Squidworth的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Squidworth

Squidworth

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2021-03-31

$Gevo(GEVO)$market cap $1.6 billion$530mil in cash. Net 0 project cost $700-800millionsSecured revenue of $1.5 billionPotential upside with Biden pushing for green energy

2021-03-25

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$buy, buy, buy Nio is stronger than last year fundamentally at a discount

2021-01-07

$Marathon Patent(MARA)$expected gross profit $500million next year. Market cap $1.2 billion. A steal?

2021-02-08

$Marathon Patent(MARA)$apple maybe buying bitcoin next -cnbc

2021-04-16

$SOS Limited(SOS)$can it go to 0?

2021-05-12

$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$back to $10

2021-03-26

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$net income $10 million. With PE of 120 tiger should have market cap of 4+ billionNow at 2+ billion only

2021-01-25

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$trading invest strategy, buy now aim $80-100 end of year. Add more if dip to $50-55 in between.

2021-06-21

So buy stocks or sell? Complicated article...

Powell Just Launched $2 Trillion In "Heat-Seeking Missiles": Zoltan Explains How The Fed Started The Next Repo Crisis<blockquote>鲍威尔刚刚发射了2万亿美元的“热寻导弹”：Zoltan解释美联储如何开启下一次回购危机</blockquote>

2021-09-10

Why net income drop?

UP Fintech Reports More Than 60% of Newly Funded Accounts Acquired From International Markets<blockquote>老虎证券报告称，超过60%的新资金账户是从国际市场获得的</blockquote>

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>hoping for $300m revenue this quarter","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>hoping for $300m revenue this quarter","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$hoping for $300m revenue this quarter","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/848302477","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2041,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":883441684,"gmtCreate":1631267045048,"gmtModify":1631888868454,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why net income drop?","listText":"Why net income drop?","text":"Why net income drop?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883441684","repostId":"1108076835","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108076835","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631260909,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108076835?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-10 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UP Fintech Reports More Than 60% of Newly Funded Accounts Acquired From International Markets<blockquote>老虎证券报告称，超过60%的新资金账户是从国际市场获得的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108076835","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"$Leading$ online brokerage firm, UP Fintech Holding Limited  , today reported revenues of US$60.2 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 compared to revenue of US$30.3 million in the second quarter of 2020. Notably, more than 60% of the Company’s newly funded accounts were derived from international markets in the quarter. Growth was driven by enhanced platform capabilities and rising demand for convenient access to global brokerage services.UP Fintech Holding Limited Reports Unaudit","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">Leading</a> online brokerage firm, UP Fintech Holding Limited (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”), today reported revenues of US$60.2 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 compared to revenue of US$30.3 million in the second quarter of 2020. Notably, more than 60% of the Company’s newly funded accounts were derived from international markets in the quarter. Growth was driven by enhanced platform capabilities and rising demand for convenient access to global brokerage services.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">领先的</a>网上经纪行、老虎证券控股有限公司(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>：TIGR）（“老虎证券”或“公司”）今天公布截至2021年6月30日的第二季度收入为6020万美元，而2020年第二季度的收入为3030万美元。值得注意的是，该公司本季度超过60%的新增资金账户来自国际市场。增长是由增强的平台功能和对便捷获取全球经纪服务的需求不断增长推动的。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fintech-holding-limited-reports-unaudited-second-quarter-2021\" target=\"_blank\"><b>UP Fintech Holding Limited Reports Unaudited Second Quarter 2021 Financial Results</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fintech-holding-limited-reports-unaudited-second-quarter-2021\" target=\"_blank\"><b>老虎证券控股有限公司报告未经审计的2021年第二季度财务业绩</b></a></blockquote></p><p> “We maintained our solid business momentum with a high client retention rate and increased operational synergies, ”commented Mr. Wu Tianhua, founder and CEO of UP Fintech. “I am confident in the positive outlook for our Company and our industry. Our singular focus is to employ technology to make investing more efficient and we are committed to increasing the breadth and diversity of our product offerings, as well as leveraging our leading position in underwriting and ESOP (Employee Share Ownership Plans) to attract new clients.”</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券创始人兼首席执行官巫天华先生评论道：“我们保持了稳健的业务势头，客户保留率高，运营协同效应增强。”“我对我们公司和行业的积极前景充满信心。我们的唯一重点是利用技术提高投资效率，我们致力于增加产品的广度和多样性，并利用我们在承保和ESOP（员工持股计划）方面的领先地位来吸引新客户。”</blockquote></p><p> During the second quarter, the total number of funded accounts increased to 529,100. The Company added more funded accounts in the first six months of 2021 than it did in its entire cumulative operating history. The total account balance increased 188.9% year-over-year to US$23.9 billion as the Company continued to attract new clients from multiple international markets. In Singapore, UP Fintech’s local subsidiary, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">Tiger Brokers</a> (Singapore) Pte. Ltd., launched new products and in-APP functions such as an industry heatmap, Mini USD/CNH futures, and OSE futures, supplementing the wide range of analytical tools and securities trading functions available on the Company’s platform.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，资金账户总数增至52.91万个。该公司在2021年前六个月增加的资金账户数量超过了其整个累计运营历史。随着公司继续吸引来自多个国际市场的新客户，账户余额总额同比增长188.9%至239亿美元。在新加坡，老虎证券当地的子公司，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">老虎证券</a>（新加坡）私人有限公司。有限公司推出了新产品和应用内功能，如行业热图、迷你美元/离岸人民币期货和OSE期货，补充了公司平台上广泛的分析工具和证券交易功能。</blockquote></p><p> The Company also recently announced that it has received approval-in-principle to be admitted as a Clearing Member of The Central Depository (Pte) Limited (CDP), and a trading member of Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX) and Singapore Exchange Derivatives Trading Limited. These partnerships aim to improve the user experience and further strengthen the Company’s presence in the Singaporean market.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近还宣布，已获得原则批准成为中央存管（私人）有限公司（CDP）的结算会员，以及新加坡证券交易所交易有限公司（SGX）和新加坡交易所衍生品交易有限公司的交易会员。这些合作伙伴关系旨在改善用户体验，并进一步加强公司在新加坡市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> The Company’s ESOP business continued to exhibit healthy growth with 51 new clients, up from 41 new clients in the previous quarter；ESOP adoption is accelerating and in the first six months of 2021 the Company added more new clients than it did in all of 2020. The Company is a leader in providing extensive expertise and guidance for start-ups at every stage of their ESOP from initial establishment through to execution and reporting. In addition, the Company is now offering its ESOP service to A-Share companies, further expanding its prospective client base.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的员工持股计划业务继续保持健康增长，新增客户51家，高于上一季度的41家；员工持股计划的采用正在加速，2021年前六个月，该公司增加的新客户比2020年全年都多。该公司是为初创企业在员工持股计划的每个阶段（从最初建立到执行和报告）提供广泛专业知识和指导的领导者。此外，本公司现正向A股公司提供员工持股计划服务，进一步扩大其潜在客户群。</blockquote></p><p> The Company served as an underwriter or member of the selling group in 17 IPOs, and in total provided subscriptions to 29 IPOs, including several high profile Hong Kong IPOs such as those of Angelalign (HK:6699) and Nayuki (HK:2150). In addition, The Company completed its own follow-on offering of 6.5 million <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Depository Shares in the second quarter and even&nbsp;offered retail investors the opportunity to subscribe through its flagship mobile trading APP, Tiger Trade.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在17宗IPO中担任承销商或销售团队成员，共为29宗IPO提供认购，其中包括时代天使(HK：6699)和奈雪(HK：2150)等多宗备受瞩目的香港IPO。此外，公司完成了自己的后续发行650万<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>第二季度存托股票，甚至为散户投资者提供了通过其旗舰移动交易应用程序Tiger Trade认购的机会。</blockquote></p><p> “While the market will have its ups and downs and competition will remain intense, our innovative platform and technology have been built to create long term value for our clients,” Wu stated. “User experience has always been our top priority and we see significant room for growth as we continue to broaden our global footprint in the near-term.”</p><p><blockquote>吴表示：“虽然市场会有起有落，竞争仍将激烈，但我们的创新平台和技术旨在为客户创造长期价值。”“用户体验一直是我们的首要任务，随着我们在短期内继续扩大全球足迹，我们看到了巨大的增长空间。”</blockquote></p><p> Safe Harbor Statement</p><p><blockquote>安全港声明</blockquote></p><p></p><p> This announcement contains forward-looking statements. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “future,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar statements. Among other statements, the business outlook and quotations from management in this announcement, as well as the Company’s strategic and operational plans, contain forward-looking statements. The Company may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in its periodic reports to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on Forms 20-F and 6-K, in its annual report to shareholders, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by its officers, directors or employees to third parties. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the Company’s beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">Forward</a>-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: the Company’s growth strategies; trends and competition in global financial markets; the effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic; and governmental policies relating to the Company’s industry and general economic conditions in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> and other countries. Further information regarding these and other risks is included in the Company’s filings with the SEC. All information provided in this press release and in the attachments is as of the date of this press release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required under applicable law.</p><p><blockquote>本公告包含前瞻性陈述。这些声明是根据1995年美国私人证券诉讼改革法案的“安全港”条款做出的。这些前瞻性陈述可以通过“将”、“期望”、“预期”、“未来”、“打算”、“计划”、“相信”、“估计”和类似陈述等术语来识别。除其他陈述外，本公告中管理层的业务展望和报价以及公司的战略和运营计划包含前瞻性陈述。公司还可能在向美国证券交易委员会（“SEC”）提交的20-F和6-K表格定期报告、向股东提交的年度报告、新闻稿和其他书面材料以及其管理人员、董事或员工向第三方做出的口头声明中做出书面或口头前瞻性陈述。非历史事实的陈述，包括有关公司信念和期望的陈述，都是前瞻性陈述。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">向前</a>-前瞻性陈述涉及固有风险和不确定性。许多因素可能导致实际结果与任何前瞻性陈述中包含的结果存在重大差异，包括但不限于以下内容：公司的增长战略；全球金融市场的趋势和竞争；全球新冠肺炎疫情的影响；以及与本公司所处行业及整体经济状况有关的政府政策<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>和其他国家。有关这些和其他风险的更多信息包含在公司向SEC提交的文件中。本新闻稿和附件中提供的所有信息均截至本新闻稿发布之日，公司不承担更新任何前瞻性声明的义务，除非适用法律要求。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UP Fintech Reports More Than 60% of Newly Funded Accounts Acquired From International Markets<blockquote>老虎证券报告称，超过60%的新资金账户是从国际市场获得的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUP Fintech Reports More Than 60% of Newly Funded Accounts Acquired From International Markets<blockquote>老虎证券报告称，超过60%的新资金账户是从国际市场获得的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-10 16:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">Leading</a> online brokerage firm, UP Fintech Holding Limited (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”), today reported revenues of US$60.2 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 compared to revenue of US$30.3 million in the second quarter of 2020. Notably, more than 60% of the Company’s newly funded accounts were derived from international markets in the quarter. Growth was driven by enhanced platform capabilities and rising demand for convenient access to global brokerage services.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">领先的</a>网上经纪行、老虎证券控股有限公司(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>：TIGR）（“老虎证券”或“公司”）今天公布截至2021年6月30日的第二季度收入为6020万美元，而2020年第二季度的收入为3030万美元。值得注意的是，该公司本季度超过60%的新增资金账户来自国际市场。增长是由增强的平台功能和对便捷获取全球经纪服务的需求不断增长推动的。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fintech-holding-limited-reports-unaudited-second-quarter-2021\" target=\"_blank\"><b>UP Fintech Holding Limited Reports Unaudited Second Quarter 2021 Financial Results</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fintech-holding-limited-reports-unaudited-second-quarter-2021\" target=\"_blank\"><b>老虎证券控股有限公司报告未经审计的2021年第二季度财务业绩</b></a></blockquote></p><p> “We maintained our solid business momentum with a high client retention rate and increased operational synergies, ”commented Mr. Wu Tianhua, founder and CEO of UP Fintech. “I am confident in the positive outlook for our Company and our industry. Our singular focus is to employ technology to make investing more efficient and we are committed to increasing the breadth and diversity of our product offerings, as well as leveraging our leading position in underwriting and ESOP (Employee Share Ownership Plans) to attract new clients.”</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券创始人兼首席执行官巫天华先生评论道：“我们保持了稳健的业务势头，客户保留率高，运营协同效应增强。”“我对我们公司和行业的积极前景充满信心。我们的唯一重点是利用技术提高投资效率，我们致力于增加产品的广度和多样性，并利用我们在承保和ESOP（员工持股计划）方面的领先地位来吸引新客户。”</blockquote></p><p> During the second quarter, the total number of funded accounts increased to 529,100. The Company added more funded accounts in the first six months of 2021 than it did in its entire cumulative operating history. The total account balance increased 188.9% year-over-year to US$23.9 billion as the Company continued to attract new clients from multiple international markets. In Singapore, UP Fintech’s local subsidiary, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">Tiger Brokers</a> (Singapore) Pte. Ltd., launched new products and in-APP functions such as an industry heatmap, Mini USD/CNH futures, and OSE futures, supplementing the wide range of analytical tools and securities trading functions available on the Company’s platform.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，资金账户总数增至52.91万个。该公司在2021年前六个月增加的资金账户数量超过了其整个累计运营历史。随着公司继续吸引来自多个国际市场的新客户，账户余额总额同比增长188.9%至239亿美元。在新加坡，老虎证券当地的子公司，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">老虎证券</a>（新加坡）私人有限公司。有限公司推出了新产品和应用内功能，如行业热图、迷你美元/离岸人民币期货和OSE期货，补充了公司平台上广泛的分析工具和证券交易功能。</blockquote></p><p> The Company also recently announced that it has received approval-in-principle to be admitted as a Clearing Member of The Central Depository (Pte) Limited (CDP), and a trading member of Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX) and Singapore Exchange Derivatives Trading Limited. These partnerships aim to improve the user experience and further strengthen the Company’s presence in the Singaporean market.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近还宣布，已获得原则批准成为中央存管（私人）有限公司（CDP）的结算会员，以及新加坡证券交易所交易有限公司（SGX）和新加坡交易所衍生品交易有限公司的交易会员。这些合作伙伴关系旨在改善用户体验，并进一步加强公司在新加坡市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> The Company’s ESOP business continued to exhibit healthy growth with 51 new clients, up from 41 new clients in the previous quarter；ESOP adoption is accelerating and in the first six months of 2021 the Company added more new clients than it did in all of 2020. The Company is a leader in providing extensive expertise and guidance for start-ups at every stage of their ESOP from initial establishment through to execution and reporting. In addition, the Company is now offering its ESOP service to A-Share companies, further expanding its prospective client base.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的员工持股计划业务继续保持健康增长，新增客户51家，高于上一季度的41家；员工持股计划的采用正在加速，2021年前六个月，该公司增加的新客户比2020年全年都多。该公司是为初创企业在员工持股计划的每个阶段（从最初建立到执行和报告）提供广泛专业知识和指导的领导者。此外，本公司现正向A股公司提供员工持股计划服务，进一步扩大其潜在客户群。</blockquote></p><p> The Company served as an underwriter or member of the selling group in 17 IPOs, and in total provided subscriptions to 29 IPOs, including several high profile Hong Kong IPOs such as those of Angelalign (HK:6699) and Nayuki (HK:2150). In addition, The Company completed its own follow-on offering of 6.5 million <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Depository Shares in the second quarter and even&nbsp;offered retail investors the opportunity to subscribe through its flagship mobile trading APP, Tiger Trade.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在17宗IPO中担任承销商或销售团队成员，共为29宗IPO提供认购，其中包括时代天使(HK：6699)和奈雪(HK：2150)等多宗备受瞩目的香港IPO。此外，公司完成了自己的后续发行650万<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>第二季度存托股票，甚至为散户投资者提供了通过其旗舰移动交易应用程序Tiger Trade认购的机会。</blockquote></p><p> “While the market will have its ups and downs and competition will remain intense, our innovative platform and technology have been built to create long term value for our clients,” Wu stated. “User experience has always been our top priority and we see significant room for growth as we continue to broaden our global footprint in the near-term.”</p><p><blockquote>吴表示：“虽然市场会有起有落，竞争仍将激烈，但我们的创新平台和技术旨在为客户创造长期价值。”“用户体验一直是我们的首要任务，随着我们在短期内继续扩大全球足迹，我们看到了巨大的增长空间。”</blockquote></p><p> Safe Harbor Statement</p><p><blockquote>安全港声明</blockquote></p><p></p><p> This announcement contains forward-looking statements. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “future,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar statements. Among other statements, the business outlook and quotations from management in this announcement, as well as the Company’s strategic and operational plans, contain forward-looking statements. The Company may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in its periodic reports to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on Forms 20-F and 6-K, in its annual report to shareholders, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by its officers, directors or employees to third parties. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the Company’s beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">Forward</a>-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: the Company’s growth strategies; trends and competition in global financial markets; the effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic; and governmental policies relating to the Company’s industry and general economic conditions in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> and other countries. Further information regarding these and other risks is included in the Company’s filings with the SEC. All information provided in this press release and in the attachments is as of the date of this press release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required under applicable law.</p><p><blockquote>本公告包含前瞻性陈述。这些声明是根据1995年美国私人证券诉讼改革法案的“安全港”条款做出的。这些前瞻性陈述可以通过“将”、“期望”、“预期”、“未来”、“打算”、“计划”、“相信”、“估计”和类似陈述等术语来识别。除其他陈述外，本公告中管理层的业务展望和报价以及公司的战略和运营计划包含前瞻性陈述。公司还可能在向美国证券交易委员会（“SEC”）提交的20-F和6-K表格定期报告、向股东提交的年度报告、新闻稿和其他书面材料以及其管理人员、董事或员工向第三方做出的口头声明中做出书面或口头前瞻性陈述。非历史事实的陈述，包括有关公司信念和期望的陈述，都是前瞻性陈述。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">向前</a>-前瞻性陈述涉及固有风险和不确定性。许多因素可能导致实际结果与任何前瞻性陈述中包含的结果存在重大差异，包括但不限于以下内容：公司的增长战略；全球金融市场的趋势和竞争；全球新冠肺炎疫情的影响；以及与本公司所处行业及整体经济状况有关的政府政策<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>和其他国家。有关这些和其他风险的更多信息包含在公司向SEC提交的文件中。本新闻稿和附件中提供的所有信息均截至本新闻稿发布之日，公司不承担更新任何前瞻性声明的义务，除非适用法律要求。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TIGR":"老虎证券"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108076835","content_text":"Leading online brokerage firm, UP Fintech Holding Limited (Nasdaq: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”), today reported revenues of US$60.2 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 compared to revenue of US$30.3 million in the second quarter of 2020. Notably, more than 60% of the Company’s newly funded accounts were derived from international markets in the quarter. Growth was driven by enhanced platform capabilities and rising demand for convenient access to global brokerage services.\nUP Fintech Holding Limited Reports Unaudited Second Quarter 2021 Financial Results\n“We maintained our solid business momentum with a high client retention rate and increased operational synergies, ”commented Mr. Wu Tianhua, founder and CEO of UP Fintech. “I am confident in the positive outlook for our Company and our industry. Our singular focus is to employ technology to make investing more efficient and we are committed to increasing the breadth and diversity of our product offerings, as well as leveraging our leading position in underwriting and ESOP (Employee Share Ownership Plans) to attract new clients.”\nDuring the second quarter, the total number of funded accounts increased to 529,100. The Company added more funded accounts in the first six months of 2021 than it did in its entire cumulative operating history. The total account balance increased 188.9% year-over-year to US$23.9 billion as the Company continued to attract new clients from multiple international markets. In Singapore, UP Fintech’s local subsidiary, Tiger Brokers (Singapore) Pte. Ltd., launched new products and in-APP functions such as an industry heatmap, Mini USD/CNH futures, and OSE futures, supplementing the wide range of analytical tools and securities trading functions available on the Company’s platform.\nThe Company also recently announced that it has received approval-in-principle to be admitted as a Clearing Member of The Central Depository (Pte) Limited (CDP), and a trading member of Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX) and Singapore Exchange Derivatives Trading Limited. These partnerships aim to improve the user experience and further strengthen the Company’s presence in the Singaporean market.\nThe Company’s ESOP business continued to exhibit healthy growth with 51 new clients, up from 41 new clients in the previous quarter；ESOP adoption is accelerating and in the first six months of 2021 the Company added more new clients than it did in all of 2020. The Company is a leader in providing extensive expertise and guidance for start-ups at every stage of their ESOP from initial establishment through to execution and reporting. In addition, the Company is now offering its ESOP service to A-Share companies, further expanding its prospective client base.\nThe Company served as an underwriter or member of the selling group in 17 IPOs, and in total provided subscriptions to 29 IPOs, including several high profile Hong Kong IPOs such as those of Angelalign (HK:6699) and Nayuki (HK:2150). In addition, The Company completed its own follow-on offering of 6.5 million American Depository Shares in the second quarter and even offered retail investors the opportunity to subscribe through its flagship mobile trading APP, Tiger Trade.\n“While the market will have its ups and downs and competition will remain intense, our innovative platform and technology have been built to create long term value for our clients,” Wu stated. “User experience has always been our top priority and we see significant room for growth as we continue to broaden our global footprint in the near-term.”\n\nSafe Harbor Statement\nThis announcement contains forward-looking statements. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “future,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar statements. Among other statements, the business outlook and quotations from management in this announcement, as well as the Company’s strategic and operational plans, contain forward-looking statements. The Company may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in its periodic reports to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on Forms 20-F and 6-K, in its annual report to shareholders, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by its officers, directors or employees to third parties. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the Company’s beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: the Company’s growth strategies; trends and competition in global financial markets; the effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic; and governmental policies relating to the Company’s industry and general economic conditions in China and other countries. Further information regarding these and other risks is included in the Company’s filings with the SEC. All information provided in this press release and in the attachments is as of the date of this press release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required under applicable law.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TIGR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839330942,"gmtCreate":1629121530186,"gmtModify":1631886583753,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>as time goes it constantly derisk itself by getting more clients, increased loan with economic reopening, US stocks, CEO with high ownership and high ambition for the company","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>as time goes it constantly derisk itself by getting more clients, increased loan with economic reopening, US stocks, CEO with high ownership and high ambition for the company","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$as time goes it constantly derisk itself by getting more clients, increased loan with economic reopening, US stocks, CEO with high ownership and high ambition for the company","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/839330942","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1884,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141917847,"gmtCreate":1625832952489,"gmtModify":1631886584163,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>&nbsp;short squeeze UPST !&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>&nbsp;short squeeze UPST !&nbsp;","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ short squeeze UPST !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141917847","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1878,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156575480,"gmtCreate":1625233018340,"gmtModify":1631886584296,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>$140 tonight","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>$140 tonight","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$$140 tonight","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156575480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3110,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129676449,"gmtCreate":1624372423481,"gmtModify":1631886584372,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>sellers drying up, bullish reversal?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>sellers drying up, bullish reversal?&nbsp;","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$sellers drying up, bullish reversal?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129676449","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3233,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167270394,"gmtCreate":1624273950718,"gmtModify":1631888868465,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So buy stocks or sell? Complicated article...","listText":"So buy stocks or sell? Complicated article...","text":"So buy stocks or sell? Complicated article...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167270394","repostId":"1146982088","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146982088","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624259620,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146982088?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 15:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell Just Launched $2 Trillion In \"Heat-Seeking Missiles\": Zoltan Explains How The Fed Started The Next Repo Crisis<blockquote>鲍威尔刚刚发射了2万亿美元的“热寻导弹”：Zoltan解释美联储如何开启下一次回购危机</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146982088","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, amid thefire and brimstone surroundingthe market's shocked response to the Fed's unexpect","content":"<p>Last week, amid thefire and brimstone surroundingthe market's shocked response to the Fed's unexpected hawkish pivot, we noted that there were two tangible, if less noted changes: the Fed adjusted the two key \"administered\" rates, raising both the IOER and RRP rates by 5 basis points (as correctly predicted by Bank of America, JPMorgan, Wrightson, Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo while Citi, Oxford Economics, Jefferies, Credit Suisse, Standard Chartered, BMO were wrong in predicting no rate change), in an effort to push the Effective Fed Funds rate higher and away from its imminent rendezvous with 0%.</p><p><blockquote>上周，在市场对美联储意外鹰派转向的震惊反应中，我们注意到有两个切实但不太引人注目的变化：美联储调整了两个关键的“管理”利率，将IOER和RRP利率都提高了5个基点（正如美国银行、摩根大通、莱特森、德意志银行和富国银行正确预测的那样，而花旗、牛津经济研究院、杰富瑞、瑞士信贷、渣打银行、蒙特利尔银行错误地预测利率不会变化），以推动有效联邦基金利率走高，远离即将到来的0%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31e3c93e7ae558cd9f2fdb7e4a2769f1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"377\">What does this mean? As Curvature Securities repo guru,Scott Skyrm wrote last week, \"clearly the Fed intends to move overnight rates above zero and drain the RRP&nbsp; facility of cash.\" Unfortunately, the end result would be precisely the opposite of what the Fed had wanted to achieve.</p><p><blockquote>这是什么意思？正如Curvature Securities回购专家Scott Skyrm上周写道，“显然，美联储打算将隔夜利率提高到零以上，并耗尽RRP工具的现金。”不幸的是，最终结果将与美联储想要达到的目标完全相反。</blockquote></p><p> But what does this really mean for overnight rates and RRP volume? As Skyrm further noted, the increase in the IOER should pull the daily fed funds rate 5 basis points higher and, in turn, put upward pressure on Repo GC. Combined with the 5 basis point increase in RRP, GC should move a solid 5 basis points higher, which it has.</p><p><blockquote>但这对于隔夜利率和建议零售价交易量到底意味着什么？正如Skyrm进一步指出的那样，IOER的上升应该会将每日联邦基金利率拉高5个基点，进而给回购GC带来上行压力。结合RRP增加5个基点，GC应该会大幅上涨5个基点，事实也确实如此。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8b99df7af1731b4bdcbcf072dcf39ce\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\">The problem, as Skyrm warned, is that the Fed's technical adjustment would do nothing to ease the RRP volume:</p><p><blockquote>正如Skyrm警告的那样，问题在于美联储的技术调整无助于缓解建议零售额：</blockquote></p><p>   When market Repo rates were at 0% and the RRP rate was at zero, ~$500 billion went into the RRP. Well, if both market Repo rates and the RRP rate are 5 basis points higher, there's no reason to pull cash out of the RRP. For example, if GC rates moved to .05% and the RRP rate stayed at zero, investor preferences to invest at a higher rate would remove cash from the RRP.  Bottom line: with both market rates and RRP at .05%, there's really no economic incentive for cash investors to move cash to the Repo market. Or, as we summarized, \"<i>the Fed's rate change may have zero impact on the Fed's reverse repo facility, or the record half a trillion in cash parked there.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>当市场回购利率为0%且RRP利率为零时，约5000亿美元进入RRP。好吧，如果市场回购利率和RRP利率都高出5个基点，就没有理由从RRP中提取现金。例如，如果GC利率升至0.05%，而RRP利率保持在零，投资者以更高利率投资的偏好将从RRP中移除现金。底线：由于市场利率和建议零售价均为0.05%，现金投资者确实没有经济动机将现金转移到回购市场。或者，正如我们总结的那样，“<i>美联储的利率变化可能对美联储的逆回购工具或创纪录的5000亿现金产生零影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p> In retrospect, boy was that an understatement, because just one day later the already record usage of the Fed's Reverse Repo facility spiked by a record 50%, exploding to a staggering $756 billion (it closed Friday at $747 billion) as the GSEs.</p><p><blockquote>回想起来，这是一种轻描淡写的说法，因为仅仅一天后，美联储逆回购工具的使用量就飙升了创纪录的50%，随着GSE的出现，飙升至惊人的7560亿美元（周五收盘价为7470亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fba18d7808300abc3bdf4ffaa3d5fb6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\">Needless to say, flooding the Fed's RRP facility and sterilizing reserves is hardly what the Fed had intended, and as Credit Suisse's own repo guru (and former NY Fed staffer) Zoltan Pozsar wrote in his post-mortem, \"<b>the re-priced RRP facility will become a problem for the banking system fast:</b><b><u>the banking system is going from being asset constrained (deposits flooding in, but nowhere to lend them but to the Fed), to being liability constrained (deposits slipping away and nowhere to replace them but in the money market</u></b><b>).\"</b></p><p><blockquote>不用说，淹没美联储的建议零售价工具和冲销准备金几乎不是美联储的本意，正如瑞士信贷自己的回购专家（前纽约联储工作人员）Zoltan Pozsar在他的事后分析中所写的那样，“<b>重新定价的建议零售价融资将很快成为银行系统的一个问题：</b><b><u>银行体系正在从资产约束（存款大量涌入，但除了美联储之外无处可贷）转变为负债约束（存款不断流失，除了货币市场之外无处可替代）</u></b><b>).\"</b></blockquote></p><p> What he means by that is that whereas previously the RRP rate of 0.00% did not<i>reward</i>allocation of inert, excess reserves but merely provided a place to park them, now that the Fed is providing a generous yield pick up compared to rates offered by trillions in Bills, we are about to see a sea-change in the overnight, money-market, as trillions in capital reallocate away from traditional investments and into the the Fed's RRP.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，以前0.00%的RRP利率没有<i>奖励</i>分配惰性的超额准备金，但只是提供了一个存放它们的地方，现在美联储提供的收益率与数万亿票据提供的利率相比大幅上升，我们即将看到隔夜货币市场发生翻天覆地的变化，数万亿资本从传统投资重新分配到美联储的建议零售价。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, as Pozsar puts it, \"the RRP facility started to sterilize reserves... with more to come.\" And just as Deutsche Bank explained why the Fed's signaling was an r* policy error, to Pozsar, the Fed<i><b>also</b></i>made a policy error - only this time with its technical rates - by steriling reserves because \"it’s one thing to raise the rate on the RRP facility when an increase was not strictly speaking necessary, and it’s another to raise it “unduly” high – as one money fund manager put it, “<b>yesterday we could not even get a basis points a year; to get endless paper at five basis points from the most trusted counterparty is a dream come true.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>换句话说，正如Pozsar所说，“RRP设施开始对储备进行消毒……还会有更多储备。”而就在德意志银行向Pozsar解释为什么美联储的信号是一个r*政策错误时，美联储<i><b>也</b></i>犯了一个政策错误——只是这次是技术利率——冲销准备金，因为“当严格来说没有必要提高RRP设施的利率时，提高RRP设施的利率是一回事，而将其提高到‘过高’是另一回事——正如一位货币基金经理所说，”<b>昨天，我们一年甚至拿不到一个基点；以五个基点从最值得信赖的交易对手那里获得无尽的票据是梦想成真。”</b></blockquote></p><p> He's right: while 0bps may have been viewed by many as too low, it was hardly catastrophic for now (Credit Suisse was one of those predicting no administered rate hike),<b>5bps is too generous</b>, according to Pozsar who warns that the new reverse repo rate<b>will upset the state of \"singularity\"</b>and \"like heat-seeking missiles, money market investors move hundreds of billions, making sharp, 90º turns hunting for even a basis point of yield at the zero bound –<b>at 5 bps, money funds have an incentive to trade out of all their Treasury bills and park cash at the RRP facility.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>他是对的：虽然许多人可能认为0个基点太低，但目前这很难说是灾难性的（瑞士信贷是预测不会有管理加息的机构之一），<b>5bps太慷慨了</b>Pozsar警告说，新的逆回购利率<b>将颠覆“奇点”状态</b>“就像热寻的导弹一样，货币市场投资者转移了数千亿美元，急转弯90度，在零边界寻找哪怕一个基点的收益率——<b>在5个基点的利率下，货币基金有动力出售所有国库券并将现金存放在RRP设施中。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Indeed, as shown below, bills yield less than 5 bps out to 6 months,<b>and money funds have over $2 trillion of bills.</b>They got an the incentive to sell, while others have the incentive to buy: institutions whose deposits have been “tolerated” by banks until now earning zero interest have an incentive to harvest the 0-5 bps range the bill curve has to offer. Putting your cash at a basis point in bills is better than deposits at zero.<b>So the sterilization of reserves begins, and so the o/n RRP facility turns from a largely passive tool that provided an interest rate floor to the deposits that large banks have been pushing away, into an active tool that \"sucks\" the deposits away that banks decided to retain.</b></p><p><blockquote>事实上，如下图所示，6个月的票据收益率不到5个基点，<b>货币基金拥有超过2万亿美元的票据。</b>他们有卖出的动机，而其他人有买入的动机：那些存款一直被银行“容忍”到目前为止赚取零利息的机构有动力获得票据曲线提供的0-5个基点的范围。将现金以一个基点存入票据比零存款要好。<b>因此，准备金冲销开始了，因此o/n RRP工具从一个为大型银行一直在推走的存款提供利率下限的基本上被动的工具，变成了一个“吸走”银行决定保留的存款的主动工具。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf593f7b1d2d665f39384ed6a998d3bf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"403\">To help readers visualize what is going on, the Credit Suisse strategist suggest the following \"extreme\" thought experiment: most of the “Covid-19” deposits currently with banks go into the bill market where rates are better. Money funds sell bills to institutional investors that currently keep their cash at banks, and money funds swap bills for o/n RRPs. Said (somewhat) simply, while previously the Fed provided banks with a convenient place to park reserves, it now will actively drain reserves to the point where we may end up with another 2019-style repo crisis, as most financial institutions suddenly find themsleves with<i><b>too few</b></i>intraday reserves, forcing them to use the Fed's other funding facilities (such as FX swap lines) to remain consistently solvent.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助读者直观地了解正在发生的事情，瑞士信贷策略师建议进行以下“极端”的思想实验：目前银行的大部分“Covid-19”存款都进入了利率更好的票据市场。货币基金向目前将现金存放在银行的机构投资者出售票据，货币基金将票据交换为o/N RRP。（有点）简单地说，虽然美联储以前为银行提供了一个方便的存放准备金的地方，但现在它将积极耗尽准备金，以至于我们可能最终会陷入另一场2019年式的回购危机，因为大多数金融机构突然发现自己与<i><b>太少</b></i>日内储备，迫使它们使用美联储的其他融资工具（如外汇掉期额度）来保持持续的偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> This process is not overnight. It will take a few weeks to observe the fallout from the Fed's reserve sterilization.</p><p><blockquote>这个过程不是一蹴而就的。需要几周时间才能观察到美联储准备金冲销的影响。</blockquote></p><p> And here is why the problem is similar to the repo crisis of 2019: soon we will find that while cash-rich banks can handle the outflows,<b>some bond-heavy banks cannot.</b>As a result, Zoltan predicts that next \"we will notice that some banks (those who can<i><b>not</b></i>handle outflows) are borrowing advances from FHLBs, and cash-rich banks stop lending in the FX swap market as the RRP facility pulled reserves away from them and the Fed has to re-start the FX swap lines to offset.\"</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么这个问题与2019年的回购危机类似：很快我们就会发现，虽然现金充裕的银行可以应对资金外流，<b>一些债券密集型银行则不能。</b>因此，Zoltan预测，接下来“我们将注意到一些银行（那些能够<i><b>不</b></i>处理资金外流）正在从FHLB借入预付款，现金充裕的银行停止在外汇掉期市场放贷，因为RRP工具从它们那里抽走了准备金，美联储不得不重新启动外汇掉期额度来抵消。”</blockquote></p><p> Bottom line:<i><b>whereas previously we saw Libor-OIS collapse, this key funding spread will have to widen from here, unless the Fed lowers the o/n RRP rate again back to where it was before.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>底线：<i><b>尽管之前我们看到Libor-OIS崩溃，但这一关键资金利差将不得不从这里扩大，除非美联储再次将o/n RRP利率降低到以前的水平。</b></i></blockquote></p><p> Or, as Zoltan summarizes, \"It’s either quantities or prices\" - indeed,<b>in 2019 the Fed chose prices over quantities, which backfired, and led to the repo crisis which ended the Fed's hiking cycle and started \"NOT QE.\"</b>While the Fed redeemed itself in February, when it expanded the usage of the RRP without making it liability-constrained as it chose quantities over prices - which worked well - last Wednesday,<b>the Fed turned “unlimited” quantities into “money for free” and started to sterilize reserves.</b></p><p><blockquote>或者，正如Zoltan总结的那样，“要么是数量，要么是价格”——事实上，<b>2019年，美联储选择了价格而不是数量，这适得其反，并导致了回购危机，结束了美联储的加息周期，并开始了“非量化宽松”。</b>虽然美联储在2月份进行了自我救赎，但上周三，它在没有使其负债受到限制的情况下扩大了建议零售价的使用范围，因为它选择了数量而不是价格——这一点效果很好——<b>美联储将“无限”的数量变成了“免费的钱”，并开始冲销储备。</b></blockquote></p><p> Bottom line: \"we are witnessing the dealer of last resort (DoLR) learning the art of dealing, making unforced errors – if the Fed sterilizes with an overpriced o/n RRP facility, it has to be ready to add liquidity via the swap lines…\"</p><p><blockquote>底线：“我们正在目睹最后手段交易商（DoLR）学习交易艺术，犯非受迫性错误——如果美联储通过定价过高的o/n RRP工具进行冲销，它必须准备好通过掉期增加流动性线……”</blockquote></p><p> Translation:&nbsp;<b>by paying trillions in reserves 5bps, the Fed just planted the seeds of the next liquidity crisis.</b></p><p><blockquote>翻译：<b>通过支付数万亿美元的准备金5个基点，美联储刚刚播下了下一场流动性危机的种子。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell Just Launched $2 Trillion In \"Heat-Seeking Missiles\": Zoltan Explains How The Fed Started The Next Repo Crisis<blockquote>鲍威尔刚刚发射了2万亿美元的“热寻导弹”：Zoltan解释美联储如何开启下一次回购危机</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 15:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, amid thefire and brimstone surroundingthe market's shocked response to the Fed's unexpected hawkish pivot, we noted that there were two tangible, if less noted changes: the Fed adjusted the two key \"administered\" rates, raising both the IOER and RRP rates by 5 basis points (as correctly predicted by Bank of America, JPMorgan, Wrightson, Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo while Citi, Oxford Economics, Jefferies, Credit Suisse, Standard Chartered, BMO were wrong in predicting no rate change), in an effort to push the Effective Fed Funds rate higher and away from its imminent rendezvous with 0%.</p><p><blockquote>上周，在市场对美联储意外鹰派转向的震惊反应中，我们注意到有两个切实但不太引人注目的变化：美联储调整了两个关键的“管理”利率，将IOER和RRP利率都提高了5个基点（正如美国银行、摩根大通、莱特森、德意志银行和富国银行正确预测的那样，而花旗、牛津经济研究院、杰富瑞、瑞士信贷、渣打银行、蒙特利尔银行错误地预测利率不会变化），以推动有效联邦基金利率走高，远离即将到来的0%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31e3c93e7ae558cd9f2fdb7e4a2769f1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"377\">What does this mean? As Curvature Securities repo guru,Scott Skyrm wrote last week, \"clearly the Fed intends to move overnight rates above zero and drain the RRP&nbsp; facility of cash.\" Unfortunately, the end result would be precisely the opposite of what the Fed had wanted to achieve.</p><p><blockquote>这是什么意思？正如Curvature Securities回购专家Scott Skyrm上周写道，“显然，美联储打算将隔夜利率提高到零以上，并耗尽RRP工具的现金。”不幸的是，最终结果将与美联储想要达到的目标完全相反。</blockquote></p><p> But what does this really mean for overnight rates and RRP volume? As Skyrm further noted, the increase in the IOER should pull the daily fed funds rate 5 basis points higher and, in turn, put upward pressure on Repo GC. Combined with the 5 basis point increase in RRP, GC should move a solid 5 basis points higher, which it has.</p><p><blockquote>但这对于隔夜利率和建议零售价交易量到底意味着什么？正如Skyrm进一步指出的那样，IOER的上升应该会将每日联邦基金利率拉高5个基点，进而给回购GC带来上行压力。结合RRP增加5个基点，GC应该会大幅上涨5个基点，事实也确实如此。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8b99df7af1731b4bdcbcf072dcf39ce\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\">The problem, as Skyrm warned, is that the Fed's technical adjustment would do nothing to ease the RRP volume:</p><p><blockquote>正如Skyrm警告的那样，问题在于美联储的技术调整无助于缓解建议零售额：</blockquote></p><p>   When market Repo rates were at 0% and the RRP rate was at zero, ~$500 billion went into the RRP. Well, if both market Repo rates and the RRP rate are 5 basis points higher, there's no reason to pull cash out of the RRP. For example, if GC rates moved to .05% and the RRP rate stayed at zero, investor preferences to invest at a higher rate would remove cash from the RRP.  Bottom line: with both market rates and RRP at .05%, there's really no economic incentive for cash investors to move cash to the Repo market. Or, as we summarized, \"<i>the Fed's rate change may have zero impact on the Fed's reverse repo facility, or the record half a trillion in cash parked there.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>当市场回购利率为0%且RRP利率为零时，约5000亿美元进入RRP。好吧，如果市场回购利率和RRP利率都高出5个基点，就没有理由从RRP中提取现金。例如，如果GC利率升至0.05%，而RRP利率保持在零，投资者以更高利率投资的偏好将从RRP中移除现金。底线：由于市场利率和建议零售价均为0.05%，现金投资者确实没有经济动机将现金转移到回购市场。或者，正如我们总结的那样，“<i>美联储的利率变化可能对美联储的逆回购工具或创纪录的5000亿现金产生零影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p> In retrospect, boy was that an understatement, because just one day later the already record usage of the Fed's Reverse Repo facility spiked by a record 50%, exploding to a staggering $756 billion (it closed Friday at $747 billion) as the GSEs.</p><p><blockquote>回想起来，这是一种轻描淡写的说法，因为仅仅一天后，美联储逆回购工具的使用量就飙升了创纪录的50%，随着GSE的出现，飙升至惊人的7560亿美元（周五收盘价为7470亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fba18d7808300abc3bdf4ffaa3d5fb6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\">Needless to say, flooding the Fed's RRP facility and sterilizing reserves is hardly what the Fed had intended, and as Credit Suisse's own repo guru (and former NY Fed staffer) Zoltan Pozsar wrote in his post-mortem, \"<b>the re-priced RRP facility will become a problem for the banking system fast:</b><b><u>the banking system is going from being asset constrained (deposits flooding in, but nowhere to lend them but to the Fed), to being liability constrained (deposits slipping away and nowhere to replace them but in the money market</u></b><b>).\"</b></p><p><blockquote>不用说，淹没美联储的建议零售价工具和冲销准备金几乎不是美联储的本意，正如瑞士信贷自己的回购专家（前纽约联储工作人员）Zoltan Pozsar在他的事后分析中所写的那样，“<b>重新定价的建议零售价融资将很快成为银行系统的一个问题：</b><b><u>银行体系正在从资产约束（存款大量涌入，但除了美联储之外无处可贷）转变为负债约束（存款不断流失，除了货币市场之外无处可替代）</u></b><b>).\"</b></blockquote></p><p> What he means by that is that whereas previously the RRP rate of 0.00% did not<i>reward</i>allocation of inert, excess reserves but merely provided a place to park them, now that the Fed is providing a generous yield pick up compared to rates offered by trillions in Bills, we are about to see a sea-change in the overnight, money-market, as trillions in capital reallocate away from traditional investments and into the the Fed's RRP.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，以前0.00%的RRP利率没有<i>奖励</i>分配惰性的超额准备金，但只是提供了一个存放它们的地方，现在美联储提供的收益率与数万亿票据提供的利率相比大幅上升，我们即将看到隔夜货币市场发生翻天覆地的变化，数万亿资本从传统投资重新分配到美联储的建议零售价。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, as Pozsar puts it, \"the RRP facility started to sterilize reserves... with more to come.\" And just as Deutsche Bank explained why the Fed's signaling was an r* policy error, to Pozsar, the Fed<i><b>also</b></i>made a policy error - only this time with its technical rates - by steriling reserves because \"it’s one thing to raise the rate on the RRP facility when an increase was not strictly speaking necessary, and it’s another to raise it “unduly” high – as one money fund manager put it, “<b>yesterday we could not even get a basis points a year; to get endless paper at five basis points from the most trusted counterparty is a dream come true.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>换句话说，正如Pozsar所说，“RRP设施开始对储备进行消毒……还会有更多储备。”而就在德意志银行向Pozsar解释为什么美联储的信号是一个r*政策错误时，美联储<i><b>也</b></i>犯了一个政策错误——只是这次是技术利率——冲销准备金，因为“当严格来说没有必要提高RRP设施的利率时，提高RRP设施的利率是一回事，而将其提高到‘过高’是另一回事——正如一位货币基金经理所说，”<b>昨天，我们一年甚至拿不到一个基点；以五个基点从最值得信赖的交易对手那里获得无尽的票据是梦想成真。”</b></blockquote></p><p> He's right: while 0bps may have been viewed by many as too low, it was hardly catastrophic for now (Credit Suisse was one of those predicting no administered rate hike),<b>5bps is too generous</b>, according to Pozsar who warns that the new reverse repo rate<b>will upset the state of \"singularity\"</b>and \"like heat-seeking missiles, money market investors move hundreds of billions, making sharp, 90º turns hunting for even a basis point of yield at the zero bound –<b>at 5 bps, money funds have an incentive to trade out of all their Treasury bills and park cash at the RRP facility.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>他是对的：虽然许多人可能认为0个基点太低，但目前这很难说是灾难性的（瑞士信贷是预测不会有管理加息的机构之一），<b>5bps太慷慨了</b>Pozsar警告说，新的逆回购利率<b>将颠覆“奇点”状态</b>“就像热寻的导弹一样，货币市场投资者转移了数千亿美元，急转弯90度，在零边界寻找哪怕一个基点的收益率——<b>在5个基点的利率下，货币基金有动力出售所有国库券并将现金存放在RRP设施中。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Indeed, as shown below, bills yield less than 5 bps out to 6 months,<b>and money funds have over $2 trillion of bills.</b>They got an the incentive to sell, while others have the incentive to buy: institutions whose deposits have been “tolerated” by banks until now earning zero interest have an incentive to harvest the 0-5 bps range the bill curve has to offer. Putting your cash at a basis point in bills is better than deposits at zero.<b>So the sterilization of reserves begins, and so the o/n RRP facility turns from a largely passive tool that provided an interest rate floor to the deposits that large banks have been pushing away, into an active tool that \"sucks\" the deposits away that banks decided to retain.</b></p><p><blockquote>事实上，如下图所示，6个月的票据收益率不到5个基点，<b>货币基金拥有超过2万亿美元的票据。</b>他们有卖出的动机，而其他人有买入的动机：那些存款一直被银行“容忍”到目前为止赚取零利息的机构有动力获得票据曲线提供的0-5个基点的范围。将现金以一个基点存入票据比零存款要好。<b>因此，准备金冲销开始了，因此o/n RRP工具从一个为大型银行一直在推走的存款提供利率下限的基本上被动的工具，变成了一个“吸走”银行决定保留的存款的主动工具。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf593f7b1d2d665f39384ed6a998d3bf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"403\">To help readers visualize what is going on, the Credit Suisse strategist suggest the following \"extreme\" thought experiment: most of the “Covid-19” deposits currently with banks go into the bill market where rates are better. Money funds sell bills to institutional investors that currently keep their cash at banks, and money funds swap bills for o/n RRPs. Said (somewhat) simply, while previously the Fed provided banks with a convenient place to park reserves, it now will actively drain reserves to the point where we may end up with another 2019-style repo crisis, as most financial institutions suddenly find themsleves with<i><b>too few</b></i>intraday reserves, forcing them to use the Fed's other funding facilities (such as FX swap lines) to remain consistently solvent.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助读者直观地了解正在发生的事情，瑞士信贷策略师建议进行以下“极端”的思想实验：目前银行的大部分“Covid-19”存款都进入了利率更好的票据市场。货币基金向目前将现金存放在银行的机构投资者出售票据，货币基金将票据交换为o/N RRP。（有点）简单地说，虽然美联储以前为银行提供了一个方便的存放准备金的地方，但现在它将积极耗尽准备金，以至于我们可能最终会陷入另一场2019年式的回购危机，因为大多数金融机构突然发现自己与<i><b>太少</b></i>日内储备，迫使它们使用美联储的其他融资工具（如外汇掉期额度）来保持持续的偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> This process is not overnight. It will take a few weeks to observe the fallout from the Fed's reserve sterilization.</p><p><blockquote>这个过程不是一蹴而就的。需要几周时间才能观察到美联储准备金冲销的影响。</blockquote></p><p> And here is why the problem is similar to the repo crisis of 2019: soon we will find that while cash-rich banks can handle the outflows,<b>some bond-heavy banks cannot.</b>As a result, Zoltan predicts that next \"we will notice that some banks (those who can<i><b>not</b></i>handle outflows) are borrowing advances from FHLBs, and cash-rich banks stop lending in the FX swap market as the RRP facility pulled reserves away from them and the Fed has to re-start the FX swap lines to offset.\"</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么这个问题与2019年的回购危机类似：很快我们就会发现，虽然现金充裕的银行可以应对资金外流，<b>一些债券密集型银行则不能。</b>因此，Zoltan预测，接下来“我们将注意到一些银行（那些能够<i><b>不</b></i>处理资金外流）正在从FHLB借入预付款，现金充裕的银行停止在外汇掉期市场放贷，因为RRP工具从它们那里抽走了准备金，美联储不得不重新启动外汇掉期额度来抵消。”</blockquote></p><p> Bottom line:<i><b>whereas previously we saw Libor-OIS collapse, this key funding spread will have to widen from here, unless the Fed lowers the o/n RRP rate again back to where it was before.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>底线：<i><b>尽管之前我们看到Libor-OIS崩溃，但这一关键资金利差将不得不从这里扩大，除非美联储再次将o/n RRP利率降低到以前的水平。</b></i></blockquote></p><p> Or, as Zoltan summarizes, \"It’s either quantities or prices\" - indeed,<b>in 2019 the Fed chose prices over quantities, which backfired, and led to the repo crisis which ended the Fed's hiking cycle and started \"NOT QE.\"</b>While the Fed redeemed itself in February, when it expanded the usage of the RRP without making it liability-constrained as it chose quantities over prices - which worked well - last Wednesday,<b>the Fed turned “unlimited” quantities into “money for free” and started to sterilize reserves.</b></p><p><blockquote>或者，正如Zoltan总结的那样，“要么是数量，要么是价格”——事实上，<b>2019年，美联储选择了价格而不是数量，这适得其反，并导致了回购危机，结束了美联储的加息周期，并开始了“非量化宽松”。</b>虽然美联储在2月份进行了自我救赎，但上周三，它在没有使其负债受到限制的情况下扩大了建议零售价的使用范围，因为它选择了数量而不是价格——这一点效果很好——<b>美联储将“无限”的数量变成了“免费的钱”，并开始冲销储备。</b></blockquote></p><p> Bottom line: \"we are witnessing the dealer of last resort (DoLR) learning the art of dealing, making unforced errors – if the Fed sterilizes with an overpriced o/n RRP facility, it has to be ready to add liquidity via the swap lines…\"</p><p><blockquote>底线：“我们正在目睹最后手段交易商（DoLR）学习交易艺术，犯非受迫性错误——如果美联储通过定价过高的o/n RRP工具进行冲销，它必须准备好通过掉期增加流动性线……”</blockquote></p><p> Translation:&nbsp;<b>by paying trillions in reserves 5bps, the Fed just planted the seeds of the next liquidity crisis.</b></p><p><blockquote>翻译：<b>通过支付数万亿美元的准备金5个基点，美联储刚刚播下了下一场流动性危机的种子。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/powell-just-launched-2-trillion-heat-seeking-missiles-zoltan-explains-how-fed-started-next\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/powell-just-launched-2-trillion-heat-seeking-missiles-zoltan-explains-how-fed-started-next","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146982088","content_text":"Last week, amid thefire and brimstone surroundingthe market's shocked response to the Fed's unexpected hawkish pivot, we noted that there were two tangible, if less noted changes: the Fed adjusted the two key \"administered\" rates, raising both the IOER and RRP rates by 5 basis points (as correctly predicted by Bank of America, JPMorgan, Wrightson, Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo while Citi, Oxford Economics, Jefferies, Credit Suisse, Standard Chartered, BMO were wrong in predicting no rate change), in an effort to push the Effective Fed Funds rate higher and away from its imminent rendezvous with 0%.\nWhat does this mean? As Curvature Securities repo guru,Scott Skyrm wrote last week, \"clearly the Fed intends to move overnight rates above zero and drain the RRP  facility of cash.\" Unfortunately, the end result would be precisely the opposite of what the Fed had wanted to achieve.\nBut what does this really mean for overnight rates and RRP volume? As Skyrm further noted, the increase in the IOER should pull the daily fed funds rate 5 basis points higher and, in turn, put upward pressure on Repo GC. Combined with the 5 basis point increase in RRP, GC should move a solid 5 basis points higher, which it has.\nThe problem, as Skyrm warned, is that the Fed's technical adjustment would do nothing to ease the RRP volume:\n\n When market Repo rates were at 0% and the RRP rate was at zero, ~$500 billion went into the RRP. Well, if both market Repo rates and the RRP rate are 5 basis points higher, there's no reason to pull cash out of the RRP. For example, if GC rates moved to .05% and the RRP rate stayed at zero, investor preferences to invest at a higher rate would remove cash from the RRP.\n\nBottom line: with both market rates and RRP at .05%, there's really no economic incentive for cash investors to move cash to the Repo market. Or, as we summarized, \"the Fed's rate change may have zero impact on the Fed's reverse repo facility, or the record half a trillion in cash parked there.\"\nIn retrospect, boy was that an understatement, because just one day later the already record usage of the Fed's Reverse Repo facility spiked by a record 50%, exploding to a staggering $756 billion (it closed Friday at $747 billion) as the GSEs.\nNeedless to say, flooding the Fed's RRP facility and sterilizing reserves is hardly what the Fed had intended, and as Credit Suisse's own repo guru (and former NY Fed staffer) Zoltan Pozsar wrote in his post-mortem, \"the re-priced RRP facility will become a problem for the banking system fast:the banking system is going from being asset constrained (deposits flooding in, but nowhere to lend them but to the Fed), to being liability constrained (deposits slipping away and nowhere to replace them but in the money market).\"\nWhat he means by that is that whereas previously the RRP rate of 0.00% did notrewardallocation of inert, excess reserves but merely provided a place to park them, now that the Fed is providing a generous yield pick up compared to rates offered by trillions in Bills, we are about to see a sea-change in the overnight, money-market, as trillions in capital reallocate away from traditional investments and into the the Fed's RRP.\nIn other words, as Pozsar puts it, \"the RRP facility started to sterilize reserves... with more to come.\" And just as Deutsche Bank explained why the Fed's signaling was an r* policy error, to Pozsar, the Fedalsomade a policy error - only this time with its technical rates - by steriling reserves because \"it’s one thing to raise the rate on the RRP facility when an increase was not strictly speaking necessary, and it’s another to raise it “unduly” high – as one money fund manager put it, “yesterday we could not even get a basis points a year; to get endless paper at five basis points from the most trusted counterparty is a dream come true.\"\nHe's right: while 0bps may have been viewed by many as too low, it was hardly catastrophic for now (Credit Suisse was one of those predicting no administered rate hike),5bps is too generous, according to Pozsar who warns that the new reverse repo ratewill upset the state of \"singularity\"and \"like heat-seeking missiles, money market investors move hundreds of billions, making sharp, 90º turns hunting for even a basis point of yield at the zero bound –at 5 bps, money funds have an incentive to trade out of all their Treasury bills and park cash at the RRP facility.\"\nIndeed, as shown below, bills yield less than 5 bps out to 6 months,and money funds have over $2 trillion of bills.They got an the incentive to sell, while others have the incentive to buy: institutions whose deposits have been “tolerated” by banks until now earning zero interest have an incentive to harvest the 0-5 bps range the bill curve has to offer. Putting your cash at a basis point in bills is better than deposits at zero.So the sterilization of reserves begins, and so the o/n RRP facility turns from a largely passive tool that provided an interest rate floor to the deposits that large banks have been pushing away, into an active tool that \"sucks\" the deposits away that banks decided to retain.\nTo help readers visualize what is going on, the Credit Suisse strategist suggest the following \"extreme\" thought experiment: most of the “Covid-19” deposits currently with banks go into the bill market where rates are better. Money funds sell bills to institutional investors that currently keep their cash at banks, and money funds swap bills for o/n RRPs. Said (somewhat) simply, while previously the Fed provided banks with a convenient place to park reserves, it now will actively drain reserves to the point where we may end up with another 2019-style repo crisis, as most financial institutions suddenly find themsleves withtoo fewintraday reserves, forcing them to use the Fed's other funding facilities (such as FX swap lines) to remain consistently solvent.\nThis process is not overnight. It will take a few weeks to observe the fallout from the Fed's reserve sterilization.\nAnd here is why the problem is similar to the repo crisis of 2019: soon we will find that while cash-rich banks can handle the outflows,some bond-heavy banks cannot.As a result, Zoltan predicts that next \"we will notice that some banks (those who cannothandle outflows) are borrowing advances from FHLBs, and cash-rich banks stop lending in the FX swap market as the RRP facility pulled reserves away from them and the Fed has to re-start the FX swap lines to offset.\"\nBottom line:whereas previously we saw Libor-OIS collapse, this key funding spread will have to widen from here, unless the Fed lowers the o/n RRP rate again back to where it was before.\nOr, as Zoltan summarizes, \"It’s either quantities or prices\" - indeed,in 2019 the Fed chose prices over quantities, which backfired, and led to the repo crisis which ended the Fed's hiking cycle and started \"NOT QE.\"While the Fed redeemed itself in February, when it expanded the usage of the RRP without making it liability-constrained as it chose quantities over prices - which worked well - last Wednesday,the Fed turned “unlimited” quantities into “money for free” and started to sterilize reserves.\nBottom line: \"we are witnessing the dealer of last resort (DoLR) learning the art of dealing, making unforced errors – if the Fed sterilizes with an overpriced o/n RRP facility, it has to be ready to add liquidity via the swap lines…\"\nTranslation: by paying trillions in reserves 5bps, the Fed just planted the seeds of the next liquidity crisis.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161410301,"gmtCreate":1623937913503,"gmtModify":1631886584422,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>buy and dont sell tonight","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$</a>buy and dont sell tonight","text":"$Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$buy and dont sell tonight","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161410301","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187168719,"gmtCreate":1623747084531,"gmtModify":1631888868473,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187168719","repostId":"1114926830","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2452,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191073149,"gmtCreate":1620830531581,"gmtModify":1631888868484,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>back to $10","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>back to $10","text":"$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$back to $10","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191073149","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191048714,"gmtCreate":1620829993638,"gmtModify":1631888868494,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>back to $10","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>back to $10","text":"$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$back to $10","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191048714","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":383,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104223054,"gmtCreate":1620394785778,"gmtModify":1631888868506,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Bad news = stonks?","listText":"Bad news = stonks?","text":"Bad news = stonks?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104223054","repostId":"2133500379","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370810558,"gmtCreate":1618571153974,"gmtModify":1631886635818,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>can it go to 0?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>can it go to 0?","text":"$SOS Limited(SOS)$can it go to 0?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370810558","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1050,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347126541,"gmtCreate":1618476811783,"gmtModify":1631888868519,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Always up then down","listText":"Always up then down","text":"Always up then down","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/347126541","repostId":"1130631284","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":490,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":344668783,"gmtCreate":1618407077342,"gmtModify":1631888693080,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"First","listText":"First","text":"First","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344668783","repostId":"2127220910","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346914900,"gmtCreate":1617979740100,"gmtModify":1631888868527,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[喷血]&nbsp;","listText":"[喷血]&nbsp;","text":"[喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346914900","repostId":"1133841778","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133841778","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1617977105,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133841778?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-09 22:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV Stocks underperformed<blockquote>电动汽车股票表现不佳</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133841778","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"EV Stocks underperformed&nbsp;in Friday morning trading.Nio and Li Auto were down about 4%,Xpeng Motors was down 2%,Tesla was down 1%.","content":"<p>EV Stocks underperformed&nbsp;in Friday morning trading.Nio and Li Auto were down about 4%,Xpeng Motors was down 2%,Tesla was down 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股在周五早盘交易中表现不佳。蔚来和理想汽车下跌约4%，小鹏汽车下跌2%，特斯拉下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b61fa5fb6129f3dc72addb8c9abf0ea\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"240\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV Stocks underperformed<blockquote>电动汽车股票表现不佳</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV Stocks underperformed<blockquote>电动汽车股票表现不佳</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-09 22:05</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>EV Stocks underperformed&nbsp;in Friday morning trading.Nio and Li Auto were down about 4%,Xpeng Motors was down 2%,Tesla was down 1%.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股在周五早盘交易中表现不佳。蔚来和理想汽车下跌约4%，小鹏汽车下跌2%，特斯拉下跌1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b61fa5fb6129f3dc72addb8c9abf0ea\" tg-width=\"422\" tg-height=\"240\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","NIO":"蔚来","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133841778","content_text":"EV Stocks underperformed in Friday morning trading.Nio and Li Auto were down about 4%,Xpeng Motors was down 2%,Tesla was down 1%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XPEV":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"LI":0.9,"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":961,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":346912276,"gmtCreate":1617979601895,"gmtModify":1631886639141,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>the short squeeze is really short","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>the short squeeze is really short","text":"$SOS Limited(SOS)$the short squeeze is really short","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346912276","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":343258615,"gmtCreate":1617720289137,"gmtModify":1631888868538,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>what happened?&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>what happened?&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$what happened? [财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343258615","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1003,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":357233648,"gmtCreate":1617275486284,"gmtModify":1631888868556,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good first quarter??seriously?","listText":"Good first quarter??seriously?","text":"Good first quarter??seriously?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/357233648","repostId":"1127042118","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127042118","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617263854,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127042118?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-01 15:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks Had a Good First Quarter. Significant Gains Are Less Likely Now<blockquote>股市第一季度表现良好。现在大幅上涨的可能性较小</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127042118","media":"Barron's","summary":"Stocks posted a strong first quarter, but the pace of gains is likely to slow down. While investors ","content":"<p>Stocks posted a strong first quarter, but the pace of gains is likely to slow down. While investors shouldn’t necessarily bail out, they should become more selective.</p><p><blockquote>股市第一季度表现强劲，但上涨步伐可能会放缓。虽然投资者不一定应该纾困，但他们应该变得更加有选择性。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 rallied 5.8% for the first three months of the year. Tailwinds were plentiful: Vaccinations for Covid-19 speeded up, while trillions of dollars of government spending shored up demand.</p><p><blockquote>今年前三个月，标普500上涨5.8%。有利因素很多：Covid-19疫苗接种速度加快，而数万亿美元的政府支出支撑了需求。</blockquote></p><p> The economy is quickly bouncing back from the damage that lockdowns dealt it in 2020. Figures released Wednesday by ADP show the U.S. added 517,000 private-sector jobs in March, the highest total since September. Retail sales were 5% higher in January than in December.</p><p><blockquote>经济正在从2020年封锁造成的损害中迅速反弹。ADP周三公布的数据显示，美国3月份私营部门新增就业岗位517,000个，为9月份以来的最高总数。1月份零售额比12月份高出5%。</blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound explains the Russell 2000’s 13% run to start the year. Smaller-capitalization companies, such as those in the Russell index, often experience much larger swings in earnings than big companies.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹解释了罗素2000指数今年年初上涨13%的原因。小市值公司（例如罗素指数中的公司）的盈利波动往往比大公司大得多。</blockquote></p><p> Because they are smaller, they find it harder to cut costs when times are tough, so their earnings fall harder when the economy sours. The flip side is that profits take off when conditions improve. Plus, their relatively limited access to capital makes it harder for them to weather downturns, so their stocks can plunge and surge as the economy changes.</p><p><blockquote>由于他们规模较小，他们发现在困难时期更难削减成本，因此当经济恶化时，他们的收入下降得更严重。另一方面，当情况改善时，利润会增加。此外，他们获得资本的机会相对有限，这使得他们更难度过经济低迷时期，因此他们的股票可能会随着经济变化而暴跌和飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Cyclical stocks both small and large, ranging from banks to oil producers to sellers of discretionary consumer goods, have been outperformers this year for a similar reason. They see an outsize benefit when the economy reheats, compared with utilities or companies in consumer staples.</p><p><blockquote>出于类似的原因，从银行到石油生产商再到非必需消费品销售商，无论大小周期性股票今年的表现都优于大盘。与公用事业或消费必需品公司相比，他们看到了经济回暖时的巨大好处。</blockquote></p><p> Where the market goes now is less clear. “We’re at a crossroads,” said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade. “Everyone’s trying to figure out what’s next. Part of it is a wait and see.”</p><p><blockquote>现在市场的走向还不太清楚。德美利证券首席市场策略师JJ Kinahan表示：“我们正处于十字路口。”“每个人都在试图弄清楚接下来会发生什么。其中一部分是观望。”</blockquote></p><p> Stocks lack substantial fuel for gains. Companies have finished reporting their fourth-quarter earnings, expectations about vaccines can’t get much better, and government spending to prop up the economy is poised to decline, at least on an annual basis. The $2 trillion of infrastructure spending that the Biden administration has proposed would span eight years, equating to $250 billion a year.</p><p><blockquote>股市缺乏大量上涨动力。公司已经完成了第四季度的收益报告，对疫苗的预期不会好到哪里去，政府支撑经济的支出也将下降，至少按年计算是这样。拜登政府提出的2万亿美元基础设施支出将跨越八年，相当于每年2500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> And while the economic news is likely to keep improving, the rebound has likely peaked. The economy will likely see “slowing rates of change in personal income, purchasing managers indexes and GDP,” wrote Mike Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, in a note.</p><p><blockquote>尽管经济消息可能会继续改善，但反弹可能已经见顶。摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师迈克·威尔逊在一份报告中写道，经济可能会“个人收入、采购经理人指数和GDP的变化速度放缓”。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, stocks already reflect much of the positive news, in that valuations are high. The average stock in the S&amp;P 500 trades at 22 times the per-share earnings expected for the coming year, while some strategists on Wall Street assume a multiple of 20 times in making their forecasts for the index.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，股市已经反映了大部分积极消息，因为估值很高。标普500股票的平均市盈率是来年预期每股收益的22倍，而华尔街的一些策略师在对该指数做出预测时假设的市盈率是20倍。</blockquote></p><p> It would be no surprise if valuations head back toward 20 times, which would mean few gains for stocks unless earnings rise more than expected. That is especially true because yields on safe government debt are rising, making bonds more appealing as an alternative.</p><p><blockquote>如果估值回到20倍也就不足为奇了，这意味着除非盈利增长超过预期，否则股市几乎不会上涨。尤其如此，因为安全政府债务的收益率正在上升，使得债券作为替代方案更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on 10-year Treasury debt has climbed from 0.91% as of the start of the year to 1.72% on Wednesday. It is expected to approach 2% this year.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率已从年初的0.91%攀升至周三的1.72%。预计今年将接近2%。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings are expected to keep growing at a strong clip through 2022, but the downward pressure on valuations leaves many fund managers expecting an essentially flat move on the S&amp;P for the year, according to a survey from Citigroup strategists.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团策略师的一项调查显示，预计到2022年，盈利将继续强劲增长，但估值下行压力使许多基金经理预计今年标准普尔指数走势基本持平。</blockquote></p><p> Still, earnings reports to be released later in the year could contain positive surprises. Data from a recent Credit Suisse note show that revenue growth often beats increases in gross domestic product by about twofold. The consensus expectation is that GDP will increase by about 7% this year, so revenue would grow around 14%, not the 9% that FactSet data shows Wall Street has penciled in.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，今年晚些时候发布的收益报告可能会包含积极的惊喜。瑞士信贷最近一份报告的数据显示，收入增长往往是国内生产总值增长的两倍左右。市场普遍预期今年GDP将增长7%左右，因此收入将增长14%左右，而不是FactSet数据显示华尔街预测的9%。</blockquote></p><p> Higher revenue growth implies higher earnings growth, and continued gains for stocks. A counterargument is that so-called breadth in upward revisions to earnings forecasts—the extent to which calls are rising for the profits of companies across the various sectors in the S&amp;P 500—may have peaked.</p><p><blockquote>更高的收入增长意味着更高的盈利增长，以及股票的持续上涨。一种反驳观点是，所谓的盈利预测上调幅度——即评级对标普500各行业公司利润的影响程度——可能已经见顶。</blockquote></p><p> A chart in a research report published by Wilson, the Morgan Stanley strategist, shows that breadth recently hit a level last seen in 2018 and 2010. In both instances, breadth quickly fell precipitously, with forecast earnings for more companies revised lower. Investors may be pleasantly surprised to see earnings estimates rise from here, but some data indicate they shouldn’t count on that.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利策略师威尔逊发布的一份研究报告中的图表显示，广度最近达到了2018年和2010年的水平。在这两种情况下，广度都迅速急剧下降，更多公司的盈利预测被下调。投资者可能会惊喜地看到盈利预期从这里上升，但一些数据表明他们不应该指望这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Fortunately, small-cap value stocks have stronger near-term earnings growth and are trading at more tolerable valuations. They may keep outperforming large-caps regardless of whether forecasts for earnings rise or fall.</p><p><blockquote>幸运的是，小盘价值股的近期盈利增长更强劲，估值也更可容忍。无论盈利预测是上升还是下降，它们的表现都可能继续优于大盘股。</blockquote></p><p> Now is the time to be picky.</p><p><blockquote>现在是挑剔的时候了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Had a Good First Quarter. Significant Gains Are Less Likely Now<blockquote>股市第一季度表现良好。现在大幅上涨的可能性较小</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Had a Good First Quarter. Significant Gains Are Less Likely Now<blockquote>股市第一季度表现良好。现在大幅上涨的可能性较小</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-01 15:57</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks posted a strong first quarter, but the pace of gains is likely to slow down. While investors shouldn’t necessarily bail out, they should become more selective.</p><p><blockquote>股市第一季度表现强劲，但上涨步伐可能会放缓。虽然投资者不一定应该纾困，但他们应该变得更加有选择性。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 rallied 5.8% for the first three months of the year. Tailwinds were plentiful: Vaccinations for Covid-19 speeded up, while trillions of dollars of government spending shored up demand.</p><p><blockquote>今年前三个月，标普500上涨5.8%。有利因素很多：Covid-19疫苗接种速度加快，而数万亿美元的政府支出支撑了需求。</blockquote></p><p> The economy is quickly bouncing back from the damage that lockdowns dealt it in 2020. Figures released Wednesday by ADP show the U.S. added 517,000 private-sector jobs in March, the highest total since September. Retail sales were 5% higher in January than in December.</p><p><blockquote>经济正在从2020年封锁造成的损害中迅速反弹。ADP周三公布的数据显示，美国3月份私营部门新增就业岗位517,000个，为9月份以来的最高总数。1月份零售额比12月份高出5%。</blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound explains the Russell 2000’s 13% run to start the year. Smaller-capitalization companies, such as those in the Russell index, often experience much larger swings in earnings than big companies.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹解释了罗素2000指数今年年初上涨13%的原因。小市值公司（例如罗素指数中的公司）的盈利波动往往比大公司大得多。</blockquote></p><p> Because they are smaller, they find it harder to cut costs when times are tough, so their earnings fall harder when the economy sours. The flip side is that profits take off when conditions improve. Plus, their relatively limited access to capital makes it harder for them to weather downturns, so their stocks can plunge and surge as the economy changes.</p><p><blockquote>由于他们规模较小，他们发现在困难时期更难削减成本，因此当经济恶化时，他们的收入下降得更严重。另一方面，当情况改善时，利润会增加。此外，他们获得资本的机会相对有限，这使得他们更难度过经济低迷时期，因此他们的股票可能会随着经济变化而暴跌和飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Cyclical stocks both small and large, ranging from banks to oil producers to sellers of discretionary consumer goods, have been outperformers this year for a similar reason. They see an outsize benefit when the economy reheats, compared with utilities or companies in consumer staples.</p><p><blockquote>出于类似的原因，从银行到石油生产商再到非必需消费品销售商，无论大小周期性股票今年的表现都优于大盘。与公用事业或消费必需品公司相比，他们看到了经济回暖时的巨大好处。</blockquote></p><p> Where the market goes now is less clear. “We’re at a crossroads,” said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade. “Everyone’s trying to figure out what’s next. Part of it is a wait and see.”</p><p><blockquote>现在市场的走向还不太清楚。德美利证券首席市场策略师JJ Kinahan表示：“我们正处于十字路口。”“每个人都在试图弄清楚接下来会发生什么。其中一部分是观望。”</blockquote></p><p> Stocks lack substantial fuel for gains. Companies have finished reporting their fourth-quarter earnings, expectations about vaccines can’t get much better, and government spending to prop up the economy is poised to decline, at least on an annual basis. The $2 trillion of infrastructure spending that the Biden administration has proposed would span eight years, equating to $250 billion a year.</p><p><blockquote>股市缺乏大量上涨动力。公司已经完成了第四季度的收益报告，对疫苗的预期不会好到哪里去，政府支撑经济的支出也将下降，至少按年计算是这样。拜登政府提出的2万亿美元基础设施支出将跨越八年，相当于每年2500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> And while the economic news is likely to keep improving, the rebound has likely peaked. The economy will likely see “slowing rates of change in personal income, purchasing managers indexes and GDP,” wrote Mike Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, in a note.</p><p><blockquote>尽管经济消息可能会继续改善，但反弹可能已经见顶。摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师迈克·威尔逊在一份报告中写道，经济可能会“个人收入、采购经理人指数和GDP的变化速度放缓”。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, stocks already reflect much of the positive news, in that valuations are high. The average stock in the S&amp;P 500 trades at 22 times the per-share earnings expected for the coming year, while some strategists on Wall Street assume a multiple of 20 times in making their forecasts for the index.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，股市已经反映了大部分积极消息，因为估值很高。标普500股票的平均市盈率是来年预期每股收益的22倍，而华尔街的一些策略师在对该指数做出预测时假设的市盈率是20倍。</blockquote></p><p> It would be no surprise if valuations head back toward 20 times, which would mean few gains for stocks unless earnings rise more than expected. That is especially true because yields on safe government debt are rising, making bonds more appealing as an alternative.</p><p><blockquote>如果估值回到20倍也就不足为奇了，这意味着除非盈利增长超过预期，否则股市几乎不会上涨。尤其如此，因为安全政府债务的收益率正在上升，使得债券作为替代方案更具吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> The yield on 10-year Treasury debt has climbed from 0.91% as of the start of the year to 1.72% on Wednesday. It is expected to approach 2% this year.</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率已从年初的0.91%攀升至周三的1.72%。预计今年将接近2%。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings are expected to keep growing at a strong clip through 2022, but the downward pressure on valuations leaves many fund managers expecting an essentially flat move on the S&amp;P for the year, according to a survey from Citigroup strategists.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团策略师的一项调查显示，预计到2022年，盈利将继续强劲增长，但估值下行压力使许多基金经理预计今年标准普尔指数走势基本持平。</blockquote></p><p> Still, earnings reports to be released later in the year could contain positive surprises. Data from a recent Credit Suisse note show that revenue growth often beats increases in gross domestic product by about twofold. The consensus expectation is that GDP will increase by about 7% this year, so revenue would grow around 14%, not the 9% that FactSet data shows Wall Street has penciled in.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，今年晚些时候发布的收益报告可能会包含积极的惊喜。瑞士信贷最近一份报告的数据显示，收入增长往往是国内生产总值增长的两倍左右。市场普遍预期今年GDP将增长7%左右，因此收入将增长14%左右，而不是FactSet数据显示华尔街预测的9%。</blockquote></p><p> Higher revenue growth implies higher earnings growth, and continued gains for stocks. A counterargument is that so-called breadth in upward revisions to earnings forecasts—the extent to which calls are rising for the profits of companies across the various sectors in the S&amp;P 500—may have peaked.</p><p><blockquote>更高的收入增长意味着更高的盈利增长，以及股票的持续上涨。一种反驳观点是，所谓的盈利预测上调幅度——即评级对标普500各行业公司利润的影响程度——可能已经见顶。</blockquote></p><p> A chart in a research report published by Wilson, the Morgan Stanley strategist, shows that breadth recently hit a level last seen in 2018 and 2010. In both instances, breadth quickly fell precipitously, with forecast earnings for more companies revised lower. Investors may be pleasantly surprised to see earnings estimates rise from here, but some data indicate they shouldn’t count on that.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利策略师威尔逊发布的一份研究报告中的图表显示，广度最近达到了2018年和2010年的水平。在这两种情况下，广度都迅速急剧下降，更多公司的盈利预测被下调。投资者可能会惊喜地看到盈利预期从这里上升，但一些数据表明他们不应该指望这一点。</blockquote></p><p> Fortunately, small-cap value stocks have stronger near-term earnings growth and are trading at more tolerable valuations. They may keep outperforming large-caps regardless of whether forecasts for earnings rise or fall.</p><p><blockquote>幸运的是，小盘价值股的近期盈利增长更强劲，估值也更可容忍。无论盈利预测是上升还是下降，它们的表现都可能继续优于大盘股。</blockquote></p><p> Now is the time to be picky.</p><p><blockquote>现在是挑剔的时候了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-had-a-good-quarter-significant-gains-are-less-likely-now-51617219322?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-had-a-good-quarter-significant-gains-are-less-likely-now-51617219322?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127042118","content_text":"Stocks posted a strong first quarter, but the pace of gains is likely to slow down. While investors shouldn’t necessarily bail out, they should become more selective.\nThe S&P 500 rallied 5.8% for the first three months of the year. Tailwinds were plentiful: Vaccinations for Covid-19 speeded up, while trillions of dollars of government spending shored up demand.\nThe economy is quickly bouncing back from the damage that lockdowns dealt it in 2020. Figures released Wednesday by ADP show the U.S. added 517,000 private-sector jobs in March, the highest total since September. Retail sales were 5% higher in January than in December.\nThe economic rebound explains the Russell 2000’s 13% run to start the year. Smaller-capitalization companies, such as those in the Russell index, often experience much larger swings in earnings than big companies.\nBecause they are smaller, they find it harder to cut costs when times are tough, so their earnings fall harder when the economy sours. The flip side is that profits take off when conditions improve. Plus, their relatively limited access to capital makes it harder for them to weather downturns, so their stocks can plunge and surge as the economy changes.\nCyclical stocks both small and large, ranging from banks to oil producers to sellers of discretionary consumer goods, have been outperformers this year for a similar reason. They see an outsize benefit when the economy reheats, compared with utilities or companies in consumer staples.\nWhere the market goes now is less clear. “We’re at a crossroads,” said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade. “Everyone’s trying to figure out what’s next. Part of it is a wait and see.”\nStocks lack substantial fuel for gains. Companies have finished reporting their fourth-quarter earnings, expectations about vaccines can’t get much better, and government spending to prop up the economy is poised to decline, at least on an annual basis. The $2 trillion of infrastructure spending that the Biden administration has proposed would span eight years, equating to $250 billion a year.\nAnd while the economic news is likely to keep improving, the rebound has likely peaked. The economy will likely see “slowing rates of change in personal income, purchasing managers indexes and GDP,” wrote Mike Wilson, chief U.S. equity strategist at Morgan Stanley, in a note.\nMeanwhile, stocks already reflect much of the positive news, in that valuations are high. The average stock in the S&P 500 trades at 22 times the per-share earnings expected for the coming year, while some strategists on Wall Street assume a multiple of 20 times in making their forecasts for the index.\nIt would be no surprise if valuations head back toward 20 times, which would mean few gains for stocks unless earnings rise more than expected. That is especially true because yields on safe government debt are rising, making bonds more appealing as an alternative.\nThe yield on 10-year Treasury debt has climbed from 0.91% as of the start of the year to 1.72% on Wednesday. It is expected to approach 2% this year.\nEarnings are expected to keep growing at a strong clip through 2022, but the downward pressure on valuations leaves many fund managers expecting an essentially flat move on the S&P for the year, according to a survey from Citigroup strategists.\nStill, earnings reports to be released later in the year could contain positive surprises. Data from a recent Credit Suisse note show that revenue growth often beats increases in gross domestic product by about twofold. The consensus expectation is that GDP will increase by about 7% this year, so revenue would grow around 14%, not the 9% that FactSet data shows Wall Street has penciled in.\nHigher revenue growth implies higher earnings growth, and continued gains for stocks. A counterargument is that so-called breadth in upward revisions to earnings forecasts—the extent to which calls are rising for the profits of companies across the various sectors in the S&P 500—may have peaked.\nA chart in a research report published by Wilson, the Morgan Stanley strategist, shows that breadth recently hit a level last seen in 2018 and 2010. In both instances, breadth quickly fell precipitously, with forecast earnings for more companies revised lower. Investors may be pleasantly surprised to see earnings estimates rise from here, but some data indicate they shouldn’t count on that.\nFortunately, small-cap value stocks have stronger near-term earnings growth and are trading at more tolerable valuations. They may keep outperforming large-caps regardless of whether forecasts for earnings rise or fall.\nNow is the time to be picky.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":472,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":354285862,"gmtCreate":1617178875356,"gmtModify":1631884126983,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GEVO\">$Gevo(GEVO)$</a>market cap $1.6 billion$530mil in cash. Net 0 project cost $700-800millionsSecured revenue of $1.5 billionPotential upside with Biden pushing for green energy","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GEVO\">$Gevo(GEVO)$</a>market cap $1.6 billion$530mil in cash. Net 0 project cost $700-800millionsSecured revenue of $1.5 billionPotential upside with Biden pushing for green energy","text":"$Gevo(GEVO)$market cap $1.6 billion$530mil in cash. Net 0 project cost $700-800millionsSecured revenue of $1.5 billionPotential upside with Biden pushing for green energy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354285862","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":354285862,"gmtCreate":1617178875356,"gmtModify":1631884126983,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GEVO\">$Gevo(GEVO)$</a>market cap $1.6 billion$530mil in cash. Net 0 project cost $700-800millionsSecured revenue of $1.5 billionPotential upside with Biden pushing for green energy","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GEVO\">$Gevo(GEVO)$</a>market cap $1.6 billion$530mil in cash. Net 0 project cost $700-800millionsSecured revenue of $1.5 billionPotential upside with Biden pushing for green energy","text":"$Gevo(GEVO)$market cap $1.6 billion$530mil in cash. Net 0 project cost $700-800millionsSecured revenue of $1.5 billionPotential upside with Biden pushing for green energy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354285862","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358376372,"gmtCreate":1616668153496,"gmtModify":1631892265736,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>buy, buy, buy&nbsp;Nio is stronger than last year fundamentally at&nbsp;a discount","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>buy, buy, buy&nbsp;Nio is stronger than last year fundamentally at&nbsp;a discount","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$buy, buy, buy Nio is stronger than last year fundamentally at a discount","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358376372","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1536,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":336327885,"gmtCreate":1610030823947,"gmtModify":1703742178799,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Patent(MARA)$</a>expected gross profit $500million next year. Market cap $1.2 billion. A steal?&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Patent(MARA)$</a>expected gross profit $500million next year. Market cap $1.2 billion. A steal?&nbsp;","text":"$Marathon Patent(MARA)$expected gross profit $500million next year. Market cap $1.2 billion. A steal?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336327885","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1016,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3527667803686145","idStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题，可以获得更多曝光哦～如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":389433242,"gmtCreate":1612794298686,"gmtModify":1703765113562,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Patent(MARA)$</a>apple maybe buying bitcoin next -cnbc","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">$Marathon Patent(MARA)$</a>apple maybe buying bitcoin next -cnbc","text":"$Marathon Patent(MARA)$apple maybe buying bitcoin next -cnbc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/389433242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":688,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370810558,"gmtCreate":1618571153974,"gmtModify":1631886635818,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>can it go to 0?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOS\">$SOS Limited(SOS)$</a>can it go to 0?","text":"$SOS Limited(SOS)$can it go to 0?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370810558","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1050,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191073149,"gmtCreate":1620830531581,"gmtModify":1631888868484,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>back to $10","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$</a>back to $10","text":"$Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$back to $10","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/191073149","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3880,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":356926418,"gmtCreate":1616750152134,"gmtModify":1631892265704,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>net income $10 million. With PE of 120 tiger should have market cap of 4+ billionNow at 2+ billion only","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>net income $10 million. With PE of 120 tiger should have market cap of 4+ billionNow at 2+ billion only","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$net income $10 million. With PE of 120 tiger should have market cap of 4+ billionNow at 2+ billion only","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356926418","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":947,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":319622782,"gmtCreate":1611581187746,"gmtModify":1703751150156,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>trading invest strategy, buy now aim $80-100 end of year. Add more if dip to $50-55 in between.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO Inc.(NIO)$</a>trading invest strategy, buy now aim $80-100 end of year. Add more if dip to $50-55 in between.&nbsp;","text":"$NIO Inc.(NIO)$trading invest strategy, buy now aim $80-100 end of year. Add more if dip to $50-55 in between.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319622782","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167270394,"gmtCreate":1624273950718,"gmtModify":1631888868465,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"So buy stocks or sell? Complicated article...","listText":"So buy stocks or sell? Complicated article...","text":"So buy stocks or sell? Complicated article...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167270394","repostId":"1146982088","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146982088","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624259620,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146982088?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 15:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell Just Launched $2 Trillion In \"Heat-Seeking Missiles\": Zoltan Explains How The Fed Started The Next Repo Crisis<blockquote>鲍威尔刚刚发射了2万亿美元的“热寻导弹”：Zoltan解释美联储如何开启下一次回购危机</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146982088","media":"zerohedge","summary":"Last week, amid thefire and brimstone surroundingthe market's shocked response to the Fed's unexpect","content":"<p>Last week, amid thefire and brimstone surroundingthe market's shocked response to the Fed's unexpected hawkish pivot, we noted that there were two tangible, if less noted changes: the Fed adjusted the two key \"administered\" rates, raising both the IOER and RRP rates by 5 basis points (as correctly predicted by Bank of America, JPMorgan, Wrightson, Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo while Citi, Oxford Economics, Jefferies, Credit Suisse, Standard Chartered, BMO were wrong in predicting no rate change), in an effort to push the Effective Fed Funds rate higher and away from its imminent rendezvous with 0%.</p><p><blockquote>上周，在市场对美联储意外鹰派转向的震惊反应中，我们注意到有两个切实但不太引人注目的变化：美联储调整了两个关键的“管理”利率，将IOER和RRP利率都提高了5个基点（正如美国银行、摩根大通、莱特森、德意志银行和富国银行正确预测的那样，而花旗、牛津经济研究院、杰富瑞、瑞士信贷、渣打银行、蒙特利尔银行错误地预测利率不会变化），以推动有效联邦基金利率走高，远离即将到来的0%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31e3c93e7ae558cd9f2fdb7e4a2769f1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"377\">What does this mean? As Curvature Securities repo guru,Scott Skyrm wrote last week, \"clearly the Fed intends to move overnight rates above zero and drain the RRP&nbsp; facility of cash.\" Unfortunately, the end result would be precisely the opposite of what the Fed had wanted to achieve.</p><p><blockquote>这是什么意思？正如Curvature Securities回购专家Scott Skyrm上周写道，“显然，美联储打算将隔夜利率提高到零以上，并耗尽RRP工具的现金。”不幸的是，最终结果将与美联储想要达到的目标完全相反。</blockquote></p><p> But what does this really mean for overnight rates and RRP volume? As Skyrm further noted, the increase in the IOER should pull the daily fed funds rate 5 basis points higher and, in turn, put upward pressure on Repo GC. Combined with the 5 basis point increase in RRP, GC should move a solid 5 basis points higher, which it has.</p><p><blockquote>但这对于隔夜利率和建议零售价交易量到底意味着什么？正如Skyrm进一步指出的那样，IOER的上升应该会将每日联邦基金利率拉高5个基点，进而给回购GC带来上行压力。结合RRP增加5个基点，GC应该会大幅上涨5个基点，事实也确实如此。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8b99df7af1731b4bdcbcf072dcf39ce\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\">The problem, as Skyrm warned, is that the Fed's technical adjustment would do nothing to ease the RRP volume:</p><p><blockquote>正如Skyrm警告的那样，问题在于美联储的技术调整无助于缓解建议零售额：</blockquote></p><p>   When market Repo rates were at 0% and the RRP rate was at zero, ~$500 billion went into the RRP. Well, if both market Repo rates and the RRP rate are 5 basis points higher, there's no reason to pull cash out of the RRP. For example, if GC rates moved to .05% and the RRP rate stayed at zero, investor preferences to invest at a higher rate would remove cash from the RRP.  Bottom line: with both market rates and RRP at .05%, there's really no economic incentive for cash investors to move cash to the Repo market. Or, as we summarized, \"<i>the Fed's rate change may have zero impact on the Fed's reverse repo facility, or the record half a trillion in cash parked there.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>当市场回购利率为0%且RRP利率为零时，约5000亿美元进入RRP。好吧，如果市场回购利率和RRP利率都高出5个基点，就没有理由从RRP中提取现金。例如，如果GC利率升至0.05%，而RRP利率保持在零，投资者以更高利率投资的偏好将从RRP中移除现金。底线：由于市场利率和建议零售价均为0.05%，现金投资者确实没有经济动机将现金转移到回购市场。或者，正如我们总结的那样，“<i>美联储的利率变化可能对美联储的逆回购工具或创纪录的5000亿现金产生零影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p> In retrospect, boy was that an understatement, because just one day later the already record usage of the Fed's Reverse Repo facility spiked by a record 50%, exploding to a staggering $756 billion (it closed Friday at $747 billion) as the GSEs.</p><p><blockquote>回想起来，这是一种轻描淡写的说法，因为仅仅一天后，美联储逆回购工具的使用量就飙升了创纪录的50%，随着GSE的出现，飙升至惊人的7560亿美元（周五收盘价为7470亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fba18d7808300abc3bdf4ffaa3d5fb6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\">Needless to say, flooding the Fed's RRP facility and sterilizing reserves is hardly what the Fed had intended, and as Credit Suisse's own repo guru (and former NY Fed staffer) Zoltan Pozsar wrote in his post-mortem, \"<b>the re-priced RRP facility will become a problem for the banking system fast:</b><b><u>the banking system is going from being asset constrained (deposits flooding in, but nowhere to lend them but to the Fed), to being liability constrained (deposits slipping away and nowhere to replace them but in the money market</u></b><b>).\"</b></p><p><blockquote>不用说，淹没美联储的建议零售价工具和冲销准备金几乎不是美联储的本意，正如瑞士信贷自己的回购专家（前纽约联储工作人员）Zoltan Pozsar在他的事后分析中所写的那样，“<b>重新定价的建议零售价融资将很快成为银行系统的一个问题：</b><b><u>银行体系正在从资产约束（存款大量涌入，但除了美联储之外无处可贷）转变为负债约束（存款不断流失，除了货币市场之外无处可替代）</u></b><b>).\"</b></blockquote></p><p> What he means by that is that whereas previously the RRP rate of 0.00% did not<i>reward</i>allocation of inert, excess reserves but merely provided a place to park them, now that the Fed is providing a generous yield pick up compared to rates offered by trillions in Bills, we are about to see a sea-change in the overnight, money-market, as trillions in capital reallocate away from traditional investments and into the the Fed's RRP.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，以前0.00%的RRP利率没有<i>奖励</i>分配惰性的超额准备金，但只是提供了一个存放它们的地方，现在美联储提供的收益率与数万亿票据提供的利率相比大幅上升，我们即将看到隔夜货币市场发生翻天覆地的变化，数万亿资本从传统投资重新分配到美联储的建议零售价。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, as Pozsar puts it, \"the RRP facility started to sterilize reserves... with more to come.\" And just as Deutsche Bank explained why the Fed's signaling was an r* policy error, to Pozsar, the Fed<i><b>also</b></i>made a policy error - only this time with its technical rates - by steriling reserves because \"it’s one thing to raise the rate on the RRP facility when an increase was not strictly speaking necessary, and it’s another to raise it “unduly” high – as one money fund manager put it, “<b>yesterday we could not even get a basis points a year; to get endless paper at five basis points from the most trusted counterparty is a dream come true.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>换句话说，正如Pozsar所说，“RRP设施开始对储备进行消毒……还会有更多储备。”而就在德意志银行向Pozsar解释为什么美联储的信号是一个r*政策错误时，美联储<i><b>也</b></i>犯了一个政策错误——只是这次是技术利率——冲销准备金，因为“当严格来说没有必要提高RRP设施的利率时，提高RRP设施的利率是一回事，而将其提高到‘过高’是另一回事——正如一位货币基金经理所说，”<b>昨天，我们一年甚至拿不到一个基点；以五个基点从最值得信赖的交易对手那里获得无尽的票据是梦想成真。”</b></blockquote></p><p> He's right: while 0bps may have been viewed by many as too low, it was hardly catastrophic for now (Credit Suisse was one of those predicting no administered rate hike),<b>5bps is too generous</b>, according to Pozsar who warns that the new reverse repo rate<b>will upset the state of \"singularity\"</b>and \"like heat-seeking missiles, money market investors move hundreds of billions, making sharp, 90º turns hunting for even a basis point of yield at the zero bound –<b>at 5 bps, money funds have an incentive to trade out of all their Treasury bills and park cash at the RRP facility.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>他是对的：虽然许多人可能认为0个基点太低，但目前这很难说是灾难性的（瑞士信贷是预测不会有管理加息的机构之一），<b>5bps太慷慨了</b>Pozsar警告说，新的逆回购利率<b>将颠覆“奇点”状态</b>“就像热寻的导弹一样，货币市场投资者转移了数千亿美元，急转弯90度，在零边界寻找哪怕一个基点的收益率——<b>在5个基点的利率下，货币基金有动力出售所有国库券并将现金存放在RRP设施中。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Indeed, as shown below, bills yield less than 5 bps out to 6 months,<b>and money funds have over $2 trillion of bills.</b>They got an the incentive to sell, while others have the incentive to buy: institutions whose deposits have been “tolerated” by banks until now earning zero interest have an incentive to harvest the 0-5 bps range the bill curve has to offer. Putting your cash at a basis point in bills is better than deposits at zero.<b>So the sterilization of reserves begins, and so the o/n RRP facility turns from a largely passive tool that provided an interest rate floor to the deposits that large banks have been pushing away, into an active tool that \"sucks\" the deposits away that banks decided to retain.</b></p><p><blockquote>事实上，如下图所示，6个月的票据收益率不到5个基点，<b>货币基金拥有超过2万亿美元的票据。</b>他们有卖出的动机，而其他人有买入的动机：那些存款一直被银行“容忍”到目前为止赚取零利息的机构有动力获得票据曲线提供的0-5个基点的范围。将现金以一个基点存入票据比零存款要好。<b>因此，准备金冲销开始了，因此o/n RRP工具从一个为大型银行一直在推走的存款提供利率下限的基本上被动的工具，变成了一个“吸走”银行决定保留的存款的主动工具。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf593f7b1d2d665f39384ed6a998d3bf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"403\">To help readers visualize what is going on, the Credit Suisse strategist suggest the following \"extreme\" thought experiment: most of the “Covid-19” deposits currently with banks go into the bill market where rates are better. Money funds sell bills to institutional investors that currently keep their cash at banks, and money funds swap bills for o/n RRPs. Said (somewhat) simply, while previously the Fed provided banks with a convenient place to park reserves, it now will actively drain reserves to the point where we may end up with another 2019-style repo crisis, as most financial institutions suddenly find themsleves with<i><b>too few</b></i>intraday reserves, forcing them to use the Fed's other funding facilities (such as FX swap lines) to remain consistently solvent.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助读者直观地了解正在发生的事情，瑞士信贷策略师建议进行以下“极端”的思想实验：目前银行的大部分“Covid-19”存款都进入了利率更好的票据市场。货币基金向目前将现金存放在银行的机构投资者出售票据，货币基金将票据交换为o/N RRP。（有点）简单地说，虽然美联储以前为银行提供了一个方便的存放准备金的地方，但现在它将积极耗尽准备金，以至于我们可能最终会陷入另一场2019年式的回购危机，因为大多数金融机构突然发现自己与<i><b>太少</b></i>日内储备，迫使它们使用美联储的其他融资工具（如外汇掉期额度）来保持持续的偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> This process is not overnight. It will take a few weeks to observe the fallout from the Fed's reserve sterilization.</p><p><blockquote>这个过程不是一蹴而就的。需要几周时间才能观察到美联储准备金冲销的影响。</blockquote></p><p> And here is why the problem is similar to the repo crisis of 2019: soon we will find that while cash-rich banks can handle the outflows,<b>some bond-heavy banks cannot.</b>As a result, Zoltan predicts that next \"we will notice that some banks (those who can<i><b>not</b></i>handle outflows) are borrowing advances from FHLBs, and cash-rich banks stop lending in the FX swap market as the RRP facility pulled reserves away from them and the Fed has to re-start the FX swap lines to offset.\"</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么这个问题与2019年的回购危机类似：很快我们就会发现，虽然现金充裕的银行可以应对资金外流，<b>一些债券密集型银行则不能。</b>因此，Zoltan预测，接下来“我们将注意到一些银行（那些能够<i><b>不</b></i>处理资金外流）正在从FHLB借入预付款，现金充裕的银行停止在外汇掉期市场放贷，因为RRP工具从它们那里抽走了准备金，美联储不得不重新启动外汇掉期额度来抵消。”</blockquote></p><p> Bottom line:<i><b>whereas previously we saw Libor-OIS collapse, this key funding spread will have to widen from here, unless the Fed lowers the o/n RRP rate again back to where it was before.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>底线：<i><b>尽管之前我们看到Libor-OIS崩溃，但这一关键资金利差将不得不从这里扩大，除非美联储再次将o/n RRP利率降低到以前的水平。</b></i></blockquote></p><p> Or, as Zoltan summarizes, \"It’s either quantities or prices\" - indeed,<b>in 2019 the Fed chose prices over quantities, which backfired, and led to the repo crisis which ended the Fed's hiking cycle and started \"NOT QE.\"</b>While the Fed redeemed itself in February, when it expanded the usage of the RRP without making it liability-constrained as it chose quantities over prices - which worked well - last Wednesday,<b>the Fed turned “unlimited” quantities into “money for free” and started to sterilize reserves.</b></p><p><blockquote>或者，正如Zoltan总结的那样，“要么是数量，要么是价格”——事实上，<b>2019年，美联储选择了价格而不是数量，这适得其反，并导致了回购危机，结束了美联储的加息周期，并开始了“非量化宽松”。</b>虽然美联储在2月份进行了自我救赎，但上周三，它在没有使其负债受到限制的情况下扩大了建议零售价的使用范围，因为它选择了数量而不是价格——这一点效果很好——<b>美联储将“无限”的数量变成了“免费的钱”，并开始冲销储备。</b></blockquote></p><p> Bottom line: \"we are witnessing the dealer of last resort (DoLR) learning the art of dealing, making unforced errors – if the Fed sterilizes with an overpriced o/n RRP facility, it has to be ready to add liquidity via the swap lines…\"</p><p><blockquote>底线：“我们正在目睹最后手段交易商（DoLR）学习交易艺术，犯非受迫性错误——如果美联储通过定价过高的o/n RRP工具进行冲销，它必须准备好通过掉期增加流动性线……”</blockquote></p><p> Translation:&nbsp;<b>by paying trillions in reserves 5bps, the Fed just planted the seeds of the next liquidity crisis.</b></p><p><blockquote>翻译：<b>通过支付数万亿美元的准备金5个基点，美联储刚刚播下了下一场流动性危机的种子。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell Just Launched $2 Trillion In \"Heat-Seeking Missiles\": Zoltan Explains How The Fed Started The Next Repo Crisis<blockquote>鲍威尔刚刚发射了2万亿美元的“热寻导弹”：Zoltan解释美联储如何开启下一次回购危机</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 15:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Last week, amid thefire and brimstone surroundingthe market's shocked response to the Fed's unexpected hawkish pivot, we noted that there were two tangible, if less noted changes: the Fed adjusted the two key \"administered\" rates, raising both the IOER and RRP rates by 5 basis points (as correctly predicted by Bank of America, JPMorgan, Wrightson, Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo while Citi, Oxford Economics, Jefferies, Credit Suisse, Standard Chartered, BMO were wrong in predicting no rate change), in an effort to push the Effective Fed Funds rate higher and away from its imminent rendezvous with 0%.</p><p><blockquote>上周，在市场对美联储意外鹰派转向的震惊反应中，我们注意到有两个切实但不太引人注目的变化：美联储调整了两个关键的“管理”利率，将IOER和RRP利率都提高了5个基点（正如美国银行、摩根大通、莱特森、德意志银行和富国银行正确预测的那样，而花旗、牛津经济研究院、杰富瑞、瑞士信贷、渣打银行、蒙特利尔银行错误地预测利率不会变化），以推动有效联邦基金利率走高，远离即将到来的0%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31e3c93e7ae558cd9f2fdb7e4a2769f1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"377\">What does this mean? As Curvature Securities repo guru,Scott Skyrm wrote last week, \"clearly the Fed intends to move overnight rates above zero and drain the RRP&nbsp; facility of cash.\" Unfortunately, the end result would be precisely the opposite of what the Fed had wanted to achieve.</p><p><blockquote>这是什么意思？正如Curvature Securities回购专家Scott Skyrm上周写道，“显然，美联储打算将隔夜利率提高到零以上，并耗尽RRP工具的现金。”不幸的是，最终结果将与美联储想要达到的目标完全相反。</blockquote></p><p> But what does this really mean for overnight rates and RRP volume? As Skyrm further noted, the increase in the IOER should pull the daily fed funds rate 5 basis points higher and, in turn, put upward pressure on Repo GC. Combined with the 5 basis point increase in RRP, GC should move a solid 5 basis points higher, which it has.</p><p><blockquote>但这对于隔夜利率和建议零售价交易量到底意味着什么？正如Skyrm进一步指出的那样，IOER的上升应该会将每日联邦基金利率拉高5个基点，进而给回购GC带来上行压力。结合RRP增加5个基点，GC应该会大幅上涨5个基点，事实也确实如此。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8b99df7af1731b4bdcbcf072dcf39ce\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\">The problem, as Skyrm warned, is that the Fed's technical adjustment would do nothing to ease the RRP volume:</p><p><blockquote>正如Skyrm警告的那样，问题在于美联储的技术调整无助于缓解建议零售额：</blockquote></p><p>   When market Repo rates were at 0% and the RRP rate was at zero, ~$500 billion went into the RRP. Well, if both market Repo rates and the RRP rate are 5 basis points higher, there's no reason to pull cash out of the RRP. For example, if GC rates moved to .05% and the RRP rate stayed at zero, investor preferences to invest at a higher rate would remove cash from the RRP.  Bottom line: with both market rates and RRP at .05%, there's really no economic incentive for cash investors to move cash to the Repo market. Or, as we summarized, \"<i>the Fed's rate change may have zero impact on the Fed's reverse repo facility, or the record half a trillion in cash parked there.\"</i></p><p><blockquote>当市场回购利率为0%且RRP利率为零时，约5000亿美元进入RRP。好吧，如果市场回购利率和RRP利率都高出5个基点，就没有理由从RRP中提取现金。例如，如果GC利率升至0.05%，而RRP利率保持在零，投资者以更高利率投资的偏好将从RRP中移除现金。底线：由于市场利率和建议零售价均为0.05%，现金投资者确实没有经济动机将现金转移到回购市场。或者，正如我们总结的那样，“<i>美联储的利率变化可能对美联储的逆回购工具或创纪录的5000亿现金产生零影响。”</i></blockquote></p><p> In retrospect, boy was that an understatement, because just one day later the already record usage of the Fed's Reverse Repo facility spiked by a record 50%, exploding to a staggering $756 billion (it closed Friday at $747 billion) as the GSEs.</p><p><blockquote>回想起来，这是一种轻描淡写的说法，因为仅仅一天后，美联储逆回购工具的使用量就飙升了创纪录的50%，随着GSE的出现，飙升至惊人的7560亿美元（周五收盘价为7470亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fba18d7808300abc3bdf4ffaa3d5fb6\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\">Needless to say, flooding the Fed's RRP facility and sterilizing reserves is hardly what the Fed had intended, and as Credit Suisse's own repo guru (and former NY Fed staffer) Zoltan Pozsar wrote in his post-mortem, \"<b>the re-priced RRP facility will become a problem for the banking system fast:</b><b><u>the banking system is going from being asset constrained (deposits flooding in, but nowhere to lend them but to the Fed), to being liability constrained (deposits slipping away and nowhere to replace them but in the money market</u></b><b>).\"</b></p><p><blockquote>不用说，淹没美联储的建议零售价工具和冲销准备金几乎不是美联储的本意，正如瑞士信贷自己的回购专家（前纽约联储工作人员）Zoltan Pozsar在他的事后分析中所写的那样，“<b>重新定价的建议零售价融资将很快成为银行系统的一个问题：</b><b><u>银行体系正在从资产约束（存款大量涌入，但除了美联储之外无处可贷）转变为负债约束（存款不断流失，除了货币市场之外无处可替代）</u></b><b>).\"</b></blockquote></p><p> What he means by that is that whereas previously the RRP rate of 0.00% did not<i>reward</i>allocation of inert, excess reserves but merely provided a place to park them, now that the Fed is providing a generous yield pick up compared to rates offered by trillions in Bills, we are about to see a sea-change in the overnight, money-market, as trillions in capital reallocate away from traditional investments and into the the Fed's RRP.</p><p><blockquote>他的意思是，以前0.00%的RRP利率没有<i>奖励</i>分配惰性的超额准备金，但只是提供了一个存放它们的地方，现在美联储提供的收益率与数万亿票据提供的利率相比大幅上升，我们即将看到隔夜货币市场发生翻天覆地的变化，数万亿资本从传统投资重新分配到美联储的建议零售价。</blockquote></p><p> In other words, as Pozsar puts it, \"the RRP facility started to sterilize reserves... with more to come.\" And just as Deutsche Bank explained why the Fed's signaling was an r* policy error, to Pozsar, the Fed<i><b>also</b></i>made a policy error - only this time with its technical rates - by steriling reserves because \"it’s one thing to raise the rate on the RRP facility when an increase was not strictly speaking necessary, and it’s another to raise it “unduly” high – as one money fund manager put it, “<b>yesterday we could not even get a basis points a year; to get endless paper at five basis points from the most trusted counterparty is a dream come true.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>换句话说，正如Pozsar所说，“RRP设施开始对储备进行消毒……还会有更多储备。”而就在德意志银行向Pozsar解释为什么美联储的信号是一个r*政策错误时，美联储<i><b>也</b></i>犯了一个政策错误——只是这次是技术利率——冲销准备金，因为“当严格来说没有必要提高RRP设施的利率时，提高RRP设施的利率是一回事，而将其提高到‘过高’是另一回事——正如一位货币基金经理所说，”<b>昨天，我们一年甚至拿不到一个基点；以五个基点从最值得信赖的交易对手那里获得无尽的票据是梦想成真。”</b></blockquote></p><p> He's right: while 0bps may have been viewed by many as too low, it was hardly catastrophic for now (Credit Suisse was one of those predicting no administered rate hike),<b>5bps is too generous</b>, according to Pozsar who warns that the new reverse repo rate<b>will upset the state of \"singularity\"</b>and \"like heat-seeking missiles, money market investors move hundreds of billions, making sharp, 90º turns hunting for even a basis point of yield at the zero bound –<b>at 5 bps, money funds have an incentive to trade out of all their Treasury bills and park cash at the RRP facility.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>他是对的：虽然许多人可能认为0个基点太低，但目前这很难说是灾难性的（瑞士信贷是预测不会有管理加息的机构之一），<b>5bps太慷慨了</b>Pozsar警告说，新的逆回购利率<b>将颠覆“奇点”状态</b>“就像热寻的导弹一样，货币市场投资者转移了数千亿美元，急转弯90度，在零边界寻找哪怕一个基点的收益率——<b>在5个基点的利率下，货币基金有动力出售所有国库券并将现金存放在RRP设施中。”</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Indeed, as shown below, bills yield less than 5 bps out to 6 months,<b>and money funds have over $2 trillion of bills.</b>They got an the incentive to sell, while others have the incentive to buy: institutions whose deposits have been “tolerated” by banks until now earning zero interest have an incentive to harvest the 0-5 bps range the bill curve has to offer. Putting your cash at a basis point in bills is better than deposits at zero.<b>So the sterilization of reserves begins, and so the o/n RRP facility turns from a largely passive tool that provided an interest rate floor to the deposits that large banks have been pushing away, into an active tool that \"sucks\" the deposits away that banks decided to retain.</b></p><p><blockquote>事实上，如下图所示，6个月的票据收益率不到5个基点，<b>货币基金拥有超过2万亿美元的票据。</b>他们有卖出的动机，而其他人有买入的动机：那些存款一直被银行“容忍”到目前为止赚取零利息的机构有动力获得票据曲线提供的0-5个基点的范围。将现金以一个基点存入票据比零存款要好。<b>因此，准备金冲销开始了，因此o/n RRP工具从一个为大型银行一直在推走的存款提供利率下限的基本上被动的工具，变成了一个“吸走”银行决定保留的存款的主动工具。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf593f7b1d2d665f39384ed6a998d3bf\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"403\">To help readers visualize what is going on, the Credit Suisse strategist suggest the following \"extreme\" thought experiment: most of the “Covid-19” deposits currently with banks go into the bill market where rates are better. Money funds sell bills to institutional investors that currently keep their cash at banks, and money funds swap bills for o/n RRPs. Said (somewhat) simply, while previously the Fed provided banks with a convenient place to park reserves, it now will actively drain reserves to the point where we may end up with another 2019-style repo crisis, as most financial institutions suddenly find themsleves with<i><b>too few</b></i>intraday reserves, forcing them to use the Fed's other funding facilities (such as FX swap lines) to remain consistently solvent.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助读者直观地了解正在发生的事情，瑞士信贷策略师建议进行以下“极端”的思想实验：目前银行的大部分“Covid-19”存款都进入了利率更好的票据市场。货币基金向目前将现金存放在银行的机构投资者出售票据，货币基金将票据交换为o/N RRP。（有点）简单地说，虽然美联储以前为银行提供了一个方便的存放准备金的地方，但现在它将积极耗尽准备金，以至于我们可能最终会陷入另一场2019年式的回购危机，因为大多数金融机构突然发现自己与<i><b>太少</b></i>日内储备，迫使它们使用美联储的其他融资工具（如外汇掉期额度）来保持持续的偿付能力。</blockquote></p><p> This process is not overnight. It will take a few weeks to observe the fallout from the Fed's reserve sterilization.</p><p><blockquote>这个过程不是一蹴而就的。需要几周时间才能观察到美联储准备金冲销的影响。</blockquote></p><p> And here is why the problem is similar to the repo crisis of 2019: soon we will find that while cash-rich banks can handle the outflows,<b>some bond-heavy banks cannot.</b>As a result, Zoltan predicts that next \"we will notice that some banks (those who can<i><b>not</b></i>handle outflows) are borrowing advances from FHLBs, and cash-rich banks stop lending in the FX swap market as the RRP facility pulled reserves away from them and the Fed has to re-start the FX swap lines to offset.\"</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么这个问题与2019年的回购危机类似：很快我们就会发现，虽然现金充裕的银行可以应对资金外流，<b>一些债券密集型银行则不能。</b>因此，Zoltan预测，接下来“我们将注意到一些银行（那些能够<i><b>不</b></i>处理资金外流）正在从FHLB借入预付款，现金充裕的银行停止在外汇掉期市场放贷，因为RRP工具从它们那里抽走了准备金，美联储不得不重新启动外汇掉期额度来抵消。”</blockquote></p><p> Bottom line:<i><b>whereas previously we saw Libor-OIS collapse, this key funding spread will have to widen from here, unless the Fed lowers the o/n RRP rate again back to where it was before.</b></i></p><p><blockquote>底线：<i><b>尽管之前我们看到Libor-OIS崩溃，但这一关键资金利差将不得不从这里扩大，除非美联储再次将o/n RRP利率降低到以前的水平。</b></i></blockquote></p><p> Or, as Zoltan summarizes, \"It’s either quantities or prices\" - indeed,<b>in 2019 the Fed chose prices over quantities, which backfired, and led to the repo crisis which ended the Fed's hiking cycle and started \"NOT QE.\"</b>While the Fed redeemed itself in February, when it expanded the usage of the RRP without making it liability-constrained as it chose quantities over prices - which worked well - last Wednesday,<b>the Fed turned “unlimited” quantities into “money for free” and started to sterilize reserves.</b></p><p><blockquote>或者，正如Zoltan总结的那样，“要么是数量，要么是价格”——事实上，<b>2019年，美联储选择了价格而不是数量，这适得其反，并导致了回购危机，结束了美联储的加息周期，并开始了“非量化宽松”。</b>虽然美联储在2月份进行了自我救赎，但上周三，它在没有使其负债受到限制的情况下扩大了建议零售价的使用范围，因为它选择了数量而不是价格——这一点效果很好——<b>美联储将“无限”的数量变成了“免费的钱”，并开始冲销储备。</b></blockquote></p><p> Bottom line: \"we are witnessing the dealer of last resort (DoLR) learning the art of dealing, making unforced errors – if the Fed sterilizes with an overpriced o/n RRP facility, it has to be ready to add liquidity via the swap lines…\"</p><p><blockquote>底线：“我们正在目睹最后手段交易商（DoLR）学习交易艺术，犯非受迫性错误——如果美联储通过定价过高的o/n RRP工具进行冲销，它必须准备好通过掉期增加流动性线……”</blockquote></p><p> Translation:&nbsp;<b>by paying trillions in reserves 5bps, the Fed just planted the seeds of the next liquidity crisis.</b></p><p><blockquote>翻译：<b>通过支付数万亿美元的准备金5个基点，美联储刚刚播下了下一场流动性危机的种子。</b></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/powell-just-launched-2-trillion-heat-seeking-missiles-zoltan-explains-how-fed-started-next\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/powell-just-launched-2-trillion-heat-seeking-missiles-zoltan-explains-how-fed-started-next","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146982088","content_text":"Last week, amid thefire and brimstone surroundingthe market's shocked response to the Fed's unexpected hawkish pivot, we noted that there were two tangible, if less noted changes: the Fed adjusted the two key \"administered\" rates, raising both the IOER and RRP rates by 5 basis points (as correctly predicted by Bank of America, JPMorgan, Wrightson, Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo while Citi, Oxford Economics, Jefferies, Credit Suisse, Standard Chartered, BMO were wrong in predicting no rate change), in an effort to push the Effective Fed Funds rate higher and away from its imminent rendezvous with 0%.\nWhat does this mean? As Curvature Securities repo guru,Scott Skyrm wrote last week, \"clearly the Fed intends to move overnight rates above zero and drain the RRP  facility of cash.\" Unfortunately, the end result would be precisely the opposite of what the Fed had wanted to achieve.\nBut what does this really mean for overnight rates and RRP volume? As Skyrm further noted, the increase in the IOER should pull the daily fed funds rate 5 basis points higher and, in turn, put upward pressure on Repo GC. Combined with the 5 basis point increase in RRP, GC should move a solid 5 basis points higher, which it has.\nThe problem, as Skyrm warned, is that the Fed's technical adjustment would do nothing to ease the RRP volume:\n\n When market Repo rates were at 0% and the RRP rate was at zero, ~$500 billion went into the RRP. Well, if both market Repo rates and the RRP rate are 5 basis points higher, there's no reason to pull cash out of the RRP. For example, if GC rates moved to .05% and the RRP rate stayed at zero, investor preferences to invest at a higher rate would remove cash from the RRP.\n\nBottom line: with both market rates and RRP at .05%, there's really no economic incentive for cash investors to move cash to the Repo market. Or, as we summarized, \"the Fed's rate change may have zero impact on the Fed's reverse repo facility, or the record half a trillion in cash parked there.\"\nIn retrospect, boy was that an understatement, because just one day later the already record usage of the Fed's Reverse Repo facility spiked by a record 50%, exploding to a staggering $756 billion (it closed Friday at $747 billion) as the GSEs.\nNeedless to say, flooding the Fed's RRP facility and sterilizing reserves is hardly what the Fed had intended, and as Credit Suisse's own repo guru (and former NY Fed staffer) Zoltan Pozsar wrote in his post-mortem, \"the re-priced RRP facility will become a problem for the banking system fast:the banking system is going from being asset constrained (deposits flooding in, but nowhere to lend them but to the Fed), to being liability constrained (deposits slipping away and nowhere to replace them but in the money market).\"\nWhat he means by that is that whereas previously the RRP rate of 0.00% did notrewardallocation of inert, excess reserves but merely provided a place to park them, now that the Fed is providing a generous yield pick up compared to rates offered by trillions in Bills, we are about to see a sea-change in the overnight, money-market, as trillions in capital reallocate away from traditional investments and into the the Fed's RRP.\nIn other words, as Pozsar puts it, \"the RRP facility started to sterilize reserves... with more to come.\" And just as Deutsche Bank explained why the Fed's signaling was an r* policy error, to Pozsar, the Fedalsomade a policy error - only this time with its technical rates - by steriling reserves because \"it’s one thing to raise the rate on the RRP facility when an increase was not strictly speaking necessary, and it’s another to raise it “unduly” high – as one money fund manager put it, “yesterday we could not even get a basis points a year; to get endless paper at five basis points from the most trusted counterparty is a dream come true.\"\nHe's right: while 0bps may have been viewed by many as too low, it was hardly catastrophic for now (Credit Suisse was one of those predicting no administered rate hike),5bps is too generous, according to Pozsar who warns that the new reverse repo ratewill upset the state of \"singularity\"and \"like heat-seeking missiles, money market investors move hundreds of billions, making sharp, 90º turns hunting for even a basis point of yield at the zero bound –at 5 bps, money funds have an incentive to trade out of all their Treasury bills and park cash at the RRP facility.\"\nIndeed, as shown below, bills yield less than 5 bps out to 6 months,and money funds have over $2 trillion of bills.They got an the incentive to sell, while others have the incentive to buy: institutions whose deposits have been “tolerated” by banks until now earning zero interest have an incentive to harvest the 0-5 bps range the bill curve has to offer. Putting your cash at a basis point in bills is better than deposits at zero.So the sterilization of reserves begins, and so the o/n RRP facility turns from a largely passive tool that provided an interest rate floor to the deposits that large banks have been pushing away, into an active tool that \"sucks\" the deposits away that banks decided to retain.\nTo help readers visualize what is going on, the Credit Suisse strategist suggest the following \"extreme\" thought experiment: most of the “Covid-19” deposits currently with banks go into the bill market where rates are better. Money funds sell bills to institutional investors that currently keep their cash at banks, and money funds swap bills for o/n RRPs. Said (somewhat) simply, while previously the Fed provided banks with a convenient place to park reserves, it now will actively drain reserves to the point where we may end up with another 2019-style repo crisis, as most financial institutions suddenly find themsleves withtoo fewintraday reserves, forcing them to use the Fed's other funding facilities (such as FX swap lines) to remain consistently solvent.\nThis process is not overnight. It will take a few weeks to observe the fallout from the Fed's reserve sterilization.\nAnd here is why the problem is similar to the repo crisis of 2019: soon we will find that while cash-rich banks can handle the outflows,some bond-heavy banks cannot.As a result, Zoltan predicts that next \"we will notice that some banks (those who cannothandle outflows) are borrowing advances from FHLBs, and cash-rich banks stop lending in the FX swap market as the RRP facility pulled reserves away from them and the Fed has to re-start the FX swap lines to offset.\"\nBottom line:whereas previously we saw Libor-OIS collapse, this key funding spread will have to widen from here, unless the Fed lowers the o/n RRP rate again back to where it was before.\nOr, as Zoltan summarizes, \"It’s either quantities or prices\" - indeed,in 2019 the Fed chose prices over quantities, which backfired, and led to the repo crisis which ended the Fed's hiking cycle and started \"NOT QE.\"While the Fed redeemed itself in February, when it expanded the usage of the RRP without making it liability-constrained as it chose quantities over prices - which worked well - last Wednesday,the Fed turned “unlimited” quantities into “money for free” and started to sterilize reserves.\nBottom line: \"we are witnessing the dealer of last resort (DoLR) learning the art of dealing, making unforced errors – if the Fed sterilizes with an overpriced o/n RRP facility, it has to be ready to add liquidity via the swap lines…\"\nTranslation: by paying trillions in reserves 5bps, the Fed just planted the seeds of the next liquidity crisis.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883441684,"gmtCreate":1631267045048,"gmtModify":1631888868454,"author":{"id":"3556172425647139","authorId":"3556172425647139","name":"Squidworth","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d80950fb27e9fd75e2766e315dfd816","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3556172425647139","idStr":"3556172425647139"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why net income drop?","listText":"Why net income drop?","text":"Why net income drop?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883441684","repostId":"1108076835","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1108076835","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631260909,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1108076835?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-10 16:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"UP Fintech Reports More Than 60% of Newly Funded Accounts Acquired From International Markets<blockquote>老虎证券报告称，超过60%的新资金账户是从国际市场获得的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1108076835","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"$Leading$ online brokerage firm, UP Fintech Holding Limited  , today reported revenues of US$60.2 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 compared to revenue of US$30.3 million in the second quarter of 2020. Notably, more than 60% of the Company’s newly funded accounts were derived from international markets in the quarter. Growth was driven by enhanced platform capabilities and rising demand for convenient access to global brokerage services.UP Fintech Holding Limited Reports Unaudit","content":"<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">Leading</a> online brokerage firm, UP Fintech Holding Limited (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”), today reported revenues of US$60.2 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 compared to revenue of US$30.3 million in the second quarter of 2020. Notably, more than 60% of the Company’s newly funded accounts were derived from international markets in the quarter. Growth was driven by enhanced platform capabilities and rising demand for convenient access to global brokerage services.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">领先的</a>网上经纪行、老虎证券控股有限公司(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>：TIGR）（“老虎证券”或“公司”）今天公布截至2021年6月30日的第二季度收入为6020万美元，而2020年第二季度的收入为3030万美元。值得注意的是，该公司本季度超过60%的新增资金账户来自国际市场。增长是由增强的平台功能和对便捷获取全球经纪服务的需求不断增长推动的。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fintech-holding-limited-reports-unaudited-second-quarter-2021\" target=\"_blank\"><b>UP Fintech Holding Limited Reports Unaudited Second Quarter 2021 Financial Results</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fintech-holding-limited-reports-unaudited-second-quarter-2021\" target=\"_blank\"><b>老虎证券控股有限公司报告未经审计的2021年第二季度财务业绩</b></a></blockquote></p><p> “We maintained our solid business momentum with a high client retention rate and increased operational synergies, ”commented Mr. Wu Tianhua, founder and CEO of UP Fintech. “I am confident in the positive outlook for our Company and our industry. Our singular focus is to employ technology to make investing more efficient and we are committed to increasing the breadth and diversity of our product offerings, as well as leveraging our leading position in underwriting and ESOP (Employee Share Ownership Plans) to attract new clients.”</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券创始人兼首席执行官巫天华先生评论道：“我们保持了稳健的业务势头，客户保留率高，运营协同效应增强。”“我对我们公司和行业的积极前景充满信心。我们的唯一重点是利用技术提高投资效率，我们致力于增加产品的广度和多样性，并利用我们在承保和ESOP（员工持股计划）方面的领先地位来吸引新客户。”</blockquote></p><p> During the second quarter, the total number of funded accounts increased to 529,100. The Company added more funded accounts in the first six months of 2021 than it did in its entire cumulative operating history. The total account balance increased 188.9% year-over-year to US$23.9 billion as the Company continued to attract new clients from multiple international markets. In Singapore, UP Fintech’s local subsidiary, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">Tiger Brokers</a> (Singapore) Pte. Ltd., launched new products and in-APP functions such as an industry heatmap, Mini USD/CNH futures, and OSE futures, supplementing the wide range of analytical tools and securities trading functions available on the Company’s platform.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，资金账户总数增至52.91万个。该公司在2021年前六个月增加的资金账户数量超过了其整个累计运营历史。随着公司继续吸引来自多个国际市场的新客户，账户余额总额同比增长188.9%至239亿美元。在新加坡，老虎证券当地的子公司，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">老虎证券</a>（新加坡）私人有限公司。有限公司推出了新产品和应用内功能，如行业热图、迷你美元/离岸人民币期货和OSE期货，补充了公司平台上广泛的分析工具和证券交易功能。</blockquote></p><p> The Company also recently announced that it has received approval-in-principle to be admitted as a Clearing Member of The Central Depository (Pte) Limited (CDP), and a trading member of Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX) and Singapore Exchange Derivatives Trading Limited. These partnerships aim to improve the user experience and further strengthen the Company’s presence in the Singaporean market.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近还宣布，已获得原则批准成为中央存管（私人）有限公司（CDP）的结算会员，以及新加坡证券交易所交易有限公司（SGX）和新加坡交易所衍生品交易有限公司的交易会员。这些合作伙伴关系旨在改善用户体验，并进一步加强公司在新加坡市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> The Company’s ESOP business continued to exhibit healthy growth with 51 new clients, up from 41 new clients in the previous quarter；ESOP adoption is accelerating and in the first six months of 2021 the Company added more new clients than it did in all of 2020. The Company is a leader in providing extensive expertise and guidance for start-ups at every stage of their ESOP from initial establishment through to execution and reporting. In addition, the Company is now offering its ESOP service to A-Share companies, further expanding its prospective client base.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的员工持股计划业务继续保持健康增长，新增客户51家，高于上一季度的41家；员工持股计划的采用正在加速，2021年前六个月，该公司增加的新客户比2020年全年都多。该公司是为初创企业在员工持股计划的每个阶段（从最初建立到执行和报告）提供广泛专业知识和指导的领导者。此外，本公司现正向A股公司提供员工持股计划服务，进一步扩大其潜在客户群。</blockquote></p><p> The Company served as an underwriter or member of the selling group in 17 IPOs, and in total provided subscriptions to 29 IPOs, including several high profile Hong Kong IPOs such as those of Angelalign (HK:6699) and Nayuki (HK:2150). In addition, The Company completed its own follow-on offering of 6.5 million <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Depository Shares in the second quarter and even&nbsp;offered retail investors the opportunity to subscribe through its flagship mobile trading APP, Tiger Trade.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在17宗IPO中担任承销商或销售团队成员，共为29宗IPO提供认购，其中包括时代天使(HK：6699)和奈雪(HK：2150)等多宗备受瞩目的香港IPO。此外，公司完成了自己的后续发行650万<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>第二季度存托股票，甚至为散户投资者提供了通过其旗舰移动交易应用程序Tiger Trade认购的机会。</blockquote></p><p> “While the market will have its ups and downs and competition will remain intense, our innovative platform and technology have been built to create long term value for our clients,” Wu stated. “User experience has always been our top priority and we see significant room for growth as we continue to broaden our global footprint in the near-term.”</p><p><blockquote>吴表示：“虽然市场会有起有落，竞争仍将激烈，但我们的创新平台和技术旨在为客户创造长期价值。”“用户体验一直是我们的首要任务，随着我们在短期内继续扩大全球足迹，我们看到了巨大的增长空间。”</blockquote></p><p> Safe Harbor Statement</p><p><blockquote>安全港声明</blockquote></p><p></p><p> This announcement contains forward-looking statements. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “future,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar statements. Among other statements, the business outlook and quotations from management in this announcement, as well as the Company’s strategic and operational plans, contain forward-looking statements. The Company may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in its periodic reports to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on Forms 20-F and 6-K, in its annual report to shareholders, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by its officers, directors or employees to third parties. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the Company’s beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">Forward</a>-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: the Company’s growth strategies; trends and competition in global financial markets; the effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic; and governmental policies relating to the Company’s industry and general economic conditions in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> and other countries. Further information regarding these and other risks is included in the Company’s filings with the SEC. All information provided in this press release and in the attachments is as of the date of this press release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required under applicable law.</p><p><blockquote>本公告包含前瞻性陈述。这些声明是根据1995年美国私人证券诉讼改革法案的“安全港”条款做出的。这些前瞻性陈述可以通过“将”、“期望”、“预期”、“未来”、“打算”、“计划”、“相信”、“估计”和类似陈述等术语来识别。除其他陈述外，本公告中管理层的业务展望和报价以及公司的战略和运营计划包含前瞻性陈述。公司还可能在向美国证券交易委员会（“SEC”）提交的20-F和6-K表格定期报告、向股东提交的年度报告、新闻稿和其他书面材料以及其管理人员、董事或员工向第三方做出的口头声明中做出书面或口头前瞻性陈述。非历史事实的陈述，包括有关公司信念和期望的陈述，都是前瞻性陈述。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">向前</a>-前瞻性陈述涉及固有风险和不确定性。许多因素可能导致实际结果与任何前瞻性陈述中包含的结果存在重大差异，包括但不限于以下内容：公司的增长战略；全球金融市场的趋势和竞争；全球新冠肺炎疫情的影响；以及与本公司所处行业及整体经济状况有关的政府政策<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>和其他国家。有关这些和其他风险的更多信息包含在公司向SEC提交的文件中。本新闻稿和附件中提供的所有信息均截至本新闻稿发布之日，公司不承担更新任何前瞻性声明的义务，除非适用法律要求。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>UP Fintech Reports More Than 60% of Newly Funded Accounts Acquired From International Markets<blockquote>老虎证券报告称，超过60%的新资金账户是从国际市场获得的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUP Fintech Reports More Than 60% of Newly Funded Accounts Acquired From International Markets<blockquote>老虎证券报告称，超过60%的新资金账户是从国际市场获得的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-10 16:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">Leading</a> online brokerage firm, UP Fintech Holding Limited (<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a>: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”), today reported revenues of US$60.2 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 compared to revenue of US$30.3 million in the second quarter of 2020. Notably, more than 60% of the Company’s newly funded accounts were derived from international markets in the quarter. Growth was driven by enhanced platform capabilities and rising demand for convenient access to global brokerage services.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LBIX\">领先的</a>网上经纪行、老虎证券控股有限公司(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>：TIGR）（“老虎证券”或“公司”）今天公布截至2021年6月30日的第二季度收入为6020万美元，而2020年第二季度的收入为3030万美元。值得注意的是，该公司本季度超过60%的新增资金账户来自国际市场。增长是由增强的平台功能和对便捷获取全球经纪服务的需求不断增长推动的。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fintech-holding-limited-reports-unaudited-second-quarter-2021\" target=\"_blank\"><b>UP Fintech Holding Limited Reports Unaudited Second Quarter 2021 Financial Results</b></a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://ir.itiger.com/news-releases/news-release-details/fintech-holding-limited-reports-unaudited-second-quarter-2021\" target=\"_blank\"><b>老虎证券控股有限公司报告未经审计的2021年第二季度财务业绩</b></a></blockquote></p><p> “We maintained our solid business momentum with a high client retention rate and increased operational synergies, ”commented Mr. Wu Tianhua, founder and CEO of UP Fintech. “I am confident in the positive outlook for our Company and our industry. Our singular focus is to employ technology to make investing more efficient and we are committed to increasing the breadth and diversity of our product offerings, as well as leveraging our leading position in underwriting and ESOP (Employee Share Ownership Plans) to attract new clients.”</p><p><blockquote>老虎证券创始人兼首席执行官巫天华先生评论道：“我们保持了稳健的业务势头，客户保留率高，运营协同效应增强。”“我对我们公司和行业的积极前景充满信心。我们的唯一重点是利用技术提高投资效率，我们致力于增加产品的广度和多样性，并利用我们在承保和ESOP（员工持股计划）方面的领先地位来吸引新客户。”</blockquote></p><p> During the second quarter, the total number of funded accounts increased to 529,100. The Company added more funded accounts in the first six months of 2021 than it did in its entire cumulative operating history. The total account balance increased 188.9% year-over-year to US$23.9 billion as the Company continued to attract new clients from multiple international markets. In Singapore, UP Fintech’s local subsidiary, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">Tiger Brokers</a> (Singapore) Pte. Ltd., launched new products and in-APP functions such as an industry heatmap, Mini USD/CNH futures, and OSE futures, supplementing the wide range of analytical tools and securities trading functions available on the Company’s platform.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度，资金账户总数增至52.91万个。该公司在2021年前六个月增加的资金账户数量超过了其整个累计运营历史。随着公司继续吸引来自多个国际市场的新客户，账户余额总额同比增长188.9%至239亿美元。在新加坡，老虎证券当地的子公司，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">老虎证券</a>（新加坡）私人有限公司。有限公司推出了新产品和应用内功能，如行业热图、迷你美元/离岸人民币期货和OSE期货，补充了公司平台上广泛的分析工具和证券交易功能。</blockquote></p><p> The Company also recently announced that it has received approval-in-principle to be admitted as a Clearing Member of The Central Depository (Pte) Limited (CDP), and a trading member of Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX) and Singapore Exchange Derivatives Trading Limited. These partnerships aim to improve the user experience and further strengthen the Company’s presence in the Singaporean market.</p><p><blockquote>该公司最近还宣布，已获得原则批准成为中央存管（私人）有限公司（CDP）的结算会员，以及新加坡证券交易所交易有限公司（SGX）和新加坡交易所衍生品交易有限公司的交易会员。这些合作伙伴关系旨在改善用户体验，并进一步加强公司在新加坡市场的影响力。</blockquote></p><p> The Company’s ESOP business continued to exhibit healthy growth with 51 new clients, up from 41 new clients in the previous quarter；ESOP adoption is accelerating and in the first six months of 2021 the Company added more new clients than it did in all of 2020. The Company is a leader in providing extensive expertise and guidance for start-ups at every stage of their ESOP from initial establishment through to execution and reporting. In addition, the Company is now offering its ESOP service to A-Share companies, further expanding its prospective client base.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的员工持股计划业务继续保持健康增长，新增客户51家，高于上一季度的41家；员工持股计划的采用正在加速，2021年前六个月，该公司增加的新客户比2020年全年都多。该公司是为初创企业在员工持股计划的每个阶段（从最初建立到执行和报告）提供广泛专业知识和指导的领导者。此外，本公司现正向A股公司提供员工持股计划服务，进一步扩大其潜在客户群。</blockquote></p><p> The Company served as an underwriter or member of the selling group in 17 IPOs, and in total provided subscriptions to 29 IPOs, including several high profile Hong Kong IPOs such as those of Angelalign (HK:6699) and Nayuki (HK:2150). In addition, The Company completed its own follow-on offering of 6.5 million <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> Depository Shares in the second quarter and even&nbsp;offered retail investors the opportunity to subscribe through its flagship mobile trading APP, Tiger Trade.</p><p><blockquote>该公司在17宗IPO中担任承销商或销售团队成员，共为29宗IPO提供认购，其中包括时代天使(HK：6699)和奈雪(HK：2150)等多宗备受瞩目的香港IPO。此外，公司完成了自己的后续发行650万<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">美国的</a>第二季度存托股票，甚至为散户投资者提供了通过其旗舰移动交易应用程序Tiger Trade认购的机会。</blockquote></p><p> “While the market will have its ups and downs and competition will remain intense, our innovative platform and technology have been built to create long term value for our clients,” Wu stated. “User experience has always been our top priority and we see significant room for growth as we continue to broaden our global footprint in the near-term.”</p><p><blockquote>吴表示：“虽然市场会有起有落，竞争仍将激烈，但我们的创新平台和技术旨在为客户创造长期价值。”“用户体验一直是我们的首要任务，随着我们在短期内继续扩大全球足迹，我们看到了巨大的增长空间。”</blockquote></p><p> Safe Harbor Statement</p><p><blockquote>安全港声明</blockquote></p><p></p><p> This announcement contains forward-looking statements. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “future,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar statements. Among other statements, the business outlook and quotations from management in this announcement, as well as the Company’s strategic and operational plans, contain forward-looking statements. The Company may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in its periodic reports to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on Forms 20-F and 6-K, in its annual report to shareholders, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by its officers, directors or employees to third parties. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the Company’s beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">Forward</a>-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: the Company’s growth strategies; trends and competition in global financial markets; the effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic; and governmental policies relating to the Company’s industry and general economic conditions in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> and other countries. Further information regarding these and other risks is included in the Company’s filings with the SEC. All information provided in this press release and in the attachments is as of the date of this press release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required under applicable law.</p><p><blockquote>本公告包含前瞻性陈述。这些声明是根据1995年美国私人证券诉讼改革法案的“安全港”条款做出的。这些前瞻性陈述可以通过“将”、“期望”、“预期”、“未来”、“打算”、“计划”、“相信”、“估计”和类似陈述等术语来识别。除其他陈述外，本公告中管理层的业务展望和报价以及公司的战略和运营计划包含前瞻性陈述。公司还可能在向美国证券交易委员会（“SEC”）提交的20-F和6-K表格定期报告、向股东提交的年度报告、新闻稿和其他书面材料以及其管理人员、董事或员工向第三方做出的口头声明中做出书面或口头前瞻性陈述。非历史事实的陈述，包括有关公司信念和期望的陈述，都是前瞻性陈述。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FORD\">向前</a>-前瞻性陈述涉及固有风险和不确定性。许多因素可能导致实际结果与任何前瞻性陈述中包含的结果存在重大差异，包括但不限于以下内容：公司的增长战略；全球金融市场的趋势和竞争；全球新冠肺炎疫情的影响；以及与本公司所处行业及整体经济状况有关的政府政策<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>和其他国家。有关这些和其他风险的更多信息包含在公司向SEC提交的文件中。本新闻稿和附件中提供的所有信息均截至本新闻稿发布之日，公司不承担更新任何前瞻性声明的义务，除非适用法律要求。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TIGR":"老虎证券"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108076835","content_text":"Leading online brokerage firm, UP Fintech Holding Limited (Nasdaq: TIGR) (“UP Fintech” or the “Company”), today reported revenues of US$60.2 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 compared to revenue of US$30.3 million in the second quarter of 2020. Notably, more than 60% of the Company’s newly funded accounts were derived from international markets in the quarter. Growth was driven by enhanced platform capabilities and rising demand for convenient access to global brokerage services.\nUP Fintech Holding Limited Reports Unaudited Second Quarter 2021 Financial Results\n“We maintained our solid business momentum with a high client retention rate and increased operational synergies, ”commented Mr. Wu Tianhua, founder and CEO of UP Fintech. “I am confident in the positive outlook for our Company and our industry. Our singular focus is to employ technology to make investing more efficient and we are committed to increasing the breadth and diversity of our product offerings, as well as leveraging our leading position in underwriting and ESOP (Employee Share Ownership Plans) to attract new clients.”\nDuring the second quarter, the total number of funded accounts increased to 529,100. The Company added more funded accounts in the first six months of 2021 than it did in its entire cumulative operating history. The total account balance increased 188.9% year-over-year to US$23.9 billion as the Company continued to attract new clients from multiple international markets. In Singapore, UP Fintech’s local subsidiary, Tiger Brokers (Singapore) Pte. Ltd., launched new products and in-APP functions such as an industry heatmap, Mini USD/CNH futures, and OSE futures, supplementing the wide range of analytical tools and securities trading functions available on the Company’s platform.\nThe Company also recently announced that it has received approval-in-principle to be admitted as a Clearing Member of The Central Depository (Pte) Limited (CDP), and a trading member of Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX) and Singapore Exchange Derivatives Trading Limited. These partnerships aim to improve the user experience and further strengthen the Company’s presence in the Singaporean market.\nThe Company’s ESOP business continued to exhibit healthy growth with 51 new clients, up from 41 new clients in the previous quarter；ESOP adoption is accelerating and in the first six months of 2021 the Company added more new clients than it did in all of 2020. The Company is a leader in providing extensive expertise and guidance for start-ups at every stage of their ESOP from initial establishment through to execution and reporting. In addition, the Company is now offering its ESOP service to A-Share companies, further expanding its prospective client base.\nThe Company served as an underwriter or member of the selling group in 17 IPOs, and in total provided subscriptions to 29 IPOs, including several high profile Hong Kong IPOs such as those of Angelalign (HK:6699) and Nayuki (HK:2150). In addition, The Company completed its own follow-on offering of 6.5 million American Depository Shares in the second quarter and even offered retail investors the opportunity to subscribe through its flagship mobile trading APP, Tiger Trade.\n“While the market will have its ups and downs and competition will remain intense, our innovative platform and technology have been built to create long term value for our clients,” Wu stated. “User experience has always been our top priority and we see significant room for growth as we continue to broaden our global footprint in the near-term.”\n\nSafe Harbor Statement\nThis announcement contains forward-looking statements. These statements are made under the “safe harbor” provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “future,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar statements. Among other statements, the business outlook and quotations from management in this announcement, as well as the Company’s strategic and operational plans, contain forward-looking statements. The Company may also make written or oral forward-looking statements in its periodic reports to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on Forms 20-F and 6-K, in its annual report to shareholders, in press releases and other written materials and in oral statements made by its officers, directors or employees to third parties. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the Company’s beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement, including but not limited to the following: the Company’s growth strategies; trends and competition in global financial markets; the effects of the global COVID-19 pandemic; and governmental policies relating to the Company’s industry and general economic conditions in China and other countries. Further information regarding these and other risks is included in the Company’s filings with the SEC. All information provided in this press release and in the attachments is as of the date of this press release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement, except as required under applicable law.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TIGR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}