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2021-05-01

Will you buy Tesla cars or Tesla shares? Which isbetter?

1 Question Tesla Investors Need to Ask Themselves<blockquote>特斯拉投资者需要问自己的1个问题</blockquote>

2021-07-25

More projections but controlled as usual.

What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>

2021-07-08

The higher the better. Go go go.

S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote>

2021-02-20

The banker always win.

Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>

2021-07-24

And what will happen as Netflix also give out freegames…

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2021-08-25

Ride

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2021-07-11

As long as people are in it, it will go up. And see Tesla boss. Will be support. Haha

The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>

2021-07-02

Looks like prices of things are going to go up up up!

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2021-04-25

You wished you had loads of Apple shares from long ago right?

Apple’s business is roaring, and investors are about to find out how much of that cash is coming their way<blockquote>苹果的业务正在蓬勃发展，投资者即将发现其中有多少现金流向了他们</blockquote>

2021-02-10

A great way to fly

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2021-11-09

Wonder what cryptocurrency he is buying? Dog memes again?

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2021-10-24

Price of cars goes up. Hopefully will show in share prices too. Yay

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2021-04-19

Buy the dip?

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2021-04-13

Up up up

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2021-07-26

10 years is quite long! But patience is a virtue

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2021-07-25

Yes.

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2021-06-26

Tesla oh tesla

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2021-07-15

Really? Is it time to travel around?

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2021-07-05

No Apple and Google?

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2021-06-30

I actually look forward to it!!

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what cryptocurrency he is buying? Dog memes again?","listText":"Wonder what cryptocurrency he is buying? Dog memes again?","text":"Wonder what cryptocurrency he is buying? Dog memes again?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847993888","repostId":"1138226136","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858610434,"gmtCreate":1635043383356,"gmtModify":1635043383650,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Price of cars goes up. Hopefully will show in share prices too. Yay","listText":"Price of cars goes up. Hopefully will show in share prices too. Yay","text":"Price of cars goes up. Hopefully will show in share prices too. Yay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858610434","repostId":"2177448205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817621255,"gmtCreate":1630943575777,"gmtModify":1632905014852,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"There’s something to learn from history.&nbsp;","listText":"There’s something to learn from history.&nbsp;","text":"There’s something to learn from history.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817621255","repostId":"1158349328","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1158349328","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630913486,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1158349328?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 15:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why 2021 Is the Kind of Year to Banish the September Stock Blues<blockquote>为什么2021年是消除9月股市忧郁的一年</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158349328","media":"Barron's","summary":"Stocks famously perform poorly in September. But that may not necessarily be the case in a year like","content":"<p>Stocks famously perform poorly in September. But that may not necessarily be the case in a year like 2021.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，9月份股市表现不佳。但在2021年这样的年份，情况可能不一定如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1928, the average September return for the S&amp;P 500 has been a 0.99% loss. That makes the month far worse than May, which ranks second in investor gloom with an average loss of 0.11%. But there’s a caveat here. History also finds that Septembers that follow strong gains earlier in the year tended to have positive returns. When the S&amp;P 500 rose by more than 13% over the first six months, the median September gain since 1928 rang in at 1.4%, according to Fundstrat.</p><p><blockquote>自1928年以来，标普500 9月份的平均回报率为0.99%。这使得本月比5月份要糟糕得多，5月份在投资者悲观情绪中排名第二，平均跌幅为0.11%。但这里有一个警告。历史还发现，今年早些时候强劲上涨后的9月份往往会有正回报。根据Fundstrat的数据，当标普500在前六个月上涨超过13%时，自1928年以来9月份的涨幅中位数为1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Over that 93-year span, the S&amp;P fell in 54% of the Septembers. But when markets rose from January through June, 63% of the Septembers saw positive gains. Through June of this year, the S&amp;P 500 rallied 14%.</p><p><blockquote>在这93年的时间里，标准普尔指数在9月份下跌了54%。但当市场从1月到6月上涨时，63%的9月份出现了正收益。截至今年6月，标普500上涨了14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9b7962b08fe42d27d182d586cf20e4\" tg-width=\"778\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A similar trend applies to the year. Strategists atWells Fargo recently lifted their target for the S&amp;P 500 to a level that reflects more than 6% upside from current prices. Using data back to 1990, they say that in years in which the S&amp;P sees double-digit percentage gains for the first eight months, it rises another 8% to finish the year.</p><p><blockquote>类似的趋势也适用于这一年。富国银行的策略师最近将标普500的目标上调至较当前价格上涨6%以上的水平。他们利用1990年的数据表示，在标普指数前八个月出现两位数百分比涨幅的年份，年底又会上涨8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23718a745d8c03556be0411afdf1af64\" tg-width=\"792\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The S&amp;P 500 closed on Thursday at 4523, ending August with a year-to-date gain of 20.4%. But be aware of one thing: The ride could be bumpy. The S&amp;P 500 hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5% this year. With risks on the horizon—the Delta variant, inflation, high valuations, even a corporate-tax increase—stocks could easily correct. “Markets are ‘overbought’ and due for a pullback,” writes Fundstrat research head Tom Lee. Perhaps, but don’t be surprised if this market bucks the September blues.</p><p><blockquote>标普500周四收于4523点，以今年迄今20.4%的涨幅结束8月份。但请注意一件事：旅程可能会很颠簸。标普500今年的回调幅度从未超过5%。随着德尔塔变异毒株、通货膨胀、高估值，甚至公司税增加等风险的出现，股市很容易调整。Fundstrat研究主管汤姆·李(Tom Lee)写道：“市场‘超买’，即将回调。”也许吧，但如果这个市场逆着九月的忧郁，也不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>This&nbsp;Week&nbsp;</b></p><p><blockquote><b>本周</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/6</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock and fixed-income</b> markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票和固定收益</b>市场因劳动节而关闭。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/7</b></blockquote></p><p> Casey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Casey’s General Stores和Coupa Software公布收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三9/8</b></blockquote></p><p> Copart, GameStop,&nbsp;and Lululemon Athletica&nbsp;release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Copart、游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.</p><p><blockquote>ADI公司召开电话会议，讨论其资本配置计划并更新2021财年展望。该公司最近完成了对Maxim Integrated Products的210亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> Global Payments, Johnson Controls International,&nbsp;and ResMed&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Global Payments、江森自控国际和ResMed举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。普遍估计7月最后一个工作日将有1000万个职位空缺。6月份，有1010万个职位空缺，连续第四个月创下纪录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>报告7月份消费者信贷数据。6月份未偿消费者债务总额增加377亿美元，达到创纪录的4.32万亿美元。第二季度，消费信贷经季节调整后的年率增长8.8%，反映了被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次发布褐皮书中的第六次。该报告总结了12个美联储地区当前的经济状况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Home Depot&nbsp;hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.</p><p><blockquote>家得宝召开电话会议讨论其ESG战略，由公司首席可持续发展官Ron Jarvis主持。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna hosts its fifth annual R&amp;D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna举办第五届年度研发日，讨论公司在研疫苗。首席执行官Stéphane Bancel将是演讲者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Danaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.</p><p><blockquote>丹纳赫召开投资者和分析师会议，由首席执行官Rainer Blair主持。</blockquote></p><p> International Paper,&nbsp;Synchrony Financial,&nbsp;and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.</p><p><blockquote>国际纸业、同步金融和威利斯韬睿惠悦举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The European Central</b>&nbsp;Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote><b>欧洲中部</b>银行宣布其货币政策决定。预计欧洲央行将维持关键利率在负0.5%不变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至9月4日当周首次申请失业救济人数。8月份，平均每周申请失业救济人数为35.5万人，为疫情爆发以来的最低水平。这也将是联邦强化失业救济金额外发放300美元的最后一周。它们将于9月6日到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/10</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b>the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>8月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预测核心生产者价格指数（不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格）月度上涨0.6%，核心生产者价格指数将上涨0.5%。7月份两者均上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> Kroger&nbsp;holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.&nbsp;Albemarle and Bio-Techne host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>克罗格评级召开会议讨论收益。Albemarle和Bio-Techne举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why 2021 Is the Kind of Year to Banish the September Stock Blues<blockquote>为什么2021年是消除9月股市忧郁的一年</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy 2021 Is the Kind of Year to Banish the September Stock Blues<blockquote>为什么2021年是消除9月股市忧郁的一年</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-06 15:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stocks famously perform poorly in September. But that may not necessarily be the case in a year like 2021.</p><p><blockquote>众所周知，9月份股市表现不佳。但在2021年这样的年份，情况可能不一定如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1928, the average September return for the S&amp;P 500 has been a 0.99% loss. That makes the month far worse than May, which ranks second in investor gloom with an average loss of 0.11%. But there’s a caveat here. History also finds that Septembers that follow strong gains earlier in the year tended to have positive returns. When the S&amp;P 500 rose by more than 13% over the first six months, the median September gain since 1928 rang in at 1.4%, according to Fundstrat.</p><p><blockquote>自1928年以来，标普500 9月份的平均回报率为0.99%。这使得本月比5月份要糟糕得多，5月份在投资者悲观情绪中排名第二，平均跌幅为0.11%。但这里有一个警告。历史还发现，今年早些时候强劲上涨后的9月份往往会有正回报。根据Fundstrat的数据，当标普500在前六个月上涨超过13%时，自1928年以来9月份的涨幅中位数为1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Over that 93-year span, the S&amp;P fell in 54% of the Septembers. But when markets rose from January through June, 63% of the Septembers saw positive gains. Through June of this year, the S&amp;P 500 rallied 14%.</p><p><blockquote>在这93年的时间里，标准普尔指数在9月份下跌了54%。但当市场从1月到6月上涨时，63%的9月份出现了正收益。截至今年6月，标普500上涨了14%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc9b7962b08fe42d27d182d586cf20e4\" tg-width=\"778\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">A similar trend applies to the year. Strategists atWells Fargo recently lifted their target for the S&amp;P 500 to a level that reflects more than 6% upside from current prices. Using data back to 1990, they say that in years in which the S&amp;P sees double-digit percentage gains for the first eight months, it rises another 8% to finish the year.</p><p><blockquote>类似的趋势也适用于这一年。富国银行的策略师最近将标普500的目标上调至较当前价格上涨6%以上的水平。他们利用1990年的数据表示，在标普指数前八个月出现两位数百分比涨幅的年份，年底又会上涨8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23718a745d8c03556be0411afdf1af64\" tg-width=\"792\" tg-height=\"438\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The S&amp;P 500 closed on Thursday at 4523, ending August with a year-to-date gain of 20.4%. But be aware of one thing: The ride could be bumpy. The S&amp;P 500 hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5% this year. With risks on the horizon—the Delta variant, inflation, high valuations, even a corporate-tax increase—stocks could easily correct. “Markets are ‘overbought’ and due for a pullback,” writes Fundstrat research head Tom Lee. Perhaps, but don’t be surprised if this market bucks the September blues.</p><p><blockquote>标普500周四收于4523点，以今年迄今20.4%的涨幅结束8月份。但请注意一件事：旅程可能会很颠簸。标普500今年的回调幅度从未超过5%。随着德尔塔变异毒株、通货膨胀、高估值，甚至公司税增加等风险的出现，股市很容易调整。Fundstrat研究主管汤姆·李(Tom Lee)写道：“市场‘超买’，即将回调。”也许吧，但如果这个市场逆着九月的忧郁，也不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> <b>This&nbsp;Week&nbsp;</b></p><p><blockquote><b>本周</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/6</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock and fixed-income</b> markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票和固定收益</b>市场因劳动节而关闭。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/7</b></blockquote></p><p> Casey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Casey’s General Stores和Coupa Software公布收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三9/8</b></blockquote></p><p> Copart, GameStop,&nbsp;and Lululemon Athletica&nbsp;release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Copart、游戏驿站和Lululemon Athletica发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Analog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.</p><p><blockquote>ADI公司召开电话会议，讨论其资本配置计划并更新2021财年展望。该公司最近完成了对Maxim Integrated Products的210亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> Global Payments, Johnson Controls International,&nbsp;and ResMed&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>Global Payments、江森自控国际和ResMed举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。普遍估计7月最后一个工作日将有1000万个职位空缺。6月份，有1010万个职位空缺，连续第四个月创下纪录。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>报告7月份消费者信贷数据。6月份未偿消费者债务总额增加377亿美元，达到创纪录的4.32万亿美元。第二季度，消费信贷经季节调整后的年率增长8.8%，反映了被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Federal Reserve</b> releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.</p><p><blockquote><b>美联储</b>今年八次发布褐皮书中的第六次。该报告总结了12个美联储地区当前的经济状况。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Home Depot&nbsp;hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.</p><p><blockquote>家得宝召开电话会议讨论其ESG战略，由公司首席可持续发展官Ron Jarvis主持。</blockquote></p><p> Moderna hosts its fifth annual R&amp;D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna举办第五届年度研发日，讨论公司在研疫苗。首席执行官Stéphane Bancel将是演讲者之一。</blockquote></p><p> Danaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.</p><p><blockquote>丹纳赫召开投资者和分析师会议，由首席执行官Rainer Blair主持。</blockquote></p><p> International Paper,&nbsp;Synchrony Financial,&nbsp;and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.</p><p><blockquote>国际纸业、同步金融和威利斯韬睿惠悦举办投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The European Central</b>&nbsp;Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.</p><p><blockquote><b>欧洲中部</b>银行宣布其货币政策决定。预计欧洲央行将维持关键利率在负0.5%不变。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至9月4日当周首次申请失业救济人数。8月份，平均每周申请失业救济人数为35.5万人，为疫情爆发以来的最低水平。这也将是联邦强化失业救济金额外发放300美元的最后一周。它们将于9月6日到期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/10</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports</b>the producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告</b>8月份生产者价格指数。经济学家预测核心生产者价格指数（不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格）月度上涨0.6%，核心生产者价格指数将上涨0.5%。7月份两者均上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> Kroger&nbsp;holds a conference calls to discuss earnings.&nbsp;Albemarle and Bio-Techne host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>克罗格评级召开会议讨论收益。Albemarle和Bio-Techne举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/september-stock-market-outlook-51630703979?mod=markets\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/september-stock-market-outlook-51630703979?mod=markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158349328","content_text":"Stocks famously perform poorly in September. But that may not necessarily be the case in a year like 2021.\nSince 1928, the average September return for the S&P 500 has been a 0.99% loss. That makes the month far worse than May, which ranks second in investor gloom with an average loss of 0.11%. But there’s a caveat here. History also finds that Septembers that follow strong gains earlier in the year tended to have positive returns. When the S&P 500 rose by more than 13% over the first six months, the median September gain since 1928 rang in at 1.4%, according to Fundstrat.\nOver that 93-year span, the S&P fell in 54% of the Septembers. But when markets rose from January through June, 63% of the Septembers saw positive gains. Through June of this year, the S&P 500 rallied 14%.\nA similar trend applies to the year. Strategists atWells Fargo recently lifted their target for the S&P 500 to a level that reflects more than 6% upside from current prices. Using data back to 1990, they say that in years in which the S&P sees double-digit percentage gains for the first eight months, it rises another 8% to finish the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed on Thursday at 4523, ending August with a year-to-date gain of 20.4%. But be aware of one thing: The ride could be bumpy. The S&P 500 hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5% this year. With risks on the horizon—the Delta variant, inflation, high valuations, even a corporate-tax increase—stocks could easily correct. “Markets are ‘overbought’ and due for a pullback,” writes Fundstrat research head Tom Lee. Perhaps, but don’t be surprised if this market bucks the September blues.\nThis Week \nMonday 9/6\nStock and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.\nTuesday 9/7\nCasey’s General Stores and Coupa Software announce earnings.\nWednesday 9/8\nCopart, GameStop, and Lululemon Athletica release quarterly results.\nAnalog Devices hosts a conference call to discuss its capital-allocation plans and update its outlook for fiscal 2021. The company recently closed its $21 billion acquisition of Maxim Integrated Products.\nGlobal Payments, Johnson Controls International, and ResMed hold virtual investor days.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Consensus estimate is for 10 million job openings on the last business day of July. In June, there were 10.1 million openings, the fourth consecutive monthly record.\nThe Federal Reserve reports consumer credit data for July. Total outstanding consumer debt increased by $37.7 billion to a record $4.32 trillion in June. For the second quarter, consumer credit rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 8.8%, reflecting pent-up demand.\nThe Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions among the 12 Federal Reserve districts.\nThursday 9/9\nHome Depot hosts a conference call to discuss its ESG strategy, led by Ron Jarvis, the company’s chief sustainability officer.\nModerna hosts its fifth annual R&D day to discuss vaccines in the company’s pipeline. CEO Stéphane Bancel will be among the presenters.\nDanaher holds an investor and analyst meeting, hosted by its CEO Rainer Blair.\nInternational Paper, Synchrony Financial, and Willis Towers Watson hold investor days.\nThe European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. The ECB is expected to keep its key interest rate unchanged at minus 0.5%.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 4. In August, claims averaged 355,000 a week, the lowest since the pandemic’s onset. This will also be the last week that the extra $300 from federal enhanced unemployment benefits is available. They are set to expire by Sept. 6.\nFriday 9/10\nThe BLS reportsthe producer price index for August. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly rise along with a 0.5% increase for the core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices. Both jumped 1% in July.\nKroger holds a conference calls to discuss earnings. Albemarle and Bio-Techne host their 2021 investor days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837425281,"gmtCreate":1629906858143,"gmtModify":1633681545053,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ride","listText":"Ride","text":"Ride","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837425281","repostId":"2162591250","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2759,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897966829,"gmtCreate":1628868801161,"gmtModify":1633688846247,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow the staff. Kind of worrying isn’t it.&nbsp;","listText":"Wow the staff. Kind of worrying isn’t it.&nbsp;","text":"Wow the staff. Kind of worrying isn’t it.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/897966829","repostId":"1100082773","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890978564,"gmtCreate":1628080502258,"gmtModify":1633753809054,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Grab grabs it all!","listText":"Grab grabs it all!","text":"Grab grabs it all!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890978564","repostId":"1100026966","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100026966","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628078445,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100026966?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 20:00","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Grab breaks company record with strong Q1 results<blockquote>Grab凭借强劲的第一季度业绩打破公司记录</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100026966","media":"Singapore Business","summary":"As it prepares for its initial public listing, Grab announced milestone results in Q1 2021.\n\nGrab Ho","content":"<p>  <b><i>As it prepares for its initial public listing, Grab announced milestone results in Q1 2021.</i></b>  Grab Holdings Inc. recorded an upward trend in their financial report for the first quarter of&nbsp;(Q1) 2021 as they work towards registering as a publicly-traded company.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>在准备首次公开上市时，Grab宣布了2021年第一季度的里程碑式业绩。</i></b>Grab Holdings Inc.在其2021年第一季度（Q1）的财务报告中记录了上升趋势，因为他们正在努力注册为上市公司。</blockquote></p><p> The recorded adjusted net sales reached a record-high $507m, with a 39% growth from last year. This resulted in revenue amounting to $216m.</p><p><blockquote>调整后净销售额达到创纪录的5.07亿美元，较去年增长39%。这带来了2.16亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> The company also reached its highest quarterly total payments volume at a growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还创下了季度支付总额的最高水平，增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> Grab also reported a boost in their adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization&nbsp;(EBITDA) at $111m, which improved by $233m on a yearly basis.</p><p><blockquote>Grab还报告称，调整后息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)增长至1.11亿美元，同比增长2.33亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> As of 31 March, Grab has a total of $4.9b cash and cash equivalents, an uptick of&nbsp; $1.4b from the $3.5b shown last 31 December 2020.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日，Grab的现金和现金等价物总额为49亿美元，比2020年12月31日的35亿美元增加了14亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Grab also took note of several areas of growth in their services, which includes GrabMart&nbsp;app download statistics and mobility.</p><p><blockquote>Grab还注意到其服务的几个增长领域，其中包括GrabMart应用程序下载统计和移动性。</blockquote></p><p> This comes amidst the difficulties posed to them by the COVID-19 pandemic and restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>这是在新冠肺炎疫情和限制给他们带来困难的情况下发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Peter Oey, CFO of Grab, confirmed that these achievements were notable for Grab as a company.</p><p><blockquote>Grab首席财务官Peter Oey证实，这些成就对于Grab作为一家公司来说是值得注意的。</blockquote></p><p> “We exceeded our internal targets for adjusted net sales and adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2021, and continued the strong growth momentum of our deliveries business.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们超额完成了2021年第一季度调整后净销售额和调整后EBITDA的内部目标，并延续了交付业务的强劲增长势头。”</blockquote></p><p> These achievements come as Grab continues to work on their proposed merger with Altimeter Growth Corporation, a technology-focused investment firm.</p><p><blockquote>这些成就是在Grab继续致力于与Altimeter Growth Corporation（一家专注于技术的投资公司）合并之际取得的。</blockquote></p><p> Grab CEO and Co-founder&nbsp;Anthony Tan&nbsp;sees this as a positive showing as they move closer to their public listing.</p><p><blockquote>Grab首席执行官兼联合创始人Anthony Tan认为，随着他们距离公开上市越来越近，这是一个积极的表现。</blockquote></p><p> “As we prepare to become a listed company, we’re sharing our first-ever quarterly financial results and we continue to deliver strong growth, despite the ongoing impact of COVID-19. Southeast Asian consumers trust Grab to meet their everyday needs in a growing number of ways, and we are excited about the emerging growth opportunities we see in our grocery delivery and financial services offerings.”</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们准备成为一家上市公司，我们正在分享有史以来第一份季度财务业绩，尽管受到COVID-19的持续影响，我们仍继续实现强劲增长。东南亚消费者相信Grab能够满足他们的日常需求越来越多，我们对杂货配送和金融服务产品中看到的新兴增长机会感到兴奋。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Grab breaks company record with strong Q1 results<blockquote>Grab凭借强劲的第一季度业绩打破公司记录</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGrab breaks company record with strong Q1 results<blockquote>Grab凭借强劲的第一季度业绩打破公司记录</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Singapore Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-04 20:00</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b><i>As it prepares for its initial public listing, Grab announced milestone results in Q1 2021.</i></b>  Grab Holdings Inc. recorded an upward trend in their financial report for the first quarter of&nbsp;(Q1) 2021 as they work towards registering as a publicly-traded company.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>在准备首次公开上市时，Grab宣布了2021年第一季度的里程碑式业绩。</i></b>Grab Holdings Inc.在其2021年第一季度（Q1）的财务报告中记录了上升趋势，因为他们正在努力注册为上市公司。</blockquote></p><p> The recorded adjusted net sales reached a record-high $507m, with a 39% growth from last year. This resulted in revenue amounting to $216m.</p><p><blockquote>调整后净销售额达到创纪录的5.07亿美元，较去年增长39%。这带来了2.16亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> The company also reached its highest quarterly total payments volume at a growth of 18%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司还创下了季度支付总额的最高水平，增长了18%。</blockquote></p><p> Grab also reported a boost in their adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization&nbsp;(EBITDA) at $111m, which improved by $233m on a yearly basis.</p><p><blockquote>Grab还报告称，调整后息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)增长至1.11亿美元，同比增长2.33亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> As of 31 March, Grab has a total of $4.9b cash and cash equivalents, an uptick of&nbsp; $1.4b from the $3.5b shown last 31 December 2020.</p><p><blockquote>截至3月31日，Grab的现金和现金等价物总额为49亿美元，比2020年12月31日的35亿美元增加了14亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Grab also took note of several areas of growth in their services, which includes GrabMart&nbsp;app download statistics and mobility.</p><p><blockquote>Grab还注意到其服务的几个增长领域，其中包括GrabMart应用程序下载统计和移动性。</blockquote></p><p> This comes amidst the difficulties posed to them by the COVID-19 pandemic and restrictions.</p><p><blockquote>这是在新冠肺炎疫情和限制给他们带来困难的情况下发生的。</blockquote></p><p> Peter Oey, CFO of Grab, confirmed that these achievements were notable for Grab as a company.</p><p><blockquote>Grab首席财务官Peter Oey证实，这些成就对于Grab作为一家公司来说是值得注意的。</blockquote></p><p> “We exceeded our internal targets for adjusted net sales and adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2021, and continued the strong growth momentum of our deliveries business.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们超额完成了2021年第一季度调整后净销售额和调整后EBITDA的内部目标，并延续了交付业务的强劲增长势头。”</blockquote></p><p> These achievements come as Grab continues to work on their proposed merger with Altimeter Growth Corporation, a technology-focused investment firm.</p><p><blockquote>这些成就是在Grab继续致力于与Altimeter Growth Corporation（一家专注于技术的投资公司）合并之际取得的。</blockquote></p><p> Grab CEO and Co-founder&nbsp;Anthony Tan&nbsp;sees this as a positive showing as they move closer to their public listing.</p><p><blockquote>Grab首席执行官兼联合创始人Anthony Tan认为，随着他们距离公开上市越来越近，这是一个积极的表现。</blockquote></p><p> “As we prepare to become a listed company, we’re sharing our first-ever quarterly financial results and we continue to deliver strong growth, despite the ongoing impact of COVID-19. Southeast Asian consumers trust Grab to meet their everyday needs in a growing number of ways, and we are excited about the emerging growth opportunities we see in our grocery delivery and financial services offerings.”</p><p><blockquote>“随着我们准备成为一家上市公司，我们正在分享有史以来第一份季度财务业绩，尽管受到COVID-19的持续影响，我们仍继续实现强劲增长。东南亚消费者相信Grab能够满足他们的日常需求越来越多，我们对杂货配送和金融服务产品中看到的新兴增长机会感到兴奋。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/transport-logistics/news/grab-breaks-company-record-strong-q1-results\">Singapore Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/transport-logistics/news/grab-breaks-company-record-strong-q1-results","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100026966","content_text":"As it prepares for its initial public listing, Grab announced milestone results in Q1 2021.\n\nGrab Holdings Inc. recorded an upward trend in their financial report for the first quarter of (Q1) 2021 as they work towards registering as a publicly-traded company.\nThe recorded adjusted net sales reached a record-high $507m, with a 39% growth from last year. This resulted in revenue amounting to $216m.\nThe company also reached its highest quarterly total payments volume at a growth of 18%.\nGrab also reported a boost in their adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) at $111m, which improved by $233m on a yearly basis.\nAs of 31 March, Grab has a total of $4.9b cash and cash equivalents, an uptick of  $1.4b from the $3.5b shown last 31 December 2020.\nGrab also took note of several areas of growth in their services, which includes GrabMart app download statistics and mobility.\nThis comes amidst the difficulties posed to them by the COVID-19 pandemic and restrictions.\nPeter Oey, CFO of Grab, confirmed that these achievements were notable for Grab as a company.\n“We exceeded our internal targets for adjusted net sales and adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2021, and continued the strong growth momentum of our deliveries business.”\nThese achievements come as Grab continues to work on their proposed merger with Altimeter Growth Corporation, a technology-focused investment firm.\nGrab CEO and Co-founder Anthony Tan sees this as a positive showing as they move closer to their public listing.\n“As we prepare to become a listed company, we’re sharing our first-ever quarterly financial results and we continue to deliver strong growth, despite the ongoing impact of COVID-19. Southeast Asian consumers trust Grab to meet their everyday needs in a growing number of ways, and we are excited about the emerging growth opportunities we see in our grocery delivery and financial services offerings.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805563621,"gmtCreate":1627892330163,"gmtModify":1633755541689,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Now they can also give more dividends.&nbsp;","listText":"Now they can also give more dividends.&nbsp;","text":"Now they can also give more dividends.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805563621","repostId":"1118421059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118421059","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627889266,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118421059?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 15:27","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"SG bank loans expands by a record-breaking 3.5% in June<blockquote>新加坡6月份银行贷款增长创纪录的3.5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118421059","media":"Singapore Business","summary":"This is the fastest rate of expansion since October 2018.\n\nSingapore bank loans expanded by 3.5% yea","content":"<p>  <b><i>This is the fastest rate of expansion since October 2018.</i></b>  Singapore bank loans expanded by 3.5% year-on-year (YoY)&nbsp;in June, the highest since October 2018, amidst optimism in the market, OCBC Treasury Research reported.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>这是自2018年10月以来最快的扩张速度。</i></b>华侨银行财资研究报告称，由于市场乐观，6月份新加坡银行贷款同比增长3.5%，为2018年10月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> This was driven not only by the low base last year, but also by more buoyant economic sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>这不仅受到去年基数较低的推动，也受到经济情绪更加活跃的推动。</blockquote></p><p> Business loan growths finally reverted to positive territory at 2.6%, driven by a 12.8% growth in loan demand in general commerce and 1.2% loan demand from financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>在一般商业贷款需求增长12.8%和金融机构贷款需求增长1.2%的推动下，商业贷款增长最终恢复到2.6%的正值。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer loans have been expanding since February amidst a buoyant mortgage loan market, which expanded 3.4% year-on-year, and credit demand for cards, credit card spending, and share financing.</p><p><blockquote>自2月份以来，由于抵押贷款市场蓬勃发展，同比增长3.4%，以及对信用卡、信用卡支出和股票融资的信贷需求，消费贷款一直在扩张。</blockquote></p><p> “This suggested that despite the dampening effects of tighter restrictions during the Phase 2 (Heightened Alert) period in mid-May to mid-June, the Spore economy was generally in better shape when compared to the stricter Circuit Breaker restrictions,” said OCBC Treasury Research Head of Research and Strategy Selena Ling.</p><p><blockquote>华侨银行表示：“这表明，尽管在5月中旬至6月中旬的第二阶段（高度警戒）期间更严格的限制措施产生了抑制作用，但与更严格的熔断限制相比，孢子经济总体状况更好。”研究与策略主管Selena Ling。</blockquote></p><p> Month-on-month, June bank loans expanded by 1.5%, marking the eighth straight month of bank loan expansion.</p><p><blockquote>环比来看，6月银行贷款扩张1.5%，为银行贷款连续第八个月扩张。</blockquote></p><p> “Bank loans growth accelerated to 1.7% YoY&nbsp;in 2Q21, bringing the first half of the year to 0.5% YoY. Our full-year bank loans growth forecast remains at 1.5% YoY given the relatively low base in the second half of 2020,” said Ling.</p><p><blockquote>“2021年第二季度银行贷款同比增长加速至1.7%，上半年同比增长至0.5%。鉴于2020年下半年基数相对较低，我们全年银行贷款同比增长预测仍为1.5%，”凌说。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1618986048053","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SG bank loans expands by a record-breaking 3.5% in June<blockquote>新加坡6月份银行贷款增长创纪录的3.5%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSG bank loans expands by a record-breaking 3.5% in June<blockquote>新加坡6月份银行贷款增长创纪录的3.5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Singapore Business</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 15:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b><i>This is the fastest rate of expansion since October 2018.</i></b>  Singapore bank loans expanded by 3.5% year-on-year (YoY)&nbsp;in June, the highest since October 2018, amidst optimism in the market, OCBC Treasury Research reported.</p><p><blockquote><b><i>这是自2018年10月以来最快的扩张速度。</i></b>华侨银行财资研究报告称，由于市场乐观，6月份新加坡银行贷款同比增长3.5%，为2018年10月以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> This was driven not only by the low base last year, but also by more buoyant economic sentiments.</p><p><blockquote>这不仅受到去年基数较低的推动，也受到经济情绪更加活跃的推动。</blockquote></p><p> Business loan growths finally reverted to positive territory at 2.6%, driven by a 12.8% growth in loan demand in general commerce and 1.2% loan demand from financial institutions.</p><p><blockquote>在一般商业贷款需求增长12.8%和金融机构贷款需求增长1.2%的推动下，商业贷款增长最终恢复到2.6%的正值。</blockquote></p><p> Consumer loans have been expanding since February amidst a buoyant mortgage loan market, which expanded 3.4% year-on-year, and credit demand for cards, credit card spending, and share financing.</p><p><blockquote>自2月份以来，由于抵押贷款市场蓬勃发展，同比增长3.4%，以及对信用卡、信用卡支出和股票融资的信贷需求，消费贷款一直在扩张。</blockquote></p><p> “This suggested that despite the dampening effects of tighter restrictions during the Phase 2 (Heightened Alert) period in mid-May to mid-June, the Spore economy was generally in better shape when compared to the stricter Circuit Breaker restrictions,” said OCBC Treasury Research Head of Research and Strategy Selena Ling.</p><p><blockquote>华侨银行表示：“这表明，尽管在5月中旬至6月中旬的第二阶段（高度警戒）期间更严格的限制措施产生了抑制作用，但与更严格的熔断限制相比，孢子经济总体状况更好。”研究与策略主管Selena Ling。</blockquote></p><p> Month-on-month, June bank loans expanded by 1.5%, marking the eighth straight month of bank loan expansion.</p><p><blockquote>环比来看，6月银行贷款扩张1.5%，为银行贷款连续第八个月扩张。</blockquote></p><p> “Bank loans growth accelerated to 1.7% YoY&nbsp;in 2Q21, bringing the first half of the year to 0.5% YoY. Our full-year bank loans growth forecast remains at 1.5% YoY given the relatively low base in the second half of 2020,” said Ling.</p><p><blockquote>“2021年第二季度银行贷款同比增长加速至1.7%，上半年同比增长至0.5%。鉴于2020年下半年基数相对较低，我们全年银行贷款同比增长预测仍为1.5%，”凌说。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://sbr.com.sg/financial-services/news/sg-bank-loans-expands-record-breaking-35-in-june\">Singapore Business</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"O39.SI":"华侨银行"},"source_url":"https://sbr.com.sg/financial-services/news/sg-bank-loans-expands-record-breaking-35-in-june","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118421059","content_text":"This is the fastest rate of expansion since October 2018.\n\nSingapore bank loans expanded by 3.5% year-on-year (YoY) in June, the highest since October 2018, amidst optimism in the market, OCBC Treasury Research reported.\nThis was driven not only by the low base last year, but also by more buoyant economic sentiments.\nBusiness loan growths finally reverted to positive territory at 2.6%, driven by a 12.8% growth in loan demand in general commerce and 1.2% loan demand from financial institutions.\nConsumer loans have been expanding since February amidst a buoyant mortgage loan market, which expanded 3.4% year-on-year, and credit demand for cards, credit card spending, and share financing.\n“This suggested that despite the dampening effects of tighter restrictions during the Phase 2 (Heightened Alert) period in mid-May to mid-June, the Spore economy was generally in better shape when compared to the stricter Circuit Breaker restrictions,” said OCBC Treasury Research Head of Research and Strategy Selena Ling.\nMonth-on-month, June bank loans expanded by 1.5%, marking the eighth straight month of bank loan expansion.\n“Bank loans growth accelerated to 1.7% YoY in 2Q21, bringing the first half of the year to 0.5% YoY. Our full-year bank loans growth forecast remains at 1.5% YoY given the relatively low base in the second half of 2020,” said Ling.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"O39.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801786440,"gmtCreate":1627535197480,"gmtModify":1633764013811,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Now says far away. Roti prata also. Haha","listText":"Now says far away. Roti prata also. Haha","text":"Now says far away. Roti prata also. Haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801786440","repostId":"1127264445","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127264445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627514621,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127264445?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 07:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点；鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127264445","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after th","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月19日-标普500周三收盘变化不大，但脱离盘中低点，此前美联储表示美国经济复苏仍在正轨上，主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>表示央行距离考虑加息还有一段路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping the market in check, shares of tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>控制市场，科技巨头的股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc预测收入增长放缓，股价下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储发布新政策声明后的新闻发布会上，鲍威尔还表示，在退出美联储提供的经济支持之前，美国就业市场仍有“一些地方需要覆盖”。2020年春季，以应对冠状病毒大流行的经济冲击。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于俄亥俄州托莱多的投资咨询公司Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc总裁艾伦·兰茨(Alan Lancz)表示：“看起来对市场来说最积极的事情可能是他们远未加息。”</blockquote></p><p> Right after the Fed statement, the S&amp;P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.</p><p><blockquote>美联储声明发布后，标普500指数扭转了小幅跌势，但当天收盘仍小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>一直担心通胀上升和COVID-19病例激增可能会影响央行可能开始撤回刺激措施的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.</p><p><blockquote>央行还表示，通胀上升仍然是“暂时性因素”的结果。美联储将隔夜基准利率维持在零附近，并维持债券购买计划不变。</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> ended higher and shares of Google parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>谷歌母公司股价收高<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>由于广告支出激增帮助其公布了创纪录的季度业绩，Inc创下历史新高。该股收盘上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌127.59点，跌幅0.36%，至34,930.93点；标普500下跌0.82点，跌幅0.02%，至4,400.64点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨102.01点，跌幅0.7%，至14,762.58点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明是在最近一次为期两天的政策会议结束时发表的。</blockquote></p><p> “They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">Wellesley</a>, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>F.L.投资组合经理Ellen Hazen表示：“他们有机会发出信号，表明他们将变得更加鹰派，但他们选择不接受。最重要的是，他们是可预测的，而且仍然是可预测的。”普特南投资管理公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">韦尔斯利</a>，马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> In other earnings news, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在其他财报消息中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>尽管云服务的繁荣帮助其收入和盈利超出了华尔街的预期，但该公司收盘下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为98.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的全交易日平均成交量相似。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.85比1；在纳斯达克，2.61比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下42个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得44个新高和67个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点；鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点；鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-29 07:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月19日-标普500周三收盘变化不大，但脱离盘中低点，此前美联储表示美国经济复苏仍在正轨上，主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>表示央行距离考虑加息还有一段路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping the market in check, shares of tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>控制市场，科技巨头的股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc预测收入增长放缓，股价下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储发布新政策声明后的新闻发布会上，鲍威尔还表示，在退出美联储提供的经济支持之前，美国就业市场仍有“一些地方需要覆盖”。2020年春季，以应对冠状病毒大流行的经济冲击。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于俄亥俄州托莱多的投资咨询公司Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc总裁艾伦·兰茨(Alan Lancz)表示：“看起来对市场来说最积极的事情可能是他们远未加息。”</blockquote></p><p> Right after the Fed statement, the S&amp;P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.</p><p><blockquote>美联储声明发布后，标普500指数扭转了小幅跌势，但当天收盘仍小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>一直担心通胀上升和COVID-19病例激增可能会影响央行可能开始撤回刺激措施的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.</p><p><blockquote>央行还表示，通胀上升仍然是“暂时性因素”的结果。美联储将隔夜基准利率维持在零附近，并维持债券购买计划不变。</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> ended higher and shares of Google parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>谷歌母公司股价收高<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>由于广告支出激增帮助其公布了创纪录的季度业绩，Inc创下历史新高。该股收盘上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌127.59点，跌幅0.36%，至34,930.93点；标普500下跌0.82点，跌幅0.02%，至4,400.64点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨102.01点，跌幅0.7%，至14,762.58点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明是在最近一次为期两天的政策会议结束时发表的。</blockquote></p><p> “They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">Wellesley</a>, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>F.L.投资组合经理Ellen Hazen表示：“他们有机会发出信号，表明他们将变得更加鹰派，但他们选择不接受。最重要的是，他们是可预测的，而且仍然是可预测的。”普特南投资管理公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">韦尔斯利</a>，马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> In other earnings news, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在其他财报消息中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>尽管云服务的繁荣帮助其收入和盈利超出了华尔街的预期，但该公司收盘下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为98.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的全交易日平均成交量相似。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.85比1；在纳斯达克，2.61比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下42个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得44个新高和67个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127264445","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.\nKeeping the market in check, shares of tech giant Apple Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.\nIn a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.\n“It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.\nRight after the Fed statement, the S&P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.\nInvestors have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.\nThe central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.\nThe Nasdaq ended higher and shares of Google parent Alphabet Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.\nThe Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.\n“They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.\nIn other earnings news, Microsoft Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SDS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"OEF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3144,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809992906,"gmtCreate":1627343040805,"gmtModify":1633766005641,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why not??? Why?","listText":"Why not??? Why?","text":"Why not??? Why?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809992906","repostId":"2154720964","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800638689,"gmtCreate":1627296618241,"gmtModify":1633766422945,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"10 years is quite long! But patience is a virtue&nbsp;","listText":"10 years is quite long! But patience is a virtue&nbsp;","text":"10 years is quite long! But patience is a virtue","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800638689","repostId":"2154931205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2696,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177137785,"gmtCreate":1627185872447,"gmtModify":1633767332723,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It has potential to be.&nbsp;","listText":"It has potential to be.&nbsp;","text":"It has potential to be.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177137785","repostId":"2153936352","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177137608,"gmtCreate":1627185847404,"gmtModify":1633767333068,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes.&nbsp;","listText":"Yes.&nbsp;","text":"Yes.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177137608","repostId":"1115106146","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177137370,"gmtCreate":1627185822290,"gmtModify":1633767333315,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More projections but controlled as usual.&nbsp;","listText":"More projections but controlled as usual.&nbsp;","text":"More projections but controlled as usual.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177137370","repostId":"2153938547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153938547","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627085070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153938547?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153938547","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few mo","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何，但众所周知，它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&amp;Co.分析师Brian写道：“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道：“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布，但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较，而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元，高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize（对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测）的数据，平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元，高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize，平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌，尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中，33名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，2名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率，仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元，同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动，试图与竞争对手AT&amp;T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度势头强劲，我们安排了促销活动，以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号，”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象，例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业，该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题，预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元，预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动，这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎，但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到，随着全球经济全面重新开放，企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都是在春季推出的，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 08:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何，但众所周知，它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&amp;Co.分析师Brian写道：“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道：“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布，但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较，而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元，高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize（对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测）的数据，平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元，高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize，平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌，尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中，33名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，2名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率，仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元，同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动，试图与竞争对手AT&amp;T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度势头强劲，我们安排了促销活动，以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号，”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象，例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业，该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题，预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元，预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动，这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎，但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到，随着全球经济全面重新开放，企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都是在春季推出的，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153938547","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon\nHeavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.\nThe pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.\nTypically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple $(AAPL)$ is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.\nThe problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.\n\"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White.\nThe coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.\nThe June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower one, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.\nWhat to watch for\nEarnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.\nRevenue: The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.\nOn a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.\nStock movement: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.\nOf the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.\nWhat else to watch for\nApple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.\nSome encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. $(VZ)$, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&T Inc. $(T)$\n\"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .\nRaymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.\n\"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.\nUBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.\nBut he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.\nAnother key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.\n\"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"\nThe coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174843754,"gmtCreate":1627092352378,"gmtModify":1631885615347,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"And what will happen as Netflix also give out freegames…","listText":"And what will happen as Netflix also give out freegames…","text":"And what will happen as Netflix also give out freegames…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174843754","repostId":"2153981075","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178248971,"gmtCreate":1626825353393,"gmtModify":1633770724319,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can we stay up up up?","listText":"Can we stay up up up?","text":"Can we stay up up up?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178248971","repostId":"1125159418","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1125159418","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626791345,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125159418?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 22:29","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bank stocks rose in morning trading<blockquote>银行股早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125159418","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 20) Bank stocks rose in morning trading.","content":"<p>(July 20)&nbsp;Bank&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bc1fad4a92a719fcdda5a8789c6235d\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>（7月20日）银行股早盘走高。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bank stocks rose in morning trading<blockquote>银行股早盘上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBank stocks rose in morning trading<blockquote>银行股早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-20 22:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July 20)&nbsp;Bank&nbsp;stocks&nbsp;rose&nbsp;in&nbsp;morning&nbsp;trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bc1fad4a92a719fcdda5a8789c6235d\" tg-width=\"374\" tg-height=\"603\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>（7月20日）银行股早盘走高。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125159418","content_text":"(July 20) Bank stocks rose in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":144445010,"gmtCreate":1626312082430,"gmtModify":1633927996135,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really? Is it time to travel around?","listText":"Really? Is it time to travel around?","text":"Really? Is it time to travel around?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/144445010","repostId":"1104897195","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":525,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148491231,"gmtCreate":1626000098923,"gmtModify":1633930997955,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"As long as people are in it, it will go up. And see Tesla boss. Will be support. Haha","listText":"As long as people are in it, it will go up. And see Tesla boss. Will be support. Haha","text":"As long as people are in it, it will go up. And see Tesla boss. Will be support. Haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148491231","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨（Joshua Mits）说，“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则，意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵，这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨（Joshua Mits）说，“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则，意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵，这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SCHW":"嘉信理财","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线","BB":"黑莓","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CARV":0.9,"BB":0.9,"GME":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"NEGG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143174501,"gmtCreate":1625785875803,"gmtModify":1633937453406,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hopefully things will be better next week.&nbsp;","listText":"Hopefully things will be better next week.&nbsp;","text":"Hopefully things will be better next week.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143174501","repostId":"1153646457","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149111964,"gmtCreate":1625708877658,"gmtModify":1633938139558,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The higher the better. Go go go.&nbsp;","listText":"The higher the better. Go go go.&nbsp;","text":"The higher the better. Go go go.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149111964","repostId":"1193960545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193960545","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625699849,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193960545?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 07:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193960545","media":"Reuters","summary":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq ","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>  <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li> </ul> NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储热衷于“做好准备”对通胀采取行动——会议纪要</li><li>道指涨0.3%，标普500涨0.3%，纳斯达克涨0.01%</li></ul>路透纽约7月7日-美国股市周三收高，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘纪录高位，此前美联储上次会议纪要显示官员可能尚未准备好采取紧缩政策。</blockquote></p><p> According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储6月政策会议纪要，美联储官员认为经济复苏“普遍认为尚未取得实质性进一步进展”，但一致认为，如果通胀或其他风险成为现实，他们应该做好采取行动的准备。</blockquote></p><p> \"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔瑟姆联邦金融网络首席投资官布拉德·麦克米伦(Brad McMillan)表示：“我认为这实际上是一套鸽派言论，因为作为一个群体，他们对局势没有足够的确定性，无法做出任何改变。”，马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议纪要公布后，美国国债收益率小幅走低，而股市大多小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要反映了美联储在应对新的通胀风险但失业率仍然相对较高的问题上存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>在上个月的会议和声明之后，投资者开始预计美联储将比之前预期更快地采取紧缩行动。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街一直担心通胀，过去几个交易日投资者在与经济相关的价值股和成长型股票之间切换。</blockquote></p><p> Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p><p><blockquote>成长股(.RLG)和价值股(.RLV)周三均上涨，而工业股(.SPLRCI)和材料股(.SPLRCM)领涨标普500板块。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨104.42点，涨幅0.3%，至34,681.79点，标普500(.SPX)上涨14.59点，涨幅0.34%，至4,358.13点，纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨1.42点，涨幅0.01%，至14,665.06点。中国市场监管机构表示，已对滴滴出行（DIDI.N）、腾讯控股（0700.HK）和阿里巴巴-SW（9988.HK）等多家互联网公司处以罚款，原因是其未能将早期并购交易上报审批。了解更多</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴在美国上市的股价下跌4.6%，周二跌幅接近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.02比1；在纳斯达克，1.92比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下71个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得84个新高和121个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为100.4亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 07:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>  <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li> </ul> NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储热衷于“做好准备”对通胀采取行动——会议纪要</li><li>道指涨0.3%，标普500涨0.3%，纳斯达克涨0.01%</li></ul>路透纽约7月7日-美国股市周三收高，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘纪录高位，此前美联储上次会议纪要显示官员可能尚未准备好采取紧缩政策。</blockquote></p><p> According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储6月政策会议纪要，美联储官员认为经济复苏“普遍认为尚未取得实质性进一步进展”，但一致认为，如果通胀或其他风险成为现实，他们应该做好采取行动的准备。</blockquote></p><p> \"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔瑟姆联邦金融网络首席投资官布拉德·麦克米伦(Brad McMillan)表示：“我认为这实际上是一套鸽派言论，因为作为一个群体，他们对局势没有足够的确定性，无法做出任何改变。”，马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议纪要公布后，美国国债收益率小幅走低，而股市大多小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要反映了美联储在应对新的通胀风险但失业率仍然相对较高的问题上存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>在上个月的会议和声明之后，投资者开始预计美联储将比之前预期更快地采取紧缩行动。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街一直担心通胀，过去几个交易日投资者在与经济相关的价值股和成长型股票之间切换。</blockquote></p><p> Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p><p><blockquote>成长股(.RLG)和价值股(.RLV)周三均上涨，而工业股(.SPLRCI)和材料股(.SPLRCM)领涨标普500板块。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨104.42点，涨幅0.3%，至34,681.79点，标普500(.SPX)上涨14.59点，涨幅0.34%，至4,358.13点，纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨1.42点，涨幅0.01%，至14,665.06点。中国市场监管机构表示，已对滴滴出行（DIDI.N）、腾讯控股（0700.HK）和阿里巴巴-SW（9988.HK）等多家互联网公司处以罚款，原因是其未能将早期并购交易上报审批。了解更多</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴在美国上市的股价下跌4.6%，周二跌幅接近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.02比1；在纳斯达克，1.92比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下71个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得84个新高和121个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为100.4亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193960545","content_text":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.\nAccording to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.\n\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.\nTreasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.\nThe minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.\nAfter its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.\nWall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.\nBoth growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&P 500 sector gains.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more\nU.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"QID":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SH":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"NDAQ":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"UPRO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154206662,"gmtCreate":1625528546956,"gmtModify":1631884128041,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3554952819125110","idStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go go BTC go!","listText":"Go go BTC go!","text":"Go go BTC go!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154206662","repostId":"1139574200","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":101946175,"gmtCreate":1619840015297,"gmtModify":1634209548766,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will you buy Tesla cars or Tesla shares? Which isbetter?","listText":"Will you buy Tesla cars or Tesla shares? Which isbetter?","text":"Will you buy Tesla cars or Tesla shares? Which isbetter?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101946175","repostId":"1146129324","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146129324","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619795610,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1146129324?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-30 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"1 Question Tesla Investors Need to Ask Themselves<blockquote>特斯拉投资者需要问自己的1个问题</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146129324","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Electric-car companyTeslahas now produced a profit for seven consecutive quarters. Tesla managed aGAAPnet income of $438 million in the first quarter, up from just $16 million one-year prior. It would appear, at least at first glance, that the electric-vehicle  pioneer is on the right track in terms of profitability.The problem is that these profits aren't really coming from the cars that Tesla sells. The company currently generates hundreds of millions of dollars in pure profit each quarter fro","content":"<p>Electric-car company<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)has now produced a profit for seven consecutive quarters. Tesla managed aGAAPnet income of $438 million in the first quarter, up from just $16 million one-year prior. It would appear, at least at first glance, that the electric-vehicle (EV) pioneer is on the right track in terms of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车公司<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）现已连续七个季度盈利。特斯拉第一季度管理的AGAAP净收入为4.38亿美元，高于一年前的1600万美元。至少乍一看，这家电动汽车（EV）先驱在盈利能力方面似乎走在正确的轨道上。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that these profits aren't really coming from the cars that Tesla sells. The company currently generates hundreds of millions of dollars in pure profit each quarter from the sale of regulatory credits, a side effect of other automakers not making enough zero-emission vehicles to meet regulatory requirements.</p><p><blockquote>问题是这些利润并不是真正来自特斯拉销售的汽车。该公司目前每个季度都从销售监管信用中获得数亿美元的净利润，这是其他汽车制造商没有生产足够的零排放汽车来满足监管要求的副作用。</blockquote></p><p> Regulatory credit sales totaled $518 million in the first quarter, accounting for all of Tesla's profit and then some. This has been the case in previous quarters, as well. In fact, after backing out regulatory credits from Tesla's net income, the company has been unprofitable for six-straight quarters.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度监管信贷销售额总计5.18亿美元，占特斯拉全部利润甚至部分利润。前几个季度也是如此。事实上，在从特斯拉净利润中收回监管信贷后，该公司已连续六个季度不盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's bottom line got an additional boost in the first quarter from a gain onthe sale of<b>Bitcoin</b>to the tune of $101 million, which showed up as a reduction in costs. The picture doesn't look so rosy when both regulatory credits and Bitcoin gains are excluded:</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第一季度的利润因出售<b>比特币</b>高达1.01亿美元，这表现为成本的降低。当排除监管信贷和比特币收益时，情况看起来并不那么乐观：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0906160cab581f4c8a599b7d0965d34\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> DATA SOURCE: TESLA. CHART BY AUTHOR.</p><p><blockquote>数据来源：特斯拉。作者图表。</blockquote></p><p> There's no question that Tesla's growth is impressive, but there's also no question that the core business of making and selling cars is not turning a profit. The question Tesla investors need to ask themselves is: If Tesla isn't profitable now, when there's little to no competition in electric vehicles in the United States, what's going to happen when a deluge of competition fromtraditional automakersarrives?</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，特斯拉的增长令人印象深刻，但毫无疑问，制造和销售汽车的核心业务并未盈利。特斯拉投资者需要问自己的问题是：如果特斯拉现在没有盈利，当美国电动汽车几乎没有竞争时，当传统汽车制造商的大量竞争到来时会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> A ton of competition is coming</p><p><blockquote>大量的竞争即将到来</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's brand has a cult following, so some people will be buying Tesla vehicles regardless of the other options available. But that's not likely to be the case for most people.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的品牌拥有狂热的追随者，因此无论其他选择如何，有些人都会购买特斯拉汽车。但对大多数人来说，情况不太可能如此。</blockquote></p><p> The number of electric vehicles available for purchase in the U.S. is set to explode in the coming years.<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:GM)is planning to launch 30 EVs globally by 2025, with two-thirds set to be sold in North America. The company is aiming to sell 1 million EVs annually in North America by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>未来几年，美国可供购买的电动汽车数量将呈爆炸式增长。<b>通用汽车</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GM）计划到2025年在全球推出30款电动汽车，其中三分之二将在北美销售。该公司的目标是到2025年在北美每年销售100万辆电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Those models include electric versions of the company's GMC Hummer and Chevrolet Silverado pickup truck. Tesla has a loyal customer base, but so does GM. Someone who's been a GM truck buyer for years is likely to stick with GM when they decide to switch to an electric vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>这些车型包括该公司GMC悍马和雪佛兰索罗德皮卡的电动版本。特斯拉拥有忠实的客户群，但通用汽车也是如此。多年来一直购买通用汽车卡车的人在决定转向电动汽车时可能会坚持使用通用汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c651279799dfdf96552379a7b5d448a9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GM.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：通用汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford</b>(NYSE:F)is also pouring resources into electric vehicles, allocating $29 billion for electric and autonomous vehicles through 2025. The company's plans include anelectric version of its F-150 pickup truck, which should hit the production lines by mid-2022. Given GM's and Ford's plans, it will not be easy for Tesla to steal away market share in the lucrative pickup-truck segment.</p><p><blockquote><b>福特</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）也在向电动汽车投入资源，到2025年为电动和自动驾驶汽车拨款290亿美元。该公司的计划包括F-150皮卡车的电动版本，预计将于2022年中期投入生产线。鉴于通用和福特的计划，特斯拉要抢走利润丰厚的皮卡市场份额并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> Other car companies have big plans, as well.<b>Volkswagen</b>(OTC:VWAGY)already sells over 200,000 EVs annually andexpects that number to double this year. The company is aiming to sell roughly 2 million EVs annually by 2025 and expects to launch 70 EV models by 2030.<b>Toyota</b>(NYSE:TM)willlaunch 15 new electric vehicles by 2025, some of which will be under the new Toyota bZ sub-brand. The list goes on.</p><p><blockquote>其他汽车公司也有宏伟的计划。<b>大众汽车</b>(OTC：VWAGY)每年已销售超过200,000辆电动汽车，预计今年这一数字将翻一番。该公司的目标是到2025年每年销售约200万辆电动汽车，并预计到2030年推出70款电动汽车车型。<b>丰田</b>(NYSE：TM)将在2025年之前推出15款新电动汽车，其中一些将属于新的丰田bZ子品牌。这样的例子不胜枚举。</blockquote></p><p> Not only will all these electric vehicles provide consumers with a bevy of options beyond Tesla, but they'll also deprive Tesla of its regulatory-credit income as other automakers churn out an increasing number of EVs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些电动汽车不仅将为消费者提供特斯拉之外的一系列选择，而且随着其他汽车制造商生产越来越多的电动汽车，它们还将剥夺特斯拉的监管信贷收入。</blockquote></p><p> None of this is to say that Tesla can't be successful in a world where it faces more competition. But turning a profit is is going to get harder with each passing year.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说特斯拉不能在一个面临更多竞争的世界中取得成功。但每年盈利都会变得越来越困难。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>1 Question Tesla Investors Need to Ask Themselves<blockquote>特斯拉投资者需要问自己的1个问题</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n1 Question Tesla Investors Need to Ask Themselves<blockquote>特斯拉投资者需要问自己的1个问题</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-30 23:13</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Electric-car company<b>Tesla</b>(NASDAQ:TSLA)has now produced a profit for seven consecutive quarters. Tesla managed aGAAPnet income of $438 million in the first quarter, up from just $16 million one-year prior. It would appear, at least at first glance, that the electric-vehicle (EV) pioneer is on the right track in terms of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车公司<b>特斯拉</b>（纳斯达克：TSLA）现已连续七个季度盈利。特斯拉第一季度管理的AGAAP净收入为4.38亿美元，高于一年前的1600万美元。至少乍一看，这家电动汽车（EV）先驱在盈利能力方面似乎走在正确的轨道上。</blockquote></p><p> The problem is that these profits aren't really coming from the cars that Tesla sells. The company currently generates hundreds of millions of dollars in pure profit each quarter from the sale of regulatory credits, a side effect of other automakers not making enough zero-emission vehicles to meet regulatory requirements.</p><p><blockquote>问题是这些利润并不是真正来自特斯拉销售的汽车。该公司目前每个季度都从销售监管信用中获得数亿美元的净利润，这是其他汽车制造商没有生产足够的零排放汽车来满足监管要求的副作用。</blockquote></p><p> Regulatory credit sales totaled $518 million in the first quarter, accounting for all of Tesla's profit and then some. This has been the case in previous quarters, as well. In fact, after backing out regulatory credits from Tesla's net income, the company has been unprofitable for six-straight quarters.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度监管信贷销售额总计5.18亿美元，占特斯拉全部利润甚至部分利润。前几个季度也是如此。事实上，在从特斯拉净利润中收回监管信贷后，该公司已连续六个季度不盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's bottom line got an additional boost in the first quarter from a gain onthe sale of<b>Bitcoin</b>to the tune of $101 million, which showed up as a reduction in costs. The picture doesn't look so rosy when both regulatory credits and Bitcoin gains are excluded:</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第一季度的利润因出售<b>比特币</b>高达1.01亿美元，这表现为成本的降低。当排除监管信贷和比特币收益时，情况看起来并不那么乐观：</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0906160cab581f4c8a599b7d0965d34\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> DATA SOURCE: TESLA. CHART BY AUTHOR.</p><p><blockquote>数据来源：特斯拉。作者图表。</blockquote></p><p> There's no question that Tesla's growth is impressive, but there's also no question that the core business of making and selling cars is not turning a profit. The question Tesla investors need to ask themselves is: If Tesla isn't profitable now, when there's little to no competition in electric vehicles in the United States, what's going to happen when a deluge of competition fromtraditional automakersarrives?</p><p><blockquote>毫无疑问，特斯拉的增长令人印象深刻，但毫无疑问，制造和销售汽车的核心业务并未盈利。特斯拉投资者需要问自己的问题是：如果特斯拉现在没有盈利，当美国电动汽车几乎没有竞争时，当传统汽车制造商的大量竞争到来时会发生什么？</blockquote></p><p> A ton of competition is coming</p><p><blockquote>大量的竞争即将到来</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's brand has a cult following, so some people will be buying Tesla vehicles regardless of the other options available. But that's not likely to be the case for most people.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的品牌拥有狂热的追随者，因此无论其他选择如何，有些人都会购买特斯拉汽车。但对大多数人来说，情况不太可能如此。</blockquote></p><p> The number of electric vehicles available for purchase in the U.S. is set to explode in the coming years.<b>General Motors</b>(NYSE:GM)is planning to launch 30 EVs globally by 2025, with two-thirds set to be sold in North America. The company is aiming to sell 1 million EVs annually in North America by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>未来几年，美国可供购买的电动汽车数量将呈爆炸式增长。<b>通用汽车</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GM）计划到2025年在全球推出30款电动汽车，其中三分之二将在北美销售。该公司的目标是到2025年在北美每年销售100万辆电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Those models include electric versions of the company's GMC Hummer and Chevrolet Silverado pickup truck. Tesla has a loyal customer base, but so does GM. Someone who's been a GM truck buyer for years is likely to stick with GM when they decide to switch to an electric vehicle.</p><p><blockquote>这些车型包括该公司GMC悍马和雪佛兰索罗德皮卡的电动版本。特斯拉拥有忠实的客户群，但通用汽车也是如此。多年来一直购买通用汽车卡车的人在决定转向电动汽车时可能会坚持使用通用汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c651279799dfdf96552379a7b5d448a9\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> IMAGE SOURCE: GM.</p><p><blockquote>图片来源：通用汽车。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Ford</b>(NYSE:F)is also pouring resources into electric vehicles, allocating $29 billion for electric and autonomous vehicles through 2025. The company's plans include anelectric version of its F-150 pickup truck, which should hit the production lines by mid-2022. Given GM's and Ford's plans, it will not be easy for Tesla to steal away market share in the lucrative pickup-truck segment.</p><p><blockquote><b>福特</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：F）也在向电动汽车投入资源，到2025年为电动和自动驾驶汽车拨款290亿美元。该公司的计划包括F-150皮卡车的电动版本，预计将于2022年中期投入生产线。鉴于通用和福特的计划，特斯拉要抢走利润丰厚的皮卡市场份额并不容易。</blockquote></p><p> Other car companies have big plans, as well.<b>Volkswagen</b>(OTC:VWAGY)already sells over 200,000 EVs annually andexpects that number to double this year. The company is aiming to sell roughly 2 million EVs annually by 2025 and expects to launch 70 EV models by 2030.<b>Toyota</b>(NYSE:TM)willlaunch 15 new electric vehicles by 2025, some of which will be under the new Toyota bZ sub-brand. The list goes on.</p><p><blockquote>其他汽车公司也有宏伟的计划。<b>大众汽车</b>(OTC：VWAGY)每年已销售超过200,000辆电动汽车，预计今年这一数字将翻一番。该公司的目标是到2025年每年销售约200万辆电动汽车，并预计到2030年推出70款电动汽车车型。<b>丰田</b>(NYSE：TM)将在2025年之前推出15款新电动汽车，其中一些将属于新的丰田bZ子品牌。这样的例子不胜枚举。</blockquote></p><p> Not only will all these electric vehicles provide consumers with a bevy of options beyond Tesla, but they'll also deprive Tesla of its regulatory-credit income as other automakers churn out an increasing number of EVs.</p><p><blockquote>所有这些电动汽车不仅将为消费者提供特斯拉之外的一系列选择，而且随着其他汽车制造商生产越来越多的电动汽车，它们还将剥夺特斯拉的监管信贷收入。</blockquote></p><p> None of this is to say that Tesla can't be successful in a world where it faces more competition. But turning a profit is is going to get harder with each passing year.</p><p><blockquote>这并不是说特斯拉不能在一个面临更多竞争的世界中取得成功。但每年盈利都会变得越来越困难。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/30/1-question-tesla-investors-need-to-ask-themselves/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/30/1-question-tesla-investors-need-to-ask-themselves/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146129324","content_text":"Electric-car companyTesla(NASDAQ:TSLA)has now produced a profit for seven consecutive quarters. Tesla managed aGAAPnet income of $438 million in the first quarter, up from just $16 million one-year prior. It would appear, at least at first glance, that the electric-vehicle (EV) pioneer is on the right track in terms of profitability.\nThe problem is that these profits aren't really coming from the cars that Tesla sells. The company currently generates hundreds of millions of dollars in pure profit each quarter from the sale of regulatory credits, a side effect of other automakers not making enough zero-emission vehicles to meet regulatory requirements.\nRegulatory credit sales totaled $518 million in the first quarter, accounting for all of Tesla's profit and then some. This has been the case in previous quarters, as well. In fact, after backing out regulatory credits from Tesla's net income, the company has been unprofitable for six-straight quarters.\nTesla's bottom line got an additional boost in the first quarter from a gain onthe sale ofBitcointo the tune of $101 million, which showed up as a reduction in costs. The picture doesn't look so rosy when both regulatory credits and Bitcoin gains are excluded:\n\nDATA SOURCE: TESLA. CHART BY AUTHOR.\nThere's no question that Tesla's growth is impressive, but there's also no question that the core business of making and selling cars is not turning a profit. The question Tesla investors need to ask themselves is: If Tesla isn't profitable now, when there's little to no competition in electric vehicles in the United States, what's going to happen when a deluge of competition fromtraditional automakersarrives?\nA ton of competition is coming\nTesla's brand has a cult following, so some people will be buying Tesla vehicles regardless of the other options available. But that's not likely to be the case for most people.\nThe number of electric vehicles available for purchase in the U.S. is set to explode in the coming years.General Motors(NYSE:GM)is planning to launch 30 EVs globally by 2025, with two-thirds set to be sold in North America. The company is aiming to sell 1 million EVs annually in North America by 2025.\nThose models include electric versions of the company's GMC Hummer and Chevrolet Silverado pickup truck. Tesla has a loyal customer base, but so does GM. Someone who's been a GM truck buyer for years is likely to stick with GM when they decide to switch to an electric vehicle.\n\nIMAGE SOURCE: GM.\nFord(NYSE:F)is also pouring resources into electric vehicles, allocating $29 billion for electric and autonomous vehicles through 2025. The company's plans include anelectric version of its F-150 pickup truck, which should hit the production lines by mid-2022. Given GM's and Ford's plans, it will not be easy for Tesla to steal away market share in the lucrative pickup-truck segment.\nOther car companies have big plans, as well.Volkswagen(OTC:VWAGY)already sells over 200,000 EVs annually andexpects that number to double this year. The company is aiming to sell roughly 2 million EVs annually by 2025 and expects to launch 70 EV models by 2030.Toyota(NYSE:TM)willlaunch 15 new electric vehicles by 2025, some of which will be under the new Toyota bZ sub-brand. The list goes on.\nNot only will all these electric vehicles provide consumers with a bevy of options beyond Tesla, but they'll also deprive Tesla of its regulatory-credit income as other automakers churn out an increasing number of EVs.\nNone of this is to say that Tesla can't be successful in a world where it faces more competition. But turning a profit is is going to get harder with each passing year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":608,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576371892942792","authorId":"3576371892942792","name":"Gigachad","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/364a97d9d654c75693bbd29342d265f9","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576371892942792","authorIdStr":"3576371892942792"},"content":"Shares for now. Will get a tesla car in a few years though.","text":"Shares for now. Will get a tesla car in a few years though.","html":"Shares for now. Will get a tesla car in a few years though."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177137370,"gmtCreate":1627185822290,"gmtModify":1633767333315,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More projections but controlled as usual.&nbsp;","listText":"More projections but controlled as usual.&nbsp;","text":"More projections but controlled as usual.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177137370","repostId":"2153938547","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153938547","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627085070,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153938547?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 08:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153938547","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few mo","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何，但众所周知，它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&amp;Co.分析师Brian写道：“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道：“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布，但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较，而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元，高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize（对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测）的数据，平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元，高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize，平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌，尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中，33名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，2名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率，仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元，同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动，试图与竞争对手AT&amp;T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度势头强劲，我们安排了促销活动，以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号，”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象，例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业，该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题，预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元，预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动，这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎，但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到，随着全球经济全面重新开放，企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都是在春季推出的，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat will Apple say about the next iPhone at earnings time? Maybe more than usual<blockquote>苹果在财报发布时会对下一代iPhone说些什么？也许比平时多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 08:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon</p><p><blockquote>苹果财报预览：最近缺乏季度预测可能会导致高管在周二下午讨论业绩时透露更多有关下一次iPhone发布的暗示</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1694f71fa4dec194ef63e28ffc75776f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"495\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Heavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>无线行业的大力促销可能使苹果在第二季度的业务受益。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.</p><p><blockquote>这场大流行可能会给通常伴随苹果公司六月季度电话会议的猜谜游戏增添一丝皱纹。</blockquote></p><p> Typically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>通常最重要的花絮来自第三财季收益，苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>定于周二下午公布该公司对9月份季度收入的展望和评论，这可以为该公司在下一款智能手机发布初期的预期提供线索。强劲的预测可能意味着该公司打算在本财年的最后几天推出新产品线，而较弱的指引可能表明推出将推迟到第四季度。</blockquote></p><p> The problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.</p><p><blockquote>这一次的问题是，苹果在疫情期间推迟发布正式展望一年多，目前尚不清楚该公司何时或是否会恢复这种做法。相反，苹果一直在提供“方向性见解”，以表明其业绩与前几个季度的业绩相比如何，但众所周知，它对iPhone发布计划守口如瓶。</blockquote></p><p> \"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt &amp; Co. analyst Brian White.</p><p><blockquote>Monness、Crespi、Hardt&amp;Co.分析师Brian写道：“我们预计iPhone 13的上市时间最终将成为[第四财季]的摇摆因素，因此我们预计该公司将提供更精细的方向性评论。”怀特。</blockquote></p><p> The coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的阵容表现良好，即将推出的产品令人非常感兴趣。Barclays分析师Tim Long写道：“iPhone 12周期一直很强劲，但我们认为接下来的两个周期可能会充满挑战，2022财年和2023财年的销量可能会同比下降。”</blockquote></p><p> The June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.</p><p><blockquote>苹果将于周二公布的六月季度数据传统上较慢<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>随着消费者等待下一款iPhone的发布，但该公司仍有望实现智能手机业务的大幅增长。该公司不仅可以轻松地与疫情早期进行比较，而且还应该从异常促销的无线行业中获得回报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>注意什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Earnings:</b> Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.</p><p><blockquote><b>收益：</b>FactSet追踪的分析师预计苹果每股收益为1.01美元，高于去年同期的65美分。根据Estimize（对冲基金、学者和其他人的众包预测）的数据，平均预期每股收益为1.16美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Revenue: </b>The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>收入：</b>FactSet一致认为评级的总收入为732.6亿美元，高于一年前的596.9亿美元。根据Estimize，平均估计为773.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> On a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.</p><p><blockquote>在细分市场层面，FactSet调查的分析师预计iPhone收入为341.9亿美元，iPad收入为71.7亿美元，Mac收入为78.6亿美元，服务收入为162.6亿美元，可穿戴设备、家居和配件类别的收入为78.3亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock movement: </b>Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.</p><p><blockquote><b>股票变动：</b>苹果股价在过去五份财报中的四份后下跌，尽管该股在过去12个月内上涨了60%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了32%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的44名研究苹果股票的分析师中，33名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，2名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为157.88美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone业务有望实现至少三年来的第二大增长率，仅次于上一季度。FactSet追踪的分析师预计iPhone营收为342亿美元，同比增长29.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Some encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&amp;T Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></p><p><blockquote>威瑞森通信公司发出了一些令人鼓舞的信号。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VZ\">$(VZ)$</a>该公司最近进行了一次大规模的iPhone促销活动，试图与竞争对手AT&amp;T Inc.的折扣相匹配。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/T\">$(T)$</a></blockquote></p><p> \"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .</p><p><blockquote>Verizon首席财务官Matthew Ellis在公司财报看涨期权上表示：“整个季度势头强劲，我们安排了促销活动，以充分利用经济复苏和客户活动增加的机会。”威瑞森大约20%的消费者现在使用支持5G的手机。</blockquote></p><p> Raymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.</p><p><blockquote>Raymond James分析师Chris Caso指出，升级的数量甚至可能不是最重要的因素，因为他对去年iPhone运营商交易的分析发现，它们可能有助于推动更昂贵设备的更大“组合”。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> \"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.</p><p><blockquote>“如果免费提供基本型号，消费者似乎愿意每月支付几美元升级到更高端型号，”他在分析去年补贴的基础上写道。</blockquote></p><p> UBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.</p><p><blockquote>瑞银分析师David Vogt也对进入第三财季报告的业务感到乐观，他指出电信行业出现了积极迹象，例如“积极的促销活动”和无线商店零售流量的改善。</blockquote></p><p> But he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.</p><p><blockquote>但他指出，需求对苹果来说可能不是大问题，因为由于供应限制困扰更广泛的电子行业及其他行业，该公司的整体上涨空间受到“限制”。苹果在其收益看涨期权中解决了这些问题，预计6月份季度的负面收入影响将达到30亿至40亿美元，预计主要影响Mac和iPad业务。</blockquote></p><p> Another key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>另一个关键的叙述是，考虑到家庭以外更正常的活动，这两个部分如何更普遍地保持下去。苹果的Mac和iPad在那些需要新硬件来支持远程工作和学校教育的人中很受欢迎，但分析师将关注个人电脑的繁荣是否可持续。</blockquote></p><p> \"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"</p><p><blockquote>CFRA分析师安吉洛·齐诺(Angelo Zino)写道：“虽然苹果将不得不在[6月季度]及其后的几个季度应对非常困难的流行病比较，但我们看到这两个类别的近期有利因素。”“我们看到，随着全球经济全面重新开放，企业层面的企业升级将成为需求的更大贡献者。”</blockquote></p><p> The coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.</p><p><blockquote>即将发布的结果也将是苹果新的丰富多彩的iMac系列和功能强大的iPad Pro的第一个需求指标，这两款产品都是在春季推出的，并采用了该公司定制的M1芯片。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/what-will-apple-say-about-the-next-iphone-at-earnings-time-maybe-more-than-usual-11627077819?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153938547","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: Recent lack of quarterly forecasts could lead executives to divulge a few more hints about the next iPhone release when discussing results Tuesday afternoon\nHeavy promotions in the wireless industry likely benefited Apple's business during the June quarter.\nThe pandemic may add a wrinkle to the guessing game that normally accompanies Apple Inc.'s June-quarter conference call.\nTypically the most important tidbit coming out of fiscal third-quarter earnings, which Apple $(AAPL)$ is scheduled to report Tuesday afternoon, is the company's outlook and commentary around its September-quarter revenue, which can hold clues as to what the company expects in the early days of its next smartphone launch. A strong forecast may imply that the company intends to make its new lineup available during the waning days of its fiscal year, while weaker guidance could suggest the launch will be pushed in to the calendar fourth quarter.\nThe problem this time around is that Apple has held off on issuing a formal outlook for more than a year amid the pandemic, and it remains unclear when or if the company will resume the practice. Apple has instead been offering \"directional insights\" to offer some indication of how its results could stack up to those of prior quarters, but it has been notoriously tight-lipped about plans for iPhone launches.\n\"We expect the timing of iPhone 13 availability will ultimately prove to be the swing factor in [the fiscal fourth quarter], thus we anticipate the company will provide more granular directional commentary,\" wrote Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co. analyst Brian White.\nThe coming launch is of keen interest given that the current lineup has performed well. \"The iPhone 12 cycle has been strong but we believe the next two cycles may prove challenging with units potentially down [year over year] in FY22 and FY23,\" wrote Barclays analyst Tim Long.\nThe June quarter that Apple will report Tuesday is traditionally a slower one, as consumers wait for the next iPhone launch, but the company is still expected to deliver big growth in its smartphone business. Not only does the company have the benefit of easy comparisons to the early days of the pandemic, but it should also be reaping the rewards of an unusually promotional wireless industry.\nWhat to watch for\nEarnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect Apple to post $1.01 in earnings per share, up from 65 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics, and others, the average expectation is for $1.16 a share in EPS.\nRevenue: The FactSet consensus calls for $73.26 billion in overall revenue, up from $59.69 billion a year prior. On Estimize, the average estimate is for $77.38 billion.\nOn a segment level, analysts surveyed by FactSet project $34.19 billion in iPhone revenue, $7.17 billion in iPad revenue, $7.86 billion in Mac revenue, $16.26 billion in services revenue, and $7.83 billion in revenue for the wearables, home, and accessories category.\nStock movement: Apple shares have fallen after four of the past five earnings reports, though the stock is up 60% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased 32%.\nOf the 44 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 33 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings and two have sell ratings, with an average price target of $157.88.\nWhat else to watch for\nApple's iPhone business is set up for its second-largest rate of growth in at least three years, behind only what was seen in the previous quarter. Analysts tracked by FactSet are calling for $34.2 billion in iPhone revenue, up 29.4% from a year earlier.\nSome encouraging signals came from Verizon Communications Inc. $(VZ)$, which recently ran a big iPhone promotion as it sought to match discounts at rival AT&T Inc. $(T)$\n\"Momentum built throughout the quarter, and we timed our promotions to take full advantage of the economic recovery and increased customer activity,\" Verizon Chief Financial Officer Matthew Ellis said on his company's earnings call. About 20% of Verizon's consumer base is now using 5G-enabled phones .\nRaymond James analyst Chris Caso noted that the quantity of upgrades might not even be the most important factor, as his analysis of iPhone carrier deals from last year found that they can be helpful in driving a greater \"mix\" of more expensive devices.\n\"Consumers appear to have been willing to pay the few dollars per month to upgrade to higher-end models, if the base model was offered for free,\" he wrote, based on analyzing last year's subsidies.\nUBS analyst David Vogt is also feeling upbeat about the business heading into the fiscal third-quarter report, pointing to positive signs in the telecommunications industry like the \"aggressive promotions\" and improving retail traffic at wireless stores.\nBut he notes that demand may not be the big issue for Apple, as the company's overall upside is \"gated\" due to supply constraints plaguing the broader electronics industry and beyond. Apple addressed these issues on its earnings call, projecting a $3 billion to $4 billion negative revenue impact in the June quarter that was mainly expected to affect the Mac and iPad businesses.\nAnother key narrative is how those two segments held up more generally given a return to more normalized activities outside the home. Apple's Macs and iPads were popular purchases among those needing new hardware to power remote working and schooling, but analysts will be looking to see whether the personal-computer boom is sustainable.\n\"While Apple will have to contend with lapping very difficult pandemic comparisons in the [June quarter] and for several quarters thereafter, we see several near-term tailwinds from both categories,\" wrote CFRA analyst Angelo Zino. \"We see corporate upgrades on the enterprise level becoming a bigger contributor to demand as the economy fully reopens across the globe.\"\nThe coming results will also be the first gauge on demand for Apple's new colorful iMac lineup and powerful iPad Pro , both of which rolled out in the spring and feature the company's custom M1 chip.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":149111964,"gmtCreate":1625708877658,"gmtModify":1633938139558,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The higher the better. Go go go.&nbsp;","listText":"The higher the better. Go go go.&nbsp;","text":"The higher the better. Go go go.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149111964","repostId":"1193960545","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193960545","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625699849,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193960545?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-08 07:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193960545","media":"Reuters","summary":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq ","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>  <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li> </ul> NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储热衷于“做好准备”对通胀采取行动——会议纪要</li><li>道指涨0.3%，标普500涨0.3%，纳斯达克涨0.01%</li></ul>路透纽约7月7日-美国股市周三收高，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘纪录高位，此前美联储上次会议纪要显示官员可能尚未准备好采取紧缩政策。</blockquote></p><p> According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储6月政策会议纪要，美联储官员认为经济复苏“普遍认为尚未取得实质性进一步进展”，但一致认为，如果通胀或其他风险成为现实，他们应该做好采取行动的准备。</blockquote></p><p> \"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔瑟姆联邦金融网络首席投资官布拉德·麦克米伦(Brad McMillan)表示：“我认为这实际上是一套鸽派言论，因为作为一个群体，他们对局势没有足够的确定性，无法做出任何改变。”，马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议纪要公布后，美国国债收益率小幅走低，而股市大多小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要反映了美联储在应对新的通胀风险但失业率仍然相对较高的问题上存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>在上个月的会议和声明之后，投资者开始预计美联储将比之前预期更快地采取紧缩行动。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街一直担心通胀，过去几个交易日投资者在与经济相关的价值股和成长型股票之间切换。</blockquote></p><p> Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p><p><blockquote>成长股(.RLG)和价值股(.RLV)周三均上涨，而工业股(.SPLRCI)和材料股(.SPLRCM)领涨标普500板块。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨104.42点，涨幅0.3%，至34,681.79点，标普500(.SPX)上涨14.59点，涨幅0.34%，至4,358.13点，纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨1.42点，涨幅0.01%，至14,665.06点。中国市场监管机构表示，已对滴滴出行（DIDI.N）、腾讯控股（0700.HK）和阿里巴巴-SW（9988.HK）等多家互联网公司处以罚款，原因是其未能将早期并购交易上报审批。了解更多</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴在美国上市的股价下跌4.6%，周二跌幅接近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.02比1；在纳斯达克，1.92比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下71个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得84个新高和121个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为100.4亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500, Nasdaq post record closing highs after Fed minutes<blockquote>美联储会议纪要后，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-08 07:17</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes</li>  <li>Dow up 0.3%, S&amp;P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%</li> </ul> NEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>美联储热衷于“做好准备”对通胀采取行动——会议纪要</li><li>道指涨0.3%，标普500涨0.3%，纳斯达克涨0.01%</li></ul>路透纽约7月7日-美国股市周三收高，标普500和纳斯达克创下收盘纪录高位，此前美联储上次会议纪要显示官员可能尚未准备好采取紧缩政策。</blockquote></p><p> According to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.</p><p><blockquote>根据美联储6月政策会议纪要，美联储官员认为经济复苏“普遍认为尚未取得实质性进一步进展”，但一致认为，如果通胀或其他风险成为现实，他们应该做好采取行动的准备。</blockquote></p><p> \"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔瑟姆联邦金融网络首席投资官布拉德·麦克米伦(Brad McMillan)表示：“我认为这实际上是一套鸽派言论，因为作为一个群体，他们对局势没有足够的确定性，无法做出任何改变。”，马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> Treasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.</p><p><blockquote>美联储会议纪要公布后，美国国债收益率小幅走低，而股市大多小幅走高。</blockquote></p><p> The minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.</p><p><blockquote>会议纪要反映了美联储在应对新的通胀风险但失业率仍然相对较高的问题上存在分歧。</blockquote></p><p> After its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.</p><p><blockquote>在上个月的会议和声明之后，投资者开始预计美联储将比之前预期更快地采取紧缩行动。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街一直担心通胀，过去几个交易日投资者在与经济相关的价值股和成长型股票之间切换。</blockquote></p><p> Both growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&amp;P 500 sector gains.</p><p><blockquote>成长股(.RLG)和价值股(.RLV)周三均上涨，而工业股(.SPLRCI)和材料股(.SPLRCM)领涨标普500板块。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&amp;P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b82724f48859f601746f387b53e8bf71\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨104.42点，涨幅0.3%，至34,681.79点，标普500(.SPX)上涨14.59点，涨幅0.34%，至4,358.13点，纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨1.42点，涨幅0.01%，至14,665.06点。中国市场监管机构表示，已对滴滴出行（DIDI.N）、腾讯控股（0700.HK）和阿里巴巴-SW（9988.HK）等多家互联网公司处以罚款，原因是其未能将早期并购交易上报审批。了解更多</blockquote></p><p> U.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴在美国上市的股价下跌4.6%，周二跌幅接近20%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.02比1；在纳斯达克，1.92比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下71个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得84个新高和121个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为100.4亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为107亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","OEX":"标普100",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","NDAQ":"纳斯达克OMX交易所","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/sp-500-nasdaq-post-record-closing-highs-after-fed-minutes-2021-07-07/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193960545","content_text":"Fed keen to be \"well positioned\" to act on inflation - minutes\nDow up 0.3%, S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq up 0.01%\n\nNEW YORK, July 7 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks ended higher on Wednesday and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched record closing highs after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting indicated officials may not be ready yet to move on tightening policy.\nAccording to the minutes of the U.S. central bank's June policy meeting, Fed officials felt substantial further progress on the economic recovery \"was generally seen as not having yet been met,\" but agreed they should be poised to act if inflation or other risks materialized.\n\"I read this as effectively a dovish set of notes simply because they don't feel as a group that they have enough certainty around the situation to make any changes at all,\" said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network in Waltham, Massachusetts.\nTreasury yields edged lower following the Fed minutes, while stocks mostly edged higher.\nThe minutes reflected a divided Fed wrestling with new inflation risks but still relatively high unemployment.\nAfter its meeting and statement last month, investors began to anticipate the Fed would move more quickly to tighten than previously expected.\nWall Street has been concerned about inflation, with investors moving between economy-linked value stocks and growth names in the past few sessions.\nBoth growth(.RLG)and value stocks(.RLV)gained on Wednesday, while industrials(.SPLRCI)and materials(.SPLRCM)led S&P 500 sector gains.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 104.42 points, or 0.3%, to 34,681.79, the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 14.59 points, or 0.34%, to 4,358.13 and the Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)added 1.42 points, or 0.01%, to 14,665.06.China's market regulator said it has fined a number of internet companies including Didi Global(DIDI.N), Tencent(0700.HK)and Alibaba(9988.HK)for failing to report earlier merger and acquisition deals for approval.read more\nU.S.-listed shares of Didi fell 4.6%, adding to a nearly 20% slump on Tuesday.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.02-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.92-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted 71 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 84 new highs and 121 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.04 billion shares, compared with the 10.7 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"QID":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SH":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"NDAQ":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"UPRO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":360998786,"gmtCreate":1613805464845,"gmtModify":1634552144718,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The banker always win.&nbsp;","listText":"The banker always win.&nbsp;","text":"The banker always win.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360998786","repostId":"1161529893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161529893","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1613733842,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161529893?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-02-19 19:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161529893","media":"Marketwatch","summary":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by so","content":"<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs is joining the robo-investing party — should you?<blockquote>高盛正在加入机器人投资行列——你应该加入吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-19 19:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  ‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.  Robo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.</p><p><blockquote>加州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯说，就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜。他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。机器人投资在几乎每个经纪平台上都变得越来越普遍。直到周二，高盛GS(-0.91%)将其机器人咨询服务Marcus限制为至少有1000万美元可投资的人。</blockquote></p><p> Now anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.</p><p><blockquote>现在，任何拥有至少1,000美元可投资的人都可以使用高盛一些最富有的客户使用的相同交易算法，每年只需支付0.35%的咨询费。但投资专家表示，在跳上机器人投资列车之前，需要考虑更多成本。</blockquote></p><p> “Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.</p><p><blockquote>“就像在拉斯维加斯一样，众议院通常会获胜，”加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥的财务顾问万斯·巴斯(Vance Barse)说，他经营着一家名为Your Dedicated Fiduciary的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Although the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.</p><p><blockquote>尽管35个基点的价格标签对高盛来说是一个“亏损领头羊”，但他表示，公司通常会提出这样的报价，以吸引客户向他们交叉销售银行产品。</blockquote></p><p> “People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“人们忘记了银行最终是为了赚钱，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs declined to comment.</p><p><blockquote>高盛拒绝置评。</blockquote></p><p> The company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.</p><p><blockquote>该公司是其他提供数字顾问的主要金融服务公司之一，包括Vanguard、Fidelity和Schwab SCHW，+1.03%，以及Betterment和Wealthfront等初创公司。</blockquote></p><p> Fees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问的费用从0.25%左右开始，传统经纪商的费用会增加到1%及以上。行业出版物Inside Information对近1,000名理财规划师进行的一项调查发现，投资组合越大，客户支付的费用比例就越低。</blockquote></p><p> The median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.</p><p><blockquote>对于100万美元或以下的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在1%左右，对于价值500万至1000万美元的投资组合，年费中位数徘徊在0.5%左右。</blockquote></p><p> Robo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>高盛和Betterment提供的机器人顾问与Robinhood等机器人平台不同。前者建议投资组合专注于交易所交易基金，而Robinhood允许用户投资个人ETF、股票、期权甚至加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robo investing as a self-driving car</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人投资作为自动驾驶汽车</b></blockquote></p><p> Consumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>在疫情期间，消费者以前所未有的水平转向机器人投资。</blockquote></p><p> The rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.</p><p><blockquote>根据研究和咨询公司艾特集团5月份发布的一份报告，与去年第四季度相比，2020年第一季度的新开户率跃升了50%至300%。</blockquote></p><p> So what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.</p><p><blockquote>那么什么是rob投资呢？把它想象成一辆自动驾驶汽车。</blockquote></p><p> You put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.</p><p><blockquote>你输入你的目的地，在后座系好安全带，你的司机（机器人顾问）就会到达那里。作为乘客，如果你担心你的司机把你引向错误的方向，你就不能轻易刹车。如果您赶时间并想更快地到达目的地，也不能踩油门。</blockquote></p><p> Robo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资平台使用先进的交易算法软件，根据个人的风险偏好以及期望的短期和长期回报等因素来设计投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> There are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.</p><p><blockquote>有200多个平台提供这些服务，每年收取的咨询费通常不超过0.5%，而人力投资顾问收取的年费为1%。</blockquote></p><p> And rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.</p><p><blockquote>机器人顾问处理资产的买卖，而不是完全自己投资，这可能成为第二份工作并导致情绪化的投资决策。</blockquote></p><p> Cynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.</p><p><blockquote>嘉信理财数字咨询和创新副总裁辛西娅·洛(Cynthia Loh)不同意这种观点，她认为机器人投资并不意味着让技术控制你的资金。她说，嘉信理财拥有一支投资专家团队，负责监督投资策略并在市场波动期间进行监控，尽管有些服务比其他服务有更多的人工输入。</blockquote></p><p> As she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”</p><p><blockquote>正如她最近在MarketWatch上所写：“关于自动化投资的一个常见误解是，选择机器人顾问本质上意味着将资金的控制权交给机器人。事实是，机器人解决方案结合了自动化和人工组件，在幕后运行事物。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Robos appeal to inexperienced investors</b></p><p><blockquote><b>机器人吸引缺乏经验的投资者</b></blockquote></p><p> Robo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.</p><p><blockquote>机器人投资往往吸引缺乏经验的投资者或没有时间或精力管理自己投资组合的投资者。巴尔斯说，这些投资者可以对“一劳永逸”的投资方法感到放心，随着时间的推移，让市场做自己的事情”。</blockquote></p><p> That makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.</p><p><blockquote>NerdWallet的投资和退休专家蒂芙尼·拉姆-贝尔福(Tiffany Lam-Balfour)表示，这使得你更容易承受市场波动，因为你不一定必须做出购买或出售资产的冲动决定。</blockquote></p><p> “When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”</p><p><blockquote>“当你投资时，你不会想一直关注市场并说‘哦，我需要摆脱困境’，”她说。“你想让专业人士来帮你度过难关，因为他们知道你的时间范围，他们会自动为你调整你的投资组合。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，“你不能指望你的投资只会上涨。即使你有世界上最好的人类财务顾问，你也不能指望这一点。”</blockquote></p><p> Others disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.</p><p><blockquote>其他人不同意，并表示机器人顾问对老年投资者有吸引力。“退休后的规划和支付费用很复杂。有很多选择可以帮助投资者度过难关，机器人投资就是其中之一，”Loh说。</blockquote></p><p> “Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.</p><p><blockquote>“许多深思熟虑的长期投资者发现，他们想要一种更现代、更简化、更便宜的投资方式，而机器人投资正好符合这一要求。他们很乐意让技术来处理更困难、更耗时的日常活动。投资者自己做，”她补充道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>There is often no door to knock on</b></p><p><blockquote><b>常常无门可敲</b></blockquote></p><p> Your robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.</p><p><blockquote>你的机器人顾问只知道你告诉它什么。大多数机器人投资平台上要求您填写的简单问卷将收集有关您的年收入、期望退休年龄以及您愿意承担的风险水平的信息。</blockquote></p><p> It won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.</p><p><blockquote>然而，它不会知道你是否刚刚有了一个孩子，并想开始为他们的教育存钱，或者你是否最近失业了。</blockquote></p><p> “The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.</p><p><blockquote>“那么问题就变成了那个人向谁寻求建议？该平台是否提供建议？如果提供，复杂程度如何？”巴斯说。</blockquote></p><p> Not all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.</p><p><blockquote>并非所有平台都提供个性化投资建议，提供人工建议的混合模式往往会收取更高的年费。</blockquote></p><p> Additionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.</p><p><blockquote>此外，纽约市财务咨询集团Lifelaidout的注册财务规划师罗杰·马(Roger Ma)表示，机器人顾问不一定“在管理资金时首先考虑税收效率”。</blockquote></p><p> For instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.</p><p><blockquote>例如，投资者抵消长期投资税款的一种常见方式是出售已累计亏损的资产。《工作你的钱，而不是你的生活》一书的作者马说，传统顾问通常专注于构建能带来最节税结果的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> But with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.</p><p><blockquote>但通过机器人投资，为您进行的交易与为许多其他投资者进行的交易是相同的，这些投资者可能属于与您不同的税级。</blockquote></p><p> On top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.</p><p><blockquote>最重要的是，虽然机器人投资可能感觉像是一种简单的投资方式，特别是对于初学者来说，它可能会“使投资过于复杂”，马云说。</blockquote></p><p> “If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“如果你只是想尝试一下，并且想感觉自己投资于多元化的投资组合，我不会说绝对不要聘请机器人顾问，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Don’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.</p><p><blockquote>他补充说，不要排除通过目标日期基金进行投资，该基金选择单一基金进行投资，并根据投资目标随着时间的推移调整头寸。</blockquote></p><p> But not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.</p><p><blockquote>但并不是每个人都能区分机器人的建议和人类的建议。2015年，MarketWatch请四位著名的机器人顾问和四位传统的有血有肉的机器人顾问为一位假设的35岁投资者构建投资组合，投资金额为40,000美元。</blockquote></p><p> The results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.</p><p><blockquote>对于机器人顾问的批评者来说，结果或许令人惊讶。Pinnacle Advisory Group的研究总监Michael Kitces在审查结果后表示，机器人的建议与人类顾问的建议“没有太大不同”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page\">Marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-is-joining-the-robo-investing-party-should-you-11613658128?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161529893","content_text":"‘Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\n\nRobo investing has become increasingly ubiquitous on practically every brokerage platform. Until Tuesday, Goldman Sachs GS, -0.91% restricted its robo-advisory service, Marcus, to people who had at least $10 million to invest.\nNow anyone with at least $1,000 to invest in can access the same trading algorithms that have been used by some of Goldman Sachs’ wealthiest clients for a 0.35% annual advisory fee. But investing experts say there are more costs to consider before jumping on the robo-investing train.\n“Much like in Vegas, the house generally wins,” said Vance Barse, a San Diego, California-based financial advisor who runs a company called Your Dedicated Fiduciary.\nAlthough the 35 basis-point price tag is a “loss leader” to Goldman Sachs, he said companies typically make such offers in order to attract clients to cross-sell them banking products.\n“People forget that banks are ultimately in the business of making money,” he said.\nGoldman Sachs declined to comment.\nThe company is among other major financial-services firms offering digital advisers, including Vanguard, Fidelity and Schwab SCHW, +1.03% and startups such as Betterment and Wealthfront.\nFees for robo advisers can start at around 0.25%, and increase to 1% and above for traditional brokers. A survey of nearly 1,000 financial planners by Inside Information, a trade publication, found that the bigger the portfolio, the lower the percentage clients paid in fees.\nThe median annual charge hovered at around 1% for portfolios of $1 million or less, and 0.5% for portfolios worth $5 million to $10 million.\nRobo advisers like those on offer from Goldman Sachs and Betterment differ from robo platforms like Robinhood. The former suggest portfolios focused on exchange-traded funds, while Robinhood allows users to invest in individual ETFs, stocks, options and even cryptocurrencies.\nRobo investing as a self-driving car\nConsumers have turned to robo-investing at unprecedented levels during the pandemic.\nThe rate of new accounts opened jumped between 50% and 300% during the first quarter of 2020 compared to the fourth quarter of last year, according to a May report published by research and advisory firm Aite Group.\nSo what is rob-investing? Think of it like a self-driving car.\nYou put in your destination, buckle up in the backseat and your driver (robo adviser) will get there. You, the passenger, can’t easily slam the breaks if you fear your driver is leading you in the wrong direction. Nor can you put your foot on the gas pedal if you’re in a rush and want to get to your destination faster.\nRobo-investing platforms use advanced-trading algorithm software to design investment portfolios based on factors such as an individual’s appetite for risk-taking and desired short-term and long-term returns.\nThere are over 200 platforms that provide these services charging typically no more than a 0.5% annual advisory fee, compared to the 1% annual fee human investment advisors charge.\nAnd rather than investing entirely on your own, which can become a second job and lead to emotional investment decisions, robo advisers handle buying and selling assets.\nCynthia Loh, Schwab vice president of Digital Advice and Innovation, disagrees, and argues that robo investing doesn’t mean giving technology control of your money. Schwab, she said, has a team of investment experts who oversee investment strategy and keep watch during periods of market volatility, although some services have more input from humans than others.\nAs she recently wrote on MarketWatch: “One common misconception about automated investing is that choosing a robo adviser essentially means handing control of your money over to robots. The truth is that robo solutions have a combination of automated and human components running things behind the scenes.”\nRobos appeal to inexperienced investors\nRobo investing tends to appeal to inexperienced investors or ones who don’t have the time or energy to manage their own portfolios. These investors can take comfort in the “set it and forget it approach to investing and overtime let the markets do their thing,” Barse said.\nThat makes it much easier to stomach market volatility knowing that you don’t necessarily have to make spur-of-the-moment decisions to buy or sell assets, said Tiffany Lam-Balfour, an investing and retirement specialist at NerdWallet.\n“When you’re investing, you don’t want to keep looking at the market and going ‘Oh I need to get out of this,’” she said. “You want to leave it to the professionals to get you through it because they know what your time horizon is, and they’ll adjust your portfolio automatically for you.”\nThat said, “you can’t just expect your investments will only go up. Even if you had the world’s best human financial adviser you can’t expect that.”\nOthers disagree, and say robo advisers appeal to older investors. “Planning for and paying yourself in retirement is complex. There are many options out there to help investors through it, and robo investing is one of them,” Loh said.\n“Many thoughtful, long-term investors have discovered that they want a more modern, streamlined, and inexpensive way to invest, and robo investing fits the bill. They are happy to let technology handle the mundane activities that are harder and more time-consuming for investors to do themselves,” she added.\nThere is often no door to knock on\nYour robo adviser only knows what you tell it. The simplistic questionnaire you’re required to fill out will on most robo-investing platforms will collect information on your annual income, desired age to retire and the level of risk you’re willing to take on.\nIt won’t however know if you just had a child and would like to begin saving for their education down the road or if you recently lost your job.\n“The question then becomes to whom does that person go to for advice and does that platform offer that and if so, to what level of complexity?” said Barse.\nNot all platforms give individualized investment advice and the hybrid models that do offer advice from a human tend to charge higher annual fees.\nAdditionally, a robo adviser won’t necessarily “manage your money with tax efficiency at front of mind,” said Roger Ma, a certified financial planner at Lifelaidout, a New York City-based financial advisory group.\nFor instance, one common way investors offset the taxes they pay on long-term investments is by selling assets that have accrued losses. Traditional advisers often specialize in constructing portfolios that lead to the most tax-efficient outcomes, said Ma, who is the author of “Work Your Money, Not Your Life”.\nBut with robo investing, the trades that are made for you are the same ones that are being made for a slew of other investors who may fall under a different tax-bracket than you.\nOn top of that, while robo investing may feel like a simplistic way to get into investing, especially for beginners it can “overcomplicate investing,” Ma said.\n“If you are just looking to dip your toe in and you want to feel like you’re invested in a diversified portfolio, I wouldn’t say definitely don’t do a robo adviser,” he said.\nDon’t rule out investing through a target-date fund that selects a single fund to invest in and adjusts the position over time based on their investment goals, he added.\nBut not everyone can tell the difference between robo advice and advice from a human being. In 2015, MarketWatch asked four prominent robo advisers and four of the traditional, flesh-and-blood variety to construct portfolios for a hypothetical 35-year-old investor with $40,000 to invest.\nThe results were, perhaps, surprising for critics of robo advisers. The robots’ suggestions were “not massively different” from what the human advisers proposed, said Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group’s research director, after reviewing the results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174843754,"gmtCreate":1627092352378,"gmtModify":1631885615347,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"And what will happen as Netflix also give out freegames…","listText":"And what will happen as Netflix also give out freegames…","text":"And what will happen as Netflix also give out freegames…","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174843754","repostId":"2153981075","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":402,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":837425281,"gmtCreate":1629906858143,"gmtModify":1633681545053,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ride","listText":"Ride","text":"Ride","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837425281","repostId":"2162591250","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2759,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148491231,"gmtCreate":1626000098923,"gmtModify":1633930997955,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"As long as people are in it, it will go up. And see Tesla boss. Will be support. Haha","listText":"As long as people are in it, it will go up. And see Tesla boss. Will be support. Haha","text":"As long as people are in it, it will go up. And see Tesla boss. Will be support. Haha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148491231","repostId":"1112201050","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112201050","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625966101,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112201050?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112201050","media":"Barrons","summary":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the de","content":"<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨（Joshua Mits）说，“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则，意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵，这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Meme Stock Trade Is Far From Over. What Investors Need to Know.<blockquote>模因股票交易还远未结束。投资者需要知道的。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It seemed to be only a matter of time.</p><p><blockquote>这似乎只是时间问题。</blockquote></p><p> When GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?</p><p><blockquote>当游戏驿站（股票代码：GME）、黑莓（BB），甚至百视达（Blockbuster）的干涸尸体在一月份突然复活时，他们再次崩溃的时间已经在滴答作响。是几个小时、几天还是几周？</blockquote></p><p> It has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like&nbsp;Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and&nbsp;Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.</p><p><blockquote>现在已经半年了，核心“模因股”的交易水平仍然被研究它们多年的人认为令人发指。Clover Health Investments(CLOV)和Newegg Commerce(NEGG)等新名字最近出现在留言板上，它们的股票也随之上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.</p><p><blockquote>数百万散户交易者——长期以来被嘲笑为“愚蠢的钱”——的集体努力成功地保持了股票的高位，并迫使反对者投降。</blockquote></p><p> That is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管他们押注的公司几乎没有表现出业务转型或扭亏为盈的迹象，但情况确实如此。黑莓在最近一个季度烧钱，并警告其关键的网络安全部门将触及收入指引的低端；消息传出后，该股下跌，但在过去一年中仍上涨了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> While trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in&nbsp;AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than&nbsp;Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>尽管大型经纪商的交易量较2月份的峰值略有下降，但仍是大流行前的两到三倍。散户交易者青睐的股票中发生了数量惊人的此类活动。例如，AMC院线控股公司(AMC)6月份股票日均交易价值达到131亿美元，超过苹果(AAPL)的95亿美元和亚马逊(AMZN)的103亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Even as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.</p><p><blockquote>即使冠状病毒在美国消退，大多数新交易者表示，他们仍致力于他们在封锁期间学到的爱好——在一项Betterment调查中，58%的日内交易者表示，他们计划在未来进行更多交易，只有12%的人计划减少交易。业余疫情面包师已经停止揉酸面团面包；交易者只会越来越饥渴。</blockquote></p><p> A sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.</p><p><blockquote>持续的熊市会破坏这种胃口，就像互联网泡沫破裂时一样。就目前而言，下跌是持有或买入的理由。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25a79e71371c165f9a3a5085931fc487\" tg-width=\"979\" tg-height=\"649\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to&nbsp;Barron’s.</p><p><blockquote>“我发现‘逢低买入’的情绪一刻也没有减弱，”与朋友在线交易的美国海军电子技术员布兰登·卢泽克(Brandon Luczek)在给《巴伦周刊》的电子邮件中写道。</blockquote></p><p> The meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.</p><p><blockquote>散户投资者交易量的增加推动了模因股票的飙升。2020年，在线经纪商以创纪录的速度签约客户，新开户人数超过1000万人。这一纪录几乎肯定会在2021年被打破。一些顶级公司透露，今年不到一半，经纪商就已经增加了超过1000万个账户。</blockquote></p><p> Meme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent&nbsp;Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票既是这一现象的马车，也是马。它们的价格突然飙升是由新投资者推动的，然后这种行为会推动更多的新人投资。数百万人在一月底和二月初下载了投资应用程序，只是为了享受乐趣。嘉信理财(SCHW)最近的一项调查发现，15%的当前交易者在2020年之后开始投资。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/167386c6881a258922ad62caaf7a05f4\" tg-width=\"971\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e29e3041b91070252ab9063d1a11fa2\" tg-width=\"975\" tg-height=\"642\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9cc1c0bd6368721c0eca87e25719f16\" tg-width=\"964\" tg-height=\"641\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.</p><p><blockquote>这一激增中最突出的参与者是Robinhood，该公司表示仅在第一季度就增加了550万个受资助账户。但它并不孤单。例如，富达宣布第一季度吸引了160万35岁以下的新客户，比去年同期增长了223%。</blockquote></p><p> Under pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood零佣金模式的压力下，所有主要经纪商都在2019年将佣金降至零。这为新的客户群体打开了闸门——他们可能没有那么多闲钱可供交易，但比前辈更加活跃和多样化。经纪人正在兑现。富达希望在投资者拥有驾驶执照之前就吸引他们，允许年仅13岁的儿童开设交易账户。Robinhood正在乘势进行首次公开募股，分析师预计其估值将超过其收入的10倍。</blockquote></p><p> These new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”</p><p><blockquote>这些新客户的行为与老客户不同。E*Trade（现归摩根士丹利(MS)所有）交易主管克里斯·拉金(Chris Larkin)表示，多年来，“ETF的吸引力很大”。但挑选个股显然是“2021年的大新闻”。</blockquote></p><p> To be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.</p><p><blockquote>可以肯定的是，股票交易所交易基金仍然表现良好，因为世界各地的投资者都押注于疫情复苏，并避免债券收益率疲软。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.</p><p><blockquote>但ETF不像股票那样点亮留言板。对于顶级品牌来说，这并不是单程旅行。游戏驿站确实在二月份下跌，华尔街享受了一段幸灾乐祸的时刻。这并没有持续多久。</blockquote></p><p> “Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.</p><p><blockquote>盈透证券(Interactive Brokers)首席策略师史蒂夫·索斯尼克(Steve Sosnick)写道：“就像蝉一样，模因交易者在看似地下几个月后，又以疯狂的活动回归。”索斯尼克认为，模因股票的交易往往与加密货币相反，因为随着势头的变化，它们的粉丝会从一种股票转向另一种股票。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我认为，在比特币和其他加密货币大幅调整后，模因股票重新焕发生机，这绝非巧合。”</blockquote></p><p> Sosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克认为模因股票是一个“独立的行业”，他在电脑显示器上将其与其他股票代码分开。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.</p><p><blockquote>事实上，华尔街对模因股票革命的反应是孤立市场中专业人士认为非理性的部分。大多数卖空者不会碰这些股票，分析师也放弃了报道。</blockquote></p><p> But Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.</p><p><blockquote>但华尔街不能像蝉一样将零售大军赶走，也不能指望它们在未来17年消失。股票交易已经永久转移。今年，零售活动占股本的24%，高于2019年的15%。新信条的追随者并不是愿意让华尔街管理市场的被动观察者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/710e642d3b685b74f8c9dcaf46ef3e0b\" tg-width=\"968\" tg-height=\"643\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> “What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”</p><p><blockquote>哥伦比亚法学院证券市场教授乔舒亚·米茨（Joshua Mits）说，“这真正反映了我们看到的与个别公司的接触越来越少的趋势的逆转。”“技术正在拉近普通投资者与他或她投资的公司的距离，而这只是以新的、不可预测的形式出现。”</blockquote></p><p> The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.</p><p><blockquote>你得到的秋千肯定会让你有某种感觉。</blockquote></p><p> — Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube</p><p><blockquote>——Matt Kohrs，26岁，每天在YouTube上播放股票分析</blockquote></p><p> It is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.</p><p><blockquote>它现在正在改变那些早期进入的人的生活，并且仍然名气更高。</blockquote></p><p> Take Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming&nbsp;stock analysis on YouTube&nbsp;for seven hours a day.</p><p><blockquote>以马特·科尔斯（Matt Kohrs）为例，他很早就投资了AMC院线。今年2月，他辞去了在纽约的程序员工作，搬到了费城，并开始每天在YouTube上播放7个小时的股票分析。</blockquote></p><p> With 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.</p><p><blockquote>它在YouTube上拥有35万粉丝，正在支付账单。科尔斯表示，凭借广告和股票的收入，他可以降低与以前大致相同的工资。但他也知道，像这样依赖股票的收益与朝九晚五的工作完全不同。</blockquote></p><p> “The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>“你得到的挥杆肯定会让你有某种感觉，”他说。</blockquote></p><p> Companies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.</p><p><blockquote>公司也开始做出更积极的反应。他们要么拥抱他们的新主人，要么付钱给模因学家来理解新华尔街充满表情符号的语言，这样他们就可以避开他们或安抚他们。</blockquote></p><p> AMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.</p><p><blockquote>AMC甚至在过去一周取消了拟议的股权融资，因为该公司显然不喜欢Reddit人群的氛围。过去一年，AMC的股票数量已经增加了五倍。首席执行官Adam Aron在推特上表示，他看到了对他增发2500万股股票的提议“许多是，许多不是”的反应，因此该提议将被取消，而不是在本月晚些时候的AMC年会上进行投票。该公司没有回应有关如何对股东进行民意调查的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Forget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.</p><p><blockquote>忘了会议室吧。公司政策现在正在聊天室中确定。</blockquote></p><p> Big investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.</p><p><blockquote>大投资者花更多时间跟踪社交媒体上有关股票的讨论。美国银行在今年的一项调查中发现，大约25%的机构已经在跟踪社交媒体情绪，但大约40%的机构有兴趣在未来使用它。</blockquote></p><p> In the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.</p><p><blockquote>在过去的几个月里，美国银行、摩根士丹利和摩根大通都发布了关于如何围绕散户行为进行交易的报告，得出了有些不同的结论。</blockquote></p><p> There can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.</p><p><blockquote>正如摩根士丹利所说，信号中可能存在“阿尔法”，但可能需要一些激烈的数字运算才能达到这一目标。当然，并非所有留言板上的喋喋不休都会导致价格持续上涨，而且在没有大量数据分析的情况下，零售订单流无法轻易与机构订单流分开。对于拥有工具来确定散户投资者正在买入和卖出哪些股票的投资者，摩根大通建议做多买入兴趣最高的20%的股票，做空卖出兴趣最高的20%的股票。</blockquote></p><p> For now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.</p><p><blockquote>提供跟踪社交媒体情绪产品的另类数据公司Thinknum的鲍里斯·斯皮瓦克(Boris Spiwak)表示，目前，许多购买社交媒体情绪数据的机构似乎都在试图降低风险，而不是寻找新的机会。“他们认为这几乎就像一份保险单，以限制他们的下行风险，”他说。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> For retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.</p><p><blockquote>对于散户来说，这种方法并不总是科学的。这一行动得到了社区精神的支持。其背后的力量既是经济上的，也是情感上的和道德上的。</blockquote></p><p> New investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p><blockquote>新投资者表示，他们的动机是证明自己和惩罚保守派的愿望，就像利润一样。他们互相了解市场，有时会放大或揭穿有关华尔街的阴谋论。一些人将模因股票走势与2008年金融危机引发的对大型金融机构的持续不信任联系起来。</blockquote></p><p> “Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”</p><p><blockquote>“华尔街让我们的经济陷入瘫痪，没有人因此惹上麻烦，”26岁的科尔斯说。“所以，我认为他们认为这不仅可以让我们赚钱，还可以让华尔街的这些对冲基金付钱。”</blockquote></p><p> Claire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”</p><p><blockquote>克莱尔·赫希伯格(Claire Hirschberg)是一名28岁的工会组织者，她在从朋友那里听说此事后，于1月份在Robinhood上购买了价值约50美元的游戏驿站股票。她喜欢这个想法，但真正让她兴奋的是她父亲的反应，他父亲是一位长期的资金经理。“他对我买下游戏驿站并拒绝出售感到非常生气，”她笑着说。“这让我想永远拥有它。”</blockquote></p><p> Just like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.</p><p><blockquote>就像旧华尔街有仪式和准则一样，新华尔街也有。一位新的投资银行员工很快就会知道，直到你成为合伙人后，你才会戴菲拉格慕领带。在总经理离开之前，你永远不会离开办公室，你也不会抱怨工作时间。坏人是监管者和参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦，而不是这个顺序。</blockquote></p><p> The new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.</p><p><blockquote>新的交易台——数百万零售交易者现在使用的应用程序和他们聚集的留言板——也有潜规则。公开承认经济损失是一种勇敢的行为，是内部坚韧和对集团信念的证明。你不把自己当回事，也不监管语言。你是“猿”或“弱智”大军的一员。你坚持住了崩溃，即使这意味着你可能会失去一切。坏人依次是卖空者、做市商和华尔街精英。</blockquote></p><p> The group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.</p><p><blockquote>群体行动不仅仅是为了道义上的支持。交易策略取决于人们保持购买压力以迫使空头挤压或购买看涨期权，从而触发所谓的伽马挤压。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75d79c78a14cc8f297e17397cc54bdb5\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Keith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>基思·吉尔(Keith Gill)二月份几乎出现在众议院金融服务委员会听证会上，成为Reddit零售交易员大军的代言人，推动游戏驿站股价走高。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Many short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.</p><p><blockquote>许多卖空者表示，他们不会再碰这些股票了。但显然，其他人并没有采纳这一建议，而是通过反复做空股票来为模因运动提供氧气。6月中旬，AMC的空头利息占该股流通量的17%，低于1月份的28%，但幅度不大。</blockquote></p><p> As the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”</p><p><blockquote>随着价格的上涨，空头们也身不由己。Wedbush Securities分析师Michael Pachter表示，他们开始“流口水，耳朵里冒出火焰”，多年来一直关注游戏驿站。“让我有点震惊的是精神错乱的定义，即一遍又一遍地做同样的事情，每次都希望有不同的结果，而空头不断回来，”他说。“[游戏驿站公牛]基思·吉尔和他的Reddit攻略不断挤压他们，而且它一直在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> To beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath &amp; Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.</p><p><blockquote>为了击败卖空者，Reddit人群需要团结一致，但社区有时会出现裂痕。拥有最坚定粉丝群的两只模因股票——游戏驿站和AMC——仍然拥有庞大的核心信徒大军，他们似乎不容易动摇。但其他名字似乎有更多善变的支持者。几只陷入迷因疯狂的股票已经暴跌。Bed Bath&amp;Beyond(BBBY)在1月底和6月初两次飙升，但现在的交易价格仅略高于1月中旬的水平。在上涨期间买入的人亏损了。</blockquote></p><p> Distrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.</p><p><blockquote>不信任已经蔓延，一些交易员担心wallstreetbets——最初引发游戏驿站狂热的Reddit留言板——发展如此之快，以至于失去了最初的精神，并可能变得容易受到操纵。一些人已经转移到其他留言板，如r/superstonk，希望恢复旧社区的风味。</blockquote></p><p> Travis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.</p><p><blockquote>社交媒体跟踪公司Hype Equity的创始人特拉维斯·雷尔(Travis Rehl)表示，他试图将可能的操纵者与更有机的投资者情绪区分开来。他说，炒作股权通常是由代表网上谈论的公司的公关公司雇佣的。现在，他看到越来越多的股票突然出现在留言板上，收到积极的议论，然后消失。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from&nbsp;Barron’s&nbsp;for comment.</p><p><blockquote>“这引发了人们对什么是真正的讨论与什么是某人只是想炒作的讨论的质疑，”他说。wallstreetbets的版主禁止在该平台上进行市场操纵，Rehl表示，他们似乎正在努力监管错误信息。主持人没有回应《巴伦周刊》的置评请求。</blockquote></p><p> “If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.</p><p><blockquote>索斯尼克表示：“如果你能制造足够的轰动效应，让股票在短时间内上涨10%、20%甚至50%，那么就有巨大的动力这样做。”</blockquote></p><p> The Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.</p><p><blockquote>证券交易委员会正在留言板上关注有趣的事情。证交会主席盖瑞·根斯勒和一些国会议员讨论改变市场规则，意图增加透明度保护零售商——尽管如果改变交易速度减慢或让交易变得更贵，这些变化也可能激怒零售商群体。</blockquote></p><p> Regulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”</p><p><blockquote>监管并不是唯一可能抑制这一趋势的因素。fintech Betterment行为金融和投资副总裁丹·伊根(Dan Egan)认为，这一势头可能会在9月份失去动力。即使是“猿”也有责任。“孩子们开始回到学校；父母可以再次自由地去工作，”他说。“那是下一次从房间里抽出一些氧气的时候。”</blockquote></p><p> Traditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.</p><p><blockquote>传统投资者可能会倾向于将整个现象视为由封锁和免费政府资金激发的暂时疯狂。但那将是一个错误。如果零佣金经纪公司和游戏驿站的乐趣打破了数百万新投资者开户的障碍，这几乎肯定是一件好事，只要大多数人用他们并不立即需要的钱下注。许多新零售交易员表示，他们正在自学如何交易，并已开始分散持股。</blockquote></p><p> In one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.</p><p><blockquote>以这样或那样的形式，这就是华尔街未来的客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Arizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking&nbsp;research&nbsp;in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.</p><p><blockquote>亚利桑那州立大学教授Hendrik Bessembinder在2018年发表了开创性的研究，发现“在随机选择的月份随机选择的股票更有可能亏损而不是赚钱。”简而言之，挑选单一股票并持有集中的投资组合往往是一种失败的策略。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，他还是受到了新一波交易的鼓舞。“我欢迎零售交易的增加，以及股票市场是一个广泛参与的地方的想法，”贝森宾德说。“经济学家不能告诉人们他们不应该找点乐子。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","CLOV":"Clover Health Corp","SCHW":"嘉信理财","GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线","BB":"黑莓","CARV":"卡弗储蓄","NEGG":"Newegg Comm Inc.","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-meme-stock-trade-is-far-from-over-what-investors-need-to-know-51625875247?mod=hp_HERO","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112201050","content_text":"It seemed to be only a matter of time.\nWhen GameStop (ticker: GME), BlackBerry (BB), and even the desiccated carcass of Blockbuster suddenly sprang to life in January, the clock was already ticking for when they would crash again. Would it be hours, days, or weeks?\nIt has now been half a year, and the core “meme stocks” are still trading at levels considered outrageous by people who have studied them for years. New names like Clover Health Investments(CLOV) and Newegg Commerce(NEGG) have recently popped up on message boards, and their stocks have popped, too.\nThe collective efforts of millions of retail traders—long derided as “the dumb money”—have successfully held stocks aloft and forced naysayers to capitulate.\nThat is true even as the companies they are betting on have shown scant signs of transforming their businesses, or turning profits that might justify their valuations. BlackBerry burned cash in its latest quarter and warned that its key cybersecurity division would hit the low end of its revenue guidance; the stock dipped on the news but has still more than doubled in the past year.\nWhile trading volume at the big brokers has come down slightly from its February peak, it remains two to three times as high as it was before the pandemic. And a startling amount of that activity is occurring in stocks favored by retail traders. The average daily value of shares traded in AMC Entertainment Holdings(AMC), for example, reached $13.1 billion in June, more than Apple’s(AAPL) $9.5 billion and Amazon.com’s (AMZN) $10.3 billion.\nEven as the coronavirus fades in the U.S., most new traders say they are committed to the hobby they learned during lockdown—58% of day traders in a Betterment survey said they are planning to trade even more in the future, and only 12% plan to trade less. Amateur pandemic bakers have stopped kneading sourdough loaves; traders are only getting hungrier.\nA sustained bear market would spoil such an appetite, as it did when the dot-com bubble burst. For now, dips are reasons to hold or buy.\n\n“I’ve seen that the ‘buy the dip’ sentiment hasn’t relented for a moment,” wrote Brandon Luczek, an electronics technician for the U.S. Navy who trades with friends online, in an email to Barron’s.\nThe meme stock surge has been propelled by a rise in trading by retail investors. In 2020, online brokers signed clients at a record pace, with more than 10 million people opening new accounts. That record will almost certainly be broken in 2021. Brokers had already added more than 10 million accounts less than halfway into the year, some of the top firms have disclosed.\nMeme stocks are both the cart and the horse of this phenomenon. Their sudden price spikes are driven by new investors, and then that action drives even more new people to invest. Millions of people downloaded investing apps in late January and early February just to be a part of the fun. A recent Charles Schwab(SCHW) survey found that 15% of all current traders began investing after 2020.\n\nThe most prominent player in the surge is Robinhood, which said it had added 5.5 million funded accounts in the first quarter alone. But it isn’t alone. Fidelity, for instance, announced that it had attracted 1.6 million new customers under the age of 35 in the first quarter, 223% more than a year before.\nUnder pressure from Robinhood’s zero-commission model, all of the major brokers cut commissions to zero in 2019. That opened the floodgates to a new group of customers—one that may not have as much spare cash to trade but is more active and diverse than its predecessors. And the brokers are cashing in. Fidelity is hoping to attract investors before they even have driver’s licenses, allowing children as young as 13 to open trading accounts. Robinhood is riding the momentum to an initial public offering that analysts expect to value it at more than 10 times its revenue.\nThese new customers act differently than their older peers. For years, there was a “big gravitation toward ETFs,” says Chris Larkin, head of trading at E*Trade, which is now owned by Morgan Stanley (MS). But picking single stocks is clearly “the big story of 2021.”\nTo be sure, equity exchange-traded funds are still doing well, as investors around the world bet on the pandemic recovery and avoid weak bond yields.\nBut ETFs don’t light up the message boards like stocks do. Not that it has been a one-way ride for the top names. GameStop did dip in February, and Wall Street enjoyed a moment of schadenfreude. It didn’t last.\n“Like cicadas, meme traders returned in a wild blaze of activity after being seemingly underground for several months,” wrote Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. Sosnick believes that the meme stocks tend to trade inversely to cryptocurrencies, because their fans rotate from one to the other as the momentum shifts.\n“I don’t think it’s strictly a coincidence that meme stocks roared back to life after a significant correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” he wrote.\nSosnick considers meme stocks a “sector unto themselves,” one that he segregates on his computer monitor away from other stock tickers.\nIndeed, Wall Street’s reaction to the meme stock revolution has been to isolate the parts of the market that the pros deem irrational. Most short sellers won’t touch the stocks, and analysts are dropping coverage.\nBut Wall Street can’t swat the retail army away like cicadas, or count on them disappearing for the next 17 years. Stock trading has permanently shifted. This year, retail activity accounts for 24% of equity volume, up from 15% in 2019. Adherents to the new creed are not passive observers willing to let Wall Street manage the markets.\n\n“What this really reflects is a reversal of the trends that we saw toward less and less engagement with individual companies,” says Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School specializing in securities markets. “Technology is bringing the average investor closer to the companies in which he or she invests, and that’s just taking on new and unpredictable forms.”\nThe swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way.\n— Matt Kohrs, 26, who streams stock analysis daily on YouTube\nIt is now changing the lives of those who got in early and are still riding the names higher.\nTake Matt Kohrs, who had invested in AMC Entertainment early. He quit his job as a programmer in New York in February, moved to Philadelphia, and started streaming stock analysis on YouTube for seven hours a day.\nWith 350,000 YouTube followers, it’s paying the bills. With his earnings from ads and from the stock, Kohrs says he can pull down roughly the same salary he made before. But he also knows that relying on earnings from stocks like this is nothing like a 9-to-5 job.\n“The swings you get can definitely make you feel some sort of way,” he says.\nCompanies are starting to react more aggressively, too. They are either embracing their new owners or paying meme-ologists to understand the emoji-filled language of the new Wall Street so they can ward them off or appease them.\nAMC even canceled a proposed equity raise this past week because the company apparently didn’t like the vibes it was getting from the Reddit crowd. AMC has already quintupled its share count over the past year. CEO Adam Aron tweeted that he had seen “many yes, many no” reactions to his proposal to issue 25 million more shares, so it will be canceled instead of being presented for a vote at AMC’s annual meeting later this month. The company did not respond to a question on how it had polled shareholders.\nForget the boardroom. Corporate policy is now being determined in the chat room.\nBig investors are spending more time tracking social-media discussions about stocks. Bank of America found in a survey this year that about 25% of institutions had already been tracking social-media sentiment, but that about 40% are interested in using it going forward.\nIn the past few months, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and J.P. Morgan have all produced reports on how to trade around the retail action, coming to somewhat different conclusions.\nThere can be “alpha in the signal,” as Morgan Stanley put it, but it can take some intense number-crunching to get there. Not all message-board chatter leads to sustained price gains, of course, and retail order flow cannot easily be separated from institutional flow without substantial data analysis. For investors with the tools to pinpoint which stocks retail investors are buying and which they are selling, J.P. Morgan suggests going long on the 20% of stocks with the most buying interest and short on the top 20% in selling interest.\nFor now, many of the institutions buying data on social-media sentiment appear to be trying to reduce their risks, as opposed to scouting new opportunities, according to Boris Spiwak of alternative data firm Thinknum, which offers products that track social-media sentiment. “They see it as almost like an insurance policy, to limit their downside risks,” he says.\nFor retail traders, the method isn’t always scientific. The action is sustained by a community ethos. And the force behind it is as much emotional and moral as financial.\nNew investors say they are motivated by a desire to prove themselves and punish the old guard as much as by profits. They learn from one another about the market, sometimes amplifying or debunking conspiracy theories about Wall Street. Some link the meme-stock movement to continued mistrust of big financial institutions stemming from the 2008 financial crisis.\n“Wall Street brought our economy to its knees, and no one ever got in trouble for it,” says the 26-year-old Kohrs. “So, I think they view this as not only can we make money, but we can also make these hedge funds on Wall Street pay.”\nClaire Hirschberg is a 28-year-old union organizer who bought about $50 worth of GameStop stock on Robinhood in January after hearing about it from friends. She liked the idea, but what really got her excited about it was the reaction of her father, a longtime money manager. “He was so mad I had bought GameStop and was refusing to sell,” she says, laughing. “And that just makes me want to hold it forever.”\nJust like old Wall Street has rituals and codes, the new one does, too. A new investment banking employee learns quickly that you don’t wear a Ferragamo tie until after you make associate. You never leave the office until the managing director does, and you don’t complain about the hours. And the bad guys are the regulators and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, and not in that order.\nThe new trading desk—the apps that millions of retail traders now use and the message boards where they congregate—have unspoken rules, too. Publicly acknowledging financial losses is a valiant act, evidence of internal fortitude and belief in the group. You don’t take yourself seriously and you don’t police language. You are part of an army of “apes” or “retards.” You hold through the crashes, even if it means you might lose everything. And the bad guys are the short sellers, the market makers, and the Wall Street elites, in that order.\nThe group action is not just for moral support. The trading strategy depends on people keeping up the buying pressure to force a short squeeze or to buy bullish options that trigger what’s known as a gamma squeeze.\nKeith Gill became the face of the Reddit army of retail traders pushing shares of GameStop higher when he appeared virtually before a House Financial Services Committee hearing in February.\nMany short sellers say they won’t touch these stocks anymore. But clearly, others aren’t taking that advice and are giving the meme movement oxygen by repeatedly betting against the stocks. AMC’s short interest was at 17% of the stock’s float in mid-June, down from 28% in January, but not by much.\nAs the price rises, the shorts can’t help themselves. They start “drooling, with flames coming out of their ears,” says Michael Pachter, a Wedbush Securities analyst who has covered GameStop for years. “What’s kind of shocked me is the definition of insanity, which is doing the same thing over and over and over again and hoping for a different outcome each time, and the shorts keep coming back,” he says. “And [GameStop bull] Keith Gill and his Reddit raiders keep squeezing them, and it keeps working.”\nTo beat the short sellers, the Reddit crowd needs to hold together, but the community has been showing cracks at times. The two meme stocks with the most determined fan bases—GameStop and AMC—still have enormous armies of core believers who do not seem easily swayed. But other names seem to have more-fickle backers. Several stocks caught up in the meme madness have come crashing down to earth.Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY) spiked twice—in late January and early June—but now trades only slightly above its mid-January levels. People who bought during the upswings have lost money.\nDistrust has spread, and some traders worry that wallstreetbets— the original Reddit message board that inspired the GameStop frenzy—has grown so fast that it has lost its original spirit, and potentially grown vulnerable to manipulation. Some have moved to other message boards, like r/superstonk, in hopes of reclaiming the old community’s flavor.\nTravis Rehl, the founder of social-media tracking company Hype Equity, says that he tries to separate possible manipulators from more organic investor sentiment. Hype Equity is usually hired by public-relations firms representing companies that are being talked about online, he says. Now, he sees a growing trend of stocks that suddenly come up on message boards, receive positive chatter, and then disappear.\n“It’s called into question what is a true discussion versus what is something that somebody just wants to pump,” he says. The moderators of wallstreetbets forbid market manipulation on the platform, and Rehl say they appear to work hard to police misinformation. The moderators did not respond to a request from Barron’s for comment.\n“If you can create enough buzz to get a stock that goes up 10%, 20%, even 50% in a short period of time, there’s a tremendous incentive to do that,” Sosnick says.\nThe Securities and Exchange Commission is watching for funny business on the message boards. SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and some members of Congress have discussed changing market rules with the intention of adding transparency protecting retail traders—although changes could also anger the retail crowd if they slow down trading or make it more expensive.\nRegulations aren’t the only thing that could deflate this trend. Dan Egan, vice president of behavioral finance and investing at fintech Betterment, thinks the momentum may run out of steam in September. Even “apes” have responsibilities. “Kids start going back to schools; parents are free to go to work again,” he says. “That’s the next time there’s going to be some oxygen pulled out of the room.”\nTraditional investors may be tempted to write off the entire phenomenon as temporary madness inspired by lockdowns and free government money. But that would be a mistake. If zero-commission brokerages and fun with GameStop broke down barriers for millions of new investors to open accounts, it’s almost certainly a good thing, as long as most people bet with money they don’t need immediately. Many new retail traders say they are teaching themselves how to trade, and have begun to diversify their holdings.\nIn one form or another, this is the future client base of Wall Street.\nArizona State University professor Hendrik Bessembinder published groundbreaking research in 2018 that found that “a randomly selected stock in a randomly selected month is more likely to lose money than make money.” In short, picking single stocks and holding a concentrated portfolio tends to be a losing strategy.\nEven so, he’s encouraged by the new wave of trading. “I welcome the increase in retail trading, the idea of the stock market being a place with wide participation,” Bessembinder says. “Economists can’t tell people they shouldn’t get some fun.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CARV":0.9,"BB":0.9,"GME":0.9,"MRIN":0.9,"WKHS":0.9,"BBBY":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"CLOV":0.9,"SCHW":0.9,"NEGG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156802810,"gmtCreate":1625207431930,"gmtModify":1633942530096,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like prices of things are going to go up up up!","listText":"Looks like prices of things are going to go up up up!","text":"Looks like prices of things are going to go up up up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156802810","repostId":"1153654374","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":526,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":375679408,"gmtCreate":1619339267804,"gmtModify":1634274121467,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"You wished you had loads of Apple shares from long ago right?","listText":"You wished you had loads of Apple shares from long ago right?","text":"You wished you had loads of Apple shares from long ago right?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/375679408","repostId":"2129680033","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2129680033","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1619338263,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2129680033?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-25 16:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple’s business is roaring, and investors are about to find out how much of that cash is coming their way<blockquote>苹果的业务正在蓬勃发展，投资者即将发现其中有多少现金流向了他们</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2129680033","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Apple earnings preview: After 'more modest' dividend increases in the past two years, Apple could ge","content":"<p>Apple earnings preview: After 'more modest' dividend increases in the past two years, Apple could get back to double-digit dividend growth when it details investor-return plans for the year</p><p><blockquote>苹果盈利预览：在过去两年股息“更加温和”增加后，苹果在详细说明今年投资者回报计划时可能会恢复两位数的股息增长</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c3de8d4d6e2f179b5f904720051de74\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Apple's iPad and Mac momentum may have \"accelerated\" in the latest quarter, analyst argues. AFP/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师认为，苹果iPad和Mac的势头可能在最近一个季度“加速”。法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After posting record sales and profits in its latest fiscal year, Apple Inc. is expected to show how much of its financial success will get delivered back to shareholders this year.</p><p><blockquote>在最近一个财年创下创纪录的销售额和利润后，苹果公司预计将展示其今年的财务成功将在多大程度上回报给股东。</blockquote></p><p> Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is expected to increase its dividend and authorize further stock buybacks when it announces fiscal second-quarter earnings Wednesday, part of the company's continued focus on returning money to shareholders as it aims to reduce its sizable cash pile. The company typically makes updates to its capital-return program alongside its March-quarter report, and the coming announcement could be a driver of Apple's post-earnings stock momentum.</p><p><blockquote>苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>预计该公司将在周三公布第二财季收益时增加股息并授权进一步回购股票，这是该公司继续关注向股东返还资金的一部分，因为该公司旨在减少其庞大的现金储备。该公司通常会在三月份季度报告的同时更新其资本回报计划，即将发布的公告可能会推动苹果财报发布后的股票势头。</blockquote></p><p> \"We think Apple's capital return update could be the most incremental consideration coming out of Apple's upcoming F2Q21 results,\" Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers wrote.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Aaron Rakers写道：“我们认为苹果的资本回报更新可能是苹果即将发布的2021年第二季度业绩中最具增量的考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Though Apple shares have nearly doubled in the past year, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Katy Huberty anticipates that the company will remain aggressive with its buybacks. She predicts that the company could add $60 billion to its buyback authorization this quarter, compared with the $50 billion increase that Apple approved a year ago .</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果的股价在过去一年里几乎翻了一番，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)预计该公司将继续积极回购。她预测，该公司本季度可能会增加600亿美元的回购授权，而苹果一年前批准的回购授权为500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's pace of repurchases is unlikely to \"materially slow\" in the next 12 to 18 months, Huberty argued, as she projected that the company could buy back $18 billion worth of its stock each quarter until the end of fiscal 2022. That would reduce the number of shares outstanding by about 3% and leave Apple with a net-cash position of about $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂认为，苹果的回购步伐在未来12至18个月内不太可能“大幅放缓”，因为她预计该公司每个季度可能回购价值180亿美元的股票，直到2022财年末。这将使已发行股票数量减少约3%，并使苹果的净现金头寸约为750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> She also projects a 10% increase in Apple's dividend, which would bring the annual payout to 90 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>她还预计苹果的股息将增加10%，这将使年度派息达到每股90美分。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's dividend announcement could be a bigger driver of stock performance than the buyback plans, Wells Fargo's Rakers suggested. He thinks Apple could raise its dividend by at least 10%, an increase that would mark the highest annual hike since Apple's 16% bump in 2018 and stand in comparison to the \"more modest\" increases of 5.5% and 6.5% that Apple delivered in 2019 and 2020, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的Rakers表示，苹果的股息公告可能比回购计划更能推动股票表现。他认为苹果可能会将股息提高至少10%，这一增幅将标志着自苹果2018年增长16%以来的最高年度增幅，与苹果实现的5.5%和6.5%的“更温和”增幅相比。分别于2019年和2020年。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our positive view on Apple's continued ability to generate strong [free-cash flow] supports our view that the company could return its annual dividend growth trajectory into the double-digit [percent] range,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们对苹果持续产生强劲[自由现金流]的能力的积极看法支持了我们的观点，即该公司可以将其年度股息增长轨迹恢复到两位数[百分比]范围。”</blockquote></p><p> Rakers is expecting a roughly $50 billion increase to the buyback program, flat with a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>Rakers预计回购计划将增加约500亿美元，与一年前持平。</blockquote></p><p> The company has set out to become net-cash-neutral, opting against blockbuster acquisitions and in favor of capital returns as it tries to winnow down its sizable net-cash balance, which stood at more than $80 billion as of Apple's last report. But Apple is also generating strong free-cash flow, with Huberty predicting a 30% increase this fiscal year and suggesting that it will take time before Apple achieves its target.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已着手实现净现金中性，选择不进行重磅收购，转而支持资本回报，试图筛选其可观的净现金余额，截至苹果上次报告，净现金余额已超过800亿美元。但苹果也产生了强劲的自由现金流，Huberty预测本财年将增长30%，并暗示苹果实现其目标还需要时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"Apple is firing on all cylinders today and even as the company spends nearly $100 billion per year on shareholder returns, we believe the path to a net-cash-neutral position requires multiple more years of sustained strong shareholder returns,\" Huberty wrote.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂写道：“苹果今天正在全力以赴，尽管该公司每年在股东回报上花费近1000亿美元，但我们认为，实现净现金中性的道路需要多年持续强劲的股东回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Apple repurchased an average of 2.5 million shares a day in the last nine months of 2020, Rakers noted, accounting for about 1.6% of the stock's daily trading volume.</p><p><blockquote>Rakers指出，苹果在2020年最后9个月平均每天回购250万股，约占该股日交易量的1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Earnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect that Apple earned 98 cents a share in the latest quarter, up from 64 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics and others, the average estimate calls for $1.02 a share.</p><p><blockquote>盈利：FactSet追踪的分析师预计，苹果最近一个季度的每股收益为98美分，高于去年同期的64美分。根据众包对冲基金、学者和其他机构预测的Estimize的数据，评级的平均估值为每股1.02美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue: The FactSet consensus models revenue of $76.7 billion, while the average estimate on Estimize is for $78.3 billion. Apple posted $58.3 billion in revenue during the prior March quarter, as COVID-19 shutdowns affected China and began to cause store closures in other parts of the world.</p><p><blockquote>收入：FactSet共识模型的收入为767亿美元，而Estimize的平均估计为783亿美元。由于COVID-19的停工影响了中国，并开始导致世界其他地区的商店关闭，苹果在3月份的上一季度实现了583亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Stock movement: Apple shares have fallen following three of the past five earnings reports. Shares have gained 91% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average , of which Apple is a component, has risen 44%.</p><p><blockquote>股票走势：在过去五份收益报告中的三份发布后，苹果股价均下跌。过去12个月，该股上涨了91%，苹果公司所属的道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了44%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 30 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings, and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $151.12.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的42名研究苹果股票的分析师中，30名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，3名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为151.12美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple has seen strong momentum in recent quarters amid a surge in demand for Macs and iPads during the pandemic and a successful iPhone 12 launch. Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani predicts that the company continued to see good traction in the March quarter and could deliver results ahead of expectations.</p><p><blockquote>由于疫情期间对Mac和iPad的需求激增以及iPhone 12的成功推出，苹果最近几个季度出现了强劲的势头。Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani预测，该公司在3月份季度继续保持良好势头，可能会超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> The company could be more insulated than others from the continuing chip shortage given \"its status as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the largest electronics purchasers in the world,\" Daryanani argued, noting that while manufacturing partner Foxconn mentioned some supply issues, that company said that the component shortage would affect a small fraction of customer orders.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于“其地位”，该公司可能比其他公司更能免受持续芯片短缺的影响<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>达里亚纳尼指出，虽然制造合作伙伴富士康提到了一些供应问题，但该公司表示，零部件短缺将影响一小部分客户订单。</blockquote></p><p> Daryanani is upbeat about Apple's iPhone momentum in China and encouraged by Foxconn's indication that March-quarter performance would be better than what's typically seen for this period. That's consistent with Apple's own projections, he noted. He rates the stock at outperform with a $175 price target.</p><p><blockquote>Daryanani对苹果iPhone在中国的发展势头持乐观态度，并对富士康表示3月份季度的业绩将好于这一时期的通常情况感到鼓舞。他指出，这与苹果自己的预测一致。他将该股评级为跑赢大盘，目标价为175美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo's Rakers pointed to \"ongoing positive demand drivers\" but said he was \"reluctant to make a meaningful upside (iPhone-driven) call\" ahead of the release. His iPhone revenue estimate for the quarter is for $38.8 billion, while the FactSet consensus calls for $41.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的Rakers指出了“持续的积极需求驱动因素”，但表示他“不愿意在发布前做出有意义的上行（iPhone驱动的）看涨期权”。他预计本季度iPhone收入为388亿美元，而FactSet一致认为评级为410亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Outside of the iPhone, Rakers expects that the company continues to see strong demand for iPads and Macs buoyed by at-home dynamics. He'll also be looking for broader commentary on supply issues.</p><p><blockquote>除了iPhone之外，Rakers预计，在家庭动态的推动下，该公司将继续看到对iPad和Mac的强劲需求。他还将寻求有关供应问题的更广泛评论。</blockquote></p><p> \"With continued reports of overall semiconductor supply-chain tightness, presumably impacting Apple's Mac and iPad lead times, along with increasing DRAM prices, investors will be focused on Apple's thoughts on overall demand fulfillment and gross margin expectations,\" he wrote, while reiterating an overweight rating on the stock and a $160 target price.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“随着不断有报道称整体半导体供应链紧张，可能会影响苹果Mac和iPad的交货时间，以及DRAM价格上涨，投资者将关注苹果对整体需求满足和毛利率预期的想法。”跑赢大盘对该股的评级和160美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Huberty has \"high confidence\" that Apple will beat March-quarter expectations and she's also expecting an upbeat outlook.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的休伯蒂对苹果将超出三月份季度的预期“充满信心”，她也预计前景乐观。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe that much of the consumer and education-market strength that propelled the Mac and iPad to 21% year-over-year and 41% year-over-year growth the December quarter sustained, and even accelerated into the March quarter,\" she wrote, highlighting upbeat third-party Mac data from IDC.</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信，推动Mac和iPad在12月季度同比增长21%和41%的消费者和教育市场实力在很大程度上得以持续，甚至在3月季度加速增长，”她写道，强调了IDC乐观的第三方Mac数据。</blockquote></p><p> Huberty forecasts $8.2 billion in Mac revenue and $6.8 billion in iPad revenue for the quarter, significantly above the FactSet consensus, which calls for $6.7 billion and $5.6 billion, respectively. She has an overweight rating and $158 price target on Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>Huberty预测本季度Mac收入为82亿美元，iPad收入为68亿美元，远高于FactSet的共识，评级分别为67亿美元和56亿美元。她对苹果股票给予跑赢大盘评级和158美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Apple recently introduced new iPads and iMacs that could allow it to continue capitalizing on at-home trends, though these won't factor into the March-quarter numbers.</p><p><blockquote>苹果最近推出了新款iPad和iMac，这可能使其能够继续利用家用趋势，尽管这些不会计入3月份季度的数据中。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple’s business is roaring, and investors are about to find out how much of that cash is coming their way<blockquote>苹果的业务正在蓬勃发展，投资者即将发现其中有多少现金流向了他们</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple’s business is roaring, and investors are about to find out how much of that cash is coming their way<blockquote>苹果的业务正在蓬勃发展，投资者即将发现其中有多少现金流向了他们</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-25 16:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple earnings preview: After 'more modest' dividend increases in the past two years, Apple could get back to double-digit dividend growth when it details investor-return plans for the year</p><p><blockquote>苹果盈利预览：在过去两年股息“更加温和”增加后，苹果在详细说明今年投资者回报计划时可能会恢复两位数的股息增长</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c3de8d4d6e2f179b5f904720051de74\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Apple's iPad and Mac momentum may have \"accelerated\" in the latest quarter, analyst argues. AFP/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师认为，苹果iPad和Mac的势头可能在最近一个季度“加速”。法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After posting record sales and profits in its latest fiscal year, Apple Inc. is expected to show how much of its financial success will get delivered back to shareholders this year.</p><p><blockquote>在最近一个财年创下创纪录的销售额和利润后，苹果公司预计将展示其今年的财务成功将在多大程度上回报给股东。</blockquote></p><p> Apple <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a> is expected to increase its dividend and authorize further stock buybacks when it announces fiscal second-quarter earnings Wednesday, part of the company's continued focus on returning money to shareholders as it aims to reduce its sizable cash pile. The company typically makes updates to its capital-return program alongside its March-quarter report, and the coming announcement could be a driver of Apple's post-earnings stock momentum.</p><p><blockquote>苹果<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$(AAPL)$</a>预计该公司将在周三公布第二财季收益时增加股息并授权进一步回购股票，这是该公司继续关注向股东返还资金的一部分，因为该公司旨在减少其庞大的现金储备。该公司通常会在三月份季度报告的同时更新其资本回报计划，即将发布的公告可能会推动苹果财报发布后的股票势头。</blockquote></p><p> \"We think Apple's capital return update could be the most incremental consideration coming out of Apple's upcoming F2Q21 results,\" Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers wrote.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Aaron Rakers写道：“我们认为苹果的资本回报更新可能是苹果即将发布的2021年第二季度业绩中最具增量的考虑因素。”</blockquote></p><p> Though Apple shares have nearly doubled in the past year, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>'s Katy Huberty anticipates that the company will remain aggressive with its buybacks. She predicts that the company could add $60 billion to its buyback authorization this quarter, compared with the $50 billion increase that Apple approved a year ago .</p><p><blockquote>尽管苹果的股价在过去一年里几乎翻了一番，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">摩根士丹利</a>凯蒂·休伯蒂(Katy Huberty)预计该公司将继续积极回购。她预测，该公司本季度可能会增加600亿美元的回购授权，而苹果一年前批准的回购授权为500亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's pace of repurchases is unlikely to \"materially slow\" in the next 12 to 18 months, Huberty argued, as she projected that the company could buy back $18 billion worth of its stock each quarter until the end of fiscal 2022. That would reduce the number of shares outstanding by about 3% and leave Apple with a net-cash position of about $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂认为，苹果的回购步伐在未来12至18个月内不太可能“大幅放缓”，因为她预计该公司每个季度可能回购价值180亿美元的股票，直到2022财年末。这将使已发行股票数量减少约3%，并使苹果的净现金头寸约为750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> She also projects a 10% increase in Apple's dividend, which would bring the annual payout to 90 cents a share.</p><p><blockquote>她还预计苹果的股息将增加10%，这将使年度派息达到每股90美分。</blockquote></p><p> Apple's dividend announcement could be a bigger driver of stock performance than the buyback plans, Wells Fargo's Rakers suggested. He thinks Apple could raise its dividend by at least 10%, an increase that would mark the highest annual hike since Apple's 16% bump in 2018 and stand in comparison to the \"more modest\" increases of 5.5% and 6.5% that Apple delivered in 2019 and 2020, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的Rakers表示，苹果的股息公告可能比回购计划更能推动股票表现。他认为苹果可能会将股息提高至少10%，这一增幅将标志着自苹果2018年增长16%以来的最高年度增幅，与苹果实现的5.5%和6.5%的“更温和”增幅相比。分别于2019年和2020年。</blockquote></p><p> \"Our positive view on Apple's continued ability to generate strong [free-cash flow] supports our view that the company could return its annual dividend growth trajectory into the double-digit [percent] range,\" he wrote.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“我们对苹果持续产生强劲[自由现金流]的能力的积极看法支持了我们的观点，即该公司可以将其年度股息增长轨迹恢复到两位数[百分比]范围。”</blockquote></p><p> Rakers is expecting a roughly $50 billion increase to the buyback program, flat with a year ago.</p><p><blockquote>Rakers预计回购计划将增加约500亿美元，与一年前持平。</blockquote></p><p> The company has set out to become net-cash-neutral, opting against blockbuster acquisitions and in favor of capital returns as it tries to winnow down its sizable net-cash balance, which stood at more than $80 billion as of Apple's last report. But Apple is also generating strong free-cash flow, with Huberty predicting a 30% increase this fiscal year and suggesting that it will take time before Apple achieves its target.</p><p><blockquote>该公司已着手实现净现金中性，选择不进行重磅收购，转而支持资本回报，试图筛选其可观的净现金余额，截至苹果上次报告，净现金余额已超过800亿美元。但苹果也产生了强劲的自由现金流，Huberty预测本财年将增长30%，并暗示苹果实现其目标还需要时间。</blockquote></p><p> \"Apple is firing on all cylinders today and even as the company spends nearly $100 billion per year on shareholder returns, we believe the path to a net-cash-neutral position requires multiple more years of sustained strong shareholder returns,\" Huberty wrote.</p><p><blockquote>休伯蒂写道：“苹果今天正在全力以赴，尽管该公司每年在股东回报上花费近1000亿美元，但我们认为，实现净现金中性的道路需要多年持续强劲的股东回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Apple repurchased an average of 2.5 million shares a day in the last nine months of 2020, Rakers noted, accounting for about 1.6% of the stock's daily trading volume.</p><p><blockquote>Rakers指出，苹果在2020年最后9个月平均每天回购250万股，约占该股日交易量的1.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What to expect</b></p><p><blockquote><b>期待什么</b></blockquote></p><p> Earnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect that Apple earned 98 cents a share in the latest quarter, up from 64 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics and others, the average estimate calls for $1.02 a share.</p><p><blockquote>盈利：FactSet追踪的分析师预计，苹果最近一个季度的每股收益为98美分，高于去年同期的64美分。根据众包对冲基金、学者和其他机构预测的Estimize的数据，评级的平均估值为每股1.02美元。</blockquote></p><p> Revenue: The FactSet consensus models revenue of $76.7 billion, while the average estimate on Estimize is for $78.3 billion. Apple posted $58.3 billion in revenue during the prior March quarter, as COVID-19 shutdowns affected China and began to cause store closures in other parts of the world.</p><p><blockquote>收入：FactSet共识模型的收入为767亿美元，而Estimize的平均估计为783亿美元。由于COVID-19的停工影响了中国，并开始导致世界其他地区的商店关闭，苹果在3月份的上一季度实现了583亿美元的收入。</blockquote></p><p> Stock movement: Apple shares have fallen following three of the past five earnings reports. Shares have gained 91% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average , of which Apple is a component, has risen 44%.</p><p><blockquote>股票走势：在过去五份收益报告中的三份发布后，苹果股价均下跌。过去12个月，该股上涨了91%，苹果公司所属的道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了44%。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 30 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings, and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $151.12.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet追踪的42名研究苹果股票的分析师中，30名给予买入评级，9名给予持有评级，3名给予卖出评级，平均目标价为151.12美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else to watch for</b></p><p><blockquote><b>还有什么值得注意的</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Apple has seen strong momentum in recent quarters amid a surge in demand for Macs and iPads during the pandemic and a successful iPhone 12 launch. Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani predicts that the company continued to see good traction in the March quarter and could deliver results ahead of expectations.</p><p><blockquote>由于疫情期间对Mac和iPad的需求激增以及iPhone 12的成功推出，苹果最近几个季度出现了强劲的势头。Evercore ISI分析师Amit Daryanani预测，该公司在3月份季度继续保持良好势头，可能会超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> The company could be more insulated than others from the continuing chip shortage given \"its status as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> of the largest electronics purchasers in the world,\" Daryanani argued, noting that while manufacturing partner Foxconn mentioned some supply issues, that company said that the component shortage would affect a small fraction of customer orders.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于“其地位”，该公司可能比其他公司更能免受持续芯片短缺的影响<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>达里亚纳尼指出，虽然制造合作伙伴富士康提到了一些供应问题，但该公司表示，零部件短缺将影响一小部分客户订单。</blockquote></p><p> Daryanani is upbeat about Apple's iPhone momentum in China and encouraged by Foxconn's indication that March-quarter performance would be better than what's typically seen for this period. That's consistent with Apple's own projections, he noted. He rates the stock at outperform with a $175 price target.</p><p><blockquote>Daryanani对苹果iPhone在中国的发展势头持乐观态度，并对富士康表示3月份季度的业绩将好于这一时期的通常情况感到鼓舞。他指出，这与苹果自己的预测一致。他将该股评级为跑赢大盘，目标价为175美元。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo's Rakers pointed to \"ongoing positive demand drivers\" but said he was \"reluctant to make a meaningful upside (iPhone-driven) call\" ahead of the release. His iPhone revenue estimate for the quarter is for $38.8 billion, while the FactSet consensus calls for $41.0 billion.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行的Rakers指出了“持续的积极需求驱动因素”，但表示他“不愿意在发布前做出有意义的上行（iPhone驱动的）看涨期权”。他预计本季度iPhone收入为388亿美元，而FactSet一致认为评级为410亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Outside of the iPhone, Rakers expects that the company continues to see strong demand for iPads and Macs buoyed by at-home dynamics. He'll also be looking for broader commentary on supply issues.</p><p><blockquote>除了iPhone之外，Rakers预计，在家庭动态的推动下，该公司将继续看到对iPad和Mac的强劲需求。他还将寻求有关供应问题的更广泛评论。</blockquote></p><p> \"With continued reports of overall semiconductor supply-chain tightness, presumably impacting Apple's Mac and iPad lead times, along with increasing DRAM prices, investors will be focused on Apple's thoughts on overall demand fulfillment and gross margin expectations,\" he wrote, while reiterating an overweight rating on the stock and a $160 target price.</p><p><blockquote>他写道：“随着不断有报道称整体半导体供应链紧张，可能会影响苹果Mac和iPad的交货时间，以及DRAM价格上涨，投资者将关注苹果对整体需求满足和毛利率预期的想法。”跑赢大盘对该股的评级和160美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley's Huberty has \"high confidence\" that Apple will beat March-quarter expectations and she's also expecting an upbeat outlook.</p><p><blockquote>摩根士丹利的休伯蒂对苹果将超出三月份季度的预期“充满信心”，她也预计前景乐观。</blockquote></p><p> \"We believe that much of the consumer and education-market strength that propelled the Mac and iPad to 21% year-over-year and 41% year-over-year growth the December quarter sustained, and even accelerated into the March quarter,\" she wrote, highlighting upbeat third-party Mac data from IDC.</p><p><blockquote>“我们相信，推动Mac和iPad在12月季度同比增长21%和41%的消费者和教育市场实力在很大程度上得以持续，甚至在3月季度加速增长，”她写道，强调了IDC乐观的第三方Mac数据。</blockquote></p><p> Huberty forecasts $8.2 billion in Mac revenue and $6.8 billion in iPad revenue for the quarter, significantly above the FactSet consensus, which calls for $6.7 billion and $5.6 billion, respectively. She has an overweight rating and $158 price target on Apple shares.</p><p><blockquote>Huberty预测本季度Mac收入为82亿美元，iPad收入为68亿美元，远高于FactSet的共识，评级分别为67亿美元和56亿美元。她对苹果股票给予跑赢大盘评级和158美元的目标价。</blockquote></p><p> Apple recently introduced new iPads and iMacs that could allow it to continue capitalizing on at-home trends, though these won't factor into the March-quarter numbers.</p><p><blockquote>苹果最近推出了新款iPad和iMac，这可能使其能够继续利用家用趋势，尽管这些不会计入3月份季度的数据中。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apples-business-is-roaring-and-investors-are-about-to-find-out-how-much-of-that-cash-is-coming-their-way-11619194933?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apples-business-is-roaring-and-investors-are-about-to-find-out-how-much-of-that-cash-is-coming-their-way-11619194933?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2129680033","content_text":"Apple earnings preview: After 'more modest' dividend increases in the past two years, Apple could get back to double-digit dividend growth when it details investor-return plans for the year\nApple's iPad and Mac momentum may have \"accelerated\" in the latest quarter, analyst argues. AFP/Getty Images\nAfter posting record sales and profits in its latest fiscal year, Apple Inc. is expected to show how much of its financial success will get delivered back to shareholders this year.\nApple $(AAPL)$ is expected to increase its dividend and authorize further stock buybacks when it announces fiscal second-quarter earnings Wednesday, part of the company's continued focus on returning money to shareholders as it aims to reduce its sizable cash pile. The company typically makes updates to its capital-return program alongside its March-quarter report, and the coming announcement could be a driver of Apple's post-earnings stock momentum.\n\"We think Apple's capital return update could be the most incremental consideration coming out of Apple's upcoming F2Q21 results,\" Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers wrote.\nThough Apple shares have nearly doubled in the past year, Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty anticipates that the company will remain aggressive with its buybacks. She predicts that the company could add $60 billion to its buyback authorization this quarter, compared with the $50 billion increase that Apple approved a year ago .\nApple's pace of repurchases is unlikely to \"materially slow\" in the next 12 to 18 months, Huberty argued, as she projected that the company could buy back $18 billion worth of its stock each quarter until the end of fiscal 2022. That would reduce the number of shares outstanding by about 3% and leave Apple with a net-cash position of about $75 billion.\nShe also projects a 10% increase in Apple's dividend, which would bring the annual payout to 90 cents a share.\nApple's dividend announcement could be a bigger driver of stock performance than the buyback plans, Wells Fargo's Rakers suggested. He thinks Apple could raise its dividend by at least 10%, an increase that would mark the highest annual hike since Apple's 16% bump in 2018 and stand in comparison to the \"more modest\" increases of 5.5% and 6.5% that Apple delivered in 2019 and 2020, respectively.\n\"Our positive view on Apple's continued ability to generate strong [free-cash flow] supports our view that the company could return its annual dividend growth trajectory into the double-digit [percent] range,\" he wrote.\nRakers is expecting a roughly $50 billion increase to the buyback program, flat with a year ago.\nThe company has set out to become net-cash-neutral, opting against blockbuster acquisitions and in favor of capital returns as it tries to winnow down its sizable net-cash balance, which stood at more than $80 billion as of Apple's last report. But Apple is also generating strong free-cash flow, with Huberty predicting a 30% increase this fiscal year and suggesting that it will take time before Apple achieves its target.\n\"Apple is firing on all cylinders today and even as the company spends nearly $100 billion per year on shareholder returns, we believe the path to a net-cash-neutral position requires multiple more years of sustained strong shareholder returns,\" Huberty wrote.\nApple repurchased an average of 2.5 million shares a day in the last nine months of 2020, Rakers noted, accounting for about 1.6% of the stock's daily trading volume.\nWhat to expect\nEarnings: Analysts tracked by FactSet expect that Apple earned 98 cents a share in the latest quarter, up from 64 cents a year earlier. According to Estimize, which crowdsources projections from hedge funds, academics and others, the average estimate calls for $1.02 a share.\nRevenue: The FactSet consensus models revenue of $76.7 billion, while the average estimate on Estimize is for $78.3 billion. Apple posted $58.3 billion in revenue during the prior March quarter, as COVID-19 shutdowns affected China and began to cause store closures in other parts of the world.\nStock movement: Apple shares have fallen following three of the past five earnings reports. Shares have gained 91% over the past 12 months as the Dow Jones Industrial Average , of which Apple is a component, has risen 44%.\nOf the 42 analysts tracked by FactSet who cover Apple's stock, 30 have buy ratings, nine have hold ratings, and three have sell ratings, with an average price target of $151.12.\nWhat else to watch for\nApple has seen strong momentum in recent quarters amid a surge in demand for Macs and iPads during the pandemic and a successful iPhone 12 launch. Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani predicts that the company continued to see good traction in the March quarter and could deliver results ahead of expectations.\nThe company could be more insulated than others from the continuing chip shortage given \"its status as one of the largest electronics purchasers in the world,\" Daryanani argued, noting that while manufacturing partner Foxconn mentioned some supply issues, that company said that the component shortage would affect a small fraction of customer orders.\nDaryanani is upbeat about Apple's iPhone momentum in China and encouraged by Foxconn's indication that March-quarter performance would be better than what's typically seen for this period. That's consistent with Apple's own projections, he noted. He rates the stock at outperform with a $175 price target.\nWells Fargo's Rakers pointed to \"ongoing positive demand drivers\" but said he was \"reluctant to make a meaningful upside (iPhone-driven) call\" ahead of the release. His iPhone revenue estimate for the quarter is for $38.8 billion, while the FactSet consensus calls for $41.0 billion.\nOutside of the iPhone, Rakers expects that the company continues to see strong demand for iPads and Macs buoyed by at-home dynamics. He'll also be looking for broader commentary on supply issues.\n\"With continued reports of overall semiconductor supply-chain tightness, presumably impacting Apple's Mac and iPad lead times, along with increasing DRAM prices, investors will be focused on Apple's thoughts on overall demand fulfillment and gross margin expectations,\" he wrote, while reiterating an overweight rating on the stock and a $160 target price.\nMorgan Stanley's Huberty has \"high confidence\" that Apple will beat March-quarter expectations and she's also expecting an upbeat outlook.\n\"We believe that much of the consumer and education-market strength that propelled the Mac and iPad to 21% year-over-year and 41% year-over-year growth the December quarter sustained, and even accelerated into the March quarter,\" she wrote, highlighting upbeat third-party Mac data from IDC.\nHuberty forecasts $8.2 billion in Mac revenue and $6.8 billion in iPad revenue for the quarter, significantly above the FactSet consensus, which calls for $6.7 billion and $5.6 billion, respectively. She has an overweight rating and $158 price target on Apple shares.\nApple recently introduced new iPads and iMacs that could allow it to continue capitalizing on at-home trends, though these won't factor into the March-quarter numbers.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":237,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":381088649,"gmtCreate":1612913651181,"gmtModify":1703766803311,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"A great way to fly","listText":"A great way to fly","text":"A great way to fly","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/381088649","repostId":"2110050003","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":847993888,"gmtCreate":1636470576604,"gmtModify":1636470780609,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wonder what cryptocurrency he is buying? Dog memes again?","listText":"Wonder what cryptocurrency he is buying? Dog memes again?","text":"Wonder what cryptocurrency he is buying? Dog memes again?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/847993888","repostId":"1138226136","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":858610434,"gmtCreate":1635043383356,"gmtModify":1635043383650,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Price of cars goes up. Hopefully will show in share prices too. Yay","listText":"Price of cars goes up. Hopefully will show in share prices too. Yay","text":"Price of cars goes up. Hopefully will show in share prices too. Yay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/858610434","repostId":"2177448205","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":379443315,"gmtCreate":1618791662837,"gmtModify":1634290939215,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy the dip?","listText":"Buy the dip?","text":"Buy the dip?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379443315","repostId":"2128863736","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":301,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":345149318,"gmtCreate":1618291861134,"gmtModify":1634293901968,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up up up","listText":"Up up up","text":"Up up up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/345149318","repostId":"1146450605","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800638689,"gmtCreate":1627296618241,"gmtModify":1633766422945,"author":{"id":"3554952819125110","authorId":"3554952819125110","name":"KRPK","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/881610765cd032fe6e1b38c240a49844","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3554952819125110","authorIdStr":"3554952819125110"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"10 years is quite long! But patience is a virtue&nbsp;","listText":"10 years is quite long! But patience is a virtue&nbsp;","text":"10 years is quite long! 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Is it time to travel around?","listText":"Really? Is it time to travel around?","text":"Really? 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