alexsp的个人主页 - 老虎社区

alexsp

alexsp

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IP属地：北京

45关注

6粉丝

1主题

0勋章

02-08

哈哈哈

01-04

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 按上牌算，比亚迪就是个笑话

2023-09-02

降了20多万

特斯拉跌4%，发新款Model 3，而Model S/X大幅降价

2022-09-13

说得没错，只是很多人不接受现实

马斯克关于燃油车的最新预言，会被“打脸”吗？

2022-07-21

瞎操心

别被特斯拉财报骗了，新能源车的下半年未必一帆风顺

2022-07-21

$特斯拉(TSLA)$[呆住]

2022-06-24

$理想汽车(LI)$别过两天数据造假

2022-04-12

$Veru Inc.(VERU)$赶紧空

2022-03-29

特斯拉是科技公司，不是车企！自己都没弄明白

@潇洒哥哥Lucky:$特斯拉(TSLA)$意思拆股就要涨？一个汽车公司脱离基本面了吧，已经泡沫很高了

2022-03-29

$特斯拉(TSLA)$又要分股，赶紧上车

2022-02-04

一直认为吖是骗子

贾跃亭美国骗局细节曝光，9成以上订单系伪造

2022-02-01

良心企业

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-01-28

过两天就大涨了

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-12-03

$滴滴(DIDI)$退市了

2021-12-02

$爱奇艺(IQ)$马上裁员了

2021-10-30

$特斯拉(TSLA)$满仓干

2021-10-26

怎么不跑，看资金都流出去了，风险太大

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-10-25

$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$今晚跌到1元

2021-10-25

$Phunware, Inc.(PHUN)$全跑了，，，我也先跑，！

2021-10-06

$容联云(RAAS)$为啥会买它[无语]

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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按上牌算，比亚迪就是个笑话","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/259263656161504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":215364197044408,"gmtCreate":1693608878584,"gmtModify":1693608880922,"author":{"id":"3542063310542623","authorId":"3542063310542623","name":"alexsp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19fd1cf9d1565c641b98efb80c6c901b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"降了20多万","listText":"降了20多万","text":"降了20多万","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/215364197044408","repostId":"1187260980","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1187260980","pubTimestamp":1693582859,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187260980?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-09-01 23:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉跌4%，发新款Model 3， 而Model S/X大幅降价","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187260980","media":"智通财经网","summary":"Model 3焕新版正式上市，这是Model 3车型6年来的首次更新。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周五，特斯拉股价走低，截至发稿跌幅达4%。消息面上，9月1日，特斯拉中国官网显示，Model 3焕新版正式上市，这是Model 3车型6年来的首次更新。后轮驱动Model 3焕新版价格25.99万元起，长续航全轮驱动版价格29.59万元起。特斯拉官网预计，该款车型今年第四季度交付。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6ce2307dab59af2df626bbe52c2b6cb\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>在人们期待已久的新车型发布数小时后，<strong>特斯拉大幅削减了美国和中国市场上Model S轿车和Model X运动型多用途车价格，并将全自动驾驶辅助系统的价格下调了3000美元，至1.2万美元。</strong>根据特斯拉美国网站的数据，特斯拉目前的基本款Model S售价为74990美元，Model X售价为79990美元。这两款车年初的起价分别为104990美元和120990美元。如果基本款Model X的售价低于8万美元，这款SUV就有资格享受《通货膨胀削减法案》恢复的7500美元联邦税收抵免。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">“特斯拉已经发现，要想在竞争激烈的中国电动汽车市场获胜，你必须比世界上任何其他地方都跑得快，”克莱斯勒前高管、现任上海咨询公司Automobility Ltd.首席执行官Bill Russo说，在这样的市场上销售一款六年没有更新的车型相当于购买一部旧款iPhone，维持新版本的较高价格并保持可观的销量将是“非常具有挑战性的”。他说:“如果你不是最新最好的，你就只能靠价格折扣了。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">今年7月，特斯拉上海工厂的交付量降至今年最低水平，此前该公司宣布将安排停工以进行工厂升级。上个月，这家汽车制造商在短短几天内多次降价，在中国重新点燃了一场侵蚀利润率的价格战。小鹏和吉利汽车旗下的Zeekr品牌等本土竞争对手也下调了车型价格，并推出了新产品，与特斯拉展开正面竞争，而蔚来汽车承诺最早将于明年推出其新大众市场品牌的首款产品。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2016年3月，马斯克首次大张旗鼓地推出了Model 3，随后因为公司努力提高产量，他经历了数月的“生产地狱”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">更新后的车型已在中国、欧洲、中东和澳大利亚的特斯拉订单页面上上线，但尚未在美国上线。</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉跌4%，发新款Model 3， 而Model S/X大幅降价</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/990064.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ab596ed41779fb04a9e7a578559f98d","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/990064.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"1187260980","content_text":"周五，特斯拉股价走低，截至发稿跌幅达4%。消息面上，9月1日，特斯拉中国官网显示，Model 3焕新版正式上市，这是Model 3车型6年来的首次更新。后轮驱动Model 3焕新版价格25.99万元起，长续航全轮驱动版价格29.59万元起。特斯拉官网预计，该款车型今年第四季度交付。在人们期待已久的新车型发布数小时后，特斯拉大幅削减了美国和中国市场上Model S轿车和Model X运动型多用途车价格，并将全自动驾驶辅助系统的价格下调了3000美元，至1.2万美元。根据特斯拉美国网站的数据，特斯拉目前的基本款Model S售价为74990美元，Model X售价为79990美元。这两款车年初的起价分别为104990美元和120990美元。如果基本款Model X的售价低于8万美元，这款SUV就有资格享受《通货膨胀削减法案》恢复的7500美元联邦税收抵免。“特斯拉已经发现，要想在竞争激烈的中国电动汽车市场获胜，你必须比世界上任何其他地方都跑得快，”克莱斯勒前高管、现任上海咨询公司Automobility Ltd.首席执行官Bill Russo说，在这样的市场上销售一款六年没有更新的车型相当于购买一部旧款iPhone，维持新版本的较高价格并保持可观的销量将是“非常具有挑战性的”。他说:“如果你不是最新最好的，你就只能靠价格折扣了。”今年7月，特斯拉上海工厂的交付量降至今年最低水平，此前该公司宣布将安排停工以进行工厂升级。上个月，这家汽车制造商在短短几天内多次降价，在中国重新点燃了一场侵蚀利润率的价格战。小鹏和吉利汽车旗下的Zeekr品牌等本土竞争对手也下调了车型价格，并推出了新产品，与特斯拉展开正面竞争，而蔚来汽车承诺最早将于明年推出其新大众市场品牌的首款产品。2016年3月，马斯克首次大张旗鼓地推出了Model 3，随后因为公司努力提高产量，他经历了数月的“生产地狱”。更新后的车型已在中国、欧洲、中东和澳大利亚的特斯拉订单页面上上线，但尚未在美国上线。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":663175295,"gmtCreate":1663065078317,"gmtModify":1663065079433,"author":{"id":"3542063310542623","authorId":"3542063310542623","name":"alexsp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19fd1cf9d1565c641b98efb80c6c901b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说得没错，只是很多人不接受现实","listText":"说得没错，只是很多人不接受现实","text":"说得没错，只是很多人不接受现实","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/663175295","repostId":"1100974865","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100974865","pubTimestamp":1663060892,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100974865?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-13 17:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克关于燃油车的最新预言，会被“打脸”吗？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100974865","media":"每日经济新闻","summary":"“炮轰”燃油车的语录中，马斯克再添经典名句。","content":"<div>\n<p>记者丨董天意“炮轰”燃油车的语录中，马斯克再添经典名句。9月13日，特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在个人社交媒体上发文称：“不久后，我们将以目前看待蒸汽机的方式看待燃油车。今天购买的燃油车的剩余价值将比人们想象得低得多。”图片来源：新浪微博@ElonMusk但上述言论似乎并未得到全部网友的认可。有网友表示：“（燃油车）会被取代，但不是现在。”也有网友质疑称，马斯克的目的“就是推销一下自己家的特斯拉”，而...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/2ukDkO-Qvsd3Ol7FeLPf8Q\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"mrjjxw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克关于燃油车的最新预言，会被“打脸”吗？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克关于燃油车的最新预言，会被“打脸”吗？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-13 17:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/2ukDkO-Qvsd3Ol7FeLPf8Q><strong>每日经济新闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>记者丨董天意“炮轰”燃油车的语录中，马斯克再添经典名句。9月13日，特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在个人社交媒体上发文称：“不久后，我们将以目前看待蒸汽机的方式看待燃油车。今天购买的燃油车的剩余价值将比人们想象得低得多。”图片来源：新浪微博@ElonMusk但上述言论似乎并未得到全部网友的认可。有网友表示：“（燃油车）会被取代，但不是现在。”也有网友质疑称，马斯克的目的“就是推销一下自己家的特斯拉”，而...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/2ukDkO-Qvsd3Ol7FeLPf8Q\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f0a276a7fc6cdd65b6b5bce6b486e1d","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/2ukDkO-Qvsd3Ol7FeLPf8Q","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100974865","content_text":"记者丨董天意“炮轰”燃油车的语录中，马斯克再添经典名句。9月13日，特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克在个人社交媒体上发文称：“不久后，我们将以目前看待蒸汽机的方式看待燃油车。今天购买的燃油车的剩余价值将比人们想象得低得多。”图片来源：新浪微博@ElonMusk但上述言论似乎并未得到全部网友的认可。有网友表示：“（燃油车）会被取代，但不是现在。”也有网友质疑称，马斯克的目的“就是推销一下自己家的特斯拉”，而电动车目前的诸多痛点仍未完全解决。图片来源：新浪微博事实上，这并非马斯克首次公开“炮轰”燃油车。今年7月，马斯克就曾评论称，自动驾驶的电动汽车将是最重要的，（开）没有自动驾驶的汽油车如同骑马和使用翻盖手机一样。而“diss”燃油车也似乎成为新造车企业的“基本操作”。此前，蔚来汽车董事长李斌曾公开表示：“完全想不明白，现在大家为什么还买油车，除了能闻点汽油味，别的还有什么好？听个响？”华为常务董事、智能汽车解决方案BU CEO余承东也曾发表过类似言论。在2022年粤港澳车展上，余承东直言：“纯燃油车时代会很快结束，现在买燃油车，无异于智能手机时代买功能机。”争论背后，全球新能源汽车销量的不断走高是不争的事实。据央视新闻，2022世界新能源汽车大会与会专家表示，目前全球新能源汽车累计销量已突破2000万辆；2022年上半年，全球新能源汽车销量超过422万辆，同比增长66.38%，再创新高。另据特斯拉官方数据，今年上半年，其全球总交付量为56.4万辆，约占全球新能源汽车销量的13.4%。按照特斯拉规划的“多年内实现年均交付量50%增长”目标，特斯拉2022年交付量有望突破140万辆。摩根士丹利分析师Adam Jonas预测，2022财年，特斯拉新车交付量将达146万辆，同比增长56%。图片来源：视觉中国按照规划，到2030年，特斯拉每年销售目标为2000万辆。为此，特斯拉在提高现有工厂产能的同时，还计划继续在全球范围内建设工厂。“今年晚些时候，（我们）将公布公司最新一座工厂的选址结果。”马斯克表示，未来，特斯拉预计会在全球建设10~12家超级工厂，每座工厂规划年产能预计在150万~200万辆之间，10年后特斯拉有信心实现超过1亿辆的交付量。有观点认为，特斯拉良好的市场表现与产能布局，或许给予了马斯克频频向燃油车“开炮”的底气与信心。但需要注意的是，今年9月，马斯克在挪威召开的一场能源大会上曾发表与上述观点“截然不同”的言论。彼时，马斯克曾称，人类“在短期内”必须依赖石油和天然气，否则“文明将会崩溃”。此外，马斯克表示，向可持续能源过渡需要几十年才能完成，并强调自己不赞同将石油和天然气妖魔化，“现在，我们需要更多石油和天然气，而不是相反。但同时要快速迈向可持续的能源经济。”图片来源：视觉中国事实上，爱立“flag”的马斯克曾多次遭遇“打脸”时刻。此前，马斯克也是通过个人社交媒体发文称，考虑以420美元每股的价格对特斯拉进行私有化，并称“资金已到位”。但随后事实表明，特斯拉的私有化计划并不可行，并且资金也并未像马斯克所说的“已经到位”。随后，在一片质疑声中，马斯克宣布取消特斯拉私有化计划，并付出了2000万美元的民事罚款作为代价。2017年6月，马斯克曾表示，其旗下“无聊公司”（the boring company)已经获得政府相关部门的口头支持，将在纽约和华盛顿特区之间建造一条地下隧道。但随后《今日美国》网站（USA TODAY）发文称，以当时的技术和成本，从美国东部的纽约将隧道挖至西部的华盛顿，预计“要挖100年”。该网站甚至直言：“造火箭都比这容易点。”在此背景下，频频发出咋舌言论的马斯克也引来不少质疑之声。此前，美国银行高级汽车行业分析师墨菲（John Murphy）曾在研究报告中表示：“马斯克的动作不够快，他非常傲慢，以为其他汽车制造商永远赶不上他，也永远无法做出他能够做成的事情。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1282,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":686579336,"gmtCreate":1658413017027,"gmtModify":1704869945485,"author":{"id":"3542063310542623","authorId":"3542063310542623","name":"alexsp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19fd1cf9d1565c641b98efb80c6c901b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"瞎操心","listText":"瞎操心","text":"瞎操心","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/686579336","repostId":"1107960522","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107960522","pubTimestamp":1658409897,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107960522?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-21 21:24","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"别被特斯拉财报骗了，新能源车的下半年未必一帆风顺","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107960522","media":"格隆汇","summary":"特斯拉乃至中国的新势力们，还会像之前那么顺利吗？","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>翘首以盼的特斯拉财报，终于来到眼前。</p><p>对于这份财报，有些已经料到，比如交付量下滑，营收下滑，毛利率下滑，结束了好多个季度的单边上涨态势，特别是Q2的交付量早于财报前就已经公布，研究员大致算一下，便可窥见全貌；有些没有料到，净利润居然还能超出预期，同比翻了近一倍。</p><p>客观地说，这是一份平稳的财报，好坏对冲后，市场大致也能够接受。</p><p>但是，在目前仍然错综复杂的宏观经济形势下，特斯拉乃至中国的新势力们，还会像之前那么顺利吗？</p><p><b>01喜忧参半</b></p><p>首先说一下这个财报的几个关键点。</p><p>如市场最为关注的交付量下滑，这对于长时间习惯了增长模式的特斯拉投资者，是不太容易接受的事实。不过，理性地看，交付量下滑主要是上海疫情的影响，这个问题几乎所有在中国做生产的汽车厂商都一样，而且特斯拉股价下跌了如此之多，一定程度上也反映了这个结果。</p><p>所以，Q2交付量这个问题其实不用过于敏感，疫情解封后的6月，特斯拉已经出现了强势反弹。真正存在不确定性的，是下半年或者更长的时间。按照特斯拉自己的说法，手头的订单还很多，基本不用担心生意，而更应该担忧自己能不能造出车来及时交付，高管在电话会议上也重申了50%的年增长率，尽管明白当中有困难。另外，马斯克的经营能力，以及特斯拉的执行力也是值得称道的，典型的证据就是裁员果断、对供应链以及成本的控制，使得特斯拉在Q2如此困难的宏观环境下，依然能够取得超预期的利润。</p><p><b>这可以算是喜的一面。</b></p><p>但是，从欧美高通胀甚至可能出现经济危机的角度出发，特斯拉的订单在未来1-2年内还能够维持这么高，就得打上一个问号了，如果真的发生经济危机，订单量必定会有所收缩，营收端的压力就会浮现，这必然会给公司的增长前景蒙上阴影。</p><p><b>这是忧的一面。</b></p><p>从产能端，特斯拉4家超级工厂的总产能在200万左右，平均每个50万辆，现在又传出上海工厂扩建到75万辆，满打满算也就是215万辆，按照去年93万的出厂量，未来要实现每年50%的增长，至少在产能端是具备能力的，当然还要看柏林和奥斯汀工厂的爬坡情况。</p><p>而另外两个较为受关注的盈利点——<b>FSD和新车型</b>，今年估计都没有什么值得期待的地方。</p><p>关于FSD，马斯克食言已经很多次，市场基本也麻木了，在个人采访中，马斯克也多次承认，很多关注FSD的“曙光”最后都被证明是假的，要真正解决FSD所面临的问题，其实就是解决真实世界的人工智能问题。说得更直白一点，是要真正实现AI代替人脑，这个事，至少现在看来还没有谁敢拍胸口，说自己能够做到的。其实，FSD这种事是非常困难的，试想一下，在一个高速行驶的车里自动驾驶，出事就是人命观天，马虎不得。</p><p>所以，估值体系里如果过于乐观将FSD纳入，那就很可能是估值泡沫。</p><p>至于新车型，今年铁定没戏，电话会议上说的，9月份能够看到机器人，但新车型，例如皮卡，得明年才能看到。实际上，即使推出新车型，我也很怀疑特斯拉的产能能否应付得了，尤其是Model 3和Model Y都这么多未完成的订单，除非新建工厂，否则基本不可能应付得来，即使真的量产，也只是小规模。</p><p>特斯拉高管对于新建工厂计划的回应不多，目前的工作重点还在于两家新工厂的产能爬坡，导致了市场对于特斯拉未来的增长预期有所弱化，这也是财报公布后股价短暂拉升又迅速回落的原因，很明显，市场正在重新给特斯拉估值。</p><p><b>从基本面上看，特斯拉没有太大问题，现在的压制因素主要来自宏观经济，宏观层面没有触底复苏，特斯拉的股价就缺乏上涨动力，想要回到年初的高峰位置，更加是困难重重。</b></p><p>今年下半年，大概率还是在过去一个多月的区间里磨来磨去，直到全球经济有转机。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/988425ec83176d94f2f8428576e8e8d0\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>02国内新势力几何？</b></p><p>说到特斯拉，就不得不提国内的新能源车企。</p><p><b>现在大家都还沉浸在6月份强劲的销量数据上，似乎一切都没什么好担心的，但是，昨天一个新势力的调研报告出炉，当中提到下半年会降价促销，以完成全年的销售任务。</b></p><p>这个看似不大不小的动作，其实蕴含的信息量非常巨大。电动车集体提价还是几个月的事，这么快就反转，可以感受得到车企所面临的销售压力，终极问题就在于，到底新能源汽车是不是如我们所见的乐观？</p><p>当然，这家新势力的降价促销实属无奈之举，因为今年时间过半，但销售任务只完成了1/3，同时该车企还要面对三大新势力亏损最大这个事实，如果要完成全年任务，等于说下半年的销量要是上半年的2倍，这个挑战其实是很大的，虽然说下半年的车市才是销售旺季，但鉴于现在宏观环境和居民消费力，汽车这种大宗消费品能否继续维持高增，就存在很多不确定性。同时，很多车企都不断推出新车去抢占新能源市场，虽然新势力们还头顶光环，但冷暖只有它们自己才知道。</p><p>回看5、6月份的电动车为何销售强劲回升，其实原因只有一个，<b>政策刺激</b>。如果政策继续加码，那下半年新能源汽车的销售不会有太大问题，不过，从昨天总理的表态来看，下半年的经济刺激政策即使有，也不会过猛。换句话说，国家对于电动车的刺激，能做到现在这个份上，基本也已经尽力了的，再希望国家拿钱出来就不现实了。</p><p>当然，看多者还有一个信仰，那就是<b>抢食燃油车的蛋糕</b>。</p><p>根据中国汽车工业协会披露的数据，今年上半年燃油车的总体销量（乘用车和商用车）按年下跌19.1%。更重要的是，燃油车作为旧时代的代表，几乎没有还手之力，只能眼睁睁看着地盘被蚕食。如果按照这个剧本演下去，似乎新能源汽车也没有值得担心的，但正如前文所言，燃油车企的变量在于，它们也在迫不及待地挤进新能源汽车赛道，这必然会加剧市场竞争，赛道本身有增长没错，但每家的份额能不能增长就不一定了。</p><p>对于车企而言，前端有宏观经济、居民消费的压力，又有锂矿造成的成本压力，对于下半年，不宜太乐观。现在，整个港A股新能源汽车板块都处于回调之中，新势力们的股价在6月末触顶之后，已经跌了大半个月，反映的正是这样一种预期。</p><p>今年新能源汽车的整体销量，市场上的预期大概是550万辆，现在的股价，基本也反映了这种预期，除非政策上再有动作支持，否则，新势力们的上涨动力会很弱，顶多就是来回波动一下。</p><p><b>03结语</b></p><p>眼下的市场，确实缺乏新的主线。</p><p><b>在宏观经济未有周期性向上之时，走势都会反复震荡，对于投资者而言，这会是相当磨人的一个时期，虽然中间会有反弹，但到一定程度，常常戛然而止，踏空、被套就会经常发生。</b></p><p>作为极少数拥有广阔增长空间的行业，新能源汽车一直受到资金追捧，但是资金过度涌入，又往往容易推高估值，造成阶段性泡沫，上涨阶段获利容易，但回调阶段又很容易套人。如果是长线资金，在低位进入，可以无视股价波动，但是大部分投资者，尤其是散户，是不可能做到的。</p><p>新能源汽车板块何时再进入上涨阶段，今年或者都不容易看到了。因为要再来一次6月份的上涨，要么像4月份那样，崩一次，要么经济重新进入上涨周期，再有，就是成本端出现大幅下滑，例如锂矿价格大幅回落，而这几个因素，出现的可能性都不大。</p><p>新能源汽车的财报，仍然耀眼，但别被财报骗了，下半年的新能源汽车的股价，还是谨慎为好。</p></body></html>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>别被特斯拉财报骗了，新能源车的下半年未必一帆风顺</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n别被特斯拉财报骗了，新能源车的下半年未必一帆风顺\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-21 21:24 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/540787><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>翘首以盼的特斯拉财报，终于来到眼前。对于这份财报，有些已经料到，比如交付量下滑，营收下滑，毛利率下滑，结束了好多个季度的单边上涨态势，特别是Q2的交付量早于财报前就已经公布，研究员大致算一下，便可窥见全貌；有些没有料到，净利润居然还能超出预期，同比翻了近一倍。客观地说，这是一份平稳的财报，好坏对冲后，市场大致也能够接受。但是，在目前仍然错综复杂的宏观经济形势下，特斯拉乃至中国的新势力们，还会像之前...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/540787\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/968c7f56416ea450ba452ed25e324d2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/540787","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"1107960522","content_text":"翘首以盼的特斯拉财报，终于来到眼前。对于这份财报，有些已经料到，比如交付量下滑，营收下滑，毛利率下滑，结束了好多个季度的单边上涨态势，特别是Q2的交付量早于财报前就已经公布，研究员大致算一下，便可窥见全貌；有些没有料到，净利润居然还能超出预期，同比翻了近一倍。客观地说，这是一份平稳的财报，好坏对冲后，市场大致也能够接受。但是，在目前仍然错综复杂的宏观经济形势下，特斯拉乃至中国的新势力们，还会像之前那么顺利吗？01喜忧参半首先说一下这个财报的几个关键点。如市场最为关注的交付量下滑，这对于长时间习惯了增长模式的特斯拉投资者，是不太容易接受的事实。不过，理性地看，交付量下滑主要是上海疫情的影响，这个问题几乎所有在中国做生产的汽车厂商都一样，而且特斯拉股价下跌了如此之多，一定程度上也反映了这个结果。所以，Q2交付量这个问题其实不用过于敏感，疫情解封后的6月，特斯拉已经出现了强势反弹。真正存在不确定性的，是下半年或者更长的时间。按照特斯拉自己的说法，手头的订单还很多，基本不用担心生意，而更应该担忧自己能不能造出车来及时交付，高管在电话会议上也重申了50%的年增长率，尽管明白当中有困难。另外，马斯克的经营能力，以及特斯拉的执行力也是值得称道的，典型的证据就是裁员果断、对供应链以及成本的控制，使得特斯拉在Q2如此困难的宏观环境下，依然能够取得超预期的利润。这可以算是喜的一面。但是，从欧美高通胀甚至可能出现经济危机的角度出发，特斯拉的订单在未来1-2年内还能够维持这么高，就得打上一个问号了，如果真的发生经济危机，订单量必定会有所收缩，营收端的压力就会浮现，这必然会给公司的增长前景蒙上阴影。这是忧的一面。从产能端，特斯拉4家超级工厂的总产能在200万左右，平均每个50万辆，现在又传出上海工厂扩建到75万辆，满打满算也就是215万辆，按照去年93万的出厂量，未来要实现每年50%的增长，至少在产能端是具备能力的，当然还要看柏林和奥斯汀工厂的爬坡情况。而另外两个较为受关注的盈利点——FSD和新车型，今年估计都没有什么值得期待的地方。关于FSD，马斯克食言已经很多次，市场基本也麻木了，在个人采访中，马斯克也多次承认，很多关注FSD的“曙光”最后都被证明是假的，要真正解决FSD所面临的问题，其实就是解决真实世界的人工智能问题。说得更直白一点，是要真正实现AI代替人脑，这个事，至少现在看来还没有谁敢拍胸口，说自己能够做到的。其实，FSD这种事是非常困难的，试想一下，在一个高速行驶的车里自动驾驶，出事就是人命观天，马虎不得。所以，估值体系里如果过于乐观将FSD纳入，那就很可能是估值泡沫。至于新车型，今年铁定没戏，电话会议上说的，9月份能够看到机器人，但新车型，例如皮卡，得明年才能看到。实际上，即使推出新车型，我也很怀疑特斯拉的产能能否应付得了，尤其是Model 3和Model Y都这么多未完成的订单，除非新建工厂，否则基本不可能应付得来，即使真的量产，也只是小规模。特斯拉高管对于新建工厂计划的回应不多，目前的工作重点还在于两家新工厂的产能爬坡，导致了市场对于特斯拉未来的增长预期有所弱化，这也是财报公布后股价短暂拉升又迅速回落的原因，很明显，市场正在重新给特斯拉估值。从基本面上看，特斯拉没有太大问题，现在的压制因素主要来自宏观经济，宏观层面没有触底复苏，特斯拉的股价就缺乏上涨动力，想要回到年初的高峰位置，更加是困难重重。今年下半年，大概率还是在过去一个多月的区间里磨来磨去，直到全球经济有转机。02国内新势力几何？说到特斯拉，就不得不提国内的新能源车企。现在大家都还沉浸在6月份强劲的销量数据上，似乎一切都没什么好担心的，但是，昨天一个新势力的调研报告出炉，当中提到下半年会降价促销，以完成全年的销售任务。这个看似不大不小的动作，其实蕴含的信息量非常巨大。电动车集体提价还是几个月的事，这么快就反转，可以感受得到车企所面临的销售压力，终极问题就在于，到底新能源汽车是不是如我们所见的乐观？当然，这家新势力的降价促销实属无奈之举，因为今年时间过半，但销售任务只完成了1/3，同时该车企还要面对三大新势力亏损最大这个事实，如果要完成全年任务，等于说下半年的销量要是上半年的2倍，这个挑战其实是很大的，虽然说下半年的车市才是销售旺季，但鉴于现在宏观环境和居民消费力，汽车这种大宗消费品能否继续维持高增，就存在很多不确定性。同时，很多车企都不断推出新车去抢占新能源市场，虽然新势力们还头顶光环，但冷暖只有它们自己才知道。回看5、6月份的电动车为何销售强劲回升，其实原因只有一个，政策刺激。如果政策继续加码，那下半年新能源汽车的销售不会有太大问题，不过，从昨天总理的表态来看，下半年的经济刺激政策即使有，也不会过猛。换句话说，国家对于电动车的刺激，能做到现在这个份上，基本也已经尽力了的，再希望国家拿钱出来就不现实了。当然，看多者还有一个信仰，那就是抢食燃油车的蛋糕。根据中国汽车工业协会披露的数据，今年上半年燃油车的总体销量（乘用车和商用车）按年下跌19.1%。更重要的是，燃油车作为旧时代的代表，几乎没有还手之力，只能眼睁睁看着地盘被蚕食。如果按照这个剧本演下去，似乎新能源汽车也没有值得担心的，但正如前文所言，燃油车企的变量在于，它们也在迫不及待地挤进新能源汽车赛道，这必然会加剧市场竞争，赛道本身有增长没错，但每家的份额能不能增长就不一定了。对于车企而言，前端有宏观经济、居民消费的压力，又有锂矿造成的成本压力，对于下半年，不宜太乐观。现在，整个港A股新能源汽车板块都处于回调之中，新势力们的股价在6月末触顶之后，已经跌了大半个月，反映的正是这样一种预期。今年新能源汽车的整体销量，市场上的预期大概是550万辆，现在的股价，基本也反映了这种预期，除非政策上再有动作支持，否则，新势力们的上涨动力会很弱，顶多就是来回波动一下。03结语眼下的市场，确实缺乏新的主线。在宏观经济未有周期性向上之时，走势都会反复震荡，对于投资者而言，这会是相当磨人的一个时期，虽然中间会有反弹，但到一定程度，常常戛然而止，踏空、被套就会经常发生。作为极少数拥有广阔增长空间的行业，新能源汽车一直受到资金追捧，但是资金过度涌入，又往往容易推高估值，造成阶段性泡沫，上涨阶段获利容易，但回调阶段又很容易套人。如果是长线资金，在低位进入，可以无视股价波动，但是大部分投资者，尤其是散户，是不可能做到的。新能源汽车板块何时再进入上涨阶段，今年或者都不容易看到了。因为要再来一次6月份的上涨，要么像4月份那样，崩一次，要么经济重新进入上涨周期，再有，就是成本端出现大幅下滑，例如锂矿价格大幅回落，而这几个因素，出现的可能性都不大。新能源汽车的财报，仍然耀眼，但别被财报骗了，下半年的新能源汽车的股价，还是谨慎为好。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":686267742,"gmtCreate":1658364081891,"gmtModify":1704869715343,"author":{"id":"3542063310542623","authorId":"3542063310542623","name":"alexsp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19fd1cf9d1565c641b98efb80c6c901b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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16:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"贾跃亭美国骗局细节曝光，9成以上订单系伪造","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151672534","media":"智能车参考","summary":"FF公司董事会发起的调查，不但披露了骗局细节，还直接开掉了几名高管。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>文/贾浩楠</p><p>最新调查结果出炉，FF在美国骗局最终被揭穿。</p><p>由做空报告而起，FF公司董事会发起的调查，不但披露了骗局细节，还直接开掉了几名高管。</p><p>贾跃亭本人，也遭到降薪。</p><p>去年7月法拉第未来上市，贾跃亭表示回国“那是必须的”。</p><p>不过现在贾跃亭不但回不了国，甚至美国可能都待不下去了。</p><p><b>FF在美国骗了谁？</b></p><p>和在中国一样，骗投资人。</p><p>总的来说，FF通过手段营造出公司正常运转、交付在即的表象，让投资者相信FF是正经在造车。</p><p>目前FF官方披露的调查结果显示，之前向美国证券监管部门提交的IPO申请中有不实之处。</p><p>比如声称第一款量产车已经收到超过14000份订单，但实际上只有区区几百份是真正交过订金的有效订单。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d13b44ebcd8ef94f1e6fda78427701c7\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"364\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>其余的13000多订单无效，官方也没交代到底从何而来。</p><p>你说是用户下了单不给钱，骗了贾老板？我不信。</p><p>贾跃亭将FF带到美国后，除了将之前的债主转变成FF股东，把大家越绑越牢，自己还从FF一把手位置上退下来，只担任“首席产品官”，退到幕后。</p><p>但媒体和调查机构都倾向认为贾跃亭仍然是FF的实际控制人。</p><p>而在最新调查报告中，也较为隐晦的证实了这一点。</p><p>调查承认，之前公司上下都“低估了贾跃亭对业务的参与程度”…</p><p>因为贾跃亭在SPAC上市后，通过在空壳公司的职务直接参与FF的管理。</p><p>贾跃亭应该参与多少？实际参与了多少？报告都没明说。</p><p>但这不寻常的措辞背后，反映出的是贾跃亭在美国的信用崩塌。</p><p>FF上市时美奇金投资的做空报告矛头直指贾跃亭，认为FF就是他为了弥补个人债务亏空做的局。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a8a87cf8224c834d940f3c5087fda87\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"305\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>几个月后，FF官方承认贾跃亭“过度参与”，耐人寻味。</p><p>调查结果，是FF董事长Brian Krolicki负主要责任，卸任董事长，仅保留董事会成员。</p><p>同时副总裁兼总法律顾问 Jarret Johnson也离职，另一位副总裁Wang jia wei被停职停薪。</p><p>根据外媒报道，Wang jia wei是贾跃亭外甥，贾跃亭曾将自己的FF股权全转到外甥名下，并任命他为CFO，避免FF因自己的债务风险被查，同时能通过“自己人”实际控制FF。</p><p>至于贾跃亭自己，则在这次调查后降薪25%，向新被任命为董事长的Susan Swenson（董事会独董）汇报。</p><p><b>调查缘何而起？</b></p><p>究竟是什么样的报告，让FF董事会开始调查并限制贾跃亭的职权？</p><p>FF在官方文件中所说的不准确披露的指控，指的就是做空机构J Capital Research（中文译为美奇金投资）在今年10月份出具的一份做空报告。</p><p>在这份长达28页的报告中，美奇金投资根据公开资料，细数FF多条罪状。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/980aa851a7be00bd2177d4798db45626\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"304\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>归结起来有三点：</p><p>第一，没有量产车的能力。</p><p>第二，财务状况堪忧，融资补空没有尽头。</p><p>第三，老贾这人靠不住。</p><p>首先，FF91的交付时间已跳票数年，此前承诺在中国和美国五个地点建立6所工厂，但是至今这份计划并没有落实。</p><p>而且FF承诺在7个月内重新启动并开始生产的美国汉福德工厂也没有什么实质性的进展。</p><p>财务上，上市融了10亿，却仍然是杯水车薪。美奇金投资在报告中表示，如果FF来想要实现2024年的财务目标，还需要筹集14亿美元才可能实现。</p><p>以FF的业务进展和老贾的信誉，融钱可能会越来越难。</p><p>FF最新股价报收4.22美元，大跌7.46%，总市值仅剩13.69亿美元，较上市之初的约45亿美元市值已蒸发了近70%，超31亿美元（约合人民币约200亿元）。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a40a946179e35acf47f7780936f8c32b\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>去年11月，FF还因为未按时提交财报收到了退市警告，限期6个月补齐。</p><p>宽限期已经过去一半，FF这边还是没有动静。</p><p>第三点，就是前面说到的，美奇金投资认为，贾跃亭把FF搬到美国，根本不是想东山再起，而是接着忽悠美国投资人的钱，填自己的财务黑洞。</p><p><b>老贾下一步？</b></p><p>这次FF的自查其实并不能说明任何问题。</p><p>FF在公告中表示，已经开始采取补救措施，包括聘请第三方财务审计机构、加强公司信息披露工作、给高管做合规培训等等。</p><p>但稍加深入就能发现，FF自己内部的清查，点了一些问题，但也仅仅是点到为止，补救措施也是不疼不痒。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d83c1f77ec3a4eb1e8b3ac9ed5ed5440\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>看似清除了贾跃亭通过外甥掌控公司的渠道，但贾跃亭本人仍然没受任何影响。</p><p>对于FF问题的核心量产与交付，只字未提。</p><p>所以这次调查到底是董事会真的决定痛改前非，还是贾老板联合各方演的一出愿打愿挨的苦肉计？</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/070fde71129287fab4a17810f51a979f\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"368\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>现在还说不好。</p><p>希望若干年后美国投资者不会听到一句“去开会，下周回国”。</p><p>— 完 —</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1611665793971","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>贾跃亭美国骗局细节曝光，9成以上订单系伪造</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n贾跃亭美国骗局细节曝光，9成以上订单系伪造\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-04 16:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/csj/2022-02-04/doc-ikyamrmz9025329.shtml><strong>智能车参考</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>文/贾浩楠最新调查结果出炉，FF在美国骗局最终被揭穿。由做空报告而起，FF公司董事会发起的调查，不但披露了骗局细节，还直接开掉了几名高管。贾跃亭本人，也遭到降薪。去年7月法拉第未来上市，贾跃亭表示回国“那是必须的”。不过现在贾跃亭不但回不了国，甚至美国可能都待不下去了。FF在美国骗了谁？和在中国一样，骗投资人。总的来说，FF通过手段营造出公司正常运转、交付在即的表象，让投资者相信FF是正经在造车。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/csj/2022-02-04/doc-ikyamrmz9025329.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e16619a979abf7b5f48590b7af1d14e6","relate_stocks":{"FFIE":"Faraday Future"},"source_url":"http://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/csj/2022-02-04/doc-ikyamrmz9025329.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151672534","content_text":"文/贾浩楠最新调查结果出炉，FF在美国骗局最终被揭穿。由做空报告而起，FF公司董事会发起的调查，不但披露了骗局细节，还直接开掉了几名高管。贾跃亭本人，也遭到降薪。去年7月法拉第未来上市，贾跃亭表示回国“那是必须的”。不过现在贾跃亭不但回不了国，甚至美国可能都待不下去了。FF在美国骗了谁？和在中国一样，骗投资人。总的来说，FF通过手段营造出公司正常运转、交付在即的表象，让投资者相信FF是正经在造车。目前FF官方披露的调查结果显示，之前向美国证券监管部门提交的IPO申请中有不实之处。比如声称第一款量产车已经收到超过14000份订单，但实际上只有区区几百份是真正交过订金的有效订单。其余的13000多订单无效，官方也没交代到底从何而来。你说是用户下了单不给钱，骗了贾老板？我不信。贾跃亭将FF带到美国后，除了将之前的债主转变成FF股东，把大家越绑越牢，自己还从FF一把手位置上退下来，只担任“首席产品官”，退到幕后。但媒体和调查机构都倾向认为贾跃亭仍然是FF的实际控制人。而在最新调查报告中，也较为隐晦的证实了这一点。调查承认，之前公司上下都“低估了贾跃亭对业务的参与程度”…因为贾跃亭在SPAC上市后，通过在空壳公司的职务直接参与FF的管理。贾跃亭应该参与多少？实际参与了多少？报告都没明说。但这不寻常的措辞背后，反映出的是贾跃亭在美国的信用崩塌。FF上市时美奇金投资的做空报告矛头直指贾跃亭，认为FF就是他为了弥补个人债务亏空做的局。几个月后，FF官方承认贾跃亭“过度参与”，耐人寻味。调查结果，是FF董事长Brian Krolicki负主要责任，卸任董事长，仅保留董事会成员。同时副总裁兼总法律顾问 Jarret Johnson也离职，另一位副总裁Wang jia wei被停职停薪。根据外媒报道，Wang jia wei是贾跃亭外甥，贾跃亭曾将自己的FF股权全转到外甥名下，并任命他为CFO，避免FF因自己的债务风险被查，同时能通过“自己人”实际控制FF。至于贾跃亭自己，则在这次调查后降薪25%，向新被任命为董事长的Susan Swenson（董事会独董）汇报。调查缘何而起？究竟是什么样的报告，让FF董事会开始调查并限制贾跃亭的职权？FF在官方文件中所说的不准确披露的指控，指的就是做空机构J Capital Research（中文译为美奇金投资）在今年10月份出具的一份做空报告。在这份长达28页的报告中，美奇金投资根据公开资料，细数FF多条罪状。归结起来有三点：第一，没有量产车的能力。第二，财务状况堪忧，融资补空没有尽头。第三，老贾这人靠不住。首先，FF91的交付时间已跳票数年，此前承诺在中国和美国五个地点建立6所工厂，但是至今这份计划并没有落实。而且FF承诺在7个月内重新启动并开始生产的美国汉福德工厂也没有什么实质性的进展。财务上，上市融了10亿，却仍然是杯水车薪。美奇金投资在报告中表示，如果FF来想要实现2024年的财务目标，还需要筹集14亿美元才可能实现。以FF的业务进展和老贾的信誉，融钱可能会越来越难。FF最新股价报收4.22美元，大跌7.46%，总市值仅剩13.69亿美元，较上市之初的约45亿美元市值已蒸发了近70%，超31亿美元（约合人民币约200亿元）。去年11月，FF还因为未按时提交财报收到了退市警告，限期6个月补齐。宽限期已经过去一半，FF这边还是没有动静。第三点，就是前面说到的，美奇金投资认为，贾跃亭把FF搬到美国，根本不是想东山再起，而是接着忽悠美国投资人的钱，填自己的财务黑洞。老贾下一步？这次FF的自查其实并不能说明任何问题。FF在公告中表示，已经开始采取补救措施，包括聘请第三方财务审计机构、加强公司信息披露工作、给高管做合规培训等等。但稍加深入就能发现，FF自己内部的清查，点了一些问题，但也仅仅是点到为止，补救措施也是不疼不痒。看似清除了贾跃亭通过外甥掌控公司的渠道，但贾跃亭本人仍然没受任何影响。对于FF问题的核心量产与交付，只字未提。所以这次调查到底是董事会真的决定痛改前非，还是贾老板联合各方演的一出愿打愿挨的苦肉计？现在还说不好。希望若干年后美国投资者不会听到一句“去开会，下周回国”。— 完 —","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633945713,"gmtCreate":1643713534736,"gmtModify":1643713534736,"author":{"id":"3542063310542623","authorId":"3542063310542623","name":"alexsp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19fd1cf9d1565c641b98efb80c6c901b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"良心企业","listText":"良心企业","text":"良心企业","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633945713","repostId":"1151089270","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2192,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":639519865,"gmtCreate":1643343035631,"gmtModify":1643343035631,"author":{"id":"3542063310542623","authorId":"3542063310542623","name":"alexsp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19fd1cf9d1565c641b98efb80c6c901b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"过两天就大涨了","listText":"过两天就大涨了","text":"过两天就大涨了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639519865","repostId":"1113499377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1097,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601865745,"gmtCreate":1638510353790,"gmtModify":1638510353790,"author":{"id":"3542063310542623","authorId":"3542063310542623","name":"alexsp","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19fd1cf9d1565c641b98efb80c6c901b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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19:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国公路交管局：特斯拉申请召回53822辆美国汽车","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151089270","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"2月1日，特斯拉将召回53,822辆搭载该公司完全自动驾驶(Beta)软件的美国汽车，该软件可能会允许一些车型进行“滚动停车”(rolling stops)，在某些十字路口不会完全停止，从而构成安全风","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>2月1日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>将召回53,822辆搭载该公司完全自动驾驶(Beta)软件的美国汽车，该软件可能会允许一些车型进行“滚动停车”(rolling stops)，在某些十字路口不会完全停止，从而构成安全风险。</p><p>对此，美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)表示，此次召回涉及2016-2022年的部分Model S和Model X、2017-2022年的Model 3和2020-2022年的Model Y，NHTSA表示，这一功能也被称为FSD Beta，可以让车辆在不停车的情况下通过标有“all-way stop”的十字路口。</p><p>NHTSA表示，特斯拉将进行空中软件更新，使“滚动停车”功能失效。特斯拉没有立即回应置评请求。</p><p>上周，特斯拉表示，FSD Beta车辆在美国的数量从去年9月底的几千辆增加至近6万辆。特斯拉表示一直在公共道路上测试其自动驾驶软件的改进版本，但这家汽车制造商和监管机构也曾表示，这些功能并不能使汽车完全实现自动驾驶。</p><p>特斯拉方面表示，截至1月27日，该公司并不知道有任何保修索赔、碰撞、受伤或死亡事故与车辆召回有关。</p><p>特斯拉美股盘前小幅下跌，现跌0.59%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e71d804c2abbae1776c40c43998adf97\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"825\" 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国公路交管局：特斯拉申请召回53822辆美国汽车\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-02-01 19:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>2月1日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>将召回53,822辆搭载该公司完全自动驾驶(Beta)软件的美国汽车，该软件可能会允许一些车型进行“滚动停车”(rolling stops)，在某些十字路口不会完全停止，从而构成安全风险。</p><p>对此，美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)表示，此次召回涉及2016-2022年的部分Model S和Model X、2017-2022年的Model 3和2020-2022年的Model Y，NHTSA表示，这一功能也被称为FSD Beta，可以让车辆在不停车的情况下通过标有“all-way stop”的十字路口。</p><p>NHTSA表示，特斯拉将进行空中软件更新，使“滚动停车”功能失效。特斯拉没有立即回应置评请求。</p><p>上周，特斯拉表示，FSD Beta车辆在美国的数量从去年9月底的几千辆增加至近6万辆。特斯拉表示一直在公共道路上测试其自动驾驶软件的改进版本，但这家汽车制造商和监管机构也曾表示，这些功能并不能使汽车完全实现自动驾驶。</p><p>特斯拉方面表示，截至1月27日，该公司并不知道有任何保修索赔、碰撞、受伤或死亡事故与车辆召回有关。</p><p>特斯拉美股盘前小幅下跌，现跌0.59%</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e71d804c2abbae1776c40c43998adf97\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"825\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e0d9f23e003547a93295253f05b6a55","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151089270","content_text":"2月1日，特斯拉将召回53,822辆搭载该公司完全自动驾驶(Beta)软件的美国汽车，该软件可能会允许一些车型进行“滚动停车”(rolling stops)，在某些十字路口不会完全停止，从而构成安全风险。对此，美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)表示，此次召回涉及2016-2022年的部分Model S和Model X、2017-2022年的Model 3和2020-2022年的Model Y，NHTSA表示，这一功能也被称为FSD Beta，可以让车辆在不停车的情况下通过标有“all-way stop”的十字路口。NHTSA表示，特斯拉将进行空中软件更新，使“滚动停车”功能失效。特斯拉没有立即回应置评请求。上周，特斯拉表示，FSD 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