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2023-08-05

不看基本面的买入都是投机，不看大趋势的买入都是二愣子

夜读 | 股票到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买？

2024-10-25

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 因为有马斯克这货在，千万不能再碰，未来一定是个垃圾股

2017-11-27

$红黄蓝(RYB)$有的全抛

2019-07-27

$万达体育(WSG)$12起步，不到15别卖，中国体育历史第一股！

2021-12-24

$爱奇艺(IQ)$何去何从？？？

2021-09-21

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$买买买买买买买，越跌越买，年度翻番就靠你了

2021-01-27

携程利空因素出尽，未来可期

2017-11-27

$红黄蓝(RYB)$持有这只股票的都是脑袋被驴踢了

2021-09-22

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$买买买，错过这趟车就是五年后再见了

2022-02-10

$Meta Platforms(FB)$此时不抄底更待何时？等大佬们坐好了你再吃残羹剩饭？[开心]

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因为有马斯克这货在，千万不能再碰，未来一定是个垃圾股","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/363661990883632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3500646460202211","authorId":"3500646460202211","name":"七风哥哥","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/995231888a039cddd9f2f0ecf7b865b0","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3500646460202211","authorIdStr":"3500646460202211"},"content":"做空把你亏惨了吧！哈哈哈","text":"做空把你亏惨了吧！哈哈哈","html":"做空把你亏惨了吧！哈哈哈"},{"author":{"id":"3548930428213530","authorId":"3548930428213530","name":"untamed","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/005c811d29b27809c3a364aec63ab5aa","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3548930428213530","authorIdStr":"3548930428213530"},"content":"我把自己坑惨了 不怪特斯拉","text":"我把自己坑惨了 不怪特斯拉","html":"我把自己坑惨了 不怪特斯拉"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":205537763246336,"gmtCreate":1691189502036,"gmtModify":1691199970191,"author":{"id":"3471528192194081","authorId":"3471528192194081","name":"西风侯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a6e94893597288c0228b11c5febb8e7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471528192194081","authorIdStr":"3471528192194081"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不看基本面的买入都是投机，不看大趋势的买入都是二愣子","listText":"不看基本面的买入都是投机，不看大趋势的买入都是二愣子","text":"不看基本面的买入都是投机，不看大趋势的买入都是二愣子","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/205537763246336","repostId":"1120544354","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120544354","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1691161522,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120544354?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-08-04 23:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"夜读 | 股票到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120544354","media":"期乐会","summary":"聪明的投资者都知道买入股票要分批进行，但到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买，则不同人有不同的看法。有人认为遭遇下跌时补仓摊平成本并不可取，应越涨越买，保证每一次交易一开始就是盈利的。而有些人则是越跌越买，因为其买入逻辑是价格低于价值，那当然是价格越低，就越值得买入。如果已经涨了一大段，你还是越涨越买，就会造成买入成本过高。在熊市初期和个股的顶部，最忌讳的是越跌越买。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><strong>导读：</strong>实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。</blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">聪明的投资者都知道买入股票要分批进行，但到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买，则不同人有不同的看法。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">有人认为遭遇下跌时补仓摊平成本并不可取，应越涨越买，保证每一次交易一开始就是盈利的。如果买入后即下跌，说明这次操作判断失误，不应再继续追加投入。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">而有些人则是越跌越买，因为其买入逻辑是价格低于价值，那当然是价格越低，就越值得买入。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到底哪种方法正确呢？实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>技术派：顺势交易</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">技术派的重要原则是顺势交易，因此大多是做右侧交易，当上升趋势明确后才买入。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">如果买入后上涨，说明对趋势方向判断正确，才应该继续追加资金。如果买入后下跌，说明是这个买入操作是错误的，就不应该继续买入来扩大这个错误，而应该考虑是否该止损了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这种越涨越买的方法对于买入点的要求很高。要精确判断上升趋势确立的那个关键点（注意不是说底部的那个最低点，试图抄到最低点是一种贪心）。如果已经涨了一大段，你还是越涨越买，就会造成买入成本过高。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">一种很多高手推荐的方法是在放量突破盘整平台时买入一部分，在突破后回撤颈线确认时再买一部分。如果不回撤直接涨上去，就不追高了，等下次回调再买。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>基本面派：逢低买入</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">如果是价值投资者，会更喜欢做左侧交易，在上升趋势出现之前就开始越跌越买，前提是要对公司的估值做出准确的分析计算，买入点要足够低，留出足够的安全边际，各档买入价要拉开足够的差距。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在熊市初期和个股的顶部，最忌讳的是越跌越买。大量的散户在看到下跌时，第一反应就是加仓摊平成本，这是飞蛾扑火般的本能冲动。像这样对于个股的估值和涨跌空间都不加判断，盲目地越跌越买，是技术派强烈批判的错误操作方法。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">越跌越买的前提，一定是要能够准确判断出个股的价值，确认其下跌空间已经不大，而且还要考虑大盘趋势和牛熊市的状态。即使如此，也常常会承受在底部长期横盘的折磨，付出大量的时间成本，这是左侧交易的天然缺陷。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">左侧买入的优点是只要对底部区域的判断大致成功，可以把持仓成本摊薄至较低的水平，之后便可持股待涨，尤其在熊转牛的过程中，尽享翻倍收益。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>大资金&amp;小资金</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">大资金建仓时间长，往往需要在左侧建仓，如果等到涨起来之后再买，成本就太高了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">小资金进出灵活，等到上升趋势确立后再买，就成功率更高。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">折中的方法</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">还可以考虑把左侧和右侧交易结合起来的方法，即在中线上升趋势确立时才开始买入，但不急于追涨，而是在短线回调过程中逢低买入，金字塔式加仓。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">例如看到一只好股，从基本面和技术面都判断有很大的上升空间，但已经大幅上涨，于是先只买入1/2的资金量，然后在股价向上趋势的行进过程中，一旦回踩至10日、20日甚至30日均线处再加仓（注意：越往上加仓量越小），如果买到某一档就涨上去不回头了，就放弃后面几档的买入，留着资金等待其他机会。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其实如何买是枝节问题，更重要的是买什么、何时买。如果股票质地好，股价处于下跌趋势的末期或上涨趋势的初期，那么越涨越买和越跌越买都是正确的；反之如果股票差，或者股价处于下跌初期或上涨末期，那么无论怎么买都是错误的。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">但是顶和底的位置很难准确判断，为防范判断错误的风险，可以根据实际情况和自己的理念来采用分批买入的方法，避免一次性集中买入的错判风险。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">另外在股价运行的不同阶段，可以采用不同的买入策略，在底部刚开始向上突破的阶段，如果非常有把握，大势也配合，可以激进一些，一开始就买入较重的仓位；如果是较高位置调仓换股，可以采用稳健一点的策略，等回调了再逢低买入。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1645511055786","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n夜读 | 股票到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-04 23:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GdmjJKmE_josevfKBIw78Q><strong>期乐会</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>导读：实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。聪明的投资者都知道买入股票要分批进行，但到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买，则不同人有不同的看法。有人认为遭遇下跌时补仓摊平成本并不可取，应越涨越买，保证每一次交易一开始就是盈利的。如果买入后即下跌，说明这次操作判断失误，不应再继续追加投入。而有些人则是越跌越买，因为其买入逻辑是价格低于价值，那当然...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GdmjJKmE_josevfKBIw78Q\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GdmjJKmE_josevfKBIw78Q","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120544354","content_text":"导读：实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。聪明的投资者都知道买入股票要分批进行，但到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买，则不同人有不同的看法。有人认为遭遇下跌时补仓摊平成本并不可取，应越涨越买，保证每一次交易一开始就是盈利的。如果买入后即下跌，说明这次操作判断失误，不应再继续追加投入。而有些人则是越跌越买，因为其买入逻辑是价格低于价值，那当然是价格越低，就越值得买入。到底哪种方法正确呢？实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。技术派：顺势交易技术派的重要原则是顺势交易，因此大多是做右侧交易，当上升趋势明确后才买入。如果买入后上涨，说明对趋势方向判断正确，才应该继续追加资金。如果买入后下跌，说明是这个买入操作是错误的，就不应该继续买入来扩大这个错误，而应该考虑是否该止损了。这种越涨越买的方法对于买入点的要求很高。要精确判断上升趋势确立的那个关键点（注意不是说底部的那个最低点，试图抄到最低点是一种贪心）。如果已经涨了一大段，你还是越涨越买，就会造成买入成本过高。一种很多高手推荐的方法是在放量突破盘整平台时买入一部分，在突破后回撤颈线确认时再买一部分。如果不回撤直接涨上去，就不追高了，等下次回调再买。基本面派：逢低买入如果是价值投资者，会更喜欢做左侧交易，在上升趋势出现之前就开始越跌越买，前提是要对公司的估值做出准确的分析计算，买入点要足够低，留出足够的安全边际，各档买入价要拉开足够的差距。在熊市初期和个股的顶部，最忌讳的是越跌越买。大量的散户在看到下跌时，第一反应就是加仓摊平成本，这是飞蛾扑火般的本能冲动。像这样对于个股的估值和涨跌空间都不加判断，盲目地越跌越买，是技术派强烈批判的错误操作方法。越跌越买的前提，一定是要能够准确判断出个股的价值，确认其下跌空间已经不大，而且还要考虑大盘趋势和牛熊市的状态。即使如此，也常常会承受在底部长期横盘的折磨，付出大量的时间成本，这是左侧交易的天然缺陷。左侧买入的优点是只要对底部区域的判断大致成功，可以把持仓成本摊薄至较低的水平，之后便可持股待涨，尤其在熊转牛的过程中，尽享翻倍收益。大资金&小资金大资金建仓时间长，往往需要在左侧建仓，如果等到涨起来之后再买，成本就太高了。小资金进出灵活，等到上升趋势确立后再买，就成功率更高。折中的方法还可以考虑把左侧和右侧交易结合起来的方法，即在中线上升趋势确立时才开始买入，但不急于追涨，而是在短线回调过程中逢低买入，金字塔式加仓。例如看到一只好股，从基本面和技术面都判断有很大的上升空间，但已经大幅上涨，于是先只买入1/2的资金量，然后在股价向上趋势的行进过程中，一旦回踩至10日、20日甚至30日均线处再加仓（注意：越往上加仓量越小），如果买到某一档就涨上去不回头了，就放弃后面几档的买入，留着资金等待其他机会。其实如何买是枝节问题，更重要的是买什么、何时买。如果股票质地好，股价处于下跌趋势的末期或上涨趋势的初期，那么越涨越买和越跌越买都是正确的；反之如果股票差，或者股价处于下跌初期或上涨末期，那么无论怎么买都是错误的。但是顶和底的位置很难准确判断，为防范判断错误的风险，可以根据实际情况和自己的理念来采用分批买入的方法，避免一次性集中买入的错判风险。另外在股价运行的不同阶段，可以采用不同的买入策略，在底部刚开始向上突破的阶段，如果非常有把握，大势也配合，可以激进一些，一开始就买入较重的仓位；如果是较高位置调仓换股，可以采用稳健一点的策略，等回调了再逢低买入。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274709946712","authorId":"3479274709946712","name":"奔跑吧美股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/190c480144551a8d6ba305539b5ededa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274709946712","authorIdStr":"3479274709946712"},"content":"要不要把你的股票给我们学习一下?","text":"要不要把你的股票给我们学习一下?","html":"要不要把你的股票给我们学习一下?"},{"author":{"id":"3479274732372511","authorId":"3479274732372511","name":"黄老怪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d01265730fbb9a0b9e195d51c4c1680","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3479274732372511","authorIdStr":"3479274732372511"},"content":"如今这样的猴市，看基本面往往会失效","text":"如今这样的猴市，看基本面往往会失效","html":"如今这样的猴市，看基本面往往会失效"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":688895070,"gmtCreate":1657552281795,"gmtModify":1704867575481,"author":{"id":"3471528192194081","authorId":"3471528192194081","name":"西风侯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a6e94893597288c0228b11c5febb8e7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471528192194081","authorIdStr":"3471528192194081"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"果然中丐","listText":"果然中丐","text":"果然中丐","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/688895070","repostId":"1166565777","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166565777","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1657546805,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166565777?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-07-11 21:40","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"热门中概股跌幅扩大，贝壳跌近10%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166565777","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月11日，美股盘初快速走低，纳指跌2%。热门中概股跌幅扩大，贝壳跌近10%，哔哩哔哩跌超9%，拼多多跌近9%，携程、阿里巴巴跌超8%，爱奇艺跌超7%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>7月11日，美股盘初快速走低，纳指跌2%。热门中概股跌幅扩大，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌近9%，携程、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>跌超7%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c848215935cda33d2b0606aba080481a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>热门中概股跌幅扩大，贝壳跌近10%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; 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21:40</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>7月11日，美股盘初快速走低，纳指跌2%。热门中概股跌幅扩大，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">贝壳</a>跌近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>跌超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌近9%，携程、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>跌超7%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c848215935cda33d2b0606aba080481a\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8096cd7f84ff9bdf6a0b68a70cd7094f","relate_stocks":{"BILI":"哔哩哔哩","BEKE":"贝壳"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166565777","content_text":"7月11日，美股盘初快速走低，纳指跌2%。热门中概股跌幅扩大，贝壳跌近10%，哔哩哔哩跌超9%，拼多多跌近9%，携程、阿里巴巴跌超8%，爱奇艺跌超7%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BILI":0.9,"BEKE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3742,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634591617,"gmtCreate":1647551606279,"gmtModify":1647551606279,"author":{"id":"3471528192194081","authorId":"3471528192194081","name":"西风侯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a6e94893597288c0228b11c5febb8e7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471528192194081","authorIdStr":"3471528192194081"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"巴菲特应该是说永远不要做空美国，真会断章取义","listText":"巴菲特应该是说永远不要做空美国，真会断章取义","text":"巴菲特应该是说永远不要做空美国，真会断章取义","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634591617","repostId":"1126090936","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1126090936","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647529154,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1126090936?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-17 22:59","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"夜读 | 暴涨暴跌下的冷思考","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1126090936","media":"格隆商学院","summary":"这几天市场的暴涨暴跌，牵动着千万人的心，哪怕不炒股的人看到这波澜壮阔的大波动也算是见证了历史。面对高波动市场，今天我们就不聊别的，给大家总结一些顶级投资大咖们的经验之谈，一起冷静思考。1.如果你的亲朋","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>这几天市场的<b>暴涨暴跌</b>，牵动着千万人的心，哪怕不炒股的人看到这波澜壮阔的大波动也算是见证了历史。</p><p>面对高波动市场，今天我们就不聊别的，给大家总结一些顶级投资大咖们的经验之谈，一起<b>冷静思考。</b></p><p>1.如果你的亲朋好友们很焦虑高通胀下，<b>资产如何保值</b>。你可以告诉他们一些历史数据。沃顿商学院西格尔教授，统计了美国200年历史中四大类资产去除通胀后的投资回报。其中<b>股票上涨了75万倍，年化收益率最高，达到6%-7%；</b>债券上涨了1083倍；黄金上涨1.95倍；而美元现金从1下降到0.06。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/31988da7eb54da35ccaeb5d20bdea37a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>很明显，股票的收益率长期是最好的，这一规律在中国也同样适用。</b>也就是说，在过去几十上百年时间中，股票投资的长期回报率是最高的。尤其优质公司，可以长期跑赢货币供应量的扩张，但股票投资是有门槛的。</p><p>2.<b>高波动性</b>是股票市场的显著特征，而这种波动性往往不可预测。有句话说的好，<b>你能穿越多少波动，就能获得多少财富，穿越的波动越大，财富收获越大。</b>而对于能够穿越波动的人，他们的经验是多年堆积起来的阅历。</p><p>很多人去采访投资大咖们如何长期获得稳定收益，我总结了一下，都会提到几个原则：</p><p>首先是<b>逆向投资</b>原则，学会在低迷期投资；其次是<b>分散投资</b>原则，选不同行业的股票去投资，不要把鸡蛋放在同个篮子里；最后是<b>长期投资</b>原则，市场短期是无效的，但长期总会反映企业的内在价值。</p><p><b>3.高增长的企业很重要，能够持续增长的企业更重要。</b>什么是增长？就是企业家不断创造价值，也许是新的产品需求，也许是更广阔的市场空间。</p><p>我们把股票市值的增长建立在企业发展的基础上，和伟大的企业家同行。努力去研究那些<b>不可被复制</b>，而且<b>商业模式具备可持续性、产品需求在不断扩大的公司</b>，也只有这样的公司才能不断的复利增长，最终让你的财富稳步前进，分享到时代和成长的红利。</p><p><b>4.谨慎做空。</b>昨天富时中国指数三倍做空指数在涨了3倍后，直接跌63.11%，回到起涨点。</p><p>2020年美股经历疫情后的快速下杀，也不乏很多做空者参与其中，但快速下跌后快速拉起，<b>做空资金很快就被狙杀了</b>。市场是不可预测的，而且波动非常大，想靠做空长期获利是非常困难的。</p><p>华人投资家李录说过一个故事：2008年金融危机中最成功的大空头——<b>保尔森</b>，狂赚200亿美元，《华尔街日报》有个记者写了本书，说这是<b>史上最伟大的交易</b>。但随后，保尔森经历了炒黄金亏损，炒嘉汉林业亏损等。《彭博商业周刊》甚至在封面上<b>把保尔森称为“大失败者”。</b></p><p>如果做多，上涨的空间是无限的，下跌是100%，但是做空，上涨的空间是100%，下跌是无限的。其次，做空时候，即使你百分之百正确，也有可能破产，在市场证明你正确之前，有时候需要很长时间。再者，做空会扰乱你的思维，让你不能保持专注。</p><p><b>从一个更长期的视角来看，人类的经济总体上一直在持续增长，这个大的趋势更有利于做多而不是做空。</b>与其做空，不如做多，去分享增长带来的收益。</p><p>巴菲特在2021年致股东的信里说：<b>永远不要做空自己的祖国。</b></p></body></html>","source":"lsy1647515315065","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>夜读 | 暴涨暴跌下的冷思考</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n夜读 | 暴涨暴跌下的冷思考\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-17 22:59 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/U529nIH2SRw1jL7qVCPqIQ><strong>格隆商学院</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>这几天市场的暴涨暴跌，牵动着千万人的心，哪怕不炒股的人看到这波澜壮阔的大波动也算是见证了历史。面对高波动市场，今天我们就不聊别的，给大家总结一些顶级投资大咖们的经验之谈，一起冷静思考。1.如果你的亲朋好友们很焦虑高通胀下，资产如何保值。你可以告诉他们一些历史数据。沃顿商学院西格尔教授，统计了美国200年历史中四大类资产去除通胀后的投资回报。其中股票上涨了75万倍，年化收益率最高，达到6%-7%；...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/U529nIH2SRw1jL7qVCPqIQ\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18f26a21557b2b9fbf841d276ecb7796","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/U529nIH2SRw1jL7qVCPqIQ","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1126090936","content_text":"这几天市场的暴涨暴跌，牵动着千万人的心，哪怕不炒股的人看到这波澜壮阔的大波动也算是见证了历史。面对高波动市场，今天我们就不聊别的，给大家总结一些顶级投资大咖们的经验之谈，一起冷静思考。1.如果你的亲朋好友们很焦虑高通胀下，资产如何保值。你可以告诉他们一些历史数据。沃顿商学院西格尔教授，统计了美国200年历史中四大类资产去除通胀后的投资回报。其中股票上涨了75万倍，年化收益率最高，达到6%-7%；债券上涨了1083倍；黄金上涨1.95倍；而美元现金从1下降到0.06。很明显，股票的收益率长期是最好的，这一规律在中国也同样适用。也就是说，在过去几十上百年时间中，股票投资的长期回报率是最高的。尤其优质公司，可以长期跑赢货币供应量的扩张，但股票投资是有门槛的。2.高波动性是股票市场的显著特征，而这种波动性往往不可预测。有句话说的好，你能穿越多少波动，就能获得多少财富，穿越的波动越大，财富收获越大。而对于能够穿越波动的人，他们的经验是多年堆积起来的阅历。很多人去采访投资大咖们如何长期获得稳定收益，我总结了一下，都会提到几个原则：首先是逆向投资原则，学会在低迷期投资；其次是分散投资原则，选不同行业的股票去投资，不要把鸡蛋放在同个篮子里；最后是长期投资原则，市场短期是无效的，但长期总会反映企业的内在价值。3.高增长的企业很重要，能够持续增长的企业更重要。什么是增长？就是企业家不断创造价值，也许是新的产品需求，也许是更广阔的市场空间。我们把股票市值的增长建立在企业发展的基础上，和伟大的企业家同行。努力去研究那些不可被复制，而且商业模式具备可持续性、产品需求在不断扩大的公司，也只有这样的公司才能不断的复利增长，最终让你的财富稳步前进，分享到时代和成长的红利。4.谨慎做空。昨天富时中国指数三倍做空指数在涨了3倍后，直接跌63.11%，回到起涨点。2020年美股经历疫情后的快速下杀，也不乏很多做空者参与其中，但快速下跌后快速拉起，做空资金很快就被狙杀了。市场是不可预测的，而且波动非常大，想靠做空长期获利是非常困难的。华人投资家李录说过一个故事：2008年金融危机中最成功的大空头——保尔森，狂赚200亿美元，《华尔街日报》有个记者写了本书，说这是史上最伟大的交易。但随后，保尔森经历了炒黄金亏损，炒嘉汉林业亏损等。《彭博商业周刊》甚至在封面上把保尔森称为“大失败者”。如果做多，上涨的空间是无限的，下跌是100%，但是做空，上涨的空间是100%，下跌是无限的。其次，做空时候，即使你百分之百正确，也有可能破产，在市场证明你正确之前，有时候需要很长时间。再者，做空会扰乱你的思维，让你不能保持专注。从一个更长期的视角来看，人类的经济总体上一直在持续增长，这个大的趋势更有利于做多而不是做空。与其做空，不如做多，去分享增长带来的收益。巴菲特在2021年致股东的信里说：永远不要做空自己的祖国。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634846016,"gmtCreate":1647441289367,"gmtModify":1647441289367,"author":{"id":"3471528192194081","authorId":"3471528192194081","name":"西风侯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a6e94893597288c0228b11c5febb8e7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471528192194081","authorIdStr":"3471528192194081"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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Eveillard共同被评为晨星公司的年度国际基金经理。2006年，他再次获得了该奖项的亚军。</p><p>其导师Eveillard也表示了对沃克斯的缅怀：我会永远怀念这个1987年在SoGen基金需要支持时，一直帮助我的实习生。沃克斯之后在First Eagle Funds的工作也一如既往。</p><p>First Eagle Fund的官网也表达了对沃克斯的致敬，他们表示：沃克斯在投资管理行业，和在那些与他合作过的人身上，留下了不可磨灭的印记。他也是First Eagle Fund价值团队的主要贡献者。</p><p>晨星公司的高级分析师Gregg Wolper如此形容沃克斯：</p><blockquote>他践行着自下而上的投资策略，他对公司进行深入的研究，并对这些公司的价值热情辩护。全球积累了十分高企的债务水平，无论是公司还是个人，而这些困扰着他。另外，市场上公司的估值都很高，使得沃克斯这一价值投资者在股市疯狂上涨时仍坚持持有现金。他之所以坚持这点，并不是因为他固执。而是他认为，这是保护股东们免受亏损的最佳投资方式。这是他在行使他的义务。</blockquote><p>但正是这些理念，令他赢得了业界的尊重。</p><p>GoodHaven资本的基金经理Larry Pitkowsky也称：</p><blockquote>Valux是一位有思想、有才华、纪律严明、规避风险的投资者，他同时也是众多资产管理公司的朋友。</blockquote><p>“沃克斯纵身一跃，归于自己的宿命，但价值已开始回归”，巴伦周刊如此写到。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" 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.h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国传奇投资人跳楼自杀，坚持价值投资数十载\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2021-04-29 17:09 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>华尔街见闻</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作者：俞涛据媒体报道，本周一下午，著名价值投资者沃克斯(Charles de Vaulx)被发现自杀身亡。这一消息令资产管理业界震惊不已。纽约警方向巴伦周刊证实，沃克斯从曼哈顿一幢大楼的十层纵身跃下。沃克斯是International value Advisors（以下简称IVA）的联合创始人。3月10日，IVA突然宣布将对基金进行清算并停止业务，并已于4月19日完成清算。享年59岁的沃克斯是两个...</p>\n\n<a href=\"None\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2267b427fdb940c6c89c4eba2323002d","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146507377","content_text":"作者：俞涛据媒体报道，本周一下午，著名价值投资者沃克斯(Charles de Vaulx)被发现自杀身亡。这一消息令资产管理业界震惊不已。纽约警方向巴伦周刊证实，沃克斯从曼哈顿一幢大楼的十层纵身跃下。沃克斯是International value Advisors（以下简称IVA）的联合创始人。3月10日，IVA突然宣布将对基金进行清算并停止业务，并已于4月19日完成清算。享年59岁的沃克斯是两个孩子的父亲，同时也是一名坚定价值投资者。在沃克斯漫长的职业生涯中， 他青睐投资被低估和冷门的股票，并且从未偏离过自己的深度价值投资方法。但也因如此，其管理的基金在过去十年的收益率，大幅跑输市场上的成长型股票。沃克斯和其他三名合伙人在2008年创立International value Advisors（以下简称IVA）之初，他们的价值投资方法在金融危机期间非常受欢迎。并且很快就吸引了大量资金。根据晨星的数据，截至2010年底，IVA国际（IVIQX）已积累了23亿美元的资产，而IVA全球（IVWIX）已累计积累93亿美元。IVA在鼎盛时期管理的资产超过200亿美元，但截至去年底，IVA所管理的资金规模已缩减至8.63亿美元，有两位联合创始人也先后离开。这位来自法国的基金经理，曾在2001年与其导师Jea Marie Eveillard共同被评为晨星公司的年度国际基金经理。2006年，他再次获得了该奖项的亚军。其导师Eveillard也表示了对沃克斯的缅怀：我会永远怀念这个1987年在SoGen基金需要支持时，一直帮助我的实习生。沃克斯之后在First Eagle Funds的工作也一如既往。First Eagle Fund的官网也表达了对沃克斯的致敬，他们表示：沃克斯在投资管理行业，和在那些与他合作过的人身上，留下了不可磨灭的印记。他也是First Eagle Fund价值团队的主要贡献者。晨星公司的高级分析师Gregg Wolper如此形容沃克斯：他践行着自下而上的投资策略，他对公司进行深入的研究，并对这些公司的价值热情辩护。全球积累了十分高企的债务水平，无论是公司还是个人，而这些困扰着他。另外，市场上公司的估值都很高，使得沃克斯这一价值投资者在股市疯狂上涨时仍坚持持有现金。他之所以坚持这点，并不是因为他固执。而是他认为，这是保护股东们免受亏损的最佳投资方式。这是他在行使他的义务。但正是这些理念，令他赢得了业界的尊重。GoodHaven资本的基金经理Larry Pitkowsky也称：Valux是一位有思想、有才华、纪律严明、规避风险的投资者，他同时也是众多资产管理公司的朋友。“沃克斯纵身一跃，归于自己的宿命，但价值已开始回归”，巴伦周刊如此写到。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1884,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":343558038,"gmtCreate":1617728871924,"gmtModify":1617728871924,"author":{"id":"3471528192194081","authorId":"3471528192194081","name":"西风侯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a6e94893597288c0228b11c5febb8e7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471528192194081","authorIdStr":"3471528192194081"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"一季度三个月的投资回报，没有亏钱，小赚拿住了携程，抄了点阿里巴巴，非死不可拿了一年多","listText":"一季度三个月的投资回报，没有亏钱，小赚拿住了携程，抄了点阿里巴巴，非死不可拿了一年多","text":"一季度三个月的投资回报，没有亏钱，小赚拿住了携程，抄了点阿里巴巴，非死不可拿了一年多","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5565f2855f6fa30ce817f2ee6adfc85b","width":"1284","height":"2778"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343558038","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2541,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":358234066,"gmtCreate":1616692990255,"gmtModify":1616692990255,"author":{"id":"3471528192194081","authorId":"3471528192194081","name":"西风侯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a6e94893597288c0228b11c5febb8e7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471528192194081","authorIdStr":"3471528192194081"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"长线投资，慢慢培育","listText":"长线投资，慢慢培育","text":"长线投资，慢慢培育","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf8bb52130b0f44a3eb79b2265436138","width":"1125","height":"2928"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358234066","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2327,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":205537763246336,"gmtCreate":1691189502036,"gmtModify":1691199970191,"author":{"id":"3471528192194081","authorId":"3471528192194081","name":"西风侯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a6e94893597288c0228b11c5febb8e7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3471528192194081","idStr":"3471528192194081"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不看基本面的买入都是投机，不看大趋势的买入都是二愣子","listText":"不看基本面的买入都是投机，不看大趋势的买入都是二愣子","text":"不看基本面的买入都是投机，不看大趋势的买入都是二愣子","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/205537763246336","repostId":"1120544354","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120544354","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1691161522,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120544354?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-08-04 23:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"夜读 | 股票到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120544354","media":"期乐会","summary":"聪明的投资者都知道买入股票要分批进行，但到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买，则不同人有不同的看法。有人认为遭遇下跌时补仓摊平成本并不可取，应越涨越买，保证每一次交易一开始就是盈利的。而有些人则是越跌越买，因为其买入逻辑是价格低于价值，那当然是价格越低，就越值得买入。如果已经涨了一大段，你还是越涨越买，就会造成买入成本过高。在熊市初期和个股的顶部，最忌讳的是越跌越买。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><strong>导读：</strong>实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。</blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">聪明的投资者都知道买入股票要分批进行，但到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买，则不同人有不同的看法。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">有人认为遭遇下跌时补仓摊平成本并不可取，应越涨越买，保证每一次交易一开始就是盈利的。如果买入后即下跌，说明这次操作判断失误，不应再继续追加投入。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">而有些人则是越跌越买，因为其买入逻辑是价格低于价值，那当然是价格越低，就越值得买入。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">到底哪种方法正确呢？实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>技术派：顺势交易</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">技术派的重要原则是顺势交易，因此大多是做右侧交易，当上升趋势明确后才买入。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">如果买入后上涨，说明对趋势方向判断正确，才应该继续追加资金。如果买入后下跌，说明是这个买入操作是错误的，就不应该继续买入来扩大这个错误，而应该考虑是否该止损了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这种越涨越买的方法对于买入点的要求很高。要精确判断上升趋势确立的那个关键点（注意不是说底部的那个最低点，试图抄到最低点是一种贪心）。如果已经涨了一大段，你还是越涨越买，就会造成买入成本过高。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">一种很多高手推荐的方法是在放量突破盘整平台时买入一部分，在突破后回撤颈线确认时再买一部分。如果不回撤直接涨上去，就不追高了，等下次回调再买。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>基本面派：逢低买入</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">如果是价值投资者，会更喜欢做左侧交易，在上升趋势出现之前就开始越跌越买，前提是要对公司的估值做出准确的分析计算，买入点要足够低，留出足够的安全边际，各档买入价要拉开足够的差距。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在熊市初期和个股的顶部，最忌讳的是越跌越买。大量的散户在看到下跌时，第一反应就是加仓摊平成本，这是飞蛾扑火般的本能冲动。像这样对于个股的估值和涨跌空间都不加判断，盲目地越跌越买，是技术派强烈批判的错误操作方法。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">越跌越买的前提，一定是要能够准确判断出个股的价值，确认其下跌空间已经不大，而且还要考虑大盘趋势和牛熊市的状态。即使如此，也常常会承受在底部长期横盘的折磨，付出大量的时间成本，这是左侧交易的天然缺陷。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">左侧买入的优点是只要对底部区域的判断大致成功，可以把持仓成本摊薄至较低的水平，之后便可持股待涨，尤其在熊转牛的过程中，尽享翻倍收益。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>大资金&amp;小资金</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">大资金建仓时间长，往往需要在左侧建仓，如果等到涨起来之后再买，成本就太高了。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">小资金进出灵活，等到上升趋势确立后再买，就成功率更高。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">折中的方法</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">还可以考虑把左侧和右侧交易结合起来的方法，即在中线上升趋势确立时才开始买入，但不急于追涨，而是在短线回调过程中逢低买入，金字塔式加仓。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">例如看到一只好股，从基本面和技术面都判断有很大的上升空间，但已经大幅上涨，于是先只买入1/2的资金量，然后在股价向上趋势的行进过程中，一旦回踩至10日、20日甚至30日均线处再加仓（注意：越往上加仓量越小），如果买到某一档就涨上去不回头了，就放弃后面几档的买入，留着资金等待其他机会。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">其实如何买是枝节问题，更重要的是买什么、何时买。如果股票质地好，股价处于下跌趋势的末期或上涨趋势的初期，那么越涨越买和越跌越买都是正确的；反之如果股票差，或者股价处于下跌初期或上涨末期，那么无论怎么买都是错误的。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">但是顶和底的位置很难准确判断，为防范判断错误的风险，可以根据实际情况和自己的理念来采用分批买入的方法，避免一次性集中买入的错判风险。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">另外在股价运行的不同阶段，可以采用不同的买入策略，在底部刚开始向上突破的阶段，如果非常有把握，大势也配合，可以激进一些，一开始就买入较重的仓位；如果是较高位置调仓换股，可以采用稳健一点的策略，等回调了再逢低买入。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1645511055786","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>夜读 | 股票到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n夜读 | 股票到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-08-04 23:05 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GdmjJKmE_josevfKBIw78Q><strong>期乐会</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>导读：实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。聪明的投资者都知道买入股票要分批进行，但到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买，则不同人有不同的看法。有人认为遭遇下跌时补仓摊平成本并不可取，应越涨越买，保证每一次交易一开始就是盈利的。如果买入后即下跌，说明这次操作判断失误，不应再继续追加投入。而有些人则是越跌越买，因为其买入逻辑是价格低于价值，那当然...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GdmjJKmE_josevfKBIw78Q\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/GdmjJKmE_josevfKBIw78Q","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120544354","content_text":"导读：实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。聪明的投资者都知道买入股票要分批进行，但到底该越涨越买，还是越跌越买，则不同人有不同的看法。有人认为遭遇下跌时补仓摊平成本并不可取，应越涨越买，保证每一次交易一开始就是盈利的。如果买入后即下跌，说明这次操作判断失误，不应再继续追加投入。而有些人则是越跌越买，因为其买入逻辑是价格低于价值，那当然是价格越低，就越值得买入。到底哪种方法正确呢？实际上交易里不是非黑即白的，并没有绝对的正确和错误。每种方法都有其优点和局限性，有其特定的适用范围。技术派：顺势交易技术派的重要原则是顺势交易，因此大多是做右侧交易，当上升趋势明确后才买入。如果买入后上涨，说明对趋势方向判断正确，才应该继续追加资金。如果买入后下跌，说明是这个买入操作是错误的，就不应该继续买入来扩大这个错误，而应该考虑是否该止损了。这种越涨越买的方法对于买入点的要求很高。要精确判断上升趋势确立的那个关键点（注意不是说底部的那个最低点，试图抄到最低点是一种贪心）。如果已经涨了一大段，你还是越涨越买，就会造成买入成本过高。一种很多高手推荐的方法是在放量突破盘整平台时买入一部分，在突破后回撤颈线确认时再买一部分。如果不回撤直接涨上去，就不追高了，等下次回调再买。基本面派：逢低买入如果是价值投资者，会更喜欢做左侧交易，在上升趋势出现之前就开始越跌越买，前提是要对公司的估值做出准确的分析计算，买入点要足够低，留出足够的安全边际，各档买入价要拉开足够的差距。在熊市初期和个股的顶部，最忌讳的是越跌越买。大量的散户在看到下跌时，第一反应就是加仓摊平成本，这是飞蛾扑火般的本能冲动。像这样对于个股的估值和涨跌空间都不加判断，盲目地越跌越买，是技术派强烈批判的错误操作方法。越跌越买的前提，一定是要能够准确判断出个股的价值，确认其下跌空间已经不大，而且还要考虑大盘趋势和牛熊市的状态。即使如此，也常常会承受在底部长期横盘的折磨，付出大量的时间成本，这是左侧交易的天然缺陷。左侧买入的优点是只要对底部区域的判断大致成功，可以把持仓成本摊薄至较低的水平，之后便可持股待涨，尤其在熊转牛的过程中，尽享翻倍收益。大资金&小资金大资金建仓时间长，往往需要在左侧建仓，如果等到涨起来之后再买，成本就太高了。小资金进出灵活，等到上升趋势确立后再买，就成功率更高。折中的方法还可以考虑把左侧和右侧交易结合起来的方法，即在中线上升趋势确立时才开始买入，但不急于追涨，而是在短线回调过程中逢低买入，金字塔式加仓。例如看到一只好股，从基本面和技术面都判断有很大的上升空间，但已经大幅上涨，于是先只买入1/2的资金量，然后在股价向上趋势的行进过程中，一旦回踩至10日、20日甚至30日均线处再加仓（注意：越往上加仓量越小），如果买到某一档就涨上去不回头了，就放弃后面几档的买入，留着资金等待其他机会。其实如何买是枝节问题，更重要的是买什么、何时买。如果股票质地好，股价处于下跌趋势的末期或上涨趋势的初期，那么越涨越买和越跌越买都是正确的；反之如果股票差，或者股价处于下跌初期或上涨末期，那么无论怎么买都是错误的。但是顶和底的位置很难准确判断，为防范判断错误的风险，可以根据实际情况和自己的理念来采用分批买入的方法，避免一次性集中买入的错判风险。另外在股价运行的不同阶段，可以采用不同的买入策略，在底部刚开始向上突破的阶段，如果非常有把握，大势也配合，可以激进一些，一开始就买入较重的仓位；如果是较高位置调仓换股，可以采用稳健一点的策略，等回调了再逢低买入。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":1.1,".SPX":1.1,".DJI":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6022,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274709946712","authorId":"3479274709946712","name":"奔跑吧美股","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/190c480144551a8d6ba305539b5ededa","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274709946712","idStr":"3479274709946712"},"content":"要不要把你的股票给我们学习一下?","text":"要不要把你的股票给我们学习一下?","html":"要不要把你的股票给我们学习一下?"},{"author":{"id":"3479274732372511","authorId":"3479274732372511","name":"黄老怪","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d01265730fbb9a0b9e195d51c4c1680","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274732372511","idStr":"3479274732372511"},"content":"如今这样的猴市，看基本面往往会失效","text":"如今这样的猴市，看基本面往往会失效","html":"如今这样的猴市，看基本面往往会失效"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":363661990883632,"gmtCreate":1729827260574,"gmtModify":1729827836977,"author":{"id":"3471528192194081","authorId":"3471528192194081","name":"西风侯","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/a6e94893597288c0228b11c5febb8e7c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3471528192194081","idStr":"3471528192194081"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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