Hopehope赋予希望
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老虎认证: In markets for over 18 years
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25 Jan 2022: Increasing tensions around Ukraine? Serious?

My youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw I am not a geopolitical expert dealing in Europe matters. But in recent days, there have been increasing level of reports stating that Russia has been deploying troops around Ukraine. Even Joe Biden was reportedly mentioning that the different tiers of actions that may be taken by Russia and how US will respond accordingly. What I am truly worried about is an increasingly divisive world. This is not good for the world's development and economic development. Why? War or disputes block human's development. In the face of global climate issues, who needs more disturbance in the form of disorder in such matters. I do not know who is right or which press is reporting correctly. But what I want to mention is can we
25 Jan 2022: Increasing tensions around Ukraine? Serious?

25 Jan 2022: Federal Reserve Meeting this week!

My Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Do support and subscribe to my youtube channel if you find my analysis helpful. Its the Federal Reserve meeting this week. Even before the meeting, the US markets are getting so jittery that at one point last night, US tech broad market fell by almost 5%. It has not been the case since March 2020 when we saw a single day with so high percentage fall for broad markets. If you have been faithfully watching my youtube videos, one of which is on Jan 2022 tech correction:- https://youtu.be/J1ge0goNHOo you would note that I have cautioned myself against chasing the buy the dip strategy. To me, there isnt a rush to add shares aggressively. Even for companies like Sea Limited, it has tanked from over 370 USD all the
25 Jan 2022: Federal Reserve Meeting this week!

22 Jan 2022: Quick Update on Beyond Meat

My youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Beyond Meat has actually been struggling to hold above 60 USD. I have a quick look of its 3Q2021 results and am not too pleased with the outcome, i.e. decreasing gross margin, lower US sales (retail aspect) and weak US total sales growth (including US foodservice). International sales are growing but logistics cost and higher warehouse costs and inventory writedown make me wonder if this higher international sales growth was obtained from aggressive costing approaches taken. All in all, there is no need for me to chase this stock even when it has come down by almost 70% from its all time peak. Why? Even at this pricing, Beyond Meat is not cheap and growth doesnt come easy and cheap for Beyond Meat. Yes Macdon
22 Jan 2022: Quick Update on Beyond Meat

22 Jan 2022: Update on Sofi Tech

My youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw If you have been reading my articles for long, you know that I have covered Sofi Tech before. I am not exactly a fan of its business model when I realised that it has to take on the loans on its balance sheet. Even the share price chart reflects a lower high each round and the recent attempt to peak wasnt successful and it halted its short term peak at around 22 USD.In recent days, it has obtained a bank charter. The market was excited to see it with it rebounding from 12 USD to around 16.3 USD. The explanation was that it can reduce its cost of funds. While I am not a banking analyst, I do think that Basel rules may require Sofi to put in more capital as equity reserve to protect the integrity of its institu
22 Jan 2022: Update on Sofi Tech

22 Jan 2022: Update on Xiaomi

My Youtube channel:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iwJust highlight the link above and Tiger Brokers will show you the youtube app on your mobile.Apple has again snatched more of Chinese market share with 23.6 percent market share in November 2021, way ahead of other Chinese mobile phone manufacturers. This is partly possible due to its phone price revision as well as the advantage that Apple has obtained with regards to the chip supplies that it has gotten from so many suppliers.In comparison, Xiaomi's handphone sales were not that fantastic in 3Q2021 and this was evident from the sharp fall in smartphones revenue as compared to 2Q2021. The saving grace comes from optimising from available resources that Xiaomi has to sell its smartphones, resulting in it claiming hi
22 Jan 2022: Update on Xiaomi

22 Jan 2022: Bold prediction for 2022

My youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Readers would know that I am a long term tiger broker shareholder. It is my biggest position in my portfolio as I have been averaging down on this stock in small volume. I have since accumulated a decent position by January 2022. I have been researching China for awhile and at the same time, I have been researching and analysing Tiger Brokers for awhile. It is important to note that I have formed a view on RMB internationalisation and I have also added alot more Tiger Brokers shares given that it is now a special situation bet for me. Will I be right? Only time will tell.. But at current price of 4.71 USD with market capitalisation of 712 million USD and cash of around 300 million USD, Tiger Brokers is not t
22 Jan 2022: Bold prediction for 2022

22 Jan 2022: Update on Huya

I saw an article from state media regarding Huya. Generally speaking, it is just an update on Huya's declaration to be in compliance with China's data security regulations. But it was also noted that Huya's CEO has taken the chance to elaborate on Huya's strategy. Below is the words in Chinese:- 内容方面,虎牙将持续做好优质版权、主播积累,并不断提升精细化运营能力。董荣杰表示,虎牙将依托自身电竞体系化优势,努力打造虎牙的“电竞”标签,挖掘“电竞+直播”“电竞+体育”“电竞+娱乐”等潜力,推动“电竞+”破圈,为电竞绽放杭州亚运会加油助力。 What he meant is Huya will continue to execute on obtaining good licensing rights, accumulation of live streamers and optimise its cost structure. For its business model, it will continue to work on and expand on Esports and streaming, Esports and sports, Esports and entertainment product features. At the same time, they will take the opportunity to expand beyond the comfort
22 Jan 2022: Update on Huya

Investment videos: Entertaining or creating value

Someone told me that my youtube video has alot of valuable information and has alot of value in it. But it is not entertaining. What I want to say is I would rather have real value in the video then just inserting alot of laughter and entertainment in the videos. Why? If someone wants entertainment, he/ she can watch movies, drama or play games.. Investing and trading is serious activity. If you want fun, go and have fun with the right activity. Like what I always teach my son, use the right tools to do the right things. If you use the wrong tools to do the things, you need double or triple the efforts and may not even get the desired results.My youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Think carefully! As always, this should not be construed as any in
Investment videos: Entertaining or creating value

China reduces key rate

China has reduced another key rate! This is consistent with what I have analysed and predicted in my youtube video after I have reviewed a PBOC's report over 50 pages in Chinese. This is the youtube video: https://youtu.be/cGJ3mxAd39I This is not surprising for me at all given that I have analysed it. Do subscribe to my youtube channel if you like good analysis. Naturally, Hong Kong markets went up with much excitement this morning. The risk again pertains to whether another 8%, if any, in the US equities broad market may bring down Hang Seng indexes.  China has indeed done well in anticipation of the rate reduction. I do expect China's PBOC to adopt a more proactive policy in 2022! Its incredible that Haidilao and Anta Sports can surge over 6%, respectively today! Even CG Servic
China reduces key rate

Sea Limited, Grab or Coupang?

This is a short video on Sea Limited, Grab and Coupang.Go to my youtube channel:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iwif you are keen for the full video.$Sea Ltd(SE)$ $Coupang, Inc.(CPNG)$ $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ 
Sea Limited, Grab or Coupang?

19 Jan 2022: My thoughts on Chinese Big Tech

My youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Do subscribe to my youtube channel if you want good analysis. While US big techs have done very well for many years by now, what I do want to emphasise is the point that this may not be the case for Chinese big tech at least in terms of share price outperformance. Why? If you see the news on US review of Alibaba cloud, Lithuania concerns over data security concerning Xiaomi phone, Huawei being included in Sanction list, etc, I have to ay that the days ahead for Chinese big tech will not be smooth sailing. Yes Alibaba and Tencent have both come down alot from all time peak but Alibaba's days ahead will not be smooth sailing. For Tencent, I still prefer it over Alibaba. With antitrust measures against Chine
19 Jan 2022: My thoughts on Chinese Big Tech

19 Jan 22: US review of Alibaba cloud and what does it mean?

My Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Do support, like and subscribe to my youtube channel if you like my analysis. Thanks. Alibaba was down over 2% on 18 Jan 2022 US trading time. Why was this the case? It was announced that US is undertaking a review of Alibaba cloud and for them to assess the potential threat to US security. It was explained that they would like to see if the Chinese authorities will be able to gain access to the data stored in Alibaba Cloud.If you have been faithfully reading my articles, posts and comments as well as watching my youtube videos, you would note that I have explained that this is no longer just pure Chinese tech regulations impacting on Chinese tech stock prices anymore. This is a battle of systems between US a
19 Jan 22: US review of Alibaba cloud and what does it mean?

17 Jan 2022: China's latest move - Rate cut!

My Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Do support, subscribe and like my youtube channel if you like my analysis. Not unexpectedly, China reduced the key interest rates for some financial instruments. Long-time readers of my articles, posts and viewers would have know that I have such view that PBOC will cut the interest rates in time to come after reading the 3Q2021 PBOC report. Interested viewers can watch my youtube video on my review of PBOC's 3Q2021 report as follows:- https://youtu.be/cGJ3mxAd39IIndeed, Shanghai and shenzhen indexes reacted positively and were up this morning. Such policy actions also coincided with this morning announcement of China's 4Q2021 results that sees China recording only 4% GDP growth. It is a fact that China's econ
17 Jan 2022: China's latest move - Rate cut!

16 Jan 2022: Quick Update on Nio

My Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw/about Do support, like and subscribe to my youtube channel if you like my analysis. Nio needs no introduction as it was a very popular name since Tesla revolutionises the automobile industry. Tesla in recent days hit almost 1 trillion USD market capitalisation. But it was a game changer in 2020 such that the surge in attention in electric vehicles in 2020 led to Tesla's share price soaring. It was then that people starts paying attention to Nio, Li Auto, Xpeng, Nikola, etc.. Well Nikola was caught in some scandal about how they market their electric vehicle sometime in 2021 but nevertheless, it is not the focus of this article. Nio has delivered around 91,000 electric vehicles in 2021, around 10% of what Tesla
16 Jan 2022: Quick Update on Nio

My quick thoughts on the livestreaming industry

My youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Do support, subscribe and like my youtube channel if you like my analysis. There has been questions around livestreaming platforms in China faking their figures, which explain why I decide to write a short piece of article to sum my thoughts. Why? Muddy Waters commented on JOYY falsifying their operational metrics like monthly active user numbers, etc with the corresponding response from JOYY that Muddy Waters do not understand the industry at all. Before I start, let me bring your attention to Weiya, the top livestreamer in China who was recently in news for tax evasion. I am not here to comment on whether is it right to fine her since I never agree with tax evasion. But what I want to comment on is Weiya i
My quick thoughts on the livestreaming industry

Review of Pinduoduo's 3Q2021 results and price performance

My youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Highlight the link above and Tiger Brokers will show you the youtube app to direct you to the youtube video.Do support, subscribe and share my youtube channel if you like my analysis. Thanks! Pinduoduo's share price has almost halved since November 2021 after its results announcement of its 3Q2021 results. The 50% drop in price since November 2021 results at a peak fear of Chinese tech stocks within a span of 1.5 months is not uncommon across a number of Chinese tech stocks, including Bilibili, Alibaba, etc. Alibaba tanked from 178 USD all the way to around 108 USD at one point in time. So back to the Pinduoduo, which supposedly is supposed to be less affected since its support for the agriculture sector g
Review of Pinduoduo's 3Q2021 results and price performance

15 Jan 2022: Update on Huya

My youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iw Do support, subscribe and like my youtube channel if you like my analysis. Your support will motivate me to churn out more analysis during my free time. Thanks! Huya being the leading gaming streaming platform in China did not do well in terms of price performance just like the other chinese tech. Comparing its price performance to that of Douyu and Bilibili, it does seem to have underperformed Douyu whereas it has outperformed Bilibili. Nevertheless, if we go abit deeper, we should know that Huya is in actual fact, outperforming Douyu. It is not hard to find out why. Huya's monthly active users have increased quarter on quarter and year on year and its already around 85 million active users. Douyu is lagg
15 Jan 2022: Update on Huya

What happens Chinese tech?

My youtube channel:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iwDo support and subscribe to my youtube channel if you like my analysis. Thanks!Hong Kong markets did incredibly today, with Hang Seng index, HSCEI, Red chip index and Hang Seng tech all doing well. The recovery seems broad but my sense is that HSI over 2% increase is fuelled to a certain extent by Hang Seng Tech stocks with its index up over 4%. Even Xiaomi did reasonably well today with close to 3.7% increase to around 18.8 HKD which is still 0.4 HKD below a price level of 19.2 HKD that I am watching. So far, its not exactly clear if Xiaomi has resumed the uptrend and I continue to watch this level closely.JD did incredibly well today in Hong Kong trading so far, with it up close to 9% and at a price of around 300
What happens Chinese tech?

What happens Chinese tech?

My youtube channel:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAPWOEQKCpCWmzKkdo7v-iwDo support and subscribe to my youtube channel if you like my analysis. Thanks!Hong Kong markets did incredibly today, with Hang Seng index, HSCEI, Red chip index and Hang Seng tech all doing well. The recovery seems broad but my sense is that HSI over 2% increase is fuelled to a certain extent by Hang Seng Tech stocks with its index up over 4%. Even Xiaomi did reasonably well today with close to 3.7% increase to around 18.8 HKD which is still 0.4 HKD below a price level of 19.2 HKD that I am watching. So far, its not exactly clear if Xiaomi has resumed the uptrend and I continue to watch this level closely.JD did incredibly well today in Hong Kong trading so far, with it up close to 9% and at a price of around 300
What happens Chinese tech?
https://youtu.be/J1ge0goNHOoUS tech correction? Buy the dip or wait? As always, this should not be construed as any investment or trading advice.$Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$

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