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2021-12-03

Ouch

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2021-03-02

Comment please

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2021-05-02

Comment

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2021-08-17

$SEA LTD(SE)$solid results and upgrading guidance for 2021Note as an investor: I felt that this is not overvaluedd at 300 as it continue to deliver solid results. Averaging up is also a good strategy for companies that continue to deliver solid results.

2021-02-28

Like and comment please

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2021-07-11

Comment

The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>

2021-05-06

Ohhh

This Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote>

2021-03-26

Comment please.Long Pins

2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy Following Huge Sell-Offs<blockquote>大幅抛售后最值得买入的2只成长型股票</blockquote>

2021-07-09

Bargain or avoid?

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2021-07-05

$SEA LTD(SE)$shopee

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go","listText":"Palantir go","text":"Palantir go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692195836","repostId":"1183408599","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183408599","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1640868441,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183408599?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-30 20:47","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: A Rebound May Be In Order With Potentially Stronger-Than-Expected Earnings Ahead<blockquote>Palantir：未来盈利可能强于预期，反弹可能即将到来</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183408599","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir has underperformed the broader market this year with declines of more than 20% while","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><b>总结</b></body></html></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Palantir has underperformed the broader market this year with declines of more than 20% while the Nasdaq 100 and S&amp;P 500 have both rallied close to 30%.</li><li>The stock&#39;s latest plummet was triggered by signs of deceleration in the company&#39;s government segment, a core driver of the consolidated business growth.</li><li>However, new contract wins and renewals from both the public and private sectors observed over the last three months indicate Palantir is readying to end the year with strong fundamentals.</li><li>The narrative surrounding the stock&#39;s bullish thesis also remains intact, with continued demand for holistic data compilation and analytics solutions like Foundry and Gotham to support improved decision-making in the increasingly digital landscape.</li><li>This points to a potential rally in the new year, making the stock&#39;s current price levels an attractive entry point.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02d7c2e5739d48a7457788f40f66148c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir今年的表现逊于大盘，跌幅超过20%，而纳斯达克100指数和标普500指数均上涨近30%。</li><li>该股最近的暴跌是由该公司政府部门减速的迹象引发的，政府部门是综合业务增长的核心驱动力。</li><li>然而，过去三个月观察到的公共和私营部门的新合同中标和续签表明Palantir已准备好以强劲的基本面结束今年。</li><li>围绕该股看涨论点的叙述也保持不变，对Foundry和Gotham等整体数据编译和分析解决方案的需求持续存在，以支持在日益数字化的环境中改进决策。</li><li>这表明新的一年可能会上涨，使该股目前的价格水平成为一个有吸引力的切入点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p>While the broader market has outperformed in the past year with both the S&amp;P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 up almost 30% in the first nine months of 2021, the Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)stock has posted declines of more than 20% in the same period. In the first few months that followed its debut on the NYSE last September, the stock had more than tripled in value before the February tech stock selloff wiped out more than one-third of said gains. The stock has largely remained in the sub-$30 level since until Palantir released weaker than expected third quarter results. Signs of slowing revenue growth from the government segment had sent the stock towards the low-$20s, while recent macro headwinds ranging from rising inflation to the resurgence of the Omicron coronavirus variant have led further declines to the sub-$20 level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管过去一年大盘表现优于大盘，标普500和以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数在2021年前9个月均上涨了近30%，但Palantir(NYSE：PLTR)股票的跌幅超过20%同期。去年9月在纽约证券交易所上市后的头几个月里，该股的价值上涨了两倍多，直到2月份科技股抛售抹去了超过三分之一的涨幅。此后，该股基本保持在30美元以下的水平，直到Palantir发布弱于预期的第三季度业绩。政府部门收入增长放缓的迹象导致该股跌至20美元以下，而近期从通胀上升到奥密克戎冠状病毒变种死灰复燃等宏观不利因素导致该股进一步跌至20美元以下。</blockquote></p><p>However, revenue growth from Palantir&#39;s commercial segment remains robust and should not be overlooked. Businesses are becoming increasingly digital, generating vast troves of data that will need to be integrated, processed and analyzed to drive key decision-making processes. And this trend will continue to propel commercial demand for Palantir&#39;s enterprise software solutions. New strategies and modular offerings like the &#34;Foundry for Builders&#34; subscription and &#34;Carbon Emissions Management&#34; tool will also encourage further mass market adoption in the long-run and underpin the segment&#39;s continued growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Palantir商业部门的收入增长仍然强劲，不容忽视。企业正变得越来越数字化，产生了大量需要集成、处理和分析的数据，以推动关键决策流程。这一趋势将继续推动对Palantir企业软件解决方案的商业需求。从长远来看，“建筑商铸造厂”订阅和“碳排放管理”工具等新战略和模块化产品也将鼓励大众市场进一步采用，并支撑该细分市场的持续增长。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, a rebound in government segment revenues appears to be in order this quarter. The recent slew of contract wins and extensions is a testament to the effectiveness of Palantir&#39;s software solutions and continued demand from the public sector.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，本季度政府部门收入似乎有所反弹。最近赢得的一系列合同和延期证明了Palantir软件解决方案的有效性以及公共部门的持续需求。</blockquote></p><p>Palantir&#39;s software solutions remain a critical function to ensuring the seamless integration of data platforms and improving decision-making in the increasingly digital world. And based on recent deals and partnerships announced, the company&#39;s fundamentals are expected to come in stronger than expected this earnings season, indicating further rallies in the new year.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的软件解决方案仍然是确保数据平台无缝集成和在日益数字化的世界中改进决策的关键功能。根据最近宣布的交易和合作伙伴关系，该公司的基本面预计将强于预期，表明新的一年将进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p><b>Rising Opportunities from the Commercial Sector</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业领域的机会不断增加</b></blockquote></p><p>Palantir&#39;s commercial segment revenues have demonstrated robust strong growth momentum in recent quarters. In the first nine months of the year, the segment has generated sales of $450.6 million, representing growth of close to 30% from the prior year. Much of this accelerated growth were generated in the third quarter, with record-setting year-on-year and sequential advances of close to 38% and 21%, respectively. And similar results are expected for the fourth quarter, based on recent multi-year deals forged with reputable names within the private sector:</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的商业部门收入在最近几个季度表现出强劲的增长势头。今年前9个月，该部门的销售额为4.506亿美元，比上年增长近30%。这种加速增长大部分是在第三季度产生的，同比和环比增长分别接近38%和21%，创历史新高。根据最近与私营部门知名企业达成的多年期交易，预计第四季度也会出现类似的结果：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>Dewpoint Therapeutics: Palantir will be deploying Foundry at Dewpoint Therapeutics to help researchers gain better understanding of biomolecular condensates, a critical element within cells that help them perform vital functions. Foundry will be used to integrate data generated from experimental results and outcomes into a &#34;centralized knowledge repository&#34;, enabling researchers with access to a key hub of resources needed to &#34;identify new compounds and therapeutic approaches&#34; for challenging disease.</li><li>Merck: Palantir and Merck(OTCPK:MKGAF)(OTCPK:MKGAY) have introduced the Athinia, a Foundry-powered platform that uses AI to address ongoing supply chain challenges. Athinia will provide a centralized platform where chipmakers and material suppliers can &#34;share, aggregate and analyze data&#34;. The joint initiative is expected to foster a higher level of supply chain transparency and drive greater operational efficiencies across the value chain.</li><li>Kinder Morgan: Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)will use Foundry combine data across its U.S.-based gas storage operations that are otherwise segregated. This will enable operators with access to a &#34;common operating picture&#34; of the company&#39;s consolidated information, ranging from supply to pricing, which will help to better inform their decision-making process.</li><li>MSP Recovery: The leading Medicare, Medicaid, commercial and secondary payer reimbursement recovery firm will use Foundry to &#34;connect data both within and between organizations and help unlock connectivity on an unprecedented scale&#34;. The resulting centralized data ecosystem is expected to help break down time and cost inefficiencies within the American healthcare system, and improve the level of care for patients while also ensuring better revenues for both MSP and healthcare providers.</li></ul>The common theme behind Palantir&#39;s recent commercial partnerships continues to be Foundry&#39;s ability to &#34;break down data silos&#34;, contextualize information, and enable improved decision-making. This ability will become increasingly invaluable to companies in coming years with accelerated digital transformation. To date,only 4% of companies claim to have a &#34;highly sophisticated approach to leveraging data&#34;. This leaves a sizable addressable market within the private sector in which Palantir could penetrate. And the company has already deployed various strategic offerings to ensure adequate capitalization of said opportunities ahead.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Dewpoint Therapeutics：Palantir将在Dewpoint Therapeutics部署Foundry，以帮助研究人员更好地了解生物分子凝聚物，这是细胞内帮助它们执行重要功能的关键元素。Foundry将用于将实验结果和结果生成的数据整合到一个“集中知识库”中，使研究人员能够访问“识别新化合物和治疗方法”以应对挑战性疾病所需的关键资源中心。</li><li>默克：Palantir和默克(OTCPK：MKGAF)(OTCPK：MKGAY)推出了Athinia，这是一个由代工驱动的平台，使用人工智能来解决持续的供应链挑战。Athinia将提供一个中心化平台，芯片制造商和材料供应商可以在这里“共享、聚合和分析数据”。该联合计划预计将提高供应链透明度，并提高整个价值链的运营效率。</li><li>金德摩根：金德摩根（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KMI）将在其位于美国的天然气储存业务中使用Foundry combine数据，这些数据原本是隔离的。这将使运营商能够获得公司综合信息的“共同运营情况”，从供应到定价，这将有助于更好地为他们的决策过程提供信息。</li><li>MSP恢复：领先的医疗保险、医疗补助、商业和二级付款人报销恢复公司将使用Foundry来“连接组织内部和组织之间的数据，并帮助以前所未有的规模解锁连接”。由此产生的集中式数据生态系统预计将有助于打破美国医疗保健系统内的时间和成本低效率，提高患者的护理水平，同时确保MSP和医疗保健提供商获得更好的收入。</li></ul>Palantir最近的商业合作伙伴关系背后的共同主题仍然是Foundry“打破数据孤岛”、将信息置于上下文中并实现改进决策的能力。随着数字化转型的加速，这种能力在未来几年对公司来说将变得越来越无价。迄今为止，只有4%的公司声称拥有“高度复杂的利用数据的方法”。这在私营部门留下了一个相当大的潜在市场，Palantir可以进入该市场。该公司已经部署了各种战略产品，以确保充分利用未来的上述机会。</blockquote></p><p>As discussed in our previous coverage, the recent introduction of Foundry for Builders under a subscription-based model is expected to encourage mass market adoption of the software from both multinational corporations with complex data compilations and small Day One start-ups. The recent introduction of modular offerings like &#34;Carbon Emissions Management&#34; and &#34;Anti-Money Laundering / Know Your Client&#34; solutions will also appeal to the emerging crypto sector, exposing Palantir&#39;s commercial offerings to a broader market.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们在之前的报道中所讨论的，最近在基于订阅的模式下推出的Foundry for Builders预计将鼓励拥有复杂数据汇编的跨国公司和小型初创企业在大众市场上采用该软件。最近推出的“碳排放管理”和“反洗钱/了解你的客户”解决方案等模块化产品也将吸引新兴的加密领域，使Palantir的商业产品暴露于更广阔的市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>Robust Government Demand Driven by Proven Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>经过验证的结果推动了强劲的政府需求</b></blockquote></p><p>Signs of deceleration in Palantir&#39;s government segment revenues during the third quarter had raised alarms on the durability of its growth outlook. Government segment revenues during the third quarter grew by only 34% from the prior year, down from an average of 74% year-on-year growth observed in the three preceding quarters.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir第三季度政府部门收入减速的迹象引发了人们对其增长前景持久性的担忧。第三季度政府部门收入同比仅增长34%，低于前三个季度74%的平均同比增长。</blockquote></p><p>But Palantir&#39;s government contract wins observed so far in the last quarter of the year shows that a rebound may be in order:</p><p><blockquote>但Palantir在今年最后一个季度赢得的政府合同表明，反弹可能即将到来：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>Army Vantage Program: The U.S. Army has contracted Palantir in 2019 to power the &#34;Army Vantage&#34; data analytics platform. Palantir&#39;s software is used to &#34;break down data silos&#34; and create a centralized operating system where the U.S. Army can mobilize their data to make informed decisions in real-time. The contract was renewed for the second option year in mid-December for $116.3 million.</li><li>Space System Command (&#34;SSC&#34;): The SSC&#39;s Cross-Mission Ground &amp; Communications Enterprise (&#34;ECX&#34;) has awarded Palantir a $43 million contract extension earlier this month. Under the extended arrangement, Palantir will continue to deploy its software to integrate and process data from various sources, and facilitate &#34;application delivery, in-depth analysis, and data-driven decision-making&#34; across the ECX and its partners.</li><li>Capability Drop 2 (&#34;CD-2&#34;) Program: Palantir announced an $823 million contract win with the U.S. Army&#39;s Program Manager for Intelligence Systems and Analytics in October. The Army Intelligence will be leveraging Palantir&#39;s Gotham platform to consolidate data from disparate databases, and create a &#34;data fabric and analytics foundation&#34; for the CD-2 program, which will be used to enable data modernization and analytic capabilities required for preparing against future threats to national security.</li><li>National Institutes of Health (&#34;NIH&#34;): Palantir has been contracted by the NIH&#39;s National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (&#34;NCATS&#34;) to continue the deployment of its solutions for enabling a central operating system used in collaborative clinical research on COVID-19. The two-year contract has an estimated value of $59.9 million, with an initial task order to be completed in five months valued at $7.9 million. The NCATS has also offered Palantir a separate one-year contract extension for the provision of its software to help facilitate cancer research at the National Cancer Institute. The extension has upped the total contract value from $36 million to $60 million.</li></ul>Data remains the strongest link in aligning U.S. foreign policy with the country&#39;s national security goals. This underscores why making sense of data, and using it to drive critical decision-making processes continue to be a top priority for the Defense Department, as well as other agencies within the public sector. The increasing urgency to reconnect the fragmented nature of databases set up across the public sector&#39;s sub-departments has been a common theme in Palantir&#39;s government contract wins in recent years, including the ones obtained during the fourth quarter as mentioned above. The growing number of contract extensions awarded to Palantir is also a testament to the effectiveness of its software in addressing complex challenges resulting from the government&#39;s disparate data sources.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>陆军优势计划：美国。陆军已于2019年与Palantir签约，为“Army Vantage”数据分析平台提供支持。Palantir的软件用于“打破数据孤岛”并创建一个集中式操作系统。陆军可以调动他们的数据来实时做出明智的决策。该合同于12月中旬续签了第二个期权年，价格为1.163亿美元。</li><li>太空系统司令部（“SSC”）：SSC的跨任务地面与通信企业（“ECX”）本月早些时候授予Palantir一份价值4300万美元的合同延期。根据扩展安排，Palantir将继续部署其软件来集成和处理来自各种来源的数据，并促进ECX及其合作伙伴的“应用交付、深入分析和数据驱动的决策”。</li><li>Capability Drop 2（“CD-2”）计划：Palantir于10月宣布赢得美国陆军情报系统和分析项目经理的8.23亿美元合同。陆军情报局将利用Palantir的Gotham平台来整合来自不同数据库的数据，并为CD-2计划创建“数据结构和分析基础”，该基础将用于实现应对未来威胁所需的数据现代化和分析能力。国家安全。</li><li>美国国立卫生研究院（“NIH”）：Palantir已与NIH国家转化科学促进中心（“NCATS”）签订合同，继续部署其解决方案，以实现用于COVID-19协作临床研究的中央操作系统。这份为期两年的合同估计价值为5990万美元，初步任务订单将在五个月内完成，价值790万美元。NCATS还向Palantir提供了一份单独的一年合同延期，以提供其软件，以帮助促进国家癌症研究所的癌症研究。此次延期使合同总价值从3600万美元增加到6000万美元。</li></ul>数据仍然是美国外交政策与国家安全目标保持一致的最强有力的纽带。这强调了为什么理解数据并利用它来推动关键决策过程仍然是国防部以及公共部门其他机构的首要任务。重新连接公共部门各子部门建立的数据库的碎片性质日益迫切，这一直是Palantir近年来赢得的政府合同的一个共同主题，包括上述第四季度获得的合同。授予Palantir的合同延期数量不断增加，这也证明了其软件在应对政府不同数据源带来的复杂挑战方面的有效性。</blockquote></p><p>Time and again, Palantir has proven to government agencies that while taking advantage of data is a complex process, it has the technological capacity and resources to link and make sense of the vast troves of information without compromising on time and cost-efficiencies. Palantir&#39;s most recent new contract win with the U.S. Army for the CD-2 program as mentioned above also foreshadows greater opportunities ahead with the Defense Department. The agency has pivoted towards increasing collaborations with innovation-driven technology partners in recent years to modernize their current &#34;command and control&#34; architecture. Their goal to invest more heavily into new technologies like AI is also embedded in the proposed military budget for the coming year. This signals that a greater market of opportunities from the U.S. Department of Defense is coming Palantir&#39;s way. Paired with Palantir&#39;s proven technological competency in addressing said specific needs of the public sector as validated by recent contract renewals, the company&#39;s government segment is well-poised for additional growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir一次又一次地向政府机构证明，虽然利用数据是一个复杂的过程，但它拥有技术能力和资源来链接和理解大量信息，而不会影响时间和成本效益。Palantir最近赢得了美国的新合同。如上所述，陆军的CD-2计划也预示着国防部未来将面临更大的机遇。近年来，该机构已转向加强与创新驱动的技术合作伙伴的合作，以实现其当前“指挥和控制”架构的现代化。他们加大对人工智能等新技术投资的目标也包含在来年拟议的军事预算中。这标志着来自美国的更大市场机会。国防部正在向Palantir靠拢。再加上Palantir在满足公共部门上述特定需求方面经过验证的技术能力（最近的合同续签所验证），该公司的政府部门已为未来的进一步增长做好了充分准备。</blockquote></p><p><b>Recap of Financial Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务前景回顾</b></blockquote></p><p>Adjusting our previous forecast for actual third quarter results and recent developments to Palantir&#39;s growth outlook based on new contract adds observed in the fourth quarter, we are projecting total revenues of $1.5 billion by the end of the year. The top line is expected to further advance at a compounded annual growth rate (&#34;CAGR&#34;) of about 16% towards $6.6 billion by 2030. The growth assumptions applied remain consistent with those discussed in our previous analysis, considering Palantir&#39;s business model and operating environment has not materially changed. Recent contract wins and renewals also support the viability of management&#39;s goal to grow Palantir&#39;s revenues by 30% every year for the next five years, indicating that the narrative surrounding its bullish thesis remains intact.</p><p><blockquote>根据第四季度观察到的新合同增加，调整了我们之前对第三季度实际业绩的预测以及Palantir增长前景的最新发展，我们预计到今年年底总收入将达到15亿美元。预计到2030年，营收将以约16%的复合年增长率（“CAGR”）进一步增长，达到66亿美元。考虑到Palantir的商业模式和运营环境没有发生重大变化，所应用的增长假设与我们之前分析中讨论的假设保持一致。最近赢得和续签的合同也支持了管理层未来五年收入每年增长30%的目标的可行性，这表明围绕其看涨论点的叙述仍然完好无损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb3fd776c2128f3c668ca04386d1c782\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Specifically, government segment revenues are forecast at $896.2 million by the end of the year, representing growth of 41.8% from 2020. While deal flows are expected to remain strong within the foreseeable future considering Palantir&#39;s proven effectiveness in delivery solutions that can address data challenges within the public sector and increasing defense opportunities allocated towards software and innovative technology, the segment&#39;s growth is expected to ultimately normalize towards an average range of 28% to 30% over the next five years. Based on this consideration, our forecast projects government revenues to advance towards $2.5 billion by 2025 and $3.8 billion by 2030, representing growth at a 10-year CAGR of 15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，到今年年底，政府部门收入预计为8.962亿美元，较2020年增长41.8%。虽然考虑到Palantir在交付解决方案方面经过验证的有效性，可以解决公共部门内的数据挑战，并增加分配给软件和创新技术的防御机会，预计在可预见的未来，交易流将保持强劲，但预计该细分市场的增长最终将正常化，平均未来五年将达到28%至30%的范围。基于这一考虑，我们的预测预计政府收入到2025年将增至25亿美元，到2030年将增至38亿美元，10年复合年增长率为15.6%。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, commercial segment revenue growth is expected to remain robust in coming years. Palantir&#39;s continued roll-out of attractive purchase options and modular add-on offerings targeted at specific industry needs are expected to encourage further adoption of Foundry in the long-run. Paired with a growing base of contracted commercial segment revenues, which is currently valued at more than $2 billion with an average duration of four years, our forecast expects Palantir to realize related sales of $630.8 million by the end of the year. And in the coming years, commercial segment revenues are expected to further advance at a 10-year CAGR of 16.1% towards $2.8 billion by 2030, with the bulk of the growth frontloaded in the first half of the decade to reflect accelerating market demand for holistic data compilation and analytical tools like Foundry.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，商业部门的收入增长预计在未来几年将保持强劲。Palantir持续推出有吸引力的购买选项和针对特定行业需求的模块化附加产品，预计从长远来看将鼓励Foundry的进一步采用。再加上不断增长的合同商业部门收入基础（目前价值超过20亿美元，平均持续时间为四年），我们预测Palantir到今年年底将实现6.308亿美元的相关销售额。未来几年，商业部门收入预计将以16.1%的10年复合年增长率进一步增长，到2030年将达到28亿美元，其中大部分增长是在本十年的前五年实现的，以反映市场对Foundry等整体数据汇编和分析工具的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p>Combined with Palantir&#39;s projected cost structure, which takes into consideration the highly scalable nature of its software offerings as discussed in our previous coverage, the company is expected to generate narrowing losses of $464.0 million to $117.5 million until 2024. Nominal profits of $141.1 million are projected for 2025, with further growth towards $1.5 billion by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>结合Palantir的预计成本结构（考虑到我们之前报道中讨论的其软件产品的高度可扩展性），该公司预计到2024年亏损将缩小至4.64亿美元至1.175亿美元。预计2025年名义利润为1.411亿美元，到2030年将进一步增长至15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0009de543c4769c88acd7b95c7f66b76\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><i>i. Base Case Financial Forecast:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测：</i></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8105718a0b2b6f07a7a835692c269950\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"176\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57b753657e20113e178a798bb6ce7e5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Drawing on the above analysis on Palantir&#39;s financial prospects, our 12-month price target is set at $25.45. This represents upside potential of close to 37% based on the last traded share price of $18.58 on December 28th.</p><p><blockquote>根据上述对Palantir财务前景的分析，我们将12个月目标价定为25.45美元。基于12月28日18.58美元的最后交易股价，这意味着接近37%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p>Our valuation analysis is derived from a discounted cash flow (&#34;DCF&#34;) analysis over a five-year discrete period in conjunction with the base case financial projections for Palantir as discussed in earlier sections. A WACC of 9.3% is applied to discount Palantir&#39;s projected free cash flows over the forecasted period. The valuation assumption applied is consistent with the company&#39;s risk profile and capital structure, which is currently debt-free with an ability to generate robust cash flows into the long-run. The analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 110.8x, which is derived based on Palantir&#39;s size of operations, current growth initiatives and business outlook relative to its industry peers. This compares to an EV/ETBIDA range of 43.66x to 198.65x observed across guideline public companies within the same industry.</p><p><blockquote>我们的估值分析来自五年离散期间的贴现现金流（“DCF”）分析，以及前面章节中讨论的Palantir的基本情况财务预测。9.3%的WACC用于贴现Palantir在预测期内的预计自由现金流。所应用的估值假设与公司的风险状况和资本结构一致，该公司目前没有债务，能够长期产生强劲的现金流。该分析还假设退出倍数为110.8倍，该倍数是根据Palantir相对于行业同行的运营规模、当前增长计划和业务前景得出的。相比之下，在同一行业的指导上市公司中观察到的EV/ETBIDA范围为43.66倍至198.65倍。</blockquote></p><p><i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析：</i></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9fe2dec0f0a082751b96ebe37932b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>We have also used a multiple-based valuation approach to validate our 12-month price target derived using the DCF approach. By applying a forward-looking price-to-sales multiple of 27.7x to projected revenues per share for the next 12 months, the Palantir stock is expected to trade at approximately $25.93, which is in line with our DCF analysis. The multiple is consistent with those observed across Palantir&#39;s industry peers, as well as market expectations on the company&#39;s near-term valuation based on its current operating environment, business developments and growth trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>我们还使用基于多重的估值方法来验证使用DCF方法得出的12个月价格目标。通过将27.7倍的前瞻性市销率倍数应用于未来12个月的预计每股收入，Palantir股票预计交易价格约为25.93美元，这与我们的DCF分析一致。该倍数与Palantir行业同行的观察结果一致，也与市场基于其当前运营环境、业务发展和增长轨迹对该公司近期估值的预期一致。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><i>ii. Price-to-Sales Multiple-Based Valuation:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、市销率倍数估值：</i></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a406a349f657b028d7ee7375ac941129\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"205\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p>Accelerated digitization across enterprises of all sizes and industries, and an increasing urgency to mend the fragmented nature of databases across the public sector will continue to drive tremendous demand for holistic data compilation and analytics solutions like Foundry and Gotham in coming years. The technological effectiveness and scalability of Palantir&#39;s products also make them attractive solutions for handling increasingly complex data challenges. Looking ahead, Palantir remains well-poised to capitalize on significant growth opportunities presented by both the public and private sectors, which is expected to soon materialize into promising upsides for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>各种规模和行业的企业加速数字化，以及修复公共部门数据库碎片化性质的日益紧迫性，将在未来几年继续推动对Foundry和Gotham等整体数据编译和分析解决方案的巨大需求。Palantir产品的技术有效性和可扩展性也使其成为处理日益复杂的数据挑战的有吸引力的解决方案。展望未来，Palantir仍准备好利用公共和私营部门提供的重大增长机会，预计这些机会很快就会成为该股充满希望的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: A Rebound May Be In Order With Potentially Stronger-Than-Expected Earnings Ahead<blockquote>Palantir：未来盈利可能强于预期，反弹可能即将到来</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: A Rebound May Be In Order With Potentially Stronger-Than-Expected Earnings Ahead<blockquote>Palantir：未来盈利可能强于预期，反弹可能即将到来</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-30 20:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><b>总结</b></body></html></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Palantir has underperformed the broader market this year with declines of more than 20% while the Nasdaq 100 and S&amp;P 500 have both rallied close to 30%.</li><li>The stock&#39;s latest plummet was triggered by signs of deceleration in the company&#39;s government segment, a core driver of the consolidated business growth.</li><li>However, new contract wins and renewals from both the public and private sectors observed over the last three months indicate Palantir is readying to end the year with strong fundamentals.</li><li>The narrative surrounding the stock&#39;s bullish thesis also remains intact, with continued demand for holistic data compilation and analytics solutions like Foundry and Gotham to support improved decision-making in the increasingly digital landscape.</li><li>This points to a potential rally in the new year, making the stock&#39;s current price levels an attractive entry point.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02d7c2e5739d48a7457788f40f66148c\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir今年的表现逊于大盘，跌幅超过20%，而纳斯达克100指数和标普500指数均上涨近30%。</li><li>该股最近的暴跌是由该公司政府部门减速的迹象引发的，政府部门是综合业务增长的核心驱动力。</li><li>然而，过去三个月观察到的公共和私营部门的新合同中标和续签表明Palantir已准备好以强劲的基本面结束今年。</li><li>围绕该股看涨论点的叙述也保持不变，对Foundry和Gotham等整体数据编译和分析解决方案的需求持续存在，以支持在日益数字化的环境中改进决策。</li><li>这表明新的一年可能会上涨，使该股目前的价格水平成为一个有吸引力的切入点。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Michael Vi/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p>While the broader market has outperformed in the past year with both the S&amp;P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 up almost 30% in the first nine months of 2021, the Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)stock has posted declines of more than 20% in the same period. In the first few months that followed its debut on the NYSE last September, the stock had more than tripled in value before the February tech stock selloff wiped out more than one-third of said gains. The stock has largely remained in the sub-$30 level since until Palantir released weaker than expected third quarter results. Signs of slowing revenue growth from the government segment had sent the stock towards the low-$20s, while recent macro headwinds ranging from rising inflation to the resurgence of the Omicron coronavirus variant have led further declines to the sub-$20 level.</p><p><blockquote>尽管过去一年大盘表现优于大盘，标普500和以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数在2021年前9个月均上涨了近30%，但Palantir(NYSE：PLTR)股票的跌幅超过20%同期。去年9月在纽约证券交易所上市后的头几个月里，该股的价值上涨了两倍多，直到2月份科技股抛售抹去了超过三分之一的涨幅。此后，该股基本保持在30美元以下的水平，直到Palantir发布弱于预期的第三季度业绩。政府部门收入增长放缓的迹象导致该股跌至20美元以下，而近期从通胀上升到奥密克戎冠状病毒变种死灰复燃等宏观不利因素导致该股进一步跌至20美元以下。</blockquote></p><p>However, revenue growth from Palantir&#39;s commercial segment remains robust and should not be overlooked. Businesses are becoming increasingly digital, generating vast troves of data that will need to be integrated, processed and analyzed to drive key decision-making processes. And this trend will continue to propel commercial demand for Palantir&#39;s enterprise software solutions. New strategies and modular offerings like the &#34;Foundry for Builders&#34; subscription and &#34;Carbon Emissions Management&#34; tool will also encourage further mass market adoption in the long-run and underpin the segment&#39;s continued growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Palantir商业部门的收入增长仍然强劲，不容忽视。企业正变得越来越数字化，产生了大量需要集成、处理和分析的数据，以推动关键决策流程。这一趋势将继续推动对Palantir企业软件解决方案的商业需求。从长远来看，“建筑商铸造厂”订阅和“碳排放管理”工具等新战略和模块化产品也将鼓励大众市场进一步采用，并支撑该细分市场的持续增长。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, a rebound in government segment revenues appears to be in order this quarter. The recent slew of contract wins and extensions is a testament to the effectiveness of Palantir&#39;s software solutions and continued demand from the public sector.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，本季度政府部门收入似乎有所反弹。最近赢得的一系列合同和延期证明了Palantir软件解决方案的有效性以及公共部门的持续需求。</blockquote></p><p>Palantir&#39;s software solutions remain a critical function to ensuring the seamless integration of data platforms and improving decision-making in the increasingly digital world. And based on recent deals and partnerships announced, the company&#39;s fundamentals are expected to come in stronger than expected this earnings season, indicating further rallies in the new year.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的软件解决方案仍然是确保数据平台无缝集成和在日益数字化的世界中改进决策的关键功能。根据最近宣布的交易和合作伙伴关系，该公司的基本面预计将强于预期，表明新的一年将进一步上涨。</blockquote></p><p><b>Rising Opportunities from the Commercial Sector</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业领域的机会不断增加</b></blockquote></p><p>Palantir&#39;s commercial segment revenues have demonstrated robust strong growth momentum in recent quarters. In the first nine months of the year, the segment has generated sales of $450.6 million, representing growth of close to 30% from the prior year. Much of this accelerated growth were generated in the third quarter, with record-setting year-on-year and sequential advances of close to 38% and 21%, respectively. And similar results are expected for the fourth quarter, based on recent multi-year deals forged with reputable names within the private sector:</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的商业部门收入在最近几个季度表现出强劲的增长势头。今年前9个月，该部门的销售额为4.506亿美元，比上年增长近30%。这种加速增长大部分是在第三季度产生的，同比和环比增长分别接近38%和21%，创历史新高。根据最近与私营部门知名企业达成的多年期交易，预计第四季度也会出现类似的结果：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>Dewpoint Therapeutics: Palantir will be deploying Foundry at Dewpoint Therapeutics to help researchers gain better understanding of biomolecular condensates, a critical element within cells that help them perform vital functions. Foundry will be used to integrate data generated from experimental results and outcomes into a &#34;centralized knowledge repository&#34;, enabling researchers with access to a key hub of resources needed to &#34;identify new compounds and therapeutic approaches&#34; for challenging disease.</li><li>Merck: Palantir and Merck(OTCPK:MKGAF)(OTCPK:MKGAY) have introduced the Athinia, a Foundry-powered platform that uses AI to address ongoing supply chain challenges. Athinia will provide a centralized platform where chipmakers and material suppliers can &#34;share, aggregate and analyze data&#34;. The joint initiative is expected to foster a higher level of supply chain transparency and drive greater operational efficiencies across the value chain.</li><li>Kinder Morgan: Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)will use Foundry combine data across its U.S.-based gas storage operations that are otherwise segregated. This will enable operators with access to a &#34;common operating picture&#34; of the company&#39;s consolidated information, ranging from supply to pricing, which will help to better inform their decision-making process.</li><li>MSP Recovery: The leading Medicare, Medicaid, commercial and secondary payer reimbursement recovery firm will use Foundry to &#34;connect data both within and between organizations and help unlock connectivity on an unprecedented scale&#34;. The resulting centralized data ecosystem is expected to help break down time and cost inefficiencies within the American healthcare system, and improve the level of care for patients while also ensuring better revenues for both MSP and healthcare providers.</li></ul>The common theme behind Palantir&#39;s recent commercial partnerships continues to be Foundry&#39;s ability to &#34;break down data silos&#34;, contextualize information, and enable improved decision-making. This ability will become increasingly invaluable to companies in coming years with accelerated digital transformation. To date,only 4% of companies claim to have a &#34;highly sophisticated approach to leveraging data&#34;. This leaves a sizable addressable market within the private sector in which Palantir could penetrate. And the company has already deployed various strategic offerings to ensure adequate capitalization of said opportunities ahead.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Dewpoint Therapeutics：Palantir将在Dewpoint Therapeutics部署Foundry，以帮助研究人员更好地了解生物分子凝聚物，这是细胞内帮助它们执行重要功能的关键元素。Foundry将用于将实验结果和结果生成的数据整合到一个“集中知识库”中，使研究人员能够访问“识别新化合物和治疗方法”以应对挑战性疾病所需的关键资源中心。</li><li>默克：Palantir和默克(OTCPK：MKGAF)(OTCPK：MKGAY)推出了Athinia，这是一个由代工驱动的平台，使用人工智能来解决持续的供应链挑战。Athinia将提供一个中心化平台，芯片制造商和材料供应商可以在这里“共享、聚合和分析数据”。该联合计划预计将提高供应链透明度，并提高整个价值链的运营效率。</li><li>金德摩根：金德摩根（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KMI）将在其位于美国的天然气储存业务中使用Foundry combine数据，这些数据原本是隔离的。这将使运营商能够获得公司综合信息的“共同运营情况”，从供应到定价，这将有助于更好地为他们的决策过程提供信息。</li><li>MSP恢复：领先的医疗保险、医疗补助、商业和二级付款人报销恢复公司将使用Foundry来“连接组织内部和组织之间的数据，并帮助以前所未有的规模解锁连接”。由此产生的集中式数据生态系统预计将有助于打破美国医疗保健系统内的时间和成本低效率，提高患者的护理水平，同时确保MSP和医疗保健提供商获得更好的收入。</li></ul>Palantir最近的商业合作伙伴关系背后的共同主题仍然是Foundry“打破数据孤岛”、将信息置于上下文中并实现改进决策的能力。随着数字化转型的加速，这种能力在未来几年对公司来说将变得越来越无价。迄今为止，只有4%的公司声称拥有“高度复杂的利用数据的方法”。这在私营部门留下了一个相当大的潜在市场，Palantir可以进入该市场。该公司已经部署了各种战略产品，以确保充分利用未来的上述机会。</blockquote></p><p>As discussed in our previous coverage, the recent introduction of Foundry for Builders under a subscription-based model is expected to encourage mass market adoption of the software from both multinational corporations with complex data compilations and small Day One start-ups. The recent introduction of modular offerings like &#34;Carbon Emissions Management&#34; and &#34;Anti-Money Laundering / Know Your Client&#34; solutions will also appeal to the emerging crypto sector, exposing Palantir&#39;s commercial offerings to a broader market.</p><p><blockquote>正如我们在之前的报道中所讨论的，最近在基于订阅的模式下推出的Foundry for Builders预计将鼓励拥有复杂数据汇编的跨国公司和小型初创企业在大众市场上采用该软件。最近推出的“碳排放管理”和“反洗钱/了解你的客户”解决方案等模块化产品也将吸引新兴的加密领域，使Palantir的商业产品暴露于更广阔的市场。</blockquote></p><p><b>Robust Government Demand Driven by Proven Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>经过验证的结果推动了强劲的政府需求</b></blockquote></p><p>Signs of deceleration in Palantir&#39;s government segment revenues during the third quarter had raised alarms on the durability of its growth outlook. Government segment revenues during the third quarter grew by only 34% from the prior year, down from an average of 74% year-on-year growth observed in the three preceding quarters.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir第三季度政府部门收入减速的迹象引发了人们对其增长前景持久性的担忧。第三季度政府部门收入同比仅增长34%，低于前三个季度74%的平均同比增长。</blockquote></p><p>But Palantir&#39;s government contract wins observed so far in the last quarter of the year shows that a rebound may be in order:</p><p><blockquote>但Palantir在今年最后一个季度赢得的政府合同表明，反弹可能即将到来：</blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>Army Vantage Program: The U.S. Army has contracted Palantir in 2019 to power the &#34;Army Vantage&#34; data analytics platform. Palantir&#39;s software is used to &#34;break down data silos&#34; and create a centralized operating system where the U.S. Army can mobilize their data to make informed decisions in real-time. The contract was renewed for the second option year in mid-December for $116.3 million.</li><li>Space System Command (&#34;SSC&#34;): The SSC&#39;s Cross-Mission Ground &amp; Communications Enterprise (&#34;ECX&#34;) has awarded Palantir a $43 million contract extension earlier this month. Under the extended arrangement, Palantir will continue to deploy its software to integrate and process data from various sources, and facilitate &#34;application delivery, in-depth analysis, and data-driven decision-making&#34; across the ECX and its partners.</li><li>Capability Drop 2 (&#34;CD-2&#34;) Program: Palantir announced an $823 million contract win with the U.S. Army&#39;s Program Manager for Intelligence Systems and Analytics in October. The Army Intelligence will be leveraging Palantir&#39;s Gotham platform to consolidate data from disparate databases, and create a &#34;data fabric and analytics foundation&#34; for the CD-2 program, which will be used to enable data modernization and analytic capabilities required for preparing against future threats to national security.</li><li>National Institutes of Health (&#34;NIH&#34;): Palantir has been contracted by the NIH&#39;s National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (&#34;NCATS&#34;) to continue the deployment of its solutions for enabling a central operating system used in collaborative clinical research on COVID-19. The two-year contract has an estimated value of $59.9 million, with an initial task order to be completed in five months valued at $7.9 million. The NCATS has also offered Palantir a separate one-year contract extension for the provision of its software to help facilitate cancer research at the National Cancer Institute. The extension has upped the total contract value from $36 million to $60 million.</li></ul>Data remains the strongest link in aligning U.S. foreign policy with the country&#39;s national security goals. This underscores why making sense of data, and using it to drive critical decision-making processes continue to be a top priority for the Defense Department, as well as other agencies within the public sector. The increasing urgency to reconnect the fragmented nature of databases set up across the public sector&#39;s sub-departments has been a common theme in Palantir&#39;s government contract wins in recent years, including the ones obtained during the fourth quarter as mentioned above. The growing number of contract extensions awarded to Palantir is also a testament to the effectiveness of its software in addressing complex challenges resulting from the government&#39;s disparate data sources.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>陆军优势计划：美国。陆军已于2019年与Palantir签约，为“Army Vantage”数据分析平台提供支持。Palantir的软件用于“打破数据孤岛”并创建一个集中式操作系统。陆军可以调动他们的数据来实时做出明智的决策。该合同于12月中旬续签了第二个期权年，价格为1.163亿美元。</li><li>太空系统司令部（“SSC”）：SSC的跨任务地面与通信企业（“ECX”）本月早些时候授予Palantir一份价值4300万美元的合同延期。根据扩展安排，Palantir将继续部署其软件来集成和处理来自各种来源的数据，并促进ECX及其合作伙伴的“应用交付、深入分析和数据驱动的决策”。</li><li>Capability Drop 2（“CD-2”）计划：Palantir于10月宣布赢得美国陆军情报系统和分析项目经理的8.23亿美元合同。陆军情报局将利用Palantir的Gotham平台来整合来自不同数据库的数据，并为CD-2计划创建“数据结构和分析基础”，该基础将用于实现应对未来威胁所需的数据现代化和分析能力。国家安全。</li><li>美国国立卫生研究院（“NIH”）：Palantir已与NIH国家转化科学促进中心（“NCATS”）签订合同，继续部署其解决方案，以实现用于COVID-19协作临床研究的中央操作系统。这份为期两年的合同估计价值为5990万美元，初步任务订单将在五个月内完成，价值790万美元。NCATS还向Palantir提供了一份单独的一年合同延期，以提供其软件，以帮助促进国家癌症研究所的癌症研究。此次延期使合同总价值从3600万美元增加到6000万美元。</li></ul>数据仍然是美国外交政策与国家安全目标保持一致的最强有力的纽带。这强调了为什么理解数据并利用它来推动关键决策过程仍然是国防部以及公共部门其他机构的首要任务。重新连接公共部门各子部门建立的数据库的碎片性质日益迫切，这一直是Palantir近年来赢得的政府合同的一个共同主题，包括上述第四季度获得的合同。授予Palantir的合同延期数量不断增加，这也证明了其软件在应对政府不同数据源带来的复杂挑战方面的有效性。</blockquote></p><p>Time and again, Palantir has proven to government agencies that while taking advantage of data is a complex process, it has the technological capacity and resources to link and make sense of the vast troves of information without compromising on time and cost-efficiencies. Palantir&#39;s most recent new contract win with the U.S. Army for the CD-2 program as mentioned above also foreshadows greater opportunities ahead with the Defense Department. The agency has pivoted towards increasing collaborations with innovation-driven technology partners in recent years to modernize their current &#34;command and control&#34; architecture. Their goal to invest more heavily into new technologies like AI is also embedded in the proposed military budget for the coming year. This signals that a greater market of opportunities from the U.S. Department of Defense is coming Palantir&#39;s way. Paired with Palantir&#39;s proven technological competency in addressing said specific needs of the public sector as validated by recent contract renewals, the company&#39;s government segment is well-poised for additional growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir一次又一次地向政府机构证明，虽然利用数据是一个复杂的过程，但它拥有技术能力和资源来链接和理解大量信息，而不会影响时间和成本效益。Palantir最近赢得了美国的新合同。如上所述，陆军的CD-2计划也预示着国防部未来将面临更大的机遇。近年来，该机构已转向加强与创新驱动的技术合作伙伴的合作，以实现其当前“指挥和控制”架构的现代化。他们加大对人工智能等新技术投资的目标也包含在来年拟议的军事预算中。这标志着来自美国的更大市场机会。国防部正在向Palantir靠拢。再加上Palantir在满足公共部门上述特定需求方面经过验证的技术能力（最近的合同续签所验证），该公司的政府部门已为未来的进一步增长做好了充分准备。</blockquote></p><p><b>Recap of Financial Prospects</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务前景回顾</b></blockquote></p><p>Adjusting our previous forecast for actual third quarter results and recent developments to Palantir&#39;s growth outlook based on new contract adds observed in the fourth quarter, we are projecting total revenues of $1.5 billion by the end of the year. The top line is expected to further advance at a compounded annual growth rate (&#34;CAGR&#34;) of about 16% towards $6.6 billion by 2030. The growth assumptions applied remain consistent with those discussed in our previous analysis, considering Palantir&#39;s business model and operating environment has not materially changed. Recent contract wins and renewals also support the viability of management&#39;s goal to grow Palantir&#39;s revenues by 30% every year for the next five years, indicating that the narrative surrounding its bullish thesis remains intact.</p><p><blockquote>根据第四季度观察到的新合同增加，调整了我们之前对第三季度实际业绩的预测以及Palantir增长前景的最新发展，我们预计到今年年底总收入将达到15亿美元。预计到2030年，营收将以约16%的复合年增长率（“CAGR”）进一步增长，达到66亿美元。考虑到Palantir的商业模式和运营环境没有发生重大变化，所应用的增长假设与我们之前分析中讨论的假设保持一致。最近赢得和续签的合同也支持了管理层未来五年收入每年增长30%的目标的可行性，这表明围绕其看涨论点的叙述仍然完好无损。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb3fd776c2128f3c668ca04386d1c782\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"284\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Specifically, government segment revenues are forecast at $896.2 million by the end of the year, representing growth of 41.8% from 2020. While deal flows are expected to remain strong within the foreseeable future considering Palantir&#39;s proven effectiveness in delivery solutions that can address data challenges within the public sector and increasing defense opportunities allocated towards software and innovative technology, the segment&#39;s growth is expected to ultimately normalize towards an average range of 28% to 30% over the next five years. Based on this consideration, our forecast projects government revenues to advance towards $2.5 billion by 2025 and $3.8 billion by 2030, representing growth at a 10-year CAGR of 15.6%.</p><p><blockquote>具体来说，到今年年底，政府部门收入预计为8.962亿美元，较2020年增长41.8%。虽然考虑到Palantir在交付解决方案方面经过验证的有效性，可以解决公共部门内的数据挑战，并增加分配给软件和创新技术的防御机会，预计在可预见的未来，交易流将保持强劲，但预计该细分市场的增长最终将正常化，平均未来五年将达到28%至30%的范围。基于这一考虑，我们的预测预计政府收入到2025年将增至25亿美元，到2030年将增至38亿美元，10年复合年增长率为15.6%。</blockquote></p><p>Meanwhile, commercial segment revenue growth is expected to remain robust in coming years. Palantir&#39;s continued roll-out of attractive purchase options and modular add-on offerings targeted at specific industry needs are expected to encourage further adoption of Foundry in the long-run. Paired with a growing base of contracted commercial segment revenues, which is currently valued at more than $2 billion with an average duration of four years, our forecast expects Palantir to realize related sales of $630.8 million by the end of the year. And in the coming years, commercial segment revenues are expected to further advance at a 10-year CAGR of 16.1% towards $2.8 billion by 2030, with the bulk of the growth frontloaded in the first half of the decade to reflect accelerating market demand for holistic data compilation and analytical tools like Foundry.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，商业部门的收入增长预计在未来几年将保持强劲。Palantir持续推出有吸引力的购买选项和针对特定行业需求的模块化附加产品，预计从长远来看将鼓励Foundry的进一步采用。再加上不断增长的合同商业部门收入基础（目前价值超过20亿美元，平均持续时间为四年），我们预测Palantir到今年年底将实现6.308亿美元的相关销售额。未来几年，商业部门收入预计将以16.1%的10年复合年增长率进一步增长，到2030年将达到28亿美元，其中大部分增长是在本十年的前五年实现的，以反映市场对Foundry等整体数据汇编和分析工具的需求不断增长。</blockquote></p><p>Combined with Palantir&#39;s projected cost structure, which takes into consideration the highly scalable nature of its software offerings as discussed in our previous coverage, the company is expected to generate narrowing losses of $464.0 million to $117.5 million until 2024. Nominal profits of $141.1 million are projected for 2025, with further growth towards $1.5 billion by 2030.</p><p><blockquote>结合Palantir的预计成本结构（考虑到我们之前报道中讨论的其软件产品的高度可扩展性），该公司预计到2024年亏损将缩小至4.64亿美元至1.175亿美元。预计2025年名义利润为1.411亿美元，到2030年将进一步增长至15亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0009de543c4769c88acd7b95c7f66b76\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"312\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><i>i. Base Case Financial Forecast:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>i.基本情况财务预测：</i></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8105718a0b2b6f07a7a835692c269950\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"176\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部财务预测。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57b753657e20113e178a798bb6ce7e5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"225\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Drawing on the above analysis on Palantir&#39;s financial prospects, our 12-month price target is set at $25.45. This represents upside potential of close to 37% based on the last traded share price of $18.58 on December 28th.</p><p><blockquote>根据上述对Palantir财务前景的分析，我们将12个月目标价定为25.45美元。基于12月28日18.58美元的最后交易股价，这意味着接近37%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p>Our valuation analysis is derived from a discounted cash flow (&#34;DCF&#34;) analysis over a five-year discrete period in conjunction with the base case financial projections for Palantir as discussed in earlier sections. A WACC of 9.3% is applied to discount Palantir&#39;s projected free cash flows over the forecasted period. The valuation assumption applied is consistent with the company&#39;s risk profile and capital structure, which is currently debt-free with an ability to generate robust cash flows into the long-run. The analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 110.8x, which is derived based on Palantir&#39;s size of operations, current growth initiatives and business outlook relative to its industry peers. This compares to an EV/ETBIDA range of 43.66x to 198.65x observed across guideline public companies within the same industry.</p><p><blockquote>我们的估值分析来自五年离散期间的贴现现金流（“DCF”）分析，以及前面章节中讨论的Palantir的基本情况财务预测。9.3%的WACC用于贴现Palantir在预测期内的预计自由现金流。所应用的估值假设与公司的风险状况和资本结构一致，该公司目前没有债务，能够长期产生强劲的现金流。该分析还假设退出倍数为110.8倍，该倍数是根据Palantir相对于行业同行的运营规模、当前增长计划和业务前景得出的。相比之下，在同一行业的指导上市公司中观察到的EV/ETBIDA范围为43.66倍至198.65倍。</blockquote></p><p><i>i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>一、基本案例估值分析：</i></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b9fe2dec0f0a082751b96ebe37932b9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"387\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p>We have also used a multiple-based valuation approach to validate our 12-month price target derived using the DCF approach. By applying a forward-looking price-to-sales multiple of 27.7x to projected revenues per share for the next 12 months, the Palantir stock is expected to trade at approximately $25.93, which is in line with our DCF analysis. The multiple is consistent with those observed across Palantir&#39;s industry peers, as well as market expectations on the company&#39;s near-term valuation based on its current operating environment, business developments and growth trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>我们还使用基于多重的估值方法来验证使用DCF方法得出的12个月价格目标。通过将27.7倍的前瞻性市销率倍数应用于未来12个月的预计每股收入，Palantir股票预计交易价格约为25.93美元，这与我们的DCF分析一致。该倍数与Palantir行业同行的观察结果一致，也与市场基于其当前运营环境、业务发展和增长轨迹对该公司近期估值的预期一致。</blockquote></p><p></p><p><i>ii. Price-to-Sales Multiple-Based Valuation:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>二、市销率倍数估值：</i></blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a406a349f657b028d7ee7375ac941129\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"205\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者，数据来自我们的内部估值分析。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p>Accelerated digitization across enterprises of all sizes and industries, and an increasing urgency to mend the fragmented nature of databases across the public sector will continue to drive tremendous demand for holistic data compilation and analytics solutions like Foundry and Gotham in coming years. The technological effectiveness and scalability of Palantir&#39;s products also make them attractive solutions for handling increasingly complex data challenges. Looking ahead, Palantir remains well-poised to capitalize on significant growth opportunities presented by both the public and private sectors, which is expected to soon materialize into promising upsides for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>各种规模和行业的企业加速数字化，以及修复公共部门数据库碎片化性质的日益紧迫性，将在未来几年继续推动对Foundry和Gotham等整体数据编译和分析解决方案的巨大需求。Palantir产品的技术有效性和可扩展性也使其成为处理日益复杂的数据挑战的有吸引力的解决方案。展望未来，Palantir仍准备好利用公共和私营部门提供的重大增长机会，预计这些机会很快就会成为该股充满希望的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4477257-palantir-pltr-rebound-in-order-stronger-than-expected-earnings-ahead\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4477257-palantir-pltr-rebound-in-order-stronger-than-expected-earnings-ahead","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183408599","content_text":"SummaryPalantir has underperformed the broader market this year with declines of more than 20% while the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 have both rallied close to 30%.The stock's latest plummet was triggered by signs of deceleration in the company's government segment, a core driver of the consolidated business growth.However, new contract wins and renewals from both the public and private sectors observed over the last three months indicate Palantir is readying to end the year with strong fundamentals.The narrative surrounding the stock's bullish thesis also remains intact, with continued demand for holistic data compilation and analytics solutions like Foundry and Gotham to support improved decision-making in the increasingly digital landscape.This points to a potential rally in the new year, making the stock's current price levels an attractive entry point.Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty ImagesWhile the broader market has outperformed in the past year with both the S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 up almost 30% in the first nine months of 2021, the Palantir(NYSE:PLTR)stock has posted declines of more than 20% in the same period. In the first few months that followed its debut on the NYSE last September, the stock had more than tripled in value before the February tech stock selloff wiped out more than one-third of said gains. The stock has largely remained in the sub-$30 level since until Palantir released weaker than expected third quarter results. Signs of slowing revenue growth from the government segment had sent the stock towards the low-$20s, while recent macro headwinds ranging from rising inflation to the resurgence of the Omicron coronavirus variant have led further declines to the sub-$20 level.However, revenue growth from Palantir's commercial segment remains robust and should not be overlooked. Businesses are becoming increasingly digital, generating vast troves of data that will need to be integrated, processed and analyzed to drive key decision-making processes. And this trend will continue to propel commercial demand for Palantir's enterprise software solutions. New strategies and modular offerings like the \"Foundry for Builders\" subscription and \"Carbon Emissions Management\" tool will also encourage further mass market adoption in the long-run and underpin the segment's continued growth.Meanwhile, a rebound in government segment revenues appears to be in order this quarter. The recent slew of contract wins and extensions is a testament to the effectiveness of Palantir's software solutions and continued demand from the public sector.Palantir's software solutions remain a critical function to ensuring the seamless integration of data platforms and improving decision-making in the increasingly digital world. And based on recent deals and partnerships announced, the company's fundamentals are expected to come in stronger than expected this earnings season, indicating further rallies in the new year.Rising Opportunities from the Commercial SectorPalantir's commercial segment revenues have demonstrated robust strong growth momentum in recent quarters. In the first nine months of the year, the segment has generated sales of $450.6 million, representing growth of close to 30% from the prior year. Much of this accelerated growth were generated in the third quarter, with record-setting year-on-year and sequential advances of close to 38% and 21%, respectively. And similar results are expected for the fourth quarter, based on recent multi-year deals forged with reputable names within the private sector:Dewpoint Therapeutics: Palantir will be deploying Foundry at Dewpoint Therapeutics to help researchers gain better understanding of biomolecular condensates, a critical element within cells that help them perform vital functions. Foundry will be used to integrate data generated from experimental results and outcomes into a \"centralized knowledge repository\", enabling researchers with access to a key hub of resources needed to \"identify new compounds and therapeutic approaches\" for challenging disease.Merck: Palantir and Merck(OTCPK:MKGAF)(OTCPK:MKGAY) have introduced the Athinia, a Foundry-powered platform that uses AI to address ongoing supply chain challenges. Athinia will provide a centralized platform where chipmakers and material suppliers can \"share, aggregate and analyze data\". The joint initiative is expected to foster a higher level of supply chain transparency and drive greater operational efficiencies across the value chain.Kinder Morgan: Kinder Morgan(NYSE:KMI)will use Foundry combine data across its U.S.-based gas storage operations that are otherwise segregated. This will enable operators with access to a \"common operating picture\" of the company's consolidated information, ranging from supply to pricing, which will help to better inform their decision-making process.MSP Recovery: The leading Medicare, Medicaid, commercial and secondary payer reimbursement recovery firm will use Foundry to \"connect data both within and between organizations and help unlock connectivity on an unprecedented scale\". The resulting centralized data ecosystem is expected to help break down time and cost inefficiencies within the American healthcare system, and improve the level of care for patients while also ensuring better revenues for both MSP and healthcare providers.The common theme behind Palantir's recent commercial partnerships continues to be Foundry's ability to \"break down data silos\", contextualize information, and enable improved decision-making. This ability will become increasingly invaluable to companies in coming years with accelerated digital transformation. To date,only 4% of companies claim to have a \"highly sophisticated approach to leveraging data\". This leaves a sizable addressable market within the private sector in which Palantir could penetrate. And the company has already deployed various strategic offerings to ensure adequate capitalization of said opportunities ahead.As discussed in our previous coverage, the recent introduction of Foundry for Builders under a subscription-based model is expected to encourage mass market adoption of the software from both multinational corporations with complex data compilations and small Day One start-ups. The recent introduction of modular offerings like \"Carbon Emissions Management\" and \"Anti-Money Laundering / Know Your Client\" solutions will also appeal to the emerging crypto sector, exposing Palantir's commercial offerings to a broader market.Robust Government Demand Driven by Proven ResultsSigns of deceleration in Palantir's government segment revenues during the third quarter had raised alarms on the durability of its growth outlook. Government segment revenues during the third quarter grew by only 34% from the prior year, down from an average of 74% year-on-year growth observed in the three preceding quarters.But Palantir's government contract wins observed so far in the last quarter of the year shows that a rebound may be in order:Army Vantage Program: The U.S. Army has contracted Palantir in 2019 to power the \"Army Vantage\" data analytics platform. Palantir's software is used to \"break down data silos\" and create a centralized operating system where the U.S. Army can mobilize their data to make informed decisions in real-time. The contract was renewed for the second option year in mid-December for $116.3 million.Space System Command (\"SSC\"): The SSC's Cross-Mission Ground & Communications Enterprise (\"ECX\") has awarded Palantir a $43 million contract extension earlier this month. Under the extended arrangement, Palantir will continue to deploy its software to integrate and process data from various sources, and facilitate \"application delivery, in-depth analysis, and data-driven decision-making\" across the ECX and its partners.Capability Drop 2 (\"CD-2\") Program: Palantir announced an $823 million contract win with the U.S. Army's Program Manager for Intelligence Systems and Analytics in October. The Army Intelligence will be leveraging Palantir's Gotham platform to consolidate data from disparate databases, and create a \"data fabric and analytics foundation\" for the CD-2 program, which will be used to enable data modernization and analytic capabilities required for preparing against future threats to national security.National Institutes of Health (\"NIH\"): Palantir has been contracted by the NIH's National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (\"NCATS\") to continue the deployment of its solutions for enabling a central operating system used in collaborative clinical research on COVID-19. The two-year contract has an estimated value of $59.9 million, with an initial task order to be completed in five months valued at $7.9 million. The NCATS has also offered Palantir a separate one-year contract extension for the provision of its software to help facilitate cancer research at the National Cancer Institute. The extension has upped the total contract value from $36 million to $60 million.Data remains the strongest link in aligning U.S. foreign policy with the country's national security goals. This underscores why making sense of data, and using it to drive critical decision-making processes continue to be a top priority for the Defense Department, as well as other agencies within the public sector. The increasing urgency to reconnect the fragmented nature of databases set up across the public sector's sub-departments has been a common theme in Palantir's government contract wins in recent years, including the ones obtained during the fourth quarter as mentioned above. The growing number of contract extensions awarded to Palantir is also a testament to the effectiveness of its software in addressing complex challenges resulting from the government's disparate data sources.Time and again, Palantir has proven to government agencies that while taking advantage of data is a complex process, it has the technological capacity and resources to link and make sense of the vast troves of information without compromising on time and cost-efficiencies. Palantir's most recent new contract win with the U.S. Army for the CD-2 program as mentioned above also foreshadows greater opportunities ahead with the Defense Department. The agency has pivoted towards increasing collaborations with innovation-driven technology partners in recent years to modernize their current \"command and control\" architecture. Their goal to invest more heavily into new technologies like AI is also embedded in the proposed military budget for the coming year. This signals that a greater market of opportunities from the U.S. Department of Defense is coming Palantir's way. Paired with Palantir's proven technological competency in addressing said specific needs of the public sector as validated by recent contract renewals, the company's government segment is well-poised for additional growth ahead.Recap of Financial ProspectsAdjusting our previous forecast for actual third quarter results and recent developments to Palantir's growth outlook based on new contract adds observed in the fourth quarter, we are projecting total revenues of $1.5 billion by the end of the year. The top line is expected to further advance at a compounded annual growth rate (\"CAGR\") of about 16% towards $6.6 billion by 2030. The growth assumptions applied remain consistent with those discussed in our previous analysis, considering Palantir's business model and operating environment has not materially changed. Recent contract wins and renewals also support the viability of management's goal to grow Palantir's revenues by 30% every year for the next five years, indicating that the narrative surrounding its bullish thesis remains intact.Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.Specifically, government segment revenues are forecast at $896.2 million by the end of the year, representing growth of 41.8% from 2020. While deal flows are expected to remain strong within the foreseeable future considering Palantir's proven effectiveness in delivery solutions that can address data challenges within the public sector and increasing defense opportunities allocated towards software and innovative technology, the segment's growth is expected to ultimately normalize towards an average range of 28% to 30% over the next five years. Based on this consideration, our forecast projects government revenues to advance towards $2.5 billion by 2025 and $3.8 billion by 2030, representing growth at a 10-year CAGR of 15.6%.Meanwhile, commercial segment revenue growth is expected to remain robust in coming years. Palantir's continued roll-out of attractive purchase options and modular add-on offerings targeted at specific industry needs are expected to encourage further adoption of Foundry in the long-run. Paired with a growing base of contracted commercial segment revenues, which is currently valued at more than $2 billion with an average duration of four years, our forecast expects Palantir to realize related sales of $630.8 million by the end of the year. And in the coming years, commercial segment revenues are expected to further advance at a 10-year CAGR of 16.1% towards $2.8 billion by 2030, with the bulk of the growth frontloaded in the first half of the decade to reflect accelerating market demand for holistic data compilation and analytical tools like Foundry.Combined with Palantir's projected cost structure, which takes into consideration the highly scalable nature of its software offerings as discussed in our previous coverage, the company is expected to generate narrowing losses of $464.0 million to $117.5 million until 2024. Nominal profits of $141.1 million are projected for 2025, with further growth towards $1.5 billion by 2030.Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.i. Base Case Financial Forecast:Source: Author, with data from our internal financial forecast.ValuationSource: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.Drawing on the above analysis on Palantir's financial prospects, our 12-month price target is set at $25.45. This represents upside potential of close to 37% based on the last traded share price of $18.58 on December 28th.Our valuation analysis is derived from a discounted cash flow (\"DCF\") analysis over a five-year discrete period in conjunction with the base case financial projections for Palantir as discussed in earlier sections. A WACC of 9.3% is applied to discount Palantir's projected free cash flows over the forecasted period. The valuation assumption applied is consistent with the company's risk profile and capital structure, which is currently debt-free with an ability to generate robust cash flows into the long-run. The analysis also assumes an exit multiple of 110.8x, which is derived based on Palantir's size of operations, current growth initiatives and business outlook relative to its industry peers. This compares to an EV/ETBIDA range of 43.66x to 198.65x observed across guideline public companies within the same industry.i. Base Case Valuation Analysis:Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.We have also used a multiple-based valuation approach to validate our 12-month price target derived using the DCF approach. By applying a forward-looking price-to-sales multiple of 27.7x to projected revenues per share for the next 12 months, the Palantir stock is expected to trade at approximately $25.93, which is in line with our DCF analysis. The multiple is consistent with those observed across Palantir's industry peers, as well as market expectations on the company's near-term valuation based on its current operating environment, business developments and growth trajectory.ii. Price-to-Sales Multiple-Based Valuation:Source: Author, with data from our internal valuation analysis.ConclusionAccelerated digitization across enterprises of all sizes and industries, and an increasing urgency to mend the fragmented nature of databases across the public sector will continue to drive tremendous demand for holistic data compilation and analytics solutions like Foundry and Gotham in coming years. The technological effectiveness and scalability of Palantir's products also make them attractive solutions for handling increasingly complex data challenges. Looking ahead, Palantir remains well-poised to capitalize on significant growth opportunities presented by both the public and private sectors, which is expected to soon materialize into promising upsides for the 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13:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia's Bright Growth Outlook<blockquote>英伟达光明的增长前景</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184640882","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nThe top end of our fair value estimate range for Nvidia Corporation, derived through our di","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The top end of our fair value estimate range for Nvidia Corporation, derived through our discounted free cash flow analysis process, sits at $311 per share.</li>  <li>Several powerful secular growth tailwinds including the ongoing proliferation of e-commerce, cloud computing, AI, and autonomous driving operations underpin Nvidia's promising growth outlook.</li>  <li>Nvidia is a stellar free cash flow generator with a fortress-like balance sheet and balanced capital allocation priorities.</li>  <li>We think it is growing unlikely that Nvidia's planned purchase of Arm from SoftBank Group Corp will go through due to antitrust and other regulatory concerns seen around the world.</li>  <li>Nvidia's recent push into the CPU market on top of its dominant position in the GPU market further underpins why the firm's growth outlook appears so promising, in our view.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0d88c6fe83f28815faabe05002aaad5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>serg3d/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通过贴现自由现金流分析流程得出的Nvidia Corporation公允价值估计范围的上限为每股311美元。</li><li>包括电子商务、云计算、人工智能和自动驾驶业务的持续激增在内的几个强大的长期增长推动力支撑了英伟达充满希望的增长前景。</li><li>英伟达是一家出色的自由现金流产生者，拥有堡垒般的资产负债表和平衡的资本配置优先事项。</li><li>我们认为，由于全球范围内的反垄断和其他监管担忧，英伟达从软银集团公司收购Arm的计划越来越不可能实现。</li><li>我们认为，Nvidia最近在GPU市场占据主导地位的基础上进军CPU市场，这进一步证实了该公司增长前景如此光明的原因。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>serg3d/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As part of our investment analysis process, we perform a rigorous discounted cash-flow methodology that dives into the cash-flow-derived intrinsic worth of companies. This process is built around forecasting a firm's future free cash flows, discounting those future forecasted free cash flows at the appropriate rate, and then taking its balance sheet considerations (such as its net cash/debt position, and legal/environmental/pension liabilities) into account. In NVIDIA Corporation's (NVDA) case, the top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $311 per share, modestly above where shares of NVDA are trading at as of this writing. Please note that over the coming years, the top end ofNVIDIA's fair value estimate range could grow north of $410 per share, something we will cover in this article.</p><p><blockquote>作为我们投资分析流程的一部分，我们执行严格的贴现现金流方法，深入研究公司现金流衍生的内在价值。该流程围绕预测公司未来的自由现金流而构建，以适当的利率贴现这些未来预测的自由现金流，然后考虑其资产负债表考虑因素（例如净现金/债务状况以及法律/环境/养老金负债）。在NVIDIA Corporation(NVDA)的案例中，我们公允价值估计范围的上限为每股311美元，略高于撰写本文时NVDA股票的交易价格。请注意，未来几年，Nvidia公允价值估计范围的上限可能会增长到每股410美元以上，我们将在本文中讨论这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA is a computer graphics company. Its business is based on two technologies: the graphics processing units ('GPUs') and the&nbsp;Tegra&nbsp;system-on-a-chip ('SoC') offering. GPUs are the&nbsp;engine&nbsp;of visual computing. Tegra processors incorporate multi-core GPUs and central processing units ('CPUs') together with audio and video capabilities, and are used in smartphones, tablets, and luxury automobiles.NVIDIA was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Like many of its peers,NVIDIA relies on&nbsp;third-party foundries&nbsp;to produce the semiconductor components (or \"chips\") that it designs.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达是一家计算机图形公司。其业务基于两种技术：图形处理单元（“GPU”）和Tegra片上系统（“SoC”）产品。GPU是视觉计算的引擎。Tegra处理器将多核GPU和中央处理器（“CPU”）以及音频和视频功能结合在一起，用于智能手机、平板电脑和豪华汽车。NVIDIA成立于1993年，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉。与许多同行一样，英伟达依赖第三方代工厂来生产其设计的半导体组件（或“芯片”）。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming and data centers have been key sources of revenue growth forNVIDIA as demand for its core GPU offerings surged higher in the wake of the coronavirus ('COVID-19') pandemic. During the first three quarters of fiscal 2022 (period ended&nbsp;October 31, 2021),NVIDIA's GAAP revenues grew by 65% year-over-year while its GAAP operating income more than doubled during this period. This strong showing was largely made possible through the stellar performance of its 'Gaming' and 'Data Center' business segments.</p><p><blockquote>游戏和数据中心一直是英伟达收入增长的主要来源，因为在冠状病毒（“新冠肺炎”）大流行之后，对其核心GPU产品的需求激增。2022财年前三季度（截至2021年10月31日），英伟达的GAAP收入同比增长65%，而GAAP营业收入在此期间增长了一倍多。这一强劲表现在很大程度上得益于其“游戏”和“数据中心”业务部门的出色表现。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, management offered guidance for the fiscal fourth quarter in conjunction withNVIDIA's latest earnings update that indicated its strong financial performance is expected to continue going forward. Its high-end graphics rendering platform,NVIDIA RTX, is setting new standards in gaming technology.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，管理层结合英伟达最新的收益更新提供了第四财季的指引，表明其强劲的财务业绩预计将继续下去。其高端图形渲染平台NVIDIA RTX正在树立游戏技术的新标准。</blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA is also making&nbsp;inroads&nbsp;in the \"omniverse\" space, its preferred way to refer to the digital worlds that the \"metaverse\" aims to create. These are still early days, though we appreciate the effortNVIDIA's management team is making as it concerns identifying growth opportunities with long legs.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达也在进军“omniverse”领域，这是它指代“元宇宙”旨在创建的数字世界的首选方式。尽管我们赞赏英伟达管理团队在寻找长腿增长机会方面所做的努力，但现在仍处于早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> While its GPU offerings areNVIDIA's bread-and-butter, the company is working on rolling out a standalone CPU offering, the&nbsp;NVIDIA Grace CPU, which is geared towards data centers. This new offering was announced in April 2021 and is expected to be made available on a commercial basis in 2023. Please note both GPUs and CPUs are used in data centers, personal computers, and for a variety of other computing purposes. Expanding into the CPU market represents a massive growth opportunity forNVIDIA and this move is one of several reasons why we view the company's growth trajectory so favorably.</p><p><blockquote>虽然其GPU产品是Envidia的主要产品，但该公司正在努力推出一款独立的CPU产品，即面向数据中心的NVIDIA Grace CPU。这项新产品于2021年4月宣布，预计将于2023年投入商业使用。请注意，GPU和CPU都用于数据中心、个人计算机和各种其他计算目的。拓展CPU市场对Nvidia来说是一个巨大的增长机会，此举是我们如此看好该公司增长轨迹的几个原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> The forecasts for our enterprise cash flow model (which we will cover in this article) assumes double-digit annual revenue growth and meaningful margin expansion over the coming fiscal years. This forecast is underpinned byNVIDIA’s relentless focus on innovation, secular growth tailwinds, and its successes in the realm of gaming, data centers, autonomous driving,and AI. Should the firm stumble for any reason, its intrinsic value would face serious headwinds.</p><p><blockquote>我们的企业现金流模型（我们将在本文中介绍）的预测假设未来财年年收入将实现两位数的增长，利润率将大幅扩张。这一预测的基础是英伟达对创新、长期增长推动力及其在游戏、数据中心、自动驾驶和人工智能领域的成功。如果公司因任何原因陷入困境，其内在价值将面临严重的阻力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NVIDIA expects to be a significant player in autonomous driving. Hundreds of companies use its&nbsp;Drive AGX&nbsp;open computing platform, and the list includes many of the top names in next-gen car and truck manufacturing.NVIDIA tabs autonomous vehicles as a $60 billion&nbsp;opportunity&nbsp;by 2035.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达预计将成为自动驾驶领域的重要参与者。数百家公司使用其Drive AGX开放计算平台，其中包括下一代汽车和卡车制造领域的许多顶级公司。NVIDIA将自动驾驶汽车视为到2035年价值600亿美元的机遇。</blockquote></p><p> In April 2020,NVIDIA&nbsp;completed&nbsp;its ~$7 billion acquisition of Mellanox, bolstering its operations that cater to data centers.NVIDIA is in&nbsp;the process&nbsp;of acquiring Arm Limited (designer of semiconductor architecture) from SoftBank Group Corp (OTCPK:SFTBY) and SoftBank's Vision Fund in a transaction priced at ~$40 billion (with a ~$12 billion cash component), though antitrust hurdles&nbsp;remain&nbsp;and it is looking increasingly&nbsp;unlikely&nbsp;that the deal will go forward.</p><p><blockquote>2020年4月，NVIDIA完成了对Mellanox约70亿美元的收购，加强了其数据中心业务。NVIDIA正在从软银集团公司（OTCPK：SFTBY）和软银收购Arm Limited（半导体架构设计商）愿景基金的交易价格约为400亿美元（其中现金部分约为120亿美元），尽管反垄断障碍仍然存在，而且该交易似乎越来越不可能继续进行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Economic Profit Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>经济效益分析</b></blockquote></p><p> The best measure of a firm's ability to create value for shareholders is expressed by comparing its return on invested capital ['ROIC'] with its weighted average cost of capital ['WACC']. The gap or difference between ROIC and WACC is called the firm's economic profit spread.NVIDIA has historically been a stellar generator of shareholder value and we expect that this will continue being the case going forward.</p><p><blockquote>衡量公司为股东创造价值能力的最佳方法是将其投资资本回报率[“ROIC”]与其加权平均资本成本[“WACC”]进行比较。ROIC和WACC之间的差距或差异称为公司的经济利润利差。NVIDIA历来是股东价值的杰出创造者，我们预计未来这种情况将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA's 3-fiscal year&nbsp;historical return&nbsp;on invested capital (without goodwill) is 94.5%, which is above the estimate of its cost of capital of 9.8%. In the upcoming graphic down below, we show the probable path of its forecasted ROIC in the fiscal years ahead based on the estimated volatility of key drivers behind the measure. The solid grey line reflects the most likely outcome (our \"base\" case scenario), in our opinion, and represents the scenario that results in our fair value estimate. The blue dots represent our \"bull\" case scenario and the green dots represent our \"bear\" case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达3个财年的历史投资资本回报率（不含商誉）为94.5%，高于其资本成本9.8%的估计。在下图中，我们根据该指标背后关键驱动因素的估计波动性，显示了未来财年预测投资回报率的可能路径。灰色实线反映了我们认为最有可能的结果（我们的“基本”案例情景），并代表了导致我们公允价值估计的情景。蓝点代表我们的“牛市”情景，绿点代表我们的“熊市”情景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df45d00b608333d9732ab8afeaaba4a2\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"480\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: NVIDIA is a stellar generator of shareholder value as its forecasted ROIC, excluding goodwill, is expected to vastly exceed its estimated WACC over the coming fiscal years. Historically, NVIDIA's ROIC excluding goodwill has significantly outpaced its estimated WACC, indicating that in the past it has generated substantial shareholder value, but we are most interested in its future. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：英伟达是股东价值的杰出创造者，因为其预测的投资回报率（不包括商誉）预计将在未来财年大大超过其估计的WACC。从历史上看，英伟达不包括商誉的投资回报率大大超过了其估计的WACC，这表明它在过去创造了巨大的股东价值，但我们最感兴趣的是它的未来。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a76899e4ecec2cb399eb536f039a8d14\" tg-width=\"559\" tg-height=\"736\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: An overview of how we calculated NVIDIA's estimated WACC. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>所示图片：我们如何计算NVIDIA预计WACC的概述。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cash Flow Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现金流量分析</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA is a tremendous generator of free cash flow. From fiscal 2019-2021 (NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in late-January), the company generated ~$4.0 billion in annual free cash flow on average. In fiscal 2020 and fiscal 2021, asNVIDIA was building up cash to fund its aforementioned acquisition activities, the firm did not repurchase a meaningful amount of its stock. However, in fiscal 2019,NVIDIA repurchased $1.6 billion of its stock. The firm exited fiscal 2021 with $0.4 billion in run-rate dividend obligations.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达是自由现金流的巨大创造者。从2019-2021财年（英伟达的财年于1月下旬结束），该公司平均每年产生约40亿美元的自由现金流。在2020财年和2021财年，英伟达正在积累现金为上述收购活动提供资金，但该公司没有回购大量股票。然而，在2019财年，英伟达回购了16亿美元的股票。该公司在2021财年结束时有4亿美元的运行率股息义务。</blockquote></p><p> Its stellar free cash flow performance continued into fiscal 2022. During the first three quarters of the current fiscal year,NVIDIA generated $5.4 billion in free cash flow while spending $0.3 billion covering its dividend obligations. The firm continued to hold off on share buybacks during this period. At the end of October 2021,NVIDIA had a net cash position of $8.4 billion with no short-term debt on the books. We are huge fans ofNVIDIA's pristine balance sheet and balanced approached to capital allocation decisions.</p><p><blockquote>其出色的自由现金流表现持续到2022财年。在本财年的前三个季度，英伟达产生了54亿美元的自由现金流，同时花费了3亿美元来支付其股息义务。在此期间，该公司继续推迟股票回购。截至2021年10月底，英伟达的净现金头寸为84亿美元，账面上没有短期债务。我们非常喜欢英伟达原始的资产负债表和平衡的资本配置决策方法。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a33e177ba3b8979c4701cd8c7017c0f6\" tg-width=\"561\" tg-height=\"483\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: NVIDIA has historically been a tremendous generator of free cash flow, and we forecast that will continue being the case going forward. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：英伟达历来是自由现金流的巨大创造者，我们预测未来这种情况将继续下去。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值分析</b></blockquote></p><p> We thinkNVIDIA is worth $247 per share (under our base case scenario) with a fair value range of $183-$311 per share (the lower rung of our fair value estimate represents our bear case scenario and the upper rung represents our bull case scenario). The near-term operating forecasts we used in our enterprise cash flow models, including revenue and earnings forecasts, do not differ much from consensus estimates or management guidance.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为Nvidia的每股价值为247美元（在我们的基本情景下），公允价值范围为每股183美元至311美元（我们公允价值估计的下限代表我们的熊市情景，上限代表我们的牛市情景）。我们在企业现金流模型中使用的近期运营预测，包括收入和盈利预测，与共识估计或管理层指导没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Our discounted cash flow models reflect a compound annual revenue growth rate of 24.7% during the next five full fiscal years, a pace that is higher than the firm's 3-fiscal year historical compound annual growth rate of 19.7%. Our models reflects a 5-fiscal year projected average operating margin of 49.2%, which is aboveNVIDIA's trailing 3-fiscal year average (in fiscal 2021,NVIDIA's GAAP operating margin stood at 43.6%).</p><p><blockquote>我们的贴现现金流模型反映了未来五个完整财年的复合年收入增长率为24.7%，高于该公司3个财年19.7%的历史复合年增长率。我们的模型反映了5个财年的预计平均营业利润率为49.2%，高于Vidia过去3个财年的平均水平（2021财年，NVIDIA的GAAP营业利润率为43.6%）。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond Year 5 (five full fiscal years from the end ofNVIDIA's latest fiscal year), we assume free cash flow will grow at an annual rate of 10.9% for the next 15 fiscal years and 3% in perpetuity. ForNVIDIA, we use a 9.8% weighted average cost of capital to discount future free cash flows. The coming graphic down below highlights the key valuation assumptions used in our base case scenario covering&nbsp;NVIDIA.</p><p><blockquote>超过第5年（从NVIDIA最新财年结束起的五个完整财年），我们假设自由现金流在未来15财年将以10.9%的年增长率增长，并永久增长3%。对于英伟达，我们使用9.8%的加权平均资本成本来贴现未来自由现金流。下图重点介绍了我们涵盖NVIDIA的基本案例中使用的关键估值假设。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ec17bc624989924f5e557d74e07b7f2\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: An overview of the key valuation assumptions used in our cash flow model covering NVIDIA under our base case scenario. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：在我们的基本情景下，我们涵盖NVIDIA的现金流模型中使用的关键估值假设概述。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48f53155ec22cc97ef62fe0239d5930\" tg-width=\"548\" tg-height=\"505\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: NVIDIA's long growth tail underpins why most of the intrinsic value of its equity comes from its forecasted free cash flows, discounted at the appropriate rate, during the Year 6+ period into perpetuity. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：NVIDIA的长增长尾支撑了为什么其股权的大部分内在价值来自其预测的自由现金流，并在6年以上的时间内以适当的利率贴现。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Please note thatNVIDIA could exceed the key valuation assumptions within our base case scenario. For instance, its revenue might grow at a faster pace than our cash flow model is assuming asNVIDIA pushes into the CPU space while powerful secular growth tailwinds underpin demand for its semiconductor offerings. Additionally,NVIDIA's operating margins could expand at a more robust pace than our cash flow models are assuming if the uplift from economies of scale and its immense pricing power outperforms.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，英伟达可能会超出我们基本情景中的关键估值假设。例如，其收入增长速度可能比我们的现金流模型假设的要快，因为英伟达进军CPU领域，而强大的长期增长推动力支撑了对其半导体产品的需求。此外，如果规模经济及其巨大定价能力的提升表现出色，英伟达的营业利润率可能会以比我们的现金流模型假设的更强劲的速度扩张。</blockquote></p><p> With this in mind, we like to provide a range of potential outcomes that take into the chance for a firm to outperform or underperform the key valuation assumptions used in our cash flow models. ShouldNVIDIA outperform, the top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $311 per share.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，我们希望提供一系列潜在结果，以考虑公司表现优于或低于我们现金流模型中使用的关键估值假设的机会。如果英伟达跑赢大盘，我们的公允价值估计范围的上限为每股311美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a77a92954fa4327f4f5d246ee8a84a8\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"331\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: At the top end of our fair value estimate range, NVIDIA has an intrinsic value of $311 per share. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：在我们公允价值估计范围的上限，NVIDIA的内在价值为每股311美元。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Future Path of Fair Value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公允价值的未来路径</b></blockquote></p><p> As time passes, companies generate cash flow and pay out cash to shareholders in the form of dividends. The upcoming graphic down below compares the firm's recent share price with the path ofNVIDIA's expected equity value per share over the next three fiscal years, assuming our long-term projections prove accurate. The range between the resulting downside fair value and upside fair value in Year 3 represents our best estimate of the value of the firm's shares three full fiscal years hence.</p><p><blockquote>久而久之，公司会产生现金流，并以股息的形式向股东支付现金。下图将该公司最近的股价与英伟达未来三个财年每股预期股权价值的路径进行了比较，假设我们的长期预测被证明是准确的。第三年产生的下行公允价值和上行公允价值之间的范围代表了我们对三个完整财年后公司股票价值的最佳估计。</blockquote></p><p> This range of potential outcomes is also subject to change over time, should our views on the firm's future cash flow potential change. The expected fair value of $327 per share in Year 3 represents our existing fair value per share of $247 increased at an annual rate of the firm's cost of equity less its dividend yield. The upside and downside ranges are derived in the same way, but from the upper and lower bounds of our fair value estimate range. ShouldNVIDIA outperform, its fair value estimate could grow to over $410 by Year 3.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们对公司未来现金流潜力的看法发生变化，这一系列潜在结果也会随着时间的推移而发生变化。第三年每股327美元的预期公允价值代表我们现有的每股公允价值247美元，按公司股本成本减去股息收益率的年率增长。上行和下行范围以相同的方式得出，但来自我们公允价值估计范围的上限和下限。如果Nvidia表现优于大盘，其公允价值估计可能会在第三年增长至410美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bb37f5bbe479c8ce940639d804694f3\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"414\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: We forecast that NVIDIA's fair value estimate will grow significantly over the coming fiscal years. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：我们预测英伟达的公允价值估计将在未来几个财年大幅增长。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Concluding Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结束语</b></blockquote></p><p> ThoughNVIDIA's planned acquisition of Arm will probably not go through due to growing and sizable antitrust concerns,NVIDIA's growth outlook is still quite bright.NVIDIA has a fortress-like balance sheet, stellar free cash flow generating abilities, and has been growing like a weed in recent fiscal years. Powerful secular growth tailwinds, such as the proliferation of e-commerce, cloud computing, AI, and autonomous driving offerings all underpinNVIDIA's bright long-term growth outlook. Shares of NVDA yield a negligible amount as of this writing as management prefers to invest in the business and build up cash on hand to fund acquisition activities. Virtually all ofNVIDIA's upside comes from its capital appreciation potential.</p><p><blockquote>尽管由于日益严重的反垄断担忧，英伟达对Arm的收购计划可能不会通过，但英伟达的增长前景仍然相当光明。英伟达拥有堡垒般的资产负债表、出色的自由现金流产生能力，并且在最近的财政年度。强大的长期增长推动力，例如电子商务、云计算、人工智能和自动驾驶产品的激增，都支撑着英伟达光明的长期增长前景。截至撰写本文时，NVDA股票的收益可以忽略不计，因为管理层更愿意投资该业务并积累手头现金来为收购活动提供资金。英伟达几乎所有的上涨空间都来自于其资本增值潜力。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia's Bright Growth Outlook<blockquote>英伟达光明的增长前景</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia's Bright Growth Outlook<blockquote>英伟达光明的增长前景</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-23 13:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The top end of our fair value estimate range for Nvidia Corporation, derived through our discounted free cash flow analysis process, sits at $311 per share.</li>  <li>Several powerful secular growth tailwinds including the ongoing proliferation of e-commerce, cloud computing, AI, and autonomous driving operations underpin Nvidia's promising growth outlook.</li>  <li>Nvidia is a stellar free cash flow generator with a fortress-like balance sheet and balanced capital allocation priorities.</li>  <li>We think it is growing unlikely that Nvidia's planned purchase of Arm from SoftBank Group Corp will go through due to antitrust and other regulatory concerns seen around the world.</li>  <li>Nvidia's recent push into the CPU market on top of its dominant position in the GPU market further underpins why the firm's growth outlook appears so promising, in our view.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0d88c6fe83f28815faabe05002aaad5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>serg3d/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>通过贴现自由现金流分析流程得出的Nvidia Corporation公允价值估计范围的上限为每股311美元。</li><li>包括电子商务、云计算、人工智能和自动驾驶业务的持续激增在内的几个强大的长期增长推动力支撑了英伟达充满希望的增长前景。</li><li>英伟达是一家出色的自由现金流产生者，拥有堡垒般的资产负债表和平衡的资本配置优先事项。</li><li>我们认为，由于全球范围内的反垄断和其他监管担忧，英伟达从软银集团公司收购Arm的计划越来越不可能实现。</li><li>我们认为，Nvidia最近在GPU市场占据主导地位的基础上进军CPU市场，这进一步证实了该公司增长前景如此光明的原因。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>serg3d/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As part of our investment analysis process, we perform a rigorous discounted cash-flow methodology that dives into the cash-flow-derived intrinsic worth of companies. This process is built around forecasting a firm's future free cash flows, discounting those future forecasted free cash flows at the appropriate rate, and then taking its balance sheet considerations (such as its net cash/debt position, and legal/environmental/pension liabilities) into account. In NVIDIA Corporation's (NVDA) case, the top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $311 per share, modestly above where shares of NVDA are trading at as of this writing. Please note that over the coming years, the top end ofNVIDIA's fair value estimate range could grow north of $410 per share, something we will cover in this article.</p><p><blockquote>作为我们投资分析流程的一部分，我们执行严格的贴现现金流方法，深入研究公司现金流衍生的内在价值。该流程围绕预测公司未来的自由现金流而构建，以适当的利率贴现这些未来预测的自由现金流，然后考虑其资产负债表考虑因素（例如净现金/债务状况以及法律/环境/养老金负债）。在NVIDIA Corporation(NVDA)的案例中，我们公允价值估计范围的上限为每股311美元，略高于撰写本文时NVDA股票的交易价格。请注意，未来几年，Nvidia公允价值估计范围的上限可能会增长到每股410美元以上，我们将在本文中讨论这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA is a computer graphics company. Its business is based on two technologies: the graphics processing units ('GPUs') and the&nbsp;Tegra&nbsp;system-on-a-chip ('SoC') offering. GPUs are the&nbsp;engine&nbsp;of visual computing. Tegra processors incorporate multi-core GPUs and central processing units ('CPUs') together with audio and video capabilities, and are used in smartphones, tablets, and luxury automobiles.NVIDIA was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Like many of its peers,NVIDIA relies on&nbsp;third-party foundries&nbsp;to produce the semiconductor components (or \"chips\") that it designs.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达是一家计算机图形公司。其业务基于两种技术：图形处理单元（“GPU”）和Tegra片上系统（“SoC”）产品。GPU是视觉计算的引擎。Tegra处理器将多核GPU和中央处理器（“CPU”）以及音频和视频功能结合在一起，用于智能手机、平板电脑和豪华汽车。NVIDIA成立于1993年，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉。与许多同行一样，英伟达依赖第三方代工厂来生产其设计的半导体组件（或“芯片”）。</blockquote></p><p> Gaming and data centers have been key sources of revenue growth forNVIDIA as demand for its core GPU offerings surged higher in the wake of the coronavirus ('COVID-19') pandemic. During the first three quarters of fiscal 2022 (period ended&nbsp;October 31, 2021),NVIDIA's GAAP revenues grew by 65% year-over-year while its GAAP operating income more than doubled during this period. This strong showing was largely made possible through the stellar performance of its 'Gaming' and 'Data Center' business segments.</p><p><blockquote>游戏和数据中心一直是英伟达收入增长的主要来源，因为在冠状病毒（“新冠肺炎”）大流行之后，对其核心GPU产品的需求激增。2022财年前三季度（截至2021年10月31日），英伟达的GAAP收入同比增长65%，而GAAP营业收入在此期间增长了一倍多。这一强劲表现在很大程度上得益于其“游戏”和“数据中心”业务部门的出色表现。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, management offered guidance for the fiscal fourth quarter in conjunction withNVIDIA's latest earnings update that indicated its strong financial performance is expected to continue going forward. Its high-end graphics rendering platform,NVIDIA RTX, is setting new standards in gaming technology.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，管理层结合英伟达最新的收益更新提供了第四财季的指引，表明其强劲的财务业绩预计将继续下去。其高端图形渲染平台NVIDIA RTX正在树立游戏技术的新标准。</blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA is also making&nbsp;inroads&nbsp;in the \"omniverse\" space, its preferred way to refer to the digital worlds that the \"metaverse\" aims to create. These are still early days, though we appreciate the effortNVIDIA's management team is making as it concerns identifying growth opportunities with long legs.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达也在进军“omniverse”领域，这是它指代“元宇宙”旨在创建的数字世界的首选方式。尽管我们赞赏英伟达管理团队在寻找长腿增长机会方面所做的努力，但现在仍处于早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> While its GPU offerings areNVIDIA's bread-and-butter, the company is working on rolling out a standalone CPU offering, the&nbsp;NVIDIA Grace CPU, which is geared towards data centers. This new offering was announced in April 2021 and is expected to be made available on a commercial basis in 2023. Please note both GPUs and CPUs are used in data centers, personal computers, and for a variety of other computing purposes. Expanding into the CPU market represents a massive growth opportunity forNVIDIA and this move is one of several reasons why we view the company's growth trajectory so favorably.</p><p><blockquote>虽然其GPU产品是Envidia的主要产品，但该公司正在努力推出一款独立的CPU产品，即面向数据中心的NVIDIA Grace CPU。这项新产品于2021年4月宣布，预计将于2023年投入商业使用。请注意，GPU和CPU都用于数据中心、个人计算机和各种其他计算目的。拓展CPU市场对Nvidia来说是一个巨大的增长机会，此举是我们如此看好该公司增长轨迹的几个原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> The forecasts for our enterprise cash flow model (which we will cover in this article) assumes double-digit annual revenue growth and meaningful margin expansion over the coming fiscal years. This forecast is underpinned byNVIDIA’s relentless focus on innovation, secular growth tailwinds, and its successes in the realm of gaming, data centers, autonomous driving,and AI. Should the firm stumble for any reason, its intrinsic value would face serious headwinds.</p><p><blockquote>我们的企业现金流模型（我们将在本文中介绍）的预测假设未来财年年收入将实现两位数的增长，利润率将大幅扩张。这一预测的基础是英伟达对创新、长期增长推动力及其在游戏、数据中心、自动驾驶和人工智能领域的成功。如果公司因任何原因陷入困境，其内在价值将面临严重的阻力。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> NVIDIA expects to be a significant player in autonomous driving. Hundreds of companies use its&nbsp;Drive AGX&nbsp;open computing platform, and the list includes many of the top names in next-gen car and truck manufacturing.NVIDIA tabs autonomous vehicles as a $60 billion&nbsp;opportunity&nbsp;by 2035.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达预计将成为自动驾驶领域的重要参与者。数百家公司使用其Drive AGX开放计算平台，其中包括下一代汽车和卡车制造领域的许多顶级公司。NVIDIA将自动驾驶汽车视为到2035年价值600亿美元的机遇。</blockquote></p><p> In April 2020,NVIDIA&nbsp;completed&nbsp;its ~$7 billion acquisition of Mellanox, bolstering its operations that cater to data centers.NVIDIA is in&nbsp;the process&nbsp;of acquiring Arm Limited (designer of semiconductor architecture) from SoftBank Group Corp (OTCPK:SFTBY) and SoftBank's Vision Fund in a transaction priced at ~$40 billion (with a ~$12 billion cash component), though antitrust hurdles&nbsp;remain&nbsp;and it is looking increasingly&nbsp;unlikely&nbsp;that the deal will go forward.</p><p><blockquote>2020年4月，NVIDIA完成了对Mellanox约70亿美元的收购，加强了其数据中心业务。NVIDIA正在从软银集团公司（OTCPK：SFTBY）和软银收购Arm Limited（半导体架构设计商）愿景基金的交易价格约为400亿美元（其中现金部分约为120亿美元），尽管反垄断障碍仍然存在，而且该交易似乎越来越不可能继续进行。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Economic Profit Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>经济效益分析</b></blockquote></p><p> The best measure of a firm's ability to create value for shareholders is expressed by comparing its return on invested capital ['ROIC'] with its weighted average cost of capital ['WACC']. The gap or difference between ROIC and WACC is called the firm's economic profit spread.NVIDIA has historically been a stellar generator of shareholder value and we expect that this will continue being the case going forward.</p><p><blockquote>衡量公司为股东创造价值能力的最佳方法是将其投资资本回报率[“ROIC”]与其加权平均资本成本[“WACC”]进行比较。ROIC和WACC之间的差距或差异称为公司的经济利润利差。NVIDIA历来是股东价值的杰出创造者，我们预计未来这种情况将继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA's 3-fiscal year&nbsp;historical return&nbsp;on invested capital (without goodwill) is 94.5%, which is above the estimate of its cost of capital of 9.8%. In the upcoming graphic down below, we show the probable path of its forecasted ROIC in the fiscal years ahead based on the estimated volatility of key drivers behind the measure. The solid grey line reflects the most likely outcome (our \"base\" case scenario), in our opinion, and represents the scenario that results in our fair value estimate. The blue dots represent our \"bull\" case scenario and the green dots represent our \"bear\" case scenario.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达3个财年的历史投资资本回报率（不含商誉）为94.5%，高于其资本成本9.8%的估计。在下图中，我们根据该指标背后关键驱动因素的估计波动性，显示了未来财年预测投资回报率的可能路径。灰色实线反映了我们认为最有可能的结果（我们的“基本”案例情景），并代表了导致我们公允价值估计的情景。蓝点代表我们的“牛市”情景，绿点代表我们的“熊市”情景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df45d00b608333d9732ab8afeaaba4a2\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"480\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: NVIDIA is a stellar generator of shareholder value as its forecasted ROIC, excluding goodwill, is expected to vastly exceed its estimated WACC over the coming fiscal years. Historically, NVIDIA's ROIC excluding goodwill has significantly outpaced its estimated WACC, indicating that in the past it has generated substantial shareholder value, but we are most interested in its future. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：英伟达是股东价值的杰出创造者，因为其预测的投资回报率（不包括商誉）预计将在未来财年大大超过其估计的WACC。从历史上看，英伟达不包括商誉的投资回报率大大超过了其估计的WACC，这表明它在过去创造了巨大的股东价值，但我们最感兴趣的是它的未来。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a76899e4ecec2cb399eb536f039a8d14\" tg-width=\"559\" tg-height=\"736\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: An overview of how we calculated NVIDIA's estimated WACC. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>所示图片：我们如何计算NVIDIA预计WACC的概述。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cash Flow Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现金流量分析</b></blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA is a tremendous generator of free cash flow. From fiscal 2019-2021 (NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in late-January), the company generated ~$4.0 billion in annual free cash flow on average. In fiscal 2020 and fiscal 2021, asNVIDIA was building up cash to fund its aforementioned acquisition activities, the firm did not repurchase a meaningful amount of its stock. However, in fiscal 2019,NVIDIA repurchased $1.6 billion of its stock. The firm exited fiscal 2021 with $0.4 billion in run-rate dividend obligations.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达是自由现金流的巨大创造者。从2019-2021财年（英伟达的财年于1月下旬结束），该公司平均每年产生约40亿美元的自由现金流。在2020财年和2021财年，英伟达正在积累现金为上述收购活动提供资金，但该公司没有回购大量股票。然而，在2019财年，英伟达回购了16亿美元的股票。该公司在2021财年结束时有4亿美元的运行率股息义务。</blockquote></p><p> Its stellar free cash flow performance continued into fiscal 2022. During the first three quarters of the current fiscal year,NVIDIA generated $5.4 billion in free cash flow while spending $0.3 billion covering its dividend obligations. The firm continued to hold off on share buybacks during this period. At the end of October 2021,NVIDIA had a net cash position of $8.4 billion with no short-term debt on the books. We are huge fans ofNVIDIA's pristine balance sheet and balanced approached to capital allocation decisions.</p><p><blockquote>其出色的自由现金流表现持续到2022财年。在本财年的前三个季度，英伟达产生了54亿美元的自由现金流，同时花费了3亿美元来支付其股息义务。在此期间，该公司继续推迟股票回购。截至2021年10月底，英伟达的净现金头寸为84亿美元，账面上没有短期债务。我们非常喜欢英伟达原始的资产负债表和平衡的资本配置决策方法。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a33e177ba3b8979c4701cd8c7017c0f6\" tg-width=\"561\" tg-height=\"483\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: NVIDIA has historically been a tremendous generator of free cash flow, and we forecast that will continue being the case going forward. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：英伟达历来是自由现金流的巨大创造者，我们预测未来这种情况将继续下去。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值分析</b></blockquote></p><p> We thinkNVIDIA is worth $247 per share (under our base case scenario) with a fair value range of $183-$311 per share (the lower rung of our fair value estimate represents our bear case scenario and the upper rung represents our bull case scenario). The near-term operating forecasts we used in our enterprise cash flow models, including revenue and earnings forecasts, do not differ much from consensus estimates or management guidance.</p><p><blockquote>我们认为Nvidia的每股价值为247美元（在我们的基本情景下），公允价值范围为每股183美元至311美元（我们公允价值估计的下限代表我们的熊市情景，上限代表我们的牛市情景）。我们在企业现金流模型中使用的近期运营预测，包括收入和盈利预测，与共识估计或管理层指导没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Our discounted cash flow models reflect a compound annual revenue growth rate of 24.7% during the next five full fiscal years, a pace that is higher than the firm's 3-fiscal year historical compound annual growth rate of 19.7%. Our models reflects a 5-fiscal year projected average operating margin of 49.2%, which is aboveNVIDIA's trailing 3-fiscal year average (in fiscal 2021,NVIDIA's GAAP operating margin stood at 43.6%).</p><p><blockquote>我们的贴现现金流模型反映了未来五个完整财年的复合年收入增长率为24.7%，高于该公司3个财年19.7%的历史复合年增长率。我们的模型反映了5个财年的预计平均营业利润率为49.2%，高于Vidia过去3个财年的平均水平（2021财年，NVIDIA的GAAP营业利润率为43.6%）。</blockquote></p><p> Beyond Year 5 (five full fiscal years from the end ofNVIDIA's latest fiscal year), we assume free cash flow will grow at an annual rate of 10.9% for the next 15 fiscal years and 3% in perpetuity. ForNVIDIA, we use a 9.8% weighted average cost of capital to discount future free cash flows. The coming graphic down below highlights the key valuation assumptions used in our base case scenario covering&nbsp;NVIDIA.</p><p><blockquote>超过第5年（从NVIDIA最新财年结束起的五个完整财年），我们假设自由现金流在未来15财年将以10.9%的年增长率增长，并永久增长3%。对于英伟达，我们使用9.8%的加权平均资本成本来贴现未来自由现金流。下图重点介绍了我们涵盖NVIDIA的基本案例中使用的关键估值假设。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ec17bc624989924f5e557d74e07b7f2\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: An overview of the key valuation assumptions used in our cash flow model covering NVIDIA under our base case scenario. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：在我们的基本情景下，我们涵盖NVIDIA的现金流模型中使用的关键估值假设概述。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48f53155ec22cc97ef62fe0239d5930\" tg-width=\"548\" tg-height=\"505\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: NVIDIA's long growth tail underpins why most of the intrinsic value of its equity comes from its forecasted free cash flows, discounted at the appropriate rate, during the Year 6+ period into perpetuity. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：NVIDIA的长增长尾支撑了为什么其股权的大部分内在价值来自其预测的自由现金流，并在6年以上的时间内以适当的利率贴现。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Please note thatNVIDIA could exceed the key valuation assumptions within our base case scenario. For instance, its revenue might grow at a faster pace than our cash flow model is assuming asNVIDIA pushes into the CPU space while powerful secular growth tailwinds underpin demand for its semiconductor offerings. Additionally,NVIDIA's operating margins could expand at a more robust pace than our cash flow models are assuming if the uplift from economies of scale and its immense pricing power outperforms.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，英伟达可能会超出我们基本情景中的关键估值假设。例如，其收入增长速度可能比我们的现金流模型假设的要快，因为英伟达进军CPU领域，而强大的长期增长推动力支撑了对其半导体产品的需求。此外，如果规模经济及其巨大定价能力的提升表现出色，英伟达的营业利润率可能会以比我们的现金流模型假设的更强劲的速度扩张。</blockquote></p><p> With this in mind, we like to provide a range of potential outcomes that take into the chance for a firm to outperform or underperform the key valuation assumptions used in our cash flow models. ShouldNVIDIA outperform, the top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $311 per share.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到这一点，我们希望提供一系列潜在结果，以考虑公司表现优于或低于我们现金流模型中使用的关键估值假设的机会。如果英伟达跑赢大盘，我们的公允价值估计范围的上限为每股311美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a77a92954fa4327f4f5d246ee8a84a8\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"331\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: At the top end of our fair value estimate range, NVIDIA has an intrinsic value of $311 per share. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：在我们公允价值估计范围的上限，NVIDIA的内在价值为每股311美元。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Future Path of Fair Value</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公允价值的未来路径</b></blockquote></p><p> As time passes, companies generate cash flow and pay out cash to shareholders in the form of dividends. The upcoming graphic down below compares the firm's recent share price with the path ofNVIDIA's expected equity value per share over the next three fiscal years, assuming our long-term projections prove accurate. The range between the resulting downside fair value and upside fair value in Year 3 represents our best estimate of the value of the firm's shares three full fiscal years hence.</p><p><blockquote>久而久之，公司会产生现金流，并以股息的形式向股东支付现金。下图将该公司最近的股价与英伟达未来三个财年每股预期股权价值的路径进行了比较，假设我们的长期预测被证明是准确的。第三年产生的下行公允价值和上行公允价值之间的范围代表了我们对三个完整财年后公司股票价值的最佳估计。</blockquote></p><p> This range of potential outcomes is also subject to change over time, should our views on the firm's future cash flow potential change. The expected fair value of $327 per share in Year 3 represents our existing fair value per share of $247 increased at an annual rate of the firm's cost of equity less its dividend yield. The upside and downside ranges are derived in the same way, but from the upper and lower bounds of our fair value estimate range. ShouldNVIDIA outperform, its fair value estimate could grow to over $410 by Year 3.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们对公司未来现金流潜力的看法发生变化，这一系列潜在结果也会随着时间的推移而发生变化。第三年每股327美元的预期公允价值代表我们现有的每股公允价值247美元，按公司股本成本减去股息收益率的年率增长。上行和下行范围以相同的方式得出，但来自我们公允价值估计范围的上限和下限。如果Nvidia表现优于大盘，其公允价值估计可能会在第三年增长至410美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7bb37f5bbe479c8ce940639d804694f3\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"414\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image Shown: We forecast that NVIDIA's fair value estimate will grow significantly over the coming fiscal years. Image Source: Valuentum</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>如图所示：我们预测英伟达的公允价值估计将在未来几个财年大幅增长。图片来源：Valuentum</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Concluding Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结束语</b></blockquote></p><p> ThoughNVIDIA's planned acquisition of Arm will probably not go through due to growing and sizable antitrust concerns,NVIDIA's growth outlook is still quite bright.NVIDIA has a fortress-like balance sheet, stellar free cash flow generating abilities, and has been growing like a weed in recent fiscal years. Powerful secular growth tailwinds, such as the proliferation of e-commerce, cloud computing, AI, and autonomous driving offerings all underpinNVIDIA's bright long-term growth outlook. Shares of NVDA yield a negligible amount as of this writing as management prefers to invest in the business and build up cash on hand to fund acquisition activities. Virtually all ofNVIDIA's upside comes from its capital appreciation potential.</p><p><blockquote>尽管由于日益严重的反垄断担忧，英伟达对Arm的收购计划可能不会通过，但英伟达的增长前景仍然相当光明。英伟达拥有堡垒般的资产负债表、出色的自由现金流产生能力，并且在最近的财政年度。强大的长期增长推动力，例如电子商务、云计算、人工智能和自动驾驶产品的激增，都支撑着英伟达光明的长期增长前景。截至撰写本文时，NVDA股票的收益可以忽略不计，因为管理层更愿意投资该业务并积累手头现金来为收购活动提供资金。英伟达几乎所有的上涨空间都来自于其资本增值潜力。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476513-nvidia-nvda-stock-bright-growth-outlook\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4476513-nvidia-nvda-stock-bright-growth-outlook","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184640882","content_text":"Summary\n\nThe top end of our fair value estimate range for Nvidia Corporation, derived through our discounted free cash flow analysis process, sits at $311 per share.\nSeveral powerful secular growth tailwinds including the ongoing proliferation of e-commerce, cloud computing, AI, and autonomous driving operations underpin Nvidia's promising growth outlook.\nNvidia is a stellar free cash flow generator with a fortress-like balance sheet and balanced capital allocation priorities.\nWe think it is growing unlikely that Nvidia's planned purchase of Arm from SoftBank Group Corp will go through due to antitrust and other regulatory concerns seen around the world.\nNvidia's recent push into the CPU market on top of its dominant position in the GPU market further underpins why the firm's growth outlook appears so promising, in our view.\n\nserg3d/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nAs part of our investment analysis process, we perform a rigorous discounted cash-flow methodology that dives into the cash-flow-derived intrinsic worth of companies. This process is built around forecasting a firm's future free cash flows, discounting those future forecasted free cash flows at the appropriate rate, and then taking its balance sheet considerations (such as its net cash/debt position, and legal/environmental/pension liabilities) into account. In NVIDIA Corporation's (NVDA) case, the top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $311 per share, modestly above where shares of NVDA are trading at as of this writing. Please note that over the coming years, the top end ofNVIDIA's fair value estimate range could grow north of $410 per share, something we will cover in this article.\nInvestment Highlights\nNVIDIA is a computer graphics company. Its business is based on two technologies: the graphics processing units ('GPUs') and the Tegra system-on-a-chip ('SoC') offering. GPUs are the engine of visual computing. Tegra processors incorporate multi-core GPUs and central processing units ('CPUs') together with audio and video capabilities, and are used in smartphones, tablets, and luxury automobiles.NVIDIA was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Like many of its peers,NVIDIA relies on third-party foundries to produce the semiconductor components (or \"chips\") that it designs.\nGaming and data centers have been key sources of revenue growth forNVIDIA as demand for its core GPU offerings surged higher in the wake of the coronavirus ('COVID-19') pandemic. During the first three quarters of fiscal 2022 (period ended October 31, 2021),NVIDIA's GAAP revenues grew by 65% year-over-year while its GAAP operating income more than doubled during this period. This strong showing was largely made possible through the stellar performance of its 'Gaming' and 'Data Center' business segments.\nLooking ahead, management offered guidance for the fiscal fourth quarter in conjunction withNVIDIA's latest earnings update that indicated its strong financial performance is expected to continue going forward. Its high-end graphics rendering platform,NVIDIA RTX, is setting new standards in gaming technology.\nNVIDIA is also making inroads in the \"omniverse\" space, its preferred way to refer to the digital worlds that the \"metaverse\" aims to create. These are still early days, though we appreciate the effortNVIDIA's management team is making as it concerns identifying growth opportunities with long legs.\nWhile its GPU offerings areNVIDIA's bread-and-butter, the company is working on rolling out a standalone CPU offering, the NVIDIA Grace CPU, which is geared towards data centers. This new offering was announced in April 2021 and is expected to be made available on a commercial basis in 2023. Please note both GPUs and CPUs are used in data centers, personal computers, and for a variety of other computing purposes. Expanding into the CPU market represents a massive growth opportunity forNVIDIA and this move is one of several reasons why we view the company's growth trajectory so favorably.\nThe forecasts for our enterprise cash flow model (which we will cover in this article) assumes double-digit annual revenue growth and meaningful margin expansion over the coming fiscal years. This forecast is underpinned byNVIDIA’s relentless focus on innovation, secular growth tailwinds, and its successes in the realm of gaming, data centers, autonomous driving,and AI. Should the firm stumble for any reason, its intrinsic value would face serious headwinds.\nNVIDIA expects to be a significant player in autonomous driving. Hundreds of companies use its Drive AGX open computing platform, and the list includes many of the top names in next-gen car and truck manufacturing.NVIDIA tabs autonomous vehicles as a $60 billion opportunity by 2035.\nIn April 2020,NVIDIA completed its ~$7 billion acquisition of Mellanox, bolstering its operations that cater to data centers.NVIDIA is in the process of acquiring Arm Limited (designer of semiconductor architecture) from SoftBank Group Corp (OTCPK:SFTBY) and SoftBank's Vision Fund in a transaction priced at ~$40 billion (with a ~$12 billion cash component), though antitrust hurdles remain and it is looking increasingly unlikely that the deal will go forward.\nEconomic Profit Analysis\nThe best measure of a firm's ability to create value for shareholders is expressed by comparing its return on invested capital ['ROIC'] with its weighted average cost of capital ['WACC']. The gap or difference between ROIC and WACC is called the firm's economic profit spread.NVIDIA has historically been a stellar generator of shareholder value and we expect that this will continue being the case going forward.\nNVIDIA's 3-fiscal year historical return on invested capital (without goodwill) is 94.5%, which is above the estimate of its cost of capital of 9.8%. In the upcoming graphic down below, we show the probable path of its forecasted ROIC in the fiscal years ahead based on the estimated volatility of key drivers behind the measure. The solid grey line reflects the most likely outcome (our \"base\" case scenario), in our opinion, and represents the scenario that results in our fair value estimate. The blue dots represent our \"bull\" case scenario and the green dots represent our \"bear\" case scenario.\nImage Shown: NVIDIA is a stellar generator of shareholder value as its forecasted ROIC, excluding goodwill, is expected to vastly exceed its estimated WACC over the coming fiscal years. Historically, NVIDIA's ROIC excluding goodwill has significantly outpaced its estimated WACC, indicating that in the past it has generated substantial shareholder value, but we are most interested in its future. Image Source: Valuentum\nImage Shown: An overview of how we calculated NVIDIA's estimated WACC. Image Source: Valuentum\nCash Flow Analysis\nNVIDIA is a tremendous generator of free cash flow. From fiscal 2019-2021 (NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in late-January), the company generated ~$4.0 billion in annual free cash flow on average. In fiscal 2020 and fiscal 2021, asNVIDIA was building up cash to fund its aforementioned acquisition activities, the firm did not repurchase a meaningful amount of its stock. However, in fiscal 2019,NVIDIA repurchased $1.6 billion of its stock. The firm exited fiscal 2021 with $0.4 billion in run-rate dividend obligations.\nIts stellar free cash flow performance continued into fiscal 2022. During the first three quarters of the current fiscal year,NVIDIA generated $5.4 billion in free cash flow while spending $0.3 billion covering its dividend obligations. The firm continued to hold off on share buybacks during this period. At the end of October 2021,NVIDIA had a net cash position of $8.4 billion with no short-term debt on the books. We are huge fans ofNVIDIA's pristine balance sheet and balanced approached to capital allocation decisions.\nImage Shown: NVIDIA has historically been a tremendous generator of free cash flow, and we forecast that will continue being the case going forward. Image Source: Valuentum\nValuation Analysis\nWe thinkNVIDIA is worth $247 per share (under our base case scenario) with a fair value range of $183-$311 per share (the lower rung of our fair value estimate represents our bear case scenario and the upper rung represents our bull case scenario). The near-term operating forecasts we used in our enterprise cash flow models, including revenue and earnings forecasts, do not differ much from consensus estimates or management guidance.\nOur discounted cash flow models reflect a compound annual revenue growth rate of 24.7% during the next five full fiscal years, a pace that is higher than the firm's 3-fiscal year historical compound annual growth rate of 19.7%. Our models reflects a 5-fiscal year projected average operating margin of 49.2%, which is aboveNVIDIA's trailing 3-fiscal year average (in fiscal 2021,NVIDIA's GAAP operating margin stood at 43.6%).\nBeyond Year 5 (five full fiscal years from the end ofNVIDIA's latest fiscal year), we assume free cash flow will grow at an annual rate of 10.9% for the next 15 fiscal years and 3% in perpetuity. ForNVIDIA, we use a 9.8% weighted average cost of capital to discount future free cash flows. The coming graphic down below highlights the key valuation assumptions used in our base case scenario covering NVIDIA.\nImage Shown: An overview of the key valuation assumptions used in our cash flow model covering NVIDIA under our base case scenario. Image Source: Valuentum\nImage Shown: NVIDIA's long growth tail underpins why most of the intrinsic value of its equity comes from its forecasted free cash flows, discounted at the appropriate rate, during the Year 6+ period into perpetuity. Image Source: Valuentum\nPlease note thatNVIDIA could exceed the key valuation assumptions within our base case scenario. For instance, its revenue might grow at a faster pace than our cash flow model is assuming asNVIDIA pushes into the CPU space while powerful secular growth tailwinds underpin demand for its semiconductor offerings. Additionally,NVIDIA's operating margins could expand at a more robust pace than our cash flow models are assuming if the uplift from economies of scale and its immense pricing power outperforms.\nWith this in mind, we like to provide a range of potential outcomes that take into the chance for a firm to outperform or underperform the key valuation assumptions used in our cash flow models. ShouldNVIDIA outperform, the top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $311 per share.\nImage Shown: At the top end of our fair value estimate range, NVIDIA has an intrinsic value of $311 per share. Image Source: Valuentum\nFuture Path of Fair Value\nAs time passes, companies generate cash flow and pay out cash to shareholders in the form of dividends. The upcoming graphic down below compares the firm's recent share price with the path ofNVIDIA's expected equity value per share over the next three fiscal years, assuming our long-term projections prove accurate. The range between the resulting downside fair value and upside fair value in Year 3 represents our best estimate of the value of the firm's shares three full fiscal years hence.\nThis range of potential outcomes is also subject to change over time, should our views on the firm's future cash flow potential change. The expected fair value of $327 per share in Year 3 represents our existing fair value per share of $247 increased at an annual rate of the firm's cost of equity less its dividend yield. The upside and downside ranges are derived in the same way, but from the upper and lower bounds of our fair value estimate range. ShouldNVIDIA outperform, its fair value estimate could grow to over $410 by Year 3.\nImage Shown: We forecast that NVIDIA's fair value estimate will grow significantly over the coming fiscal years. Image Source: Valuentum\nConcluding Thoughts\nThoughNVIDIA's planned acquisition of Arm will probably not go through due to growing and sizable antitrust concerns,NVIDIA's growth outlook is still quite bright.NVIDIA has a fortress-like balance sheet, stellar free cash flow generating abilities, and has been growing like a weed in recent fiscal years. Powerful secular growth tailwinds, such as the proliferation of e-commerce, cloud computing, AI, and autonomous driving offerings all underpinNVIDIA's bright long-term growth outlook. Shares of NVDA yield a negligible amount as of this writing as management prefers to invest in the business and build up cash on hand to fund acquisition activities. Virtually all ofNVIDIA's upside comes from its capital appreciation potential.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3057,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":693170301,"gmtCreate":1639992424748,"gmtModify":1639992428982,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh","listText":"Oh","text":"Oh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/693170301","repostId":"1130704419","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130704419","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639953553,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130704419?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-20 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130704419","media":"Barrons","summary":"Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports per","content":"<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday&nbsp;break,Nike&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;report on Monday,BlackBerry&nbsp;and&nbsp;General Mills&nbsp;on Tuesday, and&nbsp;CarMax,Cintas,and&nbsp;Paychex&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市以庆祝圣诞节。假期前，Nike和Micron Technology将于周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊将于周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas和Paychex将于周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed&nbsp;by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将公布11月份领先经济指数，随后将于周三公布12月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core&nbsp;PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局将公布11月份个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长0.6%，而支出预计将增长0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE物价指数预计11月份将飙升4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份耐用品报告，这将为了解经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的11月份成屋销售和周四公布的11月份新房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布11月份领先经济指数。普遍估计读数为119，比10月份的水平高出0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为5%，2022年增长率较慢但仍强劲的2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/21</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份现房销售。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为640万套，略高于10月份，为年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas和Paychex评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的年增长率为2.1%，与11月的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为110，与11月数据大致持平。该指数比今年6月达到的大流行后峰值低15%，原因是对价格上涨以及较小程度上对Covid-19变种的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至12月18日当周首次申请失业救济人数。11月和12月平均每周申请失业救济人数为225,667人，最终达到了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份新房销售。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新单户住宅年增长率为77万套，比10月份增加2.5万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元——均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为0.5%和1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE价格指数10月份同比上涨4.1%，为1991年以来最快增速。预计11月份将飙升4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用品新订单预计将增长2.1%，达到2656亿美元。不包括运输，新订单预计将增长0.6%，而10月份为增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/24</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b>&nbsp;and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股票</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节而休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 06:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday&nbsp;break,Nike&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;report on Monday,BlackBerry&nbsp;and&nbsp;General Mills&nbsp;on Tuesday, and&nbsp;CarMax,Cintas,and&nbsp;Paychex&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市以庆祝圣诞节。假期前，Nike和Micron Technology将于周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊将于周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas和Paychex将于周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed&nbsp;by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将公布11月份领先经济指数，随后将于周三公布12月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core&nbsp;PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局将公布11月份个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长0.6%，而支出预计将增长0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE物价指数预计11月份将飙升4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份耐用品报告，这将为了解经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的11月份成屋销售和周四公布的11月份新房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布11月份领先经济指数。普遍估计读数为119，比10月份的水平高出0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为5%，2022年增长率较慢但仍强劲的2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/21</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份现房销售。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为640万套，略高于10月份，为年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas和Paychex评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的年增长率为2.1%，与11月的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为110，与11月数据大致持平。该指数比今年6月达到的大流行后峰值低15%，原因是对价格上涨以及较小程度上对Covid-19变种的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至12月18日当周首次申请失业救济人数。11月和12月平均每周申请失业救济人数为225,667人，最终达到了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份新房销售。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新单户住宅年增长率为77万套，比10月份增加2.5万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元——均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为0.5%和1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE价格指数10月份同比上涨4.1%，为1991年以来最快增速。预计11月份将飙升4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用品新订单预计将增长2.1%，达到2656亿美元。不包括运输，新订单预计将增长0.6%，而10月份为增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/24</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b>&nbsp;and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股票</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节而休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CTAS":"信达思","GIS":"通用磨坊",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PAYX":"沛齐",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","MU":"美光科技","KMX":"车美仕"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130704419","content_text":"Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.\nIt will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.\nOn Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.\nAlso Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.\nMonday 12/20\nMicron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.\nTuesday 12/21\nBlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.\nWednesday 12/22\nThe NAR reports existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.\nCarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.\nThe Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.\nThursday 12/23\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.\nThe Census Bureau reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.\nThe BEA reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.\nThe Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.\nFriday 12/24\nU.S. equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"CTAS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"KMX":0.9,"PAYX":0.9,"GIS":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699236625,"gmtCreate":1639805559577,"gmtModify":1639805560478,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699236625","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对飙升的通胀后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会延续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对飙升的通胀后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会延续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3026,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607624575,"gmtCreate":1639535290305,"gmtModify":1639535426149,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oh started","listText":"Oh started","text":"Oh started","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607624575","repostId":"1180160205","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180160205","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639534172,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180160205?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-15 10:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Upstart Shares Have Plunged, But Stay Away for Now<blockquote>Upstart股价暴跌，但暂时远离</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180160205","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Even after crashing, UPST stock remains risky","content":"<p><div> Upstart (NASDAQ:UPST) has been one of this year’s top performers. Shares of UPST stock are up over 250% year-to-date (YTD), from around $40 at the start of 2021 to $145 as of the close of Dec. 14. You...</p><p><blockquote><div>Upstart（纳斯达克股票代码：UPST）是今年表现最好的公司之一。UPST股票今年迄今(YTD)上涨了250%以上，从2021年初的40美元左右上涨至12月14日收盘的145美元。你...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-has-plunged-but-stay-away-from-shares-for-now/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-has-plunged-but-stay-away-from-shares-for-now/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Upstart Shares Have Plunged, But Stay Away for Now<blockquote>Upstart股价暴跌，但暂时远离</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUpstart Shares Have Plunged, But Stay Away for Now<blockquote>Upstart股价暴跌，但暂时远离</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-15 10:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Upstart (NASDAQ:UPST) has been one of this year’s top performers. Shares of UPST stock are up over 250% year-to-date (YTD), from around $40 at the start of 2021 to $145 as of the close of Dec. 14. You...</p><p><blockquote><div>Upstart（纳斯达克股票代码：UPST）是今年表现最好的公司之一。UPST股票今年迄今(YTD)上涨了250%以上，从2021年初的40美元左右上涨至12月14日收盘的145美元。你...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-has-plunged-but-stay-away-from-shares-for-now/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-has-plunged-but-stay-away-from-shares-for-now/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-has-plunged-but-stay-away-from-shares-for-now/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"UPST":"Upstart Holdings, Inc."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/12/upst-stock-has-plunged-but-stay-away-from-shares-for-now/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180160205","content_text":"Upstart (NASDAQ:UPST) has been one of this year’s top performers. Shares of UPST stock are up over 250% year-to-date (YTD), from around $40 at the start of 2021 to $145 as of the close of Dec. 14.\nYou probably wouldn’t realize that if you’ve just tuned into the Upstart story, however. While UPST is up huge on the year, the gains have shrunk dramatically from where they were back in October. At that point, the stock had briefly hit $400 as speculative fervor peaked.\nThe top soon came following an embarrassing interview onCNBC. The business channel had on stock trader Mark Minervini to discuss UPST stock and Minervini talked up the company’s strong technicals and momentum. However, when the CNBC host asked Minervini to explain Upstart’s business model, he froze up. Seemingly unable to answer, Minervini blamed audio issues and the interview abruptly ended.\nThat moment went viral and the UPST stock price soon started to crash. It seems a lot of people, like Minervini, appreciated Upstart primarily because of its strong price performance rather than the company’s actual business. With the momentum in the stock long gone, however, is it time to buy in during this correction?\nUPST Stock: Rapid But Slowing Growth\nAt first glance, Upstart’s third-quarter earnings report didn’t look too bad. The company beat estimates on both the top and bottom line. In particular, the earnings figure was substantially ahead of expectations. Based on that, you might have thought Upstart would rally on the results, or at least hold its ground. Instead, UPST stock immediately plunged 20% upon the Q3 release.\nWhat went wrong? For one thing, investors had their expectations in the stratosphere. Analysts may have had more conservative numbers, but quick money traders were expecting massive growth in Q3 after Q2’s blowout earnings. Instead, Q3 was only moderately ahead of expectations.\nSpecifically, Upstart’s growth rate showed the issues. For the quarter, revenue growth slowed to 18% sequentially versus 60% in Q2. That’s a massive decline. And that came even as some analysts have become concerned that Upstart may be lowering loan quality standards to attract more business. Adding to that point, while the company grew revenues sequentially, the contribution margin actually declined slightly in Q3 versus Q2.\nLong story short, Upstart’s incredible growth phase appears to be drawing to a close. Meanwhile, shares are trading at 100 times this year’s earnings and a projected 77 times forward earnings, according toSeeking Alpha. That’s far too high for a company with rapidly slowing revenue and earnings growth. On top of that, add the fact that it faces substantial cyclical concerns if and when the economy turns downward once again.\nUPST stock completed its initial public offering (IPO) at $20 per share just a year ago. It’s no surprise that the stock is having trouble supporting a price 10 times that high just a year later. Momentum traders got way over their skis on this one.\nAnalysts Also Worry About Valuation\nI’m hardly the only person that’s concerned about Upstart’s valuation, too. For example, Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of Upstart shares last week with a neutral rating.\nMorgan Stanley’s James Faucette did credit the company for its rapid growth. However, Faucette also warned that it has benefitted from unusually favorable credit conditions among other tailwinds. The analyst is monitoring Upstart for incremental changes to the growth story.\nIn the meantime, it’s not exactly encouraging that Faucette assigned UPST stock a neutral rating on shares with the stock already back under $200. Just because this name hit $400 before doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a bargain below $200 per share.\nThe Verdict on Upstart\nThe last time I covered Upstart, I took an unequivocally negative view, warning that it was “overvalued and set to crash.”Indeed, the stock has plunged from $300 to below $160 since that article’s publication. That wasn’t too complicated of a call — there was absolutely no way to justify a valuation anywhere near that level.\nHowever, the investment case now is a little more nuanced with the stock down a quick 50%. At this point, shares are oversold — rather than overbought — on a short-term basis. To some extent, UPST stock has gotten hit with tax loss and momentum-based selling as people that bought at $300 and above sell out of shares to move their capital elsewhere.\nSo, would it be surprising if UPST stock bounces once the calendar flips into 2022? Not at all. Over the longer-term, though, Upstart remains seriously overvalued compared to its medium-term business prospects. The company will need to expand into more lending verticals — without letting credit quality slide — if it’s going to support a triple-digit price going forward.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UPST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604645438,"gmtCreate":1639393904481,"gmtModify":1639394172752,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"10x or 20x&nbsp;in 10 years?","listText":"10x or 20x&nbsp;in 10 years?","text":"10x or 20x in 10 years?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604645438","repostId":"2190067720","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604642410,"gmtCreate":1639393794432,"gmtModify":1639394162078,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Adbe","listText":"Adbe","text":"Adbe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604642410","repostId":"1171271872","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171271872","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639348466,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171271872?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-13 06:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171271872","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.Earnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and","content":"<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian,Adobe,FedEx,Lennar,Campbell Soup,and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Rivian、Adobe、联邦快递、Lennar、金宝汤等本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-13 06:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s&nbsp;last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.</p><p><blockquote>本周投资者的主要事件将是美联储利率制定委员会2021年的最后一次会议。官员们最近的评论更加鹰派，可能会宣布加速每月资产购买缩减的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>联邦公开市场委员会为期两天的会议将于周二和周三举行。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings reports this week are few, but will include&nbsp;Campbell Soup&nbsp;on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian&nbsp;Automotive, and&nbsp;Adobe&nbsp;on Thursday; and&nbsp;Darden Restaurants&nbsp;on Friday.</p><p><blockquote>本周的财报很少，但周二将包括金宝汤；Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Rivian汽车和Adobe周四；周五还有达顿餐厅。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括美国劳工统计局周二公布的11月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预计整体指数环比上涨0.55%，核心PPI上涨0.4%。这两者都与10月份的生产者通胀速度大致相当。</blockquote></p><p> Other data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment&nbsp;index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>其他发布的数据包括周二全国独立企业联合会的信心指数、周三人口普查局公布的11月零售支出以及周四公布的11月新屋开工率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/13</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/13</b></blockquote></p><p> J.Jill&nbsp;and&nbsp;PHX Minerals&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>J.Jill和PHX Minerals在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/14</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/14</b></blockquote></p><p> Campbell Soup, Barnes Group, and&nbsp;Avaya Holdings&nbsp;host investor days.</p><p><blockquote>金宝汤、巴恩斯集团和Avaya Holdings举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布11月份生产者价格指数。市场普遍预计环比上涨0.55%，不包括食品和能源的核心PPI将上涨0.4%。相比之下，10月份的增幅分别为0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Federation</b>&nbsp;of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国联合会</b>独立企业报告了11月份的指数，该指数调查了全国约5,000名小企业主。预期看涨期权为98.3，而10月份为98.2。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/15</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/15</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Open Market Committee</b> concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.</p><p><blockquote><b>联邦公开市场委员会</b>结束了为期两天的会议，届时政策制定者将讨论加快缩减月度证券购买的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b> export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>11月进出口价格数据。预计出口价格环比上涨0.5%，而进口价格预计上涨0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为1.5%和1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b> of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了12月份NAHB/富国银行住房市场指数。普遍估计读数为84，而11月份的读数为83。该指数去年年底达到90的峰值，房屋建筑商仍然看好房地产市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>11月份零售支出报告。预计经季节调整后零售额环比增长0.7%，而10月份为增长1.7%。不包括汽车在内，支出预计将增长0.8%，而上一时期为1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/16</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/16</b></blockquote></p><p> Heico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Heico、Lennar、Accenture、FedEx、Jabil、Adobe、Rivian汽车和Nordson等公司在评级举办财报会议。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>releases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份新的住宅建设报告。季调后成屋开工年率料为156.3万套，10月为152万套。当房屋开始挖掘时，房屋开工被计算在内。新房建设许可证预计为165.5万份，而10月份为165.3万份。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bank of England</b> announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.</p><p><blockquote><b>英格兰银行</b>宣布利率决定并公布会议记录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>公布11月份工业生产数据。继10月份增长1.6%后，经济学家预计增长0.6%。产能利用率预计为76.8，与10月份的76.4%大致一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/17</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/17</b></blockquote></p><p> Steelcase,Darden Restaurants, and&nbsp;Quanex Building Products&nbsp;host earnings conference calls.</p><p><blockquote>Steelcase、Darden Restaurants和Quanex Building Products在评级举办收益会议。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","CPB":"金宝汤",".DJI":"道琼斯","JILL":"J.Jill Inc.","SCS":"Steelcase Inc.","PHX":"潘汉德尔油气","LEN":"莱纳建筑公司",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","HEI":"海科航空","DRI":"达登饭店","FDX":"联邦快递","ACN":"埃森哲",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-to-watch-this-week-fedex-rivian-lennar-campbell-adobe-51639330550?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171271872","content_text":"The main event for investors this week will be the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting committee’s last meeting of 2021. Recent commentary from officials has leaned more hawkish, setting up a potential announcement of plans to accelerate monthly asset purchase tapering.\nThe Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting takes place on Tuesday and Wednesday.\nEarnings reports this week are few, but will include Campbell Soup on Tuesday;Lennar,Accenture,FedEx,Rivian Automotive, and Adobe on Thursday; and Darden Restaurants on Friday.\nEconomic data coming out this week includes the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ producer price index for November on Tuesday. Economists expect a 0.55% month-over-month rise for the headline index and a 0.4% gain for the core PPI. Those would both roughly match October’s pace of producer inflation.\nOther data releases include the National Federation of Independent Businesses’ sentiment index on Tuesday, November retail-sales spending from the Census Bureau on Wednesday, and the November housing starts on Thursday.\nMonday 12/13\nJ.Jill and PHX Minerals host earnings conference calls.\nTuesday 12/14\nCampbell Soup, Barnes Group, and Avaya Holdings host investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the producer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 0.55% month-over-month rise, and for the core PPI, which excludes food and energy, to gain 0.4%. This compares with increases of 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Federation of Independent Businesses reports its index, which surveys about 5,000 small-business owners across the country, for November. Expectations call for a reading of 98.3, compared with 98.2 in October.\nWednesday 12/15\nThe Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting, when policy makers will discuss accelerating the timetable for tapering monthly securities purchases.\nThe BLS reports export and import price data for November. Expectations are for a 0.5% month-over-month rise in export prices, while import prices are seen increasing 0.5%. This compares with gains of 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively, in October.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index for December. Consensus estimate is for an 84 reading, compared with an 83 reading in November. The index peaked at 90 late last year, and home builders remain bullish on the housing market.\nThe Census Bureau reports on retail-sales spending for November. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted 0.7% month-over-month increase in retail sales, compared with a 1.7% rise in October. Excluding autos, spending is seen rising 0.8%, compared with 1.7% in the previous period.\nThursday 12/16\nHeico,Lennar, Accenture, FedEx, Jabil, Adobe, Rivian Automotive, and Nordson are among companies hosting earnings conference calls.\nThe Census Bureaureleases its New Residential Construction report for November. The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts is expected to be 1.563 million units, compared with 1.52 million in October. A housing start is counted when excavation begins on a home. Permits issued for new-home construction are expected to be 1.655 million, compared with 1.653 million in October.\nThe Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision and publishes the minutes of the meeting.\nThe Federal Reserve releases industrial production data for November. Economists are looking for a 0.6% rise, after a 1.6% increase in October. Capacity utilization is expected at 76.8, roughly in line with October’s 76.4%.\nFriday 12/17\nSteelcase,Darden Restaurants, and Quanex Building Products host earnings conference calls.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"HEI":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"PHX":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"AVYA":0.9,"ACN":0.9,"JILL":0.9,"RIVN":0.9,"LEN":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"CPB":0.9,"DRI":0.9,"SCS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":896,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605752062,"gmtCreate":1639270834367,"gmtModify":1639270835226,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Baba","listText":"Baba","text":"Baba","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605752062","repostId":"2190275356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1303,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605982613,"gmtCreate":1639101743497,"gmtModify":1639101744270,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Print&nbsp;","listText":"Print&nbsp;","text":"Print","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605982613","repostId":"2190964556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1469,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602223320,"gmtCreate":1639029938298,"gmtModify":1639029939060,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602223320","repostId":"2190169579","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608494545,"gmtCreate":1638772506000,"gmtModify":1638772506394,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Trending","listText":"Trending","text":"Trending","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608494545","repostId":"1179313612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179313612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638745398,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179313612?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179313612","media":"Barrons","summary":"Meme stock darling GameStop headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer rep","content":"<p>Meme stock darling <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>, Casey’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">General</a> Stores, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">Toll Brothers</a> report earnings on Tuesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">Brown-Forman</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">Campbell Soup</a> on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a> Foods round things out on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票宠儿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>本周财报阵容头条。这家视频游戏零售商将在周三收盘后公布业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>，凯西的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">一般的</a>商店，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">托尔兄弟</a>周二公布收益，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">布朗-福尔曼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">金宝汤</a>星期三。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发，及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a>周四的食物使事情更加圆满。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a> will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">McKesson</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS Health</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> Foods on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>周一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>将召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">麦克森</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>周三举办2021年投资者日，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS健康</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>周四的食物。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.</p><p><blockquote>美联储10月消费者信贷数据报告将于周二公布。周四，美国劳工部公布了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局周五发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预期同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/6</b></blockquote></p><p> Union Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/7</b></blockquote></p><p> AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>AutoZone、Casey’s General Stores和Toll Brothers公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告10月份消费者信贷数据。继去年小幅下降后，截至9月份，未偿消费者债务总额平均每月增加200亿美元，达到创纪录的4.37万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/8</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测10月最后一个工作日将有1050万个职位空缺，仅比7月1110万的历史新高少60万个。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">Brown-Forman</a>, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">布朗-福尔曼</a>、金宝汤和游戏驿站公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> McKesson and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">Southwest</a> Airlines host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>麦克森和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">西南</a>航空公司举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">Edwards Lifesciences</a> holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">爱德华兹生命科学公司</a>在加州尔湾举行投资者会议。该公司将讨论其产品线以及2022年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大央行宣布货币政策决定。预计央行将维持关键短期利率在0.25%不变。在10月底的会议上，央行结束了量化宽松计划，并表示首次加息将于2022年早于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Broadcom、Costco Wholesale和Hormel Foods在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> CVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>CVS Health和泰森食品举办年度投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11月份平均申请失业救济人数为238,750人，为大流行开始以来的最低水平，仅比2020年2月增加24,750人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/10</b></blockquote></p><p> Archer-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.</p><p><blockquote>阿彻-丹尼尔斯-米德兰举办全球投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a> holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a>召开投资者会议，并将提供2022年的财务指导。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预计同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。10月份6.2%的涨幅是CPI 30多年来最热的一次，上周美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>在参议院银行委员会讨论通货膨胀时，最终放弃了“暂时性”。</blockquote></p><p> The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.</p><p><blockquote>密歇根大学发布12月份消费者信心指数。经济学家预测为66，略低于11月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGame Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-06 07:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Meme stock darling <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>, Casey’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">General</a> Stores, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">Toll Brothers</a> report earnings on Tuesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">Brown-Forman</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">Campbell Soup</a> on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a> Foods round things out on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票宠儿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>本周财报阵容头条。这家视频游戏零售商将在周三收盘后公布业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>，凯西的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">一般的</a>商店，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">托尔兄弟</a>周二公布收益，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">布朗-福尔曼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">金宝汤</a>星期三。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发，及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a>周四的食物使事情更加圆满。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a> will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">McKesson</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS Health</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> Foods on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>周一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>将召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">麦克森</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>周三举办2021年投资者日，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS健康</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>周四的食物。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.</p><p><blockquote>美联储10月消费者信贷数据报告将于周二公布。周四，美国劳工部公布了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局周五发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预期同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/6</b></blockquote></p><p> Union Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/7</b></blockquote></p><p> AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>AutoZone、Casey’s General Stores和Toll Brothers公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告10月份消费者信贷数据。继去年小幅下降后，截至9月份，未偿消费者债务总额平均每月增加200亿美元，达到创纪录的4.37万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/8</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测10月最后一个工作日将有1050万个职位空缺，仅比7月1110万的历史新高少60万个。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">Brown-Forman</a>, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">布朗-福尔曼</a>、金宝汤和游戏驿站公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> McKesson and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">Southwest</a> Airlines host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>麦克森和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">西南</a>航空公司举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">Edwards Lifesciences</a> holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">爱德华兹生命科学公司</a>在加州尔湾举行投资者会议。该公司将讨论其产品线以及2022年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大央行宣布货币政策决定。预计央行将维持关键短期利率在0.25%不变。在10月底的会议上，央行结束了量化宽松计划，并表示首次加息将于2022年早于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Broadcom、Costco Wholesale和Hormel Foods在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> CVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>CVS Health和泰森食品举办年度投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11月份平均申请失业救济人数为238,750人，为大流行开始以来的最低水平，仅比2020年2月增加24,750人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/10</b></blockquote></p><p> Archer-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.</p><p><blockquote>阿彻-丹尼尔斯-米德兰举办全球投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a> holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a>召开投资者会议，并将提供2022年的财务指导。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预计同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。10月份6.2%的涨幅是CPI 30多年来最热的一次，上周美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>在参议院银行委员会讨论通货膨胀时，最终放弃了“暂时性”。</blockquote></p><p> The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.</p><p><blockquote>密歇根大学发布12月份消费者信心指数。经济学家预测为66，略低于11月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/game-stop-toll-brothers-costco-cvs-and-other-stocks-to-watch-this-week-51638734413?mod=barrons-on-marketwatch\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4088":"住宅建筑","COST":"好市多","CVS":"西维斯健康","TOL":"托尔兄弟","GME":"游戏驿站"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/game-stop-toll-brothers-costco-cvs-and-other-stocks-to-watch-this-week-51638734413?mod=barrons-on-marketwatch","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1179313612","content_text":"Meme stock darling GameStop headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers report earnings on Tuesday, followed by Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday. Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods round things out on Thursday.\nOn Monday, Union Pacific will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. McKesson and Southwest Airlines host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by CVS Health and Tyson Foods on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.\nMonday 12/6\nUnion Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.\nTuesday 12/7\nAutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.\nThe Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.\nWednesday 12/8\nThe BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.\nBrown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.\nMcKesson and Southwest Airlines host their 2021 investor days.\nEdwards Lifesciences holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.\nThe Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.\nThursday 12/9\nBroadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nCVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.\nFriday 12/10\nArcher-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.\nCentene holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.\nThe University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COST":0.9,"TOL":0.9,"CVS":0.9,"GME":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608665828,"gmtCreate":1638716712911,"gmtModify":1638716713290,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608665828","repostId":"2189576203","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601135160,"gmtCreate":1638496899351,"gmtModify":1638538276090,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ouch","listText":"Ouch","text":"Ouch","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601135160","repostId":"1155280176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1019,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603041577,"gmtCreate":1638345771181,"gmtModify":1638345772558,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still printing","listText":"Still printing","text":"Still printing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603041577","repostId":"1136781080","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136781080","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638341251,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136781080?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 14:47","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"What Powell’s Hawkish Transition Could Mean for Asian Markets<blockquote>鲍威尔的鹰派转型对亚洲市场意味着什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136781080","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Strategists bearish on implications for Asia equities and FX\nHigher U.S. rates could trigger capital","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Strategists bearish on implications for Asia equities and FX</li>  <li>Higher U.S. rates could trigger capital flows out of region</li> </ul> Jerome Powell sent a stir through global markets Tuesday, paving the way for quicker-than-expected U.S. hikes, which would ripple through rate-sensitive Asian assets.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>策略师对亚洲股市和外汇的影响持悲观态度</li><li>美国利率上升可能引发资本流出该地区</li></ul>杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二在全球市场引起轰动，为美国超预期加息铺平了道路，这将波及对利率敏感的亚洲资产。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve Chair&nbsp;told&nbsp;Congress that policymakers will discuss whether to wrap up bond purchases a few months earlier and retired the word “transitory” from his commentary on inflation. Higher U.S. rates would have a significant impact on Asian assets if capital flows to America. A stronger greenback has implications for Asia’s export-heavy companies and economies and the dollar-denominated debt of the region’s sovereign and corporate borrowers.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席告诉国会，政策制定者将在几个月前讨论是否结束债券购买，并从他对通胀的评论中删除了“暂时”一词。如果资本流向美国，美国利率上升将对亚洲资产产生重大影响。美元走强对亚洲以出口为主的企业和经济体，以及该地区主权和企业借款人以美元计价的债务都有影响。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Asia stocks and currencies are rallying Wednesday with some strategists saying Powell’s comments about a faster taper weren’t unexpected. His nod toward the uncertainty caused by the omicron variant has also blunted the hawkish tone, according to Tomo Kinoshita, global market strategist at Invesco Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，亚洲股市和货币周三仍在上涨，一些策略师表示，鲍威尔关于加快缩减规模的言论并不出人意料。景顺资产管理公司全球市场策略师Tomo Kinoshita表示，他对奥密克戎变体造成的不确定性的认可也削弱了鹰派基调。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5fb6c8c29a959328a059ba71b72f5f\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Here are the thoughts of Asia watchers on what Powell’s shift means for the region’s markets:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚洲观察人士对鲍威尔的转变对该地区市场意味着什么的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deferring to the Dollar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵从美元</b></blockquote></p><p> “Prospects of quicker taper and higher U.S. rates will stress test the allure of higher returns in EM Asia and as a consequence the ‘stickiness’ of funds parked in this part of the world,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗银行经济与战略主管Vishnu Varathan表示：“更快缩减规模和美国利率上升的前景将对亚洲新兴市场更高回报的吸引力进行压力测试，从而影响存放在世界这一地区的资金的‘粘性’。”银行有限公司位于新加坡。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long maintained that the outcome will be ‘KokomoFed,’ that gets there fast and then takes it slow after,” he said, referring to a Beach Boys song. “And this in turn will prompt a ‘Kokomo dollar,’ whereby the bias is for the dollar to be skewed to strength.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直坚持认为，结果将是‘KokomoFed’，快速到达那里，然后缓慢，”他说，指的是沙滩男孩的一首歌曲。“这反过来将催生‘科科莫美元’，即美元偏向强势。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bad for High Beta</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不利于高贝塔</b></blockquote></p><p> “The threat of faster tapering is bad news for high-beta markets such as EM,” said Sue Trinh, managing director for global macro strategy at Manulife Investment Management in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>宏利投资管理公司驻香港全球宏观策略董事总经理Sue Trinh表示：“对于新兴市场等高贝塔市场来说，更快缩减规模的威胁是个坏消息。”</blockquote></p><p> “Yet we have been of the view that Asia is well-placed within EM to withstand any potential monetary volatility -- inflation in Asia more contained and Asia is less reliant on foreign capital than other EM,” she said. “The not-so-good news for Asia is that the region is far too reliant on foreign demand to absorb its exports.”</p><p><blockquote>她说：“然而，我们一直认为，亚洲在新兴市场中处于有利地位，能够抵御任何潜在的货币波动——与其他新兴市场相比，亚洲的通胀得到了更好的控制，而且亚洲对外国资本的依赖程度较低。”“对亚洲来说，不太好的消息是该地区过于依赖外国需求来吸收其出口。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risk Asset Pressure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险资产压力</b></blockquote></p><p> “Expect more pressure on risk assets in general, including Asian equities,” said Alvin T. Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场驻香港亚洲外汇策略主管Alvin T.Tan表示：“预计包括亚洲股市在内的整体风险资产将面临更大压力。”</blockquote></p><p> “However, Asian FX have held up really well in this latest risk-off bout, and that was because the whole market was furiously loading up on U.S. dollars right into the omicron news,” he added. “So it is U.S. dollars that are being unwound this time. In that way it has been an unusual ‘risk-off’ experience, though JPY has behaved more conventionally.”</p><p><blockquote>“然而，亚洲外汇在最近的这场避险回合中表现非常好，这是因为整个市场在奥密克戎新闻发布后疯狂买入美元，”他补充道。“因此，这一次美元被解除了赎回权。从这个角度来看，这是一次不寻常的‘避险’经历，尽管日元的表现更加传统。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Focus on Renminbi</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关注人民币</b></blockquote></p><p> “We expect the Thai baht to be most at risk, especially since it has an additional negative that the re-emergence of Covid-19 concerns will potentially further set back the return of tourism,” said Terence Wu, a foreign-exchange strategist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>外汇策略师Terence Wu表示：“我们预计泰铢面临的风险最大，特别是因为它还有一个额外的负面影响，即Covid-19担忧的重新出现可能会进一步阻碍旅游业的回归。”新加坡华侨银行。</blockquote></p><p> “More importantly, we will be watching closely developments in the renminbi. The RMB has been strong on a basket basis, and that has sheltered the Asian currencies. Should the RMB start to show signs of weakness, expect the flow-through of dollar strength to the EM Asian currencies to be stronger.”</p><p><blockquote>“更重要的是，我们将密切关注人民币的发展。人民币在一篮子货币基础上一直走强，这对亚洲货币起到了保护作用。如果人民币开始出现疲软迹象，预计美元走强将会对亚洲新兴市场货币产生更强影响。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>China Chance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国机会</b></blockquote></p><p> “Extreme dollar strength because of higher U.S. interest rates is a headwind for Asia and EM equities, but China and large Asean markets such as Indonesia could still outperform western markets in 2022 because of reversion to mean,” said Michael Rainer Preiss, portfolio strategist at Golden Equator Wealth. “China already had a big correction and the valuation argument for China equities is getting stronger.”</p><p><blockquote>投资组合策略师Michael Rainer Preiss表示：“由于美国利率上升，美元极度走强对亚洲和新兴市场股市来说是一个阻力，但由于回归均值，中国和印度尼西亚等大型东盟市场在2022年仍可能跑赢西方市场。”在金赤道财富。“中国已经经历了大幅调整，中国股市的估值论据越来越强。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Mixed Asian FX</b></p><p><blockquote><b>混合亚洲外汇</b></blockquote></p><p> “While Powell’s comments suggest the Fed could bring forward their rate hike to as soon as the middle of 2022, the dollar failed to rally on the back of this.,” said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at Australia &amp; New Zealand Banking Group in Singapore. “This is likely because the Fed Chair’s statement is only matching market expectations.”</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚和新西兰银行集团亚洲研究主管Khoon Goh表示：“虽然鲍威尔的言论表明美联储最早可能将加息提前至2022年年中，但美元未能在此基础上反弹。”在新加坡。“这很可能是因为美联储主席的声明只是符合市场预期。”</blockquote></p><p> “The impact on Asian FX will likely be mixed. With export growth still strong in the region, as shown by today’s stronger than expected Korean numbers, currencies of export driven economies like KRW, CNH and SGD will fare well. Prospects for higher U.S. yields could weigh slightly on IDR due to reduced foreign bond inflows. THB will be more influenced by how the Omicron variant may affect Thailand’s tourism reopening.”</p><p><blockquote>“对亚洲外汇的影响可能是喜忧参半。由于该地区的出口增长仍然强劲，正如今天强于预期的韩国数据所显示的那样，韩元、CNH和新加坡元等出口驱动型经济体的货币将表现良好。由于外国债券流入减少，美国收益率上升的前景可能会略微打压印度卢比。泰铢将更多地受到奥密克戎变种如何影响泰国旅游业重新开放的影响。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thin Spreads</b></p><p><blockquote><b>稀薄价差</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The spread cushion on Asian dollar bonds from rising Treasury yields is “thin at best” with valuations near multi-year tights, with the exception of China’s property issuers, according to Ek Pon Tay, BNP Paribas Asset Management’s senior portfolio manager in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎资产管理公司驻新加坡高级投资组合经理Ek Pon Tay表示，美国国债收益率上升对亚洲美元债券的利差缓冲“充其量很薄”，估值接近多年低点，但中国房地产发行人除外。</blockquote></p><p> Tay recommends investors overweight investment-grade rated China property credits as these issuers are likely to survive in the event of a prolonged sector downturn and valuations offer ample spread cushion versus others.</p><p><blockquote>Tay向投资者推荐跑赢大盘投资级评级的中华地产信贷，因为这些发行人可能会在行业长期低迷的情况下生存下来，而且估值与其他发行人相比提供了充足的利差缓冲。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Powell’s Hawkish Transition Could Mean for Asian Markets<blockquote>鲍威尔的鹰派转型对亚洲市场意味着什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Powell’s Hawkish Transition Could Mean for Asian Markets<blockquote>鲍威尔的鹰派转型对亚洲市场意味着什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Bloomberg</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-01 14:47</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Strategists bearish on implications for Asia equities and FX</li>  <li>Higher U.S. rates could trigger capital flows out of region</li> </ul> Jerome Powell sent a stir through global markets Tuesday, paving the way for quicker-than-expected U.S. hikes, which would ripple through rate-sensitive Asian assets.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>策略师对亚洲股市和外汇的影响持悲观态度</li><li>美国利率上升可能引发资本流出该地区</li></ul>杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二在全球市场引起轰动，为美国超预期加息铺平了道路，这将波及对利率敏感的亚洲资产。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve Chair&nbsp;told&nbsp;Congress that policymakers will discuss whether to wrap up bond purchases a few months earlier and retired the word “transitory” from his commentary on inflation. Higher U.S. rates would have a significant impact on Asian assets if capital flows to America. A stronger greenback has implications for Asia’s export-heavy companies and economies and the dollar-denominated debt of the region’s sovereign and corporate borrowers.</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席告诉国会，政策制定者将在几个月前讨论是否结束债券购买，并从他对通胀的评论中删除了“暂时”一词。如果资本流向美国，美国利率上升将对亚洲资产产生重大影响。美元走强对亚洲以出口为主的企业和经济体，以及该地区主权和企业借款人以美元计价的债务都有影响。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Asia stocks and currencies are rallying Wednesday with some strategists saying Powell’s comments about a faster taper weren’t unexpected. His nod toward the uncertainty caused by the omicron variant has also blunted the hawkish tone, according to Tomo Kinoshita, global market strategist at Invesco Asset Management.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，亚洲股市和货币周三仍在上涨，一些策略师表示，鲍威尔关于加快缩减规模的言论并不出人意料。景顺资产管理公司全球市场策略师Tomo Kinoshita表示，他对奥密克戎变体造成的不确定性的认可也削弱了鹰派基调。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5fb6c8c29a959328a059ba71b72f5f\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Here are the thoughts of Asia watchers on what Powell’s shift means for the region’s markets:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚洲观察人士对鲍威尔的转变对该地区市场意味着什么的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Deferring to the Dollar</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵从美元</b></blockquote></p><p> “Prospects of quicker taper and higher U.S. rates will stress test the allure of higher returns in EM Asia and as a consequence the ‘stickiness’ of funds parked in this part of the world,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>瑞穗银行经济与战略主管Vishnu Varathan表示：“更快缩减规模和美国利率上升的前景将对亚洲新兴市场更高回报的吸引力进行压力测试，从而影响存放在世界这一地区的资金的‘粘性’。”银行有限公司位于新加坡。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long maintained that the outcome will be ‘KokomoFed,’ that gets there fast and then takes it slow after,” he said, referring to a Beach Boys song. “And this in turn will prompt a ‘Kokomo dollar,’ whereby the bias is for the dollar to be skewed to strength.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直坚持认为，结果将是‘KokomoFed’，快速到达那里，然后缓慢，”他说，指的是沙滩男孩的一首歌曲。“这反过来将催生‘科科莫美元’，即美元偏向强势。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bad for High Beta</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不利于高贝塔</b></blockquote></p><p> “The threat of faster tapering is bad news for high-beta markets such as EM,” said Sue Trinh, managing director for global macro strategy at Manulife Investment Management in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>宏利投资管理公司驻香港全球宏观策略董事总经理Sue Trinh表示：“对于新兴市场等高贝塔市场来说，更快缩减规模的威胁是个坏消息。”</blockquote></p><p> “Yet we have been of the view that Asia is well-placed within EM to withstand any potential monetary volatility -- inflation in Asia more contained and Asia is less reliant on foreign capital than other EM,” she said. “The not-so-good news for Asia is that the region is far too reliant on foreign demand to absorb its exports.”</p><p><blockquote>她说：“然而，我们一直认为，亚洲在新兴市场中处于有利地位，能够抵御任何潜在的货币波动——与其他新兴市场相比，亚洲的通胀得到了更好的控制，而且亚洲对外国资本的依赖程度较低。”“对亚洲来说，不太好的消息是该地区过于依赖外国需求来吸收其出口。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risk Asset Pressure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险资产压力</b></blockquote></p><p> “Expect more pressure on risk assets in general, including Asian equities,” said Alvin T. Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场驻香港亚洲外汇策略主管Alvin T.Tan表示：“预计包括亚洲股市在内的整体风险资产将面临更大压力。”</blockquote></p><p> “However, Asian FX have held up really well in this latest risk-off bout, and that was because the whole market was furiously loading up on U.S. dollars right into the omicron news,” he added. “So it is U.S. dollars that are being unwound this time. In that way it has been an unusual ‘risk-off’ experience, though JPY has behaved more conventionally.”</p><p><blockquote>“然而，亚洲外汇在最近的这场避险回合中表现非常好，这是因为整个市场在奥密克戎新闻发布后疯狂买入美元，”他补充道。“因此，这一次美元被解除了赎回权。从这个角度来看，这是一次不寻常的‘避险’经历，尽管日元的表现更加传统。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Focus on Renminbi</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关注人民币</b></blockquote></p><p> “We expect the Thai baht to be most at risk, especially since it has an additional negative that the re-emergence of Covid-19 concerns will potentially further set back the return of tourism,” said Terence Wu, a foreign-exchange strategist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>外汇策略师Terence Wu表示：“我们预计泰铢面临的风险最大，特别是因为它还有一个额外的负面影响，即Covid-19担忧的重新出现可能会进一步阻碍旅游业的回归。”新加坡华侨银行。</blockquote></p><p> “More importantly, we will be watching closely developments in the renminbi. The RMB has been strong on a basket basis, and that has sheltered the Asian currencies. Should the RMB start to show signs of weakness, expect the flow-through of dollar strength to the EM Asian currencies to be stronger.”</p><p><blockquote>“更重要的是，我们将密切关注人民币的发展。人民币在一篮子货币基础上一直走强，这对亚洲货币起到了保护作用。如果人民币开始出现疲软迹象，预计美元走强将会对亚洲新兴市场货币产生更强影响。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>China Chance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国机会</b></blockquote></p><p> “Extreme dollar strength because of higher U.S. interest rates is a headwind for Asia and EM equities, but China and large Asean markets such as Indonesia could still outperform western markets in 2022 because of reversion to mean,” said Michael Rainer Preiss, portfolio strategist at Golden Equator Wealth. “China already had a big correction and the valuation argument for China equities is getting stronger.”</p><p><blockquote>投资组合策略师Michael Rainer Preiss表示：“由于美国利率上升，美元极度走强对亚洲和新兴市场股市来说是一个阻力，但由于回归均值，中国和印度尼西亚等大型东盟市场在2022年仍可能跑赢西方市场。”在金赤道财富。“中国已经经历了大幅调整，中国股市的估值论据越来越强。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Mixed Asian FX</b></p><p><blockquote><b>混合亚洲外汇</b></blockquote></p><p> “While Powell’s comments suggest the Fed could bring forward their rate hike to as soon as the middle of 2022, the dollar failed to rally on the back of this.,” said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at Australia &amp; New Zealand Banking Group in Singapore. “This is likely because the Fed Chair’s statement is only matching market expectations.”</p><p><blockquote>澳大利亚和新西兰银行集团亚洲研究主管Khoon Goh表示：“虽然鲍威尔的言论表明美联储最早可能将加息提前至2022年年中，但美元未能在此基础上反弹。”在新加坡。“这很可能是因为美联储主席的声明只是符合市场预期。”</blockquote></p><p> “The impact on Asian FX will likely be mixed. With export growth still strong in the region, as shown by today’s stronger than expected Korean numbers, currencies of export driven economies like KRW, CNH and SGD will fare well. Prospects for higher U.S. yields could weigh slightly on IDR due to reduced foreign bond inflows. THB will be more influenced by how the Omicron variant may affect Thailand’s tourism reopening.”</p><p><blockquote>“对亚洲外汇的影响可能是喜忧参半。由于该地区的出口增长仍然强劲，正如今天强于预期的韩国数据所显示的那样，韩元、CNH和新加坡元等出口驱动型经济体的货币将表现良好。由于外国债券流入减少，美国收益率上升的前景可能会略微打压印度卢比。泰铢将更多地受到奥密克戎变种如何影响泰国旅游业重新开放的影响。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thin Spreads</b></p><p><blockquote><b>稀薄价差</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The spread cushion on Asian dollar bonds from rising Treasury yields is “thin at best” with valuations near multi-year tights, with the exception of China’s property issuers, according to Ek Pon Tay, BNP Paribas Asset Management’s senior portfolio manager in Singapore.</p><p><blockquote>法国巴黎资产管理公司驻新加坡高级投资组合经理Ek Pon Tay表示，美国国债收益率上升对亚洲美元债券的利差缓冲“充其量很薄”，估值接近多年低点，但中国房地产发行人除外。</blockquote></p><p> Tay recommends investors overweight investment-grade rated China property credits as these issuers are likely to survive in the event of a prolonged sector downturn and valuations offer ample spread cushion versus others.</p><p><blockquote>Tay向投资者推荐跑赢大盘投资级评级的中华地产信贷，因为这些发行人可能会在行业长期低迷的情况下生存下来，而且估值与其他发行人相比提供了充足的利差缓冲。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-powell-s-hawkish-transition-could-mean-for-asian-markets\">Bloomberg</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/what-powell-s-hawkish-transition-could-mean-for-asian-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136781080","content_text":"Strategists bearish on implications for Asia equities and FX\nHigher U.S. rates could trigger capital flows out of region\n\nJerome Powell sent a stir through global markets Tuesday, paving the way for quicker-than-expected U.S. hikes, which would ripple through rate-sensitive Asian assets.\nThe Federal Reserve Chair told Congress that policymakers will discuss whether to wrap up bond purchases a few months earlier and retired the word “transitory” from his commentary on inflation. Higher U.S. rates would have a significant impact on Asian assets if capital flows to America. A stronger greenback has implications for Asia’s export-heavy companies and economies and the dollar-denominated debt of the region’s sovereign and corporate borrowers.\nStill, Asia stocks and currencies are rallying Wednesday with some strategists saying Powell’s comments about a faster taper weren’t unexpected. His nod toward the uncertainty caused by the omicron variant has also blunted the hawkish tone, according to Tomo Kinoshita, global market strategist at Invesco Asset Management.\n\nHere are the thoughts of Asia watchers on what Powell’s shift means for the region’s markets:\nDeferring to the Dollar\n“Prospects of quicker taper and higher U.S. rates will stress test the allure of higher returns in EM Asia and as a consequence the ‘stickiness’ of funds parked in this part of the world,” said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd in Singapore.\n“We have long maintained that the outcome will be ‘KokomoFed,’ that gets there fast and then takes it slow after,” he said, referring to a Beach Boys song. “And this in turn will prompt a ‘Kokomo dollar,’ whereby the bias is for the dollar to be skewed to strength.”\nBad for High Beta\n“The threat of faster tapering is bad news for high-beta markets such as EM,” said Sue Trinh, managing director for global macro strategy at Manulife Investment Management in Hong Kong.\n“Yet we have been of the view that Asia is well-placed within EM to withstand any potential monetary volatility -- inflation in Asia more contained and Asia is less reliant on foreign capital than other EM,” she said. “The not-so-good news for Asia is that the region is far too reliant on foreign demand to absorb its exports.”\nRisk Asset Pressure\n“Expect more pressure on risk assets in general, including Asian equities,” said Alvin T. Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets in Hong Kong.\n“However, Asian FX have held up really well in this latest risk-off bout, and that was because the whole market was furiously loading up on U.S. dollars right into the omicron news,” he added. “So it is U.S. dollars that are being unwound this time. In that way it has been an unusual ‘risk-off’ experience, though JPY has behaved more conventionally.”\nFocus on Renminbi\n“We expect the Thai baht to be most at risk, especially since it has an additional negative that the re-emergence of Covid-19 concerns will potentially further set back the return of tourism,” said Terence Wu, a foreign-exchange strategist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore.\n“More importantly, we will be watching closely developments in the renminbi. The RMB has been strong on a basket basis, and that has sheltered the Asian currencies. Should the RMB start to show signs of weakness, expect the flow-through of dollar strength to the EM Asian currencies to be stronger.”\nChina Chance\n“Extreme dollar strength because of higher U.S. interest rates is a headwind for Asia and EM equities, but China and large Asean markets such as Indonesia could still outperform western markets in 2022 because of reversion to mean,” said Michael Rainer Preiss, portfolio strategist at Golden Equator Wealth. “China already had a big correction and the valuation argument for China equities is getting stronger.”\nMixed Asian FX\n“While Powell’s comments suggest the Fed could bring forward their rate hike to as soon as the middle of 2022, the dollar failed to rally on the back of this.,” said Khoon Goh, head of Asia research at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group in Singapore. “This is likely because the Fed Chair’s statement is only matching market expectations.”\n“The impact on Asian FX will likely be mixed. With export growth still strong in the region, as shown by today’s stronger than expected Korean numbers, currencies of export driven economies like KRW, CNH and SGD will fare well. Prospects for higher U.S. yields could weigh slightly on IDR due to reduced foreign bond inflows. THB will be more influenced by how the Omicron variant may affect Thailand’s tourism reopening.”\nThin Spreads\nThe spread cushion on Asian dollar bonds from rising Treasury yields is “thin at best” with valuations near multi-year tights, with the exception of China’s property issuers, according to Ek Pon Tay, BNP Paribas Asset Management’s senior portfolio manager in Singapore.\nTay recommends investors overweight investment-grade rated China property credits as these issuers are likely to survive in the event of a prolonged sector downturn and valuations offer ample spread cushion versus others.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609332817,"gmtCreate":1638237646668,"gmtModify":1638237647058,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609332817","repostId":"1164097100","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164097100","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638237374,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1164097100?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-30 09:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"AMC Stock Trends on NFT Giveaway for Marvel Spider-Man Tickets<blockquote>漫威蜘蛛侠门票NFT赠品的AMC股票趋势</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164097100","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is placing its bets on one super hero, Spider-Man. In fact, AMC stock is","content":"<p><div> AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is placing its bets on one super hero, Spider-Man. In fact, AMC stock is once again in focus after the theater chain announced it would give out86,000 non-fungible ...</p><p><blockquote><div>AMC院线（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）将赌注押在一位超级英雄蜘蛛侠身上。事实上，在这家连锁影院宣布将发行86,000部不可替代电影后，AMC股票再次成为焦点...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/amc-stock-trends-on-nft-giveaway-for-marvel-spider-man-tickets/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/amc-stock-trends-on-nft-giveaway-for-marvel-spider-man-tickets/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Stock Trends on NFT Giveaway for Marvel Spider-Man Tickets<blockquote>漫威蜘蛛侠门票NFT赠品的AMC股票趋势</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Stock Trends on NFT Giveaway for Marvel Spider-Man Tickets<blockquote>漫威蜘蛛侠门票NFT赠品的AMC股票趋势</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">InvestorPlace</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-30 09:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is placing its bets on one super hero, Spider-Man. In fact, AMC stock is once again in focus after the theater chain announced it would give out86,000 non-fungible ...</p><p><blockquote><div>AMC院线（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）将赌注押在一位超级英雄蜘蛛侠身上。事实上，在这家连锁影院宣布将发行86,000部不可替代电影后，AMC股票再次成为焦点...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/amc-stock-trends-on-nft-giveaway-for-marvel-spider-man-tickets/\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/amc-stock-trends-on-nft-giveaway-for-marvel-spider-man-tickets/\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/amc-stock-trends-on-nft-giveaway-for-marvel-spider-man-tickets/\">InvestorPlace</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2021/11/amc-stock-trends-on-nft-giveaway-for-marvel-spider-man-tickets/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164097100","content_text":"AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is placing its bets on one super hero, Spider-Man. In fact, AMC stock is once again in focus after the theater chain announced it would give out86,000 non-fungible tokenswith Marvel Spider-Man: No Way Hometickets. The combo of meme stock and NFTs certainly has investors watching!\nSo what do you need to know?\nAMC is truly breaking new ground with its first-ever NFT promotion. A joint effort between Sony Pictures and AMC, the collaboration will yield roughly 90,000 NFTs. The NFTs will go to a limited number of ticket buyers for the Dec. 16 premier.\nNow, there are some other conditions investors should note. To qualify for the NFTs, buyers must be members of AMC Stubs A-list, Stubs Premiere or AMC Investor Connect on the AMC website. Buyers must have their Stubs account number associated with the purchase, and their ticket must be scanned upon entrance to the movie. In addition, the NFTs must be redeemed by March 1.\nDespite the enticing offer, AMC stock was fairly unresponsive to the news, down 2% on the day.\nCan AMC Stock Overcome Its Meme-ified Past?\nAMC remains hopeful that it can entice the NFT bulls, and Spider-Man may be just the person it needs. Adam Aron, CEO of AMC,commented onthe giveaway and said this:\n\n “… the incredibly talented artists at Cub Studios are creating more than 100 unique NFTs giving appropriate respect to this most recent incarnation of the timeless and ever so popular Spider-Man franchise. For those members of our AMC Stubs A-List, AMC Stubs Premiere and AMC Investor Connect program who are among the first to purchase or reserve their ticket to opening day at AMC, this unprecedented Spider-Man NFT is truly a ticket-purchase gift like nothing we’ve ever offered before. … So, my advice is to get your Spider-Man tickets as quickly as you can.”\n\nAMC believes it can turn around its tumultuous past by calling in a crypto lifeline. If the moves catch the gaze of the Reddit bulls, it certainly remains a possibility.\nWith AMC currently at $36.84, it remains to be seen how much movement the NFT offer will grant it. One thing for sure is that all eyes are on AMC stock prices heading into the December premier.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600528541,"gmtCreate":1638177175881,"gmtModify":1638177177281,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3564398446314499","idStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600528541","repostId":"1124072014","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124072014","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638140765,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124072014?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-29 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"November jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124072014","media":"yahoo","summary":"As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor","content":"<p>As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从感恩节缩短的交易周回归，焦点将转向美国劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周五发布的月度就业报告将提供美国经济中招聘和劳动力参与实力的最新快照。经济学家一致认为，11月份将有50万个工作岗位回归，招聘速度仅较10月份的531,000个略有放缓。失业率也有望从10月的4.6%进一步改善至4.5%，达到2020年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)首席北美经济学家保罗·阿什沃斯(Paul Ashworth)写道：“我们预计11月份非农就业人数将增加50万人，但冬季新冠疫情风险不断增加以及可用工人供应减少将很快拖累就业增长。”，在上周的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> \"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply could<i>worsen</i>over the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非劳动力出现更显著的复苏，否则就业增长不可能以这种速度持续太久。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是劳动力供应可以<i>恶化</i>随着覆盖1亿工人的联邦疫苗授权于1月4日开始，未来几个月，”阿什沃斯补充道。“这表明工资增长将保持强劲，我们预计10月份平均时薪将[环比]增长0.4%。”</blockquote></p><p> On a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.</p><p><blockquote>与去年同期相比，平均时薪预计将增长5.0%，继10月份已经显着增长4.9%之后进一步加速，这是自2月份以来最快的工资增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Growing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.</p><p><blockquote>平均工资增长和劳动力市场紧张虽然对消费者及其消费能力有利，但也引发了人们对持续通胀的担忧。上周经济分析局公布的10月份个人消费支出(PCE)平减指数显示，该指数年率上涨5.0%，创1990年以来最大涨幅。核心PCE（即美联储首选的剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的通胀指标）同比上涨4.1%，为三十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Other recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>最近的其他数据集中在紧张的劳动力市场上，并预示着11月份就业报告可能强劲。上周首次申请失业救济人数降至19.9万人的52年低点，打破了之前大流行时期的低点和大流行前新首次申请失业救济人数的平均值。这再次凸显了美国雇主之间对劳动力的激烈竞争，在劳动力普遍短缺的情况下，公司试图雇用和留住现有劳动力。</blockquote></p><p> Even given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>即使考虑到这些挥之不去的短缺，劳动力参与率仍未恢复到大流行前的水平。与2020年2月相比，平民劳动力仍减少了近300万参与者，对病毒的担忧挥之不去，许多工作年龄的人渴望寻找具有更好灵活性和福利的新角色，这仍然使许多人处于劳动力的边缘。经济学家普遍预计，11月份劳动力参与率仅略有上升，达到61.7%，高于10月份的61.6%，但远低于2020年2月的63.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Returning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.</p><p><blockquote>将经济恢复到大流行前的劳动力参与水平，并确保不同群体公平地看到就业增长，已成为美联储的一个重点关注点。在这些方面仍有待弥补的距离也是美联储货币政策支持保持超宽松的最大因素，即使在一系列高于预期的通胀报告似乎需要采取更强硬的政策倾斜美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔再次被提名继续担任央行行长进一步表明，美联储将继续关注劳动力市场，将其作为货币政策的关键信息因素。</blockquote></p><p> \"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行经济学家贾斯汀·魏德纳(Justin Weidner)上周在一份报告中写道：“由于有证据表明通胀压力上升可能会持续更长时间，市场对美联储未来加息的看法已大幅提前。”“然而，正如鲍威尔主席11月新闻发布会所表明的那样，劳动力市场恢复最大就业的前景仍然是美联储最终何时开始积极收紧货币政策的关键考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Economic calendar</p><p><blockquote>经济日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b>Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b>10月份待售房屋环比（预期0.7%，9月份-2.3%）；11月达拉斯联储制造业活动指数（预期17.0，10月14.6）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>9月FHFA房价指数环比（预期为1.2%，8月为1.0%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城综合指数，9月环比（预期1.30%，8月1.17%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城市综合指数，9月（上月为19.66%）；11月MNI芝加哥PMI（预期67.0，10月68.4）；世界大型企业联合会11月消费者信心指数（预期110.0，10月113.8）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>MBA抵押贷款申请，11月26日（前一周为1.8%）；11月ADP就业变化（预期51.5万人，10月57.1万人）；Markit美国制造业PMI，11月终值（上月为59.1）；10月份建筑支出环比（预期0.5%，9月份-0.5%）；ISM制造业，11月（预期61.0，10月60.8）；美联储发布褐皮书</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>挑战者裁员，11月（10月为-71.7%）；截至11月27日当周首次申请失业救济人数（前一周为199,000人）；11月20日持续申请失业救济人数（前一周为2.049）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b>Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b>11月非农就业人数变化（预期50万，10月53.1万）；11月失业率（预期4.5%，10月4.6%）；11月平均时薪环比（预期0.4%，10月0.4%）；11月平均时薪同比（预期5.0%，10月4.9%）；Markit美国服务业PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为57.0）；Markit美国综合PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为56.5）；ISM服务业指数，11月（预期65.0，10月66.7）；10月工厂订单（预期0.5%，9月0.2%）；耐用品订单，10月份最终（上次打印为-0.5%）</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Earnings calendar</p><p><blockquote>盈利日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>Salesforce.com(CRM)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>PVH Corp.(PVH)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>Dollar General(DG)、Kroger(KR)开盘前；Ulta Beauty(ULTA)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>November jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNovember jobs report: What to know this week<blockquote>11月就业报告：本周需要了解什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">yahoo</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-29 07:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从感恩节缩短的交易周回归，焦点将转向美国劳动力市场。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周五发布的月度就业报告将提供美国经济中招聘和劳动力参与实力的最新快照。经济学家一致认为，11月份将有50万个工作岗位回归，招聘速度仅较10月份的531,000个略有放缓。失业率也有望从10月的4.6%进一步改善至4.5%，达到2020年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.</p><p><blockquote>凯投宏观(Capital Economics)首席北美经济学家保罗·阿什沃斯(Paul Ashworth)写道：“我们预计11月份非农就业人数将增加50万人，但冬季新冠疫情风险不断增加以及可用工人供应减少将很快拖累就业增长。”，在上周的一份报告中。</blockquote></p><p> \"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply could<i>worsen</i>over the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"</p><p><blockquote>“除非劳动力出现更显著的复苏，否则就业增长不可能以这种速度持续太久。如果说有什么不同的话，那就是劳动力供应可以<i>恶化</i>随着覆盖1亿工人的联邦疫苗授权于1月4日开始，未来几个月，”阿什沃斯补充道。“这表明工资增长将保持强劲，我们预计10月份平均时薪将[环比]增长0.4%。”</blockquote></p><p> On a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.</p><p><blockquote>与去年同期相比，平均时薪预计将增长5.0%，继10月份已经显着增长4.9%之后进一步加速，这是自2月份以来最快的工资增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Growing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.</p><p><blockquote>平均工资增长和劳动力市场紧张虽然对消费者及其消费能力有利，但也引发了人们对持续通胀的担忧。上周经济分析局公布的10月份个人消费支出(PCE)平减指数显示，该指数年率上涨5.0%，创1990年以来最大涨幅。核心PCE（即美联储首选的剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的通胀指标）同比上涨4.1%，为三十年来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> Other recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>最近的其他数据集中在紧张的劳动力市场上，并预示着11月份就业报告可能强劲。上周首次申请失业救济人数降至19.9万人的52年低点，打破了之前大流行时期的低点和大流行前新首次申请失业救济人数的平均值。这再次凸显了美国雇主之间对劳动力的激烈竞争，在劳动力普遍短缺的情况下，公司试图雇用和留住现有劳动力。</blockquote></p><p> Even given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>即使考虑到这些挥之不去的短缺，劳动力参与率仍未恢复到大流行前的水平。与2020年2月相比，平民劳动力仍减少了近300万参与者，对病毒的担忧挥之不去，许多工作年龄的人渴望寻找具有更好灵活性和福利的新角色，这仍然使许多人处于劳动力的边缘。经济学家普遍预计，11月份劳动力参与率仅略有上升，达到61.7%，高于10月份的61.6%，但远低于2020年2月的63.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Returning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.</p><p><blockquote>将经济恢复到大流行前的劳动力参与水平，并确保不同群体公平地看到就业增长，已成为美联储的一个重点关注点。在这些方面仍有待弥补的距离也是美联储货币政策支持保持超宽松的最大因素，即使在一系列高于预期的通胀报告似乎需要采取更强硬的政策倾斜美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔再次被提名继续担任央行行长进一步表明，美联储将继续关注劳动力市场，将其作为货币政策的关键信息因素。</blockquote></p><p> \"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"</p><p><blockquote>德意志银行经济学家贾斯汀·魏德纳(Justin Weidner)上周在一份报告中写道：“由于有证据表明通胀压力上升可能会持续更长时间，市场对美联储未来加息的看法已大幅提前。”“然而，正如鲍威尔主席11月新闻发布会所表明的那样，劳动力市场恢复最大就业的前景仍然是美联储最终何时开始积极收紧货币政策的关键考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Economic calendar</p><p><blockquote>经济日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b>Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b>10月份待售房屋环比（预期0.7%，9月份-2.3%）；11月达拉斯联储制造业活动指数（预期17.0，10月14.6）</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>9月FHFA房价指数环比（预期为1.2%，8月为1.0%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城综合指数，9月环比（预期1.30%，8月1.17%）；S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20城市综合指数，9月（上月为19.66%）；11月MNI芝加哥PMI（预期67.0，10月68.4）；世界大型企业联合会11月消费者信心指数（预期110.0，10月113.8）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>MBA抵押贷款申请，11月26日（前一周为1.8%）；11月ADP就业变化（预期51.5万人，10月57.1万人）；Markit美国制造业PMI，11月终值（上月为59.1）；10月份建筑支出环比（预期0.5%，9月份-0.5%）；ISM制造业，11月（预期61.0，10月60.8）；美联储发布褐皮书</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>挑战者裁员，11月（10月为-71.7%）；截至11月27日当周首次申请失业救济人数（前一周为199,000人）；11月20日持续申请失业救济人数（前一周为2.049）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b>Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b>11月非农就业人数变化（预期50万，10月53.1万）；11月失业率（预期4.5%，10月4.6%）；11月平均时薪环比（预期0.4%，10月0.4%）；11月平均时薪同比（预期5.0%，10月4.9%）；Markit美国服务业PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为57.0）；Markit美国综合PMI，11月最终数据（上一期为56.5）；ISM服务业指数，11月（预期65.0，10月66.7）；10月工厂订单（预期0.5%，9月0.2%）；耐用品订单，10月份最终（上次打印为-0.5%）</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Earnings calendar</p><p><blockquote>盈利日历</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Monday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>星期一：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Tuesday:</b>Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期二：</b>Salesforce.com(CRM)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Wednesday:</b>PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期三：</b>PVH Corp.(PVH)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Thursday:</b>Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期四：</b>Dollar General(DG)、Kroger(KR)开盘前；Ulta Beauty(ULTA)收盘后</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><b>Friday:</b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p><p><blockquote><li><b>星期五：</b><i>没有计划发布值得注意的报告</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html\">yahoo</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/november-jobs-report-what-to-know-this-week-144428419.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124072014","content_text":"As investors return from the Thanksgiving-shortened trading week, focus will shift to the U.S. labor market.\nThe Labor Department's monthly jobs report due for release on Friday is set to provide an updated snapshot of the strength in hiring and labor force participation in the U.S. economy. Consensus economists are looking for a half-million jobs to have returned in November, with the pace of hiring slowing only slightly from October's 531,000 gain. The unemployment rate is also expected to improve further to 4.5% from October's 4.6%, reaching the lowest level since March 2020.\n\"We expect non-farm payrolls to have risen by 500,000 in November, but the growing risk of a winter COVID wave and a dwindling supply of available workers will weigh on jobs growth soon,\" wrote Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist for Capital Economics, in a note last week.\n\"Employment growth can’t continue at this pace for much longer unless the labor force stages a more notable recovery. If anything, labor supply couldworsenover the coming months as the federal vaccine mandate covering 100 [million] workers begins on January 4,\" Ashworth added. \"That suggests wage growth will remain strong, and we expect a 0.4% [month-over-month] rise in average hourly earnings in October.\"\nOn a year-over-year basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 5.0%, accelerating even further after October's already marked 4.9% rise and representing the fastest wage growth rate since February.\nGrowing average wages and a tight labor market — while a positive for consumers and their ability to spend — has also stoked concerns over persistent inflation. Last week's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) deflator from the Bureau of Economic Analysis for October showed an annual jump of 5.0% in the index, or the biggest rise since 1990. And the core PCE, or the Fed's preferred inflation gauge stripping out volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.1% year-over-year — the most in three decades.\nOther recent data have homed in on the tight labor market and presaged a potentially strong November jobs report. Last week'sinitial jobless claims fell to a 52-year low of 199,000, taking out both the prior pandemic-era low and pre-pandemic average for new first-time filings. This served as yet another point underscoring the steep competition for labor among U.S. employers, with companies attempting to hire and retain their existing workforces amid widespread labor shortages.\nEven given these lingering scarcities, the labor force participation rate has yet to return to pre-pandemic levels. The civilian labor force was still down by nearly 3 million participants compared to February 2020, with lingering concerns over the virus and adesire by many working-age individuals to seek out new roles with better flexibility and benefitsstill keeping many individuals on the sidelines of the workforce. Consensus economists expect the labor force participation rate to tick up only slightly in November to reach 61.7%, growing from October's 61.6% but coming in well below the 63.3% rate from February 2020.\nReturning the economy back to pre-pandemic labor force participation levels and ensuring job gains are seen equitably across different groups has become a key focus for the Federal Reserve. And the distance still left to make up on these fronts has also been the biggest factor keeping the Fed ultra-accommodative with its monetary policy support, even after a parade of hotter-than-expected inflation reports that would appear to warrant a more hawkish policy tilt and a quicker-than-expected hike to interest rates.Fed Chair Jerome Powell's renomination to remain as head of the central bankfurther suggests the Fed's focus on the labor market as a critical informing factor for monetary policy will remain.\n\"Market views for future Fed rate increases have been pulled forward aggressively in response to evidence that elevated inflation pressures are likely to persist for longer,\" wrote Deutsche Bank economist Justin Weidner in a note last week. \"However, as Chair Powell's November press conference made evident, prospects for the labor market to return to maximum employment remain a critical consideration for when the Fed will eventually begin to actively tighten monetary policy.\"\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday:Pending home sales, month-over-month, October (0.7% expected, -2.3% in September); Dallas Federal Reserve Manufacturing Activity Index, November (17.0 expected, 14.6 in October)\nTuesday:FHFA House Price Index, month-over-month, September (1.2% expected, 1.0% in August); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, month-over-month, September (1.30% expected, 1.17% in August); S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Index, September (19.66% during prior month); MNI Chicago PMI, November (67.0 expected, 68.4 in October); Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, November (110.0 expected, 113.8 in October)\nWednesday:MBA Mortgage Applications, November 26 (1.8% during prior week); ADP Employment Change, November (515,000 expected, 571,000 in October); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, November final (59.1 during prior month); Construction Spending, month-over-month, October (0.5% expected, -0.5% in September); ISM Manufacturing, November (61.0 expected, 60.8 in October); Federal Reserve releases Beige Book\nThursday:Challenger job cuts, November (-71.7% in October); Initial jobless claims, week ended Nov. 27 (199,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, Nov. 20 (2.049 during prior week)\nFriday:Change in non-farm payrolls, November (500,000 expected, 531,000 in October); Unemployment rate, November (4.5% expected, 4.6% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, month-over-month, November (0.4% expected, 0.4% in October); Average Hourly Earnings, year-over-year, November (5.0% expected, 4.9% in October); Markit U.S. Services PMI, November final (57.0 in prior print); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, November final (56.5 in prior print); ISM Services Index, November (65.0 expected, 66.7 in October); Factory Orders, October (0.5% expected, 0.2% in September); Durable Goods Orders, October final (-0.5% in prior print)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday:No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday:Salesforce.com (CRM) after market close\nWednesday:PVH Corp. (PVH) after market close\nThursday:Dollar General (DG), Kroger (KR) before market open; Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close\nFriday:No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CRM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1312,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":601135160,"gmtCreate":1638496899351,"gmtModify":1638538276090,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ouch","listText":"Ouch","text":"Ouch","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":16,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601135160","repostId":"1155280176","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1019,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362282159,"gmtCreate":1614642743471,"gmtModify":1703479186381,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment please","listText":"Comment please","text":"Comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362282159","repostId":"1118801983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101406959,"gmtCreate":1619927718471,"gmtModify":1634209049276,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101406959","repostId":"1103106179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833984693,"gmtCreate":1629197766712,"gmtModify":1631883653295,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>solid results and upgrading guidance for 2021Note&nbsp;as an investor:&nbsp;I felt that this is not overvaluedd&nbsp;at 300 as it continue to&nbsp;deliver solid results. Averaging up is also a good strategy for companies that continue to deliver solid results.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>solid results and upgrading guidance for 2021Note&nbsp;as an investor:&nbsp;I felt that this is not overvaluedd&nbsp;at 300 as it continue to&nbsp;deliver solid results. Averaging up is also a good strategy for companies that continue to deliver solid results.&nbsp;","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$solid results and upgrading guidance for 2021Note as an investor: I felt that this is not overvaluedd at 300 as it continue to deliver solid results. Averaging up is also a good strategy for companies that continue to deliver solid results.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f8dc66b13582aff533541d7e0baea85","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833984693","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"9000000000000220","authorId":"9000000000000220","name":"沙漠追光大海逐风","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e30b7f24ce0a6599dcdfa3567f958dea","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000220","authorIdStr":"9000000000000220"},"content":"Sea Limited于2009年5月8日成立，前身是Garena Interactive Holding Limited。该公司是一家没有实质性业务的控股公司。该公司已经开发了一个集成的平台，包括数字娱乐(专注于在线游戏)、电子商务和数字金融服务(专注于电子钱包服务)，每个业务都能满足GSEA的独特需求。他们将GSEA定义为印度尼西亚、台湾、越南、泰国、菲律宾、马来西亚和新加坡的联合区域。原来是搞这个的，不可思议呀。","text":"Sea Limited于2009年5月8日成立，前身是Garena Interactive Holding Limited。该公司是一家没有实质性业务的控股公司。该公司已经开发了一个集成的平台，包括数字娱乐(专注于在线游戏)、电子商务和数字金融服务(专注于电子钱包服务)，每个业务都能满足GSEA的独特需求。他们将GSEA定义为印度尼西亚、台湾、越南、泰国、菲律宾、马来西亚和新加坡的联合区域。原来是搞这个的，不可思议呀。","html":"Sea Limited于2009年5月8日成立，前身是Garena Interactive Holding Limited。该公司是一家没有实质性业务的控股公司。该公司已经开发了一个集成的平台，包括数字娱乐(专注于在线游戏)、电子商务和数字金融服务(专注于电子钱包服务)，每个业务都能满足GSEA的独特需求。他们将GSEA定义为印度尼西亚、台湾、越南、泰国、菲律宾、马来西亚和新加坡的联合区域。原来是搞这个的，不可思议呀。"},{"author":{"id":"9000000000000158","authorId":"9000000000000158","name":"哎呀呀小伙子","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df6a0fed4b2624034014be633476534a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"9000000000000158","authorIdStr":"9000000000000158"},"content":"看了这么多股，唯独看这个股挪不开眼睛，谢谢博主，把他带到我眼前。","text":"看了这么多股，唯独看这个股挪不开眼睛，谢谢博主，把他带到我眼前。","html":"看了这么多股，唯独看这个股挪不开眼睛，谢谢博主，把他带到我眼前。"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366664539,"gmtCreate":1614476309121,"gmtModify":1703477693985,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment please","listText":"Like and comment please","text":"Like and comment please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366664539","repostId":"1117820997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148659035,"gmtCreate":1625973285927,"gmtModify":1633931211526,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment","listText":"Comment","text":"Comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148659035","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是一条单程之旅。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚大学法学院专门研究证券市场的教授约书亚·米茨(Joshua Mitts)表示：“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人已经赔钱了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)和一些国会议员讨论了改变市场规则，旨在增加保护零售交易者的透明度——尽管如果这些变化减慢交易速度或提高交易成本，也可能会激怒散户。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","SCHW":"嘉信理财","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","GME":"游戏驿站","BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SCHW":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"BB":0.9,"CARV":0.9,"NEGG":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CLOV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":589,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102780136,"gmtCreate":1620253864125,"gmtModify":1634206727577,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ohhh","listText":"Ohhh","text":"Ohhh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102780136","repostId":"1148686352","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148686352","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620224535,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148686352?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-05 22:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148686352","media":"benzinga","summary":"What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the ","content":"<p><div> What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the time. Where The Market Was:The Dow finished the day at 30.02. What Else Was Going On In The World?In...</p><p><blockquote><div>怎么回事？1893年的这一天，美股遭遇了当时历史上最严重的盘中跌幅。市场位置：道琼斯指数当天收于30.02点。世界上还发生了什么？在……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Day In Market History: Panic Of 1893 Crashes Stock Market<blockquote>市场历史上的这一天：1893年的恐慌导致股市崩盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-05 22:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the time. Where The Market Was:The Dow finished the day at 30.02. What Else Was Going On In The World?In...</p><p><blockquote><div>怎么回事？1893年的这一天，美股遭遇了当时历史上最严重的盘中跌幅。市场位置：道琼斯指数当天收于30.02点。世界上还发生了什么？在……</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/21/05/20964728/this-day-in-market-history-panic-of-1893-crashes-stock-market","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148686352","content_text":"What Happened?On this day in 1893, U.S. stocks suffered their worst intraday loss in history at the time.\nWhere The Market Was:The Dow finished the day at 30.02.\nWhat Else Was Going On In The World?In 1893, Thomas Edison completed the world’s first movie studio in West Orange, New Jersey. Lizzie Borden was acquitted of the ax murders of her father and stepmother. A fresh, one-pound beef steak cost 10 cents.\nPanic Of 1893:On May 5, 1893, the Dow Jones Index dropped more than 24% from 39.90 to 30.02. It would mark the worst intraday sell-off in U.S. history at the time, a record that would stand until 1929.\nThe Panic of 1893 was triggered in part by falling gold reserves in the U.S. Treasury. At the time, the U.S. was on the gold standard, meaning U.S. dollars could be redeemed for physical gold. When Treasury gold reserves dropped from $190 million in 1890 to $100 million by 1893, Americans grew concerned that the Treasury might run out of gold and began withdrawing bank notes and converting them to gold, placing extreme strain on the U.S. banking industry and credit markets.\nThe May 5 sell-off was triggered in part by the bankruptcy of Nation Cordage the day before.General Electric CompanyGE 0.34%shares dropped 28% on the day from $80 to $58.\nFortunately for investors, the Panic of 1893 didn’t last for long. By the end of the day, the market nearly completely recovered its losses. GE, for example, closed the session at $78.50.\nThe Panic of 1893 would ravage the U.S. economy, triggering a severe four-year depression. Roughly 14,000 U.S. businesses closed, and unemployment rose to 20%. The event would mark the worst economic downturn in U.S. history until the Great Depression began in 1929.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358778388,"gmtCreate":1616735950844,"gmtModify":1634524282271,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment please.Long Pins","listText":"Comment please.Long Pins","text":"Comment please.Long Pins","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358778388","repostId":"1104075181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1104075181","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616735825,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1104075181?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 13:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy Following Huge Sell-Offs<blockquote>大幅抛售后最值得买入的2只成长型股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1104075181","media":"fool","summary":"Just when it looked like the recent sell-off in growth stocks couldn't get any worse, it did. Leave ","content":"<p>Just when it looked like the recent sell-off in growth stocks couldn't get any worse, it did. Leave it to the stock market to always surprise investors -- both on the upside and the downside.</p><p><blockquote>就在最近成长型股票的抛售看起来不会变得更糟的时候，事实确实如此。让股市总是给投资者带来惊喜——无论是上涨还是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of growth stocks were slammed again this week as the tech-heavy<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>slid 2% on Wednesday and is down more than 1.2% as of this writing on Thursday. Many growth stocks slid 5 percentage points or more on Wednesday, with steep declines persisting today. This added to a big pullback for these stocks since mid-February. Investors have been doing some profit-taking on growth stocks following their significant outperformance last year and into the first month and a half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>由于科技股占主导地位，成长型股票本周再次遭受重创<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>周三下跌2%，截至周四撰写本文时已下跌超过1.2%。许多成长型股票周三下跌5个百分点或更多，今天仍在大幅下跌。这加剧了这些股票自二月中旬以来的大幅回调。继去年和2021年第一个半月表现显着优异之后，投资者一直在对成长型股票进行一些获利了结。</blockquote></p><p> But have some of these stocks fallen too far? Twogrowth stocksstarting to look attractive after declining sharply are visual search and media platform<b>Pinterest</b>(NYSE:PINS)and identity management specialist<b>Okta</b>(NASDAQ:OKTA).</p><p><blockquote>但其中一些股票是否跌幅过大？视觉搜索和媒体平台这两只成长型股票在大幅下跌后开始看起来有吸引力<b>Pinterest</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PINS）和身份管理专家<b>奥克塔</b>（纳斯达克：OKTA）。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at why these two growth stocks may be top buys for investors willing to buy and hold shares for the long haul.</p><p><blockquote>以下是为什么这两只成长型股票可能是愿意长期购买和持有股票的投资者的首选股票。</blockquote></p><p> Pinterest</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest</blockquote></p><p> While 2020 was a big year for Pinterest, COVID-19 actually wasn't a good thing for the company's revenue. With virtually all of the revenue coming from digital advertising, Pinterest's top-line growth slowed to just 4% in the second quarter of 2020. But the company did see a lift in user engagement. Monthly active user growth accelerated during the period as revenue growth slowed.</p><p><blockquote>虽然2020年对Pinterest来说是重要的一年，但COVID-19实际上对公司的收入来说并不是一件好事。由于几乎所有收入都来自数字广告，Pinterest的营收增长在2020年第二季度放缓至仅4%。但该公司确实看到了用户参与度的提升。随着收入增长放缓，月活跃用户增长在此期间加速。</blockquote></p><p> All of this, of course, made sense intuitively. Many advertisers pressed the pause button on their advertising campaigns amid economic uncertainty and lockdowns. Meanwhile, internet usage increased as consumers sheltered at home, benefiting apps like Pinterest.</p><p><blockquote>当然，所有这些直觉上都是有意义的。在经济不确定性和封锁期间，许多广告商按下了广告活动的暂停按钮。与此同时，随着消费者躲在家里，互联网使用量增加，Pinterest等应用程序受益。</blockquote></p><p> But where Pinterest has been winning over investors is with its ability to keep growing its user base while simultaneously returning to very high revenue growth since the peak of consumer sheltering and lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>但Pinterest赢得投资者的地方在于，它有能力不断扩大用户群，同时自消费者庇护和封锁高峰以来恢复到非常高的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Showing how well thetech companyhas been executing, Pinterest wrapped up 2020 with fourth-quarter revenue growing 76% year over year to $706 million. Monthly active users were 459 million, up 37% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest在2020年第四季度收入同比增长76%至7.06亿美元，这显示了这家科技公司的执行情况。月活跃用户为4.59亿，同比增长37%。</blockquote></p><p> Okta</p><p><blockquote>奥克塔</blockquote></p><p> Okta's business wasn't as volatile as Pinterest's during the pandemic. Revenue growth rates stayed in the 40s throughout 2020, with the company growing total revenue in fiscal 2021 (the 12-month period ending Jan. 31, 2021) by 43% year over year. Okta's strong performance during a turbulent year highlighted the resilience of the company's enterprise-focused software-as-a-service business model.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间，Okta的业务不像Pinterest那样波动。2020年全年收入增长率保持在40%左右，公司2021财年（截至2021年1月31日的12个月期间）总收入同比增长43%。Okta在动荡的一年中的强劲表现凸显了该公司以企业为中心的软件即服务业务模式的弹性。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, Okta is now generating substantial free cash flow, or cash left over after regular operations and capital investments are taken care of. Fiscal 2021 free cash flow was $111 million, or about 13% of revenue. This compares to fiscal 2020 free cash flow of $36 million, or 6% of revenue.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Okta现在正在产生大量的自由现金流，即在处理常规运营和资本投资后剩余的现金。2021财年自由现金流为1.11亿美元，约占营收的13%。相比之下，2020财年的自由现金流为3600万美元，占收入的6%。</blockquote></p><p> Why this may be a buying opportunity</p><p><blockquote>为什么这可能是一个买入机会</blockquote></p><p> Highlighting why Pinterest and Okta may be good long-term investments during this sell-off, both management teams indicate their businesses are early in their growth stories.</p><p><blockquote>两个管理团队强调了为什么Pinterest和Okta在这次抛售期间可能是良好的长期投资，并表示他们的业务正处于增长故事的早期。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the two companies' guidance for revenue for their current quarters. Pinterest said its first-quarter revenue will grow at a year-over-year rate in the low 70s. Okta management guided for fiscal first-quarter revenue to increase 30% to 31% year over year. And keep in mind that these companies typically provide conservative outlooks.</p><p><blockquote>考虑两家公司当前季度的收入指引。Pinterest表示，其第一季度收入将同比增长70%左右。Okta管理层预计第一财季收入同比增长30%至31%。请记住，这些公司通常提供保守的前景。</blockquote></p><p> A recent sell-off in growth stocks gives investors a good opportunity to buy shares of high-quality companies growing rapidly. More importantly, both companies look poised to continue growing at strong rates for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>近期成长股的抛售为投资者提供了买入快速增长的优质公司股票的良机。更重要的是，两家公司看起来都准备在未来几年继续强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Though there's no guarantee either of these stocks will pan out to be a market outperformer over the next five to 10 years, I'd venture to say that the odds of strong returns would be in investors' favor if they got in on Pinterest and Okta at these prices.</p><p><blockquote>尽管不能保证这两只股票在未来5到10年内表现优于市场，但我敢说，如果投资者买入Pinterest和Okta，获得强劲回报的可能性将对他们有利。这些价格。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy Following Huge Sell-Offs<blockquote>大幅抛售后最值得买入的2只成长型股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy Following Huge Sell-Offs<blockquote>大幅抛售后最值得买入的2只成长型股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 13:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Just when it looked like the recent sell-off in growth stocks couldn't get any worse, it did. Leave it to the stock market to always surprise investors -- both on the upside and the downside.</p><p><blockquote>就在最近成长型股票的抛售看起来不会变得更糟的时候，事实确实如此。让股市总是给投资者带来惊喜——无论是上涨还是下跌。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of growth stocks were slammed again this week as the tech-heavy<b>Nasdaq Composite</b>slid 2% on Wednesday and is down more than 1.2% as of this writing on Thursday. Many growth stocks slid 5 percentage points or more on Wednesday, with steep declines persisting today. This added to a big pullback for these stocks since mid-February. Investors have been doing some profit-taking on growth stocks following their significant outperformance last year and into the first month and a half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>由于科技股占主导地位，成长型股票本周再次遭受重创<b>纳斯达克复合材料</b>周三下跌2%，截至周四撰写本文时已下跌超过1.2%。许多成长型股票周三下跌5个百分点或更多，今天仍在大幅下跌。这加剧了这些股票自二月中旬以来的大幅回调。继去年和2021年第一个半月表现显着优异之后，投资者一直在对成长型股票进行一些获利了结。</blockquote></p><p> But have some of these stocks fallen too far? Twogrowth stocksstarting to look attractive after declining sharply are visual search and media platform<b>Pinterest</b>(NYSE:PINS)and identity management specialist<b>Okta</b>(NASDAQ:OKTA).</p><p><blockquote>但其中一些股票是否跌幅过大？视觉搜索和媒体平台这两只成长型股票在大幅下跌后开始看起来有吸引力<b>Pinterest</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PINS）和身份管理专家<b>奥克塔</b>（纳斯达克：OKTA）。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at why these two growth stocks may be top buys for investors willing to buy and hold shares for the long haul.</p><p><blockquote>以下是为什么这两只成长型股票可能是愿意长期购买和持有股票的投资者的首选股票。</blockquote></p><p> Pinterest</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest</blockquote></p><p> While 2020 was a big year for Pinterest, COVID-19 actually wasn't a good thing for the company's revenue. With virtually all of the revenue coming from digital advertising, Pinterest's top-line growth slowed to just 4% in the second quarter of 2020. But the company did see a lift in user engagement. Monthly active user growth accelerated during the period as revenue growth slowed.</p><p><blockquote>虽然2020年对Pinterest来说是重要的一年，但COVID-19实际上对公司的收入来说并不是一件好事。由于几乎所有收入都来自数字广告，Pinterest的营收增长在2020年第二季度放缓至仅4%。但该公司确实看到了用户参与度的提升。随着收入增长放缓，月活跃用户增长在此期间加速。</blockquote></p><p> All of this, of course, made sense intuitively. Many advertisers pressed the pause button on their advertising campaigns amid economic uncertainty and lockdowns. Meanwhile, internet usage increased as consumers sheltered at home, benefiting apps like Pinterest.</p><p><blockquote>当然，所有这些直觉上都是有意义的。在经济不确定性和封锁期间，许多广告商按下了广告活动的暂停按钮。与此同时，随着消费者躲在家里，互联网使用量增加，Pinterest等应用程序受益。</blockquote></p><p> But where Pinterest has been winning over investors is with its ability to keep growing its user base while simultaneously returning to very high revenue growth since the peak of consumer sheltering and lockdowns.</p><p><blockquote>但Pinterest赢得投资者的地方在于，它有能力不断扩大用户群，同时自消费者庇护和封锁高峰以来恢复到非常高的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Showing how well thetech companyhas been executing, Pinterest wrapped up 2020 with fourth-quarter revenue growing 76% year over year to $706 million. Monthly active users were 459 million, up 37% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest在2020年第四季度收入同比增长76%至7.06亿美元，这显示了这家科技公司的执行情况。月活跃用户为4.59亿，同比增长37%。</blockquote></p><p> Okta</p><p><blockquote>奥克塔</blockquote></p><p> Okta's business wasn't as volatile as Pinterest's during the pandemic. Revenue growth rates stayed in the 40s throughout 2020, with the company growing total revenue in fiscal 2021 (the 12-month period ending Jan. 31, 2021) by 43% year over year. Okta's strong performance during a turbulent year highlighted the resilience of the company's enterprise-focused software-as-a-service business model.</p><p><blockquote>疫情期间，Okta的业务不像Pinterest那样波动。2020年全年收入增长率保持在40%左右，公司2021财年（截至2021年1月31日的12个月期间）总收入同比增长43%。Okta在动荡的一年中的强劲表现凸显了该公司以企业为中心的软件即服务业务模式的弹性。</blockquote></p><p> Notably, Okta is now generating substantial free cash flow, or cash left over after regular operations and capital investments are taken care of. Fiscal 2021 free cash flow was $111 million, or about 13% of revenue. This compares to fiscal 2020 free cash flow of $36 million, or 6% of revenue.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，Okta现在正在产生大量的自由现金流，即在处理常规运营和资本投资后剩余的现金。2021财年自由现金流为1.11亿美元，约占营收的13%。相比之下，2020财年的自由现金流为3600万美元，占收入的6%。</blockquote></p><p> Why this may be a buying opportunity</p><p><blockquote>为什么这可能是一个买入机会</blockquote></p><p> Highlighting why Pinterest and Okta may be good long-term investments during this sell-off, both management teams indicate their businesses are early in their growth stories.</p><p><blockquote>两个管理团队强调了为什么Pinterest和Okta在这次抛售期间可能是良好的长期投资，并表示他们的业务正处于增长故事的早期。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the two companies' guidance for revenue for their current quarters. Pinterest said its first-quarter revenue will grow at a year-over-year rate in the low 70s. Okta management guided for fiscal first-quarter revenue to increase 30% to 31% year over year. And keep in mind that these companies typically provide conservative outlooks.</p><p><blockquote>考虑两家公司当前季度的收入指引。Pinterest表示，其第一季度收入将同比增长70%左右。Okta管理层预计第一财季收入同比增长30%至31%。请记住，这些公司通常提供保守的前景。</blockquote></p><p> A recent sell-off in growth stocks gives investors a good opportunity to buy shares of high-quality companies growing rapidly. More importantly, both companies look poised to continue growing at strong rates for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>近期成长股的抛售为投资者提供了买入快速增长的优质公司股票的良机。更重要的是，两家公司看起来都准备在未来几年继续强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Though there's no guarantee either of these stocks will pan out to be a market outperformer over the next five to 10 years, I'd venture to say that the odds of strong returns would be in investors' favor if they got in on Pinterest and Okta at these prices.</p><p><blockquote>尽管不能保证这两只股票在未来5到10年内表现优于市场，但我敢说，如果投资者买入Pinterest和Okta，获得强劲回报的可能性将对他们有利。这些价格。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/25/2-top-growth-stocks-to-buy-following-huge-sell-off/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/25/2-top-growth-stocks-to-buy-following-huge-sell-off/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1104075181","content_text":"Just when it looked like the recent sell-off in growth stocks couldn't get any worse, it did. Leave it to the stock market to always surprise investors -- both on the upside and the downside.\nShares of growth stocks were slammed again this week as the tech-heavyNasdaq Compositeslid 2% on Wednesday and is down more than 1.2% as of this writing on Thursday. Many growth stocks slid 5 percentage points or more on Wednesday, with steep declines persisting today. This added to a big pullback for these stocks since mid-February. Investors have been doing some profit-taking on growth stocks following their significant outperformance last year and into the first month and a half of 2021.\nBut have some of these stocks fallen too far? Twogrowth stocksstarting to look attractive after declining sharply are visual search and media platformPinterest(NYSE:PINS)and identity management specialistOkta(NASDAQ:OKTA).\nHere's a closer look at why these two growth stocks may be top buys for investors willing to buy and hold shares for the long haul.\nPinterest\nWhile 2020 was a big year for Pinterest, COVID-19 actually wasn't a good thing for the company's revenue. With virtually all of the revenue coming from digital advertising, Pinterest's top-line growth slowed to just 4% in the second quarter of 2020. But the company did see a lift in user engagement. Monthly active user growth accelerated during the period as revenue growth slowed.\nAll of this, of course, made sense intuitively. Many advertisers pressed the pause button on their advertising campaigns amid economic uncertainty and lockdowns. Meanwhile, internet usage increased as consumers sheltered at home, benefiting apps like Pinterest.\nBut where Pinterest has been winning over investors is with its ability to keep growing its user base while simultaneously returning to very high revenue growth since the peak of consumer sheltering and lockdowns.\nShowing how well thetech companyhas been executing, Pinterest wrapped up 2020 with fourth-quarter revenue growing 76% year over year to $706 million. Monthly active users were 459 million, up 37% year over year.\nOkta\nOkta's business wasn't as volatile as Pinterest's during the pandemic. Revenue growth rates stayed in the 40s throughout 2020, with the company growing total revenue in fiscal 2021 (the 12-month period ending Jan. 31, 2021) by 43% year over year. Okta's strong performance during a turbulent year highlighted the resilience of the company's enterprise-focused software-as-a-service business model.\nNotably, Okta is now generating substantial free cash flow, or cash left over after regular operations and capital investments are taken care of. Fiscal 2021 free cash flow was $111 million, or about 13% of revenue. This compares to fiscal 2020 free cash flow of $36 million, or 6% of revenue.\nWhy this may be a buying opportunity\nHighlighting why Pinterest and Okta may be good long-term investments during this sell-off, both management teams indicate their businesses are early in their growth stories.\nConsider the two companies' guidance for revenue for their current quarters. Pinterest said its first-quarter revenue will grow at a year-over-year rate in the low 70s. Okta management guided for fiscal first-quarter revenue to increase 30% to 31% year over year. And keep in mind that these companies typically provide conservative outlooks.\nA recent sell-off in growth stocks gives investors a good opportunity to buy shares of high-quality companies growing rapidly. More importantly, both companies look poised to continue growing at strong rates for years to come.\nThough there's no guarantee either of these stocks will pan out to be a market outperformer over the next five to 10 years, I'd venture to say that the odds of strong returns would be in investors' favor if they got in on Pinterest and Okta at these prices.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143480269,"gmtCreate":1625808894151,"gmtModify":1633937092310,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bargain or avoid?","listText":"Bargain or avoid?","text":"Bargain or avoid?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143480269","repostId":"1156648329","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155221919,"gmtCreate":1625441337831,"gmtModify":1633940770258,"author":{"id":"3564398446314499","authorId":"3564398446314499","name":"Gibbie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac29ad2a0a11289a908ae00b770dc0c5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3564398446314499","authorIdStr":"3564398446314499"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>shopee","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$SEA LTD(SE)$</a>shopee","text":"$SEA LTD(SE)$shopee","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/365ec66950ce412ead6ee39656c7b25c","width":"1440","height":"2560"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155221919","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}