped 0.43 percent, Thai Beverage spiked 1.53 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.30 percent, Wilmar International slumped 0.99 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding rallied 0.78 percent and Comfort DelGro was unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>活跃股中，腾飞房地产投资信托上涨0.69%，凯德综合商业信托上涨0.51%，城市发展下跌1.05%，奶牛场国际下跌1.47%，星展集团上涨0.75%，云顶新加坡下跌0.66%，香港置地暴跌1.92%，吉宝企业下跌0.59%，丰树商业信托下跌0.51%，丰树物流信托下跌0.54%，华侨银行上涨0.45%，胜科工业上涨0.50%，新加坡航空下跌1.02%，新加坡交易所上涨0.66%，新加坡科技工程下跌0.27%，新加坡电信下跌0.43%，泰国饮料飙升1.53%，大华银行下跌0.30%，丰益国际下跌0.99%，扬子江造船上涨0.78%，舒适德尔高持平。</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is solid as the major averages shook off a sluggish start on Wednesday, quickly moving higher and finishing in the green.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先优势稳固，主要股指摆脱了周三的低迷开局，迅速走高并以绿色收盘。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow jumped 261.19 points or 0.74 percent to finish at 35,753.89, while the NASDAQ spiked 180.81 points or 1.18 percent and the S&amp;P 500 climbed 47.33 points or 1.02 percent to end at 4,696.56.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数上涨261.19点，涨幅0.74%，收于35,753.89点；纳斯达克上涨180.81点，涨幅1.18%；标普500上涨47.33点，涨幅1.02%，收于4,696.56点。</blockquote></p><p> The markets drew strength from easing worries about Omicron and U.S. President Joe Biden's remarks that it is still possible to reach a deal with Senator Joe Manchin to push the $2 trillion Build Back Better bill through Congress.</p><p><blockquote>市场从对奥密克戎的担忧缓解以及美国总统乔·拜登的言论中获得了力量，即仍有可能与参议员乔·曼钦达成协议，推动2万亿美元的重建更好法案在国会获得通过。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to the positive sentiment, the Conference Board reported that consumer confidence improved by much more than expected in the month of December.</p><p><blockquote>世界大型企业联合会报告称，12月份消费者信心的改善幅度远高于预期，这加剧了积极的情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil futures settled sharply higher Wednesday after data showed a larger than expected drop in U.S. crude inventories last week. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February spiked $1.64 or 2.3 percent at $72.76 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>原油期货周三大幅收高，此前数据显示上周美国原油库存降幅大于预期。2月份西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨1.64美元，或2.3%，至每桶72.76美元。</blockquote></p><p> Closer to home, Singapore will release November numbers for consumer prices later today, with forecasts suggesting an increase 0.4 percent on month and 3.4 percent on year. That follows the 0.3 percent monthly increase and the 3.2 percent yearly gain in October. Core CPI is called steady at 1.5 percent on year.</p><p><blockquote>在国内，新加坡将于今天晚些时候发布11月份消费者价格数据，预测显示环比上涨0.4%，同比上涨3.4%。此前，10月份月度涨幅为0.3%，年率涨幅为3.2%。核心CPI同比稳定在1.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3251197/singapore-stock-market-may-test-resistance-at-3100-points.aspx?type=acom\">RTTNews</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3251197/singapore-stock-market-may-test-resistance-at-3100-points.aspx?type=acom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160915813","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has tracked higher in two straight sessions, gathering almost 15 points or 0.5 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,085-point plateau and it may extend its gains on Wednesday.\nThe global forecast for the Asian markets remains positive on easing concerns about the Omicron variant of the coronavirus, plus support from crude oil prices. The European and U.S. markets were up and the Asian bourses are tipped to open in similar fashion.\nThe STI finished barely higher on Wednesday following gains from the financials and a mixed picture from the industrials.\nFor the day, the index picked up 2.43 points or 0.08 percent to finish at 3,087.51 after trading between 3,078.71 and 3,098.27. Volume was 844 million shares worth 696.8 million Singapore dollars. There were 207 gainers and 205 decliners.\nAmong the actives, Ascendas REIT advanced 0.69 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust gained 0.51 percent, City Developments tanked 1.05 percent, Dairy Farm International plunged 1.47 percent, DBS Group climbed 0.75 percent, Genting Singapore skidded 0.66 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 1.92 percent, Keppel Corp retreated 0.59 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust sank 0.51 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust declined 0.54 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation increased 0.45 percent, SATS fell 0.26 percent, SembCorp Industries rose 0.50 percent, Singapore Airlines tumbled 1.02 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.66 percent, Singapore Press Holdings jumped 0.86 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering lost 0.27 percent, SingTel dropped 0.43 percent, Thai Beverage spiked 1.53 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.30 percent, Wilmar International slumped 0.99 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding rallied 0.78 percent and Comfort DelGro was unchanged.\nThe lead from Wall Street is solid as the major averages shook off a sluggish start on Wednesday, quickly moving higher and finishing in the green.\nThe Dow jumped 261.19 points or 0.74 percent to finish at 35,753.89, while the NASDAQ spiked 180.81 points or 1.18 percent and the S&P 500 climbed 47.33 points or 1.02 percent to end at 4,696.56.\nThe markets drew strength from easing worries about Omicron and U.S. President Joe Biden's remarks that it is still possible to reach a deal with Senator Joe Manchin to push the $2 trillion Build Back Better bill through Congress.\nAdding to the positive sentiment, the Conference Board reported that consumer confidence improved by much more than expected in the month of December.\nCrude oil futures settled sharply higher Wednesday after data showed a larger than expected drop in U.S. crude inventories last week. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February spiked $1.64 or 2.3 percent at $72.76 a barrel.\nCloser to home, Singapore will release November numbers for consumer prices later today, with forecasts suggesting an increase 0.4 percent on month and 3.4 percent on year. That follows the 0.3 percent monthly increase and the 3.2 percent yearly gain in October. Core CPI is called steady at 1.5 percent on year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":691019771,"gmtCreate":1640097378141,"gmtModify":1640097378459,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Does anyone think that Roku will revive again?&nbsp;","listText":"Does anyone think that Roku will revive again?&nbsp;","text":"Does anyone think that Roku will revive again?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691019771","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604399740,"gmtCreate":1639328910604,"gmtModify":1639328910896,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"If you got into&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>, would you hold or sell to cut losses?","listText":"If you got into&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GRAB\">$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$</a>, would you hold or sell to cut losses?","text":"If you got into $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$, would you hold or sell to cut losses?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604399740","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600553881,"gmtCreate":1638177810382,"gmtModify":1638177810804,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">$Novavax(NVAX)$</a>anyone? Is it the right time to enter now?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">$Novavax(NVAX)$</a>anyone? Is it the right time to enter now?","text":"$Novavax(NVAX)$anyone? Is it the right time to enter now?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600553881","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876571008,"gmtCreate":1637334882397,"gmtModify":1637334882838,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876571008","repostId":"1112678123","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112678123","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637334723,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112678123?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 23:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation has ‘further to go:’ Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：通胀“还有更长的路要走”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112678123","media":"Yahoo","summary":"Inflation remains a cause for concern as data continues to butt heads with the White House and the F","content":"<p>Inflation&nbsp;remains a cause for concern as data continues to butt heads with the White House and the Fed’s claim that the price hikes will be “transitory.” According to a Nov. 13 report released by Goldman Sachs Economic Research (GS) however, though inflation has already reached a 30-year high, it may still have more to run.</p><p><blockquote>通胀仍然令人担忧，因为数据继续与白宫和美联储关于物价上涨将是“暂时的”的说法发生冲突。然而，根据高盛经济研究(GS)11月13日发布的报告，尽管通胀已经达到30年来的新高，但可能仍有更多的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> “The US economy largely followed the rapid road to recovery that we expected this year and is on track to round out the recovery next year as most of the remaining effects of the pandemic fade,” the report reads. “But this year also brought a major surprise: a surge in inflation that has already reached a 30-year high and still has further to go.”</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“美国经济今年基本上遵循了我们预期的快速复苏之路，随着疫情的大部分剩余影响消退，美国经济有望在明年完成复苏。”“但今年也带来了一个重大惊喜：通胀飙升，已经达到30年来的新高，而且还有很长的路要走。”</blockquote></p><p> The report suggests that this overshoot in inflation is largely attributable to the rise in durable goods prices caused by the persistentsupply chain crunch. Goldman Sachs Economic Research also expects inflationary pressures from wage and rent growth, but this will only keep inflation “moderately above 2%,” in line with the Fed’s updated framework target.</p><p><blockquote>报告表明，通胀超调很大程度上归因于持续的供应链紧缩导致耐用品价格上涨。高盛经济研究还预计，工资和租金增长将带来通胀压力，但这只会使通胀“适度高于2%”，与美联储更新后的框架目标一致。</blockquote></p><p> “The current inflation surge will get worse this winter before it gets better, but as supply-constrained categories shift from a transitory inflationary boost to a transitory deflationary drag, we expect core PCE inflation to fall from 4.4% at end-2021 to 2.3% at end-2022,” the report reads.</p><p><blockquote>“当前的通胀飙升在好转之前将在今年冬天变得更糟，但随着供应受限类别从暂时的通胀提振转变为暂时的通缩拖累，我们预计核心PCE通胀率将从2021年底的4.4%降至2.3%到2022年底，”报告写道。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also expects the economy to reaccelerate to above a 4% growth rate throughout the next several quarters, citing the reopening of the service sector, consumer spending of pent-up savings, and inventory restocking.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还预计，未来几个季度经济将重新加速至4%以上的增长率，理由是服务业重新开放、消费者支出被压抑的储蓄以及库存补充。</blockquote></p><p> “These forces will contend with a large and steady headwind from diminishing fiscal support that we expect will ultimately leave GDP growth near potential by late 2022,” the report reads.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“这些力量将应对财政支持减少带来的巨大而稳定的阻力，我们预计到2022年底，GDP增长最终将接近潜力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tapering timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逐渐减少的时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the major implications of these inflation expectations is anupdated timelinefor the Fed’s first rate hikes. The report states that Goldman Sachs would be pulling forward its forecast of the timing of the Fed’s first rate hike to July 2022, shortly after tapering ends.</p><p><blockquote>这些通胀预期的主要影响之一是美联储首次加息的更新时间表。报告指出，高盛将把对美联储首次加息时间的预测提前至2022年7月，即缩减结束后不久。</blockquote></p><p> The FOMC is currently scheduled tocompletethe tapering process by mid-June of 2022. Policymakers will meet next in mid-December where they will submit updated economic forecasts and expected policy paths. In September, around half of policymakers believed that a rate hike would not be necessary until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>FOMC目前计划于2022年6月中旬完成缩减进程。政策制定者将于12月中旬举行下一次会议，届时他们将提交最新的经济预测和预期的政策路径。9月份，大约一半的政策制定者认为，在2023年之前没有必要加息。</blockquote></p><p> “Inflation will have run far above target for a while by then, and we think a seamless move from tapering to rate hikes will be the path of least resistance, with a first hike in July and a second in November,” the report reads. “Because we expect growth and inflation to settle down by year-end without a need for aggressive monetary policy tightening, we have penciled in a slower pace of two hikes per year thereafter.”</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“届时通胀将在一段时间内远高于目标，我们认为从缩减到加息的无缝过渡将是阻力最小的路径，第一次加息将在7月进行，第二次加息将在11月进行。”“由于我们预计经济增长和通胀将在年底前稳定下来，无需大幅收紧货币政策，因此我们预计此后每年加息两次的速度会较慢。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation has ‘further to go:’ Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：通胀“还有更长的路要走”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation has ‘further to go:’ Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：通胀“还有更长的路要走”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-19 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Inflation&nbsp;remains a cause for concern as data continues to butt heads with the White House and the Fed’s claim that the price hikes will be “transitory.” According to a Nov. 13 report released by Goldman Sachs Economic Research (GS) however, though inflation has already reached a 30-year high, it may still have more to run.</p><p><blockquote>通胀仍然令人担忧，因为数据继续与白宫和美联储关于物价上涨将是“暂时的”的说法发生冲突。然而，根据高盛经济研究(GS)11月13日发布的报告，尽管通胀已经达到30年来的新高，但可能仍有更多的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> “The US economy largely followed the rapid road to recovery that we expected this year and is on track to round out the recovery next year as most of the remaining effects of the pandemic fade,” the report reads. “But this year also brought a major surprise: a surge in inflation that has already reached a 30-year high and still has further to go.”</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“美国经济今年基本上遵循了我们预期的快速复苏之路，随着疫情的大部分剩余影响消退，美国经济有望在明年完成复苏。”“但今年也带来了一个重大惊喜：通胀飙升，已经达到30年来的新高，而且还有很长的路要走。”</blockquote></p><p> The report suggests that this overshoot in inflation is largely attributable to the rise in durable goods prices caused by the persistentsupply chain crunch. Goldman Sachs Economic Research also expects inflationary pressures from wage and rent growth, but this will only keep inflation “moderately above 2%,” in line with the Fed’s updated framework target.</p><p><blockquote>报告表明，通胀超调很大程度上归因于持续的供应链紧缩导致耐用品价格上涨。高盛经济研究还预计，工资和租金增长将带来通胀压力，但这只会使通胀“适度高于2%”，与美联储更新后的框架目标一致。</blockquote></p><p> “The current inflation surge will get worse this winter before it gets better, but as supply-constrained categories shift from a transitory inflationary boost to a transitory deflationary drag, we expect core PCE inflation to fall from 4.4% at end-2021 to 2.3% at end-2022,” the report reads.</p><p><blockquote>“当前的通胀飙升在好转之前将在今年冬天变得更糟，但随着供应受限类别从暂时的通胀提振转变为暂时的通缩拖累，我们预计核心PCE通胀率将从2021年底的4.4%降至2.3%到2022年底，”报告写道。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also expects the economy to reaccelerate to above a 4% growth rate throughout the next several quarters, citing the reopening of the service sector, consumer spending of pent-up savings, and inventory restocking.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还预计，未来几个季度经济将重新加速至4%以上的增长率，理由是服务业重新开放、消费者支出被压抑的储蓄以及库存补充。</blockquote></p><p> “These forces will contend with a large and steady headwind from diminishing fiscal support that we expect will ultimately leave GDP growth near potential by late 2022,” the report reads.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“这些力量将应对财政支持减少带来的巨大而稳定的阻力，我们预计到2022年底，GDP增长最终将接近潜力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tapering timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逐渐减少的时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the major implications of these inflation expectations is anupdated timelinefor the Fed’s first rate hikes. The report states that Goldman Sachs would be pulling forward its forecast of the timing of the Fed’s first rate hike to July 2022, shortly after tapering ends.</p><p><blockquote>这些通胀预期的主要影响之一是美联储首次加息的更新时间表。报告指出，高盛将把对美联储首次加息时间的预测提前至2022年7月，即缩减结束后不久。</blockquote></p><p> The FOMC is currently scheduled tocompletethe tapering process by mid-June of 2022. Policymakers will meet next in mid-December where they will submit updated economic forecasts and expected policy paths. In September, around half of policymakers believed that a rate hike would not be necessary until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>FOMC目前计划于2022年6月中旬完成缩减进程。政策制定者将于12月中旬举行下一次会议，届时他们将提交最新的经济预测和预期的政策路径。9月份，大约一半的政策制定者认为，在2023年之前没有必要加息。</blockquote></p><p> “Inflation will have run far above target for a while by then, and we think a seamless move from tapering to rate hikes will be the path of least resistance, with a first hike in July and a second in November,” the report reads. “Because we expect growth and inflation to settle down by year-end without a need for aggressive monetary policy tightening, we have penciled in a slower pace of two hikes per year thereafter.”</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“届时通胀将在一段时间内远高于目标，我们认为从缩减到加息的无缝过渡将是阻力最小的路径，第一次加息将在7月进行，第二次加息将在11月进行。”“由于我们预计经济增长和通胀将在年底前稳定下来，无需大幅收紧货币政策，因此我们预计此后每年加息两次的速度会较慢。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-at-30-year-high-has-further-to-go-goldman-sachs-150441968.html\">Yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-at-30-year-high-has-further-to-go-goldman-sachs-150441968.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112678123","content_text":"Inflation remains a cause for concern as data continues to butt heads with the White House and the Fed’s claim that the price hikes will be “transitory.” According to a Nov. 13 report released by Goldman Sachs Economic Research (GS) however, though inflation has already reached a 30-year high, it may still have more to run.\n“The US economy largely followed the rapid road to recovery that we expected this year and is on track to round out the recovery next year as most of the remaining effects of the pandemic fade,” the report reads. “But this year also brought a major surprise: a surge in inflation that has already reached a 30-year high and still has further to go.”\nThe report suggests that this overshoot in inflation is largely attributable to the rise in durable goods prices caused by the persistentsupply chain crunch. Goldman Sachs Economic Research also expects inflationary pressures from wage and rent growth, but this will only keep inflation “moderately above 2%,” in line with the Fed’s updated framework target.\n“The current inflation surge will get worse this winter before it gets better, but as supply-constrained categories shift from a transitory inflationary boost to a transitory deflationary drag, we expect core PCE inflation to fall from 4.4% at end-2021 to 2.3% at end-2022,” the report reads.\nGoldman also expects the economy to reaccelerate to above a 4% growth rate throughout the next several quarters, citing the reopening of the service sector, consumer spending of pent-up savings, and inventory restocking.\n“These forces will contend with a large and steady headwind from diminishing fiscal support that we expect will ultimately leave GDP growth near potential by late 2022,” the report reads.\nTapering timeline\nOne of the major implications of these inflation expectations is anupdated timelinefor the Fed’s first rate hikes. The report states that Goldman Sachs would be pulling forward its forecast of the timing of the Fed’s first rate hike to July 2022, shortly after tapering ends.\nThe FOMC is currently scheduled tocompletethe tapering process by mid-June of 2022. Policymakers will meet next in mid-December where they will submit updated economic forecasts and expected policy paths. In September, around half of policymakers believed that a rate hike would not be necessary until 2023.\n“Inflation will have run far above target for a while by then, and we think a seamless move from tapering to rate hikes will be the path of least resistance, with a first hike in July and a second in November,” the report reads. “Because we expect growth and inflation to settle down by year-end without a need for aggressive monetary policy tightening, we have penciled in a slower pace of two hikes per year thereafter.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1812,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876573531,"gmtCreate":1637334862047,"gmtModify":1637334862574,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876573531","repostId":"1129693973","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129693973","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637332940,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129693973?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 22:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Moderna jumped over 8% while Pfizer and BioNTech SE rose around 2% in morning trading<blockquote>Moderna早盘上涨超过8%，辉瑞和BioNTech SE上涨约2%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129693973","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Moderna jumped over 8% while Pfizer and BioNTech SE rose around 2% in morning trading.Pfizer(PFE.US)","content":"<p>Moderna jumped over&nbsp;8% while Pfizer and BioNTech SE rose around 2% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1788750b32795d8eb3fbb1f2b7eb08a3\" tg-width=\"773\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Pfizer(PFE.US) plans to apply to the European Union for authorization of its COVID-19 drug Paxlovid today.In addition, the report pointed out that German Health Minister Jens Spahn planned to purchase Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna在早盘交易中上涨超过8%，而辉瑞和BioNTech SE上涨约2%。辉瑞（PFE.US）计划今日向欧盟申请其新冠药物Paxlovid的授权。此外，报道指出，德国卫生部长延斯·施潘计划采购Paxlovid。</blockquote></p><p> The report quoted a spokesman for the German Ministry of Health as saying: \"The Ministry of Health is in contact with Pfizer on the possible purchase of COVID-19 drug Paxlovid.\"</p><p><blockquote>报道援引德国卫生部发言人的话说：“卫生部正在与辉瑞就可能购买新冠药物Paxlovid进行接触。”</blockquote></p><p> Moreover，Moderna, Inc.&nbsp;today announced that the&nbsp;U.S. Food and Drug Administration(FDA) has extended the emergency use authorization of a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level to all adults aged 18 and older. This booster can be used in all individuals 18 years and older who have completed a primary vaccination with any other authorized or approved COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Moderna公司今天宣布，美国。美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)已将50µg剂量水平的Moderna COVID-19疫苗加强剂量的紧急使用授权扩大到所有18岁及以上的成年人。这种加强剂可用于所有18岁及以上已完成任何其他授权或批准的新冠肺炎疫苗初次接种的个人。</blockquote></p><p> “This emergency use authorization comes at a critical time as we enter the winter months and face increasing COVID-19 case counts and hospitalizations across the country,” saidStéphane Bancel, Chief Executive Officer ofModerna. “We thank the FDA for their review, and are confident in the robust clinical evidence that a 50 µg booster dose of mRNA-1273 induces a strong immune response against COVID-19.”</p><p><blockquote>Moderna首席执行官Stéphane Bancel表示：“这项紧急使用授权是在我们进入冬季并面临全国范围内不断增加的COVID-19病例数和住院人数的关键时刻发布的。”“我们感谢FDA的审查，并对强有力的临床证据充满信心，即50µg加强剂量的mRNA-1273可诱导针对COVID-19的强烈免疫反应。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Moderna jumped over 8% while Pfizer and BioNTech SE rose around 2% in morning trading<blockquote>Moderna早盘上涨超过8%，辉瑞和BioNTech SE上涨约2%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nModerna jumped over 8% while Pfizer and BioNTech SE rose around 2% in morning trading<blockquote>Moderna早盘上涨超过8%，辉瑞和BioNTech SE上涨约2%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-19 22:42</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Moderna jumped over&nbsp;8% while Pfizer and BioNTech SE rose around 2% in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1788750b32795d8eb3fbb1f2b7eb08a3\" tg-width=\"773\" tg-height=\"565\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Pfizer(PFE.US) plans to apply to the European Union for authorization of its COVID-19 drug Paxlovid today.In addition, the report pointed out that German Health Minister Jens Spahn planned to purchase Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna在早盘交易中上涨超过8%，而辉瑞和BioNTech SE上涨约2%。辉瑞（PFE.US）计划今日向欧盟申请其新冠药物Paxlovid的授权。此外，报道指出，德国卫生部长延斯·施潘计划采购Paxlovid。</blockquote></p><p> The report quoted a spokesman for the German Ministry of Health as saying: \"The Ministry of Health is in contact with Pfizer on the possible purchase of COVID-19 drug Paxlovid.\"</p><p><blockquote>报道援引德国卫生部发言人的话说：“卫生部正在与辉瑞就可能购买新冠药物Paxlovid进行接触。”</blockquote></p><p> Moreover，Moderna, Inc.&nbsp;today announced that the&nbsp;U.S. Food and Drug Administration(FDA) has extended the emergency use authorization of a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level to all adults aged 18 and older. This booster can be used in all individuals 18 years and older who have completed a primary vaccination with any other authorized or approved COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>此外，Moderna公司今天宣布，美国。美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)已将50µg剂量水平的Moderna COVID-19疫苗加强剂量的紧急使用授权扩大到所有18岁及以上的成年人。这种加强剂可用于所有18岁及以上已完成任何其他授权或批准的新冠肺炎疫苗初次接种的个人。</blockquote></p><p> “This emergency use authorization comes at a critical time as we enter the winter months and face increasing COVID-19 case counts and hospitalizations across the country,” saidStéphane Bancel, Chief Executive Officer ofModerna. “We thank the FDA for their review, and are confident in the robust clinical evidence that a 50 µg booster dose of mRNA-1273 induces a strong immune response against COVID-19.”</p><p><blockquote>Moderna首席执行官Stéphane Bancel表示：“这项紧急使用授权是在我们进入冬季并面临全国范围内不断增加的COVID-19病例数和住院人数的关键时刻发布的。”“我们感谢FDA的审查，并对强有力的临床证据充满信心，即50µg加强剂量的mRNA-1273可诱导针对COVID-19的强烈免疫反应。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PFE":"辉瑞","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129693973","content_text":"Moderna jumped over 8% while Pfizer and BioNTech SE rose around 2% in morning trading.Pfizer(PFE.US) plans to apply to the European Union for authorization of its COVID-19 drug Paxlovid today.In addition, the report pointed out that German Health Minister Jens Spahn planned to purchase Paxlovid.\nThe report quoted a spokesman for the German Ministry of Health as saying: \"The Ministry of Health is in contact with Pfizer on the possible purchase of COVID-19 drug Paxlovid.\"\nMoreover，Moderna, Inc. today announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration(FDA) has extended the emergency use authorization of a booster dose of the Moderna COVID-19 vaccine at the 50 µg dose level to all adults aged 18 and older. This booster can be used in all individuals 18 years and older who have completed a primary vaccination with any other authorized or approved COVID-19 vaccine.\n“This emergency use authorization comes at a critical time as we enter the winter months and face increasing COVID-19 case counts and hospitalizations across the country,” saidStéphane Bancel, Chief Executive Officer ofModerna. “We thank the FDA for their review, and are confident in the robust clinical evidence that a 50 µg booster dose of mRNA-1273 induces a strong immune response against COVID-19.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"PFE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3043,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845893364,"gmtCreate":1636326632186,"gmtModify":1636326632626,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845893364","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845395942,"gmtCreate":1636278382396,"gmtModify":1636278382833,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What's your take on Tesla after Elon Musk calls for the vote of selling 10% of his shares to pay for tax? Currently the voting call seems to be leaning towards selling. Will you sell or keep your Tesla shares?","listText":"What's your take on Tesla after Elon Musk calls for the vote of selling 10% of his shares to pay for tax? Currently the voting call seems to be leaning towards selling. Will you sell or keep your Tesla shares?","text":"What's your take on Tesla after Elon Musk calls for the vote of selling 10% of his shares to pay for tax? Currently the voting call seems to be leaning towards selling. Will you sell or keep your Tesla shares?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845395942","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1734,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":846117856,"gmtCreate":1636067896463,"gmtModify":1636067896910,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Play now","listText":"Play now","text":"Play now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/846117856","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2395,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848449723,"gmtCreate":1636023571745,"gmtModify":1636023572177,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Play now!","listText":"Play now!","text":"Play now!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848449723","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856020818,"gmtCreate":1635131478008,"gmtModify":1635131478437,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856020818","repostId":"2178808449","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":459,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851488044,"gmtCreate":1634921361644,"gmtModify":1634921362111,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great! Towards 1K","listText":"Great! Towards 1K","text":"Great! Towards 1K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851488044","repostId":"2177419115","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2177419115","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"T-Reuters","id":"1086160438","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5"},"pubTimestamp":1634919955,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2177419115?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-23 00:25","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"S&P Says Tesla Inc. Upgraded To 'BB+' On Solid Demand Prospects And Robust Financial Metrics; Outlook Positive<blockquote>标准普尔表示，由于强劲的需求前景和稳健的财务指标，特斯拉公司将评级上调至“BB+”；展望积极</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2177419115","media":"T-Reuters","summary":"S&P:S&P Says Tesla Inc. Upgraded To 'Bb+' On Solid Demand Prospects And Robust Financial Metrics; Outlook Positive.S&P, On Tesla, Says Positive Outlook Reflects Our View That Tesla'S Free Operating Cash Flow Generation Will Remain Positive More Consistently.S&P Says Despite Semiconductor Shortages, Other Supply-Related Bottlenecks, Tesla Appears To Have Minimized Production Disruption Versus Most Automakers.S&P Says View On Tesla Also Reflects Outperformance Of Electric Vehicles  So Far This Yea","content":"<p><html><body>S&amp;P:S&amp;P Says Tesla Inc. Upgraded To 'Bb+' On Solid Demand Prospects And Robust Financial Metrics; Outlook Positive.S&amp;P, On Tesla, Says Positive Outlook Reflects Our View That Tesla'S Free Operating Cash Flow Generation Will Remain Positive More Consistently.S&amp;P Says Despite Semiconductor Shortages, Other Supply-Related Bottlenecks, Tesla Appears To Have Minimized Production Disruption Versus Most Automakers.S&amp;P Says View On Tesla Also Reflects Outperformance Of Electric Vehicles (Evs) So Far This Year Globally.S&amp;P Says Key Risks Going Forward Include Access To Supply As Tesla Looks To Raise Cell Capacity And Complete Its Production Ramp-Up To Meet Demand.S&amp;P Says Despite Near-Term Supply Bottlenecks For The Industry, We Expect Tesla Deliveries And Earnings To Remain Strong Over The Next Few Quarters.Further Company Coverage: Tsla.O. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p><p><blockquote><html><body>标准普尔：标准普尔表示，由于强劲的需求前景和稳健的财务指标，特斯拉公司将评级上调至“Bb+”；前景积极。标准普尔在特斯拉表示，积极的前景反映了我们的观点，即特斯拉的自由运营现金流产生将更加持续地保持正值。标准普尔表示，尽管存在半导体短缺和其他与供应相关的瓶颈，但与大多数汽车制造商相比，特斯拉似乎已最大限度地减少了生产中断。标准普尔表示，对特斯拉的看法也反映了今年迄今为止全球电动汽车(EV)的优异表现。标准普尔表示，未来的主要风险包括获得供应，因为特斯拉希望提高电池产能并完成增产以满足需求。标准普尔表示，尽管该行业近期存在供应瓶颈，但我们预计特斯拉的交付量和盈利将在未来几个季度保持强劲。进一步的公司报道：Tsla.O。（（Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com；））。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P Says Tesla Inc. Upgraded To 'BB+' On Solid Demand Prospects And Robust Financial Metrics; Outlook Positive<blockquote>标准普尔表示，由于强劲的需求前景和稳健的财务指标，特斯拉公司将评级上调至“BB+”；展望积极</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P Says Tesla Inc. Upgraded To 'BB+' On Solid Demand Prospects And Robust Financial Metrics; Outlook Positive<blockquote>标准普尔表示，由于强劲的需求前景和稳健的财务指标，特斯拉公司将评级上调至“BB+”；展望积极</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1086160438\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a113a995fbbc262262d15a5ce37e7bc5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">T-Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-23 00:25</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>S&amp;P:S&amp;P Says Tesla Inc. Upgraded To 'Bb+' On Solid Demand Prospects And Robust Financial Metrics; Outlook Positive.S&amp;P, On Tesla, Says Positive Outlook Reflects Our View That Tesla'S Free Operating Cash Flow Generation Will Remain Positive More Consistently.S&amp;P Says Despite Semiconductor Shortages, Other Supply-Related Bottlenecks, Tesla Appears To Have Minimized Production Disruption Versus Most Automakers.S&amp;P Says View On Tesla Also Reflects Outperformance Of Electric Vehicles (Evs) So Far This Year Globally.S&amp;P Says Key Risks Going Forward Include Access To Supply As Tesla Looks To Raise Cell Capacity And Complete Its Production Ramp-Up To Meet Demand.S&amp;P Says Despite Near-Term Supply Bottlenecks For The Industry, We Expect Tesla Deliveries And Earnings To Remain Strong Over The Next Few Quarters.Further Company Coverage: Tsla.O. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).</p><p><blockquote><html><body>标准普尔：标准普尔表示，由于强劲的需求前景和稳健的财务指标，特斯拉公司将评级上调至“Bb+”；前景积极。标准普尔在特斯拉表示，积极的前景反映了我们的观点，即特斯拉的自由运营现金流产生将更加持续地保持正值。标准普尔表示，尽管存在半导体短缺和其他与供应相关的瓶颈，但与大多数汽车制造商相比，特斯拉似乎已最大限度地减少了生产中断。标准普尔表示，对特斯拉的看法也反映了今年迄今为止全球电动汽车(EV)的优异表现。标准普尔表示，未来的主要风险包括获得供应，因为特斯拉希望提高电池产能并完成增产以满足需求。标准普尔表示，尽管该行业近期存在供应瓶颈，但我们预计特斯拉的交付量和盈利将在未来几个季度保持强劲。进一步的公司报道：Tsla.O。（（Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com；））。</body></html></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TERN":"Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","OLPX":"Olaplex Holdings, Inc.","CRCT":"Cricut, Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","FWRG":"First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.","HCTI":"Healthcare Triangle, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.trkd.thomsonreuters.com","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2177419115","content_text":"S&P:S&P Says Tesla Inc. Upgraded To 'Bb+' On Solid Demand Prospects And Robust Financial Metrics; Outlook Positive.S&P, On Tesla, Says Positive Outlook Reflects Our View That Tesla'S Free Operating Cash Flow Generation Will Remain Positive More Consistently.S&P Says Despite Semiconductor Shortages, Other Supply-Related Bottlenecks, Tesla Appears To Have Minimized Production Disruption Versus Most Automakers.S&P Says View On Tesla Also Reflects Outperformance Of Electric Vehicles (Evs) So Far This Year Globally.S&P Says Key Risks Going Forward Include Access To Supply As Tesla Looks To Raise Cell Capacity And Complete Its Production Ramp-Up To Meet Demand.S&P Says Despite Near-Term Supply Bottlenecks For The Industry, We Expect Tesla Deliveries And Earnings To Remain Strong Over The Next Few Quarters.Further Company Coverage: Tsla.O. ((Reuters.Briefs@Thomsonreuters.Com;)).","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HCTI":1,"FWRG":1,"ALVU":1,"OLPX":1,"TSLA":1,"TERN":1,"CRCT":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":487,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851901220,"gmtCreate":1634862158466,"gmtModify":1634862158959,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851901220","repostId":"2177462128","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827588611,"gmtCreate":1634509589250,"gmtModify":1634509589707,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Do we sell after earnings?","listText":"Do we sell after earnings?","text":"Do we sell after earnings?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827588611","repostId":"2176503147","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822097550,"gmtCreate":1634077179158,"gmtModify":1634077179639,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822097550","repostId":"1160581040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160581040","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634042129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160581040?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-12 20:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Another Earnings Season Is Here. What to Expect This Time.<blockquote>又一个财报季到了。这次会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160581040","media":"Barrons","summary":"Earnings season kicks off this week—and it may take some unusually impressive results for stocks to ","content":"<p>Earnings season kicks off this week—and it may take some unusually impressive results for stocks to rise after them.</p><p><blockquote>财报季将于本周拉开帷幕，股市可能需要一些异常令人印象深刻的业绩才能在财报季之后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Reports from&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies have been trickling in—only 21 companies in the index had reported through Monday—but this week marks the beginning of what is known as earnings season. Investors will hear from&nbsp;Delta Air Lines&nbsp;(DAL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a>&nbsp;(WBA), and UnitedHealth Group (UNH), plus, banking heavyweights JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (JPM), Bank of America(BAC). It will provide a view of how businesses performed during the third quarter of 2021, and offer a glimpse into coming quarters as well.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数公司的报告源源不断——截至周一，该指数中只有21家公司发布了报告——但本周标志着所谓的财报季的开始。投资者将听取达美航空（DAL）的意见，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>(WBA)、联合健康集团(UNH)、银行业巨头摩根大通(JPM)、美国银行(BAC)。它将提供2021年第三季度企业表现的视图，并提供未来几个季度的一瞥。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts are forecasting aggregate earnings per share on the S&amp;P 500 to grow 24.5%, according to S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence. Some of the most economically sensitive sectors are still expecting the largest rebound in EPS, as last year’s third quarter was still ravaged by partial lockdowns. S&amp;P 500 industrial and material companies are expected to see 73% and 90% year-over-year growth, respectively, with energy expected to go from losses to profits. Two of the slowest growing sectors will be the traditionally non-volatile and highly stable consumer staples and utility sectors, expected to see EPS grow 3% and fall 2.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>根据标准普尔全球市场情报，分析师预测标普500的每股收益总额将增长24.5%。由于去年第三季度仍受到部分封锁的破坏，一些对经济最敏感的行业仍预计每股收益将出现最大反弹。标普500工业和材料公司预计将分别同比增长73%和90%，能源公司预计将扭亏为盈。增长最慢的两个行业将是传统上不波动且高度稳定的必需消费品和公用事业行业，预计每股收益将分别增长3%和下降2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> No matter the predicted growth, companies need to post big earnings beats in order for their shares to gain much. The S&amp;P 500 has already risen 17.9% this year, as companies benefited from the unprecedented reopening following Covid-19 shutdowns and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus. As a result, valuations already reflect a large earnings stream, with the average S&amp;P 500 stock trading at around 20.5 times 12-month forward earnings estimates, above the long-term average in the mid-teens. For the market to live up to those valuations, the index needs to beat expectations by at least 10% in order to rally into year-end, writes Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>无论预测的增长如何，公司都需要公布大幅超出预期的盈利才能使其股价大幅上涨。标普500今年已经上涨了17.9%，因为企业受益于Covid-19关闭后前所未有的重新开放和数万亿美元的财政刺激。因此，估值已经反映了大量的盈利流，标普500股票的平均交易价格约为12个月预期盈利预期的20.5倍，高于十几岁左右的长期平均水平。DataTrek联合创始人尼古拉斯·科拉斯(Nicholas Colas)写道，为了让市场达到这些估值，该指数需要超出预期至少10%才能在年底前反弹。</blockquote></p><p> That won’t be easy. Nike (NKE) and FedEx (FDX), for example, posted mixed results as supply chain constraints and rising costs ate into sales and profit margins, causing the stocks to fall 6% and 9%, respectively, the trading day after their earnings reports. The size of earnings beats from early reporters has been shrinking as well. So far, early reporters have topped earnings forecasts by just 4%, well below the 23.2% and 15.5% during the second quarter in 2020 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>那可不容易。例如，耐克(NKE)和联邦快递(FDX)公布的业绩好坏参半，因为供应链限制和成本上升侵蚀了销售额和利润率，导致股价在财报发布后的交易日分别下跌6%和9%。早期记者的盈利超出预期的规模也在缩小。到目前为止，早期记者的盈利预期仅高出4%，远低于2020年和2021年第二季度的23.2%和15.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “We believe that economic headwinds will mitigate the benefits from pricing power and operating leverage, leading to less robust surprises in the third quarter,” writes Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席美国股票策略师乔纳森·戈卢布写道：“我们认为，经济逆风将削弱定价能力和运营杠杆带来的好处，导致第三季度的意外情况不那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Earnings estimates have begun to reflect those headwinds. Third-quarter forecasts have fallen about 0.8% since the beginning of September. That may not seem like much, but if companies say they expect more difficulty accessing supplies and that higher costs are persisting, analysts could revise 2022 estimates lower. “This sets up the first earnings season in the recovery where earnings risk clearly exists,” writes Tavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>盈利预测已开始反映这些不利因素。自9月初以来，第三季度预测下降了约0.8%。这可能看起来不多，但如果企业表示他们预计获得供应会更加困难，并且成本持续上升，分析师可能会下调2022年的预期。雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)机构股票策略师塔维斯·麦考特(Tavis McCourt)写道：“这标志着复苏中第一个明显存在盈利风险的财报季。”</blockquote></p><p> The good news? The S&amp;P 500 is down 3.8% from its Sept. 2 all-time high, so there’s a chance that some of the earnings risks are already reflected in the market.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是什么？标普500较9月2日的历史高点下跌了3.8%，因此一些盈利风险有可能已经反映在市场上。</blockquote></p><p> The question is whether it’s enough.</p><p><blockquote>问题是这是否足够。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Another Earnings Season Is Here. What to Expect This Time.<blockquote>又一个财报季到了。这次会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnother Earnings Season Is Here. What to Expect This Time.<blockquote>又一个财报季到了。这次会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-12 20:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Earnings season kicks off this week—and it may take some unusually impressive results for stocks to rise after them.</p><p><blockquote>财报季将于本周拉开帷幕，股市可能需要一些异常令人印象深刻的业绩才能在财报季之后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Reports from&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies have been trickling in—only 21 companies in the index had reported through Monday—but this week marks the beginning of what is known as earnings season. Investors will hear from&nbsp;Delta Air Lines&nbsp;(DAL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a>&nbsp;(WBA), and UnitedHealth Group (UNH), plus, banking heavyweights JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (JPM), Bank of America(BAC). It will provide a view of how businesses performed during the third quarter of 2021, and offer a glimpse into coming quarters as well.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数公司的报告源源不断——截至周一，该指数中只有21家公司发布了报告——但本周标志着所谓的财报季的开始。投资者将听取达美航空（DAL）的意见，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>(WBA)、联合健康集团(UNH)、银行业巨头摩根大通(JPM)、美国银行(BAC)。它将提供2021年第三季度企业表现的视图，并提供未来几个季度的一瞥。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts are forecasting aggregate earnings per share on the S&amp;P 500 to grow 24.5%, according to S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence. Some of the most economically sensitive sectors are still expecting the largest rebound in EPS, as last year’s third quarter was still ravaged by partial lockdowns. S&amp;P 500 industrial and material companies are expected to see 73% and 90% year-over-year growth, respectively, with energy expected to go from losses to profits. Two of the slowest growing sectors will be the traditionally non-volatile and highly stable consumer staples and utility sectors, expected to see EPS grow 3% and fall 2.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>根据标准普尔全球市场情报，分析师预测标普500的每股收益总额将增长24.5%。由于去年第三季度仍受到部分封锁的破坏，一些对经济最敏感的行业仍预计每股收益将出现最大反弹。标普500工业和材料公司预计将分别同比增长73%和90%，能源公司预计将扭亏为盈。增长最慢的两个行业将是传统上不波动且高度稳定的必需消费品和公用事业行业，预计每股收益将分别增长3%和下降2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> No matter the predicted growth, companies need to post big earnings beats in order for their shares to gain much. The S&amp;P 500 has already risen 17.9% this year, as companies benefited from the unprecedented reopening following Covid-19 shutdowns and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus. As a result, valuations already reflect a large earnings stream, with the average S&amp;P 500 stock trading at around 20.5 times 12-month forward earnings estimates, above the long-term average in the mid-teens. For the market to live up to those valuations, the index needs to beat expectations by at least 10% in order to rally into year-end, writes Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>无论预测的增长如何，公司都需要公布大幅超出预期的盈利才能使其股价大幅上涨。标普500今年已经上涨了17.9%，因为企业受益于Covid-19关闭后前所未有的重新开放和数万亿美元的财政刺激。因此，估值已经反映了大量的盈利流，标普500股票的平均交易价格约为12个月预期盈利预期的20.5倍，高于十几岁左右的长期平均水平。DataTrek联合创始人尼古拉斯·科拉斯(Nicholas Colas)写道，为了让市场达到这些估值，该指数需要超出预期至少10%才能在年底前反弹。</blockquote></p><p> That won’t be easy. Nike (NKE) and FedEx (FDX), for example, posted mixed results as supply chain constraints and rising costs ate into sales and profit margins, causing the stocks to fall 6% and 9%, respectively, the trading day after their earnings reports. The size of earnings beats from early reporters has been shrinking as well. So far, early reporters have topped earnings forecasts by just 4%, well below the 23.2% and 15.5% during the second quarter in 2020 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>那可不容易。例如，耐克(NKE)和联邦快递(FDX)公布的业绩好坏参半，因为供应链限制和成本上升侵蚀了销售额和利润率，导致股价在财报发布后的交易日分别下跌6%和9%。早期记者的盈利超出预期的规模也在缩小。到目前为止，早期记者的盈利预期仅高出4%，远低于2020年和2021年第二季度的23.2%和15.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “We believe that economic headwinds will mitigate the benefits from pricing power and operating leverage, leading to less robust surprises in the third quarter,” writes Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席美国股票策略师乔纳森·戈卢布写道：“我们认为，经济逆风将削弱定价能力和运营杠杆带来的好处，导致第三季度的意外情况不那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Earnings estimates have begun to reflect those headwinds. Third-quarter forecasts have fallen about 0.8% since the beginning of September. That may not seem like much, but if companies say they expect more difficulty accessing supplies and that higher costs are persisting, analysts could revise 2022 estimates lower. “This sets up the first earnings season in the recovery where earnings risk clearly exists,” writes Tavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>盈利预测已开始反映这些不利因素。自9月初以来，第三季度预测下降了约0.8%。这可能看起来不多，但如果企业表示他们预计获得供应会更加困难，并且成本持续上升，分析师可能会下调2022年的预期。雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)机构股票策略师塔维斯·麦考特(Tavis McCourt)写道：“这标志着复苏中第一个明显存在盈利风险的财报季。”</blockquote></p><p> The good news? The S&amp;P 500 is down 3.8% from its Sept. 2 all-time high, so there’s a chance that some of the earnings risks are already reflected in the market.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是什么？标普500较9月2日的历史高点下跌了3.8%，因此一些盈利风险有可能已经反映在市场上。</blockquote></p><p> The question is whether it’s enough.</p><p><blockquote>问题是这是否足够。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-earnings-season-preview-51633995452?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-earnings-season-preview-51633995452?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160581040","content_text":"Earnings season kicks off this week—and it may take some unusually impressive results for stocks to rise after them.\nReports from S&P 500 companies have been trickling in—only 21 companies in the index had reported through Monday—but this week marks the beginning of what is known as earnings season. Investors will hear from Delta Air Lines (DAL),Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), and UnitedHealth Group (UNH), plus, banking heavyweights JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Bank of America(BAC). It will provide a view of how businesses performed during the third quarter of 2021, and offer a glimpse into coming quarters as well.\nAnalysts are forecasting aggregate earnings per share on the S&P 500 to grow 24.5%, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Some of the most economically sensitive sectors are still expecting the largest rebound in EPS, as last year’s third quarter was still ravaged by partial lockdowns. S&P 500 industrial and material companies are expected to see 73% and 90% year-over-year growth, respectively, with energy expected to go from losses to profits. Two of the slowest growing sectors will be the traditionally non-volatile and highly stable consumer staples and utility sectors, expected to see EPS grow 3% and fall 2.9%, respectively.\nNo matter the predicted growth, companies need to post big earnings beats in order for their shares to gain much. The S&P 500 has already risen 17.9% this year, as companies benefited from the unprecedented reopening following Covid-19 shutdowns and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus. As a result, valuations already reflect a large earnings stream, with the average S&P 500 stock trading at around 20.5 times 12-month forward earnings estimates, above the long-term average in the mid-teens. For the market to live up to those valuations, the index needs to beat expectations by at least 10% in order to rally into year-end, writes Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.\nThat won’t be easy. Nike (NKE) and FedEx (FDX), for example, posted mixed results as supply chain constraints and rising costs ate into sales and profit margins, causing the stocks to fall 6% and 9%, respectively, the trading day after their earnings reports. The size of earnings beats from early reporters has been shrinking as well. So far, early reporters have topped earnings forecasts by just 4%, well below the 23.2% and 15.5% during the second quarter in 2020 and 2021.\n“We believe that economic headwinds will mitigate the benefits from pricing power and operating leverage, leading to less robust surprises in the third quarter,” writes Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse.\nEarnings estimates have begun to reflect those headwinds. Third-quarter forecasts have fallen about 0.8% since the beginning of September. That may not seem like much, but if companies say they expect more difficulty accessing supplies and that higher costs are persisting, analysts could revise 2022 estimates lower. “This sets up the first earnings season in the recovery where earnings risk clearly exists,” writes Tavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James.\nThe good news? The S&P 500 is down 3.8% from its Sept. 2 all-time high, so there’s a chance that some of the earnings risks are already reflected in the market.\nThe question is whether it’s enough.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821262351,"gmtCreate":1633748760249,"gmtModify":1633748760696,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821262351","repostId":"1100565546","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100565546","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633734823,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100565546?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100565546","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable op","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>路透标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指在盘中大部分时间涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所下跌。三个指数均录得周线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行下调康卡斯特公司的目标股价后，康卡斯特公司股价暴跌；富国银行将有线电视运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“跑输大盘”后，Charter Communications Inc股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源板块指数上涨3.1%，油价本周上涨超过4%，因全球能源紧缩将价格推高至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，美国经济9月份创造的就业岗位为九个月来最少，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业缺乏工人。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约BK资产管理公司董事总经理凯西·连恩(Kathy Lien)表示：“我认为美联储非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅的就业报告就可以在11月份缩减规模。”“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货预计美联储将在明年11月或12月收紧25个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点；标普500下跌0.19%，收于4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.51%，至14,579.54点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先公布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young警告说：“我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。”“如果供应链问题推高了成本，拥有强大定价权的公司可以转嫁这些上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.24比1；在纳斯达克，1.52比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下26个52周新高和3个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 07:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>路透标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指在盘中大部分时间涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所下跌。三个指数均录得周线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行下调康卡斯特公司的目标股价后，康卡斯特公司股价暴跌；富国银行将有线电视运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“跑输大盘”后，Charter Communications Inc股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源板块指数上涨3.1%，油价本周上涨超过4%，因全球能源紧缩将价格推高至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，美国经济9月份创造的就业岗位为九个月来最少，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业缺乏工人。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约BK资产管理公司董事总经理凯西·连恩(Kathy Lien)表示：“我认为美联储非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅的就业报告就可以在11月份缩减规模。”“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货预计美联储将在明年11月或12月收紧25个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点；标普500下跌0.19%，收于4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.51%，至14,579.54点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先公布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young警告说：“我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。”“如果供应链问题推高了成本，拥有强大定价权的公司可以转嫁这些上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.24比1；在纳斯达克，1.52比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下26个52周新高和3个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100565546","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.\nWall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.\nComcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.\nBoth companies were among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nReal estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.\nThe S&P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.\nChevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&P 500 the greatest lift.\nThe Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.\n“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”\nFutures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.\nThird-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.\nAnalysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:\nAnalysts on average expect S&P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.\n“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829488107,"gmtCreate":1633533623750,"gmtModify":1633533624117,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829488107","repostId":"2173091050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":399,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829008001,"gmtCreate":1633440769278,"gmtModify":1633440769730,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3572497229304708","idStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829008001","repostId":"1140243685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140243685","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633440012,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140243685?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 21:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140243685","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq","content":"<p>There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq CompositeCOMPisteetering toward correction territory&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500SPXand Dow industrialsDJIAare halfway there. With jobs data looming for Friday, even the bravest dip buyers may have second thoughts.</p><p><blockquote>在周一的暴跌之后，有一些复苏的迹象，主要是科技股。纳斯达克综合指数正在走向调整区域，标准普尔500SPX和道琼斯工业平均指数已经走到了一半。随着周五就业数据的临近，即使是最勇敢的逢低买入者也可能会改变主意。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t look for reassurance in our&nbsp;<b>call of the day</b>, where the founder and CEO ofBullAndBearProfits.com, Jon Wolfenbarger, predicts U.S. stocks may be “on the verge of starting the biggest bear market since the Great Depression.”</p><p><blockquote>不要在我们的<b>今日看涨期权</b>BullandBearProfits.com创始人兼首席执行官乔恩·沃尔芬伯格(Jon Wolfenbarger)预测，美国股市可能“即将开启自大萧条以来最大的熊市”。</blockquote></p><p> “Now with the Fed talking about tapering and money supply growth slowing&nbsp;significantly from 39% y/y in February to only 8% y/y in August, perhaps that is&nbsp;enough of a ‘tight monetary policy’ to change investor psychology to a more&nbsp;bearish mood? We will see,” he said in a Monday interview and follow-up comments with MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“现在，随着美联储谈论缩减购债规模，货币供应增长从2月份的同比39%大幅放缓至8月份的同比仅8%，也许‘紧缩货币政策’足以将投资者心理转变为更悲观的情绪？我们拭目以待，”他在周一接受MarketWatch采访和后续评论时表示。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger, who spent 22 years as an equity analyst at Allianz Global Investors, said while he’s not a permabear — his newsletter offers strategies for profiting when markets go both ways — investors should heed some warnings signs.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger在Allianz Global Investors担任了22年的股票分析师，他表示，虽然他不是永久看跌者——他的时事通讯提供了在市场双向波动时获利的策略——但投资者应该注意一些警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Overbullish sentiment, economic weakness, excessive debt levels and limited policy tools are key ingredients for a market rout worse than that seen in 2008-09, he said, adding that a top for the S&amp;P 500 reached a few weeks ago could have been the start.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，过度看涨情绪、经济疲软、债务水平过高和政策工具有限是导致市场暴跌比2008-09年更严重的关键因素，并补充说，几周前达到的标普500顶部可能是开始。</blockquote></p><p> One chart he’s watching that&nbsp;predicts future long-term stock returns— a favorite of legendary investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire HathawayBRKBRK— shows equities 30% above the prior all-time high seen in the tech bubble peak of 2000.</p><p><blockquote>他正在观看的一张预测未来长期股票回报的图表（伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长兼首席执行官、传奇投资者沃伦·巴菲特的最爱）显示，股市比2000年科技泡沫高峰时的历史高点高出30%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e73964c10e0be9d02489e2764a98be5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger is watching S&amp;P 500 moving averages closely. If the 250-day, currently at 4,020, were to “really break through” that could trip a major drop for stock. His below chart shows the S&amp;P 500 price (black line) with its 250-dma since 1980. The red circles indicate when it fell below the 250-dma and the 250-dma slope was falling.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔芬伯格正在密切关注标普500移动平均线。如果250日线（目前为4,020点）“真正突破”，可能会导致股价大幅下跌。他的下图显示了标普500价格（黑线）自1980年以来的250日均线。红色圆圈表示何时跌破250-dma并且250-dma斜率正在下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31fb05ef85111232a3410a405e05f72\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As for what investors should do — Wolfenbarger advised using exchange-traded funds that actually go up in bear markets, which could be the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD,&nbsp;though he prefers inverse ETFs such as ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDSand the ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH.</p><p><blockquote>至于投资者应该做什么——Wolfenbarger建议使用在熊市中实际上涨的交易所交易基金，这可能是iShares 20+年期国债ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD，尽管他更喜欢ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDS和ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH。</blockquote></p><p> “I personally think it’s easier for most people to just buy an inverse ETF because it moves the same way as a normal stock and ETF, and the SH went up 89% in the last bear market,” he said, adding that SDS went up 184%.</p><p><blockquote>“我个人认为，对于大多数人来说，购买反向ETF更容易，因为它的走势与普通股票和ETF相同，而且SH在上一次熊市中上涨了89%，”他说，并补充说SDS上涨了184%。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger said he has honed his strategies after adhering for years to Buffett’s advice of just&nbsp;buying and holding an S&amp;P 500 index fund.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger表示，多年来一直坚持巴菲特的建议，即只购买并持有标普500指数基金，他已经磨练了自己的策略。</blockquote></p><p> “But then I started looking at history and you know it took 25 years for the market to get back to the 1929 peak, and I don’t have 25 years,” said Wolfenbarger, who is in his early 50s. “Any given investment can go down 50% to 90% and it can stay down for decades, at least 10 to 20 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“但后来我开始回顾历史，你知道市场花了25年时间才回到1929年的峰值，而我没有25年的时间，”50岁出头的沃尔芬伯格说。“任何给定的投资都可能下降50%到90%，并且可以持续数十年，至少10到20年。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-05 21:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq CompositeCOMPisteetering toward correction territory&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500SPXand Dow industrialsDJIAare halfway there. With jobs data looming for Friday, even the bravest dip buyers may have second thoughts.</p><p><blockquote>在周一的暴跌之后，有一些复苏的迹象，主要是科技股。纳斯达克综合指数正在走向调整区域，标准普尔500SPX和道琼斯工业平均指数已经走到了一半。随着周五就业数据的临近，即使是最勇敢的逢低买入者也可能会改变主意。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t look for reassurance in our&nbsp;<b>call of the day</b>, where the founder and CEO ofBullAndBearProfits.com, Jon Wolfenbarger, predicts U.S. stocks may be “on the verge of starting the biggest bear market since the Great Depression.”</p><p><blockquote>不要在我们的<b>今日看涨期权</b>BullandBearProfits.com创始人兼首席执行官乔恩·沃尔芬伯格(Jon Wolfenbarger)预测，美国股市可能“即将开启自大萧条以来最大的熊市”。</blockquote></p><p> “Now with the Fed talking about tapering and money supply growth slowing&nbsp;significantly from 39% y/y in February to only 8% y/y in August, perhaps that is&nbsp;enough of a ‘tight monetary policy’ to change investor psychology to a more&nbsp;bearish mood? We will see,” he said in a Monday interview and follow-up comments with MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“现在，随着美联储谈论缩减购债规模，货币供应增长从2月份的同比39%大幅放缓至8月份的同比仅8%，也许‘紧缩货币政策’足以将投资者心理转变为更悲观的情绪？我们拭目以待，”他在周一接受MarketWatch采访和后续评论时表示。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger, who spent 22 years as an equity analyst at Allianz Global Investors, said while he’s not a permabear — his newsletter offers strategies for profiting when markets go both ways — investors should heed some warnings signs.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger在Allianz Global Investors担任了22年的股票分析师，他表示，虽然他不是永久看跌者——他的时事通讯提供了在市场双向波动时获利的策略——但投资者应该注意一些警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Overbullish sentiment, economic weakness, excessive debt levels and limited policy tools are key ingredients for a market rout worse than that seen in 2008-09, he said, adding that a top for the S&amp;P 500 reached a few weeks ago could have been the start.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，过度看涨情绪、经济疲软、债务水平过高和政策工具有限是导致市场暴跌比2008-09年更严重的关键因素，并补充说，几周前达到的标普500顶部可能是开始。</blockquote></p><p> One chart he’s watching that&nbsp;predicts future long-term stock returns— a favorite of legendary investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire HathawayBRKBRK— shows equities 30% above the prior all-time high seen in the tech bubble peak of 2000.</p><p><blockquote>他正在观看的一张预测未来长期股票回报的图表（伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长兼首席执行官、传奇投资者沃伦·巴菲特的最爱）显示，股市比2000年科技泡沫高峰时的历史高点高出30%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e73964c10e0be9d02489e2764a98be5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger is watching S&amp;P 500 moving averages closely. If the 250-day, currently at 4,020, were to “really break through” that could trip a major drop for stock. His below chart shows the S&amp;P 500 price (black line) with its 250-dma since 1980. The red circles indicate when it fell below the 250-dma and the 250-dma slope was falling.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔芬伯格正在密切关注标普500移动平均线。如果250日线（目前为4,020点）“真正突破”，可能会导致股价大幅下跌。他的下图显示了标普500价格（黑线）自1980年以来的250日均线。红色圆圈表示何时跌破250-dma并且250-dma斜率正在下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31fb05ef85111232a3410a405e05f72\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As for what investors should do — Wolfenbarger advised using exchange-traded funds that actually go up in bear markets, which could be the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD,&nbsp;though he prefers inverse ETFs such as ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDSand the ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH.</p><p><blockquote>至于投资者应该做什么——Wolfenbarger建议使用在熊市中实际上涨的交易所交易基金，这可能是iShares 20+年期国债ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD，尽管他更喜欢ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDS和ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH。</blockquote></p><p> “I personally think it’s easier for most people to just buy an inverse ETF because it moves the same way as a normal stock and ETF, and the SH went up 89% in the last bear market,” he said, adding that SDS went up 184%.</p><p><blockquote>“我个人认为，对于大多数人来说，购买反向ETF更容易，因为它的走势与普通股票和ETF相同，而且SH在上一次熊市中上涨了89%，”他说，并补充说SDS上涨了184%。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger said he has honed his strategies after adhering for years to Buffett’s advice of just&nbsp;buying and holding an S&amp;P 500 index fund.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger表示，多年来一直坚持巴菲特的建议，即只购买并持有标普500指数基金，他已经磨练了自己的策略。</blockquote></p><p> “But then I started looking at history and you know it took 25 years for the market to get back to the 1929 peak, and I don’t have 25 years,” said Wolfenbarger, who is in his early 50s. “Any given investment can go down 50% to 90% and it can stay down for decades, at least 10 to 20 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“但后来我开始回顾历史，你知道市场花了25年时间才回到1929年的峰值，而我没有25年的时间，”50岁出头的沃尔芬伯格说。“任何给定的投资都可能下降50%到90%，并且可以持续数十年，至少10到20年。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-veteran-analyst-sees-stocks-headed-for-the-biggest-bear-market-since-the-great-depression-11633432477?siteid=yhoof2\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-veteran-analyst-sees-stocks-headed-for-the-biggest-bear-market-since-the-great-depression-11633432477?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1140243685","content_text":"There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq CompositeCOMPisteetering toward correction territory and the S&P 500SPXand Dow industrialsDJIAare halfway there. With jobs data looming for Friday, even the bravest dip buyers may have second thoughts.\nDon’t look for reassurance in our call of the day, where the founder and CEO ofBullAndBearProfits.com, Jon Wolfenbarger, predicts U.S. stocks may be “on the verge of starting the biggest bear market since the Great Depression.”\n“Now with the Fed talking about tapering and money supply growth slowing significantly from 39% y/y in February to only 8% y/y in August, perhaps that is enough of a ‘tight monetary policy’ to change investor psychology to a more bearish mood? We will see,” he said in a Monday interview and follow-up comments with MarketWatch.\nWolfenbarger, who spent 22 years as an equity analyst at Allianz Global Investors, said while he’s not a permabear — his newsletter offers strategies for profiting when markets go both ways — investors should heed some warnings signs.\nOverbullish sentiment, economic weakness, excessive debt levels and limited policy tools are key ingredients for a market rout worse than that seen in 2008-09, he said, adding that a top for the S&P 500 reached a few weeks ago could have been the start.\nOne chart he’s watching that predicts future long-term stock returns— a favorite of legendary investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire HathawayBRKBRK— shows equities 30% above the prior all-time high seen in the tech bubble peak of 2000.\n\nWolfenbarger is watching S&P 500 moving averages closely. If the 250-day, currently at 4,020, were to “really break through” that could trip a major drop for stock. His below chart shows the S&P 500 price (black line) with its 250-dma since 1980. The red circles indicate when it fell below the 250-dma and the 250-dma slope was falling.\n\nAs for what investors should do — Wolfenbarger advised using exchange-traded funds that actually go up in bear markets, which could be the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD, though he prefers inverse ETFs such as ProShares UltraShort S&P 500SDSand the ProShares Short S&P 500SH.\n“I personally think it’s easier for most people to just buy an inverse ETF because it moves the same way as a normal stock and ETF, and the SH went up 89% in the last bear market,” he said, adding that SDS went up 184%.\nWolfenbarger said he has honed his strategies after adhering for years to Buffett’s advice of just buying and holding an S&P 500 index fund.\n“But then I started looking at history and you know it took 25 years for the market to get back to the 1929 peak, and I don’t have 25 years,” said Wolfenbarger, who is in his early 50s. “Any given investment can go down 50% to 90% and it can stay down for decades, at least 10 to 20 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06:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194891884","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also","content":"<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周重头戏将是美联储9月政策会议。投资者还将关注多家企业财报发布、投资者日和最新经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report&nbsp;on Thursday. Investor days this week include&nbsp;Biogen on Tuesday,&nbsp;Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and&nbsp;Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar将于周一公布季度收益，随后Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三上市，然后耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四上市。本周的投资者日包括周二的Biogen、周三的Weyerhaeuser和周四的Salesforce。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely&nbsp;to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s&nbsp;press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely&nbsp;watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间，但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’&nbsp;existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会8月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项更新，包括周一全国住宅建筑商协会9月份住房市场指数、周二人口普查局8月份新住宅建设数据以及全国房地产经纪人协会现房销售数据。周三八月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar报告2021财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤内科学会2021年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了9月份的房地产市场指数。经济学家预测为73，比8月份的数据低两个百分点，这是一年多来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/21</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健(Biogen)举办投资者日活动，讨论其神经科学治疗产品线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>八月份新住宅建设报告。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为155万套，比7月份的水平高出1%。新屋开工量较今年3月达到的金融危机后172.5万套的峰值有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/22星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b>&nbsp;its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>FOMC宣布</b>它的货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近零的水平不变，但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and&nbsp;Yum China Holdings&nbsp;host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b>&nbsp;announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布其货币政策决定。市场普遍预计日本央行将把关键短期利率维持在负0.1%不变，因为由于Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株，东京都和其他地区在9月底之前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5%&nbsp;from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份现房销售情况。预计经季节调整后的房屋销售量为578,000套，比7月份的599,000套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/23</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Accenture、Costco Wholesale、Darden Restaurants和Nike在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com举办2021年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将是参与者之一。Salesforce今年夏天完成了对Slack的280亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测环比增长0.5%，7月份增长0.9%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计2021年国内生产总值增长6%，2022年增长4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/24</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方铁路公司召开特别股东大会，就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 06:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周重头戏将是美联储9月政策会议。投资者还将关注多家企业财报发布、投资者日和最新经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report&nbsp;on Thursday. Investor days this week include&nbsp;Biogen on Tuesday,&nbsp;Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and&nbsp;Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar将于周一公布季度收益，随后Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三上市，然后耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四上市。本周的投资者日包括周二的Biogen、周三的Weyerhaeuser和周四的Salesforce。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely&nbsp;to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s&nbsp;press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely&nbsp;watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间，但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’&nbsp;existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会8月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项更新，包括周一全国住宅建筑商协会9月份住房市场指数、周二人口普查局8月份新住宅建设数据以及全国房地产经纪人协会现房销售数据。周三八月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar报告2021财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤内科学会2021年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了9月份的房地产市场指数。经济学家预测为73，比8月份的数据低两个百分点，这是一年多来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/21</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健(Biogen)举办投资者日活动，讨论其神经科学治疗产品线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>八月份新住宅建设报告。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为155万套，比7月份的水平高出1%。新屋开工量较今年3月达到的金融危机后172.5万套的峰值有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/22星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b>&nbsp;its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>FOMC宣布</b>它的货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近零的水平不变，但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and&nbsp;Yum China Holdings&nbsp;host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b>&nbsp;announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布其货币政策决定。市场普遍预计日本央行将把关键短期利率维持在负0.1%不变，因为由于Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株，东京都和其他地区在9月底之前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5%&nbsp;from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份现房销售情况。预计经季节调整后的房屋销售量为578,000套，比7月份的599,000套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/23</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Accenture、Costco Wholesale、Darden Restaurants和Nike在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com举办2021年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将是参与者之一。Salesforce今年夏天完成了对Slack的280亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测环比增长0.5%，7月份增长0.9%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计2021年国内生产总值增长6%，2022年增长4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/24</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方铁路公司召开特别股东大会，就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COST":"好市多","ADBE":"Adobe",".DJI":"道琼斯","CRM":"赛富时","NKE":"耐克",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","FDX":"联邦快递"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194891884","content_text":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.\nLennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.\nEconomic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.\nMonday 9/20\nLennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.\nMerck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.\nTuesday 9/21\nAdobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.\nBiogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.\nThe Census Bureau reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.\nWednesday 9/22\nThe FOMC announces its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.\nGeneral Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.\nBoston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.\nTheBank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.\nThursday 9/23\nAccenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.\nSalesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.\nFriday 9/24\nKansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COST":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"FDX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"NKE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":691580992,"gmtCreate":1640220410614,"gmtModify":1640220410969,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/691580992","repostId":"1160915813","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160915813","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640218071,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160915813?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-23 08:07","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Singapore Stock Market May Test Resistance At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或测试3100点阻力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160915813","media":"RTTNews","summary":"The Singapore stock market has tracked higher in two straight sessions, gathering almost 15 points o","content":"<p>The Singapore stock market has tracked higher in two straight sessions, gathering almost 15 points or 0.5 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,085-point plateau and it may extend its gains on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市连续两个交易日走高，上涨近15点或0.5%。海峡时报指数目前略高于3,085点的高位，周三可能会延续涨势。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian&nbsp;markets&nbsp;remains positive on easing concerns about the Omicron variant of the coronavirus, plus support from crude oil prices. The European and U.S. markets were up and the Asian bourses are tipped to open in similar fashion.</p><p><blockquote>由于对冠状病毒奥密克戎变种的担忧有所缓解，加上原油价格的支撑，全球对亚洲市场的预测仍然乐观。欧洲和美国市场上涨，亚洲股市预计也将以类似的方式开盘。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished barely higher on Wednesday following gains from the financials and a mixed picture from the industrials.</p><p><blockquote>继金融股上涨和工业股涨跌互现后，海指周三小幅收高。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index picked up 2.43 points or 0.08 percent to finish at 3,087.51 after trading between 3,078.71 and 3,098.27. Volume was 844 million shares worth 696.8 million Singapore dollars. There were 207 gainers and 205 decliners.</p><p><blockquote>当天，该指数在3,078.71点至3,098.27点之间交易后，上涨2.43点或0.08%，收于3,087.51点。成交量为8.44亿股，价值6.968亿新元。上涨207家，下跌205家。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, Ascendas REIT advanced 0.69 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust gained 0.51 percent, City Developments tanked 1.05 percent, Dairy Farm International plunged 1.47 percent, DBS Group climbed 0.75 percent, Genting Singapore skidded 0.66 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 1.92 percent, Keppel Corp retreated 0.59 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust sank 0.51 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust declined 0.54 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation increased 0.45 percent, SATS fell 0.26 percent, SembCorp Industries rose 0.50 percent, Singapore Airlines tumbled 1.02 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.66 percent, Singapore Press Holdings jumped 0.86 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering lost 0.27 percent, SingTel dropped 0.43 percent, Thai Beverage spiked 1.53 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.30 percent, Wilmar International slumped 0.99 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding rallied 0.78 percent and Comfort DelGro was unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>活跃股中，腾飞房地产投资信托上涨0.69%，凯德综合商业信托上涨0.51%，城市发展下跌1.05%，奶牛场国际下跌1.47%，星展集团上涨0.75%，云顶新加坡下跌0.66%，香港置地暴跌1.92%，吉宝企业下跌0.59%，丰树商业信托下跌0.51%，丰树物流信托下跌0.54%，华侨银行上涨0.45%，胜科工业上涨0.50%，新加坡航空下跌1.02%，新加坡交易所上涨0.66%，新加坡科技工程下跌0.27%，新加坡电信下跌0.43%，泰国饮料飙升1.53%，大华银行下跌0.30%，丰益国际下跌0.99%，扬子江造船上涨0.78%，舒适德尔高持平。</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is solid as the major averages shook off a sluggish start on Wednesday, quickly moving higher and finishing in the green.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先优势稳固，主要股指摆脱了周三的低迷开局，迅速走高并以绿色收盘。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow jumped 261.19 points or 0.74 percent to finish at 35,753.89, while the NASDAQ spiked 180.81 points or 1.18 percent and the S&amp;P 500 climbed 47.33 points or 1.02 percent to end at 4,696.56.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数上涨261.19点，涨幅0.74%，收于35,753.89点；纳斯达克上涨180.81点，涨幅1.18%；标普500上涨47.33点，涨幅1.02%，收于4,696.56点。</blockquote></p><p> The markets drew strength from easing worries about Omicron and U.S. President Joe Biden's remarks that it is still possible to reach a deal with Senator Joe Manchin to push the $2 trillion Build Back Better bill through Congress.</p><p><blockquote>市场从对奥密克戎的担忧缓解以及美国总统乔·拜登的言论中获得了力量，即仍有可能与参议员乔·曼钦达成协议，推动2万亿美元的重建更好法案在国会获得通过。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to the positive sentiment, the Conference Board reported that consumer confidence improved by much more than expected in the month of December.</p><p><blockquote>世界大型企业联合会报告称，12月份消费者信心的改善幅度远高于预期，这加剧了积极的情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil futures settled sharply higher Wednesday after data showed a larger than expected drop in U.S. crude inventories last week. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February spiked $1.64 or 2.3 percent at $72.76 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>原油期货周三大幅收高，此前数据显示上周美国原油库存降幅大于预期。2月份西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨1.64美元，或2.3%，至每桶72.76美元。</blockquote></p><p> Closer to home, Singapore will release November numbers for consumer prices later today, with forecasts suggesting an increase 0.4 percent on month and 3.4 percent on year. That follows the 0.3 percent monthly increase and the 3.2 percent yearly gain in October. Core CPI is called steady at 1.5 percent on year.</p><p><blockquote>在国内，新加坡将于今天晚些时候发布11月份消费者价格数据，预测显示环比上涨0.4%，同比上涨3.4%。此前，10月份月度涨幅为0.3%，年率涨幅为3.2%。核心CPI同比稳定在1.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1626938412129","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Singapore Stock Market May Test Resistance At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或测试3100点阻力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSingapore Stock Market May Test Resistance At 3,100 Points<blockquote>新加坡股市或测试3100点阻力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">RTTNews</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 08:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has tracked higher in two straight sessions, gathering almost 15 points or 0.5 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,085-point plateau and it may extend its gains on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡股市连续两个交易日走高，上涨近15点或0.5%。海峡时报指数目前略高于3,085点的高位，周三可能会延续涨势。</blockquote></p><p> The global forecast for the Asian&nbsp;markets&nbsp;remains positive on easing concerns about the Omicron variant of the coronavirus, plus support from crude oil prices. The European and U.S. markets were up and the Asian bourses are tipped to open in similar fashion.</p><p><blockquote>由于对冠状病毒奥密克戎变种的担忧有所缓解，加上原油价格的支撑，全球对亚洲市场的预测仍然乐观。欧洲和美国市场上涨，亚洲股市预计也将以类似的方式开盘。</blockquote></p><p> The STI finished barely higher on Wednesday following gains from the financials and a mixed picture from the industrials.</p><p><blockquote>继金融股上涨和工业股涨跌互现后，海指周三小幅收高。</blockquote></p><p> For the day, the index picked up 2.43 points or 0.08 percent to finish at 3,087.51 after trading between 3,078.71 and 3,098.27. Volume was 844 million shares worth 696.8 million Singapore dollars. There were 207 gainers and 205 decliners.</p><p><blockquote>当天，该指数在3,078.71点至3,098.27点之间交易后，上涨2.43点或0.08%，收于3,087.51点。成交量为8.44亿股，价值6.968亿新元。上涨207家，下跌205家。</blockquote></p><p> Among the actives, Ascendas REIT advanced 0.69 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust gained 0.51 percent, City Developments tanked 1.05 percent, Dairy Farm International plunged 1.47 percent, DBS Group climbed 0.75 percent, Genting Singapore skidded 0.66 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 1.92 percent, Keppel Corp retreated 0.59 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust sank 0.51 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust declined 0.54 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation increased 0.45 percent, SATS fell 0.26 percent, SembCorp Industries rose 0.50 percent, Singapore Airlines tumbled 1.02 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.66 percent, Singapore Press Holdings jumped 0.86 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering lost 0.27 percent, SingTel dropped 0.43 percent, Thai Beverage spiked 1.53 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.30 percent, Wilmar International slumped 0.99 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding rallied 0.78 percent and Comfort DelGro was unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>活跃股中，腾飞房地产投资信托上涨0.69%，凯德综合商业信托上涨0.51%，城市发展下跌1.05%，奶牛场国际下跌1.47%，星展集团上涨0.75%，云顶新加坡下跌0.66%，香港置地暴跌1.92%，吉宝企业下跌0.59%，丰树商业信托下跌0.51%，丰树物流信托下跌0.54%，华侨银行上涨0.45%，胜科工业上涨0.50%，新加坡航空下跌1.02%，新加坡交易所上涨0.66%，新加坡科技工程下跌0.27%，新加坡电信下跌0.43%，泰国饮料飙升1.53%，大华银行下跌0.30%，丰益国际下跌0.99%，扬子江造船上涨0.78%，舒适德尔高持平。</blockquote></p><p> The lead from Wall Street is solid as the major averages shook off a sluggish start on Wednesday, quickly moving higher and finishing in the green.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街的领先优势稳固，主要股指摆脱了周三的低迷开局，迅速走高并以绿色收盘。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow jumped 261.19 points or 0.74 percent to finish at 35,753.89, while the NASDAQ spiked 180.81 points or 1.18 percent and the S&amp;P 500 climbed 47.33 points or 1.02 percent to end at 4,696.56.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯指数上涨261.19点，涨幅0.74%，收于35,753.89点；纳斯达克上涨180.81点，涨幅1.18%；标普500上涨47.33点，涨幅1.02%，收于4,696.56点。</blockquote></p><p> The markets drew strength from easing worries about Omicron and U.S. President Joe Biden's remarks that it is still possible to reach a deal with Senator Joe Manchin to push the $2 trillion Build Back Better bill through Congress.</p><p><blockquote>市场从对奥密克戎的担忧缓解以及美国总统乔·拜登的言论中获得了力量，即仍有可能与参议员乔·曼钦达成协议，推动2万亿美元的重建更好法案在国会获得通过。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to the positive sentiment, the Conference Board reported that consumer confidence improved by much more than expected in the month of December.</p><p><blockquote>世界大型企业联合会报告称，12月份消费者信心的改善幅度远高于预期，这加剧了积极的情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Crude oil futures settled sharply higher Wednesday after data showed a larger than expected drop in U.S. crude inventories last week. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February spiked $1.64 or 2.3 percent at $72.76 a barrel.</p><p><blockquote>原油期货周三大幅收高，此前数据显示上周美国原油库存降幅大于预期。2月份西德克萨斯中质原油期货上涨1.64美元，或2.3%，至每桶72.76美元。</blockquote></p><p> Closer to home, Singapore will release November numbers for consumer prices later today, with forecasts suggesting an increase 0.4 percent on month and 3.4 percent on year. That follows the 0.3 percent monthly increase and the 3.2 percent yearly gain in October. Core CPI is called steady at 1.5 percent on year.</p><p><blockquote>在国内，新加坡将于今天晚些时候发布11月份消费者价格数据，预测显示环比上涨0.4%，同比上涨3.4%。此前，10月份月度涨幅为0.3%，年率涨幅为3.2%。核心CPI同比稳定在1.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3251197/singapore-stock-market-may-test-resistance-at-3100-points.aspx?type=acom\">RTTNews</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3251197/singapore-stock-market-may-test-resistance-at-3100-points.aspx?type=acom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160915813","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has tracked higher in two straight sessions, gathering almost 15 points or 0.5 percent along the way. The Straits Times Index now sits just above the 3,085-point plateau and it may extend its gains on Wednesday.\nThe global forecast for the Asian markets remains positive on easing concerns about the Omicron variant of the coronavirus, plus support from crude oil prices. The European and U.S. markets were up and the Asian bourses are tipped to open in similar fashion.\nThe STI finished barely higher on Wednesday following gains from the financials and a mixed picture from the industrials.\nFor the day, the index picked up 2.43 points or 0.08 percent to finish at 3,087.51 after trading between 3,078.71 and 3,098.27. Volume was 844 million shares worth 696.8 million Singapore dollars. There were 207 gainers and 205 decliners.\nAmong the actives, Ascendas REIT advanced 0.69 percent, while CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust gained 0.51 percent, City Developments tanked 1.05 percent, Dairy Farm International plunged 1.47 percent, DBS Group climbed 0.75 percent, Genting Singapore skidded 0.66 percent, Hongkong Land plummeted 1.92 percent, Keppel Corp retreated 0.59 percent, Mapletree Commercial Trust sank 0.51 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust declined 0.54 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation increased 0.45 percent, SATS fell 0.26 percent, SembCorp Industries rose 0.50 percent, Singapore Airlines tumbled 1.02 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.66 percent, Singapore Press Holdings jumped 0.86 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering lost 0.27 percent, SingTel dropped 0.43 percent, Thai Beverage spiked 1.53 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.30 percent, Wilmar International slumped 0.99 percent, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding rallied 0.78 percent and Comfort DelGro was unchanged.\nThe lead from Wall Street is solid as the major averages shook off a sluggish start on Wednesday, quickly moving higher and finishing in the green.\nThe Dow jumped 261.19 points or 0.74 percent to finish at 35,753.89, while the NASDAQ spiked 180.81 points or 1.18 percent and the S&P 500 climbed 47.33 points or 1.02 percent to end at 4,696.56.\nThe markets drew strength from easing worries about Omicron and U.S. President Joe Biden's remarks that it is still possible to reach a deal with Senator Joe Manchin to push the $2 trillion Build Back Better bill through Congress.\nAdding to the positive sentiment, the Conference Board reported that consumer confidence improved by much more than expected in the month of December.\nCrude oil futures settled sharply higher Wednesday after data showed a larger than expected drop in U.S. crude inventories last week. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February spiked $1.64 or 2.3 percent at $72.76 a barrel.\nCloser to home, Singapore will release November numbers for consumer prices later today, with forecasts suggesting an increase 0.4 percent on month and 3.4 percent on year. That follows the 0.3 percent monthly increase and the 3.2 percent yearly gain in October. Core CPI is called steady at 1.5 percent on year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":876571008,"gmtCreate":1637334882397,"gmtModify":1637334882838,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/876571008","repostId":"1112678123","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112678123","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637334723,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112678123?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-19 23:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Inflation has ‘further to go:’ Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：通胀“还有更长的路要走”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112678123","media":"Yahoo","summary":"Inflation remains a cause for concern as data continues to butt heads with the White House and the F","content":"<p>Inflation&nbsp;remains a cause for concern as data continues to butt heads with the White House and the Fed’s claim that the price hikes will be “transitory.” According to a Nov. 13 report released by Goldman Sachs Economic Research (GS) however, though inflation has already reached a 30-year high, it may still have more to run.</p><p><blockquote>通胀仍然令人担忧，因为数据继续与白宫和美联储关于物价上涨将是“暂时的”的说法发生冲突。然而，根据高盛经济研究(GS)11月13日发布的报告，尽管通胀已经达到30年来的新高，但可能仍有更多的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> “The US economy largely followed the rapid road to recovery that we expected this year and is on track to round out the recovery next year as most of the remaining effects of the pandemic fade,” the report reads. “But this year also brought a major surprise: a surge in inflation that has already reached a 30-year high and still has further to go.”</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“美国经济今年基本上遵循了我们预期的快速复苏之路，随着疫情的大部分剩余影响消退，美国经济有望在明年完成复苏。”“但今年也带来了一个重大惊喜：通胀飙升，已经达到30年来的新高，而且还有很长的路要走。”</blockquote></p><p> The report suggests that this overshoot in inflation is largely attributable to the rise in durable goods prices caused by the persistentsupply chain crunch. Goldman Sachs Economic Research also expects inflationary pressures from wage and rent growth, but this will only keep inflation “moderately above 2%,” in line with the Fed’s updated framework target.</p><p><blockquote>报告表明，通胀超调很大程度上归因于持续的供应链紧缩导致耐用品价格上涨。高盛经济研究还预计，工资和租金增长将带来通胀压力，但这只会使通胀“适度高于2%”，与美联储更新后的框架目标一致。</blockquote></p><p> “The current inflation surge will get worse this winter before it gets better, but as supply-constrained categories shift from a transitory inflationary boost to a transitory deflationary drag, we expect core PCE inflation to fall from 4.4% at end-2021 to 2.3% at end-2022,” the report reads.</p><p><blockquote>“当前的通胀飙升在好转之前将在今年冬天变得更糟，但随着供应受限类别从暂时的通胀提振转变为暂时的通缩拖累，我们预计核心PCE通胀率将从2021年底的4.4%降至2.3%到2022年底，”报告写道。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also expects the economy to reaccelerate to above a 4% growth rate throughout the next several quarters, citing the reopening of the service sector, consumer spending of pent-up savings, and inventory restocking.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还预计，未来几个季度经济将重新加速至4%以上的增长率，理由是服务业重新开放、消费者支出被压抑的储蓄以及库存补充。</blockquote></p><p> “These forces will contend with a large and steady headwind from diminishing fiscal support that we expect will ultimately leave GDP growth near potential by late 2022,” the report reads.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“这些力量将应对财政支持减少带来的巨大而稳定的阻力，我们预计到2022年底，GDP增长最终将接近潜力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tapering timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逐渐减少的时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the major implications of these inflation expectations is anupdated timelinefor the Fed’s first rate hikes. The report states that Goldman Sachs would be pulling forward its forecast of the timing of the Fed’s first rate hike to July 2022, shortly after tapering ends.</p><p><blockquote>这些通胀预期的主要影响之一是美联储首次加息的更新时间表。报告指出，高盛将把对美联储首次加息时间的预测提前至2022年7月，即缩减结束后不久。</blockquote></p><p> The FOMC is currently scheduled tocompletethe tapering process by mid-June of 2022. Policymakers will meet next in mid-December where they will submit updated economic forecasts and expected policy paths. In September, around half of policymakers believed that a rate hike would not be necessary until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>FOMC目前计划于2022年6月中旬完成缩减进程。政策制定者将于12月中旬举行下一次会议，届时他们将提交最新的经济预测和预期的政策路径。9月份，大约一半的政策制定者认为，在2023年之前没有必要加息。</blockquote></p><p> “Inflation will have run far above target for a while by then, and we think a seamless move from tapering to rate hikes will be the path of least resistance, with a first hike in July and a second in November,” the report reads. “Because we expect growth and inflation to settle down by year-end without a need for aggressive monetary policy tightening, we have penciled in a slower pace of two hikes per year thereafter.”</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“届时通胀将在一段时间内远高于目标，我们认为从缩减到加息的无缝过渡将是阻力最小的路径，第一次加息将在7月进行，第二次加息将在11月进行。”“由于我们预计经济增长和通胀将在年底前稳定下来，无需大幅收紧货币政策，因此我们预计此后每年加息两次的速度会较慢。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Inflation has ‘further to go:’ Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：通胀“还有更长的路要走”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInflation has ‘further to go:’ Goldman Sachs<blockquote>高盛：通胀“还有更长的路要走”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-19 23:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Inflation&nbsp;remains a cause for concern as data continues to butt heads with the White House and the Fed’s claim that the price hikes will be “transitory.” According to a Nov. 13 report released by Goldman Sachs Economic Research (GS) however, though inflation has already reached a 30-year high, it may still have more to run.</p><p><blockquote>通胀仍然令人担忧，因为数据继续与白宫和美联储关于物价上涨将是“暂时的”的说法发生冲突。然而，根据高盛经济研究(GS)11月13日发布的报告，尽管通胀已经达到30年来的新高，但可能仍有更多的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> “The US economy largely followed the rapid road to recovery that we expected this year and is on track to round out the recovery next year as most of the remaining effects of the pandemic fade,” the report reads. “But this year also brought a major surprise: a surge in inflation that has already reached a 30-year high and still has further to go.”</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“美国经济今年基本上遵循了我们预期的快速复苏之路，随着疫情的大部分剩余影响消退，美国经济有望在明年完成复苏。”“但今年也带来了一个重大惊喜：通胀飙升，已经达到30年来的新高，而且还有很长的路要走。”</blockquote></p><p> The report suggests that this overshoot in inflation is largely attributable to the rise in durable goods prices caused by the persistentsupply chain crunch. Goldman Sachs Economic Research also expects inflationary pressures from wage and rent growth, but this will only keep inflation “moderately above 2%,” in line with the Fed’s updated framework target.</p><p><blockquote>报告表明，通胀超调很大程度上归因于持续的供应链紧缩导致耐用品价格上涨。高盛经济研究还预计，工资和租金增长将带来通胀压力，但这只会使通胀“适度高于2%”，与美联储更新后的框架目标一致。</blockquote></p><p> “The current inflation surge will get worse this winter before it gets better, but as supply-constrained categories shift from a transitory inflationary boost to a transitory deflationary drag, we expect core PCE inflation to fall from 4.4% at end-2021 to 2.3% at end-2022,” the report reads.</p><p><blockquote>“当前的通胀飙升在好转之前将在今年冬天变得更糟，但随着供应受限类别从暂时的通胀提振转变为暂时的通缩拖累，我们预计核心PCE通胀率将从2021年底的4.4%降至2.3%到2022年底，”报告写道。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also expects the economy to reaccelerate to above a 4% growth rate throughout the next several quarters, citing the reopening of the service sector, consumer spending of pent-up savings, and inventory restocking.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还预计，未来几个季度经济将重新加速至4%以上的增长率，理由是服务业重新开放、消费者支出被压抑的储蓄以及库存补充。</blockquote></p><p> “These forces will contend with a large and steady headwind from diminishing fiscal support that we expect will ultimately leave GDP growth near potential by late 2022,” the report reads.</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“这些力量将应对财政支持减少带来的巨大而稳定的阻力，我们预计到2022年底，GDP增长最终将接近潜力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tapering timeline</b></p><p><blockquote><b>逐渐减少的时间表</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the major implications of these inflation expectations is anupdated timelinefor the Fed’s first rate hikes. The report states that Goldman Sachs would be pulling forward its forecast of the timing of the Fed’s first rate hike to July 2022, shortly after tapering ends.</p><p><blockquote>这些通胀预期的主要影响之一是美联储首次加息的更新时间表。报告指出，高盛将把对美联储首次加息时间的预测提前至2022年7月，即缩减结束后不久。</blockquote></p><p> The FOMC is currently scheduled tocompletethe tapering process by mid-June of 2022. Policymakers will meet next in mid-December where they will submit updated economic forecasts and expected policy paths. In September, around half of policymakers believed that a rate hike would not be necessary until 2023.</p><p><blockquote>FOMC目前计划于2022年6月中旬完成缩减进程。政策制定者将于12月中旬举行下一次会议，届时他们将提交最新的经济预测和预期的政策路径。9月份，大约一半的政策制定者认为，在2023年之前没有必要加息。</blockquote></p><p> “Inflation will have run far above target for a while by then, and we think a seamless move from tapering to rate hikes will be the path of least resistance, with a first hike in July and a second in November,” the report reads. “Because we expect growth and inflation to settle down by year-end without a need for aggressive monetary policy tightening, we have penciled in a slower pace of two hikes per year thereafter.”</p><p><blockquote>报告称：“届时通胀将在一段时间内远高于目标，我们认为从缩减到加息的无缝过渡将是阻力最小的路径，第一次加息将在7月进行，第二次加息将在11月进行。”“由于我们预计经济增长和通胀将在年底前稳定下来，无需大幅收紧货币政策，因此我们预计此后每年加息两次的速度会较慢。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-at-30-year-high-has-further-to-go-goldman-sachs-150441968.html\">Yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-at-30-year-high-has-further-to-go-goldman-sachs-150441968.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112678123","content_text":"Inflation remains a cause for concern as data continues to butt heads with the White House and the Fed’s claim that the price hikes will be “transitory.” According to a Nov. 13 report released by Goldman Sachs Economic Research (GS) however, though inflation has already reached a 30-year high, it may still have more to run.\n“The US economy largely followed the rapid road to recovery that we expected this year and is on track to round out the recovery next year as most of the remaining effects of the pandemic fade,” the report reads. “But this year also brought a major surprise: a surge in inflation that has already reached a 30-year high and still has further to go.”\nThe report suggests that this overshoot in inflation is largely attributable to the rise in durable goods prices caused by the persistentsupply chain crunch. Goldman Sachs Economic Research also expects inflationary pressures from wage and rent growth, but this will only keep inflation “moderately above 2%,” in line with the Fed’s updated framework target.\n“The current inflation surge will get worse this winter before it gets better, but as supply-constrained categories shift from a transitory inflationary boost to a transitory deflationary drag, we expect core PCE inflation to fall from 4.4% at end-2021 to 2.3% at end-2022,” the report reads.\nGoldman also expects the economy to reaccelerate to above a 4% growth rate throughout the next several quarters, citing the reopening of the service sector, consumer spending of pent-up savings, and inventory restocking.\n“These forces will contend with a large and steady headwind from diminishing fiscal support that we expect will ultimately leave GDP growth near potential by late 2022,” the report reads.\nTapering timeline\nOne of the major implications of these inflation expectations is anupdated timelinefor the Fed’s first rate hikes. The report states that Goldman Sachs would be pulling forward its forecast of the timing of the Fed’s first rate hike to July 2022, shortly after tapering ends.\nThe FOMC is currently scheduled tocompletethe tapering process by mid-June of 2022. Policymakers will meet next in mid-December where they will submit updated economic forecasts and expected policy paths. In September, around half of policymakers believed that a rate hike would not be necessary until 2023.\n“Inflation will have run far above target for a while by then, and we think a seamless move from tapering to rate hikes will be the path of least resistance, with a first hike in July and a second in November,” the report reads. “Because we expect growth and inflation to settle down by year-end without a need for aggressive monetary policy tightening, we have penciled in a slower pace of two hikes per year thereafter.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1812,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":822097550,"gmtCreate":1634077179158,"gmtModify":1634077179639,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/822097550","repostId":"1160581040","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160581040","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634042129,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160581040?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-12 20:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Another Earnings Season Is Here. What to Expect This Time.<blockquote>又一个财报季到了。这次会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160581040","media":"Barrons","summary":"Earnings season kicks off this week—and it may take some unusually impressive results for stocks to ","content":"<p>Earnings season kicks off this week—and it may take some unusually impressive results for stocks to rise after them.</p><p><blockquote>财报季将于本周拉开帷幕，股市可能需要一些异常令人印象深刻的业绩才能在财报季之后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Reports from&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies have been trickling in—only 21 companies in the index had reported through Monday—but this week marks the beginning of what is known as earnings season. Investors will hear from&nbsp;Delta Air Lines&nbsp;(DAL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a>&nbsp;(WBA), and UnitedHealth Group (UNH), plus, banking heavyweights JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (JPM), Bank of America(BAC). It will provide a view of how businesses performed during the third quarter of 2021, and offer a glimpse into coming quarters as well.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数公司的报告源源不断——截至周一，该指数中只有21家公司发布了报告——但本周标志着所谓的财报季的开始。投资者将听取达美航空（DAL）的意见，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>(WBA)、联合健康集团(UNH)、银行业巨头摩根大通(JPM)、美国银行(BAC)。它将提供2021年第三季度企业表现的视图，并提供未来几个季度的一瞥。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts are forecasting aggregate earnings per share on the S&amp;P 500 to grow 24.5%, according to S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence. Some of the most economically sensitive sectors are still expecting the largest rebound in EPS, as last year’s third quarter was still ravaged by partial lockdowns. S&amp;P 500 industrial and material companies are expected to see 73% and 90% year-over-year growth, respectively, with energy expected to go from losses to profits. Two of the slowest growing sectors will be the traditionally non-volatile and highly stable consumer staples and utility sectors, expected to see EPS grow 3% and fall 2.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>根据标准普尔全球市场情报，分析师预测标普500的每股收益总额将增长24.5%。由于去年第三季度仍受到部分封锁的破坏，一些对经济最敏感的行业仍预计每股收益将出现最大反弹。标普500工业和材料公司预计将分别同比增长73%和90%，能源公司预计将扭亏为盈。增长最慢的两个行业将是传统上不波动且高度稳定的必需消费品和公用事业行业，预计每股收益将分别增长3%和下降2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> No matter the predicted growth, companies need to post big earnings beats in order for their shares to gain much. The S&amp;P 500 has already risen 17.9% this year, as companies benefited from the unprecedented reopening following Covid-19 shutdowns and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus. As a result, valuations already reflect a large earnings stream, with the average S&amp;P 500 stock trading at around 20.5 times 12-month forward earnings estimates, above the long-term average in the mid-teens. For the market to live up to those valuations, the index needs to beat expectations by at least 10% in order to rally into year-end, writes Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>无论预测的增长如何，公司都需要公布大幅超出预期的盈利才能使其股价大幅上涨。标普500今年已经上涨了17.9%，因为企业受益于Covid-19关闭后前所未有的重新开放和数万亿美元的财政刺激。因此，估值已经反映了大量的盈利流，标普500股票的平均交易价格约为12个月预期盈利预期的20.5倍，高于十几岁左右的长期平均水平。DataTrek联合创始人尼古拉斯·科拉斯(Nicholas Colas)写道，为了让市场达到这些估值，该指数需要超出预期至少10%才能在年底前反弹。</blockquote></p><p> That won’t be easy. Nike (NKE) and FedEx (FDX), for example, posted mixed results as supply chain constraints and rising costs ate into sales and profit margins, causing the stocks to fall 6% and 9%, respectively, the trading day after their earnings reports. The size of earnings beats from early reporters has been shrinking as well. So far, early reporters have topped earnings forecasts by just 4%, well below the 23.2% and 15.5% during the second quarter in 2020 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>那可不容易。例如，耐克(NKE)和联邦快递(FDX)公布的业绩好坏参半，因为供应链限制和成本上升侵蚀了销售额和利润率，导致股价在财报发布后的交易日分别下跌6%和9%。早期记者的盈利超出预期的规模也在缩小。到目前为止，早期记者的盈利预期仅高出4%，远低于2020年和2021年第二季度的23.2%和15.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “We believe that economic headwinds will mitigate the benefits from pricing power and operating leverage, leading to less robust surprises in the third quarter,” writes Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席美国股票策略师乔纳森·戈卢布写道：“我们认为，经济逆风将削弱定价能力和运营杠杆带来的好处，导致第三季度的意外情况不那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Earnings estimates have begun to reflect those headwinds. Third-quarter forecasts have fallen about 0.8% since the beginning of September. That may not seem like much, but if companies say they expect more difficulty accessing supplies and that higher costs are persisting, analysts could revise 2022 estimates lower. “This sets up the first earnings season in the recovery where earnings risk clearly exists,” writes Tavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>盈利预测已开始反映这些不利因素。自9月初以来，第三季度预测下降了约0.8%。这可能看起来不多，但如果企业表示他们预计获得供应会更加困难，并且成本持续上升，分析师可能会下调2022年的预期。雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)机构股票策略师塔维斯·麦考特(Tavis McCourt)写道：“这标志着复苏中第一个明显存在盈利风险的财报季。”</blockquote></p><p> The good news? The S&amp;P 500 is down 3.8% from its Sept. 2 all-time high, so there’s a chance that some of the earnings risks are already reflected in the market.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是什么？标普500较9月2日的历史高点下跌了3.8%，因此一些盈利风险有可能已经反映在市场上。</blockquote></p><p> The question is whether it’s enough.</p><p><blockquote>问题是这是否足够。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Another Earnings Season Is Here. What to Expect This Time.<blockquote>又一个财报季到了。这次会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnother Earnings Season Is Here. What to Expect This Time.<blockquote>又一个财报季到了。这次会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-12 20:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Earnings season kicks off this week—and it may take some unusually impressive results for stocks to rise after them.</p><p><blockquote>财报季将于本周拉开帷幕，股市可能需要一些异常令人印象深刻的业绩才能在财报季之后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Reports from&nbsp;S&amp;P 500&nbsp;companies have been trickling in—only 21 companies in the index had reported through Monday—but this week marks the beginning of what is known as earnings season. Investors will hear from&nbsp;Delta Air Lines&nbsp;(DAL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">Walgreens Boots Alliance</a>&nbsp;(WBA), and UnitedHealth Group (UNH), plus, banking heavyweights JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (JPM), Bank of America(BAC). It will provide a view of how businesses performed during the third quarter of 2021, and offer a glimpse into coming quarters as well.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数公司的报告源源不断——截至周一，该指数中只有21家公司发布了报告——但本周标志着所谓的财报季的开始。投资者将听取达美航空（DAL）的意见，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WBA\">沃尔格林靴子联盟</a>(WBA)、联合健康集团(UNH)、银行业巨头摩根大通(JPM)、美国银行(BAC)。它将提供2021年第三季度企业表现的视图，并提供未来几个季度的一瞥。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts are forecasting aggregate earnings per share on the S&amp;P 500 to grow 24.5%, according to S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence. Some of the most economically sensitive sectors are still expecting the largest rebound in EPS, as last year’s third quarter was still ravaged by partial lockdowns. S&amp;P 500 industrial and material companies are expected to see 73% and 90% year-over-year growth, respectively, with energy expected to go from losses to profits. Two of the slowest growing sectors will be the traditionally non-volatile and highly stable consumer staples and utility sectors, expected to see EPS grow 3% and fall 2.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>根据标准普尔全球市场情报，分析师预测标普500的每股收益总额将增长24.5%。由于去年第三季度仍受到部分封锁的破坏，一些对经济最敏感的行业仍预计每股收益将出现最大反弹。标普500工业和材料公司预计将分别同比增长73%和90%，能源公司预计将扭亏为盈。增长最慢的两个行业将是传统上不波动且高度稳定的必需消费品和公用事业行业，预计每股收益将分别增长3%和下降2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> No matter the predicted growth, companies need to post big earnings beats in order for their shares to gain much. The S&amp;P 500 has already risen 17.9% this year, as companies benefited from the unprecedented reopening following Covid-19 shutdowns and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus. As a result, valuations already reflect a large earnings stream, with the average S&amp;P 500 stock trading at around 20.5 times 12-month forward earnings estimates, above the long-term average in the mid-teens. For the market to live up to those valuations, the index needs to beat expectations by at least 10% in order to rally into year-end, writes Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.</p><p><blockquote>无论预测的增长如何，公司都需要公布大幅超出预期的盈利才能使其股价大幅上涨。标普500今年已经上涨了17.9%，因为企业受益于Covid-19关闭后前所未有的重新开放和数万亿美元的财政刺激。因此，估值已经反映了大量的盈利流，标普500股票的平均交易价格约为12个月预期盈利预期的20.5倍，高于十几岁左右的长期平均水平。DataTrek联合创始人尼古拉斯·科拉斯(Nicholas Colas)写道，为了让市场达到这些估值，该指数需要超出预期至少10%才能在年底前反弹。</blockquote></p><p> That won’t be easy. Nike (NKE) and FedEx (FDX), for example, posted mixed results as supply chain constraints and rising costs ate into sales and profit margins, causing the stocks to fall 6% and 9%, respectively, the trading day after their earnings reports. The size of earnings beats from early reporters has been shrinking as well. So far, early reporters have topped earnings forecasts by just 4%, well below the 23.2% and 15.5% during the second quarter in 2020 and 2021.</p><p><blockquote>那可不容易。例如，耐克(NKE)和联邦快递(FDX)公布的业绩好坏参半，因为供应链限制和成本上升侵蚀了销售额和利润率，导致股价在财报发布后的交易日分别下跌6%和9%。早期记者的盈利超出预期的规模也在缩小。到目前为止，早期记者的盈利预期仅高出4%，远低于2020年和2021年第二季度的23.2%和15.5%。</blockquote></p><p> “We believe that economic headwinds will mitigate the benefits from pricing power and operating leverage, leading to less robust surprises in the third quarter,” writes Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士信贷首席美国股票策略师乔纳森·戈卢布写道：“我们认为，经济逆风将削弱定价能力和运营杠杆带来的好处，导致第三季度的意外情况不那么强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> Earnings estimates have begun to reflect those headwinds. Third-quarter forecasts have fallen about 0.8% since the beginning of September. That may not seem like much, but if companies say they expect more difficulty accessing supplies and that higher costs are persisting, analysts could revise 2022 estimates lower. “This sets up the first earnings season in the recovery where earnings risk clearly exists,” writes Tavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>盈利预测已开始反映这些不利因素。自9月初以来，第三季度预测下降了约0.8%。这可能看起来不多，但如果企业表示他们预计获得供应会更加困难，并且成本持续上升，分析师可能会下调2022年的预期。雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)机构股票策略师塔维斯·麦考特(Tavis McCourt)写道：“这标志着复苏中第一个明显存在盈利风险的财报季。”</blockquote></p><p> The good news? The S&amp;P 500 is down 3.8% from its Sept. 2 all-time high, so there’s a chance that some of the earnings risks are already reflected in the market.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是什么？标普500较9月2日的历史高点下跌了3.8%，因此一些盈利风险有可能已经反映在市场上。</blockquote></p><p> The question is whether it’s enough.</p><p><blockquote>问题是这是否足够。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-earnings-season-preview-51633995452?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-earnings-season-preview-51633995452?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160581040","content_text":"Earnings season kicks off this week—and it may take some unusually impressive results for stocks to rise after them.\nReports from S&P 500 companies have been trickling in—only 21 companies in the index had reported through Monday—but this week marks the beginning of what is known as earnings season. Investors will hear from Delta Air Lines (DAL),Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), and UnitedHealth Group (UNH), plus, banking heavyweights JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Bank of America(BAC). It will provide a view of how businesses performed during the third quarter of 2021, and offer a glimpse into coming quarters as well.\nAnalysts are forecasting aggregate earnings per share on the S&P 500 to grow 24.5%, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Some of the most economically sensitive sectors are still expecting the largest rebound in EPS, as last year’s third quarter was still ravaged by partial lockdowns. S&P 500 industrial and material companies are expected to see 73% and 90% year-over-year growth, respectively, with energy expected to go from losses to profits. Two of the slowest growing sectors will be the traditionally non-volatile and highly stable consumer staples and utility sectors, expected to see EPS grow 3% and fall 2.9%, respectively.\nNo matter the predicted growth, companies need to post big earnings beats in order for their shares to gain much. The S&P 500 has already risen 17.9% this year, as companies benefited from the unprecedented reopening following Covid-19 shutdowns and trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus. As a result, valuations already reflect a large earnings stream, with the average S&P 500 stock trading at around 20.5 times 12-month forward earnings estimates, above the long-term average in the mid-teens. For the market to live up to those valuations, the index needs to beat expectations by at least 10% in order to rally into year-end, writes Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek.\nThat won’t be easy. Nike (NKE) and FedEx (FDX), for example, posted mixed results as supply chain constraints and rising costs ate into sales and profit margins, causing the stocks to fall 6% and 9%, respectively, the trading day after their earnings reports. The size of earnings beats from early reporters has been shrinking as well. So far, early reporters have topped earnings forecasts by just 4%, well below the 23.2% and 15.5% during the second quarter in 2020 and 2021.\n“We believe that economic headwinds will mitigate the benefits from pricing power and operating leverage, leading to less robust surprises in the third quarter,” writes Jonathan Golub, chief U.S. equity strategist at Credit Suisse.\nEarnings estimates have begun to reflect those headwinds. Third-quarter forecasts have fallen about 0.8% since the beginning of September. That may not seem like much, but if companies say they expect more difficulty accessing supplies and that higher costs are persisting, analysts could revise 2022 estimates lower. “This sets up the first earnings season in the recovery where earnings risk clearly exists,” writes Tavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James.\nThe good news? The S&P 500 is down 3.8% from its Sept. 2 all-time high, so there’s a chance that some of the earnings risks are already reflected in the market.\nThe question is whether it’s enough.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":496,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":880694260,"gmtCreate":1631053021650,"gmtModify":1631884076620,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880694260","repostId":"1130130857","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130130857","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631007146,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130130857?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-07 17:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and  a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示，今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&amp;P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说，这是多么美好的一年啊！在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及（直到最近）疫情基本消退的推动下，标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%，连续七个月上涨，并创下50多个高点。除此之外，去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在，但逆风现在迫在眉睫，可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶，经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外，美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模，拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备，这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示：“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮，将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&amp;P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是：4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&amp;P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势，明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%，升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍，债券收益率很低，考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零，投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资，而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面，这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大，这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物，美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金，以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来，美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券，同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率，并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示，央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买，此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示：“对我们来说，缩减规模很简单：缩减规模就是紧缩。这是（美联储）距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎，但底线是，这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出，政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比，近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振，占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%，但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案，并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收，以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天，其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金，并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前，我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说，只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效，当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题，部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月，美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%，这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升，尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间，他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的，也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而，通胀率高于2.5%，加上美联储缩减规模，意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示：“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高，但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散，我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升，但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for&nbsp;the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计，到年底，10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点（即百分之几个百分点），但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示，到明年，10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看，这些举措并不是很大，但对债券市场来说意义重大，对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&amp;P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值，原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争，当以更高的利率贴现时，公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此，2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升，市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天，该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&amp;P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示，只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内，标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力，否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示，如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%，投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik：“我们已经有一段时间没有看到（10年期国债收益率）超过2%了，因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心，他指出，股市的估值风险是不对称的：“市盈率不太可能上升，考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置，市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中，”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道，如果预期市盈率为16至23倍，“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&amp;P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩，这对利润增长路径变得更加重要。平均而言，策略师预计，继去年的盈利低迷之后，标普500今年的盈利将增长46%，至204美元左右。随后，2022年可能会上涨9%，达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来，投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为，25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字，高于2018年以来实施的21%，但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&amp;P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过，该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度，但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样，这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测，市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈，投资者不应错过更大的图景：美国经济状况良好，增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%，2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示：“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年，我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p>   “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets  The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会超过增长，周期性会超过防御性。”—Lori Calvasina，加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司，也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法，同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业（科技或非必需消费品等行业）更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆，传统上，当GDP增长高于平均水平时，价值会跑赢增长，周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键，尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年，经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示：“历史上的剧本是，走出衰退后，你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现，然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票（包括科技股）的组合。金融股应该会表现良好，特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘，但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析，自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来，质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示：“我们正在进入周期中期环境，基本经济增长仍然强劲，但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明，优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司；金融，包括银行，以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示，大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期，这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高，即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求；富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示：“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险，一般来说，我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高Covid贝塔值，我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过，从长远来看，我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>（BAC），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司（IQV）和马斯科公司（MAS）。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量；他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息，而且新冠贝塔值更高，”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且，与股市的其他大部分地区相反，更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车，银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性，”威尔逊说。“如今，医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此，我们认为，当我们担心估值时，它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域，以获得相对低估的增长机会，即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN)，该公司专注于肿瘤药物，可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV)，该公司的预期市盈率为8倍，股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期，这让一些投资者望而却步，但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失，并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%，报152美元左右，因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后，ABBVIE周三上涨7%，至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物，其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson &amp; Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&amp;P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>（PFE），<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后，今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒，随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退，股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌，潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. And go with quality.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818559214,"gmtCreate":1630420970838,"gmtModify":1631888457508,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Let's go!","listText":"Let's go!","text":"Let's go!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818559214","repostId":"2163185185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819500564,"gmtCreate":1630074978858,"gmtModify":1704955620949,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmm","listText":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819500564","repostId":"1141573828","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141573828","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630074530,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141573828?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-27 22:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"T-Mobile CEO Apologizes for Data Security-Breach<blockquote>T-Mobile首席执行官为数据安全漏洞道歉</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141573828","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"The chief executive of T-Mobile US Inc. apologized to customers fora security breachthat has exposed","content":"<p>The chief executive of&nbsp;T-Mobile US&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;apologized to customers fora security breachthat has exposed personal data from more than 50 million people and said the wireless company was working to strengthen its cyber defenses.</p><p><blockquote>T-Mobile US Inc.的首席执行官就暴露了超过5000万人个人数据的安全漏洞向客户道歉，并表示这家无线公司正在努力加强其网络防御。</blockquote></p><p> The Bellevue, Wash., company on Friday said it struck long-term partnerships with cybersecurity firm Mandiant and consulting firm KPMG LLG after the hack of its systems that exposed millions of Social Security numbers, birth dates and other data.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿州贝尔维尤。该公司周五表示，在其系统遭到黑客攻击，数百万个社会安全号码、出生日期和其他数据暴露后，该公司与网络安全公司Mandiant和咨询公司毕马威LLG建立了长期合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> “We didn’t live up to the expectations we have for ourselves to protect our customers,” CEO Mike Sievert wrote in a public letter. “Knowing that we failed to prevent this exposure is one of the hardest parts of this event.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官迈克·西弗特在一封公开信中写道：“我们没有达到保护客户对自己的期望。”“知道我们未能阻止这次曝光是这次事件中最困难的部分之一。”</blockquote></p><p> John Binns, a 21-year-old American who moved to Turkey a few years ago, told The Wall Street Journal he was behind the security breach. He said&nbsp;the company’s lax securityeased his path into a cache ofT-Mobile&nbsp;records. “Their security is awful,” Mr. Binns told the Journal.</p><p><blockquote>几年前移居土耳其的21岁美国人约翰·宾斯(John Binns)告诉《华尔街日报》，他是安全漏洞的幕后黑手。他说，该公司松懈的安全措施使他进入了一个经常移动的记录缓存。“他们的安全性很糟糕，”宾斯先生告诉《华尔街日报》。</blockquote></p><p> It wasn’t immediately clear whether Mr. Binns worked alone or with help.T-Mobile&nbsp;said Friday the attacker first pierced the company’s testing environments before gaining access to other systems through brute-force attacks and other methods.</p><p><blockquote>目前尚不清楚宾斯是单独工作还是在帮助下工作。T-Mobile周五表示，攻击者首先穿透了该公司的测试环境，然后通过暴力攻击和其他方法进入其他系统。</blockquote></p><p> The breach is the third major customer-data leak that T-Mobile has disclosed in the past two years. The company is the second-largest U.S. mobile carrier with roughly 90 million cellphones connecting to its networks.</p><p><blockquote>此次泄露是T-Mobile在过去两年中披露的第三起重大客户数据泄露事件。该公司是美国第二大移动运营商，大约有9000万部手机连接到其网络。</blockquote></p><p> The Seattle office of the Federal Bureau of Investigation is investigating the incident, the Journal reported. Mr. Sievert said T-Mobile is cooperating with law enforcement on a criminal investigation.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，联邦调查局西雅图办公室正在调查这一事件。Sievert先生说，T-Mobile正在配合执法部门进行刑事调查。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Sievert, who joined T-Mobile in 2013, took over as the company’s CEO in 2020 from longtime boss John Legere. The handoff happened just as the carrier&nbsp;was closing the takeover of its rival, Sprint Corp., forming a bigger nationwide carrier to compete with peers&nbsp;AT&amp;T&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Verizon Communications&nbsp;Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Sievert先生于2013年加入T-Mobile，于2020年从长期老板John Legere手中接任公司首席执行官。此次移交发生之际，该运营商正在完成对其竞争对手Sprint公司的收购，组建一家规模更大的全国性运营商，与同行美国电话电报公司公司和威瑞森通信公司竞争。</blockquote></p><p> “We know we need additional expertise to take our cybersecurity efforts to the next level—and we’ve brought in the help,” Mr. Sievert wrote in Friday’s letter.</p><p><blockquote>西弗特在周五的信中写道：“我们知道我们需要更多的专业知识来将我们的网络安全工作提升到一个新的水平，我们已经提供了帮助。”</blockquote></p><p> He said T-Mobile hired Mandiant to conduct a forensic investigation since it learned about the incident. KPMG’s cybersecurity team will review T-Mobile’s security policies and performance measurement, Mr. Sievert said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，T-Mobile在得知这一事件后聘请了Mandiant进行法医调查。Sievert先生说，毕马威的网络安全团队将审查T-Mobile的安全政策和绩效衡量。</blockquote></p><p> “To say we are disappointed and frustrated that this happened is an understatement,” Mr. Sievert said. He added that the company is confident that it has closed the security hole the hacker accessed and that there isn’t an ongoing risk to customer data from the hack.</p><p><blockquote>“说我们对这件事的发生感到失望和沮丧是一种保守的说法，”西弗特先生说。他补充说，该公司有信心已经关闭了黑客访问的安全漏洞，并且不会对客户数据构成持续的风险。</blockquote></p><p> The company has notified nearly all current T-Mobile customers or primary account holders who had their data compromised, Mr. Sievert said. Among other measures, the company is offering two years of free identity-protection services with McAfee’s ID theft protection to those who might have been affected by the breach, he said.</p><p><blockquote>Sievert先生说，该公司已经通知了几乎所有数据泄露的T-Mobile现有客户或主要账户持有人。他说，在其他措施中，该公司将向那些可能受到漏洞影响的人提供两年的免费身份保护服务，包括McAfee的身份盗窃保护。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>T-Mobile CEO Apologizes for Data Security-Breach<blockquote>T-Mobile首席执行官为数据安全漏洞道歉</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nT-Mobile CEO Apologizes for Data Security-Breach<blockquote>T-Mobile首席执行官为数据安全漏洞道歉</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Wall Street Journal</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-27 22:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The chief executive of&nbsp;T-Mobile US&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;apologized to customers fora security breachthat has exposed personal data from more than 50 million people and said the wireless company was working to strengthen its cyber defenses.</p><p><blockquote>T-Mobile US Inc.的首席执行官就暴露了超过5000万人个人数据的安全漏洞向客户道歉，并表示这家无线公司正在努力加强其网络防御。</blockquote></p><p> The Bellevue, Wash., company on Friday said it struck long-term partnerships with cybersecurity firm Mandiant and consulting firm KPMG LLG after the hack of its systems that exposed millions of Social Security numbers, birth dates and other data.</p><p><blockquote>华盛顿州贝尔维尤。该公司周五表示，在其系统遭到黑客攻击，数百万个社会安全号码、出生日期和其他数据暴露后，该公司与网络安全公司Mandiant和咨询公司毕马威LLG建立了长期合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p> “We didn’t live up to the expectations we have for ourselves to protect our customers,” CEO Mike Sievert wrote in a public letter. “Knowing that we failed to prevent this exposure is one of the hardest parts of this event.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官迈克·西弗特在一封公开信中写道：“我们没有达到保护客户对自己的期望。”“知道我们未能阻止这次曝光是这次事件中最困难的部分之一。”</blockquote></p><p> John Binns, a 21-year-old American who moved to Turkey a few years ago, told The Wall Street Journal he was behind the security breach. He said&nbsp;the company’s lax securityeased his path into a cache ofT-Mobile&nbsp;records. “Their security is awful,” Mr. Binns told the Journal.</p><p><blockquote>几年前移居土耳其的21岁美国人约翰·宾斯(John Binns)告诉《华尔街日报》，他是安全漏洞的幕后黑手。他说，该公司松懈的安全措施使他进入了一个经常移动的记录缓存。“他们的安全性很糟糕，”宾斯先生告诉《华尔街日报》。</blockquote></p><p> It wasn’t immediately clear whether Mr. Binns worked alone or with help.T-Mobile&nbsp;said Friday the attacker first pierced the company’s testing environments before gaining access to other systems through brute-force attacks and other methods.</p><p><blockquote>目前尚不清楚宾斯是单独工作还是在帮助下工作。T-Mobile周五表示，攻击者首先穿透了该公司的测试环境，然后通过暴力攻击和其他方法进入其他系统。</blockquote></p><p> The breach is the third major customer-data leak that T-Mobile has disclosed in the past two years. The company is the second-largest U.S. mobile carrier with roughly 90 million cellphones connecting to its networks.</p><p><blockquote>此次泄露是T-Mobile在过去两年中披露的第三起重大客户数据泄露事件。该公司是美国第二大移动运营商，大约有9000万部手机连接到其网络。</blockquote></p><p> The Seattle office of the Federal Bureau of Investigation is investigating the incident, the Journal reported. Mr. Sievert said T-Mobile is cooperating with law enforcement on a criminal investigation.</p><p><blockquote>据《华尔街日报》报道，联邦调查局西雅图办公室正在调查这一事件。Sievert先生说，T-Mobile正在配合执法部门进行刑事调查。</blockquote></p><p> Mr. Sievert, who joined T-Mobile in 2013, took over as the company’s CEO in 2020 from longtime boss John Legere. The handoff happened just as the carrier&nbsp;was closing the takeover of its rival, Sprint Corp., forming a bigger nationwide carrier to compete with peers&nbsp;AT&amp;T&nbsp;Inc.&nbsp;and&nbsp;Verizon Communications&nbsp;Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Sievert先生于2013年加入T-Mobile，于2020年从长期老板John Legere手中接任公司首席执行官。此次移交发生之际，该运营商正在完成对其竞争对手Sprint公司的收购，组建一家规模更大的全国性运营商，与同行美国电话电报公司公司和威瑞森通信公司竞争。</blockquote></p><p> “We know we need additional expertise to take our cybersecurity efforts to the next level—and we’ve brought in the help,” Mr. Sievert wrote in Friday’s letter.</p><p><blockquote>西弗特在周五的信中写道：“我们知道我们需要更多的专业知识来将我们的网络安全工作提升到一个新的水平，我们已经提供了帮助。”</blockquote></p><p> He said T-Mobile hired Mandiant to conduct a forensic investigation since it learned about the incident. KPMG’s cybersecurity team will review T-Mobile’s security policies and performance measurement, Mr. Sievert said.</p><p><blockquote>他说，T-Mobile在得知这一事件后聘请了Mandiant进行法医调查。Sievert先生说，毕马威的网络安全团队将审查T-Mobile的安全政策和绩效衡量。</blockquote></p><p> “To say we are disappointed and frustrated that this happened is an understatement,” Mr. Sievert said. He added that the company is confident that it has closed the security hole the hacker accessed and that there isn’t an ongoing risk to customer data from the hack.</p><p><blockquote>“说我们对这件事的发生感到失望和沮丧是一种保守的说法，”西弗特先生说。他补充说，该公司有信心已经关闭了黑客访问的安全漏洞，并且不会对客户数据构成持续的风险。</blockquote></p><p> The company has notified nearly all current T-Mobile customers or primary account holders who had their data compromised, Mr. Sievert said. Among other measures, the company is offering two years of free identity-protection services with McAfee’s ID theft protection to those who might have been affected by the breach, he said.</p><p><blockquote>Sievert先生说，该公司已经通知了几乎所有数据泄露的T-Mobile现有客户或主要账户持有人。他说，在其他措施中，该公司将向那些可能受到漏洞影响的人提供两年的免费身份保护服务，包括McAfee的身份盗窃保护。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/t-mobile-ceo-apologizes-for-data-security-breach-11630071045?mod=hp_lista_pos1\">The Wall Street Journal</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/t-mobile-ceo-apologizes-for-data-security-breach-11630071045?mod=hp_lista_pos1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141573828","content_text":"The chief executive of T-Mobile US Inc. apologized to customers fora security breachthat has exposed personal data from more than 50 million people and said the wireless company was working to strengthen its cyber defenses.\nThe Bellevue, Wash., company on Friday said it struck long-term partnerships with cybersecurity firm Mandiant and consulting firm KPMG LLG after the hack of its systems that exposed millions of Social Security numbers, birth dates and other data.\n“We didn’t live up to the expectations we have for ourselves to protect our customers,” CEO Mike Sievert wrote in a public letter. “Knowing that we failed to prevent this exposure is one of the hardest parts of this event.”\nJohn Binns, a 21-year-old American who moved to Turkey a few years ago, told The Wall Street Journal he was behind the security breach. He said the company’s lax securityeased his path into a cache ofT-Mobile records. “Their security is awful,” Mr. Binns told the Journal.\nIt wasn’t immediately clear whether Mr. Binns worked alone or with help.T-Mobile said Friday the attacker first pierced the company’s testing environments before gaining access to other systems through brute-force attacks and other methods.\nThe breach is the third major customer-data leak that T-Mobile has disclosed in the past two years. The company is the second-largest U.S. mobile carrier with roughly 90 million cellphones connecting to its networks.\nThe Seattle office of the Federal Bureau of Investigation is investigating the incident, the Journal reported. Mr. Sievert said T-Mobile is cooperating with law enforcement on a criminal investigation.\nMr. Sievert, who joined T-Mobile in 2013, took over as the company’s CEO in 2020 from longtime boss John Legere. The handoff happened just as the carrier was closing the takeover of its rival, Sprint Corp., forming a bigger nationwide carrier to compete with peers AT&T Inc. and Verizon Communications Inc.\n“We know we need additional expertise to take our cybersecurity efforts to the next level—and we’ve brought in the help,” Mr. Sievert wrote in Friday’s letter.\nHe said T-Mobile hired Mandiant to conduct a forensic investigation since it learned about the incident. KPMG’s cybersecurity team will review T-Mobile’s security policies and performance measurement, Mr. Sievert said.\n“To say we are disappointed and frustrated that this happened is an understatement,” Mr. Sievert said. He added that the company is confident that it has closed the security hole the hacker accessed and that there isn’t an ongoing risk to customer data from the hack.\nThe company has notified nearly all current T-Mobile customers or primary account holders who had their data compromised, Mr. Sievert said. Among other measures, the company is offering two years of free identity-protection services with McAfee’s ID theft protection to those who might have been affected by the breach, he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TMUS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":862921339,"gmtCreate":1632831503856,"gmtModify":1632831503959,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862921339","repostId":"1198385948","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821262351,"gmtCreate":1633748760249,"gmtModify":1633748760696,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821262351","repostId":"1100565546","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100565546","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633734823,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100565546?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-09 07:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100565546","media":"Reuters","summary":" - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable op","content":"<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>路透标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指在盘中大部分时间涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所下跌。三个指数均录得周线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行下调康卡斯特公司的目标股价后，康卡斯特公司股价暴跌；富国银行将有线电视运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“跑输大盘”后，Charter Communications Inc股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源板块指数上涨3.1%，油价本周上涨超过4%，因全球能源紧缩将价格推高至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，美国经济9月份创造的就业岗位为九个月来最少，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业缺乏工人。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约BK资产管理公司董事总经理凯西·连恩(Kathy Lien)表示：“我认为美联储非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅的就业报告就可以在11月份缩减规模。”“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货预计美联储将在明年11月或12月收紧25个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点；标普500下跌0.19%，收于4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.51%，至14,579.54点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先公布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young警告说：“我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。”“如果供应链问题推高了成本，拥有强大定价权的公司可以转嫁这些上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.24比1；在纳斯达克，1.52比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下26个52周新高和3个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends lower after U.S. September jobs miss<blockquote>美国9月就业机会未达预期，标普500收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-09 07:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.</p><p><blockquote>路透标普500周五收低，此前数据显示9月就业增长弱于预期，但投资者仍预计美联储今年将开始缩减资产购买规模。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街三大主要股指在盘中大部分时间涨跌互现，但在接近尾声时有所下跌。三个指数均录得周线上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Comcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行下调康卡斯特公司的目标股价后，康卡斯特公司股价暴跌；富国银行将有线电视运营商的评级从“跑赢大盘”下调至“跑输大盘”后，Charter Communications Inc股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies were among the biggest drags on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司都是标普500和纳斯达克最大的拖累之一。</blockquote></p><p> Real estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&amp;P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>在11个标普500行业指数中，房地产和公用事业表现最差，分别下跌1.1%和0.7%。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.</p><p><blockquote>标普500能源板块指数上涨3.1%，油价本周上涨超过4%，因全球能源紧缩将价格推高至2014年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Chevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&amp;P 500 the greatest lift.</p><p><blockquote>雪佛龙和埃克森美孚股价上涨超过2%，是对标普500提振最大的公司之一。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部的非农就业报告显示，美国经济9月份创造的就业岗位为九个月来最少，原因是学校招聘人数下降，一些企业缺乏工人。失业率从8月份的5.2%降至4.8%，平均时薪增长0.6%，超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> “I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约BK资产管理公司董事总经理凯西·连恩(Kathy Lien)表示：“我认为美联储非常明确地表示，他们不需要一份重磅的就业报告就可以在11月份缩减规模。”“我认为美联储仍在正轨上。”</blockquote></p><p> Futures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.</p><p><blockquote>联邦基金利率期货预计美联储将在明年11月或12月收紧25个基点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.03%，收于34,746.25点；标普500下跌0.19%，收于4,391.35点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.51%，至14,579.54点。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500上涨0.8%，道琼斯指数上涨1.2%，纳斯达克上涨0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Third-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>第三季度财报季将于下周拉开帷幕，摩根大通和其他大银行将率先公布业绩。投资者关注全球供应链问题和劳动力短缺。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计美国第三季度盈利增长30%：</blockquote></p><p> Analysts on average expect S&amp;P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的数据，分析师平均预计标普500本季度每股收益将增长近30%。</blockquote></p><p> “I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young警告说：“我认为这将是一个充满风险的财报季。”“如果供应链问题推高了成本，拥有强大定价权的公司可以转嫁这些上涨的成本。但如果你找不到工人来雇佣，你就无法转嫁劳动力短缺。”</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.24比1；在纳斯达克，1.52比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下26个52周新高和3个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得86个新高和113个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为92亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为110亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-lower-after-u-s-september-jobs-miss-idUSL1N2R42C9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100565546","content_text":"(Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended lower on Friday after data showed weaker jobs growth than expected in September, yet investors still expected the Federal Reserve to begin tapering asset purchases this year.\nWall Street’s three main indexes were mixed for much of the session before losing ground toward the end. All three indexes posted weekly gains.\nComcast Corp tumbled after Wells Fargo cut its price target on the media company, while Charter Communications Inc fell after Wells Fargo downgraded that cable operator to “underweight” from “overweight”.\nBoth companies were among the biggest drags on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nReal estate and utilities were the poorest performers among 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, down 1.1% and 0.7%, respectively.\nThe S&P 500 energy sector index jumped 3.1%, with oil up more than 4% on the week as a global energy crunch has boosted prices to their highest since 2014.\nChevron and Exxon Mobil rallied more than 2% and were among the companies giving the S&P 500 the greatest lift.\nThe Labor Department’s nonfarm payrolls report showed the U.S. economy in September created the fewest jobs in nine months as hiring dropped at schools and some businesses were short of workers. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8% from 5.2% in August and average hourly earnings rose 0.6%, which was more than expected.\n“I think that the Federal Reserve made it very clear that they don’t need a blockbuster jobs report to taper in November,” said Kathy Lien, Managing Director at BK Asset Management in New York. “I think the Fed remains on track.”\nFutures on the federal funds rate priced in a quarter-point tightening by the Federal Reserve by November or December next year.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03% to end at 34,746.25 points, while the S&P 500 lost 0.19% to 4,391.35.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.51% to 14,579.54.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, the Dow added 1.2% and the Nasdaq gained 0.1%.\nThird-quarter reporting season kicks off next week, with JPMorgan Chase and other big banks among the first to post results. Investors are focused on global supply chain problems and labor shortages.\nAnalysts see Q3 U.S. earnings growth of 30%:\nAnalysts on average expect S&P 500 earnings per share for the quarter to be up almost 30%, according to Refinitiv.\n“I think it’s going to be a dicey earnings season,” warned Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “If supply-chain issues are driving up costs, a company with strong pricing power can pass through those rising costs. But you can’t pass through a labor shortage if you can’t find workers to hire.”\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.24-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.52-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 26 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 86 new highs and 113 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.2 billion shares, compared with the 11 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829008001,"gmtCreate":1633440769278,"gmtModify":1633440769730,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829008001","repostId":"1140243685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140243685","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633440012,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140243685?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-05 21:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140243685","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq","content":"<p>There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq CompositeCOMPisteetering toward correction territory&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500SPXand Dow industrialsDJIAare halfway there. With jobs data looming for Friday, even the bravest dip buyers may have second thoughts.</p><p><blockquote>在周一的暴跌之后，有一些复苏的迹象，主要是科技股。纳斯达克综合指数正在走向调整区域，标准普尔500SPX和道琼斯工业平均指数已经走到了一半。随着周五就业数据的临近，即使是最勇敢的逢低买入者也可能会改变主意。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t look for reassurance in our&nbsp;<b>call of the day</b>, where the founder and CEO ofBullAndBearProfits.com, Jon Wolfenbarger, predicts U.S. stocks may be “on the verge of starting the biggest bear market since the Great Depression.”</p><p><blockquote>不要在我们的<b>今日看涨期权</b>BullandBearProfits.com创始人兼首席执行官乔恩·沃尔芬伯格(Jon Wolfenbarger)预测，美国股市可能“即将开启自大萧条以来最大的熊市”。</blockquote></p><p> “Now with the Fed talking about tapering and money supply growth slowing&nbsp;significantly from 39% y/y in February to only 8% y/y in August, perhaps that is&nbsp;enough of a ‘tight monetary policy’ to change investor psychology to a more&nbsp;bearish mood? We will see,” he said in a Monday interview and follow-up comments with MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“现在，随着美联储谈论缩减购债规模，货币供应增长从2月份的同比39%大幅放缓至8月份的同比仅8%，也许‘紧缩货币政策’足以将投资者心理转变为更悲观的情绪？我们拭目以待，”他在周一接受MarketWatch采访和后续评论时表示。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger, who spent 22 years as an equity analyst at Allianz Global Investors, said while he’s not a permabear — his newsletter offers strategies for profiting when markets go both ways — investors should heed some warnings signs.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger在Allianz Global Investors担任了22年的股票分析师，他表示，虽然他不是永久看跌者——他的时事通讯提供了在市场双向波动时获利的策略——但投资者应该注意一些警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Overbullish sentiment, economic weakness, excessive debt levels and limited policy tools are key ingredients for a market rout worse than that seen in 2008-09, he said, adding that a top for the S&amp;P 500 reached a few weeks ago could have been the start.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，过度看涨情绪、经济疲软、债务水平过高和政策工具有限是导致市场暴跌比2008-09年更严重的关键因素，并补充说，几周前达到的标普500顶部可能是开始。</blockquote></p><p> One chart he’s watching that&nbsp;predicts future long-term stock returns— a favorite of legendary investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire HathawayBRKBRK— shows equities 30% above the prior all-time high seen in the tech bubble peak of 2000.</p><p><blockquote>他正在观看的一张预测未来长期股票回报的图表（伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长兼首席执行官、传奇投资者沃伦·巴菲特的最爱）显示，股市比2000年科技泡沫高峰时的历史高点高出30%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e73964c10e0be9d02489e2764a98be5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger is watching S&amp;P 500 moving averages closely. If the 250-day, currently at 4,020, were to “really break through” that could trip a major drop for stock. His below chart shows the S&amp;P 500 price (black line) with its 250-dma since 1980. The red circles indicate when it fell below the 250-dma and the 250-dma slope was falling.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔芬伯格正在密切关注标普500移动平均线。如果250日线（目前为4,020点）“真正突破”，可能会导致股价大幅下跌。他的下图显示了标普500价格（黑线）自1980年以来的250日均线。红色圆圈表示何时跌破250-dma并且250-dma斜率正在下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31fb05ef85111232a3410a405e05f72\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As for what investors should do — Wolfenbarger advised using exchange-traded funds that actually go up in bear markets, which could be the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD,&nbsp;though he prefers inverse ETFs such as ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDSand the ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH.</p><p><blockquote>至于投资者应该做什么——Wolfenbarger建议使用在熊市中实际上涨的交易所交易基金，这可能是iShares 20+年期国债ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD，尽管他更喜欢ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDS和ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH。</blockquote></p><p> “I personally think it’s easier for most people to just buy an inverse ETF because it moves the same way as a normal stock and ETF, and the SH went up 89% in the last bear market,” he said, adding that SDS went up 184%.</p><p><blockquote>“我个人认为，对于大多数人来说，购买反向ETF更容易，因为它的走势与普通股票和ETF相同，而且SH在上一次熊市中上涨了89%，”他说，并补充说SDS上涨了184%。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger said he has honed his strategies after adhering for years to Buffett’s advice of just&nbsp;buying and holding an S&amp;P 500 index fund.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger表示，多年来一直坚持巴菲特的建议，即只购买并持有标普500指数基金，他已经磨练了自己的策略。</blockquote></p><p> “But then I started looking at history and you know it took 25 years for the market to get back to the 1929 peak, and I don’t have 25 years,” said Wolfenbarger, who is in his early 50s. “Any given investment can go down 50% to 90% and it can stay down for decades, at least 10 to 20 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“但后来我开始回顾历史，你知道市场花了25年时间才回到1929年的峰值，而我没有25年的时间，”50岁出头的沃尔芬伯格说。“任何给定的投资都可能下降50%到90%，并且可以持续数十年，至少10到20年。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis veteran analyst hears echoes of the 1929 crash in today’s stock market<blockquote>这位资深分析师在今天的股市中听到了1929年崩盘的回声</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-05 21:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq CompositeCOMPisteetering toward correction territory&nbsp;and the S&amp;P 500SPXand Dow industrialsDJIAare halfway there. With jobs data looming for Friday, even the bravest dip buyers may have second thoughts.</p><p><blockquote>在周一的暴跌之后，有一些复苏的迹象，主要是科技股。纳斯达克综合指数正在走向调整区域，标准普尔500SPX和道琼斯工业平均指数已经走到了一半。随着周五就业数据的临近，即使是最勇敢的逢低买入者也可能会改变主意。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t look for reassurance in our&nbsp;<b>call of the day</b>, where the founder and CEO ofBullAndBearProfits.com, Jon Wolfenbarger, predicts U.S. stocks may be “on the verge of starting the biggest bear market since the Great Depression.”</p><p><blockquote>不要在我们的<b>今日看涨期权</b>BullandBearProfits.com创始人兼首席执行官乔恩·沃尔芬伯格(Jon Wolfenbarger)预测，美国股市可能“即将开启自大萧条以来最大的熊市”。</blockquote></p><p> “Now with the Fed talking about tapering and money supply growth slowing&nbsp;significantly from 39% y/y in February to only 8% y/y in August, perhaps that is&nbsp;enough of a ‘tight monetary policy’ to change investor psychology to a more&nbsp;bearish mood? We will see,” he said in a Monday interview and follow-up comments with MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>“现在，随着美联储谈论缩减购债规模，货币供应增长从2月份的同比39%大幅放缓至8月份的同比仅8%，也许‘紧缩货币政策’足以将投资者心理转变为更悲观的情绪？我们拭目以待，”他在周一接受MarketWatch采访和后续评论时表示。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger, who spent 22 years as an equity analyst at Allianz Global Investors, said while he’s not a permabear — his newsletter offers strategies for profiting when markets go both ways — investors should heed some warnings signs.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger在Allianz Global Investors担任了22年的股票分析师，他表示，虽然他不是永久看跌者——他的时事通讯提供了在市场双向波动时获利的策略——但投资者应该注意一些警告信号。</blockquote></p><p> Overbullish sentiment, economic weakness, excessive debt levels and limited policy tools are key ingredients for a market rout worse than that seen in 2008-09, he said, adding that a top for the S&amp;P 500 reached a few weeks ago could have been the start.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，过度看涨情绪、经济疲软、债务水平过高和政策工具有限是导致市场暴跌比2008-09年更严重的关键因素，并补充说，几周前达到的标普500顶部可能是开始。</blockquote></p><p> One chart he’s watching that&nbsp;predicts future long-term stock returns— a favorite of legendary investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire HathawayBRKBRK— shows equities 30% above the prior all-time high seen in the tech bubble peak of 2000.</p><p><blockquote>他正在观看的一张预测未来长期股票回报的图表（伯克希尔哈撒韦公司董事长兼首席执行官、传奇投资者沃伦·巴菲特的最爱）显示，股市比2000年科技泡沫高峰时的历史高点高出30%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e73964c10e0be9d02489e2764a98be5\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger is watching S&amp;P 500 moving averages closely. If the 250-day, currently at 4,020, were to “really break through” that could trip a major drop for stock. His below chart shows the S&amp;P 500 price (black line) with its 250-dma since 1980. The red circles indicate when it fell below the 250-dma and the 250-dma slope was falling.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔芬伯格正在密切关注标普500移动平均线。如果250日线（目前为4,020点）“真正突破”，可能会导致股价大幅下跌。他的下图显示了标普500价格（黑线）自1980年以来的250日均线。红色圆圈表示何时跌破250-dma并且250-dma斜率正在下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31fb05ef85111232a3410a405e05f72\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"316\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As for what investors should do — Wolfenbarger advised using exchange-traded funds that actually go up in bear markets, which could be the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD,&nbsp;though he prefers inverse ETFs such as ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDSand the ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH.</p><p><blockquote>至于投资者应该做什么——Wolfenbarger建议使用在熊市中实际上涨的交易所交易基金，这可能是iShares 20+年期国债ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD，尽管他更喜欢ProShares UltraShort S&amp;P 500SDS和ProShares Short S&amp;P 500SH。</blockquote></p><p> “I personally think it’s easier for most people to just buy an inverse ETF because it moves the same way as a normal stock and ETF, and the SH went up 89% in the last bear market,” he said, adding that SDS went up 184%.</p><p><blockquote>“我个人认为，对于大多数人来说，购买反向ETF更容易，因为它的走势与普通股票和ETF相同，而且SH在上一次熊市中上涨了89%，”他说，并补充说SDS上涨了184%。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfenbarger said he has honed his strategies after adhering for years to Buffett’s advice of just&nbsp;buying and holding an S&amp;P 500 index fund.</p><p><blockquote>Wolfenbarger表示，多年来一直坚持巴菲特的建议，即只购买并持有标普500指数基金，他已经磨练了自己的策略。</blockquote></p><p> “But then I started looking at history and you know it took 25 years for the market to get back to the 1929 peak, and I don’t have 25 years,” said Wolfenbarger, who is in his early 50s. “Any given investment can go down 50% to 90% and it can stay down for decades, at least 10 to 20 years.”</p><p><blockquote>“但后来我开始回顾历史，你知道市场花了25年时间才回到1929年的峰值，而我没有25年的时间，”50岁出头的沃尔芬伯格说。“任何给定的投资都可能下降50%到90%，并且可以持续数十年，至少10到20年。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-veteran-analyst-sees-stocks-headed-for-the-biggest-bear-market-since-the-great-depression-11633432477?siteid=yhoof2\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-this-veteran-analyst-sees-stocks-headed-for-the-biggest-bear-market-since-the-great-depression-11633432477?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1140243685","content_text":"There are some signs of a recovery attempt following Monday’s wipeout, chiefly for techs. The Nasdaq CompositeCOMPisteetering toward correction territory and the S&P 500SPXand Dow industrialsDJIAare halfway there. With jobs data looming for Friday, even the bravest dip buyers may have second thoughts.\nDon’t look for reassurance in our call of the day, where the founder and CEO ofBullAndBearProfits.com, Jon Wolfenbarger, predicts U.S. stocks may be “on the verge of starting the biggest bear market since the Great Depression.”\n“Now with the Fed talking about tapering and money supply growth slowing significantly from 39% y/y in February to only 8% y/y in August, perhaps that is enough of a ‘tight monetary policy’ to change investor psychology to a more bearish mood? We will see,” he said in a Monday interview and follow-up comments with MarketWatch.\nWolfenbarger, who spent 22 years as an equity analyst at Allianz Global Investors, said while he’s not a permabear — his newsletter offers strategies for profiting when markets go both ways — investors should heed some warnings signs.\nOverbullish sentiment, economic weakness, excessive debt levels and limited policy tools are key ingredients for a market rout worse than that seen in 2008-09, he said, adding that a top for the S&P 500 reached a few weeks ago could have been the start.\nOne chart he’s watching that predicts future long-term stock returns— a favorite of legendary investor Warren Buffett, the chairman and CEO of Berkshire HathawayBRKBRK— shows equities 30% above the prior all-time high seen in the tech bubble peak of 2000.\n\nWolfenbarger is watching S&P 500 moving averages closely. If the 250-day, currently at 4,020, were to “really break through” that could trip a major drop for stock. His below chart shows the S&P 500 price (black line) with its 250-dma since 1980. The red circles indicate when it fell below the 250-dma and the 250-dma slope was falling.\n\nAs for what investors should do — Wolfenbarger advised using exchange-traded funds that actually go up in bear markets, which could be the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTor SPDR Gold SharesGLD, though he prefers inverse ETFs such as ProShares UltraShort S&P 500SDSand the ProShares Short S&P 500SH.\n“I personally think it’s easier for most people to just buy an inverse ETF because it moves the same way as a normal stock and ETF, and the SH went up 89% in the last bear market,” he said, adding that SDS went up 184%.\nWolfenbarger said he has honed his strategies after adhering for years to Buffett’s advice of just buying and holding an S&P 500 index fund.\n“But then I started looking at history and you know it took 25 years for the market to get back to the 1929 peak, and I don’t have 25 years,” said Wolfenbarger, who is in his early 50s. “Any given investment can go down 50% to 90% and it can stay down for decades, at least 10 to 20 years.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":621,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863738033,"gmtCreate":1632434857022,"gmtModify":1632728187424,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863738033","repostId":"2169664162","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":522,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887605591,"gmtCreate":1632023371713,"gmtModify":1632803272798,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887605591","repostId":"1171558890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171558890","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631921912,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171558890?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-18 07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171558890","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billio","content":"<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏季可能已经结束，但IPO市场刚刚升温，未来一周将有14起IPO筹集53亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费品、支付技术等等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH)计划以96亿美元的市值筹集8.55亿美元。该公司的核心产品是其客户支持软件，它还提供IT服务管理软件和CRM解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出的增加而增加，但截至2011年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长和100%以上的净美元收入保留率。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿发展</b>(KDC)计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种产品，其产品由70多个国家的品牌合作伙伴销售。尽管诺尔顿将使用发行收益来偿还债务，但IPO后仍将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST)计划以179亿美元的市值筹集6.85亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在2021年上半年的ARR增长率超过100%，尽管它历来没有盈利，而且随着餐厅重新开业的推动力减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>全球汇款</b>(RELY)计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly为超过135个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球1,700多个走廊。该公司已实现增长和利润率提高，但仍未盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集4.5亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多家客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在IPO中购买价值1.5亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>索沃斯品牌</b>(SOVO)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International组建，提供一组精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s是意大利面和披萨酱类别中销量第一的SKU。Sovos盈利稳健增长，IPO后将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT)计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.49亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。尽管该公司在竞争激烈的市场中运营，但该公司为超过50%的财富100强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT)计划以14亿澳元筹集2.5亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过370,000名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>线上时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA)计划以23亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。a.k.a.从2018年收购Princess Polly开始，收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的数字化时尚品牌。该公司已经成功扩张了波利公主，并且在美国发展品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>提示健康</b>(HLTH)计划以24亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Cue首个用于其Cue健康监测系统的商用诊断测试是其COVID-19检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个EUA的授权。Cue还有另外五个测试套件处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将于2022年下半年开始寻求FDA授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市的加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK)计划以8.55亿美元的市值筹集1.38亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo拥有超过21,000台专用计算机（矿机），每秒可生成超过1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN)计划以8.92亿美元的市值筹集1.26亿美元。该公司的垂直整合品牌Thorne和Onegevity提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。Thorne盈利强劲增长，拥有超过300万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK)计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是加拿大附表一特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元资产、16亿美元贷款、15亿美元存款和2.02亿美元股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-18 07:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏季可能已经结束，但IPO市场刚刚升温，未来一周将有14起IPO筹集53亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费品、支付技术等等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH)计划以96亿美元的市值筹集8.55亿美元。该公司的核心产品是其客户支持软件，它还提供IT服务管理软件和CRM解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出的增加而增加，但截至2011年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长和100%以上的净美元收入保留率。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿发展</b>(KDC)计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种产品，其产品由70多个国家的品牌合作伙伴销售。尽管诺尔顿将使用发行收益来偿还债务，但IPO后仍将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST)计划以179亿美元的市值筹集6.85亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在2021年上半年的ARR增长率超过100%，尽管它历来没有盈利，而且随着餐厅重新开业的推动力减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>全球汇款</b>(RELY)计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly为超过135个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球1,700多个走廊。该公司已实现增长和利润率提高，但仍未盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集4.5亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多家客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在IPO中购买价值1.5亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>索沃斯品牌</b>(SOVO)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International组建，提供一组精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s是意大利面和披萨酱类别中销量第一的SKU。Sovos盈利稳健增长，IPO后将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT)计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.49亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。尽管该公司在竞争激烈的市场中运营，但该公司为超过50%的财富100强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT)计划以14亿澳元筹集2.5亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过370,000名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>线上时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA)计划以23亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。a.k.a.从2018年收购Princess Polly开始，收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的数字化时尚品牌。该公司已经成功扩张了波利公主，并且在美国发展品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>提示健康</b>(HLTH)计划以24亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Cue首个用于其Cue健康监测系统的商用诊断测试是其COVID-19检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个EUA的授权。Cue还有另外五个测试套件处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将于2022年下半年开始寻求FDA授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市的加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK)计划以8.55亿美元的市值筹集1.38亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo拥有超过21,000台专用计算机（矿机），每秒可生成超过1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN)计划以8.92亿美元的市值筹集1.26亿美元。该公司的垂直整合品牌Thorne和Onegevity提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。Thorne盈利强劲增长，拥有超过300万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK)计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是加拿大附表一特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元资产、16亿美元贷款、15亿美元存款和2.02亿美元股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FRSH":"Freshworks","TOST":"Toast, Inc.","AKA":"a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.","SOVO":"Sovos Brands, Inc.","RELY":"Remitly Global, Inc.","THRN":"Thorne Healthtech","STER":"Sterling Check Corp.","CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.","ARBK":"Argo Blockchain Plc","HLTH":"Cue Health Inc.","ESMT":"EngageSmart Inc.","BRLT":"Brilliant Earth Group, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171558890","content_text":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.\nThe largest deal of the week,Freshworks(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.\nCanadian consumer products company Knowlton Development(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.\nRestaurant payment processor Toast(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.\nGlobal money transfer firm Remitly Global(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.\nSoftware firm Clearwater Analytics(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.\nFood company Sovos Brands(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.\nCustomer engagement software provider EngageSmart(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.\nHiring solutions provider Sterling Check(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.\nJewelry retailer Brilliant Earth Group(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.\nOnline fashion platform a.k.a. Brands(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.\nCOVID-19 test maker Cue Health(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.\nLondon-listed crypto mining company Argo Blockchain(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.\nPersonalized supplements seller Thorne Healthtech(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.\nCanadian bank VersaBank(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RELY":0.9,"FRSH":0.9,"STER":0.9,"CWAN":0.9,"THRN":0.9,"ESMT":0.9,"ARBK":0.9,"BRLT":0.9,"TOST":0.9,"AKA":0.9,"KDC":0.9,"HLTH":0.9,"SOVO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":273,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883184457,"gmtCreate":1631227118879,"gmtModify":1631884076583,"author":{"id":"3572497229304708","authorId":"3572497229304708","name":"SandyP","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be0974be0fd5d7f7504d7e4c1c9b0aec","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572497229304708","authorIdStr":"3572497229304708"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like&nbsp;","listText":"Like&nbsp;","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883184457","repostId":"2166349803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}