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龙腾虎乐

龙腾虎乐

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06-26 00:54

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 崩盘在即[捂脸] [捂脸]

06-25 22:40

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 没啥利润💰纯信仰支撑不了投资回报[捂脸] [捂脸] 100以下[弱] [弱]

06-25 21:51

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 左脚踩右脚长不了[喷血] [喷血]

06-25 21:50

$甲骨文(ORCL)$ 算不过账了[捂脸] [捂脸] 继续跌📉

06-25

赶快加息[捂脸] [捂脸]

沃什重创"美元贬值交易"！黄金崩了，比特币重挫，芯片狂欢还能撑多久？

06-25

会不会是在2ns的基础上掏了几下[捂脸] [捂脸]

物理极限被打破！IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，半导体迈入“埃米时代”

06-25

牛逼克拉斯[捂脸] [捂脸] 有产品了可以买个尝尝咸淡[开心] [开心]

物理极限被打破！IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，半导体迈入“埃米时代”

06-23

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 很快就要破发了[捂脸] [捂脸]

06-19

$普拉格能源(PLUG)$ [开心] [开心]

06-18

本月底就破发了[捂脸] [捂脸] 很快

@与运气竞争:$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 预测会年末或明年初破发

06-12

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 跌的挺快[捂脸] [捂脸] 今晚破发[开心] [开心]

06-12

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 虎鲸入池万股崩[捂脸] [捂脸] 可参考当年中石油上市an

06-11

赔本儿赚吆喝[开心] [开心] 投资大还没啥利润💰

数据中心成本担忧加剧，甲骨文资本开支超预期，新财年计划融资翻倍至400亿美元

06-11

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 拉完了[捂脸] [捂脸]

06-07

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 送你一个字“桃”🍑[捂脸]

06-06

$甲骨文(ORCL)$ 爆了[捂脸] [捂脸]

06-06

$Space Exploration Technologies Corp(SPCX)$ 上市即破发[捂脸] [捂脸] sh

06-06

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ AI短期没戏了[捂脸] [捂脸] 跑吧[看跌] [看跌] [看跌]

06-06

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 这是为了欢迎spaceX上市吗[捂脸] [捂脸]

06-03

一群垃圾高管🐶

Form 4 | Oklo Inc. 联合创始人兼CEO Jacob DeWitte 通过本人及配偶信托合计减持200,000股普通股

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[弱]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/579044536607784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":265,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":579032285787672,"gmtCreate":1782395478762,"gmtModify":1782395823211,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3482550532367433","authorIdStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 左脚踩右脚长不了[喷血]&nbsp; [喷血]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 左脚踩右脚长不了[喷血]&nbsp; [喷血]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 左脚踩右脚长不了[喷血] [喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/579032285787672","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":579032144237744,"gmtCreate":1782395450218,"gmtModify":1782395815741,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3482550532367433","authorIdStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 算不过账了[捂脸]&nbsp; [捂脸]&nbsp; 继续跌📉","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 算不过账了[捂脸]&nbsp; [捂脸]&nbsp; 继续跌📉","text":"$甲骨文(ORCL)$ 算不过账了[捂脸] [捂脸] 继续跌📉","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/579032144237744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":578994768204080,"gmtCreate":1782386232014,"gmtModify":1782386689451,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3482550532367433","authorIdStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"赶快加息[捂脸]&nbsp; [捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"赶快加息[捂脸]&nbsp; [捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"赶快加息[捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/578994768204080","repostId":"2646219428","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2646219428","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1782366907,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2646219428?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-06-25 13:55","market":"nz","language":"zh","title":"沃什重创\"美元贬值交易\"！黄金崩了，比特币重挫，芯片狂欢还能撑多久？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2646219428","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美联储沃什强鹰首秀击溃“贬值交易”！强美元风暴下，金银与比特币惨遭血洗失守关键价位。与此同时，巨量出逃资金正疯狂涌入半导体板块，但这趟极端波动的芯片狂欢已频现“历史大顶”信号，警惕最后的疯狂。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美联储沃什强鹰首秀击溃“贬值交易”！强美元风暴下，金银与比特币惨遭血洗失守关键价位。与此同时，巨量出逃资金正疯狂涌入半导体板块，但这趟极端波动的芯片狂欢已频现“历史大顶”信号，警惕最后的疯狂。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">主导今年华尔街行情的&#34;美元贬值交易&#34;正急速瓦解。美联储主席凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）的鹰派立场强化了市场对加息的预期，叠加美元大幅走强形成双重压制，黄金、白银与比特币相继失守关键价位；与此同时，大量资金正从贵金属撤出转投半导体板块，而这场芯片狂欢的可持续性已引发市场越来越强烈的质疑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周三，黄金跌破每盎司4000美元，为约八个月来首次，距今年1月约5600美元的历史高点已下跌约29%；白银跌破每盎司60美元，较121美元的峰值回落逾50%；比特币同步跌破6万美元，为2024年底以来新低。美元指数（DXY）本月累计上涨2.8%，收于逾14个月高位，有望录得近一年最大月度涨幅。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75fc44f10839e426834158251b9b48bb\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"622\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">推动局面急转直下的关键节点，是沃什在主持美联储新闻发布会时将物价稳定置于压倒一切的优先位置，令市场进一步确信他将采取更为激进的抗通胀姿态。强势美元令以美元计价的贵金属对海外买家更显昂贵，而不断上升的加息预期直接抬高了持有不生息资产的机会成本。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光科技盘后发布超预期季报，暂时遏制了芯片板块的抛售情绪，SK海力士等韩国芯片股亦随之反弹。然而，多名市场人士警告，这场伴随极端波动的芯片行情已呈现出历史顶部的若干特征。</p><h2 id=\"7780c5c8\">沃什鹰派首秀：利率预期重构，贬值逻辑遭瓦解</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#34;美元贬值交易&#34;的逻辑建立于对财政挥霍和央行纵容通胀的担忧之上，近年来持续推动黄金、白银与比特币上行。今年1月沃什被提名为美联储主席，当日黄金即急跌逾13%，创四十余年来最大单日跌幅，比特币随后崩溃，<strong>而美元在经历长期下行后触底反弹——市场以价格投票，表明沃什的鹰派信誉从一开始就被认真对待。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">布鲁金斯学会（Brookings Institution）的Robin Brooks认为，<strong>贬值交易的根源在于财政政策失当，货币政策不过是&#34;帮凶&#34;：当政策制定者试图以通胀稀释难以为继的债务时，才不得不开动印钞机。这一框架解释了为何市场对美联储人选如此敏感，也解释了沃什在首次新闻发布会上强调物价稳定为何足以引发如此剧烈的资产重定价。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SPI资产管理公司执行合伙人Stephen Innes表示，沃什的首次公开亮相已令市场相信他正在采取更为强硬的抗通胀路线。以黄金计价的标普500指数——衡量经济增长究竟源于实质扩张还是货币贬值的经典指标——在三个月前便已显著向上逆转，显示市场对贬值叙事的信心已然崩解。值得注意的是，中东停火协议的达成也为美元提供了额外推力。</p><h2 id=\"e09c48bc\">黄金白银深度回调，关键支撑位与买入窗口浮现</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本轮贵金属跌势，是今年初历史性行情的戏剧性逆转。今年早些时候，黄金一度飙升至约每盎司5600美元的纪录高位，白银突破121美元，两者的涨势甚至超越&#34;科技七巨头&#34;，成为华尔街最拥挤的动量交易。如今，这一盛景已成过去。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Amplify ETFs产品开发副总裁Nate Miller指出，收益率和美元双双走强提高了持有金属的机会成本；而白银由于同时兼具贵金属与工业原材料的双重属性，在宏观收紧时期的跌幅往往比黄金更为剧烈——这正是本轮白银跌速如此之猛的原因。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IDX Advisors首席投资官Ben McMillan认为，加息预期与流动性清仓是黄金大跌的&#34;主要元凶&#34;，但他同时将当前回调视为&#34;代际买入机会&#34;。Zaner Metals副总裁、高级贵金属策略师Peter Grant预计，黄金下一个关键支撑位在每盎司3800美元，年内有望反弹至4500美元；但若要重建市场对黄金刷新历史高点的信心，则需重回4800美元上方。</p><h2 id=\"f4c2330\">美元走强与比特币承压：负相关关系主导加密走势</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">比特币跌破6万美元，与美元指数触及逾14个月新高之间的反向走势，再度印证了两者之间的长期负相关逻辑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">渣打银行策略师Steven Englander指出，实际与名义利率差异已成为5月初以来美元走强的主要驱动力，预计美联储将维持利率不变，而欧洲央行在明年上半年仍有一次降息空间，美欧利差将持续支撑美元，令比特币面临持续性逆风。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">StoneX Financial的Vincent Deluard警告，中东停火虽缓解了油价冲击，但通胀不会顺利回归2%目标，而将在3.5%至4%区间长期高位盘整。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Apollo Global首席经济学家Torsten Slok则提出了一个反直觉的情景：油价下跌可能相当于一次减税，进一步刺激本已过热的总需求，反而推升通胀，为美联储加息提供依据——该路径一旦成真，将令贬值交易进一步承压。</p><h2 id=\"fa6a08dc\">资金换仓半导体，芯片股接棒成动量新宠</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Nationwide投资管理集团首席市场策略师Mark Hackett指出，一批规模庞大且高度协调的资金，正将大额头寸从加密货币、迷因股和贵金属集体迁移至半导体股，三星电子和SK海力士等韩国芯片制造商已成为本轮换仓的主要目的地。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他对MarketWatch表示，美元走强是贵金属抛售的导火索，而美联储政策预期变化是美元走强的根本原因。&#34;但这几乎是被当作借口，让投资者集体清仓贵金属，&#34;他说。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光科技盘后季报打消了芯片板块的短期抛售压力：公司营收指引超出预期，盈利亦大幅好于预期，其12个月滚动盈利在两个季度内翻了四倍，盘后市值重返约1.4万亿美元。此前因宣布将集中生产低利润率DRAM内存芯片而引发抛售的SK海力士，也随之获得提振——尽管该公司同日披露了高达290亿美元的美国股票发行计划。</p><h2 id=\"6b5648a1\">芯片行情顶部信号浮现，防御布局渐成共识</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而，极端波动本身已是警示信号。Bear Traps Report的Larry McDonald指出，半导体股在数小时内市值波动超千亿美元的情形极为罕见，历史上通常只出现在市场重大顶部或底部附近。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">BCA Research建议结束今年以来已累计翻逾一倍的多头策略——即做多新兴市场半导体、做空为其买单的&#34;科技七巨头&#34;超大规模云计算企业。BCA指出，韩国综合股价指数（Kospi）一个月隐含波动率已超越历史峰值，而历史上这一水平往往出现于&#34;股市熊市底部而非历史高点&#34;，显示当前行情是由&#34;高度投机性力量放大驱动&#34;的顶部特征。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">McDonald还警告，月末、季末叠加美国长假周末临近，历史上此类时间节点往往伴随大规模资金换仓与夏季行情低迷；密集的新股发行将消耗市场承接流动性的能力，而内部人士的大规模减持往往是顶部将至的前兆。对于仍持有芯片多头头寸的投资者，美光科技盘后走强或许提供了一个相对较好的高位退出时机。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>沃什重创\"美元贬值交易\"！黄金崩了，比特币重挫，芯片狂欢还能撑多久？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n沃什重创\"美元贬值交易\"！黄金崩了，比特币重挫，芯片狂欢还能撑多久？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-25 13:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美联储沃什强鹰首秀击溃“贬值交易”！强美元风暴下，金银与比特币惨遭血洗失守关键价位。与此同时，巨量出逃资金正疯狂涌入半导体板块，但这趟极端波动的芯片狂欢已频现“历史大顶”信号，警惕最后的疯狂。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">主导今年华尔街行情的&#34;美元贬值交易&#34;正急速瓦解。美联储主席凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）的鹰派立场强化了市场对加息的预期，叠加美元大幅走强形成双重压制，黄金、白银与比特币相继失守关键价位；与此同时，大量资金正从贵金属撤出转投半导体板块，而这场芯片狂欢的可持续性已引发市场越来越强烈的质疑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本周三，黄金跌破每盎司4000美元，为约八个月来首次，距今年1月约5600美元的历史高点已下跌约29%；白银跌破每盎司60美元，较121美元的峰值回落逾50%；比特币同步跌破6万美元，为2024年底以来新低。美元指数（DXY）本月累计上涨2.8%，收于逾14个月高位，有望录得近一年最大月度涨幅。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75fc44f10839e426834158251b9b48bb\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"622\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">推动局面急转直下的关键节点，是沃什在主持美联储新闻发布会时将物价稳定置于压倒一切的优先位置，令市场进一步确信他将采取更为激进的抗通胀姿态。强势美元令以美元计价的贵金属对海外买家更显昂贵，而不断上升的加息预期直接抬高了持有不生息资产的机会成本。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光科技盘后发布超预期季报，暂时遏制了芯片板块的抛售情绪，SK海力士等韩国芯片股亦随之反弹。然而，多名市场人士警告，这场伴随极端波动的芯片行情已呈现出历史顶部的若干特征。</p><h2 id=\"7780c5c8\">沃什鹰派首秀：利率预期重构，贬值逻辑遭瓦解</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#34;美元贬值交易&#34;的逻辑建立于对财政挥霍和央行纵容通胀的担忧之上，近年来持续推动黄金、白银与比特币上行。今年1月沃什被提名为美联储主席，当日黄金即急跌逾13%，创四十余年来最大单日跌幅，比特币随后崩溃，<strong>而美元在经历长期下行后触底反弹——市场以价格投票，表明沃什的鹰派信誉从一开始就被认真对待。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">布鲁金斯学会（Brookings Institution）的Robin Brooks认为，<strong>贬值交易的根源在于财政政策失当，货币政策不过是&#34;帮凶&#34;：当政策制定者试图以通胀稀释难以为继的债务时，才不得不开动印钞机。这一框架解释了为何市场对美联储人选如此敏感，也解释了沃什在首次新闻发布会上强调物价稳定为何足以引发如此剧烈的资产重定价。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">SPI资产管理公司执行合伙人Stephen Innes表示，沃什的首次公开亮相已令市场相信他正在采取更为强硬的抗通胀路线。以黄金计价的标普500指数——衡量经济增长究竟源于实质扩张还是货币贬值的经典指标——在三个月前便已显著向上逆转，显示市场对贬值叙事的信心已然崩解。值得注意的是，中东停火协议的达成也为美元提供了额外推力。</p><h2 id=\"e09c48bc\">黄金白银深度回调，关键支撑位与买入窗口浮现</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">本轮贵金属跌势，是今年初历史性行情的戏剧性逆转。今年早些时候，黄金一度飙升至约每盎司5600美元的纪录高位，白银突破121美元，两者的涨势甚至超越&#34;科技七巨头&#34;，成为华尔街最拥挤的动量交易。如今，这一盛景已成过去。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Amplify ETFs产品开发副总裁Nate Miller指出，收益率和美元双双走强提高了持有金属的机会成本；而白银由于同时兼具贵金属与工业原材料的双重属性，在宏观收紧时期的跌幅往往比黄金更为剧烈——这正是本轮白银跌速如此之猛的原因。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IDX Advisors首席投资官Ben McMillan认为，加息预期与流动性清仓是黄金大跌的&#34;主要元凶&#34;，但他同时将当前回调视为&#34;代际买入机会&#34;。Zaner Metals副总裁、高级贵金属策略师Peter Grant预计，黄金下一个关键支撑位在每盎司3800美元，年内有望反弹至4500美元；但若要重建市场对黄金刷新历史高点的信心，则需重回4800美元上方。</p><h2 id=\"f4c2330\">美元走强与比特币承压：负相关关系主导加密走势</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">比特币跌破6万美元，与美元指数触及逾14个月新高之间的反向走势，再度印证了两者之间的长期负相关逻辑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">渣打银行策略师Steven Englander指出，实际与名义利率差异已成为5月初以来美元走强的主要驱动力，预计美联储将维持利率不变，而欧洲央行在明年上半年仍有一次降息空间，美欧利差将持续支撑美元，令比特币面临持续性逆风。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">StoneX Financial的Vincent Deluard警告，中东停火虽缓解了油价冲击，但通胀不会顺利回归2%目标，而将在3.5%至4%区间长期高位盘整。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Apollo Global首席经济学家Torsten Slok则提出了一个反直觉的情景：油价下跌可能相当于一次减税，进一步刺激本已过热的总需求，反而推升通胀，为美联储加息提供依据——该路径一旦成真，将令贬值交易进一步承压。</p><h2 id=\"fa6a08dc\">资金换仓半导体，芯片股接棒成动量新宠</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Nationwide投资管理集团首席市场策略师Mark Hackett指出，一批规模庞大且高度协调的资金，正将大额头寸从加密货币、迷因股和贵金属集体迁移至半导体股，三星电子和SK海力士等韩国芯片制造商已成为本轮换仓的主要目的地。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他对MarketWatch表示，美元走强是贵金属抛售的导火索，而美联储政策预期变化是美元走强的根本原因。&#34;但这几乎是被当作借口，让投资者集体清仓贵金属，&#34;他说。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光科技盘后季报打消了芯片板块的短期抛售压力：公司营收指引超出预期，盈利亦大幅好于预期，其12个月滚动盈利在两个季度内翻了四倍，盘后市值重返约1.4万亿美元。此前因宣布将集中生产低利润率DRAM内存芯片而引发抛售的SK海力士，也随之获得提振——尽管该公司同日披露了高达290亿美元的美国股票发行计划。</p><h2 id=\"6b5648a1\">芯片行情顶部信号浮现，防御布局渐成共识</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而，极端波动本身已是警示信号。Bear Traps Report的Larry McDonald指出，半导体股在数小时内市值波动超千亿美元的情形极为罕见，历史上通常只出现在市场重大顶部或底部附近。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">BCA Research建议结束今年以来已累计翻逾一倍的多头策略——即做多新兴市场半导体、做空为其买单的&#34;科技七巨头&#34;超大规模云计算企业。BCA指出，韩国综合股价指数（Kospi）一个月隐含波动率已超越历史峰值，而历史上这一水平往往出现于&#34;股市熊市底部而非历史高点&#34;，显示当前行情是由&#34;高度投机性力量放大驱动&#34;的顶部特征。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">McDonald还警告，月末、季末叠加美国长假周末临近，历史上此类时间节点往往伴随大规模资金换仓与夏季行情低迷；密集的新股发行将消耗市场承接流动性的能力，而内部人士的大规模减持往往是顶部将至的前兆。对于仍持有芯片多头头寸的投资者，美光科技盘后走强或许提供了一个相对较好的高位退出时机。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38b14d4c1528b585f44d427c7a09d860","relate_stocks":{"SOX":"费城半导体指数","SOXL":"三倍做多半导体ETF-Direxion Daily"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3775489","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2646219428","content_text":"美联储沃什强鹰首秀击溃“贬值交易”！强美元风暴下，金银与比特币惨遭血洗失守关键价位。与此同时，巨量出逃资金正疯狂涌入半导体板块，但这趟极端波动的芯片狂欢已频现“历史大顶”信号，警惕最后的疯狂。主导今年华尔街行情的\"美元贬值交易\"正急速瓦解。美联储主席凯文·沃什（Kevin Warsh）的鹰派立场强化了市场对加息的预期，叠加美元大幅走强形成双重压制，黄金、白银与比特币相继失守关键价位；与此同时，大量资金正从贵金属撤出转投半导体板块，而这场芯片狂欢的可持续性已引发市场越来越强烈的质疑。本周三，黄金跌破每盎司4000美元，为约八个月来首次，距今年1月约5600美元的历史高点已下跌约29%；白银跌破每盎司60美元，较121美元的峰值回落逾50%；比特币同步跌破6万美元，为2024年底以来新低。美元指数（DXY）本月累计上涨2.8%，收于逾14个月高位，有望录得近一年最大月度涨幅。推动局面急转直下的关键节点，是沃什在主持美联储新闻发布会时将物价稳定置于压倒一切的优先位置，令市场进一步确信他将采取更为激进的抗通胀姿态。强势美元令以美元计价的贵金属对海外买家更显昂贵，而不断上升的加息预期直接抬高了持有不生息资产的机会成本。美光科技盘后发布超预期季报，暂时遏制了芯片板块的抛售情绪，SK海力士等韩国芯片股亦随之反弹。然而，多名市场人士警告，这场伴随极端波动的芯片行情已呈现出历史顶部的若干特征。沃什鹰派首秀：利率预期重构，贬值逻辑遭瓦解\"美元贬值交易\"的逻辑建立于对财政挥霍和央行纵容通胀的担忧之上，近年来持续推动黄金、白银与比特币上行。今年1月沃什被提名为美联储主席，当日黄金即急跌逾13%，创四十余年来最大单日跌幅，比特币随后崩溃，而美元在经历长期下行后触底反弹——市场以价格投票，表明沃什的鹰派信誉从一开始就被认真对待。布鲁金斯学会（Brookings Institution）的Robin Brooks认为，贬值交易的根源在于财政政策失当，货币政策不过是\"帮凶\"：当政策制定者试图以通胀稀释难以为继的债务时，才不得不开动印钞机。这一框架解释了为何市场对美联储人选如此敏感，也解释了沃什在首次新闻发布会上强调物价稳定为何足以引发如此剧烈的资产重定价。SPI资产管理公司执行合伙人Stephen Innes表示，沃什的首次公开亮相已令市场相信他正在采取更为强硬的抗通胀路线。以黄金计价的标普500指数——衡量经济增长究竟源于实质扩张还是货币贬值的经典指标——在三个月前便已显著向上逆转，显示市场对贬值叙事的信心已然崩解。值得注意的是，中东停火协议的达成也为美元提供了额外推力。黄金白银深度回调，关键支撑位与买入窗口浮现本轮贵金属跌势，是今年初历史性行情的戏剧性逆转。今年早些时候，黄金一度飙升至约每盎司5600美元的纪录高位，白银突破121美元，两者的涨势甚至超越\"科技七巨头\"，成为华尔街最拥挤的动量交易。如今，这一盛景已成过去。Amplify ETFs产品开发副总裁Nate Miller指出，收益率和美元双双走强提高了持有金属的机会成本；而白银由于同时兼具贵金属与工业原材料的双重属性，在宏观收紧时期的跌幅往往比黄金更为剧烈——这正是本轮白银跌速如此之猛的原因。IDX Advisors首席投资官Ben McMillan认为，加息预期与流动性清仓是黄金大跌的\"主要元凶\"，但他同时将当前回调视为\"代际买入机会\"。Zaner Metals副总裁、高级贵金属策略师Peter Grant预计，黄金下一个关键支撑位在每盎司3800美元，年内有望反弹至4500美元；但若要重建市场对黄金刷新历史高点的信心，则需重回4800美元上方。美元走强与比特币承压：负相关关系主导加密走势比特币跌破6万美元，与美元指数触及逾14个月新高之间的反向走势，再度印证了两者之间的长期负相关逻辑。渣打银行策略师Steven Englander指出，实际与名义利率差异已成为5月初以来美元走强的主要驱动力，预计美联储将维持利率不变，而欧洲央行在明年上半年仍有一次降息空间，美欧利差将持续支撑美元，令比特币面临持续性逆风。StoneX Financial的Vincent Deluard警告，中东停火虽缓解了油价冲击，但通胀不会顺利回归2%目标，而将在3.5%至4%区间长期高位盘整。Apollo Global首席经济学家Torsten Slok则提出了一个反直觉的情景：油价下跌可能相当于一次减税，进一步刺激本已过热的总需求，反而推升通胀，为美联储加息提供依据——该路径一旦成真，将令贬值交易进一步承压。资金换仓半导体，芯片股接棒成动量新宠Nationwide投资管理集团首席市场策略师Mark Hackett指出，一批规模庞大且高度协调的资金，正将大额头寸从加密货币、迷因股和贵金属集体迁移至半导体股，三星电子和SK海力士等韩国芯片制造商已成为本轮换仓的主要目的地。他对MarketWatch表示，美元走强是贵金属抛售的导火索，而美联储政策预期变化是美元走强的根本原因。\"但这几乎是被当作借口，让投资者集体清仓贵金属，\"他说。美光科技盘后季报打消了芯片板块的短期抛售压力：公司营收指引超出预期，盈利亦大幅好于预期，其12个月滚动盈利在两个季度内翻了四倍，盘后市值重返约1.4万亿美元。此前因宣布将集中生产低利润率DRAM内存芯片而引发抛售的SK海力士，也随之获得提振——尽管该公司同日披露了高达290亿美元的美国股票发行计划。芯片行情顶部信号浮现，防御布局渐成共识然而，极端波动本身已是警示信号。Bear Traps Report的Larry McDonald指出，半导体股在数小时内市值波动超千亿美元的情形极为罕见，历史上通常只出现在市场重大顶部或底部附近。BCA Research建议结束今年以来已累计翻逾一倍的多头策略——即做多新兴市场半导体、做空为其买单的\"科技七巨头\"超大规模云计算企业。BCA指出，韩国综合股价指数（Kospi）一个月隐含波动率已超越历史峰值，而历史上这一水平往往出现于\"股市熊市底部而非历史高点\"，显示当前行情是由\"高度投机性力量放大驱动\"的顶部特征。McDonald还警告，月末、季末叠加美国长假周末临近，历史上此类时间节点往往伴随大规模资金换仓与夏季行情低迷；密集的新股发行将消耗市场承接流动性的能力，而内部人士的大规模减持往往是顶部将至的前兆。对于仍持有芯片多头头寸的投资者，美光科技盘后走强或许提供了一个相对较好的高位退出时机。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SOX":2,"SOXL":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":11,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":578994627498632,"gmtCreate":1782386201475,"gmtModify":1782386684726,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3482550532367433","authorIdStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"会不会是在2ns的基础上掏了几下[捂脸]&nbsp; [捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"会不会是在2ns的基础上掏了几下[捂脸]&nbsp; [捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"会不会是在2ns的基础上掏了几下[捂脸] [捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/578994627498632","repostId":"1190219064","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1190219064","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1782383673,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190219064?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-06-25 18:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"物理极限被打破！IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，半导体迈入“埃米时代”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190219064","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，采用三维纳米堆叠架构，实现亚1纳米原子级突破。新芯片晶体管密度倍增，相较2nm节点可提升50%性能或70%能效，预计最快5年内量产。此外，IBM正推进High NA EUV工艺，并计划成立全球首家纯量子晶圆代工厂Anderon。IBM美股盘前涨超6%。\n","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">IBM宣布在芯片研发领域取得里程碑式突破，推出全球首款亚1纳米（nm）芯片技术，采用革命性三维&#34;纳米堆叠&#34;（nanostack）架构，将晶体管节点推进至0.7纳米即7埃量级。这一成就标志着半导体行业正式突破纳米尺度极限，迈入原子级缩放新纪元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>新芯片可在指甲盖大小的面积上集成近1000亿个晶体管，密度约为IBM 2021年发布的2纳米芯片的两倍。</strong>据IBM公布的技术结果预测，相较2nm节点芯片，新芯片最高可实现50%的性能提升，或高达70%的能效改善，目标应用覆盖生成式AI、云基础设施及下一代电子设备。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM研究院院长、IBM Fellow Jay Gambetta表示，此次突破将技术推进至原子尺度，&#34;我们不只是在缩小晶体管，而是从根本上重新定义芯片的构建方式，以实现更强的算力与能效，为下一个计算时代奠定基础。&#34;IBM预计，纳米堆叠技术最早可在5年内进入量产阶段，并支撑至少十年的持续缩放路线图。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">相关研究成果于6月25日正式发布，部分内容同步呈现于VLSI 2026大会。对于面临传统制程物理瓶颈的半导体行业而言，此举提供了延续性能跃升的新路径，对生成式AI算力、云计算基础设施及下一代电子设备的性能与能效提升具有直接意义。美股盘前，IBM一度涨超6%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f6b941fd8997ca9f70847fac404a651b\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"911\" tg-height=\"592\"/><span></span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>纳米堆叠：重构芯片的三维架构突破</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">nanostack是IBM研究人员开发的全新晶体管架构，也是业界已知的首个三维纳米片堆叠设计，代表了对当前业界前沿纳米片（nanosheet）技术的重大跨越——而nanosheet技术本身亦由IBM发明。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">该架构利用三维顺序集成，将晶体管垂直堆叠并交错排列，使单位面积内可容纳更多晶体管。与此同时，nanostack允许在各堆叠层采用不同材料组合，使每个晶体管的性能与功耗可独立优化，突破了传统平面架构的设计限制。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM已通过超薄介电键合在CMOS集成中完成实验验证，并展示了双通道工程能力及具备预期开关性能的CMOS反相器功能运作，证实该技术可实际制造并支持真实计算。在VLSI 2026大会发布的新研究中，IBM研究人员还展示了nanostack架构可实现SRAM 40%的面积缩放，在提升能效的同时满足先进AI工作负载的高带宽数据需求。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>性能跃升：为AI与云基础设施提供算力支撑</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据IBM公布的技术结果，<strong>0.7nm芯片预计相较2nm节点可提供最高50%的性能提升，或高达70%的能效改善，可根据不同应用目标灵活取舍。</strong>这一性能跃幅将为生成式AI、云基础设施及下一代电子设备提供显著更强的算力支撑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM将逻辑技术首次延伸至1nm节点以下定义为进入&#34;埃米级缩放&#34;时代，即芯片尺寸接近单个原子的量级。尽管晶体管节点如今已更多指代一代制造工艺而非精确物理尺寸，IBM的0.7nm技术仍通过nanostack架构证明，持续缩放在物理层面仍具可行性。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>合作网络与量产时间表</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM的半导体研发依托位于纽约州奥尔巴尼市的领先半导体研究设施推进，该设施即将引入由ASML研发的高数值孔径极紫外（High NA EUV）光刻设备，这是未来逻辑缩放的核心工具。IBM已与Lam Research Corp.、Tokyo Electron（TEL）及SCREEN Semiconductor Solutions, Ltd.展开合作，共同推进High NA EUV工艺与设备开发，相关工作已产出可运行器件。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM预计，纳米堆叠技术最早可在未来5年内进入量产阶段，为芯片制造商提供可实际部署的亚1纳米制程选项，并为行业提供至少十年的持续缩放路径。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>量子晶圆代工同步布局</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在芯片制程突破之外，IBM还宣布计划成立Anderon——定位为全球首家纯量子晶圆代工厂。Anderon将作为IBM的独立子公司运营，整合IBM在量子计算与半导体制造领域的核心专业技术，旨在助力美国确立全球量子晶圆制造的主导地位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此举与IBM在先进逻辑制程上的持续投入形成互补，体现了公司在传统高性能芯片与量子计算两条技术路线上同步推进的战略布局。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1762389672944","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>物理极限被打破！IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，半导体迈入“埃米时代”</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n物理极限被打破！IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，半导体迈入“埃米时代”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-06-25 18:34 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3775516><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IBM宣布在芯片研发领域取得里程碑式突破，推出全球首款亚1纳米（nm）芯片技术，采用革命性三维\"纳米堆叠\"（nanostack）架构，将晶体管节点推进至0.7纳米即7埃量级。这一成就标志着半导体行业正式突破纳米尺度极限，迈入原子级缩放新纪元。新芯片可在指甲盖大小的面积上集成近1000亿个晶体管，密度约为IBM 2021年发布的2纳米芯片的两倍。据IBM公布的技术结果预测，相较2nm节点芯片，新芯片...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3775516\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfb374ec7d9623a6ea5e4da3dab826e5","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3775516","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190219064","content_text":"IBM宣布在芯片研发领域取得里程碑式突破，推出全球首款亚1纳米（nm）芯片技术，采用革命性三维\"纳米堆叠\"（nanostack）架构，将晶体管节点推进至0.7纳米即7埃量级。这一成就标志着半导体行业正式突破纳米尺度极限，迈入原子级缩放新纪元。新芯片可在指甲盖大小的面积上集成近1000亿个晶体管，密度约为IBM 2021年发布的2纳米芯片的两倍。据IBM公布的技术结果预测，相较2nm节点芯片，新芯片最高可实现50%的性能提升，或高达70%的能效改善，目标应用覆盖生成式AI、云基础设施及下一代电子设备。IBM研究院院长、IBM Fellow Jay Gambetta表示，此次突破将技术推进至原子尺度，\"我们不只是在缩小晶体管，而是从根本上重新定义芯片的构建方式，以实现更强的算力与能效，为下一个计算时代奠定基础。\"IBM预计，纳米堆叠技术最早可在5年内进入量产阶段，并支撑至少十年的持续缩放路线图。相关研究成果于6月25日正式发布，部分内容同步呈现于VLSI 2026大会。对于面临传统制程物理瓶颈的半导体行业而言，此举提供了延续性能跃升的新路径，对生成式AI算力、云计算基础设施及下一代电子设备的性能与能效提升具有直接意义。美股盘前，IBM一度涨超6%。纳米堆叠：重构芯片的三维架构突破nanostack是IBM研究人员开发的全新晶体管架构，也是业界已知的首个三维纳米片堆叠设计，代表了对当前业界前沿纳米片（nanosheet）技术的重大跨越——而nanosheet技术本身亦由IBM发明。该架构利用三维顺序集成，将晶体管垂直堆叠并交错排列，使单位面积内可容纳更多晶体管。与此同时，nanostack允许在各堆叠层采用不同材料组合，使每个晶体管的性能与功耗可独立优化，突破了传统平面架构的设计限制。IBM已通过超薄介电键合在CMOS集成中完成实验验证，并展示了双通道工程能力及具备预期开关性能的CMOS反相器功能运作，证实该技术可实际制造并支持真实计算。在VLSI 2026大会发布的新研究中，IBM研究人员还展示了nanostack架构可实现SRAM 40%的面积缩放，在提升能效的同时满足先进AI工作负载的高带宽数据需求。性能跃升：为AI与云基础设施提供算力支撑据IBM公布的技术结果，0.7nm芯片预计相较2nm节点可提供最高50%的性能提升，或高达70%的能效改善，可根据不同应用目标灵活取舍。这一性能跃幅将为生成式AI、云基础设施及下一代电子设备提供显著更强的算力支撑。IBM将逻辑技术首次延伸至1nm节点以下定义为进入\"埃米级缩放\"时代，即芯片尺寸接近单个原子的量级。尽管晶体管节点如今已更多指代一代制造工艺而非精确物理尺寸，IBM的0.7nm技术仍通过nanostack架构证明，持续缩放在物理层面仍具可行性。合作网络与量产时间表IBM的半导体研发依托位于纽约州奥尔巴尼市的领先半导体研究设施推进，该设施即将引入由ASML研发的高数值孔径极紫外（High NA EUV）光刻设备，这是未来逻辑缩放的核心工具。IBM已与Lam Research Corp.、Tokyo Electron（TEL）及SCREEN Semiconductor Solutions, Ltd.展开合作，共同推进High NA EUV工艺与设备开发，相关工作已产出可运行器件。IBM预计，纳米堆叠技术最早可在未来5年内进入量产阶段，为芯片制造商提供可实际部署的亚1纳米制程选项，并为行业提供至少十年的持续缩放路径。量子晶圆代工同步布局在芯片制程突破之外，IBM还宣布计划成立Anderon——定位为全球首家纯量子晶圆代工厂。Anderon将作为IBM的独立子公司运营，整合IBM在量子计算与半导体制造领域的核心专业技术，旨在助力美国确立全球量子晶圆制造的主导地位。此举与IBM在先进逻辑制程上的持续投入形成互补，体现了公司在传统高性能芯片与量子计算两条技术路线上同步推进的战略布局。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"IBM":2}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":578993853612576,"gmtCreate":1782386011170,"gmtModify":1782386615154,"author":{"id":"3482550532367433","authorId":"3482550532367433","name":"龙腾虎乐","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/1530cc5cd548815469551d0b8c1c8ee8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3482550532367433","authorIdStr":"3482550532367433"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"牛逼克拉斯[捂脸]&nbsp; [捂脸]&nbsp; 有产品了可以买个尝尝咸淡[开心]&nbsp; [开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"牛逼克拉斯[捂脸]&nbsp; [捂脸]&nbsp; 有产品了可以买个尝尝咸淡[开心]&nbsp; [开心]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"牛逼克拉斯[捂脸] [捂脸] 有产品了可以买个尝尝咸淡[开心] [开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/578993853612576","repostId":"1190219064","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1190219064","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1782383673,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1190219064?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-06-25 18:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"物理极限被打破！IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，半导体迈入“埃米时代”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1190219064","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，采用三维纳米堆叠架构，实现亚1纳米原子级突破。新芯片晶体管密度倍增，相较2nm节点可提升50%性能或70%能效，预计最快5年内量产。此外，IBM正推进High NA EUV工艺，并计划成立全球首家纯量子晶圆代工厂Anderon。IBM美股盘前涨超6%。\n","content":"<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">IBM宣布在芯片研发领域取得里程碑式突破，推出全球首款亚1纳米（nm）芯片技术，采用革命性三维&#34;纳米堆叠&#34;（nanostack）架构，将晶体管节点推进至0.7纳米即7埃量级。这一成就标志着半导体行业正式突破纳米尺度极限，迈入原子级缩放新纪元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>新芯片可在指甲盖大小的面积上集成近1000亿个晶体管，密度约为IBM 2021年发布的2纳米芯片的两倍。</strong>据IBM公布的技术结果预测，相较2nm节点芯片，新芯片最高可实现50%的性能提升，或高达70%的能效改善，目标应用覆盖生成式AI、云基础设施及下一代电子设备。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM研究院院长、IBM Fellow Jay Gambetta表示，此次突破将技术推进至原子尺度，&#34;我们不只是在缩小晶体管，而是从根本上重新定义芯片的构建方式，以实现更强的算力与能效，为下一个计算时代奠定基础。&#34;IBM预计，纳米堆叠技术最早可在5年内进入量产阶段，并支撑至少十年的持续缩放路线图。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">相关研究成果于6月25日正式发布，部分内容同步呈现于VLSI 2026大会。对于面临传统制程物理瓶颈的半导体行业而言，此举提供了延续性能跃升的新路径，对生成式AI算力、云计算基础设施及下一代电子设备的性能与能效提升具有直接意义。美股盘前，IBM一度涨超6%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f6b941fd8997ca9f70847fac404a651b\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"911\" tg-height=\"592\"/><span></span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>纳米堆叠：重构芯片的三维架构突破</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">nanostack是IBM研究人员开发的全新晶体管架构，也是业界已知的首个三维纳米片堆叠设计，代表了对当前业界前沿纳米片（nanosheet）技术的重大跨越——而nanosheet技术本身亦由IBM发明。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">该架构利用三维顺序集成，将晶体管垂直堆叠并交错排列，使单位面积内可容纳更多晶体管。与此同时，nanostack允许在各堆叠层采用不同材料组合，使每个晶体管的性能与功耗可独立优化，突破了传统平面架构的设计限制。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM已通过超薄介电键合在CMOS集成中完成实验验证，并展示了双通道工程能力及具备预期开关性能的CMOS反相器功能运作，证实该技术可实际制造并支持真实计算。在VLSI 2026大会发布的新研究中，IBM研究人员还展示了nanostack架构可实现SRAM 40%的面积缩放，在提升能效的同时满足先进AI工作负载的高带宽数据需求。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>性能跃升：为AI与云基础设施提供算力支撑</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据IBM公布的技术结果，<strong>0.7nm芯片预计相较2nm节点可提供最高50%的性能提升，或高达70%的能效改善，可根据不同应用目标灵活取舍。</strong>这一性能跃幅将为生成式AI、云基础设施及下一代电子设备提供显著更强的算力支撑。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM将逻辑技术首次延伸至1nm节点以下定义为进入&#34;埃米级缩放&#34;时代，即芯片尺寸接近单个原子的量级。尽管晶体管节点如今已更多指代一代制造工艺而非精确物理尺寸，IBM的0.7nm技术仍通过nanostack架构证明，持续缩放在物理层面仍具可行性。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>合作网络与量产时间表</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM的半导体研发依托位于纽约州奥尔巴尼市的领先半导体研究设施推进，该设施即将引入由ASML研发的高数值孔径极紫外（High NA EUV）光刻设备，这是未来逻辑缩放的核心工具。IBM已与Lam Research Corp.、Tokyo Electron（TEL）及SCREEN Semiconductor Solutions, Ltd.展开合作，共同推进High NA EUV工艺与设备开发，相关工作已产出可运行器件。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IBM预计，纳米堆叠技术最早可在未来5年内进入量产阶段，为芯片制造商提供可实际部署的亚1纳米制程选项，并为行业提供至少十年的持续缩放路径。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>量子晶圆代工同步布局</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在芯片制程突破之外，IBM还宣布计划成立Anderon——定位为全球首家纯量子晶圆代工厂。Anderon将作为IBM的独立子公司运营，整合IBM在量子计算与半导体制造领域的核心专业技术，旨在助力美国确立全球量子晶圆制造的主导地位。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">此举与IBM在先进逻辑制程上的持续投入形成互补，体现了公司在传统高性能芯片与量子计算两条技术路线上同步推进的战略布局。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1762389672944","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>物理极限被打破！IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，半导体迈入“埃米时代”</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n物理极限被打破！IBM推出全球首款0.7纳米芯片技术，半导体迈入“埃米时代”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-06-25 18:34 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3775516><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>IBM宣布在芯片研发领域取得里程碑式突破，推出全球首款亚1纳米（nm）芯片技术，采用革命性三维\"纳米堆叠\"（nanostack）架构，将晶体管节点推进至0.7纳米即7埃量级。这一成就标志着半导体行业正式突破纳米尺度极限，迈入原子级缩放新纪元。新芯片可在指甲盖大小的面积上集成近1000亿个晶体管，密度约为IBM 2021年发布的2纳米芯片的两倍。据IBM公布的技术结果预测，相较2nm节点芯片，新芯片...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3775516\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cfb374ec7d9623a6ea5e4da3dab826e5","relate_stocks":{"IBM":"IBM"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3775516","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1190219064","content_text":"IBM宣布在芯片研发领域取得里程碑式突破，推出全球首款亚1纳米（nm）芯片技术，采用革命性三维\"纳米堆叠\"（nanostack）架构，将晶体管节点推进至0.7纳米即7埃量级。这一成就标志着半导体行业正式突破纳米尺度极限，迈入原子级缩放新纪元。新芯片可在指甲盖大小的面积上集成近1000亿个晶体管，密度约为IBM 2021年发布的2纳米芯片的两倍。据IBM公布的技术结果预测，相较2nm节点芯片，新芯片最高可实现50%的性能提升，或高达70%的能效改善，目标应用覆盖生成式AI、云基础设施及下一代电子设备。IBM研究院院长、IBM Fellow Jay Gambetta表示，此次突破将技术推进至原子尺度，\"我们不只是在缩小晶体管，而是从根本上重新定义芯片的构建方式，以实现更强的算力与能效，为下一个计算时代奠定基础。\"IBM预计，纳米堆叠技术最早可在5年内进入量产阶段，并支撑至少十年的持续缩放路线图。相关研究成果于6月25日正式发布，部分内容同步呈现于VLSI 2026大会。对于面临传统制程物理瓶颈的半导体行业而言，此举提供了延续性能跃升的新路径，对生成式AI算力、云计算基础设施及下一代电子设备的性能与能效提升具有直接意义。美股盘前，IBM一度涨超6%。纳米堆叠：重构芯片的三维架构突破nanostack是IBM研究人员开发的全新晶体管架构，也是业界已知的首个三维纳米片堆叠设计，代表了对当前业界前沿纳米片（nanosheet）技术的重大跨越——而nanosheet技术本身亦由IBM发明。该架构利用三维顺序集成，将晶体管垂直堆叠并交错排列，使单位面积内可容纳更多晶体管。与此同时，nanostack允许在各堆叠层采用不同材料组合，使每个晶体管的性能与功耗可独立优化，突破了传统平面架构的设计限制。IBM已通过超薄介电键合在CMOS集成中完成实验验证，并展示了双通道工程能力及具备预期开关性能的CMOS反相器功能运作，证实该技术可实际制造并支持真实计算。在VLSI 2026大会发布的新研究中，IBM研究人员还展示了nanostack架构可实现SRAM 40%的面积缩放，在提升能效的同时满足先进AI工作负载的高带宽数据需求。性能跃升：为AI与云基础设施提供算力支撑据IBM公布的技术结果，0.7nm芯片预计相较2nm节点可提供最高50%的性能提升，或高达70%的能效改善，可根据不同应用目标灵活取舍。这一性能跃幅将为生成式AI、云基础设施及下一代电子设备提供显著更强的算力支撑。IBM将逻辑技术首次延伸至1nm节点以下定义为进入\"埃米级缩放\"时代，即芯片尺寸接近单个原子的量级。尽管晶体管节点如今已更多指代一代制造工艺而非精确物理尺寸，IBM的0.7nm技术仍通过nanostack架构证明，持续缩放在物理层面仍具可行性。合作网络与量产时间表IBM的半导体研发依托位于纽约州奥尔巴尼市的领先半导体研究设施推进，该设施即将引入由ASML研发的高数值孔径极紫外（High NA EUV）光刻设备，这是未来逻辑缩放的核心工具。IBM已与Lam Research Corp.、Tokyo Electron（TEL）及SCREEN Semiconductor Solutions, Ltd.展开合作，共同推进High NA 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[开心]&nbsp; 投资大还没啥利润💰","listText":"赔本儿赚吆喝[开心]&nbsp; [开心]&nbsp; 投资大还没啥利润💰","text":"赔本儿赚吆喝[开心] [开心] 投资大还没啥利润💰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/573903671321992","repostId":"2642927479","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2642927479","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1781121982,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2642927479?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-06-11 04:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"数据中心成本担忧加剧，甲骨文资本开支超预期，新财年计划融资翻倍至400亿美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2642927479","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"甲骨文第四财季资本开支159亿美元，本财年全年资本开支557亿美元，公司预期为500亿美元；公司预计新财年资本开支700亿美元。本财年自由现金流为-237亿美元。预计新财年将通过债务和股权融资筹集400亿美元，其中包括此前宣布的200亿美元股票发行计划。盘后股价一度跌超9%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span>甲骨文第四财季资本开支159亿美元，本财年全年资本开支557亿美元，公司预期为500亿美元；公司预计新财年资本开支700亿美元。本财年自由现金流为-237亿美元。预计新财年将通过债务和股权融资筹集400亿美元，其中包括此前宣布的200亿美元股票发行计划。</span></p></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/04d7c41b16dace8b5931b689af9db7ff\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"1156\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">甲骨文</a>（Oracle）公布截至2026年5月底的第四财季及全年业绩，<strong>资本开支超预期与公司新融资计划引发市场担忧。</strong>同时云基础设施业务强劲增长推动多项财务指标创下历史纪录，公司同步上调全年盈利指引。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>甲骨文第四财季资本开支159亿美元，本财年全年资本开支557亿美元，公司预期为500亿美元；公司预计新财年资本开支700亿美元。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">同时公司表示，<strong>预计将通过债务和股权融资筹集400亿美元，其中包括此前宣布的200亿美元股票发行计划。</strong>此举引发了投资者的担忧，盘后股价一度跌超9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司第四财季总营收同比增长21%至192亿美元，预期190.9亿美元。云基础设施营收同比飙升93%至58亿美元，为整体业绩最主要的驱动力。<strong>本财年自由现金流为-237亿美元。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9fb0b5ca86d0668359941e766cbcce41\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"254\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">截至季末，公司待履约收入（RPO）较上季度净增850亿美元，达到创纪录的6380亿美元，同比大幅增长363%，折射出市场对AI云计算服务的巨大需求。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在前瞻指引方面，甲骨文预计第一财季总营收增速将加速至27%至29%，云业务收入增速将进一步跃升至57%至64%；全年FY2027收入目标维持900亿美元不变，但非GAAP每股盈利指引上调至8.05美元，同比增长约18%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/81caf3b7ddf09b2a2e7a2c750646b463\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"907\" tg-height=\"580\"/><span></span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>重资本扩张引担忧：FY2027筹资400亿美元，新增200亿美元</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">为支撑AI云基础设施的大规模扩张，甲骨文已进入高强度融资周期。FY2026全年，公司通过债务融资筹集430亿美元，通过股权融资筹集50亿美元，合计480亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">展望FY2027，公司预计将通过债务与股权组合方式再融资约400亿美元，其中包括此前已宣布的200亿美元<strong>按市价增发（ATM）</strong>股权计划。<strong>公司同时表示，在2026自然年内不再新增债务融资。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">自由现金流的持续为负，反映出当前扩张阶段资本支出的高强度。公司在其数据中心建设中引入了以天然气燃料电池为核心的清洁能源方案，并将高性能网络、先进安全架构和自主化软件作为差异化竞争优势。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>营收全线创纪录，云业务主导增长</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">第四财季，甲骨文总营收同比增长21%至192亿美元，其中云业务（IaaS+SaaS）合计营收同比增长47%至99亿美元，首次突破百亿美元关口。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分业务来看，云基础设施（IaaS）营收同比增长93%至58亿美元，是增速最快的核心引擎；云应用（SaaS）营收同比增长10%至41亿美元。传统软件营收同比下滑2%至68亿美元，反映出客户持续向云端迁移的趋势。服务营收13亿美元，同比增长13%；硬件营收9亿美元，同比增长9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在盈利层面，第四财季非GAAP营业利润同比增长22%至创纪录的86亿美元，非GAAP每股盈利同比增长24%至2.11美元；GAAP每股盈利同比增长21%至1.45美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">就全年而言，FY2026总营收同比增长17%至创纪录的674亿美元，云营收同比增长39%至340亿美元。全年经营性现金流同比增长54%至创纪录的320亿美元，反映出较强的现金创造能力。不过，由于持续大规模投入云基础设施建设，全年自由现金流为负237亿美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4bbb69d1140f413a92127b50caf0d08a\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">甲骨文在财报中着重阐述了AI在医疗健康领域的战略布局。公司表示，将推出全新AI版本的Cerner医院及诊所患者管理系统，并预计这将推动Oracle Health整体业务在FY2027实现两位数增长。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司还提及，AI分子设计模型有望加速新药研发，而其新推出的AI临床试验系统旨在帮助监管机构更快速地审查和批准临床试验结果，从而缩短患者获得新药的等待时间。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>AI大单涌入，待履约收入规模创纪录</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">RPO数据是本次财报中最受市场关注的指标之一。截至第四财季末，甲骨文RPO达到6380亿美元，单季净增850亿美元，同比增幅高达363%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司披露，第三、四财季RPO的大幅增长，主要来自大规模AI合同。这些合同的特殊结构在于：客户或预先支付费用由甲骨文采购GPU，或由客户自行购买GPU后提供给甲骨文使用。截至目前，上述预付款及客户自供硬件金额合计已达750亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">甲骨文表示，这一安排大幅降低了公司自身为建设AI数据中心所需筹集的资本规模。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得关注的还有Oracle Multicloud AI Database业务，该业务在第四财季同比增长404%，成为公司有史以来增速最快的业务线。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>下季度指引营收增长27%至29%，上调全年盈利指引</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在前瞻指引方面，<strong>第一财季总营收预计同比增长27%至29%；云业务营收预计同比增长57%至64%</strong>；非GAAP每股盈利预计为1.72至1.76美元，同比增长17%至20%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>全年FY2027，公司维持900亿美元总营收目标，并将非GAAP每股盈利指引上调至8.05美元。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司注明，剔除FY2026出售Ampere芯片业务及Bloom Energy认股权证所产生的一次性投资收益后，FY2027非GAAP每股盈利增速约为18%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">甲骨文董事会宣布，派发每股0.50美元的季度现金股息，将于2026年7月24日支付给截至7月10日登记在册的股东。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n数据中心成本担忧加剧，甲骨文资本开支超预期，新财年计划融资翻倍至400亿美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-11 04:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span>甲骨文第四财季资本开支159亿美元，本财年全年资本开支557亿美元，公司预期为500亿美元；公司预计新财年资本开支700亿美元。本财年自由现金流为-237亿美元。预计新财年将通过债务和股权融资筹集400亿美元，其中包括此前宣布的200亿美元股票发行计划。</span></p></blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/04d7c41b16dace8b5931b689af9db7ff\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"644\" tg-height=\"1156\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">甲骨文</a>（Oracle）公布截至2026年5月底的第四财季及全年业绩，<strong>资本开支超预期与公司新融资计划引发市场担忧。</strong>同时云基础设施业务强劲增长推动多项财务指标创下历史纪录，公司同步上调全年盈利指引。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>甲骨文第四财季资本开支159亿美元，本财年全年资本开支557亿美元，公司预期为500亿美元；公司预计新财年资本开支700亿美元。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">同时公司表示，<strong>预计将通过债务和股权融资筹集400亿美元，其中包括此前宣布的200亿美元股票发行计划。</strong>此举引发了投资者的担忧，盘后股价一度跌超9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司第四财季总营收同比增长21%至192亿美元，预期190.9亿美元。云基础设施营收同比飙升93%至58亿美元，为整体业绩最主要的驱动力。<strong>本财年自由现金流为-237亿美元。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/9fb0b5ca86d0668359941e766cbcce41\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"254\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">截至季末，公司待履约收入（RPO）较上季度净增850亿美元，达到创纪录的6380亿美元，同比大幅增长363%，折射出市场对AI云计算服务的巨大需求。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在前瞻指引方面，甲骨文预计第一财季总营收增速将加速至27%至29%，云业务收入增速将进一步跃升至57%至64%；全年FY2027收入目标维持900亿美元不变，但非GAAP每股盈利指引上调至8.05美元，同比增长约18%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/81caf3b7ddf09b2a2e7a2c750646b463\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"907\" tg-height=\"580\"/><span></span></p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>重资本扩张引担忧：FY2027筹资400亿美元，新增200亿美元</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">为支撑AI云基础设施的大规模扩张，甲骨文已进入高强度融资周期。FY2026全年，公司通过债务融资筹集430亿美元，通过股权融资筹集50亿美元，合计480亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">展望FY2027，公司预计将通过债务与股权组合方式再融资约400亿美元，其中包括此前已宣布的200亿美元<strong>按市价增发（ATM）</strong>股权计划。<strong>公司同时表示，在2026自然年内不再新增债务融资。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">自由现金流的持续为负，反映出当前扩张阶段资本支出的高强度。公司在其数据中心建设中引入了以天然气燃料电池为核心的清洁能源方案，并将高性能网络、先进安全架构和自主化软件作为差异化竞争优势。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>营收全线创纪录，云业务主导增长</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">第四财季，甲骨文总营收同比增长21%至192亿美元，其中云业务（IaaS+SaaS）合计营收同比增长47%至99亿美元，首次突破百亿美元关口。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分业务来看，云基础设施（IaaS）营收同比增长93%至58亿美元，是增速最快的核心引擎；云应用（SaaS）营收同比增长10%至41亿美元。传统软件营收同比下滑2%至68亿美元，反映出客户持续向云端迁移的趋势。服务营收13亿美元，同比增长13%；硬件营收9亿美元，同比增长9%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在盈利层面，第四财季非GAAP营业利润同比增长22%至创纪录的86亿美元，非GAAP每股盈利同比增长24%至2.11美元；GAAP每股盈利同比增长21%至1.45美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">就全年而言，FY2026总营收同比增长17%至创纪录的674亿美元，云营收同比增长39%至340亿美元。全年经营性现金流同比增长54%至创纪录的320亿美元，反映出较强的现金创造能力。不过，由于持续大规模投入云基础设施建设，全年自由现金流为负237亿美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4bbb69d1140f413a92127b50caf0d08a\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">甲骨文在财报中着重阐述了AI在医疗健康领域的战略布局。公司表示，将推出全新AI版本的Cerner医院及诊所患者管理系统，并预计这将推动Oracle Health整体业务在FY2027实现两位数增长。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司还提及，AI分子设计模型有望加速新药研发，而其新推出的AI临床试验系统旨在帮助监管机构更快速地审查和批准临床试验结果，从而缩短患者获得新药的等待时间。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>AI大单涌入，待履约收入规模创纪录</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">RPO数据是本次财报中最受市场关注的指标之一。截至第四财季末，甲骨文RPO达到6380亿美元，单季净增850亿美元，同比增幅高达363%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司披露，第三、四财季RPO的大幅增长，主要来自大规模AI合同。这些合同的特殊结构在于：客户或预先支付费用由甲骨文采购GPU，或由客户自行购买GPU后提供给甲骨文使用。截至目前，上述预付款及客户自供硬件金额合计已达750亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">甲骨文表示，这一安排大幅降低了公司自身为建设AI数据中心所需筹集的资本规模。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得关注的还有Oracle Multicloud AI Database业务，该业务在第四财季同比增长404%，成为公司有史以来增速最快的业务线。</p><h2 style=\"text-align: left; padding-left: 10px;\"><strong>下季度指引营收增长27%至29%，上调全年盈利指引</strong></h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在前瞻指引方面，<strong>第一财季总营收预计同比增长27%至29%；云业务营收预计同比增长57%至64%</strong>；非GAAP每股盈利预计为1.72至1.76美元，同比增长17%至20%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>全年FY2027，公司维持900亿美元总营收目标，并将非GAAP每股盈利指引上调至8.05美元。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">公司注明，剔除FY2026出售Ampere芯片业务及Bloom Energy认股权证所产生的一次性投资收益后，FY2027非GAAP每股盈利增速约为18%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">甲骨文董事会宣布，派发每股0.50美元的季度现金股息，将于2026年7月24日支付给截至7月10日登记在册的股东。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c35c8a27605936ee42c5dc8842ec36a","relate_stocks":{"ORCL":"甲骨文"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3774364","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2642927479","content_text":"甲骨文第四财季资本开支159亿美元，本财年全年资本开支557亿美元，公司预期为500亿美元；公司预计新财年资本开支700亿美元。本财年自由现金流为-237亿美元。预计新财年将通过债务和股权融资筹集400亿美元，其中包括此前宣布的200亿美元股票发行计划。甲骨文（Oracle）公布截至2026年5月底的第四财季及全年业绩，资本开支超预期与公司新融资计划引发市场担忧。同时云基础设施业务强劲增长推动多项财务指标创下历史纪录，公司同步上调全年盈利指引。甲骨文第四财季资本开支159亿美元，本财年全年资本开支557亿美元，公司预期为500亿美元；公司预计新财年资本开支700亿美元。同时公司表示，预计将通过债务和股权融资筹集400亿美元，其中包括此前宣布的200亿美元股票发行计划。此举引发了投资者的担忧，盘后股价一度跌超9%。公司第四财季总营收同比增长21%至192亿美元，预期190.9亿美元。云基础设施营收同比飙升93%至58亿美元，为整体业绩最主要的驱动力。本财年自由现金流为-237亿美元。截至季末，公司待履约收入（RPO）较上季度净增850亿美元，达到创纪录的6380亿美元，同比大幅增长363%，折射出市场对AI云计算服务的巨大需求。在前瞻指引方面，甲骨文预计第一财季总营收增速将加速至27%至29%，云业务收入增速将进一步跃升至57%至64%；全年FY2027收入目标维持900亿美元不变，但非GAAP每股盈利指引上调至8.05美元，同比增长约18%。重资本扩张引担忧：FY2027筹资400亿美元，新增200亿美元为支撑AI云基础设施的大规模扩张，甲骨文已进入高强度融资周期。FY2026全年，公司通过债务融资筹集430亿美元，通过股权融资筹集50亿美元，合计480亿美元。展望FY2027，公司预计将通过债务与股权组合方式再融资约400亿美元，其中包括此前已宣布的200亿美元按市价增发（ATM）股权计划。公司同时表示，在2026自然年内不再新增债务融资。自由现金流的持续为负，反映出当前扩张阶段资本支出的高强度。公司在其数据中心建设中引入了以天然气燃料电池为核心的清洁能源方案，并将高性能网络、先进安全架构和自主化软件作为差异化竞争优势。营收全线创纪录，云业务主导增长第四财季，甲骨文总营收同比增长21%至192亿美元，其中云业务（IaaS+SaaS）合计营收同比增长47%至99亿美元，首次突破百亿美元关口。分业务来看，云基础设施（IaaS）营收同比增长93%至58亿美元，是增速最快的核心引擎；云应用（SaaS）营收同比增长10%至41亿美元。传统软件营收同比下滑2%至68亿美元，反映出客户持续向云端迁移的趋势。服务营收13亿美元，同比增长13%；硬件营收9亿美元，同比增长9%。在盈利层面，第四财季非GAAP营业利润同比增长22%至创纪录的86亿美元，非GAAP每股盈利同比增长24%至2.11美元；GAAP每股盈利同比增长21%至1.45美元。就全年而言，FY2026总营收同比增长17%至创纪录的674亿美元，云营收同比增长39%至340亿美元。全年经营性现金流同比增长54%至创纪录的320亿美元，反映出较强的现金创造能力。不过，由于持续大规模投入云基础设施建设，全年自由现金流为负237亿美元。甲骨文在财报中着重阐述了AI在医疗健康领域的战略布局。公司表示，将推出全新AI版本的Cerner医院及诊所患者管理系统，并预计这将推动Oracle Health整体业务在FY2027实现两位数增长。公司还提及，AI分子设计模型有望加速新药研发，而其新推出的AI临床试验系统旨在帮助监管机构更快速地审查和批准临床试验结果，从而缩短患者获得新药的等待时间。AI大单涌入，待履约收入规模创纪录RPO数据是本次财报中最受市场关注的指标之一。截至第四财季末，甲骨文RPO达到6380亿美元，单季净增850亿美元，同比增幅高达363%。公司披露，第三、四财季RPO的大幅增长，主要来自大规模AI合同。这些合同的特殊结构在于：客户或预先支付费用由甲骨文采购GPU，或由客户自行购买GPU后提供给甲骨文使用。截至目前，上述预付款及客户自供硬件金额合计已达750亿美元。甲骨文表示，这一安排大幅降低了公司自身为建设AI数据中心所需筹集的资本规模。值得关注的还有Oracle Multicloud AI Database业务，该业务在第四财季同比增长404%，成为公司有史以来增速最快的业务线。下季度指引营收增长27%至29%，上调全年盈利指引在前瞻指引方面，第一财季总营收预计同比增长27%至29%；云业务营收预计同比增长57%至64%；非GAAP每股盈利预计为1.72至1.76美元，同比增长17%至20%。全年FY2027，公司维持900亿美元总营收目标，并将非GAAP每股盈利指引上调至8.05美元。公司注明，剔除FY2026出售Ampere芯片业务及Bloom 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1094185691\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/f241068b466f5f9316243a75366834d5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">公告助手 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-03 13:51</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n根据最新提交的Form 4，Oklo Inc.（股票代码：OKLO）联合创始人兼CEO、董事及10%股东 Jacob DeWitte 于2026年6月1日通过10b5-1计划及其配偶名下的多项信托载体，合计出售约200,000股公司A类普通股。具体包括本人名下直接持有股份出售60,000股，以及通过Jacob DeWitte GRAT出售40,000股；其配偶 Caroline Cochran 名下及相关GRAT和家族信托共出售约100,000股。交易价格区间约为每股64.99至70.45美元。交易后，Jacob DeWitte 及其配偶通过多项信托仍持有公司大量股份。高管及大股东在股价较高区间分批减持，通常被视为一定程度的利空信号，但本次为预先制定的10b5-1计划执行，减持动机可能更多为流动性或资产配置需求，投资者需结合公司基本面综合判断。\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OKLO":"Oklo 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-03-31 08:45</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>据华尔街日报报道，美国政府官员透露，<strong>美国总统特朗普已向其幕僚表示，即使霍尔木兹海峡仍基本处于关闭状态，他也愿意结束美国对伊朗的军事行动。</strong>此举可能会延长德黑兰对该水道的牢固控制，并将重新开放海峡这一复杂行动留待日后处理。</p><p>近日，特朗普及其幕僚评估认为，打通这一咽喉要道的任务将使冲突超出他设定的四至六周时间表。特朗普已决定，美国应实现削弱伊朗海军及导弹库存的主要目标，逐步结束当前战事，同时通过外交途径向伊朗施压，要求恢复自由贸易。官员们表示，若此举失败，华盛顿将施压欧洲及海湾地区的盟友牵头重新开放海峡。他们称，特朗普也可选择军事方案，但这并非其当前优先事项。</p><p>消息公布后，美股指数期货直线拉升，原油期货价格快速下跌。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3586dae988fbf58961f8390287dc4524\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1284\" tg-height=\"627\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e61418cac3f1ac23ef6ea1a97f4448ab\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1284\" 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