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08-20 13:11

$泡泡玛特(09992)$ 上次是中午发财报，崩盘。这次不敢中午发了吗？看来财报应该不好

08-19 18:25

好的。大佬

贝莱德：在长飞光纤光缆H股的持股比例升至7.35%

08-18 10:58

韩国散户买的票，基本上都会崩盘

太疯狂！韩国散户涌入美国市场大买SK海力士ADR、QLD、SOXL、TQQQ

08-17

$商汤-W(00020)$ 你确实是精准控盘老登，你说第二，没人敢说第一。确实佩服

08-13

$中芯国际(00981)$ 这是预期财报要挂了？？

08-13

$联想集团(00992)$ 太离谱了

08-12

$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 这比过分了

08-12

哪有这么一模一样的数字。绝对造假。。。

美国7月CPI同比增长3.4%，预期增长3.4%，前值增长3.5%

08-12

$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 还不发财报。感觉要完蛋了

08-12

$腾讯控股(00700)$ 这财报。。明天大跌是必然

08-11

1800的成本去接盘，果然是专业接盘侠

异动解读｜阿斯麦盘前上涨3.02%，知名私募建仓叠加回购计划持续推进

08-10

摩根被智谱深套，所以给大家画大饼

智谱获摩根士丹利上调目标价近72%

08-09

这个时候建仓阿斯麦，必然是去接盘了

景林资产Q2美股持仓：清仓Meta等热门科技股，建仓阿斯麦等AI算力产业链公司

08-05

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 别挣扎，洪水猛兽还没来

08-05

$海致科技集团(02706)$ 不能做空，耍流氓

08-01

为什么不像其他车商那样公布具体的车辆数？有猫腻吗？比如理想是30680

小米汽车7月交付量超过30000台

07-30

$希捷科技(STX)$ 确实看不懂了，都在大跌，你反而在大涨。财报好又如何？难道不是情理之中吗

07-28

股价涨了几倍，这财报顶多50分。。。

康宁交了一份"满分"财报，市场却想给它打负分

07-27

$美国超微公司(AMD)$ 最高点年内涨了四倍，太夸张了。下周财报跌到3字头不是梦

07-27

$闪迪(SNDK)$ 感觉要曲终人散了。下周才爆出来，跌到3位数是必然

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SGD"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/rss/live/live.xml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2660344986","content_text":"香港交易所信息显示，贝莱德在长飞光纤光缆H股的持股比例于08月14日从6.98%升至7.35%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"06869":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":598030972809432,"gmtCreate":1787021885923,"gmtModify":1787021888211,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"韩国散户买的票，基本上都会崩盘","listText":"韩国散户买的票，基本上都会崩盘","text":"韩国散户买的票，基本上都会崩盘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/598030972809432","repostId":"1107822182","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107822182","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1787020358,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1107822182?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-08-18 10:32","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"太疯狂！韩国散户涌入美国市场大买SK海力士ADR、QLD、SOXL、TQQQ","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107822182","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"要点7月，韩国散户投资者净买入45亿美元美国股票，而本土市场出现回调。SK海力士的ADR是净买入第二多的美国证券，尽管韩国投资者可以直接在国内买入同一家公司。拉蒙特在谈到韩国投资者买入SK海力士美国上市股票时表示：“这绝对疯狂。韩国投资者没有理由在美国购买韩国股票的ADR。”与此同时，韩国股市出现大规模抛售。对市场的影响韩国资金涌入能否显著增加规模大得多的美国市场的整体波动性，是另一个问题。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>要点</strong></p><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">7月，韩国散户投资者净买入45亿美元美国股票，而本土市场出现回调。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">许多人是在更换市场，而不是更换押注，通过在美国上市的证券保留对人工智能和杠杆产品的敞口。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">韩国资金不太可能左右整体美国市场，但可能放大个股和交投清淡交易的波动性。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: left;\">一波韩国投资者正涌入美国市场，以规避本土市场的回调，尽管全球投资者也在纷纷买入。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国交易所数据，上周大部分时间韩国散户投资者净卖出国内股票，尽管基准指数已进入牛市区域。海外投资者则转变方向，成为净买家。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">以下是关于这些投资者的五件事：</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>买入美国存托凭证（ADR）</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国证券存管院数据，在韩国投资者7月净买入的45亿美元美国股票中，约8.4亿美元流入了这家芯片制造商在美国上市的存托凭证。SK海力士的ADR是净买入第二多的美国证券，尽管韩国投资者可以直接在国内买入同一家公司。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这些美国存托凭证的交易价格较韩国本土股票存在溢价。Acadian资产管理高级副总裁欧文·拉蒙特称，近期溢价约为10%。它们还表现出更大的波动性。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">拉蒙特在谈到韩国投资者买入SK海力士美国上市股票时表示：“这绝对疯狂。韩国投资者没有理由在美国购买韩国股票的ADR。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">拉蒙特说，这种价格差异不同寻常，可能是投机过度的警示信号。“它们是泡沫的症状，”他说，并指出在互联网泡沫时期，台湾和印度公司也曾出现类似错位。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>杠杆押注</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">本月韩国投资者中最受欢迎的10只美国股票之一是杠杆产品—— <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QLD\">2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares</a>（QLD），排名第7。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国证券存管院数据，7月净买入最多的10只美国股票中有4只是杠杆产品。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据显示，最受欢迎的是 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily</a>（SOXL），其目标是实现半导体指数每日表现的三倍。杠杆型 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">纳指三倍做多ETF</a>（TQQQ）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QLD\">2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares</a>（QLD）分别排名第四和第六。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>相同策略</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">投资者可能正在更换市场，却未必更换押注。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Rayliant Global Advisors研究主管菲利普·伍尔表示：“具有讽刺意味的是，如果你仔细分析数据并看看他们在买什么，大部分仍与本土市场正在抛售的同一种人工智能硬件主题相关。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Fibonacci资产管理创始人尹正仁（音）表示，一些因韩国半导体股或杠杆ETF亏损而受创的交易员，可能正在转向他们认为质量更高或流动性更好的美国人工智能股。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">“他们未必在减少对人工智能主题的敞口，”尹说，“他们可能只是更换表达同一观点的地理工具。”</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">7月逆转</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国证券存管院数据，韩国散户投资者上月净买入约45亿美元美国股票。这较6月大幅增加，并接近1月份50亿美元的净买入规模。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与此同时，韩国股市出现大规模抛售。此前，一轮引人注目的上涨行情吸引散户投资者涌入半导体股和杠杆产品，本月韩国股市才出现反弹。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国金融投资协会数据，韩国股市的保证金贷款余额在6月底约为37万亿韩元（260亿美元），随后在本月早些时候降至27万亿韩元，为今年最低水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">拉蒙特表示，尽管7月的买入“强劲”但并非前所未有，但他补充说：“有趣的是，即便韩国市场当时正在暴跌，他们仍增加了对美国股票的买入。”</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">对市场的影响</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">韩国资金涌入能否显著增加规模大得多的美国市场的整体波动性，是另一个问题。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伍尔认为这种风险很小。尽管散户投资者在韩国可能拥有巨大影响力，但美国市场由专业和机构投资者主导，因此即使较大规模的韩国资金相对整体成交额而言也很小。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">拉蒙特则认为，在散户交易者青睐的个股和细分市场中，出现扭曲的可能性更大。他指出，韩国投资者在2024年底曾涌入美国“量子”股票，并表示杠杆ETF在韩国、香港和美国的扩散“可能正在增加波动性并放大市场震荡”。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>太疯狂！韩国散户涌入美国市场大买SK海力士ADR、QLD、SOXL、TQQQ</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n太疯狂！韩国散户涌入美国市场大买SK海力士ADR、QLD、SOXL、TQQQ\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-08-18 10:32</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>要点</strong></p><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">7月，韩国散户投资者净买入45亿美元美国股票，而本土市场出现回调。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">许多人是在更换市场，而不是更换押注，通过在美国上市的证券保留对人工智能和杠杆产品的敞口。</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">韩国资金不太可能左右整体美国市场，但可能放大个股和交投清淡交易的波动性。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: left;\">一波韩国投资者正涌入美国市场，以规避本土市场的回调，尽管全球投资者也在纷纷买入。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国交易所数据，上周大部分时间韩国散户投资者净卖出国内股票，尽管基准指数已进入牛市区域。海外投资者则转变方向，成为净买家。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">以下是关于这些投资者的五件事：</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>买入美国存托凭证（ADR）</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国证券存管院数据，在韩国投资者7月净买入的45亿美元美国股票中，约8.4亿美元流入了这家芯片制造商在美国上市的存托凭证。SK海力士的ADR是净买入第二多的美国证券，尽管韩国投资者可以直接在国内买入同一家公司。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这些美国存托凭证的交易价格较韩国本土股票存在溢价。Acadian资产管理高级副总裁欧文·拉蒙特称，近期溢价约为10%。它们还表现出更大的波动性。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">拉蒙特在谈到韩国投资者买入SK海力士美国上市股票时表示：“这绝对疯狂。韩国投资者没有理由在美国购买韩国股票的ADR。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">拉蒙特说，这种价格差异不同寻常，可能是投机过度的警示信号。“它们是泡沫的症状，”他说，并指出在互联网泡沫时期，台湾和印度公司也曾出现类似错位。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>杠杆押注</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">本月韩国投资者中最受欢迎的10只美国股票之一是杠杆产品—— <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QLD\">2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares</a>（QLD），排名第7。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国证券存管院数据，7月净买入最多的10只美国股票中有4只是杠杆产品。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">数据显示，最受欢迎的是 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SOXL\">三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily</a>（SOXL），其目标是实现半导体指数每日表现的三倍。杠杆型 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">纳指三倍做多ETF</a>（TQQQ）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QLD\">2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares</a>（QLD）分别排名第四和第六。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>相同策略</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">投资者可能正在更换市场，却未必更换押注。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Rayliant Global Advisors研究主管菲利普·伍尔表示：“具有讽刺意味的是，如果你仔细分析数据并看看他们在买什么，大部分仍与本土市场正在抛售的同一种人工智能硬件主题相关。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Fibonacci资产管理创始人尹正仁（音）表示，一些因韩国半导体股或杠杆ETF亏损而受创的交易员，可能正在转向他们认为质量更高或流动性更好的美国人工智能股。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">“他们未必在减少对人工智能主题的敞口，”尹说，“他们可能只是更换表达同一观点的地理工具。”</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">7月逆转</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国证券存管院数据，韩国散户投资者上月净买入约45亿美元美国股票。这较6月大幅增加，并接近1月份50亿美元的净买入规模。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">与此同时，韩国股市出现大规模抛售。此前，一轮引人注目的上涨行情吸引散户投资者涌入半导体股和杠杆产品，本月韩国股市才出现反弹。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">根据韩国金融投资协会数据，韩国股市的保证金贷款余额在6月底约为37万亿韩元（260亿美元），随后在本月早些时候降至27万亿韩元，为今年最低水平。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">拉蒙特表示，尽管7月的买入“强劲”但并非前所未有，但他补充说：“有趣的是，即便韩国市场当时正在暴跌，他们仍增加了对美国股票的买入。”</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">对市场的影响</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">韩国资金涌入能否显著增加规模大得多的美国市场的整体波动性，是另一个问题。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伍尔认为这种风险很小。尽管散户投资者在韩国可能拥有巨大影响力，但美国市场由专业和机构投资者主导，因此即使较大规模的韩国资金相对整体成交额而言也很小。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">拉蒙特则认为，在散户交易者青睐的个股和细分市场中，出现扭曲的可能性更大。他指出，韩国投资者在2024年底曾涌入美国“量子”股票，并表示杠杆ETF在韩国、香港和美国的扩散“可能正在增加波动性并放大市场震荡”。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/6413ee9547b8d51512f5d3aaf7d7af9e","relate_stocks":{"SKHA":"Tradr 2X Long SK hynix Daily ETF","SKHU":"2倍做多海力士-ProShares","SKDD":"2倍做空海力士ETF-GraniteShares","SKHZ":"1倍做空海力士ETF-Leverage Shares","07709":"南方两倍做多海力士","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SKUU":"2倍做多海力士ETF-GraniteShares","HYNX":"2倍做多海力士ETF-T-REX","SKHX":"2倍做多海力士ETF-Leverage Shares","SOXL":"三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion 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纳指三倍做多ETF（TQQQ）和2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares（QLD）分别排名第四和第六。相同策略投资者可能正在更换市场，却未必更换押注。Rayliant Global Advisors研究主管菲利普·伍尔表示：“具有讽刺意味的是，如果你仔细分析数据并看看他们在买什么，大部分仍与本土市场正在抛售的同一种人工智能硬件主题相关。”Fibonacci资产管理创始人尹正仁（音）表示，一些因韩国半导体股或杠杆ETF亏损而受创的交易员，可能正在转向他们认为质量更高或流动性更好的美国人工智能股。“他们未必在减少对人工智能主题的敞口，”尹说，“他们可能只是更换表达同一观点的地理工具。”7月逆转根据韩国证券存管院数据，韩国散户投资者上月净买入约45亿美元美国股票。这较6月大幅增加，并接近1月份50亿美元的净买入规模。与此同时，韩国股市出现大规模抛售。此前，一轮引人注目的上涨行情吸引散户投资者涌入半导体股和杠杆产品，本月韩国股市才出现反弹。根据韩国金融投资协会数据，韩国股市的保证金贷款余额在6月底约为37万亿韩元（260亿美元），随后在本月早些时候降至27万亿韩元，为今年最低水平。拉蒙特表示，尽管7月的买入“强劲”但并非前所未有，但他补充说：“有趣的是，即便韩国市场当时正在暴跌，他们仍增加了对美国股票的买入。”对市场的影响韩国资金涌入能否显著增加规模大得多的美国市场的整体波动性，是另一个问题。伍尔认为这种风险很小。尽管散户投资者在韩国可能拥有巨大影响力，但美国市场由专业和机构投资者主导，因此即使较大规模的韩国资金相对整体成交额而言也很小。拉蒙特则认为，在散户交易者青睐的个股和细分市场中，出现扭曲的可能性更大。他指出，韩国投资者在2024年底曾涌入美国“量子”股票，并表示杠杆ETF在韩国、香港和美国的扩散“可能正在增加波动性并放大市场震荡”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HYNX":0.6,"QLD":2,"SK":0.6,"SKHZ":0.6,"SKHA":0.6,"SKHX":0.6,"07709":0.6,"SKDD":0.6,"TQQQ":2,"SKHU":0.6,"SKHY":2,"SKUU":0.6,"SOXL":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":597725772730944,"gmtCreate":1786947297470,"gmtModify":1786947299373,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">$中芯国际(00981)$&nbsp;</a> 这是预期财报要挂了？？","text":"$中芯国际(00981)$ 这是预期财报要挂了？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/596319081838024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":386,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":596303568077736,"gmtCreate":1786600087681,"gmtModify":1786600089425,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00992\">$联想集团(00992)$&nbsp;</a> 太离谱了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00992\">$联想集团(00992)$&nbsp;</a> 太离谱了","text":"$联想集团(00992)$ 太离谱了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/596303568077736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":596091424800776,"gmtCreate":1786548267645,"gmtModify":1786548269332,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBIS\">$NEBIUS(NBIS)$</a> 这比过分了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBIS\">$NEBIUS(NBIS)$</a> 这比过分了","text":"$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 这比过分了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/596091424800776","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":596049026835456,"gmtCreate":1786537945464,"gmtModify":1786537947691,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"哪有这么一模一样的数字。绝对造假。。。","listText":"哪有这么一模一样的数字。绝对造假。。。","text":"哪有这么一模一样的数字。绝对造假。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/596049026835456","repostId":"1148601223","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148601223","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1786537811,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1148601223?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-08-12 20:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国7月CPI同比增长3.4%，预期增长3.4%，前值增长3.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148601223","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国7月CPI同比增长3.4%，预期增长3.4%，前值增长3.5%","content":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国7月消费者价格指数（CPI）同比增长3.4%，预估为3.4%，前值为3.5%。美国7月CPI环比增长0.1%，预估为增长0.1%，前值为下降0.4%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国7月未季调核心CPI环比增长2.5%，预期2.50%，前值2.60%。环比增长0.2%，预期0.20%，前值0.00%。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国7月CPI同比增长3.4%，预期增长3.4%，前值增长3.5%</title>\n<style 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left;\">美国7月消费者价格指数（CPI）同比增长3.4%，预估为3.4%，前值为3.5%。美国7月CPI环比增长0.1%，预估为增长0.1%，前值为下降0.4%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国7月未季调核心CPI环比增长2.5%，预期2.50%，前值2.60%。环比增长0.2%，预期0.20%，前值0.00%。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBIS\">$NEBIUS(NBIS)$</a> 还不发财报。感觉要完蛋了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NBIS\">$NEBIUS(NBIS)$</a> 还不发财报。感觉要完蛋了","text":"$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ 还不发财报。感觉要完蛋了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/596033658679296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":596000730612008,"gmtCreate":1786526112871,"gmtModify":1786526115130,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$&nbsp;</a> 这财报。。明天大跌是必然","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">$腾讯控股(00700)$&nbsp;</a> 这财报。。明天大跌是必然","text":"$腾讯控股(00700)$ 这财报。。明天大跌是必然","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/596000730612008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4087883810201120","authorId":"4087883810201120","name":"囤票","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4087883810201120","idStr":"4087883810201120"},"content":"啊，我觉得应该涨呀","text":"啊，我觉得应该涨呀","html":"啊，我觉得应该涨呀"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":595701531263000,"gmtCreate":1786453189310,"gmtModify":1786453191177,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"1800的成本去接盘，果然是专业接盘侠","listText":"1800的成本去接盘，果然是专业接盘侠","text":"1800的成本去接盘，果然是专业接盘侠","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/595701531263000","repostId":"1195228648","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1195228648","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"个股异动一手消息解读","home_visible":1,"media_name":"行情直击","id":"1059448697","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51943b2858f75e05ca2ebb144b4e626a"},"pubTimestamp":1786446277,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1195228648?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-08-11 19:04","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"异动解读｜阿斯麦盘前上涨3.02%，知名私募建仓叠加回购计划持续推进","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195228648","media":"行情直击","summary":"8月11日，阿斯麦盘前上涨3.02%，报1785.98美元/股，成交额4352.25万美元。消息面上，千亿私募景林资产近日披露的13F文件显示，其二季度新建仓阿斯麦等AI算力产业链公司，同时清仓英伟达、Meta等热门科技股，释放机构资金向半导体设备转移信号。此外，阿斯麦于8月10日再度披露其现行股票回购计划下的最新交易情况，持续向市场传递管理层对公司价值的信心。此前阿斯麦因中国国产DUV光刻机量产传闻7月累计跌幅超18%，当前股价延续超跌后资金回流态势。（以上内容均基于市场公开消息，由程序或算法智能生成，仅作为股价异动提醒，不作为投资建议或交易依据。）","content":"<p><p>8月11日，阿斯麦盘前上涨3.02%，报1785.98美元/股，成交额4352.25万美元。</p><p>消息面上，千亿私募景林资产近日披露的13F文件显示，其二季度新建仓阿斯麦等AI算力产业链公司，同时清仓英伟达、Meta等热门科技股，释放机构资金向半导体设备转移信号。此外，阿斯麦于8月10日再度披露其现行股票回购计划下的最新交易情况，持续向市场传递管理层对公司价值的信心。此前阿斯麦因中国国产DUV光刻机量产传闻7月累计跌幅超18%，当前股价延续超跌后资金回流态势。</p><p>（以上内容均基于市场公开消息，由程序或算法智能生成，仅作为股价异动提醒，不作为投资建议或交易依据。）</p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>异动解读｜阿斯麦盘前上涨3.02%，知名私募建仓叠加回购计划持续推进</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/51943b2858f75e05ca2ebb144b4e626a);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">行情直击 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-08-11 19:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p>8月11日，阿斯麦盘前上涨3.02%，报1785.98美元/股，成交额4352.25万美元。</p><p>消息面上，千亿私募景林资产近日披露的13F文件显示，其二季度新建仓阿斯麦等AI算力产业链公司，同时清仓英伟达、Meta等热门科技股，释放机构资金向半导体设备转移信号。此外，阿斯麦于8月10日再度披露其现行股票回购计划下的最新交易情况，持续向市场传递管理层对公司价值的信心。此前阿斯麦因中国国产DUV光刻机量产传闻7月累计跌幅超18%，当前股价延续超跌后资金回流态势。</p><p>（以上内容均基于市场公开消息，由程序或算法智能生成，仅作为股价异动提醒，不作为投资建议或交易依据。）</p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ASML":"阿斯麦"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195228648","content_text":"8月11日，阿斯麦盘前上涨3.02%，报1785.98美元/股，成交额4352.25万美元。消息面上，千亿私募景林资产近日披露的13F文件显示，其二季度新建仓阿斯麦等AI算力产业链公司，同时清仓英伟达、Meta等热门科技股，释放机构资金向半导体设备转移信号。此外，阿斯麦于8月10日再度披露其现行股票回购计划下的最新交易情况，持续向市场传递管理层对公司价值的信心。此前阿斯麦因中国国产DUV光刻机量产传闻7月累计跌幅超18%，当前股价延续超跌后资金回流态势。（以上内容均基于市场公开消息，由程序或算法智能生成，仅作为股价异动提醒，不作为投资建议或交易依据。）","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ASML":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":595199771144336,"gmtCreate":1786330588769,"gmtModify":1786330590558,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"摩根被智谱深套，所以给大家画大饼","listText":"摩根被智谱深套，所以给大家画大饼","text":"摩根被智谱深套，所以给大家画大饼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/595199771144336","repostId":"2658018066","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2658018066","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1786328742,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2658018066?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-08-10 10:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"智谱获摩根士丹利上调目标价近72%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2658018066","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"大摩将智谱目标价上调近72%至1700港元，理由是算力获取能力提升及新融资支持。同时表示，中国大模型行业商业化逻辑正从价格战转向依靠模型智能变现，行业生态比市场预期更健康。该行对MiniMax维持建设性观点但下调目标价至900港元，并继续看好阿里巴巴的全链条AI布局。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">一份大行报告，让<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02513\">智谱</a>股价曾跳涨5%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">周四，摩根士丹利发布研究报告，将智谱目标价从约990港元大幅上调近72%至1700港元。消息刺激智谱盘中涨超4%，过去5个交易日累计涨幅已超37%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">摩根士丹利认为，智谱算力获取能力持续提升，叠加新一轮融资落地，两者共同支撑智谱实现更强劲的增长。没有足够的算力，模型训练和推理都无从谈起。融资则解决了“烧钱”阶段的弹药问题。两个制约因素同步改善，是该行上调评级的直接触发点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/871e2173f591b0de4e68782eb197b1f2\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"967\" tg-height=\"605\"/><span></span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">行业叙事转变：从价格战到智能变现</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">摩根士丹利分析师Gary Yu等在报告中写道：“中国大模型行业正建立起更健康的商业化环境。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这与市场此前的主流担忧截然相反。过去，市场普遍认为，中国开放式权重模型（open-weight model）的盛行，将导致产品同质化，进而引发持续的价格战。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但该行判断是，行业正在以更积极的方式推动商业化，&#34;从价格竞争转向依靠模型智能实现变现&#34;。换句话说，谁的模型更聪明、更好用，谁就能赚到钱——而不是谁的价格更低。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这一逻辑转变，对整个中国AI板块的估值都具有重新定价的意义。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">MiniMax：看好但目标价下调，增长后置</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">同一份报告中，摩根士丹利对MiniMax的态度则更为复杂。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析师表示继续对MiniMax持&#34;建设性观点&#34;，并将即将发布的M3升级版本及M3 Pro视为重要催化剂。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但与此同时，该行将MiniMax目标价下调至900港元。理由是：MiniMax的增长&#34;更多将在后期释放&#34;，即短期兑现节奏慢于智谱。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告还提及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>，该行表示看好<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里</a>，理由包括：覆盖全产业链的AI能力、算力方面的优势，以及多年云业务增长积累和完整的利润扩张空间。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>智谱获摩根士丹利上调目标价近72%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n智谱获摩根士丹利上调目标价近72%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-08-10 10:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">一份大行报告，让<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02513\">智谱</a>股价曾跳涨5%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">周四，摩根士丹利发布研究报告，将智谱目标价从约990港元大幅上调近72%至1700港元。消息刺激智谱盘中涨超4%，过去5个交易日累计涨幅已超37%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">摩根士丹利认为，智谱算力获取能力持续提升，叠加新一轮融资落地，两者共同支撑智谱实现更强劲的增长。没有足够的算力，模型训练和推理都无从谈起。融资则解决了“烧钱”阶段的弹药问题。两个制约因素同步改善，是该行上调评级的直接触发点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/871e2173f591b0de4e68782eb197b1f2\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"967\" tg-height=\"605\"/><span></span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">行业叙事转变：从价格战到智能变现</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">摩根士丹利分析师Gary Yu等在报告中写道：“中国大模型行业正建立起更健康的商业化环境。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这与市场此前的主流担忧截然相反。过去，市场普遍认为，中国开放式权重模型（open-weight model）的盛行，将导致产品同质化，进而引发持续的价格战。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但该行判断是，行业正在以更积极的方式推动商业化，&#34;从价格竞争转向依靠模型智能实现变现&#34;。换句话说，谁的模型更聪明、更好用，谁就能赚到钱——而不是谁的价格更低。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">这一逻辑转变，对整个中国AI板块的估值都具有重新定价的意义。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">MiniMax：看好但目标价下调，增长后置</h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">同一份报告中，摩根士丹利对MiniMax的态度则更为复杂。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析师表示继续对MiniMax持&#34;建设性观点&#34;，并将即将发布的M3升级版本及M3 Pro视为重要催化剂。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">但与此同时，该行将MiniMax目标价下调至900港元。理由是：MiniMax的增长&#34;更多将在后期释放&#34;，即短期兑现节奏慢于智谱。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">报告还提及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>，该行表示看好<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">阿里</a>，理由包括：覆盖全产业链的AI能力、算力方面的优势，以及多年云业务增长积累和完整的利润扩张空间。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61acaedc56e1a899fef3f1a3351d2a0d","relate_stocks":{"02513":"智谱"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3779048","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2658018066","content_text":"一份大行报告，让智谱股价曾跳涨5%。周四，摩根士丹利发布研究报告，将智谱目标价从约990港元大幅上调近72%至1700港元。消息刺激智谱盘中涨超4%，过去5个交易日累计涨幅已超37%。摩根士丹利认为，智谱算力获取能力持续提升，叠加新一轮融资落地，两者共同支撑智谱实现更强劲的增长。没有足够的算力，模型训练和推理都无从谈起。融资则解决了“烧钱”阶段的弹药问题。两个制约因素同步改善，是该行上调评级的直接触发点。行业叙事转变：从价格战到智能变现摩根士丹利分析师Gary Yu等在报告中写道：“中国大模型行业正建立起更健康的商业化环境。”这与市场此前的主流担忧截然相反。过去，市场普遍认为，中国开放式权重模型（open-weight model）的盛行，将导致产品同质化，进而引发持续的价格战。但该行判断是，行业正在以更积极的方式推动商业化，\"从价格竞争转向依靠模型智能实现变现\"。换句话说，谁的模型更聪明、更好用，谁就能赚到钱——而不是谁的价格更低。这一逻辑转变，对整个中国AI板块的估值都具有重新定价的意义。MiniMax：看好但目标价下调，增长后置同一份报告中，摩根士丹利对MiniMax的态度则更为复杂。分析师表示继续对MiniMax持\"建设性观点\"，并将即将发布的M3升级版本及M3 Pro视为重要催化剂。但与此同时，该行将MiniMax目标价下调至900港元。理由是：MiniMax的增长\"更多将在后期释放\"，即短期兑现节奏慢于智谱。报告还提及阿里巴巴，该行表示看好阿里，理由包括：覆盖全产业链的AI能力、算力方面的优势，以及多年云业务增长积累和完整的利润扩张空间。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02513":2.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":121,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":594788491518728,"gmtCreate":1786230257397,"gmtModify":1786230259739,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这个时候建仓阿斯麦，必然是去接盘了","listText":"这个时候建仓阿斯麦，必然是去接盘了","text":"这个时候建仓阿斯麦，必然是去接盘了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/594788491518728","repostId":"2657274506","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2657274506","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1786175316,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/2657274506?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-08-08 15:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"景林资产Q2美股持仓：清仓Meta等热门科技股，建仓阿斯麦等AI算力产业链公司","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2657274506","media":"智通财经","summary":"统计数据显示，景林资产二季度美股持仓市值为21.9亿美元，环比下降44%。值得注意的是，景林资产Q2建仓阿斯麦、美国光模块制造商$Applied Optoelectronics$、$世纪互联$、$应用材料$等AI算力产业链公司，清仓Meta Platforms Inc.、$英伟达$、$亚马逊$等热门科技股以及光学/光模块组件供应商Lumentum。与此同时，该机构还大幅减持Meta、亚马逊、英伟达。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">智通财经APP获悉，根据美国证券交易委员会(SEC)披露，景林资产递交了截至2026年6月30日的第二季度持仓报告(13F)。该机构大幅减持<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> Inc.(META.US)等热门科技股，并布局阿斯麦(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">ASML</a>.US)的AI算力产业链公司。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">统计数据显示，景林资产二季度美股持仓市值为21.9亿美元，环比下降44%。该机构在第二季度的持仓组合中新增了4只个股，增持1只个股，减持11只个股，清仓8只个股。其中，前十大持仓标的占总市值的95.31%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/042450fa91d550f8e51053132f717f57\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"200\" tg-height=\"120\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>前五大重仓股</strong>中，Alphabet(GOOGL.US) 位列第一，持仓约181.04万股，持仓市值约6.47亿美元，占投资组合比例为29.60%，持仓数量较上季度大幅减少38%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>(INTC.US)位列第二，持仓约275.12万股，持仓市值约3.84亿美元，占投资组合比例为17.58%，持仓数量较上季度大幅减少60%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>(PDD.US)位列第三，持仓约478.57万股，持仓市值约3.65亿美元，占投资组合比例为16.70%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">满帮集团(YMM.US)位列第四，持仓约3945万股，持仓市值约3.20亿美元，占投资组合比例为14.66%%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUTU\">富途控股</a> (FUTU.US) 位列五，持仓约109万股，持仓市值约1.03亿美元，占投资组合比例为4.69%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a785b396627fec5756576a6ede8bbb54\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"200\" tg-height=\"120\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">值得注意的是，景林资产Q2<strong>建仓</strong>阿斯麦(ASML.US)、美国光模块制造商<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAOI\">Applied Optoelectronics</a>(AAOI.US)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VNET\">世纪互联</a>(VNET.US)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMAT\">应用材料</a>(AMAT.US)等AI算力产业链公司，<strong>清仓</strong>Meta Platforms Inc.(META.US)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>(NVDA.US)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>(AMZN.US)等热门科技股以及光学/光模块组件供应商Lumentum(LITE.US)。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">从持仓比例变化来看，前五大买入标的分别是：富途控股、阿斯麦、Applied Optoelectronics、世纪互联、应用材料。与此同时，该机构还大幅减持Meta、亚马逊、英伟达。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b9ad2baa71b35910722673353bbf3907\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"200\" tg-height=\"120\"/><span></span></p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>景林资产Q2美股持仓：清仓Meta等热门科技股，建仓阿斯麦等AI算力产业链公司</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n景林资产Q2美股持仓：清仓Meta等热门科技股，建仓阿斯麦等AI算力产业链公司\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-08-08 15:48 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1477642.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，根据美国证券交易委员会(SEC)披露，景林资产递交了截至2026年6月30日的第二季度持仓报告(13F)。该机构大幅减持Meta Platforms Inc.(META.US)等热门科技股，并布局阿斯麦(ASML.US)的AI算力产业链公司。统计数据显示，景林资产二季度美股持仓市值为21.9亿美元，环比下降44%。该机构在第二季度的持仓组合中新增了4只个股，增持1只个股，减持...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1477642.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c483369c55f5485ff50c61c282f0963b","relate_stocks":{"IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","LU0203347892.USD":"SCHRODER ISF QEP GLOBAL ACTIVE VALLUE \"A\" (USD)  INC AV","LU0096364046.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"DU\" (USD) ACC","LU2087589342.USD":"BGF ASIAN MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A6\" (USD) INC","LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0683600562.USD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2089283258.USD":"安联环球可持续基金Cl AM Dis","LU0476273544.USD":"CT (LUX) I GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"BU\" (USD) ACC","LU0871640123.AUD":"BGF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INC \"A8\" (AUD HDG) 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09:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>8月1日，小米汽车：2026年7月，小米汽车交付量持续超过30000台。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845c455ac9f145386cf2ec5d221e9b71\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"690\" 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确实看不懂了，都在大跌，你反而在大涨。财报好又如何？难道不是情理之中吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/591379150401632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":590820227134504,"gmtCreate":1785244770339,"gmtModify":1785244772193,"author":{"id":"3540680319507322","authorId":"3540680319507322","name":"BenBina","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3540680319507322","idStr":"3540680319507322"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"股价涨了几倍，这财报顶多50分。。。","listText":"股价涨了几倍，这财报顶多50分。。。","text":"股价涨了几倍，这财报顶多50分。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/590820227134504","repostId":"1156991492","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1156991492","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1785242510,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1156991492?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-28 20:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"康宁交了一份\"满分\"财报，市场却想给它打负分","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1156991492","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"市场真正的分歧在于：康宁到底应该被当作一家周期性的材料公司，还是一家结构性的AI成长公司？如果是前者，44倍PE就是泡沫。如果是后者，在当前AI Capex还在加速上量的背景下，或许还撑得住。但现在的市场定价在告诉所有人一件事——投资者没有被完全说服。\n","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLW\">康宁</a>周二盘前交出了2026年第二季度财报：核心营收47.4亿美元，同比增长17%；核心每股收益0.78美元，同比增长30%。两项数据均超出市场预期。但盘前交易中股价一度下跌18%——市场用脚投票的速度，比财报本身来得更直接。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这份财报最强的部分在光通信：<strong>部门Q2卖了20.7亿美元，同比增长32%。其中企业网络业务长了65%——而生成式AI相关产品的增速，按公司自己的说法，&#34;显著更快&#34;。康宁没有给出具体数字，但你大致可以想象那是一条什么样的曲线。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本季度康宁还锁定了两个足以让它在AI叙事里坐稳位置的大单。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>亚马逊签署了一份多年期、价值数十亿美元的协议，由康宁为它在美国全境扩张的数据中心供应光纤、光缆和全套连接方案。英伟达也跟康宁建立了长期合作，康宁承诺把美国光连接制造产能扩张十倍、光纤产能提升超过50%，来匹配AI工厂的建设速度。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这两份协议放在一起，意味着康宁和AI基础设施之间的关系已经不只是&#34;供应商&#34;这个层面了——它正在变成一种战略共生。这种稀缺性，是市场愿意给它从传统制造业估值向科技股估值迁移的底层逻辑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问题在于，当你已经把叙事吃到了这个程度，市场要看的就不再是你做到了什么，而是你有没有超过所有人已经替你算好的账。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">康宁给出的Q3指引：核心营收49到50亿美元，核心每股收益0.85到0.89美元。EPS没什么可挑的——中值0.87美元对应约28%的同比增长，略高于卖方预期的0.85美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">但营收这边就微妙了。分析师对Q3的一致预期大概是50亿美元，康宁给的上限刚好碰到这个数字，中值49.5亿实际上略低于市场心理价位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在一个已经把全年EPS预期打到3.18美元、远期市盈率超过44倍的定价框架里，中值略低于预期就已经构成了一个问题。这不是业绩差——这是定价太高。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">康宁的估值膨胀有它自己的故事逻辑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">5月投资者日上，管理层把Springboard计划大幅上修：到今年底年化营收200亿美元，2028年底300亿，2030年底400亿；从2026年Q4到2030年Q4的营收年化复合增速目标19%，利润增速还要快于营收。配合亚马逊和英伟达接连落地的合作协议，<strong>市场迅速把康宁从&#34;特殊玻璃制造商&#34;重新定价成了&#34;AI基础设施核心供应商&#34;。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这个重新定价的烈度，股价走势已经交代得很清楚了。从年初大约87美元起步，六个多月冲到6月底的历史高点271.78美元。即便最近一个多月从高点回落了将近一半，周一收在143美元，年内涨幅仍然超过六成。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c1a00efbe4a8fd7de94a832146ccbef5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"972\" tg-height=\"605\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这意味着什么？<strong>意味着康宁的财报已经不是在跟&#34;去年同期的自己&#34;比赛了，而是在跟一个已经把AI Capex超级周期充分折现的估值框架比赛。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">光通信32%的增长够不够？对一家40倍PE的传统材料公司来说，简直奢侈。但对一家市场已经按照AI成长股来定价、共识目标价还在215美元以上的公司来说，这份财报说到底只是&#34;对得起预期&#34;。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这恰恰是市场现在最纠结的地方。华尔街目前有16位分析师覆盖康宁，9个给买入、7个给持有，共识目标价大约215美元。即便从当前价位看还有超过50%的理论上行空间，市场显然没有在买这笔账——买入评级占比也从年初的七成六慢慢滑到了七成。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场真正的分歧在于一个绕不过去的问题：<strong>康宁到底应该被当作一家周期性的材料公司，还是一家结构性的AI成长公司？</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>如果是前者，44倍PE就是泡沫。如果是后者，在当前AI Capex还在加速上量的背景下，或许还撑得住。但现在的市场定价在告诉所有人一件事——投资者没有被完全说服。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报里不是没有让人安心的东西。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">利润率那边的数据其实相当不错。核心毛利率39.6%，同比扩大了120个基点。核心运营利润率20.9%，同比扩大了190个基点，延续了连续九个季度的同比较快增长。核心ROIC达到14.9%，同比提升了180个基点。调整后自由现金流14.2亿美元。这种持续性的增长本身就在替你回答很多关于&#34;周期股还是成长股&#34;的问题。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">太阳能业务则更像一张还在印刷中的期票。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Q2营收同比增长了90%，但因为本季度硅片工厂进行了延长检修停机和设备升级——包括切换到永久性供电系统——利润端还有拖累。管理层承诺Q3太阳能业务的盈利将改善，并且最终目标是年营收超过30亿美元，&#34;具有强劲的利润和现金流&#34;。但在真正看到利润率改善之前，这块业务在估值模型里扮演的角色更像是一个看涨期权，而不是已经兑现的价值。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">回到核心矛盾。康宁的AI叙事是真实的，光通信的客户结构和订单质量都站得住脚，利润率改善的速度证明经营杠杆确实在释放。但当前市场的博弈已经不在&#34;故事真不真&#34;这个层面了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当一只股票半年涨了两倍，任何不能在数字上碾压预期的财报——哪怕它本身已经非常漂亮——都可能在短期遭遇定价的重新校准。康宁周二交出的这份成绩单，最终没能做到那件事。它不是一份坏财报，它只是没有好到能让所有人忘记它有多贵。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>康宁交了一份\"满分\"财报，市场却想给它打负分</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ 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padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n康宁交了一份\"满分\"财报，市场却想给它打负分\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-28 20:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\"> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GLW\">康宁</a>周二盘前交出了2026年第二季度财报：核心营收47.4亿美元，同比增长17%；核心每股收益0.78美元，同比增长30%。两项数据均超出市场预期。但盘前交易中股价一度下跌18%——市场用脚投票的速度，比财报本身来得更直接。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这份财报最强的部分在光通信：<strong>部门Q2卖了20.7亿美元，同比增长32%。其中企业网络业务长了65%——而生成式AI相关产品的增速，按公司自己的说法，&#34;显著更快&#34;。康宁没有给出具体数字，但你大致可以想象那是一条什么样的曲线。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本季度康宁还锁定了两个足以让它在AI叙事里坐稳位置的大单。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>亚马逊签署了一份多年期、价值数十亿美元的协议，由康宁为它在美国全境扩张的数据中心供应光纤、光缆和全套连接方案。英伟达也跟康宁建立了长期合作，康宁承诺把美国光连接制造产能扩张十倍、光纤产能提升超过50%，来匹配AI工厂的建设速度。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这两份协议放在一起，意味着康宁和AI基础设施之间的关系已经不只是&#34;供应商&#34;这个层面了——它正在变成一种战略共生。这种稀缺性，是市场愿意给它从传统制造业估值向科技股估值迁移的底层逻辑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">问题在于，当你已经把叙事吃到了这个程度，市场要看的就不再是你做到了什么，而是你有没有超过所有人已经替你算好的账。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">康宁给出的Q3指引：核心营收49到50亿美元，核心每股收益0.85到0.89美元。EPS没什么可挑的——中值0.87美元对应约28%的同比增长，略高于卖方预期的0.85美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">但营收这边就微妙了。分析师对Q3的一致预期大概是50亿美元，康宁给的上限刚好碰到这个数字，中值49.5亿实际上略低于市场心理价位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在一个已经把全年EPS预期打到3.18美元、远期市盈率超过44倍的定价框架里，中值略低于预期就已经构成了一个问题。这不是业绩差——这是定价太高。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">康宁的估值膨胀有它自己的故事逻辑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">5月投资者日上，管理层把Springboard计划大幅上修：到今年底年化营收200亿美元，2028年底300亿，2030年底400亿；从2026年Q4到2030年Q4的营收年化复合增速目标19%，利润增速还要快于营收。配合亚马逊和英伟达接连落地的合作协议，<strong>市场迅速把康宁从&#34;特殊玻璃制造商&#34;重新定价成了&#34;AI基础设施核心供应商&#34;。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这个重新定价的烈度，股价走势已经交代得很清楚了。从年初大约87美元起步，六个多月冲到6月底的历史高点271.78美元。即便最近一个多月从高点回落了将近一半，周一收在143美元，年内涨幅仍然超过六成。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c1a00efbe4a8fd7de94a832146ccbef5\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"972\" tg-height=\"605\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这意味着什么？<strong>意味着康宁的财报已经不是在跟&#34;去年同期的自己&#34;比赛了，而是在跟一个已经把AI Capex超级周期充分折现的估值框架比赛。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">光通信32%的增长够不够？对一家40倍PE的传统材料公司来说，简直奢侈。但对一家市场已经按照AI成长股来定价、共识目标价还在215美元以上的公司来说，这份财报说到底只是&#34;对得起预期&#34;。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这恰恰是市场现在最纠结的地方。华尔街目前有16位分析师覆盖康宁，9个给买入、7个给持有，共识目标价大约215美元。即便从当前价位看还有超过50%的理论上行空间，市场显然没有在买这笔账——买入评级占比也从年初的七成六慢慢滑到了七成。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">市场真正的分歧在于一个绕不过去的问题：<strong>康宁到底应该被当作一家周期性的材料公司，还是一家结构性的AI成长公司？</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>如果是前者，44倍PE就是泡沫。如果是后者，在当前AI Capex还在加速上量的背景下，或许还撑得住。但现在的市场定价在告诉所有人一件事——投资者没有被完全说服。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">财报里不是没有让人安心的东西。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">利润率那边的数据其实相当不错。核心毛利率39.6%，同比扩大了120个基点。核心运营利润率20.9%，同比扩大了190个基点，延续了连续九个季度的同比较快增长。核心ROIC达到14.9%，同比提升了180个基点。调整后自由现金流14.2亿美元。这种持续性的增长本身就在替你回答很多关于&#34;周期股还是成长股&#34;的问题。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">太阳能业务则更像一张还在印刷中的期票。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Q2营收同比增长了90%，但因为本季度硅片工厂进行了延长检修停机和设备升级——包括切换到永久性供电系统——利润端还有拖累。管理层承诺Q3太阳能业务的盈利将改善，并且最终目标是年营收超过30亿美元，&#34;具有强劲的利润和现金流&#34;。但在真正看到利润率改善之前，这块业务在估值模型里扮演的角色更像是一个看涨期权，而不是已经兑现的价值。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">回到核心矛盾。康宁的AI叙事是真实的，光通信的客户结构和订单质量都站得住脚，利润率改善的速度证明经营杠杆确实在释放。但当前市场的博弈已经不在&#34;故事真不真&#34;这个层面了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当一只股票半年涨了两倍，任何不能在数字上碾压预期的财报——哪怕它本身已经非常漂亮——都可能在短期遭遇定价的重新校准。康宁周二交出的这份成绩单，最终没能做到那件事。它不是一份坏财报，它只是没有好到能让所有人忘记它有多贵。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b765e25c9aa849340271dbae850c005d","relate_stocks":{"GLW":"康宁","GLWG":"Leverage Shares 2X Long GLW Daily 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