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Dinami
2021-05-24
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2021-06-03
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2021-04-22
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when nvidia is 200: \"overvalued\" fool when nvidia is 280: \"why nvidia keeps dropping.\" ","listText":"Fool when nvidia is 200: \"overvalued\" fool when nvidia is 280: \"why nvidia keeps dropping.\" ","text":"Fool when nvidia is 200: \"overvalued\" fool when nvidia is 280: \"why nvidia keeps dropping.\"","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607993545","repostId":"1193701389","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1193701389","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639460770,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1193701389?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 13:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价持续下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193701389","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Nvidia has been a big gainer, but now other, smaller chip stocks look cheaper.","content":"<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of semiconductor company <b>Nvidia</b> dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>半导体公司股票<b>英伟达</b>周一再次下跌，截至收盘下跌 6.8%，连续第四天下跌。今天的下跌背后似乎没有任何特别的消息，至少不是针对英伟达的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe9777cd8866f53c260abe399593d3d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> From a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.</p><p><blockquote>从大局来看，这个消息并不好。CNBC 今天上午报道称，持续的芯片短缺可能会抑制今年的圣诞购物。</blockquote></p><p> Although high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对高端英伟达图形芯片的高需求通常对该公司及其定价能力来说是个好消息，但该网络指出，“半导体处于越来越多产品的引擎盖下”，但“用芯片制造的东西不仅仅使用一个芯片。”因此，即使是一家足够幸运地获得了所需的所有英伟达芯片的PC制造商，如果不能获得构建产品所需的所有电源控制、内存和其他芯片，也可能无法销售其PC。或者，如果制造商知道自己无法获得其他芯片，它可能一开始就不会购买英伟达芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> That's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.</p><p><blockquote>这是英伟达投资者面临的风险之一。然而，更大的风险可能是其飙升的股价。</blockquote></p><p> This morning, analysts at <b>JPMorgan</b>, at <b>UBS</b>, at <b>Barclays</b>,<b>Citigroup</b>, R.W. Baird, and <b>Evercore</b> ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended <b>Qualcomm</b> for its earnings upside, Evercore picked <b>Micron</b> as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on <b>Broadcom</b> based on demand for its products,TheFly.com reported today.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，分析师<b>摩根大通</b>,和<b>瑞银</b>,和<b>巴克莱</b>,<b>花旗集团</b>，R.W。贝尔德和<b>永恒核心</b>ISI 列举了一系列他们喜欢并认为被低估的半导体芯片制造商，英伟达不在其中。摩根推荐<b>高通</b>由于其盈利优势，Evercore 选择了<b>微米</b>作为一只“结构性被低估”的股票，巴克莱、贝尔德和花旗上调了目标价<b>博通</b>根据对其产品的需求， TheFly.com 今天报道。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价是历史市盈率的 93 倍。美光的估值不到市盈率的 17 倍；高通是23倍，博通是47倍。很明显，为什么华尔街可能认为这些股票比英伟达更划算。</blockquote></p><p> And it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively cheaper stocks.</p><p><blockquote>同样清楚的是，为什么一些投资者可能认为现在是兑现一些英伟达股票收益并将其再投资于相对便宜的股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价持续下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Stock Keeps Dropping<blockquote>为什么英伟达股价持续下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 13:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>发生了什么事</b></blockquote></p><p> Shares of semiconductor company <b>Nvidia</b> dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>半导体公司股票<b>英伟达</b>周一再次下跌，截至收盘下跌 6.8%，连续第四天下跌。今天的下跌背后似乎没有任何特别的消息，至少不是针对英伟达的。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe9777cd8866f53c260abe399593d3d0\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> From a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.</p><p><blockquote>从大局来看，这个消息并不好。CNBC 今天上午报道称，持续的芯片短缺可能会抑制今年的圣诞购物。</blockquote></p><p> Although high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.</p><p><blockquote>尽管对高端英伟达图形芯片的高需求通常对该公司及其定价能力来说是个好消息，但该网络指出，“半导体处于越来越多产品的引擎盖下”，但“用芯片制造的东西不仅仅使用一个芯片。”因此，即使是一家足够幸运地获得了所需的所有英伟达芯片的PC制造商，如果不能获得构建产品所需的所有电源控制、内存和其他芯片，也可能无法销售其PC。或者，如果制造商知道自己无法获得其他芯片，它可能一开始就不会购买英伟达芯片。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在呢</b></blockquote></p><p> That's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.</p><p><blockquote>这是英伟达投资者面临的风险之一。然而，更大的风险可能是其飙升的股价。</blockquote></p><p> This morning, analysts at <b>JPMorgan</b>, at <b>UBS</b>, at <b>Barclays</b>,<b>Citigroup</b>, R.W. Baird, and <b>Evercore</b> ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended <b>Qualcomm</b> for its earnings upside, Evercore picked <b>Micron</b> as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on <b>Broadcom</b> based on demand for its products,TheFly.com reported today.</p><p><blockquote>今天上午，分析师<b>摩根大通</b>,和<b>瑞银</b>,和<b>巴克莱</b>,<b>花旗集团</b>，R.W。贝尔德和<b>永恒核心</b>ISI 列举了一系列他们喜欢并认为被低估的半导体芯片制造商，英伟达不在其中。摩根推荐<b>高通</b>由于其盈利优势，Evercore 选择了<b>微米</b>作为一只“结构性被低估”的股票，巴克莱、贝尔德和花旗上调了目标价<b>博通</b>根据对其产品的需求， TheFly.com 今天报道。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达股价是历史市盈率的 93 倍。美光的估值不到市盈率的 17 倍；高通是23倍，博通是47倍。很明显，为什么华尔街可能认为这些股票比英伟达更划算。</blockquote></p><p> And it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively cheaper stocks.</p><p><blockquote>同样清楚的是，为什么一些投资者可能认为现在是兑现一些英伟达股票收益并将其再投资于相对便宜的股票的好时机。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-nvidia-stock-keeps-dropping/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/13/why-nvidia-stock-keeps-dropping/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193701389","content_text":"What happened\nShares of semiconductor company Nvidia dropped again on Monday -- down 6.8% as of closed -- its fourth straight down day in a row. There doesn't appear to be any particular news behind today's decline, at least not specific to Nvidia.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nSo what\nFrom a big picture perspective, the news isn't great. CNBC reported this morning there's a risk that the ongoing chip shortage could depress Christmas shopping this year.\nAlthough high demand for high-end Nvidia graphics chips is generally good news for the company and its pricing power, the network notes that \"semiconductors are beneath the hood of an increasing number of products,\" but \"things made with chips don't just use one chip.\" Thus, even a PC manufacturer lucky enough to get hold of all the Nvidia chips it needs might not be able to sell its PC if it can't also get all the power control, memory, and other chips it also needs to build the product. Or the manufacturer might not buy the Nvidia chips in the first place if it knows it won't be able to obtain the other chips.\nNow what\nThat's one risk Nvidia investors face. A bigger risk, though, may be its high-flying stock price.\nThis morning, analysts at JPMorgan, at UBS, at Barclays,Citigroup, R.W. Baird, and Evercore ISI cited a range of semiconductor chipmakers that they like and believe are undervalued, and Nvidia wasn't one of them. Morgan recommended Qualcomm for its earnings upside, Evercore picked Micron as a stock that is \"structurally undervalued,\" and Barclays, Baird, and Citi raised their price targets on Broadcom based on demand for its products,TheFly.com reported today.\nNvidia shares sell for 93 times trailing earnings. Micron is valued at less than 17 times earnings; Qualcomm is at 23 times, and Broadcom is at 47. It's pretty clear why Wall Street might consider these stocks relatively better deals than Nvidia.\nAnd it's just as clear why some investors might have decided that now is a good time to cash out some Nvidia stock winnings, and reinvest them in relatively cheaper stocks.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":178463784,"gmtCreate":1626832486248,"gmtModify":1633770576846,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178463784","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153203247,"gmtCreate":1625025182389,"gmtModify":1633945695130,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tech will lead the way.","listText":"Tech will lead the way.","text":"Tech will lead the way.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153203247","repostId":"1122418477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127528065,"gmtCreate":1624857746457,"gmtModify":1633947857125,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nice.","listText":"Nice.","text":"Nice.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127528065","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124968125,"gmtCreate":1624720255267,"gmtModify":1633949306205,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hard to say with the way china reacted to jack ma..","listText":"Hard to say with the way china reacted to jack ma..","text":"Hard to say with the way china reacted to jack ma..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124968125","repostId":"1164137597","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":122107910,"gmtCreate":1624601706330,"gmtModify":1633950651579,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like n comment pls","listText":"Like n comment pls","text":"Like n comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/122107910","repostId":"2146230250","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2146230250","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1624600500,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2146230250?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-25 13:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"'Meme' stock-market trend around AMC, GameStop may be more persistent than you think, says report<blockquote>报告称，围绕 AMC 和游戏驿站的“模因”股市趋势可能比你想象的更持久</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2146230250","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"Think meme stock investing is a fad? Think again. That is, at least, according to a new report from ","content":"<p>Think meme stock investing is a fad? Think again. That is, at least, according to a new report from financial advisory firm Betterment.</p><p><blockquote>认为迷因股票投资是一种时尚吗？再想想。至少，根据财务咨询公司 Betterment 的一份新报告。</blockquote></p><p> About 97% of those in a recent survey conducted by the digital investment advisor, who said that they had invested in stocks driven primarily by social-media mentions rather than fundamentals would continue to do so in the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在这家数字投资顾问最近进行的一项调查中，约 97% 的人表示，他们投资的股票主要是由社交媒体提及而不是基本面驱动的，他们将在可预见的未来继续这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Such meme investing trends have been the main drivers behind purchases of companies like bricks-and-mortar videogame retailer GameStop Corp ., movie chain AMC Entertainment Holdings and BlackBerry Ltd. ,who made a ubiquitous cellphone that was all the rage in the 1990s and early 2000s.</p><p><blockquote>这种迷因投资趋势一直是实体视频游戏零售商游戏驿站公司、电影连锁店AMC院线控股公司和黑莓有限公司等公司收购背后的主要驱动力，后者制造了一种无处不在的手机，在20世纪90年代和21世纪初风靡一时。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks and crypto like dogecoin,that aren’t necessarily offering compelling use-cases, or earnings, are rising on the dint of the collective might of retail investors gathering on sites like Reddit and Discord. It’s a trend that has long been viewed as doomed to implode at some point, but individual investors surveyed by Betterment between late April and early May, who invested in meme stocks before say that they will continue to be investors in that category of investing.</p><p><blockquote>像狗狗币这样的股票和加密货币并不一定能提供引人注目的用例或收益，但由于散户投资者聚集在 Reddit 和 Discord 等网站上，它们正在上涨。长期以来，人们一直认为这一趋势注定会在某个时候内爆，但 Betterment 在 4 月底至 5 月初期间接受调查的个人投资者表示，他们将继续投资这类股票。</blockquote></p><p> According to the Betterment survey, “there is a near-universal consensus that they will continue investing in stocks like these that get a lot of attention in the future -97% said they’re at least somewhat likely to invest,”</p><p><blockquote>根据 Betterment 的调查，“几乎普遍的共识是，他们将继续投资这类未来备受关注的股票--97% 的人表示他们至少在某种程度上有可能投资”、</blockquote></p><p> That is even as the outlook for GameStop, AMC and its ilk look uncertain.</p><p><blockquote>尽管游戏驿站、AMC 及其同类公司的前景看起来并不确定。</blockquote></p><p> Betterment’s survey included a panel of 1,500 respondents from April 26 to May 3, who were 18 years and older and have any kind of investment (excluded if only 401(k)). Of the total, half of them actively day traded their investments.</p><p><blockquote>Betterment 的调查包括 4 月 26 日至 5 月 3 日期间的 1500 名受访者，他们年龄在 18 岁及以上，并且有任何类型的投资（如果只有 401(k) 则不包括在内）。其中，一半人积极进行日内交易。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, most of the respondents in the research survey indicated that they had some understanding of meme investments while nearly a quarter, 24%, said they didn’t understand it well at all.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，研究调查中的大多数受访者都表示他们对备忘录投资有所了解，而近四分之一（24%）的受访者表示他们根本不太了解。</blockquote></p><p> Investments like GameStop have captured the imagination of young investors because of the stratospheric gains it has seen.</p><p><blockquote>像游戏驿站这样的投资吸引了年轻投资者的想象力，因为它带来了巨大的收益。</blockquote></p><p> For example, shares of GamStop are up 1,054% on the year and those for AMC have risen more than 2,500%, while dogecoin is up nearly 5,000% in the year to date.</p><p><blockquote>例如，GamStop 的股价今年上涨了 1,054%，AMC 的股价上涨了 2,500% 以上，而 dogecoin 今年迄今已上涨了近 5,000%。</blockquote></p><p> By comparison, more traditional assets have seen more muted, although strong gains. The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.95%and the S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.58%are up nearly 12% and over 13%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.69%is up by about 12% after a stellar rally in June so far.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，尽管涨幅强劲，但更多传统资产的表现却较为平淡。道琼斯工业平均指数 JIA,+0.95% 和标普500指数 SPX,+0.58% 分别上涨近 12% 和超过 13%。纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.69%在6月份迄今为止的强劲反弹后上涨了约12%。</blockquote></p><p> A number of investment funds have cropped up in the hope of capturing some of that Reddit buzz, including the VanEck Vectors Social Sentiment ETFBUZZ,+0.77%,with the apt ticker “BUZZ.” That exchange-traded fund is up 12.2% over the past three months and has gained 6.5% in June, outperforming the Nasdaq Composite’s June gain of 4.5%.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资基金纷纷涌现，希望能抓住 Reddit 的一些热潮，其中包括 VanEck Vectors Social Sentiment ETFBUZZ,+0.77%，股票代码为 “BUZZ”。该交易所交易基金在过去三个月中上涨了 12.2%，6 月份上涨了 6.5%，超过了纳斯达克综合指数 6 月份 4.5% 的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> As with many anecdotal studies, the Betterment report concluded that government stimulus checks and stay-at-home protocols in place during the worst of the COVID pandemic helped to foster the move by retail investors into trading and investing.</p><p><blockquote>与许多轶事研究一样，Betterment 报告得出的结论是，在新冠疫情最严重时期实施的政府刺激支票和居家协议有助于促进散户投资者转向交易和投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fdae247167f1c15457445bee4649fd0\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">BETTERMENT</p><p><blockquote>改善</blockquote></p><p> “While most day traders indicated their main reason for doing so was that they believed they could make more money in a shorter period of time (58%), many (43%) also indicated it was because it is fun and entertaining,” according to the report.</p><p><blockquote>“报告称：”虽然大多数日内交易者表示，他们这样做的主要原因是他们相信自己可以在更短的时间内赚更多钱（58%），但许多人（43%）也表示，这是因为这样做很有趣、很有娱乐性。</blockquote></p><p> About 54% of respondents said that the pandemic made them trade more often.</p><p><blockquote>约54%的受访者表示，疫情让他们更频繁地进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> The idea that retail investing will continue to be a phenomenon may not be far-fetched at all, even if the meme stock fad subsides somewhat.</p><p><blockquote>即使模因股票热潮有所消退，散户投资将继续成为一种现象的想法可能一点也不牵强。</blockquote></p><p> According to estimates from JMP Securities, new brokerage accounts opened by individual investors have already roughly matched the total created throughout 2020, hitting more than 10 million, in just the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>根据JMP证券的估计，个人投资者开设的新经纪账户已经大致与2020年全年创建的总数相当，仅在2021年上半年就达到了1000多万个。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>'Meme' stock-market trend around AMC, GameStop may be more persistent than you think, says report<blockquote>报告称，围绕 AMC 和游戏驿站的“模因”股市趋势可能比你想象的更持久</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n'Meme' stock-market trend around AMC, GameStop may be more persistent than you think, says report<blockquote>报告称，围绕 AMC 和游戏驿站的“模因”股市趋势可能比你想象的更持久</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-25 13:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Think meme stock investing is a fad? Think again. That is, at least, according to a new report from financial advisory firm Betterment.</p><p><blockquote>认为迷因股票投资是一种时尚吗？再想想。至少，根据财务咨询公司 Betterment 的一份新报告。</blockquote></p><p> About 97% of those in a recent survey conducted by the digital investment advisor, who said that they had invested in stocks driven primarily by social-media mentions rather than fundamentals would continue to do so in the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>在这家数字投资顾问最近进行的一项调查中，约 97% 的人表示，他们投资的股票主要是由社交媒体提及而不是基本面驱动的，他们将在可预见的未来继续这样做。</blockquote></p><p> Such meme investing trends have been the main drivers behind purchases of companies like bricks-and-mortar videogame retailer GameStop Corp ., movie chain AMC Entertainment Holdings and BlackBerry Ltd. ,who made a ubiquitous cellphone that was all the rage in the 1990s and early 2000s.</p><p><blockquote>这种迷因投资趋势一直是实体视频游戏零售商游戏驿站公司、电影连锁店AMC院线控股公司和黑莓有限公司等公司收购背后的主要驱动力，后者制造了一种无处不在的手机，在20世纪90年代和21世纪初风靡一时。</blockquote></p><p> Stocks and crypto like dogecoin,that aren’t necessarily offering compelling use-cases, or earnings, are rising on the dint of the collective might of retail investors gathering on sites like Reddit and Discord. It’s a trend that has long been viewed as doomed to implode at some point, but individual investors surveyed by Betterment between late April and early May, who invested in meme stocks before say that they will continue to be investors in that category of investing.</p><p><blockquote>像狗狗币这样的股票和加密货币并不一定能提供引人注目的用例或收益，但由于散户投资者聚集在 Reddit 和 Discord 等网站上，它们正在上涨。长期以来，人们一直认为这一趋势注定会在某个时候内爆，但 Betterment 在 4 月底至 5 月初期间接受调查的个人投资者表示，他们将继续投资这类股票。</blockquote></p><p> According to the Betterment survey, “there is a near-universal consensus that they will continue investing in stocks like these that get a lot of attention in the future -97% said they’re at least somewhat likely to invest,”</p><p><blockquote>根据 Betterment 的调查，“几乎普遍的共识是，他们将继续投资这类未来备受关注的股票--97% 的人表示他们至少在某种程度上有可能投资”、</blockquote></p><p> That is even as the outlook for GameStop, AMC and its ilk look uncertain.</p><p><blockquote>尽管游戏驿站、AMC 及其同类公司的前景看起来并不确定。</blockquote></p><p> Betterment’s survey included a panel of 1,500 respondents from April 26 to May 3, who were 18 years and older and have any kind of investment (excluded if only 401(k)). Of the total, half of them actively day traded their investments.</p><p><blockquote>Betterment 的调查包括 4 月 26 日至 5 月 3 日期间的 1500 名受访者，他们年龄在 18 岁及以上，并且有任何类型的投资（如果只有 401(k) 则不包括在内）。其中，一半人积极进行日内交易。</blockquote></p><p> All that said, most of the respondents in the research survey indicated that they had some understanding of meme investments while nearly a quarter, 24%, said they didn’t understand it well at all.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，研究调查中的大多数受访者都表示他们对备忘录投资有所了解，而近四分之一（24%）的受访者表示他们根本不太了解。</blockquote></p><p> Investments like GameStop have captured the imagination of young investors because of the stratospheric gains it has seen.</p><p><blockquote>像游戏驿站这样的投资吸引了年轻投资者的想象力，因为它带来了巨大的收益。</blockquote></p><p> For example, shares of GamStop are up 1,054% on the year and those for AMC have risen more than 2,500%, while dogecoin is up nearly 5,000% in the year to date.</p><p><blockquote>例如，GamStop 的股价今年上涨了 1,054%，AMC 的股价上涨了 2,500% 以上，而 dogecoin 今年迄今已上涨了近 5,000%。</blockquote></p><p> By comparison, more traditional assets have seen more muted, although strong gains. The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.95%and the S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.58%are up nearly 12% and over 13%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.69%is up by about 12% after a stellar rally in June so far.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，尽管涨幅强劲，但更多传统资产的表现却较为平淡。道琼斯工业平均指数 JIA,+0.95% 和标普500指数 SPX,+0.58% 分别上涨近 12% 和超过 13%。纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.69%在6月份迄今为止的强劲反弹后上涨了约12%。</blockquote></p><p> A number of investment funds have cropped up in the hope of capturing some of that Reddit buzz, including the VanEck Vectors Social Sentiment ETFBUZZ,+0.77%,with the apt ticker “BUZZ.” That exchange-traded fund is up 12.2% over the past three months and has gained 6.5% in June, outperforming the Nasdaq Composite’s June gain of 4.5%.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资基金纷纷涌现，希望能抓住 Reddit 的一些热潮，其中包括 VanEck Vectors Social Sentiment ETFBUZZ,+0.77%，股票代码为 “BUZZ”。该交易所交易基金在过去三个月中上涨了 12.2%，6 月份上涨了 6.5%，超过了纳斯达克综合指数 6 月份 4.5% 的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> As with many anecdotal studies, the Betterment report concluded that government stimulus checks and stay-at-home protocols in place during the worst of the COVID pandemic helped to foster the move by retail investors into trading and investing.</p><p><blockquote>与许多轶事研究一样，Betterment 报告得出的结论是，在新冠疫情最严重时期实施的政府刺激支票和居家协议有助于促进散户投资者转向交易和投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4fdae247167f1c15457445bee4649fd0\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">BETTERMENT</p><p><blockquote>改善</blockquote></p><p> “While most day traders indicated their main reason for doing so was that they believed they could make more money in a shorter period of time (58%), many (43%) also indicated it was because it is fun and entertaining,” according to the report.</p><p><blockquote>“报告称：”虽然大多数日内交易者表示，他们这样做的主要原因是他们相信自己可以在更短的时间内赚更多钱（58%），但许多人（43%）也表示，这是因为这样做很有趣、很有娱乐性。</blockquote></p><p> About 54% of respondents said that the pandemic made them trade more often.</p><p><blockquote>约54%的受访者表示，疫情让他们更频繁地进行交易。</blockquote></p><p> The idea that retail investing will continue to be a phenomenon may not be far-fetched at all, even if the meme stock fad subsides somewhat.</p><p><blockquote>即使模因股票热潮有所消退，散户投资将继续成为一种现象的想法可能一点也不牵强。</blockquote></p><p> According to estimates from JMP Securities, new brokerage accounts opened by individual investors have already roughly matched the total created throughout 2020, hitting more than 10 million, in just the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>根据JMP证券的估计，个人投资者开设的新经纪账户已经大致与2020年全年创建的总数相当，仅在2021年上半年就达到了1000多万个。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/meme-stock-market-trend-around-amc-gamestop-may-be-more-persistent-than-you-think-says-report-11624556211?siteid=yhoof2\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BB":"黑莓","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/meme-stock-market-trend-around-amc-gamestop-may-be-more-persistent-than-you-think-says-report-11624556211?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"2146230250","content_text":"Think meme stock investing is a fad? Think again. That is, at least, according to a new report from financial advisory firm Betterment.\nAbout 97% of those in a recent survey conducted by the digital investment advisor, who said that they had invested in stocks driven primarily by social-media mentions rather than fundamentals would continue to do so in the foreseeable future.\nSuch meme investing trends have been the main drivers behind purchases of companies like bricks-and-mortar videogame retailer GameStop Corp ., movie chain AMC Entertainment Holdings and BlackBerry Ltd. ,who made a ubiquitous cellphone that was all the rage in the 1990s and early 2000s.\nStocks and crypto like dogecoin,that aren’t necessarily offering compelling use-cases, or earnings, are rising on the dint of the collective might of retail investors gathering on sites like Reddit and Discord. It’s a trend that has long been viewed as doomed to implode at some point, but individual investors surveyed by Betterment between late April and early May, who invested in meme stocks before say that they will continue to be investors in that category of investing.\nAccording to the Betterment survey, “there is a near-universal consensus that they will continue investing in stocks like these that get a lot of attention in the future -97% said they’re at least somewhat likely to invest,”\nThat is even as the outlook for GameStop, AMC and its ilk look uncertain.\nBetterment’s survey included a panel of 1,500 respondents from April 26 to May 3, who were 18 years and older and have any kind of investment (excluded if only 401(k)). Of the total, half of them actively day traded their investments.\nAll that said, most of the respondents in the research survey indicated that they had some understanding of meme investments while nearly a quarter, 24%, said they didn’t understand it well at all.\nInvestments like GameStop have captured the imagination of young investors because of the stratospheric gains it has seen.\nFor example, shares of GamStop are up 1,054% on the year and those for AMC have risen more than 2,500%, while dogecoin is up nearly 5,000% in the year to date.\nBy comparison, more traditional assets have seen more muted, although strong gains. The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.95%and the S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.58%are up nearly 12% and over 13%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.69%is up by about 12% after a stellar rally in June so far.\nA number of investment funds have cropped up in the hope of capturing some of that Reddit buzz, including the VanEck Vectors Social Sentiment ETFBUZZ,+0.77%,with the apt ticker “BUZZ.” That exchange-traded fund is up 12.2% over the past three months and has gained 6.5% in June, outperforming the Nasdaq Composite’s June gain of 4.5%.\nAs with many anecdotal studies, the Betterment report concluded that government stimulus checks and stay-at-home protocols in place during the worst of the COVID pandemic helped to foster the move by retail investors into trading and investing.\nBETTERMENT\n“While most day traders indicated their main reason for doing so was that they believed they could make more money in a shorter period of time (58%), many (43%) also indicated it was because it is fun and entertaining,” according to the report.\nAbout 54% of respondents said that the pandemic made them trade more often.\nThe idea that retail investing will continue to be a phenomenon may not be far-fetched at all, even if the meme stock fad subsides somewhat.\nAccording to estimates from JMP Securities, new brokerage accounts opened by individual investors have already roughly matched the total created throughout 2020, hitting more than 10 million, in just the first half of 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"GME":0.9,"BB":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":128100194,"gmtCreate":1624503891918,"gmtModify":1634005140138,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Tesla to the moon","listText":"Tesla to the moon","text":"Tesla to the moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/128100194","repostId":"2145156570","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2761,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165026675,"gmtCreate":1624082477997,"gmtModify":1634010887890,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Rotation back into growth has begun.","listText":"Rotation back into growth has begun.","text":"Rotation back into growth has begun.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165026675","repostId":"1156696708","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168498507,"gmtCreate":1623980214509,"gmtModify":1634024826180,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"The market will shift back to tech and growth. It has severely overestimated the effects of inflation and underpriced nasdaq stocks, especislly growth for far too long. Companies like apple have reported incredible earnings but been hard capped in the 120-130 range for too long. This will change soon.","listText":"The market will shift back to tech and growth. It has severely overestimated the effects of inflation and underpriced nasdaq stocks, especislly growth for far too long. Companies like apple have reported incredible earnings but been hard capped in the 120-130 range for too long. This will change soon.","text":"The market will shift back to tech and growth. It has severely overestimated the effects of inflation and underpriced nasdaq stocks, especislly growth for far too long. Companies like apple have reported incredible earnings but been hard capped in the 120-130 range for too long. This will change soon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168498507","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2931,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161963914,"gmtCreate":1623901082338,"gmtModify":1634026117324,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Sad","listText":"Sad","text":"Sad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161963914","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169066716,"gmtCreate":1623809490335,"gmtModify":1634027783638,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Everything the feds say now just messes things up..","listText":"Everything the feds say now just messes things up..","text":"Everything the feds say now just messes things up..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169066716","repostId":"2143680537","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184229417,"gmtCreate":1623716401739,"gmtModify":1634029746667,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Keep going","listText":"Keep going","text":"Keep going","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184229417","repostId":"1126626020","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185318699,"gmtCreate":1623633169111,"gmtModify":1634030953888,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nvidia will keep scaling.","listText":"Nvidia will keep scaling.","text":"Nvidia will keep scaling.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185318699","repostId":"1165811803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":182594437,"gmtCreate":1623586453029,"gmtModify":1634031405350,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Let the bull market continue","listText":"Let the bull market continue","text":"Let the bull market continue","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/182594437","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186927402,"gmtCreate":1623470489806,"gmtModify":1634032708751,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Lol","listText":"Lol","text":"Lol","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186927402","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181907837,"gmtCreate":1623369531629,"gmtModify":1634034173883,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Maybe cathie wood was right about tthe market rotating back?","listText":"Maybe cathie wood was right about tthe market rotating back?","text":"Maybe cathie wood was right about tthe market rotating back?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181907837","repostId":"1184070773","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180448725,"gmtCreate":1623223302467,"gmtModify":1634035636456,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Die crypto die.","listText":"Die crypto die.","text":"Die crypto die.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180448725","repostId":"1158084619","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":773,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117146318,"gmtCreate":1623125751634,"gmtModify":1634036665396,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Nvidia definitely deserves to be part of the FAANG group.","listText":"Nvidia definitely deserves to be part of the FAANG group.","text":"Nvidia definitely deserves to be part of the FAANG group.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117146318","repostId":"1132295574","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":975,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115850031,"gmtCreate":1622975385223,"gmtModify":1634096456889,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115850031","repostId":"2140540596","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116673807,"gmtCreate":1622799534709,"gmtModify":1634097894987,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3557755904273898","idStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116673807","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li> <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li> <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li> <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li> <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但未来十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果在过去十年中增长放缓，未来几年也不太可能成为增长怪物。</li><li>股票具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock 社论来自 Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果 (AAPL) 是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能不会一样。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，十年后苹果的股价可能仍会大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前的股票回报率为 900%，年复合回报率约为 26%，轻松超过了该时期大盘的回报率。重要的是，股价的涨幅远远超过了公司的市值，而公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了 550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅降低了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个非常成功的商业时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的崛起，同时在手表和平板电脑等新产品方面也取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新的产品类别推出。目前，股价为 125 美元，比过去 12 个月上涨了 57%，但 2021 年迄今下跌了 6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整模式，这并不奇怪，因为苹果的估值在最近的过去扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前一致的目标价为 156 美元，这意味着上涨潜力为 25%。由于目前没有迹象表明股票会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股票10年后会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，2031年苹果的股价是无法精确预测的。历史一次又一次地表明，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以制定情景，看看在特定条件下未来股价可能会处于什么位置，以了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了制定这样一个场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去经历了几年的强劲增长和几年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的实力，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也起着一定的作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了 154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。在2010年代初，苹果在iPhone“胜利之路”的支持下实现了巨大的增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长放缓得多。甚至有一些年份收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年非常强劲的增长推动了这一增长时，假设苹果未来每年也将增长10%可能不太合理。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在苹果产品价格上涨以及在中国等高增长国家市场份额增长潜力的背景下，越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格更高的产品，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致应用程序支出增加——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像 iPhone 那样大规模），苹果应该能够以坚实的速度发展其业务。我个人认为，未来几年5%-7%的收入增长率可能是一个现实的估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的看法。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅降低其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了 36% 的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股份在公司价值中所占份额将增长 56%，即年化增长 4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年仅将其股票数量减少了 2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股份数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至 25% 时，当我们查看每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约 3% 的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我 5%-7% 的业务增长预期，我因此假设苹果从长远来看每股将增长 8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>AAPL 过去的估值范围非常广泛，其股票交易倍数在某些时候非常低，而投资者则愿意在其他时候支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据由YCharts提供</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的 10 倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，到 2020 年底，股价交易价格高达公司净利润的 40 倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL 的历史市盈率为 28 倍，远期利润约为 24 倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去 3 年、5 年、7 年和 10 年的中位数收益倍数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期间，中值更高。我不相信 AAPL 的交易价格会达到过去十年平均净利润的 15.5 倍，因为对于苹果这样一家拥有强大品牌、庞大规模、巨大利润和堡垒资产负债表的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。另一方面，我也不相信苹果会永远以 24-28 倍的市盈率进行交易——对于一家以中个位数实现稳健但并不引人注目的业务增长的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，情况尤其如此，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力，而其他条件相同。因此，我认为 2031 年净利润 20 倍左右的估值可能是一个合理的估计，这或多或少与 3 年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL 现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从 2021 年每股收益估计值 5.15 美元开始计算，并假设到 2031 年每年增长 7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为 10.10 美元至 13.40 美元。将 20 倍市盈率放在该市盈率上，目标价约为每股 200-270 美元。因此，在 235 美元左右的中点，股价将比当前水平上涨约 90%，即年化上涨约 6.5%。这当然不是一个糟糕的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的大回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，AAPL 在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报不太兴奋。当我们考虑到如果苹果估值下降（例如由于利率上升），未来1-3年内股价确实存在相当大的下行风险时，暂时保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现得很好。目前，我将苹果评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能会买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意，更喜欢在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说股票在未来十年确实具有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":131046088,"gmtCreate":1621818578444,"gmtModify":1634186400923,"author":{"id":"3557755904273898","authorId":"3557755904273898","name":"Dinami","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04fa52d3203fa4d6b519aa3bb438592a","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3557755904273898","authorIdStr":"3557755904273898"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Pls like","listText":"Pls like","text":"Pls like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/131046088","repostId":"1142753520","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1142753520","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga Earnings","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1621816950,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1142753520?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-24 08:42","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO Previews For The Week<blockquote>本周 IPO 预览</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142753520","media":"Benzinga Earnings","summary":"With the start of a new week comes the excitement surrounding a new set of companies looking to make","content":"<p>With the start of a new week comes the excitement surrounding a new set of companies looking to make an impact through their public offerings.According to Benzinga Pro, these enticing companies are scheduled to trade publicly this week.</p><p><blockquote>随着新的一周的开始，一批新公司希望通过公开募股产生影响，令人兴奋。据 Benzinga Pro 报道，这些诱人的公司计划于本周公开交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>FIGS, Inc</b>(NYSE:FIGS) will be trading publicly starting on May 27, 2021 at 05:00 AM. The company's price band is set between $16.0 and $19.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. FIGS, Inc will be offering 22,500,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.5.</p><p><blockquote><b>无花果公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FIGS）将于2021年5月27日上午05:00开始公开交易。该公司的价格区间设定在 16.0 美元至 19.0 美元之间，内部锁定期为 180 天。FIGS, Inc 将以每股 17.5 美元的价格发行 22,500,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>FLYWIRE CORPORATION</b>(NASDAQ:FLYW) becomes publicly listed starting on May 26, 2021 at 06:32 AM. The company has a price range set between $22.0 and $24.0 with a 180-day lockup period. FLYWIRE CORPORATION will be offering 8,700,000 shares at a per-share value of $22.99.</p><p><blockquote><b>飞线公司</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：FLYW）将于2021年5月26日上午06:32开始公开上市。该公司的价格范围为 22.0 美元至 24.0 美元，锁定期为 180 天。FLYWIRE CORPORATION 将以每股 22.99 美元的价格发行 8,700,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Paymentus Holdings, Inc.</b>(NYSE:PAY) will be trading publicly starting on May 26, 2021 at 04:37 AM. The company's price band is set between $19.0 and $21.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. Paymentus Holdings, Inc. will be offering 10,000,000 shares at a per-share value of $20.0.</p><p><blockquote><b>支付控股公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PAY）将于2021年5月26日凌晨04:37开始公开交易。该公司的价格区间设定在 19.0 美元至 21.0 美元之间，内部锁定期为 180 天。Paymentus Holdings, Inc. 将以每股 20.0 美元的价格发行 10,000,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc</b>(TSX:NBLY) will be trading publicly starting on May 25, 2021 at 05:25 AM. Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc will be offering 10,295,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days.</p><p><blockquote><b>邻居药房公司</b>（TSX:NBLY）将于2021年5月25日上午05:25开始公开交易。Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc 将以每股 17.0 美元的价格发行 10,295,000 股股票，内部人士锁定期为 180 天。</blockquote></p><p><b>What Are IPOs?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是IPO？</b></blockquote></p><p>An initial public offering, or IPO, is the transitional process of a private company deciding to go public and offer shares to investors on an exchange. Typically, IPOs offer companies the ability to build capital. Before a company becomes publicly listed, it must meet SEC requirements and work with investment banks through audits to determine pricing, offering date, and other important data points before the offering.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股（IPO）是私营公司决定上市并在交易所向投资者发行股票的过渡过程。通常，首次公开募股为公司提供了积累资本的能力。一家公司在公开上市之前，必须满足SEC的要求，并通过审计与投资银行合作，以确定定价、发行日期和发行前的其他重要数据点。</blockquote></p><p>Companies and investment banks will work to establish a price range that the stock is expected to sell between. This is known as an offering range. Once a company goes public, its stock comes with an opening price. The insider lock-up period is usually a set number of days after an IPO where company insiders, or employees with a 10% or higher stake in their company, cannot sell shares.</p><p><blockquote>公司和投资银行将努力确定股票预计出售的价格范围。这被称为产品范围。一旦一家公司上市，其股票就会有一个开盘价。内部人士锁定期通常是IPO后的固定天数，在此期间，公司内部人士或持有公司10%或以上股份的员工不能出售股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO Previews For The Week<blockquote>本周 IPO 预览</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO Previews For The Week<blockquote>本周 IPO 预览</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga Earnings </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-24 08:42</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>With the start of a new week comes the excitement surrounding a new set of companies looking to make an impact through their public offerings.According to Benzinga Pro, these enticing companies are scheduled to trade publicly this week.</p><p><blockquote>随着新的一周的开始，一批新公司希望通过公开募股产生影响，令人兴奋。据 Benzinga Pro 报道，这些诱人的公司计划于本周公开交易。</blockquote></p><p><b>FIGS, Inc</b>(NYSE:FIGS) will be trading publicly starting on May 27, 2021 at 05:00 AM. The company's price band is set between $16.0 and $19.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. FIGS, Inc will be offering 22,500,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.5.</p><p><blockquote><b>无花果公司</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：FIGS）将于2021年5月27日上午05:00开始公开交易。该公司的价格区间设定在 16.0 美元至 19.0 美元之间，内部锁定期为 180 天。FIGS, Inc 将以每股 17.5 美元的价格发行 22,500,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>FLYWIRE CORPORATION</b>(NASDAQ:FLYW) becomes publicly listed starting on May 26, 2021 at 06:32 AM. The company has a price range set between $22.0 and $24.0 with a 180-day lockup period. FLYWIRE CORPORATION will be offering 8,700,000 shares at a per-share value of $22.99.</p><p><blockquote><b>飞线公司</b>（纳斯达克股票代码：FLYW）将于2021年5月26日上午06:32开始公开上市。该公司的价格范围为 22.0 美元至 24.0 美元，锁定期为 180 天。FLYWIRE CORPORATION 将以每股 22.99 美元的价格发行 8,700,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Paymentus Holdings, Inc.</b>(NYSE:PAY) will be trading publicly starting on May 26, 2021 at 04:37 AM. The company's price band is set between $19.0 and $21.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. Paymentus Holdings, Inc. will be offering 10,000,000 shares at a per-share value of $20.0.</p><p><blockquote><b>支付控股公司。</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：PAY）将于2021年5月26日凌晨04:37开始公开交易。该公司的价格区间设定在 19.0 美元至 21.0 美元之间，内部锁定期为 180 天。Paymentus Holdings, Inc. 将以每股 20.0 美元的价格发行 10,000,000 股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc</b>(TSX:NBLY) will be trading publicly starting on May 25, 2021 at 05:25 AM. Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc will be offering 10,295,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days.</p><p><blockquote><b>邻居药房公司</b>（TSX:NBLY）将于2021年5月25日上午05:25开始公开交易。Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc 将以每股 17.0 美元的价格发行 10,295,000 股股票，内部人士锁定期为 180 天。</blockquote></p><p><b>What Are IPOs?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>什么是IPO？</b></blockquote></p><p>An initial public offering, or IPO, is the transitional process of a private company deciding to go public and offer shares to investors on an exchange. Typically, IPOs offer companies the ability to build capital. Before a company becomes publicly listed, it must meet SEC requirements and work with investment banks through audits to determine pricing, offering date, and other important data points before the offering.</p><p><blockquote>首次公开募股（IPO）是私营公司决定上市并在交易所向投资者发行股票的过渡过程。通常，首次公开募股为公司提供了积累资本的能力。一家公司在公开上市之前，必须满足SEC的要求，并通过审计与投资银行合作，以确定定价、发行日期和发行前的其他重要数据点。</blockquote></p><p>Companies and investment banks will work to establish a price range that the stock is expected to sell between. This is known as an offering range. Once a company goes public, its stock comes with an opening price. The insider lock-up period is usually a set number of days after an IPO where company insiders, or employees with a 10% or higher stake in their company, cannot sell shares.</p><p><blockquote>公司和投资银行将努力确定股票预计出售的价格范围。这被称为产品范围。一旦一家公司上市，其股票就会有一个开盘价。内部人士锁定期通常是IPO后的固定天数，在此期间，公司内部人士或持有公司10%或以上股份的员工不能出售股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PAY":"Paymentus Holdings, Inc.","FIGS":"FIGS, Inc.","FLYW":"Flywire Corp."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142753520","content_text":"With the start of a new week comes the excitement surrounding a new set of companies looking to make an impact through their public offerings.According to Benzinga Pro, these enticing companies are scheduled to trade publicly this week.FIGS, Inc(NYSE:FIGS) will be trading publicly starting on May 27, 2021 at 05:00 AM. The company's price band is set between $16.0 and $19.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. FIGS, Inc will be offering 22,500,000 shares at a per-share value of $17.5.FLYWIRE CORPORATION(NASDAQ:FLYW) becomes publicly listed starting on May 26, 2021 at 06:32 AM. The company has a price range set between $22.0 and $24.0 with a 180-day lockup period. FLYWIRE CORPORATION will be offering 8,700,000 shares at a per-share value of $22.99.Paymentus Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:PAY) will be trading publicly starting on May 26, 2021 at 04:37 AM. The company's price band is set between $19.0 and $21.0 with an insider lock-up period of 180 days. Paymentus Holdings, Inc. will be offering 10,000,000 shares at a per-share value of $20.0.Neighbourly Pharmacy Inc(TSX:NBLY) will be trading publicly starting on May 25, 2021 at 05:25 AM. 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