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2023-06-30
美国银行不是刚评估过，结果是稳健么
“神算子”再出惊人预测：美联储将加息至6%，银行业或现“核爆”
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tg-height=\"896\"/></p><p>银行业“核爆”、黄金飞天？</p><p>随着美联储收紧货币政策，罗戈预计美国各地会有更多的银行倒闭。</p><p>他说，“<strong>我预计整个银行体系崩溃，像核弹一样被引爆”。</strong></p><p>今年年初四大银行相继倒闭后，美国银行体系面临不确定性。最近倒闭的第一共和银行管理着超过2000亿美元的资产，是美国历史上第二大破产银行。</p><p>罗戈认为，商业房地产贷款将成为下一轮银行倒闭的催化剂，许多地区性银行都有商业房地产贷款敞口。</p><p>他观察到，“在达拉斯和迈阿密等热门市场，空置率高达20%。而（地区性银行）持有大量商业地产贷款……所有以信贷为基础的资产都将缩水”。</p><p>随着银行体系的崩溃和经济的衰退，罗戈预测像黄金这样的硬资产将会受益。</p><p>他预测，“如果我们以上世纪70年代为参考，<strong>未来几年金价将至少达到8000至1万美元</strong>。如果美元在鲍威尔的领导下崩溃，那么对黄金和黄金投资者来说，事情可能会变得非常有趣”。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“神算子”再出惊人预测：美联储将加息至6%，银行业或现“核爆”</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“神算子”再出惊人预测：美联储将加息至6%，银行业或现“核爆”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-30 17:57 北京时间 <a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=116084&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>去年成功预测美联储将继续加息的专家预计，年底前可能还有多次加息，这最终将导致银行体系“像核弹一样被引爆”，黄金未来几年或大有可为.......周四，在接受贵金属网站Kitco的采访时，金融专栏作家、Gold Goats'n Guns通讯的出版商汤姆·罗戈（Tom Luongo）表示，他预计美联储将在2023年将利率提高到6%。罗戈在2022年曾正确预测，美联储主席鲍威尔将在2023年继续加息至...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=116084&type=news&data_type=0\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47087cc51cb071913786ea9900a8900e","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=116084&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2347311236","content_text":"去年成功预测美联储将继续加息的专家预计，年底前可能还有多次加息，这最终将导致银行体系“像核弹一样被引爆”，黄金未来几年或大有可为.......周四，在接受贵金属网站Kitco的采访时，金融专栏作家、Gold Goats'n Guns通讯的出版商汤姆·罗戈（Tom Luongo）表示，他预计美联储将在2023年将利率提高到6%。罗戈在2022年曾正确预测，美联储主席鲍威尔将在2023年继续加息至4.5%至6%的区间，当时许多分析师预测紧缩政策逆转或走到尽头。罗戈告诉Kitco新闻的首席主播兼总编辑米歇尔·马科里（Michelle Makori）称，“我认为他（鲍威尔）将再次加息，甚至可能在年底前多次加息，最终在6%左右结束”。为了降低通胀率，自2022年3月以来，美联储已经将联邦基金利率提高了500个基点，至5%到5.25%区间。通胀率在2022年6月达到了9.1%的峰值，当前已有所下降但进展依旧缓慢。美联储此前曾在2020年将利率降至零，以帮助美国政府促进与新冠肺炎相关的救济。分析人士称，这导致了2022年的高通胀。罗戈认为，鲍威尔此前是“被迫”采取宽松的货币政策的，他本人是反对的。“鲍威尔一直是一个硬通货分子（“a hard money guy”，即担心量化宽松将引发恶性通胀 ），我认为新冠疫情迫使他采取了他不想要的政策。”银行业“核爆”、黄金飞天？随着美联储收紧货币政策，罗戈预计美国各地会有更多的银行倒闭。他说，“我预计整个银行体系崩溃，像核弹一样被引爆”。今年年初四大银行相继倒闭后，美国银行体系面临不确定性。最近倒闭的第一共和银行管理着超过2000亿美元的资产，是美国历史上第二大破产银行。罗戈认为，商业房地产贷款将成为下一轮银行倒闭的催化剂，许多地区性银行都有商业房地产贷款敞口。他观察到，“在达拉斯和迈阿密等热门市场，空置率高达20%。而（地区性银行）持有大量商业地产贷款……所有以信贷为基础的资产都将缩水”。随着银行体系的崩溃和经济的衰退，罗戈预测像黄金这样的硬资产将会受益。他预测，“如果我们以上世纪70年代为参考，未来几年金价将至少达到8000至1万美元。如果美元在鲍威尔的领导下崩溃，那么对黄金和黄金投资者来说，事情可能会变得非常有趣”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":193022772404424,"gmtCreate":1688134364140,"gmtModify":1688136233538,"author":{"id":"3476321940299340","authorId":"3476321940299340","name":"就这样秃头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e16c5ba30151d2570362f33c24bd901","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3476321940299340","authorIdStr":"3476321940299340"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"美国银行不是刚评估过，结果是稳健么","listText":"美国银行不是刚评估过，结果是稳健么","text":"美国银行不是刚评估过，结果是稳健么","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193022772404424","repostId":"2347311236","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2347311236","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1688119042,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2347311236?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-06-30 17:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"“神算子”再出惊人预测：美联储将加息至6%，银行业或现“核爆”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2347311236","media":"金十数据","summary":"年底前可能还有多次加息。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>去年成功预测美联储将继续加息的专家预计，年底前可能还有多次加息，这最终将导致银行体系“像核弹一样被引爆”，黄金未来几年或大有可为.......</blockquote><p>周四，在接受贵金属网站Kitco的采访时，金融专栏作家、Gold Goats'n Guns通讯的出版商汤姆·罗戈（Tom Luongo）表示，他预计<strong>美联储将在2023年将利率提高到6%。</strong></p><p>罗戈在2022年曾正确预测，美联储主席鲍威尔将在2023年继续加息至4.5%至6%的区间，当时许多分析师预测紧缩政策逆转或走到尽头。</p><p>罗戈告诉Kitco新闻的首席主播兼总编辑米歇尔·马科里（Michelle Makori）称，“我认为他（鲍威尔）将再次加息，甚至可能在年底前多次加息，最终在6%左右结束”。</p><p>为了降低通胀率，自2022年3月以来，美联储已经将联邦基金利率提高了500个基点，至5%到5.25%区间。通胀率在2022年6月达到了9.1%的峰值，当前已有所下降但进展依旧缓慢。</p><p>美联储此前曾在2020年将利率降至零，以帮助美国政府促进与新冠肺炎相关的救济。分析人士称，这导致了2022年的高通胀。</p><p>罗戈认为，鲍威尔此前是“被迫”采取宽松的货币政策的，他本人是反对的。“鲍威尔一直是一个硬通货分子（“a hard money guy”，即担心量化宽松将引发恶性通胀 ），我认为新冠疫情迫使他采取了他不想要的政策。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e19c78ec6fbe18bfaf3e34a316bbe42\" tg-width=\"1344\" tg-height=\"896\"/></p><p>银行业“核爆”、黄金飞天？</p><p>随着美联储收紧货币政策，罗戈预计美国各地会有更多的银行倒闭。</p><p>他说，“<strong>我预计整个银行体系崩溃，像核弹一样被引爆”。</strong></p><p>今年年初四大银行相继倒闭后，美国银行体系面临不确定性。最近倒闭的第一共和银行管理着超过2000亿美元的资产，是美国历史上第二大破产银行。</p><p>罗戈认为，商业房地产贷款将成为下一轮银行倒闭的催化剂，许多地区性银行都有商业房地产贷款敞口。</p><p>他观察到，“在达拉斯和迈阿密等热门市场，空置率高达20%。而（地区性银行）持有大量商业地产贷款……所有以信贷为基础的资产都将缩水”。</p><p>随着银行体系的崩溃和经济的衰退，罗戈预测像黄金这样的硬资产将会受益。</p><p>他预测，“如果我们以上世纪70年代为参考，<strong>未来几年金价将至少达到8000至1万美元</strong>。如果美元在鲍威尔的领导下崩溃，那么对黄金和黄金投资者来说，事情可能会变得非常有趣”。</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“神算子”再出惊人预测：美联储将加息至6%，银行业或现“核爆”</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“神算子”再出惊人预测：美联储将加息至6%，银行业或现“核爆”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-06-30 17:57 北京时间 <a href=https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=116084&type=news&data_type=0><strong>金十数据</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>去年成功预测美联储将继续加息的专家预计，年底前可能还有多次加息，这最终将导致银行体系“像核弹一样被引爆”，黄金未来几年或大有可为.......周四，在接受贵金属网站Kitco的采访时，金融专栏作家、Gold Goats'n Guns通讯的出版商汤姆·罗戈（Tom Luongo）表示，他预计美联储将在2023年将利率提高到6%。罗戈在2022年曾正确预测，美联储主席鲍威尔将在2023年继续加息至...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=116084&type=news&data_type=0\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/47087cc51cb071913786ea9900a8900e","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=116084&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2347311236","content_text":"去年成功预测美联储将继续加息的专家预计，年底前可能还有多次加息，这最终将导致银行体系“像核弹一样被引爆”，黄金未来几年或大有可为.......周四，在接受贵金属网站Kitco的采访时，金融专栏作家、Gold Goats'n Guns通讯的出版商汤姆·罗戈（Tom Luongo）表示，他预计美联储将在2023年将利率提高到6%。罗戈在2022年曾正确预测，美联储主席鲍威尔将在2023年继续加息至4.5%至6%的区间，当时许多分析师预测紧缩政策逆转或走到尽头。罗戈告诉Kitco新闻的首席主播兼总编辑米歇尔·马科里（Michelle Makori）称，“我认为他（鲍威尔）将再次加息，甚至可能在年底前多次加息，最终在6%左右结束”。为了降低通胀率，自2022年3月以来，美联储已经将联邦基金利率提高了500个基点，至5%到5.25%区间。通胀率在2022年6月达到了9.1%的峰值，当前已有所下降但进展依旧缓慢。美联储此前曾在2020年将利率降至零，以帮助美国政府促进与新冠肺炎相关的救济。分析人士称，这导致了2022年的高通胀。罗戈认为，鲍威尔此前是“被迫”采取宽松的货币政策的，他本人是反对的。“鲍威尔一直是一个硬通货分子（“a hard money guy”，即担心量化宽松将引发恶性通胀 ），我认为新冠疫情迫使他采取了他不想要的政策。”银行业“核爆”、黄金飞天？随着美联储收紧货币政策，罗戈预计美国各地会有更多的银行倒闭。他说，“我预计整个银行体系崩溃，像核弹一样被引爆”。今年年初四大银行相继倒闭后，美国银行体系面临不确定性。最近倒闭的第一共和银行管理着超过2000亿美元的资产，是美国历史上第二大破产银行。罗戈认为，商业房地产贷款将成为下一轮银行倒闭的催化剂，许多地区性银行都有商业房地产贷款敞口。他观察到，“在达拉斯和迈阿密等热门市场，空置率高达20%。而（地区性银行）持有大量商业地产贷款……所有以信贷为基础的资产都将缩水”。随着银行体系的崩溃和经济的衰退，罗戈预测像黄金这样的硬资产将会受益。他预测，“如果我们以上世纪70年代为参考，未来几年金价将至少达到8000至1万美元。如果美元在鲍威尔的领导下崩溃，那么对黄金和黄金投资者来说，事情可能会变得非常有趣”。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":905,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}
