valerie的个人主页 - 老虎社区

valerie

valerie

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2021-12-25

👍🏻merry christmas

2021-11-07

😊

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-05

👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-05

👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-11-04

👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-08-18

wow

Labor Day has been a turning point in markets the last three years. Here’s what one strategist sees happening next<blockquote>过去三年，劳动节一直是市场的转折点。一位策略师认为接下来会发生什么</blockquote>

2021-08-02

👍🏻

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-28

👍🏻👍🏻

Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热点中概股持续反弹</blockquote>

2021-07-25

like

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-21

👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-21

wow

Nio Supplier Say If Chinese Automakers Want To Overtake Tesla, LiDAR Is Key<blockquote>蔚来供应商称中国汽车制造商若想超越特斯拉，激光雷达是关键</blockquote>

2021-07-19

wow

Here's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙地线</blockquote>

2021-07-15

👍🏻

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-01

[Smile]

The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>

2021-06-30

[Smile]

2 E-Commerce Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的2只电子商务股票</blockquote>

2021-06-27

[Smile]

Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>

2021-06-25

[Smile]

Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

2021-06-24

[Smile]

BlackBerry Earnings Preview: Here's What the Chart Says<blockquote>黑莓盈利预览：图表如下</blockquote>

2021-06-18

[Smile]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-17

[Smile]

抱歉，原内容已删除

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All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2049,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":848735737,"gmtCreate":1636028282829,"gmtModify":1636028283091,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848735737","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2607,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":831102850,"gmtCreate":1629293534770,"gmtModify":1631889006946,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831102850","repostId":"1113394526","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113394526","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629293088,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113394526?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 21:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Labor Day has been a turning point in markets the last three years. Here’s what one strategist sees happening next<blockquote>过去三年，劳动节一直是市场的转折点。一位策略师认为接下来会发生什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113394526","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Critical information for the trading day.\n\nSummertime markets can be a bit dysfunctional. Last week,","content":"<p>  <b>Critical information for the trading day.</b>  Summertime markets can be a bit dysfunctional. Last week, for example, the top two sectors were the classically defensive utilities, and the highly cyclical materials. The total market volume on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq on Tuesday was 59% below the peak of the year, and 19% below the year’s average.</p><p><blockquote><b>交易日的关键信息。</b>夏季市场可能有点功能失调。例如，上周排名靠前的两个行业是典型的防御性公用事业和高度周期性的材料。纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克周二的市场总成交量较年内峰值低59%，较年内平均水平低19%。</blockquote></p><p> Tavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James, points out the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after Labor Day, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close. “We believe as the chase for the end of the year begins, a renewed value/cyclical outperformance is likely along with higher 10-year Treasury yields, but like it has been for the past 18 months and will be for the foreseeable future, the virus is the boss,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)机构股票策略师塔维斯·麦考特(Tavis McCourt)指出，过去两年，劳动节之后股市出现了很大的价值和周期性偏差，而2018年，夏季结束后市场基本崩溃。“我们相信，随着年底追逐的开始，价值/周期性表现可能会随着10年期国债收益率的上升而重新出现，但就像过去18个月和可预见的未来一样，病毒是老板，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> The 10-year, he says, is the linchpin to the whole market. Quantitative easing, bank liquidity, Treasury gamesmanship and delta variant fear should all fade in the second half, allowing yields to rise up to a reasonable level. That in turn will get the yield curve steepening, helping value stocks, small-caps and cyclicals — which have a long way to go, given the summer reversal in markets.</p><p><blockquote>他说，10年是整个市场的关键。量化宽松、银行流动性、财政部的小动作和对德尔塔变异毒株的担忧都应该会在下半年消退，从而使收益率升至合理水平。这反过来将使收益率曲线变陡，帮助价值股、小盘股和周期性股票——考虑到夏季市场的逆转，这些股票还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/045d6c5307b933cc3b0fc0494b418f15\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Another point he makes is there is no income or spending cliff. By the end of 2021, personal income will be about $1.2 trillion higher than the fourth quarter of 2019 — or put another way, almost exactly in line with the 4% annual average between 2010 and 2019. Since so much of the stimulus was saved, consumer spending should still grow, and an infrastructure stimulus would be a net positive.</p><p><blockquote>他提出的另一点是，不存在收入或支出悬崖。到2021年底，个人收入将比2019年第四季度高出约1.2万亿美元——或者换句话说，几乎完全符合2010年至2019年间4%的年平均水平。由于如此多的刺激措施被节省下来，消费者支出应该仍会增长，而基础设施刺激措施将是一个净利好。</blockquote></p><p> Another huge tailwind, he says, is that financial obligations as a percent of disposable income are near 40-year lows. “Consumers have dry powder to spend, for a long, long time even with incomes returning to trend line,” says McCourt. Public company leverage also is down — on a next 12 month basis, net debt-to-Ebitda of S&amp;P 500 companies has dropped to 1.07 in July from a peak of 1.55, and 1.28 in December 2019. Inventories, he adds, are “horribly low,” which while depressing this year’s economic output will lead to restocking demand over the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>他说，另一个巨大的推动力是金融债务占可支配收入的百分比接近40年来的低点。麦考特说：“即使收入恢复到趋势线，消费者也可以在很长很长一段时间内消费干粉。”上市公司杠杆率也在下降——在未来12个月的基础上，标普500公司的净债务与Ebitda之比已从峰值1.55降至7月份的1.07，2019年12月为1.28。他补充说，库存“低得可怕”，这在抑制今年经济产出的同时，将导致未来两年需求的补充。</blockquote></p><p> For the “de-urbanization theme,” McCourt’s stock picks are Lennar LEN,&nbsp;American Homes 4 Rent AMH,&nbsp;Eagle Materials EXP, KB Home&nbsp;KBH and MDC Holdings MDC.&nbsp;For “discounted valuation and improving return on equity,” he likes AutoZone AZO,&nbsp;Old Republic International ORI, Jabil JBL,&nbsp;Triumph Bancorp TBK and Meta Financial Group CASH.</p><p><blockquote>对于“去城市化主题”，麦考特的股票选择是Lennar LEN、American Homes 4 Rent AMH、Eagle Materials EXP、KB Home KBH和MDC Holdings MDC。对于“估值折扣和提高股本回报率”，他喜欢AutoZone AZO、Old Republic International ORI、Jabil JBL、Triumph Bancorp TBK和Meta Financial Group CASH。</blockquote></p><p> For “economic reopening beneficiaries,” he likes National Retail Properties NNN,&nbsp;Bloomin Brands BLMN and Mohawk Industries MHK, and for infrastructure beneficiaries, he likes Evoqua Water Technologies AQUA and Atlantic Sustainable Infrastructure AY.</p><p><blockquote>对于“经济重新开放受益者”，他喜欢NNN国家零售地产、Bloomin Brands BLMN和Mohawk Industries MHK；对于基础设施受益者，他喜欢Evoqua Water Technologies AQUA和Atlantic Sustainable Infrastructure AY。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1d103548f1c9d2c78cdff2912add8d2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The one major risk he sees is inflation. During the late 1940s and late 1960s, short-term inflation caused 20% pullbacks, followed by inflation-adjusted returns of about zero over the next five years. In both periods, stronger than typical earnings per share growth was offset by price-to-earnings contraction, he notes.</p><p><blockquote>他认为的一个主要风险是通货膨胀。在20世纪40年代末和60年代末，短期通胀导致了20%的回调，随后五年通胀调整后的回报率约为零。他指出，在这两个时期，每股收益强劲的增长都被市盈率收缩所抵消。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed minutes on tap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储会议纪要随时准备</b></blockquote></p><p> Minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve interest-rate setting committee are due for release at 2 p.m. Eastern, with much of the suspense about the central bank’s direction taken away by earlier stories this week from The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg News, that both pointed to imminent announcements that the bond-buying program will be phased out.</p><p><blockquote>最近一次美联储利率制定委员会的会议纪要将于下午2点发布。《华尔街日报》和彭博新闻本周早些时候的报道消除了有关央行方向的大部分悬念，这两篇报道都指出即将宣布将逐步取消债券购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> “In short, at this point, the Fed is just working out the details. Barring some dramatic change in the economy, tapering of asset purchases will begin in the next few months and end by the middle of next year,” said Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisors.</p><p><blockquote>SGH Macro Advisors首席美国经济学家Tim Duy表示：“简而言之，在这一点上，美联储只是在制定细节。除非经济发生一些戏剧性的变化，否则缩减资产购买将在未来几个月开始，并在明年年中结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Housing starts slumped 7% in July, coming in below economist estimates.</p><p><blockquote>7月份新屋开工率下降7%，低于经济学家的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Home-improvement chain Lowe’s LOW beat earnings estimates and reported a surprise increase in sales. Discounter Target TGT reported forecast-beating earnings and revenue, as it authorized a new $15 billion stock buyback plan.</p><p><blockquote>家居装修连锁店劳氏(Lowe's LOW)的盈利超出预期，并报告销售额意外增长。折扣公司Target TGT公布的盈利和收入超出预期，并批准了一项新的150亿美元股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> Networking giant Cisco Systems CSCO and graphics chip maker Nvidia NVDA report results after the close.</p><p><blockquote>网络巨头思科系统CSCO和图形芯片制造商英伟达NVDA在收盘后公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock futures ES00 NQ00 were looking a little weaker, following the 282-point downturn in the Dow industrials DJIA&nbsp;on Tuesday that ended a five-session winning run. The yield on the 10-year Treasury BX:TMUBMUSD10Y rose to 1.27%.</p><p><blockquote>周二道琼斯工业指数道琼斯下跌282点，结束了五个交易日的上涨势头，股指期货ES00 NQ00看起来略有疲软。10年期国债BX：TMUBMUSD10Y收益率升至1.27%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The tweet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>推特</b></blockquote></p><p> Ajmal Ahmady, until Saturday the central bank chief of Afghanistan, gave a pretty grim diagnosis for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>周六之前担任阿富汗央行行长的Ajmal Ahmady对经济做出了相当严峻的诊断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a6bd50c6280d2e9af2b22cfed7c928d\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Labor Day has been a turning point in markets the last three years. Here’s what one strategist sees happening next<blockquote>过去三年，劳动节一直是市场的转折点。一位策略师认为接下来会发生什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLabor Day has been a turning point in markets the last three years. Here’s what one strategist sees happening next<blockquote>过去三年，劳动节一直是市场的转折点。一位策略师认为接下来会发生什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-18 21:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Critical information for the trading day.</b>  Summertime markets can be a bit dysfunctional. Last week, for example, the top two sectors were the classically defensive utilities, and the highly cyclical materials. The total market volume on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq on Tuesday was 59% below the peak of the year, and 19% below the year’s average.</p><p><blockquote><b>交易日的关键信息。</b>夏季市场可能有点功能失调。例如，上周排名靠前的两个行业是典型的防御性公用事业和高度周期性的材料。纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克周二的市场总成交量较年内峰值低59%，较年内平均水平低19%。</blockquote></p><p> Tavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James, points out the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after Labor Day, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close. “We believe as the chase for the end of the year begins, a renewed value/cyclical outperformance is likely along with higher 10-year Treasury yields, but like it has been for the past 18 months and will be for the foreseeable future, the virus is the boss,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)机构股票策略师塔维斯·麦考特(Tavis McCourt)指出，过去两年，劳动节之后股市出现了很大的价值和周期性偏差，而2018年，夏季结束后市场基本崩溃。“我们相信，随着年底追逐的开始，价值/周期性表现可能会随着10年期国债收益率的上升而重新出现，但就像过去18个月和可预见的未来一样，病毒是老板，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> The 10-year, he says, is the linchpin to the whole market. Quantitative easing, bank liquidity, Treasury gamesmanship and delta variant fear should all fade in the second half, allowing yields to rise up to a reasonable level. That in turn will get the yield curve steepening, helping value stocks, small-caps and cyclicals — which have a long way to go, given the summer reversal in markets.</p><p><blockquote>他说，10年是整个市场的关键。量化宽松、银行流动性、财政部的小动作和对德尔塔变异毒株的担忧都应该会在下半年消退，从而使收益率升至合理水平。这反过来将使收益率曲线变陡，帮助价值股、小盘股和周期性股票——考虑到夏季市场的逆转，这些股票还有很长的路要走。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/045d6c5307b933cc3b0fc0494b418f15\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"446\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Another point he makes is there is no income or spending cliff. By the end of 2021, personal income will be about $1.2 trillion higher than the fourth quarter of 2019 — or put another way, almost exactly in line with the 4% annual average between 2010 and 2019. Since so much of the stimulus was saved, consumer spending should still grow, and an infrastructure stimulus would be a net positive.</p><p><blockquote>他提出的另一点是，不存在收入或支出悬崖。到2021年底，个人收入将比2019年第四季度高出约1.2万亿美元——或者换句话说，几乎完全符合2010年至2019年间4%的年平均水平。由于如此多的刺激措施被节省下来，消费者支出应该仍会增长，而基础设施刺激措施将是一个净利好。</blockquote></p><p> Another huge tailwind, he says, is that financial obligations as a percent of disposable income are near 40-year lows. “Consumers have dry powder to spend, for a long, long time even with incomes returning to trend line,” says McCourt. Public company leverage also is down — on a next 12 month basis, net debt-to-Ebitda of S&amp;P 500 companies has dropped to 1.07 in July from a peak of 1.55, and 1.28 in December 2019. Inventories, he adds, are “horribly low,” which while depressing this year’s economic output will lead to restocking demand over the next two years.</p><p><blockquote>他说，另一个巨大的推动力是金融债务占可支配收入的百分比接近40年来的低点。麦考特说：“即使收入恢复到趋势线，消费者也可以在很长很长一段时间内消费干粉。”上市公司杠杆率也在下降——在未来12个月的基础上，标普500公司的净债务与Ebitda之比已从峰值1.55降至7月份的1.07，2019年12月为1.28。他补充说，库存“低得可怕”，这在抑制今年经济产出的同时，将导致未来两年需求的补充。</blockquote></p><p> For the “de-urbanization theme,” McCourt’s stock picks are Lennar LEN,&nbsp;American Homes 4 Rent AMH,&nbsp;Eagle Materials EXP, KB Home&nbsp;KBH and MDC Holdings MDC.&nbsp;For “discounted valuation and improving return on equity,” he likes AutoZone AZO,&nbsp;Old Republic International ORI, Jabil JBL,&nbsp;Triumph Bancorp TBK and Meta Financial Group CASH.</p><p><blockquote>对于“去城市化主题”，麦考特的股票选择是Lennar LEN、American Homes 4 Rent AMH、Eagle Materials EXP、KB Home KBH和MDC Holdings MDC。对于“估值折扣和提高股本回报率”，他喜欢AutoZone AZO、Old Republic International ORI、Jabil JBL、Triumph Bancorp TBK和Meta Financial Group CASH。</blockquote></p><p> For “economic reopening beneficiaries,” he likes National Retail Properties NNN,&nbsp;Bloomin Brands BLMN and Mohawk Industries MHK, and for infrastructure beneficiaries, he likes Evoqua Water Technologies AQUA and Atlantic Sustainable Infrastructure AY.</p><p><blockquote>对于“经济重新开放受益者”，他喜欢NNN国家零售地产、Bloomin Brands BLMN和Mohawk Industries MHK；对于基础设施受益者，他喜欢Evoqua Water Technologies AQUA和Atlantic Sustainable Infrastructure AY。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1d103548f1c9d2c78cdff2912add8d2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"501\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The one major risk he sees is inflation. During the late 1940s and late 1960s, short-term inflation caused 20% pullbacks, followed by inflation-adjusted returns of about zero over the next five years. In both periods, stronger than typical earnings per share growth was offset by price-to-earnings contraction, he notes.</p><p><blockquote>他认为的一个主要风险是通货膨胀。在20世纪40年代末和60年代末，短期通胀导致了20%的回调，随后五年通胀调整后的回报率约为零。他指出，在这两个时期，每股收益强劲的增长都被市盈率收缩所抵消。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Fed minutes on tap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美联储会议纪要随时准备</b></blockquote></p><p> Minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve interest-rate setting committee are due for release at 2 p.m. Eastern, with much of the suspense about the central bank’s direction taken away by earlier stories this week from The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg News, that both pointed to imminent announcements that the bond-buying program will be phased out.</p><p><blockquote>最近一次美联储利率制定委员会的会议纪要将于下午2点发布。《华尔街日报》和彭博新闻本周早些时候的报道消除了有关央行方向的大部分悬念，这两篇报道都指出即将宣布将逐步取消债券购买计划。</blockquote></p><p> “In short, at this point, the Fed is just working out the details. Barring some dramatic change in the economy, tapering of asset purchases will begin in the next few months and end by the middle of next year,” said Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisors.</p><p><blockquote>SGH Macro Advisors首席美国经济学家Tim Duy表示：“简而言之，在这一点上，美联储只是在制定细节。除非经济发生一些戏剧性的变化，否则缩减资产购买将在未来几个月开始，并在明年年中结束。”</blockquote></p><p> Housing starts slumped 7% in July, coming in below economist estimates.</p><p><blockquote>7月份新屋开工率下降7%，低于经济学家的预期。</blockquote></p><p> Home-improvement chain Lowe’s LOW beat earnings estimates and reported a surprise increase in sales. Discounter Target TGT reported forecast-beating earnings and revenue, as it authorized a new $15 billion stock buyback plan.</p><p><blockquote>家居装修连锁店劳氏(Lowe's LOW)的盈利超出预期，并报告销售额意外增长。折扣公司Target TGT公布的盈利和收入超出预期，并批准了一项新的150亿美元股票回购计划。</blockquote></p><p> Networking giant Cisco Systems CSCO and graphics chip maker Nvidia NVDA report results after the close.</p><p><blockquote>网络巨头思科系统CSCO和图形芯片制造商英伟达NVDA在收盘后公布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场</b></blockquote></p><p> Stock futures ES00 NQ00 were looking a little weaker, following the 282-point downturn in the Dow industrials DJIA&nbsp;on Tuesday that ended a five-session winning run. The yield on the 10-year Treasury BX:TMUBMUSD10Y rose to 1.27%.</p><p><blockquote>周二道琼斯工业指数道琼斯下跌282点，结束了五个交易日的上涨势头，股指期货ES00 NQ00看起来略有疲软。10年期国债BX：TMUBMUSD10Y收益率升至1.27%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The tweet</b></p><p><blockquote><b>推特</b></blockquote></p><p> Ajmal Ahmady, until Saturday the central bank chief of Afghanistan, gave a pretty grim diagnosis for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>周六之前担任阿富汗央行行长的Ajmal Ahmady对经济做出了相当严峻的诊断。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a6bd50c6280d2e9af2b22cfed7c928d\" tg-width=\"522\" tg-height=\"584\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-chase-for-the-end-of-the-year-is-about-to-start-this-strategist-says-heres-what-may-happen-next-11629283826?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-chase-for-the-end-of-the-year-is-about-to-start-this-strategist-says-heres-what-may-happen-next-11629283826?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1113394526","content_text":"Critical information for the trading day.\n\nSummertime markets can be a bit dysfunctional. Last week, for example, the top two sectors were the classically defensive utilities, and the highly cyclical materials. The total market volume on the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq on Tuesday was 59% below the peak of the year, and 19% below the year’s average.\nTavis McCourt, institutional equity strategist at Raymond James, points out the last two years, there was a big value and cyclical bias in stock markets after Labor Day, and in 2018, markets basically collapsed after the summer drew to a close. “We believe as the chase for the end of the year begins, a renewed value/cyclical outperformance is likely along with higher 10-year Treasury yields, but like it has been for the past 18 months and will be for the foreseeable future, the virus is the boss,” he says.\nThe 10-year, he says, is the linchpin to the whole market. Quantitative easing, bank liquidity, Treasury gamesmanship and delta variant fear should all fade in the second half, allowing yields to rise up to a reasonable level. That in turn will get the yield curve steepening, helping value stocks, small-caps and cyclicals — which have a long way to go, given the summer reversal in markets.\nAnother point he makes is there is no income or spending cliff. By the end of 2021, personal income will be about $1.2 trillion higher than the fourth quarter of 2019 — or put another way, almost exactly in line with the 4% annual average between 2010 and 2019. Since so much of the stimulus was saved, consumer spending should still grow, and an infrastructure stimulus would be a net positive.\nAnother huge tailwind, he says, is that financial obligations as a percent of disposable income are near 40-year lows. “Consumers have dry powder to spend, for a long, long time even with incomes returning to trend line,” says McCourt. Public company leverage also is down — on a next 12 month basis, net debt-to-Ebitda of S&P 500 companies has dropped to 1.07 in July from a peak of 1.55, and 1.28 in December 2019. Inventories, he adds, are “horribly low,” which while depressing this year’s economic output will lead to restocking demand over the next two years.\nFor the “de-urbanization theme,” McCourt’s stock picks are Lennar LEN, American Homes 4 Rent AMH, Eagle Materials EXP, KB Home KBH and MDC Holdings MDC. For “discounted valuation and improving return on equity,” he likes AutoZone AZO, Old Republic International ORI, Jabil JBL, Triumph Bancorp TBK and Meta Financial Group CASH.\nFor “economic reopening beneficiaries,” he likes National Retail Properties NNN, Bloomin Brands BLMN and Mohawk Industries MHK, and for infrastructure beneficiaries, he likes Evoqua Water Technologies AQUA and Atlantic Sustainable Infrastructure AY.\nThe one major risk he sees is inflation. During the late 1940s and late 1960s, short-term inflation caused 20% pullbacks, followed by inflation-adjusted returns of about zero over the next five years. In both periods, stronger than typical earnings per share growth was offset by price-to-earnings contraction, he notes.\nFed minutes on tap\nMinutes from the most recent Federal Reserve interest-rate setting committee are due for release at 2 p.m. Eastern, with much of the suspense about the central bank’s direction taken away by earlier stories this week from The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg News, that both pointed to imminent announcements that the bond-buying program will be phased out.\n“In short, at this point, the Fed is just working out the details. Barring some dramatic change in the economy, tapering of asset purchases will begin in the next few months and end by the middle of next year,” said Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisors.\nHousing starts slumped 7% in July, coming in below economist estimates.\nHome-improvement chain Lowe’s LOW beat earnings estimates and reported a surprise increase in sales. Discounter Target TGT reported forecast-beating earnings and revenue, as it authorized a new $15 billion stock buyback plan.\nNetworking giant Cisco Systems CSCO and graphics chip maker Nvidia NVDA report results after the close.\nThe markets\nStock futures ES00 NQ00 were looking a little weaker, following the 282-point downturn in the Dow industrials DJIA on Tuesday that ended a five-session winning run. The yield on the 10-year Treasury BX:TMUBMUSD10Y rose to 1.27%.\nThe tweet\nAjmal Ahmady, until Saturday the central bank chief of Afghanistan, gave a pretty grim diagnosis for the economy.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805767169,"gmtCreate":1627908128351,"gmtModify":1631889006948,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805767169","repostId":"1172320411","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2041,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801396240,"gmtCreate":1627481926280,"gmtModify":1631889006951,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801396240","repostId":"1154854343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154854343","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627481786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154854343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 22:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热点中概股持续反弹</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154854343","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com, Pinduodu","content":"<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com,&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi&nbsp;Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 3% and 13%.</p><p><blockquote>周三早盘热门中概股继续反弹，阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多、百度、滴滴全球、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车涨幅在3%至13%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8198eadc3c17e2d3fa3226a5348e1bef\" tg-width=\"359\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热点中概股持续反弹</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热点中概股持续反弹</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-28 22:16</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com,&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi&nbsp;Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 3% and 13%.</p><p><blockquote>周三早盘热门中概股继续反弹，阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多、百度、滴滴全球、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车涨幅在3%至13%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8198eadc3c17e2d3fa3226a5348e1bef\" tg-width=\"359\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIDU":"百度","NTES":"网易","LI":"理想汽车","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","BABA":"阿里巴巴","NIO":"蔚来","PDD":"拼多多","JD":"京东"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154854343","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com, Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 3% and 13%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIDI":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"NTES":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"JD":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"LI":0.9,"BIDU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177228258,"gmtCreate":1627226227374,"gmtModify":1631889006955,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177228258","repostId":"2153878189","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176396411,"gmtCreate":1626859602433,"gmtModify":1631889006954,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176396411","repostId":"2153612636","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1809,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176396830,"gmtCreate":1626859574120,"gmtModify":1631889006963,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176396830","repostId":"1185755047","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1185755047","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626858312,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185755047?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 17:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Supplier Say If Chinese Automakers Want To Overtake Tesla, LiDAR Is Key<blockquote>蔚来供应商称中国汽车制造商若想超越特斯拉，激光雷达是关键</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185755047","media":"Benzinga","summary":"NIO Inc. LiDAR supplier Innovusion believes radar-based technology is the key for Chinese car compan","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b>&nbsp;LiDAR supplier Innovusion believes radar-based technology is the key for Chinese car companies to overtake bigger rival and electric vehicle segment disruptor&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b>, according to a cnEVpostreport.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a></b>激光雷达供应商Innovusion认为，基于雷达的技术是中国车企超越更大竞争对手和电动汽车领域颠覆者的关键<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>，根据cnEVpostreport。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Bao Junwei, CEO of Innovusion, said LiDAR technology could provide rival automakers key leverage as Tesla focuses on the vision-based technology instead.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Innovusion首席执行官鲍俊伟表示，激光雷达技术可以为竞争对手汽车制造商提供关键杠杆，因为特斯拉专注于基于视觉的技术。</blockquote></p><p> As per Bao, other companies can't match Tesla in vision algorithm and chips at this pount of time but the Musk company doesn't have the advantage gained by an early layout in LiDAR.</p><p><blockquote>鲍表示，目前其他公司在视觉算法和芯片方面无法与特斯拉匹敌，但马斯克的公司并不具备早期布局激光雷达所获得的优势。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has recently switched to strictly cameras and stopped using radar sensors.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉最近改用严格的摄像头，并停止使用雷达传感器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;The Palo Alto, California-based company’s CEO Elon Musk believes that light or camera-based vision is more accurate than radar as the radar introduces more noise than helpful data in a sensor fusion system.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州帕洛阿尔托的公司首席执行官埃隆·马斯克认为，基于光或摄像头的视觉比雷达更准确，因为雷达在传感器融合系统中引入的噪声比有用数据更多。</blockquote></p><p> Nio’s premium electric sedan ET7, which is expected to begin deliveries in the first quarter of 2022,is equipped withInnovusion’s LiDAR technology.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的高端电动轿车ET7预计将于2022年第一季度开始交付，配备了Innovusion的激光雷达技术。</blockquote></p><p> Innovision claims its LiDAR has a half a kilometer range and a distance precision of fewer than three centimeters. The company had in June said the LiDAR technology works on the L3 and L4 autonomous driving and complements the L2 autonomous driving as well.</p><p><blockquote>Innovision声称其激光雷达的射程为半公里，距离精度不到三厘米。该公司在6月份表示，激光雷达技术适用于L3和L4自动驾驶，也是L2自动驾驶的补充。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Nio shares closed 1.89% higher at $44.17 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>蔚来股价周二收盘上涨1.89%，至44.17美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Supplier Say If Chinese Automakers Want To Overtake Tesla, LiDAR Is Key<blockquote>蔚来供应商称中国汽车制造商若想超越特斯拉，激光雷达是关键</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Supplier Say If Chinese Automakers Want To Overtake Tesla, LiDAR Is Key<blockquote>蔚来供应商称中国汽车制造商若想超越特斯拉，激光雷达是关键</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-21 17:05</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b>&nbsp;LiDAR supplier Innovusion believes radar-based technology is the key for Chinese car companies to overtake bigger rival and electric vehicle segment disruptor&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b>, according to a cnEVpostreport.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a></b>激光雷达供应商Innovusion认为，基于雷达的技术是中国车企超越更大竞争对手和电动汽车领域颠覆者的关键<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>，根据cnEVpostreport。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Bao Junwei, CEO of Innovusion, said LiDAR technology could provide rival automakers key leverage as Tesla focuses on the vision-based technology instead.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Innovusion首席执行官鲍俊伟表示，激光雷达技术可以为竞争对手汽车制造商提供关键杠杆，因为特斯拉专注于基于视觉的技术。</blockquote></p><p> As per Bao, other companies can't match Tesla in vision algorithm and chips at this pount of time but the Musk company doesn't have the advantage gained by an early layout in LiDAR.</p><p><blockquote>鲍表示，目前其他公司在视觉算法和芯片方面无法与特斯拉匹敌，但马斯克的公司并不具备早期布局激光雷达所获得的优势。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has recently switched to strictly cameras and stopped using radar sensors.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉最近改用严格的摄像头，并停止使用雷达传感器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;The Palo Alto, California-based company’s CEO Elon Musk believes that light or camera-based vision is more accurate than radar as the radar introduces more noise than helpful data in a sensor fusion system.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州帕洛阿尔托的公司首席执行官埃隆·马斯克认为，基于光或摄像头的视觉比雷达更准确，因为雷达在传感器融合系统中引入的噪声比有用数据更多。</blockquote></p><p> Nio’s premium electric sedan ET7, which is expected to begin deliveries in the first quarter of 2022,is equipped withInnovusion’s LiDAR technology.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的高端电动轿车ET7预计将于2022年第一季度开始交付，配备了Innovusion的激光雷达技术。</blockquote></p><p> Innovision claims its LiDAR has a half a kilometer range and a distance precision of fewer than three centimeters. The company had in June said the LiDAR technology works on the L3 and L4 autonomous driving and complements the L2 autonomous driving as well.</p><p><blockquote>Innovision声称其激光雷达的射程为半公里，距离精度不到三厘米。该公司在6月份表示，激光雷达技术适用于L3和L4自动驾驶，也是L2自动驾驶的补充。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Nio shares closed 1.89% higher at $44.17 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>蔚来股价周二收盘上涨1.89%，至44.17美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185755047","content_text":"NIO Inc. LiDAR supplier Innovusion believes radar-based technology is the key for Chinese car companies to overtake bigger rival and electric vehicle segment disruptor Tesla Motors, according to a cnEVpostreport.\nWhat Happened: Bao Junwei, CEO of Innovusion, said LiDAR technology could provide rival automakers key leverage as Tesla focuses on the vision-based technology instead.\nAs per Bao, other companies can't match Tesla in vision algorithm and chips at this pount of time but the Musk company doesn't have the advantage gained by an early layout in LiDAR.\nTesla has recently switched to strictly cameras and stopped using radar sensors.\nWhy It Matters: The Palo Alto, California-based company’s CEO Elon Musk believes that light or camera-based vision is more accurate than radar as the radar introduces more noise than helpful data in a sensor fusion system.\nNio’s premium electric sedan ET7, which is expected to begin deliveries in the first quarter of 2022,is equipped withInnovusion’s LiDAR technology.\nInnovision claims its LiDAR has a half a kilometer range and a distance precision of fewer than three centimeters. The company had in June said the LiDAR technology works on the L3 and L4 autonomous driving and complements the L2 autonomous driving as well.\nPrice Action: Nio shares closed 1.89% higher at $44.17 on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171072606,"gmtCreate":1626700066805,"gmtModify":1631889006963,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171072606","repostId":"1198051456","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198051456","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626699500,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198051456?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 20:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙地线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198051456","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Futures are down (relatively) hard ahead of today's open with Small Caps leading the charge to the d","content":"<p>Futures are down (relatively) hard ahead of today's open with Small Caps leading the charge to the downside...</p><p><blockquote>期货在今天开盘前（相对）大幅下跌，小盘股领跌...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a3932b1fc7ed150d2f4f83bba31fb01\" tg-width=\"1029\" tg-height=\"588\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Notably,SpotGammapoints out that<b>we start the session in a negative gamma position.</b></p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，SpotGamma指出<b>我们在负伽马位置开始会话。</b></blockquote></p><p> The official gamma flip points are coming in at 4335 but we suggest using 4300 as the key “risk off” level. This is due to fairly large open interest at that strike, which also makes it first resistance this morning.<b>Key levels today are 4300, 4335 (gamma flip) to the upside, with 4240 downside support.</b></p><p><blockquote>官方伽马翻转点在4335，但我们建议使用4300作为关键的“避险”水平。这是由于那次罢工的未平仓合约相当大，这也使其成为今天早上的第一个阻力。<b>今天的关键水平是4300，4335（伽马翻转）上行，4240下行支撑。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>We certainly see the setup for weakness today...</b>and another call to The PPT imminent...</p><p><blockquote><b>我们当然看到了今天的疲软...</b>而PPT的另一个看涨期权迫在眉睫...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76183579b0d2cb52af80006d0658ec62\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"680\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Monitoring implied volatility[IV] (ie VIX) today will be critical.</b>Any drop in IV, particularly with a break back above 4300 could lead to a very sharp rally which takes us right back to all time highs over the next few sessions. Because of this elevated volatility this is a market that likely cannot remain “flat”. If price action pauses that likely leads to a drop in IV and a short cover rally.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天监控隐含波动率[IV]（即VIX）至关重要。</b>IV的任何下跌，特别是突破4300点，都可能导致非常剧烈的反弹，使我们在接下来的几个交易日中回到历史高点。由于波动性上升，这是一个可能无法保持“平稳”的市场。如果价格走势暂停，可能会导致IV下降和空头回补反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Conversely a spike in IV suggests traders are adding short protection which should lead to strong selling. We do see 4240 as the limit for downside today, with a large air pocket beneath that to 4150.</p><p><blockquote>相反，IV的飙升表明交易者正在增加空头保护，这应该会导致强劲的抛售。我们确实认为4240点是今天下行的极限，下方有一个大气穴至4150点。</blockquote></p><p> As shown below the current gamma models suggests that<b>we don’t see much positive gamma unless we return to 4400, and therefore volatility should remain high until/unless we revisit that price level.</b></p><p><blockquote>如下所示，当前的伽马模型表明<b>除非我们回到4400点，否则我们不会看到太多正伽马值，因此波动性应该会保持在高位，直到/除非我们重新审视该价格水平。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/527bbf8075f5c046470958e243b61ba2\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"820\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>VIX expiration is on Wednesday AM which could play in as a catalyst this week</b>. We also have the “retail short put position” that we&nbsp;flagged&nbsp;this weekend.</p><p><blockquote><b>VIX将于周三上午到期，这可能会成为本周的催化剂</b>.我们还有本周末标记的“零售空头看跌头寸”。</blockquote></p><p> Our bottom line is this:<i><b>a close above 4300 give bulls control. Beneath that level leaves markets in a “risk off” stance.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>我们的底线是：<i><b>收盘价高于4300点让多头控制局面。低于该水平将使市场处于“避险”状态。</b></i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙地线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere's The Line In The Sand For The S&P 500 Today<blockquote>这是今天标普500的沙地线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 20:58</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Futures are down (relatively) hard ahead of today's open with Small Caps leading the charge to the downside...</p><p><blockquote>期货在今天开盘前（相对）大幅下跌，小盘股领跌...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a3932b1fc7ed150d2f4f83bba31fb01\" tg-width=\"1029\" tg-height=\"588\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Notably,SpotGammapoints out that<b>we start the session in a negative gamma position.</b></p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，SpotGamma指出<b>我们在负伽马位置开始会话。</b></blockquote></p><p> The official gamma flip points are coming in at 4335 but we suggest using 4300 as the key “risk off” level. This is due to fairly large open interest at that strike, which also makes it first resistance this morning.<b>Key levels today are 4300, 4335 (gamma flip) to the upside, with 4240 downside support.</b></p><p><blockquote>官方伽马翻转点在4335，但我们建议使用4300作为关键的“避险”水平。这是由于那次罢工的未平仓合约相当大，这也使其成为今天早上的第一个阻力。<b>今天的关键水平是4300，4335（伽马翻转）上行，4240下行支撑。</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>We certainly see the setup for weakness today...</b>and another call to The PPT imminent...</p><p><blockquote><b>我们当然看到了今天的疲软...</b>而PPT的另一个看涨期权迫在眉睫...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76183579b0d2cb52af80006d0658ec62\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"680\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>Monitoring implied volatility[IV] (ie VIX) today will be critical.</b>Any drop in IV, particularly with a break back above 4300 could lead to a very sharp rally which takes us right back to all time highs over the next few sessions. Because of this elevated volatility this is a market that likely cannot remain “flat”. If price action pauses that likely leads to a drop in IV and a short cover rally.</p><p><blockquote><b>今天监控隐含波动率[IV]（即VIX）至关重要。</b>IV的任何下跌，特别是突破4300点，都可能导致非常剧烈的反弹，使我们在接下来的几个交易日中回到历史高点。由于波动性上升，这是一个可能无法保持“平稳”的市场。如果价格走势暂停，可能会导致IV下降和空头回补反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Conversely a spike in IV suggests traders are adding short protection which should lead to strong selling. We do see 4240 as the limit for downside today, with a large air pocket beneath that to 4150.</p><p><blockquote>相反，IV的飙升表明交易者正在增加空头保护，这应该会导致强劲的抛售。我们确实认为4240点是今天下行的极限，下方有一个大气穴至4150点。</blockquote></p><p> As shown below the current gamma models suggests that<b>we don’t see much positive gamma unless we return to 4400, and therefore volatility should remain high until/unless we revisit that price level.</b></p><p><blockquote>如下所示，当前的伽马模型表明<b>除非我们回到4400点，否则我们不会看到太多正伽马值，因此波动性应该会保持在高位，直到/除非我们重新审视该价格水平。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/527bbf8075f5c046470958e243b61ba2\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"820\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>VIX expiration is on Wednesday AM which could play in as a catalyst this week</b>. We also have the “retail short put position” that we&nbsp;flagged&nbsp;this weekend.</p><p><blockquote><b>VIX将于周三上午到期，这可能会成为本周的催化剂</b>.我们还有本周末标记的“零售空头看跌头寸”。</blockquote></p><p> Our bottom line is this:<i><b>a close above 4300 give bulls control. Beneath that level leaves markets in a “risk off” stance.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>我们的底线是：<i><b>收盘价高于4300点让多头控制局面。低于该水平将使市场处于“避险”状态。</b></i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/heres-line-sand-sp-500-today?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/heres-line-sand-sp-500-today?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198051456","content_text":"Futures are down (relatively) hard ahead of today's open with Small Caps leading the charge to the downside...\nNotably,SpotGammapoints out thatwe start the session in a negative gamma position.\nThe official gamma flip points are coming in at 4335 but we suggest using 4300 as the key “risk off” level. This is due to fairly large open interest at that strike, which also makes it first resistance this morning.Key levels today are 4300, 4335 (gamma flip) to the upside, with 4240 downside support.\nWe certainly see the setup for weakness today...and another call to The PPT imminent...\nMonitoring implied volatility[IV] (ie VIX) today will be critical.Any drop in IV, particularly with a break back above 4300 could lead to a very sharp rally which takes us right back to all time highs over the next few sessions. Because of this elevated volatility this is a market that likely cannot remain “flat”. If price action pauses that likely leads to a drop in IV and a short cover rally.\nConversely a spike in IV suggests traders are adding short protection which should lead to strong selling. We do see 4240 as the limit for downside today, with a large air pocket beneath that to 4150.\nAs shown below the current gamma models suggests thatwe don’t see much positive gamma unless we return to 4400, and therefore volatility should remain high until/unless we revisit that price level.\nVIX expiration is on Wednesday AM which could play in as a catalyst this week. We also have the “retail short put position” that we flagged this weekend.\nOur bottom line is this:a close above 4300 give bulls control. Beneath that level leaves markets in a “risk off” stance.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":646,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147142069,"gmtCreate":1626345235651,"gmtModify":1631889006966,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻","text":"👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147142069","repostId":"2151526337","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158357446,"gmtCreate":1625131703885,"gmtModify":1631889006970,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158357446","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106223449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153571088,"gmtCreate":1625039365444,"gmtModify":1631889006978,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153571088","repostId":"1155463747","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155463747","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625037766,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155463747?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-30 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 E-Commerce Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的2只电子商务股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155463747","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The recent dip in share price of these two online leaders is a great buying opportunity.","content":"<p>One of the best areas to look for long-term investments is online retail. While some leaders will likely see growth decelerate in 2021 following the surge in order volume during the pandemic, that doesn't mean the e-commerce growth story is over. eMarketer now expects e-commerce sales to make up 15.5% of total retail sales in 2021, an upward revision from the initial estimate of 13.2%.</p><p><blockquote>寻找长期投资的最佳领域之一是在线零售。虽然在疫情期间订单量激增后，一些领导者可能会在2021年看到增长放缓，但这并不意味着电子商务增长的故事已经结束。eMarketer目前预计，2021年电子商务销售额将占零售总额的15.5%，较最初估计的13.2%有所上调。</blockquote></p><p> The pandemic seemed to lift the plateau for online shopping. Because of that, the post-pandemic environment is a big opportunity for&nbsp;<b>Etsy</b>(NASDAQ:ETSY)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Chewy</b>(NYSE:CHWY)to win over new customers and deliver market-beating returns to investors over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>疫情似乎提升了网上购物的平台期。正因为如此，大流行后的环境是一个巨大的机会<b>Etsy</b>（纳斯达克：ETSY）和<b>耐嚼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHWY）赢得新客户，并在未来十年为投资者提供跑赢市场的回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3cb7c4b4f6feaad77d6f8fa8012ce9e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Etsy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy</b></blockquote></p><p> Etsy continues to be a disruptive force in e-commerce, and its performance during the pandemic shows why. When everyone turned online to shop for goods, Etsy's gross merchandise sales more than doubled the growth of the total U.S. e-commerce market. Revenue grew 111% in 2020 to reach $1.7 billion, which Etsy derives from the fees it charges on each transaction made on the marketplace&nbsp;and for advertising and shipping services.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy仍然是电子商务领域的颠覆性力量，其在大流行期间的表现说明了原因。当每个人都转向网上购物时，Etsy的商品销售总额是美国电子商务市场总额增长的两倍多。2020年收入增长111%，达到17亿美元，Etsy的收入来自对市场上每笔交易以及广告和运输服务收取的费用。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a time when human connection is so vital, Etsy provides a one-of-a-kind community where sellers are empowered to grow their businesses, reaching buyers who value finding items that express their unique identity, while putting their money where their heart is,\" CEO John Silverman said in the first-quarter earnings release.</p><p><blockquote>“在人际关系如此重要的时代，Etsy提供了一个独一无二的社区，卖家可以在这里发展业务，接触到重视寻找表达其独特身份的商品的买家，同时将钱花在他们的地方。”首席执行官约翰·西尔弗曼在第一季度财报中表示。</blockquote></p><p> It will be difficult to maintain this pace of growth coming out of the pandemic. Management's guidance calls for second-quarter revenue to be up between 15% to 25% year over year. But Etsy doesn't need to grow at triple-digit rates to deliver wealth-building returns to investors.</p><p><blockquote>疫情将很难保持这种增长速度。管理层指导评级第二季度收入同比增长15%至25%。但Etsy不需要以三位数的速度增长才能为投资者带来财富积累的回报。</blockquote></p><p> At a price-to-free-cash-flow&nbsp;ratio of 35, the stock doesn't look expensive relative to long-term growth expectations. Analysts expect free cash flow per share to finish 2021 at $4.97 before growing 25% in 2022 and accelerating by a 32% rate in 2023. These rates are similar to the levels at which it was growing through 2019 and would be more than enough to send the stock higher over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>该股的市价与自由现金流比率为35，相对于长期增长预期，该股看起来并不昂贵。分析师预计，2021年每股自由现金流将达到4.97美元，然后在2022年增长25%，并在2023年加速32%。这些利率与2019年的增长水平相似，足以在未来几年推高该股。</blockquote></p><p> Etsy is also showing a good track record of&nbsp;acquiring other marketplaces, such as Reverb (in 2019) and most recently Depop and Brazil-based Elo7. These could also generate investor returns over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy在收购其他市场方面也表现出了良好的记录，例如Reverb（2019年）以及最近的Depop和巴西的Elo7。这些也可能在未来十年为投资者带来回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04bef6c00f118e4020ad50cbc0861b45\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Chewy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐嚼</b></blockquote></p><p> Chewy is the leading&nbsp;online retailer&nbsp;for pet products, a large and growing market valued at $98 billion. The company is still a small player with only $7.7 billion in trailing-12-month revenue,&nbsp;but it's taking market share and growing fast. In fiscal 2019, revenue grew 40% before accelerating to 47% in fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy是领先的宠物产品在线零售商，这是一个价值980亿美元的庞大且不断增长的市场。该公司仍然是一家小公司，过去12个月的收入仅为77亿美元，但它正在占据市场份额并快速增长。2019财年，收入增长了40%，然后在2020财年加速至47%。</blockquote></p><p> Chewy is in a great position to grow with pet ownership, which has already increased from 56% of U.S. households in 1988 to 67% in 2020. Its active customer total grew 75% over the last two years to reach 19.8 million in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy在拥有宠物方面处于有利地位，美国家庭的宠物数量已从1988年的56%增加到2020年的67%。过去两年，其活跃客户总数增长了75%，第一季度达到1980万。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, spending per customer is also rising.&nbsp;To help speed this along,Chewy continues to expand&nbsp;into other categories, such as personalized services, healthcare, and better search and discovery features to help customers find the right pet food among its vast selection.</p><p><blockquote>此外，每位顾客的支出也在上升。为了帮助加快这一进程，Chewy继续扩展到其他类别，如个性化服务、医疗保健以及更好的搜索和发现功能，以帮助客户在众多选择中找到合适的宠物食品。</blockquote></p><p> The stock looks expensive, trading at an astronomical price-to-free-cash-flow multiple of 414. But that's due to high spending to drive growth, such as for advertising, opening fulfillment centers, and expanding selection. However, this business is built to produce plenty of free cash flow down the road.&nbsp;Continued growth in active customers should lead to growing profits, since a customer's second purchase is margin positive to Chewy.</p><p><blockquote>该股看起来很昂贵，交易价格与自由现金流的比率高达414倍。但这是由于推动增长的高额支出，例如广告、开设履行中心和扩大选择范围。然而，这项业务旨在产生大量的自由现金流。活跃客户的持续增长应该会带来利润的增长，因为客户的第二次购买对Chewy来说是正利润。</blockquote></p><p> At a&nbsp;price-to-sales ratio&nbsp;of 4.5, the stock should have substantial upside over the next decade as margin improvement kicks in and Chewy gains market share in the burgeoning online retail market for pet products.</p><p><blockquote>按照4.5的市销率，随着利润率的提高以及Chewy在蓬勃发展的宠物产品在线零售市场中获得市场份额，该股在未来十年应该会有大幅上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 E-Commerce Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的2只电子商务股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 E-Commerce Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade<blockquote>未来十年可以购买并持有的2只电子商务股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-30 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>One of the best areas to look for long-term investments is online retail. While some leaders will likely see growth decelerate in 2021 following the surge in order volume during the pandemic, that doesn't mean the e-commerce growth story is over. eMarketer now expects e-commerce sales to make up 15.5% of total retail sales in 2021, an upward revision from the initial estimate of 13.2%.</p><p><blockquote>寻找长期投资的最佳领域之一是在线零售。虽然在疫情期间订单量激增后，一些领导者可能会在2021年看到增长放缓，但这并不意味着电子商务增长的故事已经结束。eMarketer目前预计，2021年电子商务销售额将占零售总额的15.5%，较最初估计的13.2%有所上调。</blockquote></p><p> The pandemic seemed to lift the plateau for online shopping. Because of that, the post-pandemic environment is a big opportunity for&nbsp;<b>Etsy</b>(NASDAQ:ETSY)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>Chewy</b>(NYSE:CHWY)to win over new customers and deliver market-beating returns to investors over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>疫情似乎提升了网上购物的平台期。正因为如此，大流行后的环境是一个巨大的机会<b>Etsy</b>（纳斯达克：ETSY）和<b>耐嚼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：CHWY）赢得新客户，并在未来十年为投资者提供跑赢市场的回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e3cb7c4b4f6feaad77d6f8fa8012ce9e\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Etsy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Etsy</b></blockquote></p><p> Etsy continues to be a disruptive force in e-commerce, and its performance during the pandemic shows why. When everyone turned online to shop for goods, Etsy's gross merchandise sales more than doubled the growth of the total U.S. e-commerce market. Revenue grew 111% in 2020 to reach $1.7 billion, which Etsy derives from the fees it charges on each transaction made on the marketplace&nbsp;and for advertising and shipping services.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy仍然是电子商务领域的颠覆性力量，其在大流行期间的表现说明了原因。当每个人都转向网上购物时，Etsy的商品销售总额是美国电子商务市场总额增长的两倍多。2020年收入增长111%，达到17亿美元，Etsy的收入来自对市场上每笔交易以及广告和运输服务收取的费用。</blockquote></p><p> \"In a time when human connection is so vital, Etsy provides a one-of-a-kind community where sellers are empowered to grow their businesses, reaching buyers who value finding items that express their unique identity, while putting their money where their heart is,\" CEO John Silverman said in the first-quarter earnings release.</p><p><blockquote>“在人际关系如此重要的时代，Etsy提供了一个独一无二的社区，卖家可以在这里发展业务，接触到重视寻找表达其独特身份的商品的买家，同时将钱花在他们的地方。”首席执行官约翰·西尔弗曼在第一季度财报中表示。</blockquote></p><p> It will be difficult to maintain this pace of growth coming out of the pandemic. Management's guidance calls for second-quarter revenue to be up between 15% to 25% year over year. But Etsy doesn't need to grow at triple-digit rates to deliver wealth-building returns to investors.</p><p><blockquote>疫情将很难保持这种增长速度。管理层指导评级第二季度收入同比增长15%至25%。但Etsy不需要以三位数的速度增长才能为投资者带来财富积累的回报。</blockquote></p><p> At a price-to-free-cash-flow&nbsp;ratio of 35, the stock doesn't look expensive relative to long-term growth expectations. Analysts expect free cash flow per share to finish 2021 at $4.97 before growing 25% in 2022 and accelerating by a 32% rate in 2023. These rates are similar to the levels at which it was growing through 2019 and would be more than enough to send the stock higher over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>该股的市价与自由现金流比率为35，相对于长期增长预期，该股看起来并不昂贵。分析师预计，2021年每股自由现金流将达到4.97美元，然后在2022年增长25%，并在2023年加速32%。这些利率与2019年的增长水平相似，足以在未来几年推高该股。</blockquote></p><p> Etsy is also showing a good track record of&nbsp;acquiring other marketplaces, such as Reverb (in 2019) and most recently Depop and Brazil-based Elo7. These could also generate investor returns over the next decade.</p><p><blockquote>Etsy在收购其他市场方面也表现出了良好的记录，例如Reverb（2019年）以及最近的Depop和巴西的Elo7。这些也可能在未来十年为投资者带来回报。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04bef6c00f118e4020ad50cbc0861b45\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Chewy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐嚼</b></blockquote></p><p> Chewy is the leading&nbsp;online retailer&nbsp;for pet products, a large and growing market valued at $98 billion. The company is still a small player with only $7.7 billion in trailing-12-month revenue,&nbsp;but it's taking market share and growing fast. In fiscal 2019, revenue grew 40% before accelerating to 47% in fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy是领先的宠物产品在线零售商，这是一个价值980亿美元的庞大且不断增长的市场。该公司仍然是一家小公司，过去12个月的收入仅为77亿美元，但它正在占据市场份额并快速增长。2019财年，收入增长了40%，然后在2020财年加速至47%。</blockquote></p><p> Chewy is in a great position to grow with pet ownership, which has already increased from 56% of U.S. households in 1988 to 67% in 2020. Its active customer total grew 75% over the last two years to reach 19.8 million in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>Chewy在拥有宠物方面处于有利地位，美国家庭的宠物数量已从1988年的56%增加到2020年的67%。过去两年，其活跃客户总数增长了75%，第一季度达到1980万。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, spending per customer is also rising.&nbsp;To help speed this along,Chewy continues to expand&nbsp;into other categories, such as personalized services, healthcare, and better search and discovery features to help customers find the right pet food among its vast selection.</p><p><blockquote>此外，每位顾客的支出也在上升。为了帮助加快这一进程，Chewy继续扩展到其他类别，如个性化服务、医疗保健以及更好的搜索和发现功能，以帮助客户在众多选择中找到合适的宠物食品。</blockquote></p><p> The stock looks expensive, trading at an astronomical price-to-free-cash-flow multiple of 414. But that's due to high spending to drive growth, such as for advertising, opening fulfillment centers, and expanding selection. However, this business is built to produce plenty of free cash flow down the road.&nbsp;Continued growth in active customers should lead to growing profits, since a customer's second purchase is margin positive to Chewy.</p><p><blockquote>该股看起来很昂贵，交易价格与自由现金流的比率高达414倍。但这是由于推动增长的高额支出，例如广告、开设履行中心和扩大选择范围。然而，这项业务旨在产生大量的自由现金流。活跃客户的持续增长应该会带来利润的增长，因为客户的第二次购买对Chewy来说是正利润。</blockquote></p><p> At a&nbsp;price-to-sales ratio&nbsp;of 4.5, the stock should have substantial upside over the next decade as margin improvement kicks in and Chewy gains market share in the burgeoning online retail market for pet products.</p><p><blockquote>按照4.5的市销率，随着利润率的提高以及Chewy在蓬勃发展的宠物产品在线零售市场中获得市场份额，该股在未来十年应该会有大幅上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/29/2-e-commerce-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ETSY":"Etsy, Inc.","CHWY":"Chewy, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/29/2-e-commerce-stocks-you-can-buy-and-hold-for-the-n/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155463747","content_text":"One of the best areas to look for long-term investments is online retail. While some leaders will likely see growth decelerate in 2021 following the surge in order volume during the pandemic, that doesn't mean the e-commerce growth story is over. eMarketer now expects e-commerce sales to make up 15.5% of total retail sales in 2021, an upward revision from the initial estimate of 13.2%.\nThe pandemic seemed to lift the plateau for online shopping. Because of that, the post-pandemic environment is a big opportunity for Etsy(NASDAQ:ETSY) and Chewy(NYSE:CHWY)to win over new customers and deliver market-beating returns to investors over the next decade.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nEtsy\nEtsy continues to be a disruptive force in e-commerce, and its performance during the pandemic shows why. When everyone turned online to shop for goods, Etsy's gross merchandise sales more than doubled the growth of the total U.S. e-commerce market. Revenue grew 111% in 2020 to reach $1.7 billion, which Etsy derives from the fees it charges on each transaction made on the marketplace and for advertising and shipping services.\n\"In a time when human connection is so vital, Etsy provides a one-of-a-kind community where sellers are empowered to grow their businesses, reaching buyers who value finding items that express their unique identity, while putting their money where their heart is,\" CEO John Silverman said in the first-quarter earnings release.\nIt will be difficult to maintain this pace of growth coming out of the pandemic. Management's guidance calls for second-quarter revenue to be up between 15% to 25% year over year. But Etsy doesn't need to grow at triple-digit rates to deliver wealth-building returns to investors.\nAt a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio of 35, the stock doesn't look expensive relative to long-term growth expectations. Analysts expect free cash flow per share to finish 2021 at $4.97 before growing 25% in 2022 and accelerating by a 32% rate in 2023. These rates are similar to the levels at which it was growing through 2019 and would be more than enough to send the stock higher over the next few years.\nEtsy is also showing a good track record of acquiring other marketplaces, such as Reverb (in 2019) and most recently Depop and Brazil-based Elo7. These could also generate investor returns over the next decade.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nChewy\nChewy is the leading online retailer for pet products, a large and growing market valued at $98 billion. The company is still a small player with only $7.7 billion in trailing-12-month revenue, but it's taking market share and growing fast. In fiscal 2019, revenue grew 40% before accelerating to 47% in fiscal 2020.\nChewy is in a great position to grow with pet ownership, which has already increased from 56% of U.S. households in 1988 to 67% in 2020. Its active customer total grew 75% over the last two years to reach 19.8 million in the first quarter.\nWhat's more, spending per customer is also rising. To help speed this along,Chewy continues to expand into other categories, such as personalized services, healthcare, and better search and discovery features to help customers find the right pet food among its vast selection.\nThe stock looks expensive, trading at an astronomical price-to-free-cash-flow multiple of 414. But that's due to high spending to drive growth, such as for advertising, opening fulfillment centers, and expanding selection. However, this business is built to produce plenty of free cash flow down the road. Continued growth in active customers should lead to growing profits, since a customer's second purchase is margin positive to Chewy.\nAt a price-to-sales ratio of 4.5, the stock should have substantial upside over the next decade as margin improvement kicks in and Chewy gains market share in the burgeoning online retail market for pet products.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CHWY":0.9,"ETSY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124566663,"gmtCreate":1624773414352,"gmtModify":1633948745194,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124566663","repostId":"1184001921","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184001921","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624763737,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184001921?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184001921","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce i","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊：好库存，不好价格</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li>  <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li>  <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li>  <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一，在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是，它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天，根据我的内在价值模型，亚马逊（AMZN）的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章，其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯，我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值，我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点，所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由，以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家，我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”，即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好，因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后，我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低，因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p>   Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are  <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.    Rule 1 Investing  This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说：“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值，并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢，一如既往，我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来？亚马逊分为3个部分：北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业（电子商务和云计算）的市场领导者，亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中，我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率，并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来，我把每个部门的数字加起来，对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降，营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓，因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是，我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门，我预计年收入将增长20%，营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高，直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分，AWS是：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about&nbsp;17.5% CAGR&nbsp;until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率，因为云计算有很大的增长空间，根据研究和市场，云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长，直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外，我预计营业利润率为28%，因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件，该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%，因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的？你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣，这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么，以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知，亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看，他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金，也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p>   In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.  <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i>    Source:2020 10-K&nbsp;page 60,  <i>emphasis added</i>  But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月，董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划，没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源：2020 10-K第60页，<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言，这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱，这很好，因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是，亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来，他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元，从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金，因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购，或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率，因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%，而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中，您可以在顶部2个红框中看到，我预计该公司的收入增长将较低，营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，到2025年，亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。仔细想想，这绝对是疯狂的，但根据估计的收入增长，这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所股票代码：WMT）以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三，约为3900亿美元。5年后，亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部，您可以看到有一个红色框，显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润，不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中，我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%，如果我们今天投资，我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西，我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部，我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是，AMZN股票越便宜，我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计，每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%，每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时，将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗？”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是，如果我们有耐心，我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月，亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元（我希望当时买了一些）。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今，亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估，因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者，您应该出售亚马逊，因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票，亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了，并且正在寻求进入，那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票，我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读，我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184001921","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.\nUnfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.\nThis article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.\nI hope you enjoy.\n\nSundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nToday, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.\nSource: Author\nYou might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.\nIn this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.\nSomething important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.\nThis method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.\nBut after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.\n\n Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are\n margin of safety.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.\n\n\n Rule 1 Investing\n\nThis model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.\nBusiness Model\nWhere does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.\nAs a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.\nAnd later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nI projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.\nHopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.\nHere's a look at Amazon's International segment:\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nFor Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.\nAnd for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:\nSource: Author\nAWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about 17.5% CAGR until 2025.\nAdditionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.\nThese projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.\nCapital Allocation\nHow does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.\nSource: Author\nThe biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.\n\n In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.\n There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.\n\n\n Source:2020 10-K page 60,\n emphasis added\n\nBut for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.\nAmazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.\nAmazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.\nValuation\nFirst, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.\nSource: Author\nI used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.\nThis model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.\nRight now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.\nSource: Author\nDown at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.\nSource: Author\nToday, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.\nThese estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.\nDown at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.\nThe model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.\n\"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.\nBut the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.\nRecap\nToday, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.\nBut if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.\nEven if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.\nThank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122227589,"gmtCreate":1624624482541,"gmtModify":1633950410078,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122227589","repostId":"1123235741","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123235741","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624621822,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123235741?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 19:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123235741","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)\n\nKey inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earl","content":"<p><i><b>(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间2021年6月25日上午08:33）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Key inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.</b></li>  <li>S&amp;P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.</li>  <li>Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June&nbsp;25)&nbsp;<b>The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.</b>&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>5月份关键通胀指标同比上涨3.4%，符合预期。</b></li><li>标准普尔、纳斯达克期货在关键通胀报告发布前达到峰值。</li><li>耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月25日）<b>据道琼斯调查的经济学家称，5月份核心个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨3.4%。</b> </blockquote></p><p> <i>Related:&nbsp;</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades</i></a></p><p><blockquote><i>相关：</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>关键通胀指标录得近三十年来最大同比涨幅</i></a></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps</i></a><i></i></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>随着储蓄率暴跌，美联储最喜欢的通胀指标飙升至1991年以来的最高水平</i></a><i></i></blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>标普期货交易创下历史新高，追随亚洲市场的强劲上涨，投资者在两党就基础设施支出达成初步协议后，为美联储首选的通胀数据做好准备，而美国银行在通过压力测试后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:58&nbsp;am ET S&amp;P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up&nbsp;120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%.&nbsp;<b>Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:58，标准普尔期货上涨5点或0.12%，道琼斯期货上涨120点或0.35%，纳斯达克期货上涨10.5点或+0.07%。<b>全球股市有望创下4月份以来最大单周涨幅，延续第五个月涨幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3595ef2646654cdba23a65657d7cb0d5\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. <b>And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四上午发布的每周失业救济申请报告显示，新申请失业救济人数有所下降，尽管改善幅度略弱于预期，这表明美国仍在持续复苏。<b>周五，投资者将密切关注经济分析局关于核心个人消费支出（PCE）的报告，该报告是美联储首选的通胀指标。预计5月份这一数字将比去年增长3.4%，为1992年以来的最快增幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks&nbsp;passed&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>周四，纳斯达克和标普500指数收于历史新高，而在乔·拜登接受1.2万亿美元的两党参议院支出协议后，道琼斯指数上涨近1%，数据显示劳动力市场复苏已步入正轨，尽管速度较慢。在所有华尔街银行通过美联储压力测试后，美国银行、摩根大通和花旗集团等美国主要银行在盘前交易中均走高，为超过1400亿美元的支出铺平了道路。运动鞋制造商耐克(Nike)在盘前交易中飙升12%，此前该公司预测全年销售额高于华尔街预期，促使几位分析师上调价格预测，并帮助道指期货上涨0.3%。出于同情，阿迪达斯股价上涨5.1%，至17个月高点，而电力生产商Iberdrola股价下跌2.1%，至3月初以来的最低水平。劳动力短缺的最新证据来自联邦快递公司，这家美国快递公司因招聘困难而未能达到2022年盈利预期。其股价下跌3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:</p><p><blockquote>以下是今天美国其他一些重要的盘前走势：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Blank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.</li>  <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.</li>  <li>Nokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.</li> </ul> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>空白支票公司Property Solutions Acquisition(PSAC)表示，SEC已宣布其与电动汽车制造商法拉第未来合并的注册声明生效，该公司股价上涨16%。</li><li>大麻二酚产品销售商Grove(GRVI)飙升35%，进一步高于昨天每股5美元的IPO价格。</li><li>Netflix(NFLX)上涨1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将该股评级上调至跑赢大盘，预计2021年第四季度用户增长将正常化。CS对美国消费者的一项调查强化了流媒体平台强大的竞争地位和高用户满意度。</li><li>高盛将这家电信设备制造商的评级从中性上调至买入并上调目标价后，诺基亚美国ADR(NOK)上涨2.9%。</li></ul><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Nike(NKE)</b> – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）耐克（NKE）</b>-耐克报告季度收益为每股93美分，远高于每股51美分的普遍预期。收入大幅超出预期，首次超过120亿美元。耐克受益于对其鞋子和服装被压抑的需求，通过其应用程序和网站的直销增长了73%。耐克股价盘前飙升12.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CarMax(KMX) </b>– CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)CarMax(KMX)</b>-汽车零售商CarMax公布最新季度的销售额和利润好于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨5.9%。CarMax每股超出市场普遍预期1美元，季度利润为2.63美元，这得益于大流行引发的对汽车而非公共交通的偏好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE) </b>– Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）维珍银河（SPCE）</b>-在美国联邦航空管理局批准维珍航空将付费客户送上太空后，维珍航空股价在盘前飙升11.5%。这是美国联邦航空局首次获得此类批准，此前维珍银河在5月份成功试飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;FedEx(FDX) </b>– FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)联邦快递(FDX)</b>-联邦快递每股收益超出预期2美分，季度收益为每股5.01美元。送货服务的收入也超出了预期。首席执行官弗雷德·史密斯(Fred Smith)表示，由于无法找到足够的工人，运营受到了限制，该公司今年将增加22%的资本支出，以应对交货延误。该股在盘前交易中下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>-据松下发言人称，日本电子巨头松下在最近一财年以约36亿美元的价格出售了其在特斯拉的全部股份。松下是特斯拉的早期投资者，也是该汽车制造商的主要电池供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Netflix(NFLX)</b> – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Netflix(NFLX)</b>–Netflix盘前上涨1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。该银行表示，预计用户增长将正常化，最近的消费者调查增强了Netflix强大的竞争地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;BlackBerry(BB) </b>– BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）黑莓（BB）</b>-黑莓公布最近一个季度亏损小于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。由于电动汽车销量的猛增提振了对黑莓QNX软件的需求，这家安全和通信软件制造商的收入也好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C)</b> – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)摩根大通(JPM)、富国银行(WFC)、美国银行(BAC)、花旗集团(C)</b>-在美联储对接受最新一轮压力测试的所有23家银行给予及格分数后，大型银行股今天受到关注。在这些结果公布后，美联储表示将取消对股息和股票回购的临时限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN)</b> – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Twilio（TWLO）、Asana（ASAN）</b>-Twilio和Asana已同意将其股票在长期证券交易所上市，这是一家总部位于硅谷的公司，旨在专注于长期投资。他们也将继续在纽约证券交易所上市。这两家云软件公司是长期交易所的早期投资者。Asana在盘前交易中上涨3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Credit Suisse(CS)</b> – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)瑞士信贷(CS)</b>-据接受路透社采访的知情人士透露，瑞士信贷正在考虑各种改革计划，包括可能与竞争对手欧洲银行（UBS）合并。瑞士信贷盘前上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Doximity(DOCS) </b>– The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Doximity（DOCS）</b>-这家医生社交网络以每股26美元的价格上市，首日收盘价为53美元，盘前股价下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Friday<blockquote>周五美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-25 19:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i><b>(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)</b></i></p><p><blockquote><i><b>（更新：美国东部时间2021年6月25日上午08:33）</b></i></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Key inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.</b></li>  <li>S&amp;P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.</li>  <li>Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June&nbsp;25)&nbsp;<b>The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones.</b>&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>5月份关键通胀指标同比上涨3.4%，符合预期。</b></li><li>标准普尔、纳斯达克期货在关键通胀报告发布前达到峰值。</li><li>耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月25日）<b>据道琼斯调查的经济学家称，5月份核心个人消费支出价格指数预计同比上涨3.4%。</b> </blockquote></p><p> <i>Related:&nbsp;</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades</i></a></p><p><blockquote><i>相关：</i><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1107282210\" target=\"_blank\"><i>关键通胀指标录得近三十年来最大同比涨幅</i></a></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps</i></a><i></i></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1166582624\" target=\"_blank\"><i>随着储蓄率暴跌，美联储最喜欢的通胀指标飙升至1991年以来的最高水平</i></a><i></i></blockquote></p><p> S&amp;P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.</p><p><blockquote>标普期货交易创下历史新高，追随亚洲市场的强劲上涨，投资者在两党就基础设施支出达成初步协议后，为美联储首选的通胀数据做好准备，而美国银行在通过压力测试后上涨。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:58&nbsp;am ET S&amp;P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up&nbsp;120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%.&nbsp;<b>Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国东部时间上午7:58，标准普尔期货上涨5点或0.12%，道琼斯期货上涨120点或0.35%，纳斯达克期货上涨10.5点或+0.07%。<b>全球股市有望创下4月份以来最大单周涨幅，延续第五个月涨幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3595ef2646654cdba23a65657d7cb0d5\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. <b>And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.</b></p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部周四上午发布的每周失业救济申请报告显示，新申请失业救济人数有所下降，尽管改善幅度略弱于预期，这表明美国仍在持续复苏。<b>周五，投资者将密切关注经济分析局关于核心个人消费支出（PCE）的报告，该报告是美联储首选的通胀指标。预计5月份这一数字将比去年增长3.4%，为1992年以来的最快增幅。</b></blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks&nbsp;passed&nbsp;the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.</p><p><blockquote>周四，纳斯达克和标普500指数收于历史新高，而在乔·拜登接受1.2万亿美元的两党参议院支出协议后，道琼斯指数上涨近1%，数据显示劳动力市场复苏已步入正轨，尽管速度较慢。在所有华尔街银行通过美联储压力测试后，美国银行、摩根大通和花旗集团等美国主要银行在盘前交易中均走高，为超过1400亿美元的支出铺平了道路。运动鞋制造商耐克(Nike)在盘前交易中飙升12%，此前该公司预测全年销售额高于华尔街预期，促使几位分析师上调价格预测，并帮助道指期货上涨0.3%。出于同情，阿迪达斯股价上涨5.1%，至17个月高点，而电力生产商Iberdrola股价下跌2.1%，至3月初以来的最低水平。劳动力短缺的最新证据来自联邦快递公司，这家美国快递公司因招聘困难而未能达到2022年盈利预期。其股价下跌3.8%。</blockquote></p><p> Here are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:</p><p><blockquote>以下是今天美国其他一些重要的盘前走势：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Blank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.</li>  <li>Cannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.</li>  <li>Netflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.</li>  <li>Nokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.</li> </ul> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>空白支票公司Property Solutions Acquisition(PSAC)表示，SEC已宣布其与电动汽车制造商法拉第未来合并的注册声明生效，该公司股价上涨16%。</li><li>大麻二酚产品销售商Grove(GRVI)飙升35%，进一步高于昨天每股5美元的IPO价格。</li><li>Netflix(NFLX)上涨1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将该股评级上调至跑赢大盘，预计2021年第四季度用户增长将正常化。CS对美国消费者的一项调查强化了流媒体平台强大的竞争地位和高用户满意度。</li><li>高盛将这家电信设备制造商的评级从中性上调至买入并上调目标价后，诺基亚美国ADR(NOK)上涨2.9%。</li></ul><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：耐克、CarMax、维珍银河等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;Nike(NKE)</b> – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）耐克（NKE）</b>-耐克报告季度收益为每股93美分，远高于每股51美分的普遍预期。收入大幅超出预期，首次超过120亿美元。耐克受益于对其鞋子和服装被压抑的需求，通过其应用程序和网站的直销增长了73%。耐克股价盘前飙升12.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;CarMax(KMX) </b>– CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.</p><p><blockquote><b>2)CarMax(KMX)</b>-汽车零售商CarMax公布最新季度的销售额和利润好于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨5.9%。CarMax每股超出市场普遍预期1美元，季度利润为2.63美元，这得益于大流行引发的对汽车而非公共交通的偏好。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Virgin Galactic(SPCE) </b>– Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）维珍银河（SPCE）</b>-在美国联邦航空管理局批准维珍航空将付费客户送上太空后，维珍航空股价在盘前飙升11.5%。这是美国联邦航空局首次获得此类批准，此前维珍银河在5月份成功试飞。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;FedEx(FDX) </b>– FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)联邦快递(FDX)</b>-联邦快递每股收益超出预期2美分，季度收益为每股5.01美元。送货服务的收入也超出了预期。首席执行官弗雷德·史密斯(Fred Smith)表示，由于无法找到足够的工人，运营受到了限制，该公司今年将增加22%的资本支出，以应对交货延误。该股在盘前交易中下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Tesla(TSLA) </b>– Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）特斯拉（TSLA）</b>-据松下发言人称，日本电子巨头松下在最近一财年以约36亿美元的价格出售了其在特斯拉的全部股份。松下是特斯拉的早期投资者，也是该汽车制造商的主要电池供应商。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Netflix(NFLX)</b> – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.</p><p><blockquote><b>6)Netflix(NFLX)</b>–Netflix盘前上涨1.3%，此前瑞士信贷将评级从“中性”上调至“跑赢大盘”。该银行表示，预计用户增长将正常化，最近的消费者调查增强了Netflix强大的竞争地位。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;BlackBerry(BB) </b>– BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）黑莓（BB）</b>-黑莓公布最近一个季度亏损小于预期，该公司股价在盘前交易中上涨1.3%。由于电动汽车销量的猛增提振了对黑莓QNX软件的需求，这家安全和通信软件制造商的收入也好于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C)</b> – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.</p><p><blockquote><b>8)摩根大通(JPM)、富国银行(WFC)、美国银行(BAC)、花旗集团(C)</b>-在美联储对接受最新一轮压力测试的所有23家银行给予及格分数后，大型银行股今天受到关注。在这些结果公布后，美联储表示将取消对股息和股票回购的临时限制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN)</b> – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>9）Twilio（TWLO）、Asana（ASAN）</b>-Twilio和Asana已同意将其股票在长期证券交易所上市，这是一家总部位于硅谷的公司，旨在专注于长期投资。他们也将继续在纽约证券交易所上市。这两家云软件公司是长期交易所的早期投资者。Asana在盘前交易中上涨3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Credit Suisse(CS)</b> – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)瑞士信贷(CS)</b>-据接受路透社采访的知情人士透露，瑞士信贷正在考虑各种改革计划，包括可能与竞争对手欧洲银行（UBS）合并。瑞士信贷盘前上涨1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Doximity(DOCS) </b>– The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.</p><p><blockquote><b>11）Doximity（DOCS）</b>-这家医生社交网络以每股26美元的价格上市，首日收盘价为53美元，盘前股价下跌3.9%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123235741","content_text":"(Update: June 25, 2021 at 08:33 a.m. ET)\n\nKey inflation indicator rises 3.4% in May from a year earlier, as expected.\nS&P, Nasdaq futures at peaks ahead of crucial inflation report.\nNike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic & more made the biggest moves in the premarket.\n\n(June 25) The core personal consumption expenditures price index for May was expected to rise 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones. \nRelated: Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades\nFed's Favorite Inflation Indicator Surges To Highest Since 1991 As Savings Rate Slumps\nS&P futures traded at record highs, tracking strong gains in Asian markets, as investors braced for the Fed's preferred inflation data following a tentative bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending, while U.S. lenders rose after clearing stress tests.\nAt 7:58 am ET S&P futures were up 5pts or 0.12%, Dow Jones futs were up 120 or 0.35% and Nasdaq futs were up 10.5 or +0.07%. Global stocks are poised for their biggest weekly advance since April, extending their fifth monthly gain.\n\nIn a sign of the ongoing recovery still under way in the U.S., the Labor Department'sweekly jobless claims report out Thursday morningshowed a drop in new filings, even as the margin of improvement came in slightly weaker than expected. And on Friday, investors will be closely watching the Bureau of Economic Analysis' reported on core personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which serves as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. This is expected to have risen by 3.4% in May over last year, marking the fastest increase since 1992.\nOn Thursday, the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 indexes closed at record highs, while the Dow jumped almost 1% after Joe Biden embraced the $1.2 trillion bipartisan Senate spending deal and as data showed a labor market recovery was on track, albeit at a slower pace. Major US banks such as Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were all higher in premarket trading after all Wall Street banks passed the Federal Reserve’s stress tests, paving the way for over $140 billion in payouts. Nike surged 12% in premarket trading after sneaker maker forecast fiscal full-year sales ahead of Wall Street estimates prompting several analysts to raise their price projections, and helping Dow futures rise 0.3%. In sympathy, Adidas jumped 5.1% to 17-month high, while electricity producer Iberdrola dropped 2.1% to the lowest since early March. The latest evidence of a labor shortage came from FedEx Corp as the U.S. delivery firm missed 2022 earnings forecast due to hiring difficulties. Its shares shed 3.8%.\nHere are some of the other big premarket U.S. movers today:\n\nBlank-check firm Property Solutions Acquisition (PSAC) rises 16% after it said the registration statement on its merger with electric vehicle maker Faraday Future had been declared effective by the SEC.\nCannabidiol product seller Grove (GRVI) surges 35% rising further above yesterday’s IPO price of $5 per share.\nNetflix (NFLX) gains 1.3% after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to outperform, with subscriber growth expected to normalize in 4Q21. A survey by CS of U.S. consumers reinforced the stream platform’s strong competitive position and high user satisfaction.\nNokia’s U.S. ADRs (NOK) rise 2.9% after Goldman Sachs upgrades the telecom equipment maker to buy from neutral and raises price targets.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: Nike, CarMax, Virgin Galactic & more\n1) Nike(NKE) – Nikereported quarterly earnings of 93 cents per share, well above the 51 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue beat forecasts by a wide margin and exceeded $12 billion for the first time. Nike benefited from pent-up demand for its shoes and apparel, and saw a 73% jump in direct sales through its apps and websites. Nike shares soared 12.5% in the premarket.\n2) CarMax(KMX) – CarMax shares rallied 5.9% in premarket trading after the auto retailer reported better-than-expected sales and profit for its latest quarter. CarMax beat the consensus estimate by $1 a share, with quarterly profit of $2.63, helped by a pandemic-induced preference for cars over public transport.\n3) Virgin Galactic(SPCE) – Virgin shares surged 11.5% in the premarket after the Federal Aviation Administration granted approval for Virgin to fly paying customers into space. It’s the first such approval granted by the FAA, and follows a successful test flight by Virgin Galactic in May.\n4) FedEx(FDX) – FedEx beat estimates by 2 cents a share, with quarterly earnings of $5.01 per share. The delivery service’s revenue also topped forecasts. CEO Fred Smith said operations are being crimped by an inability to find enough workers, however, and the company will ramp up capital spending by 22% this year to deal with delivery delays. The stock slid 3.9% in premarket trading.\n5) Tesla(TSLA) – Japanese electronics giant Panasonic sold its entire stake in Tesla for about $3.6 billion during the most recent fiscal year, according to a Panasonic spokesperson. Panasonic was an early investor in Tesla, and is a major battery supplier for the automaker.\n6) Netflix(NFLX) – Netflix rose 1.3% in the premarket following an upgrade to “outperform” from “neutral” at Credit Suisse. The bank said it expects subscriber growth to normalize and that its recent consumer survey reinforced Netflix’s strong competitive position.\n7) BlackBerry(BB) – BlackBerry shares added 1.3% in premarket trading after it reported a smaller-than-expected loss for its latest quarter. The security and communications software maker also saw better-than-expected revenue, as a jump in electric vehicle sales boosted demand for BlackBerry’s QNX software.\n8) JPMorgan Chase(JPM),Wells Fargo(WFC),Bank of America(BAC),Citigroup(C) – Big bank stocks are on watch today after the Federal Reservegave passing marksto all 23 banks that were subjected to the latest round of stress tests. Following those results, the Fed said it would lift temporary restrictions on dividends and share buybacks.\n9) Twilio(TWLO),Asana(ASAN) – Twilio and Asana have agreed to list their shares on the Long-Term Stock Exchange, a Silicon Valley-based operation that is designed to focus on long-term investing. They will continue to list on the New York Stock Exchange as well. The two cloud software companies were early investors in the Long-Term Exchange. Asana jumped 3.3% in premarket trading.\n10) Credit Suisse(CS) – Credit Suisse is mulling various overhaul plans including a possible merger with rival European bankUBS(UBS), according to people familiar with the bank’s thinking who spoke to Reuters. Credit Suisse rose 1.2% in the premarket.\n11) Doximity(DOCS) – The social network for doctors saw its stock slide 3.9% in the premarket, after going public at $26 per share and closing its first day of trading at $53.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":595,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128781556,"gmtCreate":1624531787875,"gmtModify":1634004807542,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128781556","repostId":"1145289647","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145289647","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624531346,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145289647?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BlackBerry Earnings Preview: Here's What the Chart Says<blockquote>黑莓盈利预览：图表如下</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145289647","media":"TheStreet","summary":"BlackBerry has come off its highs but is holding up over prior resistance. Here's how to trade the s","content":"<p>BlackBerry has come off its highs but is holding up over prior resistance. Here's how to trade the stock from here with earnings on deck.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓已经脱离高点，但仍守住先前的阻力位。以下是如何在盈利情况下从这里交易股票。</blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry&nbsp;may not be the top meme stock on Wall Street, but it’s a favorite among the WallStreetBets group.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓可能不是华尔街最热门的模因股票，但它是WallStreetBets集团的最爱。</blockquote></p><p> With its low stock price and volatile trading range, BlackBerry has some fanfare with the short-squeeze crowd.</p><p><blockquote>凭借其低廉的股价和波动的交易区间，黑莓在轧空人群中大张旗鼓。</blockquote></p><p> It may not have had a run like GameStop&nbsp;or be&nbsp;leading the way this timearound like AMC Entertainment, but that&nbsp;doesn’t mean it’s one to sleep on.</p><p><blockquote>它可能没有像游戏驿站那样表现出色，也没有像AMC院线那样引领潮流，但这并不意味着它是一个值得睡觉的地方。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, earnings are likely to be a catalyst for whether BlackBerry stock goes on another surge or continues to dip. BlackBerry will report earnings on Thursday after the close of trading.</p><p><blockquote>当然，盈利可能会成为黑莓股价再次飙升或继续下跌的催化剂。黑莓将于周四收盘后公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> The problem? The last four times BlackBerry has reported earnings hasn’t resulted in a bullish reaction. Maybe this time around it sets up the stock for a nice upside surprise.</p><p><blockquote>问题是什么？黑莓过去四次公布财报均未引起看涨反应。也许这一次它会让该股迎来一个不错的上涨惊喜。</blockquote></p><p> If everyone is betting on or thinking a post-earnings dip is coming, perhaps BlackBerry will do the opposite. The recent pullback makes a rally easier too.</p><p><blockquote>如果每个人都押注或认为盈利后的下滑即将到来，也许黑莓会反其道而行之。最近的回调也让反弹变得更容易。</blockquote></p><p> However, that doesn’t mean BlackBerry&nbsp;will&nbsp;rally. Let’s look at the chart.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这并不意味着黑莓会反弹。让我们看看图表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading BlackBerry</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易黑莓</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f6fcdac271b6045287418197d2c4dc4\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"760\"><span>Daily chart of BlackBerry stock.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>黑莓股票日线图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Near the end of May, BlackBerry went on a surge, rallying right to resistance at $12.13.</p><p><blockquote>临近5月底，黑莓继续飙升，反弹至12.13美元的阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, the meme stock trade was just picking up momentum again after taking a few months off. Further, many stocks were also coming off the lows following a&nbsp;brutal bear market in growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>当时，meme股票交易在休息几个月后刚刚再次获得动力。此外，在成长型股票经历了残酷的熊市之后，许多股票也从低点走出。</blockquote></p><p> With the rally, BlackBerry was looking good, even though it was initially rejected from the key $12.13 area.</p><p><blockquote>随着反弹，黑莓看起来不错，尽管它最初被拒绝在关键的12.13美元区域。</blockquote></p><p> After that, I wrote:</p><p><blockquote>之后，我写道：</blockquote></p><p> “On the upside, let's see if the stock can break out over $12.13. In that scenario, perhaps the $14 to $15 zone would be in play. Above that and who knows, perhaps we could see a further squeeze into the $17 to $20 area.”</p><p><blockquote>“从好的方面来看，让我们看看该股是否能突破12.13美元。在这种情况下，也许14至15美元区域会发挥作用。在此之上，谁知道呢，也许我们会看到进一步挤入17至20美元区域。”</blockquote></p><p> The stock topped at $20.17 and we’ve since seen a pretty large pullback. While BlackBerry stock has found its footing near $12.50 — nicely holding up above the $12.13 level — the 10-day moving average has continued to pressure it lower.</p><p><blockquote>该股最高价为20.17美元，此后我们看到了相当大的回调。尽管黑莓股价已在12.50美元附近站稳脚跟——很好地保持在12.13美元上方——但10日移动平均线继续给其带来走低压力。</blockquote></p><p> On a bullish post-earnings reaction, bulls obviously want to see BlackBerry stock reclaim the 10-day moving average and have that measure turn to support. Above that and the $14.75 level will be our first obstacle. That’s last week’s high.</p><p><blockquote>在财报发布后的看涨反应中，多头显然希望看到黑莓股价收复10日移动平均线，并让该指标转向支撑。高于该水平和14.75美元将是我们的第一个障碍。这是上周的高点。</blockquote></p><p> Above that and we’ll be looking at the $16.50 to $17 area, with the 61.8% retracement of the current range up at $17.17. If shares clear that mark, $20 is technically back in play.</p><p><blockquote>在此之上，我们将关注16.50美元至17美元区域，当前区间的61.8%回撤位为17.17美元。如果股价突破该关口，从技术上讲，20美元将重新发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> On the downside, a move lower will thrust the $12.13 to $12.50 area into play. A break of this support zone puts the 10-week moving average on the table, followed by the 50-day moving average and $9.33 mark.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，走低将推动12.13美元至12.50美元区域发挥作用。突破该支撑区将出现10周移动平均线，其次是50日移动平均线和9.33美元关口。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BlackBerry Earnings Preview: Here's What the Chart Says<blockquote>黑莓盈利预览：图表如下</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBlackBerry Earnings Preview: Here's What the Chart Says<blockquote>黑莓盈利预览：图表如下</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 18:42</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BlackBerry has come off its highs but is holding up over prior resistance. Here's how to trade the stock from here with earnings on deck.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓已经脱离高点，但仍守住先前的阻力位。以下是如何在盈利情况下从这里交易股票。</blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry&nbsp;may not be the top meme stock on Wall Street, but it’s a favorite among the WallStreetBets group.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓可能不是华尔街最热门的模因股票，但它是WallStreetBets集团的最爱。</blockquote></p><p> With its low stock price and volatile trading range, BlackBerry has some fanfare with the short-squeeze crowd.</p><p><blockquote>凭借其低廉的股价和波动的交易区间，黑莓在轧空人群中大张旗鼓。</blockquote></p><p> It may not have had a run like GameStop&nbsp;or be&nbsp;leading the way this timearound like AMC Entertainment, but that&nbsp;doesn’t mean it’s one to sleep on.</p><p><blockquote>它可能没有像游戏驿站那样表现出色，也没有像AMC院线那样引领潮流，但这并不意味着它是一个值得睡觉的地方。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, earnings are likely to be a catalyst for whether BlackBerry stock goes on another surge or continues to dip. BlackBerry will report earnings on Thursday after the close of trading.</p><p><blockquote>当然，盈利可能会成为黑莓股价再次飙升或继续下跌的催化剂。黑莓将于周四收盘后公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> The problem? The last four times BlackBerry has reported earnings hasn’t resulted in a bullish reaction. Maybe this time around it sets up the stock for a nice upside surprise.</p><p><blockquote>问题是什么？黑莓过去四次公布财报均未引起看涨反应。也许这一次它会让该股迎来一个不错的上涨惊喜。</blockquote></p><p> If everyone is betting on or thinking a post-earnings dip is coming, perhaps BlackBerry will do the opposite. The recent pullback makes a rally easier too.</p><p><blockquote>如果每个人都押注或认为盈利后的下滑即将到来，也许黑莓会反其道而行之。最近的回调也让反弹变得更容易。</blockquote></p><p> However, that doesn’t mean BlackBerry&nbsp;will&nbsp;rally. Let’s look at the chart.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这并不意味着黑莓会反弹。让我们看看图表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Trading BlackBerry</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易黑莓</b></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f6fcdac271b6045287418197d2c4dc4\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"760\"><span>Daily chart of BlackBerry stock.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>黑莓股票日线图。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Near the end of May, BlackBerry went on a surge, rallying right to resistance at $12.13.</p><p><blockquote>临近5月底，黑莓继续飙升，反弹至12.13美元的阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, the meme stock trade was just picking up momentum again after taking a few months off. Further, many stocks were also coming off the lows following a&nbsp;brutal bear market in growth stocks.</p><p><blockquote>当时，meme股票交易在休息几个月后刚刚再次获得动力。此外，在成长型股票经历了残酷的熊市之后，许多股票也从低点走出。</blockquote></p><p> With the rally, BlackBerry was looking good, even though it was initially rejected from the key $12.13 area.</p><p><blockquote>随着反弹，黑莓看起来不错，尽管它最初被拒绝在关键的12.13美元区域。</blockquote></p><p> After that, I wrote:</p><p><blockquote>之后，我写道：</blockquote></p><p> “On the upside, let's see if the stock can break out over $12.13. In that scenario, perhaps the $14 to $15 zone would be in play. Above that and who knows, perhaps we could see a further squeeze into the $17 to $20 area.”</p><p><blockquote>“从好的方面来看，让我们看看该股是否能突破12.13美元。在这种情况下，也许14至15美元区域会发挥作用。在此之上，谁知道呢，也许我们会看到进一步挤入17至20美元区域。”</blockquote></p><p> The stock topped at $20.17 and we’ve since seen a pretty large pullback. While BlackBerry stock has found its footing near $12.50 — nicely holding up above the $12.13 level — the 10-day moving average has continued to pressure it lower.</p><p><blockquote>该股最高价为20.17美元，此后我们看到了相当大的回调。尽管黑莓股价已在12.50美元附近站稳脚跟——很好地保持在12.13美元上方——但10日移动平均线继续给其带来走低压力。</blockquote></p><p> On a bullish post-earnings reaction, bulls obviously want to see BlackBerry stock reclaim the 10-day moving average and have that measure turn to support. Above that and the $14.75 level will be our first obstacle. That’s last week’s high.</p><p><blockquote>在财报发布后的看涨反应中，多头显然希望看到黑莓股价收复10日移动平均线，并让该指标转向支撑。高于该水平和14.75美元将是我们的第一个障碍。这是上周的高点。</blockquote></p><p> Above that and we’ll be looking at the $16.50 to $17 area, with the 61.8% retracement of the current range up at $17.17. If shares clear that mark, $20 is technically back in play.</p><p><blockquote>在此之上，我们将关注16.50美元至17美元区域，当前区间的61.8%回撤位为17.17美元。如果股价突破该关口，从技术上讲，20美元将重新发挥作用。</blockquote></p><p> On the downside, a move lower will thrust the $12.13 to $12.50 area into play. A break of this support zone puts the 10-week moving average on the table, followed by the 50-day moving average and $9.33 mark.</p><p><blockquote>不利的一面是，走低将推动12.13美元至12.50美元区域发挥作用。突破该支撑区将出现10周移动平均线，其次是50日移动平均线和9.33美元关口。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/blackberry-bb-stock-earnings-preview-trading-062321\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/investing/blackberry-bb-stock-earnings-preview-trading-062321","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145289647","content_text":"BlackBerry has come off its highs but is holding up over prior resistance. Here's how to trade the stock from here with earnings on deck.\nBlackBerry may not be the top meme stock on Wall Street, but it’s a favorite among the WallStreetBets group.\nWith its low stock price and volatile trading range, BlackBerry has some fanfare with the short-squeeze crowd.\nIt may not have had a run like GameStop or be leading the way this timearound like AMC Entertainment, but that doesn’t mean it’s one to sleep on.\nOf course, earnings are likely to be a catalyst for whether BlackBerry stock goes on another surge or continues to dip. BlackBerry will report earnings on Thursday after the close of trading.\nThe problem? The last four times BlackBerry has reported earnings hasn’t resulted in a bullish reaction. Maybe this time around it sets up the stock for a nice upside surprise.\nIf everyone is betting on or thinking a post-earnings dip is coming, perhaps BlackBerry will do the opposite. The recent pullback makes a rally easier too.\nHowever, that doesn’t mean BlackBerry will rally. Let’s look at the chart.\nTrading BlackBerry\nDaily chart of BlackBerry stock.\nNear the end of May, BlackBerry went on a surge, rallying right to resistance at $12.13.\nAt the time, the meme stock trade was just picking up momentum again after taking a few months off. Further, many stocks were also coming off the lows following a brutal bear market in growth stocks.\nWith the rally, BlackBerry was looking good, even though it was initially rejected from the key $12.13 area.\nAfter that, I wrote:\n“On the upside, let's see if the stock can break out over $12.13. In that scenario, perhaps the $14 to $15 zone would be in play. Above that and who knows, perhaps we could see a further squeeze into the $17 to $20 area.”\nThe stock topped at $20.17 and we’ve since seen a pretty large pullback. While BlackBerry stock has found its footing near $12.50 — nicely holding up above the $12.13 level — the 10-day moving average has continued to pressure it lower.\nOn a bullish post-earnings reaction, bulls obviously want to see BlackBerry stock reclaim the 10-day moving average and have that measure turn to support. Above that and the $14.75 level will be our first obstacle. That’s last week’s high.\nAbove that and we’ll be looking at the $16.50 to $17 area, with the 61.8% retracement of the current range up at $17.17. If shares clear that mark, $20 is technically back in play.\nOn the downside, a move lower will thrust the $12.13 to $12.50 area into play. A break of this support zone puts the 10-week moving average on the table, followed by the 50-day moving average and $9.33 mark.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166589586,"gmtCreate":1624017642545,"gmtModify":1634024075181,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/166589586","repostId":"2144757377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161938867,"gmtCreate":1623899761959,"gmtModify":1634026138292,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161938867","repostId":"1152604932","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":362108874,"gmtCreate":1614603949698,"gmtModify":1703478723894,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INND\">$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$</a>🚀🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INND\">$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$</a>🚀🚀","text":"$Innerscope Hearing Technologies, Inc.(INND)$🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362108874","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":629,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177228258,"gmtCreate":1627226227374,"gmtModify":1631889006955,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"like","listText":"like","text":"like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177228258","repostId":"2153878189","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2521,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":176396830,"gmtCreate":1626859574120,"gmtModify":1631889006963,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/176396830","repostId":"1185755047","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1185755047","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626858312,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185755047?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-21 17:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio Supplier Say If Chinese Automakers Want To Overtake Tesla, LiDAR Is Key<blockquote>蔚来供应商称中国汽车制造商若想超越特斯拉，激光雷达是关键</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185755047","media":"Benzinga","summary":"NIO Inc. LiDAR supplier Innovusion believes radar-based technology is the key for Chinese car compan","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b>&nbsp;LiDAR supplier Innovusion believes radar-based technology is the key for Chinese car companies to overtake bigger rival and electric vehicle segment disruptor&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b>, according to a cnEVpostreport.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a></b>激光雷达供应商Innovusion认为，基于雷达的技术是中国车企超越更大竞争对手和电动汽车领域颠覆者的关键<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>，根据cnEVpostreport。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Bao Junwei, CEO of Innovusion, said LiDAR technology could provide rival automakers key leverage as Tesla focuses on the vision-based technology instead.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Innovusion首席执行官鲍俊伟表示，激光雷达技术可以为竞争对手汽车制造商提供关键杠杆，因为特斯拉专注于基于视觉的技术。</blockquote></p><p> As per Bao, other companies can't match Tesla in vision algorithm and chips at this pount of time but the Musk company doesn't have the advantage gained by an early layout in LiDAR.</p><p><blockquote>鲍表示，目前其他公司在视觉算法和芯片方面无法与特斯拉匹敌，但马斯克的公司并不具备早期布局激光雷达所获得的优势。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has recently switched to strictly cameras and stopped using radar sensors.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉最近改用严格的摄像头，并停止使用雷达传感器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;The Palo Alto, California-based company’s CEO Elon Musk believes that light or camera-based vision is more accurate than radar as the radar introduces more noise than helpful data in a sensor fusion system.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州帕洛阿尔托的公司首席执行官埃隆·马斯克认为，基于光或摄像头的视觉比雷达更准确，因为雷达在传感器融合系统中引入的噪声比有用数据更多。</blockquote></p><p> Nio’s premium electric sedan ET7, which is expected to begin deliveries in the first quarter of 2022,is equipped withInnovusion’s LiDAR technology.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的高端电动轿车ET7预计将于2022年第一季度开始交付，配备了Innovusion的激光雷达技术。</blockquote></p><p> Innovision claims its LiDAR has a half a kilometer range and a distance precision of fewer than three centimeters. The company had in June said the LiDAR technology works on the L3 and L4 autonomous driving and complements the L2 autonomous driving as well.</p><p><blockquote>Innovision声称其激光雷达的射程为半公里，距离精度不到三厘米。该公司在6月份表示，激光雷达技术适用于L3和L4自动驾驶，也是L2自动驾驶的补充。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Nio shares closed 1.89% higher at $44.17 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>蔚来股价周二收盘上涨1.89%，至44.17美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio Supplier Say If Chinese Automakers Want To Overtake Tesla, LiDAR Is Key<blockquote>蔚来供应商称中国汽车制造商若想超越特斯拉，激光雷达是关键</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio Supplier Say If Chinese Automakers Want To Overtake Tesla, LiDAR Is Key<blockquote>蔚来供应商称中国汽车制造商若想超越特斯拉，激光雷达是关键</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-21 17:05</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">NIO Inc.</a></b>&nbsp;LiDAR supplier Innovusion believes radar-based technology is the key for Chinese car companies to overtake bigger rival and electric vehicle segment disruptor&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b>, according to a cnEVpostreport.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a></b>激光雷达供应商Innovusion认为，基于雷达的技术是中国车企超越更大竞争对手和电动汽车领域颠覆者的关键<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a></b>，根据cnEVpostreport。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened:</b>&nbsp;Bao Junwei, CEO of Innovusion, said LiDAR technology could provide rival automakers key leverage as Tesla focuses on the vision-based technology instead.</p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么：</b>Innovusion首席执行官鲍俊伟表示，激光雷达技术可以为竞争对手汽车制造商提供关键杠杆，因为特斯拉专注于基于视觉的技术。</blockquote></p><p> As per Bao, other companies can't match Tesla in vision algorithm and chips at this pount of time but the Musk company doesn't have the advantage gained by an early layout in LiDAR.</p><p><blockquote>鲍表示，目前其他公司在视觉算法和芯片方面无法与特斯拉匹敌，但马斯克的公司并不具备早期布局激光雷达所获得的优势。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla has recently switched to strictly cameras and stopped using radar sensors.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉最近改用严格的摄像头，并停止使用雷达传感器。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why It Matters:</b>&nbsp;The Palo Alto, California-based company’s CEO Elon Musk believes that light or camera-based vision is more accurate than radar as the radar introduces more noise than helpful data in a sensor fusion system.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么重要：</b>这家总部位于加利福尼亚州帕洛阿尔托的公司首席执行官埃隆·马斯克认为，基于光或摄像头的视觉比雷达更准确，因为雷达在传感器融合系统中引入的噪声比有用数据更多。</blockquote></p><p> Nio’s premium electric sedan ET7, which is expected to begin deliveries in the first quarter of 2022,is equipped withInnovusion’s LiDAR technology.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来的高端电动轿车ET7预计将于2022年第一季度开始交付，配备了Innovusion的激光雷达技术。</blockquote></p><p> Innovision claims its LiDAR has a half a kilometer range and a distance precision of fewer than three centimeters. The company had in June said the LiDAR technology works on the L3 and L4 autonomous driving and complements the L2 autonomous driving as well.</p><p><blockquote>Innovision声称其激光雷达的射程为半公里，距离精度不到三厘米。该公司在6月份表示，激光雷达技术适用于L3和L4自动驾驶，也是L2自动驾驶的补充。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>&nbsp;Nio shares closed 1.89% higher at $44.17 on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>蔚来股价周二收盘上涨1.89%，至44.17美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185755047","content_text":"NIO Inc. LiDAR supplier Innovusion believes radar-based technology is the key for Chinese car companies to overtake bigger rival and electric vehicle segment disruptor Tesla Motors, according to a cnEVpostreport.\nWhat Happened: Bao Junwei, CEO of Innovusion, said LiDAR technology could provide rival automakers key leverage as Tesla focuses on the vision-based technology instead.\nAs per Bao, other companies can't match Tesla in vision algorithm and chips at this pount of time but the Musk company doesn't have the advantage gained by an early layout in LiDAR.\nTesla has recently switched to strictly cameras and stopped using radar sensors.\nWhy It Matters: The Palo Alto, California-based company’s CEO Elon Musk believes that light or camera-based vision is more accurate than radar as the radar introduces more noise than helpful data in a sensor fusion system.\nNio’s premium electric sedan ET7, which is expected to begin deliveries in the first quarter of 2022,is equipped withInnovusion’s LiDAR technology.\nInnovision claims its LiDAR has a half a kilometer range and a distance precision of fewer than three centimeters. The company had in June said the LiDAR technology works on the L3 and L4 autonomous driving and complements the L2 autonomous driving as well.\nPrice Action: Nio shares closed 1.89% higher at $44.17 on Tuesday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":320697498,"gmtCreate":1615089414314,"gmtModify":1703484645297,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>~~~🚀","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>~~~🚀","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$~~~🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320697498","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158357446,"gmtCreate":1625131703885,"gmtModify":1631889006970,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smile]&nbsp;","text":"[Smile]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158357446","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106223449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":359386402,"gmtCreate":1616344304506,"gmtModify":1634526283954,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359386402","repostId":"1126157111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":366187614,"gmtCreate":1614411537738,"gmtModify":1703477403601,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTEH\">$GenTech Holdings Inc. (GTEH)$</a>[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GTEH\">$GenTech Holdings Inc. (GTEH)$</a>[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"$GenTech Holdings Inc. (GTEH)$[微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑] [微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366187614","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1164,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":801396240,"gmtCreate":1627481926280,"gmtModify":1631889006951,"author":{"id":"3562023366191758","authorId":"3562023366191758","name":"valerie","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/684f10cddc1d49552416b0d47347efd7","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562023366191758","idStr":"3562023366191758"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏻👍🏻","listText":"👍🏻👍🏻","text":"👍🏻👍🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801396240","repostId":"1154854343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154854343","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627481786,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154854343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-28 22:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热点中概股持续反弹</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154854343","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com, Pinduodu","content":"<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com,&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi&nbsp;Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 3% and 13%.</p><p><blockquote>周三早盘热门中概股继续反弹，阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多、百度、滴滴全球、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车涨幅在3%至13%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8198eadc3c17e2d3fa3226a5348e1bef\" tg-width=\"359\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热点中概股持续反弹</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound<blockquote>热点中概股持续反弹</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-28 22:16</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound&nbsp;in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com,&nbsp;Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi&nbsp;Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto&nbsp;climbed between 3% and 13%.</p><p><blockquote>周三早盘热门中概股继续反弹，阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多、百度、滴滴全球、蔚来、小鹏汽车和理想汽车涨幅在3%至13%之间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8198eadc3c17e2d3fa3226a5348e1bef\" tg-width=\"359\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BIDU":"百度","NTES":"网易","LI":"理想汽车","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","BABA":"阿里巴巴","NIO":"蔚来","PDD":"拼多多","JD":"京东"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154854343","content_text":"Hot Chinese concept stocks continue to rebound in Wednesday morning trading.Alibaba,JD.com, Pinduoduo,Baidu,DiDi Global,Nio,Xpeng Motors and Li Auto climbed between 3% and 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