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香橼果

香橼果

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IP属地：河南

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07-01

3的那个活动的时候$瀛通通讯(002861)$

美股下半年迎多重考验，AI支出、盈利兑现与美联储利率路径受关注

2024-10-06

$CXJ Group Co Limited(ECXJ)$ 可笑至极，啥也不是，融资骗局，会把牢底坐穿的！

2023-10-03

$车车科技(CCG)$ 还会跌到五，这个垃圾能上市，就是个奇迹

2023-09-29

$车车科技(CCG)$ 还要继续跌，一个卖保险的能有啥科技，上市就是为了圈点儿钱呗

2023-09-28

$车车科技(CCG)$ 跌得啥也不是

2023-09-26

$车车科技(CCG)$ 明天继续跌

2023-09-21

$Cheche Group Inc(CCG)$ 跌得啥也不是

2020-09-08

$CXJ GROUP CO(ECXJ)$希望大大的有

2019-11-24

$云集(YJ)$ 垃圾中的战斗机，敲钟上市十多美金，才多长时间就跌破4美金了，一路跌，一直在跌，妈的，没好几天过

2019-11-22

最黑暗的时刻已经来到了

2019-11-13

$云集(YJ)$ 可怜的云集难道真要掉到四以下吗？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002861\">$瀛通通讯(002861)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"3的那个活动的时候<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002861\">$瀛通通讯(002861)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"3的那个活动的时候$瀛通通讯(002861)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/581059209781496","repostId":"1186667434","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1186667434","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1782880063,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186667434?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-07-01 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style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>企业盈利预期处于高位，科技板块需要继续兑现</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">2026年一季度美股财报表现强劲，对股市上涨形成支撑，LSEG IBES数据显示，市场预计标普500成分股2026年盈利将增长逾26%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">DWS美洲首席投资官David Bianco表示，市场接下来关注的是标普500以及科技板块能否交出符合预期的盈利表现，这一点不能出现借口。除科技和AI相关企业外，市场预计标普500全部11个行业板块在2026年都将实现盈利增长。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Janvier还提到，虽然AI吸引了大部分市场注意力，但美国消费支出仍保持韧性，这也支撑了科技以外行业的盈利预期。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>大型IPO集中来袭，市场流动性面临测试</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">SpaceX近期完成IPO后，Anthropic和OpenAI等AI相关公司预计未来数月也可能进入资本市场。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">总体而言，这些巨型IPO可能会产生大量需要市场吸收的股票发行。市场也在密切关注这一周期，将其视为市场是否存在泡沫的迹象。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bianco表示，这将成为风险偏好和流动性的一次测试，市场需要观察还有多少资金愿意参与这些高热度新股。大型IPO周期也会被投资者视为观察市场是否过热的信号之一。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>新领导下的美联储将如何应对通胀？</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）已正式出任美国联邦储备委员会（美联储）主席，其首次议息会议便释放出偏鹰信号。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">由于政策制定者将重心放在控制通胀上，市场对短期加息的预期明显升温。美联储未来的利率路径将直接影响美国国债收益率，而今年早些时候，美债市场的剧烈波动已数次引发美股抛售。若利率进一步上行，不仅意味着企业和消费者的借贷成本增加，也会因债券收益率更具吸引力而对股票估值形成压力。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Noah Weisberger表示，目前市场估值本身仍具有一定合理性，但如果利率再次被市场重新定价，股市仍可能面临新的压力。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>中期选举对股市重要吗？</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国中期选举目前并非市场主线，但随着11月选举临近，政治因素可能重新影响市场波动。CFRA统计显示，自1945年以来，中期选举年份通常会出现四年总统周期中较深的年内回撤，标普500指数平均最大回撤幅度为18%；同时，中期选举年份第三季度平均表现为负。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Natixis的Melson表示，中期选举年份在选举前通常可能出现一定动荡。随着选举议题升温，财政政策、监管方向和国会控制权变化，都可能成为市场阶段性交易因素。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股下半年迎多重考验，AI支出、盈利兑现与美联储利率路径受关注</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股下半年迎多重考验，AI支出、盈利兑现与美联储利率路径受关注\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-07-01 12:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">2026年下半年，美股将面对多项关键考验。今年以来，标普500已上涨超过8%，使其牛市持续三年多；以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数也上涨了11%。这两个指数在6月份均出现回调。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>AI资本开支仍是行情核心，但市场开始关注投入回报</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">摩根大通数据显示，包括微软、Alphabet和亚马逊在内的五家公司，预计今年合计资本开支约7300亿美元。大规模AI投入不仅推升了科技龙头盈利预期，也带动半导体、工业、电力及数据中心相关能源股表现。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Columbia Threadneedle Investments北美股票主管Nicolas Janvier表示，市场已经将大型科技公司未来持续维持高资本开支的情形计入定价。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">部分投资者开始关注大型云厂商能否从高额支出中获得足够回报。Natixis Investment Managers Solutions投资组合策略师Garrett Melson表示，AI相关交易目前较为集中，一旦相关叙事出现疑问，市场将处在相对脆弱的位置。过去一段时间，AI乐观预期推动半导体股大幅上涨，同时也带动其他科技股、工业股及与数据中心供电相关的能源股走强。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>企业盈利预期处于高位，科技板块需要继续兑现</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">2026年一季度美股财报表现强劲，对股市上涨形成支撑，LSEG IBES数据显示，市场预计标普500成分股2026年盈利将增长逾26%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">DWS美洲首席投资官David Bianco表示，市场接下来关注的是标普500以及科技板块能否交出符合预期的盈利表现，这一点不能出现借口。除科技和AI相关企业外，市场预计标普500全部11个行业板块在2026年都将实现盈利增长。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Janvier还提到，虽然AI吸引了大部分市场注意力，但美国消费支出仍保持韧性，这也支撑了科技以外行业的盈利预期。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>大型IPO集中来袭，市场流动性面临测试</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">SpaceX近期完成IPO后，Anthropic和OpenAI等AI相关公司预计未来数月也可能进入资本市场。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">总体而言，这些巨型IPO可能会产生大量需要市场吸收的股票发行。市场也在密切关注这一周期，将其视为市场是否存在泡沫的迹象。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Bianco表示，这将成为风险偏好和流动性的一次测试，市场需要观察还有多少资金愿意参与这些高热度新股。大型IPO周期也会被投资者视为观察市场是否过热的信号之一。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>新领导下的美联储将如何应对通胀？</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）已正式出任美国联邦储备委员会（美联储）主席，其首次议息会议便释放出偏鹰信号。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">由于政策制定者将重心放在控制通胀上，市场对短期加息的预期明显升温。美联储未来的利率路径将直接影响美国国债收益率，而今年早些时候，美债市场的剧烈波动已数次引发美股抛售。若利率进一步上行，不仅意味着企业和消费者的借贷成本增加，也会因债券收益率更具吸引力而对股票估值形成压力。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Noah Weisberger表示，目前市场估值本身仍具有一定合理性，但如果利率再次被市场重新定价，股市仍可能面临新的压力。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>中期选举对股市重要吗？</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国中期选举目前并非市场主线，但随着11月选举临近，政治因素可能重新影响市场波动。CFRA统计显示，自1945年以来，中期选举年份通常会出现四年总统周期中较深的年内回撤，标普500指数平均最大回撤幅度为18%；同时，中期选举年份第三季度平均表现为负。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Natixis的Melson表示，中期选举年份在选举前通常可能出现一定动荡。随着选举议题升温，财政政策、监管方向和国会控制权变化，都可能成为市场阶段性交易因素。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4269784b22521a99c4575855c7aee51e","relate_stocks":{"QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186667434","content_text":"2026年下半年，美股将面对多项关键考验。今年以来，标普500已上涨超过8%，使其牛市持续三年多；以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数也上涨了11%。这两个指数在6月份均出现回调。AI资本开支仍是行情核心，但市场开始关注投入回报摩根大通数据显示，包括微软、Alphabet和亚马逊在内的五家公司，预计今年合计资本开支约7300亿美元。大规模AI投入不仅推升了科技龙头盈利预期，也带动半导体、工业、电力及数据中心相关能源股表现。Columbia Threadneedle Investments北美股票主管Nicolas 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