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02-10

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 现在股票市场没有任何投资价值，市场的波动已经被政府掌控，失去了市场自由波动的规律，只有主观性没有客观性，远离股市是最好选择。

2025-07-31

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 美国佬的末日到了，股灾一触即发

01-20

川普这个老神经一代股神，美国政客股市霸主，放利空打压股价，股价暴跌低位接盘，再放大利好拉高股价使其暴涨，是鱼头也吃鱼，鱼尾也吃，大小通吃。

格陵兰引发关税战风险，美股指期货走低，纳斯达克100指数期货跌1.7%

2025-12-18

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 全球股灾已进入倒计时，这可不是危言耸听

2025-09-15

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 一个降息，一个关税，就把股市折腾成神经病了。

2025-12-17

美国🇺🇸股市明年见顶崩盘

经济韧、利率降、AI火！瑞银继续看好美股，标普500明年冲上7700点

2025-12-09

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 降息的谎言还能支撑美股上升空间走多远？暴跌才是美股唯一选项，这是历史的必然结果。

2025-12-03

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 美股的坍塌将是历史的见证，追高的后果很严重，将是一地鸡毛

2025-12-02

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 年底第二波山崩海啸袭来了

2025-12-02

$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 惊涛骇浪的年底第二波海啸山崩袭来，准备好逃命吗？

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[哟哟]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":523532915761488,"gmtCreate":1768856787149,"gmtModify":1768859797883,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"川普这个老神经一代股神，美国政客股市霸主，放利空打压股价，股价暴跌低位接盘，再放大利好拉高股价使其暴涨，是鱼头也吃鱼，鱼尾也吃，大小通吃。","listText":"川普这个老神经一代股神，美国政客股市霸主，放利空打压股价，股价暴跌低位接盘，再放大利好拉高股价使其暴涨，是鱼头也吃鱼，鱼尾也吃，大小通吃。","text":"川普这个老神经一代股神，美国政客股市霸主，放利空打压股价，股价暴跌低位接盘，再放大利好拉高股价使其暴涨，是鱼头也吃鱼，鱼尾也吃，大小通吃。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/523532915761488","repostId":"1190290322","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1190290322","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1768834646,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190290322?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-01-19 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22:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月19日，受特朗普提议对八个欧洲国家征收新关税影响，全球市场避险情绪升温。黄金等避险资产上涨，正在交易的美股三大股指期货持续走低。</p><p>截止发稿，道琼斯指数期货跌近1%，标普500指数期货跌1.25%，纳斯达克100指数期货跌1.70%。</p><p>今日因马丁·路德·金纪念日，美股美债休市。</p><p></p><p></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76824cd4c5b97eaacdaab63d96995a28","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190290322","content_text":"1月19日，受特朗普提议对八个欧洲国家征收新关税影响，全球市场避险情绪升温。黄金等避险资产上涨，正在交易的美股三大股指期货持续走低。截止发稿，道琼斯指数期货跌近1%，标普500指数期货跌1.25%，纳斯达克100指数期货跌1.70%。今日因马丁·路德·金纪念日，美股美债休市。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NQmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511961928003888,"gmtCreate":1766017664960,"gmtModify":1766017666829,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 全球股灾已进入倒计时，这可不是危言耸听","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 全球股灾已进入倒计时，这可不是危言耸听","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 全球股灾已进入倒计时，这可不是危言耸听","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511961928003888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511558991246288,"gmtCreate":1765919372078,"gmtModify":1765919374887,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"美国🇺🇸股市明年见顶崩盘","listText":"美国🇺🇸股市明年见顶崩盘","text":"美国🇺🇸股市明年见顶崩盘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511558991246288","repostId":"2591605070","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2591605070","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1765868550,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2591605070?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-16 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Lefkowitz领衔撰写的报告中，该行重申了对美股的“积极看法”，并指出“美国股市的宏观背景依然有利，主要得益于富有韧性的经济增长、美联储降息以及AI投资支出的热潮”。</p><p>瑞银预测，标普500指数将于2026年6月达到7300点，并在2026年12月进一步攀升至7700点。</p><p>同时，该行预计，标普500指数成分股公司每股收益将在2025年达到277美元，同比增长11%;2026年将进一步提升至305美元，增幅为10%。</p><p>瑞银表示，其乐观预期源于盈利增长、货币政策宽松以及AI持续变现三者的共振效应。</p><p>该行还提到，今年以来美股市场走势与基本面保持一致。在美联储未加息的背景下，“自下而上的每股收益一致预期变动，与大盘回报率之间呈现出相当显著的正相关性”。</p><p>瑞银判断，明年市场环境仍将保持支撑态势：一方面，加息概率“极低”;另一方面，企业盈利增速有望维持在10%左右的水平。</p><p>报告特别强调，2026年的财政和货币政策有望提供额外助力——小费与加班税减免、州与地方税联邦抵扣额提高以及近期美联储降息等措施，均将对消费者和企业形成利好。</p><p>不过，瑞银也提示了三大关键风险点，分别是盈利不及预期、通胀超预期上行以及AI基础设施领域出现过度投资迹象。但该行同时强调，“上述风险实际发生的概率相对较低”。</p><p>在基准情景假设下，瑞银认为，当前驱动美股上行的核心动力“将持续存在，并推动股市在2026年延续涨势”。</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n经济韧、利率降、AI火！瑞银继续看好美股，标普500明年冲上7700点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-16 15:02 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1382024.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>12月16日，瑞银近日在一份报告中指出，受经济韧性凸显、利率下行以及人工智能(AI)领域投资持续火热等因素支撑，美国股市前景依然乐观。在这份由瑞银首席投资官兼美国股票主管David Lefkowitz领衔撰写的报告中，该行重申了对美股的“积极看法”，并指出“美国股市的宏观背景依然有利，主要得益于富有韧性的经济增长、美联储降息以及AI投资支出的热潮”。瑞银预测，标普500指数将于2026年6月达到...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1382024.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1382024.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2591605070","content_text":"12月16日，瑞银近日在一份报告中指出，受经济韧性凸显、利率下行以及人工智能(AI)领域投资持续火热等因素支撑，美国股市前景依然乐观。在这份由瑞银首席投资官兼美国股票主管David 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川普老小子正义做局","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/504226701468408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":504197816775472,"gmtCreate":1764129666385,"gmtModify":1764129668570,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a> 川朴低吸高抛，正在做局，当心砸多","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a> 川朴低吸高抛，正在做局，当心砸多","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 川朴低吸高抛，正在做局，当心砸多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/504197816775472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":685,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":501293754077984,"gmtCreate":1763416452966,"gmtModify":1763418666330,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"理论知识永远被现实无情打脸，全球资产泡沫破灭，就是一地鸡毛。","listText":"理论知识永远被现实无情打脸，全球资产泡沫破灭，就是一地鸡毛。","text":"理论知识永远被现实无情打脸，全球资产泡沫破灭，就是一地鸡毛。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/501293754077984","repostId":"2584642589","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2584642589","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1763377502,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2584642589?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-11-17 19:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大摩坚定唱多美股：盈利强劲支撑牛市，标普500明年料再涨16%至7800点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2584642589","media":"智通财经","summary":"Michael Wilson预计，到2026年底，标普500指数将交易于7,800点附近。数据显示，标普500指数今年迄今已大涨14%，此前两年均实现了超过20%的涨幅。该策略师预计，标普500指数成分股公司的每股收益未来两年将分别增长17%和12%。策略师预计，标普500指数在未来十年的年化收益率将达到6.5%，在所有地区中表现最弱;新兴市场预计将成为最强者，年化收益率为10.9%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>11月17日，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>首席美国股票策略师Michael Wilson发出了最看多美股的声音之一。他预测，在强劲企业盈利的支撑下，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/161125\">标普500</a>指数将在未来一年上涨16%。Michael Wilson预计，到2026年底，标普500指数将交易于7,800点附近。这一目标在一众华尔街策略师中属于最高水平之一，也意味着该指数将连续第四年实现两位数涨幅。数据显示，标普500指数今年迄今已大涨14%，此前两年均实现了超过20%的涨幅。</p><p>Michael Wilson在一份报告中表示：“我们正处于一轮新的牛市和盈利周期之中，尤其是对指数中许多此前落后的板块而言。”该策略师预计，标普500指数成分股公司的每股收益未来两年将分别增长17%和12%。他提到，企业更强的定价能力、人工智能带来的效率提升、宽松的税收与监管政策以及稳定的利率都是支撑因素。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dafd96d358a94e1dc3ceaf391156c00f\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"381\"/></p><p>与此同时，Michael Wilson也警告称，若美联储政策保持比预期更强硬的立场，可能带来短期风险。他补充称，从长期看，“过热”的经济也可能重新点燃通胀。</p><p>值得一提的是，Michael Wilson是今年4月在美国总统特朗普实施大范围关税导致美股大跌之后，仍坚持看多观点的少数预测者之一。他的判断最终被证明是正确的——随着贸易战有所缓和，标普500指数一度反弹至创纪录高位。在今年一项广受关注的投资者调查中，这位策略师被评为第二佳投资组合策略师，仅次于投行Piper Sandler的首席投资策略师Michael Kantrowitz。</p><p>在动荡的一年即将进入收尾阶段之际，美股在企业第三季度业绩远超预期的推动下正接近历史高点。尽管市场对人工智能交易以及高企的估值仍存疑虑，且美国史上最长时间的政府停摆也带来了风险，但投资者对经济增长依然保持信心。</p><p>日前，Wedbush Securities科技研究主管Dan Ives将当前市场对人工智能交易的紧张情绪形容为“短视行为”，并断言科技股——近两年推动美股上涨的主要力量——牛市至少还将持续两年。这位科技多头指出，市场对半导体ETF需求强劲，强调“自6月以来，我们观察到相关需求已提升约30%”。他将当前环境定义为“资本支出超级周期”，认为这是技术变革的早期阶段，并称投资者目前仅处于AI革命的“第二、三阶段”。他还为大型科技公司的巨额资本支出辩护，解释道，“这些公司每投入1美元资本支出，未来几年最终将获得8至10美元的回报”。</p><p>Mariner Wealth Advisors首席投资策略师兼股票部门主管Jeff Krumpelman也认为，近期的科技股震荡更像是获利了结与停摆引发的波动，而非人工智能或盈利基本面的实质性转变。这位策略师强调，早期阶段的AI应用仍是一个强大的、将持续数年的主题，当前的波动不应与互联网泡沫破裂时期相提并论，“这是真实的趋势。人工智能仍处于早期阶段，而且前景真实可期，绝非2000年的互联网泡沫重演”。</p><p>不过，华尔街仍存在谨慎声音。此前准确预测今年美股跑输其他地区股市的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>策略师Peter Oppenheimer预计，未来十年美股将继续落后于全球其他主要市场。策略师预计，标普500指数在未来十年的年化收益率将达到6.5%，在所有地区中表现最弱;新兴市场预计将成为最强者，年化收益率为10.9%。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大摩坚定唱多美股：盈利强劲支撑牛市，标普500明年料再涨16%至7800点</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大摩坚定唱多美股：盈利强劲支撑牛市，标普500明年料再涨16%至7800点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-11-17 19:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1370116.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>11月17日，摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师Michael Wilson发出了最看多美股的声音之一。他预测，在强劲企业盈利的支撑下，标普500指数将在未来一年上涨16%。Michael Wilson预计，到2026年底，标普500指数将交易于7,800点附近。这一目标在一众华尔街策略师中属于最高水平之一，也意味着该指数将连续第四年实现两位数涨幅。数据显示，标普500指数今年迄今已大涨14%，此前两...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1370116.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1370116.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2584642589","content_text":"11月17日，摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师Michael Wilson发出了最看多美股的声音之一。他预测，在强劲企业盈利的支撑下，标普500指数将在未来一年上涨16%。Michael Wilson预计，到2026年底，标普500指数将交易于7,800点附近。这一目标在一众华尔街策略师中属于最高水平之一，也意味着该指数将连续第四年实现两位数涨幅。数据显示，标普500指数今年迄今已大涨14%，此前两年均实现了超过20%的涨幅。Michael Wilson在一份报告中表示：“我们正处于一轮新的牛市和盈利周期之中，尤其是对指数中许多此前落后的板块而言。”该策略师预计，标普500指数成分股公司的每股收益未来两年将分别增长17%和12%。他提到，企业更强的定价能力、人工智能带来的效率提升、宽松的税收与监管政策以及稳定的利率都是支撑因素。与此同时，Michael Wilson也警告称，若美联储政策保持比预期更强硬的立场，可能带来短期风险。他补充称，从长期看，“过热”的经济也可能重新点燃通胀。值得一提的是，Michael Wilson是今年4月在美国总统特朗普实施大范围关税导致美股大跌之后，仍坚持看多观点的少数预测者之一。他的判断最终被证明是正确的——随着贸易战有所缓和，标普500指数一度反弹至创纪录高位。在今年一项广受关注的投资者调查中，这位策略师被评为第二佳投资组合策略师，仅次于投行Piper Sandler的首席投资策略师Michael Kantrowitz。在动荡的一年即将进入收尾阶段之际，美股在企业第三季度业绩远超预期的推动下正接近历史高点。尽管市场对人工智能交易以及高企的估值仍存疑虑，且美国史上最长时间的政府停摆也带来了风险，但投资者对经济增长依然保持信心。日前，Wedbush 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[哟哟]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":462378080317480,"gmtCreate":1753903457902,"gmtModify":1753907023157,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 美国佬的末日到了，股灾一触即发","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 美国佬的末日到了，股灾一触即发","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 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22:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>1月19日，受特朗普提议对八个欧洲国家征收新关税影响，全球市场避险情绪升温。黄金等避险资产上涨，正在交易的美股三大股指期货持续走低。</p><p>截止发稿，道琼斯指数期货跌近1%，标普500指数期货跌1.25%，纳斯达克100指数期货跌1.70%。</p><p>今日因马丁·路德·金纪念日，美股美债休市。</p><p></p><p></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76824cd4c5b97eaacdaab63d96995a28","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190290322","content_text":"1月19日，受特朗普提议对八个欧洲国家征收新关税影响，全球市场避险情绪升温。黄金等避险资产上涨，正在交易的美股三大股指期货持续走低。截止发稿，道琼斯指数期货跌近1%，标普500指数期货跌1.25%，纳斯达克100指数期货跌1.70%。今日因马丁·路德·金纪念日，美股美债休市。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NQmain":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511961928003888,"gmtCreate":1766017664960,"gmtModify":1766017666829,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 全球股灾已进入倒计时，这可不是危言耸听","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 全球股灾已进入倒计时，这可不是危言耸听","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 全球股灾已进入倒计时，这可不是危言耸听","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511961928003888","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":793,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":478930248831056,"gmtCreate":1757944941556,"gmtModify":1757946945402,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a> 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一个降息，一个关税，就把股市折腾成神经病了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/478930248831056","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511558991246288,"gmtCreate":1765919372078,"gmtModify":1765919374887,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"美国🇺🇸股市明年见顶崩盘","listText":"美国🇺🇸股市明年见顶崩盘","text":"美国🇺🇸股市明年见顶崩盘","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511558991246288","repostId":"2591605070","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2591605070","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1765868550,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2591605070?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-16 15:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"经济韧、利率降、AI火！瑞银继续看好美股，标普500明年冲上7700点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2591605070","media":"智通财经网","summary":"瑞银近日在一份报告中指出，受经济韧性凸显、利率下行以及人工智能(AI)领域投资持续火热等因素支撑，美国股市前景依然乐观。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>12月16日，瑞银近日在一份报告中指出，受经济韧性凸显、利率下行以及人工智能(AI)领域投资持续火热等因素支撑，美国股市前景依然乐观。</p><p>在这份由瑞银首席投资官兼美国股票主管David Lefkowitz领衔撰写的报告中，该行重申了对美股的“积极看法”，并指出“美国股市的宏观背景依然有利，主要得益于富有韧性的经济增长、美联储降息以及AI投资支出的热潮”。</p><p>瑞银预测，标普500指数将于2026年6月达到7300点，并在2026年12月进一步攀升至7700点。</p><p>同时，该行预计，标普500指数成分股公司每股收益将在2025年达到277美元，同比增长11%;2026年将进一步提升至305美元，增幅为10%。</p><p>瑞银表示，其乐观预期源于盈利增长、货币政策宽松以及AI持续变现三者的共振效应。</p><p>该行还提到，今年以来美股市场走势与基本面保持一致。在美联储未加息的背景下，“自下而上的每股收益一致预期变动，与大盘回报率之间呈现出相当显著的正相关性”。</p><p>瑞银判断，明年市场环境仍将保持支撑态势：一方面，加息概率“极低”;另一方面，企业盈利增速有望维持在10%左右的水平。</p><p>报告特别强调，2026年的财政和货币政策有望提供额外助力——小费与加班税减免、州与地方税联邦抵扣额提高以及近期美联储降息等措施，均将对消费者和企业形成利好。</p><p>不过，瑞银也提示了三大关键风险点，分别是盈利不及预期、通胀超预期上行以及AI基础设施领域出现过度投资迹象。但该行同时强调，“上述风险实际发生的概率相对较低”。</p><p>在基准情景假设下，瑞银认为，当前驱动美股上行的核心动力“将持续存在，并推动股市在2026年延续涨势”。</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n经济韧、利率降、AI火！瑞银继续看好美股，标普500明年冲上7700点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-16 15:02 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1382024.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>12月16日，瑞银近日在一份报告中指出，受经济韧性凸显、利率下行以及人工智能(AI)领域投资持续火热等因素支撑，美国股市前景依然乐观。在这份由瑞银首席投资官兼美国股票主管David Lefkowitz领衔撰写的报告中，该行重申了对美股的“积极看法”，并指出“美国股市的宏观背景依然有利，主要得益于富有韧性的经济增长、美联储降息以及AI投资支出的热潮”。瑞银预测，标普500指数将于2026年6月达到...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1382024.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1382024.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2591605070","content_text":"12月16日，瑞银近日在一份报告中指出，受经济韧性凸显、利率下行以及人工智能(AI)领域投资持续火热等因素支撑，美国股市前景依然乐观。在这份由瑞银首席投资官兼美国股票主管David Lefkowitz领衔撰写的报告中，该行重申了对美股的“积极看法”，并指出“美国股市的宏观背景依然有利，主要得益于富有韧性的经济增长、美联储降息以及AI投资支出的热潮”。瑞银预测，标普500指数将于2026年6月达到7300点，并在2026年12月进一步攀升至7700点。同时，该行预计，标普500指数成分股公司每股收益将在2025年达到277美元，同比增长11%;2026年将进一步提升至305美元，增幅为10%。瑞银表示，其乐观预期源于盈利增长、货币政策宽松以及AI持续变现三者的共振效应。该行还提到，今年以来美股市场走势与基本面保持一致。在美联储未加息的背景下，“自下而上的每股收益一致预期变动，与大盘回报率之间呈现出相当显著的正相关性”。瑞银判断，明年市场环境仍将保持支撑态势：一方面，加息概率“极低”;另一方面，企业盈利增速有望维持在10%左右的水平。报告特别强调，2026年的财政和货币政策有望提供额外助力——小费与加班税减免、州与地方税联邦抵扣额提高以及近期美联储降息等措施，均将对消费者和企业形成利好。不过，瑞银也提示了三大关键风险点，分别是盈利不及预期、通胀超预期上行以及AI基础设施领域出现过度投资迹象。但该行同时强调，“上述风险实际发生的概率相对较低”。在基准情景假设下，瑞银认为，当前驱动美股上行的核心动力“将持续存在，并推动股市在2026年延续涨势”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":2,".DJI":2,".IXIC":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":508692503417128,"gmtCreate":1765223846692,"gmtModify":1765223848425,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>降息的谎言还能支撑美股上升空间走多远？暴跌才是美股唯一选项，这是历史的必然结果。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>降息的谎言还能支撑美股上升空间走多远？暴跌才是美股唯一选项，这是历史的必然结果。","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 降息的谎言还能支撑美股上升空间走多远？暴跌才是美股唯一选项，这是历史的必然结果。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/508692503417128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":506884648849576,"gmtCreate":1764727162269,"gmtModify":1764727164130,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a> 美股的坍塌将是历史的见证，追高的后果很严重，将是一地鸡毛","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a> 美股的坍塌将是历史的见证，追高的后果很严重，将是一地鸡毛","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 美股的坍塌将是历史的见证，追高的后果很严重，将是一地鸡毛","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/506884648849576","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":506247968388168,"gmtCreate":1764626380182,"gmtModify":1764626382031,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a> 年底第二波山崩海啸袭来了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a> 年底第二波山崩海啸袭来了","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 年底第二波山崩海啸袭来了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/506247968388168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":843,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":506247669363544,"gmtCreate":1764626283341,"gmtModify":1764626285497,"author":{"id":"3495750376975936","authorId":"3495750376975936","name":"合杰明","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495750376975936","authorIdStr":"3495750376975936"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 惊涛骇浪的年底第二波海啸山崩袭来，准备好逃命吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 惊涛骇浪的年底第二波海啸山崩袭来，准备好逃命吗？","text":"$道琼斯(.DJI)$ 惊涛骇浪的年底第二波海啸山崩袭来，准备好逃命吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/506247669363544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}