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桃哥kd
02-24
$ATAT 20260220 30.0 PUT$
桃哥kd
2025-05-29
$TEM 20250530 52.0 PUT$
这个期权put,我卖完我就后悔了,巴菲特和阿段说不懂不做,我对这个公司一点都不了解,昨天卖它的PUT纯粹是赌博,所以今日我早早就在盘前下单平仓了。虽然少赚了点,但还好,纠错一定要坚决。 从今天开始,价值投资,不懂不做。
桃哥kd
2025-05-27
$拼多多(PDD)$
前低87.11附近可以上车。
桃哥kd
2025-04-18
奈飞的正股价格是上涨的,为何看跌期权也是上涨的?谁懂?谢谢!
桃哥kd
2025-04-10
$NVDA 20250417 100.0 PUT$
没能等到特朗普变卦,受不了前面几日的大亏,买在了黎明前。
桃哥kd
2025-03-22
我一般不说话,炒股让我变得更沉默了?
桃哥kd
2025-03-22
$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$
高胜率低赔率,过程中也蛮操心的。
桃哥kd
2025-03-15
$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$
桃哥kd
2025-03-14
$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$
桃哥kd
2025-03-14
$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$
桃哥kd
2025-03-10
$英伟达(NVDA)$
段永平还是很老到,100put这个标前几周没有报价,现在价格接近了,也有不错的报价了,段总还是能忍,比两周前好很多。前几周只有110put有报价。 现在这个100put舒服多了,进可攻退可守。到本周五要么收权利金(大约100000美元+),要么低于100建仓正股,未来赚钱概率挺大。短期内挣10%的概率应该大于90%。
桃哥kd
2025-03-09
$PDD 20250516 80.0 PUT$
桃哥kd
2025-03-07
好,我喜欢,可以早睡一小时。
抱歉,原内容已删除
桃哥kd
2025-03-06
金蝶00268是不是在蹭DEEPSEEK的热度,看看大模型的回答
桃哥kd
2025-02-27
OTLY
桃哥kd
2025-02-25
$英伟达(NVDA)$
英伟达(NVDA)做空/做多策略研究报告 ——基于2025年2月市场动态与行业趋势分析 一、当前市场定位与估值争议 截至2025年2月25日,英伟达股价报130.28美元,较历史高点153.13美元回撤14.9%,处于52周波动区间(75.61~153.13美元)的中下沿。动态市盈率(TTM)51.45x,显著高于半导体行业均值35x,估值溢价达47%。尽管机构目标价均值173.79美元隐含33.4%上行空间,但PEG=1.8x已透支未来增长预期,存在戴维斯双杀风险。 二、核心驱动因素分析 1. AI算力需求韧性 数据中心/AI芯片业务营收占比突破65%,Blackwell系列产品需求远超供应,管理层暗示下半年产能加速释放。但需警惕中国DeepSeek等高效AI模型对硬件需求的冲击,可能削弱高端GPU需求。 2. 技术壁垒与竞争博弈 CUDA生态垄断与2纳米制程技术仍为短期护城河,但物理极限逼近(量子效应风险)与功耗散热问题(B200单片功耗达1000瓦)制约长期迭代。特斯拉自研芯片、AMD/英特尔围堵加剧,市场份额面临蚕食压力。 3. 财务健康度分化 ROE=127.21%领跑行业,但营收增速从265%(2024Q1)降至93.61%(2024Q4),Q4营收指引880.9亿美元(环比+8.5%)面临DeepSeek事件冲击。做空比例近30日均值9.2%,空头压力边际上升。 三、风险定价与策略建议 短期(1-3个月): - 做多窗口:若财报超预期(营收增速>8.5%)且股价站稳130美元,可博弈技术性反弹至138美元阻力位。 - 做空信号:跌破120.81美元支撑位或中国区营收环比下滑>10%,需警惕趋势反转。 中长期(6-12个月): - 做多
桃哥kd
2025-02-20
$BABA 20250221 115.0 PUT$
桃哥kd
2025-02-15
$NVDA 20250214 124.0 PUT$
增加正股收益,小赚一把。
桃哥kd
2025-02-14
$NVDA 20250214 124.0 PUT$
桃哥kd
2025-02-14
$NVDA 20250214 124.0 PUT$
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TEM 20250530 52.0 PUT\">$TEM 20250530 52.0 PUT$ </a> 这个期权put,我卖完我就后悔了,巴菲特和阿段说不懂不做,我对这个公司一点都不了解,昨天卖它的PUT纯粹是赌博,所以今日我早早就在盘前下单平仓了。虽然少赚了点,但还好,纠错一定要坚决。 从今天开始,价值投资,不懂不做。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TEM 20250530 52.0 PUT\">$TEM 20250530 52.0 PUT$ </a> 这个期权put,我卖完我就后悔了,巴菲特和阿段说不懂不做,我对这个公司一点都不了解,昨天卖它的PUT纯粹是赌博,所以今日我早早就在盘前下单平仓了。虽然少赚了点,但还好,纠错一定要坚决。 从今天开始,价值投资,不懂不做。","text":"$TEM 20250530 52.0 PUT$ 这个期权put,我卖完我就后悔了,巴菲特和阿段说不懂不做,我对这个公司一点都不了解,昨天卖它的PUT纯粹是赌博,所以今日我早早就在盘前下单平仓了。虽然少赚了点,但还好,纠错一定要坚决。 从今天开始,价值投资,不懂不做。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a636a3a84139ac1a546d847deb2e5b8f","width":"882","height":"1664"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/440281325417168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":9971,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4088626949262520","authorId":"4088626949262520","name":"Inmoretion","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c0fdec2b419399e39fd0a7b103ef63","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"4088626949262520","idStr":"4088626949262520"},"content":"有时候运气也是实力的一种啊","text":"有时候运气也是实力的一种啊","html":"有时候运气也是实力的一种啊"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":439596314697736,"gmtCreate":1748351566346,"gmtModify":1748351567843,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a> 前低87.11附近可以上车。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a> 前低87.11附近可以上车。","text":"$拼多多(PDD)$ 前低87.11附近可以上车。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/439596314697736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":425659756781784,"gmtCreate":1744930790601,"gmtModify":1744930793764,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"奈飞的正股价格是上涨的,为何看跌期权也是上涨的?谁懂?谢谢!","listText":"奈飞的正股价格是上涨的,为何看跌期权也是上涨的?谁懂?谢谢!","text":"奈飞的正股价格是上涨的,为何看跌期权也是上涨的?谁懂?谢谢!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/355b4203115cb7c4f637f22d5ecd239d","width":"1080","height":"2744"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/425659756781784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":422697784897632,"gmtCreate":1744239116160,"gmtModify":1744243533977,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250417 100.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20250417 100.0 PUT$ </a> 没能等到特朗普变卦,受不了前面几日的大亏,买在了黎明前。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250417 100.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20250417 100.0 PUT$ </a> 没能等到特朗普变卦,受不了前面几日的大亏,买在了黎明前。","text":"$NVDA 20250417 100.0 PUT$ 没能等到特朗普变卦,受不了前面几日的大亏,买在了黎明前。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/220de66f9fc05e2c84875c2b912fa52b","width":"882","height":"1664"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/422697784897632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":416130165199256,"gmtCreate":1742602250646,"gmtModify":1742602252589,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"我一般不说话,炒股让我变得更沉默了?","listText":"我一般不说话,炒股让我变得更沉默了?","text":"我一般不说话,炒股让我变得更沉默了?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/416130165199256","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2045,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":416127598354792,"gmtCreate":1742602094806,"gmtModify":1742602098579,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$ </a> 高胜率低赔率,过程中也蛮操心的。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$ </a> 高胜率低赔率,过程中也蛮操心的。","text":"$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$ 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20250321 112.0 PUT$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6545fba8f4263272969adc0074975221","width":"882","height":"1664"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/413433112781200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3482,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":413427851124856,"gmtCreate":1741964296978,"gmtModify":1741964930883,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$ </a> ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT\">$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$ </a> ","text":"$NVDA 20250321 112.0 PUT$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/712a19ebcb79432693128bb1da30cbbb","width":"882","height":"1664"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/413427851124856","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":412050177298704,"gmtCreate":1741618391349,"gmtModify":1741618393277,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 段永平还是很老到,100put这个标前几周没有报价,现在价格接近了,也有不错的报价了,段总还是能忍,比两周前好很多。前几周只有110put有报价。 现在这个100put舒服多了,进可攻退可守。到本周五要么收权利金(大约100000美元+),要么低于100建仓正股,未来赚钱概率挺大。短期内挣10%的概率应该大于90%。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v> 段永平还是很老到,100put这个标前几周没有报价,现在价格接近了,也有不错的报价了,段总还是能忍,比两周前好很多。前几周只有110put有报价。 现在这个100put舒服多了,进可攻退可守。到本周五要么收权利金(大约100000美元+),要么低于100建仓正股,未来赚钱概率挺大。短期内挣10%的概率应该大于90%。","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 段永平还是很老到,100put这个标前几周没有报价,现在价格接近了,也有不错的报价了,段总还是能忍,比两周前好很多。前几周只有110put有报价。 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PUT$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ddc7182c39e6bd54906b4058bb9e79b","width":"882","height":"1664"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/411460366840472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1847,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":410854314098744,"gmtCreate":1741334744472,"gmtModify":1741334746447,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"好,我喜欢,可以早睡一小时。","listText":"好,我喜欢,可以早睡一小时。","text":"好,我喜欢,可以早睡一小时。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410854314098744","repostId":"1110369308","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":410538098668144,"gmtCreate":1741243986986,"gmtModify":1741243991356,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"金蝶00268是不是在蹭DEEPSEEK的热度,看看大模型的回答","listText":"金蝶00268是不是在蹭DEEPSEEK的热度,看看大模型的回答","text":"金蝶00268是不是在蹭DEEPSEEK的热度,看看大模型的回答","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/028ca334eaf300ae800ca113bb6afa30","width":"1125","height":"7857"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/410538098668144","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1556,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":407853183271336,"gmtCreate":1740588045460,"gmtModify":1740588048280,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"OTLY","listText":"OTLY","text":"OTLY","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0602ed9cebd6f6b42124c0bc6051bebf","width":"1125","height":"8273"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/407853183271336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":407455179087904,"gmtCreate":1740495437447,"gmtModify":1740561504130,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 英伟达(NVDA)做空/做多策略研究报告 ——基于2025年2月市场动态与行业趋势分析 一、当前市场定位与估值争议 截至2025年2月25日,英伟达股价报130.28美元,较历史高点153.13美元回撤14.9%,处于52周波动区间(75.61~153.13美元)的中下沿。动态市盈率(TTM)51.45x,显著高于半导体行业均值35x,估值溢价达47%。尽管机构目标价均值173.79美元隐含33.4%上行空间,但PEG=1.8x已透支未来增长预期,存在戴维斯双杀风险。 二、核心驱动因素分析 1. AI算力需求韧性 数据中心/AI芯片业务营收占比突破65%,Blackwell系列产品需求远超供应,管理层暗示下半年产能加速释放。但需警惕中国DeepSeek等高效AI模型对硬件需求的冲击,可能削弱高端GPU需求。 2. 技术壁垒与竞争博弈 CUDA生态垄断与2纳米制程技术仍为短期护城河,但物理极限逼近(量子效应风险)与功耗散热问题(B200单片功耗达1000瓦)制约长期迭代。特斯拉自研芯片、AMD/英特尔围堵加剧,市场份额面临蚕食压力。 3. 财务健康度分化 ROE=127.21%领跑行业,但营收增速从265%(2024Q1)降至93.61%(2024Q4),Q4营收指引880.9亿美元(环比+8.5%)面临DeepSeek事件冲击。做空比例近30日均值9.2%,空头压力边际上升。 三、风险定价与策略建议 短期(1-3个月): - 做多窗口:若财报超预期(营收增速>8.5%)且股价站稳130美元,可博弈技术性反弹至138美元阻力位。 - 做空信号:跌破120.81美元支撑位或中国区营收环比下滑>10%,需警惕趋势反转。 中长期(6-12个月): - 做多","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 英伟达(NVDA)做空/做多策略研究报告 ——基于2025年2月市场动态与行业趋势分析 一、当前市场定位与估值争议 截至2025年2月25日,英伟达股价报130.28美元,较历史高点153.13美元回撤14.9%,处于52周波动区间(75.61~153.13美元)的中下沿。动态市盈率(TTM)51.45x,显著高于半导体行业均值35x,估值溢价达47%。尽管机构目标价均值173.79美元隐含33.4%上行空间,但PEG=1.8x已透支未来增长预期,存在戴维斯双杀风险。 二、核心驱动因素分析 1. AI算力需求韧性 数据中心/AI芯片业务营收占比突破65%,Blackwell系列产品需求远超供应,管理层暗示下半年产能加速释放。但需警惕中国DeepSeek等高效AI模型对硬件需求的冲击,可能削弱高端GPU需求。 2. 技术壁垒与竞争博弈 CUDA生态垄断与2纳米制程技术仍为短期护城河,但物理极限逼近(量子效应风险)与功耗散热问题(B200单片功耗达1000瓦)制约长期迭代。特斯拉自研芯片、AMD/英特尔围堵加剧,市场份额面临蚕食压力。 3. 财务健康度分化 ROE=127.21%领跑行业,但营收增速从265%(2024Q1)降至93.61%(2024Q4),Q4营收指引880.9亿美元(环比+8.5%)面临DeepSeek事件冲击。做空比例近30日均值9.2%,空头压力边际上升。 三、风险定价与策略建议 短期(1-3个月): - 做多窗口:若财报超预期(营收增速>8.5%)且股价站稳130美元,可博弈技术性反弹至138美元阻力位。 - 做空信号:跌破120.81美元支撑位或中国区营收环比下滑>10%,需警惕趋势反转。 中长期(6-12个月): - 做多","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 英伟达(NVDA)做空/做多策略研究报告 ——基于2025年2月市场动态与行业趋势分析 一、当前市场定位与估值争议 截至2025年2月25日,英伟达股价报130.28美元,较历史高点153.13美元回撤14.9%,处于52周波动区间(75.61~153.13美元)的中下沿。动态市盈率(TTM)51.45x,显著高于半导体行业均值35x,估值溢价达47%。尽管机构目标价均值173.79美元隐含33.4%上行空间,但PEG=1.8x已透支未来增长预期,存在戴维斯双杀风险。 二、核心驱动因素分析 1. 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AI算力需求韧性 数据中心/AI芯片业务营收占比突破65%,Blackwell系列产品需求远超供应,管理层暗示下半年产能加速释放。但需警惕中国DeepSeek等高效AI模型对硬件需求的冲击,可能削弱高端GPU需求。 2. 技术壁垒与竞争博弈 CUDA生态垄断与2纳米制程技术仍为短期护城河,但物理极限逼近(量子效应风险)与功耗散热问题(B200单片功耗达1000瓦)制约长期迭代。特斯拉自研芯片、AMD/英特尔围堵加剧,市场份额面临蚕食压力。 3. 财务健康度分化 ROE=127.21%领跑行业,但营收增速从265%(2024Q1)降至93.61%(2024Q4),Q4营收指引880.9亿美元(环比+8.5%)面临DeepSeek事件冲击。做空比例近30日均值9.2%,空头压力边际上升。 三、风险定价与策略建议 短期(1-3个月): - 做多窗口:若财报超预期(营收增速>8.5%)且股价站稳130美元,可博弈技术性反弹至138美元阻力位。 - 做空信号:跌破120.81美元支撑位或中国区营收环比下滑>10%,需警惕趋势反转。 中长期(6-12个月): - 做多","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ </a> 英伟达(NVDA)做空/做多策略研究报告 ——基于2025年2月市场动态与行业趋势分析 一、当前市场定位与估值争议 截至2025年2月25日,英伟达股价报130.28美元,较历史高点153.13美元回撤14.9%,处于52周波动区间(75.61~153.13美元)的中下沿。动态市盈率(TTM)51.45x,显著高于半导体行业均值35x,估值溢价达47%。尽管机构目标价均值173.79美元隐含33.4%上行空间,但PEG=1.8x已透支未来增长预期,存在戴维斯双杀风险。 二、核心驱动因素分析 1. 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XYF\">$小赢科技(XYF)$</a>晒晒更赚钱","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XYF\">$小赢科技(XYF)$</a>晒晒更赚钱","text":"$小赢科技(XYF)$晒晒更赚钱","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15521250c6d7a83ef3f9cfdd5bcc5767","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184107886","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":536107711825392,"gmtCreate":1771906594698,"gmtModify":1771906606534,"author":{"id":"3496104102795575","authorId":"3496104102795575","name":"桃哥kd","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/383b1549c2af1c4f7382aafe11ac0737","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3496104102795575","idStr":"3496104102795575"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ATAT 20260220 30.0 PUT\">$ATAT 20260220 30.0 PUT$ 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