雨清淞的个人主页 - 老虎社区

雨清淞

雨清淞

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11粉丝

1主题

0勋章

2020-08-13

股票信息，资源共享

2021-04-22

特斯拉的问题，不是简单的刹车问题

2021-06-16

欧洲足球，碰上了欧洲疫情，是无奈的感叹！

2021-06-04

像体育比赛一样，重在参与！

2021-04-15

神一样的存在，特斯拉一样的风格

2021-02-23

阅

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-09-29

互相抵毁

美国总统首场辩论前瞻！市场会有怎样反应？

2020-09-01

手机好

@企业分析师:【小米十年有话说】我和小米的故事与未来

2021-08-25

阅

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-18

发的节奏

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-18

大数据下的必然！

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-18

牛逼

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-18

[强]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-15

时间不长不短，会不会也有七年之痒呢？

2021-06-14

废物的回收利用，达到环保标准仍然可以

2021-06-11

2021年是利好年，各大公司排队密集上市！

2021-05-24

解决了人类吃饭问题，居功至伟[强] [强] [强]

2021-05-20

币圈有人欢喜有人忧，想说爱你不是一件容易的事！

2021-05-18

有钱了去投资，没钱去推广！

2021-05-10

京东作为电商，如此竞争加剧情况下，正常运行实属不易！

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Ryan时轻松获胜。但特朗普本人则一直到上周末都还叫嚷着要拜登进行药检，指称其在初选后期的辩论是吃了药才表现良好的）。现任总统在寻求连任的首场辩论中往往表现逊色，因为他们通常对那种环境很陌生（在任的总统不会经常在电视直播中碰到发难和指责），这也是奥巴马和小布什都在第二次选战的首场辩论中失利的原因。但特朗普是另类，他每天都有新闻发布会召开，有时是隔几小时就来一次发布会，很多发布会都要面对外界很大的敌意。这种经历将给他周二晚的辩论带来很大帮助。不过，在那些发布会上，特朗普有权利让那些会问到他不喜欢的问题的记者闭嘴，而在首场辩论中，他不会那么容易避免碰上那种问题。</p><p>拜登如果失败会败得很惨，但同样如果获胜也会收益很大。相比特朗普，拜登的民调数据可能对本周二晚的辩论结果更为敏感，尤其是对不利的形势更敏感。比如拜登一旦表现不佳，他的民调支持率会大受影响，而特朗普的支持率虽然较低，但很稳定，看上去不可能会跌破支持率的底线（全国的30%-40%之间）。在目前的民调中（全国范围和各个战场州），拜登占优势，但特朗普有很高的“热情”优势，这意味着，相比特朗普，选民放弃拜登的速度可能快得多。尽管拜登的政治生涯很长，但此次辩论是他在很长一段时间内的最大曝光，因此在很大程度上，他需要在全国民众心目中重新塑造形象，包括减轻人们对他担任总统的体力和脑力的担忧，而且也要打消对他是某种社会主义候选人的担忧（他的反对者已经不止一次这样暗示）。不过，拜登也很可能胜出。如果他在辩论中表现稳健，有助于扩大并强化他的民调领先优势，让特朗普无法赶上和他的差距。</p><p>最有可能的情形是拜登赢得辩论。特朗普很擅长在电视上沟通，如果他得以掌控全程（比如他可以挑选问问题的记者，一旦对话涉及到他不满意的方面，可以立即打断记者，或者在听到记者问出他不想听的问题时干脆走开），他将会拿出个人的最佳表现。不过，他本周二晚不会有多少掌控权，因为主持人华莱士很有公信度，不卑不亢，他就没有躲避的空间，可能会很麻烦。再加上外界对拜登的期望值低，那么拜登就有可能在周二辩论中超预期发挥，可能成为赢家。当然，可能令拜登应对困难的情况是特朗普对其儿子Hunter事件咬住不放。</p><p>市场会怎样反应？对股市来说，11月大选的最佳结果是，拜登当选，同时共和党保持参议院的多数席位，因为这可以同时降低贸易和税务方面的风险。而相比于民主党同时获得白宫和参议院，市场更青睐共和党同时保持白宫和参议院的情形。因此，如果拜登在首场辩论中大赢，会让市场增加对民主党人大获全胜的预期，在一定程度上降低风险偏好。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国总统首场辩论前瞻！市场会有怎样反应？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国总统首场辩论前瞻！市场会有怎样反应？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-09-29 09:12</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴力问题、大选的公正性。辩论主持人是福克斯新闻的华莱士（Chris Wallace）。由于一些州的邮寄形式投票已经开始或即将开始，今年的首场辩论将尤为重要。</p><p>特朗普此前一再质疑拜登的体力和头脑敏锐度问题，反而降低了人们对拜登在辩论中的表现的期望值（特朗普的竞选团队最近才认识到这一点，反而开始夸奖拜登以往辩论中的佳绩，比如2012年对阵Paul Ryan时轻松获胜。但特朗普本人则一直到上周末都还叫嚷着要拜登进行药检，指称其在初选后期的辩论是吃了药才表现良好的）。现任总统在寻求连任的首场辩论中往往表现逊色，因为他们通常对那种环境很陌生（在任的总统不会经常在电视直播中碰到发难和指责），这也是奥巴马和小布什都在第二次选战的首场辩论中失利的原因。但特朗普是另类，他每天都有新闻发布会召开，有时是隔几小时就来一次发布会，很多发布会都要面对外界很大的敌意。这种经历将给他周二晚的辩论带来很大帮助。不过，在那些发布会上，特朗普有权利让那些会问到他不喜欢的问题的记者闭嘴，而在首场辩论中，他不会那么容易避免碰上那种问题。</p><p>拜登如果失败会败得很惨，但同样如果获胜也会收益很大。相比特朗普，拜登的民调数据可能对本周二晚的辩论结果更为敏感，尤其是对不利的形势更敏感。比如拜登一旦表现不佳，他的民调支持率会大受影响，而特朗普的支持率虽然较低，但很稳定，看上去不可能会跌破支持率的底线（全国的30%-40%之间）。在目前的民调中（全国范围和各个战场州），拜登占优势，但特朗普有很高的“热情”优势，这意味着，相比特朗普，选民放弃拜登的速度可能快得多。尽管拜登的政治生涯很长，但此次辩论是他在很长一段时间内的最大曝光，因此在很大程度上，他需要在全国民众心目中重新塑造形象，包括减轻人们对他担任总统的体力和脑力的担忧，而且也要打消对他是某种社会主义候选人的担忧（他的反对者已经不止一次这样暗示）。不过，拜登也很可能胜出。如果他在辩论中表现稳健，有助于扩大并强化他的民调领先优势，让特朗普无法赶上和他的差距。</p><p>最有可能的情形是拜登赢得辩论。特朗普很擅长在电视上沟通，如果他得以掌控全程（比如他可以挑选问问题的记者，一旦对话涉及到他不满意的方面，可以立即打断记者，或者在听到记者问出他不想听的问题时干脆走开），他将会拿出个人的最佳表现。不过，他本周二晚不会有多少掌控权，因为主持人华莱士很有公信度，不卑不亢，他就没有躲避的空间，可能会很麻烦。再加上外界对拜登的期望值低，那么拜登就有可能在周二辩论中超预期发挥，可能成为赢家。当然，可能令拜登应对困难的情况是特朗普对其儿子Hunter事件咬住不放。</p><p>市场会怎样反应？对股市来说，11月大选的最佳结果是，拜登当选，同时共和党保持参议院的多数席位，因为这可以同时降低贸易和税务方面的风险。而相比于民主党同时获得白宫和参议院，市场更青睐共和党同时保持白宫和参议院的情形。因此，如果拜登在首场辩论中大赢，会让市场增加对民主党人大获全胜的预期，在一定程度上降低风险偏好。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2e1704f0a16ec496b62f5900ef515c0","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167477218","content_text":"北京时间9月30日9：00至10：30（美东时间晚21：00-22：30），美国将举行首次总统竞选辩论。辩论包括六大议题，分别是特朗普和拜登个人的记录、最高法院、新冠肺炎、美国经济、美国城市的种族和暴力问题、大选的公正性。辩论主持人是福克斯新闻的华莱士（Chris Wallace）。由于一些州的邮寄形式投票已经开始或即将开始，今年的首场辩论将尤为重要。特朗普此前一再质疑拜登的体力和头脑敏锐度问题，反而降低了人们对拜登在辩论中的表现的期望值（特朗普的竞选团队最近才认识到这一点，反而开始夸奖拜登以往辩论中的佳绩，比如2012年对阵Paul Ryan时轻松获胜。但特朗普本人则一直到上周末都还叫嚷着要拜登进行药检，指称其在初选后期的辩论是吃了药才表现良好的）。现任总统在寻求连任的首场辩论中往往表现逊色，因为他们通常对那种环境很陌生（在任的总统不会经常在电视直播中碰到发难和指责），这也是奥巴马和小布什都在第二次选战的首场辩论中失利的原因。但特朗普是另类，他每天都有新闻发布会召开，有时是隔几小时就来一次发布会，很多发布会都要面对外界很大的敌意。这种经历将给他周二晚的辩论带来很大帮助。不过，在那些发布会上，特朗普有权利让那些会问到他不喜欢的问题的记者闭嘴，而在首场辩论中，他不会那么容易避免碰上那种问题。拜登如果失败会败得很惨，但同样如果获胜也会收益很大。相比特朗普，拜登的民调数据可能对本周二晚的辩论结果更为敏感，尤其是对不利的形势更敏感。比如拜登一旦表现不佳，他的民调支持率会大受影响，而特朗普的支持率虽然较低，但很稳定，看上去不可能会跌破支持率的底线（全国的30%-40%之间）。在目前的民调中（全国范围和各个战场州），拜登占优势，但特朗普有很高的“热情”优势，这意味着，相比特朗普，选民放弃拜登的速度可能快得多。尽管拜登的政治生涯很长，但此次辩论是他在很长一段时间内的最大曝光，因此在很大程度上，他需要在全国民众心目中重新塑造形象，包括减轻人们对他担任总统的体力和脑力的担忧，而且也要打消对他是某种社会主义候选人的担忧（他的反对者已经不止一次这样暗示）。不过，拜登也很可能胜出。如果他在辩论中表现稳健，有助于扩大并强化他的民调领先优势，让特朗普无法赶上和他的差距。最有可能的情形是拜登赢得辩论。特朗普很擅长在电视上沟通，如果他得以掌控全程（比如他可以挑选问问题的记者，一旦对话涉及到他不满意的方面，可以立即打断记者，或者在听到记者问出他不想听的问题时干脆走开），他将会拿出个人的最佳表现。不过，他本周二晚不会有多少掌控权，因为主持人华莱士很有公信度，不卑不亢，他就没有躲避的空间，可能会很麻烦。再加上外界对拜登的期望值低，那么拜登就有可能在周二辩论中超预期发挥，可能成为赢家。当然，可能令拜登应对困难的情况是特朗普对其儿子Hunter事件咬住不放。市场会怎样反应？对股市来说，11月大选的最佳结果是，拜登当选，同时共和党保持参议院的多数席位，因为这可以同时降低贸易和税务方面的风险。而相比于民主党同时获得白宫和参议院，市场更青睐共和党同时保持白宫和参议院的情形。因此，如果拜登在首场辩论中大赢，会让市场增加对民主党人大获全胜的预期，在一定程度上降低风险偏好。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":971884853,"gmtCreate":1598912426272,"gmtModify":1704220584295,"author":{"id":"3558352300031479","authorId":"3558352300031479","name":"雨清淞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0026c03d700167f4ac3307cc84cfc997","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"手机好","listText":"手机好","text":"手机好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/971884853","repostId":"979721505","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":979721505,"gmtCreate":1598364552407,"gmtModify":1704218531744,"author":{"id":"3536569104702744","authorId":"3536569104702744","name":"企业分析师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"【小米十年有话说】我和小米的故事与未来","htmlText":"一等奖小米10Pro手机,这是我非常喜欢的一款手机，如果这篇文章能有幸为我赢得这份奖励与荣耀的话，那真是太棒了。截止到我写这篇文章时，港股账户里的小米集团盈利比例为:79.845%。浮盈已经够我买许多小米的产品了。但我仍然期待这份一等奖。这篇文章不仅会讲述我和小米的故事，更为主要的是以个人的视角来展望小米的未来。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 我们都知道，买一家企业的股票就是买这家企业的未来，我非常看好小米，并且我完全没有依据技术分析，小道消息和任何的热点新闻来作为选择依据。并且我也不是行业内的从业人员，我从自身的视角选择了小米，并正如一位大师所讲：这极有可能是一只十倍股。未来极有可能上涨十倍，甚至几十倍。或者说我觉得小米在未来极有可能成为一家伟大的企业。或许很多人认为我疯了，他们的认为是有道理的。因为预测未来是非常困难的，而股票投资难就难在这一点上。但是我们也不要忘了：行情在悲观中产生，在怀疑中成长。当周围人都觉得你疯了时，你更要审慎的去思考：自己是否发现了一个大机会。接下来就让我们一起打开：我和小米的故事与未来。 那是在2015年，股市行情如火如荼。当时因为对股市的热情很高，几乎每天的大部分时间都在看手机上的股票行情，相信这也是今天许多股民在交易日的行为。所以想换部手机，考察了一些品牌，说实话对水果手机也是极度的向往，但刚入股市，收获颇少，资金全部集中买了股票，对于其它的开销也都是一再压缩，只为了把好钢用在刀刃上。但也真的希望选一款高性价比的手机，在低价格中选出良好的性能。之前就留意过，两位牙医朋友用的手机，外观漂亮，问了才知道是小米品牌。随即对小米有了一定的重视，为什么呢？牙医，一个领域的专业人士，对工作，对于每一个患者都是极其认真的，工作要求的精度极高。","listText":"一等奖小米10Pro手机,这是我非常喜欢的一款手机，如果这篇文章能有幸为我赢得这份奖励与荣耀的话，那真是太棒了。截止到我写这篇文章时，港股账户里的小米集团盈利比例为:79.845%。浮盈已经够我买许多小米的产品了。但我仍然期待这份一等奖。这篇文章不仅会讲述我和小米的故事，更为主要的是以个人的视角来展望小米的未来。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a> 我们都知道，买一家企业的股票就是买这家企业的未来，我非常看好小米，并且我完全没有依据技术分析，小道消息和任何的热点新闻来作为选择依据。并且我也不是行业内的从业人员，我从自身的视角选择了小米，并正如一位大师所讲：这极有可能是一只十倍股。未来极有可能上涨十倍，甚至几十倍。或者说我觉得小米在未来极有可能成为一家伟大的企业。或许很多人认为我疯了，他们的认为是有道理的。因为预测未来是非常困难的，而股票投资难就难在这一点上。但是我们也不要忘了：行情在悲观中产生，在怀疑中成长。当周围人都觉得你疯了时，你更要审慎的去思考：自己是否发现了一个大机会。接下来就让我们一起打开：我和小米的故事与未来。 那是在2015年，股市行情如火如荼。当时因为对股市的热情很高，几乎每天的大部分时间都在看手机上的股票行情，相信这也是今天许多股民在交易日的行为。所以想换部手机，考察了一些品牌，说实话对水果手机也是极度的向往，但刚入股市，收获颇少，资金全部集中买了股票，对于其它的开销也都是一再压缩，只为了把好钢用在刀刃上。但也真的希望选一款高性价比的手机，在低价格中选出良好的性能。之前就留意过，两位牙医朋友用的手机，外观漂亮，问了才知道是小米品牌。随即对小米有了一定的重视，为什么呢？牙医，一个领域的专业人士，对工作，对于每一个患者都是极其认真的，工作要求的精度极高。","text":"一等奖小米10Pro手机,这是我非常喜欢的一款手机，如果这篇文章能有幸为我赢得这份奖励与荣耀的话，那真是太棒了。截止到我写这篇文章时，港股账户里的小米集团盈利比例为:79.845%。浮盈已经够我买许多小米的产品了。但我仍然期待这份一等奖。这篇文章不仅会讲述我和小米的故事，更为主要的是以个人的视角来展望小米的未来。$小米集团-W(01810)$ 我们都知道，买一家企业的股票就是买这家企业的未来，我非常看好小米，并且我完全没有依据技术分析，小道消息和任何的热点新闻来作为选择依据。并且我也不是行业内的从业人员，我从自身的视角选择了小米，并正如一位大师所讲：这极有可能是一只十倍股。未来极有可能上涨十倍，甚至几十倍。或者说我觉得小米在未来极有可能成为一家伟大的企业。或许很多人认为我疯了，他们的认为是有道理的。因为预测未来是非常困难的，而股票投资难就难在这一点上。但是我们也不要忘了：行情在悲观中产生，在怀疑中成长。当周围人都觉得你疯了时，你更要审慎的去思考：自己是否发现了一个大机会。接下来就让我们一起打开：我和小米的故事与未来。 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