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mistyzenz

mistyzenz

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2021-03-06

Dip dip

Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>

2021-10-28

do due diligent

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2021-06-01

wow, loaded

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2021-04-28

Up, up and away

Shopify rose more than 4% in premarket trading<blockquote>Shopify盘前交易涨超4%</blockquote>

2021-03-20

It's a real gamble [疑问] no one knows the outcome and cannot evaluate like a stock. Try to get as close to $10 entry price to min risk

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2021-03-02

$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$ why no movement after report

2021-10-27

huat

Microsoft jumped nearly 3% in morning trading and reached an all-time high at 319.65<blockquote>微软早盘上涨近3%，触及319.65点的历史新高</blockquote>

2021-08-13

woop, encouraging. Do due diligent

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2021-05-31

much fluctuations in sr

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2021-04-06

umm... sounds like safe haven... why are they not under regulation in first place...

Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>

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but boring stock... good to hold long","listText":"safe but boring stock... good to hold long","text":"safe but boring stock... good to hold long","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858215980","repostId":"2177489964","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2177489964","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1635042148,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2177489964?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-24 10:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The PC slowdown shouldn't hurt Microsoft earnings, and here's why<blockquote>个人电脑放缓不应损害微软的盈利，原因如下</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2177489964","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Growth from Azure and other cloud products should mask over any disappointment from supply-chain iss","content":"<p>Growth from Azure and other cloud products should mask over any disappointment from supply-chain issues affecting PC sales</p><p><blockquote>Azure和其他云产品的增长应该会掩盖影响PC销售的供应链问题带来的任何失望</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/958e56d50bc03c5ef2195a2a879bec71\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Microsoft Corp. is scheduled to release fiscal first-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>微软定于周二盘后发布第一财季财报。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The slowdown in personal computer sales due to supply-chain issues in recent months would have hurt Microsoft Corp. in past years, but the company's pivot to cloud computing and cloud software should insulate it from any earnings fallout.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，由于供应链问题导致的个人电脑销售放缓在过去几年可能会损害微软公司，但该公司转向云计算和云软件应该会使其免受任何盈利影响。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft&nbsp;is scheduled to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings on Tuesday afternoon, as it rolls out its new Windows 11 operating system and PC makers struggle to deliver new machines. While the Microsoft of Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer would have faced a lot of Wall Street pessimism if PC shipments were mangled and a new operating system was not quickly adopted, Satya Nadella's Microsoft should be just fine.</p><p><blockquote>微软定于周二下午公布第一财季财报，该公司将推出新的Windows 11操作系统，而PC制造商正在努力交付新机器。如果个人电脑出货量受损且新操作系统没有迅速采用，Bill Gates和Steve Ballmer的微软将面临华尔街的大量悲观情绪，但Satya Nadella的微软应该会很好。</blockquote></p><p> That is because analysts and investors are mostly focused on Azure, Microsoft's cloud-computing answer to Amazon.com Inc.'s&nbsp;Amazon Web Services, as well as cloud-software offerings, decreasing the importance of Microsoft's PC business.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为分析师和投资者主要关注Azure（微软对亚马逊公司Amazon Web Services的云计算解决方案）以及云软件产品，从而降低了微软PC业务的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> \"Sustained digital transformation momentum should offset the impact from mixed PC unit shipment estimates from IDC and Gartner,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts wrote in a preview of the report, later adding, \"While our negative growth outlook for Windows OEM pressures our longer term earnings expectation for Microsoft, we also note Windows OEM overall represents a decreasing mix of overall Microsoft revenue and gross profit.\"</p><p><blockquote>“持续的数字化转型势头应该会抵消IDC和Gartner混合PC出货量估计的影响，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师在报告预览中写道，后来补充道：“虽然我们对Windows OEM的负增长前景给我们对微软的长期盈利预期带来了压力，但我们也注意到，Windows OEM总体上代表着微软整体收入和毛利润的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> Azure has made sure that Windows' importance to Microsoft has decreased. The fast-growing cloud business is at the top of every analyst note about Microsoft, and analysts expect revenue to grow in the mid-40% range. (Microsoft does not disclose Azure performance except for percentage gain, despite AWS and Google&nbsp;(GOOGL) Cloud providing full revenue and operating profits for their competitive services).</p><p><blockquote>Azure已经确保Windows对微软的重要性已经下降。快速增长的云业务是每一份有关微软的分析师报告的首要内容，分析师预计收入将增长40%左右。（尽管AWS和谷歌（GOOGL）云为其竞争服务提供了全部收入和营业利润，但微软没有披露Azure的性能，除了百分比增益）。</blockquote></p><p> \"Fundamentally, ramping contribution from previously signed long-term Azure deals, continued Cloud migrations post-COVID, Microsoft's intensifying focus on Cloud verticalization and strong Microsoft 365 seat growth can sustain durable longer-term Azure growth,\" the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师写道：“从根本上说，之前签署的长期Azure协议的贡献不断增加、新冠疫情后持续的云迁移、微软对云垂直化的日益关注以及微软365席位的强劲增长可以维持Azure的长期持久增长。”</blockquote></p><p> There are factors that could add to Microsoft's growth as well, especially in the forecast. The $19.7 billion acquisition of health-care-focused company Nuance is expected to close before the end of the calendar year, and Microsoft recently disclosed that its cloud-based revenue would dump into the same revenue bucket as Azure.</p><p><blockquote>还有一些因素也可能促进微软的增长，尤其是在预测中。对专注于医疗保健的公司Nuance的197亿美元收购预计将在今年年底前完成，微软最近透露，其基于云的收入将与Azure归入同一收入类别。</blockquote></p><p> While Microsoft did not disclose exactly how much that would mean, UBS analysts said in September that prior Nuance disclosures and a call they had with the company's investor relations team led them to estimate that about 46% of Nuance's revenue would be cloud-based. They estimated that would mean roughly $91 million in additional sales for Microsoft's cloud division in the fiscal second quarter, if the full quarter were to be included.</p><p><blockquote>虽然微软没有透露这到底意味着什么，但瑞银分析师在9月份表示，Nuance之前的披露以及他们与该公司投资者关系团队的看涨期权使他们估计Nuance约46%的收入将来自云。他们估计，如果将整个季度包括在内，这意味着微软云部门在第二财季的销售额将增加约9100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Another bump could be coming in the future from increased prices for Microsoft's most popular cloud software offering, Office 365. Microsoft is increasing prices more than 10% across the board for the product, which the company described as \"the first substantive pricing update since we launched Office 365 a decade ago,\" which also gives analysts confidence that Microsoft can withstand any supply-chain pressures on the PC market.</p><p><blockquote>微软最受欢迎的云软件产品Office 365的价格上涨可能会在未来带来另一个上涨。微软将该产品的价格全面提高10%以上，该公司称这是“自十年前推出Office 365以来的首次实质性定价更新”，这也让分析师相信微软能够承受任何供应链压力PC市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts on average expect Microsoft to report earnings of $2.08 a share, up from $1.82 a share a year ago. Contributors to Estimize -- a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others -- predict earnings of $2.22 a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>分析师平均预计微软每股收益为2.08美元，高于一年前的每股1.82美元。Estimize是一个众包平台，收集华尔街分析师以及买方分析师、基金经理、公司高管、学者和其他人的预测，其贡献者预测每股收益为2.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Analysts on average were modeling sales of $43.93 billion, which would be an improvement from $37.15 billion a year ago, after Microsoft forecast revenue of $43.3 billion to $44.2 billion. Estimize contributors expect $44.88 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>分析师平均预测销售额为439.3亿美元，比一年前的371.5亿美元有所改善，此前微软预测营收为433亿美元至442亿美元。Estimize贡献者预计销售额为448.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst expect $16.52 billion in sales from the \"Intelligent Cloud\" segment, after Microsoft guided for $16.4 billion to $16.65 billion; $14.67 billion in sales from the cloud-software-focused \"Productivity and Business Solutions\" segment, after a forecast of $14.5 billion to $14.75 billion; and $12.72 billion from \"More Personal Computing,\" after guidance for sales of $12.4 billion to $12.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计“智能云”部门的销售额为165.2亿美元，此前微软的预期为164亿至166.5亿美元；以云软件为重点的“生产力和业务解决方案”部门的销售额为146.7亿美元，此前预测为145亿至147.5亿美元；127.2亿美元来自“更多个人计算”，此前销售额指引为124亿至128亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Microsoft shares have declined in the session following earnings releases in four of the past five quarters, though the last decline was only by 0.1%. The stock has increased 8.1% in the past three months and 45.2% in the past year, as the S&amp;P 500 index has grown by 4.1% and 31.6% in those periods, respectively.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>过去五个季度中有四个季度发布财报后，微软股价均出现下跌，但上一次跌幅仅为0.1%。该股在过去三个月上涨了8.1%，在过去一年上涨了45.2%，而标普500指数在此期间分别上涨了4.1%和31.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are in pretty universal agreement about Microsoft's current position. According to FactSet tracking, 33 out of 36 analysts rate the stock the equivalent of a buy, while the other three rate it as a hold.</p><p><blockquote>分析师们对微软目前的立场相当一致。根据FactSet的跟踪，36名分析师中有33名分析师将该股评级为买入，而另外3名分析师将其评级为持有。</blockquote></p><p> \"Currently trading at 27x our CY23 GAAP EPS estimates, Microsoft represents a rare combination of strong secular positioning and reasonable valuation within the software space,\" wrote the Morgan Stanley analysts, who rate the shares overweight with a price target of $331.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师写道：“微软目前的交易价格是我们23年GAAP每股收益预期的27倍，代表了软件领域强劲的长期定位和合理估值的罕见组合。”摩根士丹利分析师对跑赢大盘股票的评级为331美元。</blockquote></p><p> The once concern seems to be the durability of the current growth trajectory, which is why the Nuance acquisition and increased pricing of Office 365 is seen as key to the stock continuing to rise.</p><p><blockquote>曾经的担忧似乎是当前增长轨迹的持久性，这就是为什么收购Nuance和提高Office 365的定价被视为该股继续上涨的关键。</blockquote></p><p> \"Comps get progressively tougher throughout FY22, which should be met by Microsoft's durable growth portfolio of Azure/Security/Teams,\" wrote Jeffries analysts, who have an outperform rating and recently raised their price target to $375 from $345. \"Key items to watch are elevated expectations (Azure high 40s reported), integration with Nuance and increased security investments.\"</p><p><blockquote>Jeffries分析师写道：“整个22财年，竞争将逐渐变得更加严峻，微软Azure/Security/Teams的持久增长投资组合应该可以满足这一需求。”他们给予跑赢大盘评级，最近将目标价从345美元上调至375美元。“值得关注的关键项目是期望提高（据报道Azure High 40）、与Nuance的集成以及安全投资的增加。”</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft has benefitted from the pandemic, as companies have relied on cloud-computing power and software to keep teams connected while working remotely. But Microsoft bull and Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives does not see a return to the office as a sign that the boom will end.</p><p><blockquote>微软从疫情中受益，因为公司依靠云计算能力和软件在远程工作时保持团队联系。但微软牛市和Wedbush分析师Daniel Ives并不认为重返办公室是繁荣将结束的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe the Street's view of moderating cloud growth on the other side of this WFH cycle is contrary to the deal activity Microsoft is seeing in the field,\" Ives, with an outperform rating and $375 price target, wrote in a preview of the report. \"While we have seen the momentum of this backdrop in the last few years, we believe deal flow looks incrementally strong (Office 365/Azure combo deals in particular) heading into FY22 as we estimate that Microsoft is still only 35% through penetrating its unparalleled installed base on the cloud transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ives在报告预览中写道：“我们认为，华尔街对在家办公周期另一端云增长放缓的看法与微软在该领域看到的交易活动相反。”Ives给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为375美元。“虽然我们在过去几年中看到了这种背景的势头，但我们相信，进入2022财年，交易流看起来将逐渐强劲（尤其是Office 365/Azure组合交易），因为我们估计微软在渗透其无与伦比的基础上仍仅占35%云过渡的安装基础。”</blockquote></p><p> Stifel analysts, with a buy rating and $325 price target, concurred.</p><p><blockquote>Stifel分析师对此表示赞同，给予买入评级和325美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to believe that the pandemic is forcing organizations to accelerate the pace of their cloud migrations and that Microsoft remains a key beneficiary of this modernization spend, especially around large new deal momentum, as its broad stack enables it to capture Tier 1 workloads previously out of reach,\" they wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“我们仍然认为，疫情正在迫使组织加快云迁移的步伐，微软仍然是这种现代化支出的主要受益者，特别是在巨大的新政势头下，因为其广泛的堆栈使其能够捕获以前无法实现的一级工作负载，”他们写道。</blockquote></p><p> The average price target on Microsoft stock as of Friday afternoon was $335.47, roughly 8.5% higher than the going rate.</p><p><blockquote>截至周五下午，微软股票的平均目标价为335.47美元，比现行汇率高出约8.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe PC slowdown shouldn't hurt Microsoft earnings, and here's why<blockquote>个人电脑放缓不应损害微软的盈利，原因如下</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-24 10:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Growth from Azure and other cloud products should mask over any disappointment from supply-chain issues affecting PC sales</p><p><blockquote>Azure和其他云产品的增长应该会掩盖影响PC销售的供应链问题带来的任何失望</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/958e56d50bc03c5ef2195a2a879bec71\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Microsoft Corp. is scheduled to release fiscal first-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>微软定于周二盘后发布第一财季财报。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The slowdown in personal computer sales due to supply-chain issues in recent months would have hurt Microsoft Corp. in past years, but the company's pivot to cloud computing and cloud software should insulate it from any earnings fallout.</p><p><blockquote>近几个月来，由于供应链问题导致的个人电脑销售放缓在过去几年可能会损害微软公司，但该公司转向云计算和云软件应该会使其免受任何盈利影响。</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft&nbsp;is scheduled to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings on Tuesday afternoon, as it rolls out its new Windows 11 operating system and PC makers struggle to deliver new machines. While the Microsoft of Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer would have faced a lot of Wall Street pessimism if PC shipments were mangled and a new operating system was not quickly adopted, Satya Nadella's Microsoft should be just fine.</p><p><blockquote>微软定于周二下午公布第一财季财报，该公司将推出新的Windows 11操作系统，而PC制造商正在努力交付新机器。如果个人电脑出货量受损且新操作系统没有迅速采用，Bill Gates和Steve Ballmer的微软将面临华尔街的大量悲观情绪，但Satya Nadella的微软应该会很好。</blockquote></p><p> That is because analysts and investors are mostly focused on Azure, Microsoft's cloud-computing answer to Amazon.com Inc.'s&nbsp;Amazon Web Services, as well as cloud-software offerings, decreasing the importance of Microsoft's PC business.</p><p><blockquote>这是因为分析师和投资者主要关注Azure（微软对亚马逊公司Amazon Web Services的云计算解决方案）以及云软件产品，从而降低了微软PC业务的重要性。</blockquote></p><p> \"Sustained digital transformation momentum should offset the impact from mixed PC unit shipment estimates from IDC and Gartner,\" <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts wrote in a preview of the report, later adding, \"While our negative growth outlook for Windows OEM pressures our longer term earnings expectation for Microsoft, we also note Windows OEM overall represents a decreasing mix of overall Microsoft revenue and gross profit.\"</p><p><blockquote>“持续的数字化转型势头应该会抵消IDC和Gartner混合PC出货量估计的影响，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师在报告预览中写道，后来补充道：“虽然我们对Windows OEM的负增长前景给我们对微软的长期盈利预期带来了压力，但我们也注意到，Windows OEM总体上代表着微软整体收入和毛利润的下降。”</blockquote></p><p> Azure has made sure that Windows' importance to Microsoft has decreased. The fast-growing cloud business is at the top of every analyst note about Microsoft, and analysts expect revenue to grow in the mid-40% range. (Microsoft does not disclose Azure performance except for percentage gain, despite AWS and Google&nbsp;(GOOGL) Cloud providing full revenue and operating profits for their competitive services).</p><p><blockquote>Azure已经确保Windows对微软的重要性已经下降。快速增长的云业务是每一份有关微软的分析师报告的首要内容，分析师预计收入将增长40%左右。（尽管AWS和谷歌（GOOGL）云为其竞争服务提供了全部收入和营业利润，但微软没有披露Azure的性能，除了百分比增益）。</blockquote></p><p> \"Fundamentally, ramping contribution from previously signed long-term Azure deals, continued Cloud migrations post-COVID, Microsoft's intensifying focus on Cloud verticalization and strong Microsoft 365 seat growth can sustain durable longer-term Azure growth,\" the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师写道：“从根本上说，之前签署的长期Azure协议的贡献不断增加、新冠疫情后持续的云迁移、微软对云垂直化的日益关注以及微软365席位的强劲增长可以维持Azure的长期持久增长。”</blockquote></p><p> There are factors that could add to Microsoft's growth as well, especially in the forecast. The $19.7 billion acquisition of health-care-focused company Nuance is expected to close before the end of the calendar year, and Microsoft recently disclosed that its cloud-based revenue would dump into the same revenue bucket as Azure.</p><p><blockquote>还有一些因素也可能促进微软的增长，尤其是在预测中。对专注于医疗保健的公司Nuance的197亿美元收购预计将在今年年底前完成，微软最近透露，其基于云的收入将与Azure归入同一收入类别。</blockquote></p><p> While Microsoft did not disclose exactly how much that would mean, UBS analysts said in September that prior Nuance disclosures and a call they had with the company's investor relations team led them to estimate that about 46% of Nuance's revenue would be cloud-based. They estimated that would mean roughly $91 million in additional sales for Microsoft's cloud division in the fiscal second quarter, if the full quarter were to be included.</p><p><blockquote>虽然微软没有透露这到底意味着什么，但瑞银分析师在9月份表示，Nuance之前的披露以及他们与该公司投资者关系团队的看涨期权使他们估计Nuance约46%的收入将来自云。他们估计，如果将整个季度包括在内，这意味着微软云部门在第二财季的销售额将增加约9100万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Another bump could be coming in the future from increased prices for Microsoft's most popular cloud software offering, Office 365. Microsoft is increasing prices more than 10% across the board for the product, which the company described as \"the first substantive pricing update since we launched Office 365 a decade ago,\" which also gives analysts confidence that Microsoft can withstand any supply-chain pressures on the PC market.</p><p><blockquote>微软最受欢迎的云软件产品Office 365的价格上涨可能会在未来带来另一个上涨。微软将该产品的价格全面提高10%以上，该公司称这是“自十年前推出Office 365以来的首次实质性定价更新”，这也让分析师相信微软能够承受任何供应链压力PC市场。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts on average expect Microsoft to report earnings of $2.08 a share, up from $1.82 a share a year ago. Contributors to Estimize -- a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others -- predict earnings of $2.22 a share.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>分析师平均预计微软每股收益为2.08美元，高于一年前的每股1.82美元。Estimize是一个众包平台，收集华尔街分析师以及买方分析师、基金经理、公司高管、学者和其他人的预测，其贡献者预测每股收益为2.22美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue:</b> Analysts on average were modeling sales of $43.93 billion, which would be an improvement from $37.15 billion a year ago, after Microsoft forecast revenue of $43.3 billion to $44.2 billion. Estimize contributors expect $44.88 billion in sales.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>分析师平均预测销售额为439.3亿美元，比一年前的371.5亿美元有所改善，此前微软预测营收为433亿美元至442亿美元。Estimize贡献者预计销售额为448.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Analyst expect $16.52 billion in sales from the \"Intelligent Cloud\" segment, after Microsoft guided for $16.4 billion to $16.65 billion; $14.67 billion in sales from the cloud-software-focused \"Productivity and Business Solutions\" segment, after a forecast of $14.5 billion to $14.75 billion; and $12.72 billion from \"More Personal Computing,\" after guidance for sales of $12.4 billion to $12.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>分析师预计“智能云”部门的销售额为165.2亿美元，此前微软的预期为164亿至166.5亿美元；以云软件为重点的“生产力和业务解决方案”部门的销售额为146.7亿美元，此前预测为145亿至147.5亿美元；127.2亿美元来自“更多个人计算”，此前销售额指引为124亿至128亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Microsoft shares have declined in the session following earnings releases in four of the past five quarters, though the last decline was only by 0.1%. The stock has increased 8.1% in the past three months and 45.2% in the past year, as the S&amp;P 500 index has grown by 4.1% and 31.6% in those periods, respectively.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>过去五个季度中有四个季度发布财报后，微软股价均出现下跌，但上一次跌幅仅为0.1%。该股在过去三个月上涨了8.1%，在过去一年上涨了45.2%，而标普500指数在此期间分别上涨了4.1%和31.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What analysts are saying</b></p><p><blockquote><b>分析师怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Analysts are in pretty universal agreement about Microsoft's current position. According to FactSet tracking, 33 out of 36 analysts rate the stock the equivalent of a buy, while the other three rate it as a hold.</p><p><blockquote>分析师们对微软目前的立场相当一致。根据FactSet的跟踪，36名分析师中有33名分析师将该股评级为买入，而另外3名分析师将其评级为持有。</blockquote></p><p> \"Currently trading at 27x our CY23 GAAP EPS estimates, Microsoft represents a rare combination of strong secular positioning and reasonable valuation within the software space,\" wrote the Morgan Stanley analysts, who rate the shares overweight with a price target of $331.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利分析师写道：“微软目前的交易价格是我们23年GAAP每股收益预期的27倍，代表了软件领域强劲的长期定位和合理估值的罕见组合。”摩根士丹利分析师对跑赢大盘股票的评级为331美元。</blockquote></p><p> The once concern seems to be the durability of the current growth trajectory, which is why the Nuance acquisition and increased pricing of Office 365 is seen as key to the stock continuing to rise.</p><p><blockquote>曾经的担忧似乎是当前增长轨迹的持久性，这就是为什么收购Nuance和提高Office 365的定价被视为该股继续上涨的关键。</blockquote></p><p> \"Comps get progressively tougher throughout FY22, which should be met by Microsoft's durable growth portfolio of Azure/Security/Teams,\" wrote Jeffries analysts, who have an outperform rating and recently raised their price target to $375 from $345. \"Key items to watch are elevated expectations (Azure high 40s reported), integration with Nuance and increased security investments.\"</p><p><blockquote>Jeffries分析师写道：“整个22财年，竞争将逐渐变得更加严峻，微软Azure/Security/Teams的持久增长投资组合应该可以满足这一需求。”他们给予跑赢大盘评级，最近将目标价从345美元上调至375美元。“值得关注的关键项目是期望提高（据报道Azure High 40）、与Nuance的集成以及安全投资的增加。”</blockquote></p><p> Microsoft has benefitted from the pandemic, as companies have relied on cloud-computing power and software to keep teams connected while working remotely. But Microsoft bull and Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives does not see a return to the office as a sign that the boom will end.</p><p><blockquote>微软从疫情中受益，因为公司依靠云计算能力和软件在远程工作时保持团队联系。但微软牛市和Wedbush分析师Daniel Ives并不认为重返办公室是繁荣将结束的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe the Street's view of moderating cloud growth on the other side of this WFH cycle is contrary to the deal activity Microsoft is seeing in the field,\" Ives, with an outperform rating and $375 price target, wrote in a preview of the report. \"While we have seen the momentum of this backdrop in the last few years, we believe deal flow looks incrementally strong (Office 365/Azure combo deals in particular) heading into FY22 as we estimate that Microsoft is still only 35% through penetrating its unparalleled installed base on the cloud transition.\"</p><p><blockquote>Ives在报告预览中写道：“我们认为，华尔街对在家办公周期另一端云增长放缓的看法与微软在该领域看到的交易活动相反。”Ives给予跑赢大盘评级，目标价为375美元。“虽然我们在过去几年中看到了这种背景的势头，但我们相信，进入2022财年，交易流看起来将逐渐强劲（尤其是Office 365/Azure组合交易），因为我们估计微软在渗透其无与伦比的基础上仍仅占35%云过渡的安装基础。”</blockquote></p><p> Stifel analysts, with a buy rating and $325 price target, concurred.</p><p><blockquote>Stifel分析师对此表示赞同，给予买入评级和325美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> \"We continue to believe that the pandemic is forcing organizations to accelerate the pace of their cloud migrations and that Microsoft remains a key beneficiary of this modernization spend, especially around large new deal momentum, as its broad stack enables it to capture Tier 1 workloads previously out of reach,\" they wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“我们仍然认为，疫情正在迫使组织加快云迁移的步伐，微软仍然是这种现代化支出的主要受益者，特别是在巨大的新政势头下，因为其广泛的堆栈使其能够捕获以前无法实现的一级工作负载，”他们写道。</blockquote></p><p> The average price target on Microsoft stock as of Friday afternoon was $335.47, roughly 8.5% higher than the going rate.</p><p><blockquote>截至周五下午，微软股票的平均目标价为335.47美元，比现行汇率高出约8.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-pc-slowdown-shouldnt-hurt-microsoft-earnings-and-heres-why-11635003215?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-pc-slowdown-shouldnt-hurt-microsoft-earnings-and-heres-why-11635003215?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2177489964","content_text":"Growth from Azure and other cloud products should mask over any disappointment from supply-chain issues affecting PC sales\nMicrosoft Corp. is scheduled to release fiscal first-quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday.\nThe slowdown in personal computer sales due to supply-chain issues in recent months would have hurt Microsoft Corp. in past years, but the company's pivot to cloud computing and cloud software should insulate it from any earnings fallout.\nMicrosoft is scheduled to report its fiscal first-quarter earnings on Tuesday afternoon, as it rolls out its new Windows 11 operating system and PC makers struggle to deliver new machines. While the Microsoft of Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer would have faced a lot of Wall Street pessimism if PC shipments were mangled and a new operating system was not quickly adopted, Satya Nadella's Microsoft should be just fine.\nThat is because analysts and investors are mostly focused on Azure, Microsoft's cloud-computing answer to Amazon.com Inc.'s Amazon Web Services, as well as cloud-software offerings, decreasing the importance of Microsoft's PC business.\n\"Sustained digital transformation momentum should offset the impact from mixed PC unit shipment estimates from IDC and Gartner,\" Morgan Stanley analysts wrote in a preview of the report, later adding, \"While our negative growth outlook for Windows OEM pressures our longer term earnings expectation for Microsoft, we also note Windows OEM overall represents a decreasing mix of overall Microsoft revenue and gross profit.\"\nAzure has made sure that Windows' importance to Microsoft has decreased. The fast-growing cloud business is at the top of every analyst note about Microsoft, and analysts expect revenue to grow in the mid-40% range. (Microsoft does not disclose Azure performance except for percentage gain, despite AWS and Google (GOOGL) Cloud providing full revenue and operating profits for their competitive services).\n\"Fundamentally, ramping contribution from previously signed long-term Azure deals, continued Cloud migrations post-COVID, Microsoft's intensifying focus on Cloud verticalization and strong Microsoft 365 seat growth can sustain durable longer-term Azure growth,\" the Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.\nThere are factors that could add to Microsoft's growth as well, especially in the forecast. The $19.7 billion acquisition of health-care-focused company Nuance is expected to close before the end of the calendar year, and Microsoft recently disclosed that its cloud-based revenue would dump into the same revenue bucket as Azure.\nWhile Microsoft did not disclose exactly how much that would mean, UBS analysts said in September that prior Nuance disclosures and a call they had with the company's investor relations team led them to estimate that about 46% of Nuance's revenue would be cloud-based. They estimated that would mean roughly $91 million in additional sales for Microsoft's cloud division in the fiscal second quarter, if the full quarter were to be included.\nAnother bump could be coming in the future from increased prices for Microsoft's most popular cloud software offering, Office 365. Microsoft is increasing prices more than 10% across the board for the product, which the company described as \"the first substantive pricing update since we launched Office 365 a decade ago,\" which also gives analysts confidence that Microsoft can withstand any supply-chain pressures on the PC market.\nWhat to expect\nEarnings: Analysts on average expect Microsoft to report earnings of $2.08 a share, up from $1.82 a share a year ago. Contributors to Estimize -- a crowdsourcing platform that gathers estimates from Wall Street analysts as well as buy-side analysts, fund managers, company executives, academics and others -- predict earnings of $2.22 a share.\nRevenue: Analysts on average were modeling sales of $43.93 billion, which would be an improvement from $37.15 billion a year ago, after Microsoft forecast revenue of $43.3 billion to $44.2 billion. Estimize contributors expect $44.88 billion in sales.\nAnalyst expect $16.52 billion in sales from the \"Intelligent Cloud\" segment, after Microsoft guided for $16.4 billion to $16.65 billion; $14.67 billion in sales from the cloud-software-focused \"Productivity and Business Solutions\" segment, after a forecast of $14.5 billion to $14.75 billion; and $12.72 billion from \"More Personal Computing,\" after guidance for sales of $12.4 billion to $12.8 billion.\nStock movement: Microsoft shares have declined in the session following earnings releases in four of the past five quarters, though the last decline was only by 0.1%. The stock has increased 8.1% in the past three months and 45.2% in the past year, as the S&P 500 index has grown by 4.1% and 31.6% in those periods, respectively.\nWhat analysts are saying\nAnalysts are in pretty universal agreement about Microsoft's current position. According to FactSet tracking, 33 out of 36 analysts rate the stock the equivalent of a buy, while the other three rate it as a hold.\n\"Currently trading at 27x our CY23 GAAP EPS estimates, Microsoft represents a rare combination of strong secular positioning and reasonable valuation within the software space,\" wrote the Morgan Stanley analysts, who rate the shares overweight with a price target of $331.\nThe once concern seems to be the durability of the current growth trajectory, which is why the Nuance acquisition and increased pricing of Office 365 is seen as key to the stock continuing to rise.\n\"Comps get progressively tougher throughout FY22, which should be met by Microsoft's durable growth portfolio of Azure/Security/Teams,\" wrote Jeffries analysts, who have an outperform rating and recently raised their price target to $375 from $345. \"Key items to watch are elevated expectations (Azure high 40s reported), integration with Nuance and increased security investments.\"\nMicrosoft has benefitted from the pandemic, as companies have relied on cloud-computing power and software to keep teams connected while working remotely. But Microsoft bull and Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives does not see a return to the office as a sign that the boom will end.\n\"We believe the Street's view of moderating cloud growth on the other side of this WFH cycle is contrary to the deal activity Microsoft is seeing in the field,\" Ives, with an outperform rating and $375 price target, wrote in a preview of the report. \"While we have seen the momentum of this backdrop in the last few years, we believe deal flow looks incrementally strong (Office 365/Azure combo deals in particular) heading into FY22 as we estimate that Microsoft is still only 35% through penetrating its unparalleled installed base on the cloud transition.\"\nStifel analysts, with a buy rating and $325 price target, concurred.\n\"We continue to believe that the pandemic is forcing organizations to accelerate the pace of their cloud migrations and that Microsoft remains a key beneficiary of this modernization spend, especially around large new deal momentum, as its broad stack enables it to capture Tier 1 workloads previously out of reach,\" they wrote.\nThe average price target on Microsoft stock as of Friday afternoon was $335.47, roughly 8.5% higher than the going rate.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858193711,"gmtCreate":1634998408105,"gmtModify":1634998408367,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561962801944040","authorIdStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Strong brand","listText":"Strong brand","text":"Strong brand","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858193711","repostId":"1138624053","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138624053","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634952918,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138624053?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-23 09:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney Stock: Wall Street Is Cautious, Should Investors Worry?<blockquote>迪士尼股票：华尔街谨慎，投资者应该担心吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138624053","media":"TheStreet","summary":"A couple of analysts have cut their price targets on Disney stock due to lower expectations on strea","content":"<p>A couple of analysts have cut their price targets on Disney stock due to lower expectations on streaming subscriber growth. Should investors be concerned?</p><p><blockquote>由于对流媒体用户增长的预期较低，一些分析师下调了迪士尼股票的目标价。投资者应该担心吗？</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Steven Cahall, an analyst at Wells Fargo,lowered&nbsp;his Disney stock&nbsp;target price from $216 to $203. On that same day, shares fell by nearly 2%. More recently, Barclay’s research teamdowngradedDIS to hold, reducing the proportion of sell-side bulls to 79% of the coverage universe.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，富国银行分析师Steven Cahall将迪士尼股票目标价从216美元下调至203美元。同一天，股价下跌近2%。最近，巴克莱的研究团队将DDI评级下调至持有，将卖方多头占覆盖范围的比例降至79%。</blockquote></p><p> Today, we discuss Wall Street’s caution towards this stock that has struggled to gain traction lately, and whether investors should be worried.</p><p><blockquote>今天，我们讨论华尔街对这只最近难以获得关注的股票的谨慎态度，以及投资者是否应该担心。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4158f896b062dda9f421975d5627f44\" tg-width=\"1136\" tg-height=\"852\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Disney+ logo.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：迪士尼+标志。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The reason for the price target cuts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>目标价下调的原因</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney’s streaming business has been the main factor behind the recent price target cuts. Estimates for the number of Disney+ subscribers for the foreseeable future have dropped. Wells Fargo’s analyst has reduced his projected 13.5 million new adds this quarter to only 2 million, while also slashing 2024 estimates from 256 million to 236 million.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼的流媒体业务是近期目标价下调的主要因素。对可预见的未来Disney+订户数量的估计已经下降。富国银行分析师将本季度新增1350万人的预期下调至仅200万人，同时还将2024年的预期从2.56亿人下调至2.36亿人。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst&nbsp;offered&nbsp;the following insight:</p><p><blockquote>分析师提出了以下见解：</blockquote></p><p>   “Recent commentary around F4Q21 Disney+ net adds has cast a spotlight on what it will take for DIS to reach FY24 subscriber guidance. We think investors now have some causes for concern. […] Our price target falls as we reset our sub numbers.”  <b>CEO Bob Chapek’s forecast</b></p><p><blockquote>“最近有关Disney+net adds的评论让人们关注DIS如何才能达到2024财年订户指引。我们认为投资者现在有一些担忧的理由。[...]随着我们重置子数据，我们的价格目标会下降。”<b>首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克的预测</b></blockquote></p><p> According to the company's CEO Bob Chapek, subscriber growth this quarter is unlikely to meet the market’s aggressive expectations. Bob also said that some of the reasons for the slowdown in growth include Hotstar's low penetration in India and difficulties in finding partners in Latin America.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司首席执行官Bob Chapek称，本季度的用户增长不太可能达到市场激进的预期。Bob还表示，增长放缓的部分原因包括Hotstar在印度的渗透率较低，以及在拉丁美洲难以找到合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short-term challenges, Disney has yet to change its subscriber projections for 2024, currently set at 230 million to 260 million members.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临短期挑战，迪士尼尚未改变其对2024年的订户预测，目前将其定为2.3亿至2.6亿。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's happening with DIS?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DIS怎么了？</b></blockquote></p><p> While the pandemic dragged Disney stock early last year due to the closing of theme parks and movie theaters, shares still climbed in 2020. The company managed to grow its nascent streaming business, which helped to fuel investor sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>尽管去年年初，由于主题公园和电影院关闭，疫情拖累了迪士尼股价，但2020年股价仍在攀升。该公司成功发展了新兴的流媒体业务，这有助于提振投资者情绪。</blockquote></p><p> However, the stay-at-home habits have started to faze, and Disney is caught between a rock and a hard place. The company’s operations have not fully returned to normal levels (e.g., cruise ships are only now starting to sail again), while the buzz around the streaming segment has been losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>然而，呆在家里的习惯已经开始困扰，迪士尼陷入了进退两难的境地。该公司的运营尚未完全恢复到正常水平（例如，游轮现在才开始再次航行），而围绕流媒体领域的讨论一直在失去动力。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 2021, DIS share price has remained stuck in the $170s, with a Q1 rally proving to be short lived.</p><p><blockquote>自2021年初以来，DIS股价一直停留在170美元左右，第一季度的反弹被证明是短暂的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Wall Street says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite the recent price target revisions, analysts still think that DIS is a buy,according&nbsp;to TipRanks. Out of the 19 professionals covering the stock, 15 are still bullish, while only 4 have a neutral rating. None of the analysts recommend selling the stock.</p><p><blockquote>TipRanks表示，尽管最近对价格目标进行了修正，但分析师仍然认为DIS值得买入。在研究该股的19名专业人士中，15名仍看好，而只有4名给予中性评级。没有分析师建议出售该股。</blockquote></p><p> The highest price suggested by analysts is $263, while the lowest is $175. At the average price target of $215, Wall Street collectively hints at upside potential of over 25% from current levels.</p><p><blockquote>分析师建议的最高价为263美元，而最低价为175美元。平均目标价为215美元，华尔街集体暗示较当前水平有超过25%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Our take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> We maintain our opinion that DIS shares still have room to rise in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>我们维持DIS股价在未来几个月仍有上涨空间的观点。</blockquote></p><p> Disney continues to be a great company with one of the best content libraries, plenty of opportunities in streaming and an imminent rebound in parks, hotel, and cruise activity. On Disney+, despite the reduced subscriber number expected for this quarter, Disney could still deliver its longer-term goal by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼仍然是一家伟大的公司，拥有最好的内容库之一，流媒体领域有大量机会，公园、酒店和游轮活动即将反弹。在Disney+上，尽管本季度订户数量预计会减少，但迪士尼仍有可能在2024年实现其长期目标。</blockquote></p><p> Once short-term challenges are left behind, we think that the market will once again turn to DIS for an investment opportunity – especially given current prices that are a substantial 15% below all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>一旦短期挑战过去，我们认为市场将再次转向DIS寻找投资机会——特别是考虑到当前价格比历史高点低15%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney Stock: Wall Street Is Cautious, Should Investors Worry?<blockquote>迪士尼股票：华尔街谨慎，投资者应该担心吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney Stock: Wall Street Is Cautious, Should Investors Worry?<blockquote>迪士尼股票：华尔街谨慎，投资者应该担心吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-23 09:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A couple of analysts have cut their price targets on Disney stock due to lower expectations on streaming subscriber growth. Should investors be concerned?</p><p><blockquote>由于对流媒体用户增长的预期较低，一些分析师下调了迪士尼股票的目标价。投资者应该担心吗？</blockquote></p><p> Last month, Steven Cahall, an analyst at Wells Fargo,lowered&nbsp;his Disney stock&nbsp;target price from $216 to $203. On that same day, shares fell by nearly 2%. More recently, Barclay’s research teamdowngradedDIS to hold, reducing the proportion of sell-side bulls to 79% of the coverage universe.</p><p><blockquote>上个月，富国银行分析师Steven Cahall将迪士尼股票目标价从216美元下调至203美元。同一天，股价下跌近2%。最近，巴克莱的研究团队将DDI评级下调至持有，将卖方多头占覆盖范围的比例降至79%。</blockquote></p><p> Today, we discuss Wall Street’s caution towards this stock that has struggled to gain traction lately, and whether investors should be worried.</p><p><blockquote>今天，我们讨论华尔街对这只最近难以获得关注的股票的谨慎态度，以及投资者是否应该担心。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4158f896b062dda9f421975d5627f44\" tg-width=\"1136\" tg-height=\"852\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: Disney+ logo.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：迪士尼+标志。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The reason for the price target cuts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>目标价下调的原因</b></blockquote></p><p> Disney’s streaming business has been the main factor behind the recent price target cuts. Estimates for the number of Disney+ subscribers for the foreseeable future have dropped. Wells Fargo’s analyst has reduced his projected 13.5 million new adds this quarter to only 2 million, while also slashing 2024 estimates from 256 million to 236 million.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼的流媒体业务是近期目标价下调的主要因素。对可预见的未来Disney+订户数量的估计已经下降。富国银行分析师将本季度新增1350万人的预期下调至仅200万人，同时还将2024年的预期从2.56亿人下调至2.36亿人。</blockquote></p><p> The analyst&nbsp;offered&nbsp;the following insight:</p><p><blockquote>分析师提出了以下见解：</blockquote></p><p>   “Recent commentary around F4Q21 Disney+ net adds has cast a spotlight on what it will take for DIS to reach FY24 subscriber guidance. We think investors now have some causes for concern. […] Our price target falls as we reset our sub numbers.”  <b>CEO Bob Chapek’s forecast</b></p><p><blockquote>“最近有关Disney+net adds的评论让人们关注DIS如何才能达到2024财年订户指引。我们认为投资者现在有一些担忧的理由。[...]随着我们重置子数据，我们的价格目标会下降。”<b>首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克的预测</b></blockquote></p><p> According to the company's CEO Bob Chapek, subscriber growth this quarter is unlikely to meet the market’s aggressive expectations. Bob also said that some of the reasons for the slowdown in growth include Hotstar's low penetration in India and difficulties in finding partners in Latin America.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司首席执行官Bob Chapek称，本季度的用户增长不太可能达到市场激进的预期。Bob还表示，增长放缓的部分原因包括Hotstar在印度的渗透率较低，以及在拉丁美洲难以找到合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> Despite short-term challenges, Disney has yet to change its subscriber projections for 2024, currently set at 230 million to 260 million members.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临短期挑战，迪士尼尚未改变其对2024年的订户预测，目前将其定为2.3亿至2.6亿。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What's happening with DIS?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>DIS怎么了？</b></blockquote></p><p> While the pandemic dragged Disney stock early last year due to the closing of theme parks and movie theaters, shares still climbed in 2020. The company managed to grow its nascent streaming business, which helped to fuel investor sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>尽管去年年初，由于主题公园和电影院关闭，疫情拖累了迪士尼股价，但2020年股价仍在攀升。该公司成功发展了新兴的流媒体业务，这有助于提振投资者情绪。</blockquote></p><p> However, the stay-at-home habits have started to faze, and Disney is caught between a rock and a hard place. The company’s operations have not fully returned to normal levels (e.g., cruise ships are only now starting to sail again), while the buzz around the streaming segment has been losing steam.</p><p><blockquote>然而，呆在家里的习惯已经开始困扰，迪士尼陷入了进退两难的境地。该公司的运营尚未完全恢复到正常水平（例如，游轮现在才开始再次航行），而围绕流媒体领域的讨论一直在失去动力。</blockquote></p><p> Since the beginning of 2021, DIS share price has remained stuck in the $170s, with a Q1 rally proving to be short lived.</p><p><blockquote>自2021年初以来，DIS股价一直停留在170美元左右，第一季度的反弹被证明是短暂的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Wall Street says</b></p><p><blockquote><b>华尔街怎么说</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite the recent price target revisions, analysts still think that DIS is a buy,according&nbsp;to TipRanks. Out of the 19 professionals covering the stock, 15 are still bullish, while only 4 have a neutral rating. None of the analysts recommend selling the stock.</p><p><blockquote>TipRanks表示，尽管最近对价格目标进行了修正，但分析师仍然认为DIS值得买入。在研究该股的19名专业人士中，15名仍看好，而只有4名给予中性评级。没有分析师建议出售该股。</blockquote></p><p> The highest price suggested by analysts is $263, while the lowest is $175. At the average price target of $215, Wall Street collectively hints at upside potential of over 25% from current levels.</p><p><blockquote>分析师建议的最高价为263美元，而最低价为175美元。平均目标价为215美元，华尔街集体暗示较当前水平有超过25%的上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Our take</b></p><p><blockquote><b>我们的看法</b></blockquote></p><p> We maintain our opinion that DIS shares still have room to rise in the next several months.</p><p><blockquote>我们维持DIS股价在未来几个月仍有上涨空间的观点。</blockquote></p><p> Disney continues to be a great company with one of the best content libraries, plenty of opportunities in streaming and an imminent rebound in parks, hotel, and cruise activity. On Disney+, despite the reduced subscriber number expected for this quarter, Disney could still deliver its longer-term goal by 2024.</p><p><blockquote>迪士尼仍然是一家伟大的公司，拥有最好的内容库之一，流媒体领域有大量机会，公园、酒店和游轮活动即将反弹。在Disney+上，尽管本季度订户数量预计会减少，但迪士尼仍有可能在2024年实现其长期目标。</blockquote></p><p> Once short-term challenges are left behind, we think that the market will once again turn to DIS for an investment opportunity – especially given current prices that are a substantial 15% below all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>一旦短期挑战过去，我们认为市场将再次转向DIS寻找投资机会——特别是考虑到当前价格比历史高点低15%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/dis/disney-stock-wall-street-is-cautious-should-investors-worry\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/streaming/dis/disney-stock-wall-street-is-cautious-should-investors-worry","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138624053","content_text":"A couple of analysts have cut their price targets on Disney stock due to lower expectations on streaming subscriber growth. Should investors be concerned?\nLast month, Steven Cahall, an analyst at Wells Fargo,lowered his Disney stock target price from $216 to $203. On that same day, shares fell by nearly 2%. More recently, Barclay’s research teamdowngradedDIS to hold, reducing the proportion of sell-side bulls to 79% of the coverage universe.\nToday, we discuss Wall Street’s caution towards this stock that has struggled to gain traction lately, and whether investors should be worried.\nFigure 1: Disney+ logo.\nThe reason for the price target cuts\nDisney’s streaming business has been the main factor behind the recent price target cuts. Estimates for the number of Disney+ subscribers for the foreseeable future have dropped. Wells Fargo’s analyst has reduced his projected 13.5 million new adds this quarter to only 2 million, while also slashing 2024 estimates from 256 million to 236 million.\nThe analyst offered the following insight:\n\n “Recent commentary around F4Q21 Disney+ net adds has cast a spotlight on what it will take for DIS to reach FY24 subscriber guidance. We think investors now have some causes for concern. […] Our price target falls as we reset our sub numbers.”\n\nCEO Bob Chapek’s forecast\nAccording to the company's CEO Bob Chapek, subscriber growth this quarter is unlikely to meet the market’s aggressive expectations. Bob also said that some of the reasons for the slowdown in growth include Hotstar's low penetration in India and difficulties in finding partners in Latin America.\nDespite short-term challenges, Disney has yet to change its subscriber projections for 2024, currently set at 230 million to 260 million members.\nWhat's happening with DIS?\nWhile the pandemic dragged Disney stock early last year due to the closing of theme parks and movie theaters, shares still climbed in 2020. The company managed to grow its nascent streaming business, which helped to fuel investor sentiment.\nHowever, the stay-at-home habits have started to faze, and Disney is caught between a rock and a hard place. The company’s operations have not fully returned to normal levels (e.g., cruise ships are only now starting to sail again), while the buzz around the streaming segment has been losing steam.\nSince the beginning of 2021, DIS share price has remained stuck in the $170s, with a Q1 rally proving to be short lived.\nWhat Wall Street says\nDespite the recent price target revisions, analysts still think that DIS is a buy,according to TipRanks. Out of the 19 professionals covering the stock, 15 are still bullish, while only 4 have a neutral rating. None of the analysts recommend selling the stock.\nThe highest price suggested by analysts is $263, while the lowest is $175. At the average price target of $215, Wall Street collectively hints at upside potential of over 25% from current levels.\nOur take\nWe maintain our opinion that DIS shares still have room to rise in the next several months.\nDisney continues to be a great company with one of the best content libraries, plenty of opportunities in streaming and an imminent rebound in parks, hotel, and cruise activity. On Disney+, despite the reduced subscriber number expected for this quarter, Disney could still deliver its longer-term goal by 2024.\nOnce short-term challenges are left behind, we think that the market will once again turn to DIS for an investment opportunity – especially given current prices that are a substantial 15% below all-time highs.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858193399,"gmtCreate":1634998273657,"gmtModify":1634998273942,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561962801944040","authorIdStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858193399","repostId":"1177255738","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177255738","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634953820,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177255738?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-23 09:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir Stock Price Prediction: Outlook After U.S. Army Selection<blockquote>Palantir股价预测：美国陆军选择后的展望</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177255738","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPalantir's US Army contract is huge news for the company due to the contract's large size. ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir's US Army contract is huge news for the company due to the contract's large size. The bigger picture is important as well - PLTR is highly competitive and trusted.</li>  <li>PLTR is one of just four IL-5 DoD-certified companies and is moving to IL-6, which should increase its moat further.</li>  <li>The company is seemingly expensive on a profit basis, but when we consider PLTR's growth outlook, shares could be a pretty good investment, nevertheless.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa0d32030c1112ab6f00943f9091b85b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"516\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的美国陆军合同对该公司来说是一个巨大的新闻，因为合同规模很大。大局也很重要——PLTR极具竞争力且值得信赖。</li><li>PLTR是仅有的四家获得国防部认证的IL-5公司之一，并且正在转向IL-6，这应该会进一步增加其护城河。</li><li>该公司的利润似乎很昂贵，但当我们考虑PLTR的增长前景时，股票可能是一项相当不错的投资。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>斯科特·奥尔森/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies (PLTR) remains a highly exciting, fast-growing tech company that continues to trade at an expensive valuation. The recent contract with the US Army shows, again, that its proprietary solutions are in a class of their own and that Palantir Technologies is very entrenched in government bodies, which should allow the company to deliver strong growth for many years. Palantir Technologies is not a low-risk pick, but I do believe that, in the long run, investors could see sizeable gains from this stock.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies(PLTR)仍然是一家非常令人兴奋、快速增长的科技公司，其估值仍然很高。最近与美国陆军签订的合同再次表明，其专有解决方案是独一无二的，并且Palantir Technologies在政府机构中根深蒂固，这应该使该公司能够实现多年的强劲增长。Palantir Technologies并不是一个低风险的选择，但我确实相信，从长远来看，投资者可以从这只股票中看到可观的收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir &amp; US Army Contract</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir与美国陆军合同</b></blockquote></p><p> In early October, Palantir Technologies announced that it was selected by the US Army for a contract worth&nbsp;$823 million&nbsp;that will see the company deliver the Army Intelligence data fabric and analytics foundation for the&nbsp;<i>Capability Drop 2</i>&nbsp;(CD-2) program.</p><p><blockquote>10月初，Palantir Technologies宣布被美国陆军选中签订一份价值8.23亿美元的合同，该公司将为<i>能力下降2</i>（CD-2）程序。</blockquote></p><p> For a company like Palantir, which generates revenue of around $1.5 billion a year right now, an $800+ million contract is huge, of course, but it should be noted that this contract will not see Palantir capture all of that revenue in a short period of time. On top of that, not necessarily all of that revenue will go to Palantir Technologies, as other vendors, e.g., for hardware, might take some share of the contract as well. A more bearish analyst&nbsp;noted&nbsp;that the administration has requested around $100 million for that contract in fiscal 2022, suggesting that it will take several years for Palantir to capture all of the revenue from that contract.</p><p><blockquote>对于像Palantir这样目前年收入约为15亿美元的公司来说，一份8亿多美元的合同当然是巨大的，但应该指出的是，这份合同不会让Palantir在短时间内获得所有这些收入。最重要的是，不一定所有收入都会流向Palantir Technologies，因为其他供应商（例如硬件供应商）也可能会从合同中获得一些份额。一位更为悲观的分析师指出，政府已要求在2022财年为该合同提供约1亿美元，这表明Palantir需要几年时间才能从该合同中获得所有收入。</blockquote></p><p> Still, this contract is a major positive, I believe, due to several reasons. First, the decision by the US Army to award the contract to Palantir Technologies suggests that Palantir remains a forerunner on a tech basis in the defense space, despite some analysts and commenters believing that Palantir's offering/services are very commoditized. If that were the case, the contract would likely have gone to a different company that sells its services and products at lower prices - remember that Palantir demands gross margins north of 70% on a company-wide basis. Customers would not be willing to pay that much for a commoditized product that could be supplied by anyone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我认为这份合同是一个重大的积极因素，原因有几个。首先，美国陆军将合同授予Palantir Technologies的决定表明，Palantir仍然是国防领域技术基础的先驱，尽管一些分析师和评论者认为Palantir的产品/服务非常商品化。如果是这样的话，该合同可能会交给另一家以较低价格销售其服务和产品的公司——请记住，Palantir要求全公司毛利率超过70%。顾客不会愿意为任何人都可以提供的商品化产品支付那么多钱。</blockquote></p><p> The contract award by the US Army for such a large single contract also indicates that officials see Palantir as capable of delivering on large-scale contracts, despite the fact that Palantir Technologies is, by revenue and employer count, not a very large company today. Officials seem to believe that Palantir is able to execute well on these contracts, which, in turn, suggests that Palantir should have a good chance of getting other contracts of a similar size in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国陆军授予如此大的单个合同也表明，官员们认为Palantir有能力交付大规模合同，尽管从收入和雇主数量来看，Palantir Technologies目前并不是一家非常大的公司。官员们似乎相信Palantir能够很好地执行这些合同，这反过来表明Palantir未来应该有很大的机会获得其他类似规模的合同。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's strong position in the defense space versus possible competitors is also indicated by the fact that Palantir Technologies is one of just four companies with a level 5 (IL-5) Department of Defense SaaS approval:</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies是仅有的四家获得国防部SaaS 5级(IL-5)批准的公司之一，这一事实也表明了Palantir在国防领域相对于可能的竞争对手的强势地位：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9381e77c84c44423e48d0947838946a3\" tg-width=\"1273\" tg-height=\"841\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This alone gives Palantir a major edge versus competitors that are not approved for services this critical. Once Palantir moves to IL-6 approval - at which point the company could also handle DoD classified information - Palantir's moat versus competitors should grow further. Palantir's management believes that this will happen in the foreseeable future and that Palantir will likely be the first company to receive IL-6 approval overall. The defense market could be a huge market opportunity for Palantir Technologies over the next couple of years:</p><p><blockquote>仅此一点就为Palantir提供了相对于未获准提供如此关键服务的竞争对手的主要优势。一旦Palantir获得IL-6批准（届时该公司还可以处理国防部机密信息），Palantir相对于竞争对手的护城河应该会进一步扩大。Palantir管理层认为，这将在可预见的未来发生，Palantir很可能成为第一家获得IL-6整体批准的公司。未来几年，国防市场可能是Palantir Technologies的巨大市场机遇：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c9bdfc460b29e6a19e05ad9f2b1278\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: nscai.gov (page 67 of full report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：nscai.gov（完整报告第67页）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence forecasts that AI R&amp;D investments will grow to close to $80 billion by 2030. Palantir Technologies will not be able to address all of that market, as this does include hardware, implementation, etc., but even a couple of percentage points of market share would turn into a $1+ billion a year business. Considering that defense is just one of many markets Palantir Technologies is able to address, this seems highly encouraging - especially when we consider that Palantir is doing around $1.5 billion in revenue this year across all markets the company is active in.</p><p><blockquote>美国国家人工智能安全委员会预测，到2030年，人工智能研发投资将增长至接近800亿美元。Palantir Technologies将无法解决所有市场，因为这确实包括硬件、实施等。，但即使是几个百分点的市场份额也会变成每年超过10亿美元的业务。考虑到国防只是Palantir Technologies能够解决的众多市场之一，这似乎非常令人鼓舞——特别是当我们考虑到Palantir今年在该公司活跃的所有市场的收入约为15亿美元时。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies has, thanks to other contracts with military customers, proven that the US Army contract was not an outlier. Instead, Palantir seems to work well with defense customers, which is why the company gets chosen for new contracts again and again - even by the US&nbsp;Space Force.</p><p><blockquote>得益于与军事客户的其他合同，Palantir Technologies证明了美国陆军合同并非例外。相反，Palantir似乎与国防客户合作良好，这就是为什么该公司一次又一次地被选中签订新合同——甚至被美国太空军选中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Stock Forecast</b></p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR库存预测</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's management believes that the company will be the most important software player in the world one day, and even though I believe that this is far from guaranteed, I do believe that Palantir has massive growth potential for many years to come. Its solutions could have a huge impact in commerce as well as in the military and security fields. Thanks to close relations with customers (as laid out above), a proven track record, and strong talent - which is why stock-based compensation is so high, as that talent is expensive - Palantir should be able to deliver huge revenue growth throughout the 2020s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的管理层相信，该公司有一天将成为世界上最重要的软件公司，尽管我认为这远不能保证，但我确实相信Palantir在未来许多年都具有巨大的增长潜力。它的解决方案可能会在商业以及军事和安全领域产生巨大影响。得益于与客户的密切关系（如上所述）、良好的业绩记录和强大的人才——这就是股票薪酬如此之高的原因，因为人才价格昂贵——Palantir应该能够在整个2020年代实现巨大的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes that revenue in 2024 will come in around $4 billion, and that aligns pretty well with&nbsp;analyst estimates. During its four quarters as a publicly traded company, Palantir has beaten analyst estimates on both lines four times, thus the company is establishing a pretty clear track record of outperforming expectations. It is, of course, not guaranteed that this will happen in the future, too, but I do believe that there is a pretty solid chance that Palantir could generate more than $4 billion in revenue in 2024. Let's still go with the $4 billion estimate and assume that revenue grows by 30% for the following three years, and by 25% between 2028 and 2030. If that were to happen, then Palantir would generate revenue of $17 billion in 2030, which would pencil out to a ~11x increase in nine years. What could a company with $17 billion in annual sales and 25% revenue growth be valued at?</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为2024年的收入将达到40亿美元左右，这与分析师的预期非常一致。在作为上市公司的四个季度中，Palantir在这两条线上四次超出了分析师的预期，因此该公司正在建立一个非常明确的超出预期的业绩记录。当然，不能保证这种情况在未来也会发生，但我确实相信Palantir很有可能在2024年产生超过40亿美元的收入。我们仍然采用40亿美元的估计，并假设未来三年收入增长30%，2028年至2030年间增长25%。如果这种情况发生，那么Palantir到2030年的收入将达到170亿美元，预计九年内将增长约11倍。一家年销售额170亿美元、收入增长25%的公司的估值是多少？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52c4b159657eb14f408b680d91dd91ca\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Major software players such as Microsoft (MSFT), Salesforce.com (CRM), and Adobe (ADBE) are growing by 15%-25% right now, and trade for 11x to 19x this year's sales today. Considering that Palantir does, in our scenario, grow a little faster than these three companies, a 15x sales multiple does not seem outrageous at all, I believe. Based on estimated sales of $17 billion, this gets us to a market capitalization of $255 billion nine years from now, or roughly 5.3x as much as today's market capitalization of $48 billion. This does, however, not mean that PLTR will see its shares climb by 430%, as we also have to consider the company's share count, which has been rising and which will likely continue to rise. It is hard to forecast where exactly the share count will stand nine years from now, as we don't know the trajectory of future share-based compensation and since PLTR might start to repurchase shares in the future. If we assume that the share count rises by 100 million a year (the share count has risen by 80 million shares over the last year, per YCharts), that pencils out to a share count of ~2.9 billion in 2030. Based on an expected market capitalization of $255 billion, this gets us to a share price of around $90 - or roughly 3.5x as much as today. In other words, if this scenario comes true, investors will generate a 9-year return of around 250%, or roughly 15% a year. That is not as outstanding as the returns one would have gotten when one held AMZN(AMZN)over the last nine years, for example, but an annual return in the ballpark of 15% is still highly attractive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>微软(MSFT)、Salesforce.com(CRM)和Adobe(ADBE)等主要软件公司目前的增长率为15%-25%，目前的交易价格是今年销售额的11至19倍。考虑到在我们的场景中，Palantir的增长速度确实比这三家公司快一点，我相信15倍的销售倍数似乎一点也不离谱。根据170亿美元的估计销售额，九年后我们的市值将达到2550亿美元，大约是当今480亿美元市值的5.3倍。然而，这并不意味着PLTR的股价将上涨430%，因为我们还必须考虑该公司的股票数量，该数量一直在上升，并且可能会继续上升。很难预测九年后股票数量的确切情况，因为我们不知道未来股权薪酬的轨迹，而且PLTR未来可能会开始回购股票。如果我们假设股票数量每年增加1亿股（根据YCharts的数据，去年股票数量增加了8000万股），那么2030年股票数量将达到约29亿股。根据2550亿美元的预期市值，我们的股价约为90美元，大约是今天的3.5倍。换句话说，如果这种情况成真，投资者将获得250%左右的9年回报率，即每年约15%。例如，这并不像过去九年持有AMZN(AMZN)时获得的回报那么出色，但我相信15%左右的年回报率仍然非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> One can, of course, argue that this scenario is not realistic and that the growth rate should be higher or lower, or that the sales multiple in 2030 should be different. Still, I believe that this is a solid base case scenario that<i>might</i>be on the conservative side, considering Palantir Technologies' large potential across many different industries.</p><p><blockquote>当然，人们可以认为这种情况是不现实的，增长率应该更高或更低，或者2030年的销售倍数应该不同。尽管如此，我相信这是一个可靠的基本情况<i>可能</i>考虑到Palantir Technologies在许多不同行业的巨大潜力，请保持保守。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Stock: Is Now A Good Time To Buy Or Sell?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR股票：现在是买入或卖出的好时机吗？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir is a very different stock compared to what I mostly cover, and what I primarily invest in. At current prices, PLTR looks quite expensive at first sight, trading at ~150x forward earnings. The company, however, offers massive growth potential, attractive fundamentals, and has a huge moat that could grow further once PLTR is IL-6 DoD approved.</p><p><blockquote>与我主要报道的股票和我主要投资的股票相比，Palantir是一只非常不同的股票。按照目前的价格，PLTR乍一看似乎相当昂贵，其预期市盈率约为150倍。然而，该公司提供了巨大的增长潜力、有吸引力的基本面，并且拥有巨大的护城河，一旦PLTR获得IL-6国防部批准，该护城河可能会进一步增长。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir is not a low-risk stock, as the company is, like other high-growth stocks trading at high valuations, vulnerable to interest rate movements. On top of that, profitability has not been proven on a lasting basis yet, and we don't know the trajectory of share-based compensation expenses.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir不是一只低风险股票，因为该公司与其他高估值交易的高增长股票一样，容易受到利率变动的影响。最重要的是，盈利能力尚未得到持久的证实，我们也不知道股权激励费用的轨迹。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, I believe that Palantir is a high-growth company that could deliver double-digit total returns in the long run, and due to a huge and fast-growing addressable market and a wide moat, I am willing to invest in this company - unlike many other highly-valued growth companies that I deem unattractive. Whether Palantir Technologies is a good fit for your portfolio depends on your individual goals and risk tolerance, of course, but I wouldn't be surprised to see PLTR rise at least three-fold by the end of the decade.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我相信Palantir是一家高增长公司，从长远来看可以带来两位数的总回报，并且由于巨大且快速增长的潜在市场和宽阔的护城河，我愿意投资这家公司——不像许多其他我认为没有吸引力的高估值成长型公司。当然，Palantir Technologies是否适合您的投资组合取决于您的个人目标和风险承受能力，但如果PLTR到本世纪末至少增长三倍，我不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is This an Income Stream Which Induces Fear?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是一种引发恐惧的收入来源吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a958be03c050d5cdb47e6524217c231\" tg-width=\"542\" tg-height=\"324\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The primary goal of the&nbsp;Cash Flow Kingdom Income Portfolio&nbsp;is to produce an overall yield in the 7% - 10% range. We accomplish this by combining several different income streams to form an attractive, steady portfolio payout. The portfolio's price can fluctuate, but the income stream remains consistent.</p><p><blockquote>现金流王国收益投资组合的主要目标是产生7%-10%范围内的总体收益率。我们通过结合几种不同的收入流来形成有吸引力、稳定的投资组合支出来实现这一目标。投资组合的价格可能会波动，但收入流保持一致。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir Stock Price Prediction: Outlook After U.S. Army Selection<blockquote>Palantir股价预测：美国陆军选择后的展望</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir Stock Price Prediction: Outlook After U.S. Army Selection<blockquote>Palantir股价预测：美国陆军选择后的展望</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-23 09:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Palantir's US Army contract is huge news for the company due to the contract's large size. The bigger picture is important as well - PLTR is highly competitive and trusted.</li>  <li>PLTR is one of just four IL-5 DoD-certified companies and is moving to IL-6, which should increase its moat further.</li>  <li>The company is seemingly expensive on a profit basis, but when we consider PLTR's growth outlook, shares could be a pretty good investment, nevertheless.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa0d32030c1112ab6f00943f9091b85b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"516\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Scott Olson/Getty Images News</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Palantir的美国陆军合同对该公司来说是一个巨大的新闻，因为合同规模很大。大局也很重要——PLTR极具竞争力且值得信赖。</li><li>PLTR是仅有的四家获得国防部认证的IL-5公司之一，并且正在转向IL-6，这应该会进一步增加其护城河。</li><li>该公司的利润似乎很昂贵，但当我们考虑PLTR的增长前景时，股票可能是一项相当不错的投资。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>斯科特·奥尔森/盖蒂图片社新闻</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies (PLTR) remains a highly exciting, fast-growing tech company that continues to trade at an expensive valuation. The recent contract with the US Army shows, again, that its proprietary solutions are in a class of their own and that Palantir Technologies is very entrenched in government bodies, which should allow the company to deliver strong growth for many years. Palantir Technologies is not a low-risk pick, but I do believe that, in the long run, investors could see sizeable gains from this stock.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies(PLTR)仍然是一家非常令人兴奋、快速增长的科技公司，其估值仍然很高。最近与美国陆军签订的合同再次表明，其专有解决方案是独一无二的，并且Palantir Technologies在政府机构中根深蒂固，这应该使该公司能够实现多年的强劲增长。Palantir Technologies并不是一个低风险的选择，但我确实相信，从长远来看，投资者可以从这只股票中看到可观的收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Palantir &amp; US Army Contract</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir与美国陆军合同</b></blockquote></p><p> In early October, Palantir Technologies announced that it was selected by the US Army for a contract worth&nbsp;$823 million&nbsp;that will see the company deliver the Army Intelligence data fabric and analytics foundation for the&nbsp;<i>Capability Drop 2</i>&nbsp;(CD-2) program.</p><p><blockquote>10月初，Palantir Technologies宣布被美国陆军选中签订一份价值8.23亿美元的合同，该公司将为<i>能力下降2</i>（CD-2）程序。</blockquote></p><p> For a company like Palantir, which generates revenue of around $1.5 billion a year right now, an $800+ million contract is huge, of course, but it should be noted that this contract will not see Palantir capture all of that revenue in a short period of time. On top of that, not necessarily all of that revenue will go to Palantir Technologies, as other vendors, e.g., for hardware, might take some share of the contract as well. A more bearish analyst&nbsp;noted&nbsp;that the administration has requested around $100 million for that contract in fiscal 2022, suggesting that it will take several years for Palantir to capture all of the revenue from that contract.</p><p><blockquote>对于像Palantir这样目前年收入约为15亿美元的公司来说，一份8亿多美元的合同当然是巨大的，但应该指出的是，这份合同不会让Palantir在短时间内获得所有这些收入。最重要的是，不一定所有收入都会流向Palantir Technologies，因为其他供应商（例如硬件供应商）也可能会从合同中获得一些份额。一位更为悲观的分析师指出，政府已要求在2022财年为该合同提供约1亿美元，这表明Palantir需要几年时间才能从该合同中获得所有收入。</blockquote></p><p> Still, this contract is a major positive, I believe, due to several reasons. First, the decision by the US Army to award the contract to Palantir Technologies suggests that Palantir remains a forerunner on a tech basis in the defense space, despite some analysts and commenters believing that Palantir's offering/services are very commoditized. If that were the case, the contract would likely have gone to a different company that sells its services and products at lower prices - remember that Palantir demands gross margins north of 70% on a company-wide basis. Customers would not be willing to pay that much for a commoditized product that could be supplied by anyone.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我认为这份合同是一个重大的积极因素，原因有几个。首先，美国陆军将合同授予Palantir Technologies的决定表明，Palantir仍然是国防领域技术基础的先驱，尽管一些分析师和评论者认为Palantir的产品/服务非常商品化。如果是这样的话，该合同可能会交给另一家以较低价格销售其服务和产品的公司——请记住，Palantir要求全公司毛利率超过70%。顾客不会愿意为任何人都可以提供的商品化产品支付那么多钱。</blockquote></p><p> The contract award by the US Army for such a large single contract also indicates that officials see Palantir as capable of delivering on large-scale contracts, despite the fact that Palantir Technologies is, by revenue and employer count, not a very large company today. Officials seem to believe that Palantir is able to execute well on these contracts, which, in turn, suggests that Palantir should have a good chance of getting other contracts of a similar size in the future.</p><p><blockquote>美国陆军授予如此大的单个合同也表明，官员们认为Palantir有能力交付大规模合同，尽管从收入和雇主数量来看，Palantir Technologies目前并不是一家非常大的公司。官员们似乎相信Palantir能够很好地执行这些合同，这反过来表明Palantir未来应该有很大的机会获得其他类似规模的合同。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's strong position in the defense space versus possible competitors is also indicated by the fact that Palantir Technologies is one of just four companies with a level 5 (IL-5) Department of Defense SaaS approval:</p><p><blockquote>Palantir Technologies是仅有的四家获得国防部SaaS 5级(IL-5)批准的公司之一，这一事实也表明了Palantir在国防领域相对于可能的竞争对手的强势地位：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9381e77c84c44423e48d0947838946a3\" tg-width=\"1273\" tg-height=\"841\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Palantir</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Palantir</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This alone gives Palantir a major edge versus competitors that are not approved for services this critical. Once Palantir moves to IL-6 approval - at which point the company could also handle DoD classified information - Palantir's moat versus competitors should grow further. Palantir's management believes that this will happen in the foreseeable future and that Palantir will likely be the first company to receive IL-6 approval overall. The defense market could be a huge market opportunity for Palantir Technologies over the next couple of years:</p><p><blockquote>仅此一点就为Palantir提供了相对于未获准提供如此关键服务的竞争对手的主要优势。一旦Palantir获得IL-6批准（届时该公司还可以处理国防部机密信息），Palantir相对于竞争对手的护城河应该会进一步扩大。Palantir管理层认为，这将在可预见的未来发生，Palantir很可能成为第一家获得IL-6整体批准的公司。未来几年，国防市场可能是Palantir Technologies的巨大市场机遇：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63c9bdfc460b29e6a19e05ad9f2b1278\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"397\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: nscai.gov (page 67 of full report)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：nscai.gov（完整报告第67页）</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence forecasts that AI R&amp;D investments will grow to close to $80 billion by 2030. Palantir Technologies will not be able to address all of that market, as this does include hardware, implementation, etc., but even a couple of percentage points of market share would turn into a $1+ billion a year business. Considering that defense is just one of many markets Palantir Technologies is able to address, this seems highly encouraging - especially when we consider that Palantir is doing around $1.5 billion in revenue this year across all markets the company is active in.</p><p><blockquote>美国国家人工智能安全委员会预测，到2030年，人工智能研发投资将增长至接近800亿美元。Palantir Technologies将无法解决所有市场，因为这确实包括硬件、实施等。，但即使是几个百分点的市场份额也会变成每年超过10亿美元的业务。考虑到国防只是Palantir Technologies能够解决的众多市场之一，这似乎非常令人鼓舞——特别是当我们考虑到Palantir今年在该公司活跃的所有市场的收入约为15亿美元时。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies has, thanks to other contracts with military customers, proven that the US Army contract was not an outlier. Instead, Palantir seems to work well with defense customers, which is why the company gets chosen for new contracts again and again - even by the US&nbsp;Space Force.</p><p><blockquote>得益于与军事客户的其他合同，Palantir Technologies证明了美国陆军合同并非例外。相反，Palantir似乎与国防客户合作良好，这就是为什么该公司一次又一次地被选中签订新合同——甚至被美国太空军选中。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Stock Forecast</b></p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR库存预测</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's management believes that the company will be the most important software player in the world one day, and even though I believe that this is far from guaranteed, I do believe that Palantir has massive growth potential for many years to come. Its solutions could have a huge impact in commerce as well as in the military and security fields. Thanks to close relations with customers (as laid out above), a proven track record, and strong talent - which is why stock-based compensation is so high, as that talent is expensive - Palantir should be able to deliver huge revenue growth throughout the 2020s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的管理层相信，该公司有一天将成为世界上最重要的软件公司，尽管我认为这远不能保证，但我确实相信Palantir在未来许多年都具有巨大的增长潜力。它的解决方案可能会在商业以及军事和安全领域产生巨大影响。得益于与客户的密切关系（如上所述）、良好的业绩记录和强大的人才——这就是股票薪酬如此之高的原因，因为人才价格昂贵——Palantir应该能够在整个2020年代实现巨大的收入增长。</blockquote></p><p> Management believes that revenue in 2024 will come in around $4 billion, and that aligns pretty well with&nbsp;analyst estimates. During its four quarters as a publicly traded company, Palantir has beaten analyst estimates on both lines four times, thus the company is establishing a pretty clear track record of outperforming expectations. It is, of course, not guaranteed that this will happen in the future, too, but I do believe that there is a pretty solid chance that Palantir could generate more than $4 billion in revenue in 2024. Let's still go with the $4 billion estimate and assume that revenue grows by 30% for the following three years, and by 25% between 2028 and 2030. If that were to happen, then Palantir would generate revenue of $17 billion in 2030, which would pencil out to a ~11x increase in nine years. What could a company with $17 billion in annual sales and 25% revenue growth be valued at?</p><p><blockquote>管理层认为2024年的收入将达到40亿美元左右，这与分析师的预期非常一致。在作为上市公司的四个季度中，Palantir在这两条线上四次超出了分析师的预期，因此该公司正在建立一个非常明确的超出预期的业绩记录。当然，不能保证这种情况在未来也会发生，但我确实相信Palantir很有可能在2024年产生超过40亿美元的收入。我们仍然采用40亿美元的估计，并假设未来三年收入增长30%，2028年至2030年间增长25%。如果这种情况发生，那么Palantir到2030年的收入将达到170亿美元，预计九年内将增长约11倍。一家年销售额170亿美元、收入增长25%的公司的估值是多少？</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52c4b159657eb14f408b680d91dd91ca\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Major software players such as Microsoft (MSFT), Salesforce.com (CRM), and Adobe (ADBE) are growing by 15%-25% right now, and trade for 11x to 19x this year's sales today. Considering that Palantir does, in our scenario, grow a little faster than these three companies, a 15x sales multiple does not seem outrageous at all, I believe. Based on estimated sales of $17 billion, this gets us to a market capitalization of $255 billion nine years from now, or roughly 5.3x as much as today's market capitalization of $48 billion. This does, however, not mean that PLTR will see its shares climb by 430%, as we also have to consider the company's share count, which has been rising and which will likely continue to rise. It is hard to forecast where exactly the share count will stand nine years from now, as we don't know the trajectory of future share-based compensation and since PLTR might start to repurchase shares in the future. If we assume that the share count rises by 100 million a year (the share count has risen by 80 million shares over the last year, per YCharts), that pencils out to a share count of ~2.9 billion in 2030. Based on an expected market capitalization of $255 billion, this gets us to a share price of around $90 - or roughly 3.5x as much as today. In other words, if this scenario comes true, investors will generate a 9-year return of around 250%, or roughly 15% a year. That is not as outstanding as the returns one would have gotten when one held AMZN(AMZN)over the last nine years, for example, but an annual return in the ballpark of 15% is still highly attractive, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>微软(MSFT)、Salesforce.com(CRM)和Adobe(ADBE)等主要软件公司目前的增长率为15%-25%，目前的交易价格是今年销售额的11至19倍。考虑到在我们的场景中，Palantir的增长速度确实比这三家公司快一点，我相信15倍的销售倍数似乎一点也不离谱。根据170亿美元的估计销售额，九年后我们的市值将达到2550亿美元，大约是当今480亿美元市值的5.3倍。然而，这并不意味着PLTR的股价将上涨430%，因为我们还必须考虑该公司的股票数量，该数量一直在上升，并且可能会继续上升。很难预测九年后股票数量的确切情况，因为我们不知道未来股权薪酬的轨迹，而且PLTR未来可能会开始回购股票。如果我们假设股票数量每年增加1亿股（根据YCharts的数据，去年股票数量增加了8000万股），那么2030年股票数量将达到约29亿股。根据2550亿美元的预期市值，我们的股价约为90美元，大约是今天的3.5倍。换句话说，如果这种情况成真，投资者将获得250%左右的9年回报率，即每年约15%。例如，这并不像过去九年持有AMZN(AMZN)时获得的回报那么出色，但我相信15%左右的年回报率仍然非常有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> One can, of course, argue that this scenario is not realistic and that the growth rate should be higher or lower, or that the sales multiple in 2030 should be different. Still, I believe that this is a solid base case scenario that<i>might</i>be on the conservative side, considering Palantir Technologies' large potential across many different industries.</p><p><blockquote>当然，人们可以认为这种情况是不现实的，增长率应该更高或更低，或者2030年的销售倍数应该不同。尽管如此，我相信这是一个可靠的基本情况<i>可能</i>考虑到Palantir Technologies在许多不同行业的巨大潜力，请保持保守。</blockquote></p><p> <b>PLTR Stock: Is Now A Good Time To Buy Or Sell?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>PLTR股票：现在是买入或卖出的好时机吗？</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir is a very different stock compared to what I mostly cover, and what I primarily invest in. At current prices, PLTR looks quite expensive at first sight, trading at ~150x forward earnings. The company, however, offers massive growth potential, attractive fundamentals, and has a huge moat that could grow further once PLTR is IL-6 DoD approved.</p><p><blockquote>与我主要报道的股票和我主要投资的股票相比，Palantir是一只非常不同的股票。按照目前的价格，PLTR乍一看似乎相当昂贵，其预期市盈率约为150倍。然而，该公司提供了巨大的增长潜力、有吸引力的基本面，并且拥有巨大的护城河，一旦PLTR获得IL-6国防部批准，该护城河可能会进一步增长。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir is not a low-risk stock, as the company is, like other high-growth stocks trading at high valuations, vulnerable to interest rate movements. On top of that, profitability has not been proven on a lasting basis yet, and we don't know the trajectory of share-based compensation expenses.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir不是一只低风险股票，因为该公司与其他高估值交易的高增长股票一样，容易受到利率变动的影响。最重要的是，盈利能力尚未得到持久的证实，我们也不知道股权激励费用的轨迹。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, I believe that Palantir is a high-growth company that could deliver double-digit total returns in the long run, and due to a huge and fast-growing addressable market and a wide moat, I am willing to invest in this company - unlike many other highly-valued growth companies that I deem unattractive. Whether Palantir Technologies is a good fit for your portfolio depends on your individual goals and risk tolerance, of course, but I wouldn't be surprised to see PLTR rise at least three-fold by the end of the decade.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，我相信Palantir是一家高增长公司，从长远来看可以带来两位数的总回报，并且由于巨大且快速增长的潜在市场和宽阔的护城河，我愿意投资这家公司——不像许多其他我认为没有吸引力的高估值成长型公司。当然，Palantir Technologies是否适合您的投资组合取决于您的个人目标和风险承受能力，但如果PLTR到本世纪末至少增长三倍，我不会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is This an Income Stream Which Induces Fear?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这是一种引发恐惧的收入来源吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a958be03c050d5cdb47e6524217c231\" tg-width=\"542\" tg-height=\"324\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The primary goal of the&nbsp;Cash Flow Kingdom Income Portfolio&nbsp;is to produce an overall yield in the 7% - 10% range. We accomplish this by combining several different income streams to form an attractive, steady portfolio payout. The portfolio's price can fluctuate, but the income stream remains consistent.</p><p><blockquote>现金流王国收益投资组合的主要目标是产生7%-10%范围内的总体收益率。我们通过结合几种不同的收入流来形成有吸引力、稳定的投资组合支出来实现这一目标。投资组合的价格可能会波动，但收入流保持一致。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4461220-palantir-stock-price-prediction\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4461220-palantir-stock-price-prediction","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177255738","content_text":"Summary\n\nPalantir's US Army contract is huge news for the company due to the contract's large size. The bigger picture is important as well - PLTR is highly competitive and trusted.\nPLTR is one of just four IL-5 DoD-certified companies and is moving to IL-6, which should increase its moat further.\nThe company is seemingly expensive on a profit basis, but when we consider PLTR's growth outlook, shares could be a pretty good investment, nevertheless.\n\nScott Olson/Getty Images News\nArticle Thesis\nPalantir Technologies (PLTR) remains a highly exciting, fast-growing tech company that continues to trade at an expensive valuation. The recent contract with the US Army shows, again, that its proprietary solutions are in a class of their own and that Palantir Technologies is very entrenched in government bodies, which should allow the company to deliver strong growth for many years. Palantir Technologies is not a low-risk pick, but I do believe that, in the long run, investors could see sizeable gains from this stock.\nPalantir & US Army Contract\nIn early October, Palantir Technologies announced that it was selected by the US Army for a contract worth $823 million that will see the company deliver the Army Intelligence data fabric and analytics foundation for the Capability Drop 2 (CD-2) program.\nFor a company like Palantir, which generates revenue of around $1.5 billion a year right now, an $800+ million contract is huge, of course, but it should be noted that this contract will not see Palantir capture all of that revenue in a short period of time. On top of that, not necessarily all of that revenue will go to Palantir Technologies, as other vendors, e.g., for hardware, might take some share of the contract as well. A more bearish analyst noted that the administration has requested around $100 million for that contract in fiscal 2022, suggesting that it will take several years for Palantir to capture all of the revenue from that contract.\nStill, this contract is a major positive, I believe, due to several reasons. First, the decision by the US Army to award the contract to Palantir Technologies suggests that Palantir remains a forerunner on a tech basis in the defense space, despite some analysts and commenters believing that Palantir's offering/services are very commoditized. If that were the case, the contract would likely have gone to a different company that sells its services and products at lower prices - remember that Palantir demands gross margins north of 70% on a company-wide basis. Customers would not be willing to pay that much for a commoditized product that could be supplied by anyone.\nThe contract award by the US Army for such a large single contract also indicates that officials see Palantir as capable of delivering on large-scale contracts, despite the fact that Palantir Technologies is, by revenue and employer count, not a very large company today. Officials seem to believe that Palantir is able to execute well on these contracts, which, in turn, suggests that Palantir should have a good chance of getting other contracts of a similar size in the future.\nPalantir's strong position in the defense space versus possible competitors is also indicated by the fact that Palantir Technologies is one of just four companies with a level 5 (IL-5) Department of Defense SaaS approval:\nSource: Palantir\nThis alone gives Palantir a major edge versus competitors that are not approved for services this critical. Once Palantir moves to IL-6 approval - at which point the company could also handle DoD classified information - Palantir's moat versus competitors should grow further. Palantir's management believes that this will happen in the foreseeable future and that Palantir will likely be the first company to receive IL-6 approval overall. The defense market could be a huge market opportunity for Palantir Technologies over the next couple of years:\nSource: nscai.gov (page 67 of full report)\nThe National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence forecasts that AI R&D investments will grow to close to $80 billion by 2030. Palantir Technologies will not be able to address all of that market, as this does include hardware, implementation, etc., but even a couple of percentage points of market share would turn into a $1+ billion a year business. Considering that defense is just one of many markets Palantir Technologies is able to address, this seems highly encouraging - especially when we consider that Palantir is doing around $1.5 billion in revenue this year across all markets the company is active in.\nPalantir Technologies has, thanks to other contracts with military customers, proven that the US Army contract was not an outlier. Instead, Palantir seems to work well with defense customers, which is why the company gets chosen for new contracts again and again - even by the US Space Force.\nPLTR Stock Forecast\nPalantir's management believes that the company will be the most important software player in the world one day, and even though I believe that this is far from guaranteed, I do believe that Palantir has massive growth potential for many years to come. Its solutions could have a huge impact in commerce as well as in the military and security fields. Thanks to close relations with customers (as laid out above), a proven track record, and strong talent - which is why stock-based compensation is so high, as that talent is expensive - Palantir should be able to deliver huge revenue growth throughout the 2020s.\nManagement believes that revenue in 2024 will come in around $4 billion, and that aligns pretty well with analyst estimates. During its four quarters as a publicly traded company, Palantir has beaten analyst estimates on both lines four times, thus the company is establishing a pretty clear track record of outperforming expectations. It is, of course, not guaranteed that this will happen in the future, too, but I do believe that there is a pretty solid chance that Palantir could generate more than $4 billion in revenue in 2024. Let's still go with the $4 billion estimate and assume that revenue grows by 30% for the following three years, and by 25% between 2028 and 2030. If that were to happen, then Palantir would generate revenue of $17 billion in 2030, which would pencil out to a ~11x increase in nine years. What could a company with $17 billion in annual sales and 25% revenue growth be valued at?\nData by YCharts\nMajor software players such as Microsoft (MSFT), Salesforce.com (CRM), and Adobe (ADBE) are growing by 15%-25% right now, and trade for 11x to 19x this year's sales today. Considering that Palantir does, in our scenario, grow a little faster than these three companies, a 15x sales multiple does not seem outrageous at all, I believe. Based on estimated sales of $17 billion, this gets us to a market capitalization of $255 billion nine years from now, or roughly 5.3x as much as today's market capitalization of $48 billion. This does, however, not mean that PLTR will see its shares climb by 430%, as we also have to consider the company's share count, which has been rising and which will likely continue to rise. It is hard to forecast where exactly the share count will stand nine years from now, as we don't know the trajectory of future share-based compensation and since PLTR might start to repurchase shares in the future. If we assume that the share count rises by 100 million a year (the share count has risen by 80 million shares over the last year, per YCharts), that pencils out to a share count of ~2.9 billion in 2030. Based on an expected market capitalization of $255 billion, this gets us to a share price of around $90 - or roughly 3.5x as much as today. In other words, if this scenario comes true, investors will generate a 9-year return of around 250%, or roughly 15% a year. That is not as outstanding as the returns one would have gotten when one held AMZN(AMZN)over the last nine years, for example, but an annual return in the ballpark of 15% is still highly attractive, I believe.\nOne can, of course, argue that this scenario is not realistic and that the growth rate should be higher or lower, or that the sales multiple in 2030 should be different. Still, I believe that this is a solid base case scenario thatmightbe on the conservative side, considering Palantir Technologies' large potential across many different industries.\nPLTR Stock: Is Now A Good Time To Buy Or Sell?\nPalantir is a very different stock compared to what I mostly cover, and what I primarily invest in. At current prices, PLTR looks quite expensive at first sight, trading at ~150x forward earnings. The company, however, offers massive growth potential, attractive fundamentals, and has a huge moat that could grow further once PLTR is IL-6 DoD approved.\nPalantir is not a low-risk stock, as the company is, like other high-growth stocks trading at high valuations, vulnerable to interest rate movements. On top of that, profitability has not been proven on a lasting basis yet, and we don't know the trajectory of share-based compensation expenses.\nNevertheless, I believe that Palantir is a high-growth company that could deliver double-digit total returns in the long run, and due to a huge and fast-growing addressable market and a wide moat, I am willing to invest in this company - unlike many other highly-valued growth companies that I deem unattractive. Whether Palantir Technologies is a good fit for your portfolio depends on your individual goals and risk tolerance, of course, but I wouldn't be surprised to see PLTR rise at least three-fold by the end of the decade.\nIs This an Income Stream Which Induces Fear?\n\nThe primary goal of the Cash Flow Kingdom Income Portfolio is to produce an overall yield in the 7% - 10% range. We accomplish this by combining several different income streams to form an attractive, steady portfolio payout. The portfolio's price can fluctuate, but the income stream remains consistent.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3942,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851577013,"gmtCreate":1634917081850,"gmtModify":1634917083492,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561962801944040","authorIdStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"mmm","listText":"mmm","text":"mmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851577013","repostId":"1125111938","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853591436,"gmtCreate":1634822815607,"gmtModify":1634822815890,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561962801944040","authorIdStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853591436","repostId":"1190831877","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859770094,"gmtCreate":1634738582186,"gmtModify":1634738842753,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561962801944040","authorIdStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859770094","repostId":"2176438191","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3580,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":859353828,"gmtCreate":1634657628200,"gmtModify":1634657628517,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561962801944040","authorIdStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"currently&nbsp;","listText":"currently&nbsp;","text":"currently","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859353828","repostId":"1183104478","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":955,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850175080,"gmtCreate":1634567847857,"gmtModify":1634568101458,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561962801944040","authorIdStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"turn for better?&nbsp;","listText":"turn for better?&nbsp;","text":"turn for better?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850175080","repostId":"1109676782","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109676782","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634567022,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109676782?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 22:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Most of China tech names rally in morning trading<blockquote>大多数中国科技股早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109676782","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Oct 18) Most of China tech names rally in morning trading.","content":"<p>(Oct&nbsp;18)&nbsp;Most of China tech names rally in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（10月18日）大多数中国科技股在早盘交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611ec60978c7f86babb3c35b4bc0b892\" tg-width=\"342\" tg-height=\"837\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Most of China tech names rally in morning trading<blockquote>大多数中国科技股早盘上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMost of China tech names rally in morning trading<blockquote>大多数中国科技股早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-18 22:23</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Oct&nbsp;18)&nbsp;Most of China tech names rally in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（10月18日）大多数中国科技股在早盘交易中上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/611ec60978c7f86babb3c35b4bc0b892\" tg-width=\"342\" tg-height=\"837\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109676782","content_text":"(Oct 18) Most of China tech names rally in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1129,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827924651,"gmtCreate":1634394199845,"gmtModify":1634394200154,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561962801944040","authorIdStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good news","listText":"Good news","text":"Good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827924651","repostId":"1132582737","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132582737","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1634311475,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132582737?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-15 23:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"JPMorgan On Amazon Stock: 29% Upside Potential<blockquote>摩根大通看好亚马逊股票：29%的上涨潜力</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132582737","media":"TheStreet","summary":"Amazon stock has fallen victim of its own success: shares of the e-commerce giant have lagged the S&","content":"<p>Amazon stock has fallen victim of its own success: shares of the e-commerce giant have lagged the S&amp;P 500 since its disappointing Q2 earnings day. But JPMorgan is optimistic and sees upside ahead.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票已成为其自身成功的受害者：自令人失望的第二季度财报日以来，这家电子商务巨头的股价一直落后于标普500。但摩根大通持乐观态度，并看到了未来的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Since the release of Amazon’s most recent earnings report, investors have watched shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant tank by 11%. Amazon stock&nbsp;underperformed an already weak S&amp;P 500 by three percentage points over the period, leaving some to question: is AMZN still a good investment?</p><p><blockquote>自亚马逊最新财报发布以来，投资者关注这家云和电子商务巨头的股价下跌了11%。在此期间，亚马逊股票的表现落后于本已疲软的标普500三个百分点，这让一些人质疑：亚马逊仍然是一项好的投资吗？</blockquote></p><p> According to experts at JPMorgan (JPM), the answer is yes. Today, the Amazon Maven presents the main reasons why five-star&nbsp;rated&nbsp;analyst Doug Anmuth believes that Amazon stock is about to surge, producing an estimated 29% in gains through 2022.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通（JPM）专家表示，答案是肯定的。今天，亚马逊专家介绍了五星级分析师Doug Anmuth认为亚马逊股票即将飙升的主要原因，预计到2022年将上涨29%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8e5f4ca5aa3dba7bef61858521bd17\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: J.P. Morgan offices in Hong Kong.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：摩根大通香港办事处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Getting back on track</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回到正轨</b></blockquote></p><p> As the&nbsp;Amazon Maven mentioned&nbsp;recently, the impact of the pandemic on shopping habits led analysts to overestimate Amazon’s revenues for the current year. This is the very first reason why JPMorgan&nbsp;believes&nbsp;that AMZN will get a green light to climb again: “[the stock is heading] closer to the last quarter of difficult COVID-19 comps in the first quarter of 2022\", which should help to reset sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>正如亚马逊专家最近提到的，疫情对购物习惯的影响导致分析师高估了亚马逊今年的收入。这就是摩根大通认为AMZN将获得再次攀升的第一个原因：“[该股正在]接近2022年第一季度困难的COVID-19比较的最后一个季度”，这应该有助于重置情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Once 2020 results are left in the rearview mirror, the e-commerce company will face more realistic, non-pandemic-inflated projections. As mentioned by Mr. Anmuth himself, \"further downward revisions to 2022 profit estimates would help lower the bar and potentially create more of a clearing event”.</p><p><blockquote>一旦2020年的业绩成为过去，这家电子商务公司将面临更现实、非疫情夸大的预测。正如Anmuth先生本人所提到的，“进一步下调2022年利润预期将有助于降低门槛，并可能引发更多清算事件”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Holiday upside</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假日上行空间</b></blockquote></p><p> Another reason why Mr. Anmuth believes Amazon stock will head higher is the beginning of the holiday season. Since the market has been so cautious towards AMZN lately, the stock has been trading at lower multiples than would otherwise be considered reasonable. The holidays, on the other hand, could be the bullish catalyst that investors need to own the stock again.</p><p><blockquote>安穆斯认为亚马逊股价将走高的另一个原因是假期的开始。由于市场最近对亚马逊非常谨慎，该股的市盈率一直低于合理的市盈率。另一方面，假期可能是投资者需要再次持有该股的看涨催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, there is the potential for an increase in Prime subscription price in 2022. Considering an estimated 150 million US Prime members in 2021, a $20 dollar hike in annual fee would lead to an extra $3 billion heading towards Amazon’s coffers.</p><p><blockquote>最后，2022年Prime订阅价格有可能上涨。考虑到2021年估计有1.5亿美国Prime会员，年费上涨20美元将导致亚马逊的金库额外增加30亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance, the figure may not seem like much, given Amazon’s revenues of $380 billion in 2020. However, keep in mind that nearly all the price increase would flow cleanly into Amazon’s operating income. On a 2020 basis, this would represent growth of nearly 15% in pre-tax profits.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，考虑到亚马逊2020年的收入为3800亿美元，这个数字似乎并不多。然而，请记住，几乎所有的价格上涨都会干净地流入亚马逊的营业收入。以2020年为基础，这将意味着税前利润增长近15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What do other experts say?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他专家怎么说？</b></blockquote></p><p> Other reports published recently also support the bullish thesis. Mark Mahaney from Evercore ISI&nbsp;talked&nbsp;to 15 industry experts, including former Amazon employees, during the research firm’s Amazon Day Symposium. The analyst liked what he saw and issued a hefty $4,700 target price.</p><p><blockquote>最近发表的其他报告也支持看涨论点。Evercore ISI的Mark Mahaney在该研究公司的亚马逊日研讨会上与15名行业专家进行了交谈，其中包括前亚马逊员工。这位分析师很喜欢他所看到的，并给出了4,700美元的高额目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfe Research’s Deepak Mathivanan, on the other hand,lowered&nbsp;his price target on AMZN modestly to $3,850 from $3,900, despite maintaining an outperform rating. Sitting closer to the consensus price target is Goldman Sachs’ Eric Sheridan, who is bullish and&nbsp;believes&nbsp;that AMZN shares are worth $4,250.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，Wolfe Research的Deepak Mathivanan将AMZN的目标价从3,900美元小幅下调至3,850美元，尽管维持跑赢大盘评级。高盛(Goldman Sachs)的埃里克·谢里丹(Eric Sheridan)更接近共识目标价，他看好AMZN股票价值4,250美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan On Amazon Stock: 29% Upside Potential<blockquote>摩根大通看好亚马逊股票：29%的上涨潜力</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan On Amazon Stock: 29% Upside Potential<blockquote>摩根大通看好亚马逊股票：29%的上涨潜力</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-15 23:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Amazon stock has fallen victim of its own success: shares of the e-commerce giant have lagged the S&amp;P 500 since its disappointing Q2 earnings day. But JPMorgan is optimistic and sees upside ahead.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊股票已成为其自身成功的受害者：自令人失望的第二季度财报日以来，这家电子商务巨头的股价一直落后于标普500。但摩根大通持乐观态度，并看到了未来的上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> Since the release of Amazon’s most recent earnings report, investors have watched shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant tank by 11%. Amazon stock&nbsp;underperformed an already weak S&amp;P 500 by three percentage points over the period, leaving some to question: is AMZN still a good investment?</p><p><blockquote>自亚马逊最新财报发布以来，投资者关注这家云和电子商务巨头的股价下跌了11%。在此期间，亚马逊股票的表现落后于本已疲软的标普500三个百分点，这让一些人质疑：亚马逊仍然是一项好的投资吗？</blockquote></p><p> According to experts at JPMorgan (JPM), the answer is yes. Today, the Amazon Maven presents the main reasons why five-star&nbsp;rated&nbsp;analyst Doug Anmuth believes that Amazon stock is about to surge, producing an estimated 29% in gains through 2022.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通（JPM）专家表示，答案是肯定的。今天，亚马逊专家介绍了五星级分析师Doug Anmuth认为亚马逊股票即将飙升的主要原因，预计到2022年将上涨29%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8e5f4ca5aa3dba7bef61858521bd17\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"827\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Figure 1: J.P. Morgan offices in Hong Kong.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图1：摩根大通香港办事处。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Getting back on track</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回到正轨</b></blockquote></p><p> As the&nbsp;Amazon Maven mentioned&nbsp;recently, the impact of the pandemic on shopping habits led analysts to overestimate Amazon’s revenues for the current year. This is the very first reason why JPMorgan&nbsp;believes&nbsp;that AMZN will get a green light to climb again: “[the stock is heading] closer to the last quarter of difficult COVID-19 comps in the first quarter of 2022\", which should help to reset sentiment.</p><p><blockquote>正如亚马逊专家最近提到的，疫情对购物习惯的影响导致分析师高估了亚马逊今年的收入。这就是摩根大通认为AMZN将获得再次攀升的第一个原因：“[该股正在]接近2022年第一季度困难的COVID-19比较的最后一个季度”，这应该有助于重置情绪。</blockquote></p><p> Once 2020 results are left in the rearview mirror, the e-commerce company will face more realistic, non-pandemic-inflated projections. As mentioned by Mr. Anmuth himself, \"further downward revisions to 2022 profit estimates would help lower the bar and potentially create more of a clearing event”.</p><p><blockquote>一旦2020年的业绩成为过去，这家电子商务公司将面临更现实、非疫情夸大的预测。正如Anmuth先生本人所提到的，“进一步下调2022年利润预期将有助于降低门槛，并可能引发更多清算事件”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Holiday upside</b></p><p><blockquote><b>假日上行空间</b></blockquote></p><p> Another reason why Mr. Anmuth believes Amazon stock will head higher is the beginning of the holiday season. Since the market has been so cautious towards AMZN lately, the stock has been trading at lower multiples than would otherwise be considered reasonable. The holidays, on the other hand, could be the bullish catalyst that investors need to own the stock again.</p><p><blockquote>安穆斯认为亚马逊股价将走高的另一个原因是假期的开始。由于市场最近对亚马逊非常谨慎，该股的市盈率一直低于合理的市盈率。另一方面，假期可能是投资者需要再次持有该股的看涨催化剂。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, there is the potential for an increase in Prime subscription price in 2022. Considering an estimated 150 million US Prime members in 2021, a $20 dollar hike in annual fee would lead to an extra $3 billion heading towards Amazon’s coffers.</p><p><blockquote>最后，2022年Prime订阅价格有可能上涨。考虑到2021年估计有1.5亿美国Prime会员，年费上涨20美元将导致亚马逊的金库额外增加30亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> At first glance, the figure may not seem like much, given Amazon’s revenues of $380 billion in 2020. However, keep in mind that nearly all the price increase would flow cleanly into Amazon’s operating income. On a 2020 basis, this would represent growth of nearly 15% in pre-tax profits.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看，考虑到亚马逊2020年的收入为3800亿美元，这个数字似乎并不多。然而，请记住，几乎所有的价格上涨都会干净地流入亚马逊的营业收入。以2020年为基础，这将意味着税前利润增长近15%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What do other experts say?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他专家怎么说？</b></blockquote></p><p> Other reports published recently also support the bullish thesis. Mark Mahaney from Evercore ISI&nbsp;talked&nbsp;to 15 industry experts, including former Amazon employees, during the research firm’s Amazon Day Symposium. The analyst liked what he saw and issued a hefty $4,700 target price.</p><p><blockquote>最近发表的其他报告也支持看涨论点。Evercore ISI的Mark Mahaney在该研究公司的亚马逊日研讨会上与15名行业专家进行了交谈，其中包括前亚马逊员工。这位分析师很喜欢他所看到的，并给出了4,700美元的高额目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Wolfe Research’s Deepak Mathivanan, on the other hand,lowered&nbsp;his price target on AMZN modestly to $3,850 from $3,900, despite maintaining an outperform rating. Sitting closer to the consensus price target is Goldman Sachs’ Eric Sheridan, who is bullish and&nbsp;believes&nbsp;that AMZN shares are worth $4,250.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，Wolfe Research的Deepak Mathivanan将AMZN的目标价从3,900美元小幅下调至3,850美元，尽管维持跑赢大盘评级。高盛(Goldman Sachs)的埃里克·谢里丹(Eric Sheridan)更接近共识目标价，他看好AMZN股票价值4,250美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/news/jpmorgan-on-amazon-stock-29-upside-potential\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/amazon/news/jpmorgan-on-amazon-stock-29-upside-potential","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132582737","content_text":"Amazon stock has fallen victim of its own success: shares of the e-commerce giant have lagged the S&P 500 since its disappointing Q2 earnings day. But JPMorgan is optimistic and sees upside ahead.\nSince the release of Amazon’s most recent earnings report, investors have watched shares of the cloud and e-commerce giant tank by 11%. Amazon stock underperformed an already weak S&P 500 by three percentage points over the period, leaving some to question: is AMZN still a good investment?\nAccording to experts at JPMorgan (JPM), the answer is yes. Today, the Amazon Maven presents the main reasons why five-star rated analyst Doug Anmuth believes that Amazon stock is about to surge, producing an estimated 29% in gains through 2022.\nFigure 1: J.P. Morgan offices in Hong Kong.\nGetting back on track\nAs the Amazon Maven mentioned recently, the impact of the pandemic on shopping habits led analysts to overestimate Amazon’s revenues for the current year. This is the very first reason why JPMorgan believes that AMZN will get a green light to climb again: “[the stock is heading] closer to the last quarter of difficult COVID-19 comps in the first quarter of 2022\", which should help to reset sentiment.\nOnce 2020 results are left in the rearview mirror, the e-commerce company will face more realistic, non-pandemic-inflated projections. As mentioned by Mr. Anmuth himself, \"further downward revisions to 2022 profit estimates would help lower the bar and potentially create more of a clearing event”.\nHoliday upside\nAnother reason why Mr. Anmuth believes Amazon stock will head higher is the beginning of the holiday season. Since the market has been so cautious towards AMZN lately, the stock has been trading at lower multiples than would otherwise be considered reasonable. The holidays, on the other hand, could be the bullish catalyst that investors need to own the stock again.\nLastly, there is the potential for an increase in Prime subscription price in 2022. Considering an estimated 150 million US Prime members in 2021, a $20 dollar hike in annual fee would lead to an extra $3 billion heading towards Amazon’s coffers.\nAt first glance, the figure may not seem like much, given Amazon’s revenues of $380 billion in 2020. However, keep in mind that nearly all the price increase would flow cleanly into Amazon’s operating income. On a 2020 basis, this would represent growth of nearly 15% in pre-tax profits.\nWhat do other experts say?\nOther reports published recently also support the bullish thesis. Mark Mahaney from Evercore ISI talked to 15 industry experts, including former Amazon employees, during the research firm’s Amazon Day Symposium. The analyst liked what he saw and issued a hefty $4,700 target price.\nWolfe Research’s Deepak Mathivanan, on the other hand,lowered his price target on AMZN modestly to $3,850 from $3,900, despite maintaining an outperform rating. Sitting closer to the consensus price target is Goldman Sachs’ Eric Sheridan, who is bullish and believes that AMZN shares are worth $4,250.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1128,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825683834,"gmtCreate":1634221652682,"gmtModify":1634221652808,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561962801944040","authorIdStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Pp willing to spend now","listText":"Pp willing to spend now","text":"Pp willing to spend now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825683834","repostId":"1109826577","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109826577","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634221020,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1109826577?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 22:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Square,PayPal and Coinbase all rose more than 3%<blockquote>Square、PayPal、Coinbase均涨超3%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109826577","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"FinTech stocks Square,PayPal and Coinbase all rose more than 3% in Monday morning trading.","content":"<p>FinTech stocks Square,PayPal and Coinbase all rose more than 3% in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>金融科技股Square、PayPal和Coinbase在周一早盘交易中均上涨超过3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c303d1cb3b24421d59af94b8b9aaac92\" tg-width=\"403\" tg-height=\"175\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Square,PayPal and Coinbase all rose more than 3%<blockquote>Square、PayPal、Coinbase均涨超3%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSquare,PayPal and Coinbase all rose more than 3%<blockquote>Square、PayPal、Coinbase均涨超3%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-14 22:17</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>FinTech stocks Square,PayPal and Coinbase all rose more than 3% in Monday morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>金融科技股Square、PayPal和Coinbase在周一早盘交易中均上涨超过3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c303d1cb3b24421d59af94b8b9aaac92\" tg-width=\"403\" tg-height=\"175\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","PYPL":"PayPal"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109826577","content_text":"FinTech stocks Square,PayPal and Coinbase all rose more than 3% in Monday morning 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dip","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/320990287","repostId":"1169596583","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169596583","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1614958557,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169596583?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-05 23:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169596583","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.","content":"<p>(March 5)&nbsp;Palantir plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir plunged more than 13%<blockquote>Palantir暴跌超13%</blockquote></title>\n<style 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plunged more than 13%.</p><p><blockquote>（3月5日）Palantir暴跌超13%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13f756ec57cca85c31b6be070941d7c1\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"499\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169596583","content_text":"(March 5) Palantir plunged more than 13%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":854192920,"gmtCreate":1635426414481,"gmtModify":1635426534948,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561962801944040","idStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"do due diligent&nbsp;","listText":"do due diligent&nbsp;","text":"do due 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loaded","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119274326","repostId":"1150448548","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":100650926,"gmtCreate":1619611497765,"gmtModify":1634211362735,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561962801944040","idStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up, up and away","listText":"Up, up and away","text":"Up, up and away","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/100650926","repostId":"1184339569","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184339569","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619608160,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184339569?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-28 19:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Shopify rose more than 4% in premarket trading<blockquote>Shopify盘前交易涨超4%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184339569","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Shopify rose more than 4% in premarket trading, turned losses into profits in the first quarter, and","content":"<p>Shopify rose more than 4% in premarket trading, turned losses into profits in the first quarter, and its net profit greatly exceeded market expectations.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify盘前涨超4%，一季度扭亏为盈，净利润大超市场预期。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3260a6cb6d3a6257f11506706b718215\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Shopify Announces First-Quarter 2021 Financial Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Shopify公布2021年第一季度财务业绩</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-Quarter Revenue Growth Accelerates to 110% on GMV Growth of 114% Year on Year</li><li><i>Shopify reports in U.S. dollars and in accordance with U.S. GAAP</i></li></ul>Internet, Everywhere--(Newsfile Corp. - April 28, 2021) - Shopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP) (TSX: SHOP), a leading global commerce company, announced today strong financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2021.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一季度营收增速加速至110%，GMV同比增长114%</li><li><i>Shopify以美元并根据美国公认会计原则进行报告</i></li></ul>互联网，无处不在-（新闻档案公司-2021年4月28日）-全球领先的商业公司Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所代码：SHOP）（多伦多证券交易所代码：SHOP）今天宣布了截至2021年3月31日的季度强劲财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>\"More entrepreneurs around the world are choosing Shopify to launch and grow their businesses, and for good reason,\" said Harley Finkelstein, Shopify's President. \"Our singular focus is on making entrepreneurship easier, and making it easier for entrepreneurs to succeed. Merchant sales growth on our platform accelerated in the first quarter as merchants leveraged our modern commerce technology, which helps them compete in any retail environment and engage directly with their customers wherever they are.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shopify总裁Harley Finkelstein表示：“世界各地越来越多的企业家选择Shopify来启动和发展业务，这是有充分理由的。”“我们的唯一重点是让创业变得更容易，让企业家更容易取得成功。随着商家利用我们的现代商务技术，我们平台上的商家销售额在第一季度加速增长，这有助于他们在任何零售环境中竞争并直接参与他们的客户无论他们身在何处。”</blockquote></p><p>\"Shopify's momentum continued into 2021 as digital commerce tailwinds remained strong and merchants took advantage of the range of capabilities offered by our platform,\" said Amy Shapero, Shopify's CFO. \"We are focused on building a commerce operating system that will help shape the future of retail. Our merchant-first business model positions us to capture the massive opportunity presented by the growth of digital commerce, benefiting both our merchants and Shopify.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shopify首席财务官Amy Shapero表示：“由于数字商务的推动力依然强劲，商家利用了我们平台提供的一系列功能，Shopify的势头持续到2021年。”“我们专注于构建一个有助于塑造零售业未来的商务操作系统。我们以商家为先的商业模式使我们能够抓住数字商务增长带来的巨大机遇，使我们的商家和Shopify都受益。”</blockquote></p><p><b>First-Quarter Financial Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度财务摘要</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Total revenue in the first quarter was $988.6 million, with growth accelerating to 110% year over year.</li><li>Subscription Solutions revenue was $320.7 million, with growth accelerating to 71% year over year, primarily due to more merchants joining the platform.</li><li>Merchant Solutions revenue was $668.0 million, with growth accelerating to 137%, driven primarily by the growth of Gross Merchandise Volume1(\"GMV\").</li><li>Monthly Recurring Revenue2(\"MRR\") as of March 31, 2021 was $89.9 million. Growth accelerated to 62% year-over-year with MRR up from $55.4 million as of March 31, 2020 as more merchants joined the platform and POS Pro contributed its first full quarter of revenue. Shopify Plus contributed $23.1 million, or 26%, of MRR compared with 28% of MRR as of March 31, 2020 as a result of the significantly higher number of merchants on standard plans joining the platform in the past 12 months and our first full quarter of revenue from our Retail POS Pro subscription offering.</li><li>GMV for the first quarter was $37.3 billion, an increase of $19.9 billion, with growth accelerating to 114% over the first quarter of 2020. Gross Payments Volume3(\"GPV\") grew to $17.3 billion, which accounted for 46% of GMV processed in the quarter, versus $7.3 billion, or 42%, for the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross profit dollar growth accelerated, up 117% to $558.7 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared with $257.0 million for the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>Adjusted gross profit4growth accelerated, up 114% to $565.1 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared with $263.8 million for the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>Operating income for the first quarter of 2021 was $118.9 million, or 12% of revenue, versus a loss of $73.2 million, or 16% of revenue, for the comparable period a year ago.</li><li>Adjusted operating income4for the first quarter of 2021 was $210.8 million, or 21% of revenue, compared with adjusted operating loss of $7.3 million or 2% of revenue in the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>Net income for the first quarter of 2021 was $1,258.4 million, or $9.94 per diluted share, compared with a net loss of $31.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2020. Q1 2021 net income includes a $1.3 billion unrealized gain on our equity investment in Affirm as a result of its IPO in January 2021.</li><li>Adjusted net income4for the first quarter of 2021 was $254.1 million, or $2.01 per diluted share, compared with adjusted net income of $22.3 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>At March 31, 2021, Shopify had $7.87 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, compared with $6.39 billion on December 31, 2020. The increase reflects $1.5 billion of net proceeds from Shopify's offering of Class A subordinate voting shares in the first quarter of 2021.</li></ul><b>First-Quarter Business Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度总收入为9.886亿美元，同比增长加速至110%。</li><li>订阅解决方案收入为3.207亿美元，同比增长加速至71%，这主要是由于更多商家加入该平台。</li><li>商户解决方案收入为6.68亿美元，增长加速至137%，主要受商品总量1（“GMV”）增长的推动。</li><li>截至2021年3月31日，每月经常性收入2（“MRR”）为8990万美元。随着越来越多的商家加入该平台，POS Pro贡献了其第一个完整季度的收入，MRR从截至2020年3月31日的5540万美元增长至62%。Shopify Plus贡献了2310万美元，占MRR的26%，而截至2020年3月31日，MRR的比例为28%，这是由于过去12个月加入该平台的标准计划商家数量显着增加以及我们的第一个完整季度来自我们的零售POS Pro订阅产品的收入。</li><li>第一季度GMV为373亿美元，增长199亿美元，较2020年第一季度增长加速至114%。支付总额3（“GPV”）增长至173亿美元，占本季度处理的GMV的46%，而2020年第一季度为73亿美元，占42%。</li><li>毛利润美元增长加速，2021年第一季度增长117%至5.587亿美元，而2020年第一季度为2.57亿美元。</li><li>调整后毛利润4增长加速，2021年第一季度增长114%至5.651亿美元，而2020年第一季度为2.638亿美元。</li><li>2021年第一季度营业收入为1.189亿美元，占收入的12%，而去年同期亏损7320万美元，占收入的16%。</li><li>2021年第一季度调整后营业收入4为2.108亿美元，占收入的21%，而2020年第一季度调整后营业亏损为730万美元，占收入的2%。</li><li>2021年第一季度净利润为12.584亿美元，或稀释后每股9.94美元，而2020年第一季度净亏损为3140万美元，或稀释后每股0.27美元。2021年第一季度净利润包括我们对Affirm 2021年1月首次公开募股后的13亿美元股权投资未实现收益。</li><li>2021年第一季度调整后净利润4为2.541亿美元，即稀释后每股2.01美元，而2020年第一季度调整后净利润为2230万美元，即稀释后每股0.19美元。</li><li>截至2021年3月31日，Shopify的现金、现金等价物和有价证券为78.7亿美元，而2020年12月31日为63.9亿美元。这一增长反映了Shopify在2021年第一季度发行A类次级投票权股票的15亿美元净收益。</li></ul><b>一季度业务亮点</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>Shopify continued to build the foundation of Shopify Fulfillment Network, focusing on optimizing our software and network, and introduced features that offer merchants greater insights into their inventory and increased flexibility to manage their orders.</li><li>Shopify continued to develop Shop, our all-in-one mobile shopping assistant, reducing friction for buyers with the introduction of an in-app buy button and adding more ways that merchants can be discovered, including filters to find Asian-owned businesses, women-owned businesses in March, and merchants practicing and promoting sustainable commerce. At the end of Q1 2021, Shop had more than 107 million registered users, including buyers using Shop Pay as well as the Shop App, of which more than 24 million were Monthly Active Users. At the end of March 2021, Shop Pay had facilitated over $24 billion in cumulative GMV since its launch in 2017.</li><li>Shopify announced that it had purchased more Direct Air Capture (DAC) carbon removal than any other company in history. This milestone came with our agreement to purchase 10,000 tonnes of removal from Carbon Engineering, adding to a previous 5,000-tonne commitment to Climeworks. The goal of Shopify's Sustainability Fund is to engineer market forces to get momentum behind new technologies that at scale could have a material impact on tackling climate change, and the Fund earmarks $1 million or more per year specifically for carbon sequestration.</li><li>Shopify released the documentary, \"Own the Room\", co-produced with Saville Productions for National Geographic Documentary Films, which premiered on Disney Plus in March. Own the Room showcases the real stories of five young entrepreneurs as they compete in the prestigious Global Student Entrepreneur Awards.</li><li>Merchants in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. received a record $308.6 million in merchant cash advances and loans from Shopify Capital in the first quarter of 2021, an increase of 90% versus the $162.4 million received by U.S. merchants in the first quarter of last year. Shopify Capital has grown to approximately $2.0 billion in cumulative capital advanced since its launch in April 2016, approximately $312.8 million of which was outstanding on March 31, 2021.</li><li>Shopify's partner ecosystem continued to expand, as approximately 45,800 partners referred a merchant to Shopify over the past 12 months, up 73% compared with 26,400 over the 12 months ended March 31, 2020.</li></ul><b>Subsequent to First Quarter 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Shopify继续构建Shopify履行网络的基础，专注于优化我们的软件和网络，并引入了一些功能，使商家能够更好地了解其库存并提高管理订单的灵活性。</li><li>Shopify继续开发我们的一体化移动购物助手Shop，通过引入应用内购买按钮减少买家的摩擦，并添加更多发现商家的方式，包括查找亚洲企业的过滤器、女性拥有的企业3月份拥有的企业，以及实践和促进可持续商业的商家。截至2021年第一季度末，Shop拥有超过1.07亿注册用户，包括使用Shop Pay和Shop App的买家，其中超过2400万是月活跃用户。截至2021年3月底，Shop Pay自2017年推出以来累计GMV已超过240亿美元。</li><li>Shopify宣布，它购买的直接空气捕获(DAC)碳去除量比历史上任何其他公司都多。这一里程碑伴随着我们同意从Carbon Engineering购买10,000吨清除量，增加了之前向Climeworks承诺的5,000吨清除量。Shopify可持续发展基金的目标是设计市场力量，以获得新技术背后的动力，这些新技术在规模上可能对应对气候变化产生重大影响，该基金每年专门拨款100万美元或更多用于碳封存。</li><li>Shopify发布了与Saville Productions为国家地理纪录片联合制作的纪录片《Own the Room》，于3月在Disney Plus首映。Own the Room展示了五位年轻企业家在著名的全球学生企业家奖中竞争的真实故事。</li><li>2021年第一季度，美国、加拿大和英国的商家从Shopify Capital获得了创纪录的3.086亿美元的商家现金垫款和贷款，比去年第一季度美国商家收到的1.624亿美元增长了90%。自2016年4月推出以来，Shopify Capital的累计预付资本已增长至约20亿美元，其中约3.128亿美元截至2021年3月31日尚未偿还。</li><li>Shopify的合作伙伴生态系统持续扩大，在过去12个月中，约有45,800个合作伙伴向Shopify推荐了商家，比截至2020年3月31日的12个月中的26,400个增长了73%。</li></ul><b>2021年第一季度后</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Shopify introduced a new integrated card reader using our All-New POS software in the U.K. and Ireland, strengthening our Shopify POS offering to merchants in these regions and laying the groundwork to put Shopify POS with integrated payments into the hands of new and existing merchants worldwide.</li><li>Shopify published its 2020 Global Economic Impact Report showcasing Shopify as a platform that drives substantial business growth and expansion for entrepreneurs and economies around the world. In 2020, businesses on Shopify generated over $307 billion in global economic impact, supporting over three million jobs worldwide. In addition, our partner ecosystem generated $12.5 billion in revenue as our merchants' selling drove massive volumes of economic activity.</li></ul><b>Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Shopify在英国和爱尔兰推出了一款使用我们全新POS软件的新型集成读卡器，加强了我们向这些地区商家提供的Shopify POS产品，并为将具有集成支付功能的Shopify POS提供给全球新商家和现有商家奠定了基础。</li><li>Shopify发布了2020年全球经济影响报告，展示了Shopify是一个推动全球企业家和经济体大幅业务增长和扩张的平台。2020年，Shopify上的业务对全球经济产生了超过3070亿美元的影响，支持了全球超过300万个工作岗位。此外，我们的合作伙伴生态系统创造了125亿美元的收入，因为我们商家的销售推动了大量的经济活动。</li></ul><b>世界观</b></blockquote></p><p>The outlook that follows constitutes forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws and is based on a number of assumptions and subject to a number of risks. Actual results could vary materially as a result of numerous factors, including certain risk factors, many of which are beyond Shopify's control. Please see \"Forward-looking Statements\" below.</p><p><blockquote>以下展望构成适用证券法含义内的前瞻性信息，基于多项假设并面临多项风险。由于多种因素（包括某些风险因素），实际结果可能会有很大差异，其中许多因素超出了Shopify的控制范围。请参阅下面的“前瞻性陈述”。</blockquote></p><p>In addition to the other assumptions and factors described in this press release, Shopify's outlook assumes the continuation of growth trends in our industry, our ability to manage our growth effectively, the absence of material changes in our industry or the global economy and other assumptions related to the COVID-19 pandemic, which are described in detail below. The following statements supersede all prior statements made by Shopify and are based on current expectations. As these statements are forward-looking, actual results may differ materially.</p><p><blockquote>除了本新闻稿中描述的其他假设和因素外，Shopify的展望还假设我们行业的增长趋势持续、我们有效管理增长的能力、我们的行业或全球经济没有重大变化以及其他相关假设与COVID-19大流行相关，详细描述如下。以下声明取代Shopify之前的所有声明，并基于当前的预期。由于这些陈述是前瞻性的，实际结果可能会有重大差异。</blockquote></p><p>These statements do not give effect to the potential impact of mergers, acquisitions, divestitures or business combinations that may be announced or closed after the date hereof. All numbers provided in this section are approximate.</p><p><blockquote>这些声明不考虑在本声明日期之后可能宣布或完成的合并、收购、资产剥离或业务合并的潜在影响。本节提供的所有数字均为近似值。</blockquote></p><p>Our full-year 2021 outlook is guided by assumptions that remain unchanged from February: that as countries continue to roll out vaccines in 2021 and populations are able to move about more freely, the overall economic environment will likely improve; some consumer spending will likely rotate back to offline retail and services; and the ongoing shift to ecommerce, which accelerated in 2020, will likely resume a more normalized pace of growth.</p><p><blockquote>我们的2021年全年展望以与2月份保持不变的假设为指导：随着各国在2021年继续推出疫苗，人口能够更自由地流动，整体经济环境可能会改善；一些消费者支出可能会转向线下零售和服务；2020年加速的向电子商务的持续转变可能会恢复更正常的增长速度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>In March 2021, the US government passed a coronavirus relief package, and began processing stimulus payments in early March. The benefit to Shopify's GMV from this latest round of stimulus ended in early April.</p><p><blockquote>2021年3月，美国政府通过了冠状病毒救助计划，并于3月初开始处理刺激付款。最新一轮刺激措施对Shopify GMV的好处于4月初结束。</blockquote></p><p>In view of these factors, we continue to expect to grow revenue rapidly in 2021, but at a lower rate than in 2020. For the full year 2021, we continue to expect the following:</p><p><blockquote>鉴于这些因素，我们继续预计2021年收入将快速增长，但增速低于2020年。对于2021年全年，我们继续预期：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Subscriptions solutions revenue growth to be driven by more merchants around the world joining the platform in a number lower than the record in 2020, but higher than any year prior to 2020;</li><li>The growth rates of subscription solutions and merchant solutions revenues to be more similar to each other than in the recent past, as we do not expect the surge in GMV that drove merchant solutions in 2020 to repeat;</li><li>Merchant solutions revenue growth to be driven by continued GMV growth from existing merchants, new merchants joining the platform, and expanded adoption of Shopify's growing menu of merchant solutions, including established offerings such as Shopify Payments, Shopify Shipping, and Shopify Capital, both geographically and as merchants grow into them, while newer solutions such as Shopify Fulfillment Network and 6 River Systems contribute nascent but incremental revenue in their early stages.</li></ul>While we expect that the first quarter will likely still contribute the smallest share of full-year revenue and the fourth quarter the largest, the revenue spread may be more evenly distributed across the four quarters than it has been historically if the rollout of a vaccine shifts more consumer spending to services and offline shopping towards the back half of the year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>订阅解决方案收入增长将受到全球更多商家加入该平台的推动，其数量低于2020年的记录，但高于2020年之前的任何一年；</li><li>订阅解决方案和商家解决方案收入的增长率将比最近更加相似，因为我们预计2020年推动商家解决方案的GMV激增不会重演；</li><li>商家解决方案收入增长将受到现有商家GMV持续增长、新商家加入平台以及扩大采用Shopify不断增长的商家解决方案菜单的推动，包括Shopify Payments、Shopify Shipping和Shopify Capital等成熟产品，无论是在地理上还是随着商家的成长，而Shopify Fulfillment Network和6 River Systems等较新的解决方案在早期阶段贡献了新生但增量的收入。</li></ul>虽然我们预计第一季度可能仍将贡献全年收入的最小份额，第四季度最大，但如果疫苗的推出，四个季度的收入分布可能会比历史上更均匀。下半年，更多的消费者支出转向服务和线下购物。</blockquote></p><p>2020 catapulted commerce into a period of incredibly rapid change, presenting Shopify with unprecedented opportunities in 2021 to accelerate innovation. We continue to expect rapid growth in gross profit dollars in 2021 and plan to reinvest back into our business as aggressively as we can, with the year-over-year growth in operating expenses accelerating each quarter throughout the rest of the year. As such, we expect full year 2021 adjusted operating income to be below the level we achieved in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>2020年将商业带入了一个令人难以置信的快速变化时期，为Shopify在2021年加速创新带来了前所未有的机遇。我们继续预计2021年毛利润将快速增长，并计划尽可能积极地对我们的业务进行再投资，在今年剩余时间里，每个季度运营费用的同比增长都会加速。因此，我们预计2021年全年调整后营业收入将低于2020年的水平。</blockquote></p><p>For 2021, we now anticipate stock-based compensation expenses and related payroll taxes of $425 million and amortization of acquired intangibles of $21 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于2021年，我们现在预计股票薪酬费用和相关工资税为4.25亿美元，收购的无形资产摊销为2100万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Shopify rose more than 4% in premarket trading<blockquote>Shopify盘前交易涨超4%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShopify rose more than 4% in premarket trading<blockquote>Shopify盘前交易涨超4%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-28 19:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Shopify rose more than 4% in premarket trading, turned losses into profits in the first quarter, and its net profit greatly exceeded market expectations.</p><p><blockquote>Shopify盘前涨超4%，一季度扭亏为盈，净利润大超市场预期。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3260a6cb6d3a6257f11506706b718215\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Shopify Announces First-Quarter 2021 Financial Results</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Shopify公布2021年第一季度财务业绩</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-Quarter Revenue Growth Accelerates to 110% on GMV Growth of 114% Year on Year</li><li><i>Shopify reports in U.S. dollars and in accordance with U.S. GAAP</i></li></ul>Internet, Everywhere--(Newsfile Corp. - April 28, 2021) - Shopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP) (TSX: SHOP), a leading global commerce company, announced today strong financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2021.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>一季度营收增速加速至110%，GMV同比增长114%</li><li><i>Shopify以美元并根据美国公认会计原则进行报告</i></li></ul>互联网，无处不在-（新闻档案公司-2021年4月28日）-全球领先的商业公司Shopify Inc.（纽约证券交易所代码：SHOP）（多伦多证券交易所代码：SHOP）今天宣布了截至2021年3月31日的季度强劲财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p>\"More entrepreneurs around the world are choosing Shopify to launch and grow their businesses, and for good reason,\" said Harley Finkelstein, Shopify's President. \"Our singular focus is on making entrepreneurship easier, and making it easier for entrepreneurs to succeed. Merchant sales growth on our platform accelerated in the first quarter as merchants leveraged our modern commerce technology, which helps them compete in any retail environment and engage directly with their customers wherever they are.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shopify总裁Harley Finkelstein表示：“世界各地越来越多的企业家选择Shopify来启动和发展业务，这是有充分理由的。”“我们的唯一重点是让创业变得更容易，让企业家更容易取得成功。随着商家利用我们的现代商务技术，我们平台上的商家销售额在第一季度加速增长，这有助于他们在任何零售环境中竞争并直接参与他们的客户无论他们身在何处。”</blockquote></p><p>\"Shopify's momentum continued into 2021 as digital commerce tailwinds remained strong and merchants took advantage of the range of capabilities offered by our platform,\" said Amy Shapero, Shopify's CFO. \"We are focused on building a commerce operating system that will help shape the future of retail. Our merchant-first business model positions us to capture the massive opportunity presented by the growth of digital commerce, benefiting both our merchants and Shopify.\"</p><p><blockquote>Shopify首席财务官Amy Shapero表示：“由于数字商务的推动力依然强劲，商家利用了我们平台提供的一系列功能，Shopify的势头持续到2021年。”“我们专注于构建一个有助于塑造零售业未来的商务操作系统。我们以商家为先的商业模式使我们能够抓住数字商务增长带来的巨大机遇，使我们的商家和Shopify都受益。”</blockquote></p><p><b>First-Quarter Financial Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度财务摘要</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Total revenue in the first quarter was $988.6 million, with growth accelerating to 110% year over year.</li><li>Subscription Solutions revenue was $320.7 million, with growth accelerating to 71% year over year, primarily due to more merchants joining the platform.</li><li>Merchant Solutions revenue was $668.0 million, with growth accelerating to 137%, driven primarily by the growth of Gross Merchandise Volume1(\"GMV\").</li><li>Monthly Recurring Revenue2(\"MRR\") as of March 31, 2021 was $89.9 million. Growth accelerated to 62% year-over-year with MRR up from $55.4 million as of March 31, 2020 as more merchants joined the platform and POS Pro contributed its first full quarter of revenue. Shopify Plus contributed $23.1 million, or 26%, of MRR compared with 28% of MRR as of March 31, 2020 as a result of the significantly higher number of merchants on standard plans joining the platform in the past 12 months and our first full quarter of revenue from our Retail POS Pro subscription offering.</li><li>GMV for the first quarter was $37.3 billion, an increase of $19.9 billion, with growth accelerating to 114% over the first quarter of 2020. Gross Payments Volume3(\"GPV\") grew to $17.3 billion, which accounted for 46% of GMV processed in the quarter, versus $7.3 billion, or 42%, for the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>Gross profit dollar growth accelerated, up 117% to $558.7 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared with $257.0 million for the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>Adjusted gross profit4growth accelerated, up 114% to $565.1 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared with $263.8 million for the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>Operating income for the first quarter of 2021 was $118.9 million, or 12% of revenue, versus a loss of $73.2 million, or 16% of revenue, for the comparable period a year ago.</li><li>Adjusted operating income4for the first quarter of 2021 was $210.8 million, or 21% of revenue, compared with adjusted operating loss of $7.3 million or 2% of revenue in the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>Net income for the first quarter of 2021 was $1,258.4 million, or $9.94 per diluted share, compared with a net loss of $31.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2020. Q1 2021 net income includes a $1.3 billion unrealized gain on our equity investment in Affirm as a result of its IPO in January 2021.</li><li>Adjusted net income4for the first quarter of 2021 was $254.1 million, or $2.01 per diluted share, compared with adjusted net income of $22.3 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2020.</li><li>At March 31, 2021, Shopify had $7.87 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, compared with $6.39 billion on December 31, 2020. The increase reflects $1.5 billion of net proceeds from Shopify's offering of Class A subordinate voting shares in the first quarter of 2021.</li></ul><b>First-Quarter Business Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度总收入为9.886亿美元，同比增长加速至110%。</li><li>订阅解决方案收入为3.207亿美元，同比增长加速至71%，这主要是由于更多商家加入该平台。</li><li>商户解决方案收入为6.68亿美元，增长加速至137%，主要受商品总量1（“GMV”）增长的推动。</li><li>截至2021年3月31日，每月经常性收入2（“MRR”）为8990万美元。随着越来越多的商家加入该平台，POS Pro贡献了其第一个完整季度的收入，MRR从截至2020年3月31日的5540万美元增长至62%。Shopify Plus贡献了2310万美元，占MRR的26%，而截至2020年3月31日，MRR的比例为28%，这是由于过去12个月加入该平台的标准计划商家数量显着增加以及我们的第一个完整季度来自我们的零售POS Pro订阅产品的收入。</li><li>第一季度GMV为373亿美元，增长199亿美元，较2020年第一季度增长加速至114%。支付总额3（“GPV”）增长至173亿美元，占本季度处理的GMV的46%，而2020年第一季度为73亿美元，占42%。</li><li>毛利润美元增长加速，2021年第一季度增长117%至5.587亿美元，而2020年第一季度为2.57亿美元。</li><li>调整后毛利润4增长加速，2021年第一季度增长114%至5.651亿美元，而2020年第一季度为2.638亿美元。</li><li>2021年第一季度营业收入为1.189亿美元，占收入的12%，而去年同期亏损7320万美元，占收入的16%。</li><li>2021年第一季度调整后营业收入4为2.108亿美元，占收入的21%，而2020年第一季度调整后营业亏损为730万美元，占收入的2%。</li><li>2021年第一季度净利润为12.584亿美元，或稀释后每股9.94美元，而2020年第一季度净亏损为3140万美元，或稀释后每股0.27美元。2021年第一季度净利润包括我们对Affirm 2021年1月首次公开募股后的13亿美元股权投资未实现收益。</li><li>2021年第一季度调整后净利润4为2.541亿美元，即稀释后每股2.01美元，而2020年第一季度调整后净利润为2230万美元，即稀释后每股0.19美元。</li><li>截至2021年3月31日，Shopify的现金、现金等价物和有价证券为78.7亿美元，而2020年12月31日为63.9亿美元。这一增长反映了Shopify在2021年第一季度发行A类次级投票权股票的15亿美元净收益。</li></ul><b>一季度业务亮点</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>Shopify continued to build the foundation of Shopify Fulfillment Network, focusing on optimizing our software and network, and introduced features that offer merchants greater insights into their inventory and increased flexibility to manage their orders.</li><li>Shopify continued to develop Shop, our all-in-one mobile shopping assistant, reducing friction for buyers with the introduction of an in-app buy button and adding more ways that merchants can be discovered, including filters to find Asian-owned businesses, women-owned businesses in March, and merchants practicing and promoting sustainable commerce. At the end of Q1 2021, Shop had more than 107 million registered users, including buyers using Shop Pay as well as the Shop App, of which more than 24 million were Monthly Active Users. At the end of March 2021, Shop Pay had facilitated over $24 billion in cumulative GMV since its launch in 2017.</li><li>Shopify announced that it had purchased more Direct Air Capture (DAC) carbon removal than any other company in history. This milestone came with our agreement to purchase 10,000 tonnes of removal from Carbon Engineering, adding to a previous 5,000-tonne commitment to Climeworks. The goal of Shopify's Sustainability Fund is to engineer market forces to get momentum behind new technologies that at scale could have a material impact on tackling climate change, and the Fund earmarks $1 million or more per year specifically for carbon sequestration.</li><li>Shopify released the documentary, \"Own the Room\", co-produced with Saville Productions for National Geographic Documentary Films, which premiered on Disney Plus in March. Own the Room showcases the real stories of five young entrepreneurs as they compete in the prestigious Global Student Entrepreneur Awards.</li><li>Merchants in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. received a record $308.6 million in merchant cash advances and loans from Shopify Capital in the first quarter of 2021, an increase of 90% versus the $162.4 million received by U.S. merchants in the first quarter of last year. Shopify Capital has grown to approximately $2.0 billion in cumulative capital advanced since its launch in April 2016, approximately $312.8 million of which was outstanding on March 31, 2021.</li><li>Shopify's partner ecosystem continued to expand, as approximately 45,800 partners referred a merchant to Shopify over the past 12 months, up 73% compared with 26,400 over the 12 months ended March 31, 2020.</li></ul><b>Subsequent to First Quarter 2021</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Shopify继续构建Shopify履行网络的基础，专注于优化我们的软件和网络，并引入了一些功能，使商家能够更好地了解其库存并提高管理订单的灵活性。</li><li>Shopify继续开发我们的一体化移动购物助手Shop，通过引入应用内购买按钮减少买家的摩擦，并添加更多发现商家的方式，包括查找亚洲企业的过滤器、女性拥有的企业3月份拥有的企业，以及实践和促进可持续商业的商家。截至2021年第一季度末，Shop拥有超过1.07亿注册用户，包括使用Shop Pay和Shop App的买家，其中超过2400万是月活跃用户。截至2021年3月底，Shop Pay自2017年推出以来累计GMV已超过240亿美元。</li><li>Shopify宣布，它购买的直接空气捕获(DAC)碳去除量比历史上任何其他公司都多。这一里程碑伴随着我们同意从Carbon Engineering购买10,000吨清除量，增加了之前向Climeworks承诺的5,000吨清除量。Shopify可持续发展基金的目标是设计市场力量，以获得新技术背后的动力，这些新技术在规模上可能对应对气候变化产生重大影响，该基金每年专门拨款100万美元或更多用于碳封存。</li><li>Shopify发布了与Saville Productions为国家地理纪录片联合制作的纪录片《Own the Room》，于3月在Disney Plus首映。Own the Room展示了五位年轻企业家在著名的全球学生企业家奖中竞争的真实故事。</li><li>2021年第一季度，美国、加拿大和英国的商家从Shopify Capital获得了创纪录的3.086亿美元的商家现金垫款和贷款，比去年第一季度美国商家收到的1.624亿美元增长了90%。自2016年4月推出以来，Shopify Capital的累计预付资本已增长至约20亿美元，其中约3.128亿美元截至2021年3月31日尚未偿还。</li><li>Shopify的合作伙伴生态系统持续扩大，在过去12个月中，约有45,800个合作伙伴向Shopify推荐了商家，比截至2020年3月31日的12个月中的26,400个增长了73%。</li></ul><b>2021年第一季度后</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Shopify introduced a new integrated card reader using our All-New POS software in the U.K. and Ireland, strengthening our Shopify POS offering to merchants in these regions and laying the groundwork to put Shopify POS with integrated payments into the hands of new and existing merchants worldwide.</li><li>Shopify published its 2020 Global Economic Impact Report showcasing Shopify as a platform that drives substantial business growth and expansion for entrepreneurs and economies around the world. In 2020, businesses on Shopify generated over $307 billion in global economic impact, supporting over three million jobs worldwide. In addition, our partner ecosystem generated $12.5 billion in revenue as our merchants' selling drove massive volumes of economic activity.</li></ul><b>Outlook</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Shopify在英国和爱尔兰推出了一款使用我们全新POS软件的新型集成读卡器，加强了我们向这些地区商家提供的Shopify POS产品，并为将具有集成支付功能的Shopify POS提供给全球新商家和现有商家奠定了基础。</li><li>Shopify发布了2020年全球经济影响报告，展示了Shopify是一个推动全球企业家和经济体大幅业务增长和扩张的平台。2020年，Shopify上的业务对全球经济产生了超过3070亿美元的影响，支持了全球超过300万个工作岗位。此外，我们的合作伙伴生态系统创造了125亿美元的收入，因为我们商家的销售推动了大量的经济活动。</li></ul><b>世界观</b></blockquote></p><p>The outlook that follows constitutes forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws and is based on a number of assumptions and subject to a number of risks. Actual results could vary materially as a result of numerous factors, including certain risk factors, many of which are beyond Shopify's control. Please see \"Forward-looking Statements\" below.</p><p><blockquote>以下展望构成适用证券法含义内的前瞻性信息，基于多项假设并面临多项风险。由于多种因素（包括某些风险因素），实际结果可能会有很大差异，其中许多因素超出了Shopify的控制范围。请参阅下面的“前瞻性陈述”。</blockquote></p><p>In addition to the other assumptions and factors described in this press release, Shopify's outlook assumes the continuation of growth trends in our industry, our ability to manage our growth effectively, the absence of material changes in our industry or the global economy and other assumptions related to the COVID-19 pandemic, which are described in detail below. The following statements supersede all prior statements made by Shopify and are based on current expectations. As these statements are forward-looking, actual results may differ materially.</p><p><blockquote>除了本新闻稿中描述的其他假设和因素外，Shopify的展望还假设我们行业的增长趋势持续、我们有效管理增长的能力、我们的行业或全球经济没有重大变化以及其他相关假设与COVID-19大流行相关，详细描述如下。以下声明取代Shopify之前的所有声明，并基于当前的预期。由于这些陈述是前瞻性的，实际结果可能会有重大差异。</blockquote></p><p>These statements do not give effect to the potential impact of mergers, acquisitions, divestitures or business combinations that may be announced or closed after the date hereof. All numbers provided in this section are approximate.</p><p><blockquote>这些声明不考虑在本声明日期之后可能宣布或完成的合并、收购、资产剥离或业务合并的潜在影响。本节提供的所有数字均为近似值。</blockquote></p><p>Our full-year 2021 outlook is guided by assumptions that remain unchanged from February: that as countries continue to roll out vaccines in 2021 and populations are able to move about more freely, the overall economic environment will likely improve; some consumer spending will likely rotate back to offline retail and services; and the ongoing shift to ecommerce, which accelerated in 2020, will likely resume a more normalized pace of growth.</p><p><blockquote>我们的2021年全年展望以与2月份保持不变的假设为指导：随着各国在2021年继续推出疫苗，人口能够更自由地流动，整体经济环境可能会改善；一些消费者支出可能会转向线下零售和服务；2020年加速的向电子商务的持续转变可能会恢复更正常的增长速度。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>In March 2021, the US government passed a coronavirus relief package, and began processing stimulus payments in early March. The benefit to Shopify's GMV from this latest round of stimulus ended in early April.</p><p><blockquote>2021年3月，美国政府通过了冠状病毒救助计划，并于3月初开始处理刺激付款。最新一轮刺激措施对Shopify GMV的好处于4月初结束。</blockquote></p><p>In view of these factors, we continue to expect to grow revenue rapidly in 2021, but at a lower rate than in 2020. For the full year 2021, we continue to expect the following:</p><p><blockquote>鉴于这些因素，我们继续预计2021年收入将快速增长，但增速低于2020年。对于2021年全年，我们继续预期：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Subscriptions solutions revenue growth to be driven by more merchants around the world joining the platform in a number lower than the record in 2020, but higher than any year prior to 2020;</li><li>The growth rates of subscription solutions and merchant solutions revenues to be more similar to each other than in the recent past, as we do not expect the surge in GMV that drove merchant solutions in 2020 to repeat;</li><li>Merchant solutions revenue growth to be driven by continued GMV growth from existing merchants, new merchants joining the platform, and expanded adoption of Shopify's growing menu of merchant solutions, including established offerings such as Shopify Payments, Shopify Shipping, and Shopify Capital, both geographically and as merchants grow into them, while newer solutions such as Shopify Fulfillment Network and 6 River Systems contribute nascent but incremental revenue in their early stages.</li></ul>While we expect that the first quarter will likely still contribute the smallest share of full-year revenue and the fourth quarter the largest, the revenue spread may be more evenly distributed across the four quarters than it has been historically if the rollout of a vaccine shifts more consumer spending to services and offline shopping towards the back half of the year.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>订阅解决方案收入增长将受到全球更多商家加入该平台的推动，其数量低于2020年的记录，但高于2020年之前的任何一年；</li><li>订阅解决方案和商家解决方案收入的增长率将比最近更加相似，因为我们预计2020年推动商家解决方案的GMV激增不会重演；</li><li>商家解决方案收入增长将受到现有商家GMV持续增长、新商家加入平台以及扩大采用Shopify不断增长的商家解决方案菜单的推动，包括Shopify Payments、Shopify Shipping和Shopify Capital等成熟产品，无论是在地理上还是随着商家的成长，而Shopify Fulfillment Network和6 River Systems等较新的解决方案在早期阶段贡献了新生但增量的收入。</li></ul>虽然我们预计第一季度可能仍将贡献全年收入的最小份额，第四季度最大，但如果疫苗的推出，四个季度的收入分布可能会比历史上更均匀。下半年，更多的消费者支出转向服务和线下购物。</blockquote></p><p>2020 catapulted commerce into a period of incredibly rapid change, presenting Shopify with unprecedented opportunities in 2021 to accelerate innovation. We continue to expect rapid growth in gross profit dollars in 2021 and plan to reinvest back into our business as aggressively as we can, with the year-over-year growth in operating expenses accelerating each quarter throughout the rest of the year. As such, we expect full year 2021 adjusted operating income to be below the level we achieved in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>2020年将商业带入了一个令人难以置信的快速变化时期，为Shopify在2021年加速创新带来了前所未有的机遇。我们继续预计2021年毛利润将快速增长，并计划尽可能积极地对我们的业务进行再投资，在今年剩余时间里，每个季度运营费用的同比增长都会加速。因此，我们预计2021年全年调整后营业收入将低于2020年的水平。</blockquote></p><p>For 2021, we now anticipate stock-based compensation expenses and related payroll taxes of $425 million and amortization of acquired intangibles of $21 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于2021年，我们现在预计股票薪酬费用和相关工资税为4.25亿美元，收购的无形资产摊销为2100万美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SHOP":"Shopify Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184339569","content_text":"Shopify rose more than 4% in premarket trading, turned losses into profits in the first quarter, and its net profit greatly exceeded market expectations.Shopify Announces First-Quarter 2021 Financial ResultsFirst-Quarter Revenue Growth Accelerates to 110% on GMV Growth of 114% Year on YearShopify reports in U.S. dollars and in accordance with U.S. GAAPInternet, Everywhere--(Newsfile Corp. - April 28, 2021) - Shopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP) (TSX: SHOP), a leading global commerce company, announced today strong financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2021.\"More entrepreneurs around the world are choosing Shopify to launch and grow their businesses, and for good reason,\" said Harley Finkelstein, Shopify's President. \"Our singular focus is on making entrepreneurship easier, and making it easier for entrepreneurs to succeed. Merchant sales growth on our platform accelerated in the first quarter as merchants leveraged our modern commerce technology, which helps them compete in any retail environment and engage directly with their customers wherever they are.\"\"Shopify's momentum continued into 2021 as digital commerce tailwinds remained strong and merchants took advantage of the range of capabilities offered by our platform,\" said Amy Shapero, Shopify's CFO. \"We are focused on building a commerce operating system that will help shape the future of retail. Our merchant-first business model positions us to capture the massive opportunity presented by the growth of digital commerce, benefiting both our merchants and Shopify.\"First-Quarter Financial HighlightsTotal revenue in the first quarter was $988.6 million, with growth accelerating to 110% year over year.Subscription Solutions revenue was $320.7 million, with growth accelerating to 71% year over year, primarily due to more merchants joining the platform.Merchant Solutions revenue was $668.0 million, with growth accelerating to 137%, driven primarily by the growth of Gross Merchandise Volume1(\"GMV\").Monthly Recurring Revenue2(\"MRR\") as of March 31, 2021 was $89.9 million. Growth accelerated to 62% year-over-year with MRR up from $55.4 million as of March 31, 2020 as more merchants joined the platform and POS Pro contributed its first full quarter of revenue. Shopify Plus contributed $23.1 million, or 26%, of MRR compared with 28% of MRR as of March 31, 2020 as a result of the significantly higher number of merchants on standard plans joining the platform in the past 12 months and our first full quarter of revenue from our Retail POS Pro subscription offering.GMV for the first quarter was $37.3 billion, an increase of $19.9 billion, with growth accelerating to 114% over the first quarter of 2020. Gross Payments Volume3(\"GPV\") grew to $17.3 billion, which accounted for 46% of GMV processed in the quarter, versus $7.3 billion, or 42%, for the first quarter of 2020.Gross profit dollar growth accelerated, up 117% to $558.7 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared with $257.0 million for the first quarter of 2020.Adjusted gross profit4growth accelerated, up 114% to $565.1 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared with $263.8 million for the first quarter of 2020.Operating income for the first quarter of 2021 was $118.9 million, or 12% of revenue, versus a loss of $73.2 million, or 16% of revenue, for the comparable period a year ago.Adjusted operating income4for the first quarter of 2021 was $210.8 million, or 21% of revenue, compared with adjusted operating loss of $7.3 million or 2% of revenue in the first quarter of 2020.Net income for the first quarter of 2021 was $1,258.4 million, or $9.94 per diluted share, compared with a net loss of $31.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2020. Q1 2021 net income includes a $1.3 billion unrealized gain on our equity investment in Affirm as a result of its IPO in January 2021.Adjusted net income4for the first quarter of 2021 was $254.1 million, or $2.01 per diluted share, compared with adjusted net income of $22.3 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2020.At March 31, 2021, Shopify had $7.87 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, compared with $6.39 billion on December 31, 2020. The increase reflects $1.5 billion of net proceeds from Shopify's offering of Class A subordinate voting shares in the first quarter of 2021.First-Quarter Business HighlightsShopify continued to build the foundation of Shopify Fulfillment Network, focusing on optimizing our software and network, and introduced features that offer merchants greater insights into their inventory and increased flexibility to manage their orders.Shopify continued to develop Shop, our all-in-one mobile shopping assistant, reducing friction for buyers with the introduction of an in-app buy button and adding more ways that merchants can be discovered, including filters to find Asian-owned businesses, women-owned businesses in March, and merchants practicing and promoting sustainable commerce. At the end of Q1 2021, Shop had more than 107 million registered users, including buyers using Shop Pay as well as the Shop App, of which more than 24 million were Monthly Active Users. At the end of March 2021, Shop Pay had facilitated over $24 billion in cumulative GMV since its launch in 2017.Shopify announced that it had purchased more Direct Air Capture (DAC) carbon removal than any other company in history. This milestone came with our agreement to purchase 10,000 tonnes of removal from Carbon Engineering, adding to a previous 5,000-tonne commitment to Climeworks. The goal of Shopify's Sustainability Fund is to engineer market forces to get momentum behind new technologies that at scale could have a material impact on tackling climate change, and the Fund earmarks $1 million or more per year specifically for carbon sequestration.Shopify released the documentary, \"Own the Room\", co-produced with Saville Productions for National Geographic Documentary Films, which premiered on Disney Plus in March. Own the Room showcases the real stories of five young entrepreneurs as they compete in the prestigious Global Student Entrepreneur Awards.Merchants in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. received a record $308.6 million in merchant cash advances and loans from Shopify Capital in the first quarter of 2021, an increase of 90% versus the $162.4 million received by U.S. merchants in the first quarter of last year. Shopify Capital has grown to approximately $2.0 billion in cumulative capital advanced since its launch in April 2016, approximately $312.8 million of which was outstanding on March 31, 2021.Shopify's partner ecosystem continued to expand, as approximately 45,800 partners referred a merchant to Shopify over the past 12 months, up 73% compared with 26,400 over the 12 months ended March 31, 2020.Subsequent to First Quarter 2021Shopify introduced a new integrated card reader using our All-New POS software in the U.K. and Ireland, strengthening our Shopify POS offering to merchants in these regions and laying the groundwork to put Shopify POS with integrated payments into the hands of new and existing merchants worldwide.Shopify published its 2020 Global Economic Impact Report showcasing Shopify as a platform that drives substantial business growth and expansion for entrepreneurs and economies around the world. In 2020, businesses on Shopify generated over $307 billion in global economic impact, supporting over three million jobs worldwide. In addition, our partner ecosystem generated $12.5 billion in revenue as our merchants' selling drove massive volumes of economic activity.OutlookThe outlook that follows constitutes forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws and is based on a number of assumptions and subject to a number of risks. Actual results could vary materially as a result of numerous factors, including certain risk factors, many of which are beyond Shopify's control. Please see \"Forward-looking Statements\" below.In addition to the other assumptions and factors described in this press release, Shopify's outlook assumes the continuation of growth trends in our industry, our ability to manage our growth effectively, the absence of material changes in our industry or the global economy and other assumptions related to the COVID-19 pandemic, which are described in detail below. The following statements supersede all prior statements made by Shopify and are based on current expectations. As these statements are forward-looking, actual results may differ materially.These statements do not give effect to the potential impact of mergers, acquisitions, divestitures or business combinations that may be announced or closed after the date hereof. All numbers provided in this section are approximate.Our full-year 2021 outlook is guided by assumptions that remain unchanged from February: that as countries continue to roll out vaccines in 2021 and populations are able to move about more freely, the overall economic environment will likely improve; some consumer spending will likely rotate back to offline retail and services; and the ongoing shift to ecommerce, which accelerated in 2020, will likely resume a more normalized pace of growth.In March 2021, the US government passed a coronavirus relief package, and began processing stimulus payments in early March. The benefit to Shopify's GMV from this latest round of stimulus ended in early April.In view of these factors, we continue to expect to grow revenue rapidly in 2021, but at a lower rate than in 2020. For the full year 2021, we continue to expect the following:Subscriptions solutions revenue growth to be driven by more merchants around the world joining the platform in a number lower than the record in 2020, but higher than any year prior to 2020;The growth rates of subscription solutions and merchant solutions revenues to be more similar to each other than in the recent past, as we do not expect the surge in GMV that drove merchant solutions in 2020 to repeat;Merchant solutions revenue growth to be driven by continued GMV growth from existing merchants, new merchants joining the platform, and expanded adoption of Shopify's growing menu of merchant solutions, including established offerings such as Shopify Payments, Shopify Shipping, and Shopify Capital, both geographically and as merchants grow into them, while newer solutions such as Shopify Fulfillment Network and 6 River Systems contribute nascent but incremental revenue in their early stages.While we expect that the first quarter will likely still contribute the smallest share of full-year revenue and the fourth quarter the largest, the revenue spread may be more evenly distributed across the four quarters than it has been historically if the rollout of a vaccine shifts more consumer spending to services and offline shopping towards the back half of the year.2020 catapulted commerce into a period of incredibly rapid change, presenting Shopify with unprecedented opportunities in 2021 to accelerate innovation. We continue to expect rapid growth in gross profit dollars in 2021 and plan to reinvest back into our business as aggressively as we can, with the year-over-year growth in operating expenses accelerating each quarter throughout the rest of the year. As such, we expect full year 2021 adjusted operating income to be below the level we achieved in 2020.For 2021, we now anticipate stock-based compensation expenses and related payroll taxes of $425 million and amortization of acquired intangibles of $21 million.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SHOP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":815,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":350225456,"gmtCreate":1616215646375,"gmtModify":1631884063999,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561962801944040","idStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It's a real gamble&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;no one knows the outcome and cannot&nbsp;evaluate like a stock. Try to get as close to $10 entry price to min risk","listText":"It's a real gamble&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;no one knows the outcome and cannot&nbsp;evaluate like a stock. Try to get as close to $10 entry price to min risk","text":"It's a real gamble [疑问] no one knows the outcome and cannot evaluate like a stock. Try to get as close to $10 entry price to min risk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/350225456","repostId":"1126157111","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362557755,"gmtCreate":1614651954777,"gmtModify":1703479369030,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561962801944040","idStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a>&nbsp;why no movement after report","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/546.SI\">$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$</a>&nbsp;why no movement after report","text":"$MEDTECS INTERNATIONAL CORP LTD(546.SI)$ why no movement after report","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7cc8c7c0eff94cd3e2d4a99faab03b25","width":"720","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362557755","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":985,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":855137734,"gmtCreate":1635342856674,"gmtModify":1635343552673,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561962801944040","idStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"huat","listText":"huat","text":"huat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/855137734","repostId":"1103169180","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103169180","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635342488,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103169180?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-27 21:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft jumped nearly 3% in morning trading and reached an all-time high at 319.65<blockquote>微软早盘上涨近3%，触及319.65点的历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103169180","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Microsoft jumped nearly 3% in morning trading and reached an all-time high at 319.65.The financial r","content":"<p>Microsoft jumped nearly 3% in morning trading and reached an&nbsp;all-time high at 319.65.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc63ac41f30597928386c16a8102bb6e\" tg-width=\"781\" tg-height=\"553\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The financial report showed&nbsp;that during the period from July 1, 2021 to September 30, 2021, Microsoft achieved revenue of 45.317 billion US dollars, an increase of 22% compared with 37.154 billion US dollars in the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote>微软早盘上涨近3%，触及319.65点的历史新高。财报显示，2021年7月1日至2021年9月30日期间，微软实现营收453.17亿美元，与上年同期的371.54亿美元相比增长22%。</blockquote></p><p> Operating profit was US $20.238 billion, an increase of 27% compared with US $15.876 billion in the same period of the previous fiscal year, which was higher than the year-on-year increase in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>运营利润为202.38亿美元，与上一财年同期的158.76亿美元相比增长27%，高于营收同比增幅。</blockquote></p><p> By business, during the reporting period, the personal computing business including Windows, devices, games and search advertisements achieved revenue of US $13.314 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12%, which was higher than the market expectation of US $12.72 billion.</p><p><blockquote>分业务来看，报告期内，包括Windows、设备、游戏和搜索广告在内的个人计算业务实现营收133.14亿美元，同比增长12%，高于市场预期的127.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Including Azure public cloud, enterprise services, GitHub and so onIntelligenceThe cloud service business achieved revenue of US $16.964 billion, up 31% year-on-year, higher than the market expectation of US $16.51 billion.</p><p><blockquote>包括Azure公有云、企业服务、GitHub和So OnIntelligence在内的云服务业务实现营收169.64亿美元，同比增长31%，高于市场预期的165.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The productivity and business process departments including Dynamics, LinkedIn and Office achieved revenue of US $15.039 billion, up 22% year-on-year, which also exceeded the market expectation of US $14.67 billion.</p><p><blockquote>包括Dynamics、LinkedIn和Office在内的生产力和业务流程部门实现营收150.39亿美元，同比增长22%，也超出了市场预期的146.7亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft jumped nearly 3% in morning trading and reached an all-time high at 319.65<blockquote>微软早盘上涨近3%，触及319.65点的历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-27 21:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Microsoft jumped nearly 3% in morning trading and reached an&nbsp;all-time high at 319.65.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc63ac41f30597928386c16a8102bb6e\" tg-width=\"781\" tg-height=\"553\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The financial report showed&nbsp;that during the period from July 1, 2021 to September 30, 2021, Microsoft achieved revenue of 45.317 billion US dollars, an increase of 22% compared with 37.154 billion US dollars in the same period last year.</p><p><blockquote>微软早盘上涨近3%，触及319.65点的历史新高。财报显示，2021年7月1日至2021年9月30日期间，微软实现营收453.17亿美元，与上年同期的371.54亿美元相比增长22%。</blockquote></p><p> Operating profit was US $20.238 billion, an increase of 27% compared with US $15.876 billion in the same period of the previous fiscal year, which was higher than the year-on-year increase in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>运营利润为202.38亿美元，与上一财年同期的158.76亿美元相比增长27%，高于营收同比增幅。</blockquote></p><p> By business, during the reporting period, the personal computing business including Windows, devices, games and search advertisements achieved revenue of US $13.314 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12%, which was higher than the market expectation of US $12.72 billion.</p><p><blockquote>分业务来看，报告期内，包括Windows、设备、游戏和搜索广告在内的个人计算业务实现营收133.14亿美元，同比增长12%，高于市场预期的127.2亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Including Azure public cloud, enterprise services, GitHub and so onIntelligenceThe cloud service business achieved revenue of US $16.964 billion, up 31% year-on-year, higher than the market expectation of US $16.51 billion.</p><p><blockquote>包括Azure公有云、企业服务、GitHub和So OnIntelligence在内的云服务业务实现营收169.64亿美元，同比增长31%，高于市场预期的165.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> The productivity and business process departments including Dynamics, LinkedIn and Office achieved revenue of US $15.039 billion, up 22% year-on-year, which also exceeded the market expectation of US $14.67 billion.</p><p><blockquote>包括Dynamics、LinkedIn和Office在内的生产力和业务流程部门实现营收150.39亿美元，同比增长22%，也超出了市场预期的146.7亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1103169180","content_text":"Microsoft jumped nearly 3% in morning trading and reached an all-time high at 319.65.The financial report showed that during the period from July 1, 2021 to September 30, 2021, Microsoft achieved revenue of 45.317 billion US dollars, an increase of 22% compared with 37.154 billion US dollars in the same period last year.\nOperating profit was US $20.238 billion, an increase of 27% compared with US $15.876 billion in the same period of the previous fiscal year, which was higher than the year-on-year increase in revenue.\nBy business, during the reporting period, the personal computing business including Windows, devices, games and search advertisements achieved revenue of US $13.314 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12%, which was higher than the market expectation of US $12.72 billion.\nIncluding Azure public cloud, enterprise services, GitHub and so onIntelligenceThe cloud service business achieved revenue of US $16.964 billion, up 31% year-on-year, higher than the market expectation of US $16.51 billion.\nThe productivity and business process departments including Dynamics, LinkedIn and Office achieved revenue of US $15.039 billion, up 22% year-on-year, which also exceeded the market expectation of US $14.67 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MSFT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":897071492,"gmtCreate":1628865319916,"gmtModify":1631892481267,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561962801944040","idStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"woop, encouraging. Do due diligent","listText":"woop, encouraging. Do due diligent","text":"woop, encouraging. Do due diligent","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897071492","repostId":"1159766416","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":483,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110596508,"gmtCreate":1622467107204,"gmtModify":1634101285145,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561962801944040","idStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"much fluctuations in sr","listText":"much fluctuations in sr","text":"much fluctuations in sr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/110596508","repostId":"1186906468","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343107841,"gmtCreate":1617684815483,"gmtModify":1634297109807,"author":{"id":"3561962801944040","authorId":"3561962801944040","name":"mistyzenz","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce5e71746857498b3364479f136e14","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561962801944040","idStr":"3561962801944040"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"umm... sounds like safe haven... why are they not under regulation in first place...&nbsp;","listText":"umm... sounds like safe haven... why are they not under regulation in first place...&nbsp;","text":"umm... sounds like safe haven... why are they not under regulation in first place...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343107841","repostId":"1101907559","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1101907559","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617672655,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101907559?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-06 09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101907559","media":"marketwatch","summary":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management. Its reach and operating practices were","content":"<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能肯定地说，所谓的家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机从来都不完全一样。20世纪80年代末，美国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终获得了约2650亿美元的纳税人救助（按2021年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄国的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运营实践如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦·格林斯潘说，当LTCM失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何与他所感受到的恐怖相比的事情”。LTCM被认为“太大而不能倒”，他策划了对14家美国主要金融机构的救助。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构的过度杠杆化，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行再一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人前来救援。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆发，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于外行人来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思：咨询公司安永估计全球约有10,000个家族理财室，但市场研究公司Campden Research的另一项估计称，管理家族理财室的规模接近6万亿美元。鉴于这6万亿美元是基于2019年的数据，现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的基金经理</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这是潜在的危险。家族理财室通常不受监管。1940年《投资顾问法》规定，拥有15名或更少客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元正在发挥作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，它投资于什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大举押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司VIPS，-1.19%，在美国上市的中国家教公司跟谁学GSX，-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。最近股价暴跌，引发Archegos的大量抛售（约300亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道Archegos与华尔街的一些大牌合作，包括瑞士信贷集团AGCS，+1.59%，瑞银集团AGUBS，+1.01%，高盛集团Inc.GS，-1.25%，摩根士丹利MS，-0.28%，德意志银行AGDB，+0.74%，野村控股公司NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但由于家族办公室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说这里真正涉及多少资金以及市场风险有多大？我的同事Mark DeCambre上周报告称，Archegos对不良交易的真实敞口实际上可能接近1000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险的危险性</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的用武之地。随着Archegos的赌注落空，上述银行考虑到自己的损失，以保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行迅速抛售了约40亿美元的持股，而高盛和摩根士丹利据说也已平仓，这或许限制了它们的下跌空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎不是。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会还是对Archegos及其创始人Bill Hwang展开了初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors的研究主管Tom Lee是他认识的“十大最佳投资头脑”之一的评级·黄。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012年，黄禹锡的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司(Tiger Asia Management)认罪并支付了超过6000万美元的罚款，此前该公司被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄禹锡代表客户管理资金——实质上是将他踢出对冲基金行业。因此，Hwang开设了Archegos，同样，家族理财室通常不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的关注。她上周表示，需要加强对金融业这些私人角落的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新成立了一个工作组，以帮助各机构更好地“共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯（Abe Lincoln）的话，家族办公室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在一个比以往任何时候都更加交织在一起的全球金融体系中，很大程度上被允许在阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪经营，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的倒闭可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但谁能说其他数千家家族理财室正在用他们的数万亿美元做什么，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpinion: Financial crises get triggered about every 10 years — Archegos might be right on time<blockquote>观点：金融危机大约每10年就会引发一次——Archegos可能准时出现</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-06 09:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.</b>  Financial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>目前，没有人能肯定地说，所谓的家族办公室数十亿美元的投资损失不会蔓延。</b>金融危机从来都不完全一样。20世纪80年代末，美国近三分之一的储蓄和贷款协会倒闭，最终获得了约2650亿美元的纳税人救助（按2021年计算）。</blockquote></p><p> In 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>1997-1998年，亚洲和俄国的金融危机导致美国最大的对冲基金——长期资本管理公司（LTCM）几近崩溃。它的影响力和运营实践如此之大，以至于美联储主席艾伦·格林斯潘说，当LTCM失败时，“他一生中从未见过任何与他所感受到的恐怖相比的事情”。LTCM被认为“太大而不能倒”，他策划了对14家美国主要金融机构的救助。</blockquote></p><p> Exactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.</p><p><blockquote>整整十年后，其中一些机构的过度杠杆化，以及美国房地产泡沫的破裂，导致美国金融体系几近崩溃。大银行再一次被认为太大而不能倒，纳税人前来救援。</blockquote></p><p> The trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different.&nbsp;Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?</p><p><blockquote>趋势？每隔10年左右，它们看起来都不一样。随着家族办公室Archegos Capital Management LP的爆发，我们现在是否正处于新危机的早期阶段？</blockquote></p><p> A family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.</p><p><blockquote>对于外行人来说，家族办公室是超级富豪的私人财富管理工具。这就是我所说的超级富豪的意思：咨询公司安永估计全球约有10,000个家族理财室，但市场研究公司Campden Research的另一项估计称，管理家族理财室的规模接近6万亿美元。鉴于这6万亿美元是基于2019年的数据，现在可能要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Unregulated money managers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>不受监管的基金经理</b></blockquote></p><p> Here’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)</p><p><blockquote>这是潜在的危险。家族理财室通常不受监管。1940年《投资顾问法》规定，拥有15名或更少客户的公司无需向美国证券交易委员会注册。这意味着数万亿美元正在发挥作用，没有人能真正说出谁在管理这笔钱，它投资于什么，使用了多少杠杆，以及可能存在什么样的交易对手风险。（交易对手风险是指参与金融交易的一方可能违反对另一方的合同义务的概率。）</blockquote></p><p> This appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player&nbsp;Vipshop Holdings&nbsp;Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company&nbsp;GSX Techedu&nbsp;Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS&nbsp;Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and&nbsp;Discovery&nbsp;Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.</p><p><blockquote>Archegos似乎就是这种情况。该公司大举押注某些中国股票，包括电子商务公司唯品会控股有限公司VIPS，-1.19%，在美国上市的中国家教公司跟谁学GSX，-10.63%，以及美国媒体公司维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司VIAC，-3.90%和Discovery Inc.DISCA，-3.86%等。最近股价暴跌，引发Archegos的大量抛售（约300亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including&nbsp;Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%,&nbsp;Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc.&nbsp;NMR,+1.87%.</p><p><blockquote>问题是，其中只有大约三分之一，即100亿美元，是它自己的钱。我们现在知道Archegos与华尔街的一些大牌合作，包括瑞士信贷集团AGCS，+1.59%，瑞银集团AGUBS，+1.01%，高盛集团Inc.GS，-1.25%，摩根士丹利MS，-0.28%，德意志银行AGDB，+0.74%，野村控股公司NMR，+1.87%。</blockquote></p><p> But since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre&nbsp;reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.</p><p><blockquote>但由于家族办公室在很大程度上被允许不受监管地运营，谁能说这里真正涉及多少资金以及市场风险有多大？我的同事Mark DeCambre上周报告称，Archegos对不良交易的真实敞口实际上可能接近1000亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Danger of counterparty risk</b></p><p><blockquote><b>交易对手风险的危险性</b></blockquote></p><p> This is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.</p><p><blockquote>这就是交易对手风险的用武之地。随着Archegos的赌注落空，上述银行考虑到自己的损失，以保证金评级打击了该公司。德意志银行迅速抛售了约40亿美元的持股，而高盛和摩根士丹利据说也已平仓，这或许限制了它们的下跌空间。</blockquote></p><p> So is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.</p><p><blockquote>那么这是金融危机吗？似乎不是。即便如此，美国证券交易委员会还是对Archegos及其创始人Bill Hwang展开了初步调查。</blockquote></p><p> One peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.</p><p><blockquote>Fundstrat Global Advisors的研究主管Tom Lee是他认识的“十大最佳投资头脑”之一的评级·黄。</blockquote></p><p> But federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.</p><p><blockquote>但联邦监管机构的意见可能较少。2012年，黄禹锡的前对冲基金老虎亚洲管理公司(Tiger Asia Management)认罪并支付了超过6000万美元的罚款，此前该公司被指控利用有关中国银行的非法线索进行交易。美国证券交易委员会禁止黄禹锡代表客户管理资金——实质上是将他踢出对冲基金行业。因此，Hwang开设了Archegos，同样，家族理财室通常不受监管。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Yellen on the case</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耶伦谈此案</b></blockquote></p><p> This issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”</p><p><blockquote>这个问题引起了财政部长珍妮特·耶伦的关注。她上周表示，需要加强对金融业这些私人角落的监管。她监管的金融稳定监督委员会（FSOC）重新成立了一个工作组，以帮助各机构更好地“共享数据、识别风险并努力加强我们的金融体系”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Most financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.</p><p><blockquote>大多数金融危机最终都是美国纳税人陷入困境。收益属于冒险者。但是损失——它们属于我们。套用亚伯·林肯（Abe Lincoln）的话，家族办公室——一个价值数万亿美元的行业，在一个比以往任何时候都更加交织在一起的全球金融体系中，很大程度上被允许在阴影中运作——属于超级富豪，由超级富豪经营，为超级富豪服务。没有其他人。</blockquote></p><p> The Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?</p><p><blockquote>Archegos的倒闭可能是也可能不是另一场金融危机的开始。但谁能说其他数千家家族理财室正在用他们的数万亿美元做什么，以及类似的问题是否会爆发？</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/financial-crises-happen-about-every-10-years-which-makes-the-archegos-meltdown-unnerving-11617634942?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101907559","content_text":"No one, for now, can say for sure that the so-called family office’s billions in investment losses won’t spread.\n\nFinancial crises are never quite the same. During the late 1980s, nearly a third of the nation’s savings and loan associations failed, ending with a taxpayer bailout — in 2021 terms — of about $265 billion.\nIn 1997-1998, financial crises in Asia and Russia led to the near meltdown of the largest hedge fund in the U.S. —Long-Term Capital Management(LTCM). Its reach and operating practices were such that Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said that when LTCM failed, “he had never seen anything in his lifetime that compared to the terror” he felt. LTCM was deemed “too big to fail,” and he engineered a bailout by 14 major U.S. financial institutions.\nExactly a decade later, too much leverage by some of those very institutions, and the bursting of a U.S. real estate bubble, led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. Once again, big banks were deemed too big to fail and taxpayers came to the rescue.\nThe trend? Every 10 years or so, and they all look different. Are we in the early stages of a new crisis now, with the blowup at the family office Archegos Capital Management LP?\nA family office, for the uninitiated, is a private wealth management vehicle for the ultra-wealthy. Here’s what I mean by ultra-wealthy: Consulting firm EY estimates there are some 10,000 family offices globally, but manage, says a separate estimate by market research firm Campden Research, nearly $6 trillion. That $6 trillion is likely far higher now given that it’s based on 2019 data.\nUnregulated money managers\nHere’s the potential danger. Family offices generally aren’t regulated. The 1940 Investment Advisers Act says firms with 15 clients or fewer don’t have to register with the Securities and Exchange Commission. What this means is that trillions of dollars are in play and no one can really say who’s running the money, what it’s invested in, how much leverage is being used, and what kind of counterparty risk may exist. (Counterparty risk is the probability that one party involved in a financial transaction could default on a contractual obligation to someone else.)\nThis appears to be the case with Archegos. The firm bet heavily on certain Chinese stocks, including e-commerce player Vipshop Holdings Ltd.VIPS,-1.19%,U.S.-listed Chinese tutoring company GSX Techedu Inc.GSX,-10.63%and U.S. media companiesViacomCBS Inc.VIAC,-3.90%and Discovery Inc.DISCA,-3.86%,among others. Share prices have tumbled lately, sparking large sales — some $30 billion — by Archegos.\nThe problem is that only about a third of that, or $10 billion, was its own money. We now know that Archegos worked with some of the biggest names on Wall Street, including Credit Suisse Group AGCS,+1.59%,UBS Group AGUBS,+1.01%,Goldman Sachs Group Inc.GS,-1.25%, Morgan StanleyMS,-0.28%,Deutsche Bank AGDB,+0.74%and Nomura Holdings Inc. NMR,+1.87%.\nBut since family offices are largely allowed to operate unregulated, who’s to say how much money is really involved here and what the extent of market risk is? My colleague Mark DeCambre reported last week that Archegos’ true exposures to bad trades could actuallybe closer to $100 billion.\nDanger of counterparty risk\nThis is where counterparty risk comes in. As Archegos’ bets went south, the above banks — looking at losses of their own — hit the firm with margin calls. Deutsche quickly dumped about $4 billion in holdings, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley are also said to have unwound their positions, perhaps limiting their downside.\nSo is this a financial crisis? It doesn’t appear to be. Even so, the Securities and Exchange Commission has opened a preliminary investigation into Archegos and its founder, Bill Hwang.\nOne peer, Tom Lee, the research chief of Fundstrat Global Advisors, calls Hwang one of the “top 10 of the best investment minds” he knows.\nBut federal regulators may have a lesser opinion. In 2012, Hwang’s former hedge fund, Tiger Asia Management, pleaded guilty and paid more than $60 million in penalties after it was accused of trading on illegal tips about Chinese banks. The SEC banned Hwang from managing money on behalf of clients — essentially booting him from the hedge fund industry. So Hwang opened Archegos, and again, family offices aren’t generally aren’t regulated.\nYellen on the case\nThis issue is on Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s radar. She said last week that greater oversight of these private corners of the financial industry is needed. The Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), which she oversees, has revived a task force to help agencies better “share data, identify risks and work to strengthen our financial system.”\nMost financial crises end up with American taxpayers getting stuck with the tab. Gains belong to the risk-takers. But losses — they belong to us. To paraphrase Abe Lincoln, family offices — a multi-trillion dollar industry largely allowed to operate in the shadows in a global financial system that is more intertwined than ever — are of the super-wealthy, by the super-wealthy and for the super-wealthy. And no one else.\nThe Archegos collapse may or may not be the beginning of yet another financial crisis. But who’s to say what thousands of other family offices are doing with their trillions, and whether similar problems could blow up?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":338,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}