苏陈cc5257的个人主页 - 老虎社区

苏陈cc5257

苏陈cc5257

找股做多

IP属地：辽宁

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0勋章

2019-07-12

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 他妈的这集我看过昨天也是这么走的

2019-10-25

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 等瀑布

2023-08-28

$上证指数(000001.SH)$ 住进ICU了来一句我住院费给你打99折就好了？

2021-07-24

$Faraday Future(FFIE)$目标价100+

2021-08-09

$NQ100指数主连 2109(NQmain)$ 每天三点做多期指一年下来应该赚不少

2020-08-21

$苹果(AAPL)$我想知道如果今天苹果收跌大盘会怎么样

2021-03-15

$创业板指(399006)$哪个人民代表咋说的来着为啥中国经济增速全球第一我想问问为啥中国股市这么烂

2024-11-26

$NQ100指数主连 2412(NQmain)$ 懂王一顿嘴炮给期指打下来了？ 🫅

2023-09-01

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 是不是可以了

2020-12-28

$Teladoc Inc(TDOC)$目标280

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361240393457896","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":268261464760560,"gmtCreate":1706511397379,"gmtModify":1706511399069,"author":{"id":"3461126481245094","authorId":"3461126481245094","name":"苏陈cc5257","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/296fd1f65347ac15d389169b562e991e","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461126481245094","authorIdStr":"3461126481245094"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"主打一个逗你玩 美股接着涨 A股[哟哟]&nbsp;","listText":"主打一个逗你玩 美股接着涨 A股[哟哟]&nbsp;","text":"主打一个逗你玩 美股接着涨 A股[哟哟]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/268261464760560","repostId":"2406009043","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":263873114378360,"gmtCreate":1705457860266,"gmtModify":1705457861813,"author":{"id":"3461126481245094","authorId":"3461126481245094","name":"苏陈cc5257","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/296fd1f65347ac15d389169b562e991e","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461126481245094","authorIdStr":"3461126481245094"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":" 我想问一下 什么特色 天天跌","listText":" 我想问一下 什么特色 天天跌","text":" 我想问一下 什么特色 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17:50","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"“铁口”李蓓：未来中国股市或有“二十年一遇”行情","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2401840984","media":"wallstreet","summary":"去年最后一个月净值继续回落。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>去年最后一个月净值继续回落。</p></blockquote><p>净值继续跌，而她继续看好。</p><p>这可能就是李蓓吧。</p><p>1月8日，市场流传出李蓓的一份最新基金月报（2023年12月月报）。</p><p>这是半夏旗下“低波动”系列产品的月报，在月报中，基金经理复盘了过去一个月的操作，并再次重申牛市观点：</p><p>当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部；</p><p>将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2-3轮小牛市的。</p><p>（将来的股市行情）大概率超越5年一遇的级别，可能是10年甚至20年一遇的级别。</p><p>然而，在“大喊机会”的同时，李蓓的一只低波动主题（私募）基金在2023年录得近15个点的跌幅，更跑输了大盘指数。</p><p>这可能会让她有点烦心吧。</p><p><strong>2023年“受挫”</strong></p><p>根据业内流传的投资月报，一个隶属于半夏投资低波动系列的私募产品，在2023年实现-14.70%的年度收益，跑输沪深300指数约三个百分点。</p><p>这让半夏无法重复2022年的辉煌，相反在一批百亿私募同行中暂时排名居于中下游之列。</p><p>对于去年12月的操作，李蓓复盘称：<strong>权益类持仓跌幅则大于沪深300指数，一方面是期权权利金在指数低波动背景下面临时间价值的损失，一方面是个股持仓走势弱于沪深300。</strong></p><p>虽然业绩不理想，但李蓓依然信心满满：由于债券和商品市场都并没有大机会，我们把大部分的风险预算留给权益仓位。</p><p>她还指出：“政策沿着预期的方向和节奏循序渐进的落地，后续几个月的时间，效果会逐渐显现出来。资金流动是过去一段时间更主要的矛盾。”</p><p><strong>提及年初“黑天鹅”</strong></p><p>李蓓还提及了2024年开年的行情，并认为：年初市场出现了明显的下跌，尤其基金重仓股下跌惨烈。开年的戏剧一幕再一次提醒我们一个道理，世界充满了黑天鹅，不确定性始终存在。</p><p>但她认为市场出现了增量资金，有如下分析：</p><p>ETF净申购是12月最大的增量，对市场的稳定起了很大的托底作用。</p><p>其它类别的机构，无论私募，保险还是外资仓位，仓位出清的过程都基本完成，仓位的绝对水平都是历史低位。</p><p><strong>给出三点“提示”</strong></p><p>李蓓在月报中给投资人强调以下三点：</p><p><strong>其一，后续要继续规避公募集体超配的行业和个股。</strong>更本质的是：主动公募和主观私募所面临的资金流出趋势，在未来一年都很难逆转。</p><p><strong>其二，这一波公募的卖出降仓位结束后，市场上所有的存量投资者就都会完成仓位出清。</strong>所以虽然年初市场表现的确低于预期，但中期上涨的障碍进一步的扫清了。</p><p><strong>其三，保险资金的入场，是我们之前一直预期的2024年主要的资金增量。</strong>从开年的表现来看，基本上也可以确定这种趋势已经正在发生，保险偏好的高股息类公司，开年后的相对跑赢比之前更加地流畅。</p><p><strong>再提大牛市</strong></p><p>数月以来，李蓓非常坚定看好未来大牛市趋势。</p><p>她在此份月报中再次唱多，指出：当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部，<strong>将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2、3轮小牛市的，大概率超越5年一遇的级别，可能是10年甚至20年一遇的级别。</strong></p><p>她更把增量资金和市场演变的顺序，做了一番“演绎”：</p><blockquote><p>国家队托底，保险入市推动第一波触底回升；</p><p>基本面担忧缓解后，外资逆转，机构持续加仓引发第二波上涨；</p><p>赚钱效应引发存款搬家推动第三波泡沫化。</p></blockquote></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_hot_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“铁口”李蓓：未来中国股市或有“二十年一遇”行情\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-01-08 17:50 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3705875><strong>wallstreet</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>去年最后一个月净值继续回落。净值继续跌，而她继续看好。这可能就是李蓓吧。1月8日，市场流传出李蓓的一份最新基金月报（2023年12月月报）。这是半夏旗下“低波动”系列产品的月报，在月报中，基金经理复盘了过去一个月的操作，并再次重申牛市观点：当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部；将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2-3轮小牛市的。（将来的股市行情）大概率超越5年一遇的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3705875\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3705875","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2401840984","content_text":"去年最后一个月净值继续回落。净值继续跌，而她继续看好。这可能就是李蓓吧。1月8日，市场流传出李蓓的一份最新基金月报（2023年12月月报）。这是半夏旗下“低波动”系列产品的月报，在月报中，基金经理复盘了过去一个月的操作，并再次重申牛市观点：当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部；将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2-3轮小牛市的。（将来的股市行情）大概率超越5年一遇的级别，可能是10年甚至20年一遇的级别。然而，在“大喊机会”的同时，李蓓的一只低波动主题（私募）基金在2023年录得近15个点的跌幅，更跑输了大盘指数。这可能会让她有点烦心吧。2023年“受挫”根据业内流传的投资月报，一个隶属于半夏投资低波动系列的私募产品，在2023年实现-14.70%的年度收益，跑输沪深300指数约三个百分点。这让半夏无法重复2022年的辉煌，相反在一批百亿私募同行中暂时排名居于中下游之列。对于去年12月的操作，李蓓复盘称：权益类持仓跌幅则大于沪深300指数，一方面是期权权利金在指数低波动背景下面临时间价值的损失，一方面是个股持仓走势弱于沪深300。虽然业绩不理想，但李蓓依然信心满满：由于债券和商品市场都并没有大机会，我们把大部分的风险预算留给权益仓位。她还指出：“政策沿着预期的方向和节奏循序渐进的落地，后续几个月的时间，效果会逐渐显现出来。资金流动是过去一段时间更主要的矛盾。”提及年初“黑天鹅”李蓓还提及了2024年开年的行情，并认为：年初市场出现了明显的下跌，尤其基金重仓股下跌惨烈。开年的戏剧一幕再一次提醒我们一个道理，世界充满了黑天鹅，不确定性始终存在。但她认为市场出现了增量资金，有如下分析：ETF净申购是12月最大的增量，对市场的稳定起了很大的托底作用。其它类别的机构，无论私募，保险还是外资仓位，仓位出清的过程都基本完成，仓位的绝对水平都是历史低位。给出三点“提示”李蓓在月报中给投资人强调以下三点：其一，后续要继续规避公募集体超配的行业和个股。更本质的是：主动公募和主观私募所面临的资金流出趋势，在未来一年都很难逆转。其二，这一波公募的卖出降仓位结束后，市场上所有的存量投资者就都会完成仓位出清。所以虽然年初市场表现的确低于预期，但中期上涨的障碍进一步的扫清了。其三，保险资金的入场，是我们之前一直预期的2024年主要的资金增量。从开年的表现来看，基本上也可以确定这种趋势已经正在发生，保险偏好的高股息类公司，开年后的相对跑赢比之前更加地流畅。再提大牛市数月以来，李蓓非常坚定看好未来大牛市趋势。她在此份月报中再次唱多，指出：当前是中长期和中短期共振的底部，而不仅仅是小周期底部，将来的这一轮中国股市牛市行情的级别，是会超过过去的2、3轮小牛市的，大概率超越5年一遇的级别，可能是10年甚至20年一遇的级别。她更把增量资金和市场演变的顺序，做了一番“演绎”：国家队托底，保险入市推动第一波触底回升；基本面担忧缓解后，外资逆转，机构持续加仓引发第二波上涨；赚钱效应引发存款搬家推动第三波泡沫化。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":1.1,"399006":1.1,"000001.SH":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3633,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":248712179863616,"gmtCreate":1701758531679,"gmtModify":1701758532662,"author":{"id":"3461126481245094","authorId":"3461126481245094","name":"苏陈cc5257","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/296fd1f65347ac15d389169b562e991e","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3461126481245094","authorIdStr":"3461126481245094"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a 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