yanx明的个人主页 - 老虎社区

yanx明

yanx明

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IP属地：安徽

9关注

9粉丝

1主题

0勋章

03-27

$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$ 好想向上？

03-22

$紫天科技(300280)$ 好不容易看见一次机会，却失去了。

03-22

$恒生科技指数(HSTECH)$ 猴子请来的救兵，快点

03-18

$恒生指数主连 2403(HSImain)$ 你进入下跌通道。

03-18

$A50指数主连 2403(CNmain)$ 希望你今晚大跌。

02-29

真的成功了，可惜我没发现。

潜能恒信(300191.SZ)：QK18-9-5井钻探成功

02-23

$美元指数(USDindex.FOREX)$ 就指望你了

02-22

$美元/离岸人民币(USDCNH.FOREX)$ 我的判断就看你今晚和明天的了。

02-22

$美元/离岸人民币(USDCNH.FOREX)$ 这是巧合吗？

02-20

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 我估计你今晚会大跌

02-16

$恒生指数(HSI)$ 今天放大招呢

02-14

$恒生指数(HSI)$ 必须的

01-17

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 你们想怎么处理

01-17

$恒生指数(HSI)$ 到底是大A拖累你，还是你拖累大A?

2023-12-26

$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 你可惭愧哦！

2023-12-14

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 你终于涨了

2023-12-14

大A啊！天时、地利、人和，你缺哪一样?

2023-12-05

$三倍做多富时中国ETF-Direxion(YINN)$ 做多有什么用？

2023-12-04

$创业板指(399006)$ 什么都符合，就是不涨

2023-11-27

黑的硬说成白的，脸都不要了？

十大券商一周策略：本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束！估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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18:19","market":"sg","language":"zh","title":"潜能恒信(300191.SZ)：QK18-9-5井钻探成功","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2414337345","media":"智通财经网","summary":"潜能恒信(300191.SZ)披露渤海0917进展公告，公司海外全资子公司智慧石油投资有限公司已完成QK18-9-5井全部钻井、录井、测井及地层试油作业，完钻井深3850米，在奥陶系、侏罗系及沙河街组发现良好油气显示。该井钻进奥陶系潜山450米，针对奥陶系进行试油，试油结果为13.49mm油嘴自喷，折日产油80.22立方米(约562桶)，日产气47001立方米。\n\n股市回暖，抄底炒股先开户！智能定投、条件单、个股雷达……送给你>>\n\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300191\">潜能恒信</a>(300191.SZ)披露渤海0917进展公告，公司海外全资子公司智慧石油投资有限公司已完成QK18-9-5井全部钻井、录井、测井及地层试油作业，完钻井深3850米，在奥陶系、侏罗系及沙河街组发现良好油气显示。该井钻进奥陶系潜山450米，针对奥陶系进行试油，试油结果为13.49mm油嘴自喷，折日产油80.22立方米(约562桶)，日产气47001立方米。</p>\n<div>\n<span>股市回暖，抄底炒股先开户！<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>定投、条件单、个股雷达……送给你&gt;&gt;</span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-02-28 18:19 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggscyd/2024-02-28/doc-inakqwnn6251281.shtml><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>潜能恒信(300191.SZ)披露渤海0917进展公告，公司海外全资子公司智慧石油投资有限公司已完成QK18-9-5井全部钻井、录井、测井及地层试油作业，完钻井深3850米，在奥陶系、侏罗系及沙河街组发现良好油气显示。该井钻进奥陶系潜山450米，针对奥陶系进行试油，试油结果为13.49mm油嘴自喷，折日产油80.22立方米(约562桶)，日产气47001立方米。\n\n股市回暖，抄底炒股先开户！智能定...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggscyd/2024-02-28/doc-inakqwnn6251281.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"300191":"潜能恒信","BK0144":"页岩气和煤层气","BK0258":"开采辅助","BK0028":"国家队","BK0025":"油气改革"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/ggscyd/2024-02-28/doc-inakqwnn6251281.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2414337345","content_text":"潜能恒信(300191.SZ)披露渤海0917进展公告，公司海外全资子公司智慧石油投资有限公司已完成QK18-9-5井全部钻井、录井、测井及地层试油作业，完钻井深3850米，在奥陶系、侏罗系及沙河街组发现良好油气显示。该井钻进奥陶系潜山450米，针对奥陶系进行试油，试油结果为13.49mm油嘴自喷，折日产油80.22立方米(约562桶)，日产气47001立方米。\n\n股市回暖，抄底炒股先开户！智能定投、条件单、个股雷达……送给你>>\n\n\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读，尽在新浪财经APP","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":277102882291720,"gmtCreate":1708681216179,"gmtModify":1708681217256,"author":{"id":"3503922594789908","authorId":"3503922594789908","name":"yanx明","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e29863e0eb20fa74952bd63472035e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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06:36","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"十大券商一周策略：本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束！估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147966664","media":"券商中国","summary":"当前A股估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现，历史规律显示每年通常有岁末年初行情，本轮尚未结束。综上，国金证券认为本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束，但短期内上涨动力或环比减弱，维持谨慎乐观的态度，建议不追高，而敢于逢低介入。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3cc980d198e76a956045c08144ea8f7\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"689\"/></p><p><strong>中信证券：展望2024年，港股有望开启贯穿全年的修复行情</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中信证券研报指出，进入2023年，内外部因素导致港股受压，但10月底以来转折已现；而7月底以来海外无风险利率飙升下，市场开始重审AI主题继续推动美股上涨的动能。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">展望2024年，在情绪修复、政策推动经济复苏、中美库存周期共振向上、人民币汇率企稳等因素下，中信证券判断港股有望开启贯穿全年的修复行情。但同时仍需关注海外货币紧缩及选举等风险事件或阶段性扰动港股投资者情绪。</p><p><strong>海通证券：当前A股估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">海通策略研报认为，本轮上涨行情走得较为纠结，主因宏观信号不一致，经济数据喜忧参半，资金存量格局延续，外资仍在流出。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当前A股估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现，历史规律显示每年通常有岁末年初行情，本轮尚未结束。历史上年底结构再平衡概率较大，这次既要重视可能再平衡的大金融及医药，又要重视政策和技术双轮驱动的科技。</p><p><strong>中金公司：对后续市场表现不必悲观，继续关注结构性配置机遇</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中金策略发表研报指出，10月底以来的市场反弹得益于投资者风险偏好改善背景下的估值回稳，建议关注以下几个方面的变化：1）逆周期调节政策仍在加码过程中；2）前期美元指数、美债利率给A股市场带来的影响有所缓解；3）A股估值仍处于历史较极端水平，未来有较大修复空间。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">展望后市，虽然近期A股市场在前期持续反弹后短期有所波动，但中金策略认为当前资产价格依然隐含投资者较为谨慎的预期，对后续市场表现不必悲观。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">配置上，风险偏好的回升有望驱动A股小盘风格继续占优，但需要关注大小盘风格的估值分化程度，历史经验显示较大的估值分化也或带来短期的风格再平衡。行业层面建议关注半导体产业链、智能汽车产业链的投资机会，以及受益于企业出海、利率环境缓和的创新药等。</p><p><strong>中信建投证券：消费电子行业或迎复苏，关注新技术变化</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中信建投证券研报表示，在消费电子行业资本开支经历了3年的下行周期后，判断2024年行业景气度有望回暖。2023Q3以来，随着苹果、华为等品牌推出新品，全球智能手机出货量跌幅已收窄至1%，2024年手机市场有望迎来新一轮复苏，设备企业在2024H1的新接订单值得期待；此外，钛材(机床刀具、3D打印两大方向)、XR、OLED、机器视觉有望带来结构性机会。</p><p><strong>申万宏源证券：岁末年初行情迎来动力切换窗口</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">申万宏源研报认为，岁末年初行情的演绎符合预期，目前来到了动力切换的窗口，后续行情的看点将是美联储经济回落进一步确认、国内稳增长持续催化、国内金融改革加码。国内刺激政策催化，驱动领涨板块“高低切”，短期顺周期占优波段还有演绎空间。中期方面，2024年结构选择三大思路：1. 新产业不断出现是必然趋势(华为链创新还有很多看点)；2. 从中国经济新范式思考景气方向(出口链和新跨国公司、新消费)；3. 强调公司治理、股东回报正在成为一种思潮，广义中特估提估值可期。</p><p><strong>广发证券：中资股启航</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">广发证券表示，2023年新范式在权益市场的特征体现为：“中美利差倒挂且持续走阔+中美ERP之差在历史低位持续徘徊”。股市ERP之差映射双方宏观底色之差，与利差持续倒挂且走阔相符，当前组合与2005-2006年和2013-2014年的中国、90年代日本相仿，长期新范式下最优资产组合仍是“杠铃策略”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着中美政策底共振，2024年进入利差收窄、ERP之差收敛的“回眸”小周期，历史三段收敛小周期内的资产表现：2024年中资股有望上行，港股更优，人民币汇率升值，区间风格偏向成长/小盘。</p><p><strong>中泰证券：本轮超跌反弹在级别、时间、空间上进一步拓展和上调</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中泰证券策略研报认为，本轮超跌反弹在级别、时间、空间上进一步拓展和上调，建议积极把握。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">就配置方向而言：（1）除了本轮救灾水利建设外，预计明年初围绕年轻租客的城中村改造亦将得到较大力度的中央财政发力加码，建材板块或相对受益。（2）指数在经历超跌反弹后，市场或再次进入结构性行情阶段，如同今年1-3月的AI行情。建议配置预计产业政策发力乐观的军工、信创、电网建设等板块。其中，今年军费增速保持稳定增长，叠加供应链安全和军工集团国企改革的催化，军工板块或有较大的发力空间；信创产业作为战略性新兴产业，政策发力趋势整体乐观；电力市场改革政策加速催化，或带来改革成效初显，投资机会与市场预期相对乐观。（3）立足更长周期，在四季度市场由超跌反弹到结构性行情过渡后，在明年配置的过程中需要注意防御，建议关注医药以及电力等高分红板块。（4）在此基础上，结合近期市场演绎，在后续轮动中港股/恒生科技板块券商板块以及AI板块或将成为有持续超额收益率的核心主线。</p><p><strong>兴业证券：岁末年初，外资回流有望成为市场的重要驱动</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">兴业证券策略团队表示，随着外部环境改善，以及海外对国内经济悲观的修复，近期人民币显著升值，外资流出压力也已在边际缓解。往后看，考虑到岁末年初也是外资机构rebalance portfolio、集中加仓A股的传统时间窗口，外资回流有望成为市场的重要驱动。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">外资流出压力缓解的同时，近期国内各项政策宽松措施继续加速落地、加码。此外，近期也观察到国内资金面迎来改善，对市场形成正反馈。结构上，重点关注价值成长龙头以及港股恒生科技等优质资产，在外资回暖、国内资金面改善共振驱动，叠加年底重要会议政策预期的催化下，有望带动市场整体迎来一波修复。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前来看，本轮全A库存周期切换已经启动，各行业间切换进度存在明显分化。结合前述复盘规律，兴业证券策略团队认为可以优先关注库存周期领先且资本开支同比处在低位的行业。</p><p><strong>国金证券 ：本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">国金证券表示，展望12月A股上涨动力大概率仍将维持“单一”地受美债利率下行影响，且美债利率早在11月已较大程度释放了下行压力，因此，对于年末推升A股的动力或边际减弱。当然，市场仍旧期待年底政策预期，倘若“宽货币”、“宽财政”等预期兑现，市场上涨动力或将有所增加。综上，国金证券认为本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束，但短期内上涨动力或环比减弱，维持谨慎乐观的态度，建议不追高，而敢于逢低介入。</p><p><strong>华西证券：权益市场有望演绎震荡向上的行情</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华西证券表示，又到岁末时，宽信用中需积极引入增量资金。美联储最新会议纪要重申谨慎基调，但市场已几乎排除美联储继续加息的可能，本轮十年期美债利率从5%快速下行至4.4%附近，在当前位置进一步大幅下行面临一定阻力。与此同时，国内地产金融政策加快放松使得市场宽信用预期升温，岁末之际，重要会议的政策定调将成主线。预计后续稳增长仍会加码发力，积极财政将成为宽信用的主要抓手，货币政策保持相对宽松，资本市场投资端改革重点在于引入中长期资金，权益市场有望演绎震荡向上的行情。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>十大券商一周策略：本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束！估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n十大券商一周策略：本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束！估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-11-27 06:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3cc980d198e76a956045c08144ea8f7\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"954\" tg-height=\"689\"/></p><p><strong>中信证券：展望2024年，港股有望开启贯穿全年的修复行情</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中信证券研报指出，进入2023年，内外部因素导致港股受压，但10月底以来转折已现；而7月底以来海外无风险利率飙升下，市场开始重审AI主题继续推动美股上涨的动能。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">展望2024年，在情绪修复、政策推动经济复苏、中美库存周期共振向上、人民币汇率企稳等因素下，中信证券判断港股有望开启贯穿全年的修复行情。但同时仍需关注海外货币紧缩及选举等风险事件或阶段性扰动港股投资者情绪。</p><p><strong>海通证券：当前A股估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">海通策略研报认为，本轮上涨行情走得较为纠结，主因宏观信号不一致，经济数据喜忧参半，资金存量格局延续，外资仍在流出。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当前A股估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现，历史规律显示每年通常有岁末年初行情，本轮尚未结束。历史上年底结构再平衡概率较大，这次既要重视可能再平衡的大金融及医药，又要重视政策和技术双轮驱动的科技。</p><p><strong>中金公司：对后续市场表现不必悲观，继续关注结构性配置机遇</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中金策略发表研报指出，10月底以来的市场反弹得益于投资者风险偏好改善背景下的估值回稳，建议关注以下几个方面的变化：1）逆周期调节政策仍在加码过程中；2）前期美元指数、美债利率给A股市场带来的影响有所缓解；3）A股估值仍处于历史较极端水平，未来有较大修复空间。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">展望后市，虽然近期A股市场在前期持续反弹后短期有所波动，但中金策略认为当前资产价格依然隐含投资者较为谨慎的预期，对后续市场表现不必悲观。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">配置上，风险偏好的回升有望驱动A股小盘风格继续占优，但需要关注大小盘风格的估值分化程度，历史经验显示较大的估值分化也或带来短期的风格再平衡。行业层面建议关注半导体产业链、智能汽车产业链的投资机会，以及受益于企业出海、利率环境缓和的创新药等。</p><p><strong>中信建投证券：消费电子行业或迎复苏，关注新技术变化</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中信建投证券研报表示，在消费电子行业资本开支经历了3年的下行周期后，判断2024年行业景气度有望回暖。2023Q3以来，随着苹果、华为等品牌推出新品，全球智能手机出货量跌幅已收窄至1%，2024年手机市场有望迎来新一轮复苏，设备企业在2024H1的新接订单值得期待；此外，钛材(机床刀具、3D打印两大方向)、XR、OLED、机器视觉有望带来结构性机会。</p><p><strong>申万宏源证券：岁末年初行情迎来动力切换窗口</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">申万宏源研报认为，岁末年初行情的演绎符合预期，目前来到了动力切换的窗口，后续行情的看点将是美联储经济回落进一步确认、国内稳增长持续催化、国内金融改革加码。国内刺激政策催化，驱动领涨板块“高低切”，短期顺周期占优波段还有演绎空间。中期方面，2024年结构选择三大思路：1. 新产业不断出现是必然趋势(华为链创新还有很多看点)；2. 从中国经济新范式思考景气方向(出口链和新跨国公司、新消费)；3. 强调公司治理、股东回报正在成为一种思潮，广义中特估提估值可期。</p><p><strong>广发证券：中资股启航</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">广发证券表示，2023年新范式在权益市场的特征体现为：“中美利差倒挂且持续走阔+中美ERP之差在历史低位持续徘徊”。股市ERP之差映射双方宏观底色之差，与利差持续倒挂且走阔相符，当前组合与2005-2006年和2013-2014年的中国、90年代日本相仿，长期新范式下最优资产组合仍是“杠铃策略”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">随着中美政策底共振，2024年进入利差收窄、ERP之差收敛的“回眸”小周期，历史三段收敛小周期内的资产表现：2024年中资股有望上行，港股更优，人民币汇率升值，区间风格偏向成长/小盘。</p><p><strong>中泰证券：本轮超跌反弹在级别、时间、空间上进一步拓展和上调</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">中泰证券策略研报认为，本轮超跌反弹在级别、时间、空间上进一步拓展和上调，建议积极把握。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">就配置方向而言：（1）除了本轮救灾水利建设外，预计明年初围绕年轻租客的城中村改造亦将得到较大力度的中央财政发力加码，建材板块或相对受益。（2）指数在经历超跌反弹后，市场或再次进入结构性行情阶段，如同今年1-3月的AI行情。建议配置预计产业政策发力乐观的军工、信创、电网建设等板块。其中，今年军费增速保持稳定增长，叠加供应链安全和军工集团国企改革的催化，军工板块或有较大的发力空间；信创产业作为战略性新兴产业，政策发力趋势整体乐观；电力市场改革政策加速催化，或带来改革成效初显，投资机会与市场预期相对乐观。（3）立足更长周期，在四季度市场由超跌反弹到结构性行情过渡后，在明年配置的过程中需要注意防御，建议关注医药以及电力等高分红板块。（4）在此基础上，结合近期市场演绎，在后续轮动中港股/恒生科技板块券商板块以及AI板块或将成为有持续超额收益率的核心主线。</p><p><strong>兴业证券：岁末年初，外资回流有望成为市场的重要驱动</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">兴业证券策略团队表示，随着外部环境改善，以及海外对国内经济悲观的修复，近期人民币显著升值，外资流出压力也已在边际缓解。往后看，考虑到岁末年初也是外资机构rebalance portfolio、集中加仓A股的传统时间窗口，外资回流有望成为市场的重要驱动。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">外资流出压力缓解的同时，近期国内各项政策宽松措施继续加速落地、加码。此外，近期也观察到国内资金面迎来改善，对市场形成正反馈。结构上，重点关注价值成长龙头以及港股恒生科技等优质资产，在外资回暖、国内资金面改善共振驱动，叠加年底重要会议政策预期的催化下，有望带动市场整体迎来一波修复。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">目前来看，本轮全A库存周期切换已经启动，各行业间切换进度存在明显分化。结合前述复盘规律，兴业证券策略团队认为可以优先关注库存周期领先且资本开支同比处在低位的行业。</p><p><strong>国金证券 ：本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">国金证券表示，展望12月A股上涨动力大概率仍将维持“单一”地受美债利率下行影响，且美债利率早在11月已较大程度释放了下行压力，因此，对于年末推升A股的动力或边际减弱。当然，市场仍旧期待年底政策预期，倘若“宽货币”、“宽财政”等预期兑现，市场上涨动力或将有所增加。综上，国金证券认为本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束，但短期内上涨动力或环比减弱，维持谨慎乐观的态度，建议不追高，而敢于逢低介入。</p><p><strong>华西证券：权益市场有望演绎震荡向上的行情</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">华西证券表示，又到岁末时，宽信用中需积极引入增量资金。美联储最新会议纪要重申谨慎基调，但市场已几乎排除美联储继续加息的可能，本轮十年期美债利率从5%快速下行至4.4%附近，在当前位置进一步大幅下行面临一定阻力。与此同时，国内地产金融政策加快放松使得市场宽信用预期升温，岁末之际，重要会议的政策定调将成主线。预计后续稳增长仍会加码发力，积极财政将成为宽信用的主要抓手，货币政策保持相对宽松，资本市场投资端改革重点在于引入中长期资金，权益市场有望演绎震荡向上的行情。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb146d9df27844cb787ad545c50986d","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147966664","content_text":"中信证券：展望2024年，港股有望开启贯穿全年的修复行情中信证券研报指出，进入2023年，内外部因素导致港股受压，但10月底以来转折已现；而7月底以来海外无风险利率飙升下，市场开始重审AI主题继续推动美股上涨的动能。展望2024年，在情绪修复、政策推动经济复苏、中美库存周期共振向上、人民币汇率企稳等因素下，中信证券判断港股有望开启贯穿全年的修复行情。但同时仍需关注海外货币紧缩及选举等风险事件或阶段性扰动港股投资者情绪。海通证券：当前A股估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现海通策略研报认为，本轮上涨行情走得较为纠结，主因宏观信号不一致，经济数据喜忧参半，资金存量格局延续，外资仍在流出。当前A股估值仍在底部，海内外积极因素正在出现，历史规律显示每年通常有岁末年初行情，本轮尚未结束。历史上年底结构再平衡概率较大，这次既要重视可能再平衡的大金融及医药，又要重视政策和技术双轮驱动的科技。中金公司：对后续市场表现不必悲观，继续关注结构性配置机遇中金策略发表研报指出，10月底以来的市场反弹得益于投资者风险偏好改善背景下的估值回稳，建议关注以下几个方面的变化：1）逆周期调节政策仍在加码过程中；2）前期美元指数、美债利率给A股市场带来的影响有所缓解；3）A股估值仍处于历史较极端水平，未来有较大修复空间。展望后市，虽然近期A股市场在前期持续反弹后短期有所波动，但中金策略认为当前资产价格依然隐含投资者较为谨慎的预期，对后续市场表现不必悲观。配置上，风险偏好的回升有望驱动A股小盘风格继续占优，但需要关注大小盘风格的估值分化程度，历史经验显示较大的估值分化也或带来短期的风格再平衡。行业层面建议关注半导体产业链、智能汽车产业链的投资机会，以及受益于企业出海、利率环境缓和的创新药等。中信建投证券：消费电子行业或迎复苏，关注新技术变化中信建投证券研报表示，在消费电子行业资本开支经历了3年的下行周期后，判断2024年行业景气度有望回暖。2023Q3以来，随着苹果、华为等品牌推出新品，全球智能手机出货量跌幅已收窄至1%，2024年手机市场有望迎来新一轮复苏，设备企业在2024H1的新接订单值得期待；此外，钛材(机床刀具、3D打印两大方向)、XR、OLED、机器视觉有望带来结构性机会。申万宏源证券：岁末年初行情迎来动力切换窗口申万宏源研报认为，岁末年初行情的演绎符合预期，目前来到了动力切换的窗口，后续行情的看点将是美联储经济回落进一步确认、国内稳增长持续催化、国内金融改革加码。国内刺激政策催化，驱动领涨板块“高低切”，短期顺周期占优波段还有演绎空间。中期方面，2024年结构选择三大思路：1. 新产业不断出现是必然趋势(华为链创新还有很多看点)；2. 从中国经济新范式思考景气方向(出口链和新跨国公司、新消费)；3. 强调公司治理、股东回报正在成为一种思潮，广义中特估提估值可期。广发证券：中资股启航广发证券表示，2023年新范式在权益市场的特征体现为：“中美利差倒挂且持续走阔+中美ERP之差在历史低位持续徘徊”。股市ERP之差映射双方宏观底色之差，与利差持续倒挂且走阔相符，当前组合与2005-2006年和2013-2014年的中国、90年代日本相仿，长期新范式下最优资产组合仍是“杠铃策略”。随着中美政策底共振，2024年进入利差收窄、ERP之差收敛的“回眸”小周期，历史三段收敛小周期内的资产表现：2024年中资股有望上行，港股更优，人民币汇率升值，区间风格偏向成长/小盘。中泰证券：本轮超跌反弹在级别、时间、空间上进一步拓展和上调中泰证券策略研报认为，本轮超跌反弹在级别、时间、空间上进一步拓展和上调，建议积极把握。就配置方向而言：（1）除了本轮救灾水利建设外，预计明年初围绕年轻租客的城中村改造亦将得到较大力度的中央财政发力加码，建材板块或相对受益。（2）指数在经历超跌反弹后，市场或再次进入结构性行情阶段，如同今年1-3月的AI行情。建议配置预计产业政策发力乐观的军工、信创、电网建设等板块。其中，今年军费增速保持稳定增长，叠加供应链安全和军工集团国企改革的催化，军工板块或有较大的发力空间；信创产业作为战略性新兴产业，政策发力趋势整体乐观；电力市场改革政策加速催化，或带来改革成效初显，投资机会与市场预期相对乐观。（3）立足更长周期，在四季度市场由超跌反弹到结构性行情过渡后，在明年配置的过程中需要注意防御，建议关注医药以及电力等高分红板块。（4）在此基础上，结合近期市场演绎，在后续轮动中港股/恒生科技板块券商板块以及AI板块或将成为有持续超额收益率的核心主线。兴业证券：岁末年初，外资回流有望成为市场的重要驱动兴业证券策略团队表示，随着外部环境改善，以及海外对国内经济悲观的修复，近期人民币显著升值，外资流出压力也已在边际缓解。往后看，考虑到岁末年初也是外资机构rebalance portfolio、集中加仓A股的传统时间窗口，外资回流有望成为市场的重要驱动。外资流出压力缓解的同时，近期国内各项政策宽松措施继续加速落地、加码。此外，近期也观察到国内资金面迎来改善，对市场形成正反馈。结构上，重点关注价值成长龙头以及港股恒生科技等优质资产，在外资回暖、国内资金面改善共振驱动，叠加年底重要会议政策预期的催化下，有望带动市场整体迎来一波修复。目前来看，本轮全A库存周期切换已经启动，各行业间切换进度存在明显分化。结合前述复盘规律，兴业证券策略团队认为可以优先关注库存周期领先且资本开支同比处在低位的行业。国金证券 ：本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束国金证券表示，展望12月A股上涨动力大概率仍将维持“单一”地受美债利率下行影响，且美债利率早在11月已较大程度释放了下行压力，因此，对于年末推升A股的动力或边际减弱。当然，市场仍旧期待年底政策预期，倘若“宽货币”、“宽财政”等预期兑现，市场上涨动力或将有所增加。综上，国金证券认为本轮A股反弹行情尚未结束，但短期内上涨动力或环比减弱，维持谨慎乐观的态度，建议不追高，而敢于逢低介入。华西证券：权益市场有望演绎震荡向上的行情华西证券表示，又到岁末时，宽信用中需积极引入增量资金。美联储最新会议纪要重申谨慎基调，但市场已几乎排除美联储继续加息的可能，本轮十年期美债利率从5%快速下行至4.4%附近，在当前位置进一步大幅下行面临一定阻力。与此同时，国内地产金融政策加快放松使得市场宽信用预期升温，岁末之际，重要会议的政策定调将成主线。预计后续稳增长仍会加码发力，积极财政将成为宽信用的主要抓手，货币政策保持相对宽松，资本市场投资端改革重点在于引入中长期资金，权益市场有望演绎震荡向上的行情。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":956289815,"gmtCreate":1591705056737,"gmtModify":1704196529672,"author":{"id":"3503922594789908","authorId":"3503922594789908","name":"yanx明","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e29863e0eb20fa74952bd63472035e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/YMmain\">$道琼斯指数主连(YMmain)$ &nbsp;</a>开始做空了。","listText":"<a 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我下令，你跌。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/950721778","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3472114183790565","authorId":"3472114183790565","name":"Skins","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"不可能，马上新高了","text":"不可能，马上新高了","html":"不可能，马上新高了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":922280148,"gmtCreate":1587563628884,"gmtModify":1704364775468,"author":{"id":"3503922594789908","authorId":"3503922594789908","name":"yanx明","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e29863e0eb20fa74952bd63472035e1","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/CLmain\">$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$</a>涨幅不应该这么大的。","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>信吗？全球会绝地反击。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>信吗？全球会绝地反击。","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$信吗？全球会绝地反击。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/967135580","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":881,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547361403991086","authorId":"3547361403991086","name":"朱三丰","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"那得到绝地才能反击，绝地在哪？","text":"那得到绝地才能反击，绝地在哪？","html":"那得到绝地才能反击，绝地在哪？"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}