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ShawnTai

ShawnTai

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2021-06-22

Yes.. to the moon 🌝. Like and comments if you agree! [开心]

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2021-06-26

Definitely BABA is under value. I always find BABA and Facebook price are about same range.

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2021-07-15

Well.. market not really follow this number now

U.S. weekly jobless claims total 360,000, as expected<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计36万，符合预期</blockquote>

2021-06-21

How to get post trending, post feature and comments feature coins reward?

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2021-07-10

I would buy both with ratio TSM 4:1 UMC

Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote>

2021-06-24

When NASDAQ will take over Dow Jones? Please comment

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2021-07-20

Delta is not new... Later Alpha fear then Sigma fear then Omega fear. [捂脸]

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2021-07-02

Buy and hold for 2-3 years, yesterday fell is just nothing

Why NIO Stock Climbed and Then Fell on Thursday<blockquote>为什么蔚来股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>

2021-06-29

FAAMG. Who is next?

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2021-06-29

NASDAQ 🚀. Like and Comments

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[抠鼻]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803205159","repostId":"2154146679","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":809219204,"gmtCreate":1627372276308,"gmtModify":1631891366403,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alibaba told he was beat up by his Dad. I realize how serious&nbsp;untill see Alibaba bleeding badly...&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"Alibaba told he was beat up by his Dad. I realize how serious&nbsp;untill see Alibaba bleeding badly...&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"Alibaba told he was beat up by his Dad. I realize how serious untill see Alibaba bleeding badly... [流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809219204","repostId":"1145674771","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5696,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":174589615,"gmtCreate":1627111133137,"gmtModify":1631891366420,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Invest what you believe and study. NIO is not Nikola, NIO has proven it's selling points and values. I am patient...&nbsp;","listText":"Invest what you believe and study. NIO is not Nikola, NIO has proven it's selling points and values. I am patient...&nbsp;","text":"Invest what you believe and study. NIO is not Nikola, NIO has proven it's selling points and values. I am patient...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174589615","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售价格较高的汽车，与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在近期。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售价格较高的汽车，与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在近期。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172930941,"gmtCreate":1626925686483,"gmtModify":1631891366430,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"He must have&nbsp;added more Bitcoin below 30k. Tell me he is not influencer?[白眼]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"He must have&nbsp;added more Bitcoin below 30k. Tell me he is not influencer?[白眼]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"He must have added more Bitcoin below 30k. Tell me he is not influencer?[白眼]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172930941","repostId":"1190301036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172990753,"gmtCreate":1626925204372,"gmtModify":1631891366440,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This tell me NIO 🚀 to 🌝&nbsp;when listed in HK. All in NIO","listText":"This tell me NIO 🚀 to 🌝&nbsp;when listed in HK. All in NIO","text":"This tell me NIO 🚀 to 🌝 when listed in HK. All in NIO","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172990753","repostId":"2153123625","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2751,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171574695,"gmtCreate":1626753570217,"gmtModify":1631891366460,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"O Lin Peak loh","listText":"O Lin Peak loh","text":"O Lin Peak loh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171574695","repostId":"1122427994","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2710,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171532398,"gmtCreate":1626749611514,"gmtModify":1631891366467,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Both masters mind to create another big calculator like US dollars.&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"Both masters mind to create another big calculator like US dollars.&nbsp;[喷血]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"Both masters mind to create another big calculator like US dollars. [喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171532398","repostId":"1166803291","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":171227608,"gmtCreate":1626747201304,"gmtModify":1631892553917,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Delta is not new... Later Alpha fear then Sigma fear then Omega fear.&nbsp;&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"Delta is not new... Later Alpha fear then Sigma fear then Omega fear.&nbsp;&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"Delta is not new... Later Alpha fear then Sigma fear then Omega fear. [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171227608","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":173000012,"gmtCreate":1626581710336,"gmtModify":1631892553932,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When missed the&nbsp;goal, must find someone to blame.[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"When missed the&nbsp;goal, must find someone to blame.[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"When missed the goal, must find someone to blame.[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173000012","repostId":"2152368129","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":179776204,"gmtCreate":1626581386408,"gmtModify":1631892553949,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What are the old industries adapt to new technology? Can be EV,&nbsp;renewable energy, agriculture..?","listText":"What are the old industries adapt to new technology? Can be EV,&nbsp;renewable energy, agriculture..?","text":"What are the old industries adapt to new technology? Can be EV, renewable energy, agriculture..?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179776204","repostId":"1123523681","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":906,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179180893,"gmtCreate":1626492742312,"gmtModify":1631892553956,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Don't buy what u can't afford to lose.&nbsp;","listText":"Don't buy what u can't afford to lose.&nbsp;","text":"Don't buy what u can't afford to lose.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179180893","repostId":"1149577900","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":694,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170360221,"gmtCreate":1626405089963,"gmtModify":1631892553968,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Come on... He just woke up after deep sleeping&nbsp;2&nbsp;years.[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"Come on... He just woke up after deep sleeping&nbsp;2&nbsp;years.[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"Come on... He just woke up after deep sleeping 2 years.[捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170360221","repostId":"1130216654","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130216654","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626401928,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130216654?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 10:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why an Analyst Raised AMD’s Price Target by 459%<blockquote>为什么分析师将AMD目标价上调459%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130216654","media":"Barron's","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices succeeded in turning around a longtime bear Thursday after the chip maker acc","content":"<p>Advanced Micro Devices succeeded in turning around a longtime bear Thursday after the chip maker accelerated its market-share gains in server processors at the expense of rival Intel.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices周四成功扭转了长期的熊市，此前这家芯片制造商以牺牲竞争对手英特尔的利益为代价，加速了服务器处理器市场份额的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup analyst Christopher Danely upgraded his call on AMD shares (ticker: AMD) to Neutral from Sell, and bumped his price target to $95 from $17—a spike of 459%.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团分析师Christopher Danely将AMD股票（股票代码：AMD）的看涨期权从卖出上调至中性，并将目标价从17美元上调至95美元，涨幅为459%。</blockquote></p><p> Danely wrote in a Thursday note that his team’s checks suggest that AMD is taking market share from Intel (INTC)–gaining 1.5% in the first quarter—for the first time in 15 years. He predicts the gains will continue and that AMD will reach a 20% market share by the end of 2022, close to the company’s previous peak. In the beginning of 2019, AMD had a share of roughly 2.5% in server multiprocessing units, according to Citi’s data.</p><p><blockquote>Danely在周四的一份报告中写道，他的团队的检查表明，AMD正在从英特尔(INTC)手中夺取市场份额——第一季度增长了1.5%——这是15年来的首次。他预测这种增长将持续下去，AMD将在2022年底达到20%的市场份额，接近该公司之前的峰值。根据花旗的数据，2019年初，AMD在服务器多处理单元中的份额约为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s share gains should last at least two years, he said—benefiting from ongoing production problems at Intel, among other things. Intel’s next-generation production technology will suffer from delays, the analyst predicted. Production holdups likely mean that Intel’s margins will thin, as semiconductor manufacturers typically increase their profit the longer a chip is produced.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，AMD的份额增长应该会持续至少两年——受益于英特尔持续的生产问题等。这位分析师预测，英特尔的下一代生产技术将遭受延迟。生产停滞可能意味着英特尔的利润率将会下降，因为芯片生产的时间越长，半导体制造商的利润通常就会增加。</blockquote></p><p> For investors who buy in to Danely’s thesis, the analyst recommends a pairs trade: underweight Intel stock while overweighting AMD shares. A pairs trade typically involves two stocks whose movements are inversely linked: An investor shorts, or bets against, one, while taking a long position in the other. Danely wrote that risks to such a trade include Intel fixing its production issues in a shorter-than-expected time frame and AMD facing delays with its server chips.</p><p><blockquote>对于认同Danely论文的投资者，分析师建议进行配对交易：跑输大盘英特尔股票，同时增持AMD股票。配对交易通常涉及两只走势呈负相关的股票：投资者做空或做空一只股票，同时做多另一只股票。Danely写道，此类交易的风险包括英特尔在比预期更短的时间内解决其生产问题，以及AMD面临其服务器芯片的延迟。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, Danely had justified his relatively low AMD target price with a prediction that Intel would engage in a price war with AMD and crush its advances into markets dominated by Intel. Danely wrote that he still views a price war in central processing units as likely, and now expects it to begin when personal computer sales cool and Intel’s market-share losses Mount.</p><p><blockquote>此前，Danely曾预测英特尔将与AMD进行价格战，并粉碎其进军英特尔主导市场的步伐，以此来证明其相对较低的AMD目标价是合理的。丹利写道，他仍然认为中央处理器有可能爆发价格战，现在预计当个人电脑销售降温和英特尔市场份额损失增加时，这场价格战将会开始。</blockquote></p><p> Despite Danely’s positive call on AMD—and a videogame hardware announcement featuring the company’s chips—shares fell 2.4% to close the regular session at $86.93. Intel stock dropped 1.3%, to $55.81, amid broad weakness in tech, including chip stocks, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) reported earnings before the opening bell Thursday. The PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Danely对AMD的看涨期权持积极态度，并发布了以该公司芯片为特色的视频游戏硬件公告，但该公司股价仍下跌2.4%，常规交易日收于86.93美元。台积电(TSM)周四开盘前公布财报后，由于包括芯片股在内的科技股普遍疲软，英特尔股价下跌1.3%，至55.81美元。PHLX半导体指数下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why an Analyst Raised AMD’s Price Target by 459%<blockquote>为什么分析师将AMD目标价上调459%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy an Analyst Raised AMD’s Price Target by 459%<blockquote>为什么分析师将AMD目标价上调459%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-16 10:18</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Advanced Micro Devices succeeded in turning around a longtime bear Thursday after the chip maker accelerated its market-share gains in server processors at the expense of rival Intel.</p><p><blockquote>Advanced Micro Devices周四成功扭转了长期的熊市，此前这家芯片制造商以牺牲竞争对手英特尔的利益为代价，加速了服务器处理器市场份额的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Citigroup analyst Christopher Danely upgraded his call on AMD shares (ticker: AMD) to Neutral from Sell, and bumped his price target to $95 from $17—a spike of 459%.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团分析师Christopher Danely将AMD股票（股票代码：AMD）的看涨期权从卖出上调至中性，并将目标价从17美元上调至95美元，涨幅为459%。</blockquote></p><p> Danely wrote in a Thursday note that his team’s checks suggest that AMD is taking market share from Intel (INTC)–gaining 1.5% in the first quarter—for the first time in 15 years. He predicts the gains will continue and that AMD will reach a 20% market share by the end of 2022, close to the company’s previous peak. In the beginning of 2019, AMD had a share of roughly 2.5% in server multiprocessing units, according to Citi’s data.</p><p><blockquote>Danely在周四的一份报告中写道，他的团队的检查表明，AMD正在从英特尔(INTC)手中夺取市场份额——第一季度增长了1.5%——这是15年来的首次。他预测这种增长将持续下去，AMD将在2022年底达到20%的市场份额，接近该公司之前的峰值。根据花旗的数据，2019年初，AMD在服务器多处理单元中的份额约为2.5%。</blockquote></p><p> AMD’s share gains should last at least two years, he said—benefiting from ongoing production problems at Intel, among other things. Intel’s next-generation production technology will suffer from delays, the analyst predicted. Production holdups likely mean that Intel’s margins will thin, as semiconductor manufacturers typically increase their profit the longer a chip is produced.</p><p><blockquote>他表示，AMD的份额增长应该会持续至少两年——受益于英特尔持续的生产问题等。这位分析师预测，英特尔的下一代生产技术将遭受延迟。生产停滞可能意味着英特尔的利润率将会下降，因为芯片生产的时间越长，半导体制造商的利润通常就会增加。</blockquote></p><p> For investors who buy in to Danely’s thesis, the analyst recommends a pairs trade: underweight Intel stock while overweighting AMD shares. A pairs trade typically involves two stocks whose movements are inversely linked: An investor shorts, or bets against, one, while taking a long position in the other. Danely wrote that risks to such a trade include Intel fixing its production issues in a shorter-than-expected time frame and AMD facing delays with its server chips.</p><p><blockquote>对于认同Danely论文的投资者，分析师建议进行配对交易：跑输大盘英特尔股票，同时增持AMD股票。配对交易通常涉及两只走势呈负相关的股票：投资者做空或做空一只股票，同时做多另一只股票。Danely写道，此类交易的风险包括英特尔在比预期更短的时间内解决其生产问题，以及AMD面临其服务器芯片的延迟。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, Danely had justified his relatively low AMD target price with a prediction that Intel would engage in a price war with AMD and crush its advances into markets dominated by Intel. Danely wrote that he still views a price war in central processing units as likely, and now expects it to begin when personal computer sales cool and Intel’s market-share losses Mount.</p><p><blockquote>此前，Danely曾预测英特尔将与AMD进行价格战，并粉碎其进军英特尔主导市场的步伐，以此来证明其相对较低的AMD目标价是合理的。丹利写道，他仍然认为中央处理器有可能爆发价格战，现在预计当个人电脑销售降温和英特尔市场份额损失增加时，这场价格战将会开始。</blockquote></p><p> Despite Danely’s positive call on AMD—and a videogame hardware announcement featuring the company’s chips—shares fell 2.4% to close the regular session at $86.93. Intel stock dropped 1.3%, to $55.81, amid broad weakness in tech, including chip stocks, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) reported earnings before the opening bell Thursday. The PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>尽管Danely对AMD的看涨期权持积极态度，并发布了以该公司芯片为特色的视频游戏硬件公告，但该公司股价仍下跌2.4%，常规交易日收于86.93美元。台积电(TSM)周四开盘前公布财报后，由于包括芯片股在内的科技股普遍疲软，英特尔股价下跌1.3%，至55.81美元。PHLX半导体指数下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amd-stock-51626387836?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/amd-stock-51626387836?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130216654","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices succeeded in turning around a longtime bear Thursday after the chip maker accelerated its market-share gains in server processors at the expense of rival Intel.\nCitigroup analyst Christopher Danely upgraded his call on AMD shares (ticker: AMD) to Neutral from Sell, and bumped his price target to $95 from $17—a spike of 459%.\nDanely wrote in a Thursday note that his team’s checks suggest that AMD is taking market share from Intel (INTC)–gaining 1.5% in the first quarter—for the first time in 15 years. He predicts the gains will continue and that AMD will reach a 20% market share by the end of 2022, close to the company’s previous peak. In the beginning of 2019, AMD had a share of roughly 2.5% in server multiprocessing units, according to Citi’s data.\nAMD’s share gains should last at least two years, he said—benefiting from ongoing production problems at Intel, among other things. Intel’s next-generation production technology will suffer from delays, the analyst predicted. Production holdups likely mean that Intel’s margins will thin, as semiconductor manufacturers typically increase their profit the longer a chip is produced.\nFor investors who buy in to Danely’s thesis, the analyst recommends a pairs trade: underweight Intel stock while overweighting AMD shares. A pairs trade typically involves two stocks whose movements are inversely linked: An investor shorts, or bets against, one, while taking a long position in the other. Danely wrote that risks to such a trade include Intel fixing its production issues in a shorter-than-expected time frame and AMD facing delays with its server chips.\nPreviously, Danely had justified his relatively low AMD target price with a prediction that Intel would engage in a price war with AMD and crush its advances into markets dominated by Intel. Danely wrote that he still views a price war in central processing units as likely, and now expects it to begin when personal computer sales cool and Intel’s market-share losses Mount.\nDespite Danely’s positive call on AMD—and a videogame hardware announcement featuring the company’s chips—shares fell 2.4% to close the regular session at $86.93. Intel stock dropped 1.3%, to $55.81, amid broad weakness in tech, including chip stocks, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) reported earnings before the opening bell Thursday. The PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 2.2%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2132,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":170388662,"gmtCreate":1626404703156,"gmtModify":1631892553979,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"SPACs could be next WS disaster","listText":"SPACs could be next WS disaster","text":"SPACs could be next WS disaster","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170388662","repostId":"1177508529","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":984,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170337502,"gmtCreate":1626403844706,"gmtModify":1631892553991,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It is true when on high is excited and&nbsp;beautiful. Don't fall, it could be deadly.","listText":"It is true when on high is excited and&nbsp;beautiful. Don't fall, it could be deadly.","text":"It is true when on high is excited and beautiful. Don't fall, it could be deadly.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170337502","repostId":"2151573133","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":871,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147694946,"gmtCreate":1626355130285,"gmtModify":1631892554001,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well.. market not really follow this number now","listText":"Well.. market not really follow this number now","text":"Well.. market not really follow this number now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147694946","repostId":"1140240161","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140240161","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626352521,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140240161?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 20:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. weekly jobless claims total 360,000, as expected<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计36万，符合预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140240161","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"New weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level since March 2020, closing back in on pre-pandemic","content":"<p>New weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level since March 2020, closing back in on pre-pandemic levels as the rate of new joblessness slowed further.</p><p><blockquote>随着新增失业率进一步放缓，每周新申请失业救济人数降至2020年3月以来的最低水平，接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor released its weekly report on new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布了每周新申请失业救济人数报告。与彭博社编制的共识数据相比，以下是该报告的主要指标：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Initial jobless claims, week ended July 10:</b>360,000 vs. 350,000 expected and 373,000 during prior week</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>截至7月10日当周首次申请失业救济人数：</b>360,000，而预期为350,000，前一周为373,000</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Continuing claims, week ended July 3:</b>3.241 million vs. 3.300 million expected and 3.339 million during prior week</p><p><blockquote><li><b>截至7月3日当周的持续索赔：</b>324.1万，预期330万，前一周333.9万</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Initial unemployment claims extended a months-long downward trend and came in below the psychologically important 400,000 level for a third straight week. During the comparable week in mid-July last year, new filings totaled 1.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>首次申请失业救济人数延续了长达数月的下降趋势，并连续第三周低于40万的重要心理水平。去年7月中旬的同一周，新申请总数为150万份。</blockquote></p><p> Markets reacted little to the claims news, with stock market futures pointing lower and government bond yields edging down following the release.</p><p><blockquote>市场对索赔消息反应不大，股市期货走低，政府债券收益率在消息发布后小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. weekly jobless claims total 360,000, as expected<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计36万，符合预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. weekly jobless claims total 360,000, as expected<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计36万，符合预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-15 20:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level since March 2020, closing back in on pre-pandemic levels as the rate of new joblessness slowed further.</p><p><blockquote>随着新增失业率进一步放缓，每周新申请失业救济人数降至2020年3月以来的最低水平，接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor released its weekly report on new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布了每周新申请失业救济人数报告。与彭博社编制的共识数据相比，以下是该报告的主要指标：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Initial jobless claims, week ended July 10:</b>360,000 vs. 350,000 expected and 373,000 during prior week</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>截至7月10日当周首次申请失业救济人数：</b>360,000，而预期为350,000，前一周为373,000</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Continuing claims, week ended July 3:</b>3.241 million vs. 3.300 million expected and 3.339 million during prior week</p><p><blockquote><li><b>截至7月3日当周的持续索赔：</b>324.1万，预期330万，前一周333.9万</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Initial unemployment claims extended a months-long downward trend and came in below the psychologically important 400,000 level for a third straight week. During the comparable week in mid-July last year, new filings totaled 1.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>首次申请失业救济人数延续了长达数月的下降趋势，并连续第三周低于40万的重要心理水平。去年7月中旬的同一周，新申请总数为150万份。</blockquote></p><p> Markets reacted little to the claims news, with stock market futures pointing lower and government bond yields edging down following the release.</p><p><blockquote>市场对索赔消息反应不大，股市期货走低，政府债券收益率在消息发布后小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140240161","content_text":"New weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level since March 2020, closing back in on pre-pandemic levels as the rate of new joblessness slowed further.\nThe Department of Labor released its weekly report on new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:\n\nInitial jobless claims, week ended July 10:360,000 vs. 350,000 expected and 373,000 during prior week\nContinuing claims, week ended July 3:3.241 million vs. 3.300 million expected and 3.339 million during prior week\n\nInitial unemployment claims extended a months-long downward trend and came in below the psychologically important 400,000 level for a third straight week. During the comparable week in mid-July last year, new filings totaled 1.5 million.\nMarkets reacted little to the claims news, with stock market futures pointing lower and government bond yields edging down following the release.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144736520,"gmtCreate":1626313686660,"gmtModify":1631892554013,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3565491333206964","authorIdStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What are the feelings stand on high?","listText":"What are the feelings stand on high?","text":"What are the feelings stand on high?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144736520","repostId":"2151548988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":701,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":120220860,"gmtCreate":1624325202550,"gmtModify":1634007790710,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes.. to the moon 🌝. Like and comments if you agree!&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"Yes.. to the moon 🌝. Like and comments if you agree!&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"Yes.. to the moon 🌝. Like and comments if you agree! [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120220860","repostId":"1139073949","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":666,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":125225399,"gmtCreate":1624676371111,"gmtModify":1633949711718,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Definitely BABA is under&nbsp;value. I always find&nbsp;BABA and Facebook&nbsp;price&nbsp;are about same range.","listText":"Definitely BABA is under&nbsp;value. I always find&nbsp;BABA and Facebook&nbsp;price&nbsp;are about same range.","text":"Definitely BABA is under value. I always find BABA and Facebook price are about same range.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125225399","repostId":"1164137597","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147694946,"gmtCreate":1626355130285,"gmtModify":1631892554001,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Well.. market not really follow this number now","listText":"Well.. market not really follow this number now","text":"Well.. market not really follow this number now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147694946","repostId":"1140240161","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140240161","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626352521,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140240161?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-15 20:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. weekly jobless claims total 360,000, as expected<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计36万，符合预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140240161","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"New weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level since March 2020, closing back in on pre-pandemic","content":"<p>New weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level since March 2020, closing back in on pre-pandemic levels as the rate of new joblessness slowed further.</p><p><blockquote>随着新增失业率进一步放缓，每周新申请失业救济人数降至2020年3月以来的最低水平，接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor released its weekly report on new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布了每周新申请失业救济人数报告。与彭博社编制的共识数据相比，以下是该报告的主要指标：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Initial jobless claims, week ended July 10:</b>360,000 vs. 350,000 expected and 373,000 during prior week</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>截至7月10日当周首次申请失业救济人数：</b>360,000，而预期为350,000，前一周为373,000</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Continuing claims, week ended July 3:</b>3.241 million vs. 3.300 million expected and 3.339 million during prior week</p><p><blockquote><li><b>截至7月3日当周的持续索赔：</b>324.1万，预期330万，前一周333.9万</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Initial unemployment claims extended a months-long downward trend and came in below the psychologically important 400,000 level for a third straight week. During the comparable week in mid-July last year, new filings totaled 1.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>首次申请失业救济人数延续了长达数月的下降趋势，并连续第三周低于40万的重要心理水平。去年7月中旬的同一周，新申请总数为150万份。</blockquote></p><p> Markets reacted little to the claims news, with stock market futures pointing lower and government bond yields edging down following the release.</p><p><blockquote>市场对索赔消息反应不大，股市期货走低，政府债券收益率在消息发布后小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. weekly jobless claims total 360,000, as expected<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计36万，符合预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. weekly jobless claims total 360,000, as expected<blockquote>美国每周初请失业金人数总计36万，符合预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-15 20:35</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>New weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level since March 2020, closing back in on pre-pandemic levels as the rate of new joblessness slowed further.</p><p><blockquote>随着新增失业率进一步放缓，每周新申请失业救济人数降至2020年3月以来的最低水平，接近大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor released its weekly report on new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部于美国东部时间周四上午8:30发布了每周新申请失业救济人数报告。与彭博社编制的共识数据相比，以下是该报告的主要指标：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Initial jobless claims, week ended July 10:</b>360,000 vs. 350,000 expected and 373,000 during prior week</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>截至7月10日当周首次申请失业救济人数：</b>360,000，而预期为350,000，前一周为373,000</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Continuing claims, week ended July 3:</b>3.241 million vs. 3.300 million expected and 3.339 million during prior week</p><p><blockquote><li><b>截至7月3日当周的持续索赔：</b>324.1万，预期330万，前一周333.9万</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Initial unemployment claims extended a months-long downward trend and came in below the psychologically important 400,000 level for a third straight week. During the comparable week in mid-July last year, new filings totaled 1.5 million.</p><p><blockquote>首次申请失业救济人数延续了长达数月的下降趋势，并连续第三周低于40万的重要心理水平。去年7月中旬的同一周，新申请总数为150万份。</blockquote></p><p> Markets reacted little to the claims news, with stock market futures pointing lower and government bond yields edging down following the release.</p><p><blockquote>市场对索赔消息反应不大，股市期货走低，政府债券收益率在消息发布后小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140240161","content_text":"New weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level since March 2020, closing back in on pre-pandemic levels as the rate of new joblessness slowed further.\nThe Department of Labor released its weekly report on new jobless claims Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET. Here were the main metrics from the report, compared to consensus data compiled by Bloomberg:\n\nInitial jobless claims, week ended July 10:360,000 vs. 350,000 expected and 373,000 during prior week\nContinuing claims, week ended July 3:3.241 million vs. 3.300 million expected and 3.339 million during prior week\n\nInitial unemployment claims extended a months-long downward trend and came in below the psychologically important 400,000 level for a third straight week. During the comparable week in mid-July last year, new filings totaled 1.5 million.\nMarkets reacted little to the claims news, with stock market futures pointing lower and government bond yields edging down following the release.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167907444,"gmtCreate":1624241454188,"gmtModify":1634009037306,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How to get post trending, post&nbsp;feature and comments feature coins reward?","listText":"How to get post trending, post&nbsp;feature and comments feature coins reward?","text":"How to get post trending, post feature and comments feature coins reward?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167907444","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141507796,"gmtCreate":1625878770415,"gmtModify":1633936511532,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I would buy both with ratio TSM 4:1 UMC","listText":"I would buy both with ratio TSM 4:1 UMC","text":"I would buy both with ratio TSM 4:1 UMC","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141507796","repostId":"1145284684","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145284684","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625878443,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145284684?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 08:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145284684","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, man","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li>  <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li>  <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li>  <li>40% of revenues are from nodes &lt;14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂，使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自&lt;14nm的节点，低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾，均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务，专注于逻辑和各种专业技术，为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务，并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处，但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司，并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面，台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the &lt;14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异，图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于&lt;14纳米节点，台积电占其收入的41.4%，而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示，台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元，而联电为60亿美元。重要的是，这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位，因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the &lt;14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自&lt;14纳米节点，占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm，联电在该节点上投入巨资，营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下，2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米，台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月，12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中，台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出：</blockquote></p><p>   “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”  TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&amp;D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求，我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术，包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造，大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能，以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年，在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年，2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's&nbsp;fab in Arizona&nbsp;as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元，每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM)，并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一，特别是在28纳米节点，因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器，但在这篇文章中，为了便于讨论，我将承认这不是由于囤积，而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此，各国政府在该行业投入巨资，以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加，上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外，联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产，因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而，全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场，而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体，以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体，这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡，因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点，但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心，同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器（“CIS”）设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日，台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元，预计2023年量产，此次扩建将使产能翻一番，达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆，仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米（迁移到40纳米）工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产，每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持，其中包括负载保护机制，可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产，总产能接近每月80万片晶圆（相当于8英寸）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理，同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足，直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元，而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出（建筑+设备）为每块晶圆100,000美元，而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多，达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示，苹果（AAPL）是2020年台积电最大的客户，占收入的21%。请记住，除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外，台积电还制造M1，为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力，并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来，台积电已无数次升级其制造能力，以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示，晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者必须考虑：</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响，台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如，只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商，苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术（如汽车或ADAS），那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次，由于产能限制和技术节点需求，台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果，因为它转向更小的节点，同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低，不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商，如德州仪器（纳斯达克：TXN）和英特尔移动（纳斯达克：INTC），以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司，如联发科（OTCPK：MDTKF）、瑞昱、高通（纳斯达克：QCOM）和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月，联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示，自2018年起，公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零，但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点，占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>：TSM或UMC股票更值得购买？</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争，但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点（图1），其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%，高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加（图3），但毛利润也会增加（图2）。因此，TSM的收入高于UMC：$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高：$33B，而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电（$613B）的市值高于联电（$234亿）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多：$23.3 B vs UMC（$37.6 B）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益（3.99）高于联电（0.59）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中，两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63，联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说，这是一个利好，毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计，鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高，2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比，联电的财务状况更强劲：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电：21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM：$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高：10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年，联电股票的表现优于台积电，在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里，台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the &lt;7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在&lt;7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上，它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂，这是联电的“最佳地点”，再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际（OTCQX：SMICY）晶圆厂，这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Taiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTaiwan Semiconductor Vs. United Microelectronics Stock: Which Is The Better Buy?<blockquote>台积电与联合微电子股票：哪个更值得购买？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 08:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.</li>  <li>TSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.</li>  <li>TSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.</li>  <li>40% of revenues are from nodes &lt;14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d80e662ebb3b78dd0445ecc891cf8986\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"513\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电是全球最大的为无晶圆厂半导体公司制造IC的代工厂，使用281种不同的技术为510个不同的客户制造11,617种不同的产品。</li><li>台积电和台湾代工厂联合微电子公司预计将从对汽车制造商产生不利影响的芯片供应危机中受益。</li><li>台积电受益于近两倍于联电的毛利率。</li><li>40%的收入来自&lt;14nm的节点，低于联电最小的节点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BING-JHEN HONG/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.</p><p><blockquote>台积电股份有限公司或台积电(TSM)和联华电子公司或联电(UMC)的总部均位于台湾，均以合同方式为公司制造半导体。它们都提供高质量的IC制造服务，专注于逻辑和各种专业技术，为电子行业的所有主要部门提供服务，并被定义为纯粹的代工厂。</blockquote></p><p> While they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.</p><p><blockquote>虽然它们有相似之处，但这两家公司在不同的商业模式上有很大不同。台积电最初是一家领先的公司，并一直是一家以最小尺寸制造芯片的公司。另一方面，台湾第一家半导体公司联电选择了14纳米节点作为其制造的最小尺寸。</blockquote></p><p> To illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the &lt;14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>为了说明模型的差异，图1显示了两家公司基于技术节点的收入。关键区别在于&lt;14纳米节点，台积电占其收入的41.4%，而联电为0%。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.</p><p><blockquote>图1还显示，台积电2020年的收入为430亿美元，而联电为60亿美元。重要的是，这也显示了台积电的财务主导地位，因为联电在全球晶圆代工市场排名第二。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf3b088585f8a624c6665040756e940f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 1</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表1</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Much of TSMC’s revenues are on the &lt;14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的大部分收入来自&lt;14纳米节点，占收入的比例从2019年的29.4%增加到2020年的41.4%。由于联电最小的节点是28nm/14nm，联电在该节点上投入巨资，营收占比从2019年的11.3%增加到2020年的13.6%。相比之下，2020年台积电在28纳米/14纳米节点的份额从2019年的37.7%下降到30.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Expanding Capacity</b></p><p><blockquote><b>扩大产能</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Leading Edge Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>前沿节点</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>台积电约1/3的收入来自28纳米/14纳米，台积电8英寸产能为562,000片/月，12英寸产能为745,000片/月。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。</blockquote></p><p> In TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:</p><p><blockquote>在台积电2021年第一季度盈利看涨期权中，台积电副总裁兼首席财务官Wendell Huang指出：</blockquote></p><p>   “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”  TSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&amp;D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>“为了满足未来几年对我们先进和专业技术不断增长的需求，我们决定将2021年全年资本支出提高至300亿美元左右。2021年资本预算的约80%将分配给先进工艺技术，包括3纳米、5纳米和7纳米。大约10%将用于先进包装和口罩制造，大约10%将用于专业技术。”台积电预计未来3年将投资约1000亿美元来提高产能，以支持前沿和专业技术的制造和研发。其N5已进入量产的第二年，在2021年贡献了我们约20%的晶圆收入。N4风险生产目标为今年下半年，2022年量产。</blockquote></p><p> Among TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's&nbsp;fab in Arizona&nbsp;as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>台积电将在未来三到四年内上线的设施包括该公司位于亚利桑那州的晶圆厂以及位于台湾的第一家2纳米晶圆厂。该公司需要在亚利桑那州建造和装备其支持N5的工厂。该设施将耗资约120亿美元，每月产能为20,000片晶圆启动(WSPM)，并将于2024年上线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>28nm Nodes</b></p><p><blockquote><b>28nm节点</b></blockquote></p><p> The global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺是促使代工制造商建造新晶圆厂的催化剂之一，特别是在28纳米节点，因为许多汽车芯片都是在该节点制造的。虽然我已经发表了四篇Seeking Alpha文章来试图确定哪些设备供应不足并且只能找到微控制器，但在这篇文章中，为了便于讨论，我将承认这不是由于囤积，而是由于无能的制造供应链。</blockquote></p><p> As a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.</p><p><blockquote>因此，各国政府在该行业投入巨资，以扩大总产能。这些免费讲义是新28纳米节点晶圆厂建设的第二个催化剂。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>消费电子行业对晶圆的强劲需求导致联电28纳米晶圆出货量增加，上一季度营收环比增长18%。此外，联电一直专注于汽车行业的生产，因为电动和自动驾驶汽车的半导体预计将成为该公司的主要增长动力。然而，全球汽车半导体仅是一个400亿美元的市场，而全球半导体市场规模为5250亿美元。随着每年每辆车使用更多的半导体，以及电动汽车比内燃机汽车使用更多的半导体，这一数字还在增长。</blockquote></p><p> There is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.</p><p><blockquote>成熟节点存在供需失衡，因为大部分产能扩张都在高级节点，但公司没有解决成熟节点。该技术节点是最新汽车芯片危机的核心，同时索尼已将其用于智能手机的CMOS集成传感器（“CIS”）设计转移到28纳米。</blockquote></p><p> On April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>4月22日，台积电宣布在中国建设芯片制造工厂的计划遭到了批评者的反对。该工厂将生产基于成熟的28纳米工艺节点的半导体。南京工厂目前的装机容量为每月2万片晶圆。投资28亿美元，预计2023年量产，此次扩建将使产能翻一番，达到每月40,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.</p><p><blockquote>台积电在全球拥有56.2万片/月的8英寸产能和74.5万片/月的12英寸产能。总产能为995,000片/月（12英寸当量）。新晶圆厂每月产能为20,000片晶圆，仅占公司总产能的2%。</blockquote></p><p> UMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.</p><p><blockquote>联电还在台湾南科12英寸晶圆厂12A P6工厂扩大了28纳米（迁移到40纳米）工艺的生产。目前每月产能为87,000片晶圆。扩能计划总投资预估约1000亿元新台币。P6扩建计划于2023年第二季度投产，每月产能仅为10,000片晶圆。</blockquote></p><p> The P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.</p><p><blockquote>P6计划得到了UMC和相关客户之间多年产品一致性的支持，其中包括负载保护机制，可确保P6容量保持在健康的负载水平。</blockquote></p><p> UMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).</p><p><blockquote>联电共有12家晶圆厂在生产，总产能接近每月80万片晶圆（相当于8英寸）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Per Wafer</b></p><p><blockquote><b>每片晶圆的价格</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.</p><p><blockquote>图2显示了IC设备按节点划分的毛利润。它部分解释了台积电转向先进节点的商业模式背后的基本原理，同时也解释了为什么该公司选择让其28纳米节点供应不足，直到最近外部力量促使其建立中国晶圆厂。</blockquote></p><p> Gross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.</p><p><blockquote>28纳米节点每300毫米晶圆的毛利润为2,835美元，而3纳米节点为8,695美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e241c85dd84eb71f54c3b11812e6599\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 2</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表2</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Chart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.</p><p><blockquote>图3显示了IC按节点划分的资本支出。28纳米的资本支出（建筑+设备）为每块晶圆100,000美元，而3纳米的资本支出增加了两倍多，达到320,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f8f60218f2b914e5847e2eef8aa39c3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 3</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表3</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Base</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户基础</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.</p><p><blockquote>图表4显示，苹果（AAPL）是2020年台积电最大的客户，占收入的21%。请记住，除了台积电的处理器用于iPhone之外，台积电还制造M1，为新款MacBook Air、13英寸MacBook Pro和Mac mini提供动力，并且是苹果首款为Mac定制设计的基于Arm的芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/354a97772e16c2a05dbccc89556de9eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"465\"><span>Chart 4</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表4</span></p></blockquote></p><p> TSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.</p><p><blockquote>自2014年9月9日推出的苹果iPhone 6和iPhone 6 Plus安装以来，台积电已无数次升级其制造能力，以使苹果的最新芯片保持在处理器技术的前沿。</blockquote></p><p> Chart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.</p><p><blockquote>图表5显示，晶体管数量从iPhone 6的20亿个增加到现在的iPhone 12的118亿个。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/108ef270fe60691ec5bc8c7f0a061d9c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"462\"><span>Chart 5</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图表5</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Thus, investors must consider that:</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者必须考虑：</blockquote></p><p> Any positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的任何积极发展都将对台积电产生积极影响，台积电的积极技术发展也将对苹果产生积极影响。例如，只要台积电是苹果芯片的主要制造商，苹果的增长或苹果开发的需要芯片的新技术（如汽车或ADAS），那么台积电就会受益。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Secondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.</p><p><blockquote>其次，由于产能限制和技术节点需求，台积电的任何产能扩张都将有利于苹果，因为它转向更小的节点，同时消耗台积电约25%的芯片产量。</blockquote></p><p> UMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.</p><p><blockquote>UMC透明度较低，不提供客户细分。联电的主要客户包括顶级集成设备制造商，如德州仪器（纳斯达克：TXN）和英特尔移动（纳斯达克：INTC），以及领先的无晶圆厂设计公司，如联发科（OTCPK：MDTKF）、瑞昱、高通（纳斯达克：QCOM）和联咏。</blockquote></p><p> In August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.</p><p><blockquote>2018年8月，联电宣布将暂停推进10nm节点以下芯片生产技术的研究。如上图所示，自2018年起，公司先进制程的相应占比已降至零，但对于65nm、28nm等成熟节点，占比有所提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Takeaways</b>: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?</p><p><blockquote><b>投资者要点</b>：TSM或UMC股票更值得购买？</blockquote></p><p> Both companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司在同一行业竞争，但他们的商业模式是一个差异化的指标。台积电的大部分收入来自比联电更小的节点（图1），其大部分计划资本支出将集中在制造集成电路的新晶圆厂上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电利好</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，台积电在纯晶圆代工市场的份额为57%，高于2019年的55%。联电的份额稳定在略低于8%。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.</p><p><blockquote>台积电受益于较小的节点。尽管资本支出随着节点的减少而增加（图3），但毛利润也会增加（图2）。因此，TSM的收入高于UMC：$48.2 B vs$62.83亿B。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>台积电的年收益(EBITDA)也更高：$33B，而联电为$23.49 B。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电（$613B）的市值高于联电（$234亿）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电手头现金更多：$23.3 B vs UMC（$37.6 B）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>TSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).</p><p><blockquote><li>台积电的每股收益（3.99）高于联电（0.59）。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.</p><p><blockquote>Seeking Alpha的量化评级是通过根据价值、增长、盈利能力、动量和分析师的盈利修正来衡量股票与该行业其他股票的财务指标而得出的。在表1中，两只股票的排名都很高。台积电的量化评级为4.63，联电的量化评级为4.54。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55db72bd38ddd1d46c2ec7a6ccf6307f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"117\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Gross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.</p><p><blockquote>台积电和联电的毛利率如表2所示。对台积电来说，这是一个利好，毛利率大幅领先于联电和所有代工厂的平均水平。华尔街预计，鉴于更高的收入规模、晶圆代工供应紧张以及5nm生产效率的提高，2021年第三季度的毛利率将改善至52.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ab6dce4d14398755080d9db48522121\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"126\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>UMC Positives</b></p><p><blockquote><b>联电正面</b></blockquote></p><p> The comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:</p><p><blockquote>与其他财务指标相比，联电的财务状况更强劲：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>UMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>联电的市盈率低于台积电：21.8 vs 28.9</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC的债务低于TSM：$2.47 B vs$15.4 B。</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>UMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).</p><p><blockquote><li>UMC年初至今涨幅较高：10.558 vs.TSM(8.922)。</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Table 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.</p><p><blockquote>表3显示了TSM和UMC的股票增长百分比。过去一年，联电股票的表现优于台积电，在3年和5年期间也是如此。但在10年的时间里，台积电是更好的选择。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7533369f256853d498f5492752417e05\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"172\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> TSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the &lt;7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.</p><p><blockquote>台积电显然是未来联电的赢家。该公司选择了在&lt;7纳米节点构建芯片的策略。事实上，它正在中国建造一座28纳米晶圆厂，这是联电的“最佳地点”，再加上一座新的28纳米中芯国际（OTCQX：SMICY）晶圆厂，这将意味着联电在这个节点失去市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","UMC":"联电"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4438509-taiwan-semiconductor-vs-united-microelectronics-stock","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145284684","content_text":"Summary\n\nTSMC is the world’s largest foundry for making ICs for fabless semiconductor companies, manufacturing 11,617 different products using 281 distinct technologies for 510 different customers.\nTSMC and fellow Taiwan foundry United Microelectronics Corporation are expected to benefit from a chip-supply crisis that is adversely impacting automakers.\nTSMC benefits from a gross margin nearly twice that of UMC.\n40% of revenues are from nodes <14nm, below the smallest node of UMC.\n\nBING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited or TSMC (TSM), and United Microelectronics Corporation or UMC (UMC) are both headquartered in Taiwan and both manufacture semiconductors for companies on a contract basis. They both provide high quality IC fabrication services, focusing on logic and various specialty technologies to serve all major sectors of the electronics industry and are defined as pure-play foundries.\nWhile they have similarities, the two companies are vastly different with different business models. TSMC started as and has always been a leading-edge company, manufacturing chips at the smallest dimensions. UMC, on the other hand, Taiwan’s first semiconductor company, has chosen the 14nm node as the smallest dimension it will manufacture.\nTo illustrate the differences in models, Chart 1 shows revenues for both companies based on technology node. The key difference is the <14nm node, where TSMC generated 41.4% of its revenue compared to 0% for UMC.\nChart 1 also shows that TSMC held $43 billion in revenues in 2020 versus $6 billion for UMC. Importantly, it shows also shows the financial dominance of TSMC, since UMC holds second place in the global foundry market.\nChart 1\nMuch of TSMC’s revenues are on the <14nm node, which increased from 29.4% of revenues in 2019 to 41.4% in 2020. Since UMC’s smallest node is 28nm/14nm, UMC is investing heavily at that node, and its share of revenue increased from 11.3% in 2019 to 13.6% in 2020. In contrast, in 2020 TSMC’s share at the 28nm/14nm node decreased to 30.8% from 37.7% in 2019.\nExpanding Capacity\nLeading Edge Nodes\nTSMC generates about 1/3 of its revenues from the 28nm/14nm, and TSMC has 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent).\nIn TSMC’sQ1 2021 earnings call, TSMC’s VP and CFO Wendell Huang noted:\n\n “In order to meet the increasing demand for our advanced and specialty technologies in the next several years, we have decided to raise our full year 2021 CapEx to be around USD 30 billion. About 80% of the 2021 capital budget will be allocated for advanced process technologies, including 3-nanometer, 5-nanometer and 7-nanometer. About 10% will be spent for advanced packaging and mask making, and about 10% will be spent for specialty technologies.”\n\nTSMC expects to invest about $100 billion through the next 3 years to increase capacity, to support the manufacturing and R&D of leading-edge and specialty technologies. Its N5 is already in its second year of volume production, contributing around 20% of our wafer revenue in 2021. N4 risk production is targeted for second half this year and volume production in 2022.\nAmong TSMC's facilities to go online in the next three to four years are the company's fab in Arizona as well as its first 2nm-capable fab in Taiwan. The company needs to build and equip its N5-capable fab in Arizona. The facility will cost around $12 billion, will have a capacity of 20,000 wafer starts per month (WSPM), and will come online in 2024.\n28nm Nodes\nThe global semiconductor shortage is one of the catalysts prompting foundry manufacturers to build new fabs, particularly at the 28nm node, as many automobile chips are manufactured at that node. While I have devoted four Seeking Alpha articles on trying to pin down what devices are undersupplied and could only find microcontrollers, in this article, I will concede for the sake of argument, that it is not due to hoarding but inept manufacturing supply chains.\nAs a result, governments are spending heavily on this industry to expand the total production capacity. These free handouts are a second catalyst for new 28nm node fab construction.\nA strong demand for wafers from the consumer electronics industry has led to increased shipments of UMC’s 28nm wafers, which saw 18% sequential revenue growth in the last reported quarter. In addition, UMC has been focused on production for the automotive industry as semiconductors for electric and self-driving cars are expected to be a major growth driver for the company. However, global automotive semiconductors are only a $40 billion market, compared to a global semiconductor market of $525 billion. That is growing as more semiconductors are used per vehicle each year and because EVs use more semiconductors than internal combustion vehicles.\nThere is a supply-demand imbalance in mature nodes, as most of the capacity expansion has been in advanced nodes, but companies have not addressed the mature nodes. The technology node is central to the latest auto chip crisis, while at the same time Sony has moved its design of CMOS Integrated Sensors (\"CIS\") for smartphones to 28nm.\nOn April 22, TSMC announced plans to build a chip fabrication facility in China is at the receiving end of opposition from critics. The plant is set to make semiconductors built on the mature 28nm process node. The Nanjing plant currently has an installed capacity of 20,000 wafers per month. An investment of $2.8 billion and expecting mass-production in 2023, the expansion will double capacity to 40,000 wafers per month.\nTSMC has global 562,000 wafers/month of 8\" capacity, and 745,000 wafers/month of 12\" capacity. The total capacity is 995,000 wafers/month (12-inch equivalent). The new fab with a 20,000 wafer per month capacity represents just 2% of the company’s total capacity.\nUMC also expanded its production of 28nm (with a migration to 40nm) process at its Nanke 12-inch Fab 12A P6 plant in Taiwan. It currently has an 87,000 wafer per month capacity. The total investment in the capacity expansion plan is estimated to be approximately NT$100 billion. The P6 expansion is scheduled for production in the second quarter of 2023, and has a capacity of just 10,000 wafers per month.\nThe P6 program is supported by a multi-year's product alignment between UMC and the involved customers that includes a loading protection mechanism that will ensure the P6 capacity is maintained at a healthy loading level.\nUMC has total 12 fabs in production with combined capacity close to 800,000 wafers per month (8-in equivalent).\nPrice Per Wafer\nChart 2 shows the gross profit by node for an IC device. It partially explains the rationale behind TSMC’s business model to move to advanced nodes, while also explaining why the company chose to leave its 28nm node undersupplied until recent external forces prompted it to build its China fab.\nGross profits per 300-mm wafer are $2,835 for a 28nm node versus $8,695 for a 3nm node.\nChart 2\nChart 3 shows capex spend by node for ICs. Capex spend (building + equipment) at 28nm is $100,000 per wafer, which more than triples to $320,000 at 3nm.\nChart 3\nCustomer Base\nChart 4 shows that Apple (AAPL) was the largest customer of TSMC in 2020, representing 21% of revenues. Keep in mind that in addition to TSMC’s processors going into iPhones, TSMC also fabricates the M1, which powers the new MacBook Air, 13-inch MacBook Pro, and Mac mini and is Apple's first custom-designed Arm-based chip for Mac.\nChart 4\nTSMC has upgraded its manufacturing capabilities countless times to keep Apple’s latest chips at the bleeding edge of processor technologies, since its first chip produced for Apple was installed in the Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, which were introduced on September 9, 2014.\nChart 5 shows that the number of transistors increased from 2 billion for the iPhone 6 to 11.8 billion for the current iPhone 12.\nChart 5\nThus, investors must consider that:\nAny positive developments from Apple will impact TSMC positively, and positive technological developments from TSMC will impact Apple positively. For example, as long as TSMC is the major manufacturer of Apple chips, growth in Apple or new technologies developed by Apple requiring chips (such as Auto or ADAS), then TSMC will gain.\nSecondly, because of capacity limitations and technology node demands, any expansion in capacity from TSMC will be beneficial to Apple as it moves to smaller nodes while consuming about 25% of TSMC’s chip output on a revenue basis.\nUMC is less transparent and doesn’t provide a breakdown by customer. UMC’s primary customers include premier integrated device manufacturers, such as Texas Instruments(NASDAQ:TXN)and Intel Mobile(NASDAQ:INTC), plus leading fabless design companies, such as MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF), Realtek, Qualcomm(NASDAQ:QCOM)and Novatek.\nIn August 2018, UMC announced it would pause research for advancing the productional technology of chips under 10nm nodes. As shown in the figure above, since 2018, the corresponding proportion of the company's advanced processes has been reduced to zero, but for mature nodes such as 65nm and 28nm, the proportion has been increased.\nInvestor Takeaways: Is TSM Or UMC Stock A Better Buy?\nBoth companies compete in the same industry, but their business models are a differentiating metric. TSMC generates most of its revenue on nodes smaller than UMC’s (Chart 1), and most of its planned capex will focus new fabs making ICs at increasing smaller nodes.\nTSMC Positives\nTSMC’s share of the pure-play foundry market was 57% share in 2020, up from 55% in 2019. UMC’s share was constant at slightly less than 8%.\nTSMC benefits from the smaller nodes. Although capex increases with decreasing nodes (Chart 3), so too does gross profit (Chart 2). Thus, TSM has higher revenues than UMC: $48.2B vs $6.283B.\n\nTSMC also has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): $33B vs. UMC $2.349B.\nTSMC ($613B) has a higher market cap than UMC ($23.4B).\nTSMC has more cash on hand: $23.3B vs. UMC ($3.76B).\nTSMC has a higher EPS (3.99) than UMC (0.59).\n\nSeeking Alpha’s quant ratings are derived by measuring a stock's financial metrics against other stocks in the sector on the basis of value, growth, profitability, momentum and analysts’ earnings revisions. In Table 1, both stocks have high rankings. TSMC has a quant rating of 4.63 and UMC has a quant rating of 4.54.\n\nGross margin for TSMC and UMC is shown in Table 2. A positive for TSMC, gross margin is significantly ahead of UMC and the average of all foundries. The Street expects 3Q21 gross margin will improve to 52.9%, given a higher revenue scale, tight foundry supply and improved efficiency of 5nm production.\n\nUMC Positives\nThe comparison of other financial metrics, UMC has stronger financials:\n\nUMC has a lower P/E ratio than TSM: 21.8 vs 28.9\nUMC has less debt than TSM: $2.47B vs $15.4B.\nUMC YTD gains are higher at: 10.558 vs. TSM (8.922).\n\nTable 3 shows stock performance in percent growth for TSM and UMC. In the past year, UMC stock has outperformed TSMC, and did so in the 3-year and 5-year period. But in a 10-year period, TSMC is the better choice.\n\nTSMC is the clear winner over UMC going forward. The company chose its strategy to build chips at the <7nm node. The fact that it is building a 28nm fab in China, the “sweet spot” for UMC, coupled with a new 28nm SMIC (OTCQX:SMICY) fab, will mean lost market share at this node for UMC.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9,"UMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128988467,"gmtCreate":1624498127959,"gmtModify":1631884483800,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"When NASDAQ will take&nbsp;over Dow Jones? Please comment","listText":"When NASDAQ will take&nbsp;over Dow Jones? Please comment","text":"When NASDAQ will take over Dow Jones? Please comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128988467","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171227608,"gmtCreate":1626747201304,"gmtModify":1631892553917,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Delta is not new... Later Alpha fear then Sigma fear then Omega fear.&nbsp;&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"Delta is not new... Later Alpha fear then Sigma fear then Omega fear.&nbsp;&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"Delta is not new... Later Alpha fear then Sigma fear then Omega fear. [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171227608","repostId":"2152652683","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":156865788,"gmtCreate":1625212311944,"gmtModify":1633942497118,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy&nbsp;and hold for 2-3 years, yesterday fell is just nothing","listText":"Buy&nbsp;and hold for 2-3 years, yesterday fell is just nothing","text":"Buy and hold for 2-3 years, yesterday fell is just nothing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156865788","repostId":"1158331538","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158331538","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625211143,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158331538?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 15:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why NIO Stock Climbed and Then Fell on Thursday<blockquote>为什么蔚来股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158331538","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The market loved the June delivery numbers, until it didn't.","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors apparently aren't sure what to think about&nbsp;<b>NIO</b>'s(NYSE:NIO)&nbsp;June deliveries update. The stock shot up more than 3.5% at the open on Thursday before giving that back and then some, trading down 4.3% as of closed.</p><p><blockquote>投资者显然不确定该考虑什么<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）六月交付更新。该股周四开盘上涨超过3.5%，随后有所回落，截至收盘下跌4.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, a fast-growing Chinese&nbsp;electric vehicle(EV) maker, delivered 8,083 vehicles in June, a new monthly record and more than 116% more vehicles than delivered in June 2019. The company delivered 21,896 vehicles in the second quarter, up from 20,060 in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>快速增长的中国电动汽车（EV）制造商蔚来6月份交付了8,083辆汽车，创下月度新纪录，比2019年6月交付量增加了116%以上。该公司第二季度交付了21,896辆汽车，高于第一季度的20,060辆。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance there is a lot to like about those results, and the market reacted favorably before falling back down to earth.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，这些结果有很多值得喜欢的地方，市场在回落之前反应良好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1249e21fdd61b7eed64f4aa86c503082\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1111\"><span>THE NIO E-T SEDAN. IMAGE SOURCE: NIO.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来E-T轿车。图片来源：蔚来。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But why the sell-off? It could be that investors are a bit nervous about whether NIO will hit analyst expectations of 90,000 to 100,000 deliveries for the year. The company is at just under 42,000 through six months, and with&nbsp;chip shortages&nbsp;and other supply chain issues weighing on the automotive industry it is possible production could slow as the year goes on.</p><p><blockquote>但为什么会出现抛售呢？投资者可能对蔚来今年交付量是否会达到分析师预期的9万至10万辆感到有点紧张。该公司六个月的销量略低于42,000辆，由于芯片短缺和其他供应链问题给汽车行业带来压力，随着时间的推移，产量可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> The sell-off was not limited to NIO. Fellow Chinese automaker&nbsp;<b>XPeng</b>(NYSE:XPEV)&nbsp;had a similar response,soaring&nbsp;as much as 8% higher early in the trading session on the strength of its delivery report before falling into the red as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>抛售不仅限于蔚来。中国汽车制造商<b>小鹏</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XPEV）也有类似的反应，在交易时段早些时候，由于交付报告的强劲，股价飙升8%，随后随着时间的推移陷入亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Day-to-day volatility aside, there is nothing in the report to indicate NIO is not moving in the right direction. NIO is quickly becoming an EV champion in its important home market, and is plotting its expansion into Europe in the months to come. While not profitable, NIO&nbsp;lost less than expected&nbsp;in the first quarter, and as of the end of March had more than $7 billion in cash on the balance sheet to fund its expansion.</p><p><blockquote>除了日常波动之外，报告中没有任何内容表明蔚来没有朝着正确的方向前进。蔚来正在迅速成为其重要国内市场的电动汽车冠军，并计划在未来几个月内向欧洲扩张。虽然没有盈利，但蔚来第一季度的亏损低于预期，截至3月底，资产负债表上有超过70亿美元的现金为其扩张提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> It's still early days in the EV market and some volatility is to be expected, but there is nothing in the June delivery report that suggests it's time to hit the panic button.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车市场仍处于早期阶段，预计会出现一些波动，但6月份的交付报告中没有任何内容表明是时候按下恐慌按钮了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why NIO Stock Climbed and Then Fell on Thursday<blockquote>为什么蔚来股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy NIO Stock Climbed and Then Fell on Thursday<blockquote>为什么蔚来股价周四先涨后跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 15:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors apparently aren't sure what to think about&nbsp;<b>NIO</b>'s(NYSE:NIO)&nbsp;June deliveries update. The stock shot up more than 3.5% at the open on Thursday before giving that back and then some, trading down 4.3% as of closed.</p><p><blockquote>投资者显然不确定该考虑什么<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：蔚来）六月交付更新。该股周四开盘上涨超过3.5%，随后有所回落，截至收盘下跌4.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, a fast-growing Chinese&nbsp;electric vehicle(EV) maker, delivered 8,083 vehicles in June, a new monthly record and more than 116% more vehicles than delivered in June 2019. The company delivered 21,896 vehicles in the second quarter, up from 20,060 in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>快速增长的中国电动汽车（EV）制造商蔚来6月份交付了8,083辆汽车，创下月度新纪录，比2019年6月交付量增加了116%以上。该公司第二季度交付了21,896辆汽车，高于第一季度的20,060辆。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance there is a lot to like about those results, and the market reacted favorably before falling back down to earth.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，这些结果有很多值得喜欢的地方，市场在回落之前反应良好。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1249e21fdd61b7eed64f4aa86c503082\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1111\"><span>THE NIO E-T SEDAN. IMAGE SOURCE: NIO.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>蔚来E-T轿车。图片来源：蔚来。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But why the sell-off? It could be that investors are a bit nervous about whether NIO will hit analyst expectations of 90,000 to 100,000 deliveries for the year. The company is at just under 42,000 through six months, and with&nbsp;chip shortages&nbsp;and other supply chain issues weighing on the automotive industry it is possible production could slow as the year goes on.</p><p><blockquote>但为什么会出现抛售呢？投资者可能对蔚来今年交付量是否会达到分析师预期的9万至10万辆感到有点紧张。该公司六个月的销量略低于42,000辆，由于芯片短缺和其他供应链问题给汽车行业带来压力，随着时间的推移，产量可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> The sell-off was not limited to NIO. Fellow Chinese automaker&nbsp;<b>XPeng</b>(NYSE:XPEV)&nbsp;had a similar response,soaring&nbsp;as much as 8% higher early in the trading session on the strength of its delivery report before falling into the red as the day went on.</p><p><blockquote>抛售不仅限于蔚来。中国汽车制造商<b>小鹏</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：XPEV）也有类似的反应，在交易时段早些时候，由于交付报告的强劲，股价飙升8%，随后随着时间的推移陷入亏损。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Day-to-day volatility aside, there is nothing in the report to indicate NIO is not moving in the right direction. NIO is quickly becoming an EV champion in its important home market, and is plotting its expansion into Europe in the months to come. While not profitable, NIO&nbsp;lost less than expected&nbsp;in the first quarter, and as of the end of March had more than $7 billion in cash on the balance sheet to fund its expansion.</p><p><blockquote>除了日常波动之外，报告中没有任何内容表明蔚来没有朝着正确的方向前进。蔚来正在迅速成为其重要国内市场的电动汽车冠军，并计划在未来几个月内向欧洲扩张。虽然没有盈利，但蔚来第一季度的亏损低于预期，截至3月底，资产负债表上有超过70亿美元的现金为其扩张提供资金。</blockquote></p><p> It's still early days in the EV market and some volatility is to be expected, but there is nothing in the June delivery report that suggests it's time to hit the panic button.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车市场仍处于早期阶段，预计会出现一些波动，但6月份的交付报告中没有任何内容表明是时候按下恐慌按钮了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/01/why-nio-stock-climbed-and-then-fell-on-thursday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/01/why-nio-stock-climbed-and-then-fell-on-thursday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158331538","content_text":"What happened\nInvestors apparently aren't sure what to think about NIO's(NYSE:NIO) June deliveries update. The stock shot up more than 3.5% at the open on Thursday before giving that back and then some, trading down 4.3% as of closed.\nSo what\nNIO, a fast-growing Chinese electric vehicle(EV) maker, delivered 8,083 vehicles in June, a new monthly record and more than 116% more vehicles than delivered in June 2019. The company delivered 21,896 vehicles in the second quarter, up from 20,060 in the first quarter.\nAt first glance there is a lot to like about those results, and the market reacted favorably before falling back down to earth.\nTHE NIO E-T SEDAN. IMAGE SOURCE: NIO.\nBut why the sell-off? It could be that investors are a bit nervous about whether NIO will hit analyst expectations of 90,000 to 100,000 deliveries for the year. The company is at just under 42,000 through six months, and with chip shortages and other supply chain issues weighing on the automotive industry it is possible production could slow as the year goes on.\nThe sell-off was not limited to NIO. Fellow Chinese automaker XPeng(NYSE:XPEV) had a similar response,soaring as much as 8% higher early in the trading session on the strength of its delivery report before falling into the red as the day went on.\nNow what\nDay-to-day volatility aside, there is nothing in the report to indicate NIO is not moving in the right direction. NIO is quickly becoming an EV champion in its important home market, and is plotting its expansion into Europe in the months to come. While not profitable, NIO lost less than expected in the first quarter, and as of the end of March had more than $7 billion in cash on the balance sheet to fund its expansion.\nIt's still early days in the EV market and some volatility is to be expected, but there is nothing in the June delivery report that suggests it's time to hit the panic button.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159170717,"gmtCreate":1624952355039,"gmtModify":1633946587156,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"FAAMG. Who is next?&nbsp;","listText":"FAAMG. Who is next?&nbsp;","text":"FAAMG. Who is next?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159170717","repostId":"1128371167","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":159032954,"gmtCreate":1624930666078,"gmtModify":1631884483765,"author":{"id":"3565491333206964","authorId":"3565491333206964","name":"ShawnTai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77e7e26e7ce7e2b25fa4a96fda2ce2b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3565491333206964","idStr":"3565491333206964"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NASDAQ 🚀. Like and Comments","listText":"NASDAQ 🚀. Like and Comments","text":"NASDAQ 🚀. Like and Comments","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/159032954","repostId":"2147837316","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":676,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}