NCM的个人主页 - 老虎社区

NCM

NCM

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

216关注

16粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-03-11

[捂脸]

Roblox spikes 44% on its first day of trading<blockquote>Roblox首日交易飙升44%</blockquote>

2021-05-15

Share price already running ahead

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-05

What is the fair valuation?

Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>

2021-05-12

Overheated

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-23

What’s next

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-14

Gogogo

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-03

树倒猢狲散

Gamestop, silver spot down, "farce" is slowly ending?<blockquote>游戏驿站，白银现货下跌，“闹剧”正在慢慢结束？</blockquote>

2021-07-19

What goes up will come down, likewise. It is a cycle.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-11

Buy the dip?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-25

$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$gogogo

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-20

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-14

Can it mirror SEA’s performance?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-26

Coinbase or Binance?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-01-30

[摊手]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-21

Ok

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-16

OK

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-19

Ok

Stocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz<blockquote>值得关注的股票：苹果活动、迪士尼预告和盈利闪电战</blockquote>

2021-03-12

Wait for me pls

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-05

Read

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-20

Long tech

‘Tapering’ Is Supposed to Be Bad for Tech. Why Did the Nasdaq Outperform the Dow?<blockquote>“缩减规模”应该对科技不利。为什么纳斯达克的表现优于道琼斯指数？</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3567832114052050","uuid":"3567832114052050","gmtCreate":1604738327859,"gmtModify":1611372352583,"name":"NCM","pinyin":"ncm","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":16,"headSize":216,"tweetSize":128,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"80.86%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.03.23","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"93.95%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":874440711,"gmtCreate":1637815500827,"gmtModify":1637815500940,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874440711","repostId":"1183200074","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183200074","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637811543,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183200074?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-25 11:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"ASML: It's A Leading Semiconductor Player, But Don't Buy Now<blockquote>ASML：它是领先的半导体公司，但现在不要购买</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183200074","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nASML is supplying the critical extreme ultraviolet lithography machines for the leading-edg","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML is supplying the critical extreme ultraviolet lithography machines for the leading-edge foundries. It has no competitors in this market.</li>  <li>Investors have been willing to pay up for its dominance in this market.</li>  <li>However, its current valuation looks stretched, as growth is expected to slow.</li>  <li>We discuss why we think investors should wait for a deeper retracement first before considering adding exposure.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad6d47b090e53e0f884bb297357356fb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML正在为领先的代工厂提供关键的极紫外光刻机。它在这个市场上没有竞争对手。</li><li>投资者愿意为其在这个市场的主导地位买单。</li><li>然而，由于增长预计将放缓，其目前的估值看起来过高。</li><li>我们讨论了为什么我们认为投资者应该先等待更深的回撤，然后再考虑增加敞口。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is one of the leading players in the wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) market. As the only player capable of manufacturing extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, ASML has no competitors in this category. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), and Intel (INTC) have to depend on ASML to supply these highly coveted and costly machines. In addition, the secular demand drivers underpinning the 5G ramp, IoT, autonomous vehicles, and high-performance computing will continue to benefit ASML EUV demand.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding N.V.(ASML)是晶圆制造设备(WFE)市场的领先企业之一。作为唯一有能力制造极紫外光（EUV）光刻机的玩家，ASML在这一类别中没有竞争对手。台积电(TSM)、三星(OTC：SSNLF)和英特尔(INTC)必须依靠ASML来供应这些令人垂涎且昂贵的机器。此外，支撑5G增长、物联网、自动驾驶汽车和高性能计算的长期需求驱动因素将继续有利于ASML EUV需求。</blockquote></p><p> ASML also telegraphed a backlog that amounted to EUR 19.6B in FQ3, including EUR 11.6B in EUV. Consequently, it has given them revenue visibility until early 2023, as the company continues to add capacity.</p><p><blockquote>ASML还表示，第三季度积压订单金额为19.6 B欧元，其中EUV订单为11.6 B欧元。因此，随着公司继续增加产能，这使他们能够在2023年初之前了解收入。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, we believe that a significant amount of growth premium has been baked into the stock's current valuation. It leaves little margin for error and would require ASML to execute immaculately. While we do not question management's ability to execute, we are also concerned about the potential or a correction due to excess capacity from 2023/24 onwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们认为该股当前的估值中已经包含了大量的增长溢价。它几乎没有出错的余地，并且需要ASML完美地执行。虽然我们不质疑管理层的执行能力，但我们也担心2023/24年起产能过剩的可能性或调整。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ASML Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ASML股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/169b4c2f1ad5b898301963a7c316e12e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML stock YTD performance (as of 23 November 21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML股票年初至今表现（截至21年11月23日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It has been a fabulous year for ASML investors. The stock's momentum has been robust all year as it rode the secular drivers underpinning its industry. Moreover, given its dominance in EUV lithography, investors are willing to continue paying up to own its shares. As a result, ASML stock's YTD gain of 65.6% easily outperformed the Invesco QQQ ETF's (QQQ) YTD return of 26.7%. However, its WFE rival Applied Materials (AMAT) stock is slightly ahead with a YTD gain of 72.5%.</p><p><blockquote>对于ASML投资者来说，这是美妙的一年。该股全年势头强劲，因为它得益于支撑其行业的长期驱动力。此外，鉴于其在EUV光刻领域的主导地位，投资者愿意继续付费持有其股票。因此，ASML股票年初至今65.6%的涨幅轻松超过了景顺QQQ ETF(QQQ)年初至今26.7%的回报率。然而，其WFE竞争对手应用材料公司(AMAT)的股票以72.5%的年初至今涨幅略微领先。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Strong 2021 for ASML. What about its Prognosis Moving Forward?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ASML 2021年表现强劲。它的预后如何？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2983887c701a83a264bdfae1302ba7c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SEMI 2021 mid-year total equipment forecast by segment. Source: SEMI</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按细分市场划分的SEMI 2021年年中设备总量预测。来源：SEMI</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d62038d494d773331d57f45fb3bf07df\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML quarterly revenue &amp; YoY change. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML季度收入和同比变化。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It has been a banner year for the semiconductor industry and the WFE market. SEMI estimated that WFE sales would increase by 33.5% YoY in 2021. ASML guided for its revenue to grow by 35% YoY in FY21. Given the company's solid performance in FQ1-FQ3 so far, we believe that ASML's guidance is highly credible. It's also well in line with the industry's forecasts, so it's highly reasonable as well. Despite the supply chain problems that ASML is facing, it still expects a robust FQ4, guiding for revenue of between EUR 4.9B to EUR 5.2B. CEO Peter Wennink emphasized (edited):</p><p><blockquote>对于半导体行业和WFE市场来说，这是辉煌的一年。SEMI预计2021年WFE销售额将同比增长33.5%。ASML预计2021财年收入同比增长35%。鉴于该公司迄今为止在FQ1-FQ3的稳健表现，我们认为ASML的指引可信度很高。这也非常符合行业的预测，因此也非常合理。尽管ASML面临供应链问题，但它仍然预计第四季度将表现强劲，预计收入在49亿欧元至52亿欧元之间。首席执行官Peter Wennink强调（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>We're seeing continued strong demand from our customers across all market segments</i>from both advanced and mature nodes, driving demand across our entire product portfolio. These end market trends are driving strong demand across all market segments and across our entire technology portfolio.  <i>Therefore, we continue to increase our capacity</i>for all of our products to meet customer capacity and technology requirements. (from ASML's FQ3'21 earnings call)  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e67ec84e5d14097765f5787d32fe192e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML share of revenue by technology. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><i>我们看到所有细分市场的客户需求持续强劲</i>来自先进和成熟的节点，推动我们整个产品组合的需求。这些终端市场趋势正在推动所有细分市场和我们整个技术组合的强劲需求。<i>因此，我们不断增加产能</i>使我们所有的产品都能满足客户的产能和技术要求。（摘自ASML 21年第三季度收益看涨期权）<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML按技术划分的收入份额。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3380359fecb47be9aa6ce3c11d93d88d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML sales count of EUV machines. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML EUV机器的销售统计。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> EUV has driven sales for ASML tremendously over the last three years. We can easily glean from the growth cadence of the unit sales, and EUV's share of the revenue. In FQ3, EUV's share of revenue remains influential and consistent at 54%. In addition, its foundry customers have telegraphed their plans to increase CapEx intensity moving forward to support robust underlying demand. Therefore, we believe EUV's share of revenue will remain robust.</p><p><blockquote>过去三年，EUV极大地推动了ASML的销售。我们可以轻松地从单位销售额的增长节奏以及EUV在收入中的份额中收集信息。在第三季度，EUV的收入份额仍然具有影响力且稳定在54%。此外，其代工客户已表示计划提高资本支出强度，以支持强劲的潜在需求。因此，我们认为EUV的收入份额将保持强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, it's also important to note that its DUV systems are critical in driving ASML's revenue. Hence, while the secular demand underpinning EUV's strength is commendable, the concern of overcapacity has been widely discussed along the mature nodes.</p><p><blockquote>然而，同样值得注意的是，其DUV系统对于推动ASML的收入至关重要。因此，虽然支撑EUV实力的长期需求值得称赞，但产能过剩的担忧已在成熟节点上得到广泛讨论。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC CEO C.C. Wei also discussed the possibility of an \"inventory correction\" moving forward. He articulated:</p><p><blockquote>台积电CEO C.C.魏还讨论了未来“库存调整”的可能性。他明确表示：</blockquote></p><p>   Let me say that while we do not rule out the possibility of an inventory correction, but we expect TSMC's capacity remain very tight in 2021 and throughout 2022. This is because of our technology leadership position. And even there's a correction to occur, we believe it could be less volatile for TSMC than previous downturn due to our underlying structural megatrend of 5G-related and HPC applications. (from TSMC's FQ3'21 earnings call)  Hence, TSM recognizes that the potential for excess capacity could affect the trailing nodes much more than leading nodes. However, TSM's CapEx is heavily focused on the leading-edge, as it accounted for 80% of its CapEx investments. Therefore, a potential downturn is less likely to hit the foundry leader significantly.</p><p><blockquote>我想说的是，虽然我们不排除库存调整的可能性，但我们预计台积电的产能在2021年和整个2022年仍然非常紧张。这是因为我们的技术领先地位。即使出现调整，我们相信，由于5G相关和HPC应用的潜在结构性大趋势，台积电的波动性也可能低于之前的低迷时期。（来自台积电21年第三季度收益看涨期权）因此，TSM认识到产能过剩的可能性对落后节点的影响可能比领先节点大得多。然而，TSM的资本支出主要集中在前沿，因为它占其资本支出投资的80%。因此，潜在的低迷不太可能对代工龙头造成重大打击。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, the problems could intensify in the automotive market. TSMC emphasized that it discovered that the automotive supply chain is very complex and challenging to grasp well. CEO C.C. Wei emphasized: \"Let me specifically point it out. The automotive supply chain actually is quite long and complex. It's more complicated than we initially thought.\"</p><p><blockquote>此外，汽车市场的问题可能会加剧。台积电强调，发现汽车供应链非常复杂，很难把握好。首席执行官C.C.魏强调：“让我特别指出一点。汽车供应链实际上是相当长和复杂的。它比我们最初想象的更复杂。”</blockquote></p><p> Even ASML had cautioned that it has also been unable to fully understand the bottlenecks in the supply chain. While the company has attempted its best to model and survey, it hasn't found a viable answer. In response to an analyst's question on the source of the supply bottlenecks, CEO Peter Wennink accentuated (edited):</p><p><blockquote>就连ASML也警告说，它也无法完全了解供应链中的瓶颈。虽然该公司已尽最大努力进行建模和调查，但尚未找到可行的答案。在回答分析师关于供应瓶颈来源的问题时，首席执行官Peter Wennink强调（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>So -- and the real answer is we don't know</i>. Because somehow we haven't been able to connect all the dots that actually are the underlying drivers for this demand. There's some rumors out there that the brokers and the distributors are stocking up all the inventory to drive up the prices. I know one thing that the demand for mature, for DUV dry has by far exceeded our expectations. Some of it will be panic ordering by the customers of our customers. But it's too big to just be panic ordering.  <i>So there is this underlying trend that we really don't understand fully.</i>(from ASML's FQ3'21 earnings call)  <b>So, is ASML Stock a Buy Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><i>所以，真正的答案是我们不知道</i>.因为不知何故，我们无法将实际上是这种需求的潜在驱动因素的所有点联系起来。有一些传言说经纪人和分销商正在囤积所有的库存来推高价格。我知道一件事，对DUV dry的成熟需求远远超出了我们的预期。其中一些将是我们客户的客户的恐慌订购。但它太大了，不能只是恐慌订购。<i>所以有一个潜在的趋势，我们真的没有完全理解。</i>（摘自ASML 21年第三季度收益看涨期权）<b>那么，ASML股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Much has been said about ASML's dominance in leading-edge EUV systems and how it will continue to entrench its leadership. But, it may be helpful for investors to remember that its mature nodes systems also drive the company's stock valuation.</p><p><blockquote>关于ASML在领先EUV系统领域的主导地位以及它将如何继续巩固其领导地位，已经说了很多。但是，投资者记住其成熟的节点系统也推动了公司的股票估值可能会有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> Mordor Intelligence estimates that the&nbsp;EUV market would grow by a CAGR of 15%&nbsp;from 2020 to 2026. Considering ASML's FY21 guidance of 35% YoY growth, ASML expects slower growth ahead even with the capacity ramp. Wennink also suggested that corrections cannot be ruled out, even though he emphasized that it's unlikely to happen soon. He mentioned (edited):</p><p><blockquote>Mordor Intelligence估计，从2020年到2026年，EUV市场将以15%的CAGR增长。考虑到ASML 2021财年同比增长35%的指导，ASML预计即使产能增加，未来增长也会放缓。温宁克还表示，不能排除调整的可能性，尽管他强调这不太可能很快发生。他提到（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p>   Yes. I mean, we have corrections.  <i>We have always seen corrections in our industry. I'm not going to say that they're not there</i>. But we have to look at some of the trends that we're also seeing. And we look at the announcement of the build-out of new capacity. Just refer to the US chip sector, EUR 52 billion, of which EUR 40 billion is for basically to support expansion of capacity. That's going to happen over the next couple of years. It will take 2 to 3 years. So when will this inevitable correction come, I don't think it's likely to come anywhere soon. (from ASML's FQ3'21 earnings call)  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc259fe73c80630f1e3482dab4712cca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML est. revenue mean consensus. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote>是的。我是说，我们有修正。<i>我们的行业总是会出现调整。我不会说他们不在那里</i>.但我们必须看看我们也看到的一些趋势。我们关注新产能建设的公告。以美国芯片行业为例，520亿欧元，其中400亿欧元主要用于支持产能扩张。这将在未来几年内发生。需要2到3年的时间。因此，这种不可避免的调整何时到来，我认为它不太可能很快到来。（摘自ASML 21年第三季度收益看涨期权）<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML东部时间。收入意味着共识。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We applaud management for having the confidence to issue long-term guidance of 11% CAGR from 2020 to 2030. Management also provided revenue visibility till FY25, as it expected revenue of between EUR 24B and EUR 30B. Consensus estimates point to revenue of EUR 28.5B, which is at the higher end of ASML's mid-term guidance. Therefore, consensus estimates imply a revenue CAGR of 11.1% over the next four years, aligning with ASML's long-term guidance. Notably, it's also in line with Mordor Intelligence's estimates from FY20. ASML is projected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 15.3% from FY20 to FY26. Hence, we are confident that the company's revenue guidance and the consensus estimates are well-aligned and credible.</p><p><blockquote>我们赞扬管理层有信心发布2020年至2030年复合年增长率11%的长期指导。管理层还提供了截至2025财年的收入可见性，预计收入在24B欧元至30B欧元之间。市场普遍估计收入为28.5 B欧元，处于ASML中期指导的高端。因此，普遍估计意味着未来四年收入复合年增长率为11.1%，与ASML的长期指导一致。值得注意的是，这也符合Mordor Intelligence对2020财年的估计。ASML预计从2020财年到26财年，其收入将以15.3%的复合年增长率增长。因此，我们相信该公司的收入指引和共识估计是一致且可信的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c022f15bd09540111ab4db82dcff88\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML EV/Fwd EBITDA valuation trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML EV/Fwd EBITDA估值趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67bc2b2d8f96dd007a5c727b7b0762c7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML股票EV/NTM EBITDA 3年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe the clear revenue runway ahead for ASML has given investors confidence to continue paying a premium for ASML stock. The stock is currently trading at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 35.3x, 31.2% above its 3Y mean of 26.9x.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，ASML未来清晰的收入跑道让投资者有信心继续为ASML股票支付溢价。该股目前的EV/NTM EBITDA为35.3倍，比3年平均水平26.9倍高出31.2%。</blockquote></p><p> However, ASML stock has found support whenever its NTM EBITDA multiple reached about 32.3x in 2021. The stock is trading at about 9.3% above this support level. Despite that, we are cautious about paying such a high premium for a stock where we consider at least two to three years of EBITDA growth could have been priced in.</p><p><blockquote>然而，当ASML股票在2021年NTM EBITDA倍数达到约32.3倍时，其股票就找到了支撑。该股目前的交易价格比该支撑位高出约9.3%。尽管如此，我们对为一只股票支付如此高的溢价持谨慎态度，因为我们认为至少两到三年的EBITDA增长可能已经被定价。</blockquote></p><p> There is little doubt that ASML stock is a high-quality stock with a clear revenue runway. But, we are careful about paying the current premium asked. Therefore, we encourage investors to wait for a deeper retracement for a safer entry point.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，ASML股票是一只拥有清晰收入跑道的优质股票。但是，我们对支付当前要求的保费很谨慎。因此，我们鼓励投资者等待更深的回撤，以获得更安全的入场点。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, we<i>rate ASML at Neutral for now</i>. But we may consider adding exposure if we observe a meaningful retracement.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们<i>目前将ASML评级为中性</i>.但如果我们观察到有意义的回撤，我们可能会考虑增加敞口。</blockquote></p><p> Written by&nbsp;JR Research</p><p><blockquote>作者：JR Research</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>ASML: It's A Leading Semiconductor Player, But Don't Buy Now<blockquote>ASML：它是领先的半导体公司，但现在不要购买</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nASML: It's A Leading Semiconductor Player, But Don't Buy Now<blockquote>ASML：它是领先的半导体公司，但现在不要购买</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-25 11:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>ASML is supplying the critical extreme ultraviolet lithography machines for the leading-edge foundries. It has no competitors in this market.</li>  <li>Investors have been willing to pay up for its dominance in this market.</li>  <li>However, its current valuation looks stretched, as growth is expected to slow.</li>  <li>We discuss why we think investors should wait for a deeper retracement first before considering adding exposure.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad6d47b090e53e0f884bb297357356fb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>ASML正在为领先的代工厂提供关键的极紫外光刻机。它在这个市场上没有竞争对手。</li><li>投资者愿意为其在这个市场的主导地位买单。</li><li>然而，由于增长预计将放缓，其目前的估值看起来过高。</li><li>我们讨论了为什么我们认为投资者应该先等待更深的回撤，然后再考虑增加敞口。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is one of the leading players in the wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) market. As the only player capable of manufacturing extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, ASML has no competitors in this category. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), and Intel (INTC) have to depend on ASML to supply these highly coveted and costly machines. In addition, the secular demand drivers underpinning the 5G ramp, IoT, autonomous vehicles, and high-performance computing will continue to benefit ASML EUV demand.</p><p><blockquote>ASML Holding N.V.(ASML)是晶圆制造设备(WFE)市场的领先企业之一。作为唯一有能力制造极紫外光（EUV）光刻机的玩家，ASML在这一类别中没有竞争对手。台积电(TSM)、三星(OTC：SSNLF)和英特尔(INTC)必须依靠ASML来供应这些令人垂涎且昂贵的机器。此外，支撑5G增长、物联网、自动驾驶汽车和高性能计算的长期需求驱动因素将继续有利于ASML EUV需求。</blockquote></p><p> ASML also telegraphed a backlog that amounted to EUR 19.6B in FQ3, including EUR 11.6B in EUV. Consequently, it has given them revenue visibility until early 2023, as the company continues to add capacity.</p><p><blockquote>ASML还表示，第三季度积压订单金额为19.6 B欧元，其中EUV订单为11.6 B欧元。因此，随着公司继续增加产能，这使他们能够在2023年初之前了解收入。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, we believe that a significant amount of growth premium has been baked into the stock's current valuation. It leaves little margin for error and would require ASML to execute immaculately. While we do not question management's ability to execute, we are also concerned about the potential or a correction due to excess capacity from 2023/24 onwards.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我们认为该股当前的估值中已经包含了大量的增长溢价。它几乎没有出错的余地，并且需要ASML完美地执行。虽然我们不质疑管理层的执行能力，但我们也担心2023/24年起产能过剩的可能性或调整。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ASML Stock YTD Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ASML股票年初至今表现</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/169b4c2f1ad5b898301963a7c316e12e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML stock YTD performance (as of 23 November 21).</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML股票年初至今表现（截至21年11月23日）。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It has been a fabulous year for ASML investors. The stock's momentum has been robust all year as it rode the secular drivers underpinning its industry. Moreover, given its dominance in EUV lithography, investors are willing to continue paying up to own its shares. As a result, ASML stock's YTD gain of 65.6% easily outperformed the Invesco QQQ ETF's (QQQ) YTD return of 26.7%. However, its WFE rival Applied Materials (AMAT) stock is slightly ahead with a YTD gain of 72.5%.</p><p><blockquote>对于ASML投资者来说，这是美妙的一年。该股全年势头强劲，因为它得益于支撑其行业的长期驱动力。此外，鉴于其在EUV光刻领域的主导地位，投资者愿意继续付费持有其股票。因此，ASML股票年初至今65.6%的涨幅轻松超过了景顺QQQ ETF(QQQ)年初至今26.7%的回报率。然而，其WFE竞争对手应用材料公司(AMAT)的股票以72.5%的年初至今涨幅略微领先。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Strong 2021 for ASML. What about its Prognosis Moving Forward?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ASML 2021年表现强劲。它的预后如何？</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2983887c701a83a264bdfae1302ba7c4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>SEMI 2021 mid-year total equipment forecast by segment. Source: SEMI</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>按细分市场划分的SEMI 2021年年中设备总量预测。来源：SEMI</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d62038d494d773331d57f45fb3bf07df\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML quarterly revenue &amp; YoY change. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML季度收入和同比变化。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> It has been a banner year for the semiconductor industry and the WFE market. SEMI estimated that WFE sales would increase by 33.5% YoY in 2021. ASML guided for its revenue to grow by 35% YoY in FY21. Given the company's solid performance in FQ1-FQ3 so far, we believe that ASML's guidance is highly credible. It's also well in line with the industry's forecasts, so it's highly reasonable as well. Despite the supply chain problems that ASML is facing, it still expects a robust FQ4, guiding for revenue of between EUR 4.9B to EUR 5.2B. CEO Peter Wennink emphasized (edited):</p><p><blockquote>对于半导体行业和WFE市场来说，这是辉煌的一年。SEMI预计2021年WFE销售额将同比增长33.5%。ASML预计2021财年收入同比增长35%。鉴于该公司迄今为止在FQ1-FQ3的稳健表现，我们认为ASML的指引可信度很高。这也非常符合行业的预测，因此也非常合理。尽管ASML面临供应链问题，但它仍然预计第四季度将表现强劲，预计收入在49亿欧元至52亿欧元之间。首席执行官Peter Wennink强调（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>We're seeing continued strong demand from our customers across all market segments</i>from both advanced and mature nodes, driving demand across our entire product portfolio. These end market trends are driving strong demand across all market segments and across our entire technology portfolio.  <i>Therefore, we continue to increase our capacity</i>for all of our products to meet customer capacity and technology requirements. (from ASML's FQ3'21 earnings call)  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e67ec84e5d14097765f5787d32fe192e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML share of revenue by technology. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><i>我们看到所有细分市场的客户需求持续强劲</i>来自先进和成熟的节点，推动我们整个产品组合的需求。这些终端市场趋势正在推动所有细分市场和我们整个技术组合的强劲需求。<i>因此，我们不断增加产能</i>使我们所有的产品都能满足客户的产能和技术要求。（摘自ASML 21年第三季度收益看涨期权）<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML按技术划分的收入份额。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3380359fecb47be9aa6ce3c11d93d88d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML sales count of EUV machines. Data source: Company filings</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML EUV机器的销售统计。数据来源：公司备案</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> EUV has driven sales for ASML tremendously over the last three years. We can easily glean from the growth cadence of the unit sales, and EUV's share of the revenue. In FQ3, EUV's share of revenue remains influential and consistent at 54%. In addition, its foundry customers have telegraphed their plans to increase CapEx intensity moving forward to support robust underlying demand. Therefore, we believe EUV's share of revenue will remain robust.</p><p><blockquote>过去三年，EUV极大地推动了ASML的销售。我们可以轻松地从单位销售额的增长节奏以及EUV在收入中的份额中收集信息。在第三季度，EUV的收入份额仍然具有影响力且稳定在54%。此外，其代工客户已表示计划提高资本支出强度，以支持强劲的潜在需求。因此，我们认为EUV的收入份额将保持强劲。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, it's also important to note that its DUV systems are critical in driving ASML's revenue. Hence, while the secular demand underpinning EUV's strength is commendable, the concern of overcapacity has been widely discussed along the mature nodes.</p><p><blockquote>然而，同样值得注意的是，其DUV系统对于推动ASML的收入至关重要。因此，虽然支撑EUV实力的长期需求值得称赞，但产能过剩的担忧已在成熟节点上得到广泛讨论。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC CEO C.C. Wei also discussed the possibility of an \"inventory correction\" moving forward. He articulated:</p><p><blockquote>台积电CEO C.C.魏还讨论了未来“库存调整”的可能性。他明确表示：</blockquote></p><p>   Let me say that while we do not rule out the possibility of an inventory correction, but we expect TSMC's capacity remain very tight in 2021 and throughout 2022. This is because of our technology leadership position. And even there's a correction to occur, we believe it could be less volatile for TSMC than previous downturn due to our underlying structural megatrend of 5G-related and HPC applications. (from TSMC's FQ3'21 earnings call)  Hence, TSM recognizes that the potential for excess capacity could affect the trailing nodes much more than leading nodes. However, TSM's CapEx is heavily focused on the leading-edge, as it accounted for 80% of its CapEx investments. Therefore, a potential downturn is less likely to hit the foundry leader significantly.</p><p><blockquote>我想说的是，虽然我们不排除库存调整的可能性，但我们预计台积电的产能在2021年和整个2022年仍然非常紧张。这是因为我们的技术领先地位。即使出现调整，我们相信，由于5G相关和HPC应用的潜在结构性大趋势，台积电的波动性也可能低于之前的低迷时期。（来自台积电21年第三季度收益看涨期权）因此，TSM认识到产能过剩的可能性对落后节点的影响可能比领先节点大得多。然而，TSM的资本支出主要集中在前沿，因为它占其资本支出投资的80%。因此，潜在的低迷不太可能对代工龙头造成重大打击。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, the problems could intensify in the automotive market. TSMC emphasized that it discovered that the automotive supply chain is very complex and challenging to grasp well. CEO C.C. Wei emphasized: \"Let me specifically point it out. The automotive supply chain actually is quite long and complex. It's more complicated than we initially thought.\"</p><p><blockquote>此外，汽车市场的问题可能会加剧。台积电强调，发现汽车供应链非常复杂，很难把握好。首席执行官C.C.魏强调：“让我特别指出一点。汽车供应链实际上是相当长和复杂的。它比我们最初想象的更复杂。”</blockquote></p><p> Even ASML had cautioned that it has also been unable to fully understand the bottlenecks in the supply chain. While the company has attempted its best to model and survey, it hasn't found a viable answer. In response to an analyst's question on the source of the supply bottlenecks, CEO Peter Wennink accentuated (edited):</p><p><blockquote>就连ASML也警告说，它也无法完全了解供应链中的瓶颈。虽然该公司已尽最大努力进行建模和调查，但尚未找到可行的答案。在回答分析师关于供应瓶颈来源的问题时，首席执行官Peter Wennink强调（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>So -- and the real answer is we don't know</i>. Because somehow we haven't been able to connect all the dots that actually are the underlying drivers for this demand. There's some rumors out there that the brokers and the distributors are stocking up all the inventory to drive up the prices. I know one thing that the demand for mature, for DUV dry has by far exceeded our expectations. Some of it will be panic ordering by the customers of our customers. But it's too big to just be panic ordering.  <i>So there is this underlying trend that we really don't understand fully.</i>(from ASML's FQ3'21 earnings call)  <b>So, is ASML Stock a Buy Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><i>所以，真正的答案是我们不知道</i>.因为不知何故，我们无法将实际上是这种需求的潜在驱动因素的所有点联系起来。有一些传言说经纪人和分销商正在囤积所有的库存来推高价格。我知道一件事，对DUV dry的成熟需求远远超出了我们的预期。其中一些将是我们客户的客户的恐慌订购。但它太大了，不能只是恐慌订购。<i>所以有一个潜在的趋势，我们真的没有完全理解。</i>（摘自ASML 21年第三季度收益看涨期权）<b>那么，ASML股票现在值得买入吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> Much has been said about ASML's dominance in leading-edge EUV systems and how it will continue to entrench its leadership. But, it may be helpful for investors to remember that its mature nodes systems also drive the company's stock valuation.</p><p><blockquote>关于ASML在领先EUV系统领域的主导地位以及它将如何继续巩固其领导地位，已经说了很多。但是，投资者记住其成熟的节点系统也推动了公司的股票估值可能会有所帮助。</blockquote></p><p> Mordor Intelligence estimates that the&nbsp;EUV market would grow by a CAGR of 15%&nbsp;from 2020 to 2026. Considering ASML's FY21 guidance of 35% YoY growth, ASML expects slower growth ahead even with the capacity ramp. Wennink also suggested that corrections cannot be ruled out, even though he emphasized that it's unlikely to happen soon. He mentioned (edited):</p><p><blockquote>Mordor Intelligence估计，从2020年到2026年，EUV市场将以15%的CAGR增长。考虑到ASML 2021财年同比增长35%的指导，ASML预计即使产能增加，未来增长也会放缓。温宁克还表示，不能排除调整的可能性，尽管他强调这不太可能很快发生。他提到（编辑）：</blockquote></p><p>   Yes. I mean, we have corrections.  <i>We have always seen corrections in our industry. I'm not going to say that they're not there</i>. But we have to look at some of the trends that we're also seeing. And we look at the announcement of the build-out of new capacity. Just refer to the US chip sector, EUR 52 billion, of which EUR 40 billion is for basically to support expansion of capacity. That's going to happen over the next couple of years. It will take 2 to 3 years. So when will this inevitable correction come, I don't think it's likely to come anywhere soon. (from ASML's FQ3'21 earnings call)  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc259fe73c80630f1e3482dab4712cca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML est. revenue mean consensus. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote>是的。我是说，我们有修正。<i>我们的行业总是会出现调整。我不会说他们不在那里</i>.但我们必须看看我们也看到的一些趋势。我们关注新产能建设的公告。以美国芯片行业为例，520亿欧元，其中400亿欧元主要用于支持产能扩张。这将在未来几年内发生。需要2到3年的时间。因此，这种不可避免的调整何时到来，我认为它不太可能很快到来。（摘自ASML 21年第三季度收益看涨期权）<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML东部时间。收入意味着共识。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> We applaud management for having the confidence to issue long-term guidance of 11% CAGR from 2020 to 2030. Management also provided revenue visibility till FY25, as it expected revenue of between EUR 24B and EUR 30B. Consensus estimates point to revenue of EUR 28.5B, which is at the higher end of ASML's mid-term guidance. Therefore, consensus estimates imply a revenue CAGR of 11.1% over the next four years, aligning with ASML's long-term guidance. Notably, it's also in line with Mordor Intelligence's estimates from FY20. ASML is projected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 15.3% from FY20 to FY26. Hence, we are confident that the company's revenue guidance and the consensus estimates are well-aligned and credible.</p><p><blockquote>我们赞扬管理层有信心发布2020年至2030年复合年增长率11%的长期指导。管理层还提供了截至2025财年的收入可见性，预计收入在24B欧元至30B欧元之间。市场普遍估计收入为28.5 B欧元，处于ASML中期指导的高端。因此，普遍估计意味着未来四年收入复合年增长率为11.1%，与ASML的长期指导一致。值得注意的是，这也符合Mordor Intelligence对2020财年的估计。ASML预计从2020财年到26财年，其收入将以15.3%的复合年增长率增长。因此，我们相信该公司的收入指引和共识估计是一致且可信的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44c022f15bd09540111ab4db82dcff88\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML EV/Fwd EBITDA valuation trend. Data source: S&amp;P Capital IQ</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML EV/Fwd EBITDA估值趋势。数据来源：标普资本智商</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67bc2b2d8f96dd007a5c727b7b0762c7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"384\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ASML stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ASML股票EV/NTM EBITDA 3年平均值。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> We believe the clear revenue runway ahead for ASML has given investors confidence to continue paying a premium for ASML stock. The stock is currently trading at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 35.3x, 31.2% above its 3Y mean of 26.9x.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为，ASML未来清晰的收入跑道让投资者有信心继续为ASML股票支付溢价。该股目前的EV/NTM EBITDA为35.3倍，比3年平均水平26.9倍高出31.2%。</blockquote></p><p> However, ASML stock has found support whenever its NTM EBITDA multiple reached about 32.3x in 2021. The stock is trading at about 9.3% above this support level. Despite that, we are cautious about paying such a high premium for a stock where we consider at least two to three years of EBITDA growth could have been priced in.</p><p><blockquote>然而，当ASML股票在2021年NTM EBITDA倍数达到约32.3倍时，其股票就找到了支撑。该股目前的交易价格比该支撑位高出约9.3%。尽管如此，我们对为一只股票支付如此高的溢价持谨慎态度，因为我们认为至少两到三年的EBITDA增长可能已经被定价。</blockquote></p><p> There is little doubt that ASML stock is a high-quality stock with a clear revenue runway. But, we are careful about paying the current premium asked. Therefore, we encourage investors to wait for a deeper retracement for a safer entry point.</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，ASML股票是一只拥有清晰收入跑道的优质股票。但是，我们对支付当前要求的保费很谨慎。因此，我们鼓励投资者等待更深的回撤，以获得更安全的入场点。</blockquote></p><p> Consequently, we<i>rate ASML at Neutral for now</i>. But we may consider adding exposure if we observe a meaningful retracement.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们<i>目前将ASML评级为中性</i>.但如果我们观察到有意义的回撤，我们可能会考虑增加敞口。</blockquote></p><p> Written by&nbsp;JR Research</p><p><blockquote>作者：JR Research</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4471867-asml-stock-leading-semiconductor-player-valuation-looks-stretched\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4471867-asml-stock-leading-semiconductor-player-valuation-looks-stretched","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183200074","content_text":"Summary\n\nASML is supplying the critical extreme ultraviolet lithography machines for the leading-edge foundries. It has no competitors in this market.\nInvestors have been willing to pay up for its dominance in this market.\nHowever, its current valuation looks stretched, as growth is expected to slow.\nWe discuss why we think investors should wait for a deeper retracement first before considering adding exposure.\n\nSundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nInvestment Thesis\nASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is one of the leading players in the wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) market. As the only player capable of manufacturing extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, ASML has no competitors in this category. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), Samsung (OTC:SSNLF), and Intel (INTC) have to depend on ASML to supply these highly coveted and costly machines. In addition, the secular demand drivers underpinning the 5G ramp, IoT, autonomous vehicles, and high-performance computing will continue to benefit ASML EUV demand.\nASML also telegraphed a backlog that amounted to EUR 19.6B in FQ3, including EUR 11.6B in EUV. Consequently, it has given them revenue visibility until early 2023, as the company continues to add capacity.\nNevertheless, we believe that a significant amount of growth premium has been baked into the stock's current valuation. It leaves little margin for error and would require ASML to execute immaculately. While we do not question management's ability to execute, we are also concerned about the potential or a correction due to excess capacity from 2023/24 onwards.\nASML Stock YTD Performance\nASML stock YTD performance (as of 23 November 21).\nIt has been a fabulous year for ASML investors. The stock's momentum has been robust all year as it rode the secular drivers underpinning its industry. Moreover, given its dominance in EUV lithography, investors are willing to continue paying up to own its shares. As a result, ASML stock's YTD gain of 65.6% easily outperformed the Invesco QQQ ETF's (QQQ) YTD return of 26.7%. However, its WFE rival Applied Materials (AMAT) stock is slightly ahead with a YTD gain of 72.5%.\nA Strong 2021 for ASML. What about its Prognosis Moving Forward?\nSEMI 2021 mid-year total equipment forecast by segment. Source: SEMI\nASML quarterly revenue & YoY change. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nIt has been a banner year for the semiconductor industry and the WFE market. SEMI estimated that WFE sales would increase by 33.5% YoY in 2021. ASML guided for its revenue to grow by 35% YoY in FY21. Given the company's solid performance in FQ1-FQ3 so far, we believe that ASML's guidance is highly credible. It's also well in line with the industry's forecasts, so it's highly reasonable as well. Despite the supply chain problems that ASML is facing, it still expects a robust FQ4, guiding for revenue of between EUR 4.9B to EUR 5.2B. CEO Peter Wennink emphasized (edited):\n\nWe're seeing continued strong demand from our customers across all market segmentsfrom both advanced and mature nodes, driving demand across our entire product portfolio. These end market trends are driving strong demand across all market segments and across our entire technology portfolio.\n Therefore, we continue to increase our capacityfor all of our products to meet customer capacity and technology requirements. (from ASML's FQ3'21 earnings call)\n\nASML share of revenue by technology. Data source: Company filings\nASML sales count of EUV machines. Data source: Company filings\nEUV has driven sales for ASML tremendously over the last three years. We can easily glean from the growth cadence of the unit sales, and EUV's share of the revenue. In FQ3, EUV's share of revenue remains influential and consistent at 54%. In addition, its foundry customers have telegraphed their plans to increase CapEx intensity moving forward to support robust underlying demand. Therefore, we believe EUV's share of revenue will remain robust.\nNevertheless, it's also important to note that its DUV systems are critical in driving ASML's revenue. Hence, while the secular demand underpinning EUV's strength is commendable, the concern of overcapacity has been widely discussed along the mature nodes.\nTSMC CEO C.C. Wei also discussed the possibility of an \"inventory correction\" moving forward. He articulated:\n\n Let me say that while we do not rule out the possibility of an inventory correction, but we expect TSMC's capacity remain very tight in 2021 and throughout 2022. This is because of our technology leadership position. And even there's a correction to occur, we believe it could be less volatile for TSMC than previous downturn due to our underlying structural megatrend of 5G-related and HPC applications. (from TSMC's FQ3'21 earnings call)\n\nHence, TSM recognizes that the potential for excess capacity could affect the trailing nodes much more than leading nodes. However, TSM's CapEx is heavily focused on the leading-edge, as it accounted for 80% of its CapEx investments. Therefore, a potential downturn is less likely to hit the foundry leader significantly.\nIn addition, the problems could intensify in the automotive market. TSMC emphasized that it discovered that the automotive supply chain is very complex and challenging to grasp well. CEO C.C. Wei emphasized: \"Let me specifically point it out. The automotive supply chain actually is quite long and complex. It's more complicated than we initially thought.\"\nEven ASML had cautioned that it has also been unable to fully understand the bottlenecks in the supply chain. While the company has attempted its best to model and survey, it hasn't found a viable answer. In response to an analyst's question on the source of the supply bottlenecks, CEO Peter Wennink accentuated (edited):\n\nSo -- and the real answer is we don't know. Because somehow we haven't been able to connect all the dots that actually are the underlying drivers for this demand. There's some rumors out there that the brokers and the distributors are stocking up all the inventory to drive up the prices. I know one thing that the demand for mature, for DUV dry has by far exceeded our expectations. Some of it will be panic ordering by the customers of our customers. But it's too big to just be panic ordering.\n So there is this underlying trend that we really don't understand fully.(from ASML's FQ3'21 earnings call)\n\nSo, is ASML Stock a Buy Now?\nMuch has been said about ASML's dominance in leading-edge EUV systems and how it will continue to entrench its leadership. But, it may be helpful for investors to remember that its mature nodes systems also drive the company's stock valuation.\nMordor Intelligence estimates that the EUV market would grow by a CAGR of 15% from 2020 to 2026. Considering ASML's FY21 guidance of 35% YoY growth, ASML expects slower growth ahead even with the capacity ramp. Wennink also suggested that corrections cannot be ruled out, even though he emphasized that it's unlikely to happen soon. He mentioned (edited):\n\n Yes. I mean, we have corrections.\n We have always seen corrections in our industry. I'm not going to say that they're not there. But we have to look at some of the trends that we're also seeing. And we look at the announcement of the build-out of new capacity. Just refer to the US chip sector, EUR 52 billion, of which EUR 40 billion is for basically to support expansion of capacity. That's going to happen over the next couple of years. It will take 2 to 3 years. So when will this inevitable correction come, I don't think it's likely to come anywhere soon. (from ASML's FQ3'21 earnings call)\n\nASML est. revenue mean consensus. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nWe applaud management for having the confidence to issue long-term guidance of 11% CAGR from 2020 to 2030. Management also provided revenue visibility till FY25, as it expected revenue of between EUR 24B and EUR 30B. Consensus estimates point to revenue of EUR 28.5B, which is at the higher end of ASML's mid-term guidance. Therefore, consensus estimates imply a revenue CAGR of 11.1% over the next four years, aligning with ASML's long-term guidance. Notably, it's also in line with Mordor Intelligence's estimates from FY20. ASML is projected to grow its revenue at a CAGR of 15.3% from FY20 to FY26. Hence, we are confident that the company's revenue guidance and the consensus estimates are well-aligned and credible.\nASML EV/Fwd EBITDA valuation trend. Data source: S&P Capital IQ\nASML stock EV/NTM EBITDA 3Y mean.\nWe believe the clear revenue runway ahead for ASML has given investors confidence to continue paying a premium for ASML stock. The stock is currently trading at an EV/NTM EBITDA of 35.3x, 31.2% above its 3Y mean of 26.9x.\nHowever, ASML stock has found support whenever its NTM EBITDA multiple reached about 32.3x in 2021. The stock is trading at about 9.3% above this support level. Despite that, we are cautious about paying such a high premium for a stock where we consider at least two to three years of EBITDA growth could have been priced in.\nThere is little doubt that ASML stock is a high-quality stock with a clear revenue runway. But, we are careful about paying the current premium asked. Therefore, we encourage investors to wait for a deeper retracement for a safer entry point.\nConsequently, werate ASML at Neutral for now. But we may consider adding exposure if we observe a meaningful retracement.\nWritten by JR Research","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853891602,"gmtCreate":1634785614466,"gmtModify":1634785717724,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853891602","repostId":"1197031747","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825028973,"gmtCreate":1634180091046,"gmtModify":1634180091202,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825028973","repostId":"2175129162","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823464131,"gmtCreate":1633655542232,"gmtModify":1633655542602,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823464131","repostId":"2173594243","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823849937,"gmtCreate":1633614511125,"gmtModify":1633614511522,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823849937","repostId":"1140731116","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140731116","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633590877,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140731116?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-07 15:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 4 catalysts that could drive Amazon 29% higher in the next year, according to JPMorgan<blockquote>摩根大通表示，这4个催化剂可能推动亚马逊明年上涨29%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140731116","media":"Business Insider","summary":"Amazon stock's recent underperformance relative to the S&P 500 over the past year could soon be reve","content":"<p><ul>  <li><b>Amazon stock's recent underperformance relative to the S&amp;P 500 over the past year could soon be reversed, according to JPMorgan.</b></li>  <li><b>The bank reiterated its Overweight rating and $4,100 price target for Amazon, a potential upside of 29% from Monday's close.</b></li>  <li><b>These are the 4 catalysts that could send shares of Amazon higher over the next year.</b></li> </ul> Amazon&nbsp;stock has been a significant underperformer for investors over the past year, but that trend could be set to change on four key catalysts,JPMorgan&nbsp;said in a note on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>摩根大通表示，过去一年亚马逊股票相对于标普500表现不佳的情况可能很快就会扭转。</b></li><li><b>该行重申了对亚马逊的跑赢大盘评级和4,100美元的目标价，较周一收盘价潜在上涨29%。</b></li><li><b>这是可能推动亚马逊股价在明年走高的4个催化剂。</b></li></ul>摩根大通周二在一份报告中表示，过去一年，亚马逊股票对投资者来说表现明显不佳，但由于四个关键催化剂，这一趋势可能会发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> The bank reiterated its overweight rating on Amazon and said the stock could surge to $4,100 over the next year, representing potential upside of 29% from Monday's close.</p><p><blockquote>该行重申了对亚马逊的跑赢大盘评级，并表示该股明年可能飙升至4,100美元，较周一收盘价有29%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> That would help turn around Amazon's stock price, which returned just 4% over the past year, compared a return of 29% for the S&amp;P 500 over the same time period.</p><p><blockquote>这将有助于扭转亚马逊的股价，亚马逊过去一年的回报率仅为4%，而标普500同期的回报率为29%。</blockquote></p><p> But the stock faces a few hurdles it needs to overcome with investors before the uptrend can resume, according to the note.</p><p><blockquote>但报告称，在恢复上升趋势之前，该股需要与投资者一起克服一些障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Those hurdles include a year-end revenue decline due to tough year-over-year comparables and a broader e-commerce slowdown in the US, the impact on inventory from supply-chain disruptions, and an ongoing cycle of higher investments and lower profit margins.</p><p><blockquote>这些障碍包括由于严峻的同比可比数据和美国更广泛的电子商务放缓而导致的年终收入下降、供应链中断对库存的影响，以及投资增加和利润率下降的持续循环。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the near-term concerns and uncertainty surrounding Amazon, JPMorgan believes \"there is still a significant secular shift toward ecommerce ahead and Amazon has a very strong track record around investing into growth opportunities.\"</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚马逊近期存在担忧和不确定性，但摩根大通认为，“未来仍会有向电子商务的重大长期转变，而且亚马逊在投资增长机会方面拥有非常良好的记录。”</blockquote></p><p> These are the four catalysts JPMorgan identified that could help jumpstart share price performance for Amazon:</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通确定了四个可能有助于提振亚马逊股价表现的催化剂：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>\"Current caution working its way through the stock and people wanting to own Amazon into the holidays.\"</li>  <li>\"Moving closer to the last quarter of difficult COVID comps in the first quarter of 2022.\"</li>  <li>\"Further downward revisions to 2022 profit estimates that would help lower the bar and potentially create more of a clearing event.\"</li>  <li>\"A potential Prime price increase in 2022.\"</li> </ol> The bank highlighted that Amazon now trades at less than 15x its below-consensus 2023 EBITDA estimates, and derived its $4,100 2022 price target from a sum-of-the-parts model that values Amazon Web Services at nearly $800 billion.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li>“目前该股的谨慎情绪正在蔓延，人们希望在假期期间持有亚马逊。”</li><li>“2022年第一季度，新冠疫情困难的最后一个季度即将到来。”</li><li>“进一步下调2022年利润预期将有助于降低门槛，并可能引发更多清算事件。”</li><li>“2022年黄金价格可能上涨。”</li></ol>该行强调，亚马逊目前的交易价格不到低于市场普遍预期的2023年EBITDA预期的15倍，并根据部分总和模型得出2022年4,100美元的目标价，该模型对亚马逊网络服务的估值接近8000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe the second half of 2021 dislocation [in Amazon shares] creates a compelling opportunity over time,\" JPMorgan concluded.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通总结道：“我们相信，随着时间的推移，2021年下半年（亚马逊股价）的混乱创造了一个令人信服的机会。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 4 catalysts that could drive Amazon 29% higher in the next year, according to JPMorgan<blockquote>摩根大通表示，这4个催化剂可能推动亚马逊明年上涨29%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 4 catalysts that could drive Amazon 29% higher in the next year, according to JPMorgan<blockquote>摩根大通表示，这4个催化剂可能推动亚马逊明年上涨29%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Business Insider</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-07 15:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li><b>Amazon stock's recent underperformance relative to the S&amp;P 500 over the past year could soon be reversed, according to JPMorgan.</b></li>  <li><b>The bank reiterated its Overweight rating and $4,100 price target for Amazon, a potential upside of 29% from Monday's close.</b></li>  <li><b>These are the 4 catalysts that could send shares of Amazon higher over the next year.</b></li> </ul> Amazon&nbsp;stock has been a significant underperformer for investors over the past year, but that trend could be set to change on four key catalysts,JPMorgan&nbsp;said in a note on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>摩根大通表示，过去一年亚马逊股票相对于标普500表现不佳的情况可能很快就会扭转。</b></li><li><b>该行重申了对亚马逊的跑赢大盘评级和4,100美元的目标价，较周一收盘价潜在上涨29%。</b></li><li><b>这是可能推动亚马逊股价在明年走高的4个催化剂。</b></li></ul>摩根大通周二在一份报告中表示，过去一年，亚马逊股票对投资者来说表现明显不佳，但由于四个关键催化剂，这一趋势可能会发生变化。</blockquote></p><p> The bank reiterated its overweight rating on Amazon and said the stock could surge to $4,100 over the next year, representing potential upside of 29% from Monday's close.</p><p><blockquote>该行重申了对亚马逊的跑赢大盘评级，并表示该股明年可能飙升至4,100美元，较周一收盘价有29%的潜在上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> That would help turn around Amazon's stock price, which returned just 4% over the past year, compared a return of 29% for the S&amp;P 500 over the same time period.</p><p><blockquote>这将有助于扭转亚马逊的股价，亚马逊过去一年的回报率仅为4%，而标普500同期的回报率为29%。</blockquote></p><p> But the stock faces a few hurdles it needs to overcome with investors before the uptrend can resume, according to the note.</p><p><blockquote>但报告称，在恢复上升趋势之前，该股需要与投资者一起克服一些障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Those hurdles include a year-end revenue decline due to tough year-over-year comparables and a broader e-commerce slowdown in the US, the impact on inventory from supply-chain disruptions, and an ongoing cycle of higher investments and lower profit margins.</p><p><blockquote>这些障碍包括由于严峻的同比可比数据和美国更广泛的电子商务放缓而导致的年终收入下降、供应链中断对库存的影响，以及投资增加和利润率下降的持续循环。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the near-term concerns and uncertainty surrounding Amazon, JPMorgan believes \"there is still a significant secular shift toward ecommerce ahead and Amazon has a very strong track record around investing into growth opportunities.\"</p><p><blockquote>尽管亚马逊近期存在担忧和不确定性，但摩根大通认为，“未来仍会有向电子商务的重大长期转变，而且亚马逊在投资增长机会方面拥有非常良好的记录。”</blockquote></p><p> These are the four catalysts JPMorgan identified that could help jumpstart share price performance for Amazon:</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通确定了四个可能有助于提振亚马逊股价表现的催化剂：</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>\"Current caution working its way through the stock and people wanting to own Amazon into the holidays.\"</li>  <li>\"Moving closer to the last quarter of difficult COVID comps in the first quarter of 2022.\"</li>  <li>\"Further downward revisions to 2022 profit estimates that would help lower the bar and potentially create more of a clearing event.\"</li>  <li>\"A potential Prime price increase in 2022.\"</li> </ol> The bank highlighted that Amazon now trades at less than 15x its below-consensus 2023 EBITDA estimates, and derived its $4,100 2022 price target from a sum-of-the-parts model that values Amazon Web Services at nearly $800 billion.</p><p><blockquote><ol><li>“目前该股的谨慎情绪正在蔓延，人们希望在假期期间持有亚马逊。”</li><li>“2022年第一季度，新冠疫情困难的最后一个季度即将到来。”</li><li>“进一步下调2022年利润预期将有助于降低门槛，并可能引发更多清算事件。”</li><li>“2022年黄金价格可能上涨。”</li></ol>该行强调，亚马逊目前的交易价格不到低于市场普遍预期的2023年EBITDA预期的15倍，并根据部分总和模型得出2022年4,100美元的目标价，该模型对亚马逊网络服务的估值接近8000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe the second half of 2021 dislocation [in Amazon shares] creates a compelling opportunity over time,\" JPMorgan concluded.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通总结道：“我们相信，随着时间的推移，2021年下半年（亚马逊股价）的混乱创造了一个令人信服的机会。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/amazon-stock-price-outlook-4-catalysts-higher-jpmorgan-says-2021-10\">Business Insider</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/amazon-stock-price-outlook-4-catalysts-higher-jpmorgan-says-2021-10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140731116","content_text":"Amazon stock's recent underperformance relative to the S&P 500 over the past year could soon be reversed, according to JPMorgan.\nThe bank reiterated its Overweight rating and $4,100 price target for Amazon, a potential upside of 29% from Monday's close.\nThese are the 4 catalysts that could send shares of Amazon higher over the next year.\n\nAmazon stock has been a significant underperformer for investors over the past year, but that trend could be set to change on four key catalysts,JPMorgan said in a note on Tuesday.\nThe bank reiterated its overweight rating on Amazon and said the stock could surge to $4,100 over the next year, representing potential upside of 29% from Monday's close.\nThat would help turn around Amazon's stock price, which returned just 4% over the past year, compared a return of 29% for the S&P 500 over the same time period.\nBut the stock faces a few hurdles it needs to overcome with investors before the uptrend can resume, according to the note.\nThose hurdles include a year-end revenue decline due to tough year-over-year comparables and a broader e-commerce slowdown in the US, the impact on inventory from supply-chain disruptions, and an ongoing cycle of higher investments and lower profit margins.\nDespite the near-term concerns and uncertainty surrounding Amazon, JPMorgan believes \"there is still a significant secular shift toward ecommerce ahead and Amazon has a very strong track record around investing into growth opportunities.\"\nThese are the four catalysts JPMorgan identified that could help jumpstart share price performance for Amazon:\n\n\"Current caution working its way through the stock and people wanting to own Amazon into the holidays.\"\n\"Moving closer to the last quarter of difficult COVID comps in the first quarter of 2022.\"\n\"Further downward revisions to 2022 profit estimates that would help lower the bar and potentially create more of a clearing event.\"\n\"A potential Prime price increase in 2022.\"\n\nThe bank highlighted that Amazon now trades at less than 15x its below-consensus 2023 EBITDA estimates, and derived its $4,100 2022 price target from a sum-of-the-parts model that values Amazon Web Services at nearly $800 billion.\n\"We believe the second half of 2021 dislocation [in Amazon shares] creates a compelling opportunity over time,\" JPMorgan concluded.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":863171959,"gmtCreate":1632368427871,"gmtModify":1632800857672,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863171959","repostId":"2169663363","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860483120,"gmtCreate":1632198096260,"gmtModify":1632802117059,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860483120","repostId":"1112190200","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1576,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883255781,"gmtCreate":1631247608643,"gmtModify":1631891684249,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good sign","listText":"Good sign","text":"Good sign","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883255781","repostId":"1181413594","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817570438,"gmtCreate":1630977687524,"gmtModify":1631891684257,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817570438","repostId":"2165841143","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815112845,"gmtCreate":1630655233587,"gmtModify":1631891684257,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815112845","repostId":"1137593739","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2123,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":813374819,"gmtCreate":1630141527131,"gmtModify":1704956503300,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/813374819","repostId":"2162317078","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2162317078","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1630096837,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2162317078?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-28 04:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Affirm, Amazon partner to enable pay-over-time feature<blockquote>Affirm与亚马逊合作启用按时间付费功能</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162317078","media":"Reuters","summary":"Aug 27 (Reuters) - Affirm Holdings Inc    is partnering with e-commerce giant Amazon.com Inc    to l","content":"<p><html><body>Aug 27 (Reuters) - Affirm Holdings Inc    is partnering with e-commerce giant Amazon.com Inc    to let shoppers make payments over time, the buy now, pay later firm said on Friday. </p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透8月27日-Affirm Holdings Inc周五表示，该公司正在与电子商务巨头亚马逊公司合作，让购物者随着时间的推移进行付款。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   Select Amazon customers will be able to split the total cost of purchases of $50 or more into simple monthly payments by using Affirm, the San Francisco-based company said.  </p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于旧金山的亚马逊公司表示，部分亚马逊客户将能够通过使用Affirm将50美元或以上的购买总成本分成简单的每月付款。</blockquote></p><p>   Affirm shares jumped 30% in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm股价在盘后交易中上涨30%。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Eva Mathews in Bengaluru; Editing by Aditya Soni)</p><p><blockquote>（Eva Mathews班加罗尔报道；Aditya Soni编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Eva.Mathews@thomsonreuters.com;))</p><p><blockquote>（（Eva.Mathews@thomsonreuters.com；））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Affirm, Amazon partner to enable pay-over-time feature<blockquote>Affirm与亚马逊合作启用按时间付费功能</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAffirm, Amazon partner to enable pay-over-time feature<blockquote>Affirm与亚马逊合作启用按时间付费功能</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-28 04:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>Aug 27 (Reuters) - Affirm Holdings Inc    is partnering with e-commerce giant Amazon.com Inc    to let shoppers make payments over time, the buy now, pay later firm said on Friday. </p><p><blockquote><html><body>路透8月27日-Affirm Holdings Inc周五表示，该公司正在与电子商务巨头亚马逊公司合作，让购物者随着时间的推移进行付款。</body></html></blockquote></p><p>   Select Amazon customers will be able to split the total cost of purchases of $50 or more into simple monthly payments by using Affirm, the San Francisco-based company said.  </p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于旧金山的亚马逊公司表示，部分亚马逊客户将能够通过使用Affirm将50美元或以上的购买总成本分成简单的每月付款。</blockquote></p><p>   Affirm shares jumped 30% in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>Affirm股价在盘后交易中上涨30%。</blockquote></p><p> (Reporting by Eva Mathews in Bengaluru; Editing by Aditya Soni)</p><p><blockquote>（Eva Mathews班加罗尔报道；Aditya Soni编辑）</blockquote></p><p>((Eva.Mathews@thomsonreuters.com;))</p><p><blockquote>（（Eva.Mathews@thomsonreuters.com；））</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AFRM":"Affirm Holdings, Inc.","AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"http://api.rkd.refinitiv.com/api/News/News.svc/REST/News_1/RetrieveStoryML_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2162317078","content_text":"Aug 27 (Reuters) - Affirm Holdings Inc    is partnering with e-commerce giant Amazon.com Inc    to let shoppers make payments over time, the buy now, pay later firm said on Friday.    Select Amazon customers will be able to split the total cost of purchases of $50 or more into simple monthly payments by using Affirm, the San Francisco-based company said.     Affirm shares jumped 30% in extended trading. (Reporting by Eva Mathews in Bengaluru; Editing by Aditya Soni)((Eva.Mathews@thomsonreuters.com;))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AFRM":0.9,"AMZN":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":781,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837196556,"gmtCreate":1629862081475,"gmtModify":1631891684262,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837196556","repostId":"1175100430","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":801,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832124176,"gmtCreate":1629599863395,"gmtModify":1631891684266,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Been hearing this for some time, and&nbsp;still counting…","listText":"Been hearing this for some time, and&nbsp;still counting…","text":"Been hearing this for some time, and still counting…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832124176","repostId":"1121592968","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891688474,"gmtCreate":1628386575698,"gmtModify":1631891684269,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891688474","repostId":"2157432677","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":709,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890712353,"gmtCreate":1628133645572,"gmtModify":1631891684274,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What is the fair valuation?","listText":"What is the fair valuation?","text":"What is the fair valuation?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890712353","repostId":"1132789984","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132789984","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628132627,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132789984?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 11:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132789984","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGrab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wan","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Grab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.</li>  <li>The company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.</li>  <li>It is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.</li>  <li>Economic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed14131a10fe9b0fe4ffdc2d166eedfc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Grab将于今年年底与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.合并。想要投资该公司的投资者现在可以通过购买SPAC股票来实现。</li><li>该公司的估值约为450亿美元，我们认为这太慷慨了。</li><li>鉴于它是东南亚最大的超级应用程序，并且提供多种服务，它仍然值得一看。</li><li>东南亚的经济增长预计将强劲，预计年增长率为4.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Grab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚排名第一的超级应用程序，不熟悉它的投资者可以认为它是Uber与银行应用程序的合并。其服务包括移动、包裹递送、食品递送和金融服务。该公司仍然是私营公司，但计划在今年年底前与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC)合并。</blockquote></p><p> So what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是超级app呢？Grab设想客户可以使用该应用程序满足许多日常需求，从叫车到订餐，甚至预订酒店。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053fd9283dc37b6e74500543dc4cda48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长，2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易，其调整后净收入达到16亿美元，使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模，2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元，移动出行GMV为32亿美元，金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长，2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易，其调整后净收入达到16亿美元，使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模，2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元，移动出行GMV为32亿美元，金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c22a14f058c5206c6f97c9ee6555c40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cohort Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>队列分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.</p><p><blockquote>看看不同的用户群体，很明显，他们安装应用程序的时间越长，他们在上面的交易就越多。三年后，用户的交易量大约翻了一番，到第五年，他们的交易量增加了两倍多。这说明了该应用程序的巨大粘性，也反映了用户对它的高度满意度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b1048371138429abea215d9d0f75b78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.</p><p><blockquote>Grab更令人兴奋的事情之一是它在多少个国家开展业务，以及它在每个国家提供的服务数量。下面的幻灯片显示了Grab在每个市场提供的服务。</blockquote></p><p> While users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.</p><p><blockquote>虽然用户最初使用该应用程序是为了送餐和乘车，但我们相信真正为公司带来盈利增长的将是金融服务。像贷款、小额信贷和保险产品这样的东西应该会给公司带来盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> According to the OECD,GDP for the region&nbsp;is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.</p><p><blockquote>根据经合组织的数据，该地区的国内生产总值预计在2020-2024年期间每年增长4.9%，略低于2013-2017年5%的平均增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b094b954a6ff2a9be4fc65c073208521\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Turning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.</p><p><blockquote>将注意力转向财务状况，我们发现该公司预计要到2023年才能实现EBITDA盈利，届时预计将达到5亿美元。这使得该公司2023年的EV/EBITDA倍数约为60倍，考虑到财务预测和风险水平的不确定性，我们认为这一倍数过高。我们知道一些投资者对该公司将实现运营杠杆并将继续增长多年充满信心，但即便如此，考虑到未来业绩的不确定性，我们认为估值过于苛刻。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b52eab933ed612ab245e32a04c21a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为投资Grab的主要风险是支付过高的股票费用。虽然该公司的应用程序在东南亚无处不在，但目前的估值已经体现了显着的增长和盈利能力的提高。换句话说，它的定价是为了完美。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly&nbsp;Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>还有竞争问题，几家资金雄厚的公司将争夺市场份额并削弱盈利能力。其中包括一些市场的优步，但主要是印度尼西亚的GoTo，该公司由拼车公司Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> We find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>我们发现该公司令人兴奋，并将继续关注其进展，但目前我们不是股票的买家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Grab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The&nbsp;company keeps&nbsp;growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是目前最令人兴奋的公司之一，为东南亚的经济增长提供了广泛的机会。该公司不断发展并为其应用程序添加服务，同时赢得用户并接近盈利。</blockquote></p><p> The one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们投资该公司的一个问题是，按照目前的价格，大部分增长已经被消化了。除非该公司设法超出预期，否则我们不认为投资者在这个价格下如何获得良好的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 11:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Grab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.</li>  <li>The company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.</li>  <li>It is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.</li>  <li>Economic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed14131a10fe9b0fe4ffdc2d166eedfc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Grab将于今年年底与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.合并。想要投资该公司的投资者现在可以通过购买SPAC股票来实现。</li><li>该公司的估值约为450亿美元，我们认为这太慷慨了。</li><li>鉴于它是东南亚最大的超级应用程序，并且提供多种服务，它仍然值得一看。</li><li>东南亚的经济增长预计将强劲，预计年增长率为4.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Grab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚排名第一的超级应用程序，不熟悉它的投资者可以认为它是Uber与银行应用程序的合并。其服务包括移动、包裹递送、食品递送和金融服务。该公司仍然是私营公司，但计划在今年年底前与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC)合并。</blockquote></p><p> So what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是超级app呢？Grab设想客户可以使用该应用程序满足许多日常需求，从叫车到订餐，甚至预订酒店。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053fd9283dc37b6e74500543dc4cda48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长，2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易，其调整后净收入达到16亿美元，使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模，2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元，移动出行GMV为32亿美元，金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长，2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易，其调整后净收入达到16亿美元，使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模，2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元，移动出行GMV为32亿美元，金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c22a14f058c5206c6f97c9ee6555c40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cohort Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>队列分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.</p><p><blockquote>看看不同的用户群体，很明显，他们安装应用程序的时间越长，他们在上面的交易就越多。三年后，用户的交易量大约翻了一番，到第五年，他们的交易量增加了两倍多。这说明了该应用程序的巨大粘性，也反映了用户对它的高度满意度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b1048371138429abea215d9d0f75b78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.</p><p><blockquote>Grab更令人兴奋的事情之一是它在多少个国家开展业务，以及它在每个国家提供的服务数量。下面的幻灯片显示了Grab在每个市场提供的服务。</blockquote></p><p> While users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.</p><p><blockquote>虽然用户最初使用该应用程序是为了送餐和乘车，但我们相信真正为公司带来盈利增长的将是金融服务。像贷款、小额信贷和保险产品这样的东西应该会给公司带来盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> According to the OECD,GDP for the region&nbsp;is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.</p><p><blockquote>根据经合组织的数据，该地区的国内生产总值预计在2020-2024年期间每年增长4.9%，略低于2013-2017年5%的平均增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b094b954a6ff2a9be4fc65c073208521\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Turning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.</p><p><blockquote>将注意力转向财务状况，我们发现该公司预计要到2023年才能实现EBITDA盈利，届时预计将达到5亿美元。这使得该公司2023年的EV/EBITDA倍数约为60倍，考虑到财务预测和风险水平的不确定性，我们认为这一倍数过高。我们知道一些投资者对该公司将实现运营杠杆并将继续增长多年充满信心，但即便如此，考虑到未来业绩的不确定性，我们认为估值过于苛刻。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b52eab933ed612ab245e32a04c21a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为投资Grab的主要风险是支付过高的股票费用。虽然该公司的应用程序在东南亚无处不在，但目前的估值已经体现了显着的增长和盈利能力的提高。换句话说，它的定价是为了完美。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly&nbsp;Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>还有竞争问题，几家资金雄厚的公司将争夺市场份额并削弱盈利能力。其中包括一些市场的优步，但主要是印度尼西亚的GoTo，该公司由拼车公司Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> We find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>我们发现该公司令人兴奋，并将继续关注其进展，但目前我们不是股票的买家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Grab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The&nbsp;company keeps&nbsp;growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是目前最令人兴奋的公司之一，为东南亚的经济增长提供了广泛的机会。该公司不断发展并为其应用程序添加服务，同时赢得用户并接近盈利。</blockquote></p><p> The one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们投资该公司的一个问题是，按照目前的价格，大部分增长已经被消化了。除非该公司设法超出预期，否则我们不认为投资者在这个价格下如何获得良好的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445020-grab-is-growing-fast-but-the-valuation-is-too-high\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445020-grab-is-growing-fast-but-the-valuation-is-too-high","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132789984","content_text":"Summary\n\nGrab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.\nThe company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.\nIt is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.\nEconomic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.\n\nbankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images\nGrab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.\nSo what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nSuch ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.\nThis gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.\nSuch ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.\nThis gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nCohort Analysis\nLooking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nInternational Expansion\nOne of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.\nWhile users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.\nAccording to the OECD,GDP for the region is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nFinancials\nTurning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nRisks\nThe main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.\nThere is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.\nWe find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.\nConclusion\nGrab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The company keeps growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.\nThe one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804425164,"gmtCreate":1627974082058,"gmtModify":1631891684275,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/804425164","repostId":"1128689143","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173821680,"gmtCreate":1626653746840,"gmtModify":1631891684282,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What goes up will come down, likewise.&nbsp;It is a&nbsp;cycle.","listText":"What goes up will come down, likewise.&nbsp;It is a&nbsp;cycle.","text":"What goes up will come down, likewise. It is a cycle.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173821680","repostId":"1123755908","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167158867,"gmtCreate":1624254067659,"gmtModify":1634008816273,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Mind to explain the logic behind","listText":"Mind to explain the logic behind","text":"Mind to explain the logic behind","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167158867","repostId":"1183124175","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165769529,"gmtCreate":1624158050961,"gmtModify":1634010091170,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165769529","repostId":"1131081247","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131081247","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624019171,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131081247?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-18 20:26","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131081247","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Fe","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-高盛周五表示，美联储决定将加息预测提前至2023年，导致大宗商品价格近期下滑，这对投资者来说是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> “The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>这家华尔街银行在一份报告中表示：“看涨大宗商品的论点既不是关于通胀风险，也不是关于美联储的前瞻性指引。而是关于稀缺性和强劲的实物需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Physical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师写道，强劲的需求增长和缺乏弹性的供应造成的实物稀缺可能会推动布伦特原油价格在第三季度平均达到80美元，并有可能飙升至该水平以上。</blockquote></p><p> Prices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>包括石油、黄金和铜在内的大宗商品价格下跌，因美联储加息前景导致美元飙升。</blockquote></p><p> But oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但油价仍接近多年高点，而金价此后小幅反弹，铜价有望创下2020年3月以来的最大单周跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>该行表示，铜市场在今年剩余时间和2022年仍将处于赤字状态，并补充说近期的下跌应被视为长期买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> A recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.</p><p><blockquote>然而，高盛警告称，由于天气和中国强制重新定位的短暂冲击产生了负面的技术突破，不包括能源市场在内的大宗商品市场的复苏可能会慢于最近的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，中国国家规划者再次承诺加强对大宗商品价格的监控，并加强对现货和期货市场的监管，因为中国的生产者通胀创下了12年来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还认为，相对于实际和名义基本面，黄金被低估。</blockquote></p><p> “In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”</p><p><blockquote>“事实上，黄金现在定价的是在没有任何通胀的情况下强劲增长的金发姑娘情景，这意味着对其作为防御性资产或通胀对冲的需求有限。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman sees Fed-driven dip in commodities as a 'buying opportunity'<blockquote>高盛将美联储推动的大宗商品下跌视为“买入机会”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-18 20:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-高盛周五表示，美联储决定将加息预测提前至2023年，导致大宗商品价格近期下滑，这对投资者来说是一个买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> “The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.</p><p><blockquote>这家华尔街银行在一份报告中表示：“看涨大宗商品的论点既不是关于通胀风险，也不是关于美联储的前瞻性指引。而是关于稀缺性和强劲的实物需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Physical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师写道，强劲的需求增长和缺乏弹性的供应造成的实物稀缺可能会推动布伦特原油价格在第三季度平均达到80美元，并有可能飙升至该水平以上。</blockquote></p><p> Prices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.</p><p><blockquote>包括石油、黄金和铜在内的大宗商品价格下跌，因美联储加息前景导致美元飙升。</blockquote></p><p> But oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>但油价仍接近多年高点，而金价此后小幅反弹，铜价有望创下2020年3月以来的最大单周跌幅。</blockquote></p><p> The copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.</p><p><blockquote>该行表示，铜市场在今年剩余时间和2022年仍将处于赤字状态，并补充说近期的下跌应被视为长期买入机会。</blockquote></p><p> A recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.</p><p><blockquote>然而，高盛警告称，由于天气和中国强制重新定位的短暂冲击产生了负面的技术突破，不包括能源市场在内的大宗商品市场的复苏可能会慢于最近的抛售。</blockquote></p><p> Earlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.</p><p><blockquote>本月早些时候，中国国家规划者再次承诺加强对大宗商品价格的监控，并加强对现货和期货市场的监管，因为中国的生产者通胀创下了12年来的新高。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>高盛还认为，相对于实际和名义基本面，黄金被低估。</blockquote></p><p> “In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”</p><p><blockquote>“事实上，黄金现在定价的是在没有任何通胀的情况下强劲增长的金发姑娘情景，这意味着对其作为防御性资产或通胀对冲的需求有限。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/commodities-research-goldman/goldman-sees-fed-driven-dip-in-commodities-as-a-buying-opportunity-idUSL3N2O02QT\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/commodities-research-goldman/goldman-sees-fed-driven-dip-in-commodities-as-a-buying-opportunity-idUSL3N2O02QT","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131081247","content_text":"(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs said on Friday the recent slip in commodities prices driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to bring forward projections for interest rate hikes into 2023 was a buying opportunity for investors.\n“The bullish commodity thesis is neither about inflation risks nor Fed forward guidance. It is about scarcity and strong physical demand,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.\nPhysical scarcity, caused by robust demand growth and inelastic supply, could drive Brent crude oil prices to average $80 in the third quarter, with potential spikes above that level, Goldman analysts wrote.\nPrices of commodities including oil, gold and copper fell as the U.S. dollar surged on the Federal Reserve’s outlook on interest rate hikes.\nBut oil prices were still close to multi-year highs, while gold has since seen a slight rebound, and copper was en route to its biggest weekly decline since March 2020.\nThe copper market also remains on course for deficit conditions both over the remainder of this year and into 2022, the bank said, adding recent dips should be viewed as a longer-term buying opportunity.\nA recovery in commodities markets excluding energy markets, however, is likely to be slower than from recent sell-offs as transient shocks from weather and Chinese-mandated repositioning have generated negative technical breakthroughs, Goldman warned.\nEarlier this month, China’s state planner renewed a pledge to step up monitoring of commodity prices and strengthen supervision of spot and futures markets, as producer inflation in the country hit over 12 year-highs.\nGoldman also viewed gold as under-valued relative to both real and nominal fundamentals.\n“In fact, gold is now pricing a Goldilocks scenario of strong growth without any inflation, implying limited demand for it as either a defensive asset or inflation hedge.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":162298092,"gmtCreate":1624063860916,"gmtModify":1634023398560,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567832114052050","idStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cyclical","listText":"Cyclical","text":"Cyclical","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/162298092","repostId":"1103331073","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":321822569,"gmtCreate":1615423414851,"gmtModify":1703488816729,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"[捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/321822569","repostId":"1158871795","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158871795","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1615401200,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158871795?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-11 02:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Roblox spikes 44% on its first day of trading<blockquote>Roblox首日交易飙升44%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158871795","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"Roblox shares opened at $65 each on Wednesday, about 44% higher than the company’sreference price.Ro","content":"<p>Roblox shares opened at $65 each on Wednesday, about 44% higher than the company’sreference price.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox股价周三开盘价为每股65美元，比该公司参考价高出约44%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ba476c7f20db1e462a62e6f1df9db8\" tg-width=\"1847\" tg-height=\"904\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Roblox Corp.  joins the ranks of closely held companies turning to public markets to support growth. The San Mateo, Calif.-based videogame provider’s stock will begin trading March 10 on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol RBLX. The shares are trading through a direct listing, bypassing the traditional route of an initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox Corp.加入了少数人持股公司转向公开市场以支持增长的行列。这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣马特奥的视频游戏提供商的股票将于3月10日在纽约证券交易所开始交易，代码为RBLX。这些股票通过直接上市进行交易，绕过了首次公开募股的传统途径。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox’s reference price was set at $45, in lieu of a formal IPO price, and is based on recent private-market transactions.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox的参考价定为45美元，而不是正式的IPO价格，并且是基于最近的私募市场交易。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox&nbsp;isn’t a traditional videogame company&nbsp;and is using a nontraditional process to potentially reach investors as the pandemic&nbsp;has driven people to spend more time and money on gameplay. Here’s what you need to know about the company and its plans for a direct listing.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox不是一家传统的视频游戏公司，由于疫情促使人们在游戏上花费更多时间和金钱，它正在使用非传统流程来吸引投资者。以下是您需要了解的有关该公司及其直接上市计划的信息。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox said in the latest update to its&nbsp;prospectus&nbsp;that it paid developers $328.7 million last year, up almost 200% from 2019. That far outpaced the company’s sales growth of 82% last year, when it booked $923.9 million in total revenue.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox在最新更新的招股说明书中表示，去年向开发者支付了3.287亿美元，比2019年增长了近200%。这远远超过了该公司去年82%的销售额增长，当时总收入为9.239亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>More than 1,250 developers earned at least $10,000 in the digital currency Robux, which can be converted to cash. Over 300 earned $100,000 or more.</p><p><blockquote>超过1,250名开发人员通过数字货币Robux赚取了至少10,000美元，这些货币可以兑换成现金。超过300人赚了10万美元或更多。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox is telling prospective shareholders to get comfortable with its hefty payouts. In its&nbsp;investor presentationlast week, the company said it plans to shell out even more to creators to incentive higher-quality content and fund bigger teams of engineers, designers, artists and producers.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox告诉潜在股东要接受其巨额派息。该公司在上周的投资者介绍中表示，计划向创作者支付更多费用，以激励更高质量的内容并资助更大的工程师、设计师、艺术家和制片人团队。</blockquote></p><p><b>What is Roblox?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roblox是什么？</b></blockquote></p><p>Roblox is a free online platform that features tens of millions of multiplayer games made by its own players with tools the company provides. The games range from obstacle-course challenges and iterations of capture the flag to contests based on popular characters such as Peppa Pig and Sonic the Hedgehog. Company officials have said they are interested in increasing the use of Roblox for things such as virtual concerts and meetings.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox是一个免费的在线平台，拥有数千万款由自己的玩家使用公司提供的工具制作的多人游戏。游戏范围从障碍课程挑战和夺旗游戏的迭代到基于粉红猪小妹和刺猬索尼克等受欢迎角色的比赛。公司官员表示，他们有兴趣增加Roblox在虚拟音乐会和会议等方面的使用。</blockquote></p><p><b>Who plays Roblox and how?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>谁玩Roblox，怎么玩？</b></blockquote></p><p>Roblox is accessible on computers, consoles and mobile devices. The company said it had roughly 33 million daily users last year, of whom more than half are under the age of 13. Players in Roblox appear in the form of customizable avatars.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox可在计算机、控制台和移动设备上访问。该公司表示，去年其每日用户约为3300万，其中一半以上年龄在13岁以下。Roblox中的玩家以可定制头像的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p><b>Roblox’s Covid boom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roblox的新冠疫情热潮</b></blockquote></p><p>Roblox has been a huge beneficiary of the Covid-19 shutdowns, which forced kids out of the classroom and away from their friends. With no school to attend and birthday parties canceled,kids turned to Roblox, where they can socialize virtually, navigating theme parks, attending concerts and playing action games while also staying in touch using its popular text chat feature.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox是Covid-19关闭的巨大受益者，关闭迫使孩子们离开教室并远离朋友。由于没有学校可上，生日聚会也被取消，孩子们转向了Roblox，在那里他们可以进行虚拟社交，浏览主题公园，参加音乐会和玩动作游戏，同时还可以使用其流行的文本聊天功能保持联系。</blockquote></p><p>Daily active users jumped 85% in 2020 to 32.6 million. The number of hours that players spent on the app more than doubled to 30.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，日活跃用户跃升85%，达到3260万。玩家在该应用上花费的时间增加了一倍多，达到306亿小时。</blockquote></p><p>That unexpected and unprecedented growth has created some challenges around its developer community. The company has had to contend with an influx ofspammers&nbsp;and&nbsp;scammers&nbsp;who are out to take advantage of some of the millions of kids who are ready and willing to spend their parents money on Robux.</p><p><blockquote>这种意想不到的、前所未有的增长给开发者社区带来了一些挑战。该公司不得不应对垃圾邮件发送者和诈骗者的涌入，他们试图利用数百万准备好并愿意花父母的钱购买Robux的孩子中的一些人。</blockquote></p><p>In-game pop-ups lure users with the promise of free Robux if they fill out a survey, only to reroute them to other sites where there’s no Robux and even more spam. In some cases, Roblox developers unknowingly install a malicious plug-in from the game development studio, infecting their own game.</p><p><blockquote>游戏中的弹出窗口承诺如果用户填写调查就可以免费获得Robux，结果却将他们重定向到其他没有Robux甚至更多垃圾邮件的网站。在某些情况下，Roblox开发者会在不知情的情况下安装游戏开发工作室的恶意插件，感染自己的游戏。</blockquote></p><p>“Because of the popularity of our platform, we believe that we are an attractive target for these sorts of attacks,” Roblox said in its prospectus. The company said it’s investing to make sure outside parties can’t access user data and to prevent phishing, spamming and malware as much as possible.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox在招股说明书中表示：“由于我们平台的受欢迎程度，我们相信我们是此类攻击的有吸引力的目标。”该公司表示，正在投资以确保外部方无法访问用户数据，并尽可能防止网络钓鱼、垃圾邮件和恶意软件。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox’s second-biggest expense, behind developer fees, is infrastructure, privacy and safety. Those costs jumped 69% last year to $264.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox的第二大支出（仅次于开发者费用）是基础设施、隐私和安全。这些成本去年跃升69%，达到2.642亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Roblox spikes 44% on its first day of trading<blockquote>Roblox首日交易飙升44%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRoblox spikes 44% on its first day of trading<blockquote>Roblox首日交易飙升44%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-11 02:33</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Roblox shares opened at $65 each on Wednesday, about 44% higher than the company’sreference price.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox股价周三开盘价为每股65美元，比该公司参考价高出约44%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ba476c7f20db1e462a62e6f1df9db8\" tg-width=\"1847\" tg-height=\"904\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Roblox Corp.  joins the ranks of closely held companies turning to public markets to support growth. The San Mateo, Calif.-based videogame provider’s stock will begin trading March 10 on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol RBLX. The shares are trading through a direct listing, bypassing the traditional route of an initial public offering.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox Corp.加入了少数人持股公司转向公开市场以支持增长的行列。这家总部位于加利福尼亚州圣马特奥的视频游戏提供商的股票将于3月10日在纽约证券交易所开始交易，代码为RBLX。这些股票通过直接上市进行交易，绕过了首次公开募股的传统途径。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox’s reference price was set at $45, in lieu of a formal IPO price, and is based on recent private-market transactions.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox的参考价定为45美元，而不是正式的IPO价格，并且是基于最近的私募市场交易。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox&nbsp;isn’t a traditional videogame company&nbsp;and is using a nontraditional process to potentially reach investors as the pandemic&nbsp;has driven people to spend more time and money on gameplay. Here’s what you need to know about the company and its plans for a direct listing.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox不是一家传统的视频游戏公司，由于疫情促使人们在游戏上花费更多时间和金钱，它正在使用非传统流程来吸引投资者。以下是您需要了解的有关该公司及其直接上市计划的信息。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox said in the latest update to its&nbsp;prospectus&nbsp;that it paid developers $328.7 million last year, up almost 200% from 2019. That far outpaced the company’s sales growth of 82% last year, when it booked $923.9 million in total revenue.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox在最新更新的招股说明书中表示，去年向开发者支付了3.287亿美元，比2019年增长了近200%。这远远超过了该公司去年82%的销售额增长，当时总收入为9.239亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>More than 1,250 developers earned at least $10,000 in the digital currency Robux, which can be converted to cash. Over 300 earned $100,000 or more.</p><p><blockquote>超过1,250名开发人员通过数字货币Robux赚取了至少10,000美元，这些货币可以兑换成现金。超过300人赚了10万美元或更多。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox is telling prospective shareholders to get comfortable with its hefty payouts. In its&nbsp;investor presentationlast week, the company said it plans to shell out even more to creators to incentive higher-quality content and fund bigger teams of engineers, designers, artists and producers.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox告诉潜在股东要接受其巨额派息。该公司在上周的投资者介绍中表示，计划向创作者支付更多费用，以激励更高质量的内容并资助更大的工程师、设计师、艺术家和制片人团队。</blockquote></p><p><b>What is Roblox?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roblox是什么？</b></blockquote></p><p>Roblox is a free online platform that features tens of millions of multiplayer games made by its own players with tools the company provides. The games range from obstacle-course challenges and iterations of capture the flag to contests based on popular characters such as Peppa Pig and Sonic the Hedgehog. Company officials have said they are interested in increasing the use of Roblox for things such as virtual concerts and meetings.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox是一个免费的在线平台，拥有数千万款由自己的玩家使用公司提供的工具制作的多人游戏。游戏范围从障碍课程挑战和夺旗游戏的迭代到基于粉红猪小妹和刺猬索尼克等受欢迎角色的比赛。公司官员表示，他们有兴趣增加Roblox在虚拟音乐会和会议等方面的使用。</blockquote></p><p><b>Who plays Roblox and how?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>谁玩Roblox，怎么玩？</b></blockquote></p><p>Roblox is accessible on computers, consoles and mobile devices. The company said it had roughly 33 million daily users last year, of whom more than half are under the age of 13. Players in Roblox appear in the form of customizable avatars.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox可在计算机、控制台和移动设备上访问。该公司表示，去年其每日用户约为3300万，其中一半以上年龄在13岁以下。Roblox中的玩家以可定制头像的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p><b>Roblox’s Covid boom</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Roblox的新冠疫情热潮</b></blockquote></p><p>Roblox has been a huge beneficiary of the Covid-19 shutdowns, which forced kids out of the classroom and away from their friends. With no school to attend and birthday parties canceled,kids turned to Roblox, where they can socialize virtually, navigating theme parks, attending concerts and playing action games while also staying in touch using its popular text chat feature.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox是Covid-19关闭的巨大受益者，关闭迫使孩子们离开教室并远离朋友。由于没有学校可上，生日聚会也被取消，孩子们转向了Roblox，在那里他们可以进行虚拟社交，浏览主题公园，参加音乐会和玩动作游戏，同时还可以使用其流行的文本聊天功能保持联系。</blockquote></p><p>Daily active users jumped 85% in 2020 to 32.6 million. The number of hours that players spent on the app more than doubled to 30.6 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，日活跃用户跃升85%，达到3260万。玩家在该应用上花费的时间增加了一倍多，达到306亿小时。</blockquote></p><p>That unexpected and unprecedented growth has created some challenges around its developer community. The company has had to contend with an influx ofspammers&nbsp;and&nbsp;scammers&nbsp;who are out to take advantage of some of the millions of kids who are ready and willing to spend their parents money on Robux.</p><p><blockquote>这种意想不到的、前所未有的增长给开发者社区带来了一些挑战。该公司不得不应对垃圾邮件发送者和诈骗者的涌入，他们试图利用数百万准备好并愿意花父母的钱购买Robux的孩子中的一些人。</blockquote></p><p>In-game pop-ups lure users with the promise of free Robux if they fill out a survey, only to reroute them to other sites where there’s no Robux and even more spam. In some cases, Roblox developers unknowingly install a malicious plug-in from the game development studio, infecting their own game.</p><p><blockquote>游戏中的弹出窗口承诺如果用户填写调查就可以免费获得Robux，结果却将他们重定向到其他没有Robux甚至更多垃圾邮件的网站。在某些情况下，Roblox开发者会在不知情的情况下安装游戏开发工作室的恶意插件，感染自己的游戏。</blockquote></p><p>“Because of the popularity of our platform, we believe that we are an attractive target for these sorts of attacks,” Roblox said in its prospectus. The company said it’s investing to make sure outside parties can’t access user data and to prevent phishing, spamming and malware as much as possible.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox在招股说明书中表示：“由于我们平台的受欢迎程度，我们相信我们是此类攻击的有吸引力的目标。”该公司表示，正在投资以确保外部方无法访问用户数据，并尽可能防止网络钓鱼、垃圾邮件和恶意软件。</blockquote></p><p>Roblox’s second-biggest expense, behind developer fees, is infrastructure, privacy and safety. Those costs jumped 69% last year to $264.2 million.</p><p><blockquote>Roblox的第二大支出（仅次于开发者费用）是基础设施、隐私和安全。这些成本去年跃升69%，达到2.642亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158871795","content_text":"Roblox shares opened at $65 each on Wednesday, about 44% higher than the company’sreference price.Roblox Corp.  joins the ranks of closely held companies turning to public markets to support growth. The San Mateo, Calif.-based videogame provider’s stock will begin trading March 10 on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol RBLX. The shares are trading through a direct listing, bypassing the traditional route of an initial public offering.Roblox’s reference price was set at $45, in lieu of a formal IPO price, and is based on recent private-market transactions.Roblox isn’t a traditional videogame company and is using a nontraditional process to potentially reach investors as the pandemic has driven people to spend more time and money on gameplay. Here’s what you need to know about the company and its plans for a direct listing.Roblox said in the latest update to its prospectus that it paid developers $328.7 million last year, up almost 200% from 2019. That far outpaced the company’s sales growth of 82% last year, when it booked $923.9 million in total revenue.More than 1,250 developers earned at least $10,000 in the digital currency Robux, which can be converted to cash. Over 300 earned $100,000 or more.Roblox is telling prospective shareholders to get comfortable with its hefty payouts. In its investor presentationlast week, the company said it plans to shell out even more to creators to incentive higher-quality content and fund bigger teams of engineers, designers, artists and producers.What is Roblox?Roblox is a free online platform that features tens of millions of multiplayer games made by its own players with tools the company provides. The games range from obstacle-course challenges and iterations of capture the flag to contests based on popular characters such as Peppa Pig and Sonic the Hedgehog. Company officials have said they are interested in increasing the use of Roblox for things such as virtual concerts and meetings.Who plays Roblox and how?Roblox is accessible on computers, consoles and mobile devices. The company said it had roughly 33 million daily users last year, of whom more than half are under the age of 13. Players in Roblox appear in the form of customizable avatars.Roblox’s Covid boomRoblox has been a huge beneficiary of the Covid-19 shutdowns, which forced kids out of the classroom and away from their friends. With no school to attend and birthday parties canceled,kids turned to Roblox, where they can socialize virtually, navigating theme parks, attending concerts and playing action games while also staying in touch using its popular text chat feature.Daily active users jumped 85% in 2020 to 32.6 million. The number of hours that players spent on the app more than doubled to 30.6 billion.That unexpected and unprecedented growth has created some challenges around its developer community. The company has had to contend with an influx ofspammers and scammers who are out to take advantage of some of the millions of kids who are ready and willing to spend their parents money on Robux.In-game pop-ups lure users with the promise of free Robux if they fill out a survey, only to reroute them to other sites where there’s no Robux and even more spam. In some cases, Roblox developers unknowingly install a malicious plug-in from the game development studio, infecting their own game.“Because of the popularity of our platform, we believe that we are an attractive target for these sorts of attacks,” Roblox said in its prospectus. The company said it’s investing to make sure outside parties can’t access user data and to prevent phishing, spamming and malware as much as possible.Roblox’s second-biggest expense, behind developer fees, is infrastructure, privacy and safety. Those costs jumped 69% last year to $264.2 million.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RBLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":196810050,"gmtCreate":1621041294270,"gmtModify":1634194390836,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Share price already running ahead","listText":"Share price already running ahead","text":"Share price already running ahead","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/196810050","repostId":"1173244066","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890712353,"gmtCreate":1628133645572,"gmtModify":1631891684274,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What is the fair valuation?","listText":"What is the fair valuation?","text":"What is the fair valuation?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890712353","repostId":"1132789984","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132789984","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628132627,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132789984?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 11:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132789984","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGrab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wan","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Grab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.</li>  <li>The company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.</li>  <li>It is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.</li>  <li>Economic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed14131a10fe9b0fe4ffdc2d166eedfc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Grab将于今年年底与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.合并。想要投资该公司的投资者现在可以通过购买SPAC股票来实现。</li><li>该公司的估值约为450亿美元，我们认为这太慷慨了。</li><li>鉴于它是东南亚最大的超级应用程序，并且提供多种服务，它仍然值得一看。</li><li>东南亚的经济增长预计将强劲，预计年增长率为4.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Grab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚排名第一的超级应用程序，不熟悉它的投资者可以认为它是Uber与银行应用程序的合并。其服务包括移动、包裹递送、食品递送和金融服务。该公司仍然是私营公司，但计划在今年年底前与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC)合并。</blockquote></p><p> So what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是超级app呢？Grab设想客户可以使用该应用程序满足许多日常需求，从叫车到订餐，甚至预订酒店。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053fd9283dc37b6e74500543dc4cda48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长，2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易，其调整后净收入达到16亿美元，使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模，2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元，移动出行GMV为32亿美元，金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长，2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易，其调整后净收入达到16亿美元，使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模，2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元，移动出行GMV为32亿美元，金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c22a14f058c5206c6f97c9ee6555c40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cohort Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>队列分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.</p><p><blockquote>看看不同的用户群体，很明显，他们安装应用程序的时间越长，他们在上面的交易就越多。三年后，用户的交易量大约翻了一番，到第五年，他们的交易量增加了两倍多。这说明了该应用程序的巨大粘性，也反映了用户对它的高度满意度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b1048371138429abea215d9d0f75b78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.</p><p><blockquote>Grab更令人兴奋的事情之一是它在多少个国家开展业务，以及它在每个国家提供的服务数量。下面的幻灯片显示了Grab在每个市场提供的服务。</blockquote></p><p> While users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.</p><p><blockquote>虽然用户最初使用该应用程序是为了送餐和乘车，但我们相信真正为公司带来盈利增长的将是金融服务。像贷款、小额信贷和保险产品这样的东西应该会给公司带来盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> According to the OECD,GDP for the region&nbsp;is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.</p><p><blockquote>根据经合组织的数据，该地区的国内生产总值预计在2020-2024年期间每年增长4.9%，略低于2013-2017年5%的平均增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b094b954a6ff2a9be4fc65c073208521\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Turning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.</p><p><blockquote>将注意力转向财务状况，我们发现该公司预计要到2023年才能实现EBITDA盈利，届时预计将达到5亿美元。这使得该公司2023年的EV/EBITDA倍数约为60倍，考虑到财务预测和风险水平的不确定性，我们认为这一倍数过高。我们知道一些投资者对该公司将实现运营杠杆并将继续增长多年充满信心，但即便如此，考虑到未来业绩的不确定性，我们认为估值过于苛刻。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b52eab933ed612ab245e32a04c21a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为投资Grab的主要风险是支付过高的股票费用。虽然该公司的应用程序在东南亚无处不在，但目前的估值已经体现了显着的增长和盈利能力的提高。换句话说，它的定价是为了完美。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly&nbsp;Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>还有竞争问题，几家资金雄厚的公司将争夺市场份额并削弱盈利能力。其中包括一些市场的优步，但主要是印度尼西亚的GoTo，该公司由拼车公司Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> We find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>我们发现该公司令人兴奋，并将继续关注其进展，但目前我们不是股票的买家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Grab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The&nbsp;company keeps&nbsp;growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是目前最令人兴奋的公司之一，为东南亚的经济增长提供了广泛的机会。该公司不断发展并为其应用程序添加服务，同时赢得用户并接近盈利。</blockquote></p><p> The one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们投资该公司的一个问题是，按照目前的价格，大部分增长已经被消化了。除非该公司设法超出预期，否则我们不认为投资者在这个价格下如何获得良好的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab Is Growing Fast But The Valuation Is Too High<blockquote>Grab增长迅速但估值过高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 11:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Grab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.</li>  <li>The company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.</li>  <li>It is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.</li>  <li>Economic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed14131a10fe9b0fe4ffdc2d166eedfc\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Grab将于今年年底与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp.合并。想要投资该公司的投资者现在可以通过购买SPAC股票来实现。</li><li>该公司的估值约为450亿美元，我们认为这太慷慨了。</li><li>鉴于它是东南亚最大的超级应用程序，并且提供多种服务，它仍然值得一看。</li><li>东南亚的经济增长预计将强劲，预计年增长率为4.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>bankkgraphy/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Grab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是东南亚排名第一的超级应用程序，不熟悉它的投资者可以认为它是Uber与银行应用程序的合并。其服务包括移动、包裹递送、食品递送和金融服务。该公司仍然是私营公司，但计划在今年年底前与SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC)合并。</blockquote></p><p> So what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是超级app呢？Grab设想客户可以使用该应用程序满足许多日常需求，从叫车到订餐，甚至预订酒店。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/053fd9283dc37b6e74500543dc4cda48\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"298\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长，2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易，其调整后净收入达到16亿美元，使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模，2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元，移动出行GMV为32亿美元，金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Such ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这种无处不在和服务产品的数量导致了该应用程序的巨大增长，2020年其平台上的商品总值(GMV)达到125亿美元。得益于19亿笔交易，其调整后净收入达到16亿美元，使该应用成为该地区交付、移动和金融服务领域的第一名。</blockquote></p><p> This gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.</p><p><blockquote>这使得该平台拥有了巨大的规模，2020年食品配送GMV为55亿美元，移动出行GMV为32亿美元，金融服务GMV为89亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c22a14f058c5206c6f97c9ee6555c40\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cohort Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>队列分析</b></blockquote></p><p> Looking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.</p><p><blockquote>看看不同的用户群体，很明显，他们安装应用程序的时间越长，他们在上面的交易就越多。三年后，用户的交易量大约翻了一番，到第五年，他们的交易量增加了两倍多。这说明了该应用程序的巨大粘性，也反映了用户对它的高度满意度。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b1048371138429abea215d9d0f75b78\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>International Expansion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>国际扩张</b></blockquote></p><p> One of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.</p><p><blockquote>Grab更令人兴奋的事情之一是它在多少个国家开展业务，以及它在每个国家提供的服务数量。下面的幻灯片显示了Grab在每个市场提供的服务。</blockquote></p><p> While users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.</p><p><blockquote>虽然用户最初使用该应用程序是为了送餐和乘车，但我们相信真正为公司带来盈利增长的将是金融服务。像贷款、小额信贷和保险产品这样的东西应该会给公司带来盈利增长。</blockquote></p><p> According to the OECD,GDP for the region&nbsp;is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.</p><p><blockquote>根据经合组织的数据，该地区的国内生产总值预计在2020-2024年期间每年增长4.9%，略低于2013-2017年5%的平均增长率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b094b954a6ff2a9be4fc65c073208521\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Financials</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务</b></blockquote></p><p> Turning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.</p><p><blockquote>将注意力转向财务状况，我们发现该公司预计要到2023年才能实现EBITDA盈利，届时预计将达到5亿美元。这使得该公司2023年的EV/EBITDA倍数约为60倍，考虑到财务预测和风险水平的不确定性，我们认为这一倍数过高。我们知道一些投资者对该公司将实现运营杠杆并将继续增长多年充满信心，但即便如此，考虑到未来业绩的不确定性，我们认为估值过于苛刻。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05b52eab933ed612ab245e32a04c21a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"350\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Grab Investor Presentation</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Grab投资者介绍</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为投资Grab的主要风险是支付过高的股票费用。虽然该公司的应用程序在东南亚无处不在，但目前的估值已经体现了显着的增长和盈利能力的提高。换句话说，它的定价是为了完美。</blockquote></p><p> There is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly&nbsp;Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.</p><p><blockquote>还有竞争问题，几家资金雄厚的公司将争夺市场份额并削弱盈利能力。其中包括一些市场的优步，但主要是印度尼西亚的GoTo，该公司由拼车公司Gojek和电子商务公司Tokopedia合并而成。</blockquote></p><p> We find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.</p><p><blockquote>我们发现该公司令人兴奋，并将继续关注其进展，但目前我们不是股票的买家。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> Grab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The&nbsp;company keeps&nbsp;growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>Grab是目前最令人兴奋的公司之一，为东南亚的经济增长提供了广泛的机会。该公司不断发展并为其应用程序添加服务，同时赢得用户并接近盈利。</blockquote></p><p> The one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.</p><p><blockquote>我们投资该公司的一个问题是，按照目前的价格，大部分增长已经被消化了。除非该公司设法超出预期，否则我们不认为投资者在这个价格下如何获得良好的投资回报。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445020-grab-is-growing-fast-but-the-valuation-is-too-high\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4445020-grab-is-growing-fast-but-the-valuation-is-too-high","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132789984","content_text":"Summary\n\nGrab is set to merge with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp. by the end of the year. Investors wanting to invest in the company can do so by buying the SPAC shares now.\nThe company is valued at ~$45 billion, which we believe is way too generous.\nIt is still worth watching given the fact that it is the biggest super app in South East Asia and it offers a multitude of services.\nEconomic growth in South East Asia is expected to be robust, with annual growth estimated at 4.9% per year.\n\nbankkgraphy/iStock via Getty Images\nGrab is the number one super app in Southeast Asia, investors not familiar with it can think of it as merging Uber with a banking app. Its services include mobility, package deliveries, food deliveries, and financial services. The company is still private but it is set to combine with SPAC Altimeter Growth Corp (AGC) by the end of the year.\nSo what is a super app? Grab imagines customers can use the app for many of their daily needs, from ordering a ride to ordering food, or even booking a hotel.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nSuch ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.\nThis gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.\nSuch ubiquity and number of service offerings has resulted in enormous growth for the app, reaching a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) on its platform of $12.5 billion in 2020. Its net adjusted revenue reaching $1.6 billion, thanks to 1.9 billion transactions, making the app the number one in the region for deliveries, mobility, and financial services.\nThis gives the platform significant scale, with year 2020 GMV of $5.5 billion for food deliveries, $3.2 billion for mobility, and $8.9 billion for financial services.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nCohort Analysis\nLooking at the different cohorts of users it is clear that the longer they have the app installed the more they transact on it. After three years users approximately double the transaction amount, and by year five they more than triple their transactions. This speaks to significant stickiness for the app, and it reflects high user satisfaction with it.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nInternational Expansion\nOne of the more exciting things about Grab is how many countries it operates in, and the number of services it offers in each. The slide below shows the services offered in each of the markets served by Grab.\nWhile users come to the app initially for food deliveries and rides, we believe it will be the financial services that really bring profitable growth for the company. Things like loans, micro-credits, and insurance products should bring profitable growth for the company.\nAccording to the OECD,GDP for the region is expected to grow by 4.9% per year during the period 2020-2024, slightly down from the average rate of 5% in 2013-2017.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nFinancials\nTurning our attention to the financials we see that the company isn't projecting to become EBITDA profitable until 2023, when it is projected to reach $0.5 billion. This gives the company an EV/EBITDA 2023 multiple of ~60x, which we find excessive given the uncertainty of the financial projections and the level of risk. We understand some investors are confident the company will achieve operating leverage and that it will continue growing for many years, but even then we believe the valuation to be too demanding given the level of uncertainty for future results.\nSource: Grab Investor Presentation\nRisks\nThe main risk we see with an investment in Grab is over paying for the shares. While the company's app is ubiquitous in South East Asia the current valuation already prices significant growth and profitability improvements. In other words, it is priced for perfection.\nThere is also the matter of competition, where several well funded companies are going to fight for market share and erode profitability. These include Uber in some markets, but mainly Indonesia's GoTo,the company created through the merger of ride-sharing firm Gojek and e-commerce company Tokopedia.\nWe find the company exciting and will continue to follow its progress, but at this time we are not buyers of the shares.\nConclusion\nGrab is one of the most exciting companies right now that offers broad exposure to the economic growth in South East Asia. The company keeps growing and adding services to its app, while gaining users and getting closer to profitability.\nThe one problem we have with an investment in the company is that at current prices much of the growth is already priced in. Unless the company manages to exceed expectations we do not see how investors at this price could get a good return on investment.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":865,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193407197,"gmtCreate":1620806181119,"gmtModify":1634196161623,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Overheated&nbsp;","listText":"Overheated&nbsp;","text":"Overheated","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193407197","repostId":"2134694724","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353376507,"gmtCreate":1616465503109,"gmtModify":1634525680101,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What’s next","listText":"What’s next","text":"What’s next","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353376507","repostId":"1104368147","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":326494186,"gmtCreate":1615693943645,"gmtModify":1703492155264,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gogogo","listText":"Gogogo","text":"Gogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/326494186","repostId":"2118935050","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":250,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":314356738,"gmtCreate":1612313393624,"gmtModify":1703760211894,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"树倒猢狲散","listText":"树倒猢狲散","text":"树倒猢狲散","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/314356738","repostId":"1113195747","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113195747","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1612259771,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113195747?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-02 17:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Gamestop, silver spot down, \"farce\" is slowly ending?<blockquote>游戏驿站，白银现货下跌，“闹剧”正在慢慢结束？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113195747","media":"reuters","summary":"SINGAPORE (Reuters) - GameStop shares slid in Frankfurt and U.S. pre-market trade on Tuesday and a s","content":"<p>SINGAPORE (Reuters) - GameStop shares slid in Frankfurt and U.S. pre-market trade on Tuesday and a silver buying spree led by small investors subsided as retail-driven mania for shorted assets started to show signs of fizzling out.</p><p><blockquote>路透新加坡1月2日电——游戏驿站股市周二在法兰克福和美国盘前交易中下跌，随着散户对做空资产的狂热开始显示出失败的迹象，小投资者引领的白银买盘热潮消退。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop’s Frankfurt-listed shares were down 30% from Monday’s close at 143 euros ($172.72) in early trade on Tuesday, after the firm’s stock closed at $225 in U.S. markets. It fell 23% to $173 in pre-market U.S. trade.</p><p><blockquote>周二早盘，游戏驿站在法兰克福上市的股价较周一收盘价143欧元（172.72美元）下跌30%，此前该公司股价在美国市场收于225美元。美国盘前交易中下跌23%至173美元。</blockquote></p><p> Spot silver prices fell more than 4% to $27.66 an ounce to sit some 8% beneath the eight-year high made on Monday, when retail traders bought coins and piled into silver funds to set prices spiking.</p><p><blockquote>现货白银价格下跌超过4%，至每盎司27.66美元，比周一创下的八年高点低约8%，当时散户交易者买入硬币并涌入白银基金，导致价格飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts said the silver pullback may show the limits of small investors’ impact in a large market, while posts on the popular Reddit forum WallStreetBets expressed concern that silver buying could cost traders their grip on some stocks.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，白银回调可能显示小投资者在大市场中的影响力有限，而热门Reddit论坛WallStreetBets上的帖子则表达了对白银买盘可能让交易员失去对部分股票的控制的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The social media-driven trading frenzy “could be slowly ending”, said OANDA market analyst Edward Moya. “Like all good rollercoaster rides, they all come to an end.”</p><p><blockquote>OANDA市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)表示，社交媒体驱动的交易狂潮“可能会慢慢结束”。“就像所有精彩的过山车一样，它们都会结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail buyers’ darling GameStop Corp dropped 30.8% on Monday, though it remains about 1,000% higher than a couple of weeks ago, before an organised band of small buyers piled in and forced a “squeeze” which required big funds to close short positions by buying shares at very high prices.</p><p><blockquote>散户买家的宠儿游戏驿站公司周一下跌30.8%，但仍比几周前高出约1,000%，随后一群有组织的小买家涌入并迫使“挤压”，要求大基金平仓空头头寸以非常高的价格购买股票。</blockquote></p><p> Other shares caught up in a frenzy that has battered short-sellers extended their advance, including BlackBerry Ltd.</p><p><blockquote>其他陷入疯狂的股票也扩大了涨幅，其中包括黑莓有限公司。</blockquote></p><p> Online broker Robinhood, on whose platform much of the buying and selling has taken place, also raised another $2.4 billion from shareholders just days after investors pumped in $1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在线经纪商Robinhood的大部分买卖都在其平台上进行，就在投资者注资10亿美元几天后，该经纪商还从股东那里又筹集了24亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “It certainly feels like there’s some evidence of peak retail stall, but hard to gauge since they’re still sitting on decent profits,” said Mirabaud’s London-based equity sales trader Mark Taylor.</p><p><blockquote>Mirabaud驻伦敦的股票销售交易员马克·泰勒(Mark Taylor)表示：“确实有一些零售停滞高峰的证据，但很难衡量，因为他们仍享有可观的利润。”</blockquote></p><p> “With volumes in all the hot stocks collapsing, silver attack met by margin, Robinhood having to seek fresh collateral at a rampant speed, the signals that the retail mania could unravel rapidly are aligning.”</p><p><blockquote>“随着所有热门股票的成交量暴跌，白银的攻击受到了边际打击，罗宾汉不得不以惊人的速度寻求新的抵押品，零售狂热可能迅速瓦解的信号正在形成。”</blockquote></p><p> Small traders’ involvement in financial markets has grown sharply over the past year as lockdowns, volatility and stimulus cheques have combined to drive an investment surge that has turbocharged a huge rally in global equities since last March.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，由于封锁、波动性和刺激支票共同推动了投资激增，小型交易者对金融市场的参与急剧增加，自去年3月以来推动了全球股市的大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Day-trading mania has boosted the price of assets ranging from cryptocurrencies to new stock market listings. In London a sign of still-strong demand came from online greeting-card retailer Moonpig, which leapt 25% on debut on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>日内交易狂热推高了从加密货币到新股上市等资产的价格。在伦敦，在线贺卡零售商Moonpig的需求仍然强劲，该公司周二上市后股价上涨了25%。</blockquote></p><p> The showdown between short-selling hedge funds and the small-time day traders also has also drawn scrutiny from financial regulators, lawmakers and the White House, concerned about possible market manipulation.</p><p><blockquote>卖空对冲基金和小规模日内交易者之间的摊牌也引起了金融监管机构、立法者和白宫的密切关注，担心可能存在市场操纵。</blockquote></p><p> Robinhood continued to roll back trading curbs on Monday, raising trading limits on GameStop to 20 shares from four.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood周一继续取消交易限制，将游戏驿站的交易限额从4股提高到20股。</blockquote></p><p> Weak prices in pre-market trade may serve as a guide to where the phenomenon is headed next, although broader markets appeared to be moving on from jitters the frenzied buying had triggered and equities in Asia rose broadly on stimulus hopes. [MKTS/GLOB]</p><p><blockquote>盘前交易中的疲软价格可能会成为这一现象下一步走向的指南，尽管更广泛的市场似乎正在摆脱疯狂购买引发的紧张情绪，亚洲股市因刺激希望而普遍上涨。[市场/全球]</blockquote></p><p> The number of shorted GameStop shares has fallen by more than half in a week, analytics firm S3 Partners said on Monday, although the videogame retailer remained the sixth-biggest short by value.</p><p><blockquote>分析公司S3 Partners周一表示，被做空的游戏驿站股票数量在一周内下降了一半以上，尽管按价值计算，这家视频游戏零售商仍是第六大做空者。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-squeeze mania has calmed a bit for this week,” said Chris Brankin, chief executive of broker TD Ameritrade in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡经纪商德美利证券(TD Ameritrade)首席执行官克里斯·布兰金(Chris Brankin)表示：“本周轧空热潮有所平静。”</blockquote></p><p> QUICKSILVER</p><p><blockquote>水银</blockquote></p><p> Silver’s slumping spot price on Tuesday came even as dealers reported brisk trade in Asia, albeit below Monday’s massive volumes, suggesting a further squeeze higher might be unlikely.</p><p><blockquote>尽管交易商报告亚洲交易活跃，但白银现货价格周二暴跌，尽管低于周一的大量交易量，这表明进一步走高的可能性不大。</blockquote></p><p> A lot of people who were anticipating a GameStop-like rally in silver “now realize there is not as much buying pressure pushing it up” as some had thought, said Michael Matousek, head trader at U.S. Global Investors.</p><p><blockquote>U.S.Global Investors首席交易员Michael Matousek表示，许多预计白银将出现游戏驿站式反弹的人“现在意识到，推动白银上涨的买盘压力并不像一些人想象的那么大”。</blockquote></p><p> An additional drag on prices was an overnight margin hike by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, which makes speculative trade using derivatives products more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>另一个拖累价格的因素是芝加哥商品交易所隔夜提高保证金，这使得使用衍生产品的投机交易更加昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> “Silver is much more liquid compared to stocks, and there are costs to holding the metal,” said Benjamin Yeo, head of dealing at Phillip Futures in Singapore, where on Monday silver futures volumes had been surging.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡辉立期货交易主管Benjamin Yeo表示：“与股票相比，白银的流动性要高得多，持有这种金属是有成本的。”周一，新加坡白银期货交易量一直在飙升。</blockquote></p><p> “In the short term, we can expect more volatility from the retail buying interest, but do not think it is sustainable.”</p><p><blockquote>“短期内，我们预计散户购买兴趣会出现更大波动，但不认为这是可持续的。”</blockquote></p><p> The unit price of Australia’s ETF Securities’ Physical Silver fund fell 1% in Sydney after drawing a record A$76 million ($58 million) in inflows on Monday. Small silver miners, which had leapt, also retraced some of their gains.</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚ETF证券实物白银基金单价在悉尼下跌1%，此前周一吸引了创纪录的7600万澳元（合5800万美元）资金流入。上涨的小型白银矿商也回吐了部分涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> “It is slowing down a bit,” said Gregor Gregersen, founder of Silver Bullion, a dealer in Singapore, after a wild 24 hours where he said sales exceeded average monthly levels from 2018 and orders above S$35,000 ($26,300) arrived every three minutes.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡经销商Silver Bullion的创始人Gregor Gregersen在经历了疯狂的24小时后表示：“速度正在放缓。”他表示，销售额超过了2018年的月平均水平，每三分钟就有超过35,000新元（26,300美元）的订单到达。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Reddit moderators had on Tuesday removed one of the most popular posts suggesting buying silver and many WallStreetBets posts focused on riding out the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit版主周二删除了一条最受欢迎的建议购买白银的帖子，许多WallStreetBets帖子都专注于度过波动。</blockquote></p><p> “WHO IS HOLDING GME WITH ME?” read one top post. “I’M HOLDING EVEN IF MY PORTFOLIO GOES DOWN TO ZERO,” read another.</p><p><blockquote>“谁和我一起抱着GME？”阅读一篇热门文章。“即使我的投资组合跌至零，我也会持有，”另一位人士写道。</blockquote></p><p> ($1 = 0.8280 euros)</p><p><blockquote>（1美元=0.8280欧元）</blockquote></p><p> ($1 = 1.3108 Australian dollars)</p><p><blockquote>（1美元=1.3108澳元）</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Gamestop, silver spot down, \"farce\" is slowly ending?<blockquote>游戏驿站，白银现货下跌，“闹剧”正在慢慢结束？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGamestop, silver spot down, \"farce\" is slowly ending?<blockquote>游戏驿站，白银现货下跌，“闹剧”正在慢慢结束？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-02 17:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SINGAPORE (Reuters) - GameStop shares slid in Frankfurt and U.S. pre-market trade on Tuesday and a silver buying spree led by small investors subsided as retail-driven mania for shorted assets started to show signs of fizzling out.</p><p><blockquote>路透新加坡1月2日电——游戏驿站股市周二在法兰克福和美国盘前交易中下跌，随着散户对做空资产的狂热开始显示出失败的迹象，小投资者引领的白银买盘热潮消退。</blockquote></p><p> GameStop’s Frankfurt-listed shares were down 30% from Monday’s close at 143 euros ($172.72) in early trade on Tuesday, after the firm’s stock closed at $225 in U.S. markets. It fell 23% to $173 in pre-market U.S. trade.</p><p><blockquote>周二早盘，游戏驿站在法兰克福上市的股价较周一收盘价143欧元（172.72美元）下跌30%，此前该公司股价在美国市场收于225美元。美国盘前交易中下跌23%至173美元。</blockquote></p><p> Spot silver prices fell more than 4% to $27.66 an ounce to sit some 8% beneath the eight-year high made on Monday, when retail traders bought coins and piled into silver funds to set prices spiking.</p><p><blockquote>现货白银价格下跌超过4%，至每盎司27.66美元，比周一创下的八年高点低约8%，当时散户交易者买入硬币并涌入白银基金，导致价格飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts said the silver pullback may show the limits of small investors’ impact in a large market, while posts on the popular Reddit forum WallStreetBets expressed concern that silver buying could cost traders their grip on some stocks.</p><p><blockquote>分析师表示，白银回调可能显示小投资者在大市场中的影响力有限，而热门Reddit论坛WallStreetBets上的帖子则表达了对白银买盘可能让交易员失去对部分股票的控制的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> The social media-driven trading frenzy “could be slowly ending”, said OANDA market analyst Edward Moya. “Like all good rollercoaster rides, they all come to an end.”</p><p><blockquote>OANDA市场分析师爱德华·莫亚(Edward Moya)表示，社交媒体驱动的交易狂潮“可能会慢慢结束”。“就像所有精彩的过山车一样，它们都会结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Retail buyers’ darling GameStop Corp dropped 30.8% on Monday, though it remains about 1,000% higher than a couple of weeks ago, before an organised band of small buyers piled in and forced a “squeeze” which required big funds to close short positions by buying shares at very high prices.</p><p><blockquote>散户买家的宠儿游戏驿站公司周一下跌30.8%，但仍比几周前高出约1,000%，随后一群有组织的小买家涌入并迫使“挤压”，要求大基金平仓空头头寸以非常高的价格购买股票。</blockquote></p><p> Other shares caught up in a frenzy that has battered short-sellers extended their advance, including BlackBerry Ltd.</p><p><blockquote>其他陷入疯狂的股票也扩大了涨幅，其中包括黑莓有限公司。</blockquote></p><p> Online broker Robinhood, on whose platform much of the buying and selling has taken place, also raised another $2.4 billion from shareholders just days after investors pumped in $1 billion.</p><p><blockquote>在线经纪商Robinhood的大部分买卖都在其平台上进行，就在投资者注资10亿美元几天后，该经纪商还从股东那里又筹集了24亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “It certainly feels like there’s some evidence of peak retail stall, but hard to gauge since they’re still sitting on decent profits,” said Mirabaud’s London-based equity sales trader Mark Taylor.</p><p><blockquote>Mirabaud驻伦敦的股票销售交易员马克·泰勒(Mark Taylor)表示：“确实有一些零售停滞高峰的证据，但很难衡量，因为他们仍享有可观的利润。”</blockquote></p><p> “With volumes in all the hot stocks collapsing, silver attack met by margin, Robinhood having to seek fresh collateral at a rampant speed, the signals that the retail mania could unravel rapidly are aligning.”</p><p><blockquote>“随着所有热门股票的成交量暴跌，白银的攻击受到了边际打击，罗宾汉不得不以惊人的速度寻求新的抵押品，零售狂热可能迅速瓦解的信号正在形成。”</blockquote></p><p> Small traders’ involvement in financial markets has grown sharply over the past year as lockdowns, volatility and stimulus cheques have combined to drive an investment surge that has turbocharged a huge rally in global equities since last March.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，由于封锁、波动性和刺激支票共同推动了投资激增，小型交易者对金融市场的参与急剧增加，自去年3月以来推动了全球股市的大幅上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Day-trading mania has boosted the price of assets ranging from cryptocurrencies to new stock market listings. In London a sign of still-strong demand came from online greeting-card retailer Moonpig, which leapt 25% on debut on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>日内交易狂热推高了从加密货币到新股上市等资产的价格。在伦敦，在线贺卡零售商Moonpig的需求仍然强劲，该公司周二上市后股价上涨了25%。</blockquote></p><p> The showdown between short-selling hedge funds and the small-time day traders also has also drawn scrutiny from financial regulators, lawmakers and the White House, concerned about possible market manipulation.</p><p><blockquote>卖空对冲基金和小规模日内交易者之间的摊牌也引起了金融监管机构、立法者和白宫的密切关注，担心可能存在市场操纵。</blockquote></p><p> Robinhood continued to roll back trading curbs on Monday, raising trading limits on GameStop to 20 shares from four.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood周一继续取消交易限制，将游戏驿站的交易限额从4股提高到20股。</blockquote></p><p> Weak prices in pre-market trade may serve as a guide to where the phenomenon is headed next, although broader markets appeared to be moving on from jitters the frenzied buying had triggered and equities in Asia rose broadly on stimulus hopes. [MKTS/GLOB]</p><p><blockquote>盘前交易中的疲软价格可能会成为这一现象下一步走向的指南，尽管更广泛的市场似乎正在摆脱疯狂购买引发的紧张情绪，亚洲股市因刺激希望而普遍上涨。[市场/全球]</blockquote></p><p> The number of shorted GameStop shares has fallen by more than half in a week, analytics firm S3 Partners said on Monday, although the videogame retailer remained the sixth-biggest short by value.</p><p><blockquote>分析公司S3 Partners周一表示，被做空的游戏驿站股票数量在一周内下降了一半以上，尽管按价值计算，这家视频游戏零售商仍是第六大做空者。</blockquote></p><p> “Short-squeeze mania has calmed a bit for this week,” said Chris Brankin, chief executive of broker TD Ameritrade in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡经纪商德美利证券(TD Ameritrade)首席执行官克里斯·布兰金(Chris Brankin)表示：“本周轧空热潮有所平静。”</blockquote></p><p> QUICKSILVER</p><p><blockquote>水银</blockquote></p><p> Silver’s slumping spot price on Tuesday came even as dealers reported brisk trade in Asia, albeit below Monday’s massive volumes, suggesting a further squeeze higher might be unlikely.</p><p><blockquote>尽管交易商报告亚洲交易活跃，但白银现货价格周二暴跌，尽管低于周一的大量交易量，这表明进一步走高的可能性不大。</blockquote></p><p> A lot of people who were anticipating a GameStop-like rally in silver “now realize there is not as much buying pressure pushing it up” as some had thought, said Michael Matousek, head trader at U.S. Global Investors.</p><p><blockquote>U.S.Global Investors首席交易员Michael Matousek表示，许多预计白银将出现游戏驿站式反弹的人“现在意识到，推动白银上涨的买盘压力并不像一些人想象的那么大”。</blockquote></p><p> An additional drag on prices was an overnight margin hike by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, which makes speculative trade using derivatives products more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>另一个拖累价格的因素是芝加哥商品交易所隔夜提高保证金，这使得使用衍生产品的投机交易更加昂贵。</blockquote></p><p> “Silver is much more liquid compared to stocks, and there are costs to holding the metal,” said Benjamin Yeo, head of dealing at Phillip Futures in Singapore, where on Monday silver futures volumes had been surging.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡辉立期货交易主管Benjamin Yeo表示：“与股票相比，白银的流动性要高得多，持有这种金属是有成本的。”周一，新加坡白银期货交易量一直在飙升。</blockquote></p><p> “In the short term, we can expect more volatility from the retail buying interest, but do not think it is sustainable.”</p><p><blockquote>“短期内，我们预计散户购买兴趣会出现更大波动，但不认为这是可持续的。”</blockquote></p><p> The unit price of Australia’s ETF Securities’ Physical Silver fund fell 1% in Sydney after drawing a record A$76 million ($58 million) in inflows on Monday. Small silver miners, which had leapt, also retraced some of their gains.</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚ETF证券实物白银基金单价在悉尼下跌1%，此前周一吸引了创纪录的7600万澳元（合5800万美元）资金流入。上涨的小型白银矿商也回吐了部分涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> “It is slowing down a bit,” said Gregor Gregersen, founder of Silver Bullion, a dealer in Singapore, after a wild 24 hours where he said sales exceeded average monthly levels from 2018 and orders above S$35,000 ($26,300) arrived every three minutes.</p><p><blockquote>新加坡经销商Silver Bullion的创始人Gregor Gregersen在经历了疯狂的24小时后表示：“速度正在放缓。”他表示，销售额超过了2018年的月平均水平，每三分钟就有超过35,000新元（26,300美元）的订单到达。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Reddit moderators had on Tuesday removed one of the most popular posts suggesting buying silver and many WallStreetBets posts focused on riding out the volatility.</p><p><blockquote>Reddit版主周二删除了一条最受欢迎的建议购买白银的帖子，许多WallStreetBets帖子都专注于度过波动。</blockquote></p><p> “WHO IS HOLDING GME WITH ME?” read one top post. “I’M HOLDING EVEN IF MY PORTFOLIO GOES DOWN TO ZERO,” read another.</p><p><blockquote>“谁和我一起抱着GME？”阅读一篇热门文章。“即使我的投资组合跌至零，我也会持有，”另一位人士写道。</blockquote></p><p> ($1 = 0.8280 euros)</p><p><blockquote>（1美元=0.8280欧元）</blockquote></p><p> ($1 = 1.3108 Australian dollars)</p><p><blockquote>（1美元=1.3108澳元）</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-retail-trading/gamestop-slides-silver-spree-stalls-as-retail-traders-run-out-of-road-idUSKBN2A20ZS?il=0\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3780c78c8bb55dbf0b4bcd80ffe89707","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/us-retail-trading/gamestop-slides-silver-spree-stalls-as-retail-traders-run-out-of-road-idUSKBN2A20ZS?il=0","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113195747","content_text":"SINGAPORE (Reuters) - GameStop shares slid in Frankfurt and U.S. pre-market trade on Tuesday and a silver buying spree led by small investors subsided as retail-driven mania for shorted assets started to show signs of fizzling out.\nGameStop’s Frankfurt-listed shares were down 30% from Monday’s close at 143 euros ($172.72) in early trade on Tuesday, after the firm’s stock closed at $225 in U.S. markets. It fell 23% to $173 in pre-market U.S. trade.\nSpot silver prices fell more than 4% to $27.66 an ounce to sit some 8% beneath the eight-year high made on Monday, when retail traders bought coins and piled into silver funds to set prices spiking.\nAnalysts said the silver pullback may show the limits of small investors’ impact in a large market, while posts on the popular Reddit forum WallStreetBets expressed concern that silver buying could cost traders their grip on some stocks.\nThe social media-driven trading frenzy “could be slowly ending”, said OANDA market analyst Edward Moya. “Like all good rollercoaster rides, they all come to an end.”\nRetail buyers’ darling GameStop Corp dropped 30.8% on Monday, though it remains about 1,000% higher than a couple of weeks ago, before an organised band of small buyers piled in and forced a “squeeze” which required big funds to close short positions by buying shares at very high prices.\nOther shares caught up in a frenzy that has battered short-sellers extended their advance, including BlackBerry Ltd.\nOnline broker Robinhood, on whose platform much of the buying and selling has taken place, also raised another $2.4 billion from shareholders just days after investors pumped in $1 billion.\n“It certainly feels like there’s some evidence of peak retail stall, but hard to gauge since they’re still sitting on decent profits,” said Mirabaud’s London-based equity sales trader Mark Taylor.\n“With volumes in all the hot stocks collapsing, silver attack met by margin, Robinhood having to seek fresh collateral at a rampant speed, the signals that the retail mania could unravel rapidly are aligning.”\nSmall traders’ involvement in financial markets has grown sharply over the past year as lockdowns, volatility and stimulus cheques have combined to drive an investment surge that has turbocharged a huge rally in global equities since last March.\nDay-trading mania has boosted the price of assets ranging from cryptocurrencies to new stock market listings. In London a sign of still-strong demand came from online greeting-card retailer Moonpig, which leapt 25% on debut on Tuesday.\nThe showdown between short-selling hedge funds and the small-time day traders also has also drawn scrutiny from financial regulators, lawmakers and the White House, concerned about possible market manipulation.\nRobinhood continued to roll back trading curbs on Monday, raising trading limits on GameStop to 20 shares from four.\nWeak prices in pre-market trade may serve as a guide to where the phenomenon is headed next, although broader markets appeared to be moving on from jitters the frenzied buying had triggered and equities in Asia rose broadly on stimulus hopes. [MKTS/GLOB]\nThe number of shorted GameStop shares has fallen by more than half in a week, analytics firm S3 Partners said on Monday, although the videogame retailer remained the sixth-biggest short by value.\n“Short-squeeze mania has calmed a bit for this week,” said Chris Brankin, chief executive of broker TD Ameritrade in Singapore.\nQUICKSILVER\nSilver’s slumping spot price on Tuesday came even as dealers reported brisk trade in Asia, albeit below Monday’s massive volumes, suggesting a further squeeze higher might be unlikely.\nA lot of people who were anticipating a GameStop-like rally in silver “now realize there is not as much buying pressure pushing it up” as some had thought, said Michael Matousek, head trader at U.S. Global Investors.\nAn additional drag on prices was an overnight margin hike by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, which makes speculative trade using derivatives products more expensive.\n“Silver is much more liquid compared to stocks, and there are costs to holding the metal,” said Benjamin Yeo, head of dealing at Phillip Futures in Singapore, where on Monday silver futures volumes had been surging.\n“In the short term, we can expect more volatility from the retail buying interest, but do not think it is sustainable.”\nThe unit price of Australia’s ETF Securities’ Physical Silver fund fell 1% in Sydney after drawing a record A$76 million ($58 million) in inflows on Monday. Small silver miners, which had leapt, also retraced some of their gains.\n“It is slowing down a bit,” said Gregor Gregersen, founder of Silver Bullion, a dealer in Singapore, after a wild 24 hours where he said sales exceeded average monthly levels from 2018 and orders above S$35,000 ($26,300) arrived every three minutes.\nReddit moderators had on Tuesday removed one of the most popular posts suggesting buying silver and many WallStreetBets posts focused on riding out the volatility.\n“WHO IS HOLDING GME WITH ME?” read one top post. “I’M HOLDING EVEN IF MY PORTFOLIO GOES DOWN TO ZERO,” read another.\n($1 = 0.8280 euros)\n($1 = 1.3108 Australian dollars)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SILVERmain":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173821680,"gmtCreate":1626653746840,"gmtModify":1631891684282,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What goes up will come down, likewise.&nbsp;It is a&nbsp;cycle.","listText":"What goes up will come down, likewise.&nbsp;It is a&nbsp;cycle.","text":"What goes up will come down, likewise. It is a cycle.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173821680","repostId":"1123755908","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":199282869,"gmtCreate":1620708091551,"gmtModify":1634196930679,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip?","listText":"Buy the dip?","text":"Buy the dip?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/199282869","repostId":"2134551566","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138437242,"gmtCreate":1621953160586,"gmtModify":1631886287136,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a>gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MP\">$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$</a>gogogo","text":"$MP Materials Corp.(MP)$gogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138437242","repostId":"2138816488","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":371307969,"gmtCreate":1618908022151,"gmtModify":1634289989042,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371307969","repostId":"1185485095","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":272,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344818569,"gmtCreate":1618395643651,"gmtModify":1634293252568,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can it mirror SEA’s performance?","listText":"Can it mirror SEA’s performance?","text":"Can it mirror SEA’s performance?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344818569","repostId":"1157656344","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":432,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":368559380,"gmtCreate":1614340671641,"gmtModify":1703476605247,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Coinbase or Binance?","listText":"Coinbase or Binance?","text":"Coinbase or Binance?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368559380","repostId":"1117820997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312305175,"gmtCreate":1612010414897,"gmtModify":1703757425880,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[摊手]&nbsp;","listText":"[摊手]&nbsp;","text":"[摊手]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312305175","repostId":"2107290824","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":620,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853891602,"gmtCreate":1634785614466,"gmtModify":1634785717724,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853891602","repostId":"1197031747","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":192097969,"gmtCreate":1621128790051,"gmtModify":1634193924498,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"OK","listText":"OK","text":"OK","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192097969","repostId":"1100135820","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379441616,"gmtCreate":1618791728435,"gmtModify":1634290938037,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379441616","repostId":"1162662309","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162662309","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618762645,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162662309?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-19 00:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz<blockquote>值得关注的股票：苹果活动、迪士尼预告和盈利闪电战</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162662309","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify.Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across ","content":"<p>Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify(click the highlighted links).</p><p><blockquote>欢迎来到Seeking Alpha的股票观看-本周计划的关键事件预览。关注此帐户并打开电子邮件提醒，每周六早上在您的收件箱中收到这篇文章。周日还可以在Seeking Alpha、苹果播客、Stitcher和Spotify上观看值得关注的股票播客（单击突出显示的链接）。</blockquote></p><p>Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across sectors. Of note, the follow-up conference calls from Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)could be on the interesting side. On the vaccine front, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices is expected to meet late this week to consider recommendations for Johnson &amp; Johnson's(NYSE:JNJ)shot, which has been linked to rare blood clots in the brain.</p><p><blockquote>本周将发布的经济报告包括成屋销售、新屋销售、初请失业金人数和PMI的最新数据。本周各行业每天都会发布大型盈利报告。值得注意的是，可口可乐（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KO）、Netflix（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）和英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）的后续会议评级可能会很有趣。在疫苗方面，美国疾病控制与预防中心免疫实践咨询委员会预计将于本周晚些时候召开会议，考虑强生公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JNJ）疫苗的建议，该疫苗与大脑中罕见的血栓有关。</blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Earnings season heats up in a big way with reports due in from Coca-Cola (KO), IBM(NYSE:IBM)and United Airlines(NASDAQ:UAL)on April 19; Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ), Procter &amp; Gamble(NYSE:PG), Philip Morris International(NYSE:PM), Abbott Labs(NYSE:ABT)and Netflix (NFLX) on April 20; Anthem(NYSE:ANTM), Verizon(NYSE:VZ), Chipotle(NYSE:CMG)and Lam Research(NASDAQ:LRCX)on April 21; AT&amp;T(NYSE:T), Dow(NYSE:DOW), Intel (INTC), Seagate Tech(NASDAQ:STX)and Mattel(NASDAQ:MAT)on April 22; as well as American Express(NYSE:AXP)and Honeywell(NYSE:HON)on April 23.</p><p><blockquote><b>盈利聚焦：</b>随着可口可乐(KO)、IBM(NYSE：IBM)和联合航空(纳斯达克：UAL)将于4月19日发布报告，财报季大幅升温；4月20日，强生公司(JNJ)、宝洁公司(NYSE：PG)、菲利普莫里斯国际公司(NYSE：PM)、雅培实验室(NYSE：ABT)和Netflix(NFLX)；Anthem（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ANTM）、Verizon（纽约证券交易所股票代码：VZ）、Chipotle（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CMG）和Lam Research（纳斯达克股票代码：LRCX）4月21日；AT&amp;T（纽约证券交易所股票代码：T）、陶氏化学（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DOW）、英特尔（INTC）、希捷科技（纳斯达克股票代码：STX）和美泰（纳斯达克股票代码：MAT）4月22日；以及4月23日的美国运通（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AXP）和霍尼韦尔（纽约证券交易所股票代码：HON）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/522c9bdad799a71c4e6bad965f9f00f3\" tg-width=\"1530\" tg-height=\"650\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>IPO watch:</b>&nbsp;IPOs expected to start trading during the week include UiPAth (PATH), DoubleVerify (DV) and NeuroPace (NPCE) on April 20, as well as Zymergern (ZY) and KnowBe4 (KNBE) on April 22. IPO lockup periods expire on Datto Holding(NYSE:MSP), Topaz Energy(NYSE:TPZ), McAfee(NASDAQ:MCFE), Guild Holdings(NYSE:GHLD), Foghorn Therapeutics(NASDAQ:FHTX)and ComSovereign Holding(NASDAQ:COMS). The analyst quiet period expires on ThredUp(NASDAQ:TDUP)on April 20 to free up analysts to post ratings. Shares of Trip.com(NASDAQ:TRIP)will begin trading in Hong Kong this week following a new listing.</p><p><blockquote><b>IPO观察：</b>预计本周开始交易的IPO包括4月20日的UiPAth(PATH)、DoubleVerify(DV)和NeuroPace(NPCE)，以及4月22日的Zymergern(ZY)和KnowBe4(KNBE)。Datto Holding(NYSE：MSP)、Topaz Energy(NYSE：TPZ)、McAfee(纳斯达克：MCFE)、Guild Holdings(NYSE：GHLD)、Foghorn Therapeutics(纳斯达克：FHTX)和ComSovereign Holding(纳斯达克：COMS）。ThredUp（纳斯达克股票代码：TDUP）的分析师静默期将于4月20日到期，以便分析师可以发布评级。携程（纳斯达克股票代码：TRIP）的股票将于本周在香港上市后开始交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>Apple event:</b>&nbsp;Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)holds an event on April 20 called \"Spring Loaded\" to show off new products. Information out of Cupertino has been pretty tight, but the company could reveal new iPads, new iMacs, new AirPods, AirTags, a new Apple TV and possibly a new Apple Pencil.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果事件：</b>苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）将于4月20日举办名为“Spring Loaded”的活动，展示新产品。来自库比蒂诺的信息相当紧张，但该公司可能会发布新的iPad、新的iMac、新的AirPods、AirTags、新的苹果电视，可能还有新的苹果铅笔。</blockquote></p><p><b>Projected dividend increases (quarterly):</b>&nbsp;Expected dividend boosts for the week include Comfort Systems USA(NYSE:FIX)to $0.125 from $0.1115, HP Enterprise(NYSE:HPE)to $0.1275 from $0.12, Pool Corp(NASDAQ:POOL)to $0.61 from $0.58, Johnson &amp; Johnson to $1.06 from $1.01, Travelers(NYSE:TRV)to $0.88 from $0.85, Southern Company(NYSE:SO)to $0.66 from $0.64, Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)to $0.27 from $0.2625 and Nasdaq(NASDAQ:NDAQ)to $0.50 from $0.49.</p><p><blockquote><b>预计股息增加（季度）：</b>预计本周股息上调包括Comfort Systems USA(NYSE：FIX)从0.1115美元上调至0.125美元，HP Enterprise(NYSE：HPE)从0.12美元上调至0.1275美元，Pool Corp(纳斯达克：POOL)从0.58美元上调至0.61美元，强生公司(NYSE：TRV)从0.85美元上调至0.88美元，南方公司(NYSE：SO)从0.64美元上调至0.66美元，金德摩根(NYSE：KMI)从0.2625美元上调至0.27美元，纳斯达克(纳斯达克：NDAQ)从0.49美元上调至0.50美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>M&amp;A tidbits:</b>&nbsp;The highly-anticipated Aphria(NASDAQ:APHA)-Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY)merger is expected to close on April 20. The tender offer on the GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)-Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)deal expires on April 21. GW Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:GWPH)shareholders vote on the Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ)deal on April 23.</p><p><blockquote><b>并购花絮：</b>备受期待的Aphria（纳斯达克：APHA）-Tilray（纳斯达克：TLRY）合并预计将于4月20日完成。GenMark Diagnostics（纳斯达克：GNMK）-罗氏（OTCQX：RHHBY）交易的要约收购将于4月21日到期。GW Pharmaceuticals（纳斯达克股票代码：GWPH）股东将于4月23日就Jazz Pharmaceuticals（纳斯达克股票代码：JAZZ）交易进行投票。</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Invest watch:</b>&nbsp;Investors may want to keep an eye on Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)after ARK Invest came in Friday with a purchase of 19,599 shares for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF)and 112,539 shares for the ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood's firm also defended Silvergate(NYSE:SI)after its mid-week stumble likely in response to the Coinbase IPO. \"Investors potentially took profits to diversify their exposure to crypto in the public markets. \"In our view, the Silvergate Exchange Network, with its strong network effects, positions Silvergate as both a facilitator and a prime beneficiary of increased crypto adoption,\" ARK reasons.</p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资观察：</b>在ARK Invest周五购买了19,599股ARK Fintech Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）和112,539股ARK Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）后，投资者可能需要关注Coinbase Global（纳斯达克：COIN）：ARKK）。Cathie Wood的公司还为Silvergate(NYSE：SI)进行了辩护，此前Silvergate(NYSE：SI)在周中因Coinbase IPO而出现失误。“投资者可能会获利了结，以分散他们在公开市场上对加密货币的投资。”我们认为，Silvergate交换网络凭借其强大的网络效应，使Silvergate既是加密货币采用增加的推动者，也是主要受益者，”ARK解释道。</blockquote></p><p><b>Corporate spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Major events this week include strategic updates from Advance Auto Parts(NYSE:AAP)and Royal Gold(NYSE:GOLD)on April 20, as well as investor days for Dye &amp; Durham(OTC:DYNDF)and SMART Global(NASDAQ:SGH). On April 21, MGM Resorts(NYSE:MGM)and Entain(OTCPK:GMVHF)along with their U.S. venture BetMGM will host a business update event for analysts and investors. The event will provide deeper insights into the rapidly growing U.S. sports betting and iGaming business of BetMGM. A new forecast on the industry's total addressable market could be a share price catalyst for DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG)and Penn National Gaming(NASDAQ:PENN)as well. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of more events to watch.</p><p><blockquote><b>企业聚焦：</b>本周的重大活动包括Advance Auto Parts(NYSE：AAP)和Royal Gold(NYSE：GOLD)4月20日的战略更新，以及Dye&amp;Durham(OTC：DYNDF)和SMART Global(纳斯达克：SGH)的投资者日。4月21日，米高梅度假村(NYSE：MGM)和Entain(OTCPK：GMVHF)及其美国合资企业BetMGM将为分析师和投资者举办业务更新活动。该活动将让人们更深入地了解BetMGM快速增长的美国体育博彩和iGaming业务。对该行业总潜在市场的新预测也可能成为DraftKings（纳斯达克：DKNG）和Penn National Gaming（纳斯达克：PENN）的股价催化剂。查看outSeeking Alpha的Catalyst Watch，了解更多值得关注的活动的详细列表。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Conferences rundown:</b>&nbsp;Notable conferences running during the week include the H.C Wainwright Spring Mining Conference, Linley Spring Processor Conference 2021, the Kempen Life Sciences Conference, the Jefferies Microbiome-based Therapeutics Summit 2021 and the Stifel GMP &amp; Stifel First Energy Canada Cross Sector Insight Conference 2021. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of events to watch.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议概要：</b>本周举行的著名会议包括H.C Wainwright春季采矿会议、2021年Linley春季处理器会议、Kempen生命科学会议、2021年Jefferies基于微生物组的治疗峰会以及2021年Stifel GMP和Stifel First Energy Canada跨部门洞察会议。查看outSeeking Alpha的Catalyst手表，了解要观看的事件的详细列表。</blockquote></p><p><b>Barron's mentions:</b>&nbsp;Disney(NYSE:DIS)makes the cover of Barron's this week as the media giant is given credit for positioning itself for post-COVID growth. Disney is said to have come out ahead after CEO Bob Chapek and team faced the severest of financial stress tests. \"When parks and theaters emptied out a year ago, costs kept rolling in, and the fastest-growing part of the business, streaming, was consuming cash—as it still is. Yet, Disney generated $3.6 billion in free cash during its fiscal year ended last September. It’s seen producing $3.3 billion this year before the numbers begin a sharp rebound,\" notes Jack Hough. While the movie business is still sputtering to restart and the TV business is seen holding steady at best, streaming results have shattered forecasts. Disney+ smashed expectations in piling up 100M in less than 18 months, compared to the 10 years it took Netflix to hit that level. Disney is targeting 300M to 350M subscribers by 2024 across all of its streaming platforms, including Hulu, ESPN+, Hotstar in India, and Star+ in Latin America (launches in June). PetIQ(NASDAQ:PETQ)and O'Reilly Automotive(NASDAQ:ORLY)also land favorable write-ups this week.</p><p><blockquote><b>《巴伦周刊》提到：</b>迪士尼（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）本周登上了《巴伦周刊》的封面，这家媒体巨头因为新冠疫情后的增长做好了定位而受到赞誉。据说，在首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克和团队面临最严峻的财务压力测试后，迪士尼脱颖而出。“一年前，当公园和剧院空无一人时，成本不断滚滚而来，流媒体业务增长最快的部分正在消耗现金——现在仍然如此。然而，迪士尼在截至去年9月的财年中产生了36亿美元的自由现金。在数字开始大幅反弹之前，今年的收入为33亿美元，”杰克·霍夫指出。虽然电影业务仍在艰难重启，电视业务充其量也保持稳定，但流媒体业绩却超出了预期。Disney+在不到18个月的时间里积累了1亿美元，超出了预期，而Netflix花了10年时间才达到这一水平。迪士尼的目标是到2024年在其所有流媒体平台上拥有3亿至3.5亿用户，包括印度的Hulu、ESPN+、Hotstar和拉丁美洲的Star+（6月推出）。PetIQ（纳斯达克股票代码：PETQ）和O’Reilly Automotive（纳斯达克股票代码：ORLY）本周也获得了好评。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz<blockquote>值得关注的股票：苹果活动、迪士尼预告和盈利闪电战</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks To Watch: Apple Event, Disney Callout And Earnings Blitz<blockquote>值得关注的股票：苹果活动、迪士尼预告和盈利闪电战</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-19 00:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify(click the highlighted links).</p><p><blockquote>欢迎来到Seeking Alpha的股票观看-本周计划的关键事件预览。关注此帐户并打开电子邮件提醒，每周六早上在您的收件箱中收到这篇文章。周日还可以在Seeking Alpha、苹果播客、Stitcher和Spotify上观看值得关注的股票播客（单击突出显示的链接）。</blockquote></p><p>Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across sectors. Of note, the follow-up conference calls from Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)could be on the interesting side. On the vaccine front, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices is expected to meet late this week to consider recommendations for Johnson &amp; Johnson's(NYSE:JNJ)shot, which has been linked to rare blood clots in the brain.</p><p><blockquote>本周将发布的经济报告包括成屋销售、新屋销售、初请失业金人数和PMI的最新数据。本周各行业每天都会发布大型盈利报告。值得注意的是，可口可乐（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KO）、Netflix（纳斯达克股票代码：NFLX）和英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）的后续会议评级可能会很有趣。在疫苗方面，美国疾病控制与预防中心免疫实践咨询委员会预计将于本周晚些时候召开会议，考虑强生公司（纽约证券交易所股票代码：JNJ）疫苗的建议，该疫苗与大脑中罕见的血栓有关。</blockquote></p><p><b>Earnings spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Earnings season heats up in a big way with reports due in from Coca-Cola (KO), IBM(NYSE:IBM)and United Airlines(NASDAQ:UAL)on April 19; Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ), Procter &amp; Gamble(NYSE:PG), Philip Morris International(NYSE:PM), Abbott Labs(NYSE:ABT)and Netflix (NFLX) on April 20; Anthem(NYSE:ANTM), Verizon(NYSE:VZ), Chipotle(NYSE:CMG)and Lam Research(NASDAQ:LRCX)on April 21; AT&amp;T(NYSE:T), Dow(NYSE:DOW), Intel (INTC), Seagate Tech(NASDAQ:STX)and Mattel(NASDAQ:MAT)on April 22; as well as American Express(NYSE:AXP)and Honeywell(NYSE:HON)on April 23.</p><p><blockquote><b>盈利聚焦：</b>随着可口可乐(KO)、IBM(NYSE：IBM)和联合航空(纳斯达克：UAL)将于4月19日发布报告，财报季大幅升温；4月20日，强生公司(JNJ)、宝洁公司(NYSE：PG)、菲利普莫里斯国际公司(NYSE：PM)、雅培实验室(NYSE：ABT)和Netflix(NFLX)；Anthem（纽约证券交易所股票代码：ANTM）、Verizon（纽约证券交易所股票代码：VZ）、Chipotle（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CMG）和Lam Research（纳斯达克股票代码：LRCX）4月21日；AT&amp;T（纽约证券交易所股票代码：T）、陶氏化学（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DOW）、英特尔（INTC）、希捷科技（纳斯达克股票代码：STX）和美泰（纳斯达克股票代码：MAT）4月22日；以及4月23日的美国运通（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AXP）和霍尼韦尔（纽约证券交易所股票代码：HON）。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/522c9bdad799a71c4e6bad965f9f00f3\" tg-width=\"1530\" tg-height=\"650\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>IPO watch:</b>&nbsp;IPOs expected to start trading during the week include UiPAth (PATH), DoubleVerify (DV) and NeuroPace (NPCE) on April 20, as well as Zymergern (ZY) and KnowBe4 (KNBE) on April 22. IPO lockup periods expire on Datto Holding(NYSE:MSP), Topaz Energy(NYSE:TPZ), McAfee(NASDAQ:MCFE), Guild Holdings(NYSE:GHLD), Foghorn Therapeutics(NASDAQ:FHTX)and ComSovereign Holding(NASDAQ:COMS). The analyst quiet period expires on ThredUp(NASDAQ:TDUP)on April 20 to free up analysts to post ratings. Shares of Trip.com(NASDAQ:TRIP)will begin trading in Hong Kong this week following a new listing.</p><p><blockquote><b>IPO观察：</b>预计本周开始交易的IPO包括4月20日的UiPAth(PATH)、DoubleVerify(DV)和NeuroPace(NPCE)，以及4月22日的Zymergern(ZY)和KnowBe4(KNBE)。Datto Holding(NYSE：MSP)、Topaz Energy(NYSE：TPZ)、McAfee(纳斯达克：MCFE)、Guild Holdings(NYSE：GHLD)、Foghorn Therapeutics(纳斯达克：FHTX)和ComSovereign Holding(纳斯达克：COMS）。ThredUp（纳斯达克股票代码：TDUP）的分析师静默期将于4月20日到期，以便分析师可以发布评级。携程（纳斯达克股票代码：TRIP）的股票将于本周在香港上市后开始交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>Apple event:</b>&nbsp;Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)holds an event on April 20 called \"Spring Loaded\" to show off new products. Information out of Cupertino has been pretty tight, but the company could reveal new iPads, new iMacs, new AirPods, AirTags, a new Apple TV and possibly a new Apple Pencil.</p><p><blockquote><b>苹果事件：</b>苹果（纳斯达克：AAPL）将于4月20日举办名为“Spring Loaded”的活动，展示新产品。来自库比蒂诺的信息相当紧张，但该公司可能会发布新的iPad、新的iMac、新的AirPods、AirTags、新的苹果电视，可能还有新的苹果铅笔。</blockquote></p><p><b>Projected dividend increases (quarterly):</b>&nbsp;Expected dividend boosts for the week include Comfort Systems USA(NYSE:FIX)to $0.125 from $0.1115, HP Enterprise(NYSE:HPE)to $0.1275 from $0.12, Pool Corp(NASDAQ:POOL)to $0.61 from $0.58, Johnson &amp; Johnson to $1.06 from $1.01, Travelers(NYSE:TRV)to $0.88 from $0.85, Southern Company(NYSE:SO)to $0.66 from $0.64, Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)to $0.27 from $0.2625 and Nasdaq(NASDAQ:NDAQ)to $0.50 from $0.49.</p><p><blockquote><b>预计股息增加（季度）：</b>预计本周股息上调包括Comfort Systems USA(NYSE：FIX)从0.1115美元上调至0.125美元，HP Enterprise(NYSE：HPE)从0.12美元上调至0.1275美元，Pool Corp(纳斯达克：POOL)从0.58美元上调至0.61美元，强生公司(NYSE：TRV)从0.85美元上调至0.88美元，南方公司(NYSE：SO)从0.64美元上调至0.66美元，金德摩根(NYSE：KMI)从0.2625美元上调至0.27美元，纳斯达克(纳斯达克：NDAQ)从0.49美元上调至0.50美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>M&amp;A tidbits:</b>&nbsp;The highly-anticipated Aphria(NASDAQ:APHA)-Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY)merger is expected to close on April 20. The tender offer on the GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)-Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)deal expires on April 21. GW Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:GWPH)shareholders vote on the Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ)deal on April 23.</p><p><blockquote><b>并购花絮：</b>备受期待的Aphria（纳斯达克：APHA）-Tilray（纳斯达克：TLRY）合并预计将于4月20日完成。GenMark Diagnostics（纳斯达克：GNMK）-罗氏（OTCQX：RHHBY）交易的要约收购将于4月21日到期。GW Pharmaceuticals（纳斯达克股票代码：GWPH）股东将于4月23日就Jazz Pharmaceuticals（纳斯达克股票代码：JAZZ）交易进行投票。</blockquote></p><p><b>ARK Invest watch:</b>&nbsp;Investors may want to keep an eye on Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)after ARK Invest came in Friday with a purchase of 19,599 shares for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF)and 112,539 shares for the ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood's firm also defended Silvergate(NYSE:SI)after its mid-week stumble likely in response to the Coinbase IPO. \"Investors potentially took profits to diversify their exposure to crypto in the public markets. \"In our view, the Silvergate Exchange Network, with its strong network effects, positions Silvergate as both a facilitator and a prime beneficiary of increased crypto adoption,\" ARK reasons.</p><p><blockquote><b>方舟投资观察：</b>在ARK Invest周五购买了19,599股ARK Fintech Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）和112,539股ARK Innovation ETF（NYSEARCA：ARKF）后，投资者可能需要关注Coinbase Global（纳斯达克：COIN）：ARKK）。Cathie Wood的公司还为Silvergate(NYSE：SI)进行了辩护，此前Silvergate(NYSE：SI)在周中因Coinbase IPO而出现失误。“投资者可能会获利了结，以分散他们在公开市场上对加密货币的投资。”我们认为，Silvergate交换网络凭借其强大的网络效应，使Silvergate既是加密货币采用增加的推动者，也是主要受益者，”ARK解释道。</blockquote></p><p><b>Corporate spotlight:</b>&nbsp;Major events this week include strategic updates from Advance Auto Parts(NYSE:AAP)and Royal Gold(NYSE:GOLD)on April 20, as well as investor days for Dye &amp; Durham(OTC:DYNDF)and SMART Global(NASDAQ:SGH). On April 21, MGM Resorts(NYSE:MGM)and Entain(OTCPK:GMVHF)along with their U.S. venture BetMGM will host a business update event for analysts and investors. The event will provide deeper insights into the rapidly growing U.S. sports betting and iGaming business of BetMGM. A new forecast on the industry's total addressable market could be a share price catalyst for DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG)and Penn National Gaming(NASDAQ:PENN)as well. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of more events to watch.</p><p><blockquote><b>企业聚焦：</b>本周的重大活动包括Advance Auto Parts(NYSE：AAP)和Royal Gold(NYSE：GOLD)4月20日的战略更新，以及Dye&amp;Durham(OTC：DYNDF)和SMART Global(纳斯达克：SGH)的投资者日。4月21日，米高梅度假村(NYSE：MGM)和Entain(OTCPK：GMVHF)及其美国合资企业BetMGM将为分析师和投资者举办业务更新活动。该活动将让人们更深入地了解BetMGM快速增长的美国体育博彩和iGaming业务。对该行业总潜在市场的新预测也可能成为DraftKings（纳斯达克：DKNG）和Penn National Gaming（纳斯达克：PENN）的股价催化剂。查看outSeeking Alpha的Catalyst Watch，了解更多值得关注的活动的详细列表。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><b>Conferences rundown:</b>&nbsp;Notable conferences running during the week include the H.C Wainwright Spring Mining Conference, Linley Spring Processor Conference 2021, the Kempen Life Sciences Conference, the Jefferies Microbiome-based Therapeutics Summit 2021 and the Stifel GMP &amp; Stifel First Energy Canada Cross Sector Insight Conference 2021. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of events to watch.</p><p><blockquote><b>会议概要：</b>本周举行的著名会议包括H.C Wainwright春季采矿会议、2021年Linley春季处理器会议、Kempen生命科学会议、2021年Jefferies基于微生物组的治疗峰会以及2021年Stifel GMP和Stifel First Energy Canada跨部门洞察会议。查看outSeeking Alpha的Catalyst手表，了解要观看的事件的详细列表。</blockquote></p><p><b>Barron's mentions:</b>&nbsp;Disney(NYSE:DIS)makes the cover of Barron's this week as the media giant is given credit for positioning itself for post-COVID growth. Disney is said to have come out ahead after CEO Bob Chapek and team faced the severest of financial stress tests. \"When parks and theaters emptied out a year ago, costs kept rolling in, and the fastest-growing part of the business, streaming, was consuming cash—as it still is. Yet, Disney generated $3.6 billion in free cash during its fiscal year ended last September. It’s seen producing $3.3 billion this year before the numbers begin a sharp rebound,\" notes Jack Hough. While the movie business is still sputtering to restart and the TV business is seen holding steady at best, streaming results have shattered forecasts. Disney+ smashed expectations in piling up 100M in less than 18 months, compared to the 10 years it took Netflix to hit that level. Disney is targeting 300M to 350M subscribers by 2024 across all of its streaming platforms, including Hulu, ESPN+, Hotstar in India, and Star+ in Latin America (launches in June). PetIQ(NASDAQ:PETQ)and O'Reilly Automotive(NASDAQ:ORLY)also land favorable write-ups this week.</p><p><blockquote><b>《巴伦周刊》提到：</b>迪士尼（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）本周登上了《巴伦周刊》的封面，这家媒体巨头因为新冠疫情后的增长做好了定位而受到赞誉。据说，在首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克和团队面临最严峻的财务压力测试后，迪士尼脱颖而出。“一年前，当公园和剧院空无一人时，成本不断滚滚而来，流媒体业务增长最快的部分正在消耗现金——现在仍然如此。然而，迪士尼在截至去年9月的财年中产生了36亿美元的自由现金。在数字开始大幅反弹之前，今年的收入为33亿美元，”杰克·霍夫指出。虽然电影业务仍在艰难重启，电视业务充其量也保持稳定，但流媒体业绩却超出了预期。Disney+在不到18个月的时间里积累了1亿美元，超出了预期，而Netflix花了10年时间才达到这一水平。迪士尼的目标是到2024年在其所有流媒体平台上拥有3亿至3.5亿用户，包括印度的Hulu、ESPN+、Hotstar和拉丁美洲的Star+（6月推出）。PetIQ（纳斯达克股票代码：PETQ）和O’Reilly Automotive（纳斯达克股票代码：ORLY）本周也获得了好评。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419571-stocks-to-watch-apple-event-disney-callout-and-earnings-blitz\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4419571-stocks-to-watch-apple-event-disney-callout-and-earnings-blitz","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162662309","content_text":"Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Stocks to Watch - a preview of key events scheduled for the this week. Follow this account and turn the e-mail alert on to receive this article in your inbox every Saturday morning. A podcast of Stocks to Watch is also available on Sundays onSeeking Alpha,Apple Podcasts,StitcherandSpotify(click the highlighted links).Economic reports due out this week include the latest updates on existing home sales, new home sales, jobless claims and PMI. Big earnings reports blast in every day this week across sectors. Of note, the follow-up conference calls from Coca-Cola(NYSE:KO), Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX)and Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)could be on the interesting side. On the vaccine front, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices is expected to meet late this week to consider recommendations for Johnson & Johnson's(NYSE:JNJ)shot, which has been linked to rare blood clots in the brain.Earnings spotlight: Earnings season heats up in a big way with reports due in from Coca-Cola (KO), IBM(NYSE:IBM)and United Airlines(NASDAQ:UAL)on April 19; Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble(NYSE:PG), Philip Morris International(NYSE:PM), Abbott Labs(NYSE:ABT)and Netflix (NFLX) on April 20; Anthem(NYSE:ANTM), Verizon(NYSE:VZ), Chipotle(NYSE:CMG)and Lam Research(NASDAQ:LRCX)on April 21; AT&T(NYSE:T), Dow(NYSE:DOW), Intel (INTC), Seagate Tech(NASDAQ:STX)and Mattel(NASDAQ:MAT)on April 22; as well as American Express(NYSE:AXP)and Honeywell(NYSE:HON)on April 23.IPO watch: IPOs expected to start trading during the week include UiPAth (PATH), DoubleVerify (DV) and NeuroPace (NPCE) on April 20, as well as Zymergern (ZY) and KnowBe4 (KNBE) on April 22. IPO lockup periods expire on Datto Holding(NYSE:MSP), Topaz Energy(NYSE:TPZ), McAfee(NASDAQ:MCFE), Guild Holdings(NYSE:GHLD), Foghorn Therapeutics(NASDAQ:FHTX)and ComSovereign Holding(NASDAQ:COMS). The analyst quiet period expires on ThredUp(NASDAQ:TDUP)on April 20 to free up analysts to post ratings. Shares of Trip.com(NASDAQ:TRIP)will begin trading in Hong Kong this week following a new listing.Apple event: Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL)holds an event on April 20 called \"Spring Loaded\" to show off new products. Information out of Cupertino has been pretty tight, but the company could reveal new iPads, new iMacs, new AirPods, AirTags, a new Apple TV and possibly a new Apple Pencil.Projected dividend increases (quarterly): Expected dividend boosts for the week include Comfort Systems USA(NYSE:FIX)to $0.125 from $0.1115, HP Enterprise(NYSE:HPE)to $0.1275 from $0.12, Pool Corp(NASDAQ:POOL)to $0.61 from $0.58, Johnson & Johnson to $1.06 from $1.01, Travelers(NYSE:TRV)to $0.88 from $0.85, Southern Company(NYSE:SO)to $0.66 from $0.64, Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)to $0.27 from $0.2625 and Nasdaq(NASDAQ:NDAQ)to $0.50 from $0.49.M&A tidbits: The highly-anticipated Aphria(NASDAQ:APHA)-Tilray(NASDAQ:TLRY)merger is expected to close on April 20. The tender offer on the GenMark Diagnostics(NASDAQ:GNMK)-Roche(OTCQX:RHHBY)deal expires on April 21. GW Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:GWPH)shareholders vote on the Jazz Pharmaceuticals(NASDAQ:JAZZ)deal on April 23.ARK Invest watch: Investors may want to keep an eye on Coinbase Global(NASDAQ:COIN)after ARK Invest came in Friday with a purchase of 19,599 shares for the ARK Fintech Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKF)and 112,539 shares for the ARK Innovation ETF(NYSEARCA:ARKK). Cathie Wood's firm also defended Silvergate(NYSE:SI)after its mid-week stumble likely in response to the Coinbase IPO. \"Investors potentially took profits to diversify their exposure to crypto in the public markets. \"In our view, the Silvergate Exchange Network, with its strong network effects, positions Silvergate as both a facilitator and a prime beneficiary of increased crypto adoption,\" ARK reasons.Corporate spotlight: Major events this week include strategic updates from Advance Auto Parts(NYSE:AAP)and Royal Gold(NYSE:GOLD)on April 20, as well as investor days for Dye & Durham(OTC:DYNDF)and SMART Global(NASDAQ:SGH). On April 21, MGM Resorts(NYSE:MGM)and Entain(OTCPK:GMVHF)along with their U.S. venture BetMGM will host a business update event for analysts and investors. The event will provide deeper insights into the rapidly growing U.S. sports betting and iGaming business of BetMGM. A new forecast on the industry's total addressable market could be a share price catalyst for DraftKings(NASDAQ:DKNG)and Penn National Gaming(NASDAQ:PENN)as well. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of more events to watch.Conferences rundown: Notable conferences running during the week include the H.C Wainwright Spring Mining Conference, Linley Spring Processor Conference 2021, the Kempen Life Sciences Conference, the Jefferies Microbiome-based Therapeutics Summit 2021 and the Stifel GMP & Stifel First Energy Canada Cross Sector Insight Conference 2021. Check outSeeking Alpha's Catalyst Watch for a detailed list of events to watch.Barron's mentions: Disney(NYSE:DIS)makes the cover of Barron's this week as the media giant is given credit for positioning itself for post-COVID growth. Disney is said to have come out ahead after CEO Bob Chapek and team faced the severest of financial stress tests. \"When parks and theaters emptied out a year ago, costs kept rolling in, and the fastest-growing part of the business, streaming, was consuming cash—as it still is. Yet, Disney generated $3.6 billion in free cash during its fiscal year ended last September. It’s seen producing $3.3 billion this year before the numbers begin a sharp rebound,\" notes Jack Hough. While the movie business is still sputtering to restart and the TV business is seen holding steady at best, streaming results have shattered forecasts. Disney+ smashed expectations in piling up 100M in less than 18 months, compared to the 10 years it took Netflix to hit that level. Disney is targeting 300M to 350M subscribers by 2024 across all of its streaming platforms, including Hulu, ESPN+, Hotstar in India, and Star+ in Latin America (launches in June). PetIQ(NASDAQ:PETQ)and O'Reilly Automotive(NASDAQ:ORLY)also land favorable write-ups this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":266,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":328652575,"gmtCreate":1615523633397,"gmtModify":1703490404585,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wait for me pls","listText":"Wait for me pls","text":"Wait for me pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/328652575","repostId":"2118932800","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112229565,"gmtCreate":1622875892157,"gmtModify":1634097121352,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112229565","repostId":"1175623977","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":197736857,"gmtCreate":1621484962679,"gmtModify":1634188752390,"author":{"id":"3567832114052050","authorId":"3567832114052050","name":"NCM","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd72c39fd9a998a91f641828e572613e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567832114052050","authorIdStr":"3567832114052050"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Long tech","listText":"Long tech","text":"Long tech","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197736857","repostId":"1112258601","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112258601","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621481351,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112258601?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-20 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"‘Tapering’ Is Supposed to Be Bad for Tech. Why Did the Nasdaq Outperform the Dow?<blockquote>“缩减规模”应该对科技不利。为什么纳斯达克的表现优于道琼斯指数？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112258601","media":"barrons","summary":"Stocks dropped Wednesday as the Federal Reserve hinted at possible “tapering” in the minutes from it","content":"<p>Stocks dropped Wednesday as the Federal Reserve hinted at possible “tapering” in the minutes from its April meeting. That should have put an outsize dent into tech stocks, but that wasn’t the case.</p><p><blockquote>由于美联储在四月份会议纪要中暗示可能“缩减规模”，周三股市下跌。这本应对科技股造成巨大打击，但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 164 points, or 0.5%, while the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dipped just 3.9 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌164点，跌幅0.5%，标普500下跌0.3%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数仅下跌3.9点，即0.03%。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq’s outperformance was strange. The Federal Reserve released the minutes from its latest meeting at 2 p.m. Wednesday, and they contained a shocker—hints of ‘tapering,’ or reducing the size of, its asset purchases. The language wasn’t specific, simply saying “at some point in upcoming meetings,” and it was highly contingent on the U.S. economy continuing to strengthen. Still, less money going into the bond market would reduce bond prices and lift their yields, and that should put an outsize dent into the valuations of growth and technology companies, and boost the cyclical companies in the Dow.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克的优异表现很奇怪。美联储于下午2点公布了最近一次会议的纪要。周三，它们包含了令人震惊的暗示，暗示将“缩减”或减少资产购买规模。措辞并不具体，只是说“在即将举行的会议上的某个时候”，这在很大程度上取决于美国经济的持续走强。尽管如此，进入债券市场的资金减少将降低债券价格并提高其收益率，这将极大地削弱成长型和科技公司的估值，并提振道琼斯指数中的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p>But that’s not what happened. Just five Dow stocks finished higher Thursday— Salesforce.com (CRM), Intel (INTC), Microsoft (MSFT), Procter &amp; Gamble (PG), and Walmart (WMT)—while the Nasdaq’s bounce was led by Analog Devices (ADI) and Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM), which gained more than 4%.</p><p><blockquote>但事实并非如此。周四，道琼斯指数中只有五只股票收高——Salesforce.com(CRM)、英特尔(INTC)、微软(MSFT)、宝洁(PG)和沃尔玛(WMT)——而纳斯达克的反弹则由Analog Devices领涨(ADI)和Maxim Integrated Products(MXIM)涨幅超过4%。</blockquote></p><p>For tech stocks, it might simply have been a case of “sell the rumor, buy the news.” Fears of inflation—and the tapering that would follow—have caused the Nasdaq to drop nearly 6% from its April all-time high, while the Dow had fallen just 2% from its own record.</p><p><blockquote>对于科技股来说，这可能只是“卖出谣言，买入新闻”的情况。对通胀以及随之而来的缩减购债规模的担忧导致纳斯达克从4月份的历史高点下跌了近6%，而道琼斯指数仅从历史高点下跌了2%。</blockquote></p><p>Now that the minutes appear to have confirmed the possibility that the Fed might consider tapering—despite its protestations—investors might have moved on to other things, at least for one day. “It has been talked about, for a while, that once [the] taper announcement hits, the interest rate cloud over Tech would start to clear,” writes Dennis DeBusschere, head of portfolio strategy research at Evercore. “That could help explain the shot higher in Tech or Growth following the taper hint in the Fed minutes.”</p><p><blockquote>既然会议纪要似乎证实了美联储可能考虑缩减规模的可能性——尽管美联储提出了抗议——投资者可能已经转向其他事情，至少有一天。Evercore投资组合策略研究主管丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)写道：“一段时间以来，人们一直在谈论，一旦宣布缩减购债规模，科技股的利率阴云将开始消散。”“这可能有助于解释美联储会议纪要中暗示缩减规模后科技股或增长股的走高。”</blockquote></p><p>It will take more than just a hint of tapering to keep tech moving higher, however. For that to happen, the 10-year Treasury yield, which jumped as high as 1.68% on Wednesday, can’t go much higher. If the yield were to move towards 2%, which wouldn’t be a shocker with the market pricing in 2%-plus inflation over the next five years, tech stocks would likely fall again.</p><p><blockquote>然而，要让科技股继续走高，需要的不仅仅是一丝缩减的迹象。要实现这一目标，周三跃升至1.68%的10年期国债收益率不可能再高了。如果收益率走向2%（考虑到市场定价未来五年通胀率超过2%，这并不令人震惊），科技股可能会再次下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>‘Tapering’ Is Supposed to Be Bad for Tech. Why Did the Nasdaq Outperform the Dow?<blockquote>“缩减规模”应该对科技不利。为什么纳斯达克的表现优于道琼斯指数？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n‘Tapering’ Is Supposed to Be Bad for Tech. Why Did the Nasdaq Outperform the Dow?<blockquote>“缩减规模”应该对科技不利。为什么纳斯达克的表现优于道琼斯指数？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-20 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks dropped Wednesday as the Federal Reserve hinted at possible “tapering” in the minutes from its April meeting. That should have put an outsize dent into tech stocks, but that wasn’t the case.</p><p><blockquote>由于美联储在四月份会议纪要中暗示可能“缩减规模”，周三股市下跌。这本应对科技股造成巨大打击，但事实并非如此。</blockquote></p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 164 points, or 0.5%, while the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dipped just 3.9 points, or 0.03%.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌164点，跌幅0.5%，标普500下跌0.3%。以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数仅下跌3.9点，即0.03%。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq’s outperformance was strange. The Federal Reserve released the minutes from its latest meeting at 2 p.m. Wednesday, and they contained a shocker—hints of ‘tapering,’ or reducing the size of, its asset purchases. The language wasn’t specific, simply saying “at some point in upcoming meetings,” and it was highly contingent on the U.S. economy continuing to strengthen. Still, less money going into the bond market would reduce bond prices and lift their yields, and that should put an outsize dent into the valuations of growth and technology companies, and boost the cyclical companies in the Dow.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克的优异表现很奇怪。美联储于下午2点公布了最近一次会议的纪要。周三，它们包含了令人震惊的暗示，暗示将“缩减”或减少资产购买规模。措辞并不具体，只是说“在即将举行的会议上的某个时候”，这在很大程度上取决于美国经济的持续走强。尽管如此，进入债券市场的资金减少将降低债券价格并提高其收益率，这将极大地削弱成长型和科技公司的估值，并提振道琼斯指数中的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p>But that’s not what happened. Just five Dow stocks finished higher Thursday— Salesforce.com (CRM), Intel (INTC), Microsoft (MSFT), Procter &amp; Gamble (PG), and Walmart (WMT)—while the Nasdaq’s bounce was led by Analog Devices (ADI) and Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM), which gained more than 4%.</p><p><blockquote>但事实并非如此。周四，道琼斯指数中只有五只股票收高——Salesforce.com(CRM)、英特尔(INTC)、微软(MSFT)、宝洁(PG)和沃尔玛(WMT)——而纳斯达克的反弹则由Analog Devices领涨(ADI)和Maxim Integrated Products(MXIM)涨幅超过4%。</blockquote></p><p>For tech stocks, it might simply have been a case of “sell the rumor, buy the news.” Fears of inflation—and the tapering that would follow—have caused the Nasdaq to drop nearly 6% from its April all-time high, while the Dow had fallen just 2% from its own record.</p><p><blockquote>对于科技股来说，这可能只是“卖出谣言，买入新闻”的情况。对通胀以及随之而来的缩减购债规模的担忧导致纳斯达克从4月份的历史高点下跌了近6%，而道琼斯指数仅从历史高点下跌了2%。</blockquote></p><p>Now that the minutes appear to have confirmed the possibility that the Fed might consider tapering—despite its protestations—investors might have moved on to other things, at least for one day. “It has been talked about, for a while, that once [the] taper announcement hits, the interest rate cloud over Tech would start to clear,” writes Dennis DeBusschere, head of portfolio strategy research at Evercore. “That could help explain the shot higher in Tech or Growth following the taper hint in the Fed minutes.”</p><p><blockquote>既然会议纪要似乎证实了美联储可能考虑缩减规模的可能性——尽管美联储提出了抗议——投资者可能已经转向其他事情，至少有一天。Evercore投资组合策略研究主管丹尼斯·德布斯切尔(Dennis DeBusschere)写道：“一段时间以来，人们一直在谈论，一旦宣布缩减购债规模，科技股的利率阴云将开始消散。”“这可能有助于解释美联储会议纪要中暗示缩减规模后科技股或增长股的走高。”</blockquote></p><p>It will take more than just a hint of tapering to keep tech moving higher, however. For that to happen, the 10-year Treasury yield, which jumped as high as 1.68% on Wednesday, can’t go much higher. If the yield were to move towards 2%, which wouldn’t be a shocker with the market pricing in 2%-plus inflation over the next five years, tech stocks would likely fall again.</p><p><blockquote>然而，要让科技股继续走高，需要的不仅仅是一丝缩减的迹象。要实现这一目标，周三跃升至1.68%的10年期国债收益率不可能再高了。如果收益率走向2%（考虑到市场定价未来五年通胀率超过2%，这并不令人震惊），科技股可能会再次下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-nasdaq-beat-the-dow-despite-tapering-talk-heres-why-51621455819?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-nasdaq-beat-the-dow-despite-tapering-talk-heres-why-51621455819?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112258601","content_text":"Stocks dropped Wednesday as the Federal Reserve hinted at possible “tapering” in the minutes from its April meeting. That should have put an outsize dent into tech stocks, but that wasn’t the case.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 164 points, or 0.5%, while the S&P 500 declined 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dipped just 3.9 points, or 0.03%.The Nasdaq’s outperformance was strange. The Federal Reserve released the minutes from its latest meeting at 2 p.m. Wednesday, and they contained a shocker—hints of ‘tapering,’ or reducing the size of, its asset purchases. The language wasn’t specific, simply saying “at some point in upcoming meetings,” and it was highly contingent on the U.S. economy continuing to strengthen. Still, less money going into the bond market would reduce bond prices and lift their yields, and that should put an outsize dent into the valuations of growth and technology companies, and boost the cyclical companies in the Dow.But that’s not what happened. Just five Dow stocks finished higher Thursday— Salesforce.com (CRM), Intel (INTC), Microsoft (MSFT), Procter & Gamble (PG), and Walmart (WMT)—while the Nasdaq’s bounce was led by Analog Devices (ADI) and Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM), which gained more than 4%.For tech stocks, it might simply have been a case of “sell the rumor, buy the news.” Fears of inflation—and the tapering that would follow—have caused the Nasdaq to drop nearly 6% from its April all-time high, while the Dow had fallen just 2% from its own record.Now that the minutes appear to have confirmed the possibility that the Fed might consider tapering—despite its protestations—investors might have moved on to other things, at least for one day. “It has been talked about, for a while, that once [the] taper announcement hits, the interest rate cloud over Tech would start to clear,” writes Dennis DeBusschere, head of portfolio strategy research at Evercore. “That could help explain the shot higher in Tech or Growth following the taper hint in the Fed minutes.”It will take more than just a hint of tapering to keep tech moving higher, however. For that to happen, the 10-year Treasury yield, which jumped as high as 1.68% on Wednesday, can’t go much higher. If the yield were to move towards 2%, which wouldn’t be a shocker with the market pricing in 2%-plus inflation over the next five years, tech stocks would likely fall again.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}