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睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

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睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2023-12-27

有没有哪些美股和港股的末日期权推荐下$标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2023-12-23

美股和港股中有哪些期权适合做买方？ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $标普500(.SPX)$

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2023-12-23

港股美股中有哪些期权适合做卖方收取权利金$标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2020-08-09

$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 这个杠杆etf有哪些损耗？它的五股合一股对买家和卖家分别有什么影响？

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2022-04-22

这个期权怎么回事？才上市两天就到期了？期权是券商还是交易所创造的？$标普500(.SPX)$$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$道琼斯(.DJI)$

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2023-12-24

有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2021-03-18

长期持有纳斯达克三倍看涨ETF和标普500三倍看涨ETF可行么？持有他们的期权呢？$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$$三倍做多标普500ETF(UPRO)$$道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares(UDOW)$

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2023-10-31

有没有安徽的炒美股的同学，交流下哈。。。$标普500(.SPX)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2021-12-02

$纳指ETF(QQQ)$$标普500ETF(SPY)$$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$好可惜啊啊啊啊啊啊！！！差了一分钱没买到！！！[捂脸] [笑哭] [流泪] [财迷] [生气]

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2021-01-16

三大股指在股灾时哪个最抗跌？哪个跌的最狠$标普500ETF(SPY)$$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2021-01-15

是暴涨还是暴跌时候期权的隐含波动率会增大$标普500ETF(SPY)$

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2021-01-08

哪位讲讲原油跌成负价是怎么回事？负价原油是不是买不了？有套利的机会么？

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2023-12-28

理想汽车哦哦哦呜呜呜

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2023-12-27

大奖有人拿到了不[财迷]

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

2023-09-14

收盘价格63.8//@小虎活动:参与 $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ 上市首日涨跌大竞猜，精准预测ARM上市首日收盘价就有机会获得老虎限量周边。ARM作为近期最重磅的IPO 公司，相信很多虎友都已经关注到了。其总部位于英国剑桥，是一家半导体和软件设计公司。与其他半导体企业不同，Arm不生产芯片，而专注于设计低功耗、高性能的处理器架构，并授权这些设计专利给其他公司。这使得其架构广泛应用于各类产品，包括智能手机、平板电脑、智能家居设备等领域。一图读懂 | ARM冲击年内最大IPO！预计9月14日上市资本市场对其比较看好，Arm的财务表现令人印象深刻，其近三年的复合年增长率达到16.2%，毛利率平均维持在95%。这表明公司的财务状况健康稳定。其基石投资者更是不乏业界巨头，包括 $苹果(AAPL)$ 、 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 、 $谷歌(GOOG)$ 、 $美国超微公司(AMD)$ 、 $英特尔(INTC)$和

@小虎活动:【回复有奖】预测ARM上市首日收盘价，抢老虎限量周边

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

03-17

会加息[财迷]

抱歉，原内容已删除

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

03-03

美股有利率期权么？代码多少哈[财迷]

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

01-18

老虎的量化交易教程哪里有哈。。。[财迷] [笑哭] [捂脸]

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

01-03

有没有精通编程的虎友哈[捂脸] [笑哭] [开心]

睡着容易但是醒来真的好难

01-01

再见2023！你好2024！

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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tg-height=\"1024\"/></p><p>关于日本央行3月的利率决议，日媒已经率先放风，从这些报道中，可以看出一些渐进式变化：</p><p>据悉日本央行内部对3月结束负利率的<strong>支持加强——</strong>知情人士称日本央行<strong>考虑3月加息——</strong>消息人士称日本央行<strong>加息步伐将缓慢</strong>，避免损害经济——日本央行将<strong>讨论退出</strong>负利率政策——日本央行<strong>正在安排下周加息</strong>，关注周五薪资谈判的初步结果——<strong>日本央行正在做出最后安排，准备在下周的政策制定会议上结束负利率政策——</strong>日本央行下周势在必行，<strong>将把利率上调至0%—0.1%区间 。</strong></p><blockquote><p><strong>日媒是怎么一步步道出日本央行的心态变化的？</strong></p></blockquote><p>3月12日是“据悉日本央行内部对3月结束负利率的支持加强”，也就是说，<strong>有官员开始改变自己的观点</strong>。随后消息人士爆出日本央行考虑加息。<strong>从支持力度变大到开始考虑，</strong>加息意愿开始发酵。同日，消息人士再称，日本央行加息步伐将缓慢，避免损害经济。即日本央行已经在<strong>考虑“要怎么加息”而不是“要不要加息了”</strong>，有种加息势在必行的意味。</p><p>13日，“春斗”中大企业集中公布涨薪幅度，多数都创30年来新高，14日凌晨日经新闻深夜再次出来<strong>强化预期</strong>，说日本央行下周会讨论退出负利率，日元小幅走高了20点。14日“春斗”首轮谈判结果出炉前一日，日本时事通讯社报道称，日本央行在“安排下周加息”，日元短线拉升了50点，<strong>从讨论加息到安排加息</strong>，又又进了一步，看来是已公布的涨薪幅度让其很满意了。</p><p>15日<strong>薪资涨幅出结果后，加息最后一块拼图合上，</strong>日媒爆料日本央行<strong>为加息做最后安排了。</strong>16日凌晨，日媒称日本央行下周<strong>将把利率上调至0%-0.1%区间 ，</strong>以<strong>几乎肯定的口吻</strong>爆出日本央行的具体加息目标。</p><p>这样子的一番循序渐进引导把3月加息的期待值抬得很高，怪不得美银也从预期4月加息转向3月了。<strong>不过，加息时间早则三月，晚则四月，市场仍然看法不一。</strong></p><blockquote><p>野村证券策略师Naka Matsuzawa认为，日本央行本次将全面改变其政策框架。</p></blockquote><p>包含五方面：1)将政策利率目标从-0.10%上调至0-0.10%；2)取消收益率曲线控制，同时取消10年期国债收益率目标；3)暂停ETF购买； 4) 推迟继续增加货币基础的承诺；5)引入新的量化目标(从每月购买6万亿日元日本国债开始)。最后两点合在一起意味着日本央行将很快开始量化紧缩。</p><p>如果本次日本央行真的加息，市场会有什么反应？Matsuzawa认为，<strong>市场的直接反应应该是温和的，</strong>因为日本央行与市场就下一步正常化的行动进行了良好的沟通。话虽如此，市场尚未消化日本央行将以多快的速度缩减日本国债购买规模，这可能导致日元走高、日本国债收益率上升和股价下跌。投资者对股票的偏好也将从出口类股转向内需驱动型股。</p><p>也有观点认为日本央行的脚步不会那么快。</p><blockquote><p>日本道富<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/B73.SI\">环球投资</a>顾问首席投资官Kensuke Niihara认为，日本央行一直在建设性地引导市场应对即将到来的政策变化，我们一直预计政策变化将于4月份开始。</p></blockquote><p>但是，30多年来最高的涨薪幅度得到了大企业的认可。再加上日本央行对潜在通胀的评估，这些事态发展大大<strong>提高了3月份采取政策行动的可能性</strong>。我们预计，到今年年底，政策利率将走出负增长区间，达到0.10%。</p><p><strong>道富环球的评估显示，日元被严重低估，我们长期看多日元。</strong>美联储和日本央行在政策方向上可能出现的分歧，将支持日元走强。然而，我们认为日本央行在退出负利率政策后将维持宽松的货币政策，因此我们预计对包括日元在内的市场的影响将是有限的。</p><p>如果美联储进入一个稳定的超过100-150个基点的降息周期，或者日本工资上涨、经济增长强劲到足以支持日本央行多次加息，日元可能会有意义地升值。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2553f02ec2534f043c634fbec57aa45\" tg-width=\"1556\" tg-height=\"702\"/></p><p>最后回顾一下，日本央行自2016年1月29日引入负利率政策，将商业银行存放在日本央行的超额准备金存款利率从之前的0.1%降至-0.1%。自此，日本进入“负利率”时代，并持续至今。如果日本央行本次真的宣布加息，是<strong>长达17年来首次上调利率，全球始于的21世纪10年代的负利率时代也将画上句号</strong>。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>涨薪5.28%！日本央行敢不敢加息？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ 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margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n涨薪5.28%！日本央行敢不敢加息？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-03-16 14:12 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=134304&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%，为30多年来最大涨幅，远超去年3.8%的幅度，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%！虽然低于工会要求的5.85%，但仍是自1991年（5.66%）后33年来的最高值，也远超去年3.8%的幅度。日本央行一直担忧薪资-物价无法螺旋式上涨的话，结束通缩时间未成熟，加息时间未到。但是，此次加薪幅度远超去年，日媒也疯狂出来打预防针，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=134304&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f3e58ed98c4dddad279d0d2da1f5467","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=134304&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2419169437","content_text":"日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%，为30多年来最大涨幅，远超去年3.8%的幅度，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？日本“春斗”首轮结果出炉，涨薪5.28%！虽然低于工会要求的5.85%，但仍是自1991年（5.66%）后33年来的最高值，也远超去年3.8%的幅度。日本央行一直担忧薪资-物价无法螺旋式上涨的话，结束通缩时间未成熟，加息时间未到。但是，此次加薪幅度远超去年，日媒也疯狂出来打预防针，日本央行真的会结束负利率了吗？媒体放风后，市场还是在“三月息变”和“四月再议”之间摇摆不定。三月加还是不加？A. 加息。B. 不加。欢迎评论区留言，日本央行利率决议后，将随机抽取一位答中的幸运用户，赠送一个月的精英会员体验券！关于日本央行3月的利率决议，日媒已经率先放风，从这些报道中，可以看出一些渐进式变化：据悉日本央行内部对3月结束负利率的支持加强——知情人士称日本央行考虑3月加息——消息人士称日本央行加息步伐将缓慢，避免损害经济——日本央行将讨论退出负利率政策——日本央行正在安排下周加息，关注周五薪资谈判的初步结果——日本央行正在做出最后安排，准备在下周的政策制定会议上结束负利率政策——日本央行下周势在必行，将把利率上调至0%—0.1%区间 。日媒是怎么一步步道出日本央行的心态变化的？3月12日是“据悉日本央行内部对3月结束负利率的支持加强”，也就是说，有官员开始改变自己的观点。随后消息人士爆出日本央行考虑加息。从支持力度变大到开始考虑，加息意愿开始发酵。同日，消息人士再称，日本央行加息步伐将缓慢，避免损害经济。即日本央行已经在考虑“要怎么加息”而不是“要不要加息了”，有种加息势在必行的意味。13日，“春斗”中大企业集中公布涨薪幅度，多数都创30年来新高，14日凌晨日经新闻深夜再次出来强化预期，说日本央行下周会讨论退出负利率，日元小幅走高了20点。14日“春斗”首轮谈判结果出炉前一日，日本时事通讯社报道称，日本央行在“安排下周加息”，日元短线拉升了50点，从讨论加息到安排加息，又又进了一步，看来是已公布的涨薪幅度让其很满意了。15日薪资涨幅出结果后，加息最后一块拼图合上，日媒爆料日本央行为加息做最后安排了。16日凌晨，日媒称日本央行下周将把利率上调至0%-0.1%区间 ，以几乎肯定的口吻爆出日本央行的具体加息目标。这样子的一番循序渐进引导把3月加息的期待值抬得很高，怪不得美银也从预期4月加息转向3月了。不过，加息时间早则三月，晚则四月，市场仍然看法不一。野村证券策略师Naka Matsuzawa认为，日本央行本次将全面改变其政策框架。包含五方面：1)将政策利率目标从-0.10%上调至0-0.10%；2)取消收益率曲线控制，同时取消10年期国债收益率目标；3)暂停ETF购买； 4) 推迟继续增加货币基础的承诺；5)引入新的量化目标(从每月购买6万亿日元日本国债开始)。最后两点合在一起意味着日本央行将很快开始量化紧缩。如果本次日本央行真的加息，市场会有什么反应？Matsuzawa认为，市场的直接反应应该是温和的，因为日本央行与市场就下一步正常化的行动进行了良好的沟通。话虽如此，市场尚未消化日本央行将以多快的速度缩减日本国债购买规模，这可能导致日元走高、日本国债收益率上升和股价下跌。投资者对股票的偏好也将从出口类股转向内需驱动型股。也有观点认为日本央行的脚步不会那么快。日本道富环球投资顾问首席投资官Kensuke Niihara认为，日本央行一直在建设性地引导市场应对即将到来的政策变化，我们一直预计政策变化将于4月份开始。但是，30多年来最高的涨薪幅度得到了大企业的认可。再加上日本央行对潜在通胀的评估，这些事态发展大大提高了3月份采取政策行动的可能性。我们预计，到今年年底，政策利率将走出负增长区间，达到0.10%。道富环球的评估显示，日元被严重低估，我们长期看多日元。美联储和日本央行在政策方向上可能出现的分歧，将支持日元走强。然而，我们认为日本央行在退出负利率政策后将维持宽松的货币政策，因此我们预计对包括日元在内的市场的影响将是有限的。如果美联储进入一个稳定的超过100-150个基点的降息周期，或者日本工资上涨、经济增长强劲到足以支持日本央行多次加息，日元可能会有意义地升值。最后回顾一下，日本央行自2016年1月29日引入负利率政策，将商业银行存放在日本央行的超额准备金存款利率从之前的0.1%降至-0.1%。自此，日本进入“负利率”时代，并持续至今。如果日本央行本次真的宣布加息，是长达17年来首次上调利率，全球始于的21世纪10年代的负利率时代也将画上句号。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":280345888387352,"gmtCreate":1709465297951,"gmtModify":1709465300348,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美股有利率期权么？代码多少哈[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"美股有利率期权么？代码多少哈[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"美股有利率期权么？代码多少哈[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/280345888387352","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":264409696112752,"gmtCreate":1705575633653,"gmtModify":1705577420828,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"老虎的量化交易教程哪里有哈。。。[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"老虎的量化交易教程哪里有哈。。。[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"老虎的量化交易教程哪里有哈。。。[财迷] [笑哭] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/264409696112752","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":806,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":259055092523192,"gmtCreate":1704275904242,"gmtModify":1704276047673,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有没有精通编程的虎友哈[捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"有没有精通编程的虎友哈[捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"有没有精通编程的虎友哈[捂脸] [笑哭] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/259055092523192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":258228154187960,"gmtCreate":1704077528249,"gmtModify":1704077933725,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"再见2023！ 你好2024！","listText":"再见2023！ 你好2024！","text":"再见2023！ 你好2024！","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d006ebade3a2ce0132a51b4407dabb3d","width":"1080","height":"2022"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/258228154187960","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256987580199096,"gmtCreate":1703774653739,"gmtModify":1703774655696,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"理想汽车哦哦哦呜呜呜","listText":"理想汽车哦哦哦呜呜呜","text":"理想汽车哦哦哦呜呜呜","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256987580199096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256641094066464,"gmtCreate":1703690131328,"gmtModify":1703692813059,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有没有哪些美股和港股的末日期权推荐下<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"有没有哪些美股和港股的末日期权推荐下<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"有没有哪些美股和港股的末日期权推荐下$标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256641094066464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4090818833057660","authorId":"4090818833057660","name":"Sodmos","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"可以找当日发布财报的股票，但好像企业一般会规避掉 [微笑] [微笑]","text":"可以找当日发布财报的股票，但好像企业一般会规避掉 [微笑] [微笑]","html":"可以找当日发布财报的股票，但好像企业一般会规避掉 [微笑] [微笑]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256483645870152,"gmtCreate":1703637173532,"gmtModify":1703637175036,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"大奖有人拿到了不[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"大奖有人拿到了不[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"大奖有人拿到了不[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256483645870152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":256239280034096,"gmtCreate":1703577637239,"gmtModify":1703577638915,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"希望可以中大奖[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"希望可以中大奖[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"希望可以中大奖[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256239280034096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":571,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":255877845033088,"gmtCreate":1703480170550,"gmtModify":1703480174329,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有没有拿到888的？出来看下下。。。[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"有没有拿到888的？出来看下下。。。[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"有没有拿到888的？出来看下下。。。[财迷] [得意] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/255877845033088","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":255628079472768,"gmtCreate":1703420171878,"gmtModify":1703420173302,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","listText":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","text":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/255628079472768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3470702584208421","authorId":"3470702584208421","name":"伍佑猴哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231854f6aa06f0d76539a3a480da04bc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","text":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","html":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":255318292758824,"gmtCreate":1703344673967,"gmtModify":1703378945483,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美股和港股中有哪些期权适合做买方？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"美股和港股中有哪些期权适合做买方？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"美股和港股中有哪些期权适合做买方？ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $标普500(.SPX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/255318292758824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4090818833057660","authorId":"4090818833057660","name":"Sodmos","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"之前的新东方可以，现在感觉高途可以","text":"之前的新东方可以，现在感觉高途可以","html":"之前的新东方可以，现在感觉高途可以"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":255306926632976,"gmtCreate":1703344281246,"gmtModify":1703378943403,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"港股美股中有哪些期权适合做卖方收取权利金<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"港股美股中有哪些期权适合做卖方收取权利金<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"港股美股中有哪些期权适合做卖方收取权利金$标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/255306926632976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4090818833057660","authorId":"4090818833057660","name":"Sodmos","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"我觉得是那些你想持有，且有比较好的分红，或潜在长期增长价值的股票。如果你觉得价格偏高，平时可以挂一个你认为合适价格的中等虚值的看跌期权(卖出)，波动到对应价位了就被动买入。2如果有突发事件，例如新东方小作文，出版署游戏充值等事件，就挂平值期权。是虽然这种策略收益虽不高，但可降低持仓成本 [暗中观察] [暗中观察]","text":"我觉得是那些你想持有，且有比较好的分红，或潜在长期增长价值的股票。如果你觉得价格偏高，平时可以挂一个你认为合适价格的中等虚值的看跌期权(卖出)，波动到对应价位了就被动买入。2如果有突发事件，例如新东方小作文，出版署游戏充值等事件，就挂平值期权。是虽然这种策略收益虽不高，但可降低持仓成本 [暗中观察] [暗中观察]","html":"我觉得是那些你想持有，且有比较好的分红，或潜在长期增长价值的股票。如果你觉得价格偏高，平时可以挂一个你认为合适价格的中等虚值的看跌期权(卖出)，波动到对应价位了就被动买入。2如果有突发事件，例如新东方小作文，出版署游戏充值等事件，就挂平值期权。是虽然这种策略收益虽不高，但可降低持仓成本 [暗中观察] [暗中观察]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":254942319145096,"gmtCreate":1703252752413,"gmtModify":1703252753779,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哦哦哦","listText":"哦哦哦","text":"哦哦哦","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/254942319145096","repostId":"254766599647280","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":254766599647280,"gmtCreate":1703234953449,"gmtModify":1703235066689,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"【圣诞特别活动】解锁你的圣诞专属头像","htmlText":"当麋鹿轻轻跃过雪地，雪粒在它蹄下跳跃，每一个脚印仿佛都述说着一个温馨的故事。与此同时，圣诞老人则巧妙藏匿在烟囱之间，他的到来总是像暖暖的微风，悄无声息又让人心生期待。姜饼人们仿佛在糖霜海洋中尽情嬉戏，快乐和甜蜜如同他们的笑脸一般洋溢。而每片雪花，在舞动间成就了一幅幅唯美的艺术品，仿佛是大自然赋予的神奇馈赠，预告着圣诞魔法的即将释放。在圣诞节即将来临之际，小虎君也想邀请广大虎友一起做一件有意思的事情，装饰你的老虎头像。你可以给你的头像带上圣诞帽，搭配冬青叶子，还有铃铛，彩色糖果等，或者更换有圣诞元素的照片，发挥你的想象力，创造出属于自己的作品。【活动规则】在留言区，发表你的作品！并更换你的专属圣诞头像如果实在没有好的idea，也可以使用以下模版开始你的创作。比如你的作品可以是这样的也可以是这样的如何更换你的圣诞头像评奖及发放规则】客观评分（50%）：根据回复的互动&amp;点赞数主观评分（50%）：根据作品质量进行评审打分【活动时间】活动持续到12月26日【活动奖品】凡是在评论区发表作品，均可获得10虎币，还有机会获得小虎盲盒手办一个。 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"有没有安徽的炒美股的同学，交流下哈。。。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"有没有安徽的炒美股的同学，交流下哈。。。$标普500(.SPX)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/236332618236024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":219838076301464,"gmtCreate":1694701014317,"gmtModify":1694701516123,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"收盘价格63.8//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36984908995200\">@小虎活动</a>:参与 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$</a> 上市首日涨跌大竞猜，精准预测ARM上市首日收盘价就有机会获得老虎限量周边。ARM作为近期最重磅的IPO 公司，相信很多虎友都已经关注到了。其总部位于英国剑桥，是一家半导体和软件设计公司。与其他半导体企业不同，Arm不生产芯片，而专注于设计低功耗、高性能的处理器架构，并授权这些设计专利给其他公司。这使得其架构广泛应用于各类产品，包括智能手机、平板电脑、智能家居设备等领域。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/219279410487312\" target=\"_blank\">一图读懂 | ARM冲击年内最大IPO！预计9月14日上市</a>资本市场对其比较看好，Arm的财务表现令人印象深刻，其近三年的复合年增长率达到16.2%，毛利率平均维持在95%。这表明公司的财务状况健康稳定。其基石投资者更是不乏业界巨头，包括 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>和","listText":"收盘价格63.8//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36984908995200\">@小虎活动</a>:参与 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$</a> 上市首日涨跌大竞猜，精准预测ARM上市首日收盘价就有机会获得老虎限量周边。ARM作为近期最重磅的IPO 公司，相信很多虎友都已经关注到了。其总部位于英国剑桥，是一家半导体和软件设计公司。与其他半导体企业不同，Arm不生产芯片，而专注于设计低功耗、高性能的处理器架构，并授权这些设计专利给其他公司。这使得其架构广泛应用于各类产品，包括智能手机、平板电脑、智能家居设备等领域。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/219279410487312\" target=\"_blank\">一图读懂 | ARM冲击年内最大IPO！预计9月14日上市</a>资本市场对其比较看好，Arm的财务表现令人印象深刻，其近三年的复合年增长率达到16.2%，毛利率平均维持在95%。这表明公司的财务状况健康稳定。其基石投资者更是不乏业界巨头，包括 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>和","text":"收盘价格63.8//@小虎活动:参与 $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ 上市首日涨跌大竞猜，精准预测ARM上市首日收盘价就有机会获得老虎限量周边。ARM作为近期最重磅的IPO 公司，相信很多虎友都已经关注到了。其总部位于英国剑桥，是一家半导体和软件设计公司。与其他半导体企业不同，Arm不生产芯片，而专注于设计低功耗、高性能的处理器架构，并授权这些设计专利给其他公司。这使得其架构广泛应用于各类产品，包括智能手机、平板电脑、智能家居设备等领域。一图读懂 | ARM冲击年内最大IPO！预计9月14日上市资本市场对其比较看好，Arm的财务表现令人印象深刻，其近三年的复合年增长率达到16.2%，毛利率平均维持在95%。这表明公司的财务状况健康稳定。其基石投资者更是不乏业界巨头，包括 $苹果(AAPL)$ 、 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 、 $谷歌(GOOG)$ 、 $美国超微公司(AMD)$ 、 $英特尔(INTC)$和","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a43bb92349a3b696480a77b692a1e8c","width":"754","height":"448"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b28202ad567770d85a798e634343aac","width":"2459","height":"1377"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/012b5fe625c4f651defbb5e5f4259c9c","width":"1920","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/219838076301464","repostId":"219390886027280","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":219390886027280,"gmtCreate":1694598343834,"gmtModify":1694663424625,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44a4f89726b3f6319d06a0075bf9ff76","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"【回复有奖】预测ARM上市首日收盘价，抢老虎限量周边","htmlText":"参与 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$</a> 上市首日涨跌大竞猜，精准预测ARM上市首日收盘价就有机会获得老虎限量周边。ARM作为近期最重磅的IPO 公司，相信很多虎友都已经关注到了。其总部位于英国剑桥，是一家半导体和软件设计公司。与其他半导体企业不同，Arm不生产芯片，而专注于设计低功耗、高性能的处理器架构，并授权这些设计专利给其他公司。这使得其架构广泛应用于各类产品，包括智能手机、平板电脑、智能家居设备等领域。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/219279410487312\" target=\"_blank\">一图读懂 | ARM冲击年内最大IPO！预计9月14日上市</a>资本市场对其比较看好，Arm的财务表现令人印象深刻，其近三年的复合年增长率达到16.2%，毛利率平均维持在95%。这表明公司的财务状况健康稳定。其基石投资者更是不乏业界巨头，包括 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> 等。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">$ARM H</a>","listText":"参与 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">$ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$</a> 上市首日涨跌大竞猜，精准预测ARM上市首日收盘价就有机会获得老虎限量周边。ARM作为近期最重磅的IPO 公司，相信很多虎友都已经关注到了。其总部位于英国剑桥，是一家半导体和软件设计公司。与其他半导体企业不同，Arm不生产芯片，而专注于设计低功耗、高性能的处理器架构，并授权这些设计专利给其他公司。这使得其架构广泛应用于各类产品，包括智能手机、平板电脑、智能家居设备等领域。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/219279410487312\" target=\"_blank\">一图读懂 | ARM冲击年内最大IPO！预计9月14日上市</a>资本市场对其比较看好，Arm的财务表现令人印象深刻，其近三年的复合年增长率达到16.2%，毛利率平均维持在95%。这表明公司的财务状况健康稳定。其基石投资者更是不乏业界巨头，包括 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$</a> 、 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">$英特尔(INTC)$</a>和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> 等。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ARM\">$ARM H</a>","text":"参与 $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ 上市首日涨跌大竞猜，精准预测ARM上市首日收盘价就有机会获得老虎限量周边。ARM作为近期最重磅的IPO 公司，相信很多虎友都已经关注到了。其总部位于英国剑桥，是一家半导体和软件设计公司。与其他半导体企业不同，Arm不生产芯片，而专注于设计低功耗、高性能的处理器架构，并授权这些设计专利给其他公司。这使得其架构广泛应用于各类产品，包括智能手机、平板电脑、智能家居设备等领域。一图读懂 | ARM冲击年内最大IPO！预计9月14日上市资本市场对其比较看好，Arm的财务表现令人印象深刻，其近三年的复合年增长率达到16.2%，毛利率平均维持在95%。这表明公司的财务状况健康稳定。其基石投资者更是不乏业界巨头，包括 $苹果(AAPL)$ 、 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 、 $谷歌(GOOG)$ 、 $美国超微公司(AMD)$ 、 $英特尔(INTC)$和 $台积电(TSM)$ 等。$ARM H","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a43bb92349a3b696480a77b692a1e8c","width":"754","height":"448"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b28202ad567770d85a798e634343aac","width":"2459","height":"1377"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/012b5fe625c4f651defbb5e5f4259c9c","width":"1920","height":"1280"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/219390886027280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":710,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":218188470513848,"gmtCreate":1694303217370,"gmtModify":1694303218403,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/UVXY 20230922 17.0 PUT\">$UVXY 20230922 17.0 PUT$ &nbsp;</a>这个实值期权怎么行权？[财迷]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/UVXY 20230922 17.0 PUT\">$UVXY 20230922 17.0 PUT$ &nbsp;</a>这个实值期权怎么行权？[财迷]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"$UVXY 20230922 17.0 PUT$ 这个实值期权怎么行权？[财迷] [得意] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/218188470513848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":197074757394568,"gmtCreate":1689148875693,"gmtModify":1689148877129,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"哪里有老虎的API教程？python版本的，最好是视频版的。。。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"哪里有老虎的API教程？python版本的，最好是视频版的。。。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"哪里有老虎的API教程？python版本的，最好是视频版的。。。$标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197074757394568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":974,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":659346830,"gmtCreate":1679800422821,"gmtModify":1679802802704,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"那到底是哪里呢[财迷]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","listText":"那到底是哪里呢[财迷]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;[捂脸]&nbsp;","text":"那到底是哪里呢[财迷] [得意] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/659346830","repostId":"2321098115","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2321098115","pubTimestamp":1679668395,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2321098115?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-03-24 22:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"银行业危机： 下一张多米诺骨牌将倒向哪里？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321098115","media":"美股研究社","summary":"过去两周，危机突然升温，伴随着熊市，标准普尔500指数再次贬值，在本文中将主要关注银行系统和银行的崩溃。但银行在经济中扮演着重要角色，而陷入困境的银行可能会成为危机的负面催化剂。01概述基本上有两个主","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>过去两周，危机突然升温，伴随着熊市，标准普尔500指数再次贬值，在本文中将主要关注银行系统和银行的崩溃。但银行在经济中扮演着重要角色，而陷入困境的银行可能会成为危机的负面催化剂。</p><p>01</p><p>概述</p><p>基本上有两个主要的新闻报道。一方面，瑞士的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>集团正被瑞银集团超越;另一方面是美国的几家银行在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>等竞争对手的促进下倒闭，官方以及美联储介入。</p><p>让我们从瑞士信贷开始。这家瑞士银行陷入困境并不令人意外，因为有关该公司陷入困境的报道几个月前就已经有了。然而，最近几天，情况突然变得更加戏剧性。上周已经有报道称，瑞士国家银行和FINMA(瑞士金融监管机构)将为瑞士信贷提供500亿瑞士法郎的紧急贷款(如有必要)。在周末——这种事情总是在周末市场休市的时候发生——瑞银同意以32.5亿美元的价格收购瑞信，这个价格大约是其上次股价的一半，但远高于最初的10亿美元的报价，瑞信拒绝了这一报价。</p><p>但陷入困境的不仅仅是瑞士信贷——在前一周，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SIVB\">硅谷银行</a>倒闭，美国银行业危机达到了暂时的高潮。看到瑞士信贷陷入困境也许并不奇怪，因为有关该公司陷入困境的报道几个月前就已经发布了，但肯定没有人能预见到美国的银行倒闭(尽管银行倒闭是每次危机和熊市中可能发生的事件之一)。</p><p>就像在过去类似的情况下，我们看到了“经典”的反应。美联储的反应是通过使用银行定期融资计划(BTFP)为银行提供额外的流动性。在这种情况下出现的另一个经典模式是，官方公开宣布银行体系是多么强大和安全，人们不必担心。</p><p>上周周日珍妮特·耶伦、杰罗姆·鲍威尔和联邦存款保险公司主席马丁·格伦伯格已经通知公众，硅谷银行的储户将在周一获得他们所有的资金，此举也安抚了市场。在过去的危机中，我们已经看到了类似的举动。作为一个德国人，我尤其记得德国官方在2008年发表了类似的声明，并向德国公众保证，他们的存款是安全的，就像雷曼兄弟倒闭后的地狱一样。</p><p>尽管这些反应正在发挥其应有的作用——恢复人们对银行体系和金融市场的信心——但这些反应有时只是短期的，对即将发生的事情是一种警告信号。在运行良好的市场中，市场参与者对银行的前景或安全充满信心(甚至是欣快感)，这样的声明是不必要的。美联储不得不进行干预也不是一个好迹象，尽管这种干预有时会奏效——比如在2020年，当时提供了大量流动性。然而，在中期(也许是三年后)，向市场注入巨额资金的意外后果可能会显现出来(因为用这些钱进行投机导致了错误的决策、高风险的赌注，以及现在的违约和银行倒闭)。</p><p>02</p><p>问题：信任和信心</p><p>银行(以及类似机构)的一个巨大问题是信任和信心所扮演的角色——尤其是许多人(包括投资者)误解了信任和信心的重要性。虽然在人们是否会在银行存钱或取款的问题上，信任是至关重要的，但很难衡量信心。</p><p>这尤其成问题，因为情况可能在几天内发生变化:恐慌可能迅速蔓延到整个国家(或全世界)，上周信任银行的储户会突然感到恐慌，并试图提取资金。因此，仅仅看资产负债表是不够的，因为银行挤兑和人们失去信任会让许多银行崩溃。几家机构倒闭，几家主要新闻头条和国家电视台的报道可能足以引发恐慌。</p><p>最近的一项研究显示了美国银行系统的脆弱性，以及在银行挤兑的情况下，有多少银行会在技术上资不抵债。如果我们假设最坏的情况是100%的无保险存款被提取，那么超过1600家美国银行将倒闭(根据FDIC从2021年开始的数据，共有4237家银行)。但即使假设只有30%的无保险存款被提取，106家银行也会倒闭。</p><p>问题是，当客户(无论出于何种原因)失去信心并开始提现时，即使是资本充足的银行也可能突然面临重大麻烦。对于银行体系的大动荡，银行并不一定会完全崩溃。提取资金会更早地产生问题。</p><p>03</p><p>问题：不良资产</p><p>尽管银行挤兑时有发生，并可能迫使银行屈服(过去几十年确实发生过)，但这并不是银行倒闭的主要原因。由于银行挤兑而导致的银行倒闭在20世纪上半叶更为常见(尤其是在大萧条期间，数千家银行倒闭)，大萧条之后，人们建立了防止银行挤兑的系统。</p><p>如今，银行倒闭的原因通常是它们在错误的时间拥有不良资产或错误的资产(而且经常忽视或违反风险管理原则)。现在，随着过去几个季度利率的急剧上升，银行账簿上可能有错误的贷款。一些银行——尤其是欧洲的银行——可能在其投资组合中持有(接近于)零利率的政府债券，随着利率的提高，银行被迫向储户支付更高的利率，随着时间的推移，这将带来问题。</p><p>第二个典型问题是资产价格下跌，银行账面上有所谓的有毒资产。在金融大危机期间，正是次级抵押贷款(或基于次级抵押贷款的金融产品)——资产(或:贷款)变成了不良贷款，因为银行把钱借给了没有能力偿还抵押贷款的人。此外，资产可能完全被错误定价，价值正在下降——这通常发生在泡沫之后，因为银行可能在错误的时间购买股票(或其他交易资产)，价格超过了资产的内在价值。</p><p>04</p><p>复杂且相互关联的系统</p><p>到目前为止，我们孤立地研究了不同的风险。但这些事件很少单独发生。它们通常相互加强，连锁反应(或多米诺骨牌效应)可能很快在金融体系内发生，导致银行危机。世界银行写道:</p><blockquote>当一个国家的许多银行同时面临严重的偿付能力或流动性问题时，就会发生(系统性)银行危机——要么是因为所有银行都受到了相同的外部冲击，要么是因为一家银行或一组银行的倒闭蔓延到系统中的其他银行。更具体地说，系统性银行危机是指一个国家的企业和金融部门出现大量违约，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FISI\">金融机构</a>和企业难以按时偿还合同。</blockquote><p>一个国家的几家银行可能同时倒闭，因为它们都购买了类似的资产，而这些资产的价值最终远低于先前的估计，这似乎很明显，但银行倒闭在整个银行系统中的蔓延最初并不那么明显。当一家非金融企业倒闭时，对供应商和客户都会产生一些影响，供应链也会受到一定程度的干扰。但它不会像银行倒闭那样引发连锁反应。首先，被恐慌所取代的信任侵蚀将迅速蔓延至整个银行业。当一家(或几家)银行开始倒闭时，你会开始质疑自己的银行是否安全，并可能采取撤资行动。其次，由于银行之间相互放贷，购买其他银行发行的资产，银行之间存在着无数的联系，因此问题将迅速蔓延到整个银行系统。</p><p>银行系统、股票市场和经济都是复杂的非线性系统，数千个节点和环节交织在一个复杂的系统中，我不知道会发生什么，但我可以看到在一个复杂的非线性系统中会发生什么，知道会发生什么足以让我非常谨慎。有这么多悬而未决的问题，分析师仍然认为现在不是收购银行股的时候。</p><p>目前，尤其是小型地区性银行受到了沉重打击，在某些情况下，它们在很短的时间内损失了50%甚至更多的价值。</p><p>现在，有人可能会问，危机是否已经到了后期阶段，我们是否应该开始投资。说实话:没有!答案仍然是:还没有!尽管问题开始显现，但分析师认为我们还没有接近底部——无论是银行股还是整个股市。一些银行可能已经显得很便宜——尤其是规模较小的地区性银行。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f564a259d8bbaa50f3f576f3c367cc4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>虽然美国的一些银行——包括美国合众银行、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>和美国银行——下跌了20%甚至更多，但迄今为止，加拿大同行的表现要好一些。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5bb7c2b23c5266bcc582c6c903c23129\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"467\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Data by YCharts</p><p>05</p><p>结论</p><p>银行陷入困境，一些银行开始倒闭，这只是另一张多米诺骨牌的倒下，令人遗憾的是，这符合金融危机通常的发展模式。衰退并不总是与银行危机相伴，但银行倒闭从来不是一个好迹象。这只是收益率曲线反转或新住房许可证数量下降等早期预警信号之后的下一步。当然，我可能是错的，我们总是可以采取相反的观点(2023年2月住房许可证数量激增，这与危机的叙述不相符)。</p><p>我不知道我们是否会看到类似于2008年的危机，我也不知道同样被高估的房地产在这场危机中可能扮演什么角色。然而，到目前为止，许多迹象都暗示着金融和经济体系将面临严重衰退，我完全同意Ray Dalio的观点:</p><blockquote>我认为这是短期债务周期中非常经典的泡沫破裂部分的一个非常经典的事件（大约持续7年，或者大约3年），在这个过程中，紧缩货币以抑制信贷增长和通货膨胀，导致了自我强化的债务-信贷收缩，这种收缩过程通过多米诺骨牌一样的传染，持续到银行创造宽松的货币，否定了债务-信贷收缩、 从而产生更多新的信贷和债务，为下一个大的债务问题埋下种子，直到这些短期周期将债务资产和负债积累到不可持续的地步，整个事情在债务重组和债务货币化中崩溃（通常大约每75年发生一次，大约25年左右）。</blockquote></body></html>","source":"mgyjs","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>银行业危机： 下一张多米诺骨牌将倒向哪里？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n银行业危机： 下一张多米诺骨牌将倒向哪里？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-24 22:33 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI4Mzc0ODQxOQ==&mid=2247669896&idx=6&sn=5e015ae9a4750da0fd02e789112ea54f&chksm=eb89e9a4dcfe60b2e083378a0d7b531feac3fd7291bc62274e5ef00ef0efe9d24a8db1e2cf81#rd><strong>美股研究社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>过去两周，危机突然升温，伴随着熊市，标准普尔500指数再次贬值，在本文中将主要关注银行系统和银行的崩溃。但银行在经济中扮演着重要角色，而陷入困境的银行可能会成为危机的负面催化剂。01概述基本上有两个主要的新闻报道。一方面，瑞士的瑞士信贷集团正被瑞银集团超越;另一方面是美国的几家银行在摩根大通等竞争对手的促进下倒闭，官方以及美联储介入。让我们从瑞士信贷开始。这家瑞士银行陷入困境并不令人意外，因为有关...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI4Mzc0ODQxOQ==&mid=2247669896&idx=6&sn=5e015ae9a4750da0fd02e789112ea54f&chksm=eb89e9a4dcfe60b2e083378a0d7b531feac3fd7291bc62274e5ef00ef0efe9d24a8db1e2cf81#rd\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f410d25869e83895617f8fd0fb2de933","relate_stocks":{"LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout 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ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI4Mzc0ODQxOQ==&mid=2247669896&idx=6&sn=5e015ae9a4750da0fd02e789112ea54f&chksm=eb89e9a4dcfe60b2e083378a0d7b531feac3fd7291bc62274e5ef00ef0efe9d24a8db1e2cf81#rd","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321098115","content_text":"过去两周，危机突然升温，伴随着熊市，标准普尔500指数再次贬值，在本文中将主要关注银行系统和银行的崩溃。但银行在经济中扮演着重要角色，而陷入困境的银行可能会成为危机的负面催化剂。01概述基本上有两个主要的新闻报道。一方面，瑞士的瑞士信贷集团正被瑞银集团超越;另一方面是美国的几家银行在摩根大通等竞争对手的促进下倒闭，官方以及美联储介入。让我们从瑞士信贷开始。这家瑞士银行陷入困境并不令人意外，因为有关该公司陷入困境的报道几个月前就已经有了。然而，最近几天，情况突然变得更加戏剧性。上周已经有报道称，瑞士国家银行和FINMA(瑞士金融监管机构)将为瑞士信贷提供500亿瑞士法郎的紧急贷款(如有必要)。在周末——这种事情总是在周末市场休市的时候发生——瑞银同意以32.5亿美元的价格收购瑞信，这个价格大约是其上次股价的一半，但远高于最初的10亿美元的报价，瑞信拒绝了这一报价。但陷入困境的不仅仅是瑞士信贷——在前一周，硅谷银行倒闭，美国银行业危机达到了暂时的高潮。看到瑞士信贷陷入困境也许并不奇怪，因为有关该公司陷入困境的报道几个月前就已经发布了，但肯定没有人能预见到美国的银行倒闭(尽管银行倒闭是每次危机和熊市中可能发生的事件之一)。就像在过去类似的情况下，我们看到了“经典”的反应。美联储的反应是通过使用银行定期融资计划(BTFP)为银行提供额外的流动性。在这种情况下出现的另一个经典模式是，官方公开宣布银行体系是多么强大和安全，人们不必担心。上周周日珍妮特·耶伦、杰罗姆·鲍威尔和联邦存款保险公司主席马丁·格伦伯格已经通知公众，硅谷银行的储户将在周一获得他们所有的资金，此举也安抚了市场。在过去的危机中，我们已经看到了类似的举动。作为一个德国人，我尤其记得德国官方在2008年发表了类似的声明，并向德国公众保证，他们的存款是安全的，就像雷曼兄弟倒闭后的地狱一样。尽管这些反应正在发挥其应有的作用——恢复人们对银行体系和金融市场的信心——但这些反应有时只是短期的，对即将发生的事情是一种警告信号。在运行良好的市场中，市场参与者对银行的前景或安全充满信心(甚至是欣快感)，这样的声明是不必要的。美联储不得不进行干预也不是一个好迹象，尽管这种干预有时会奏效——比如在2020年，当时提供了大量流动性。然而，在中期(也许是三年后)，向市场注入巨额资金的意外后果可能会显现出来(因为用这些钱进行投机导致了错误的决策、高风险的赌注，以及现在的违约和银行倒闭)。02问题：信任和信心银行(以及类似机构)的一个巨大问题是信任和信心所扮演的角色——尤其是许多人(包括投资者)误解了信任和信心的重要性。虽然在人们是否会在银行存钱或取款的问题上，信任是至关重要的，但很难衡量信心。这尤其成问题，因为情况可能在几天内发生变化:恐慌可能迅速蔓延到整个国家(或全世界)，上周信任银行的储户会突然感到恐慌，并试图提取资金。因此，仅仅看资产负债表是不够的，因为银行挤兑和人们失去信任会让许多银行崩溃。几家机构倒闭，几家主要新闻头条和国家电视台的报道可能足以引发恐慌。最近的一项研究显示了美国银行系统的脆弱性，以及在银行挤兑的情况下，有多少银行会在技术上资不抵债。如果我们假设最坏的情况是100%的无保险存款被提取，那么超过1600家美国银行将倒闭(根据FDIC从2021年开始的数据，共有4237家银行)。但即使假设只有30%的无保险存款被提取，106家银行也会倒闭。问题是，当客户(无论出于何种原因)失去信心并开始提现时，即使是资本充足的银行也可能突然面临重大麻烦。对于银行体系的大动荡，银行并不一定会完全崩溃。提取资金会更早地产生问题。03问题：不良资产尽管银行挤兑时有发生，并可能迫使银行屈服(过去几十年确实发生过)，但这并不是银行倒闭的主要原因。由于银行挤兑而导致的银行倒闭在20世纪上半叶更为常见(尤其是在大萧条期间，数千家银行倒闭)，大萧条之后，人们建立了防止银行挤兑的系统。如今，银行倒闭的原因通常是它们在错误的时间拥有不良资产或错误的资产(而且经常忽视或违反风险管理原则)。现在，随着过去几个季度利率的急剧上升，银行账簿上可能有错误的贷款。一些银行——尤其是欧洲的银行——可能在其投资组合中持有(接近于)零利率的政府债券，随着利率的提高，银行被迫向储户支付更高的利率，随着时间的推移，这将带来问题。第二个典型问题是资产价格下跌，银行账面上有所谓的有毒资产。在金融大危机期间，正是次级抵押贷款(或基于次级抵押贷款的金融产品)——资产(或:贷款)变成了不良贷款，因为银行把钱借给了没有能力偿还抵押贷款的人。此外，资产可能完全被错误定价，价值正在下降——这通常发生在泡沫之后，因为银行可能在错误的时间购买股票(或其他交易资产)，价格超过了资产的内在价值。04复杂且相互关联的系统到目前为止，我们孤立地研究了不同的风险。但这些事件很少单独发生。它们通常相互加强，连锁反应(或多米诺骨牌效应)可能很快在金融体系内发生，导致银行危机。世界银行写道:当一个国家的许多银行同时面临严重的偿付能力或流动性问题时，就会发生(系统性)银行危机——要么是因为所有银行都受到了相同的外部冲击，要么是因为一家银行或一组银行的倒闭蔓延到系统中的其他银行。更具体地说，系统性银行危机是指一个国家的企业和金融部门出现大量违约，金融机构和企业难以按时偿还合同。一个国家的几家银行可能同时倒闭，因为它们都购买了类似的资产，而这些资产的价值最终远低于先前的估计，这似乎很明显，但银行倒闭在整个银行系统中的蔓延最初并不那么明显。当一家非金融企业倒闭时，对供应商和客户都会产生一些影响，供应链也会受到一定程度的干扰。但它不会像银行倒闭那样引发连锁反应。首先，被恐慌所取代的信任侵蚀将迅速蔓延至整个银行业。当一家(或几家)银行开始倒闭时，你会开始质疑自己的银行是否安全，并可能采取撤资行动。其次，由于银行之间相互放贷，购买其他银行发行的资产，银行之间存在着无数的联系，因此问题将迅速蔓延到整个银行系统。银行系统、股票市场和经济都是复杂的非线性系统，数千个节点和环节交织在一个复杂的系统中，我不知道会发生什么，但我可以看到在一个复杂的非线性系统中会发生什么，知道会发生什么足以让我非常谨慎。有这么多悬而未决的问题，分析师仍然认为现在不是收购银行股的时候。目前，尤其是小型地区性银行受到了沉重打击，在某些情况下，它们在很短的时间内损失了50%甚至更多的价值。现在，有人可能会问，危机是否已经到了后期阶段，我们是否应该开始投资。说实话:没有!答案仍然是:还没有!尽管问题开始显现，但分析师认为我们还没有接近底部——无论是银行股还是整个股市。一些银行可能已经显得很便宜——尤其是规模较小的地区性银行。Data by YCharts虽然美国的一些银行——包括美国合众银行、富国银行和美国银行——下跌了20%甚至更多，但迄今为止，加拿大同行的表现要好一些。Data by YCharts05结论银行陷入困境，一些银行开始倒闭，这只是另一张多米诺骨牌的倒下，令人遗憾的是，这符合金融危机通常的发展模式。衰退并不总是与银行危机相伴，但银行倒闭从来不是一个好迹象。这只是收益率曲线反转或新住房许可证数量下降等早期预警信号之后的下一步。当然，我可能是错的，我们总是可以采取相反的观点(2023年2月住房许可证数量激增，这与危机的叙述不相符)。我不知道我们是否会看到类似于2008年的危机，我也不知道同样被高估的房地产在这场危机中可能扮演什么角色。然而，到目前为止，许多迹象都暗示着金融和经济体系将面临严重衰退，我完全同意Ray Dalio的观点:我认为这是短期债务周期中非常经典的泡沫破裂部分的一个非常经典的事件（大约持续7年，或者大约3年），在这个过程中，紧缩货币以抑制信贷增长和通货膨胀，导致了自我强化的债务-信贷收缩，这种收缩过程通过多米诺骨牌一样的传染，持续到银行创造宽松的货币，否定了债务-信贷收缩、 从而产生更多新的信贷和债务，为下一个大的债务问题埋下种子，直到这些短期周期将债务资产和负债积累到不可持续的地步，整个事情在债务重组和债务货币化中崩溃（通常大约每75年发生一次，大约25年左右）。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":956,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":659346946,"gmtCreate":1679799612486,"gmtModify":1679799614897,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"谁是下一只暴涨或者暴跌的股票？不限港股美股。。。[财迷]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"谁是下一只暴涨或者暴跌的股票？不限港股美股。。。[财迷]&nbsp;[开心]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"谁是下一只暴涨或者暴跌的股票？不限港股美股。。。[财迷] [开心] [得意] $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $标普500(.SPX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/659346946","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":256641094066464,"gmtCreate":1703690131328,"gmtModify":1703692813059,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有没有哪些美股和港股的末日期权推荐下<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"有没有哪些美股和港股的末日期权推荐下<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"有没有哪些美股和港股的末日期权推荐下$标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/256641094066464","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1957,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4090818833057660","authorId":"4090818833057660","name":"Sodmos","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"可以找当日发布财报的股票，但好像企业一般会规避掉 [微笑] [微笑]","text":"可以找当日发布财报的股票，但好像企业一般会规避掉 [微笑] [微笑]","html":"可以找当日发布财报的股票，但好像企业一般会规避掉 [微笑] [微笑]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":255318292758824,"gmtCreate":1703344673967,"gmtModify":1703378945483,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美股和港股中有哪些期权适合做买方？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"美股和港股中有哪些期权适合做买方？ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"美股和港股中有哪些期权适合做买方？ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $标普500(.SPX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/255318292758824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4090818833057660","authorId":"4090818833057660","name":"Sodmos","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"之前的新东方可以，现在感觉高途可以","text":"之前的新东方可以，现在感觉高途可以","html":"之前的新东方可以，现在感觉高途可以"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":255306926632976,"gmtCreate":1703344281246,"gmtModify":1703378943403,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"港股美股中有哪些期权适合做卖方收取权利金<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"港股美股中有哪些期权适合做卖方收取权利金<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"港股美股中有哪些期权适合做卖方收取权利金$标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/255306926632976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2118,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4090818833057660","authorId":"4090818833057660","name":"Sodmos","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"我觉得是那些你想持有，且有比较好的分红，或潜在长期增长价值的股票。如果你觉得价格偏高，平时可以挂一个你认为合适价格的中等虚值的看跌期权(卖出)，波动到对应价位了就被动买入。2如果有突发事件，例如新东方小作文，出版署游戏充值等事件，就挂平值期权。是虽然这种策略收益虽不高，但可降低持仓成本 [暗中观察] [暗中观察]","text":"我觉得是那些你想持有，且有比较好的分红，或潜在长期增长价值的股票。如果你觉得价格偏高，平时可以挂一个你认为合适价格的中等虚值的看跌期权(卖出)，波动到对应价位了就被动买入。2如果有突发事件，例如新东方小作文，出版署游戏充值等事件，就挂平值期权。是虽然这种策略收益虽不高，但可降低持仓成本 [暗中观察] [暗中观察]","html":"我觉得是那些你想持有，且有比较好的分红，或潜在长期增长价值的股票。如果你觉得价格偏高，平时可以挂一个你认为合适价格的中等虚值的看跌期权(卖出)，波动到对应价位了就被动买入。2如果有突发事件，例如新东方小作文，出版署游戏充值等事件，就挂平值期权。是虽然这种策略收益虽不高，但可降低持仓成本 [暗中观察] [暗中观察]"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":944643433,"gmtCreate":1596974594522,"gmtModify":1704213996323,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 这个杠杆etf有哪些损耗？它的五股合一股对买家和卖家分别有什么影响？","listText":"$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 这个杠杆etf有哪些损耗？它的五股合一股对买家和卖家分别有什么影响？","text":"$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 这个杠杆etf有哪些损耗？它的五股合一股对买家和卖家分别有什么影响？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/944643433","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"95058438662333","authorId":"95058438662333","name":"B2cking","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/185bc4be1906e69a84512a5d1a1ac805","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"没损耗，反而节省手续费","text":"没损耗，反而节省手续费","html":"没损耗，反而节省手续费"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":611461151,"gmtCreate":1650593767787,"gmtModify":1650593767787,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这个期权怎么回事？才上市两天就到期了？期权是券商还是交易所创造的？<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>","listText":"这个期权怎么回事？才上市两天就到期了？期权是券商还是交易所创造的？<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a>","text":"这个期权怎么回事？才上市两天就到期了？期权是券商还是交易所创造的？$标普500(.SPX)$$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$道琼斯(.DJI)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/478d710a937441a5f8c8644cdfc5ad92","width":"1080","height":"2685"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/611461151","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1993,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":255628079472768,"gmtCreate":1703420171878,"gmtModify":1703420173302,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","listText":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","text":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/255628079472768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3470702584208421","authorId":"3470702584208421","name":"伍佑猴哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/231854f6aa06f0d76539a3a480da04bc","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","text":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。","html":"有没有拿到$888的？出来分享下哈。。。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":327103711,"gmtCreate":1616065989433,"gmtModify":1616065989433,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"长期持有纳斯达克三倍看涨ETF和标普500三倍看涨ETF可行么？持有他们的期权呢？<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPRO\">$三倍做多标普500ETF(UPRO)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UDOW\">$道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares(UDOW)$</a>","listText":"长期持有纳斯达克三倍看涨ETF和标普500三倍看涨ETF可行么？持有他们的期权呢？<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPRO\">$三倍做多标普500ETF(UPRO)$</a><a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"有没有安徽的炒美股的同学，交流下哈。。。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$&nbsp;</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"有没有安徽的炒美股的同学，交流下哈。。。$标普500(.SPX)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/236332618236024","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603286065,"gmtCreate":1638413689867,"gmtModify":1638413689867,"author":{"id":"3483248347836416","authorId":"3483248347836416","name":"睡着容易但是醒来真的好难","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75246272dd2466177c41a9d516235b79","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指ETF(QQQ)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIA\">$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$</a>好可惜啊啊啊啊啊啊！！！差了一分钱没买到！！！[捂脸]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[生气]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指ETF(QQQ)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIA\">$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$</a>好可惜啊啊啊啊啊啊！！！差了一分钱没买到！！！[捂脸]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[流泪]&nbsp;[财迷]&nbsp;[生气]&nbsp;","text":"$纳指ETF(QQQ)$$标普500ETF(SPY)$$道琼斯ETF(DIA)$好可惜啊啊啊啊啊啊！！！差了一分钱没买到！！！[捂脸] [笑哭] [流泪] [财迷] 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