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Jjireh

Jjireh

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2022-01-10

‌[财迷] ‌

3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote>

2021-12-18

rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio

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2021-12-04

Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more

Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中上涨 7%</blockquote>

2021-11-29

Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays

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2021-11-01

pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]

@小虎活动:A BIG BIG November for Tiger Brokers!!

2021-10-09

good stuff thanks

6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>

2021-10-02

fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips

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2021-09-30

so fi is it, pun intended

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2021-09-27

right research will save one from more pain later

Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点：市场分析师无法就股市下一步走势达成一致。因此，在购买或出售之前，请仔细检查数据</blockquote>

2021-09-21

one of the best summary of key points in macd out there

Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这 2 个内部提示来了解何时买卖</blockquote>

2021-09-17

agree absolutely

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2021-09-01

well wriiten

@Sorrie2u:market view end 21

2021-09-01

one to look out for

@ysyyay:$Amyris(AMRS)$nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!

2021-08-27

Big move

2021-08-08

good to know not all that glitters is Gold

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2021-07-23

Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ

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2021-06-01

check out absolute software also (abst)

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2021-05-27

[龇牙]

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2021-05-09

Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices

Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币吧——这只股票更值得购买</blockquote>

2021-04-28

good time to buy the dip [财迷] [财迷]

Pinterest shares sink as easing of pandemic restrictions weighs on user growth<blockquote>由于大流行限制放松拖累用户增长，Pinterest股价下跌</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"\">[财迷]&nbsp;</a>‌","listText":"‌<a href=\"\">[财迷]&nbsp;</a>‌","text":"‌[财迷] ‌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694393868","repostId":"1134509683","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134509683","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1641612579,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1134509683?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-08 11:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134509683","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These three COVID-19 stocks could rake in a tremendous amount of cash this year.","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>新的一年了，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到了医疗保健领域多种COVID疫苗和治疗的紧急使用授权。制药公司将在 2022 年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值 3100 亿美元的巨型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药丸的销售额将不是 10 亿美元或 100 亿美元，而是超过 500 亿美元。好斗<b>诺瓦瓦克斯</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NVAX）终于在世界各地推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>生物技术</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）它有一种药物很容易成为小型生物技术公司10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的安全港湾</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·布德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎药品无可争议的冠军。仅在 2022 年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗 Comirnaty 和口服抗病毒药 Paxlovid 的销售额就将达到 550 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受 Paxlovid 可能成为该公司当前十年可持续收入来源的想法。上个月，当美国食品药品监督管理局根据紧急使用授权途径首次允许该药物投放市场时，华尔街认为 Paxlovid 可能会在一年左右的时间内达到商业顶峰，然后随着疫情淡出视野，销售额将大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次批准还有不到三周的时间，很明显，Paxlovid 可能会在未来几年内被用作防止 COVID-19 最糟糕后果的故障安全药物。毕竟，高度传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着辉瑞应该是少数几家拥有可观的长期 COVID-19 收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及在可预见的未来雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够经受住高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一看。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax 收入预测：20 亿至 80 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（诺瓦瓦克斯）：</b>Novavax 今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司股价跌至每股 125 美元。这就是它在 2021 年开始的地方，所以去年对于该股来说几乎是一次洗牌。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在 2 月份，当 Novavax 报告其新冠疫苗的 3 期数据积极时，股价就飙升至 300 美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人称其疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约 20 亿剂疫苗的合同生产规模说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股从高点下跌了约 60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax 的收入已经达到了 10 亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预购，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经大受欢迎。现在，来自世界各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗剂量。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度财报看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的产能。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测 2022 年将分发 20 亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购1亿剂），我们得到了320亿美元的收入。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。虽然该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在 8 月份就表示，根据欧盟 (EU) 协议，它每剂支付了近 21 美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，仅在欧洲的销售额就超过了40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师极其保守，预测 Novavax 2022 年的市值在 20 亿至 80 亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为 90 亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些小问题，但 Novavax 肯定会在 2022 年从其 COVID-19 疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像所说的那样交付了 20 亿剂疫苗，那么该股可能会有显着的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场本身</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（来自生物技术）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前正在猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生元</b>被认为对当前变体的活性明显减弱。这样就只剩下一个能有效对抗奥密克戎--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及 Vir Biotechnology 的 sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体此前已证明，患有轻度至中度 COVID-19 且有发展为严重疾病高风险的成年人的住院和死亡风险降低了 79%。这是现在唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为该区块上唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021 年前 9 个月，REGEN-COV 带来了 35 亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了 11.7 亿美元的收入。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院里挤满了病人，任何有助于减轻系统压力的东西都可能会受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的 Paxlovid 将极大地有助于减轻 COVID-19 对医疗保健系统的负担，但口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像常用处方药物的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的止痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用表示担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了足够的空间。根据与葛兰素史克的协议，Vir 获得了 sotrovimab 72.5% 的销售额，这家价值 44 亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 COVID Stocks That Will Make Billions in 2022<blockquote>2022 年将赚取数十亿美元的 3 只新冠股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-08 11:29</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>It&#39;s a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body>新的一年了，新冠肺炎仍然和我们在一起。去年，我们看到了医疗保健领域多种COVID疫苗和治疗的紧急使用授权。制药公司将在 2022 年赚取数十亿美元。以下是三只应该蓬勃发展的股票。</body></html></blockquote></p><p><b>Pfizer</b>(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy <b>Novavax</b>(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in <b>Vir Biotechnology</b>(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.</p><p><blockquote><b>辉瑞</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PFE）是一家价值 3100 亿美元的巨型公司，预计其新冠疫苗和抗病毒药丸的销售额将不是 10 亿美元或 100 亿美元，而是超过 500 亿美元。好斗<b>诺瓦瓦克斯</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：NVAX）终于在世界各地推出了新冠疫苗。它将获得多少亿？我们有一个黑马候选人<b>生物技术</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：VIR）它有一种药物很容易成为小型生物技术公司10亿美元的重磅炸弹。</blockquote></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/488a166201699c1f3d6536aa3e640ecf\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p><b>A safe harbor in stormy weather</b></p><p><blockquote><b>暴风雨天气中的安全港湾</b></blockquote></p><p><b>George Budwell(Pfizer):</b>Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.</p><p><blockquote><b>乔治·布德威尔（辉瑞）：</b>辉瑞是新冠肺炎药品无可争议的冠军。仅在 2022 年，华尔街预计这家制药巨头的新型冠状病毒疫苗 Comirnaty 和口服抗病毒药 Paxlovid 的销售额就将达到 550 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>What&#39;s more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，分析师开始接受 Paxlovid 可能成为该公司当前十年可持续收入来源的想法。上个月，当美国食品药品监督管理局根据紧急使用授权途径首次允许该药物投放市场时，华尔街认为 Paxlovid 可能会在一年左右的时间内达到商业顶峰，然后随着疫情淡出视野，销售额将大幅下降。</blockquote></p><p>But less than three weeks out from the drug&#39;s initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.</p><p><blockquote>但距离该药物首次批准还有不到三周的时间，很明显，Paxlovid 可能会在未来几年内被用作防止 COVID-19 最糟糕后果的故障安全药物。毕竟，高度传染性的奥密克戎变种肯定不会是该病毒的最后一次重大迭代。</blockquote></p><p>What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>这一切意味着辉瑞应该是少数几家拥有可观的长期 COVID-19 收入来源的大型制药商之一。反过来，辉瑞应该有充足的自由现金流来满足其慷慨的股东奖励计划以及在可预见的未来雄心勃勃的业务发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>So, if you&#39;re looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.</p><p><blockquote>因此，如果您正在寻找一只能够经受住高通胀和利率上升双重阻力的股票，辉瑞可能值得一看。</blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Novavax 收入预测：20 亿至 80 亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Taylor Carmichael(Novavax):</b>Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company&#39;s stock price is down to $125 a share. That&#39;s where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.</p><p><blockquote><b>泰勒·卡迈克尔（诺瓦瓦克斯）：</b>Novavax 今年正处于伟大的边缘。该公司股价跌至每股 125 美元。这就是它在 2021 年开始的地方，所以去年对于该股来说几乎是一次洗牌。</blockquote></p><p>Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.</p><p><blockquote>早在 2 月份，当 Novavax 报告其新冠疫苗的 3 期数据积极时，股价就飙升至 300 美元以上。但后来这家小型生物技术公司遇到了制造问题。虽然许多人称其疫苗是同类产品中最好的，但扩大约 20 亿剂疫苗的合同生产规模说起来容易做起来难。这些现实导致该股从高点下跌了约 60%。</blockquote></p><p>Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it&#39;s highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company&#39;s already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，Novavax 的收入已经达到了 10 亿美元大关，因此由于所有的预购，其疫苗甚至在获得批准之前就已经大受欢迎。现在，来自世界各地的授权纷至沓来，Novavax很有可能在2022年运送大量疫苗剂量。该公司已经实现了每月1亿剂的生产能力，即一年12亿剂。在第三季度财报看涨期权上，管理层预测到第四季度末将达到每月1.5亿剂（或每年18亿剂）的产能。该公司预计将继续扩大规模，并预测 2022 年将分发 20 亿剂疫苗。</blockquote></p><p>Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that&#39;s over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.</p><p><blockquote>20亿剂疫苗，价格为16美元（曲速行动支付了16亿美元预购1亿剂），我们得到了320亿美元的收入。当然，Novavax将以较低的速度向发展中国家分发大量疫苗。虽然该公司对其价格保持沉默，但丹麦早在 8 月份就表示，根据欧盟 (EU) 协议，它每剂支付了近 21 美元。欧盟已经订购了2亿剂，仅在欧洲的销售额就超过了40亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company&#39;s market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.</p><p><blockquote>分析师极其保守，预测 Novavax 2022 年的市值在 20 亿至 80 亿美元之间。（该公司的市值为 90 亿美元。）虽然一路上可能会出现一些小问题，但 Novavax 肯定会在 2022 年从其 COVID-19 疫苗中赚取数十亿美元。如果该公司确实像所说的那样交付了 20 亿剂疫苗，那么该股可能会有显着的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p><b>The antibody market all to itself</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抗体市场本身</b></blockquote></p><p><b>Patrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):</b>The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from <b>Eli Lilly</b> (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from <b>Roche</b>and<b>Regeneron</b> are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--<b>GlaxoSmithKline</b> and Vir Biotechnology&#39;s sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it&#39;s the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>Patrick Bafuma（来自生物技术）：</b>奥密克戎变种目前正在猖獗，这一次，我们缺少一些治疗方法。以前青睐的单克隆抗体治疗来自<b>礼来</b>（bamlanivimab加etesevimab）以及来自<b>罗氏</b>和<b>再生元</b>被认为对当前变体的活性明显减弱。这样就只剩下一个能有效对抗奥密克戎--<b>葛兰素史克</b>以及 Vir Biotechnology 的 sotrovimab。这种单克隆抗体此前已证明，患有轻度至中度 COVID-19 且有发展为严重疾病高风险的成年人的住院和死亡风险降低了 79%。这是现在唯一一个对抗奥密克戎变种的人。</blockquote></p><p>Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly&#39;s antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.</p><p><blockquote>作为该区块上唯一的单克隆抗体将有其特权。2021 年前 9 个月，REGEN-COV 带来了 35 亿美元的产品净销售额，而礼来公司的抗体组合带来了 11.7 亿美元的收入。美国政府已经签订了价值约10亿美元的sotrovimab合同。随着医院里挤满了病人，任何有助于减轻系统压力的东西都可能会受到高度追捧。</blockquote></p><p>And while Pfizer&#39;s Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who&#39;s who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid&#39;s possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.</p><p><blockquote>虽然辉瑞的 Paxlovid 将极大地有助于减轻 COVID-19 对医疗保健系统的负担，但口服药物具有显着且复杂的药物相互作用潜力。事实上，它的相互作用列表读起来就像常用处方药物的名人录。这包括流行的血液稀释剂，如波立维和Xarelto，常见的止痛药，如曲马多和羟考酮，抗焦虑药，如Klonopin和Xanax，以及抗胆固醇他汀类药物。随着美国国立卫生研究院发表声明，对Paxlovid可能的药物相互作用表示担忧，这为sotrovimab继续广泛使用留下了足够的空间。根据与葛兰素史克的协议，Vir 获得了 sotrovimab 72.5% 的销售额，这家价值 44 亿美元的生物技术公司目前看起来很划算。</blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","PFE":"辉瑞","VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/07/3-covid-stocks-that-will-make-billions-in-2022/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134509683","content_text":"It's a new year and COVID-19 is still with us. Last year we saw Emergency Use Authorizations for multiple COVID vaccines and treatments across the healthcare space. Pharmaceutical companies are set to make billions of dollars in 2022. Here are three stocks that should thrive.Pfizer(NYSE:PFE), the $310 billion mega cap, is expected to bring in not $1 billion or $10 billion but over $50 billion in sales for its COVID vaccine and antiviral pill. Scrappy Novavax(NASDAQ:NVAX)is finally introducing its COVID vaccine around the world. How many billions will it receive? And we have a dark horse candidate in Vir Biotechnology(NASDAQ:VIR). It has a drug that could easily be a $1 billion blockbuster for the tiny biotech.IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.A safe harbor in stormy weatherGeorge Budwell(Pfizer):Pfizer is the undisputed champion of COVID-19 pharmaceutical products. In 2022 alone, Wall Street expects the pharma giant to rake in $55 billion in sales between its novel coronavirus vaccine, Comirnaty, and its oral antiviral pill, Paxlovid.What's more, analysts are starting to warm up to the idea that Paxlovid might be a sustainable revenue generator for the company over the course of the current decade. When the drug was first allowed on the market by the Food and Drug Administration under the Emergency Use Authorization pathway last month, Wall Street thought Paxlovid would likely peak from a commercial standpoint within a year or so, and then experience a dramatic drop in sales as the pandemic faded from view.But less than three weeks out from the drug's initial approval, it is becoming painfully obvious that Paxlovid will probably be required as a fail-safe against the worst outcomes from COVID-19 for several more years. The highly infectious omicron variant, after all, will certainly not be the last major iteration of the virus.What this all means is that Pfizer ought to be one of the few large-cap drugmakers with a sizable, long-term COVID-19 revenue source. Pfizer, in turn, should have ample free cash flows to feed its generous shareholder reward program, as well as its ambitious business development plans, for the foreseeable future.So, if you're looking for a stock that can weather the dual headwinds of sky-high inflation and rising interest rates, Pfizer might be worth checking out.Revenue forecasts for Novavax:  $2 billion to $8 billionTaylor Carmichael(Novavax):Novavax is on the verge of greatness this year. The company's stock price is down to $125 a share. That's where it started in 2021, so last year was pretty much a washout for the stock.Back in February the share price zoomed over $300 when Novavax reported positive phase 3 data for its COVID vaccine. But then the small biotech ran into manufacturing issues. While its vaccine is said by many to be the best in class, scaling up the contract manufacturing for an estimated 2 billion doses of vaccine is easier said than done. And those realities have caused the stock to drop about 60% off its highs.Nonetheless, Novavax has already hit the $1 billion revenue mark, so its vaccine was a blockbuster even before it was approved, because of all the preorders. Now that authorizations are pouring in from around the globe, it's highly likely that Novavax will ship a massive number of vaccine doses in 2022. The company's already achieved a manufacturing capacity of 100 million doses a month, or 1.2 billion doses in a year. On the third-quarter earnings call, management predicted it would reach a manufacturing capacity of 150 million doses every month (or 1.8 billion doses a year) by the end of the fourth quarter. And the company expects to continue to scale and forecasts that it will distribute 2 billion doses in 2022.Two billion doses of vaccine, at a price point of $16 (Operation Warp Speed paid $1.6 billion to pre-order 100 million doses) gives us a back-of-the-envelope calculation of $32 billion in revenue. Of course, Novavax will be distributing a lot of vaccines to the developing world at a reduced rate. While the company has been quiet about its prices, Denmark said back in August that it paid almost $21 a dose under the European Union (EU) agreement. The EU has ordered 200 million doses, so that's over $4 billion in sales, just in Europe.Analysts are being extremely conservative, with a forecast ranging from $2 billion to $8 billion for Novavax in 2022. (The company's market cap sits at $9 billion.) While there may be hiccups along the way, Novavax is sure to make billions of dollars off its COVID-19 vaccine in 2022. And there could be significant upside to the stock if the company does indeed deliver 2 billion doses as it says it will.The antibody market all to itselfPatrick Bafuma(Vir Biotechnology):The omicron variant is currently running rampant, and this time, we are short a few treatments. Previously favored monoclonal antibody treatments from Eli Lilly (bamlanivimab plus etesevimab) as well as the REGEN-COV cocktail from RocheandRegeneron are believed to have marked diminished activity against the current variant. This leaves a single infusiont hought to be active against omicron--GlaxoSmithKline and Vir Biotechnology's sotrovimab. This monoclonal antibody previously demonstrated a reduced risk of hospitalization and death by 79% in adults with mild to moderate COVID-19 and at high risk of progression to severe disease. And it's the only one left right now to fight the omicron variant.Being the sole monoclonal antibody on the block will have its privileges. Through the first nine months of 2021, REGEN-COV brought in $3.5 billion in net product sales, while Eli Lilly's antibody combination brought in $1.17 billion. The U.S. government has already contracted for approximately $1 billion worth of sotrovimab. With hospitals overflowing with patients, anything that can help alleviate some of the stress on the system is likely going to be highly sought after.And while Pfizer's Paxlovid will be hugely beneficial to ease the COVID-19 burden on the healthcare system, the oral medication has significant and complex drug-drug interaction potential. In fact, its interaction list reads like a who's who of commonly prescribed medications. This includes popular blood thinning agents such as Plavix and Xarelto, common analgesics like Tramadol and oxycodone, anxiolytics like Klonopin and Xanax, as well as cholesterol-fighting statins. With the National Institutes of Health issuing a statement voicing its concern over Paxlovid's possible drug interactions, this leaves plenty of room for sotrovimab to continue to be widely prescribed. With Vir getting 72.5% of sotrovimab sales per its agreement with GSK, the $4.4 billion biotech looks like a bargain right now.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PFE":0.9,"NVAX":0.9,"VIR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699141525,"gmtCreate":1639759145176,"gmtModify":1639759145291,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","listText":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","text":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699141525","repostId":"1125012423","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3902,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608305378,"gmtCreate":1638613759772,"gmtModify":1638613759772,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more&nbsp;","listText":"Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more&nbsp;","text":"Just look at rivn no revenue only fwd looking statements shud be a $5 stick but its worth $100.. mkt need to bleeding more","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608305378","repostId":"1166348149","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1166348149","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638522212,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1166348149?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 17:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中上涨 7%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166348149","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading after plunging 20% on first day of trading.\n\nAfter comple","content":"<p>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;plunging&nbsp;20% on first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab 股票在首日交易暴跌 20% 后，在盘前交易中上涨 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ecbac0018debb2d6e75a60d1c7f3d1\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> After completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings&nbsp;Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.</p><p><blockquote>在完成特殊目的收购公司Grab Holdings Ltd.迄今为止最富有的交易后。周四，也就是它们在美国交易的第一天，股市经历了最初的上涨，但随后暴跌至跌幅超过 20%。</blockquote></p><p> The Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview&nbsp;on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于新加坡的公司开发了一款“超级应用”，在东南亚 400 多个城市提供打车、送货和金融服务。Grab 首席财务官 Peter Oey 周四在接受采访时表示，由于东南亚（尤其是越南）与 COVID-19 相关的停工，该公司在截至 9 月 30 日的第三季度经历了“最艰难的时期”。但他指出，尽管该公司正在关注新型冠状病毒变种奥密克戎的情况，但预计仍将继续增长和复苏。</blockquote></p><p> Backers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp.&nbsp;and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.</p><p><blockquote>Grab 成立于 2012 年，其支持者包括滴滴全球公司、丰田汽车公司和软银集团公司的愿景基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中上涨 7%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading<blockquote>Grab 股价在盘前交易中上涨 7%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-03 17:03</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading&nbsp;after&nbsp;plunging&nbsp;20% on first day of trading.</p><p><blockquote>Grab 股票在首日交易暴跌 20% 后，在盘前交易中上涨 7%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1ecbac0018debb2d6e75a60d1c7f3d1\" tg-width=\"853\" tg-height=\"619\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> After completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings&nbsp;Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.</p><p><blockquote>在完成特殊目的收购公司Grab Holdings Ltd.迄今为止最富有的交易后。周四，也就是它们在美国交易的第一天，股市经历了最初的上涨，但随后暴跌至跌幅超过 20%。</blockquote></p><p> The Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview&nbsp;on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.</p><p><blockquote>这家总部位于新加坡的公司开发了一款“超级应用”，在东南亚 400 多个城市提供打车、送货和金融服务。Grab 首席财务官 Peter Oey 周四在接受采访时表示，由于东南亚（尤其是越南）与 COVID-19 相关的停工，该公司在截至 9 月 30 日的第三季度经历了“最艰难的时期”。但他指出，尽管该公司正在关注新型冠状病毒变种奥密克戎的情况，但预计仍将继续增长和复苏。</blockquote></p><p> Backers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp.&nbsp;and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.</p><p><blockquote>Grab 成立于 2012 年，其支持者包括滴滴全球公司、丰田汽车公司和软银集团公司的愿景基金。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GRAB":"Grab Holdings"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166348149","content_text":"Grab stock rallied 7% in premarket trading after plunging 20% on first day of trading.\n\nAfter completing the richest deal yet for a special-purpose acquisition company,Grab Holdings Ltd. shares experienced an initial pop Thursday, their first day of trading in the U.S., but then slumped to a decline of more than 20%.\nThe Singapore-based company makes a \"superapp\" offering ride-hailing, delivery and financial services in more than 400 cities in Southeast Asia. Grab's chief financial officer, Peter Oey, said in an interview on Thursday that the company had its \"roughest patch\" in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 because of COVID-19-related shutdowns in Southeast Asia, especially Vietnam. But he pointed to continued expected growth and recovery, even as the company watches what happens with the new coronavirus variant, omicron.\nBackers of Grab, which was founded in 2012, include Didi Global Inc, Toyota Motor Corp. and SoftBank Group Corp.'s Vision Fund.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GRAB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4802,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":600692641,"gmtCreate":1638145033580,"gmtModify":1638145055151,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays","listText":"Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays","text":"Welcome new insights to lesser known but potentially profitable plays","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/600692641","repostId":"2186432895","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":849460767,"gmtCreate":1635774051959,"gmtModify":1635774051959,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]","listText":"pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]","text":"pre-mkt n aftermarket access, tracking, mini trend graph and profile , news n succint analysis are great features..been 1.2 y rs with tigr. Am one of the early adopters too [龇牙] [鬼脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849460767","repostId":"849165132","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":849165132,"gmtCreate":1635735786222,"gmtModify":1635940231850,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"A BIG BIG November for Tiger Brokers!!","htmlText":"The year has almost come to an end with only 2 months left, but not for Tiger Brokers. November will be a BIG BIG month for us as we kickstart the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)!How “Big” is the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)? Very big, let me show you the 4 “Big”s!Big Event - Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF) Tiger Brokers is proud to be the silver sponsor of Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF). What's so fun about this big event is that there will be back-to-back Tiger Live webinars from 8th to 12th November, 7pm every day, to cover various topics about investment!How can we forget about promotion ? The second big will be Big Promotion!Tiger Brokers is constantly challenging the limit, and we always rack our brains to give out better benefits to all traders.As part of the Tiger Fintech Fie","listText":"The year has almost come to an end with only 2 months left, but not for Tiger Brokers. November will be a BIG BIG month for us as we kickstart the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)!How “Big” is the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)? Very big, let me show you the 4 “Big”s!Big Event - Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF) Tiger Brokers is proud to be the silver sponsor of Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF). What's so fun about this big event is that there will be back-to-back Tiger Live webinars from 8th to 12th November, 7pm every day, to cover various topics about investment!How can we forget about promotion ? The second big will be Big Promotion!Tiger Brokers is constantly challenging the limit, and we always rack our brains to give out better benefits to all traders.As part of the Tiger Fintech Fie","text":"The year has almost come to an end with only 2 months left, but not for Tiger Brokers. November will be a BIG BIG month for us as we kickstart the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)!How “Big” is the Tiger Fintech Fiesta (TFF)? Very big, let me show you the 4 “Big”s!Big Event - Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF) Tiger Brokers is proud to be the silver sponsor of Singapore Fintech Festival 2021 (SFF). What's so fun about this big event is that there will be back-to-back Tiger Live webinars from 8th to 12th November, 7pm every day, to cover various topics about investment!How can we forget about promotion ? The second big will be Big Promotion!Tiger Brokers is constantly challenging the limit, and we always rack our brains to give out better benefits to all traders.As part of the Tiger Fintech Fie","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/712b61d31121272b969f444fb51bceac","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/beadd3208c0954546bf3678c4e8cb539","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffd58e797fcaf5bd954117499cc47976","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/849165132","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4079,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821177885,"gmtCreate":1633711749484,"gmtModify":1633711749621,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good stuff thanks","listText":"good stuff thanks","text":"good stuff thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821177885","repostId":"1133780035","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133780035","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633704297,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1133780035?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133780035","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a litt","content":"<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，购买力尚未开发。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 22:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，购买力尚未开发。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133780035","content_text":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.\nBut don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.\n1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough\nI regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.\nIt’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.\nPick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.\n2. Seasonality is in our favor\nThe worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.\n3. COVID is rolling over\nIt’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.\n4. A correction may have already happened\nSince the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.\nIn other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.\n5. There’s been strong household formation\nMillennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.\nWhat is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.\nThe upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.\n6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded\nThere are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.\nThe bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.\nNow a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.\nAt the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.\nDon’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.\n“Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”\nStocks to buy\nSince the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.\nMorningstar cites Bath & Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.\nAs for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.\nEric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.\nThe core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.\nMarshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.\nMarshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.\nWhile many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.\n“The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.\nHere, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.\nSharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864402808,"gmtCreate":1633136221066,"gmtModify":1633136221212,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","listText":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","text":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864402808","repostId":"2172295185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865403736,"gmtCreate":1633008615055,"gmtModify":1633008615214,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"so fi is it, pun intended","listText":"so fi is it, pun intended","text":"so fi is it, pun intended","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865403736","repostId":"2171937006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":868724370,"gmtCreate":1632706931690,"gmtModify":1632798422865,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"right research will save one from more pain later","listText":"right research will save one from more pain later","text":"right research will save one from more pain later","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868724370","repostId":"1175726457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175726457","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632626757,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175726457?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-26 11:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点： 市场分析师无法就股市下一步走势达成一致。因此，在购买或出售之前，请仔细检查数据</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175726457","media":"Market Watch","summary":"It’s an urgent question, since the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for tw","content":"<p>It’s an urgent question, since the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个紧迫的问题，因为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>经济意外指数（CESI）在连续上涨一年多后，已经连续两个月为负。CESI衡量最新经济新闻偏离华尔街共识的程度。因此，过去两个月持续为负的 CESI 读数意味着总体而言，经济消息比预期更糟。</blockquote></p><p> Is it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?</p><p><blockquote>对于股票投资者来说，最近发布的美国经济新闻明显差于预期，这是好消息还是坏消息？</blockquote></p><p> The latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团经济意外指数（CESI）的最新读数为负29.2。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>10天前，它甚至更负面，为负61.7。过去 18 年的平均值为 4.6。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd20c01571a824c8113089a65b814bb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.</p><p><blockquote>我监控的顾问们对这些最新读数意味着什么没有达成共识。一些人认为这是个好消息，反向理论认为，比预期更糟糕的消息构成了美国牛市可能攀升的 “担忧之墙”。另一些人则认为，你不能粉饰比预期更糟糕的经济新闻。</blockquote></p><p> To help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&amp;P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助解决他们的分歧，我分析了2003年的每日CESI数据。具体来说，我测量了它与标普500 sSPX 的相关性，在接下来的一个月、一个季度、六个月的回报率为 +0.15%，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>年。我没有想出任何符合传统统计显著性标准的东西。</blockquote></p><p> A summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&amp;P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.</p><p><blockquote>我的发现总结如下图所示。请注意，无论 CESI 是正还是负，标普500的平均回报率几乎相同，呈上升趋势或下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65016b28c482526ac92a5d6035ba9ed9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> These findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”</p><p><blockquote>这些发现并不是对CESI本身的批评。花旗集团创建该指数是为了给外汇交易者提供一个有用的工具。花旗集团表示，CESI“是一个独特的专有设计的完美例子，它对讨论它的人几乎没有任何影响……它并不打算用于股票价格。”</blockquote></p><p> There’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.</p><p><blockquote>这里还有一个更广泛的教训需要我们学习： 我们需要让直觉接受经验现实的检验。当我们的预感似乎如此明显地正确时，这一点就显得尤为重要--当经济消息的到来是好于还是坏于预期时也是如此。股市历史充满了保证会发生但不会发生的预期。</blockquote></p><p> It can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.</p><p><blockquote>翻阅庞大的数据库来查看某种模式是否真的存在可能会很乏味。但努力是值得的。虽然严格的统计数据并不能保证你能跑赢市场，但如果你在统计数据上马虎、前后矛盾，你肯定会输给市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点： 市场分析师无法就股市下一步走势达成一致。因此，在购买或出售之前，请仔细检查数据</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点： 市场分析师无法就股市下一步走势达成一致。因此，在购买或出售之前，请仔细检查数据</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Watch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-26 11:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s an urgent question, since the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个紧迫的问题，因为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>经济意外指数（CESI）在连续上涨一年多后，已经连续两个月为负。CESI衡量最新经济新闻偏离华尔街共识的程度。因此，过去两个月持续为负的 CESI 读数意味着总体而言，经济消息比预期更糟。</blockquote></p><p> Is it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?</p><p><blockquote>对于股票投资者来说，最近发布的美国经济新闻明显差于预期，这是好消息还是坏消息？</blockquote></p><p> The latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团经济意外指数（CESI）的最新读数为负29.2。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>10天前，它甚至更负面，为负61.7。过去 18 年的平均值为 4.6。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd20c01571a824c8113089a65b814bb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.</p><p><blockquote>我监控的顾问们对这些最新读数意味着什么没有达成共识。一些人认为这是个好消息，反向理论认为，比预期更糟糕的消息构成了美国牛市可能攀升的 “担忧之墙”。另一些人则认为，你不能粉饰比预期更糟糕的经济新闻。</blockquote></p><p> To help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&amp;P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助解决他们的分歧，我分析了2003年的每日CESI数据。具体来说，我测量了它与标普500 sSPX 的相关性，在接下来的一个月、一个季度、六个月的回报率为 +0.15%，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>年。我没有想出任何符合传统统计显著性标准的东西。</blockquote></p><p> A summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&amp;P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.</p><p><blockquote>我的发现总结如下图所示。请注意，无论 CESI 是正还是负，标普500的平均回报率几乎相同，呈上升趋势或下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65016b28c482526ac92a5d6035ba9ed9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> These findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”</p><p><blockquote>这些发现并不是对CESI本身的批评。花旗集团创建该指数是为了给外汇交易者提供一个有用的工具。花旗集团表示，CESI“是一个独特的专有设计的完美例子，它对讨论它的人几乎没有任何影响……它并不打算用于股票价格。”</blockquote></p><p> There’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.</p><p><blockquote>这里还有一个更广泛的教训需要我们学习： 我们需要让直觉接受经验现实的检验。当我们的预感似乎如此明显地正确时，这一点就显得尤为重要--当经济消息的到来是好于还是坏于预期时也是如此。股市历史充满了保证会发生但不会发生的预期。</blockquote></p><p> It can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.</p><p><blockquote>翻阅庞大的数据库来查看某种模式是否真的存在可能会很乏味。但努力是值得的。虽然严格的统计数据并不能保证你能跑赢市场，但如果你在统计数据上马虎、前后矛盾，你肯定会输给市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/market-analysts-cant-agree-on-where-stocks-are-going-next-so-double-check-the-data-before-you-buy-or-sell-11632447577?mod=home-page\">Market Watch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/market-analysts-cant-agree-on-where-stocks-are-going-next-so-double-check-the-data-before-you-buy-or-sell-11632447577?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175726457","content_text":"It’s an urgent question, since the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.\nIs it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?\nThe latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. Just 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.\n\nThere is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.\nTo help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and one year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.\nA summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.\n\nThese findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”\nThere’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.\nIt can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860481872,"gmtCreate":1632198180996,"gmtModify":1632802115835,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","listText":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","text":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860481872","repostId":"1109188181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109188181","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632123243,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109188181?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 15:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这 2 个内部提示来了解何时买卖</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109188181","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four l","content":"<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD 和 MACD 直方图可以提升您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出盈利和亏损头寸之间的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛背离）是交易者在分析中始终使用的关键股票市场指标（以及移动平均线和RSI）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来讨论一下使用这种强大而多功能的仪表的一些创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定一个趋势及其相关的动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能反转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD 是一个 “滞后 ”或 “回顾性 ”指标，这意味着它的信号是延迟的，但不要因此而望而却步。当 MACD 产生信号时，它通常很重要，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者青睐的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间范围越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为 “MACD 线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”。记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，图表上还有一条水平线，称为 “零线”（0 线）。零线的主要功能是提醒您注意基础价格走势的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的水平上，MACD 产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当 MACD 线穿过零线上方时，则为看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当 MACD 线穿过九日信号线上方时，则为看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>出售：</b>当 MACD 线穿过零线下方时，则为看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>出售：</b>当 MACD 线穿过九日信号线下方时，则为看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九日信号线都朝同一方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是一个可操作的交易。像任何指标一样，也有错误信号。此外，在用真金白银进行交易之前，还必须与其他指标进行确认。将这些 MACD 买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD 的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数 JIA,-0.48% 或标准普尔 500SPX,-0.91% 的 MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到波动性回到主要市场指数。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD 现在对特斯拉的评价</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>比如特斯拉TSLA,+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD在零线上方，MACD线在信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>根据这一信息，特斯拉股票目前值得短期 “强力 ”买入。如果特斯拉的 MACD 线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将是 “适度 ”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我采访了 MACD 的创始人杰拉尔德-阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）。他告诉我，他在 20 世纪 70 年代末通过将数字输入打孔机和电子表格创建了 MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够自动化这个过程。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔对 MACD 变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“他说：”它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间框架。“通过使用基于月度数据的 MACD 形态，您可以很好地解读市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图表上使用它”。</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说： “由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。在越来越多的股票下跌的情况下，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移”。</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel 警告说，您必须根据其他指标确认 MACD 信号。“他说：”没有任何指标是万无一失的。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而 MACD 会下跌。也许你认为这是一个卖出信号。但事实并非如此。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>Appel补充说，他喜欢同时使用不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期 MACD 与中期 MACD 同时出现，他就更有信心该信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD 最强大（但经常被忽视）的附加功能之一是 MACD 直方图。这种振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个单独的程序，应该在你的图表包上提供。使用此功能的交易者通常会同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果柱状图移动到零线上方，则意味着标的股票（或指数）正在增强，即动量。如果柱状图移动到零线以下，股票或指数就会失去强度。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到，动量总是先于价格变化。这就是 MACD 和 MACD 直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都能检测到势头何时减弱。如果直方图柱状图移动到零线上方，这也可能是一个看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果 MACD 直方图柱状图变为浅色，则意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱状图升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图条跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>红旗</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD走低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到 MACD 直方图颜色变化且柱状图变短，则证实动量正在减弱（但根据 RSI 或随机指标证实这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过 MACD 或 MACD 直方图，请尝试一下。对于任何已经触底并正在上涨的股票，请使用这些指标。他们将帮助确认这只股票是有腿的，还是只是给交易者一个假头。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere (michaelsincere.com) 是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这 2 个内部提示来了解何时买卖</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSavvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这 2 个内部提示来了解何时买卖</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 15:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD 和 MACD 直方图可以提升您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出盈利和亏损头寸之间的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛背离）是交易者在分析中始终使用的关键股票市场指标（以及移动平均线和RSI）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来讨论一下使用这种强大而多功能的仪表的一些创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定一个趋势及其相关的动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能反转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD 是一个 “滞后 ”或 “回顾性 ”指标，这意味着它的信号是延迟的，但不要因此而望而却步。当 MACD 产生信号时，它通常很重要，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者青睐的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间范围越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为 “MACD 线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”。记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，图表上还有一条水平线，称为 “零线”（0 线）。零线的主要功能是提醒您注意基础价格走势的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的水平上，MACD 产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当 MACD 线穿过零线上方时，则为看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当 MACD 线穿过九日信号线上方时，则为看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>出售：</b>当 MACD 线穿过零线下方时，则为看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>出售：</b>当 MACD 线穿过九日信号线下方时，则为看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九日信号线都朝同一方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是一个可操作的交易。像任何指标一样，也有错误信号。此外，在用真金白银进行交易之前，还必须与其他指标进行确认。将这些 MACD 买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD 的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数 JIA,-0.48% 或标准普尔 500SPX,-0.91% 的 MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到波动性回到主要市场指数。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD 现在对特斯拉的评价</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>比如特斯拉TSLA,+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD在零线上方，MACD线在信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>根据这一信息，特斯拉股票目前值得短期 “强力 ”买入。如果特斯拉的 MACD 线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将是 “适度 ”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我采访了 MACD 的创始人杰拉尔德-阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）。他告诉我，他在 20 世纪 70 年代末通过将数字输入打孔机和电子表格创建了 MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够自动化这个过程。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔对 MACD 变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“他说：”它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间框架。“通过使用基于月度数据的 MACD 形态，您可以很好地解读市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图表上使用它”。</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说： “由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。在越来越多的股票下跌的情况下，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移”。</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel 警告说，您必须根据其他指标确认 MACD 信号。“他说：”没有任何指标是万无一失的。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而 MACD 会下跌。也许你认为这是一个卖出信号。但事实并非如此。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>Appel补充说，他喜欢同时使用不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期 MACD 与中期 MACD 同时出现，他就更有信心该信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD 最强大（但经常被忽视）的附加功能之一是 MACD 直方图。这种振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个单独的程序，应该在你的图表包上提供。使用此功能的交易者通常会同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果柱状图移动到零线上方，则意味着标的股票（或指数）正在增强，即动量。如果柱状图移动到零线以下，股票或指数就会失去强度。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到，动量总是先于价格变化。这就是 MACD 和 MACD 直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都能检测到势头何时减弱。如果直方图柱状图移动到零线上方，这也可能是一个看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果 MACD 直方图柱状图变为浅色，则意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱状图升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图条跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>红旗</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD走低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到 MACD 直方图颜色变化且柱状图变短，则证实动量正在减弱（但根据 RSI 或随机指标证实这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过 MACD 或 MACD 直方图，请尝试一下。对于任何已经触底并正在上涨的股票，请使用这些指标。他们将帮助确认这只股票是有腿的，还是只是给交易者一个假头。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere (michaelsincere.com) 是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109188181","content_text":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.\nLet’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.\nMACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.  It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.\nBe aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.\nWhen you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.\nIn addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).  The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.\nFour simple trading signals\nAt its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.\nNote: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.\nKeep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.\nAnother limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.\nWhat MACD says about Tesla now\nFor example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.\nBased on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy. If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.\nA few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.\nAppel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”\nMACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”\nAppel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”\nAppel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.\nThe MACD-Histogram\nOne of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package. Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.\nThe histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.\nMany beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.\nHistogram signals\n\nIf the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.\n\n\nAs mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.\n\nRed flags\nIf you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).\nIf you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.\nMichael Sincere (michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885410445,"gmtCreate":1631810278387,"gmtModify":1631891049931,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"agree absolutely","listText":"agree absolutely","text":"agree absolutely","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885410445","repostId":"2167543250","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":902,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816322927,"gmtCreate":1630469600869,"gmtModify":1631891049938,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"well wriiten","listText":"well wriiten","text":"well wriiten","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816322927","repostId":"816398805","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":816398805,"gmtCreate":1630464975807,"gmtModify":1631883909539,"author":{"id":"3557997848207595","authorId":"3557997848207595","name":"Sorrie2u","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/daee3c31c13830f17698139700d5c999","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557997848207595","idStr":"3557997848207595"},"themes":[],"title":"market view end 21","htmlText":"Delta variant has been wrecking the world and although reported financial figures are looking good but it was from a backdrop of last year's major covid downfall of the markets.&nbsp;Many downplay the inflation risk in coming year but on the ground, looking at companies procurement plans and material costs. Everything is on the rise where transportation/logistic costs are up by abt 30% and raw material costs up my a substantial amount too due to chip shortages etc.&nbsp;Even recycling companies are raising their prices for taking in scrap materials such as metals and electronic boards as well as computer chips. These recycling prices have rose abt 30-40% per kg.&nbsp;All these amounts to general inflation around the world but markets are making ATH still. IMO this is a dangerous time to be","listText":"Delta variant has been wrecking the world and although reported financial figures are looking good but it was from a backdrop of last year's major covid downfall of the markets.&nbsp;Many downplay the inflation risk in coming year but on the ground, looking at companies procurement plans and material costs. Everything is on the rise where transportation/logistic costs are up by abt 30% and raw material costs up my a substantial amount too due to chip shortages etc.&nbsp;Even recycling companies are raising their prices for taking in scrap materials such as metals and electronic boards as well as computer chips. These recycling prices have rose abt 30-40% per kg.&nbsp;All these amounts to general inflation around the world but markets are making ATH still. IMO this is a dangerous time to be","text":"Delta variant has been wrecking the world and although reported financial figures are looking good but it was from a backdrop of last year's major covid downfall of the markets. Many downplay the inflation risk in coming year but on the ground, looking at companies procurement plans and material costs. Everything is on the rise where transportation/logistic costs are up by abt 30% and raw material costs up my a substantial amount too due to chip shortages etc. Even recycling companies are raising their prices for taking in scrap materials such as metals and electronic boards as well as computer chips. These recycling prices have rose abt 30-40% per kg. All these amounts to general inflation around the world but markets are making ATH still. IMO this is a dangerous time to be","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816398805","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":928,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":816329620,"gmtCreate":1630469077960,"gmtModify":1631883827024,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"one to look out for","listText":"one to look out for","text":"one to look out for","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816329620","repostId":"818770517","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":818770517,"gmtCreate":1630452890939,"gmtModify":1631885908575,"author":{"id":"4090668520010600","authorId":"4090668520010600","name":"ysyyay","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9c5878bbd3378af1641b8ed09c98217","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4090668520010600","idStr":"4090668520010600"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMRS\">$Amyris(AMRS)$</a>nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMRS\">$Amyris(AMRS)$</a>nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!","text":"$Amyris(AMRS)$nasal covid device coming soon from amyris!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98131c69a08d504eccb7b794ecfed616","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818770517","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":998,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":819309418,"gmtCreate":1630031318334,"gmtModify":1704954883674,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Big move&nbsp;","listText":"Big move&nbsp;","text":"Big move","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1504298eab6b5830721b84cfaa52afd8","width":"1080","height":"3013"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/819309418","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891743207,"gmtCreate":1628435294109,"gmtModify":1631891049945,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","listText":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","text":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891743207","repostId":"1143051031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1041,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175571964,"gmtCreate":1627044387658,"gmtModify":1631891049947,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","listText":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","text":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175571964","repostId":"2153092983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119322473,"gmtCreate":1622521638792,"gmtModify":1631891049955,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"check out absolute software also (abst)","listText":"check out absolute software also (abst)","text":"check out absolute software also (abst)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119322473","repostId":"1143634909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132796946,"gmtCreate":1622113290185,"gmtModify":1631891049954,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[龇牙]","listText":"[龇牙]","text":"[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132796946","repostId":"2138531112","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2085,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":190066327,"gmtCreate":1620554841069,"gmtModify":1631889063905,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices&nbsp;","listText":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices&nbsp;","text":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190066327","repostId":"1117194592","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117194592","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620443747,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1117194592?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币吧——这只股票更值得购买</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117194592","media":"fool","summary":"It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of Dogecoin did so because they are hoping t","content":"<p>It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of&nbsp;<b>Dogecoin</b>&nbsp;did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定地说，许多买家<b>狗狗币</b>这样做是因为他们希望迷因加密货币能够“登上月球”。但仅仅因为埃隆·马斯科马克·库班在一条推文中提到了它，就在一天的交易过程中价值上涨或下跌了 26%，这很难成为一个真正的投资案例。</blockquote></p><p>Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research provider<i>BloombergNEF</i>. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>寻求登月投资的投资者最好先了解一下有望给现有行业带来根本性转变的行业中的一家公司。据行业研究提供商称，电动汽车 (EV) 销量预计将从 2020 年的 170 万辆跃升至 2025 年的 850 万辆，10 年后将达到 2600 万辆<i>彭博新能源财经</i>该公司预计未来 10 年电动汽车销量将再次翻一番以上。</blockquote></p><p>Charging station network leader&nbsp;<b>ChargePoint Holdings</b>(NYSE:CHPT)&nbsp;is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>充电站网络领导者<b>ChargePoint控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHPT）在该行业已经成熟，该公司的投资者可以利用电动汽车爆炸性增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p><b>De-SPAC results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>去特殊目的收购公司业绩</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint于3月1日通过特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并上市。但与电动汽车领域的一些特殊目的收购公司不同，该公司迄今为止已经达到了销售预期，并保持了未来前景不变。这是因为它在上市之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，拥有超过 4,000 家商业和车队客户，在北美和欧洲的网络上拥有超过 132,000 个充电点。</blockquote></p><p>There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.</p><p><blockquote>这个领域现在和将来都会有很多竞争。但与其他国内和国际参与者相比，ChargePoint是最大的公司之一。该行业几个公司的过去和预计未来收入如下所示。</blockquote></p><p><table><tbody><tr><th>Company</th><th>2021 Revenue Estimate (million)</th><th>2020 Revenue (million)</th></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>Volta</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>Blink Charging</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDED</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><th>公司</th><th>2021年收入预计（百万）</th><th>2020年收入（百万）</th></tr><tr><td>充电点</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>电动箱</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔塔</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>埃夫戈</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>闪烁充电</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>数据来源：公司财务。*未提供</blockquote></p><p><b>ChargePoint is the current favorite</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint 是目前最受欢迎的</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint 在北美已经占据了 70% 的 2 级充电网络份额，使用 240 伏电力。其全面的产品网络还包括 2,000 多个公开的快速充电站。其产品套件满足了电动汽车车队所有者、停车运营商和消费者以及企业和市政当局的需求。</blockquote></p><p>And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统提议在美国安装 50 万个新充电站，作为基础设施计划的一部分，这表明市场可以增长多大。他还打算实现公共汽车车队和政府车队的电气化。虽然 ChargePoint 支持基础设施包，并且几乎肯定会成为其通过的受益者，但该公司并不需要这种催化剂来实现其充电网络的快速增长。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors should play the odds and think long-term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该把握机会，着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p>Betting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for&nbsp;<b>Blink Charging</b>(NASDAQ:BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>押注电动汽车行业并不是短期策略。但如果到 2040 年全球汽车数量呈指数级增长，超过 5400 万辆成为现实，那么该行业目前的高估值最终可能是完全合理的。仅从 2020 年收入最高和最低的两家公司来看，ChargePoint 的市销率约为 50，但 ChargePoint 的市销率为 250<b>闪烁充电</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：BLNK）</blockquote></p><p>A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.</p><p><blockquote>当然，押注充电网络领域并不能保证成功。汽车制造商可能会尝试拥有类似于<b>特斯拉</b>s（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）超级充电网络模型。但随着汽车制造商增加电动汽车产量，他们专注于自己最了解的事情似乎更有意义，可能包括电池生产。</blockquote></p><p>For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>对于想要投机巨额利润的投资者来说，充电公司在快速增长的行业中拥有成熟的业务。随着埃隆·马斯克或其他人激发散户交易者的兴趣，狗狗币持续上涨。但如果这是它上涨的唯一原因，它就无法长期持续。像 ChargePoint 这样的充电公司应该更有可能提供长期收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币吧——这只股票更值得购买</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币吧——这只股票更值得购买</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of&nbsp;<b>Dogecoin</b>&nbsp;did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定地说，许多买家<b>狗狗币</b>这样做是因为他们希望迷因加密货币能够“登上月球”。但仅仅因为埃隆·马斯科马克·库班在一条推文中提到了它，就在一天的交易过程中价值上涨或下跌了 26%，这很难成为一个真正的投资案例。</blockquote></p><p>Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research provider<i>BloombergNEF</i>. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>寻求登月投资的投资者最好先了解一下有望给现有行业带来根本性转变的行业中的一家公司。据行业研究提供商称，电动汽车 (EV) 销量预计将从 2020 年的 170 万辆跃升至 2025 年的 850 万辆，10 年后将达到 2600 万辆<i>彭博新能源财经</i>该公司预计未来 10 年电动汽车销量将再次翻一番以上。</blockquote></p><p>Charging station network leader&nbsp;<b>ChargePoint Holdings</b>(NYSE:CHPT)&nbsp;is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>充电站网络领导者<b>ChargePoint控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHPT）在该行业已经成熟，该公司的投资者可以利用电动汽车爆炸性增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p><b>De-SPAC results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>去特殊目的收购公司业绩</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint于3月1日通过特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并上市。但与电动汽车领域的一些特殊目的收购公司不同，该公司迄今为止已经达到了销售预期，并保持了未来前景不变。这是因为它在上市之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，拥有超过 4,000 家商业和车队客户，在北美和欧洲的网络上拥有超过 132,000 个充电点。</blockquote></p><p>There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.</p><p><blockquote>这个领域现在和将来都会有很多竞争。但与其他国内和国际参与者相比，ChargePoint是最大的公司之一。该行业几个公司的过去和预计未来收入如下所示。</blockquote></p><p><table><tbody><tr><th>Company</th><th>2021 Revenue Estimate (million)</th><th>2020 Revenue (million)</th></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>Volta</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>Blink Charging</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDED</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><th>公司</th><th>2021年收入预计（百万）</th><th>2020年收入（百万）</th></tr><tr><td>充电点</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>电动箱</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔塔</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>埃夫戈</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>闪烁充电</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>数据来源：公司财务。*未提供</blockquote></p><p><b>ChargePoint is the current favorite</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint 是目前最受欢迎的</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint 在北美已经占据了 70% 的 2 级充电网络份额，使用 240 伏电力。其全面的产品网络还包括 2,000 多个公开的快速充电站。其产品套件满足了电动汽车车队所有者、停车运营商和消费者以及企业和市政当局的需求。</blockquote></p><p>And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统提议在美国安装 50 万个新充电站，作为基础设施计划的一部分，这表明市场可以增长多大。他还打算实现公共汽车车队和政府车队的电气化。虽然 ChargePoint 支持基础设施包，并且几乎肯定会成为其通过的受益者，但该公司并不需要这种催化剂来实现其充电网络的快速增长。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors should play the odds and think long-term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该把握机会，着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p>Betting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for&nbsp;<b>Blink Charging</b>(NASDAQ:BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>押注电动汽车行业并不是短期策略。但如果到 2040 年全球汽车数量呈指数级增长，超过 5400 万辆成为现实，那么该行业目前的高估值最终可能是完全合理的。仅从 2020 年收入最高和最低的两家公司来看，ChargePoint 的市销率约为 50，但 ChargePoint 的市销率为 250<b>闪烁充电</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：BLNK）</blockquote></p><p>A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.</p><p><blockquote>当然，押注充电网络领域并不能保证成功。汽车制造商可能会尝试拥有类似于<b>特斯拉</b>s（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）超级充电网络模型。但随着汽车制造商增加电动汽车产量，他们专注于自己最了解的事情似乎更有意义，可能包括电池生产。</blockquote></p><p>For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>对于想要投机巨额利润的投资者来说，充电公司在快速增长的行业中拥有成熟的业务。随着埃隆·马斯克或其他人激发散户交易者的兴趣，狗狗币持续上涨。但如果这是它上涨的唯一原因，它就无法长期持续。像 ChargePoint 这样的充电公司应该更有可能提供长期收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/07/forget-dogecoin-this-stock-is-a-better-buy/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/07/forget-dogecoin-this-stock-is-a-better-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117194592","content_text":"It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of Dogecoin did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research providerBloombergNEF. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.Charging station network leader ChargePoint Holdings(NYSE:CHPT) is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.De-SPAC resultsChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.Company2021 Revenue Estimate (million)2020 Revenue (million)ChargePoint$200$146EVBox$145$84Volta$47$25EVgo$20$14Blink ChargingNP*$6.2DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDEDChargePoint is the current favoriteChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.Investors should play the odds and think long-termBetting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for Blink Charging(NASDAQ:BLNK).A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to Tesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CHPT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100337479,"gmtCreate":1619579730191,"gmtModify":1631891049962,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good time to buy the dip [财迷] [财迷]","listText":"good time to buy the dip [财迷] [财迷]","text":"good time to buy the dip [财迷] [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100337479","repostId":"2130731473","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2130731473","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619566911,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2130731473?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 07:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pinterest shares sink as easing of pandemic restrictions weighs on user growth<blockquote>由于大流行限制放松拖累用户增长，Pinterest股价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2130731473","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Pinterest Inc. on Tuesday reported 78% year-over-year revenue growth for the first quarter, but its ","content":"<p>Pinterest Inc. on Tuesday reported 78% year-over-year revenue growth for the first quarter, but its user growth fell short of analysts' expectations as COVID-19 pandemic restrictions eased.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest公司周二公布第一季度收入同比增长 78%，但随着 COVID-19 大流行限制的放松，其用户增长低于分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The online-pinboard company said its global monthly active users rose 30% year over year to 478 million. Analysts had forecast that number to be slightly higher than 480 million.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线插板公司表示，其全球月活跃用户同比增长 30%，达到 4.78 亿。分析师此前预测这一数字将略高于 4.8 亿。</blockquote></p><p> \"Starting in mid-March, the easing of pandemic restrictions slowed U.S. MAU growth and lowered engagement year over year as people spent less time online,\" the company wrote in a letter to shareholders. \"In Q1, we saw good retention of the MAUs we gained during 2020, but we still don't know if or how long this retention will last.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司在致股东的信中写道：“从 3 月中旬开始，随着人们上网时间减少，疫情限制的放松减缓了美国 MAU 增长，并导致参与度逐年下降。”“在第一季度，我们看到 2020 年获得的 MAU 得到了良好的保留，但我们仍然不知道这种保留是否或会持续多久。”</blockquote></p><p> Pinterest&nbsp;shares fell 10.5% after hours, after rising more than 1% in the regular session to close at $77.58.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest股价盘后下跌 10.5%，常规交易时段上涨超过 1%，收于 77.58 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/250886ffe9ed7924dc5d464864f72418\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company pointed to growth internationally, though.</p><p><blockquote>不过，该公司指出了国际增长。</blockquote></p><p> \"This quarter, we continued strong growth internationally, including our recent launch of advertising in Brazil, and made significant progress with shopping, making it easier for people to discover and buy products they find on Pinterest,\" Chief Executive Ben Silbermann said in a news release.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官本·西尔伯曼 (Ben Silbermann) 表示：“本季度，我们在国际上继续保持强劲增长，包括最近在巴西推出的广告，并在购物方面取得了重大进展，使人们更容易发现和购买他们在Pinterest上找到的产品。”在一份新闻稿中。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported a first-quarter loss of $21.7 million, or 3 cents a share, compared with a loss of $141.1 million, or 25 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings were $83.8 million, or 11 cents a share, adjusted for stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization and more. Revenue rose to $485.2 million from $271.9 million in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司公布第一季度亏损 2170 万美元，即每股亏损 3 美分，而去年同期亏损 1.411 亿美元，即每股亏损 25 美分。调整后收益为 8380 万美元，即每股 11 美分，调整后的股票薪酬、折旧和摊销等。收入从去年同期的 2.719 亿美元增至 4.852 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast earnings of 6 cents a share on revenue of $471.7 million.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 调查的分析师预测每股收益为 6 美分，营收为 4.717 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Pinterest are up more than 17% year to date, and more than 288% over the past 52 weeks. By comparison, the S&amp;P 500 Index has risen 12% so far this year, and is up 50% in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest股价今年迄今已上涨超过 17%，过去 52 周内上涨超过 288%。相比之下，标普500指数今年迄今已上涨 12%，去年上涨 50%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pinterest shares sink as easing of pandemic restrictions weighs on user growth<blockquote>由于大流行限制放松拖累用户增长，Pinterest股价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPinterest shares sink as easing of pandemic restrictions weighs on user growth<blockquote>由于大流行限制放松拖累用户增长，Pinterest股价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-28 07:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Pinterest Inc. on Tuesday reported 78% year-over-year revenue growth for the first quarter, but its user growth fell short of analysts' expectations as COVID-19 pandemic restrictions eased.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest公司周二公布第一季度收入同比增长 78%，但随着 COVID-19 大流行限制的放松，其用户增长低于分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> The online-pinboard company said its global monthly active users rose 30% year over year to 478 million. Analysts had forecast that number to be slightly higher than 480 million.</p><p><blockquote>这家在线插板公司表示，其全球月活跃用户同比增长 30%，达到 4.78 亿。分析师此前预测这一数字将略高于 4.8 亿。</blockquote></p><p> \"Starting in mid-March, the easing of pandemic restrictions slowed U.S. MAU growth and lowered engagement year over year as people spent less time online,\" the company wrote in a letter to shareholders. \"In Q1, we saw good retention of the MAUs we gained during 2020, but we still don't know if or how long this retention will last.\"</p><p><blockquote>该公司在致股东的信中写道：“从 3 月中旬开始，随着人们上网时间减少，疫情限制的放松减缓了美国 MAU 增长，并导致参与度逐年下降。”“在第一季度，我们看到 2020 年获得的 MAU 得到了良好的保留，但我们仍然不知道这种保留是否或会持续多久。”</blockquote></p><p> Pinterest&nbsp;shares fell 10.5% after hours, after rising more than 1% in the regular session to close at $77.58.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest股价盘后下跌 10.5%，常规交易时段上涨超过 1%，收于 77.58 美元。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/250886ffe9ed7924dc5d464864f72418\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The company pointed to growth internationally, though.</p><p><blockquote>不过，该公司指出了国际增长。</blockquote></p><p> \"This quarter, we continued strong growth internationally, including our recent launch of advertising in Brazil, and made significant progress with shopping, making it easier for people to discover and buy products they find on Pinterest,\" Chief Executive Ben Silbermann said in a news release.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官本·西尔伯曼 (Ben Silbermann) 表示：“本季度，我们在国际上继续保持强劲增长，包括最近在巴西推出的广告，并在购物方面取得了重大进展，使人们更容易发现和购买他们在Pinterest上找到的产品。”在一份新闻稿中。</blockquote></p><p> The company reported a first-quarter loss of $21.7 million, or 3 cents a share, compared with a loss of $141.1 million, or 25 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings were $83.8 million, or 11 cents a share, adjusted for stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization and more. Revenue rose to $485.2 million from $271.9 million in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>该公司公布第一季度亏损 2170 万美元，即每股亏损 3 美分，而去年同期亏损 1.411 亿美元，即每股亏损 25 美分。调整后收益为 8380 万美元，即每股 11 美分，调整后的股票薪酬、折旧和摊销等。收入从去年同期的 2.719 亿美元增至 4.852 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast earnings of 6 cents a share on revenue of $471.7 million.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet 调查的分析师预测每股收益为 6 美分，营收为 4.717 亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Pinterest are up more than 17% year to date, and more than 288% over the past 52 weeks. By comparison, the S&amp;P 500 Index has risen 12% so far this year, and is up 50% in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>Pinterest股价今年迄今已上涨超过 17%，过去 52 周内上涨超过 288%。相比之下，标普500指数今年迄今已上涨 12%，去年上涨 50%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2130731473","content_text":"Pinterest Inc. on Tuesday reported 78% year-over-year revenue growth for the first quarter, but its user growth fell short of analysts' expectations as COVID-19 pandemic restrictions eased.\nThe online-pinboard company said its global monthly active users rose 30% year over year to 478 million. Analysts had forecast that number to be slightly higher than 480 million.\n\"Starting in mid-March, the easing of pandemic restrictions slowed U.S. MAU growth and lowered engagement year over year as people spent less time online,\" the company wrote in a letter to shareholders. \"In Q1, we saw good retention of the MAUs we gained during 2020, but we still don't know if or how long this retention will last.\"\nPinterest shares fell 10.5% after hours, after rising more than 1% in the regular session to close at $77.58.\n\nThe company pointed to growth internationally, though.\n\"This quarter, we continued strong growth internationally, including our recent launch of advertising in Brazil, and made significant progress with shopping, making it easier for people to discover and buy products they find on Pinterest,\" Chief Executive Ben Silbermann said in a news release.\nThe company reported a first-quarter loss of $21.7 million, or 3 cents a share, compared with a loss of $141.1 million, or 25 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings were $83.8 million, or 11 cents a share, adjusted for stock-based compensation, depreciation and amortization and more. Revenue rose to $485.2 million from $271.9 million in the year-ago quarter.\nAnalysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast earnings of 6 cents a share on revenue of $471.7 million.\nShares of Pinterest are up more than 17% year to date, and more than 288% over the past 52 weeks. By comparison, the S&P 500 Index has risen 12% so far this year, and is up 50% in the past year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":190066327,"gmtCreate":1620554841069,"gmtModify":1631889063905,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices&nbsp;","listText":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices&nbsp;","text":"Totally agree, pls keep selling down chpt so I can collect more at lower prices","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190066327","repostId":"1117194592","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1117194592","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620443747,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1117194592?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币吧——这只股票更值得购买</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1117194592","media":"fool","summary":"It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of Dogecoin did so because they are hoping t","content":"<p>It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of&nbsp;<b>Dogecoin</b>&nbsp;did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定地说，许多买家<b>狗狗币</b>这样做是因为他们希望迷因加密货币能够“登上月球”。但仅仅因为埃隆·马斯科马克·库班在一条推文中提到了它，就在一天的交易过程中价值上涨或下跌了 26%，这很难成为一个真正的投资案例。</blockquote></p><p>Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research provider<i>BloombergNEF</i>. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>寻求登月投资的投资者最好先了解一下有望给现有行业带来根本性转变的行业中的一家公司。据行业研究提供商称，电动汽车 (EV) 销量预计将从 2020 年的 170 万辆跃升至 2025 年的 850 万辆，10 年后将达到 2600 万辆<i>彭博新能源财经</i>该公司预计未来 10 年电动汽车销量将再次翻一番以上。</blockquote></p><p>Charging station network leader&nbsp;<b>ChargePoint Holdings</b>(NYSE:CHPT)&nbsp;is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>充电站网络领导者<b>ChargePoint控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHPT）在该行业已经成熟，该公司的投资者可以利用电动汽车爆炸性增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p><b>De-SPAC results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>去特殊目的收购公司业绩</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint于3月1日通过特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并上市。但与电动汽车领域的一些特殊目的收购公司不同，该公司迄今为止已经达到了销售预期，并保持了未来前景不变。这是因为它在上市之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，拥有超过 4,000 家商业和车队客户，在北美和欧洲的网络上拥有超过 132,000 个充电点。</blockquote></p><p>There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.</p><p><blockquote>这个领域现在和将来都会有很多竞争。但与其他国内和国际参与者相比，ChargePoint是最大的公司之一。该行业几个公司的过去和预计未来收入如下所示。</blockquote></p><p><table><tbody><tr><th>Company</th><th>2021 Revenue Estimate (million)</th><th>2020 Revenue (million)</th></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>Volta</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>Blink Charging</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDED</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><th>公司</th><th>2021年收入预计（百万）</th><th>2020年收入（百万）</th></tr><tr><td>充电点</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>电动箱</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔塔</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>埃夫戈</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>闪烁充电</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>数据来源：公司财务。*未提供</blockquote></p><p><b>ChargePoint is the current favorite</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint 是目前最受欢迎的</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint 在北美已经占据了 70% 的 2 级充电网络份额，使用 240 伏电力。其全面的产品网络还包括 2,000 多个公开的快速充电站。其产品套件满足了电动汽车车队所有者、停车运营商和消费者以及企业和市政当局的需求。</blockquote></p><p>And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统提议在美国安装 50 万个新充电站，作为基础设施计划的一部分，这表明市场可以增长多大。他还打算实现公共汽车车队和政府车队的电气化。虽然 ChargePoint 支持基础设施包，并且几乎肯定会成为其通过的受益者，但该公司并不需要这种催化剂来实现其充电网络的快速增长。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors should play the odds and think long-term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该把握机会，着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p>Betting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for&nbsp;<b>Blink Charging</b>(NASDAQ:BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>押注电动汽车行业并不是短期策略。但如果到 2040 年全球汽车数量呈指数级增长，超过 5400 万辆成为现实，那么该行业目前的高估值最终可能是完全合理的。仅从 2020 年收入最高和最低的两家公司来看，ChargePoint 的市销率约为 50，但 ChargePoint 的市销率为 250<b>闪烁充电</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：BLNK）</blockquote></p><p>A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.</p><p><blockquote>当然，押注充电网络领域并不能保证成功。汽车制造商可能会尝试拥有类似于<b>特斯拉</b>s（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）超级充电网络模型。但随着汽车制造商增加电动汽车产量，他们专注于自己最了解的事情似乎更有意义，可能包括电池生产。</blockquote></p><p>For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>对于想要投机巨额利润的投资者来说，充电公司在快速增长的行业中拥有成熟的业务。随着埃隆·马斯克或其他人激发散户交易者的兴趣，狗狗币持续上涨。但如果这是它上涨的唯一原因，它就无法长期持续。像 ChargePoint 这样的充电公司应该更有可能提供长期收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Forget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币吧——这只股票更值得购买</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForget Dogecoin -- This Stock Is a Better Buy<blockquote>忘记狗狗币吧——这只股票更值得购买</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of&nbsp;<b>Dogecoin</b>&nbsp;did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定地说，许多买家<b>狗狗币</b>这样做是因为他们希望迷因加密货币能够“登上月球”。但仅仅因为埃隆·马斯科马克·库班在一条推文中提到了它，就在一天的交易过程中价值上涨或下跌了 26%，这很难成为一个真正的投资案例。</blockquote></p><p>Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research provider<i>BloombergNEF</i>. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>寻求登月投资的投资者最好先了解一下有望给现有行业带来根本性转变的行业中的一家公司。据行业研究提供商称，电动汽车 (EV) 销量预计将从 2020 年的 170 万辆跃升至 2025 年的 850 万辆，10 年后将达到 2600 万辆<i>彭博新能源财经</i>该公司预计未来 10 年电动汽车销量将再次翻一番以上。</blockquote></p><p>Charging station network leader&nbsp;<b>ChargePoint Holdings</b>(NYSE:CHPT)&nbsp;is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.</p><p><blockquote>充电站网络领导者<b>ChargePoint控股</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHPT）在该行业已经成熟，该公司的投资者可以利用电动汽车爆炸性增长趋势。</blockquote></p><p><b>De-SPAC results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>去特殊目的收购公司业绩</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint于3月1日通过特殊目的收购公司（SPAC）合并上市。但与电动汽车领域的一些特殊目的收购公司不同，该公司迄今为止已经达到了销售预期，并保持了未来前景不变。这是因为它在上市之前就已经是一家成熟的企业，拥有超过 4,000 家商业和车队客户，在北美和欧洲的网络上拥有超过 132,000 个充电点。</blockquote></p><p>There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.</p><p><blockquote>这个领域现在和将来都会有很多竞争。但与其他国内和国际参与者相比，ChargePoint是最大的公司之一。该行业几个公司的过去和预计未来收入如下所示。</blockquote></p><p><table><tbody><tr><th>Company</th><th>2021 Revenue Estimate (million)</th><th>2020 Revenue (million)</th></tr><tr><td>ChargePoint</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>EVBox</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>Volta</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>EVgo</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>Blink Charging</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDED</p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><th>公司</th><th>2021年收入预计（百万）</th><th>2020年收入（百万）</th></tr><tr><td>充电点</td><td>$200</td><td>$146</td></tr><tr><td>电动箱</td><td>$145</td><td>$84</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔塔</td><td>$47</td><td>$25</td></tr><tr><td>埃夫戈</td><td>$20</td><td>$14</td></tr><tr><td>闪烁充电</td><td>NP*</td><td>$6.2</td></tr></tbody></table>数据来源：公司财务。*未提供</blockquote></p><p><b>ChargePoint is the current favorite</b></p><p><blockquote><b>ChargePoint 是目前最受欢迎的</b></blockquote></p><p>ChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.</p><p><blockquote>ChargePoint 在北美已经占据了 70% 的 2 级充电网络份额，使用 240 伏电力。其全面的产品网络还包括 2,000 多个公开的快速充电站。其产品套件满足了电动汽车车队所有者、停车运营商和消费者以及企业和市政当局的需求。</blockquote></p><p>And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.</p><p><blockquote>乔·拜登总统提议在美国安装 50 万个新充电站，作为基础设施计划的一部分，这表明市场可以增长多大。他还打算实现公共汽车车队和政府车队的电气化。虽然 ChargePoint 支持基础设施包，并且几乎肯定会成为其通过的受益者，但该公司并不需要这种催化剂来实现其充电网络的快速增长。</blockquote></p><p><b>Investors should play the odds and think long-term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者应该把握机会，着眼长远</b></blockquote></p><p>Betting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for&nbsp;<b>Blink Charging</b>(NASDAQ:BLNK).</p><p><blockquote>押注电动汽车行业并不是短期策略。但如果到 2040 年全球汽车数量呈指数级增长，超过 5400 万辆成为现实，那么该行业目前的高估值最终可能是完全合理的。仅从 2020 年收入最高和最低的两家公司来看，ChargePoint 的市销率约为 50，但 ChargePoint 的市销率为 250<b>闪烁充电</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：BLNK）</blockquote></p><p>A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to&nbsp;<b>Tesla</b>'s(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.</p><p><blockquote>当然，押注充电网络领域并不能保证成功。汽车制造商可能会尝试拥有类似于<b>特斯拉</b>s（纳斯达克股票代码：TSLA）超级充电网络模型。但随着汽车制造商增加电动汽车产量，他们专注于自己最了解的事情似乎更有意义，可能包括电池生产。</blockquote></p><p>For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.</p><p><blockquote>对于想要投机巨额利润的投资者来说，充电公司在快速增长的行业中拥有成熟的业务。随着埃隆·马斯克或其他人激发散户交易者的兴趣，狗狗币持续上涨。但如果这是它上涨的唯一原因，它就无法长期持续。像 ChargePoint 这样的充电公司应该更有可能提供长期收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/07/forget-dogecoin-this-stock-is-a-better-buy/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CHPT":"ChargePoint Holdings Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/07/forget-dogecoin-this-stock-is-a-better-buy/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1117194592","content_text":"It's probably a safe bet to say that many of the buyers of Dogecoin did so because they are hoping the meme cryptocurrency will go \"to the moon.\" But it'shard to make a real investment casefor something that jumps -- or drops -- 26% in value in the course of a day's trading just becauseElon MuskorMark Cubanmentions it in a tweet.Investors looking for a moonshot investment would be better served to take a flier on a company in a sector that promises to create a fundamental shift in an existing industry. Electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to jump from 1.7 million in 2020 to 8.5 million just by 2025, and to 26 million 10 years from now, according to industry research providerBloombergNEF. And the firm expects EV sales to more than double again in the following 10 years.Charging station network leader ChargePoint Holdings(NYSE:CHPT) is established in the business, and investors in this company could ride the explosive EV growth trend.De-SPAC resultsChargePoint went public on March 1 through a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger. But unlike somede-SPAC companiesin the EV space, the company has so far met its sales expectations and kept its future outlook unchanged. That's because it was already an established business before going public, with more than 4,000 commercial and fleet customers, and more than 132,000 charging locations on its network in North America and Europe.There is, and will be, plenty of competition in this space. But ChargePoint exists as one of the largest compared to other domestic and international players. Past and estimated future revenue of several in the sector are shown below.Company2021 Revenue Estimate (million)2020 Revenue (million)ChargePoint$200$146EVBox$145$84Volta$47$25EVgo$20$14Blink ChargingNP*$6.2DATA SOURCE: COMPANY FINANCIALS. *NOT PROVIDEDChargePoint is the current favoriteChargePoint already has a large lead in North America with a 70% share of Level 2 charging networks, which use 240-volt power. Its comprehensive network of offerings also includes more than 2,000 publicly available fast-charging stations. Its suite of products caters to the needs of EV fleet owners, parking operators, and consumers, as well as corporations and municipalities.And in a sign of how large the market can grow, President Joe Biden has proposed installing 500,000 new charging stations in the U.S. as part of an infrastructure initiative. He also intends to electrify bus fleets and government vehicle fleets. While ChargePoint supports the infrastructure package, and would almost certainly be a beneficiary of its passage, the company doesn't need that catalyst for its charging network to grow rapidly.Investors should play the odds and think long-termBetting on the EV sector is not a short-term strategy. But if the exponential global growth to more than 54 million vehicles by 2040 materializes, today's high valuations in the sector could eventually be more than justified. Just looking at the two with the highest and lowest 2020 revenue, respectively, theprice-to-sales ratiosare about 50 for ChargePoint, but 250 for Blink Charging(NASDAQ:BLNK).A bet on the charging network sector has no guarantee of success, of course. It's possible that automakers will try to have proprietary networks similar to Tesla's(NASDAQ:TSLA)supercharger network model. But asautomakersramp up EV production, it would seem to make more sense for them to focus on what they know best, potentially including battery production.For an investor wanting to speculate for big gains, charging companies have an established business in a quickly growing sector. Dogecoin keeps going up as Elon Musk or others excite retail trader interest. But if that's the only reason it's rising, it can't continue long term. A charging company like ChargePoint should have better odds at providing long-term gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CHPT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":864402808,"gmtCreate":1633136221066,"gmtModify":1633136221212,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","listText":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","text":"fastly is the best of this lot, looking to buy on further dips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864402808","repostId":"2172295185","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699141525,"gmtCreate":1639759145176,"gmtModify":1639759145291,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","listText":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","text":"rivian ev is a pipe dream , no production vehicles shud be 1/4 price of nio","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699141525","repostId":"1125012423","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125012423","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639751833,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1125012423?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-17 22:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production<blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响 2021 年产量，早盘交易中股价暴跌超过 12%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125012423","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.It highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.Rivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.\"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC","content":"<p>Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2cd2f9985fc84125cde2f76f0e9f403\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It&nbsp;highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian在警告供应问题将影响 2021 年产量后，早盘交易中股价暴跌超过 12%。它强调了其在提高产量以与电动汽车领导者特斯拉公司竞争时可能面临的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian还宣布计划建造一座耗资 50 亿美元的工厂以提高产能，同时尽管每周收到约 2,000 份预订单，但仍应对生产挑战。</blockquote></p><p> \"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场分析师 Joseph Spak 表示：“我们不想过多解读近期问题……但这确实凸显了Rivian面临的风险。”</blockquote></p><p> The company expects production to fall \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its 2021 target of 1,200 due to supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>由于供应链限制，该公司预计产量将比 2021 年 1,200 辆的目标“少几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Increasing production of R1T truck, R1S SUV and Amazon's delivery vans within a few months would be akin to \"a really complex orchestra,\" Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官 RJ Scaringe 表示，在几个月内增加 R1T 卡车、R1S SUV 和亚马逊送货车的产量将类似于“一个非常复杂的管弦乐队”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production<blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响 2021 年产量，早盘交易中股价暴跌超过 12%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 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class=\"title\">\nRivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production<blockquote>Rivian警告供应问题将影响 2021 年产量，早盘交易中股价暴跌超过 12%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-17 22:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f2cd2f9985fc84125cde2f76f0e9f403\" tg-width=\"764\" tg-height=\"567\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">It&nbsp;highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian在警告供应问题将影响 2021 年产量后，早盘交易中股价暴跌超过 12%。它强调了其在提高产量以与电动汽车领导者特斯拉公司竞争时可能面临的挑战。</blockquote></p><p> Rivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.</p><p><blockquote>Rivian还宣布计划建造一座耗资 50 亿美元的工厂以提高产能，同时尽管每周收到约 2,000 份预订单，但仍应对生产挑战。</blockquote></p><p> \"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场分析师 Joseph Spak 表示：“我们不想过多解读近期问题……但这确实凸显了Rivian面临的风险。”</blockquote></p><p> The company expects production to fall \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its 2021 target of 1,200 due to supply chain constraints.</p><p><blockquote>由于供应链限制，该公司预计产量将比 2021 年 1,200 辆的目标“少几百辆”。</blockquote></p><p> Increasing production of R1T truck, R1S SUV and Amazon's delivery vans within a few months would be akin to \"a really complex orchestra,\" Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said.</p><p><blockquote>首席执行官 RJ Scaringe 表示，在几个月内增加 R1T 卡车、R1S SUV 和亚马逊送货车的产量将类似于“一个非常复杂的管弦乐队”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125012423","content_text":"Rivian tumbled over 12% in morning trading after it warned supply issues to hit 2021 production.It highlighted the challenges it is likely to face in ramping up production to take on EV leader Tesla Inc.\nRivian also announced plans to build a $5 billion plant to ramp up capacity, while flagging production challenges even as it receives about 2,000 pre-orders every week.\n\"We don't want to read too much into near-term issues ... but it does highlight the risk that Rivian has a lot on its plate,\" RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak said.\nThe company expects production to fall \"a few hundred vehicles short\" of its 2021 target of 1,200 due to supply chain constraints.\nIncreasing production of R1T truck, R1S SUV and Amazon's delivery vans within a few months would be akin to \"a really complex orchestra,\" Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3902,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":821177885,"gmtCreate":1633711749484,"gmtModify":1633711749621,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good stuff thanks","listText":"good stuff thanks","text":"good stuff thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/821177885","repostId":"1133780035","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133780035","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633704297,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1133780035?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-08 22:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133780035","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a litt","content":"<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，购买力尚未开发。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 reasons this is a fresh multiyear bull market and 6 stocks in the surprising sector you should favor<blockquote>这是一个新的多年牛市的 6 个理由以及您应该青睐的令人惊讶的行业中的 6 只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-08 22:44</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.</b>  Nothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.</p><p><blockquote><b>股市悲观情绪和消费者过度购买力指向零售股。</b>没有什么比十月份的小幅动荡更能帮助市场的弱者与内心的空头取得联系了。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.</p><p><blockquote>但不要让他们的消极情绪影响到你。我们仍接近多年牛市的开始。以下是现在购买股票的六个理由，以及目前最值得持有的行业之一中值得考虑的六个名字。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1. 情绪已经变得足够悲观</b></blockquote></p><p> I regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.</p><p><blockquote>我定期在我的股票信中跟踪投资者情绪（详情和链接见下文），以便对市场做出逆向 “评级”。虽然你的大部分资金应该长期持有，但在大多数人看跌的时候入场会给你带来优势。现在就是这样。情绪并不是极其消极，但本周的跌幅足以在我的系统中触发买入信号。</blockquote></p><p> It’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.</p><p><blockquote>还值得指出的是，主要媒体数据本周变得相当负面，这是另一个良好的反向信号。(在我的书中，他们的负面情绪是一个看涨信号，但这并不意味着我认为他们很密集。只是备受瞩目的媒体评论员是共识的海绵。这是一种职业危害--作为投资者，我们可以利用这种危害。</blockquote></p><p> Pick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.</p><p><blockquote>挑选你最喜欢的流行财经媒体头条，然后在他们持续消极或积极时反其道而行之。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seasonality is in our favor</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2. 季节性对我们有利</b></blockquote></p><p> The worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.</p><p><blockquote>股市最糟糕的月份是10月，最弱的日子是10月10日和10月11日。然后，在这个黯淡的月份之后是季节性强劲的 1 月至 5 月阶段，此时市场受到新资金流入的支撑。在此期间，随着股市从 10 月份的疲软中反弹以及共同基金税收损失销售季节的结束，11 月和 12 月可能会表现强劲。这项工作将于十月底完成。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. COVID is rolling over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3. 新冠疫情正在蔓延</b></blockquote></p><p> It’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.</p><p><blockquote>病例数和住院人数急剧下降已不是什么秘密。去年，寒冷的天气并没有迎来冬季新冠流感季节。因此，期待今年也会发生同样的事情并不算太疯狂，尤其是考虑到所有接种过疫苗或被感染的人。重新开放将有助于提振经济。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. A correction may have already happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.更正可能已经发生</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.</p><p><blockquote>进入夏季以来，市场经历了各板块的滚动调整。Russell 2000RUT,+0.14% 8 月份下跌超过 10%，这是修正的定义。周期性、零售、科技等都受到了打击。Charles SchwabSCHW 首席投资策略师 Liz Ann Sonders 指出，截至 10 月初，90% 或更多的标准普尔 500SPX（-0.05%）和纳斯达克 COMP（-0.28%）股票已较 2021 年高点下跌至少 10%，+1.47%。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.</p><p><blockquote>换句话说，当每个人都在寻找修正时，它可能已经发生了。市场大部分时间都有一种有趣的方式来欺骗大多数人，就是这样。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There’s been strong household formation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5. 家庭形成强劲</b></blockquote></p><p> Millennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代终于要放弃父母的地下室了--如果这种陈词滥调有什么道理的话。</blockquote></p><p> What is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.</p><p><blockquote>真相：他们正进入结婚和家庭的黄金年龄。此外，经济正在蓬勃发展，因此他们有足够的信心投入购房。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.</p><p><blockquote>结果是：现在每年大约有200万家庭形成，是过去五年的两倍多。购房者不得不购买很多东西来填满那些新房子。这是一个内在的经济助推器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.消费者受到惊吓、锁定和加载</b></blockquote></p><p> There are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.</p><p><blockquote>Leuthold Group 经济学家兼策略师吉姆·保尔森 (Jim Paulsen) 指出，无论美联储是否缩减规模，经济中至少有六种自然刺激来源随时准备推动增长。一个是上面提到的家庭形成。另一个原因是公司库存水平低——它们不得不大量补充库存。但对我来说，最大的是消费者，因为消费者支出是我们经济的主要驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.</p><p><blockquote>底线：消费者害怕了。但当他们的焦虑缓解时，他们有大量的购买力可以利用——也许是随着新冠疫情继续蔓延。</blockquote></p><p> Now a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.</p><p><blockquote>现在更多细节。根据密歇根大学消费者信心指数的衡量，8 月份消费者信心处于疫情开始以来的最低水平。九月份有所上涨，但仍然很低。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.</p><p><blockquote>同时，消费者拥有巨大的购买力。个人储蓄约占GDP的12%。保尔森指出，这是长期平均水平（约 6%-7%）的两倍。净资产与收入相比创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.</p><p><blockquote>不要误以为只是富人因为股市而变得更富有。房子也涨了很多，大多数人都有自己的房子。家庭债务与个人收入之比是1985年以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”</p><p><blockquote>“保尔森说：”消费者感到害怕，购买力尚未开发。“他说：”这种悲观的心态加上过剩的购买力，在历史上产生了稳健的市场涨幅，很少出现下跌。“这一比率描绘了一个仍处于起步阶段的牛市。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>S</b><b><b>tocks</b></b><b>&nbsp;to buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>S</b><b><b>托克斯</b></b><b>购买</b></blockquote></p><p> Since the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.</p><p><blockquote>由于消费者是这种动态的重要组成部分，我说选择零售股。他们的表现一直不佳，这也让他们看起来很有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> Morningstar cites Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.</p><p><blockquote>晨星公司将 Bath &amp; Body WorksBBWI,-0.74% 视为一家拥有护城河并以折扣价交易的零售商。这家身体护理和家居香水零售商获得了四星级评级，因为其股票交易远低于晨星公司对该公司 79 美元的 “公允价值 ”估计。</blockquote></p><p> As for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.</p><p><blockquote>至于护城河，分析师 Jaime Katz 列举了该公司强大的品牌、在该领域的领先地位以及 30% 的平均投资资本回报率，远高于 8% 的加权平均资本成本。</blockquote></p><p> Eric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX (+1.83%) 的投资组合经理 Eric Marshall 看好服装零售商 American Eagle OutfittersAEO (0.36%)，该股较今年高点下跌超过 35%。该公司第二季度营收达到创纪录的11.9亿美元，同比增长35%。</blockquote></p><p> The core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.</p><p><blockquote>核心增长动力是其广受欢迎的 Aerie 品牌。马歇尔认为该公司今年每股收益将超过 2 美元，这使得 American Eagle 股票的预期市盈率约为 13 倍。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔值得一听，因为他有一只热手。根据晨星公司的数据，他的霍奇斯小型股基金今年上涨了 31%，比其小型混合类别和罗素 2000 指数基准高出 12 至 18 个百分点。</blockquote></p><p> Marshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation&nbsp;goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.</p><p><blockquote>马歇尔还喜欢销售运动和户外休闲用品的 Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%。由于户外活动的流行，疫情对这家公司来说是一笔意外之财。强劲的疫情销售帮助该公司摆脱了高债务水平。分析师担心受疫情影响的户外活动的受欢迎程度将会减弱，但马歇尔认为户外生活方式将继续流行。</blockquote></p><p> While many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.</p><p><blockquote>虽然许多零售行业投资者对 Amazon.comAMZN（0.03%）和 WalmartWMT（0.03%）的实力感到敬畏，但 Motley Fool 零售行业分析师 Asit Sharma 更青睐那些掌握了 “直接面向消费者 ”销售模式的利基连锁店。他们提供很棒的商店和可靠的产品，但也提供购物者想要的送货选择组合，包括在店内提取网上购买的商品。</blockquote></p><p> “The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.</p><p><blockquote>“夏尔马说：”零售业常年名声不好，因为每个人都在关注昨天的故事，即亚马逊和沃尔玛正在夺走所有实体店。但事实并非如此。许多零售商提供了出色的店内体验和两大零售巨头无法真正提供的独特产品。</blockquote></p><p> Here, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，Sharma 引用了 Lululemon AthleticaLULU，-0.88%。“我们喜欢公司在面料方面投入研发创新。”商店给消费者一个亲自检查定制面料的机会。</blockquote></p><p> Sharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.</p><p><blockquote>Sharma 还青睐 Yeti HoldingsYETI，-1.92%，该公司销售冷却器、“饮料用具”和户外设备。对于市值较大的公司，可以考虑广受欢迎的零售巨头 TargetTGT，-0.24%，因为它采用了 “一站式 ”的零售方式。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/6-reasons-this-is-a-fresh-multiyear-bull-market-and-6-stocks-in-the-surprising-sector-you-should-favor-11633701844?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133780035","content_text":"Stock-market pessimism and excess consumer buying power point to retail stocks.\n\nNothing like a little October turbulence to help the market’s weak hands get in touch with their inner bears.\nBut don’t let their negativity rub off on you. We’re still near the beginning of what will be a multiyear bull market. Here are six reasons to buy stocks now, and six names to consider in one of the best sectors to own at the moment.\n1. Sentiment has gotten bearish enough\nI regularly track investor sentiment in my stock letter (details and link in bio below) to make contrarian “calls” on the market. While most of your money should be in long-term holdings, timing entries when most people are bearish gives you an edge. That is the case now. Sentiment is not extremely negative, but it fell enough this week to trigger a buy signal in my system.\nIt’s also worth pointing out that major media figures turned pretty negative this week, another good contrarian signal. (I won’t name names.) And the fact that their negativity is a bullish signal in my book doesn’t mean I think they are dense. It’s just that high-profile media commentators are consensus sponges. It’s an occupational hazard – which we can use to our advantage as investors.\nPick your favorite popular financial media talking heads, then do the opposite whenever they turn consistently negative — or positive.\n2. Seasonality is in our favor\nThe worst month for stocks is October, and the weakest days are Oct. 10 and Oct. 11. Then this bleak month is followed by the seasonally strong January-May phase when the market is bolstered by new money coming in. In between, November and December can be strong as stocks rebound from October weakness and the end of the mutual-fund tax-loss selling season. That’s finished at the end of October.\n3. COVID is rolling over\nIt’s no secret that case counts and hospitalizations are down sharply. Last year, the cold weather did not usher in a winter COVID flu season. So, it’s not too crazy to expect the same thing this year, especially given all the people who have been vaccinated or infected. Reopening will help boost the economy.\n4. A correction may have already happened\nSince the summer, the market has experienced rolling corrections in various sectors. The Russell 2000RUT,+0.14%was down over 10% in August, the definition of a correction. Cyclicals, retail, tech and so forth have all been hit. As of early October, 90% or more of S&P 500SPX,-0.05%and NasdaqCOMP,-0.28%stocks had fallen at least 10% from 2021 highs, notes Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles SchwabSCHW,+1.47%.\nIn other words, while everyone was looking for a correction, it may have already happened. The market has a funny way of tricking most people most of the time, this way.\n5. There’s been strong household formation\nMillennials are finally giving up on the parents’ basement – if there was ever any truth to that cliché.\nWhat is true: They’re entering the prime age for marriage and family. Plus, the economy is booming so they feel confident enough to make the plunge into homeownership.\nThe upshot: Household formation is now at about two million per year, more than double the rate for the past five years. Home buyers have to purchase a lot of stuff to fill up those new houses. That’s a built-in economy booster.\n6. The consumer is scared, locked and loaded\nThere are at least a half-dozen natural sources of stimulus in the economy ready to drive growth whether the Fed tapers or not, points out Jim Paulsen, an economist and strategist at Leuthold Group. One is that household formation, mentioned above. Another is the low level of inventories at companies – which have to restock big time. But to me, the big one is the consumer, simply because consumer spending is the big driver of our economy.\nThe bottom line: Consumer are scared. But they have a ton of buying power to tap when their anxieties ease — perhaps as COVID continues to roll over.\nNow a little more detail.August consumer sentimentwas at the lowest level since the pandemic began, as measured by the University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment. Itnudged up in September, but it is still low.\nAt the same time, consumers have a tremendous amount of buying power. Personal savings are at about 12% of GDP. That’s twice the longer-term average of around 6%-7%, notes Paulsen. Net worth compared to income is at record highs.\nDon’t make the mistake of thinking that’s just the rich getting richer because of the stock market. Homes are up a lot too, and most people own homes. The ratio of household debt to personal income is the lowest since 1985.\n“Consumers are scared and loaded with untapped buying power,” says Paulsen. “This pessimistic mindset combined with the excess buying power has historically produced solid market gains with infrequent declines,” he says. “This ratio portrays a bull market that is still in its infancy.”\nStocks to buy\nSince the consumer is such a big part of this dynamic, I say go with retail stocks. They’ve been underperforming, which also makes them look attractive.\nMorningstar cites Bath & Body WorksBBWI,-0.74%as a retailer with a moat and trading at a discount. The body care and home fragrance retailer has a four-star rating because its stock is trading so far below Morningstar’s “fair value” estimate of $79 for the name.\nAs for the moat, analyst Jaime Katz cites the company’s strong brand, its leadership position in its space, and the 30% average return on invested capital, well above its 8% weighted average cost of capital.\nEric Marshall, a portfolio manager at the Hodges Small Cap fundHDPSX,+1.83%,likes the apparel retailer American Eagle OutfittersAEO,0.36%,which is down over 35% from highs this year. The company posted record revenue of $1.19 billion in the second quarter, up 35% year over year.\nThe core growth driver is its popular Aerie brand. Marshall thinks the company will earn over $2 a share this year, which makes American Eagle stock a bargain at around 13 times forward earnings.\nMarshall is worth listening to because he has a hot hand. His Hodges small-cap fund is up 31% this year, beating its small blend category and Russell 2000 index benchmark by 12 to 18 percentage points, according to Morningstar.\nMarshall also likes Academy Sports and OutdoorsASO,-0.91%,which sells sports and outdoor recreation goods. The pandemic was a windfall for this company because of the popularity of outdoor activities. Strong pandemic sales helped the company chip away at its high debt levels. Analysts are worried the pandemic-inspired popularity of outdoor activities will wane, but Marshall thinks the outdoor lifestyle will stay in vogue.\nWhile many retail sector investors are awed by the power of Amazon.comAMZN,0.03%and WalmartWMT,0.03%,Motley Fool retail sector analyst Asit Sharma favors niche chains that have mastered the “direct to consumer” sales model. They offer great stores and solid products, but also the mix of delivery options that shoppers want – including in-store pickup of items bought online.\n“The retail sector gets a perennial bad rap because everyone is focused on yesterday’s story, that Amazon and Walmart are taking out all physical stores,” says Sharma. But that’s not the case. Many retailers provide a mix of excellent in-store experiences and unique products that the two retail giants can’t really offer.\nHere, Sharma cites Lululemon AthleticaLULU,-0.88%.“We love the fact that the company spends on its own research and development innovation on the fabric side.” Stores give consumers a chance to check out the custom fabrics in person.\nSharma also favors Yeti HoldingsYETI,-1.92%,which sells coolers, “drinkware” and outdoor equipment. For a larger cap name, consider the popular retail giant TargetTGT,-0.24%for its “everything under one roof” approach to retail.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":891743207,"gmtCreate":1628435294109,"gmtModify":1631891049945,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","listText":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","text":"good to know not all that glitters is Gold","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891743207","repostId":"1143051031","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1041,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175571964,"gmtCreate":1627044387658,"gmtModify":1631891049947,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","listText":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","text":"Pls sell more pls n push price lower n lower so the real investors can benefit TQ","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175571964","repostId":"2153092983","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1181,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":865403736,"gmtCreate":1633008615055,"gmtModify":1633008615214,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"so fi is it, pun intended","listText":"so fi is it, pun intended","text":"so fi is it, pun intended","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865403736","repostId":"2171937006","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":119322473,"gmtCreate":1622521638792,"gmtModify":1631891049955,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"check out absolute software also (abst)","listText":"check out absolute software also (abst)","text":"check out absolute software also (abst)","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119322473","repostId":"1143634909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":907,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":868724370,"gmtCreate":1632706931690,"gmtModify":1632798422865,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"right research will save one from more pain later","listText":"right research will save one from more pain later","text":"right research will save one from more pain later","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868724370","repostId":"1175726457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175726457","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632626757,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1175726457?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-26 11:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点： 市场分析师无法就股市下一步走势达成一致。因此，在购买或出售之前，请仔细检查数据</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175726457","media":"Market Watch","summary":"It’s an urgent question, since the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for tw","content":"<p>It’s an urgent question, since the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个紧迫的问题，因为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>经济意外指数（CESI）在连续上涨一年多后，已经连续两个月为负。CESI衡量最新经济新闻偏离华尔街共识的程度。因此，过去两个月持续为负的 CESI 读数意味着总体而言，经济消息比预期更糟。</blockquote></p><p> Is it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?</p><p><blockquote>对于股票投资者来说，最近发布的美国经济新闻明显差于预期，这是好消息还是坏消息？</blockquote></p><p> The latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团经济意外指数（CESI）的最新读数为负29.2。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>10天前，它甚至更负面，为负61.7。过去 18 年的平均值为 4.6。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd20c01571a824c8113089a65b814bb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.</p><p><blockquote>我监控的顾问们对这些最新读数意味着什么没有达成共识。一些人认为这是个好消息，反向理论认为，比预期更糟糕的消息构成了美国牛市可能攀升的 “担忧之墙”。另一些人则认为，你不能粉饰比预期更糟糕的经济新闻。</blockquote></p><p> To help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&amp;P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助解决他们的分歧，我分析了2003年的每日CESI数据。具体来说，我测量了它与标普500 sSPX 的相关性，在接下来的一个月、一个季度、六个月的回报率为 +0.15%，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>年。我没有想出任何符合传统统计显著性标准的东西。</blockquote></p><p> A summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&amp;P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.</p><p><blockquote>我的发现总结如下图所示。请注意，无论 CESI 是正还是负，标普500的平均回报率几乎相同，呈上升趋势或下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65016b28c482526ac92a5d6035ba9ed9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> These findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”</p><p><blockquote>这些发现并不是对CESI本身的批评。花旗集团创建该指数是为了给外汇交易者提供一个有用的工具。花旗集团表示，CESI“是一个独特的专有设计的完美例子，它对讨论它的人几乎没有任何影响……它并不打算用于股票价格。”</blockquote></p><p> There’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.</p><p><blockquote>这里还有一个更广泛的教训需要我们学习： 我们需要让直觉接受经验现实的检验。当我们的预感似乎如此明显地正确时，这一点就显得尤为重要--当经济消息的到来是好于还是坏于预期时也是如此。股市历史充满了保证会发生但不会发生的预期。</blockquote></p><p> It can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.</p><p><blockquote>翻阅庞大的数据库来查看某种模式是否真的存在可能会很乏味。但努力是值得的。虽然严格的统计数据并不能保证你能跑赢市场，但如果你在统计数据上马虎、前后矛盾，你肯定会输给市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616996754749","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点： 市场分析师无法就股市下一步走势达成一致。因此，在购买或出售之前，请仔细检查数据</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Market analysts can’t agree on where stocks are going next. So double-check the data before you buy or sell<blockquote>观点： 市场分析师无法就股市下一步走势达成一致。因此，在购买或出售之前，请仔细检查数据</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Market Watch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-26 11:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s an urgent question, since the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a> Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个紧迫的问题，因为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗集团</a>经济意外指数（CESI）在连续上涨一年多后，已经连续两个月为负。CESI衡量最新经济新闻偏离华尔街共识的程度。因此，过去两个月持续为负的 CESI 读数意味着总体而言，经济消息比预期更糟。</blockquote></p><p> Is it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?</p><p><blockquote>对于股票投资者来说，最近发布的美国经济新闻明显差于预期，这是好消息还是坏消息？</blockquote></p><p> The latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团经济意外指数（CESI）的最新读数为负29.2。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>10天前，它甚至更负面，为负61.7。过去 18 年的平均值为 4.6。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd20c01571a824c8113089a65b814bb3\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> There is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.</p><p><blockquote>我监控的顾问们对这些最新读数意味着什么没有达成共识。一些人认为这是个好消息，反向理论认为，比预期更糟糕的消息构成了美国牛市可能攀升的 “担忧之墙”。另一些人则认为，你不能粉饰比预期更糟糕的经济新闻。</blockquote></p><p> To help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&amp;P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助解决他们的分歧，我分析了2003年的每日CESI数据。具体来说，我测量了它与标普500 sSPX 的相关性，在接下来的一个月、一个季度、六个月的回报率为 +0.15%，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>年。我没有想出任何符合传统统计显著性标准的东西。</blockquote></p><p> A summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&amp;P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.</p><p><blockquote>我的发现总结如下图所示。请注意，无论 CESI 是正还是负，标普500的平均回报率几乎相同，呈上升趋势或下降趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65016b28c482526ac92a5d6035ba9ed9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"471\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> These findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”</p><p><blockquote>这些发现并不是对CESI本身的批评。花旗集团创建该指数是为了给外汇交易者提供一个有用的工具。花旗集团表示，CESI“是一个独特的专有设计的完美例子，它对讨论它的人几乎没有任何影响……它并不打算用于股票价格。”</blockquote></p><p> There’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.</p><p><blockquote>这里还有一个更广泛的教训需要我们学习： 我们需要让直觉接受经验现实的检验。当我们的预感似乎如此明显地正确时，这一点就显得尤为重要--当经济消息的到来是好于还是坏于预期时也是如此。股市历史充满了保证会发生但不会发生的预期。</blockquote></p><p> It can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.</p><p><blockquote>翻阅庞大的数据库来查看某种模式是否真的存在可能会很乏味。但努力是值得的。虽然严格的统计数据并不能保证你能跑赢市场，但如果你在统计数据上马虎、前后矛盾，你肯定会输给市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/market-analysts-cant-agree-on-where-stocks-are-going-next-so-double-check-the-data-before-you-buy-or-sell-11632447577?mod=home-page\">Market Watch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/market-analysts-cant-agree-on-where-stocks-are-going-next-so-double-check-the-data-before-you-buy-or-sell-11632447577?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175726457","content_text":"It’s an urgent question, since the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has been negative for two months now, following an unbroken positive stretch for more than a year. The CESI measures the extent to which the latest economic news deviates from the Wall Street consensus. The past two months of consistently negative CESI readings therefore mean that the economic news, on balance, has been worse than expected.\nIs it good news or bad for stock investors that recent U.S. economic news releases have been significantly worse than expected?\nThe latest reading from the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) is minus 29.2. Just 10 days ago it was even more negative, at minus 61.7. Its average over the last 18 years is 4.6.\n\nThere is no consensus among the advisers I monitor about what these latest readings mean. Some believe it’s good news, on the contrarian theory that the worse-than-expected news constitutes a“wall of worry”that the U.S. bull market can climb. Others argue that you can’t sugar-coat worse-than-expected economic news.\nTo help resolve their disagreement, I analyzed daily CESI data back to 2003. Specifically, I measured its correlation with the S&P 500’sSPX,+0.15%return over the subsequent month-, quarter-, six months, and one year. I came up with nothing that met traditional standards of statistical significance.\nA summary of what I found is plotted in the chart below. Notice that the S&P 500’s average return is virtually the same regardless of whether the CESI is positive or negative, trending upward or downward.\n\nThese findings are not a criticism of the CESI itself. Citigroup created the index as a useful tool for foreign exchange traders.Citigroup has saidthat the CESI “is a perfect example of unique proprietary design which has almost no bearing on those who discuss it… It was not meant to be used for stock prices.”\nThere’s a broader lesson here for us to learn as well: We need to subject our intuitions to empirical reality checks. That’s especially important when our hunches seem so obviously true — as is the case when it comes to whether the economic news is coming in better or worse than expected. Stock market history is filled with expectations that were guaranteed to happen but which did not.\nIt can be tedious plowing through huge databases to see if a pattern really exists. But it’s worth the effort. Though being statistically rigorous does not guarantee that you will beat the market, you most assuredly will lose to the market if you’re statistically sloppy and inconsistent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860481872,"gmtCreate":1632198180996,"gmtModify":1632802115835,"author":{"id":"3563583079105546","authorId":"3563583079105546","name":"Jjireh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abb31f7823549495261bb36e03885de5","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3563583079105546","idStr":"3563583079105546"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","listText":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","text":"one of the best summary of key points in macd out there","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860481872","repostId":"1109188181","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109188181","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632123243,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1109188181?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 15:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这 2 个内部提示来了解何时买卖</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109188181","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four l","content":"<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD 和 MACD 直方图可以提升您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出盈利和亏损头寸之间的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛背离）是交易者在分析中始终使用的关键股票市场指标（以及移动平均线和RSI）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来讨论一下使用这种强大而多功能的仪表的一些创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定一个趋势及其相关的动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能反转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD 是一个 “滞后 ”或 “回顾性 ”指标，这意味着它的信号是延迟的，但不要因此而望而却步。当 MACD 产生信号时，它通常很重要，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者青睐的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间范围越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为 “MACD 线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”。记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，图表上还有一条水平线，称为 “零线”（0 线）。零线的主要功能是提醒您注意基础价格走势的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的水平上，MACD 产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当 MACD 线穿过零线上方时，则为看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当 MACD 线穿过九日信号线上方时，则为看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>出售：</b>当 MACD 线穿过零线下方时，则为看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>出售：</b>当 MACD 线穿过九日信号线下方时，则为看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九日信号线都朝同一方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是一个可操作的交易。像任何指标一样，也有错误信号。此外，在用真金白银进行交易之前，还必须与其他指标进行确认。将这些 MACD 买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD 的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数 JIA,-0.48% 或标准普尔 500SPX,-0.91% 的 MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到波动性回到主要市场指数。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD 现在对特斯拉的评价</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>比如特斯拉TSLA,+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD在零线上方，MACD线在信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>根据这一信息，特斯拉股票目前值得短期 “强力 ”买入。如果特斯拉的 MACD 线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将是 “适度 ”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我采访了 MACD 的创始人杰拉尔德-阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）。他告诉我，他在 20 世纪 70 年代末通过将数字输入打孔机和电子表格创建了 MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够自动化这个过程。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔对 MACD 变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“他说：”它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间框架。“通过使用基于月度数据的 MACD 形态，您可以很好地解读市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图表上使用它”。</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说： “由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。在越来越多的股票下跌的情况下，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移”。</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel 警告说，您必须根据其他指标确认 MACD 信号。“他说：”没有任何指标是万无一失的。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而 MACD 会下跌。也许你认为这是一个卖出信号。但事实并非如此。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>Appel补充说，他喜欢同时使用不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期 MACD 与中期 MACD 同时出现，他就更有信心该信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD 最强大（但经常被忽视）的附加功能之一是 MACD 直方图。这种振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个单独的程序，应该在你的图表包上提供。使用此功能的交易者通常会同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果柱状图移动到零线上方，则意味着标的股票（或指数）正在增强，即动量。如果柱状图移动到零线以下，股票或指数就会失去强度。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到，动量总是先于价格变化。这就是 MACD 和 MACD 直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都能检测到势头何时减弱。如果直方图柱状图移动到零线上方，这也可能是一个看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果 MACD 直方图柱状图变为浅色，则意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱状图升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图条跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>红旗</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD走低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到 MACD 直方图颜色变化且柱状图变短，则证实动量正在减弱（但根据 RSI 或随机指标证实这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过 MACD 或 MACD 直方图，请尝试一下。对于任何已经触底并正在上涨的股票，请使用这些指标。他们将帮助确认这只股票是有腿的，还是只是给交易者一个假头。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere (michaelsincere.com) 是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Savvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这 2 个内部提示来了解何时买卖</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSavvy stock traders use these 2 insider tips to know when to buy and sell<blockquote>精明的股票交易者使用这 2 个内部提示来了解何时买卖</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 15:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.</b>  For many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.</p><p><blockquote><b>MACD 和 MACD 直方图可以提升您的交易组合。</b>对于许多股票交易者来说，四个字母可以拼出盈利和亏损头寸之间的区别。MACD（移动平均线收敛背离）是交易者在分析中始终使用的关键股票市场指标（以及移动平均线和RSI）之一。</blockquote></p><p> Let’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.</p><p><blockquote>让我们来讨论一下使用这种强大而多功能的仪表的一些创造性方法。</blockquote></p><p> MACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.&nbsp; It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.</p><p><blockquote>MACD于20世纪70年代末推出，是一种趋势跟踪动量指标。它有助于确定一个趋势及其相关的动量（即方向速度和持续时间）何时结束或开始，或者可能反转方向。</blockquote></p><p> Be aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，MACD 是一个 “滞后 ”或 “回顾性 ”指标，这意味着它的信号是延迟的，但不要因此而望而却步。当 MACD 产生信号时，它通常很重要，尤其是在周线图上使用时（相对于短线交易者青睐的日线图）。事实上，MACD时间范围越长，结果就越有效，这也是像我这样的长期交易者更喜欢使用周线图的原因之一。</blockquote></p><p> When you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.</p><p><blockquote>当你在图表上查看MACD时，你会看到两条线。黑线被称为 “MACD 线”。灰色(或红色)线被称为“信号线”。记住：MACD线是领先线，而信号线是落后线。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).&nbsp; The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.</p><p><blockquote>此外，图表上还有一条水平线，称为 “零线”（0 线）。零线的主要功能是提醒您注意基础价格走势的主要趋势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Four simple trading signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四个简单的交易信号</b></blockquote></p><p> At its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:</p><p><blockquote>在最基本的水平上，MACD 产生四个信号：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当 MACD 线穿过零线上方时，则为看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy:</b>When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.</p><p><blockquote><b>购买：</b>当 MACD 线穿过九日信号线上方时，则为看涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>出售：</b>当 MACD 线穿过零线下方时，则为看跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Sell:</b>When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.</p><p><blockquote><b>出售：</b>当 MACD 线穿过九日信号线下方时，则为看跌。</blockquote></p><p> Note: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.</p><p><blockquote>注意：当MACD线和九日信号线都朝同一方向移动（上升趋势或下降趋势）时，这是一个更强、更重要的信号。</blockquote></p><p> Keep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.</p><p><blockquote>请记住，仅仅因为MACD产生买入或卖出信号并不意味着它是一个可操作的交易。像任何指标一样，也有错误信号。此外，在用真金白银进行交易之前，还必须与其他指标进行确认。将这些 MACD 买卖信号视为指导方针，而不是规则。</blockquote></p><p> Another limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&amp;P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.</p><p><blockquote>MACD 的另一个局限性是，它在股市顶部或市场波动性较低时效果不佳。因此，如果您在当前市场上使用道琼斯工业平均指数 JIA,-0.48% 或标准普尔 500SPX,-0.91% 的 MACD，则该信号就没有那么有用了。这就是为什么你应该在个股上使用MACD，直到波动性回到主要市场指数。</blockquote></p><p> What MACD says about Tesla now</p><p><blockquote>MACD 现在对特斯拉的评价</blockquote></p><p> For example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.</p><p><blockquote>比如特斯拉TSLA,+0.33%的周线图显示其MACD在零线上方，MACD线在信号线上方。特斯拉也高于其移动平均线。</blockquote></p><p> Based on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy.&nbsp;If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.</p><p><blockquote>根据这一信息，特斯拉股票目前值得短期 “强力 ”买入。如果特斯拉的 MACD 线跌破其信号线，而两条线都高于零线，则该股将是 “适度 ”买入。</blockquote></p><p> A few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.</p><p><blockquote>几年前，我采访了 MACD 的创始人杰拉尔德-阿佩尔（Gerald Appel）。他告诉我，他在 20 世纪 70 年代末通过将数字输入打孔机和电子表格创建了 MACD。个人电脑发明后，他能够自动化这个过程。</blockquote></p><p> Appel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”</p><p><blockquote>阿佩尔对 MACD 变得如此受欢迎表示惊讶。“他说：”它之所以有效，是因为它可以适应任何时间框架。“通过使用基于月度数据的 MACD 形态，您可以很好地解读市场的主要趋势。您也可以在五分钟图表上使用它”。</blockquote></p><p> MACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”</p><p><blockquote>MACD在市场底部给出最精确的信号。阿佩尔说： “由于市场的行为方式，它在市场低点比在高点更准确。市场底部往往非常尖锐和明显，而顶部往往宽阔而缓慢。在越来越多的股票下跌的情况下，市场平均线也有可能继续向上漂移”。</blockquote></p><p> Appel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”</p><p><blockquote>Appel 警告说，您必须根据其他指标确认 MACD 信号。“他说：”没有任何指标是万无一失的。“你可能会看到市场上涨，而 MACD 会下跌。也许你认为这是一个卖出信号。但事实并非如此。”</blockquote></p><p> Appel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.</p><p><blockquote>Appel补充说，他喜欢同时使用不同的MACD时间框架。例如，如果短期 MACD 与中期 MACD 同时出现，他就更有信心该信号是有效的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The MACD-Histogram</b></p><p><blockquote><b>MACD直方图</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> One of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package.&nbsp;Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.</p><p><blockquote>MACD 最强大（但经常被忽视）的附加功能之一是 MACD 直方图。这种振荡器由托马斯·阿斯普雷于1986年开发，用于测量动量。这是一个单独的程序，应该在你的图表包上提供。使用此功能的交易者通常会同时查看股票图表上的MACD和直方图。</blockquote></p><p> The histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.</p><p><blockquote>直方图是股票屏幕底部的一系列条形图。如果柱状图移动到零线上方，则意味着标的股票（或指数）正在增强，即动量。如果柱状图移动到零线以下，股票或指数就会失去强度。</blockquote></p><p> Many beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.</p><p><blockquote>许多新手交易者没有意识到，动量总是先于价格变化。这就是 MACD 和 MACD 直方图如此有价值的原因。这两个指标都能检测到势头何时减弱。如果直方图柱状图移动到零线上方，这也可能是一个看涨的信号。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Histogram signals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>直方图信号</b></blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li>If the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.</li> </ol> <ol>  <li>As mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.</li> </ol> <b>Red flags</b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li>如果 MACD 直方图柱状图变为浅色，则意味着动量正在减弱。这不是卖出信号；这仅仅意味着对该特定股票的热情正在减弱。</li></ol><ol><li>如前所述，如果直方图柱状图升至零线以上，则为买入信号。上升趋势可能正在形成。如果直方图条跌破零线，则为卖出信号。下降趋势可能正在形成。</li></ol><b>红旗</b></blockquote></p><p> If you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).</p><p><blockquote>如果你看到指数价格和股票价格走高，但MACD走低，这是一个危险信号。此外，如果您看到 MACD 直方图颜色变化且柱状图变短，则证实动量正在减弱（但根据 RSI 或随机指标证实这一点）。</blockquote></p><p> If you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.</p><p><blockquote>如果您从未使用过 MACD 或 MACD 直方图，请尝试一下。对于任何已经触底并正在上涨的股票，请使用这些指标。他们将帮助确认这只股票是有腿的，还是只是给交易者一个假头。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Michael Sincere&nbsp;(michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>Michael Sincere (michaelsincere.com) 是《了解期权》和《了解股票》的作者。</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/savvy-stock-traders-use-these-2-insider-tips-to-know-when-to-buy-and-sell-11631314697","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109188181","content_text":"MACD and the MACD-Histogram can give your trading portfolio a boost.\n\nFor many stock traders, four letters can spell the difference between a winning and losing position. MACD (moving average convergence divergence) ranks among the key stock market indicators (along with moving averages and RSI) that traders use consistently in their analysis.\nLet’s discuss a number of creative ways to use this powerful and versatile gauge.\nMACD, introduced in the late 1970s, is a trend-following momentum indicator.  It helps to determine when a trend, and its associated momentum (i.e., directional speed and duration) has ended or begun, or might reverse direction.\nBe aware that MACD is a “lagging” or “backward-looking” indicator, which means its signals are delayed, but don’t let that deter you. When MACD yields a signal, it is often significant, especially if used on a weekly chart (versus the daily chart favored by short-term traders). In fact, the longer the MACD time frame, the more valid the results, which is one reason longer-term traders like myself prefer to use a weekly chart.\nWhen you view MACD on a chart, you see two lines. The black line is referred to as the “MACD line.” The gray (or red) line is referred to as the “signal line.” Remember: the MACD line is the leader line, while the signal line is the laggard line.\nIn addition, a horizontal line runs across the chart called the “zero line” (0 line).  The main function of the zero line is to alert you to the primary trend of the underlying price action.\nFour simple trading signals\nAt its most basic level, MACD generates four signals:\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the zero line, it’s bullish.\nBuy:When the MACD line crosses above the nine-day signal line, it’s bullish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the zero line, it’s bearish.\nSell:When the MACD line crosses below the nine-day signal line, it’s bearish.\nNote: When both the MACD line and nine-day signal line move in the same direction (uptrend or downtrend), that is a stronger, more significant signal.\nKeep in mind that just because MACD generates a buy or sell signal does not mean it is an actionable trade. Like that of any indicator, there are false signals. In addition, it’s essential that you confirm with other indicators before betting real money on a trade. Think of these MACD buy and sell signals as guidelines, not rules.\nAnother limitation of MACD is that it does not work as well at stock market tops or when market volatility is low. Therefore, if you use MACD on the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-0.48%or the S&P 500SPX,-0.91%in this current market, the signal is not as useful. That is why you should use MACD on individual stocks until volatility returns to the major market indexes.\nWhat MACD says about Tesla now\nFor example, the weekly stock chart of TeslaTSLA,+0.33%shows its MACD is above the zero line, and the MACD line is above the signal line. Tesla is also above its moving averages.\nBased on this information, Tesla stock currently is a short-term “strong” buy. If Tesla’s MACD line drops below its signal line while both lines are above the zero line, the shares would be a “moderate” buy.\nA few years ago, I spoke with MACD’s creator, Gerald Appel. He told me that he created MACD in the late 1970s by entering numbers into a punch machine and a spreadsheet. After the personal computer was invented, he was able to automate the process.\nAppel expressed surprise that MACD became so popular. “It works because it’s adaptable to any time frame,” he said. “You can get a good reading of the major trend of the market by using MACD patterns that are based on monthly data. You can also use it on a five-minute chart.”\nMACD gives the most precise signals at market bottoms. Said Appel: “It’s more accurate at market low points than high points because of the way the market behaves. Market bottoms tend to be very sharp and pronounced, while tops tend to be broad and slow. It’s also possible for the market averages to keep drifting upwards while more and more stocks are falling.”\nAppel cautioned that you must confirm MACD signals against other indicators. “No indicator is infallible,” he said. “You might get a market rise and MACD turns down. Perhaps you think this is a sell signal. Well, it might not be.”\nAppel added that he likes to work with different MACD time frames simultaneously. For example, if the short-term MACD turns up along with the intermediate MACD, he’s more confident that the signal is valid.\nThe MACD-Histogram\nOne of the most powerful (but often ignored) additions to the MACD is the MACD-Histogram. Developed by Thomas Aspray in 1986, this oscillator is used to gauge momentum. It is a separate program that should be available on your charting package. Traders who use this feature typically view both MACD and the histogram on a stock chart simultaneously.\nThe histogram is a series of bar graphs at the bottom of the stock screen. If the bars move above the zero line, it means the underlying stock (or index) is gaining strength, i.e., momentum. If the bars move below the zero line, the stock or index is losing strength.\nMany beginning traders don’t realize that momentum always changes before price does. That is what makes MACD and the MACD-Histogram so valuable. Both indicators detect when momentum is weakening. It could also be a signal to become bullish if the histogram bars move above the zero line.\nHistogram signals\n\nIf the MACD-Histogram bar changes to a lighter color, it means that momentum is diminishing. It is not a sell signal; it simply means that enthusiasm for that particular stock is waning.\n\n\nAs mentioned earlier, if the histogram bar rises above the zero line, that is a buy signal. An uptrend may be developing. If the histogram bar drops below the zero line, that is a sell signal. A downtrend may be developing.\n\nRed flags\nIf you see the index prices as well as stock prices move higher, but MACD turns lower, that is a red flag. In addition, if you see the MACD-Histogram changing colors and the bars getting shorter, that confirms momentum is weakening (but confirm this against RSI or stochastics).\nIf you have never used MACD or MACD-Histogram, give it a try. Use these measures for any stock that has hit bottom and is on its way higher. They’ll help confirm whether the stock has legs or is a just giving traders a head fake.\nMichael Sincere (michaelsincere.com) is the author of “Understanding Options” and “Understanding Stocks.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2967,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}