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朝花夕拾NMC
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朝花夕拾NMC
2023-09-21
$TSLA 20230929 255.0 CALL$
朝花夕拾NMC
2023-08-18
$TSLA 20230825 245.0 CALL$
朝花夕拾NMC
2023-08-18
$TSLA 20230825 250.0 CALL$
朝花夕拾NMC
2023-08-17
$TSLA 20230818 240.0 CALL$
朝花夕拾NMC
2023-08-11
$TSLA 20230811 245.0 CALL$
朝花夕拾NMC
2023-08-07
$AAPL 20230811 195.0 CALL$
朝花夕拾NMC
2023-07-28
$TSLA 20230728 277.5 CALL$
朝花夕拾NMC
2022-08-03
值得一看...
马斯克:我是如何创造出10倍价值的
朝花夕拾NMC
2022-07-22
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
不错
朝花夕拾NMC
2022-06-23
700!
700美元将成为特斯拉股价的牛熊线
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-04-07
$Pine Island Acquisition Corp(PIPP)$
美国国务卿Blinken和国防部长参与投资的SPAC……
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-03-23
$KKR Acquisition Holdings I Corp.(KAHC.U)$
KKR发行的第一个SPAC,12亿USD的盘。
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-03-19
$SVF Investment Corp.(SVFAU)$
还是没有消息吗?
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-03-18
$洛矶山巧克力工厂(RMCF)$
目标价USD15!
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-03-10
$SVF Investment Corp. 3(SVFC)$
SVFC,软银的第三个SPAC,USD3.5亿的盘。
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-03-10
$SVF Investment Corp. 2(SVFB)$
SVFB,软银的第二个SPAC,USD2.5亿的盘。
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-03-08
$InterPrivate II Acquisition Corp.(IPVA.U)$
InterPrivate 系列的第二个SPAC
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-02-25
$Kensington Capital Acquisition Corp. II(KCAC.U)$
Kensington Capital系列的第二个SPAC,2个亿的盘。 第一个合并了QS。
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-02-25
$Property Solutions Acquisition Corp. II(PSAGU)$
Property Solutions系列的第二个SPAC,第一个合并了Faraday Future。
朝花夕拾NMC
2021-02-25
$Gores Holdings VIII, Inc.(GIIXU)$
GIIXU,Gores系列最新的一个SPAC
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20230811 195.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20230811 195.0 CALL$ </a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL 20230811 195.0 CALL\">$AAPL 20230811 195.0 CALL$ </a>","text":"$AAPL 20230811 195.0 CALL$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dd1fa3218f7fec466f36237a41ee3821","width":"1086","height":"1713"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/206374277595408","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":618,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":202511885426880,"gmtCreate":1690479826769,"gmtModify":1690481473013,"author":{"id":"3482384284219919","authorId":"3482384284219919","name":"朝花夕拾NMC","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a7577fa2b065001f43de50c6bb331306","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482384284219919","idStr":"3482384284219919"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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07:57","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"马斯克:我是如何创造出10倍价值的","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167031680","media":"红与绿","summary":"商业、科学理论、应用层面面面俱到,马斯克也许就是这样一个人,他对自己不了解的事情没有心理障碍。对于他而言,随时随地都在学习,都在跨界。读完他的故事,投投在想,或许我们的认知边界远远不止于当下,也许在未","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>商业、科学理论、应用层面面面俱到,马斯克也许就是这样一个人,他对自己不了解的事情没有心理障碍。对于他而言,随时随地都在学习,都在跨界。读完他的故事,投投在想,或许我们的认知边界远远不止于当下,也许在未来,在科技和人文的交汇口将会出现越来越多的马斯克。</b></blockquote><p><b>一、一种危机感</b></p><p>小时候,人们常会问我,长大要做什么,我其实也不知道。后来我想,搞发明应该会很酷吧,因为科幻小说家亚瑟·克拉克(《2001太空漫游》作者)曾说过,「任何足够先进的科技,都与魔法无异。」</p><p>想想看,三百年前的人类,如果看到今天我们可以飞行、可以远距沟通、可以使用网路、可以马上找到世界各地的资讯,他们一定会说,这是魔法。要是我能够发明出很先进的科技,不就像是在变魔法吗?</p><p><b>我一直有种存在的危机感,很想找出生命的意义何在、万物存在的目的是什么。最后得出的结论是,如果我们有办法让全世界的知识愈来愈进步,让人类意识的规模与范畴日益扩展,那么,我们将更有能力问出对的问题,让智慧、精神得到更多的启迪。</b></p><p>所以,我决定攻读物理和商业。因为要达成这样远大的目标,就必须了解宇宙如何运行、经济如何运作,而且还要找到最厉害的人才团队,一起发明东西。</p><p><b>二、最开始,我只想接近技术的诞生地</b></p><p>我不确定是否该上大学。当初我从南非到北美,只是因为觉得很多尖端科技都是在北美诞生发展的,我了解到的每一项新技术,似乎都是从那里发源的。</p><p>17岁的时候,我独自去了北美,也没有上大学的明确计划,只是想接近技术的诞生地而已。</p><p>其实我考虑过两个选择:一个是去滑铁卢大学读计算机工程,另一个是去皇后大学。我去了滑铁卢大学后,发现那边女孩子并不多,就觉得没那么有意思。</p><p>所以我就去了皇后大学,在那里遇到了我的妻子。我学的科目范围很广泛,包括电子商务、工程学和数学。有人从皇后大学转学去了宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院,反映说那边很不错。</p><p>所以我就想申请沃顿,但我没有钱,要拿到奖学金才能去,我觉得自己拿不到奖学金。不过我还是申请了,而他们居然给了我奖学金。在沃顿,两年的商学课程,我一年就完成了。</p><p>因为我没有绿卡,所以我只能留在学校,不然他们会把我驱逐出境。之所以去读那个博士学位,是因为我觉得斯坦福有好多顶级实验室,可以免费使用,这样我就可以开发电动汽车技术了。</p><p><b>我喜欢物理。我毕业后可以去华尔街,也可以从事技术工程工作。最后我决定投身科学事业,所以就多花了一年,拿到了物理学的学位。</b></p><p>之后我去了斯坦福大学,我想在那里学习如何研制能用于电动汽车的先进电容器,这也会涉及一些基础物理学,所以这差不多是一个结合了物理学和材料学的项目。但是后来我退学了,开了自己的公司。</p><p><b>三、创业,我承受了一大堆的伤害</b></p><p>后来,我发现,朋友对我所做的任何事情的批评和黄金一样有价值。</p><p>通常你的朋友知道什么是错的,但他们不想告诉你,因为他们不想伤害你,这并不意味着你的朋友是对的,但是很多时候他们的批评却是最诚恳的。</p><p>这是真的。当你谈到你的想法时,那些最接近你的人通常都想鼓励你。他们最不想做的事就是让你失望。但这些人也是一个宝贵的资源:他们可以深入地告诉你,你的弱点在哪里,你需要改进什么。</p><p>当然,当你听到这些批评,关于你或你创造的东西并不完美时,这是很痛苦的。但是,任何有智慧的人都能明白这是一个什么样的反馈——这是一个改善的机会。</p><p>你必须尝试那些会错误的方法。然后你的目标就是尽量少地犯错。</p><p>当你第一次创业的时候,你很可能,一切的事情都很好,你的幸福指数很高,然后你会遇到各种各样的问题,幸福会不断下降,然后你会经历一整个世界的伤害。</p><p>如果你进入任何一个现有的市场,面对那些强大的竞争对手,你的产品或服务必须要比他们好得多,它不能只是有一点点的优势,因为当你站在消费者的立场上时,你总是会购买值得你信赖的品牌,除非这个产品有很大的差异性。</p><p>所以,你不能稍微好一点,而是要好得多。</p><p><b>你必须有个创新思维,而不是(创造)更好的同一性。你做事情不是只需要好出10%,而是要创造出10倍的价值。想想iPod是如何取代随身听的,或者iPhone是如何取代黑莓的,又或者iPad是如何取代PalmPilot的</b>?</p><p><b>四、再漂亮的PPT都比不上拿出实际产品有说服力</b></p><p>1995年,我来到加州(进入斯坦福大学念博士),想要找出提高电动车能量密度的方法,例如,有没有更好的电容器可以当作电池的替代。</p><p>但那时,互联网兴起,我面临了两个抉择:继续研究成功机率不大的电容器技术,或者投身网络事业。最后,我选择辍学,参与网络创业,其中一家就是PayPal。</p><p>创立PayPal最重要的领悟,来自于它的诞生过程。我们原先打算,用PayPal来提供整合性的金融服务,这是个很大、很复杂的系统。结果,每次在跟别人介绍这套系统时,大家都没什么兴趣。等到我们再介绍,系统里面有个电子邮件付款的小功能,所有人都变得好有兴趣。</p><p>于是,我们决定把重点放在电子邮件付款,PayPal果然一炮而红。但是,当初要不是注意到了别人的反应,做出改变,我们或许不会这么成功。所以,搜集回馈很重要,要用它来修正你先前的假设。</p><p>PayPal成功后,我开始想,眼前有哪些问题,最可能影响人类的未来?我认为,地球面临的最大问题是可持续能源,也就是如何用可持续的方式,生产和消费能源。如果不能在二十一世纪解决这个问题,我们将灾难临头。而另一个可能影响人类生存的大问题,是如何移居到其他星球。</p><p>第一个问题,促使我成立了特斯拉和SolarCity(美国最大的屋顶太阳能系统供应商)。第二个问题,则让我创立了太空科技公司SpaceX。</p><p>2002年,为了解决太空运输问题,我成立了SpaceX。当时跟我谈过的人,都劝我不要做,有个朋友还特别去找了火箭爆炸的影片给我看。他其实也没错,我从来没做过实体的产品,所以一开始真的很困难,火箭发射连续失败了三次,非常煎熬。</p><p>但我们从每次失败中学习,终于在2008年的第四次发射成功,让猎鹰一号进入地球轨道,那时我已经用光了所有资金,幸好成功了。</p><p>之后,我们的运输火箭从猎鹰一号做到了猎鹰九号,又开发出飞龙号太空船。最近,飞龙号在发射升空后,成功与国际太空站连接,再返回地球。我真的捏了一把冷汗,不敢相信我们做到了。</p><p>但是,想要让人类移居其他星球,还有更多目标要达成。所以,我希望你们也来加入SpaceX或其他太空探索公司。这不是看衰地球,事实上,我对地球的未来还满乐观的,我认为有99%的机率,人类还可以安居很长一段时间。不过,就算地球只有1%的未来风险,也足以刺激我们提早准备,做好「星球备份」。</p><p>2003年,为了证明电动车的潜力,我创立特斯拉公司。以往很多人都认为,电动车速度太慢、跑不远、外型又丑,跟高尔夫球车没两样。为了改变人们的印象,我们开发出了特斯拉Roadster,一款速度快、跑得远、造型拉风的电动跑车。</p><p>所以,想要开公司,你必须实实在在地做出产品原型。因为,再怎么精彩的纸上作业、PowerPoint报告,都比不上拿出实际产品有说服力。</p><p><b>Roadster面世后,又有人说,「就算做得出昂贵的限量跑车,你们有本事做真正的量产汽车吗?」没问题,我们就推出四门房车ModelS,证明给大家看。</b></p><p><b>这就是我一路走来的创业历程。</b></p><p><b>五、科学的方法对于搞清真相真的很有效</b></p><ul><li><p>提出一个问题。</p></li><li><p>尽可能收集多的证据。</p></li><li><p>根据证据制定公理,并尝试为每个公理设定一个可能性的概率值。</p></li><li><p>根据有效性得出结论,以便确定:这些公理是否正确,是否相关,是否必然导致这个结论,以及有多大概率?</p></li><li><p>试图推翻结论。寻求别人的反驳,进一步帮助打破你的结论。</p></li><li><p>如果没有人可以使你的结论无效,那么你可能是对的,但你并不一定是对的。</p></li></ul><p>这就是科学的方法,而这对于搞清楚棘手的事情真的很有帮助。但是大多数人不会使用它,他们更愿意一厢情愿,他们无视反驳,他们根据别人正在做什么和没有做出什么的结果来形成结论。</p><p>这样的推理就会导致「这是真的,因为我说的是真的」,但不是因为它客观上是真实的。</p><p>我天生擅长工程学,这是我从父亲那里继承来的天赋,对别人来说很难的事对我来说很容易。曾有一段时间,我以为事情如此简单明了,每个人一定都知道这些。</p><p>比如房子里的电线是怎么工作的。以及断路器的工作原理,什么是交流电和直流电、安培和伏特是什么,如何混合燃料和氧化剂以制造炸药。我以为每个人都知道这些知识,但实际上不是这样。</p><p>而对于这些人我的建议是,想要明白事物的本质,应该读一读书,偶尔也可以逛逛Reddit,因为我就是靠书本长大的。</p><p></p><p><b>六、物理学为我提供了一个最理想的研究框架</b></p><p>想理解那些反直觉的新事物,我觉得物理学提供了一个最理想的研究框架。</p><p>比如说,量子力学就是违背直觉的,现实世界似乎并不是那样运转,而事实就是,并可以通过实验高度精确地验证。</p><p>物理学之所以能够在这些反直觉领域取得进展,就是因为它将事物拆分到最基本的实质,再往上推。我觉得这是很重要的方法,事实上也是了解新事物、探索未知领域的唯一有效方法。</p><p>在日常生活中,我们非常善用类推方法,我们做别人正在做的事情,做些微小调整。类推提供了捷径,不需要大量思考,这在日常生活中没什么问题。我们不可能万事都用物理学第一原理,那需要太多计算。但第一原理对于了解新事物极其重要。</p><p>现在,物理课的教学方式不对。我们通常让学生背各种枯燥的公式,却没有传递公式的基本含义。这些公式在现实中代表什么呢?一个公式所能描述的美妙现实世界是令人难以置信的。</p><p><b>物理的美妙和神奇没有通过课堂来传递。</b></p><p><b>另外,我觉得我们的教学应该以问题为重点,而不是以工具为重点。</b></p><p>比方说,我们想了解内燃机的工作原理,那最好的方法就是把它拆开,把每个零部件都研究一下,然后再组装起来。在这个过程中我们需要什么工具呢?</p><p>我们需要螺丝刀,扳手,以及其他各类工具。当你把内燃机拆开再组装起来的时候,你就知道这些工具的作用了。但如果反过来,让你先去上一堂关于螺丝刀和扳手的课,那效果就很差了,你很难记住。</p><p>我们大脑的进化方式是记住跟我们相关的事物,所以一定要建立相关性,不然记忆的过程会很痛苦,也很困难,因为看上去太抽象而无关紧要。所以必须有相关性和重要性,要理解事物的原因,才能自然而然地吸收知识。</p><p>我创立SpaceX的初衷不是为了创业。2001年,我跟一个朋友聊天的时候,提到为什么我们还没有登陆火星?因为既然在1969年就登陆了月球,那现在也应该快登陆火星了。</p><p>我访问了NASA的官网,想看看有没有登陆火星的时间表,但什么也没找到。后来我了解到,NASA已经放弃登陆火星了。所以我想搞一个公益性质的项目,将一个小型温室送上火星表面,起到一个表率作用。如果成功的话,这将是地球生命去过的最远的地方,也是我们认知范围内生命首次出现在火星。</p><p>所以我们就有了把绿色植物送上红色火星表面的宏伟计划,我想这应该能激起公众的兴趣,从而促使NASA增加预算,那样我们就能延续阿波罗之梦了。这就是最早的想法。</p><p>我甚至还去了三趟俄罗斯,我想买一些用过的ICMB(洲际弹道导弹),用于火星任务。生意确实谈成了。但我这时意识到,之前的想法是错的。</p><p>我们之所以没去火星,不是因为不想去,而是因为认为没有能力去。大家都觉得没有成功的可能,于是就放弃了。所以我决心创立一家公司,减少太空旅行的开支,同时改进火箭技术,因为火箭技术自上世纪六十年代以来根本没取得什么进展。</p><p>从某种意义上说,火箭技术还退步了,因为将物质送入轨道需要花费的成本更高了。这就是我创立SpaceX的初衷,不过在公司刚创立的时候,我觉得公司的存活几率只有10%。</p><p>物理学原理就是最有用的,只要好好研究下物理学原理就能发觉它是最有价值的。另外我觉得量子力学也很有趣,量子力学现象总是令人感到不可思议,但却都是真实的。</p><p>量子力学很难学,因为量子力学极其违背直觉。你在其他很多领域都可以用直觉,但对于量子力学,你不能用惯常的思维方式来推断,因为你的直觉是无效的,所以量子力学很难。此外,量子力学还结合了大量高等数学和统计学的内容。</p><p><b>我觉得应该尽可能广泛涉猎各个科目。很多创新发明都是跨学科的成果。我们的知识储备越来越庞大,所以必须能够融会贯通。有人精通一个领域,而不了解其他领域,如果你能把不同领域的知识结合在一起,就有机会创造出超常成果,这里有大把的创新机会。</b></p><p>所以我鼓励大家尽可能广泛地学习各个科目。对于工科学生,我建议去学一点经济学,学点文学,或者其他领域。我建议,在有兴趣的前提下,大家可以学习每个领域的基础知识,然后思考一下如何将不同领域的知识融汇贯通。这样很容易产生奇思妙想。</p><p><b>七、年纪愈大,要承担的责任愈多</b></p><p>很多人问我,成功的秘诀是什么。</p><p>第一,非常努力地工作(worksuperhard):</p><p>想创业的人,尤其得如此。我跟我弟弟成立第一家公司Zip2的时候,我们租了一间办公室,直接就睡在沙发上,每天跑到YMCA洗澡,而且两人只有一台电脑。我们的网站只能在白天上线,因为晚上我要写程式。就这样,每周工作七天,只要是醒着的时候都在工作。</p><p>第二,吸引顶尖人才与你共事:</p><p>企业是一群人集合在一起创造产品或服务。不论你要创业或进入企业工作,关键都在与顶尖人才共事。你应该设法加入一个优秀团队,跟那些让你佩服的人一起工作。创业的话,更要想尽办法,找到最厉害的人才。</p><p>第三,聚焦在信号,而非杂音(signalovernoise):</p><p>很多企业混淆了焦点,花很多钱去做一些不会让产品变得更好的事情。在特斯拉,我们从不做广告,而是把钱投入研发和生产设计,不断改进产品。</p><p>每家公司都应该自问,我们所做的这些事情,到底有没有让产品或服务更好,如果没有,就应该喊停了。</p><p>第四,不要盲目跟随潮流:</p><p>物理学研究的第一条原则,不要以类比方式来推理,应该从最根本的真理开始思考。物理学家就是运用这种原则,搞懂一些反直觉的东西,例如量子力学。</p><p>所以,多利用这个原则来判断,你做的事情是否真的合理有意义,还是其实你只是在跟随别人?如果你想开创新事业、开发新产品,这是最好的思考方法。</p><p>也许这些你已经听过,但确实没有什么捷径了。</p><p><b>对于发现社会上的需求,如果你发觉这确实是大家所需要的,你可以找一些志同道合的人,一起来研究、解决。</b></p><p>我觉得,最适合做这些事情的时候是大学时代或大学刚毕业,因为这个时候你身上承担的责任较轻,不需要养家。</p><p>随着时间推移,你身上的担子越来越重,你就需要承担更大的风险。年纪愈大,要承担的责任愈多。你要面对可能会失败的风险时,往往还要考虑到身边的其他人,变得比较犹豫。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584353588345","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克:我是如何创造出10倍价值的\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-03 07:57 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/296OsIJxMd02B9Uldx6RWw><strong>红与绿</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>商业、科学理论、应用层面面面俱到,马斯克也许就是这样一个人,他对自己不了解的事情没有心理障碍。对于他而言,随时随地都在学习,都在跨界。读完他的故事,投投在想,或许我们的认知边界远远不止于当下,也许在未来,在科技和人文的交汇口将会出现越来越多的马斯克。一、一种危机感小时候,人们常会问我,长大要做什么,我其实也不知道。后来我想,搞发明应该会很酷吧,因为科幻小说家亚瑟·克拉克(《2001太空漫游》作者)...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/296OsIJxMd02B9Uldx6RWw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e3988a75d33e2b4f95370655c056098","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/296OsIJxMd02B9Uldx6RWw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167031680","content_text":"商业、科学理论、应用层面面面俱到,马斯克也许就是这样一个人,他对自己不了解的事情没有心理障碍。对于他而言,随时随地都在学习,都在跨界。读完他的故事,投投在想,或许我们的认知边界远远不止于当下,也许在未来,在科技和人文的交汇口将会出现越来越多的马斯克。一、一种危机感小时候,人们常会问我,长大要做什么,我其实也不知道。后来我想,搞发明应该会很酷吧,因为科幻小说家亚瑟·克拉克(《2001太空漫游》作者)曾说过,「任何足够先进的科技,都与魔法无异。」想想看,三百年前的人类,如果看到今天我们可以飞行、可以远距沟通、可以使用网路、可以马上找到世界各地的资讯,他们一定会说,这是魔法。要是我能够发明出很先进的科技,不就像是在变魔法吗?我一直有种存在的危机感,很想找出生命的意义何在、万物存在的目的是什么。最后得出的结论是,如果我们有办法让全世界的知识愈来愈进步,让人类意识的规模与范畴日益扩展,那么,我们将更有能力问出对的问题,让智慧、精神得到更多的启迪。所以,我决定攻读物理和商业。因为要达成这样远大的目标,就必须了解宇宙如何运行、经济如何运作,而且还要找到最厉害的人才团队,一起发明东西。二、最开始,我只想接近技术的诞生地我不确定是否该上大学。当初我从南非到北美,只是因为觉得很多尖端科技都是在北美诞生发展的,我了解到的每一项新技术,似乎都是从那里发源的。17岁的时候,我独自去了北美,也没有上大学的明确计划,只是想接近技术的诞生地而已。其实我考虑过两个选择:一个是去滑铁卢大学读计算机工程,另一个是去皇后大学。我去了滑铁卢大学后,发现那边女孩子并不多,就觉得没那么有意思。所以我就去了皇后大学,在那里遇到了我的妻子。我学的科目范围很广泛,包括电子商务、工程学和数学。有人从皇后大学转学去了宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院,反映说那边很不错。所以我就想申请沃顿,但我没有钱,要拿到奖学金才能去,我觉得自己拿不到奖学金。不过我还是申请了,而他们居然给了我奖学金。在沃顿,两年的商学课程,我一年就完成了。因为我没有绿卡,所以我只能留在学校,不然他们会把我驱逐出境。之所以去读那个博士学位,是因为我觉得斯坦福有好多顶级实验室,可以免费使用,这样我就可以开发电动汽车技术了。我喜欢物理。我毕业后可以去华尔街,也可以从事技术工程工作。最后我决定投身科学事业,所以就多花了一年,拿到了物理学的学位。之后我去了斯坦福大学,我想在那里学习如何研制能用于电动汽车的先进电容器,这也会涉及一些基础物理学,所以这差不多是一个结合了物理学和材料学的项目。但是后来我退学了,开了自己的公司。三、创业,我承受了一大堆的伤害后来,我发现,朋友对我所做的任何事情的批评和黄金一样有价值。通常你的朋友知道什么是错的,但他们不想告诉你,因为他们不想伤害你,这并不意味着你的朋友是对的,但是很多时候他们的批评却是最诚恳的。这是真的。当你谈到你的想法时,那些最接近你的人通常都想鼓励你。他们最不想做的事就是让你失望。但这些人也是一个宝贵的资源:他们可以深入地告诉你,你的弱点在哪里,你需要改进什么。当然,当你听到这些批评,关于你或你创造的东西并不完美时,这是很痛苦的。但是,任何有智慧的人都能明白这是一个什么样的反馈——这是一个改善的机会。你必须尝试那些会错误的方法。然后你的目标就是尽量少地犯错。当你第一次创业的时候,你很可能,一切的事情都很好,你的幸福指数很高,然后你会遇到各种各样的问题,幸福会不断下降,然后你会经历一整个世界的伤害。如果你进入任何一个现有的市场,面对那些强大的竞争对手,你的产品或服务必须要比他们好得多,它不能只是有一点点的优势,因为当你站在消费者的立场上时,你总是会购买值得你信赖的品牌,除非这个产品有很大的差异性。所以,你不能稍微好一点,而是要好得多。你必须有个创新思维,而不是(创造)更好的同一性。你做事情不是只需要好出10%,而是要创造出10倍的价值。想想iPod是如何取代随身听的,或者iPhone是如何取代黑莓的,又或者iPad是如何取代PalmPilot的?四、再漂亮的PPT都比不上拿出实际产品有说服力1995年,我来到加州(进入斯坦福大学念博士),想要找出提高电动车能量密度的方法,例如,有没有更好的电容器可以当作电池的替代。但那时,互联网兴起,我面临了两个抉择:继续研究成功机率不大的电容器技术,或者投身网络事业。最后,我选择辍学,参与网络创业,其中一家就是PayPal。创立PayPal最重要的领悟,来自于它的诞生过程。我们原先打算,用PayPal来提供整合性的金融服务,这是个很大、很复杂的系统。结果,每次在跟别人介绍这套系统时,大家都没什么兴趣。等到我们再介绍,系统里面有个电子邮件付款的小功能,所有人都变得好有兴趣。于是,我们决定把重点放在电子邮件付款,PayPal果然一炮而红。但是,当初要不是注意到了别人的反应,做出改变,我们或许不会这么成功。所以,搜集回馈很重要,要用它来修正你先前的假设。PayPal成功后,我开始想,眼前有哪些问题,最可能影响人类的未来?我认为,地球面临的最大问题是可持续能源,也就是如何用可持续的方式,生产和消费能源。如果不能在二十一世纪解决这个问题,我们将灾难临头。而另一个可能影响人类生存的大问题,是如何移居到其他星球。第一个问题,促使我成立了特斯拉和SolarCity(美国最大的屋顶太阳能系统供应商)。第二个问题,则让我创立了太空科技公司SpaceX。2002年,为了解决太空运输问题,我成立了SpaceX。当时跟我谈过的人,都劝我不要做,有个朋友还特别去找了火箭爆炸的影片给我看。他其实也没错,我从来没做过实体的产品,所以一开始真的很困难,火箭发射连续失败了三次,非常煎熬。但我们从每次失败中学习,终于在2008年的第四次发射成功,让猎鹰一号进入地球轨道,那时我已经用光了所有资金,幸好成功了。之后,我们的运输火箭从猎鹰一号做到了猎鹰九号,又开发出飞龙号太空船。最近,飞龙号在发射升空后,成功与国际太空站连接,再返回地球。我真的捏了一把冷汗,不敢相信我们做到了。但是,想要让人类移居其他星球,还有更多目标要达成。所以,我希望你们也来加入SpaceX或其他太空探索公司。这不是看衰地球,事实上,我对地球的未来还满乐观的,我认为有99%的机率,人类还可以安居很长一段时间。不过,就算地球只有1%的未来风险,也足以刺激我们提早准备,做好「星球备份」。2003年,为了证明电动车的潜力,我创立特斯拉公司。以往很多人都认为,电动车速度太慢、跑不远、外型又丑,跟高尔夫球车没两样。为了改变人们的印象,我们开发出了特斯拉Roadster,一款速度快、跑得远、造型拉风的电动跑车。所以,想要开公司,你必须实实在在地做出产品原型。因为,再怎么精彩的纸上作业、PowerPoint报告,都比不上拿出实际产品有说服力。Roadster面世后,又有人说,「就算做得出昂贵的限量跑车,你们有本事做真正的量产汽车吗?」没问题,我们就推出四门房车ModelS,证明给大家看。这就是我一路走来的创业历程。五、科学的方法对于搞清真相真的很有效提出一个问题。尽可能收集多的证据。根据证据制定公理,并尝试为每个公理设定一个可能性的概率值。根据有效性得出结论,以便确定:这些公理是否正确,是否相关,是否必然导致这个结论,以及有多大概率?试图推翻结论。寻求别人的反驳,进一步帮助打破你的结论。如果没有人可以使你的结论无效,那么你可能是对的,但你并不一定是对的。这就是科学的方法,而这对于搞清楚棘手的事情真的很有帮助。但是大多数人不会使用它,他们更愿意一厢情愿,他们无视反驳,他们根据别人正在做什么和没有做出什么的结果来形成结论。这样的推理就会导致「这是真的,因为我说的是真的」,但不是因为它客观上是真实的。我天生擅长工程学,这是我从父亲那里继承来的天赋,对别人来说很难的事对我来说很容易。曾有一段时间,我以为事情如此简单明了,每个人一定都知道这些。比如房子里的电线是怎么工作的。以及断路器的工作原理,什么是交流电和直流电、安培和伏特是什么,如何混合燃料和氧化剂以制造炸药。我以为每个人都知道这些知识,但实际上不是这样。而对于这些人我的建议是,想要明白事物的本质,应该读一读书,偶尔也可以逛逛Reddit,因为我就是靠书本长大的。六、物理学为我提供了一个最理想的研究框架想理解那些反直觉的新事物,我觉得物理学提供了一个最理想的研究框架。比如说,量子力学就是违背直觉的,现实世界似乎并不是那样运转,而事实就是,并可以通过实验高度精确地验证。物理学之所以能够在这些反直觉领域取得进展,就是因为它将事物拆分到最基本的实质,再往上推。我觉得这是很重要的方法,事实上也是了解新事物、探索未知领域的唯一有效方法。在日常生活中,我们非常善用类推方法,我们做别人正在做的事情,做些微小调整。类推提供了捷径,不需要大量思考,这在日常生活中没什么问题。我们不可能万事都用物理学第一原理,那需要太多计算。但第一原理对于了解新事物极其重要。现在,物理课的教学方式不对。我们通常让学生背各种枯燥的公式,却没有传递公式的基本含义。这些公式在现实中代表什么呢?一个公式所能描述的美妙现实世界是令人难以置信的。物理的美妙和神奇没有通过课堂来传递。另外,我觉得我们的教学应该以问题为重点,而不是以工具为重点。比方说,我们想了解内燃机的工作原理,那最好的方法就是把它拆开,把每个零部件都研究一下,然后再组装起来。在这个过程中我们需要什么工具呢?我们需要螺丝刀,扳手,以及其他各类工具。当你把内燃机拆开再组装起来的时候,你就知道这些工具的作用了。但如果反过来,让你先去上一堂关于螺丝刀和扳手的课,那效果就很差了,你很难记住。我们大脑的进化方式是记住跟我们相关的事物,所以一定要建立相关性,不然记忆的过程会很痛苦,也很困难,因为看上去太抽象而无关紧要。所以必须有相关性和重要性,要理解事物的原因,才能自然而然地吸收知识。我创立SpaceX的初衷不是为了创业。2001年,我跟一个朋友聊天的时候,提到为什么我们还没有登陆火星?因为既然在1969年就登陆了月球,那现在也应该快登陆火星了。我访问了NASA的官网,想看看有没有登陆火星的时间表,但什么也没找到。后来我了解到,NASA已经放弃登陆火星了。所以我想搞一个公益性质的项目,将一个小型温室送上火星表面,起到一个表率作用。如果成功的话,这将是地球生命去过的最远的地方,也是我们认知范围内生命首次出现在火星。所以我们就有了把绿色植物送上红色火星表面的宏伟计划,我想这应该能激起公众的兴趣,从而促使NASA增加预算,那样我们就能延续阿波罗之梦了。这就是最早的想法。我甚至还去了三趟俄罗斯,我想买一些用过的ICMB(洲际弹道导弹),用于火星任务。生意确实谈成了。但我这时意识到,之前的想法是错的。我们之所以没去火星,不是因为不想去,而是因为认为没有能力去。大家都觉得没有成功的可能,于是就放弃了。所以我决心创立一家公司,减少太空旅行的开支,同时改进火箭技术,因为火箭技术自上世纪六十年代以来根本没取得什么进展。从某种意义上说,火箭技术还退步了,因为将物质送入轨道需要花费的成本更高了。这就是我创立SpaceX的初衷,不过在公司刚创立的时候,我觉得公司的存活几率只有10%。物理学原理就是最有用的,只要好好研究下物理学原理就能发觉它是最有价值的。另外我觉得量子力学也很有趣,量子力学现象总是令人感到不可思议,但却都是真实的。量子力学很难学,因为量子力学极其违背直觉。你在其他很多领域都可以用直觉,但对于量子力学,你不能用惯常的思维方式来推断,因为你的直觉是无效的,所以量子力学很难。此外,量子力学还结合了大量高等数学和统计学的内容。我觉得应该尽可能广泛涉猎各个科目。很多创新发明都是跨学科的成果。我们的知识储备越来越庞大,所以必须能够融会贯通。有人精通一个领域,而不了解其他领域,如果你能把不同领域的知识结合在一起,就有机会创造出超常成果,这里有大把的创新机会。所以我鼓励大家尽可能广泛地学习各个科目。对于工科学生,我建议去学一点经济学,学点文学,或者其他领域。我建议,在有兴趣的前提下,大家可以学习每个领域的基础知识,然后思考一下如何将不同领域的知识融汇贯通。这样很容易产生奇思妙想。七、年纪愈大,要承担的责任愈多很多人问我,成功的秘诀是什么。第一,非常努力地工作(worksuperhard):想创业的人,尤其得如此。我跟我弟弟成立第一家公司Zip2的时候,我们租了一间办公室,直接就睡在沙发上,每天跑到YMCA洗澡,而且两人只有一台电脑。我们的网站只能在白天上线,因为晚上我要写程式。就这样,每周工作七天,只要是醒着的时候都在工作。第二,吸引顶尖人才与你共事:企业是一群人集合在一起创造产品或服务。不论你要创业或进入企业工作,关键都在与顶尖人才共事。你应该设法加入一个优秀团队,跟那些让你佩服的人一起工作。创业的话,更要想尽办法,找到最厉害的人才。第三,聚焦在信号,而非杂音(signalovernoise):很多企业混淆了焦点,花很多钱去做一些不会让产品变得更好的事情。在特斯拉,我们从不做广告,而是把钱投入研发和生产设计,不断改进产品。每家公司都应该自问,我们所做的这些事情,到底有没有让产品或服务更好,如果没有,就应该喊停了。第四,不要盲目跟随潮流:物理学研究的第一条原则,不要以类比方式来推理,应该从最根本的真理开始思考。物理学家就是运用这种原则,搞懂一些反直觉的东西,例如量子力学。所以,多利用这个原则来判断,你做的事情是否真的合理有意义,还是其实你只是在跟随别人?如果你想开创新事业、开发新产品,这是最好的思考方法。也许这些你已经听过,但确实没有什么捷径了。对于发现社会上的需求,如果你发觉这确实是大家所需要的,你可以找一些志同道合的人,一起来研究、解决。我觉得,最适合做这些事情的时候是大学时代或大学刚毕业,因为这个时候你身上承担的责任较轻,不需要养家。随着时间推移,你身上的担子越来越重,你就需要承担更大的风险。年纪愈大,要承担的责任愈多。你要面对可能会失败的风险时,往往还要考虑到身边的其他人,变得比较犹豫。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1283,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":686728368,"gmtCreate":1658499319956,"gmtModify":1703748888829,"author":{"id":"3482384284219919","authorId":"3482384284219919","name":"朝花夕拾NMC","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a7577fa2b065001f43de50c6bb331306","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482384284219919","idStr":"3482384284219919"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>不错","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>不错","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$不错","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9767c720b226efac52a7889623c75675","width":"1284","height":"2778"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/686728368","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1850,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":683907139,"gmtCreate":1655943347422,"gmtModify":1704863618259,"author":{"id":"3482384284219919","authorId":"3482384284219919","name":"朝花夕拾NMC","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a7577fa2b065001f43de50c6bb331306","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482384284219919","idStr":"3482384284219919"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"700!","listText":"700!","text":"700!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683907139","repostId":"1160718048","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160718048","pubTimestamp":1655906893,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160718048?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-06-22 22:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"700美元将成为特斯拉股价的牛熊线","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160718048","media":"巴伦周刊","summary":"特斯拉的利润仍在以高于预期的速度增长。周二(6月21日),特斯拉股价大涨9.4%,至711.11美元。马斯克当日在卡塔尔经济论坛(Qatar Economic Forum)上的表态缓解了特斯拉投资者最","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>特斯拉的利润仍在以高于预期的速度增长。</blockquote><p>周二(6月21日),特斯拉股价大涨9.4%,至711.11美元。马斯克当日在卡塔尔经济论坛(Qatar Economic Forum)上的表态缓解了特斯拉投资者最近的一些担忧。今日盘中,特斯拉股价再度上涨,截止发稿,该股上涨3.7%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5daa23b1cef593acbb8c3e8730cf44aa\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>特斯拉近日因裁员遭到前员工的起诉,马斯克对此回应称,特斯拉将在未来三个月裁减10%按月领工资的员工,但计划增加按小时领工资的员工数量,裁员人数最终只占总员工数的3.5%左右,不会造成“实质性影响”。他还表示,从现在开始的一年内特斯拉的员工数量会更多。</p><p>此外,马斯克还对特斯拉车辆的需求和该公司面临的竞争发表了乐观言论。他表示,特斯拉面临的最大的制约因素与原材料和产量有关,他更关注的是这些问题,而不是来自其他车企的竞争。</p><p>马斯克说:“所有想订购特斯拉汽车的人都知道,需求非常旺盛,订购等待名单很长。”这说明虽然面临竞争和通胀导致的价格上涨等问题,但马斯克认为特斯拉生产的电动汽车在可预见的未来都能卖得出去。</p><p>投资者曾担心通胀可能会影响新车需求。6月16日特斯拉公布提价的消息后,该公司股价一度暴跌了8.5%,但马斯克的表态说明言论表明消费者并没有因此放弃购买新车。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/306a496a4be62dbca0937a20d490ff49\" tg-width=\"900\" tg-height=\"534\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>股票“大甩卖”带来买入点</b></p><p>受宏观经济前景恶化、科技股抛售潮和收购推特的不确定性等因素的拖累,今年迄今特斯拉股价仍累计下跌40.73%,是标普500指数同期跌幅的两倍。</p><p>虽然受到一系列不利因素的影响,但一些分析人士认为,特斯拉的利润仍在以高于预期的速度增长,近期股价的大幅回落创造了一个“极有吸引力的切入点”。</p><p>CFRA分析师加勒特·尼尔森(Garrett Nelson)周二在研报中写道,虽然特斯拉的股票最近出现了“大甩卖”,但该公司仍是“市场上最引人瞩目的成长故事之一,和苹果(AAPL)或亚马逊(AMZN)等给行业带来颠覆的公司一样,是一项具有长期回报潜力的投资。</p><p>尼尔森指出,相比特斯拉今年迄今的跌幅,其他汽车制造商的跌幅更大,平均跌幅在52%左右。他说:“特斯拉成长故事中的几个关键积极因素没有被市场看到。”这其中包括“卓越的”运营和利润增长、德州奥斯汀和德国柏林新工厂的潜在产量增长、以及“资产负债表的显著改善和未来产品线。”</p><p>尼尔森还认为,市场低估了高油价在推动电动汽车销量方面可能起到的作用。此外,特斯拉还可能比市场预计的更早推出Cybertruck和商用电动卡车Semi。</p><p>在收购推特的问题上,一些人担心推特会“分散马斯克和特斯拉的注意力”,但尼尔森认为,马斯克身边有一支“能力很强”的特斯拉高管团队,此外,虽然身兼多职,但多年来马斯克一直保持着特斯拉和SpaceX增长的平衡。</p><p>《巴伦周刊》认为,对于特斯拉的投资者来说,最重要的还是关注交付量是否会持续增长。目前华尔街的预期是,2022年特斯拉将交付约140万辆汽车,高于2021年的93.6万辆;2023年和2024年交付量将分别达到210万和260万。</p><p><b>守住700美元是关键</b></p><p>从技术面来看,目前620美元仍是特斯拉股价的关键支撑位,突破700美元后这一阻力位将再次变为之前的支撑位,特斯拉的股价重回“中性区域”。同样位于700美元附近的20日移动均线也可能会给股价的上涨带来一些阻力。</p><p>如果特斯拉的股价无法守在700美元上方,接下来可能会回落至620美元的支撑位,如果这一支撑位失守,股价可能会降到600美元或550美元。最重要的一点是,目前20日移动均线远低于50日移动均线,这说明特斯拉股价还处于下跌趋势中,只有守住700美元至少一周时间才可能打破这一下跌趋势。</p><p><b>700美元上方的下一个阻力位是756美元,如果股价能突破这一阻力位、进一步上涨并成功收于775美元上方的话,特斯拉的股票将迎来一个新的牛市。</b></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1587985706210","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n700美元将成为特斯拉股价的牛熊线\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-06-22 22:08 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzU3MDc5NTU0NQ==&mid=2247529982&idx=2&sn=34dee7501713d75c9d67cd0b76f88886&chksm=fcebc688cb9c4f9e0a6573bb5ede553155bc8182949b404cbdf5437d25a421d69b343a868a76#rd><strong>巴伦周刊</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>特斯拉的利润仍在以高于预期的速度增长。周二(6月21日),特斯拉股价大涨9.4%,至711.11美元。马斯克当日在卡塔尔经济论坛(Qatar Economic Forum)上的表态缓解了特斯拉投资者最近的一些担忧。今日盘中,特斯拉股价再度上涨,截止发稿,该股上涨3.7%。特斯拉近日因裁员遭到前员工的起诉,马斯克对此回应称,特斯拉将在未来三个月裁减10%按月领工资的员工,但计划增加按小时领工资的员工...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzU3MDc5NTU0NQ==&mid=2247529982&idx=2&sn=34dee7501713d75c9d67cd0b76f88886&chksm=fcebc688cb9c4f9e0a6573bb5ede553155bc8182949b404cbdf5437d25a421d69b343a868a76#rd\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/306a496a4be62dbca0937a20d490ff49","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzU3MDc5NTU0NQ==&mid=2247529982&idx=2&sn=34dee7501713d75c9d67cd0b76f88886&chksm=fcebc688cb9c4f9e0a6573bb5ede553155bc8182949b404cbdf5437d25a421d69b343a868a76#rd","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160718048","content_text":"特斯拉的利润仍在以高于预期的速度增长。周二(6月21日),特斯拉股价大涨9.4%,至711.11美元。马斯克当日在卡塔尔经济论坛(Qatar Economic Forum)上的表态缓解了特斯拉投资者最近的一些担忧。今日盘中,特斯拉股价再度上涨,截止发稿,该股上涨3.7%。特斯拉近日因裁员遭到前员工的起诉,马斯克对此回应称,特斯拉将在未来三个月裁减10%按月领工资的员工,但计划增加按小时领工资的员工数量,裁员人数最终只占总员工数的3.5%左右,不会造成“实质性影响”。他还表示,从现在开始的一年内特斯拉的员工数量会更多。此外,马斯克还对特斯拉车辆的需求和该公司面临的竞争发表了乐观言论。他表示,特斯拉面临的最大的制约因素与原材料和产量有关,他更关注的是这些问题,而不是来自其他车企的竞争。马斯克说:“所有想订购特斯拉汽车的人都知道,需求非常旺盛,订购等待名单很长。”这说明虽然面临竞争和通胀导致的价格上涨等问题,但马斯克认为特斯拉生产的电动汽车在可预见的未来都能卖得出去。投资者曾担心通胀可能会影响新车需求。6月16日特斯拉公布提价的消息后,该公司股价一度暴跌了8.5%,但马斯克的表态说明言论表明消费者并没有因此放弃购买新车。股票“大甩卖”带来买入点受宏观经济前景恶化、科技股抛售潮和收购推特的不确定性等因素的拖累,今年迄今特斯拉股价仍累计下跌40.73%,是标普500指数同期跌幅的两倍。虽然受到一系列不利因素的影响,但一些分析人士认为,特斯拉的利润仍在以高于预期的速度增长,近期股价的大幅回落创造了一个“极有吸引力的切入点”。CFRA分析师加勒特·尼尔森(Garrett Nelson)周二在研报中写道,虽然特斯拉的股票最近出现了“大甩卖”,但该公司仍是“市场上最引人瞩目的成长故事之一,和苹果(AAPL)或亚马逊(AMZN)等给行业带来颠覆的公司一样,是一项具有长期回报潜力的投资。尼尔森指出,相比特斯拉今年迄今的跌幅,其他汽车制造商的跌幅更大,平均跌幅在52%左右。他说:“特斯拉成长故事中的几个关键积极因素没有被市场看到。”这其中包括“卓越的”运营和利润增长、德州奥斯汀和德国柏林新工厂的潜在产量增长、以及“资产负债表的显著改善和未来产品线。”尼尔森还认为,市场低估了高油价在推动电动汽车销量方面可能起到的作用。此外,特斯拉还可能比市场预计的更早推出Cybertruck和商用电动卡车Semi。在收购推特的问题上,一些人担心推特会“分散马斯克和特斯拉的注意力”,但尼尔森认为,马斯克身边有一支“能力很强”的特斯拉高管团队,此外,虽然身兼多职,但多年来马斯克一直保持着特斯拉和SpaceX增长的平衡。《巴伦周刊》认为,对于特斯拉的投资者来说,最重要的还是关注交付量是否会持续增长。目前华尔街的预期是,2022年特斯拉将交付约140万辆汽车,高于2021年的93.6万辆;2023年和2024年交付量将分别达到210万和260万。守住700美元是关键从技术面来看,目前620美元仍是特斯拉股价的关键支撑位,突破700美元后这一阻力位将再次变为之前的支撑位,特斯拉的股价重回“中性区域”。同样位于700美元附近的20日移动均线也可能会给股价的上涨带来一些阻力。如果特斯拉的股价无法守在700美元上方,接下来可能会回落至620美元的支撑位,如果这一支撑位失守,股价可能会降到600美元或550美元。最重要的一点是,目前20日移动均线远低于50日移动均线,这说明特斯拉股价还处于下跌趋势中,只有守住700美元至少一周时间才可能打破这一下跌趋势。700美元上方的下一个阻力位是756美元,如果股价能突破这一阻力位、进一步上涨并成功收于775美元上方的话,特斯拉的股票将迎来一个新的牛市。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1261,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":343422253,"gmtCreate":1617751230972,"gmtModify":1617751230972,"author":{"id":"3482384284219919","authorId":"3482384284219919","name":"朝花夕拾NMC","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a7577fa2b065001f43de50c6bb331306","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3482384284219919","idStr":"3482384284219919"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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