断股浮沉的个人主页 - 老虎社区

断股浮沉

断股浮沉

个人简介：股票万千，一段浮沉

IP属地：福建

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34粉丝

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0勋章

2022-11-03

说明了他在做空

一己之力砸崩市场，美联储主席鲍威尔发布会说了什么？

2021-09-02

$滴滴(DIDI)$昨天涨绝对是内幕，价值要回归了

2021-08-31

$欢聚集团(YY)$游戏锤完了可能接下来会锤直播？

2021-07-23

$高途(GOTU)$渣都不剩了

2021-07-22

$大全新能源(DQ)$大不了回购退市，不受这些鸟人的气

2021-06-25

$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$今晚开始杀人

2021-06-23

$ContextLogic Inc.(WISH)$越多空头顶点越高

2021-06-08

$爱奇艺(IQ)$跌吧跌吧[开心] 不嫌筹码便宜，看你能让我满仓吗

2021-06-03

$爱奇艺(IQ)$难道没人看长视频了？不可能只看腾吧，优还更菜，抖快b长视频都不行。随着天价片酬抑制和知识产权保护加强，长视频还是能有所作为的。御三家里还不算弱的爱奇艺有望翻身，看30以上吧

2021-03-13

$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$ 炒股重要的是情绪稳定，别动不动吃这吃那的，容易吃坏肚子[开心]

2021-03-12

$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$我也装个杯吧，今天要涨，1.5近在咫尺，空头小心吧。别跟我杠，杠就是你对，我瞎说的不负责，我只对我的钱负责

2021-03-12

$趣头条(QTT)$还没追上那个犯罪幼儿园红黄蓝，你怎么能输？

2021-03-12

$红黄蓝(RYB)$为啥盯上它了，有什么原因吗

2021-03-11

$趣头条(QTT)$炒红黄蓝不如炒趣头条，红黄蓝早就臭到家了，翻不了身了

2021-03-05

不然咋叫拉总

@吼吼哈嘿123:$跟谁学(GSX)$彻底服了。大盘跌，业绩不好，还能拉升

2021-03-05

$跟谁学(GSX)$就是一坨屎拉总也能拉上天，拉总名不虚传的

2021-03-05

$跟谁学(GSX)$快抄底，拉总会把你拉的[财迷]

2021-03-04

$富途控股(FUTU)$这反复横跳，太吊了吧

2021-03-03

$跟谁学(GSX)$老拉总了，空头杀完杀多头[开心]

2021-03-02

$跟谁学(GSX)$多拉点[财迷]

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07:22","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"一己之力砸崩市场，美联储主席鲍威尔发布会说了什么？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2280530732","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"鲍威尔再次强调，希望美联储不会犯紧缩程度不够这种过早退出紧缩政策的错误。他强调，通胀不是唯一加息的条件，美联储还会评估美国金融状况，美联储的主要关注点是保持利率的限制性水平，并称美联储没有过度加息。此外，鲍威尔认为，政策滞后性时间明显缩短，如果过度紧缩，美联储有工具应对。　　11月2日周三，在美联储议息会议后，美联储主席鲍威尔召开记者会。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>鲍威尔再次强调，希望美联储不会犯紧缩程度不够这种过早退出紧缩政策的错误。他强调，通胀不是唯一加息的条件，美联储还会评估美国金融状况，美联储的主要关注点是保持利率的限制性水平，并称美联储没有过度加息。此外，鲍威尔认为，政策滞后性时间明显缩短，如果过度紧缩，美联储有工具应对。</blockquote><p>11月2日周三，在美联储议息会议后，美联储主席鲍威尔召开记者会。</p><p>在记者会上，鲍威尔就美国当前的通胀、美联储的政策、美国宏观经济、劳动力市场、房地产市场和全球市场等议题发表了看法。</p><p><b>短期通胀预期上升令人担忧，美联储将加息至限制性水平，历史警告不要太早放松</b></p><p><b>鲍威尔强调，美联储坚决致力于降低通货膨胀，强烈承诺将压低美国通胀至2%这一目标。</b>他认为，当前美国商品和服务领域的物价上涨压力仍然突出。</p><p><b>鲍威尔说，美联储将“有目的性地”调整利率至有效的限制性，并称美联储可能需要在一段时间内采取限制性的政策立场。鲍威尔称，最快将在12月放慢加息步伐，但是终端利率可能会高于9月时美联储的预期。</b>当时美联储的终端利率预期值中位数为4.6%。</p><p>鲍威尔说：</p><blockquote>我们认为，持续的加息将是适当的，以使利率水平达到足够的限制性。政策的全面效果需要时间才能生效，尤其是对通胀的影响。在某个时候，放慢加息速度将是合适的。</blockquote><p><b>鲍威尔强调，短期通胀预期上升“非常令人担忧”</b>：</p><blockquote>当前，长期通胀预期已经回落，但是短期通胀预期上升，这可能影响到工资。美联储没有一个明确的方法来知道通胀何时变得根深蒂固，这就是为什么我们需要控制通胀的原因。</blockquote><p>鲍威尔说：</p><blockquote><b>关于终端利率，我们需要它有足够的限制性，这是现在的重要问题。</b>当前，有很多不确定性，这就是为什么我们会考虑到政策的滞后性和累计紧缩水平。加息速度现在变得不那么重要了。<b>现在仍有必要继续加息，我们的主要关注点是保持利率的限制性水平，美联储并没有过度加息。</b></blockquote><p>关于加息幅度，鲍威尔称，美联储将继续逐次会议就加息做出决定：</p><blockquote>我们需要看到通胀率明显下降，我们也将关注所有其他金融状况。通胀下降不是我们放缓加息步伐的唯一条件，我们将通过评估金融状况、数据和政策滞后性来确定限制性水平。</blockquote><p><b>鲍威尔承认，当前美国金融状况明显收紧。但他再次强调，历史强烈警告不要过早放松政策：</b></p><blockquote><b>我们正在以历史上最快的速度迅速调整利率，我们将保持政策方针，直到工作完成。我们希望确保我们不会犯紧缩程度不够或过早退出紧缩政策的错误。</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>我们在这次会议上讨论了加息步伐的问题，我们不觉得加息速度太快了。</b>到目前为止，这是一个很好且成功的计划。我们现在关注的是需要把利率提高到什么水平。<b>我要传达的信息是，在美联储达到足够的利率水平之前，我们还有一段路要走。</b></blockquote><p><b>关于不少华尔街人士批评美联储激进加息并没有考虑到政策滞后性带来的问题时，鲍威尔称，尽管以前人们认为政策滞后性是长期和多变的，但最新文献指出，政策的影响滞后时间缩短：</b></p><blockquote>很多经济学家认为，一旦金融状况发生变化，影响会比以前更快。<b>金融状况在美联储加息政策行动之前就已经有了反应，非常不确定滞后效应要多久才能对经济产生影响。</b></blockquote><p>如果出现美联储政策失误， 出现过度紧缩怎么办？鲍威尔回应称：</p><blockquote><b>如果我们过度紧缩，我们有能力使用强大的工具来支持经济活动。我们需要有力而深思熟虑地使用我们的工具。但是，如果紧缩力度不够，一两年之后大家就会意识到通胀没有得到控制。</b></blockquote><p><b>美国劳动力市场依然过热</b></p><p>关于劳动力市场，鲍威尔称，如果没有价格稳定，美国劳动力市场将无法持续强劲。</p><p><b>鲍威尔称，当前美国劳动力市场非常强劲，就业人口增速稳健，薪资增速仍然偏高，劳动力市场继续失衡。</b></p><p>鲍威尔称，职位空缺指标现在变得异乎寻常的重要。当前美国的薪资问题喜忧参半；工资对通货膨胀有影响，反之亦然；工资不是高通胀的主要原因；并未看到薪资和物价螺旋上升，他希望薪资能可持续地上涨。</p><p>他认为，还没有看到劳动力市场真正疲软的迹象：</p><blockquote>我们一直在寻找劳动力市场逐渐复苏和经济放缓的迹象，但目前这些迹象还不明显。</blockquote><p>鲍威尔称，私营部门工资数据中出现了一丝曙光，但更广泛来看，美国劳动力市场依然过热。</p><p><b>鲍威尔对美国劳动力市场软着陆依然抱有希望：</b></p><blockquote>我们确实认为劳动力市场可以在不进行大规模裁员的情况下降温。</blockquote><p><b>房地产市场并没有明显风险</b></p><p>在谈到美国房地产市场时，鲍威尔称，当前，高利率已经显著影响住房市场，房地产市场活动正在下降，不过美国家庭资产负债表依然强劲。</p><p>鲍威尔称：</p><blockquote>房地产市场需要恢复平衡，从金融稳定的角度来看，我们还没有看到房地产相关证券的信贷产品承销情况不佳。所以这是一种非常不同的情况，<b>房地产市场没有明显的金融稳定风险。</b></blockquote><p><b>如果美国抗击通胀失败，全球经济形势不会变好</b></p><p>在谈到美国宏观经济时，鲍威尔表示，高度关注高通胀给经济增长带来的风险。他说，诸多指标暗示美国经济将在四季度温和增长。</p><p>鲍威尔称：</p><blockquote>几十年来，价格稳定都给美国经济带来了益处。通过美联储的行动，可以帮助稳定长期通胀预期。我们需要使用我们的工具来控制通货膨胀，美国物价稳定对全球经济是好事。</blockquote><p>鲍威尔称，美国经济软着陆的可能性依然存在，不过窗口变窄了：</p><blockquote>消费支出仍在温和增长，需求将得到消费和储蓄的有力支持，财政困境并没有像我们之前预想的那样显露出来，失业人数也比以往少。</blockquote><p>关于经济衰退，鲍威尔认为：</p><blockquote>没人知道经济衰退什么时候到来，没人知道经济衰退会多严重。但是通胀依然严重，这就要求美联储的政策更严格。</blockquote><p>在被问及对全球经济的看法时，鲍威尔称，全球经济显然处于艰难时刻，强势美元对某些国家构成挑战：</p><blockquote>我们将在美联储模型中兼顾考虑诸多全球问题。如果美联储抗通胀失败，全球形势不会变得更好。</blockquote><p><b>承诺避免美联储高官出现道德问题</b></p><p>在谈到近期频频出现的美联储高官丑闻事件时，鲍威尔称：</p><blockquote>公众的信任是美联储最重要的资产。当我们的官员犯错时，我们就冒着破坏这种信任的风险。</blockquote><blockquote>我们有一个新的道德体系，这是一个非常好的体系。我们昨天再次承诺要以最高标准要求自己，并承诺将来要避免出现道德问题。</blockquote><p>此外，鲍威尔称，暂时还没有独立监察长办公室对Bostic正在进行的调查的最新信息。</p><p><b>市场反应</b></p><p>在记者会结束后，两年期美债收益率涨约8.0个基点，在新闻发布会结束后刷新日高至4.6280%，脱离FOMC一如市场预期地加息75个基点之后跌至的日低4.4328%。</p><p>现货黄金跌超0.5%，刷新日低至1636.71美元/盎司，脱离鲍威尔新闻发布会开始时反弹至的日高1669.48美元。</p><p>ICE<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>涨约0.2%，刷新日高至111.683，脱离发布会开始时跌至的日低110.426。</p><p>标普500指数下跌2.1%，逼近新闻发布会期间跌至的日低3801.50点，道指下跌超过400点跌幅扩大至1.2%，纳指跌2.9%。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>一己之力砸崩市场，美联储主席鲍威尔发布会说了什么？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n一己之力砸崩市场，美联储主席鲍威尔发布会说了什么？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-03 07:22 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3673963><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>鲍威尔再次强调，希望美联储不会犯紧缩程度不够这种过早退出紧缩政策的错误。他强调，通胀不是唯一加息的条件，美联储还会评估美国金融状况，美联储的主要关注点是保持利率的限制性水平，并称美联储没有过度加息。此外，鲍威尔认为，政策滞后性时间明显缩短，如果过度紧缩，美联储有工具应对。11月2日周三，在美联储议息会议后，美联储主席鲍威尔召开记者会。在记者会上，鲍威尔就美国当前的通胀、美联储的政策、美国宏观经济、...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3673963\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62dafa537afba542bdc43da1b85df8b4","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 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出现过度紧缩怎么办？鲍威尔回应称：如果我们过度紧缩，我们有能力使用强大的工具来支持经济活动。我们需要有力而深思熟虑地使用我们的工具。但是，如果紧缩力度不够，一两年之后大家就会意识到通胀没有得到控制。美国劳动力市场依然过热关于劳动力市场，鲍威尔称，如果没有价格稳定，美国劳动力市场将无法持续强劲。鲍威尔称，当前美国劳动力市场非常强劲，就业人口增速稳健，薪资增速仍然偏高，劳动力市场继续失衡。鲍威尔称，职位空缺指标现在变得异乎寻常的重要。当前美国的薪资问题喜忧参半；工资对通货膨胀有影响，反之亦然；工资不是高通胀的主要原因；并未看到薪资和物价螺旋上升，他希望薪资能可持续地上涨。他认为，还没有看到劳动力市场真正疲软的迹象：我们一直在寻找劳动力市场逐渐复苏和经济放缓的迹象，但目前这些迹象还不明显。鲍威尔称，私营部门工资数据中出现了一丝曙光，但更广泛来看，美国劳动力市场依然过热。鲍威尔对美国劳动力市场软着陆依然抱有希望：我们确实认为劳动力市场可以在不进行大规模裁员的情况下降温。房地产市场并没有明显风险在谈到美国房地产市场时，鲍威尔称，当前，高利率已经显著影响住房市场，房地产市场活动正在下降，不过美国家庭资产负债表依然强劲。鲍威尔称：房地产市场需要恢复平衡，从金融稳定的角度来看，我们还没有看到房地产相关证券的信贷产品承销情况不佳。所以这是一种非常不同的情况，房地产市场没有明显的金融稳定风险。如果美国抗击通胀失败，全球经济形势不会变好在谈到美国宏观经济时，鲍威尔表示，高度关注高通胀给经济增长带来的风险。他说，诸多指标暗示美国经济将在四季度温和增长。鲍威尔称：几十年来，价格稳定都给美国经济带来了益处。通过美联储的行动，可以帮助稳定长期通胀预期。我们需要使用我们的工具来控制通货膨胀，美国物价稳定对全球经济是好事。鲍威尔称，美国经济软着陆的可能性依然存在，不过窗口变窄了：消费支出仍在温和增长，需求将得到消费和储蓄的有力支持，财政困境并没有像我们之前预想的那样显露出来，失业人数也比以往少。关于经济衰退，鲍威尔认为：没人知道经济衰退什么时候到来，没人知道经济衰退会多严重。但是通胀依然严重，这就要求美联储的政策更严格。在被问及对全球经济的看法时，鲍威尔称，全球经济显然处于艰难时刻，强势美元对某些国家构成挑战：我们将在美联储模型中兼顾考虑诸多全球问题。如果美联储抗通胀失败，全球形势不会变得更好。承诺避免美联储高官出现道德问题在谈到近期频频出现的美联储高官丑闻事件时，鲍威尔称：公众的信任是美联储最重要的资产。当我们的官员犯错时，我们就冒着破坏这种信任的风险。我们有一个新的道德体系，这是一个非常好的体系。我们昨天再次承诺要以最高标准要求自己，并承诺将来要避免出现道德问题。此外，鲍威尔称，暂时还没有独立监察长办公室对Bostic正在进行的调查的最新信息。市场反应在记者会结束后，两年期美债收益率涨约8.0个基点，在新闻发布会结束后刷新日高至4.6280%，脱离FOMC一如市场预期地加息75个基点之后跌至的日低4.4328%。现货黄金跌超0.5%，刷新日低至1636.71美元/盎司，脱离鲍威尔新闻发布会开始时反弹至的日高1669.48美元。ICE美元指数涨约0.2%，刷新日高至111.683，脱离发布会开始时跌至的日低110.426。标普500指数下跌2.1%，逼近新闻发布会期间跌至的日低3801.50点，道指下跌超过400点跌幅扩大至1.2%，纳指跌2.9%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1258,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":812233903,"gmtCreate":1630589666302,"gmtModify":1630589666302,"author":{"id":"3492767260360019","authorId":"3492767260360019","name":"断股浮沉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ace4ce671a9223a4f4eec550d2369d","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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