+关注
Cyou2
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:未知
395
关注
8
粉丝
0
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
Cyou2
2021-12-16
Great year?
Cyou2
2021-07-24
Ok
Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>
Cyou2
2021-07-01
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-30
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-23
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-20
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-18
You know what is more satisfying than buying NiO? It’s to get your post featured by Tiger
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-18
Make my comment trend!!
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-18
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-15
Lol
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-13
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-12
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-11
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-11
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-10
Ok
Why One Bank Thinks ESG Could Trigger Hyperinflation<blockquote>为什么一家银行认为 ESG 可能引发恶性通货膨胀</blockquote>
Cyou2
2021-06-09
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-08
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-07
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
Cyou2
2021-06-05
Ok
FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index<blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小盘股指数中移除</blockquote>
Cyou2
2021-06-03
Ok
Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference Is Almost Here: What You Need To Know<blockquote>苹果全球开发者大会即将到来:你需要知道什么</blockquote>
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3571614044609884","uuid":"3571614044609884","gmtCreate":1608520137345,"gmtModify":1612276288724,"name":"Cyou2","pinyin":"cyou2","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":8,"headSize":395,"tweetSize":122,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":1,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2026.06.14","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.08.21","exceedPercentage":"80.86%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"80.89%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":690112590,"gmtCreate":1639646795017,"gmtModify":1639646795166,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great year? ","listText":"Great year? ","text":"Great year?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ff99b006e83789102cf576927f219fa","width":"1125","height":"3134"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690112590","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3071,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":174705991,"gmtCreate":1627135294213,"gmtModify":1631891665792,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":29,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174705991","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何,蔚来独特的卖点,以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一,通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品,吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而,这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点,该高点在 2021 年初触及,之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,这两者是相似的,但在其他方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y,而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是增压器网络,特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电,功率高达 250kW,具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程只需几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势,但应该注意的是,与蔚来的换电站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比,蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车,高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长,尽管略低于 100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这将是完全有意义的,但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此,特斯拉的增长预计将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元,年增长率为 54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家公司来说,保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元,比 2023 年预期再增长 80%,比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%,比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此,在 2021 年至 2025 年间,蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍,而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值(OTCPK:VWAGY)。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较,我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍,而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说,蔚来目前似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今,蔚来比特斯拉小得多,因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票价格被低估,这也是可能性之一,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时,确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车,到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%,那么到 2030 年(即 9 年后),它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长,每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过,例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言,看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶,因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌,处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这个水平,也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会更高,例如,如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元,就像特斯拉一样,但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况,到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反,投资者应该问问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险,值得一提的是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位,我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍,与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵,尽管当然,这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何,蔚来独特的卖点,以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一,通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品,吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而,这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点,该高点在 2021 年初触及,之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,这两者是相似的,但在其他方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y,而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是增压器网络,特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电,功率高达 250kW,具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程只需几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势,但应该注意的是,与蔚来的换电站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比,蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车,高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长,尽管略低于 100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这将是完全有意义的,但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此,特斯拉的增长预计将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元,年增长率为 54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家公司来说,保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元,比 2023 年预期再增长 80%,比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%,比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此,在 2021 年至 2025 年间,蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍,而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值(OTCPK:VWAGY)。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较,我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍,而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说,蔚来目前似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今,蔚来比特斯拉小得多,因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票价格被低估,这也是可能性之一,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时,确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车,到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%,那么到 2030 年(即 9 年后),它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长,每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过,例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言,看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶,因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌,处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这个水平,也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会更高,例如,如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元,就像特斯拉一样,但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况,到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反,投资者应该问问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险,值得一提的是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位,我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍,与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵,尽管当然,这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158343410,"gmtCreate":1625131905530,"gmtModify":1631891665803,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158343410","repostId":"1147837933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153740869,"gmtCreate":1625053619251,"gmtModify":1631891665816,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153740869","repostId":"1176914673","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123526431,"gmtCreate":1624430472323,"gmtModify":1631891665828,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123526431","repostId":"2145066431","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164069260,"gmtCreate":1624161767250,"gmtModify":1631891665838,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164069260","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2914,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166536282,"gmtCreate":1624016667246,"gmtModify":1631891665850,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"You know what is more satisfying than buying NiO? It’s to get your post featured by Tiger","listText":"You know what is more satisfying than buying NiO? It’s to get your post featured by Tiger","text":"You know what is more satisfying than buying NiO? It’s to get your post featured by Tiger","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166536282","repostId":"2144773750","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3138,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166538485,"gmtCreate":1624016629647,"gmtModify":1631891665864,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Make my comment trend!! ","listText":"Make my comment trend!! ","text":"Make my comment trend!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166538485","repostId":"1133025835","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2081,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166852723,"gmtCreate":1624003710262,"gmtModify":1631891665876,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166852723","repostId":"1176081814","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187191640,"gmtCreate":1623745339280,"gmtModify":1631891665889,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol ","listText":"Lol ","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187191640","repostId":"1180935322","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182178408,"gmtCreate":1623560089904,"gmtModify":1631891665912,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182178408","repostId":"2143788705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186853035,"gmtCreate":1623486504127,"gmtModify":1634032456626,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186853035","repostId":"1133871419","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1032,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181366290,"gmtCreate":1623374661610,"gmtModify":1634034047370,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181366290","repostId":"2142220946","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":859,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181368835,"gmtCreate":1623374621327,"gmtModify":1634034047729,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181368835","repostId":"2142273487","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183372555,"gmtCreate":1623312124877,"gmtModify":1634034697067,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183372555","repostId":"1145405384","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145405384","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623311195,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1145405384?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-10 15:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why One Bank Thinks ESG Could Trigger Hyperinflation<blockquote>为什么一家银行认为 ESG 可能引发恶性通货膨胀</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145405384","media":"zerohedge","summary":"In a recent blog post from DB's Francis Yared, the credit strategist looks at one of the lesser disc","content":"<p>In a recent blog post from DB's Francis Yared, the credit strategist looks at one of the lesser discussed drivers of inflation and points out that supply shocks to oil prices have historically been relevant for inflation expectations.</p><p><blockquote>在 DB 的 Francis Yared 最近的一篇博客文章中,这位信贷策略师着眼于较少讨论的通胀驱动因素之一,并指出油价的供应冲击历来与通胀预期相关。</blockquote></p><p> As Yared writes, \"supply shock to oil prices have had a significant impact on inflation expectations on three occasions over the past half century: in the mid 70s, the mid 80s and the mid 10s.\" However, unlike the infamous price explosions of the 70s and 80s, in the latest episode the \"shale oil revolution\" resulted in a significant<i>positive</i>supply shock to oil markets which led OPEC in 2014 to defend its market share rather than oil prices. The downward pressure on oil prices, Yared writes,<b>resulted in a shift to a lower inflation regime, which was reflected in both consumer and market inflation expectations (University of Michigan 5-10y and 5y5y breakevens) as well as monetary policy expectations and the term premium.</b></p><p><blockquote>正如亚里德所写,“过去半个世纪以来,油价的供应冲击曾三次对通胀预期产生重大影响:70 年代中期、80 年代中期和 10 年代中期。”然而,与 70 年代和 80 年代臭名昭著的价格爆炸不同,在最新一集中,“页岩油革命”导致了重大<i>积极的</i>石油市场的供应冲击导致石油输出国组织在2014年捍卫其市场份额而不是油价。亚里德写道,油价面临下行压力,<b>导致向较低的通胀制度转变,这反映在消费者和市场通胀预期(密歇根大学 5-10 年和 5-5 年盈亏平衡)以及货币政策预期和期限溢价中。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a506eed4b33e73391548c06fb0c26164\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"195\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Well not anymore,<b>because ESG is unwinding the shale oil revolution.</b>As recent events at Exxon and Shell have shown, the pressure on oil companies to reduce oil and gas exploration and adapt their business models has increased significantly over the past few months. This is reflected in crude rig counts that have lagged the recovery in oil prices and stand at 1/3rd of the 2014 peak.</p><p><blockquote>不再是了,<b>因为ESG正在解开页岩油革命。</b>正如埃克森美孚和壳牌最近发生的事件所表明的那样,过去几个月,石油公司减少石油和天然气勘探并调整商业模式的压力显着增加。这反映在原油钻井平台数量上,原油钻井平台数量滞后于油价复苏,仅为2014年峰值的1/3。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9ca397d4dc8887948badc33be1b0354\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"195\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Similarly, carbon emission future prices in Europe have risen considerably: as theWSJ reported recently, the price of carbon credits traded in Europe has jumped 135% over the past 12 months and recently hit a series of records as economic activity rebounded from pandemic lockdowns. Only lumber, driven higher by the housing boom, has proved a better commodities investment.</p><p><blockquote>同样,欧洲的碳排放期货价格也大幅上涨:正如《华尔街日报》最近报道的那样,欧洲交易的碳信用额价格在过去12个月中上涨了135%,并且随着经济活动从疫情封锁中反弹,最近创下了一系列纪录。只有受房地产繁荣推动走高的木材被证明是更好的大宗商品投资。</blockquote></p><p> As Yared summarizes, \"<b>ESG is a negative supply shock that internalizes the climate cost of the production of goods and services.\"</b>This negative supply shock will be inflationary until technological progress absorbs these costs. That could take years. Moreover in Europe, it could garner enough of political support to justify a more aggressive fiscal policy despite the constraints at the German or EU levels.</p><p><blockquote>正如Yared总结的那样,“<b>ESG 是一种负面的供应冲击,它将商品和服务生产的气候成本内部化。”</b>这种负面供应冲击将导致通货膨胀,直到技术进步吸收这些成本。这可能需要数年时间。此外,在欧洲,它可能会获得足够的政治支持,从而证明采取更激进的财政政策是合理的,尽管德国或欧盟层面存在限制。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, the global economy has still to contend with the disinflationary impact of ecommerce. However, as DB concludes, \"<i><b>ESG, the Fed's Average Inflation Targeting regime and a significantly more pro-active fiscal policy (at least until the US mid-term elections) constitute a new powerful combination that should be supportive of a higher inflation environment than experienced over the last 10 years</b></i><i>.</i>\"</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,全球经济仍需应对电子商务的通货紧缩影响。然而,正如DB总结的那样,“<i><b>ESG、美联储的平均通胀目标制度和更加积极的财政政策(至少在美国中期选举之前)构成了一个新的强大组合,应该会支持比过去10年经历的更高的通胀环境</b></i><i>.</i>\"</blockquote></p><p> Commenting on his colleague's observations, DB credit strategist Jim Reid agrees, and writes that \"maybe in the fullness of time this surge in mining between 2010-2015 will be the exception rather than the norm and that, in a rapidly changing and ever more ESG sensitive world, it will be harder to get oil out of the ground.<b>Pricing climate-change externalities more generally could make things more expensive over time. Are we on the verge of another change in inflation expectations due to oil and energy, one that is in large part due to ESG</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>DB 信贷策略师吉姆·里德 (Jim Reid) 在评论同事的观察时表示同意,并写道:“也许在 2010 年至 2015 年期间,采矿业的激增将是例外,而不是常态,而且在一个快速变化且对 ESG 越来越敏感的世界中,从地下开采石油将变得更加困难。<b>随着时间的推移,更普遍地为气候变化外部性定价可能会使事情变得更加昂贵。由于石油和能源,我们是否正处于通胀预期再次发生变化的边缘,这种变化在很大程度上是由于 ESG</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p> So in case there was still any confusion why the establishment has adopted ESG as gospel - and as a reminder, ESG is nothing new, and many years ago used to be called Corporate Social Responsibility, or CSR and even Nobel economist Milton Friedman warned against its subversive nature 50 years ago when he said that taking on externally dictated “social responsibilities” beyond those directly related to a company’s business opened the floodgates to endless pressure and interferenc - at a time when the same establishment is also desperate to inflate away thenearly $300 trillion in global debt, now you know: ESG looks like the catalyst that will unleash runaway inflation. And if central banks fail to contain it in time, the entire developed world may soon descend into hyperinflation.</p><p><blockquote>因此,如果还有人对当权派为何将 ESG 奉为福音还有任何疑问--提醒一下,ESG 并不是什么新鲜事,很多年前它曾被称为企业社会责任(CSR),甚至诺贝尔经济学家米尔顿-弗里德曼(Milton Friedman)在 50 年前就警告过 ESG 的颠覆性,当时他说,承担与公司业务直接相关的外部规定的 “社会责任 ”会打开无休止的压力和干扰的闸门--而此时,同一个当权派也不顾一切地将近 300 万亿美元的全球债务膨胀出去,现在你知道了: ESG 看起来就像是引发失控通货膨胀的催化剂。如果各国央行不能及时遏制它,整个发达国家可能很快就会陷入恶性通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> Which in turn should also answer the other pressing question: why are central banks so desperate to issue their own digital, programmable currencies? Well, the ability to turn money on and off with the literal flip of a switch will come in extremely useful in a world where authorities have lost control over all other monetary pathways...</p><p><blockquote>这反过来也应该回答另一个紧迫的问题:为什么央行如此急于发行自己的数字可编程货币?嗯,在一个当局已经失去对所有其他货币渠道的控制的世界里,只需轻轻一按开关就能打开和关闭货币的能力将非常有用……</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why One Bank Thinks ESG Could Trigger Hyperinflation<blockquote>为什么一家银行认为 ESG 可能引发恶性通货膨胀</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy One Bank Thinks ESG Could Trigger Hyperinflation<blockquote>为什么一家银行认为 ESG 可能引发恶性通货膨胀</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-10 15:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>In a recent blog post from DB's Francis Yared, the credit strategist looks at one of the lesser discussed drivers of inflation and points out that supply shocks to oil prices have historically been relevant for inflation expectations.</p><p><blockquote>在 DB 的 Francis Yared 最近的一篇博客文章中,这位信贷策略师着眼于较少讨论的通胀驱动因素之一,并指出油价的供应冲击历来与通胀预期相关。</blockquote></p><p> As Yared writes, \"supply shock to oil prices have had a significant impact on inflation expectations on three occasions over the past half century: in the mid 70s, the mid 80s and the mid 10s.\" However, unlike the infamous price explosions of the 70s and 80s, in the latest episode the \"shale oil revolution\" resulted in a significant<i>positive</i>supply shock to oil markets which led OPEC in 2014 to defend its market share rather than oil prices. The downward pressure on oil prices, Yared writes,<b>resulted in a shift to a lower inflation regime, which was reflected in both consumer and market inflation expectations (University of Michigan 5-10y and 5y5y breakevens) as well as monetary policy expectations and the term premium.</b></p><p><blockquote>正如亚里德所写,“过去半个世纪以来,油价的供应冲击曾三次对通胀预期产生重大影响:70 年代中期、80 年代中期和 10 年代中期。”然而,与 70 年代和 80 年代臭名昭著的价格爆炸不同,在最新一集中,“页岩油革命”导致了重大<i>积极的</i>石油市场的供应冲击导致石油输出国组织在2014年捍卫其市场份额而不是油价。亚里德写道,油价面临下行压力,<b>导致向较低的通胀制度转变,这反映在消费者和市场通胀预期(密歇根大学 5-10 年和 5-5 年盈亏平衡)以及货币政策预期和期限溢价中。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a506eed4b33e73391548c06fb0c26164\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"195\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Well not anymore,<b>because ESG is unwinding the shale oil revolution.</b>As recent events at Exxon and Shell have shown, the pressure on oil companies to reduce oil and gas exploration and adapt their business models has increased significantly over the past few months. This is reflected in crude rig counts that have lagged the recovery in oil prices and stand at 1/3rd of the 2014 peak.</p><p><blockquote>不再是了,<b>因为ESG正在解开页岩油革命。</b>正如埃克森美孚和壳牌最近发生的事件所表明的那样,过去几个月,石油公司减少石油和天然气勘探并调整商业模式的压力显着增加。这反映在原油钻井平台数量上,原油钻井平台数量滞后于油价复苏,仅为2014年峰值的1/3。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9ca397d4dc8887948badc33be1b0354\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"195\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Similarly, carbon emission future prices in Europe have risen considerably: as theWSJ reported recently, the price of carbon credits traded in Europe has jumped 135% over the past 12 months and recently hit a series of records as economic activity rebounded from pandemic lockdowns. Only lumber, driven higher by the housing boom, has proved a better commodities investment.</p><p><blockquote>同样,欧洲的碳排放期货价格也大幅上涨:正如《华尔街日报》最近报道的那样,欧洲交易的碳信用额价格在过去12个月中上涨了135%,并且随着经济活动从疫情封锁中反弹,最近创下了一系列纪录。只有受房地产繁荣推动走高的木材被证明是更好的大宗商品投资。</blockquote></p><p> As Yared summarizes, \"<b>ESG is a negative supply shock that internalizes the climate cost of the production of goods and services.\"</b>This negative supply shock will be inflationary until technological progress absorbs these costs. That could take years. Moreover in Europe, it could garner enough of political support to justify a more aggressive fiscal policy despite the constraints at the German or EU levels.</p><p><blockquote>正如Yared总结的那样,“<b>ESG 是一种负面的供应冲击,它将商品和服务生产的气候成本内部化。”</b>这种负面供应冲击将导致通货膨胀,直到技术进步吸收这些成本。这可能需要数年时间。此外,在欧洲,它可能会获得足够的政治支持,从而证明采取更激进的财政政策是合理的,尽管德国或欧盟层面存在限制。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, the global economy has still to contend with the disinflationary impact of ecommerce. However, as DB concludes, \"<i><b>ESG, the Fed's Average Inflation Targeting regime and a significantly more pro-active fiscal policy (at least until the US mid-term elections) constitute a new powerful combination that should be supportive of a higher inflation environment than experienced over the last 10 years</b></i><i>.</i>\"</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是,全球经济仍需应对电子商务的通货紧缩影响。然而,正如DB总结的那样,“<i><b>ESG、美联储的平均通胀目标制度和更加积极的财政政策(至少在美国中期选举之前)构成了一个新的强大组合,应该会支持比过去10年经历的更高的通胀环境</b></i><i>.</i>\"</blockquote></p><p> Commenting on his colleague's observations, DB credit strategist Jim Reid agrees, and writes that \"maybe in the fullness of time this surge in mining between 2010-2015 will be the exception rather than the norm and that, in a rapidly changing and ever more ESG sensitive world, it will be harder to get oil out of the ground.<b>Pricing climate-change externalities more generally could make things more expensive over time. Are we on the verge of another change in inflation expectations due to oil and energy, one that is in large part due to ESG</b>.\"</p><p><blockquote>DB 信贷策略师吉姆·里德 (Jim Reid) 在评论同事的观察时表示同意,并写道:“也许在 2010 年至 2015 年期间,采矿业的激增将是例外,而不是常态,而且在一个快速变化且对 ESG 越来越敏感的世界中,从地下开采石油将变得更加困难。<b>随着时间的推移,更普遍地为气候变化外部性定价可能会使事情变得更加昂贵。由于石油和能源,我们是否正处于通胀预期再次发生变化的边缘,这种变化在很大程度上是由于 ESG</b>.\"</blockquote></p><p> So in case there was still any confusion why the establishment has adopted ESG as gospel - and as a reminder, ESG is nothing new, and many years ago used to be called Corporate Social Responsibility, or CSR and even Nobel economist Milton Friedman warned against its subversive nature 50 years ago when he said that taking on externally dictated “social responsibilities” beyond those directly related to a company’s business opened the floodgates to endless pressure and interferenc - at a time when the same establishment is also desperate to inflate away thenearly $300 trillion in global debt, now you know: ESG looks like the catalyst that will unleash runaway inflation. And if central banks fail to contain it in time, the entire developed world may soon descend into hyperinflation.</p><p><blockquote>因此,如果还有人对当权派为何将 ESG 奉为福音还有任何疑问--提醒一下,ESG 并不是什么新鲜事,很多年前它曾被称为企业社会责任(CSR),甚至诺贝尔经济学家米尔顿-弗里德曼(Milton Friedman)在 50 年前就警告过 ESG 的颠覆性,当时他说,承担与公司业务直接相关的外部规定的 “社会责任 ”会打开无休止的压力和干扰的闸门--而此时,同一个当权派也不顾一切地将近 300 万亿美元的全球债务膨胀出去,现在你知道了: ESG 看起来就像是引发失控通货膨胀的催化剂。如果各国央行不能及时遏制它,整个发达国家可能很快就会陷入恶性通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p> Which in turn should also answer the other pressing question: why are central banks so desperate to issue their own digital, programmable currencies? Well, the ability to turn money on and off with the literal flip of a switch will come in extremely useful in a world where authorities have lost control over all other monetary pathways...</p><p><blockquote>这反过来也应该回答另一个紧迫的问题:为什么央行如此急于发行自己的数字可编程货币?嗯,在一个当局已经失去对所有其他货币渠道的控制的世界里,只需轻轻一按开关就能打开和关闭货币的能力将非常有用……</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/why-one-bank-thinks-esg-could-trigger-hyperinflation\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/why-one-bank-thinks-esg-could-trigger-hyperinflation","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145405384","content_text":"In a recent blog post from DB's Francis Yared, the credit strategist looks at one of the lesser discussed drivers of inflation and points out that supply shocks to oil prices have historically been relevant for inflation expectations.\nAs Yared writes, \"supply shock to oil prices have had a significant impact on inflation expectations on three occasions over the past half century: in the mid 70s, the mid 80s and the mid 10s.\" However, unlike the infamous price explosions of the 70s and 80s, in the latest episode the \"shale oil revolution\" resulted in a significantpositivesupply shock to oil markets which led OPEC in 2014 to defend its market share rather than oil prices. The downward pressure on oil prices, Yared writes,resulted in a shift to a lower inflation regime, which was reflected in both consumer and market inflation expectations (University of Michigan 5-10y and 5y5y breakevens) as well as monetary policy expectations and the term premium.\n\nWell not anymore,because ESG is unwinding the shale oil revolution.As recent events at Exxon and Shell have shown, the pressure on oil companies to reduce oil and gas exploration and adapt their business models has increased significantly over the past few months. This is reflected in crude rig counts that have lagged the recovery in oil prices and stand at 1/3rd of the 2014 peak.\n\nSimilarly, carbon emission future prices in Europe have risen considerably: as theWSJ reported recently, the price of carbon credits traded in Europe has jumped 135% over the past 12 months and recently hit a series of records as economic activity rebounded from pandemic lockdowns. Only lumber, driven higher by the housing boom, has proved a better commodities investment.\nAs Yared summarizes, \"ESG is a negative supply shock that internalizes the climate cost of the production of goods and services.\"This negative supply shock will be inflationary until technological progress absorbs these costs. That could take years. Moreover in Europe, it could garner enough of political support to justify a more aggressive fiscal policy despite the constraints at the German or EU levels.\nTo be sure, the global economy has still to contend with the disinflationary impact of ecommerce. However, as DB concludes, \"ESG, the Fed's Average Inflation Targeting regime and a significantly more pro-active fiscal policy (at least until the US mid-term elections) constitute a new powerful combination that should be supportive of a higher inflation environment than experienced over the last 10 years.\"\nCommenting on his colleague's observations, DB credit strategist Jim Reid agrees, and writes that \"maybe in the fullness of time this surge in mining between 2010-2015 will be the exception rather than the norm and that, in a rapidly changing and ever more ESG sensitive world, it will be harder to get oil out of the ground.Pricing climate-change externalities more generally could make things more expensive over time. Are we on the verge of another change in inflation expectations due to oil and energy, one that is in large part due to ESG.\"\nSo in case there was still any confusion why the establishment has adopted ESG as gospel - and as a reminder, ESG is nothing new, and many years ago used to be called Corporate Social Responsibility, or CSR and even Nobel economist Milton Friedman warned against its subversive nature 50 years ago when he said that taking on externally dictated “social responsibilities” beyond those directly related to a company’s business opened the floodgates to endless pressure and interferenc - at a time when the same establishment is also desperate to inflate away thenearly $300 trillion in global debt, now you know: ESG looks like the catalyst that will unleash runaway inflation. And if central banks fail to contain it in time, the entire developed world may soon descend into hyperinflation.\nWhich in turn should also answer the other pressing question: why are central banks so desperate to issue their own digital, programmable currencies? Well, the ability to turn money on and off with the literal flip of a switch will come in extremely useful in a world where authorities have lost control over all other monetary pathways...","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":894,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189003302,"gmtCreate":1623230179206,"gmtModify":1634035577196,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189003302","repostId":"2142290449","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1080,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117626766,"gmtCreate":1623139557355,"gmtModify":1634036538880,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117626766","repostId":"1155272608","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114253711,"gmtCreate":1623076604733,"gmtModify":1634037202757,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok ","listText":"Ok ","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114253711","repostId":"1184606456","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1189,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112557214,"gmtCreate":1622891879038,"gmtModify":1634097033122,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112557214","repostId":"1160563289","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160563289","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622864224,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1160563289?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 11:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index<blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小盘股指数中移除</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160563289","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in ","content":"<p>FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in the Russell U.S. index.</p><p><blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小盘股指数中移除,特斯拉和摩根大通跻身罗素美国指数前 10 名。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index<blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小盘股指数中移除</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index<blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小盘股指数中移除</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-05 11:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in the Russell U.S. index.</p><p><blockquote>富时罗素将游戏驿站从小盘股指数中移除,特斯拉和摩根大通跻身罗素美国指数前 10 名。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","JPM":"摩根大通","IWM":"罗素2000指数ETF","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160563289","content_text":"FTSE Russell removed GameStop from the small-cap index, with Tesla and JPMorgan among the top 10 in the Russell U.S. index.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"JPM":0.9,"GME":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"IWM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":986,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118632231,"gmtCreate":1622729864623,"gmtModify":1634098638572,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118632231","repostId":"1101826394","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101826394","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1622725391,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1101826394?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 21:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference Is Almost Here: What You Need To Know<blockquote>苹果全球开发者大会即将到来:你需要知道什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101826394","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"Apple Inc.'s annual Worldwide Developers Conference, scheduled June 7 through June 11, is a virtual ","content":"<p><b>Apple Inc.'s</b> annual Worldwide Developers Conference, scheduled June 7 through June 11, is a virtual event for the second year in a row.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司</b>定于6月7日至6月11日举行的年度全球开发者大会是连续第二年举办的虚拟活动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scheduled Events & Programs:</b>The event kicks off with a keynote address, June 7 at 10 a.m. PDT. The Platforms State of the Union is slated for 2 p.m. PDT, at which the company is likely to give insights into new developer tools, technologies and advances across software platforms.</p><p><blockquote><b>预定的活动和计划:</b>活动将于太平洋夏令时间6月7日上午10点以主题演讲拉开帷幕。平台国情咨文定于下午2点发表。PDT,该公司可能会深入了解新的开发工具、技术和跨软件平台的进步。</blockquote></p><p> More than 200 in-depth sessions will be held providing the know-how and expertise to create innovative apps. The company said videos and transcripts of these will be posted each day.</p><p><blockquote>将举行200多场深入会议,提供创建创新应用程序的知识和专业知识。该公司表示,这些视频和文字记录将每天发布。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Developer app, the company said, will let users watch videos at multiple playback speeds and easily copy code directly from the video.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,苹果开发者应用程序将允许用户以多种播放速度观看视频,并轻松地直接从视频中复制代码。</blockquote></p><p> The forum will allow more than 1,000 Apple engineers to connect on the Apple Developer Forums. The company will also let any viewer with an Apple ID pose questions and share their thoughts.</p><p><blockquote>该论坛将允许1000多名苹果工程师在苹果开发者论坛上进行交流。该公司还将允许任何拥有苹果ID的观众提出问题并分享他们的想法。</blockquote></p><p> Apple will run coding and design challenges throughout the week providing a fun and interactive way of getting acquainted with the latest technologies and frameworks.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将在整个星期运行编码和设计挑战,提供一种有趣和互动的方式来了解最新的技术和框架。</blockquote></p><p> Apple engineers and designers will host text-based Q&A on developer tools, SwiftUI, accessibility and machine learning. The company will also honor the developers who won this year's Apple Design Awards.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的工程师和设计师将主持关于开发者工具、SwiftUI、可访问性和机器学习的基于文本的问答。该公司还将表彰获得今年苹果设计奖的开发商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Potential Launches:</b>On the products' front, Apple is expected to announce the newest iteration of its operating system: the iOS15, iPad OS 15, macOS12, watchOS8 and tvOS 15.</p><p><blockquote><b>潜在发射:</b>在产品方面,苹果预计将宣布其操作系统的最新版本:iOS15、iPad OS 15、macOS12、watchOS8和tvOS 15。</blockquote></p><p> Although the WWDC is a software-focused event, Apple could choose to unveil a new MacBook Pro, according to Apple leaker Jon Prosser</p><p><blockquote>据苹果泄密者 Jon Prosser 称,尽管 WWDC 是一个以软件为中心的活动,但苹果可能会选择推出新款 MacBook Pro</blockquote></p><p> i can confirm macbook pro is — Jon Prosser (@jon_prosser)May 24, 2021 Prosser did not give any specifics.</p><p><blockquote>我可以确认 macbook pro 是 — Jon Prosser (@jon_prosser)2021 年 5 月 24 日 Prosser 没有提供任何细节。</blockquote></p><p> The new notebook model from Apple will have the most radical redesign, MacRumors reported. A Bloomberg report said the new models will have 10-core Apple silicon chips, with eight high-performance cores and two energy-efficient cores, along with 16- or 32-core GPU options.</p><p><blockquote>据MacRumors报道,苹果的新笔记本电脑型号将进行最彻底的重新设计。彭博社的一份报告称,新机型将配备 10 核苹果硅芯片,其中 8 个高性能内核和 2 个节能内核,以及 16 核或 32 核 GPU 选项。</blockquote></p><p> According to a CNET report, there is a rumor of the AirPods 3 possibly making an appearance at the event. This third generation of AirPods will likely have some of the features of its expensive cousin — the AirPod Pro — and may have a shorter stem, interchangeable tips and a smaller charging case than the AirPod Pro, according to reports. It is unlikely to have active noise cancellation.</p><p><blockquote>据CNET报道,有传言称AirPods 3可能会在活动中亮相。据报道,第三代 AirPods 可能会具有其昂贵的表亲 AirPod Pro 的一些功能,并且可能比 AirPod Pro 具有更短的茎、可互换的尖端和更小的充电盒。不太可能有主动噪声消除。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives said in a late December note that Apple investors may wish to see the long-rumored Apple AR glasses unveiled at the WWDC.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 分析师 Daniel Ives 在 12 月底的一份报告中表示,苹果投资者可能希望看到传闻已久的苹果 AR 眼镜在 WWDC 上亮相。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to Participate In The Event:</b>Those who want to be part of the event need to download the Apple Developer app, which is available for free on iPhone, iPad, Mac and Apple TV.</p><p><blockquote><b>如何参与活动:</b>那些想参加活动的人需要下载苹果开发者应用程序,该应用程序可在iPhone、iPad、Mac和苹果电视上免费使用。</blockquote></p><p> The WWDC Apple Keynote will also be available on the app, with an on-demand playback.</p><p><blockquote>WWDC苹果主题演讲也将在应用程序上提供,并提供点播播放。</blockquote></p><p> <b>APPL Price Action:</b>At last check, Apple shares were up 0.57% at $124.99.</p><p><blockquote><b>应用程序价格行为:</b>上次检查时,苹果股价上涨 0.57%,至 124.99 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference Is Almost Here: What You Need To Know<blockquote>苹果全球开发者大会即将到来:你需要知道什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple's Worldwide Developers Conference Is Almost Here: What You Need To Know<blockquote>苹果全球开发者大会即将到来:你需要知道什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-03 21:03</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Apple Inc.'s</b> annual Worldwide Developers Conference, scheduled June 7 through June 11, is a virtual event for the second year in a row.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果公司</b>定于6月7日至6月11日举行的年度全球开发者大会是连续第二年举办的虚拟活动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Scheduled Events & Programs:</b>The event kicks off with a keynote address, June 7 at 10 a.m. PDT. The Platforms State of the Union is slated for 2 p.m. PDT, at which the company is likely to give insights into new developer tools, technologies and advances across software platforms.</p><p><blockquote><b>预定的活动和计划:</b>活动将于太平洋夏令时间6月7日上午10点以主题演讲拉开帷幕。平台国情咨文定于下午2点发表。PDT,该公司可能会深入了解新的开发工具、技术和跨软件平台的进步。</blockquote></p><p> More than 200 in-depth sessions will be held providing the know-how and expertise to create innovative apps. The company said videos and transcripts of these will be posted each day.</p><p><blockquote>将举行200多场深入会议,提供创建创新应用程序的知识和专业知识。该公司表示,这些视频和文字记录将每天发布。</blockquote></p><p> The Apple Developer app, the company said, will let users watch videos at multiple playback speeds and easily copy code directly from the video.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示,苹果开发者应用程序将允许用户以多种播放速度观看视频,并轻松地直接从视频中复制代码。</blockquote></p><p> The forum will allow more than 1,000 Apple engineers to connect on the Apple Developer Forums. The company will also let any viewer with an Apple ID pose questions and share their thoughts.</p><p><blockquote>该论坛将允许1000多名苹果工程师在苹果开发者论坛上进行交流。该公司还将允许任何拥有苹果ID的观众提出问题并分享他们的想法。</blockquote></p><p> Apple will run coding and design challenges throughout the week providing a fun and interactive way of getting acquainted with the latest technologies and frameworks.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将在整个星期运行编码和设计挑战,提供一种有趣和互动的方式来了解最新的技术和框架。</blockquote></p><p> Apple engineers and designers will host text-based Q&A on developer tools, SwiftUI, accessibility and machine learning. The company will also honor the developers who won this year's Apple Design Awards.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的工程师和设计师将主持关于开发者工具、SwiftUI、可访问性和机器学习的基于文本的问答。该公司还将表彰获得今年苹果设计奖的开发商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Potential Launches:</b>On the products' front, Apple is expected to announce the newest iteration of its operating system: the iOS15, iPad OS 15, macOS12, watchOS8 and tvOS 15.</p><p><blockquote><b>潜在发射:</b>在产品方面,苹果预计将宣布其操作系统的最新版本:iOS15、iPad OS 15、macOS12、watchOS8和tvOS 15。</blockquote></p><p> Although the WWDC is a software-focused event, Apple could choose to unveil a new MacBook Pro, according to Apple leaker Jon Prosser</p><p><blockquote>据苹果泄密者 Jon Prosser 称,尽管 WWDC 是一个以软件为中心的活动,但苹果可能会选择推出新款 MacBook Pro</blockquote></p><p> i can confirm macbook pro is — Jon Prosser (@jon_prosser)May 24, 2021 Prosser did not give any specifics.</p><p><blockquote>我可以确认 macbook pro 是 — Jon Prosser (@jon_prosser)2021 年 5 月 24 日 Prosser 没有提供任何细节。</blockquote></p><p> The new notebook model from Apple will have the most radical redesign, MacRumors reported. A Bloomberg report said the new models will have 10-core Apple silicon chips, with eight high-performance cores and two energy-efficient cores, along with 16- or 32-core GPU options.</p><p><blockquote>据MacRumors报道,苹果的新笔记本电脑型号将进行最彻底的重新设计。彭博社的一份报告称,新机型将配备 10 核苹果硅芯片,其中 8 个高性能内核和 2 个节能内核,以及 16 核或 32 核 GPU 选项。</blockquote></p><p> According to a CNET report, there is a rumor of the AirPods 3 possibly making an appearance at the event. This third generation of AirPods will likely have some of the features of its expensive cousin — the AirPod Pro — and may have a shorter stem, interchangeable tips and a smaller charging case than the AirPod Pro, according to reports. It is unlikely to have active noise cancellation.</p><p><blockquote>据CNET报道,有传言称AirPods 3可能会在活动中亮相。据报道,第三代 AirPods 可能会具有其昂贵的表亲 AirPod Pro 的一些功能,并且可能比 AirPod Pro 具有更短的茎、可互换的尖端和更小的充电盒。不太可能有主动噪声消除。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives said in a late December note that Apple investors may wish to see the long-rumored Apple AR glasses unveiled at the WWDC.</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush 分析师 Daniel Ives 在 12 月底的一份报告中表示,苹果投资者可能希望看到传闻已久的苹果 AR 眼镜在 WWDC 上亮相。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How to Participate In The Event:</b>Those who want to be part of the event need to download the Apple Developer app, which is available for free on iPhone, iPad, Mac and Apple TV.</p><p><blockquote><b>如何参与活动:</b>那些想参加活动的人需要下载苹果开发者应用程序,该应用程序可在iPhone、iPad、Mac和苹果电视上免费使用。</blockquote></p><p> The WWDC Apple Keynote will also be available on the app, with an on-demand playback.</p><p><blockquote>WWDC苹果主题演讲也将在应用程序上提供,并提供点播播放。</blockquote></p><p> <b>APPL Price Action:</b>At last check, Apple shares were up 0.57% at $124.99.</p><p><blockquote><b>应用程序价格行为:</b>上次检查时,苹果股价上涨 0.57%,至 124.99 美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101826394","content_text":"Apple Inc.'s annual Worldwide Developers Conference, scheduled June 7 through June 11, is a virtual event for the second year in a row.\nScheduled Events & Programs:The event kicks off with a keynote address, June 7 at 10 a.m. PDT. The Platforms State of the Union is slated for 2 p.m. PDT, at which the company is likely to give insights into new developer tools, technologies and advances across software platforms.\nMore than 200 in-depth sessions will be held providing the know-how and expertise to create innovative apps. The company said videos and transcripts of these will be posted each day.\nThe Apple Developer app, the company said, will let users watch videos at multiple playback speeds and easily copy code directly from the video.\nThe forum will allow more than 1,000 Apple engineers to connect on the Apple Developer Forums. The company will also let any viewer with an Apple ID pose questions and share their thoughts.\nApple will run coding and design challenges throughout the week providing a fun and interactive way of getting acquainted with the latest technologies and frameworks.\nApple engineers and designers will host text-based Q&A on developer tools, SwiftUI, accessibility and machine learning. The company will also honor the developers who won this year's Apple Design Awards.\nPotential Launches:On the products' front, Apple is expected to announce the newest iteration of its operating system: the iOS15, iPad OS 15, macOS12, watchOS8 and tvOS 15.\nAlthough the WWDC is a software-focused event, Apple could choose to unveil a new MacBook Pro, according to Apple leaker Jon Prosser\n\n i can confirm macbook pro is \n\n\n — Jon Prosser (@jon_prosser)May 24, 2021\n\nProsser did not give any specifics.\nThe new notebook model from Apple will have the most radical redesign, MacRumors reported. A Bloomberg report said the new models will have 10-core Apple silicon chips, with eight high-performance cores and two energy-efficient cores, along with 16- or 32-core GPU options.\nAccording to a CNET report, there is a rumor of the AirPods 3 possibly making an appearance at the event. This third generation of AirPods will likely have some of the features of its expensive cousin — the AirPod Pro — and may have a shorter stem, interchangeable tips and a smaller charging case than the AirPod Pro, according to reports. It is unlikely to have active noise cancellation.\nWedbush analyst Daniel Ives said in a late December note that Apple investors may wish to see the long-rumored Apple AR glasses unveiled at the WWDC.\nHow to Participate In The Event:Those who want to be part of the event need to download the Apple Developer app, which is available for free on iPhone, iPad, Mac and Apple TV.\nThe WWDC Apple Keynote will also be available on the app, with an on-demand playback.\nAPPL Price Action:At last check, Apple shares were up 0.57% at $124.99.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":174705991,"gmtCreate":1627135294213,"gmtModify":1631891665792,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":29,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174705991","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何,蔚来独特的卖点,以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一,通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品,吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而,这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点,该高点在 2021 年初触及,之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,这两者是相似的,但在其他方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y,而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是增压器网络,特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电,功率高达 250kW,具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程只需几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势,但应该注意的是,与蔚来的换电站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比,蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车,高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长,尽管略低于 100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这将是完全有意义的,但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此,特斯拉的增长预计将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元,年增长率为 54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家公司来说,保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元,比 2023 年预期再增长 80%,比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%,比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此,在 2021 年至 2025 年间,蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍,而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值(OTCPK:VWAGY)。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较,我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍,而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说,蔚来目前似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今,蔚来比特斯拉小得多,因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票价格被低估,这也是可能性之一,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时,确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车,到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%,那么到 2030 年(即 9 年后),它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长,每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过,例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言,看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶,因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌,处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这个水平,也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会更高,例如,如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元,就像特斯拉一样,但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况,到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反,投资者应该问问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险,值得一提的是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位,我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍,与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵,尽管当然,这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看蔚来与今天的特斯拉相比如何,蔚来独特的卖点,以及两家公司之间的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不算太贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来汽车相对于传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock 来自盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车企业之一,通过有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品,吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今该公司的规模仍然远小于目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉 (TSLA)。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,特斯拉还是一家小公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将努力在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经大幅上涨,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是完全合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数电动汽车纯玩家的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了 245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了 101%。然而,这两家公司目前的股价均低于历史高点,该高点在 2021 年初触及,之后市场对电动汽车 pureplays 的情绪有所降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标价低约 30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来在这里是一个更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的分析师目标价有很大的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。这两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,这两者是相似的,但在其他方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也一直在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入是通过销售电动汽车产生的,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争的高价汽车。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是众所周知的 S、X、3 和 Y,而蔚来则提供轿车 (ET7) 和三款 SUV (EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大区别。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都为客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是增压器网络,特斯拉车主可以在其中为汽车充电,功率高达 250kW,具体取决于安装的增压器版本。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程只需几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车制造商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/更换时间方面具有优势,但应该注意的是,与蔚来的换电站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商所提供的产品相比,蔚来汽车的产品是一个独特的卖点。这是否最终会带来回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争日益激烈,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了 201,000 辆汽车,高于 2020 年第二季度的 103,000 辆汽车。这是同比的强劲增长,尽管略低于 100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为 9 倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们会发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉 6400 亿美元的市值约为 9 倍蔚来的 720 亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这将是完全有意义的,但看起来蔚来目前可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生了更好的增长。未来几个季度尤其如此,特斯拉的增长预计将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>预计特斯拉的收入将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来预计其收入将在 2021 年至 2023 年间从 54 亿美元激增至 128 亿美元,年增长率为 54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远超过特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家公司来说,保持巨大的增长率变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加 50% 以上的收入是不可能永远的。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍然应该考虑这个重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来 2025 年收入预期为 226 亿美元,比 2023 年预期再增长 80%,比分析师对 2021 年的预测增长 320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计 2025 年收入将达到 1225 亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比 2023 年增长相对较弱的 48%,比 2021 年总共增长 150%。因此,在 2021 年至 2025 年间,蔚来的收入将增长 4 倍,而特斯拉的收入将增长 2.5 倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该可以让蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉值得拥有与大众汽车等传统参与者相比的溢价估值(OTCPK:VWAGY)。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>将 2025 年的收入预测与两家公司目前的估值进行比较,我们发现蔚来的交易价格为 2025 年销售额的 3.2 倍,而特斯拉的 2025 年销售额倍数为 5.2。对于长期投资者来说,蔚来目前似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使是 2025 年 3.2 倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,即使其股票绝对不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间范围。如今,蔚来比特斯拉小得多,因此理所当然地以较小的市值进行交易。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票价格被低估,这也是可能性之一,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约 80 万辆汽车时,确实应该获得 6000 亿美元左右的市值,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这个目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约 9 万辆汽车,到 2025 年这一数字应该会增长到约 40 万辆。如果蔚来的销量在这一点后每年增长 15%,那么到 2030 年(即 9 年后),它可能会售出约 80 万辆汽车。如果想要假设更快的增长,每年 80 万辆汽车的大关也可能在 2030 年之前跨过,例如在 2028 年或 2029 年。如果我们现在真的选择 2030 年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到 2030 年的估值可能会超过 6000 亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我相信还远未确定。就我个人而言,看到特斯拉的估值压缩不会太惊讶,因此蔚来在 2030 年的市值可能远低于 6000 亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来汽车的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场尤其知名的强大品牌,处于有利的增长位置。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还需要注意的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这个水平,也根本不能保证两家公司的市值相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会更高,例如,如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内价值数千亿美元,就像特斯拉一样,但这根本不能保证。即使发生了这种情况,到那时特斯拉的价值可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入还是卖出的好股票?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样大或高估值并不重要。相反,投资者应该问问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及这些预期回报相对于蔚来商业模式的风险是否足够高。关于这些风险,值得一提的是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池更换而处于相对有利的地位,我相信这是一个强大的卖点。最后但并非最不重要的一点是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常宽容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统厂商也能享受巨大的折扣。但如果想投资电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来似乎并不是一个糟糕的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的 BaaS 产品、高增长率以及与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比折扣的股票交易。蔚来的收入略高于 2025 年的 3 倍,与其他电动汽车纯电动汽车相比似乎并不算太贵,尽管当然,这仍然代表着与传统厂商相比的溢价。如果蔚来能够很好地执行并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的负面影响,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的电动汽车 pureplay,蔚来仍然很有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158343410,"gmtCreate":1625131905530,"gmtModify":1631891665803,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158343410","repostId":"1147837933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346456973,"gmtCreate":1618105622492,"gmtModify":1634294896589,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346456973","repostId":"1142324412","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197026598,"gmtCreate":1621412340214,"gmtModify":1634189356581,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197026598","repostId":"1158638540","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158638540","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621409180,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1158638540?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-19 15:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Things to Know Ahead of the Squarespace’s Direct Listing<blockquote>Squarespace 直接上市前需要了解的 4 件事</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158638540","media":"Barrons","summary":"The pandemic prompted many small businesses to gain online storefronts for the first time, creating an e-commerce wave that helped website-creation platform Squarespace Inc. accelerate its revenue growth.Now Squarespace will test the resilience of that e-commerce momentum as a public company. Its shares are scheduled to begin trading Wednesday in a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SQSP.The company offers various tools for website creation, including domains, e-comme","content":"<p>The pandemic prompted many small businesses to gain online storefronts for the first time, creating an e-commerce wave that helped website-creation platform Squarespace Inc. accelerate its revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>疫情促使许多小企业首次获得在线店面,创造了一股电子商务浪潮,帮助网站创建平台Squarespace Inc.加速了其收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Now Squarespace will test the resilience of that e-commerce momentum as a public company. Its shares are scheduled to begin trading Wednesday in a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SQSP.</p><p><blockquote>现在,Squarespace将测试作为一家上市公司的电子商务势头的弹性。其股票定于周三开始在纽约证券交易所直接上市,股票代码为 SQSP。</blockquote></p><p> The company offers various tools for website creation, including domains, e-commerce functions and marketing capabilities. Squarespace aims to work with small businesses that have limited web expertise as well as “large brands” that need greater flexibility to customize based on their needs.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提供各种网站创建工具,包括域名、电子商务功能和营销功能。Squarespace 的目标是与网络专业知识有限的小型企业以及需要更大灵活性来根据自身需求进行定制的 “大品牌 ”合作。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace sees itself playing into a number of trends, including a growing need for businesses to maintain direct relationships with their customers and an increased emphasis on do-it-yourself solutions that are “rapidly displacing expensive agencies and making equivalent design quality out-of-the-box, accessible and easy-to-use for all,” the company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中表示,Squarespace 认为自己正在顺应多种趋势,包括企业越来越需要与客户保持直接关系,以及越来越重视 DIY 解决方案,这些解决方案 “正在迅速取代昂贵的代理机构,使同等的设计质量开箱即用,人人都能获得且易于使用”。</blockquote></p><p> The company raised $300 million in a March funding round that gave the company an enterprise valuation of $10 billion, and is not raising any new funding as it lists. Here is what else you need to know about the company.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在3月份的一轮融资中筹集了3亿美元,使该公司的企业估值达到100亿美元,并且没有像它所说的那样筹集任何新的资金。以下是您需要了解的关于该公司的其他信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Growing Revenue, Shrinking Profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入增长,利润萎缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Squarespace posted $621 million in revenue during 2020, up from $485 million a year earlier. Revenue was up 28% in the latest fiscal year, ahead of the 24% growth rate seen in the prior period.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 2020 年的收入为 6.21 亿美元,高于去年同期的 4.85 亿美元。上一财年收入增长了 28%,高于上一财年 24% 的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The company classifies 94% of its revenue as subscription-based. Squarespace added about 700,000 new unique subscriptions in 2020 and the company disclosed that more than two thirds of total subscriptions are annual.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将 94% 的收入归类为基于订阅的收入。Squarespace在2020年增加了约70万个新的独特订阅,该公司透露,超过三分之二的总订阅是年度订阅。</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of Squarespace’s revenue last year came from the U.S., while the rest was international.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 去年约 70% 的收入来自美国,其余来自国际。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace was profitable last year, recording about $30.6 million in net income, though profits were down from $58.2 million in 2019. The company’s “fundamentals highlight a rare combo of profitability and growth at scale,” wrote MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace去年实现盈利,净利润约为3060万美元,但利润低于2019年的5820万美元。MKM Partners 分析师罗希特-库尔卡尼(Rohit Kulkarni)写道,该公司的 “基本面凸显了盈利能力和规模增长的罕见组合”。</blockquote></p><p> Despite a string of profitability on an annual basis, Squarespace generated a net loss of $10.1 million in the first quarter of 2021 compared with a loss of $1.1 million a year earlier. The company posted profits in each of the last three quarters of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>尽管年度盈利,Squarespace 在 2021 年第一季度净亏损 1010 万美元,而去年同期亏损 110 万美元。该公司在2020年最后三个季度的每个季度都公布了利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition Aplenty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争充足</b></blockquote></p><p> The company competes with a variety of different players across the e-commerce industry, according to its filing. Squarespace counts web-creation platforms like Wix.com (ticker: WIX) and Square’s (SQ) Weebly among its competition, along with e-commerce powerhouse Shopify (ticker: SHOP), which lets businesses set up online shops.</p><p><blockquote>根据其文件,该公司与电子商务行业的各种不同参与者竞争。Squarespace 的竞争对手包括 Wix.com(股票代码:WIX)和 Square 的 Weebly 等网络创建平台,以及让企业开设网上商店的电子商务巨头 Shopify(股票代码:SHOP)。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace also calls out competitors like GoDaddy (GDDY) that offer domain-name tools, as well as those providing email-marketing and scheduling functions, while arguing that its own “comprehensive, all-in-one platform, multichannel commerce capabilities” are an asset.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 还评级了 GoDaddy (GDDY) 等提供域名工具的竞争对手,以及提供电子邮件营销和日程安排功能的竞争对手,同时认为自己的 “全面、一体化平台、多渠道商务能力 ”是一项资产。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies analyst Brent Thill notes that Wix is larger than Squarespace, with revenue of $989 million last year versus $621 million for Squarespace. In addition, Squarespace’s revenue last year was similar to what Wix posted in 2018, but Wix was posting faster growth at that scale, and without the benefit of the pandemic-driven acceleration in e-commerce more broadly, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Jefferies 分析师 Brent Thill 指出,Wix 比 Squarespace 更大,去年的收入为 9.89 亿美元,而 Squarespace 的收入为 6.21 亿美元。此外,Squarespace 去年的收入与 Wix 2018 年的收入相似,但 Wix 在这一规模上的增长速度更快,而且没有受益于大流行病推动的更广泛的电子商务加速发展,他写道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On the Menu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在菜单上</b></blockquote></p><p> SquareSpace recently closed its $415 million acquisition of Tock, a company focused on the restaurant and hospitality industries. Tock’s services allow businesses to manage reservations, takeout, event ticketing and more.</p><p><blockquote>SquareSpace最近完成了对Tock的4.15亿美元收购,Tock是一家专注于餐饮和酒店业的公司。Tock 的服务允许企业管理预订、外卖、活动票务等。</blockquote></p><p> This part of the business may position SquareSpace against more tech giants, suggested MKM’s Kulkarni.</p><p><blockquote>MKM 的 Kulkarni 表示,这部分业务可能会让 SquareSpace 与更多科技巨头竞争。</blockquote></p><p> “SquareSpace’s offering with Tock faces competition from delivery services such as Uber Eats (UBER),DoorDash (DASH) and Grubhub (GRUB), along with other restaurant [customer-relationship management] services such as TouchBistro and Toast,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道:”SquareSpace 与 Tock 合作的产品面临着来自 Uber Eats (UBER)、DoorDash (DASH) 和 Grubhub (GRUB) 等外卖服务以及 TouchBistro 和 Toast 等其他餐厅[客户关系管理]服务的竞争。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the acquisition is an example of one way Squarespace has “smartly diversified into selling not just physical goods online but also adding calendar/scheduling capabilities (restaurant or gym reservations), content sales, and subscriptions,” he continued.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,此次收购也是 Squarespace “巧妙多元化的一个例子,不仅在网上销售实体商品,还增加了日历/日程安排功能(餐厅或健身房预订)、内容销售和订阅”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Marketing Bucks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>营销资金</b></blockquote></p><p> Squarespace’s marketing and sales costs are growing far faster than its revenue. The company incurred $3.1 million in such expenses last year, up from $1.7 million in 2019, making for a 45% increase, whereas revenue was up 28% in the same span.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 的营销和销售成本增长速度远远快于收入增长速度。该公司去年的此类费用为 310 万美元,高于 2019 年的 170 万美元,增长了 45%,而同期收入增长了 28%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company’s podcast advertisements may be familiar to frequent listeners, though Squarespace notes in its prospectus that it advertises its services broadly, using “online keyword search, sponsorships and celebrity endorsements, television, podcasts, print and online advertising, email and social media marketing.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Squarespace 在招股说明书中指出,该公司广泛宣传其服务,使用 “在线关键词搜索、赞助和名人代言、电视、播客、平面广告和在线广告、电子邮件和社交媒体营销 ”,但该公司的播客广告可能对经常收听的听众并不陌生。</blockquote></p><p> Among its risk factors, Squarespace points to the possibility that Alphabet’s (GOOGL) Google could change its algorithm or raise the costs of its search-engine-marketing tools.</p><p><blockquote>在风险因素中,Squarespace 指出Alphabet(GOOGL)旗下的谷歌有可能改变其算法或提高其搜索引擎营销工具的成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Things to Know Ahead of the Squarespace’s Direct Listing<blockquote>Squarespace 直接上市前需要了解的 4 件事</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Things to Know Ahead of the Squarespace’s Direct Listing<blockquote>Squarespace 直接上市前需要了解的 4 件事</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-19 15:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The pandemic prompted many small businesses to gain online storefronts for the first time, creating an e-commerce wave that helped website-creation platform Squarespace Inc. accelerate its revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>疫情促使许多小企业首次获得在线店面,创造了一股电子商务浪潮,帮助网站创建平台Squarespace Inc.加速了其收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Now Squarespace will test the resilience of that e-commerce momentum as a public company. Its shares are scheduled to begin trading Wednesday in a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SQSP.</p><p><blockquote>现在,Squarespace将测试作为一家上市公司的电子商务势头的弹性。其股票定于周三开始在纽约证券交易所直接上市,股票代码为 SQSP。</blockquote></p><p> The company offers various tools for website creation, including domains, e-commerce functions and marketing capabilities. Squarespace aims to work with small businesses that have limited web expertise as well as “large brands” that need greater flexibility to customize based on their needs.</p><p><blockquote>该公司提供各种网站创建工具,包括域名、电子商务功能和营销功能。Squarespace 的目标是与网络专业知识有限的小型企业以及需要更大灵活性来根据自身需求进行定制的 “大品牌 ”合作。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace sees itself playing into a number of trends, including a growing need for businesses to maintain direct relationships with their customers and an increased emphasis on do-it-yourself solutions that are “rapidly displacing expensive agencies and making equivalent design quality out-of-the-box, accessible and easy-to-use for all,” the company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 在提交给美国证券交易委员会的文件中表示,Squarespace 认为自己正在顺应多种趋势,包括企业越来越需要与客户保持直接关系,以及越来越重视 DIY 解决方案,这些解决方案 “正在迅速取代昂贵的代理机构,使同等的设计质量开箱即用,人人都能获得且易于使用”。</blockquote></p><p> The company raised $300 million in a March funding round that gave the company an enterprise valuation of $10 billion, and is not raising any new funding as it lists. Here is what else you need to know about the company.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在3月份的一轮融资中筹集了3亿美元,使该公司的企业估值达到100亿美元,并且没有像它所说的那样筹集任何新的资金。以下是您需要了解的关于该公司的其他信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Growing Revenue, Shrinking Profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入增长,利润萎缩</b></blockquote></p><p> Squarespace posted $621 million in revenue during 2020, up from $485 million a year earlier. Revenue was up 28% in the latest fiscal year, ahead of the 24% growth rate seen in the prior period.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 2020 年的收入为 6.21 亿美元,高于去年同期的 4.85 亿美元。上一财年收入增长了 28%,高于上一财年 24% 的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The company classifies 94% of its revenue as subscription-based. Squarespace added about 700,000 new unique subscriptions in 2020 and the company disclosed that more than two thirds of total subscriptions are annual.</p><p><blockquote>该公司将 94% 的收入归类为基于订阅的收入。Squarespace在2020年增加了约70万个新的独特订阅,该公司透露,超过三分之二的总订阅是年度订阅。</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of Squarespace’s revenue last year came from the U.S., while the rest was international.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 去年约 70% 的收入来自美国,其余来自国际。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace was profitable last year, recording about $30.6 million in net income, though profits were down from $58.2 million in 2019. The company’s “fundamentals highlight a rare combo of profitability and growth at scale,” wrote MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace去年实现盈利,净利润约为3060万美元,但利润低于2019年的5820万美元。MKM Partners 分析师罗希特-库尔卡尼(Rohit Kulkarni)写道,该公司的 “基本面凸显了盈利能力和规模增长的罕见组合”。</blockquote></p><p> Despite a string of profitability on an annual basis, Squarespace generated a net loss of $10.1 million in the first quarter of 2021 compared with a loss of $1.1 million a year earlier. The company posted profits in each of the last three quarters of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>尽管年度盈利,Squarespace 在 2021 年第一季度净亏损 1010 万美元,而去年同期亏损 110 万美元。该公司在2020年最后三个季度的每个季度都公布了利润。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition Aplenty</b></p><p><blockquote><b>竞争充足</b></blockquote></p><p> The company competes with a variety of different players across the e-commerce industry, according to its filing. Squarespace counts web-creation platforms like Wix.com (ticker: WIX) and Square’s (SQ) Weebly among its competition, along with e-commerce powerhouse Shopify (ticker: SHOP), which lets businesses set up online shops.</p><p><blockquote>根据其文件,该公司与电子商务行业的各种不同参与者竞争。Squarespace 的竞争对手包括 Wix.com(股票代码:WIX)和 Square 的 Weebly 等网络创建平台,以及让企业开设网上商店的电子商务巨头 Shopify(股票代码:SHOP)。</blockquote></p><p> Squarespace also calls out competitors like GoDaddy (GDDY) that offer domain-name tools, as well as those providing email-marketing and scheduling functions, while arguing that its own “comprehensive, all-in-one platform, multichannel commerce capabilities” are an asset.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 还评级了 GoDaddy (GDDY) 等提供域名工具的竞争对手,以及提供电子邮件营销和日程安排功能的竞争对手,同时认为自己的 “全面、一体化平台、多渠道商务能力 ”是一项资产。</blockquote></p><p> Jefferies analyst Brent Thill notes that Wix is larger than Squarespace, with revenue of $989 million last year versus $621 million for Squarespace. In addition, Squarespace’s revenue last year was similar to what Wix posted in 2018, but Wix was posting faster growth at that scale, and without the benefit of the pandemic-driven acceleration in e-commerce more broadly, he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Jefferies 分析师 Brent Thill 指出,Wix 比 Squarespace 更大,去年的收入为 9.89 亿美元,而 Squarespace 的收入为 6.21 亿美元。此外,Squarespace 去年的收入与 Wix 2018 年的收入相似,但 Wix 在这一规模上的增长速度更快,而且没有受益于大流行病推动的更广泛的电子商务加速发展,他写道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On the Menu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在菜单上</b></blockquote></p><p> SquareSpace recently closed its $415 million acquisition of Tock, a company focused on the restaurant and hospitality industries. Tock’s services allow businesses to manage reservations, takeout, event ticketing and more.</p><p><blockquote>SquareSpace最近完成了对Tock的4.15亿美元收购,Tock是一家专注于餐饮和酒店业的公司。Tock 的服务允许企业管理预订、外卖、活动票务等。</blockquote></p><p> This part of the business may position SquareSpace against more tech giants, suggested MKM’s Kulkarni.</p><p><blockquote>MKM 的 Kulkarni 表示,这部分业务可能会让 SquareSpace 与更多科技巨头竞争。</blockquote></p><p> “SquareSpace’s offering with Tock faces competition from delivery services such as Uber Eats (UBER),DoorDash (DASH) and Grubhub (GRUB), along with other restaurant [customer-relationship management] services such as TouchBistro and Toast,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“他写道:”SquareSpace 与 Tock 合作的产品面临着来自 Uber Eats (UBER)、DoorDash (DASH) 和 Grubhub (GRUB) 等外卖服务以及 TouchBistro 和 Toast 等其他餐厅[客户关系管理]服务的竞争。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, the acquisition is an example of one way Squarespace has “smartly diversified into selling not just physical goods online but also adding calendar/scheduling capabilities (restaurant or gym reservations), content sales, and subscriptions,” he continued.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,此次收购也是 Squarespace “巧妙多元化的一个例子,不仅在网上销售实体商品,还增加了日历/日程安排功能(餐厅或健身房预订)、内容销售和订阅”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Marketing Bucks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>营销资金</b></blockquote></p><p> Squarespace’s marketing and sales costs are growing far faster than its revenue. The company incurred $3.1 million in such expenses last year, up from $1.7 million in 2019, making for a 45% increase, whereas revenue was up 28% in the same span.</p><p><blockquote>Squarespace 的营销和销售成本增长速度远远快于收入增长速度。该公司去年的此类费用为 310 万美元,高于 2019 年的 170 万美元,增长了 45%,而同期收入增长了 28%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The company’s podcast advertisements may be familiar to frequent listeners, though Squarespace notes in its prospectus that it advertises its services broadly, using “online keyword search, sponsorships and celebrity endorsements, television, podcasts, print and online advertising, email and social media marketing.”</p><p><blockquote>尽管 Squarespace 在招股说明书中指出,该公司广泛宣传其服务,使用 “在线关键词搜索、赞助和名人代言、电视、播客、平面广告和在线广告、电子邮件和社交媒体营销 ”,但该公司的播客广告可能对经常收听的听众并不陌生。</blockquote></p><p> Among its risk factors, Squarespace points to the possibility that Alphabet’s (GOOGL) Google could change its algorithm or raise the costs of its search-engine-marketing tools.</p><p><blockquote>在风险因素中,Squarespace 指出Alphabet(GOOGL)旗下的谷歌有可能改变其算法或提高其搜索引擎营销工具的成本。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/squarespace-direct-listing-51621376597?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQSP":"Squarespace Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/squarespace-direct-listing-51621376597?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158638540","content_text":"The pandemic prompted many small businesses to gain online storefronts for the first time, creating an e-commerce wave that helped website-creation platform Squarespace Inc. accelerate its revenue growth.\nNow Squarespace will test the resilience of that e-commerce momentum as a public company. Its shares are scheduled to begin trading Wednesday in a direct listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SQSP.\nThe company offers various tools for website creation, including domains, e-commerce functions and marketing capabilities. Squarespace aims to work with small businesses that have limited web expertise as well as “large brands” that need greater flexibility to customize based on their needs.\nSquarespace sees itself playing into a number of trends, including a growing need for businesses to maintain direct relationships with their customers and an increased emphasis on do-it-yourself solutions that are “rapidly displacing expensive agencies and making equivalent design quality out-of-the-box, accessible and easy-to-use for all,” the company said in its filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.\nThe company raised $300 million in a March funding round that gave the company an enterprise valuation of $10 billion, and is not raising any new funding as it lists. Here is what else you need to know about the company.\nGrowing Revenue, Shrinking Profits\nSquarespace posted $621 million in revenue during 2020, up from $485 million a year earlier. Revenue was up 28% in the latest fiscal year, ahead of the 24% growth rate seen in the prior period.\nThe company classifies 94% of its revenue as subscription-based. Squarespace added about 700,000 new unique subscriptions in 2020 and the company disclosed that more than two thirds of total subscriptions are annual.\nAbout 70% of Squarespace’s revenue last year came from the U.S., while the rest was international.\nSquarespace was profitable last year, recording about $30.6 million in net income, though profits were down from $58.2 million in 2019. The company’s “fundamentals highlight a rare combo of profitability and growth at scale,” wrote MKM Partners analyst Rohit Kulkarni.\nDespite a string of profitability on an annual basis, Squarespace generated a net loss of $10.1 million in the first quarter of 2021 compared with a loss of $1.1 million a year earlier. The company posted profits in each of the last three quarters of 2020.\nCompetition Aplenty\nThe company competes with a variety of different players across the e-commerce industry, according to its filing. Squarespace counts web-creation platforms like Wix.com (ticker: WIX) and Square’s (SQ) Weebly among its competition, along with e-commerce powerhouse Shopify (ticker: SHOP), which lets businesses set up online shops.\nSquarespace also calls out competitors like GoDaddy (GDDY) that offer domain-name tools, as well as those providing email-marketing and scheduling functions, while arguing that its own “comprehensive, all-in-one platform, multichannel commerce capabilities” are an asset.\nJefferies analyst Brent Thill notes that Wix is larger than Squarespace, with revenue of $989 million last year versus $621 million for Squarespace. In addition, Squarespace’s revenue last year was similar to what Wix posted in 2018, but Wix was posting faster growth at that scale, and without the benefit of the pandemic-driven acceleration in e-commerce more broadly, he wrote.\nOn the Menu\nSquareSpace recently closed its $415 million acquisition of Tock, a company focused on the restaurant and hospitality industries. Tock’s services allow businesses to manage reservations, takeout, event ticketing and more.\nThis part of the business may position SquareSpace against more tech giants, suggested MKM’s Kulkarni.\n“SquareSpace’s offering with Tock faces competition from delivery services such as Uber Eats (UBER),DoorDash (DASH) and Grubhub (GRUB), along with other restaurant [customer-relationship management] services such as TouchBistro and Toast,” he wrote.\nAt the same time, the acquisition is an example of one way Squarespace has “smartly diversified into selling not just physical goods online but also adding calendar/scheduling capabilities (restaurant or gym reservations), content sales, and subscriptions,” he continued.\nMarketing Bucks\nSquarespace’s marketing and sales costs are growing far faster than its revenue. The company incurred $3.1 million in such expenses last year, up from $1.7 million in 2019, making for a 45% increase, whereas revenue was up 28% in the same span.\nThe company’s podcast advertisements may be familiar to frequent listeners, though Squarespace notes in its prospectus that it advertises its services broadly, using “online keyword search, sponsorships and celebrity endorsements, television, podcasts, print and online advertising, email and social media marketing.”\nAmong its risk factors, Squarespace points to the possibility that Alphabet’s (GOOGL) Google could change its algorithm or raise the costs of its search-engine-marketing tools.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQSP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":578,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":382409724,"gmtCreate":1613471512068,"gmtModify":1634553545768,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382409724","repostId":"1108705396","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108705396","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613469786,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1108705396?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-16 18:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"With Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起,华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108705396","media":"CNN Business","summary":"New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a doubl","content":"<p><div> New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington and ...</p><p><blockquote><div>纽约(CNN Business)2020年底,遭受Covid重创的美国经济濒临陷入双底衰退。疫情正在加剧,僵局瘫痪了华盛顿和……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>With Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起,华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWith Biden going big, Wall Street economists are growing bullish on the US economy<blockquote>随着拜登的崛起,华尔街经济学家越来越看好美国经济</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">CNN Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-16 18:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington and ...</p><p><blockquote><div>纽约(CNN Business)2020年底,遭受Covid重创的美国经济濒临陷入双底衰退。疫情正在加剧,僵局瘫痪了华盛顿和……</div></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html\">网页链接</a> </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html\">CNN Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/02/11/economy/economy-jobs-biden-stimulus/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108705396","content_text":"New York (CNN Business) The Covid-ravaged American economy was on the verge of slipping into a double-dip recession at the end of 2020. The pandemic was intensifying,gridlock paralyzed Washington and millions of families were about to lose crucial benefits.\nFast forward two months, and the economy is still struggling-- but confidence in the recovery is growing, rapidly.\nEconomists are swiftly upgrading their GDP and unemployment forecasts and pulling forward the date when the Federal Reserve will be able to lift rock-bottom interest rates. Goldman Sachs is predicting the US economy will grow at the fastest clip in more than three decades.\nThe renewed optimism is being driven by two major factors: the health crisis is easing and Uncle Sam is coming to the rescue with staggering amounts of aid-- hundreds of billions more than seemed to be in the cards just months ago.\nAfter supplying $4 trillion of relief last year, Washington is expected to pump in another $2 trillion of deficit-financed support in 2021, according to Moody's Analytics. That represents more than a quarter of annual US GDP.\n\"That is a lot of economic juice,\" Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, told CNN Business.\nThe turning point happened last month when Democrats took narrow control of the US Senate by sweeping the runoff races in Georgia. That opened a path for President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, which features $1,400 stimulus checks, enhanced unemployment benefits and a $350 billion lifeline to state and local governments.\n'Summer mini-boom'\nBefore the Georgia elections, Zandi didn't think the US economy would return to full employment (a strong labor market with 4% unemployment) until the spring or summer of 2023. Now, he expects that achievement to happen next spring, echoing a forecast by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.\n\"Super-charged fiscal policy\" means the argument for the US economy growing faster than its peers \"seems to get stronger day-by-day,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a recent report to clients.\nOxford Economics chief US economist Gregory Daco is calling for a \"summer mini-boom\" in the United States and 5.9% GDP growth in 2021.\nLikewise, Jefferies economists say \"explosive income growth (courtesy of fiscal stimulus) is likely to propel US GDP 6.4% higher this year and nearly 5% next year.\"\n\"If anything, our forecast might be too conservative,\" Jefferies told clients in a recent note, pointing out that its view incorporates just $1 trillion of the Biden plan.\nIndeed, Goldman Sachs upgraded its 2021 GDP forecast to 6.8% earlier this week because the Wall Street bank now assumes additional fiscal relief of $1.5 trillion, up from $1.1 trillion previously. If Goldman's prediction comes true, it would be the fastest annual GDP growth for the United States since 1989,according to the St. Louis Fed.\nThe rosy GDP forecasts are well above what the Federal Reserve is calling for. In December, the Fed expected 2021 GDP growth of just 4.2% and said unemployment wouldn't slip below 4% until 2023.\nDouble-dip recession averted\nThe Fed tends to be conservative with its economic forecasts. And, crucially, the Fed forecast was released at a time when political dysfunction in DC was casting a shadow over the US economy.\nFor months, Republicans and Democrats tried and failed to reach a deal on extending crucial unemployment and eviction benefits scheduled to lapse and providing more forgivable loans to small businesses. And then when a deal was finally reached, former President Donald Trump threatened to blow it up.\nAt the last minute, Trump signed the $900 billion relief package into law, averting economic disaster.\n\"Without that, we would be in a double dip recession,\" said Zandi, the Moody's economist.\nSlammed by the pandemic, the US economy limped to the end of 2020 and started this year slowly. In December, employers cut jobs in for the first time since the spring. And the United States added just 49,000 jobs in January.\nJobless claims remain alarmingly high. Another 793,000 Americans filed for first time unemployment benefits last week alone. For context, that is above the worst levels of the Great Recession.\nVaccines to the rescue\nBut there are glimmers of hope on the pandemic. Although Covid deaths remain unthinkably high, hospitalizations and cases have retreated.\nCritically, the rollout of coronavirus vaccines is accelerating. Out of a total of 66 million vaccines distributed, about 70% have been administered, according to Morgan Stanley.\nAnd Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert,told NBC News Thursday that the United States may be able to vaccinate most Americans by the middle or end of summer.\nAll of this has allowed states including California, New York and New Jersey to relax health restrictions crushing restaurants and other small businesses.\nThat's not to say the pandemic is over. In fact,one risk is that new Covid-19 variants force US states and cities to once again tighten health restrictions.\nLow-wage workers are still hurting badly\nAgainst this backdrop, many economists are urging Washington to push ahead with plans for aggressive fiscal stimulus.\n\"Foot flat on the accelerator, please,\" Zandi, the Moody's economist said. \"Policymaking 101 says err on the side of doing too much, rather than too little.\"\nDoing too little risks worsening America's inequality problem. That's because this recession, more than prior ones, disproportionately hurt low-income workers in hard-hit sectors such as restaurants, childcare and hospitality.\nEmployment levels of low-wage workers (those making less than $27,000 per year) is still down more than 20%, according to the Opportunity Insights Economic tracker. By contrast, employment levels of those making more than $60,000 per year are above pre-crisis levels.\n\"Biden's team is unlikely to break out the champagne over reaching full employment if it isn't evident across income and racial groups,\" economists at Bank of America wrote in a report to clients.\nHowever, Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Fed official who is now CEO of Quill Intelligence, worries the focus on providing income, instead of investing in infrastructure and reskilling workers, will make the country addicted to stimulus.\n\"The economy is going to turn into this dependent patient, always waiting for the next injection,\" Booth said.\n'Bring it on'\nSome economists, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, have warned there is a risk that Washington overheats the economy by injecting too much support.\n\"You could have quite the inflation scare in the next few months that will test the bond market and the Fed,\" Booth said.\nAnd that in turn would spook the red-hot stock market.\nFed watchers are moving up their timelines for when the central bank will be able to end its emergency policies.\nCiting \"signs of a firmer inflation outlook,\" Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to start \"tapering\" its asset purchases in early 2022 and to raise interest rates in the first half of 2024.\nZandi isn't losing sleep over inflation, mostly because the United States is far from full employment.\n\"It's a vastly overstated worry,\" he said. \"Bring it on. Our biggest problem for more than a decade has been low inflation. Higher inflation would be a high-class problem to have.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":389284645,"gmtCreate":1612778160187,"gmtModify":1703764870666,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389284645","repostId":"1126813487","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166538485,"gmtCreate":1624016629647,"gmtModify":1631891665864,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Make my comment trend!! ","listText":"Make my comment trend!! ","text":"Make my comment trend!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166538485","repostId":"1133025835","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2081,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356388857,"gmtCreate":1616756201979,"gmtModify":1634524168524,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356388857","repostId":"1149036179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107113224,"gmtCreate":1620451119368,"gmtModify":1634198630533,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107113224","repostId":"1162850808","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162850808","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620451086,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1162850808?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 13:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cheap Stocks To Buy? 4 Cloud Computing Stocks To Know<blockquote>值得购买的便宜股票?需要了解的 4 只云计算股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162850808","media":"Nasdaq","summary":"Should Investors Buy These Cloud Stocks Amid The Recent Pullback?\n2020 was a banner year forcloud co","content":"<p>Should Investors Buy These Cloud Stocks Amid The Recent Pullback?</p><p><blockquote>在最近的回调中,投资者应该购买这些云股票吗?</blockquote></p><p> 2020 was a banner year forcloud computing stocks. In the past year, if you wanted to make money, the easiest way was to buy top cloud computing stocks in thestock market. Thanks to the coronavirus pandemic, demand for cloud services skyrocketed to all-time highs. With companies focusing on digital acceleration, cloud infrastructure is vital to have. Being able to conveniently store and access company data is paramount as companies are still pushing their projects and innovations amidst these troubled times. Investors and companies seem to be aware of these trends. For instance, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has enjoyed a strong increase in revenue in the cloud segment as reflected from their latest financials.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年是云计算股票的辉煌一年。在过去的一年里,如果你想赚钱,最简单的方法就是在股票市场上购买顶级云计算股票。由于冠状病毒疫情,对云服务的需求飙升至历史最高水平。随着公司专注于数字加速,云基础设施至关重要。能够方便地存储和访问公司数据至关重要,因为在这个困难时期,公司仍在推进他们的项目和创新。投资者和公司似乎都意识到了这些趋势。例如,微软(纳斯达克股票代码:MSFT)在云领域的收入强劲增长,这反映在他们最新的财务报告中。</blockquote></p><p> There’s no denying that valuations are still high despite the recent pullback. Some say thesetop cloud stocksare priced to perfection. As such, when there’s a slight disappointment in their earnings report, it is enough to send these stocks sliding. But technology is sticky. Many companies are not going to uproot their software abruptly. The benefits from cloud apps will continue to manifest even after offices reopen. Thus, many of the best cloud stocks to watch will continue to benefit. Let’s put it this way. You can think of it as the growth being pulled forward, but there is still plenty of growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认,尽管最近有所回落,但估值仍然很高。有人说顶级云股票的定价非常完美。因此,当他们的财报出现轻微令人失望时,就足以让这些股票下滑。但是技术是粘性的。许多公司不会突然连根拔起他们的软件。即使在办公室重新开放后,云应用的好处仍将继续显现。因此,许多最值得关注的云股票将继续受益。这么说吧。你可以把它看作是增长被拉动,但前面还有很多增长。</blockquote></p><p> With the increasing viability of cloud computing, it could appear to some as a profitable endeavor. However, there is no such thing as easy gains. Even the most seasoned investors would have a challenge sorting the wheat from the chaff in this ever-growing industry. Some may stay clear from cloud stocks amid the recent weakness, but others may see the dip as an opportunity to buy at discounts. If you are with the latter, do you have these cloud stocks on your watchlist in thestock market today?</p><p><blockquote>随着云计算的可行性越来越强,对一些人来说,这似乎是一项有利可图的努力。然而,世上没有轻松的收获。在这个不断增长的行业中,即使是最有经验的投资者也很难将小麦从谷壳中分离出来。在最近的疲软中,一些人可能会远离云股票,但其他人可能会将下跌视为打折买入的机会。如果你是后者,你今天在股市的观察名单上有这些云股票吗?</blockquote></p><p> Cloud Computing Stocks To Watch In 2021</p><p><blockquote>2021年值得关注的云计算股票</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Cloudflare Inc.</b>(NYSE: NET)</li> <li><b>Fastly Inc.</b>(NYSE: FSLY)</li> <li><b>Amazon.com Inc.</b>(NASDAQ: AMZN)</li> <li><b>Twilio Inc.</b>(NYSE: TWLO)</li> </ul> Cloudflare</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>Cloudflare公司。</b>(纽约证券交易所代码:NET)</li><li><b>快速公司。</b>(纽约证券交易所代码:FSLY)</li><li><b>亚马逊公司。</b>(纳斯达克:AMZN)</li><li><b>特维利奥公司。</b>(纽约证券交易所代码:TWLO)</li></ul>云耀斑</blockquote></p><p> Cloudflare is possibly one of the most exciting cloud companies to look out for if you are investing for the long term. For those unfamiliar with the business, Cloudflare’s aim is to build a better and safer internet. Some of the company’s potential growth drivers include serverless computing, internet of things (IoT), and 5G. These present massive opportunities for the company to tap into. With more businesses moving their operations to the cloud, Cloudflare could see explosive growth in this burgeoning cybersecurity industry. That’s because of its role in safeguarding and speeding up the internet.</p><p><blockquote>如果你是长期投资,Cloudflare可能是最令人兴奋的云公司之一。对于那些不熟悉这项业务的人来说,Cloudflare 的目标是建立一个更好、更安全的互联网。该公司的一些潜在增长动力包括无服务器计算、物联网(IoT)和 5G。这些为公司提供了巨大的机会。随着越来越多的企业将运营转移到云端,Cloudflare可能会在这个新兴的网络安全行业中看到爆炸式增长。这是因为它在保护和加速互联网方面发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98f0d4f49f85277ad8149a042646e49c\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: TD Ameritrade TOS</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:德美利证券服务条款</blockquote></p><p> “<i>Firing on all cylinders, we’ve already announced or delivered more than 100 products and capabilities this year. There’s no slowing down as we continue to deliver business-critical offerings and displace point solutions with Cloudflare’s robust global network.”-</i>Matthew Prince, CEO, and co-founder.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>今年,我们已经宣布或交付了 100 多种产品和功能。随着我们继续提供关键业务产品,并利用 Cloudflare 强大的全球网络取代点解决方案,速度不会放缓。”-</i>马修·普林斯,首席执行官兼联合创始人。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported its first-quarter earnings on Thursday, in which revenue rose 51% year-over-year to $138.1 million. The network security and content delivery network (CDN) provider also sees strong large customer growth, with a record addition of roughly 120 large customers in the quarter. More importantly, large customers now represent greater than 50% of revenue. Following these earnings, the NET stock is now trading 7.14% higher in pre-market trading as of 7.09 a.m. ET. With such strong fundamentals, should investors buy NET stock right now?</p><p><blockquote>该公司周四公布了第一季度财报,收入同比增长 51%,达到 1.381 亿美元。这家网络安全和内容交付网络 (CDN) 提供商也看到了强劲的大客户增长,本季度新增了约 120 家大客户,创下历史新高。更重要的是,大客户现在占收入的50%以上。公布这些财报后,截至美国东部时间上午 7 点 09 分,净股价在盘前交易中上涨了 7.14%。在基本面如此强劲的情况下,投资者现在应该买入净股票吗?</blockquote></p><p> <b>[Read More]</b> Best Tech Stocks To Buy Now? 4 Names To Know</p><p><blockquote><b>[阅读全文]</b>现在最值得购买的科技股?4个要知道的名字</blockquote></p><p> Fastly</p><p><blockquote>快速</blockquote></p><p> Fastly was one hot stock to watch in 2020. The company is a key player in the CDN space. Arguably, the real trick up Fastly’s sleeves are its edge computing capabilities. But the reason many investors are paying attention to Fastly right now is that FSLY stock was tumbling, closing nearly 30% lower on Thursday’s intraday trading. This came as the edge-computing specialist came up slightly short of estimates in its first-quarter earnings report. Separately, CFO Adriel Lares stepping down as CFO also spooked investors.</p><p><blockquote>Fastly 是 2020 年值得关注的热门股票。该公司是CDN领域的关键参与者。可以说,Fastly 真正的诀窍是它的边缘计算能力。但许多投资者现在都在关注 Fastly 的原因是,FSLY 股票正在暴跌,在周四的盘中交易中收盘下跌了近 30%。与此同时,这家边缘计算专家在第一季度收益报告中的业绩略低于预期。另外,首席财务官 Adriel Lares 辞去首席财务官职务也让投资者感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/739c26a7d97dc3c4dea22c32f05794e8\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: TD Ameritrade TOS</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:德美利证券服务条款</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But let’s take a step back and digest these earnings carefully. Do you think FSLY stock is being overly punished here? Fastly’s revenue came in 35% in the quarter to $84.9 million, which was only slightly short of estimates at $85.1 million. While the net retention rate was slightly lower than its previous quarter, its total customer count actually increased from 2,084 in the fourth quarter to 2,207. Sure, the company may have missed top and bottom-line estimates, but the difference was only marginal.</p><p><blockquote>但让我们后退一步,仔细消化这些收益。您认为 FSLY 股票在这里受到了过度惩罚吗?Fastly 本季度收入增长了 35%,达到 8490 万美元,仅略低于预期的 8510 万美元。虽然净保留率略低于上一季度,但其客户总数实际上从第四季度的2,084家增加到2,207家。当然,该公司可能没有达到营收和利润预期,但差异只是微乎其微。</blockquote></p><p> According to CEO Joshua Bixby, the company observed that many of the trends that emerged last year appear to have become permanent, even as the economy reopens. He believes Fastly is uniquely positioned to serve companies as they adjust to this new reality. Thus, would you consider buying FSLY stock on the dip?</p><p><blockquote>据首席执行官约书亚·比克斯比(Joshua Bixby)称,该公司观察到,即使经济重新开放,去年出现的许多趋势似乎已经成为永久性的。他认为,Fastly 具有独特的优势,可以在公司适应这一新现实时为其提供服务。因此,您会考虑逢低买入 FSLY 股票吗?</blockquote></p><p> <b>Read More</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阅读更多</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Hot Stocks To Buy? 4 Growth Stocks To Watch</li> <li>Most Active Stocks To Buy Today? 4 Renewable Energy Stocks To Consider</li> </ul> Amazon.com</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>值得买入的热门股票?4只值得关注的成长股</li><li>今天最值得购买的活跃股票?4 只值得考虑的可再生能源股票</li></ul>亚马逊</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is a multinational technology company that focuses on e-commerce and cloud computing. The company has been one of the most influential economic forces in the world and is also one of the world’s most valuable brands. AMZN stock surged to an all-time high of $3,554 before retreating to a current level of around $3,300. That initially seems like a “<i>buy the rumor, sell the news</i>” kind of trade for traders, especially after a strong earnings beat.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是一家专注于电子商务和云计算的跨国科技公司。该公司一直是世界上最具影响力的经济力量之一,也是世界上最有价值的品牌之一。AMZN 股价飙升至 3,554 美元的历史高点,然后回落至目前 3,300 美元左右的水平。起初,这似乎是一个“<i>买谣言,卖新闻</i>“对交易员来说是一种交易,尤其是在盈利强劲之后。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0aa69c958c58628e910c48f96fca81e9\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: TD Ameritrade TOS</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:德美利证券服务条款</blockquote></p><p> An interesting fact is, not only are traders taking some profit, CEO Jeff Bezos this week sold nearly $2 billion worth of AMZN stock. He previously said he’d sell about $1 billion in AMZN stock each year to fund his space exploration company, Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的事实是,不仅交易员获利了结,首席执行官杰夫·贝索斯本周还出售了价值近 20 亿美元的亚马逊股票。他此前曾表示,他每年将出售约 10 亿美元的亚马逊股票,为他的太空探索公司蓝色起源提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> In case you have missed it, the company reported net sales of $108.5 billion in the first quarter, a 44% increase year-over-year. Net income increased to $8.1 billion for the quarter or $15.79 per diluted share. The company also ended the quarter with a free cash flow of $26.4 billion. Looking ahead, Amazon said it expects to generate revenue between $110 billion and $116 billion for Q2. All things considered, would you say that AMZN stock is trading at an attractive valuation right now?</p><p><blockquote>如果您错过了,该公司公布第一季度净销售额为 1085 亿美元,同比增长 44%。本季度净利润增至 81 亿美元,稀释后每股收益为 15.79 美元。该公司本季度末的自由现金流也为 264 亿美元。展望未来,亚马逊表示,预计第二季度的收入将在 1100 亿至 1160 亿美元之间。综合考虑,您认为 AMZN 股票目前的估值很有吸引力吗?</blockquote></p><p> <b>[Read More]</b> 4 Top Fintech Stocks To Watch After PayPal Reported Record Earnings</p><p><blockquote><b>[阅读全文]</b>PayPal公布创纪录收益后值得关注的 4 只顶级金融科技股</blockquote></p><p> Twilio</p><p><blockquote>特维利奥</blockquote></p><p> After easily beating its own forecast for a fifth consecutive quarter amid strong pandemic growth, some investors were surprised why Twilio stocks were pulling back on Thursday’s intraday trading. Despite having posted a strong first-quarter earnings report on Wednesday, TWLO stock didn’t receive an immediate boost and many are punishing the stock because the company projected a June quarter loss that would be wider than Wall Street has been expecting.</p><p><blockquote>在大流行病强劲增长的情况下,Twilio 的股价连续第五个季度轻松超出了自己的预期,一些投资者对 Twilio 的股价在周四的盘中交易中回落感到惊讶。尽管周三公布了强劲的第一季度财报,但 TWLO 的股票并没有立即得到提振,许多人都在惩罚该股,因为该公司预计 6 月份的季度亏损幅度将超过华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97cd2f79ff5e32f41eb0cd9aba0292c8\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: TD Ameritrade TOS</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:德美利证券服务条款</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter, revenue came in 62% higher to $590 million, beating analysts’ estimates of $532.9 million. The company also posted a dollar-based net expansion rate of 133%. This simply means that existing customers increased their spending by 33%. Overall, the company has brought in another solid quarter, but investors appear to be treading cautiously.</p><p><blockquote>本季度收入增长 62%,达到 5.9 亿美元,超过分析师预期的 5.329 亿美元。该公司还公布了以美元计算的净增长率为 133%。这仅仅意味着现有客户的支出增加了33%。总体而言,该公司又迎来了一个稳健的季度,但投资者似乎持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Jeff Lawson believes the shift in the way companies engage with their customers is driving a generational opportunity for Twilio. Now, TWLO stock is not exactly cheap by any measure. However, if you believe that the company could grow into its valuation, should you buy TWLO stock on its recent weakness?</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官 Jeff Lawson 认为,公司与客户互动方式的转变正在为 Twilio 带来一代人的机遇。现在,无论以何种标准衡量,TWLO 股票都并不便宜。然而,如果您相信该公司的估值可以增长,您是否应该在 TWLO 股票最近疲软时购买其股票?</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603171495471","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cheap Stocks To Buy? 4 Cloud Computing Stocks To Know<blockquote>值得购买的便宜股票?需要了解的 4 只云计算股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCheap Stocks To Buy? 4 Cloud Computing Stocks To Know<blockquote>值得购买的便宜股票?需要了解的 4 只云计算股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Nasdaq</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 13:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Should Investors Buy These Cloud Stocks Amid The Recent Pullback?</p><p><blockquote>在最近的回调中,投资者应该购买这些云股票吗?</blockquote></p><p> 2020 was a banner year forcloud computing stocks. In the past year, if you wanted to make money, the easiest way was to buy top cloud computing stocks in thestock market. Thanks to the coronavirus pandemic, demand for cloud services skyrocketed to all-time highs. With companies focusing on digital acceleration, cloud infrastructure is vital to have. Being able to conveniently store and access company data is paramount as companies are still pushing their projects and innovations amidst these troubled times. Investors and companies seem to be aware of these trends. For instance, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has enjoyed a strong increase in revenue in the cloud segment as reflected from their latest financials.</p><p><blockquote>2020 年是云计算股票的辉煌一年。在过去的一年里,如果你想赚钱,最简单的方法就是在股票市场上购买顶级云计算股票。由于冠状病毒疫情,对云服务的需求飙升至历史最高水平。随着公司专注于数字加速,云基础设施至关重要。能够方便地存储和访问公司数据至关重要,因为在这个困难时期,公司仍在推进他们的项目和创新。投资者和公司似乎都意识到了这些趋势。例如,微软(纳斯达克股票代码:MSFT)在云领域的收入强劲增长,这反映在他们最新的财务报告中。</blockquote></p><p> There’s no denying that valuations are still high despite the recent pullback. Some say thesetop cloud stocksare priced to perfection. As such, when there’s a slight disappointment in their earnings report, it is enough to send these stocks sliding. But technology is sticky. Many companies are not going to uproot their software abruptly. The benefits from cloud apps will continue to manifest even after offices reopen. Thus, many of the best cloud stocks to watch will continue to benefit. Let’s put it this way. You can think of it as the growth being pulled forward, but there is still plenty of growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>不可否认,尽管最近有所回落,但估值仍然很高。有人说顶级云股票的定价非常完美。因此,当他们的财报出现轻微令人失望时,就足以让这些股票下滑。但是技术是粘性的。许多公司不会突然连根拔起他们的软件。即使在办公室重新开放后,云应用的好处仍将继续显现。因此,许多最值得关注的云股票将继续受益。这么说吧。你可以把它看作是增长被拉动,但前面还有很多增长。</blockquote></p><p> With the increasing viability of cloud computing, it could appear to some as a profitable endeavor. However, there is no such thing as easy gains. Even the most seasoned investors would have a challenge sorting the wheat from the chaff in this ever-growing industry. Some may stay clear from cloud stocks amid the recent weakness, but others may see the dip as an opportunity to buy at discounts. If you are with the latter, do you have these cloud stocks on your watchlist in thestock market today?</p><p><blockquote>随着云计算的可行性越来越强,对一些人来说,这似乎是一项有利可图的努力。然而,世上没有轻松的收获。在这个不断增长的行业中,即使是最有经验的投资者也很难将小麦从谷壳中分离出来。在最近的疲软中,一些人可能会远离云股票,但其他人可能会将下跌视为打折买入的机会。如果你是后者,你今天在股市的观察名单上有这些云股票吗?</blockquote></p><p> Cloud Computing Stocks To Watch In 2021</p><p><blockquote>2021年值得关注的云计算股票</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b>Cloudflare Inc.</b>(NYSE: NET)</li> <li><b>Fastly Inc.</b>(NYSE: FSLY)</li> <li><b>Amazon.com Inc.</b>(NASDAQ: AMZN)</li> <li><b>Twilio Inc.</b>(NYSE: TWLO)</li> </ul> Cloudflare</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>Cloudflare公司。</b>(纽约证券交易所代码:NET)</li><li><b>快速公司。</b>(纽约证券交易所代码:FSLY)</li><li><b>亚马逊公司。</b>(纳斯达克:AMZN)</li><li><b>特维利奥公司。</b>(纽约证券交易所代码:TWLO)</li></ul>云耀斑</blockquote></p><p> Cloudflare is possibly one of the most exciting cloud companies to look out for if you are investing for the long term. For those unfamiliar with the business, Cloudflare’s aim is to build a better and safer internet. Some of the company’s potential growth drivers include serverless computing, internet of things (IoT), and 5G. These present massive opportunities for the company to tap into. With more businesses moving their operations to the cloud, Cloudflare could see explosive growth in this burgeoning cybersecurity industry. That’s because of its role in safeguarding and speeding up the internet.</p><p><blockquote>如果你是长期投资,Cloudflare可能是最令人兴奋的云公司之一。对于那些不熟悉这项业务的人来说,Cloudflare 的目标是建立一个更好、更安全的互联网。该公司的一些潜在增长动力包括无服务器计算、物联网(IoT)和 5G。这些为公司提供了巨大的机会。随着越来越多的企业将运营转移到云端,Cloudflare可能会在这个新兴的网络安全行业中看到爆炸式增长。这是因为它在保护和加速互联网方面发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98f0d4f49f85277ad8149a042646e49c\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: TD Ameritrade TOS</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:德美利证券服务条款</blockquote></p><p> “<i>Firing on all cylinders, we’ve already announced or delivered more than 100 products and capabilities this year. There’s no slowing down as we continue to deliver business-critical offerings and displace point solutions with Cloudflare’s robust global network.”-</i>Matthew Prince, CEO, and co-founder.</p><p><blockquote>“<i>今年,我们已经宣布或交付了 100 多种产品和功能。随着我们继续提供关键业务产品,并利用 Cloudflare 强大的全球网络取代点解决方案,速度不会放缓。”-</i>马修·普林斯,首席执行官兼联合创始人。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported its first-quarter earnings on Thursday, in which revenue rose 51% year-over-year to $138.1 million. The network security and content delivery network (CDN) provider also sees strong large customer growth, with a record addition of roughly 120 large customers in the quarter. More importantly, large customers now represent greater than 50% of revenue. Following these earnings, the NET stock is now trading 7.14% higher in pre-market trading as of 7.09 a.m. ET. With such strong fundamentals, should investors buy NET stock right now?</p><p><blockquote>该公司周四公布了第一季度财报,收入同比增长 51%,达到 1.381 亿美元。这家网络安全和内容交付网络 (CDN) 提供商也看到了强劲的大客户增长,本季度新增了约 120 家大客户,创下历史新高。更重要的是,大客户现在占收入的50%以上。公布这些财报后,截至美国东部时间上午 7 点 09 分,净股价在盘前交易中上涨了 7.14%。在基本面如此强劲的情况下,投资者现在应该买入净股票吗?</blockquote></p><p> <b>[Read More]</b> Best Tech Stocks To Buy Now? 4 Names To Know</p><p><blockquote><b>[阅读全文]</b>现在最值得购买的科技股?4个要知道的名字</blockquote></p><p> Fastly</p><p><blockquote>快速</blockquote></p><p> Fastly was one hot stock to watch in 2020. The company is a key player in the CDN space. Arguably, the real trick up Fastly’s sleeves are its edge computing capabilities. But the reason many investors are paying attention to Fastly right now is that FSLY stock was tumbling, closing nearly 30% lower on Thursday’s intraday trading. This came as the edge-computing specialist came up slightly short of estimates in its first-quarter earnings report. Separately, CFO Adriel Lares stepping down as CFO also spooked investors.</p><p><blockquote>Fastly 是 2020 年值得关注的热门股票。该公司是CDN领域的关键参与者。可以说,Fastly 真正的诀窍是它的边缘计算能力。但许多投资者现在都在关注 Fastly 的原因是,FSLY 股票正在暴跌,在周四的盘中交易中收盘下跌了近 30%。与此同时,这家边缘计算专家在第一季度收益报告中的业绩略低于预期。另外,首席财务官 Adriel Lares 辞去首席财务官职务也让投资者感到恐慌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/739c26a7d97dc3c4dea22c32f05794e8\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: TD Ameritrade TOS</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:德美利证券服务条款</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But let’s take a step back and digest these earnings carefully. Do you think FSLY stock is being overly punished here? Fastly’s revenue came in 35% in the quarter to $84.9 million, which was only slightly short of estimates at $85.1 million. While the net retention rate was slightly lower than its previous quarter, its total customer count actually increased from 2,084 in the fourth quarter to 2,207. Sure, the company may have missed top and bottom-line estimates, but the difference was only marginal.</p><p><blockquote>但让我们后退一步,仔细消化这些收益。您认为 FSLY 股票在这里受到了过度惩罚吗?Fastly 本季度收入增长了 35%,达到 8490 万美元,仅略低于预期的 8510 万美元。虽然净保留率略低于上一季度,但其客户总数实际上从第四季度的2,084家增加到2,207家。当然,该公司可能没有达到营收和利润预期,但差异只是微乎其微。</blockquote></p><p> According to CEO Joshua Bixby, the company observed that many of the trends that emerged last year appear to have become permanent, even as the economy reopens. He believes Fastly is uniquely positioned to serve companies as they adjust to this new reality. Thus, would you consider buying FSLY stock on the dip?</p><p><blockquote>据首席执行官约书亚·比克斯比(Joshua Bixby)称,该公司观察到,即使经济重新开放,去年出现的许多趋势似乎已经成为永久性的。他认为,Fastly 具有独特的优势,可以在公司适应这一新现实时为其提供服务。因此,您会考虑逢低买入 FSLY 股票吗?</blockquote></p><p> <b>Read More</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阅读更多</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Hot Stocks To Buy? 4 Growth Stocks To Watch</li> <li>Most Active Stocks To Buy Today? 4 Renewable Energy Stocks To Consider</li> </ul> Amazon.com</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>值得买入的热门股票?4只值得关注的成长股</li><li>今天最值得购买的活跃股票?4 只值得考虑的可再生能源股票</li></ul>亚马逊</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is a multinational technology company that focuses on e-commerce and cloud computing. The company has been one of the most influential economic forces in the world and is also one of the world’s most valuable brands. AMZN stock surged to an all-time high of $3,554 before retreating to a current level of around $3,300. That initially seems like a “<i>buy the rumor, sell the news</i>” kind of trade for traders, especially after a strong earnings beat.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是一家专注于电子商务和云计算的跨国科技公司。该公司一直是世界上最具影响力的经济力量之一,也是世界上最有价值的品牌之一。AMZN 股价飙升至 3,554 美元的历史高点,然后回落至目前 3,300 美元左右的水平。起初,这似乎是一个“<i>买谣言,卖新闻</i>“对交易员来说是一种交易,尤其是在盈利强劲之后。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0aa69c958c58628e910c48f96fca81e9\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: TD Ameritrade TOS</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:德美利证券服务条款</blockquote></p><p> An interesting fact is, not only are traders taking some profit, CEO Jeff Bezos this week sold nearly $2 billion worth of AMZN stock. He previously said he’d sell about $1 billion in AMZN stock each year to fund his space exploration company, Blue Origin.</p><p><blockquote>一个有趣的事实是,不仅交易员获利了结,首席执行官杰夫·贝索斯本周还出售了价值近 20 亿美元的亚马逊股票。他此前曾表示,他每年将出售约 10 亿美元的亚马逊股票,为他的太空探索公司蓝色起源提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> In case you have missed it, the company reported net sales of $108.5 billion in the first quarter, a 44% increase year-over-year. Net income increased to $8.1 billion for the quarter or $15.79 per diluted share. The company also ended the quarter with a free cash flow of $26.4 billion. Looking ahead, Amazon said it expects to generate revenue between $110 billion and $116 billion for Q2. All things considered, would you say that AMZN stock is trading at an attractive valuation right now?</p><p><blockquote>如果您错过了,该公司公布第一季度净销售额为 1085 亿美元,同比增长 44%。本季度净利润增至 81 亿美元,稀释后每股收益为 15.79 美元。该公司本季度末的自由现金流也为 264 亿美元。展望未来,亚马逊表示,预计第二季度的收入将在 1100 亿至 1160 亿美元之间。综合考虑,您认为 AMZN 股票目前的估值很有吸引力吗?</blockquote></p><p> <b>[Read More]</b> 4 Top Fintech Stocks To Watch After PayPal Reported Record Earnings</p><p><blockquote><b>[阅读全文]</b>PayPal公布创纪录收益后值得关注的 4 只顶级金融科技股</blockquote></p><p> Twilio</p><p><blockquote>特维利奥</blockquote></p><p> After easily beating its own forecast for a fifth consecutive quarter amid strong pandemic growth, some investors were surprised why Twilio stocks were pulling back on Thursday’s intraday trading. Despite having posted a strong first-quarter earnings report on Wednesday, TWLO stock didn’t receive an immediate boost and many are punishing the stock because the company projected a June quarter loss that would be wider than Wall Street has been expecting.</p><p><blockquote>在大流行病强劲增长的情况下,Twilio 的股价连续第五个季度轻松超出了自己的预期,一些投资者对 Twilio 的股价在周四的盘中交易中回落感到惊讶。尽管周三公布了强劲的第一季度财报,但 TWLO 的股票并没有立即得到提振,许多人都在惩罚该股,因为该公司预计 6 月份的季度亏损幅度将超过华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97cd2f79ff5e32f41eb0cd9aba0292c8\" tg-width=\"759\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Source: TD Ameritrade TOS</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:德美利证券服务条款</blockquote></p><p> For the quarter, revenue came in 62% higher to $590 million, beating analysts’ estimates of $532.9 million. The company also posted a dollar-based net expansion rate of 133%. This simply means that existing customers increased their spending by 33%. Overall, the company has brought in another solid quarter, but investors appear to be treading cautiously.</p><p><blockquote>本季度收入增长 62%,达到 5.9 亿美元,超过分析师预期的 5.329 亿美元。该公司还公布了以美元计算的净增长率为 133%。这仅仅意味着现有客户的支出增加了33%。总体而言,该公司又迎来了一个稳健的季度,但投资者似乎持谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> CEO Jeff Lawson believes the shift in the way companies engage with their customers is driving a generational opportunity for Twilio. Now, TWLO stock is not exactly cheap by any measure. However, if you believe that the company could grow into its valuation, should you buy TWLO stock on its recent weakness?</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官 Jeff Lawson 认为,公司与客户互动方式的转变正在为 Twilio 带来一代人的机遇。现在,无论以何种标准衡量,TWLO 股票都并不便宜。然而,如果您相信该公司的估值可以增长,您是否应该在 TWLO 股票最近疲软时购买其股票?</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/cheap-stocks-to-buy-4-cloud-computing-stocks-to-know-2021-05-07\">Nasdaq</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TWLO":"Twilio Inc","FSLY":"Fastly, Inc.","NET":"Cloudflare, Inc.","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/cheap-stocks-to-buy-4-cloud-computing-stocks-to-know-2021-05-07","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162850808","content_text":"Should Investors Buy These Cloud Stocks Amid The Recent Pullback?\n2020 was a banner year forcloud computing stocks. In the past year, if you wanted to make money, the easiest way was to buy top cloud computing stocks in thestock market. Thanks to the coronavirus pandemic, demand for cloud services skyrocketed to all-time highs. With companies focusing on digital acceleration, cloud infrastructure is vital to have. Being able to conveniently store and access company data is paramount as companies are still pushing their projects and innovations amidst these troubled times. Investors and companies seem to be aware of these trends. For instance, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) has enjoyed a strong increase in revenue in the cloud segment as reflected from their latest financials.\nThere’s no denying that valuations are still high despite the recent pullback. Some say thesetop cloud stocksare priced to perfection. As such, when there’s a slight disappointment in their earnings report, it is enough to send these stocks sliding. But technology is sticky. Many companies are not going to uproot their software abruptly. The benefits from cloud apps will continue to manifest even after offices reopen. Thus, many of the best cloud stocks to watch will continue to benefit. Let’s put it this way. You can think of it as the growth being pulled forward, but there is still plenty of growth ahead.\nWith the increasing viability of cloud computing, it could appear to some as a profitable endeavor. However, there is no such thing as easy gains. Even the most seasoned investors would have a challenge sorting the wheat from the chaff in this ever-growing industry. Some may stay clear from cloud stocks amid the recent weakness, but others may see the dip as an opportunity to buy at discounts. If you are with the latter, do you have these cloud stocks on your watchlist in thestock market today?\nCloud Computing Stocks To Watch In 2021\n\nCloudflare Inc.(NYSE: NET)\nFastly Inc.(NYSE: FSLY)\nAmazon.com Inc.(NASDAQ: AMZN)\nTwilio Inc.(NYSE: TWLO)\n\nCloudflare\nCloudflare is possibly one of the most exciting cloud companies to look out for if you are investing for the long term. For those unfamiliar with the business, Cloudflare’s aim is to build a better and safer internet. Some of the company’s potential growth drivers include serverless computing, internet of things (IoT), and 5G. These present massive opportunities for the company to tap into. With more businesses moving their operations to the cloud, Cloudflare could see explosive growth in this burgeoning cybersecurity industry. That’s because of its role in safeguarding and speeding up the internet.\nSource: TD Ameritrade TOS\n“Firing on all cylinders, we’ve already announced or delivered more than 100 products and capabilities this year. There’s no slowing down as we continue to deliver business-critical offerings and displace point solutions with Cloudflare’s robust global network.”-Matthew Prince, CEO, and co-founder.\nThe company reported its first-quarter earnings on Thursday, in which revenue rose 51% year-over-year to $138.1 million. The network security and content delivery network (CDN) provider also sees strong large customer growth, with a record addition of roughly 120 large customers in the quarter. More importantly, large customers now represent greater than 50% of revenue. Following these earnings, the NET stock is now trading 7.14% higher in pre-market trading as of 7.09 a.m. ET. With such strong fundamentals, should investors buy NET stock right now?\n[Read More] Best Tech Stocks To Buy Now? 4 Names To Know\nFastly\nFastly was one hot stock to watch in 2020. The company is a key player in the CDN space. Arguably, the real trick up Fastly’s sleeves are its edge computing capabilities. But the reason many investors are paying attention to Fastly right now is that FSLY stock was tumbling, closing nearly 30% lower on Thursday’s intraday trading. This came as the edge-computing specialist came up slightly short of estimates in its first-quarter earnings report. Separately, CFO Adriel Lares stepping down as CFO also spooked investors.\nSource: TD Ameritrade TOS\nBut let’s take a step back and digest these earnings carefully. Do you think FSLY stock is being overly punished here? Fastly’s revenue came in 35% in the quarter to $84.9 million, which was only slightly short of estimates at $85.1 million. While the net retention rate was slightly lower than its previous quarter, its total customer count actually increased from 2,084 in the fourth quarter to 2,207. Sure, the company may have missed top and bottom-line estimates, but the difference was only marginal.\nAccording to CEO Joshua Bixby, the company observed that many of the trends that emerged last year appear to have become permanent, even as the economy reopens. He believes Fastly is uniquely positioned to serve companies as they adjust to this new reality. Thus, would you consider buying FSLY stock on the dip?\nRead More\n\nHot Stocks To Buy? 4 Growth Stocks To Watch\nMost Active Stocks To Buy Today? 4 Renewable Energy Stocks To Consider\n\nAmazon.com\nAmazon is a multinational technology company that focuses on e-commerce and cloud computing. The company has been one of the most influential economic forces in the world and is also one of the world’s most valuable brands. AMZN stock surged to an all-time high of $3,554 before retreating to a current level of around $3,300. That initially seems like a “buy the rumor, sell the news” kind of trade for traders, especially after a strong earnings beat.\nSource: TD Ameritrade TOS\nAn interesting fact is, not only are traders taking some profit, CEO Jeff Bezos this week sold nearly $2 billion worth of AMZN stock. He previously said he’d sell about $1 billion in AMZN stock each year to fund his space exploration company, Blue Origin.\nIn case you have missed it, the company reported net sales of $108.5 billion in the first quarter, a 44% increase year-over-year. Net income increased to $8.1 billion for the quarter or $15.79 per diluted share. The company also ended the quarter with a free cash flow of $26.4 billion. Looking ahead, Amazon said it expects to generate revenue between $110 billion and $116 billion for Q2. All things considered, would you say that AMZN stock is trading at an attractive valuation right now?\n[Read More] 4 Top Fintech Stocks To Watch After PayPal Reported Record Earnings\nTwilio\nAfter easily beating its own forecast for a fifth consecutive quarter amid strong pandemic growth, some investors were surprised why Twilio stocks were pulling back on Thursday’s intraday trading. Despite having posted a strong first-quarter earnings report on Wednesday, TWLO stock didn’t receive an immediate boost and many are punishing the stock because the company projected a June quarter loss that would be wider than Wall Street has been expecting.\nSource: TD Ameritrade TOS\nFor the quarter, revenue came in 62% higher to $590 million, beating analysts’ estimates of $532.9 million. The company also posted a dollar-based net expansion rate of 133%. This simply means that existing customers increased their spending by 33%. Overall, the company has brought in another solid quarter, but investors appear to be treading cautiously.\nCEO Jeff Lawson believes the shift in the way companies engage with their customers is driving a generational opportunity for Twilio. Now, TWLO stock is not exactly cheap by any measure. However, if you believe that the company could grow into its valuation, should you buy TWLO stock on its recent weakness?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TWLO":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"FSLY":0.9,"NET":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":376602014,"gmtCreate":1619106080938,"gmtModify":1634288491326,"author":{"id":"3571614044609884","authorId":"3571614044609884","name":"Cyou2","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a385102af21e008d83ec34e819d2fe8","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3571614044609884","authorIdStr":"3571614044609884"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/376602014","repostId":"2129533898","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}