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PEHPEH

PEHPEH

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2021-03-11

Time to charge again, let’s go!

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-09

Did I sell it off too early?

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2021-04-06

Go TSLA!

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2021-03-23

It’s getting tougher

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2021-04-15

Another vaccine 💉

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2021-05-09

Oh no

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2021-04-07

It’s about time

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2021-02-27

Good

Why NVIDIA Shares Stumbled, After an Impressive Earnings Report<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价在令人印象深刻的收益报告后下跌</blockquote>

2021-06-17

Nope

Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储态度更加鹰派后金价跌破1,800美元</blockquote>

2021-06-16

👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻

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<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FNGU\">$Bank Of Montreal(FNGU)$</a>Need to have more patience...","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FNGU\">$Bank Of Montreal(FNGU)$</a>Need to have more patience...","text":"$Bank Of Montreal(FNGU)$Need to have more 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21:27","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储态度更加鹰派后金价跌破1,800美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198341576","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace o","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧，美联储加快了预期的政策收紧步伐，金价跌至每盎司1800美元以下。</blockquote></p><p> The metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>周四，随着美元继续走强，金价跌至六周来的最低水平，此前一天，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，美联储将开始讨论缩减债券购买规模。这是央行首次重大鹰派转向，自疫情爆发以来，央行的大量刺激措施对金条的强劲表现至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>央行还发布的预测显示，预计到2023年底将加息两次——比许多人想象的要早——这有助于提振美元和美国债券收益率，损害黄金。周三创下五个月来最大跌幅的金价突破了多个关键技术支撑位，包括跌破100日移动均线。</blockquote></p><p> “We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银集团分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示：“我们对前景持负面看法，预计未来6至12个月金价将跌至每盎司1,600美元。”“在某些时候，美联储不会谈论taper，但也会实施它。”</blockquote></p><p> Spot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>截至下午2:07，现货黄金下跌1.7%，至每盎司1,780.97美元。伦敦股市早些时候跌至1,776.08美元，为5月5日以来的最低盘中水平。白银、铂金和钯金也出现下滑。彭博美元现货指数继周三上涨0.9%后上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Bullion fell as investors weigh the outcome of the Fed’s two-day gathering. Despite the hawkish pivot, Powell said the interest-rate forecasts “should be taken with a big grain of salt,” and cautioned that discussions about raising rates would be “highly premature.” The central bank also upped its inflation forecasts, though Powell continued to insist price pressures would prove transitory.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者权衡美联储为期两天的会议结果，金价下跌。尽管采取了鹰派立场，鲍威尔表示，利率预测“应该持保留态度”，并警告说，有关加息的讨论“还为时过早”。央行还上调了通胀预测，尽管鲍威尔继续坚称价格压力将是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “Once again the million dollar question is whether inflation will be a passing phenomenon or longer lasting?” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said in a note. “For now the market trusts the judgement of the Federal Reserve and until data potentially proves them wrong, gold and with that also silver may face another challenging period.”</p><p><blockquote>“再一次，百万美元的问题是通货膨胀是短暂的现象还是会持续更长时间？”盛宝银行(Saxo Bank A/S)大宗商品策略主管Ole Hansen在一份报告中表示。“目前市场相信美联储的判断，在数据可能证明他们是错误的之前，黄金以及白银可能面临另一个充满挑战的时期。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储态度更加鹰派后金价跌破1,800美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储态度更加鹰派后金价跌破1,800美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 21:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧，美联储加快了预期的政策收紧步伐，金价跌至每盎司1800美元以下。</blockquote></p><p> The metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>周四，随着美元继续走强，金价跌至六周来的最低水平，此前一天，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，美联储将开始讨论缩减债券购买规模。这是央行首次重大鹰派转向，自疫情爆发以来，央行的大量刺激措施对金条的强劲表现至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>央行还发布的预测显示，预计到2023年底将加息两次——比许多人想象的要早——这有助于提振美元和美国债券收益率，损害黄金。周三创下五个月来最大跌幅的金价突破了多个关键技术支撑位，包括跌破100日移动均线。</blockquote></p><p> “We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银集团分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示：“我们对前景持负面看法，预计未来6至12个月金价将跌至每盎司1,600美元。”“在某些时候，美联储不会谈论taper，但也会实施它。”</blockquote></p><p> Spot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>截至下午2:07，现货黄金下跌1.7%，至每盎司1,780.97美元。伦敦股市早些时候跌至1,776.08美元，为5月5日以来的最低盘中水平。白银、铂金和钯金也出现下滑。彭博美元现货指数继周三上涨0.9%后上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Bullion fell as investors weigh the outcome of the Fed’s two-day gathering. Despite the hawkish pivot, Powell said the interest-rate forecasts “should be taken with a big grain of salt,” and cautioned that discussions about raising rates would be “highly premature.” The central bank also upped its inflation forecasts, though Powell continued to insist price pressures would prove transitory.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者权衡美联储为期两天的会议结果，金价下跌。尽管采取了鹰派立场，鲍威尔表示，利率预测“应该持保留态度”，并警告说，有关加息的讨论“还为时过早”。央行还上调了通胀预测，尽管鲍威尔继续坚称价格压力将是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “Once again the million dollar question is whether inflation will be a passing phenomenon or longer lasting?” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said in a note. “For now the market trusts the judgement of the Federal Reserve and until data potentially proves them wrong, gold and with that also silver may face another challenging period.”</p><p><blockquote>“再一次，百万美元的问题是通货膨胀是短暂的现象还是会持续更长时间？”盛宝银行(Saxo Bank A/S)大宗商品策略主管Ole Hansen在一份报告中表示。“目前市场相信美联储的判断，在数据可能证明他们是错误的之前，黄金以及白银可能面临另一个充满挑战的时期。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198341576","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.\nThe metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.\nThe central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.\n“We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”\nSpot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.\nBullion fell as investors weigh the outcome of the Fed’s two-day gathering. Despite the hawkish pivot, Powell said the interest-rate forecasts “should be taken with a big grain of salt,” and cautioned that discussions about raising rates would be “highly premature.” The central bank also upped its inflation forecasts, though Powell continued to insist price pressures would prove transitory.\n“Once again the million dollar question is whether inflation will be a passing phenomenon or longer lasting?” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said in a note. “For now the market trusts the judgement of the Federal Reserve and until data potentially proves them wrong, gold and with that also silver may face another challenging period.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169461585,"gmtCreate":1623847803447,"gmtModify":1631888190261,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169461585","repostId":"1129059158","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182297900,"gmtCreate":1623575221400,"gmtModify":1631888190273,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Watch out!","listText":"Watch out!","text":"Watch out!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182297900","repostId":"2142378818","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2009,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188938376,"gmtCreate":1623419007995,"gmtModify":1631888190287,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Commodity supercycle? Really?","listText":"Commodity supercycle? Really?","text":"Commodity supercycle? Really?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188938376","repostId":"1196090491","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183635908,"gmtCreate":1623327514404,"gmtModify":1631888190299,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[惊讶]&nbsp;","listText":"[惊讶]&nbsp;","text":"[惊讶]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/183635908","repostId":"1128810191","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":189190955,"gmtCreate":1623247175677,"gmtModify":1631888190313,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"🤔&nbsp;","listText":"🤔&nbsp;","text":"🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189190955","repostId":"2142600282","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117418590,"gmtCreate":1623156764510,"gmtModify":1631888190323,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117418590","repostId":"1189074704","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2917,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":114850522,"gmtCreate":1623067596366,"gmtModify":1631888190340,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm...","listText":"Hmmm...","text":"Hmmm...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114850522","repostId":"2141286115","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112486810,"gmtCreate":1622902736030,"gmtModify":1634096983737,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[可爱]&nbsp;","listText":"[可爱]&nbsp;","text":"[可爱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112486810","repostId":"1158897173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":116504587,"gmtCreate":1622809372249,"gmtModify":1634097816610,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What do you think?","listText":"What do you think?","text":"What do you think?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116504587","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, 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drama","listText":"Drama drama","text":"Drama drama","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff813dc8a9459484cafdb977a08ee42","width":"1125","height":"3437"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134387565","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139114293,"gmtCreate":1621600314912,"gmtModify":1634187759136,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"AAPL!","listText":"AAPL!","text":"AAPL!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139114293","repostId":"1159725394","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130373163,"gmtCreate":1621516452452,"gmtModify":1634188509096,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Stop gambling&nbsp;","listText":"Stop gambling&nbsp;","text":"Stop gambling","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130373163","repostId":"2136921902","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2136921902","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1621514880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2136921902?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 20:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget the crypto chaos. Look at this underappreciated sector for stock-market gains, says strategist.<blockquote>忘记密码混乱吧。策略师表示，看看这个被低估的行业是否能获得股市收益。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2136921902","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The cryptocurrency chaos continued on Thursday, as investor sentiment on stocks exhibited similar ji","content":"<p>The cryptocurrency chaos continued on Thursday, as investor sentiment on stocks exhibited similar jitters. Equities are set to extend declines as crypto markets remain volatile and depressed.</p><p><blockquote>周四，加密货币混乱仍在继续，投资者对股票的情绪也表现出类似的不安。由于加密货币市场仍然波动和低迷，股市将继续下跌。</blockquote></p><p> But let's block out the noise over bitcoin, Elon Musk's tweets, and concerns about inflation and technology-stock valuations.</p><p><blockquote>但让我们屏蔽比特币、Elon Musk的推文以及对通胀和科技股估值的担忧的噪音。</blockquote></p><p> Our call of the day, from strategist Jesse Felder of the Felder Report financial blog , urged investors to look to an underappreciated sector for stock-market gains: energy.</p><p><blockquote>Felder Report金融博客策略师Jesse Felder的《今日看涨期权》敦促投资者关注一个被低估的行业来获取股市收益：能源。</blockquote></p><p> One of Felder's mantras is to look for investing opportunities outside of major indexes. The rise of passive investing, with massive funds passively tracking stock market indexes, makes these opportunities more prevalent and attractive, he said.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德的口头禅之一是寻找主要指数之外的投资机会。他表示，被动投资的兴起，大量基金被动跟踪股市指数，使得这些机会更加普遍和有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> According to Felder, passive investing has recently become less popular, as investors increasingly embrace variations of ESG: environmental, social, and governance investing, which measures social and environmental impact. That includes the more speculative side of the trend, like green energy stocks Ørsted and Plug Power <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$(PLUG)$</a>, and electric-vehicle companies like Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> and NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示，被动投资最近变得不那么受欢迎，因为投资者越来越多地接受ESG的变化：环境、社会和治理投资，衡量社会和环境影响。这包括趋势中更具投机性的一面，例如绿色能源股票Ø rsted和普拉格能源<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$（插头）$</a>以及特斯拉等电动汽车公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>和蔚来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Felder said this has resulted in portfolios that are more concentrated in popular sectors such as tech, and underweight in the traditional energy sector.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示，这导致投资组合更加集中在科技等热门行业，以及传统能源行业的跑输大盘。</blockquote></p><p> \"In this way, ESG has merely served to magnify the momentum that passive index funds create when they allocate more new money to stocks and sectors with rising values, like tech and communications services,\" Felder said, with funds allocating less new money to sectors with falling values, like energy.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示：“这样，ESG只会放大被动指数基金将更多新资金分配给科技和通信服务等价值不断上升的股票和行业所创造的动力。”价值下降的行业，例如能源。</blockquote></p><p> \"As a result, opportunities that run counter to these trends have become even more attractive than they otherwise would have,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>“因此，与这些趋势背道而驰的机会变得比其他情况下更具吸引力，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> The momentum is now shifting. Energy has begun to outperform the rest of the stock market, including tech, and \"many may be asking themselves whether this trend is sustainable.\" Felder thinks it is.</p><p><blockquote>势头现在正在转变。能源已经开始跑赢包括科技在内的其他股市，“许多人可能会问自己这种趋势是否可持续。”费尔德认为是。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca60c8ba87702d88f1e7cd965b99671\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"912\"><span>CHART VIA THE FELDER REPORT BLOG.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表通过费尔德报告博客。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Felder pointed to the chart, above, which shows historical weightings within the S&amp;P 500 index. Energy has a smaller portion that it did two decades ago, at the beginning of its last major bull market. Tech and communications-services stocks are slightly below all-time highs notched at the peak of the dot-com bubble.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德指出了上图，该图显示了标普500指数的历史权重。与二十年前上一次大牛市开始时相比，能源所占的份额较小。科技和通信服务股略低于互联网泡沫顶峰时创下的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> \"For my money, those alligator jaws look more likely to snap shut than to open even wider,\" Felder said.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德说：“在我看来，那些鳄鱼的下巴看起来更有可能snap闭合，而不是张开得更大。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget the crypto chaos. Look at this underappreciated sector for stock-market gains, says strategist.<blockquote>忘记密码混乱吧。策略师表示，看看这个被低估的行业是否能获得股市收益。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget the crypto chaos. Look at this underappreciated sector for stock-market gains, says strategist.<blockquote>忘记密码混乱吧。策略师表示，看看这个被低估的行业是否能获得股市收益。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-20 20:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The cryptocurrency chaos continued on Thursday, as investor sentiment on stocks exhibited similar jitters. Equities are set to extend declines as crypto markets remain volatile and depressed.</p><p><blockquote>周四，加密货币混乱仍在继续，投资者对股票的情绪也表现出类似的不安。由于加密货币市场仍然波动和低迷，股市将继续下跌。</blockquote></p><p> But let's block out the noise over bitcoin, Elon Musk's tweets, and concerns about inflation and technology-stock valuations.</p><p><blockquote>但让我们屏蔽比特币、Elon Musk的推文以及对通胀和科技股估值的担忧的噪音。</blockquote></p><p> Our call of the day, from strategist Jesse Felder of the Felder Report financial blog , urged investors to look to an underappreciated sector for stock-market gains: energy.</p><p><blockquote>Felder Report金融博客策略师Jesse Felder的《今日看涨期权》敦促投资者关注一个被低估的行业来获取股市收益：能源。</blockquote></p><p> One of Felder's mantras is to look for investing opportunities outside of major indexes. The rise of passive investing, with massive funds passively tracking stock market indexes, makes these opportunities more prevalent and attractive, he said.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德的口头禅之一是寻找主要指数之外的投资机会。他表示，被动投资的兴起，大量基金被动跟踪股市指数，使得这些机会更加普遍和有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> According to Felder, passive investing has recently become less popular, as investors increasingly embrace variations of ESG: environmental, social, and governance investing, which measures social and environmental impact. That includes the more speculative side of the trend, like green energy stocks Ørsted and Plug Power <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$(PLUG)$</a>, and electric-vehicle companies like Tesla <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a> and NIO <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$(NIO)$</a>.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示，被动投资最近变得不那么受欢迎，因为投资者越来越多地接受ESG的变化：环境、社会和治理投资，衡量社会和环境影响。这包括趋势中更具投机性的一面，例如绿色能源股票Ø rsted和普拉格能源<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$（插头）$</a>以及特斯拉等电动汽车公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>和蔚来<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$（蔚来）$</a>.</blockquote></p><p> Felder said this has resulted in portfolios that are more concentrated in popular sectors such as tech, and underweight in the traditional energy sector.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示，这导致投资组合更加集中在科技等热门行业，以及传统能源行业的跑输大盘。</blockquote></p><p> \"In this way, ESG has merely served to magnify the momentum that passive index funds create when they allocate more new money to stocks and sectors with rising values, like tech and communications services,\" Felder said, with funds allocating less new money to sectors with falling values, like energy.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德表示：“这样，ESG只会放大被动指数基金将更多新资金分配给科技和通信服务等价值不断上升的股票和行业所创造的动力。”价值下降的行业，例如能源。</blockquote></p><p> \"As a result, opportunities that run counter to these trends have become even more attractive than they otherwise would have,\" he said.</p><p><blockquote>“因此，与这些趋势背道而驰的机会变得比其他情况下更具吸引力，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> The momentum is now shifting. Energy has begun to outperform the rest of the stock market, including tech, and \"many may be asking themselves whether this trend is sustainable.\" Felder thinks it is.</p><p><blockquote>势头现在正在转变。能源已经开始跑赢包括科技在内的其他股市，“许多人可能会问自己这种趋势是否可持续。”费尔德认为是。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ca60c8ba87702d88f1e7cd965b99671\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"912\"><span>CHART VIA THE FELDER REPORT BLOG.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表通过费尔德报告博客。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Felder pointed to the chart, above, which shows historical weightings within the S&amp;P 500 index. Energy has a smaller portion that it did two decades ago, at the beginning of its last major bull market. Tech and communications-services stocks are slightly below all-time highs notched at the peak of the dot-com bubble.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德指出了上图，该图显示了标普500指数的历史权重。与二十年前上一次大牛市开始时相比，能源所占的份额较小。科技和通信服务股略低于互联网泡沫顶峰时创下的历史高点。</blockquote></p><p> \"For my money, those alligator jaws look more likely to snap shut than to open even wider,\" Felder said.</p><p><blockquote>费尔德说：“在我看来，那些鳄鱼的下巴看起来更有可能snap闭合，而不是张开得更大。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/forget-the-crypto-chaos-look-at-this-underappreciated-sector-for-stock-market-gains-says-strategist-11621509767?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/forget-the-crypto-chaos-look-at-this-underappreciated-sector-for-stock-market-gains-says-strategist-11621509767?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2136921902","content_text":"The cryptocurrency chaos continued on Thursday, as investor sentiment on stocks exhibited similar jitters. Equities are set to extend declines as crypto markets remain volatile and depressed.\nBut let's block out the noise over bitcoin, Elon Musk's tweets, and concerns about inflation and technology-stock valuations.\nOur call of the day, from strategist Jesse Felder of the Felder Report financial blog , urged investors to look to an underappreciated sector for stock-market gains: energy.\nOne of Felder's mantras is to look for investing opportunities outside of major indexes. The rise of passive investing, with massive funds passively tracking stock market indexes, makes these opportunities more prevalent and attractive, he said.\nAccording to Felder, passive investing has recently become less popular, as investors increasingly embrace variations of ESG: environmental, social, and governance investing, which measures social and environmental impact. That includes the more speculative side of the trend, like green energy stocks Ørsted and Plug Power $(PLUG)$, and electric-vehicle companies like Tesla $(TSLA)$ and NIO $(NIO)$.\nFelder said this has resulted in portfolios that are more concentrated in popular sectors such as tech, and underweight in the traditional energy sector.\n\"In this way, ESG has merely served to magnify the momentum that passive index funds create when they allocate more new money to stocks and sectors with rising values, like tech and communications services,\" Felder said, with funds allocating less new money to sectors with falling values, like energy.\n\"As a result, opportunities that run counter to these trends have become even more attractive than they otherwise would have,\" he said.\nThe momentum is now shifting. Energy has begun to outperform the rest of the stock market, including tech, and \"many may be asking themselves whether this trend is sustainable.\" Felder thinks it is.\nCHART VIA THE FELDER REPORT BLOG.\nFelder pointed to the chart, above, which shows historical weightings within the S&P 500 index. Energy has a smaller portion that it did two decades ago, at the beginning of its last major bull market. Tech and communications-services stocks are slightly below all-time highs notched at the peak of the dot-com bubble.\n\"For my money, those alligator jaws look more likely to snap shut than to open even wider,\" Felder said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":194155805,"gmtCreate":1621349279907,"gmtModify":1634192223797,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Keep going!","listText":"Keep going!","text":"Keep going!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/194155805","repostId":"1118874404","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118874404","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1621348771,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118874404?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-18 22:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股票再次火爆。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118874404","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again on Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Mo","content":"<p>EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Motors rose 3%,Tesla rose 2%,Nio rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周二再次火爆。菲斯克上涨9%，小牛上涨7%，理想汽车上涨5%，小鹏汽车上涨3%，特斯拉上涨2%，蔚来上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c154e9ee88b69416f48d71722ce1901\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股票再次火爆。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks are blazing hot, once again.<blockquote>电动汽车股票再次火爆。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-18 22:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again&nbsp;on&nbsp;Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Motors rose 3%,Tesla rose 2%,Nio rose 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股周二再次火爆。菲斯克上涨9%，小牛上涨7%，理想汽车上涨5%，小鹏汽车上涨3%，特斯拉上涨2%，蔚来上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c154e9ee88b69416f48d71722ce1901\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"358\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"XPEV":"小鹏汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","NIU":"小牛电动","NIO":"蔚来","FSR":"菲斯克","LI":"理想汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118874404","content_text":"EV Stocks are blazing hot, once again on Tuesday.Fisker rose 9%,NIU rose 7%,Li Auto rose 5%,Xpeng Motors rose 3%,Tesla rose 2%,Nio rose 1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIU":0.9,"FSR":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"LI":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1068,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195803114,"gmtCreate":1621266651738,"gmtModify":1634192898481,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy?","listText":"Buy?","text":"Buy?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195803114","repostId":"1121366045","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1121366045","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621265461,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121366045?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-17 23:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Disney Stock Still a Buy After Missing Subscriber Estimates?<blockquote>在未达到订户预期后，迪士尼股票仍然值得买入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121366045","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Disney+ fell well short of analyst estimates for subscriber additions in the last quarter.\nWalt Disn","content":"<p>Disney+ fell well short of analyst estimates for subscriber additions in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Disney+上个季度的订户增长远低于分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Walt Disney</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:DIS)&nbsp;ended the fiscal second quarter with 103.6 million subscribers on its Disney+ streaming service.&nbsp;While that's more than double the total reported in the year-ago quarter, analysts expected Disney+ to finish the quarter with 109 million subscribers.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：DIS）第二财季结束时，其Disney+流媒体服务的订户为1.036亿。虽然这是去年同期报告总数的两倍多，但分析师预计Disney+本季度将拥有1.09亿订户。</blockquote></p><p> The stock initially sold off sharply after the&nbsp;earnings report&nbsp;and is currently down 4.3% year to date.&nbsp;Investors are probably wondering if the House of Mouse is still a good investment.</p><p><blockquote>该股在财报发布后最初大幅抛售，目前今年迄今已下跌4.3%。投资者可能想知道《老鼠之家》是否仍然是一项不错的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Here are four important points from the earnings call that suggest Disney is doing fine and could make the sell-off a good buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>以下是收益看涨期权中的四个要点，表明迪士尼表现良好，可能会使抛售成为一个很好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00b2ef9a9954376983ea5e8c5eef5678\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1125\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: WALT DISNEY.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：华特·迪士尼。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Disney+ is still on track to reach 230 million subscribers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.Disney+仍有望达到2.3亿订阅用户</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney was already doomed to disappoint investors after&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NFLX)&nbsp;missed its own guidance for subscribers in the March-ending quarter.&nbsp;There was a strong pull-forward of signups for streaming services during the pandemic that may take a quarter or two to shake out.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼已经注定会让投资者失望<b>Netflix</b>（纳斯达克：NFLX）在截至3月份的季度未能达到自己的订户指引。疫情期间，流媒体服务的注册量强劲增长，可能需要一两个季度才能恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, there were plenty of details in the earnings report that suggest Disney+ is still on track to hit its long-term subscriber target. For example, CFO Christine McCarthy said that Disney \"added subs at a faster pace in the last month of the second quarter than we did in the first two months.\"&nbsp;And this was despite the first price increase for Disney+ since launch.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，收益报告中有大量细节表明Disney+仍有望实现其长期订户目标。例如，首席财务官克里斯蒂娜·麦卡锡(Christine McCarthy)表示，迪士尼“在第二季度最后一个月增加潜艇的速度比前两个月更快。”尽管Disney+自推出以来首次提价。</blockquote></p><p> Looking beyond the near term, CEO Bob Chapek said: \"We are on track to achieve our guidance of 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.\"</p><p><blockquote>展望近期，首席执行官Bob Chapek表示：“我们有望在2024财年末实现2.3亿至2.6亿用户的指导。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Churn levels remaining low despite price increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.尽管价格上涨，客户流失率仍然很低</b></blockquote></p><p> Even after implementing the price increases last quarter, Chapek said that \"we've not observed any significantly higher churn rate since the price increase in [the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region].\"</p><p><blockquote>查佩克表示，即使在上季度实施提价后，“自[欧洲、中东和非洲地区]提价以来，我们还没有观察到客户流失率显着上升。”</blockquote></p><p> Disney expects subscriber growth to be stronger once content production resumes at full strength. Chapek said, \"the anticipation for Marvel's newest series,<i>Loki</i>, which debuts on June 9 has been through the roof.\"</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼预计，一旦内容制作全面恢复，订户增长将更加强劲。查佩克说：“对漫威最新系列的期待，<i>洛基</i>将于6月9日首次亮相的该片已经取得了巨大的成功。”</blockquote></p><p> Remember that Disney has gained more than 100 million subs without tapping the&nbsp;deep pipeline of content&nbsp;from&nbsp;<i>Star Wars</i>&nbsp;and Marvel that management unveiled at its December investor day presentation.&nbsp;As the company adds more content from these powerhouse franchises, subscriber numbers should add up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，迪士尼在没有利用深度内容管道的情况下就获得了超过1亿的订阅用户<i>星球大战</i>以及管理层在12月投资者日演讲中公布的漫威。随着该公司从这些强大的特许经营权中添加更多内容，订阅者数量应该会增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Disney+ has yet to benefit from recent price increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、Disney+尚未从近期涨价中受益</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney's average revenue per user (ARPU) fell 29% to $3.99 during the quarter.&nbsp;That is certainly a stark contrast compared to Netflix's 6% year-over-year increase in the last quarter. But there's more to the story here.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼本季度的每用户平均收入（ARPU）下降了29%，至3.99美元。这与Netflix上季度6%的同比增长相比无疑是一个鲜明的对比。但是这里的故事还有更多。</blockquote></p><p> The decline in ARPU was due to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar in India, which produces a lower revenue per user than Disney+ in other markets.&nbsp;Excluding Hotstar, Disney+ ARPU would have been virtually unchanged at $5.61.</p><p><blockquote>ARPU的下降是由于迪士尼+Hotstar在印度的推出，印度的每用户收入低于迪士尼+在其他市场。如果不包括Hotstar，迪士尼+ARPU几乎没有变化，为5.61美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"As we move through the remainder of the year, we should start to see the benefit on Disney+ ARPU from price increases we've taken around the world,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><blockquote>麦卡锡表示：“随着今年剩余时间的推移，我们应该开始看到我们在世界各地采取的价格上涨对迪士尼+ARPU的好处。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Per capita spending is up at theme parks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.主题公园的人均支出上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, theme parks are still an important piece of Disney's business, generating $26 billion in revenue in fiscal 2019.&nbsp;Revenue from Disney parks, experiences, and products dropped 44% year over year in the quarter.&nbsp;But that's an improvement from the previous quarter's 53% decline.</p><p><blockquote>当然，主题公园仍然是迪士尼业务的重要组成部分，在2019财年创造了260亿美元的收入。本季度，迪士尼乐园、体验和产品的收入同比下降了44%。但这比上一季度53%的下降有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> Management offered more good news on the earnings call. \"At Walt Disney World, attendance trends continued to steadily improve throughout the second quarter, and guest spending per capita again grew by double digits versus the prior year,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在盈利看涨期权上提供了更多好消息。麦卡锡表示：“在华特迪士尼世界，整个第二季度的上座率趋势继续稳步改善，人均游客支出与去年相比再次增长了两位数。”</blockquote></p><p> Disneyland Resort opened on April 30, and management is \"very encouraged\" by the guest response so far.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼度假区于4月30日开业，管理层对迄今为止游客的反应感到“非常鼓舞”。</blockquote></p><p> It's tough to say where the stock will go in the near term, but Disney's franchises are some of the most valuable in the&nbsp;entertainment industry. I think it's a safe bet that once Disney unloads more content from its top brands on Disney+, and the rest of the business fully recovers from the pandemic, the stock price will likely trade higher than it does now. So, yes, I view the sell-off as a good buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>很难说该股短期内将走向何方，但迪士尼的特许经营权是娱乐行业中最有价值的特许经营权之一。我认为可以肯定的是，一旦迪士尼在Disney+上卸载其顶级品牌的更多内容，并且其他业务完全从疫情中恢复过来，股价可能会比现在更高。所以，是的，我认为这次抛售是一个很好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Disney Stock Still a Buy After Missing Subscriber Estimates?<blockquote>在未达到订户预期后，迪士尼股票仍然值得买入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Disney Stock Still a Buy After Missing Subscriber Estimates?<blockquote>在未达到订户预期后，迪士尼股票仍然值得买入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-17 23:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Disney+ fell well short of analyst estimates for subscriber additions in the last quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Disney+上个季度的订户增长远低于分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Walt Disney</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:DIS)&nbsp;ended the fiscal second quarter with 103.6 million subscribers on its Disney+ streaming service.&nbsp;While that's more than double the total reported in the year-ago quarter, analysts expected Disney+ to finish the quarter with 109 million subscribers.</p><p><blockquote><b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：DIS）第二财季结束时，其Disney+流媒体服务的订户为1.036亿。虽然这是去年同期报告总数的两倍多，但分析师预计Disney+本季度将拥有1.09亿订户。</blockquote></p><p> The stock initially sold off sharply after the&nbsp;earnings report&nbsp;and is currently down 4.3% year to date.&nbsp;Investors are probably wondering if the House of Mouse is still a good investment.</p><p><blockquote>该股在财报发布后最初大幅抛售，目前今年迄今已下跌4.3%。投资者可能想知道《老鼠之家》是否仍然是一项不错的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Here are four important points from the earnings call that suggest Disney is doing fine and could make the sell-off a good buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>以下是收益看涨期权中的四个要点，表明迪士尼表现良好，可能会使抛售成为一个很好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00b2ef9a9954376983ea5e8c5eef5678\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1125\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: WALT DISNEY.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：华特·迪士尼。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Disney+ is still on track to reach 230 million subscribers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.Disney+仍有望达到2.3亿订阅用户</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney was already doomed to disappoint investors after&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NFLX)&nbsp;missed its own guidance for subscribers in the March-ending quarter.&nbsp;There was a strong pull-forward of signups for streaming services during the pandemic that may take a quarter or two to shake out.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼已经注定会让投资者失望<b>Netflix</b>（纳斯达克：NFLX）在截至3月份的季度未能达到自己的订户指引。疫情期间，流媒体服务的注册量强劲增长，可能需要一两个季度才能恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Nonetheless, there were plenty of details in the earnings report that suggest Disney+ is still on track to hit its long-term subscriber target. For example, CFO Christine McCarthy said that Disney \"added subs at a faster pace in the last month of the second quarter than we did in the first two months.\"&nbsp;And this was despite the first price increase for Disney+ since launch.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，收益报告中有大量细节表明Disney+仍有望实现其长期订户目标。例如，首席财务官克里斯蒂娜·麦卡锡(Christine McCarthy)表示，迪士尼“在第二季度最后一个月增加潜艇的速度比前两个月更快。”尽管Disney+自推出以来首次提价。</blockquote></p><p> Looking beyond the near term, CEO Bob Chapek said: \"We are on track to achieve our guidance of 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.\"</p><p><blockquote>展望近期，首席执行官Bob Chapek表示：“我们有望在2024财年末实现2.3亿至2.6亿用户的指导。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Churn levels remaining low despite price increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.尽管价格上涨，客户流失率仍然很低</b></blockquote></p><p> Even after implementing the price increases last quarter, Chapek said that \"we've not observed any significantly higher churn rate since the price increase in [the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region].\"</p><p><blockquote>查佩克表示，即使在上季度实施提价后，“自[欧洲、中东和非洲地区]提价以来，我们还没有观察到客户流失率显着上升。”</blockquote></p><p> Disney expects subscriber growth to be stronger once content production resumes at full strength. Chapek said, \"the anticipation for Marvel's newest series,<i>Loki</i>, which debuts on June 9 has been through the roof.\"</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼预计，一旦内容制作全面恢复，订户增长将更加强劲。查佩克说：“对漫威最新系列的期待，<i>洛基</i>将于6月9日首次亮相的该片已经取得了巨大的成功。”</blockquote></p><p> Remember that Disney has gained more than 100 million subs without tapping the&nbsp;deep pipeline of content&nbsp;from&nbsp;<i>Star Wars</i>&nbsp;and Marvel that management unveiled at its December investor day presentation.&nbsp;As the company adds more content from these powerhouse franchises, subscriber numbers should add up.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，迪士尼在没有利用深度内容管道的情况下就获得了超过1亿的订阅用户<i>星球大战</i>以及管理层在12月投资者日演讲中公布的漫威。随着该公司从这些强大的特许经营权中添加更多内容，订阅者数量应该会增加。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Disney+ has yet to benefit from recent price increases</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3、Disney+尚未从近期涨价中受益</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney's average revenue per user (ARPU) fell 29% to $3.99 during the quarter.&nbsp;That is certainly a stark contrast compared to Netflix's 6% year-over-year increase in the last quarter. But there's more to the story here.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼本季度的每用户平均收入（ARPU）下降了29%，至3.99美元。这与Netflix上季度6%的同比增长相比无疑是一个鲜明的对比。但是这里的故事还有更多。</blockquote></p><p> The decline in ARPU was due to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar in India, which produces a lower revenue per user than Disney+ in other markets.&nbsp;Excluding Hotstar, Disney+ ARPU would have been virtually unchanged at $5.61.</p><p><blockquote>ARPU的下降是由于迪士尼+Hotstar在印度的推出，印度的每用户收入低于迪士尼+在其他市场。如果不包括Hotstar，迪士尼+ARPU几乎没有变化，为5.61美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"As we move through the remainder of the year, we should start to see the benefit on Disney+ ARPU from price increases we've taken around the world,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><blockquote>麦卡锡表示：“随着今年剩余时间的推移，我们应该开始看到我们在世界各地采取的价格上涨对迪士尼+ARPU的好处。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Per capita spending is up at theme parks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.主题公园的人均支出上升</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, theme parks are still an important piece of Disney's business, generating $26 billion in revenue in fiscal 2019.&nbsp;Revenue from Disney parks, experiences, and products dropped 44% year over year in the quarter.&nbsp;But that's an improvement from the previous quarter's 53% decline.</p><p><blockquote>当然，主题公园仍然是迪士尼业务的重要组成部分，在2019财年创造了260亿美元的收入。本季度，迪士尼乐园、体验和产品的收入同比下降了44%。但这比上一季度53%的下降有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> Management offered more good news on the earnings call. \"At Walt Disney World, attendance trends continued to steadily improve throughout the second quarter, and guest spending per capita again grew by double digits versus the prior year,\" McCarthy said.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在盈利看涨期权上提供了更多好消息。麦卡锡表示：“在华特迪士尼世界，整个第二季度的上座率趋势继续稳步改善，人均游客支出与去年相比再次增长了两位数。”</blockquote></p><p> Disneyland Resort opened on April 30, and management is \"very encouraged\" by the guest response so far.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼度假区于4月30日开业，管理层对迄今为止游客的反应感到“非常鼓舞”。</blockquote></p><p> It's tough to say where the stock will go in the near term, but Disney's franchises are some of the most valuable in the&nbsp;entertainment industry. I think it's a safe bet that once Disney unloads more content from its top brands on Disney+, and the rest of the business fully recovers from the pandemic, the stock price will likely trade higher than it does now. So, yes, I view the sell-off as a good buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>很难说该股短期内将走向何方，但迪士尼的特许经营权是娱乐行业中最有价值的特许经营权之一。我认为可以肯定的是，一旦迪士尼在Disney+上卸载其顶级品牌的更多内容，并且其他业务完全从疫情中恢复过来，股价可能会比现在更高。所以，是的，我认为这次抛售是一个很好的买入机会。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/17/is-disney-stock-still-a-buy-after-missing-subscrib/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/17/is-disney-stock-still-a-buy-after-missing-subscrib/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121366045","content_text":"Disney+ fell well short of analyst estimates for subscriber additions in the last quarter.\nWalt Disney (NYSE:DIS) ended the fiscal second quarter with 103.6 million subscribers on its Disney+ streaming service. While that's more than double the total reported in the year-ago quarter, analysts expected Disney+ to finish the quarter with 109 million subscribers.\nThe stock initially sold off sharply after the earnings report and is currently down 4.3% year to date. Investors are probably wondering if the House of Mouse is still a good investment.\nHere are four important points from the earnings call that suggest Disney is doing fine and could make the sell-off a good buying opportunity.\nIMAGE SOURCE: WALT DISNEY.\n1. Disney+ is still on track to reach 230 million subscribers\nDisney was already doomed to disappoint investors after Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) missed its own guidance for subscribers in the March-ending quarter. There was a strong pull-forward of signups for streaming services during the pandemic that may take a quarter or two to shake out.\nNonetheless, there were plenty of details in the earnings report that suggest Disney+ is still on track to hit its long-term subscriber target. For example, CFO Christine McCarthy said that Disney \"added subs at a faster pace in the last month of the second quarter than we did in the first two months.\" And this was despite the first price increase for Disney+ since launch.\nLooking beyond the near term, CEO Bob Chapek said: \"We are on track to achieve our guidance of 230 million to 260 million subscribers by the end of fiscal 2024.\"\n2. Churn levels remaining low despite price increases\nEven after implementing the price increases last quarter, Chapek said that \"we've not observed any significantly higher churn rate since the price increase in [the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region].\"\nDisney expects subscriber growth to be stronger once content production resumes at full strength. Chapek said, \"the anticipation for Marvel's newest series,Loki, which debuts on June 9 has been through the roof.\"\nRemember that Disney has gained more than 100 million subs without tapping the deep pipeline of content from Star Wars and Marvel that management unveiled at its December investor day presentation. As the company adds more content from these powerhouse franchises, subscriber numbers should add up.\n3. Disney+ has yet to benefit from recent price increases\nDisney's average revenue per user (ARPU) fell 29% to $3.99 during the quarter. That is certainly a stark contrast compared to Netflix's 6% year-over-year increase in the last quarter. But there's more to the story here.\nThe decline in ARPU was due to the launch of Disney+ Hotstar in India, which produces a lower revenue per user than Disney+ in other markets. Excluding Hotstar, Disney+ ARPU would have been virtually unchanged at $5.61.\n\"As we move through the remainder of the year, we should start to see the benefit on Disney+ ARPU from price increases we've taken around the world,\" McCarthy said.\n4. Per capita spending is up at theme parks\nOf course, theme parks are still an important piece of Disney's business, generating $26 billion in revenue in fiscal 2019. Revenue from Disney parks, experiences, and products dropped 44% year over year in the quarter. But that's an improvement from the previous quarter's 53% decline.\nManagement offered more good news on the earnings call. \"At Walt Disney World, attendance trends continued to steadily improve throughout the second quarter, and guest spending per capita again grew by double digits versus the prior year,\" McCarthy said.\nDisneyland Resort opened on April 30, and management is \"very encouraged\" by the guest response so far.\nIt's tough to say where the stock will go in the near term, but Disney's franchises are some of the most valuable in the entertainment industry. I think it's a safe bet that once Disney unloads more content from its top brands on Disney+, and the rest of the business fully recovers from the pandemic, the stock price will likely trade higher than it does now. So, yes, I view the sell-off as a good buying opportunity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":321784568,"gmtCreate":1615471004254,"gmtModify":1703489516185,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time to charge again, let’s go!","listText":"Time to charge again, let’s go!","text":"Time to charge again, let’s go!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321784568","repostId":"1115960803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346967898,"gmtCreate":1617981214114,"gmtModify":1634295380482,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Did I sell it off too early?","listText":"Did I sell it off too early?","text":"Did I sell it off too early?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346967898","repostId":"1104081344","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":418,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343251256,"gmtCreate":1617720243275,"gmtModify":1634296913887,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go TSLA!","listText":"Go TSLA!","text":"Go TSLA!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343251256","repostId":"2125902437","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353483968,"gmtCreate":1616512665754,"gmtModify":1634525405604,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s getting tougher&nbsp;","listText":"It’s getting tougher&nbsp;","text":"It’s getting tougher","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353483968","repostId":"1125171845","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347856718,"gmtCreate":1618488243534,"gmtModify":1634292614929,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Another vaccine 💉&nbsp;","listText":"Another vaccine 💉&nbsp;","text":"Another vaccine 💉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347856718","repostId":"2127001678","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":764,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":190932090,"gmtCreate":1620567654610,"gmtModify":1634197999988,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no&nbsp;","listText":"Oh no&nbsp;","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190932090","repostId":"2133837186","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":463,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341800819,"gmtCreate":1617799411231,"gmtModify":1634296454194,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It’s about time","listText":"It’s about time","text":"It’s about time","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341800819","repostId":"2125742124","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366360612,"gmtCreate":1614395882036,"gmtModify":1703477261394,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366360612","repostId":"1150278371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1150278371","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1614332308,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1150278371?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-26 17:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why NVIDIA Shares Stumbled, After an Impressive Earnings Report<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价在令人印象深刻的收益报告后下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1150278371","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The soaring stock was arguably due for a correction, and some investors worry that the end of this c","content":"<p>The soaring stock was arguably due for a correction, and some investors worry that the end of this cryptocurrency boom could hurt NVIDIA's business.</p><p><blockquote>飙升的股票可以说是该回调了，一些投资者担心加密货币热潮的结束可能会损害英伟达的业务。</blockquote></p><p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p>Semiconductor developer&nbsp;<b>NVIDIA</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NVDA)&nbsp;posted strong fourth-quarter results last night with a side of optimistic guidance for the next reporting period. The stock fell as much as 8.2% on Thursday anyhow, because sometimes even an analyst-stumping report isn't quite enough to support a&nbsp;skyrocketing stock&nbsp;like NVIDIA's.</p><p><blockquote>半导体开发商<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：NVDA）昨晚公布了强劲的第四季度业绩，并对下一个报告期提供了乐观的指引。无论如何，该股周四下跌了8.2%，因为有时即使是一份难倒分析师的报告也不足以支撑像英伟达这样飙升的股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p>In the fourth quarter of 2020, NVIDIA's top-line revenue rose 62% year over year to $5 billion. Adjusted earnings climbed 64% higher, landing at $3.10 per diluted share. Your average analyst would have settled for earnings near $2.81 per share on sales in the neighborhood of $4.82 billion. The stellar results were driven by high demand for NVIDIA's data center processors and gaming products.</p><p><blockquote>2020年第四季度，英伟达的营收同比增长62%，达到50亿美元。调整后收益攀升64%，达到稀释后每股3.10美元。普通分析师会满足于每股收益接近2.81美元，销售额约为48.2亿美元。出色的业绩是由对英伟达数据中心处理器和游戏产品的高需求推动的。</blockquote></p><p>Heading into the report, NVIDIA's shares had gained 112% in 52 weeks. The stock traded at a nosebleed-inducing 95 times trailing earnings and 86 times&nbsp;free cash flow, setting the stage for a significant price cut despite a strong earnings report. Today, you can pick up NVIDIA's shares for the somewhat less exorbitant valuation ratios of 93 times adjusted earnings or 71 times free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布前，英伟达股价在52周内上涨了112%。该股的市盈率为95倍，自由现金流为86倍，令人流鼻血，尽管盈利报告强劲，但仍为大幅降价奠定了基础。如今，您可以以调整后市盈率93倍或自由现金流71倍的估值比率购买NVIDIA股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p>Some investors also worry about artificial growth stemming from rising cryptocurrency prices. Specifically, NVIDIA's graphics processors are very efficient at mining&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>(CRYPTO:ETH)&nbsp;tokens and the smart-contract cryptocurrency has seen prices skyrocket 568% over the last year. If Ethereum miners are buying tons of NVIDIA's graphics cards, that leaves fewer units on store shelves for actual gamers. All of this is happening during a marketwide&nbsp;shortage of semiconductor manufacturing capacity, limiting the processor supplies even further. All of this sounds like good news for NVIDIA, but the idea is that it also exposes the company to significant market risks if Ethereum prices crash again, killing the demand for token-mining hardware.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者还担心加密货币价格上涨带来的人为增长。具体来说，英伟达的图形处理器在挖掘方面非常高效<b>以太币</b>（CRYPTO：ETH）代币和智能合约加密货币的价格在去年飙升了568%。如果以太币矿工购买大量英伟达显卡，那么商店货架上留给真正游戏玩家的显卡就会减少。所有这一切都是在市场范围内半导体制造能力短缺的情况下发生的，进一步限制了处理器供应。所有这些对英伟达来说听起来都是好消息，但其想法是，如果以太币价格再次暴跌，该公司也将面临巨大的市场风险，从而扼杀对代币挖矿硬件的需求。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA's management has acknowledged this concern and&nbsp;taken steps to limit the Ethereum-mining appeal of its gaming hardware. Furthermore, CEO Jensen Huang argues that the cryptocurrency mining market is a fairly small part of his company's end-user market. Hyper-specialized application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) play a much larger role in the crypto-mining sector.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达管理层已经承认了这一担忧，并采取措施限制其游戏硬件的以太币挖掘吸引力。此外，首席执行官黄仁勋认为，加密货币挖矿市场在其公司的最终用户市场中只占相当小的一部分。超专业化专用集成电路（ASIC）在密码挖掘领域发挥着更大的作用。</blockquote></p><p>\"I think that this is going to be a part of our business. It won't grow extremely large no matter what happens and the reason for that is because when it starts to grow large, more ASICs come to the market, which kinds of mutes it,\" Huang said on the fourth-quarter earnings call. \"When the market becomes smaller, it's harder for ASICs to sustain the R&amp;D and so the spot miners, industrial miners come back and then we'll create [cryptocurrency mining processors]. And so we expect it to be a small part of our business as we go forward. \"</p><p><blockquote>“我认为这将成为我们业务的一部分。无论发生什么，它都不会变得非常大，原因是当它开始变大时，更多的ASIC进入市场，这使得它静音，”黄在第四季度财报看涨期权上说道。“当市场变小时，ASIC就更难维持研发，因此现货矿商、工业矿商会回来，然后我们将创建[加密货币挖矿处理器]。因此，我们预计它将成为我们业务的一小部分随着我们的前进。”</blockquote></p><p>The company can't track how people end up using the chips it sells, but Huang estimates that roughly $200 million of this quarter's gaming product sales came from mining enthusiasts. That's just 8% of a $2.5 billion top-line haul.</p><p><blockquote>该公司无法追踪人们最终如何使用其销售的芯片，但Huang估计本季度游戏产品销售额中约有2亿美元来自挖矿爱好者。这仅占25亿美元营收的8%。</blockquote></p><p>All of this is to say that NVIDIA's post-earnings correction may have been amplified by the Ethereum mining risk, and that particular threat doesn't look all that menacing. Therefore, you could make a case that NVIDIA's shares are selling at a discount today -- despite the sky-high valuation ratios.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都表明，英伟达的财报后调整可能被以太币挖矿风险放大了，而这种特殊威胁看起来并没有那么具有威胁性。因此，你可以证明英伟达的股票今天正在以折扣价出售——尽管估值比率极高。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why NVIDIA Shares Stumbled, After an Impressive Earnings Report<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价在令人印象深刻的收益报告后下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy NVIDIA Shares Stumbled, After an Impressive Earnings Report<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价在令人印象深刻的收益报告后下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-26 17:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The soaring stock was arguably due for a correction, and some investors worry that the end of this cryptocurrency boom could hurt NVIDIA's business.</p><p><blockquote>飙升的股票可以说是该回调了，一些投资者担心加密货币热潮的结束可能会损害英伟达的业务。</blockquote></p><p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p>Semiconductor developer&nbsp;<b>NVIDIA</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:NVDA)&nbsp;posted strong fourth-quarter results last night with a side of optimistic guidance for the next reporting period. The stock fell as much as 8.2% on Thursday anyhow, because sometimes even an analyst-stumping report isn't quite enough to support a&nbsp;skyrocketing stock&nbsp;like NVIDIA's.</p><p><blockquote>半导体开发商<b>英伟达</b>（纳斯达克：NVDA）昨晚公布了强劲的第四季度业绩，并对下一个报告期提供了乐观的指引。无论如何，该股周四下跌了8.2%，因为有时即使是一份难倒分析师的报告也不足以支撑像英伟达这样飙升的股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p>In the fourth quarter of 2020, NVIDIA's top-line revenue rose 62% year over year to $5 billion. Adjusted earnings climbed 64% higher, landing at $3.10 per diluted share. Your average analyst would have settled for earnings near $2.81 per share on sales in the neighborhood of $4.82 billion. The stellar results were driven by high demand for NVIDIA's data center processors and gaming products.</p><p><blockquote>2020年第四季度，英伟达的营收同比增长62%，达到50亿美元。调整后收益攀升64%，达到稀释后每股3.10美元。普通分析师会满足于每股收益接近2.81美元，销售额约为48.2亿美元。出色的业绩是由对英伟达数据中心处理器和游戏产品的高需求推动的。</blockquote></p><p>Heading into the report, NVIDIA's shares had gained 112% in 52 weeks. The stock traded at a nosebleed-inducing 95 times trailing earnings and 86 times&nbsp;free cash flow, setting the stage for a significant price cut despite a strong earnings report. Today, you can pick up NVIDIA's shares for the somewhat less exorbitant valuation ratios of 93 times adjusted earnings or 71 times free cash flow.</p><p><blockquote>报告发布前，英伟达股价在52周内上涨了112%。该股的市盈率为95倍，自由现金流为86倍，令人流鼻血，尽管盈利报告强劲，但仍为大幅降价奠定了基础。如今，您可以以调整后市盈率93倍或自由现金流71倍的估值比率购买NVIDIA股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p>Some investors also worry about artificial growth stemming from rising cryptocurrency prices. Specifically, NVIDIA's graphics processors are very efficient at mining&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>(CRYPTO:ETH)&nbsp;tokens and the smart-contract cryptocurrency has seen prices skyrocket 568% over the last year. If Ethereum miners are buying tons of NVIDIA's graphics cards, that leaves fewer units on store shelves for actual gamers. All of this is happening during a marketwide&nbsp;shortage of semiconductor manufacturing capacity, limiting the processor supplies even further. All of this sounds like good news for NVIDIA, but the idea is that it also exposes the company to significant market risks if Ethereum prices crash again, killing the demand for token-mining hardware.</p><p><blockquote>一些投资者还担心加密货币价格上涨带来的人为增长。具体来说，英伟达的图形处理器在挖掘方面非常高效<b>以太币</b>（CRYPTO：ETH）代币和智能合约加密货币的价格在去年飙升了568%。如果以太币矿工购买大量英伟达显卡，那么商店货架上留给真正游戏玩家的显卡就会减少。所有这一切都是在市场范围内半导体制造能力短缺的情况下发生的，进一步限制了处理器供应。所有这些对英伟达来说听起来都是好消息，但其想法是，如果以太币价格再次暴跌，该公司也将面临巨大的市场风险，从而扼杀对代币挖矿硬件的需求。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA's management has acknowledged this concern and&nbsp;taken steps to limit the Ethereum-mining appeal of its gaming hardware. Furthermore, CEO Jensen Huang argues that the cryptocurrency mining market is a fairly small part of his company's end-user market. Hyper-specialized application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) play a much larger role in the crypto-mining sector.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达管理层已经承认了这一担忧，并采取措施限制其游戏硬件的以太币挖掘吸引力。此外，首席执行官黄仁勋认为，加密货币挖矿市场在其公司的最终用户市场中只占相当小的一部分。超专业化专用集成电路（ASIC）在密码挖掘领域发挥着更大的作用。</blockquote></p><p>\"I think that this is going to be a part of our business. It won't grow extremely large no matter what happens and the reason for that is because when it starts to grow large, more ASICs come to the market, which kinds of mutes it,\" Huang said on the fourth-quarter earnings call. \"When the market becomes smaller, it's harder for ASICs to sustain the R&amp;D and so the spot miners, industrial miners come back and then we'll create [cryptocurrency mining processors]. And so we expect it to be a small part of our business as we go forward. \"</p><p><blockquote>“我认为这将成为我们业务的一部分。无论发生什么，它都不会变得非常大，原因是当它开始变大时，更多的ASIC进入市场，这使得它静音，”黄在第四季度财报看涨期权上说道。“当市场变小时，ASIC就更难维持研发，因此现货矿商、工业矿商会回来，然后我们将创建[加密货币挖矿处理器]。因此，我们预计它将成为我们业务的一小部分随着我们的前进。”</blockquote></p><p>The company can't track how people end up using the chips it sells, but Huang estimates that roughly $200 million of this quarter's gaming product sales came from mining enthusiasts. That's just 8% of a $2.5 billion top-line haul.</p><p><blockquote>该公司无法追踪人们最终如何使用其销售的芯片，但Huang估计本季度游戏产品销售额中约有2亿美元来自挖矿爱好者。这仅占25亿美元营收的8%。</blockquote></p><p>All of this is to say that NVIDIA's post-earnings correction may have been amplified by the Ethereum mining risk, and that particular threat doesn't look all that menacing. Therefore, you could make a case that NVIDIA's shares are selling at a discount today -- despite the sky-high valuation ratios.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些都表明，英伟达的财报后调整可能被以太币挖矿风险放大了，而这种特殊威胁看起来并没有那么具有威胁性。因此，你可以证明英伟达的股票今天正在以折扣价出售——尽管估值比率极高。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/25/why-nvidia-shares-stumbled-today-after-an-impressi/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/25/why-nvidia-shares-stumbled-today-after-an-impressi/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1150278371","content_text":"The soaring stock was arguably due for a correction, and some investors worry that the end of this cryptocurrency boom could hurt NVIDIA's business.What happenedSemiconductor developer NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) posted strong fourth-quarter results last night with a side of optimistic guidance for the next reporting period. The stock fell as much as 8.2% on Thursday anyhow, because sometimes even an analyst-stumping report isn't quite enough to support a skyrocketing stock like NVIDIA's.So whatIn the fourth quarter of 2020, NVIDIA's top-line revenue rose 62% year over year to $5 billion. Adjusted earnings climbed 64% higher, landing at $3.10 per diluted share. Your average analyst would have settled for earnings near $2.81 per share on sales in the neighborhood of $4.82 billion. The stellar results were driven by high demand for NVIDIA's data center processors and gaming products.Heading into the report, NVIDIA's shares had gained 112% in 52 weeks. The stock traded at a nosebleed-inducing 95 times trailing earnings and 86 times free cash flow, setting the stage for a significant price cut despite a strong earnings report. Today, you can pick up NVIDIA's shares for the somewhat less exorbitant valuation ratios of 93 times adjusted earnings or 71 times free cash flow.Now whatSome investors also worry about artificial growth stemming from rising cryptocurrency prices. Specifically, NVIDIA's graphics processors are very efficient at mining Ethereum(CRYPTO:ETH) tokens and the smart-contract cryptocurrency has seen prices skyrocket 568% over the last year. If Ethereum miners are buying tons of NVIDIA's graphics cards, that leaves fewer units on store shelves for actual gamers. All of this is happening during a marketwide shortage of semiconductor manufacturing capacity, limiting the processor supplies even further. All of this sounds like good news for NVIDIA, but the idea is that it also exposes the company to significant market risks if Ethereum prices crash again, killing the demand for token-mining hardware.NVIDIA's management has acknowledged this concern and taken steps to limit the Ethereum-mining appeal of its gaming hardware. Furthermore, CEO Jensen Huang argues that the cryptocurrency mining market is a fairly small part of his company's end-user market. Hyper-specialized application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) play a much larger role in the crypto-mining sector.\"I think that this is going to be a part of our business. It won't grow extremely large no matter what happens and the reason for that is because when it starts to grow large, more ASICs come to the market, which kinds of mutes it,\" Huang said on the fourth-quarter earnings call. \"When the market becomes smaller, it's harder for ASICs to sustain the R&D and so the spot miners, industrial miners come back and then we'll create [cryptocurrency mining processors]. And so we expect it to be a small part of our business as we go forward. \"The company can't track how people end up using the chips it sells, but Huang estimates that roughly $200 million of this quarter's gaming product sales came from mining enthusiasts. That's just 8% of a $2.5 billion top-line haul.All of this is to say that NVIDIA's post-earnings correction may have been amplified by the Ethereum mining risk, and that particular threat doesn't look all that menacing. Therefore, you could make a case that NVIDIA's shares are selling at a discount today -- despite the sky-high valuation ratios.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":850,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161542243,"gmtCreate":1623936762982,"gmtModify":1631888190245,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nope","listText":"Nope","text":"Nope","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161542243","repostId":"1198341576","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198341576","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623936474,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198341576?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 21:27","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储态度更加鹰派后金价跌破1,800美元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198341576","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace o","content":"<p>(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧，美联储加快了预期的政策收紧步伐，金价跌至每盎司1800美元以下。</blockquote></p><p> The metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>周四，随着美元继续走强，金价跌至六周来的最低水平，此前一天，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，美联储将开始讨论缩减债券购买规模。这是央行首次重大鹰派转向，自疫情爆发以来，央行的大量刺激措施对金条的强劲表现至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>央行还发布的预测显示，预计到2023年底将加息两次——比许多人想象的要早——这有助于提振美元和美国债券收益率，损害黄金。周三创下五个月来最大跌幅的金价突破了多个关键技术支撑位，包括跌破100日移动均线。</blockquote></p><p> “We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银集团分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示：“我们对前景持负面看法，预计未来6至12个月金价将跌至每盎司1,600美元。”“在某些时候，美联储不会谈论taper，但也会实施它。”</blockquote></p><p> Spot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>截至下午2:07，现货黄金下跌1.7%，至每盎司1,780.97美元。伦敦股市早些时候跌至1,776.08美元，为5月5日以来的最低盘中水平。白银、铂金和钯金也出现下滑。彭博美元现货指数继周三上涨0.9%后上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Bullion fell as investors weigh the outcome of the Fed’s two-day gathering. Despite the hawkish pivot, Powell said the interest-rate forecasts “should be taken with a big grain of salt,” and cautioned that discussions about raising rates would be “highly premature.” The central bank also upped its inflation forecasts, though Powell continued to insist price pressures would prove transitory.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者权衡美联储为期两天的会议结果，金价下跌。尽管采取了鹰派立场，鲍威尔表示，利率预测“应该持保留态度”，并警告说，有关加息的讨论“还为时过早”。央行还上调了通胀预测，尽管鲍威尔继续坚称价格压力将是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “Once again the million dollar question is whether inflation will be a passing phenomenon or longer lasting?” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said in a note. “For now the market trusts the judgement of the Federal Reserve and until data potentially proves them wrong, gold and with that also silver may face another challenging period.”</p><p><blockquote>“再一次，百万美元的问题是通货膨胀是短暂的现象还是会持续更长时间？”盛宝银行(Saxo Bank A/S)大宗商品策略主管Ole Hansen在一份报告中表示。“目前市场相信美联储的判断，在数据可能证明他们是错误的之前，黄金以及白银可能面临另一个充满挑战的时期。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储态度更加鹰派后金价跌破1,800美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGold Drops Below $1,800 After Fed Takes More Hawkish Turn<blockquote>美联储态度更加鹰派后金价跌破1,800美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 21:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.</p><p><blockquote>（彭博社）——由于对劳动力市场的乐观情绪和对通胀的担忧加剧，美联储加快了预期的政策收紧步伐，金价跌至每盎司1800美元以下。</blockquote></p><p> The metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>周四，随着美元继续走强，金价跌至六周来的最低水平，此前一天，美联储主席鲍威尔表示，美联储将开始讨论缩减债券购买规模。这是央行首次重大鹰派转向，自疫情爆发以来，央行的大量刺激措施对金条的强劲表现至关重要。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.</p><p><blockquote>央行还发布的预测显示，预计到2023年底将加息两次——比许多人想象的要早——这有助于提振美元和美国债券收益率，损害黄金。周三创下五个月来最大跌幅的金价突破了多个关键技术支撑位，包括跌破100日移动均线。</blockquote></p><p> “We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”</p><p><blockquote>瑞银集团分析师Giovanni Staunovo表示：“我们对前景持负面看法，预计未来6至12个月金价将跌至每盎司1,600美元。”“在某些时候，美联储不会谈论taper，但也会实施它。”</blockquote></p><p> Spot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>截至下午2:07，现货黄金下跌1.7%，至每盎司1,780.97美元。伦敦股市早些时候跌至1,776.08美元，为5月5日以来的最低盘中水平。白银、铂金和钯金也出现下滑。彭博美元现货指数继周三上涨0.9%后上涨0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Bullion fell as investors weigh the outcome of the Fed’s two-day gathering. Despite the hawkish pivot, Powell said the interest-rate forecasts “should be taken with a big grain of salt,” and cautioned that discussions about raising rates would be “highly premature.” The central bank also upped its inflation forecasts, though Powell continued to insist price pressures would prove transitory.</p><p><blockquote>由于投资者权衡美联储为期两天的会议结果，金价下跌。尽管采取了鹰派立场，鲍威尔表示，利率预测“应该持保留态度”，并警告说，有关加息的讨论“还为时过早”。央行还上调了通胀预测，尽管鲍威尔继续坚称价格压力将是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “Once again the million dollar question is whether inflation will be a passing phenomenon or longer lasting?” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said in a note. “For now the market trusts the judgement of the Federal Reserve and until data potentially proves them wrong, gold and with that also silver may face another challenging period.”</p><p><blockquote>“再一次，百万美元的问题是通货膨胀是短暂的现象还是会持续更长时间？”盛宝银行(Saxo Bank A/S)大宗商品策略主管Ole Hansen在一份报告中表示。“目前市场相信美联储的判断，在数据可能证明他们是错误的之前，黄金以及白银可能面临另一个充满挑战的时期。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-steadies-losing-mojo-fed-011347508.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198341576","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Gold slumped below $1,800 an ounce as the Federal Reserve sped up its expected pace of policy tightening amid optimism about the labor market and heightened concerns over inflation.\nThe metal slipped to the lowest in six weeks on Thursday as the dollar continued to strengthen, the day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would begin a discussion about scaling back bond purchases. It’s the first major hawkish turn from the central bank whose deluge of stimulus has been critical to bullion’s strong performance since the start of the pandemic.\nThe central bank also released forecasts that show it anticipates two interest-rate increases by the end of 2023 -- sooner than many thought -- which helped boost the dollar and U.S. bond yields, hurting gold. Bullion, which declined the most in five months on Wednesday, broke through a number of key technical support levels, including falling below its 100-day moving average.\n“We have a negative outlook, expecting gold to fall to $1,600 an ounce over the next six to 12 months,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG. “At some point the Fed will not talk about taper but also implement it.”\nSpot gold declined 1.7% to $1,780.97 an ounce as of 2:07 p.m. in London, after earlier dropping to $1,776.08, the lowest intraday level since May 5. Silver, platinum and palladium also declined. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.5% after rising 0.9% on Wednesday.\nBullion fell as investors weigh the outcome of the Fed’s two-day gathering. Despite the hawkish pivot, Powell said the interest-rate forecasts “should be taken with a big grain of salt,” and cautioned that discussions about raising rates would be “highly premature.” The central bank also upped its inflation forecasts, though Powell continued to insist price pressures would prove transitory.\n“Once again the million dollar question is whether inflation will be a passing phenomenon or longer lasting?” Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S, said in a note. “For now the market trusts the judgement of the Federal Reserve and until data potentially proves them wrong, gold and with that also silver may face another challenging period.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169461585,"gmtCreate":1623847803447,"gmtModify":1631888190261,"author":{"id":"3568799656541576","authorId":"3568799656541576","name":"PEHPEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af5e8cdcfb3b610e210a145cbda18d52","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568799656541576","authorIdStr":"3568799656541576"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169461585","repostId":"1129059158","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2752,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}