微醉的山的个人主页 - 老虎社区

微醉的山

微醉的山

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2021-03-26

$知乎(ZH)$期待吃大肉

2021-08-15

$老虎证券(TIGR)$老虎生日快乐😊

2021-02-25

$小米集团-W(01810)$港股牛市结束啦？

2021-02-24

$小米集团-W(01810)$小米造车的势头这就停了么

2021-02-22

$小米集团-W(01810)$还是送的盈利比例吓人

2021-02-23

B站跌破上涨趋势线，短期回调的风险急剧增加

2021-02-26

$网易(NTES)$这是要与时间做朋友的节奏了[开心]

2021-03-01

$小米集团-W(01810)$嘿嘿

2021-02-20

小米车概念成为股价新一波上涨的启动器

2021-03-26

第一次中美股，期待吃大肉

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在这一天，将有新一批个股被纳入港股通，而复盘历史行情，纳入港股通=股价暴涨时！ 根据光大证券的统计，预计将有29支个股将迎来良机： 由于个股标的较多，纳入港股通也并非灵丹妙药、每支个股都能实现腾飞，因此，优中选优才更具投资价值。 根据以往纳入港股通的表现，我的关注重点在于次新股（上市一年内新股），主要原因是港交所每半年会调整一次港股通名单，上市超过一年的旧股，如果是当下时点纳入，必然市值规模过小，小即意味着缺陷，关注的意义不大。 因此，本文将复盘最近2次港股通调整后次新股表现，总结出几点规律，以便能抓住本轮调整带来的投资良机。 一、纳入港股通=股价暴涨？ 先来解释下为什么个股被纳入港股通=股价暴涨之时。 港股通指的是通过A股账户来买入香港上市的股票，不受5万美元的外汇金额限制！ 对于大部分投资者来说，虽然当下开通港股账户并不困难，但受到每人5万美元外汇额度的限制，很多大资金出入并不方便。 港股通则很好的解决了这个问题，部分机构投资者也会通过此方式大举买入，因此，纳入港股通首日，股价往往会发生暴动，如去年9月7日纳入的次新股九毛九、海吉亚医疗、建业新生活等个股在当日皆出现股价异动： 除了首日暴动，部分优秀个股更是从纳入港股通之后开启暴涨之路，如九毛九从纳入至今涨幅达到115%、移卡99%、永升生活服务42%！ 除了暴涨的股，也有些次新股出现明显下跌，如建业新生活大跌24%、康基医疗下跌45.7%，因此，纳入港股通首日，尤其是开盘前1小时，股价出现暴动概率较高，但港股通并非灵丹妙药，质地不够硬的股只能短暂续命。 那，哪些个股的胜率更高呢？复盘历史，我发现有几个特征。 二、市值200亿和优秀质地 价格是最有效的筛选器，市值越大，往往意味着是行业龙头，在估值上，即使身处同一行业，但规模小就等于估值低，比如物业股，龙头物业碧桂园服务可以拿到","listText":"2021年3月8日，有一批股票将发生暴动！ 在这一天，将有新一批个股被纳入港股通，而复盘历史行情，纳入港股通=股价暴涨时！ 根据光大证券的统计，预计将有29支个股将迎来良机： 由于个股标的较多，纳入港股通也并非灵丹妙药、每支个股都能实现腾飞，因此，优中选优才更具投资价值。 根据以往纳入港股通的表现，我的关注重点在于次新股（上市一年内新股），主要原因是港交所每半年会调整一次港股通名单，上市超过一年的旧股，如果是当下时点纳入，必然市值规模过小，小即意味着缺陷，关注的意义不大。 因此，本文将复盘最近2次港股通调整后次新股表现，总结出几点规律，以便能抓住本轮调整带来的投资良机。 一、纳入港股通=股价暴涨？ 先来解释下为什么个股被纳入港股通=股价暴涨之时。 港股通指的是通过A股账户来买入香港上市的股票，不受5万美元的外汇金额限制！ 对于大部分投资者来说，虽然当下开通港股账户并不困难，但受到每人5万美元外汇额度的限制，很多大资金出入并不方便。 港股通则很好的解决了这个问题，部分机构投资者也会通过此方式大举买入，因此，纳入港股通首日，股价往往会发生暴动，如去年9月7日纳入的次新股九毛九、海吉亚医疗、建业新生活等个股在当日皆出现股价异动： 除了首日暴动，部分优秀个股更是从纳入港股通之后开启暴涨之路，如九毛九从纳入至今涨幅达到115%、移卡99%、永升生活服务42%！ 除了暴涨的股，也有些次新股出现明显下跌，如建业新生活大跌24%、康基医疗下跌45.7%，因此，纳入港股通首日，尤其是开盘前1小时，股价出现暴动概率较高，但港股通并非灵丹妙药，质地不够硬的股只能短暂续命。 那，哪些个股的胜率更高呢？复盘历史，我发现有几个特征。 二、市值200亿和优秀质地 价格是最有效的筛选器，市值越大，往往意味着是行业龙头，在估值上，即使身处同一行业，但规模小就等于估值低，比如物业股，龙头物业碧桂园服务可以拿到","text":"2021年3月8日，有一批股票将发生暴动！ 在这一天，将有新一批个股被纳入港股通，而复盘历史行情，纳入港股通=股价暴涨时！ 根据光大证券的统计，预计将有29支个股将迎来良机： 由于个股标的较多，纳入港股通也并非灵丹妙药、每支个股都能实现腾飞，因此，优中选优才更具投资价值。 根据以往纳入港股通的表现，我的关注重点在于次新股（上市一年内新股），主要原因是港交所每半年会调整一次港股通名单，上市超过一年的旧股，如果是当下时点纳入，必然市值规模过小，小即意味着缺陷，关注的意义不大。 因此，本文将复盘最近2次港股通调整后次新股表现，总结出几点规律，以便能抓住本轮调整带来的投资良机。 一、纳入港股通=股价暴涨？ 先来解释下为什么个股被纳入港股通=股价暴涨之时。 港股通指的是通过A股账户来买入香港上市的股票，不受5万美元的外汇金额限制！ 对于大部分投资者来说，虽然当下开通港股账户并不困难，但受到每人5万美元外汇额度的限制，很多大资金出入并不方便。 港股通则很好的解决了这个问题，部分机构投资者也会通过此方式大举买入，因此，纳入港股通首日，股价往往会发生暴动，如去年9月7日纳入的次新股九毛九、海吉亚医疗、建业新生活等个股在当日皆出现股价异动： 除了首日暴动，部分优秀个股更是从纳入港股通之后开启暴涨之路，如九毛九从纳入至今涨幅达到115%、移卡99%、永升生活服务42%！ 除了暴涨的股，也有些次新股出现明显下跌，如建业新生活大跌24%、康基医疗下跌45.7%，因此，纳入港股通首日，尤其是开盘前1小时，股价出现暴动概率较高，但港股通并非灵丹妙药，质地不够硬的股只能短暂续命。 那，哪些个股的胜率更高呢？复盘历史，我发现有几个特征。 二、市值200亿和优秀质地 价格是最有效的筛选器，市值越大，往往意味着是行业龙头，在估值上，即使身处同一行业，但规模小就等于估值低，比如物业股，龙头物业碧桂园服务可以拿到","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30f08d93011d84a97810653fadc792f0","width":"1590","height":"900"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/339778f73c9dc9d59f5339be9a741b59","width":"689","height":"438"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d57165eefdee5a2f182e667e02211d2","width":"1079","height":"799"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/387301270","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":6,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361198012,"gmtCreate":1614211851536,"gmtModify":1614211851536,"author":{"id":"3561963751759174","authorId":"3561963751759174","name":"微醉的山","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46fc74940d8cf58c17dfbb4332cc36a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561963751759174","idStr":"3561963751759174"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这个找时间读读","listText":"这个找时间读读","text":"这个找时间读读","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361198012","repostId":"382336034","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":382336034,"gmtCreate":1613360714728,"gmtModify":1712888672444,"author":{"id":"740450932848","authorId":"740450932848","name":"33_Tiger","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa2c2a58a713dadbb19ede7c4c37d61d","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"740450932848","idStr":"740450932848"},"themes":[],"title":"一起来读书，我的假期读物~","htmlText":"虎友们好，今天初四，团圆大餐吃了，情人节也过了，春节假期过半，剩下的时间我们一起来看书吸氧吧~[开心]&nbsp;我先说说我这个春假在看的两本书，一本是《伦敦人，大城市的日与夜》，这本书与投资无关，作者通过观察采访85位生活在伦敦的人反映出大城市的众生相，他们从事不同职业，有水管工，环卫工、出租车司机、护士、地产中介、厨师、蹬三轮车的、流浪汉、艺术家、性瘾者等等，就像一部纪实片，每一位在大城市努力生活过的人，都会面对迷茫、挣扎、奋斗。另一本是《征服市场的人：西蒙斯传》，有点费脑，但强力推荐！讲述全球最负盛名的量化基金-文艺复兴基金以及其掌门人西蒙斯的创业和成长故事。投资是条条道路通罗马，每个人可以选择适合自己的那条路，如果说巴菲特是价值投资的标杆，那么西蒙斯就是量化鼻祖。有关于西蒙斯的标签包括：数学天才、密码专家、对冲基金大佬等等，24岁就获得数据博士，25岁就出人哈佛教授，26岁就为美国军方破译密码 ... 文艺复兴科技基金是他一手创办，将复杂的数学模型和算法分融入于投资。这本书算是对文艺复兴和西蒙斯的一次深度揭秘，也让我们更直观地了解量化投资：如何使用复杂的数学模型代替人为的主观判断，从而达到超额回报。大数据时代，量化基金的发展非常快，全球总管理规模超过2万亿美元，让投资者不得不更深入去了解，所以推荐大家都看看~附：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2110298730\" target=\"_blank\">文艺复兴基金Q4持仓公布</a>说完我正在看的书，也给新老朋友推荐一些我认为投资必读或值得复读的书，供大家假期选择~先是经典三章，任何投资者都必读的投资宝典，也值得大家假期再次回味：1）聪明的投资者；2）穷查理宝典；3）投资中最重要的事再来技术面的圣经：4）笑傲股市，5）专业投机原理不要被土鳖的中文名给迷惑了，这两本堪称经典，而且我看过不止1","listText":"虎友们好，今天初四，团圆大餐吃了，情人节也过了，春节假期过半，剩下的时间我们一起来看书吸氧吧~[开心]&nbsp;我先说说我这个春假在看的两本书，一本是《伦敦人，大城市的日与夜》，这本书与投资无关，作者通过观察采访85位生活在伦敦的人反映出大城市的众生相，他们从事不同职业，有水管工，环卫工、出租车司机、护士、地产中介、厨师、蹬三轮车的、流浪汉、艺术家、性瘾者等等，就像一部纪实片，每一位在大城市努力生活过的人，都会面对迷茫、挣扎、奋斗。另一本是《征服市场的人：西蒙斯传》，有点费脑，但强力推荐！讲述全球最负盛名的量化基金-文艺复兴基金以及其掌门人西蒙斯的创业和成长故事。投资是条条道路通罗马，每个人可以选择适合自己的那条路，如果说巴菲特是价值投资的标杆，那么西蒙斯就是量化鼻祖。有关于西蒙斯的标签包括：数学天才、密码专家、对冲基金大佬等等，24岁就获得数据博士，25岁就出人哈佛教授，26岁就为美国军方破译密码 ... 文艺复兴科技基金是他一手创办，将复杂的数学模型和算法分融入于投资。这本书算是对文艺复兴和西蒙斯的一次深度揭秘，也让我们更直观地了解量化投资：如何使用复杂的数学模型代替人为的主观判断，从而达到超额回报。大数据时代，量化基金的发展非常快，全球总管理规模超过2万亿美元，让投资者不得不更深入去了解，所以推荐大家都看看~附：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2110298730\" target=\"_blank\">文艺复兴基金Q4持仓公布</a>说完我正在看的书，也给新老朋友推荐一些我认为投资必读或值得复读的书，供大家假期选择~先是经典三章，任何投资者都必读的投资宝典，也值得大家假期再次回味：1）聪明的投资者；2）穷查理宝典；3）投资中最重要的事再来技术面的圣经：4）笑傲股市，5）专业投机原理不要被土鳖的中文名给迷惑了，这两本堪称经典，而且我看过不止1","text":"虎友们好，今天初四，团圆大餐吃了，情人节也过了，春节假期过半，剩下的时间我们一起来看书吸氧吧~[开心] 我先说说我这个春假在看的两本书，一本是《伦敦人，大城市的日与夜》，这本书与投资无关，作者通过观察采访85位生活在伦敦的人反映出大城市的众生相，他们从事不同职业，有水管工，环卫工、出租车司机、护士、地产中介、厨师、蹬三轮车的、流浪汉、艺术家、性瘾者等等，就像一部纪实片，每一位在大城市努力生活过的人，都会面对迷茫、挣扎、奋斗。另一本是《征服市场的人：西蒙斯传》，有点费脑，但强力推荐！讲述全球最负盛名的量化基金-文艺复兴基金以及其掌门人西蒙斯的创业和成长故事。投资是条条道路通罗马，每个人可以选择适合自己的那条路，如果说巴菲特是价值投资的标杆，那么西蒙斯就是量化鼻祖。有关于西蒙斯的标签包括：数学天才、密码专家、对冲基金大佬等等，24岁就获得数据博士，25岁就出人哈佛教授，26岁就为美国军方破译密码 ... 文艺复兴科技基金是他一手创办，将复杂的数学模型和算法分融入于投资。这本书算是对文艺复兴和西蒙斯的一次深度揭秘，也让我们更直观地了解量化投资：如何使用复杂的数学模型代替人为的主观判断，从而达到超额回报。大数据时代，量化基金的发展非常快，全球总管理规模超过2万亿美元，让投资者不得不更深入去了解，所以推荐大家都看看~附：文艺复兴基金Q4持仓公布说完我正在看的书，也给新老朋友推荐一些我认为投资必读或值得复读的书，供大家假期选择~先是经典三章，任何投资者都必读的投资宝典，也值得大家假期再次回味：1）聪明的投资者；2）穷查理宝典；3）投资中最重要的事再来技术面的圣经：4）笑傲股市，5）专业投机原理不要被土鳖的中文名给迷惑了，这两本堪称经典，而且我看过不止1","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f4ae26aee1eb0b52b86529ce8f4280a","width":"493","height":"674"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/032f3d68460ed143b07469da7d38e94c","width":"688","height":"688"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8bc7ef448a06cea76ad946672ccdb69f","width":"688","height":"300"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382336034","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3713,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361191377,"gmtCreate":1614211818799,"gmtModify":1614211818799,"author":{"id":"3561963751759174","authorId":"3561963751759174","name":"微醉的山","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46fc74940d8cf58c17dfbb4332cc36a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561963751759174","idStr":"3561963751759174"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"干活很多","listText":"干活很多","text":"干活很多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361191377","repostId":"382509454","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":382509454,"gmtCreate":1613461068174,"gmtModify":1744960631170,"author":{"id":"36979109942400","authorId":"36979109942400","name":"小虎周报","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/f7b172cf773c77a3f0df67695c126b51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36979109942400","idStr":"36979109942400"},"themes":[],"title":"美港股策略：QE火力全开，带给上半年哪些投资机会?","htmlText":"核心观点 全球央行火力全开，海外市场高歌猛进 农历春节期间，海外市场延续着高歌猛进的表现，除了美联储货币、财政带来的双宽松，欧日央行也在延续QE，因此出现指数级表现不足为奇。一如年初时展望，我们仍然看好Q1美股表现，对应4000点的位置。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 上半年美股有哪些投资主线? 风格方面，一季度财政纾困资金可能外溢到权益市场，加上风险偏好以及温和波动的美债利率，可能加速推动海外成长股配置， 1）基于人民币升值和企业增长的长期主线：我们认为未来1-2年中概股仍将跑赢主流权益资产；<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$</a> 其次未来宽松边际拐点的必然出现，大概率会令内生能力更强的成长股迎来配置潮，我们重点看好具备国际化业务和能力的海外科技。(图4） 2）预计4月份疫苗全面接种，相应的美国通胀进入预警阶段，经济上行带动价值和周期前景提升：比如业绩对通胀比较敏感的银行股（尤其是消费类银行），重点看好<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$美国银行(BAC)$</a> ，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">$花旗(C)$</a> ，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$摩根士丹利(MS)$</a> ； 还有具备抗通胀属性的比特币概念股，重点看好海外支付龙头","listText":"核心观点 全球央行火力全开，海外市场高歌猛进 农历春节期间，海外市场延续着高歌猛进的表现，除了美联储货币、财政带来的双宽松，欧日央行也在延续QE，因此出现指数级表现不足为奇。一如年初时展望，我们仍然看好Q1美股表现，对应4000点的位置。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 上半年美股有哪些投资主线? 风格方面，一季度财政纾困资金可能外溢到权益市场，加上风险偏好以及温和波动的美债利率，可能加速推动海外成长股配置， 1）基于人民币升值和企业增长的长期主线：我们认为未来1-2年中概股仍将跑赢主流权益资产；<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$</a> 其次未来宽松边际拐点的必然出现，大概率会令内生能力更强的成长股迎来配置潮，我们重点看好具备国际化业务和能力的海外科技。(图4） 2）预计4月份疫苗全面接种，相应的美国通胀进入预警阶段，经济上行带动价值和周期前景提升：比如业绩对通胀比较敏感的银行股（尤其是消费类银行），重点看好<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">$美国银行(BAC)$</a> ，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">$花旗(C)$</a> ，<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">$摩根士丹利(MS)$</a> ； 还有具备抗通胀属性的比特币概念股，重点看好海外支付龙头","text":"核心观点 全球央行火力全开，海外市场高歌猛进 农历春节期间，海外市场延续着高歌猛进的表现，除了美联储货币、财政带来的双宽松，欧日央行也在延续QE，因此出现指数级表现不足为奇。一如年初时展望，我们仍然看好Q1美股表现，对应4000点的位置。$标普500(.SPX)$ 上半年美股有哪些投资主线? 风格方面，一季度财政纾困资金可能外溢到权益市场，加上风险偏好以及温和波动的美债利率，可能加速推动海外成长股配置， 1）基于人民币升值和企业增长的长期主线：我们认为未来1-2年中概股仍将跑赢主流权益资产；$KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ 其次未来宽松边际拐点的必然出现，大概率会令内生能力更强的成长股迎来配置潮，我们重点看好具备国际化业务和能力的海外科技。(图4） 2）预计4月份疫苗全面接种，相应的美国通胀进入预警阶段，经济上行带动价值和周期前景提升：比如业绩对通胀比较敏感的银行股（尤其是消费类银行），重点看好$美国银行(BAC)$ ，$花旗(C)$ ，$摩根士丹利(MS)$ ； 还有具备抗通胀属性的比特币概念股，重点看好海外支付龙头","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51ce5c5fca651815c54bb9d12a0ed62b","width":"834","height":"430"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1765144acda0365573baccb9a520dd6","width":"667","height":"854"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97caf096ca1a323e05a06e77d3cbc0e8","width":"644","height":"849"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/382509454","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":12,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":361199677,"gmtCreate":1614211722299,"gmtModify":1614211722299,"author":{"id":"3561963751759174","authorId":"3561963751759174","name":"微醉的山","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46fc74940d8cf58c17dfbb4332cc36a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561963751759174","idStr":"3561963751759174"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>港股牛市结束啦？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>港股牛市结束啦？","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$港股牛市结束啦？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15ff24126b052e2a49e8a99079510979","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361199677","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1409,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363872826,"gmtCreate":1614129594665,"gmtModify":1614129594665,"author":{"id":"3561963751759174","authorId":"3561963751759174","name":"微醉的山","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d46fc74940d8cf58c17dfbb4332cc36a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561963751759174","idStr":"3561963751759174"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>小米造车的势头这就停了么","listText":"<a 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