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JaydenOh
2021-02-18
Like pls
抱歉,原内容已删除
JaydenOh
2021-03-03
Wow like pls
U.S. stocks slip as economic data disappoints and bond yields spike<blockquote>经济数据令人失望和债券收益率飙升,美国股市下滑</blockquote>
JaydenOh
2021-02-22
Nio nio nio.
抱歉,原内容已删除
JaydenOh
2021-02-24
Huat ah!
Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote>
JaydenOh
2021-02-17
👍👍
Why the stock market’s ‘worst-case’ scenario depends on these 3 ingredients<blockquote>为什么股市的“最坏情况”取决于这三个因素</blockquote>
JaydenOh
2021-03-01
Monday up?
抱歉,原内容已删除
JaydenOh
2021-02-27
Wow
Why QuantumScape Stock Rose Then Fell Thursday<blockquote>为什么 QuantumScape 股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>
JaydenOh
2021-02-18
$SRI TRANG AGRO-INDUSTRY PCL(NC2.SI)$
can it fly to 2 dollars? Or 2.33 @ div yield 3%?
JaydenOh
2021-02-28
Wow
抱歉,原内容已删除
JaydenOh
2021-02-23
$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$
after results 2?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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will shake again? ","listText":"Market will shake again? ","text":"Market will shake again?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3280f344bb31fd453125cc71195db57","width":"946","height":"2048"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699134227","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":186043992,"gmtCreate":1623466783016,"gmtModify":1634032781805,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186043992","repostId":"114899451","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":114899451,"gmtCreate":1623063308869,"gmtModify":1631884627596,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎7周年】集卡瓜分百万奖金","htmlText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了,集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金,你准备好了吗? <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> 如何参与? 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡,每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母,用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券,每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡(不包括好友赠予和魔法卡)。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户(注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间),即可获得一张魔法卡(每人仅可获得一张魔法卡)。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0,则字母卡为灰色,用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片;如果用户的字母卡数量大于0,则字母卡为彩色,用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。  如何获得奖励? 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖,所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮,即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。 奖励发放: 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心,用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活动奖励】领取,过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示: 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区,由于各地区的监管要求不同,不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情,请点击下方活动链接,登陆您的账号,并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","listText":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了,集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金,你准备好了吗? <a href=\"https://www.itiger.com/activity/market/2021/7th-anniversary?lang=zh_CN\" target=\"_blank\">戳我即可参与活动</a> 如何参与? 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡,每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母,用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券,每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡(不包括好友赠予和魔法卡)。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户(注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间),即可获得一张魔法卡(每人仅可获得一张魔法卡)。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0,则字母卡为灰色,用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片;如果用户的字母卡数量大于0,则字母卡为彩色,用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。  如何获得奖励? 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖,所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮,即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。 奖励发放: 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心,用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活动奖励】领取,过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示: 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区,由于各地区的监管要求不同,不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情,请点击下方活动链接,登陆您的账号,并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","text":"老虎7周年给大家发福利了,集齐TIGER五个字母即有机会瓜分百万奖金,你准备好了吗? 戳我即可参与活动 \u0001如何参与? 用户可通过完成活动页面展示的当日任务列表来获得字母卡,每完成一个任务即可随机获得一个字母,用户集齐“TIGER”五个字母即可参与瓜分百万股票代金券,每个用户单日最多可获得20张字母卡(不包括好友赠予和魔法卡)。 用户在活动期间邀请累计7名好友完成注册并开户(注册时间和开户时间均在活动期间),即可获得一张魔法卡(每人仅可获得一张魔法卡)。魔法卡可用于兑换TIGER中的任意一个字母。\u0001如果用户的某一字母卡数量为0,则字母卡为灰色,用户可通过点击灰色的字母卡向好友索要卡片;如果用户的字母卡数量大于0,则字母卡为彩色,用户可通过点击彩色的字母卡向好友赠送卡片。当用户集齐TIGER之后将无法再索要卡片或者赠送卡片。 \u0001 \u0001如何获得奖励? 用户可在2021年7月1日至2021年7月2日期间进行开奖,所有集齐TIGER的客户可点击活动页面的“开奖”按钮,即可查看自己瓜分到的股票代金券奖励。在开奖时间段内未点击开奖的用户将无法获得奖励。\u0001 奖励发放: 股票代金券将在开奖后的1个工作日内发放至用户的奖励中心,用户需要在奖励发放后的20天内前往【Tiger Trade APP > 我的 > 活动奖励】领取,过期未领取的奖励将自动失效。 重要提示: 本次7周年活动涉及不同国家和地区,由于各地区的监管要求不同,不同地区的活动奖励会有所区别。欲知详情,请点击下方活动链接,登陆您的账号,并点击“活动规则“查看详情。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab28db31a19b458d604a8bf02becddd3","width":"415","height":"125"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5227ebb594fe55b532c840acef147d7b","width":"415","height":"495"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e88357b534f504b3088bc22f577a83","width":"415","height":"326"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114899451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2396,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364068178,"gmtCreate":1614785678094,"gmtModify":1703481178161,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"This stock ok? ","listText":"This stock ok? ","text":"This stock ok?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/681aea04758cbdeaf1187b9cb150ab72","width":"1080","height":"2989"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364068178","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364069586,"gmtCreate":1614785582345,"gmtModify":1703481174690,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow like pls","listText":"Wow like pls","text":"Wow like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364069586","repostId":"1160849202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160849202","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614785336,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1160849202?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-03 23:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks slip as economic data disappoints and bond yields spike<blockquote>经济数据令人失望和债券收益率飙升,美国股市下滑</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160849202","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"(March 3) U.S. stocks slip Wednesday, as a jobs report showed weaker-than-expected recovery from the","content":"<p>(March 3) U.S. stocks slip Wednesday, as a jobs report showed weaker-than-expected recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic as the vaccine rollout accelerates.</p><p><blockquote>(3月3日)美国周三股市下跌,因为就业报告显示,随着疫苗推出的加速,COVID-19 大流行的复苏弱于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3399dfe258d8391f84cfd403172a6b33\" tg-width=\"659\" tg-height=\"288\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3f6210b94ae708b48a2dbc055aa5bea\" tg-width=\"1359\" tg-height=\"676\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e4a2277b0adcc52237df985f028e475\" tg-width=\"659\" tg-height=\"288\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f697a8cde91f6f6b2e373a8561965819\" tg-width=\"1359\" tg-height=\"676\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84bd8f37269d1bea7c373b3fa75cf423\" tg-width=\"659\" tg-height=\"288\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/218b9c2e63444d7e08607c1332b49c0e\" tg-width=\"1355\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks slip as economic data disappoints and bond yields spike<blockquote>经济数据令人失望和债券收益率飙升,美国股市下滑</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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","listText":"Monday up? ","text":"Monday up?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366733598","repostId":"1106176819","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366733341,"gmtCreate":1614561717583,"gmtModify":1703478192256,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366733341","repostId":"1181374212","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366552912,"gmtCreate":1614520261436,"gmtModify":1703477988279,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"To moon ","listText":"To moon ","text":"To moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366552912","repostId":"1146313632","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146313632","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614334339,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1146313632?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-26 18:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波幅期权</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146313632","media":"Options AI: Learn","summary":"Gamestop Corp. shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from ","content":"<p><b>Gamestop Corp.</b> shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from last week (but still down significantly from recent short squeeze highs). We'll look at the unique situations that arise in the options of a highly volatile stock like Gamestop and a few things that might be considered before trading options.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站公司</b>过去几天股价飙升,该股一度较上周上涨近 200%(但仍较最近的空头挤压高点大幅下跌)。我们将研究像游戏驿站这样高波动性股票的期权中出现的独特情况,以及在交易期权之前可能需要考虑的一些事情。</blockquote></p><p><hr><b>Gamestop: The Expected Move</b></p><p><blockquote><hr/><b>游戏驿站:预期之举</b></blockquote></p><p>First, a look at how options are pricing upcoming moves. Here's theOptions AIexpected move chart for Gamestop, with a nearly 30% move being priced into this Friday's close. And a roughly 80% move being priced for the next month. A month that includes an earnings event (unconfirmed):</p><p><blockquote>首先,看看期权如何为即将到来的走势定价。这是游戏驿站的期权 AI 预期走势图,截至本周五收盘,预计将上涨近 30%。下个月的定价约为 80%。包含盈利事件的月份(未经确认):</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e35872724d8db887fa09d822d622ac8c\" tg-width=\"568\" tg-height=\"817\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Gamestop: Call Spreads vs Outright Calls</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站:看涨期权价差 vs 彻底评级</blockquote></p><p>Using March 19th as an expiry we first looks at bullish spreads, and compare directly to outright calls. With a stock as volatile as Gamestop, calls can be expensive. Because of that, many traders resort to buying far out of the money calls. That demand for upside calls increases volatility in those calls, making them expensive relative to at-the-money calls – a phenomenon known as skew. However, for those that are bullish, this may create an opportunity to utilize spreads rather than buying an outright call. Let's see how.</p><p><blockquote>以 3 月 19 日为到期日,我们首先查看看涨价差,并直接与直接评级进行比较。对于像游戏驿站这样波动性很大的股票,评级的股价可能会很昂贵。正因为如此,许多交易者诉诸购买远远超出资金评级。对上行评级的需求增加了这些评级的波动性,使它们相对于平价评级变得昂贵——这种现象被称为倾斜。然而,对于那些看涨的人来说,这可能会创造一个利用价差而不是直接购买看涨期权的机会。让我们看看怎么做。</blockquote></p><p>Here we'll focus on one alternative – using debit spreads to lower the overall cost of a directional trade (while potentially improving the probability of profit of the trade itself by lowering the breakeven level). It does so by selling those relatively expensive out-the-money Calls to help finance the purchase of a nearer to at-the-money Call.</p><p><blockquote>在这里,我们将重点关注一种替代方案——使用借方利差来降低定向交易的总成本(同时通过降低盈亏平衡水平来提高交易本身的盈利概率)。它通过出售那些相对昂贵的平价评级来帮助购买更接近平价的看涨期权来做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p>With Gamestop near $105, the <b>March 19th 110/190 Debit Call Spread</b> is roughly $15 and targets the bullish expected move for March 19th. The debit call spread would need the stock to be above $125 on March 19th to be profitable.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站接近 105 美元,<b>3月19日110/190借方看涨期权利差</b>约为 15 美元,目标是 3 月 19 日的看涨预期走势。借方看涨期权利差需要股票在 3 月 19 日高于 125 美元才能盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a comparison, the GME March 19th 200 calls are trading $29. That's nearly twice the cost for a 200 call that needs the stock above $229 by March 19th… versus a call spread, that needs the stock above $125. Here's a side by side comparison of those two trades on the Options AI chart. First, the 200 call:</p><p><blockquote>相比之下,GME 3月19日200评级的交易价格为29美元。这几乎是 200 看涨期权成本的两倍,前者需要在 3 月 19 日之前股票价格高于 229 美元……而看涨期权价差则需要股票价格高于 125 美元。以下是期权人工智能图表上这两笔交易的并排比较。首先,200 看涨期权:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b044a22bfbe5a8326f9aa3ebf56ed4fd\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>And next, the 145/200 debit call spread:</p><p><blockquote>接下来,145/200借方看涨期权价差:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cdf8545f07da48f770ef81cb4e5ac53\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"792\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>As you can see, not only is the call spread less expensive, the point at which is becomes profitable to the upside is much closer to where the stock is currently trading. (As indicated by the grey price of the breakeven.)</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的,不仅看涨期权价差更便宜,而且上行盈利的点更接近股票当前的交易位置。(如盈亏平衡的灰色价格所示。)</blockquote></p><p>A note on probability of profit. The probability of profit displayed on these trades is based on the delta being assigned to the breakeven of the trade. The fact that a 200 call in a $105 stock is trading near 50 deltas shows just how distorting an effect Gamestop volatility is having on its options (hard to borrow, skew, retail demand for out-of-the-money calls).</p><p><blockquote>关于盈利概率的注释。这些交易显示的利润概率是基于分配给交易盈亏平衡点的增量。105 美元股票中 200 看涨期权的交易价格接近 50 个三角洲,这一事实表明游戏驿站波动性对其期权(难以借入、扭曲、散户对价外评级的需求)产生了多么扭曲的影响。</blockquote></p><p>Directional Butterflies vs Outright Puts</p><p><blockquote>定向蝴蝶与直接看跌期权</blockquote></p><p>High volatility also affects bearish options trades. One of the counter-intuitive aspects of a high volatility stock like Gamestop is that its implied volatility can go up as the stock goes higher and down as the stock goes lower. This is the opposite of how we generally think about volatility. Therefore, buying outright puts carries a risk of collapsing volatility (and therefore collapsing premiums) as the stock goes lower. So, even though the stock is moving in the intended direction, as an option holder you may not be realizing the gains expected.</p><p><blockquote>高波动性也会影响看跌期权交易。像游戏驿站这样的高波动性股票的一个反直觉方面是,其隐含波动性可能会随着股价上涨而上升,随着股价下跌而下降。这与我们通常对波动性的看法相反。因此,随着股价下跌,购买直接看跌期权存在波动性暴跌(因此溢价暴跌)的风险。因此,即使股票朝着预期的方向移动,作为期权持有者,您也可能无法实现预期的收益。</blockquote></p><p>One way to counter high implied volatility in a stock, especially when having a bearish view, is to be a net seller of option premium. To sell to bullish option traders rather than join bearish option traders. Traditionally that might take the form of selling a Credit Call Spread. But in GME's case that means buying the (expensive) upper strike Call at a higher volatility than the Call that is closer to the money (as described above).</p><p><blockquote>对抗股票高隐含波动性的一种方法,尤其是在持有看跌观点的情况下,就是成为期权费的净卖家。卖给看涨期权交易者,而不是加入看跌期权交易者。传统上,这可能采取出售信用看涨期权利差的形式。但就 GME 而言,这意味着以比更接近资金的看涨期权更高的波动性购买(昂贵的)上行看涨期权(如上所述)。</blockquote></p><p>So, one option strategy that can be considered by traders is using a Butterfly. An option trade that is more typically associated with a neutral trading view, but here adapted to actually create a targeted (bearish) directional view.</p><p><blockquote>因此,交易者可以考虑的一种期权策略是使用蝴蝶。一种更典型地与中性交易观点相关的期权交易,但在这里适应于实际创建一个有针对性的(看跌)方向观点。</blockquote></p><p>Here, as an example, is a Butterfly with its center strikes focused at $80 in the stock, with a March 19th expiry:</p><p><blockquote>例如,这里有一个蝴蝶,其中心打击集中在 80 美元的股票上,3 月 19 日到期:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cb8f9b0570e854f662f3031e50ca91\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p>This 130/80/30 butterfly has breakevens of 115 and 45, meaning the trade is profitable if the stock is between those two prices at March 19th expiry… with a max gain occurring if the stock is at or near $80. It has the additional dynamic of being short premium, and if the stock stays within its range would see mark to market gains if implied volatility compressed.</p><p><blockquote>这种130/80/30的蝴蝶有115和45的盈亏平衡点,这意味着如果股票在3月19日到期时介于这两个价格之间,交易是有利可图的……如果股票处于或接近80美元,则会出现最大收益。它具有空头溢价的额外动力,如果股票保持在其范围内,如果隐含波动性被压缩,市场将获得上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1614334070724","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波幅期权</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGamestop And High Volatility Options<blockquote>游戏驿站和高波幅期权</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Options AI: Learn</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-26 18:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Gamestop Corp.</b> shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from last week (but still down significantly from recent short squeeze highs). We'll look at the unique situations that arise in the options of a highly volatile stock like Gamestop and a few things that might be considered before trading options.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站公司</b>过去几天股价飙升,该股一度较上周上涨近 200%(但仍较最近的空头挤压高点大幅下跌)。我们将研究像游戏驿站这样高波动性股票的期权中出现的独特情况,以及在交易期权之前可能需要考虑的一些事情。</blockquote></p><p><hr><b>Gamestop: The Expected Move</b></p><p><blockquote><hr/><b>游戏驿站:预期之举</b></blockquote></p><p>First, a look at how options are pricing upcoming moves. Here's theOptions AIexpected move chart for Gamestop, with a nearly 30% move being priced into this Friday's close. And a roughly 80% move being priced for the next month. A month that includes an earnings event (unconfirmed):</p><p><blockquote>首先,看看期权如何为即将到来的走势定价。这是游戏驿站的期权 AI 预期走势图,截至本周五收盘,预计将上涨近 30%。下个月的定价约为 80%。包含盈利事件的月份(未经确认):</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e35872724d8db887fa09d822d622ac8c\" tg-width=\"568\" tg-height=\"817\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Gamestop: Call Spreads vs Outright Calls</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站:看涨期权价差 vs 彻底评级</blockquote></p><p>Using March 19th as an expiry we first looks at bullish spreads, and compare directly to outright calls. With a stock as volatile as Gamestop, calls can be expensive. Because of that, many traders resort to buying far out of the money calls. That demand for upside calls increases volatility in those calls, making them expensive relative to at-the-money calls – a phenomenon known as skew. However, for those that are bullish, this may create an opportunity to utilize spreads rather than buying an outright call. Let's see how.</p><p><blockquote>以 3 月 19 日为到期日,我们首先查看看涨价差,并直接与直接评级进行比较。对于像游戏驿站这样波动性很大的股票,评级的股价可能会很昂贵。正因为如此,许多交易者诉诸购买远远超出资金评级。对上行评级的需求增加了这些评级的波动性,使它们相对于平价评级变得昂贵——这种现象被称为倾斜。然而,对于那些看涨的人来说,这可能会创造一个利用价差而不是直接购买看涨期权的机会。让我们看看怎么做。</blockquote></p><p>Here we'll focus on one alternative – using debit spreads to lower the overall cost of a directional trade (while potentially improving the probability of profit of the trade itself by lowering the breakeven level). It does so by selling those relatively expensive out-the-money Calls to help finance the purchase of a nearer to at-the-money Call.</p><p><blockquote>在这里,我们将重点关注一种替代方案——使用借方利差来降低定向交易的总成本(同时通过降低盈亏平衡水平来提高交易本身的盈利概率)。它通过出售那些相对昂贵的平价评级来帮助购买更接近平价的看涨期权来做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p>With Gamestop near $105, the <b>March 19th 110/190 Debit Call Spread</b> is roughly $15 and targets the bullish expected move for March 19th. The debit call spread would need the stock to be above $125 on March 19th to be profitable.</p><p><blockquote>游戏驿站接近 105 美元,<b>3月19日110/190借方看涨期权利差</b>约为 15 美元,目标是 3 月 19 日的看涨预期走势。借方看涨期权利差需要股票在 3 月 19 日高于 125 美元才能盈利。</blockquote></p><p>As a comparison, the GME March 19th 200 calls are trading $29. That's nearly twice the cost for a 200 call that needs the stock above $229 by March 19th… versus a call spread, that needs the stock above $125. Here's a side by side comparison of those two trades on the Options AI chart. First, the 200 call:</p><p><blockquote>相比之下,GME 3月19日200评级的交易价格为29美元。这几乎是 200 看涨期权成本的两倍,前者需要在 3 月 19 日之前股票价格高于 229 美元……而看涨期权价差则需要股票价格高于 125 美元。以下是期权人工智能图表上这两笔交易的并排比较。首先,200 看涨期权:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b044a22bfbe5a8326f9aa3ebf56ed4fd\" tg-width=\"570\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>And next, the 145/200 debit call spread:</p><p><blockquote>接下来,145/200借方看涨期权价差:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cdf8545f07da48f770ef81cb4e5ac53\" tg-width=\"569\" tg-height=\"792\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>As you can see, not only is the call spread less expensive, the point at which is becomes profitable to the upside is much closer to where the stock is currently trading. (As indicated by the grey price of the breakeven.)</p><p><blockquote>正如您所看到的,不仅看涨期权价差更便宜,而且上行盈利的点更接近股票当前的交易位置。(如盈亏平衡的灰色价格所示。)</blockquote></p><p>A note on probability of profit. The probability of profit displayed on these trades is based on the delta being assigned to the breakeven of the trade. The fact that a 200 call in a $105 stock is trading near 50 deltas shows just how distorting an effect Gamestop volatility is having on its options (hard to borrow, skew, retail demand for out-of-the-money calls).</p><p><blockquote>关于盈利概率的注释。这些交易显示的利润概率是基于分配给交易盈亏平衡点的增量。105 美元股票中 200 看涨期权的交易价格接近 50 个三角洲,这一事实表明游戏驿站波动性对其期权(难以借入、扭曲、散户对价外评级的需求)产生了多么扭曲的影响。</blockquote></p><p>Directional Butterflies vs Outright Puts</p><p><blockquote>定向蝴蝶与直接看跌期权</blockquote></p><p>High volatility also affects bearish options trades. One of the counter-intuitive aspects of a high volatility stock like Gamestop is that its implied volatility can go up as the stock goes higher and down as the stock goes lower. This is the opposite of how we generally think about volatility. Therefore, buying outright puts carries a risk of collapsing volatility (and therefore collapsing premiums) as the stock goes lower. So, even though the stock is moving in the intended direction, as an option holder you may not be realizing the gains expected.</p><p><blockquote>高波动性也会影响看跌期权交易。像游戏驿站这样的高波动性股票的一个反直觉方面是,其隐含波动性可能会随着股价上涨而上升,随着股价下跌而下降。这与我们通常对波动性的看法相反。因此,随着股价下跌,购买直接看跌期权存在波动性暴跌(因此溢价暴跌)的风险。因此,即使股票朝着预期的方向移动,作为期权持有者,您也可能无法实现预期的收益。</blockquote></p><p>One way to counter high implied volatility in a stock, especially when having a bearish view, is to be a net seller of option premium. To sell to bullish option traders rather than join bearish option traders. Traditionally that might take the form of selling a Credit Call Spread. But in GME's case that means buying the (expensive) upper strike Call at a higher volatility than the Call that is closer to the money (as described above).</p><p><blockquote>对抗股票高隐含波动性的一种方法,尤其是在持有看跌观点的情况下,就是成为期权费的净卖家。卖给看涨期权交易者,而不是加入看跌期权交易者。传统上,这可能采取出售信用看涨期权利差的形式。但就 GME 而言,这意味着以比更接近资金的看涨期权更高的波动性购买(昂贵的)上行看涨期权(如上所述)。</blockquote></p><p>So, one option strategy that can be considered by traders is using a Butterfly. An option trade that is more typically associated with a neutral trading view, but here adapted to actually create a targeted (bearish) directional view.</p><p><blockquote>因此,交易者可以考虑的一种期权策略是使用蝴蝶。一种更典型地与中性交易观点相关的期权交易,但在这里适应于实际创建一个有针对性的(看跌)方向观点。</blockquote></p><p>Here, as an example, is a Butterfly with its center strikes focused at $80 in the stock, with a March 19th expiry:</p><p><blockquote>例如,这里有一个蝴蝶,其中心打击集中在 80 美元的股票上,3 月 19 日到期:</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cb8f9b0570e854f662f3031e50ca91\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p>This 130/80/30 butterfly has breakevens of 115 and 45, meaning the trade is profitable if the stock is between those two prices at March 19th expiry… with a max gain occurring if the stock is at or near $80. It has the additional dynamic of being short premium, and if the stock stays within its range would see mark to market gains if implied volatility compressed.</p><p><blockquote>这种130/80/30的蝴蝶有115和45的盈亏平衡点,这意味着如果股票在3月19日到期时介于这两个价格之间,交易是有利可图的……如果股票处于或接近80美元,则会出现最大收益。它具有空头溢价的额外动力,如果股票保持在其范围内,如果隐含波动性被压缩,市场将获得上涨。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://learn.optionsai.com/gamestop-and-high-volatility-options/\">Options AI: Learn</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://learn.optionsai.com/gamestop-and-high-volatility-options/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146313632","content_text":"Gamestop Corp. shares have soared the past few days with the stock up nearly 200% at one point from last week (but still down significantly from recent short squeeze highs). We'll look at the unique situations that arise in the options of a highly volatile stock like Gamestop and a few things that might be considered before trading options.Gamestop: The Expected MoveFirst, a look at how options are pricing upcoming moves. Here's theOptions AIexpected move chart for Gamestop, with a nearly 30% move being priced into this Friday's close. And a roughly 80% move being priced for the next month. A month that includes an earnings event (unconfirmed):Gamestop: Call Spreads vs Outright CallsUsing March 19th as an expiry we first looks at bullish spreads, and compare directly to outright calls. With a stock as volatile as Gamestop, calls can be expensive. Because of that, many traders resort to buying far out of the money calls. That demand for upside calls increases volatility in those calls, making them expensive relative to at-the-money calls – a phenomenon known as skew. However, for those that are bullish, this may create an opportunity to utilize spreads rather than buying an outright call. Let's see how.Here we'll focus on one alternative – using debit spreads to lower the overall cost of a directional trade (while potentially improving the probability of profit of the trade itself by lowering the breakeven level). It does so by selling those relatively expensive out-the-money Calls to help finance the purchase of a nearer to at-the-money Call.With Gamestop near $105, the March 19th 110/190 Debit Call Spread is roughly $15 and targets the bullish expected move for March 19th. The debit call spread would need the stock to be above $125 on March 19th to be profitable.As a comparison, the GME March 19th 200 calls are trading $29. That's nearly twice the cost for a 200 call that needs the stock above $229 by March 19th… versus a call spread, that needs the stock above $125. Here's a side by side comparison of those two trades on the Options AI chart. First, the 200 call:And next, the 145/200 debit call spread:As you can see, not only is the call spread less expensive, the point at which is becomes profitable to the upside is much closer to where the stock is currently trading. (As indicated by the grey price of the breakeven.)A note on probability of profit. The probability of profit displayed on these trades is based on the delta being assigned to the breakeven of the trade. The fact that a 200 call in a $105 stock is trading near 50 deltas shows just how distorting an effect Gamestop volatility is having on its options (hard to borrow, skew, retail demand for out-of-the-money calls).Directional Butterflies vs Outright PutsHigh volatility also affects bearish options trades. One of the counter-intuitive aspects of a high volatility stock like Gamestop is that its implied volatility can go up as the stock goes higher and down as the stock goes lower. This is the opposite of how we generally think about volatility. Therefore, buying outright puts carries a risk of collapsing volatility (and therefore collapsing premiums) as the stock goes lower. So, even though the stock is moving in the intended direction, as an option holder you may not be realizing the gains expected.One way to counter high implied volatility in a stock, especially when having a bearish view, is to be a net seller of option premium. To sell to bullish option traders rather than join bearish option traders. Traditionally that might take the form of selling a Credit Call Spread. But in GME's case that means buying the (expensive) upper strike Call at a higher volatility than the Call that is closer to the money (as described above).So, one option strategy that can be considered by traders is using a Butterfly. An option trade that is more typically associated with a neutral trading view, but here adapted to actually create a targeted (bearish) directional view.Here, as an example, is a Butterfly with its center strikes focused at $80 in the stock, with a March 19th expiry:This 130/80/30 butterfly has breakevens of 115 and 45, meaning the trade is profitable if the stock is between those two prices at March 19th expiry… with a max gain occurring if the stock is at or near $80. It has the additional dynamic of being short premium, and if the stock stays within its range would see mark to market gains if implied volatility compressed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2052,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366552099,"gmtCreate":1614520239811,"gmtModify":1703477987769,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366552099","repostId":"1117820997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366388720,"gmtCreate":1614395062360,"gmtModify":1703477253309,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366388720","repostId":"1103930774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103930774","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614334872,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1103930774?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-26 18:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why QuantumScape Stock Rose Then Fell Thursday<blockquote>为什么 QuantumScape 股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103930774","media":"Motley Fool ","summary":"The CEO of the solid-state EV battery maker that has garnered much investor interest gave an intervi","content":"<p>The CEO of the solid-state EV battery maker that has garnered much investor interest gave an interview today.</p><p><blockquote>这家备受投资者关注的固态电动汽车电池制造商的首席执行官今天接受了采访。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock of aspiring solid-state battery technology company <b>QuantumScape</b> (NYSE:QS) has certainly seen ups and downs. Movement in the stock today mirrored that pattern. After an early 10% jump, shares closed more than 3% lower on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>雄心勃勃的固态电池技术公司股票<b>量子景观</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:QS)当然经历了起起落落。今天该股的走势反映了这种模式。在早盘上涨 10% 后,该股周四收盘下跌超过 3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of the company are down more than 30% year to date after a triple-digit spike in late 2020. The company tends to trade with the electric-vehicle (EV) sector as a speculative stock hoping to revolutionize EV battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>继 2020 年底出现三位数飙升后,该公司股价今年迄今已下跌超过 30%。该公司倾向于将电动汽车 (EV) 行业作为投机性股票进行交易,希望彻底改变电动汽车电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Today, QuantumScape CEO Jagdeep Singh gave an interview to Yahoo! Finance, which may have contributed to the stock's volatile trading.</p><p><blockquote>今天,QuantumScape首席执行官Jagdeep Singh接受了雅虎的采访!财务,这可能导致了该股的波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> During today's interview, Singh reiterated some positive developments the company shared with investors last week in its earnings release. The company is working toward commercializing the solid-state battery technology that could provide EV makers with a safer, faster-charging battery that can also deliver longer ranges.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的采访中,辛格重申了该公司上周在财报发布中与投资者分享的一些积极进展。该公司正在努力将固态电池技术商业化,该技术可以为电动汽车制造商提供更安全、充电更快、续航里程更长的电池。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported it has successfully built its first multilayer battery cell with four layers. This helps confirm the technology is feasible. Singh added that he plans to scale up the technology to have an eight to 10-layer cell by the end of this year. That would allow the company to deliver sample cells to automotive manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>该公司报告称,它已经成功制造了第一个具有四层的多层电池。这有助于确认该技术是可行的。辛格补充说,他计划在今年年底前扩大该技术的规模,拥有8到10层电池。这将使该公司能够向汽车制造商提供样品电池。</blockquote></p><p> Singh also said there is interest from other sectors for the technology. \"Things like stationary storage for the grid, that's a really important application for batteries,\" Singh stated in the interview.</p><p><blockquote>辛格还表示,其他行业也对这项技术感兴趣。“像电网的固定存储这样的东西,对于电池来说是一个非常重要的应用,”辛格在采访中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Successful commercial production is far from guaranteed, however. Any investment should be squarely in a speculative portion of a portfolio. And investors should expect ups and downs for both the business developments and the stock, as was seen with today's jump and drop.</p><p><blockquote>然而,成功的商业生产还远未得到保证。任何投资都应该完全属于投资组合的投机部分。投资者应该预料到业务发展和股票都会有起伏,正如今天的涨跌所看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why QuantumScape Stock Rose Then Fell Thursday<blockquote>为什么 QuantumScape 股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy QuantumScape Stock Rose Then Fell Thursday<blockquote>为什么 QuantumScape 股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool </strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-26 18:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The CEO of the solid-state EV battery maker that has garnered much investor interest gave an interview today.</p><p><blockquote>这家备受投资者关注的固态电动汽车电池制造商的首席执行官今天接受了采访。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock of aspiring solid-state battery technology company <b>QuantumScape</b> (NYSE:QS) has certainly seen ups and downs. Movement in the stock today mirrored that pattern. After an early 10% jump, shares closed more than 3% lower on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>雄心勃勃的固态电池技术公司股票<b>量子景观</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:QS)当然经历了起起落落。今天该股的走势反映了这种模式。在早盘上涨 10% 后,该股周四收盘下跌超过 3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of the company are down more than 30% year to date after a triple-digit spike in late 2020. The company tends to trade with the electric-vehicle (EV) sector as a speculative stock hoping to revolutionize EV battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>继 2020 年底出现三位数飙升后,该公司股价今年迄今已下跌超过 30%。该公司倾向于将电动汽车 (EV) 行业作为投机性股票进行交易,希望彻底改变电动汽车电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Today, QuantumScape CEO Jagdeep Singh gave an interview to Yahoo! Finance, which may have contributed to the stock's volatile trading.</p><p><blockquote>今天,QuantumScape首席执行官Jagdeep Singh接受了雅虎的采访!财务,这可能导致了该股的波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> During today's interview, Singh reiterated some positive developments the company shared with investors last week in its earnings release. The company is working toward commercializing the solid-state battery technology that could provide EV makers with a safer, faster-charging battery that can also deliver longer ranges.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的采访中,辛格重申了该公司上周在财报发布中与投资者分享的一些积极进展。该公司正在努力将固态电池技术商业化,该技术可以为电动汽车制造商提供更安全、充电更快、续航里程更长的电池。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported it has successfully built its first multilayer battery cell with four layers. This helps confirm the technology is feasible. Singh added that he plans to scale up the technology to have an eight to 10-layer cell by the end of this year. That would allow the company to deliver sample cells to automotive manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>该公司报告称,它已经成功制造了第一个具有四层的多层电池。这有助于确认该技术是可行的。辛格补充说,他计划在今年年底前扩大该技术的规模,拥有8到10层电池。这将使该公司能够向汽车制造商提供样品电池。</blockquote></p><p> Singh also said there is interest from other sectors for the technology. \"Things like stationary storage for the grid, that's a really important application for batteries,\" Singh stated in the interview.</p><p><blockquote>辛格还表示,其他行业也对这项技术感兴趣。“像电网的固定存储这样的东西,对于电池来说是一个非常重要的应用,”辛格在采访中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Successful commercial production is far from guaranteed, however. Any investment should be squarely in a speculative portion of a portfolio. And investors should expect ups and downs for both the business developments and the stock, as was seen with today's jump and drop.</p><p><blockquote>然而,成功的商业生产还远未得到保证。任何投资都应该完全属于投资组合的投机部分。投资者应该预料到业务发展和股票都会有起伏,正如今天的涨跌所看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/25/why-quantumscape-stock-rose-then-fell-today/\">Motley Fool </a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QS":"Quantumscape Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/25/why-quantumscape-stock-rose-then-fell-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103930774","content_text":"The CEO of the solid-state EV battery maker that has garnered much investor interest gave an interview today.\nWhat happened\nThe stock of aspiring solid-state battery technology company QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) has certainly seen ups and downs. Movement in the stock today mirrored that pattern. After an early 10% jump, shares closed more than 3% lower on Thursday.\nSo what\nShares of the company are down more than 30% year to date after a triple-digit spike in late 2020. The company tends to trade with the electric-vehicle (EV) sector as a speculative stock hoping to revolutionize EV battery technology.\nToday, QuantumScape CEO Jagdeep Singh gave an interview to Yahoo! Finance, which may have contributed to the stock's volatile trading.\nNow what\nDuring today's interview, Singh reiterated some positive developments the company shared with investors last week in its earnings release. The company is working toward commercializing the solid-state battery technology that could provide EV makers with a safer, faster-charging battery that can also deliver longer ranges.\nThe company reported it has successfully built its first multilayer battery cell with four layers. This helps confirm the technology is feasible. Singh added that he plans to scale up the technology to have an eight to 10-layer cell by the end of this year. That would allow the company to deliver sample cells to automotive manufacturers.\nSingh also said there is interest from other sectors for the technology. \"Things like stationary storage for the grid, that's a really important application for batteries,\" Singh stated in the interview.\nSuccessful commercial production is far from guaranteed, however. Any investment should be squarely in a speculative portion of a portfolio. And investors should expect ups and downs for both the business developments and the stock, as was seen with today's jump and drop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366388814,"gmtCreate":1614394992038,"gmtModify":1703477252623,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls comment ","listText":"Pls comment ","text":"Pls comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366388814","repostId":"1117820997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2347,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366381959,"gmtCreate":1614394874971,"gmtModify":1703477250901,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Still will bring you to moon? ","listText":"Still will bring you to moon? ","text":"Still will bring you to moon?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4799a2da4b3addcf73a7e5575a2e305","width":"1080","height":"3088"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366381959","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368748178,"gmtCreate":1614354846694,"gmtModify":1703476897449,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Can help open angpow Tiger Brokers invites you to receive stock vouchers of up to 88 SGDhttps://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/sg-hongbao/*CM7TQR-index.html?feature=Banner&Page=Me&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=CM7TQR&share=WhatsAPP","listText":"Can help open angpow Tiger Brokers invites you to receive stock vouchers of up to 88 SGDhttps://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/sg-hongbao/*CM7TQR-index.html?feature=Banner&Page=Me&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=CM7TQR&share=WhatsAPP","text":"Can help open angpow Tiger Brokers invites you to receive stock vouchers of up to 88 SGDhttps://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/sg-hongbao/*CM7TQR-index.html?feature=Banner&Page=Me&lang=en_US&skin=1&edition=fundamental&invite=CM7TQR&share=WhatsAPP","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368748178","repostId":"1117820997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":938,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361115121,"gmtCreate":1614213202563,"gmtModify":1634550699969,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a> to moon again? ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a> to moon again? ","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ to moon again?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/331dd16bf95a548bfa21af9734084677","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361115121","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":634,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361112736,"gmtCreate":1614213185525,"gmtModify":1634550700329,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a> to moon again? ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">$GameStop(GME)$</a> to moon again? ","text":"$GameStop(GME)$ to moon again?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67d6c2a8cc63812f3b4ee75b11024981","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361112736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361908158,"gmtCreate":1614182529374,"gmtModify":1634550815594,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Comment pls.. ","listText":"Comment pls.. ","text":"Comment pls..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361908158","repostId":"1129467108","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129467108","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614164417,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1129467108?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-24 19:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129467108","media":"Barrons","summary":"Don’t worry. Be greedy.Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullie","content":"<p>Don’t worry. Be greedy.</p><p><blockquote>别担心。贪婪。</blockquote></p><p>Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管投资者的担忧正在加剧,而且股市也受到债券收益率上升的影响,但摩根大通。摩根策略师告诉他们的客户,现在是拥抱股票的时候了。</blockquote></p><p>TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数可能在 3875 点左右徘徊,但该银行将 2021 年底目标价定为 4400,区间为 4200 至 4600。它的数字不仅仅是股市预期收益的衍生品。相反,它们反映了美国在 Covid-19 大流行后的经济觉醒。</blockquote></p><p>Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通(J.P. Morgan)衍生品策略师肖恩-奎格(Shawn Quigg)最近告诉客户,市场实现 “这种收益迟早不到,尤其是考虑到未来的众多催化剂、它们对波动性的影响以及它们将对投资者定位产生的影响”,几乎没有什么阻碍。</blockquote></p><p>As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.</p><p><blockquote>随着乔-拜登总统的政府支持 1.9 万亿美元的经济刺激计划,以及 Covid-19 感染和住院人数的下降,奎格预计股市将飙升。他的观点与近期的交易有些不一致。随着 10 年期国债收益率升至 1.38% 左右,股市下跌,此举加剧了通胀担忧和对股市暴跌的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>奎格喜欢利用这种恐惧和悬而未决的刺激计划,拜登已经开始为该计划辩护,以应对其规模过大的担忧。在各种采访中,总统向批评者发出挑战,要求他们告诉他在全国如此多的人遭受苦难的时候应该削减什么。拜登政府现在警告说,最大的风险不是大规模的刺激计划,而是规模太小,因此不能有意义地刺激经济增长。</blockquote></p><p>To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.</p><p><blockquote>为了让股市飙升,奎格建议客户考虑出售SPDR标普500 ETF(股票代码:SPDR标普500指数ETF)5月353美元的看跌期权,并购买5月15日450美元的看涨期权期权。当 ETF 价格为 392.39 美元时,杠杆风险逆转策略(即卖出一份看跌期权并购买更多执行价格更高但到期日相同的评级)可以免费完成。换句话说,卖出看跌期权收到的资金足以购买 15 个看涨评级。</blockquote></p><p>The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.</p><p><blockquote>该交易表示坚信,该 ETF(最近交易价格约为 387 美元)将在 5 月 21 日(可能期权到期时)达到 450 美元。看涨期权售价 460 美元,价值 10 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.</p><p><blockquote>例如,如果 ETF 因当前担忧将市场推至 353 美元执行价格以下而下跌,投资者将有义务以较低的价格买入,或者对冲或调整看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.</p><p><blockquote>奎格的交易理念有很多值得钦佩的地方。</blockquote></p><p>For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.</p><p><blockquote>首先,该交易在上周晚些时候被推荐时成本为零。是的,自 2 月 18 日报告发布以来,价格已经发生了变化,但投资者可以重新制定执行价格以创建类似的定价。市场会发生变化,这就是为什么会有这么多不同的执行价格。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.</p><p><blockquote>此外,如果摩根大通关于经济复苏的基本观点被证明是正确的,那么拥有一揽子上涨的评级可能会非常有利可图。如果市场屈服于当前对价格走弱的担忧,那么以较低的价格持有标普500股票也并不可怕。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-24 19:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Don’t worry. Be greedy.</p><p><blockquote>别担心。贪婪。</blockquote></p><p>Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管投资者的担忧正在加剧,而且股市也受到债券收益率上升的影响,但摩根大通。摩根策略师告诉他们的客户,现在是拥抱股票的时候了。</blockquote></p><p>TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数可能在 3875 点左右徘徊,但该银行将 2021 年底目标价定为 4400,区间为 4200 至 4600。它的数字不仅仅是股市预期收益的衍生品。相反,它们反映了美国在 Covid-19 大流行后的经济觉醒。</blockquote></p><p>Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通(J.P. Morgan)衍生品策略师肖恩-奎格(Shawn Quigg)最近告诉客户,市场实现 “这种收益迟早不到,尤其是考虑到未来的众多催化剂、它们对波动性的影响以及它们将对投资者定位产生的影响”,几乎没有什么阻碍。</blockquote></p><p>As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.</p><p><blockquote>随着乔-拜登总统的政府支持 1.9 万亿美元的经济刺激计划,以及 Covid-19 感染和住院人数的下降,奎格预计股市将飙升。他的观点与近期的交易有些不一致。随着 10 年期国债收益率升至 1.38% 左右,股市下跌,此举加剧了通胀担忧和对股市暴跌的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>奎格喜欢利用这种恐惧和悬而未决的刺激计划,拜登已经开始为该计划辩护,以应对其规模过大的担忧。在各种采访中,总统向批评者发出挑战,要求他们告诉他在全国如此多的人遭受苦难的时候应该削减什么。拜登政府现在警告说,最大的风险不是大规模的刺激计划,而是规模太小,因此不能有意义地刺激经济增长。</blockquote></p><p>To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.</p><p><blockquote>为了让股市飙升,奎格建议客户考虑出售SPDR标普500 ETF(股票代码:SPDR标普500指数ETF)5月353美元的看跌期权,并购买5月15日450美元的看涨期权期权。当 ETF 价格为 392.39 美元时,杠杆风险逆转策略(即卖出一份看跌期权并购买更多执行价格更高但到期日相同的评级)可以免费完成。换句话说,卖出看跌期权收到的资金足以购买 15 个看涨评级。</blockquote></p><p>The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.</p><p><blockquote>该交易表示坚信,该 ETF(最近交易价格约为 387 美元)将在 5 月 21 日(可能期权到期时)达到 450 美元。看涨期权售价 460 美元,价值 10 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.</p><p><blockquote>例如,如果 ETF 因当前担忧将市场推至 353 美元执行价格以下而下跌,投资者将有义务以较低的价格买入,或者对冲或调整看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.</p><p><blockquote>奎格的交易理念有很多值得钦佩的地方。</blockquote></p><p>For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.</p><p><blockquote>首先,该交易在上周晚些时候被推荐时成本为零。是的,自 2 月 18 日报告发布以来,价格已经发生了变化,但投资者可以重新制定执行价格以创建类似的定价。市场会发生变化,这就是为什么会有这么多不同的执行价格。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.</p><p><blockquote>此外,如果摩根大通关于经济复苏的基本观点被证明是正确的,那么拥有一揽子上涨的评级可能会非常有利可图。如果市场屈服于当前对价格走弱的担忧,那么以较低的价格持有标普500股票也并不可怕。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-j-p-morgan-says-now-is-the-time-to-bet-on-the-s-p-500-51614090217?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-j-p-morgan-says-now-is-the-time-to-bet-on-the-s-p-500-51614090217?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129467108","content_text":"Don’t worry. Be greedy.Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361903686,"gmtCreate":1614182376145,"gmtModify":1634550816435,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Huat ah! ","listText":"Huat ah! ","text":"Huat ah!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361903686","repostId":"1129467108","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129467108","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614164417,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1129467108?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-24 19:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129467108","media":"Barrons","summary":"Don’t worry. Be greedy.Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullie","content":"<p>Don’t worry. Be greedy.</p><p><blockquote>别担心。贪婪。</blockquote></p><p>Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管投资者的担忧正在加剧,而且股市也受到债券收益率上升的影响,但摩根大通。摩根策略师告诉他们的客户,现在是拥抱股票的时候了。</blockquote></p><p>TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数可能在 3875 点左右徘徊,但该银行将 2021 年底目标价定为 4400,区间为 4200 至 4600。它的数字不仅仅是股市预期收益的衍生品。相反,它们反映了美国在 Covid-19 大流行后的经济觉醒。</blockquote></p><p>Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通(J.P. Morgan)衍生品策略师肖恩-奎格(Shawn Quigg)最近告诉客户,市场实现 “这种收益迟早不到,尤其是考虑到未来的众多催化剂、它们对波动性的影响以及它们将对投资者定位产生的影响”,几乎没有什么阻碍。</blockquote></p><p>As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.</p><p><blockquote>随着乔-拜登总统的政府支持 1.9 万亿美元的经济刺激计划,以及 Covid-19 感染和住院人数的下降,奎格预计股市将飙升。他的观点与近期的交易有些不一致。随着 10 年期国债收益率升至 1.38% 左右,股市下跌,此举加剧了通胀担忧和对股市暴跌的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>奎格喜欢利用这种恐惧和悬而未决的刺激计划,拜登已经开始为该计划辩护,以应对其规模过大的担忧。在各种采访中,总统向批评者发出挑战,要求他们告诉他在全国如此多的人遭受苦难的时候应该削减什么。拜登政府现在警告说,最大的风险不是大规模的刺激计划,而是规模太小,因此不能有意义地刺激经济增长。</blockquote></p><p>To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.</p><p><blockquote>为了让股市飙升,奎格建议客户考虑出售SPDR标普500 ETF(股票代码:SPDR标普500指数ETF)5月353美元的看跌期权,并购买5月15日450美元的看涨期权期权。当 ETF 价格为 392.39 美元时,杠杆风险逆转策略(即卖出一份看跌期权并购买更多执行价格更高但到期日相同的评级)可以免费完成。换句话说,卖出看跌期权收到的资金足以购买 15 个看涨评级。</blockquote></p><p>The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.</p><p><blockquote>该交易表示坚信,该 ETF(最近交易价格约为 387 美元)将在 5 月 21 日(可能期权到期时)达到 450 美元。看涨期权售价 460 美元,价值 10 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.</p><p><blockquote>例如,如果 ETF 因当前担忧将市场推至 353 美元执行价格以下而下跌,投资者将有义务以较低的价格买入,或者对冲或调整看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.</p><p><blockquote>奎格的交易理念有很多值得钦佩的地方。</blockquote></p><p>For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.</p><p><blockquote>首先,该交易在上周晚些时候被推荐时成本为零。是的,自 2 月 18 日报告发布以来,价格已经发生了变化,但投资者可以重新制定执行价格以创建类似的定价。市场会发生变化,这就是为什么会有这么多不同的执行价格。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.</p><p><blockquote>此外,如果摩根大通关于经济复苏的基本观点被证明是正确的,那么拥有一揽子上涨的评级可能会非常有利可图。如果市场屈服于当前对价格走弱的担忧,那么以较低的价格持有标普500股票也并不可怕。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-24 19:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Don’t worry. Be greedy.</p><p><blockquote>别担心。贪婪。</blockquote></p><p>Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管投资者的担忧正在加剧,而且股市也受到债券收益率上升的影响,但摩根大通。摩根策略师告诉他们的客户,现在是拥抱股票的时候了。</blockquote></p><p>TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数可能在 3875 点左右徘徊,但该银行将 2021 年底目标价定为 4400,区间为 4200 至 4600。它的数字不仅仅是股市预期收益的衍生品。相反,它们反映了美国在 Covid-19 大流行后的经济觉醒。</blockquote></p><p>Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通(J.P. Morgan)衍生品策略师肖恩-奎格(Shawn Quigg)最近告诉客户,市场实现 “这种收益迟早不到,尤其是考虑到未来的众多催化剂、它们对波动性的影响以及它们将对投资者定位产生的影响”,几乎没有什么阻碍。</blockquote></p><p>As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.</p><p><blockquote>随着乔-拜登总统的政府支持 1.9 万亿美元的经济刺激计划,以及 Covid-19 感染和住院人数的下降,奎格预计股市将飙升。他的观点与近期的交易有些不一致。随着 10 年期国债收益率升至 1.38% 左右,股市下跌,此举加剧了通胀担忧和对股市暴跌的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>奎格喜欢利用这种恐惧和悬而未决的刺激计划,拜登已经开始为该计划辩护,以应对其规模过大的担忧。在各种采访中,总统向批评者发出挑战,要求他们告诉他在全国如此多的人遭受苦难的时候应该削减什么。拜登政府现在警告说,最大的风险不是大规模的刺激计划,而是规模太小,因此不能有意义地刺激经济增长。</blockquote></p><p>To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.</p><p><blockquote>为了让股市飙升,奎格建议客户考虑出售SPDR标普500 ETF(股票代码:SPDR标普500指数ETF)5月353美元的看跌期权,并购买5月15日450美元的看涨期权期权。当 ETF 价格为 392.39 美元时,杠杆风险逆转策略(即卖出一份看跌期权并购买更多执行价格更高但到期日相同的评级)可以免费完成。换句话说,卖出看跌期权收到的资金足以购买 15 个看涨评级。</blockquote></p><p>The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.</p><p><blockquote>该交易表示坚信,该 ETF(最近交易价格约为 387 美元)将在 5 月 21 日(可能期权到期时)达到 450 美元。看涨期权售价 460 美元,价值 10 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.</p><p><blockquote>例如,如果 ETF 因当前担忧将市场推至 353 美元执行价格以下而下跌,投资者将有义务以较低的价格买入,或者对冲或调整看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.</p><p><blockquote>奎格的交易理念有很多值得钦佩的地方。</blockquote></p><p>For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.</p><p><blockquote>首先,该交易在上周晚些时候被推荐时成本为零。是的,自 2 月 18 日报告发布以来,价格已经发生了变化,但投资者可以重新制定执行价格以创建类似的定价。市场会发生变化,这就是为什么会有这么多不同的执行价格。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.</p><p><blockquote>此外,如果摩根大通关于经济复苏的基本观点被证明是正确的,那么拥有一揽子上涨的评级可能会非常有利可图。如果市场屈服于当前对价格走弱的担忧,那么以较低的价格持有标普500股票也并不可怕。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-j-p-morgan-says-now-is-the-time-to-bet-on-the-s-p-500-51614090217?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-j-p-morgan-says-now-is-the-time-to-bet-on-the-s-p-500-51614090217?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129467108","content_text":"Don’t worry. Be greedy.Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369589360,"gmtCreate":1614058584050,"gmtModify":1634551352227,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"75 in 2nd qtr instead of 3rd qtr? ","listText":"75 in 2nd qtr instead of 3rd qtr? ","text":"75 in 2nd qtr instead of 3rd qtr?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369589360","repostId":"2113438344","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369580328,"gmtCreate":1614058491964,"gmtModify":1634551352948,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wait and see.. ","listText":"Wait and see.. ","text":"Wait and see..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369580328","repostId":"1181733160","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369514820,"gmtCreate":1614058279860,"gmtModify":1634551354375,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"EV still can up? ","listText":"EV still can up? ","text":"EV still can up?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369514820","repostId":"1175731087","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175731087","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614049350,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175731087?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-23 11:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market. It’s Taking Other EV Stocks With It.<blockquote>特斯拉股票正处于熊市。它还带动了其他电动汽车股票。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175731087","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock in the electric- vehicle pioneer Tesla is now in bear-market territory. That’s a problem for the entire EV sector.Tesla shares closed down 8.6% Monday at $714.50 a share. That leaves them down almost $186 from the 52-week high of $900.40 they reached in January. That’s a drop of roughly 21%.Of course, Tesla is the 800-pound gorilla in the EV sector. It is worth almost as much as all other traditional car makers combined. And when Tesla stock drops, other EV stocks follow because Wall Stree","content":"<p>Stock in the electric- vehicle pioneer Tesla is now in bear-market territory. That’s a problem for the entire EV sector.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车先驱特斯拉的股票目前处于熊市区域。这是整个电动汽车行业的问题。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla shares closed down 8.6% Monday at $714.50 a share. That leaves them down almost $186 from the 52-week high of $900.40 they reached in January. That’s a drop of roughly 21%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周一收盘下跌 8.6%,至每股 714.50 美元。这使它们比 1 月份触及的 52 周高点 900.40 美元下跌了近 186 美元。下降了约 21%。</blockquote></p><p>It seems odd to say, given that the term is usually applied to broad groups of stocks, but there is a new bear market—a drop of 20% from a high—in Tesla shares.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这个术语通常适用于广泛的股票群体,这么说似乎很奇怪,但特斯拉股票出现了新的熊市——从高点下跌了 20%。</blockquote></p><p>Of course, Tesla is the 800-pound gorilla in the EV sector. It is worth almost as much as all other traditional car makers combined. And when Tesla stock drops, other EV stocks follow because Wall Street often relies on Tesla’s valuation to come up with price targets.</p><p><blockquote>当然,特斯拉是电动汽车领域的800磅重的大猩猩。它的价值几乎相当于所有其他传统汽车制造商的总和。当特斯拉股价下跌时,其他电动汽车股票也会随之下跌,因为华尔街通常会依靠特斯拉的估值来制定目标价。</blockquote></p><p>Monday, shares of three other high-flying EV stocks with significant sales—NIO(NIO),XPeng(XPEV) andLi Auto(LI)—fell roughly 7% to 8%. And since Tesla stock hit its all-time high, NIO, XPeng and Li Auto shares are down roughly 20% on average, just like Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>周一,其他三只销量可观的电动汽车股票——蔚来(蔚来)、小鹏汽车(XPEV)和理想汽车(LI)——的股价下跌了约 7% 至 8%。自特斯拉股价创下历史新高以来,蔚来、小鹏和理想汽车的股价平均下跌了约 20%,就像特斯拉一样。</blockquote></p><p>It looks as if Tesla is the benchmark for EV stocks just like the S&P 500 is the basis for comparison for U.S. stocks. That raises an interesting idea for EV investors: the Tesla version of beta. The beta concept can be thought of, in a sense, as a measure of a stock’s systemic risk. What happens to a market is linked to what happens to an individual stock by that stock’s beta.</p><p><blockquote>看起来特斯拉是电动汽车股票的基准,就像标普500是美国股票的比较基础一样。这为电动汽车投资者提出了一个有趣的想法:测试版的特斯拉版本。从某种意义上说,贝塔概念可以被视为衡量股票系统性风险的指标。市场的走势与个股的贝塔系数有关。</blockquote></p><p>If a stock, for instance, has a beta of 2, it would be expected to rise about 2% if the market rose 1%. Beta values aren’t always above 1. Gold-mining companies in theS&P 500,for instance, have a beta of roughly 0.5, so they don’t rise as fast if the broader index goes up.</p><p><blockquote>例如,如果一只股票的贝塔系数为 2,那么如果市场上涨 1%,预计它将上涨约 2%。贝塔值并不总是高于 1。例如,标准普尔 500 指数中的金矿公司的贝塔系数约为 0.5,因此如果大盘指数上涨,它们的涨幅不会那么快。</blockquote></p><p>Investors can interpret the gold beta as saying roughly half of what happens to those golds stock is explained by what happens to the S&P 500, and the other half is due to other factors, such as what’s going on with gold prices.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以将黄金贝塔系数解释为,这些黄金股票发生的事情中,大约有一半是由标普500发生的事情解释的,另一半是由其他因素造成的,如金价的走势。</blockquote></p><p>Beta is just a mathematical calculation. Investors, if they want, can calculate a stock’s beta relative to atmospheric pressure in Central Park. The math has to mean something, though, so no one does that. In the case of EVs, however, the idea of Tesla-as-risk to any EV stock doesn’t feel like a stretch.</p><p><blockquote>贝塔只是一个数学计算。如果投资者愿意,他们可以计算股票相对于中央公园大气压力的贝塔值。然而,数学必须有意义,所以没有人这样做。然而,就电动汽车而言,特斯拉对任何电动汽车股票来说都是一种风险,这种想法并不牵强。</blockquote></p><p>The “Tesla beta” of the three Chinese EV stocks—NIO, XPeng and Li—is about 0.5. That can be interpreted, as with gold stocks, as saying about half of what happens to those three shares is a function of what happens to Tesla stock.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来、小鹏和理想这三只中国电动汽车股票的 “特斯拉贝塔”约为 0.5。就像黄金股一样,这可以被解释为说这三只股票发生的事情大约有一半是特斯拉股票发生的事情的函数。</blockquote></p><p>It’s an interesting idea. But what is happening to Tesla stock anyway?</p><p><blockquote>这是个有趣的想法。但特斯拉股票到底发生了什么?</blockquote></p><p>It’s all about the potential for higher inflation. Increasing inflation, a growing concern in the market, tends to punish high-growth stocks more than low-growth stocks because of the way financial discount rates work. Most of Tesla’s cash flow comes in future years, and future cash flow is worth less today when interest rates rise.</p><p><blockquote>这一切都与通胀上升的可能性有关。由于金融贴现率的运作方式,通货膨胀加剧是市场越来越担心的问题,它往往会对高增长股票而不是低增长股票造成更大的惩罚。特斯拉的大部分现金流都来自未来几年,而当利率上升时,未来现金流的价值就会降低。</blockquote></p><p>Monday, many growth stocks took it on the chin. The Nasdaq Composite,known as the home of many fast-growing tech companies, fell 2.5%. Tesla’s beta value relative to the Nasdaq is about 2, so investors shouldn’t be surprised by a 5% drop in Tesla stock.</p><p><blockquote>周一,许多成长型股票都表现不佳。众所周知,许多快速增长的科技公司所在地纳斯达克综合指数下跌 2.5%。特斯拉相对于纳斯达克的贝塔值约为 2,因此投资者对特斯拉股价下跌 5% 并不感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla shares fell 9%, though. The extra 4% remains a mystery. The news site Electrek reported Tesla stopped taking orders for its lowest-priced Model Y, but high demand for lower-price EV models isn’t really a bad thing.</p><p><blockquote>不过,特斯拉股价下跌了 9%。额外的4%仍然是个谜。据新闻网站 Electrek 报道,特斯拉已停止接受价格最低的 Model Y 的订单,但对价格较低的电动汽车车型的高需求并不是一件坏事。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/728e2afa9536498c3500bf3fdae26f29\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"213\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>CEO Elon Musk is also spending a lot of time tweeting about cryptocurrencies. That might be unnerving Tesla investors. His tweeting, however, isn’t really any different than recent history. Musk is famous for his tweeting on lots of topics.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官埃隆·马斯克也花了很多时间在推特上谈论加密货币。这可能会让特斯拉投资者感到不安。然而,他的推特与近期的历史并没有什么不同。马斯克因其在许多话题上的推文而闻名。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Is in a Bear Market. It’s Taking Other EV Stocks With It.<blockquote>特斯拉股票正处于熊市。它还带动了其他电动汽车股票。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Is in a Bear Market. It’s Taking Other EV Stocks With It.<blockquote>特斯拉股票正处于熊市。它还带动了其他电动汽车股票。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-23 11:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock in the electric- vehicle pioneer Tesla is now in bear-market territory. That’s a problem for the entire EV sector.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车先驱特斯拉的股票目前处于熊市区域。这是整个电动汽车行业的问题。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla shares closed down 8.6% Monday at $714.50 a share. That leaves them down almost $186 from the 52-week high of $900.40 they reached in January. That’s a drop of roughly 21%.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉股价周一收盘下跌 8.6%,至每股 714.50 美元。这使它们比 1 月份触及的 52 周高点 900.40 美元下跌了近 186 美元。下降了约 21%。</blockquote></p><p>It seems odd to say, given that the term is usually applied to broad groups of stocks, but there is a new bear market—a drop of 20% from a high—in Tesla shares.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这个术语通常适用于广泛的股票群体,这么说似乎很奇怪,但特斯拉股票出现了新的熊市——从高点下跌了 20%。</blockquote></p><p>Of course, Tesla is the 800-pound gorilla in the EV sector. It is worth almost as much as all other traditional car makers combined. And when Tesla stock drops, other EV stocks follow because Wall Street often relies on Tesla’s valuation to come up with price targets.</p><p><blockquote>当然,特斯拉是电动汽车领域的800磅重的大猩猩。它的价值几乎相当于所有其他传统汽车制造商的总和。当特斯拉股价下跌时,其他电动汽车股票也会随之下跌,因为华尔街通常会依靠特斯拉的估值来制定目标价。</blockquote></p><p>Monday, shares of three other high-flying EV stocks with significant sales—NIO(NIO),XPeng(XPEV) andLi Auto(LI)—fell roughly 7% to 8%. And since Tesla stock hit its all-time high, NIO, XPeng and Li Auto shares are down roughly 20% on average, just like Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>周一,其他三只销量可观的电动汽车股票——蔚来(蔚来)、小鹏汽车(XPEV)和理想汽车(LI)——的股价下跌了约 7% 至 8%。自特斯拉股价创下历史新高以来,蔚来、小鹏和理想汽车的股价平均下跌了约 20%,就像特斯拉一样。</blockquote></p><p>It looks as if Tesla is the benchmark for EV stocks just like the S&P 500 is the basis for comparison for U.S. stocks. That raises an interesting idea for EV investors: the Tesla version of beta. The beta concept can be thought of, in a sense, as a measure of a stock’s systemic risk. What happens to a market is linked to what happens to an individual stock by that stock’s beta.</p><p><blockquote>看起来特斯拉是电动汽车股票的基准,就像标普500是美国股票的比较基础一样。这为电动汽车投资者提出了一个有趣的想法:测试版的特斯拉版本。从某种意义上说,贝塔概念可以被视为衡量股票系统性风险的指标。市场的走势与个股的贝塔系数有关。</blockquote></p><p>If a stock, for instance, has a beta of 2, it would be expected to rise about 2% if the market rose 1%. Beta values aren’t always above 1. Gold-mining companies in theS&P 500,for instance, have a beta of roughly 0.5, so they don’t rise as fast if the broader index goes up.</p><p><blockquote>例如,如果一只股票的贝塔系数为 2,那么如果市场上涨 1%,预计它将上涨约 2%。贝塔值并不总是高于 1。例如,标准普尔 500 指数中的金矿公司的贝塔系数约为 0.5,因此如果大盘指数上涨,它们的涨幅不会那么快。</blockquote></p><p>Investors can interpret the gold beta as saying roughly half of what happens to those golds stock is explained by what happens to the S&P 500, and the other half is due to other factors, such as what’s going on with gold prices.</p><p><blockquote>投资者可以将黄金贝塔系数解释为,这些黄金股票发生的事情中,大约有一半是由标普500发生的事情解释的,另一半是由其他因素造成的,如金价的走势。</blockquote></p><p>Beta is just a mathematical calculation. Investors, if they want, can calculate a stock’s beta relative to atmospheric pressure in Central Park. The math has to mean something, though, so no one does that. In the case of EVs, however, the idea of Tesla-as-risk to any EV stock doesn’t feel like a stretch.</p><p><blockquote>贝塔只是一个数学计算。如果投资者愿意,他们可以计算股票相对于中央公园大气压力的贝塔值。然而,数学必须有意义,所以没有人这样做。然而,就电动汽车而言,特斯拉对任何电动汽车股票来说都是一种风险,这种想法并不牵强。</blockquote></p><p>The “Tesla beta” of the three Chinese EV stocks—NIO, XPeng and Li—is about 0.5. That can be interpreted, as with gold stocks, as saying about half of what happens to those three shares is a function of what happens to Tesla stock.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来、小鹏和理想这三只中国电动汽车股票的 “特斯拉贝塔”约为 0.5。就像黄金股一样,这可以被解释为说这三只股票发生的事情大约有一半是特斯拉股票发生的事情的函数。</blockquote></p><p>It’s an interesting idea. But what is happening to Tesla stock anyway?</p><p><blockquote>这是个有趣的想法。但特斯拉股票到底发生了什么?</blockquote></p><p>It’s all about the potential for higher inflation. Increasing inflation, a growing concern in the market, tends to punish high-growth stocks more than low-growth stocks because of the way financial discount rates work. Most of Tesla’s cash flow comes in future years, and future cash flow is worth less today when interest rates rise.</p><p><blockquote>这一切都与通胀上升的可能性有关。由于金融贴现率的运作方式,通货膨胀加剧是市场越来越担心的问题,它往往会对高增长股票而不是低增长股票造成更大的惩罚。特斯拉的大部分现金流都来自未来几年,而当利率上升时,未来现金流的价值就会降低。</blockquote></p><p>Monday, many growth stocks took it on the chin. The Nasdaq Composite,known as the home of many fast-growing tech companies, fell 2.5%. Tesla’s beta value relative to the Nasdaq is about 2, so investors shouldn’t be surprised by a 5% drop in Tesla stock.</p><p><blockquote>周一,许多成长型股票都表现不佳。众所周知,许多快速增长的科技公司所在地纳斯达克综合指数下跌 2.5%。特斯拉相对于纳斯达克的贝塔值约为 2,因此投资者对特斯拉股价下跌 5% 并不感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla shares fell 9%, though. The extra 4% remains a mystery. The news site Electrek reported Tesla stopped taking orders for its lowest-priced Model Y, but high demand for lower-price EV models isn’t really a bad thing.</p><p><blockquote>不过,特斯拉股价下跌了 9%。额外的4%仍然是个谜。据新闻网站 Electrek 报道,特斯拉已停止接受价格最低的 Model Y 的订单,但对价格较低的电动汽车车型的高需求并不是一件坏事。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/728e2afa9536498c3500bf3fdae26f29\" tg-width=\"642\" tg-height=\"213\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>CEO Elon Musk is also spending a lot of time tweeting about cryptocurrencies. That might be unnerving Tesla investors. His tweeting, however, isn’t really any different than recent history. Musk is famous for his tweeting on lots of topics.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官埃隆·马斯克也花了很多时间在推特上谈论加密货币。这可能会让特斯拉投资者感到不安。然而,他的推特与近期的历史并没有什么不同。马斯克因其在许多话题上的推文而闻名。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-is-in-a-bear-market-its-taking-other-ev-stocks-with-it-51614034570?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏集团","LI":"理想汽车"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-is-in-a-bear-market-its-taking-other-ev-stocks-with-it-51614034570?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175731087","content_text":"Stock in the electric- vehicle pioneer Tesla is now in bear-market territory. That’s a problem for the entire EV sector.Tesla shares closed down 8.6% Monday at $714.50 a share. That leaves them down almost $186 from the 52-week high of $900.40 they reached in January. That’s a drop of roughly 21%.It seems odd to say, given that the term is usually applied to broad groups of stocks, but there is a new bear market—a drop of 20% from a high—in Tesla shares.Of course, Tesla is the 800-pound gorilla in the EV sector. It is worth almost as much as all other traditional car makers combined. And when Tesla stock drops, other EV stocks follow because Wall Street often relies on Tesla’s valuation to come up with price targets.Monday, shares of three other high-flying EV stocks with significant sales—NIO(NIO),XPeng(XPEV) andLi Auto(LI)—fell roughly 7% to 8%. And since Tesla stock hit its all-time high, NIO, XPeng and Li Auto shares are down roughly 20% on average, just like Tesla.It looks as if Tesla is the benchmark for EV stocks just like the S&P 500 is the basis for comparison for U.S. stocks. That raises an interesting idea for EV investors: the Tesla version of beta. The beta concept can be thought of, in a sense, as a measure of a stock’s systemic risk. What happens to a market is linked to what happens to an individual stock by that stock’s beta.If a stock, for instance, has a beta of 2, it would be expected to rise about 2% if the market rose 1%. Beta values aren’t always above 1. Gold-mining companies in theS&P 500,for instance, have a beta of roughly 0.5, so they don’t rise as fast if the broader index goes up.Investors can interpret the gold beta as saying roughly half of what happens to those golds stock is explained by what happens to the S&P 500, and the other half is due to other factors, such as what’s going on with gold prices.Beta is just a mathematical calculation. Investors, if they want, can calculate a stock’s beta relative to atmospheric pressure in Central Park. The math has to mean something, though, so no one does that. In the case of EVs, however, the idea of Tesla-as-risk to any EV stock doesn’t feel like a stretch.The “Tesla beta” of the three Chinese EV stocks—NIO, XPeng and Li—is about 0.5. That can be interpreted, as with gold stocks, as saying about half of what happens to those three shares is a function of what happens to Tesla stock.It’s an interesting idea. But what is happening to Tesla stock anyway?It’s all about the potential for higher inflation. Increasing inflation, a growing concern in the market, tends to punish high-growth stocks more than low-growth stocks because of the way financial discount rates work. Most of Tesla’s cash flow comes in future years, and future cash flow is worth less today when interest rates rise.Monday, many growth stocks took it on the chin. The Nasdaq Composite,known as the home of many fast-growing tech companies, fell 2.5%. Tesla’s beta value relative to the Nasdaq is about 2, so investors shouldn’t be surprised by a 5% drop in Tesla stock.Tesla shares fell 9%, though. The extra 4% remains a mystery. The news site Electrek reported Tesla stopped taking orders for its lowest-priced Model Y, but high demand for lower-price EV models isn’t really a bad thing.CEO Elon Musk is also spending a lot of time tweeting about cryptocurrencies. That might be unnerving Tesla investors. His tweeting, however, isn’t really any different than recent history. Musk is famous for his tweeting on lots of topics.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":554,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369515220,"gmtCreate":1614058210460,"gmtModify":1634551355072,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Any comments on this stocks? ","listText":"Any comments on this stocks? ","text":"Any comments on this stocks?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56d18c8aeb13889f73e627070bf24b97","width":"1080","height":"3088"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369515220","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":384880588,"gmtCreate":1613638704644,"gmtModify":1634552846079,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384880588","repostId":"1127730166","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":364069586,"gmtCreate":1614785582345,"gmtModify":1703481174690,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow like pls","listText":"Wow like pls","text":"Wow like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364069586","repostId":"1160849202","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160849202","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614785336,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1160849202?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-03 23:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks slip as economic data disappoints and bond yields spike<blockquote>经济数据令人失望和债券收益率飙升,美国股市下滑</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160849202","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"(March 3) U.S. stocks slip Wednesday, as a jobs report showed weaker-than-expected recovery from the","content":"<p>(March 3) U.S. stocks slip Wednesday, as a jobs report showed weaker-than-expected recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic as the vaccine rollout accelerates.</p><p><blockquote>(3月3日)美国周三股市下跌,因为就业报告显示,随着疫苗推出的加速,COVID-19 大流行的复苏弱于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3399dfe258d8391f84cfd403172a6b33\" tg-width=\"659\" tg-height=\"288\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3f6210b94ae708b48a2dbc055aa5bea\" tg-width=\"1359\" tg-height=\"676\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1e4a2277b0adcc52237df985f028e475\" tg-width=\"659\" tg-height=\"288\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f697a8cde91f6f6b2e373a8561965819\" tg-width=\"1359\" tg-height=\"676\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/84bd8f37269d1bea7c373b3fa75cf423\" tg-width=\"659\" tg-height=\"288\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/218b9c2e63444d7e08607c1332b49c0e\" tg-width=\"1355\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks slip as economic data disappoints and bond yields spike<blockquote>经济数据令人失望和债券收益率飙升,美国股市下滑</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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","listText":"Nio nio nio. ","text":"Nio nio nio.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360289881","repostId":"1143100356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":361903686,"gmtCreate":1614182376145,"gmtModify":1634550816435,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Huat ah! ","listText":"Huat ah! ","text":"Huat ah!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361903686","repostId":"1129467108","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129467108","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614164417,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1129467108?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-24 19:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129467108","media":"Barrons","summary":"Don’t worry. Be greedy.Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullie","content":"<p>Don’t worry. Be greedy.</p><p><blockquote>别担心。贪婪。</blockquote></p><p>Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管投资者的担忧正在加剧,而且股市也受到债券收益率上升的影响,但摩根大通。摩根策略师告诉他们的客户,现在是拥抱股票的时候了。</blockquote></p><p>TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数可能在 3875 点左右徘徊,但该银行将 2021 年底目标价定为 4400,区间为 4200 至 4600。它的数字不仅仅是股市预期收益的衍生品。相反,它们反映了美国在 Covid-19 大流行后的经济觉醒。</blockquote></p><p>Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通(J.P. Morgan)衍生品策略师肖恩-奎格(Shawn Quigg)最近告诉客户,市场实现 “这种收益迟早不到,尤其是考虑到未来的众多催化剂、它们对波动性的影响以及它们将对投资者定位产生的影响”,几乎没有什么阻碍。</blockquote></p><p>As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.</p><p><blockquote>随着乔-拜登总统的政府支持 1.9 万亿美元的经济刺激计划,以及 Covid-19 感染和住院人数的下降,奎格预计股市将飙升。他的观点与近期的交易有些不一致。随着 10 年期国债收益率升至 1.38% 左右,股市下跌,此举加剧了通胀担忧和对股市暴跌的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>奎格喜欢利用这种恐惧和悬而未决的刺激计划,拜登已经开始为该计划辩护,以应对其规模过大的担忧。在各种采访中,总统向批评者发出挑战,要求他们告诉他在全国如此多的人遭受苦难的时候应该削减什么。拜登政府现在警告说,最大的风险不是大规模的刺激计划,而是规模太小,因此不能有意义地刺激经济增长。</blockquote></p><p>To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.</p><p><blockquote>为了让股市飙升,奎格建议客户考虑出售SPDR标普500 ETF(股票代码:SPDR标普500指数ETF)5月353美元的看跌期权,并购买5月15日450美元的看涨期权期权。当 ETF 价格为 392.39 美元时,杠杆风险逆转策略(即卖出一份看跌期权并购买更多执行价格更高但到期日相同的评级)可以免费完成。换句话说,卖出看跌期权收到的资金足以购买 15 个看涨评级。</blockquote></p><p>The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.</p><p><blockquote>该交易表示坚信,该 ETF(最近交易价格约为 387 美元)将在 5 月 21 日(可能期权到期时)达到 450 美元。看涨期权售价 460 美元,价值 10 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.</p><p><blockquote>例如,如果 ETF 因当前担忧将市场推至 353 美元执行价格以下而下跌,投资者将有义务以较低的价格买入,或者对冲或调整看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.</p><p><blockquote>奎格的交易理念有很多值得钦佩的地方。</blockquote></p><p>For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.</p><p><blockquote>首先,该交易在上周晚些时候被推荐时成本为零。是的,自 2 月 18 日报告发布以来,价格已经发生了变化,但投资者可以重新制定执行价格以创建类似的定价。市场会发生变化,这就是为什么会有这么多不同的执行价格。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.</p><p><blockquote>此外,如果摩根大通关于经济复苏的基本观点被证明是正确的,那么拥有一揽子上涨的评级可能会非常有利可图。如果市场屈服于当前对价格走弱的担忧,那么以较低的价格持有标普500股票也并不可怕。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy J.P. Morgan Says Now Is the Time to Bet on the S&P 500<blockquote>为什么摩根大通表示现在是押注标普500的时候了</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-24 19:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Don’t worry. Be greedy.</p><p><blockquote>别担心。贪婪。</blockquote></p><p>Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.</p><p><blockquote>尽管投资者的担忧正在加剧,而且股市也受到债券收益率上升的影响,但摩根大通。摩根策略师告诉他们的客户,现在是拥抱股票的时候了。</blockquote></p><p>TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔 500 指数可能在 3875 点左右徘徊,但该银行将 2021 年底目标价定为 4400,区间为 4200 至 4600。它的数字不仅仅是股市预期收益的衍生品。相反,它们反映了美国在 Covid-19 大流行后的经济觉醒。</blockquote></p><p>Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通(J.P. Morgan)衍生品策略师肖恩-奎格(Shawn Quigg)最近告诉客户,市场实现 “这种收益迟早不到,尤其是考虑到未来的众多催化剂、它们对波动性的影响以及它们将对投资者定位产生的影响”,几乎没有什么阻碍。</blockquote></p><p>As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.</p><p><blockquote>随着乔-拜登总统的政府支持 1.9 万亿美元的经济刺激计划,以及 Covid-19 感染和住院人数的下降,奎格预计股市将飙升。他的观点与近期的交易有些不一致。随着 10 年期国债收益率升至 1.38% 左右,股市下跌,此举加剧了通胀担忧和对股市暴跌的担忧。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>奎格喜欢利用这种恐惧和悬而未决的刺激计划,拜登已经开始为该计划辩护,以应对其规模过大的担忧。在各种采访中,总统向批评者发出挑战,要求他们告诉他在全国如此多的人遭受苦难的时候应该削减什么。拜登政府现在警告说,最大的风险不是大规模的刺激计划,而是规模太小,因此不能有意义地刺激经济增长。</blockquote></p><p>To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.</p><p><blockquote>为了让股市飙升,奎格建议客户考虑出售SPDR标普500 ETF(股票代码:SPDR标普500指数ETF)5月353美元的看跌期权,并购买5月15日450美元的看涨期权期权。当 ETF 价格为 392.39 美元时,杠杆风险逆转策略(即卖出一份看跌期权并购买更多执行价格更高但到期日相同的评级)可以免费完成。换句话说,卖出看跌期权收到的资金足以购买 15 个看涨评级。</blockquote></p><p>The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.</p><p><blockquote>该交易表示坚信,该 ETF(最近交易价格约为 387 美元)将在 5 月 21 日(可能期权到期时)达到 450 美元。看涨期权售价 460 美元,价值 10 美元。</blockquote></p><p>Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.</p><p><blockquote>例如,如果 ETF 因当前担忧将市场推至 353 美元执行价格以下而下跌,投资者将有义务以较低的价格买入,或者对冲或调整看跌期权。</blockquote></p><p>Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.</p><p><blockquote>奎格的交易理念有很多值得钦佩的地方。</blockquote></p><p>For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.</p><p><blockquote>首先,该交易在上周晚些时候被推荐时成本为零。是的,自 2 月 18 日报告发布以来,价格已经发生了变化,但投资者可以重新制定执行价格以创建类似的定价。市场会发生变化,这就是为什么会有这么多不同的执行价格。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.</p><p><blockquote>此外,如果摩根大通关于经济复苏的基本观点被证明是正确的,那么拥有一揽子上涨的评级可能会非常有利可图。如果市场屈服于当前对价格走弱的担忧,那么以较低的价格持有标普500股票也并不可怕。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-j-p-morgan-says-now-is-the-time-to-bet-on-the-s-p-500-51614090217?mod=RTA\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-j-p-morgan-says-now-is-the-time-to-bet-on-the-s-p-500-51614090217?mod=RTA","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129467108","content_text":"Don’t worry. Be greedy.Even though investor fears are rising, and the stock market is getting bullied by rising bond yields,J.P. Morganstrategists have told their clients that now is the time to embrace stocks.TheS&P 500may be waffling around 3875, but the bank is standing by its 2021 year-end price target of 4400 on a range of 4200 to 4600. Its numbers aren’t merely some derivative of the stock market’s expected earnings. Instead, they reflect America’s economic reawakening after the Covid-19 pandemic.Shawn Quigg, a J.P. Morgan derivatives strategist, recently told clients that there is little to stand in the way of the market’s achievement of “such gains sooner than later, particularly considering the numerous catalysts ahead, their impact on volatility, and the implications that will have on investor positioning.”As President Joe Biden’s administration champions a $1.9 trillion stimulus program, and Covid-19 infections and hospitalizations decline, Quigg anticipates stocks surging. His view is somewhat at odds with recent trading. Stocks have declined as the 10-year Treasury note yield has increased to about 1.38%, a move that is fanning inflation fearsand worries about stock slumps.Quigg likes taking advantage of the fear and the pending stimulus program, which Biden has begun to defend against concerns that it is too large. In various interviews, the president has challenged critics to tell him what to cut at a time when so much of the nation is suffering. The Biden administration is now warning that the greatest risk isn’t a large stimulus package, but one that is too small and thus doesn’t meaningfully stimulate economic growth.To position for the stock market to surge higher, Quigg advised clients to consider selling one of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF‘s (ticker: SPY) May $353 put options and buying 15 May $450 call options. When the ETF was at $392.39, the leveraged risk-reversal strategy—that is,selling one put and buying many more calls with a higher strike price but the same expiration—could be done for no cost. In other words, the money received for selling the put was enough to buy 15 bullish calls.The trade expresses high conviction that the ETF—which was recently trading around $387—will reach $450 by May 21, when May options expire. At $460, the call is worth $10.Should the ETF decline, say, because current fears push the market below the $353 strike price, investors would be obligated to buy it at the lower price, or to cover or adjust the puts.Quigg’s trade idea has a lot to admire.For one, the trade carried zero cost when it was recommended late last week. Yes, prices have moved since the Feb. 18 note was published, but investors can recast strike prices to create similar pricing. The markets change, and that’s why there are so many different strike prices that are listed.Moreover, if J.P. Morgan’s base view of the economic reawakening proves true, owning a bundle of upside calls that cost nothing could be quite lucrative. Should the market succumb to the current fears that are weakening prices, owning S&P 500 stocks at lower prices isn’t terrible, either.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":692,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":385211228,"gmtCreate":1613554077564,"gmtModify":1634553189051,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"👍👍","listText":"👍👍","text":"👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/385211228","repostId":"1137917622","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137917622","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613545971,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1137917622?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-17 15:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why the stock market’s ‘worst-case’ scenario depends on these 3 ingredients<blockquote>为什么股市的“最坏情况”取决于这三个因素</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137917622","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Rising yields, widening credit spreads and rising dollar would spell trouble: Jefferies\nInvestors ar","content":"<p>Rising yields, widening credit spreads and rising dollar would spell trouble: Jefferies</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞:收益率上升、信贷利差扩大和美元升值将带来麻烦</blockquote></p><p> Investors are fretting over Treasury yields and wondering when a rate rise could start to crimp a stock-market rally, though they weren’t yet worried enough Tuesday to prevent major benchmarks from notching another round of all-time peaks.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对国债收益率感到担忧,并想知道加息何时会开始抑制股市的涨势,尽管他们在周二还没有担心到足以阻止主要基准再次创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> So when does the pain of rising yields, which makes it harder to justify stretched equity valuations, start to make a difference? With the yield on the 10-year Treasury note moving back above 1.2%, a challenge of the 1.5% area, which is the equivalent of the dividend yield on the S&P 500,could soon be in store, wrote Sean Darby, global head of strategy at Jefferies, in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>那么,收益率上升的痛苦(这使得更难证明过高的股票估值是合理的)何时开始产生影响呢?全球战略主管肖恩·达比 (Sean Darby) 写道,随着 10 年期国债收益率回升至 1.2% 以上,1.5% 区域(相当于标准普尔 500 指数的股息收益率)可能很快就会面临挑战杰富瑞 (Jefferies) 在周二的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> That event “will probably coincide with the first test for the valuations of the higher PE stocks and the relative performance of the S&P 500 versus more loftier valued indices such as the Nasdaq-100,” he wrote, referring to the P/E, or price-to-earnings ratio, a common measure of stock market valuations.</p><p><blockquote>他写道,这一事件 “可能会与市盈率较高的股票的估值以及标普500相对于纳斯达克 100 指数等估值较高的指数的相对表现的首次考验同时发生”,他指的是市盈率(P/E),这是衡量股市估值的常见指标。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, low Treasury rates have been seen justifying lofty valuations for equities, as investors have little choice but to look to stocks for returns. While Treasury yields remain low, the move higher could threaten equities with the most stretched valuations, strategists have warned. Yields and bond prices move in opposite directions.</p><p><blockquote>从历史上看,低国债利率被视为股票高估值的理由,因为投资者别无选择,只能寻求股票回报。策略师警告称,虽然美国国债收益率仍然很低,但走高可能会威胁到估值最紧张的股票。收益率和债券价格走势相反。</blockquote></p><p> But Darby delves deeper, arguing that financial markets have likely undergone a “regime change” as investors adapt to the Federal Reserve’s average-inflation targeting setup, which would see the central bank allow inflation to overshoot its target and the economy to run hot before moving to tighten policy.</p><p><blockquote>但达比进行了更深入的探讨,他认为,随着投资者适应美联储的平均通胀目标设置,金融市场很可能已经经历了 “政权更迭”,即央行允许通胀超过其目标,让经济过热,然后再采取行动收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> That regime change amid expectations for abundant liquidity may be illustrated by the continued rally in junk, or high-yield, corporate bonds. Those yields have fallen sharply, even trading below Treasurys on an inflation-adjusted basis for the first time in history, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>在流动性充裕的预期下,这种政权更迭可以从垃圾债券或高收益公司债券的持续上涨中得到说明。他指出,这些收益率大幅下降,甚至历史上首次在通胀调整后低于美国国债收益率。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar, while seeing a modest bounce to begin 2021, hasn’t yet staged a convincing turnaround after its steep 2020 slide, analysts said. A weaker dollar is generally seen as favorable for stocks by helping to keep global financial conditions loose.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,分析师表示,美元虽然在 2021 年初出现了小幅反弹,但在经历了 2020 年的大幅下滑后,尚未出现令人信服的好转。美元走软通常被视为有利于股市,有助于保持全球金融状况宽松。</blockquote></p><p> “In reality the worst case scenario for equity investors would be a selloff in [Treasurys] accompanied by widening credit spreads and a strong dollar,” Darby said. “To date, higher U’S’ bond yields have not been able to arrest the decline in the greenback — real interest rates are still negative.”</p><p><blockquote>“达比说:”实际上,对股票投资者来说,最糟糕的情况是(美国国债)抛售,同时信用利差扩大和美元走强。“迄今为止,美国国债收益率的上升未能阻止美元的下跌--实际利率仍然为负”。</blockquote></p><p> So what should stock-market investors expect?</p><p><blockquote>那么股市投资者应该期待什么呢?</blockquote></p><p> First off, “much higher yields,” he said, noting that all three of Jefferies’ indicators on the direction of the 10-year yield — the 10-year vs. 2-year U.S. yield curve vs. inflation expectations; the yield curve vs. U.S. M1 money supply; and the yield curve vs. the copper/gold ratio — are all pointed vertical, particularly the relationship between money supply and the yield curve (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>他说,首先是 “收益率要高得多”,并指出杰富瑞的所有三个指标都指向了 10 年期国债收益率的方向--10 年期与 2 年期美国国债收益率曲线与通胀预期;收益率曲线与美国M1货币供应量;以及收益率曲线与铜/金比率——都是垂直的,尤其是货币供应量和收益率曲线之间的关系(见下图)。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbd2d670eb3878e88a74b7cef6e07a1a\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"1010\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Jefferies expects the 10-year yield to hit 2% by year-end, Darby noted.</p><p><blockquote>达比指出,杰富瑞预计 10 年期国债收益率到年底将达到 2%。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, high price-to-earnings ratio stocks in the S&P 500 saw a sharp absolute return as the 30-year Treasury yield plunged, Darby said (see chart below), noting the same was true for the tech-concentrated Nasdaq-100.</p><p><blockquote>其次,达比表示,随着 30 年期国债收益率暴跌,标普500高市盈率股票出现了大幅绝对回报(见下图),并指出科技股集中的纳斯达克 100 指数也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa66391315c6c3febff9d67944902f7\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"1012\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “These are the most sensitive to higher U.S. long-term rates,” he said, noting that equities are long duration assets.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这些资产对美国长期利率上升最为敏感,并指出股票是长期资产。</blockquote></p><p> The 30-year yield jumped 8.6 basis points to a more-than-one-year high 2.089% Tuesday, while the 10-year yield rose 9.8 basis points to 1.298%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out a gain of 64.35 points, or 0.2%, in choppy trade,building on last Friday’s record close as investors returned from a three-day holiday weekend. The S&P 500 ended 0.1% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>周二,30年期国债收益率上涨8.6个基点,至一年多高点2.089%,而10年期国债收益率上涨9.8个基点,至1.298%。道琼斯工业平均指数在上周五创纪录的收盘价基础上,在波动的交易中勉强上涨了 64.35 点,涨幅为 0.2%,因为投资者结束了为期三天的周末假期。标普500收盘下跌 0.1%,纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why the stock market’s ‘worst-case’ scenario depends on these 3 ingredients<blockquote>为什么股市的“最坏情况”取决于这三个因素</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy the stock market’s ‘worst-case’ scenario depends on these 3 ingredients<blockquote>为什么股市的“最坏情况”取决于这三个因素</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-17 15:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rising yields, widening credit spreads and rising dollar would spell trouble: Jefferies</p><p><blockquote>杰富瑞:收益率上升、信贷利差扩大和美元升值将带来麻烦</blockquote></p><p> Investors are fretting over Treasury yields and wondering when a rate rise could start to crimp a stock-market rally, though they weren’t yet worried enough Tuesday to prevent major benchmarks from notching another round of all-time peaks.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对国债收益率感到担忧,并想知道加息何时会开始抑制股市的涨势,尽管他们在周二还没有担心到足以阻止主要基准再次创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> So when does the pain of rising yields, which makes it harder to justify stretched equity valuations, start to make a difference? With the yield on the 10-year Treasury note moving back above 1.2%, a challenge of the 1.5% area, which is the equivalent of the dividend yield on the S&P 500,could soon be in store, wrote Sean Darby, global head of strategy at Jefferies, in a Tuesday note.</p><p><blockquote>那么,收益率上升的痛苦(这使得更难证明过高的股票估值是合理的)何时开始产生影响呢?全球战略主管肖恩·达比 (Sean Darby) 写道,随着 10 年期国债收益率回升至 1.2% 以上,1.5% 区域(相当于标准普尔 500 指数的股息收益率)可能很快就会面临挑战杰富瑞 (Jefferies) 在周二的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> That event “will probably coincide with the first test for the valuations of the higher PE stocks and the relative performance of the S&P 500 versus more loftier valued indices such as the Nasdaq-100,” he wrote, referring to the P/E, or price-to-earnings ratio, a common measure of stock market valuations.</p><p><blockquote>他写道,这一事件 “可能会与市盈率较高的股票的估值以及标普500相对于纳斯达克 100 指数等估值较高的指数的相对表现的首次考验同时发生”,他指的是市盈率(P/E),这是衡量股市估值的常见指标。</blockquote></p><p> Historically, low Treasury rates have been seen justifying lofty valuations for equities, as investors have little choice but to look to stocks for returns. While Treasury yields remain low, the move higher could threaten equities with the most stretched valuations, strategists have warned. Yields and bond prices move in opposite directions.</p><p><blockquote>从历史上看,低国债利率被视为股票高估值的理由,因为投资者别无选择,只能寻求股票回报。策略师警告称,虽然美国国债收益率仍然很低,但走高可能会威胁到估值最紧张的股票。收益率和债券价格走势相反。</blockquote></p><p> But Darby delves deeper, arguing that financial markets have likely undergone a “regime change” as investors adapt to the Federal Reserve’s average-inflation targeting setup, which would see the central bank allow inflation to overshoot its target and the economy to run hot before moving to tighten policy.</p><p><blockquote>但达比进行了更深入的探讨,他认为,随着投资者适应美联储的平均通胀目标设置,金融市场很可能已经经历了 “政权更迭”,即央行允许通胀超过其目标,让经济过热,然后再采取行动收紧政策。</blockquote></p><p> That regime change amid expectations for abundant liquidity may be illustrated by the continued rally in junk, or high-yield, corporate bonds. Those yields have fallen sharply, even trading below Treasurys on an inflation-adjusted basis for the first time in history, he noted.</p><p><blockquote>在流动性充裕的预期下,这种政权更迭可以从垃圾债券或高收益公司债券的持续上涨中得到说明。他指出,这些收益率大幅下降,甚至历史上首次在通胀调整后低于美国国债收益率。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar, while seeing a modest bounce to begin 2021, hasn’t yet staged a convincing turnaround after its steep 2020 slide, analysts said. A weaker dollar is generally seen as favorable for stocks by helping to keep global financial conditions loose.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,分析师表示,美元虽然在 2021 年初出现了小幅反弹,但在经历了 2020 年的大幅下滑后,尚未出现令人信服的好转。美元走软通常被视为有利于股市,有助于保持全球金融状况宽松。</blockquote></p><p> “In reality the worst case scenario for equity investors would be a selloff in [Treasurys] accompanied by widening credit spreads and a strong dollar,” Darby said. “To date, higher U’S’ bond yields have not been able to arrest the decline in the greenback — real interest rates are still negative.”</p><p><blockquote>“达比说:”实际上,对股票投资者来说,最糟糕的情况是(美国国债)抛售,同时信用利差扩大和美元走强。“迄今为止,美国国债收益率的上升未能阻止美元的下跌--实际利率仍然为负”。</blockquote></p><p> So what should stock-market investors expect?</p><p><blockquote>那么股市投资者应该期待什么呢?</blockquote></p><p> First off, “much higher yields,” he said, noting that all three of Jefferies’ indicators on the direction of the 10-year yield — the 10-year vs. 2-year U.S. yield curve vs. inflation expectations; the yield curve vs. U.S. M1 money supply; and the yield curve vs. the copper/gold ratio — are all pointed vertical, particularly the relationship between money supply and the yield curve (see chart below).</p><p><blockquote>他说,首先是 “收益率要高得多”,并指出杰富瑞的所有三个指标都指向了 10 年期国债收益率的方向--10 年期与 2 年期美国国债收益率曲线与通胀预期;收益率曲线与美国M1货币供应量;以及收益率曲线与铜/金比率——都是垂直的,尤其是货币供应量和收益率曲线之间的关系(见下图)。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbd2d670eb3878e88a74b7cef6e07a1a\" tg-width=\"1259\" tg-height=\"1010\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Jefferies expects the 10-year yield to hit 2% by year-end, Darby noted.</p><p><blockquote>达比指出,杰富瑞预计 10 年期国债收益率到年底将达到 2%。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, high price-to-earnings ratio stocks in the S&P 500 saw a sharp absolute return as the 30-year Treasury yield plunged, Darby said (see chart below), noting the same was true for the tech-concentrated Nasdaq-100.</p><p><blockquote>其次,达比表示,随着 30 年期国债收益率暴跌,标普500高市盈率股票出现了大幅绝对回报(见下图),并指出科技股集中的纳斯达克 100 指数也是如此。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa66391315c6c3febff9d67944902f7\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"1012\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “These are the most sensitive to higher U.S. long-term rates,” he said, noting that equities are long duration assets.</p><p><blockquote>“他说:”这些资产对美国长期利率上升最为敏感,并指出股票是长期资产。</blockquote></p><p> The 30-year yield jumped 8.6 basis points to a more-than-one-year high 2.089% Tuesday, while the 10-year yield rose 9.8 basis points to 1.298%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out a gain of 64.35 points, or 0.2%, in choppy trade,building on last Friday’s record close as investors returned from a three-day holiday weekend. The S&P 500 ended 0.1% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>周二,30年期国债收益率上涨8.6个基点,至一年多高点2.089%,而10年期国债收益率上涨9.8个基点,至1.298%。道琼斯工业平均指数在上周五创纪录的收盘价基础上,在波动的交易中勉强上涨了 64.35 点,涨幅为 0.2%,因为投资者结束了为期三天的周末假期。标普500收盘下跌 0.1%,纳斯达克综合指数下跌 0.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-combo-would-be-worst-case-scenario-for-stock-market-investors-11613505230?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-combo-would-be-worst-case-scenario-for-stock-market-investors-11613505230?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1137917622","content_text":"Rising yields, widening credit spreads and rising dollar would spell trouble: Jefferies\nInvestors are fretting over Treasury yields and wondering when a rate rise could start to crimp a stock-market rally, though they weren’t yet worried enough Tuesday to prevent major benchmarks from notching another round of all-time peaks.\nSo when does the pain of rising yields, which makes it harder to justify stretched equity valuations, start to make a difference? With the yield on the 10-year Treasury note moving back above 1.2%, a challenge of the 1.5% area, which is the equivalent of the dividend yield on the S&P 500,could soon be in store, wrote Sean Darby, global head of strategy at Jefferies, in a Tuesday note.\nThat event “will probably coincide with the first test for the valuations of the higher PE stocks and the relative performance of the S&P 500 versus more loftier valued indices such as the Nasdaq-100,” he wrote, referring to the P/E, or price-to-earnings ratio, a common measure of stock market valuations.\nHistorically, low Treasury rates have been seen justifying lofty valuations for equities, as investors have little choice but to look to stocks for returns. While Treasury yields remain low, the move higher could threaten equities with the most stretched valuations, strategists have warned. Yields and bond prices move in opposite directions.\nBut Darby delves deeper, arguing that financial markets have likely undergone a “regime change” as investors adapt to the Federal Reserve’s average-inflation targeting setup, which would see the central bank allow inflation to overshoot its target and the economy to run hot before moving to tighten policy.\nThat regime change amid expectations for abundant liquidity may be illustrated by the continued rally in junk, or high-yield, corporate bonds. Those yields have fallen sharply, even trading below Treasurys on an inflation-adjusted basis for the first time in history, he noted.\nMeanwhile, the U.S. dollar, while seeing a modest bounce to begin 2021, hasn’t yet staged a convincing turnaround after its steep 2020 slide, analysts said. A weaker dollar is generally seen as favorable for stocks by helping to keep global financial conditions loose.\n“In reality the worst case scenario for equity investors would be a selloff in [Treasurys] accompanied by widening credit spreads and a strong dollar,” Darby said. “To date, higher U’S’ bond yields have not been able to arrest the decline in the greenback — real interest rates are still negative.”\nSo what should stock-market investors expect?\nFirst off, “much higher yields,” he said, noting that all three of Jefferies’ indicators on the direction of the 10-year yield — the 10-year vs. 2-year U.S. yield curve vs. inflation expectations; the yield curve vs. U.S. M1 money supply; and the yield curve vs. the copper/gold ratio — are all pointed vertical, particularly the relationship between money supply and the yield curve (see chart below).\n\nJefferies expects the 10-year yield to hit 2% by year-end, Darby noted.\nSecondly, high price-to-earnings ratio stocks in the S&P 500 saw a sharp absolute return as the 30-year Treasury yield plunged, Darby said (see chart below), noting the same was true for the tech-concentrated Nasdaq-100.\n\n“These are the most sensitive to higher U.S. long-term rates,” he said, noting that equities are long duration assets.\nThe 30-year yield jumped 8.6 basis points to a more-than-one-year high 2.089% Tuesday, while the 10-year yield rose 9.8 basis points to 1.298%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out a gain of 64.35 points, or 0.2%, in choppy trade,building on last Friday’s record close as investors returned from a three-day holiday weekend. The S&P 500 ended 0.1% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 0.3%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366733598,"gmtCreate":1614561742214,"gmtModify":1703478192764,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Monday up? ","listText":"Monday up? ","text":"Monday up?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366733598","repostId":"1106176819","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2436,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366388720,"gmtCreate":1614395062360,"gmtModify":1703477253309,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366388720","repostId":"1103930774","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103930774","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614334872,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1103930774?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-26 18:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why QuantumScape Stock Rose Then Fell Thursday<blockquote>为什么 QuantumScape 股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103930774","media":"Motley Fool ","summary":"The CEO of the solid-state EV battery maker that has garnered much investor interest gave an intervi","content":"<p>The CEO of the solid-state EV battery maker that has garnered much investor interest gave an interview today.</p><p><blockquote>这家备受投资者关注的固态电动汽车电池制造商的首席执行官今天接受了采访。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock of aspiring solid-state battery technology company <b>QuantumScape</b> (NYSE:QS) has certainly seen ups and downs. Movement in the stock today mirrored that pattern. After an early 10% jump, shares closed more than 3% lower on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>雄心勃勃的固态电池技术公司股票<b>量子景观</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:QS)当然经历了起起落落。今天该股的走势反映了这种模式。在早盘上涨 10% 后,该股周四收盘下跌超过 3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of the company are down more than 30% year to date after a triple-digit spike in late 2020. The company tends to trade with the electric-vehicle (EV) sector as a speculative stock hoping to revolutionize EV battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>继 2020 年底出现三位数飙升后,该公司股价今年迄今已下跌超过 30%。该公司倾向于将电动汽车 (EV) 行业作为投机性股票进行交易,希望彻底改变电动汽车电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Today, QuantumScape CEO Jagdeep Singh gave an interview to Yahoo! Finance, which may have contributed to the stock's volatile trading.</p><p><blockquote>今天,QuantumScape首席执行官Jagdeep Singh接受了雅虎的采访!财务,这可能导致了该股的波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> During today's interview, Singh reiterated some positive developments the company shared with investors last week in its earnings release. The company is working toward commercializing the solid-state battery technology that could provide EV makers with a safer, faster-charging battery that can also deliver longer ranges.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的采访中,辛格重申了该公司上周在财报发布中与投资者分享的一些积极进展。该公司正在努力将固态电池技术商业化,该技术可以为电动汽车制造商提供更安全、充电更快、续航里程更长的电池。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported it has successfully built its first multilayer battery cell with four layers. This helps confirm the technology is feasible. Singh added that he plans to scale up the technology to have an eight to 10-layer cell by the end of this year. That would allow the company to deliver sample cells to automotive manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>该公司报告称,它已经成功制造了第一个具有四层的多层电池。这有助于确认该技术是可行的。辛格补充说,他计划在今年年底前扩大该技术的规模,拥有8到10层电池。这将使该公司能够向汽车制造商提供样品电池。</blockquote></p><p> Singh also said there is interest from other sectors for the technology. \"Things like stationary storage for the grid, that's a really important application for batteries,\" Singh stated in the interview.</p><p><blockquote>辛格还表示,其他行业也对这项技术感兴趣。“像电网的固定存储这样的东西,对于电池来说是一个非常重要的应用,”辛格在采访中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Successful commercial production is far from guaranteed, however. Any investment should be squarely in a speculative portion of a portfolio. And investors should expect ups and downs for both the business developments and the stock, as was seen with today's jump and drop.</p><p><blockquote>然而,成功的商业生产还远未得到保证。任何投资都应该完全属于投资组合的投机部分。投资者应该预料到业务发展和股票都会有起伏,正如今天的涨跌所看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why QuantumScape Stock Rose Then Fell Thursday<blockquote>为什么 QuantumScape 股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy QuantumScape Stock Rose Then Fell Thursday<blockquote>为什么 QuantumScape 股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool </strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-26 18:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The CEO of the solid-state EV battery maker that has garnered much investor interest gave an interview today.</p><p><blockquote>这家备受投资者关注的固态电动汽车电池制造商的首席执行官今天接受了采访。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> The stock of aspiring solid-state battery technology company <b>QuantumScape</b> (NYSE:QS) has certainly seen ups and downs. Movement in the stock today mirrored that pattern. After an early 10% jump, shares closed more than 3% lower on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>雄心勃勃的固态电池技术公司股票<b>量子景观</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:QS)当然经历了起起落落。今天该股的走势反映了这种模式。在早盘上涨 10% 后,该股周四收盘下跌超过 3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of the company are down more than 30% year to date after a triple-digit spike in late 2020. The company tends to trade with the electric-vehicle (EV) sector as a speculative stock hoping to revolutionize EV battery technology.</p><p><blockquote>继 2020 年底出现三位数飙升后,该公司股价今年迄今已下跌超过 30%。该公司倾向于将电动汽车 (EV) 行业作为投机性股票进行交易,希望彻底改变电动汽车电池技术。</blockquote></p><p> Today, QuantumScape CEO Jagdeep Singh gave an interview to Yahoo! Finance, which may have contributed to the stock's volatile trading.</p><p><blockquote>今天,QuantumScape首席执行官Jagdeep Singh接受了雅虎的采访!财务,这可能导致了该股的波动。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> During today's interview, Singh reiterated some positive developments the company shared with investors last week in its earnings release. The company is working toward commercializing the solid-state battery technology that could provide EV makers with a safer, faster-charging battery that can also deliver longer ranges.</p><p><blockquote>在今天的采访中,辛格重申了该公司上周在财报发布中与投资者分享的一些积极进展。该公司正在努力将固态电池技术商业化,该技术可以为电动汽车制造商提供更安全、充电更快、续航里程更长的电池。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported it has successfully built its first multilayer battery cell with four layers. This helps confirm the technology is feasible. Singh added that he plans to scale up the technology to have an eight to 10-layer cell by the end of this year. That would allow the company to deliver sample cells to automotive manufacturers.</p><p><blockquote>该公司报告称,它已经成功制造了第一个具有四层的多层电池。这有助于确认该技术是可行的。辛格补充说,他计划在今年年底前扩大该技术的规模,拥有8到10层电池。这将使该公司能够向汽车制造商提供样品电池。</blockquote></p><p> Singh also said there is interest from other sectors for the technology. \"Things like stationary storage for the grid, that's a really important application for batteries,\" Singh stated in the interview.</p><p><blockquote>辛格还表示,其他行业也对这项技术感兴趣。“像电网的固定存储这样的东西,对于电池来说是一个非常重要的应用,”辛格在采访中表示。</blockquote></p><p> Successful commercial production is far from guaranteed, however. Any investment should be squarely in a speculative portion of a portfolio. And investors should expect ups and downs for both the business developments and the stock, as was seen with today's jump and drop.</p><p><blockquote>然而,成功的商业生产还远未得到保证。任何投资都应该完全属于投资组合的投机部分。投资者应该预料到业务发展和股票都会有起伏,正如今天的涨跌所看到的那样。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/25/why-quantumscape-stock-rose-then-fell-today/\">Motley Fool </a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QS":"Quantumscape Corp."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/25/why-quantumscape-stock-rose-then-fell-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103930774","content_text":"The CEO of the solid-state EV battery maker that has garnered much investor interest gave an interview today.\nWhat happened\nThe stock of aspiring solid-state battery technology company QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) has certainly seen ups and downs. Movement in the stock today mirrored that pattern. After an early 10% jump, shares closed more than 3% lower on Thursday.\nSo what\nShares of the company are down more than 30% year to date after a triple-digit spike in late 2020. The company tends to trade with the electric-vehicle (EV) sector as a speculative stock hoping to revolutionize EV battery technology.\nToday, QuantumScape CEO Jagdeep Singh gave an interview to Yahoo! Finance, which may have contributed to the stock's volatile trading.\nNow what\nDuring today's interview, Singh reiterated some positive developments the company shared with investors last week in its earnings release. The company is working toward commercializing the solid-state battery technology that could provide EV makers with a safer, faster-charging battery that can also deliver longer ranges.\nThe company reported it has successfully built its first multilayer battery cell with four layers. This helps confirm the technology is feasible. Singh added that he plans to scale up the technology to have an eight to 10-layer cell by the end of this year. That would allow the company to deliver sample cells to automotive manufacturers.\nSingh also said there is interest from other sectors for the technology. \"Things like stationary storage for the grid, that's a really important application for batteries,\" Singh stated in the interview.\nSuccessful commercial production is far from guaranteed, however. Any investment should be squarely in a speculative portion of a portfolio. And investors should expect ups and downs for both the business developments and the stock, as was seen with today's jump and drop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":384814708,"gmtCreate":1613638454304,"gmtModify":1631885786673,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NC2.SI\">$SRI TRANG AGRO-INDUSTRY PCL(NC2.SI)$</a> can it fly to 2 dollars? Or 2.33 @ div yield 3%?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NC2.SI\">$SRI TRANG AGRO-INDUSTRY PCL(NC2.SI)$</a> can it fly to 2 dollars? Or 2.33 @ div yield 3%?","text":"$SRI TRANG AGRO-INDUSTRY PCL(NC2.SI)$ can it fly to 2 dollars? Or 2.33 @ div yield 3%?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d7b37930f45c1db3ed09d8be2669026","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/384814708","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366552099,"gmtCreate":1614520239811,"gmtModify":1703477987769,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366552099","repostId":"1117820997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3356,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":369512430,"gmtCreate":1614058085920,"gmtModify":1631885201136,"author":{"id":"3568940228512001","authorId":"3568940228512001","name":"JaydenOh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c74b58fe27c0be1247ccc4767670867f","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568940228512001","authorIdStr":"3568940228512001"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a> after results 2?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a> after results 2?","text":"$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$ after results 2?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf98c15e5b7e13a4bd63df4686a268dc","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369512430","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}