Huat8989的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Huat8989

Huat8989

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

49关注

5粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-08-01

Good info

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-06

Like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-06

Like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-09

$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$Like

2021-08-05

Like

10 stocks that have what it takes to be a ‘perfect’ company<blockquote>10只具备成为“完美”公司所需条件的股票</blockquote>

2021-08-01

Like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-31

Good info

Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>

2021-08-08

$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$Going strong

2021-08-07

Like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-02

Great

Apple: Take Your Profits Now, Come Back Later<blockquote>苹果：现在获利了结，稍后再回来</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3564525745521630","uuid":"3564525745521630","gmtCreate":1601431722625,"gmtModify":1704447487736,"name":"Huat8989","pinyin":"huat8989","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":5,"headSize":49,"tweetSize":37,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-2","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"资深虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"93.80%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.22","exceedPercentage":"80.98%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":829252171,"gmtCreate":1633519318570,"gmtModify":1633519318737,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> more dropping in the way","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a> more dropping in the way","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$ more dropping in the way","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90b9221ba928fce871bfd6b8af23bbe1","width":"1125","height":"3712"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829252171","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2260,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":880810288,"gmtCreate":1631030153644,"gmtModify":1632904449065,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going higher&nbsp;","listText":"Going higher&nbsp;","text":"Going higher","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c86fc8c514d904013401b7b5e10c92bc","width":"1125","height":"4075"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880810288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880834786,"gmtCreate":1631030068545,"gmtModify":1631885802992,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIA\">$DIA 20211008 353.0 PUT(DIA)$</a>Huat","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIA\">$DIA 20211008 353.0 PUT(DIA)$</a>Huat","text":"$DIA 20211008 353.0 PUT(DIA)$Huat","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4342d9d90c0f35a0f20e6d775e001284","width":"1170","height":"2026"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880834786","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819957107,"gmtCreate":1630029801809,"gmtModify":1704954849980,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819957107","repostId":"2162094573","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2162094573","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1629982738,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2162094573?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-26 20:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Snowflake Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么雪花股价今天走高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162094573","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Snowflake Inc (NYSE: SNOW) is trading higher Thursday after the company announced better-than-expected second-quarter fiscal 2022 earnings results.","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a> Inc</b> (NYSE:SNOW) is trading higher Thursday after the company announced better-than-expected second-quarter fiscal 2022 earnings results.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">雪花</a>Inc</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SNOW）周四公布好于预期的2022财年第二季度盈利业绩后，该公司股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake reported a&nbsp;quarterly adjusted earnings loss of 4 cents per share, which beat the estimate for a loss of 15 cents per share. The company reported quarterly revenue of $254.6 million, which came in below the estimate of $256.54 million, but represented 103% growth year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake公布季度调整后每股收益亏损4美分，超出每股亏损15美分的预期。该公司公布的季度收入为2.546亿美元，低于预期的2.5654亿美元，但同比增长103%。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake expects full-year fiscal 2022 revenue to be in a range of $1.06 billion to $1.07 billion versus the estimate of $1.11 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake预计2022财年全年收入将在10.6亿美元至10.7亿美元之间，而预期为11.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Snowflake saw continued momentum in Q2 with triple-digit growth in product revenue, reflecting strength in customer consumption,” said <b>Frank Slootman</b>, chairman and CEO of Snowflake.</p><p><blockquote>“Snowflake在第二季度继续保持增长势头，产品收入实现三位数增长，反映出客户消费的强劲，”<b>弗兰克·斯洛特曼</b>，Snowflake董事长兼CEO。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is a data lake, warehousing&nbsp;and sharing company with more than&nbsp;3,000 customers.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake是一家数据湖、仓储和共享公司，拥有3000多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SNOW Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Snowflake has traded as high as $429 and as&nbsp;low as $184.71 since its IPO in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>雪价走势：</b>自9月份IPO以来，Snowflake的交易价格最高为429美元，最低为184.71美元。</blockquote></p><p> At last check Thursday, the stock was up 4.03% at $295.27.</p><p><blockquote>截至周四最后一次检查，该股上涨4.03%，至295.27美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Snowflake Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么雪花股价今天走高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Snowflake Shares Are Trading Higher Today<blockquote>为什么雪花股价今天走高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-26 20:58</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a> Inc</b> (NYSE:SNOW) is trading higher Thursday after the company announced better-than-expected second-quarter fiscal 2022 earnings results.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">雪花</a>Inc</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：SNOW）周四公布好于预期的2022财年第二季度盈利业绩后，该公司股价走高。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake reported a&nbsp;quarterly adjusted earnings loss of 4 cents per share, which beat the estimate for a loss of 15 cents per share. The company reported quarterly revenue of $254.6 million, which came in below the estimate of $256.54 million, but represented 103% growth year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake公布季度调整后每股收益亏损4美分，超出每股亏损15美分的预期。该公司公布的季度收入为2.546亿美元，低于预期的2.5654亿美元，但同比增长103%。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake expects full-year fiscal 2022 revenue to be in a range of $1.06 billion to $1.07 billion versus the estimate of $1.11 billion.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake预计2022财年全年收入将在10.6亿美元至10.7亿美元之间，而预期为11.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Snowflake saw continued momentum in Q2 with triple-digit growth in product revenue, reflecting strength in customer consumption,” said <b>Frank Slootman</b>, chairman and CEO of Snowflake.</p><p><blockquote>“Snowflake在第二季度继续保持增长势头，产品收入实现三位数增长，反映出客户消费的强劲，”<b>弗兰克·斯洛特曼</b>，Snowflake董事长兼CEO。</blockquote></p><p> Snowflake is a data lake, warehousing&nbsp;and sharing company with more than&nbsp;3,000 customers.</p><p><blockquote>Snowflake是一家数据湖、仓储和共享公司，拥有3000多家客户。</blockquote></p><p> <b>SNOW Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Snowflake has traded as high as $429 and as&nbsp;low as $184.71 since its IPO in September.</p><p><blockquote><b>雪价走势：</b>自9月份IPO以来，Snowflake的交易价格最高为429美元，最低为184.71美元。</blockquote></p><p> At last check Thursday, the stock was up 4.03% at $295.27.</p><p><blockquote>截至周四最后一次检查，该股上涨4.03%，至295.27美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SNOW":"Snowflake"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2162094573","content_text":"Snowflake Inc (NYSE:SNOW) is trading higher Thursday after the company announced better-than-expected second-quarter fiscal 2022 earnings results.\nSnowflake reported a quarterly adjusted earnings loss of 4 cents per share, which beat the estimate for a loss of 15 cents per share. The company reported quarterly revenue of $254.6 million, which came in below the estimate of $256.54 million, but represented 103% growth year over year.\nSnowflake expects full-year fiscal 2022 revenue to be in a range of $1.06 billion to $1.07 billion versus the estimate of $1.11 billion.\n“Snowflake saw continued momentum in Q2 with triple-digit growth in product revenue, reflecting strength in customer consumption,” said Frank Slootman, chairman and CEO of Snowflake.\nSnowflake is a data lake, warehousing and sharing company with more than 3,000 customers.\nSNOW Price Action: Snowflake has traded as high as $429 and as low as $184.71 since its IPO in September.\nAt last check Thursday, the stock was up 4.03% at $295.27.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SNOW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1790,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834104973,"gmtCreate":1629776894192,"gmtModify":1633682501295,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going strong&nbsp;","listText":"Going strong&nbsp;","text":"Going strong","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e275e0d5e141427303d4c5b186bf8780","width":"1125","height":"2872"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834104973","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1990,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897214223,"gmtCreate":1628922417662,"gmtModify":1633688455206,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Strong","listText":"Strong","text":"Strong","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c0f7146e9533ed035fcf0429192cd7b","width":"750","height":"2253"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897214223","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892232231,"gmtCreate":1628662863123,"gmtModify":1633745276704,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still going strong&nbsp;","listText":"Still going strong&nbsp;","text":"Still going strong","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a4379ad21965ec4498cbe9c6d7a7f21","width":"750","height":"2313"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/892232231","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896337098,"gmtCreate":1628555595015,"gmtModify":1633746233018,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be carful&nbsp;","listText":"Be carful&nbsp;","text":"Be carful","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abd24126dda806ee5bb1d93dcbc5ea71","width":"750","height":"2253"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896337098","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1912,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896335376,"gmtCreate":1628555490295,"gmtModify":1633746234401,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Strong","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$</a>Strong","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Strong","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a37554608108a19ddc2bc877c913e8d","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896335376","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898942692,"gmtCreate":1628470812816,"gmtModify":1631885314735,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Like&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Like&nbsp;","text":"$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$Like","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ea49c63f97e6597968252830bb78578","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898942692","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898946649,"gmtCreate":1628470781681,"gmtModify":1633746984946,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going up","listText":"Going up","text":"Going up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3261af4867c8806447d9dfc98081abd","width":"750","height":"2133"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898946649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898948360,"gmtCreate":1628470675550,"gmtModify":1633746986264,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898948360","repostId":"1140330029","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140330029","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628469800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140330029?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 08:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway recovers from coronavirus slowdown<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司从冠状病毒放缓中恢复过来</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140330029","media":"Reuters","summary":"Aug 7 (Reuters) - Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRKa.N)on Saturday said many of its busine","content":"<p>Aug 7 (Reuters) - Warren Buffett's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway</a> Inc(BRKa.N)on Saturday said many of its businesses are enjoying strong recoveries from the early depths of the coronavirus pandemic, fueling rebounds in profits and revenue.</p><p><blockquote>路透8月7日-沃伦·巴菲特的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔哈撒韦</a>Inc（BRKa.N）周六表示，其许多业务正在从冠状病毒大流行的早期深度中强劲复苏，推动利润和收入反弹。</blockquote></p><p> The company Buffett has run since 1965 also signaled the billionaire's confidence in its future by repurchasing $6 billion of its own shares in the second quarter, even as its stock price regularly set new highs.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自1965年以来一直经营的公司也在第二季度回购了60亿美元的自有股票，表明了这位亿万富翁对其未来的信心，尽管其股价经常创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire's manufacturing, service and retailing businesses suffered last year as economic activity plunged, job losses soared and shoppers stayed home.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于内布拉斯加州奥马哈的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的制造、服务和零售业务去年因经济活动暴跌、失业人数飙升以及购物者呆在家里而遭受损失。</blockquote></p><p> But now, Berkshire said its BNSF railroad, namesake auto dealership and housing units are among many businesses seeing \"significant\" recoveries despite supply chain disruptions and higher costs, with earnings and revenue in some instances topping pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote>但现在，伯克希尔表示，尽管供应链中断和成本上升，但其BNSF铁路、同名汽车经销商和住房部门等众多业务都出现了“显着”复苏，在某些情况下，盈利和收入超过了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Another sign of improvement was Berkshire's decision not to repeat a caution in its previous quarterly results that other operating units still faced adverse effects from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>另一个改善的迹象是伯克希尔决定不再重复上一季度业绩中的警告，即其他运营部门仍面临疫情的不利影响。</blockquote></p><p> Second-quarter operating profit rose 21% to $6.69 billion, or about $4,424 per Class A share, from $5.51 billion, or about $3,463 per share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度营业利润从去年同期的55.1亿美元（约合每股3463美元）增长21%至66.9亿美元（约合每股4424美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Net income rose 7% to $28.1 billion, or $18,488 per Class A share, bolstered by unrealized gains in Berkshire's $192 billion of investments in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc(AAPL.O), $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$(BAC.N)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a> Corp(AXP.N).</p><p><blockquote>净利润增长7%至281亿美元，即每股A类股18,488美元，这得益于伯克希尔哈撒韦公司1,920亿美元投资的未实现收益<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc(AAPL.O)、$美国银行(BAC-N)$(BAC.N)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>公司（AXP.N）。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue jumped 22% to $69.1 billion. Berkshire also owns such businesses as the Geico auto insurer and See's Candies.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长22%至691亿美元。伯克希尔还拥有Geico汽车保险公司和喜诗糖果等业务。</blockquote></p><p> Results were \"pretty strong, reflecting broad economic strength,\" said Jim Shanahan, an Edward Jones analyst. He rates Berkshire \"buy\" and raised his earnings forecast through 2022.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯分析师吉姆·沙纳汉表示，业绩“相当强劲，反映了广泛的经济实力”。他将伯克希尔评级为“买入”，并上调了截至2022年的盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p> Many U.S. companies have improved results as the economy rebounds.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济反弹，许多美国公司的业绩有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> this month raised its 2021 earnings forecast for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMP\">Standard</a> &amp; Poor's 500(.SPX)companies, implying 45% annual growth.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>本月上调了2021年盈利预期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMP\">标准</a>&amp;普尔500(.SPX)公司，意味着45%的年增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The second quarter was also notable for Buffett's revealing that if he were to step down, Berkshire's next chief executive would be Greg Abel, a vice chairman overseeing Berkshire's non-insurance businesses. Buffett turns 91 on Aug. 30.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度还值得注意的是，巴菲特透露，如果他辞职，伯克希尔的下一任首席执行官将是格雷格·阿贝尔，他是负责监管伯克希尔非保险业务的副主席。巴菲特将于8月30日迎来91岁生日。</blockquote></p><p> NET SELLER</p><p><blockquote>净卖家</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire's buybacks, including at least $1.7 billion in July when its share count declined further, boosted total share repurchases to about $39 billion since the end of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔的回购，包括7月份股票数量进一步下降时至少17亿美元的回购，使2019年底以来的股票回购总额达到约390亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett has aggressively repurchased Berkshire shares as high stock market valuations and the growth of special purpose acquisition companies, which take private companies public, make buying whole companies appear too costly.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特积极回购伯克希尔股票，因为高股市估值和将私营公司上市的特殊目的收购公司的增长使得收购整个公司显得成本过高。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a killer,\" Buffett said at Berkshire's annual meeting on May 1, referring to SPACs.read more</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个杀手，”巴菲特在5月1日的伯克希尔年会上表示，他指的是SPAC。了解更多</blockquote></p><p> Valuations may have also played a role in Berkshire's selling $1.1 billion more stocks than it bought in the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>估值也可能是伯克希尔本季度出售的股票比购买的股票多11亿美元的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> The net selling is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> reason Berkshire ended June with $144.1 billion of cash and equivalents, despite the buybacks.</p><p><blockquote>净卖出为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>尽管进行了回购，伯克希尔哈撒韦截至6月底仍拥有1,441亿美元的现金及等价物。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire's share price is up 23.7% in 2021, topping the S&amp;P 500's 18.1% gain, after trailing the index significantly in 2019 and 2020.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔股价在2019年和2020年大幅落后于该指数后，2021年上涨了23.7%，超过了标普500 18.1%的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's very clear they're having difficulty deploying capital in public markets,\" Shanahan said. \"Given the valuation of the stock, we should expect Berkshire's buybacks to be the preferred source of capital deployment.\"</p><p><blockquote>沙纳汉表示：“很明显，他们很难在公开市场部署资本。”“考虑到该股的估值，我们应该预计伯克希尔的回购将成为资本配置的首选来源。”</blockquote></p><p> BNSF's profit surged 34% to $1.52 billion, as retailers replenished inventories and demand swelled for building products, grain and coal.</p><p><blockquote>由于零售商补充库存以及对建筑产品、谷物和煤炭的需求膨胀，BNSF的利润飙升34%至15.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>-half vehicle sales grew 30% at the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">Berkshire Hathaway</a> Automotive dealerships.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>-上半年汽车销量增长30%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">伯克希尔哈撒韦</a>汽车经销商。</blockquote></p><p> Homebuying also rebounded, boosting quarterly reported profit 43% at Clayton Homes mobile homes and 129% at Berkshire's namesake real estate brokerage.</p><p><blockquote>购房也出现反弹，Clayton Homes mobile homes的季度利润增长了43%，伯克希尔同名房地产经纪公司的季度利润增长了129%。</blockquote></p><p> The brokerage is part of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, where wind power tax credits helped increase profit 17%.</p><p><blockquote>该经纪公司是伯克希尔哈撒韦能源公司的一部分，该公司的风电税收抵免帮助利润增加了17%。</blockquote></p><p> Some businesses fared less well.</p><p><blockquote>一些企业的表现不太好。</blockquote></p><p> Geico's pretax underwriting profit fell 70% as people drove, and crashed, more often. Rivals including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALL\">Allstate</a> Corp(ALL.N)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PGR\">Progressive</a> Corp(PGR.N)have also reported more accidents.</p><p><blockquote>随着人们开车和撞车的频率增加，Geico的税前承保利润下降了70%。竞争对手包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALL\">好事达</a>公司（ALL.N）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PGR\">进步的</a>公司（PGR.N）也报告了更多的事故。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire also said revenue fell 9% at Precision Castparts, the aircraft and industrial parts maker it wrote down by $9.8 billion in 2020 as airlines slashed plane orders. It said a big rebound is not likely soon because customers have enough parts.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔还表示，由于航空公司削减飞机订单，飞机和工业零部件制造商Precision Castparts的收入下降了9%，该公司在2020年减记了98亿美元。该公司表示，不太可能很快出现大幅反弹，因为客户有足够的零件。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway recovers from coronavirus slowdown<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司从冠状病毒放缓中恢复过来</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWarren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway recovers from coronavirus slowdown<blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特的伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司从冠状病毒放缓中恢复过来</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 08:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Aug 7 (Reuters) - Warren Buffett's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway</a> Inc(BRKa.N)on Saturday said many of its businesses are enjoying strong recoveries from the early depths of the coronavirus pandemic, fueling rebounds in profits and revenue.</p><p><blockquote>路透8月7日-沃伦·巴菲特的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔哈撒韦</a>Inc（BRKa.N）周六表示，其许多业务正在从冠状病毒大流行的早期深度中强劲复苏，推动利润和收入反弹。</blockquote></p><p> The company Buffett has run since 1965 also signaled the billionaire's confidence in its future by repurchasing $6 billion of its own shares in the second quarter, even as its stock price regularly set new highs.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自1965年以来一直经营的公司也在第二季度回购了60亿美元的自有股票，表明了这位亿万富翁对其未来的信心，尽管其股价经常创下新高。</blockquote></p><p> Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire's manufacturing, service and retailing businesses suffered last year as economic activity plunged, job losses soared and shoppers stayed home.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于内布拉斯加州奥马哈的伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的制造、服务和零售业务去年因经济活动暴跌、失业人数飙升以及购物者呆在家里而遭受损失。</blockquote></p><p> But now, Berkshire said its BNSF railroad, namesake auto dealership and housing units are among many businesses seeing \"significant\" recoveries despite supply chain disruptions and higher costs, with earnings and revenue in some instances topping pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote>但现在，伯克希尔表示，尽管供应链中断和成本上升，但其BNSF铁路、同名汽车经销商和住房部门等众多业务都出现了“显着”复苏，在某些情况下，盈利和收入超过了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Another sign of improvement was Berkshire's decision not to repeat a caution in its previous quarterly results that other operating units still faced adverse effects from the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>另一个改善的迹象是伯克希尔决定不再重复上一季度业绩中的警告，即其他运营部门仍面临疫情的不利影响。</blockquote></p><p> Second-quarter operating profit rose 21% to $6.69 billion, or about $4,424 per Class A share, from $5.51 billion, or about $3,463 per share, a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度营业利润从去年同期的55.1亿美元（约合每股3463美元）增长21%至66.9亿美元（约合每股4424美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Net income rose 7% to $28.1 billion, or $18,488 per Class A share, bolstered by unrealized gains in Berkshire's $192 billion of investments in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc(AAPL.O), $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$(BAC.N)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a> Corp(AXP.N).</p><p><blockquote>净利润增长7%至281亿美元，即每股A类股18,488美元，这得益于伯克希尔哈撒韦公司1,920亿美元投资的未实现收益<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc(AAPL.O)、$美国银行(BAC-N)$(BAC.N)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>公司（AXP.N）。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue jumped 22% to $69.1 billion. Berkshire also owns such businesses as the Geico auto insurer and See's Candies.</p><p><blockquote>收入增长22%至691亿美元。伯克希尔还拥有Geico汽车保险公司和喜诗糖果等业务。</blockquote></p><p> Results were \"pretty strong, reflecting broad economic strength,\" said Jim Shanahan, an Edward Jones analyst. He rates Berkshire \"buy\" and raised his earnings forecast through 2022.</p><p><blockquote>爱德华·琼斯分析师吉姆·沙纳汉表示，业绩“相当强劲，反映了广泛的经济实力”。他将伯克希尔评级为“买入”，并上调了截至2022年的盈利预测。</blockquote></p><p> Many U.S. companies have improved results as the economy rebounds.</p><p><blockquote>随着经济反弹，许多美国公司的业绩有所改善。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a> this month raised its 2021 earnings forecast for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMP\">Standard</a> &amp; Poor's 500(.SPX)companies, implying 45% annual growth.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>本月上调了2021年盈利预期<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMP\">标准</a>&amp;普尔500(.SPX)公司，意味着45%的年增长率。</blockquote></p><p> The second quarter was also notable for Buffett's revealing that if he were to step down, Berkshire's next chief executive would be Greg Abel, a vice chairman overseeing Berkshire's non-insurance businesses. Buffett turns 91 on Aug. 30.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度还值得注意的是，巴菲特透露，如果他辞职，伯克希尔的下一任首席执行官将是格雷格·阿贝尔，他是负责监管伯克希尔非保险业务的副主席。巴菲特将于8月30日迎来91岁生日。</blockquote></p><p> NET SELLER</p><p><blockquote>净卖家</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire's buybacks, including at least $1.7 billion in July when its share count declined further, boosted total share repurchases to about $39 billion since the end of 2019.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔的回购，包括7月份股票数量进一步下降时至少17亿美元的回购，使2019年底以来的股票回购总额达到约390亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett has aggressively repurchased Berkshire shares as high stock market valuations and the growth of special purpose acquisition companies, which take private companies public, make buying whole companies appear too costly.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特积极回购伯克希尔股票，因为高股市估值和将私营公司上市的特殊目的收购公司的增长使得收购整个公司显得成本过高。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a killer,\" Buffett said at Berkshire's annual meeting on May 1, referring to SPACs.read more</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个杀手，”巴菲特在5月1日的伯克希尔年会上表示，他指的是SPAC。了解更多</blockquote></p><p> Valuations may have also played a role in Berkshire's selling $1.1 billion more stocks than it bought in the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>估值也可能是伯克希尔本季度出售的股票比购买的股票多11亿美元的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> The net selling is <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> reason Berkshire ended June with $144.1 billion of cash and equivalents, despite the buybacks.</p><p><blockquote>净卖出为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>尽管进行了回购，伯克希尔哈撒韦截至6月底仍拥有1,441亿美元的现金及等价物。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire's share price is up 23.7% in 2021, topping the S&amp;P 500's 18.1% gain, after trailing the index significantly in 2019 and 2020.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔股价在2019年和2020年大幅落后于该指数后，2021年上涨了23.7%，超过了标普500 18.1%的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's very clear they're having difficulty deploying capital in public markets,\" Shanahan said. \"Given the valuation of the stock, we should expect Berkshire's buybacks to be the preferred source of capital deployment.\"</p><p><blockquote>沙纳汉表示：“很明显，他们很难在公开市场部署资本。”“考虑到该股的估值，我们应该预计伯克希尔的回购将成为资本配置的首选来源。”</blockquote></p><p> BNSF's profit surged 34% to $1.52 billion, as retailers replenished inventories and demand swelled for building products, grain and coal.</p><p><blockquote>由于零售商补充库存以及对建筑产品、谷物和煤炭的需求膨胀，BNSF的利润飙升34%至15.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a>-half vehicle sales grew 30% at the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">Berkshire Hathaway</a> Automotive dealerships.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">第一</a>-上半年汽车销量增长30%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">伯克希尔哈撒韦</a>汽车经销商。</blockquote></p><p> Homebuying also rebounded, boosting quarterly reported profit 43% at Clayton Homes mobile homes and 129% at Berkshire's namesake real estate brokerage.</p><p><blockquote>购房也出现反弹，Clayton Homes mobile homes的季度利润增长了43%，伯克希尔同名房地产经纪公司的季度利润增长了129%。</blockquote></p><p> The brokerage is part of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, where wind power tax credits helped increase profit 17%.</p><p><blockquote>该经纪公司是伯克希尔哈撒韦能源公司的一部分，该公司的风电税收抵免帮助利润增加了17%。</blockquote></p><p> Some businesses fared less well.</p><p><blockquote>一些企业的表现不太好。</blockquote></p><p> Geico's pretax underwriting profit fell 70% as people drove, and crashed, more often. Rivals including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALL\">Allstate</a> Corp(ALL.N)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PGR\">Progressive</a> Corp(PGR.N)have also reported more accidents.</p><p><blockquote>随着人们开车和撞车的频率增加，Geico的税前承保利润下降了70%。竞争对手包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALL\">好事达</a>公司（ALL.N）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PGR\">进步的</a>公司（PGR.N）也报告了更多的事故。</blockquote></p><p> Berkshire also said revenue fell 9% at Precision Castparts, the aircraft and industrial parts maker it wrote down by $9.8 billion in 2020 as airlines slashed plane orders. It said a big rebound is not likely soon because customers have enough parts.</p><p><blockquote>伯克希尔还表示，由于航空公司削减飞机订单，飞机和工业零部件制造商Precision Castparts的收入下降了9%，该公司在2020年减记了98亿美元。该公司表示，不太可能很快出现大幅反弹，因为客户有足够的零件。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/berkshire-hathaway-operating-profit-rises-21-2021-08-07/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/berkshire-hathaway-operating-profit-rises-21-2021-08-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140330029","content_text":"Aug 7 (Reuters) - Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc(BRKa.N)on Saturday said many of its businesses are enjoying strong recoveries from the early depths of the coronavirus pandemic, fueling rebounds in profits and revenue.\nThe company Buffett has run since 1965 also signaled the billionaire's confidence in its future by repurchasing $6 billion of its own shares in the second quarter, even as its stock price regularly set new highs.\nOmaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire's manufacturing, service and retailing businesses suffered last year as economic activity plunged, job losses soared and shoppers stayed home.\nBut now, Berkshire said its BNSF railroad, namesake auto dealership and housing units are among many businesses seeing \"significant\" recoveries despite supply chain disruptions and higher costs, with earnings and revenue in some instances topping pre-pandemic levels.\nAnother sign of improvement was Berkshire's decision not to repeat a caution in its previous quarterly results that other operating units still faced adverse effects from the pandemic.\nSecond-quarter operating profit rose 21% to $6.69 billion, or about $4,424 per Class A share, from $5.51 billion, or about $3,463 per share, a year earlier.\nNet income rose 7% to $28.1 billion, or $18,488 per Class A share, bolstered by unrealized gains in Berkshire's $192 billion of investments in Apple Inc(AAPL.O), $Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$(BAC.N)and American Express Corp(AXP.N).\nRevenue jumped 22% to $69.1 billion. Berkshire also owns such businesses as the Geico auto insurer and See's Candies.\nResults were \"pretty strong, reflecting broad economic strength,\" said Jim Shanahan, an Edward Jones analyst. He rates Berkshire \"buy\" and raised his earnings forecast through 2022.\nMany U.S. companies have improved results as the economy rebounds.\nGoldman Sachs this month raised its 2021 earnings forecast for Standard & Poor's 500(.SPX)companies, implying 45% annual growth.\nThe second quarter was also notable for Buffett's revealing that if he were to step down, Berkshire's next chief executive would be Greg Abel, a vice chairman overseeing Berkshire's non-insurance businesses. Buffett turns 91 on Aug. 30.\nNET SELLER\nBerkshire's buybacks, including at least $1.7 billion in July when its share count declined further, boosted total share repurchases to about $39 billion since the end of 2019.\nBuffett has aggressively repurchased Berkshire shares as high stock market valuations and the growth of special purpose acquisition companies, which take private companies public, make buying whole companies appear too costly.\n\"It's a killer,\" Buffett said at Berkshire's annual meeting on May 1, referring to SPACs.read more\nValuations may have also played a role in Berkshire's selling $1.1 billion more stocks than it bought in the quarter.\nThe net selling is one reason Berkshire ended June with $144.1 billion of cash and equivalents, despite the buybacks.\nBerkshire's share price is up 23.7% in 2021, topping the S&P 500's 18.1% gain, after trailing the index significantly in 2019 and 2020.\n\"It's very clear they're having difficulty deploying capital in public markets,\" Shanahan said. \"Given the valuation of the stock, we should expect Berkshire's buybacks to be the preferred source of capital deployment.\"\nBNSF's profit surged 34% to $1.52 billion, as retailers replenished inventories and demand swelled for building products, grain and coal.\nFirst-half vehicle sales grew 30% at the Berkshire Hathaway Automotive dealerships.\nHomebuying also rebounded, boosting quarterly reported profit 43% at Clayton Homes mobile homes and 129% at Berkshire's namesake real estate brokerage.\nThe brokerage is part of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, where wind power tax credits helped increase profit 17%.\nSome businesses fared less well.\nGeico's pretax underwriting profit fell 70% as people drove, and crashed, more often. Rivals including Allstate Corp(ALL.N)and Progressive Corp(PGR.N)have also reported more accidents.\nBerkshire also said revenue fell 9% at Precision Castparts, the aircraft and industrial parts maker it wrote down by $9.8 billion in 2020 as airlines slashed plane orders. It said a big rebound is not likely soon because customers have enough parts.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891726075,"gmtCreate":1628432862497,"gmtModify":1633747171342,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted and thank u","listText":"Noted and thank u","text":"Noted and thank u","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891726075","repostId":"1143051031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":842,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891728276,"gmtCreate":1628432782095,"gmtModify":1631885314737,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Going strong","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Going strong","text":"$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$Going strong","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ea49c63f97e6597968252830bb78578","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891728276","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891728172,"gmtCreate":1628432740996,"gmtModify":1633747171688,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going strong 👍","listText":"Going strong 👍","text":"Going strong 👍","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/002bb1b5227bdbea229c7f7eccb8f85e","width":"750","height":"2133"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891728172","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893443745,"gmtCreate":1628297541487,"gmtModify":1633751911540,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be carful&nbsp;","listText":"Be carful&nbsp;","text":"Be carful","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c15e6c0649528ec9b36ce3a2832d8b91","width":"750","height":"2253"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893443745","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":673,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893449221,"gmtCreate":1628297483163,"gmtModify":1633751912756,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893449221","repostId":"1143051031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893440454,"gmtCreate":1628297435778,"gmtModify":1631885314757,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Going up","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Going up","text":"$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$Going up","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7133afcdfb75ebd357018fb87cf0ed50","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893440454","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893821968,"gmtCreate":1628256045554,"gmtModify":1633752208763,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893821968","repostId":"1195593033","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893823223,"gmtCreate":1628256017762,"gmtModify":1633752209006,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564525745521630","authorIdStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looking good&nbsp;","listText":"Looking good&nbsp;","text":"Looking good","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf33cc7bb60e97a0d8547587c53d3283","width":"750","height":"2193"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893823223","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":802525099,"gmtCreate":1627789994011,"gmtModify":1633756356133,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info&nbsp;","listText":"Good info&nbsp;","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802525099","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":464,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893821968,"gmtCreate":1628256045554,"gmtModify":1633752208763,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893821968","repostId":"1195593033","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":757,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893820763,"gmtCreate":1628255942552,"gmtModify":1633752210281,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893820763","repostId":"2157752461","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898942692,"gmtCreate":1628470812816,"gmtModify":1631885314735,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Like&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Like&nbsp;","text":"$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$Like","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ea49c63f97e6597968252830bb78578","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898942692","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899830740,"gmtCreate":1628172505480,"gmtModify":1633752944144,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899830740","repostId":"1162240698","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162240698","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628163800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162240698?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-05 19:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"10 stocks that have what it takes to be a ‘perfect’ company<blockquote>10只具备成为“完美”公司所需条件的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162240698","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Strong leadership, smart acquisitions, and a sense of place and purpose are part of a winning combin","content":"<p>  <b>Strong leadership, smart acquisitions, and a sense of place and purpose are part of a winning combination.</b>  My recent column describing&nbsp;the “perfect company”&nbsp;elicited several nominees from readers. They’re worth sharing and may even provide the basis for constructing a portfolio.</p><p><blockquote><b>强有力的领导、明智的收购以及地方感和目标感是成功组合的一部分。</b>我最近描述“完美公司”的专栏获得了读者的几个提名。它们值得分享，甚至可以为构建投资组合提供基础。</blockquote></p><p> As a recap, a colleague once defined the perfect company as requiring no incremental capital, yielding functionally infinite returns, and maintaining a long-term view. The perfect company’s leader must excel at allocating capital, chiefly through serial acquisitions of businesses thereafter managed in a decentralized structure based on trust.</p><p><blockquote>回顾一下，一位同事曾经将完美公司定义为不需要增量资本、产生功能性无限回报并保持长期视野。完美公司的领导者必须擅长分配资本，主要是通过一系列收购企业，然后在基于信任的分散结构中进行管理。</blockquote></p><p> Acknowledging that such companies are rare, readers suggested numerous examples. These 10, listed below in alphabetical order, were mentioned multiple times:</p><p><blockquote>读者承认这样的公司很少见，并提出了许多例子。以下按字母顺序列出的这10个被多次提及：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>1. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> ADBE,+0.71%</li>  <li>2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> (Google) GOOGL,-0.37%</li>  <li>3. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway</a> BRK.A,-0.88%&nbsp;BRK.B,-1.07%</li>  <li>4. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ\">Constellation</a> Brands STZ,-0.88%</li>  <li>5. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DHR\">Danaher</a> DHR,+1.09%</li>  <li>6. Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH,+4.70%</li>  <li>7. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITW\">Illinois Tool</a> Works ITW,-1.31%</li>  <li>8. Johnson &amp; Johnson JNJ,-0.59%</li>  <li>9. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKL\">Markel</a> MKL,+0.30%</li>  <li>10. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROP\">Roper</a> Technologies ROP,-0.44%</li> </ul> These companies operate in industries generally requiring zero or modest incremental capital — insurance, sciences, technology and software.&nbsp; That meets the first hurdle.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>1.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>ADBE,+0.71%</li><li>2.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>（谷歌）GOOGL，-0.37%</li><li>3.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔哈撒韦</a>BRK.A,-0.88%BRK.B,-1.07%</li><li>4.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ\">星座</a>品牌STZ,-0.88%</li><li>5.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DHR\">丹纳赫</a>DHR，+1.09%</li><li>6.费尔法克斯金融控股FFH，+4.70%</li><li>7.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITW\">伊利诺伊工具</a>工程ITW,-1.31%</li><li>8.强生JNJ，-0.59%</li><li>9.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKL\">马克尔</a>MKL,+0.30%</li><li>10.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROP\">罗珀</a>科技ROP,-0.44%</li></ul>这些公司所处的行业通常不需要或只需要适度的增量资本——保险、科学、技术和软件。这就遇到了第一个障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Their leadership is strong, often iconic, and certainly long-term. Berkshire’s Warren Buffett, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ.B\">Constellation</a>’s Mark Leonard, and Fairfax’s Prem Watsa have personified their companies for decades, and all developed a deep bench of like-minded managers.&nbsp; A succession of impressive leaders has run all the others, such as the Rales brothers at Danaher and the Markel family at their eponymous company.</p><p><blockquote>他们的领导力是强有力的，通常是标志性的，当然也是长期的。伯克希尔的沃伦·巴菲特，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ.B\">星座</a>公司的马克·伦纳德(Mark Leonard)和费尔法克斯(Fairfax)的普雷姆·瓦萨(Prem Watsa)几十年来一直是他们公司的化身，并且都培养了一大批志同道合的经理人。一系列令人印象深刻的领导者掌管着所有其他公司，例如丹纳赫(Danaher)的罗尔斯兄弟(Rales brothers)和同名公司的马克尔(Markel)家族。</blockquote></p><p> Acquisition discipline is evidenced by high returns on capital deployed, the companies’ opportunistic character, and their relative obscurity.&nbsp; As for the latter, only a few of the thousands of acquisitions made by these 10 companies are marquee names on the order of Adobe’s Photoshop, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet</a>’s YouTube, or Berkshire’s Dairy Queen.&nbsp; Most people haven’t heard of the majority of the businesses these companies have acquired.&nbsp; ISCAR, Pall, Quipp, Vertafore anyone?</p><p><blockquote>高资本回报率、公司的机会主义特征及其相对默默无闻证明了收购纪律。至于后者，这10家公司进行的数千次收购中只有少数是与Adobe的Photoshop齐名的大牌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet</a>YouTube，或者伯克希尔的乳品皇后。大多数人没有听说过这些公司收购的大部分业务。伊斯卡、颇尔、奎普、维塔福尔有人吗？</blockquote></p><p> Acquisition frequency and scale vary. Constellation, for example, has made hundreds of small acquisitions while Illinois Tool Works has made perhaps 1,000. Adobe, Danaher, Fairfax, and Markel have made dozens or scores of purchases, some of considerable size. The others are all over the map in number and sizes. One thing these investors have in common is that they wait for their pitch.</p><p><blockquote>采集频率和规模各不相同。例如，Constellation已经进行了数百次小型收购，而Illinois Tool Works则进行了大约1,000次收购。Adobe、Danaher、Fairfax和Markel已经进行了数十次或数十次收购，其中一些规模相当大。其他的在数量和大小上遍布地图。这些投资者的一个共同点是他们等待他们的推销。</blockquote></p><p> All of these companies are organized along decentralized lines. Headquarters delegates substantial autonomy to the heads of the various businesses. Trust permeates their cultures.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些公司都是按照分散的路线组织的。总部将相当大的自主权授予各业务负责人。信任渗透在他们的文化中。</blockquote></p><p> The data back up the impressions. For instance, these companies repeatedly lead the pack in rankings of attributes of the perfect company, such as&nbsp;capital allocation prowess&nbsp;and&nbsp;decentralized trust-based cultures.</p><p><blockquote>数据支持了印象。例如，这些公司在完美公司的属性排名中多次领先，例如资本配置能力和基于分散信任的文化。</blockquote></p><p> They are also notable for the&nbsp;longevity of their leadership&nbsp;and insider ownership of the stock (especially by directors, suggesting they “get” the perfect company).</p><p><blockquote>他们还因其长期的领导力和股票的内部所有权（尤其是董事，这表明他们“得到”了完美的公司）而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> Not coincidentally, all 10 companies&nbsp;rank high in attracting&nbsp;long-term focused (“quality”) shareholders. They also rank high in the caliber of their&nbsp;shareholder communications — a logical add-on of the perfect company from the shareholders’ viewpoint.</p><p><blockquote>并非巧合的是，所有10家公司在吸引长期关注（“优质”）股东方面都排名靠前。他们在股东沟通方面的水平也很高——从股东的角度来看，这是完美公司的合乎逻辑的补充。</blockquote></p><p> In short, readers have helpfully identified “perfect companies” in the sense my colleague described.&nbsp; Whether these companies are perfect investments depends on their prevailing stock price.&nbsp; But they certainly warrant a close look.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，读者在我的同事描述的意义上识别“完美公司”是很有帮助的。这些公司是否是完美的投资取决于它们当时的股价。但它们确实值得仔细观察。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>10 stocks that have what it takes to be a ‘perfect’ company<blockquote>10只具备成为“完美”公司所需条件的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n10 stocks that have what it takes to be a ‘perfect’ company<blockquote>10只具备成为“完美”公司所需条件的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 19:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Strong leadership, smart acquisitions, and a sense of place and purpose are part of a winning combination.</b>  My recent column describing&nbsp;the “perfect company”&nbsp;elicited several nominees from readers. They’re worth sharing and may even provide the basis for constructing a portfolio.</p><p><blockquote><b>强有力的领导、明智的收购以及地方感和目标感是成功组合的一部分。</b>我最近描述“完美公司”的专栏获得了读者的几个提名。它们值得分享，甚至可以为构建投资组合提供基础。</blockquote></p><p> As a recap, a colleague once defined the perfect company as requiring no incremental capital, yielding functionally infinite returns, and maintaining a long-term view. The perfect company’s leader must excel at allocating capital, chiefly through serial acquisitions of businesses thereafter managed in a decentralized structure based on trust.</p><p><blockquote>回顾一下，一位同事曾经将完美公司定义为不需要增量资本、产生功能性无限回报并保持长期视野。完美公司的领导者必须擅长分配资本，主要是通过一系列收购企业，然后在基于信任的分散结构中进行管理。</blockquote></p><p> Acknowledging that such companies are rare, readers suggested numerous examples. These 10, listed below in alphabetical order, were mentioned multiple times:</p><p><blockquote>读者承认这样的公司很少见，并提出了许多例子。以下按字母顺序列出的这10个被多次提及：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>1. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a> ADBE,+0.71%</li>  <li>2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> (Google) GOOGL,-0.37%</li>  <li>3. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">Berkshire Hathaway</a> BRK.A,-0.88%&nbsp;BRK.B,-1.07%</li>  <li>4. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ\">Constellation</a> Brands STZ,-0.88%</li>  <li>5. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DHR\">Danaher</a> DHR,+1.09%</li>  <li>6. Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH,+4.70%</li>  <li>7. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITW\">Illinois Tool</a> Works ITW,-1.31%</li>  <li>8. Johnson &amp; Johnson JNJ,-0.59%</li>  <li>9. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKL\">Markel</a> MKL,+0.30%</li>  <li>10. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROP\">Roper</a> Technologies ROP,-0.44%</li> </ul> These companies operate in industries generally requiring zero or modest incremental capital — insurance, sciences, technology and software.&nbsp; That meets the first hurdle.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>1.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">土坯</a>ADBE,+0.71%</li><li>2.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>（谷歌）GOOGL，-0.37%</li><li>3.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔哈撒韦</a>BRK.A,-0.88%BRK.B,-1.07%</li><li>4.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ\">星座</a>品牌STZ,-0.88%</li><li>5.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DHR\">丹纳赫</a>DHR，+1.09%</li><li>6.费尔法克斯金融控股FFH，+4.70%</li><li>7.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ITW\">伊利诺伊工具</a>工程ITW,-1.31%</li><li>8.强生JNJ，-0.59%</li><li>9.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKL\">马克尔</a>MKL,+0.30%</li><li>10.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ROP\">罗珀</a>科技ROP,-0.44%</li></ul>这些公司所处的行业通常不需要或只需要适度的增量资本——保险、科学、技术和软件。这就遇到了第一个障碍。</blockquote></p><p> Their leadership is strong, often iconic, and certainly long-term. Berkshire’s Warren Buffett, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ.B\">Constellation</a>’s Mark Leonard, and Fairfax’s Prem Watsa have personified their companies for decades, and all developed a deep bench of like-minded managers.&nbsp; A succession of impressive leaders has run all the others, such as the Rales brothers at Danaher and the Markel family at their eponymous company.</p><p><blockquote>他们的领导力是强有力的，通常是标志性的，当然也是长期的。伯克希尔的沃伦·巴菲特，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ.B\">星座</a>公司的马克·伦纳德(Mark Leonard)和费尔法克斯(Fairfax)的普雷姆·瓦萨(Prem Watsa)几十年来一直是他们公司的化身，并且都培养了一大批志同道合的经理人。一系列令人印象深刻的领导者掌管着所有其他公司，例如丹纳赫(Danaher)的罗尔斯兄弟(Rales brothers)和同名公司的马克尔(Markel)家族。</blockquote></p><p> Acquisition discipline is evidenced by high returns on capital deployed, the companies’ opportunistic character, and their relative obscurity.&nbsp; As for the latter, only a few of the thousands of acquisitions made by these 10 companies are marquee names on the order of Adobe’s Photoshop, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet</a>’s YouTube, or Berkshire’s Dairy Queen.&nbsp; Most people haven’t heard of the majority of the businesses these companies have acquired.&nbsp; ISCAR, Pall, Quipp, Vertafore anyone?</p><p><blockquote>高资本回报率、公司的机会主义特征及其相对默默无闻证明了收购纪律。至于后者，这10家公司进行的数千次收购中只有少数是与Adobe的Photoshop齐名的大牌，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">Alphabet</a>YouTube，或者伯克希尔的乳品皇后。大多数人没有听说过这些公司收购的大部分业务。伊斯卡、颇尔、奎普、维塔福尔有人吗？</blockquote></p><p> Acquisition frequency and scale vary. Constellation, for example, has made hundreds of small acquisitions while Illinois Tool Works has made perhaps 1,000. Adobe, Danaher, Fairfax, and Markel have made dozens or scores of purchases, some of considerable size. The others are all over the map in number and sizes. One thing these investors have in common is that they wait for their pitch.</p><p><blockquote>采集频率和规模各不相同。例如，Constellation已经进行了数百次小型收购，而Illinois Tool Works则进行了大约1,000次收购。Adobe、Danaher、Fairfax和Markel已经进行了数十次或数十次收购，其中一些规模相当大。其他的在数量和大小上遍布地图。这些投资者的一个共同点是他们等待他们的推销。</blockquote></p><p> All of these companies are organized along decentralized lines. Headquarters delegates substantial autonomy to the heads of the various businesses. Trust permeates their cultures.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些公司都是按照分散的路线组织的。总部将相当大的自主权授予各业务负责人。信任渗透在他们的文化中。</blockquote></p><p> The data back up the impressions. For instance, these companies repeatedly lead the pack in rankings of attributes of the perfect company, such as&nbsp;capital allocation prowess&nbsp;and&nbsp;decentralized trust-based cultures.</p><p><blockquote>数据支持了印象。例如，这些公司在完美公司的属性排名中多次领先，例如资本配置能力和基于分散信任的文化。</blockquote></p><p> They are also notable for the&nbsp;longevity of their leadership&nbsp;and insider ownership of the stock (especially by directors, suggesting they “get” the perfect company).</p><p><blockquote>他们还因其长期的领导力和股票的内部所有权（尤其是董事，这表明他们“得到”了完美的公司）而闻名。</blockquote></p><p> Not coincidentally, all 10 companies&nbsp;rank high in attracting&nbsp;long-term focused (“quality”) shareholders. They also rank high in the caliber of their&nbsp;shareholder communications — a logical add-on of the perfect company from the shareholders’ viewpoint.</p><p><blockquote>并非巧合的是，所有10家公司在吸引长期关注（“优质”）股东方面都排名靠前。他们在股东沟通方面的水平也很高——从股东的角度来看，这是完美公司的合乎逻辑的补充。</blockquote></p><p> In short, readers have helpfully identified “perfect companies” in the sense my colleague described.&nbsp; Whether these companies are perfect investments depends on their prevailing stock price.&nbsp; But they certainly warrant a close look.</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，读者在我的同事描述的意义上识别“完美公司”是很有帮助的。这些公司是否是完美的投资取决于它们当时的股价。但它们确实值得仔细观察。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/10-stocks-that-have-what-it-takes-to-be-a-perfect-company-11628125333?mod=newsviewer_click\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe","ITW":"伊利诺伊机械","GOOG":"谷歌","DHR":"丹纳赫","JNJ":"强生","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","FAXRF":"Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd.","ROP":"儒博实业","STZ":"星座品牌","MKL":"Markel Corp"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/10-stocks-that-have-what-it-takes-to-be-a-perfect-company-11628125333?mod=newsviewer_click","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162240698","content_text":"Strong leadership, smart acquisitions, and a sense of place and purpose are part of a winning combination.\n\nMy recent column describing the “perfect company” elicited several nominees from readers. They’re worth sharing and may even provide the basis for constructing a portfolio.\nAs a recap, a colleague once defined the perfect company as requiring no incremental capital, yielding functionally infinite returns, and maintaining a long-term view. The perfect company’s leader must excel at allocating capital, chiefly through serial acquisitions of businesses thereafter managed in a decentralized structure based on trust.\nAcknowledging that such companies are rare, readers suggested numerous examples. These 10, listed below in alphabetical order, were mentioned multiple times:\n\n1. Adobe ADBE,+0.71%\n2. Alphabet (Google) GOOGL,-0.37%\n3. Berkshire Hathaway BRK.A,-0.88% BRK.B,-1.07%\n4. Constellation Brands STZ,-0.88%\n5. Danaher DHR,+1.09%\n6. Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH,+4.70%\n7. Illinois Tool Works ITW,-1.31%\n8. Johnson & Johnson JNJ,-0.59%\n9. Markel MKL,+0.30%\n10. Roper Technologies ROP,-0.44%\n\nThese companies operate in industries generally requiring zero or modest incremental capital — insurance, sciences, technology and software.  That meets the first hurdle.\nTheir leadership is strong, often iconic, and certainly long-term. Berkshire’s Warren Buffett, Constellation’s Mark Leonard, and Fairfax’s Prem Watsa have personified their companies for decades, and all developed a deep bench of like-minded managers.  A succession of impressive leaders has run all the others, such as the Rales brothers at Danaher and the Markel family at their eponymous company.\nAcquisition discipline is evidenced by high returns on capital deployed, the companies’ opportunistic character, and their relative obscurity.  As for the latter, only a few of the thousands of acquisitions made by these 10 companies are marquee names on the order of Adobe’s Photoshop, Alphabet’s YouTube, or Berkshire’s Dairy Queen.  Most people haven’t heard of the majority of the businesses these companies have acquired.  ISCAR, Pall, Quipp, Vertafore anyone?\nAcquisition frequency and scale vary. Constellation, for example, has made hundreds of small acquisitions while Illinois Tool Works has made perhaps 1,000. Adobe, Danaher, Fairfax, and Markel have made dozens or scores of purchases, some of considerable size. The others are all over the map in number and sizes. One thing these investors have in common is that they wait for their pitch.\nAll of these companies are organized along decentralized lines. Headquarters delegates substantial autonomy to the heads of the various businesses. Trust permeates their cultures.\nThe data back up the impressions. For instance, these companies repeatedly lead the pack in rankings of attributes of the perfect company, such as capital allocation prowess and decentralized trust-based cultures.\nThey are also notable for the longevity of their leadership and insider ownership of the stock (especially by directors, suggesting they “get” the perfect company).\nNot coincidentally, all 10 companies rank high in attracting long-term focused (“quality”) shareholders. They also rank high in the caliber of their shareholder communications — a logical add-on of the perfect company from the shareholders’ viewpoint.\nIn short, readers have helpfully identified “perfect companies” in the sense my colleague described.  Whether these companies are perfect investments depends on their prevailing stock price.  But they certainly warrant a close look.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.9,"FAXRF":0.9,"ROP":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"STZ":0.9,"ITW":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"MKL":0.9,"DHR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802559947,"gmtCreate":1627790290289,"gmtModify":1633756352105,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802559947","repostId":"1169518272","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":413,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802354900,"gmtCreate":1627722965200,"gmtModify":1633756798545,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802354900","repostId":"1186334150","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186334150","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627713845,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186334150?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 14:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186334150","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investme","content":"<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会促进像这样的企业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">瓦肯材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（传销），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（特克斯），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁公司</a>(URI)，租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">阿特拉斯</a>技术顾问(ATCX)提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供Atlas审查。这些最终成为需要年度检查的成品项目，多年来都有回报。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而阿特拉斯的股价却停滞不前。该股最近的股价为9美元，仅为企业价值与预计2022年息税折旧摊销前利润(Ebitda)的八倍。对于Montrose Environmental Group(MEG)和Tetra Tech(TTEK)等相关检测业务的公司来说，这一倍数是EV/2022 Ebitda的22倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>专注于小盘股的首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文·西尔弗曼(Kevin Silverman)表示：“目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我想说，像Atlas这样的公司债务是合适的。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合作伙伴<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors拥有价值超过200万美元的Atlas股票，约占其管理资产的2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率并可以利用它来实现增长，那么债务会对股东有所帮助。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的提振之外，Atlas还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该会增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于2020年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多个股票类别、未偿认股权证和其他复杂因素。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas相对较高的债务负担也是如此，其净债务是2021年Ebitda的5.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas降低了这种复杂性——赎回其优先股、买断认股权证并增加股票的公开交易流通量——并专注于将其净债务降至Ebitda的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas预计今年销售额将增长13%，达到5.3亿美元，Ebitda将增长21%，达到7600万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和水务公司、机场、学校、医院等。其在全国的影响力和领先的规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>住房管理局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛(WMT)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果公司）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas在过去四个报告季度的调整后Ebitda为6400万美元，而净亏损为1800万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司的积压订单为6.89亿美元，占过去12个月收入4.82亿美元的140%以上。Atlas首席执行官乔·博耶(Joe Boyer)表示：“我从事这个行业已经30年了，这是迄今为止我见过的最高水平。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约70%的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的工作。这些工作是非自由裁量的：正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或疫情形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查和更新。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>Boyer表示，Atlas剩余30%的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行期间有所下降，但几乎回到了Covid-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>美国城市和州外包服务的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及老化的基础设施一直是Atlas近年来有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年Atlas归私募股权公司Bernhard Capital Partners所有以来，这一趋势约占Atlas销售额复合年增长率20%的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的想法是在我们不占主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其带到我们的平台上，并通过我们的网络进行交叉销售，”博耶说。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas的最佳收购目标是Ebitda约为500万至2000万美元，该公司通常以现金和股票的方式支付Ebitda的四至六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家规模较小且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas得到的华尔街报道很少，但研究该公司的三位分析师持乐观态度。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压订单一直在增长，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感觉良好。”</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她将Atlas评级为买入，目标价为14.50美元，是她对2022年Ebitda预期的11倍，其中不包括潜在基础设施法案带来的任何上行空间。使用15倍的Ebitda倍数，Sterling的Silverman预计，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，三年后股价将升至43美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>阿特拉斯的资产负债表仍然有待修复，但该公司拥有正确的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Infrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInfrastructure Spending Is on Its Way. Here’s a Cheap Way to Play It<blockquote>基础设施支出正在路上。这里有一个便宜的玩法</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 14:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美国立法者似乎即将通过一项期待已久的大规模基础设施投资法案，总额约为1万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The legislation should be a boost to businesses like<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">Vulcan Materials</a>(ticker: VMC) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">Martin Marietta Materials</a>(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">Caterpillar</a>(CAT) and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">Terex</a>(TEX), which make construction equipment; and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">United Rentals</a>(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>这项立法应该会促进像这样的企业<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VMC\">瓦肯材料</a>（股票代码：VMC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MLM\">马丁·玛丽埃塔材料</a>（传销），生产混凝土和沥青；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAT\">毛虫</a>（猫）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TEX\">特雷克斯</a>（特克斯），制造建筑设备；和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/URI\">联合租赁公司</a>(URI)，租赁机器。由于基础设施支出的前景，他们的大多数股票已经上涨。</blockquote></p><p> But <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> infrastructure play has been overlooked:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">Atlas</a> Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.</p><p><blockquote>但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>基础设施的发挥被忽视了：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFH\">阿特拉斯</a>技术顾问(ATCX)提供工程和设计服务、建筑物和公共工程的检查和认证以及其他与建筑相关的服务。更多的建设意味着更多的计划和设计供Atlas审查。这些最终成为需要年度检查的成品项目，多年来都有回报。</blockquote></p><p> And yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>然而阿特拉斯的股价却停滞不前。该股最近的股价为9美元，仅为企业价值与预计2022年息税折旧摊销前利润(Ebitda)的八倍。对于Montrose Environmental Group(MEG)和Tetra Tech(TTEK)等相关检测业务的公司来说，这一倍数是EV/2022 Ebitda的22倍以上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19ad62f427fb70a25aa96068bc5d1756\" tg-width=\"442\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">Sterling</a> Partners <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”</p><p><blockquote>专注于小盘股的首席投资官兼投资组合经理凯文·西尔弗曼(Kevin Silverman)表示：“目前，估值折扣的部分原因是债务，但我想说，像Atlas这样的公司债务是合适的。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STL\">英镑</a>合作伙伴<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Advisors拥有价值超过200万美元的Atlas股票，约占其管理资产的2%。“如果你有稳定的利润率并可以利用它来实现增长，那么债务会对股东有所帮助。”</blockquote></p><p> And Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas拥有巨大的增长机会。除了基础设施法案的提振之外，Atlas还有一项长期战略，即整合分散的美国检验服务市场，同时降低其债务水平。两者都应该会增加其对投资者的吸引力，并为其赢得更高的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> The Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于德克萨斯州奥斯汀的公司于2020年初通过与一家特殊目的收购公司(SPAC)合并上市。这笔交易给该公司带来了复杂的资本结构，包括多个股票类别、未偿认股权证和其他复杂因素。这种复杂性可能让一些投资者望而却步，Atlas相对较高的债务负担也是如此，其净债务是2021年Ebitda的5.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99bb73a7c212bfed6d0890b8b14fbc15\" tg-width=\"607\" tg-height=\"396\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Atlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas降低了这种复杂性——赎回其优先股、买断认股权证并增加股票的公开交易流通量——并专注于将其净债务降至Ebitda的三倍以下。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas预计今年销售额将增长13%，达到5.3亿美元，Ebitda将增长21%，达到7600万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Its customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">Service</a>, the Environmental Protection Agency, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">City</a> Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>(AAPL).</p><p><blockquote>其客户包括州交通部门、私人建筑业主、电力和水务公司、机场、学校、医院等。其在全国的影响力和领先的规模有助于赢得和留住大型项目和大客户，包括美国邮政<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SCI\">服务</a>环境保护局<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CHCO\">城市</a>住房管理局、斯坦福大学、沃尔玛(WMT)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>（苹果公司）。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tells<i>Barron’s</i>.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas在过去四个报告季度的调整后Ebitda为6400万美元，而净亏损为1800万美元。截至第一季度末，该公司的积压订单为6.89亿美元，占过去12个月收入4.82亿美元的140%以上。Atlas首席执行官乔·博耶(Joe Boyer)表示：“我从事这个行业已经30年了，这是迄今为止我见过的最高水平。”<i>巴伦周刊</i>.</blockquote></p><p> About 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.</p><p><blockquote>该公司约70%的收入来自现有建筑、管道、道路和桥梁的工作。这些工作是非自由裁量的：正如我们有时悲惨地了解到的那样，无论经济或疫情形势如何，基础设施都需要定期检查和更新。</blockquote></p><p> The remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.</p><p><blockquote>Boyer表示，Atlas剩余30%的销售额与新建筑有关，新建筑在大流行期间有所下降，但几乎回到了Covid-19之前的水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.</p><p><blockquote>美国城市和州外包服务的长期趋势、更严格的环境标准以及老化的基础设施一直是Atlas近年来有机增长的驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> That trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.</p><p><blockquote>自2016年Atlas归私募股权公司Bernhard Capital Partners所有以来，这一趋势约占Atlas销售额复合年增长率20%的一半。另一条增长途径是阿特拉斯的收购战略。</blockquote></p><p> “The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.</p><p><blockquote>“我们的想法是在我们不占主导地位的地区或服务中找到一家公司，将其带到我们的平台上，并通过我们的网络进行交叉销售，”博耶说。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Atlas的最佳收购目标是Ebitda约为500万至2000万美元，该公司通常以现金和股票的方式支付Ebitda的四至六倍。这使得每笔交易都会立即增加收益。</blockquote></p><p> As a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">Stifel</a> analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”</p><p><blockquote>作为一家规模较小且相对年轻的上市公司，Atlas得到的华尔街报道很少，但研究该公司的三位分析师持乐观态度。“我们认为该公司所处的终端市场强劲或正在复苏；他们一直在赢得大合同，而且积压订单一直在增长，”他说<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SF\">斯蒂费尔</a>分析师诺埃尔·迪尔茨。“因此，我们对基本收入前景感觉良好。”</blockquote></p><p> She rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.</p><p><blockquote>她将Atlas评级为买入，目标价为14.50美元，是她对2022年Ebitda预期的11倍，其中不包括潜在基础设施法案带来的任何上行空间。使用15倍的Ebitda倍数，Sterling的Silverman预计，随着债务偿还的继续和盈利的上升，三年后股价将升至43美元。</blockquote></p><p> Atlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.</p><p><blockquote>阿特拉斯的资产负债表仍然有待修复，但该公司拥有正确的基础。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/infrastructure-buy-atlas-technical-consultants-stock-51627684191?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186334150","content_text":"U.S. lawmakers appear to be on the cusp of passing a massive and long-awaitedinfrastructure-investment bill, totaling some $1 trillion.\nThe legislation should be a boost to businesses likeVulcan Materials(ticker: VMC) andMartin Marietta Materials(MLM), which make concrete and asphalt;Caterpillar(CAT) andTerex(TEX), which make construction equipment; andUnited Rentals(URI), which rents the machinery. Most of their stocks have already jumped on theprospect of infrastructure spending.\nBut one infrastructure play has been overlooked:Atlas Technical Consultants(ATCX) provides engineering and design services, inspection and certification of buildings and public works, and other construction-related services. More construction means more plans and designs for Atlas to review. These eventually become finished projects that need annual inspections, paying dividends for years.\nAnd yet Atlas shares have stalled. At a recent $9, the stock trades for just eight times enterprise value to estimated 2022 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, or Ebitda. That multiple is a significant discount to companies in related inspection businesses, such asMontrose Environmental Group(MEG) andTetra Tech(TTEK), which trade for more than 22 times EV/2022 Ebitda.\n“Right now, part of the valuation discount is due to the debt, but I would say there are companies like Atlas where the debt is appropriate,” says Kevin Silverman, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at small-cap–focused Sterling Partners Equity Advisors, which owns more than $2 million worth of Atlas stock, accounting for about 2% of its assets under management. “The debt helps equity holders if you have steady profit margins and can use it for growth.”\nAnd Atlas has substantial opportunities for growth. Beyond the infrastructure-bill boost, Atlas has a long-term strategy of consolidating the fragmented U.S. inspection-services market while reducing its debt levels. Both should increase its appeal to investors and earn it a higher valuation multiple.\nThe Austin, Texas–headquartered company went public inearly 2020via a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company, or SPAC. The deal saddled the company with a convoluted capital structure, including multiple share classes, outstanding warrants, and other complications. That complexity has probably kept some investors away, as has Atlas’ relatively high debt load, which comes to 5.5 times net debt to 2021 Ebitda.\n\nAtlas has reduced that complexity—redeeming its preferred equity, buying out warrants, and increasing the stock’s publicly traded float—and is focused on bringing its net debt below three times Ebitda.\nAtlas is forecast to grow sales 13% this year, to $530 million, with Ebitda up 21%, to $76 million.\nIts customers include state departments of transportation, private building owners, electric and water utilities, airports, schools, hospitals, and more. Its national presence and leading scale helps win and retain marquee projects and big clients, including the U.S. Postal Service, the Environmental Protection Agency, the New York City Housing Authority, Stanford University,Walmart(WMT), andApple(AAPL).\nAtlas earned $64 million in adjusted Ebitda over the past four reported quarters, while it had a net loss of $18 million. As of the end of the first quarter, the company had a backlog of $689 million, or more than 140% of its last 12 months’ revenue of $482 million. “I’ve been in this business for 30 years, and it’s by far the highest I’ve seen,” Atlas CEO Joe Boyer tellsBarron’s.\nAbout 70% of the company’s revenue comes from work on existing buildings, pipes, roads, and bridges. Those jobs are nondiscretionary: As we’ve tragically learned at times, infrastructure needs to be inspected and brought up to code at regular intervals, no matter what the economic or pandemic situation is.\nThe remaining 30% of Atlas’ sales are tied to new construction, which dipped during the pandemic but is nearly back to pre-Covid-19 levels, according to Boyer.\nA long-term trend toward outsourcing services by cities and states, stricter environmental standards, and aging infrastructure in the U.S. have been drivers of Atlas’ organic growth in recent years.\nThat trend has been responsible for about half of Atlas’ 20% compound annual growth in sales since 2016, when it was owned by private-equity firm Bernhard Capital Partners. The other avenue for growth has been Atlas’ acquisition strategy.\n“The idea is to find a company in a geography or a service that we don’t dominate in, bring it onto our platform, and cross-sell across our network,” Boyer says.\nAtlas’ sweet spot for acquisition targets is about $5 million to $20 million in Ebitda, The company typically pays four to six times Ebitda in a mix of cash and stock. That makes each deal immediately accretive to earnings.\nAs a small and relatively young public company, Atlas gets minimal coverage from Wall Street, but the three analysts who cover the firm are bullish. “We think the company is in end markets that are strong or recovering; they’ve been winning large contracts, and its backlog has been growing,” says Stifel analyst Noelle Dilts. “So, we feel good about the fundamental revenue outlook.”\nShe rates Atlas a Buy, with a $14.50 price target, or 11 times her estimate of 2022 Ebitda, which doesn’t include any upside from a potential infrastructure bill. Using a 15 times Ebitda multiple, Sterling’s Silverman sees shares going to $43 three years from now, as debt paydown continues and earnings rise.\nAtlas’ balance sheet remains a fixer-upper, but the company has the right foundation.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891728276,"gmtCreate":1628432782095,"gmtModify":1631885314737,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Going strong","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$</a>Going strong","text":"$Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$Going strong","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ea49c63f97e6597968252830bb78578","width":"750","height":"1300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891728276","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893449221,"gmtCreate":1628297483163,"gmtModify":1633751912756,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893449221","repostId":"1143051031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":702,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805895138,"gmtCreate":1627868711924,"gmtModify":1633755787905,"author":{"id":"3564525745521630","authorId":"3564525745521630","name":"Huat8989","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ae8e0a19c3f1c3e762ed55ffc0e5335","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564525745521630","idStr":"3564525745521630"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great&nbsp;","listText":"Great&nbsp;","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805895138","repostId":"1130492644","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130492644","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627867792,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130492644?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 09:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple: Take Your Profits Now, Come Back Later<blockquote>苹果：现在获利了结，稍后再回来</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130492644","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nDividend Yield Theory is a great indicator of overvalued and undervalued shares for healthy","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Dividend Yield Theory is a great indicator of overvalued and undervalued shares for healthy companies.</li>  <li>Apple’s current high growth is temporary.</li>  <li>Apple is on its way to becoming a dividend aristocrat.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e45c69c559fb64f9cda12fb93f34c0d\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1097\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Christopher Jue/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股息收益率理论是健康公司股票高估和低估的重要指标。</li><li>苹果目前的高增长是暂时的。</li><li>苹果正在成为股息贵族。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>克里斯托弗·觉/盖蒂图片社娱乐公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors are treating Apple (AAPL) as if it has found a second growth spurt. In reality Apple is now a fully grown cash cow, not a young budding calf. The pandemic made many companies transition to the internet faster than they wanted to. That is good for Apple but because it was already a mature business prior to the pandemic it will revert to its normal pre-pandemic growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对待苹果（AAPL）就好像它已经找到了第二次增长。事实上，苹果现在是一头完全长大的摇钱树，而不是一头初露头角的小牛。疫情让许多公司比他们希望的更快地过渡到互联网。这对苹果来说是件好事，但由于它在大流行之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，因此它将恢复到大流行前的正常增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s 5 year average dividend yield from 2016 to 2020 is 1.46% currently the dividend yield on Apple is 0.68%. Apple has been paying a dividend for almost 10 years and the average is also pointing to a yield of ~1.4%. In order for Apple to offer such a yield, share prices would have to move down toward range of $75-$85. Now is the time to take your Apple profits before it reverts to the mean.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2016年至2020年的5年平均股息率为1.46%，目前苹果的股息率为0.68%。苹果已支付股息近10年，平均收益率约为1.4%。为了让苹果提供这样的收益率，股价必须下跌至75美元至85美元的范围。现在是时候在苹果利润恢复到均值之前获利了结了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Apple Is Overvalued, Dividend Yield Theory</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么苹果被高估，股息收益率理论</b></blockquote></p><p> Dividend Yield Theory was popularized by Investment Quality Trends founder Geraldine Weiss through a book titled Dividends Don’t Lie. The essence of Dividend Yield Theory is that high quality companies tend to have a “normal” yield and as the market falls in love or out of love with the company the dividend yield fluctuates to create buy and sell opportunities.</p><p><blockquote>股息收益率理论是由投资质量趋势创始人杰拉尔丁·韦斯通过一本名为《股息不要说谎》的书推广的。股息收益率理论的本质是，高质量的公司往往具有“正常”的收益率，随着市场爱上或不爱上该公司，股息收益率会波动以创造买卖机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a469d363e933b84759428285f957590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alphadividend yield</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法股息收益率</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here we have Apple’s Dividend Yield History. Looking at the average yield column you can see that Apple’s current average yield is the lowest since Apple first started paying a dividend. This indicates Apple is a screaming sell. On the flip side, the last time Apple’s average yield was above 2% was in 2016. At that time Apple was a screaming buy. Coincidentally that was the same year Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) began buying Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>这里我们有苹果的股息收益率历史。查看平均收益率栏可以看到，苹果目前的平均收益率是自苹果首次开始支付股息以来的最低水平。这表明苹果是一个尖叫出售。另一方面，苹果平均收益率上一次高于2%是在2016年。当时，苹果是一个令人尖叫的买家。巧合的是，同年Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)开始购买苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> The reason this works is because the dividend yield is a product of the share price. Looking at the chart above you can see the dividend yield shrank from 2016 through 2018 which indicates the share price of Apple increased.</p><p><blockquote>之所以有效，是因为股息收益率是股价的乘积。看上图，你可以看到2016年到2018年股息收益率下降，这表明苹果的股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/991e5d3137bf5ac3c9bc4aaf26c01581\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Yahoo Finance, Apple Share price from 01/01/2016 - 12/31/2018</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：雅虎财经，2016年1月1日至2018年12月31日苹果股价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> That is exactly what happened. At the peak of 2018 Apple’s dividend yield was 1.28%. At this time, Apple’s 5-year yield average was 1.86%. When 2018 ended Apple’s dividend yield was 1.97%. As you can now see, a company’s dividend yield can be a good proxy for value.</p><p><blockquote>这正是发生的事情。2018年峰值时，苹果的股息收益率为1.28%。此时，苹果5年期收益率平均值为1.86%。2018年底，苹果的股息收益率为1.97%。正如您现在所看到的，公司的股息收益率可以很好地代表价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>This Time Is not different</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这次也不例外</b></blockquote></p><p> I know some of you at this point are thinking, well, Dividend Yield Theory is nice and all but thanks to Covid this time is different. I don’t believe this time is different for Apple and the reason is because of Apple’s maturity as a business prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>我知道你们中的一些人现在在想，股息收益率理论很好，但多亏了新冠疫情，这次不同了。我不认为这一次对苹果来说有什么不同，原因是因为苹果在大流行之前就已经成熟了。</blockquote></p><p> It is true that Apple and many other tech companies are benefiting from the pandemic, but Apple has a significant difference from a Shopify, a Zoom, and a Disney Plus. Namely Apple had already largely penetrated its total addressable market. Prior to the pandemic, most of us had never heard of Zoom. We started working from home and needed a solution for remote communication, and bam Zoom capitalizes. Prior to the pandemic, the iPhone was still the smartphone to beat, the smartphone with tens of millions of users, the must-have status symbol in places as far away as China. I spent a semester abroad in China in 2012. During that time, my professors told us how important status symbols are to the Chinese. Students of all ages would not go to school until their parents had bought them an iPhone because without it they would lose “face”. Many could not afford the phone plans and I and my friends witnessed many people having an iPhone just for show. That was in 2012, 8 years before the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，苹果和许多其他科技公司都从疫情中受益，但苹果与Shopify、Zoom和Disney Plus有很大不同。也就是说，苹果已经在很大程度上渗透了其整个目标市场。在疫情之前，我们大多数人从未听说过Zoom。我们开始在家工作，需要一个远程通信的解决方案，bam Zoom利用了这一点。在疫情之前，iPhone仍然是值得击败的智能手机，拥有数千万用户的智能手机，是远至中国的必备身份象征。2012年我在中国留学了一个学期。那段时间，我的教授告诉我们，身份象征对中国人有多重要。所有年龄段的学生在父母给他们买iPhone之前都不会去上学，因为没有它他们会丢脸。许多人负担不起电话套餐，我和我的朋友目睹了许多人拥有iPhone只是为了炫耀。那是在2012年，比疫情大流行早了8年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ae87be3f096ac0a13d2e38634b8c34c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"310\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Apple Q3 2021*covers Apr – Jun 2021*</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：苹果2021年第三季度*涵盖2021年4月至6月*</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we can see, the majority of Apple’s revenue comes from products. Further down products are identified as the iPhone, Mac, iPad, Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们所看到的，苹果的大部分收入来自产品。进一步向下的产品被确定为iPhone、Mac、iPad、可穿戴设备、家居和配件。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ef98109e802b72a60990d870e23814d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"114\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Again the iPhone makes up the majority. The high growth rate in iPhone sales also backs up the theory that this round of growth is due to the Apple super cycle which seems to take place once every 3 years.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone再次占据了大多数。iPhone销量的高增长率也支持了这一轮增长是由于似乎每3年发生一次的苹果超级周期的理论。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b71f026725256789694ea1ff46574c4a\" tg-width=\"393\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha Financials, compiled by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha Financials，作者编译</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pattern for the last 10 years has been 1 year of stellar growth followed by 2 years of much slower growth. As you can see this results in a 10-year CAGR of ~10% - 13% depending on where we are in the cycle.</p><p><blockquote>过去10年的模式是1年的强劲增长，随后是2年的缓慢增长。正如您所看到的，这导致10年复合年增长率约为10%-13%，具体取决于我们在周期中所处的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62395de39d598a2d5fb553eca56086d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"516\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Apple2017 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Apple2017 10-K</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here we see the 2015 super cycle followed by the growth declines in 2016 and 2017.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，我们看到了2015年的超级周期，随后是2016年和2017年的增长下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e63c1a8fd16ae504ee3794c0eff4198\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"535\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Apple2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Apple2020 10-K</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Again it happened in the more recent super cycle of 2018 followed by declines in growth for years 2019 and 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况再次发生在最近的2018年超级周期中，随后是2019年和2020年的增长下降。</blockquote></p><p> When we look into the revenue by product for these periods, we can see that iPhone sales decline and the other categories are unable to make up for the loss of revenue the next year. In the following year, 2017 and 2020, other sources of revenue increased enough for Apple’s total revenue to increase.</p><p><blockquote>当我们按产品查看这些时期的收入时，我们可以看到iPhone销量下降，其他类别无法弥补第二年的收入损失。在接下来的一年，2017年和2020年，其他收入来源的增长足以让苹果的总收入增加。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e3954b0d588d038dc2dd5e88c39c5ec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"131\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Patterns are likely to repeat until something happens to change them. I don't see such a catalyst on the horizon, and currently iPhone sales are again carrying Apple’s revenue to record levels. iPhone sales seem to be selling so well because of the coming transition to 5G and many iPhone owners have a device that is at least 3 years old.</p><p><blockquote>模式很可能会重复，直到发生改变它们的事情。我没有看到这样的催化剂，目前iPhone的销量再次将苹果的收入带到创纪录的水平。iPhone的销售似乎卖得很好，因为即将向5G过渡，许多iPhone用户的设备至少有3年的历史。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone 12 was unveiled and released in October 2020. This means the super cycle is expected to end with the iPhone 13 which is expected to come out in September or October. I believe this indicates FY 2022 will be a rough year for Apple shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone 12于2020年10月亮相并发布。这意味着超级周期预计将随着预计在9月或10月推出的iPhone 13而结束。我相信这表明2022财年对于苹果股东来说将是艰难的一年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple’s Third And Final Act - A Cash Cow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的第三幕也是最后一幕——摇钱树</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors need to pay attention to Apple’s future as a dividend aristocrat. Apple is transitioning toward more service based revenues. This is a higher margin business but there is less explosive innovation, meaning growth will decline.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要关注苹果作为股息贵族的未来。苹果正在向更多基于服务的收入转型。这是一项利润率较高的业务，但爆炸性创新较少，这意味着增长将会下降。</blockquote></p><p> At the current share price, investors are “locking in” a targeted return of 9% over the next 10 years based on some optimistic assumptions.</p><p><blockquote>以目前的股价，投资者基于一些乐观的假设，“锁定”了未来10年9%的目标回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growth of 19.3% for the first 5 years followed by 12% growth for the second five years.</li>  <li>An expected dividend growth rate of 17.5%</li>  <li>Apple reverts to their historic P/E of 21.</li> </ul> All of that together means Apple’s share price in 10 years will be $293.47 and the dividend will be at $4.43 a share giving existing shareholders a yield of 1.5% which is much closer to their current 5-year average yield.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>前5年增长19.3%，第二个5年增长12%。</li><li>预期股息增长率为17.5%</li><li>苹果恢复到21的历史市盈率。</li></ul>所有这些加在一起意味着苹果10年后的股价将为293.47美元，股息将为每股4.43美元，现有股东的收益率为1.5%，更接近他们当前的5年平均收益率。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s dividend payout ratio is currently 15.86%. Other companies in the IT sector like Texas Instruments (TXN), and Intuit (INTU) have a payout ratio of 51% and 25% respectively which shows Apple’s dividends will be much higher in the coming years. With a projected EPS of $14 in 2031 a 51% payout would mean a dividend of $7/sh.</p><p><blockquote>苹果目前的股息支付率为15.86%。德州仪器(TXN)和Intuit(INTU)等IT行业的其他公司的派息率分别为51%和25%，这表明苹果未来几年的股息将高得多。预计2031年每股收益为14美元，51%的派息意味着每股7美元的股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risk and Opportunity, The Dividend increase</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险与机遇，股息增加</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the 5 year average dividend yield and the current rate of dividend increases, it is likely the dividend will be increased to $1.03-$1.14. In order for Apple to maintain its historic yield at the projected future dividend, Apple shares would have to trade around $80. it is possible that Apple pays up and raises their dividend to $1.89. Apple spent $14 billion on their dividend in 2020 and raising it to $1.89 will increase the price tag to $31 billion. This would increase their payout ratio to 34% which is a typical payout ratio for cash cow companies.</p><p><blockquote>根据5年平均股息收益率和当前股息增长率，股息可能会增加至1.03-1.14美元。为了让苹果在预计的未来股息中维持其历史收益率，苹果股价必须在80美元左右。苹果有可能支付并将股息提高至1.89美元。苹果在2020年的股息上花费了140亿美元，将股息提高到1.89美元将使股价达到310亿美元。这将使他们的派息率提高到34%，这是现金牛公司的典型派息率。</blockquote></p><p> The expected dividend I project is based on the percentage of operating cash flow the dividend takes up. Over the last 3 years, it has ranged from 15% to 18%. I used an estimated $100.15 billion for operating cash flows and at 19% you get the $1.14 dividend.</p><p><blockquote>预期股息I项目基于股息占经营现金流的百分比。在过去的3年里，这一比例从15%到18%不等。我估计使用了1001.5亿美元的运营现金流，按19%计算，您将获得1.14美元的股息。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/153079186d84770e064411e34a42745e\" tg-width=\"304\" tg-height=\"74\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking AlphaCash Flow Statement</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha现金流量表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Lastly it is possible that a dividend yield of less than 1% becomes the norm for Apple. If the current 2021 yield average of 0.63% becomes the new normal, Apple’s share price should rise to $163.49 - $180.95 based on my projected dividend increase.</p><p><blockquote>最后，低于1%的股息收益率有可能成为苹果的常态。如果目前2021年0.63%的平均收益率成为新常态，根据我预计的股息增长，苹果的股价应该会上涨至163.49美元至180.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Sell Apple, take your profits now. The super cycle will end. Come back later and buy Apple at a discount when the dividend yield is higher.</p><p><blockquote>卖出苹果，立即获利了结。超级周期将结束。稍后再来，等股息收益率较高时折价买入苹果。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple: Take Your Profits Now, Come Back Later<blockquote>苹果：现在获利了结，稍后再回来</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple: Take Your Profits Now, Come Back Later<blockquote>苹果：现在获利了结，稍后再回来</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 09:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Dividend Yield Theory is a great indicator of overvalued and undervalued shares for healthy companies.</li>  <li>Apple’s current high growth is temporary.</li>  <li>Apple is on its way to becoming a dividend aristocrat.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e45c69c559fb64f9cda12fb93f34c0d\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1097\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Christopher Jue/Getty Images Entertainment</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股息收益率理论是健康公司股票高估和低估的重要指标。</li><li>苹果目前的高增长是暂时的。</li><li>苹果正在成为股息贵族。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>克里斯托弗·觉/盖蒂图片社娱乐公司</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors are treating Apple (AAPL) as if it has found a second growth spurt. In reality Apple is now a fully grown cash cow, not a young budding calf. The pandemic made many companies transition to the internet faster than they wanted to. That is good for Apple but because it was already a mature business prior to the pandemic it will revert to its normal pre-pandemic growth rates.</p><p><blockquote>投资者对待苹果（AAPL）就好像它已经找到了第二次增长。事实上，苹果现在是一头完全长大的摇钱树，而不是一头初露头角的小牛。疫情让许多公司比他们希望的更快地过渡到互联网。这对苹果来说是件好事，但由于它在大流行之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，因此它将恢复到大流行前的正常增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s 5 year average dividend yield from 2016 to 2020 is 1.46% currently the dividend yield on Apple is 0.68%. Apple has been paying a dividend for almost 10 years and the average is also pointing to a yield of ~1.4%. In order for Apple to offer such a yield, share prices would have to move down toward range of $75-$85. Now is the time to take your Apple profits before it reverts to the mean.</p><p><blockquote>苹果2016年至2020年的5年平均股息率为1.46%，目前苹果的股息率为0.68%。苹果已支付股息近10年，平均收益率约为1.4%。为了让苹果提供这样的收益率，股价必须下跌至75美元至85美元的范围。现在是时候在苹果利润恢复到均值之前获利了结了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Apple Is Overvalued, Dividend Yield Theory</b></p><p><blockquote><b>为什么苹果被高估，股息收益率理论</b></blockquote></p><p> Dividend Yield Theory was popularized by Investment Quality Trends founder Geraldine Weiss through a book titled Dividends Don’t Lie. The essence of Dividend Yield Theory is that high quality companies tend to have a “normal” yield and as the market falls in love or out of love with the company the dividend yield fluctuates to create buy and sell opportunities.</p><p><blockquote>股息收益率理论是由投资质量趋势创始人杰拉尔丁·韦斯通过一本名为《股息不要说谎》的书推广的。股息收益率理论的本质是，高质量的公司往往具有“正常”的收益率，随着市场爱上或不爱上该公司，股息收益率会波动以创造买卖机会。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a469d363e933b84759428285f957590\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"278\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alphadividend yield</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法股息收益率</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here we have Apple’s Dividend Yield History. Looking at the average yield column you can see that Apple’s current average yield is the lowest since Apple first started paying a dividend. This indicates Apple is a screaming sell. On the flip side, the last time Apple’s average yield was above 2% was in 2016. At that time Apple was a screaming buy. Coincidentally that was the same year Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) began buying Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>这里我们有苹果的股息收益率历史。查看平均收益率栏可以看到，苹果目前的平均收益率是自苹果首次开始支付股息以来的最低水平。这表明苹果是一个尖叫出售。另一方面，苹果平均收益率上一次高于2%是在2016年。当时，苹果是一个令人尖叫的买家。巧合的是，同年Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A)开始购买苹果股票。</blockquote></p><p> The reason this works is because the dividend yield is a product of the share price. Looking at the chart above you can see the dividend yield shrank from 2016 through 2018 which indicates the share price of Apple increased.</p><p><blockquote>之所以有效，是因为股息收益率是股价的乘积。看上图，你可以看到2016年到2018年股息收益率下降，这表明苹果的股价上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/991e5d3137bf5ac3c9bc4aaf26c01581\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Yahoo Finance, Apple Share price from 01/01/2016 - 12/31/2018</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：雅虎财经，2016年1月1日至2018年12月31日苹果股价</span></p></blockquote></p><p> That is exactly what happened. At the peak of 2018 Apple’s dividend yield was 1.28%. At this time, Apple’s 5-year yield average was 1.86%. When 2018 ended Apple’s dividend yield was 1.97%. As you can now see, a company’s dividend yield can be a good proxy for value.</p><p><blockquote>这正是发生的事情。2018年峰值时，苹果的股息收益率为1.28%。此时，苹果5年期收益率平均值为1.86%。2018年底，苹果的股息收益率为1.97%。正如您现在所看到的，公司的股息收益率可以很好地代表价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>This Time Is not different</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这次也不例外</b></blockquote></p><p> I know some of you at this point are thinking, well, Dividend Yield Theory is nice and all but thanks to Covid this time is different. I don’t believe this time is different for Apple and the reason is because of Apple’s maturity as a business prior to the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>我知道你们中的一些人现在在想，股息收益率理论很好，但多亏了新冠疫情，这次不同了。我不认为这一次对苹果来说有什么不同，原因是因为苹果在大流行之前就已经成熟了。</blockquote></p><p> It is true that Apple and many other tech companies are benefiting from the pandemic, but Apple has a significant difference from a Shopify, a Zoom, and a Disney Plus. Namely Apple had already largely penetrated its total addressable market. Prior to the pandemic, most of us had never heard of Zoom. We started working from home and needed a solution for remote communication, and bam Zoom capitalizes. Prior to the pandemic, the iPhone was still the smartphone to beat, the smartphone with tens of millions of users, the must-have status symbol in places as far away as China. I spent a semester abroad in China in 2012. During that time, my professors told us how important status symbols are to the Chinese. Students of all ages would not go to school until their parents had bought them an iPhone because without it they would lose “face”. Many could not afford the phone plans and I and my friends witnessed many people having an iPhone just for show. That was in 2012, 8 years before the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>诚然，苹果和许多其他科技公司都从疫情中受益，但苹果与Shopify、Zoom和Disney Plus有很大不同。也就是说，苹果已经在很大程度上渗透了其整个目标市场。在疫情之前，我们大多数人从未听说过Zoom。我们开始在家工作，需要一个远程通信的解决方案，bam Zoom利用了这一点。在疫情之前，iPhone仍然是值得击败的智能手机，拥有数千万用户的智能手机，是远至中国的必备身份象征。2012年我在中国留学了一个学期。那段时间，我的教授告诉我们，身份象征对中国人有多重要。所有年龄段的学生在父母给他们买iPhone之前都不会去上学，因为没有它他们会丢脸。许多人负担不起电话套餐，我和我的朋友目睹了许多人拥有iPhone只是为了炫耀。那是在2012年，比疫情大流行早了8年。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ae87be3f096ac0a13d2e38634b8c34c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"310\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Apple Q3 2021*covers Apr – Jun 2021*</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：苹果2021年第三季度*涵盖2021年4月至6月*</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As we can see, the majority of Apple’s revenue comes from products. Further down products are identified as the iPhone, Mac, iPad, Wearables, Home &amp; Accessories.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们所看到的，苹果的大部分收入来自产品。进一步向下的产品被确定为iPhone、Mac、iPad、可穿戴设备、家居和配件。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3ef98109e802b72a60990d870e23814d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"114\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Again the iPhone makes up the majority. The high growth rate in iPhone sales also backs up the theory that this round of growth is due to the Apple super cycle which seems to take place once every 3 years.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone再次占据了大多数。iPhone销量的高增长率也支持了这一轮增长是由于似乎每3年发生一次的苹果超级周期的理论。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b71f026725256789694ea1ff46574c4a\" tg-width=\"393\" tg-height=\"256\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha Financials, compiled by author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：Seeking Alpha Financials，作者编译</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pattern for the last 10 years has been 1 year of stellar growth followed by 2 years of much slower growth. As you can see this results in a 10-year CAGR of ~10% - 13% depending on where we are in the cycle.</p><p><blockquote>过去10年的模式是1年的强劲增长，随后是2年的缓慢增长。正如您所看到的，这导致10年复合年增长率约为10%-13%，具体取决于我们在周期中所处的位置。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a62395de39d598a2d5fb553eca56086d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"516\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Apple2017 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Apple2017 10-K</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here we see the 2015 super cycle followed by the growth declines in 2016 and 2017.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，我们看到了2015年的超级周期，随后是2016年和2017年的增长下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e63c1a8fd16ae504ee3794c0eff4198\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"535\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Apple2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Apple2020 10-K</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Again it happened in the more recent super cycle of 2018 followed by declines in growth for years 2019 and 2020.</p><p><blockquote>这种情况再次发生在最近的2018年超级周期中，随后是2019年和2020年的增长下降。</blockquote></p><p> When we look into the revenue by product for these periods, we can see that iPhone sales decline and the other categories are unable to make up for the loss of revenue the next year. In the following year, 2017 and 2020, other sources of revenue increased enough for Apple’s total revenue to increase.</p><p><blockquote>当我们按产品查看这些时期的收入时，我们可以看到iPhone销量下降，其他类别无法弥补第二年的收入损失。在接下来的一年，2017年和2020年，其他收入来源的增长足以让苹果的总收入增加。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e3954b0d588d038dc2dd5e88c39c5ec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"131\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Patterns are likely to repeat until something happens to change them. I don't see such a catalyst on the horizon, and currently iPhone sales are again carrying Apple’s revenue to record levels. iPhone sales seem to be selling so well because of the coming transition to 5G and many iPhone owners have a device that is at least 3 years old.</p><p><blockquote>模式很可能会重复，直到发生改变它们的事情。我没有看到这样的催化剂，目前iPhone的销量再次将苹果的收入带到创纪录的水平。iPhone的销售似乎卖得很好，因为即将向5G过渡，许多iPhone用户的设备至少有3年的历史。</blockquote></p><p> The iPhone 12 was unveiled and released in October 2020. This means the super cycle is expected to end with the iPhone 13 which is expected to come out in September or October. I believe this indicates FY 2022 will be a rough year for Apple shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>iPhone 12于2020年10月亮相并发布。这意味着超级周期预计将随着预计在9月或10月推出的iPhone 13而结束。我相信这表明2022财年对于苹果股东来说将是艰难的一年。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple’s Third And Final Act - A Cash Cow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的第三幕也是最后一幕——摇钱树</b></blockquote></p><p> Investors need to pay attention to Apple’s future as a dividend aristocrat. Apple is transitioning toward more service based revenues. This is a higher margin business but there is less explosive innovation, meaning growth will decline.</p><p><blockquote>投资者需要关注苹果作为股息贵族的未来。苹果正在向更多基于服务的收入转型。这是一项利润率较高的业务，但爆炸性创新较少，这意味着增长将会下降。</blockquote></p><p> At the current share price, investors are “locking in” a targeted return of 9% over the next 10 years based on some optimistic assumptions.</p><p><blockquote>以目前的股价，投资者基于一些乐观的假设，“锁定”了未来10年9%的目标回报率。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Growth of 19.3% for the first 5 years followed by 12% growth for the second five years.</li>  <li>An expected dividend growth rate of 17.5%</li>  <li>Apple reverts to their historic P/E of 21.</li> </ul> All of that together means Apple’s share price in 10 years will be $293.47 and the dividend will be at $4.43 a share giving existing shareholders a yield of 1.5% which is much closer to their current 5-year average yield.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>前5年增长19.3%，第二个5年增长12%。</li><li>预期股息增长率为17.5%</li><li>苹果恢复到21的历史市盈率。</li></ul>所有这些加在一起意味着苹果10年后的股价将为293.47美元，股息将为每股4.43美元，现有股东的收益率为1.5%，更接近他们当前的5年平均收益率。</blockquote></p><p> Apple’s dividend payout ratio is currently 15.86%. Other companies in the IT sector like Texas Instruments (TXN), and Intuit (INTU) have a payout ratio of 51% and 25% respectively which shows Apple’s dividends will be much higher in the coming years. With a projected EPS of $14 in 2031 a 51% payout would mean a dividend of $7/sh.</p><p><blockquote>苹果目前的股息支付率为15.86%。德州仪器(TXN)和Intuit(INTU)等IT行业的其他公司的派息率分别为51%和25%，这表明苹果未来几年的股息将高得多。预计2031年每股收益为14美元，51%的派息意味着每股7美元的股息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risk and Opportunity, The Dividend increase</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险与机遇，股息增加</b></blockquote></p><p> Based on the 5 year average dividend yield and the current rate of dividend increases, it is likely the dividend will be increased to $1.03-$1.14. In order for Apple to maintain its historic yield at the projected future dividend, Apple shares would have to trade around $80. it is possible that Apple pays up and raises their dividend to $1.89. Apple spent $14 billion on their dividend in 2020 and raising it to $1.89 will increase the price tag to $31 billion. This would increase their payout ratio to 34% which is a typical payout ratio for cash cow companies.</p><p><blockquote>根据5年平均股息收益率和当前股息增长率，股息可能会增加至1.03-1.14美元。为了让苹果在预计的未来股息中维持其历史收益率，苹果股价必须在80美元左右。苹果有可能支付并将股息提高至1.89美元。苹果在2020年的股息上花费了140亿美元，将股息提高到1.89美元将使股价达到310亿美元。这将使他们的派息率提高到34%，这是现金牛公司的典型派息率。</blockquote></p><p> The expected dividend I project is based on the percentage of operating cash flow the dividend takes up. Over the last 3 years, it has ranged from 15% to 18%. I used an estimated $100.15 billion for operating cash flows and at 19% you get the $1.14 dividend.</p><p><blockquote>预期股息I项目基于股息占经营现金流的百分比。在过去的3年里，这一比例从15%到18%不等。我估计使用了1001.5亿美元的运营现金流，按19%计算，您将获得1.14美元的股息。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/153079186d84770e064411e34a42745e\" tg-width=\"304\" tg-height=\"74\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking AlphaCash Flow Statement</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Seeking Alpha现金流量表</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Lastly it is possible that a dividend yield of less than 1% becomes the norm for Apple. If the current 2021 yield average of 0.63% becomes the new normal, Apple’s share price should rise to $163.49 - $180.95 based on my projected dividend increase.</p><p><blockquote>最后，低于1%的股息收益率有可能成为苹果的常态。如果目前2021年0.63%的平均收益率成为新常态，根据我预计的股息增长，苹果的股价应该会上涨至163.49美元至180.95美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Sell Apple, take your profits now. The super cycle will end. Come back later and buy Apple at a discount when the dividend yield is higher.</p><p><blockquote>卖出苹果，立即获利了结。超级周期将结束。稍后再来，等股息收益率较高时折价买入苹果。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4443676-apple-take-your-profits-before-its-too-late\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4443676-apple-take-your-profits-before-its-too-late","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130492644","content_text":"Summary\n\nDividend Yield Theory is a great indicator of overvalued and undervalued shares for healthy companies.\nApple’s current high growth is temporary.\nApple is on its way to becoming a dividend aristocrat.\n\nChristopher Jue/Getty Images Entertainment\nInvestment Thesis\nInvestors are treating Apple (AAPL) as if it has found a second growth spurt. In reality Apple is now a fully grown cash cow, not a young budding calf. The pandemic made many companies transition to the internet faster than they wanted to. That is good for Apple but because it was already a mature business prior to the pandemic it will revert to its normal pre-pandemic growth rates.\nApple’s 5 year average dividend yield from 2016 to 2020 is 1.46% currently the dividend yield on Apple is 0.68%. Apple has been paying a dividend for almost 10 years and the average is also pointing to a yield of ~1.4%. In order for Apple to offer such a yield, share prices would have to move down toward range of $75-$85. Now is the time to take your Apple profits before it reverts to the mean.\nWhy Apple Is Overvalued, Dividend Yield Theory\nDividend Yield Theory was popularized by Investment Quality Trends founder Geraldine Weiss through a book titled Dividends Don’t Lie. The essence of Dividend Yield Theory is that high quality companies tend to have a “normal” yield and as the market falls in love or out of love with the company the dividend yield fluctuates to create buy and sell opportunities.\nSource: Seeking Alphadividend yield\nHere we have Apple’s Dividend Yield History. Looking at the average yield column you can see that Apple’s current average yield is the lowest since Apple first started paying a dividend. This indicates Apple is a screaming sell. On the flip side, the last time Apple’s average yield was above 2% was in 2016. At that time Apple was a screaming buy. Coincidentally that was the same year Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) began buying Apple shares.\nThe reason this works is because the dividend yield is a product of the share price. Looking at the chart above you can see the dividend yield shrank from 2016 through 2018 which indicates the share price of Apple increased.\nSource: Yahoo Finance, Apple Share price from 01/01/2016 - 12/31/2018\nThat is exactly what happened. At the peak of 2018 Apple’s dividend yield was 1.28%. At this time, Apple’s 5-year yield average was 1.86%. When 2018 ended Apple’s dividend yield was 1.97%. As you can now see, a company’s dividend yield can be a good proxy for value.\nThis Time Is not different\nI know some of you at this point are thinking, well, Dividend Yield Theory is nice and all but thanks to Covid this time is different. I don’t believe this time is different for Apple and the reason is because of Apple’s maturity as a business prior to the pandemic.\nIt is true that Apple and many other tech companies are benefiting from the pandemic, but Apple has a significant difference from a Shopify, a Zoom, and a Disney Plus. Namely Apple had already largely penetrated its total addressable market. Prior to the pandemic, most of us had never heard of Zoom. We started working from home and needed a solution for remote communication, and bam Zoom capitalizes. Prior to the pandemic, the iPhone was still the smartphone to beat, the smartphone with tens of millions of users, the must-have status symbol in places as far away as China. I spent a semester abroad in China in 2012. During that time, my professors told us how important status symbols are to the Chinese. Students of all ages would not go to school until their parents had bought them an iPhone because without it they would lose “face”. Many could not afford the phone plans and I and my friends witnessed many people having an iPhone just for show. That was in 2012, 8 years before the pandemic.\nSource: Apple Q3 2021*covers Apr – Jun 2021*\nAs we can see, the majority of Apple’s revenue comes from products. Further down products are identified as the iPhone, Mac, iPad, Wearables, Home & Accessories.\n\nAgain the iPhone makes up the majority. The high growth rate in iPhone sales also backs up the theory that this round of growth is due to the Apple super cycle which seems to take place once every 3 years.\nSource: Seeking Alpha Financials, compiled by author\nThe pattern for the last 10 years has been 1 year of stellar growth followed by 2 years of much slower growth. As you can see this results in a 10-year CAGR of ~10% - 13% depending on where we are in the cycle.\nSource: Apple2017 10-K\nHere we see the 2015 super cycle followed by the growth declines in 2016 and 2017.\nSource: Apple2020 10-K\nAgain it happened in the more recent super cycle of 2018 followed by declines in growth for years 2019 and 2020.\nWhen we look into the revenue by product for these periods, we can see that iPhone sales decline and the other categories are unable to make up for the loss of revenue the next year. In the following year, 2017 and 2020, other sources of revenue increased enough for Apple’s total revenue to increase.\n\nPatterns are likely to repeat until something happens to change them. I don't see such a catalyst on the horizon, and currently iPhone sales are again carrying Apple’s revenue to record levels. iPhone sales seem to be selling so well because of the coming transition to 5G and many iPhone owners have a device that is at least 3 years old.\nThe iPhone 12 was unveiled and released in October 2020. This means the super cycle is expected to end with the iPhone 13 which is expected to come out in September or October. I believe this indicates FY 2022 will be a rough year for Apple shareholders.\nApple’s Third And Final Act - A Cash Cow\nInvestors need to pay attention to Apple’s future as a dividend aristocrat. Apple is transitioning toward more service based revenues. This is a higher margin business but there is less explosive innovation, meaning growth will decline.\nAt the current share price, investors are “locking in” a targeted return of 9% over the next 10 years based on some optimistic assumptions.\n\nGrowth of 19.3% for the first 5 years followed by 12% growth for the second five years.\nAn expected dividend growth rate of 17.5%\nApple reverts to their historic P/E of 21.\n\nAll of that together means Apple’s share price in 10 years will be $293.47 and the dividend will be at $4.43 a share giving existing shareholders a yield of 1.5% which is much closer to their current 5-year average yield.\nApple’s dividend payout ratio is currently 15.86%. Other companies in the IT sector like Texas Instruments (TXN), and Intuit (INTU) have a payout ratio of 51% and 25% respectively which shows Apple’s dividends will be much higher in the coming years. With a projected EPS of $14 in 2031 a 51% payout would mean a dividend of $7/sh.\nRisk and Opportunity, The Dividend increase\nBased on the 5 year average dividend yield and the current rate of dividend increases, it is likely the dividend will be increased to $1.03-$1.14. In order for Apple to maintain its historic yield at the projected future dividend, Apple shares would have to trade around $80. it is possible that Apple pays up and raises their dividend to $1.89. Apple spent $14 billion on their dividend in 2020 and raising it to $1.89 will increase the price tag to $31 billion. This would increase their payout ratio to 34% which is a typical payout ratio for cash cow companies.\nThe expected dividend I project is based on the percentage of operating cash flow the dividend takes up. Over the last 3 years, it has ranged from 15% to 18%. I used an estimated $100.15 billion for operating cash flows and at 19% you get the $1.14 dividend.\nSource: Seeking AlphaCash Flow Statement\nLastly it is possible that a dividend yield of less than 1% becomes the norm for Apple. If the current 2021 yield average of 0.63% becomes the new normal, Apple’s share price should rise to $163.49 - $180.95 based on my projected dividend increase.\nConclusion\nSell Apple, take your profits now. The super cycle will end. Come back later and buy Apple at a discount when the dividend yield is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}