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hlw8888

hlw8888

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0勋章

2021-09-26

hmm... i wonder $6300 can? i am ok with $150 quarterly. [鬼脸]

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2021-07-16

buy when low...... 😅

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2021-10-07

wow... 60% upside, so high ah? [思考]

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2021-07-25

another risk could be how long can NIO be listed in America amist US-China relationship... then we can talk about is NIO following Tesla footsteps? my 2 cents. [疑问]

Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-10-06

always like that de, today down dun buy, then tmr will go up. [流泪]

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2021-10-22

$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$what's the next target price after it resume trading again?

2021-08-17

is a crash really coming?

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2021-10-06

is this a short term or long term stock to hold?

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2021-10-04

fastly vs cloudfare, which one will be better?

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2021-08-02

for pfizer, i understand... not sure about the rest. need more research 1st.

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2021-11-23

black friday and cyber monday coming... WD selling more hardisks this time round? [笑哭]

Western Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.<blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote>

2021-11-24

$S&P 500(.SPX)$Up or Down tonite? last 3000 coins to guess. [保佑]

2021-10-18

oil to the moon??? 🚀🌑

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2021-10-15

i got an Appl, i got a pen... [贱笑]

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2021-09-28

hmmm... i may take broadcom, the rest i not sure. [思考]

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2021-08-24

though cheap, still need to study them better before buying them.

Here Are the 10 Cheapest Stocks in the S&P 500<blockquote>以下是标普500中最便宜的10只股票</blockquote>

2021-07-31

s&p 500 will still up up up...

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2021-07-02

even though amazon undervalued with potential upside, but still 下不了手。太贵了 [难过]

Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%<blockquote>亚马逊：被低估，潜在上涨空间为25%</blockquote>

2021-06-21

will the market be Up or Down tonite? [思考]

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2021-10-30

i want gold coins... [开心]

5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote>

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‌[无语] ‌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690246178","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874620914,"gmtCreate":1637767718608,"gmtModify":1637767718849,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>Up or Down tonite? last 3000 coins to guess.&nbsp;[保佑]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>Up or Down tonite? last 3000 coins to guess.&nbsp;[保佑]&nbsp;","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$Up or Down tonite? last 3000 coins to guess. [保佑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874620914","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":875444494,"gmtCreate":1637681617084,"gmtModify":1637681617336,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"black friday and cyber monday coming... WD selling more hardisks this time round?&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"black friday and cyber monday coming... WD selling more hardisks this time round?&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"black friday and cyber monday coming... WD selling more hardisks this time round? [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875444494","repostId":"1192119389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192119389","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637679057,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192119389?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 22:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Western Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.<blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192119389","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Western Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.\n\nMiz","content":"<p>Western&nbsp;Digital&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a002ee881fc7645aa99d269b0c161b2a\" tg-width=\"867\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Mizuho</b>&nbsp;analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded&nbsp;<b>Western Digital Corp</b>&nbsp;to Buy from Neutral&nbsp;with a price target of $75, up from $55, implying a 31.7% upside.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>Mizuho</b>&nbsp;analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded&nbsp;<b>Micron Technology Inc</b>&nbsp;to Buy from Neutral&nbsp;with a price target of $95, up from $75, implying a 13.3% upside.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>瑞穗</b>分析师Vijay Rakesh升级<b>西部数据公司</b>从中性买入，目标价从55美元上调至75美元，意味着上涨31.7%。</li></ul><ul><li><b>瑞穗</b>分析师Vijay Rakesh升级<b>美光科技公司</b>从中性买入，目标价从75美元上调至95美元，意味着上涨13.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Western Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.<blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWestern Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.<blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-23 22:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Western&nbsp;Digital&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a002ee881fc7645aa99d269b0c161b2a\" tg-width=\"867\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Mizuho</b>&nbsp;analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded&nbsp;<b>Western Digital Corp</b>&nbsp;to Buy from Neutral&nbsp;with a price target of $75, up from $55, implying a 31.7% upside.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>Mizuho</b>&nbsp;analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded&nbsp;<b>Micron Technology Inc</b>&nbsp;to Buy from Neutral&nbsp;with a price target of $95, up from $75, implying a 13.3% upside.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>瑞穗</b>分析师Vijay Rakesh升级<b>西部数据公司</b>从中性买入，目标价从55美元上调至75美元，意味着上涨31.7%。</li></ul><ul><li><b>瑞穗</b>分析师Vijay Rakesh升级<b>美光科技公司</b>从中性买入，目标价从75美元上调至95美元，意味着上涨13.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WDC":"西部数据","MU":"美光科技"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192119389","content_text":"Western Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.\n\nMizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded Western Digital Corp to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $75, up from $55, implying a 31.7% upside.\n\n\nMizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded Micron Technology Inc to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $95, up from $75, implying a 13.3% upside.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WDC":0.9,"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844978226,"gmtCreate":1636385469816,"gmtModify":1636385470681,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"chance to jump onto the Tesla rocket???&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"chance to jump onto the Tesla rocket???&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"chance to jump onto the Tesla rocket??? [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844978226","repostId":"1114414245","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":844970860,"gmtCreate":1636385232402,"gmtModify":1636385296118,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A boom for infrastructure related stocks in the near future?","listText":"A boom for infrastructure related stocks in the near future?","text":"A boom for infrastructure related stocks in the near future?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/844970860","repostId":"1173434003","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3479,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840128846,"gmtCreate":1635608702501,"gmtModify":1635608702750,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"i want gold coins...&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"i want gold coins...&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"i want gold coins... [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840128846","repostId":"1160516340","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160516340","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635576015,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160516340?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-30 14:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160516340","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the ","content":"<p><div> Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat. Here’s a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>万圣节将于周日庆祝，与2020年在新冠肺炎疫情举行的活动相比，可能会发生重大变化，许多人取消了派对和“不给糖就捣蛋”的计划。这是一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-30 14:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat. Here’s a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>万圣节将于周日庆祝，与2020年在新冠肺炎疫情举行的活动相比，可能会发生重大变化，许多人取消了派对和“不给糖就捣蛋”的计划。这是一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CHCO":"City Holding Company","TR":"Tootsie Roll Industries Inc","JAKK":"杰克仕太平洋","AMCX":"AMC网络公司","HSY":"好时"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160516340","content_text":"Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat.\nHere’s a look at what the data is pointing to for 2021 Halloween spending and five stocks to keep on the radar that could turn in strong quarters that include the holiday.\nHalloween Sales Expectations:Consumers feel more comfortable resuming normal Halloween activities according to theNational Retail Federation.\n“This year, two-thirds (65%) of consumers plan to celebrate one of America’s favorite holidays, up from 58% in 2020,” NRF said.\nThe NRF sees consumers spending an average of $102.74 this year on Halloween, which would be the first time the figure has hit triple digits. Estimates last year were for spending of $92.12 by each consumer.\nResearch points to candy and costumes as big winners by the return of Halloween activities along with decorations. Spending on decorations is expected to hit $3.3 billion, an all-time high.\nIs Coca-Cola's Stock Overvalued OrUndervalued?\nHalloween 2021 will also see a higher number of people without kids celebrating than in 2020. Estimates call for 55% of homes without children to celebrate, compared to 49% in 2020. The figure falls in line with pre-pandemic levels of anticipated adult costume spending.\nTootsie Roll:Candy companyTootsie Roll Industries Inc\nTR-0.47%is a popular option for anyone handing out candy to trick or treaters. If you’ve ever gone trick or treating, chances are you got a ton of tootsie rolls, given their lower cost for anyone buying for a large number of visitors.\nThe companyreportedthird-quarter sales of $183.1 million, up 17% year-over-year. The company saw a dip in fourth-quarter revenue last year compared to the prior year. Look for Tootsie Roll to see a rebound in the fourth quarter.\nHershey:The Hershey Co\nHSY-2.28%has diversified its products to include several snack brands, but candy remains the big revenue driver. The company owns many of the popular brands that will be sought out by trick or treaters. Hershey’sthird-quarterrevenue of $2.4 billion was the highest it has seen in years on a quarterly basis.\n“Consumer demand for our brands has remained robust,” Hershey Company CEOMichele Bucksaid. The company raised full-year sales guidance and a strong Halloween could help meet or exceed the updated expectations.\nJakks Pacific:Toy companyJakks Pacific Inc\nJAKK-4.38%finds itself on the Halloween list thanks to its ownership of Disguise, the world’s leading costume design and manufacturing company. With more adults dressing up and a return of trick or treat activities, the company could be in for a strong quarter.\nThe company’sthird-quarterrevenue was $237 million, which included $64 million in revenue for the costumes segment. Costume sales were up 16.4% year-over-year and the fourth quarter could continue that trend. Jakks Pacific had revenue of $128.3 million in the fourth quarter last year, a decline from the prior year. Last year’s fourth quarter featured a 91% year-over-year increase in costumes segment revenue. The third and fourth quarters are the company’s two biggest quarters for revenue.\nParty City:Retailer$Party City Holdco(PRTY)$ Inc\nPRTY+2.97%could be a popular destination for Halloween costumes and decorations. The company ended thesecond quarterwith 749 locations and is also a provider of third-party products to other retailers.\nSecond-quarter revenue was up 110% year-over-year for the company.\n“We saw sequential acceleration of the business as the economy opened up and restrictions subsided, driving increased consumer ability to celebrate,” Party City CEOBrad Westonsaid. The company will report third-quarter earnings on Nov. 9, which could provide a better look at how the Halloween shopping looked.\nAMC Networks:Media companyAMC Networks\nAMCX-2.04%finds itself on the Halloween stock list thanks to its ownership of “The Walking Dead” franchise, horror film programming and as owner of horror focused streaming platform Shudder. AMC isairing“FearFest” from Oct. 1 through Oct. 31 on its namesake AMC and AMC+ channels, which could turn into a subscriber boosting event.\n“The Walking Dead” returned to the network with its final season beginning Oct. 10, which could be another October event to watch. Shudder, which is the largest horror focused streaming platform, is available for $4.75 a month on major streaming platforms. The platformhitone million subscribers in 2020. Pizza Hut, aYum Brands Inc\nYUM-0.75%company,partneredwith Shudder to offer a promotion for 30 days free.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CHCO":0.9,"HSY":0.9,"TR":0.9,"JAKK":0.9,"AMCX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852532642,"gmtCreate":1635290525957,"gmtModify":1635290526737,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>sell or hold?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>sell or hold?","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$sell or hold?","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0ded49f7eb9117d989b4787147d22c2","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852532642","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852377969,"gmtCreate":1635248696471,"gmtModify":1635248707406,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>what price will it go when the market opens? hopefully the direction is UP.&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>what price will it go when the market opens? hopefully the direction is UP.&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$what price will it go when the market opens? hopefully the direction is UP. [得意]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852377969","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":852339869,"gmtCreate":1635240195907,"gmtModify":1635240196607,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"time to buy now???&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"time to buy now???&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","text":"time to buy now??? [思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/852339869","repostId":"1134836974","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1134836974","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1635235567,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1134836974?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-26 16:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UP Fintech Holding Limited Receives Approval from SFC of Acquisition of Ocean Joy Securities Limited<blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司收购海悦证券有限公司获证监会批准</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1134836974","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"BEIJING, Oct. 26, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- UP Fintech Holding Limited (Nasdaq: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” o","content":"<p>BEIJING, Oct. 26, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- UP Fintech Holding Limited (Nasdaq: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”), a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors, today announced that it has received approval from The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (\"SFC\") to complete the acquisition of Ocean Joy Securities Limited (\"OJSL\"), a firm licensed with the SFC for Type I (Dealing in Securities) and Type II (Dealing in Futures Contracts) regulated activities.</p><p><blockquote>北京，2021年10月26日(环球通讯社)--专注于全球投资者的领先在线经纪公司老虎证券控股有限公司（纳斯达克：TIGR）（“老虎证券”或“公司”）今天宣布已获香港证券及期货事务监察委员会（“证监会”）批准完成收购Ocean Joy Securities Limited（“OJSL”），该公司是一家获证监会许可从事第一类（证券交易）及第二类（期货合约交易）受规管活动的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The Company expects to complete the acquisition and, upon completion, expects to start to operate its brokerage business in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>本公司预期完成收购，并预期于完成后开始于香港经营其经纪业务。</blockquote></p><p> About UP Fintech Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>关于老虎证券控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> UP Fintech Holding Limited is a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors. The Company’s proprietary mobile and online trading platform enables investors to trade in equities and other financial instruments on multiple exchanges around the world. The Company offers innovative products and services as well as a superior user experience to customers through its “mobile first” strategy, which enables it to better serve and retain current customers as well as attract new ones. The Company offers customers comprehensive brokerage and value-added services, including trade order placement and execution, margin financing, IPO subscription, ESOP management, investor education, community discussion and customer support. The Company’s proprietary infrastructure and advanced technology are able to support trades across multiple currencies, multiple markets, multiple products, multiple execution venues and multiple clearinghouses.</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司是一家专注于全球投资者的领先在线经纪公司。该公司专有的移动和在线交易平台使投资者能够在全球多个交易所交易股票和其他金融工具。该公司通过其“移动优先”战略为客户提供创新的产品和服务以及卓越的用户体验，这使其能够更好地服务和留住现有客户以及吸引新客户。该公司为客户提供全面的经纪和增值服务，包括交易订单的下达和执行、保证金融资、IPO认购、员工持股计划管理、投资者教育、社区讨论和客户支持。该公司的专有基础设施和先进技术能够支持跨多种货币、多个市场、多种产品、多个执行场所和多个清算所的交易。</blockquote></p><p> For more information on the Company, please visit：<a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com\" target=\"_blank\">https://ir.itiger.com</a></p><p><blockquote>有关公司的更多信息，请访问：<a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com\" target=\"_blank\">https://ir.itiger.com</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UP Fintech Holding Limited Receives Approval from SFC of Acquisition of Ocean Joy Securities Limited<blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司收购海悦证券有限公司获证监会批准</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUP Fintech Holding Limited Receives Approval from SFC of Acquisition of Ocean Joy Securities Limited<blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司收购海悦证券有限公司获证监会批准</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-26 16:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>BEIJING, Oct. 26, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- UP Fintech Holding Limited (Nasdaq: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”), a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors, today announced that it has received approval from The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (\"SFC\") to complete the acquisition of Ocean Joy Securities Limited (\"OJSL\"), a firm licensed with the SFC for Type I (Dealing in Securities) and Type II (Dealing in Futures Contracts) regulated activities.</p><p><blockquote>北京，2021年10月26日(环球通讯社)--专注于全球投资者的领先在线经纪公司老虎证券控股有限公司（纳斯达克：TIGR）（“老虎证券”或“公司”）今天宣布已获香港证券及期货事务监察委员会（“证监会”）批准完成收购Ocean Joy Securities Limited（“OJSL”），该公司是一家获证监会许可从事第一类（证券交易）及第二类（期货合约交易）受规管活动的公司。</blockquote></p><p> The Company expects to complete the acquisition and, upon completion, expects to start to operate its brokerage business in Hong Kong.</p><p><blockquote>本公司预期完成收购，并预期于完成后开始于香港经营其经纪业务。</blockquote></p><p> About UP Fintech Holding Limited</p><p><blockquote>关于老虎证券控股有限公司</blockquote></p><p> UP Fintech Holding Limited is a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors. The Company’s proprietary mobile and online trading platform enables investors to trade in equities and other financial instruments on multiple exchanges around the world. The Company offers innovative products and services as well as a superior user experience to customers through its “mobile first” strategy, which enables it to better serve and retain current customers as well as attract new ones. The Company offers customers comprehensive brokerage and value-added services, including trade order placement and execution, margin financing, IPO subscription, ESOP management, investor education, community discussion and customer support. The Company’s proprietary infrastructure and advanced technology are able to support trades across multiple currencies, multiple markets, multiple products, multiple execution venues and multiple clearinghouses.</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券控股有限公司是一家专注于全球投资者的领先在线经纪公司。该公司专有的移动和在线交易平台使投资者能够在全球多个交易所交易股票和其他金融工具。该公司通过其“移动优先”战略为客户提供创新的产品和服务以及卓越的用户体验，这使其能够更好地服务和留住现有客户以及吸引新客户。该公司为客户提供全面的经纪和增值服务，包括交易订单的下达和执行、保证金融资、IPO认购、员工持股计划管理、投资者教育、社区讨论和客户支持。该公司的专有基础设施和先进技术能够支持跨多种货币、多个市场、多种产品、多个执行场所和多个清算所的交易。</blockquote></p><p> For more information on the Company, please visit：<a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com\" target=\"_blank\">https://ir.itiger.com</a></p><p><blockquote>有关公司的更多信息，请访问：<a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com\" target=\"_blank\">https://ir.itiger.com</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TIGR":"老虎证券"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1134836974","content_text":"BEIJING, Oct. 26, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- UP Fintech Holding Limited (Nasdaq: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”), a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors, today announced that it has received approval from The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (\"SFC\") to complete the acquisition of Ocean Joy Securities Limited (\"OJSL\"), a firm licensed with the SFC for Type I (Dealing in Securities) and Type II (Dealing in Futures Contracts) regulated activities.\nThe Company expects to complete the acquisition and, upon completion, expects to start to operate its brokerage business in Hong Kong.\nAbout UP Fintech Holding Limited\nUP Fintech Holding Limited is a leading online brokerage firm focusing on global investors. The Company’s proprietary mobile and online trading platform enables investors to trade in equities and other financial instruments on multiple exchanges around the world. The Company offers innovative products and services as well as a superior user experience to customers through its “mobile first” strategy, which enables it to better serve and retain current customers as well as attract new ones. The Company offers customers comprehensive brokerage and value-added services, including trade order placement and execution, margin financing, IPO subscription, ESOP management, investor education, community discussion and customer support. The Company’s proprietary infrastructure and advanced technology are able to support trades across multiple currencies, multiple markets, multiple products, multiple execution venues and multiple clearinghouses.\nFor more information on the Company, please visit：https://ir.itiger.com","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TIGR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851247670,"gmtCreate":1634912239125,"gmtModify":1634912363989,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DWAC\">$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$</a>what's the next target price after it resume trading again?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DWAC\">$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$</a>what's the next target price after it resume trading again?&nbsp;","text":"$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$what's the next target price after it resume trading again?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851247670","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853455490,"gmtCreate":1634831101062,"gmtModify":1634831127520,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hope vaccine mixing has little adverse&nbsp;side&nbsp;effects.","listText":"hope vaccine mixing has little adverse&nbsp;side&nbsp;effects.","text":"hope vaccine mixing has little adverse side effects.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853455490","repostId":"1115514997","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850886751,"gmtCreate":1634571233419,"gmtModify":1634571245533,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oil to the moon??? 🚀🌑","listText":"oil to the moon??? 🚀🌑","text":"oil to the moon??? 🚀🌑","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850886751","repostId":"2176121881","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824671582,"gmtCreate":1634311171962,"gmtModify":1634311172706,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"i got an Appl, i got a pen...&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;","listText":"i got an Appl, i got a pen...&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;","text":"i got an Appl, i got a pen... [贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824671582","repostId":"2175117376","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":823676075,"gmtCreate":1633621282291,"gmtModify":1633621282961,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow... 60% upside, so high ah?&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"wow... 60% upside, so high ah?&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","text":"wow... 60% upside, so high ah? [思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823676075","repostId":"1100842347","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829429603,"gmtCreate":1633534984728,"gmtModify":1633534985395,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"always like that de, today down dun buy, then&nbsp;tmr will go up.&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"always like that de, today down dun buy, then&nbsp;tmr will go up.&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"always like that de, today down dun buy, then tmr will go up. [流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829429603","repostId":"1141587133","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574671931921507","authorId":"3574671931921507","name":"Wayneqq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05d24be2c05653913e90f51e69cfe2a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3574671931921507","idStr":"3574671931921507"},"content":"Do not try to time the market.. Just set a price you are willing to buy and let it happen, or you can sell options to get income while waiting","text":"Do not try to time the market.. Just set a price you are willing to buy and let it happen, or you can sell options to get income while waiting","html":"Do not try to time the market.. Just set a price you are willing to buy and let it happen, or you can sell options to get income while waiting"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829258692,"gmtCreate":1633519060611,"gmtModify":1633519061285,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"is this a short term or long term stock to hold?","listText":"is this a short term or long term stock to hold?","text":"is this a short term or long term stock to hold?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829258692","repostId":"1103051417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820140632,"gmtCreate":1633361260675,"gmtModify":1633361261347,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"fastly vs cloudfare, which one will be&nbsp;better?","listText":"fastly vs cloudfare, which one will be&nbsp;better?","text":"fastly vs cloudfare, which one will be better?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820140632","repostId":"2172799574","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865758611,"gmtCreate":1633026269195,"gmtModify":1633026269837,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what is the ideal lower entry point then???","listText":"what is the ideal lower entry point then???","text":"what is the ideal lower entry point then???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865758611","repostId":"2171530969","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":715,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865915870,"gmtCreate":1632930118483,"gmtModify":1632930119079,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"time to earn back some tiger coins...&nbsp;","listText":"time to earn back some tiger coins...&nbsp;","text":"time to earn back some tiger coins...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865915870","repostId":"1136349988","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1349,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862187870,"gmtCreate":1632843765193,"gmtModify":1632843765392,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3561472805649521","idStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hmmm... i may take broadcom, the rest i not sure.&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"hmmm... i may take broadcom, the rest i not sure.&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","text":"hmmm... i may take broadcom, the rest i not sure. [思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862187870","repostId":"2170672462","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":930,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":868652816,"gmtCreate":1632643842335,"gmtModify":1632646813163,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hmm... i wonder $6300 can? i am ok with $150 quarterly.&nbsp;[鬼脸]&nbsp;","listText":"hmm... i wonder $6300 can? i am ok with $150 quarterly.&nbsp;[鬼脸]&nbsp;","text":"hmm... i wonder $6300 can? i am ok with $150 quarterly. [鬼脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/868652816","repostId":"2170865614","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":147711459,"gmtCreate":1626391226971,"gmtModify":1631891564271,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"buy when low...... 😅","listText":"buy when low...... 😅","text":"buy when low...... 😅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147711459","repostId":"2151573133","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":823676075,"gmtCreate":1633621282291,"gmtModify":1633621282961,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow... 60% upside, so high ah?&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"wow... 60% upside, so high ah?&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","text":"wow... 60% upside, so high ah? [思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/823676075","repostId":"1100842347","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":174754144,"gmtCreate":1627144848688,"gmtModify":1631891564245,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"another risk could be how long can NIO be listed in America amist US-China relationship... then we can talk about is NIO following Tesla footsteps? my 2 cents.&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;","listText":"another risk could be how long can NIO be listed in America amist US-China relationship... then we can talk about is NIO following Tesla footsteps? my 2 cents.&nbsp;[疑问]&nbsp;","text":"another risk could be how long can NIO be listed in America amist US-China relationship... then we can talk about is NIO following Tesla footsteps? my 2 cents. [疑问]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174754144","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售价格较高的汽车，与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗？这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li>  <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li>  <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何，蔚来的独特卖点，以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择，相对于特斯拉的估值，它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而，蔚来并不是一只低风险股票，它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司（蔚来）是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一，通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而，如今，该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉（TSLA）小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场，当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此，但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长，但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功，这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣，这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合，让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%，而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而，两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点，随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价，我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识，而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的，那么蔚来是一项更好的投资，因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨，而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处，但也有不同之处。因此，人们可以说，在某些方面，两者是相似的，但在另一些方面，它们不是。让我们看几件事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域，尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务，例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车，这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场，销售价格较高的汽车，与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆，特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y，而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司，但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施，就特斯拉而言，这就是Supercharger网络，特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法，为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池，这一过程需要几分钟，因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此，BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势，但应该指出的是，与蔚来的电池交换站相比，特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出，但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比，蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察，但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧，这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大，无论是在收入和汽车销量方面，还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车，同比增长112%，年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时，特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车，高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长，尽管略低于100%，因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比，特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍，当我们查看两家公司的市值时，我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同，因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下，这是完全有道理的，但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易，因为它的估值相当，同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此，预计特斯拉的增长将放缓：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元，年增长率为30%。与此同时，蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元，年增长率为54%。因此，相对而言，预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说，这并不奇怪，因为大数定律表明，对于一家规模越大的公司来说，保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难，而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错，事实上，许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比，特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋，而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时，情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元，比2023年的预期再增长80%，比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时，特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元，这是一个很大的数字，但比2023年增长了48%，比2021年总共增长了150%。因此，在2021年至2025年间，蔚来的收入将增加4倍，而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下，这是一个有意义的差异，应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值，就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车（OTCPK：VWAGY）等传统企业相比，它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期，我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍，而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此，对于长期投资者来说，蔚来今天似乎更有价值，因为当我们展望未来时，它的销售倍数要低得多。然而，这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜，因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比，即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而，蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜，尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly&nbsp;overpriced&nbsp;today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are&nbsp;underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今，蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉，因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是，不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少，它的股票今天有可能被严重高估，我个人也相信这一点（请注意，有些人会认为股票定价过低，这也是一种可能性，尽管我个人并不持有这种信念）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的，并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时，那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标，尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车，2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%，那么到2030年（即9年后），它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长，也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限，例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年，那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率，蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说，如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的，并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的，那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉（今天）一样高。当然，这是两个主要的如果，尤其是第二点，我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶，因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平，即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望，目前的预测过于乐观，尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌，处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是，特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同，因此即使蔚来达到这一水平，也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时，特斯拉的估值可能会高得多，例如如果方舟模型是正确的（我个人认为不太可能）。为了回答上述问题，人们可以说，蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元，但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生，到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗？</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时，它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反，投资者应该问自己，未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少，以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险，这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险，应该提到的事实是，该公司尚未盈利，这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是，电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧，市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力，尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位，我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是，该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险，尽管还应该指出的是，目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说，相对于传统汽车公司的估值，整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比，即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业，其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车，蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率，并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比，股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比，蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍，似乎并不算太贵，当然，与传统公司相比，这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型，从长远来看，其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资，蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间，然而，这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力，如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车，蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":829429603,"gmtCreate":1633534984728,"gmtModify":1633534985395,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"always like that de, today down dun buy, then&nbsp;tmr will go up.&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"always like that de, today down dun buy, then&nbsp;tmr will go up.&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"always like that de, today down dun buy, then tmr will go up. [流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829429603","repostId":"1141587133","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3574671931921507","authorId":"3574671931921507","name":"Wayneqq","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05d24be2c05653913e90f51e69cfe2a8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574671931921507","authorIdStr":"3574671931921507"},"content":"Do not try to time the market.. Just set a price you are willing to buy and let it happen, or you can sell options to get income while waiting","text":"Do not try to time the market.. Just set a price you are willing to buy and let it happen, or you can sell options to get income while waiting","html":"Do not try to time the market.. Just set a price you are willing to buy and let it happen, or you can sell options to get income while waiting"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851247670,"gmtCreate":1634912239125,"gmtModify":1634912363989,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DWAC\">$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$</a>what's the next target price after it resume trading again?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DWAC\">$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$</a>what's the next target price after it resume trading again?&nbsp;","text":"$Digital World Acquisition Corp(DWAC)$what's the next target price after it resume trading again?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851247670","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":833831516,"gmtCreate":1629214377135,"gmtModify":1631888426549,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"is a crash really coming?","listText":"is a crash really coming?","text":"is a crash really coming?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833831516","repostId":"2160062252","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":829258692,"gmtCreate":1633519060611,"gmtModify":1633519061285,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"is this a short term or long term stock to hold?","listText":"is this a short term or long term stock to hold?","text":"is this a short term or long term stock to hold?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/829258692","repostId":"1103051417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1152,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":820140632,"gmtCreate":1633361260675,"gmtModify":1633361261347,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"fastly vs cloudfare, which one will be&nbsp;better?","listText":"fastly vs cloudfare, which one will be&nbsp;better?","text":"fastly vs cloudfare, which one will be better?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/820140632","repostId":"2172799574","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":805679135,"gmtCreate":1627879717827,"gmtModify":1631888426573,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"for pfizer, i understand... not sure about the rest. need more research 1st.","listText":"for pfizer, i understand... not sure about the rest. need more research 1st.","text":"for pfizer, i understand... not sure about the rest. need more research 1st.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805679135","repostId":"2156169749","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":875444494,"gmtCreate":1637681617084,"gmtModify":1637681617336,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"black friday and cyber monday coming... WD selling more hardisks this time round?&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"black friday and cyber monday coming... WD selling more hardisks this time round?&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"black friday and cyber monday coming... WD selling more hardisks this time round? [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875444494","repostId":"1192119389","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192119389","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637679057,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192119389?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 22:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Western Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.<blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192119389","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Western Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.\n\nMiz","content":"<p>Western&nbsp;Digital&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a002ee881fc7645aa99d269b0c161b2a\" tg-width=\"867\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Mizuho</b>&nbsp;analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded&nbsp;<b>Western Digital Corp</b>&nbsp;to Buy from Neutral&nbsp;with a price target of $75, up from $55, implying a 31.7% upside.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>Mizuho</b>&nbsp;analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded&nbsp;<b>Micron Technology Inc</b>&nbsp;to Buy from Neutral&nbsp;with a price target of $95, up from $75, implying a 13.3% upside.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>瑞穗</b>分析师Vijay Rakesh升级<b>西部数据公司</b>从中性买入，目标价从55美元上调至75美元，意味着上涨31.7%。</li></ul><ul><li><b>瑞穗</b>分析师Vijay Rakesh升级<b>美光科技公司</b>从中性买入，目标价从75美元上调至95美元，意味着上涨13.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Western Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.<blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWestern Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.<blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-23 22:50</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Western&nbsp;Digital&nbsp;shares&nbsp;rose&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;7%&nbsp;in&nbsp;early&nbsp;trading&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;4%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a002ee881fc7645aa99d269b0c161b2a\" tg-width=\"867\" tg-height=\"617\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>西部数据股价早盘涨超7%，美光科技涨近4%。</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b>Mizuho</b>&nbsp;analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded&nbsp;<b>Western Digital Corp</b>&nbsp;to Buy from Neutral&nbsp;with a price target of $75, up from $55, implying a 31.7% upside.</li> </ul> <ul>  <li><b>Mizuho</b>&nbsp;analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded&nbsp;<b>Micron Technology Inc</b>&nbsp;to Buy from Neutral&nbsp;with a price target of $95, up from $75, implying a 13.3% upside.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>瑞穗</b>分析师Vijay Rakesh升级<b>西部数据公司</b>从中性买入，目标价从55美元上调至75美元，意味着上涨31.7%。</li></ul><ul><li><b>瑞穗</b>分析师Vijay Rakesh升级<b>美光科技公司</b>从中性买入，目标价从75美元上调至95美元，意味着上涨13.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WDC":"西部数据","MU":"美光科技"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192119389","content_text":"Western Digital shares rose more than 7% in early trading and Micron Technology rose nearly 4%.\n\nMizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded Western Digital Corp to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $75, up from $55, implying a 31.7% upside.\n\n\nMizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh upgraded Micron Technology Inc to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $95, up from $75, implying a 13.3% upside.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WDC":0.9,"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874620914,"gmtCreate":1637767718608,"gmtModify":1637767718849,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>Up or Down tonite? last 3000 coins to guess.&nbsp;[保佑]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$S&amp;P 500(.SPX)$</a>Up or Down tonite? last 3000 coins to guess.&nbsp;[保佑]&nbsp;","text":"$S&P 500(.SPX)$Up or Down tonite? last 3000 coins to guess. [保佑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874620914","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":850886751,"gmtCreate":1634571233419,"gmtModify":1634571245533,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oil to the moon??? 🚀🌑","listText":"oil to the moon??? 🚀🌑","text":"oil to the moon??? 🚀🌑","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850886751","repostId":"2176121881","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":799,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":824671582,"gmtCreate":1634311171962,"gmtModify":1634311172706,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"i got an Appl, i got a pen...&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;","listText":"i got an Appl, i got a pen...&nbsp;[贱笑]&nbsp;","text":"i got an Appl, i got a pen... [贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/824671582","repostId":"2175117376","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":758,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862187870,"gmtCreate":1632843765193,"gmtModify":1632843765392,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hmmm... i may take broadcom, the rest i not sure.&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"hmmm... i may take broadcom, the rest i not sure.&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","text":"hmmm... i may take broadcom, the rest i not sure. [思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862187870","repostId":"2170672462","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":930,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":834439161,"gmtCreate":1629817528353,"gmtModify":1631887427860,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"though cheap, still need to study them better before buying them.","listText":"though cheap, still need to study them better before buying them.","text":"though cheap, still need to study them better before buying them.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834439161","repostId":"1136078272","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136078272","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629797703,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136078272?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-24 17:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Here Are the 10 Cheapest Stocks in the S&P 500<blockquote>以下是标普500中最便宜的10只股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136078272","media":"Barrons","summary":"There are still plenty of cheap stocks, even with the major indexes near record highs.\nBarron’s scre","content":"<p>There are still plenty of cheap stocks, even with the major indexes near record highs.</p><p><blockquote>即使主要股指接近历史新高，仍然有大量廉价股票。</blockquote></p><p> Barron’s screened the S&amp;P 500 index and identified the 10 stocks with the lowest price-to-earnings ratios using 2022 profit projections, based on FactSet data.</p><p><blockquote>《巴伦周刊》根据FactSet数据筛选了标普500指数，并利用2022年利润预测确定了市盈率最低的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> The 10 least expensive companies include memory-chip makers Micron Technology (ticker: MU) and&nbsp;Western Digital(WDC), chemical producer&nbsp;LyondellBasell Industries(LYB), and life insurer&nbsp;Lincoln National(LNC). Nine of the 10 have P/E ratios below six. Lyondell has the highest multiple in the group, at 6.5 times estimated 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>成本最低的10家公司包括存储芯片制造商美光科技（股票代码：MU）和西部数据（WDC）、化学品生产商利安德巴塞尔工业公司（LYB）和人寿保险公司林肯国民公司（LNC）。10家公司中有9家的市盈率低于6。利安德的市盈率是该集团中最高的，为2022年预期市盈率的6.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> The other six stocks are drugmakers&nbsp;Viatris(VTRS) and&nbsp;Organon(OGN); oil and gas producers&nbsp;Diamondback Energy(FANG) and&nbsp;APA(APA), formerly Apache; home builder&nbsp;PulteGroup(PHM), and insurer&nbsp;Unum(UNM).</p><p><blockquote>其他六只股票是制药商Viatris(VTRS)和Organon(OGN)；石油和天然气生产商Diamondback Energy(FANG)和APA(APA)，前身为阿帕奇；房屋建筑商PulteGroup(PHM)和保险公司Unum(UNM)。</blockquote></p><p> Several of the stocks have had big gains over the past year, including Diamondback, Micron, and Lincoln National, but all remain cheap based on earnings.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些股票在过去一年中大幅上涨，包括Diamondback、Micron和Lincoln National，但从盈利来看，所有股票都仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10 in the Bargain Bin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10在便宜货箱里</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 with the lowest price-to-earnings ratios.</p><p><blockquote>以下是标普500市盈率最低的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>1-Yr Price Change</th>    <th>2022E* P/E Ratio</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Viatris / VTRS</td>    <td>$14.82</td>    <td>$17.9</td>    <td>-10.8%</td>    <td>3.9</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Unum Group / UNM</td>    <td>26.14</td>    <td>5.3</td>    <td>38.8</td>    <td>4.8</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Diamondback Energy / FANG</td>    <td>69.80</td>    <td>12.6</td>    <td>56.8</td>    <td>5.2</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Western Digital / WDC</td>    <td>61.07</td>    <td>18.7</td>    <td>73.0</td>    <td>5.5</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>APA / APA</td>    <td>16.68</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>4.3</td>    <td>5.6</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>PulteGroup / PHM</td>    <td>52.43</td>    <td>13.6</td>    <td>12.1</td>    <td>5.6</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Organon / OGN</td>    <td>33.61</td>    <td>8.5</td>    <td>N/A</td>    <td>5.7</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Lincoln National / LNC</td>    <td>66.87</td>    <td>12.5</td>    <td>79.6</td>    <td>5.8</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Micron Technology / MU</td>    <td>70.60</td>    <td>79.5</td>    <td>59.6</td>    <td>5.9</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>LyondellBasell Industries / LYB</td>    <td>100.36</td>    <td>33.5</td>    <td>43.8</td>    <td>6.5</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> *P/E ratio based on calendar 2022 estimates; E=estimate; N/A=not applicable</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>1年价格变化</th><th>2022年预期*市盈率</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Viatris/VTRS</td><td>$14.82</td><td>$17.9</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>3.9</td></tr><tr><td>Unum集团/UNM</td><td>26.14</td><td>5.3</td><td>38.8</td><td>4.8</td></tr><tr><td>响尾蛇能源/FANG</td><td>69.80</td><td>12.6</td><td>56.8</td><td>5.2</td></tr><tr><td>西部数据/WDC</td><td>61.07</td><td>18.7</td><td>73.0</td><td>5.5</td></tr><tr><td>什么/什么</td><td>16.68</td><td>6.3</td><td>4.3</td><td>5.6</td></tr><tr><td>PulteGroup/PHM</td><td>52.43</td><td>13.6</td><td>12.1</td><td>5.6</td></tr><tr><td>有机农/OGN</td><td>33.61</td><td>8.5</td><td>N/A</td><td>5.7</td></tr><tr><td>林肯国家/LNC</td><td>66.87</td><td>12.5</td><td>79.6</td><td>5.8</td></tr><tr><td>美光科技/MU</td><td>70.60</td><td>79.5</td><td>59.6</td><td>5.9</td></tr><tr><td>利安德巴塞尔工业/LYB</td><td>100.36</td><td>33.5</td><td>43.8</td><td>6.5</td></tr></tbody></table>*市盈率基于2022年预测；E=估计值；N/A=不适用</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Why are the stocks so inexpensive?</p><p><blockquote>为什么股票这么便宜？</blockquote></p><p> Some like Viatris and Organon have ample, but manageable debt. Investors fear that profits may be peaking at companies like Micron, Lyondell, and&nbsp;Western Digital.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris和Organon等一些公司拥有充足但可控的债务。投资者担心美光、利安德和西部数据等公司的利润可能会达到顶峰。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns could be creating opportunities for investors. Micron, whose shares trade around $70, recently initiated a small dividend resulting in an 0.6% yield. J.P. Morgan analyst Harlan Sur wrote earlier this month that he expected Micron and its rivals to be “disciplined and prudent” about adding supply in the face of strong demand. He has an Overweight rating and a $140 price target on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>这些担忧可能会为投资者创造机会。美光科技的股价约为70美元，最近开始派发小额股息，收益率为0.6%。摩根大通分析师Harlan Sur本月早些时候写道，面对强劲的需求，他预计美光及其竞争对手将在增加供应方面保持“纪律和谨慎”。他对该股给予跑赢大盘评级和140美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Western Digital, at around $61, is a leading maker of flash memory. Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore is upbeat on its prospects, giving the stock an Overweight rating and a $88 price target. He thinks the stock is too cheap given that he expects earnings of $10 a share next year.</p><p><blockquote>西部数据公司的股价约为61美元，是闪存的领先制造商。大摩分析师Joseph Moore对其前景持乐观态度，给予该股跑赢大盘评级，目标价88美元。他认为该股太便宜了，因为他预计明年每股收益为10美元。</blockquote></p><p> Organon, a&nbsp;Merck(MRK) spinoff that has a portfolio of off-patent drugs and a women’s health business, recently reported better-than-expected earnings. It has set an $1.12 annual dividend, for a 3.3% yield at a recent price of $33.50.</p><p><blockquote>Organon是默克(MRK)的分拆公司，拥有一系列非专利药物和女性健康业务，最近公布的盈利好于预期。它设定了1.12美元的年度股息，以最近33.50美元的价格计算，收益率为3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Joe Cornell, the publisher of Spin-Off Research, has a Buy rating and a $45 price target on the stock. Organon has a “peer-leading” yield, he recently wrote, and potential “top-line growth and margin momentum over the medium-term.”</p><p><blockquote>Spin-Off Research出版商Joe Cornell对该股给予买入评级和45美元的目标价。他最近写道，Organon拥有“同行领先”的收益率，以及潜在的“中期营收增长和利润率势头”。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris, a generic drugmaker spun off from&nbsp;Pfizer(PFE), has the lowest P/E in the S&amp;P 500 at 3.9. Its shares recently traded below $15.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris是一家从辉瑞(PFE)分拆出来的仿制药制造商，其市盈率在标普500最低，为3.9。其股价最近交易价格低于15美元。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan analyst Chris Schott was encouraged by the company’s second-quarter earnings report, but maintained a Neutral rating as he awaits more evidence of improving financial performance after a tough 2020. The stock has a 3% yield.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Chris Schott对该公司第二季度财报感到鼓舞，但维持中性评级，因为他等待更多证据表明在经历了艰难的2020年后财务业绩有所改善。该股票的收益率为3%。</blockquote></p><p> Energy stocks have experienced a sharp pullback since June 1 because of a drop in oil prices and a sentiment shift away from the sector.</p><p><blockquote>自6月1日以来，由于油价下跌和市场情绪远离该行业，能源股经历了大幅回调。</blockquote></p><p> Diamondback Energy, a leading exploration and production company in the Permian basin in Texas, has seen its shares drop to a recent $70 from $100. The company reported strong second-quarter results and boosted its dividend by 12.5% to an annualized $1.80 a share. The stock now yields about 2.6%.</p><p><blockquote>Diamondback Energy是德克萨斯州二叠纪盆地领先的勘探和生产公司，其股价从100美元跌至最近的70美元。该公司公布了强劲的第二季度业绩，并将股息提高了12.5%，达到年化每股1.80美元。该股目前的收益率约为2.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Like many E&amp;Ps, Diamondback has a high free-cash flow yield. J.P. Morgan analyst Arun Jayaram is upbeat on Diamondback and recently estimated its net asset value at $126 a share. APA produces oil and gas in the U.S. and overseas and offers a play on a potentially large offshore oil field off Suriname in South America. Its shares trade around $16.</p><p><blockquote>与许多勘探与生产公司一样，Diamondback拥有较高的自由现金流收益率。摩根大通分析师Arun Jayaram对Diamondback持乐观态度，最近估计其资产净值为每股126美元。APA在美国和海外生产石油和天然气，并在南美洲苏里南附近的一个潜在大型海上油田提供业务。其股价约为16美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of PulteGroup, one of the largest U.S. home builders, have pulled back about 20% from a spring peak, to a recent $52 amid concerns about demand and pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>由于对需求和定价能力的担忧，美国最大的住宅建筑商之一PulteGroup的股价已从春季峰值回落约20%，至最近的52美元。</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Stephen Kim, one of the most bullish Wall Street analysts on the sector, sees rising profitability for Pulte and peers. He has an Outperform rating on Pulte and a $93 price target. He sees about $8 a share in earnings this year and an above-consensus estimate of roughly $12 next year.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Stephen Kim是华尔街对该行业最乐观的分析师之一，他认为Pulte和同行的盈利能力不断上升。他对Pulte的评级为跑赢大盘，目标价为93美元。他预计今年每股收益约为8美元，明年约为12美元，高于市场普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p> Lyondell, the world’s third-largest independent chemical company, is a major player in plastics. Its shares recently traded around $100.Its CEO, Bob Patel, recently told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;Jack Hough: “Whether we’re at peak, and is there a moderation or a hard reset—this is at the heart of the debate today with investors. I think there is strong demand in front of us.”</p><p><blockquote>利安德是全球第三大独立化学公司，是塑料领域的主要参与者。其股价最近交易价格约为100美元。其首席执行官鲍勃·帕特尔(Bob Patel)最近告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>Jack Hough：“我们是否正处于顶峰，是否会出现缓和或硬重置——这是今天与投资者争论的核心。我认为我们面前有强劲的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Lincoln National, which offers life insurance, annuities, and other financial products, recently traded around $67, less than six times projected 2022 earnings and below a conservative measure of book value of $75. J.P. Morgan analyst Jimmy Bhullar likes Lincoln National, recently citing an “improving business mix” and “discount valuation.” He has an Overweight rating and a $81 price target.</p><p><blockquote>Lincoln National提供人寿保险、年金和其他金融产品，最近的交易价格约为67美元，不到2022年预计收益的六倍，也低于75美元的保守账面价值。摩根大通分析师吉米·布拉尔(Jimmy Bhullar)喜欢林肯国民(Lincoln National)，最近称其“业务组合不断改善”和“估值折扣”。他给予跑赢大盘评级和81美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Unum, a provider of life and disability insurance, trades cheaply based on earnings and book value. That reflects in part concerns about its long-term care insurance reserves, which were strengthened in 2020. The stock, around $26, trades for about five times projected 2022 earnings and for half of book value.</p><p><blockquote>Unum是一家人寿和伤残保险提供商，根据收益和账面价值进行廉价交易。这在一定程度上反映了对其长期护理保险准备金的担忧，该准备金在2020年得到了加强。该股股价约为26美元，交易价格约为2022年预计收益的五倍，账面价值的一半。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Here Are the 10 Cheapest Stocks in the S&P 500<blockquote>以下是标普500中最便宜的10只股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHere Are the 10 Cheapest Stocks in the S&P 500<blockquote>以下是标普500中最便宜的10只股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-24 17:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>There are still plenty of cheap stocks, even with the major indexes near record highs.</p><p><blockquote>即使主要股指接近历史新高，仍然有大量廉价股票。</blockquote></p><p> Barron’s screened the S&amp;P 500 index and identified the 10 stocks with the lowest price-to-earnings ratios using 2022 profit projections, based on FactSet data.</p><p><blockquote>《巴伦周刊》根据FactSet数据筛选了标普500指数，并利用2022年利润预测确定了市盈率最低的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> The 10 least expensive companies include memory-chip makers Micron Technology (ticker: MU) and&nbsp;Western Digital(WDC), chemical producer&nbsp;LyondellBasell Industries(LYB), and life insurer&nbsp;Lincoln National(LNC). Nine of the 10 have P/E ratios below six. Lyondell has the highest multiple in the group, at 6.5 times estimated 2022 earnings.</p><p><blockquote>成本最低的10家公司包括存储芯片制造商美光科技（股票代码：MU）和西部数据（WDC）、化学品生产商利安德巴塞尔工业公司（LYB）和人寿保险公司林肯国民公司（LNC）。10家公司中有9家的市盈率低于6。利安德的市盈率是该集团中最高的，为2022年预期市盈率的6.5倍。</blockquote></p><p> The other six stocks are drugmakers&nbsp;Viatris(VTRS) and&nbsp;Organon(OGN); oil and gas producers&nbsp;Diamondback Energy(FANG) and&nbsp;APA(APA), formerly Apache; home builder&nbsp;PulteGroup(PHM), and insurer&nbsp;Unum(UNM).</p><p><blockquote>其他六只股票是制药商Viatris(VTRS)和Organon(OGN)；石油和天然气生产商Diamondback Energy(FANG)和APA(APA)，前身为阿帕奇；房屋建筑商PulteGroup(PHM)和保险公司Unum(UNM)。</blockquote></p><p> Several of the stocks have had big gains over the past year, including Diamondback, Micron, and Lincoln National, but all remain cheap based on earnings.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些股票在过去一年中大幅上涨，包括Diamondback、Micron和Lincoln National，但从盈利来看，所有股票都仍然很便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10 in the Bargain Bin</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10在便宜货箱里</b></blockquote></p><p> Here are the 10 stocks in the S&amp;P 500 with the lowest price-to-earnings ratios.</p><p><blockquote>以下是标普500市盈率最低的10只股票。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <thead>   <tr>    <th>Company / Ticker</th>    <th>Recent Price</th>    <th>Market Value (bil)</th>    <th>1-Yr Price Change</th>    <th>2022E* P/E Ratio</th>   </tr>  </thead>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td>Viatris / VTRS</td>    <td>$14.82</td>    <td>$17.9</td>    <td>-10.8%</td>    <td>3.9</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Unum Group / UNM</td>    <td>26.14</td>    <td>5.3</td>    <td>38.8</td>    <td>4.8</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Diamondback Energy / FANG</td>    <td>69.80</td>    <td>12.6</td>    <td>56.8</td>    <td>5.2</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Western Digital / WDC</td>    <td>61.07</td>    <td>18.7</td>    <td>73.0</td>    <td>5.5</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>APA / APA</td>    <td>16.68</td>    <td>6.3</td>    <td>4.3</td>    <td>5.6</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>PulteGroup / PHM</td>    <td>52.43</td>    <td>13.6</td>    <td>12.1</td>    <td>5.6</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Organon / OGN</td>    <td>33.61</td>    <td>8.5</td>    <td>N/A</td>    <td>5.7</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Lincoln National / LNC</td>    <td>66.87</td>    <td>12.5</td>    <td>79.6</td>    <td>5.8</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Micron Technology / MU</td>    <td>70.60</td>    <td>79.5</td>    <td>59.6</td>    <td>5.9</td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>LyondellBasell Industries / LYB</td>    <td>100.36</td>    <td>33.5</td>    <td>43.8</td>    <td>6.5</td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> *P/E ratio based on calendar 2022 estimates; E=estimate; N/A=not applicable</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>近期价格</th><th>市值（bil）</th><th>1年价格变化</th><th>2022年预期*市盈率</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Viatris/VTRS</td><td>$14.82</td><td>$17.9</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>3.9</td></tr><tr><td>Unum集团/UNM</td><td>26.14</td><td>5.3</td><td>38.8</td><td>4.8</td></tr><tr><td>响尾蛇能源/FANG</td><td>69.80</td><td>12.6</td><td>56.8</td><td>5.2</td></tr><tr><td>西部数据/WDC</td><td>61.07</td><td>18.7</td><td>73.0</td><td>5.5</td></tr><tr><td>什么/什么</td><td>16.68</td><td>6.3</td><td>4.3</td><td>5.6</td></tr><tr><td>PulteGroup/PHM</td><td>52.43</td><td>13.6</td><td>12.1</td><td>5.6</td></tr><tr><td>有机农/OGN</td><td>33.61</td><td>8.5</td><td>N/A</td><td>5.7</td></tr><tr><td>林肯国家/LNC</td><td>66.87</td><td>12.5</td><td>79.6</td><td>5.8</td></tr><tr><td>美光科技/MU</td><td>70.60</td><td>79.5</td><td>59.6</td><td>5.9</td></tr><tr><td>利安德巴塞尔工业/LYB</td><td>100.36</td><td>33.5</td><td>43.8</td><td>6.5</td></tr></tbody></table>*市盈率基于2022年预测；E=估计值；N/A=不适用</blockquote></p><p> Source: FactSet</p><p><blockquote>来源：FactSet</blockquote></p><p> Why are the stocks so inexpensive?</p><p><blockquote>为什么股票这么便宜？</blockquote></p><p> Some like Viatris and Organon have ample, but manageable debt. Investors fear that profits may be peaking at companies like Micron, Lyondell, and&nbsp;Western Digital.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris和Organon等一些公司拥有充足但可控的债务。投资者担心美光、利安德和西部数据等公司的利润可能会达到顶峰。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns could be creating opportunities for investors. Micron, whose shares trade around $70, recently initiated a small dividend resulting in an 0.6% yield. J.P. Morgan analyst Harlan Sur wrote earlier this month that he expected Micron and its rivals to be “disciplined and prudent” about adding supply in the face of strong demand. He has an Overweight rating and a $140 price target on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>这些担忧可能会为投资者创造机会。美光科技的股价约为70美元，最近开始派发小额股息，收益率为0.6%。摩根大通分析师Harlan Sur本月早些时候写道，面对强劲的需求，他预计美光及其竞争对手将在增加供应方面保持“纪律和谨慎”。他对该股给予跑赢大盘评级和140美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Western Digital, at around $61, is a leading maker of flash memory. Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore is upbeat on its prospects, giving the stock an Overweight rating and a $88 price target. He thinks the stock is too cheap given that he expects earnings of $10 a share next year.</p><p><blockquote>西部数据公司的股价约为61美元，是闪存的领先制造商。大摩分析师Joseph Moore对其前景持乐观态度，给予该股跑赢大盘评级，目标价88美元。他认为该股太便宜了，因为他预计明年每股收益为10美元。</blockquote></p><p> Organon, a&nbsp;Merck(MRK) spinoff that has a portfolio of off-patent drugs and a women’s health business, recently reported better-than-expected earnings. It has set an $1.12 annual dividend, for a 3.3% yield at a recent price of $33.50.</p><p><blockquote>Organon是默克(MRK)的分拆公司，拥有一系列非专利药物和女性健康业务，最近公布的盈利好于预期。它设定了1.12美元的年度股息，以最近33.50美元的价格计算，收益率为3.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Joe Cornell, the publisher of Spin-Off Research, has a Buy rating and a $45 price target on the stock. Organon has a “peer-leading” yield, he recently wrote, and potential “top-line growth and margin momentum over the medium-term.”</p><p><blockquote>Spin-Off Research出版商Joe Cornell对该股给予买入评级和45美元的目标价。他最近写道，Organon拥有“同行领先”的收益率，以及潜在的“中期营收增长和利润率势头”。</blockquote></p><p> Viatris, a generic drugmaker spun off from&nbsp;Pfizer(PFE), has the lowest P/E in the S&amp;P 500 at 3.9. Its shares recently traded below $15.</p><p><blockquote>Viatris是一家从辉瑞(PFE)分拆出来的仿制药制造商，其市盈率在标普500最低，为3.9。其股价最近交易价格低于15美元。</blockquote></p><p> J.P. Morgan analyst Chris Schott was encouraged by the company’s second-quarter earnings report, but maintained a Neutral rating as he awaits more evidence of improving financial performance after a tough 2020. The stock has a 3% yield.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通分析师Chris Schott对该公司第二季度财报感到鼓舞，但维持中性评级，因为他等待更多证据表明在经历了艰难的2020年后财务业绩有所改善。该股票的收益率为3%。</blockquote></p><p> Energy stocks have experienced a sharp pullback since June 1 because of a drop in oil prices and a sentiment shift away from the sector.</p><p><blockquote>自6月1日以来，由于油价下跌和市场情绪远离该行业，能源股经历了大幅回调。</blockquote></p><p> Diamondback Energy, a leading exploration and production company in the Permian basin in Texas, has seen its shares drop to a recent $70 from $100. The company reported strong second-quarter results and boosted its dividend by 12.5% to an annualized $1.80 a share. The stock now yields about 2.6%.</p><p><blockquote>Diamondback Energy是德克萨斯州二叠纪盆地领先的勘探和生产公司，其股价从100美元跌至最近的70美元。该公司公布了强劲的第二季度业绩，并将股息提高了12.5%，达到年化每股1.80美元。该股目前的收益率约为2.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Like many E&amp;Ps, Diamondback has a high free-cash flow yield. J.P. Morgan analyst Arun Jayaram is upbeat on Diamondback and recently estimated its net asset value at $126 a share. APA produces oil and gas in the U.S. and overseas and offers a play on a potentially large offshore oil field off Suriname in South America. Its shares trade around $16.</p><p><blockquote>与许多勘探与生产公司一样，Diamondback拥有较高的自由现金流收益率。摩根大通分析师Arun Jayaram对Diamondback持乐观态度，最近估计其资产净值为每股126美元。APA在美国和海外生产石油和天然气，并在南美洲苏里南附近的一个潜在大型海上油田提供业务。其股价约为16美元。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of PulteGroup, one of the largest U.S. home builders, have pulled back about 20% from a spring peak, to a recent $52 amid concerns about demand and pricing power.</p><p><blockquote>由于对需求和定价能力的担忧，美国最大的住宅建筑商之一PulteGroup的股价已从春季峰值回落约20%，至最近的52美元。</blockquote></p><p> Evercore ISI analyst Stephen Kim, one of the most bullish Wall Street analysts on the sector, sees rising profitability for Pulte and peers. He has an Outperform rating on Pulte and a $93 price target. He sees about $8 a share in earnings this year and an above-consensus estimate of roughly $12 next year.</p><p><blockquote>Evercore ISI分析师Stephen Kim是华尔街对该行业最乐观的分析师之一，他认为Pulte和同行的盈利能力不断上升。他对Pulte的评级为跑赢大盘，目标价为93美元。他预计今年每股收益约为8美元，明年约为12美元，高于市场普遍预期。</blockquote></p><p> Lyondell, the world’s third-largest independent chemical company, is a major player in plastics. Its shares recently traded around $100.Its CEO, Bob Patel, recently told&nbsp;<i>Barron’s</i>&nbsp;Jack Hough: “Whether we’re at peak, and is there a moderation or a hard reset—this is at the heart of the debate today with investors. I think there is strong demand in front of us.”</p><p><blockquote>利安德是全球第三大独立化学公司，是塑料领域的主要参与者。其股价最近交易价格约为100美元。其首席执行官鲍勃·帕特尔(Bob Patel)最近告诉<i>巴伦周刊</i>Jack Hough：“我们是否正处于顶峰，是否会出现缓和或硬重置——这是今天与投资者争论的核心。我认为我们面前有强劲的需求。”</blockquote></p><p> Lincoln National, which offers life insurance, annuities, and other financial products, recently traded around $67, less than six times projected 2022 earnings and below a conservative measure of book value of $75. J.P. Morgan analyst Jimmy Bhullar likes Lincoln National, recently citing an “improving business mix” and “discount valuation.” He has an Overweight rating and a $81 price target.</p><p><blockquote>Lincoln National提供人寿保险、年金和其他金融产品，最近的交易价格约为67美元，不到2022年预计收益的六倍，也低于75美元的保守账面价值。摩根大通分析师吉米·布拉尔(Jimmy Bhullar)喜欢林肯国民(Lincoln National)，最近称其“业务组合不断改善”和“估值折扣”。他给予跑赢大盘评级和81美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Unum, a provider of life and disability insurance, trades cheaply based on earnings and book value. That reflects in part concerns about its long-term care insurance reserves, which were strengthened in 2020. The stock, around $26, trades for about five times projected 2022 earnings and for half of book value.</p><p><blockquote>Unum是一家人寿和伤残保险提供商，根据收益和账面价值进行廉价交易。这在一定程度上反映了对其长期护理保险准备金的担忧，该准备金在2020年得到了加强。该股股价约为26美元，交易价格约为2022年预计收益的五倍，账面价值的一半。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-10-cheapest-stocks-in-the-s-p-500-51629756720?mod=hp_LATEST\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WDC":"西部数据","PHM":"普得集团","OGN":"Organon & Co","UNM":"尤纳姆集团","APA":"阿帕契","MU":"美光科技","LYB":"利安德巴塞尔","VTRS":"Viatris Inc.","LNC":"林肯国民","FANG":"Diamondback Energy"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/here-are-the-10-cheapest-stocks-in-the-s-p-500-51629756720?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136078272","content_text":"There are still plenty of cheap stocks, even with the major indexes near record highs.\nBarron’s screened the S&P 500 index and identified the 10 stocks with the lowest price-to-earnings ratios using 2022 profit projections, based on FactSet data.\nThe 10 least expensive companies include memory-chip makers Micron Technology (ticker: MU) and Western Digital(WDC), chemical producer LyondellBasell Industries(LYB), and life insurer Lincoln National(LNC). Nine of the 10 have P/E ratios below six. Lyondell has the highest multiple in the group, at 6.5 times estimated 2022 earnings.\nThe other six stocks are drugmakers Viatris(VTRS) and Organon(OGN); oil and gas producers Diamondback Energy(FANG) and APA(APA), formerly Apache; home builder PulteGroup(PHM), and insurer Unum(UNM).\nSeveral of the stocks have had big gains over the past year, including Diamondback, Micron, and Lincoln National, but all remain cheap based on earnings.\n10 in the Bargain Bin\nHere are the 10 stocks in the S&P 500 with the lowest price-to-earnings ratios.\n\n\n\nCompany / Ticker\nRecent Price\nMarket Value (bil)\n1-Yr Price Change\n2022E* P/E Ratio\n\n\n\n\nViatris / VTRS\n$14.82\n$17.9\n-10.8%\n3.9\n\n\nUnum Group / UNM\n26.14\n5.3\n38.8\n4.8\n\n\nDiamondback Energy / FANG\n69.80\n12.6\n56.8\n5.2\n\n\nWestern Digital / WDC\n61.07\n18.7\n73.0\n5.5\n\n\nAPA / APA\n16.68\n6.3\n4.3\n5.6\n\n\nPulteGroup / PHM\n52.43\n13.6\n12.1\n5.6\n\n\nOrganon / OGN\n33.61\n8.5\nN/A\n5.7\n\n\nLincoln National / LNC\n66.87\n12.5\n79.6\n5.8\n\n\nMicron Technology / MU\n70.60\n79.5\n59.6\n5.9\n\n\nLyondellBasell Industries / LYB\n100.36\n33.5\n43.8\n6.5\n\n\n\n*P/E ratio based on calendar 2022 estimates; E=estimate; N/A=not applicable\nSource: FactSet\nWhy are the stocks so inexpensive?\nSome like Viatris and Organon have ample, but manageable debt. Investors fear that profits may be peaking at companies like Micron, Lyondell, and Western Digital.\nThese concerns could be creating opportunities for investors. Micron, whose shares trade around $70, recently initiated a small dividend resulting in an 0.6% yield. J.P. Morgan analyst Harlan Sur wrote earlier this month that he expected Micron and its rivals to be “disciplined and prudent” about adding supply in the face of strong demand. He has an Overweight rating and a $140 price target on the stock.\nWestern Digital, at around $61, is a leading maker of flash memory. Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore is upbeat on its prospects, giving the stock an Overweight rating and a $88 price target. He thinks the stock is too cheap given that he expects earnings of $10 a share next year.\nOrganon, a Merck(MRK) spinoff that has a portfolio of off-patent drugs and a women’s health business, recently reported better-than-expected earnings. It has set an $1.12 annual dividend, for a 3.3% yield at a recent price of $33.50.\nJoe Cornell, the publisher of Spin-Off Research, has a Buy rating and a $45 price target on the stock. Organon has a “peer-leading” yield, he recently wrote, and potential “top-line growth and margin momentum over the medium-term.”\nViatris, a generic drugmaker spun off from Pfizer(PFE), has the lowest P/E in the S&P 500 at 3.9. Its shares recently traded below $15.\nJ.P. Morgan analyst Chris Schott was encouraged by the company’s second-quarter earnings report, but maintained a Neutral rating as he awaits more evidence of improving financial performance after a tough 2020. The stock has a 3% yield.\nEnergy stocks have experienced a sharp pullback since June 1 because of a drop in oil prices and a sentiment shift away from the sector.\nDiamondback Energy, a leading exploration and production company in the Permian basin in Texas, has seen its shares drop to a recent $70 from $100. The company reported strong second-quarter results and boosted its dividend by 12.5% to an annualized $1.80 a share. The stock now yields about 2.6%.\nLike many E&Ps, Diamondback has a high free-cash flow yield. J.P. Morgan analyst Arun Jayaram is upbeat on Diamondback and recently estimated its net asset value at $126 a share. APA produces oil and gas in the U.S. and overseas and offers a play on a potentially large offshore oil field off Suriname in South America. Its shares trade around $16.\nShares of PulteGroup, one of the largest U.S. home builders, have pulled back about 20% from a spring peak, to a recent $52 amid concerns about demand and pricing power.\nEvercore ISI analyst Stephen Kim, one of the most bullish Wall Street analysts on the sector, sees rising profitability for Pulte and peers. He has an Outperform rating on Pulte and a $93 price target. He sees about $8 a share in earnings this year and an above-consensus estimate of roughly $12 next year.\nLyondell, the world’s third-largest independent chemical company, is a major player in plastics. Its shares recently traded around $100.Its CEO, Bob Patel, recently told Barron’s Jack Hough: “Whether we’re at peak, and is there a moderation or a hard reset—this is at the heart of the debate today with investors. I think there is strong demand in front of us.”\nLincoln National, which offers life insurance, annuities, and other financial products, recently traded around $67, less than six times projected 2022 earnings and below a conservative measure of book value of $75. J.P. Morgan analyst Jimmy Bhullar likes Lincoln National, recently citing an “improving business mix” and “discount valuation.” He has an Overweight rating and a $81 price target.\nUnum, a provider of life and disability insurance, trades cheaply based on earnings and book value. That reflects in part concerns about its long-term care insurance reserves, which were strengthened in 2020. The stock, around $26, trades for about five times projected 2022 earnings and for half of book value.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":0.9,"APA":0.9,"LNC":0.9,"OGN":0.9,"VTRS":0.9,"UNM":0.9,"LYB":0.9,"PHM":0.9,"FANG":0.9,"WDC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802832342,"gmtCreate":1627747138186,"gmtModify":1631888426583,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"s&amp;p 500 will still up up up...","listText":"s&amp;p 500 will still up up up...","text":"s&p 500 will still up up up...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802832342","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158405798,"gmtCreate":1625162341914,"gmtModify":1631894018612,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"even though amazon undervalued with potential upside, but still 下不了手。太贵了&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;","listText":"even though amazon undervalued with potential upside, but still 下不了手。太贵了&nbsp;[难过]&nbsp;","text":"even though amazon undervalued with potential upside, but still 下不了手。太贵了 [难过]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158405798","repostId":"1113357649","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1113357649","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625133776,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113357649?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 18:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%<blockquote>亚马逊：被低估，潜在上涨空间为25%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113357649","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share .The company's improving top line and bottom line performance  suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.Amazon, a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization  of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?I initiate","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.</li>  <li>I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share).</li>  <li>The company's improving top line and bottom line performance (which is expected to continue) suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51ce52baed5afae04a384059297465d3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Daria Nipot/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是一家独特且不断发展的公司，它利用其颠覆性平台来颠覆其进入的任何新业务。</li><li>我对亚马逊的评级为看涨，公允价值为3576美元/股（当前价格为3443美元/股）。</li><li>该公司营收和利润业绩的改善（预计将持续下去）表明该股目前被低估了3.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Daria Nipot/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company Overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司概况</b></blockquote></p><p> Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization (as of 06/29/2021) of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN），一家市值1.74万亿美元的公司。这是该公司目前的市值（截至2021年6月29日），这意味着它目前距离成为2万亿美元的公司还有15.18%的距离，还不错吧？</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters. For example, when Amazon announced the acquisition of Whole Foods, Walmart(NYSE:WMT), Kroger(NYSE:KR), Target(NYSE:TGT)took a&nbsp;nice hit&nbsp;in market value. I believe that the company will be able to keep delivering strong top line growth and continued growth in margins, fueled not only by the company's current business expansion but also by entering into new markets and new businesses.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是一家独特且不断发展的公司，它利用其颠覆性平台来颠覆其进入的任何新业务。例如，当亚马逊宣布收购全食超市时，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所代码：WMT）、克罗格（纽约证券交易所代码：KR）、塔吉特（纽约证券交易所代码：TGT）的市值遭受了巨大打击。我相信，公司将能够继续实现强劲的营收增长和利润率的持续增长，这不仅得益于公司当前的业务扩张，还得益于进入新市场和新业务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share). The FV is an algorithm-adjusted fair value (the algorithm takes into account fundamental and technical factors, such as DCF FV, momentum, etc.) and it implies that the stock is undervalued by 3.9%.</p><p><blockquote>我对亚马逊的评级为看涨，公允价值为3576美元/股（当前价格为3443美元/股）。FV是算法调整后的公允价值（算法考虑了基本面和技术因素，如DCF FV、动量等。）它意味着股票被低估了3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> To compute the DCF FV, I used the trailing twelve-month numbers and I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. As&nbsp;with Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), I don't believe that Amazon's R&amp;D is an operating expense, and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>为了计算DCF FV，我使用了过去12个月的数据，并且我还重述了财务数据，因为我将可摊销期限为3年的研发费用资本化。与苹果（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）一样，我不认为亚马逊的研发是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已被重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb427d462596db1e1cb1ffc99acc90e4\" tg-width=\"571\" tg-height=\"240\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Capitalizing on R&amp;D expenses, we have now a more clear picture of the company (i.e. the restated operating margin is now 9.03% TTM vs the non-restated operating margin is 6.63% TTM).</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用，我们现在对公司有了更清晰的了解（即重述营业利润率现在为9.03%TTM，而非重述营业利润率为6.63%TTM）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>折现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e215b21ca0b3be5a5e0e7b62e36fb5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In my DCF model, I assume a revenue growth for the Y1 of 21.2%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% and I assume a terminal year growth rate of 1.48% (or the current yield on 10Y Treasury). The decision of using the current and not expected yield is due to the willingness to remain market neutral (perhaps you can use&nbsp;Goldman Sachs expectations&nbsp;of 1.9%). The current assumptions lead to revenues of $1,253,844 million in Y10.</p><p><blockquote>在我的DCF模型中，我假设Y1的收入增长率为21.2%，Y2-Y5的复合年增长率为15%，并假设最终年增长率为1.48%（或10年期国债的当前收益率）。使用当前而非预期收益率的决定是出于保持市场中性的意愿（或许可以使用高盛1.9%的预期）。目前的假设导致Y10的收入为12,538.44亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Along the road, I also assume an improving outlook for operating margins with the target operating margin of 13.2% (vs current restated operating margin of 9.03%). If the company will be able to meet this target, it will result in operating margins in Y10 of $163,097 million.</p><p><blockquote>在此过程中，我还假设营业利润率前景有所改善，目标营业利润率为13.2%（当前重述营业利润率为9.03%）。如果公司能够实现这一目标，2010年的营业利润率将达到1630.97亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, in doing my estimates, I used a WACC of 5.75% and a sales to capital ratio (or how much the company is going to reinvest to keep its business growing) of 2.95.</p><p><blockquote>最后，在进行估计时，我使用了5.75%的WACC和2.95的销售资本比率（或公司将进行多少再投资以保持业务增长）。</blockquote></p><p> By putting it together, I obtain a DCF value of $3328/share.</p><p><blockquote>通过将它们放在一起，我获得了3328美元/股的DCF值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monte Carlo Simulation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蒙特卡罗模拟</b></blockquote></p><p> Rather than showing you only my point estimates, which may be right but also may be wrong, let's use probability distributions for inputs. Simulations allow us to assess the impact of continuous risk (e.g., changes in operating margins). In particular, I would like to focus on what I consider the main inputs of interest to get a bigger picture of the risk in the company. Those inputs are:</p><p><blockquote>与其只向您展示我的点估计，这可能是正确的，也可能是错误的，让我们使用概率分布作为输入。模拟使我们能够评估持续风险的影响（例如，营业利润率的变化）。特别是，我想重点关注我认为感兴趣的主要输入，以更好地了解公司的风险。这些输入是：</blockquote></p><p> <i>1. Revenue Growth:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>1、收入增长：</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In my DCF analysis, I assumed an expected CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% with lower rates going forward. This assumption lead to revenues in Y10 of $1,253,844 million. While it is a reasonable assumption, Amazon is full of surprises, and it may deliver a top line growth well above my expectations. In the latter, I see a possible scenario with a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 24%, resulting in Y10 revenues of $1,989,952 million. However, we all know that regulators represent a big risk for the company. According to&nbsp;WSJ sources, if the \"giant-tech bill\" will pass, the company may be forced to either split into two companies or spin off its private-label product businesses. This represents a big risk that may slow down Amazon's growth, which could translate into a growth rate of 6% (resulting in Y10 revenues of $764,723 million). To sum up, I will assume a uniform distribution with a maximum of 24% and a minimum of 6%. The results are displayed below (this simulation and the next one have been performed 10,000 times).</p><p><blockquote>在我的DCF分析中，我假设Y2-Y5的预期复合年增长率为15%，未来利率较低。这一假设导致2010年的收入为125,384.4亿美元。虽然这是一个合理的假设，但亚马逊充满了惊喜，它可能会实现远高于我预期的营收增长。在后者中，我认为CAGR Y2-Y5为24%，导致Y10收入为1,9899.52亿美元。然而，我们都知道监管机构对公司来说是一个很大的风险。据《华尔街日报》消息人士透露，如果“巨人科技法案”获得通过，该公司可能会被迫拆分为两家公司或剥离其自有品牌产品业务。这是一个很大的风险，可能会减缓亚马逊的增长，这可能会转化为6%的增长率（导致Y10收入为7647.23亿美元）。综上所述，我将假设最大24%，最小6%的均匀分布。结果如下所示（该模拟和下一个模拟已经执行了10,000次）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893dff753c8ca210759feb31b3966a5c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>2. Operating Margin</i>:</p><p><blockquote><i>2.营业利润率</i>：</blockquote></p><p> Currently, Amazon has a restated operating margin of 9.03% TTM (vs not restated EBIT margin of 6.83%). In my DCF, I assumed a target operating margin of 13.2%. While this represents my most likely scenario for the company, I cannot close my eyes to the fact that, even if the company is improving its margins, it is following a very slow climb. Below, I display the non-restated EBIT margin for the last 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>目前，亚马逊的TTM重述营业利润率为9.03%（未重述息税前利润率为6.83%）。在我的DCF中，我假设目标营业利润率为13.2%。虽然这代表了我对该公司最有可能的情况，但我不能忽视这样一个事实：即使该公司的利润率正在提高，但它的攀升速度也非常缓慢。下面，我显示了过去5年未经重述的息税前利润率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d66fcb05f4254b15de278f016121ffa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"><span>Source:SeekingAlpha.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SeekingAlpha.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, as I stated at the beginning, Amazon is a disruptive company with the ability to do extraordinary things. For instance, AWS presents a current operating margin of 30% TTM and a revenue growth rate of 29.53% in 2020. A trend which is expected to continue, driven by improving outlook and with new partners joining the party. The last to join the party are Ferrari(NYSE:RACE)and Swisscom(OTCPK:SWZCF)who have chosen AWS as their&nbsp;preferred cloud partner.</p><p><blockquote>然而，正如我在开头所说，亚马逊是一家颠覆性的公司，有能力做出非凡的事情。例如，AWS目前的营业利润率为30%TTM，2020年收入增长率为29.53%。在前景改善和新合作伙伴加入的推动下，这一趋势预计将持续下去。最后加入这一行列的是法拉利(NYSE：RACE)和瑞士电信(OTCPK：SWZCF)，他们选择AWS作为首选云合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020,according to Gartner, AWS generated revenue 2 times bigger than Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT). As stated by Gartner:</p><p><blockquote>根据Gartner的数据，2020年AWS的收入是微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）的2倍。如Gartner所述：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>The worldwide</i>&nbsp;  <i>infrastructure as a service(IaaS) market grew 40.7% in 2020 to total $64.3 billion, up from $45.7 billion in 2019, according to Gartner, Inc. Amazon retained the No. 1 position in the IaaS market in 2020, followed by Microsoft, Alibaba, Google and Huawei... Amazon continued to lead the worldwide IaaS market with $26.2 billion of revenue in 2020 and 41% market share.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac00a17cbbd930ad6464a63f6d4f98eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>Source:Gartner.com</span></p><p><blockquote><i>世界范围</i> <i>根据Gartner，Inc.的数据，基础设施即服务（IaaS）市场在2020年增长了40.7%，达到643亿美元，高于2019年的457亿美元。亚马逊在2020年保持了IaaS市场的第一名，其次是微软、阿里巴巴-SW、谷歌和华为...亚马逊在2020年以262亿美元的收入和41%的市场份额继续引领全球IaaS市场。</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Gartner.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, to account for my concerns and beliefs, I will assume a triangular distribution with the following limits: the likeliest target operating margin of 13.2%, a maximum of 18.4%, and a minimum of 8% (close to the current company's EBIT margin). The results are displayed below.</p><p><blockquote>最后，为了说明我的担忧和信念，我将假设一个三角形分布，并有以下限制：最可能的目标营业利润率为13.2%，最高为18.4%，最低为8%（接近当前公司的息税前利润率）。结果如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/054e2db392be500768de741516186013\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>3. Cost of Capital:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>3.资金成本：</i></blockquote></p><p> The last input of interest is the cost of capital. In doing my analysis, I estimated a cost of capital of 5.8% (with the current 10Y rate of 1.48 and an implied ERP of 4.54%). However, I may be wrong due to sector risk estimates or changes in the business mix (or both). To account for the possibility that I made some mistakes along the road, I will rely on a lognormal distribution with the most likely scenario of 5.8%. The results of the simulation are displayed below.</p><p><blockquote>利息的最后一个输入是资本成本。在进行分析时，我估计资本成本为5.8%（当前10年利率为1.48，隐含ERP为4.54%）。然而，由于行业风险估计或业务组合的变化（或两者兼而有之），我可能是错误的。为了说明我在这条路上犯了一些错误的可能性，我将依赖对数正态分布，最有可能的情况是5.8%。模拟结果如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7d51740fa35eb9aedbc58c4c49d96eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By putting all of this together, the simulations return the following results.</p><p><blockquote>通过将所有这些放在一起，模拟返回以下结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139c89300706eab1e37dd1c992286d31\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For completeness, I also display below the relative and cumulative frequency of the simulation.</p><p><blockquote>为了完整起见，我还在下面显示了模拟的相对频率和累积频率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af7a908e21b8678a775a3e1742161a7d\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"644\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By looking at the results, we can see that the 50th percentile or the median is equal to $3274, close to the expected DCF FV of $3328. While the algorithm-adjusted FV of $3576 is the 60th percentile in my simulations (note also the long right tail).</p><p><blockquote>通过查看结果，我们可以看到第50百分位或中位数等于3274美元，接近预期的DCF FV 3328美元。而算法调整后的FV为3576美元，是我模拟中的第60百分位（也请注意右尾长）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Finally, simulation results give us an interesting insight into a potential exit point. I believe that an interesting take profit point may be within the 80th percentile, which implies a potential upside of 24.89%. Why within the 80th percentile? I believe that, after reaching the $2.0 trillion company status, we will see the last climb of euphoria before investors start to take profits.</p><p><blockquote>最后，模拟结果让我们对潜在的退出点有了有趣的了解。我认为一个有趣的止盈点可能在第80百分位内，这意味着24.89%的潜在上涨空间。为什么在第80百分位以内？我相信，在达到2.0万亿美元的公司地位后，我们将看到投资者开始获利了结之前最后一次兴奋的攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Both the algorithm-adjusted fair value and the Monte Carlo simulation suggest and support the bullish rating. The results found suggest that the stock is currently undervalued and that the company has still more room to go. What may drive the price to go higher? Well, there are different factors that may drive it. One of those is for sure corporate news. For instance, the company may introduce new products or announce a stock split (For the latter, I think this is unlikely, at least not now). However, don't forget also the other side, the risks. There are many risks associated with being invested in the company, one of those is represented by antitrust and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>算法调整后的公允价值和蒙特卡罗模拟都建议并支持看涨评级。结果表明，该股目前被低估，该公司仍有更大的发展空间。什么可能会推动价格走高？嗯，有不同的因素可能会驱动它。其中之一肯定是企业新闻。例如，公司可能会推出新产品或宣布股票分割（对于后者，我认为这不太可能，至少现在不太可能）。然而，也不要忘记另一面，风险。投资该公司存在许多风险，其中之一就是反垄断和监管机构。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%<blockquote>亚马逊：被低估，潜在上涨空间为25%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Undervalued With Potential Upside Of 25%<blockquote>亚马逊：被低估，潜在上涨空间为25%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 18:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.</li>  <li>I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share).</li>  <li>The company's improving top line and bottom line performance (which is expected to continue) suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51ce52baed5afae04a384059297465d3\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Daria Nipot/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是一家独特且不断发展的公司，它利用其颠覆性平台来颠覆其进入的任何新业务。</li><li>我对亚马逊的评级为看涨，公允价值为3576美元/股（当前价格为3443美元/股）。</li><li>该公司营收和利润业绩的改善（预计将持续下去）表明该股目前被低估了3.9%。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Daria Nipot/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company Overview</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司概况</b></blockquote></p><p> Amazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization (as of 06/29/2021) of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊（纳斯达克股票代码：AMZN），一家市值1.74万亿美元的公司。这是该公司目前的市值（截至2021年6月29日），这意味着它目前距离成为2万亿美元的公司还有15.18%的距离，还不错吧？</blockquote></p><p> Amazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters. For example, when Amazon announced the acquisition of Whole Foods, Walmart(NYSE:WMT), Kroger(NYSE:KR), Target(NYSE:TGT)took a&nbsp;nice hit&nbsp;in market value. I believe that the company will be able to keep delivering strong top line growth and continued growth in margins, fueled not only by the company's current business expansion but also by entering into new markets and new businesses.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是一家独特且不断发展的公司，它利用其颠覆性平台来颠覆其进入的任何新业务。例如，当亚马逊宣布收购全食超市时，沃尔玛（纽约证券交易所代码：WMT）、克罗格（纽约证券交易所代码：KR）、塔吉特（纽约证券交易所代码：TGT）的市值遭受了巨大打击。我相信，公司将能够继续实现强劲的营收增长和利润率的持续增长，这不仅得益于公司当前的业务扩张，还得益于进入新市场和新业务。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Company Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司分析</b></blockquote></p><p> I initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share). The FV is an algorithm-adjusted fair value (the algorithm takes into account fundamental and technical factors, such as DCF FV, momentum, etc.) and it implies that the stock is undervalued by 3.9%.</p><p><blockquote>我对亚马逊的评级为看涨，公允价值为3576美元/股（当前价格为3443美元/股）。FV是算法调整后的公允价值（算法考虑了基本面和技术因素，如DCF FV、动量等。）它意味着股票被低估了3.9%。</blockquote></p><p> To compute the DCF FV, I used the trailing twelve-month numbers and I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&amp;D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. As&nbsp;with Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), I don't believe that Amazon's R&amp;D is an operating expense, and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&amp;D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).</p><p><blockquote>为了计算DCF FV，我使用了过去12个月的数据，并且我还重述了财务数据，因为我将可摊销期限为3年的研发费用资本化。与苹果（纳斯达克股票代码：AAPL）一样，我不认为亚马逊的研发是一项运营费用，因此，我将其视为资本支出。考虑到研发，以下指标已被重述（所有数字均以百万美元为单位）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb427d462596db1e1cb1ffc99acc90e4\" tg-width=\"571\" tg-height=\"240\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Capitalizing on R&amp;D expenses, we have now a more clear picture of the company (i.e. the restated operating margin is now 9.03% TTM vs the non-restated operating margin is 6.63% TTM).</p><p><blockquote>利用研发费用，我们现在对公司有了更清晰的了解（即重述营业利润率现在为9.03%TTM，而非重述营业利润率为6.63%TTM）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Discounted Cash Flow Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>折现现金流量模型</b></blockquote></p><p> Now, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.</p><p><blockquote>现在，让我们转向贴现现金流估值部分。下面，你可以看到我所做的相对假设的结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e215b21ca0b3be5a5e0e7b62e36fb5f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\"><span>Source:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者使用最新10-K报告数据进行的估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In my DCF model, I assume a revenue growth for the Y1 of 21.2%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% and I assume a terminal year growth rate of 1.48% (or the current yield on 10Y Treasury). The decision of using the current and not expected yield is due to the willingness to remain market neutral (perhaps you can use&nbsp;Goldman Sachs expectations&nbsp;of 1.9%). The current assumptions lead to revenues of $1,253,844 million in Y10.</p><p><blockquote>在我的DCF模型中，我假设Y1的收入增长率为21.2%，Y2-Y5的复合年增长率为15%，并假设最终年增长率为1.48%（或10年期国债的当前收益率）。使用当前而非预期收益率的决定是出于保持市场中性的意愿（或许可以使用高盛1.9%的预期）。目前的假设导致Y10的收入为12,538.44亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Along the road, I also assume an improving outlook for operating margins with the target operating margin of 13.2% (vs current restated operating margin of 9.03%). If the company will be able to meet this target, it will result in operating margins in Y10 of $163,097 million.</p><p><blockquote>在此过程中，我还假设营业利润率前景有所改善，目标营业利润率为13.2%（当前重述营业利润率为9.03%）。如果公司能够实现这一目标，2010年的营业利润率将达到1630.97亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Finally, in doing my estimates, I used a WACC of 5.75% and a sales to capital ratio (or how much the company is going to reinvest to keep its business growing) of 2.95.</p><p><blockquote>最后，在进行估计时，我使用了5.75%的WACC和2.95的销售资本比率（或公司将进行多少再投资以保持业务增长）。</blockquote></p><p> By putting it together, I obtain a DCF value of $3328/share.</p><p><blockquote>通过将它们放在一起，我获得了3328美元/股的DCF值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monte Carlo Simulation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蒙特卡罗模拟</b></blockquote></p><p> Rather than showing you only my point estimates, which may be right but also may be wrong, let's use probability distributions for inputs. Simulations allow us to assess the impact of continuous risk (e.g., changes in operating margins). In particular, I would like to focus on what I consider the main inputs of interest to get a bigger picture of the risk in the company. Those inputs are:</p><p><blockquote>与其只向您展示我的点估计，这可能是正确的，也可能是错误的，让我们使用概率分布作为输入。模拟使我们能够评估持续风险的影响（例如，营业利润率的变化）。特别是，我想重点关注我认为感兴趣的主要输入，以更好地了解公司的风险。这些输入是：</blockquote></p><p> <i>1. Revenue Growth:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>1、收入增长：</i></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In my DCF analysis, I assumed an expected CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% with lower rates going forward. This assumption lead to revenues in Y10 of $1,253,844 million. While it is a reasonable assumption, Amazon is full of surprises, and it may deliver a top line growth well above my expectations. In the latter, I see a possible scenario with a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 24%, resulting in Y10 revenues of $1,989,952 million. However, we all know that regulators represent a big risk for the company. According to&nbsp;WSJ sources, if the \"giant-tech bill\" will pass, the company may be forced to either split into two companies or spin off its private-label product businesses. This represents a big risk that may slow down Amazon's growth, which could translate into a growth rate of 6% (resulting in Y10 revenues of $764,723 million). To sum up, I will assume a uniform distribution with a maximum of 24% and a minimum of 6%. The results are displayed below (this simulation and the next one have been performed 10,000 times).</p><p><blockquote>在我的DCF分析中，我假设Y2-Y5的预期复合年增长率为15%，未来利率较低。这一假设导致2010年的收入为125,384.4亿美元。虽然这是一个合理的假设，但亚马逊充满了惊喜，它可能会实现远高于我预期的营收增长。在后者中，我认为CAGR Y2-Y5为24%，导致Y10收入为1,9899.52亿美元。然而，我们都知道监管机构对公司来说是一个很大的风险。据《华尔街日报》消息人士透露，如果“巨人科技法案”获得通过，该公司可能会被迫拆分为两家公司或剥离其自有品牌产品业务。这是一个很大的风险，可能会减缓亚马逊的增长，这可能会转化为6%的增长率（导致Y10收入为7647.23亿美元）。综上所述，我将假设最大24%，最小6%的均匀分布。结果如下所示（该模拟和下一个模拟已经执行了10,000次）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/893dff753c8ca210759feb31b3966a5c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>2. Operating Margin</i>:</p><p><blockquote><i>2.营业利润率</i>：</blockquote></p><p> Currently, Amazon has a restated operating margin of 9.03% TTM (vs not restated EBIT margin of 6.83%). In my DCF, I assumed a target operating margin of 13.2%. While this represents my most likely scenario for the company, I cannot close my eyes to the fact that, even if the company is improving its margins, it is following a very slow climb. Below, I display the non-restated EBIT margin for the last 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>目前，亚马逊的TTM重述营业利润率为9.03%（未重述息税前利润率为6.83%）。在我的DCF中，我假设目标营业利润率为13.2%。虽然这代表了我对该公司最有可能的情况，但我不能忽视这样一个事实：即使该公司的利润率正在提高，但它的攀升速度也非常缓慢。下面，我显示了过去5年未经重述的息税前利润率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d66fcb05f4254b15de278f016121ffa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"221\"><span>Source:SeekingAlpha.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：SeekingAlpha.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> However, as I stated at the beginning, Amazon is a disruptive company with the ability to do extraordinary things. For instance, AWS presents a current operating margin of 30% TTM and a revenue growth rate of 29.53% in 2020. A trend which is expected to continue, driven by improving outlook and with new partners joining the party. The last to join the party are Ferrari(NYSE:RACE)and Swisscom(OTCPK:SWZCF)who have chosen AWS as their&nbsp;preferred cloud partner.</p><p><blockquote>然而，正如我在开头所说，亚马逊是一家颠覆性的公司，有能力做出非凡的事情。例如，AWS目前的营业利润率为30%TTM，2020年收入增长率为29.53%。在前景改善和新合作伙伴加入的推动下，这一趋势预计将持续下去。最后加入这一行列的是法拉利(NYSE：RACE)和瑞士电信(OTCPK：SWZCF)，他们选择AWS作为首选云合作伙伴。</blockquote></p><p> In 2020,according to Gartner, AWS generated revenue 2 times bigger than Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT). As stated by Gartner:</p><p><blockquote>根据Gartner的数据，2020年AWS的收入是微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）的2倍。如Gartner所述：</blockquote></p><p>   <i>The worldwide</i>&nbsp;  <i>infrastructure as a service(IaaS) market grew 40.7% in 2020 to total $64.3 billion, up from $45.7 billion in 2019, according to Gartner, Inc. Amazon retained the No. 1 position in the IaaS market in 2020, followed by Microsoft, Alibaba, Google and Huawei... Amazon continued to lead the worldwide IaaS market with $26.2 billion of revenue in 2020 and 41% market share.</i>  <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac00a17cbbd930ad6464a63f6d4f98eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"388\"><span>Source:Gartner.com</span></p><p><blockquote><i>世界范围</i> <i>根据Gartner，Inc.的数据，基础设施即服务（IaaS）市场在2020年增长了40.7%，达到643亿美元，高于2019年的457亿美元。亚马逊在2020年保持了IaaS市场的第一名，其次是微软、阿里巴巴-SW、谷歌和华为...亚马逊在2020年以262亿美元的收入和41%的市场份额继续引领全球IaaS市场。</i><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Gartner.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Finally, to account for my concerns and beliefs, I will assume a triangular distribution with the following limits: the likeliest target operating margin of 13.2%, a maximum of 18.4%, and a minimum of 8% (close to the current company's EBIT margin). The results are displayed below.</p><p><blockquote>最后，为了说明我的担忧和信念，我将假设一个三角形分布，并有以下限制：最可能的目标营业利润率为13.2%，最高为18.4%，最低为8%（接近当前公司的息税前利润率）。结果如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/054e2db392be500768de741516186013\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"237\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <i>3. Cost of Capital:</i></p><p><blockquote><i>3.资金成本：</i></blockquote></p><p> The last input of interest is the cost of capital. In doing my analysis, I estimated a cost of capital of 5.8% (with the current 10Y rate of 1.48 and an implied ERP of 4.54%). However, I may be wrong due to sector risk estimates or changes in the business mix (or both). To account for the possibility that I made some mistakes along the road, I will rely on a lognormal distribution with the most likely scenario of 5.8%. The results of the simulation are displayed below.</p><p><blockquote>利息的最后一个输入是资本成本。在进行分析时，我估计资本成本为5.8%（当前10年利率为1.48，隐含ERP为4.54%）。然而，由于行业风险估计或业务组合的变化（或两者兼而有之），我可能是错误的。为了说明我在这条路上犯了一些错误的可能性，我将依赖对数正态分布，最有可能的情况是5.8%。模拟结果如下所示。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7d51740fa35eb9aedbc58c4c49d96eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By putting all of this together, the simulations return the following results.</p><p><blockquote>通过将所有这些放在一起，模拟返回以下结果。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/139c89300706eab1e37dd1c992286d31\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"222\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For completeness, I also display below the relative and cumulative frequency of the simulation.</p><p><blockquote>为了完整起见，我还在下面显示了模拟的相对频率和累积频率。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af7a908e21b8678a775a3e1742161a7d\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"644\"><span>Source:Author's estimates</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：作者估计</span></p></blockquote></p><p> By looking at the results, we can see that the 50th percentile or the median is equal to $3274, close to the expected DCF FV of $3328. While the algorithm-adjusted FV of $3576 is the 60th percentile in my simulations (note also the long right tail).</p><p><blockquote>通过查看结果，我们可以看到第50百分位或中位数等于3274美元，接近预期的DCF FV 3328美元。而算法调整后的FV为3576美元，是我模拟中的第60百分位（也请注意右尾长）。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Finally, simulation results give us an interesting insight into a potential exit point. I believe that an interesting take profit point may be within the 80th percentile, which implies a potential upside of 24.89%. Why within the 80th percentile? I believe that, after reaching the $2.0 trillion company status, we will see the last climb of euphoria before investors start to take profits.</p><p><blockquote>最后，模拟结果让我们对潜在的退出点有了有趣的了解。我认为一个有趣的止盈点可能在第80百分位内，这意味着24.89%的潜在上涨空间。为什么在第80百分位以内？我相信，在达到2.0万亿美元的公司地位后，我们将看到投资者开始获利了结之前最后一次兴奋的攀升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Final Thoughts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>最后的想法</b></blockquote></p><p> Both the algorithm-adjusted fair value and the Monte Carlo simulation suggest and support the bullish rating. The results found suggest that the stock is currently undervalued and that the company has still more room to go. What may drive the price to go higher? Well, there are different factors that may drive it. One of those is for sure corporate news. For instance, the company may introduce new products or announce a stock split (For the latter, I think this is unlikely, at least not now). However, don't forget also the other side, the risks. There are many risks associated with being invested in the company, one of those is represented by antitrust and regulators.</p><p><blockquote>算法调整后的公允价值和蒙特卡罗模拟都建议并支持看涨评级。结果表明，该股目前被低估，该公司仍有更大的发展空间。什么可能会推动价格走高？嗯，有不同的因素可能会驱动它。其中之一肯定是企业新闻。例如，公司可能会推出新产品或宣布股票分割（对于后者，我认为这不太可能，至少现在不太可能）。然而，也不要忘记另一面，风险。投资该公司存在许多风险，其中之一就是反垄断和监管机构。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437291-amazon-stock-amzn-undervalued-with-potential-upside-of-25-percent\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4437291-amazon-stock-amzn-undervalued-with-potential-upside-of-25-percent","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113357649","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters.\nI initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share).\nThe company's improving top line and bottom line performance (which is expected to continue) suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by 3.9%.\n\nDaria Nipot/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nCompany Overview\nAmazon(NASDAQ:AMZN), a $1.74 trillion company. This is the current market capitalization (as of 06/29/2021) of the company and this implies that it is currently 15.18% away from being a $2 trillion company, not bad no?\nAmazon is a unique and growing company that uses its disruptive platform to disrupt any new business it enters. For example, when Amazon announced the acquisition of Whole Foods, Walmart(NYSE:WMT), Kroger(NYSE:KR), Target(NYSE:TGT)took a nice hit in market value. I believe that the company will be able to keep delivering strong top line growth and continued growth in margins, fueled not only by the company's current business expansion but also by entering into new markets and new businesses.\nCompany Analysis\nI initiate Amazon with a bullish rating and a fair value of $3576/share (vs. the current price of $3443/share). The FV is an algorithm-adjusted fair value (the algorithm takes into account fundamental and technical factors, such as DCF FV, momentum, etc.) and it implies that the stock is undervalued by 3.9%.\nTo compute the DCF FV, I used the trailing twelve-month numbers and I also restated the financials since I capitalized on R&D expenses with an amortizable life of 3 years. As with Apple(NASDAQ:AAPL), I don't believe that Amazon's R&D is an operating expense, and for this reason, I treat it as CapEx. By taking into account the R&D, the following metrics have been restated (all numbers in $mm).\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nCapitalizing on R&D expenses, we have now a more clear picture of the company (i.e. the restated operating margin is now 9.03% TTM vs the non-restated operating margin is 6.63% TTM).\nDiscounted Cash Flow Model\nNow, let's turn to the discounted cash flow valuation part. Below, you can see the results with the relative assumptions I have made.\nSource:Author's estimates using data from the latest 10-K report\nIn my DCF model, I assume a revenue growth for the Y1 of 21.2%, a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% and I assume a terminal year growth rate of 1.48% (or the current yield on 10Y Treasury). The decision of using the current and not expected yield is due to the willingness to remain market neutral (perhaps you can use Goldman Sachs expectations of 1.9%). The current assumptions lead to revenues of $1,253,844 million in Y10.\nAlong the road, I also assume an improving outlook for operating margins with the target operating margin of 13.2% (vs current restated operating margin of 9.03%). If the company will be able to meet this target, it will result in operating margins in Y10 of $163,097 million.\nFinally, in doing my estimates, I used a WACC of 5.75% and a sales to capital ratio (or how much the company is going to reinvest to keep its business growing) of 2.95.\nBy putting it together, I obtain a DCF value of $3328/share.\nMonte Carlo Simulation\nRather than showing you only my point estimates, which may be right but also may be wrong, let's use probability distributions for inputs. Simulations allow us to assess the impact of continuous risk (e.g., changes in operating margins). In particular, I would like to focus on what I consider the main inputs of interest to get a bigger picture of the risk in the company. Those inputs are:\n1. Revenue Growth:\nIn my DCF analysis, I assumed an expected CAGR Y2-Y5 of 15% with lower rates going forward. This assumption lead to revenues in Y10 of $1,253,844 million. While it is a reasonable assumption, Amazon is full of surprises, and it may deliver a top line growth well above my expectations. In the latter, I see a possible scenario with a CAGR Y2-Y5 of 24%, resulting in Y10 revenues of $1,989,952 million. However, we all know that regulators represent a big risk for the company. According to WSJ sources, if the \"giant-tech bill\" will pass, the company may be forced to either split into two companies or spin off its private-label product businesses. This represents a big risk that may slow down Amazon's growth, which could translate into a growth rate of 6% (resulting in Y10 revenues of $764,723 million). To sum up, I will assume a uniform distribution with a maximum of 24% and a minimum of 6%. The results are displayed below (this simulation and the next one have been performed 10,000 times).\nSource:Author's estimates\n2. Operating Margin:\nCurrently, Amazon has a restated operating margin of 9.03% TTM (vs not restated EBIT margin of 6.83%). In my DCF, I assumed a target operating margin of 13.2%. While this represents my most likely scenario for the company, I cannot close my eyes to the fact that, even if the company is improving its margins, it is following a very slow climb. Below, I display the non-restated EBIT margin for the last 5 years.\nSource:SeekingAlpha.com\nHowever, as I stated at the beginning, Amazon is a disruptive company with the ability to do extraordinary things. For instance, AWS presents a current operating margin of 30% TTM and a revenue growth rate of 29.53% in 2020. A trend which is expected to continue, driven by improving outlook and with new partners joining the party. The last to join the party are Ferrari(NYSE:RACE)and Swisscom(OTCPK:SWZCF)who have chosen AWS as their preferred cloud partner.\nIn 2020,according to Gartner, AWS generated revenue 2 times bigger than Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT). As stated by Gartner:\n\nThe worldwide \n infrastructure as a service(IaaS) market grew 40.7% in 2020 to total $64.3 billion, up from $45.7 billion in 2019, according to Gartner, Inc. Amazon retained the No. 1 position in the IaaS market in 2020, followed by Microsoft, Alibaba, Google and Huawei... Amazon continued to lead the worldwide IaaS market with $26.2 billion of revenue in 2020 and 41% market share.\n\nSource:Gartner.com\nFinally, to account for my concerns and beliefs, I will assume a triangular distribution with the following limits: the likeliest target operating margin of 13.2%, a maximum of 18.4%, and a minimum of 8% (close to the current company's EBIT margin). The results are displayed below.\nSource:Author's estimates\n3. Cost of Capital:\nThe last input of interest is the cost of capital. In doing my analysis, I estimated a cost of capital of 5.8% (with the current 10Y rate of 1.48 and an implied ERP of 4.54%). However, I may be wrong due to sector risk estimates or changes in the business mix (or both). To account for the possibility that I made some mistakes along the road, I will rely on a lognormal distribution with the most likely scenario of 5.8%. The results of the simulation are displayed below.\nSource:Author's estimates\nBy putting all of this together, the simulations return the following results.\nSource:Author's estimates\nFor completeness, I also display below the relative and cumulative frequency of the simulation.\nSource:Author's estimates\nBy looking at the results, we can see that the 50th percentile or the median is equal to $3274, close to the expected DCF FV of $3328. While the algorithm-adjusted FV of $3576 is the 60th percentile in my simulations (note also the long right tail).\nFinally, simulation results give us an interesting insight into a potential exit point. I believe that an interesting take profit point may be within the 80th percentile, which implies a potential upside of 24.89%. Why within the 80th percentile? I believe that, after reaching the $2.0 trillion company status, we will see the last climb of euphoria before investors start to take profits.\nFinal Thoughts\nBoth the algorithm-adjusted fair value and the Monte Carlo simulation suggest and support the bullish rating. The results found suggest that the stock is currently undervalued and that the company has still more room to go. What may drive the price to go higher? Well, there are different factors that may drive it. One of those is for sure corporate news. For instance, the company may introduce new products or announce a stock split (For the latter, I think this is unlikely, at least not now). However, don't forget also the other side, the risks. There are many risks associated with being invested in the company, one of those is represented by antitrust and regulators.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":164471707,"gmtCreate":1624234980109,"gmtModify":1634009230747,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"will the market be Up or Down tonite?&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","listText":"will the market be Up or Down tonite?&nbsp;[思考]&nbsp;","text":"will the market be Up or Down tonite? [思考]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164471707","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":619,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":840128846,"gmtCreate":1635608702501,"gmtModify":1635608702750,"author":{"id":"3561472805649521","authorId":"3561472805649521","name":"hlw8888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac2fb959ae09e12e50b3a31148fe95a","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3561472805649521","authorIdStr":"3561472805649521"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"i want gold coins...&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","listText":"i want gold coins...&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;","text":"i want gold coins... [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840128846","repostId":"1160516340","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160516340","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635576015,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160516340?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-30 14:40","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160516340","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the ","content":"<p><div> Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat. Here’s a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>万圣节将于周日庆祝，与2020年在新冠肺炎疫情举行的活动相比，可能会发生重大变化，许多人取消了派对和“不给糖就捣蛋”的计划。这是一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 Stocks For Halloween: Will They Be Tricks Or Treats?<blockquote>万圣节的5只股票：它们会是“不给糖就捣蛋”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-30 14:40</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat. Here’s a ...</p><p><blockquote><div>万圣节将于周日庆祝，与2020年在新冠肺炎疫情举行的活动相比，可能会发生重大变化，许多人取消了派对和“不给糖就捣蛋”的计划。这是一个...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CHCO":"City Holding Company","TR":"Tootsie Roll Industries Inc","JAKK":"杰克仕太平洋","AMCX":"AMC网络公司","HSY":"好时"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/21/10/23762347/5-stocks-for-halloween-will-they-be-tricks-or-treats","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160516340","content_text":"Halloween will be celebrated on Sunday and could see significant changes from the 2020 event in the middle of a COVID-19 pandemic that saw many cancel parties and plans to trick or treat.\nHere’s a look at what the data is pointing to for 2021 Halloween spending and five stocks to keep on the radar that could turn in strong quarters that include the holiday.\nHalloween Sales Expectations:Consumers feel more comfortable resuming normal Halloween activities according to theNational Retail Federation.\n“This year, two-thirds (65%) of consumers plan to celebrate one of America’s favorite holidays, up from 58% in 2020,” NRF said.\nThe NRF sees consumers spending an average of $102.74 this year on Halloween, which would be the first time the figure has hit triple digits. Estimates last year were for spending of $92.12 by each consumer.\nResearch points to candy and costumes as big winners by the return of Halloween activities along with decorations. Spending on decorations is expected to hit $3.3 billion, an all-time high.\nIs Coca-Cola's Stock Overvalued OrUndervalued?\nHalloween 2021 will also see a higher number of people without kids celebrating than in 2020. Estimates call for 55% of homes without children to celebrate, compared to 49% in 2020. The figure falls in line with pre-pandemic levels of anticipated adult costume spending.\nTootsie Roll:Candy companyTootsie Roll Industries Inc\nTR-0.47%is a popular option for anyone handing out candy to trick or treaters. If you’ve ever gone trick or treating, chances are you got a ton of tootsie rolls, given their lower cost for anyone buying for a large number of visitors.\nThe companyreportedthird-quarter sales of $183.1 million, up 17% year-over-year. The company saw a dip in fourth-quarter revenue last year compared to the prior year. Look for Tootsie Roll to see a rebound in the fourth quarter.\nHershey:The Hershey Co\nHSY-2.28%has diversified its products to include several snack brands, but candy remains the big revenue driver. The company owns many of the popular brands that will be sought out by trick or treaters. Hershey’sthird-quarterrevenue of $2.4 billion was the highest it has seen in years on a quarterly basis.\n“Consumer demand for our brands has remained robust,” Hershey Company CEOMichele Bucksaid. The company raised full-year sales guidance and a strong Halloween could help meet or exceed the updated expectations.\nJakks Pacific:Toy companyJakks Pacific Inc\nJAKK-4.38%finds itself on the Halloween list thanks to its ownership of Disguise, the world’s leading costume design and manufacturing company. With more adults dressing up and a return of trick or treat activities, the company could be in for a strong quarter.\nThe company’sthird-quarterrevenue was $237 million, which included $64 million in revenue for the costumes segment. Costume sales were up 16.4% year-over-year and the fourth quarter could continue that trend. Jakks Pacific had revenue of $128.3 million in the fourth quarter last year, a decline from the prior year. Last year’s fourth quarter featured a 91% year-over-year increase in costumes segment revenue. The third and fourth quarters are the company’s two biggest quarters for revenue.\nParty City:Retailer$Party City Holdco(PRTY)$ Inc\nPRTY+2.97%could be a popular destination for Halloween costumes and decorations. The company ended thesecond quarterwith 749 locations and is also a provider of third-party products to other retailers.\nSecond-quarter revenue was up 110% year-over-year for the company.\n“We saw sequential acceleration of the business as the economy opened up and restrictions subsided, driving increased consumer ability to celebrate,” Party City CEOBrad Westonsaid. The company will report third-quarter earnings on Nov. 9, which could provide a better look at how the Halloween shopping looked.\nAMC Networks:Media companyAMC Networks\nAMCX-2.04%finds itself on the Halloween stock list thanks to its ownership of “The Walking Dead” franchise, horror film programming and as owner of horror focused streaming platform Shudder. AMC isairing“FearFest” from Oct. 1 through Oct. 31 on its namesake AMC and AMC+ channels, which could turn into a subscriber boosting event.\n“The Walking Dead” returned to the network with its final season beginning Oct. 10, which could be another October event to watch. Shudder, which is the largest horror focused streaming platform, is available for $4.75 a month on major streaming platforms. The platformhitone million subscribers in 2020. Pizza Hut, aYum Brands Inc\nYUM-0.75%company,partneredwith Shudder to offer a promotion for 30 days free.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CHCO":0.9,"HSY":0.9,"TR":0.9,"JAKK":0.9,"AMCX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}