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clarenceng
2021-06-09
Like n comment pls
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clarenceng
2021-04-08
Like and comment pls
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clarenceng
2021-05-21
Like n comment. This article is gloomy
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clarenceng
2021-06-18
Ok. Let me know when rdy to buy.Like n cOmment pls
Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>
clarenceng
2021-04-24
Like n comment pls
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clarenceng
2021-09-23
Like n comment pls
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clarenceng
2021-05-25
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clarenceng
2021-04-27
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Tesla posts record net income of $438 million, revenue surges by 74%<blockquote>特斯拉净利润创纪录4.38亿美元营收暴增74%</blockquote>
clarenceng
2021-04-26
Good or bad news?
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clarenceng
2021-03-25
Like and comment
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去老虎APP查看更多动态
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Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3224,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857933467,"gmtCreate":1635501231942,"gmtModify":1635501232145,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857933467","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":857930389,"gmtCreate":1635501092482,"gmtModify":1635501138486,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/857930389","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! </a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2002,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863238524,"gmtCreate":1632395347168,"gmtModify":1632800711566,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863238524","repostId":"1190658591","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860932923,"gmtCreate":1632117672362,"gmtModify":1632802719350,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio xpeng not included?","listText":"Nio xpeng not included?","text":"Nio xpeng not included?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860932923","repostId":"1165266849","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165266849","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632095568,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1165266849?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 07:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If there were a ‘Big Three’ of electric vehicle makers, who would join Tesla?<blockquote>如果电动汽车制造商有“三巨头”,谁会加入特斯拉?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165266849","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Delays at young electric-vehicle companies suggest that large auto makers are best placed to challen","content":"<p>Delays at young electric-vehicle companies suggest that large auto makers are best placed to challenge Tesla in the future, but the smart money is chasing less glamorous names </p><p><blockquote>年轻电动汽车公司的延迟表明,大型汽车制造商最有能力在未来挑战特斯拉,但聪明的资金正在追逐不那么迷人的公司</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf4fe95f357a1ce8ef9aeefc9e1e62d0\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MarketWatch photo illustration/Tesla, iStockphoto</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MarketWatch照片插图/特斯拉,iStockphoto</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When Henry Ford was reorganizing his Detroit Automobile Company into what would become the juggernaut of U.S. auto manufacturing, hundreds of other young auto makers were also starting up.</p><p><blockquote>当亨利·福特将他的底特律汽车公司重组为美国汽车制造业的巨头时,数百家其他年轻的汽车制造商也在起步。</blockquote></p><p> One of them, the National Motor Vehicle Car Manufacturing Co, started out in Indianapolis, which boasted six automakers in 1906. National Motor even competed in and won the 1912 Indy 500. Sales boomed and it expanded production, but after a merger with Associated Motor Industries in 1922, the company ended up in receivership in 1924. Like hundreds of other early car companies, none of those six Indianapolis players survived.</p><p><blockquote>其中之一,国家机动车辆汽车制造公司,成立于印第安纳波利斯,1906年拥有六家汽车制造商。国家汽车公司甚至参加了1912年印地500大赛并赢得了冠军。销售蓬勃发展,产量扩大,但在1922年与联合汽车工业公司合并后,该公司最终于1924年进入破产管理程序。与数百家其他早期汽车公司一样,印第安纳波利斯的六家公司无一幸存。</blockquote></p><p> Investors eyeing the electric vehicle space today may have a sense of déjà vu. The huge number of companies, large and small, currently working on electric vehicles or their components is reminiscent of the turn of the 20th century, when companies like National and others experimented with body forms and engine types, from steam-powered to internal combustion to early versions of electric vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>如今关注电动汽车领域的投资者可能会有一种似曾相识的感觉。目前大量大大小小的公司都在研究电动汽车或其零部件,这让人想起20世纪之交,当时National等公司尝试了车身形式和发动机类型,从蒸汽动力到内燃机再到电动汽车的早期版本。</blockquote></p><p> By the 1929 stock market crash, there were only about 40 auto makers left, and that number eventually shrunk to where the top companies in the U.S. are referred to as the “Big Three.” Similar shakeouts occurred globally, with Big Threes emerging in other countries, like Japan and Germany.</p><p><blockquote>到1929年股市崩盘时,只剩下大约40家汽车制造商,这个数字最终缩小到美国顶级公司被称为“三巨头”。全球也发生了类似的洗牌,日本和德国等其他国家也出现了三巨头。</blockquote></p><p> One major difference between then and now, said Brett Smith, director of technology research at the Center for Automotive Research, or CAR, is that 100 years ago, “everybody was starting from scratch—no one had an advantage,” while today, traditional auto makers already know how to build cars and create huge assembly lines.、</p><p><blockquote>汽车研究中心(CAR)技术研究主任布雷特·史密斯(Brett Smith)表示,当时和现在的一个主要区别是,100年前,“每个人都是从零开始——没有人有优势”,而今天,传统汽车制造商已经知道如何制造汽车并创建庞大的装配线。</blockquote></p><p> ‘Over the next 5 years, there is going to be some remarkable growth for some of these companies. But there will be some that don’t grow and struggle. There is more to be optimistic about with these companies than there was five years ago, because the tech is getting closer to broader adoption. The problem is that the traditional car companies have been getting into it too now and competition is tougher.’” — Brett Smith, director, technology research, Center for Automotive Research </p><p><blockquote>“未来5年,其中一些公司将出现显着增长。但也会有一些不成长、不奋斗的。与五年前相比,这些公司有更多值得乐观的地方,因为这项技术越来越接近更广泛的采用。问题是传统汽车公司现在也开始涉足这一领域,竞争更加激烈。”——汽车研究中心技术研究主任布雷特·史密斯</blockquote></p><p> The question for investors then is which companies will become the big 3 of EVs?</p><p><blockquote>投资者面临的问题是哪些公司将成为电动汽车三巨头?</blockquote></p><p> The company with the biggest advantage in electric vehicles today is Tesla Inc. which has finally proved to the world that EVs are the future. As rival startups and legacy automakers seek to emulate its success, investors must ponder which EV companies will succeed and which will disappear.</p><p><blockquote>如今在电动汽车领域拥有最大优势的公司是特斯拉公司,该公司最终向世界证明了电动汽车是未来。随着竞争对手初创公司和传统汽车制造商寻求效仿其成功,投资者必须思考哪些电动汽车公司会成功,哪些会消失。</blockquote></p><p> Globally, there are hundreds of startups working on some aspect of electric vehicles, from creating the car, to charging station infrastructure, improving the manufacturing process, developing new battery technologies and working on fuel cells. CB Insights of New York said it is tracking more than 700 startups around the world that are active in the space.</p><p><blockquote>在全球范围内,有数百家初创公司致力于电动汽车的某些方面,从制造汽车到充电站基础设施、改进制造工艺、开发新的电池技术和研究燃料电池。纽约CB Insights表示,它正在跟踪全球700多家活跃在该领域的初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> “There seems to be a new one every day,” said Smith of CAR.</p><p><blockquote>“似乎每天都有新的,”汽车公司的史密斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Since February, the shares of many better known startups have lost much of their value because of serious issues, including regulatory inquiries or investigations, class action lawsuits, management tumult and abrupt executive departures. Piling onto these woes — which mainly stem from overpromising and under-delivering — is a semiconductor shortage hampering efforts to get first products out the door.</p><p><blockquote>自2月份以来,由于监管询问或调查、集体诉讼、管理层动荡和高管突然离职等严重问题,许多知名初创公司的股票已经损失了大部分价值。这些困境主要源于过度承诺和交付不足,半导体短缺阻碍了首批产品上市的努力。</blockquote></p><p> Several publicly traded EV makers are still technically startup companies, with no revenue or much operational history. But because of the SPAC boom, and the de-SPAC process, they are now publicly traded companies, leaving investors making bets like venture capitalists on the next Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>几家上市电动汽车制造商在技术上仍然是初创公司,没有收入或太多运营历史。但由于SPAC的繁荣和去SPAC的过程,它们现在是上市公司,让投资者像风险投资家一样押注下一个特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> “What they are doing is very hard,” said Smith. “Over the next 5 years, there is going to be some remarkable growth for some of these companies. But there will be some that don’t grow and struggle. There is more to be optimistic about with these companies than there was five years ago, because the tech is getting closer to broader adoption. The problem is that the traditional car companies have been getting into it too now and competition is tougher.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们正在做的事情非常困难,”史密斯说。“未来5年,其中一些公司将会有一些显着的增长。但也会有一些公司没有增长并陷入困境。与五年前相比,这些公司有更多值得乐观的地方,因为这项技术越来越接近更广泛的采用。问题是传统车企现在也开始涉足,竞争更加激烈。”</blockquote></p><p> As a result of some of those issues, no revenue is expected for the rest of the year at Nikola Corp.,Lordstown Motors Corp. and Fisker Inc., with all three companies predicting their first vehicles sometime in 2022, if their current forecasts can be believed.</p><p><blockquote>由于其中一些问题,尼古拉公司(Nikola Corp.)、洛兹敦汽车公司(Lordstown Motors Corp.)和菲斯克公司(Fisker Inc.)预计今年剩余时间不会有收入,这三家公司都预测将在2022年某个时候推出第一辆汽车,如果他们目前的预测是可信的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “I know it sounds like a broken record and it’s boring, but I think in this case, the broken record is quite good to keep on saying that we are on time on the Ocean program and we are on budget,” Fisker co-founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Henrik Fisker told analysts in the company’s earnings call last month.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克联合创始人表示:“我知道这听起来像是一个被打破的记录,而且很无聊,但我认为在这种情况下,继续说我们按时完成海洋计划并且我们在预算范围内,打破的记录是非常好的。”董事长兼首席执行官亨里克·菲斯克(Henrik Fisker)上个月在公司财报看涨期权上对分析师表示。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker said the company will start production on Nov. 17, 2022, which actually looks good compared with other startups. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said in a note that he believes Fisker “may be one of the only EV startups to actually launch on time and ramp efficaciously in late 2022.”</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克表示,该公司将于2022年11月17日开始生产,与其他初创公司相比,这实际上看起来不错。摩根士丹利分析师Adam Jonas在一份报告中表示,他相信Fisker“可能是唯一一家真正按时推出并在2022年底有效扩张的电动汽车初创公司之一。”</blockquote></p><p> These companies, plus Faraday Future Electric Inc.,Canoo Inc.,Lucid Group and the soon to go public Rivian, are among the top funded EV makers in the U.S. But while many have received billions from investors through private funding rounds or SPAC deals – electric truck-maker Rivian has raised $10.5 billion — some are now encountering credibility problems.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司,加上Faraday Future Electric Inc.、Canoo Inc.、Lucid Group和即将上市的Rivian,是美国资金最多的电动汽车制造商之一。但是,尽管许多公司通过私募融资或SPAC交易从投资者那里获得了数十亿美元——电动卡车制造商Rivian已经筹集了105亿美元——但一些公司现在却遇到了信誉问题。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Lordstown — an electric truck-maker which took over a former GM factory in an area of Ohio referred to as Voltage Valley — disclosed in July that its merger deal was being investigated by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department, for a variety of matters, including information provided to investors about its pre-orders. Lordstown added a “going concern” warning to regulatory filings and clarified that the orders it had were not binding.</p><p><blockquote>例如,电动卡车制造商洛兹敦(Lordstown)接管了俄亥俄州电压谷(Voltage Valley)地区的一家前通用汽车工厂,该公司于7月披露,其合并交易正在接受美国证券交易委员会(Securities and Exchange Commission)和司法部(Justice Department)的调查。各种事项,包括向投资者提供有关其预购的信息。洛兹敦在监管文件中添加了“持续经营”警告,并澄清其订单不具有约束力。</blockquote></p><p> “To do what Tesla did, build a car company from the ground up and all the way through to distribution, that took a phenomenal amount of money,” Smith said. Tesla is now almost 18 years old. After raising $226 million in its 2010 IPO, it has gone back to the capital markets frequently, raising more than $20 billion through secondary stock sales and debt offerings.</p><p><blockquote>Smith说:“要像特斯拉那样,从头开始建立一家汽车公司,一直到分销,这需要大量资金。”特斯拉现在快18岁了。在2010年IPO筹集2.26亿美元后,该公司频繁重返资本市场,通过二级股票销售和债务发行筹集了超过200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Workhorse Group Inc.,which makes electric “last mile” delivery vans and utility vehicles, also was reported to be the target of an SEC investigation, and Trevor Milton, the founder of Nikola Corp. has been charged with securities fraud in federal court in the Southern District of New York, allegedly for overinflating the developments at the electric truck maker. Milton has stated that he is innocent.</p><p><blockquote>据报道,生产电动“最后一英里”送货车和多功能车的Workhorse Group Inc.也是SEC调查的目标,Nikola Corp.创始人特雷弗·米尔顿(Trevor Milton)在联邦法院被指控犯有证券欺诈罪。纽约南区,涉嫌夸大这家电动卡车制造商的发展。弥尔顿已经声明他是无辜的。</blockquote></p><p> Since EV makers need the same hefty capital investment as other auto makers, investors might be more inclined to favor the established companies making a foray into electrification. Nearly every major auto maker around the globe has some sort of effort today to develop electric vehicles, but in the U.S., Ford Motor appears to be the furthest along, with plans to offer dozens of electrified vehicles, including a truck, sometime in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>由于电动汽车制造商需要与其他汽车制造商一样的巨额资本投资,投资者可能更倾向于支持进军电气化领域的老牌公司。如今,全球几乎所有主要汽车制造商都在努力开发电动汽车,但在美国,福特汽车似乎走得最远,计划在2022年的某个时候提供数十款电动汽车,包括一辆卡车。</blockquote></p><p> If investors are looking to bet on one of Tesla’s upcoming rivals, the best course may be to pick one of the companies that is actually close to launching a car, like Fisker or Lucid, and then diversify bets on some traditional auto makers. Another option is to look for suppliers, instead of the much more capital-intensive car makers.</p><p><blockquote>如果投资者希望押注特斯拉即将推出的竞争对手之一,最好的办法可能是选择一家实际上即将推出汽车的公司,例如菲斯克或Lucid,然后分散对一些传统汽车制造商的押注。另一种选择是寻找供应商,而不是资本密集型得多的汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Assad Hussain, mobility analyst at PitchBook, which tracks all aspects of the public and private equity markets, said professional investors are looking beyond the companies making cars to those that are supplying the automakers.</p><p><blockquote>跟踪公共和私募股权市场各个方面的PitchBook移动分析师阿萨德·侯赛因(Assad Hussain)表示,专业投资者的目光不仅仅是制造汽车的公司,而是那些为汽车制造商供货的公司。</blockquote></p><p> “A lot of the smart VC money is going into the picks and shovels, not necessarily trying to trying to find the next Tesla,” Hussain said, making an analogy with the pioneers who got rich during the California gold rush of 1849 by providing the supplies, instead of joining the hordes panning for gold in the Sierra foothills.</p><p><blockquote>侯赛因说:“很多聪明的风险投资资金都投入了镐和铲子,而不一定是试图寻找下一个特斯拉。”他将1849年加州淘金热期间通过提供物资而致富的拓荒者进行了类比,而不是加入在塞拉山麓淘金的部落。</blockquote></p><p> One example is a company called Redwood Materials, which is working on recycling lithium ion batteries in both devices and EVs. Redwood was co-founded by JB Straubel, a Tesla co-founder and its CTO for 15 years. Redwood recently raised $700 million from a group of investors, including T. Rowe Price, Amazon.com Inc. and others.</p><p><blockquote>一个例子是一家名为Redwood Materials的公司,该公司正在致力于回收设备和电动汽车中的锂离子电池。Redwood由特斯拉联合创始人兼首席技术官JB Straubel共同创立,任职15年。Redwood最近从T.Rowe Price、亚马逊等投资者那里筹集了7亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Recurrent, based in Seattle, was founded just last year and is offering third-party reports on used EV batteries, to help car buyers determine the life of the vehicle. It raised $3.5 million in seed funding late last year.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于西雅图的Recurrent去年刚刚成立,提供有关二手电动汽车电池的第三方报告,以帮助购车者确定车辆的使用寿命。去年年底,它筹集了350万美元的种子资金。</blockquote></p><p> “Maybe the smart thing to do is not look for the next Tesla, but to go out and find an enabling technology,” said Hussain.</p><p><blockquote>侯赛因说:“也许明智的做法不是寻找下一个特斯拉,而是走出去寻找一种使能技术。”</blockquote></p><p> The past century shows that periods of innovation in automobiles eventually settled into a triumvirate of dominant companies.</p><p><blockquote>过去的一个世纪表明,汽车创新时期最终形成了主导公司的三巨头。</blockquote></p><p> Whether that will happen again is anyone’s guess, but the strategies here should help find the safer bets, such as the companies the farthest along, the established auto makers, or look to the most interesting suppliers of this hot arena.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况是否会再次发生是任何人的猜测,但这里的策略应该有助于找到更安全的赌注,例如走得最远的公司、老牌汽车制造商,或者寻找这个热门领域最有趣的供应商。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If there were a ‘Big Three’ of electric vehicle makers, who would join Tesla?<blockquote>如果电动汽车制造商有“三巨头”,谁会加入特斯拉?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf there were a ‘Big Three’ of electric vehicle makers, who would join Tesla?<blockquote>如果电动汽车制造商有“三巨头”,谁会加入特斯拉?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 07:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Delays at young electric-vehicle companies suggest that large auto makers are best placed to challenge Tesla in the future, but the smart money is chasing less glamorous names </p><p><blockquote>年轻电动汽车公司的延迟表明,大型汽车制造商最有能力在未来挑战特斯拉,但聪明的资金正在追逐不那么迷人的公司</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf4fe95f357a1ce8ef9aeefc9e1e62d0\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>MarketWatch photo illustration/Tesla, iStockphoto</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>MarketWatch照片插图/特斯拉,iStockphoto</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When Henry Ford was reorganizing his Detroit Automobile Company into what would become the juggernaut of U.S. auto manufacturing, hundreds of other young auto makers were also starting up.</p><p><blockquote>当亨利·福特将他的底特律汽车公司重组为美国汽车制造业的巨头时,数百家其他年轻的汽车制造商也在起步。</blockquote></p><p> One of them, the National Motor Vehicle Car Manufacturing Co, started out in Indianapolis, which boasted six automakers in 1906. National Motor even competed in and won the 1912 Indy 500. Sales boomed and it expanded production, but after a merger with Associated Motor Industries in 1922, the company ended up in receivership in 1924. Like hundreds of other early car companies, none of those six Indianapolis players survived.</p><p><blockquote>其中之一,国家机动车辆汽车制造公司,成立于印第安纳波利斯,1906年拥有六家汽车制造商。国家汽车公司甚至参加了1912年印地500大赛并赢得了冠军。销售蓬勃发展,产量扩大,但在1922年与联合汽车工业公司合并后,该公司最终于1924年进入破产管理程序。与数百家其他早期汽车公司一样,印第安纳波利斯的六家公司无一幸存。</blockquote></p><p> Investors eyeing the electric vehicle space today may have a sense of déjà vu. The huge number of companies, large and small, currently working on electric vehicles or their components is reminiscent of the turn of the 20th century, when companies like National and others experimented with body forms and engine types, from steam-powered to internal combustion to early versions of electric vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>如今关注电动汽车领域的投资者可能会有一种似曾相识的感觉。目前大量大大小小的公司都在研究电动汽车或其零部件,这让人想起20世纪之交,当时National等公司尝试了车身形式和发动机类型,从蒸汽动力到内燃机再到电动汽车的早期版本。</blockquote></p><p> By the 1929 stock market crash, there were only about 40 auto makers left, and that number eventually shrunk to where the top companies in the U.S. are referred to as the “Big Three.” Similar shakeouts occurred globally, with Big Threes emerging in other countries, like Japan and Germany.</p><p><blockquote>到1929年股市崩盘时,只剩下大约40家汽车制造商,这个数字最终缩小到美国顶级公司被称为“三巨头”。全球也发生了类似的洗牌,日本和德国等其他国家也出现了三巨头。</blockquote></p><p> One major difference between then and now, said Brett Smith, director of technology research at the Center for Automotive Research, or CAR, is that 100 years ago, “everybody was starting from scratch—no one had an advantage,” while today, traditional auto makers already know how to build cars and create huge assembly lines.、</p><p><blockquote>汽车研究中心(CAR)技术研究主任布雷特·史密斯(Brett Smith)表示,当时和现在的一个主要区别是,100年前,“每个人都是从零开始——没有人有优势”,而今天,传统汽车制造商已经知道如何制造汽车并创建庞大的装配线。</blockquote></p><p> ‘Over the next 5 years, there is going to be some remarkable growth for some of these companies. But there will be some that don’t grow and struggle. There is more to be optimistic about with these companies than there was five years ago, because the tech is getting closer to broader adoption. The problem is that the traditional car companies have been getting into it too now and competition is tougher.’” — Brett Smith, director, technology research, Center for Automotive Research </p><p><blockquote>“未来5年,其中一些公司将出现显着增长。但也会有一些不成长、不奋斗的。与五年前相比,这些公司有更多值得乐观的地方,因为这项技术越来越接近更广泛的采用。问题是传统汽车公司现在也开始涉足这一领域,竞争更加激烈。”——汽车研究中心技术研究主任布雷特·史密斯</blockquote></p><p> The question for investors then is which companies will become the big 3 of EVs?</p><p><blockquote>投资者面临的问题是哪些公司将成为电动汽车三巨头?</blockquote></p><p> The company with the biggest advantage in electric vehicles today is Tesla Inc. which has finally proved to the world that EVs are the future. As rival startups and legacy automakers seek to emulate its success, investors must ponder which EV companies will succeed and which will disappear.</p><p><blockquote>如今在电动汽车领域拥有最大优势的公司是特斯拉公司,该公司最终向世界证明了电动汽车是未来。随着竞争对手初创公司和传统汽车制造商寻求效仿其成功,投资者必须思考哪些电动汽车公司会成功,哪些会消失。</blockquote></p><p> Globally, there are hundreds of startups working on some aspect of electric vehicles, from creating the car, to charging station infrastructure, improving the manufacturing process, developing new battery technologies and working on fuel cells. CB Insights of New York said it is tracking more than 700 startups around the world that are active in the space.</p><p><blockquote>在全球范围内,有数百家初创公司致力于电动汽车的某些方面,从制造汽车到充电站基础设施、改进制造工艺、开发新的电池技术和研究燃料电池。纽约CB Insights表示,它正在跟踪全球700多家活跃在该领域的初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> “There seems to be a new one every day,” said Smith of CAR.</p><p><blockquote>“似乎每天都有新的,”汽车公司的史密斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Since February, the shares of many better known startups have lost much of their value because of serious issues, including regulatory inquiries or investigations, class action lawsuits, management tumult and abrupt executive departures. Piling onto these woes — which mainly stem from overpromising and under-delivering — is a semiconductor shortage hampering efforts to get first products out the door.</p><p><blockquote>自2月份以来,由于监管询问或调查、集体诉讼、管理层动荡和高管突然离职等严重问题,许多知名初创公司的股票已经损失了大部分价值。这些困境主要源于过度承诺和交付不足,半导体短缺阻碍了首批产品上市的努力。</blockquote></p><p> Several publicly traded EV makers are still technically startup companies, with no revenue or much operational history. But because of the SPAC boom, and the de-SPAC process, they are now publicly traded companies, leaving investors making bets like venture capitalists on the next Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>几家上市电动汽车制造商在技术上仍然是初创公司,没有收入或太多运营历史。但由于SPAC的繁荣和去SPAC的过程,它们现在是上市公司,让投资者像风险投资家一样押注下一个特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> “What they are doing is very hard,” said Smith. “Over the next 5 years, there is going to be some remarkable growth for some of these companies. But there will be some that don’t grow and struggle. There is more to be optimistic about with these companies than there was five years ago, because the tech is getting closer to broader adoption. The problem is that the traditional car companies have been getting into it too now and competition is tougher.”</p><p><blockquote>“他们正在做的事情非常困难,”史密斯说。“未来5年,其中一些公司将会有一些显着的增长。但也会有一些公司没有增长并陷入困境。与五年前相比,这些公司有更多值得乐观的地方,因为这项技术越来越接近更广泛的采用。问题是传统车企现在也开始涉足,竞争更加激烈。”</blockquote></p><p> As a result of some of those issues, no revenue is expected for the rest of the year at Nikola Corp.,Lordstown Motors Corp. and Fisker Inc., with all three companies predicting their first vehicles sometime in 2022, if their current forecasts can be believed.</p><p><blockquote>由于其中一些问题,尼古拉公司(Nikola Corp.)、洛兹敦汽车公司(Lordstown Motors Corp.)和菲斯克公司(Fisker Inc.)预计今年剩余时间不会有收入,这三家公司都预测将在2022年某个时候推出第一辆汽车,如果他们目前的预测是可信的。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “I know it sounds like a broken record and it’s boring, but I think in this case, the broken record is quite good to keep on saying that we are on time on the Ocean program and we are on budget,” Fisker co-founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Henrik Fisker told analysts in the company’s earnings call last month.</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克联合创始人表示:“我知道这听起来像是一个被打破的记录,而且很无聊,但我认为在这种情况下,继续说我们按时完成海洋计划并且我们在预算范围内,打破的记录是非常好的。”董事长兼首席执行官亨里克·菲斯克(Henrik Fisker)上个月在公司财报看涨期权上对分析师表示。</blockquote></p><p> Fisker said the company will start production on Nov. 17, 2022, which actually looks good compared with other startups. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said in a note that he believes Fisker “may be one of the only EV startups to actually launch on time and ramp efficaciously in late 2022.”</p><p><blockquote>菲斯克表示,该公司将于2022年11月17日开始生产,与其他初创公司相比,这实际上看起来不错。摩根士丹利分析师Adam Jonas在一份报告中表示,他相信Fisker“可能是唯一一家真正按时推出并在2022年底有效扩张的电动汽车初创公司之一。”</blockquote></p><p> These companies, plus Faraday Future Electric Inc.,Canoo Inc.,Lucid Group and the soon to go public Rivian, are among the top funded EV makers in the U.S. But while many have received billions from investors through private funding rounds or SPAC deals – electric truck-maker Rivian has raised $10.5 billion — some are now encountering credibility problems.</p><p><blockquote>这些公司,加上Faraday Future Electric Inc.、Canoo Inc.、Lucid Group和即将上市的Rivian,是美国资金最多的电动汽车制造商之一。但是,尽管许多公司通过私募融资或SPAC交易从投资者那里获得了数十亿美元——电动卡车制造商Rivian已经筹集了105亿美元——但一些公司现在却遇到了信誉问题。</blockquote></p><p> For example, Lordstown — an electric truck-maker which took over a former GM factory in an area of Ohio referred to as Voltage Valley — disclosed in July that its merger deal was being investigated by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department, for a variety of matters, including information provided to investors about its pre-orders. Lordstown added a “going concern” warning to regulatory filings and clarified that the orders it had were not binding.</p><p><blockquote>例如,电动卡车制造商洛兹敦(Lordstown)接管了俄亥俄州电压谷(Voltage Valley)地区的一家前通用汽车工厂,该公司于7月披露,其合并交易正在接受美国证券交易委员会(Securities and Exchange Commission)和司法部(Justice Department)的调查。各种事项,包括向投资者提供有关其预购的信息。洛兹敦在监管文件中添加了“持续经营”警告,并澄清其订单不具有约束力。</blockquote></p><p> “To do what Tesla did, build a car company from the ground up and all the way through to distribution, that took a phenomenal amount of money,” Smith said. Tesla is now almost 18 years old. After raising $226 million in its 2010 IPO, it has gone back to the capital markets frequently, raising more than $20 billion through secondary stock sales and debt offerings.</p><p><blockquote>Smith说:“要像特斯拉那样,从头开始建立一家汽车公司,一直到分销,这需要大量资金。”特斯拉现在快18岁了。在2010年IPO筹集2.26亿美元后,该公司频繁重返资本市场,通过二级股票销售和债务发行筹集了超过200亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Workhorse Group Inc.,which makes electric “last mile” delivery vans and utility vehicles, also was reported to be the target of an SEC investigation, and Trevor Milton, the founder of Nikola Corp. has been charged with securities fraud in federal court in the Southern District of New York, allegedly for overinflating the developments at the electric truck maker. Milton has stated that he is innocent.</p><p><blockquote>据报道,生产电动“最后一英里”送货车和多功能车的Workhorse Group Inc.也是SEC调查的目标,Nikola Corp.创始人特雷弗·米尔顿(Trevor Milton)在联邦法院被指控犯有证券欺诈罪。纽约南区,涉嫌夸大这家电动卡车制造商的发展。弥尔顿已经声明他是无辜的。</blockquote></p><p> Since EV makers need the same hefty capital investment as other auto makers, investors might be more inclined to favor the established companies making a foray into electrification. Nearly every major auto maker around the globe has some sort of effort today to develop electric vehicles, but in the U.S., Ford Motor appears to be the furthest along, with plans to offer dozens of electrified vehicles, including a truck, sometime in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>由于电动汽车制造商需要与其他汽车制造商一样的巨额资本投资,投资者可能更倾向于支持进军电气化领域的老牌公司。如今,全球几乎所有主要汽车制造商都在努力开发电动汽车,但在美国,福特汽车似乎走得最远,计划在2022年的某个时候提供数十款电动汽车,包括一辆卡车。</blockquote></p><p> If investors are looking to bet on one of Tesla’s upcoming rivals, the best course may be to pick one of the companies that is actually close to launching a car, like Fisker or Lucid, and then diversify bets on some traditional auto makers. Another option is to look for suppliers, instead of the much more capital-intensive car makers.</p><p><blockquote>如果投资者希望押注特斯拉即将推出的竞争对手之一,最好的办法可能是选择一家实际上即将推出汽车的公司,例如菲斯克或Lucid,然后分散对一些传统汽车制造商的押注。另一种选择是寻找供应商,而不是资本密集型得多的汽车制造商。</blockquote></p><p> Assad Hussain, mobility analyst at PitchBook, which tracks all aspects of the public and private equity markets, said professional investors are looking beyond the companies making cars to those that are supplying the automakers.</p><p><blockquote>跟踪公共和私募股权市场各个方面的PitchBook移动分析师阿萨德·侯赛因(Assad Hussain)表示,专业投资者的目光不仅仅是制造汽车的公司,而是那些为汽车制造商供货的公司。</blockquote></p><p> “A lot of the smart VC money is going into the picks and shovels, not necessarily trying to trying to find the next Tesla,” Hussain said, making an analogy with the pioneers who got rich during the California gold rush of 1849 by providing the supplies, instead of joining the hordes panning for gold in the Sierra foothills.</p><p><blockquote>侯赛因说:“很多聪明的风险投资资金都投入了镐和铲子,而不一定是试图寻找下一个特斯拉。”他将1849年加州淘金热期间通过提供物资而致富的拓荒者进行了类比,而不是加入在塞拉山麓淘金的部落。</blockquote></p><p> One example is a company called Redwood Materials, which is working on recycling lithium ion batteries in both devices and EVs. Redwood was co-founded by JB Straubel, a Tesla co-founder and its CTO for 15 years. Redwood recently raised $700 million from a group of investors, including T. Rowe Price, Amazon.com Inc. and others.</p><p><blockquote>一个例子是一家名为Redwood Materials的公司,该公司正在致力于回收设备和电动汽车中的锂离子电池。Redwood由特斯拉联合创始人兼首席技术官JB Straubel共同创立,任职15年。Redwood最近从T.Rowe Price、亚马逊等投资者那里筹集了7亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Recurrent, based in Seattle, was founded just last year and is offering third-party reports on used EV batteries, to help car buyers determine the life of the vehicle. It raised $3.5 million in seed funding late last year.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于西雅图的Recurrent去年刚刚成立,提供有关二手电动汽车电池的第三方报告,以帮助购车者确定车辆的使用寿命。去年年底,它筹集了350万美元的种子资金。</blockquote></p><p> “Maybe the smart thing to do is not look for the next Tesla, but to go out and find an enabling technology,” said Hussain.</p><p><blockquote>侯赛因说:“也许明智的做法不是寻找下一个特斯拉,而是走出去寻找一种使能技术。”</blockquote></p><p> The past century shows that periods of innovation in automobiles eventually settled into a triumvirate of dominant companies.</p><p><blockquote>过去的一个世纪表明,汽车创新时期最终形成了主导公司的三巨头。</blockquote></p><p> Whether that will happen again is anyone’s guess, but the strategies here should help find the safer bets, such as the companies the farthest along, the established auto makers, or look to the most interesting suppliers of this hot arena.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况是否会再次发生是任何人的猜测,但这里的策略应该有助于找到更安全的赌注,例如走得最远的公司、老牌汽车制造商,或者寻找这个热门领域最有趣的供应商。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-there-were-a-big-three-of-electric-vehicle-makers-who-would-join-tesla-11631902468?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","AMZN":"亚马逊","LI":"理想汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉","FSR":"菲斯克","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来","LCID":"Lucid Group Inc"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/if-there-were-a-big-three-of-electric-vehicle-makers-who-would-join-tesla-11631902468?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165266849","content_text":"Delays at young electric-vehicle companies suggest that large auto makers are best placed to challenge Tesla in the future, but the smart money is chasing less glamorous names \nMarketWatch photo illustration/Tesla, iStockphoto\n\n\nWhen Henry Ford was reorganizing his Detroit Automobile Company into what would become the juggernaut of U.S. auto manufacturing, hundreds of other young auto makers were also starting up.\nOne of them, the National Motor Vehicle Car Manufacturing Co, started out in Indianapolis, which boasted six automakers in 1906. National Motor even competed in and won the 1912 Indy 500. Sales boomed and it expanded production, but after a merger with Associated Motor Industries in 1922, the company ended up in receivership in 1924. Like hundreds of other early car companies, none of those six Indianapolis players survived.\nInvestors eyeing the electric vehicle space today may have a sense of déjà vu. The huge number of companies, large and small, currently working on electric vehicles or their components is reminiscent of the turn of the 20th century, when companies like National and others experimented with body forms and engine types, from steam-powered to internal combustion to early versions of electric vehicles.\nBy the 1929 stock market crash, there were only about 40 auto makers left, and that number eventually shrunk to where the top companies in the U.S. are referred to as the “Big Three.” Similar shakeouts occurred globally, with Big Threes emerging in other countries, like Japan and Germany.\nOne major difference between then and now, said Brett Smith, director of technology research at the Center for Automotive Research, or CAR, is that 100 years ago, “everybody was starting from scratch—no one had an advantage,” while today, traditional auto makers already know how to build cars and create huge assembly lines.、\n\n\n ‘Over the next 5 years, there is going to be some remarkable growth for some of these companies. But there will be some that don’t grow and struggle. There is more to be optimistic about with these companies than there was five years ago, because the tech is getting closer to broader adoption. The problem is that the traditional car companies have been getting into it too now and competition is tougher.’”\n\n\n — Brett Smith, director, technology research, Center for Automotive Research \n\n\nThe question for investors then is which companies will become the big 3 of EVs?\nThe company with the biggest advantage in electric vehicles today is Tesla Inc. which has finally proved to the world that EVs are the future. As rival startups and legacy automakers seek to emulate its success, investors must ponder which EV companies will succeed and which will disappear.\n\nGlobally, there are hundreds of startups working on some aspect of electric vehicles, from creating the car, to charging station infrastructure, improving the manufacturing process, developing new battery technologies and working on fuel cells. CB Insights of New York said it is tracking more than 700 startups around the world that are active in the space.\n“There seems to be a new one every day,” said Smith of CAR.\nSince February, the shares of many better known startups have lost much of their value because of serious issues, including regulatory inquiries or investigations, class action lawsuits, management tumult and abrupt executive departures. Piling onto these woes — which mainly stem from overpromising and under-delivering — is a semiconductor shortage hampering efforts to get first products out the door.\nSeveral publicly traded EV makers are still technically startup companies, with no revenue or much operational history. But because of the SPAC boom, and the de-SPAC process, they are now publicly traded companies, leaving investors making bets like venture capitalists on the next Tesla.\n\n\n\n“What they are doing is very hard,” said Smith. “Over the next 5 years, there is going to be some remarkable growth for some of these companies. But there will be some that don’t grow and struggle. There is more to be optimistic about with these companies than there was five years ago, because the tech is getting closer to broader adoption. The problem is that the traditional car companies have been getting into it too now and competition is tougher.”\nAs a result of some of those issues, no revenue is expected for the rest of the year at Nikola Corp.,Lordstown Motors Corp. and Fisker Inc., with all three companies predicting their first vehicles sometime in 2022, if their current forecasts can be believed.\n\n“I know it sounds like a broken record and it’s boring, but I think in this case, the broken record is quite good to keep on saying that we are on time on the Ocean program and we are on budget,” Fisker co-founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Henrik Fisker told analysts in the company’s earnings call last month.\nFisker said the company will start production on Nov. 17, 2022, which actually looks good compared with other startups. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said in a note that he believes Fisker “may be one of the only EV startups to actually launch on time and ramp efficaciously in late 2022.”\n\nThese companies, plus Faraday Future Electric Inc.,Canoo Inc.,Lucid Group and the soon to go public Rivian, are among the top funded EV makers in the U.S. But while many have received billions from investors through private funding rounds or SPAC deals – electric truck-maker Rivian has raised $10.5 billion — some are now encountering credibility problems.\n\nFor example, Lordstown — an electric truck-maker which took over a former GM factory in an area of Ohio referred to as Voltage Valley — disclosed in July that its merger deal was being investigated by the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Justice Department, for a variety of matters, including information provided to investors about its pre-orders. Lordstown added a “going concern” warning to regulatory filings and clarified that the orders it had were not binding.\n\n“To do what Tesla did, build a car company from the ground up and all the way through to distribution, that took a phenomenal amount of money,” Smith said. Tesla is now almost 18 years old. After raising $226 million in its 2010 IPO, it has gone back to the capital markets frequently, raising more than $20 billion through secondary stock sales and debt offerings.\nWorkhorse Group Inc.,which makes electric “last mile” delivery vans and utility vehicles, also was reported to be the target of an SEC investigation, and Trevor Milton, the founder of Nikola Corp. has been charged with securities fraud in federal court in the Southern District of New York, allegedly for overinflating the developments at the electric truck maker. Milton has stated that he is innocent.\n\nSince EV makers need the same hefty capital investment as other auto makers, investors might be more inclined to favor the established companies making a foray into electrification. Nearly every major auto maker around the globe has some sort of effort today to develop electric vehicles, but in the U.S., Ford Motor appears to be the furthest along, with plans to offer dozens of electrified vehicles, including a truck, sometime in 2022.\n\nIf investors are looking to bet on one of Tesla’s upcoming rivals, the best course may be to pick one of the companies that is actually close to launching a car, like Fisker or Lucid, and then diversify bets on some traditional auto makers. Another option is to look for suppliers, instead of the much more capital-intensive car makers.\nAssad Hussain, mobility analyst at PitchBook, which tracks all aspects of the public and private equity markets, said professional investors are looking beyond the companies making cars to those that are supplying the automakers.\n“A lot of the smart VC money is going into the picks and shovels, not necessarily trying to trying to find the next Tesla,” Hussain said, making an analogy with the pioneers who got rich during the California gold rush of 1849 by providing the supplies, instead of joining the hordes panning for gold in the Sierra foothills.\nOne example is a company called Redwood Materials, which is working on recycling lithium ion batteries in both devices and EVs. Redwood was co-founded by JB Straubel, a Tesla co-founder and its CTO for 15 years. Redwood recently raised $700 million from a group of investors, including T. Rowe Price, Amazon.com Inc. and others.\n\nRecurrent, based in Seattle, was founded just last year and is offering third-party reports on used EV batteries, to help car buyers determine the life of the vehicle. It raised $3.5 million in seed funding late last year.\n\n“Maybe the smart thing to do is not look for the next Tesla, but to go out and find an enabling technology,” said Hussain.\nThe past century shows that periods of innovation in automobiles eventually settled into a triumvirate of dominant companies.\nWhether that will happen again is anyone’s guess, but the strategies here should help find the safer bets, such as the companies the farthest along, the established auto makers, or look to the most interesting suppliers of this hot arena.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LCID":0.9,"NKLA":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"LI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"FSR":0.9,"FFIE":0.9,"RIDE":0.9,"GOEV":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"WKHS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882619053,"gmtCreate":1631682892872,"gmtModify":1631891107319,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Giv me money","listText":"Giv me money","text":"Giv me money","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882619053","repostId":"2167550157","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837131715,"gmtCreate":1629862778337,"gmtModify":1631891107319,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This is not amc entertainment. Wat a scam","listText":"This is not amc entertainment. Wat a scam","text":"This is not amc entertainment. Wat a scam","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837131715","repostId":"1195050896","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":665,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150876066,"gmtCreate":1624894317955,"gmtModify":1631891107323,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150876066","repostId":"1103992527","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164852024,"gmtCreate":1624194887568,"gmtModify":1631891107333,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n commentñ","listText":"Like n commentñ","text":"Like n commentñ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164852024","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1256,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166350696,"gmtCreate":1623993112615,"gmtModify":1631891107333,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok. Let me know when rdy to buy.Like n cOmment pls","listText":"Ok. Let me know when rdy to buy.Like n cOmment pls","text":"Ok. Let me know when rdy to buy.Like n cOmment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166350696","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨,并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力,让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月,股价低迷,较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间,当时BABA下跌了约40%,但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像2018年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元,复合年增长率为23.8%,增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元,过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小,但在过去10年中,其复合年增长率仍为30.42%,这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为12.4%,从2021年的13.8 T元(相当于2.16 T美元)增长到2024年的19.6 T元(相当于3.06 T美元),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时,我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%,明显低于中国的12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元,是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务(息税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力,这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性,可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略,拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC,而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比,拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC,其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹(它已经拥有)来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小,但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头:PDD在旁人无知的情况下,如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到,拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长,尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是,拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它,以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:中国信通技术;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管处于领先地位,阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元,这将代表CAGR 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤其明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元,这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源:CnTechPost;Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克:GOOGL)(纳斯达克:GOOG)GCP的领先优势,我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额一直在大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润(21财年息税前利润率:-15%,20财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利(20财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模,预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围(3年平均值为33.54倍)时,阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估,因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而,由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况,我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司,这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元,位于该范围的中点,基于当前210美元的股价,这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间,其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。这里关键的是,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力,而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻,那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩,展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营,预计将推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨,并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力,让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月,股价低迷,较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间,当时BABA下跌了约40%,但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像2018年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元,复合年增长率为23.8%,增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元,过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小,但在过去10年中,其复合年增长率仍为30.42%,这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为12.4%,从2021年的13.8 T元(相当于2.16 T美元)增长到2024年的19.6 T元(相当于3.06 T美元),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时,我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%,明显低于中国的12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元,是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务(息税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力,这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性,可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略,拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC,而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比,拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC,其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹(它已经拥有)来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小,但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头:PDD在旁人无知的情况下,如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到,拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长,尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是,拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它,以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:中国信通技术;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管处于领先地位,阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元,这将代表CAGR 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤其明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元,这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源:CnTechPost;Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克:GOOGL)(纳斯达克:GOOG)GCP的领先优势,我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额一直在大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润(21财年息税前利润率:-15%,20财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利(20财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模,预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围(3年平均值为33.54倍)时,阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估,因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而,由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况,我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司,这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元,位于该范围的中点,基于当前210美元的股价,这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间,其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。这里关键的是,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力,而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻,那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩,展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营,预计将推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":818,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":160455141,"gmtCreate":1623805111583,"gmtModify":1631891107337,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why so scared","listText":"Why so scared","text":"Why so scared","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/160455141","repostId":"2143680537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":189324643,"gmtCreate":1623246131482,"gmtModify":1631891107338,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189324643","repostId":"2142600282","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180011129,"gmtCreate":1623163948961,"gmtModify":1631891107340,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment","listText":"Like n comment","text":"Like n comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180011129","repostId":"1136550999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115326175,"gmtCreate":1622952647597,"gmtModify":1631891107341,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n commentpls","listText":"Like n commentpls","text":"Like n commentpls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115326175","repostId":"2140540596","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116298364,"gmtCreate":1622801228758,"gmtModify":1631884325795,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hope it rises","listText":"Hope it rises","text":"Hope it rises","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116298364","repostId":"1169305457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169305457","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622793856,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169305457?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 16:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC shares tanked another 5% in premarket trading<blockquote>AMC股价在盘前交易中又下跌5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169305457","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"AMC shares tanked another 5% in premarket trading.AMC Entertainment shares plunged 18% on Thursday f","content":"<p>AMC shares tanked another 5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价在盘前交易中又下跌5%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/651c70ab98e89bf8e6705480ef126728\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment shares plunged 18% on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布出售股票后,AMC院线股价周四暴跌18%。</blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. is asking investors to authorize an additional 25 million new shares,aiming tocapitalize on a rally that has sent the stock of the ailing movie-theater chain up about 2,300% this year.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线控股公司(Taylor Swift Holdings Inc.)要求投资者授权额外发行2500万股新股,旨在利用今年以来这家陷入困境的连锁电影院股价上涨约2,300%的涨势。</blockquote></p><p>The proposal announced Thursday in a filing will be put to a vote at the company’s July 29 annual meeting. The equity today would be valued at $1.3 billion, though the company promised not to issue the new shares in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>周四在一份文件中宣布的提案将在该公司7月29日的年会上进行投票。尽管该公司承诺在2021年不会发行新股,但目前的股权价值为13亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>“To successfully navigate the road ahead, we seek to assemble all of the financial tools that might help us,” Chief Executive Officer Adam Aron said in a statement. “An important tool for any company is having shares available to issue.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官亚当·阿伦(Adam Aron)在一份声明中表示:“为了成功驾驭未来的道路,我们寻求汇集所有可能对我们有帮助的金融工具。”“对于任何公司来说,一个重要的工具就是拥有可供发行的股票。”</blockquote></p><p>The request is perhaps unsurprising for a company that’s become the king of meme stocks, at the heart of a frenzy of online traders determine to pump up its valuation.</p><p><blockquote>对于一家已成为模因股票之王的公司来说,这一要求或许并不令人意外,该公司正处于在线交易者疯狂抬高其估值的核心。</blockquote></p><p>Still, it’s a major retreat from a request earlier this year to authorize 500 million new shares. That proposal was originally up for a vote in May, but the annual meeting was postponed and the request withdrawn after it became clear investors would shoot it down.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,与今年早些时候授权5亿股新股的请求相比,这是一个重大倒退。该提案原定于5月份进行投票,但年会被推迟,在投资者显然会否决该提案后,该请求被撤回。</blockquote></p><p>Aron said in April the struggling company could issue about 43 million new shares. With sales of new stock totaling more than $800 million just this week, AMC has now completed nearly all of that authorization, according to the filing.</p><p><blockquote>阿伦4月份表示,这家陷入困境的公司可能会发行约4300万股新股。文件显示,仅本周新股销售总额就超过8亿美元,AMC现已完成几乎所有授权。</blockquote></p><p>In a YouTube interview Thursday, Aron said proceeds from another equity sale, if approved, would be used to reduce debt, help the company negotiate with landlords who are owed $400 million, and to chase acquisitions “hard.”</p><p><blockquote>阿伦周四在接受YouTube采访时表示,如果获得批准,另一次股权出售的收益将用于减少债务、帮助公司与欠债4亿美元的房东进行谈判,并“努力”追逐收购。</blockquote></p><p>”It’s our view that we’re strengthening the company,” he said. “We’re not hurting the company.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为我们正在加强公司,”他说。“我们不会伤害公司。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC shares tanked another 5% in premarket trading<blockquote>AMC股价在盘前交易中又下跌5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC shares tanked another 5% in premarket trading<blockquote>AMC股价在盘前交易中又下跌5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-04 16:04</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>AMC shares tanked another 5% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote>AMC股价在盘前交易中又下跌5%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/651c70ab98e89bf8e6705480ef126728\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"663\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment shares plunged 18% on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布出售股票后,AMC院线股价周四暴跌18%。</blockquote></p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. is asking investors to authorize an additional 25 million new shares,aiming tocapitalize on a rally that has sent the stock of the ailing movie-theater chain up about 2,300% this year.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线控股公司(Taylor Swift Holdings Inc.)要求投资者授权额外发行2500万股新股,旨在利用今年以来这家陷入困境的连锁电影院股价上涨约2,300%的涨势。</blockquote></p><p>The proposal announced Thursday in a filing will be put to a vote at the company’s July 29 annual meeting. The equity today would be valued at $1.3 billion, though the company promised not to issue the new shares in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>周四在一份文件中宣布的提案将在该公司7月29日的年会上进行投票。尽管该公司承诺在2021年不会发行新股,但目前的股权价值为13亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>“To successfully navigate the road ahead, we seek to assemble all of the financial tools that might help us,” Chief Executive Officer Adam Aron said in a statement. “An important tool for any company is having shares available to issue.”</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官亚当·阿伦(Adam Aron)在一份声明中表示:“为了成功驾驭未来的道路,我们寻求汇集所有可能对我们有帮助的金融工具。”“对于任何公司来说,一个重要的工具就是拥有可供发行的股票。”</blockquote></p><p>The request is perhaps unsurprising for a company that’s become the king of meme stocks, at the heart of a frenzy of online traders determine to pump up its valuation.</p><p><blockquote>对于一家已成为模因股票之王的公司来说,这一要求或许并不令人意外,该公司正处于在线交易者疯狂抬高其估值的核心。</blockquote></p><p>Still, it’s a major retreat from a request earlier this year to authorize 500 million new shares. That proposal was originally up for a vote in May, but the annual meeting was postponed and the request withdrawn after it became clear investors would shoot it down.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,与今年早些时候授权5亿股新股的请求相比,这是一个重大倒退。该提案原定于5月份进行投票,但年会被推迟,在投资者显然会否决该提案后,该请求被撤回。</blockquote></p><p>Aron said in April the struggling company could issue about 43 million new shares. With sales of new stock totaling more than $800 million just this week, AMC has now completed nearly all of that authorization, according to the filing.</p><p><blockquote>阿伦4月份表示,这家陷入困境的公司可能会发行约4300万股新股。文件显示,仅本周新股销售总额就超过8亿美元,AMC现已完成几乎所有授权。</blockquote></p><p>In a YouTube interview Thursday, Aron said proceeds from another equity sale, if approved, would be used to reduce debt, help the company negotiate with landlords who are owed $400 million, and to chase acquisitions “hard.”</p><p><blockquote>阿伦周四在接受YouTube采访时表示,如果获得批准,另一次股权出售的收益将用于减少债务、帮助公司与欠债4亿美元的房东进行谈判,并“努力”追逐收购。</blockquote></p><p>”It’s our view that we’re strengthening the company,” he said. “We’re not hurting the company.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们认为我们正在加强公司,”他说。“我们不会伤害公司。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169305457","content_text":"AMC shares tanked another 5% in premarket trading.AMC Entertainment shares plunged 18% on Thursday following a stock sale announcement.AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. is asking investors to authorize an additional 25 million new shares,aiming tocapitalize on a rally that has sent the stock of the ailing movie-theater chain up about 2,300% this year.The proposal announced Thursday in a filing will be put to a vote at the company’s July 29 annual meeting. The equity today would be valued at $1.3 billion, though the company promised not to issue the new shares in 2021.“To successfully navigate the road ahead, we seek to assemble all of the financial tools that might help us,” Chief Executive Officer Adam Aron said in a statement. “An important tool for any company is having shares available to issue.”The request is perhaps unsurprising for a company that’s become the king of meme stocks, at the heart of a frenzy of online traders determine to pump up its valuation.Still, it’s a major retreat from a request earlier this year to authorize 500 million new shares. That proposal was originally up for a vote in May, but the annual meeting was postponed and the request withdrawn after it became clear investors would shoot it down.Aron said in April the struggling company could issue about 43 million new shares. With sales of new stock totaling more than $800 million just this week, AMC has now completed nearly all of that authorization, according to the filing.In a YouTube interview Thursday, Aron said proceeds from another equity sale, if approved, would be used to reduce debt, help the company negotiate with landlords who are owed $400 million, and to chase acquisitions “hard.””It’s our view that we’re strengthening the company,” he said. “We’re not hurting the company.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118137775,"gmtCreate":1622722829297,"gmtModify":1631891107344,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568633798427444","idStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hold tight guys. Dun be swayed by the hedge funds","listText":"Hold tight guys. Dun be swayed by the hedge funds","text":"Hold tight guys. Dun be swayed by the hedge funds","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118137775","repostId":"1177495520","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1177495520","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622720685,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177495520?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 19:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Some meme stocks plunged in premarket trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177495520","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Some meme stocks plunged in premarket trading after AMC Entertainment's new stock sale announcement.","content":"<p>Some meme stocks plunged in premarket trading after AMC Entertainment's new stock sale announcement.KOSS,Bed Bath & Beyond,Express and Gamestop dipped between 3% and 13%.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线宣布出售新股后,一些meme股票在盘前交易中暴跌。KOSS、Bed Bath&Beyond、Express和游戏驿站股价下跌3%至13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40408685bec81ec2cfe5bd9c93a86634\" tg-width=\"419\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在一份监管文件中表示,它可能会不时发行和出售总计1155万股A类普通股。</blockquote></p><p>The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p><blockquote>此前,AMC在周三的常规交易时段飙升95%,收于62.55美元的历史高点。FactSet数据显示,其此前的收盘纪录为35.86美元,是在2015年创下的。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Some meme stocks plunged in premarket trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSome meme stocks plunged in premarket trading<blockquote>一些模因股票在盘前交易中暴跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-03 19:44</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Some meme stocks plunged in premarket trading after AMC Entertainment's new stock sale announcement.KOSS,Bed Bath & Beyond,Express and Gamestop dipped between 3% and 13%.</p><p><blockquote>AMC院线宣布出售新股后,一些meme股票在盘前交易中暴跌。KOSS、Bed Bath&Beyond、Express和游戏驿站股价下跌3%至13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40408685bec81ec2cfe5bd9c93a86634\" tg-width=\"419\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.</p><p><blockquote>AMC在一份监管文件中表示,它可能会不时发行和出售总计1155万股A类普通股。</blockquote></p><p>The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.</p><p><blockquote>此前,AMC在周三的常规交易时段飙升95%,收于62.55美元的历史高点。FactSet数据显示,其此前的收盘纪录为35.86美元,是在2015年创下的。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EXPR":"Express, Inc.","KOSS":"高斯电子","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177495520","content_text":"Some meme stocks plunged in premarket trading after AMC Entertainment's new stock sale announcement.KOSS,Bed Bath & Beyond,Express and Gamestop dipped between 3% and 13%.AMC said in a regulatory filing that it may offer and sell from time to time up to an aggregate of 11.55 million shares of its Class A common stock.The move comes after AMC soared 95% in the regular trading session Wednesday to close at an all-time high of $62.55. Its previous closing record of $35.86 was reached in 2015, according to FactSet data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"KOSS":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"EXPR":0.9,"GME":0.9,"NAKD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":189324643,"gmtCreate":1623246131482,"gmtModify":1631891107338,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/189324643","repostId":"2142600282","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":341424877,"gmtCreate":1617848617399,"gmtModify":1634296160824,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/341424877","repostId":"2125726223","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":421,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139011343,"gmtCreate":1621573357382,"gmtModify":1634187956055,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment. This article is gloomy","listText":"Like n comment. This article is gloomy","text":"Like n comment. This article is gloomy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139011343","repostId":"1161150268","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":444,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166350696,"gmtCreate":1623993112615,"gmtModify":1631891107333,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok. Let me know when rdy to buy.Like n cOmment pls","listText":"Ok. Let me know when rdy to buy.Like n cOmment pls","text":"Ok. Let me know when rdy to buy.Like n cOmment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166350696","repostId":"1175693382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175693382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623978463,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175693382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 09:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175693382","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨,并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力,让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月,股价低迷,较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间,当时BABA下跌了约40%,但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像2018年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元,复合年增长率为23.8%,增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元,过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小,但在过去10年中,其复合年增长率仍为30.42%,这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为12.4%,从2021年的13.8 T元(相当于2.16 T美元)增长到2024年的19.6 T元(相当于3.06 T美元),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时,我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%,明显低于中国的12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元,是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务(息税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力,这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性,可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略,拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC,而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比,拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC,其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹(它已经拥有)来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小,但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头:PDD在旁人无知的情况下,如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到,拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长,尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是,拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它,以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:中国信通技术;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管处于领先地位,阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元,这将代表CAGR 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤其明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元,这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源:CnTechPost;Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克:GOOGL)(纳斯达克:GOOG)GCP的领先优势,我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额一直在大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润(21财年息税前利润率:-15%,20财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利(20财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模,预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围(3年平均值为33.54倍)时,阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估,因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而,由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况,我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司,这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元,位于该范围的中点,基于当前210美元的股价,这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间,其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。这里关键的是,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力,而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻,那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩,展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营,预计将推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba Stock: The Bottoming Process Looks To Be Forming Already<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW股票:触底过程似乎已经形成</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 09:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Alibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.</li> <li>The company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.</li> <li>The short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.</li> <li>We discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05e63c77d4f3f3dc3d618e43044638bb\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Yongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>阿里巴巴-SW可能是目前最被低估的成长型股票。</li><li>该公司在快速扩张的市场中的多种增长动力使其估值看起来更加令人困惑。</li><li>短期技术面可能会转向看涨,并出现潜在的双底价格走势信号。</li><li>我们讨论公司的多种增长动力,让投资者自行判断。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>戴永源/iStock未通过Getty Images发布</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Technical Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>技术论文</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7febf6ed056b0e3bc038321cdaad9b1c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"782\"><span>Source: TradingView</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:TradingView</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.</p><p><blockquote>自11月20日早些时候蚂蚁金服IPO被取消以来,阿里巴巴-SW的股价已经经历了可怕的8个月,股价低迷,较高点下跌了34%。当考虑其长期上升趋势的健康状况时,很明显BABA具有相对较强的上升趋势偏差,并且通常在其关键的50W MA上得到良好支撑。过去4年中唯一一次失去关键的50W MA支撑位是在2018年熊市期间,当时BABA下跌了约40%,但仍在重要的200W MA上方得到良好支撑,我们通常认为这是“最后一道防线”。现在阿里巴巴再次面临类似的情况:下跌34%,失去了50W MA,但看起来在200W MA上方得到了很好的支撑。除此之外,价格行为分析中的一个有趣观察可能会导致价格行为交易者/投资者特别看涨:潜在的双底形成。阿里巴巴的价格似乎正在经历双底,就像2018年熊市期间一样,随后强劲反弹。因此,阿里巴巴目前的水平现在可能提供一个可能的技术买入切入点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的基本论点:快速扩大增长动力</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba49f5881708929949c30628eedc5d4\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"578\"><span>Annual GMV. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年度GMV。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d6c4ed3e2402f5af52b2dea8bab411\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"517\"><span>Annual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>年电子商务收入。数据来源:公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴的GMV在短短7年内从1.68 T元增长到7.49 T元,复合年增长率为23.8%,增速确实惊人。我们还看到其GMV增长转化为收入增长,其中国商业收入从76.7亿元增长至4736.8亿元,过去10年复合年增长率为51%。虽然其国际足迹仍然相当小,但在过去10年中,其复合年增长率仍为30.42%,这一点也不慢。</blockquote></p><p> Even though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计未来三年中国电子商务市场的增长速度将大幅放缓,复合年增长率为12.4%,从2021年的13.8 T元(相当于2.16 T美元)增长到2024年的19.6 T元(相当于3.06 T美元),但庞大的市场规模仍然为阿里巴巴及其最接近的竞争对手提供了巨大的增长潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe2dee43f267e1d1399c68e3ca60f36\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>E-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>美国电子商务收入数据来源:Statista</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.</p><p><blockquote>当我们通过比较中国与美国电子商务市场的增长率和规模来更清晰地看待事物时,我们可以看到它们的规模和增长率的巨大差异,因为美国电子商务市场预计仅增长2021年至2025年的复合年增长率为4.67%,明显低于中国的12.4%。此外,美国市场的总收入预计也将达到约5630亿美元,是届时中国市场预计价值的18%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d5a8d0d8a6a2dcdf667a6f33c6c9771\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"702\"><span>Peers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行息税前利润率和预计息税前利润率。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.</p><p><blockquote>尽管阿里巴巴-SW一直面临着来自快速增长的主要竞争对手京东(纳斯达克:JD)和拼多多(纳斯达克:PDD)的越来越大的竞争压力,但阿里巴巴已经在经营利润更高的业务(息税前利润和自由现金流),并且预计未来将继续实现强劲的盈利能力,这将使该公司具有巨大的灵活性,可以与京东和拼多多正面竞争,以扩大其领导地位。投资者可能会注意到,阿里巴巴的息税前利润率受到其SG&A中反映的27.82亿美元一次性行政罚款的影响,因此其息税前利润率出现下行。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> One important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>一项重要举措是该公司决定进一步投资社区市场,这是拼多多的主要电子商务战略,拼多多在最近一个季度总共获得了8.23亿AAC,而阿里巴巴的AAC为8.91亿。与阿里巴巴同期的4.66亿AAC相比,拼多多的AAC在2017年第二季度仅有1亿AAC,其AAC增长确实是惊人的。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.</p><p><blockquote>因此,增长势头肯定已经转向社区市场领域,阿里巴巴需要拿出重磅炸弹(它已经拥有)来与拼多多和京东争夺主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b83b69b08b1f4b11a26393c8e6eead5\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Market size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国社区团购的市场规模。数据来源:艾媒咨询</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Even though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.</p><p><blockquote>尽管预计到2022年1020亿元的总市场规模仅占阿里巴巴21财年中国商业收入的21.5%左右,但阿里巴巴不能错过2019年至2022年3年内44.22%的预期快速复合年增长率。虽然市场还比较小,但BABA不能让这个市场目前的龙头:PDD在旁人无知的情况下,如此轻易地称霸并吞噬早期的高增长率。当然,阿里巴巴必须竞争并争取自己在这一领域的地位,并争取早期领导地位,以防止拼多多扩大领先优势。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b97b2b4a8a182dc9846d8fb7e4039877\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"770\"><span>PDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>PDD盈利指标和收入增长预测。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以从上图中观察到,拼多多的收入预计将在未来几年继续快速增长,尽管预计随后将正常化。更重要的是,拼多多预计未来的息税前利润和自由现金流盈利能力也将日益提高。这表明社区市场细分市场是一个非常重要的增长动力,阿里巴巴必须利用其优势来利用它,以否认拼多多在游戏早期声称的无可争议的领导地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3aadc32155b4108426a1a982e3b5b1c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>China public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云支出。来源:中国互联网观察;Canalys</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1538b9f7bdc8d6d35a72d9acf8ecbc\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Size of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>中国公有云市场规模。数据来源:中国信通技术;新浪网</span></p></blockquote></p><p> BABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴在中国公有云市场拥有40%的份额,远远领先于其主要竞争对手。然而,值得注意的是,尽管处于领先地位,阿里巴巴仍处于大力投资模式,以继续扩大其市场份额,因为中国公共云市场预计将从2017年的264.8亿元增长到2023年的2307.4亿元,这将代表CAGR 43.4%,这是一个令人难以置信的出色增长率。当我们将中国的增长率与全球增长率(见下文)进行比较时,这一点尤其明显,因为全球公共云支出预计将从2017年的1450亿美元增长到2022年的3970亿美元,这将代表22.3%的CAGR。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06198c569504bc303c34563041dfb294\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"371\"><span>Worldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云支出。数据来源:Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8482037f60575f964053ab732496bee3\" tg-width=\"1176\" tg-height=\"700\"><span>Worldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>全球公共云市场份额。来源:CnTechPost;Gartner</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Therefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.</p><p><blockquote>因此,阿里云在2020年以9.5%的市场份额继续扩大对Alphabet(纳斯达克:GOOGL)(纳斯达克:GOOG)GCP的领先优势,我并不觉得奇怪。虽然亚马逊仍然是市场上明显的领导者,但随着公共云支出的持续扩大,其市场份额一直在大幅下降,这表明多个参与者存在巨大的增长潜力。凭借阿里巴巴在快速扩张的中国市场的领导地位,我越来越看好该细分市场未来的利润和自由现金流对阿里巴巴业绩的贡献。尽管阿里巴巴的云部门尚未实现息税前利润(21财年息税前利润率:-15%,20财年息税前利润率:-17.5%),但值得注意的是,Alphabet的GCP也尚未实现盈利(20财年息税前利润率:-42.9%,19财年息税前利润率:-52%)。因此,我们需要给阿里巴巴一些时间来扩大其在亚太地区和中国的云服务规模,预计阿里巴巴将拥有更强大的领导力,使其能够更快地增长,投资者应该预计随着时间的推移,这将是一个高利润的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>BABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling</b></p><p><blockquote><b>阿里巴巴的估值看起来非常引人注目</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62a087c4b3ef7efc2c5dde813e3b959d\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"600\"><span>NTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>NTM TEV/EBIT 3Y范围。</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2605c0e5ad364a7a43929fef204595c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"687\"><span>EV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>EV/Fwd息税前利润和EV/Fwd Rev趋势。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.</p><p><blockquote>当我们考虑阿里巴巴的TEV/EBIT历史范围(3年平均值为33.54倍)时,阿里巴巴的EV/Fwd EBIT趋势无疑意味着该股票被严重低估,因为预计阿里巴巴的收入和营业利润仍将快速增长。然而,由于我们希望更清楚地了解其同行的估值情况,我们认为如果我们对阿里巴巴的息税前利润进行估值,而不是下面介绍的一组基准公司,这将是有用的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d27873e676dfb23c98d4a69aa5861e02\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"1117\"><span>Peers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>同行EV/EBIT估值。数据来源:标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.</p><p><blockquote>通过混合使用历史和远期息税前利润,我们可以看到,与基准公司一组观察值的中值相比,阿里巴巴的EV/EBIT看起来确实被低估了。我们得出阿里巴巴的公允价值范围为294.98美元,位于该范围的中点,基于当前210美元的股价,这意味着40.5%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks to Assumptions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假设风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.</p><p><blockquote>现在,看着先生如何表现显然令人困惑。市场决定对阿里巴巴进行折扣,就好像该公司已经失去了所有关键的增长来源,而事实上,其商业部门、新的市场举措和不断增长的阿里云部门仍有很大的潜在上涨空间,其中。我们认为该股表现不佳的主要现实原因只是监管风险。我们认为投资者应该承认这种风险是非常真实的,有时大型中国公司会发现自己受到中国政府的额外审查(事实上这并不是什么新鲜事)。这里关键的是,中国政府似乎对其科技巨头的行为和行动拥有重大影响力,而这些影响力有时可能在很大程度上是不可预测的。市场当然讨厌不可预测性,因此他们可能会因此大幅折扣阿里巴巴。如果投资者无法应对潜在不可预测的监管行动及其后果的不确定性,那么阿里巴巴可能不适合您。然而,如果你认为这只是阿里巴巴漫长旅程中的一个短暂时刻,那么你肯定会发现阿里巴巴现在的估值极具吸引力,再加上长期思维。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wrapping It All Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>把这一切包起来</b></blockquote></p><p> Alibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.</p><p><blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW继续取得稳健的业绩,展示了公司强大的执行能力。由于该公司继续在一个拥有如此多增长动力的市场中运营,预计将推动公司未来的增长,投资者应该会发现当前的估值非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435297-alibaba-stock-bottoming-process-forming-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175693382","content_text":"Summary\n\nAlibaba is probably the most undervalued growth stock right now.\nThe company’s multiple growth drivers within a rapidly expanding market made its valuations look even more baffling.\nThe short term technical picture may be turning bullish with a potential double bottom price action signal.\nWe discuss the company’s multiple growth drivers and let investors judge for themselves.\n\nYongyuan Dai/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Technical Thesis\nSource: TradingView\nAlibaba’s stock price has endured a terrible 8 months ever since its Ant Financial IPO was pulled in early Nov 20, with the stock languishing in the doldrums 34% off its high. When considering the health of its long term uptrend, it’s clear that BABA has a relatively strong uptrend bias and has generally been well supported along its key 50W MA. The only other time in the last 4 years that it lost its key 50W MA support level was during the 2018 bear market where BABA dropped about 40%, but was still well supported above the important 200W MA, which we usually consider as the “last line of defense”. Right now BABA is somewhat facing a similar situation again: down 34%, lost the 50W MA, but looks to be well supported above the 200W MA. In addition to that, one interesting observation in price action analysis may lead price action traders/investors to be especially bullish: a potential double bottom formation. BABA's price is seemingly going through a double bottom like it did during the 2018 bear market before it rallied strongly thereafter. As a result, BABA’s current level may offer a possible technical buy entry point now.\nBABA's Fundamental Thesis: Rapidly Expanding Growth Drivers\nAnnual GMV. Data source: Company filings\nAnnual e-commerce revenue. Data source: Company filings\nBABA’s GMV grew from 1.68T yuan to 7.49T yuan in just a matter of 7 years, which represented a CAGR of 23.8%, a truly amazing growth rate. We also saw its GMV growth being converted into revenue growth as its China commerce revenue grew from 7.67B yuan to 473.68B yuan, at a CAGR of 51% over the last 10 years. While its international footprint remains considerably smaller, it still grew at a CAGR of 30.42% over the last 10 years, which was by no means slow.\nEven though China’s e-commerce market is expected to grow considerably slower at a CAGR of 12.4% over the next three years, from 13.8T yuan, equivalent to $2.16T in 2021 to 19.6T yuan,equivalent to $3.06T by 2024, the massive size of the market still offers tremendous upside potential for BABA and its closest competitors to grow into.\nE-commerce revenue in the U.S. Data source: Statista\nWhen we take things into clearer perspective by comparing China’s growth rate and size of its market to that of the U.S. e-commerce market, we could see the huge differences in their sizes and growth rates as the U.S. e-commerce market is only expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.67% from 2021 to 2025, which is significantly slower than China’s 12.4%. In addition, the U.S. market is also expected to reach about $563B in total revenue, which is 18% of what the China market is expected to be worth by then.\nPeers EBIT Margin and Projected EBIT Margin. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nEven though Alibaba has been facing increased competitive pressures from its fast growing key competitors: JD.com(NASDAQ:JD)and Pinduoduo(NASDAQ:PDD), BABA has already been operating a much more profitable business (both EBIT and FCF), and is expected to continue delivering strong profitability moving forward, which should give the company tremendous flexibility to compete head on with JD and PDD in its quest to extend its leadership. Investors may observe that BABA’s EBIT margin was affected by the one-off administrative penalty of $2,782M that was reflected in its SG&A, and therefore skewed its EBIT margin to the downside.\nOne important move was the company’s decision to further its investment in the Community Marketplace, which is PDD’s main e-commerce strategy that saw PDD gain a total of 823M AAC in its latest quarter as compared to BABA’s 891M AAC. PDD’s AAC growth is truly phenomenal considering it had only 100M AAC in Q2’C17 as compared to BABA’s 466M AAC in the same period.\nTherefore, the momentum of growth has surely swung over to the Community Marketplace segment and BABA would need to pull out its big guns (which it has) to compete for dominance with PDD and JD.\nMarket size of community group buying in China. Data source: iiMedia Research\nEven though the expected total market size of 102B yuan by 2022 represented only about 21.5% of BABA’s FY 21 China commerce revenue, the expected rapid CAGR of 44.22% over 3 years from 2019 to 2022 cannot be missed by BABA. Although the market is still relatively small, BABA cannot allow the current leader in this market: PDD to so easily dominate and gobble up the early high growth rates at the ignorance of everyone else. Certainly BABA must compete and fight for its place in this segment and strive for early leadership to prevent PDD from extending its lead.\nPDD profitability metrics & revenue growth forecast. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe could observe from the above chart that PDD is expected to continue growing its revenue rapidly over the next few years, even though they are expected to normalize subsequently. More importantly, PDD is also expected to increasingly improve its EBIT and FCF profitability moving forward. This shows that the Community Marketplace segment is an highly important growth driver that BABA must use its strength to exploit in order to deny PDD’s claim to undisputed leadership so early on in the game.\nChina public cloud spending. Source:China Internet Watch; Canalys\nSize of China public cloud market. Data source: CAICT; Sina.com.cn\nBABA has a 40% share in China’s public cloud market, way ahead of its key competitors. However, it’s important to note that despite this leadership, BABA is still in heavy investment mode to continue growing its market share as China’s public cloud market is expected to grow from 26.48B yuan in 2017 to 230.74B yuan by 2023, which would represent a CAGR of 43.4%, an incredibly stellar growth rate. This is especially clear when we compare China’s growth rate to the worldwide growth rate (see below) as public cloud spending worldwide is expected to grow from $145B in 2017 to $397B by 2022, that would represent a CAGR of 22.3%.\nWorldwide public cloud spending. Data source: Gartner\nWorldwide public cloud market share. Source:CnTechPost; Gartner\nTherefore, I don’t find it surprising that Ali Cloud has continued to extend its lead over Alphabet’s(NASDAQ:GOOGL)(NASDAQ:GOOG)GCP with a market share of 9.5% in 2020. While AMZN remains the clear leader in the market, its market share has been coming down considerably as public cloud spending continues to expand, indicating that there is a huge potential for growth for multiple players to exist. With BABA’s leadership in the rapidly expanding Chinese market, I’m increasingly bullish on the future profit and FCF contribution from this segment to BABA’s performance over time. Although BABA’s cloud segment has not been EBIT profitable yet (FY 21 EBIT margin: -15%, FY 20 EBIT margin: -17.5%), it’s also useful to note that GCP has also not been profitable for Alphabet as well (FY 20 EBIT margin: -42.9%, FY 19 EBIT margin: -52%). Therefore, we need to give BABA some time to scale up its cloud services in APAC and in China where it is expected to have stronger leadership to allow it to grow faster and investors should expect this to be a highly profitable segment over time.\nBABA's Valuations Look Highly Compelling\nNTM TEV / EBIT 3Y range.\nEV / Fwd EBIT and EV / Fwd Rev trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWhen we consider BABA's TEV / EBIT historical range, where the 3Y mean read 33.54x, BABA’s EV / Fwd EBIT trend certainly imply a hugely undervalued stock as BABA is still expected to grow its revenue and operating profits rapidly. However, as we wanted to obtain greater clarity over how its counterparts are also valued, we thought it would be useful if we value BABA’s EBIT over a set of benchmark companies that is presented below.\nPeers EV / EBIT Valuations. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nBy using a blend of historical and forward EBIT, we could see that BABA’s EV / EBIT really looks undervalued when compared to the median value of the set of observed values from the benchmark companies. We derived a fair value range for BABA of $294.98 at the midpoint of the range, that represented a potential upside of 40.5% based on the current stock price of $210.\nRisks to Assumptions\nNow, it’s obviously baffling to watch how Mr. Market has decided to discount BABA to such an extent as if the company has lost all its key sources of growth, when in fact there is still so much potential upside coming from its commerce segment, the new marketplace initiatives and its growing Ali Cloud segment, among others. The main realistic reason that we identified for the stock's underperformance would simply be regulatory risk. We think investors should acknowledge that this risk is very real and at times huge Chinese companies have found themselves to be subjected to extra scrutiny (which is nothing new in fact) by the Chinese government. What’s critical here is that the Chinese government seemingly has significant clout over the behavior and actions of their tech behemoths that at times may be largely unpredictable. The market certainly hates unpredictability and therefore they may have significantly discounted BABA as a result of that. If investors are not able to handle uncertainty with regard to potentially unpredictable regulatory actions and their aftermath, then BABA may not be appropriate for you. However, if you believe that this is just a blip in BABA’s long journey, then you would surely find BABA's valuations extremely attractive right now, coupled with a long term mindset.\nWrapping It All Up\nAlibaba has continued to deliver solid results that demonstrated the strong capability of the company to execute well. As the company continues to operate within a market with so many growth drivers that are expected to drive the company’s future growth, investors should find the current valuations highly attractive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BABA":0.9,"09988":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":818,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":372478522,"gmtCreate":1619238069366,"gmtModify":1634287513284,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372478522","repostId":"1166519043","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":863238524,"gmtCreate":1632395347168,"gmtModify":1632800711566,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863238524","repostId":"1190658591","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1909,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138333124,"gmtCreate":1621908901468,"gmtModify":1634185583506,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138333124","repostId":"2138159407","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":377305423,"gmtCreate":1619493896962,"gmtModify":1634212295896,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/377305423","repostId":"1190086074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1190086074","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619480390,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190086074?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-27 07:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla posts record net income of $438 million, revenue surges by 74%<blockquote>特斯拉净利润创纪录4.38亿美元营收暴增74%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190086074","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla reported record net income of $438 million during the quarter, as well as earnings of 93 cents per share on $10.39 billion in revenue.In its earnings release, the company said it has weathered chip shortages that have plagued the auto industry in part by “pivoting extremely quickly to new microcontrollers, while simultaneously developing firmware for new chips made by new suppliers.”On an earnings call, CEO Elon Musk said the delayed new version of the company’s Model S sedan will be deliv","content":"<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Tesla reported record net income of $438 million during the quarter, as well as earnings of 93 cents per share on $10.39 billion in revenue.</li><li>In its earnings release, the company said it has weathered chip shortages that have plagued the auto industry in part by “pivoting extremely quickly to new microcontrollers, while simultaneously developing firmware for new chips made by new suppliers.”</li><li>On an earnings call, CEO Elon Musk said the delayed new version of the company’s Model S sedan will be delivered starting in May 2021, and Model X deliveries will begin in the third quarter of the year.</li></ul>Tesla reported first-quarter results after the bell on Monday. The company beat expectations handily, buoyed by sales of bitcoin and regulatory credits, but the stock dipped as much as 2.5% after hours as investors digested the numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉报告本季度净利润达到创纪录的4.38亿美元,每股收益为93美分,营收为103.9亿美元。</li><li>该公司在财报中表示,通过“极快地转向新的微控制器,同时为新供应商制造的新芯片开发固件”,它已经度过了困扰汽车行业的芯片短缺问题。</li><li>在财报看涨期权上,首席执行官Elon Musk表示,该公司推迟的新版Model S轿车将于2021年5月开始交付,Model X将于今年第三季度开始交付。</li></ul>特斯拉周一盘后公布了第一季度业绩。在比特币销售和监管信贷的提振下,该公司轻松超出预期,但随着投资者消化这些数据,该股盘后下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fec5c52f391c1077b749edc13b7b3417\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Here’s how the company fared in the quarter, compared with analyst estimates compiled by Refinitiv:</p><p><blockquote>以下是该公司本季度的表现,与Refinitiv编制的分析师预期相比:</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Earnings:</b>93 cents per share vs. 79 cents per share expected</li><li><b>Revenue:</b>$10.39 billion vs. $10.29 billion expected, up 74% from a year ago</li></ul>Net profit reached a quarterly record of $438 million on a GAAP basis, and the company recorded $518 million in revenue from sales of regulatory credits during the period. It also recorded a $101 million positive impact from sales of bitcoin during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>收益:</b>每股93美分,预期每股79美分</li><li><b>收入:</b>103.9亿美元,预期为102.9亿美元,同比增长74%</li></ul>按GAAP计算,净利润达到季度创纪录的4.38亿美元,该公司在此期间从监管信贷销售中获得了5.18亿美元的收入。本季度比特币销售还带来了1.01亿美元的积极影响。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/107ab1e725bed375ea106bdf3024ec6a\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1097\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>CEO Elon Musk’s electric vehicle business reported in the first quarter vehicle deliveries of 184,800 Model 3 and Model Y cars, beating expectations and setting a record for Tesla. However, the company also said it produced none of its higher-end Model S sedans or Model X SUVs for the period ending March. It delivered2,020 older Model S sedans and Model X SUVs from inventory.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Elon Musk的电动汽车业务报告称,第一季度Model 3和Model Y汽车交付量为18.48万辆,超出预期,创下了特斯拉的纪录。不过,该公司还表示,截至3月份,该公司没有生产任何高端Model S轿车或Model X SUV。它从库存中交付了2,020辆旧款Model S轿车和Model X SUV。</blockquote></p><p>On Monday’s earnings call, Musk said the new version of the company’s Model S sedans will finally be delivered to customers starting in May 2021, with Model X deliveries to begin in the third quarter of the year. Musk and CFO Zachary Kirkhorn both said supply chain issues are likely to remain a challenge for Tesla this year.</p><p><blockquote>在周一的财报看涨期权上,Musk表示,该公司新版Model S轿车最终将于2021年5月开始向客户交付,Model X将于今年第三季度开始交付。Musk和CFO Zachary Kirkhorn均表示,供应链问题可能仍是特斯拉今年面临的挑战。</blockquote></p><p>In January 2021 (during a fourth-quarter 2020 earnings update) Musk had said that the Model S Plaid was already in production would be delivered starting in February 2021. But he admitted on Monday, “There were more challenges than expected,” in producing the refreshed version of these vehicles. He did not elaborate.</p><p><blockquote>2021年1月(在2020年第四季度财报更新期间),马斯克曾表示Model S Plaid已经投入生产,并将于2021年2月开始交付。但他周一承认,在生产这些车辆的更新版本时,“存在比预期更多的挑战”。他没有详细说明。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla is now aiming to produce 2,000 Model S and X vehicles per week later this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉目前的目标是在今年晚些时候每周生产2,000辆Model S和X汽车。</blockquote></p><p>The company said Monday it expects more than 50% vehicle delivery growth in 2021 overall, which implies minimum deliveries around 750,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周一表示,预计2021年汽车交付量总体增长将超过50%,这意味着今年的最低交付量约为75万辆。</blockquote></p><p>The fact Tesla grew vehicle unit sales by more than 100% year over year but grew service centers by only 28% and its mobile service fleet by only 22% explains why some Tesla customers face frustratingly long wait times for repairs. Service expansion is not keeping pace with the volume of vehicles sold.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,特斯拉的汽车销量同比增长超过100%,但服务中心仅增长28%,移动服务车队仅增长22%,这解释了为什么一些特斯拉客户面临令人沮丧的漫长维修等待时间。服务扩张跟不上车辆销量的步伐。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla said it has weathered chip shortages that have plagued the auto industry in part by “pivoting extremely quickly to new microcontrollers, while simultaneously developing firmware for new chips made by new suppliers.” It did not disclose the names of its new suppliers.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,它通过“极快地转向新的微控制器,同时为新供应商制造的新芯片开发固件”,部分克服了困扰汽车行业的芯片短缺问题。它没有透露新供应商的名称。</blockquote></p><p>It also reiterated Musk’s frequent claim that cameras, not radar, are a better path toward autonomous vehicles. “Our AI-based software architecture has been increasingly reliant on cameras, to the point where radar is becoming unnecessary earlier than expected. As a result, our FSD [Full Self-Driving] team is fully focused on evolving to a vision-based autonomous system and we are nearly ready to switch the US market to Tesla Vision,” the company said in its earnings release.</p><p><blockquote>它还重申了马斯克经常声称的摄像头而不是雷达是自动驾驶汽车的更好途径。“我们基于人工智能的软件架构越来越依赖摄像头,以至于雷达比预期更早变得不必要。因此,我们的FSD(全自动驾驶)团队完全专注于向基于视觉的自动驾驶系统发展,我们几乎准备好将美国市场转向特斯拉视觉,”该公司在财报中表示。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue for its energy generation and storage business nearly doubled for Tesla versus the same period in 2020, when Musk said Covid, then an emerging pandemic, had slowed its energy business to a crawl. But energy revenue declined from $787 million in the fourth quarter to $595 million in the first quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与2020年同期相比,特斯拉能源发电和存储业务的收入几乎翻了一番,当时马斯克表示,当时新冠疫情是一种新兴流行病,导致其能源业务放缓。但能源收入从第四季度的7.87亿美元下降至2021年第一季度的5.95亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Recently, Tesla increased prices for its solar rooftops by 50%, and now requires anyone ordering solar photovoltaics (including Tesla solar roof tiles) to also order the Powerwall, Tesla’s home energy storage system. The sudden price change applied retroactively to some vexed customers.</p><p><blockquote>最近,特斯拉将其太阳能屋顶的价格提高了50%,现在要求任何订购太阳能光伏(包括特斯拉太阳能屋顶瓦片)的人也必须订购特斯拉的家庭储能系统Powerwall。突然的价格变化追溯适用于一些恼怒的顾客。</blockquote></p><p>Musk said on the Q1 2021 call that he is aiming for homes with solar rooftops and batteries from Tesla to function as a “giant distributed utility” that can help incumbent electrical utilities supply customers with all the electricity they need as demand and extreme weather events increase.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克在2021年第一季度看涨期权上表示,他的目标是让拥有太阳能屋顶和特斯拉电池的家庭成为“巨型分布式公用事业公司”,可以帮助现有电力公司在需求和极端天气事件增加时为客户提供所需的所有电力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Executives did not say how they would change their production or mix of battery cells from suppliers in order to make a higher volume of vehicles and energy storage products in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>高管们没有透露他们将如何改变供应商的电池生产或组合,以便在2021年生产更多的汽车和储能产品。</blockquote></p><p>Musk said the company’s 4680 cells, which it developed independently and makes at a pilot plant in Fremont, California, are not yet reliable enough to be shipped in Tesla vehicles. He said Tesla would probably “achieve volume production” of these cells in 12 to 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>Musk表示,该公司自主开发并在加州Fremont的一家试点工厂生产的4680电池还不够可靠,无法用特斯拉汽车运输。他表示,特斯拉可能会在12至18个月内“实现批量生产”这些电池。</blockquote></p><p>The company revealed in February it purchased $1.5 billion in bitcoin and would potentially invest in other cryptocurrencies in the future. By April, bitcoin rose to record levels before pulling back. In its statement of cash flows, Tesla revealed that it had sold $272 million worth of “digital assets,” presumably bitcoin, during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在2月份透露,它购买了15亿美元的比特币,并可能在未来投资其他加密货币。到4月份,比特币升至创纪录水平,然后回落。特斯拉在其现金流量表中透露,该公司在本季度出售了价值2.72亿美元的“数字资产”,可能是比特币。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla posts record net income of $438 million, revenue surges by 74%<blockquote>特斯拉净利润创纪录4.38亿美元营收暴增74%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla posts record net income of $438 million, revenue surges by 74%<blockquote>特斯拉净利润创纪录4.38亿美元营收暴增74%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-27 07:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Tesla reported record net income of $438 million during the quarter, as well as earnings of 93 cents per share on $10.39 billion in revenue.</li><li>In its earnings release, the company said it has weathered chip shortages that have plagued the auto industry in part by “pivoting extremely quickly to new microcontrollers, while simultaneously developing firmware for new chips made by new suppliers.”</li><li>On an earnings call, CEO Elon Musk said the delayed new version of the company’s Model S sedan will be delivered starting in May 2021, and Model X deliveries will begin in the third quarter of the year.</li></ul>Tesla reported first-quarter results after the bell on Monday. The company beat expectations handily, buoyed by sales of bitcoin and regulatory credits, but the stock dipped as much as 2.5% after hours as investors digested the numbers.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>特斯拉报告本季度净利润达到创纪录的4.38亿美元,每股收益为93美分,营收为103.9亿美元。</li><li>该公司在财报中表示,通过“极快地转向新的微控制器,同时为新供应商制造的新芯片开发固件”,它已经度过了困扰汽车行业的芯片短缺问题。</li><li>在财报看涨期权上,首席执行官Elon Musk表示,该公司推迟的新版Model S轿车将于2021年5月开始交付,Model X将于今年第三季度开始交付。</li></ul>特斯拉周一盘后公布了第一季度业绩。在比特币销售和监管信贷的提振下,该公司轻松超出预期,但随着投资者消化这些数据,该股盘后下跌2.5%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fec5c52f391c1077b749edc13b7b3417\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Here’s how the company fared in the quarter, compared with analyst estimates compiled by Refinitiv:</p><p><blockquote>以下是该公司本季度的表现,与Refinitiv编制的分析师预期相比:</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>Earnings:</b>93 cents per share vs. 79 cents per share expected</li><li><b>Revenue:</b>$10.39 billion vs. $10.29 billion expected, up 74% from a year ago</li></ul>Net profit reached a quarterly record of $438 million on a GAAP basis, and the company recorded $518 million in revenue from sales of regulatory credits during the period. It also recorded a $101 million positive impact from sales of bitcoin during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>收益:</b>每股93美分,预期每股79美分</li><li><b>收入:</b>103.9亿美元,预期为102.9亿美元,同比增长74%</li></ul>按GAAP计算,净利润达到季度创纪录的4.38亿美元,该公司在此期间从监管信贷销售中获得了5.18亿美元的收入。本季度比特币销售还带来了1.01亿美元的积极影响。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/107ab1e725bed375ea106bdf3024ec6a\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1097\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>CEO Elon Musk’s electric vehicle business reported in the first quarter vehicle deliveries of 184,800 Model 3 and Model Y cars, beating expectations and setting a record for Tesla. However, the company also said it produced none of its higher-end Model S sedans or Model X SUVs for the period ending March. It delivered2,020 older Model S sedans and Model X SUVs from inventory.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官Elon Musk的电动汽车业务报告称,第一季度Model 3和Model Y汽车交付量为18.48万辆,超出预期,创下了特斯拉的纪录。不过,该公司还表示,截至3月份,该公司没有生产任何高端Model S轿车或Model X SUV。它从库存中交付了2,020辆旧款Model S轿车和Model X SUV。</blockquote></p><p>On Monday’s earnings call, Musk said the new version of the company’s Model S sedans will finally be delivered to customers starting in May 2021, with Model X deliveries to begin in the third quarter of the year. Musk and CFO Zachary Kirkhorn both said supply chain issues are likely to remain a challenge for Tesla this year.</p><p><blockquote>在周一的财报看涨期权上,Musk表示,该公司新版Model S轿车最终将于2021年5月开始向客户交付,Model X将于今年第三季度开始交付。Musk和CFO Zachary Kirkhorn均表示,供应链问题可能仍是特斯拉今年面临的挑战。</blockquote></p><p>In January 2021 (during a fourth-quarter 2020 earnings update) Musk had said that the Model S Plaid was already in production would be delivered starting in February 2021. But he admitted on Monday, “There were more challenges than expected,” in producing the refreshed version of these vehicles. He did not elaborate.</p><p><blockquote>2021年1月(在2020年第四季度财报更新期间),马斯克曾表示Model S Plaid已经投入生产,并将于2021年2月开始交付。但他周一承认,在生产这些车辆的更新版本时,“存在比预期更多的挑战”。他没有详细说明。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla is now aiming to produce 2,000 Model S and X vehicles per week later this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉目前的目标是在今年晚些时候每周生产2,000辆Model S和X汽车。</blockquote></p><p>The company said Monday it expects more than 50% vehicle delivery growth in 2021 overall, which implies minimum deliveries around 750,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司周一表示,预计2021年汽车交付量总体增长将超过50%,这意味着今年的最低交付量约为75万辆。</blockquote></p><p>The fact Tesla grew vehicle unit sales by more than 100% year over year but grew service centers by only 28% and its mobile service fleet by only 22% explains why some Tesla customers face frustratingly long wait times for repairs. Service expansion is not keeping pace with the volume of vehicles sold.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,特斯拉的汽车销量同比增长超过100%,但服务中心仅增长28%,移动服务车队仅增长22%,这解释了为什么一些特斯拉客户面临令人沮丧的漫长维修等待时间。服务扩张跟不上车辆销量的步伐。</blockquote></p><p>Tesla said it has weathered chip shortages that have plagued the auto industry in part by “pivoting extremely quickly to new microcontrollers, while simultaneously developing firmware for new chips made by new suppliers.” It did not disclose the names of its new suppliers.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,它通过“极快地转向新的微控制器,同时为新供应商制造的新芯片开发固件”,部分克服了困扰汽车行业的芯片短缺问题。它没有透露新供应商的名称。</blockquote></p><p>It also reiterated Musk’s frequent claim that cameras, not radar, are a better path toward autonomous vehicles. “Our AI-based software architecture has been increasingly reliant on cameras, to the point where radar is becoming unnecessary earlier than expected. As a result, our FSD [Full Self-Driving] team is fully focused on evolving to a vision-based autonomous system and we are nearly ready to switch the US market to Tesla Vision,” the company said in its earnings release.</p><p><blockquote>它还重申了马斯克经常声称的摄像头而不是雷达是自动驾驶汽车的更好途径。“我们基于人工智能的软件架构越来越依赖摄像头,以至于雷达比预期更早变得不必要。因此,我们的FSD(全自动驾驶)团队完全专注于向基于视觉的自动驾驶系统发展,我们几乎准备好将美国市场转向特斯拉视觉,”该公司在财报中表示。</blockquote></p><p>Revenue for its energy generation and storage business nearly doubled for Tesla versus the same period in 2020, when Musk said Covid, then an emerging pandemic, had slowed its energy business to a crawl. But energy revenue declined from $787 million in the fourth quarter to $595 million in the first quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>与2020年同期相比,特斯拉能源发电和存储业务的收入几乎翻了一番,当时马斯克表示,当时新冠疫情是一种新兴流行病,导致其能源业务放缓。但能源收入从第四季度的7.87亿美元下降至2021年第一季度的5.95亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Recently, Tesla increased prices for its solar rooftops by 50%, and now requires anyone ordering solar photovoltaics (including Tesla solar roof tiles) to also order the Powerwall, Tesla’s home energy storage system. The sudden price change applied retroactively to some vexed customers.</p><p><blockquote>最近,特斯拉将其太阳能屋顶的价格提高了50%,现在要求任何订购太阳能光伏(包括特斯拉太阳能屋顶瓦片)的人也必须订购特斯拉的家庭储能系统Powerwall。突然的价格变化追溯适用于一些恼怒的顾客。</blockquote></p><p>Musk said on the Q1 2021 call that he is aiming for homes with solar rooftops and batteries from Tesla to function as a “giant distributed utility” that can help incumbent electrical utilities supply customers with all the electricity they need as demand and extreme weather events increase.</p><p><blockquote>马斯克在2021年第一季度看涨期权上表示,他的目标是让拥有太阳能屋顶和特斯拉电池的家庭成为“巨型分布式公用事业公司”,可以帮助现有电力公司在需求和极端天气事件增加时为客户提供所需的所有电力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Executives did not say how they would change their production or mix of battery cells from suppliers in order to make a higher volume of vehicles and energy storage products in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>高管们没有透露他们将如何改变供应商的电池生产或组合,以便在2021年生产更多的汽车和储能产品。</blockquote></p><p>Musk said the company’s 4680 cells, which it developed independently and makes at a pilot plant in Fremont, California, are not yet reliable enough to be shipped in Tesla vehicles. He said Tesla would probably “achieve volume production” of these cells in 12 to 18 months.</p><p><blockquote>Musk表示,该公司自主开发并在加州Fremont的一家试点工厂生产的4680电池还不够可靠,无法用特斯拉汽车运输。他表示,特斯拉可能会在12至18个月内“实现批量生产”这些电池。</blockquote></p><p>The company revealed in February it purchased $1.5 billion in bitcoin and would potentially invest in other cryptocurrencies in the future. By April, bitcoin rose to record levels before pulling back. In its statement of cash flows, Tesla revealed that it had sold $272 million worth of “digital assets,” presumably bitcoin, during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在2月份透露,它购买了15亿美元的比特币,并可能在未来投资其他加密货币。到4月份,比特币升至创纪录水平,然后回落。特斯拉在其现金流量表中透露,该公司在本季度出售了价值2.72亿美元的“数字资产”,可能是比特币。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190086074","content_text":"KEY POINTSTesla reported record net income of $438 million during the quarter, as well as earnings of 93 cents per share on $10.39 billion in revenue.In its earnings release, the company said it has weathered chip shortages that have plagued the auto industry in part by “pivoting extremely quickly to new microcontrollers, while simultaneously developing firmware for new chips made by new suppliers.”On an earnings call, CEO Elon Musk said the delayed new version of the company’s Model S sedan will be delivered starting in May 2021, and Model X deliveries will begin in the third quarter of the year.Tesla reported first-quarter results after the bell on Monday. The company beat expectations handily, buoyed by sales of bitcoin and regulatory credits, but the stock dipped as much as 2.5% after hours as investors digested the numbers.Here’s how the company fared in the quarter, compared with analyst estimates compiled by Refinitiv:Earnings:93 cents per share vs. 79 cents per share expectedRevenue:$10.39 billion vs. $10.29 billion expected, up 74% from a year agoNet profit reached a quarterly record of $438 million on a GAAP basis, and the company recorded $518 million in revenue from sales of regulatory credits during the period. It also recorded a $101 million positive impact from sales of bitcoin during the quarter.CEO Elon Musk’s electric vehicle business reported in the first quarter vehicle deliveries of 184,800 Model 3 and Model Y cars, beating expectations and setting a record for Tesla. However, the company also said it produced none of its higher-end Model S sedans or Model X SUVs for the period ending March. It delivered2,020 older Model S sedans and Model X SUVs from inventory.On Monday’s earnings call, Musk said the new version of the company’s Model S sedans will finally be delivered to customers starting in May 2021, with Model X deliveries to begin in the third quarter of the year. Musk and CFO Zachary Kirkhorn both said supply chain issues are likely to remain a challenge for Tesla this year.In January 2021 (during a fourth-quarter 2020 earnings update) Musk had said that the Model S Plaid was already in production would be delivered starting in February 2021. But he admitted on Monday, “There were more challenges than expected,” in producing the refreshed version of these vehicles. He did not elaborate.Tesla is now aiming to produce 2,000 Model S and X vehicles per week later this year.The company said Monday it expects more than 50% vehicle delivery growth in 2021 overall, which implies minimum deliveries around 750,000 vehicles this year.The fact Tesla grew vehicle unit sales by more than 100% year over year but grew service centers by only 28% and its mobile service fleet by only 22% explains why some Tesla customers face frustratingly long wait times for repairs. Service expansion is not keeping pace with the volume of vehicles sold.Tesla said it has weathered chip shortages that have plagued the auto industry in part by “pivoting extremely quickly to new microcontrollers, while simultaneously developing firmware for new chips made by new suppliers.” It did not disclose the names of its new suppliers.It also reiterated Musk’s frequent claim that cameras, not radar, are a better path toward autonomous vehicles. “Our AI-based software architecture has been increasingly reliant on cameras, to the point where radar is becoming unnecessary earlier than expected. As a result, our FSD [Full Self-Driving] team is fully focused on evolving to a vision-based autonomous system and we are nearly ready to switch the US market to Tesla Vision,” the company said in its earnings release.Revenue for its energy generation and storage business nearly doubled for Tesla versus the same period in 2020, when Musk said Covid, then an emerging pandemic, had slowed its energy business to a crawl. But energy revenue declined from $787 million in the fourth quarter to $595 million in the first quarter of 2021.Recently, Tesla increased prices for its solar rooftops by 50%, and now requires anyone ordering solar photovoltaics (including Tesla solar roof tiles) to also order the Powerwall, Tesla’s home energy storage system. The sudden price change applied retroactively to some vexed customers.Musk said on the Q1 2021 call that he is aiming for homes with solar rooftops and batteries from Tesla to function as a “giant distributed utility” that can help incumbent electrical utilities supply customers with all the electricity they need as demand and extreme weather events increase.Executives did not say how they would change their production or mix of battery cells from suppliers in order to make a higher volume of vehicles and energy storage products in 2021.Musk said the company’s 4680 cells, which it developed independently and makes at a pilot plant in Fremont, California, are not yet reliable enough to be shipped in Tesla vehicles. He said Tesla would probably “achieve volume production” of these cells in 12 to 18 months.The company revealed in February it purchased $1.5 billion in bitcoin and would potentially invest in other cryptocurrencies in the future. By April, bitcoin rose to record levels before pulling back. In its statement of cash flows, Tesla revealed that it had sold $272 million worth of “digital assets,” presumably bitcoin, during the quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":377,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":374047858,"gmtCreate":1619404683174,"gmtModify":1634273738449,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good or bad news?","listText":"Good or bad news?","text":"Good or bad news?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/374047858","repostId":"1184404050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358152609,"gmtCreate":1616675594701,"gmtModify":1634524623039,"author":{"id":"3568633798427444","authorId":"3568633798427444","name":"clarenceng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89aaac4344e6255da6f805bdf3bb155c","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568633798427444","authorIdStr":"3568633798427444"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358152609","repostId":"1142620967","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}