Dxc21st的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Dxc21st

Dxc21st

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20主题

0勋章

2022-06-09

群魔摸摸PPT魔图，吐司咯哦…务农

2022-05-19

去YY我默默

2022-04-16

最浓噢噢噢哦哦

2022-02-16

铜梁龙温泉

2022-02-09

唾沫我周末

2022-02-05

咯破哦婆婆

2021-12-24

为什么特斯拉现在还在大张呢

2021-11-27

红米咯哦哦OK咯噜啦啦噜啦啦

2021-11-11

童模监控看看咯看看

2021-06-09

我下课啦的动物哦哦OK路口

2021-06-04

我么的哦哦哦萝莉控哦联络员一起

2021-06-01

陆末陌陌来咯机器人如图

2021-05-29

YY我哄OP您咯咯

2021-04-22

突如其来控制一下

2021-04-14

鸭嘴龙默默哦

2021-04-04

哦组画个龙摸得到

2021-04-03

哦监控默默得分率

2021-04-02

哟哟抹额抹额呃呃呃快乐旅途提

2021-04-01

唔啊打卡哦阿拉阿辞咯莫

2021-03-24

五公斤了铜模来咯来咯

美国养老金大调仓，“抛股买债”会冲垮市场吗？

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22:46","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国养老金大调仓，“抛股买债”会冲垮市场吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198705554","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"这将导致美债收益率下降，利好股市。","content":"<p>作者：于旭东</p><p>对于股市投资者来说，3月末要特别注意，因为<b>美国养老基金要有大动作了。</b></p><p>下周，美国养老基金可能成为美债大买家，因为他们要重新平衡所持有的债券，以弥补第一季度的抛售，这可能会导致美债收益率至少暂时性下降。</p><p><b>关键的再平衡</b></p><p>美国养老金再平衡，指美国固定收益类养老金在每月末或每季度末根据市场表现调仓，以维持股债配置比例（<b>美国固收类养老金计划整体股债配置比例为6：4</b>）。当季股票收益率小于债券收益率时，季末增配股市使其往往表现更好，18年末即属于类似情形。若当季股票与债券收益率差异较大，季末养老金出于再平衡而调仓，往往加大市场波动。</p><p>因此，美国养老金每季度6:4的再平衡也将带来巨大的抛售。市场预计，再平衡后美国养老金可能更偏重于持有债券，债券和股票的持有比例可能会达到61%：39%或者62%：38%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>Michael Schumacher估计，企业养老基金可能将不得不弥补约1250亿美元的债券缺口，这是十年来最大的缺口。Schumacher还表示，这些措施并非都将在季度末之前全部实施，但他预计，到3月31日，这些基金将购买大约250亿美元的债券以弥补这一缺口。</p><p>Schumacher还认为，通常投资者会因为股市的良好表现而减少持股并重新平衡资产，因此美股将承受抛售压力。</p><p>但由于美债收益率持续飙升，股票常常被大杀估值；而每当美债收益率稳定下来时，股票的表现就会转好。随着周一美债收益率下滑，美股尤其是纳斯达克100指数得到了喘息。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0390bd463c8fba6be1b8494b54e8ed8\" tg-width=\"909\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>银行需求放缓，养老金已是美债大买家</b></p><p>在2020年，经济不确定性增加，加上刺激方案，导致储蓄额急剧上升，银行系统中的客户存款显着增加。这使银行能够增加其证券投资组合的规模，从而带动了银行对美国国债的强烈需求。</p><p>美银预计，今年，因为非储备存款的增长速度将放缓至正常水平，并且贷款需求将回升，今年银行对美债的需求将下降。<b>而养老金和LDI（负债驱动投资）对美债的需求仍将保持强劲。</b></p><p>这意味着，随着资金状况的改善和费率的提高，养老金将成为今年重要的债券买家。</p><p>美银发现，10年期名义收益率的变化与养老金和保险公司的国债需求之间存在正相关关系，后者遵循类似的资产负债管理策略。由此，美银预计这些投资者的需求将增加50到1500亿美元。</p><p><b>市场预期</b></p><p>截至周一美股收盘，FANG涨势良好，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>、Netflix、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>母公司Alphabet和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>止跌反弹。</p><p>BTIG股票和衍生品策略主管Julian Emanuel表示，投资者对FANG的抛售已经到头了，他预计成长型股票将受益于本季度末美债收益率的下跌。</p><p>Emanuel同时表示，股市实际上可能处于拐点。而Schumacher也表示，目前美债收益率下降，可能在几周内会保持稳定，但在未来会继续攀升，并导致美股受挫。</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国养老金大调仓，“抛股买债”会冲垮市场吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-23 22:46 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3624762><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：于旭东对于股市投资者来说，3月末要特别注意，因为美国养老基金要有大动作了。下周，美国养老基金可能成为美债大买家，因为他们要重新平衡所持有的债券，以弥补第一季度的抛售，这可能会导致美债收益率至少暂时性下降。关键的再平衡美国养老金再平衡，指美国固定收益类养老金在每月末或每季度末根据市场表现调仓，以维持股债配置比例（美国固收类养老金计划整体股债配置比例为6：4）。当季股票收益率小于债券收益率时，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3624762\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96819b78df36696eeccbf03ebd7c466d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3624762","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1198705554","content_text":"作者：于旭东对于股市投资者来说，3月末要特别注意，因为美国养老基金要有大动作了。下周，美国养老基金可能成为美债大买家，因为他们要重新平衡所持有的债券，以弥补第一季度的抛售，这可能会导致美债收益率至少暂时性下降。关键的再平衡美国养老金再平衡，指美国固定收益类养老金在每月末或每季度末根据市场表现调仓，以维持股债配置比例（美国固收类养老金计划整体股债配置比例为6：4）。当季股票收益率小于债券收益率时，季末增配股市使其往往表现更好，18年末即属于类似情形。若当季股票与债券收益率差异较大，季末养老金出于再平衡而调仓，往往加大市场波动。因此，美国养老金每季度6:4的再平衡也将带来巨大的抛售。市场预计，再平衡后美国养老金可能更偏重于持有债券，债券和股票的持有比例可能会达到61%：39%或者62%：38%。富国银行Michael Schumacher估计，企业养老基金可能将不得不弥补约1250亿美元的债券缺口，这是十年来最大的缺口。Schumacher还表示，这些措施并非都将在季度末之前全部实施，但他预计，到3月31日，这些基金将购买大约250亿美元的债券以弥补这一缺口。Schumacher还认为，通常投资者会因为股市的良好表现而减少持股并重新平衡资产，因此美股将承受抛售压力。但由于美债收益率持续飙升，股票常常被大杀估值；而每当美债收益率稳定下来时，股票的表现就会转好。随着周一美债收益率下滑，美股尤其是纳斯达克100指数得到了喘息。银行需求放缓，养老金已是美债大买家在2020年，经济不确定性增加，加上刺激方案，导致储蓄额急剧上升，银行系统中的客户存款显着增加。这使银行能够增加其证券投资组合的规模，从而带动了银行对美国国债的强烈需求。美银预计，今年，因为非储备存款的增长速度将放缓至正常水平，并且贷款需求将回升，今年银行对美债的需求将下降。而养老金和LDI（负债驱动投资）对美债的需求仍将保持强劲。这意味着，随着资金状况的改善和费率的提高，养老金将成为今年重要的债券买家。美银发现，10年期名义收益率的变化与养老金和保险公司的国债需求之间存在正相关关系，后者遵循类似的资产负债管理策略。由此，美银预计这些投资者的需求将增加50到1500亿美元。市场预期截至周一美股收盘，FANG涨势良好，Facebook、亚马逊、Netflix、谷歌母公司Alphabet和苹果止跌反弹。BTIG股票和衍生品策略主管Julian Emanuel表示，投资者对FANG的抛售已经到头了，他预计成长型股票将受益于本季度末美债收益率的下跌。Emanuel同时表示，股市实际上可能处于拐点。而Schumacher也表示，目前美债收益率下降，可能在几周内会保持稳定，但在未来会继续攀升，并导致美股受挫。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":336892249,"gmtCreate":1610055803781,"gmtModify":1703742385271,"author":{"id":"3566606770733259","authorId":"3566606770733259","name":"Dxc21st","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f56a2dee1e5883fa7ab02bcfabf8a624","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"老虎入金挺容易的","listText":"老虎入金挺容易的","text":"老虎入金挺容易的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336892249","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1174,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":389187373,"gmtCreate":1612735505492,"gmtModify":1703764451930,"author":{"id":"3566606770733259","authorId":"3566606770733259","name":"Dxc21st","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f56a2dee1e5883fa7ab02bcfabf8a624","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"春节，各家App都在疯狂在图标上标注春节福利分几个亿，支付宝集五福、抖音新年分20亿、快手新年分21亿、百度新年分22亿、拼多多新年分28亿，不过都不如乐视优秀，你们这几家要瓜分的资金加起来，也填不满乐视","listText":"春节，各家App都在疯狂在图标上标注春节福利分几个亿，支付宝集五福、抖音新年分20亿、快手新年分21亿、百度新年分22亿、拼多多新年分28亿，不过都不如乐视优秀，你们这几家要瓜分的资金加起来，也填不满乐视","text":"春节，各家App都在疯狂在图标上标注春节福利分几个亿，支付宝集五福、抖音新年分20亿、快手新年分21亿、百度新年分22亿、拼多多新年分28亿，不过都不如乐视优秀，你们这几家要瓜分的资金加起来，也填不满乐视","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389187373","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":389187148,"gmtCreate":1612735542084,"gmtModify":1703764451759,"author":{"id":"3566606770733259","authorId":"3566606770733259","name":"Dxc21st","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f56a2dee1e5883fa7ab02bcfabf8a624","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"本周，港股重要指数均上涨，恒生小型股（涨6.2%）、恒生科技（涨4.7%）和恒生综合指数（涨4.3%）领涨，恒生中型股上涨4.2%，恒生大型股上涨4.2%，恒生指数上涨3.6%，恒生国企指数上涨3.1%。行业上，除综合业和电讯业外，重要行业指数均上涨，恒生医疗保健业、资讯科技业和非必需性消费业领涨。","listText":"本周，港股重要指数均上涨，恒生小型股（涨6.2%）、恒生科技（涨4.7%）和恒生综合指数（涨4.3%）领涨，恒生中型股上涨4.2%，恒生大型股上涨4.2%，恒生指数上涨3.6%，恒生国企指数上涨3.1%。行业上，除综合业和电讯业外，重要行业指数均上涨，恒生医疗保健业、资讯科技业和非必需性消费业领涨。","text":"本周，港股重要指数均上涨，恒生小型股（涨6.2%）、恒生科技（涨4.7%）和恒生综合指数（涨4.3%）领涨，恒生中型股上涨4.2%，恒生大型股上涨4.2%，恒生指数上涨3.6%，恒生国企指数上涨3.1%。行业上，除综合业和电讯业外，重要行业指数均上涨，恒生医疗保健业、资讯科技业和非必需性消费业领涨。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389187148","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":388996383,"gmtCreate":1613007937142,"gmtModify":1703768296259,"author":{"id":"3566606770733259","authorId":"3566606770733259","name":"Dxc21st","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f56a2dee1e5883fa7ab02bcfabf8a624","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"App都在疯狂在图标上标注春节福利分几个亿，支付宝集五福、抖音新年分20亿、快手新年分21亿、百度新年分22亿、拼多多新年分28亿，不过都不如乐视优秀，你们这几家要瓜分的资金加起来，也填","listText":"App都在疯狂在图标上标注春节福利分几个亿，支付宝集五福、抖音新年分20亿、快手新年分21亿、百度新年分22亿、拼多多新年分28亿，不过都不如乐视优秀，你们这几家要瓜分的资金加起来，也填","text":"App都在疯狂在图标上标注春节福利分几个亿，支付宝集五福、抖音新年分20亿、快手新年分21亿、百度新年分22亿、拼多多新年分28亿，不过都不如乐视优秀，你们这几家要瓜分的资金加起来，也填","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/388996383","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":310168376,"gmtCreate":1611285793895,"gmtModify":1703749434885,"author":{"id":"3566606770733259","authorId":"3566606770733259","name":"Dxc21st","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f56a2dee1e5883fa7ab02bcfabf8a624","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"英特尔泄露事件很奇怪","listText":"英特尔泄露事件很奇怪","text":"英特尔泄露事件很奇怪","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310168376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1369,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363604974,"gmtCreate":1614130777398,"gmtModify":1614130777398,"author":{"id":"3566606770733259","authorId":"3566606770733259","name":"Dxc21st","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f56a2dee1e5883fa7ab02bcfabf8a624","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363604974","repostId":"382509454","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":382509454,"gmtCreate":1613461068174,"gmtModify":1613713102654,"author":{"id":"3697910994240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全球央行火力全开，海外市场高歌猛进 农历春节期间，海外市场延续着高歌猛进的表现，除了美联储货币、财政带来的双宽松，欧日央行也在延续QE，因此出现指数级表现不足为奇。一如年初时展望，我们仍然看好Q1美股表现，对应4000点的位置。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 上半年美股有哪些投资主线? 风格方面，一季度财政纾困资金可能外溢到权益市场，加上风险偏好以及温和波动的美债利率，可能加速推动海外成长股配置， 1）基于人民币升值和企业增长的长期主线：我们认为未来1-2年中概股仍将跑赢主流权益资产；<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$</a> 其次未来宽松边际拐点的必然出现，大概率会令内生能力更强的成长股迎来配置潮，我们重点看好具备国际化业务和能力的海外科技。(图4） 2）预计4月份疫苗全面接种，相应的美国通胀进入预警阶段，经济上行带动价值和周期前景提升：比如业绩对通胀比较敏感的银行股（尤其是消费类银行），重点看好<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$美国银行(BAC)$</a> ，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">$花旗(C)$</a> ，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$摩根士丹利(MS)$</a> ； 还有具备抗通胀属性的比特币概念股，重点看好海外支付龙头","listText":"核心观点 全球央行火力全开，海外市场高歌猛进 农历春节期间，海外市场延续着高歌猛进的表现，除了美联储货币、财政带来的双宽松，欧日央行也在延续QE，因此出现指数级表现不足为奇。一如年初时展望，我们仍然看好Q1美股表现，对应4000点的位置。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 上半年美股有哪些投资主线? 风格方面，一季度财政纾困资金可能外溢到权益市场，加上风险偏好以及温和波动的美债利率，可能加速推动海外成长股配置， 1）基于人民币升值和企业增长的长期主线：我们认为未来1-2年中概股仍将跑赢主流权益资产；<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$</a> 其次未来宽松边际拐点的必然出现，大概率会令内生能力更强的成长股迎来配置潮，我们重点看好具备国际化业务和能力的海外科技。(图4） 2）预计4月份疫苗全面接种，相应的美国通胀进入预警阶段，经济上行带动价值和周期前景提升：比如业绩对通胀比较敏感的银行股（尤其是消费类银行），重点看好<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$美国银行(BAC)$</a> ，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">$花旗(C)$</a> ，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$摩根士丹利(MS)$</a> ； 还有具备抗通胀属性的比特币概念股，重点看好海外支付龙头","text":"核心观点 全球央行火力全开，海外市场高歌猛进 农历春节期间，海外市场延续着高歌猛进的表现，除了美联储货币、财政带来的双宽松，欧日央行也在延续QE，因此出现指数级表现不足为奇。一如年初时展望，我们仍然看好Q1美股表现，对应4000点的位置。$标普500(.SPX)$ 上半年美股有哪些投资主线? 风格方面，一季度财政纾困资金可能外溢到权益市场，加上风险偏好以及温和波动的美债利率，可能加速推动海外成长股配置， 1）基于人民币升值和企业增长的长期主线：我们认为未来1-2年中概股仍将跑赢主流权益资产；$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ 其次未来宽松边际拐点的必然出现，大概率会令内生能力更强的成长股迎来配置潮，我们重点看好具备国际化业务和能力的海外科技。(图4） 2）预计4月份疫苗全面接种，相应的美国通胀进入预警阶段，经济上行带动价值和周期前景提升：比如业绩对通胀比较敏感的银行股（尤其是消费类银行），重点看好$美国银行(BAC)$ ，$花旗(C)$ ，$摩根士丹利(MS)$ ； 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碾压预期式财务数据： Q4财报数据来看，呈现碾压预期的态势，也扭转英特尔Q2Q3发财报跌10个点的惯例，具体来看： a&nbsp;公司营收和EPS均超过最高预估。 营收200亿美元，同比增长-1％，估计为175亿美元（彭博市场共识） 数据中心业务部营收61亿美元，同比增长-15％，估计为53.7亿美元 物联网营收7.77亿美元，估计为6.344亿美元 Mobileye营收3.33亿美元，预计为2.498亿美元 调整后每股收益1.52美元，估计为 1.11美元（范围$ 1.09至$ 1.18） 调整后毛利率58.4％，估计为54.9％ b&nbsp;一季度指引远超预期。 英特尔预计2021年第一季度营收约为186亿美元，Non-GAAP下的营收约为175亿美元，均高于分析师预期的161.8亿美元。公司预计一季度EPS约为每股收益1.03美元，Non-GAAP EPS为1.10美元。 c&nbsp;年度股息提高至每股1.39美元。 公司董事会宣布将现金股息提高5%，达到每股1.39美元；按季度普通股每股派发0.3475美元的股息，股息将于3月1日支付给2月7日之前登记在册的股东。 分业务来看： 包括个人电脑芯片在内的英特尔客户端计算事业部（CCG）四季度营收109亿美元，同比增长9%，环比增长近11%。2020全年营收401亿美元，同比增长8%并创史高。 公司表示，以个人电脑为中心的收入创新高，直接推动四季度总营收大幅超越此前官方指引，其中，在笔记本电脑销量创新高的带动下，PC销量同比跳涨33%。分析指出，英特尔显著受益于新冠疫情下的居家工作和远程上课需求。 专注为云计算和服务器制造商提供芯片的数据中心业务部（DCG）四季","listText":"目睹了半导体公司近期强势财报后，对英特尔也是期待满满。夹杂着换帅预期，以及诸多挑战，除了黑客之外，英特尔这份Q4财报多是惊喜。接下来就看新帅的表演了。 碾压预期式财务数据： Q4财报数据来看，呈现碾压预期的态势，也扭转英特尔Q2Q3发财报跌10个点的惯例，具体来看： a&nbsp;公司营收和EPS均超过最高预估。 营收200亿美元，同比增长-1％，估计为175亿美元（彭博市场共识） 数据中心业务部营收61亿美元，同比增长-15％，估计为53.7亿美元 物联网营收7.77亿美元，估计为6.344亿美元 Mobileye营收3.33亿美元，预计为2.498亿美元 调整后每股收益1.52美元，估计为 1.11美元（范围$ 1.09至$ 1.18） 调整后毛利率58.4％，估计为54.9％ b&nbsp;一季度指引远超预期。 英特尔预计2021年第一季度营收约为186亿美元，Non-GAAP下的营收约为175亿美元，均高于分析师预期的161.8亿美元。公司预计一季度EPS约为每股收益1.03美元，Non-GAAP EPS为1.10美元。 c&nbsp;年度股息提高至每股1.39美元。 公司董事会宣布将现金股息提高5%，达到每股1.39美元；按季度普通股每股派发0.3475美元的股息，股息将于3月1日支付给2月7日之前登记在册的股东。 分业务来看： 包括个人电脑芯片在内的英特尔客户端计算事业部（CCG）四季度营收109亿美元，同比增长9%，环比增长近11%。2020全年营收401亿美元，同比增长8%并创史高。 公司表示，以个人电脑为中心的收入创新高，直接推动四季度总营收大幅超越此前官方指引，其中，在笔记本电脑销量创新高的带动下，PC销量同比跳涨33%。分析指出，英特尔显著受益于新冠疫情下的居家工作和远程上课需求。 专注为云计算和服务器制造商提供芯片的数据中心业务部（DCG）四季","text":"目睹了半导体公司近期强势财报后，对英特尔也是期待满满。夹杂着换帅预期，以及诸多挑战，除了黑客之外，英特尔这份Q4财报多是惊喜。接下来就看新帅的表演了。 碾压预期式财务数据： Q4财报数据来看，呈现碾压预期的态势，也扭转英特尔Q2Q3发财报跌10个点的惯例，具体来看： a 公司营收和EPS均超过最高预估。 营收200亿美元，同比增长-1％，估计为175亿美元（彭博市场共识） 数据中心业务部营收61亿美元，同比增长-15％，估计为53.7亿美元 物联网营收7.77亿美元，估计为6.344亿美元 Mobileye营收3.33亿美元，预计为2.498亿美元 调整后每股收益1.52美元，估计为 1.11美元（范围$ 1.09至$ 1.18） 调整后毛利率58.4％，估计为54.9％ b 一季度指引远超预期。 英特尔预计2021年第一季度营收约为186亿美元，Non-GAAP下的营收约为175亿美元，均高于分析师预期的161.8亿美元。公司预计一季度EPS约为每股收益1.03美元，Non-GAAP EPS为1.10美元。 c 年度股息提高至每股1.39美元。 公司董事会宣布将现金股息提高5%，达到每股1.39美元；按季度普通股每股派发0.3475美元的股息，股息将于3月1日支付给2月7日之前登记在册的股东。 分业务来看： 包括个人电脑芯片在内的英特尔客户端计算事业部（CCG）四季度营收109亿美元，同比增长9%，环比增长近11%。2020全年营收401亿美元，同比增长8%并创史高。 公司表示，以个人电脑为中心的收入创新高，直接推动四季度总营收大幅超越此前官方指引，其中，在笔记本电脑销量创新高的带动下，PC销量同比跳涨33%。分析指出，英特尔显著受益于新冠疫情下的居家工作和远程上课需求。 专注为云计算和服务器制造商提供芯片的数据中心业务部（DCG）四季","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98b4f4a4171aa3885caefddc3a3495ac","width":"1444","height":"761"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0e37dd8f21a1edea3552b6202dfb936","width":"984","height":"547"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/081b808769e8c0df5df0d1640aeb3c4a","width":"960","height":"572"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/310808119","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":332297687,"gmtCreate":1610404104249,"gmtModify":1703744083869,"author":{"id":"3566606770733259","authorId":"3566606770733259","name":"Dxc21st","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f56a2dee1e5883fa7ab02bcfabf8a624","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"黄金的基本面没变，长期看多","listText":"黄金的基本面没变，长期看多","text":"黄金的基本面没变，长期看多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/332297687","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":369203951,"gmtCreate":1614044109873,"gmtModify":1614044109873,"author":{"id":"3566606770733259","authorId":"3566606770733259","name":"Dxc21st","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f56a2dee1e5883fa7ab02bcfabf8a624","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"期货国内外有啥不同呢？","htmlText":"国际期货和国内期货到底都有哪些不同。说来这些不同之处很是细碎而且简单，如果帖子里有没有提及的地方，欢迎大家集思广益多多补充。首先就提一下锁单这个功能，锁单也叫锁头，或者叫锁仓，是国内期货市场很常见的一种操作方式，顾名思义，就是说操盘者通过开和现持有合约方向相反但月份相同，手数相同的仓位来锁住现有账户盈亏的一种方式，不论市场怎么波动，锁仓后，你的账户盈亏都保持在锁仓时候的状态，有点像古代的刻舟求剑，是不是感觉很神奇。其实原理很简单，你同时持有方向相反的合约，涨跌被自动冲销了嘛。但和平仓不同的是，平仓后你不再有持仓，而锁仓后你将持有更多的合约，而且需要解锁和分别平仓，其实盈亏上，和不锁仓是一样的，这种功能只有国内期货市场上才有，国际市场上则在10年前就取消了。国际期货市场上只有买入和卖出两个基本操作方向。在此基础上，有多种订单类型可以组合成投资策略，比如：市价单，限价单，止损单，跟踪止损单，止损限价单等。这些订单功能，我们会在以后详细介绍。但唯独没有锁仓这个功能，早在2008年，美国监管机构就考虑取消交易商的锁单功能了，根据10多年前出台的美国全国期货协会（National Futures Association---NFA）2-43条款，认为锁单会增加交易者不必要的成本，所以决定取消锁单的功能，不允许投资者同时持有方向相反的相同期货合约仓位，当你如上述操作时，结果是原来的仓位被直接平掉。这个决定后来被全球各大交易所效法，外盘期货上我们目前很难看到有锁单功能的合约存在了。具体为什么说锁仓会增加不必要的成本呢？给大家举个例子就明白了以恒指走势为例，我们来看看锁仓和平仓的差别。（恒指一个点50港币）按照锁仓交易：1、早上突破前期高位28960开买一手。2、MACD出现死叉，29220开卖一手。（可能出现回调，锁仓等待回调解锁）3、MACD低位金叉，布林带突破中轨，29170平空单一","listText":"国际期货和国内期货到底都有哪些不同。说来这些不同之处很是细碎而且简单，如果帖子里有没有提及的地方，欢迎大家集思广益多多补充。首先就提一下锁单这个功能，锁单也叫锁头，或者叫锁仓，是国内期货市场很常见的一种操作方式，顾名思义，就是说操盘者通过开和现持有合约方向相反但月份相同，手数相同的仓位来锁住现有账户盈亏的一种方式，不论市场怎么波动，锁仓后，你的账户盈亏都保持在锁仓时候的状态，有点像古代的刻舟求剑，是不是感觉很神奇。其实原理很简单，你同时持有方向相反的合约，涨跌被自动冲销了嘛。但和平仓不同的是，平仓后你不再有持仓，而锁仓后你将持有更多的合约，而且需要解锁和分别平仓，其实盈亏上，和不锁仓是一样的，这种功能只有国内期货市场上才有，国际市场上则在10年前就取消了。国际期货市场上只有买入和卖出两个基本操作方向。在此基础上，有多种订单类型可以组合成投资策略，比如：市价单，限价单，止损单，跟踪止损单，止损限价单等。这些订单功能，我们会在以后详细介绍。但唯独没有锁仓这个功能，早在2008年，美国监管机构就考虑取消交易商的锁单功能了，根据10多年前出台的美国全国期货协会（National Futures Association---NFA）2-43条款，认为锁单会增加交易者不必要的成本，所以决定取消锁单的功能，不允许投资者同时持有方向相反的相同期货合约仓位，当你如上述操作时，结果是原来的仓位被直接平掉。这个决定后来被全球各大交易所效法，外盘期货上我们目前很难看到有锁单功能的合约存在了。具体为什么说锁仓会增加不必要的成本呢？给大家举个例子就明白了以恒指走势为例，我们来看看锁仓和平仓的差别。（恒指一个点50港币）按照锁仓交易：1、早上突破前期高位28960开买一手。2、MACD出现死叉，29220开卖一手。（可能出现回调，锁仓等待回调解锁）3、MACD低位金叉，布林带突破中轨，29170平空单一","text":"国际期货和国内期货到底都有哪些不同。说来这些不同之处很是细碎而且简单，如果帖子里有没有提及的地方，欢迎大家集思广益多多补充。首先就提一下锁单这个功能，锁单也叫锁头，或者叫锁仓，是国内期货市场很常见的一种操作方式，顾名思义，就是说操盘者通过开和现持有合约方向相反但月份相同，手数相同的仓位来锁住现有账户盈亏的一种方式，不论市场怎么波动，锁仓后，你的账户盈亏都保持在锁仓时候的状态，有点像古代的刻舟求剑，是不是感觉很神奇。其实原理很简单，你同时持有方向相反的合约，涨跌被自动冲销了嘛。但和平仓不同的是，平仓后你不再有持仓，而锁仓后你将持有更多的合约，而且需要解锁和分别平仓，其实盈亏上，和不锁仓是一样的，这种功能只有国内期货市场上才有，国际市场上则在10年前就取消了。国际期货市场上只有买入和卖出两个基本操作方向。在此基础上，有多种订单类型可以组合成投资策略，比如：市价单，限价单，止损单，跟踪止损单，止损限价单等。这些订单功能，我们会在以后详细介绍。但唯独没有锁仓这个功能，早在2008年，美国监管机构就考虑取消交易商的锁单功能了，根据10多年前出台的美国全国期货协会（National Futures Association---NFA）2-43条款，认为锁单会增加交易者不必要的成本，所以决定取消锁单的功能，不允许投资者同时持有方向相反的相同期货合约仓位，当你如上述操作时，结果是原来的仓位被直接平掉。这个决定后来被全球各大交易所效法，外盘期货上我们目前很难看到有锁单功能的合约存在了。具体为什么说锁仓会增加不必要的成本呢？给大家举个例子就明白了以恒指走势为例，我们来看看锁仓和平仓的差别。（恒指一个点50港币）按照锁仓交易：1、早上突破前期高位28960开买一手。2、MACD出现死叉，29220开卖一手。（可能出现回调，锁仓等待回调解锁）3、MACD低位金叉，布林带突破中轨，29170平空单一","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/369203951","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}