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2021-03-16

$Can Fite Biofarma(CANF)$Why…

2021-04-29

$Atossa Genetics(ATOS)$Are we expecting something to come?

2021-02-22

$Can-Fite Biopharma Ltd(CANF)$谁来救我呢？😂

2021-03-04

$LifeMD Inc.(LFMD)$Climbing back up?

2021-03-16

$KemPharm, Inc.(KMPH)$Sold off and the momentum picks up, nice!

2021-11-16

$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$What now…

2021-03-18

Interesting article, lots to learn from Buffett insights

9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote>

2021-03-16

Any opinions on this?

2021-03-16

$Sigma Labs, Inc(SGLB)$Let's do this!

2021-03-05

$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$Brutal…

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITRM\">$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$</a>What now…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITRM\">$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$</a>What now…","text":"$Iterum Therapeutics Plc(ITRM)$What now…","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18012873878a4d09e4a49d867d1e4c26","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871267039","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":100495144,"gmtCreate":1619626662188,"gmtModify":1631884385836,"author":{"id":"3570686478315687","authorId":"3570686478315687","name":"GneustisM","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570686478315687","authorIdStr":"3570686478315687"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATOS\">$Atossa Genetics(ATOS)$</a>Are we expecting something to come?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATOS\">$Atossa Genetics(ATOS)$</a>Are we expecting something to come?","text":"$Atossa Genetics(ATOS)$Are we expecting something to come?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/140ddd0e197294d318cfa5a06d4ca750","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100495144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":927,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327332384,"gmtCreate":1616057952548,"gmtModify":1703496994482,"author":{"id":"3570686478315687","authorId":"3570686478315687","name":"GneustisM","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570686478315687","authorIdStr":"3570686478315687"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Interesting article, lots to learn from Buffett insights","listText":"Interesting article, lots to learn from Buffett insights","text":"Interesting article, lots to learn from Buffett insights","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327332384","repostId":"1144305771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144305771","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616052165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144305771?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-18 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144305771","media":"GoBankingRates","summary":"This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.\nWhen Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—an","content":"<p>This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么你应该接受沃伦·巴菲特的建议。</blockquote></p><p> When Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a&nbsp;bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特讲话时，全世界都会倾听——他们应该倾听。毕竟，他是有史以来最成功的投资者之一，也是世界第四大富豪。巴菲特在 10 周内通过押注雪佛龙公司赚取了超过 10 亿美元的收入，他短暂地成为有史以来仅有的六位净资产增长到 12 位数的人之一，尽管他目前的净资产已回到 1000 亿美元以下。他是伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的首席执行官，该公司是巴菲特与他的投资伙伴查尔斯-芒格共同经营的控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> His prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.</p><p><blockquote>他对股票和整个市场的先见之明为他赢得了 “奥马哈先知 ”的绰号，以纪念他居住的内布拉斯加州。巴菲特在 2017 年 9 月提出了他最引人注目的市场预测之一，当时他预测到 2117 年道琼斯工业平均指数将达到 1,000,000 点。</blockquote></p><p> While Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然巴菲特不会亲眼看到他的预测是否会成真，但这反映了他一生对美国经济实力和美国股市长期韧性的信念。以下是他最成功、最重要的一些投资预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America Will Rise Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行将再次崛起</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>2011年，美国银行正遭受次贷危机的余震。由于该股交易价格低于每股 7 美元，而前一年为 19 美元，巴菲特嗅到了便宜货，购买了美国银行 50 亿美元的优先股。</blockquote></p><p> The preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.</p><p><blockquote>优先股支付了6%的高额收益率，导致公司每年支付3.36亿美元的股息。更好的是，优先股附带认股权证，允许巴菲特以每股 7.14 美元的价格购买 7 亿股美国银行股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.</p><p><blockquote>当时，巴菲特在他的年度投资信中做出了这样的预测： “我们购买 7 亿股美国银行股票的认股权证在到期前可能会非常有价值。”当巴菲特在2017年行使认股权证时，他赚了120亿美元。如今，美国银行的交易价格约为每股 37.40 美元，巴菲特以每股 24.24 美元的平均价格购买了伯克希尔超过 10.3 亿股股票，这是他投资组合中的第二大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Time to Start Investing is Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在是开始投资的时候了</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is&nbsp;the time to start investing.”</p><p><blockquote>1974 年底，当道琼斯指数跌破 600 点时，巴菲特告诉《福布斯》杂志，他对市场的看法 “.就像后宫里一个性欲亢进的男人。现在是开始投资的时候了”。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”</p><p><blockquote>到那次采访发表时，道琼斯指数已经攀升了近15%，达到660点。巴菲特的预测是在 1973 年至 1974 年臭名昭著的熊市之后做出的。也许比任何其他预测都更能凸显巴菲特的哲学：“别人贪婪时恐惧，别人恐惧时贪婪”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市回报率将为6%</b></blockquote></p><p> In 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.</p><p><blockquote>1999 年，股市接近令人难以置信的上涨结束。从1982年开始，市场开始大幅上涨，1995年至1999年的收益率分别为37.58%、22.96%、33.36%、28.58%和21.04%。在所有这些热情中，奥马哈先知做出了一个戏剧性的、长期的、反趋势的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自信地预测，未来17年的股市回报将与前17年截然不同。事实上，他认为未来 17 年 “最有可能的回报率 ”是 6%。</blockquote></p><p> By 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.</p><p><blockquote>到 2016 年，在 17 年期间结束时，股票的回报率为 5.9%——在如此长的时间内，这是一个惊人的准确预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Index Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指数基金的表现将优于对冲基金</b></blockquote></p><p> What might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&amp;P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最引人注目的预测可能出现在 2007 年，当时他提出下注 50 万美元，认为在接下来的 10 年里，如果算上费用，标普500指数的表现将超过对冲基金的投资组合。Protege Partners 的对冲基金经理 Ted Seides 接受了这个赌注。</blockquote></p><p> When 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&amp;P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that&nbsp;indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.</p><p><blockquote>2017年到来时，赛德斯是不得不付出代价的人。事实上，这个赌注是如此的不平衡，以至于塞德斯在整个10年到期之前就认输了。当时，Seides 的基金集合年收益率仅为 2.2%，而标普500指数的年收益率超过 7%，从而支持了巴菲特的观点，即指数化通常可以击败主动管理基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs is Down But Not Out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛下跌但尚未出局</b></blockquote></p><p> In late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.</p><p><blockquote>2008年9月下旬，投资银行高盛是一个受伤的巨人，陷入了它帮助制造的金融内爆的漩涡中。巴菲特预测高盛不仅会生存下来，还会蓬勃发展，于是向该公司投资了 50 亿美元。作为交换，高盛给了巴菲特优先股，每年支付惊人的10%的收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.</p><p><blockquote>此外，巴菲特还获得了 50 亿美元的认股权证，允许他以每股 115 美元的价格购买该股票。到 2013 年，巴菲特的预测以惊人的准确性成真了--他在市场低迷时进行投资，获得了 32 亿美元的利润。当然，你和你的401k可能不会像巴菲特那样获得优先认股权证地位，但如果你在巴菲特那样扣动扳机，你仍然会大赚一笔。2008 年 11 月，高盛股价低于 80 美元，目前徘徊在 344 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐是长期买入</b></blockquote></p><p> One of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在股市上最大的胜利之一可以追溯到 1988 年开始的一项投资，那一年他首次买入了可口可乐公司。如今，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司拥有 4 亿股股票，占公司股份的 9% 以上。1988年1月1日，可口可乐的交易价格为2.39美元。虽然该股经历了起伏，但今天的交易价格已超过每股 50 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes&nbsp;the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”</p><p><blockquote>在许多方面，可口可乐是沃伦·巴菲特整个投资方法的缩影——长期持有业绩良好、商业模式熟悉的老牌大公司。巴菲特对樱桃可乐的热爱堪称传奇——他在投资百事可乐近50年后转而投资。他平均每天喝五罐这种东西——相当于垃圾债券的营养成分——总共占他每日热量摄入量的25%。他曾在 2015 年对《财富》杂志说过一句名言：“我有四分之一的可口可乐”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks Are Cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> Another one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus</p><p><blockquote>尽管有病毒的阻碍，巴菲特的另一个更著名的预测还是实现了</blockquote></p><p> On Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年 2 月 27 日，巴菲特对 CNBC 的贝基-奎克（Becky Quick）说：“.我们并不处于泡沫领域，或任何类似的情况”，尽管许多市场观察人士表示，当前的牛市正在变得泡沫化。事实上，巴菲特继续说道：“以利率衡量，与历史估值相比，股票实际上是便宜的。”换句话说，巴菲特预测股票被低估，是时候再次买入了。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特做出这一预测的当天，道琼斯工业平均指数收盘价为 20,837.44 点。仅仅七个多月后，道琼斯指数达到 22,773.67 点，上涨 9.29%。快进到 2020 年 3 月 10 日，在新的新冠疫情救济措施通过后，道琼斯指数飙升至 32,297.02 点，再次创下收盘价纪录。这比巴菲特下注当天该指数收盘价上涨了 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Home Capital Group Is Undervalued</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Home Capital Group被低估</b></blockquote></p><p> In mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年年中，巴菲特将业务范围扩展到美国以外，投资了加拿大贷款机构 Home Capital Group。与巴菲特的许多其他交易一样，他从一开始就在这次收购中获得了一笔划算的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特以9%至9.5%的利率借给该公司15亿美元。巴菲特还有权以比市场价格折扣 20% 的价格购买该公司股票，并预测他购买后该公司股票将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易使他能够以每股 10 美元的价格收购 Home Capital。2020 年 3 月 15 日，其交易价格为 32.50 美元，这意味着巴菲特的投资加上零钱将增加两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买入并持有伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One of&nbsp;Buffett’s best investments of all time&nbsp;was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特有史以来最好的投资之一就是他现在经营的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司。1964 年，该公司提出以每股 11.50 美元的价格购买巴菲特的股票，巴菲特同意了。后来，该公司降低了报价，这迫使巴菲特不仅取消了出售，还购买了足够的股票来控制公司，并解雇了降低最初报价的经理。巴菲特用他的钱包再次预测伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股价会随着时间的推移而上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Once again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的预言再次成真。现在，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的一股股票售价约为 281,000 美元。作为巴菲特持有时间最长的投资，伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司提醒投资者，“买入并持有 ”确实可以带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616052142951","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">GoBankingRates</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-18 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么你应该接受沃伦·巴菲特的建议。</blockquote></p><p> When Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a&nbsp;bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特讲话时，全世界都会倾听——他们应该倾听。毕竟，他是有史以来最成功的投资者之一，也是世界第四大富豪。巴菲特在 10 周内通过押注雪佛龙公司赚取了超过 10 亿美元的收入，他短暂地成为有史以来仅有的六位净资产增长到 12 位数的人之一，尽管他目前的净资产已回到 1000 亿美元以下。他是伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的首席执行官，该公司是巴菲特与他的投资伙伴查尔斯-芒格共同经营的控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> His prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.</p><p><blockquote>他对股票和整个市场的先见之明为他赢得了 “奥马哈先知 ”的绰号，以纪念他居住的内布拉斯加州。巴菲特在 2017 年 9 月提出了他最引人注目的市场预测之一，当时他预测到 2117 年道琼斯工业平均指数将达到 1,000,000 点。</blockquote></p><p> While Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然巴菲特不会亲眼看到他的预测是否会成真，但这反映了他一生对美国经济实力和美国股市长期韧性的信念。以下是他最成功、最重要的一些投资预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America Will Rise Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行将再次崛起</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>2011年，美国银行正遭受次贷危机的余震。由于该股交易价格低于每股 7 美元，而前一年为 19 美元，巴菲特嗅到了便宜货，购买了美国银行 50 亿美元的优先股。</blockquote></p><p> The preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.</p><p><blockquote>优先股支付了6%的高额收益率，导致公司每年支付3.36亿美元的股息。更好的是，优先股附带认股权证，允许巴菲特以每股 7.14 美元的价格购买 7 亿股美国银行股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.</p><p><blockquote>当时，巴菲特在他的年度投资信中做出了这样的预测： “我们购买 7 亿股美国银行股票的认股权证在到期前可能会非常有价值。”当巴菲特在2017年行使认股权证时，他赚了120亿美元。如今，美国银行的交易价格约为每股 37.40 美元，巴菲特以每股 24.24 美元的平均价格购买了伯克希尔超过 10.3 亿股股票，这是他投资组合中的第二大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Time to Start Investing is Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在是开始投资的时候了</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is&nbsp;the time to start investing.”</p><p><blockquote>1974 年底，当道琼斯指数跌破 600 点时，巴菲特告诉《福布斯》杂志，他对市场的看法 “.就像后宫里一个性欲亢进的男人。现在是开始投资的时候了”。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”</p><p><blockquote>到那次采访发表时，道琼斯指数已经攀升了近15%，达到660点。巴菲特的预测是在 1973 年至 1974 年臭名昭著的熊市之后做出的。也许比任何其他预测都更能凸显巴菲特的哲学：“别人贪婪时恐惧，别人恐惧时贪婪”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市回报率将为6%</b></blockquote></p><p> In 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.</p><p><blockquote>1999 年，股市接近令人难以置信的上涨结束。从1982年开始，市场开始大幅上涨，1995年至1999年的收益率分别为37.58%、22.96%、33.36%、28.58%和21.04%。在所有这些热情中，奥马哈先知做出了一个戏剧性的、长期的、反趋势的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自信地预测，未来17年的股市回报将与前17年截然不同。事实上，他认为未来 17 年 “最有可能的回报率 ”是 6%。</blockquote></p><p> By 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.</p><p><blockquote>到 2016 年，在 17 年期间结束时，股票的回报率为 5.9%——在如此长的时间内，这是一个惊人的准确预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Index Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指数基金的表现将优于对冲基金</b></blockquote></p><p> What might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&amp;P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最引人注目的预测可能出现在 2007 年，当时他提出下注 50 万美元，认为在接下来的 10 年里，如果算上费用，标普500指数的表现将超过对冲基金的投资组合。Protege Partners 的对冲基金经理 Ted Seides 接受了这个赌注。</blockquote></p><p> When 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&amp;P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that&nbsp;indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.</p><p><blockquote>2017年到来时，赛德斯是不得不付出代价的人。事实上，这个赌注是如此的不平衡，以至于塞德斯在整个10年到期之前就认输了。当时，Seides 的基金集合年收益率仅为 2.2%，而标普500指数的年收益率超过 7%，从而支持了巴菲特的观点，即指数化通常可以击败主动管理基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs is Down But Not Out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛下跌但尚未出局</b></blockquote></p><p> In late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.</p><p><blockquote>2008年9月下旬，投资银行高盛是一个受伤的巨人，陷入了它帮助制造的金融内爆的漩涡中。巴菲特预测高盛不仅会生存下来，还会蓬勃发展，于是向该公司投资了 50 亿美元。作为交换，高盛给了巴菲特优先股，每年支付惊人的10%的收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.</p><p><blockquote>此外，巴菲特还获得了 50 亿美元的认股权证，允许他以每股 115 美元的价格购买该股票。到 2013 年，巴菲特的预测以惊人的准确性成真了--他在市场低迷时进行投资，获得了 32 亿美元的利润。当然，你和你的401k可能不会像巴菲特那样获得优先认股权证地位，但如果你在巴菲特那样扣动扳机，你仍然会大赚一笔。2008 年 11 月，高盛股价低于 80 美元，目前徘徊在 344 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐是长期买入</b></blockquote></p><p> One of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在股市上最大的胜利之一可以追溯到 1988 年开始的一项投资，那一年他首次买入了可口可乐公司。如今，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司拥有 4 亿股股票，占公司股份的 9% 以上。1988年1月1日，可口可乐的交易价格为2.39美元。虽然该股经历了起伏，但今天的交易价格已超过每股 50 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes&nbsp;the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”</p><p><blockquote>在许多方面，可口可乐是沃伦·巴菲特整个投资方法的缩影——长期持有业绩良好、商业模式熟悉的老牌大公司。巴菲特对樱桃可乐的热爱堪称传奇——他在投资百事可乐近50年后转而投资。他平均每天喝五罐这种东西——相当于垃圾债券的营养成分——总共占他每日热量摄入量的25%。他曾在 2015 年对《财富》杂志说过一句名言：“我有四分之一的可口可乐”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks Are Cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> Another one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus</p><p><blockquote>尽管有病毒的阻碍，巴菲特的另一个更著名的预测还是实现了</blockquote></p><p> On Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年 2 月 27 日，巴菲特对 CNBC 的贝基-奎克（Becky Quick）说：“.我们并不处于泡沫领域，或任何类似的情况”，尽管许多市场观察人士表示，当前的牛市正在变得泡沫化。事实上，巴菲特继续说道：“以利率衡量，与历史估值相比，股票实际上是便宜的。”换句话说，巴菲特预测股票被低估，是时候再次买入了。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特做出这一预测的当天，道琼斯工业平均指数收盘价为 20,837.44 点。仅仅七个多月后，道琼斯指数达到 22,773.67 点，上涨 9.29%。快进到 2020 年 3 月 10 日，在新的新冠疫情救济措施通过后，道琼斯指数飙升至 32,297.02 点，再次创下收盘价纪录。这比巴菲特下注当天该指数收盘价上涨了 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Home Capital Group Is Undervalued</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Home Capital Group被低估</b></blockquote></p><p> In mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年年中，巴菲特将业务范围扩展到美国以外，投资了加拿大贷款机构 Home Capital Group。与巴菲特的许多其他交易一样，他从一开始就在这次收购中获得了一笔划算的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特以9%至9.5%的利率借给该公司15亿美元。巴菲特还有权以比市场价格折扣 20% 的价格购买该公司股票，并预测他购买后该公司股票将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易使他能够以每股 10 美元的价格收购 Home Capital。2020 年 3 月 15 日，其交易价格为 32.50 美元，这意味着巴菲特的投资加上零钱将增加两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买入并持有伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One of&nbsp;Buffett’s best investments of all time&nbsp;was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特有史以来最好的投资之一就是他现在经营的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司。1964 年，该公司提出以每股 11.50 美元的价格购买巴菲特的股票，巴菲特同意了。后来，该公司降低了报价，这迫使巴菲特不仅取消了出售，还购买了足够的股票来控制公司，并解雇了降低最初报价的经理。巴菲特用他的钱包再次预测伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股价会随着时间的推移而上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Once again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的预言再次成真。现在，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的一股股票售价约为 281,000 美元。作为巴菲特持有时间最长的投资，伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司提醒投资者，“买入并持有 ”确实可以带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/stocks/times-warren-buffett-predicted-stock-market-accurately/#10\">GoBankingRates</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛","BAC":"美国银行","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","KO":"可口可乐","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","HMCBF":"Home Capital Group Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/stocks/times-warren-buffett-predicted-stock-market-accurately/#10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144305771","content_text":"This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.\nWhen Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.\nHis prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.\nWhile Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.\nBank of America Will Rise Again\nIn 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.\nThe preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.\nAt the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.\nThe Time to Start Investing is Now\nBuffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is the time to start investing.”\nBy the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”\nStock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent\nIn 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.\nBuffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.\nBy 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.\nIndex Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds\nWhat might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.\nWhen 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.\nGoldman Sachs is Down But Not Out\nIn late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.\nAdditionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.\nCoca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy\nOne of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.\nIn many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”\nStocks Are Cheap\nAnother one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus\nOn Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.\nThe Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.\nHome Capital Group Is Undervalued\nIn mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.\nBuffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.\nThe stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.\nBuy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway\nOne of Buffett’s best investments of all time was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.\nOnce again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"HMCBF":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"KO":0.9,"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325609509,"gmtCreate":1615890767801,"gmtModify":1703494543151,"author":{"id":"3570686478315687","authorId":"3570686478315687","name":"GneustisM","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570686478315687","authorIdStr":"3570686478315687"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Any opinions on this?","listText":"Any opinions on this?","text":"Any opinions on this?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637d40f71d891e964f6519ec5a213ed1","width":"1080","height":"2256"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325609509","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325875106,"gmtCreate":1615890453905,"gmtModify":1703494537352,"author":{"id":"3570686478315687","authorId":"3570686478315687","name":"GneustisM","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570686478315687","authorIdStr":"3570686478315687"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CANF\">$Can Fite Biofarma(CANF)$</a>Why…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CANF\">$Can Fite Biofarma(CANF)$</a>Why…","text":"$Can Fite 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insights","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327332384","repostId":"1144305771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144305771","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616052165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144305771?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-18 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144305771","media":"GoBankingRates","summary":"This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.\nWhen Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—an","content":"<p>This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么你应该接受沃伦·巴菲特的建议。</blockquote></p><p> When Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a&nbsp;bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特讲话时，全世界都会倾听——他们应该倾听。毕竟，他是有史以来最成功的投资者之一，也是世界第四大富豪。巴菲特在 10 周内通过押注雪佛龙公司赚取了超过 10 亿美元的收入，他短暂地成为有史以来仅有的六位净资产增长到 12 位数的人之一，尽管他目前的净资产已回到 1000 亿美元以下。他是伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的首席执行官，该公司是巴菲特与他的投资伙伴查尔斯-芒格共同经营的控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> His prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.</p><p><blockquote>他对股票和整个市场的先见之明为他赢得了 “奥马哈先知 ”的绰号，以纪念他居住的内布拉斯加州。巴菲特在 2017 年 9 月提出了他最引人注目的市场预测之一，当时他预测到 2117 年道琼斯工业平均指数将达到 1,000,000 点。</blockquote></p><p> While Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然巴菲特不会亲眼看到他的预测是否会成真，但这反映了他一生对美国经济实力和美国股市长期韧性的信念。以下是他最成功、最重要的一些投资预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America Will Rise Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行将再次崛起</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>2011年，美国银行正遭受次贷危机的余震。由于该股交易价格低于每股 7 美元，而前一年为 19 美元，巴菲特嗅到了便宜货，购买了美国银行 50 亿美元的优先股。</blockquote></p><p> The preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.</p><p><blockquote>优先股支付了6%的高额收益率，导致公司每年支付3.36亿美元的股息。更好的是，优先股附带认股权证，允许巴菲特以每股 7.14 美元的价格购买 7 亿股美国银行股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.</p><p><blockquote>当时，巴菲特在他的年度投资信中做出了这样的预测： “我们购买 7 亿股美国银行股票的认股权证在到期前可能会非常有价值。”当巴菲特在2017年行使认股权证时，他赚了120亿美元。如今，美国银行的交易价格约为每股 37.40 美元，巴菲特以每股 24.24 美元的平均价格购买了伯克希尔超过 10.3 亿股股票，这是他投资组合中的第二大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Time to Start Investing is Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在是开始投资的时候了</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is&nbsp;the time to start investing.”</p><p><blockquote>1974 年底，当道琼斯指数跌破 600 点时，巴菲特告诉《福布斯》杂志，他对市场的看法 “.就像后宫里一个性欲亢进的男人。现在是开始投资的时候了”。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”</p><p><blockquote>到那次采访发表时，道琼斯指数已经攀升了近15%，达到660点。巴菲特的预测是在 1973 年至 1974 年臭名昭著的熊市之后做出的。也许比任何其他预测都更能凸显巴菲特的哲学：“别人贪婪时恐惧，别人恐惧时贪婪”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市回报率将为6%</b></blockquote></p><p> In 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.</p><p><blockquote>1999 年，股市接近令人难以置信的上涨结束。从1982年开始，市场开始大幅上涨，1995年至1999年的收益率分别为37.58%、22.96%、33.36%、28.58%和21.04%。在所有这些热情中，奥马哈先知做出了一个戏剧性的、长期的、反趋势的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自信地预测，未来17年的股市回报将与前17年截然不同。事实上，他认为未来 17 年 “最有可能的回报率 ”是 6%。</blockquote></p><p> By 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.</p><p><blockquote>到 2016 年，在 17 年期间结束时，股票的回报率为 5.9%——在如此长的时间内，这是一个惊人的准确预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Index Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指数基金的表现将优于对冲基金</b></blockquote></p><p> What might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&amp;P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最引人注目的预测可能出现在 2007 年，当时他提出下注 50 万美元，认为在接下来的 10 年里，如果算上费用，标普500指数的表现将超过对冲基金的投资组合。Protege Partners 的对冲基金经理 Ted Seides 接受了这个赌注。</blockquote></p><p> When 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&amp;P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that&nbsp;indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.</p><p><blockquote>2017年到来时，赛德斯是不得不付出代价的人。事实上，这个赌注是如此的不平衡，以至于塞德斯在整个10年到期之前就认输了。当时，Seides 的基金集合年收益率仅为 2.2%，而标普500指数的年收益率超过 7%，从而支持了巴菲特的观点，即指数化通常可以击败主动管理基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs is Down But Not Out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛下跌但尚未出局</b></blockquote></p><p> In late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.</p><p><blockquote>2008年9月下旬，投资银行高盛是一个受伤的巨人，陷入了它帮助制造的金融内爆的漩涡中。巴菲特预测高盛不仅会生存下来，还会蓬勃发展，于是向该公司投资了 50 亿美元。作为交换，高盛给了巴菲特优先股，每年支付惊人的10%的收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.</p><p><blockquote>此外，巴菲特还获得了 50 亿美元的认股权证，允许他以每股 115 美元的价格购买该股票。到 2013 年，巴菲特的预测以惊人的准确性成真了--他在市场低迷时进行投资，获得了 32 亿美元的利润。当然，你和你的401k可能不会像巴菲特那样获得优先认股权证地位，但如果你在巴菲特那样扣动扳机，你仍然会大赚一笔。2008 年 11 月，高盛股价低于 80 美元，目前徘徊在 344 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐是长期买入</b></blockquote></p><p> One of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在股市上最大的胜利之一可以追溯到 1988 年开始的一项投资，那一年他首次买入了可口可乐公司。如今，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司拥有 4 亿股股票，占公司股份的 9% 以上。1988年1月1日，可口可乐的交易价格为2.39美元。虽然该股经历了起伏，但今天的交易价格已超过每股 50 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes&nbsp;the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”</p><p><blockquote>在许多方面，可口可乐是沃伦·巴菲特整个投资方法的缩影——长期持有业绩良好、商业模式熟悉的老牌大公司。巴菲特对樱桃可乐的热爱堪称传奇——他在投资百事可乐近50年后转而投资。他平均每天喝五罐这种东西——相当于垃圾债券的营养成分——总共占他每日热量摄入量的25%。他曾在 2015 年对《财富》杂志说过一句名言：“我有四分之一的可口可乐”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks Are Cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> Another one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus</p><p><blockquote>尽管有病毒的阻碍，巴菲特的另一个更著名的预测还是实现了</blockquote></p><p> On Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年 2 月 27 日，巴菲特对 CNBC 的贝基-奎克（Becky Quick）说：“.我们并不处于泡沫领域，或任何类似的情况”，尽管许多市场观察人士表示，当前的牛市正在变得泡沫化。事实上，巴菲特继续说道：“以利率衡量，与历史估值相比，股票实际上是便宜的。”换句话说，巴菲特预测股票被低估，是时候再次买入了。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特做出这一预测的当天，道琼斯工业平均指数收盘价为 20,837.44 点。仅仅七个多月后，道琼斯指数达到 22,773.67 点，上涨 9.29%。快进到 2020 年 3 月 10 日，在新的新冠疫情救济措施通过后，道琼斯指数飙升至 32,297.02 点，再次创下收盘价纪录。这比巴菲特下注当天该指数收盘价上涨了 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Home Capital Group Is Undervalued</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Home Capital Group被低估</b></blockquote></p><p> In mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年年中，巴菲特将业务范围扩展到美国以外，投资了加拿大贷款机构 Home Capital Group。与巴菲特的许多其他交易一样，他从一开始就在这次收购中获得了一笔划算的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特以9%至9.5%的利率借给该公司15亿美元。巴菲特还有权以比市场价格折扣 20% 的价格购买该公司股票，并预测他购买后该公司股票将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易使他能够以每股 10 美元的价格收购 Home Capital。2020 年 3 月 15 日，其交易价格为 32.50 美元，这意味着巴菲特的投资加上零钱将增加两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买入并持有伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One of&nbsp;Buffett’s best investments of all time&nbsp;was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特有史以来最好的投资之一就是他现在经营的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司。1964 年，该公司提出以每股 11.50 美元的价格购买巴菲特的股票，巴菲特同意了。后来，该公司降低了报价，这迫使巴菲特不仅取消了出售，还购买了足够的股票来控制公司，并解雇了降低最初报价的经理。巴菲特用他的钱包再次预测伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股价会随着时间的推移而上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Once again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的预言再次成真。现在，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的一股股票售价约为 281,000 美元。作为巴菲特持有时间最长的投资，伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司提醒投资者，“买入并持有 ”确实可以带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616052142951","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特9次准确预测股市</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">GoBankingRates</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-18 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么你应该接受沃伦·巴菲特的建议。</blockquote></p><p> When Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a&nbsp;bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特讲话时，全世界都会倾听——他们应该倾听。毕竟，他是有史以来最成功的投资者之一，也是世界第四大富豪。巴菲特在 10 周内通过押注雪佛龙公司赚取了超过 10 亿美元的收入，他短暂地成为有史以来仅有的六位净资产增长到 12 位数的人之一，尽管他目前的净资产已回到 1000 亿美元以下。他是伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的首席执行官，该公司是巴菲特与他的投资伙伴查尔斯-芒格共同经营的控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> His prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.</p><p><blockquote>他对股票和整个市场的先见之明为他赢得了 “奥马哈先知 ”的绰号，以纪念他居住的内布拉斯加州。巴菲特在 2017 年 9 月提出了他最引人注目的市场预测之一，当时他预测到 2117 年道琼斯工业平均指数将达到 1,000,000 点。</blockquote></p><p> While Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然巴菲特不会亲眼看到他的预测是否会成真，但这反映了他一生对美国经济实力和美国股市长期韧性的信念。以下是他最成功、最重要的一些投资预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America Will Rise Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行将再次崛起</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>2011年，美国银行正遭受次贷危机的余震。由于该股交易价格低于每股 7 美元，而前一年为 19 美元，巴菲特嗅到了便宜货，购买了美国银行 50 亿美元的优先股。</blockquote></p><p> The preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.</p><p><blockquote>优先股支付了6%的高额收益率，导致公司每年支付3.36亿美元的股息。更好的是，优先股附带认股权证，允许巴菲特以每股 7.14 美元的价格购买 7 亿股美国银行股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.</p><p><blockquote>当时，巴菲特在他的年度投资信中做出了这样的预测： “我们购买 7 亿股美国银行股票的认股权证在到期前可能会非常有价值。”当巴菲特在2017年行使认股权证时，他赚了120亿美元。如今，美国银行的交易价格约为每股 37.40 美元，巴菲特以每股 24.24 美元的平均价格购买了伯克希尔超过 10.3 亿股股票，这是他投资组合中的第二大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Time to Start Investing is Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在是开始投资的时候了</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is&nbsp;the time to start investing.”</p><p><blockquote>1974 年底，当道琼斯指数跌破 600 点时，巴菲特告诉《福布斯》杂志，他对市场的看法 “.就像后宫里一个性欲亢进的男人。现在是开始投资的时候了”。</blockquote></p><p> By the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”</p><p><blockquote>到那次采访发表时，道琼斯指数已经攀升了近15%，达到660点。巴菲特的预测是在 1973 年至 1974 年臭名昭著的熊市之后做出的。也许比任何其他预测都更能凸显巴菲特的哲学：“别人贪婪时恐惧，别人恐惧时贪婪”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市回报率将为6%</b></blockquote></p><p> In 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.</p><p><blockquote>1999 年，股市接近令人难以置信的上涨结束。从1982年开始，市场开始大幅上涨，1995年至1999年的收益率分别为37.58%、22.96%、33.36%、28.58%和21.04%。在所有这些热情中，奥马哈先知做出了一个戏剧性的、长期的、反趋势的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自信地预测，未来17年的股市回报将与前17年截然不同。事实上，他认为未来 17 年 “最有可能的回报率 ”是 6%。</blockquote></p><p> By 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.</p><p><blockquote>到 2016 年，在 17 年期间结束时，股票的回报率为 5.9%——在如此长的时间内，这是一个惊人的准确预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Index Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指数基金的表现将优于对冲基金</b></blockquote></p><p> What might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&amp;P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最引人注目的预测可能出现在 2007 年，当时他提出下注 50 万美元，认为在接下来的 10 年里，如果算上费用，标普500指数的表现将超过对冲基金的投资组合。Protege Partners 的对冲基金经理 Ted Seides 接受了这个赌注。</blockquote></p><p> When 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&amp;P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that&nbsp;indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.</p><p><blockquote>2017年到来时，赛德斯是不得不付出代价的人。事实上，这个赌注是如此的不平衡，以至于塞德斯在整个10年到期之前就认输了。当时，Seides 的基金集合年收益率仅为 2.2%，而标普500指数的年收益率超过 7%，从而支持了巴菲特的观点，即指数化通常可以击败主动管理基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs is Down But Not Out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛下跌但尚未出局</b></blockquote></p><p> In late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.</p><p><blockquote>2008年9月下旬，投资银行高盛是一个受伤的巨人，陷入了它帮助制造的金融内爆的漩涡中。巴菲特预测高盛不仅会生存下来，还会蓬勃发展，于是向该公司投资了 50 亿美元。作为交换，高盛给了巴菲特优先股，每年支付惊人的10%的收益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.</p><p><blockquote>此外，巴菲特还获得了 50 亿美元的认股权证，允许他以每股 115 美元的价格购买该股票。到 2013 年，巴菲特的预测以惊人的准确性成真了--他在市场低迷时进行投资，获得了 32 亿美元的利润。当然，你和你的401k可能不会像巴菲特那样获得优先认股权证地位，但如果你在巴菲特那样扣动扳机，你仍然会大赚一笔。2008 年 11 月，高盛股价低于 80 美元，目前徘徊在 344 美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐是长期买入</b></blockquote></p><p> One of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特在股市上最大的胜利之一可以追溯到 1988 年开始的一项投资，那一年他首次买入了可口可乐公司。如今，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司拥有 4 亿股股票，占公司股份的 9% 以上。1988年1月1日，可口可乐的交易价格为2.39美元。虽然该股经历了起伏，但今天的交易价格已超过每股 50 美元。</blockquote></p><p> In many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes&nbsp;the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”</p><p><blockquote>在许多方面，可口可乐是沃伦·巴菲特整个投资方法的缩影——长期持有业绩良好、商业模式熟悉的老牌大公司。巴菲特对樱桃可乐的热爱堪称传奇——他在投资百事可乐近50年后转而投资。他平均每天喝五罐这种东西——相当于垃圾债券的营养成分——总共占他每日热量摄入量的25%。他曾在 2015 年对《财富》杂志说过一句名言：“我有四分之一的可口可乐”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks Are Cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> Another one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus</p><p><blockquote>尽管有病毒的阻碍，巴菲特的另一个更著名的预测还是实现了</blockquote></p><p> On Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年 2 月 27 日，巴菲特对 CNBC 的贝基-奎克（Becky Quick）说：“.我们并不处于泡沫领域，或任何类似的情况”，尽管许多市场观察人士表示，当前的牛市正在变得泡沫化。事实上，巴菲特继续说道：“以利率衡量，与历史估值相比，股票实际上是便宜的。”换句话说，巴菲特预测股票被低估，是时候再次买入了。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特做出这一预测的当天，道琼斯工业平均指数收盘价为 20,837.44 点。仅仅七个多月后，道琼斯指数达到 22,773.67 点，上涨 9.29%。快进到 2020 年 3 月 10 日，在新的新冠疫情救济措施通过后，道琼斯指数飙升至 32,297.02 点，再次创下收盘价纪录。这比巴菲特下注当天该指数收盘价上涨了 50% 以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Home Capital Group Is Undervalued</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Home Capital Group被低估</b></blockquote></p><p> In mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.</p><p><blockquote>2017 年年中，巴菲特将业务范围扩展到美国以外，投资了加拿大贷款机构 Home Capital Group。与巴菲特的许多其他交易一样，他从一开始就在这次收购中获得了一笔划算的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特以9%至9.5%的利率借给该公司15亿美元。巴菲特还有权以比市场价格折扣 20% 的价格购买该公司股票，并预测他购买后该公司股票将会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易使他能够以每股 10 美元的价格收购 Home Capital。2020 年 3 月 15 日，其交易价格为 32.50 美元，这意味着巴菲特的投资加上零钱将增加两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>买入并持有伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One of&nbsp;Buffett’s best investments of all time&nbsp;was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特有史以来最好的投资之一就是他现在经营的伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司。1964 年，该公司提出以每股 11.50 美元的价格购买巴菲特的股票，巴菲特同意了。后来，该公司降低了报价，这迫使巴菲特不仅取消了出售，还购买了足够的股票来控制公司，并解雇了降低最初报价的经理。巴菲特用他的钱包再次预测伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股价会随着时间的推移而上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Once again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的预言再次成真。现在，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的一股股票售价约为 281,000 美元。作为巴菲特持有时间最长的投资，伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司提醒投资者，“买入并持有 ”确实可以带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/stocks/times-warren-buffett-predicted-stock-market-accurately/#10\">GoBankingRates</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛","BAC":"美国银行","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","KO":"可口可乐","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","HMCBF":"Home Capital Group Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/stocks/times-warren-buffett-predicted-stock-market-accurately/#10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144305771","content_text":"This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.\nWhen Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.\nHis prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.\nWhile Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.\nBank of America Will Rise Again\nIn 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.\nThe preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.\nAt the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.\nThe Time to Start Investing is Now\nBuffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is the time to start investing.”\nBy the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”\nStock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent\nIn 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.\nBuffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.\nBy 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.\nIndex Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds\nWhat might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.\nWhen 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.\nGoldman Sachs is Down But Not Out\nIn late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.\nAdditionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.\nCoca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy\nOne of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.\nIn many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”\nStocks Are Cheap\nAnother one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus\nOn Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.\nThe Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.\nHome Capital Group Is Undervalued\nIn mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.\nBuffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.\nThe stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.\nBuy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway\nOne of Buffett’s best investments of all time was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.\nOnce again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BAC":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"HMCBF":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"KO":0.9,"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":325609509,"gmtCreate":1615890767801,"gmtModify":1703494543151,"author":{"id":"3570686478315687","authorId":"3570686478315687","name":"GneustisM","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570686478315687","authorIdStr":"3570686478315687"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Any opinions on this?","listText":"Any opinions on this?","text":"Any opinions on this?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/637d40f71d891e964f6519ec5a213ed1","width":"1080","height":"2256"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325609509","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":322764366,"gmtCreate":1615830842755,"gmtModify":1703493777870,"author":{"id":"3570686478315687","authorId":"3570686478315687","name":"GneustisM","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570686478315687","authorIdStr":"3570686478315687"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SGLB\">$Sigma Labs, Inc(SGLB)$</a>Let's do this!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SGLB\">$Sigma Labs, Inc(SGLB)$</a>Let's do this!","text":"$Sigma Labs, Inc(SGLB)$Let's do this!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e61c878ad6987537c877385e179524d5","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322764366","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":367694029,"gmtCreate":1614942157161,"gmtModify":1703483237226,"author":{"id":"3570686478315687","authorId":"3570686478315687","name":"GneustisM","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570686478315687","authorIdStr":"3570686478315687"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NNDM\">$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$</a>Brutal…","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NNDM\">$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$</a>Brutal…","text":"$Nano Dimension(NNDM)$Brutal…","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0da8ae530755804a159e2740431c2bb","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/367694029","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}